Repeated FIB-4 measurements can help identify individuals at risk of severe liver disease

Diagnostic Accuracy of the LiverRisk Score to Detect Increased Liver Stiffness Among a United States General Population and Subgroups

Background

The LiverRisk score (LRS) has recently been proposed to predict liver fibrosis and future development of liver-related outcomes in the general population. Here, we performed an external validation of this score.

Methods

We used data from National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey 2017-2020, a United States population-based cohort to assess the diagnostic accuracy of the LRS to detect a liver stiffness measurement (LSM) ≥8 and ≥12 kPa. Performance was tested among the entire general population and clinically relevant subgroups.

Results

The cohort comprised 7,025 participants (aged 49 [33-63], 49% male), and 9.7% had an LSM ≥8 and 3.2% had an LSM ≥12 kPa. The area under the receiver characteristic operator curve (AUC) in the overall population was 0.73 (95% confidence interval [CI] :0.71-0.75) and 0.78 (95% CI: 0.74-0.81) to detect an LSM ≥8 and ≥ 12 kPa, respectively, significantly outperforming the fibrosis 4 index (FIB-4) but not the nonalcoholic fatty liver disease fibrosis score, steatosis-associated fibrosis estimator (SAFE), or metabolic dysfunction-associated fibrosis 5 (MAF-5). Performance was consistent among most subgroups, but AUC levels to detect an LSM ≥8 kPa decreased to <0.70 among participants aged 18-40 or 60-80 years, blacks, and individuals with diabetes or liver steatosis. The LRS categorized 80.5% as very low risk, 17.7% as low risk, and 1.8% as at risk, prevalence of an LSM ≥8 in these groups was 6.3%, 20.8%, and 50.5%, respectively. The sensitivity to detect an LSM ≥8 kPa was 47.3% in the overall population (but dropped to 21.3% for individuals aged 18-40 years) despite applying the lowest cut-off, which should yield the highest sensitivity.

Conclusion

The LRS score is a promising new tool to predict liver fibrosis; however, its diagnostic accuracy attenuates especially among patients aged 18-40 or 60-80 years. The overall sensitivity was only 47.3% at the lowest LRS cut-off. Further studies assessing cost-benefit ratios according to the LRS compared to FIB-4 and other risk scores such as MAF-5 and SAFE are required to determine its usefulness in referral strategies.

PNPLA3 gene variation modulates diet-induced improvement in liver lipid content in type 2 diabetes

BACKGROUND&AIMS

Lifestyle-induced weight reduction remains crucial for managing type 2 diabetes and steatotic liver disease, but its effectiveness varies. We postulated that the G allele in the rs738409 single nucleotide polymorphism within patatin-like phospholipase domain-containing protein 3 (PNPLA3), which associates with metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease, also modulates diet-related metabolic effects.

METHODS

Participants with type 2 diabetes were randomized to 8-week hypocaloric diets (energy intake: -1,256 kJ/d of, <30 kcal% fat): high in cereal fiber and coffee excluding red meat (HF-RM + C; n = 16), or low in cereal fiber, devoid of coffee, but high in red meat (LF + RM-C; n = 15). Whole-body insulin sensitivity (M value) was assessed using [2H]glucose and hyperinsulinemic-normoglycemic clamps, hepatic lipid content (HCL) and body fat volumes by magnetic resonance spectroscopy/imaging before and after intervention.

RESULTS

Despite comparable weight loss, HCL decreased more in non-carriers (-65 %) than in G-allele carriers (-36 %) upon HF-RM + C diet (both p < 0.05 vs baseline and between groups), but only among non-carriers (-46 %, p < 0.05 vs baseline) upon LF + RM-C. Upon HF-RM + C diet, increase in insulin sensitivity was not different between carriers (+27 % p = 0.051 from baseline) and non-carriers (+21 %, p = 0.032 from baseline), p > 0.05 for between-group comparison. Upon LF + RM-C diet, both groups equally improved their whole-body insulin sensitivity (+42 % for non-carriers and +37 % for carriers, p < 0.05 vs baseline). Upon HF-RM + C diet, non-carriers decreased circulating interleukin-18 from baseline by -31 %, whereas, upon LF + RM-C diet, non-carriers decreased circulating anti-inflammatory interleukin-1 receptor antagonist levels by 14 % (both p < 0.05 vs baseline).

CONCLUSIONS

Humans with the PNPLA3 G-allele show modified dietary-induced effects on steatotic liver disease in type 2 diabetes despite body weight reduction. Registration at Clinicaltrials.gov, Identifier number: NCT01409330.

Acute kidney injury is associated with liver-related events in patients with metabolic dysfunction-associated fatty liver disease

BACKGROUND

Evidence regarding the role of acute kidney injury (AKI) in long-term development of metabolic dysfunction-associated fatty liver disease (MAFLD) is limited. We aimed to investigate the associations between AKI and liver-related events in patients with MAFLD.

METHODS

This study involved 50,499 Chinese adults with MAFLD from the China Renal Data System (CRDS) database. We identified AKI using patient-level serum creatinine data according to the Kidney Disease Improving Global Outcomes (KDIGO) criteria. The primary outcome was a composite of liver-related mortality and major adverse liver outcomes. The secondary outcome was an escalation of fibrosis-4 (FIB-4) risk scores. Cox proportional hazard models were performed to assess the association between AKI and the study outcomes.

RESULTS

The median age of the patients was 59.17 years, with 54.7% being male. There were 3,711 (7.3%) patients who experienced AKI during hospitalization. A total of 1,660 (3.3%) patients experienced composite liver outcome. Patients with AKI during hospitalization had higher risk of composite liver outcomes (adjusted hazard ratio (aHR) 1.83 [95% confidence interval 1.38;2.41] P < 0.001), especially among those with severe AKI (stage 2/3) (aHR 2.36 [1.57;3.54] P < 0.001). Regarding the secondary outcome, AKI was also associated with an increased risk of escalation of FIB-4 risk scores (aHR 1.28 [1.14;1.44] P < 0.001). These associations remained consistent across various subgroups and sensitivity analyses.

CONCLUSIONS

AKI was significantly associated with an increased risk of liver-related events among patients with MAFLD. These findings suggest that enhanced vigilance toward AKI may be justifiable in MAFLD patients.

Association between longitudinal biomarkers and major adverse liver outcomes in patients with non-cirrhotic metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Noninvasive biomarkers provide prognostic information for the development of major adverse liver outcomes (MALOs) in patients with metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD), but the predictive value of longitudinal biomarker measurements has not been evaluated. We assessed whether changes in biomarkers could predict incident MALO in MASLD.

APPROACH AND RESULTS

We analyzed a cohort of 1260 patients (71.7% on biopsy) with non-cirrhotic MASLD between 1974 and 2019. Data at baseline and follow-up visits were obtained from medical charts. MALO was determined through medical charts and linkage to national registers until the end of 2020. A joint modeling approach was used to quantify the associations between the trajectory of biomarkers and the risk of MALO. MASLD was diagnosed at a median age of 52 years (IQR: 39-60), and 59% were male. During a median follow-up of 12.2 years, 111 (8.8%) patients developed MALO. The joint modeling showed that an elevated fibrosis-4 score (HR: 2.60, 95% CI: 1.89-3.50), aspartate aminotransferase (HR: 2.69, 95% CI: 2.57-3.05), and lower platelet count (HR: 0.93, 95% CI: 0.90-0.97) at any time point were associated with an increased risk of MALO, whereas the rate of change in these biomarkers had no association with this risk.

CONCLUSIONS

In addition to baseline measurements of noninvasive biomarkers such as fibrosis-4 score, aspartate aminotransferase, and platelets taken at MASLD diagnosis, monitoring their values over time is important, as the latest value of these biomarkers is closely associated with the risk of future MALO. The rate of change may not be as important.

Clinical Utility of Genetic Variants in PNPLA3 and TM6SF2 to Predict Liver-Related Events in Metabolic Dysfunction-Associated Steatotic Liver Disease

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Fibrosis-4 (FIB-4) index and genetic polymorphisms have been used in assessing the risk of liver-related events (LRE) in metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD). To establish a more efficient prediction strategy for LRE, we investigated a combined approach that uses the FIB-4 index and genetic polymorphisms.

METHODS

We enrolled 1304 Japanese patients with biopsy-proven MASLD in this longitudinal multicenter cohort study. PNPLA3, TM6SF2, GCKR and MBOAT7 genotypes were genotyped, and polygenic risk score high fat content (PRS-HFC) were calculated.

RESULTS

During the follow-up period of 8.1 year, 96 LRE occurred and 53 patients died. PNPLA3, TM6SF2 and GCKR genotypes were associated with LRE development. We divided patients into three groups based on the FIB-4 index and PNPLA3 and TM6SF2 genotype. The cumulative LRE development rate in each group was 2.1%/28.9%/53.5%, respectively, at 10 years. Multivariate analysis revealed hazard ratios (HRs) for LRE of 10.72 in the high-risk group and 4.80 in the intermediate-risk group. Overall survival in each group was 98.8%/85.2%/72.4%, respectively, at 10 years. HRs for prognosis were 8.74 in the high-risk group and 5.62 in the intermediate-risk group. Patients with FIB-4 index > 2.67 and high PRS-HFC had HR of 6.70 for LRE development and HR of 6.07 for prognosis compared to patients with FIB-4 ≤ 2.67.

CONCLUSIONS

The approach of measuring the FIB-4 index first followed by assessment of genetic polymorphisms efficiently detected patients at high risk of developing LRE. Therefore, this two-step strategy could be used as a screening method in large populations of patients with MASLD.

Preventing the progression of cirrhosis to decompensation and death

Two main stages are differentiated in patients with advanced chronic liver disease (ACLD), one compensated (cACLD) with an excellent prognosis, and the other decompensated (dACLD), defined by the appearance of complications (ascites, variceal bleeding and hepatic encephalopathy) and associated with high mortality. Preventing the progression to dACLD might dramatically improve prognosis and reduce the burden of care associated with ACLD. Portal hypertension is a major driver of the transition from cACLD to dACLD, and a portal pressure of ≥10 mmHg defines clinically significant portal hypertension (CSPH) as the threshold from which decompensating events may occur. In recent years, innovative studies have provided evidence supporting new strategies to prevent decompensation in cACLD. These studies have yielded major advances, including the development of noninvasive tests (NITs) to identify patients with CSPH with reasonable confidence, the demonstration that aetiological therapies can prevent disease progression and even achieve regression of cirrhosis, and the finding that non-selective β-blockers can effectively prevent decompensation in patients with cACLD and CSPH, mainly by reducing the risk of ascites, the most frequent decompensating event. Here, we review the evidence supporting new strategies to manage cACLD to prevent decompensation and the caveats for their implementation, from patient selection using NITs to ancillary therapies.

Impact of the Underutilization of Vibration-Controlled Transient Elastography in MASLD Patients Without Insurance Coverage

PURPOSE

Vibration-controlled transient elastographies (VCTEs) are used to surveil disease progression in metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD), but this test is not covered by Florida Medicaid. This study aims to quantify the number of MASLD adults in a tertiary care center who did not obtain VCTEs despite indications for one based on their fibrosis-4 (FIB-4) scores, estimate the downstream costs associated with lack of VCTE access, and extrapolate these findings to the broader Florida Medicaid population.

METHODS

The study population was categorized into fibrosis risk groups based on their FIB-4 scores. For each insurance group (Medicaid, Medicare, and private), elastography studies and costs were collected and compared in patients who did or did not receive them. This data were then extrapolated to the statewide Medicaid MASLD population.

RESULTS

Among 282 MASLD patients with Medicaid, 64 patients were categorized as "intermediate-risk" for fibrosis based on their FIB-4, but only 4 had VCTEs performed. The number of VCTEs performed was significantly lower in the Medicaid group in comparison to all "intermediate-risk" patients with Medicaid, Medicare, and private insurance [χ2(2, N = 622) = 19.8, p < 0.001]. In the "intermediate-risk" Medicaid patients, the VCTE and non-VCTE groups averaged $86.74 ± 23.91 and $424.95 ± 63.49 per patient-year (p = 0.01), respectively, in elastography costs. When extrapolating these findings to the statewide Medicaid MASLD population, performing at least one VCTE could reduce downstream elastography costs by $136,020,921.51 ± 27,299,855.72 annually.

CONCLUSION

VCTEs are underutilized in MASLD patients with Medicaid and VCTE use is associated with significantly lower downstream healthcare costs.

Prediction of major liver-related events in the population using prognostic models

Liver disease poses a significant global health burden, with steatotic liver disease related to metabolic dysfunction and/or alcohol use being the most prevalent type. Current risk stratification strategies emphasize detecting advanced fibrosis as a surrogate marker for liver-related events (LREs), such as hospitalization, liver cancer, or death. However, fibrosis alone does not adequately predict imminent outcomes, particularly in fast-progressing individuals without advanced fibrosis at evaluation. This underscores the need for models designed specifically to predict LREs, enabling timely interventions. The Chronic Liver Disease (CLivD) risk score, the dynamic aspartate aminotransferase-to-alanine aminotransferase ratio (dAAR), and the Cirrhosis Outcome Risk Estimator (CORE) were explicitly developed to predict LRE risk rather than detect fibrosis. Derived from general population cohorts, these models incorporate either standard liver enzymes (dAAR and CORE) or risk factors (CLivD), enabling broad application in primary care and population-based settings. They directly estimate the risk of future LREs, improving on traditional fibrosis-focused approaches. Conversely, widely used models like the Fibrosis-4 index and newer ones, such as the LiverRisk and LiverPRO scores, were initially developed to detect significant/advanced fibrosis or liver stiffness. While not designed for LRE prediction, they have later been analyzed for this purpose. Integrating fibrosis screening with LRE-focused models like CLivD, dAAR, and CORE can help healthcare systems adopt proactive, preventive care. This approach emphasizes identifying individuals at imminent risk of severe outcomes, potentially ensuring better resource allocation and personalized interventions.

Liver stiffness measurement trajectory analysis for prognosis in patients with chronic hepatitis B and compensated advanced chronic liver disease

INTRODUCTION AND OBJECTIVES

Liver stiffness measurements (LSMs) offer a noninvasive method for monitoring liver disease development. This study evaluated the prognostic value of different LSM trajectories in chronic hepatitis B (CHB) and compensated advanced chronic liver disease (cACLD) patients.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

We retrospectively analyzed 1272 CHB and cACLD patients with at least two LSMs, applied group-based trajectory modeling (GBTM) to identify distinct LSM trajectories, and used a Cox model to analyze their associations with liver-related events (LREs) and mortality risk.

RESULTS

Patients were categorized into five groups with distinct LSM trajectories: 67 (8.5 %), 13 (11 %), 36 (23.5 %), 34 (27.6 %) and 23 (25.0 %) developed LREs in Groups 1-5. The low stable trajectory (Group 3), the medium gradual decrease trajectory (Group 4) and high quickly decrease followed by increase trajectory (Group 5) had higher LREs risks than the low gradual decrease trajectory (Group 1) (adjusted HRs 2.26, 2.39, 2.67; 95 % CIs 1.50-3.40, 1.57-3.66, 1.61-4.43, respectively). Similar elevated risks were observed for hepatic decompensation, hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), liver-related and all-cause mortality, except that there was no significant difference in the risk of HCC between Groups 4 and 1 (aHR 0.66, 0.36-1.23). When comparing Group 1 with the medium quickly decrease trajectory (Group 2), no significant differences were noted in the prognosis (P > 0.05). Notably, age over 40, high LSM, low PLT, and high total bilirubin were linked to high-risk trajectories (Groups 3-5).

CONCLUSIONS

Monitoring LSM trajectories improves prognostic prediction in CHB and cACLD compared with single measurements and may guide personalized treatment strategies.

Metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease in adults

Metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD) is the umbrella term that comprises metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver, or isolated hepatic steatosis, through to metabolic dysfunction-associated steatohepatitis, the progressive necroinflammatory disease form that can progress to fibrosis, cirrhosis and hepatocellular carcinoma. MASLD is estimated to affect more than one-third of adults worldwide. MASLD is closely associated with insulin resistance, obesity, gut microbial dysbiosis and genetic risk factors. The obesity epidemic and the growing prevalence of type 2 diabetes mellitus greatly contribute to the increasing burden of MASLD. The treatment and prevention of major metabolic comorbidities such as type 2 diabetes mellitus and obesity will probably slow the growth of MASLD. In 2023, the field decided on a new nomenclature and agreed on a set of research and action priorities, and in 2024, the US FDA approved the first drug, resmetirom, for the treatment of non-cirrhotic metabolic dysfunction-associated steatohepatitis with moderate to advanced fibrosis. Reliable, validated biomarkers that can replace histology for patient selection and primary end points in MASH trials will greatly accelerate the drug development process. Additionally, noninvasive tests that can reliably determine treatment response or predict response to therapy are warranted. Sustained efforts are required to combat the burden of MASLD by tackling metabolic risk factors, improving risk stratification and linkage to care, and increasing access to therapeutic agents and non-pharmaceutical interventions.

Noninvasive assessment of hepatic decompensation

Noninvasive tests (NITs) are used in all aspects of liver disease management. Their most prominent break-through since the millennium has been in advancing early detection of liver fibrosis, but their use is not limited to this. In contrast to the symptom-driven assessment of decompensation in patients with cirrhosis, NITs provide not only opportunities for earlier diagnoses but also accurate prognostication, targeted treatment decisions, and a means of monitoring disease. NITs can inform disease management and decision-making based on validated cutoffs and standardized interpretations as a valuable supplement to clinical acumen. The Baveno VI and VII consensus meetings resulted in tangible improvements to pathways of care for patients with compensated and decompensated advanced chronic liver disease, including the combination of platelet count and transient elastography to diagnose clinically significant portal hypertension. Furthermore, circulating NITs will play increasingly important roles in assessing the response to interventions against ascites, variceal bleeding, HE, acute kidney injury, and infections. However, due to NITs' wide availability, there is a risk of inaccurate use, leading to a waste of resources and flawed decisions. In this review, we describe the uses and pitfalls of NITs for hepatic decompensation, from risk stratification in primary care to treatment decisions in outpatient clinics, as well as for the in-hospital management of patients with acute-on-chronic liver failure. We summarize which NITs to use when, for what indications, and how to maximize the potential of NITs for improved patient management.

Role of noninvasive tests in the prognostication of metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease

In managing metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease, which affects over 30% of the general population, effective noninvasive biomarkers for assessing disease severity, monitoring disease progression, predicting the development of liver-related complications, and assessing treatment response are crucial. The advantage of simple fibrosis scores lies in their widespread accessibility through routinely performed blood tests and extensive validation in different clinical settings. They have shown reasonable accuracy in diagnosing advanced fibrosis and good performance in excluding the majority of patients with a low risk of liver-related complications. Among patients with elevated serum fibrosis scores, a more specific fibrosis and imaging biomarker has proved useful to accurately identify patients at risk of liver-related complications. Among specific fibrosis blood biomarkers, enhanced liver fibrosis is the most widely utilized and has been approved in the United States as a prognostic biomarker. For imaging biomarkers, the availability of vibration-controlled transient elastography has been largely improved over the past years, enabling the use of liver stiffness measurement (LSM) for accurate assessment of significant and advanced fibrosis, and cirrhosis. Combining LSM with other routinely available blood tests enhances the ability to diagnose at-risk metabolic dysfunction-associated steatohepatitis and predict liver-related complications, some reaching an accuracy comparable to that of liver biopsy. Magnetic resonance imaging-based modalities provide the most accurate quantification of liver fibrosis, though the current utilization is limited to research settings. Expanding their future use in clinical practice depends on factors such as cost and facility availability.

Screening for advanced liver fibrosis due to metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease alongside retina scanning in people with type 2 diabetes: a cross-sectional study

BACKGROUND

International guidelines suggest screening for advanced fibrosis due to metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease in people with type 2 diabetes, but how to implement these guidelines in clinical care remains unclear. We hypothesise that examination with VCTE could be implemented simultaneously with retina scanning with a high acceptance rate in people with type 2 diabetes.

METHODS

In this cross-sectional study, we offered VCTE to people with type 2 diabetes referred to routine retina scanning in a large retina scanning facility in Stockholm, Sweden. We excluded people with type 1 diabetes, currently pregnant, with known liver disease, reporting high alcohol consumption, who did not speak Swedish, or younger than 18 years. Between Nov 6, 2020, and June 20, 2023, we conducted surveys with included participants and collected data from medical records on diabetes retinopathy, sex, and VCTE measurements. Increased liver stiffness was defined as at least 8·0 kPa, and possible advanced fibrosis as more than 12·0 kPa. Presence of metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease was defined as a controlled attenuation parameter (CAP) value of 280 dB/m or higher. Participants with a liver stiffness measurement of at least 8·0 kPa or those with unreliable measurements were subsequently referred for a secondary evaluation at a liver specialist, including a follow-up liver stiffness measurement with VCTE. The primary outcome was the proportion of eligible people approached for screening who accepted. Secondary outcomes were the prevalence of elevated liver stiffness (≥8·0 kPa or >12·0 kPa), presence of metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease, and the proportion of elevated liver stiffness readings at the first VCTE examination that were not elevated in the secondary evaluation with a liver specialist. Secondary outcomes were assessed in all participants who accepted screening, except false positives, which were assessed only in participants who had a second examination.

FINDINGS

1301 participants were eligible to undergo assessment with VCTE, which was accepted by 1005 (77·2%). 973 (96·8%) participants had complete measurements, of whom 504 (51·8%) had CAP values of 280 dB/m or higher, indicating metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease. Of 977 participants with reliable liver stiffness measurements, 154 (15·8%) had values of at least 8·0 kPa, suggestive of liver fibrosis, and 49 (5·0%) had values higher than 12·0 kPa, indicating possible advanced fibrosis. However, upon reassessment with a second VCTE after referral, 56 (45·2%) of 124 individuals had values less than 8·0 kPa. 74 (7·4%) of 1005 participants had a final liver stiffness of at least 8·0 kPa; 29 (2·9%) had values greater than 12·0 kPa.

INTERPRETATION

Simultaneous examination with VCTE alongside retina scanning had a high acceptance rate among people with type 2 diabetes and could be a strategy for case-finding of people with fibrosis due to metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease. However, a high proportion of participants in our study with elevated liver stiffness measurement at the screening visit did not have an elevated liver stiffness measurement at secondary evaluation, suggesting false-positive findings were common.

FUNDING

Gilead Sciences, Pfizer, Region Stockholm, Åke Wiberg Foundation, and Bengt Ihre Foundation.

Evaluating Pediatric NAFLD with Controlled Attenuation Parameter: A Comprehensive Narrative Review

Non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) in the pediatric population has emerged as a significant health concern due to its alarming rise in prevalence. In children, the characteristics of the disease differ from those seen in adults. NAFLD may progress to more severe liver disease in children compared to adults with similar profiles. Liver biopsy remains the gold standard for diagnosis; its invasive nature and high cost limit its use as a first-line tool. Alternatively, magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) techniques, such as magnetic resonance imaging-estimated liver proton density fat fraction (MRI-PDFF), have shown a good correlation with the degree of histological steatosis, although their use is limited by high costs and limited accessibility. Controlled attenuation parameter (CAP), integrated with vibration-controlled transient elastography (VCTE) (FibroScan®), is a novel non-invasive, accessible, and effective method for diagnosing hepatic steatosis. In this article, we reviewed the existing literature on the diagnostic accuracy of CAP in pediatric NAFLD. The PubMed and EMBASE databases were searched. Seven relevant studies were identified, conducted in pediatric hospital populations with specific demographic characteristics. Two of these studies compared CAP with liver biopsy, one compared CAP with liver biopsy and MRI-PDFF, and the remaining four compared CAP with MRI. Overall, CAP proved to be accurate in detecting the presence or absence of fatty infiltration, positioning it as a promising tool to simplify the diagnosis of NAFLD in children. However, further studies in larger populations are needed to confirm these findings and facilitate its implementation in routine clinical practice.

Estimating the prevalence of adults at risk for advanced hepatic fibrosis using FIB-4 in a Swiss tertiary care hospital

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Chronic liver diseases pose a serious public health issue. Identifying patients at risk for advanced liver fibrosis is crucial for early intervention. The Fibrosis-4 score (FIB-4), a simple non-invasive test, classifies patients into three risk groups for advanced fibrosis. This study aimed to estimate the prevalence of patients at risk for advanced hepatic fibrosis at a Swiss tertiary care hospital by calculating the FIB-4 score in routine blood analysis.

METHODS

A retrospective study was conducted using data from 36,360 patients who visited outpatient clinics at eight main clinics of the University Hospital Bern in Switzerland. The data collection period ran from January 1st to December 31st, 2022. Patients attending the hepatology outpatient clinic were excluded. We then calculated the overall and clinic-specific prevalence of patients falling into the high risk category for advanced fibrosis according to FIB-4.

RESULTS

Among the 36,360 patients, 26,245 (72.2%) had a low risk of advanced fibrosis (FIB-4 <1.3), whereas 3913 (10.8%) and 2597 (7.1%) patients were flagged to have a high risk of advanced fibrosis (FIB-4 >2.67 and FIB-4 >3.25 respectively). Geriatrics and Cardiology had the highest proportions of patients at risk for advanced fibrosis over all clinics.

CONCLUSIONS

This study demonstrates a high prevalence of high FIB-4 score in a Swiss tertiary care hospital. The implementation of the automatically generated FIB-4 score in daily practice, not only in primary care, but also within tertiary care hospitals, could be crucial for early identification of outpatients at high risk of advanced liver fibrosis requiring further hepatological investigations.

Prognostic performance of the two-step clinical care pathway in metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Current guidelines recommend a two-step approach for risk stratification in patients with metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD) involving Fibrosis-4 index (FIB-4) followed by liver stiffness measurement (LSM) by vibration-controlled transient elastography (VCTE) or similar second-line tests. This study aimed to examine the prognostic performance of this approach.

METHODS

The VCTE-Prognosis study was a longitudinal study of patients with MASLD who had undergone VCTE examinations at 16 centres from the US, Europe and Asia with subsequent follow-up for clinical events. The primary endpoint was incident liver-related events (LREs), defined as hepatic decompensation and/or hepatocellular carcinoma.

RESULTS

Of 12,950 patients (mean age 52 years, 41% female, 12.1% LSM >12 kPa), baseline FIB-4, at cut-offs of 1.3 (or 2.0 for age ≥65) and 2.67, classified 66.3% as low-risk and 9.8% as high-risk, leaving 23.9% in the intermediate-risk zone. After classifying intermediate FIB-4 patients as low-risk if LSM was <8.0 kPa and high-risk if LSM was >12.0 kPa, 81.5%, 4.6%, and 13.9% of the full cohort were classified as low-, intermediate-, and high-risk, respectively. At a median (IQR) follow-up of 47 (23-72) months, 248 (1.9%) patients developed LREs. The 5-year cumulative incidence of LREs was 0.5%, 1.0% and 10.8% in the low-, intermediate- and high-risk groups, respectively. Replacing LSM with Agile 3+, Agile 4, and FAST did not reduce the intermediate-risk zone or improve event prediction. Classifying intermediate FIB-4 patients by LSM <10 kPa (low-risk) and >15 kPa (high-risk) reduced the intermediate-risk zone while maintaining predictive performance.

CONCLUSIONS

The non-invasive two-step approach of FIB-4 followed by LSM is effective in classifying patients at different risks of LREs.

IMPACT AND IMPLICATIONS

Metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD) is emerging as one of the leading causes of cirrhosis and hepatocellular carcinoma worldwide, but only a minority of patients will develop these complications. Therefore, it is necessary to use non-invasive tests instead of liver biopsy for risk stratification. Additionally, as most patients with MASLD are seen in primary care instead of specialist settings, cost and availability of the tests should be taken into consideration. In this multicentre study, the use of the Fibrosis-4 index followed by liver stiffness measurement by vibration-controlled transient elastography effectively identified patients who would later develop liver-related events. The results support current recommendations by various regional guidelines on a clinical care pathway based on non-invasive tests to diagnose advanced liver fibrosis.

Golgi protein 73: charting new territories in diagnosing significant fibrosis in MASLD: a prospective cross-sectional study

Objectives

To explore the correlation between serum Golgi protein 73 (GP73) levels and the degree of fibrosis in Metabolic dysfunction associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD); to establish a non-invasive diagnostic algorithm based on serum GP73 and liver elasticity.

Methods

This is a prospective cross-sectional study, including 228 patients diagnosed with MASLD from May 2018 to January 2024 at two tertiary hospitals. Clinical data and hepatic pathological features and the correlation between serum GP73 and liver fibrosis were assessed. A new algorithm was conducted after logistic regression. Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) curve was used to compare its diagnostic performance with traditional models.

Results

Significant fibrosis was diagnosed in 37.2% (85/228) patients. Serum GP73 levels were markedly higher in patients with significant fibrosis than in those without (128 ng/mL v.s 46 ng/mL, p< 0.001). Serum GP73 levels independently predicted significant liver fibrosis (adjusted odds ratio, aOR 1.028, p< 0.001). A new algorithm based on GP73 was developed with a higher area under ROC (AUC) of 0.840 than that of Fibrosis index-4 (p< 0.001).

Conclusions

Serum GP73 is an independent risk factor for significant liver fibrosis in MASLD, and the GFA (GP73-Fibroscan-Age) model has good diagnostic efficacy for significant liver fibrosis.

The role of noninvasive biomarkers for monitoring cell injury in advanced liver fibrosis

INTRODUCTION

Accurate and reliable diagnosis and monitoring of hepatic fibrosis is increasingly important given the variable natural history in chronic liver disease (CLD) and expanding antifibrotic therapeutic options targeting reversibility of early-stage cirrhosis. This highlights the need to develop more refined and effective noninvasive techniques for the dynamic assessment of fibrogenesis and fibrolysis.

AREAS COVERED

We conducted a literature review on PubMed, from 1 December 1970, to 1 November 2024, to evaluate and compare available blood-based and imaging-based noninvasive tools for hepatic fibrosis diagnosis and monitoring. Simple scores such as FIB-4 and NAFLD fibrosis score are suitable for excluding significant or advanced fibrosis, while tertiary centers should adopt complex scores and liver stiffness measurement as part of a secondary diagnostic and more comprehensive evaluation. Moreover, the advent of multiomics for high-resolution molecular profiling, and integration of artificial intelligence for noninvasive diagnostics holds promise for revolutionizing fibrosis monitoring and treatment through novel biomarker discovery and predictive omics-based algorithms.

EXPERT OPINION

The increased shift toward noninvasive diagnostics for liver fibrosis needs to align with personalized medicine, enabling more effective, tailored management strategies for patients with liver disease in the future.

Higher FIB-4 index at baseline predicts development of liver cancer in a community-based cohort with viral hepatitis

Hepatitis B and C (HBV and HCV) testing has been performed in Japan since 2002 and is subsidized by central and prefectural governments. A follow-up program for HBV- or HCV-infected persons was started at that time in Ishikawa Prefecture. This study analyzed the long-term follow-up data from this program. In total, 1029 participants in the Ishikawa Hepatitis Follow-up Program (HBV-infected, n = 535; HCV-infected, n = 494) were enrolled. Clinical data between the first visit and the most recent visit by March 2019 were collected. In the HBV-infected group, 384 persons (71.8%) were asymptomatic carriers, 133 (24.9%) developed chronic hepatitis, 15 (2.8%) developed compensated liver cirrhosis, and 3 (0.6%) developed decompensated liver cirrhosis. Ninety (16.8%) were treated with nucleotide/nucleoside analogs. Sixteen (3.0%) developed liver cancer. In the HCV-infected group, 427 persons (86.4%) developed chronic hepatitis, 46 (9.3%) developed compensated liver cirrhosis, and 21 (4.3%) developed decompensated liver cirrhosis. Forty-eight (9.7%) developed liver cancer. Three hundred and seventy-eight (76.5%) received antiviral therapy (a direct-acting antiviral in 166, interferon-based treatment followed by a direct-acting antiviral in 73, and interferon-based treatment in 139). The subsidy system was used by 270 persons (71.4%). Sustained virological response was confirmed in 340 persons (68.8%). A higher FIB-4 index at the first visit was a significant risk factor for liver cancer in HBV-infected and HCV-infected persons. The Ishikawa Hepatitis Follow-up Program has revealed the clinical course of HBV and HCV infection in community-dwelling individuals. The results will be used for micro-elimination at a prefectural level.

Utility of Quantitative Assessment of Tc-99m-diethylenetriamine-penta-acetic acid-galactosyl Human Serum Albumin SPECT/CT in the Identification of Severe Liver Fibrosis: Its Complementary Diagnostic Value with Other Liver Function Indices

PURPOSE

To evaluate the value of Tc-99m-diethylenetriamine-penta-acetic acid-galactosyl human serum albumin (99mTc-GSA) single photon emission computed tomography (SPECT) for assessing liver fibrosis, and to assess its complementary value to other liver function indices such as fibrosis-4 (FIB-4) index and indocyanine green (ICG) clearance test parameters (ICG-R15 and ICG-K).

PROCEDURES

Seventy-eight patients with chronic liver disease and hepatocellular carcinoma who underwent 99mTc-GSA scintigraphy and other liver function tests including ICG test and FIB-4 index prior to hepatectomy were studied. 99mTc-GSA imaging was performed with SPECT/CT scanner (Discovery NM/CT 670). Immediately after injection of 99mTc-GSA, dynamic imaging was performed for 20 min, followed by SPECT data acquisition for 6 min. LHL15 which is a conventional index by 99mTc-GSA planar images, and liver uptake ration (LUR) was measured from 99mTc-GSA SPECT images. From the liver resection specimens, the degree of liver fibrosis was graded according to the Ludwig scale (F0-4).

RESULTS

Significant differences in LUR, LHL15, ICG-R15, ICG-K, platelet count and FIB-4 index were found between the F0-3 and F4 liver fibrosis patient groups (P < 0.05). Multivariate logistic regression analysis revealed that LUR and ICG-K were independent factors for identifying severe liver fibrosis (F4). Area under the curve of receiver operating curve analysis for the logistic regression model using LUR and ICG-K was 0.83. In the patient group with higher FIB-4 (≥ 3.16), the diagnostic performance of LUR for detecting severe liver fibrosis was significantly better than LHL15 (AUC: 0.83 vs. 0.75, P = 0.048). In the high FIB-4 index group, the sensitivity and specificity for identifying F4 was 88% and 85%, respectively, with LUR cutoff value of 41.2%.

CONCLUSIONS

LUR, measured by 99mTc-GSA SPECT, is a useful indicator for identifying sever liver fibrosis. Particularly in patients with high FIB-4 index (≥ 3.16), LUR can be a valuable indicator to identify severe liver fibrosis with high diagnostic accuracy.

Noninvasive tools for the assessment of fibrosis in metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease

Metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD), previously nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD), is the number one chronic liver disorder worldwide. Progression to advanced fibrosis marks the emergence of a significant risk of liver-related negative outcomes. However, only a minority of patients will present at this stage. Since widespread liver biopsy in unfeasible at such high disease prevalence, there was a need to develop noninvasive tests (NITs) that could easily and reliably be applied to patients with MASLD, regardless of clinical setting. The NITs include simple scores, like the fibrosis-4 (FIB-4) Index, patented serum tests, like the Enhanced Liver Fibrosis test (ELF™), and imaging-based modalities, like the vibration-controlled transient elastography (VCTE). Guidelines suggests a stepwise approach that utilizes more than one NIT, with FIB-4 <1.30 being used as a first step to rule out patients that do not need further testing. Subsequent choice of NIT will be influenced by setting, cost, and local availability. While these NITs are accurate, they are not perfect. As such, research is ongoing. A promising avenue is that of omics, a group of technologies that provide concomitant results on a large number of molecules (and other variables). With the advance of artificial intelligence, new NITs may arise from large demographic, biochemical, and radiological data sets.

Association Between Noninvasive Liver Fibrosis Scores and Heart Failure in a General Population

BACKGROUND

The association between nonalcoholic fatty liver disease and cardiovascular disease is firmly established, yet the association between noninvasive liver fibrosis scores and cardiovascular events remains a topic of uncertainty. Our study aimed to explore the association between liver fibrosis and heart failure.

METHODS AND RESULTS

The data set was from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey 2011 to 2018. Advanced hepatic fibrosis risk was assessed through 3 noninvasive liver fibrosis scores: Fibrosis-4 score (FIB-4), the nonalcoholic fatty liver disease fibrosis score (NFS), and the aspartate aminotransferase to platelet ratio index (APRI). We included 19 695 eligible participants. The national prevalence of advanced liver fibrosis risk in the United States was 4.20%, 8.06%, and 0.35% as determined by FIB-4, NFS, and APRI scores, respectively. Weighted logistic regression analysis revealed significant associations between advanced liver fibrosis risk and the prevalence of heart failure (continuous variables, FIB-4: odds ratio [OR], 1.15 [95% CI, 1.07-1.23]; NFS: OR, 1.42 [95% CI, 1.23-1.64]; APRI: OR, 1.44 [95% CI, 1.15-1.81]). When the scores were assessed as categorical variables, the results were still significant (FIB-4 ≥2.67 versus FIB-4 <1.3: OR, 2.18 [95% CI, 1.47-3.24]; NFS ≥0.675 versus NFS <-1.455: OR, 2.53 [95% CI, 1.37-4.68]). Subgroup analysis found that the association between APRI and heart failure was stronger in female patients.

CONCLUSIONS

In the general US population, the prevalence of advanced liver fibrosis risk varied between 0.35% and 8.06% as indicated by noninvasive liver fibrosis scores. FIB-4, NFS, and APRI scores were linked to an elevated prevalence of heart failure.

NAFLD No More: A Review of Current Guidelines in the Diagnosis and Evaluation of Metabolic Dysfunction-Associated Steatotic Liver Disease (MASLD)

PURPOSE OF REVIEW

Provide a concise update on metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD), formerly known as non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD), as well as a practical approach to screening and initial evaluation.

RECENT FINDINGS

Nomenclature changes have placed a greater focus on cardiometabolic risk factors in the definition of MASLD. Screening for MASLD is by stepwise noninvasive serum and imaging tests which can identify patients at risk for advanced fibrosis and liver-related complications. MASLD has been increasing in prevalence and disease burden but is underrecognized in primary care and endocrinology clinics. Multiple society guidelines, synthesized here, provide a framework for the initial approach in the diagnosis and evaluation of MASLD. Recent advances in pharmacologic treatment underline the importance of screening for patients who are at risk for advanced fibrosis as they are most likely to benefit from new drug classes, such as the liver-directed thyroid receptor agonist resmiterom.

A roadmap for clinical trials in MASH-related compensated cirrhosis

Although metabolic dysfunction-associated steatohepatitis (MASH) is rapidly becoming a leading cause of cirrhosis worldwide, therapeutic options are limited and the number of clinical trials in MASH-related compensated cirrhosis is low as compared to those conducted in earlier disease stages. Moreover, designing clinical trials in MASH cirrhosis presents a series of challenges regarding the understanding and conceptualization of the natural history, regulatory considerations, inclusion criteria, recruitment, end points and trial duration, among others. The first international workshop on the state of the art and future direction of clinical trials in MASH-related compensated cirrhosis was held in April 2023 at Vall d'Hebron University Hospital in Barcelona (Spain) and was attended by a group of international experts on clinical trials from academia, regulatory agencies and industry, encompassing expertise in MASH, cirrhosis, portal hypertension, and regulatory affairs. The presented Roadmap summarizes important content of the workshop on current status, regulatory requirements and end points in MASH-related compensated cirrhosis clinical trials, exploring alternative study designs and highlighting the challenges that should be considered for upcoming studies on MASH cirrhosis.

Serial Liver Stiffness Measurement and Fibrosis-4 Scores in Metabolic Dysfunction-Associated Steatotic Liver Disease

BACKGROUND

In patients with metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD), there are limited data on how changes in FIB4 and liver stiffness measurement (LSM) correlate in non-biopsy cohorts.

AIMS

Our objective was to evaluate associations between changes in FIB4 and LSM in MASLD patients.

METHODS

We included MASLD patients with serial VCTE from 2015-2022. The primary predictors were change in FIB4 and presence of diabetes, obesity, and high alanine aminotransferase (ALT). The primary outcome, applied only to patients with LSM1 < 8 kPa, was incident significant fibrosis (SF) defined as a ≥ 20% increase in LSM2 vs. LSM1 and LSM2 ≥ 8 kPa. A secondary outcome was LSM progression with a similar definition but applied to all participants, not only those with LSM1 < 8 kPa.

RESULTS

Of 285 included patients, 216 had LSM1 < 8 kPa and were included in the primary analysis; of these, 34 (16%) had incident SF. Changes in FIB4 correlated with changes in LSM (R = 0.16, p = 0.016). Independent predictors of incident SF included comorbid diabetes mellitus (OR 2.43, 95% CI 1.04-6.56), obesity (OR 3.88, 95% CI 1.63-9.25), and baseline ALT ≥ 30 (OR 8.55, 95% CI 1.10-66.29). A model including ALT, diabetes, and obesity outperformed a model with FIB4 change alone.

CONCLUSION

Among patients with MASLD, changes in FIB4 correlated with changes in LSM but more significant correlates of incident significant fibrosis included diabetes mellitus, obesity, and high baseline ALT.

Prognostic significance of dynamic changes in liver stiffness measurement in patients with chronic hepatitis B and compensated advanced chronic liver disease

BACKGROUND AND AIM

Liver stiffness measurements (LSMs) are promising for monitoring disease progression or regression. We assessed the prognostic significance of dynamic changes in LSM over time on liver-related events (LREs) and death in patients with chronic hepatitis B (CHB) and compensated advanced chronic liver disease (cACLD).

METHODS

This retrospective study included 1272 patients with CHB and cACLD who underwent at least two measurements, including LSM and fibrosis score based on four factors (FIB-4). ΔLSM was defined as [(follow-up LSM - baseline LSM)/baseline LSM × 100]. We recorded LREs and all-cause mortality during a median follow-up time of 46 months. Hazard ratios (HRs) and confidence intervals (CIs) for outcomes were calculated using Cox regression.

RESULTS

Baseline FIB-4, baseline LSM, ΔFIB-4, ΔLSM, and ΔLSM/year were independently and simultaneously associated with LREs (adjusted HR, 1.04, 95% CI, 1.00-1.07; 1.02, 95% CI, 1.01-1.03; 1.06, 95% CI, 1.03-1.09; 1.96, 95% CI, 1.63-2.35, 1.02, 95% CI, 1.01-1.04, respectively). The baseline LSM combined with the ΔLSM achieved the highest Harrell's C (0.751), integrated AUC (0.776), and time-dependent AUC (0.737) for LREs. Using baseline LSM and ΔLSM, we proposed a risk stratification method to improve clinical applications. The risk proposed stratification based on LSM performed well in terms of prognosis: low risk (n = 390; reference), intermediate risk (n = 446; HR = 3.38), high risk (n = 272; HR = 5.64), and extremely high risk (n = 164; HR = 11.11).

CONCLUSIONS

Baseline and repeated noninvasive tests measurement allow risk stratification of patients with CHB and cACLD. Combining baseline and dynamic changes in the LSM improves prognostic prediction.

MAFLD in adults: non-invasive tests for diagnosis and monitoring of MAFLD

Metabolic dysfunction-associated fatty liver disease (MAFLD) is the liver manifestation of a metabolic syndrome and is highly prevalent in the general population. There has been significant progress in non-invasive tests for MAFLD, from the diagnosis of fatty liver and monitoring of liver fat content in response to intervention, to evaluation of liver fibrosis and its change over time, and from risk stratification of patients within the context of clinical care pathways, to prognostication. Various non-invasive tests have also been developed to assess for fibrotic metabolic dysfunction-associated steatohepatitis, which has emerged as an important diagnostic goal, particularly in the context of clinical trials. Non-invasive tests can be used to diagnose clinically significant portal hypertension so that intervention can be administered to reduce the risk of decompensation. Furthermore, the use of risk stratification algorithms can identify at-risk patients for hepatocellular carcinoma surveillance. Beyond the liver, various tests that evaluate cardiovascular disease risk, assess sarcopenia and measure patient reported outcomes, can be utilized to improve the care of patients with MAFLD. This review provides an up-to-date overview of these non-invasive tests and the limitations of liver biopsy in the management of patients with MAFLD.

Metabolic Dysfunction-associated Steatotic Liver Disease and Type 2 Diabetes: A Deadly Synergy

Type 2 diabetes (T2D) and metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD) are both facets of the metabolic syndrome, associated with obesity and insulin resistance. MASLD, a term that replaces non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD), occurs in up to 70% of people with T2D. Not only do T2D and MASLD commonly co-occur, but there is a synergistic, bidirectional relationship between these conditions, meaning that each affects the natural disease course of the other. As such, it is important for those caring for people with T2D to recognize the importance of this co-diagnosis. In this summary, we detail the synergistic relationship between T2D and MASLD, explain the current challenges in recognizing this common co-diagnosis and suggest practical approaches for those caring for people with T2D to improve the diagnosis and treatment of MASLD.

Natural history and progression of metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease

The natural history of metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD), previously referred to as non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD), is complex and long. A minority of patients develop inflammation and risk progressive fibrosis that can result in cirrhosis. Progression to cirrhosis occurs in 3-5% of patients and often takes more than 20 years. This narrative review presents an update on the natural history of MASLD, discussing studies and risk estimates for progression to severe outcomes, such as decompensated cirrhosis or hepatocellular carcinoma. We highlight the dynamic progression of liver damage, how to identify patients whose disease progresses over time, and how risk factors might be mitigated to reduce the risk for disease progression.

FIB-4 as a Time-varying Covariate and Its Association With Severe Liver Disease in Primary Care: A Time-dependent Cox Regression Analysis

BACKGROUND AND GOALS

The Fibrosis-4 Index (FIB-4) has demonstrated a strong association with severe liver disease (SLD) outcomes in primary care, but previous studies have only evaluated this relationship using 1 or 2 FIB-4 scores. In this study, we determined the association of FIB-4 as a time-varying covariate with SLD risk using time-dependent Cox regression models.

STUDY

This retrospective cohort study included primary care patients with at least 2 FIB-4 scores between 2012 and 2021. The outcome was the occurrence of an SLD event, a composite of cirrhosis, complications of cirrhosis, hepatocellular carcinoma, and liver transplantation. The primary predictor was FIB-4 advanced fibrosis risk, categorized as low-(<1.3), indeterminate-(1.3≤FIB to 4<2.67), and high-risk (≥2.67). FIB-4 scores were calculated and the index, last, and maximum FIB-4s were identified. Time-dependent Cox regression models were used to estimate hazard ratios (HR) and their corresponding 95% CI with adjustment for potentially confounding covariates.

RESULTS

In the cohort, 20,828 patients had a median of 5 (IQR: 3 to 11) FIB-4 scores each and 3% (n=667) suffered an SLD outcome during follow-up. Maximum FIB-4 scores were indeterminate-risk for 34% (7149) and high-risk for 24% (4971) of the sample, and 32% (6692) of patients had an increase in fibrosis risk category compared with their index value. The adjusted Cox regression model demonstrated an association between indeterminate- (hazard ratio 3.21; 95% CI 2.33-4.42) and high-risk (hazard ratio 20.36; 95% CI 15.03-27.57) FIB-4 scores with SLD outcomes.

CONCLUSIONS

Multiple FIB-4 values per patient are accessible in primary care, FIB-4 fibrosis risk assessments change over time, and high-risk FIB-4 scores (≥2.67) are strongly associated with severe liver disease outcomes when accounting for FIB-4 as a time-varying variable.

The Predictive Value of Time-Varying Noninvasive Scores on Long-Term Prognosis of NAFLD in South Korea

Background

This study aimed to examine whether repeated measurements on noninvasive fibrosis scores during follow-up improve long-term nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) outcome prediction.

Methods

A cohort study of 2,280 NAFLD patients diagnosed at the Seoul National University Hospital from 2001 to 2015 was conducted. Multivariable Cox regression models with baseline and designated time-point measurements of the fibrosis-4 index (FIB-4) and NAFLD fibrosis score (NFS) were used to assess the association between these scores and overall mortality, liver-related outcomes, and cardiovascular events.

Results

Higher baseline NFS (high versus low probability for advanced fibrosis groups) was associated with higher risk of mortality (adjusted hazard ratio (aHR), (95% confidence interval (CI)), 2.80, [1.39-5.63]) and liver-related outcomes (3.70, [1.27-10.78]). Similar findings were observed for the association of baseline FIB-4 with mortality (2.49, [1.46-4.24]) and liver-related outcomes (11.50, [6.17-21.44]). In models considering designated time-point measurements of the scores, stronger associations were noted. For NFS, a higher time-point measurement was associated with a significantly higher risk of mortality (3.01, [1.65-5.49]) and liver-related outcomes (6.69, [2.62-17.06]). For FIB-4, higher time-point measurements were associated with significantly higher mortality (3.01, [1.88-4.82]) and liver-related outcomes (13.26, [6.89-25.53]). An annual increase in FIB-4 (2.70, [1.79-4.05]) or NFS (4.68, [1.52-14.44]) was associated with an increased risk of liver-related outcomes. No association between NFS/FIB-4 and risk of cardiovascular events was observed in both models.

Conclusions

Higher aHRs describing the associations of FIB-4/NFS with overall mortality and liver-related outcomes were observed in the models that included designated time-point measurements of the scores. In addition to the baseline measurement, a routine monitoring on these scores may be important in predicting prognosis of NAFLD patients.

Early screening for chronic liver disease: impact of a FIB-4 first integrated care pathway to identify patients with significant fibrosis

Liver fibrosis is often undetected whereas it is the determinant of liver-related mortality. We evaluate a pathway based on the systematic calculation of FIB-4 to screen for advanced hepatic fibrosis. Systematic calculation of FIB-4 was implemented in the centralized laboratory of a French University Hospital in 4 pilot departments. If ≥ 2.67, the FIB-4 result was returned to the prescribers, for patients between 18 and 70 years of age, with an incentive to measure liver stiffness by vibration controlled transient elastography. During a 2-years period, a FIB-4 was calculated in 2963 patients and 135 were ≥ 2.67 (4.6%). After exclusion of patients with a known cause of elevated FIB-4, 47 patients (34.8%) were eligible for elastography. Forty patients underwent elastography, but only 15% (7/47) at the spontaneous request of the referring physician. Fifteen patients were identified with significant fibrosis, among which 8 attended the scheduled specialist consultation, all with a confirmed diagnosis of cirrhosis. A sequential pathway based on the systematic calculation of FIB-4 enables the identification of patients with significant unknown liver fibrosis, allowing to refer them to specialized care. Raising awareness is essential to improve the care pathway.

EASL-EASD-EASO Clinical Practice Guidelines on the management of metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD)

Metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD), previously termed non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD), is defined as steatotic liver disease (SLD) in the presence of one or more cardiometabolic risk factor(s) and the absence of harmful alcohol intake. The spectrum of MASLD includes steatosis, metabolic dysfunction-associated steatohepatitis (MASH, previously NASH), fibrosis, cirrhosis and MASH-related hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). This joint EASL-EASD-EASO guideline provides an update on definitions, prevention, screening, diagnosis and treatment for MASLD. Case-finding strategies for MASLD with liver fibrosis, using non-invasive tests, should be applied in individuals with cardiometabolic risk factors, abnormal liver enzymes, and/or radiological signs of hepatic steatosis, particularly in the presence of type 2 diabetes (T2D) or obesity with additional metabolic risk factor(s). A stepwise approach using blood-based scores (such as FIB-4) and, sequentially, imaging techniques (such as transient elastography) is suitable to rule-out/in advanced fibrosis, which is predictive of liver-related outcomes. In adults with MASLD, lifestyle modification - including weight loss, dietary changes, physical exercise and discouraging alcohol consumption - as well as optimal management of comorbidities - including use of incretin-based therapies (e.g. semaglutide, tirzepatide) for T2D or obesity, if indicated - is advised. Bariatric surgery is also an option in individuals with MASLD and obesity. If locally approved and dependent on the label, adults with non-cirrhotic MASH and significant liver fibrosis (stage ≥2) should be considered for a MASH-targeted treatment with resmetirom, which demonstrated histological effectiveness on steatohepatitis and fibrosis with an acceptable safety and tolerability profile. No MASH-targeted pharmacotherapy can currently be recommended for the cirrhotic stage. Management of MASH-related cirrhosis includes adaptations of metabolic drugs, nutritional counselling, surveillance for portal hypertension and HCC, as well as liver transplantation in decompensated cirrhosis.

Editorial: Genetics for non-invasive risk stratification-Finding the needle in the haystack?

This article is linked to Bridi et al papers. To view these articles, visit https://doi.org/10.1111/apt.18099 and https://doi.org/10.1111/apt.18129

Use of PNPLA3, TM6SF2, and HSD17B13 for detection of fibrosis in MASLD in the general population

BACKGROUND

Genetic testing can be used to evaluate disease risk. We evaluated if the use of three Single Nucleotide Polymorphisms (SNPs), alone or combined into a genetic risk score (GRS), can aid identify significant fibrosis in subjects with metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD).

METHODS

We assessed three known risk variants: PNPLA3 rs738409, TM6SF2 rs58542926, and HSD17B13 rs72613567. The study included 414 adult individuals invited from the Danish population, who were defined as at-risk of MASLD due to elevated ALT and body mass index (BMI) >25 kg/m2. Participants were assessed clinically and by the Fibrosis-4 (FIB-4) index and Fibroscan.

RESULTS

In total, 17 participants (4.1 %) had alcohol-related liver disease, 79 (19.1 %) had no evidence of liver disease, and four (1.0 %) were diagnosed with other liver diseases, including malignant disease. The remaining 314 participants (75.8 %) were diagnosed with MASLD. Of the 27 who underwent a liver biopsy for suspected fibrosis, 15 had significant fibrosis (≥F2) and 12 had no/mild fibrosis (F0/F1). The GRS was not associated with significant fibrosis (p = 0.09) but PNPLA3 was with an odds ratio of 6.75 (95 % CI 1.29 - 50.7; p = 0.039) risk allele CG/GG versus CC. The diagnostic accuracy of PNPLA3 combined with an increased Fib-4 (>1.3) was excellent for detecting significant fibrosis with a sensitivity of 1.00 (95 % CI 0.72-1.00), but the specificity was no better than for FIB-4 alone.

CONCLUSIONS

This study found no evidence to support the use of GRS for diagnosing significant fibrosis in MASLD. However, the combination of PNPLA3 and Fib-4 increased sensitivity considerably. In addition, ALT remains a useful tool for screening diagnosing other liver diseases than MASLD.

The prognostic value of metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease in acute myocardial infarction: A propensity score-matched analysis

AIM

Patients with metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD) are at increased risk of incident cardiovascular disease. However, the clinical characteristics and prognostic importance of MASLD in patients presenting with acute myocardial infarction (AMI) have yet to be examined.

METHODS

This study compared the characteristics and outcomes of patients with and without MASLD presenting with AMI at a tertiary centre in Singapore. MASLD was defined as hepatic steatosis, with at least one of five metabolic criteria. Hepatic steatosis was determined using the Hepatic Steatosis Index. Propensity score matching was performed to adjust for age and sex. The Kaplan-Meier curve was constructed for long-term all-cause mortality. Cox regression analysis was used to investigate independent predictors of long-term all-cause mortality.

RESULTS

In this study of 4446 patients with AMI, 2223 patients with MASLD were matched with patients without MASLD using propensity scores. The mean follow-up duration was 3.4 ± 2.4 years. The MASLD group had higher rates of obesity, diabetes and chronic kidney disease than their counterparts. Patients with MASLD had early excess all-cause mortality (6.8% vs. 3.6%, p < .001) at 30 days, with unfavourable mortality rates sustained in the long-term (18.3% vs. 14.5%, p = .001) compared with those without MASLD. After adjustment, MASLD remained independently associated with higher long-term all-cause mortality (hazard ratio 1.330, 95% confidence interval 1.106-1.598, p = .002).

CONCLUSION

MASLD embodies a higher burden of metabolic dysfunction and is an independent predictor of long-term mortality in the AMI population. Its early identification may be beneficial for risk stratification and provide therapeutic targets for secondary preventive strategies in AMI.

An Electronic Health Record Model for Predicting Risk of Hepatic Fibrosis in Primary Care Patients

BACKGROUND

One challenge for primary care providers caring for patients with nonalcoholic fatty liver disease is to identify those at the highest risk for clinically significant liver disease.

AIM

To derive a risk stratification tool using variables from structured electronic health record (EHR) data for use in populations which are disproportionately affected with obesity and diabetes.

METHODS

We used data from 344 participants who underwent Fibroscan examination to measure liver fat and liver stiffness measurement [LSM]. Using two approaches, multivariable logistic regression and random forest classification, we assessed risk factors for any hepatic fibrosis (LSM > 7 kPa) and significant hepatic fibrosis (> 8 kPa). Possible predictors included data from the EHR for age, gender, diabetes, hypertension, FIB-4, body mass index (BMI), LDL, HDL, and triglycerides.

RESULTS

Of 344 patients (56.4% women), 34 had any hepatic fibrosis, and 15 significant hepatic fibrosis. Three variables (BMI, FIB-4, diabetes) were identified from both approaches. When we used variable cut-offs defined by Youden's index, the final model predicting any hepatic fibrosis had an AUC of 0.75 (95% CI 0.67-0.84), NPV of 91.5% and PPV of 40.0%. The final model with variable categories based on standard clinical thresholds (i.e., BMI ≥ 30 kg/m2; FIB-4 ≥ 1.45) had lower discriminatory ability (AUC 0.65), but higher PPV (50.0%) and similar NPV (91.3%). We observed similar findings for predicting significant hepatic fibrosis.

CONCLUSIONS

Our results demonstrate that standard thresholds for clinical risk factors/biomarkers may need to be modified for greater discriminatory ability among populations with high prevalence of obesity and diabetes.

Screening patients in general practice for advanced chronic liver disease using an innovative IT solution: The Liver Toolkit

BACKGROUND

Identifying patients with undiagnosed advanced chronic liver disease (ACLD) is a public health challenge. Patients with advanced fibrosis or compensated cirrhosis have much better outcomes than those with decompensated disease and may be eligible for interventions to prevent disease progression.

METHODS

A cloud-based software solution ("the Liver Toolkit") was developed to access primary care practice software to identify patients at risk of ACLD. Clinical history and laboratory results were extracted to calculate aspartate aminotransferase-to-platelet ratio index and fibrosis 4 scores. Patients identified were recalled for assessment, including Liver Stiffness Measurement (LSM) via transient elastography. Those with an existing diagnosis of cirrhosis were excluded.

RESULTS

Existing laboratory results of more than 32,000 adults across nine general practices were assessed to identify 703 patients at increased risk of ACLD (2.2% of the cohort). One hundred seventy-nine patients (26%) were successfully recalled, and 23/179 (13%) were identified to have ACLD (LSM ≥10.0 kPa) (10% found at indeterminate risk [LSM 8.0-9.9 kPa] and 77% low risk of fibrosis [LSM <8.0 kPa]). In most cases, the diagnosis of liver disease was new, with the most common etiology being metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (n=20, 83%). Aspartate aminotransferase-to-platelet ratio index ≥1.0 and fibrosis 4 ≥3.25 had a positive predictive value for detecting ACLD of 19% and 24%, respectively. Patients who did not attend recall had markers of more severe disease with a higher median aspartate aminotransferase-to-platelet ratio index score (0.57 vs. 0.46, p=0.041).

CONCLUSIONS

This novel information technology system successfully screened a large primary care cohort using existing laboratory results to identify patients at increased risk ACLD. More than 1 in 5 patients recalled were found to have liver disease requiring specialist follow-up.

Screening for liver fibrosis: lessons from colorectal and lung cancer screening

Many countries have incorporated population screening programmes for cancer, such as colorectal and lung cancer, into their health-care systems. Cirrhosis is more prevalent than colorectal cancer and has a comparable age-standardized mortality rate to lung cancer. Despite this fact, there are no screening programmes in place for early detection of liver fibrosis, the precursor of cirrhosis. In this Perspective, we use insights from colorectal and lung cancer screening to explore the benefits, challenges, implementation strategies and pathways for future liver fibrosis screening initiatives. Several non-invasive methods and referral pathways for early identification of liver fibrosis exist, but in addition to accurate detection, screening programmes must also be cost-effective and demonstrate benefit through a reduction in liver-related mortality. Randomized controlled trials are needed to confirm this. Future randomized screening trials should evaluate not only the screening tests, but also interventions used to halt disease progression in individuals identified through screening.

Clinical and genetic risk factors for progressive fibrosis in metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease

BACKGROUND

Fibrosis-4 (FIB4) is a recommended noninvasive test to assess hepatic fibrosis among patients with metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD). Here, we used FIB4 trajectory over time (ie, "slope" of FIB4) as a surrogate marker of liver fibrosis progression and examined if FIB4 slope is associated with clinical and genetic factors among individuals with clinically defined MASLD within the Million Veteran Program Cohort.

METHODS

In this retrospective cohort study, FIB4 slopes were estimated through linear regression for participants with clinically defined MASLD and FIB4 <2.67 at baseline. FIB4 slope was correlated with demographic parameters and clinical outcomes using logistic regression and Cox proportional hazard models. FIB4 slope as a quantitative phenotype was used in a genome-wide association analysis in ancestry-specific analysis and multiancestry meta-analysis using METAL.

RESULTS

FIB4 slopes, generated from 98,361 subjects with MASLD (16,045 African, 74,320 European, and 7996 Hispanic), showed significant associations with sex, ancestry, and cardiometabolic risk factors (p < 0.05). FIB4 slopes also correlated strongly with hepatic outcomes and were independently associated with time to cirrhosis. Five genetic loci showed genome-wide significant associations (p < 5 × 10-8) with FIB4 slope among European ancestry subjects, including 2 known (PNPLA3 and TM6SF2) and 3 novel loci (TERT 5.1 × 10-11; LINC01088, 3.9 × 10-8; and MRC1, 2.9 × 10-9).

CONCLUSIONS

Linear trajectories of FIB4 correlated significantly with time to progression to cirrhosis, with liver-related outcomes among individuals with MASLD and with known and novel genetic loci. FIB4 slope may be useful as a surrogate measure of fibrosis progression.

Non-Invasive Biomarkers for Differentiating Alcohol Associated Hepatitis from Acute Decompensation in Patients with ALD

Alcohol-associated hepatitis (AH) is the most severe form of alcohol-related liver disease. The natural course of alcohol-related liver disease is influenced by heavy alcohol consumption and abstinence periods. Differentiating between AH and decompensated cirrhosis (DC) could be extremely challenging in clinical practice due to clinical and bioclinical similarities. The severity of AH is made on bioclinical grounds, the severe form necessitating corticotherapy treatment. Liver biopsy is still the standard of care for establishing the diagnosis in atypical presentations. The pathogenesis of AH is an interplay between gene expression, cytokine dysregulation, the immune system and the gut microbiota. Non-invasive tests are increasingly and widely used for the purpose of early diagnosis and reliable prognostication. The non-invasive tests are emerging in concordance with disease pathogenesis. In this review, we describe the non-invasive tools that can distinguish AH from DC. We outline the available cut-offs and their performance in diagnosis and prognosis, as well as in assessing the treatment response to corticotherapy. Promising circulating biomarkers like keratin 18, microRNAs and sphingolipids will be in the review.

LiverRisk score: An accurate, cost-effective tool to predict fibrosis, liver-related, and diabetes-related mortality in the general population

BACKGROUND

Noninvasive and early assessment of liver fibrosis is of great significance and is challenging. We aimed to evaluate the predictive performance and cost-effectiveness of the LiverRisk score for liver fibrosis and liver-related and diabetes-related mortality in the general population.

METHODS

The general population from the NHANES 2017-March 2020, NHANES 1999-2018, and UK Biobank 2006-2010 were included in the cross-sectional cohort (n = 3,770), along with the NHANES follow-up cohort (n = 25,317) and the UK Biobank follow-up cohort (n = 17,259). The cost-effectiveness analysis was performed using TreeAge Pro software. Liver stiffness measurements ≥10 kPa were defined as compensated advanced chronic liver disease (cACLD).

FINDINGS

Compared to conventional scores, the LiverRisk score had significantly better accuracy and calibration in predicting liver fibrosis, with an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) of 0.76 (0.72-0.79) for cACLD. According to the updated thresholds of LiverRisk score (6 and 10), we reclassified the population into three groups: low, medium, and high risk. The AUCs of LiverRisk score for predicting liver-related and diabetes-related mortality at 5, 10, and 15 years were all above 0.8, with better performance than the Fibrosis-4 score. Furthermore, compared to the low-risk group, the medium-risk and high-risk groups in the two follow-up cohorts had a significantly higher risk of liver-related and diabetes-related mortality. Finally, the cost-effectiveness analysis showed that the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio for LiverRisk score compared to FIB-4 was USD $18,170 per additional quality-adjusted life-year (QALY) gained, below the willingness-to-pay threshold of $50,000/QALY.

CONCLUSIONS

The LiverRisk score is an accurate, cost-effective tool to predict liver fibrosis and liver-related and diabetes-related mortality in the general population.

FUNDING

The National Natural Science Foundation of China (nos. 82330060, 92059202, and 92359304); the Key Research and Development Program of Jiangsu Province (BE2023767a); the Fundamental Research Fund of Southeast University (3290002303A2); Changjiang Scholars Talent Cultivation Project of Zhongda Hospital of Southeast University (2023YJXYYRCPY03); and the Research Personnel Cultivation Program of Zhongda Hospital Southeast University (CZXM-GSP-RC125).

EASL-EASD-EASO Clinical Practice Guidelines on the Management of Metabolic Dysfunction-Associated Steatotic Liver Disease (MASLD)

Metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD), previously termed non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD), is defined as steatotic liver disease (SLD) in the presence of one or more cardiometabolic risk factor(s) and the absence of harmful alcohol intake. The spectrum of MASLD includes steatosis, metabolic dysfunction-associated steatohepatitis (MASH, previously NASH), fibrosis, cirrhosis and MASH-related hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). This joint EASL-EASD-EASO guideline provides an update on definitions, prevention, screening, diagnosis and treatment for MASLD. Case-finding strategies for MASLD with liver fibrosis, using non-invasive tests, should be applied in individuals with cardiometabolic risk factors, abnormal liver enzymes, and/or radiological signs of hepatic steatosis, particularly in the presence of type 2 diabetes (T2D) or obesity with additional metabolic risk factor(s). A stepwise approach using blood-based scores (such as FIB-4) and, sequentially, imaging techniques (such as transient elastography) is suitable to rule-out/in advanced fibrosis, which is predictive of liver-related outcomes. In adults with MASLD, lifestyle modification - including weight loss, dietary changes, physical exercise and discouraging alcohol consumption - as well as optimal management of comorbidities - including use of incretin-based therapies (e.g. semaglutide, tirzepatide) for T2D or obesity, if indicated - is advised. Bariatric surgery is also an option in individuals with MASLD and obesity. If locally approved and dependent on the label, adults with non-cirrhotic MASH and significant liver fibrosis (stage ≥2) should be considered for a MASH-targeted treatment with resmetirom, which demonstrated histological effectiveness on steatohepatitis and fibrosis with an acceptable safety and tolerability profile. No MASH-targeted pharmacotherapy can currently be recommended for the cirrhotic stage. Management of MASH-related cirrhosis includes adaptations of metabolic drugs, nutritional counselling, surveillance for portal hypertension and HCC, as well as liver transplantation in decompensated cirrhosis.

Surveillance of the liver in type 2 diabetes: important but unfeasible?

Fatty liver plays a pivotal role in the pathogenesis of the metabolic syndrome and type 2 diabetes. According to an updated classification, any individual with liver steatosis and one or more features of the metabolic syndrome, without excess alcohol consumption or other known causes of steatosis, has metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD). Up to 60-70% of all individuals with type 2 diabetes have MASLD. However, the prevalence of advanced liver fibrosis in type 2 diabetes remains uncertain, with reported estimates of 10-20% relying on imaging tests and likely overestimating the true prevalence. All stages of MASLD impact prognosis but fibrosis is the best predictor of all-cause and liver-related mortality risk. People with type 2 diabetes face a two- to threefold increase in the risk of liver-related death and hepatocellular carcinoma, with 1.3% progressing to severe liver disease over 7.7 years. Because reliable methods for detecting steatosis are lacking, MASLD mostly remains an incidental finding on imaging. Regardless, several medical societies advocate for universal screening of individuals with type 2 diabetes for advanced fibrosis. Proposed screening pathways involve annual calculation of the Fibrosis-4 (FIB-4) index, followed by a secondary test such as transient elastography (TE) for intermediate-to-high-risk individuals. However, owing to unsatisfactory biomarker specificity, these pathways are expected to channel approximately 40% of all individuals with type 2 diabetes to TE and 20% to tertiary care, with a false discovery rate of up to 80%, raising concerns about feasibility. There is thus an urgent need to develop more effective strategies for surveying the liver in type 2 diabetes. Nonetheless, weight loss through lifestyle changes, pharmacotherapy or bariatric surgery remains the cornerstone of management, proving highly effective not only for metabolic comorbidities but also for MASLD. Emerging evidence suggests that fibrosis biomarkers may serve as tools for risk-based targeting of weight-loss interventions and potentially for monitoring response to therapy.

Serum biomarkers for liver fibrosis assessment

Liver fibrosis is the result of chronic liver injury of different etiologies produced by an imbalance between the synthesis and degeneration of the extracellular matrix and dysregulation of physiological mechanisms. Liver has a high regenerative capacity in the early stage of chronic diseases so a prompt liver fibrosis detection is important. Consequently, an easy and economic tool that could identify patients with liver fibrosis at the initial stages is needed. To achieve this, many non-invasive serum direct, such as hyaluronic acid or metalloproteases, and indirect biomarkers have been proposed to evaluate liver fibrosis. Also, there have been developed formulas that combine these biomarkers, some of them also introduce clinical and/or demographic parameters, like FIB-4, non-alcoholic fatty liver disease fibrosis score (NFS), enhance liver fibrosis (ELF) or Hepamet fibrosis score (HFS). In this manuscript we critically reviewed different serum biomarkers and formulas for their utility in the diagnosis and progression of liver fibrosis.

Biomarcadores séricos para la evaluación de la fibrosis hepática

La fibrosis hepática se desarrolla como respuesta a la presencia de daño hepático crónico de diferentes etiologías, provocando un desequilibrio entre la síntesis y degeneración de la matriz extracelular y la desregulación de diversos mecanismos fisiológicos. En los estadios iniciales de las patologías crónicas, el hígado posee una elevada capacidad de regeneración, por lo que la detección temprana de la fibrosis hepática resulta esencial. En este contexto, es preciso contar con herramientas sencillas y económicas que permitan detectar la fibrosis hepática en sus fases iniciales. Para evaluar la fibrosis hepática, se han propuesto multitud de biomarcadores séricos no invasivos, tanto directos, como el ácido hialurónico o las metaloproteasas, como indirectos. Así mismo, se han desarrollado diversas fórmulas que combinan dichos biomarcadores junto con parámetros demográficos, como el índice FIB-4, el índice de fibrosis en la enfermedad de hígado graso no alcohólico (NFS, por sus siglas en inglés), la prueba ELF o el score de fibrosis Hepamet (HFS, por sus siglas en inglés). En el presente manuscrito, realizamos una revisión crítica del valor diagnóstico y pronóstico de los diferentes biomarcadores séricos y fórmulas actualmente existentes.

Lipoprotein(a) level predicts the development of nonalcoholic fatty liver disease in Korean adults: A retrospective longitudinal study

Nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is a highly prevalent condition in the general population. Although recent studies have demonstrated a link between NAFLD and lipoprotein(a), a low-density lipoprotein-like particle synthesized in the liver, its precise physiological role and mechanism of action remain unclear. This study aimed to investigate the relationship between lipoprotein(a) levels and development of NAFLD and hepatic fibrosis in Korean adults. A total of 1501 subjects who underwent abdominal ultrasonography at least twice as part of a health checkup program were enrolled. Biochemical and ultrasonography results were analyzed longitudinally, and the degree of hepatic fibrosis was calculated in subjects with NAFLD using serum biomarkers, such as fibrosis-4 (FIB-4). During the 3.36-year follow-up period, 352 patients (23.5%) were diagnosed with NAFLD. The subjects were categorized into 4 groups based on their lipoprotein(a) levels. Remarkably, the incidence of NAFLD decreased as the lipoprotein(a) levels increased. Following logistic regression analysis and adjustment for various risk factors, the odds ratio for the development of NAFLD was 0.625 (95% CI 0.440-0.888; P = .032) when comparing the highest to the lowest tertile of lipoprotein(a). However, no significant association was observed between the occurrence of hepatic fibrosis and lipoprotein(a) levels in subjects with NAFLD. Lipoprotein(a) levels have been identified as a significant predictor of NAFLD development. Additional large-scale studies with extended follow-up periods are required to better understand the effect of lipoprotein(a) on NAFLD and hepatic fibrosis.

Vibration-Controlled Transient Elastography Scores to Predict Liver-Related Events in Steatotic Liver Disease

IMPORTANCE

Metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD) is currently the most common chronic liver disease worldwide. It is important to develop noninvasive tests to assess the disease severity and prognosis.

OBJECTIVE

To study the prognostic implications of baseline levels and dynamic changes of the vibration-controlled transient elastography (VCTE)-based scores developed for the diagnosis of advanced fibrosis (Agile 3+) and cirrhosis (Agile 4) in patients with MASLD.

DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS

This cohort study included data from a natural history cohort of patients with MASLD who underwent VCTE examination at 16 tertiary referral centers in the US, Europe, and Asia from February 2004 to January 2023, of which the data were collected prospectively at 14 centers. Eligible patients were adults aged at least 18 years with hepatic steatosis diagnosed by histologic methods (steatosis in ≥5% of hepatocytes) or imaging studies (ultrasonography, computed tomography or magnetic resonance imaging, or controlled attenuation parameter ≥248 dB/m by VCTE).

MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES

The primary outcome was liver-related events (LREs), defined as hepatocellular carcinoma or hepatic decompensation (ascites, variceal hemorrhage, hepatic encephalopathy, or hepatorenal syndrome), liver transplant, and liver-related deaths. The Agile scores were compared with histologic and 8 other noninvasive tests.

RESULTS

A total of 16 603 patients underwent VCTE examination at baseline (mean [SD] age, 52.5 [13.7] years; 9600 [57.8%] were male). At a median follow-up of 51.7 (IQR, 25.2-85.2) months, 316 patients (1.9%) developed LREs. Both Agile 3+ and Agile 4 scores classified fewer patients between the low and high cutoffs than most fibrosis scores and achieved the highest discriminatory power in predicting LREs (integrated area under the time-dependent receiver-operating characteristic curve, 0.89). A total of 10 920 patients (65.8%) had repeated VCTE examination at a median interval of 15 (IQR, 11.3-27.7) months and were included in the serial analysis. A total of 81.9% of patients (7208 of 8810) had stable Agile 3+ scores and 92.6% of patients (8163 of 8810) had stable Agile 4 scores (same risk categories at both assessments). The incidence of LREs was 0.6 per 1000 person-years in patients with persistently low Agile 3+ scores and 30.1 per 1000 person-years in patients with persistently high Agile 3+ scores. In patients with high Agile 3+ score at baseline, a decrease in the score by more than 20% was associated with substantial reduction in the risk of LREs. A similar trend was observed for the Agile 4 score, although it missed more LREs in the low-risk group.

CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE

Findings of this study suggest that single or serial Agile scores are highly accurate in predicting LREs in patients with MASLD, making them suitable alternatives to liver biopsy in routine clinical practice and in phase 2b and 3 clinical trials for steatohepatitis.

Evaluating short-term and long-term liver fibrosis improvement in hepatitis C patients post-DAA treatment

Despite achieving a high cure rate with direct-acting antivirals (DAAs) in hepatitis C treatment, further research is needed to identify additional benefits of the DAA therapy. The current study evaluated liver fibrosis improvement in 848 hepatitis C patients treated with DAAs, who also achieved sustained virologic response (SVR). Using the fibrosis-4 (FIB-4) index, patients were categorized based on their baseline fibrosis level, and improvements in fibrosis were analyzed in both the short-term (9-26 weeks) and long-term (≥ 36 weeks) follow-up. The results showed a significant decrease in the FIB-4 index, indicating an improvement in liver fibrosis, in 63.00% of the patients during the short-term follow-up and 67.56% during the long-term follow-up. Short-term improvement was associated with factors including ribavirin (RBV) usage, blood cholinesterase levels, alanine transaminase levels, albumin levels, and the baseline FIB-4 index. Additionally, long-term improvement was associated with factors such as aspartate transaminase levels, total protein level, and the baseline FIB-4 index. The current study emphasizes the importance of continuous assessment and post-treatment monitoring of liver fibrosis, providing crucial insights for enhancing patient care in hepatitis C management.

Diagnosis and assessment of disease severity in patients with nonalcoholic fatty liver disease

Nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) includes simple steatosis, nonalcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH), fibrosis, and eventually cirrhosis and hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). The diagnosis of NAFLD is based on the detection of excess fat disposition in the liver, which is the first step to trigger further evaluation of NAFLD, including necroinflammation and fibrosis. In this review, we discuss non-invasive biomarkers and imaging tools that are currently and potentially available for different features (steatosis, necroinflammation and fibrosis) and disease severity assessment of NAFLD. In the past 2 decades, advances in non-invasive tests of fibrosis have transformed the management of NAFLD. Blood and imaging biomarkers have already been evaluated in multiple studies for the diagnosis of fibrosis and cirrhosis. Among the various histological features of NAFLD, the degree of fibrosis has the strongest correlation with liver-related morbidity and mortality. Non-invasive tests of fibrosis have been shown to predict liver-related outcomes, both in the general population and among patients with NAFLD. What is lacking, however, is good data to support the use of non-invasive tests as monitoring and response biomarkers. With the conclusion of several large phase 3 studies in the next few years, the availability of paired liver biopsy, non-invasive test and clinical outcome data will likely advance the field and shed light on new biomarkers and the way to use various non-invasive tests in a longitudinal manner.