Ethics of a partially effective dengue vaccine: Lessons from the Philippines

Perceptions of dengue risk and acceptability of a dengue vaccine in residents of Puerto Rico

Dengvaxia is the first dengue vaccine recommended in the United States (U.S.). It is recommended for children aged 9-16 y with laboratory-confirmed previous dengue infection and living in areas where dengue is endemic. We conducted focus groups with parents and in-depth interviews with key informants (i.e. practicing pediatricians, physicians from immunization clinics, university researchers, and school officials) in Puerto Rico (P.R.) to examine acceptability, barriers, and motivators to vaccinate with Dengvaxia. We also carried out informal meetings and semi-structured interviews to evaluate key messages and educational materials with pediatricians and parents. Barriers to vaccination included lack of information, distrust toward new vaccines, vaccine side effects and risks, and high cost of/lack of insurance coverage for laboratory tests and vaccines. Motivators included clear information about the vaccine, a desire to prevent future dengue infections, the experience of a previous dengue infection or awareness of dengue fatality, vaccine and laboratory tests covered by health insurance, availability of rapid test results and vaccine appointments. School officials and parents agreed parents would pay a deductible of $5-20 for Dengvaxia. For vaccine information dissemination, parents preferred an educational campaign through traditional media and social media, and one-on-one counseling of parents by healthcare providers. Education about this vaccine to healthcare providers will help them answer parents' questions. Dengvaxia acceptability in P.R. will increase by addressing motivators and barriers to vaccination and by disseminating vaccine information in plain language through spokespersons from health institutions in P.R.

A pre-vaccination immune metabolic interplay determines the protective antibody response to a dengue virus vaccine

Protective immunity to dengue virus (DENV) requires antibody response to all four serotypes. Systems vaccinology identifies a multi-OMICs pre-vaccination signature and mechanisms predictive of broad antibody responses after immunization with a tetravalent live attenuated DENV vaccine candidate (Butantan-DV/TV003). Anti-inflammatory pathways, including TGF-β signaling expressed by CD68low monocytes, and the metabolites phosphatidylcholine (PC) and phosphatidylethanolamine (PE) positively correlate with broadly neutralizing antibody responses against DENV. In contrast, expression of pro-inflammatory pathways and cytokines (IFN and IL-1) in CD68hi monocytes and primary and secondary bile acids negatively correlates with broad DENV-specific antibody responses. Induction of TGF-β and IFNs is done respectively by PC/PE and bile acids in CD68low and CD68hi monocytes. The inhibition of viral sensing by PC/PE-induced TGF-β is confirmed in vitro. Our studies show that the balance between metabolites and the pro- or anti-inflammatory state of innate immune cells drives broad and protective B cell response to a live attenuated dengue vaccine.

Envelope-dimer epitope-like broadly protective antibodies against dengue in children following natural infection and vaccination

Cross-reactive antibodies (Abs) to epitopes that span envelope proteins on the virion surface are hypothesized to protect against dengue. Here, we measured Abs targeting the quaternary envelope dimer epitope (EDE) as well as neutralizing and binding Abs and evaluate their association with dengue virus (DENV) infection, vaccine response, and disease outcome in dengue vaccinated and unvaccinated children (n=252) within a longitudinal cohort in Cebu, Philippines (n=2,996). Abs targeting EDE were prevalent and strongly associated with broad neutralization of DENV1-4 in those with baseline multitypic immunity. Subsequent natural infection and vaccination boosted EDE-like, neutralizing, and binding Abs. EDE-like Abs were associated with reduced dengue risk and mediated the protective effect of binding and neutralizing Abs on symptomatic and severe dengue. Thus, Abs targeting quaternary epitopes help explain broad cross protection in those with multiple prior DENV exposures, making them useful for evaluation and development of future vaccines and therapeutics.

Implications of information heard about Dengvaxia on Filipinos' perception on vaccination

Issues that arose from the Dengvaxia vaccination program in the Philippines in 2017 were followed by a remarkable decline in immunization coverage in the country. This study intended to describe the Filipinos' perceptions about vaccination after hearing about the Dengvaxia vaccine and the vaccination program and determine its potential relationship with selected demographic factors and other variables such as: health literacy, sources of information on Dengvaxia, information heard about the vaccine, healthcare visits, and perceived health status. The study utilized secondary data derived from a national health literacy survey in the Philippines. A total of 1992 respondents were included in the analysis. Majority were females, had reached college, residing in urban areas, and were unemployed. Most obtained information about Dengvaxia from media, particularly the television and heard that it caused death and prevents dengue. Seventy-one per cent had negative vaccination perception upon obtaining information about Dengvaxia. Sex, residence type, and income were found to be associated with vaccination perception. Females and those living in rural areas were more likely to have a negative vaccination perception while those with the highest income were less likely to have negative vaccination perception. Respondents who heard that Dengvaxia prevents dengue, those who obtained Dengvaxia information from health professionals, and those who visited both public and private health facilities in the last 12 months were less likely to have negative vaccination perception. On the other hand, those with inadequate functional health literacy were more likely to have negative vaccination perception. The study presents the implications of information heard about Dengvaxia on Filipinos' perception on vaccination through selected variables and other factors. The findings are important in designing strategies in communicating health information, building public trust, and in reinforcing policies to improve vaccination uptake.

Self-Replicating RNA Derived from the Genomes of Positive-Strand RNA Viruses

Self-replicating RNA derived from the genomes of positive-strand RNA viruses represents a powerful tool for both molecular studies on virus biology and approaches to novel safe and effective vaccines. The following chapter summarizes the principles how such RNAs can be established and used for design of vaccines. Due to the large variety of strategies needed to circumvent specific pitfalls in the design of such constructs the technical details of the experiments are not described here but can be found in the cited literature.

Identification of prior dengue-naïve Dengvaxia recipients with an increased risk for symptomatic dengue during fever surveillance in the Philippines

Introduction

Dengue virus (DENV) is the leading cause of mosquito-borne viral diseases in humans. Dengvaxia, the first licensed dengue vaccine, is recommended for DENV-seropositive individuals aged 9-45 years. In the Philippines, Dengvaxia was administered to more than 830,000 children without prior serological testing in 2016-2017. Subsequently, it was revealed that DENV-seronegative children who received Dengvaxia developed severe disease following breakthrough DENV infection. As a result, thousands of children participating in the mass vaccination campaign were at higher risk of severe dengue disease. It is vital that an assay that identifies baseline DENV-naïve Dengvaxia recipients be developed and validated. This would permit more frequent and extensive assessments and timely treatment of breakthrough DENV infections.

Methods

We evaluated the performance of a candidate assay, the DENV1-4 nonstructural protein 1 (NS1) IgG enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay (ELISA), developed by the University of Hawaii (UH), using well-documented serum/plasma samples including those >20 years post-DENV infection, and tested samples from 199 study participants including 100 Dengvaxia recipients from the fever surveillance programs in the Philippines.

Results

The sensitivity and specificity of the assay were 96.6% and 99.4%, respectively, which are higher than those reported for pre-vaccination screening. A significantly higher rate of symptomatic breakthrough DENV infection was found among children that were DENV-naïve (10/23) than among those that were DENV-immune (7/53) when vaccinated with Dengvaxia (p=0.004, Fisher's exact test), demonstrating the feasibility of the assay and algorithms in clinical practice.

Conclusion

The UH DENV1-4 NS1 IgG ELISA can determine baseline DENV serostatus among Dengvaxia recipients not only during non-acute dengue but also during breakthrough DENV infection, and has implications for assessing the long-term safety and effectiveness of Dengvaxia in the post-licensure period.

The effect of mixed vaccination rollout strategy: A modelling study

Vaccines have measurable efficacy obtained first from vaccine trials. However, vaccine efficacy (VE) is not a static measure and long-term population studies are needed to evaluate its performance and impact. COVID-19 vaccines have been developed in record time and the currently licensed vaccines are extremely effective against severe disease with higher VE after the full immunization schedule. To assess the impact of the initial phase of the COVID-19 vaccination rollout programmes, we used an extended Susceptible - Hospitalized - Asymptomatic/mild - Recovered (SHAR) model. Vaccination models were proposed to evaluate different vaccine types: vaccine type 1 which protects against severe disease only but fails to block disease transmission, and vaccine type 2 which protects against both severe disease and infection. VE was assumed as reported by the vaccine trials incorporating the difference in efficacy between one and two doses of vaccine administration. We described the performance of the vaccine in reducing hospitalizations during a momentary scenario in the Basque Country, Spain. With a population in a mixed vaccination setting, our results have shown that reductions in hospitalized COVID-19 cases were observed five months after the vaccination rollout started, from May to June 2021. Specifically in June, a good agreement between modelling simulation and empirical data was well pronounced.

NS1 Protein N-Linked Glycosylation Site Affects the Virulence and Pathogenesis of Dengue Virus

Live attenuated vaccine is one of the most effective vaccines against flavivirus. Recently, site-directed mutation of the flavivirus genome using reverse genetics techniques has been used for the rapid development of attenuated vaccines. However, this technique relies on basic research of critical virulence loci of the virus. To screen the attenuated sites in dengue virus, a total of eleven dengue virus type four mutant strains with deletion of N-glycosylation sites in the NS1 protein were designed and constructed. Ten of them (except for the N207-del mutant strain) were successfully rescued. Out of the ten strains, one mutant strain (N130del+207-209QQA) was found to have significantly reduced virulence through neurovirulence assay in suckling mice, but was genetically unstable. Further purification using the plaque purification assay yielded a genetically stable attenuated strain #11-puri9 with mutations of K129T, N130K, N207Q, and T209A in the NS1 protein and E99D in the NS2A protein. Identifying the virulence loci by constructing revertant mutant and chimeric viruses revealed that five amino acid adaptive mutations in the dengue virus type four non-structural proteins NS1 and NS2A dramatically affected its neurovirulence and could be used in constructing attenuated dengue chimeric viruses. Our study is the first to obtain an attenuated dengue virus strain through the deletion of amino acid residues at the N-glycosylation site, providing a theoretical basis for understanding the pathogenesis of the dengue virus and developing its live attenuated vaccines.

Considering waning immunity to better explain dengue dynamics

Life-long serotype-specific immunity following dengue virus infection may not always occur, but the true extent of this effect is unknown. Analysis of more than 20 years of monotypic epidemics in the isolated French Polynesian islands revealed that whilst the risk of symptomatic dengue infection did conform to the classical paradigms of homotypic immunity and increased disease risk in heterotypic secondary infections, incorporation of waning immunity improved the ability of epidemiological models to capture the observed epidemic dynamics. Not only does this show how inclusion of waning immunity into classical models can reveal important facets of the immune response to natural dengue virus infection, it also has significant ramifications for vaccine development and implementation in dengue endemic areas.

Preparedness for the Dengue Epidemic: Vaccine as a Viable Approach

Dengue fever is one of the significant fatal mosquito-borne viral diseases and is considered to be a worldwide problem. Aedes mosquito is responsible for transmitting various serotypes of dengue viruses to humans. Dengue incidence has developed prominently throughout the world in the last ten years. The exact number of dengue cases is underestimated, whereas plenty of cases are misdiagnosed as alternative febrile sicknesses. There is an estimation that about 390 million dengue cases occur annually. Dengue fever encompasses a wide range of clinical presentations, usually with undefinable clinical progression and outcome. The diagnosis of dengue depends on serology tests, molecular diagnostic methods, and antigen detection tests. The therapeutic approach relies completely on supplemental drugs, which is far from the real approach. Vaccines for dengue disease are in various stages of development. The commercial formulation Dengvaxia (CYD-TDV) is accessible and developed by Sanofi Pasteur. The vaccine candidate Dengvaxia was inefficient in liberating a stabilized immune reaction toward different serotypes (1-4) of dengue fever. Numerous promising vaccine candidates are now being developed in preclinical and clinical stages even though different serotypes of DENV exist that worsen the situation for a vaccine to be equally effective for all serotypes. Thus, the development of an efficient dengue fever vaccine candidate requires time. Effective dengue fever management can be a multidisciplinary challenge, involving international cooperation from diverse perspectives and expertise to resolve this global concern.

Pathogen evolution during vaccination campaigns

Following the initiation of the unprecedented global vaccination campaign against Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2), attention has now turned to the potential impact of this large-scale intervention on the evolution of the virus. In this Essay, we summarize what is currently known about pathogen evolution in the context of immune priming (including vaccination) from research on other pathogen species, with an eye towards the future evolution of SARS-CoV-2.

Vaccine-associated enhanced disease in humans and animal models: Lessons and challenges for vaccine development

The fight against infectious diseases calls for the development of safe and effective vaccines that generate long-lasting protective immunity. In a few situations, vaccine-mediated immune responses may have led to exacerbated pathology upon subsequent infection with the pathogen targeted by the vaccine. Such vaccine-associated enhanced disease (VAED) has been reported, or at least suspected, in animal models, and in a few instances in humans, for vaccine candidates against the respiratory syncytial virus (RSV), measles virus (MV), dengue virus (DENV), HIV-1, simian immunodeficiency virus (SIV), feline immunodeficiency virus (FIV), severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 1 (SARS-CoV-1), and the Middle East respiratory syndrome coronavirus (MERS-CoV). Although alleviated by clinical and epidemiological evidence, a number of concerns were also initially raised concerning the short- and long-term safety of vaccines against severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2), which is causing the ongoing COVID-19 pandemic. Although the mechanisms leading to this phenomenon are not yet completely understood, the individual and/or collective role of antibody-dependent enhancement (ADE), complement-dependent enhancement, and cell-dependent enhancement have been highlighted. Here, we review mechanisms that may be associated with the risk of VAED, which are important to take into consideration, both in the assessment of vaccine safety and in finding ways to define models and immunization strategies that can alleviate such concerns.

Modeling the initial phase of COVID-19 epidemic: The role of age and disease severity in the Basque Country, Spain

Declared a pandemic by the World Health Organization (WHO), COVID-19 has spread rapidly around the globe. With eventually substantial global underestimation of infection, by the end of March 2022, more than 470 million cases were confirmed, counting more than 6.1 million deaths worldwide. COVID-19 symptoms range from mild (or no) symptoms to severe illness, with disease severity and death occurring according to a hierarchy of risks, with age and pre-existing health conditions enhancing risks of disease severity. In order to understand the dynamics of disease severity during the initial phase of the pandemic, we propose a modeling framework stratifying the studied population into two groups, older and younger, assuming different risks for severe disease manifestation. The deterministic and the stochastic models are parametrized using epidemiological data for the Basque Country population referring to confirmed cases, hospitalizations and deaths, from February to the end of March 2020. Using similar parameter values, both models were able to describe well the existing data. A detailed sensitivity analysis was performed to identify the key parameters influencing the transmission dynamics of COVID-19 in the population. We observed that the population younger than 60 years old of age would contribute more to the overall force of infection than the older population, as opposed to the already existing age-structured models, opening new ways to understand the effect of population age on disease severity during the COVID-19 pandemic. With mild/asymptomatic cases significantly influencing the disease spreading and control, our findings support the vaccination strategy prioritising the most vulnerable individuals to reduce hospitalization and deaths, as well as the non-pharmaceutical intervention measures to reduce disease transmission.

The epidemiology and disease burden of children hospitalized for viral infections within the family Flaviviridae in China: A national cross-sectional study

Background

Viruses of the family Flaviviridae, including Japanese encephalitis virus (JEV), dengue virus (DENV), yellow fever virus (YFV) and hepatitis C virus (HCV), are widely distributed worldwide. JEV, DENV and YFV belong to the genus Flavivirus, whereas HCV belongs to the genus Hepacivirus. Children’s symptoms are usually severe. As a result, rates of hospitalization due to infection with these viruses are high. The epidemiology and disease burden of hospitalized children have rarely been described in detail to date. The objective of this study was to report the general epidemiological characteristics, clinical phenotype, length of stay (LOS), burden of disease, and potential risk factors for hospitalized children infected with JEV, DENV, YFV, or HCV in Chinese pediatric hospitals.

Methodology

A cross-sectional study of epidemiology and disease burden of children hospitalized for Flaviviridae virus infections between December 2015 and December 2020 in China was performed. Face sheets of discharge medical records (FSMRs) were collected from 27 tertiary children’s hospitals in the Futang Research Center of Pediatric Development and aggregated into FUTang Update medical REcords (FUTURE). Information on sociodemographic variables, clinical phenotype, and LOS as well as economic burden was included in FSMRs and compared using appropriate statistical tests.

Findings

The study described 490 children aged 0–15 years hospitalized for infections with Flaviviridae viruses. Japanese encephalitis (JE) cases are the highest, accounting for 92.65% of the total hospitalization cases caused by Flaviviridae virus infection. The incidence of JE peaked from July to October with a profile of a high proportion of severe cases (68.06%) and low mortality (0.44%). Rural children had a significantly higher incidence than urban children (91.63%). Most hospitalized dengue cases were reported in 2019 when dengue outbreaks occurred in many provinces of China, although only 14 dengue cases were collected during the study period. Yellow fever (YF) is still an imported disease in China. The hospitalizations for children with hepatitis C (HC) were not high, and mild chronic HC was the main clinical phenotype of patients. Among the four viral infections, JE had the highest disease burden (LOS and expenditure) for hospitalized children.

Conclusion

First, the present study reveals that JE remains the most serious disease due to Flaviviridae virus infection and threatens children’s health in China. Many pediatric patients have severe illnesses, but their mortality rate is lower, suggesting that existing treatment is effective. Both JEV vaccination and infection control of rural children should represent a focus of study. Second, although the dual risks of indigenous epidemics and imports of DENV still exist, the prevalence of DENV in children is generally manageable. Third, YFV currently shows no evidence of an epidemic in China. Finally, the proportion of children with chronic hepatitis C (CHC) is relatively large among hospitalized children diagnosed with HCV. Thus, early and effective intervention should be offered to children infected with HCV to ease the burden of CHC on public health.

We performed a general epidemiological and disease burden assessment of 490 hospitalized children infected with any virus from the family Flaviviridae [Japanese encephalitis virus (JEV), dengue virus (DENV), yellow fever virus (YFV) and hepatitis C virus (HCV)] from December 2015 to December 2020 with confirmed clinical presentation and laboratory results. Our study found that hospitalization for Japanese encephalitis (JE) predominated in children who lived in rural areas, and the infection was rate was considerably higher in summer and autumn (July–October) compared with other months. In addition, children hospitalized with JE have the largest share of disease burden. However, the overall low rate of hospitalization and mortality of children shows that China’s JE prevention and control policies remain effective. However, the prevention, control and surveillance of JEV in rural areas should not be neglected. Dengue and yellow fever have not yet caused serious public health concerns among children in China, but the spatial and temporal distributions of viral infection must be assessed to be alert to the indigenous spread of imported cases. CHC is a refractory phenotype of HCV infection in children; thus, early screening and intervention are encouraged given the insidious appearance of symptoms in the early stages after HCV infection. These findings can help to understand the epidemic status of viruses classified in the family Flaviviridae in children and the disease burden of hospitalized children, which is conducive to precise prevention and control, optimization of the allocation of resources, and the formulation of more reasonable and effective policies.

Dengue Vaccines: An Update

Dengue is one of the most prevalent mosquito-borne diseases in the world, affecting an estimated 390 million people each year, according to models. For the last two decades, efforts to develop safe and effective vaccines to prevent dengue virus (DENV) infections have faced several challenges, mostly related to the complexity of conducting long-term studies to evaluate vaccine efficacy and safety to rule out the risk of vaccine-induced DHS/DSS, particularly in children. At least seven DENV vaccines have undergone different phases of clinical trials; however, only three of them (Dengvaxia^®, TV003, and TAK-003) have showed promising results, and are addressed in detail in this review in terms of their molecular design, efficacy, and immunogenicity. Safety-related challenges during DENV vaccine development are also discussed.

Severe COVID-19 is a T cell immune dysregulatory disorder triggered by SARS-CoV-2

INTRODUCTION

COVID-19 has had a calamitous impact on the global community. Apart from at least 6M deaths, hundreds of millions have been infected and a much greater number have been plunged into poverty. Vaccines have been effective but financial and logistical challenges have hampered their rapid global deployment. Vaccine disparities have allowed the emergence of new SARS-CoV-2 variants including delta and omicron, perpetuating the pandemic.

AREAS COVERED

The immunological response to SARS-CoV-2 has been the subject of intense study and is now better understood. Many of the clinical manifestations of severe disease are a consequence of immune dysregulation triggered by the virus. This may explain the lack of efficacy of antiviral treatments such as convalescent plasma infusions, given later in the disease.

EXPERT OPINION

T cells play a crucial role in both the outcome of COVID-19 as well as the protective response to vaccines. Vaccines do not prevent infection but reduce the risk of a chaotic and destructive cellular immune response to the virus. Severe COVID-19 should be considered a virus-induced secondary immune dysregulatory disorder of cellular immunity, with broad host susceptibility. This perspective of COVID-19 will lead to better diagnostic tests, vaccines and therapeutic strategies in the future.

Non-structural protein 1 (NS1) variants from dengue virus clinical samples revealed mutations that influence NS1 production and secretion

Dengue diagnosis primarily relies on NS1 ELISA and serological (IgG/IgM) tests. There are reports of low and variable sensitivity of the widely used NS1 ELISA tests. Poor sensitivity has been attributed to patient's infection status, prevalent serotypes, and the geographical origin of the samples. We investigated whether NS1 mutations directly have any impact on NS1 ELISA-based dengue virus (DENV) detection in clinical samples. Fifty-eight serum samples were collected from dengue-endemic area during 2015-2017 and tested with three commonly used NS1 ELISA kits. The samples were subjected to diagnostic RT-PCR and sequencing of structural gene(s). Sequencing of NS1 gene revealed amino acid changes which were transferred to respective wild type NS1 backbone to determine their effects on NS1 production and secretion in Huh-7, Vero, and A549 cells. Eighty-seven percent samples were virus RNA-positive but 65% of these were NS1 ELISA-positive. NS1-gene mutations like Val236➔Ala (DENV2) or Trp68➔stop codon in DENV3 were associated with decreased NS1 production and secretion. These mutations were originally identified in NS1 ELISA-negative clinical isolates. All DENV1 and > 80% DENV2 were NS1 ELISA-positive. The three NS1 ELISA could not detect recently circulating DENV3 single infections despite being RNA-positive. Among serotypes 1-3, wild-type NS1 production was highest for DENV1 and lowest for DENV3 in all cell lines tested. Mutations in circulating DENV directly correlated with NS1 production and secretion and, hence, ELISA-based NS1 detection. Further studies to define more NS1 mutations in clinical samples are needed to optimize ELISA kits for more sensitive dengue diagnosis.

Investigation of immune response induction by Japanese encephalitis live‐attenuated and chimeric vaccines in mice

The Japanese encephalitis (JE) live‐attenuated vaccine SA14‐14‐2 and the chimeric vaccine IMOJEV (JE‐CV) are two kinds of vaccines available for use worldwide. JE‐CV was previously known as ChimeriVax‐JE, that consists of yellow fever vaccine 17D (YFV‐17D) from which the structural genes (prM/E) have been replaced with those of SA14‐14‐2. This study aimed to investigate the neutralizing antibody, protection efficacy, and specific T‐cell response elicited by both vaccines in mice. The neutralizing antibodies produced by JE‐CV were slightly lower than those produced by SA14‐14‐2, but the protection conferred by JE‐CV was considerably lower in the low vaccine dose immunization group. Furthermore, the JE‐CV did not induce a specific T‐cell response against JEV NS3, while it did induce a potent antigen‐specific T‐cell response against the viral backbone vaccine YFV. In conclusion, this study is the first detailed investigation of the cellular immune response to the two vaccines. Enzyme‐linked immunospot (ELISPOT) and flow staining suggest a more potent specific T‐cell response against the JEV antigen was elicited in mice immunized with SA14‐14‐2 but not JE‐CV. Using heterologous flaviviruses as a live‐attenuated vaccine backbone may unlikely generate an optimal T‐cell response against the vaccine strain virus and might affect the protective efficacy.

Mathematical models for dengue fever epidemiology: A 10-year systematic review

Mathematical models have a long history in epidemiological research, and as the COVID-19 pandemic progressed, research on mathematical modeling became imperative and very influential to understand the epidemiological dynamics of disease spreading. Mathematical models describing dengue fever epidemiological dynamics are found back from 1970. Dengue fever is a viral mosquito-borne infection caused by four antigenically related but distinct serotypes (DENV-1 to DENV-4). With 2.5 billion people at risk of acquiring the infection, it is a major international public health concern. Although most of the cases are asymptomatic or mild, the disease immunological response is complex, with severe disease linked to the antibody-dependent enhancement (ADE) - a disease augmentation phenomenon where pre-existing antibodies to previous dengue infection do not neutralize but rather enhance the new infection. Here, we present a 10-year systematic review on mathematical models for dengue fever epidemiology. Specifically, we review multi-strain frameworks describing host-to-host and vector-host transmission models and within-host models describing viral replication and the respective immune response. Following a detailed literature search in standard scientific databases, different mathematical models in terms of their scope, analytical approach and structural form, including model validation and parameter estimation using empirical data, are described and analyzed. Aiming to identify a consensus on infectious diseases modeling aspects that can contribute to public health authorities for disease control, we revise the current understanding of epidemiological and immunological factors influencing the transmission dynamics of dengue. This review provide insights on general features to be considered to model aspects of real-world public health problems, such as the current epidemiological scenario we are living in.

Vaccines

The safety of COVID-19 vaccines, as was the case last year, remains a large part of the focus in this volume. COVID-19 placed a large magnifying glass on both vaccines, specifically vaccine safety. This was most readily apparent as the number of records in VAERS ballooned to about 10 times the size from 2020 to 2021 (Vaccine Adverse Event Reporting System (VAERS), 2022) [S]. While we have added and/or improved VAERS during COVID-19, including adding or improving other vaccine safety surveillance tools like v-safe and vaccine safety datalink (Blumenthal, Phadke, et al., 2021) [MC], there is still room for improvement in these pharmacovigilance tools (Rizk et al., 2021) [r]. A major global initiative in this realm is the Global Vaccines Safety Blueprint 2.0 (GVSB2.0) (Organization, 2021, pp. 2021–2023) [S]. We wholeheartedly endorse these initiatives, which could significantly improve vaccine safety.

As noted in past SEDA issues, clinicians should be mindful of the risks of AEs and SAEs associated with each individual vaccine.

The epitope arrangement on flavivirus particles contributes to Mab C10's extraordinary neutralization breadth across Zika and dengue viruses

The human monoclonal antibody C10 exhibits extraordinary cross-reactivity, potently neutralizing Zika virus (ZIKV) and the four serotypes of dengue virus (DENV1-DENV4). Here we describe a comparative structure-function analysis of C10 bound to the envelope (E) protein dimers of the five viruses it neutralizes. We demonstrate that the C10 Fab has high affinity for ZIKV and DENV1 but not for DENV2, DENV3, and DENV4. We further show that the C10 interaction with the latter viruses requires an E protein conformational landscape that limits binding to only one of the three independent epitopes per virion. This limited affinity is nevertheless counterbalanced by the particle's icosahedral organization, which allows two different dimers to be reached by both Fab arms of a C10 immunoglobulin. The epitopes' geometric distribution thus confers C10 its exceptional neutralization breadth. Our results highlight the importance not only of paratope/epitope complementarity but also the topological distribution for epitope-focused vaccine design.

Updates on Dengue Vaccine and Antiviral: Where Are We Heading?

Approximately 100–400 million people from more than 100 countries in the tropical and subtropical world are affected by dengue infections. Recent scientific breakthroughs have brought new insights into novel strategies for the production of dengue antivirals and vaccines. The search for specific dengue inhibitors is expanding, and the mechanisms for evaluating the efficacy of novel drugs are currently established, allowing for expedited translation into human trials. Furthermore, in the aftermath of the only FDA-approved vaccine, Dengvaxia, a safer and more effective dengue vaccine candidate is making its way through the clinical trials. Until an effective antiviral therapy and licensed vaccine are available, disease monitoring and vector population control will be the mainstays of dengue prevention. In this article, we highlighted recent advances made in the perspectives of efforts made recently, in dengue vaccine development and dengue antiviral drug.

Modeling Dengue Immune Responses Mediated by Antibodies: A Qualitative Study

Simple Summary

With more than one-third of the world population at risk of acquiring the disease, dengue fever is a major public health problem. Caused by four antigenically distinct but related serotypes, disease severity is associated with the immunological status of the individual, seronegative or seropositive, prior to a natural dengue infection. While a primary natural dengue infection is often asymptomatic or mild, individuals experiencing a secondary dengue infection with a heterologous serotype have higher risk of developing the severe form of the disease, linked to the antibody-dependent enhancement (ADE) process. We develop a modeling framework to describe the dengue immune responses mediated by antibodies. Our model framework can describe qualitatively the dynamic of the viral load and antibodies production for scenarios of primary and secondary infections, as found in the empirical immunology literature. Studies such as the one described here serve as a baseline to further model extensions. Future refinements of our framework will be of use to evaluate the impact of imperfect dengue vaccines.

Abstract

Dengue fever is a viral mosquito-borne infection and a major international public health concern. With 2.5 billion people at risk of acquiring the infection around the world, disease severity is influenced by the immunological status of the individual, seronegative or seropositive, prior to natural infection. Caused by four antigenically related but distinct serotypes, DENV-1 to DENV-4, infection by one serotype confers life-long immunity to that serotype and a period of temporary cross-immunity (TCI) to other serotypes. The clinical response on exposure to a second serotype is complex with the so-called antibody-dependent enhancement (ADE) process, a disease augmentation phenomenon when pre-existing antibodies to previous dengue infection do not neutralize but rather enhance the new infection, used to explain the etiology of severe disease. In this paper, we present a minimalistic mathematical model framework developed to describe qualitatively the dengue immunological response mediated by antibodies. Three models are analyzed and compared: (i) primary dengue infection, (ii) secondary dengue infection with the same (homologous) dengue virus and (iii) secondary dengue infection with a different (heterologous) dengue virus. We explore the features of viral replication, antibody production and infection clearance over time. The model is developed based on body cells and free virus interactions resulting in infected cells activating antibody production. Our mathematical results are qualitatively similar to the ones described in the empiric immunology literature, providing insights into the immunopathogenesis of severe disease. Results presented here are of use for future research directions to evaluate the impact of dengue vaccines.

Vaccine-Associated Enhanced Viral Disease: Implications for Viral Vaccine Development

Vaccine-associated enhanced disease (VAED) is a serious barrier to attaining successful virus vaccines in human and veterinary medicine. VAED occurs as two different immunopathologies, antibody-dependent enhancement (ADE) and vaccine-associated hypersensitivity (VAH). ADE contributes to the pathology of disease caused by four dengue viruses (DENV) through control of the intensity of cellular infection. Products of virus-infected cells are toxic. A partially protective yellow fever chimeric tetravalent DENV vaccine sensitized seronegative children to ADE breakthrough infections. A live-attenuated tetravalent whole virus vaccine in phase III testing appears to avoid ADE by providing durable protection against the four DENV. VAH sensitization by viral vaccines occurred historically. Children given formalin-inactivated measles or respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) vaccines experienced severe disease during breakthrough infections. Tissue responses demonstrated that VAH not ADE caused these vaccine safety problems. Subsequently, measles was successfully and safely contained by a live-attenuated virus vaccine. The difficulty in formulating a safe and effective RSV vaccine is troublesome evidence that avoiding VAH is a major research challenge. VAH-like tissue responses were observed during breakthrough homologous virus infections in monkeys given severe acute respiratory syndrome (SARS) or Middle East respiratory syndrome (MERS) vaccines.

Fear, mistrust, and vaccine hesitancy: Narratives of the dengue vaccine controversy in the Philippines

This article applies a qualitative approach to the 2017 dengue vaccine controversy involving Sanofi Pasteur's Dengvaxia to understand vaccine hesitancy and related anxieties in contemporary Philippines. Through a multisited project that investigated the health aspirations and lived experiences of low- and middle-income Filipinos across urban and rural Philippines, this article distills the perspectives of both ordinary community members and health workers in local and national capacities regarding the controversy-and how it altered their perceptions toward vaccines, health care, and government. Our study reveals widespread mistrust and fear in the communities toward both the state and health institutions following the controversy, with frontline health workers bearing the brunt of the communities' apprehensions, and the media partly responsible in fomenting these fears. Given the repetitive nature of health and vaccine controversies, this article suggests the importance of responsible journalism, well-calibrated crisis communications, and a people-centered health paradigm that involves exploring local contexts of vaccine hesitancy and mining people's lived experiences in tackling present and future health crises-especially now in the advent of COVID-19 vaccinations.

Vaccine-enhanced disease: case studies and ethical implications for research and public health

Vaccination is a cornerstone of global public health. Although licensed vaccines are generally extremely safe, both experimental and licensed vaccines are sometimes associated with rare serious adverse events. Vaccine-enhanced disease (VED) is a type of adverse event in which disease severity is increased when a person who has received the vaccine is later infected with the relevant pathogen. VED can occur during research with experimental vaccines and/or after vaccine licensure, sometimes months or years after a person receives a vaccine. Both research ethics and public health policy should therefore address the potential for disease enhancement. Significant VED has occurred in humans with vaccines for four pathogens: measles virus, respiratory syncytial virus, Staphylococcus aureus, and dengue virus; it has also occurred in veterinary research and in animal studies of human coronavirus vaccines. Some of the immunological mechanisms involved are now well-described, but VED overall remains difficult to predict with certainty, including during public health implementation of novel vaccines. This paper summarises the four known cases in humans and explores key ethical implications. Although rare, VED has important ethical implications because it can cause serious harm, including death, and such harms can undermine vaccine confidence more generally – leading to larger public health problems. The possibility of VED remains an important challenge for current and future vaccine development and deployment. We conclude this paper by summarising approaches to the reduction of risks and uncertainties related to VED, and the promotion of public trust in vaccines.

Molecular techniques for the genomic viral RNA detection of West Nile, Dengue, Zika and Chikungunya arboviruses: a narrative review

Introduction: Molecular technology has played an important role in arboviruses diagnostics. PCR-based methods stand out in terms of sensitivity, specificity, cost, robustness, and accessibility, and especially the isothermal amplification (IA) method is ideal for field-adaptable diagnostics in resource-limited settings (RLS).Areas covered: In this review, we provide an overview of the various molecular methods for West Nile, Zika, Dengue and Chikungunya. We summarize literature works reporting the assessment and use of in house and commercial assays. We describe limitations and challenges in the usage of methods and opportunities for novel approaches such as NNext-GenerationSequencing (NGS).Expert opinion: The rapidity and accuracy of differential diagnosis is essential for a successful clinical management, particularly in co-circulation area of arboviruses. Several commercial diagnostic molecular assays are available, but many are not affordable by RLS and not usable as Point-of-care/Point-of-need (POC/PON) such as RReal-TimeRT-PCR, Array-based methods and NGS. In contrast, the IA-based system fits better for POC/PON but it is still not ideal for the multiplexing detection system. Improvement in the characterization and validation of current molecular assays is needed to optimize their translation to the point of care.

Is Dengue Vaccine Protection Possible?

In tropical and subtropical countries four dengue viruses (DENV) produce mild disease and a potentially fatal vascular permeability syndrome. Unique antigenic and biological properties of DENVs contribute to vaccine development delays. Three tissue culture-based tetravalent candidate dengue vaccines have advanced to phase 3 clinical testing. Sanofi-Pasteur's chimeric yellow fever tetravalent dengue vaccine, Dengvaxia, licensed in 19 dengue-endemic countries, Europe and USA, partially protects seropositives but sensitizes some seronegatives to breakthrough severe hospitalized dengue. During two years of phase 3, Takeda's TAK 003, a chimeric DENV 2 tetravalent vaccine, protected against DENV 2 but was less protective against other DENVs. In seronegative adults, one dose of a tetravalent non-structural deletion mutant vaccine developed by US NIAID protected seronegative humans against challenge with DENVs 2 and 3. This vaccine is in late phase 3. This experience suggests nearly-whole DENV genomes are required to achieve balanced and sustained protective immunity.

COVID-19, Chikungunya, Dengue and Zika Diseases: An Analytical Platform Based on MALDI-TOF MS, IR Spectroscopy and RT-qPCR for Accurate Diagnosis and Accelerate Epidemics Control

COVID-19 and arboviruses (ARBOD) epidemics co-occurrence is a great concern. In tropical and subtropical regions, ARBOD diseases such as chikungunya, dengue, and Zika are frequent. In both COVID-19 and ARBOD cases, an accurate diagnosis of infected patients is crucial to promote adequate treatment and isolation measures in COVID-19 cases. Overlap of clinical symptoms and laboratory parameters between COVID-19 and ARBOD present themselves as an extra challenge during diagnosis. COVID-19 diagnosis is mainly performed by quantitative reverse polymerase chain reaction (RT-qPCR), while ARBOD diagnosis is performed by serology, detection of antigen or antibody, and molecular diagnosis. In this review, the epidemiologic profile of arboviruses and SARS-CoV-2 is analyzed, and potential risks of symptom overlap is addressed. The implementation of an analytical platform based on infrared (IR) spectroscopy, MALDI-TOF mass spectrometry, and RT-qPCR is discussed as an efficient strategy for a fast, robust, reliable, and cost-effective diagnosis system even during the co-occurrence of virus outbreaks. The spectral data of IR spectroscopy and MALDI-TOF MS obtained from COVID-19 infected and recovered patients can be used to build up an integrated spectral database. This approach can enable us to determine quickly the groups that have been exposed and have recovered from COVID-19 or ARBOD, avoiding misdiagnoses.

Primum Non Nocere

The coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic is severe and has not shown any signs of warning up to today. Biotech companies around the world have raced to come up with an acceptable vaccine and recently two mRNA vaccines have received emergency usage authorisation from regulatory bodies in several countries. mRNA vaccines, which consist of a new and revolutionary technology have not been previously tested widely on humans. Medium- and long-term safety data are not available. While many experts seem to support the start of a mass vaccination campaign, others feel there are too many unknowns to embark on a mass vaccination campaign. Concerns include uncertainties about the long-term effects of foreign mRNA on human cellular physiology and the possibility of vaccine-enhanced disease severity, which may not be unlikely with the current disease presentation of COVID-19.

Vaccines

In this volume of the Side Effects of Drugs Annual, although other vaccines will be covered, the safety of COVID vaccines is the focus as COVID-19 has led to heightened attention on vaccine safety in general. As such, this chapter will be more relevant than ever before. As noted in past SEDA issues, clinicians should be mindful of the risks of AEs and SAEs associated with each vaccine.

The Impact of Serotype Cross-Protection on Vaccine Trials: DENVax as a Case Study

There is a growing public health need for effective preventive interventions against dengue, and a safe, effective and affordable dengue vaccine against the four serotypes would be a significant achievement for disease prevention and control. Two tetravalent dengue vaccines, Dengvaxia (CYD-TDV—Sanofi Pasteur) and DENVax (TAK 003—Takeda Pharmaceutical Company), have now completed phase 3 clinical trials. Although Dengvaxia resulted in serious adverse events and had to be restricted to individuals with prior dengue infections, DENVax has shown, at first glance, some encouraging results. Using the available data for the TAK 003 trial, we estimate, via the Bayesian approach, vaccine efficacy (VE) of the post-vaccination surveillance periods of 12 and 18 months. Although better measurement over a long time was expected for the second part of the post-vaccination surveillance, variation in serotype-specific efficacy needs careful consideration. Besides observing that individual serostatus prior to vaccination is determinant of DENVax vaccine efficacy, such as for Dengvaxia, we also noted, after comparing the VE estimations for 12- and 18-month periods, that vaccine efficacy is decreasing over time. The comparison of efficacies over time is informative and very important, and brings up the discussion of the role of temporary cross-immunity in dengue vaccine trials and the impact of serostatus prior to vaccination in the context of dengue fever epidemiology.

Effect of Serotype and Strain Diversity on Dengue Virus Replication in Australian Mosquito Vectors

Dengue virus (DENV) is the most important mosquito-borne viral pathogen of humans, comprising four serotypes (DENV-1 to -4) with a myriad of genotypes and strains. The kinetics of DENV replication within the mosquito following ingestion of a blood meal influence the pathogen’s ability to reach the salivary glands and thus the transmission potential. The influence of DENV serotype and strain diversity on virus kinetics in the two main vector species, Aedes aegypti and Ae. albopictus, has been poorly characterized. We tested whether DENV replication kinetics vary systematically among serotypes and strains, using Australian strains of the two vectors. Mosquitoes were blood fed with two strains per serotype, and sampled at 3, 6, 10 and 14-days post-exposure. Virus infection in mosquito bodies, and dissemination of virus to legs and wings, was detected using qRT-PCR. For both vectors, we found significant differences among serotypes in proportions of mosquitoes infected, with higher numbers for DENV-1 and -2 versus other serotypes. Consistent with this, we observed that DENV-1 and -2 generally replicated to higher RNA levels than other serotypes, particularly at earlier time points. There were no significant differences in either speed of infection or dissemination between the mosquito species. Our results suggest that DENV diversity may have important epidemiological consequences by influencing virus kinetics in mosquito vectors.

Dengue vaccine development by the year 2020: challenges and prospects

The first licensed dengue vaccine led to considerable controversy, and to date, no dengue vaccine is in widespread use. All three leading dengue vaccine candidates are live attenuated vaccines, with the main difference between them being the type of backbone and the extent of chimerization. While CYD-TDV (the first licensed dengue vaccine) does not include non-structural proteins of dengue, TAK-003 contains the dengue virus serotype 2 backbone, and the Butantan/Merck vaccine contains three full-genomes of the four dengue virus serotypes. While dengue-primed individuals can already benefit from vaccination against all four serotypes with the first licensed dengue vaccine CYD-TDV, the need for dengue-naive population has not yet been met. To improve tetravalent protection, sequential vaccination should be considered in addition to a heterologous prime-boost approach.