Modification Effects of Temperature on the Ozone-Mortality Relationship: A Nationwide Multicounty Study in China

Effects and interaction of humidex and air pollution on influenza: A national analysis of 319 cities in mainland China

Influenza imposes a significant global health burden. This study investigates the effects of humidex and air pollution on influenza and their interactions, using multi-city surveillance data in China. Daily data on reported influenza cases, meteorological factors and air pollution from 319 cities in mainland China over the study period of 2014-2019 were collected. A two-stage analytical framework, comprising distributed lag non-linear model and multivariate meta-analysis, was employed to assess the associations between humidex, air pollution and influenza. Hierarchical and joint effect models were employed to examine their interaction. Nationally, an approximately L-shaped relationship between humidex and influenza was observed, with the highest relative risk (RR) of 2.603 (95 % confidence interval [CI]: 2.195-3.086). Per interquartile range increases in PM2.5, PM10, NO2, SO2, CO and O3 were associated with influenza risk increments of 0.035 (95 % CI: 0.010-0.061), 0.029 (95 % CI: 0.003-0.055), 0.191 (95 % CI: 0.152-0.231), 0.239 (95 % CI: 0.166-0.317), 0.038 (95 % CI: 0.001-0.076) and -0.171 (95 % CI: -0.238--0.099), respectively. A synergistic interaction effect was identified between low humidex and high air pollution as well as different air pollutants. Subgroup analyses indicated females and individuals aged 7-18 years old exhibited higher risks. Stronger effects were observed during winter season and in large cities. This study underscores the urgent need for tailored interventions to mitigate the health impacts in regions with concurrent low humidex and high air pollution.

Effects of co-exposure to heat and ozone on lipid metabolism in the liver and adipose tissue of C57BL/6J male mice

Although the effects of ozone and heat on health have been studied independently, the impact of combined exposure remains poorly understood. In this study, C57BL/6 J male mice were individually exposed to ozone (1 ppm), heat (34°C), or both in combination for 4 weeks (5 days/week, 3 h/day). In the Co-exposure group, stress hormones were increased, intensifying the activation of both the hypothalamic-pituitary-adrenal (HPA) axis and the sympathetic-adrenal-medullary (SAM) axis. Co-exposure to ozone and heat disrupted lipid homeostasis, as evidenced by elevated low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C) and free fatty acids (FFA). Additionally, the combined exposure promoted hepatic lipid accumulation and oxidative stress. Co-exposure also induced the whitening of brown adipose tissue, reducing its capacity for thermogenesis and potentially worsening lipid dysregulation in the liver and systemic circulation. Transcriptomic analysis of the liver identified perturbations in key pathways related to cellular stress response and lipid metabolism. Notably, key enzymes responsible for cholesterol clearance, such as cholesterol 7α-hydroxylase (Cyp7a1), and ATP-binding cassette transporters G5 (Abcg5) and G8 (Abcg8) were suppressed in the Co-exposure group. These findings underscore the additive effects of simultaneous ozone and heat exposure in lipid metabolism, highlighting the increased risk of metabolic disorders under environmental stress.

Association of ambient ozone with time to pregnancy and the modifying effect of ambient temperature: a population-based cohort study

Research on the impact of ozone (O3) on fecundability has been inconclusive, lacking evidence examining the lagged pattern of ozone exposure and temperature modification. Current studies have predominantly been conducted in North America and Europe, leaving a gap in research from the Asian population. This population-based prospective cohort study involved 594,110 couples in Yunnan Province, China, enrolled in the National Free Preconception Health Examination Project. We calculated time-varying cycle-specific O3 concentration across 1-12 menstrual cycles before conception, according to each female's menstrual cycle length and residential addresses. Time to pregnancy was used as an outcome indicator. A discrete-time Cox regression model integrated with a distributed lag model (DLM) was employed for analysis. We observed that O3 exposure was negatively associated with fecundability, with the effect diminishing over time relative to conception. The first menstrual cycle before conception appeared most sensitive to O3 exposure, showing a 6.2 % decrease (HR: 0.938; 95 % CI: 0.936 to 0.941) in fecundability per one IQR increase of O3. Combined exposure to O3 and ambient temperature may exert a synergistic effect. The modifying effect of temperature was most pronounced in the first cycle before conception, with HRs of 0.891 (95 % CI: 0.886 to 0.895), 0.859 (95 % CI: 0.853 to 0.865), and 0.833 (95 % CI: 0.826 to 0.840) under low-, median-, and high-temperature conditions, respectively. Targeted policy interventions are needed to mitigate the dual impact of air pollution and rising temperatures.

Pro-Thrombotic Changes in Response to Ambient Ozone Exposure Exacerbated by Temperatures

Recent evidence links high temperatures to increased ozone-related cardiovascular mortality in a changing climate, but the underlying biological mechanisms remain unclear. We investigated the associations between short-term ozone exposure and pro-thrombosis, a key process in the pathophysiology of cardiovascular diseases across varying temperatures (5-30 °C) in a longitudinal panel study of 135 participants in Beijing, China. Pro-thrombotic biomarkers and whole blood transcriptome data were measured repeatedly. Bayesian kernel machine regression revealed that higher serum thromboxane (Tx)B2 levels were associated with increasing levels of joint exposure to air pollutants over 1 week when ozone rather than other pollutants contributed most to the overall effect. Causal mediation analyses found 715 transcripts associated with an increase in TxB2 following ozone exposure, which were enriched in pathways, including ribosome, thermogenesis, oxidative phosphorylation, and pathways of neurodegeneration. As the temperature increased, we observed a stronger association between ozone exposure and TxB2 increase. The TxB2 increments per interquartile range increase in the one-week average of ozone were 6.6, 13.2, 14.8, 16.6, and 18.4 units when the temperatures were 6.5, 15.0, 17.6, 21.4, and 26.7 °C, respectively. The number of mediating transcripts enriched in pathways related to translation, environmental adaptation, energy metabolism, and human diseases was also greater at higher temperatures than at lower ones. This study suggests that higher temperatures exacerbate ozone-related pro-thrombotic response, providing a biological basis for the increased risk of ozone-associated cardiovascular mortality at high temperatures.

Combined effects of ambient air pollution and temperature on mortality in Thailand

This study aimed to investigate the combined effects of air pollution and temperature on mortality in 34 provinces of Thailand by modeling temperature as a confounding factor and effect modifier, estimating the effects of air pollution at low, moderate, and high temperature categories defined by the 1st and 99th province-specific temperature percentiles. When the temperature was modeled as a confounding factor, the relative risk (RR) of mortality associated with a 10 µg/m3 increase in PM10 and PM2.5 (lag 0-2), and a 10-ppb increase in NO2 (lag 0-2) and O3 (lag 0-7) was respectively 1.0096 (95% Confidence Interval (CI): 1.0073, 1.0118), 1.0134 (95% CI: 1.0099, 1.0170), 1.0172 (95% CI: 1.0122, 1.0222), and 1.0164 (95% CI: 1.0093, 1.0236). Regarding temperature as an effect modifier, the combined effects of air pollution and temperature were observed as a U-shaped pattern, where the effects of PM10, PM2.5, NO2, and O3 on mortality were greater at low (< 1st percentile) and high (> 99th percentile) temperature days compared to those at moderate temperature days (1st - 99th percentile). The pattern of combined effects of air pollution and temperature remained robust even when different temperature percentiles were employed, except for that of NO2. Furthermore, the estimated effects of PM10, PM2.5, NO2, and O3 on mortality at high-temperature days were mitigated by high green density. Findings of this study revealed that extreme temperature (both hot and cold) could exacerbate the effect of air pollution on mortality, and higher green density mitigate the combined effects of air pollution and high temperature.

Health effects associated with ozone in China: A systematic review

As the ozone (O3) pollution becomes severe in China, it poses a threat to human health. Currently, studies on the impacts of O3 on different regions and groups are limited. This review systematically summarizes the relationship between O3 pollution and mortality and morbidity across the nation, regions, and cities in China, with a focus on the regional and group-specific studies. Then, we clarify the overall limitations in the research data, methods, and subjects. In addition, we briefly discuss the mechanisms by which O3 exposure affects human health, analyzing the effects of O3 on human health under heatwaves (temperature) condition, multi-pollutant modeling, and future climate scenarios. Finally, we give some suggestions for future research directions. Studies found that increased risks of premature mortality and morbidity of respiratory and cardiovascular diseases are closely associated with high concentration O3 exposure. Besides, the old and children are sensitive groups, more studies are needed estimate the risk of their health associated with O3 pollution. Severe O3 pollution in Northern and Eastern China, has significantly increased premature mortality. O3 pollution has led to decreased lung function in the elderly in East China, and a higher asthma risk among young people in South China. Comparing with other regions, less research studied the relationship between O3 pollution and health of local people in Southwest, Central, Northeast, and Northwest Regions. Therefore, it is necessary to enhance research in these regions, with a particular emphasis on the distinctive health consequences of O3 pollution in these regions. Given the diversity of regions and research groups, comprehensive comparison is crucial for determining the impact of O3 pollution on human health in China.

Short-term effects of combined environmental factors on respiratory disease mortality in Qingdao city: A time-series investigation

BACKGROUND

It is crucial to comprehend the interplay between air pollution and meteorological conditions in relation to population health within the framework of "dual-carbon" targets. The purpose of this study was to investigate the impact of intricate environmental factors, encompassing both meteorological conditions and atmospheric pollutants, on respiratory disease (RD) mortality in Qingdao, a representative coastal city in China.

METHODS

The RD mortality cases were collected from the Chronic Disease Surveillance Monitoring System in Qingdao during Jan 1st, 2014 and Dec 31st, 2020. The distributed-lag nonlinear model and generalized additivity model were used to assess the association between daily mean temperature (DMT), air pollutant exposure and RD mortality. To ascertain the robustness of the model and further investigate this relationship, a stratified analysis and sensitivity analysis were conducted to mitigate potential confounding factors.

RESULTS

A total of 19,905 mortalities from RD were recorded. The minimum mortality temperature (MMT) was determined to be 23.5°C, and DMT and RD mortality showed an N-shaped relationship. At the MMT of 23.5°C, the cumulative relative risk (cumRR) for mortality within a lag period of 0-14 days from the highest temperature (31°C) was estimated at 2.114 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.475 ~ 3.028). The effect value of particulate matter (PM) also increased with a longer cumulative lag time. In the single pollutant model, the highest risk of RD mortality was observed on the lag1-day of per 10 μg/m3 increase in PM2.5 exposure, with an excess risk ratio (ER) of 0.847% (95% CI: 0.335% ~ 1.362%). The largest cumulative effect was found at a lag of 8 days, with an ER of 1.546% (95% CI: 0.483% ~ 2.621%). A similar trend was found for PM10. For O3 exposure, the highest risk was observed on the lag1-day of per 10 μg/m3 increase, with an ER of 1.073% (95% CI: 0.502% ~ 1.647%), and the largest cumulative effect occurred at a lag of 2 days with an ER of 1.113% (95%CI: 0.386% ~ 1.844%). Results from the dual-pollutants model demonstrated that the effect of PM on the risk of RD mortality remained significant and slightly increased in magnitude. Moreover, composite pollutants exhibited a higher risk effect, reaching its peak after one week; however, there was a decrease in single-day cumulative effects as more pollutant types were included. Subgroup analysis showed that females, elderly individuals, and those exposed during warm seasons demonstrated greater susceptibility to PM exposure.

CONCLUSION

The present study revealed a significant association between short-term exposure to high temperature, PM2.5, PM10 and O3 and the risk of RD mortality in Qingdao, even in dual- and composite-pollutants models. Furthermore, our findings indicate that females, the elderly population, and warm seasons exhibit heightened sensitivity to PM exposure.

Does Nonsteroidal Anti-inflammatory Drug Use Modify All-Cause and Cause-Specific Mortality Associated with PM2.5 and Its Components? A Nationally Representative Cohort Study (2007-2017)

Several studies reported that nonsteroidal anti-inflammatory drug (NSAID) use could alleviate subclinical effects of short-term exposure to fine particulate matter (PM2.5). However, whether chronic NSAID use could mitigate the long-term effects of PM2.5 and its components on population mortality has been unknown. Based on a national representative survey of 47,086 adults (2007-2010) with follow-up information on the primary cause of death (until 2017), we investigated the long-term associations of PM2.5 and its major components, including black carbon (BC), ammonium (NH4 +), nitrate (NO3 -), organic matter (OM), and sulfate (SO4 2-), with all-cause and cause-specific mortality using the Cox proportional hazards model. We also evaluated the effect modification by NSAID use (including broad NSAIDs, aspirin, or ibuprofen) on the associations using interaction models. Long-term exposures to PM2.5 and its components were associated with increased risks of all-cause and cause-specific mortality, where BC, OM, and SO4 2- showed stronger associations. Ibuprofen use could mitigate the associations of PM2.5 and its components with mortality risks, while no significant modifying effects of aspirin were observed. For instance, along with per interquartile range increment in PM2.5 concentration (34.8 μg/m3), the hazard ratios (HRs) of all-cause mortality were 1.21 (95% CI: 1.19, 1.22) and 1.10 (95% CI: 1.01, 1.19) in nonibuprofen and ibuprofen use groups (P for interaction = 0.026), respectively. Cause-specific analyses indicated that ibuprofen use could mainly mitigate risks of cardiovascular disease (CVD) especially ischemic heart disease (IHD) mortality attributable to PM2.5 components. Stratified analyses found more apparent mitigating effects of ibuprofen use among participants without chronic diseases, participants ≤50 years, female participants, rural residents, and those with lower education levels. Our findings suggested potential implications in reducing population mortality caused by long-term exposures to PM2.5 and its components through personalized interventions.

Ozone exposure and cardiovascular disease: A narrative review of epidemiology evidence and underlying mechanisms

Ozone (O3) poses a significant global public health concern as it exerts adverse effects on human cardiovascular health. Nevertheless, there remains a lack of comprehensive understanding regarding the relationships between O3 exposure and the risk of cardiovascular diseases (CVD), as well as the underlying biological mechanisms. To address this knowledge gap, this narrative review meticulously summarizes the existing epidemiological evidence, susceptibility, and potential underlying biological mechanisms linking O3 exposure with CVD. An increasing body of epidemiological studies has demonstrated that O3 exposure heightens the incidence and mortality of CVD, including specific subtypes such as ischemic heart disease, hypertension, and heart failure. Certain populations display heightened vulnerability to these effects, particularly children, the elderly, obese individuals, and those with pre-existing conditions. Proposed biological mechanisms suggest that O3 exposure engenders respiratory and systemic inflammation, oxidative stress, disruption of autonomic nervous and neuroendocrine systems, as well as impairment of coagulation function, glucose, and lipid metabolism. Ultimately, these processes contribute to vascular dysfunction and the development of CVD. However, some studies have reported the absence of associations between O3 and CVD, or even potentially protective effects of O3. Inconsistencies among the literature may be attributed to inaccurate assessment of personal O3 exposure levels in epidemiologic studies, as well as confounding effects stemming from co-pollutants and temperature. Consequently, our findings underscore the imperative for further research, including the development of reliable methodologies for assessing personal O3 exposure, exploration of O3 exposure's impact on cardiovascular health, and elucidation of its biological mechanisms. These endeavors will consolidate the causal relationship between O3 and cardiovascular diseases, subsequently aiding efforts to mitigate the risks associated with O3 exposure.

Interactive effects of atmospheric oxidising pollutants and heat waves on the risk of residential mortality

BACKGROUND

The impact of heat waves and atmospheric oxidising pollutants on residential mortality within the framework of global climate change has become increasingly important.

OBJECTIVE

In this research, the interactive effects of heat waves and oxidising pollutants on the risk of residential mortality in Fuzhou were examined. Methods We collected environmental, meteorological, and residential mortality data in Fuzhou from 1 January 2016, to 31 December 2021. We then applied a generalised additive model, distributed lagged nonlinear model, and bivariate three-dimensional model to investigate the effects and interactions of various atmospheric oxidising pollutants and heat waves on the risk of residential mortality.

RESULTS

Atmospheric oxidising pollutants increased the risk of residential mortality at lower concentrations, and O3 and Ox were positively associated with a maximum risk of 2.19% (95% CI: 0.74-3.66) and 1.29% (95% CI: 0.51-2.08). The risk of residential mortality increased with increasing temperature, with a strong and long-lasting effect and a maximum cumulative lagged effect of 1.11% (95% CI: 1.01, 1.23). Furthermore, an interaction between atmospheric oxidising pollutants and heat waves may have occurred: the larger effects in the longest cumulative lag time on residential mortality per 10 µg/m3 increase in O3, NO2 and Ox during heat waves compared to non-heat waves were [-3.81% (95% CI: -14.82, 8.63)]; [-0.45% (95% CI: -2.67, 1.81)]; [67.90% (95% CI: 11.55, 152.71)]; 16.37% (95% CI: 2.43, 32.20)]; [-3.00% (95% CI: -20.80, 18.79)]; [-0.30% (95% CI: -3.53, 3.04)]. The risk on heat wave days was significantly higher than that on non-heat wave days and higher than the separate effects of oxidising pollutants and heat waves.

CONCLUSIONS

Overall, we found some evidence suggesting that heat waves increase the impact of oxidising atmospheric pollutants on residential mortality to some extent.

Extreme temperature events, "Life's Essential 8", and prevalence of chronic kidney disease: A nationally representative surveillance in China

The population disease burden caused by extreme temperature events has been increasing. However, research on the long-term effects of extreme temperature events on chronic kidney disease (CKD), as well as the combined effects with individual behaviors and metabolic factors is still lacking. Based on 176,874 participants from the most recent nationally representative surveillance on CKD and validated high spatial resolution (0.1°) remote-sensing products, this study investigated the associations between extreme temperature events in the preceding five years before investigation and CKD (defined by reduced renal function or albuminuria) prevalence. We also investigated the associations between "Life's Essential 8", a recognized scale to evaluate overall cardiovascular health (CVH) based on individual behaviors and metabolic indicators and CKD prevalence, as well as its combined effects with extreme temperature events. One additional day of heat waves and cold spells per year was associated with increased ORs of CKD [1.10 (95 % CI: 1.08, 1.11) and 1.07 (95 % CI: 1.05, 1.09), respectively]. Meanwhile, per standard deviation (SD) increment in health behavior score (SD = 16.1), health factor score (SD = 18.4), and overall CVH score (SD = 12.4) were associated with decreased ORs of CKD [0.92 (95 % CI: 0.90, 0.93), 0.60 (95 % CI: 0.59, 0.61), and 0.64 (95 % CI: 0.63, 0.65, respectively]. Relative to higher heat wave & lower CVH score group, the ORs of CKD were 0.87 (95 % CI: 0.84, 0.90), 0.51 (95 % CI: 0.48, 0.53), and 0.42 (95 % CI: 0.40, 0.44) in lower & lower, higher & higher, and lower & higher group, respectively. Our findings underscore the importance of considering the synergistic effects of individual behavioral and metabolic factors for strategies to mitigate the impacts of climate change on CKD.

Concurrent heat stress and air pollution episodes by considering future projection of climate change

The simultaneous effect of heat stress and air pollutants such as ozone can cause many health issues in cities. The situation exacerbates in the context of climate change and temperature rise. Furthermore, ground-level ozone, worsened by climate change, needs investigation for effective management. Therefore, this study projects heat stress and ozone levels in two Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6) climate scenarios, SSP245 and SSP585. Results indicate heightened heat stress with increased ozone levels, especially in severe climate scenarios like SSP585. Besides, the study shows that in the SSP245 and SSP585 scenarios, the seasonal shift of high Heat Index (HI) values as well as high ozone concentrations is happening toward the previous months of June-July-August (JJA). High values in the HI classification and the Maximum Daily 8-hour average (MDA8) ozone happen sooner in the March-April-May (MAM) months than the expected JJA months. Furthermore, in the SSP585 scenario, the HI classification above 105 (very hot equal to danger category) is 10% high in all months in comparison to the SSP245 scenario. The study emphasizes the importance of understanding the interactions between heat stress and ozone pollution for implementing effective adaptation and mitigation measures.

Long-term exposure to ozone and sleep disorders in children: A multicity study in China

Evidence regarding the link between long-term ambient ozone (O3) exposure and childhood sleep disorders is little. This study aims to examine the associations between long-term exposure to O3 and sleep disorders in children. We conducted a population-based cross-sectional survey, including 185,428 children aged 6-18 years in 173 schools across 14 Chinese cities during 2012 and 2018. Parents or guardians completed a checklist using Sleep Disturbance Scale for Children, and O3 exposure at residential and school addresses was estimated using a satellite-based spatiotemporal model. We used generalized linear mixed models to test the associations with adjustment for factors including socio-demographic variables, lifestyle, meteorology and multiple pollutants. Mean concentrations of O3, particulate matter with diameters ≤2.5 mm (PM2.5) and nitrogen dioxide (NO2) were 89.0 μg/m3, 42.5 μg/m3 and 34.4 μg/m3, respectively. O3 and NO2 concentrations were similar among provinces, while PM2.5 concentration varied significantly among provinces. Overall, 19.4% of children had at least one sleep disorder. Long-term exposure to O3 was positively associated with odds of sleep disorders for all subtypes. For example, each interquartile increment in home-school O3 concentrations was associated with a higher odds ratio for global sleep disorder, at 1.22 (95% confidence interval: 1.18, 1.26). Similar associations were observed for sleep disorder subtypes. The associations remained similar after adjustment for PM2.5 and NO2. Moreover, these associations were heterogeneous regionally, with more prominent associations among children residing in southeast region than in northeast and northwest regions in China. We concluded that long-term exposure to O3 is positively associated with risks of childhood sleep disorders. These associations varied by geographical region of China.

Short-term ozone exposure on stroke mortality and mitigation by greenness in rural and urban areas of Shandong Province, China

BACKGROUND

Short-term exposure to ozone (O3) has been associated with higher stroke mortality, but it is unclear whether this association differs between urban and rural areas. The study aimed to compare the association between short-term exposure to O3 and ischaemic and haemorrhagic stroke mortality across rural and urban areas and further investigate the potential impacts of modifiers, such as greenness, on this association.

METHODS

A multi-county time-series analysis was carried out in 19 counties of Shandong Province from 2013 to 2019. First, we employed generalized additive models (GAMs) to assess the effects of O3 on stroke mortality in each county. We performed random-effects meta-analyses to pool estimates to counties and compare differences in rural and urban areas. Furthermore, a meta-regression model was utilized to assess the moderating effects of county-level features.

RESULTS

Short-term O3 exposure was found to be associated with increased mortality for both stroke subtypes. For each 10-µg/m3 (lag0-3) rise in O3, ischaemic stroke mortality rose by 1.472% in rural areas and 1.279% in urban areas. For each 0.1-unit increase in the Enhanced Vegetation Index (EVI) per county, the ischaemic stroke mortality caused by a 10-µg/m3 rise in O3 decreased by 0.60% overall and 1.50% in urban areas.

CONCLUSIONS

Our findings add to the evidence that short-term O3 exposure increases ischaemic and haemorrhagic stroke mortality and has adverse effects in urban and rural areas. However, improving greenness levels may contribute to mitigating the detrimental effects of O3 on ischaemic stroke mortality.

The association between the scarlet fever and meteorological factors, air pollutants and their interactions in children in northwest China

Scarlet fever (SF) is an acute respiratory transmitted disease that primarily affects children. The influence of meteorological factors and air pollutants on SF in children has been proved, but the relevant evidence in Northwest China is still lacking. Based on the weekly reported cases of SF in children in Lanzhou, northwest China, from 2014 to 2018, we used geographical detectors, distributed lag nonlinear models (DLNM), and bivariate response models to explore the influence of meteorological factors and air pollutants with SF. It was found that ozone (O3), carbon monoxide (CO), sulfur dioxide (SO2), temperature, pressure, water vapor pressure and wind speed were significantly correlated with SF based on geographical detectors. With the median as reference, the influence of high temperature, low pressure and high pressure on SF has a risk effect (relative risk (RR) > 1), and under extreme conditions, the dangerous effect was still significant. High O3 had the strongest effect at a 6-week delay, with an RR of 5.43 (95%CI: 1.74,16.96). The risk effect of high SO2 was strongest in the week of exposure, and the maximum risk effect was 1.37 (95%CI: 1.08,1.73). The interactions showed synergistic effects between high temperatures and O3, high pressure and high SO2, high nitrogen dioxide (NO2) and high particulate matter with diameter of less than 10 μm (PM10), respectively. In conclusion, high temperature, pressure, high O3 and SO2 were the most important factors affecting the occurrence of SF in children, which will provide theoretical support for follow-up research and disease prevention policy formulation.

Climate Change and Cardiovascular Health: A Systematic Review

Importance

Climate change may increase the risk of adverse cardiovascular outcomes by causing direct physiologic changes, psychological distress, and disruption of health-related infrastructure. Yet, the association between numerous climate change-related environmental stressors and the incidence of adverse cardiovascular events has not been systematically reviewed.

Objective

To review the current evidence on the association between climate change-related environmental stressors and adverse cardiovascular outcomes.

Evidence Review

PubMed, Embase, Web of Science, and Cochrane Library were searched to identify peer-reviewed publications from January 1, 1970, through November 15, 2023, that evaluated associations between environmental exposures and cardiovascular mortality, acute cardiovascular events, and related health care utilization. Studies that examined only nonwildfire-sourced particulate air pollution were excluded. Two investigators independently screened 20 798 articles and selected 2564 for full-text review. Study quality was assessed using the Navigation Guide framework. Findings were qualitatively synthesized as substantial differences in study design precluded quantitative meta-analysis.

Findings

Of 492 observational studies that met inclusion criteria, 182 examined extreme temperature, 210 ground-level ozone, 45 wildfire smoke, and 63 extreme weather events, such as hurricanes, dust storms, and droughts. These studies presented findings from 30 high-income countries, 17 middle-income countries, and 1 low-income country. The strength of evidence was rated as sufficient for extreme temperature; ground-level ozone; tropical storms, hurricanes, and cyclones; and dust storms. Evidence was limited for wildfire smoke and inadequate for drought and mudslides. Exposure to extreme temperature was associated with increased cardiovascular mortality and morbidity, but the magnitude varied with temperature and duration of exposure. Ground-level ozone amplified the risk associated with higher temperatures and vice versa. Extreme weather events, such as hurricanes, were associated with increased cardiovascular risk that persisted for many months after the initial event. Some studies noted a small increase in cardiovascular mortality, out-of-hospital cardiac arrests, and hospitalizations for ischemic heart disease after exposure to wildfire smoke, while others found no association. Older adults, racial and ethnic minoritized populations, and lower-wealth communities were disproportionately affected.

Conclusions and Relevance

Several environmental stressors that are predicted to increase in frequency and intensity with climate change are associated with increased cardiovascular risk, but data on outcomes in low-income countries are lacking. Urgent action is needed to mitigate climate change-associated cardiovascular risk, particularly in vulnerable populations.

Long-term exposure to ambient ozone and cardiovascular diseases: Evidence from two national cohort studies in China

INTRODUCTION

The health effects of ambient ozone have been investigated in many previous studies. However, the effects of long-term exposure to ambient ozone on the incidence of cardiovascular disease (CVD) remain inconclusive.

OBJECTIVES

To estimate the associations of long-term exposure to maximum daily 8-hours average ozone (MDA8 O3) with the incidence of total CVD, heart disease, hypertension, and stroke.

METHODS

This was a prospective cohort study, and the data was obtained from the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Survey (CHARLS) implemented during 2011-2018 and the China Family Panel Studies (CFPS) implemented during 2010-2018. We applied a Cox proportional hazards regression model to evaluate the associations of MDA8 O3 with total CVD, heart disease, hypertension, and stroke risks, and the corresponding population-attributable fractions (PAF) attributable to MDA8 O3 were also calculated. All analyses were conducted by R software.

RESULTS

The mean MDA8 O3 concertation of all included participants in the CHARLS and CFPS were 51.03 part per billion (ppb) and 51.15 ppb, respectively. In the CHARLS including 18,177 participants, each 10 ppb increment in MDA8 O3 concentration was associated with a 31% increase [hazard ratio (HR) = 1.31, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.22-1.42] in the risk of incident heart disease, and the corresponding population-attributable fractions (PAF) was 13.79% [10.12%-17.32%]. In the CFPS including 30,226 participants, each 10 ppb increment in MDA8 O3 concentration was associated with an increase in the risk of incident total CVD (1.07 [1.02-1.13]), and hypertension (1.10 [1.03-1.18]). The PAFs of total CVD, and hypertension attributable to MDA8 O3 were 3.53% [0.82%-6.16%], and 5.11% [1.73%-8.38%], respectively. Stratified analyses showed greater associations in males, urban areas, and Southern China.

CONCLUSIONS

Long-term exposure to MDA8 O3 may increase the incidence of CVD. Therefore, the policies that control O3 and related precursors are persistently needed.

Stable O3 Decomposition by Layered Double Hydroxides: The Pivotal Role of NiOOH Transformation

Because ozone (O3) is a significant air pollutant, advanced O3 elimination technologies, particularly those under high-humidity conditions, have become an essential research focus. In this study, a nickel-iron layered double hydroxide (NiFe-LDH) was modified via intercalation with octanoate to develop an effective hydrophobic catalyst (NiFe-OAa-LDH) for O3 decomposition. The NiFe-OAa-LDH catalyst sustained its O3 decomposition rate of >98% for 48 h under conditions of 90% relative humidity, 840 L/(g·h) space velocity, and 100 ppm inlet O3 concentration. Moreover, it maintained a decomposition rate of 90% even when tested at a higher airflow rate of 2500 L/(g·h). Based on the changes induced by the Ni-OII to Ni-OIII bonds in NiFe-OAa-LDH during O3 treatment, catalytic O3 decomposition was proposed to occur in two stages. The first stage involved the reaction between the hydroxyl groups and O3, leading to the breakage of the O-H bonds, formation of NiOOH, and structural changes in the catalyst. This transformation resulted in the formation of abundant and stable hydrogen vacancies. According to density functional theory calculations, O3 can be effectively decomposed at the hydrogen vacancies with a low energy barrier during the second stage. This study provides new insights into O3 decomposition.

Long-term ambient ozone exposure and incident cardiovascular diseases: National cohort evidence in China

BACKGROUND

Long-term ozone (O3) exposure has been associated with cardiovascular disease (CVD) mortality in mounting cohort evidence, yet its relationship with incident CVD was poorly understood, especially in low- and middle-income countries (LMICs) experiencing high ambient air pollution.

METHODS

We carried out a nationwide perspective cohort study from 2010 through 2018 by dynamically enrolling 36948 participants across Chinese mainland. Warm-season (April-September) O3 concentrations were estimated using satellite-based machine-learning models with national coverage. Cox proportional hazards model with time-varying exposures was employed to evaluate the association of long-term O3 exposure with incident CVD (overall CVD, hypertension, stroke, and coronary heart disease [CHD]). Assuming causality, a counterfactual framework was employed to estimate O3-attributable CVD burden based on the exposure-response (E-R) relationship obtained from this study. Decomposition analysis was utilized to quantify the contributions of four key direct driving factors (O3 exposure, population size, age structure, and incidence rate) to the net change of O3-related CVD cases between 2010 and 2018.

RESULTS

A total of 4428 CVD, 2600 hypertension, 1174 stroke, and 337 CHD events were reported during 9-year follow-up. Each 10-μg/m³ increase in warm-season O3 was associated with an incident risk of 1.078 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.050-1.106) for overall CVD, 1.098 (95% CI: 1.062-1.135) for hypertension, 1.073 (95% CI: 1.019-1.131) for stroke, and 1.150 (95% CI: 1.038-1.274) for CHD, respectively. We observed no departure from linear E-R relationships of O3 exposure with overall CVD (Pnonlinear= 0.22), hypertension (Pnonlinear= 0.19), stroke (Pnonlinear= 0.70), and CHD (Pnonlinear= 0.44) at a broad concentration range of 60-160 µg/m3. Compared with rural dwellers, those residing in urban areas were at significantly greater O3-associated incident risks of overall CVD, hypertension, and stroke. We estimated 1.22 million (10.6% of overall CVD in 2018) incident CVD cases could be attributable to ambient O3 pollution in 2018, representing an overall 40.9% growth (0.36 million) compared to 2010 (0.87 million, 9.7% of overall CVD in 2010). This remarkable rise in O3-attributable CVD cases was primary driven by population aging (+24.0%), followed by increase in O3 concentration (+10.5%) and population size (+6.7%).

CONCLUSIONS

Long-term O3 exposure was associated with an elevated risk and burden of incident CVD in Chinese adults, especially among urban dwellers. Our findings underscored policy priorities of implementing joint control measures for fine particulate matter and O3 in the context of accelerated urbanization and population aging in China.

A Review of the Interactive Effects of Climate and Air Pollution on Human Health in China

PURPOSE OF REVIEW

Through a systematic search of peer-reviewed epidemiologic studies, we reviewed the literature on the human health impacts of climate and ambient air pollution, focusing on recently published studies in China. Selected previous literature is discussed where relevant in tracing the origins.

RECENT FINDINGS

Climate variables and air pollution have a complex interplay in affecting human health. The bulk of the literature we reviewed focuses on the air pollutants ozone and fine particulate matter and temperatures (including hot and cold extremes). The interaction between temperature and ozone presented substantial interaction, but evidence about the interactive effects of temperature with other air pollutants is inconsistent. Most included studies used a time-series design, usually with daily mean temperature and air pollutant concentration as independent variables. Still, more needs to be studied about the co-occurrence of climate and air pollution. The co-occurrence of extreme climate and air pollution events is likely to become an increasing health risk in China and many parts of the world as climate changes. Climate change can interact with air pollution exposure to amplify risks to human health. Challenges and opportunities to assess the combined effect of climate variables and air pollution on human health are discussed in this review. Implications from epidemiological studies for implementing coordinated measures and policies for addressing climate change and air pollution will be critical areas of future work.

Effects of extreme meteorological factors and high air pollutant concentrations on the incidence of hand, foot and mouth disease in Jining, China

Background

The evidence on the effects of extreme meteorological conditions and high air pollution levels on incidence of hand, foot and mouth disease (HFMD) is limited. Moreover, results of the available studies are inconsistent. Further investigations are imperative to elucidate the specific issue.

Methods

Data on the daily cases of HFMD, meteorological factors and air pollution were obtained from 2017 to 2022 in Jining City. We employed distributed lag nonlinear model (DLNM) incorporated with Poisson regression to explore the impacts of extreme meteorological conditions and air pollution on HFMD incidence.

Results

We found that there were nonlinear relationships between temperature, wind speed, PM2.5, SO2, O3 and HFMD. The cumulative risk of extreme high temperature was higher at the 95th percentile (P95th) than at the 90th percentile(P90th), and the RR values for both reached their maximum at 10-day lag (P95th RR = 1.880 (1.261-2.804), P90th RR = 1.787 (1.244-2.569)), the hazardous effect of extreme low temperatures on HFMD is faster than that of extreme high temperatures. The cumulative effect of extreme low wind speeds reached its maximum at 14-day lag (P95th RR = 1.702 (1.389-2.085), P90th RR = 1.498(1.283-1.750)). The cumulative effect of PM2.5 concentration at the P90th was largest at 14-day lag (RR = 1.637 (1.069-2.506)), and the cumulative effect at the P95th was largest at 10-day lag (RR = 1.569 (1.021-2.411)). High SO2 concentration at the P95th at 14-day lag was associated with higher risk for HFMD (RR: 1.425 (1.001-2.030)).

Conclusion

Our findings suggest that high temperature, low wind speed, and high concentrations of PM2.5 and SO2 are associated with an increased risk of HFMD. This study not only adds insights to the understanding of the impact of extreme meteorological conditions and high levels of air pollutants on HFMD incidence but also holds practical significance for the development and enhancement of an early warning system for HFMD.

Exposure to Concurrent Heatwaves and Ozone Pollution and Associations with Mortality Risk: A Nationwide Study in China

BACKGROUND

Concurrent extreme events are projected to occur more frequently under a changing climate. Understanding the mortality risk and burden of the concurrent heatwaves and ozone (O 3 ) pollution may support the formulation of adaptation strategies and early warning systems for concurrent events in the context of climate change.

OBJECTIVES

We aimed to estimate the mortality risk and excess deaths of concurrent heatwaves and O 3 pollution across 250 counties in China.

METHODS

We collected daily mortality, meteorological, and air pollution data for the summer (1 June to 30 September) during 2013-2018. We defined heatwaves and high O 3 pollution days, then we divided the identified days into three categories: a) days with only heatwaves (heatwave-only event), b) days with only high O 3 pollution (high O 3 pollution-only event), and c) days with concurrent heatwaves and high O 3 pollution (concurrent event). A generalized linear model with a quasi-Poisson regression was used to estimate the risk of mortality associated with extreme events for each county. Then we conducted a random-effects meta-analysis to pool the county-specific estimates to derive the overall effect estimates. We used mixed-effects meta-regression to identify the drivers of the heterogeneity. Finally, we estimated the excess death attributable to extreme events (heatwave-only, high O 3 pollution-only, and concurrent events) from 2013 to 2020.

RESULTS

A higher all-cause mortality risk was associated with exposure to the concurrent heatwaves and high O 3 pollution than exposure to a heatwave-only or a high O 3 pollution-only event. The effects of a concurrent event on circulatory and respiratory mortality were higher than all-cause and nonaccidental mortality. Sex and age significantly impacted the association of concurrent events and heatwave-only events with all-cause mortality. We estimated that annual average excess deaths attributed to the concurrent events were 6,249 in China from 2017 to 2020, 5.7 times higher than the annual average excess deaths attributed to the concurrent events from 2013 to 2016. The annual average proportion of excess deaths attributed to the concurrent events in the total excess deaths caused by three types of events (heatwave-only events, high O 3 pollution-only events, and concurrent events) increased significantly in 2017-2020 (31.50%; 95% CI: 26.73%, 35.53%) compared with 2013-2016 (9.65%; 95% CI: 5.67%, 10.81%). Relative excess risk due to interaction revealed positive additive interaction considering the concurrent effect of heatwaves and high O 3 pollution.

DISCUSSION

Our findings may provide scientific basis for establishing a concurrent event early warning system to reduce the adverse health impact of the concurrent heatwaves and high O 3 pollution. https://doi.org/10.1289/EHP13790.

The short-term effect of ozone on pregnancy loss modified by temperature: Findings from a nationwide epidemiological study in the contiguous United States

BACKGROUND

Pregnancy loss, a major health issue that affects human sustainability, has been linked to short-term exposure to ground-surface ozone (O3). However, the association is inconsistent, possibly because of the co-occurrence of O3 and heat episodes, as increased temperature is a risk factor for pregnancy loss. To explain this inconsistency, the effect of O3 on pregnancy loss needs to be examined jointly with that of high temperature.

METHODS

A total of 247,305 pregnancy losses during the warm season were extracted from fetal death certificates from the 386 counties in contiguous United States from 1989 to 2005. We assessed environmental exposure based on the daily maximum 8 h average of O3 from Air Quality System monitors and the 24 h average temperature from the North American Regional Reanalysis product. We conducted a bidirectional, time-stratified case-crossover study of the association between pregnancy loss and exposures to O3 and temperature and their multiplicative interaction. The main time window for the exposure assessment was the day of case occurrence and the preceding 3 days. To estimate the association, we used conditional logistic regression with adjustment for relative humidity, height of the planetary boundary layer, and holidays. Sensitivity analyses were performed on the lagged structure, nonlinearity, and between-subpopulation heterogeneity of the estimated joint effect.

RESULTS

The joint effect was first estimated by the regression against categorical exposure by tertile. Compared to the low-low exposure group (O3 ≤ 78 μg/m3 and temperature ≤ 18 °C), the odds of pregnancy loss was significantly higher by 6.0 % (95 % confidence interval [CI] 2.4-9.7 %), 9.8 % (6.1-13.8 %), and 7.5 % (4.7-10.3 %) in the high-low (>104 μg/m3 and ≤18 °C), low-high (≤78 μg/m3 and >23 °C), and high-high (>104 μg/m3 and >23 °C) groups. The model of linear exposure and the multiplicative interaction yielded similar results. Each increment of 10 μg/m3 in O3 and 1 °C in temperature was associated with a 3.0 % (2.0 %-4.0 %) and 3.9 % (3.5 %-4.3 %), respectively, increase in the odds of pregnancy loss. A decrease in odds of 0.2 % (0.1 %-0.2 %) was associated with the temperature × O3 interaction. The finding of an antagonistic interaction between temperature and O3 was confirmed by models parametrizing the joint exposure as alternative nonlinear terms (i.e., a two-dimensional spline term or a varying-coefficient term) and was robust to a variety of exposure lags and stratifications. Therefore, the marginal effect of O3 was estimated to vary by climate zone. A significant association between O3 and pregnancy loss was observed in the northern, but not southern, United States.

CONCLUSION

Joint exposure to O3 and high temperature can increase the risk for pregnancy loss. The adverse effect of O3 is potentially modified by ambient temperature. In high-latitude cities, controlling for O3 pollution could protect maternal health.

Joint effect of heat and air pollution on mortality in 620 cities of 36 countries

BACKGROUND

The epidemiological evidence on the interaction between heat and ambient air pollution on mortality is still inconsistent.

OBJECTIVES

To investigate the interaction between heat and ambient air pollution on daily mortality in a large dataset of 620 cities from 36 countries.

METHODS

We used daily data on all-cause mortality, air temperature, particulate matter ≤ 10 μm (PM10), PM ≤ 2.5 μm (PM2.5), nitrogen dioxide (NO2), and ozone (O3) from 620 cities in 36 countries in the period 1995-2020. We restricted the analysis to the six consecutive warmest months in each city. City-specific data were analysed with over-dispersed Poisson regression models, followed by a multilevel random-effects meta-analysis. The joint association between air temperature and air pollutants was modelled with product terms between non-linear functions for air temperature and linear functions for air pollutants.

RESULTS

We analyzed 22,630,598 deaths. An increase in mean temperature from the 75th to the 99th percentile of city-specific distributions was associated with an average 8.9 % (95 % confidence interval: 7.1 %, 10.7 %) mortality increment, ranging between 5.3 % (3.8 %, 6.9 %) and 12.8 % (8.7 %, 17.0 %), when daily PM10 was equal to 10 or 90 μg/m3, respectively. Corresponding estimates when daily O3 concentrations were 40 or 160 μg/m3 were 2.9 % (1.1 %, 4.7 %) and 12.5 % (6.9 %, 18.5 %), respectively. Similarly, a 10 μg/m3 increment in PM10 was associated with a 0.54 % (0.10 %, 0.98 %) and 1.21 % (0.69 %, 1.72 %) increase in mortality when daily air temperature was set to the 1st and 99th city-specific percentiles, respectively. Corresponding mortality estimate for O3 across these temperature percentiles were 0.00 % (-0.44 %, 0.44 %) and 0.53 % (0.38 %, 0.68 %). Similar effect modification results, although slightly weaker, were found for PM2.5 and NO2.

CONCLUSIONS

Suggestive evidence of effect modification between air temperature and air pollutants on mortality during the warm period was found in a global dataset of 620 cities.

Mortality risks from a spectrum of causes associated with sand and dust storms in China

Sand and Dust Storms (SDS) pose considerable health risks worldwide. Previous studies only indicated risk of SDS on overall mortality. This nationwide multicenter time-series study aimed to examine SDS-associated mortality risks extensively. We analyzed 1,495,724 deaths and 2024 SDS events from 1 February to 31 May (2013-2018) in 214 Chinese counties. The excess mortality risks associated with SDS were 7.49% (95% CI: 3.12-12.05%), 5.40% (1.25-9.73%), 4.05% (0.41-7.83%), 3.45% (0.34-6.66%), 3.37% (0.28-6.55%), 3.33% (0.07-6.70%), 8.90% (4.96-12.98%), 12.51% (6.31-19.08%), and 11.55% (5.55-17.89%) for ischemic stroke, intracerebral hemorrhagic stroke, hypertensive heart disease, myocardial infarction, acute myocardial infarction, acute ischemic heart disease, respiratory disease, chronic lower respiratory disease, and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD), respectively. SDS had significantly added effects on ischemic stroke, chronic lower respiratory disease, and COPD mortality. Our results suggest the need to implement public health policy against SDS.

Estimation of health risk and economic loss attributable to PM2.5 and O3 pollution in Jilin Province, China

Ambient pollutants, particularly fine particulate matter (PM2.5) and ozone (O3), pose significant risks to both public health and economic development. In recent years, PM2.5 concentration in China has decreased significantly, whereas that of O3 has increased rapidly, leading to considerable health risks. In this study, a generalized additive model was employed to establish the relationship of PM2.5 and O3 exposure with non-accidental mortality across 17 districts and counties in Jilin Province, China, over 2015-2016. The health burden and economic losses attributable to PM2.5 and O3 were assessed using high-resolution satellite and population data. According to the results, per 10 µg/m3 increase in PM2.5 and O3 concentrations related to an overall relative risk (95% confidence interval) of 1.004 (1.001-1.007) and 1.009 (1.005-1.012), respectively. In general, the spatial distribution of mortality and economic losses was uneven. Throughout the study period, a total of 23,051.274 mortalities and 27,825.015 million Chinese Yuan (CNY) in economic losses were attributed to O3 exposure, which considerably surpassing the 5,450.716 mortalities and 6,553,780 million CNY in economic losses attributed to PM2.5 exposure. The O3-related health risks and economic losses increased by 3.75% and 9.3% from 2015 to 2016, while those linked to PM2.5 decreased by 23.33% and 18.7%. Sensitivity analysis results indicated that changes in pollutant concentrations were the major factors affecting mortality rather than baseline mortality and population.

Short-term exposure to ambient ozone and cardiovascular mortality in China: a systematic review and meta-analysis

Air pollution is a major public health concern in China. Notwithstanding this, there is limited evidence regarding the impact of short-term exposure to ambient ozone on cardiovascular mortality in the Chinese population. Therefore, we conducted this meta-analysis to address this important question. The random-effects model was applied to pool the results from individual studies. Finally, 32 effect estimates extracted from 19 studies were pooled in this meta-analysis. The pooled relative risk for cardiovascular mortality for each 10 µg/m3 increment in ozone concentration was 1.0068 (95% CI: 1.0049, 1.0086). Ths significant positive association between ozone exposure and cardiovascular mortality was also observed in different two-pollutant models. This meta-analysis revealed that exposure to ozone was associated with an increased risk of cardiovascular mortality in China, and more efforts on controlling the population from ozone are needed to improve cardiovascular health of Chinese population.

Ambient PM2.5, ozone and mortality in Chinese older adults: A nationwide cohort analysis (2005-2018)

BACKGROUND

Cohort evidence linking long-term survival with exposure to multiple air pollutants (e.g., fine particulate matter [PM2.5] and ozone) was extensively sparse in low- and middle-income countries, especially among older adults. This study aimed to investigate potential associations of long-term exposures to PM2.5 and ozone with all-cause mortality in Chinese older adults.

METHODS

A dynamic nationwide prospective cohort comprising 20,352 adults aged ≥65 years were enrolled from the Chinese Longitudinal Healthy Longevity Study and followed up through 2005-2018. Participants' annual exposures to warm-season ozone and year-round PM2.5 were assigned using satellite-derived spatiotemporal estimates. A directed acyclic graph (DAG) was developed to identify confounding variables. Associations of annual mean exposures to PM2.5 and ozone with mortality were evaluated using single- and two-pollutant Cox proportional hazards models, adjusting for time-dependent individual risk factors and ambient temperature.

RESULTS

During 100 thousand person-years of follow-up (median: 3.6 years), a total of 14,313 death events occurred. The participants were averagely aged 87.1 years at baseline and exposed to a wide range of annual average concentrations of warm-season maximum 8-hour ozone (mean, 54.4 ppb; range, 23.3-81.6 ppb) and year-round PM2.5 (mean, 65.5 μg/m3; range, 10.1-162.9 μg/m3). Approximately linear concentration-response relationship was identified for ozone, whereas significant increases in PM2.5-associated mortality risks were observed only when concentrations were above 60 μg/m3. Rises of 10 ppb in ozone and 10 µg/m3 in PM2.5 above 60 µg/m3 were associated with increases in all-cause mortality of 13.2% (95% confidence interval [CI]: 10.2-16.2%) and 6.2% (95% CI: 4.6-7.7%) in DAG-based single-pollutant model, and of 9.7% (95% CI: 6.6-13.0%) and 5.3% (95% CI: 3.7-6.9%) in DAG-based two-pollutant model, respectively. We detected significant effect modification by temperature in associations of mortality with ozone (P <0.001 for interaction), suggesting greater ozone-related risks among participants in warmer locations.

CONCLUSIONS

This study provided longitudinal evidence that long-term exposure to ambient PM2.5 and ozone significantly and independently contributed to elevated risks of all-cause mortality among older adults in China.

Adverse short-term effects of ozone on cardiovascular mortalities modified by season and temperature: a time-series study

Introduction

Ambient ozone pollution becomes critical in China. Conclusions on the short-term effects of ozone on cardiovascular mortality have been controversial and limited on cause-specific cardiovascular mortalities and their interactions with season and temperature. This research aimed to investigate the short-term effects of ozone and the modifications of season and temperature on cardiovascular mortality.

Methods

Cardiovascular death records, air pollutants, and meteorological factors in Shenzhen from 2013 to 2019 were analyzed. Daily 1-h maximum of ozone and daily maximum 8-h moving average of ozone were studied. Generalized additive models (GAMs) were applied to evaluate their associations with cardiovascular mortalities in sex and age groups. Effect modifications were assessed by stratifying season and temperature.

Results

Distributed lag impacts of ozone on total cardiovascular deaths and cumulative effects on mortality due to ischemic heart disease (IHD) were most significant. Population under 65 years old was most susceptible. Majority of significant effects were found in warm season, at high temperature, and at extreme heat. Ozone-associated risks in total deaths caused by hypertensive diseases reduced in warm season, while risks in IHD in males increased at high temperature. Extreme heat enhanced ozone effects on deaths caused by CVDs and IHD in the population under 65 years old.

Discussion

The revealed cardiovascular impacts of ozone below current national standard of air quality suggested improved standards and interventions in China. Higher temperature, particularly extreme heat, rather than warm season, could significantly enhance the adverse effects of ozone on cardiovascular mortality in population under 65 years old.

Effect modification by temperature on the association between O3 and emergency ambulance dispatches in Japan: A multi-city study

Numerous epidemiological studies have reported that ozone (O₃) and temperature are independently associated with health outcomes, but modification of the effects of O₃ on health outcomes by temperature, and vice versa, has not been fully described. This study aimed to investigate effect modification by temperature on the association between O₃ and emergency ambulance dispatches (EADs) in Japan. Data on daily air pollutants, ambient temperature, and EADs were obtained from eight Japanese cities from 2007 to 2015. A distributed lag non-linear model combined with Poisson regression was performed with temperature as a confounding factor and effect modifier to estimate the effects of O₃ on EADs at low (<25th percentile), moderate (25th-75th percentile), and high (>75th percentile) temperature for each city. The estimates obtained from each city were pooled by random-effects meta-analysis. When temperature was entered as a confounder, the estimated effects of O₃ on EADs for all acute, cardiovascular, and respiratory illnesses were largest at lag 0 (current-day lag). Therefore, this lag was used to further estimate the effects of O₃ on EADs in each temperature category. The estimated effects of O₃ on EADs for all acute, cardiovascular, and respiratory illnesses in all eight Japanese cities increased with increasing temperature. Specifically, a 10 ppb increase in O₃ was associated with 0.80 % (95 % CI: 0.25 to 1.35), 0.19 % (95 % CI: -0.85 to 1.25), and 1.14 % (95 % CI: -0.01 to 2.31) increases in the risk of EADs for all acute, cardiovascular, and respiratory illnesses, respectively, when city-specific daily temperature exceeded the 75th percentile. Our findings suggest that the association between O₃ and EADs for all acute, cardiovascular, and respiratory illnesses is the highest during high temperature. Finding of this study can be used to develop potential mitigation measures against O₃ exposure in high temperature environment to reduce its associated adverse health effects.

Exploring Health Effects under Specific Causes of Mortality Based on 90 Definitions of PM2.5 and Cold Spell Combined Exposure in Shanghai, China

In this study, a total of 90 definitions were set up based on six air pollution definitions, five cold spell definitions, and three combined exposure scenarios. The relative risks (RRs) on all-cause, circulatory, and respiratory mortality were explored by a model combining a distributed linear lag model with quasi-Poisson regression. The definition in which daily PM_2.5 increases more than 75 μg/m³ for at least 2 days and the average temperature falls below the 10th percentile for at least 2 days produced the best model fit performance in all-cause mortality. The high peaks of the health effect were generally observed around the lag days 6-9. The cumulative relative risks (CRRs) were more significant in the simultaneous-exposure scenario and higher in respiratory mortality, where the highest CRR (12.15, 3.69-40.03) was observed in definition P1T5, in which daily PM_2.5 increases more than 75 μg/m³, and the average temperature falls below the 2.5th percentile for at least two days. For relative risk due to interaction (RERI), we found positive additive interactions (RERI > 0) between PM_2.5 pollution and cold spell, especially in respiratory mortality. Clarifying the definition of combined events can help policymakers to capture health risks and construct more effective risk warning systems.

Short-term effect of ambient temperature and ambient temperature changes on the risk of warts outpatient visits in Hefei, China: a retrospective time-series study

Concerns are growing about the adverse health effects of ambient temperature and ambient temperature changes. However, the association between ambient temperature and ambient temperature changes on the risk of warts outpatient visits is poorly understood. Our study used the distributed lag non-linear model (DLNM) aimed to evaluate the association between ambient temperature, ambient temperature changes (including temperature change between neighboring days (TCN) and diurnal temperature range (DTR)), and warts outpatient visits. We also performed subgroup analyses in order to find susceptible populations by gender and age groups. The maximum relative risk (RR) of low ambient temperature (0 °C) for warts outpatient visits was 1.117 (95% CI: 1.041-1.198, lag 04 days), and the maximum RR of high ambient temperature (32 °C) for warts outpatient visits was 1.318 (95% CI: 1.083-1.605, lag 07 days). The large temperature drop (TCN =  - 3 °C) decreased the risk of warts visits, with the lowest RR value at the cumulative exposure of lag 7 days (RR = 0.888, 95% CI: 0.822-0.959), and the large temperature rise (TCN = 2 °C) increased the risk of warts visits, with the highest RR value at the cumulative exposure of lag 7 days (RR = 1.080, 95% CI: 1.022-1.142). Overall, both low and high ambient temperatures and large temperature rise can increase the risk of warts visits, while large temperature drop is a protective factor for warts visits. However, we did not find any association between DTR and warts visits. Furthermore, subgroup analyses showed that males and the young (0-17 years old) were more sensitive to low and high ambient temperatures, and the elderly (≥ 65 years old) were more susceptible to TCN. The results may provide valuable evidence for reducing the disease burden of warts in the future.

Modification effects of ambient temperature on associations of ambient ozone exposure before and during pregnancy with adverse birth outcomes: A multicity study in China

BACKGROUND

Epidemiological studies suggest that both ambient ozone (O₃) and temperature were associated with increased risks of adverse birth outcomes. However, very few studies explored their interaction effects, especially for small for gestational age (SGA) and large for gestational age (LGA).

OBJECTIVES

To estimate the modification effects of ambient temperature on associations of ambient O₃ exposure before and during pregnancy with preterm birth (PTB), low birth weight (LBW), SGA and LGA based on multicity birth cohorts.

METHODS

A total of 56,905 singleton pregnant women from three birth cohorts conducted in Tianjin, Beijing and Maoming, China, were included in the study. Maximum daily 8-h average O₃ concentrations of each pregnant woman from the preconception period to delivery for every day were estimated by matching their home addresses with the Tracking Air Pollution in China (TAP) datasets. We first applied the Cox proportional-hazards regression model to evaluate the city-specific effects of O₃ exposure before and during pregnancy on adverse birth outcomes at different temperature levels with adjustment for potential confounders, and then a meta-analysis across three birth cohorts was conducted to calculate the pooled associations.

RESULTS

In pooled analysis, significant modification effects of ambient temperature on associations of ambient O₃ with PTB, LBW and LGA were observed (P_interaction < 0.05). For a 10 μg/m³ increase in ambient O₃ exposure at high temperature level (> 75^th percentile), the risk of LBW increased by 28 % (HR: 1.28, 95% CI: 1.13-1.46) during the second trimester and the risk of LGA increased by 116% (HR: 2.16, 95%CI: 1.16-4.00) during the entire pregnancy, while the null or weaker association was observed at corresponding low (≤ 25^th percentile) and medium (> 25^th and ≤ 75^th percentile) temperature levels.

CONCLUSION

This multicity study added new evidence that ambient high temperature may enhance the potential effects of ambient O₃ on adverse birth outcomes.

Comparison of the association between different ozone indicators and daily respiratory hospitalization in Guangzhou, China

Background

Epidemiological studies have widely proven the impact of ozone (O₃) on respiratory mortality, while only a few studies compared the association between different O₃ indicators and health.

Methods

This study explores the relationship between daily respiratory hospitalization and multiple ozone indicators in Guangzhou, China, from 2014 to 2018. It uses a time-stratified case-crossover design. Sensitivities of different age and gender groups were analyzed for the whole year, the warm and the cold periods. We compared the results from the single-day lag model and the moving average lag model.

Results

The results showed that the maximum daily 8 h average ozone concentration (MDA8 O₃) had a significant effect on the daily respiratory hospitalization. This effect was stronger than for the maximum daily 1 h average ozone concentration (MDA1 O₃). The results further showed that O₃ was positively associated with daily respiratory hospitalization in the warm season, while there was a significantly negative association in the cold season. Specifically, in the warm season, O₃ has the most significant effect at lag 4 day, with the odds ratio (OR) equal to 1.0096 [95% confidence intervals (CI): 1.0032, 1.0161]. Moreover, at the lag 5 day, the effect of O₃ on the 15-60 age group was less than that on people older than 60 years, with the OR value of 1.0135 (95% CI: 1.0041, 1.0231) for the 60+ age group; women were more sensitive than men to O₃ exposure, with an OR value equal to 1.0094 (95% CI: 0.9992, 1.0196) for the female group.

Conclusion

These results show that different O₃ indicators measure different impacts on respiratory hospitalization admission. Their comparative analysis provided a more comprehensive insight into exploring associations between O₃ exposure and respiratory health.

Associations between Different Ozone Indicators and Cardiovascular Hospital Admission: A Time-Stratified Case-Crossover Analysis in Guangzhou, China

Epidemiological studies reported that ozone (O3) is associated with cardiovascular diseases. However, only few of these studies examined the impact of multiple O3 indicators on cardiovascular hospital admissions. This study aimed to explore and compare the impacts of different O3 indicators on cardiovascular hospital admissions in Guangzhou, China. Based upon the data on daily cardiovascular hospital admissions, air pollution, and meteorological factors in Guangzhou from 2014 to 2018, a time-stratified case-crossover design model was used to analyze the associations between different O3 indicators and cardiovascular hospital admissions. Moreover, the sensitivities of different age and gender groups were analyzed for the whole year and different seasons (i.e., warm and cold). During the warm season, for the single-pollutant model, the odds ratio (OR) value of cardiovascular hospital admissions was 1.0067 (95% confidence interval (CI): 1.0037, 1.0098) for every IQR increase in MDA8 O3 at a lag of five days. The effect of O3 on people over 60 year was stronger than that on the 15-60 years age group. Females were more sensitive than males to O3 exposure. These results provided valuable references for further scientific research and environmental improvement in Guangzhou. Given that short-term O3 exposure poses a threat to human health, the government should therefore pay attention to prevention and control policies to reduce and eliminate O3 pollution and protect human health.

Association and interaction of O3 and NO2 with emergency room visits for respiratory diseases in Beijing, China: a time-series study

BACKGROUND

Ozone (O₃) and nitrogen dioxide (NO₂) are the two main gaseous pollutants in the atmosphere that act as oxidants. Their short-term effects and interaction on emergency room visits (ERVs) for respiratory diseases remain unclear.

METHODS

We conducted a time-series study based on 144,326 ERVs for respiratory diseases of Peking University Third Hospital from 2014 to 2019 in Beijing, China. Generalized additive models with quasi-Poisson regression were performed to analyze the association of O₃, NO₂ and their composite indicators (O_x and O_x^wt) with ERVs for respiratory diseases. An interaction model was further performed to evaluate the interaction between O₃ and NO₂.

RESULTS

Exposure to O₃, NO₂, O_x and O_x^wt was positively associated with ERVs for total respiratory diseases and acute upper respiratory infection (AURI). For instance, a 10 μg/m³ increase in O₃ and NO₂ were associated with 0.93% (95%CI: 0.05%, 1.81%) and 5.87% (95%CI: 3.92%, 7.85%) increase in AURI at lag0-5 days, respectively. Significant linear exposure-response relationships were observed in O_x and O_x^wt over the entire concentration range. In stratification analysis, stronger associations were observed in the group aged < 18 years for both O₃ and NO₂, in the warm season for O₃, but in the cold season for NO₂. In interaction analysis, the effect of O₃ on total respiratory emergency room visits and AURI visits was the strongest at high levels (> 75% quantile) of NO₂ in the < 18 years group.

CONCLUSIONS

Short-term exposure to O₃ and NO₂ was positively associated with ERVs for respiratory diseases, particularly in younger people (< 18 years). This study for the first time demonstrated the synergistic effect of O₃ and NO₂ on respiratory ERVs, and O_x and O_x^wt may be potential proxies.

Modification effects of ambient temperature on ozone-mortality relationships in Chengdu, China

A multitude of epidemiological studies have demonstrated that both ambient temperatures and air pollution are closely related to health outcomes. However, whether temperature has modification effects on the association between ozone and health outcomes is still debated. In this study, three parallel time-series Poisson generalized additive models (GAMs) were used to examine the effects of modifying ambient temperatures on the association between ozone and mortality (including non-accidental, respiratory, and cardiovascular mortality) in Chengdu, China, from 2014 to 2016. The results confirmed that the ambient high temperatures strongly amplified the adverse effects of ozone on human mortality; specifically, the ozone effects were most pronounced at > 28 °C. Without temperature stratification conditions, a 10-μg/m³ increase in the maximum 8-h average ozone (O_3-8hmax) level at lag01 was associated with increases of 0.40% (95% confidence interval [CI] 0.15%, 0.65%), 0.61% (95% CI 0.27%, 0.95%), and 0.69% (95% CI 0.34%, 1.04%) in non-accidental, respiratory, and cardiovascular mortality, respectively. On days during which the temperature exceeded 28 °C, a 10-μg/m³ increase in O_3-8hmax led to increases of 2.22% (95% CI 1.21%, 3.23%), 2.67% (95% CI 0.57%, 4.76%), and 4.13% (95% CI 2.34%, 5.92%) in non-accidental, respiratory, and cardiovascular mortality, respectively. Our findings validated that high temperature could further aggravate the health risks of O_3-8hmax; thus, mitigating ozone exposure will be brought into the limelight especially under the context of changing climate.

Effect of ambient O3 on mortality due to circulatory and respiratory diseases in a high latitude city of northeast China

In recent years, O₃ pollution had been worsening in China and became a major challenge for human health. To evaluate the O₃ effects on circulatory and respiratory mortality in Harbin, a high latitude city of northeast China, we applied a time-series study from 2014 to 2016. After collecting data and adjusting for the effects of confounders, we built the generalized additive model to assess the associations between O₃ and mortality at different lag days. The results showed that an interquartile-range (IQR) increase in O₃ concentration corresponded to excess risk (ER) of 2.00% (95%CI: - 0.25-4.30%) for circulatory mortality at lag 0 and 8.02% (95%CI: 4.18-12.01%) for respiratory mortality at lag 2 days in the single-pollutant model. Stratified analysis showed that O₃ had a greater effect on females than on males. The effect of O₃ exposure on circulatory mortality was stronger during the warm period, while the opposite trend was founded for respiratory mortality. The sensitivity analysis showed that the effects of O₃ were relatively independent and the major results were robust.

Associations between short-term ambient ozone exposure and cause-specific mortality in rural and urban areas of Jiangsu, China

Most previous studies on the acute health effects of ozone are limited to urban areas, largely due to the paucity of air pollutant measurements in rural areas. We here estimated the county-specific daily maximum 8-h average ozone concentration in Jiangsu Province, China during 2015-2018, using a recently developed spatiotemporal machine learning model at a spatial resolution of 0.1° × 0.1° (∼11 × 11 km). Counties were equally divided into urban and rural groups based on the median of the percentage of urban residents across Jiangsu counties obtained from the National Population Census in 2010. We first conducted time-series analyses to estimate the county-specific effect of ozone using generalized linear models, then pooled the effect estimates by random-effects modeling. A 10 μg/m³ increase in the 4-day moving average (lag 0-3) of ambient ozone exposure was associated with increases of 0.66% (95% confidence interval [CI] 0.36%-0.95%) in daily nonaccidental mortality in rural areas and 0.42% in urban areas (95% CI, 0.27%-0.56%). Short-term ambient ozone exposure was associated with an increased risk of mortality caused by chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, hypertension, ischemic heart disease, and stroke. Our finding suggests that both urban and rural residents suffer adverse health effects from short-term ozone exposure.

Short-term association of NO2 with hospital visits for chronic kidney disease and effect modification by temperature in Hefei, China: A time series study

BACKGROUND

A large body of evidence has linked air pollution and temperature with chronic kidney disease (CKD) prevalence and hospitalizations. However, most studies have focused on the influence of heat stress on CKD prevalence, and the potential effect modification of temperature on the association between air pollution and CKD has not been well-investigated. In this study, we examined the associations of the whole temperature spectrum and air pollution with CKD-related hospital visits and explored whether temperature modifies the short-term association of air pollution with CKD-related hospital visits.

METHODS AND FINDINGS

We collected 40 276 CKD-related hospital visits from the first Affiliated Hospital of Anhui Medical University and Anhui Provincial Hospital in Hefei, China, during 2015-2019. A two-stage time-series design was conducted to investigate the associations of air pollution and daily mean temperature with CKD-related hospital visits. First, we estimated the associations between air pollution and CKD-related hospital visits as well as temperature and CKD-related hospital visits. Second, we analyzed the associations of air pollution with CKD hospital visits at different temperatures. We found that NO₂ exposure and low temperature were associated with an increased risk of CKD-related hospital visits. Low temperature enhanced the association between NO₂ exposure and CKD-related hospital visits, with an increase of 4.30% (95% CI: 2.47-5.92%) per 10 μg/m³ increment in NO₂ at low temperature. Effect modification of the association between NO₂ and the risk of CKD-related hospital visits was stronger at low temperature across the whole population.

CONCLUSIONS

Our findings indicate that low temperature-related chronic kidney damage should be of immediate public health concern. Impact of NO₂ exposure on the risk of CKD-related hospital visits may increase under the low temperature, which suggests the need for NO₂ exposure mitigation strategies in the context of climate change and an enhanced understanding of the mechanisms underlying the temperature variance of air pollution effect to help reduce the magnitude of the CKD burden on the healthcare systems.

Identifying the dominant driver of elevated surface ozone concentration in North China plain during summertime 2012-2017

The increasingly serious surface ozone (O₃) pollution in North China Plain (NCP) has received wide attention. However, the contribution of the changes for each emission source to the elevated O₃ concentration, as well as the direct and indirect effect of meteorological condition variation on increased O₃ level have not been comprehensively analyzed. This study applied the Community Multiscale Air Quality (CMAQ) model coupled with the integrated source apportionment method (ISAM) to quantify changes in daily maximum 8-h average O₃ concentration (MDA8 O₃) under different air pollutants emissions and meteorological conditions during summertime 2012-2017. The results showed that incoordinate NOx/VOC emission control sustainably increased MDA8 O₃ by 2.2-36.2 μg/m³ in the NCP, of which emission changes from industrial and transportation sectors were the predominant contributors (-0.6-19.5 μg/m³ for industrial sector and 1.2-18.1 μg/m³ for transportation, respectively). In contrast, MDA8 O₃ decreased by 2.5-9.2 μg/m³ for the power plants. The effect of changes in meteorological condition on MDA8 O₃ exhibited significantly spatial and temporal variation and unfavorable meteorological fields were shown in 2014, 2016, and 2017, which enhanced MDA8 O₃ by -2.5-23.1, -5.3-20.7, and -7.2-25.8 μg/m³, respectively. In addition, the changed meteorological factors indirectly affected the biogenic emission thus prompting the increases of MDA8 O₃ by -3.9-4.9 μg/m³ in the NCP during 2012-2017. The sensitive simulations suggested that more aggressive control measures about VOC reduction in industrial and transportation sectors should be implemented to further mitigate the O₃ pollution under unfavorable meteorological condition.

Ambient gaseous pollutants and emergency ambulance calls for all-cause and cause-specific diseases in China: a multicity time-series study

Much attention has been paid to the health effects of ambient particulate matter pollution; the effects of gaseous air pollutants have not been well studied. Emergency ambulance calls (EACs) may provide a better indicator of the acute health effects than the widely used health indicators, such as mortality and hospital admission. We estimated the short-term associations between gaseous air pollutants [nitrogen dioxide (NO₂), sulfur dioxide (SO₂), and ozone (O₃)] and EACs for all-cause, cardiovascular, and respiratory diseases in seven Chinese cities from 2014 to 2019. We used generalized additive models and random-effects meta-analysis to examine the city-specific and pooled associations. Stratified analyses were conducted by age, sex, and season. A total of 1,626,017 EACs were observed for all-cause EACs, including 230,537 from cardiovascular diseases, and 96,483 from respiratory diseases. Statistically significant associations were observed between NO₂ and EACs for all-cause diseases, while the effects of SO₂ were positive, but not statistically significant in most models. No significant relationship was found between O₃ and EACs. Specifically, each 10 μg/m³ increase in the 2-day moving average concentration of NO₂ was associated with a 1.07% [95% confidence interval (CI): 0.40%, 1.76%], 0.76% (95% CI: 0.19%, 1.34%) and 0.06% (95% CI: -1.57%, 1.73%) increase in EACs due to all-cause, cardiovascular and respiratory diseases, respectively. Stratified analysis showed a larger effect of NO₂ on all-cause EACs in the cold season [excess relative risk (ERR): 0.33% (95% CI: 0.05%, 0.60%) for warm season, ERR: 0.77% (95% CI: 0.31%, 1.23%) for cold season]. Our study indicates that acute exposures to NO₂ might be an important trigger of the emergent occurrence of all-cause, cardiovascular and respiratory diseases, and this effect should be of particular concern in the cold season. Further policy development for controlling gaseous air pollution is warranted to reduce the emergent occurrence of cardiopulmonary diseases.

Association between air pollution and emergency room visits for eye diseases and effect modification by temperature in Beijing, China

The growing burden of eye disease worldwide has aroused increasing concern upon its environmental etiology. This study aims to evaluate the associations of air pollutants with emergency room visits for eye diseases and the effect modification by temperature. Based on 24,389 cases from a general hospital during 2014-2019 in Beijing, China, this study used generalized additive models to examine the associations of air pollutants and emergency room visits for total eye diseases (ICD10: H00-H59) and conjunctivitis (ICD10: H10). Short-term exposures to PM2.5, PM10, CO, and NO2 were associated with increased visits for total eye diseases and conjunctivitis, and stronger effect estimates were observed in high (>75th) temperature group for PM2.5, PM10, CO, and NO2 and low (<75th) temperature group for CO and NO2. For instance, a 10 μg/m3 increase in PM2.5 at lag0-1 were associated with a 0.73% (95% CI: 0.23%, 1.24%) increase in total eye disease visits and a 1.34% (95% CI: 0.55%, 2.13%) increase in conjunctivitis visits, respectively. Meanwhile, a 10 μg/m3 increase in PM2.5 was associated with a 1.57% (95% CI: 0.49%, 2.64%) change in high temperature group and a 0.48% (95% CI: -0.24%, 1.19%) change in medium temperature group (P for interaction = 0.04) in total eye disease visits. Our study emphasizes the importance of controlling the potential hazards of air pollutants on eyes, especially on days with relatively higher or colder temperature.

Effects of temperature and PM2.5 on the incidence of hand, foot, and mouth in a heavily polluted area, Shijiazhuang, China

The influence of weather and air pollution factors on hand, foot, and mouth disease (HFMD) has received widespread attention. However, most of the existing studies came from lightly polluted areas and the results were inconsistent. There was a lack of relevant evidence of heavily polluted areas. This study aims to quantify the relationship between weather factors and air pollution with HFMD in heavily polluted areas. We collected the daily number of hand, foot, and mouth disease in Shijiazhuang, China from 2014 to 2018, as well as meteorological and air pollutant data over the same period. The generalized linear model combined with the distributed lag model was used to study the effect of meteorological factors and air pollutants on the daily cases of HFMD and its hysteresis effect. We found that the dose-response relationship between temperature, PM_2.5, and the risk of hand-foot-mouth disease was non-linear. Both low temperature and high temperature increased the risk of hand-foot-mouth disease. The cumulative effect of high temperature reached the maximum at 0-10 lag days, and the cumulative effect of low temperature reached the maximum at 0-3 lag days. The concentration of PM_2.5 between 76 and 200 μg/m³ has a certain risk of the onset of hand, foot, and mouth disease, but the extreme PM_2.5 concentration has a certain protective effect. In addition, low humidity, low wind speed, and low-O₃ can increase the risk of HFMD. Risks of humidity and low concentration of O₃ increased as lag days extended. In conclusion, our study found that climate factors and air pollutants exert varying degrees of impact on HFMD. Our research provided the scientific basis for establishing an early warning system so that medical staff and parents can take corresponding measures to prevent HFMD.

The Role of Temperature in Modifying the Risk of Ozone-Attributable Mortality under Future Changes in Climate: A Proof-of-Concept Analysis

Air pollution risk assessments typically estimate ozone-attributable mortality counts using concentration-response (C-R) parameters from epidemiologic studies that treat temperature as a potential confounder. However, some recent epidemiologic studies have indicated that temperature can modify the relationship between short-term ozone exposure and mortality, which has potentially important implications when considering the impacts of climate change on public health. This proof-of-concept analysis quantifies counts of temperature-modified ozone-attributable mortality using temperature-stratified C-R parameters from a multicity study in which the pooled ozone-mortality effect coefficients change in concert with daily temperature. Meteorology downscaled from two global climate models is used with a photochemical transport model to simulate ozone concentrations over the 21st century using two emission inventories: one holding air pollutant emissions constant at 2011 levels and another accounting for reduced emissions through the year 2040. The late century climate models project increased summer season temperatures, which in turn yields larger total counts of ozone-attributable deaths in analyses using temperature-stratified C-R parameters compared to the traditional temperature confounder approach. This analysis reveals substantial heterogeneity in the magnitude and distribution of the temperature-stratified ozone-attributable mortality results, which is a function of regional variability in both the C-R relationship and the model-predicted temperature and ozone.

Temperature-Modified Acute Effects of Ozone on Human Mortality - Beijing Municipality, Tianjin Municipality, Hebei Province, and Surrounding Areas, China, 2013-2018

What is already known about this topic?

Ozone (O₃) is a weather-driven photochemical ambient pollutant, and its harm to human health may be affected by meteorological factors such as temperature. However, there is conflicting evidence regarding whether temperature can modify the effects of ozone on health.

What is added by this report?

Short-term exposure to O₃ in the Beijing Municipality, Tianjin Municipality, Hebei Province, and surrounding areas was associated with an increased risk of human mortality and that association was positive modified by relatively higher (>75th 24 h-average temperature) or extreme cold temperature (<10th 24 h-average temperature). Under extreme temperatures (>90th 24 h-average temperature) modification, the associations were further increased. Cardiopulmonary diseases, as vulnerable diseases of air pollution, their mortality risks associated with O₃ were markedly strengthened by uncomfortable temperatures.

What are the implications for public health practice?

This study suggests that policymakers should pay attention to the synergistic effect between ozone and heat or extreme cold on human health, as well as provide evidence for establishing an integrated early-warning system to protect the public against both uncomfortable temperature and air pollution.

Ambient Ozone, PM1 and Female Lung Cancer Incidence in 436 Chinese Counties

Ozone air pollution has been increasingly severe and has become another major air pollutant in Chinese cities, while PM₁ is more harmful to human health than coarser PMs. However, nationwide studies estimating the effects of ozone and PM₁ are quite limited in China. This study aims to assess the spatial associations between ozone (and PM₁) and the incidence rate of female lung cancer in 436 Chinese cancer registries (counties/districts). The effects of ozone and PM₁ were estimated, respectively, using statistical models controlling for time, location and socioeconomic covariates. Then, three sensitivity analyses including the adjustments of smoking covariates and co-pollutant (SO₂) and the estimates of ozone, PM1 and SO₂ effects in the same model, were conducted to test the robustness of the effects of the two air pollutants. Further still, we investigated the modifying role of urban-rural division on the effects of ozone and PM₁. According to the results, a 10 μg/m³ increase in ozone and PM₁ was associated with a 4.57% (95% CI: 4.32%, 16.16%) and 4.89% (95% CI: 4.37%, 17.56%) increase in the incidence rate of female lung cancer relative to its mean, respectively. Such ozone and PM₁ effects were still significant in three sensitivity analyses. Regarding the modifying role of urban-rural division, the effect of PM₁ was greater by 2.98% (95% CI: 1.01%, 4.96%) in urban than in rural areas when PM1 changed by 10 μg/m³. However, there was no modification effect of urban-rural division for ozone. In conclusion, there were positive associations between ozone (and PM₁) and the incidence rate of female lung cancer in China. Urban-rural division may modify the effect of PM₁ on the incidence rate of female lung cancer, which is seldom reported. Continuous and further prevention and control measures should be developed to alleviate the situation of the two air pollutants.

Prospects for ozone pollution control in China: An epidemiological perspective

Severe surface ozone pollution has become widespread in China. To protect public health, Chinese scientific communities and government agencies have striven to mitigate ozone pollution. However, makers of pollution mitigation policies rarely consider epidemiological research, and communication between epidemiological researchers and the government is poor. Therefore, this article reviews the current mitigation policies and the National Ambient Air Quality Standard (NAAQS) for ozone from an epidemiological perspective and proposes recommendations for researchers and policy makers on the basis of epidemiological evidence. We review current nationwide ozone control measures for mitigating ozone pollution from four dimensions: the integration of ozone and particulate matter control, ozone precursors control, ozone control in different seasons, and regional cooperation on the prevention of ozone pollution. In addition, we present environmental and epidemiological evidence and propose recommendations and discuss relevant ozone metrics and the criteria values of the NAAQS. We finally conclude that the disease burden attributable to ozone exposure in China may be underestimated and that the epidemiological research regarding the health effects of integrating ozone and particulate matter control is insufficient. Furthermore, atmospheric volatile organic compounds are severely detrimental to health, and related control policies are urgently required in China. We recommend a greater focus on winter ozone pollution and conclude that the health benefits of regional cooperation on ozone control and prevention are salient. We argue that daily average ozone concentration may be a more biologically relevant ozone metric than those currently used by the NAAQS, and accumulating epidemiological evidence supports revision of the standards. This review provides new insight for ozone mitigation policies and related epidemiological studies in China.

Spatiotemporal assessment of health burden and economic losses attributable to short-term exposure to ground-level ozone during 2015-2018 in China

BACKGROUND

Ground-level ozone (O3) pollution is currently the one of the severe environmental problems in China. Although existing studies have quantified the O3-related health impact and economic loss, few have focused on the acute health effects of short-term exposure to O3 and have been limited to a single temporal and spatial dimension.

METHODS

Based on the O3 concentration obtained from ground monitoring networks in 334 Chinese cities in 2015-2018, this study used a two-stage exposure parameter weighted Log-linear exposure-response function to estimate the cause-specific mortality for short-term exposure to O3.

RESULTS

The value of statistical life (VSL) method that were used to calculate the economic loss at the city-level. Our results show that in China, the national all-cause mortality attributed to O3 was 0.27(95% CI: 0.14-0.55) to 0.39 (95% CI: 0.20-0.67) million across 2015-2018. The estimated economic loss caused by O3 was 387.76 (95% CI: 195.99-904.50) to 594.08 (95% CI: 303.34-1140.65) billion CNY, accounting for 0.52 to 0.69% of total reported GDP. Overall, the O3 attributed health and economic burden has begun to decline in China since 2017. However, highly polluted areas still face severe burden, and undeveloped areas suffer from high GDP losses.

CONCLUSIONS

There are substantial health impacts and economic losses related to short-term O3 exposure in China. The government should pay attention to the emerging ozone pollution, and continue to strengthen the intervention in traditional priority areas while solving the pollution problem in non-priority areas.

Spatial variation in the joint effect of extreme heat events and ozone on respiratory hospitalizations in California

Extreme heat and ozone are co-occurring exposures that independently and synergistically increase the risk of respiratory disease. To our knowledge, no joint warning systems consider both risks; understanding their interactive effect can warrant use of comprehensive warning systems to reduce their burden. We examined heterogeneity in joint effects (on the additive scale) between heat and ozone at small geographical scales. A within-community matched design with a Bayesian hierarchical model was applied to study this association at the zip code level. Spatially varying relative risks due to interaction (RERI) were quantified to consider joint effects. Determinants of the spatial variability of effects were assessed using a random effects metaregression to consider the role of demographic/neighborhood characteristics that are known effect modifiers. A total of 817,354 unscheduled respiratory hospitalizations occurred in California from 2004 to 2013 in the May to September period. RERIs revealed no additive interaction when considering overall joint effects. However, when considering the zip code level, certain areas observed strong joint effects. A lower median income, higher percentage of unemployed residents, and exposure to other air pollutants within a zip code drove stronger joint effects; a higher percentage of commuters who walk/bicycle, a marker for neighborhood wealth, showed decreased effects. Results indicate the importance of going beyond average measures to consider spatial variation in the health burden of these exposures and predictors of joint effects. This information can be used to inform early warning systems that consider both heat and ozone to protect populations from these deleterious effects in identified areas.