An update of the WCRF/AICR systematic literature review and meta-analysis on dietary and anthropometric factors and esophageal cancer risk

Plant-based dietary patterns and risk of esophageal cancer: A prospective cohort study spanning 17 years

Objective

Plant-based diets have multiple health benefits for cancers; however, little is known about the association between plant-based dietary patterns and esophageal cancer (EC).This study presents an investigation of the prospective associations among three predefined indices of plant-based dietary patterns and the risk of EC.

Methods

We performed endoscopic screening for 15,709 participants aged 40-69 years from two high-risk areas of China from January 2005 to December 2009 and followed the cohort until December 31, 2022. The overall plant-based diet index (PDI), healthful plant-based diet index (hPDI), and unhealthful plant-based diet index (uPDI), were calculated using survey responses to assess dietary patterns. We applied Cox proportional hazard regression to estimate the multivariable hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (95% CIs) of EC across 3 plant-based diet indices and further stratified the analysis by subgroups.

Results

The final study sample included 15,184 participants in the cohort. During a follow-up of 219,365 person-years, 176 patients with EC were identified. When the highest quartile was compared with the lowest quartile, the pooled multivariable-adjusted HR of EC was 0.50 (95% CI, 0.32-0.77) for hPDI. In addition, the HR per 10-point increase in the hPDI score was 0.42 (95% CI, 0.27-0.66) for ECs. Conversely, uPDI was positively associated with the risk of EC, and the HR was 1.80 (95% CI, 1.16-2.82). The HR per 10-point increase in the uPDI score was 1.90 (95% CI, 1.26-2.88) for ECs. The associations between these scores and the risk of EC were consistent in most subgroups. These results remained robust in sensitivity analyses.

Conclusions

A healthy plant-based dietary pattern was associated with a reduced risk of EC. Emphasizing the healthiness and quality of plant-based diets may be important for preventing the development of EC.

Risk for Esophageal Cancer Based on Lifestyle Factors-Smoking, Alcohol Consumption, and Body Mass Index: Insight from a South Korean Population Study in a Low-Incidence Area

Esophageal cancer constitutes a global public health challenge. However, South Korean population-specific information on the association of lifestyle (smoking, alcohol consumption, and obesity status) with esophageal cancer risk is sparse. This nested case-control study analyzed the Korean national health screening cohort data (2002-2019) of 1114 patients with esophageal cancer and 4456 controls (1:4 propensity-score matched for sex, age, income, and residential region). Conditional and unconditional logistic regression analyses, after adjustment for multiple covariates, determined the effects of lifestyle factors on esophageal cancer risk. Smoking and alcohol consumption increased the esophageal cancer risk (adjusted odds ratio [95% confidence interval]: 1.37 [1.15-1.63] and 1.89 [1.60-2.23], respectively). Overweight (body mass index [BMI] ≥ 23 to <25 kg/m2), obese I (BMI ≥ 25 to <30 kg/m2), or obese II (BMI ≥ 30 kg/m2) categories had reduced odds of esophageal cancer (0.76 [0.62-0.92], 0.59 [0.48-0.72], and 0.47 [0.26-0.85], respectively). In the subgroup analyses, the association of incident esophageal cancer with smoking and alcohol consumption persisted, particularly in men or those aged ≥55 years, whereas higher BMI scores remained consistently associated with a reduced esophageal cancer likelihood across all age groups, in both sexes, and alcohol users or current smokers. Underweight current smokers exhibited a higher propensity for esophageal cancer. In conclusion, smoking and alcohol drinking may potentially increase the risk, whereas weight maintenance, with BMI ≥ 23 kg/m2, may potentially decrease the risk, for esophageal cancer in the South Korean population. Lifestyle modification in the specific subgroups may be a potential strategy for preventing esophageal cancer.

Association between dietary approaches to stop hypertension eating pattern and lung cancer risk in 98,459 participants: results from a large prospective study

Background

Dietary approaches to stop hypertension (DASH) eating pattern is linked to anti-inflammatory responses and antioxidation, which overlap with the pathogenesis of lung cancer. However, there is insufficient epidemiological evidence to link this dietary pattern to lung cancer risk conclusively.

Aim

To determine if adherence to the DASH diet is linked to a lower risk of developing lung cancer in a large prospective study.

Methodology

The data of participants were retrieved from the Prostate, Lung, Colorectal, and Ovarian (PLCO) Cancer Screening Trial. A DASH score was calculated based on 8 dietary components to reflect adherence to DASH, with greater scores representing higher adherence. Three Cox proportional hazards models were constructed to analyze the association between DASH scores and lung cancer risk, including an unadjusted model and two adjusted models (model 1 for demographics and model 2 for fully confounding factors). A restricted cubic spline plot was utilized to illustrate the likelihood of developing lung cancer across the entire range of DASH scores. The association between each of the 8 DASH components and the risk of lung cancer was assessed separately. Several subgroup analyses were conducted to identify potential modifiers, and several sensitivity analyses were performed to verify the robustness of the findings.

Results

The study involved 98,459 individuals in total. The mean (standard deviation) DASH score was 24.00 (4.62) points, along with the mean follow-up period of 8.84 (1.94) years. Lung cancer was identified in 1642 cases over 869807.9 person-years of follow-up, and the overall incidence rate was 0.189 cases/100 person-years. Participants in the highest quartile in the fully adjusted model had a relatively decreased risk of developing lung cancer in comparison to those in the lowest quartile (HR_{quartile 4 versus 1}: 0.647; 95% CI: 0.557, 0.752; P_trend < 0.001). The restricted cubic spline plot demonstrated that DASH score and lung cancer risk were inversely associated and had a linear dose-response relationship (P_non-linear = 0.944). According to subgroup analyses, those who were current or former smokers had a stronger inverse connection than those who never smoked (P_interaction = 0.013). The results remained robust after several sensitivity analyses.

Conclusion

The risk of lung cancer was inversely associated with DASH scores in the US population. This suggests that following the DASH pattern can help prevent lung cancer, especially for current or former smokers. More epidemiological evidence from other regions and populations is needed to confirm our findings.

Morning chronotype and digestive tract cancers: Mendelian randomization study

Morning chronotype has been associated with a reduced risk of prostate and breast cancer. However, few studies have examined whether chronotype is associated with digestive tract cancer risk. We conducted a Mendelian randomization (MR) study to assess the associations of chronotype with major digestive tract cancers. A total of 317 independent genetic variants associated with chronotype at the genome-wide significance level (P < 5 × 10^-8 ) were used as instrumental variables from a genome-wide meta-analysis of 449 734 individuals. Summary-level data on overall and six digestive tract cancers, including esophageal, stomach, liver, biliary tract, pancreatic and colorectal cancers, were obtained from the UK Biobank (11 952 cases) and FinnGen (7638 cases) study. Genetic liability to morning chronotype was associated with reduced risk of overall digestive tract cancer and cancers of stomach, biliary tract and colorectum in UK Biobank. The associations for the overall digestive tract, stomach and colorectal cancers were directionally replicated in FinnGen. In the meta-analysis of the two sources, genetic liability to morning chronotype was associated with a decreased risk of overall digestive tract cancer (odds ratio [OR] 0.94, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.90-0.98), stomach cancer (OR 0.84, 95% CI: 0.73-0.97) and colorectal cancer (OR 0.92, 95% CI: 0.87-0.98), but not with the other studied cancers. The associations were consistent in multivariable MR analysis with adjustment for genetically predicted sleep duration, short sleep, insomnia and body mass index. The study provided MR evidence of inverse associations of morning chronotype with digestive tract cancer, particularly stomach and colorectal cancers.

Host Microbiomes Influence the Effects of Diet on Inflammation and Cancer

Cancer is the second leading cause of death globally, and there is a growing appreciation for the complex involvement of diet, microbiomes, and inflammatory processes culminating in tumorigenesis. Although research has significantly improved our understanding of the various factors involved in different cancers, the underlying mechanisms through which these factors influence tumor cells and their microenvironment remain to be completely understood. In particular, interactions between the different microbiomes, specific dietary factors, and host cells mediate both local and systemic immune responses, thereby influencing inflammation and tumorigenesis. Developing an improved understanding of how different microbiomes, beyond just the colonic microbiome, can interact with dietary factors to influence inflammatory processes and tumorigenesis will support our ability to better understand the potential for microbe-altering and dietary interventions for these patients in future.

Diet and Esophageal Cancer Risk: An Umbrella Review of Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses of Observational Studies

Diet may play an important role in the occurrence of esophageal cancer (EC). The aim of this umbrella review was to grade the evidence for the association between dietary factors and EC risk. A protocol for this review was registered with the PROSPERO database (CRD42021283232). Publications were identified by searching PubMed, EMBASE, Web of Science, Cochrane Database of Systematic Reviews, and CINAHL databases. Only systematic reviews and meta-analyses of observational studies (cohort studies, case-cohort studies, nested case-control studies) were eligible. AMSTAR-2 (A Measurement Tool to Assess Systematic Reviews) was used to assess the methodological quality of included systematic reviews. For each association, random-effects pooled effect size, 95% CI, number of cases, 95% prediction interval, heterogeneity, small-study effect, and excess significance bias were calculated to grade the evidence. From 882 publications, 107 full-text articles were evaluated for eligibility, and 20 systematic reviews and meta-analyses describing 32 associations between dietary factors and EC risk were included in the present umbrella review. By assessing the strength and validity of the evidence, 1 association (positively associated with alcohol intake) was supported by highly suggestive evidence and 1 (inversely associated with calcium intake) showed a suggestive level of evidence. Evidence for 7 associations was weak (positively associated with red meat and processed-meat intake; inversely associated with whole grains, fruits, green leafy vegetables, green tea, and zinc intake). The remaining 23 associations were nonsignificant. In conclusion, the findings of this umbrella review emphasize that habitually consuming calcium, whole grains, fruits, green leafy vegetables, green tea, and zinc and reducing alcohol, red meat, and processed-meat intake are associated with a lower risk of EC. Since this umbrella review included only observational study data and some of the associations were graded as weak, caution should be exercised in interpreting these relations.

Health effects associated with vegetable consumption: a Burden of Proof study

Previous research suggests a protective effect of vegetable consumption against chronic disease, but the quality of evidence underlying those findings remains uncertain. We applied a Bayesian meta-regression tool to estimate the mean risk function and quantify the quality of evidence for associations between vegetable consumption and ischemic heart disease (IHD), ischemic stroke, hemorrhagic stroke, type 2 diabetes and esophageal cancer. Increasing from no vegetable consumption to the theoretical minimum risk exposure level (306-372 g daily) was associated with a 23.2% decline (95% uncertainty interval, including between-study heterogeneity: 16.4-29.4) in ischemic stroke risk; a 22.9% (13.6-31.3) decline in IHD risk; a 15.9% (1.7-28.1) decline in hemorrhagic stroke risk; a 28.5% (-0.02-51.4) decline in esophageal cancer risk; and a 26.1% (-3.6-48.3) decline in type 2 diabetes risk. We found statistically significant protective effects of vegetable consumption for ischemic stroke (three stars), IHD (two stars), hemorrhagic stroke (two stars) and esophageal cancer (two stars). Including between-study heterogeneity, we did not detect a significant association with type 2 diabetes, corresponding to a one-star rating. Although current evidence supports increased efforts and policies to promote vegetable consumption, remaining uncertainties suggest the need for continued research.

Deep-Learning-Based Real-Time and Automatic Target-to-Background Ratio Calculation in Fluorescence Endoscopy for Cancer Detection and Localization

Esophageal adenocarcinoma (EAC) is a deadly cancer that is rising rapidly in incidence. The early detection of EAC with curative intervention greatly improves the prognoses of patients. A scanning fiber endoscope (SFE) using fluorescence-labeled peptides that bind rapidly to epidermal growth factor receptors showed a promising performance for early EAC detection. Target-to-background (T/B) ratios were calculated to quantify the fluorescence images for neoplasia lesion classification. This T/B calculation is generally based on lesion segmentation with the Chan–Vese algorithm, which may require hyperparameter adjustment when segmenting frames with different brightness and contrasts, which impedes automation to real-time video. Deep learning models are more robust to these changes, while accurate pixel-level segmentation ground truth is challenging to establish in the medical field. Since within our dataset the ground truth contained only a frame-level diagnosis, we proposed a computer-aided diagnosis (CAD) system to calculate the T/B ratio in real time. A two-step process using convolutional neural networks (CNNs) was developed to achieve automatic suspicious frame selection and lesion segmentation for T/B calculation. In the segmentation model training for Step 2, the lesion labels were generated with a manually tuned Chan–Vese algorithm using the labeled and predicted suspicious frames from Step 1. In Step 1, we designed and trained deep CNNs to select suspicious frames using a diverse and representative set of 3427 SFE images collected from 25 patient videos from two clinical trials. We tested the models on 1039 images from 10 different SFE patient videos and achieved a sensitivity of 96.4%, a specificity of 96.6%, a precision of 95.5%, and an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.989. In Step 2, 1006 frames containing suspicious lesions were used for training for fluorescence target segmentation. The segmentation models were tested on two clinical datasets with 100 SFE frames each and achieved mean intersection-over-union values of 0.89 and 0.88, respectively. The T/B ratio calculations based on our segmentation results were similar to the manually tuned Chan–Vese algorithm, which were 1.71 ± 0.22 and 1.72 ± 0.28, respectively, with a p-value of 0.872. With the graphic processing unit (GPU), the proposed two-step CAD system achieved 50 fps for frame selection and 15 fps for segmentation and T/B calculation, which showed that the frame rejection in Step 1 improved the diagnostic efficiency. This CAD system with T/B ratio as the real-time indicator is designed to guide biopsies and surgeries and to serve as a reliable second observer to localize and outline suspicious lesions highlighted by fluorescence probes topically applied in organs where cancer originates in the epithelia.

Diet and risk of Barrett's oesophagus: Melbourne collaborative cohort study

Barrett's oesophagus (BE) is the precursor of oesophageal adenocarcinoma, which has become the most common type of oesophageal cancer in many Western populations. Existing evidence on diet and risk of BE predominantly comes from case-control studies, which are subject to recall bias in measurement of diet. We aimed to investigate the potential effect of diet, including macronutrients, carotenoids, food groups, specific food items, beverages and dietary scores, on risk of BE in over 20 000 participants of the Melbourne Collaborative Cohort Study. Diet at baseline (1990-1994) was measured using a food frequency questionnaire. The outcome was BE diagnosed between baseline and follow-up (2007-2010). Logistic regression models were used to estimate OR and 95 % CI for diet in relation to risk of BE. Intakes of leafy vegetables and fruit were inversely associated with risk of BE (highest v. lowest quartile: OR = 0·59; CI: 0·38, 0·94; P-trend = 0·02 and OR = 0·58; CI: 0·37, 0·93; P-trend = 0·02 respectively), as were dietary fibre and carotenoids. Stronger associations were observed for food than the nutrients found in them. Positive associations were observed for discretionary food (OR = 1·54; CI: 0·97, 2·44; P-trend = 0·04) and total fat intake (OR per 10 g/d = 1·11; CI: 1·00, 1·23), the association for fat was less robust in sensitivity analyses. No association was observed for meat, protein, dairy products or diet scores. Diet is a potential modifiable risk factor for BE. Public health and clinical guidelines that incorporate dietary recommendations could contribute to reduction in risk of BE and, thereby, oesophageal adenocarcinoma.

[Development and validation of a prognostic model based on SEER data for patients with esophageal carcinoma after esophagectomy]

OBJECTIVE

To develop a nomogram to predict the long-term survival of patients with esophageal cancer following esophagectomy.

METHODS

We collected the data of 7215 patients with esophageal carcinoma from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database during the period from 2004 and 2016. Of these patients, 5052 were allocated to the training cohort and the remaining 2163 patients to the internal validation cohort using bootstrap resampling, with another 435 patients treated in the Department of Cardiothoracic Surgery of Jinling Hospital between 2014 and 2016 serving as the external validation cohort.

RESULTS

In the overall cohort, the 1-, 3-, and 5-year cancer-specific mortality rates were 14.6%, 35.7% and 41.6%, respectively. Age (≥80 years vs < 50 years, P < 0.001), gender (male vs female, P < 0.001), tumor site (lower vs middle segment, P=0.013), histology (EAC vs ESCC, P=0.012), tumor grade (poorly vs well differentiated, P < 0.001), TNM stage (Ⅳ vs Ⅰ, P < 0.001), tumor size (> 50 mm vs 0-20 mm, P < 0.001), chemotherapy (yes vs no, P < 0.001), and LNR (> 0.25 vs 0, P < 0.001) were identified as independent risk factors affecting long-term survival of the patients. The nomograms established based on the model for predicting the survival probability of the patients at 1, 3 and 5 years after operation showed a C-index of 0.726 (95% CI: 0.714-0.738) for predicting the overall survival (OS) and of 0.735 (95% CI: 0.727-0.743) for cancer-specific survival (CSS) in the training cohort. In the internal validation cohort, the C-index of the nomograms was 0.752 (95% CI: 0.738-0.76) for OS and 0.804 (95% CI: 0.790-0.817) for CSS, as compared with 0.749 (95% CI: 0.736-0.767) and 0.788 (95%CI: 0.751-0.808), respectively, in the external validation cohort. The nomograms also showed a higher sensitivity than the TNM staging system for predicting long-term prognosis.

CONCLUSION

This prognostic model has a high prediction efficiency and can help to identify the high-risk patients with esophageal carcinoma after surgery and serve as a supplement for the current TNM staging system.

The association among calorie, macronutrient, and micronutrient intake with colorectal cancer: A case-control study

The risk of colorectal cancer (CRC) can be influenced by dietary components. This study aims to investigate the association between dietary intake and CRC in Iranian adults. This hospital‐based case–control study was performed on 160 patients with CRC and 320 healthy people. General and pathological data were collected through face‐to‐face interviews. A validated food frequency questionnaire (FFQ) was used to assess the intake of calories, macronutrients, and micronutrients. The case group had a significantly higher intake of calories, carbohydrates, vitamin A, vitamin K, fluoride, and molybdenum and a lower intake of vitamin E, vitamin B1, beta carotene, biotin, folate, magnesium, selenium, manganese, and fiber (all p < .001). CRC was positively associated with the intake of carbohydrate (OR: 1.01, CI% 1.03–1.01, p = .001), and vitamin A (OR: 1.009, CI 95% 1.006–1.01, p = .001) and negatively associated with intake of fiber (OR: 0.67, CI 95% 0.59–0.76, p = .001), beta carotene (OR: 0.99, CI 95% 0.99–0.99, p = .001), vitamin E (OR: 0.27, CI 95% 0.15–0.47, p = .001), folate (OR: 0.98 CI 95% 0.97–0.98, p = .001), and biotin (OR: 0.83, CI 95% 0.77–0.90, p = .001). The associations remained significant after adjusting for age and sex. Further adjustments for physical activity, alcohol consumption, and smoking did not change the results. The results identified that the risk of colorectal cancer can be influenced by dietary intake. Further longitudinal studies are needed to confirm these findings and to identify the underlying mechanisms of the effects of dietary components on the risk of colorectal cancer.

Fruit and vegetable consumption and risk of esophageal cancer in the Asian region: a systematic review and meta-analysis

The consumption of fruit and vegetables was reported to be associated with a reduced risk of esophageal cancer (EC) in many studies of esophageal adenocarcinoma (EAC) and esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) from different regions worldwide. Therefore, to provide precise information to reduce the risk of EC in Asia, we performed a systematic review and meta-analysis of studies conducted in the Asian region about fruit and vegetable consumption and the risk of EC. We searched the MEDLINE (PubMed) and ICHUSHI (Japana Centra Revuo Medicina) databases from January 2010 to December 2020. The summary relative risk (SRR) and 95% CI were calculated using a random-effects model. In addition, I² statistics were used to detect heterogeneity. Twenty-two studies were eligible for meta-analysis (16 case-control studies and 6 cohort studies). The SRR for the lowest versus highest fruit consumption was 0.64 (95% CI 0.53-0.77, I² = 82%). That for the lowest versus highest vegetable consumption was 0.61 (95% CI 0.50-0.74, I² = 81%). Based on subgroup analysis, a validated Food Frequency Questionnaire (FFQ) was significantly associated (SRR for fruit: 0.54; 95% CI 0.40-0.74, SRR for vegetable: 0.60; 95% CI 0.48-0.76) with low heterogeneity (I² = 48% for fruit, I² = 0% for vegetables). Egger's funnel plot asymmetry test demonstrated publication bias (P < 0.001 for fruit, P = 0.009 for vegetables). Fruit and vegetable consumption might be associated with a lower risk of EC in the Asian region. However, further substantial prospective studies with a validated FFQ and well-controlled important confounding factors are required to confirm the association.

Burden of esophageal cancer and its attributable risk factors in 204 countries and territories from 1990 to 2019

BACKGROUND

Esophageal cancer is a global health concern. Regularly updated data about the burden of esophageal cancer are essential for formulating specific public policies. We aimed to estimate the global, regional, and national burden and trends of esophageal cancer and its attributable risk factors from 1990 to 2019, by age, sex and socio-demographic index (SDI).

METHODS

Data about the incidence, death, disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs), and age-standardized rates were collected from Global Burden of Disease study 2019. Estimated annual percentage changes were used to quantify the temporal trends of age-standardized rates. Moreover, the risk factors attributable to esophageal cancer deaths were also presented.

RESULTS

There were 534,563 incident cases and 498,067 deaths in 2019, contributing to 11,666,017 DALYs. The absolute numbers of incidence, death, and DALYs had increased from 1990 to 2019, contrasting with declined changes in their corresponding age-standardized rates. The burden of esophageal cancer varied across different regions and countries, and the age-standardized rates were negative with SDI. Almost half of the esophageal cancer was concentrated in China. Males accounted for most of the burden of esophageal cancer, and the onset age tended to be older. The death of esophageal cancer was primarily attributable to smoking, followed by alcohol use, high body mass index, diet low in fruits and diet low in vegetables.

CONCLUSION

The burden of esophageal cancer was heterogeneous across regions and countries by sex, age, and SDI, providing information for governments that may help to formulate more targeted policies.

Obesity, metabolic syndrome, and cancer: pathophysiological and therapeutic associations

Overweight, obesity, and metabolic syndrome (MetS) have become epidemic conditions affecting 39%, 13%, and 20% of the population respectively. The aim of this article is to review the literature on the association of obesity and MetS with the risk of cancer. We also explore the effect of lifestyle modifications, such as diet, physical activity, and antidiabetic medications, on cancer incidence. Increased body mass index (BMI) has been associated with a multitude of site-specific cancers, reaching relative risk (RR) 1.54 [95% confidence interval (CI) 1.47-1.61] per 5 unit increase for endometrial cancer, as well as with overall cancer risk (RR 1.03, 95% CI 1.02-1.05). Central adiposity measured by waist circumference or waist-to-hip ratio has been suggested as a stronger predictor than BMI for several cancers, such as colorectal cancer. Metabolic Syndrome has been consistently and positively associated with the risk of very common cancers like colorectal (RR 1.34, 95% CI 1.24-1.44), endometrial (RR 1.62, 95% CI 1.26-2.07) and postmenopausal breast cancer (RR 2.01, 95% CI 1.55-2.60). Hyperglycemia and subsequently T2DM have been also shown to increase the risk of cancer. Nevertheless, these risk factors are modifiable and therefore implementing lifestyle modifications could prevent an important number of cancer cases. Adherence to cancer prevention guidelines, including maintaining a healthy weight, having regular physical exercise (RR 0.58-0.90 for different cite specific cancers) and following a healthy dietary pattern (RR 0.74-0.94 for different cite specific cancers) have a protective effect on the risk of cancer. The strength of this review is the presentation of the best evidence, as the data derive mainly from meta-analyses. Public health policies should focus on the modification of risk factors and future research is needed to reveal the pathophysiological links between these risk factors and cancer to develop more efficient prevention and treatment strategies.

Potential Impact of Time Trend of Lifestyle Risk Factors on Burden of Major Gastrointestinal Cancers in China

BACKGROUND & AIMS

China has the largest number of incident liver, esophageal, gastric, and colorectal cancer cases in 2020. Examining the time trend of relevant lifestyle risk factors would help project the trend of these gastrointestinal (GI) cancer incidence in China.

METHODS

We estimated the time trend of the lifestyle factors based on the China Health and Nutrition Survey 1991 to 2011. We applied the comparative risk assessment method to estimate the population attributable fraction of GI cancers attributable to each risk factor. We also projected the prevalence of lifestyle factors and the associated burden of GI cancer from 2011 to 2031.

RESULTS

In 2011, 56.5% of colorectal, 59.8% of gastric, 48.5% of esophageal, and 35.2% of liver cancer in China were attributable to the lifestyle risk factors under study. Smoking, sodium intake, low vegetable intake, and low fruit intake have improved over time but remained far from optimal and are expected to be responsible for 170,000, 35,000, 22,000, and 50,000 GI cancer cases in 2031, respectively. High body mass index, red and processed meat consumption, and low physical activity are expected to contribute increasingly more GI cancer, accounting for 142,000, 185,000, 60,000, and 53,000 cases in 2031, respectively. The estimated population attributable fraction for all risk factors in 2031 is 52.1%.

CONCLUSIONS

Lifestyle risk factors have had an impact on the risk of GI cancer in China, and the impact is projected to increase. If everyone could adhere to the optimal lifestyle, half of all GI cancer events would be prevented by year 2031.

Endoscopic Surveillance in Idiopathic Achalasia

Idiopathic achalasia is a rare esophageal dysmotility disorder of unknown etiology with only palliative treatment available. Many studies have established a significantly increased risk of esophageal cancer in patients with achalasia. However, current guidelines advise against routine surveillance due to low absolute risk and a paucity of high-quality evidence and cost-effectiveness assessments. This review aims to assess the need for routine endoscopic surveillance in achalasia based on a growing body of literature calling in support of it, mainly due to the increased risk of esophageal cancer. We searched PubMed and Google Scholar electronic databases for articles within the last 10 years using the keywords 'achalasia', 'cancer,' 'neoplasms,' 'screening,' and 'surveillance.' After excluding pseudoachalasia/secondary achalasia, other esophageal dysmotility disorders, and associations with malignancies outside the esophagus, we selected 31 articles for this review. Through these articles, we identified areas of focus for ongoing and future research that may result in significant risk reduction of complications, including esophageal cancer and beyond.

Application of artificial intelligence-driven endoscopic screening and diagnosis of gastric cancer

The landscape of gastrointestinal endoscopy continues to evolve as new technologies and techniques become available. The advent of image-enhanced and magnifying endoscopies has highlighted the step toward perfecting endoscopic screening and diagnosis of gastric lesions. Simultaneously, with the development of convolutional neural network, artificial intelligence (AI) has made unprecedented breakthroughs in medical imaging, including the ongoing trials of computer-aided detection of colorectal polyps and gastrointestinal bleeding. In the past demi-decade, applications of AI systems in gastric cancer have also emerged. With AI’s efficient computational power and learning capacities, endoscopists can improve their diagnostic accuracies and avoid the missing or mischaracterization of gastric neoplastic changes. So far, several AI systems that incorporated both traditional and novel endoscopy technologies have been developed for various purposes, with most systems achieving an accuracy of more than 80%. However, their feasibility, effectiveness, and safety in clinical practice remain to be seen as there have been no clinical trials yet. Nonetheless, AI-assisted endoscopies shed light on more accurate and sensitive ways for early detection, treatment guidance and prognosis prediction of gastric lesions. This review summarizes the current status of various AI applications in gastric cancer and pinpoints directions for future research and clinical practice implementation from a clinical perspective.

Oncogenic microRNA-301b regulates tumor repressor dystrobrevin alpha to facilitate cell growth, invasion and migration in esophageal cancer

BACKGROUND

Esophageal cancer (EC) ranks the eighth in morbidity and the sixth in mortality around the whole world, which is an aggressive malignancy. To authenticate potential therapeutic targets for EC is therefore imperative. Although miR-301b might display changed expression in esophageal adenocarcinoma by utilizing Taqman miRNA profiling analysis, much less is known about the impact of miR-301b in EC.

METHODS AND RESULTS

By analyzing the data of 187 cancer tissues and 13 normal samples from TCGA database, we discovered that miR-301b was highly expressed in EC tissues. Then, RT-qPCR determined that miR-301b was up-regulated in EC cell lines (ECA109, JAR, TE-1 and OE33). Besides, miR-301b expression level was higher in ESCC cell line-TE-1 cells and lower in ESCC cell line-ECA109 cells compared to other EC cell lines. Hence, ECA109 cell line was used to up-regulate miR-301b expression while TE-1 cell line was applied to down-regulate miR-301b expression in the subsequent experiments. Additionally, OE33, as an ECA cell line, was applied to upregulate miR-301b expression to reflect the influence of miR-301b overexpression on EC progression. More interestingly, miR-301b appeared to act as a promoting effect on the proliferation of EC cells, which was tested by CCK8. Dystrobrevin alpha (DTNA) was a targeting gene of miR-301b, which was predicted by the websites of miRanda, miRWalk and TargetScan. Additionally, DTNA was low expressed in EC tissues and was an independent predictor of EC. Meanwhile, the low expression of DTNA was related to worse overall survival in EC patients. The Pearson correlation coefficient analyzed that DTNA expression was negatively correlated with miR-301b. Furthermore, RT-qPCR and western blotting assays ulteriorly indicated that DTNA was negatively modulated by miR-301b. The facilitating impact of miR-301b re-expression on ECA109 and OE33 cell growth, invasion and migration was receded by DTNA over-expression, whilst the repressive effect of miR-301b ablation on TE-1 cell growth, invasion and migration was inversed by DTNA silencing. Overexpression of miR-301b accelerated EC cell growth, migration and invasion through targeting DTNA.

CONCLUSIONS

Above all, we concluded that miR-301b was concerned with the progression of EC via regulating DTNA, suggesting that miR-301b and its target gene, DTNA, might serve as predictive biomarkers for EC therapy.

Trends in conditional overall survival of esophageal cancer: a population-based study

Background

This study aims to investigate the causes of death in patients with esophageal cancer (EC) and report reliable and accurate estimates of adjusted conditional overall survival (COS).

Methods

We retrieved data on patients aged 18 years or older who were diagnosed with EC between 1975 and 2016 from the Surveillance Epidemiology End Results (SEER) registry. We estimated COS by using an inverse probability weighting method to adjust for the available covariates. Linear trends were analyzed via a weighted linear regression.

Results

A total of 40,142 confirmed patients were included in the final analysis. Of these, 20,971 were diagnosed with esophageal squamous cell carcinoma, and 19,171 were diagnosed with esophageal adenocarcinoma. EC was the leading cause of death, followed by heart disease (5.2%), stomach cancer (3.2%), and other diseases (2.9%). Five-year adjusted COS, given that patients had already survived 36 months was improved from 0.50 to 0.87 (P_Difference<0.001) in comparison with the 5-year conventional overall survival. As the survival time increased from 0 to 48 months, the 5-year adjusted COS improved significantly. The adjusted conditional EC-specific survival also showed similar trends.

Conclusions

For patients with EC who had survived over time, the 5-year adjusted COS and the conditional EC-specific survival improved dramatically. Other causes of death in EC patients should also be considered.

Selection of high-risk individuals for esophageal cancer screening: A prediction model of esophageal squamous cell carcinoma based on a multicenter screening cohort in rural China

The mortality benefit of esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) screening has been reported in several studies; however, the results of ESCC screening programs in China are suboptimal. Our study aimed to develop an ESCC risk prediction model to identify high-risk individuals for population-based esophageal cancer screening. In total, 86 745 participants enrolled in a population-based esophageal cancer screening program in rural China between 2007 and 2012 were included in the present study and followed up until December 31, 2015. Models for identifying individuals at risk of ESCC within 3 years were created using logistic regressions. The area under the receiver operating curve (AUC) was determined to estimate the model's overall performance. A total of 298 individuals were diagnosed with ESCC within 3 years after baseline. The model of ESCC included the predictors of age, sex, family history of upper gastrointestinal cancer, smoking status, alarming symptoms of retrosternal pain, back pain or neck pain, consumption of salted food and fresh fruits and disease history of peptic ulcer or esophagitis (AUC of 0.81; 95% confidence interval: 0.78-0.83). Compared to the current prescreening strategy in our program, the cut-off value of 10 in the score-based model could result in 3.11% fewer individuals subjected to endoscopies and present higher sensitivity, slightly higher specificity and lower number needed to screen. This score-based risk prediction model of ESCC based on eight epidemiological risk factors could increase the efficiency of the esophageal cancer screening program in rural China.

World Cancer Research Fund International: Continuous Update Project-systematic literature review and meta-analysis of observational cohort studies on physical activity, sedentary behavior, adiposity, and weight change and breast cancer risk

PURPOSE

The purpose of the present study was to systematically review the complex associations between energy balance-related factors and breast cancer risk, for which previous evidence has suggested different associations in the life course of women and by hormone receptor (HR) status of the tumor.

METHODS

Relevant publications on adulthood physical activity, sedentary behavior, body mass index (BMI), waist and hip circumferences, waist-to-hip ratio, and weight change and pre- and postmenopausal breast cancer risk were identified in PubMed up to 30 April 2017. Random-effects meta-analyses were conducted to summarize the relative risks across studies.

RESULTS

One hundred and twenty-six observational cohort studies comprising over 22,900 premenopausal and 103,000 postmenopausal breast cancer cases were meta-analyzed. Higher physical activity was inversely associated with both pre- and postmenopausal breast cancers, whereas increased sitting time was positively associated with postmenopausal breast cancer. Although higher early adult BMI (ages 18-30 years) was inversely associated with pre- and postmenopausal breast cancers, adult weight gain and greater body adiposity increased breast cancer risk in postmenopausal women, and the increased risk was evident for HR+ but not HR- breast cancers, and among never but not current users of postmenopausal hormones. The evidence was less consistent in premenopausal women. There were no associations with adult weight gain, inverse associations with adult BMI (study baseline) and hip circumference, and non-significant associations with waist circumference and waist-to-hip ratio that were reverted to positive associations on average in studies accounting for BMI. No significant associations were observed for HR-defined premenopausal breast cancers.

CONCLUSION

Better understanding on the impact of these factors on pre- and postmenopausal breast cancers and their subtypes along the life course is needed.

Individual and Combined Effects of Environmental Risk Factors for Esophageal Cancer Based on Results From the Golestan Cohort Study

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Northeast Iran has one of the highest reported rates of esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) worldwide. Decades of investigations in this region have identified some local habits and environmental exposures that increase risk. We analyzed data from the Golestan Cohort Study to determine the individual and combined effects of the major environmental risk factors of ESCC.

METHODS

We performed a population-based cohort of 50,045 individuals, 40 to 75 years old, from urban and rural areas across Northeast Iran. Detailed data on demographics, diet, lifestyle, socioeconomic status, temperature of drinking beverages, and different exposures were collected using validated methods, questionnaires, and physical examinations, from 2004 through 2008. Participants were followed from the date of enrollment to the date of first diagnosis of esophageal cancer, date of death from other causes, or date of last follow-up, through December 31, 2017. Proportional hazards regression models were used to estimate hazard ratios (HRs) and corresponding 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for the association between different exposures and ESCC.

RESULTS

During an average 10 years of follow-up, 317 participants developed ESCC. Opium smoking (HR 1.85; 95% CI 1.18-2.90), drinking hot tea (≥60°C) (HR 1.60; 95% CI 1.15-2.22), low intake of fruits (HR 1.48; 95% CI 1.07-2.05) and vegetables (HR 1.62; 95% CI 1.03-2.56), excessive tooth loss (HR 1.66; 95% CI 1.04-2.64), drinking unpiped water (HR 2.04; 95% CI 1.09-3.81), and exposure to indoor air pollution (HR 1.57; 95% CI 1.08-2.29) were significantly associated with increased risk of ESCC, in a dose-dependent manner. Combined exposure to these risk factors was associated with a stepwise increase in the risk of developing ESCC, reaching a more than 7-fold increase in risk in the highest category. Approximately 75% of the ESCC cases in this region can be attributed to a combination of the identified exposures.

CONCLUSIONS

Analysis of data from the Golestan Cohort Study in Iran identified multiple risk factors for ESCC in this population. Our findings support the hypothesis that the high rates of ESCC are due to a combination of factors, including thermal injury (from hot tea), exposure to polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons (from opium and indoor air pollution), and nutrient-deficient diets. We also associated ESCC risk with exposure to unpiped water and tooth loss.

Variation in Nordic Work-Related Cancer Risks after Adjustment for Alcohol and Tobacco

Background: Alcohol and tobacco strongly increases the risk of cancers of the tongue, mouth, pharynx, larynx, and oesophagus, and are also established risk factors for cancer of the liver, colon, and rectum. It is well documented that these habits are unequally distributed among occupational groups. Most occupational cohort studies lack information on these potentially important confounders, and may therefore be prone to bias. Aim: The aim of the study is to present Nordic standardized incidence ratios (SIRs) for alcohol and tobacco related cancer by occupation, after adjustment for alcohol and tobacco, and to compare to the unadjusted SIRs. Material and Methods: The study is based on the Nordic Occupational Cancer (NOCCA) database. We used confirmatory factor analysis models for simultaneous analysis of the cancer sites related to alcohol and tobacco, to obtain factors that allow for computation of adjusted expected numbers from the reference rates. We then calculated adjusted SIRs for the relevant cancer sites for each occupation. Results: For some occupations and cancers, the changes of risk estimates were striking, from significantly high to significantly low and vice versa. Among Nordic farmers, unadjusted SIRs for cancer of the mouth and oesophagus were 0.56 (95% confidence interval (CI) 0.51⁻0.61) and 0.67 (CI 0.63⁻0.70), respectively. After adjustment, estimates changed to 1.10 (CI 1.01⁻1.21) and 1.16 (CI 1.10⁻1.22). Unadjusted SIR for pharynx cancer among wood workers was 0.83 (CI 0.75⁻0.91), adjusted SIR was 1.14 (CI 1.03⁻1.25). For larynx cancer, results in the opposite direction were seen: unadjusted SIR for economically inactive was 1.38 (CI 1.31⁻1.46) while the adjusted SIR was 0.91 (CI 0.86⁻0.96). Conclusions: Adjustment for the latent indicators of alcohol and tobacco consumption changed risk estimates for several occupations, gave a less confounded description of risk, and may guide in the identification of true risk factors.

Comorbidities, risk, and socioeconomic factors of uninsured cancer survivors

Cancer patients can be well-connected to resources during treatment but become lost to follow-up and subsequently may receive treatment in free clinics for chronic morbidities. Few studies have examined outcomes for uninsured patients with cancer histories in free clinics, but research examining socioeconomic determinants emphasizes poor cancer outcomes for patients with lower socioeconomic statuses (SES).Demographic data and chronic disease measures were extracted from medical charts of patients treated in 8 free clinics in 2016 in Tampa Bay. Descriptive statistics and Pearson correlation coefficients were used to demonstrate relationships between socioeconomic factors, cancer diagnoses, and comorbidities. Charlson Comorbidity Index (CCI) was used to assess mortality risk and severity of disease burden.The histories of 4804 uninsured patients were evaluated, identifying 86 (1.7%) as having had cancer. They were predominantly female (65.1%) and significantly older than those without cancer histories. Average duration from initial diagnosis was approximately 8.53 years (standard deviation [SD] 7.55). Overall, cancer patients had higher CCI scores (3.04 [1.928 SD] versus 0.90 [1.209 SD]; P <.001); thus reflecting more weighted comorbidities than patients without cancer (P <.001). Other factors of chronic disease including obesity and substance abuse correlated with cancer history.Among uninsured patients, those with cancer histories had greater mortality risk by CCI than those without. Chronic conditions such as diabetes, cerebrovascular disease, and chronic pulmonary disease existed in patients with cancer histories, affecting their mortality risk. Uninsured patients with a history of cancer are in greater need for chronic disease management and prevention.

Cancers Due to Smoking and High Alcohol Consumption

BACKGROUND

Tobacco and alcohol consumption are known causes of cancer. We set out to estimate the absolute numbers and proportions of cancer attributable to smoking and high alcohol consumption in Germany in 2018.

METHODS

Numbers and proportions (population-attributable fractions, PAF) were calculated by sex and age group for ages 35 to 84 years based on population projections, national cancer incidence and exposure data, and published relative risks.

RESULTS

For the year 2018 we estimated the smoking-attributable cancer burden to be 85 072 cases (men 58 760, women 26 312), corresponding to 19% of all incident cancers. The highest PAF was seen for lung cancer: 89% of male and 83% of female lung cancer cases are attributable to smoking. The cancer burden attributable to high alcohol consumption was estimated to be 9588 (men 8117, women 1471) cases (2% of all incident cancers). The highest PAF were observed for cancer of the oral cavity and pharynx (men 34%, women 6%) and squamous cell carcinoma of the esophagus (men 30%; women 5%).

CONCLUSIONS

A considerable proportion of cancer cases are attributable to smoking and high alcohol consumption. More rigorous prevention efforts are required to achieve significant reductions in the prevalence of these risk factors and the attributable cancer burden.

Functional foods and cancer on Pinterest and PubMed: myths and science

Aim

This article examines whether social media postings dealing with cancer and so-called 'functional foods' simply reflect a fashionable subject or are based on scientific evidence.

Methods

The first step consisted of an analysis of a sample of Pins published on Pinterest. The second consisted of an analysis to determine whether the content of the Pins was based on scientific research.

Results

From a set of 507 Pins on cancer, we found 204 that also dealt with food. We selected 75 Pins representing different foods and we identified about 80,000 scientific articles on cancer and food indexed in PubMed.

Conclusion

We concluded that material published on Pinterest has some correlation with the scientific literature.

A nutrigenetic approach for investigating the chemopreventive effects of black raspberries during the development of preneoplastic esophagi in rats

BACKGROUND

Large epidemiological studies have shown that diets high in fruits reduce the risk of esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC).

OBJECTIVE

The current study investigated the effects of black raspberries (BRBs) on gene expression during the development of preneoplastic esophagi in rats.

METHODS

Using a post-initiation protocol, F344 rats were injected with N-nitrosomethylbenzylamine (NMBA) and then fed either a control diet or 5% BRBs. At weeks 9, 15, and 35, we euthanized subgroups of the rats and collected preneoplastic esophagi to isolate RNA samples for DNA microarray.

RESULTS

Along the development of NMBA-induced preneoplastic esophagi, NMBA injections led to differential expression of 1181 genes comparing to control rats, and dietary BRBs modulated 428 genes in esophagi from NMBA-treated rats. There are 137 common genes between 1181 and 428 gene sets, and BRBs significantly reversed the expression of 133 genes. These genes are associated with multiple gene oncology functions. BRBs induced an 8.8-fold gene enrichment on the pathway of inflammatory response and regulated 10 genes involved in this pathway. Among them, BRBs significantly reversed the expression of pro-inflammatory cytokines, such as CCL2, S100A8, and IL19.

CONCLUSIONS

BRBs exhibit strong anti-inflammatory effects against NMBA-induced rat esophageal tumorigenesis.