Temporal improvement in survival of patients with hepatocellular carcinoma in a hepatitis B virus-endemic population

Diagnostic and prognostic performance of serum GPC3 and PIVKA-II in AFP-negative hepatocellular carcinoma and establishment of nomogram prediction models

OBJECTIVE

A significant proportion, ranging from 20 to 40%, of individuals with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) do not exhibit elevated Alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) levels. This study aimed to evaluate the utility of serum glypican-3 (GPC3) and protein induced by vitamin K absence or antagonist II (PIVKA-II) in an AFP-negative HCC (N-HCC) population, and to develop nomogram diagnostic and prognostic prediction models utilizing GPC3 and PIVKA-II.

METHODS

Serum GPC3 and PIVKA-II levels were measured in this case-control study, followed by the establishment of a receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve, restricted cubic spline (RCS), and Kaplan-Meier survival curve. Additionally, a diagnostic prediction nomogram was constructed using univariate and multivariate logistic regression. Furthermore, we utilized least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression and multivariate Cox regression to develop a prognostic prediction nomogram. The performance of these models was evaluated using ROC curve analysis and decision curve analysis (DCA).

RESULTS

Serum GPC3 and PIVKA-II expression levels were significantly elevated in untreated patients with N-HCC (especially stageI and tumor size < 3 cm) compared to those with AFP-negative benign liver disease (N-BLD). Derived from ROC analysis, the diagnostic cutoff points for GPC3 and PIVKA-II were set at 0.100 ng/mL and 40.00 mAU/mL, respectively. PIVKA-II demonstrated sensitivity and specificity of 84.62% and 90.38%, surpassing GPC3's 76.92% and 73.08%. The area under the ROC curve (AUC) for a diagnostic prediction nomogram incorporating GPC3, PIVKA-II, and gamma-glutamyltransferase (GGT) was 0.943 (95% CI: 0.912-0.974), superior to models using GPC3 or PIVKA-II alone. This model showed 95.20% sensitivity and 81.70% specificity in differentiating N-HCC from N-BLD. Stratifying patients into high-risk and low-risk groups using cutoff values established by RCS for GPC3 (0.124 ng/mL) and PIVKA-II (274 mAU/mL) revealed significant associations between these risk stratifications and patient survival. Finally, the use of GPC3-highrisk, cirrhosis, albumin (ALB), portal venous thrombosis (PVT), and surgical treatment as five parameters in the nomogram prognostic prediction model effectively differentiated between high- and low-risk prognostic patients with N-HCC with relatively high accuracy.

CONCLUSIONS

Serum GPC3 and PIVKA-II demonstrate clinical significance in the timely detection and prognosis assessment of N-HCC. The application of nomogram prediction models based on GPC3 and PIVKA-II stands as an important adjunctive tool for diagnosing and prognosticating N-HCC.

Identification of prognostic tumor microenvironment in patients with advanced hepatocellular carcinoma treated with hepatic arterial infusion chemotherapy combined with lenvatinib and PD-1 inhibitors

BACKGROUND

In advanced hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), the triple combination therapy of hepatic arterial infusion chemotherapy (HAIC) with lenvatinib and programmed cell death protein-1 (PD-1) inhibitors has shown promise as a front-line treatment. This study aimed to explore the tumor microenvironment (TME) characteristics of the population benefiting most from this treatment.

METHODS

The study included 44 patients, with 38 ultimately receiving the HAIC + FOLFOX + lenvatinib + PD-1 inhibitor treatment. Tumor response was evaluated using modified RECIST criteria, classifying patients as responders (complete or partial response) or non-responders (stable or progressive disease). Overall survival (OS), progression-free survival (PFS), and adverse events (AEs) were assessed. Additionally, genetic sequencing and RNA analysis were conducted on biopsy samples to identify TME differences between the two groups.

RESULTS

Among the 38 patients, 22 responded favorably, showing significantly longer median OS (not-reached vs. 8.6 months) and median PFS (15.3 months vs. 2.0 months) compared to non-responders. Common AEs included AST elevation, stomachache, nausea, and hypertension, with limited severe AEs. Genetic analysis revealed no significant differences in DNA features between the groups. However, RNA analysis indicated that responders had a more robust immune status, better drug sensitivity, and increased immune cell infiltration. Notably, higher levels of tumor-infiltrating T lymphocytes were linked to better responses, longer PFS, and OS.

CONCLUSION

The differences in the initial TME of patients, especially in tumor-infiltrating T lymphocytes, may be potential biomarkers for predicting response and prognosis. This finding provides clues to search for biomarkers for this triple combination therapy in advanced HCC.

International perspectives on LI-RADS

Given the crucial role of imaging in HCC diagnosis, LI-RADS CT/MRI was developed to standardize the imaging interpretation and reporting of HCC in patients at risk for HCC and categorize hepatic observations on an ordinal scale according to the likelihood of HCC. LI-RADS has since been expanded to include 5 algorithms: LI-RADS US Surveillance, contrast-enhanced US (CEUS) LI-RADS, LI-RADS CT/MRI, and LI-RADS Treatment Response Assessment. LI-RADS has been adopted broadly in North America, however with less ubiquitous adoption outside of North America. Further elucidation of the perceived strengths and weakness of the LI-RADS algorithm, as it pertains to various geographic regions, will continue to inform a future system that may be more readily adopted globally. Therefore, the aim of this article is to summarize HCC risk factors and imaging guidelines in select geographically disparate regions, and to solicit feedback from liver imaging experts on the limitations and barriers to adoption of LI-RADS algorithms in their patient populations.

Geographic disparities in access to liver transplant for advanced cirrhosis: Time to ring the alarm!

Decompensated cirrhosis and hepatocellular cancer are major risk factors for mortality worldwide. Liver transplantation (LT), both live-donor LT or deceased-donor LT, are lifesaving, but there are several barriers toward equitable access. These barriers are exacerbated in the setting of critical illness or acute-on-chronic liver failure. Rates of LT vary widely worldwide but are lowest in lower-income countries owing to lack of resources, infrastructure, late disease presentation, and limited donor awareness. A recent experience by the Chronic Liver Disease Evolution and Registry for Events and Decompensation consortium defined these barriers toward LT as critical in determining overall survival in hospitalized cirrhosis patients. A major focus should be on appropriate, affordable, and early cirrhosis and hepatocellular cancer care to prevent the need for LT. Live-donor LT is predominant across Asian countries, whereas deceased-donor LT is more common in Western countries; both approaches have unique challenges that add to the access disparities. There are many challenges toward equitable access but uniform definitions of acute-on-chronic liver failure, improving transplant expertise, enhancing availability of resources and encouraging knowledge between centers, and preventing disease progression are critical to reduce LT disparities.

Prognostic Effect of Sarcopenia in Hepatocellular Carcinoma Patients Targeted with Interventional Therapy Combined with Immunotherapy and Targeted Therapy

Objective

To investigated the association between sarcopenia and the prognosis and adverse events of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients undergoing interventional therapy combined with immunotherapy and targeted therapy.

Methods

Between January 2019 and December 2022, patients with unresectable HCC who received interventional therapy combined with immunotherapy and targeted therapy were included in this study. Total skeletal muscle area at the L3 level was normalized for height in m2 as the skeletal muscle index (SMI). All patients were divided into low and high SMI group according to the median SMI.

Results

Ninety-six consecutive patients were included eventually, with 49 patients in the high-SMI group and 47 patients in the low-SMI group. In the low-SMI group, the median overall survival (OS) was 459.00 days (95% CI, 334.76-583.24 days), and the 3-, 6-, and 12-month OS rates were 100%, 89.4% and 68.1%, respectively. In the high-SMI group, the median OS was not reached, and the 3-, 6-, and 12-month OS rates were 100%, 98% and 79.5%, respectively (p<0.05). SMI and Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer (BCLC) C stage were independent prognostic factors for OS (p<0.05). In the low-SMI group, 26 patients had treatment-related adverse events (TRAEs), resulting in dose adjustment or treatment suspension for 10 patients. In the high-SMI group, 33 patients had TRAEs, and 18 patients received dose adjustment or treatment suspension; the between-group difference was nonsignificant (p>0.05).

Conclusion

SMI is associated with the prognosis of HCC patients receiving interventional therapy combined with immunotherapy and targeted therapy, and sarcopenia is an independent risk factor for OS. However, sarcopenia does not seem to predict the occurrence of adverse events.

Regular Alpha-Fetoprotein Tests Boost Curative Treatment and Survival for Hepatocellular Carcinoma Patients in an Endemic Area

Guidelines vary on alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) testing for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) screening. This study aims to reassess AFP's role in HCC surveillance, utilizing a comprehensive, recent, nationwide cohort. Utilizing the National Health Claims Database from the Korean National Health Insurance Service, this research included data from 185,316 HCC patients registered between 2008 and 2018. Specifically, 81,520 patients diagnosed with HCC from 2008 to 2014 were analyzed. The study focused primarily on mortality and, secondarily, on the status of curative treatments. Multivariate analysis revealed that frequent AFP testing significantly impacts overall survival in HCC patients. Specifically, each additional AFP test correlated with a 6% relative improvement in survival (hazard ratio = 0.94, 95% CI: 0.940-0.947, p < 0.001). Patients who underwent AFP testing three or more times within two years prior to HCC diagnosis showed improved survival rates, with 55.6% receiving liver transplantation or hepatectomy. This trend was particularly pronounced in hepatitis B patients undergoing antiviral treatment. The findings highlight the potential of regular AFP testing to enhance survival in HCC patients, especially those with hepatitis B. Integrating frequent AFP testing with ultrasonography could increase the likelihood of early detection and access to curative treatments.

Lenvatinib, Toripalimab plus FOLFOX Chemotherapy in Hepatocellular Carcinoma Patients with Extrahepatic Metastasis: A Biomolecular Exploratory, Phase II Trial (LTSC)

PURPOSE

To investigate the efficacy, safety, and biomarkers of systemic chemotherapy with oxaliplatin, leucovorin, and 5-fluorouracil (FOLFOX) in combination with lenvatinib and toripalimab as the first-line treatment for advanced hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) with extrahepatic metastasis.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

In this biomolecular exploratory, phase II trial, eligible patients underwent the triple combination therapy of lenvatinib, toripalimab, plus FOLFOX chemotherapy. Primary endpoint was progression-free survival (PFS) rate at 6 months by RECIST v1.1. Single-nucleus RNA sequencing (snRNA-seq) of tumor biopsy samples was performed for exploratory biomarker analyses.

RESULTS

Between November 19, 2019, and July 4, 2021, 30 patients were enrolled. The primary endpoint was a 6-month PFS rate of 66.7%, with a median PFS of 9.73 months [95% confidence interval (CI), 2.89-16.58]. The median overall survival (OS) was 14.63 months (95% CI, 11.77-17.50), with an objective response rate of 43.3%. Twenty-four (80.0%) patients exhibited high-risk features, among whom the median OS and PFS were 13.7 months (95% CI, 9.24-18.16) and 8.3 months (95% CI, 3.02-13.58), respectively. The most common adverse events were neutropenia, and increased aspartate aminotransferase and alanine aminotransferase levels. Exploratory analyses of snRNA-seq profiles suggested that patients with higher abundance of tumor-infiltrating immune cells were more likely to benefit from this combination. In addition, two subtypes of hepatocytes (AKR1C2+ and CFHR4+ malignant hepatocytes) were associated with reduced clinical benefits.

CONCLUSIONS

FOLFOX chemotherapy in combination with lenvatinib and toripalimab showed promising antitumor activity with manageable toxicities in advanced HCC with extrahepatic metastasis. AKR1C2+ and CFHR4+ hepatocyte subtypes may be predictive biomarkers of resistance to the combination therapy.

Comparison of the efficacy and safety of selective internal radiotherapy and sorafenib alone or combined for hepatocellular carcinoma: a systematic review and Bayesian network meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

Selective internal radiation therapy (SIRT) is a developing technique and its efficacy and modality of application in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) are still controversial. This network meta-analysis aims to determine whether the efficacy and safety of SIRT alone and in combination are superior to that of sorafenib.

METHODS

Four databases (PubMed, Embase, Cochrane Library, and Web of Science) were searched before August 2022. Cochrane Randomized Trial Risk of Bias Assessment Tool and the Newcastle-Ottawa scale were used to assess the quality. The outcomes of interest included overall survival (OS), progression-free survival (PFS), and adverse events (AEs).

RESULTS

A total of 9 eligible trials involving 1954 patients were included, and SIRT ranked first among the three treatment modalities in terms of both OS (probability, 52.3%) and PFS (probability, 68.6%). The combination of SIRT and sorafenib did not improve OS or PFS in patients with HCC. Although the combination of SIRT and sorafenib did not raise the risk of grade 3 or higher AEs, it may have introduced more AEs than either alone.

CONCLUSIONS

SIRT alone was found to be superior to sorafenib and the combination of the two in improving OS or PFS in patients with non-surgical HCC, especially in patients with combined portal vein tumor thrombus. The AEs induced by SIRT were different from those of sorafenib, but the overall toxicity was manageable, the combination of the two may cause an increase in the types of AEs that occur.

A paradigm shift in non-viral liver cirrhosis: a multicenter study on clinicoepidemiological characteristics and outcome of non-B non-C cirrhosis

Background

Chronic hepatitis C (HCV) and B viruses (HBV) represent the commonest global causes of liver cirrhosis. Other etiologies of non-viral cirrhosis such as autoimmune, metabolic, vascular, or biliary diseases are underestimated. The study aimed to identify causes, clinicoepidemiological characteristics, and outcome of non-B non-C liver cirrhosis. This Egyptian multicenter study recruited patients with liver cirrhosis excluding HCV and HBV. Clinical evaluation and the mortality were recorded. Laboratory, radiological, and histopathological assessment to diagnose the etiology was performed.

Results

One hundred eighty-eight patients were included: 54.3% were males. Autoimmune hepatitis (AIH) was the most common cause of cirrhosis (28.2%), followed by Budd-Chiari syndrome (BCS) in 25%, and cryptogenic in 23.9%. Metabolic causes such as Wilson’s disease, non-alcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH), and hemochromatosis were reported in 7.4%, 3.2%, and 1.1%, respectively. Biliary and cardiac cirrhosis were less frequent. Older age was prevalent in hemochromatosis (67.5 ± 17.7 years) and NASH (60.7 ± 11), while young age in Wilson’s disease (29.5 ± 14.8) and secondary biliary cirrhosis (14.8 ± 4.8). Rural residence was common (60.6%). Mortality was reported in BCS (40.4%), cryptogenic (28.9%), cardiac (25%), Wilson’s disease (21.4%), AIH (17%), and NASH (16.7%). Hepatocellular carcinoma complicated 10.6% of cases. A significantly high percentage of patients had decompensated cirrhosis. Child–Pugh class and rural residence were significant predictors of mortality.

Conclusion

This first report on non-B non-C cirrhosis in Egypt revealed a high prevalence of AIH, BCS, and cryptogenic cirrhosis. Advanced Child class and rural residence were the predictors of mortality.

Hepatocellular carcinoma incidence is decreasing in Korea but increasing in the very elderly

BACKGROUND/AIMS

A comprehensive analysis of trends in the incidence of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is important for planning public health initiatives. We aimed to analyze the trends in HCC incidence in South Korea over 10 years and to predict the incidence for the year 2028.

METHODS

Data from patients with newly diagnosed HCC between 2008 and 2018 were obtained from Korean National Health Insurance Service database. Age-standardized incidence rates (ASRs) were calculated to compare HCC incidence. A poisson regression model was used to predict the future incidence of HCC.

RESULTS

The average crude incidence rate (CR) was 22.4 per 100,000 person-years, and the average ASR was 17.6 per 100,000 person-years between 2008 and 2018. The CR (from 23.9 to 21.2 per 100,000 person-years) and ASR (from 21.9 to 14.3 per 100,000 person-years) of HCC incidence decreased during the past ten years in all age groups, except in the elderly. The ASR of patients aged ≥80 years increased significantly (from 70.0 to 160.2/100,000 person-years; average annual percent change, +9.00%; P<0.001). The estimated CR (17.9 per 100,000 person-years) and ASR (9.7 per 100,000 person-years) of HCC incidence in 2028 was declined, but the number of HCC patients aged ≥80 years in 2028 will be quadruple greater than the number of HCC patients in 2008 (from 521 to 2,055), comprising 21.3% of all HCC patients in 2028.

CONCLUSION

The ASRs of HCC in Korea have gradually declined over the past 10 years, but the number, CR, and ASR are increasing in patients aged ≥80 years.

Treatment patterns for hepatocellular carcinoma in patients with Child-Pugh class B and their impact on survival: A Korean nationwide registry study

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

There are no established practice guidelines for treating hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in patients with Child-Turcotte-Pugh (CTP) class B liver function. To evaluate the impact of various initial treatment modalities on these patients, we conducted a nationwide registry study in Korea.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Treatment patterns and overall survival (OS) of patients with HCC and CTP class B according to initial treatment modalities in each Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer (BCLC) stage were analysed using data from the Korean Primary Liver Cancer Registry between 2008 and 2016. Initial treatment modalities were categorized as standard, alternative treatment and supportive care only, referring to the 2018 BCLC guidelines, irrespective of liver function.

RESULTS

Of the 2318 newly diagnosed Korean patients with HCC and CTP class B, 29.7%, 60.3% and 15.6% of patients in BCLC stages A, B and C, respectively, underwent standard treatment. Adjusted OS hazard ratios of alternative treatment referring to standard treatment were 1.55 (95% confidence interval [CI], 1.25-1.94; p < .001) in BCLC-A, 0.82 (95% CI, 0.43-1.56; p = .550) for curative alternative treatment, 1.89 (95% CI, 0.97-3.68; p = .059) for non-curative alternative treatment in BCLC-B, 0.40 (95% CI, 0.28-0.56; p < .001) for curative alternative treatment, 0.84 (95% CI, 0.69-1.02; p = .076) for non-curative alternative treatment for BCLC-C.

CONCLUSION

Regardless of BCLC stages, chemoembolization was conducted the most among patients with CTP class B. Treatment in line with the BCLC treatment algorithm resulted in favourable OS outcomes, except for those with BCLC stage C, as systemic therapy showed poor OS.

One day versus two days of hepatic arterial infusion with oxaliplatin and fluorouracil for patients with unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma

BACKGROUND

Hepatic arterial infusion chemotherapy (HAIC) with oxaliplatin and 5-fluorouracil was effective in unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). The program of FOLFOX-HAIC in HCC was performed for 1 day (HAIC 1d) or 2 days (HAIC 2d). We hereby retrospectively compared the efficacy and safety between these two treatment regimens and explored the predictive power of thymidylate synthase (TYMS), an enzyme involved in the DNA synthesis process and metabolism of fluorouracil.

METHODS

This study included patients with a primary diagnosis of unresectable HCC. These patients received HAIC for 1 day or 2 days. The overall survival (OS), progression-free survival (PFS), tumor response, and adverse events were compared. The propensity score matching (PSM) was used to reduce bias. Peripheral blood samples before the treatments were collected and used to measure the concentration of TYMS through enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay (ELISA). ELISA was performed according to the manufacturers' guidelines.

RESULTS

We included 368 patients for this study: 248 in the HAIC 1d group and 120 in the HAIC 2d group. There was no significant difference of OS between the two groups (14.5 for HAIC 1d vs 15.3 months for HAIC 2d, p=0.46). Compared with the HAIC 1d group, the HAIC 2d group did not prolong the PFS (7.3 vs 7.5 months, p=0.91) or elevate the tumor response (42.5% vs 39.1%, p=0.53) per RECIST 1.1. In the PSM cohort, the efficacy between the two groups was similar. The total frequencies of grade 3-4 events were higher with the HAIC 2d group than with the HAIC 1d group, especially in the PSM cohort (p=0.043). Additionally, patients with TYMS low level might benefit longer OS from the HAIC 2d group (18.7 vs 13.6 months, p=0.014).

CONCLUSIONS

There was not much of a difference in efficacy between the two groups, but the HAIC for 1 day might be safer, which needed further research. The level of TYMS might be the predictive biomarkers.

Clinical Outcomes of Hepatitis B Virus-Related Hepatocellular Carcinoma Patients with Undetectable Serum HBV DNA Levels

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Some hepatitis B virus (HBV)-related hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients show undetectable serum HBV DNA levels at HCC diagnosis. The risk of HBV reactivation and its impact on clinical outcomes are not well-unknown.

METHODS

This retrospective cohort study included a total of 985 HBV-related HCC patients with undetectable serum HBV DNA levels (< 12 IU/mL) at HCC diagnosis (112 were antiviral treatment (AVT)-naïve; 873 were receiving AVT). Incidence and risk factors for HBV reactivation (re-detection of HBV DNA in serum) during follow-up, as well as its association to overall survival, were assessed.

RESULTS

During a median of 33.4 months of follow-up (range: 0.2-124.2 months), HBV reactivation was observed in 279 patients. HBV reactivation rate was significantly lower for patients receiving AVT than AVT-naïve patients (three-year cumulative incidence rate: 27.3% versus 56.0%; P < 0.001). In multivariable-adjusted analysis, the risk of HBV reactivation was lower for those receiving AVT compared to AVT-naïve patients (adjusted hazard ratio: 0.39, 95% confidence interval: 0.29-0.54). Overall survival was significantly lower for those experiencing HBV reactivation than those who did not (71.5% and 85.7% at five-year) and was associated with higher risk of overall mortality (adjusted hazard ratio: 5.15, 95% confidence interval: 3.60-7.38).

CONCLUSION

More than half of AVT-naïve patients experienced HBV reactivation within three years, which was associated with increased risk of overall mortality. The risk of HBV reactivation was lower for those receiving AVT, suggesting that prompt AVT needs to be considered for AVT naïve HBV-related HCC patients with undetectable HBV DNA levels.

Lenvatinib, toripalimab plus hepatic arterial infusion chemotherapy in patients with high-risk advanced hepatocellular carcinoma: A biomolecular exploratory, phase II trial

INTRODUCTION

The combination of lenvatinib, toripalimab and hepatic arterial infusion chemotherapy (HAIC) with oxaliplatin, leucovorin, and 5-fluorouracil (FOLFOX) suggested encouraging antitumour activity in our retrospective study. We hereby prospectively establish the efficacy, safety and predictive biomarkers of the combination therapy as a first-line treatment in patients with high-risk advanced hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC).

MATERIALS AND METHODS

This phase II, single-centre, single-arm trial enrolled advanced HCC participants with high-risk. Of 51 screened participants, 36 received lenvatinib, toripalimab plus FOLFOX-HAIC. Participants received 21-day treatment cycles of lenvatinib, toripalimab, and FOLFOX-HAIC. The primary end-point was the progression-free survival (PFS) rate per RECIST at six months.

RESULTS

Thirty-six participants (86.1% with high-risk features) were enrolled in our study. The primary end-point was met with a PFS rate of 80.6% (95% CI, 64.0%-91.8%) at six months. The median PFS was 10.4 months (95% CI, 5.8-15.0), and the median OS was not reached at the prespecified final analysis and was 17.9 months (95% CI, 14.5-21.3) after follow-up was extended. The ORR per RECIST was 63.9%, and per mRECIST was 66.7%. The median duration of response was 14.4 months (95% CI, 8.9-19.9). The most common adverse events were thrombocytopenia, elevated aspartate aminotransferase, and hypertension, and no treatment-related death was reported. Participants with low levels of both CCL28 and BTC had unsatisfactory prognosis.

CONCLUSIONS

Lenvatinib, toripalimab and FOLFOX-HAIC showed safe and encouraging antitumour activity for advanced HCC with high-risk features. The levels of CCL28 and BTC might be the predictive biomarkers for the triple combination therapy.

Changing epidemiology of hepatocellular carcinoma in Asia

Liver cancer is the fifth most common cancer and the second leading cause of malignant death in Asia, and Asia reports 72.5% of the world's cases in 2020. As the most common histological type, hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) accounts for the majority of incidence and mortality of liver cancer cases. This review presents the changing epidemiology of HCC in Asian countries in recent years. Globally, aged, male and Asian populations remain the group with the highest risk of HCC. Hepatitis B virus (HBV) and hepatitis C virus (HCV) are still the leading risk factors of HCC with a slight decline in most Asian countries, which is mainly attributed to HBV vaccination of newborns, prevention of HCV horizontal transmission and treatment of chronic hepatitis. However, the prevalence of HCC caused by metabolic factors, including metabolic syndrome, obesity and non-alcoholic fatty liver diseases, is increasing rapidly in Asian countries, which may eventually become the major cause of HCC. Excessive alcohol consumption continues to be an important risk factor as the average consumption of alcohol is still growing. Hopefully, great effort has been made to better prevention and treatment of HCC in most Asian regions, which significantly prolongs the survival of HCC patients. Asian countries tend to use more aggressive intervention than European and American countries, but it remains unclear whether this preference is related to a better prognosis. In conclusion, HCC remains a major disease burden in Asia, and the management of HCC should be adjusted dynamically based on the changing epidemiology.

Trend Analysis and Prediction of Hepatobiliary Pancreatic Cancer Incidence and Mortality in Korea

BACKGROUND

This study aimed to analyze the current trends and predict the epidemiologic features of hepatobiliary and pancreatic (HBP) cancers according to the Korea Central Cancer Registry to provide insights into health policy.

METHODS

Incidence data from 1999 to 2017 and mortality data from 2002 to 2018 were obtained from the Korea National Cancer Incidence Database and Statistics Korea, respectively. The future incidence rate from 2018 to 2040 and mortality rate from 2019 to 2040 of each HBP cancer were predicted using an age-period-cohort model. All analyses, including incidence and mortality, were stratified by sex.

RESULTS

From 1999 to 2017, the age-standardized incidence rate (ASIR) of HBP cancers per 100,000 population had changed (liver, 25.8 to 13.5; gallbladder [GB], 2.9 to 2.6; bile ducts, 5.1 to 5.9; ampulla of Vater [AoV], 0.9 to 0.9; and pancreatic, 5.6 to 7.3). The age-standardized mortality rate (ASMR) per 100,000 population from 2002 to 2018 of each cancer had declined, excluding pancreatic cancer (5.5 to 5.6). The predicted ASIR of pancreatic cancer per 100,000 population from 2018 to 2040 increased (7.5 to 8.2), but that of other cancers decreased. Furthermore, the predicted ASMR per 100,000 population from 2019 to 2040 decreased in all types of cancers: liver (6.5 to 3.2), GB (1.4 to 0.9), bile ducts (4.3 to 2.9), AoV (0.3 to 0.2), and pancreas (5.4 to 4.7). However, in terms of sex, the predicted ASMR of pancreatic cancer per 100,000 population in females increased (3.8 to 4.9).

CONCLUSION

The annual incidence and mortality cases of HBP cancers are generally predicted to increase. Especially, pancreatic cancer has an increasing incidence and will be the leading cause of cancer-related death among HBP cancers.

Real-World Treatment Patterns and Health-Resource Utilization in Patients with Hepatocellular Carcinoma (HCC) Following Failure of Sorafenib: A Retrospective Chart Review of 127 Patients in South Korea

BACKGROUND

European, US, Asian and Korean treatment guidelines all recommend sorafenib as first-line systemic therapy in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). However, due to the emergence of several new treatments, post-sorafenib treatment patterns in real-world clinical practice are less well understood.

OBJECTIVE

This study aimed to characterize current treatment patterns and healthcare resource utilization (HRU) in patients with HCC following the failure of first-line sorafenib in a real-world setting in Korea.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

A chart review was conducted in 127 HCC patients who received systemic therapy or best supportive care following failure of first-line systemic treatment with sorafenib (2016-2018). Anonymized data on patient characteristics, treatment patterns, and survival were abstracted by 37 physicians in Korea.

RESULTS

The mean (range) age of patients was 60 (37-79) years; 63 patients had low alpha-fetoprotein (AFP < 400 ng/mL), 64 patients had high alpha-fetoprotein (AFP ≥ 400 ng/mL). Post-sorafenib, 64 (50%) patients had systemic therapy. Regorafenib, used by 54 (84%) patients in second-line, and nivolumab monotherapy, by ten (56%) patients in third-line, were the most common therapies. Hepatologist visits and hospitalizations, at an average rate of 6.89 (95% CI 6.37-7.45) and 2.24 (95% CI 1.95-2.57) per patient-year, respectively, were the key contributors of HRU. The median overall survival (95% CI) from discontinuation of sorafenib was 13.0 (9.8-20.7), 6.5 (5.0-9.5) and 9.5 (6.7-12.3) months in the low AFP, high AFP and overall group, respectively.

CONCLUSION

This real-world evidence research on treatment patterns reflected current clinical guidelines and highlighted fast progressing nature and continuing high mortality in HCC, especially among the high AFP group, underlying a need for new treatments that can lengthen survival. Results from this real-world chart review, together with existing clinical trial data, can inform future evaluations of new HCC treatments that estimate their health economic impact in Korea.

Cause of death and cause-specific mortality for primary liver cancer in South Korea: A nationwide population-based study in hepatitis B virus-endemic area

BACKGROUND/AIMS

Primary liver cancer is one of the leading causes of cancer mortality worldwide. However, the causes of death have not been studied in detail in patients with liver cancer.

METHODS

The causes of death and cause-specific mortality risks in patients with primary liver cancer, diagnosed during 2000-2016, were investigated using the nationwide population-based cancer registry data in South Korea (n=231,388). The cumulative incidence function and Fine-Gray models were used to estimate the cause-specific mortality under the competing risks. Risks of non-cancer deaths relative to the general population were compared by standardized mortality ratios (SMRs).

RESULTS

Among 179,921 total deaths, 92.4%, 1.7%, and 6.0% of patients died of primary liver cancer, cancer from other sites, and non-cancer illnesses, respectively. Proportionate mortality from liver cancer remained high. The 5-year competing risks probability of death from liver cancer varied by tumor stage, from 42% to 94%, and it remained high 10 years after the diagnosis (61-95%). Competing mortality from other causes has continuously increased. The most common non-cancer causes of death were underlying liver diseases (SMR, 15.6; 95% confidence interval [CI], 15.1-16.1) and viral hepatitis (SMR, 46.5; 95% CI, 43.9-49.2), which demonstrated higher mortality risks compared to the Korean general population. Higher mortality risks of suicide (SMR, 2.6; 95% CI, 2.4-2.8) was also noted.

CONCLUSION

Patients with liver cancer are most likely to die from liver cancer and related liver disease, even 10 years after the diagnosis, highlighting a need for specialized long-term follow-up care.

Comparison of the outcomes between sorafenib and lenvatinib as the first-line systemic treatment for HBV-associated hepatocellular carcinoma: a propensity score matching analysis

BACKGROUND/AIM

In a randomized controlled trial, lenvatinib was non-inferior to sorafenib in overall survival (OS) of patients with unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma (uHCC). This study aimed to compare the effects of sorafenib and lenvatinib as first-line systemic therapy against uHCC with real-world data in chronic hepatitis B patients.

METHODS

This retrospective single-center study involved 132 patients with HBV-related uHCC. Propensity score matching (PSM) was used to balance the baseline characteristics, including age, sex, serum alpha-fetoprotein levels, Child-Pugh class, tumor size, and tumor stage. The primary endpoint was overall survival (OS), and the secondary endpoints included progression-free survival (PFS), time to progression (TTP), and tumor response.

RESULTS

After PSM, the final analysis included 44 patients treated with lenvatinib and 88 with sorafenib. The OS (7.0 vs 9.2 months, p = 0.070) and PFS (4.6 vs 2.4 months, p = 0.134) were comparable between the two drugs. Multivariable analysis showed that lenvatinib and sorafenib were not independent prognostic factors of OS (adjusted hazard ratio = 1.41, 95% confidence interval = 0.96-2.08, p = 0.077) after adjustment for baseline alpha-fetoprotein levels, total bilirubin levels, alanine aminotransferase level, performance status, tumor stage, and tumor size. However, the lenvatinib group had a significantly prolonged TTP (5.2 vs 2.5 months, p = 0.018) and a higher objective response rate (18.2% vs 4.5%, p = 0.020) and disease control rate (77.3% vs 47.7%, p = 0.001) than the sorafenib group.

CONCLUSIONS

Our study demonstrated that lenvatinib had a comparable OS and PFS but longer TTP and better tumor response compared to sorafenib in patients with HBV-related uHCC.

Role of Tumor Biomarkers in the Surveillance of Hepatocellular Carcinoma

Biomarkers are key components of the clinical management of cancer patients because they have contributed to significant survival improvements in these patients. They allow the classification of patients based on common features and facilitate risk stratification, early detection, diagnosis, and prediction of the prognosis or treatment response. In hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), there are few biomarkers incorporated in clinical practice. Despite this, this has been an extensive area of research in recent years, with increasing efforts to identify the biomarkers across the cancer care continuum from risk stratification to early detection to prognostication and treatment response. The heterogeneous nature of HCCs has restricted the performance of biomarkers. HCC biomarkers have limited roles in risk stratification, diagnosis, and treatment response. Currently, the main role of biomarkers is in the surveillance of HCC to detect it at an earlier stage and reduce mortality, which is the focus of this review.

Transarterial infusion chemotherapy with FOLFOX for advanced hepatocellular carcinoma: a multi-center propensity score matched analysis of real-world practice

Background

To compare the treatment effectiveness and safety among transarterial infusion chemotherapy (TAI) with FOLFOX regimen, transarterial chemoembolization (TACE), and sorafenib in patients with BCLC stage C hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC).

Methods

The data of consecutive patients with BCLC stage C HCC treated with TAI, TACE, or sorafenib from January 2015 to December 2018 at three centers were retrospectively analyzed. Propensity-score matched (PSM) analysis was pairwise performed to reduce selection bias. Treatment effectiveness and safety were evaluated and compared using the Kaplan-Meier method, log-rank test, Cox regression models, and χ² test.

Results

The median overall survival (OS) in the matched TAI cohort was significantly longer than the sorafenib cohort (19.6 vs. 7.5 months, P=0.009), and the TACE cohort (estimated 27.8 vs. 6.6 months, P<0.001). The difference in median progression-free survival (PFS) between the matched TAI and sorafenib cohorts was not significant (5.8 vs. 2.3 months, P=0.219). The median PFS in the matched TAI cohort was significantly longer than the TACE cohort (6.5 vs. 2.8 months, P<0.001). The objective response rate (ORR) in the matched TAI cohort was significantly higher than the sorafenib cohort (36.4% vs. 0.0%, P<0.001) and the TACE cohort (48.7% vs. 4.7%, P<0.001). The incidences of adverse events (AEs) were similar among these three cohorts.

Conclusions

TAI with FOLFOX regimen was an effective and safe therapy that improved survival of patients with BCLC stage C HCC.

Meta-Analysis of the Accuracy of Abbreviated Magnetic Resonance Imaging for Hepatocellular Carcinoma Surveillance: Non-Contrast versus Hepatobiliary Phase-Abbreviated Magnetic Resonance Imaging

Simple Summary

Ultrasonography is recommended as a standard surveillance modality, but the performance of surveillance ultrasound for detecting early-stage hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is limited. Motivated to provide a more sensitive method, abbreviated magnetic resonance imaging (AMRI) protocols have been introduced for HCC surveillance. We aimed to systematically determine the diagnostic performance of surveillance AMRI for detecting HCC. This meta-analysis of 10 studies comprising 1547 patients found that the pooled sensitivity and specificity of surveillance AMRI for detecting HCC were 86% and 96%, respectively. Hepatobiliary phase contrast-enhanced AMRI showed significantly higher sensitivities for detecting HCC than non-contrast AMRI (87% vs. 82%), but significantly lower specificities (93% vs. 98%). Therefore, surveillance AMRI had overall good diagnostic performance for detecting HCC and might be clinically useful for HCC surveillance. In addition, AMRI protocol should be selected with consideration of the advantages and disadvantages of each protocol.

Abstract

We aimed to determine the performance of surveillance abbreviated magnetic resonance imaging (AMRI) for detecting hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), and to compare the performance of surveillance AMRI according to different protocols. Original research studies reporting the performance of surveillance AMRI for the detection of HCC were identified in MEDLINE, EMBASE, and Cochrane databases. The pooled sensitivity and specificity of surveillance AMRI were calculated using a hierarchical model. The pooled sensitivity and specificity of contrast-enhanced hepatobiliary phase (HBP)-AMRI and non-contrast (NC)-AMRI were calculated and compared using bivariate meta-regression. Ten studies, including 1547 patients, reported the accuracy of surveillance AMRI. The pooled sensitivity and specificity of surveillance AMRI for detecting any-stage HCC were 86% (95% confidence interval (CI), 80–90%; I² = 0%) and 96% (95% CI, 93–98%; I² = 80.5%), respectively. HBP-AMRI showed a significantly higher sensitivity for detecting HCC than NC-AMRI (87% vs. 82%), but significantly lower specificity (93% vs. 98%) (p = 0.03). Study quality and MRI magnet field strength were factors significantly associated with study heterogeneity (p ≤ 0.01). In conclusion, surveillance AMRI showed good overall diagnostic performance for detecting HCC. HBP-AMRI had significantly higher sensitivity for detecting HCC than NC-AMRI, but lower specificity.

Change in the Recurrence Pattern and Predictors over Time after Complete Cure of Hepatocellular Carcinoma

BACKGROUND/AIMS

We investigated changes in recurrence rates and significant recurrence predictors over time after complete cure of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC).

METHODS

A total of 1,491 patients with first-time diagnosis of Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer stage A HCC, completely cured by treatment between 2007 and 2016, were recruited from two Korean tertiary institutes.

RESULTS

The mean age of the population (1,144 men and 347 women) was 58.6 years. Of the total population, 914 patients (61.3%) had liver cirrhosis. Nine-hundred and forty-one (63.1%) and 550 (36.9%) patients were treated with surgical resection and radiofrequency ablation (RFA), respectively. One-year cumulative incidences of HCC recurrence were 14.3%, 9.9%, and 5.1% from the time of treatment, 3 years after treatment, and 5 years after treatment, respectively. Upon multivariate analysis, multiple tumors, maximal tumor size ≥3 cm, and high Model for End-Stage Liver Disease scores were independently associated with increased HCC recurrence risk from the time of treatment and 1 and 2 years after curative treatment (all p<0.05, except for maximal tumor size ≥3 cm for recurrence 2 years after treatment). Meanwhile, liver cirrhosis and RFA were independently associated with the increased HCC recurrence risk for almost all time points (liver cirrhosis: all p<0.05; RFA: all p<0.005 except for recurrence from 5 years after treatment).

CONCLUSIONS

The recurrence rate of HCC after curative treatment gradually decreased over time. Two years after treatment, when tumor-related factors lose their prognostic implications, may be used as a cutoff to define the boundary between early and late recurrence of HCC.

A comparison of factors associated with the temporal improvement in the overall survival of BCLC stage 0 hepatocellular carcinoma patients

BACKGROUND

It is uncertain whether the prognosis of Barcelona Clinical Liver Cancer (BCLC) stage 0 hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) has improved.

AIMS

To evaluate whether the outcomes of BCLC stage 0 patients has improved, and if so, what are the reasons behind the noted improved outcome.

METHODS

A total of 591 patients with BCLC stage 0 HCC diagnosed at Samsung Medical Center, Seoul, Korea were grouped based on year of diagnosis (earlier cohort; 2007-2009 and later cohort; 2013-2015) and compared.

RESULTS

The overall survival (OS) was improved for BCLC stage 0 patients at later cohort (5-year survival rate: 82.1% vs. 92.0% for earlier cohort and later cohort, p = 0.015). However, after adjustment, the treatment period was not an independent factor for OS, especially when the albumin-bilirubin (ALBI) grade was adjusted. The incidence of liver cirrhosis (LC)-related death was increased from 10.4% to 33.3%, while the incidence of HCC-related death decreased from 57.5% to 28.6% in the latter cohort.

CONCLUSIONS

The survival improvement of BCLC stage 0 patients was largely explained by better liver function at diagnosis. Mortality from LC-related death was increasing, which calls for careful attention for finding strategies for preserving the liver function for BCLC stage 0 patients.

Therapeutic Decision Making in Hepatocellular Carcinoma According to Age and Child-Pugh Class: A Nationwide Cohort Analysis in South Korea

Background

We sought to analyze the preferred treatment modality by age and liver function in South Korea.

Methods

The Korean Liver Cancer Study Group randomly extracted the data of patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) enrolled in the Korean Central Cancer Registry from 2008 to 2014 from approximately 50 hospitals nationwide. After excluding distant and lymphatic metastases, the treatment preference for patients with a single lesion (excluding PVT (portal vein thrombosis), hepatic vessels, and bile duct invasion) and with PVT was evaluated in 7559 patients. Patients were grouped by age, and baseline liver function was divided based on the Child-Pugh class (CPC) A, B, and C.

Results

For a single HCC, the majority of patients selected transarterial therapy as the initial treatment, followed by surgical resection and local ablative therapy. The surgical resection rate decreased significantly with age (p < 0.001), and the transarterial therapy rate significantly increased (p < 0.001). For CPC C, liver transplantation was significantly increased to 11.5%, and 36.3% of patients received no treatment. In HCC with PVT, the transarterial therapy rate was the highest, followed by the rate of abandonment of treatment. The proportion of no treatment significantly increased with age (p < 0.001). In CPC C, transarterial therapy and systemic therapy were attempted in 15.4% and 5.8% of patients, respectively.

Conclusions

Age and liver function have a significant impact on the therapeutic decision-making of HCC patients in Korea. In unfavorable conditions, surgical resection was less favored in patients with single tumors, and no treatment was preferred in patients with PVT.

Hepatocellular Carcinoma With Different Areas of Right Retroperitoneal Space Invasion: Evaluation of Transcatheter Arterial Chemoembolization Efficacy and Blood Supply Characteristics

Purpose

To evaluate the therapeutic efficacy of transcatheter arterial chemoembolization (TACE) for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) with different areas of right retroperitoneal space (rRPS) invasion and analyze the blood supply.

Methods

This retrospective study enrolled 41 patients with HCC with different areas of rRPS invasion treated with TACE, including 22 HCCs with superior aspect of the right perirenal space (SARPS) invasion and 19 HCCs with right anterior pararenal space (RAPS) invasion. The overall response rate (ORR) and disease control rate (DCR) were analyzed. The prognostic factors for overall survival (OS) after TACE were determined. The blood supply characteristics of HCC with different areas of rRPS invasion were analyzed with arteriograms.

Results

All patients underwent 2.8 ± 1.8 TACE sessions over 25.0 ± 21.9 months. The median OS was 29.0 months for patients with SARPS invasion and 12.0 months for patients with RAPS invasion (P = 0.004). Only the invaded area of the rRPS was an independent prognostic factor for OS [hazard ratio (HR), 2.833; 95% CI, 1.297–6.188; and P = 0.009). The ORR and DCR were significantly higher in the group with SARPS invasion than in the group with RAPS invasion (ORR: 63.6% vs 31.6%, P = 0.041; DCR: 77.3% vs 47.4%, P = 0.047). Initially, HCC with SARPS invasion were supplied by the hepatic artery (HA; n = 8) and both the HA and extrahepatic collateral vessels (EHCs; n = 14); HCC with RAPS invasion were supplied by the HA (n = 10) and both the HA and EHCs (n = 9); as the TACE sessions increased, the tumor-feeding vessels shifted from the HA to both the HA and EHCs, and even EHCs could be the only blood supply. Rare EHCs appeared earlier and more frequently in the RAPS group than in the SARPS group.

Conclusion

The efficacy of TACE differed for HCC with different areas of rRPS invasion, and the median OS, ORR and DCR were significantly better in the SARPS group than in the RAPS group. Different common EHCs supplied HCCs with different areas of rRPS invasion, while other rare EHCs appeared more frequently in the RAPS group.

A Comparison of Biannual Two-Phase Low-Dose Liver CT and US for HCC Surveillance in a Group at High Risk of HCC Development

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Biannual ultrasonography (US) is a current recommendation for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) surveillance in a high-risk group. The sensitivity of US, however, has been low in patients with a high risk of developing HCC. We aimed to compare sensitivity for HCC of biannual US and two-phase low-dose computed tomography (LDCT) in patients with a high risk of HCC.

METHODS

In this prospective single-arm study, participants with an annual risk of HCC greater than 5% (based on a risk index of ≥2.33) and who did not have a history of HCC were enrolled from November 2014 to July 2016. Participants underwent paired biannual US and two-phase LDCT 1-3 times. Two-phase LDCT included arterial and 3-min delayed phases. The sensitivity, specificity, and positive predictive value of HCC detection using US and two-phase LDCT were compared using a composite algorithm as a standard of reference.

RESULTS

Of the 139 enrolled participants, 137 underwent both the biannual US and two-phase LDCT at least once and had follow-up images. Among them, 27 cases of HCC (mean size: 14 ± 4 mm) developed in 24 participants over 1.5 years. Two-phase LDCT showed a significantly higher sensitivity (83.3% [20/24] vs. 29.2% [7/24], p < 0.001) and specificity (95.6% [108/113] vs. 87.7% [99/113], p =0.03) than US. A false-positive result was reported in 14 participants at US and 5 participants at two-phase LDCT, resulting in a significantly higher positive predictive value of two-phase LDCT (33.3% [7/21] vs. 80% [20/25], p < 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

Patients with a risk index ≥2.33 showed a high annual incidence of HCC development in our study, and two-phase LDCT showed significantly higher sensitivity and specificity for HCC detection than US.

Changes in Characteristics of Patients with Liver Cirrhosis Visiting a Tertiary Hospital over 15 Years: a Retrospective Multi-Center Study in Korea

BACKGROUND

Liver cirrhosis has become a heavy burden not only for patients, but also for our society. However, little is known about the recent changes in clinical outcomes and characteristics of patients with cirrhosis-related complications in Korea. Therefore, we aimed to evaluate changes in characteristics of patients with liver cirrhosis in Daegu-Gyeongbuk province in Korea over the past 15 years.

METHODS

We retrospectively reviewed the medical records of 15,716 liver cirrhotic patients from 5 university hospitals in Daegu-Gyeongbuk province from 2000 to 2014. The Korean Standard Classification of Diseases-6 code associated with cirrhosis was investigated through medical records and classified according to the year of first visit.

RESULTS

A total of 15,716 patients was diagnosed with cirrhosis. A number of patients newly diagnosed with cirrhosis has decreased each year. In 2000, patients were most likely to be diagnosed with hepatitis B virus (HBV) cirrhosis, followed by alcoholic cirrhosis. There was a significant decrease in HBV (P < 0.001), but alcohol, hepatitis C virus (HCV), and non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) showed a significant increase during the study period (alcohol, P = 0.036; HCV, P = 0.001; NAFLD, P = 0.001). At the time of initial diagnosis, the ratio of Child-Turcotte-Pugh (CTP) class A gradually increased from 23.1% to 32.9% (P < 0.001). The most common cause of liver-related hospitalization in 2000 was hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) (25.5%); in 2014, gastrointestinal bleeding with esophageal and gastric varices (21.4%) was the most common cause. Cases of hospitalization with liver-related complication represented 76.4% of all cases in 2000 but 70.9% in 2014. Incidence rate of HCC has recently increased. In addition, HCC-free survival was significantly lower in CTP class A than in classes B and C. Finally, there was significant difference in HCC occurrence according to causes (P < 0.001). HBV and HCV cirrhosis had lower HCC-free survival than alcoholic and NAFLD cirrhosis.

CONCLUSION

In recent years, the overall number of cirrhosis patients has decreased. This study confirmed the recent trend in decrease of cirrhosis, especially of cirrhosis due to HBV, and the increase of HCV, alcoholic and NAFLD cirrhosis. Targeted screening for at-risk patients will facilitate early detection of liver diseases allowing effective intervention and may have decreased the development of cirrhosis and its complications.

Proteome Multimarker Panel With Multiple Reaction Monitoring-Mass Spectrometry for Early Detection of Hepatocellular Carcinoma

There is an urgent need for new biomarkers that address the shortcomings of current screening methods which fail to detect a large proportion of cases with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) at early stage. To develop a robust, multiple-biomarker panel based on multiple reaction monitoring-mass spectrometry with high performance in detecting early-stage HCC within at-risk populations. In the discovery set, 150 samples were analyzed to identify candidate biomarkers. The resulting list of candidates was tested in the training set (713 samples) to establish a multimarker panel, which was evaluated in the validation set (305 samples). We identified 385 serum HCC biomarker candidates in the discovery set and developed a multimarker panel consisting of 28 peptides that best differentiated HCC from controls. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of multimarker panel was significantly higher than alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) in the training (0.976 vs. 0.804; P < 0.001) and validation (0.898 vs. 0.778; P < 0.001) sets. In the validation set, this multimarker panel, compared with AFP, showed significantly greater sensitivity (81.1% vs. 26.8%; P < 0.001) and lower specificity (84.8% vs. 98.8%; P < 0.001) in detecting HCC cases. Combining AFP with the multimarker panel did not significantly improve the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve compared with the panel alone in the training (0.981 vs. 0.976; P = 0.37) and validation set (0.906 vs. 0.898; P = 0.75). Conclusion: The multiple reaction monitoring-mass spectrometry multimarker panel consisting of 28 peptides discriminates HCC cases from at-risk controls with high performance and may have potential for clinical application in HCC surveillance.

Potential etiology, prevalence of cirrhosis, and mode of detection among patients with non-B non-C hepatocellular carcinoma in Korea

BACKGROUND/AIMS

We systematically evaluated the clinical characteristics, prevalence of cirrhosis, and mode of detection in virus-unrelated (non-B non-C, NBNC) hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients in Korea.

METHODS

A total of 447 consecutive treatment-naïve NBNC-HCC adult patients who were registered at the Samsung Medical Center HCC registry in Korea from 2010 to 2013 were analyzed. NBNC was defined as negative hepatitis B surface antigen and negative anti-hepatitis C virus antibody. Presence of cirrhosis was determined based on histological, radiological, endoscopic, and serologic results. Mode of detection was classified as either under surveillance, incidental, or symptomatic.

RESULTS

Heavy alcohol use was the most common potential etiology in NBNCHCC (NBNC-A, alcohol) (59.7%). Ten patients had other identifiable causes (NBNC-O, other identifiable cause) such as autoimmune hepatitis. The rest (38.0%) had no-identifiable cause (NBNC-NA-NO, non-alcohol, no-other identifiable cause). In NBNC-NA-NO group, 83.5% (96/115) of patients with available hepatitis B core immunoglobulin G antibody (HBcIgG) showed HBcIgG positivity, and 80.6% (137/170) had metabolic risk factors (diabetes, obesity, hypertension, and/ or dyslipidemia). Cirrhosis was present in 90.0%, 70.4%, and 60.0% of NBNC-O, NBNC-A, and NBNC-NA-NO patients, respectively. The proportion of patients diagnosed under surveillance was 25.5% across all patients, with specific proportions being 80.0%, 27.7%, and 18.8% for NBNC-O, NBNC-A, and NBNC-NA-NO, respectively.

CONCLUSION

Among NBNC-HCC patients, heavy alcohol use or any other identifiable cause was not found in 38.0%. These NBNC-NA-NO HCC patients showed a high prevalence of HBcIgG positivity and metabolic risk factors, suggesting that prior hepatitis B virus infection and metabolic risk factors may be major contributing factors in the hepatocarcinogenesis in NBNC-NA-NO patients.

Diagnostic value of alpha-fetoprotein, Lens culinaris agglutinin-reactive alpha-fetoprotein, and des-gamma-carboxyprothrombin in hepatitis B virus-related hepatocellular carcinoma

Objective

This study aimed to explore the use of different combinations of alpha-fetoprotein (AFP), Lens culinaris agglutinin-reactive AFP (AFP-L3), and des-gamma-carboxyprothrombin (DCP) for the early diagnosis of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in patients with hepatitis B virus (HBV)-associated liver cirrhosis (LC).

Methods

There were 167 subjects, including 100 with HCC and 67 with LC, who were enrolled into this study. Serum AFP, AFP-L3, and DCP levels were detected by chemiluminescent enzyme immunoassay and analyzed using the receiver operating characteristics (ROC) method.

Results

The sensitivity and specificity of AFP and DCP for differentiating between early HCC and HBV-associated LC were 51.5% and 92.5%, and 60.0% and 84.7%, respectively. Comparative analysis of ROC curves showed no significant difference in the area under the curve (AUC) for AFP and DCP. Moreover, the combination of AFP and DCP showed the largest AUC value with a diagnostic sensitivity and specificity of 67% and 83.1%, respectively.

Conclusion

These results suggest that AFP is the best single biomarker for distinguishing between HBV-associated LC and early HCC induced by HBV. However, the combination of AFP and DCP can enhance the diagnostic value of AFP for differentiating between these diseases.

Combined transarterial chemoembolization and radiotherapy as a first-line treatment for hepatocellular carcinoma with macroscopic vascular invasion: Necessity to subclassify Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer stage C

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE

Systemic therapy such as sorafenib is the standard for Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer (BCLC) stage C hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC); however, the survival benefits are modest especially for HCC with macroscopic vascular invasion (MVI). Transarterial chemoembolization (TACE) plus external beam radiotherapy (RT) is an alternative treatment to sorafenib, with favorable clinical results. We evaluated the outcomes of respiratory-gated RT and TACE in treatment-naïve BCLC stage C HCC patients with MVI and proposed a subclassification model.

METHODS

In this study, 639 patients received TACE plus RT for HCC with MVI as a first-line treatment between January 2010 and December 2015.

RESULTS

Main/bilateral portal vein and/or inferior vena cava tumor thrombus was observed in 353 (55.2%) patients. The median radiation dose was 39 Gy (range 24-50) with a 2.5-Gy (2-5) median fraction size. The median overall survival was 10.7 months, with 1- and 2-year survival rates of 46.5% and 23.9%, respectively. In the multivariate analysis, Child-Pugh classification B, tumor size >10 cm, infiltrative/diffuse type, presence of extrahepatic metastasis, alpha-fetoprotein >150,000 ng/mL, and radiation dose ≤40 Gy were significant predictors for poor overall survival. Subclassification of patients into very low, low, intermediate, and high-risk groups showed median survivals of 84.8, 14.7, 10.3, and 5.7 months, respectively (p < 0.001).

CONCLUSION

TACE plus RT is an effective and safe treatment for HCC with MVI and could be considered a first-line treatment option. The subclassification scheme accurately predicted the prognosis of these patients and may be useful for tailored treatment.

Changes in real-life practice for hepatocellular carcinoma patients in the Republic of Korea over a 12-year period: A nationwide random sample study

Backgrounds & aims

Comprehensive analyses through nationwide hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) registries are important to understand health care issues. We assessed changes in real-life practice for HCC over a long time period.

Methods

The Korean Liver Cancer Association and the Korean Central Cancer Registry jointly established the nationwide cohorts of newly diagnosed HCC patients between 2003 and 2005 and between 2008 and 2014. According to sorafenib reimbursement in the Republic of Korea (January 2011), patients were divided into early (E-Cohort: 2003~2010) and late (L-Cohort: 2011~2014) cohorts.

Results

L-Cohort (n = 4776) comprised patients with older age (60.8 vs. 58.3 years), higher proportions of patients with well-preserved liver function (75.6% vs. 68.2%) and non-viral etiologies (28.6% vs. 19.4%), and lower proportion of patients with Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer [BCLC] 0~A stage (46.2% vs. 53.9%) than E-Cohort (n = 8203) (all p<0.05). Proportions of patients undergoing curative treatments were higher in L-Cohort than in E-Cohort (55.0% vs. 35.1%, 23.2 vs. 11.3%, and 17.3% vs. 9.6% in BCLC 0A, B, and C stages, respectively; all p<0.05). Accordingly, compared with that in E-Cohort, overall survival in L-Cohort significantly improved in patients with BCLC 0~A, B, and C stages (all p<0.05). As first-line treatment, 62.4% underwent locoregional treatments (LRTs), whereas only 9.7% received sorafenib, among BCLC stage C patients in L-Cohort.

Conclusions

For the past 12 years, curative treatments became more widely available to BCLC 0~A, B, and C stage patients, generally improving prognosis. Despite sorafenib reimbursement, LRTs remain the mainstay of first-line treatment for BCLC C stage patients.

Prognostic factors in hepatocellular carcinoma patients with bone metastases

Purpose

To identify the prognostic factors that could influence survival and to compare prognoses of the patients with the number of the risk factors that might assist in the adequate management of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients with bone metastases that showed a heterogeneous range of survival.

Materials and Methods

A total of 41 patients, treated with radiotherapy (RT) for bone metastases from HCC from 2014 to 2017, were enrolled retrospectively. Survival was determined by the Kaplan–Meier method from the start of the RT for metastatic bone lesions. Pre-RT clinical features were evaluated and their influences on survival were analyzed. The significant factors were considered to compare survivals according to the number of prognostic factors.

Results

Median follow-up was 6.0 months (range, 0.5 to 47.0 months). The median overall survival was 6.5 months, and the 1-year and 2-year survival rates were 35.5% and 13.5%, respectively. Multivariate analysis revealed that the Child-Pugh class A group, alpha-fetoprotein increased more than 30 ng/mL, and HCC size of more than 5 cm were associated with worse overall survival. The median survivals in HCC with none, 1, 2, and 3 of the aforementioned risk factors were 19.5, 9.0, 2.5, and 1.0 months, respectively (p < 0.05).

Conclusion

Our results show that the overall survivals were significantly different according to the number of the risk factors among HCC patients with bone metastases who showed various lengths of survival.

Efficacy and Safety of Transarterial Chemoembolization Plus External Beam Radiotherapy vs Sorafenib in Hepatocellular Carcinoma With Macroscopic Vascular Invasion: A Randomized Clinical Trial

Importance

Patients with hepatocellular carcinoma showing macroscopic vascular invasion have a poor prognosis. Sorafenib is the sole treatment option for these patients, with unsatisfactory response and survival benefit. Combined treatment with transarterial chemoembolization (TACE) plus external beam radiotherapy (RT) has shown promising results for these patients in observational studies.

Objective

To evaluate the efficacy and safety of TACE plus RT compared with sorafenib for patients with hepatocellular carcinoma and macroscopic vascular invasion.

Design, Setting, and Participants

In this randomized, open-label clinical trial conducted at an academic tertiary care center between July 1, 2013, and October 31, 2016, 90 treatment-naive patients with liver-confined hepatocellular carcinoma showing macroscopic vascular invasion were randomly assigned to receive sorafenib (400 mg twice daily; 45 participants [the sorafenib group]) or TACE (every 6 weeks) plus RT (within 3 weeks after the first TACE, maximum 45 Gy with the fraction size of 2.5 to 3 Gy; 45 participants [the TACE-RT group]).

Main Outcomes and Measures

The primary end point was the 12-week progression-free survival rate by intention-to-treat analysis. Radiologic response was assessed by independent review according to the Response Evaluation Criteria in Solid Tumors (RECIST; version 1.1). Treatment crossover was permitted after confirming disease progression.

Results

Of the 90 patients (median age, 55 years; range, 33-82 years), 77 were men and 13 were women. All patients had portal vein invasion of hepatocellular carcinoma and Child-Pugh class A liver function. The median maximal tumor diameter was 9.7 cm. Most patients (71 [78.9%]) had multiple lesions. At week 12, the progression-free survival rate was significantly higher in the TACE-RT group than the sorafenib group (86.7% vs 34.3%; P < .001). The TACE-RT group showed a significantly higher radiologic response rate than the sorafenib group at 24 weeks (15 [33.3%] vs 1 [2.2%]; P < .001), a significantly longer median time to progression (31.0 vs 11.7 weeks; P < .001), and significantly longer overall survival (55.0 vs 43.0 weeks; P = .04). Curative surgical resection was conducted for 5 patients (11.1%) in the TACE-RT group owing to downstaging. No patients in the TACE-RT group discontinued treatment owing to hepatic decompensation.

Conclusions and Relevance

For patients with advanced hepatocellular carcinoma showing macroscopic vascular invasion, first-line treatment with TACE plus RT was well tolerated and provided an improved progression-free survival, objective response rate, time to progression, and overall survival compared with sorafenib treatment.

Trial Registration

clinicaltrials.gov Identifier: NCT01901692.

2018 Korean Liver Cancer Association-National Cancer Center Korea Practice Guidelines for the Management of Hepatocellular Carcinoma

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is the fifth most common cancer globally and the fourth most common cancer in men in Korea, where the prevalence of chronic hepatitis B infection is high in middle-aged and elderly patients. These practice guidelines will provide useful and constructive advice for the clinical management of patients with HCC. A total of 44 experts in hepatology, oncology, surgery, radiology, and radiation oncology in the Korean Liver Cancer Association-National Cancer Center Korea Practice Guideline Revision Committee revised the 2014 Korean guidelines and developed new recommendations that integrate the most up-to-date research findings and expert opinions.

2018 Korean Liver Cancer Association-National Cancer Center Korea Practice Guidelines for the Management of Hepatocellular Carcinoma

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is the fifth most common cancer globally and the fourth most common cancer in men in Korea, where the prevalence of chronic hepatitis B infection is high in middle-aged and elderly patients. These practice guidelines will provide useful and constructive advice for the clinical management of patients with HCC. A total of 44 experts in hepatology, oncology, surgery, radiology and radiation oncology in the Korean Liver Cancer Association-National Cancer Center Korea Practice Guideline Revision Committee revised the 2014 Korean guidelines and developed new recommendations that integrate the most up-to-date research findings and expert opinions.

Longitudinal Assessment of Three Serum Biomarkers to Detect Very Early-Stage Hepatocellular Carcinoma

We aimed to determine the surveillance performance of alpha-fetoprotein (AFP), lectin-reactive AFP (AFP-L3), des-gamma-carboxy prothrombin (DCP), and their combinations for the early detection of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) by using prospectively collected longitudinal samples in patients at risk. Among 689 patients with cirrhosis and/or chronic hepatitis B who participated in four prospective studies, 42 HCC cases were diagnosed, selected, and matched with 168 controls for age, sex, etiology, cirrhosis, and duration of follow-up in a 1:4 ratio. Levels of AFP, AFP-L3, and DCP at the time of HCC diagnosis, month -6, and month -12 were compared between cases and controls. Of 42 HCC cases, 39 (93%) had cirrhosis, 36 (85.7%) had normal alanine aminotransferase levels, and 31 (73.8%) had very early-stage HCC (single <2 cm). AFP and AFP-L3 began to increase from 6 months before diagnosis of HCC in cases (P < 0.05), while they remained unchanged in controls. At HCC diagnosis, the area under the receiver operator characteristic curves (AUROCs) for AFP, AFP-L3, and DCP were 0.77, 0.73, and 0.71, respectively. Combining AFP and AFP-L3 showed a higher AUROC (0.83), while adding DCP did not further improve the AUROC (0.86). With the optimal cutoff values (AFP, 5 ng/mL; AFP-L3, 4%), the sensitivity and specificity of AFP and AFP-L3 combination were 79% and 87%, respectively. The sensitivity of ultrasonography was 48.6%, which was increased to 88.6% and 94.3% by adding AFP and AFP + AFP-L3, respectively. Conclusion: Among three biomarkers, AFP showed the best performance in discriminating HCC cases from controls; the AFP and AFP-L3 combination, adopting cutoff values (5 ng/mL and 4%, respectively), significantly improved the sensitivity for detecting HCC at a very early stage.

Magnetic Resonance Imaging Is Cost-Effective for Hepatocellular Carcinoma Surveillance in High-Risk Patients With Cirrhosis

Ultrasonography (US) is generally recommended for the surveillance of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in patients at risk. However, in patients with cirrhosis who have sufficiently high HCC incidence, surveillance using magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) with liver-specific contrast showed markedly higher sensitivity in detecting early-stage HCC than US. This study aimed to compare the cost-effectiveness of semiannual surveillance using MRI versus US in patients with compensated cirrhosis and to identify the population that would gain optimal cost-effectiveness through MRI surveillance. We designed a Markov model to compare the expected costs and quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs), between MRI and US, with a 20-year time horizon, from the health care system perspective. The starting age of the cohort was 50 years, and 71% had hepatitis B virus-associated cirrhosis. The cycle length was 6 months. Transition probabilities and costs were obtained mainly from a prospective cohort study (the PRIUS study, NCT01446666). Cost and effectiveness were discounted at 5%. An incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) was calculated and tested using sensitivity analyses. The cost-effectiveness analysis indicated that the use of MRI incurred $5,562 incremental costs, 0.384 incremental life-years (LYs), and 0.221 incremental QALYs compared to US. The annual HCC incidence was the most influential factor on the ICER. The ICERs were $14,474/LY and $25,202/QALY at an annual HCC incidence of 3%. When the HCC incidence rate was >1.81%, the ICER was below $50,000/QALY. With increased HCC incidence, MRI surveillance was acceptable as a cost-effective option, even with an increased MRI/US cost ratio. Conclusion: Semiannual surveillance using MRI with liver-specific contrast may be more cost-effective than US in patients with virus-associated compensated cirrhosis at sufficiently high HCC risk despite the higher test cost of MRI.

Prognosis of Spontaneous Bacterial Peritonitis in Hepatocellular Carcinoma Patients

BACKGROUND

Spontaneous bacterial peritonitis (SBP) is a serious infectious complication in patients with liver cirrhosis. However, information about prognosis of SBP in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients is limited. We investigated the clinical course of SBP in HCC patients.

METHODS

This study enrolled patients diagnosed with SBP between 2005 and 2017. Medical records of patients were reviewed and clinical course was compared between the non-HCC and HCC groups.

RESULTS

In total, 123 SBP cases including 49 HCC cases were enrolled. Men were predominant (48/74, 64.9% vs. 34/49, 69.4%; P = 0.697); median age was 58 years in both non-HCC and HCC groups (P = 0.887). The most common etiology was alcohol (32/74, 43.2%) in non-HCC group and hepatitis B (30/49, 61.2%) in HCC group (P = 0.009). Antibiotic resistance rate was higher in non-HCC than in HCC group (29.7% vs. 12.2%; P = 0.028); in-hospital mortality did not differ between the groups (25/74, 33.8% vs. 13/49, 26.5%; P = 0.431). Development rate of hepatorenal syndrome did not differ between non-HCC and HCC group (14/74, 18.9% vs. 10/49, 20.4%; P = 1.000), but hepatic encephalopathy was less common in HCC group (26/74, 35.2% vs. 9/49, 18.3%; P = 0.008). The most important predictor of in-hospital mortality in patients with HCC was white blood cell count above 11,570 cells/mm3 (odds ratio, 6.629; 95% confidence interval, 1.652-26.590; P = 0.008).

CONCLUSION

Prognosis of SBP in HCC patients is relatively less severe. This result may be related with reduced antibiotics resistance and lower development rates of other complications, such as hepatic encephalopathy. Degree of systemic inflammation may be the most important factor for in-hospital mortality.

Risk factors for developing liver cancer in people with and without liver disease

BACKGROUND

The National Liver Cancer Surveillance Program (NLCSP) targets patients with liver diseases that lead to liver cancer in South Korea. This study aimed to investigate the risk of liver disease leading to liver cancer using nationally representative data to establish an efficient NLCSP.

METHODS

This study used data from the National Health Insurance Service National Sample Cohort (NHIS-NSC) from 2002 to 2013. A retrospective matched cohort design was applied to compare the development of liver cancer in patients with and without liver disease. Cox- proportional hazard regression for liver cancer with competing risk of death was performed for all subjects or each group stratified according to age or income level.

RESULTS

A total of 66,192 patients with liver disease and matched subjects without liver disease were included in the study. The incidences of liver cancer among patients with and without liver disease within a median 8-year follow-up period were 2.68% (n = 1,772) and 0.34% (n = 210), respectively. Cox- regression analysis for liver cancer incidence indicated that cirrhosis had the highest risk (hazard ratio [HR]: 18.13, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 15.24-21.58), followed by hepatitis B (HR: 9.32, 95% CI: 8.00-10.85). Subgroup analysis showed that the presence of liver disease was an important risk factor in younger as well as elderly people, and a higher risk of liver disease was also observed in the patients with Medicaid.

CONCLUSIONS

Attention should be paid to the development of liver cancer in young people under 50 years old and preventive efforts to decrease the incidence of liver cancer among Medicaid recipients is needed.

Radiation Dose and Risk Estimates of CT-Guided Percutaneous Liver Ablations and Factors Associated with Dose Reduction

PURPOSE

To determine the radiation dose associated with CT-guided percutaneous liver ablations and identify potential risk factors that result in higher radiation doses.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Between June 2011 and June 2015, 245 consecutive patients underwent 304 CT-guided liver ablation treatments. Patient demographics, tumor characteristics and procedural parameters were identified and analyzed. The peak skin dose and effective dose were assessed for each procedure. Excess relative risk related to radiation effects was calculated. A logistic regression model was prepared by means of stepwise logistic regression to identify variables predictive of increased radiation exposure.

RESULTS

Tumor ablations were performed with microwave (n = 220), radiofrequency (n = 74) or irreversible electroporation (IRE) (n = 10). The mean peak skin dose for ablations was 239.2 ± 136.4 mGy, and the mean effective dose was 36.6 ± 22.3 mSv. Of the patient and procedural parameters that were analyzed, increasing weight, use of intravenous contrast and/or hydrodissection during the procedure, together with treatment of multiple lesions in the same sitting were all associated with higher radiation exposure. The mean increase in the absolute risk of fatal malignancy from a single procedure was 0.18% (range 0.02-0.9%). No deterministic skin changes were identified in the patient cohort.

CONCLUSION

The overall risk of stochastic and deterministic effects from radiation associated with CT-guided ablations is low compared with other inherent procedural complications. This study identifies several factors that are associated with higher radiation dose in percutaneous liver ablation procedures.

Initial clinical outcomes of proton beam radiotherapy for hepatocellular carcinoma

Purpose

This study aimed to evaluate the initial outcomes of proton beam therapy (PBT) for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in terms of tumor response and safety.

Materials and Methods

HCC patients who were not indicated for standard curative local modalities and who were treated with PBT at Samsung Medical Center from January 2016 to February 2017 were enrolled. Toxicity was scored using the Common Terminology Criteria for Adverse Events (CTCAE) version 4.0. Tumor response was evaluated using modified Response Evaluation Criteria in Solid Tumors (mRECIST).

Results

A total of 101 HCC patients treated with PBT were included. Patients were treated with an equivalent dose of 62–92 GyE₁₀. Liver function status was not significantly affected after PBT. Greater than 80% of patients had Child-Pugh class A and albumin-bilirubin (ALBI) grade 1 up to 3-months after PBT. Of 78 patients followed for three months after PBT, infield complete and partial responses were achieved in 54 (69.2%) and 14 (17.9%) patients, respectively.

Conclusion

PBT treatment of HCC patients showed a favorable infield complete response rate of 69.2% with acceptable acute toxicity. An additional follow-up study of these patients will be conducted.

Epidemiology of liver cancer in South Korea

Liver cancer is the sixth most common cancer (fourth in men and sixth in women) and the second largest cause of cancer mortality in South Korea. The crude incidence rate of liver cancer was 31.9/100,000 (47.5/100,000 in men and 16.2/100,000 in women) and the age-standardized incidence rate was 19.9/100,000 (32.4/100,000 in men and 8.8/100,000 in women) in 2014. The crude incidence rate increased from 1999 to 2011 and thereafter showed a subtle decreasing tendency. The crude prevalence rate was 113.6/100,000 (170.2/100,000 in men and 57.1/100,000 in women) and the age-standardized prevalence rate was 72.6/100,000 (115.7/100,000 in men and 33.7/100,000 in women) in 2014, which increased from 2010 to 2014. Survival from liver cancer has improved over the last two decades. The 5-year relative survival rate was markedly increased from 10.7% in those diagnosed with liver cancer between 1993 and 1995 to 32.8% in those diagnosed between 2010 and 2014. The epidemiology of liver cancer is influenced by that of underlying liver diseases such as viral hepatitis. Substantial progress has been made in the prevention and treatment of viral hepatitis; however, uncontrolled alcoholic liver disease, obesity and diabetes appears to have the potential to emerge as major causes for liver cancer. Depending on the success of the control of risk factors, the epidemiology of liver cancer in Korea may change.