Who to treat with adjuvant therapy in Dukes B/stage II colorectal cancer? The need for high quality pathology

Deep-learning enabled combined measurement of tumour cell density and tumour infiltrating lymphocyte density as a prognostic biomarker in colorectal cancer

BACKGROUND

Within the colorectal cancer (CRC) tumour microenvironment, tumour infiltrating lymphocytes (TILs) and tumour cell density (TCD) are recognised prognostic markers. Measurement of TILs and TCD using deep-learning (DL) on haematoxylin and eosin (HE) whole slide images (WSIs) could aid management.

METHODS

HE WSIs from the primary tumours of 127 CRC patients were included. DL was used to quantify TILs across different regions of the tumour and TCD at the luminal surface. The relationship between TILs, TCD, and cancer-specific survival was analysed.

RESULTS

Median TIL density was higher at the invasive margin than the luminal surface (963 vs 795 TILs/mm2, P = 0.010). TILs and TCD were independently prognostic in multivariate analyses (HR 4.28, 95% CI 1.87-11.71, P = 0.004; HR 2.72, 95% CI 1.19-6.17, P = 0.017, respectively). Patients with both low TCD and low TILs had the poorest survival (HR 10.0, 95% CI 2.51-39.78, P = 0.001), when compared to those with a high TCD and TILs score.

CONCLUSIONS

DL derived TIL and TCD score were independently prognostic in CRC. Patients with low TILs and TCD are at the highest risk of cancer-specific death. DL quantification of TILs and TCD could be used in combination alongside other validated prognostic biomarkers in routine clinical practice.

The effect of adjuvant chemotherapy on survival in node negative colorectal cancer with or without perineural invasion: a systematic review and meta-analysis

Purpose

It was aimed at assessing the benefits of adjuvant chemotherapy (ACT) for patients with node-negative colorectal cancer (CRC) either with or without perineural invasion (PNI).

Methods

We systematically searched PubMed, Cochrane Library, Embase, and Web of Science from database inception through October 1, 2023. Survival outcomes were analyzed using hazard ratios (HRs) and corresponding 95% confidence intervals (CIs). The methodological quality of included studies was assessed using the Newcastle-Ottawa Scale (NOS). Heterogeneity for the descriptive meta-analyses was quantified using the I2 statistic.

Results

Ten studies included in this review. ACT improved overall survival (OS) (HR 0.52, 95% CI 0.40-0.69) and disease-free survival (DFS) (HR 0.53, 95% CI 0.35-0.82) in PNI + patients but did not affect DFS (HR 1.13, 95% CI 0.72-1.77) in PNI- patients. A disease-specific survival (DSS) benefit with chemotherapy was observed in PNI + (HR 0.76, 95% CI 0.58-0.99) and PNI- patients (HR 0.76, 95% CI 0.57-1.00). And PNI decreased DFS (HR 1.94, 95% CI 1.52-2.47) and OS (HR 1.75, 95% CI 0.96-3.17) in node-negative CRC.

Conclusions

In conclusion, chemotherapy appears most beneficial for survival outcomes in node-negative patients with PNI, but may also confer some advantage in those without PNI.

Systematic Review Registration

Identifier INPLASY2021120103.

Circulating Tumor DNA as a Minimal Residual Disease Assessment and Recurrence Risk in Patients Undergoing Curative-Intent Resection with or without Adjuvant Chemotherapy in Colorectal Cancer: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

Emerging data have suggested that circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) can be a reliable biomarker for minimal residual disease (MRD) in CRC patients. Recent studies have shown that the ability to detect MRD using ctDNA assay after curative-intent surgery will change how to assess the recurrence risk and patient selection for adjuvant chemotherapy. We performed a meta-analysis of post-operative ctDNA in stage I-IV (oligometastatic) CRC patients after curative-intent resection. We included 23 studies representing 3568 patients with evaluable ctDNA in CRC patient post-curative-intent surgery. Data were extracted from each study to perform a meta-analysis using RevMan 5.4. software. Subsequent subgroup analysis was performed for stages I-III and oligometastatic stage IV CRC patients. Results showed that the pooled hazard ratio (HR) for recurrence-free survival (RFS) in post-surgical ctDNA-positive versus -negative patients in all stages was 7.27 (95% CI 5.49-9.62), p < 0.00001. Subgroup analysis revealed pooled HRs of 8.14 (95% CI 5.60-11.82) and 4.83 (95% CI 3.64-6.39) for stages I-III and IV CRC, respectively. The pooled HR for RFS in post-adjuvant chemotherapy ctDNA-positive versus -negative patients in all stages was 10.59 (95% CI 5.59-20.06), p < 0.00001. Circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) analysis has revolutionized non-invasive cancer diagnostics and monitoring, with two primary forms of analysis emerging: tumor-informed techniques and tumor-agnostic or tumor-naive techniques. Tumor-informed methods involve the initial identification of somatic mutations in tumor tissue, followed by the targeted sequencing of plasma DNA using a personalized assay. In contrast, the tumor-agnostic approach performs ctDNA analysis without prior knowledge of the patient's tumor tissue molecular profile. This review highlights the distinctive features and implications of each approach. Tumor-informed techniques enable the precise monitoring of known tumor-specific mutations, leveraging the sensitivity and specificity of ctDNA detection. Conversely, the tumor-agnostic approach allows for a broader genetic and epigenetic analysis, potentially revealing novel alterations and enhancing our understanding of tumor heterogeneity. Both approaches have significant implications for personalized medicine and improved patient outcomes in the field of oncology. The subgroup analysis based on the ctDNA method showed pooled HRs of 8.66 (95% CI 6.38-11.75) and 3.76 (95% CI 2.58-5.48) for tumor-informed and tumor-agnostic, respectively. Our analysis emphasizes that post-operative ctDNA is a strong prognostic marker of RFS. Based on our results, ctDNA can be a significant and independent predictor of RFS. This real-time assessment of treatment benefits using ctDNA can be used as a surrogate endpoint for the development of novel drugs in the adjuvant setting.

Desmoplastic Reaction Associates with Prognosis and Adjuvant Chemotherapy Response in Colorectal Cancer: A Multicenter Retrospective Study

Desmoplastic reaction (DR) is one of many tumor-host interactions and is associated with the overall survival (OS) of patients with colorectal cancer. However, the clinical significance of DR requires further study in large multicenter cohorts and its predictive value in adjuvant chemotherapy (ACT) response remains unclear. Here, a total of 2,225 patients with colorectal cancer from five independent institutions were divided into primary (N = 1,012 from two centers) and validation (N = 1,213 from three centers) cohorts. DR was classified as immature, middle, or mature depending on the presence of myxoid stroma and hyalinized collagen bundles at the invasive front of the primary tumor. OS among different subgroups were compared, and the correlations of DR type with tumor-infiltrating lymphocytes (TILs) within stroma, tumor stroma ratio (TSR), and Stroma AReactive Invasion Front Areas (SARIFA) were also analyzed. In the primary cohort, patients with mature DR had the highest 5-year survival rate. These findings were confirmed in validation cohort. In addition, for stage II colorectal cancer, patients classified as non-mature DR would benefit from ACT compared with surgery alone. Furthermore, immature and middle DR were more associated with high TSR, less distribution of TILs within stroma and positive SARIFA compared with mature. Taken together, these data suggest that DR is a robust-independent prognostic factor for patients with colorectal cancer. For patients with stage II colorectal cancer, non-mature DR could be a potential marker for recognizing high-risk patients who may benefit from ACT.

Significance

DR has the potential to identify patients with high-risk colorectal cancer and predict the efficacy of adjuvant chemotherapy in patients with stage II colorectal cancer. Our findings support reporting DR types as additional pathologic parameters in clinical practice for more precise risk stratification.

MHAttnSurv: Multi-head attention for survival prediction using whole-slide pathology images

Whole slide images (WSI) based survival prediction has attracted increasing interest in pathology. Despite this, extracting prognostic information from WSIs remains a challenging task due to their enormous size and the scarcity of pathologist annotations. Previous studies have utilized multiple instance learning approach to combine information from several randomly sampled patches, but this approach may not be adequate as different visual patterns may contribute unequally to prognosis prediction. In this study, we introduce a multi-head attention mechanism that allows each attention head to independently explore the utility of various visual patterns on a tumor slide, thereby enabling more comprehensive information extraction from WSIs. We evaluated our approach on four cancer types from The Cancer Genome Atlas database. Our model achieved an average c-index of 0.640, outperforming three existing state-of-the-art approaches for WSI-based survival prediction on these datasets. Visualization of attention maps reveals that the attention heads synergistically focus on different morphological patterns, providing additional evidence for the effectiveness of multi-head attention in survival prediction.

Prognostic and predictive value of a lncRNA signature in patients with stage II colon cancer

The current staging method is inadequate to identify high-risk recurrence patients with stage II colon cancer (CC). Using a systematic and comprehensive-biomarker discovery and validation method, we aimed to construct a lncRNA-based signature to improve the prognostic prediction of stage II CC. We identified 1,377 differently expressed lncRNAs by analyzing 16 paired stage II CC tumor tissue and adjacent normal mucosal tissue from the TCGA dataset. Subsequently, using a univariable and step multivariable Cox regression model, we trained an 11-lncRNA signature in the training cohort (n = 141), which could divide patients into high-risk and low-risk groups (AUC at 3 years = 0.801, 95% CI: 0.724-0.877; AUC at 5 years = 0.801, 95% CI: 0.718-0.885). Significantly, patients in the high-risk group had poorer recurrence-free survival (RFS) compared with the low-risk group (log-rank test, P < 0.001 in the training cohort). This lncRNA-based signature was further confirmed in the validation cohort (P < 0.001). Multivariate Cox regression and stratified survival analyses showed that the prognostic value of this signature was independent of other clinicopathological risk factors (CEA, T stage, and chemotherapy). Time-dependent receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis demonstrated that this signature had better prognostic ability than any other clinical risk factors or single lncRNAs (all P < 0.05). A nomogram was constructed for clinical use, which integrated both the lncRNA-based signature and clinical risk factors (CEA and T stage) and performed well in the calibration plots. Altogether, our lncRNA-based signature was an independent prognostic factor and possessed a stronger predictive power compared with the currently used clinicopathological risk factors when predicting the recurrence of patients with stage II CC. Collectively, this lncRNA-based signature might facilitate individualized treatment decisions and postoperative counseling, ultimately contributing to improved survival.

DNA methylation profile in CpG-depleted regions uncovers a high-risk subtype of early-stage colorectal cancer

BACKGROUND

The current risk stratification system defined by clinicopathological features does not identify the risk of recurrence in early-stage (stage I-II) colorectal cancer (CRC) with sufficient accuracy. We aimed to investigate whether DNA methylation could serve as a novel biomarker for predicting prognosis in early-stage CRC patients.

METHODS

We analyzed the genome-wide methylation status of CpG loci using Infinium MethylationEPIC array run on primary tumor tissues and normal mucosa of early-stage CRC patients to identify potential methylation markers for prognosis. The machine-learning approach was applied to construct a DNA methylation-based prognostic classifier for early-stage CRC (MePEC) using the 4 gene methylation markers FAT3, KAZN, TLE4, and DUSP3. The prognostic value of the classifier was evaluated in 2 independent cohorts (n = 438 and 359, respectively).

RESULTS

The comprehensive analysis identified an epigenetic subtype with high risk of recurrence based on a group of CpG loci in the CpG-depleted region. In multivariable analysis, the MePEC classifier was independently and statistically significantly associated with time to recurrence in validation cohort 1 (hazard ratio = 2.35, 95% confidence interval = 1.47 to 3.76, P < .001) and cohort 2 (hazard ratio = 3.20, 95% confidence interval = 1.92 to 5.33, P < .001). All results were further confirmed after each cohort was stratified by clinicopathological variables and molecular subtypes.

CONCLUSIONS

We demonstrated the prognostic statistical significance of a DNA methylation profile in the CpG-depleted region, which may serve as a valuable source for tumor biomarkers. MePEC could identify an epigenetic subtype with high risk of recurrence and improve the prognostic accuracy of current clinical variables in early-stage CRC.

Prognostic significance of pathological sub-classification of pT3 rectal cancer

PURPOSE

Patients with pT3 rectal cancer represent a heterogeneous prognostic group. A more accurate histological sub-classification of pT status has been suggested as an improvement of the TNM staging system. The aim of the study was to evaluate the prognostic implication of a histopathologic sub-classification of pT3 rectal cancer.

METHODS

In this retrospective single-center study, pT3 rectal cancer patients who underwent surgery from January 2000 to December 2018 were evaluated. The maximum depth of tumor invasion beyond the muscularis propria was recorded. A ROC curve identified the best prognostic cutoff value to classify patients in two prognostic groups. Survival curves were estimated by the Kaplan-Meier method, and univariate and multivariate analyses with the Cox regression model were used to find independent factors influencing survival.

RESULTS

Overall, 203 patients were included. Four millimeters was identified as the best cutoff value: 82 patients showed a depth of invasion < 4 mm (group A) and 121 ≥ 4 mm (group B). Both the estimated 5-year OS and DFS were statistically better in group A than in group B (OS: 83.9% vs 62.2%, p < 0.01; DFS: 78.3% vs 40.6%, p < 0.01). The depth of tumor invasion was an independent risk factor for OS (HR 2.25, 95% CI 1.26-3.99, p = 0.006) and DFS (HR 2.30, 95% CI 1.40-3.78, p = 0.001).

CONCLUSION

Our findings suggest that a sub-classification of pT3 rectal cancer, based on the depth of tumor invasion, should be considered to be introduced in the TNM staging system.

CT-Based Radiomics Signature: A Potential Biomarker for Predicting Postoperative Recurrence Risk in Stage II Colorectal Cancer

Objective: To evaluate whether a radiomics signature could improve stratification of postoperative risk and prediction of chemotherapy benefit in stage II colorectal cancer (CRC) patients.

Material and Methods: This retrospective study enrolled 299 stage II CRC patients from January 2010 to December 2015. Based on preoperative portal venous-phase CT scans, radiomics features were generated and selected to build a radiomics score (Rad-score) using the Least Absolute Shrinkage and Selection Operator (LASSO) method. The minority group was balanced by the synthetic minority over-sampling technique (SMOTE). Predictive models were built with the Rad-score and clinicopathological factors, and the area under the curve (AUC) was used to evaluate their performance. A nomogram was also constructed for predicting 3-year disease-free survival (DFS). The performance of the nomogram was assessed with a concordance index (C-index) and calibration plots.

Results: Overall, 114 features were selected to construct the Rad-score, which was significantly associated with the 3-year DFS. Multivariate analysis demonstrated that the Rad-score, CA724 level, mismatch repair status, and perineural invasion were independent predictors of recurrence. Results showed that the Rad-score can classify patients into high-risk and low-risk groups in the training cohort (AUC 0.886) and the validation cohort (AUC 0.874). On this basis, a nomogram that integrated the Rad-score and clinical variables demonstrated superior performance (AUC 0.954, 0.906) than the clinical model alone (AUC 0.765, 0.705) in the training and validation cohorts, respectively. The C-index of the nomogram was 0.872, and the performance was acceptable.

Conclusion: Our radiomics-based model can reliably predict recurrence risk in stage II CRC patients and potentially provide complementary prognostic value to the traditional clinicopathological risk factors for better identification of patients who are most likely to benefit from adjuvant therapy. The proposed nomogram promises to be an effective tool for personalized postoperative surveillance for stage II CRC patients.

Oxaliplatin-based adjuvant chemotherapy duration (3 versus 6 months) for high-risk stage II colon cancer: the randomized phase III ACHIEVE-2 trial

BACKGROUND

Oxaliplatin-based adjuvant chemotherapy may be associated with debilitating peripheral sensory neuropathy (PSN) in patients with high-risk stage II colon cancer. This open-label, multicenter, randomized phase III trial was conducted as a prospective pooled analysis to investigate the non-inferiority of 3 versus 6 months of adjuvant oxaliplatin-based chemotherapy.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

From 12 February 2014 to 31 January 2017, 525 Asian patients with high-risk stage II colon cancer were randomly assigned to 3- and 6-month treatment arms. The treatment consisted of either modified fluorouracil, leucovorin, and oxaliplatin (mFOLFOX6) or capecitabine combined with oxaliplatin (CAPOX). The primary end point was disease-free survival (DFS). The secondary end points were treatment compliance and safety.

RESULTS

Of the 525 randomized patients, 11 were not treated. Among the 514 participating patients (255 in the 3-month arm; 259 in the 6-month arm), 432 (84%) received CAPOX, and 184 (36%) presented with T4 as a high-risk factor for recurrence. The 3-year DFS rate was 88.2% in the 3-month arm and 87.9% in the 6-month arm [hazard ratio (HR), 1.12; 95% confidence interval (CI), 0.67-1.87]. With CAPOX, the 3-year DFS rate was 88.2% in the 3-month arm and 88.4% in the 6-month arm (HR, 1.13; 95% CI, 0.65-1.96). The discontinuation rate in the 3- and 6-month arms was 10% and 31% for mFOLFOX6 (P = 0.0193), and 15% and 35% for CAPOX (P < 0.0001), respectively. The incidence of grade ≥2 PSN was significantly lower in the 3-month arm than in the 6-month arm (16% and 43%, respectively, P < 0.0001).

CONCLUSIONS

Three months of combination therapy presented significantly less grade ≥2 PSN than the respective 6-month regimen. The shortened therapy duration did not affect the 3-year DFS rate, suggesting that a 3-month course of CAPOX can be an effective treatment option.

CLINICAL TRIAL INFORMATION

UMIN Clinical Trials Registry, UMIN000013036 and Japan Registry of Clinical Trials, jRCTs031180128.

The quality of lymph node harvests in extralevator abdominoperineal excisions

Background

Lymph node (LN) harvest in colorectal cancer resections is a well-recognised prognostic factor for disease staging and determining survival, particularly for node-negative (N0) diseases. Extralevator abdominoperineal excisions (ELAPE) aim to prevent “waisting” that occurs during conventional abdominoperineal resections (APR) for low rectal cancers, and reducing circumferential resection margin (CRM) infiltration rate. Our study investigates whether ELAPE may also improve the quality of LN harvests, addressing gaps in the literature.

Methods

This retrospective observational study reviewed 2 sets of 30 consecutive APRs before and after the adoption of ELAPE in our unit. The primary outcomes are the total LN counts and rates of meeting the standard of 12-minimum, particularly for those with node-negative disease. The secondary outcomes are the CRM involvement rates. Baseline characteristics including age, sex, laparoscopic or open surgery and the use of neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy were accounted for in our analyses.

Results

Median LN counts were slightly higher in the ELAPE group (16.5 vs. 15). Specimens failing the minimum 12-LN requirements were almost significantly fewer in the ELAPE group (OR 0.456, P = 0.085). Among node-negative rectal cancers, significantly fewer resections failed the 12-LN standard in the ELAPE group than APR group (OR 0.211, P = 0.044). ELAPE led to a near-significant decrease in CRM involvement (OR 0.365, P = 0.088). These improvements were persistently observed after taking into account baselines and potential confounders in regression analyses.

Conclusion

ELAPE provides higher quality of LN harvests that meet the 12-minimal requirements than conventional APR, particularly in node-negative rectal cancers. The superiority is independent of potential confounding factors, and may implicate better clinical outcomes.

Survival outcome of adjuvant chemotherapy in deficient mismatch repair stage III colon cancer

BACKGROUND

The prognostic impact of DNA mismatch repair (MMR) status remains controversial in patients with stage III colon cancer who are treated with adjuvant chemotherapy (AC). The aim of this study was to evaluate the survival outcome of AC in deficient mismatch repair (dMMR)/microsatellite instable (MSI) stage III CC.

METHODS

Patients with pathological stage III CC between 2010 and 2013 were identified from the National Cancer Database using International Classification of Diseases for Oncology (3rd Edition) morphology and topography codes 8140, 8480, and C18.0-18.8. Patients with pathologic stage T3N2, T4N1, or T4N were considered high risk; patients with stage T3N1 were considered low risk. Univariate and multivariable analyses were conducted, and Kaplan-Meier analysis and Cox proportional hazards models were used to identify the association between AC and overall survival (OS).

RESULTS

A total of 9226 patients with pathological stage III CC were identified, of which 2384 (25.8%) were MSI-high (MSI-H) and met the inclusion criteria of the final analysis. MSI-low (MSI-L) patients (n = 6842) were excluded. There was a preponderance of women (55.0% [n = 1311]), and 76.6% (n = 1825) of patients were non-Hispanic white. The median age was 65 years (range, 19-90 years). The primary sites were the cecum (29.7% [n = 707]), ascending colon (26.0% [n = 620]), sigmoid colon (17.2% [n = 410]), and transverse colon (10.8% [n = 257]). The most common tumor grade was moderately differentiated (n = 50.4% [1202]), followed by poorly differentiated (34.1% [n = 813]) and well differentiated (5.1% [n = 121]). High-risk pathologic stage III CC (T4N1, TxN2) constituted 51.0% (n = 1215) of the study population. High-risk stage III was associated with worse OS compared with low-risk stage III on univariate (P < .001) analysis and displayed a similar trend on multivariable analysis, without a statistically significant difference. Multiagent AC was associated with improved OS compared with no treatment on univariate (P < .001) and multivariable (P < .001) analysis. When stratified by risk status, multiagent AC was associated with improved OS compared with no treatment for high-risk (P < .001) and low-risk (P < .001) stage III disease.

CONCLUSION

Adjuvant chemotherapy is associated with better OS in stage III dMMR/MSI-H CC. An enhanced benefit was shown for high-risk stage III disease.

Neoadjuvant Chemotherapy without Radiation in Colorectal Cancer

In colon cancer, primary surgery followed by postoperative chemotherapy represents the standard of care. In rectal cancer, the standard of care is preoperative radiotherapy or chemoradiation, which significantly reduces local recurrence but has no impact on subsequent metastatic disease or overall survival. The administration of neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NACT) before surgery can increase the chance of a curative resection and improves long-term outcomes in patients with liver metastases. Hence, NACT is being explored in both primary rectal and colon cancers as an alternative strategy to shrink the tumor, facilitate a curative resection, and simultaneously counter the risk of metastases. Yet, this lack of clarity regarding the precise aims of NACT (downstaging, maximizing response, or improving survival) is hindering progress. The appropriate cytotoxic agents, the optimal regimen, the number of cycles, or duration of NACT prior to surgery or in the postoperative setting remains undefined. Several potential strategies for integrating NACT are discussed with their advantages and disadvantages.

A network-based predictive gene expression signature for recurrence risks in stage II colorectal cancer

The current criteria for defining the recurrence risks of stage II colorectal cancer (CRC) are not robust; therefore, we aimed to explore novel gene signatures to predict recurrence risks and to reveal the underlying mechanisms of stage II CRC. First, the gene expression profiles of 124 patients with stage II CRC from The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA) database were obtained to screen differentially expressed genes (DEGs). A total of 202 DEGs, including 128 upregulated and 74 downregulated, were identified in the recurrence group (n = 24) compared to the nonrecurrence group (n = 100). Furthermore, the top 5 DEGs (ZNF561, WFS1, SLC2A1, MFI2, and PTGR1) were identified by random forest variable hunting, and four (ZNF561, WFS1, SLC2A1, and PTGR1) were selected to create a four‐gene recurrent model (GRM), with an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.882 according to the receiver operating characteristic curve, and the robust diagnostic effectiveness of the GRM was further validated with another gene expression profiling dataset (GSE12032), with an AUC of 0.943. The diagnostic effectiveness of the GRM regarding recurrence was associated with poor disease‐free survival in all stages of CRC. In addition, gene ontology functional annotation and Kyoto Encyclopedia of Genes and Genomes pathway enrichment analyses revealed 18 enriched functions and 6 enriched pathways. Four genes, ABCG2, CACNA1F, CYP19A1, and TF, were identified as hub genes by the protein‐protein interaction network, which further validated that these genes were correlated with a poor pathologic stage and overall survival in all stages of CRC. In conclusion, the GRM can effectively classify stage II CRC into groups of high and low risks of recurrence, thereby making up for the prognostic value of the traditional clinicopathological risk factors defined by the National Comprehensive Cancer Network guidelines. The hub genes may be useful therapeutic targets for recurrence. Thus, the GRM and hub genes could offer clinical value in directing individualized and precision therapeutic regimens for stage II CRC patients.

A circRNA signature predicts postoperative recurrence in stage II/III colon cancer

Accurate risk stratification for patients with stage II/III colon cancer is pivotal for postoperative treatment decisions. Here, we aimed to identify and validate a circRNA‐based signature that could improve postoperative prognostic stratification for these patients. In current retrospective analysis, we included 667 patients with R0 resected stage II/III colon cancer. Using RNA‐seq analysis of 20 paired frozen tissues collected postoperation, we profiled differential circRNA expression between patients with and without recurrence, followed by quantitative validation. With clinical information, we generated a four‐circRNA‐based cirScore to classify patients into high‐risk and low‐risk groups in the training cohort. The patients with high cirScores in the training cohort had a shorter disease‐free survival (DFS) and overall survival (OS) than patients with low cirScores. The prognostic capacity of the classifier was validated in the internal and external cohorts. Loss‐of‐function assays indicated that the selected circRNAs played functional roles in colon cancer progression. Overall, our four‐circRNA‐based classifier is a reliable prognostic tool for postoperative disease recurrence in patients with stage II/III colon cancer.

The prognostic effect of adjuvant chemotherapy in the colon cancer patients with solitary lymph node metastasis

PURPOSE

Previous studies have reported paradoxical survival prognoses for some node-negative and node-positive colon cancer patients. However, current guidelines recommend adjuvant chemotherapy (CT) only for node-positive patients. This study investigated the efficacy of adjuvant CT for patients who underwent radical surgery for colon cancer with solitary lymph node (LN) metastasis.

METHODS

This study included 281 patients treated between 2004 and 2015. Patients were classified into no-CT (n = 39) and CT (n = 242) groups, and the survival outcomes and recurrence-related follow-up data were analyzed.

RESULTS

The groups exhibited similarities in tumor sidedness, tumor differentiation, and pathologic stage. However, the age, ASA class, and preoperative CEA level were relatively lower in the CT group. Although the CT group had a higher 5-year overall survival (OS) rate than the no-CT group (88.4% vs. 65.3%, p < 0.001), the groups did not differ in terms of 5-year disease-free survival (DFS) (CT, 84.1% vs. no-CT, 83.3%, p = 0.490). A multivariate analysis identified adjuvant CT as an independent factor for OS but not for DFS. A highly examined LN count (≥ 12) was associated with improved DFS improvement. However, D3 LN dissection was not associated with DFS or OS. For DFS, intermediate/apical positive LNs received a high hazard ratio relative to pericolic/epicolic LNs (2.080, 95% confidence interval: 0.979-4.416), but this was not significant (p = 0.057).

CONCLUSIONS

Adjuvant chemotherapy did not provide clear advantages for colon cancer with solitary LN metastasis. Further large studies that analyze several prognostic factors are needed to establish tailored adjuvant CT administration guidelines.

Tumor-associated Macrophages as Prognostic and Predictive Biomarkers for Postoperative Adjuvant Chemotherapy in Patients with Stage II Colon Cancer

PURPOSE

For stage II colon cancer, the efficacy of postoperative adjuvant chemotherapy remains controversial. It is well known that tumor-associated macrophages (TAMs) are important in tumor progression. In this study, TAMs were investigated as prognostic and predictive biomarkers for the efficacy of adjuvant chemotherapy for stage II colon cancer after radical resection.

EXPERIMENTAL DESIGN

This study enrolled two independent cohorts of consecutive patients from one medical center with pathologic stage II colon cancer after radical resections. Macrophages were detected using IHC staining of CD68 and CD206. Infiltration densities of CD68⁺ TAMs, CD206⁺ TAMs, and ratio of CD206⁺ TAMs/CD68⁺ TAMs (CD206/CD68 ratio) were calculated as prognostic and predictive biomarkers.

RESULTS

The primary and validation cohorts consisted of 521 and 314 patients, respectively. In both cohorts, high CD206/CD68 ratio was significantly associated with poor disease-free survival (DFS) and overall survival (OS). As an independent risk factor, CD206/CD68 ratio also had significantly better prognostic efficacy than CD68⁺ TAM density, CD206⁺ TAM density, and traditional clinicopathologic high-risk factors. Moreover, adjuvant chemotherapy significantly improved DFS and OS for patients with high CD206/CD68 ratio but not for those with low CD206/CD68 ratio. The interaction analyses were also significant for DFS. In subgroup analysis, CD206/CD68 ratio was still a significant predictor for adjuvant chemotherapy for patients in traditional high-risk group of recurrence (significant interaction for DFS).

CONCLUSIONS

For stage II colon cancer, CD206/CD68 ratio is a better prognostic and predictive biomarker for postoperative adjuvant chemotherapy. Together with clinicopathologic high-risk factors, it will aid in precision treatment.

Can the completeness of radiological cancer staging reports be improved using proforma reporting? A prospective multicentre non-blinded interventional study across 21 centres in the UK

OBJECTIVES

Following a diagnosis of cancer, the detailed assessment of prognostic stage by radiology is a crucial determinant of initial therapeutic strategy offered to patients. Pretherapeutic stage by imaging is known to be inconsistently documented. We tested whether the completeness of cancer staging radiology reports could be improved through a nationally introduced pilot of proforma-based reporting for a selection of six common cancers.

DESIGN

Prospective interventional study comparing the completeness of radiology cancer staging reports before and after the introduction of proforma reporting.

SETTING

Twenty-one UK National Health Service hospitals.

PARTICIPANTS

1283 cancer staging radiology reports were submitted.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

Radiology staging reports across the six cancers types were evaluated before and after the implementation of proforma-based reporting. Report completeness was assessed using scoring forms listing the presence or absence of predetermined key staging data. Qualitative data regarding proforma implementation and usefulness were collected from questionnaires provided to radiologists and end-users.

RESULTS

Electronic proforma-based reporting was successfully implemented in 15 of the 21 centres during the evaluation period. A total of 787 preproforma and 496 postproforma staging reports were evaluated. In the preproforma group, only 48.7% (5586/11 470) of key staging items were present compared with 87.3% (6043/6920) in the postproforma group. Thus, the introduction of proforma reporting produced a 78% improvement in staging completeness . This increase was seen across all cancer types and centres. The majority of participants found proforma reporting improved cancer reporting quality for their clinical practice .

CONCLUSION

The implementation of proforma reporting results in a significant improvement in the completeness of cancer staging reports. Proforma-based assessment of cancer stage enables objective comparisons of patient outcomes across centres. It should therefore become an auditable quality standard for cancer care.

A four-microRNA classifier as a novel prognostic marker for tumor recurrence in stage II colon cancer

About 20 percent of TNM-stage II colon cancer patients who are treated by surgical resection develop recurrence, and adjuvant chemotherapy in this group is still debated among researchers and clinicians. Currently, adverse histopathological and clinical factors are used to select patients for adjuvant chemotherapy following surgery. However, additional biomarkers to classify patients at risk of recurrence are needed. We have conducted a study using fresh frozen tumor tissue from 54 TNM-stage II colon cancer patients and performed microRNA profiling using next-generation sequencing. For the selection of the prognostic microRNAs, a LASSO Cox Regression model was employed. For the validation, we used the publically available TCGA-COAD cohort (n = 122). A prognostic panel of four micorRNAs (hsa-miR-5010-3p, hsa-miR-5100, hsa-miR-656-3p and hsa-miR-671-3p) was identified in the study cohort and validated in the TCGA-COAD cohort. The four-microRNA classifier successfully identified high-risk patients in the study cohort (P < 0.001) and the validation cohort (P = 0.005). Additionally, a number of established risk factors and the four-miRNA classifier were used to construct a nomogram to evaluate risk of recurrence. We identified a four-microRNA classifier in patients with TNM-stage II colon cancer that can be used to discriminate between patients at low- and high risk of recurrence.

Novel histopathologic feature identified through image analysis augments stage II colorectal cancer clinical reporting

A number of candidate histopathologic factors show promise in identifying stage II colorectal cancer (CRC) patients at a high risk of disease-specific death, however they can suffer from low reproducibility and none have replaced classical pathologic staging. We developed an image analysis algorithm which standardized the quantification of specific histopathologic features and exported a multi-parametric feature-set captured without bias. The image analysis algorithm was executed across a training set (n = 50) and the resultant big data was distilled through decision tree modelling to identify the most informative parameters to sub-categorize stage II CRC patients. The most significant, and novel, parameter identified was the ‘sum area of poorly differentiated clusters’ (AreaPDC). This feature was validated across a second cohort of stage II CRC patients (n = 134) (HR = 4; 95% CI, 1.5– 11). Finally, the AreaPDC was integrated with the significant features within the clinical pathology report, pT stage and differentiation, into a novel prognostic index (HR = 7.5; 95% CI, 3–18.5) which improved upon current clinical staging (HR = 4.26; 95% CI, 1.7– 10.3). The identification of poorly differentiated clusters as being highly significant in disease progression presents evidence to suggest that these features could be the source of novel targets to decrease the risk of disease specific death.

Extramural Venous Invasion as Prognostic Factor of Recurrence in Stage 1 and 2 Colon Cancer

Aim

Extramural venous invasion (EMVI) is a prognostic indicator in patients with colorectal cancer. However, its additional value in patients with stage 1 and 2 colorectal cancer is uncertain. In the present study, the incidence of EMVI and the hazard ratio for recurrence in patients with stage 1 and 2 colon cancer were studied.

Methods

184 patients treated for stage 1 and 2 colon cancer were included with a follow-up of at least 5 years. Chart review was performed and EMVI was assessed by two separate pathologists. EMVI was scored with additional caldesmon staining on the resection specimen. Primary outcomes were recurrence-free survival (RFS) measured through the Cox regression analysis and prevalence of EMVI.

Results

There were 10 cases of EMVI and 3 cases of intramural venous invasion (IMVI) all occurring in patients with stage 2 disease corresponding to a prevalence of 9%. Thirty-one percent of the patients with venous invasion experienced recurrence versus 14% in patients without, corresponding with a hazard ratio of 2.39 (p = 0.11).

Conclusion

The present study demonstrates a trend towards an increased risk of recurrence in patients with stage 2 colon cancer with venous invasion. This warrants consideration of adjuvant chemotherapy despite the lack of lymph node metastases.

Intratumoral stromal morphometry predicts disease recurrence but not response to 5-fluorouracil-results from the QUASAR trial of colorectal cancer

AIMS

The biological importance of tumour-associated stroma is becoming increasingly apparent, but its clinical utility remains ill-defined. For stage II/Dukes B colorectal cancer (CRC), clinical biomarkers are urgently required to direct therapeutic options. We report here prognostic/predictive analyses, and molecular associations, of stromal morphometric quantification in the Quick and Simple and Reliable (QUASAR) trial of CRC.

METHODS AND RESULTS

Relative proportions of tumour epithelium (PoT) or stroma (PoS) were morphometrically quantified on digitised haematoxylin and eosin (H&E) sections derived from 1800 patients enrolled in QUASAR, which randomised 3239 (91% stage II) CRC patients between adjuvant fluorouracil/folinic acid (FUFA) chemotherapy and observation. The prognostic and predictive values of PoT/PoS measurements were determined by the use of stratified log-rank analyses. A high proportion of tumour stroma (≥50%) was associated with an increased recurrence risk: 31.3% (143/457) recurrence for ≥50% versus 21.9% (294/1343) for <50% [rate ratio (RR) 1.62; 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.30-2.02; P < 0.0001]. Of patients with stromal proportions of ≥65%, 40% (46/115) had recurrent disease within 10 years. The adverse prognostic effect of a high stromal proportion was independent of established prognostic variables, and was maintained in stage II/Dukes B patients (RR 1.62; 95% CI 1.26-2.08; P = 0.0002). KRAS mutation in the presence of a high stromal proportion augmented recurrence risk (RR 2.93; 95% CI 1.87-4.59; P = 0.0005). Stromal morphometry did not predict response to FUFA chemotherapy.

CONCLUSIONS

Simple digital morphometry applied to a single representative H&E section identifies CRC patients with a >50% higher risk of disease recurrence. This technique can reliably partition patients into subpopulations with different risks of tumour recurrence in a simple and cost-effective manner. Further prospective validation is warranted.

Personalizing prognosis in colorectal cancer: A systematic review of the quality and nature of clinical prognostic tools for survival outcomes

Integrating diverse types of prognostic information into accurate, individualized estimates of outcome in colorectal cancer is challenging. Significant heterogeneity in colorectal cancer prognostication tool quality exists. Methodology is incompletely or inadequately reported. Evaluations of the internal or external validity of the prognostic model are rarely performed. Prognostication tools are important devices for patient management, but tool reliability is compromised by poor quality. Guidance for future development of prognostication tools in colorectal cancer is needed.

Investigation of correlation between mutational status in key EGFR signaling genes and prognosis of stage II colorectal cancer

Aim: To investigate the relationship between mutations of key genes in the EGFR signaling pathway and the prognosis of stage II colorectal cancer patients without chemotherapy. Materials & methods: The incidence of KRAS, NRAS, BRAF, PIK3CA mutations and deficient DNA mismatch repair were assessed in 160 stage II colorectal cancer patients who had been treated by radical operation without adjuvant chemotherapy. Results: Mutations in KRAS, BRAF or PIK3CA were associated with poor prognosis, while the deficient DNA mismatch repair status was not associated with the prognosis. Combining these three markers, the sensitivity of the predicted value for poor progression-free survival and overall survival reached 0.645 (p = 0.002) and 0.709 (p = 0.001), respectively. Conclusion: Knowing the mutation status of KRAS, BRAF or PIK3CA in stage II colorectal cancer can significantly improve the accuracy of prognoses.

The degree of extramural spread of T3 rectal cancer: an appeal to the American Joint Committee on Cancer

The T3 category of the TNM classification includes over 60% of all rectal tumours and encompasses the greatest variance in cancer-specific end-points than any other T category. The most recent edition of the cancer staging handbook of the American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) dated 2010 does not divide T3 tumours into subgroups which reflect cancer-specific outcome more sensitively. The original aim of the present study was to review the literature to assess the influence of the degree of extramural extent of T3 rectal cancer on local recurrence and survival. An article written by the authors was accepted for publication but was withdrawn immediately after they became aware of the publication of the 4th edition of the TNM Supplement by the Union for International Cancer Control dated 2012, which was not accessible by the search system used. This article dealt with the subdivision of the T3 category although this was not included in the most up-to-date AJCC guidelines and was stated to be 'entirely optional'. Medline, PubMed and Cochrane Library searches were performed to identify all studies that investigated the degree of extramural spread and its relationship to survival and local recurrence. Twenty-two studies were identified of which 12 assessed the degree of histopathological extramural spread measured in millimetres. In 18 of the 22 studies the degree of extramural spread was a statistically significant prognostic factor for survival and local recurrence. Analysis of the studies indicated that the subdivision of category T3 rectal cancer into two subgroups of extramural spread ≤ 5 mm or more than 5 mm resulted in markedly different survival and local recurrence rates. The data were insufficient to allow validation of any greater subdivision. Measurement of the extent of extramural spread by MRI before any treatment agreed with the histopathological measurement in the surgical specimen to within 1 mm. The extent of extramural spread in T3 rectal cancer measured in millimetres is a powerful prognostic factor. A subdivision of T3 into T3a and T3b of less than or equal to or more than 5 mm appears to give the greatest discrimination of local recurrence and survival. Preoperative T3 subdivision by MRI has the same sensitivity as histopathological examination of the resected specimen. Given the clinical need for the pretreatment classification of the T3 category for oncological management planning, the evidence strongly indicates that the subdivision of the T3 category by MRI should be formally considered as part of the TNM staging system for rectal cancer.

Serum exosomal miR-4772-3p is a predictor of tumor recurrence in stage II and III colon cancer

PURPOSE

The study was aimed to evaluate the prognostic or predictive value of serum exosomal microRNAs (miRNAs) for tumor recurrence and response to adjuvant therapy in stage II and stage III colon cancer.

RESULTS

145 differentially expressed mature miRNAs were identified (P<0.05) and 10 top hits were carried forward in validation test. MiR-4772-3p was significantly under-expressed in 27 patients with recurrence compared to in 57 patients without recurrence (P=0.002). The reduced expression was significantly related to increased risk of tumor recurrence and risk of death. As a predictor for tumor recurrence, ROC analysis revealed the AUC (95% CI) was 0.72 (0.59-0.85, P=0.001) for lower level of miR-4772-3p compared to 0.63 (0.51-0.75, P=0.062) for tumor site and 0.65 (0.51-0.78,P=0.034) for lymph node status. Among 66/84 patients who received FOLFOX adjuvant therapy, 9/10 (90%) patients with a lower level and 10/56 (18%) patients with a higher level of miR-4772-3p had tumor recurrence (P<0.001).

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Blood samples were prospectively collected from84 patients with stage II/III colon cancer after tumor resection and before adjuvant therapy. Serum exosomal miRNA profiles were determined by RNA sequencing. Differentially expressed mature miRNAs were identified between patients with or without tumor recurrence. The top hits were validated in individual RNA samples using quantitative real-time reverse transcription PCR.

CONCLUSIONS

Reduced expression of serum exosomal miR-4772-3p is a prognostic biomarker for tumor recurrence in stage II and stage III colon cancer patients. The predictive value of this marker for response to FOLFOX adjuvant therapy needs further investigation.

A 19-Gene expression signature as a predictor of survival in colorectal cancer

Background

Histopathological assessment has a low potential to predict clinical outcome in patients with the same stage of colorectal cancer. More specific and sensitive biomarkers to determine patients’ survival are needed. We aimed to determine gene expression signatures as reliable prognostic marker that could predict survival of colorectal cancer patients with Dukes’ B and C.

Methods

We examined microarray gene expression profiles of 78 archived tissues of patients with Dukes’ B and C using the Illumina DASL assay. The gene expression data were analyzed using the GeneSpring software and R programming.

Results

The outliers were detected and replaced with randomly chosen genes from the 90 % confidence interval of the robust mean for each group. We performed three statistical methods (SAM, LIMMA and t-test) to identify significant genes. There were 19 significant common genes identified from microarray data that have been permutated 100 times namely NOTCH2, ITPRIP, FRMD6, GFRA4, OSBPL9, CPXCR1, SORCS2, PDC, C12orf66, SLC38A9, OR10H5, TRIP13, MRPL52, DUSP21, BRCA1, ELTD1, SPG7, LASS6 and DUOX2. This 19-gene signature was able to significantly predict the survival of patients with colorectal cancer compared to the conventional Dukes’ classification in both training and test sets (p < 0.05). The performance of this signature was further validated as a significant independent predictor of survival using patient cohorts from Australia (n = 185), USA (n = 114), Denmark (n = 37) and Norway (n = 95) (p < 0.05). Validation using quantitative PCR confirmed similar expression pattern for the six selected genes.

Conclusion

Profiling of these 19 genes may provide a more accurate method to predict survival of patients with colorectal cancer and assist in identifying patients who require more intensive treatment.

Electronic supplementary material

The online version of this article (doi:10.1186/s12920-016-0218-1) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users.

Colorectal Cancer, Systemic Inflammation, and Outcome: Staging the Tumor and Staging the Host

OBJECTIVE

This study aims to examine the clinical utility of the combination of TNM stage and modified Glasgow Prognostic Score (mGPS) in patients undergoing potentially curative resection of colorectal cancer (CRC).

BACKGROUND

Of measures of the systemic inflammatory response, the mGPS has been most extensively validated in patients with cancer.

METHODS

Data from 1000 consecutive patients undergoing potentially curative CRC resection from a single institution (January 1997-May 2013) were included. The relationship between mGPS [0-C-reactive protein (CRP) ≤ 10 mg/L, 1-CRP > 10 mg/L and albumin ≥35 g/L, 2-CRP > 10 mg/L and albumin < 35 g/L], TNM stage, and cancer-specific survival (CSS) and overall survival (OS) was examined using Kaplan-Meier log-rank survival analysis and multivariate Cox regression analysis.

RESULTS

An mGPS of 0, 1, and 2 was observed in 63%, 21%, and 16% of patients, respectively. Median follow-up was 56 months (interquartile range: 28-107 months). TNM and mGPS were independently associated with CSS and OS (all P < 0.001). In all patients, TNM and mGPS stratified 5-year CSS and OS from 97% and 87% (stage I, mGPS = 0) to 32% and 26% (stage III, mGPS = 2), respectively. In patients undergoing elective resection of colon cancer (n = 575), 5-year CSS and OS ranged from 100% and 87% (stage I, mGPS = 0) to 37% and 30% (stage III, mGPS = 2), respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

This study shows how the combination of TNM and mGPS effectively stratifies outcome in patients undergoing potentially curative resection of CRC. These data support routine staging of both the tumor and the host in patients with CRC.

CCR6 expression in colon cancer is associated with advanced disease and supports epithelial-to-mesenchymal transition

Background:

Adjuvant chemotherapy offered to treat colon cancer is based on the TNM staging system, which often fails due to molecular heterogeneity and undefined molecular mechanisms independent of TNM. Therefore, identification of markers to better predict therapeutic option and outcome is needed. In this study we have characterised the clinical association of CCR6 with colon cancer and defined CCR6-mediated molecular pathway.

Methods:

Immunohistochemistry, RT-qPCR, western blot and FACS were used to determine expression of CCR6 and/or EMT markers in colon tissues/cells. BrdU assay and trans-well system were used to determine cell proliferation, migration and invasion in response to CCL20.

Results:

CCR6 was higher in cancer cases compared to normal adjacent tissue and expression was associated with nodal status and distant metastasis. Similarly, CCR6 expression was higher in cells derived from node-positive cases and highest expression was in cells derived from metastatic cases. Significant changes in EMT markers, that is, E-cadherin, vimentin, β-catenin, N-cadherin, α-SMA, SNAILl and ZEB1 were observed in response to CCL20 along with decreased proliferation, increased migratory and invasive potential.

Conclusions:

Results suggest CCR6 as a potential therapeutic target as well as biomarker in addition to nodal status for predicting therapeutic option.

PAK6 increase chemoresistance and is a prognostic marker for stage II and III colon cancer patients undergoing 5-FU based chemotherapy

p21-Activated kinase 6 (PAK6) has been implicated in radiotherapy and docetaxel resistance. We have further evaluated PAK6 as a predictor of 5-fluorouracil (5-FU) treatment response in colon cancer. Here we report that in colon cancer PAK6 promotes tumor progression and chemoresistance both in vitro and in vivo. In the clinical analysis, PAK6 was overexpressed in 104 of 147 (70.75%) stage II and III patients who received 5-FU based chemotherapy after surgery. Multivariate Cox regression analysis indicated that PAK6 was an independent prognostic factor for overall survival (P < 0.001) and disease-free survival (P < 0.001). Colon cancer cell lines showed increased PAK6 expression upon 5-FU treatment. In PAK6-knockdown cells treated with 5-FU, cell viability and phosphorylation of BAD decreased, and the number of apoptotic cells, levels of cleaved caspase 3 and PARP increased compared to control cells. The opposite was observed in PAK6 overexpressing cells. Short hairpin RNA knockdown of PAK6 blocked cells in G2-M phase. Furthermore, Animal experiments results in vivo are consistent with outcomes in vitro. This study demonstrates that PAK6 is an independent prognostic factor for adjuvant 5-FU-based chemotherapy in patients with stage II and stage III colon cancer.

Prognostic factors and the role of adjuvant chemotherapy in post-curative surgery for Dukes B and C colon cancers and survival outcomes: a Malaysian experience

BACKGROUND

Adjuvant chemotherapy improves survival in Dukes C colon cancers post-curative resection. However, the evidence for a role with Dukes B lesions remains unproven despite frequent use for disease characterized by poor prognostic features. In view of limited Asia-specific data, this study aimed to determine survival outcomes and identify prognostic factors in a tertiary teaching hospital in Malaysia.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

A total of 116 subjects who underwent curative surgery with and without adjuvant chemotherapy for Duke B and C primary colon adenocarcinomas diagnosed from 2004-2009 were recruited and data were collected retrospectively. Five-year overall survival (OS) and disease free survival (DFS) were analysed using Kaplan-Meier survival analysis and log-rank (Mantel-Cox) test. Prognostic factors were determined using Cox proportional hazards regression with both univariate and multivariate analyses.

RESULTS

The survival analysis demonstrated a 5-year OS of 74.0% for all patients, with 74.9% for Dukes C subjects receiving chemotherapy compared to 28.6% in those not receiving chemotherapy (p=0.001). For Dukes B disease, the 5-year survival rate was 82.6% compared to 75.0% for subjects receiving and not receiving chemotherapy, respectively (p=0.17). Independent prognostic factors identified included a CEA level more than 3.5 ng/ml (hazard ratio (HR)=4.78; p=0.008), serosal involvement (HR=3.75; p=0.028) and completion of chemotherapy (HR= 0.20; p=0.007).

CONCLUSIONS

In a regional context, this study supports current evidence from the West that adjuvant chemotherapy improves survival in Dukes C colon cancers post curative surgery. However, although a clear benefit has yet to be proven for Dukes B disease, our results suggest survival improvement in selected cases.

The Petersen prognostic index revisited in Dukes B colon cancer--Inter-institutional differences

A prognostic index (Petersen index, PI) was created for patients with pT3-4 pN0 M0 (Stage II, Dukes' B) colon cancers to distinguish between patients with better and worse outcome, and to help in recommending adjuvant chemotherapy for high risk patients in this stage. The prognostic value of the PI was evaluated in two independent retrospective series of stage II (Dukes' B) colon cancer patients. The parameters defining the PI (venous invasion, peritoneal involvement, circumferential margin involvement, perforation through the tumour) and performance of the PI were compared in two institutions. The two series of patients consisted of 127 and 87 patients. Venous invasion was more frequently detected at one of the centres (p<0.01) and tumour perforation was more frequent at the other (p<0.01). There were no significant differences in the 5-year survival estimates of all patients (p=0.19), and of either the low PI value groups (p=0.52) or that of the high PI value groups (p=0.99) between the two sites. In contrast, there were significant differences in the survival estimates between patients of the low PI category and those of the high PI category altogether (p<0.01) and in either centre. Although, it was expected that differences in the frequency of the parameters involved in the PI would influence its performance, this was not confirmed by the data. Our results suggest that using the PI may be of value in prognostic factor based therapy selection of colon carcinoma patients.

Prognostic and Predictive Model for Stage II Colon Cancer Patients With Nonemergent Surgery: Who Should Receive Adjuvant Chemotherapy?

No ideal prognostic model has been applied to clearly identify which suitable high-risk stage II colon cancer patients with negative margins undergoing nonemergent surgery should receive adjuvant chemotherapy routinely. Clinicopathologic and prognostic data of 333 stage II colon cancer patients who underwent D2 or D3 lymphadenectomy during nonemergent surgery were retrospectively analyzed. Four pathologically determined factors, including adjacent organ involvement (RR 2.831, P = 0.001), histologic differentiation (RR 2.151, P = 0.009), lymphovascular invasion (RR 4.043, P < 0.001), and number of lymph nodes retrieved (RR 2.161, P = 0.011), were identified as independent prognostic factors on multivariate analysis. Importantly, a simple cumulative scoring system clearly categorizing prognostic risk groups was generated: risk score = ∑ coefficient' × status (AOI + histological differentiated + lymphovascular invasion + LNs retrieved). Our new prognostic model may provide valuable information on the impact of lymphovascular invasion, as well as powerfully and reliably predicting prognosis and recurrence for this particular cohort of patients. This model may identify suitable patients with an R0 resection who should receive routine postoperative adjuvant therapy and may help clinicians to facilitate individualized treatment. In this study, we aim to provide an ideal and quantifiable method for clinical decision making in the nonemergent surgical treatment of stage II colon cancer. Our prognostic and predictive model should be applied in multicenter, prospective studies with large sample sizes, in order to obtain a more reliable clinical recommendation.

Quantitative Image Analysis of Epithelial and Stromal Area in Histological Sections of Colorectal Cancer: An Emerging Diagnostic Tool

In colorectal cancer (CRC), an increase in the stromal (S) area with the reduction of the epithelial (E) parts has been suggested as an indication of tumor progression. Therefore, an automated image method capable of discriminating E and S areas would allow an improved diagnosis. Immunofluorescence staining was performed on paraffin-embedded sections from colorectal tumors (16 samples from patients with liver metastasis and 18 without). Noncancerous tumor adjacent mucosa (n = 5) and normal mucosa (n = 4) were taken as controls. Epithelial cells were identified by an anti-keratin 8 (K8) antibody. Large tissue areas (5–63 mm²/slide) including tumor center, tumor front, and adjacent mucosa were scanned using an automated microscopy system (TissueFAXS). With our newly developed algorithms, we showed that there is more K8-immunoreactive E in the tumor center than in tumor adjacent and normal mucosa. Comparing patients with and without metastasis, the E/S ratio decreased by 20% in the tumor center and by 40% at tumor front in metastatic samples. The reduction of E might be due to a more aggressive phenotype in metastasis patients. The novel software allowed a detailed morphometric analysis of cancer tissue compartments as tools for objective quantitative measurements, reduced analysis time, and increased reproducibility of the data.

The influence of neoadjuvant therapy for the prognosis in patients with rectal carcinoma: a retrospective study

Rectal cancer, defined as a cancerous lesion of the colon distal to the rectosigmoid junction, is the fourth most common cancer cause of death globally. There were 474 patients with rectal cancer who underwent surgery between October 2007 and May 2013 enrolled in our center. Patients were respectively categorized by neoadjuvant therapy. This study aimed to explore the predictive factors that affected the Progression-free survival and overall survival of the patients with rectal cancer. Clinical characteristics of patients were compared with the groups and potential prognostic factors were analyzed by SPSS 19.0. In our study, neoadjuvant therapy increased the anus-retained rate (64.4 vs 53.4 % P = 0.016) and remission rate in the treatment group, compared to the non-treatment group (62.6 vs 34.8 %; P = 0.000). The neoadjuvant concurrent chemoradiotherapy, more operative duration, anus retained and micturition damaged are positive prognostic factors of PFS to patients. Poor differentiation, the tumor of ulcer, invasive, and pT4 stage, contributed the poor factors for PFS of patients (P < 0.05). Additionally, the patients with neoadjuvant concurrent chemoradiotherapy and adjuvant chemotherapy underwent the better prognosis of OS. Adjuvant chemotherapy cannot increase PFS of the patients who accepted neoadjuvant therapy after surgery get pCR, but can improve OS. The anus-retained and neoadjuvant radiotherapy, duration of surgery in rectal cancer have the positive correlation. Micturition damaged and neoadjuvant radiotherapy were positively correlated as well. In conclusion, adjuvant chemotherapy does not improve the PFS of patients with pCR to neoadjuvant therapy, but is good for OS. Further prospective and large population-based clinical studies are needed to establish clinical guidelines for the use of neoadjuvant therapy and adjuvant chemotherapy in patients with rectal cancer.

Extended Versus Standard Lymphadenectomy for Pancreatic Head Cancer: Meta-Analysis of Randomized Controlled Trials

INTRODUCTION

The evidence for improved prognostic assessment and long-term survival for extended pancreatoduodenectomy (EPD) compared to standard pancreatoduodenectomy (SPD) in patients with carcinoma of the head of the pancreas has not been considered from only randomized controlled trials (RCTs).

METHODS

The aim of this study was to conduct a systematic review and meta-analysis of the outcomes comparing SPD and EPD in RCTs. Searches were performed on MEDLINE, Embase and Cochrane databases using MeSH keyword combinations: 'pancreatic cancer', 'pancreaticoduodenectomy', 'extended', 'randomized' and 'lymphadenectomy'. RCTs published up to 2014 were included. Overall post-operative survival, morbidity, 30-day mortality and length of hospital stay were the outcomes assessed.

RESULTS

Five eligible RCTs with 546 participants were included (EPD = 276 and SPD = 270). EPD was associated with a significantly higher number of excised lymph nodes (LNs) compared to SPD (mean difference = 15.73, 95% confidence interval (CI) = 9.41-22.04; P < 0.00001; I(2) = 88%). LN metastasis was detected in 58-68 and 55-70% of patients who had EPD and SPD, respectively. EPD did not improve overall survival (hazard ratio (HR) = 0.88, 95% CI = 0.75-1.03; P = 0.11) but did worsen post-operative morbidity compared to SPD (risk ratio (RR) = 1.23; 95% CI = 1.01-1.50; P = 0.004; I(2) = 9%). There were no differences in the 30-day mortality (RR = 0.81; 95% CI = 0.32-2.06; P = 0.66; I(2) = 0%) or length of hospital stay (mean difference = 1.39, 95% CI = -2.31 to 5.09; P = 0.46; I(2) = 67%).

CONCLUSION

SPD is associated with reduced morbidity, but equivalent long-term benefits compared to patients undergoing EPD.

Clinical and prognostic significance of pathological and inflammatory markers in the surgical treatment of locally advanced colorectal cancer

Background

Locally advanced colorectal cancer (CRC) may vary in its clinical and pathological appearance. It is now accepted that progression of disease in patients with locally advanced CRC is determined not only by local tumor characteristics but also by the immune system and inflammatory response in the body.

Methods

We investigated patients with confirmed CRC who were treated in the surgical clinic at the University Hospital Alexandrovska over a 10-year period and retrospectively evaluated the histological features of the preoperative biopsies and operative specimens removed during radical multivisceral resections. We also collected prospective data for serum C-reactive protein levels and Jass-Klintrup score, Petersen Index score, and Glasgow Prognostic Score in patients with locally advanced CRC.

Results

Of 1,105 patients with CRC, 327 (29.6%) were diagnosed with locally advanced disease. In total, 108 combined multivisceral resections (79 for primary tumors and 29 for recurrent tumors) were performed. Overall survival was 34 months for pR0 cases and 12 months for pR1 cases (P<0.05). Our data confirmed that C-reactive protein is a prognostic marker of overall survival. Data for 48 patients with histologically confirmed locally advanced tumors showed significantly increased survival with a higher Jass-Klintrup score (P=0.037). In patients with node-negative disease, 5-year survival was 49%. However, where there were high-risk pathological characteristics according to the Petersen Index, survival was similar to that for node-positive disease (P=0.702). Our data also showed a significant difference in survival between groups divided according to whether they had a modified Glasgow Prognostic Score of 1 or 2 (P=0.031).

Conclusion

In order to maintain a reasonable balance between an aggressive approach and so-called meaningless “surgical exorbitance”, we should focus on certain histopathological and inflammatory markers that can be identified as additional factors for planning the type and volume of surgical treatment.

A population-based study elicits a reverse correlation between age and overall survival in elderly patients with rectal carcinoma receiving adjuvant chemotherapy

Colorectal cancer is the third most common cancer and the fourth most common cause of cancer-related death globally. This population-based study aimed to explore the predictive factors that affected the overall survival of rectal cancer patients receiving adjuvant chemotherapy plus radical surgery using a Cox proportional hazards modeling approach. A total of 619 patients with rectal cancer who underwent surgery were enrolled between October 2006 and May 2013. Clinical characteristics of the patients were compared among the groups and potential prognostic factors were analyzed using the spss program, version 19.0. Patients aged ≥ 70 years have distinctive characteristics such as lager tumour size (≥ 5 cm), damaged micturition and higher incidence of diabetes compared to younger and middle-aged patients. Male gender, tumour size (≥ 5 cm), poor differentiation, later stage, adjuvant chemotherapy, damaged micturition, hypertension or diabetes are associated with a worse prognosis for rectal cancer patients (P < 0.05). However, smoking is a favourable factor to the patients (P = 0.018). Age of ≥ 70 years is an independent prognostic factor for patients with rectal cancer after surgery (P = 0.000) and elderly patients with Stage II and III disease receiving adjuvant chemotherapy show a favourable prognosis. The elderly patients who suffered from diabetes receiving adjuvant chemotherapy have a poor prognosis. Further prospective and large population studies are warranted to confirm the findings of this study.

Prognosis of stage II and III colon cancer treated with adjuvant 5-fluorouracil or FOLFIRI in relation to microsatellite status: results of the PETACC-3 trial

BACKGROUND

Although colon cancer (CC) with microsatellite instability (MSI) has a more favorable prognosis than microsatellite stable (MSS) CC, the impact varies according to clinicopathological parameters. We studied how MSI status affects prognosis in a trial-based cohort of stage II and III CC patients treated with 5-fluorouracil (5-FU)/leucovorin or FOLFIRI.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Tissue specimens of 1254 patients were tested for 10 different loci and were classified as MSI-high (MSI-H) when three or more loci were unstable and MSS otherwise. Study end points were overall survival (OS) and relapse-free survival (RFS).

RESULTS

In stage II, RFS and OS were better for patients with MSI-H than with MSS CC [hazard ratio (HR) 0.26, 95% CI 0.10-0.65, P = 0.004 and 0.16, 95% CI 0.04-0.64, P = 0.01). In stage III, RFS was slightly better for patients with MSI-H CC (HR 0.67, 95% CI 0.46-0.99, P = 0.04), but the difference was not statistically significant for OS (HR 0.70, 95% CI 0.44-1.09, P = 0.11). Outcomes for patients with MSI-H CC were not different between the two treatment arms. RFS was better for patients with MSI-H than with MSS CC in the right and left colon, whereas for OS this was significant only in the right colon. For patients with KRAS- and BRAF-mutated CC, but not for double wild-type patients, RFS and OS were significantly better when the tumors were also MSI-H. An interaction test was statistically significant for KRAS and MSI status (P = 0.005), but not for BRAF status (P = 0.14).

CONCLUSIONS

Our results confirm that for patients with stage II CC but less so for those with stage III MSI-H is strongly prognostic for RFS and OS. In the presence of 5-FU treatment, stage II patients with MSI-H tumors maintain their survival advantage in comparison with MSS patients and adding irinotecan has no added benefit. CLINICALTRIALS.GOV IDENTIFIER: NCT00026273.

Surface profiles of live colorectal cancer cells and tumor infiltrating lymphocytes from surgical samples correspond to prognostic categories

Extensive surface profiles of colorectal cancer (CRC) cells and tumor infiltrating lymphocytes (TIL) have been obtained from 45 surgical resection samples. Live cells were captured on an antibody microarray and stained with fluorescently-labeled antibodies. Minimal panels of 11 CRC antigens (CD13, CD24, CD26, CD49d, CD138, CD166, CA-125, CA19-9, EGFR, Galectin-4 and HLA-DR) and 11 T-cell antigens (CD10, CD11b, CD11c, CD25, CD31, CD95, CD151, CD181, Galectin-4, CA19-9, TSP-1) provide signatures for relapse and survival. Hierarchical clustering of profiles from CRC cells and TIL identified groups of patients for survival, systemic relapse and death. The groups from CRC and TIL profiles for systemic relapse showed 79.2% concordance, enabling prediction of relapse after surgery. The results demonstrate communication between CRC cells and TIL.

An update on microRNAs as colorectal cancer biomarkers: where are we and what's next?

miRNAs are abundant classes of small, endogenous non-coding RNAs, which inhibit the expression of target gene via post-transcriptional regulation. In addition to an important functional role miRNAs play in carcinogenesis, emerging evidence has demonstrated their feasibility as robust cancer biomarkers. In particular, the recent discovery of miRNAs in the body fluids provides an attractive opportunity for the development of non-invasive biomarkers for the diagnosis, prognosis and predictive response to cancer therapy. Colorectal cancer (CRC) is one of the most common cancers worldwide, and accumulating data provides a compelling case for the potential exploitation of miRNAs as CRC-biomarkers. This review summarizes the current state of literature in the field, focusing on the clinical relevance of miRNAs as potential biomarkers for CRC treatment and discussing the forthcoming challenges to further advance this exciting field of 'academic research' into 'bedside clinical care' of patients suffering from CRC.

Mural and extramural venous invasion and prognosis in colorectal cancer

BACKGROUND

Extramural venous invasion is a known independent predictor of poor prognosis after resection of colorectal adenocarcinoma, but the prognostic value of mural venous invasion alone and the association between venous invasion and prognosis within tumor stages has received little research attention.

OBJECTIVE

This study aimed to determine whether associations between mural and extramural venous invasion and outcome differ among tumor stages after adjustment for other factors known to influence prognosis.

DESIGN

This study is a retrospective analysis of prospectively collected data.

SETTINGS

Data were drawn from a registry of 3040 consecutive patients undergoing resection between 1980 and 2005 under the care of specialist surgeons in a tertiary referral public hospital and an affiliated private hospital. A standardized protocol was used for the pathological assessment of specimens.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

The primary outcomes measured were overall survival, cancer-specific survival, and recurrence.

RESULTS

There was no significant association between venous invasion and survival in stages A (n = 544) or B (n = 1078). In stage C (n = 899), overall survival time was significantly shorter in patients with mural invasion alone or extramural invasion (both p < 0.001) than in those without invasion, and this persisted after adjustment for other prognostic variables. Equivalent bivariate associations were found in stage D, but only the effect of extramural invasion persisted after adjustment.

LIMITATIONS

Our findings arise from the experience of a single surgical group and may not be generalizable to other settings. Only hematoxylin and eosin staining was used.

CONCLUSIONS

The association between venous invasion and prognosis was stage specific. Both mural venous invasion alone and extramural venous invasion independently predicted overall survival in patients with stage C tumors, but not in patients with stages A, B, or D tumors. Although mural invasion alone was rare, the separate reporting of both mural and extramural invasion in patients with stage C tumor is informative and desirable.

Clinical impact of elastic laminal invasion in colon cancer: elastic laminal invasion-positive stage II colon cancer is a high-risk equivalent to stage III

BACKGROUND

Elastic laminal invasion is defined as tumor invasion beyond the peritoneal elastic lamina. It is one of the factors affecting the prognosis of patients with colon cancer.

OBJECTIVE

This study aimed to investigate the clinical impact of elastic laminal invasion in colon cancer and the magnitude of the worse prognosis of elastic laminal invasion-positive, node-negative patients.

DESIGN

This was a retrospective cohort study.

SETTINGS

This study reviewed data from a tertiary care cancer center in Japan.

PATIENTS

The records of 436 patients with pT3 or pT4a colon cancer who underwent curative resection between January 1996 and December 2006 were reviewed.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

The primary outcome measure was recurrence-free survival. Cox regression analyses established the factors associated with recurrence-free survival. Six groups formed by combining the factors were compared.

RESULTS

Of the patients with pT3 disease, those who were positive for elastic laminal invasion had a 5-year recurrence-free survival rate of 73.8% compared with a rate of 85.0% in those who were negative for elastic laminal invasion and 53.5% in patients with pT4 disease. Three unfavorable prognostic factors were identified, including lymph node metastasis, positive elastic laminal invasion, and a lack of adjuvant chemotherapy. Log-rank analysis revealed statistically significant differences in recurrence-free survival between group 1 (node negative, elastic laminal invasion negative, and no adjuvant chemotherapy) and group 3 (node negative, elastic laminal invasion positive, and no adjuvant chemotherapy). The HR for group 1 compared with group 3 was 0.49 (95% CI, 0.27-0.90). Furthermore, the HRs for group 2 (node positive, elastic laminal invasion negative, and received adjuvant chemotherapy) and group 4 (node positive, elastic laminal invasion positive, and received adjuvant chemotherapy) vs group 3 were 0.77 (95% CI, 0.35-1.69) and 1.36 (95% CI, 0.62-2.98).

LIMITATIONS

Our study has limited prediction accuracy of our prognostic stratification, and an analysis of small subgroups may not have been capable of detecting significant differences. In addition, a wide range of hematoxylin and eosin- and elastica-stained slides were examined per case.

CONCLUSIONS

Elastic laminal invasion adversely influences prognosis in pT3 and pT4a colon cancer. Although elastic laminal invasion positivity does not affect prognosis in node-positive patients receiving adjuvant chemotherapy, node-negative patients with elastic laminal invasion have a similar risk of recurrence as node-positive patients.

The clinical utility of the combination of T stage and venous invasion to predict survival in patients undergoing surgery for colorectal cancer

OBJECTIVE

To examine the clinical utility of improved detection of venous invasion (VI) in patients undergoing potentially curative resection of colorectal cancer.

BACKGROUND

VI is a feature of colorectal cancer (CRC) progression. Elastica staining can be used to improve detection of VI and correspondingly its prediction of patient survival.

METHODS

A single-center, observational study of pathology variables, including detection of VI by staining for elastica, using 631 stage I to III CRC specimens, collected from 1997 to 2009 (176 analyzed retrospectively and 455 analyzed prospectively), was performed.

RESULTS

VI was detected in 56% of patients with CRC. Over a median follow-up period of 73 months, 238 patients died (134 from cancer). On multivariate analysis, VI by elastica staining was associated with a shorter survival duration, independent of other pathology features, in all cases [hazard ratio (HR) = 3.94, 95% confidence interval (CI): 2.33-6.65, P < 0.001] and in node-negative cases (HR = 3.55, 95% CI: 1.81-6.97; P < 0.001). In the absence of elastica-detected VI, with the exception of T stage, no other pathology features were associated with survival time. Therefore, the combination of T stage and VI (TVI) on survival was examined. Five-year cancer mortality could be stratified between 100% and 54% for patients with node-negative tumors and between 100% and 33% for patients with node-positive tumors. In all cases, the TVI had similar predictive value as that of T stage and node status (TNM). In node-negative disease, TVI had superior predictive value.

CONCLUSIONS

The results of the present study have prompted the development of a novel tumor staging system based on TVI. The TVI has clinical utility, especially in node-negative disease, in predicting outcome following curative resection for CRC.

Prognostic and predictive significance of MSI in stages II/III colon cancer

In colon cancer, classic disease staging remains the key prognosis and treatment determinant. Although adjuvant chemotherapy has an established role in stage III colon cancer patients, in stage II it is still a subject of controversy due to its restriction to a small subgroup of patients with high-risk histopathologic features. Patients with stage II tumors form a highly heterogeneous group, with five-year relative overall survival rates ranging from 87.5% (IIA) to 58.4% (IIC). Identifying those for whom adjuvant chemotherapy would be appropriate and necessary has been challenging, and prognostic markers which could serve in the selection of patients more likely to recur or benefit from adjuvant chemotherapy are eagerly needed. The stronger candidate in this category seems to be microsatellite instability (MSI). The recently reported European Society for Medical Oncology guidelines suggest that MSI should be evaluated in stage II colorectal cancer patients in order to contribute in treatment decision-making regarding chemotherapy administration. The hypothetical predictive role of MSI regarding its response to 5-fluorouracil-based adjuvant chemotherapy has proven a much more difficult issue to address. Almost every possible relation between MSI and chemotherapy outcome has been described in the adjuvant colon cancer setting in the international literature, and the matter is far from being settled. In this current report we critically evaluate the prognostic and predictive impact of MSI status in patients with stage II and stage III colon cancer patients.

Prospective multicenter study of the impact of oncotype DX colon cancer assay results on treatment recommendations in stage II colon cancer patients

The Oncotype DX colon cancer assay is a clinically validated predictor of recurrence risk in stage II colon cancer patients. This prospective study evaluated the impact of recurrence score (RS) results on physician recommendations regarding adjuvant chemotherapy in T3, mismatch repair-proficient (MMR-P) stage II colon cancer patients. Patients and Methods. Stage IIA colon cancer patients were enrolled in 17 centers. Patient tumor specimens were assessed by the RS test (quantitative reverse transcription-polymerase chain reaction) and mismatch repair (immunohistochemistry). For each patient, the physician's recommended postoperative treatment plan of observation, fluoropyrimidine monotherapy, or combination therapy with oxaliplatin was recorded before and after the RS and mismatch repair results were provided. Results. Of 221 enrolled patients, 141 patients had T3 MMR-P tumors and were eligible for the primary analysis. Treatment recommendations changed for 63 (45%; 95% confidence interval: 36%-53%) of these 141 T3 MMR-P patients, with intensity decreasing for 47 (33%) and increasing for 16 (11%). Recommendations for chemotherapy decreased from 73 patients (52%) to 42 (30%), following review of RS results by physician and patient. Increased treatment intensity was more often observed at higher RS values, and decreased intensity was observed at lower values (p = .011). Conclusion. Compared with traditional clinicopathological assessment, incorporation of the RS result into clinical decision making was associated with treatment recommendation changes for 45% of T3 MMR-P stage II colon cancer patients in this prospective multicenter study. Use of the RS assay may lead to overall reduction in adjuvant chemotherapy use in this subgroup of stage II colon cancer patients.