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Zhang T, Xie H, Zhang X, Ni J, Li G, Wu H, Zhu J, Pan F. Impact of non optimal ambient temperature and temperature variation on the mortality of cardiovascular diseases: a research in Wuhu, China. INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF BIOMETEOROLOGY 2025:10.1007/s00484-025-02925-4. [PMID: 40266352 DOI: 10.1007/s00484-025-02925-4] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/04/2024] [Revised: 03/05/2025] [Accepted: 04/15/2025] [Indexed: 04/24/2025]
Abstract
Given the backdrop of global climate change, future temperatures are anticipated to exhibit increased variability and extremity, amplifying health risks and the burden of diseases, a matter of heightened concern. The aim of this research was to evaluate the mortality risk associated with cardiovascular diseases (CVD) due to suboptimal temperatures (daily mean temperature) and temperature variations (diurnal temperature range). Daily data spanning from 2014 to 2020 in Wuhu City were gathered, encompassing meteorological factors, environmental pollutants, and cardiovascular disease mortality information, involving 64,758 CVD deaths. Time-series analyses were conducted utilizing generalized additive models (GAM) and distributed lag nonlinear models (DLNM). Burden analysis was executed to estimate the percentage and count of daily CVD deaths linked to daily mean temperature (DMT) and diurnal temperature range (DTR). Lastly, a sensitivity analysis was conducted to assess the robustness of the model. A horizontal S-shaped relationship exists between DMT and CVD mortality rate, where both high and low temperatures exhibit adverse effects, with high temperatures demonstrating a more pronounced impact than low temperatures. An inverted J-shaped relationship exists between DTR and mortality, wherein extreme DTR elevates the risk of CVD mortality. Variations in exposure responses occur among populations with diverse characteristics. The main cause of death burden is moderately high temperature rather than extreme temperature. Importantly, non-extreme temperatures account for the majority of cardiovascular disease deaths, potentially exerting serious adverse effects on local public health.
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Affiliation(s)
- Tao Zhang
- Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Anhui Medical University, 81 Meishan Road, Hefei, 230032, Anhui Province, China
- The Key Laboratory of Major Autoimmune Diseases, Anhui Medical University, 81 Meishan Road, Hefei, 230032, Anhui, China
| | - Huimin Xie
- Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Anhui Medical University, 81 Meishan Road, Hefei, 230032, Anhui Province, China
- The Key Laboratory of Major Autoimmune Diseases, Anhui Medical University, 81 Meishan Road, Hefei, 230032, Anhui, China
| | - Xu Zhang
- Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Anhui Medical University, 81 Meishan Road, Hefei, 230032, Anhui Province, China
- The Key Laboratory of Major Autoimmune Diseases, Anhui Medical University, 81 Meishan Road, Hefei, 230032, Anhui, China
| | - Jianping Ni
- Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Anhui Medical University, 81 Meishan Road, Hefei, 230032, Anhui Province, China
- The Key Laboratory of Major Autoimmune Diseases, Anhui Medical University, 81 Meishan Road, Hefei, 230032, Anhui, China
| | - Guoqing Li
- Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Anhui Medical University, 81 Meishan Road, Hefei, 230032, Anhui Province, China
- The Key Laboratory of Major Autoimmune Diseases, Anhui Medical University, 81 Meishan Road, Hefei, 230032, Anhui, China
| | - Hanqing Wu
- Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Anhui Medical University, 81 Meishan Road, Hefei, 230032, Anhui Province, China
- The Key Laboratory of Major Autoimmune Diseases, Anhui Medical University, 81 Meishan Road, Hefei, 230032, Anhui, China
| | - Jiansheng Zhu
- Wuhu Venter for Disease Control and Prevention, Wuhu, Anhui province, China
| | - Faming Pan
- Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Anhui Medical University, 81 Meishan Road, Hefei, 230032, Anhui Province, China.
- The Key Laboratory of Major Autoimmune Diseases, Anhui Medical University, 81 Meishan Road, Hefei, 230032, Anhui, China.
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Kawada T. RE: Ambient temperature and risk of cardiovascular and respiratory adverse health outcomes. Eur J Prev Cardiol 2025; 32:351. [PMID: 39106219 DOI: 10.1093/eurjpc/zwae257] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/26/2024] [Accepted: 08/02/2024] [Indexed: 08/09/2024]
Affiliation(s)
- Tomoyuki Kawada
- Department of Hygiene and Public Health, Nippon Medical School, 1-1-5 Sendagi, Bunkyo-Ku, Tokyo 113-8602, Japan
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Wu J, Chai G, Zhai G, Wu D. Lagged effect of ambient temperature on hospitalization for cardiovascular diseases in Wuwei, suburbs Northwest China. INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF ENVIRONMENTAL HEALTH RESEARCH 2025:1-17. [PMID: 40036121 DOI: 10.1080/09603123.2025.2473008] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/10/2024] [Accepted: 02/24/2025] [Indexed: 03/06/2025]
Abstract
Studies on the effect of ambient temperature on the number of hospitalizations for cardiovascular diseases in rural Northwest China are rare, and there is a gap in related studies in Wuwei, a less developed city located in Northwest China. We collected hospitalization data from patients with cardiovascular diseases from the new Rural Cooperative Medical Insurance Scheme in Wuwei and meteorological data from the Gansu Provincial Meteorological Bureau and investigated the effect of ambient temperature on the number of hospitalizations for cardiovascular diseases in rural Wuwei, by means of distributed lag nonlinear models (DLNMs). A total of 53,642 patients with cardiovascular diseases were included from 1 January 2011, to 31 December 2015. The damaging effect of low temperature gradually increased with increasing lag time, and the damaging effect of high temperature reached its maximum on the same day (lag0); the heat effect caused more damage than the cold effect; and for both low and high temperatures, the relative risk (RR) was greater among female and elderly patients than among male and adult patients. This study may provide a theoretical basis for relevant departments to formulate meteorological policies to protect the health of susceptible people.
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Affiliation(s)
- Jirong Wu
- Dong Fureng Institute of Economic and Social Development, Wuhan University, Wuhan, China
| | - Guorong Chai
- School of Management, Lanzhou University, Lanzhou, China
| | - Guangyu Zhai
- School of Economics and Management, Lanzhou University of Technology, Lanzhou, China
| | - Dean Wu
- Department of Respiratory Medicine, The Third People's Hospital of Gansu Province, Lanzhou, China
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Boudreault J, Campagna C, Lavigne É, Chebana F. Projecting the overall heat-related health burden and associated economic costs in a climate change context in Quebec, Canada. THE SCIENCE OF THE TOTAL ENVIRONMENT 2025; 958:178022. [PMID: 39674157 DOI: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.178022] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/17/2024] [Revised: 12/06/2024] [Accepted: 12/07/2024] [Indexed: 12/16/2024]
Abstract
Extreme heat represents a major health risk for the world's population, that is amplified by climate change. However, the health costs associated with these heat events have only been little studied. To stimulate the implementation of effective interventions against extreme heat, a more comprehensive economic valuation of these health impacts is crucial. In this study, a general framework for assessing historical and projected heat-related health costs is presented and then applied to the province of Quebec (Canada). First, heat-related mortality and morbidity, as well as the number of extreme heatwaves, were computed for a historical (∼2000) and projected (∼2050) period under two shared socioeconomic pathways (SSP). Then, these heat-related numbers were converted into 1) direct healthcare costs, 2) indirect productivity costs and 3) intangible societal costs, using the best available cost information. Results showed that historical heat-related health costs were respectively 15M$, 5M$ and 3.6G$ (in 2019 Canadian dollars) annually for the direct, indirect and intangible components in Quebec, Canada. Under a middle-of-the-road scenario (SSP2-4.5), there was a 3-fold increase in total costs due to climate and population change (10.9G$ annually), while under a pessimistic scenario (SSP5-8.5), the increase was 5-fold (17.4G$). Total costs were mostly driven by intangible impacts, such as loss of life (∼90-95%) and of well-being during heatwaves (∼5-10%). Given that heat-related health costs are already significant, and likely to increase substantially in the future, this study has demonstrated the vital need to reduce its burden now and in the future by adopting more measures to mitigate climate change and adapt to heat.
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Affiliation(s)
- Jérémie Boudreault
- Centre Eau Terre Environnement, Institut national de la recherche scientifique, 490 de la Couronne, Québec, QC, Canada, G1K 9A9; Direction de la santé environnementale, au travail et de la toxicologie, Institut national de santé publique du Québec, 945 avenue Wolfe, Québec, QC, Canada, G1V 5B3.
| | - Céline Campagna
- Centre Eau Terre Environnement, Institut national de la recherche scientifique, 490 de la Couronne, Québec, QC, Canada, G1K 9A9; Direction de la santé environnementale, au travail et de la toxicologie, Institut national de santé publique du Québec, 945 avenue Wolfe, Québec, QC, Canada, G1V 5B3; Department of Social and Preventive Medicine, Laval University, 1050 Av. de la Médecine, Québec, QC, Canada, G1V 0A6
| | - Éric Lavigne
- Environmental Health Science and Research Bureau, Health Canada, 251 Sir Frederick Banting Driveway, Ottawa, ON, Canada, K1A 0K9; School of Epidemiology & Public Health, University of Ottawa, 600 Peter Morand Crescent, Ottawa, ON, Canada, K1G 5Z3
| | - Fateh Chebana
- Centre Eau Terre Environnement, Institut national de la recherche scientifique, 490 de la Couronne, Québec, QC, Canada, G1K 9A9
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Huang X, Zheng J, He Y, Zhou Q, Guang X, Diao K, Zhang N, Wu R, Huang J, Zhu B. Association between compound extreme weather event types and the spectrum of emergency ambulance calls: A metropolitan study in Shenzhen. ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH 2024; 263:120074. [PMID: 39341541 DOI: 10.1016/j.envres.2024.120074] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/14/2024] [Revised: 08/27/2024] [Accepted: 09/25/2024] [Indexed: 10/01/2024]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Compound extreme weather events, a combination of weather and climate drivers that lead to potentially high-impact events, are becoming more frequent with climate change. The number of emergency ambulance calls (EACs) is expected to increase during compound extreme weather events. However, the extent of these increases and the trends over time have not been fully assessed. METHODS We obtained 242,165 EAC records for Shenzhen from January 1, 2020, to June 30, 2023. A compound extreme weather event was defined as the occurrence of at least two extreme weather events on the same day. A distributed lag non-linear model was used to explore the exposure-response and lag-response relationships between various compound extreme weather events and all-cause and specific-cause EACs. FINDING Compound Cold & Strong Monsoon events had more significant impacts on EACs for all causes and endocrine diseases, with the cumulative relative risk (CRR) of 1.401 (95% confidence interval (CI):1.290-1.522) and 1.641 (95% CI:1.279-2.105). Compound Heat Wave & Lightning events had more obvious impacts on digestive disease and endocrine disease EACs, with the CRRs of 1.185 (95% CI:1.041-1.348) and 1.278 (95% CI:0.954-1.711), respectively. Compound Rainstorm & Lightning & Heat Wave events also led to increased RRs of EACs for all causes (CRR: 1.168, 95% CI:1.012-1.348), cardiovascular diseases (CRR: 1.221, 95% CI:0.917-1.624), digestive diseases (CRR: 1.395, 95% CI:1.130-1.721), and endocrine diseases (CRR: 1.972, 95% CI:1.235-3.149). There was no increased RR in the compound Rainstorm & Lightning events for all types of EACs. INTERPRETATION Our study explored the relationship between EACs and compound extreme weather events, suggesting that compound extreme weather events are associated with the acute onset of cardiovascular diseases, digestive diseases, and endocrine diseases, increasing the burden on emergency ambulance resources for both all causes and specific diseases mentioned above.
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Affiliation(s)
- Xin Huang
- School of Public Health and Emergency Management, Southern University of Science and Technology, Nanshan, Shenzhen, China
| | - Junyao Zheng
- School of International and Public Affairs, Shanghai Jiao Tong University, Shanghai, China; China Institute for Urban Governance, Shanghai Jiao Tong University, Shanghai, China
| | - Yifei He
- School of Public Health and Emergency Management, Southern University of Science and Technology, Nanshan, Shenzhen, China
| | - Qingqing Zhou
- School of Public Health and Emergency Management, Southern University of Science and Technology, Nanshan, Shenzhen, China
| | - Xu Guang
- School of Public Health and Emergency Management, Southern University of Science and Technology, Nanshan, Shenzhen, China
| | - Kaichuan Diao
- Shenzhen Health Development Research and Data Management Center, Futian, Shenzhen, China
| | - Ning Zhang
- Vanke School of Public Health, Tsinghua University, Haidian, Beijing, China
| | - Rengyu Wu
- Shenzhen Emergency Medical Center, ShenZhen, China.
| | - Jie Huang
- School of Public Health and Emergency Management, Southern University of Science and Technology, Nanshan, Shenzhen, China.
| | - Bin Zhu
- School of Public Health and Emergency Management, Southern University of Science and Technology, Nanshan, Shenzhen, China.
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Chu L, Wang R, Gross CP, Chen K, Ma X. Ambient Temperature and Stroke Risk Among Adults Aged 18-64 Years: A Case-Crossover Study. J Am Coll Cardiol 2024; 84:2327-2331. [PMID: 39453364 DOI: 10.1016/j.jacc.2024.08.058] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/07/2024] [Revised: 08/08/2024] [Accepted: 08/09/2024] [Indexed: 10/26/2024]
Affiliation(s)
- Lingzhi Chu
- Department of Environmental Health Sciences, Yale School of Public Health, New Haven, Connecticut, USA; Yale Center on Climate Change and Health, Yale School of Public Health, New Haven, Connecticut, USA
| | - Rong Wang
- Department of Chronic Disease Epidemiology, Yale School of Public Health, New Haven, Connecticut, USA; Cancer Outcomes, Public Policy, and Effectiveness Research (COPPER) Center, Yale University, New Haven, Connecticut, USA
| | - Cary P Gross
- Cancer Outcomes, Public Policy, and Effectiveness Research (COPPER) Center, Yale University, New Haven, Connecticut, USA; Department of Internal Medicine, Yale School of Medicine, New Haven, Connecticut, USA
| | - Kai Chen
- Department of Environmental Health Sciences, Yale School of Public Health, New Haven, Connecticut, USA; Yale Center on Climate Change and Health, Yale School of Public Health, New Haven, Connecticut, USA.
| | - Xiaomei Ma
- Department of Chronic Disease Epidemiology, Yale School of Public Health, New Haven, Connecticut, USA; Cancer Outcomes, Public Policy, and Effectiveness Research (COPPER) Center, Yale University, New Haven, Connecticut, USA.
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7
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Zhai G, Gao Z, Wang R. Cardiovascular admission risk attributable to hot apparent temperature: a study in a rural area of northwest China. INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF ENVIRONMENTAL HEALTH RESEARCH 2024; 34:4161-4176. [PMID: 38598234 DOI: 10.1080/09603123.2024.2338898] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/12/2023] [Accepted: 03/31/2024] [Indexed: 04/11/2024]
Abstract
Cardiovascular disease (CVD) is the leading cause of mortality worldwide, posing a significant threat to public health. Research on the relationship between CVD and temperature has primarily focused on developed urban settings, with limited studies conducted in rural regions with lower levels of development. Additionally, compared to relative risks, attributable risks can provide more information when assessing the risk of CVD hospitalizations associated with exposure to apparent temperature (AT). Apparent temperature is a composite temperature index that takes into account both meteorological factors and temperature, providing an objective reflection of human thermal sensation. Therefore, this study investigates the impact of AT on CVD hospitalization and quantifies the burden of CVD admission in the rural areas of China. We employed the distributed lag non-linear model (DLNM) to estimate the relationship between AT and the relative risk (RR) of CVD hospitalization. Finally, we used attributable risk methods to quantify this relationship further.
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Affiliation(s)
- Guangyu Zhai
- School of Economics and Management, Lanzhou University of Technology, Lanzhou, People's Republic of China
| | - Ziyao Gao
- School of Economics and Management, Lanzhou University of Technology, Lanzhou, People's Republic of China
| | - Rong Wang
- College of Resources and Environment, Lanzhou University, Lanzhou, People's Republic of China
- Department of Science and Technology, Lanzhou University of Technology, Lanzhou, People's Republic of China
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Hao T, Wang X, Han S, Yao Q, Ding J. Investigating the impact of weather on stroke in summer. INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF BIOMETEOROLOGY 2024; 68:2015-2027. [PMID: 38913080 DOI: 10.1007/s00484-024-02724-3] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/06/2024] [Revised: 05/15/2024] [Accepted: 06/10/2024] [Indexed: 06/25/2024]
Abstract
The objective of this study is to explore how changes in weather contribute to an increase in hospital admissions for stroke in summer. We collected 96,509 cases of stroke hospitalization data in Tianjin from 2016 to 2022 summer, along with corresponding meteorological data. The generalized additive model and distributed lag nonlinear model were used to analyze the lag and cumulative effects of temperature on stroke hospitalization. The research results show both the cold effect and the heat effect in summer would increase the risk of hospitalization. The effect of daily maximum temperature on stroke hospitalization was immediate when the temperature was higher, and delayed when the temperature was lower. However, the risk of stroke hospitalization increased more significantly with increasing temperature than with decreasing temperature. In the presence of one or more of the following three weather changes: sharp temperature increase, sharp temperature decrease, continuous high temperature, the daily number of stroke inpatients were higher than the average in the same period. 83% of the Inpatient-heavy events within the study period were caused by a combination of dramatic temperature changes and continuous high temperatures. In 48% of Inpatient-heavy events, continuous high temperature weather above 30℃ for at least 4 consecutive days were observed. And 55% of high temperature weather was accompanied by high humidity. When the daily relative humidity was greater than 70% and the daily maximum temperature was between 26 and 28℃ or more than 34℃, or the daily maximum temperature changes over 10℃ within 48 h, the number of daily inpatients was more than 1.2 times of the average daily inpatients. More attention should be paid to the combined effects of continuous high temperature and sudden temperature changes in summer stroke prevention.
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Affiliation(s)
- Tianyi Hao
- Tianjin Environmental Meteorological Center, Tianjin, 300074, China
- CMA-NKU Cooperative Laboratory for Atmospheric Environment-Health Research, Tianjin, 300074, China
- Tianjin Interdisciplinary Innovation Centre for Health and Meteorology, Tianjin, 300074, China
| | - Xiaojia Wang
- Tianjin Environmental Meteorological Center, Tianjin, 300074, China
- CMA-NKU Cooperative Laboratory for Atmospheric Environment-Health Research, Tianjin, 300074, China
- Tianjin Interdisciplinary Innovation Centre for Health and Meteorology, Tianjin, 300074, China
| | - Suqin Han
- Tianjin Environmental Meteorological Center, Tianjin, 300074, China.
- CMA-NKU Cooperative Laboratory for Atmospheric Environment-Health Research, Tianjin, 300074, China.
- Tianjin Interdisciplinary Innovation Centre for Health and Meteorology, Tianjin, 300074, China.
| | - Qing Yao
- Tianjin Environmental Meteorological Center, Tianjin, 300074, China
- CMA-NKU Cooperative Laboratory for Atmospheric Environment-Health Research, Tianjin, 300074, China
- Tianjin Interdisciplinary Innovation Centre for Health and Meteorology, Tianjin, 300074, China
| | - Jing Ding
- Tianjin Environmental Meteorological Center, Tianjin, 300074, China
- CMA-NKU Cooperative Laboratory for Atmospheric Environment-Health Research, Tianjin, 300074, China
- Tianjin Interdisciplinary Innovation Centre for Health and Meteorology, Tianjin, 300074, China
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Miao H, Bao W, Lou P, Chen P, Zhang P, Chang G, Hu X, Zhao X, Huang S, Yang Y, Wang Z, Chen M, Li C. Relationship between temperature and acute myocardial infarction: a time series study in Xuzhou, China, from 2018 to 2020. BMC Public Health 2024; 24:2645. [PMID: 39334078 PMCID: PMC11437649 DOI: 10.1186/s12889-024-20066-y] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/13/2022] [Accepted: 09/12/2024] [Indexed: 09/30/2024] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND It is widely known that the incidence rate and short-term mortality of acute myocardial infarctions (AMIs) are generally higher during the winter months. The goal of this study was to determine how the temperature of the environment influences fatal acute myocardial infarctions in Xuzhou. METHODS This observational study used the daily meteorological data and the data on the cause of death from acute myocardial infarction in Xuzhou from January 1, 2018, to December 31, 2020. After controlling meteorological variables and pollutants, the distributed nonlinear lag model (DLNM) was used to estimate the correlation between temperature and lethal AMI. RESULTS A total of 27,712 patients with fatal AMI were enrolled. 82.4% were over the age of 65, and 50.9% were men. Relative to the reference temperature (15 ℃), the 30-day cumulative RRs of the extremely cold temperature (- 2 ℃) for the general population, women, and people aged 65 years and above were 4.66 (95% CI: 1.76, 12.30), 15.29 (95% CI: 3.94, 59.36), and 7.13 (95% CI: 2.50, 20.35), respectively. The 30-day cumulative RRs of the cold temperature (2 ℃) for the general population, women, and people aged 65 years and above were 2.55 (1.37, 4.75), 12.78 (2.24, 5.36), and 3.15 (1.61, 6.16), respectively. No statistically significant association was observed between high temperatures and the risk of fatal AMI. The influence of the cold effect (1st and 10th) was at its peak on that day, and the entire cold effect persisted for 30 days. Temperature extremes had an effect on the lag patterns of distinct age and gender stratifications. CONCLUSION According to this study, the risk of fatal AMI increases significantly in cold weather but not in hot weather. Women above the age of 65 are particularly sensitive to severe weather events. The influence of frigid weather on public health should also be considered.
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Affiliation(s)
- Hao Miao
- Department of Cardiology, The Affiliated Hospital of Xuzhou Medical University, Xuzhou, China
| | - Wei Bao
- Department of Cardiology, The Affiliated Hospital of Xuzhou Medical University, Xuzhou, China
| | - Peian Lou
- Department of Control and Prevention of Chronic Non-communicable Diseases, Xuzhou Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Xuzhou, China
| | - Peipei Chen
- Department of Control and Prevention of Chronic Non-communicable Diseases, Xuzhou Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Xuzhou, China
| | - Pan Zhang
- Department of Control and Prevention of Chronic Non-communicable Diseases, Xuzhou Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Xuzhou, China
| | - Guiqiu Chang
- Department of Control and Prevention of Chronic Non-communicable Diseases, Xuzhou Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Xuzhou, China
| | - Xiaoqin Hu
- Department of Cardiology, The Affiliated Hospital of Xuzhou Medical University, Xuzhou, China
| | - Xinliang Zhao
- Department of Cardiology, The Affiliated Hospital of Xuzhou Medical University, Xuzhou, China
| | - Shuo Huang
- Department of Cardiology, The Affiliated Hospital of Xuzhou Medical University, Xuzhou, China
| | - Yu Yang
- Department of Cardiology, The Affiliated Hospital of Xuzhou Medical University, Xuzhou, China
| | - Zhirong Wang
- Department of Cardiology, The Affiliated Hospital of Xuzhou Medical University, Xuzhou, China
| | - Minglong Chen
- Department of Cardiology, The Affiliated Hospital of Xuzhou Medical University, Xuzhou, China
- Department of Cardiology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Nanjing Medical University, Xuzhou, China
| | - Chengzong Li
- Department of Cardiology, The Affiliated Hospital of Xuzhou Medical University, Xuzhou, China.
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Boudreault J, Lavigne É, Campagna C, Chebana F. Estimating the heat-related mortality and morbidity burden in the province of Quebec, Canada. ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH 2024; 257:119347. [PMID: 38844034 DOI: 10.1016/j.envres.2024.119347] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/27/2024] [Revised: 05/30/2024] [Accepted: 06/04/2024] [Indexed: 06/11/2024]
Abstract
BACKGROUND As climate change increases the frequency and intensity of extreme heat events, there is an urgent need to quantify the heat-related health burden. However, most past studies have focussed on a single health outcome (mainly mortality) or on specific heatwaves, thus providing limited knowledge of the total pressure heat exerts on health services. OBJECTIVES This study aims to quantify the heat-related mortality and morbidity burden for five different health outcomes including all-cause mortality, hospitalizations, emergency department (ED) visits, ambulance transports and calls to a health hotline, using the province of Quebec (Canada) as a case study. METHODS A two-step statistical analysis was employed to estimate regional heat-health relationships using Distributed Lag Non-Linear Models (DLNM) and pooled estimates using a multivariate meta-regression. Heat burden was quantified by attributable fraction (AF) and attributable number (AN) for two temperature ranges: all heat (above the minimum mortality/morbidity temperature) and extreme heat (above the 95th percentile of temperature). RESULTS Higher temperatures were associated with greater risk ratios for all health outcomes studied, but at different levels. Significant AF ranging from 2 to 3% for the all heat effect and 0.4-1.0% for extreme heat were found for all health outcomes, except for hospitalizations that had an AF of 0.1% for both heat exposures. The estimated burden of all heat (and extreme heat) every summer across the province was 470 (200) deaths, 225 (170) hospitalizations, 36 000 (6 200) ED visits, 7 200 (1 500) ambulance transports and 15 000 (3 300) calls to a health hotline, all figures significant. DISCUSSION This new knowledge on the total heat load will help public health authorities to target appropriate actions to reduce its burden now and in the future. The proposed state-of-the-art framework can easily be applied to other regions also experiencing the adverse effects of extreme heat.
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Affiliation(s)
- Jérémie Boudreault
- Centre Eau Terre Environnement, Institut national de la recherche scientifique (INRS), 490 de la Couronne, Québec, QC, Canada, G1K 9A9; Direction de la santé environnementale, au travail et de la toxicologie, Institut national de santé publique du Québec (INSPQ), 945 Av. Wolfe, Québec, QC, Canada, G1V 5B3.
| | - Éric Lavigne
- Environmental Health Science and Research Bureau, Health Canada, 251 Sir Frederick Banting Driveway, Ottawa, ON, Canada, K1A 0K9; School of Epidemiology & Public Health, University of Ottawa, 600 Peter Morand Crescent, Ottawa, ON, Canada, G1K 5Z3
| | - Céline Campagna
- Centre Eau Terre Environnement, Institut national de la recherche scientifique (INRS), 490 de la Couronne, Québec, QC, Canada, G1K 9A9; Direction de la santé environnementale, au travail et de la toxicologie, Institut national de santé publique du Québec (INSPQ), 945 Av. Wolfe, Québec, QC, Canada, G1V 5B3; Department of social and preventive medicine, Laval University, 1050 Av. de la Médecine, Québec, QC, Canada, G1V 0A6
| | - Fateh Chebana
- Centre Eau Terre Environnement, Institut national de la recherche scientifique (INRS), 490 de la Couronne, Québec, QC, Canada, G1K 9A9
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Moreira RP, da Silva CBC, de Sousa TC, Leitão FLBF, Morais HCC, de Oliveira ASS, Duarte-Clíments G, Gómez MBS, Cavalcante TF, Costa AC. The Influence of Climate, Atmospheric Pollution, and Natural Disasters on Cardiovascular Diseases and Diabetes Mellitus in Drylands: A Scoping Review. Public Health Rev 2024; 45:1607300. [PMID: 39176255 PMCID: PMC11338784 DOI: 10.3389/phrs.2024.1607300] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/20/2024] [Accepted: 07/26/2024] [Indexed: 08/24/2024] Open
Abstract
Objectives In the face of escalating global aridification, this study examines the complex relationship between climate variability, air pollution, natural disasters, and the prevalence of cardiovascular disease (CVD) and diabetes mellitus (DM) in arid regions. Methods The study conducted a scoping review of multiple databases using JBI guidelines and included 74 studies. Results The results show that acute myocardial infarction (n = 20) and stroke (n = 13) are the primary CVDs affected by these factors, particularly affecting older adults (n = 34) and persons with hypertension (n = 3). Elevated air temperature and heat waves emerge as critical risk factors for CVD, exacerbating various cardiovascular mechanisms. Atmospheric pollutants and natural disasters increase this risk. Indirect effects of disasters amplify risk factors such as socioeconomic vulnerability (n = 4), inadequate medical care (n = 3), stress (n = 3), and poor diet (n = 2), increasing CVD and DM risk. Conclusion The study underscores the need for nations to adhere to the Paris Agreement, advocating for reduced air pollutants, resilient environments, and collaborative, multidisciplinary research to develop targeted health interventions to mitigate the adverse effects of climate, pollution, and natural disasters.
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Affiliation(s)
- Rafaella Pessoa Moreira
- Institute of Health Sciences, University of International Integration of Afro-Brazilian Lusophony, Redenção, Brazil
| | - Clara Beatriz Costa da Silva
- Institute of Health Sciences, University of International Integration of Afro-Brazilian Lusophony, Redenção, Brazil
| | - Tainara Chagas de Sousa
- Institute of Health Sciences, University of International Integration of Afro-Brazilian Lusophony, Redenção, Brazil
| | | | | | | | - Gonzalo Duarte-Clíments
- School of Nursing, University of La Laguna, San Cristóbal de La Laguna, Spain
- School of Nursing, Valencian International University, Castelló de la Plana, Spain
| | - María Begoña Sánchez Gómez
- School of Nursing, University of La Laguna, San Cristóbal de La Laguna, Spain
- Department of Nursing, UCAM Catholic University of Murcia, Guadalupe, Spain
| | - Tahissa Frota Cavalcante
- Institute of Health Sciences, University of International Integration of Afro-Brazilian Lusophony, Redenção, Brazil
| | - Alexandre Cunha Costa
- Institute of Engineering and Sustainable Development, University of International Integration of Afro-Brazilian Lusophony, Redenção, Brazil
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Achebak H, Rey G, Lloyd SJ, Quijal-Zamorano M, Méndez-Turrubiates RF, Ballester J. Ambient temperature and risk of cardiovascular and respiratory adverse health outcomes: a nationwide cross-sectional study from Spain. Eur J Prev Cardiol 2024; 31:1080-1089. [PMID: 38364198 DOI: 10.1093/eurjpc/zwae021] [Citation(s) in RCA: 10] [Impact Index Per Article: 10.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/02/2023] [Revised: 11/09/2023] [Accepted: 01/08/2024] [Indexed: 02/18/2024]
Abstract
AIMS We assessed the association of temperature and temperature variability with cause-specific emergency hospitalizations and mortality from cardiovascular and respiratory diseases in Spain, as well as the effect modification of this association by individual and contextual factors. METHODS AND RESULTS We collected data on health (hospital admissions and mortality), weather (temperature and relative humidity), and relevant contextual indicators for 48 Spanish provinces during 2004-2019. The statistical analysis was separately performed for the summer (June-September) and winter (December-March) seasons. We first applied a generalized linear regression model with quasi-Poisson distribution to estimate daily province-specific temperature-health associations, and then we fitted multilevel multivariate meta-regression models to the evaluate effect modification of the contextual characteristics on heat- and cold-related risks. High temperature increased the risk of mortality across all cardiovascular and respiratory diseases, with the strongest effect for hypertension (relative risk (RR) at 99th temperature percentile vs. optimum temperature: 1.510 [95% empirical confidence interval {eCI} 1.251 to 1.821]), heart failure (1.528 [1.353 to 1.725]), and pneumonia (2.224 [1.685 to 2.936]). Heat also had an impact on all respiratory hospitalization causes (except asthma), with similar risks between pneumonia (1.288 [1.240 to 1.339]), acute bronchitis and bronchiolitis (1.307 [1.219 to 1.402]), and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (1.260 [1.158 to 1.372]). We generally found significant risks related to low temperature for all cardiovascular and respiratory causes, with heart failure (RR at 1st temperature percentile vs. optimum temperature: 1.537 [1.329 to 1.779]) and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (1.885 [1.646 to 2.159]) exhibiting the greatest risk for hospitalization, and acute myocardial infarction (1.860 [1.546 to 2.238]) and pneumonia (1.734 [1.219 to 2.468]) for mortality. Women and the elderly were more vulnerable to heat, while people with secondary education were less susceptible to cold compared to those not achieving this educational stage. Results from meta-regression showed that increasing heating access to the highest current provincial value (i.e. 95.6%) could reduce deaths due to cold by 59.5% (57.2 to 63.5). CONCLUSION Exposure to low and high temperatures was associated with a greater risk of morbidity and mortality from multiple cardiovascular and respiratory conditions, and heating was the most effective societal adaptive measure to reduce cold-related mortality.
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Affiliation(s)
- Hicham Achebak
- Inserm, France Cohortes, 48-50 rue Albert, 75013 Paris, France
- ISGlobal, Doctor Aiguader 88, 08003 Barcelona, Spain
| | - Grégoire Rey
- Inserm, France Cohortes, 48-50 rue Albert, 75013 Paris, France
| | - Simon J Lloyd
- ISGlobal, Doctor Aiguader 88, 08003 Barcelona, Spain
| | - Marcos Quijal-Zamorano
- ISGlobal, Doctor Aiguader 88, 08003 Barcelona, Spain
- Universitat Pompeu Fabra (UPF), Doctor Aiguader 80, 08003 Barcelona, Spain
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13
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Lecker F, Tiemann K, Lewalter T, Jilek C. Influence of Meteorological Parameters on the Prevalence of TEE Detected Left Atrial Appendage Thrombi. Diseases 2024; 12:151. [PMID: 39057122 PMCID: PMC11275650 DOI: 10.3390/diseases12070151] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/07/2024] [Revised: 07/01/2024] [Accepted: 07/05/2024] [Indexed: 07/28/2024] Open
Abstract
(1) Background: Meteorological factors seem to exert various effects on human health, influencing the occurrence of diseases such as thromboembolic events and strokes. Low atmospheric pressure in summer may be associated with an increased likelihood of ischemic stroke. The aim of this study was to investigate the potential impact of meteorological conditions on left atrial appendage (LAA) thrombus formation. (2) Methods: A total of 131 patients were included, diagnosed with a first instance of thrombus via 3D transesophageal echocardiography (TEE) between February 2009 and February 2019. Months with frequent thrombus diagnoses of at least 10 thrombi per month were categorized as frequent months (F-months), while months with fewer than 10 thrombus diagnoses per month were labelled as non-frequent months (N-months). The analysis focused on differences in meteorological parameters in two-week and four-week periods before the diagnosis. (3) Results: F-months were predominantly observed in spring and summer (April, May, June, and July), as well as in February and November. During F-months, a higher absolute temperature difference, lower relative humidity, longer daily sunshine duration, and greater wind speed maximum were observed in the two- and four-week periods rather than for N-months. In the two-week period, average temperatures, equivalent temperatures, and temperature maxima were also significantly higher during F-months than N-months. (4) Conclusion: Thrombi in the left atrial appendage are more prevalent during periods characterized by high absolute temperature differences, low relative humidity, and long daily sunshine duration.
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Affiliation(s)
- Franziska Lecker
- Peter-Osypka-Herzzentrum München, Internistisches Klinikum München Süd, 81379 Munich, Germany
- Medical Graduate Center, School of Medicine, Technical University of Munich, 81675 Munich, Germany
| | - Klaus Tiemann
- Peter-Osypka-Herzzentrum München, Internistisches Klinikum München Süd, 81379 Munich, Germany
- Department of Internal Medicine I, University Hospital Rechts der Isar, TUM School of Medicine and Health, Technical University of Munich, 81675 Munich, Germany
| | - Thorsten Lewalter
- Peter-Osypka-Herzzentrum München, Internistisches Klinikum München Süd, 81379 Munich, Germany
| | - Clemens Jilek
- Peter-Osypka-Herzzentrum München, Internistisches Klinikum München Süd, 81379 Munich, Germany
- Department of Internal Medicine I, University Hospital Rechts der Isar, TUM School of Medicine and Health, Technical University of Munich, 81675 Munich, Germany
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14
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Barry H, Iglesies-Grau J, Chaseling GK, Paul J, Gosselin C, D'Oliviera-Sousa C, Juneau M, Harel F, Kaiser D, Pelletier-Galarneau M, Gagnon D. The Effect of Heat Exposure on Myocardial Blood Flow and Cardiovascular Function. Ann Intern Med 2024; 177:901-910. [PMID: 38857500 DOI: 10.7326/m24-3504] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 06/12/2024] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Heat extremes are associated with greater risk for cardiovascular death. The pathophysiologic mechanisms mediating this association are unknown. OBJECTIVE To quantify the myocardial blood flow (MBF) requirements of heat exposure. DESIGN Experimental study. (ClinicalTrials.gov: NCT04549974). SETTING Laboratory-based. PARTICIPANTS 61 participants, comprising 20 healthy young adults (mean age, 28 years), 21 healthy older adults (mean age, 67 years), and 20 older adults with coronary artery disease (CAD) (mean age, 70 years). INTERVENTION Participants were heated until their core temperature increased 1.5 °C; MBF was measured before heat exposure and at every increase of 0.5 °C in core temperature. MEASUREMENTS The primary outcome was MBF measured by positron emission tomography-computed tomography. Secondary outcomes included heart rate, blood pressure, and body weight change. RESULTS At a core temperature increase of 1.5 °C, MBF increased in healthy young adults (change, 0.8 mL/min/g [95% CI, 0.5 to 1.0 mL/min/g]), healthy older adults (change, 0.7 mL/min/g [CI, 0.5 to 0.9 mL/min/g]), and older adults with CAD (change, 0.6 mL/min/g [CI, 0.3 to 0.8 mL/min/g]). This represented a 2.08-fold (CI, 1.75- to 2.41-fold), 1.79-fold (CI, 1.59- to 1.98-fold), and 1.64-fold (CI, 1.41- to 1.87-fold) change, respectively, from preexposure values. Imaging evidence of asymptomatic heat-induced myocardial ischemia was seen in 7 adults with CAD (35%) in post hoc analyses. LIMITATIONS In this laboratory-based study, heating was limited to about 100 minutes and participants were restricted in movement and fluid intake. Participants refrained from strenuous exercise and smoking; stopped alcohol and caffeine intake; and withheld β-blockers, calcium-channel blockers, and nitroglycerin before heating. CONCLUSION Heat exposure that increases core temperature by 1.5 °C nearly doubles MBF. Changes in MBF did not differ by age or presence of CAD, but some older adults with CAD may experience asymptomatic myocardial ischemia. PRIMARY FUNDING SOURCE Canadian Institutes of Health Research.
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Affiliation(s)
- Hadiatou Barry
- Montreal Heart Institute and Department of Pharmacology and Physiology, Faculty of Medicine, Université de Montréal, Montreal, Quebec, Canada (H.B.)
| | - Josep Iglesies-Grau
- Montreal Heart Institute and Department of Medicine, Université de Montréal, Montreal, Quebec, Canada (J.I.)
| | - Georgia K Chaseling
- Engagement and Co-Design Research Hub, School of Health Sciences, Faculty of Medicine and Health, University of Sydney, Sydney, New South Wales, Australia (G.K.C.)
| | - Jade Paul
- Montreal Heart Institute, Montreal, Quebec, Canada (J.P., C.G., M.J.)
| | - Camila Gosselin
- Montreal Heart Institute, Montreal, Quebec, Canada (J.P., C.G., M.J.)
| | - Caroline D'Oliviera-Sousa
- Department of Medical Imaging, Montreal Heart Institute, Montreal, Quebec, Canada (C.D., F.H., M.P.)
| | - Martin Juneau
- Montreal Heart Institute, Montreal, Quebec, Canada (J.P., C.G., M.J.)
| | - Francois Harel
- Department of Medical Imaging, Montreal Heart Institute, Montreal, Quebec, Canada (C.D., F.H., M.P.)
| | - David Kaiser
- Direction de Santé Publique du Centre Intégré Universitaire de Santé et de Services Sociaux du Centre-Sud-de-l'Île-de-Montréal, Montreal, Quebec, Canada (D.K.)
| | | | - Daniel Gagnon
- Montreal Heart Institute and School of Kinesiology and Exercise Science, Faculty of Medicine, Université de Montréal, Montreal, Quebec, Canada (D.G.)
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15
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Sisodiya SM, Gulcebi MI, Fortunato F, Mills JD, Haynes E, Bramon E, Chadwick P, Ciccarelli O, David AS, De Meyer K, Fox NC, Davan Wetton J, Koltzenburg M, Kullmann DM, Kurian MA, Manji H, Maslin MA, Matharu M, Montgomery H, Romanello M, Werring DJ, Zhang L, Friston KJ, Hanna MG. Climate change and disorders of the nervous system. Lancet Neurol 2024; 23:636-648. [PMID: 38760101 DOI: 10.1016/s1474-4422(24)00087-5] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/17/2023] [Revised: 02/12/2024] [Accepted: 02/27/2024] [Indexed: 05/19/2024]
Abstract
Anthropogenic climate change is affecting people's health, including those with neurological and psychiatric diseases. Currently, making inferences about the effect of climate change on neurological and psychiatric diseases is challenging because of an overall sparsity of data, differing study methods, paucity of detail regarding disease subtypes, little consideration of the effect of individual and population genetics, and widely differing geographical locations with the potential for regional influences. However, evidence suggests that the incidence, prevalence, and severity of many nervous system conditions (eg, stroke, neurological infections, and some mental health disorders) can be affected by climate change. The data show broad and complex adverse effects, especially of temperature extremes to which people are unaccustomed and wide diurnal temperature fluctuations. Protective measures might be possible through local forecasting. Few studies project the future effects of climate change on brain health, hindering policy developments. Robust studies on the threats from changing climate for people who have, or are at risk of developing, disorders of the nervous system are urgently needed.
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Affiliation(s)
- Sanjay M Sisodiya
- Department of Clinical and Experimental Epilepsy, UCL Queen Square Institute of Neurology, University College London, London, UK; Chalfont Centre for Epilepsy, Chalfont-St-Peter, UK.
| | - Medine I Gulcebi
- Department of Clinical and Experimental Epilepsy, UCL Queen Square Institute of Neurology, University College London, London, UK; Chalfont Centre for Epilepsy, Chalfont-St-Peter, UK
| | - Francesco Fortunato
- Department of Clinical and Experimental Epilepsy, UCL Queen Square Institute of Neurology, University College London, London, UK; Chalfont Centre for Epilepsy, Chalfont-St-Peter, UK
| | - James D Mills
- Department of Clinical and Experimental Epilepsy, UCL Queen Square Institute of Neurology, University College London, London, UK; Chalfont Centre for Epilepsy, Chalfont-St-Peter, UK
| | - Ethan Haynes
- Department of Clinical and Experimental Epilepsy, UCL Queen Square Institute of Neurology, University College London, London, UK; Chalfont Centre for Epilepsy, Chalfont-St-Peter, UK
| | - Elvira Bramon
- Division of Psychiatry, University College London, London, UK
| | - Paul Chadwick
- Centre for Behaviour Change, University College London, London, UK
| | - Olga Ciccarelli
- Department of Neuroinflammation, UCL Queen Square Institute of Neurology, University College London, London, UK; National Institute of Health Research University College London Hospitals Biomedical Research Centre, London, UK
| | - Anthony S David
- Division of Psychiatry, University College London, London, UK
| | - Kris De Meyer
- UCL Climate Action Unit, University College London, London, UK
| | - Nick C Fox
- Department of Neurodegenerative Disease, UCL Queen Square Institute of Neurology, University College London, London, UK; Department of the UK Dementia Research Institute, UCL Queen Square Institute of Neurology, University College London, London, UK
| | | | - Martin Koltzenburg
- Department of Clinical and Movement Neuroscience, UCL Queen Square Institute of Neurology, University College London, London, UK
| | - Dimitri M Kullmann
- Department of Clinical and Experimental Epilepsy, UCL Queen Square Institute of Neurology, University College London, London, UK
| | - Manju A Kurian
- Department of Developmental Neurosciences, Zayed Centre for Research into Rare Disease in Children, UCL Great Ormond Street Institute of Child Health, London, UK
| | - Hadi Manji
- National Hospital for Neurology and Neurosurgery, London, UK
| | - Mark A Maslin
- Department of Geography, University College London, London, UK; Natural History Museum of Denmark, University of Copenhagen, Copenhagen, Denmark
| | - Manjit Matharu
- Headache and Facial Pain Group, UCL Queen Square Institute of Neurology, UCL and the National Hospital for Neurology and Neurosurgery, London, UK
| | - Hugh Montgomery
- Department of Medicine, University College London, London, UK
| | - Marina Romanello
- Institute for Global Health, University College London, London, UK
| | - David J Werring
- Stroke Research Centre, Department of Brain Repair and Rehabilitation, UCL Queen Square Institute of Neurology, University College London, London, UK
| | - Lisa Zhang
- Centre for Behaviour Change, University College London, London, UK
| | - Karl J Friston
- Wellcome Centre for Human Neuroimaging, UCL Queen Square Institute of Neurology, University College London, London, UK
| | - Michael G Hanna
- Centre for Neuromuscular Diseases, Department of Neuromuscular Diseases, UCL Queen Square Institute of Neurology, University College London, London, UK; MRC International Centre for Genomic Medicine in Neuromuscular Diseases, Department of Neuromuscular Diseases, UCL Queen Square Institute of Neurology, University College London, London, UK
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16
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Urbanowicz TK, Skotak K, Lesiak M, Olasińska-Wiśniewska A, Filipiak KJ, Bratkowski J, Szczepański K, Grodecki K, Tykarski A, Jemielity M. Coronary artery culprit lesions progression and ambient temperature exposure - personalised analysis. ADVANCES IN INTERVENTIONAL CARDIOLOGY 2024; 20:139-147. [PMID: 39022713 PMCID: PMC11249875 DOI: 10.5114/aic.2024.139815] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/17/2024] [Accepted: 04/02/2024] [Indexed: 07/20/2024] Open
Abstract
Introduction Global warming is claimed to be an important cardiovascular disease risk factor. The air pollution and ambient temperatures are believed to have a significant influence on increased morbidity and premature deaths. Aim To point out possible causative factors for coronary angiography progression in patients presenting with chronic coronary syndrome. Material and methods There were 66 patients (41 [62%] men and 25 [38%] women) with a median age of 71.5 (62-76) years, who underwent repeated coronary angiographies due to chronic coronary syndrome within a median time interval of 145 (96-296) days. In 18 (27%) patients coronary artery lesion progression was observed despite optimal pharmacotherapy. The demographical, clinical, and personalised epidemiological factors including air pollution particles and ambient temperature exposure were taken into account in the analysis. Results In the multivariate logistic regression model with backward stepwise elimination method, tropical nights (p = 0.047) and mean daily temperatures (p = 0.043) were revealed as predictors of coronary lesion progression > 30%. The analysis of seasonal temperature changes showed significant differences related to minimal winter temperatures between both groups (p = 0.018). Conclusions Coronary artery lesion progression can be related to either high values of daily temperatures or to low ambient temperature. The dichotomous characteristics of temperature exposure to atherosclerosis progression suggest a detrimental role of environmental extremities on human health.
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Affiliation(s)
- Tomasz Kamil Urbanowicz
- Cardiac Surgery and Transplantology Department, Poznan University of Medical Sciences, Poznan, Poland
| | - Krzysztof Skotak
- Institute of Environmental Protection – National Research Institute, Warsaw, Poland
| | - Michał Lesiak
- 1 Cardiology Department, Poznan University of Medical Sciences, Poznan, Poland
| | - Anna Olasińska-Wiśniewska
- Cardiac Surgery and Transplantology Department, Poznan University of Medical Sciences, Poznan, Poland
| | - Krzysztof J. Filipiak
- Institute of Clinical Science, Maria Sklodowska-Curie Medical Academy, Warsaw, Poland
| | - Jakub Bratkowski
- Institute of Environmental Protection – National Research Institute, Warsaw, Poland
| | - Krystian Szczepański
- Institute of Environmental Protection – National Research Institute, Warsaw, Poland
| | - Kajetan Grodecki
- Department of Cardiology, Medical University of Warsaw, Warsaw, Poland
| | - Andrzej Tykarski
- Department of Hypertensiology, Angiology, and Internal Medicine, Poznan University of Medical Sciences, Poznan, Poland
| | - Marek Jemielity
- Cardiac Surgery and Transplantology Department, Poznan University of Medical Sciences, Poznan, Poland
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17
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Ahmed Z, Chaudhary F, Agrawal DK. Epidemiology, Mechanisms and Prevention in the Etiology of Environmental Factor-Induced Cardiovascular Diseases. JOURNAL OF ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCE AND PUBLIC HEALTH 2024; 8:59-69. [PMID: 38911615 PMCID: PMC11192553 DOI: 10.26502/jesph.96120206] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 06/25/2024]
Abstract
Cardiovascular diseases are a significant cause of mortality worldwide, and their prevalence can be amplified by a range of environmental factors. This review article critically evaluated the published information on the epidemiology and pathophysiological mechanisms of various environmental factors such as air indoor and outdoor air pollution, water pollution, climate change, and soil pollution. Preventative measures to mitigate these effects including public health responses are discussed with gaps in our knowledge for future studies.
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Affiliation(s)
- Zubair Ahmed
- Department of Translational Research, College of Osteopathic Medicine of the Pacific, Western University of Health Sciences, Pomona CA 91766, USA
| | - Fihr Chaudhary
- Department of Translational Research, College of Osteopathic Medicine of the Pacific, Western University of Health Sciences, Pomona CA 91766, USA
| | - Devendra K Agrawal
- Department of Translational Research, College of Osteopathic Medicine of the Pacific, Western University of Health Sciences, Pomona CA 91766, USA
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18
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Achebak H, Rey G, Chen ZY, Lloyd SJ, Quijal-Zamorano M, Méndez-Turrubiates RF, Ballester J. Heat Exposure and Cause-Specific Hospital Admissions in Spain: A Nationwide Cross-Sectional Study. ENVIRONMENTAL HEALTH PERSPECTIVES 2024; 132:57009. [PMID: 38775486 PMCID: PMC11110655 DOI: 10.1289/ehp13254] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/02/2023] [Revised: 03/20/2024] [Accepted: 04/02/2024] [Indexed: 05/25/2024]
Abstract
BACKGROUND More frequent and intense exposure to extreme heat conditions poses a serious threat to public health. However, evidence on the association between heat and specific diagnoses of morbidity is still limited. We aimed to comprehensively assess the short-term association between cause-specific hospital admissions and high temperature, including the added effect of temperature variability and heat waves and the effect modification by humidity and air pollution. METHODS We used data on cause-specific hospital admissions, weather (i.e., temperature and relative humidity), and air pollution [i.e., fine particulate matter with aerodynamic diameter ≤ 2.5 μ m (PM 2.5 ), fine particulate matter with aerodynamic diameter ≤ 10 μ m (PM 10 ), NO 2 , and ozone (O 3 )] for 48 provinces in mainland Spain and the Balearic Islands between 1 January 2006 and 31 December 2019. The statistical analysis was performed for the summer season (June-September) and consisted of two steps. We first applied quasi-Poisson generalized linear regression models in combination with distributed lag nonlinear models (DLNM) to estimate province-specific temperature-morbidity associations, which were then pooled through multilevel univariate/multivariate random-effect meta-analysis. RESULTS High temperature had a generalized impact on cause-specific hospitalizations, while the added effect of temperature variability [i.e., diurnal temperature range (DTR)] and heat waves was limited to a reduced number of diagnoses. The strongest impact of heat was observed for metabolic disorders and obesity [relative risk (RR) = 1.978; 95% empirical confidence interval (eCI): 1.772, 2.208], followed by renal failure (1.777; 95% eCI: 1.629, 1.939), urinary tract infection (1.746; 95% eCI: 1.578, 1.933), sepsis (1.543; 95% eCI: 1.387, 1.718), urolithiasis (1.490; 95% eCI: 1.338, 1.658), and poisoning by drugs and nonmedicinal substances (1.470; 95% eCI: 1.298, 1.665). We also found differences by sex (depending on the diagnosis of hospitalization) and age (very young children and the elderly were more at risk). Humidity played a role in the association of heat with hospitalizations from acute bronchitis and bronchiolitis and diseases of the muscular system and connective tissue, which were higher in dry days. Moreover, heat-related effects were exacerbated on high pollution days for metabolic disorders and obesity (PM 2.5 ) and diabetes (PM 10 , O 3 ). DISCUSSION Short-term exposure to heat was found to be associated with new diagnoses (e.g., metabolic diseases and obesity, blood diseases, acute bronchitis and bronchiolitis, muscular and connective tissue diseases, poisoning by drugs and nonmedicinal substances, complications of surgical and medical care, and symptoms, signs, and ill-defined conditions) and previously identified diagnoses of hospital admissions. The characterization of the vulnerability to heat can help improve clinical and public health practices to reduce the health risks posed by a warming planet. https://doi.org/10.1289/EHP13254.
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Affiliation(s)
- Hicham Achebak
- Inserm, France Cohortes, Paris, France
- ISGlobal, Barcelona, Spain
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19
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Bai X, Ming X, Zhao M, Zhou L. Explore the effect of apparent temperature and air pollutants on the admission rate of acute myocardial infarction in Chongqing, China: a time-series study. BMJ Open 2024; 14:e084376. [PMID: 38658006 PMCID: PMC11043748 DOI: 10.1136/bmjopen-2024-084376] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/17/2024] [Accepted: 04/02/2024] [Indexed: 04/26/2024] Open
Abstract
OBJECTIVE Limited research has been conducted on the correlation between apparent temperature and acute myocardial infarction (AMI), as well as the potential impact of air pollutants in modifying this relationship. The objective of this study is to investigate the lagged effect of apparent temperature on AMI and assess the effect modification of environmental pollutants on this association. DESIGN A time-series study. SETTING AND PARTICIPANTS The data for this study were obtained from the Academy of Medical Data Science at Chongqing Medical University, covering daily hospitalisations for AMI between 1 January 2015 and 31 December 2016. Meteorological and air pollutant data were provided by China's National Meteorological Information Centre. OUTCOME MEASURES We used a combined approach of quasi-Poisson generalised linear model and distributed lag non-linear model to thoroughly analyse the relationships. Additionally, we employed a generalised additive model to investigate the interaction between air pollutants and apparent temperature on the effect of AMI. RESULT A total of 872 patients admitted to hospital with AMI were studied based on the median apparent temperature (20.43°C) in Chongqing. Low apparent temperature (10th, 7.19℃) has obvious lagged effect on acute myocardial infarction, first appearing on the 8th day (risk ratio (RR) 1.081, 95% CI 1.010 to 1.158) and the greatest risk on the 11th day (RR 1.094, 95% CI 1.037 to 1.153). No lagged effect was observed at high apparent temperature. In subgroup analysis, women and individuals aged 75 and above were at high risk. The interaction analysis indicates that there exist significant interactions between PM2.5 and high apparent temperature, as well as nitrogen dioxide (NO2) and low apparent temperature. CONCLUSION The occurrence of decreased apparent temperature levels was discovered to be linked with a heightened relative risk of hospitalisations for AMI. PM2.5 and NO2 have an effect modification on the association between apparent temperature and admission rate of AMI.
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Affiliation(s)
- Xiuyuan Bai
- School of Public Health, Chongqing Medical University, Chongqing, China
| | - Xin Ming
- Chongqing Health Center for Women and Children, Chongqing, China
- Department of quality management section, Women and Children's Hospital of Chongqing Medical University, Chongqing, China
- Department of Epidemiology, School of Public Health, Chongqing Medical University, Chongqing, China
| | - Mingming Zhao
- Department of Epidemiology, School of Public Health, Chongqing Medical University, Chongqing, China
| | - Li Zhou
- Department of Epidemiology, School of Public Health, Chongqing Medical University, Chongqing, China
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20
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De Vita A, Belmusto A, Di Perna F, Tremamunno S, De Matteis G, Franceschi F, Covino M. The Impact of Climate Change and Extreme Weather Conditions on Cardiovascular Health and Acute Cardiovascular Diseases. J Clin Med 2024; 13:759. [PMID: 38337453 PMCID: PMC10856578 DOI: 10.3390/jcm13030759] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/05/2023] [Revised: 01/12/2024] [Accepted: 01/24/2024] [Indexed: 02/12/2024] Open
Abstract
Climate change is widely recognized as one of the most significant challenges facing our planet and human civilization. Human activities such as the burning of fossil fuels, deforestation, and industrial processes release greenhouse gases into the atmosphere, leading to a warming of the Earth's climate. The relationship between climate change and cardiovascular (CV) health, mediated by air pollution and increased ambient temperatures, is complex and very heterogeneous. The main mechanisms underlying the pathogenesis of CV disease at extreme temperatures involve several regulatory pathways, including temperature-sympathetic reactivity, the cold-activated renin-angiotensin system, dehydration, extreme temperature-induced electrolyte imbalances, and heat stroke-induced systemic inflammatory responses. The interplay of these mechanisms may vary based on individual factors, environmental conditions, and an overall health background. The net outcome is a significant increase in CV mortality and a higher incidence of hypertension, type II diabetes mellitus, acute myocardial infarction (AMI), heart failure, and cardiac arrhythmias. Patients with pre-existing CV disorders may be more vulnerable to the effects of global warming and extreme temperatures. There is an urgent need for a comprehensive intervention that spans from the individual level to a systemic or global approach to effectively address this existential problem. Future programs aimed at reducing CV and environmental burdens should require cross-disciplinary collaboration involving physicians, researchers, public health workers, political scientists, legislators, and national leaders to mitigate the effects of climate change.
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Affiliation(s)
- Antonio De Vita
- Università Cattolica del Cattolica del Sacro Cuore, 00168 Roma, Italy; (A.B.); (F.D.P.); (F.F.); (M.C.)
- Department of Cardiovascular Sciences, Fondazione Policlinico Universitario A. Gemelli, IRCCS, 00168 Roma, Italy;
| | - Antonietta Belmusto
- Università Cattolica del Cattolica del Sacro Cuore, 00168 Roma, Italy; (A.B.); (F.D.P.); (F.F.); (M.C.)
| | - Federico Di Perna
- Università Cattolica del Cattolica del Sacro Cuore, 00168 Roma, Italy; (A.B.); (F.D.P.); (F.F.); (M.C.)
| | - Saverio Tremamunno
- Department of Cardiovascular Sciences, Fondazione Policlinico Universitario A. Gemelli, IRCCS, 00168 Roma, Italy;
| | - Giuseppe De Matteis
- Department of Internal Medicine and Gastroenterology, Fondazione Policlinico Universitario A. Gemelli, IRCCS, 00168 Roma, Italy;
| | - Francesco Franceschi
- Università Cattolica del Cattolica del Sacro Cuore, 00168 Roma, Italy; (A.B.); (F.D.P.); (F.F.); (M.C.)
- Emergency Medicine, Fondazione Policlinico Universitario A. Gemelli, IRCCS, 00168 Roma, Italy
| | - Marcello Covino
- Università Cattolica del Cattolica del Sacro Cuore, 00168 Roma, Italy; (A.B.); (F.D.P.); (F.F.); (M.C.)
- Emergency Medicine, Fondazione Policlinico Universitario A. Gemelli, IRCCS, 00168 Roma, Italy
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21
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Danh N, Ho C, Ford E, Zhang J, Hong H, Reid C, Xu D. Association between ambient temperature and stroke risk in high-risk populations: a systematic review. Front Neurol 2024; 14:1323224. [PMID: 38259643 PMCID: PMC10801432 DOI: 10.3389/fneur.2023.1323224] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/17/2023] [Accepted: 12/19/2023] [Indexed: 01/24/2024] Open
Abstract
Background Significant associations exist between ambient temperature and stroke risk, but results in high cardiovascular risk populations are lacking. This systemic review summarised current evidence on ambient temperature and overall stroke risk in a high cardiovascular risk population. Methods We performed a systematic literature search across MEDLINE, Embase, PsycINFO, CINAHL, Web of Science, and GEOBASE, from inception to 3 July 2023, to identify all population-based studies. Eligible studies screened by independent reviewers recruited individuals aged 18 years and over, where minimum 80% of participants had a high cerebral vascular disease (CVD) risk profile. The primary outcomes are stroke morbidity and mortality, while the secondary outcomes are morbidity and mortality of ischaemic stroke (IS), intracranial cerebral haemorrhage (ICH), and subarachnoid haemorrhage (SH). Results The database searches identified 9,025 articles. After removing duplicates, 7,647 articles were screened in title and abstract to identify 380 articles for full-text screening. After the full-text screening of 380 articles by two independent reviewers, 23 articles were included in the review. Conclusion The evidence for an association between ambient temperature and stroke incidence is that lower temperatures were more likely to increase morbidity and mortality risk of both haemorrhagic and ischaemic stroke in older people. Conversely, higher ambient temperature is significantly associated with intracranial haemorrhage risk, but decreased risk with IS. Higher and lower ambient temperatures consistently increase stroke risks in patients with comorbidities of congestive heart failure and dyslipidaemia. This evidence implies the need to establish clinical guidelines for preventive intervention in patients with high stroke risks during extreme ambient temperatures.
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Affiliation(s)
- Nathan Danh
- Curtin Medical School, Faculty of Health Sciences, Curtin University, Perth, WA, Australia
| | - Chau Ho
- Curtin School of Population Health, Faculty of Health Sciences, Curtin University, Perth, WA, Australia
| | - Emily Ford
- Curtin Medical School, Faculty of Health Sciences, Curtin University, Perth, WA, Australia
| | - Jian Zhang
- Department of Neurology, First Affiliated Hospital, Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou, China
| | - Hua Hong
- Department of Neurology, First Affiliated Hospital, Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou, China
| | - Christopher Reid
- Department of Neurology, First Affiliated Hospital, Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou, China
| | - Dan Xu
- Curtin Medical School, Faculty of Health Sciences, Curtin University, Perth, WA, Australia
- Curtin School of Population Health, Faculty of Health Sciences, Curtin University, Perth, WA, Australia
- Department of Neurology, First Affiliated Hospital, Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou, China
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22
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Liu KH, Chang WH, Lai ECC, Tsai PC, Hsu B, Yang YH, Lin WR, Huang TS, Su FY, Chiang JH, Li CY, Tsai YS, Sung JM. Ambient temperature and the occurrence of intradialytic hypotension in patients receiving hemodialysis. Clin Kidney J 2024; 17:sfad304. [PMID: 38213491 PMCID: PMC10783262 DOI: 10.1093/ckj/sfad304] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/10/2023] [Indexed: 01/13/2024] Open
Abstract
Background Intradialytic hypotension (IDH) is a common hemodialysis complication causing adverse outcomes. Despite the well-documented associations of ambient temperatures with fluid removal and pre-dialysis blood pressure (BP), the relationship between ambient temperature and IDH has not been adequately studied. Methods We conducted a cohort study at a tertiary hospital in southern Taiwan between 1 January 2016 and 31 October 2021. The 24-h pre-hemodialysis mean ambient temperature was determined using hourly readings from the weather station closest to each patient's residence. IDH was defined using Fall40 [systolic BP (SBP) drop of ≥40 mmHg] or Nadir90/100 (SBP <100 if pre-dialysis SBP was ≥160, or SBP <90 mmHg). Multivariate logistic regression with generalizing estimating equations and mediation analysis were utilized. Results The study examined 110 400 hemodialysis sessions from 182 patients, finding an IDH prevalence of 11.8% and 10.4% as per the Fall40 and Nadir90/100 criteria, respectively. It revealed a reverse J-shaped relationship between ambient temperature and IDH, with a turning point around 27°C. For temperatures under 27°C, a 4°C drop significantly increased the odds ratio of IDH to 1.292 [95% confidence interval (CI) 1.228 to 1.358] and 1.207 (95% CI 1.149 to 1.268) under the Fall40 and Nadir90/100 definitions, respectively. Lower ambient temperatures correlated with higher ultrafiltration, accounting for about 23% of the increased IDH risk. Stratified seasonal analysis indicated that this relationship was consistent in spring, autumn and winter. Conclusion Lower ambient temperature is significantly associated with an increased risk of IDH below the threshold of 27°C, irrespective of the IDH definition. This study provides further insight into environmental risk factors for IDH in patients undergoing hemodialysis.
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Affiliation(s)
- Kuan-Hung Liu
- Institute of Clinical Medicine, College of Medicine, National Cheng Kung University, Tainan, Taiwan
- Division of Nephrology, Department of Internal Medicine, National Cheng Kung University Hospital, College of Medicine, National Cheng Kung University, Tainan, Taiwan
| | - Wei-Hsiang Chang
- Department of Food Safety/ Hygiene and Risk Management, College of Medicine, National Cheng Kung University, Tainan, Taiwan
- Research Center of Environmental Trace Toxic Substances, National Cheng Kung University, Tainan, Taiwan
| | - Edward Chia-Cheng Lai
- School of Pharmacy, Institute of Clinical Pharmacy and Pharmaceutical Sciences, College of Medicine, National Cheng Kung University, Tainan, Taiwan
| | - Pei-Chen Tsai
- Department of Computer Science and Information Engineering, National Cheng Kung University, Tainan, Taiwan
| | - Bin Hsu
- Division of Nephrology, Department of Internal Medicine, National Cheng Kung University Hospital, College of Medicine, National Cheng Kung University, Tainan, Taiwan
| | - Yu-Hsuan Yang
- Institute of Clinical Medicine, College of Medicine, National Cheng Kung University, Tainan, Taiwan
| | - Wei-Ren Lin
- Institute of Clinical Medicine, College of Medicine, National Cheng Kung University, Tainan, Taiwan
- Division of Nephrology, Department of Internal Medicine, National Cheng Kung University Hospital, College of Medicine, National Cheng Kung University, Tainan, Taiwan
| | - Tzu-Shan Huang
- Division of Nephrology, Department of Internal Medicine, National Cheng Kung University Hospital, College of Medicine, National Cheng Kung University, Tainan, Taiwan
| | - Fang-Yi Su
- Department of Computer Science and Information Engineering, National Cheng Kung University, Tainan, Taiwan
| | - Jung-Hsien Chiang
- Department of Computer Science and Information Engineering, National Cheng Kung University, Tainan, Taiwan
| | - Chung-Yi Li
- Department of Public Health, College of Medicine, National Cheng Kung University, Tainan, Taiwan
- Department of Public Health, College of Public Health, China Medical University, Taichung, Taiwan
- Department of Healthcare Administration, College of Medical and Health Science, Asia University, Taichung, Taiwan
| | - Yau-Sheng Tsai
- Institute of Clinical Medicine, College of Medicine, National Cheng Kung University, Tainan, Taiwan
| | - Junne-Ming Sung
- Institute of Clinical Medicine, College of Medicine, National Cheng Kung University, Tainan, Taiwan
- Division of Nephrology, Department of Internal Medicine, National Cheng Kung University Hospital, College of Medicine, National Cheng Kung University, Tainan, Taiwan
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23
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Kivimäki M, Batty GD, Pentti J, Suomi J, Nyberg ST, Merikanto J, Nordling K, Ervasti J, Suominen SB, Partanen AI, Stenholm S, Käyhkö J, Vahtera J. Climate Change, Summer Temperature, and Heat-Related Mortality in Finland: Multicohort Study with Projections for a Sustainable vs. Fossil-Fueled Future to 2050. ENVIRONMENTAL HEALTH PERSPECTIVES 2023; 131:127020. [PMID: 38150315 PMCID: PMC10752417 DOI: 10.1289/ehp12080] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/30/2022] [Revised: 11/16/2023] [Accepted: 11/17/2023] [Indexed: 12/29/2023]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Climate change scenarios illustrate various pathways in terms of global warming ranging from "sustainable development" (Shared Socioeconomic Pathway SSP1-1.9), the best-case scenario, to 'fossil-fueled development' (SSP5-8.5), the worst-case scenario. OBJECTIVES We examined the extent to which increase in daily average urban summer temperature is associated with future cause-specific mortality and projected heat-related mortality burden for the current warming trend and these two scenarios. METHODS We did an observational cohort study of 363,754 participants living in six cities in Finland. Using residential addresses, participants were linked to daily temperature records and electronic death records from national registries during summers (1 May to 30 September) 2000 to 2018. For each day of observation, heat index (average daily air temperature weighted by humidity) for the preceding 7 d was calculated for participants' residential area using a geographic grid at a spatial resolution of 1 km × 1 km . We examined associations of the summer heat index with risk of death by cause for all participants adjusting for a wide range of individual-level covariates and in subsidiary analyses using case-crossover design, computed the related period population attributable fraction (PAF), and projected change in PAF from summers 2000-2018 compared with those in 2030-2050. RESULTS During a cohort total exposure period of 582,111,979 summer days (3,880,746 person-summers), we recorded 4,094 deaths, including 949 from cardiovascular disease. The multivariable-adjusted rate ratio (RR) for high (≥ 21 ° C ) vs. reference (14 - 15 ° C ) heat index was 1.70 (95% CI: 1.28, 2.27) for cardiovascular mortality, but it did not reach statistical significance for noncardiovascular deaths, RR = 1.14 (95% CI: 0.96, 1.36), a finding replicated in case-crossover analysis. According to projections for 2030-2050, PAF of summertime cardiovascular mortality attributable to high heat will be 4.4% (1.8%-7.3%) under the sustainable development scenario, but 7.6% (3.2%-12.3%) under the fossil-fueled development scenario. In the six cities, the estimated annual number of summertime heat-related cardiovascular deaths under the two scenarios will be 174 and 298 for a total population of 1,759,468 people. DISCUSSION The increase in average urban summer temperature will raise heat-related cardiovascular mortality burden. The estimated magnitude of this burden is > 1.5 times greater if future climate change is driven by fossil fuels rather than sustainable development. https://doi.org/10.1289/EHP12080.
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Affiliation(s)
- Mika Kivimäki
- University College London (UCL) Brain Sciences, UCL, London, UK
- Clinicum, Faculty of Medicine, University of Helsinki, Helsinki, Finland
- Finnish Institute of Occupational Health, Helsinki, Finland
| | - G. David Batty
- University College London (UCL) Brain Sciences, UCL, London, UK
| | - Jaana Pentti
- Clinicum, Faculty of Medicine, University of Helsinki, Helsinki, Finland
- Finnish Institute of Occupational Health, Helsinki, Finland
- Department of Public Health, University of Turku (UTU), Turku, Finland
- Centre for Population Health Research, UTU, Turku, Finland
| | - Juuso Suomi
- Department of Geography and Geology, UTU, Turku, Finland
| | - Solja T. Nyberg
- Clinicum, Faculty of Medicine, University of Helsinki, Helsinki, Finland
- Finnish Institute of Occupational Health, Helsinki, Finland
| | | | - Kalle Nordling
- Finnish Meteorological Institute, Helsinki, Finland
- Centre for International Climate and Environmental Research, Oslo, Norway
| | - Jenni Ervasti
- Finnish Institute of Occupational Health, Helsinki, Finland
| | - Sakari B. Suominen
- Department of Public Health, University of Turku (UTU), Turku, Finland
- Turku University Hospital, Turku, Finland
- School of Health Science, University of Skövde, Skövde, Sweden
| | | | - Sari Stenholm
- Department of Public Health, University of Turku (UTU), Turku, Finland
- Centre for Population Health Research, UTU, Turku, Finland
| | - Jukka Käyhkö
- Department of Geography and Geology, UTU, Turku, Finland
| | - Jussi Vahtera
- Department of Public Health, University of Turku (UTU), Turku, Finland
- Centre for Population Health Research, UTU, Turku, Finland
- Turku University Hospital, Turku, Finland
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24
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Nawaro J, Gianquintieri L, Pagliosa A, Sechi GM, Caiani EG. Heatwave Definition and Impact on Cardiovascular Health: A Systematic Review. Public Health Rev 2023; 44:1606266. [PMID: 37908198 PMCID: PMC10613660 DOI: 10.3389/phrs.2023.1606266] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/01/2023] [Accepted: 09/29/2023] [Indexed: 11/02/2023] Open
Abstract
Objectives: We aimed to analyze recent literature on heat effects on cardiovascular morbidity and mortality, focusing on the adopted heat definitions and their eventual impact on the results of the analysis. Methods: The search was performed on PubMed, ScienceDirect, and Scopus databases: 54 articles, published between January 2018 and September 2022, were selected as relevant. Results: In total, 21 different combinations of criteria were found for defining heat, 12 of which were based on air temperature, while the others combined it with other meteorological factors. By a simulation study, we showed how such complex indices could result in different values at reference conditions depending on temperature. Heat thresholds, mostly set using percentile or absolute values of the index, were applied to compare the risk of a cardiovascular health event in heat days with the respective risk in non-heat days. The larger threshold's deviation from the mean annual temperature, as well as higher temperature thresholds within the same study location, led to stronger negative effects. Conclusion: To better analyze trends in the characteristics of heatwaves, and their impact on cardiovascular health, an international harmonization effort to define a common standard is recommendable.
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Affiliation(s)
- Julia Nawaro
- Department of Electronics, Information and Bioengineering, Politecnico di Milano, Milan, Italy
| | - Lorenzo Gianquintieri
- Department of Electronics, Information and Bioengineering, Politecnico di Milano, Milan, Italy
| | | | | | - Enrico Gianluca Caiani
- Department of Electronics, Information and Bioengineering, Politecnico di Milano, Milan, Italy
- Istituto Auxologico Italiano IRCCS, Milan, Italy
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25
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Xu Z, Watzek JT, Phung D, Oberai M, Rutherford S, Bach AJE. Heat, heatwaves, and ambulance service use: a systematic review and meta-analysis of epidemiological evidence. INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF BIOMETEOROLOGY 2023; 67:1523-1542. [PMID: 37495745 PMCID: PMC10457246 DOI: 10.1007/s00484-023-02525-0] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/03/2023] [Revised: 06/01/2023] [Accepted: 07/14/2023] [Indexed: 07/28/2023]
Abstract
Ambulance data has been reported to be a sensitive indicator of health service use during hot days, but there is no comprehensive summary of the quantitative association between heat and ambulance dispatches. We conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis to retrieve and synthesise evidence published up to 31 August 2022 about the association between heat, prolonged heat (i.e. heatwaves), and the risk of ambulance dispatches. We initially identified 3628 peer-reviewed papers and included 48 papers which satisfied the inclusion criteria. The meta-analyses showed that, for each 5 °C increase in mean temperature, the risk of ambulance dispatches for all causes and for cardiovascular diseases increased by 7% (95% confidence interval (CI): 5%, 10%) and 2% (95% CI: 1%, 3%), respectively, but not for respiratory diseases. The risk of ambulance dispatches increased by 6% (95% CI: 4%, 7%), 7% (95% CI: 5%, 9%), and 18% (95% CI: 12%, 23%) under low-intensity, severe, and extreme heatwaves, respectively. We observed two potential sources of bias in the existing literature: (1) bias in temperature exposure measurement; and (2) bias in the ascertainment of ambulance dispatch causes. This review suggests that heat exposure is associated with an increased risk of ambulance dispatches, and there is a dose-response relationship between heatwave intensity and the risk of ambulance dispatches. For future studies assessing the heat-ambulance association, we recommend that (1) using data on spatially refined gridded temperature that is either very well interpolated or derived from satellite imaging may be an alternative to reduce exposure measurement bias; and (2) linking ambulance data with hospital admission data can be useful to improve health outcome classification.
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Affiliation(s)
- Zhiwei Xu
- School of Medicine and Dentistry, Griffith University, Parklands Drive, Southport, Gold Coast, QLD, 4222, Australia.
- Cities Research Institute, Griffith University, Gold Coast, Australia.
| | - Jessica T Watzek
- School of Medicine and Dentistry, Griffith University, Parklands Drive, Southport, Gold Coast, QLD, 4222, Australia
| | - Dung Phung
- School of Public Health, The University of Queensland, Brisbane, Australia
| | - Mehak Oberai
- School of Medicine and Dentistry, Griffith University, Parklands Drive, Southport, Gold Coast, QLD, 4222, Australia
| | - Shannon Rutherford
- School of Medicine and Dentistry, Griffith University, Parklands Drive, Southport, Gold Coast, QLD, 4222, Australia
- Cities Research Institute, Griffith University, Gold Coast, Australia
| | - Aaron J E Bach
- School of Medicine and Dentistry, Griffith University, Parklands Drive, Southport, Gold Coast, QLD, 4222, Australia.
- Cities Research Institute, Griffith University, Gold Coast, Australia.
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26
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Zhai G, Gao Z, Zhou W. Effects of apparent temperature on cardiovascular disease admissions in rural areas of Linxia Hui Autonomous Prefecture. Sci Rep 2023; 13:14971. [PMID: 37696907 PMCID: PMC10495458 DOI: 10.1038/s41598-023-42232-9] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/27/2023] [Accepted: 09/07/2023] [Indexed: 09/13/2023] Open
Abstract
Cardiovascular disease (CVD) is a major threat to public health worldwide. The relationship between CVD and temperature has been widely reported in developed countries and regions. However, there are few studies of severe CVD in poor rural areas of developing countries. Therefore, this study aimed to explore the relationship between CVD and apparent temperature (AT) in a rural area of Linxia Hui Autonomous Prefecture, China. Daily CVD admission data and meteorological data were collected from Linxia between 2014 and 2015. The media of AT was used as the reference temperature to estimate the cumulative relative risk (RR) of CVD admission. The distributed lag non-linear models were used to examine the association between AT and cumulative RR of CVD admission at lag 0-21 days. In Linxia, high AT (20 °C) had a persistent adverse effect on cumulative RR of CVD admissions, and the RR increased with increasing lag days. Cold (- 10 °C) had a protective effect on the first and later lag days (lag 0-14 and lag 0-21). Adults (aged < 65 years) and females were more susceptible to the effects of heat than males and the elderly (aged ≥ 65 years). In Linxia, China, extremely high AT is an important risk factor for CVD hospitalizations in suburban and rural populations.
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Affiliation(s)
- Guangyu Zhai
- School of Economics and Management, Lanzhou University of Technology, Lanzhou, 730050, People's Republic of China
| | - Ziyao Gao
- School of Economics and Management, Lanzhou University of Technology, Lanzhou, 730050, People's Republic of China.
| | - Wenjuan Zhou
- Gansu Provincial Hospital, Lanzhou, 730000, Gansu, People's Republic of China
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27
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Reeves F, Potter BJ. Toward a Cardio-Environmental Risk Model: Environmental Determinants of Cardiovascular Disease. Can J Cardiol 2023; 39:1166-1181. [PMID: 37380103 DOI: 10.1016/j.cjca.2023.06.419] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/23/2022] [Revised: 06/19/2023] [Accepted: 06/21/2023] [Indexed: 06/30/2023] Open
Abstract
It is increasingly recognized that strong geographic variations in cardiovascular risk cannot be explained using traditional cardiovascular risk factors alone. Indeed, it is highly unlikely that heredity and classic risk factors such as hypertension, diabetes, dyslipidemia, and tobacco use can explain the tenfold variation observed in cardiovascular mortality among men in Russia and those in Switzerland. Since the advent of industrialization and resultant changes to our climate, it is now clear that environmental stressors also influence cardiovascular health and our thinking around cardiovascular risk prediction is in need of a paradigm shift. Herein, we review the basis for this shift in our understanding of the interplay of environmental factors with cardiovascular health. We illustrate how air pollution, hyperprocessed foods, the amount of green space, and population activity levels are now considered the 4 major environmental determinants of cardiovascular health and provide a framework for how these considerations might be incorporated into clinical risk assessment. We also outline the clinical and socioeconomic effects of the environment on cardiovascular health and review key recommendations from major medical societies.
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Affiliation(s)
- François Reeves
- CHUM Cardiovascular Center, Department of Medicine, Centre hospitalier de l'Université de Montréal, Montréal, Quebec, Canada; University of Montréal School of Public Health (ESPUM), Montréal, Quebec, Canada.
| | - Brian J Potter
- CHUM Cardiovascular Center, Department of Medicine, Centre hospitalier de l'Université de Montréal, Montréal, Quebec, Canada; Health Innovation and Evaluation Hub, Centre de recherche du Centre hospitalier de l'Université de Montréal, Montréal, Quebec, Canada
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28
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Cleland SE, Steinhardt W, Neas LM, Jason West J, Rappold AG. Urban heat island impacts on heat-related cardiovascular morbidity: A time series analysis of older adults in US metropolitan areas. ENVIRONMENT INTERNATIONAL 2023; 178:108005. [PMID: 37437316 PMCID: PMC10599453 DOI: 10.1016/j.envint.2023.108005] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/17/2023] [Revised: 05/27/2023] [Accepted: 05/29/2023] [Indexed: 07/14/2023]
Abstract
Many United States (US) cities are experiencing urban heat islands (UHIs) and climate change-driven temperature increases. Extreme heat increases cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk, yet little is known about how this association varies with UHI intensity (UHII) within and between cities. We aimed to identify the urban populations most at-risk of and burdened by heat-related CVD morbidity in UHI-affected areas compared to unaffected areas. ZIP code-level daily counts of CVD hospitalizations among Medicare enrollees, aged 65-114, were obtained for 120 US metropolitan statistical areas (MSAs) between 2000 and 2017. Mean ambient temperature exposure was estimated by interpolating daily weather station observations. ZIP codes were classified as low and high UHII using the first and fourth quartiles of an existing surface UHII metric, weighted to each have 25% of all CVD hospitalizations. MSA-specific associations between ambient temperature and CVD hospitalization were estimated using quasi-Poisson regression with distributed lag non-linear models and pooled via multivariate meta-analyses. Across the US, extreme heat (MSA-specific 99th percentile, on average 28.6 °C) increased the risk of CVD hospitalization by 1.5% (95% CI: 0.4%, 2.6%), with considerable variation among MSAs. Extreme heat-related CVD hospitalization risk in high UHII areas (2.4% [95% CI: 0.4%, 4.3%]) exceeded that in low UHII areas (1.0% [95% CI: -0.8%, 2.8%]), with upwards of a 10% difference in some MSAs. During the 18-year study period, there were an estimated 37,028 (95% CI: 35,741, 37,988) heat-attributable CVD admissions. High UHII areas accounted for 35% of the total heat-related CVD burden, while low UHII areas accounted for 4%. High UHII disproportionately impacted already heat-vulnerable populations; females, individuals aged 75-114, and those with chronic conditions living in high UHII areas experienced the largest heat-related CVD impacts. Overall, extreme heat increased cardiovascular morbidity risk and burden in older urban populations, with UHIs exacerbating these impacts among those with existing vulnerabilities.
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Affiliation(s)
- Stephanie E Cleland
- Department of Environmental Sciences and Engineering, Gillings School of Global Public Health, University of North Carolina, Chapel Hill, NC, USA; Oak Ridge Institute for Science and Education at the Center for Public Health and Environmental Assessment, Office of Research and Development, United States Environmental Protection Agency, Research Triangle Park, NC, USA
| | - William Steinhardt
- Oak Ridge Institute for Science and Education at the Center for Public Health and Environmental Assessment, Office of Research and Development, United States Environmental Protection Agency, Research Triangle Park, NC, USA
| | - Lucas M Neas
- Center for Public Health and Environmental Assessment, Office of Research and Development, United States Environmental Protection Agency, Research Triangle Park, NC, USA
| | - J Jason West
- Department of Environmental Sciences and Engineering, Gillings School of Global Public Health, University of North Carolina, Chapel Hill, NC, USA
| | - Ana G Rappold
- Center for Public Health and Environmental Assessment, Office of Research and Development, United States Environmental Protection Agency, Research Triangle Park, NC, USA.
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29
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Meng X, Jin J, Han X, Han B, Bai M, Zhang Z. Effect of Meteorological Factors and Air Pollutants on Daily Hospital Admissions for Ischemic Heart Disease in Lanzhou, China. Cardiology 2023; 149:396-408. [PMID: 37517404 DOI: 10.1159/000532069] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/19/2022] [Accepted: 07/11/2023] [Indexed: 08/01/2023]
Abstract
INTRODUCTION Meteorological factors and air pollutants are believed to be associated with cardiovascular disease. Ischemic heart disease (IHD) is a major public health issue worldwide. Few studies have investigated the associations among meteorological factors, air pollutants, and IHD daily hospital admissions in Lanzhou, China. METHODS We conducted a distributed lag nonlinear model on the basis of 5-year data, aiming at disentangling the impact of meteorological factors and air pollutants on IHD hospital admissions. All IHD daily hospital admissions recorded from January 1, 2015, and December 31, 2019, were obtained from three hospitals in Lanzhou, China. Daily air pollutant concentrations and meteorological data were synchronously collected from Gansu Meteorological Administration and Lanzhou Environmental Protection Administration. Stratified analyses were performed by sex and two age groups. RESULTS A total of 23,555 IHD hospital admissions were recorded, of which 10,477 admissions were for coronary artery disease (CAD) and 13,078 admissions were for acute coronary syndrome. Our results showed that there was a nonlinear (J-shaped) relationship between temperature and IHD hospital admissions. The number of IHD hospital admissions was positively correlated with NO2, O3, humidity, and pressure, indicating an increased risk of hospital admissions for IHD under NO2, O3, humidity, and pressure exposure. Meanwhile, both extremely low (-12°C) and high (30°C) temperatures reduced IHD hospital admissions, but the harmful effect increased with the lag time in Lanzhou, China, while the cold effect was more pronounced and long-lasting than the heat effect. Subgroup analysis demonstrated that the risk on CAD hospital admissions increased significantly in females and <65 years of age at -12°C. CONCLUSION Our findings added to the growing evidence regarding the potential impact of meteorological factors and air pollutants on policymaking from the perspective of hospital management efficiency.
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Affiliation(s)
- Xiaoxue Meng
- The First Clinical Medical School, Lanzhou University, Lanzhou, China
- Heart Center, The First Hospital of Lanzhou University, Lanzhou, China
- Key Laboratory for Cardiovascular Disease of Gansu Province, Lanzhou, China
- Cardiovascular Clinical Research Center of Gansu Province, Lanzhou, China
| | - Jianjian Jin
- The First Clinical Medical School, Lanzhou University, Lanzhou, China
| | - Xia Han
- The First Clinical Medical School, Lanzhou University, Lanzhou, China
- Heart Center, The First Hospital of Lanzhou University, Lanzhou, China
- Key Laboratory for Cardiovascular Disease of Gansu Province, Lanzhou, China
- Cardiovascular Clinical Research Center of Gansu Province, Lanzhou, China
| | - Bing Han
- The First Clinical Medical School, Lanzhou University, Lanzhou, China
- Heart Center, The First Hospital of Lanzhou University, Lanzhou, China
- Key Laboratory for Cardiovascular Disease of Gansu Province, Lanzhou, China
- Cardiovascular Clinical Research Center of Gansu Province, Lanzhou, China
| | - Ming Bai
- The First Clinical Medical School, Lanzhou University, Lanzhou, China
- Heart Center, The First Hospital of Lanzhou University, Lanzhou, China
- Key Laboratory for Cardiovascular Disease of Gansu Province, Lanzhou, China
- Cardiovascular Clinical Research Center of Gansu Province, Lanzhou, China
| | - Zheng Zhang
- The First Clinical Medical School, Lanzhou University, Lanzhou, China
- Heart Center, The First Hospital of Lanzhou University, Lanzhou, China
- Key Laboratory for Cardiovascular Disease of Gansu Province, Lanzhou, China
- Cardiovascular Clinical Research Center of Gansu Province, Lanzhou, China
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Salvador C, Gullón P, Franco M, Vicedo-Cabrera AM. Heat-related first cardiovascular event incidence in the city of Madrid (Spain): Vulnerability assessment by demographic, socioeconomic, and health indicators. ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH 2023; 226:115698. [PMID: 36931379 DOI: 10.1016/j.envres.2023.115698] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/20/2023] [Revised: 03/07/2023] [Accepted: 03/14/2023] [Indexed: 06/18/2023]
Abstract
While climate change and population ageing are expected to increase the exposure and vulnerability to extreme heat events, there is emerging evidence suggesting that social inequalities would additionally magnify the projected health impacts. However, limited evidence exists on how social determinants modify heat-related cardiovascular morbidity. This study aims to explore the association between heat and the incidence of first acute cardiovascular event (CVE) in adults in Madrid between 2015 and 2018, and to assess how social context and other individual characteristics modify the estimated association. We performed a case-crossover study using the individual information collected from electronic medical records of 6514 adults aged 40-75 living in Madrid city that suffered a first CVE during summer (June-September) between 2015 and 2018. We applied conditional logistic regression with a distributed lag non-linear model to analyse the heat-CVE association. Estimates were expressed as Odds Ratio (OR) for extreme heat (at 97.5th percentile of daily maximum temperature distribution), compared to the minimum risk temperature. We performed stratified analyses by specific diagnosis, sex, age (40-64, 65-75), country of origin, area-level deprivation, and presence of comorbidities. Overall, the risk of suffering CVE increased by 15.3% (OR: 1.153 [95%CI 1.010-1.317]) during extreme heat. Males were particularly more affected (1.248, [1.059-1.471]), vs 1.039 [0.810-1.331] in females), and non-Spanish population (1.869 [1.28-2.728]), vs 1.084 [0.940-1.250] in Spanish). Similar estimates were found by age groups. We observed a dose-response pattern across deprivation levels, with larger risks in populations with higher deprivation (1.228 [1.031-1.462]) and almost null association in the lowest deprivation group (1.062 [0.836-1.349]). No clear patterns of larger vulnerability were found by presence of comorbidity. We found that heat unequally increased the risk of suffering CVE in adults in Madrid, affecting mainly males and deprived populations. Local measures should pay special attention to vulnerable populations.
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Affiliation(s)
- Coral Salvador
- Centro de Investigación Mariña, Universidade de Vigo, Environmental Physics Laboratory (EPhysLab), Ourense, Spain; Institute of Social and Preventive Medicine, University of Bern, Bern, Switzerland; Oeschger Center for Climate Change Research, University of Bern, Bern, Switzerland
| | - Pedro Gullón
- Universidad de Alcalá, Grupo de Investigación en Epidemiología y Salud Pública Facultad de Medicina y Ciencias de La Salud, Alcalá de Henares, Madrid, Spain; Centre for Urban Research, RMIT University, Melbourne, Australia
| | - Manuel Franco
- Universidad de Alcalá, Grupo de Investigación en Epidemiología y Salud Pública Facultad de Medicina y Ciencias de La Salud, Alcalá de Henares, Madrid, Spain; Department of Epidemiology, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, Md, 21205-2217, USA.
| | - Ana M Vicedo-Cabrera
- Institute of Social and Preventive Medicine, University of Bern, Bern, Switzerland; Oeschger Center for Climate Change Research, University of Bern, Bern, Switzerland
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Pan R, Okada A, Yamana H, Yasunaga H, Kumazawa R, Matsui H, Fushimi K, Honda Y, Kim Y. Association between ambient temperature and cause-specific cardiovascular disease admissions in Japan: A nationwide study. ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH 2023; 225:115610. [PMID: 36871945 DOI: 10.1016/j.envres.2023.115610] [Citation(s) in RCA: 24] [Impact Index Per Article: 12.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/11/2022] [Revised: 02/06/2023] [Accepted: 03/02/2023] [Indexed: 06/18/2023]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Substantial evidence suggests that non-optimal temperatures can increase the risk of cardiovascular disease (CVD) mortality and morbidity; however, limited studies have reported inconsistent results for hospital admissions depending on study locations, which also lack national-level investigations on cause-specific CVDs. METHODS We performed a two-stage meta-regression analysis to examine the short-term associations between temperature and acute CVD hospital admissions by specific categories [i.e., ischemic heart disease (IHD), heart failure (HF), and stroke] in 47 prefectures of Japan from 2011 to 2018. First, we estimated the prefecture-specific associations using a time-stratified case-crossover design with a distributed lag nonlinear model. We then used a multivariate meta-regression model to obtain national average associations. RESULTS During the study period, a total of 4,611,984 CVD admissions were reported. We found cold temperatures significantly increased the risk of total CVD admissions and cause-specific categories. Compared with the minimum hospitalization temperature (MHT) at the 98th percentile of temperature (29.9 °C), the cumulative relative risks (RRs) for cold (5th percentile, 1.7 °C) and heat (99th percentile, 30.5 °C) on total CVD were 1.226 [95% confidence interval (CI): 1.195, 1.258] and 1.000 (95% CI: 0.998, 1.002), respectively. The RR for cold on HF [RR = 1.571 (95% CI: 1.487, 1.660)] was higher than those of IHD [RR = 1.119 (95% CI: 1.040, 1.204)] and stroke [RR = 1.107 (95% CI: 1.062, 1.155)], comparing to their cause-specific MHTs. We also observed that extreme heat increased the risk of HF with RR of 1.030 (95% CI: 1.007, 1.054). Subgroup analysis showed that the age group ≥85 years was more vulnerable to these non-optimal temperature risks. CONCLUSIONS This study indicated that cold and heat exposure could increase the risk of hospital admissions for CVD, varying depending on the cause-specific categories, which may provide new evidence to reduce the burden of CVD.
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Affiliation(s)
- Rui Pan
- Department of Global Environmental Health, Graduate School of Medicine, The University of Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan
| | - Akira Okada
- Department of Prevention of Diabetes and Lifestyle-Related Diseases, Graduate School of Medicine, The University of Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan
| | - Hayato Yamana
- Data Science Center, Jichi Medical University, Shimotsuke, Japan; Department of Clinical Epidemiology and Health Economics, The University of Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan
| | - Hideo Yasunaga
- Department of Clinical Epidemiology and Health Economics, The University of Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan
| | - Ryosuke Kumazawa
- Department of Clinical Epidemiology and Health Economics, The University of Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan
| | - Hiroki Matsui
- Department of Clinical Epidemiology and Health Economics, The University of Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan
| | - Kiyohide Fushimi
- Department of Health Policy and Informatics, Tokyo Medical and Dental University, Tokyo, Japan
| | - Yasushi Honda
- Faculty of Health and Sport Sciences, University of Tsukuba, Japan; Center for Climate Change Adaptation, National Institute for Environmental Studies, Japan; School of Tropical Medicine and Global Health, Nagasaki University, Japan
| | - Yoonhee Kim
- Department of Global Environmental Health, Graduate School of Medicine, The University of Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan.
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Rai M, Stafoggia M, de'Donato F, Scortichini M, Zafeiratou S, Vazquez Fernandez L, Zhang S, Katsouyanni K, Samoli E, Rao S, Lavigne E, Guo Y, Kan H, Osorio S, Kyselý J, Urban A, Orru H, Maasikmets M, Jaakkola JJK, Ryti N, Pascal M, Hashizume M, Fook Sheng Ng C, Alahmad B, Hurtado Diaz M, De la Cruz Valencia C, Nunes B, Madureira J, Scovronick N, Garland RM, Kim H, Lee W, Tobias A, Íñiguez C, Forsberg B, Åström C, Maria Vicedo-Cabrera A, Ragettli MS, Leon Guo YL, Pan SC, Li S, Gasparrini A, Sera F, Masselot P, Schwartz J, Zanobetti A, Bell ML, Schneider A, Breitner S. Heat-related cardiorespiratory mortality: Effect modification by air pollution across 482 cities from 24 countries. ENVIRONMENT INTERNATIONAL 2023; 174:107825. [PMID: 36934570 DOI: 10.1016/j.envint.2023.107825] [Citation(s) in RCA: 12] [Impact Index Per Article: 6.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/31/2022] [Revised: 01/11/2023] [Accepted: 02/12/2023] [Indexed: 06/18/2023]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Evidence on the potential interactive effects of heat and ambient air pollution on cause-specific mortality is inconclusive and limited to selected locations. OBJECTIVES We investigated the effects of heat on cardiovascular and respiratory mortality and its modification by air pollution during summer months (six consecutive hottest months) in 482 locations across 24 countries. METHODS Location-specific daily death counts and exposure data (e.g., particulate matter with diameters ≤ 2.5 µm [PM2.5]) were obtained from 2000 to 2018. We used location-specific confounder-adjusted Quasi-Poisson regression with a tensor product between air temperature and the air pollutant. We extracted heat effects at low, medium, and high levels of pollutants, defined as the 5th, 50th, and 95th percentile of the location-specific pollutant concentrations. Country-specific and overall estimates were derived using a random-effects multilevel meta-analytical model. RESULTS Heat was associated with increased cardiorespiratory mortality. Moreover, the heat effects were modified by elevated levels of all air pollutants in most locations, with stronger effects for respiratory than cardiovascular mortality. For example, the percent increase in respiratory mortality per increase in the 2-day average summer temperature from the 75th to the 99th percentile was 7.7% (95% Confidence Interval [CI] 7.6-7.7), 11.3% (95%CI 11.2-11.3), and 14.3% (95% CI 14.1-14.5) at low, medium, and high levels of PM2.5, respectively. Similarly, cardiovascular mortality increased by 1.6 (95%CI 1.5-1.6), 5.1 (95%CI 5.1-5.2), and 8.7 (95%CI 8.7-8.8) at low, medium, and high levels of O3, respectively. DISCUSSION We observed considerable modification of the heat effects on cardiovascular and respiratory mortality by elevated levels of air pollutants. Therefore, mitigation measures following the new WHO Air Quality Guidelines are crucial to enhance better health and promote sustainable development.
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Affiliation(s)
- Masna Rai
- Institute of Epidemiology, Helmholtz Munich, - German Research Center for Environmental Health, Neuherberg, Germany; Institute for Medical Information Processing, Biometry, and Epidemiology - IBE, Pettenkofer School of Public Health, LMU Munich, Munich, Germany.
| | - Massimo Stafoggia
- Department of Epidemiology, Lazio Regional Health Service, ASL Roma 1, Rome, Italy
| | - Francesca de'Donato
- Department of Epidemiology, Lazio Regional Health Service, ASL Roma 1, Rome, Italy
| | - Matteo Scortichini
- Department of Epidemiology, Lazio Regional Health Service, ASL Roma 1, Rome, Italy
| | - Sofia Zafeiratou
- Department of Hygiene, Epidemiology and Medical Statistics, Medical School,National and Kapodistrian University of Athens, Greece
| | | | - Siqi Zhang
- Institute of Epidemiology, Helmholtz Munich, - German Research Center for Environmental Health, Neuherberg, Germany
| | - Klea Katsouyanni
- Department of Hygiene, Epidemiology and Medical Statistics, Medical School,National and Kapodistrian University of Athens, Greece
| | - Evangelia Samoli
- Department of Hygiene, Epidemiology and Medical Statistics, Medical School,National and Kapodistrian University of Athens, Greece
| | - Shilpa Rao
- Department of Air Pollution and Noise, Norwegian Institute of Public Health, Oslo, Norway
| | - Eric Lavigne
- School of Epidemiology & Public Health, Faculty of Medicine, University of Ottawa, Ottawa, Canada and Environmental Health Science & Research Bureau, Health Canada, Ottawa, Canada
| | - Yuming Guo
- Department of Epidemiology and Preventive Medicine, School of Public Health and Preventive Medicine, Monash University, Melbourne, Australia
| | - Haidong Kan
- Department of Environmental Health, School of Public Health, Fudan University, Shanghai, China
| | - Samuel Osorio
- Department of Environmental Health, University of São Paulo, São Paulo, Brazil
| | - Jan Kyselý
- Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Czech Academy of Sciences, Prague, Czech Republic Faculty of Environmental Sciences, Czech University of Life Sciences, Prague, Czech Republic
| | - Aleš Urban
- Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Czech Academy of Sciences, Prague, Czech Republic Faculty of Environmental Sciences, Czech University of Life Sciences, Prague, Czech Republic
| | - Hans Orru
- Department of Family Medicine and Public Health, University of Tartu, Tartu, Estonia
| | | | - Jouni J K Jaakkola
- Center for Environmental and Respiratory Health Research (CERH), University of Oulu, Oulu, Finland
| | - Niilo Ryti
- Center for Environmental and Respiratory Health Research (CERH), University of Oulu, Oulu, Finland
| | - Mathilde Pascal
- Santé Publique France, Department of Environmental Health, French National Public Health Agency, Saint Maurice, France
| | - Masahiro Hashizume
- Department of Global Health Policy, Graduate School of Medicine, The University of Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan
| | - Chris Fook Sheng Ng
- School of Tropical Medicine and Global Health, Nagasaki University, Nagasaki, Japan
| | - Barrak Alahmad
- Department of Environmental Health, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston, MA, USA
| | - Magali Hurtado Diaz
- Department of Environmental Health, National Institute of Public Health, Cuernavaca, Morelos, Mexico
| | - César De la Cruz Valencia
- Department of Environmental Health, National Institute of Public Health, Cuernavaca, Morelos, Mexico
| | - Baltazar Nunes
- Department of Environmental Health, Instituto Nacional de Saúde Dr. Ricardo Jorge, Porto, Portugal
| | - Joana Madureira
- Department of Environmental Health, Instituto Nacional de Saúde Dr. Ricardo Jorge, Porto, Portugal
| | - Noah Scovronick
- Department of Environmental Health. Rollins School of Public Health, Emory University, Atlanta, USA
| | - Rebecca M Garland
- Department of Geography, Geoinformatics and Meteorology, University of Pretoria, Pretoria, South Africa
| | - Ho Kim
- Graduate School of Public Health, Seoul National University, Seoul, Republic of Korea
| | - Whanhee Lee
- School of Biomedical Convergence Engineering, Pusan National University, Yangsan, South Korea
| | - Aurelio Tobias
- Institute of Environmental Assessment and Water Research (IDAEA), Spanish Council for Scientific Research (CSIC), Barcelona, Spain
| | - Carmen Íñiguez
- Department of Statistics and Computational Research. Universitat de València, València, Spain
| | - Bertil Forsberg
- Department of Public Health and Clinical Medicine, Umeå University, Sweden
| | - Christofer Åström
- Department of Public Health and Clinical Medicine, Umeå University, Sweden
| | | | | | - Yue-Liang Leon Guo
- Environmental and Occupational Medicine, and Institute of Occupational Medicine and Industrial Hygiene, National Taiwan University (NTU) and NTU Hospital, Taipei, Taiwan
| | - Shih-Chun Pan
- National Institute of Environmental Health Science, National Health Research Institutes, Zhunan, Taiwan
| | - Shanshan Li
- Department of Epidemiology and Preventive Medicine, School of Public Health and Preventive Medicine, Monash University, Melbourne, Australia
| | - Antonio Gasparrini
- Department of Public Health Environments and Society, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London, United Kingdom
| | - Francesco Sera
- Department of Statistics, Computer Science and Applications "G. Parenti", University of Florence, Florence, Italy
| | - Pierre Masselot
- Department of Epidemiology and Preventive Medicine, School of Public Health and Preventive Medicine, Monash University, Melbourne, Australia
| | - Joel Schwartz
- Department of Environmental Health, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston, MA, USA
| | - Antonella Zanobetti
- Department of Environmental Health, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston, MA, USA
| | - Michelle L Bell
- School of Forestry and Environmental Studies, Yale University, New Haven CT, USA
| | - Alexandra Schneider
- Institute of Epidemiology, Helmholtz Munich, - German Research Center for Environmental Health, Neuherberg, Germany
| | - Susanne Breitner
- Institute of Epidemiology, Helmholtz Munich, - German Research Center for Environmental Health, Neuherberg, Germany; Institute for Medical Information Processing, Biometry, and Epidemiology - IBE, Pettenkofer School of Public Health, LMU Munich, Munich, Germany
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Rai M, Breitner S, Huber V, Zhang S, Peters A, Schneider A. Temporal variation in the association between temperature and cause-specific mortality in 15 German cities. ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH 2023; 229:115668. [PMID: 36958378 DOI: 10.1016/j.envres.2023.115668] [Citation(s) in RCA: 8] [Impact Index Per Article: 4.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/07/2022] [Revised: 02/27/2023] [Accepted: 03/09/2023] [Indexed: 05/14/2023]
Abstract
BACKGROUND There is limited evidence of temporal changes in the association between air temperature and the risk of cause-specific cardiovascular [CVD] and respiratory [RD] mortality. METHOD We explored temporal variations in the association between short-term exposures to air temperature and non-accidental and cause-specific CVD and RD mortality in the 15 largest German cities over 24 years (1993-2016) using time-stratified time series analysis. We applied location-specific confounder-adjusted Poisson regression with distributed lag non-linear models with a lag period of 14 days to estimate the temperature-mortality associations. We then pooled the estimates by a multivariate meta-analytical model. We analysed the whole study period and the periods 1993-2004 and 2005-16, separately. We also carried out age- and sex-stratified analysis. Cold and heat effects are reported as relative risk [RR] at the 1st and the 99th temperature percentile, relative to the 25th and the 75th percentile, respectively. RESULT We analysed a total of 3,159,292 non-accidental, 1,063,198 CVD and 183,027 RD deaths. Cold-related RR for CVD mortality was seen to rise consistently over time from 1.04 (95% confidence interval [95% CI] 1.02, 1.06) in the period 1993-2004 to 1.10 (95% CI 1.09, 1.11) in the period 2005-16. A similar increase in cold-related RR was also observed for RD mortality with risk increasing from 0.99 (95% CI 0.96, 1.03) to 1.07 (95% CI 1.03, 1.10). Cold-related ischemic, cerebrovascular, and heart failure mortality risk were seen to be increasing over time. Similarly, COPD, the commonly speculated driver of heat-related RD mortality was found to have a constant heat-related risk over time. Males were increasingly vulnerable to cold with time for all causes of death. Females showed increasing sensitivity to cold for CVD mortality. Our results indicated a significant increased cold and heat vulnerability of the youngest age-groups (<64) to non-accidental and RD mortality, respectively. Similarly, the older age group (>65) were found to have significantly increased susceptibility to cold for CVD mortality. CONCLUSION We found evidence of rising population susceptibility to both heat- and cold-related CVD and RD mortality risk from 1993 to 2016. Climate change mitigation and targeted adaptation strategies might help to reduce the number of temperature-related deaths in the future.
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Affiliation(s)
- Masna Rai
- Institute of Epidemiology, Helmholtz Zentrum München, German Research Center for Environmental Health, Neuherberg, Germany; Institute for Medical Information Processing, Biometry, and Epidemiology -IBE, Pettenkofer School of Public Health LMU Munich, Munich, Germany.
| | - Susanne Breitner
- Institute of Epidemiology, Helmholtz Zentrum München, German Research Center for Environmental Health, Neuherberg, Germany; Institute for Medical Information Processing, Biometry, and Epidemiology -IBE, Pettenkofer School of Public Health LMU Munich, Munich, Germany
| | - Veronika Huber
- Institute of Epidemiology, Helmholtz Zentrum München, German Research Center for Environmental Health, Neuherberg, Germany
| | - Siqi Zhang
- Institute of Epidemiology, Helmholtz Zentrum München, German Research Center for Environmental Health, Neuherberg, Germany
| | - Annette Peters
- Institute of Epidemiology, Helmholtz Zentrum München, German Research Center for Environmental Health, Neuherberg, Germany; Institute for Medical Information Processing, Biometry, and Epidemiology -IBE, Pettenkofer School of Public Health LMU Munich, Munich, Germany; German Research Center for Cardiovascular Research (DZHK), Partner-Site Munich, Munich, Germany
| | - Alexandra Schneider
- Institute of Epidemiology, Helmholtz Zentrum München, German Research Center for Environmental Health, Neuherberg, Germany
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Louis S, Carlson AK, Suresh A, Rim J, Mays M, Ontaneda D, Dhawan A. Impacts of Climate Change and Air Pollution on Neurologic Health, Disease, and Practice: A Scoping Review. Neurology 2023; 100:474-483. [PMID: 36384657 PMCID: PMC9990849 DOI: 10.1212/wnl.0000000000201630] [Citation(s) in RCA: 33] [Impact Index Per Article: 16.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/01/2022] [Accepted: 10/18/2022] [Indexed: 11/17/2022] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES Although the international community collectively seeks to reduce global temperature rise to less than 1.5°C before 2100, irreversible environmental changes have already occurred, and as the planet warms, these changes will continue to occur. As we witness the effects of a warming planet on human health, it is imperative that neurologists anticipate how the epidemiology and incidence of neurologic disease may change. In this review, we organized our analysis around 3 key themes related to climate change and neurologic health: extreme weather events and temperature fluctuations, emerging neuroinfectious diseases, and pollutant impacts. Across each of these themes, we appraised and reviewed recent literature relevant to neurologic disease and practice. METHODS Studies were identified using search terms relating to climate change, pollutants, and neurologic disease in PubMed, OVID MEDLINE, EMBASE, PsycInfo, and gray literature. Studies published between 1990 and 2022 were included if they pertained to human incidence or prevalence of disease, were in English, and were relevant to neurologic disease. RESULTS We identified a total of 364 articles, grouped into the 3 key themes of our study: extreme weather events and temperature fluctuations (38 studies), emerging neuroinfectious diseases (37 studies), and pollutant impacts (289 studies). The included studies highlighted the relationships between neurologic symptom exacerbation and temperature variability, tick-borne infections and warming climates, and airborne pollutants and cerebrovascular disease incidence and severity. DISCUSSION Temperature extremes and variability both associated with stroke incidence and severity, migraine headaches, hospitalization in patients with dementia, and multiple sclerosis exacerbations. Exposure to airborne pollutants, especially PM2.5 and nitrates, associated with stroke incidence and severity, headaches, dementia risk, Parkinson disease, and MS exacerbation. Climate change has demonstrably expanded favorable conditions for zoonotic diseases beyond traditional borders and poses the risk of disease in new, susceptible populations. Articles were biased toward resource-rich regions, suggesting a discordance between where research occurs and where changes are most acute. As such, 3 key priorities emerged for further study: neuroinfectious disease risk mitigation, understanding the pathophysiology of airborne pollutants on the nervous system, and methods to improve delivery of neurologic care in the face of climate-related disruptions.
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Affiliation(s)
- Shreya Louis
- From the Lerner College of Medicine (S.L.), Cleveland Clinic, OH; and Neurological Institute (A.K.C., A.S., J.R., M.M., D.O., A.D.), Cleveland Clinic, OH
| | - Alise K Carlson
- From the Lerner College of Medicine (S.L.), Cleveland Clinic, OH; and Neurological Institute (A.K.C., A.S., J.R., M.M., D.O., A.D.), Cleveland Clinic, OH
| | - Abhilash Suresh
- From the Lerner College of Medicine (S.L.), Cleveland Clinic, OH; and Neurological Institute (A.K.C., A.S., J.R., M.M., D.O., A.D.), Cleveland Clinic, OH
| | - Joshua Rim
- From the Lerner College of Medicine (S.L.), Cleveland Clinic, OH; and Neurological Institute (A.K.C., A.S., J.R., M.M., D.O., A.D.), Cleveland Clinic, OH
| | - MaryAnn Mays
- From the Lerner College of Medicine (S.L.), Cleveland Clinic, OH; and Neurological Institute (A.K.C., A.S., J.R., M.M., D.O., A.D.), Cleveland Clinic, OH
| | - Daniel Ontaneda
- From the Lerner College of Medicine (S.L.), Cleveland Clinic, OH; and Neurological Institute (A.K.C., A.S., J.R., M.M., D.O., A.D.), Cleveland Clinic, OH
| | - Andrew Dhawan
- From the Lerner College of Medicine (S.L.), Cleveland Clinic, OH; and Neurological Institute (A.K.C., A.S., J.R., M.M., D.O., A.D.), Cleveland Clinic, OH.
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Chen H, Zhang X. Influences of temperature and humidity on cardiovascular disease among adults 65 years and older in China. Front Public Health 2023; 10:1079722. [PMID: 36699927 PMCID: PMC9868618 DOI: 10.3389/fpubh.2022.1079722] [Citation(s) in RCA: 6] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/25/2022] [Accepted: 12/21/2022] [Indexed: 01/11/2023] Open
Abstract
Background The burden of cardiovascular disease (CVD) on the current aging society in China is substantial. Climate change, including extreme temperatures and humidity, has a detrimental influence on health. However, epidemiological studies have been unable to fully identify the association between climate change and CVD among older adults. Therefore, we investigated the associations between temperature and relative humidity and CVD among older adults in China. Methods We used cohort data from the China Longitudinal Health and Longevity Survey (CLHLS) conducted in 2002, 2005, 2008, 2011, 2014, and 2018. A total of 39,278 Chinese adults 65 years and older participated in the analyses. The average annual temperatures and relative humidity during 2001 and 2017 (before the survey year) at the city level in China were used as the exposure measures. We selected patients with hypertension, heart disease, and stroke to create a sample of CVD patients. The associations between temperature and relative humidity and CVD were analyzed using the generalized estimation equation (GEE) model. Covariates included sociodemographic factors, health status, lifestyle, and cognitive function. Results The average annual temperature was negatively correlated with the prevalence of CVD. Every 1°C increase in the average annual temperature reduced the rates of hypertension by 3% [odds ratio (OR): 0.97; 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.96-0.97], heart disease by 6% (OR: 0.94; 95% CI: 0.92-0.95), and stroke by 5% (OR: 0.95; 95% CI: 0.94-0.97). The results of the analyses stratified by sex, urban/rural residence, and educational level were robust. The average annual relative humidity was inversely associated with the likelihood of CVD among older adults. Every 1% increase in the average annual relative humidity reduced the rates of hypertension by 0.4% (OR: 0.996; 95% CI: 0.99-1.00), heart disease by 0.6% (OR: 0.994; 95% CI: 0.99-1.00), and stroke by 0.08% (OR: 0.992; 95% CI: 0.98-1.00). However, the effects were more obvious with higher humidity levels (>70). Conclusion Our findings suggest that higher temperatures and relative humidity may reduce the risk of CVD among older adults.
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Affiliation(s)
- Huashuai Chen
- Department of International Trade, Business School of Xiangtan University, Xiangtan, China,*Correspondence: Huashuai Chen ✉
| | - Xuebin Zhang
- School of Urban and Regional Science, Shanghai University of Finance and Economics, Shanghai, China
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da Silva I, Wikuats CFH, Hashimoto EM, Martins LD. Effects of Environmental and Socioeconomic Inequalities on Health Outcomes: A Multi-Region Time-Series Study. INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH AND PUBLIC HEALTH 2022; 19:16521. [PMID: 36554402 PMCID: PMC9778807 DOI: 10.3390/ijerph192416521] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/31/2022] [Revised: 12/02/2022] [Accepted: 12/05/2022] [Indexed: 06/17/2023]
Abstract
The gradual increase in temperatures and changes in relative humidity, added to the aging and socioeconomic conditions of the population, may represent problems for public health, given that future projections predict even more noticeable changes in the climate and the age pyramid, which require analyses at an appropriate spatial scale. To our knowledge, an analysis of the synergic effects of several climatic and socioeconomic conditions on hospital admissions and deaths by cardiorespiratory and mental disorders has not yet been performed in Brazil. Statistical analyses were performed using public time series (1996-2015) of daily health and meteorological data from 16 metropolitan regions (in a subtropical climate zone in South America). Health data were stratified into six groups according to gender and age ranges (40-59; 60-79; and ≥80 years old) for each region. For the regression analysis, two distributions (Poisson and binomial negative) were tested with and without zero adjustments for the complete series and percentiles. Finally, the relative risks were calculated, and the effects based on exposure-response curves were evaluated and compared among regions. The negative binomial distribution fit the data best. High temperatures and low relative humidity were the most relevant risk factors for hospitalizations for cardiovascular diseases (lag = 0), while minimum temperatures were important for respiratory diseases (lag = 2 or 3 days). Temperature extremes, both high and low, were the most important risk factors for mental illnesses at lag 0. Groups with people over 60 years old presented higher risks for cardiovascular and respiratory diseases, while this was observed for the adult group (40-59 years old) in relation to mental disorders. In general, no major differences were found in the results between men and women. However, regions with higher urbanization levels presented risks, mainly for respiratory diseases, while the same was observed for cardiovascular diseases for regions with lower levels of urbanization. The Municipal Human Development Index is an important factor for the occurrence of diseases and deaths for all regions, depending on the evaluated group, representing high risks for health outcomes (the value for hospitalization for cardiovascular diseases was 1.6713 for the female adult group in the metropolitan region Palmas, and the value for hospitalization for respiratory diseases was 1.7274 for the female adult group in the metropolitan region Campo Mourão). In general, less developed regions have less access to adequate health care and better living conditions.
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Affiliation(s)
- Iara da Silva
- Graduate Program in Environmental Engineering, Campus Londrina, Federal University of Technology—Paraná, Av. Dos Pioneiros, 3131, Londrina 86036-370, Paraná, Brazil
- Department of Atmospheric Sciences, Institute of Astronomy, Geophysics and Atmospheric Sciences, University of São Paulo, Rua do Matão, 1226, São Paulo 05508-090, São Paulo, Brazil
| | - Caroline Fernanda Hei Wikuats
- Graduate Program in Environmental Engineering, Campus Londrina, Federal University of Technology—Paraná, Av. Dos Pioneiros, 3131, Londrina 86036-370, Paraná, Brazil
- Department of Atmospheric Sciences, Institute of Astronomy, Geophysics and Atmospheric Sciences, University of São Paulo, Rua do Matão, 1226, São Paulo 05508-090, São Paulo, Brazil
| | - Elizabeth Mie Hashimoto
- Graduate Program in Environmental Engineering, Campus Londrina, Federal University of Technology—Paraná, Av. Dos Pioneiros, 3131, Londrina 86036-370, Paraná, Brazil
| | - Leila Droprinchinski Martins
- Graduate Program in Environmental Engineering, Campus Londrina, Federal University of Technology—Paraná, Av. Dos Pioneiros, 3131, Londrina 86036-370, Paraná, Brazil
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Wang B, Chai G, Sha Y, Su Y. Association between ambient temperature and cardiovascular disease hospitalisations among farmers in suburban northwest China. INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF BIOMETEOROLOGY 2022; 66:1317-1327. [PMID: 35381858 DOI: 10.1007/s00484-022-02278-2] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/04/2021] [Revised: 02/18/2022] [Accepted: 03/21/2022] [Indexed: 06/14/2023]
Abstract
Cardiovascular disease (CVD) has become a severe public health and social issue in China. However, in northwest China, evidence on the association between ambient temperature and CVD hospitalisations in suburban farmers is somewhat limited. We collected CVD hospitalisations and meteorological data (2012-2015) in Zhangye suburbs and assessed the temperature-related risk and burden of admission by fitting a distributed lag nonlinear model to probe the relationship between ambient temperature and CVD hospitalisations among farmers in suburban northwest China. The results show that 23,921 cases of CVD admissions were recorded from 2012 to 2015. There was a "U-shaped" association between temperature and hospitalisations. Compared with the minimum admissions temperature (MAT) at 15.3 °C, the cumulative relative risk (RR) over lag 0-21 days was 1.369 (95% CI 0.980-1.911) for extreme cold temperature (1st percentile, -15 °C), 1.353 (95% CI 1.063-1.720) for moderate cold (5th percentile, -11 °C), 1.415 (95% CI 1.117-1.792) for extreme heat (99th percentile, 26 °C), and 1.241 (95% CI 1.053-1.464) for moderate heat (95th percentile, 24 °C). Female farmers were more susceptible to low and high temperatures than male farmers. Farmers aged ≥ 65 years old were more sensitive to low temperatures, while farmers aged < 65 years old were more sensitive to high temperatures. A total of 13.4% (3,208 cases) of the hospitalisation burden for CVD were attributed to temperature exposure, with the moderate range of temperatures accounting for the most significant proportion (12.2%). Ambient temperature, primarily moderate temperatures, might be an essential factor for cardiovascular-related hospitalisations among farmers in suburban northwest China.
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Affiliation(s)
- Bin Wang
- School of Management, Lanzhou University, Lanzhou, 730000, People's Republic of China
- Research Center for Emergency Management, Lanzhou University, Lanzhou, 730000, People's Republic of China
- Hospital Management Research Center, Lanzhou University, Lanzhou, 730000, People's Republic of China
| | - Guorong Chai
- School of Management, Lanzhou University, Lanzhou, 730000, People's Republic of China.
- Research Center for Emergency Management, Lanzhou University, Lanzhou, 730000, People's Republic of China.
- Hospital Management Research Center, Lanzhou University, Lanzhou, 730000, People's Republic of China.
| | - Yongzhong Sha
- School of Management, Lanzhou University, Lanzhou, 730000, People's Republic of China
- Research Center for Emergency Management, Lanzhou University, Lanzhou, 730000, People's Republic of China
- Hospital Management Research Center, Lanzhou University, Lanzhou, 730000, People's Republic of China
| | - Yana Su
- School of Management, Lanzhou University, Lanzhou, 730000, People's Republic of China
- College of Economics and Management, Lanzhou Institute of Technology, Lanzhou, 730050, People's Republic of China
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Zhan ZY, Zhong X, Yang J, Ding Z, Xie XX, Zheng ZQ, Hu ZJ. Effect of apparent temperature on hospitalization from a spectrum of cardiovascular diseases in rural residents in Fujian, China. ENVIRONMENTAL POLLUTION (BARKING, ESSEX : 1987) 2022; 303:119101. [PMID: 35248617 DOI: 10.1016/j.envpol.2022.119101] [Citation(s) in RCA: 11] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/01/2021] [Revised: 02/28/2022] [Accepted: 03/01/2022] [Indexed: 06/14/2023]
Abstract
Cardiovascular disease (CVD) is a leading threat to global public health. Although associations between temperature and CVD hospitalization have been suggested for developed countries, limited evidence is available for developing countries or rural residents. Moreover, the effect of apparent temperature (AT) on the spectrum of cause-specific CVDs remains unknown. Based on 2,024,147 CVD hospitalizations for rural residents from eight regions in Fujian Province, China, during 2010-2016, a quasi-Poisson regression with distributed lag non-linear model was fitted to estimate the AT effect on daily CVD hospitalization for each region, and then pooled in a meta-regression that included regional indicators related to rural residents. Stratified analyses were performed according to the cause of hospitalization, sex and age groups. Finally, we calculated the fraction of CVD hospitalizations attributable to AT, as a reflection of the burden associated with AT. The heat effect appeared at lag 0-1 days, with 19% (95% CI, 11-26%) increased risk of CVD hospitalization, which was worse for ischemic heart disease, heart failure, arrhythmias and ischemic stroke. The decreased AT was associated with increase of hemorrhagic stroke at lag 0-28 days. People aged 65 and above suffered more from the heat effect on cardiovascular and cerebrovascular diseases. Regions with a lower gross value of agricultural production, rural residents' per capita net income, number of air conditioners and water heaters were more susceptible. A large number of hospitalizations were attributable to heat for most subcategories. High AT level increased CVD hospitalization, and the subcategories had different susceptibilities. The effects were modified by individual and regional characteristics. These findings have important implications for the development of targeted interventions and for hospital service planning.
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Affiliation(s)
- Zhi-Ying Zhan
- Department of Epidemiology and Health Statistics, Fujian Provincial Key Laboratory of Environment Factors and Cancer, School of Public Health, Fujian Medical University, Fuzhou, 350122, Fujian Province, China
| | - Xue Zhong
- Department of Epidemiology and Health Statistics, Fujian Provincial Key Laboratory of Environment Factors and Cancer, School of Public Health, Fujian Medical University, Fuzhou, 350122, Fujian Province, China
| | - Jun Yang
- School of Public Health, Guangzhou Medical University, Guangzhou, 511436, China
| | - Zan Ding
- Institute of Low Carb Medicine, Baoan Central Hospital of Shenzhen, The Fifth Affiliated Hospital of Shenzhen University, Shenzhen, 518102, Guangdong Province, China
| | - Xiao-Xu Xie
- Department of Epidemiology and Health Statistics, Fujian Provincial Key Laboratory of Environment Factors and Cancer, School of Public Health, Fujian Medical University, Fuzhou, 350122, Fujian Province, China
| | - Zhen-Quan Zheng
- Institute of Health Research, Fujian Medical University, Fuzhou, 350122, Fujian Province, China
| | - Zhi-Jian Hu
- Department of Epidemiology and Health Statistics, Fujian Provincial Key Laboratory of Environment Factors and Cancer, School of Public Health, Fujian Medical University, Fuzhou, 350122, Fujian Province, China.
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Zha Q, Chai G, Zhang ZG, Sha Y, Su Y, Wu T. Impact of temperature changes between neighboring days on cardiovascular disease hospital admissions among suburban farmers in Qingyang, Northwest China. INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF BIOMETEOROLOGY 2022; 66:1233-1245. [PMID: 35583607 DOI: 10.1007/s00484-022-02271-9] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/22/2021] [Revised: 03/05/2022] [Accepted: 03/09/2022] [Indexed: 06/15/2023]
Abstract
BACKGROUND No studies focused on impact of temperature changes between neighboring days (TCN) on cardiovascular disease (CVD) hospital admissions among suburban farmers although CVD has been the main cause to global mortality and disability especially in undeveloped and developing countries/areas. METHOD Daily data of CVD hospital admissions on suburban farmers and daily data of meteorology in Qingyang (China) were collected during 2011-2015. A distributed lag non-linear model (DLNM) was applied to explore the exposure-response relations and lagged effects between TCN and CVD hospital admissions with stratified analyses by age and gender. Extreme low TCN effects and burden analysis were conducted. RESULTS Based on 25,984 cases in Qingyang (China) during 2011-2015 among suburban farmers, we found that, first, nonlinear relationship was observed between TCN and CVD hospital admissions and adverse impact in negative TCN (temperature dropping between neighboring days) while protective effect in positive TCN (temperature rising between neighboring days) were discovered; third, during lag0-27, the cumulative relative risk (RR) for extreme low TCN (5th percentile, - 3.5 °C) and extreme high TCN (95th percentile, 3 °C) was 29.55 (95% CI 4.709-185.436) and 0.040 (95% CI 0.009-0.169), respectively; fourth, the age < 65 and females were more vulnerable to negative TCN than the age ≥ 65 and males among suburban farmers, respectively; last, moderate low TCN contributed the most fractions and numbers on CVD hospital admissions. CONCLUSIONS Among Qingyang suburban farmers in Northwest China, negative TCN should be paid more attention.
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Affiliation(s)
- Qunwu Zha
- School of Management, Lanzhou University, Lanzhou, 730000, People's Republic of China
- Hospital Management Research Center, Lanzhou University, Lanzhou, 730000, People's Republic of China
- Research Center for Emergency Management, Lanzhou University, Lanzhou, 730000, People's Republic of China
| | - Guorong Chai
- School of Management, Lanzhou University, Lanzhou, 730000, People's Republic of China.
- Hospital Management Research Center, Lanzhou University, Lanzhou, 730000, People's Republic of China.
- Research Center for Emergency Management, Lanzhou University, Lanzhou, 730000, People's Republic of China.
| | - Zhe-George Zhang
- School of Management, Lanzhou University, Lanzhou, 730000, People's Republic of China.
- Department of Decision Sciences, Western Washington University, Bellingham, WA, 98225-9077, USA.
- Beedie School of Business, Simon Fraser University, Burnaby, BC, V5A 1S6, Canada.
| | - Yongzhong Sha
- School of Management, Lanzhou University, Lanzhou, 730000, People's Republic of China
- Hospital Management Research Center, Lanzhou University, Lanzhou, 730000, People's Republic of China
- Research Center for Emergency Management, Lanzhou University, Lanzhou, 730000, People's Republic of China
| | - Yana Su
- School of Management, Lanzhou University, Lanzhou, 730000, People's Republic of China
- College of Economics and Management, Lanzhou Institute of Technology, Lanzhou, 730050, People's Republic of China
| | - Tingting Wu
- Lanzhou University Second Hospital, Lanzhou, 730030, People's Republic of China
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Cao F, He YS, Xiang K, Wan CH, Liu W, Gui YC, Pan HF, Jiang ZX, Tao LM. Association between meteorological factors and hospital admissions for uveitis in Hefei, China: a time-series study. ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCE AND POLLUTION RESEARCH INTERNATIONAL 2022; 29:45783-45792. [PMID: 35149948 DOI: 10.1007/s11356-022-19092-3] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/06/2021] [Accepted: 02/02/2022] [Indexed: 06/14/2023]
Abstract
Meteorological variables are regarded as risk factors for inflammatory diseases, but their associations with uveitis, one of the leading causes accounting for blindness worldwide with an estimated prevalence of 38-714 cases/100,000 person-years, have not been thoroughly investigated. The present study explored the short-term association between meteorological variables and hospital admissions for uveitis in Hefei City, China. Daily data on uveitis hospital admissions and meteorological variables including mean temperature (MT) (°C), diurnal temperature range (DTR) (°C), and relative humidity (RH) (%), from 2014 to 2020, were collected. A time-series study using generalized linear model combined with distributed lag non-linear model was applied. Totally, 1911 admissions for uveitis including 894 first admissions and 1017 readmissions were reported during the study period. The associations of high percentile of MT (75th, 24.5℃) and low percentile of DTR (25th, 5.4℃) with uveitis admissions were observed to be statistically significant from lag9 (RR = 1.041, 95%CI: 1.002-1.081) to lag11 (RR = 1.053, 95%CI: 1.003-1.104) and lag4 (RR = 1.053, 95%CI: 1.019-1.088) to lag5 (RR = 1.052, 95%CI: 1.020-1.085), respectively. Moreover, a significant association between low percentile of RH (1th, 44%) and uveitis admissions appeared at lag0-8 (RR = 1.869, 95%CI: 1.017-3.434) and lasted until lag0-13 (RR = 2.539, 95%CI: 1.102-5.850) in the cumulative lag structure. Subgroup analyses indicated that males and the young seemed to be more sensitive to high MT exposure, while females appeared to be more vulnerable to low DTR exposure. Interestingly, both the young and the elderly are susceptible to low DTR and low RH exposure. Furthermore, high MT and low DTR exposure were associated with increased risk of first admission for uveitis. In summary, exposure to high-value of MT and low-value of DTR and RH may increase the hospital admissions for uveitis, especially for the status of first admission.
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Affiliation(s)
- Fan Cao
- Department of Ophthalmology, The Second Affiliated Hospital of Anhui Medical University, 678 Furong Road, Hefei, Anhui, 230032, People's Republic of China
| | - Yi-Sheng He
- Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Anhui Medical University, 81 Meishan Road, Hefei, Anhui, 230032, People's Republic of China
- Inflammation and Immune Mediated Diseases Laboratory of Anhui Province, 81 Meishan Road, Hefei, Anhui, China
| | - Kun Xiang
- Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Anhui Medical University, 81 Meishan Road, Hefei, Anhui, 230032, People's Republic of China
- Inflammation and Immune Mediated Diseases Laboratory of Anhui Province, 81 Meishan Road, Hefei, Anhui, China
| | - Cheng-Huan Wan
- Department of Preventive Medicine, School of Public Health, Anhui Medical University, 81 Meishan Road, Hefei, Anhui, China
| | - Wei Liu
- Department of Pharmacology, School of Pharmacy, Anhui Medical University, 81 Meishan Road, Hefei, Anhui, China
| | - Yan-Chao Gui
- Department of Ophthalmology, The Second Affiliated Hospital of Anhui Medical University, 678 Furong Road, Hefei, Anhui, 230032, People's Republic of China
| | - Hai-Feng Pan
- Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Anhui Medical University, 81 Meishan Road, Hefei, Anhui, 230032, People's Republic of China.
- Inflammation and Immune Mediated Diseases Laboratory of Anhui Province, 81 Meishan Road, Hefei, Anhui, China.
| | - Zheng-Xuan Jiang
- Department of Ophthalmology, The Second Affiliated Hospital of Anhui Medical University, 678 Furong Road, Hefei, Anhui, 230032, People's Republic of China.
| | - Li-Ming Tao
- Department of Ophthalmology, The Second Affiliated Hospital of Anhui Medical University, 678 Furong Road, Hefei, Anhui, 230032, People's Republic of China.
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Chen PC, Sung FC, Mou CH, Chen CW, Tsai SP, Hsieh DHP, Hsu CY. A cohort study evaluating the risk of stroke associated with long-term exposure to ambient fine particulate matter in Taiwan. Environ Health 2022; 21:43. [PMID: 35439956 PMCID: PMC9017007 DOI: 10.1186/s12940-022-00854-y] [Citation(s) in RCA: 8] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/06/2021] [Accepted: 04/11/2022] [Indexed: 05/06/2023]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Evidences have shown that the stroke risk associated with long-term exposure to particulate matter with an aerodynamic diameter of ≤2.5 μm (PM2.5) varies among people in North America, Europe and Asia, but studies in Asia rarely evaluated the association by stroke type. We examined whether long-term exposure to PM2.5 is associated with developing all strokes, ischemic stroke and hemorrhagic stroke. METHODS The retrospective cohort study consisted of 1,362,284 adults identified from beneficiaries of a universal health insurance program in 2011. We obtained data on air pollutants and meteorological measurements from air quality monitoring stations across Taiwan in 2010-2015. Annual mean levels of all environmental measurements in residing areas were calculated and assigned to cohort members. We used Cox proportional hazards models to estimate hazard ratio (HR) and 95% confidence interval (CI) of developing stroke associated with 1-year mean levels of PM2.5 at baseline in 2010, and yearly mean levels from 2010 to 2015 as the time-varying exposure, adjusting for age, sex, income and urbanization level. RESULTS During a median follow-up time of 6.0 years, 12,942 persons developed strokes, 9919 (76.6%) were ischemic. The adjusted HRs (95% CIs) per interquartile range increase in baseline 1-year mean PM2.5 were 1.03 (1.00-1.06) for all stroke, 1.06 (1.02-1.09) for ischemic stroke, and 0.95 (0.89-1.10) for hemorrhagic stroke. The concentration-response curves estimated in the models with and without additional adjustments for other environmental measurements showed a positively linear association between baseline 1-year mean PM2.5 and ischemic stroke at concentrations greater than 30 μg/m3, under which no evidence of association was observed. There was an indication of an inverse association between PM2.5 and hemorrhagic stroke, but the association no longer existed after controlling for nitrogen dioxide or ozone. We found similar shape of the concentration-response association in the Cox regression models with time-varying PM2.5 exposures. CONCLUSION Long-term exposure to PM2.5 might be associated with increased risk of developing ischemic stroke. The association with high PM2.5 concentrations remained significant after adjustment for other environmental factors.
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Affiliation(s)
- Pei-Chun Chen
- Department of Public Health, China Medical University College of Public Health, 100 Jingmao Rd Sec. 1, Taichung, 406040, Taiwan.
| | - Fung-Chang Sung
- Department of Health Services Administration, China Medical University College of Public Health, 100 Jingmao Rd Sec. 1, Taichung, 406040, Taiwan.
- Management Office for Health Data, China Medical University Hospital, Taichung, Taiwan.
- Department of Food Nutrition and Health Biotechnology, Asia University, Taichung, Taiwan.
| | - Chih-Hsin Mou
- Management Office for Health Data, China Medical University Hospital, Taichung, Taiwan
| | - Chao W Chen
- University of Maryland Global Campus, Adelphi, MD, USA
| | - Shan P Tsai
- School of Public Health, Texas A&M University, College Station, TX, USA
| | - Dennis H P Hsieh
- Department of Environmental Toxicology, University of California, Davis, CA, USA
| | - Chung Y Hsu
- Graduate Institute of Biomedical Sciences, China Medical University College of Public Health, Taichung, Taiwan
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Wlodarczyk A, Molek P, Bochenek B, Wypych A, Nessler J, Zalewski J. Machine Learning Analyzed Weather Conditions as an Effective Means in the Predicting of Acute Coronary Syndrome Prevalence. Front Cardiovasc Med 2022; 9:830823. [PMID: 35463797 PMCID: PMC9024050 DOI: 10.3389/fcvm.2022.830823] [Citation(s) in RCA: 5] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/07/2021] [Accepted: 03/14/2022] [Indexed: 11/13/2022] Open
Abstract
BackgroundThe prediction of the number of acute coronary syndromes (ACSs) based on the weather conditions in the individual climate zones is not effective. We sought to investigate whether an artificial intelligence system might be useful in this prediction.MethodsBetween 2008 and 2018, a total of 105,934 patients with ACS were hospitalized in Lesser Poland Province, one covered by two meteorological stations. The predicted daily number of ACS has been estimated with the Random Forest machine learning system based on air temperature (°C), air pressure (hPa), dew point temperature (Td) (°C), relative humidity (RH) (%), wind speed (m/s), and precipitation (mm) and their daily extremes and ranges derived from the day of ACS and from 6 days before ACS.ResultsOf 840 pairwise comparisons between individual weather parameters and the number of ACS, 128 (15.2%) were significant but weak with the correlation coefficients ranged from −0.16 to 0.16. None of weather parameters correlated with the number of ACS in all the seasons and stations. The number of ACS was higher in warm front days vs. days without any front [40 (29–50) vs. 38 (27–48), respectively, P < 0.05]. The correlation between the predicted and observed daily number of ACS derived from machine learning was 0.82 with 95% CI of 0.80–0.84 (P < 0.001). The greatest importance for machine learning (range 0–1.0) among the parameters reached Td daily range with 1.00, pressure daily range with 0.875, pressure maximum daily range with 0.864, and RH maximum daily range with 0.853, whereas among the clinical parameters reached hypertension daily range with 1.00 and diabetes mellitus daily range with 0.28. For individual seasons and meteorological stations, the correlations between the predicted and observed number of ACS have ranged for spring from 0.73 to 0.77 (95% CI 0.68–0.82), for summer from 0.72 to 0.76 (95% CI 0.66–0.81), for autumn from 0.72 to 0.83 (95% CI 0.67–0.87), and for winter from 0.76 to 0.79 (95% CI 0.71–0.83) (P < 0.001 for each).ConclusionThe weather parameters have proven useful in predicting the prevalence of ACS in a temperate climate zone for all the seasons, if analyzed with an artificial intelligence system. Simultaneously, the analysis of individual weather parameters or frontal scenarios has provided only weak univariate relationships. These findings will require validation in other climatic zones.
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Affiliation(s)
- Aleksandra Wlodarczyk
- Department of Coronary Artery Disease and Heart Failure, Jagiellonian University Medical College, John Paul II Hospital, Kraków, Poland
| | - Patrycja Molek
- Department of Coronary Artery Disease and Heart Failure, Jagiellonian University Medical College, John Paul II Hospital, Kraków, Poland
| | - Bogdan Bochenek
- Institute of Meteorology and Water Management, National Research Institute, Warsaw, Poland
| | - Agnieszka Wypych
- Institute of Meteorology and Water Management, National Research Institute, Warsaw, Poland
- Department of Climatology, Jagiellonian University, Kraków, Poland
| | - Jadwiga Nessler
- Department of Coronary Artery Disease and Heart Failure, Jagiellonian University Medical College, John Paul II Hospital, Kraków, Poland
| | - Jaroslaw Zalewski
- Department of Coronary Artery Disease and Heart Failure, Jagiellonian University Medical College, John Paul II Hospital, Kraków, Poland
- *Correspondence: Jaroslaw Zalewski
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Chen Y, Kong D, Fu J, Zhang Y, Zhao Y, Liu Y, Chang Z, Liu Y, Liu X, Xu K, Jiang C, Fan Z. Associations between ambient temperature and adult asthma hospitalizations in Beijing, China: a time-stratified case-crossover study. Respir Res 2022; 23:38. [PMID: 35189885 PMCID: PMC8862352 DOI: 10.1186/s12931-022-01960-8] [Citation(s) in RCA: 34] [Impact Index Per Article: 11.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/07/2021] [Accepted: 02/15/2022] [Indexed: 11/30/2022] Open
Abstract
Background Studies on the associations between ambient temperature and asthma hospitalizations are limited, and the results are controversial. We aimed to assess the short-term effects of ambient temperature on the risk of asthma hospitalizations and quantify the hospitalization burdens of asthma attributable to non-optimal temperature in adults in Beijing, China. Methods We collected daily asthma hospitalizations, meteorological factors and air quality data in Beijing from 2012 to 2015. We applied a time-stratified case-crossover design and fitted a distributed lag non-linear model with a conditional quasi-Poisson regression to explore the association between ambient temperature and adult asthma hospitalizations. The effect modifications of these associations by gender and age were assessed by stratified analyses. We also computed the attributable fractions and numbers with 95% empirical confidence intervals (eCI) of asthma hospitalizations due to extreme and moderate temperatures. Results From 2012 to 2015, we identified a total of 18,500 hospitalizations for asthma among adult residents in Beijing, China. Compared with the optimal temperature (22 °C), the cumulative relative risk (CRR) over lag 0–30 days was 2.32 with a 95% confidence interval (CI) of 1.57–3.42 for extreme cold corresponding to the 2.5th percentile (− 6.5 °C) of temperature distribution and 2.04 (95% CI 1.52–2.74) for extreme heat corresponding to the 97.5th percentile (29 °C) of temperature distribution. 29.1% (95% eCI 17.5–38.0%) of adult asthma hospitalizations was attributable to non-optimum temperatures. Moderate cold temperatures yielded most of the burdens, with an attributable fraction of 20.3% (95% eCI 9.1–28.7%). The temperature-related risks of asthma hospitalizations were more prominent in females and younger people (19–64 years old). Conclusions There was a U-shaped association between ambient temperature and the risk of adult asthma hospitalizations in Beijing, China. Females and younger patients were more vulnerable to the effects of non-optimum temperatures. Most of the burden was attributable to moderate cold. Our findings may uncover the potential impact of climate changes on asthma exacerbations. Supplementary Information The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s12931-022-01960-8.
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Affiliation(s)
- Yuxiong Chen
- Department of Medicine, Peking Union Medical College Hospital, Peking Union Medical College & Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences, No.1 Shuaifuyuan Wangfujing Dongcheng District,, Beijing, 100730, China
| | - Dehui Kong
- Department of Medicine, Peking Union Medical College Hospital, Peking Union Medical College & Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences, No.1 Shuaifuyuan Wangfujing Dongcheng District,, Beijing, 100730, China
| | - Jia Fu
- Department of Medicine, Peking Union Medical College Hospital, Peking Union Medical College & Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences, No.1 Shuaifuyuan Wangfujing Dongcheng District,, Beijing, 100730, China
| | - Yongqiao Zhang
- Department of Medicine, Peking Union Medical College Hospital, Peking Union Medical College & Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences, No.1 Shuaifuyuan Wangfujing Dongcheng District,, Beijing, 100730, China
| | - Yakun Zhao
- Department of Medicine, Peking Union Medical College Hospital, Peking Union Medical College & Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences, No.1 Shuaifuyuan Wangfujing Dongcheng District,, Beijing, 100730, China
| | - Yanbo Liu
- Department of Medicine, Peking Union Medical College Hospital, Peking Union Medical College & Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences, No.1 Shuaifuyuan Wangfujing Dongcheng District,, Beijing, 100730, China
| | - Zhen'ge Chang
- Department of Medicine, Peking Union Medical College Hospital, Peking Union Medical College & Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences, No.1 Shuaifuyuan Wangfujing Dongcheng District,, Beijing, 100730, China
| | - Yijie Liu
- Department of Medicine, Peking Union Medical College Hospital, Peking Union Medical College & Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences, No.1 Shuaifuyuan Wangfujing Dongcheng District,, Beijing, 100730, China
| | - Xiaole Liu
- Department of Medicine, Peking Union Medical College Hospital, Peking Union Medical College & Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences, No.1 Shuaifuyuan Wangfujing Dongcheng District,, Beijing, 100730, China
| | - Kaifeng Xu
- Department of Medicine, Peking Union Medical College Hospital, Peking Union Medical College & Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences, No.1 Shuaifuyuan Wangfujing Dongcheng District,, Beijing, 100730, China
| | - Chengyu Jiang
- Department of Biochemistry, State Key Laboratory of Medical Molecular Biology, Institute of Basic Medical Sciences, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences, Peking Union Medical College, Beijing, 100005, China
| | - Zhongjie Fan
- Department of Medicine, Peking Union Medical College Hospital, Peking Union Medical College & Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences, No.1 Shuaifuyuan Wangfujing Dongcheng District,, Beijing, 100730, China.
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Talukder MR, Chu C, Rutherford S, Huang C, Phung D. The effect of high temperatures on risk of hospitalization in northern Vietnam. ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCE AND POLLUTION RESEARCH INTERNATIONAL 2022; 29:12128-12135. [PMID: 34561800 DOI: 10.1007/s11356-021-16601-8] [Citation(s) in RCA: 5] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/07/2021] [Accepted: 09/14/2021] [Indexed: 06/13/2023]
Abstract
Vietnam is one Southeast Asian country most vulnerable to climate change. By the end of the twenty-first century, temperature could rise above 5°C across Vietnam according to the IPCC highest emission pathway scenario. However, research on the temperature-health effects from the geographically diverse sub-tropical northern region of Vietnam is limited making location specific health system preparedness difficult. This study examines the elevated temperature-hospitalization relationship for the seven provinces in northern Vietnam by using generalized linear and distributed lag models. A random-effect meta-analysis was used to estimate the pooled temperature hospitalizations risks for all causes, and for infectious, cardiovascular, and respiratory diseases. The pooled estimates show a significant effect of high temperature on hospitalizations for the same day (lag 0), when a 1°C increase in temperature above 24°C was significantly associated with 1.1% (95% CI, 0.9-1.4%) increased risk for all-cause hospital admissions, 2.4% (95% CI, 1.9-2.9%) increased risk for infectious disease admissions, 0.5% (95% CI, 0.1-0.9%) increased risk for cardiovascular disease admissions, and 1.3% (95% CI, 0.9-1.6%) increased risk for respiratory disease admissions. This research adds to the scant evidence examining heat and health morbidity effects in sub-tropical climates and has important implications for better understanding and preparing for the future impacts of climate change related temperature on Vietnam residents.
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Affiliation(s)
- Mohammad Radwanur Talukder
- Menzies School of Health Research, Royal Darwin Hospital, Darwin, NT, Australia.
- Baker Heart and Diabetes Institute, Alice Springs Hospital, Alice Springs, NT, Australia.
| | - Cordia Chu
- Centre for Environment and Population Health, School of Medicine and Dentistry, Griffith University, Brisbane, Australia
| | - Shannon Rutherford
- School of Medicine and Dentistry, Griffith University, Gold Coast, Australia
| | | | - Dung Phung
- Centre for Environment and Population Health, School of Medicine and Dentistry, Griffith University, Brisbane, Australia.
- School of Medicine and Dentistry, Griffith University, Gold Coast, Australia.
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Zamanian Z, Yousefinejad S, Dehghan SF, Rahmani A. Hemato-Biochemical Responses Of Rats Co-Exposed To Heat Stress And Trichloroethylene Vapors. RUSSIAN OPEN MEDICAL JOURNAL 2021. [DOI: 10.15275/rusomj.2021.0405] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/09/2022] Open
Abstract
Aim — The present study was aimed to measure some hemato-biochemical parameters of male Sprague-Dawley rats co-exposed to different levels of heat stress and Trichloroethylene (TCE) exposure. Methods — All male rats were randomly divided into nine equal groups of 5 animals each. They were exposed to heat stress and TCE vapors in a subacute manner (8 hr/day for 10 days) according to experimental design. Blood samples were taken from the heart of all animals at the end of the 10th day of exposure. Hematology and biochemical parameters were determined using the automated hematology analyzer and an automated biochemistry, respectively. Results — The values of WBC, RBC and HB significantly decreased after co-exposure 250 ppm TCE and extreme heat stress; although, this exposure condition lead to statistically significant increase in mean levels of MCV, RDW, ALP, CPK and LDH. Our findings indicated that there were the subtractive and independent interactions for the hematological parameters and the additive, subtractive and independent interactions for biochemical parameters based on the exposure level to trichloroethylene and heat stress. Conclusion — Heat stress may increase sensitivity of workers to trichloroethylene and the simultaneous effects of exposure provide the circumstances for the occurrence of a variety of disorders.
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Zha Q, Chai G, Zhang ZG, Sha Y, Su Y. Effects of diurnal temperature range on cardiovascular disease hospital admissions in farmers in China's Western suburbs. ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCE AND POLLUTION RESEARCH INTERNATIONAL 2021; 28:64693-64705. [PMID: 34318420 DOI: 10.1007/s11356-021-15459-0] [Citation(s) in RCA: 19] [Impact Index Per Article: 4.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/20/2021] [Accepted: 07/12/2021] [Indexed: 06/13/2023]
Abstract
Cardiovascular disease (CVD), reported to relate with climate change, is the leading cause of global mortality and morbidity. Since the relevant information is quite limited from suburbs and countryside in developing and underdeveloped countries, there are no studies that focused on morbidity through diurnal temperature range (DTR) for these regions. This is the first study to evaluate the short-term effect of DTR on CVD hospital admission in suburban farmers, as well as to identify vulnerable subpopulations. Daily time series data of CVD hospital admissions on suburban farmers of Qingyang, China, and meteorological data from 2011 to 2015 were collected, and a distributed lag non-linear model (DLNM) combined with a quasi-Poisson generalized additive regression model (GAM) was used to examine the exposure-response relationship and delayed effect between DTR and CVD hospital admissions. Stratified analyses by age and gender were performed and extreme DTR effects were examined. Non-linear relation between DTR and CVD hospital admissions was observed, and whether DTR lower or higher than the reference (13 °C, 50th percentile) had adverse effect while lower DTR have slightly higher impact. Also, both extreme low and extreme high DTR had adverse effect. Besides, adults (age < 65) and males were more vulnerable to the effects of DTR compared with the old (age ≥ 65) and females, respectively. This study provides evidence that not only high DTR but also low DTR had adverse effects on CVD which should be paid attention to. Adults and males were more vulnerable among suburban farmers. The results are inconsistent with the studies from urban and indicate differences between urban and suburban residents. Multiple factors such as occupations, risk awareness, and lifestyles could have a significant influence on CVD morbidity, and further study is needed to explore more evidence.
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Affiliation(s)
- Qunwu Zha
- School of Management, Lanzhou University, Lanzhou, 730000, People's Republic of China
- Hospital Management Research Center, Lanzhou University, Lanzhou, 730000, People's Republic of China
- Research Center for Emergency Management, Lanzhou University, Lanzhou, 730000, People's Republic of China
| | - Guorong Chai
- School of Management, Lanzhou University, Lanzhou, 730000, People's Republic of China.
- Hospital Management Research Center, Lanzhou University, Lanzhou, 730000, People's Republic of China.
- Research Center for Emergency Management, Lanzhou University, Lanzhou, 730000, People's Republic of China.
| | - Zhe-George Zhang
- School of Management, Lanzhou University, Lanzhou, 730000, People's Republic of China.
- Department of Decision Sciences, Western Washington University, Bellingham, WA, 98225-9077, USA.
- Beedie School of Business, Simon Fraser University, Burnaby, BC, V5A 1S6, Canada.
| | - Yongzhong Sha
- School of Management, Lanzhou University, Lanzhou, 730000, People's Republic of China
- Hospital Management Research Center, Lanzhou University, Lanzhou, 730000, People's Republic of China
- Research Center for Emergency Management, Lanzhou University, Lanzhou, 730000, People's Republic of China
| | - Yana Su
- School of Management, Lanzhou University, Lanzhou, 730000, People's Republic of China
- College of Economics and Management, Lanzhou Institute of Technology, Lanzhou, 730050, People's Republic of China
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Khan K, Tanaka-Mizuno S, Turin TC, Takashima N, Kadota A, Ueshima H, Miura K, Kita Y. Relationship of Ambient Temperature Parameters to Stroke Incidence in a Japanese Population - Takashima Stroke Registry, Japan, 1988-2010. Circ J 2021; 85:2215-2221. [PMID: 34321376 DOI: 10.1253/circj.cj-21-0325] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/09/2022]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Using a population-based stroke registry system, we evaluated the relationship between ambient temperature parameters and stroke incidence in a Japanese population. METHODS AND RESULTS We analyzed data from the Takashima Stroke Registry, which records all stroke occurrences in Takashima City, Japan. The study period of 8,401 days was divided into quintiles of daily weather parameters, and the middle quintile was used as the reference category. Incidence rates (IR per 100,000 person-years) were calculated across the quintiles. Poisson regression analysis was used to calculate the effect of temperature parameters on stroke incidence. There were 2,405 first-ever strokes (1,294 men), including 1,625 ischemic, 545 cerebral hemorrhages, 213 subarachnoid hemorrhages, and 22 unclassified strokes. The stroke IR was higher in the middle quintile of average temperature, 357.3 (328.4-388.8), and for other parameters. After adjustment for age and sex, for all stroke, the incidence rate ratio (IRR) in the highest (Q5: IRR 0.81, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.71-0.92) and the second-highest (Q4: IRR 0.80, 95% CI 0.71-0.91) quintile was lower than that in the middle quintile (Q3: Reference). Analogous results were observed for the minimum, maximum, and lag-days temperatures, also in the subtypes and across ≥65 years of age, also in females. CONCLUSIONS Higher temperatures, irrespective of the parameter (average, minimum, or maximum), had a protective effect against stroke occurrence in Japan.
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Affiliation(s)
- Kawser Khan
- Department of Public Health, Shiga University of Medical Science
- National Heart Foundation Hospital and Research Institute
| | - Sachiko Tanaka-Mizuno
- Department of Medical Statistics, Shiga University of Medical Science
- Department of Digital Health and Epidemiology, Kyoto University
| | - Tanvir C Turin
- Department of Family Medicine, Cumming School of Medicine, University of Calgary
| | - Naoyuki Takashima
- Department of Public Health, Shiga University of Medical Science
- Department of Public Health, Kindai University, Faculty of Medicine
| | - Aya Kadota
- Department of Public Health, Shiga University of Medical Science
- NCD Epidemiology Research Center, Shiga University of Medical Science
| | - Hirotsugu Ueshima
- Department of Public Health, Shiga University of Medical Science
- NCD Epidemiology Research Center, Shiga University of Medical Science
| | - Katsuyuki Miura
- Department of Public Health, Shiga University of Medical Science
- NCD Epidemiology Research Center, Shiga University of Medical Science
| | - Yoshikuni Kita
- Department of Public Health, Shiga University of Medical Science
- Tsuruga Nursing University
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Extreme Heat and Cardiovascular Health: What a Cardiovascular Health Professional Should Know. Can J Cardiol 2021; 37:1828-1836. [PMID: 34802857 DOI: 10.1016/j.cjca.2021.08.008] [Citation(s) in RCA: 27] [Impact Index Per Article: 6.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/06/2021] [Revised: 07/23/2021] [Accepted: 08/09/2021] [Indexed: 01/22/2023] Open
Abstract
As global temperatures continue to rise, extreme heat events are becoming more frequent and intense. Extreme heat affects cardiovascular health as it is associated with a greater risk of adverse cardiovascular events, especially for adults with preexisting cardiovascular diseases. Nonetheless, the pathophysiology underlying the association between extreme heat and cardiovascular risk remains understudied. Furthermore, specific recommendations to mitigate the effects of extreme heat on cardiovascular health remain limited to guide clinical practice within the context of a warming climate. The overall objective of this review article is to raise awareness that extreme heat poses a risk for cardiovascular health. Specifically, the review discusses why cardiovascular healthcare professionals should care about extreme heat, how extreme heat affects cardiovascular health, and recommendations to minimise the cardiovascular consequences of extreme heat. Future research directions are also provided to further our understating of the cardiovascular health consequences of extreme heat. A better awareness and understanding of the cardiovascular consequences of extreme heat will help cardiovascular health professionals assess the risk and optimise the care of their patients exposed to an increasingly warm climate.
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Risk and Resilience: How Is the Health of Older Adults and Immigrant People Living in Canada Impacted by Climate- and Air Pollution-Related Exposures? INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH AND PUBLIC HEALTH 2021; 18:ijerph182010575. [PMID: 34682320 PMCID: PMC8535805 DOI: 10.3390/ijerph182010575] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/08/2021] [Revised: 10/02/2021] [Accepted: 10/06/2021] [Indexed: 12/20/2022]
Abstract
BACKGROUND In the rapidly shifting Canadian climate, an ageing population, and increased migration, a greater understanding of how local climate and air pollution hazards impact older adults and immigrant populations will be necessary for mitigating and adapting to adverse health impacts. OBJECTIVES To explore the reported health impacts of climate change and air pollution exposures in older adults and immigrant people living in Canada, identify known factors influencing risk and resilience in these populations and gaps in the literature. METHODS We searched for research focused on older adults and immigrants living in Canada, published from 2010 onward, where the primary exposures were related to climate or air pollution. We extracted data on setting, exposures, health outcomes, and other relevant contextual factors. RESULTS AND DISCUSSION We identified 52 eligible studies, most focused in Ontario and Quebec. Older people in Canada experience health risks due to climate and air pollution exposures. The extent of the risk depends on multiple factors. We found little information about the climate- and air pollution-related health impacts experienced by immigrant communities. CONCLUSIONS Further research about climate- and air pollution-related exposures, health, and which factors promote or reduce resiliency in Canada's older adults and immigrant communities is necessary.
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Association between extreme ambient temperature and onset of ischemic stroke: Time series study in Wuhan and Yichang, China. eNeurologicalSci 2021. [DOI: 10.1016/j.ensci.2021.100372] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 12/12/2022] Open
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