A prospective community-based study of stroke in Southern Italy: the Vibo Valentia incidence of stroke study (VISS). Methodology, incidence and case fatality at 28 days, 3 and 12 months

Case fatality and functional outcome after spontaneous subarachnoid haemorrhage: A systematic review and meta-analysis of time trends and regional variations in population-based studies

INTRODUCTION

A previous systematic review of population-based studies from 1973 to 2002 found a decrease in case fatality for spontaneous subarachnoid haemorrhage, but could not find a sufficient number of studies to assess changes in functional outcome. Since then, treatment has advanced distinctly. We assessed whether case fatality has decreased further and whether functional outcome has improved.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

We searched PubMed and Web of Science for new population-based studies using the same criteria as in our previous systematic review. We assessed changes in case fatality and functional outcome over time using linear regression.

RESULTS

We included 24 new studies with 827 patients and analysed 9542 patients described in 62 study periods between 1973 and 2017. Case fatality decreased by 0.3% (95% CI: -0.7 to 0.1) per year. In a sensitivity analysis excluding studies that did not provide 1-month outcome and outliers, the age and sex-adjusted decrease was 0.1% per year (95% CI: -0.9 to 0.6). The mean case fatality rate decreased from 47% (95% CI: 31-63) in the 1970s to 35% (95% CI: 30-39) in the 1990s, and remained stable in the 2000s (34%; 95% CI: 27-41) and 2010s (38%; 95% CI: 15-60). In 15 studies, the mean proportion of patients living independently increased by 0.2% per year (95%CI: -0.7 to 1.1) and the mean was 45% (95% CI: 39-50) in six studies that reported outcome after 12 months.

DISCUSSION AND CONCLUSION

From 1973 to 2017, the case-fatality rate of spontaneous subarachnoid haemorrhage declined overall by 13.5%, but remained stable over the last two decades. The data on time trends in functional outcome were inconclusive.

Sex Differences in the Epidemiology of Intracerebral Hemorrhage Over 10 Years in a Population-Based Stroke Registry

BACKGROUND

We investigated incidence and outcome of spontaneous intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH) in a population-based stroke registry and provided data to inform on the figures of the disease in women and in men.

METHODS AND RESULTS

Our prospective population-based registry included patients with first-ever ICH occurring from January 2011 to December 2020. Incidence rates were standardized to the 2011 Italian and European population, and incidence rate ratios were calculated. Multivariate hazard ratios for 30-day and 1-year fatality were estimated with Cox regression, including components of the ICH score and sex. We included 748 first-ever ICHs (41.3% women). Women were significantly older than men at ICH onset (78.9±12.6 versus 73.2±13.6 years; P<0.001) and showed higher clinical severity on presentation (median National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale score, 11 [interquartile range, 6-20] versus 9 [interquartile range, 4-15], respectively; P=0.016). The crude annual incidence rate was 20.2 (95% CI, 18.0-22.6) per 100 000 person-years in women and 30.2 (95% CI, 27.4-33.2) per 100 000 person-years in men); incidence was lower in women versus men (incidence rate ratio, 0.67 [95% CI, 0.58-0.78]; P<0.001) and did not change over time in both sexes (P for trend=0.073 and 0.904, respectively). Unadjusted comparison showed higher 1-year case-fatality rates in women versus men (48.5% versus 40.1%; P=0.026). After adjusting for components of the ICH score, female sex lost significance as a predictor of mortality.

CONCLUSIONS

We found lower ICH incidence in women than in men. However, women showed a higher 1-year case-fatality rate versus men, which was likely related to older age at ICH onset and higher clinical severity. Identification of factors explaining the reported differences is important to develop targeted interventions.

Case Fatality of Aneurysmal Subarachnoid Hemorrhage Varies by Geographic Region Within Finland: A Nationwide Register-Based Study

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES

Previous studies have reported a substantial between-country variation in the case fatality rates (CFRs) of aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage (SAH). However, contrary to comparisons among countries, nationwide comparisons within countries that focus on populations with equal access to health care and include out-of-hospital deaths in analyses are lacking. Thus, we aimed to investigate whether the SAH CFRs vary between geographic regions within Finland.

METHODS

We identified all hospitalized and nonhospitalized (sudden-death) cases with aneurysmal SAH in Finland during 1998-2017 through 2 externally validated nationwide registers. According to the municipality of residence, we divided the cases with SAH into 5 geographic regions: Southern, Central, Western, Northern, and Eastern Finland, each served by a University Central Hospital with a neurosurgical service. In addition to overall 30-day CFRs, we computed sudden death rates and 30-day CFRs after hospitalization for each region. Using logistic and Poisson regression models, we calculated regional age-adjusted, sex-adjusted, and year-adjusted odds ratios and annual percent changes with 95% CIs for CFRs.

RESULTS

During 1998-2017, we identified a total of 9,443 cases with SAH, of which 3,484 (36.9%) occurred in Southern Finland. In comparison with the overall 30-day CFR of Southern Finland (35.1%), the age-adjusted, sex-adjusted, and study year-adjusted odds of SAH death were 32% (16%-50%) higher in Central Finland (42.7%), 39% (23%-58%) higher in Eastern Finland (43.4%), and 52% (33%-74%) higher in Western Finland (47.1%). The regional differences were present among both sexes, in all age groups, in sudden death rates, and in 30-day CFRs after hospitalization. Between 1998 and 2017, the overall 30-day CFRs decreased in Central (2.4% [1.0%-3.8%] per year) and Southern (1.2% [0.2%-2.2%] per year) Finland, whereas CFRs remained stable in the other regions. In the last 4 years of the study period (2014-2017), Southern Finland had the lowest 30-day CFR (16.5%) among hospitalized patients.

DISCUSSION

SAH CFRs seem to vary significantly even within a country with relatively equal access to health care. Future studies with detailed individual-level data are needed to explore whether health inequities explain the reported findings.

Epidemiology of intracerebral hemorrhage: A systematic review and meta-analysis

Background

Intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH) is associated with high mortality and disability rates. This study aimed to investigate the relationship between sex, age, study year, risk factors, bleeding site, median year of study, and the incidence of ICH.

Method

Literature on the incidence of ICH published on 1 January 1980 and 1 January 2020, was systematically retrieved from PubMed and Embase databases. The random-effects model and subgroup analysis were used to explore the relationship between the incidence of ICH and different ages, sex, bleeding sites, and risk factors.

Results

We summarized the epidemiological changes in ICH in the past 40 years according to 52 studies and found that the total incidence of ICH is 29.9 per 100,000 person-years (95% CI: 26.5–33.3), which has not decreased worldwide. The incidence of ICH in the Asian population is much higher than in other continents. In addition, the incidence of ICH increases with age and differs at the 85-year-old boundary. Men are more likely to develop ICH than women, and the basal ganglia region is the most common area for ICH. Of the 10 risk factors examined in this study, those with hypertension had the highest incidence of ICH, followed by those with excessive alcohol consumption and heart disease.

Conclusion

The prevention and treatment of ICH still need to be improved continuously according to age, sex, risk factors, and other factors, and targeted and normative strategies should be gradually developed in the future.

Incidence and Long-Term Survival of Spontaneous Intracerebral Hemorrhage Over Time: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

Background and Purpose

Recent epidemiological data indicate that the absolute number of hemorrhagic stroke cases increased by 47% between 1990 and 2010 and continued to cause high rates of death and disability. The last systematic review and meta-analysis of incidence and long-term survival of intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH) were published 11 and 7 years ago, respectively, and lacked comparison between different income groups, therefore, a more up to date analysis is needed. We aim to investigate the ICH incidence and long-term survival data in countries of different income groups.

Materials Methods

We systematically searched Ovid Medline for population-based longitudinal studies of first-ever spontaneous ICH published from January 2000 to December 2020. We performed meta-analyses on the incidence and survival rate in countries of 4 different income groups with random-effects models (severe inconsistency). The I² was used to measure the heterogeneity. Heterogeneity was further investigated by conducting the meta-regression on the study mid-year. Time trends of the survival rate were assessed by weighted linear regression.

Results

We identified 84 eligible papers, including 68 publications reporting incidence and 24 publications on the survival rate. The pooled incidence of ICH per 100,000 per person-years was 26.47 (95% CI: 21.84–32.07) worldwide, 25.9 (95% CI: 22.63–29.63) in high-income countries (HIC), 28.45 (95% CI: 15.90–50.88) in upper-middle-income countries, and 31.73 (95% CI: 18.41–54.7) in lower-middle-income countries. The 1-year pooled survival rate was from 50% (95% CI: 47–54%; n = 4,380) worldwide to 50% (95% CI: 47–54%) in HIC, and 46% (95% CI: 38–55%) in upper-middle income countries. The 5-year pooled survival rate was 41% (95% CI: 35–48%; n = 864) worldwide, 41% (95% CI: 32–50%) in high-income and upper-middle countries. No publications were found reporting the long-term survival in lower-middle-income and low-income countries. No time trends in incidence or survival were found by meta-regression.

Conclusion

The pooled ICH incidence was highest in lower-middle-income countries. About half of ICH patients survived 1 year, and about two-fifths survived 5 years. Reliable population-based studies estimating the ICH incidence and long-term survival in low-income and low-middle-income countries are needed to help prevention of ICH.

Systematic Review Registration

https://www.crd.york.ac.uk/prospero/display_record.php?RecordID=170140, PROSPERO CRD42020170140.

Association between Plasma Osmolality and Case Fatality within 1 Year after Severe Acute Ischemic Stroke

PURPOSE

Plasma osmolality, a marker of dehydration, is associated with cardiovascular mortality. We aimed to investigate whether elevated plasma osmolality is associated with case fatality within 1 year after severe acute ischemic stroke.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

We included severe ischemic stroke patients (defined as National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale ≥15 score) within 24 hours from symptom onset admitted to the Department of Neurology, West China Hospital between January 2017 and June 2019. Admission plasma osmolality was calculated using the equation 1.86*(sodium+potassium)+1.15*glucose+urea+14. Elevated plasma osmolality was defined as plasma osmolality >296 mOsm/kg, indicating a state of dehydration. Study outcomes included 3-month and 1-year case fatalities. Multivariable logistic regression was performed to determine independent associations between plasma osmolality and case fatalities at different time points.

RESULTS

A total of 265 patients with severe acute ischemic stroke were included. The mean age was 71.2±13.1 years, with 51.3% being males. Among the included patients, case fatalities were recorded for 31.7% (84/265) at 3 months and 39.6% (105/265) at 1 year. Elevated plasma osmolality (dehydration) was associated with 3-month case fatality [odds ratio (OR) 1.98, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.07-3.66, p=0.029], but not 1-year case fatality (OR 1.51, 95% CI 0.84-2.72, p=0.165), after full adjustment for confounding factors.

CONCLUSION

Elevated plasma osmolality was independently associated with 3-month case fatality, but not 1-year case fatality, for severe acute ischemic stroke.

Incidence rate and age of onset of first stroke from CT scan examinations in Cape Coast metropolis

Introduction

The trends in the incidence and age of onset of first stroke is lacking in Ghana and with an increasing elderly population, such trends are projected to increase in developing countries. Through the review of Computed Tomography (CT) scan examinations and patients’ records; we assessed the incidence rate and age of onset of first stroke in Cape Coast Metropolis.

Methods

This study retrospectively reviewed all imaging records and clinical data of all stroke patients referred for CT scans in the radiology department of the Cape Coast Teaching Hospital (CCTH) between January 2017 and December 2019. All CT confirmed cases of stroke were classified as either hemorrhagic stroke or ischemic stroke. Age adjusted annual incidence rate with 95% Confidence Intervals (CIs) were calculated assuming a Poisson distribution. Mean difference were tested using one way Analysis of Variance (ANOVA).

Results

840 patients with first onset of stroke were identified, comprising 417 (49.6%) males and 423 (50.4%) females. There was a statistically significant difference in the mean age of onset of first stroke in males (61.47 ± 13.36 years) and in females (63.41 ± 15.41 years), p = 0.049. The incidence of first stroke for the entire age categories were higher in males compared to the same age categories in females, except for patients aged 35–44 years in 2017, 25–34 years in 2018, 15–24 years and 75 years or older age groups in 2019. Males had hemorrhagic stroke at an older age (64.41 ± 15.31 years) compared to ischemic stroke (60.40 ± 12.42 years) in this study. This difference was statistically significant (p = 0.014). There was no significant difference in the mean age of onset of first stroke for the respective years under study: F (3, 836) = 0.693, P = 0.500.

Conclusion

The findings of this study imply that the incidence rate of stroke is higher in males than in females and increases with age. The majority of the strokes were ischemic.

Stroke incidence and case fatality: a 9-year prospective population-based study in an elderly population of Bagheria, Italy

Background

The incidence of stroke in high-income countries has been on the decline; however, few epidemiological surveys have been conducted in recent years to specifically estimate the incidence along with outcome of stroke, in Italy. This study aimed to examine the incidence and case fatality rates of stroke in an elderly Italian population.

Methods

A cohort of 2200 people > 65 years was randomly stratified from the total elderly population of Bagheria, Italy. A 9-year prospective population-based study was performed (19,800 person/years).

Results

We identified 112 first-ever strokes, 53 females and 59 males: 82 (73.1%) ischemic, 13(11.6%) intracerebral haemorrhages, 6 (5.35%) subarachnoid haemorrhages, while 11(9.8%) were classified as undetermined strokes. The crude overall annual incidence was 5.65 per 1000 (95%CI: 4.61 to 6.70) for first-ever stroke. The overall crude incidence rates were 4.74 per 1000 (5.08 for males and 4.46 for females) for ischemic stroke, 0.65 (0.99 for males and 0.37 for females) for intracerebral haemorrhage, and 0.03 for subarachnoid haemorrhage. The incidence rate for first-ever stroke was 5.4 per 1000 (95% CI: 5.36 to 5.45) after adjustment for the 2015 World population and 5.56 (95% CI: 5.52 to 5.61), compared to the 2015 European population. Overall case fatality rates for first-ever stroke was 8.19% at 28 days and 24.1% at 1 year.

Conclusion

Our study shows that in the elderly population investigated, stroke incidence and case fatality rates resulted being lower, compared to those from Italian and most European populations. Similar to previous studies, these rates increased linearly with age and were higher in males.

Trends in One Month and One Year Hemorrhagic Stroke Case Fatality Rates in the Czech Republic between 1998 and 2015

BACKGROUND

This retrospective cross-sectional study reports 1 month and 1 year intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH) and subarachnoid hemorrhage (SAH) case fatality rates and their temporal trends in the Czech Republic between 1998 and 2015.

METHODS

Utilizing the National Register of Hospitalized Patients, we randomly selected 600 patients hospitalized for ICH and 600 patients hospitalized for SAH for each year from 1998 to 2015, and identified those who died, regardless of cause, using the Czech National Mortality Registry. We calculated crude and age-adjusted 1 month and 1 year case fatality rates for ICH and SAH. Long-term trends of the crude rates were analyzed using a one-sided Cochran Armitage test.

RESULTS

A total of 21,600 cases hospitalized for SAH and ICH (10,800 for each) between 1998 and 2015 were randomly selected for analysis. One month case fatality of SAH overall and in women has decreased by 0.2% (P = .006) and 0.3% per year (P = .04), respectively. Overall 1 year case fatality of SAH has decreased by 0.2% per year (P = .03). One month case fatality rate of ICH overall and in men has decreased by 0.2% (p=0.01) and 0.4% (P = .0007), respectively. One year case fatality of ICH in men has decreased by 0.2% per year (P = .047).

CONCLUSIONS

One month and 1 year case fatality rates for SAH and ICH have been decreasing in the Czech Republic between 1998 and 2015, and are similar or lower than those reported from other developed European countries.

Global Stroke Statistics 2019

BACKGROUND

Data on stroke epidemiology and availability of hospital-based stroke services around the world are important for guiding policy decisions and healthcare planning.

AIMS

To provide the most current incidence, mortality and case-fatality data on stroke and describe current availability of stroke units around the world by country.

METHODS

We searched multiple databases (based on our existing search strategy) to identify new original manuscripts and review articles published between 1 June 2016 and 31 October 2018 that met the ideal criteria for data on stroke incidence and case-fatality. For data on the availability of hospital-based stroke services, we searched PubMed for all literature published up until 31 June 2018. We further screened reference lists, citation history of manuscripts and gray literature for this information. Mortality codes for International Classification of Diseases-9 and International Classification of Diseases-10 were extracted from the World Health Organization mortality database for each country providing these data. Population denominators were obtained from the World Health Organization, and when these were unavailable within a two-year period of mortality data, population denominators within a two-year period were obtained from the United Nations. Using country-specific population denominators and the most recent years of mortality data available for each country, we calculated both the crude mortality from stroke and mortality adjusted to the World Health Organization world population.

RESULTS

Since our last report in 2017, there were two countries with new incidence studies, China (n = 1) and India (n = 2) that met the ideal criteria. New data on case-fatality were found for Estonia and India. The most current mortality data were available for the year 2015 (39 countries), 2016 (43 countries), and 2017 (7 countries). No new data on mortality were available for six countries. Availability of stroke units was noted for 63 countries, and the proportion of patients treated in stroke units was reported for 35/63 countries.

CONCLUSION

Up-to-date data on stroke incidence, case-fatality, and mortality statistics provide evidence of variation among countries and changing magnitudes of burden among high and low-middle income countries. Reporting of hospital-based stroke units remains limited and should be encouraged.

Worldwide Incidence of Aneurysmal Subarachnoid Hemorrhage According to Region, Time Period, Blood Pressure, and Smoking Prevalence in the Population: A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis

Importance

Subarachnoid hemorrhage (SAH) from ruptured intracranial aneurysms is a subset of stroke with high fatality and morbidity. Better understanding of a change in incidence over time and of factors associated with this change could facilitate primary prevention.

Objective

To assess worldwide SAH incidence according to region, age, sex, time period, blood pressure, and smoking prevalence.

Data Sources

We searched PubMed, Web of Science, and Embase for studies on SAH incidence published between January 1960 and March 2017. Worldwide blood pressure and smoking prevalence data were extracted from the Noncommunicable Disease Risk Factor and Global Burden of Disease data sets.

Study Selection

Population-based studies with prospective designs representative of the entire study population according to predefined criteria.

Data Extraction and Synthesis

Two reviewers independently extracted data according to PRISMA guidelines. Incidence of SAH was calculated per 100 000 person-years, and risk ratios (RRs) including 95% CIs were calculated with multivariable random-effects binomial regression. The association of SAH incidence with blood pressure and smoking prevalence was assessed with linear regression.

Main Outcomes and Measures

Incidence of SAH.

Results

A total of 75 studies from 32 countries were included. These studies comprised 8176 patients with SAH were studied over 67 746 051 person-years. Overall crude SAH incidence across all midyears was 7.9 (95% CI, 6.9-9.0) per 100 000 person-years; the RR for women was 1.3 (95% CI, 0.98-1.7). Compared with men aged 45 to 54 years, the RR in Japanese women older than 75 years was 2.5 (95% CI, 1.8-3.4) and in European women older than 75 years was 1.5 (95% CI, 0.9-2.5). Global SAH incidence declined from 10.2 (95% CI, 8.4-12.5) per 100 000 person-years in 1980 to 6.1 (95% CI, 4.9-7.5) in 2010 or by 1.7% (95% CI, 0.6-2.8) annually between 1955 and 2014. Incidence of SAH declined between 1980 and 2010 by 40.6% in Europe, 46.2% in Asia, and 14.0% in North America and increased by 59.1% in Japan. The global SAH incidence declined with every millimeter of mercury decrease in systolic blood pressure by 7.1% (95% CI, 5.8-8.4) and with every percentage decrease in smoking prevalence by 2.4% (95% CI, 1.6-3.3).

Conclusions and Relevance

Worldwide SAH incidence and its decline show large regional differences and parallel the decrease in blood pressure and smoking prevalence. Understanding determinants for regional differences and further reducing blood pressure and smoking prevalence may yield a diminished SAH burden.

Intracerebral hemorrhage outcome: A comprehensive update

Non-traumatic intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH) is associated with a significant global burden of disease, and despite being proportionally less frequent than ischemic stroke, in 2010 it was associated with greater worldwide disability-adjusted life years lost. The focus of outcome assessment after ICH has been mortality in most studies, because of the high early case fatality which reaches 40% in some population-based studies. The most robust and consistent predictors of early mortality include age, severity of neurological impairment, hemorrhage volume and antithrombotic therapy at the time of the event. Long-term outcome assessment is multifaceted and includes not only mortality and functional outcome, but also patient self-assessment of the health-related quality of life, occurrence of cognitive impairment, psychiatric disorders, epileptic seizures, recurrent ICH and subsequent thromboembolic events. Several scores which predict mortality and functional outcome after ICH have been validated and are useful in the daily clinical practice, however they must be used in combination with the clinical judgment for individualized patients. Management of patients with ICH both in the acute and chronic phases, requires health care professionals to have a comprehensive and updated perspective on outcome, which informs decisions that are needed to be taken together with the patient and next of kin.

Impact of acute-phase complications and interventions on 6-month survival after stroke. A prospective observational study

The outcome of stroke patients is complex and multidimensional. We evaluated the impact of acute-phase variables, including clinical state, complications, resource use and interventions, on 6-month survival after first-ever stroke, taking into account baseline conditions exerting a possible effect on outcome.

As part of a National Research Program, we performed a prospective observational study of acute stroke patients in four Italian Regions. Consecutive patients admitted for a period of 3 months to the emergency rooms of participating hospitals were included.

A total of 1030 patients were enrolled (median age 76.0 years, 52.1% males). At 6 months, 816 (79.2%) were alive, and 164 (15.9%) deceased. Survival status at the 6-month follow-up was missing for 50 (4.9%). Neurological state in the acute phase was significantly worse in patients deceased at 6 months, who showed also higher frequency of acute-phase complications. Cox regression analysis adjusted for demographics, pre-stroke function, baseline diseases and risk factors, indicated as significant predictors of 6-month death altered consciousness (HR, 1.70; 95% CI, 1.14–2.53), total anterior circulation infarct (HR, 2.13; 95% CI, 1.44–3.15), hyperthermia (HR, 1.70; 95% CI, 1.18–2.45), pneumonia (HR, 1.76; 95% CI, 1.18–2.61), heart failure (HR, 2.87; 95% CI, 1.34–6.13) and nasogastric feeding (HR, 2.35; 95% CI, 1.53–3.60), while antiplatelet therapy during acute phase (HR, 0.56; 95% CI, 0.39–0.79), and early mobilisation (HR, 0.55; 95% CI, 0.36–0.84) significantly increased 6-month survival.

In a prospective observational study, stroke severity and some acute-phase complications, potentially modifiable, significantly increased the risk of 6-month death, independently of baseline variables. Early mobilisation positively affected survival, highlighting the role of early rehabilitation after stroke.

Clinical Implications of Switching Lipid Lowering Treatment from Rosuvastatin to Other Agents in Primary Care

Introduction

Switching from any statin to another non-equipotent lipid lowering treatment (LLT) may cause a low-density lipoprotein cholesterol increase and has been associated with a higher probability of negative cardiovascular outcomes. The aim of the study was to assess the impact of switching from rosuvastatin to any other LLT on clinical outcomes in primary care.

Methods

This was a retrospective analysis based on data from IMS Health Longitudinal Patient Database, which is a general practice database including information of more than 1.0 million patients representative of the Italian population by age, and medical conditions. Patients that started on rosuvastatin (10–40 mg/day) between January 2011 and December 2013 were considered. The date of the first prescription was defined as the index date (ID). The observation period lasted from the ID to September 2015 or until LLT discontinuation, or the occurrence of an acute myocardial infarction (AMI), or death.

Results

The primary end point of the study was the occurrence of an AMI during the observation period. The final study population included 10,368 patients. During the observation period, 2452 (23.6%) patients were switched from rosuvastatin to another LLT. The majority of patients (55.6%) were switched to atorvastatin, followed by simvastatin (24.9%), simvastatin/ezetimibe combination (10.0%) and other statins (9.5%). Female gender (HR, hazard ratio, 1.10, 95% CI, confidence interval, 1.02–1.19, p = 0.04) and the presence of chronic kidney disease (HR 1.47, 95% CI 1.16–1.86, p = 0.05) were associated with a higher probability of switch. During the observation period, 113 patients experienced an AMI (incidence of 6.7 AMI/1000 patient-years). Multivariate analysis with Cox proportional hazards method, including switching as a time-dependent covariate, demonstrated that changing from rosuvastatin to another LLT was an independent predictor of AMI (HR 2.2, 95% CI 1.4–3.5, p = 0.001).

Conclusion

We conclude that switching from rosuvastatin to another non-equipotent LLT may impart an increased risk of AMI and should be avoided.

Funding

AstraZeneca SpA.

Global stroke statistics

Background Up to date data on incidence, mortality, and case-fatality for stroke are important for setting the agenda for prevention and healthcare. Aims and/or hypothesis We aim to update the most current incidence and mortality data on stroke available by country, and to expand the scope to case-fatality and explore how registry data might be complementary. Methods Data were compiled using two approaches: (1) an updated literature review building from our previous review and (2) direct acquisition and analysis of stroke events in the World Health Organization (WHO) mortality database for each country providing these data. To assess new and/or updated data on incidence, we searched multiple databases to identify new original papers and review articles that met ideal criteria for stroke incidence studies and were published between 15 May 2013 and 31 May 2016. For data on case-fatality, we searched between 1980 and 31 May 2016. We further screened reference lists and citation history of papers to identify other studies not obtained from these sources. Mortality codes for ICD-8, ICD-9, and ICD-10 were extracted. Using population denominators provided for each country, we calculated both the crude mortality from stroke and mortality adjusted to the WHO world population. We used only the most recent year reported to the WHO for which both population and mortality data were available. Results Fifty-one countries had data on stroke incidence, some with data over many time periods, and some with data in more than one region. Since our last review, there were new incidence studies from 12 countries, with four meeting pre-determined quality criteria. In these four studies, the incidence of stroke, adjusted to the WHO World standard population, ranged from 76 per 100,000 population per year in Australia (2009-10) up to 119 per 100,000 population per year in New Zealand (2011-12), with the latter being in those aged at least 15 years. Only in Martinique (2011-12) was the incidence of stroke greater in women than men. In countries either lacking or with old data on stroke incidence, eight had national clinical registries of hospital based data. Of the 128 countries reporting mortality data to the WHO, crude mortality was greatest in Kazhakstan (in 2003), Bulgaria, and Greece. Crude mortality and crude incidence of stroke were both positively correlated with the proportion of the population aged ≥ 65 years, but not with time. Data on case-fatality were available in 42 studies in 22 countries, with large variations between regions. Conclusions In this updated review, we describe the current data on stroke incidence, case-fatality and mortality in different countries, and highlight the growing trend for national clinical registries to provide estimates in lieu of community-based incidence studies.

Increased incidence of subarachnoid hemorrhage during cold temperatures and influenza epidemics

OBJECTIVE

This study investigated whether the increased incidence of aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage (SAH) in winter is related to temperature or increased incidence of influenza. Such relationships may elucidate the pathogenesis of intracranial aneurysm rupture.

METHODS

A nationwide sample of 18,714 patients with SAH was linked with weekly temperature and influenza-like illness consultation data. Poisson regression analyses were used to calculate incidence density ratios (IDRs) with corresponding 95% CIs for the association of SAH incidence with temperature and influenza epidemics; IDRs were adjusted for study year (aIDR). In addition, SAH incidence data from 30 European population-based studies were linked with daily temperature data from the European Climate Assessment.

RESULTS

The aIDR for SAH during influenza epidemics was 1.061 (95% CI 1.022–1.101) in the univariable and 1.030 (95% CI 0.989–1.074) in the multivariable analysis. This association declined gradually during the weeks after epidemics. Per 1°C temperature drop, the aIDR was 1.005 (95% CI 1.003–1.008) in the univariable and 1.004 (95% CI 1.002–1.007) in the multivariable analysis. In the European population-based studies, the IDR was 1.143 (95% CI 1.129–1.157) per 1°C temperature drop.

CONCLUSIONS

The incidence of SAH is increased during cold temperatures and epidemic influenza. Future studies with individual patient data are needed to investigate causality between temperature or influenza and SAH.

Genetics of ischaemic stroke in young adults

Background

Stroke may be a clinical expression of several inherited disorders in humans. Recognition of the underlined genetic disorders causing stroke is important for a correct diagnosis, for genetic counselling and, even if rarely, for a correct therapeutic management. Moreover, the genetics of complex diseases such the stroke, in which multiple genes interact with environmental risk factors to increase risk, has been revolutionized by the Genome-Wide Association Study (GWAS) approach.

Scope of review

Here we review the single-gene causes of ischemic stroke, bringing the reader from the candidate gene method toward the exciting new horizons of genetic technology.

Major conclusions

The aetiological diagnosis of ischemic stroke in young adults is more complex than in the elderly. The identification of a genetic cause is important to provide appropriate counseling and to start a correct therapy, when available. The advent of GWAS technology, such as for other complex pathological conditions, has contributed enormously to the understanding of many of these genetic bases. For success large, well phenotyped case cohorts are required, and international collaborations are essential.

General significance

This review focuses on the main causes of genetically-based ischemic stroke in young adults, often classified as indeterminate, investigating also the recent findings of the GWAS, in order to improve diagnostic and therapeutic management.

•

The aetiological diagnosis of stroke in young adults needs a different and more complex diagnostic work up than in older adults.

•

Stroke may be a clinical expression of several inherited disorders in humans.

•

The most common genetic causes of stroke are CADASIL, Fabry and mitochondrial diseases.

•

Recognition of the underlined genetic disorders causing stroke is important for the correct management of the patient.

Global stroke statistics

In many countries, stroke is a lower priority than other diseases despite its public health impact. One issue is a lack of readily accessible comparative data to help make the case for the development of national stroke strategies. To assist in this process, we need to have a common repository of the latest published information on the impact of stroke worldwide. We aim to provide a repository of the most current incidence and mortality data on stroke available by country and illustrate the gaps in these data. We plan to update this repository annually and expand the scope to address other aspects of the burden of stroke. Data were compiled using two approaches: (1) an extensive literature review with a major focus on published systematic reviews on stroke incidence (between 1980 and May 14, 2013); and (2) direct acquisition and collation of data from the World Health Organization to present the most current estimates of stroke mortality for each country recognized by the World Health Organization. For mortality, ICD8, ICD9, and ICD10 mortality codes were extracted. Using population denominators crude stroke mortality was calculated, as well as adjusting for the World Health Organization world population. We used only the most recent year reported to the World Health Organization. Incidence rates for stroke were available for 52 countries, with some countries having incidence studies undertaken in more than one region. When adjusted to the World Health Organization world standard population, incidence rates for stroke ranged from 41 per 100 000 population per year in Nigeria (1971-74) to 316/ 100 000/year in urban Dar-es-Salaam (Tanzania). Some regions had three to fivefold greater incidence than other countries. Of the 123 countries reporting mortality data, crude mortality was greatest in Kazhakstan (in 2003). In many regions data were very old or nonexistent. Such country-level data are important for citizens, clinicians, and policy makers so that local and global strategies to reduce the overall burden of stroke can be implemented. Through this first annual review of country-specific stroke epidemiology, we hope to promote discussion and provide insights into the worldwide burden of stroke.

Stroke types in rural and urban northern portugal: incidence and 7-year survival in a community-based study

BACKGROUND/AIM

Differences in stroke incidence and mortality between regions could stem from differences in the incidence of particular stroke types and long-term prognosis. The aim of this study was to investigate whether different risk profiles and stroke types underlie the difference in stroke incidence and patient long-term survival in rural and urban populations.

METHODS

All suspected first-ever-in-a-lifetime strokes occurring between October 1998 and September 2000 in 37,290 residents of rural municipalities and in 86,023 individuals living in the city of Porto were entered into a population-based registry. Standard definitions of stroke types and overlapping comprehensive sources of information were used for patient identification. Patients were examined by neurologists at 3 months, 1 year and 7 years after the index event.

RESULTS

From a total of 688 patients included (226 in rural and 462 in urban areas), 76.2% had an ischaemic stroke (IS; 75.3 vs. 77.9%), 16.1% a primary intracerebral haemorrhage (PICH; 16.3 vs. 14.6%) and 3.3% a subarachnoid haemorrhage (SAH; 2.7 vs. 3.7%); in 4.4% (4.9 vs. 4.1%), the stroke type could not be determined. The annual incidence rate per 1,000 was 2.13 (95% CI, 1.95-2.31), 0.45 (95% CI, 0.37-0.53), 0.09 (95% CI, 0.06-0.14) and 0.12 (95% CI, 0.08-0.17), respectively. The age-specific rural/urban incidence rate ratios for IS in the youngest group (<55 years) was 0.27 (95% CI, 0.11-0.69), increasing to 1.47 (95% CI, 1.07-2.01) for those aged 65-74 years and to 1.87 (95% CI, 1.39-2.52) for those between 75 and 84 years. Rural compared to urban patients with an IS were predominantly men, had a prevalence ratio (PR) of 1.28 (95% CI, 1.05-1.56), were 65 years or older (PR = 1.18; 95% CI, 1.08-1.30) and had in general a lower prevalence of risk factors. There was no evidence of rural/urban differences in 28-day case fatality for the stroke types, although IS tended to be less fatal among urban patients (10.3 vs. 13.1%), whereas PICH (33.3 vs. 24.2%) and SAH (35.3 vs. 16.7%) were less fatal among rural patients. Independently of rural/urban residence, predictors of poor survival after the acute phase (28 days) were age >65 years (HR = 3.57; 95% CI, 2.6-4.9), diabetes (HR = 1.5; 95% CI, 1.2-1.9), ischaemic heart disease (HR = 1.8; 95% CI, 1.3-2.6), atrial fibrillation (HR = 1.5; 95% CI, 1.1-2.0) and smoking habits (HR = 1.6; 95% CI, 1.1-2.3).

CONCLUSIONS

The age pattern of IS incidence marks the difference between rural and urban populations; the youngest urban and the oldest rural residents were at a higher risk. Although patients from rural areas were older, the relatively lower prevalence of simultaneously occurring risk and prognostic factors among them as well as the similar management of rural and urban patients may justify why rurality is not associated with long-term survival.

Cardiac workup of ischemic stroke

Stroke is the leading cause of disability in developed countries and the third cause of mortality. Up to 15-30% of ischemic strokes are caused by cardiac sources of emboli being associated with poor prognosis and high index of fatal recurrence. In order to establish an adequate preventive strategy it is crucial to identify the cause of the embolism. After a complete diagnostic workup up to 30% of strokes remain with an undetermined cause, and most of them are attributed to an embolic mechanism suggesting a cardiac origin.There is no consensus in the extent and optimal approach of cardiac workup of ischemic stroke. Clinical features along with brain imaging and the study of the cerebral vessels with ultrasonography or MRI/CT based angiography can identify other causes or lead to think about a possible cardioembolic origin.Atrial fibrillation is the most common cause of cardioembolic stroke. Identification of occult atrial fibrillation is essential. Baseline ECG, serial ECG('s), cardiac monitoring during the first 48 hours, and Holter monitoring have detection rates varying from 4 to 8% each separately. Extended cardiac monitoring with event loop recorders has shown higher rates of detection of paroxysmal atrial fibrillation.Cardiac imaging with echocardiography is necessary to identify structural sources of emboli. There is insufficient data to determine which is the optimal approach. Transthoracic echocardiography has an acceptable diagnostic yield in patients with heart disease but transesophageal echocardiography has a higher diagnostic yield and is necessary if no cardiac sources have been identified in patients with cryptogenic stroke with embolic mechanism.

Epidemiology of stroke in Italy

This study reviews available data on stroke epidemiology in Italy. Data were identified through Medline/PubMed, Embase, and from reference lists, related articles, and citation lists of each of the retrieved papers. Nineteen papers were considered, referring to selected stroke-registers performed in seven different geographical areas: Acquaviva-Casamassima county, Aeolian Islands, Aosta district, Belluno district, L'Aquila district, Trasimeno area, and Vibo Valentia district. Registers covered a total population of 2 262 940 people, with a hospitalization rate from 82% to 98%. The mean age at stroke onset was 74·6 ± 1·1 years, 72·3 years in men and 76·6 years in women. Among all strokes: • 67·3-82·6% were classified ischemic • 9·9-19·6% as primary intracerebral hemorrhage • 1·6-4·0% as sub-arachnoid hemorrhage, and • 1·2-17·7% as undetermined. Annual incidence rates standardized to the Italian population ranged from 175/1 00 000 to 360/1 00 000 in men and from 130/1 00 000 to 273/1 00 000 in women. Thirty-day case-fatality rates for all strokes ranged from 18·1% to 33·0% while one-year case-fatality rates ranged from 37·9% to 40·2%. Data from selected Italian registers on stroke incidence and case-fatality indicate the great burden of the disease on our national healthcare system. The continuous implementation of preventive strategies, either population-based or addressed to the single patient at a high risk of stroke, is important to reduce the burden of the disease.

The Tayside Stroke Cohort: exploiting advanced regional medical informatics to create a region-wide database for studying the pharmacoepidemiology of stroke

PURPOSE

Observational studies can provide valuable information where data from randomised controlled trials is lacking. We aimed to generate a region-wide longitudinal register of stroke patients using record-linkage of existing clinical and research datasets.

METHODS

The population were residents of Tayside, Scotland from 1994-2005. Stroke cases were identified from hospital inpatient admission records, death certificates and prescribing data. These were augmented with data derived from free-text CT-brain scan reports. Strokes were classified as intracerebral haemorrhage (ICH), subarachnoid haemorrhage (SAH) or ischaemic stroke (IS). The methodology was validated by audit of patient case-records. The incidence was calculated using direct standardisation to the standard European population for ages 45-84. Twenty-eight day case-fatality rates were calculated as percentages.

RESULTS

There were 12 620 all-cause incident strokes (ICH 1057; SAH 511; IS 6257; undetermined 4795). Standardised incidences per 100 000 by subtypes of stroke were: ICH 35 (95%CI 33-38), SAH 19 (17-22) and IS 210 (205-217). The 28-day case-fatality rates were: ICH 49% (95%CI 46-52), SAH 38% (34-43) and IS 19% (18-20). Comparisons with previous studies were favourable for ICH and SAH. For IS the incidence was lower and fatality rate higher than elsewhere. Three hundred and three sets of patient case records were audited. The positive predictive value (PPV) for identifying cases of stroke was 94.7% (95%CI 91.6-96.7).

CONCLUSIONS

The case ascertainment in the TSC compares favourably to established stroke cohorts. This cost effective resource can now be linked with multiple other clinical and research datasets in Tayside to further understanding of stroke and its treatment.

Time trends in outcome of subarachnoid hemorrhage: Population-based study and systematic review

BACKGROUND

Treatment of aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage (SAH) has changed substantially over the last 25 years but there is a lack of reliable population-based data on whether case-fatality or functional outcomes have improved.

METHODS

We determined changes in the standardized incidence and outcome of SAH in the same population between 1981 and 1986 (Oxford Community Stroke Project) and 2002 and 2008 (Oxford Vascular Study). In a meta-analysis with other population-based studies, we used linear regression to determine time trends in outcome.

RESULTS

There were no reductions in incidence of SAH (RR = 0.79, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.48-1.29, p = 0.34) and in 30-day case-fatality (RR = 0.67, 95% CI 0.39-1.13, p = 0.14) in the Oxford Vascular Study vs Oxford Community Stroke Project, but there was a decrease in overall mortality (RR = 0.47, 0.23-0.97, p = 0.04). Following adjustment for age and baseline SAH severity, patients surviving to hospital had reduced risk of death or dependency (modified Rankin score > 3) at 12 months in the Oxford Vascular Study (RR = 0.51, 0.29-0.88, p = 0.01). Among 32 studies covering 39 study periods from 1980 to 2005, 7 studied time trends within single populations. Unadjusted case-fatality fell by 0.9% per annum (0.3-1.5, p = 0.007) in a meta-analysis of data from all studies, and by 0.9% per annum (0.2-1.6%, p = 0.01) within the 7 population studies.

CONCLUSION

Mortality due to subarachnoid hemorrhage fell by about 50% in our study population over the last 2 decades, due mainly to improved outcomes in cases surviving to reach hospital. This improvement is consistent with a significant decrease in case-fatality over the last 25 years in our pooled analysis of other similar population-based studies.

The incidence of major stroke subtypes in southern Italy: a population-based study

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE

Stroke is characterized by well-defined clinical major subtypes, but there are few studies on incidence rates, aetiologies and outcomes in population-based setting. We assessed the age/sex incidence of the major stroke subtypes in a region of Southern Italy.

METHODS

We established a multisource, prospective population-based register in Puglia, Southern Italy to identify all residents with a first-ever stroke between 1 January 2001 and 31 December 2002.

RESULTS

One hundred and twenty-seven first-ever strokes were diagnosed, and stroke subtype was defined in 119 cases. The incidence rates per 100 000 adjusted to the European population (AEP) were 112 for cerebral infarction (CI), 30 for intracerebral haemorrhage (IH), four for subarachnoid haemorrhage (SH) and nine for undetermined stroke (US). The incidence rates for CI, IH and US approximately doubled with each decade of life and were higher in men. AEP incidence rates for CI in the age groups 45-84 were lower compared to other studies, whilst the corresponding rates for IH were higher.

CONCLUSIONS

This population had a lower incidence of CI compared to other population-based studies from Northern Europe and the United States. Furthermore, with the projected increase in the segment of the very old in the general population, our data indicate that both CI and IH will dramatically increase in the near future.

Incidence, case fatality, and functional outcome of intracerebral haemorrhage over time, according to age, sex, and ethnic origin: a systematic review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

Since the early 1980s, imaging techniques have enabled population-based studies of intracerebral haemorrhage. We aimed to assess the incidence, case fatality, and functional outcome of intracerebral haemorrhage in relation to age, sex, ethnic origin, and time period in studies published since 1980.

METHODS

From PubMed and Embase searches with predefined inclusion criteria, we identified population-based studies published between January, 1980, and November, 2008. We calculated incidence and case fatality. Incidences for multiple studies were pooled in a random-effects binomial meta-analysis. Time trends of case fatality were assessed with weighted linear-regression analysis.

FINDINGS

36 eligible studies described 44 time periods (mid-year range 1983-2006). These studies included 8145 patients with intracerebral haemorrhage. Incidence did not decrease between 1980 and 2008. Overall incidence was 24.6 per 100 000 person-years (95% CI 19.7-30.7). Incidence was not significantly lower in women than in men (overall incidence ratio 0.85, 95% CI 0.61-1.18). Using the age group 45-54 years as reference, incidence ratios increased from 0.10 (95% CI 0.06-0.14) for people aged less than 45 years to 9.6 (6.6-13.9) for people older than 85 years. Median case fatality at 1 month was 40.4% (range 13.1-61.0) and did not decrease over time, and was lower in Japan (16.7%, 95% CI 15.0-18.5) than elsewhere (42.3%, 40.9-43.6). Six studies reported functional outcome, with independency rates of between 12% and 39%. Incidence of intracerebral haemorrhage per 100 000 person-years was 24.2 (95% CI 20.9-28.0) in white people, 22.9 (14.8-35.6) in black people, 19.6 (15.7-24.5) in Hispanic people, and 51.8 (38.8-69.3) in Asian people.

INTERPRETATION

Incidence of intracerebral haemorrhage increases with age and has not decreased between 1980 and 2006. Case fatality is lower in Japan than elsewhere, increases with age, and has not decreased over time. More data on functional outcome are needed.

FUNDING

Netherlands Heart Foundation.

Excessive Incidence of Stroke in Iran

Background and Purpose— The epidemiology of stroke and its subtypes in the Middle East is unclear. Most previous studies have been performed in Western countries, and incidence rates are unlikely to apply in the Middle East. We aimed to determine the incidence of stroke in Mashhad, northeastern Iran.

Methods— During a 12-month period (2006–2007), we prospectively ascertained all strokes occurring in a population of 450 229. Multiple overlapping sources were used to identify people with stroke. A large number of volunteers assisted in finding stroke patients not admitted to hospital. Potential cases were reviewed by a group of stroke experts before inclusion.

Results— A total of 624 first-ever strokes occurred during the study period, 98.4% undergoing imaging. Despite a relatively low crude annual incidence rate of first-ever stroke FES (139; 95% CI, 128 to 149) per 100 000 residents, rates adjusted to the European population aged 45 to 84 years were higher than in most other countries: 616 (95% CI, 567 to 664) for ischemic stroke, 94 (95% CI, 75 to 113) for intracerebral hemorrhage, and 12 (95% CI, 5 to 19) for subarachnoid hemorrhage. Age-specific stroke incidence was higher in younger patients than is typically seen in Western countries. Comparison of age-specific incidence rates between regions revealed that stroke in Mashhad occurs approximately 1 decade earlier than in Western countries.

Conclusions— The results of this study provide evidence that the incidence of stroke in Iran is considerably greater than in most Western countries, with stroke occurring at younger ages. Ischemic stroke incidence was also considerably greater than reported in other regions.

Incidence and Case Fatality of Subarachnoid Haemorrhage in Northern Greece: The Evros Registry of Subarachnoid Haemorrhage

Background

Epidemiological data on subarachnoid haemorrhage incidence and case-fatality rates are scarce in the southeastern Mediterranean region. We conducted a population-based study in Evros Province, located in north-eastern Greece, to determine subarachnoid haemorrhage incidence over a 5-year period (2001–2005).

Methods

Evros Province has a well-defined, largely homogeneous population with healthcare organised around a single tertiary-care University Hospital. We organised a prospective computerised registry of permanent Evros residents admitted or transferred to our hospital with a diagnosis of subarachnoid haemorrhage. Standard World Health Organization definitions and overlapping case-finding methods were used to identify all cases of first ever in a lifetime subarachnoid haemorrhage in all age groups, occurring during the study period. The diagnosis was confirmed by computed tomography scan in all hospitalised cases. Sudden deaths attributable to subarachnoid haemorrhage were systematically recorded province-wide by our forensic department and are included in the study.

Results

During the 5-year period, 51 cases of subarachnoid haemorrhage were recorded (28 men, 23 women; mean age 59 ± 17 years). The crude annual incidence rates were 8·3/100000 persons (95% confidence interval: 5·5–12·0) for men, 7·5/100000 (4·8–11·3) for women and 7·9/100000 (5§9–10§4) for all subjects. The standardised incidence rates for groups aged 45–84 years in the European population were 9·3/100000 (5·8–12·8) for men, 6·5/100000 (3·7–9·4) for women and 7·9/100000 (5·7–10·2). The 28-day case-fatality rates for men, women and all subjects were 36% (21–54%), 35% (19–55%) and 35% (24–49%), respectively.

Conclusions

The incidence and case-fatality rate of subarachnoid haemorrhage haemorrhage in Greece appear to be similar to other developed countries. No gender differences in subarachnoid haemorrhage incidence and case-fatality rate were documented.

The impact of stroke in Italy: First step for a National Burden of Disease Study

PURPOSE

To calculate the impact of stroke in Italy in 1998, expressed in terms of disability adjusted life years (DALYs) according to the WHO Global Burden of Disease (GBD) Study.

METHOD

The data on first-ever stroke incidence (FES), remission rate and case fatality derived from the health information system and a research on post-FES disability of the Friuli Venezia-Giulia (FVG) Region, were used to compute the years of life lived with disability (YLDs), which were added to the years of life lost due to premature mortality (YLLs), calculated from stroke mortality data, to obtain the DALYs. The results were extrapolated to the rest of Italy after examination of national stroke registries data.

RESULTS

Standardized estimated incidence of FES in FVG in 1998 was lower (135 cases of FES per 100 000 inhabitants) than that reported in other published national and international studies. Estimated case fatality rate and distribution of post-FES disability did not differ from other similar studies. About 100 000 YLLs and 273 000 YLDs due to FES were estimated in 1998 for Italy.

CONCLUSIONS

The estimated proportion of the YLDs on total DALYs (27%) is comparable with that obtained in the EURO-A group (the European area including Italy) of the GBD 2000 Study (31%), and the Australian BoD Study (35%).

Changes in case fatality of aneurysmal subarachnoid haemorrhage over time, according to age, sex, and region: a meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

In a systematic review, published in 1997, we found that the case fatality of aneurysmal subarachnoid haemorrhage (SAH) decreased during the period 1960-95. Because diagnostic and treatment strategies have improved and new studies from previously non-studied regions have been published since 1995, we did an updated meta-analysis to assess changes in case fatality and morbidity and differences according to age, sex, and region.

METHODS

A new search of PubMed with predefined inclusion criteria for case finding and diagnosis identified reports on prospective population-based studies published between January, 1995, and July, 2007. The studies included in the previous systematic review were reassessed with the new inclusion criteria. Changes in case fatality over time and the effect of age and sex were quantified with weighted linear regression. Regional differences were analysed with linear regression analysis, and the regions of interest were subsequently defined as reference regions and compared with the other regions.

FINDINGS

33 studies (23 of which were published in 1995 or later) were included that described 39 study periods. These studies reported on 8739 patients, of whom 7659 [88%] were reported on after 1995. 11 of the studies that were included in the previous review did not meet the current, more stringent, inclusion criteria. The mean age of patients had increased in the period 1973 to 2002 from 52 to 62 years. Case fatality varied from 8.3% to 66.7% between studies and decreased 0.8% per year (95% CI 0.2 to 1.3). The decrease was unchanged after adjustment for sex, but the decrease per year was 0.4% (-0.5 to 1.2) after adjustment for age. Case fatality was 11.8% (3.8 to 19.9) lower in Japan than it was in Europe, the USA, Australia, and New Zealand. The unadjusted decrease in case fatality excluding the data for Japan was 0.6% per year (0.0 to 1.1), a 17% decrease over the three decades. Six studies reported data on case morbidity, but these were insufficient to assess changes over time.

INTERPRETATION

Despite an increase in the mean age of patients with SAH, case-fatality rates have decreased by 17% between 1973 and 2002 and show potentially important regional differences. This decrease coincides with the introduction of improved management strategies.

FUNDING

Netherlands Organisation for Scientific Research; ZonMw.

Worldwide stroke incidence and early case fatality reported in 56 population-based studies: a systematic review

This systematic review of population-based studies of the incidence and early (21 days to 1 month) case fatality of stroke is based on studies published from 1970 to 2008. Stroke incidence (incident strokes only) and case fatality from 21 days to 1 month post-stroke were analysed by four decades of study, two country income groups (high-income countries and low to middle income countries, in accordance with the World Bank's country classification) and, when possible, by stroke pathological type: ischaemic stroke, primary intracerebral haemorrhage, and subarachnoid haemorrhage. This Review shows a divergent, statistically significant trend in stroke incidence rates over the past four decades, with a 42% decrease in stroke incidence in high-income countries and a greater than 100% increase in stroke incidence in low to middle income countries. In 2000-08, the overall stroke incidence rates in low to middle income countries have, for the first time, exceeded the level of stroke incidence seen in high-income countries, by 20%. The time to decide whether or not stroke is an issue that should be on the governmental agenda in low to middle income countries has now passed. Now is the time for action.

Sex differences in stroke epidemiology: a systematic review

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE

Epidemiological studies, mainly based on Western European surveys, have shown that stroke is more common in men than in women. In recent years, sex-specific data on stroke incidence, prevalence, subtypes, severity and case-fatality have become available from other parts of the world. The purpose of this article is to give a worldwide review on sex differences in stroke epidemiology.

METHODS

We searched PubMed, tables-of-contents, review articles, and reference lists for community-based studies including information on sex differences. In some areas, such as secular trends, ischemic subtypes and stroke severity, noncommunity-based studies were also reviewed. Male/female ratios were calculated.

RESULTS

We found 98 articles that contained relevant sex-specific information, including 59 incidence studies from 19 countries and 5 continents. The mean age at first-ever stroke was 68.6 years among men, and 72.9 years among women. Male stroke incidence rate was 33% higher and stroke prevalence was 41% higher than the female, with large variations between age bands and between populations. The incidence rates of brain infarction and intracerebral hemorrhage were higher among men, whereas the rate of subarachnoidal hemorrhage was higher among women, although this difference was not statistically significant. Stroke tended to be more severe in women, with a 1-month case fatality of 24.7% compared with 19.7% for men.

CONCLUSIONS

Worldwide, stroke is more common among men, but women are more severely ill. The mismatch between the sexes is larger than previously described.

Low Incidence of Stroke in Southern Italy

Background and Purpose— Although a lower incidence of stroke has been observed in the Mediterranean area compared to other European countries, this is based on only a few studies. We sought to determine the incidence and 28-day case-fatality of stroke through a population-based stroke register in a rural area in Southern Italy, characterized by a stroke unit in the referral hospital.

Methods— We established a multisource prospective population-based register in a well defined geographic area of 38 735 inhabitants in Puglia, Southern Italy. We identified all subjects in the study area with a first-ever stroke between January 1, 2001 and December 31, 2002.

Results— We identified 127 first-ever strokes (77 males, 50 females) during the two-year study period. Hospitalization was 95%: 92 cases (72.4%) were cerebral infarction, 24 (18.9%) intracerebral hemorrhage, 3 (2.4%) subarachnoid hemorrhage, and 8 (6.3%) were unclassifiable strokes. The overall crude annual incidence was 1.6 per 1000 (95%CI: 1.4 to 1.9), 2.0 for males (95% CI:1.6 to 2.5), and 1.3 for females (95% CI:0.9 to 1.6). The incidence rates standardized to the 2001 European and world populations were respectively 1.5 (2.0 for males and 1.3 for females) and 0.8 (0.9 for males and 0.6 for females). Incidence rates progressively increased with age in both sexes, reaching their peak at 85 years or more (21.4/1000 overall, 35.0 for men and 13.4 for women). The 28-day case-fatality was 18.1%.

Conclusions— Our study supports previous findings of lower incidence of stroke in the Mediterranean area, whereas the case-fatality in our study was lower than in previous studies from Italy. Further studies are needed to determine the role of prompt referral and stroke units on prognosis in population-based setting.

Risk of stroke with typical and atypical anti-psychotics: a retrospective cohort study including unexposed subjects

The purpose of the study was to investigate the risk of stroke with typical and atypical anti-psychotics in elderly subjects, weighting for a number of known risk factors, including dementia. Data were retrospectively drawn from the primary care setting from the Health Search Database, which stores information on about 1.5% of the total Italian population served by general practitioners. All elderly patients (65+ years) prescribed an anti-psychotic in monotherapy from January 2000 to June 2003 were selected for the study. A cohort of patients not exposed to anti-psychotics was taken from the same database. Subjects who had previously had a stroke were excluded. The main outcome measure was the incidence of first-ever stroke during exposure to an anti-psychotic.The sample included non-users (69,939), users of atypicals (599), butyrophenones (749), phenotiazines (907) and substituted benzamides (1,968). The crude incidence of stroke in subjects not exposed to anti-psychotics was 12.0/1000 person-years. Risk was significantly higher for those on butyrophenones (47.1/1000), phenotiazines (72.7/1000) and in the atypical anti-psychotic group (47.4/1000). Substituted benzamides had an almost significant higher risk (25.0/1000). Cox regression modelling, weighting for demographic and clinical variables with non-users as the reference group, showed that the risk for stroke was 5.79 times for phenotiazines, 3.55 times for butyrophenones, and 2.46 times for atypicals. Clinicians should be cautious in prescribing phenotiazines and butyrophenones in elderly patients, since the risk for stroke would seem comparable or even greater than with atypicals.

Incidence of subarachnoid haemorrhage: a systematic review with emphasis on region, age, gender and time trends

BACKGROUND AND AIM

To update our 1996 review on the incidence of subarachnoid haemorrhage (SAH) and assess the relation of incidence with region, age, gender and time period.

METHODS

We searched for studies on the incidence of SAH published until October 2005. The overall incidences with corresponding 95% confidence intervals were calculated. We determined the relationship between the incidence of SAH and determinants by means of univariate Poisson regression.

RESULTS

We included 51 studies (33 new), describing 58 study populations in 21 countries, observing 45,821,896 person-years. Incidences per 100,000 person-years were 22.7 (95% CI 21.9 to 23.5) in Japan, 19.7 (18.1 to 21.3) in Finland, 4.2 (3.1 to 5.7) in South and Central America, and 9.1 (8.8 to 9.5) in the other regions. With age category 45-55 years as the reference, incidence ratios increased from 0.10 (0.08 to 0.14) for age groups younger than 25 years to 1.61 (1.24 to 2.07) for age groups older than 85 years. The incidence in women was 1.24 (1.09 to 1.42) times higher than in men; this gender difference started at age 55 years and increased thereafter. Between 1950 and 2005, the incidence decreased by 0.6% (1.3% decrease to 0.1% increase) per year.

CONCLUSIONS

The overall incidence of SAH is approximately 9 per 100,000 person-years. Rates are higher in Japan and Finland and increase with age. The preponderance of women starts only in the sixth decade. The decline in incidence of SAH over the past 45 years is relatively moderate compared with that for stroke in general.

Discontinuation of Statin Therapy and Clinical Outcome After Ischemic Stroke

Background and Purpose— The majority of patients with previous ischemic stroke are expected to benefit significantly from long-term statin therapy. However, discontinuation of medication therapy frequently occurs in clinical practice. The aim of this study was to assess the impact of discontinued statin therapy on clinical outcome in patients discharged after an acute ischemic stroke.

Methods— The study population included 631 consecutive stroke survivors (322 men and 309 women; mean±SD age, 70.2±7.6 years) without clinical evidence of coronary heart disease. All patients were discharged on statin therapy and were followed up for 12 months after the acute ischemic stroke.

Results— Within 12 months from discharge, 246 patients (38.9%) discontinued statin therapy; the mean time from discharge to statin discontinuation was 48.6±54.9 days (median time, 30 days; interquartile range, 18 to 55 days). During follow-up, 116 patients died (1-year probability of death=0.18; 95% CI, 0.15 to 0.21). Multivariate analysis demonstrated that after adjustment for all confounders and interactions, statin therapy discontinuation (hazard ratio=2.78; 95% CI, 1.96 to 3.72; P =0.003) was an independent predictor of all-cause 1-year mortality.

Conclusions— A large number of patients discontinue their use of statins early after acute stroke. Moreover, patients discontinuing statins have a significantly increased mortality during the first year after the acute cerebrovascular event. These findings suggest that patient care should be improved during the transition from a hospital setting to outpatient primary care.

The Third Stroke Registry in Tartu, Estonia, from 2001 to 2003

OBJECTIVES

The main goal of the Third Stroke Registry in Tartu was to determine the incidence and 28-day case-fatality of first-ever stroke in an Estonian population.

SUBJECTS AND METHODS

Stroke registry was conducted from 1 December 2001 to 30 November 2003.

RESULTS

The registry included 451 patients. The incidence rate of first-ever stroke age-standardized to the European population was 188/100,000. Among younger patients, the rates for men dominated. The incidence among men aged 0-44 years was 18/100,000, for women 9/100,000. In the age group 45-54 years, the corresponding rates were 143/100,000 and 98/100,000 respectively. The overall 28-day case-fatality rate was 26%.

CONCLUSIONS

The total stroke incidence in Tartu is comparable with other European studies, but the rates for younger patients are higher. This may be associated with lower quality of life, less attention to public health, high prevalence and/or poor control of stroke risk factors. The 28-day case-fatality is somewhat higher than in other European centres.

Stroke incidence and prevalence in Europe: a review of available data

Reliable data on stroke incidence and prevalence are essential for calculating the burden of stroke and the planning of prevention and treatment of stroke patients. In the current study we have reviewed the published data from EU countries, Iceland, Norway, and Switzerland, and provide WHO estimates for stroke incidence and prevalence in these countries. Studies on stroke epidemiology published in peer-reviewed journals during the past 10 years were identified using Medline/PubMed searches, and reviewed using the structure of WHO's stroke component of the WHO InfoBase. WHO estimates for stroke incidence and prevalence for each country were calculated from routine mortality statistics. Rates from studies that met the 'ideal' criteria were compared with WHO's estimates. Forty-four incidence studies and 12 prevalence studies were identified. There were several methodological differences that hampered comparisons of data. WHO stroke estimates were in good agreement with results from 'ideal' stroke population studies. According to the WHO estimates the number of stroke events in these selected countries is likely to increase from 1.1 million per year in 2000 to more than 1.5 million per year in 2025 solely because of the demographic changes. Until better and more stroke studies are available, the WHO stroke estimates may provide the best data for understanding the stroke burden in countries where no stroke data currently exists. A standardized protocol for stroke surveillance is recommended.

First-Ever Stroke Incidence and 30-Day Case Fatality in the Sicilian Aeolian Archipelago, Italy

Background and Purpose— Not many data on stroke epidemiology come from studies on islands. This is the first report on a Mediterranean archipelago population.

Methods— Using recommended criteria, from July 1, 1999, to June 30, 2002, information was collected on first-ever stroke and 30-day case fatality in Aeolian island residents (13 431).

Results— The overall crude incidence rate was 154 of 100 000 (95% CI, 118 to 197; 128 in men and 180 in women) or 180, 154, and 87, if adjusted to the Italian, European, and world populations, respectively. The 30-day case fatality rate was 24.2% (95% CI, 14.22 to 36.75).

Conclusions— Besides genetic or dietary factors, our results may reflect local, limited possibilities of diagnosis and management for stroke patients.

The Third Stroke Registry in Tartu, Estonia: decline of stroke incidence and 28-day case-fatality rate since 1991

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE

The purpose of the present study was to estimate the time trends of stroke during the last 10 years in an Estonian population by comparison of the results from the 2 previous stroke registries from Tartu.

METHODS

The Third Stroke Registry in Tartu was conducted from January 12, 2001, to November 30, 2003. The previous registry was composed from January 1, 1991, to December 31, 1993. The design of both studies is similar, using the same study criteria and classification schemes.

RESULTS

A total of 1280 patients with first-ever stroke were registered during the 5-year study period. The overall incidence rate of 230 per 100,000 declined between the studies to 188 per 100,000 age-standardized to the European standard population. The age-adjusted incidence rate for women decreased from 204 to 164 per 100,000 between the 2 periods. In most of the age groups, the overall case-fatality rates declined during the second period; the trend in the age group 75 to 84 years was statistically significant.

CONCLUSIONS

The incidence of first-ever stroke in Tartu has declined significantly during the past decade and reached the level of the first registry. The 28-day case-fatality rate has declined from 30% to 26%. The prevalence of cardiovascular risk factors, incidence of stroke, and ischemic heart disease has been high in Eastern European countries. Our data show that the situation has improved.

Prognostic Implications of Right-Sided Insular Damage, Cardiac Autonomic Derangement, and Arrhythmias After Acute Ischemic Stroke

Background and Purpose— Acute stroke is associated with impairment of cardiac autonomic balance and increased incidence of arrhythmias. These abnormalities appear more relevant in the case of involvement of the right insula in the infarct area. The aim of this study was to assess the impact of right-sided insular damage, cardiac autonomic derangement, and arrhythmias on clinical outcome after acute ischemic stroke.

Methods— Holter monitoring for 24 hours was performed in 208 consecutive patients with first-ever acute ischemic stroke. Time- and frequency-domain measures of heart rate variability and arrhythmias were considered in all cases. All patients were followed for a 12-month period after the initial event.

Results— During the 12-month follow-up period, 48 patients died (1-year probability of death, 0.23; 95% CI, 0.17 to 0.30). Multivariate analysis demonstrated that age (hazard ratio [HR], 1.06; 95% CI, 1.01 to 1.10; P =0.0087), stroke severity on admission (HR, 1.25; 95% CI, 1.13 to 1.39; P =0.0001), presence of right-sided insular damage (HR, 2.01; 95% CI, 1.13 to 1.39; P =0.0187), as well as lower values of the SD of all normal-to-normal RR intervals (HR, 3.32; 95% CI, 1.67 to 6.24; P =0.002), and presence of nonsustained ventricular tachycardia during Holter monitoring (HR, 2.99; 95% CI, 1.58 to 5.67; P =0.0007) were independent predictors of 1-year mortality.

Conclusions— The integration of traditional risk stratifiers with autonomic and arrhythmic markers, and the careful search for right-sided insular involvement, may represent an effective approach for identification of stroke patients at risk for early mortality.

Stroke Incidence and 30-Day Case-Fatality in a Suburb of Tbilisi

Background and Purpose— Although stroke is one of the main public health problems worldwide, no study of stroke incidence has been performed in Georgia, and therefore, a population-based registry was established to determine the incidence and case-fatality rates of first-ever stroke.

Methods— We identified all first-ever strokes between November 2000 and July 2003 in a defined population of 51 246 residents in the Sanzona suburb of Tbilisi, the capital of Georgia, using overlapping sources of information and standard diagnostic criteria.

Results— A total of 233 first-ever strokes occurred during the study period. The crude annual incidence rate was 165 (95% CI, 145 to 188) per 100 000 residents. The corresponding rate adjusted to the standard “world” population was 103 (95% CI, 89 to 117). In terms of stroke subtype, the crude annual incidence rate per 100 000 inhabitants was 89 (95% CI, 74 to 106) for ischemic stroke, 44 (95% CI, 34 to 57) for intracerebral hemorrhage, 16 (95% CI, 10 to 25) for subarachnoidal hemorrhage, and 16 (95% CI, 10 to 25) for unspecified stroke, and the corresponding case-fatality rates at 1 month were 19.2%, 48.4%, 47.8%, and 69.6%.

Conclusion— The overall stroke incidence rate in an urban population of Georgia is comparable to those reported in developed countries. As for the stroke subtypes, there is an excess of hemorrhagic strokes compared with other registries. Geographical and lifestyle variations may explain these findings, whereas inadequacy of the stroke care system in Georgia might contribute to the high case-fatality.

Prospective community-based study of stroke in Northern Portugal: incidence and case fatality in rural and urban populations

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE

Mortality statistics indicate that Portugal has the highest stroke mortality in Western Europe. Data on stroke incidence in Northern Portugal, the region with the highest mortality, are lacking. This study was designed to determine stroke incidence and case fatality in rural and urban populations in Northern Portugal.

METHODS

All suspected first-ever-in-a-lifetime strokes occurring between October 1998 and September 2000 in 37,290 residents in rural municipalities and 86,023 living in the city of Porto were entered in a population-based registry. Standard definitions and comprehensive sources of information were used for identification of patients who were followed-up at 3 and 12 months after onset of symptoms.

RESULTS

During a 24-month period, 688 patients with a first-ever stroke were registered, 226 in rural and 462 in urban areas. The crude annual incidence was 3.05 (95% CI, 2.65 to 3.44) and 2.69 per 1000 (95% CI, 2.44 to 2.93) for rural and urban populations, respectively; the corresponding rates adjusted to the European standard population were 2.02 (95% CI, 1.69 to 2.34) and 1.73 (95% CI, 1.53 to 1.92). Age-specific incidence followed different patterns in rural and urban populations, reaching major discrepancy for those 75 to 84 years old, 20.2 (95% CI, 16.1 to 25.0) and 10.9 (95% CI, 9.0 to 12.8), respectively. Case fatality at 28 days was 14.6% (95% CI, 10.2 to 19.3) in rural and 16.9% (95% CI, 13.7 to 20.6) in urban areas.

CONCLUSIONS

Stroke incidence in rural and urban Northern Portugal is high compared to that reported in other Western Europe regions. The high official mortality in our country, which could be explained by a relatively high incidence, was not because of a high case fatality rate.