Impact of chronic kidney disease on risk of incident atrial fibrillation and subsequent survival in medicare patients

Association between life's essential 8 and Parkinson's disease: a case-control study

OBJECTIVES

Life's essential 8 (LE8) is an emerging approach for accessing and quantifying cardiovascular health (CVH), but the effect on Parkinson's disease (PD) is still unclear. This study aimed to elucidate the association between LE8 metrics and PD in the US adults.

METHODS

Data of 26,975 participants were extracted from the last 7 National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) cycles (2005-2018). The LE8 metrics were calculated according to the American Heart Association criterion, and participants were divided into 3 groups using tertile range. Multivariate logistic regression models were constructed to explore the association between LE8 metrics and PD. Sensitivity analysis was conducted to verify robustness. A nonlinear linkage was evaluated via restricted cubic spline (RCS). The stability of this effect was validated by subgroup analysis and interaction test.

RESULTS

A total of 26,975 eligible participants (including 271 PD cases and 26,704 non-PD cases) were included in this study. The multivariate logistic regression models revealed a reverse association of continuous LE8 metrics with PD with ORs of 0.97 (unadjusted model [95% CI: 0.96-0.98, P < 0.01], partially adjusted model [95% CI: 0.97-0.98, P < 0.01], fully adjusted model [95% CI: 0.95-0.98, P < 0.01]). Compared to those of low group, the ORs for high group were 0.37 (95% CI: 0.27-0.50, P < 0.01) in unadjusted model, 0.51 (95% CI: 0.36-0.72, P < 0.01) in partially adjusted model, and 0.51 (95% CI: 0.32-0.81, P < 0.01) in fully adjusted model. The sensitivity analysis ensured the robustness of the observed LE8-PD association. A nonlinear relationship (P nonlinearity < 0.01) was observed via RCS analysis. The subgroup analysis showed that participants'gender might impact the strength of LE8 metrics-PD association (P interaction = 0.029).

CONCLUSIONS

CVH, as delineated by LE8 metrics, was reversely associated with PD in the dose-response pattern, more pronounced in female compared to male. These findings highlight the potential of the LE8 metrics to guide targeted strategies for addressing gender-based CVH disparities, offering beneficial insights for the tertiary prevention of PD.

Anticoagulation in Patients with Chronic Kidney Disease

BACKGROUND

Both atrial fibrillation and venous thromboembolism (VTE) are highly prevalent among patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD). Until recently, warfarin was the most commonly prescribed oral anticoagulant. Direct oral anticoagulants (DOACs) have important advantages and have been shown to be noninferior to warfarin with respect to stroke prevention or recurrent VTE in the general population, with lower bleeding rates. This review article will provide available evidence on the use of DOACs in patients with CKD.

SUMMARY

In post hoc analyses of major randomized studies with DOACs for stroke prevention in atrial fibrillation, in the subgroup of participants with moderate CKD, defined as a creatinine clearance (CrCl) of 30-50 mL/min, dabigatran 150 mg and apixaban were associated with lower rates of stroke and systemic embolism, whereas apixaban and edoxaban were associated with lower bleeding and mortality rates, compared with warfarin. In retrospective observational studies in patients with advanced CKD (defined as a CrCl <30 mL/min) and atrial fibrillation, DOACs had similar efficacy with warfarin with numerically lower bleeding rates. All agents warrant dose adjustment in moderate-to-severe CKD. In patients on maintenance dialysis, the VALKYRIE trial, which was designed initially to study the effect of vitamin K on vascular calcification progression, established superiority for rivaroxaban compared with a vitamin K antagonist (VKA) in the extension phase. Two other clinical trials using apixaban (AXADIA and RENAL-AF) in this population were inconclusive due to recruitment challenges and low event rates. In post hoc analyses of randomized studies with DOACs in patients with VTE, in the subgroup of participants with moderate CKD at baseline, edoxaban was associated with lower rates of recurrent VTE, whereas rivaroxaban and dabigatran were associated with lower and higher bleeding rates, respectively, as compared to warfarin.

KEY MESSAGES

DOACs have revolutionized the management of atrial fibrillation and VTE, and they should be preferred over warfarin in patients with moderate-to-severe CKD with appropriate dose adjustment. Therapeutic drug monitoring with a valid technique may be considered to guide clinical management in individualized cases. Current evidence questions the need for oral anticoagulation in patients on maintenance dialysis with atrial fibrillation as both DOACs and VKAs are associated with high rates of major bleeding.

Safety and Efficacy of Direct Oral Anticoagulants Versus Warfarin for Atrial Fibrillation in End-Stage Renal Disease on Hemodialysis: A Meta-Analysis of Randomized Control Trials

End-stage renal disease (ESRD) and atrial fibrillation (AF) are commonly encountered, with ESRD itself serving as a well-established risk factor for AF.1 The 2018 AF guidelines have recommended apixaban across all the spectrums of renal impairment, including patients on hemodialysis (HD), and the 2019 American Heart Association/American College of Cardiology/Heart Rhythm Society updated guidelines have suggested careful consideration of reduced dose of direct oral anticoagulants (DOACs) in patients with ESRD.2,3 The current data on the safety and efficacy of warfarin versus DOACs in patients with AF with ESRD and HD is variable. This study aimed to perform a study-level meta-analysis to evaluate the effectiveness and safety of warfarin and DOACs in patients with AF who require dialysis.

Prevalence and Factors Associated with Atrial Fibrillation in Patients with Transient Ischemic Attack or Ischemic Stroke in Northern Vietnam

BACKGROUND

The prevalence and risk factors of atrial fibrillation (AF) in patients with transient ischemic attack (TIA) or ischemic stroke in Northern Vietnam are not well understood. This study aimed to estimate the prevalence and identify factors associated with AF in this population.

METHODS

A cross-sectional study was conducted on 2038 consecutive patients with TIA or ischemic stroke admitted to Bach Mai Hospital. AF was diagnosed using an electrocardiogram or Holter monitor. Logistic regression analyses were performed to determine the association between AF and risk factors.

RESULTS

Among the patients, 18.1% (95% CI: 16.46 to 19.85) had AF. Older age, renal dysfunction, valvular heart disease (VHD), and low ejection fraction were significantly associated with AF. Advanced age (per 10 years) (adjusted OR, aOR 1.39; 95% CI, 1.23 to 1.57), estimated glomerular filtration ratio decrease (per 10 mL/min/1.73 m2) (aOR 1.12; 95% CI, 1.06 to 1.17), VHD (aOR 9.59; 95% CI, 7.10 to 12.95), and low ejection fraction (<50%) (aOR 2.61; 95% CI, 1.62 to 4.21) had notable odds ratios for AF.

CONCLUSIONS

Atrial fibrillation is prevalent among patients with TIA or ischemic stroke in Northern Vietnam, surpassing rates in other Southeast Asian countries. Age, renal dysfunction, VHD, and low ejection fraction were significant risk factors for AF in this population.

Incidence of clinical atrial fibrillation and related complications using a screening algorithm at a nationwide level

AIMS

In a recent position paper, the European Heart Rhythm Association (EHRA) proposed an algorithm for the screening and management of arrhythmias using digital devices. In patients with prior stroke, a systematic screening approach for atrial fibrillation (AF) should always be implemented, preferably immediately after the event. Patients with increasing age and with specific cardiovascular or non-cardiovascular comorbidities are also deemed to be at higher risk. From a large nationwide database, the aim was to analyse AF incidence rates derived from this new EHRA algorithm.

METHODS AND RESULTS

Using the French administrative hospital discharge database, all patients hospitalized in 2012 without a history of AF, and with at least a 5-year follow-up (FU) (or if they died earlier), were included. The yearly incidence of AF was calculated in each subgroup defined by the algorithm proposed by EHRA based on a history of previous stroke, increasing age, and eight comorbidities identified via International Classification of Diseases 10th Revision codes. Out of the 4526 104 patients included (mean age 58.9 ± 18.9 years, 64.5% women), 1% had a history of stroke. Among those with no history of stroke, 18% were aged 65-74 years and 21% were ≥75 years. During FU, 327 012 patients had an incidence of AF (yearly incidence 1.86% in the overall population). Implementation of the EHRA algorithm divided the population into six risk groups: patients with a history of stroke (group 1); patients > 75 years (group 2); patients aged 65-74 years with or without comorbidity (groups 3a and 3b); and patients < 65 years with or without comorbidity (groups 4a and 4b). The yearly incidences of AF were 4.58% per year (group 2), 6.21% per year (group 2), 3.50% per year (group 3a), 2.01% per year (group 3b), 1.23% per year (group 4a), and 0.35% per year (group 4b). In patients aged < 65 years, the annual incidence of AF increased progressively according to the number of comorbidities from 0.35% (no comorbidities) to 9.08% (eight comorbidities). For those aged 65-75 years, the same trend was observed, i.e. increasing from 2.01% (no comorbidities) to 11.47% (eight comorbidities).

CONCLUSION

These findings at a nationwide scale confirm the relevance of the subgroups in the EHRA algorithm for identifying a higher risk of AF incidence, showing that older patients (>75 years, regardless of comorbidities) have a higher incidence of AF than those with prior ischaemic stroke. Further studies are needed to evaluate the usefulness of algorithm-based risk stratification strategies for AF screening and the impact of screening on major cardiovascular event rates.

Oral Anticoagulation in Patients With Advanced Chronic Kidney Disease and Atrial Fibrillation: Beyond Anticoagulation

The optimal approach to prevent stroke and systemic embolism in patients with advanced chronic kidney disease (CKD) and atrial fibrillation remains unresolved. We conducted a narrative review to explore areas of uncertainty and opportunities for future research. First, the relationship between atrial fibrillation and stroke is more complex in patients with advanced CKD than in the general population. The currently employed risk stratification tools do not adequately discriminate between patients deriving a net benefit and those suffering a net harm from oral anticoagulation. Anticoagulation initiation should probably be more restrictive than is currently advocated by official guidelines. Recent evidence reveals that the superior benefit-risk profile of non-vitamin K antagonist oral anticoagulants (NOACs) vs vitamin K antagonists (VKAs) observed in the general population and in moderate CKD can be extended to advanced CKD. The NOACs yield better protection against stroke, cause less major bleeding, are associated with less acute kidney injury and a slower decline of CKD, and are associated with a lower incidence of cardiovascular events than VKAs. The VKAs may be harmful in CKD patients, in particular in patients with a high bleeding risk and labile international normalized ratio. The better safety and efficacy of NOACs as opposed to VKAs may be particularly evident in advanced CKD as a result of better on-target anticoagulation with NOACs, harmful off-target vascular effects of VKAs, and beneficial off-target vascular effects of NOACs. The intrinsic vasculoprotective effects of NOACs are supported by animal experimental evidence as well as by findings of large clinical trials and may result in use of NOACs beyond their anticoagulant properties.

Association of Kidney Function With Risk of Adverse Effects of Therapies for Atrial Fibrillation

Introduction

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is common in chronic kidney disease (CKD) and is treated with rate control medications, antiarrhythmic medications, as well as anticoagulation and procedures, each of which have associated risks. We aimed to evaluate the association of CKD status with the risks of adverse effects after initiation of AF therapies.

Methods

This was a cohort study of community-based adults who newly initiated rate control medications, antiarrhythmic medications, warfarin, direct oral anticoagulants (DOACs) or received AF procedures in the 1 year after diagnosis of AF. Baseline estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) was calculated using outpatient serum creatinine measures. Adverse effects within 1 year related to each AF therapy or within 1 month of an AF procedure were ascertained from vital sign databases, electrocardiograms (ECGs), and administrative codes. Fine-Gray hazard models were used to study the association of eGFR categories with risk of adverse effects for each AF therapy.

Results

Among 115,564 patients with incident AF, lower eGFR (vs. eGFR ≥60 ml/min per 1.73 m²) was significantly associated with higher adjusted risk of adverse effects after initiation of rate control therapies (most commonly hypotension and bradycardia) as follows: eGFR 45-59 (hazard ratio [HR] 1.14, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.07-1.22), 30-44 (HR 1.15, 95% CI 1.06-1.25), and 15-29 (HR 1.29, 95% CI: 1.12-1.47) ml/min per 1.73 m². Lower eGFR was associated with higher adjusted risk of adverse effects (most commonly prolonged QRS and QTc intervals) after initiation of an antiarrhythmic medication (vs. eGFR >60 ml/min per 1.73 m²) as follows: eGFR 45-59 (HR 1.12, 95% CI 1.01-1.23) and eGFR<15 (HR 1.43, 95% CI 1.01-2.01) ml/min per 1.73 m².

Conclusion

There was a graded association between lower eGFR and risk of major bleeding with warfarin use, with the greatest risk among those with eGFR <15 ml/min per 1.73 m² (HR of 2.93, 95% CI 1.99-4.30). There was no association of eGFR with major bleeding in patients receiving DOACs. Rates of adverse effects within 1 month of an AF procedure were low among patients with (n = 18) and without (n = 41) CKD and was underpowered for further analyses. In conclusion, lower eGFR was associated with significantly higher risks of adverse effects after initiation of commonly used therapies to treat AF. These data may help inform the complex therapeutic decisions in patients with CKD and AF.

Association of chronic kidney disease with all-cause mortality in patients hospitalized for atrial fibrillation and impact of clinical and socioeconomic factors on this association

Background

Atrial fibrillation (AF) and chronic kidney disease (CKD) often co-occur, and many of the same clinical factors and indicators of socioeconomic status (SES) are associated with both diseases. The effect of the estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) on all-cause mortality in AF patients and the impact of SES on this relationship are uncertain.

Materials and methods

This retrospective study examined 968 patients who were admitted for AF. Patients were divided into four groups based on eGFR at admission: eGFR-0 (normal eGFR) to eGFR-3 (severely decreased eGFR). The primary outcome was all-cause mortality. Cox regression analysis was used to identify the effect of eGFR on mortality, and subgroup analyses to determine the impact of confounding factors.

Results

A total of 337/968 patients (34.8%) died during follow-up. The average age was 73.70 ± 10.27 years and there were 522 males (53.9%). More than 39% of these patients had CKD (eGFR < 60 mL/min/1.73 m²), 319 patients with moderately decreased eGFR and 67 with severely decreased eGFR. After multivariate adjustment and relative to the eGFR-0 group, the risk for all-cause death was greater in the eGFR-2 group (HR = 2.416, 95% CI = 1.366-4.272, p = 0.002) and the eGFR-3 group (HR = 4.752, 95% CI = 2.443-9.242, p < 0.00001), but not in the eGFR-1 group (p > 0.05). Subgroup analysis showed that moderately to severely decreased eGFR only had a significant effect on all-cause death in patients with low SES.

Conclusion

Moderately to severely decreased eGFR in AF patients was independently associated with increased risk of all-cause mortality, especially in those with lower SES.

Nonvalvular atrial fibrillation in patients undergoing chronic hemodialysis. Should dialysis patients with atrial fibrillation receive oral anticoagulation?

Chronic kidney disease (CKD) is an independent risk factor for presenting atrial fibrillation (AF), which conditions an increased risk already present in CKD of suffering a thromboembolic event. And this risk is even higher in the hemodialysis (HD) population. On the other hand, in CKD patients and even more so in HD patients, the probability of suffering serious bleeding is also higher. Therefore, there is no consensus on whether or not to anticoagulate this population. Taking as a model what is advised for the general population, the most common attitude among nephrologists has been to opt for anticoagulation, even though there is no randomized studies to support it. Classically, anticoagulation has been done with vitamin K antagonists, at high cost for our patients: severe bleeding events, vascular calcification, and progression of nephropathy, among other complications. With the emergence of direct-acting anticoagulants, a hopeful outlook was opened in the field of anticoagulation, as they were postulated as more effective and safer drugs than antivitamin K. However, in clinical practice, this has not been the case. In this paper we review various aspects of AF and its anticoagulant treatment in the HD population.

Incidence and Predictors of New-Onset Atrial Fibrillation After Transcatheter Edge-to-Edge Repair of the Mitral Valve (from the Nationwide Readmissions Database)

Patients who underwent transcatheter edge-to-edge repair (TEER) for mitral regurgitation with atrial fibrillation (AF) at baseline have higher mortality than those without AF. Data on new-onset AF (NOAF) after TEER are limited. Using the 2016 to 2018 Nationwide Readmissions Database, we identified a cohort of patients who underwent TEER and classified them into 3 groups based on AF presence during the study period. The primary end point was the incidence and timing of NOAF up to 6 months after TEER. Logistic regression modeling identified independent predictors of NOAF at readmission. Of the 6,861patients that underwent TEER, 4,134 (59.9%) had AF at baseline, and 239 (3.5%) developed NOAF. Median time-to-NOAF admission was 47 days (interquartile range 16 to 113), and 37% of patients with NOAF presented within 30 days after TEER. Patients with NOAF experienced costlier and longer index-TEER hospitalization and had more co-morbidities. Chronic kidney disease (odds ratio [OR] 1.51, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.03 to 2.20), fluid and electrolyte disorders (OR 1.59, 95% CI 1.01 to 2.52), and heart failure (OR 1.86, 95% CI 1.01 to 3.44) were identified as independent predictors of NOAF. Hypertensive complications and heart failure were the leading causes of readmission. In conclusion, those patients that developed NOAF after TEER tended to be an overall sicker group at baseline compared with the remainder of the study cohort. These data, obtained from a nationally representative cohort, highlight a particular group of patients subject to developing NOAF and their association with increased rehospitalization in the post-TEER setting. Predictors of NOAF can be screened for during TEER workup to identify patients at increased risk.

Managing thrombotic risk in patients with diabetes

It is well known that diabetes is a prominent risk factor for cardiovascular (CV) events. The level of CV risk depends on the type and duration of diabetes, age and additional co-morbidities. Diabetes is an independent risk factor for atrial fibrillation (AF) and is frequently observed in patients with AF, which further increases their risk of stroke associated with this cardiac arrhythmia. Nearly one third of patients with diabetes globally have CV disease (CVD). Additionally, co-morbid AF and coronary artery disease are more frequently observed in patients with diabetes than the general population, further increasing the already high CV risk of these patients. To protect against thromboembolic events in patients with diabetes and AF or established CVD, guidelines recommend optimal CV risk factor control, including oral anticoagulation treatment. However, patients with diabetes exist in a prothrombotic and inflammatory state. Greater clinical benefit may therefore be seen with the use of stronger antithrombotic agents or innovative drug combinations in high-risk patients with diabetes, such as those who have concomitant AF or established CVD. In this review, we discuss CV risk management strategies in patients with diabetes and concomitant vascular disease, stroke prevention regimens in patients with diabetes and AF and how worsening renal function in these patients may complicate these approaches. Accumulating evidence from clinical trials and real-world evidence show a benefit to the administration of non-vitamin K antagonist oral anticoagulants for stroke prevention in patients with diabetes and AF.

Atrial Fibrillation in Chronic Kidney Disease: An Overview

Chronic kidney disease (CKD) is a condition that can be caused due to any etiology leading to structural damage to the kidney, which can be measured by a decrease in estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) and the presence of damage biomarkers for more than three months. This article has discussed the causal relationship between atrial fibrillation (AF) and CKD, a few of them being inflammation, renin-angiotensin-aldosterone system (RAAS) activation, anemia, and uremia associated with CKD. This review mentioned the clinical impact of the presence of AF in CKD patients. The presence of AF in CKD patients aggravates the renal dysfunction, which in turn adds to the generation of AF. This article explores the various pharmacological and interventional treatment modalities, including antiarrhythmics, anticoagulants, and cardiac ablation, and their complications, leading to restricted usage in CKD patients.

Atrial Fibrillation and Adverse Outcomes in Patients Undergoing Simultaneous Pancreas-Kidney Transplantation

BACKGROUND

There are no published data on atrial fibrillation (AF) in patients receiving simultaneous pancreas-kidney transplantation (SPKT). We explored the epidemiology and adverse outcomes of AF in SPKT recipients in this retrospective observational cohort study.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

All 200 SPKT recipients in Finland to date between March 2010 and April 2021 were included in the present study. Demographics, comorbidities, medications, and transplantation data were collected from the electronic patient records. Outcome measures included new-onset AF (NOAF), ischemic stroke, and death.

RESULTS

Median age was 42 years (interquartile range [IQR] 35-49), 69 (35%) were female, and median dialysis vintage was 13 months (IQR 9-19). Altogether 7 patients (4%) had a previous diagnosis of AF at baseline, and heart failure was independently associated with prior AF in the age-adjusted multivariable logistic regression analysis. After a median follow-up of 3 years (IQR 1-5), 2 patients (1%) were observed with incident NOAF, 4 (2%) with ischemic stroke, and 7 patients (4%) died. Prior AF or NOAF were not associated with cardiovascular adverse outcomes, mortality or graft outcomes.

CONCLUSIONS

We demonstrate a low prevalence and incidence of AF for the first time in this large observational study comprising all SPKT recipients in Finland to date.

Management of Adults with Newly Diagnosed Atrial Fibrillation with and without CKD

BACKGROUND

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is highly prevalent in CKD and is associated with worse cardiovascular and kidney outcomes. Limited data exist on use of AF pharmacotherapies and AF-related procedures by CKD status. We examined a large "real-world" contemporary population with incident AF to study the association of CKD with management of AF.

METHODS

We identified patients with newly diagnosed AF between 2010 and 2017 from two large, integrated health care delivery systems. eGFR (≥60, 45-59, 30-44, 15-29, <15 ml/min per 1.73 m²) was calculated from a minimum of two ambulatory serum creatinine measures separated by ≥90 days. AF medications and procedures were identified from electronic health records. We performed multivariable Fine-Gray subdistribution hazards regression to test the association of CKD severity with receipt of targeted AF therapies.

RESULTS

Among 115,564 patients with incident AF, 34% had baseline CKD. In multivariable models, compared with those with eGFR >60 ml/min per 1.73 m², patients with eGFR 30-44 (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR] 0.91; 95% CI, 0.99 to 0.93), 15-29 (aHR, 0.78; 95% CI, 0.75 to 0.82), and <15 ml/min per 1.73 m² (aHR, 0.64; 95% CI, 0.58-0.70) had lower use of any AF therapy. Patients with eGFR 15-29 ml/min per 1.73 m² had lower adjusted use of rate control agents (aHR, 0.61; 95% CI, 0.56 to 0.67), warfarin (aHR, 0.89; 95% CI, 0.84 to 0.94), and DOACs (aHR, 0.23; 95% CI, 0.19 to 0.27) compared with patients with eGFR >60 ml/min per 1.73 m². These associations were even stronger for eGFR <15 ml/min per 1.73 m². There was also a graded association between CKD severity and receipt of AF-related procedures (vs eGFR >60 ml/min per 1.73 m²): eGFR 30-44 ml/min per 1.73 (aHR, 0.78; 95% CI, 0.70 to 0.87), eGFR 15-29 ml/min per 1.73 m² (aHR, 0.73; 95% CI, 0.61 to 0.88), and eGFR <15 ml/min per 1.73 m² (aHR, 0.48; 95% CI, 0.31 to 0.74).

CONCLUSIONS

In adults with newly diagnosed AF, CKD severity was associated with lower receipt of rate control agents, anticoagulation, and AF procedures. Additional data on efficacy and safety of AF therapies in CKD populations are needed to inform management strategies.

Association of chronic kidney disease and end-stage renal disease with procedural complications and in-hospital outcomes from left atrial appendage occlusion device implantation in patients with atrial fibrillation: Insights from the national inpatient sample of 36,065 procedures

Background

Left atrial appendage occlusion (LAAO) has emerged as an alternative strategy to oral anticoagulation for mitigating ischemic stroke risk in selected patients with atrial fibrillation (AF), but safety data in patients with significant kidney disease are limited.

Objective

To determine the association of chronic kidney disease (CKD) and end-stage renal disease (ESRD) with procedural complications and in-hospital outcomes after LAAO in AF patients.

Methods

Data were extracted from National Inpatient Sample for calendar years 2015–2018. Watchman implantations were identified on the basis of International Classification of Diseases, 9th and 10th Revision, Clinical Modification codes of 37.90 and 02L73DK. The outcomes assessed in our study included complications, inpatient mortality, and resource utilization with LAAO.

Results

A total of 36,065 Watchman recipients were included in the final analysis. CKD (9.8%, n = 3545) and ESRD (3%, n = 1155) were associated with a higher prevalence of major complications and mortality in crude analysis compared to no CKD. After multivariate adjustment for potential confounders, CKD was associated with length of stay (LOS) >1 day (adjusted odds ratio [aOR] 1.355; 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.234–1.488), median cost >$24,663 (aOR 1.267; 95% CI 1.176–1.365), and acute kidney injury (aOR 4.134; 95% CI 3.536–4.833), while ESRD was associated with in-patient mortality (aOR 7.156; 95% CI 3.294–15.544).

Conclusion

The prevalence of CKD and ESRD was approximately 13% in AF patients undergoing Watchman LAAO implantations. CKD was independently associated with prolonged LOS, higher hospitalization costs, and acute kidney injury, while ESRD was independently associated with in-patient mortality.

Prediction of Incident Atrial Fibrillation in Chronic Kidney Disease: The Chronic Renal Insufficiency Cohort Study

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is common in CKD and associated with poor kidney and cardiovascular outcomes. Prediction models developed using novel methods may be useful to identify patients with CKD at highest risk of incident AF. We compared a previously published prediction model with models developed using machine learning methods in a CKD population.

DESIGN, SETTING, PARTICIPANTS, & MEASUREMENTS

We studied 2766 participants in the Chronic Renal Insufficiency Cohort study without prior AF with complete cardiac biomarker (N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide and high-sensitivity troponin T) and clinical data. We evaluated the utility of machine learning methods as well as a previously validated clinical prediction model (Cohorts for Heart and Aging Research in Genomic Epidemiology [CHARGE]-AF, which included 11 predictors, using original and re-estimated coefficients) to predict incident AF. Discriminatory ability of each model was assessed using the ten-fold cross-validated C-index; calibration was evaluated graphically and with the Grønnesby and Borgan test.

RESULTS

Mean (SD) age of participants was 57 (11) years, 55% were men, 38% were Black, and mean (SD) eGFR was 45 (15) ml/min per 1.73 m2; 259 incident AF events occurred during a median of 8 years of follow-up. The CHARGE-AF prediction equation using original and re-estimated coefficients had C-indices of 0.67 (95% confidence interval, 0.64 to 0.71) and 0.67 (95% confidence interval, 0.64 to 0.70), respectively. A likelihood-based boosting model using clinical variables only had a C-index of 0.67 (95% confidence interval, 0.64 to 0.70); adding N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide, high-sensitivity troponin T, or both biomarkers improved the C-index by 0.04, 0.01, and 0.04, respectively. In addition to N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide and high-sensitivity troponin T, the final model included age, non-Hispanic Black race/ethnicity, Hispanic race/ethnicity, cardiovascular disease, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, myocardial infarction, peripheral vascular disease, use of angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitor/angiotensin receptor blockers, calcium channel blockers, diuretics, height, and weight.

CONCLUSIONS

Using machine learning algorithms, a model that included 12 standard clinical variables and cardiac-specific biomarkers N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide and high-sensitivity troponin T had moderate discrimination for incident AF in a CKD population.

In-hospital acute kidney injury and atrial fibrillation: incidence, risk factors, and outcome

Background

The incidence and the risk factors of in-hospitalized acute kidney injury (AKI) in patients hospitalized for atrial fibrillation (AF) were unclear.

Methods

The Improving Care for Cardiovascular Disease in China-AF (CCC-AF) project is an ongoing registry and quality improvement project, with 240 hospitals recruited across China. We selected 4527 patients hospitalized for AF registered in the CCC-AF from January 2015 to January 2019. Patients were divided into the AKI and non-AKI groups according to the changes in serum creatinine levels during hospitalization.

Results

Among the 4527 patients, the incidence of AKI was 8.0% (361/4527). Multivariate logistic analysis results indicated that the incidence of in-hospital AKI in patients with AF on admission was 2.6 times higher than that in patients with sinus rhythm (OR 2.60, 95% CI 1.77–3.81). Age (per 10-year increase, OR 1.22, 95% CI 1.07–1.38), atrial flutter/atrial tachycardia on admission (OR 2.16, 95% CI 1.12–4.15), diuretics therapy before admission (OR 1.48, 95% CI 1.07–2.04) and baseline hemoglobin (per 20 g/L decrease, OR 1.21, 95% CI 1.10–1.32) were independent risk factors for in-hospital AKI. β blockers therapy given before admission (OR 0.67, 95% CI 0.51–0.87) and non-warfarin therapy during hospitalization (OR 0.71, 95% CI 0.53–0.96) were associated with a decreased risk of in-hospital AKI. After adjustment for confounders, in-hospital AKI was associated with a 34% increase in risk of major adverse cardiovascular (OR 1.34, 95% CI 1.02–1.90, p = 0.023).

Conclusions

Clinicians should pay attention to the monitoring and prevention of in-hospital AKI to improve the prognosis of patients with AF.

Renal Disease and Atrial Fibrillation

Incidence and prevalence of atrial fibrillation (AF) and chronic kidney disease are increasing, and the two conditions commonly coexist. Renal impairment further increases the risk of ischemic stroke and systemic thromboembolism in patients with AF but also paradoxically predisposes to bleeding. Renal function should be monitored closely in patients with AF requiring oral anticoagulation therapy, particularly those receiving direct oral anticoagulants. Vitamin K antagonists can be used as part of a dose-adjusted anticoagulation regimen in patients with mild to moderate renal dysfunction. Dialysis-dependent patients taking vitamin K antagonists are at increased risk of sustaining major hemorrhage.

Acute kidney injury in critically ill children and 5-year hypertension

BACKGROUND

To develop a pediatric-specific hypertension algorithm using administrative data and use it to evaluate the association between acute kidney injury (AKI) in the intensive care unit (ICU) and hypertension diagnosis 5 years post-discharge.

METHODS

Two-center retrospective cohort study of children (≤ 18 years old) admitted to the pediatric ICU in Montreal, Canada, between 2003 and 2005 and followed until 2010. Patients with a valid healthcare number and without end-stage renal disease were included. Patients who could not be merged with the provincial database, did not survive admission, underwent cardiac surgery, had pre-existing renal disease associated with hypertension or a prior diagnosis of hypertension were excluded. AKI defined using the Kidney Disease: Improving Global Outcomes (KDIGO) definition. Using diagnostic codes and medications from administrative data, novel pediatric-specific hypertension definitions were designed. Both the evaluation of the prevalence of hypertension diagnosis and the association between AKI and hypertension occurred.

RESULTS

Nineteen hundred and seventy eight patients were included (median age at admission [interquartile range] 4.3 years [1.1-11.8], 44% female, 325 (16.4%) developed AKI). Of these patients, 130 (7%) had a hypertension diagnosis 5 years after discharge. Patients with AKI had a higher prevalence of hypertension diagnosis [non-AKI: 84/1653 (5.1%) vs. AKI: 46/325 (14.2%), p < .001]. Children with AKI had a higher adjusted risk of hypertension diagnosis (hazard ratio [95% confidence interval] 2.19 [1.47-3.26]).

CONCLUSIONS

Children admitted to the ICU have a high prevalence of hypertension post-discharge and children with AKI have over two times higher risk of hypertension compared to those with no AKI.

Approaches for the identification of chronic kidney disease in CPRD-HES-linked studies

Aim: There are different methods to identify chronic kidney disease (CKD) in Clinical Practice Research Datalink (CPRD)-Hospital Episode Statistics (HES). Methods: Using CPRD-HES, nonvalvular atrial fibrillation patients were classified according to CKD category. Results: Using glomerular filtration rate/estimated glomerular filtration rate tests only to identify patients with CKD resulted in 3.5% stage 2, 2.7% stage 3, 0.3% stage 4 and 0.03% stage 5. Using data from diagnostic codes to identify patients with CKD resulted in 1.4% stage 3, 0.4% stage 4 and 0.3% stage 5. Using test records and codes resulted in 3.5% stage 2, 4.0% stage 3, 0.6% stage 4 and 0.4% stage 5. Conclusion: To identify CKD status in CPRD-HES, a combination of test records and codes should be used. Using diagnostic codes only significantly underestimates CKD prevalence.

Real-world 2-year outcome of atrial fibrillation treatment with dabigatran, apixaban, and rivaroxaban in patients with and without chronic kidney disease

Patients with non-valvular atrial fibrillation (NVAF) and chronic kidney disease (CKD) are at increased risk of stroke and bleeding. Although direct oral anticoagulant (DOAC) trials excluded patients with severe CKD, a growing portion of CKD patients have been starting DOACs and limited data from real-world outcome in this high-risk setting are available. The INSigHT registry included 632 consecutive NVAF patients that started apixaban (256 patients, 41%), dabigatran (245, 39%) and rivaroxaban (131, 20%) between 2012 and 2015. Based on creatinine clearance, two sub-cohorts were defined: (1) non-CKD group (CrCl 60-89 mL/min, 413 patients) and (2) CKD group (15-59 ml/min, 219). Compared to non-CKD patients, those with CKD, were at higher ischemic (CHA₂DS₂-VASc 4.5 vs 2.9, p < 0.001) and hemorrhagic risk (HAS-BLED 2.4 vs 1.8, p < 0.001). At 2-year follow-up, the overall ISTH-major bleeding and thromboembolic event rates were 5.2% and 2.3% and no significant difference between non-CKD and CKD patients for both efficacy and safety endpoints were observed. In non-CKD patients, the 2-year ISTH-major bleeding rates were higher in rivaroxaban group (HR 2.9, 95% CI 1.1-7.3; p = 0.047) while dabigatran showed non-significant excess in thromboembolic events (HR 4.3, 95% CI 0.9-20.8; p = 0.068). In CKD patients, a significantly higher rate of thromboembolic events was observed in rivaroxaban (HR 6.3, 95% CI 1.1-38.1; p = 0.044). This real-world, non-insurance database registry shows remarkable 2-year safety and efficacy profile of DOACs even in patients with moderate to severe CKD. Head to head differences between DOACs are exploratory, hypothesis generating and warrant further investigation in larger studies.

Acute Kidney Injury in Critically Ill Children and Subsequent Chronic Kidney Disease

BACKGROUND

The progression from acute kidney injury (AKI) to chronic kidney disease (CKD) is not well understood in children.

OBJECTIVES

We aimed to develop a pediatric CKD definition using administrative data and use it to evaluate the association between AKI in critically ill children and CKD 5 years after hospital discharge.

DESIGN

Retrospective cohort study using chart collection and administrative data.

SETTING

Two-center study in Montreal, Canada.

PATIENTS

Children (≤18 years old) admitted to two pediatric intensive care units (ICUs) between 2003 and 2005. We a priori excluded patients with end-stage renal disease or no health care number. Only the first admission during the study period was included. We excluded patients who could not be linked to administrative data, did not survive hospitalization, or had preexisting renal disease.

MEASUREMENTS

Acute kidney injury was defined using Kidney Disease: Improving Global Outcomes (KDIGO) criteria. Patients were defined as having CKD 5 years post-discharge if they had ≥1 CKD diagnostic code or ≥1 CKD-specific medication prescription.

METHODS

Chart data used to define the exposure (AKI) were merged with provincial administrative data used to define the outcome (CKD). Cox regression was used to evaluate the AKI-CKD association.

RESULTS

A total of 2235 (56% male) patients were included, and the median admission age was 3.7 years. A total of 464 (21%) patients developed AKI during pediatric ICU admission. At 5 years post-discharge, 43 (2%) patients had a CKD diagnosis. Patients with both stage 1 and stage 2-3 AKI had increased risk of a CKD diagnosis, with the adjusted hazard ratios (95% confidence intervals) of 2.2 (1.1-4.5) and 2.5 (1.1-5.7), respectively (P < .001).

LIMITATIONS

Results may not be generalizable to non-ICU patients. We were not able to control for post-discharge variables; future research should try to explore these additional potential risk factors further.

CONCLUSIONS

Acute kidney injury is associated with 5-year post-discharge CKD diagnosis defined by administrative health care data.

Vitamin K, Vascular Calcification, and Chronic Kidney Disease: Current Evidence and Unanswered Questions

More than 15% of the US population is currently >65 y old. As populations age there is a concomitant increase in age-related chronic diseases. One such disease is chronic kidney disease (CKD), which becomes more prevalent with age, especially over age 70 y. Individuals with CKD are at increased risk of cardiovascular disease, in part because arterial calcification increases as kidney function declines. Vitamin K is a shortfall nutrient among older adults that has been implicated in arterial calcification. Evidence suggests CKD patients have low vitamin K status, but data are equivocal because the biomarkers of vitamin K status can be influenced by CKD. Animal studies provide more compelling data on the underlying role of vitamin K in arterial calcification associated with CKD. The purpose of this review is to evaluate the strengths and limitations of the available evidence regarding the role of vitamin K in CKD.

[The Nephrological Aspects of the Use of Rivaroxaban and Other Direct Peroral Anticoagulants in Non-Valvular Atrial Fibrillation]

Chronic kidney disease (CKD) is a powerful cardiovascular risk factor, its presence is accompanied by an increased risk of hospitalization for exacerbation of chronic heart failure (CHF), adverse outcomes in myocardial infarction, and cardiovascular mortality. Among the adverse events, an increased risk of atrial fibrillation (AF) should be noted. This article contains discussion of current approaches to the treatment of AF in patients with different stages of CKD, data on benefits of certain direct oral anticoagulants, as well as comparative characteristics of therapy with direct oral anticoagulants and warfarin. Pharmacokinetics and pharmacodynamics of direct oral anticoagulants, which determine the features of therapy in CKD, are also considered.

Longitudinal kidney function trajectories predict major bleeding, hospitalization and death in patients with atrial fibrillation and chronic kidney disease

BACKGROUND

Chronic kidney disease (CKD), commonly described by estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR), is a frequent comorbidity in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) and associated with thromboembolic and bleeding complications. Instead of single eGFR measurements, kidney function decline over time may better predict clinical outcomes but this has not been studied so far.

METHODS

Patients with AF and stage 3/4 CKD were prospectively followed within a primary care electronic database from the United Kingdom (IMS-THIN). The associations between the longitudinal eGFR trajectory of these patients and stroke/systemic embolism, major bleeding, first hospitalization-for-any-cause, and death-from-any-cause were estimated with joint models of longitudinal and time-to-event data.

RESULTS

18,240 patients were included (median age 80.4 years, median CHA₂DS₂-VASc score 4). In 133,676 eGFR measurements (mean: 6 per patient) median "baseline" eGFR was 49 ml/min/1.73m² [41-55] and mean eGFR decline was 0.54 ml/min/1.73m²/year (95%CI: 0.47-0.62). During follow-up (median 3.2 years; 50,841 patient-years at risk), 5-year cumulative incidence estimates were 9%, 3%, 32% and 76% for stroke/systemic embolism, major bleeding, hospitalization and death, respectively. In joint modeling, an accelerated decline in kidney function strongly predicted for a higher risk of major bleeding (hazard ratio [HR] 1.09 per ml/min/1.73m²/year increase in eGFR decline), hospitalization (HR 1.06), and death-from-any-cause (HR 1.11; all p < 0.05), but not for stroke/systemic embolism (HR 0.97; p = 0.239).

CONCLUSIONS

Declining kidney function is a critical determinant of unfavourable outcomes in patients with AF and CKD. Longitudinal kidney function trajectories may enable a much more individualized prediction of adverse outcomes in this vulnerable patient population.

Comparison of atrial fibrillation in CKD and non-CKD populations: A cross-sectional analysis from the Kailuan study

OBJECTIVES

To compare clinical epidemiological features of atrial fibrillation (AF) in chronic kidney disease (CKD) and non-CKD populations.

METHODS

This study included 88,312 adults aged ≥45 years old from the KAILUAN study. AF was ascertained with a 12-lead electrocardiogram. CKD was defined as an estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) < 60 mL/min/1.73 m² and/or proteinuria. Participants were categorized into non-CKD (eGFR > 60 mL/min/1.73 m² without proteinuria, n = 66,725) and CKD (n = 21,578) groups. We evaluated the prevalence of AF in both groups, evaluated risk factors for AF using multivariable-adjusted logistic regression analysis.

RESULTS

The prevalence of AF among non-CKD and CKD participants was 0.26% and 1.00%, respectively. Multivariable-adjusted analysis showed that older age (odds ratio [OR]: 1.08, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.07-1.10, P < 0.001), smoking (OR: 1.23, 95% CI: 1.07-1.57, P = 0.017), hypertension (OR: 2.14, 95% CI: 1.44-3.17, P < 0.001), diabetes (OR: 1.79, 95% CI: 1.10-2.89, P < 0.001), and larger waist circumference (OR: 1.03, 95% CI: 1.01-1.04, P < 0.001) were significantly associated with AF in the non-CKD group. In the CKD group, older age, smoking, larger waist circumference, reduced eGFR (OR: 0.97, 95% CI: 0.95-0.99, P < 0.001), proteinuria (OR: 2.01, 95% CI: 1.09-3.74, P < 0.001) and raised serum C-reactive protein (1.01, 1.00-1.03, P < 0.001) were significantly associated with AF.

CONCLUSIONS

The prevalence of AF in Chinese adults with CKD is higher than that among those without CKD. Risk factors for AF in non-CKD population were not the same compared with those in CKD population, kidney function and inflammatory markers were associated with the prevalence of AF.

Direct Oral Anticoagulants and Medical Comorbidities in Patients Needing Dental Extractions: Management of the Risk of Bleeding

PURPOSE

The purpose of this study was to measure the frequency of bleeding during and after tooth extraction in patients exposed to direct oral anticoagulants (DOACs) and identify risk factors for prolonged or excessive bleeding.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

This retrospective cohort study involved 100 patients who underwent tooth extractions according to the European Heart Rhythm Association protocol: continuation of DOAC therapy for extractions of up to 3 teeth in the same session performed at the (presumed) time of DOAC trough concentration. We respected an interval of at least 4 hours between extraction and last DOAC intake. The outcome of interest was incidence of mild, moderate, and severe bleeding during the intervention and in the 7-day follow-up period. Data analysis considered the presence of comorbidities as the primary predictor for bleeding; additional predictors were age, gender, type of comorbidity, indication for DOAC therapy, DOAC agent, and extraction of contiguous teeth.

RESULTS

Of the patients, 64 had comorbidities (diabetes in 50%). The distributions of demographic, clinical, and dental variables were similar for patients with and without comorbidities. We observed 4 bleeding episodes (1 moderate episode 1 hour after the extraction and 3 mild episodes the day after the extraction) in the comorbidity group and none in the non-comorbidity group (4 of 64 vs 0 of 36, P = .29; overall bleeding rate, 4 of 100). The factor significantly triggering bleeding in patients with comorbidity was extractions of couples and triplets of multirooted teeth (P = .004).

CONCLUSIONS

Tooth extractions in patients with comorbidities taking DOACs may be safely managed as long as they are performed at least 4 hours after the last DOAC intake and do not involve 2 or 3 contiguous premolars and molars.

Cause-Specific Mortality in Patients with Chronic Kidney Disease and Atrial Fibrillation

BACKGROUND

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is associated with death in patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD). We examined the associations between AF and cause-specific mortality in a large CKD population.

METHODS

We included 62,459 patients with estimated glomerular filtration rate 15-59 mL/min/1.73 m2 (6,639 patients with AF and 55,820 without AF) followed in a large health care system. Outcomes included overall and cause-specific deaths (a) cardiovascular; (b) malignancy; and (c) non-cardiovascular/non-malignancy causes. Cox regression models for overall mortality and separate competing risk models for each major cause of death category were used to evaluate their respective associations with AF.

RESULTS

During a median follow-up of 4.1 years, 19,094 patients died; cause of death was known for 18,854 patients. After multivariable adjustment (demographics, comorbidities, relevant laboratory data, medication use, and kidney function), AF was associated with 23% (95% CI 18-29%) higher risk of all-cause mortality, 45% (95% CI 31-61%) higher risk of cardiovascular mortality and 13% (95% CI 3-22%) lower risk of malignancy-related mortality. Exclusion of patients with malignancy yielded similar results except for a lack of association between AF and malignancy-related deaths. Results were consistent across various stages of CKD.

CONCLUSIONS

In a non-dialysis-dependent CKD population, the presence of AF was associated with higher all-cause and cardiovascular mortality. These data suggest that patients with both CKD and AF are at high cardiovascular risk, and thus clinical practice (or trials) should aim at reducing the overall excess cardiovascular mortality (not stroke alone) in patients with AF and CKD.

Nonvitamin K Oral Anticoagulants in Patients With Atrial Fibrillation and Severe Renal Dysfunction

Both atrial fibrillation (AF) and chronic kidney disease (CKD) are highly prevalent, especially with increasing age and associated comorbidities, such as hypertension, diabetes, heart failure, and vascular disease. The relationship between both AF and CKD seems to be bidirectional: CKD predisposes to AF while onset of AF seems to lead to progression of CKD. Stroke prevention is the cornerstone of AF management, and AF patients with CKD are at higher risk of stroke, mortality, cardiac events, and bleeding. Stroke prevention requires use of oral anticoagulants, which are either vitamin K antagonists (eg, warfarin), or the nonvitamin K antagonist oral anticoagulants (NOACs). While NOACs have been shown to be effective in mild-to-moderate renal dysfunction, there are a paucity of data regarding NOACs in severe and end-stage renal dysfunction. This review first discusses the evidence for NOACs in CKD. Second, we summarize the current knowledge regarding the efficacy and safety of NOACs to prevent AF-related stroke and systemic embolism in severe and end-stage renal disease.

Non-Vitamin K-Dependent Oral Anticoagulants for Nonvalvular Atrial Fibrillation in Patients With CKD: Pragmatic Considerations for the Clinician

Management of atrial fibrillation (AF) in patients with advanced chronic kidney disease (CKD) poses a complex conundrum because of higher risks for both thromboembolic and bleeding complications compared to the general population. This makes it particularly important for clinicians to carefully weigh the risks versus benefits of anticoagulation therapy to determine the individualized net clinical benefit for every patient. During the past few years, 4 non-vitamin K-dependent oral anticoagulant (NOAC) agents have supplemented warfarin in the therapeutic armamentarium for the prevention of systemic thromboembolism in nonvalvular AF. However, the use of NOACs in CKD specifically mandates a nuanced understanding due to their varying dependence on renal clearance, with resultant safety implications related to either underdosing (thromboembolism) or excessive drug exposure (bleeding). This pragmatic review highlights unique considerations pertaining to accurate estimation and temporal monitoring of kidney function in the context of NOAC use with specific clinical deliberations and variables when determining whether an NOAC is appropriate for a patient with CKD. The dependence of NOACs on renal clearance and several troubling safety signals in the published literature suggest that it is vital for nephrologists to be active members of a multidisciplinary team caring for these high-risk patients with CKD and AF.

Use of oral anticoagulants in patients with atrial fibrillation and renal dysfunction

Atrial fibrillation (AF) and chronic kidney disease (CKD) are increasingly prevalent in the general population and share common risk factors such as older age, hypertension and diabetes mellitus. The presence of CKD increases the risk of incident AF, and, likewise, AF increases the risk of CKD development and/or progression. Both conditions are associated with substantial thromboembolic risk, but patients with advanced CKD also exhibit a paradoxical increase in bleeding risk. In the landmark randomized clinical trials that compared non-vitamin K antagonist oral anticoagulants (NOACs) with warfarin for thromboprophylaxis in patients with AF, the efficacy and safety of NOACs in patients with mild-to-moderate CKD were similar to those in patients without CKD. Dose adjustment of NOACs as per the prescribing label is required in this population. Owing to limited trial data, evidence-based recommendations for the management of patients with AF and severe CKD or end-stage renal disease on dialysis are lacking. Observational cohort studies have reported conflicting results, and the management of these particularly vulnerable patients remains challenging and requires careful assessment of stroke and bleeding risk and, where appropriate, use of warfarin with good-quality anticoagulation control.

Prediction Model and Risk Stratification Tool for Survival in Patients With CKD

INTRODUCTION

Because chronic kidney disease (CKD) adversely affects survival, prediction of mortality risk should help to identify individuals requiring therapeutic intervention. The goal of this project was to construct and to validate a risk scoring system and prediction model of the probability of 2-year mortality in a CKD population.

METHODS

We applied the Woodpecker approach to develop prediction equations using linear, exponential, and combined models. A risk indicator R on a scale of 0 to 10 was calculated as follows: starting with 0, add 0.048 for each year of age above 20, 0.45 for male sex, 0.49 for each stage of CKD over stage 2, 1.04 for proteinuria, 0.72 for smoking history, and 0.49 for each significant comorbidity up to 5.

RESULTS

Using R to predict 2-year mortality, the model yielded an area under the receiver operating characterisic curve of 0.83 (95% confidence interval = 0.81-0.86) with 5062 subjects with CKD ≥stage 2 from a National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey cohort (1999-2004) having a 3.2% 2-year mortality. The combined expression offered results closest to most actual outcomes for the entire population and for each CKD stage. For those patients with higher risk (R ≥ 4-5, >5-6, and >6), the predicted 2-year mortality rates were 3.8%, 6.4%, and 13.0%, respectively, compared to observed mortality rates of 2.7%, 4.5%, and 13.3%.

CONCLUSION

The risk stratification tool and prediction model of 2-year mortality demonstrated good performance and may be used in clinical practice to quantify the risk of death for individual patients with CKD.

Anticoagulation for Stroke Prevention in Older Adults with Atrial Fibrillation and Comorbidity: Current Evidence and Treatment Challenges

The burden of atrial fibrillation (AF) is projected to increase substantially over the next decade in parallel with the aging of the population. The increasing age, level of comorbidity, and polypharmacy will complicate the treatment of older adults with AF. For instance, advanced age and chronic kidney disease have been shown to increase the risk of both thromboembolism and bleeding in patients with AF. Frailty, recurrent falls and polypharmacy, while very common among elderly patients with AF, are often overlooked in the clinical decision making despite their significant interaction with oral anticoagulant (OAC) and profound impact on the patient's clinical outcomes. Such factors should be recognized, evaluated and considered in a comprehensive decision-making process. The introduction of non-vitamin K oral anticoagulants has radically changed the management of AF allowing for a more individualized selection of OAC. An understanding of the available data regarding the performance of each of the available OAC in a variety of at risk patient populations is paramount for the safe and effective management of this patient population. The aim of this review is to appraise the current evidence, point out the gaps in knowledge, and provide recommendations regarding stroke prevention in older adults with AF and comorbid conditions.

Non-Vitamin K Antagonist Oral Anticoagulants in Patients With Atrial Fibrillation and End-Stage Renal Disease

Over the past decade, there have been tremendous advancements in anticoagulation therapies for stroke prevention in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF). Although the non-vitamin K antagonist oral anticoagulants (NOACs) demonstrated favorable clinical outcomes compared with warfarin overall, the decision to anticoagulate and the choice of appropriate agent in patients with AF and concomitant chronic kidney disease (CKD) or end-stage renal disease (ESRD) are a particularly complex issue. CKD and ESRD increase both the risk of stroke and bleeding, and since all of the NOACs undergo various levels of renal clearance, renal dysfunction inevitably affects the pharmacokinetics of the drug in each patient. Furthermore, the randomized controlled clinical trials of each NOAC versus warfarin often did not include patients with advanced CKD or ESRD. In this focused review, we describe the available evidence supporting the use of NOACs for prevention of stroke in patients with AF with concomitant advanced CKD or ESRD. Although questions of safety and appropriate use of these new agents in CKD and ESRD remain, NOACs offer a significant step forward in the anticoagulation management of at-risk patients with AF.

Direct oral anticoagulants versus warfarin for preventing stroke and systemic embolic events among atrial fibrillation patients with chronic kidney disease

BACKGROUND

Chronic kidney disease (CKD) is an independent risk factor for atrial fibrillation (AF), which is more prevalent among CKD patients than the general population. AF causes stroke or systemic embolism, leading to increased mortality. The conventional antithrombotic prophylaxis agent warfarin is often prescribed for the prevention of stroke, but risk of bleeding necessitates regular therapeutic monitoring. Recently developed direct oral anticoagulants (DOAC) are expected to be useful as alternatives to warfarin.

OBJECTIVES

To assess the efficacy and safety of DOAC including apixaban, dabigatran, edoxaban, and rivaroxaban versus warfarin among AF patients with CKD.

SEARCH METHODS

We searched the Cochrane Kidney and Transplant Specialised Register (up to 1 August 2017) through contact with the Information Specialist using search terms relevant to this review. Studies in the Specialised Register are identified through searches of CENTRAL, MEDLINE, and EMBASE, conference proceedings, the International Clinical Trials Register (ICTRP) Search Portal, and ClinicalTrials.gov.

SELECTION CRITERIA

We included all randomised controlled trials (RCTs) which directly compared the efficacy and safety of direct oral anticoagulants (direct thrombin inhibitors or factor Xa inhibitors) with dose-adjusted warfarin for preventing stroke and systemic embolic events in non-valvular AF patients with CKD, defined as creatinine clearance (CrCl) or eGFR between 15 and 60 mL/min (CKD stage G3 and G4).

DATA COLLECTION AND ANALYSIS

Two review authors independently selected studies, assessed quality, and extracted data. We calculated the risk ratio (RR) and 95% confidence intervals (95% CI) for the association between anticoagulant therapy and all strokes and systemic embolic events as the primary efficacy outcome and major bleeding events as the primary safety outcome. Confidence in the evidence was assessing using GRADE.

MAIN RESULTS

Our review included 12,545 AF participants with CKD from five studies. All participants were randomised to either DOAC (apixaban, dabigatran, edoxaban, and rivaroxaban) or dose-adjusted warfarin. Four studies used a central, interactive, automated response system for allocation concealment while the other did not specify concealment methods. Four studies were blinded while the other was partially open-label. However, given that all studies involved blinded evaluation of outcome events, we considered the risk of bias to be low. We were unable to create funnel plots due to the small number of studies, thwarting assessment of publication bias. Study duration ranged from 1.8 to 2.8 years. The large majority of participants included in this study were CKD stage G3 (12,155), and a small number were stage G4 (390). Of 12,545 participants from five studies, a total of 321 cases (2.56%) of the primary efficacy outcome occurred per year. Further, of 12,521 participants from five studies, a total of 617 cases (4.93%) of the primary safety outcome occurred per year. DOAC appeared to probably reduce the incidence of stroke and systemic embolism events (5 studies, 12,545 participants: RR 0.81, 95% CI 0.65 to 1.00; moderate certainty evidence) and to slightly reduce the incidence of major bleeding events (5 studies, 12,521 participants: RR 0.79, 95% CI 0.59 to 1.04; low certainty evidence) in comparison with warfarin.

AUTHORS' CONCLUSIONS

Our findings indicate that DOAC are as likely as warfarin to prevent all strokes and systemic embolic events without increasing risk of major bleeding events among AF patients with kidney impairment. These findings should encourage physicians to prescribe DOAC in AF patients with CKD without fear of bleeding. The major limitation is that the results of this study chiefly reflect CKD stage G3. Application of the results to CKD stage G4 patients requires additional investigation. Furthermore, we could not assess CKD stage G5 patients. Future reviews should assess participants at more advanced CKD stages. Additionally, we could not conduct detailed analyses of subgroups and sensitivity analyses due to lack of data.

Warfarin Use and Increased Mortality in End-Stage Renal Disease

BACKGROUND

Controversy exists regarding the benefits and risks of warfarin therapy in chronic kidney disease (CKD) and end-stage renal disease (ESRD) patients. In this study, we assessed mortality and cardiovascular outcomes associated with warfarin treatment in patients with stages 3-5 CKD and ESRD admitted to the University of California-Irvine Medical Center.

METHODS

In a retrospective matched cohort study, we identified 59 adult patients with stages 3-6 CKD initiated on warfarin during the period 2011-2013, and 144 patients with stages 3-6 CKD who had indications for anticoagulation therapy but were not initiated on warfarin. All-cause mortality risk associated with warfarin treatment was estimated using Cox proportional hazard regression analysis, and the risk of significant bleeding and major adverse cardiovascular events were analyzed with Poisson regression analysis. Adjustment models were used to account for age, gender, diabetes mellitus, use of antiplatelet agents, and preexisting cardiovascular disease, and stratified by pre-dialysis CKD stages 3-5 vs. ESRD.

FINDINGS

During 5.8 years of follow-up, unadjusted mortality risk was higher in CKD patients on warfarin therapy (hazard ratio [HR] 2.34 with 95% CI 1.25-4.39; p < 0.01). After multivariate adjustment and stratification by CKD stage, the mortality risk remained significant in ESRD patients receiving warfarin (HR 6.62 with 95% CI 2.56-17.16; p < 0.001). Furthermore, adjusted rates of significant bleeding (incident rate ratio, IRR 3.57 with 95% CI 1.51-8.45; p < 0.01) and myocardial infarction (IRR 4.20 with 95% CI 1.78-9.91; p < 0.01) were higher among warfarin users. No differences in rates of ischemic or hemorrhagic strokes were found between the 2 groups.

CONCLUSIONS

Warfarin use was associated with several-fold higher risk of death, bleeding, and myocardial infarction in dialysis patients. If additional studies suggest similar associations, the use of warfarin in dialysis patients warrants immediate reconsideration.

eGFR and Albuminuria in Relation to Risk of Incident Atrial Fibrillation: A Meta-Analysis of the Jackson Heart Study, the Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis, and the Cardiovascular Health Study

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES

The incidence of atrial fibrillation is high in ESRD, but limited data are available on the incidence of atrial fibrillation across a broad range of kidney function. Thus, we examined the association of eGFR and urine albumin-to-creatinine ratio with risk of incident atrial fibrillation.

DESIGN, SETTING, PARTICIPANTS, & MEASUREMENTS

We meta-analyzed three prospective cohorts: the Jackson Heart Study, the Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis, and the Cardiovascular Health Study. Cox regression models were performed examining the association of eGFR and urine albumin-to-creatinine ratio with incident atrial fibrillation adjusting for demographics and comorbidity. In additional analyses, we adjusted for measures of subclinical cardiovascular disease (by electrocardiogram and cardiac imaging) and interim heart failure and myocardial infarction events.

RESULTS

In the meta-analyzed study population of 16,769 participants without prevalent atrial fibrillation, across categories of decreasing eGFR (eGFR>90 [reference], 60-89, 45-59, 30-44, and <30 ml/min per 1.73 m2), there was a stepwise increase in the adjusted risk of incident atrial fibrillation: hazard ratios (95% confidence intervals) were 1.00, 1.09 (0.97 to 1.24), 1.17 (1.00 to 1.38), 1.59 (1.28 to 1.98), and 2.03 (1.40 to 2.96), respectively. There was a stepwise increase in the adjusted risk of incident atrial fibrillation across categories of increasing urine albumin-to-creatinine ratio (urine albumin-to-creatinine ratio <15 [reference], 15-29, 30-299, and ≥300 mg/g): hazard ratios (95% confidence intervals) were 1.00, 1.04 (0.83 to 1.30), 1.47 (1.20 to 1.79), and 1.76 (1.18 to 2.62), respectively. The associations were consistent after adjustment for subclinical cardiovascular disease measures and interim heart failure and myocardial infarction events.

CONCLUSIONS

In this meta-analysis of three cohorts, reduced eGFR and elevated urine albumin-to-creatinine ratio were significantly associated with greater risk of incident atrial fibrillation, highlighting the need for further studies to understand mechanisms linking kidney disease with atrial fibrillation.

Renal Function Considerations for Stroke Prevention in Atrial Fibrillation

Renal impairment increases risk of stroke and systemic embolic events and bleeding in patients with atrial fibrillation. Direct oral anticoagulants (DOACs) have varied dependence on renal elimination, magnifying the importance of appropriate patient selection, dosing, and periodic kidney function monitoring. In randomized controlled trials of nonvalvular atrial fibrillation, DOACs were at least as effective and associated with less bleeding compared with warfarin. Each direct oral anticoagulant was associated with reduced risk of stroke and systemic embolic events and major bleeding compared with warfarin in nonvalvular atrial fibrillation patients with mild or moderate renal impairment. Renal function decrease appears less impacted by DOACs, which are associated with a better risk-benefit profile than warfarin in patients with decreasing renal function over time. Limited data address the risk-benefit profile of DOACs in patients with severe impairment or on dialysis.

Heart Failure Increases the Risk of Adverse Renal Outcomes in Patients With Normal Kidney Function

BACKGROUND

Heart failure (HF) is associated with poor cardiac outcomes and mortality. It is not known whether HF leads to poor renal outcomes in patients with normal kidney function. We hypothesized that HF is associated with worse long-term renal outcomes.

METHODS AND RESULTS

Among 3 570 865 US veterans with estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) ≥60 mL min-1 1.73 m-2 during October 1, 2004 to September 30, 2006, we identified 156 743 with an International Classification of Diseases, Ninth Revision, diagnosis of HF. We examined the association of HF with incident chronic kidney disease (CKD), the composite of incident CKD or mortality, and rapid rate of eGFR decline (slopes steeper than -5 mL min-1 1.73 m-2 y-1) using Cox proportional hazard analyses and logistic regression. Adjustments were made for various confounders. The mean±standard deviation baseline age and eGFR of HF patients were 68±11 years and 78±14 mL min-1 1.73 m-2 and in patients without HF were 59±14 years and 84±16 mL min-1 1.73 m-2, respectively. HF patients had higher prevalence of hypertension, diabetes mellitus, cardiac, peripheral vascular and chronic lung diseases, stroke, and dementia. Incidence of CKD was 69.0/1000 patient-years in HF patients versus 14.5/1000 patient-years in patients without HF, and 22% of patients with HF had rapid decline in eGFR compared with 8.5% in patients without HF. HF patients had a 2.12-, 2.06-, and 2.13-fold higher multivariable-adjusted risk of incident CKD, composite of CKD or mortality, and rapid eGFR decline, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

HF is associated with significantly higher risk of incident CKD, incident CKD or mortality, and rapid eGFR decline. Early diagnosis and management of HF could help reduce the risk of long-term renal complications.

Associations of Abdominal Obesity and New-Onset Atrial Fibrillation in the General Population

BACKGROUND

Higher height and weight are known to be associated with higher risk of atrial fibrillation (AF); however, whether the risk of AF is related to abdominal obesity is unclear.

METHODS AND RESULTS

We studied 501 690 adults (mean age: 47.6±14.3 years; 250 664 women [50.0%]) without baseline AF in the National Sample Cohort released by the National Health Insurance Service in Korea. Body mass index (underweight defined as <18.5; normal, 18.5 to <25.0; overweight, 25.0 to <30.0; and obese, ≥30.0) and waist circumference (abdominal obesity defined as ≥90 cm for men and ≥80 cm for women) were evaluated. During a mean follow-up of 3.9±1.3 years, 3443 participants (1432 women [41.6%]) developed AF. In multivariable models adjusted for clinical variables, the AF risk of underweight, overweight, and obese individuals increased by 21% (95% confidence interval, 1.01-1.45, P=0.043), 14% (95% confidence interval, 1.06-1.23, P<0.001), and 52% (95% confidence interval, 1.30-1.78, P<0.001), respectively, compared with those with normal body mass index. AF risk with confounder-adjusted hazards for abdominal obesity was 18% (95% confidence interval, 1.10-1.27, P<0.001). The increased AF risk was present in abdominally obese individuals regardless of body mass index except for the obese group. In subgroup analysis, abdominal obesity by waist circumference conferred increased risk of new-onset AF, particularly in participants without comorbidities.

CONCLUSIONS

Abdominal obesity is an important, potentially modifiable risk factor for AF in nonobese Asian persons. These data suggest that interventions to decrease abdominal obesity may reduce the population burden of AF.

Estimated glomerular filtration rate within the normal or mildly impaired range and incident non-valvular atrial fibrillation: Results from a population-based cohort study

Background Lower estimated glomerular filtration rate, in particular in the significant renal impairment range (estimated glomerular filtration rate <60 ml/min/1.73 m²), is associated with incident atrial fibrillation. This association is less established within the normal or mildly impaired estimated glomerular filtration rate range. Methods Using the Chronic Kidney Disease Epidemiology Collaboration (CKD-EPI) estimated glomerular filtration rate formula, we identified ambulatory adults (>22 years old) without rheumatic heart disease or prosthetic valves and with 60 ml/min/1.73 m²<estimated glomerular filtration rate<130 ml/min/1.73 m² in their index visit, for incident, newly-diagnosed atrial fibrillation. We analyzed cohorts with and without prior cardiovascular disease. Results Over a mean follow-up of 104 months and >10 m patient-years of follow-up (∼75% <60 years old, ∼57% females), >65,000 individuals had ≥1 atrial fibrillation event (incident atrial fibrillation rate 5.1% and 5.8% excluding or including prior cardiovascular disease, or 49 and 55 per 10,000 patient-years, respectively). In both cohorts, individuals with versus without incident atrial fibrillation had lower mean estimated glomerular filtration rate (∼83 versus 95 ml/min/1.73 m²). Adjusting for age, gender, hypertension, and diabetes mellitus, overall a 10 ml/min/1.73 m² decrease in estimated glomerular filtration rate was independently associated with a mean increase in incident atrial fibrillation of 1.5% and 2.4% in the cohorts excluding or including prior cardiovascular disease, respectively ( p < 0.001 for both). However, a graded association between lower estimated glomerular filtration rate and atrial fibrillation was observed in the 90-130 ml/min/1.73 m² range, whereas a blunted association was observed in the 60-90 ml/min/1.73 m² range. Conclusion Within the 60 ml/min/1.73 m²< estimated glomerular filtration rate < 130 ml/min/1.73 m² range, lower estimated glomerular filtration rate is independently associated with incident non-valvular atrial fibrillation in adults without prior atrial fibrillation, mainly attributed to a graded association within the 90-130 ml/min/1.73 m² range.