Low natalizumab trough concentrations are associated with reduced seroconversion of the John Cunningham virus in natalizumab-treated patients with multiple sclerosis

BACKGROUND

Natalizumab is a highly effective drug for patients with relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis (MS). A disadvantage of this treatment is the risk of progressive multifocal leukoencephalopathy in patients who are seropositive for the John Cunningham virus (JCV). JCV seroconversion rates increase under natalizumab treatment compared with non-natalizumab using controls. The aim of this study was to assess whether lower natalizumab trough concentrations are associated with reduced JCV seroconversion compared with higher natalizumab trough concentrations.

METHODS

Two overlapping cohorts of patients treated with intravenous natalizumab in the Netherlands were combined for this study. JCV seroconversion was assessed during periods of high (≥15 µg/mL) and low (<15 µg/mL) natalizumab trough concentrations. Low trough concentrations were mainly the result of trough concentration guided personalised extended interval dosing (EID). The seroconversion rates during high and low trough concentrations were compared using a generalised linear mixed model with a Poisson link function.

RESULTS

A total of 357 patients from 21 hospitals in the Netherlands were included. The annual seroconversion rate of 8.4% observed in patients during periods of high trough concentrations (n=226) was 2.32 times higher than the seroconversion rate of 4.8% in patients during periods of low trough concentrations (n=252) (95% CI=1.32 to 4.08, p=0.0035).

CONCLUSIONS

The seroconversion rate observed in patients with MS with low trough concentrations was substantially lower compared with those with high trough concentrations during natalizumab treatment. This emphasises the importance of personalised EID, where intervals between infusions are prolonged to achieve lower natalizumab trough concentrations, to increase drug safety.

Neuroaxonal damage in natalizumab-treated MS patients: The role of JCV antibody titres

BACKGROUND

While John Cunningham virus (JCV) is known to cause neuronal damage in progressive multifocal leukoencephalopathy (PML) among natalizumab-treated MS patients, its association with axonal loss in non-PML conditions remains unclear.

METHODS

In a cohort of 128 natalizumab-treated MS patients, serum neurofilament (sNfL) levels and JCV antibody titres were measured.

RESULTS

Among 128 patients (mean age = 38.4 years, 71.9% female), 51 (40%) were JCV positive. NfL levels increased by 15.3% for JCV index <0.7 (95% confidence interval [CI] = 0.963-1.381), by 18.6% for index 0.7-1.5 (95% CI = 1.009-1.394) and by 21.1% for index >1.5 (95% CI = 1.040-1.409) compared to JCV negative patients.

CONCLUSION

These findings indicate a potential link between JCV burden and neuroaxonal degeneration in natalizumab-treated MS patients.

John Cunningham Virus and Progressive Multifocal Leukoencephalopathy: A Falsely Played Diagnosis

Progressive Multifocal Leukoencephalopathy (PML) is a possibly fatal demyelinating disease and John Cunningham Polyomavirus (JCPyV) is believed to cause this condition. The so-called JCPyV was initially reported in lymphoma and Human Immunodeficiency Virus (HIV) cases, whereas nowadays, its incidence is increasing in Multiple Sclerosis (MS) cases treated with natalizumab (Tysabri). However, there are conflicting literature data on its pathology and diagnosis, whereas some misdiagnosed reports exist, giving rise to further questions towards the topic. In reality, the so-called PML and the supposed JCPyV are not what they seem to be. In addition, novel and more frequent PML-like conditions may be reported, especially after the Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic.

Drug-Induced Progressive Multifocal Leukoencephalopathy (PML): A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

INTRODUCTION

Progressive multifocal leukoencephalopathy (PML) was first described among patients affected by hematological or solid tumors. Following the human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) epidemic, people living with HIV have represented most cases for more than a decade. With the diffusion of highly active antiretroviral therapy, this group progressively decreased in favor of patients undergoing treatment with targeted therapy/immunomodulators. In this systematic review and meta-analysis, the objective was to assess which drugs are most frequently related to PML development, and report the incidence of drug-induced PML through a meta-analytic approach.

METHODS

The electronic databases MEDLINE, EMBASE, ClinicalTrials.gov, Web of Science and the Canadian Agency for Drugs and Technologies in Health Database (CADTH) were searched up to May 10, 2022. Articles that reported the risk of PML development after treatment with immunomodulatory drugs, including patients of both sexes under the age of 80 years, affected by any pathology except HIV, primary immunodeficiencies or malignancies, were included in the review. The incidence of drug-induced PML was calculated based on PML cases and total number of patients observed per 100 persons and the observation time. Random-effect metanalyses were conducted for each drug reporting pooled incidence with 95% confidence intervals (CI) and median (interquartile range [IQR]) of the observation time. Heterogeneity was measured by I2 statistics. Publication bias was examined through funnel plots and Egger's test.

RESULTS

A total of 103 studies were included in the systematic review. In our analysis, we found no includible study reporting cases of PML during the course of treatment with ocrelizumab, vedolizumab, abrilumab, ontamalimab, teriflunomide, daclizumab, inebilizumab, basiliximab, tacrolimus, belimumab, infliximab, firategrast, disulone, azathioprine or danazole. Dalfampridine, glatiramer acetate, dimethyl fumarate and fingolimod show a relatively safe profile, although some cases of PML have been reported. The meta-analysis showed an incidence of PML cases among patients undergoing rituximab treatment for multiple sclerosis (MS) of 0.01 cases/100 persons (95% CI - 0.08 to 0.09; I2 = 20.4%; p = 0.25) for a median observation period of 23.5 months (IQR 22.1-42.1). Treatment of MS with natalizumab carried a PML risk of 0.33 cases/100 persons (95% CI 0.29-0.37; I2 = 50%; p = 0.003) for a median observation period of 44.1 months (IQR 28.4-60) and a mean number of doses of 36.3 (standard deviation [SD] ± 20.7). When comparing data about patients treated with standard interval dosing (SID) and extended interval dosing (EID), the latter appears to carry a smaller risk of PML, that is, 0.08 cases/100 persons (95% CI 0.0-0.15) for EID versus 0.3 cases/100 persons (95% CI 0.25-0.34) for SID.

CONCLUSIONS

A higher risk of drug-related PML in patients whose immune system is not additionally depressed by means of neoplasms, HIV or concomitant medications is found in the neurological field. This risk is higher in MS treatment, and specifically during long-term natalizumab therapy. While this drug is still routinely prescribed in this field, considering the efficacy in reducing MS relapses, in other areas it could play a smaller role, and be gradually replaced by other safer and more recently approved agents.

[Progressive multifocal leukoencephalopathy in HIV-positive individuals]

The article discusses the historical aspect and modern ideas about the etiology and pathogenesis of progressive multifocal leukoencephalopathy in patients with HIV infection. An analysis and synthesis of literature data on the clinical presentation of this pathology was carried out. The possibilities and limitations of laboratory and instrumental diagnostic methods, including neuroimaging methods, are discussed in detail. The pathomorphological signs of the disease in HIV-positive individuals are covered.

Rates of John Cunningham virus seroconversion greatly reduced in natalizumab-treated patients during COVID-19-related lockdowns

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE

This study was undertaken to retrospectively compare rates of John Cunningham virus (JCV) seroconversion in natalizumab-treated patients before and during COVID-19-related community restrictions. Natalizumab is highly effective therapy for relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis. Prolonged exposure to natalizumab in JCV-positive patients can cause progressive multifocal leukoencephalopathy, a potentially fatal brain infection. Serial assessment of JCV status is required for patients receiving natalizumab.

METHODS

Patients receiving natalizumab at the Royal Melbourne Hospital were assessed for change in JCV serostatus and duration of exposure to natalizumab in two discrete time periods: from 1 February 2012 until 1 February 2017 ("pre-COVID"; n = 128) and from 1 April 2020 until 12 October 2022 ("COVID"; n = 214). A Poisson regression model adjusted for age at natalizumab commencement and sex was used to model seroconversion rate between the two time periods.

RESULTS

The pre-COVID JCV seroconversion rate among natalizumab-treated patients at the Royal Melbourne Hospital was 9.08%. Conversely, we found a precipitous decline in JCV seroconversion during COVID lockdown. Annualized seroconversion during COVID-19-related restrictions was 2.01%. The annualized seroconversion rate was 4.7 times higher during the pre-COVID-19 period (95% confidence interval = 2.96-7.45, p < 0.0001) compared to the annualized seroconversion rate during COVID lockdown. Males had a 2× higher rate of seroconversion compared to females.

CONCLUSIONS

JCV seroconversion among natalizumab-treated patients was markedly lower during COVID-19-related community restrictions. Restrictions observed in Melbourne were among the longest and most comprehensive implemented worldwide. This suggests the presence of modifiable risk factors that could lower rates of JCV seroconversion among natalizumab-treated patients.

Multiple sclerosis and the risk of infection: Association of British Neurologists consensus guideline

Infection in people with multiple sclerosis (MS) is of major concern, particularly for those receiving disease-modifying therapies. This article explores the risk of infection in people with MS and provides guidance-developed by Delphi consensus by specialists involved in their management-on how to screen for, prevent and manage infection in this population.

JC Virus Seroprevalence and JCVAb Index in Polish Multiple Sclerosis Patients Treated with Immunomodulating or Immunosuppressive Therapies

The use of a highly-effective treatment for multiple sclerosis (MS) is associated with a severe risk of developing complications, such as progressive multifocal leukoencephalopathy (PML) caused by the John Cunningham virus (JCV). The aim of this study was to evaluate the correlation between anti-JCV Ab seroprevalence, anti-JCV AI, demographic and clinical factors as well as the type of therapy used in the Polish MS population. This is a multicentre, prospective and cross-sectional study involving 1405 MS patients. The seroprevalence of anti-JCV Ab and anti-JCV AI levels as well as AI categories were analysed with the use of a second-generation two-step ELISA test (STRATIFY JCV DxSelect). The overall prevalence of anti-JCV Ab was 65.8%. It was shown that seroprevalence increases with the patient's age. The seroprevalence was significantly associated with the treatment type, and the highest values (76%) were obtained from immunosuppressant-treated patients. Overall, 63.3% of seropositive patients had an antibody index (AI) level of >1.5. In the seropositive patient group, the mean AI level amounted to 2.09. Similarly to the seroprevalence, AI levels correlated with the patient's age; AI level for patients above 40 years old and from subsequent age quintiles plateaued, amounting to at least 1.55. Patients treated with immunosuppressants and immunomodulatory drugs obtained the highest (1.67) and lowest (1.35) AI levels, respectively. Of the immunosuppressants used, the highest mean AI levels were observed in mitoxantrone and cladribine groups, amounting to 1.75 and 1.69, respectively. In patients treated with immunomodulatory drugs, the lowest AI levels were observed in the dimethyl fumarate (DMF) group (1.11). The seroprevalence rate in the Polish MS population is one of the highest in Europe. The majority of seropositive patients had an anti-JCV Ab level qualifying them for a high-risk category. The highest mean AI levels are observed in patients receiving immunosuppressants, especially mitoxantrone and cladribine. Patients receiving immunomodulatory drugs have lower AI levels compared to treatment-naïve subjects, especially when treated with DMF. Further studies, especially longitudinal studies, are required to determine the impact of MS drugs on the seroprevalence of anti-JCV Ab and AI levels.

High rates of JCV seroconversion in a large international cohort of natalizumab-treated patients

Aims:

To retrospectively assess factors associated with John Cunningham virus (JCV) seroconversion in natalizumab-treated patients.

Background:

Natalizumab is highly effective for the treatment of relapsing–remitting multiple sclerosis (RRMS), but its use is complicated by opportunistic JCV infection. This virus can result in progressive multifocal leukoencephalopathy (PML). Serial assessment of JCV serostatus is mandated during natalizumab treatment.

Methods:

Patients treated with natalizumab for RRMS at six tertiary hospitals in Melbourne, Australia (n = 865) and 11 MS treatment centres in Brazil (n = 136) were assessed for change in JCV serostatus, duration of exposure to natalizumab and prior immunosuppression. Sensitivity analyses examined whether sex, age, tertiary centre, prior immunosuppression or number of JCV tests affected time to seroconversion.

Results:

From a cohort of 1001 natalizumab-treated patients, durable positive seroconversion was observed in 83 of 345 initially JCV negative patients (24.1%; 7.3% per year). Conversely, 16 of 165 initially JCV positive patients experienced durable negative seroconversion (9.7%; 3.8% per year). Forty patients (3.9%) had fluctuating serostatus. Time-to-event analysis did not identify a relationship between JCV seroconversion and duration of natalizumab exposure. Prior exposure to immunosuppression was not associated with an increased hazard of positive JCV seroconversion. Male sex was associated with increased JCV seroconversion risk [adjusted hazard ratio 2.09 (95% confidence interval 1.17–3.71) p = 0.012].

Conclusion:

In this large international cohort of natalizumab-treated patients we observed an annual durable positive seroconversion rate of 7.3%. This rate exceeds that noted in registration and post-marketing studies for natalizumab. This rate also greatly exceeds that predicted by epidemiological studies of JCV seroconversion in healthy populations. Taken together, our findings support emerging evidence that natalizumab causes off-target immune changes that may be trophic for JCV seroconversion. In addition, male sex may be associated with increased positive JCV seroconversion.

JC Virus Seroprevalence and JCVAb Index in Polish Multiple Sclerosis Treatment-Naïve Patients

Multiple sclerosis (MS) treatment with new agents is associated with the risk of the development of progressive multifocal leukoencephalopathy (PML). The seropositivity and a high index of anti-John Cunningham virus (JCV) antibodies are some of the risk factors for PML development. The aim of this study was to assess the seroprevalence of anti-JCVAb and JCVAb index (AI), as well as its correlations with demographic and clinical characteristics in treatment-naïve Polish MS patients. This is a multicenter, prospective, and cross-sectional study involving 665 MS patients. The overall prevalence of anti-JCVAb was 65.3%, while 63.1% of seropositive patients had an index level of >1.5. The seroprevalence was shown to increase along with the patient's age. Except for age, the prevalence of anti-JCVAb was not associated with demographic or clinical data. No correlations between the index levels and the demographic or clinical data were observed. In Poland, the seroprevalence of anti-JCVAb in treatment-naïve MS patients is one of the highest in Europe. The majority of seropositive patients had an anti-JCV antibody level denoting a high-risk category. This means that we need further studies to be conducted on the individualization of MS treatment in order to provide patients with an appropriate therapeutic safety level.

John Cunningham Virus Status, Seroconversion Rate, and the Risk of Progressive Multifocal Leukoencephalopathy in Polish John Cunningham Virus-Seronegative Patients with Relapsing-Remitting Multiple Sclerosis

INTRODUCTION

Presence of anti-JC-virus antibodies (JCVAbs) is associated with the increased risk of natalizumab (NAT)-related progressive multifocal leukoencephalopathy (PML). Little is known about seroconversion rate and time to seroconversion in relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis (RRMS) patients treated with NAT in Poland. The aim of the study was to assess the true risk of PML, seroconversion rate, and time to seroconversion in all JCVAb-negative RRMS patients treated with NAT in Poland.

METHODS

Demographic and clinical data of all Polish RRMS patients treated with NAT reimbursed by National Health Fund (NFZ) were prospectively collected in electronic files using the Therapeutic Programme Monitoring System provided by NFZ. The assessment of JCVAb presence (without collection of JCVAb index value) in serum (Unilabs, STRATIFY JCV: anti-JCV antibody ELISA) was done at the beginning of therapy and then repeated every 6 months. The maximum follow-up time was 4 years. In Poland, since 2013, according to the NFZ drug program guidance, only patients with negative JCVAb test have started treatment with NAT.

RESULTS

In all Polish multiple sclerosis centers, 210 negative JCVAb RRMS patients with at least 9 (±3) months of observation (146 females, 64 males, and the median age at baseline: 33 years) were included in the study. During the follow-up period, JCVAb status changed from negative to positive in 34 patients (16.2%). For half of the patients, the seroconversion was diagnosed 1 year after starting NAT treatment. In 4 patients (1.9%) during follow-up, JCVAb status changed again from positive to negative. In Poland, before establishment of NFZ drug program, 4 cases of PML in patients treated with NAT in clinical trials were diagnosed. In the NFZ drug program, since 2013, no patient treated with NAT has been diagnosed with PML.

CONCLUSIONS

NAT therapy in JCV-seronegative RRMS patients is safe and results in the absence of PML cases. In Poland, JCV seroconversion rate is similar to that observed in other European countries.

Long-term effect of natalizumab in patients with RRMS: TYSTEN cohort

BACKGROUND

Data are needed on long-term effect of natalizumab (NTZ) in relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis (RRMS).

OBJECTIVES

To evaluate the time of onset of secondary progressive phase in patients with an RRMS treated with NTZ and to investigate predictive factors.

METHODS

TYSTEN is an observational study. Patients starting NTZ between 2007 and 2012 were included and followed up until October 2018. Relapses, Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) scores, and results of brain magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) were collected each year. Data were used to estimate the cumulative probability of several poor outcomes such as secondary progressive multiple sclerosis (SPMS) conversion, EDSS worsening, EDSS 4.0, and EDSS 6.0.

RESULTS

770 patients were included. The mean follow-up duration was 97 months and the mean time exposure to NTZ was 66 months. At 10 years, the cumulative probability of SPMS was 27.7%. Predictive factors for poor outcomes were a ⩾1-point increase in EDSS score from baseline, new T2 lesion or T1 gadolinium-enhancing lesion, the occurrence of relapse at 1 or 2 years and No Evidence of Disease Activity (NEDA-3; no relapse, no new T2 or T1 gadolinium-enhancing lesions, no progression) was a protective factor.

CONCLUSION

In our cohort of patients treated with NTZ, poor outcomes were infrequent and are driven by disease activity.

Changes in Anti-JCV Antibody Status in a Large Population of Multiple Sclerosis Patients Treated with Natalizumab

INTRODUCTION

Natalizumab (NTZ) can be associated with an opportunistic infection, progressive multifocal leukoencephalopathy (PML), caused by John Cunningham virus (JCV). High titer of anti-JCV antibody (JCV index) in patients treated with NTZ for over 2 years limit it use, leading to treatment discontinuation.

OBJECTIVE

Aim of the study was to investigate the JCV index changes pre, during and post NTZ treatment and describe the trend after a long period of NTZ discontinuation.

METHODS

Patients with relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis (RR-MS) treated with NTZ between 2010 and 2018 were enrolled in this retrospective-prospective observational study. Inclusion criteria were: (1) diagnosis of RR-MS according to the McDonald criteria 2010, (2) at least six NTZ administrations, (3) at least two determinations of JCV Index during the follow-up period, (4) NTZ discontinuation period for more than 6 months. JCV index was determined by STRATIFY II. There were three different timepoints: NTZ initiation (T0), NTZ discontinuation (T1) and time after NTZ suspension (T2). Seroconversion was defined as changing status of serum JCV antibody. Main outcomes were the JCV index changes and the rate of seroconversion.

RESULTS

At baseline we enrolled 285 patients (208 JCV negative, 67 JCV positive, and 10 not available). There was a statistically significant increase of JCV index during NTZ treatment period (T0 vs T1, p =0.0009) and during NTZ discontinuation period (T1 vs T2, p =0.04). Patients seroconverted to a positive status more frequently during NTZ treatment than after discontinuation (p =0.008). Moreover, patients who shifted to fingolimod (FTY) as exit strategy after NTZ discontinuation, showed a statistically significant increase of JCV index.

CONCLUSION

Our data confirmed that a high percentage of patients shift to or remain in a positive JCV status during NTZ treatment and after discontinuation. NTZ suspension seems not to be able to interfere on JCV status modification over an extended period. The choice of alternative treatment as exit strategy after NTZ discontinuation should be carefully considered because it could negatively influence the PML risk stratification of patients.

Incidence of seroconversion and sero-reversion in patients with multiple sclerosis (MS) who had been treated with natalizumab: A systematic review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

Natalizumab is a medication of choice for some patients with relapsing remitting (RR) form of multiple sclerosis (MS). John Cunningham virus (JCV) antibody status is important in cases who are treating with natalizumab. Different studies reported various rates of seroconversion and sero-reversion in patients who had been treated with natalizumab. As there is no systematic review reporting incidence of seroconversion and seroreversion in MS cases who were treated with natalizumab, we aimed to conduct this systematic review and meta-analysis to find pooled incidence of seroconversion and seroreversion in MS cases who were treated with natalizumab.

METHODS

PubMed, Scopus, EMBASE, CINAHL, Web of Science, Ovid, and google scholar were systematically searched. We also searched the gray literature including references from included studies, and conference abstracts which were published up to April 2019.

RESULTS

The incidence of seroconversion was reported between 6% and 41% and the incidence of seroreversion was reported between 1% and 11%. The pooled estimate of seroconversion incidence was 19% (95% CI: 13%-25%) (I² = 96.8%, P < 0.001) and the pooled estimate of seroreversion incidence was 5% (95% CI: 3%-8%) (I² = 72.2%, P < 0.001). Subgroup analysis by considering the country of the origin showed that the pooled incidence of seroconversion incidence during the studies was 6% in Asian countries and 21% in European/American countries. The incidence difference between subgroups was significant (p < 0.001).

CONCLUSION

Incidence of seroconversion in MS patients who had been treated with natalizumab is higher in European/American countries than Asian countries.

Three cases of non-carryover fingolimod-PML: Is the risk in Japan increased?

Objective

To report the course of 3 recent Japanese and European cases of fingolimod-associated progressive multifocal leukoencephalopathy (PML) and to analyze its risk factors and increased incidence in Japan.

Methods

Case series and literature review.

Results

Fingolimod-associated PML may cause both supratentorial and infratentorial lesions and a pronounced disability. Diagnosis can be challenging because PML lesions (especially infratentorial) can be initially misdiagnosed as extensive MS lesions. Immune reconstitution inflammatory syndrome (IRIS) develops a few weeks after fingolimod discontinuation and is usually mild. Age factor and therapy duration seem to be relevant because most reported patients were older than 45 years and were treated with fingolimod for more than 3 years. Combined IgG/IgM deficiency has been identified as a possible further predisposing condition in 1 case. Another patient developed an endogenous fungal skin infection, as a sign of generally compromised cellular immune response, shortly before PML. None of the reported patients had lymphocyte counts below 200/μl. Two of the 3 reported and 4 of the 21 (19%) registered fingolimod-PML cases occurred in Japan (estimated risk of 0.652 per 1,000 compared with 0.083 per 1.000 worldwide).

Conclusions

The risk of PML under fingolimod is low, but there are no reliable predictors. Despite a mild IRIS phase, it causes profound disability. Patients older than 45 years, especially with known comorbid immunodeficiencies or manifestation of other opportunistic infections, should be monitored more closely. Increased surveillance and identification of further risk factors are urgently needed in Japan.

High Seroprevalence and Index of Anti-John-Cunningham Virus Antibodies in Korean Patients with Multiple Sclerosis

Background and Purpose

The anti-John-Cunningham virus (JCV)-antibody serostatus and index are used in the risk stratification of progressive multifocal leukoencephalopathy (PML) in multiple sclerosis (MS) patients treated with natalizumab. However, little information on these parameters is available for Asian countries. The purpose of this study was to determine the rate of seropositivity, index, and longitudinal index evolution in Korean patients with MS.

Methods

The antibody seroprevalence was analyzed in 355 samples from 187 patients with clinically isolated syndrome or MS using a second-generation, two-step, enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay. A 4-year longitudinal evaluation was applied to 66 patients.

Results

The overall antibody seroprevalence was 80% (n=149). Among antibody-positive patients, the index had a median value of 3.27 (interquartile range, 1.52–4.18), with 77% (n=114) and 56% (n=83) of patients having indices >1.5 and >3.0, respectively. The serostatus of 59 (89%) of the 66 patients did not change during the longitudinal analysis, while 3 (6%) of the 53 patients who were initially seropositive reverted to seronegativity, and 2 (15%) of the 13 patients who were initially seronegative converted to seropositivity. All patients with a baseline index >0.9 maintained seropositivity, and 92% of patients with a baseline index >1.5 maintained this index over 4 years. No patients developed PML (median disease duration, 8 years).

Conclusions

The seroprevalence and index of anti-JCV antibodies in Korean patients with MS may be higher than those in Western countries.

Impact of Disease-Modifying Treatments on the Longitudinal Evolution of Anti-JCV Antibody Index in Multiple Sclerosis

Background: Risk of natalizumab-related progressive multifocal leukoencephalopathy is associated with the presence of anti-JC-virus (JCV) antibodies.

Objective: To investigate the impact of disease-modifying treatments (DMT) on the longitudinal evolution of anti-JCV antibody index.

Methods: Patients with multiple sclerosis who had serum sampling at intervals of 6 ± 3 months over up to 6 years and who either started DMT (interferon-β, glatiramer acetate or natalizumab) during the observation period with at least one serum sample available before and after treatment initiation or received no DMT during the observation period were included. Anti-JCV antibody serological status and index were determined by 2-step second-generation anti-JCV antibody assay.

Results: A total of 89 patients were followed for a median time of 55.2 months. Of those, 62 (69.7%) started DMT and 27 (30.3%) were without therapy during the observation period. Variation of longitudinal anti-JCV antibody index ranged from 9 to 15% and was similar in patients with and without DMT. Applying a mixed model considering the combined effects of treatment and time as well as individual heterogeneity did not show a significant change of anti-JCV antibody index by the start of treatment with interferon-β, glatiramer acetate, or natalizumab.

Conclusion: Evaluated DMTs do not impact longitudinal anti-JCV antibody index evolution.

Serum anti-JCV antibody indexes in Japanese patients with multiple sclerosis: elevations along with fingolimod treatment duration

BACKGROUND

The risk of developing progressive multifocal leukoencephalopathy in natalizumab-treated multiple sclerosis (MS) patients is related to serum anti-JCV antibody (JCVAb) index. However, the correlation of JCVAb index with other disease-modifying treatments (DMTs) is not well understood.

OBJECTIVE

In this study, we investigated the JCVAb seropositivity rate/JCVAb indexes and its correlation with clinical profiles in Japanese MS patients, and the relationship between JCVAb indexes and DMTs.

METHODS

JCVAb indexes were measured in 149 serum samples from 105 patients with MS. JCVAb indexes and seropositivity, and their correlation with age, sex, disease duration, Kurtzke expanded disability status scale and the duration of the DMTs were evaluated in each patient.

RESULTS

JCVAb was positive in 73 of 105 MS patients. Within 40 fingolimod-treated patients, 27 were positive for JCVAb and JCVAb indexes were positively correlated with the duration of fingolimod treatment. No significant relation was found between JCVAb indexes and the duration of treatment for the other disease-modifying drugs.

CONCLUSION

JCVAb seropositivity was comparatively high in Japanese MS patients. Fingolimod treatment is likely to increase serum JCVAb index, possibly leading to the development of PML. Therefore, it is advised that JCVAb index should be serially monitored during fingolimod treatment to decrease PML risk.

The clinical utility of JC virus antibody index measurements in the context of progressive multifocal leukoencephalopathy

In natalizumab-treated patients without previous immunosuppressive treatment, the JCV antibody index is used to stratify PML risk. A high index value indicates that the risk to develop PML is significantly elevated, although probably about 99% of patients with this index value will not develop PML. This minireview aimed to provide an overview of the basic virology and immunology relevant to understanding JCV infections in MS patients, with a focus on what is presently known about antibodies to JCV and how they could be of use to predict and diagnose PML.

Natalizumab therapy is associated with changes in serum JC virus antibody indices over time

To examine changes in anti-JC Virus (JCV) index measurements over time in multiple sclerosis (MS) patients to better understand this test, which is used in assessing risk of progressive multifocal leukoencephalopathy (PML) with natalizumab. We aim to describe and compare seroconversion rates, variability of JCV antibody index values, and changes in index values over time between patients on natalizumab therapy and patients naïve to natalizumab. Anti-JCV index values are used to help decide whether to start, continue, or stop treatment. Assessing how index values vary over time is interpreted to allow a patient's risk of PML to be better characterized. Retrospective analysis was conducted using records of patients with multiple JCV antibody index measurements exposed to therapy with natalizumab (N = 150) or not (N = 145). Rates of seroconversion, variability of indices, and changes in index values over time were calculated and compared. Patients on natalizumab who were initially JCV antibody negative seroconverted at a significantly higher rate than patients naïve to natalizumab (23.9 vs. 9.1%, p < 0.01). Variability of anti-JCV indices was also found to be significantly higher for patients on natalizumab (p < 0.05). Patients on natalizumab additionally trended towards a larger increase in index values over time. Therapy with natalizumab was associated with higher rates of seroconversion and greater anti-JCV index variability, suggesting that therapy with natalizumab may influence this test used to assess risk of treatment with it.

Diagnosis and Treatment of Progressive Multifocal Leukoencephalopathy Associated with Multiple Sclerosis Therapies

Progressive multifocal leukoencephalopathy (PML) is a rare, but serious, complication encountered in patients treated with a select number of disease-modifying therapies (DMTs) utilized in treating multiple sclerosis (MS). PML results from a viral infection in the brain for which the only demonstrated effective therapy is restoring the perturbed immune system-typically achieved in the patient with MS by removing the offending therapeutic agent or, in the case of HIV-associated PML, treatment with highly active antiretroviral therapies. Other therapies for PML remain either ineffective or experimental. Significant work to understand the virus and host interaction has been undertaken, but lack of an animal model for the disorder has significantly hindered progress, especially with respect to development of treatments. Strategies to limit risk of PML with natalizumab, a drug that carries a uniquely high risk for the development of the disorder, have been developed. Identifying factors such as positive JC virus antibody status that increase PML risk, at least in theory, should decrease the incidence rate of the disease. Whether other risk factors for PML can be identified and validated or unique strategies should be employed in association with other DMTs that predispose to PML and whether this has a salutary effect on outcome remains to be demonstrated. Identifying PML early, then promptly eliminating drug in the case of natalizumab-associated PML has demonstrated better outcomes, but the complication of PML continues to carry significant morbidity and mortality. While the scientific community has yet to identify targeted therapy with proven efficacy against JCV or PML there are several candidates being studied.

Anti-JCV serology during natalizumab treatment: Review and meta-analysis of 17 independent patient cohorts analyzing anti-John Cunningham polyoma virus sero-conversion rates under natalizumab treatment and differences between technical and biological sero-converters

BACKGROUND

Anti-John Cunningham virus (JCV) serology has been studied with varying results concerning longitudinal changes.

OBJECTIVES AND METHODS

Results from 17 published natalizumab-treated multiple sclerosis (MS) patient cohorts were analyzed with common parameters and subsequently verified in two large independent cohorts with 722 and 499 patients from Germany and the United States.

RESULTS

Published studies and the verification showed (1) a mean of 10.80% sero-negative patients presented with sero-status change to positivity per year; (2) patients, who sero-convert to index values <0.9, convert from near the threshold and have a high probability of reverting with time; (3) patients, who convert to index values >0.9, start with low index values; (4) while JCV sero-positive patients with low index values sometimes revert to sero-negativity, patients with high index values almost never revert; and (5) the conversion rate of natalizumab-treated patients is three to four times higher than the biological conversion by age.

CONCLUSION

JCV sero-conversion was comparable using standardized parameters and indicates influence of natalizumab on JCV immune control. Converters to low index values are probably consistently infected with JCV with varying low levels of activity, in line with their low risk to develop progressive multifocal leukoencephalopathy (PML). Patients with high index values rarely revert back to sero-negativity.

Anti-JCV antibody serostatus and longitudinal evaluation in a Portuguese Multiple Sclerosis population

Multiple Sclerosis (MS) treatment with natalizumab is associated with Progressive Multifocal Leukoencephalopathy (PML). The risk of PML being related to the anti-JCV antibody index is well established, but there is less known about seroconversion rates in natalizumab-treated patients and longitudinal variation in the anti-JCV antibody index. Our objective was to assess anti-JCV antibody prevalence in an MS population and to evaluate the evolution of the anti-JCV antibody index in natalizumab-treated patients. To assess anti-JCV antibody prevalence, we included all patients who had the anti-JCV antibody test in our consultation, regardless of the treatment. To evaluate the evolution of the anti-JCV antibody index and seroconversion, only natalizumab-treated patients with at least two samples were selected. Demographic characteristics were evaluated. From a total of 371 patients included, 68.19% (n=253) were seropositive for anti-JCV antibodies (JCV+). There was a significant difference in anti-JCV antibody seropositivity concerning gender (male 76.27% vs. female 64.43%, p=0.023), but not age. To evaluate seroconversion, 85 patients who were initially seronegative (JCV-) were selected. The annual rate of seroconversion in the first two years was stable, but after that there was a significant increase with treatment duration (ρ=0.90, p=0.037): in the first year it was 5.88% (n=5/85); in the second, 5.71% (n=4/70); in the third, 6.82% (n=3/44); in the fourth, 10.34% (n=3/29); and in the fifth, 15.0% (n=3/20). The mean index variability was higher in patients who experienced seroconversion (1.16±0.97), followed by JCV+ patients (0.44±0.48), compared to JCV- patients (0.08±0.05). In conclusion, anti-JCV antibody prevalence in our population is comparable to other reported cohorts. The seroconversion rate increased with treatment duration. We found a high fluctuation in the antibody index in JCV+ patients.

A discrete event simulation to model the cost-utility of fingolimod and natalizumab in rapidly evolving severe relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis in the UK

OBJECTIVE

Two disease-modifying therapies are licensed in the EU for use in rapidly-evolving severe (RES) relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis (RRMS), fingolimod and natalizumab. Here a discrete event simulation (DES) model to analyze the cost-effectiveness of natalizumab and fingolimod in the RES population, from the perspective of the National Health Service (NHS) in the UK, is reported.

METHODS

A DES model was developed to track individual RES patients, based on Expanded Disability Status Scale scores. Individual patient characteristics were taken from the RES sub-groups of the pivotal trials for fingolimod. Utility data were in line with previous models. Published costs were inflated to NHS cost year 2015. Owing to the confidential patient access scheme (PAS) discount applied to fingolimod in the UK, a range of discount levels were applied to the fingolimod list price, to capture the likelihood of natalizumab being cost-effective in a real-world setting.

RESULTS

At the lower National Institute of Health and Care Excellence (NICE) threshold of £20,000/quality-adjusted life year (QALY), fingolimod only required a discount greater than 0.8% of list price to be cost-effective. At the upper threshold of £30,000/QALY employed by the NICE, fingolimod was cost-effective if the confidential discount is greater than 2.5%. Sensitivity analyses conducted using fingolimod list-price showed the model to be most sensitive to changes in the cost of each drug, particularly fingolimod.

CONCLUSIONS

The DES model shows that only a modest discount to the UK fingolimod list-price is required to make fingolimod a more cost-effective option than natalizumab in RES RRMS.

Stability and predictive value of anti-JCV antibody index in multiple sclerosis: A 6-year longitudinal study

BACKGROUND

Risk of natalizumab-related progressive multifocal leukoencephalopathy is associated with the presence of anti-JC-virus (JCV) antibodies.

OBJECTIVE

To investigate the longitudinal evolution of anti-JCV antibody index and to determine the predictive value of baseline anti-JCV antibody index for long-term stability of anti-JCV antibody status.

METHODS

MS patients from the MS centre of Medical University of Innsbruck, who had serum sampling for a time period of 4-6 years at intervals of 6±3 months, were included in this retrospective, longitudinal study. Anti-JCV antibody serological status and index were determined by 2-step second-generation anti-JCV antibody assay.

RESULTS

154 patients were included in this study. Median follow-up time was 63.7 months, with median 11 samples available per patient. At baseline, 111 (72.1%) patients were anti-JCV antibody positive. Baseline anti-JCV antibody index significantly correlated with age (R = 0.22, p = 0.005); there was no difference with respect to sex, disease duration or previously used disease-modifying treatment. During follow-up anti-JCV antibody status changed from negative to positive or vice versa in 17% of patients. In seronegative patients at baseline, baseline anti-JCV antibody index was significantly lower in those remaining seronegative at follow-up compared to those converting to seropositivity (median 0.16 vs. 0.24, p = 0.002). In seropositive patients at baseline, index was higher in those remaining seropositive compared to those reverting to seronegativity (2.6 vs. 0.45, p<10-7). Baseline anti-JCV antibody index >0.90 predicted stable positive serostatus (sensitivity 88.7%, specificity 96.5%) and <0.20 stable negative serostatus (sensitivity 61.3%, specificity 97.6%).

CONCLUSIONS

Anti-JCV antibody index remained relatively stable over 6-year follow-up with annual serostatus change of ~3%. Baseline anti-JCV antibody index predicted stable negative and stable positive JCV serostatus.

Natalizumab-associated PML

Progressive multifocal leukoencephalopathy (PML) associated with natalizumab treatment continues to be a severe problem of clinically successful therapy. This is an update of risk stratification developments and discusses the current approach to depict and calculate PML incidence and PML risk. (1) PML incidence and resulting risk used in today's clinical practice are potentially outdated and the risk for patients with prior immunosuppression might have been underestimated. (2) Risk stratification according to treatment duration epochs likely suggests lower risk due to patients stopping treatment within a given epoch. PML incidence within the complete treatment epoch is statistically lowered due to the fact that patients at the beginning of an epoch presumably have a lower PML risk than the patients at the end. Periodic risk is not accurate in assessing risk for long treatment durations. (3) The JC virus (JCV) serostatus risk factor has low specificity concerning PML prediction and anti-JCV seroconversion during treatment with natalizumab further lowers its specificity over time. Specificity of the risk factor treatment duration varies depending on the average treatment duration and the number of short-term patients. These short-term patients reduce overall average treatment duration and thus enhance the specificity of the risk factor and reduce overall PML incidence. It is also suggested that short-term natalizumab patients are exclusively non-PML, even though they might still develop PML. Clinicians have to consider the cumulative risk of patients to stratify efficiently.

Study of the anti-JCV antibody levels in a Spanish multiple sclerosis cohort

BACKGROUND

One of the risk factor to develop progressive multifocal leukoencephalopathy (PML) among natalizumab-treated patients is the presence and high levels of anti-JCV antibodies. Our purpose was to test the association of different clinical and demographic variables with the presence and levels of anti-JCV antibodies in a Spanish cohort of patients with multiple sclerosis (MS) during natalizumab treatment.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

All patients with MS from two hospitals with at least one measure of the anti-JCV antibodies levels (2011-2014) were recruited, among them were two PML cases. Anti-JCV antibody levels were assessed using two-step ELISA.

RESULTS

A total of 1061 patients (16·3% natalizumab-treated) participated in this study. The seropositivity rate of anti-JCV antibodies was 58·2%. It increased with age (P_corrected = 0·00005) and was lower among HLA-DRB1*15:01 carriers (P_corrected = 0·049). The two patients with PML were HLA-DRB1*15:01 carriers. We had at least three quarterly anti-JCV antibody measurements (index value) from 137 patients, whose levels did not increase during natalizumab treatment. However, 5·8% of these patients had an increase of the index value higher of one point in a maximum of 6 months, something that was more frequently observed (P = 0·054) among patients treated with immunosuppressant prior to natalizumab onset.

CONCLUSIONS

Old age and HLA-DRB1*15:01 were the factors that influence positively and negatively, respectively, our anti-JCV antibody prevalence, although our both PML cases were HLA-DRB1*15:01carriers. Most of our patients showed a stable anti-JCV antibody index values during natalizumab treatment.

Influenza vaccination increases anti-JC virus antibody levels during treatment with Natalizumab: Case report

BACKGROUND

Natalizumab (NTZ) is an effective therapy for multiple sclerosis (MS). A common concern related to NTZ therapy is the risk of developing progressive multifocal leukoencephalopathy (PML).

CLINICAL CASE

A patient that after seven years on NTZ therapy, testing on every 3 months repeated evaluations negative for anti-JCV status became positive (>3 units) 4 weeks after receiving influenza vaccine. Despite continuous therapy on NTZ for additional 2 years her anti-JCV index progressively declined to a level 0.6 units

CONCLUSION

Our case raises the consideration to include vaccination as a factor that can affect JCV index and should be tallied during NTZ treatment mitigation.

Stratification and monitoring of natalizumab-associated progressive multifocal leukoencephalopathy risk: recommendations from an expert group

The use of natalizumab for highly active relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis (MS) is influenced by the occurrence of progressive multifocal leukoencephalopathy (PML). Through measurement of the anti-JCV antibody index, and in combination with the presence or absence of other known risk factors, it may be possible to stratify patients with MS according to their risk of developing PML during treatment with natalizumab and detect early suspected PML using MRI including a diffusion-weighted imaging sequence. This paper describes a practical consensus guideline for treating neurologists, based on current evidence, for the introduction into routine clinical practice of anti-JCV antibody index testing of immunosuppressant-naïve patients with MS, either currently being treated with, or initiating, natalizumab, based on their anti-JCV antibody status. Recommendations for the frequency and type of MRI screening in patients with varying index-associated PML risks are also discussed. This consensus paper presents a simple and pragmatic algorithm to support the introduction of anti-JCV antibody index testing and MRI monitoring into standard PML safety protocols, in order to allow some JCV positive patients who wish to begin or continue natalizumab treatment to be managed with a more individualised analysis of their PML risk.

Therapy with natalizumab is associated with high JCV seroconversion and rising JCV index values

OBJECTIVE

The aim of the study was to analyze John Cunningham virus (JCV) serology in natalizumab-treated patients over time and assess whether they are influenced by natalizumab treatment.

METHODS

German (n = 1,921; 525 longitudinally) and French (n = 1,259; 711 longitudinally) patients were assessed for JCV serology alongside their therapy with natalizumab.

RESULTS

JCV serostatus changed in 69 of 525 longitudinally followed German patients (13.1%) over 14.8 months. Seroconversion according to serostatus was seen in 43 of 339 initially JCV- German patients (12.7% in 14.8 months; 10.3% per year) and 41 of 243 initially JCV- French patients (16.9% in 24 months; 8.5% per year). JCV index values could be reproduced (R (2) = 0.89) with the caveat of 8 of 50 samples (16%) being set into different risk categories between 2 assessments. Index values of JCV+ patients rose over time (p = 0.009) but not because of aging. Treatment with natalizumab was associated with a 15.9% increase of value in JCV+ patients in 14.8 months (12.9% per year).

CONCLUSIONS

JCV seroconversion and index values may be influenced by treatment with natalizumab. It is therefore important to monitor patients' JCV serology but also to incorporate additional risk factors into the progressive multifocal leukoencephalopathy risk stratification.

Diagnostic assays for polyomavirus JC and progressive multifocal leukoencephalopathy

Progressive multifocal leukoencephalopathy (PML) is a devastating and often fatal demyelinating disease of the central nervous system for which effective therapies are lacking. It is caused by the replication of polyomavirus JC (JCV) in the oligodendrocytes and astrocytes leading to their cytolytic death and loss of myelin from the subcortical white matter. While the virus is very common in human populations worldwide, the incidence of the disease is very low and confined almost exclusively to individuals with some form of immunological dysfunction. However, the number of people who constitute the at-risk population is growing larger and includes individuals with HIV-1/AIDS and patients receiving immunomodulatory therapies such as multiple sclerosis patients treated with natalizumab. Further adding to the public health significance of this disease are the difficulties encountered in the diagnosis of PML and the lack of useful biomarkers for PML progression. In this review, we examine the diagnostic assays that are available for different aspects of the JCV life cycle, their usefulness and drawbacks, and the prospects for improvements.