Assessing brain atrophy rates in a large population of untreated multiple sclerosis subtypes

Understanding multiple sclerosis as a disease spectrum: above and below the clinical threshold

PURPOSE OF REVIEW

Research in multiple sclerosis (MS) has long been predicated on clinical groupings that do not reflect the underlying biologic heterogeneity apparent within patient populations. This review explicates the various levels of explanation through which the spectrum of disease is described and investigated both above and below the clinical threshold of detection, as framed by the topographical model of MS, to help advance a cogent mechanistic framework.

RECENT FINDINGS

Contemporary evidence has amended the view of MS as consisting of sequential disease phases in favor of a spectrum of disease with an admixture of interdependent and dynamic pathobiological axes driving tissue injury and progression. Recent studies have shown the presence of acute and compartmentalized inflammation and mechanisms of neurodegeneration beginning early and evolving throughout the disease continuum. Still, the gap between the understanding of immunopathologic processes in MS and the tools used to measure relevant molecular, laboratory, radiologic, and clinical metrics needs attention to enable better prognostication of disease and monitoring for changes along specific pathologic axes and variable treatment outcomes.

SUMMARY

Aligning on a consistently-applied mechanistic framework at distinct levels of explanation will enable greater precision across bench and clinical research, and inform discourse on drivers of disability progression and delivery of care for individuals with MS.

Deep learning-based super-resolution of structural brain MRI at 1.5 T: application to quantitative volume measurement

OBJECTIVE

This study investigated the feasibility of using deep learning-based super-resolution (DL-SR) technique on low-resolution (LR) images to generate high-resolution (HR) MR images with the aim of scan time reduction. The efficacy of DL-SR was also assessed through the application of brain volume measurement (BVM).

MATERIALS AND METHODS

In vivo brain images acquired with 3D-T1W from various MRI scanners were utilized. For model training, LR images were generated by downsampling the original 1 mm-2 mm isotropic resolution images. Pairs of LR and HR images were used for training 3D residual dense net (RDN). For model testing, actual scanned 2 mm isotropic resolution 3D-T1W images with one-minute scan time were used. Normalized root-mean-square error (NRMSE), peak signal-to-noise ratio (PSNR), and structural similarity (SSIM) were used for model evaluation. The evaluation also included brain volume measurement, with assessments of subcortical brain regions.

RESULTS

The results showed that DL-SR model improved the quality of LR images compared with cubic interpolation, as indicated by NRMSE (24.22% vs 30.13%), PSNR (26.19 vs 24.65), and SSIM (0.96 vs 0.95). For volumetric assessments, there were no significant differences between DL-SR and actual HR images (p > 0.05, Pearson's correlation > 0.90) at seven subcortical regions.

DISCUSSION

The combination of LR MRI and DL-SR enables addressing prolonged scan time in 3D MRI scans while providing sufficient image quality without affecting brain volume measurement.

Continuous diffuse brain atrophy independent of relapse as a hallmark of multiple sclerosis beginning from relapsing-remitting stage

BACKGROUND

Neurodegenerative changes are observed in relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis (RRMS) and are prominent in secondary progressive MS (SPMS). However, whether neurodegenerative changes accelerate and are altered after the transition into SPMS or in the presence of relapses remains uncertain.

METHODS

In this study, 73 patients with MS (seven with relapsing RRMS, 56 with relapse-free RRMS, and 10 with relapse-free SPMS) were evaluated for brain segmental volume changes over a 2-year follow-up period. Volume change was calculated using a within-subject unbiased longitudinal image analysis model.

RESULTS

The rates of brain volume change in the 11 brain regions evaluated were relatively similar among different brain regions. Moreover, they were similar among the relapsing RRMS, relapse-free RRMS, and SPMS groups, even after adjusting for age.

CONCLUSIONS

The relatively constant brain segmental atrophy rate throughout the disease course, regardless of relapse episodes, suggests that RRMS and SPMS are continuous, uniform, and silent progressing brain atrophy diseases on a spectrum.

Automatic estimation of brain parenchymal fraction in patients with multple sclerosis: a comparison between synthetic MRI and an established automated brain segmentation software based on FSL

PURPOSE

We aimed to validate the estimation of the brain parenchymal fraction (BPF) in patients with multiple sclerosis (MS) using synthetic magnetic resonance imaging (SyMRI) by comparison with software tools of the FMRIB Software Library (FSL). In addition to a cross-sectional method comparison, longitudinal volume changes were assessed to further elucidate the suitability of SyMRI for quantification of disease-specific changes.

METHODS

MRI data from 216 patients with MS and 28 control participants were included for volume estimation by SyMRI and FSL-SIENAX. Moreover, longitudinal data from 35 patients with MS were used to compare registration-based percentage brain volume changes estimated using FSL-SIENA to difference-based calculations of volume changes using SyMRI.

RESULTS

We observed strong correlations of estimated brain volumes between the two methods. While SyMRI overestimated grey matter and BPF compared to FSL-SIENAX, indicating a systematic bias, there was excellent agreement according to intra-class correlation coefficients for grey matter and good agreement for BPF and white matter. Bland-Altman plots suggested that the inter-method differences in BPF were smaller in patients with brain atrophy compared to those without atrophy. Longitudinal analyses revealed a tendency for higher atrophy rates for SyMRI than for SIENA, but SyMRI had a robust correlation and a good agreement with SIENA.

CONCLUSION

In summary, BPF based on data from SyMRI and FSL-SIENAX is not directly transferable because an overestimation and higher variability of SyMRI values were observed. However, the consistency and correlations between the two methods were satisfactory, and SyMRI was suitable to quantify disease-specific atrophy in MS.

Longitudinal fibre-specific white matter damage predicts cognitive decline in multiple sclerosis

During the course of multiple sclerosis, many patients experience cognitive deficits which are not simply driven by lesion number or location. By considering the full complexity of white matter structure at macro- and microstructural levels, our understanding of cognitive impairment in multiple sclerosis may increase substantially. Accordingly, this study aimed to investigate specific patterns of white matter degeneration, the evolution over time, the manifestation across different stages of the disease and their role in cognitive impairment using a novel fixel-based approach. Neuropsychological test scores and MRI scans including 30-direction diffusion-weighted images were collected from 327 multiple sclerosis patients (mean age = 48.34 years, 221 female) and 95 healthy controls (mean age = 45.70 years, 55 female). Of those, 233 patients and 61 healthy controls had similar follow-up assessments 5 years after. Patients scoring 1.5 or 2 standard deviations below healthy controls on at least two out of seven cognitive domains (from the Brief Repeatable Battery of Neuropsychological Tests, BRB-N) were classified as mildly cognitively impaired or cognitively impaired, respectively, or otherwise cognitively preserved. Fixel-based analysis of diffusion data was used to calculate fibre-specific measures (fibre density, reflecting microstructural diffuse axonal damage; fibre cross-section, reflecting macrostructural tract atrophy) within atlas-based white matter tracts at each visit. At baseline, all fixel-based measures were significantly worse in multiple sclerosis compared with healthy controls (P < 0.05). For both fibre density and fibre cross-section, a similar pattern was observed, with secondary progressive multiple sclerosis patients having the most severe damage, followed by primary progressive and relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis. Similarly, damage was least severe in cognitively preserved (n = 177), more severe in mildly cognitively impaired (n = 63) and worst in cognitively impaired (n = 87; P < 0.05). Microstructural damage was most pronounced in the cingulum, while macrostructural alterations were most pronounced in the corticospinal tract, cingulum and superior longitudinal fasciculus. Over time, white matter alterations worsened most severely in progressive multiple sclerosis (P < 0.05), with white matter atrophy progression mainly seen in the corticospinal tract and microstructural axonal damage worsening in cingulum and superior longitudinal fasciculus. Cognitive decline at follow-up could be predicted by baseline fixel-based measures (R2 = 0.45, P < 0.001). Fixel-based approaches are sensitive to white matter degeneration patterns in multiple sclerosis and can have strong predictive value for cognitive impairment. Longitudinal deterioration was most marked in progressive multiple sclerosis, indicating that degeneration in white matter remains important to characterize further in this phenotype.

Hallmarks of spinal cord pathology in multiple sclerosis

A disparity exists between spinal cord and brain involvement in multiple sclerosis (MS), each independently contributing to disability. Underlying differences between brain and cord are not just anatomical in nature (volume, white/grey matter organization, vascularization), but also in barrier functions (differences in function and composition of the blood-spinal cord barrier compared to blood-brain barrier) and possibly in repair mechanisms. Also, immunological phenotypes seem to influence localization of inflammatory activity. Whereas the brain has gained a lot of attention in MS research, the spinal cord lags behind. Advanced imaging techniques and biomarkers are improving and providing us with tools to uncover the mechanisms of spinal cord pathology in MS. In the present review, we elaborate on the underlying anatomical and physiological factors driving differences between brain and cord involvement in MS and review current literature on pathophysiology of spinal cord involvement in MS and the observed differences to brain involvement.

Prognostic value of single-subject grey matter networks in early multiple sclerosis

The identification of prognostic markers in early multiple sclerosis (MS) is challenging and requires reliable measures that robustly predict future disease trajectories. Ideally, such measures should make inferences at the individual level to inform clinical decisions. This study investigated the prognostic value of longitudinal structural networks to predict 5-year Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) progression in patients with relapsing-remitting MS (RRMS). We hypothesized that network measures, derived from MRI, outperform conventional MRI measurements at identifying patients at risk of developing disability progression. This longitudinal, multicentre study within the Magnetic Resonance Imaging in MS (MAGNIMS) network included 406 patients with RRMS (mean age = 35.7 ± 9.1 years) followed up for 5 years (mean follow-up = 5.0 ± 0.6 years). EDSS was determined to track disability accumulation. A group of 153 healthy subjects (mean age = 35.0 ± 10.1 years) with longitudinal MRI served as controls. All subjects underwent MRI at baseline and again 1 year after baseline. Grey matter atrophy over 1 year and white matter lesion load were determined. A single-subject brain network was reconstructed from T1-weighted scans based on grey matter atrophy measures derived from a statistical parameter mapping-based segmentation pipeline. Key topological measures, including network degree, global efficiency and transitivity, were calculated at single-subject level to quantify network properties related to EDSS progression. Areas under receiver operator characteristic (ROC) curves were constructed for grey matter atrophy and white matter lesion load, and the network measures and comparisons between ROC curves were conducted. The applied network analyses differentiated patients with RRMS who experience EDSS progression over 5 years through lower values for network degree [H(2) = 30.0, P < 0.001] and global efficiency [H(2) = 31.3, P < 0.001] from healthy controls but also from patients without progression. For transitivity, the comparisons showed no difference between the groups [H(2) = 1.5, P = 0.474]. Most notably, changes in network degree and global efficiency were detected independent of disease activity in the first year. The described network reorganization in patients experiencing EDSS progression was evident in the absence of grey matter atrophy. Network degree and global efficiency measurements demonstrated superiority of network measures in the ROC analyses over grey matter atrophy and white matter lesion load in predicting EDSS worsening (all P-values < 0.05). Our findings provide evidence that grey matter network reorganization over 1 year discloses relevant information about subsequent clinical worsening in RRMS. Early grey matter restructuring towards lower network efficiency predicts disability accumulation and outperforms conventional MRI predictors.

Treatment reduces the incidence of newly appearing multiple sclerosis lesions evolving into chronic active, slowly expanding lesions: A retrospective analysis

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE

Newly appearing lesions in multiple sclerosis (MS) may evolve into chronically active, slowly expanding lesions (SELs), leading to sustained disability progression. The aim of this study was to evaluate the incidence of newly appearing lesions developing into SELs, and their correlation to clinical evolution and treatment.

METHODS

A retrospective analysis of a fingolimod trial in primary progressive MS (PPMS; INFORMS, NCT00731692) was undertaken. Data were available from 324 patients with magnetic resonance imaging scans up to 3 years after screening. New lesions at year 1 were identified with convolutional neural networks, and SELs obtained through a deformation-based method. Clinical disability was assessed annually by Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS), Nine-Hole Peg Test, Timed 25-Foot Walk, and Paced Auditory Serial Addition Test. Linear, logistic, and mixed-effect models were used to assess the relationship between the Jacobian expansion in new lesions and SELs, disability scores, and treatment status.

RESULTS

One hundred seventy patients had ≥1 new lesions at year 1 and had a higher lesion count at screening compared to patients with no new lesions (median = 27 vs. 22, p = 0.007). Among the new lesions (median = 2 per patient), 37% evolved into definite or possible SELs. Higher SEL volume and count were associated with EDSS worsening and confirmed disability progression. Treated patients had lower volume and count of definite SELs (β = -0.04, 95% confidence interval [CI] = -0.07 to -0.01, p = 0.015; β = -0.36, 95% CI = -0.67 to -0.06, p = 0.019, respectively).

CONCLUSIONS

Incident chronic active lesions are common in PPMS, and fingolimod treatment can reduce their number.

Brain volume increase after discontinuing natalizumab therapy: Evidence for reversible pseudoatrophy

BACKGROUND

The phenomenon of pseudoatropy after initiation of anti-inflammatory therapy is believed to be reversible, but a rebound in brain volume following cessation of highly-effective therapy has not been reported.

OBJECTIVES

To evaluate brain volume change in a treatment interruption study (RESTORE) in which relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis (RRMS) patients were randomized to switch from natalizumab to placebo, from natalizumab to once-monthly intravenous methylprednisolone (IVMP), or to remain on natalizumab.

METHODS

T2 lesion volume (T2LV), baseline normalized brain volumes, and follow-up percent brain volume changes (PBVC) were calculated. Approximate T2 relaxation-time (pT2) was calculated within the brain mask and the T2 lesions to estimate changes in water content. Linear mixed effects models were used to detect differences in T2LV, pT2 in whole brain, pT2 in T2-weighted lesions, and PBVC among the placebo, natalizumab, and IVMP groups. We also estimated contributions of T2LV and pT2 (in whole brain and T2 lesions) to PBVC.

RESULTS

T2LV increased in the placebo group (by 0.66 ml/year, p<0.0001) and IVMP (+1.98 ml/year, p = 0.05) groups relative to the natalizumab group. The rates of PBVC were significantly different: -0.239%/year with continued natalizumab and +0.126 %/year after switch to placebo (p = 0.03), while the IVMP group showed brain volume loss (-0.74 %/ year, p = 0.08). pT2 was not statistically different between the groups (p ≥ 0.29) and did not have significant effects on PBVC (p ≥ 0.25).

CONCLUSION

The increase in the brain volume in patients witching from natalizumab to placebo is consistent with reversal of so-called pseudoatrophy after starting natalizumab.

Cortical Thin Patch Fraction Reflects Disease Burden in MS: The Mosaic Approach

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE

GM pathology plays an essential role in MS disability progression, emphasizing the importance of neuroradiologic biomarkers to capture the heterogeneity of cortical disease burden. This study aimed to assess the validity of a patch-wise, individual interpretation of cortical thickness data to identify GM pathology, the "mosaic approach," which was previously suggested as a biomarker for assessing and localizing atrophy.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

We investigated the mosaic approach in a cohort of 501 patients with MS with respect to 89 internal and 651 external controls. The resulting metric of the mosaic approach is the so-called thin patch fraction, which is an estimate of overall cortical disease burden per patient. We evaluated the mosaic approach with respect to the following: 1) discrimination between patients with MS and controls, 2) classification between different MS phenotypes, and 3) association with established biomarkers reflecting MS disease burden, using general linear modeling.

RESULTS

The thin patch fraction varied significantly between patients with MS and healthy controls and discriminated among MS phenotypes. Furthermore, the thin patch fraction was associated with disease burden, including the Expanded Disability Status Scale, cognitive and fatigue scores, and lesion volume.

CONCLUSIONS

This study demonstrates the validity of the mosaic approach as a neuroradiologic biomarker in MS. The output of the mosaic approach, namely the thin patch fraction, is a candidate biomarker for assessing and localizing cortical GM pathology. The mosaic approach can furthermore enhance the development of a personalized cortical MS biomarker, given that the thin patch fraction provides a feature on which artificial intelligence methods can be trained. Most important, we showed the validity of the mosaic approach when referencing data with respect to external control MR imaging repositories.

Networks of microstructural damage predict disability in multiple sclerosis

BACKGROUND

Network-based measures are emerging MRI markers in multiple sclerosis (MS). We aimed to identify networks of white (WM) and grey matter (GM) damage that predict disability progression and cognitive worsening using data-driven methods.

METHODS

We analysed data from 1836 participants with different MS phenotypes (843 in a discovery cohort and 842 in a replication cohort). We calculated standardised T1-weighted/T2-weighted (sT1w/T2w) ratio maps in brain GM and WM, and applied spatial independent component analysis to identify networks of covarying microstructural damage. Clinical outcomes were Expanded Disability Status Scale worsening confirmed at 24 weeks (24-week confirmed disability progression (CDP)) and time to cognitive worsening assessed by the Symbol Digit Modalities Test (SDMT). We used Cox proportional hazard models to calculate predictive value of network measures.

RESULTS

We identified 8 WM and 7 GM sT1w/T2w networks (of regional covariation in sT1w/T2w measures) in both cohorts. Network loading represents the degree of covariation in regional T1/T2 ratio within a given network. The loading factor in the anterior corona radiata and temporo-parieto-frontal components were associated with higher risks of developing CDP both in the discovery (HR=0.85, p<0.05 and HR=0.83, p<0.05, respectively) and replication cohorts (HR=0.84, p<0.05 and HR=0.80, p<0.005, respectively). The decreasing or increasing loading factor in the arcuate fasciculus, corpus callosum, deep GM, cortico-cerebellar patterns and lesion load were associated with a higher risk of developing SDMT worsening both in the discovery (HR=0.82, p<0.01; HR=0.87, p<0.05; HR=0.75, p<0.001; HR=0.86, p<0.05 and HR=1.27, p<0.0001) and replication cohorts (HR=0.82, p<0.005; HR=0.73, p<0.0001; HR=0.80, p<0.005; HR=0.85, p<0.01 and HR=1.26, p<0.0001).

CONCLUSIONS

GM and WM networks of microstructural changes predict disability and cognitive worsening in MS. Our approach may be used to identify patients at greater risk of disability worsening and stratify cohorts in treatment trials.

Short-term brain atrophy evolution after initiation of immunotherapy in a real-world multiple sclerosis cohort

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE

In multiple sclerosis (MS), brain atrophy measurements have emerged as an important biomarker reflecting neurodegeneration and disability progression. However, due to several potential confounders, investigation of brain atrophy in clinical routine and even in controlled clinical studies can be challenging. The aim of this study was to investigate the short-term dynamics of brain atrophy development after initiation of disease-modifying therapy (DMT) in a "real-world setting."

METHODS

In this retrospective study, we included MS patients starting DMT (natalizumab, fingolimod, dimethyl fumarate, or interferon-ß1a) or without DMT, availability of a baseline MRI, and two annual follow-up scans on the same MRI system. Two-timepoint percentage brain volume changes (PBVCs) were calculated.

RESULTS

Fifty-five MS patients (12 patients starting DMT with natalizumab, 7 fingolimod, 14 dimethyl fumarate, 11 interferon-ß1a, and 11 patients without DMT) were included. We found the highest PBVCs in the first 12 months after initiation of natalizumab treatment. Furthermore, the PBVCs in our study were very much comparable to the results observed by other groups, as well as for fingolimod, dimethyl fumarate, and interferon-ß1a.

CONCLUSION

We found PBVCs that are comparable to the results of previous studies, suggesting that brain atrophy, assessed on 3D MRI data sets acquired on the same 3T MRI, provides a robust MS biomarker.

Treatment Effect on Brain Atrophy Correlates with Treatment Effect on Cognition in Multiple Sclerosis

OBJECTIVE

The purpose of this study was to evaluate the extent to which treatment effect on magnetic resonance imaging (MRI)-derived measures of brain atrophy and focal lesions can mediate, at the trial level, the treatment effect on cognitive outcomes in multiple sclerosis (MS).

METHODS

We collected all published randomized clinical trials in MS lasting at least 2 years and including as end points: active MRI lesions (defined as new/enlarging T2 lesions), brain atrophy (defined as a change in brain volume between month 12 and month 24), and change in cognitive performance (assessed by the Paced Auditory Serial Addition Test [PASAT]). Relative reductions were used to quantify the treatment effect on MRI markers (lesions and atrophy), whereas the standardized mean difference (Hedges g) between baseline and follow-up cognitive assessment was used to quantify the treatment effects on cognition. A linear regression, weighted for trial size, was used to assess the relationship between the treatment effects on MRI markers and cognition.

RESULTS

Fourteen trials including more than 8,813 patients with MS were included in the meta-regression. Treatment effect on cognition was strongly associated with the treatment effect on brain atrophy (R2  = 0.79, p < 0.001), but was not correlated with the treatment effect on active MRI lesions (R2  = 0.16, p = 0.14).

INTERPRETATION

Results reported here suggest that brain atrophy, a well-established MRI marker in MS clinical trials, can be used as a main outcome for clinical trials with drugs targeting cognitive impairment and neurodegeneration. ANN NEUROL 2023;94:925-932.

Prevalence of 2-year "No evidence of disease activity" (NEDA-3 and NEDA-4) in relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis. A real-world study

BACKGROUND

No evidence of disease activity (NEDA) is becoming a gold standard in the evaluation of disease modifying therapies (DMT) in relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis (RRMS). NEDA-3 status is the absence of relapses, new activity on brain MRI, and disability progression. NEDA-4 meets all NEDA-3 criteria plus lack of brain atrophy.

OBJECTIVE

Aim of this study was to investigate the prevalence of two-year NEDA-3, NEDA-4, six-month delayed NEDA-3 (6mdNEDA-3), and six-month delayed NEDA-4 (6mdNEDA-4) in a cohort of patients with RRMS. Six-month delayed measures were introduced to consider latency of action of drugs.

METHODS

Observational retrospective monocentric study. All the patients with RRMS starting DMT between 2015 and 2018, and with 2-year of follow-up, were included. Annualized brain volume loss (a-BVL) was calculated by SIENA software.

RESULTS

We included 108 patients, the majority treated with first line DMT. At 2-year follow-up, 35 % of patients were NEDA-3 (50 % 6mdNEDA-3), and 17 % NEDA-4 (28 % 6mdNEDA-4). Loss of NEDA-3 status was mainly driven by MRI activity (70 %), followed by relapses (56 %), and only minimally by disability progression (7 %).

CONCLUSION

In our cohort 2-year NEDA status, especially including lack of brain atrophy, was hard to achieve. Further studies are needed to establish the prognostic value of NEDA-3 and NEDA4 in the long-term follow-up.

A real-world clinical validation for AI-based MRI monitoring in multiple sclerosis

Modern management of MS targets No Evidence of Disease Activity (NEDA): no clinical relapses, no magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) disease activity and no disability worsening. While MRI is the principal tool available to neurologists for monitoring clinically silent MS disease activity and, where appropriate, escalating treatment, standard radiology reports are qualitative and may be insensitive to the development of new or enlarging lesions. Existing quantitative neuroimaging tools lack adequate clinical validation. In 397 multi-center MRI scan pairs acquired in routine practice, we demonstrate superior case-level sensitivity of a clinically integrated AI-based tool over standard radiology reports (93.3% vs 58.3%), relative to a consensus ground truth, with minimal loss of specificity. We also demonstrate equivalence of the AI-tool with a core clinical trial imaging lab for lesion activity and quantitative brain volumetric measures, including percentage brain volume loss (PBVC), an accepted biomarker of neurodegeneration in MS (mean PBVC -0.32% vs -0.36%, respectively), whereas even severe atrophy (>0.8% loss) was not appreciated in radiology reports. Finally, the AI-tool additionally embeds a clinically meaningful, experiential comparator that returns a relevant MS patient centile for lesion burden, revealing, in our cohort, inconsistencies in qualitative descriptors used in radiology reports. AI-based image quantitation enhances the accuracy of, and value-adds to, qualitative radiology reporting. Scaled deployment of these tools will open a path to precision management for patients with MS.

Methods for Brain Atrophy MR Quantification in Multiple Sclerosis: Application to the Multicenter INNI Dataset

BACKGROUND

Current therapeutic strategies in multiple sclerosis (MS) target neurodegeneration. However, the integration of atrophy measures into the clinical scenario is still an unmet need.

PURPOSE

To compare methods for whole-brain and gray matter (GM) atrophy measurements using the Italian Neuroimaging Network Initiative (INNI) dataset.

STUDY TYPE

Retrospective (data available from INNI).

POPULATION

A total of 466 patients with relapsing-remitting MS (mean age = 37.3 ± 10 years, 323 women) and 279 healthy controls (HC; mean age = 38.2 ± 13 years, 164 women).

FIELD STRENGTH/SEQUENCE

A 3.0-T, T1-weighted (spin echo and gradient echo without gadolinium injection) and T2-weighted spin echo scans at baseline and after 1 year (170 MS, 48 HC).

ASSESSMENT

Structural Image Evaluation using Normalization of Atrophy (SIENA-X/XL; version 5.0.9), Statistical Parametric Mapping (SPM-v12); and Jim-v8 (Xinapse Systems, Colchester, UK) software were applied to all subjects.

STATISTICAL TESTS

In MS and HC, we evaluated the intraclass correlation coefficient (ICC) among FSL-SIENA(XL), SPM-v12, and Jim-v8 for cross-sectional whole-brain and GM tissue volumes and their longitudinal changes, the effect size according to the Cohen's d at baseline and the sample size requirement for whole-brain and GM atrophy progression at different power levels (lowest = 0.7, 0.05 alpha level). False discovery rate (Benjamini-Hochberg procedure) correction was applied. A P value <0.05 was considered statistically significant.

RESULTS

SPM-v12 and Jim-v8 showed significant agreement for cross-sectional whole-brain (ICC = 0.93 for HC and ICC = 0.84 for MS) and GM volumes (ICC = 0.66 for HC and ICC = 0.90) and longitudinal assessment of GM atrophy (ICC = 0.35 for HC and ICC = 0.59 for MS), while no significant agreement was found in the comparisons between whole-brain and GM volumes for SIENA-X/XL and both SPM-v12 (P = 0.19 and P = 0.29, respectively) and Jim-v8 (P = 0.21 and P = 0.32, respectively). SPM-v12 and Jim-v8 showed the highest effect size for cross-sectional GM atrophy (Cohen's d = -0.63 and -0.61). Jim-v8 and SIENA(XL) showed the smallest sample size requirements for whole-brain (58) and GM atrophy (152), at 0.7 power level.

DATA CONCLUSION

The findings obtained in this study should be considered when selecting the appropriate brain atrophy pipeline for MS studies.

EVIDENCE LEVEL

4.

TECHNICAL EFFICACY

Stage 1.

The association between disability progression, relapses, and treatment in early relapse onset MS: an observational, multi-centre, longitudinal cohort study

The indirect contribution of multiple sclerosis (MS) relapses to disability worsening outcomes, and vice-versa, remains unclear. Disease modifying therapies (DMTs) are potential modulators of this association. Understanding how these endo-phenotypes interact may provide insights into disease pathogenesis and treatment practice in relapse-onset MS (ROMS). Utilising a unique, prospectively collected clinical data from a longitudinal cohort of 279 first demyelinating event cases followed for up to 15 years post-onset, we examined indirect associations between relapses and treatment and the risk of disability worsening, and vice-versa. Indirect association parameters were estimated using joint models for longitudinal and survival data. Early relapses within 2.5 years of MS onset predicted early disability worsening outcomes (HR = 3.45, C.I 2.29-3.61) per relapse, but did not contribute to long-term disability worsening thereinafter (HR = 0.21, C.I 0.15-0.28). Conversely, disability worsening outcomes significantly contributed to relapse risk each year (HR = 2.96, C.I 2.91-3.02), and persisted over time (HR = 3.34, C.I 2.90-3.86), regardless of DMT treatments. The duration of DMTs significantly reduced the hazards of relapses (1st-line DMTs: HR = 0.68, C.I 0.58-0.79; 3rd-line DMTs: HR = 0.37, C.I 0.32-0.44) and disability worsening events (1st-line DMTs: HR = 0.74, C.I 0.69-0.79; 3rd-line DMTs: HR = 0.90, C.I 0.85-0.95), respectively. Results from time-dynamic survival probabilities further revealed individuals having higher risk of future relapses and disability worsening outcomes, respectively. The study provided evidence that in ROMS, relapses accrued within 2.5 years of MS onset are strong indicators of disability worsening outcomes, but late relapses accrued 2.5 years post onset are not overt risk factors for further disability worsening. In contrast, disability worsening outcomes are strong positive predictors of current and subsequent relapse risk. Long-term DMT use and older age strongly influence the individual outcomes and their associations.

The association between brain volume loss and disability in multiple sclerosis: A systematic review

BACKGROUND

Multiple sclerosis (MS) is a chronic, inflammatory, demyelinating, degenerative disease of the central nervous system that affects approximately 2.8 million people worldwide. Compelling evidence from observational studies and clinical trials indicates a strong association between brain volume loss (BVL) and the accumulation of disability in MS. However, the considerable heterogeneity in study designs and methods of assessment of BVL invites questions concerning the generalizability of the reported findings. Therefore, we conducted this systematic review to characterize the relationship between BVL and physical disability in patients with MS.

METHODS

A systematic literature search of MEDLINE and EMBASE databases was performed supplemented by gray literature searches. The following study designs were included: prospective/retrospective cohort, cross-sectional and case-control. Only English language articles published from 2010 onwards were eligible for final inclusion. There were no restrictions on MS subtype, age, or ethnicity. Of the 1620 citations retrieved by the structured searches, 50 publications met our screening criteria and were included in the final data set.

RESULTS

Across all BVL measures, there was considerable heterogeneity in studies regarding the underlying study population, the definitions of BVL and image analysis methodologies, the physical disability measure used, the measures of association reported and whether the analysis conducted was univariable or multivariable. A total of 36 primary studies providing data on the association between whole BVL and physical disability in MS collectively suggest that whole brain atrophy is associated with greater physical disability progression in MS patients. Similarly, a total of 15 primary studies providing data on the association between ventricular atrophy and physical disability in MS suggest that ventricular atrophy is associated with greater physical disability progression in MS patients. Along similar lines, the existing evidence based on a total of 13 primary studies suggests that gray matter atrophy is associated with greater physical disability progression in MS patients. Four primary studies suggest that corpus callosum atrophy is associated with greater physical disability progression in MS patients. The majority of the existing evidence (6 primary studies) suggests no association between white matter atrophy and physical disability in MS. It is difficult to assign a relationship between basal ganglia volume loss and physical disability as well as medulla oblongata width and physical disability in MS due to very limited data.

CONCLUSION

The evidence gathered from this systematic review, although very heterogeneous, suggests that whole brain atrophy is associated with greater physical disability progression in MS patients. Our review can help define future imaging biomarkers for physical disability progression and treatment monitoring in MS.

Recent Progress in the Identification of Early Transition Biomarkers from Relapsing-Remitting to Progressive Multiple Sclerosis

Despite extensive research into the pathophysiology of multiple sclerosis (MS) and recent developments in potent disease-modifying therapies (DMTs), two-thirds of relapsing-remitting MS patients transition to progressive MS (PMS). The main pathogenic mechanism in PMS is represented not by inflammation but by neurodegeneration, which leads to irreversible neurological disability. For this reason, this transition represents a critical factor for the long-term prognosis. Currently, the diagnosis of PMS can only be established retrospectively based on the progressive worsening of the disability over a period of at least 6 months. In some cases, the diagnosis of PMS is delayed for up to 3 years. With the approval of highly effective DMTs, some with proven effects on neurodegeneration, there is an urgent need for reliable biomarkers to identify this transition phase early and to select patients at a high risk of conversion to PMS. The purpose of this review is to discuss the progress made in the last decade in an attempt to find such a biomarker in the molecular field (serum and cerebrospinal fluid) between the magnetic resonance imaging parameters and optical coherence tomography measures.

Association of volumetric MRI measures and disability in MS patients of the same age: Descriptions from a birth year cohort

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES

Although MRI-based markers of neuroinflammation have proven crucial for the diagnosis of multiple sclerosis (MS), predicting clinical progression with inflammation remains difficult. Neurodegenerative markers such as brain volume loss show stronger clinical (predictive) correlations, but also harbor age-related variation that must be disentangled from disease duration. In this study we investigated how clinical disability is related to volumetric MRI measures in a cohort of MS patients and healthy controls (HC) of the same age: Project Y.

METHODS

This study included 234 MS patients born in 1966 and 112 HC born between 1965 and 1967 in the Netherlands. Disability was quantified using the expanded disability status scale (EDSS), nine hole peg test (9HPT), and timed 25 foot walking test (T25FWT). Volumes were quantified on 3T MRI as normalized whole brain (NBV) and regional gray matter (GM) volumes using the same scanner and MRI protocol: cortical (normalized cortical gray matter volume; NCGMV), deep (NDGMV), thalamic (NThalV), and cerebellar (NCbV) GM volumes. In addition, mean upper cervical cord area (MUCCA), white matter lesion volume (LV), and spinal cord lesions were assessed. These measures were compared between patients and HC, and related to disability measures using linear regression.

RESULTS

Mean age of people with MS (PwMS) was 52.8 years (SD 0.9) and median disease duration 15.8 years (IQR 8.7-24.8). All global and regional brain measures were lower in MS patients compared to HC. Univariate regression models showed that NDGMV (β = -0.20) and MUCCA (β = -0.38) were most strongly related to the EDSS in all PwMS. After subtype stratification, MUCCA was most strongly related to the EDSS (β = -0.60) and 9HPT (β = -0.55) in secondary progressive PwMS. Multivariate regression models demonstrated that in all PwMS, the EDSS was best explained by lower MUCCA, longer disease durations and a progressive disease course (adjusted-R (Sastre-Garriga et al., 2017) = 0.26, p < 0.001). MUCCA was a consistent correlate in separate models of the EDSS for all PwMS, relapsing and progressive onset PwMS. The 9HPT (adjusted-R (Sastre-Garriga et al., 2017) = 0.20, p < 0.001) was best explained by lower MUCCA, higher LV and pack years, while lower limb disability (adjusted-R (Sastre-Garriga et al., 2017) = 0.11, p < 0.001) was best explained by lower MUCCA, progressive onset MS and female sex.

DISCUSSION

Our results indicate that in a cohort unbiased by age differences, spinal cord and deep gray matter volumes best related to physical disability. Our results support the use of these measures in clinical practice and trials.

Reduction in grey matter atrophy in patients with relapsing multiple sclerosis following treatment with cladribine tablets

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE

Measures of atrophy in the whole brain can be used to reliably assess treatment effect in clinical trials of patients with multiple sclerosis (MS). Trials assessing the effect of treatment on grey matter (GM) and white matter (WM) atrophy are very informative, but hindered by technical limitations. This study aimed to measure GM and WM volume changes, using a robust longitudinal method, in patients with relapsing MS randomized to cladribine tablets 3.5 mg/kg or placebo in the CLARITY study.

METHODS

We analysed T1-weighted magnetic resonance sequences using SIENA-XL, from 0 to 6 months (cladribine, n = 267; placebo, n = 265) and 6 to 24 months (cladribine, n = 184; placebo, n = 186). Mean percentage GM and WM volume changes (PGMVC and PWMVC) were compared using a mixed-effect model.

RESULTS

More GM and WM volume loss was found in patients taking cladribine versus those taking placebo in the first 6 months of treatment (PGMVC: cladribine: -0.53 vs. placebo: -0.25 [p = 0.045]; PWMVC: cladribine: -0.49 vs. placebo: -0.34 [p = 0.137]), probably due to pseudoatrophy. However, over the period 6 to 24 months, GM volume loss was significantly lower in patients on cladribine than in those on placebo (PGMVC: cladribine: -0.90 vs. placebo: -1.27 [p = 0.026]). In this period, volume changes in WM were similar in the two treatment arms (p = 0.52).

CONCLUSIONS

After a short period of pseudoatrophy, treatment with cladribine 3.5 mg/kg significantly reduced GM atrophy in comparison with placebo. This supports the relevance of GM damage in MS and may have important implications for physical and cognitive disability progression.

Brief international cognitive assessment for MS (BICAMS) and global brain volumes in early stages of MS - A longitudinal correlation study

BACKGROUND

Cognitive impairment is common in patients with multiple sclerosis, even in the early stages of the disease. The Brief International Cognitive Assessment for multiple sclerosis (BICAMS) is a short screening tool developed to assess cognitive function in everyday clinical practice.

OBJECTIVE

To investigate associations between volumetric brain measures derived from a magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) examination and performance on BICAMS subtests in early stages of multiple sclerosis (MS).

METHODS

BICAMS was used to assess cognitive function in 49 MS patients at baseline and after one and two years. The patients were separated into two groups (with or without cognitive impairment) based on their performances on BICAMSs subtests. MRI data were analysed by a software tool (MSMetrix), yielding normalized measures of global brain volumes and lesion volumes. Associations between cognitive tests and brain MRI measures were analysed by running correlation analyses, and differences between subgroups and changes over time with independent and paired samples tests, respectively.

RESULTS

The strongest baseline correlations were found between the BICAMS subtests and normalized whole brain volume (NBV) and grey matter volume (NGV); processing speed r = 0.54/r = 0.48, verbal memory r = 0.49/ r = 0.42, visual memory r = 0.48 /r = 0.39. Only the verbal memory test had significant correlations with T2 and T1 lesion volumes (LV) at both time points; T2LV r = 0.39, T1LV r = 0.38. There were significant loss of grey matter and white matter volume overall (NGV p<0.001, NWV p = 0.003), as well as an increase in T1LV (p = 0.013). The longitudinally defined confirmed cognitively impaired (CCI) and preserved (CCP) patients showed significant group differences on all MRI volume measures at both time points, except for NWV. Only the CCI subgroup showed significant white matter atrophy (p = 0.006) and increase in T2LV (p = 0.029).

CONCLUSIONS

The present study found strong correlations between whole brain and grey matter volumes and performance on the BICAMS subtests as well as significant changes in global volumes from baseline to follow-up with clear differences between patients defined as cognitively impaired and preserved at both baseline and follow-up.

Multiple sclerosis: Motor dysfunction

Multiple sclerosis is a chronic neurological disease characterized by inflammation and degeneration within the central nervous system. Over the course of the disease, most MS patients successively accumulate inflammatory lesions, axonal damage, and diffuse CNS pathology, along with an increasing degree of motor disability. While the pharmacological approach to MS targets inflammation to decrease relapse rates and relieve symptoms, disease-modifying therapy and immunosuppressive medications may not prevent the accumulation of pathology in most patients leading to long-term motor disability. This has been met with recent interest in promoting plasticity-guided concepts, enhanced by neurophysiological and neuroimaging approaches to address the preservation of motor function.

Neuroaxonal and Glial Markers in Patients of the Same Age With Multiple Sclerosis

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES

The specificity of novel blood biomarkers for multiple sclerosis (MS)-related neurodegeneration is unclear because neurodegeneration also occurs during normal aging. To understand which aspects of neurodegeneration the serum biomarkers neurofilament light (sNfL), serum glial fibrillary acidic protein (sGFAP), and serum contactin-1 (sCNTN1) reflect, we here explore their cross-sectional association with disability outcome measures and MRI volumes in a unique cohort of people with MS (PwMS) of the same age.

METHODS

sNfL, sGFAP (both singe-molecule array technology) and sCNTN1 (Luminex) were measured in serum samples of 288 PwMS and 125 healthy controls (HCs) of the Project Y cohort, a population-based cross-sectional study of PwMS born in the Netherlands in 1966 and age-matched HC.

RESULTS

sNfL (9.83 pg/mL [interquartile range {IQR}: 7.8-12.0]) and sGFAP (63.7 pg/mL [IQR: 48.5-84.5]) were higher in PwMS compared with HC (sNfL: 8.8 pg/mL [IQR: 7.0-10.5]; sGFAP: 51.7 pg/mL [IQR: 40.1-68.3]) (p < 0.001), whereas contactin-1 (7,461.3 pg/mL [IQR: 5,951.8-9,488.6]) did not significantly differ between PwMS compared with HC (7,891.2 pg/mL [IQR: 6,120.0-10,265.8]) (p = 0.068). sNfL and sGFAP levels were 1.2-fold higher in secondary progressive patients (SPMS) compared with relapsing remitting patients (p = 0.009 and p = 0.043). Stratified by MS subtype, no relations were seen for CNTN1, whereas sNfL and sGFAP correlated with the Expanded Disability Status Scale (ρ = 0.43 and ρ = 0.39), Nine-Hole Peg Test, Timed 25-Foot Walk Test, and Symbol Digit Modalities Test (average ρ = 0.38) only in patients with SPMS. Parallel to these clinical findings, correlations were only found for sNfL and sGFAP with MRI volumes. The strongest correlations were observed between sNfL and thalamic volume (ρ = -0.52) and between sGFAP with deep gray matter volume (ρ = - 0.56) in primary progressive patients.

DISCUSSION

In our cohort of patients of the same age, we report consistent correlations of sNfL and sGFAP with a range of metrics, especially in progressive MS, whereas contactin-1 was not related to clinical or MRI measures. This demonstrates the potential of sNfL and sGFAP as complementary biomarkers of neurodegeneration, reflected by disability, in progressive MS.

Percentage brain volume change in multiple sclerosis mainly reflects white matter and cortical volume

Brain atrophy in multiple sclerosis (MS), as measured by percentage brain volume change (PBVC) from brain magnetic resonance imaging (MRI), has been established as an outcome parameter in clinical trials. It is unknown to what extent volume changes within different brain tissue compartments contribute to PBVC. We analyzed pairs of MRI scans (at least 6 months apart) in 600 patients with relapsing-remitting MS. Multiple regression revealed that PBVC mainly reflects volume loss of white and cortical gray matter, while deep gray matter and white matter lesions were less represented. Our findings aid the interpretation of PBVC changes in MS.

Magnetic Resonance Imaging in Primary Progressive Multiple Sclerosis Patients : Review

The recently developed effective treatment of primary progressive multiple sclerosis (PPMS) requires the accurate diagnosis of patients with this type of disease. Currently, the diagnosis of PPMS is based on the 2017 McDonald criteria, although the contribution of magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) to this process is fundamental. PPMS, one of the clinical types of MS, represents 10%-15% of all MS patients. Compared to relapsing-remitting MS (RRMS), PPMS differs in terms of pathology, clinical presentation and MRI features. Regarding conventional MRI, focal lesions on T2-weighted images and acute inflammatory lesions with contrast enhancement are less common in PPMS than in RRMS. On the other hand, MRI features of chronic inflammation, such as slowly evolving/expanding lesions (SELs) and leptomeningeal enhancement (LME), and brain and spinal cord atrophy are more common MRI characteristics in PPMS than RRMS. Nonconventional MRI also shows differences in subtle white and grey matter damage between PPMS and other clinical types of disease. In this review, we present separate diagnostic criteria, conventional and nonconventional MRI specificity for PPMS, which may support and simplify the diagnosis of this type of MS in daily clinical practice.

Thalamic atrophy measured by artificial intelligence in a multicentre clinical routine real-word study is associated with disability progression

BACKGROUND

The thalamus is a key grey matter structure, and sensitive marker of neurodegeneration in multiple sclerosis (MS). Previous reports indicated that thalamic volumetry using artificial intelligence (AI) on clinical-quality T2-fluid-attenuated inversion recovery (FLAIR) images alone is fast and reliable.

OBJECTIVE

To investigate whether thalamic volume (TV) loss, measured longitudinally by AI, is associated with disability progression (DP) in patients with MS, participating in a large multicentre study.

METHODS

The DeepGRAI (Deep Grey Rating via Artificial Intelligence) Registry is a multicentre (30 USA sites), longitudinal, observational, retrospective, real-word study of relapsing-remitting (RR) MS patients. Each centre enrolled between 30 and 35 patients. Brain MRI exams acquired at baseline and follow-up on 1.5T or 3T scanners with no prior standardisation were collected. TV measurement was performed on T2-FLAIR using DeepGRAI, and on two dimensional (D)-weighted and 3D T1-weighted images (WI) by using FMRIB's Integrated Registration and Segmentation Tool software where possible.

RESULTS

1002 RRMS patients were followed for an average of 2.6 years. Longitudinal TV analysis was more readily available on T2-FLAIR (96.1%), compared with 2D-T1-WI (61.8%) or 3D-T1-WI (33.2%). Over the follow-up, DeepGRAI TV loss was significantly higher in patients with DP, compared with those with disability improvement (DI) or disease stability (-1.35% in DP, -0.87% in DI and -0.57% in Stable, p=0.045, Bonferroni-adjusted, age-adjusted and follow-up time-adjusted analysis of covariance). In a regression model including MRI scanner change, age, sex, disease duration and follow-up time, DP was associated with DeepGRAI TV loss (p=0.022).

CONCLUSIONS

Thalamic atrophy measured by AI in a multicentre clinical routine real-word setting is associated with DP over mid-term follow-up.

Serum neurofilament light chain concentration predicts disease worsening in multiple sclerosis

Background:

Serum neurofilament light (sNfL) chain is a promising biomarker reflecting neuro-axonal injury in multiple sclerosis (MS). However, the ability of sNfL to predict outcomes in real-world MS cohorts requires further validation.

Objective:

The aim of the study is to investigate the associations of sNfL concentration, magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) and retinal optical coherence tomography (OCT) markers with disease worsening in a longitudinal European multicentre MS cohort.

Methods:

MS patients (n = 309) were prospectively enrolled at four centres and re-examined after 2 years (n = 226). NfL concentration was measured by single molecule array assay in serum. The patients’ phenotypes were thoroughly characterized with clinical examination, retinal OCT and MRI brain scans. The primary outcome was disease worsening at median 2-year follow-up.

Results:

Patients with high sNfL concentrations (⩾8 pg/mL) at baseline had increased risk of disease worsening at median 2-year follow-up (odds ratio (95% confidence interval) = 2.8 (1.5–5.3), p = 0.001). We found no significant associations of MRI or OCT measures at baseline with risk of disease worsening.

Conclusion:

Serum NfL concentration was the only factor associated with disease worsening, indicating that sNfL is a useful biomarker in MS that might be relevant in a clinical setting.

Slowly expanding lesions relate to persisting black-holes and clinical outcomes in relapse-onset multiple sclerosis

BACKGROUND

Slowly expanding lesions (SELs) are MRI markers of chronic active lesions in multiple sclerosis (MS). T1-hypointense black holes, and reductions in magnetization transfer ratio (MTR) are pathologically correlated with myelin and axonal loss. While all associated with progressive MS, the relationship between these lesion's metrics and clinical outcomes in relapse-onset MS has not been widely investigated.

OBJECTIVES

To explore the relationship of SELs with T1-hypointense black holes, and longitudinal T1 intensity contrast ratio and MTR, their correlation to brain volume, and their contribution to MS disability in relapse-onset patients.

METHODS

135 patients with relapsing-remitting MS (RRMS) were studied with clinical assessments and brain MRI (T2/FLAIR and T1-weighted scans at 1.5/3 T) at baseline and two subsequent follow-ups; a subset of 83 patients also had MTR acquisitions. Early-onset patients were defined when the baseline disease duration was ≤ 5 years (n = 85). SELs were identified using deformation field maps from the manually segmented baseline T2 lesions and differentiated from the non-SELs. Persisting black holes (PBHs) were defined as a subset of T2 lesions with a signal below a patient-specific grey matter T1 intensity in a semi-quantitative manner. SELs, PBH counts, and brain volume were computed, and their associations were assessed through Spearman and Pearson correlation. Clusters of patients according to low (up to 2), intermediate (3 to 10), or high (more than 10) SEL counts were determined with a Gaussian generalised mixture model. Mixed-effects and logistic regression models assessed volumes, T1 and MTR within SELs, and their correlation with Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) and confirmed disability progression (CDP).

RESULTS

Mean age at study onset was 35.5 years (73% female), disease duration 5.5 years and mean time to last follow-up 6.5 years (range 1 to 12.5); median baseline EDSS 1.5 (range 0 to 5.5) and a mean EDSS change of 0.31 units at final follow-up. Among 4007 T2 lesions, 27% were classified as SELs and 10% as PBHs. Most patients (n = 65) belonged to the cluster with an intermediate SEL count (3 to 10 SELs). The percentage of PBHs was higher in SELs than non-SELs (up to 61% vs 44%, p < 0.001) and within-patient SEL volumes positively correlated with PBH volumes (r = 0.53, p < 0.001). SELs showed a decrease in T1 intensity over time (beta = -0.004, 95%CI -0.005 to -0.003, p < 0.001), accompanied by lower cross-sectional baseline and follow-up MTR. In mixed-effects models, EDSS worsening was predicted by the SEL log-volumes increase over time (beta = 0.11, 95%CI 0.03 to 0.20, p = 0.01), which was confirmed in the sub-cohort of patients with early onset MS (beta = 0.14, 95%CI 0.04 to 0.25, p = 0.008). In logistic regressions, a higher risk for CDP was associated with SEL volumes (OR = 5.15, 95%CI 1.60 to 16.60, p = 0.006).

CONCLUSIONS

SELs are associated with accumulation of more destructive pathology as indicated by an association with PBH volume, longitudinal reduction in T1 intensity and MTR. Higher SEL volumes are associated with clinical progression, while lower ones are associated with stability in relapse-onset MS.

Association of Brain Atrophy With Disease Progression Independent of Relapse Activity in Patients With Relapsing Multiple Sclerosis

Importance

The mechanisms driving neurodegeneration and brain atrophy in relapsing multiple sclerosis (RMS) are not completely understood.

Objective

To determine whether disability progression independent of relapse activity (PIRA) in patients with RMS is associated with accelerated brain tissue loss.

Design, Setting, and Participants

In this observational, longitudinal cohort study with median (IQR) follow-up of 3.2 years (2.0-4.9), data were acquired from January 2012 to September 2019 in a consortium of tertiary university and nonuniversity referral hospitals. Patients were included if they had regular clinical follow-up and at least 2 brain magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) scans suitable for volumetric analysis. Data were analyzed between January 2020 and March 2021.

Exposures

According to the clinical evolution during the entire observation, patients were classified as those presenting (1) relapse activity only, (2) PIRA episodes only, (3) mixed activity, or (4) clinical stability.

Main Outcomes and Measures

Mean difference in annual percentage change (MD-APC) in brain volume/cortical thickness between groups, calculated after propensity score matching. Brain atrophy rates, and their association with the variables of interest, were explored with linear mixed-effect models.

Results

Included were 1904 brain MRI scans from 516 patients with RMS (67.4% female; mean [SD] age, 41.4 [11.1] years; median [IQR] Expanded Disability Status Scale score, 2.0 [1.5-3.0]). Scans with insufficient quality were excluded (n = 19). Radiological inflammatory activity was associated with increased atrophy rates in several brain compartments, while an increased annualized relapse rate was linked to accelerated deep gray matter (GM) volume loss. When compared with clinically stable patients, patients with PIRA had an increased rate of brain volume loss (MD-APC, -0.36; 95% CI, -0.60 to -0.12; P = .02), mainly driven by GM loss in the cerebral cortex. Patients who were relapsing presented increased whole brain atrophy (MD-APC, -0.18; 95% CI, -0.34 to -0.02; P = .04) with respect to clinically stable patients, with accelerated GM loss in both cerebral cortex and deep GM. No differences in brain atrophy rates were measured between patients with PIRA and those presenting relapse activity.

Conclusions and Relevance

Our study shows that patients with RMS and PIRA exhibit accelerated brain atrophy, especially in the cerebral cortex. These results point to the need to recognize the insidious manifestations of PIRA in clinical practice and to further evaluate treatment strategies for patients with PIRA in clinical trials.

Validation of an automatic tool for the rapid measurement of brain atrophy and white matter hyperintensity: QyScore®

OBJECTIVES

QyScore® is an imaging analysis tool certified in Europe (CE marked) and the US (FDA cleared) for the automatic volumetry of grey and white matter (GM and WM respectively), hippocampus (HP), amygdala (AM), and white matter hyperintensity (WMH). Here we compare QyScore® performances with the consensus of expert neuroradiologists.

METHODS

Dice similarity coefficient (DSC) and the relative volume difference (RVD) for GM, WM volumes were calculated on 50 3DT1 images. DSC and the F1 metrics were calculated for WMH on 130 3DT1 and FLAIR images. For each index, we identified thresholds of reliability based on current literature review results. We hypothesized that DSC/F1 scores obtained using QyScore® markers would be higher than the threshold. In contrast, RVD scores would be lower. Regression analysis and Bland-Altman plots were obtained to evaluate QyScore® performance in comparison to the consensus of three expert neuroradiologists.

RESULTS

The lower bound of the DSC/F1 confidence intervals was higher than the threshold for the GM, WM, HP, AM, and WMH, and the higher bounds of the RVD confidence interval were below the threshold for the WM, GM, HP, and AM. QyScore®, compared with the consensus of three expert neuroradiologists, provides reliable performance for the automatic segmentation of the GM and WM volumes, and HP and AM volumes, as well as WMH volumes.

CONCLUSIONS

QyScore® represents a reliable medical device in comparison with the consensus of expert neuroradiologists. Therefore, QyScore® could be implemented in clinical trials and clinical routine to support the diagnosis and longitudinal monitoring of neurological diseases.

KEY POINTS

• QyScore® provides reliable automatic segmentation of brain structures in comparison with the consensus of three expert neuroradiologists. • QyScore® automatic segmentation could be performed on MRI images using different vendors and protocols of acquisition. In addition, the fast segmentation process saves time over manual and semi-automatic methods. • QyScore® could be implemented in clinical trials and clinical routine to support the diagnosis and longitudinal monitoring of neurological diseases.

Association of Slowly Expanding Lesions on MRI With Disability in People With Secondary Progressive Multiple Sclerosis

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE

To explore the relationship between slowly expanding lesions (SELs) on MRI and disability in secondary progressive multiple sclerosis (SPMS).

METHODS

We retrospectively studied 345 patients with SPMS enrolled in the MS-SMART trial. They underwent brain MRI at baseline and at 24 and 96 weeks. Definite SELs were defined as concentrically expanding T2 lesions, as assessed by nonlinear deformation of volumetric T1-weighted images. Associations of SEL volumes with other MRI metrics and disability were assessed through Pearson correlations and regression analyses.

RESULTS

Averaged across patients, 29% of T2 lesions were classified as being definite SELs. A greater volume of definite SELs correlated with a higher total baseline T2 lesion volume (r = 0.55, p < 0.001) and percentage brain volume reduction (r = -0.26, p < 0.001), a higher number of new persisting T1 black holes (r = 0.19, p < 0.001), and, in a subset of 106 patients, with a greater reduction in magnetization transfer ratio (adjusted difference 0.52, p < 0.001). In regression analyses, a higher definite SEL volume was associated with increasing disability, as assessed by the Expanded Disability Status Scale (β = 0.23, p = 0.020), z scores of the Multiple Sclerosis Functional Composite (β = -0.47, p = 0.048), Timed 25-Foot Walk Test (β = -2.10, p = 0.001), and Paced Auditory Serial Addition Task (β = -0.27, p = 0.006), and increased risk of disability progression (odds ratio 1.92, p = 0.025).

DISCUSSION

Definite SELs represent almost one-third of T2 lesions in SPMS. They are associated with neurodegenerative MRI markers and related to clinical worsening, suggesting that they may contribute to disease progression and be a new target for therapeutic interventions.

Effects of Dimethyl Fumarate on Brain Atrophy in Relapsing-Remitting Multiple Sclerosis: Pooled Analysis Phase 3 DEFINE and CONFIRM Studies

Objective

In the pivotal DEFINE and CONFIRM trials for dimethyl fumarate (DMF), patterns of brain volume changes were different, potentially due to low sample sizes and because MRIs were analyzed at two different reading centers. We evaluated effects of DMF on brain volume change in patients with multiple sclerosis (MS) through reanalysis of pooled images from DEFINE/CONFIRM trials in one reading center.

Methods

MRIs from DEFINE/CONFIRM at weeks 0, 24, 48, and 96 from patients randomized to twice-daily DMF or placebo (PBO) were reanalyzed at the Cleveland Clinic to measure brain parenchymal fraction (BPF). To account for pseudoatrophy, brain volume estimates were re-baselined to calculate changes for weeks 48–96.

Results

Across studies, 301 and 314 patients receiving DMF and PBO, respectively, had analyzable MRIs. In weeks 0–48, mean ± SE percentage change in BPF was −0.44 ± 0.04 vs. −0.34 ± 0.04% in DMF vs. PBO, respectively, whereas in weeks 48–96, mean ± SE percentage change in BPF was −0.27 ± 0.03 vs. −0.41 ± 0.04% in DMF vs. PBO, respectively. The mixed-effect model for repeated measures showed similar results: in weeks 48–96, estimated change (95% confidence interval) in BPF was −0.0021 (−0.0027, −0.0016) for DMF vs. −0.0033 (−0.0039, −0.0028) for PBO (35.9% reduction; p = 0.0025).

Conclusions

The lower rate of whole brain volume loss with DMF in this pooled BPF analysis in the second year vs. PBO is consistent with its effects on relapses, disability, and MRI lesions. Brain volume changes in the first year may be explained by pseudoatrophy effects also described in other MS clinical trials.

Relation of sensorimotor and cognitive cerebellum functional connectivity with brain structural damage in patients with multiple sclerosis and no disability

Background and purpose

To investigate the relationship between the functional connectivity (FC) of the sensorimotor and cognitive cerebellum and measures of structural damage in patients with multiple sclerosis (MS) and no physical disability.

Methods

We selected 144 relapsing–remitting MS patients with an Expanded Disability Status Scale score of ≤1.5 and 98 healthy controls from the Italian Neuroimaging Network Initiative database. From multimodal 3T magnetic resonance imaging (MRI), including functional MRI at rest, we calculated lesion load, cortical thickness, and white matter, cortical gray matter, and caudate, putamen, thalamic, and cerebellar volumes. Voxel‐wise FC of the sensorimotor and cognitive cerebellum was assessed with seed‐based analysis, and multiple regression analysis was used to evaluate the relationship between FC and structural damage.

Results

Whole brain, white matter, caudate, putamen, and thalamic volumes were reduced in patients compared to controls, whereas cortical gray matter was not significantly different in patients versus controls. Both the sensorimotor and cognitive cerebellum showed a widespread pattern of increased and decreased FC that were negatively associated with structural measures, indicating that the lower the FC, the greater the tissue loss. Lastly, among multiple structural measures, cortical gray matter and white matter volumes were the best predictors of cerebellar FC alterations.

Conclusions

Increased and decreased cerebellar FC with several brain areas coexist in MS patients with no disability. Our data suggest that white matter loss hampers FC, whereas, in the absence of atrophy, cortical volume represents the framework for FC to increase.

Efficacy and safety of ofatumumab in recently diagnosed, treatment-naive patients with multiple sclerosis: Results from ASCLEPIOS I and II

Background:

In the phase III ASCLEPIOS I and II trials, participants with relapsing multiple sclerosis receiving ofatumumab had significantly better clinical and magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) outcomes than those receiving teriflunomide.

Objectives:

To assess the efficacy and safety of ofatumumab versus teriflunomide in recently diagnosed, treatment-naive (RDTN) participants from ASCLEPIOS.

Methods:

Participants were randomized to receive ofatumumab (20 mg subcutaneously every 4 weeks) or teriflunomide (14 mg orally once daily) for up to 30 months. Endpoints analysed post hoc in the protocol-defined RDTN population included annualized relapse rate (ARR), confirmed disability worsening (CDW), progression independent of relapse activity (PIRA) and adverse events.

Results:

Data were analysed from 615 RDTN participants (ofatumumab: n = 314; teriflunomide: n = 301). Compared with teriflunomide, ofatumumab reduced ARR by 50% (rate ratio (95% confidence interval (CI)): 0.50 (0.33, 0.74); p < 0.001), and delayed 6-month CDW by 46% (hazard ratio (HR; 95% CI): 0.54 (0.30, 0.98); p = 0.044) and 6-month PIRA by 56% (HR: 0.44 (0.20, 1.00); p = 0.049). Safety findings were manageable and consistent with those of the overall ASCLEPIOS population.

Conclusion:

The favourable benefit–risk profile of ofatumumab versus teriflunomide supports its consideration as a first-line therapy in RDTN patients.

ASCLEPIOS I and II are registered at ClinicalTrials.gov (NCT02792218 and NCT02792231).

Early treatment responses to peginterferon beta-1a are associated with longer-term clinical outcomes in patients with relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis: Subgroup analyses of ADVANCE and ATTAIN

BACKGROUND

Early intervention with well-tolerated disease-modifying therapies (DMTs) for relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis (RRMS) is recommended in order to delay disease progression, reduce neurologic damage, preserve brain volume, and optimize long-term patient outcomes. Lack of conversion of new/newly enlarging T2 (NET2) or gadolinium-enhancing (Gd+) lesions to chronic hypointensities (black hole conversion) and achievement of no evidence of disease activity (NEDA) early in the course of treatment are considered potential indicators of treatment effect and predictors of longer-term clinical outcomes.

METHODS

Patients with RRMS who were treated with peginterferon beta-1a in the 2-year ADVANCE phase 3 clinical trial (NCT0090639) and its 2-year open-label extension study, ATTAIN (NCT01332019), were grouped as newly diagnosed (diagnosed ≤1 year prior to enrollment and DMT naive) or non-newly diagnosed. For analyses of the impact of early treatment and disease activity control, the newly diagnosed and non-newly diagnosed subgroups were further divided based on whether they initiated peginterferon beta-1a every 2 weeks (Q2W) starting in study year 1 (continuously treated) or peginterferon beta-1a Q2W or every 4 weeks in study year 2 (delayed treatment). Patient subgroups were evaluated for conversion of NET2 or Gd+ lesions to persistent black holes (PBHs), brain atrophy (percentage change in whole brain volume [WBV]), achievement of NEDA composite outcomes, and the association of these disease activity measures with longer-term clinical outcomes (annualized relapse rate [ARR] and confirmed disability worsening [CDW]).

RESULTS

At 2 years, significantly fewer PBHs developed from NET2 lesions or Gd+ lesions in newly diagnosed and non-newly diagnosed patients continuously treated with peginterferon beta-1a than in the corresponding delayed-treatment groups (all p<0.0001). Percentage decrease in WBV from 6 months (rebaselined) to 2 years was significantly lower for newly diagnosed and non-newly diagnosed patients who received continuous peginterferon beta-1a treatment than for patients who received delayed treatment (both p ≤ 0.0442). In study year 1, a higher proportion of newly diagnosed and non-newly diagnosed patients treated with peginterferon beta-1a than those treated with placebo achieved NEDA (newly diagnosed: 28.3% vs 13.5% [p = 0.0010]; non-newly diagnosed: 40.8% vs 15.8% [p<0.0001]). NEDA rates remained stable over study years 2-4 for the newly diagnosed (range: 50.0%-53.9%) and non-newly diagnosed (range: 54.4%-57.0%) subgroups. Patients without PBH conversion had significantly lower ARR at 2 years (newly diagnosed: p = 0.0109; non-newly diagnosed: p = 0.0044) and a lower proportion of patients with 12-week CDW at 2 years (newly diagnosed: p = 0.2787; non-newly diagnosed: p = 0.0045) than the corresponding patient subgroups with PBH conversion. Patients who achieved NEDA in ADVANCE (study years 1-2) had a significantly lower ARR in ATTAIN (study years 3-4) than patients who did not achieve NEDA (newly diagnosed, p = 0.0003; non-newly diagnosed, p = 0.0001). Over 4 years, safety outcomes did not differ for the newly diagnosed and non-newly diagnosed patient subgroups.

CONCLUSIONS

These results indicate that newly diagnosed and non-newly diagnosed patients treated continuously with peginterferon beta-1a Q2W experienced better disease control over time than those who received delayed treatment. Patients with NEDA or evidence of less radiological disease activity in the first 2 years of treatment had better longer-term clinical outcomes than those with evidence of greater disease activity.

Qualitative and Quantitative Comparison of Hippocampal Volumetric Software Applications: Do All Roads Lead to Rome?

Brain volumetric software is increasingly suggested for clinical routine. The present study quantifies the agreement across different software applications. Ten cases with and ten gender- and age-adjusted healthy controls without hippocampal atrophy (median age: 70; 25–75% range: 64–77 years and 74; 66–78 years) were retrospectively selected from a previously published cohort of Alzheimer’s dementia patients and normal ageing controls. Hippocampal volumes were computed based on 3 Tesla T1-MPRAGE-sequences with FreeSurfer (FS), Statistical-Parametric-Mapping (SPM; Neuromorphometrics and Hammers atlases), Geodesic-Information-Flows (GIF), Similarity-and-Truth-Estimation-for-Propagated-Segmentations (STEPS), and Quantib™. MTA (medial temporal lobe atrophy) scores were manually rated. Volumetric measures of each individual were compared against the mean of all applications with intraclass correlation coefficients (ICC) and Bland–Altman plots. Comparing against the mean of all methods, moderate to low agreement was present considering categorization of hippocampal volumes into quartiles. ICCs ranged noticeably between applications (left hippocampus (LH): from 0.42 (STEPS) to 0.88 (FS); right hippocampus (RH): from 0.36 (Quantib™) to 0.86 (FS). Mean differences between individual methods and the mean of all methods [mm³] were considerable (LH: FS −209, SPM-Neuromorphometrics −820; SPM-Hammers −1474; Quantib™ −680; GIF 891; STEPS 2218; RH: FS −232, SPM-Neuromorphometrics −745; SPM-Hammers −1547; Quantib™ −723; GIF 982; STEPS 2188). In this clinically relevant sample size with large spread in data ranging from normal aging to severe atrophy, hippocampal volumes derived by well-accepted applications were quantitatively different. Thus, interchangeable use is not recommended.

Autologous Hematopoietic Stem Cell Transplantation in Multiple Sclerosis Patients: Monocentric Case Series and Systematic Review of the Literature

Multiple sclerosis (MS) is a chronic, inflammatory and immune-mediated disease of the central nervous system (CNS), commonly affecting young adults and potentially associated with life-long disability. About 14 disease-modifying treatments (DMTs) are currently approved for the treatment of MS. However, despite the use of highly effective therapies, some patients exhibit a highly active disease with an aggressive course from onset and a higher risk of long-term disability accrual. In the last few years, several retrospective studies, clinical trials, meta-analyses and systematic reviews have investigated autologous hematopoietic stem cell transplantation (AHSCT) as a possible therapeutic option in order to address this unmet clinical need. These studies demonstrated that AHSCT is a highly efficacious and relatively safe therapeutic option for the treatment of highly active MS. Particularly, over recent years, the amount of evidence has grown, with significant improvements in the development of patient selection criteria, choice of the most suitable transplant technique and clinical experience. In this paper, we present six patients who received AHSCT in our MS center and we systematically reviewed recent evidence about the long-term efficacy and safety of AHSCT and the placement of AHSCT in the rapidly evolving therapeutic armamentarium for MS.

No Changes in Functional Connectivity After Dimethyl Fumarate Treatment in Multiple Sclerosis

Introduction

Despite the increased availability of disease-modifying therapies (DMTs) for treating relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis (RR-MS), only a few studies have evaluated DMT-associated brain functional changes.

Methods

We investigated whether significant resting-state functional connectivity (FC) changes occurred in RR-MS patients after 6 and 12 months of dimethyl fumarate (DMF) treatment using both a seed-based and data-driven approach.

Results

Thirty patients were followed up after 6 months of therapy, and 27 of them reached a 12-month follow-up. Three patients at baseline and only one after 12 months showed gadolinium-enhancing lesions. We did not find any significant FC changes after therapy at either time point. After 12 months of DMF, we observed relatively modest brain volume loss and a significant improvement in Paced Auditory Serial Addition Test 3 s and 25-Foot Walk Test scores.

Conclusion

The absence of FC changes could be due to the low degree of baseline inflammation in our patients, though we cannot exclude that more time may be required to observe such changes. No FC changes may reflect a beneficial effect of DMF therapy, as supported by conventional MRI findings and clinical improvement.

Smouldering multiple sclerosis: the ‘real MS’

Using a philosophical approach or deductive reasoning, we challenge the dominant clinico-radiological worldview that defines multiple sclerosis (MS) as a focal inflammatory disease of the central nervous system (CNS). We provide a range of evidence to argue that the ‘real MS’ is in fact driven primarily by a smouldering pathological disease process. In natural history studies and clinical trials, relapses and focal activity revealed by magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) in MS patients on placebo or on disease-modifying therapies (DMTs) were found to be poor predictors of long-term disease evolution and were dissociated from disability outcomes. In addition, the progressive accumulation of disability in MS can occur independently of relapse activity from early in the disease course. This scenario is underpinned by a more diffuse smouldering pathological process that may affect the entire CNS. Many putative pathological drivers of smouldering MS can be potentially modified by specific therapeutic strategies, an approach that may have major implications for the management of MS patients. We hypothesise that therapeutically targeting a state of ‘no evident inflammatory disease activity’ (NEIDA) cannot sufficiently prevent disability accumulation in MS, meaning that treatment should also focus on other brain and spinal cord pathological processes contributing to the slow loss of neurological function. This should also be complemented with a holistic approach to the management of other systemic disease processes that have been shown to worsen MS outcomes.

Brain Volume Loss Can Occur at the Rate of Normal Aging in Patients with Multiple Sclerosis Who Are Free from Disease Activity

Multiple sclerosis (MS) is a chronic inflammatory demyelinating and degenerative disorder of the central nervous system. Accelerated brain volume loss (BVL) has emerged as a promising magnetic resonance imaging marker (MRI) of neurodegeneration, correlating with present and future clinical disability. We have systematically selected MS patients fulfilling ‘no evidence of disease activity-3′ (NEDA-3) criteria under high-efficacy disease-modifying treatment (DMT) from the database of two Belgian MS centers. BVL between both MRI scans demarcating the NEDA-3 period was assessed and compared with a group of prospectively recruited healthy volunteers who were matched for age and gender. Annualized whole brain volume percentage change was similar between 29 MS patients achieving NEDA-3 and 24 healthy controls (−0.25 ± 0.49 versus −0.24 ± 0.20, p = 0.9992; median follow-up 21 versus 33 months; respectively). In contrast, we found a mean BVL increase of 72%, as compared with the former, in a second control group of MS patients (n = 21) whom had been excluded from the NEDA-3 group due to disease activity (p = 0.1371). Our results suggest that neurodegeneration in MS can slow down to the rate of normal aging once inflammatory disease activity has been extinguished and advocate for an early introduction of high-efficacy DMT to reduce the risk of future clinical disability.

Escalation vs. Early Intense Therapy in Multiple Sclerosis

The treatment strategy of multiple sclerosis (MS) is a highly controversial debate. Currently, there are up to 19 drugs approved. However, there is no clear evidence to guide fundamental decisions such as what treatment should be chosen in first place, when treatment failure or suboptimal response should be considered, or what treatment should be considered in these cases. The “escalation strategy” consists of starting treatment with drugs of low side-effect profile and low efficacy, and “escalating” to drugs of higher efficacy—with more potential side-effects—if necessary. This strategy has prevailed over the years. However, the evidence supporting this strategy is based on short-term studies, in hope that the benefits will stand in the long term. These studies usually do not consider the heterogeneity of the disease and the limited effect that relapses have on the long-term. On the other hand, “early intense therapy” strategy refers to starting treatment with drugs of higher efficacy from the beginning, despite having a less favorable side-effect profile. This approach takes advantage of the so-called “window of opportunity” in hope to maximize the clinical benefits in the long-term. At present, the debate remains open. In this review, we will critically review both strategies. We provide a summary of the current evidence for each strategy without aiming to reach a definite conclusion.

OUP accepted manuscript

Patients with multiple sclerosis acquire disability either through relapse-associated worsening (RAW) or progression independent of relapse activity (PIRA). This study addresses the relative contribution of relapses to disability worsening over the course of the disease, how early progression begins and the extent to which multiple sclerosis therapies delay disability accumulation.

Using the Novartis-Oxford multiple sclerosis (NO.MS) data pool spanning all multiple sclerosis phenotypes and paediatric multiple sclerosis, we evaluated ∼200 000 Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) transitions from >27 000 patients with ≤15 years follow-up. We analysed three datasets: (i) A full analysis dataset containing all observational and randomized controlled clinical trials in which disability and relapses were assessed (n = 27 328); (ii) all phase 3 clinical trials (n = 8346); and (iii) all placebo-controlled phase 3 clinical trials (n = 4970). We determined the relative importance of RAW and PIRA, investigated the role of relapses on all-cause disability worsening using Andersen-Gill models and observed the impact of the mechanism of worsening and disease-modifying therapies on the time to reach milestone disability levels using time continuous Markov models.

PIRA started early in the disease process, occurred in all phenotypes and became the principal driver of disability accumulation in the progressive phase of the disease. Relapses significantly increased the hazard of all-cause disability worsening events; following a year in which relapses occurred (versus a year without relapses), the hazard increased by 31–48% (all P < 0.001). Pre-existing disability and older age were the principal risk factors for incomplete relapse recovery. For placebo-treated patients with minimal disability (EDSS 1), it took 8.95 years until increased limitation in walking ability (EDSS 4) and 18.48 years to require walking assistance (EDSS 6). Treating patients with disease-modifying therapies delayed these times significantly by 3.51 years (95% confidence limit: 3.19, 3.96) and 3.09 years (2.60, 3.72), respectively. In patients with relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis, those who worsened exclusively due to RAW events took a similar length of time to reach milestone EDSS values compared with those with PIRA events; the fastest transitions were observed in patients with PIRA and superimposed relapses.

Our data confirm that relapses contribute to the accumulation of disability, primarily early in multiple sclerosis. PIRA begins in relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis and becomes the dominant driver of disability accumulation as the disease evolves. Pre-existing disability and older age are the principal risk factors for further disability accumulation. The use of disease-modifying therapies delays disability accrual by years, with the potential to gain time being highest in the earliest stages of multiple sclerosis.

High-Efficacy Therapies for Treatment-Naïve Individuals with Relapsing-Remitting Multiple Sclerosis

There are > 18 distinct disease-modifying therapy (DMT) options covering 10 mechanisms of action currently approved by the US Food and Drug Administration for the treatment of relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis (RRMS). Given the multitude of available treatment options, and recent international consensus guidelines offering differing recommendations, there is broad heterogeneity in how the DMTs are used in clinical practice. Choosing a DMT for newly diagnosed patients with MS is currently a topic of significant debate in MS care. Historically, an escalation approach to DMT was used for newly diagnosed patients with RRMS. However, the evidence for clinical benefits of early treatment with high-efficacy therapies (HETs) in this population is emerging. In this review, we provide an overview of the DMT options and MS treatment strategies, and discuss the clinical benefits of HETs (including ofatumumab, ocrelizumab, natalizumab, alemtuzumab, and cladribine) in the early stages of MS, along with safety concerns associated with these DMTs. By minimizing the accumulation of neurological damage early in the disease course, early treatment with HETs may enhance long-term clinical outcomes over the lifetime of the patient.

Characterisation of MS phenotypes across the age span using a novel data set integrating 34 clinical trials (NO.MS cohort): Age is a key contributor to presentation

BACKGROUND

The Oxford Big Data Institute, multiple sclerosis (MS) physicians and Novartis aim to address unresolved questions in MS with a novel comprehensive clinical trial data set.

OBJECTIVE

The objective of this study is to describe the Novartis-Oxford MS (NO.MS) data set and to explore the relationships between age, disease activity and disease worsening across MS phenotypes.

METHODS

We report key characteristics of NO.MS. We modelled MS lesion formation, relapse frequency, brain volume change and disability worsening cross-sectionally, as a function of patients' baseline age, using phase III study data (≈8000 patients).

RESULTS

NO.MS contains data of ≈35,000 patients (>200,000 brain images from ≈10,000 patients), with >10 years follow-up. (1) Focal disease activity is highest in paediatric patients and decreases with age, (2) brain volume loss is similar across age and phenotypes and (3) the youngest patients have the lowest likelihood (<25%) of disability worsening over 2 years while risk is higher (25%-75%) in older, disabled or progressive MS patients. Young patients benefit most from treatment.

CONCLUSION

NO.MS will illuminate questions related to MS characterisation, progression and prognosis. Age modulates relapse frequency and, thus, the phenotypic presentation of MS. Disease worsening across all phenotypes is mediated by age and appears to some extent be independent from new focal inflammatory activity.

MiR-142-3p regulates synaptopathy-driven disease progression in multiple sclerosis

Aim

We recently proposed miR‐142‐3p as a molecular player in inflammatory synaptopathy, a new pathogenic hallmark of multiple sclerosis (MS) and of its mouse model experimental autoimmune encephalomyelitis (EAE), that leads to neuronal loss independently of demyelination. MiR‐142‐3p seems to be unique among potential biomarker candidates in MS, since it is an inflammatory miRNA playing a dual role in the immune and central nervous systems. Here, we aimed to verify the impact of miR‐142‐3p circulating in the cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) of MS patients on clinical parameters, neuronal excitability and its potential interaction with disease modifying therapies (DMTs).

Methods and Results

In a cohort of 151 MS patients, we found positive correlations between CSF miR‐142‐3p levels and clinical progression, IL‐1β signalling as well as synaptic excitability measured by transcranial magnetic stimulation. Furthermore, therapy response of patients with ‘low miR‐142‐3p’ to dimethyl fumarate (DMF), an established disease‐modifying treatment (DMT), was superior to that of patients with ‘high miR‐142‐3p’ levels. Accordingly, the EAE clinical course of heterozygous miR‐142 mice was ameliorated by peripheral DMF treatment with a greater impact relative to their wild type littermates. In addition, a central protective effect of this drug was observed following intracerebroventricular and ex vivo acute treatments of EAE wild type mice, showing a rescue of miR‐142‐3p‐dependent glutamatergic alterations. By means of electrophysiology, molecular and biochemical analysis, we suggest miR‐142‐3p as a molecular target of DMF.

Conclusion

MiR‐142‐3p is a novel and potential negative prognostic CSF marker of MS and a promising tool for identifying personalised therapies.

Features of "ET plus" correlate with age and tremor duration: "ET plus" may be a disease stage rather than a subtype of essential tremor

BACKGROUND

Essential tremor (ET) is characterized by considerable clinical heterogeneity. In 2018, the term "ET plus" was introduced to mark a potential stratification point for dividing ET into subtypes - ET vs ET plus (i.e., ET cases with neurological features other than action tremor). However, as ET progresses, patients often develop increasingly severe tremor, spread of tremor, tremor under different activation conditions, and other features. Given this situation, ET plus may represent a disease stage rather than a disease classification or subtype. In theory, if the defining characteristics of a disease subtype fluctuate with age or disease duration, it raises the distinct possibility the "subtype" is a disease stage.

METHODS

A cohort of 241 prospectively enrolled ET cases underwent a detailed motor and cognitive assessment in which the features of ET plus including cerebellar signs (intention tremor, tandem gait difficulty), rest tremor, dystonia, and cognitive performance were evaluated. We determined whether these features of ET plus correlated with action tremor duration and age.

RESULTS

We demonstrated that numerous ET plus features were significantly correlated with both age and action tremor duration (numerous p values < 0.05). The same relationships were observed in a series of sensitivity analyses.

CONCLUSION

We observed that the component parts of ET plus are highly age- and stage-dependent. These features are yearly-changing features conditional on a demographic and disease stage variable. These data support the notion that ET plus may represent a disease stage rather than a distinct disease subtype or disease classification.

Multiple Sclerosis Phenotypes as a Continuum: The Role of Neurologic Reserve

Purpose of Review

This review presents the hypothesis that loss of neurologic reserve explains onset of progressive multiple sclerosis (PrMS).

Recent Findings

Evidence supporting the separate classification of PrMS and relapsing multiple sclerosis (RMS) is limited and does not explain PrMS or the response of these patients to therapy.

Summary

We argue that multiple sclerosis (MS) progresses along a continuum from RMS to PrMS, with differing levels of neurologic reserve accounting for phenotypic differences. In early MS, inflammation causes brain atrophy with symptoms buffered by neurologic reserve. As brain loss from normal aging and MS continues, reserve is depleted and effects of subclinical MS disease activity and aging are unmasked, manifesting as PrMS. Most therapies show limited benefit in PrMS; patients are older, have fewer inflammatory events, and the effects of aging cause continued loss of neurologic function, even if inflammation is terminated. Loss of neurologic reserve means patients with PrMS cannot recover function, unlike patients with RMS.