GHb level and subsequent mortality among adults in the U.S

Adherence to diabetes quality indicators in primary care and all-cause mortality: A nationwide population-based historical cohort study

BACKGROUND

In the last three decades, much effort has been invested in measuring and improving the quality of diabetes care. We assessed the association between adherence to diabetes quality indicators and all-cause mortality in the primary care setting.

METHODS

A nationwide, population-based, historical cohort study of all people aged 45-80 with pharmacologically-treated diabetes in 2005 (n = 222,235). Data on annual performance of quality indicators (including indicators for metabolic risk factor management and glycemic control) and vital status were retrieved from electronic medical records of the four Israeli health maintenance organizations. Cox proportional hazards and time-dependent models were used to estimate hazard ratios (HRs) for mortality by degree of adherence to quality indicators.

RESULTS

During 2,000,052 person-years of follow-up, 35.8% of participants died. An inverse dose-response association between the degree of adherence and mortality was shown for most of the quality indicators. Participants who were not tested for proteinuria or did not visit an ophthalmologist during the first-5-years of follow-up had HRs of 2.60 (95%CI:2.49-2.69) and 2.09 (95%CI:2.01-2.16), respectively, compared with those who were fully adherent. In time-dependent analyses, not measuring LDL-cholesterol, blood pressure, HbA1c, or HbA1c>9% were similarly associated with mortality (HRs ≈1.5). The association of uncontrolled blood pressure with mortality was modified by age, with increased mortality shown for those with controlled blood pressure at older ages (≥65 years).

CONCLUSIONS

Longitudinal adherence to diabetes quality indicators is associated with reduced all-cause mortality. Primary care professionals need to be supported by health care systems to perform quality indicators.

Terminal trajectory of HbA1c for 10 years supports the HbA1c paradox: a longitudinal study using Health and Retirement Study data

Objectives

We aimed to assess the potential time-varying associations between HbA1c and mortality, as well as the terminal trajectory of HbA1c in the elderly to reveal the underlying mechanisms.

Design

The design is a longitudinal study using data from the Health and Retirement Study.

Setting and participants

Data were from the Health and Retirement Study. A total of 10,408 participants aged ≥50 years with available HbA1c measurements at baseline (2006/2008) were included.

Methods

Longitudinal HbA1c measured at 2010/2012 and 2014/2016 were collected. HbA1c values measured three times for their associations with all-cause mortality were assessed using Cox regression and restricted cubic splines. HbA1c terminal trajectories over 10 years before death were analyzed using linear mixed-effect models with a backward time scale.

Results

Women constitute 59.6% of the participants with a mean age of 69 years, with 3,070 decedents during the follow-up (8.9 years). The mortality rate during follow-up was 29.5%. Increased mortality risk became insignificant for the highest quartile of HbA1c compared to the third quartile (aHR 1.148, 1.302, and 1.069 for a follow-up of 8.9, 6.5, and 3.2 years, respectively) with a shorter follow-up, while it became higher for the lowest quartile of HbA1c (aHR 0.986, 1.068, and 1.439 for a follow-up of 8.9, 6.5, and 3.2 years, respectively). Accordingly, for both decedents with and without diabetes, an initial increase in HbA1c was followed by an accelerating terminal decline starting 5-6 years before death.

Conclusions and implications

The time-varying association between HbA1c and mortality mapped to the terminal trajectory in HbA1c. High and low HbA1c may have different clinical relationships with mortality. The HbA1c paradox may be partially explained by reverse causation, namely, early manifestation of death.

Mortality differentials by previous diagnosis of diabetes and glycemic status in the United States

AIMS

This study examines mortality differences associated with current glycemic status in mortality by current glycemic status among adults with a previously diagnosed diabetes. Using previous clinical diagnosis of diabetes (diagnosed diabetes) and laboratory measures of hemoglobin A1c (HbA1c) measured at baseline, we estimated mortality differentials simultaneously by diagnosed diabetes and baseline glycemic status in the United States.

METHODS

Data were from 39,491 adults aged 30-84 years assessed in the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) III and continuous NHANES 1999-2014 linked to mortality data. We categorized participants into four mutually exclusive groups based on diagnosed diabetes and glycemic control measured by HbA1c ≥6.5 % at baseline. Relative hazard ratio (HR) of all-cause death among these four groups were estimated using Cox proportional models.

RESULTS

There was no significant difference in mortality by glycemic control status among adults with diagnosed diabetes. The same finding was observed among adults without diagnosed diabetes. Adults with diagnosed diabetes had higher mortality than adults without diagnosed diabetes independent of their baseline glycemic control.

CONCLUSIONS

Once diagnosed with diabetes, US adults with normal- and hyper-glycemia showed no significant difference in all-cause mortality. This finding emphasizes the importance of primary prevention interventions among adults with a sign of early-stage diabetes.

Low mean HbA1c does not increase all-cause and cardiovascular mortality in patients with diabetes: Effect-modifications by anemia and chronic kidney disease stages

Background

Previous studies reported that low levels of glycated hemoglobin A1c (HbA1c) were associated with increased mortality. We investigated rates and risks of all-cause and cardiovascular mortality in association with mean HbA1c levels with stratification of anemia and chronic kidney disease (CKD) stages, major causes of low HbA1c.

Methods

47,145 patients with prescription of antidiabetic agents >6 months in the outpatient visits (2003–2018) were linked to Taiwan’s National Death Registry to identify all-cause and cardiovascular mortality. Poisson assumption was used to estimate the mortality rates, and the Cox proportional hazard regression model was used to evaluate the relative hazards of respective mortality in relation to mean HbA1c in different statuses of anemia and CKD stages.

Results

All-cause and cardiovascular mortality rates were the lowest in non-anemic stages 1–2 CKD patients, and the highest in anemic stages 3–5 CKD patients. In stages 1–2 CKD, excessive HRs observed in those with mean HbA1c <6.0% (Hazard Ratio [HR]) 1.58; 95% Confidence Interval [CI] 1.18–2.12) became inconsequential after adjustment of medications and laboratory results (HR: 1.26; 95% CI 0.89–1.79). The similar patterns were observed in anemic stages 1–2 CKD, anemic or non-anemic stages 3–5 CKD. Low HbA1c was not related to cardiovascular mortality in any anemia status or CKD staging.

Conclusions

Higher risks associated with low mean HbA1c and all-cause mortality were attenuated by adjustment of medications and comorbidities. It is imperative for the diabetologists to consider confounding effects of underlying illness before concluding low HbA1c associated higher mortality.

Glycated Albumin and Risk of Mortality in the US Adult Population

BACKGROUND

Glycated albumin is of growing interest as an alternative biomarker of glycemia. However, the association of glycated albumin with long-term outcomes in the general population is uncharacterized. We evaluated the associations of glycated albumin and hemoglobin A1c (HbA1c) with mortality in US adults.

METHODS

We conducted a prospective analysis of 12 915 participants in the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey 1999-2004. We used Cox regression to characterize associations of glycated albumin and HbA1c with all-cause and cardiovascular mortality through 2014. We categorized glycated albumin based on percentiles corresponding to clinical cut-points for HbA1c. No diagnosed diabetes: <5.0% (<12th percentile), 5.0% to 5.6% (12th-82nd percentile, reference), 5.7% to 6.4% (83rd-97th percentile), and ≥6.5% (≥98th percentile). Diagnosed diabetes: <7.0% (<50th percentile), 7.0% to 8.9% (50th-83rd percentile), and ≥9.0% (≥84th percentile).

RESULTS

Among US adults (mean age 46 years), the prevalence of diagnosed diabetes was 6.8%. Glycated albumin and HbA1c were highly correlated (r = 0.76). Over the median 16.8 years follow-up, there were 2818 deaths (652 cardiovascular). Adults with diagnosed diabetes and glycated albumin ≥84th percentile had the highest risk for all-cause mortality [hazard ratio (HR) 3.96, 95% CI 3.06-5.13] and cardiovascular mortality (HR 6.80, 95% CI 4.20-11.03). HbA1c had associations with all-cause and cardiovascular mortality that were similar to those for glycated albumin.

CONCLUSIONS

Among US adults, increased values of glycated albumin and HbA1c were associated with all-cause and cardiovascular mortality, particularly in persons with diagnosed diabetes. Glycated albumin may be a useful alternative test of glycemia.

Association between visit-to-visit variability of glycemic indices and lipid profile and the incidence of coronary heart disease in adults with type 2 diabetes

Coronary heart disease (CHD) is one of the major causes of mortality and morbidity in patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus. In this study, we aimed to assess the association between visit-to-visit variability of fasting blood sugar (FBS), HbA1c, blood sugar 2 h post-prandial (BS2hpp), lipid indices, creatinine, systolic and diastolic blood pressure (SBP, DBP) and incident CHD in patients with type 2 diabetes during a median follow-up of ten years. The current case-cohort study consisted of 1500 individuals with type 2 diabetes, followed up for the occurrence of CHD from 2002 to 2019. The patients had at least four annual follow-ups during which glycemic and lipid profile were measured. Co-efficient of variance (CV) for each parameter was calculated by 10-21 measurements. Cox regression analysis was performed to assess the association between CV of glycemic indices, lipid profile, blood pressure, creatinine, weight and incident CHD during the follow-up period. Hazard ratios (HR) were adjusted for the confounding variables. Glycemic indices variability (i.e., CV-HbA1c, CV-FBS, and CV-BS2hpp), were significantly higher in the group with incident CHD (P=0.034, P=0.042, and P=0.044, respectively). Hazard ratios were 1.42 (95 % CI=1.13-2.09) for CV-HbA1c, 1.37 (95 % CI=1.02-2.10) for CV-FBS, and 1.16 (95 % CI=1.01-1.63) for CV-BS2hpp (P=0.012, P=0.046, P=0.038, respectively). Creatinine was significantly higher in the group with incident CHD (P=0.036) and it was significantly associated with higher incidence of CHD (HR=1.14, 95 % CI=1.02-2.17, P=0.048). Visit to visit variability of glycemic indices of the patients with type 2 diabetes is associated with incident CHD independent of their baseline and mean values.

Low HbA1c levels and all-cause or cardiovascular mortality among people without diabetes: the US National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey 1999-2015

OBJECTIVE

It is unclear whether relatively low glycated haemoglobin (HbA1c) levels are beneficial or harmful for the long-term health outcomes among people without diabetes. We aimed to investigate the association between low HbA1c levels and mortality among the US general population.

METHODS

This study includes a nationally representative sample of 39 453 US adults from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Surveys 1999-2014, linked to mortality data through 2015. We employed the parametric g-formula with pooled logistic regression models and the ensemble machine learning algorithms to estimate the time-varying risk of all-cause and cardiovascular mortality by HbA1c categories (low, 4.0 to <5.0%; mid-level, 5.0 to <5.7%; prediabetes, 5.7 to <6.5%; and diabetes, ≥6.5% or taking antidiabetic medication), adjusting for 72 potential confounders including demographic characteristics, lifestyle, biomarkers, comorbidities and medications.

RESULTS

Over a median follow-up of 7.5 years, 5118 (13%) all-cause deaths, and 1116 (3%) cardiovascular deaths were observed. Logistic regression models and machine learning algorithms showed nearly identical predictive performance of death and risk estimates. Compared with mid-level HbA1c, low HbA1c was associated with a 30% (95% CI, 16 to 48) and a 12% (95% CI, 3 to 22) increased risk of all-cause mortality at 5 years and 10 years of follow-up, respectively. We found no evidence that low HbA1c levels were associated with cardiovascular mortality risk. The diabetes group, but not the prediabetes group, also showed an increased risk of all-cause mortality.

CONCLUSIONS

Using the US national database and adjusting for an extensive set of potential confounders with flexible modelling, we found that adults with low HbA1c were at increased risk of all-cause mortality. Further evaluation and careful monitoring of low HbA1c levels need to be considered.

Association between time in range and cancer mortality among patients with type 2 diabetes: a prospective cohort study

Background:

Little was known about the association among time in range (TIR), time above range (TAR), time below range (TBR), and cancer mortality among patients with type 2 diabetes. We aimed to investigate the association among TIR, TAR, TBR, and the risk of cancer mortality among patients with type 2 diabetes.

Methods:

A total of 6225 patients with type 2 diabetes were prospectively recruited in Shanghai, China. TIR was measured with continuous glucose monitoring at baseline and was defined as the average percentage of time in the target glucose range during a 24 h period. Cox proportion hazard regression analysis was used to determine the association between TIR and the risk of cancer mortality.

Results:

During a mean follow-up of 7.10 years, we confirmed 237 death events related to cancer. The multivariable-adjusted hazard ratio (HR) for cancer mortality was 1.32 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.01–1.75) in patients with TIR ≤70% compared with those with TIR >70%. When TIR was considered as a continuous variable, the multivariable-adjusted HR for cancer mortality associated with each 10% decrease in TIR was 1.07 (95% CI: 1.02–1.14). In the site-specific analysis, a significant association between TIR as a continuous variable and the risk of hepatocellular cancer was found (HR: 1.24; 95% CI: 1.09–1.41). However, no relationship between hemoglobin A1c and cancer mortality was observed (HR: 1.04; 95% CI: 0.97–1.10).

Conclusions:

The present study found an inverse association of TIR with the risk of cancer mortality among patients with type 2 diabetes. New evidence of TIR was added into the clinical practice that TIR may be an optimal target of glycemic control among patients with type 2 diabetes.

The protective effect of hydrogen-rich water on rats with type 2 diabetes mellitus

The hydrogen-rich water (HW) has been reported to possess a beneficial role in patients with diabetes. However, a systemic evaluation with an appropriate animal model is necessary to reveal its mechanisms and efficacy. Herein, the protective effects of drinking HW on lipid and glucose metabolism, oxidative stress, and inflammation in type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) rats were investigated. The well-modeled T2DM rats (induced by high-fat diet combined with low-dose streptozotocin (STZ) injection) were divided into two groups (n ≥ 15 of each): fed a high-fat diet and drinking distilled water or HW at a constant concentration above 1.0 ppm; normal rats were used as control group (n ≥ 10): fed a regular diet and drinking distilled water. Several biomarkers of lipid and glucose metabolism, oxidative stress ,and inflammation were evaluated after drinking distilled water or HW for 3 weeks. The effect of HW on liver, kidney, and spleen of T2DM rats was also analyzed by HE and Oil Red O staining. The results showed that drinking HW suppressed the increase in glucose, total cholesterol, oxidative stress, and inflammation. Moreover, HW also ameliorates hyperglycemia-induced liver, kidney, and spleen dysfunction. Overall, this study indicates that patients with T2DM may be able to improve their condition by supplementing HW as daily drinking water.

Glycaemic markers and all-cause mortality in older adults with and without diabetes: the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) study

AIMS/HYPOTHESIS

There is controversy regarding the performance of HbA1c in old age. We evaluated the prognostic value of HbA1c and other glycaemic markers (fructosamine, glycated albumin, fasting glucose) with mortality risk in older adults (66-90 years).

METHODS

This was a prospective analysis of 5636 participants (31% with diagnosed diabetes, mean age 76, 58% female, 21% black) in the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) study, baseline 2011-2013. We used Cox regression to examine associations of glycaemic markers (modelled in categories) with mortality risk, stratified by diagnosed diabetes status.

RESULTS

During a median of 6 years of follow-up, 983 deaths occurred. Among older adults with diabetes, 30% had low HbA1c (<42 mmol/mol [<6.0%]) and 10% had high HbA1c (≥64 mmol/mol [≥8.0%]); low (HR 1.32 [95% CI 1.04, 1.68]) and high (HR 1.86 [95% CI 1.32, 2.62]) HbA1c were associated with mortality risk vs HbA1c 42-52 mmol/mol (6.0-6.9%) after demographic adjustment. Low fructosamine and glycated albumin were not associated with mortality risk. Both low and high fasting glucose were associated with mortality risk. After further adjustment for lifestyle and clinical risk factors, high HbA1c (HR 1.81 [95% CI 1.28, 2.56]), fructosamine (HR 1.96 [95% CI 1.43-2.69]), glycated albumin (HR 1.81 [95% CI 1.33-2.47]) and fasting glucose (HR 1.81 [95% CI 1.24, 2.66]) were associated with mortality risk. Low HbA1c and fasting glucose were no longer significantly associated with mortality risk. Among participants without diabetes, associations of glycaemic markers with mortality risk were less robust.

CONCLUSIONS/INTERPRETATION

Elevated HbA1c, fructosamine, glycated albumin and fasting glucose were associated with risk of mortality in older adults with diabetes. Low HbA1c and fasting glucose may be markers of poor prognosis but are possibly confounded by health status. Our findings support the clinical use of HbA1c in older adults with diabetes. Graphical abstract.

Use of Traditional Chinese Medicine May Delay the Need for Insulin Treatment in Patients with Type 2 Diabetes: A Population-Based Cohort Study

Objectives: Traditional Chinese medicine (TCM) has been shown to reduce insulin resistance and improve beta cell function in previous studies. The aim of this study was to assess whether the use of TCM can delay the need for insulin therapy in patients with type 2 diabetes. Design: Data on patients with type 2 diabetes who received medical treatment for the first time between 2000 and 2003 were obtained from National Health Insurance Research Database (NHIRD) in Taiwan. Among these patients, those with a cumulative use of TCM of more than 28 days were defined as TCM users, and the others as non-users. Kaplan-Meier analysis was used to evaluate the cumulative risk of initiating insulin therapy. Cox proportional hazards models with and without competing risk events were used to evaluate the association between the use of TCM and insulin therapy. Settings/Location: Data were obtained from National Health Insurance Research Database (NHIRD) in Taiwan. Subjects: Patients with type 2 diabetes who received medical treatment for the first time between 2000 and 2003. Interventions: Among these patients, those with a cumulative use of TCM of more than 28 days were defined as TCM users, and the others as non-users. Outcome measures: After 1:1 propensity score matching, both groups were tracked until the initiation of insulin therapy, death, or the end of 2013. Results: We identified 6524 TCM users and 6524 non-users. The TCM users had a significantly lower risk of insulin initiation in a dose-dependent manner (log-rank test p < 0.001). This effect was consistent across subgroups with different severities of diabetes, and remained significant in competing risk analysis (for TCM users with 28 to 83 days cumulative use, HR 0.78 [0.70-0.87], p < 0.0001; for TCM users with ≥ 84 days cumulative use, HR 0.47 [0.42-0.53], p < 0.0001). Conclusions: The use of TCM in addition to standard diabetes treatment may delay the need for insulin treatment in patients who received medical treatment for type 2 diabetes for the first time. This benefit was strongly dose-dependent and applicable in patients with different severities of diabetes.

Evaluating the impact of an international short-term medical mission through diabetic glycemic control

BACKGROUND

This prospective observational study evaluated the impact of a primary care-based, international, short-term medical mission's (STMM) impact on diabetes disease burden as represented through reductions in hemoglobin A1C (HbA1c).

METHODS

From November 2016 to May 2017, we tracked the HbA1c's of diabetic individuals in Dajabon, Dominican Republic through care provided by Waves of Health (WOH). Participants were provided counseling, glucose monitoring equipment, a 6-month supply of anti-diabetic medications, and received a 'check-in' phone call at 3 months. HbA1c's were re-measured at 6-month follow up. We hypothesized WOH diabetic care would have a modest impact of reducing mean HbA1c by 0.5%.

RESULTS

In total, 75% (n = 76) of 101 participants presented for follow-up care. Mean and median HbA1c decreased from 8.71 (SD 2.0) and 8.5% to 8.36 (SD 2.1) and 7.7%, respectively (P = 0.07). The percentage of individuals with HbA1c ≤7.5 increased by 10.4% at follow-up. The mean HbA1c decrease was 1.1%.

CONCLUSIONS

Though limited by sample size, our results suggest that medical STMM's may have a clinically meaningful impact in chronic disease management when utilizing a systematic combination of education, medical therapy, clearly documented medication instructions and regular trip intervals.

BARI 2D: A Reanalysis Focusing on Cardiovascular Events

OBJECTIVE

To reanalyze the Bypass Angioplasty Revascularization Investigation 2 Diabetes trial using a new composite cardiovascular disease (CVD) outcome to determine how best to treat patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus and stable coronary artery disease.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

From January 1, 2001, to November 30, 2008, 2368 patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus and angiographically proven coronary artery disease were randomly assigned to insulin-sensitizing (IS) or insulin-providing (IP) therapy and simultaneously to coronary revascularization (REV) or no or delayed REV (intensive medical therapy [MED]), with all patients receiving intensive medical treatment. The outcome of this analysis was a composite of 8 CVD events.

RESULTS

Four-year Kaplan-Meier rates for the composite CVD outcome were 35.8% (95% CI, 33.1%-38.5%) with IS therapy and 41.6% (95% CI, 38.7%-44.5%) with IP therapy (P=.004). Much of this difference was associated with lower in-trial levels of fibrinogen, C-reactive protein, and hemoglobin A1c with IS therapy. Four-year composite CVD rates were 32.7% (95% CI, 30.0%-35.4%) with REV and 44.7% (95% CI, 41.8%-47.6%) with MED (P<.001). A beneficial effect of IS vs IP therapy was present with REV (27.7%; 95% CI, 24.0%-31.4% vs 37.5%; 95% CI, 33.6%-41.4%; P<.001), but not with MED (43.6%; 95% CI, 39.5%-47.7% vs 45.7%; 95% CI, 41.6%-49.8%; P=.37) (homogeneity, P=.05). This interaction between IS therapy and REV was limited to participants preselected for coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG). The lowest composite CVD rates occurred in patients preselected for CABG and assigned to IS therapy and REV (17.3%; 95% CI, 11.8%-22.8%).

CONCLUSION

In the Bypass Angioplasty Revascularization Investigation 2 Diabetes trial, the IS treatment strategy and the REV treatment strategy each reduces cardiovascular events. The combination of IS drugs and CABG results in the lowest risk of subsequent CVD events.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

clinicaltrials.gov Identifier: NCT00006305.

Glycated Hemoglobin as a Predictor of the Length of Hospital Stay in Patients Following Coronary Bypass Graft Surgery in the Saudi Population

Objective

The diabetic population has a high prevalence of coronary artery disease, and frequently patients with diabetes undergo coronary artery bypass graft (CABG) surgery. Elevated glycated hemoglobin (HbA1c) in diabetics is shown to be associated with morbidity and mortality, but the association of HbA1c with postoperative length of hospital stay (LOS) has conflicting results. In this study, we aim to identify if elevated HbA1c levels are associated with prolonged LOS after CABG surgery.

Methods

A retrospective chart review study was performed, using a total of 305 patients who were referred for CABG surgery. HbA1c levels were measured before the day of surgery. Patients were classified into two groups according to HbA1c levels: <7% and ≥7%. A LOS of more than 14 days was proposed as an extended LOS. HbA1c and the LOS relationship were assessed using appropriate statistical methods.

Results

Patients who had diabetes mellitus comprised 81.6% of our studied population. Sixty-four percent had HbA1c levels ≥ 7%. There was no significant difference in the total LOS in HbA1c <7% compared to HbA1c ≥7% patients (P=0.367).

Conclusion

Our study results rejected the proposed hypothesis that elevated HbA1c levels ≥7% would be associated with prolonged hospital stay following CABG surgery in a Saudi population.

Visit-to-Visit Variability of Hemoglobin A1c in People Without Diabetes and Risk of Major Adverse Cardiovascular Events and All-Cause Mortality

OBJECTIVE

We aimed to study whether visit-to-visit variability of glycated hemoglobin A_1c (HbA_1c) is associated with incident major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE), all-cause mortality, and type 2 diabetes in people without diabetes.

RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS

We included primary care patients with no history of diabetes or cardiovascular disease and with three annual HbA_1c measurements within normal range (<6.5% [48 mmol/mol]). For each individual, we measured the HbA_1c variability as the SD of the residuals obtained from a linear regression on the three HbA_1c measurements. From the linear regression, we also obtained the estimated index HbA_1c (intercept) and the trend over time (slope). Follow-up began at the date of the third measurement. Associations between HbA_1c variability and outcome were analyzed using Cox regression, adjusted for traditional risk factors, intercept, and trend and reported as hazard ratio per SD increase in variability (HR_SD).

RESULTS

In total, 6,756 individuals were included. During a median follow-up time of 6.3 years, 996 developed MACE, 856 died, and 1,267 developed type 2 diabetes. We found a significant association between increasing HbA_1c variability and incident MACE (HR_SD 1.09 [95% CI 1.03-1.15]) and all-cause mortality (HR_SD 1.13 [95% CI 1.07-1.20]), whereas there were no associations with type 2 diabetes (HR_SD 1.00 [95% CI 0.95-1.05]). We calculated 5-year absolute risks of MACE and all-cause mortality and found clinically relevant differences across several age, sex, comorbidity, and HbA_1c variability-defined subgroups.

CONCLUSIONS

In a primary care population free of diabetes and cardiovascular disease, high HbA_1c variability was associated with increased risks of MACE and all-cause mortality.

Using Indirect Measures to Identify Geographic Hot Spots of Poor Glycemic Control: Cross-sectional Comparisons With an A1C Registry

OBJECTIVE

Focusing health interventions in places with suboptimal glycemic control can help direct resources to neighborhoods with poor diabetes-related outcomes, but finding these areas can be difficult. Our objective was to use indirect measures versus a gold standard, population-based A1C registry to identify areas of poor glycemic control.

RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS

Census tracts in New York City (NYC) were characterized by race, ethnicity, income, poverty, education, diabetes-related emergency visits, inpatient hospitalizations, and proportion of adults with diabetes having poor glycemic control, based on A1C >9.0% (75 mmol/mol). Hot spot analyses were then performed, using the Getis-Ord Gi* statistic for all measures. We then calculated the sensitivity, specificity, positive and negative predictive values, and accuracy of using the indirect measures to identify hot spots of poor glycemic control found using the NYC A1C Registry data.

RESULTS

Using A1C Registry data, we identified hot spots in 42.8% of 2,085 NYC census tracts analyzed. Hot spots of diabetes-specific inpatient hospitalizations, diabetes-specific emergency visits, and age-adjusted diabetes prevalence estimated from emergency department data, respectively, had 88.9%, 89.6%, and 89.5% accuracy for identifying the same hot spots of poor glycemic control found using A1C Registry data. No other indirect measure tested had accuracy >80% except for the proportion of minority residents, which had 86.2% accuracy.

CONCLUSIONS

Compared with demographic and socioeconomic factors, health care utilization measures more accurately identified hot spots of poor glycemic control. In places without a population-based A1C registry, mapping diabetes-specific health care utilization may provide actionable evidence for targeting health interventions in areas with the highest burden of uncontrolled diabetes.

Mortality associated with less intense risk-factor control among adults with diabetes in the United States

AIMS

Determine the mortality experience among adults with diabetes in meeting and not meeting less intense control for glycated hemoglobin (HbA1c), blood pressure (BP), and cholesterol.

METHODS

National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey 1999-2010 participants with self-report of diagnosed diabetes (N=3335), measured HbA1c, BP and non-HDL cholesterol were linked to the National Death Index through December 31, 2011. Proportional hazards models were used to estimate hazard ratios (HR) of meeting HbA1c<9% and BP<160/110, and non-HDL cholesterol<190mg/dL. Models used age as the time scale and adjusted for demographics (sex, race/ethnicity, education), diabetes duration, history of cardiovascular and chronic kidney disease, and treatments for elevated glucose, BP, and cholesterol.

RESULTS

Over a mean 5.4 person-years of follow-up, participants meeting all less intense control had a 37% lower mortality (HR=0.63, 95% CI 0.54, 0.74) relative to those who did not meet the goals. Of approximately 306,000 deaths per year that occur among Americans with diabetes, we estimate 39,400 might have been averted by improving the care of those who have not met these less intense control goals.

CONCLUSIONS

Meeting the less intense control goals is associated with 37% reduction in mortality and could lead to 39,400 fewer deaths per year.

Effectiveness of plant-based diets in promoting well-being in the management of type 2 diabetes: a systematic review

Diet interventions have suggested an association between plant-based diets and improvements in psychological well-being, quality of life and glycated hemoglobin (HbA1c) control in populations with diabetes. The aims of this review are to systematically analyze the available literature on plant-based diet interventions targeting diabetes in adults and to clearly define the benefits on well-being of such interventions. This is a systematic review of controlled trials. A computerized systematic literature search was conducted in the following electronic databases: Allied and Complementary Medicine, Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials, Cumulative Index to Nursing and Allied Health Literature, E-Journals, Excerpta Medica Database, MEDLINE, Health Management Information Consortium, PsycARTICLES, PsycINFO, PubMed, SocINDEX and Web of Science. The search strategy retrieved 1240 articles, of which 11 met the inclusion criteria (n=433; mean sample age 54.8 years). Plant-based diets were associated with significant improvement in emotional well-being, physical well-being, depression, quality of life, general health, HbA1c levels, weight, total cholesterol and low-density lipoprotein cholesterol, compared with several diabetic associations' official guidelines and other comparator diets. Plant-based diets can significantly improve psychological health, quality of life, HbA1c levels and weight and therefore the management of diabetes.

Diabetes Research and Care Through the Ages

As has been well established, the Diabetes Care journal's most visible signature event is the Diabetes Care Symposium held each year during the American Diabetes Association's Scientific Sessions. Held this past year on 10 June 2017 in San Diego, California, at the 77th Scientific Sessions, this event has become one of the most attended sessions during the Scientific Sessions. Each year, in order to continue to have the symposium generate interest, we revise the format and content of this event. For this past year, our 6th annual symposium, I felt it was time to provide a comprehensive overview of our efforts in diabetes care to determine, first and foremost, how we arrived at our current state of management. I also felt the narrative needed to include the current status of management, especially with a focus toward cardiovascular disease, and finally, we wanted to ask what the future holds. Toward this goal, I asked four of the most noted experts in the world to provide their opinion on this topic. The symposium started with a very thoughtful presentation by Dr. Jay Skyler entitled "A Look Back as to How We Got Here." That was followed by two lectures on current concepts by Dr. Bernard Zinman entitled "Current Treatment Paradigms Today-How Well Are We Doing?" and by Dr. Matthew Riddle entitled "Evolving Concepts and Future Directions for Cardiovascular Outcomes Trials." The final lecture for the symposium was delivered by Dr. Ele Ferrannini and was entitled "What Does the Future Hold?" As always, a well-attended and well-received symposium is now the norm for our signature event and our efforts were rewarded by the enthusiasm of the attendees. This narrative summarizes the lectures held at the symposium.-William T. CefaluChief Scientific, Medical & Mission Officer, American Diabetes Association.

All-Cause and Specific-Cause Mortality Risk After Roux-en-Y Gastric Bypass in Patients With and Without Diabetes

OBJECTIVE

This study assessed all-cause and specific-cause mortality after Roux-en-Y gastric bypass (RYGB) and in matched control subjects, stratified by diabetes status.

RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS

RYGB patients were matched by age, BMI, sex, and diabetes status at time of surgery to nonsurgical control subjects using data from the electronic health record. Kaplan-Meier curves and Cox regression were used to assess differences in all-cause and specific-cause mortality between RYGB patients and control subjects with and without diabetes.

RESULTS

Of the 3,242 eligible RYGB patients enrolled from January 2004 to December 2015, control subjects were identified for 2,428 (n = 625 with diabetes and n = 1,803 without diabetes). Median postoperative follow-up was 5.8 years for patients with diabetes and 6.7 years for patients without diabetes. All-cause mortality was reduced in RYGB patients compared with control subjects only for those with diabetes at the time of surgery (adjusted hazard ratio 0.44; P < 0.0001). Mortality was not significantly improved in RYGB patients without diabetes compared with control subjects without diabetes (adjusted hazard ratio 0.84; P = 0.37). Deaths from cardiovascular diseases (P = 0.011), respiratory conditions (P = 0.017), and diabetes P = 0.011) were more frequent in control subjects with diabetes than in RYGB patients with diabetes. RYGB patients without diabetes were less likely to die of cancer (P = 0.0038) and respiratory diseases (P = 0.046) than control subjects without diabetes but were at higher risk of death from external causes (P = 0.012), including intentional self-harm (P = 0.025), than control subjects without diabetes.

CONCLUSIONS

All-cause mortality benefits of RYGB are driven predominantly by patients with diabetes at the time of surgery. RYGB patients with diabetes were less likely to die of cardiovascular diseases, diabetes, and respiratory conditions than their counterparts without RYGB.

Hemoglobin A1c and Mortality in Older Adults With and Without Diabetes: Results From the National Health and Nutrition Examination Surveys (1988-2011)

OBJECTIVE

Hemoglobin A1c (HbA1c) level has been associated with increased mortality in middle-aged populations. The optimal intensity of glucose control in older adults with diabetes remains uncertain. We sought to estimate the risk of mortality by HbA1c levels among older adults with and without diabetes.

RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS

We analyzed data from adults aged ≥65 years (n = 7,333) from the Third National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES III) (1998-1994) and Continuous NHANES (1999-2004) and their linked mortality data (through December 2011). Cox proportional hazards models were used to examine the relationship of HbA1c with the risk of all-cause and cause-specific (cardiovascular disease [CVD], cancer, and non-CVD/noncancer) mortality, separately for adults with diabetes and without diabetes.

RESULTS

Over a median follow-up of 8.9 years, 4,729 participants died (1,262 from CVD, 850 from cancer, and 2,617 from non-CVD/noncancer causes). Compared with those with diagnosed diabetes and an HbA1c <6.5%, the hazard ratio (HR) for all-cause mortality was significantly greater for adults with diabetes with an HbA1c >8.0%. HRs were 1.6 (95% CI 1.02, 2.6) and 1.8 (95% CI 1.3, 2.6) for HbA1c 8.0-8.9% and ≥9.0%, respectively (P for trend <0.001). Participants with undiagnosed diabetes and HbA1c >6.5% had a 1.3 (95% CI 1.03, 1.8) times greater risk of all-cause mortality compared with participants without diabetes and HbA1c 5.0-5.6%.

CONCLUSIONS

An HbA1c >8.0% was associated with increased risk of all-cause and cause-specific mortality in older adults with diabetes. Our results support the idea that better glycemic control is important for reducing mortality; however, in light of the conflicting evidence base, there is also a need for individualized glycemic targets for older adults with diabetes depending on their demographics, duration of diabetes, and existing comorbidities.

Glycated Hemoglobin Levels in Patients with Decompensated Cirrhosis

Introduction. Aim of this study is to determine if HbA1c levels are a reliable predictor of glycemic control in patients with decompensated cirrhosis. Methods. 200 unique patients referred for liver transplantation at University of Tennessee/Methodist University Transplant Institute with a HbA1c result were included. Three glucose levels prior to the "measured" A1c (MA1c) were input into an HbA1c calculator from the American Diabetes Association website to determine the "calculated" A1c (CA1c). The differences between MA1c and CA1c levels were computed. Patients were divided into three groups: group A, difference of <0.5; group B, 0.51-1.5; and group C, >1.5. Results. 97 (49%) patients had hemoglobin A1c of less than 5%. Discordance between calculated and measured HbA1c of >0.5% was seen in 47% (n = 94). Higher level of discordance of greater than >1.5 was in 12% of patients (n = 24). Hemoglobin was an independent predictor for higher discordance (odds ratio 0.77 95%, CI 0.60-0.99, and p value 0.04). HbA1c was an independent predictor of occurrence of HCC (OR 2.69 955, CI 1.38-5.43, and p value 0.008). Conclusion. HbA1c is not a reliable predictor of glycemic control in patients with decompensated cirrhosis, especially in those with severe anemia.

Distribution of Glycated Haemoglobin According to Early-Life and Contemporary Characteristics in Adolescents and Adults without Diabetes: The 1982 and 1993 Pelotas Birth Cohorts

Aim

Glycated haemoglobin (HbA_1c), a marker of glucose control in individuals with diabetes mellitus, is also related with the incidence of cardiometabolic risk in populations free of disease. The aim of this study was to describe the distribution of HbA_1c levels according to early-life and contemporary factors in adolescents and adults without diabetes mellitus.

Methods

HbA_1c was measured in adults aged 30 years and adolescents aged 18 years who are participants in the 1982 and 1993 Pelotas Birth Cohorts, respectively. Bivariate and multivariate analyses were performed to describe the HbA_1c mean values according to early-life and contemporary characteristics collected prospectively since birth.

Results

The distribution of the HbA_1c was approximately normal in both cohorts, with a mean (SD) 5.10% (0.43) in the 1982 cohort, and 4.89% (0.50) in the 1993 cohort. HbA_1c mean levels were significantly higher in individuals self-reported as black/brown skin color compared to those self-reported as white in both cohorts. Parental history of diabetes was associated with higher HbA_1c mean in adults, while stunting at one year old presented an inverse relation with the outcome in adolescents. No other early and contemporary factors were associated with HbA_1c levels in adults or adolescents.

Conclusions

We found a consistent relationship between HbA_1c and skin color in both cohorts. Further research is needed to understand the role of genomic ancestry on levels of HbA_1c concentrations which may inform policies and preventive actions for diabetes mellitus and cardiometabolic risk.

Are There Clinical Implications of Racial Differences in HbA1c? A Difference, to Be a Difference, Must Make a Difference

Studies that have compared HbA1c levels by race have consistently demonstrated higher HbA1c levels in African Americans than in whites. These racial differences in HbA1c have not been explained by measured differences in glycemia, sociodemographic factors, clinical factors, access to care, or quality of care. Recently, a number of nonglycemic factors and several genetic polymorphisms that operate through nonglycemic mechanisms have been associated with HbA1c Their distributions across racial groups and their impact on hemoglobin glycation need to be systematically explored. Thus, on the basis of evidence for racial differences in HbA1c, current clinical guidelines from the American Diabetes Association state: "It is important to take…race/ethnicity…into consideration when using the A1C to diagnose diabetes." However, it is not clear from the guidelines how this recommendation might be actualized. So, the critical question is not whether racial differences in HbA1c exist between African Americans and whites; the important question is whether the observed differences in HbA1c level are clinically meaningful. Therefore, given the current controversy, we provide a Point-Counterpoint debate on this issue. In the preceding point narrative, Dr. Herman provides his argument that the failure to acknowledge that HbA1c might be a biased measure of average glycemia and an unwillingness to rigorously investigate this hypothesis will slow scientific progress and has the potential to do great harm. In the counterpoint narrative below, Dr. Selvin argues that there is no compelling evidence for racial differences in the validity of HbA1c as a measure of hyperglycemia and that race is a poor surrogate for differences in underlying causes of disease risk.-William T. CefaluEditor in Chief, Diabetes Care.

Relationship between HbA1c and cancer in people with or without diabetes: a systematic review

AIM

To identify the relationship between HbA1c and cancers in people with or without diabetes.

BACKGROUND

Cancer is a major public health problem, accounting for 8.2 million deaths worldwide in 2012. HbA1c level has been associated with the risk of developing certain cancers, although the existing evidence is conflicting.

METHODS

EMBASE, MEDLINE, CINAHL and the Cochrane Library were searched. Eligible articles included randomized controlled trials, cohort studies, case-control studies, systematic reviews and meta-analyses. Participants of either sex, with or without Type 1 or 2 diabetes, were included. The studies were assessed using the Scottish Intercollegiate Guidelines Network (SIGN) criteria by two independent assessors. No meta-analysis was performed because of the heterogeneity of results.

RESULTS

A total of 19 studies from 1006 met the inclusion criteria, of which 14 were cohort studies and five were nested case-control studies. Eight studies investigated outcomes for all cancer sites. Four of these studies reported that higher HbA1c levels were associated with higher incidence and/or mortality risk for all cancers. One study observed a U-shaped relationship between HbA1c and cancer incidence and mortality. Increasing HbA1c levels were associated with increasing risk of developing colorectal, pancreatic, respiratory and female genital tract cancers. No increased risk was observed for breast cancer, gastrointestinal or urological malignancies.

CONCLUSION

HbA1c appears to be associated with cancer incidence and/or cancer mortality, but further studies are needed to fully understand the complex relationship between HbA1c and cancer.

HbA1c and Risks of All-Cause and Cause-Specific Death in Subjects without Known Diabetes: A Dose-Response Meta-Analysis of Prospective Cohort Studies

Whether HbA_1c levels are associated with mortality in subjects without known diabetes remains controversial. Moreover, the shape of the dose–response relationship on this topic is unclear. Therefore, a dose–response meta-analysis was conducted. PubMed and EMBASE were searched. Summary hazard ratios (HRs) were calculated using a random-effects model. Twelve studies were included. The summary HR per 1% increase in HbA_1c level was 1.03 [95% confidence interval (CI) = 1.01–1.04] for all-cause mortality, 1.05 [95% CI = 1.02–1.07) for cardiovascular disease (CVD) mortality, and 1.02 (95% CI = 0.99–1.07) for cancer mortality. After excluding subjects with undiagnosed diabetes, the aforementioned associations remained significant for CVD mortality only. After further excluding subjects with prediabetes, all aforementioned associations presented non-significance. Evidence of a non-linear association between HbA_1c and mortality from all causes, CVD and cancer was found (all P_{non-linearity} < 0.05). The dose–response curves were relatively flat for HbA_1c less than around 5.7%, and rose steeply thereafter. In conclusion, higher HbA_1c level is associated with increased mortality from all causes and CVD among subjects without known diabetes. However, this association is driven by those with undiagnosed diabetes or prediabetes. The results regarding cancer mortality should be treated with caution due to limited studies.

HbA1c levels in non-diabetic older adults - No J-shaped associations with primary cardiovascular events, cardiovascular and all-cause mortality after adjustment for confounders in a meta-analysis of individual participant data from six cohort studies

BACKGROUND

To determine the shape of the associations of HbA1c with mortality and cardiovascular outcomes in non-diabetic individuals and explore potential explanations.

METHODS

The associations of HbA1c with all-cause mortality, cardiovascular mortality and primary cardiovascular events (myocardial infarction or stroke) were assessed in non-diabetic subjects ≥50 years from six population-based cohort studies from Europe and the USA and meta-analyzed. Very low, low, intermediate and increased HbA1c were defined as <5.0, 5.0 to <5.5, 5.5 to <6.0 and 6.0 to <6.5% (equals <31, 31 to <37, 37 to <42 and 42 to <48 mmol/mol), respectively, and low HbA1c was used as reference in Cox proportional hazards models.

RESULTS

Overall, 6,769 of 28,681 study participants died during a mean follow-up of 10.7 years, of whom 2,648 died of cardiovascular disease. Furthermore, 2,493 experienced a primary cardiovascular event. A linear association with primary cardiovascular events was observed. Adjustment for cardiovascular risk factors explained about 50% of the excess risk and attenuated hazard ratios (95 confidence interval) for increased HbA1c to 1.14 (1.03-1.27), 1.17 (1.00-1.37) and 1.19 (1.04-1.37) for all-cause mortality, cardiovascular mortality and cardiovascular events, respectively. The six cohorts yielded inconsistent results for the association of very low HbA1c levels with the mortality outcomes and the pooled effect estimates were not statistically significant. In one cohort with a pronounced J-shaped association of HbA1c levels with all-cause and cardiovascular mortality (NHANES), the following confounders of the association of very low HbA1c levels with mortality outcomes were identified: race/ethnicity; alcohol consumption; BMI; as well as biomarkers of iron deficiency anemia and liver function. Associations for very low HbA1c levels lost statistical significance in this cohort after adjusting for these confounders.

CONCLUSIONS

A linear association of HbA1c levels with primary cardiovascular events was observed. For cardiovascular and all-cause mortality, the observed small effect sizes at both the lower and upper end of HbA1c distribution do not support the notion of a J-shaped association of HbA1c levels because a certain degree of residual confounding needs to be considered in the interpretation of the results.

Fructosamine and Glycated Albumin and the Risk of Cardiovascular Outcomes and Death

BACKGROUND

Hemoglobin A1c (HbA1c) is the standard measure to monitor glucose control in diabetes mellitus and is a marker of future cardiovascular risk. Fructosamine and glycated albumin are markers of short-term glycemic control, but their associations with cardiovascular outcomes are uncharacterized.

METHODS AND RESULTS

We measured glycated albumin and fructosamine in 11 104 participants with and without diabetes in the community-based Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) Study in 1990 to 1992 (baseline). We evaluated associations of fructosamine and glycated albumin with risk of coronary heart disease, ischemic stroke, heart failure, and mortality. We compared associations with those observed for HbA1c. During two decades of follow-up there were 1096 new cases of coronary heart disease, 605 of ischemic stroke, 1432 of heart failure, and 2860 deaths. Elevated baseline concentrations of fructosamine and glycated albumin were significantly associated with each of the outcomes even after adjustment for traditional cardiovascular risk factors, with especially strong associations in persons with diabetes mellitus. Associations were of similar magnitude to those observed for HbA1c and-as has been previously observed for HbA1c-the associations tended to be J-shaped, with an elevation of risk at the lowest levels of each biomarker.

CONCLUSIONS

The acceptance of new measures of hyperglycemia is partly dependent on establishing their association with long-term outcomes. We found that fructosamine and glycated albumin were associated with vascular outcomes and mortality and that these associations were similar to those observed for HbA1c.

Diagnosed diabetes and premature death among middle-aged Japanese: results from a large-scale population-based cohort study in Japan (JPHC study)

OBJECTIVE

To examine the association between diabetes and premature death for Japanese general people.

DESIGN

Prospective cohort study.

SETTING

The Japan Public Health Center-based prospective study (JPHC study), data collected between 1990 and 2010.

POPULATION

A total of 46,017 men and 53,567 women, aged 40-69 years at the beginning of baseline survey.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

Overall and cause specific mortality. Cox proportional hazards models were used to calculate the HRs of all cause and cause specific mortality associated with diabetes.

RESULTS

The median follow-up period was 17.8 years. During the follow-up period, 8223 men and 4640 women have died. Diabetes was associated with increased risk of death (856 men and 345 women; HR 1.60, (95% CI 1.49 to 1.71) for men and 1.98 (95% CI 1.77 to 2.21) for women). As for the cause of death, diabetes was associated with increased risk of death by circulatory diseases (HR 1.76 (95% CI 1.53 to 2.02) for men and 2.49 (95% CI 2.06 to 3.01) for women) while its association with the risk of cancer death was moderate (HR 1.25 (95% CI 1.11 to 1.42) for men and 1.04 (95% CI 0.82 to 1.32) for women). Diabetes was also associated with increased risk of death for 'non-cancer, non-circulatory system disease' (HR 1.91 (95% CI 1.71 to 2.14) for men and 2.67 (95% CI 2.25 to 3.17) for women).

CONCLUSIONS

Diabetes was associated with increased risk of death, especially the risk of death by circulatory diseases.

Hyperglycemia and chronic liver diseases on risk of hepatocellular carcinoma in Chinese patients with type 2 diabetes--National cohort of Taiwan Diabetes Study

This study examined whether glycated hemoglobin A1C (HbA1C) and chronic liver diseases are associated with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) risk in Type 2 diabetic patients. A retrospective cohort study consisting of 51,705 patients with Type 2 diabetes aged 30 and over enrolled in the National Diabetes Care Management Program before 2004 was used in Cox proportional hazards models. HbA1C was independently associated with HCC incidence, and multivariate-adjusted hazard ratio (HR) of HCC was 1.20 (95% confidence interval, CI: 1.02-1.41) for patients with a level of HbA1c ≥ 9% compared with patients with a level of HbA1c <7% after multivariate adjustment. We observed a significant linear trend in HCC incidence with increasing HbA1c (p for trend = 0.02, HR = 1.07, 95% CI = 1.01-1.12 for every 1% increment in HbA1c). We observed significant HRs of HCC for patients with a level of HbA1c ≥ 9% with alcoholic liver damage, liver cirrhosis, HBV, HCV and any one of chronic liver diseases compared with patients with a level of HbA1c <9% and no counterpart comorbidity in the entire sample (HR = 8.63, 95% CI = 1.41-52.68; HR = 5.02, 95% CI = 3.10-8.12; HR = 2.53, 95% CI = 1.10-5.85; HR = 1.79, 95% CI = 1.01-3.17; and HR = 3.59, 95% CI = 2.56-5.02, respectively). Our results suggest significant joint associations of HbA1c ≥ 9% and chronic liver diseases. Lifestyle or treatment interventions such as maintaining a satisfactory glycemic control and chronic liver diseases may reduce the burden of HCC.

Association between the 8-item Morisky medication adherence scale (MMAS-8) score and glycaemic control among Chinese diabetes patients

Adherence with oral hypoglycaemic agent is crucial to achieve optimal glycaemic control. The 8-item Morisky Medication Adherence Scale (MMAS-8) has been frequently used, yet the association between MMAS-8 score and glycaemic control among Chinese diabetes patients is largely unknown. Two general out-patient clinics were randomly selected in a district with socio-demographic characteristics representative of the entire Hong Kong population. A consecutive sample of adult type-2 diabetes patients currently taking oral hypoglycaemic agents was included. The glycaemic control was reflected by the level of hemoglobin A1c (HbA1c) taken within the previous 6 months. Factors associated with poor glycaemic control (HbA1c ≥ 7.0%) were evaluated by linear regression analysis. From 565 eligible Chinese patients with an average age of 63.2 years (SD 9.7) and male proportion of 46.5%, the average HbA1c was 7.1% (SD 1.1%), and 52.0% had poor glycaemic control. The proportion of poor medication adherence (MMAS-8 ≤ 6) was 32.2%. After controlling for socio-demographics, lifestyle, medication use, and health characteristics, the MMAS-8 score was correlated with better glycaemic control (beta -0.095; 95%CI -0.164 to -0.026, P = .007). The MMAS-8 score had a weak and negative correlation with HbA1c level. The instrument should be applied with caution when predicting glycaemic control in clinical practice.

Diabetes and weight in comparative studies of bariatric surgery vs conventional medical therapy: a systematic review and meta-analysis

We performed a meta-analysis of weight loss and remission of type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) evaluated in randomized controlled trials (RCTs) and observational studies of bariatric surgery vs conventional medical therapy. English articles published through June 10, 2013 that compared bariatric surgery with conventional therapy and included T2DM endpoints with ≥12-month follow-up were systematically reviewed. Body mass index (BMI, in kilogram per square meter), glycated hemoglobin (HbA1C, in degree), and fasting plasma glucose (FPG, in milligram per deciliter) were analyzed by calculating weighted mean differences (WMDs) and pooled standardized mean differences and associated 95 % confidence intervals (95 % CI). Aggregated T2DM remission event data were analyzed by calculating the pooled odds ratio (POR) and 95 % CI. Random effects assumptions were applied throughout; I(2) ≥ 75.0 % was considered indicative of significant heterogeneity. Systematic review identified 512 articles: 47 duplicates were removed, 446 failed inclusion criteria (i.e., n < 10 per arm, animal studies, reviews, case reports, abstracts, and kin studies). Of 19 eligible articles, two not focused on diagnosed T2DM and one with insufficient T2DM data were excluded. In the final 16 included papers, 3,076 patients (mean BMI, 40.9; age, 47.0; 72.0 % female) underwent bariatric surgery; 3,055 (39.4; 48.6, 69.0 %) received conventional or no weight-loss therapy. In bariatric surgery vs conventional therapy groups, the mean 17.3 ± 5.7 month BMI WMD was 8.3 (7.0, 9.6; p < 0.001; I(2) = 91.8), HbA(1C) was 1.1 (0.6, 1.6; p < 0.001; I(2) = 91.9), and FPG, 24.9 (15.9, 33.9; p < 0.001; I(2) = 84.8), with significant differences favoring surgery. The overall T2DM remission rate for surgery vs conventional group was 63.5 vs 15.6 % (p < 0.001). The Peto summary POR was 9.8 (6.1, 15.9); inverse variance summary POR was 15.8 (7.9, 31.4). Of the included studies, 94.0 % demonstrated a significant statistical advantage favoring surgery. In a meta-analysis of 16 studies (5 RCTs) with 6,131 patients and mean 17.3-month follow-up, bariatric surgery was significantly more effective than conventional medical therapy in achieving weight loss, HbA(1C) and FPG reduction, and diabetes remission. The odds of bariatric surgery patients reaching T2DM remission ranged from 9.8 to 15.8 times the odds of patients treated with conventional therapy.

Characteristics associated with maintenance of mean A1C<6.5% in people with dysglycemia in the ORIGIN trial

OBJECTIVE

To assess the success and baseline predictors of maintaining glycemic control for up to 5 years of therapy using basal insulin glargine or standard glycemic care in people with dysglycemia treated with zero or one oral glucose-lowering agents.

RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS

Data from 12,537 participants in the Outcome Reduction with Initial Glargine Intervention (ORIGIN) trial were examined by baseline glycemic status (with or without type 2 diabetes) and by therapeutic approach (titrated insulin glargine or standard therapy) using an intention-to-treat analysis. Median values for fasting plasma glucose (FPG) and A1C and percentages with A1C<6.5% (48 mmol/mol) during randomized treatment were calculated. Factors independently associated with maintaining updated mean A1C<6.5% were analyzed with linear regression models.

RESULTS

Median A1C in the whole population was 6.4% at baseline; at 5 years, it was 6.2% with glargine treatment and 6.5% with standard care. Of those with diabetes at baseline, 60% using glargine and 45% using standard care had A1C<6.5% at 5 years. Lack of diabetes and lower baseline A1C were independently associated with 5-year mean A1C<6.5%. Maintaining mean A1C<6.5% was more likely with glargine (odds ratio [OR] 2.98 [95% CI 2.67-3.32], P<0.001) than standard care after adjustment for other independent predictors.

CONCLUSIONS

Systematic intervention with basal insulin glargine or standard care early in the natural history of dysglycemia can maintain glycemic control near baseline levels for at least 5 years, whether diabetes is present at baseline or not. Keeping mean A1C<6.5% is more likely in people with lower baseline A1C and with the glargine-based regimen.

Cardiometabolic risk factors among US adolescents and young adults and risk of early mortality

OBJECTIVE

To determine the risk of mortality associated with cardiometabolic risk factors in a national sample of adolescents and young adults.

METHODS

Prospective study of participants in the third NHANES (1988-1994), aged 12 to 39 years at the time of the survey (n = 9245). Risk factors included 3 measures of adiposity, glycated hemoglobin (HbA1c) level, cholesterol levels, blood pressure, self-reported smoking status, and cotinine level. Death before age 55 (n = 298) was determined by linkage to the National Death Index through 2006. Proportional hazards models, with age as the time scale, were used to determine the risk of death before age 55 years after adjusting for gender, race/ethnicity, and presence of comorbid conditions.

RESULTS

After adjusting for age, gender, and race/ethnicity, results of categorical analyses showed that current smokers were at 86% greater risk for early death than those classified as never smokers; that those with a waist-to-height ratio >0.65 were at 139% greater risk than those with a WHR <0.5; and that those with an HbA1c level >6.5% were at 281% greater risk than those with an HbA1c level <5.7%. Neither high-density lipoprotein nor non-high-density lipoprotein cholesterol measures were associated with risk for early death.

CONCLUSIONS

Our finding that risk for death before age 55 among US adolescents and young adults was associated with central obesity, smoking, and hyperglycemia supports reducing the prevalence of these risk factors among younger US residents.

Mapping body fat distribution: a key step towards the identification of the vulnerable patient?

Although excess body fat is a significant health hazard, estimation of body fat content with the body mass index may not adequately reflect the amount of atherogenic adipose tissue (AT), i.e. visceral and ectopic fat. As opposed to subcutaneous AT that supposedly acts as a metabolic sink buffering excess dietary energy, visceral or intra-abdominal AT depots respond to several external stimuli that trigger lipolysis and secretion of free fatty acids (FFAs). Reaching the liver, FFAs accumulate in the liver and, over time, promote a chronic condition known as non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD). The liver of the typical NAFLD patient secretes large amounts of very-low-density lipoproteins, the lipid content of which may accumulate in additional organs (skeletal muscle, heart, and pancreas). Here, we review the evidence emerging from functional and population studies that point towards an important role of ectopic fat accumulation in the pathophysiology of type 2 diabetes and cardiovascular disease. We conclude that although patients with impaired glycemic control or type 2 diabetes are at increased cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk, estimating cardiovascular risk goes wellbeyond the assessment of glycemic control and traditional CVD risk factors, and the estimation of visceral/ectopic fat deposition via readily available imaging techniquesshould be considered.

GERODIAB: Glycaemic control and 5-year morbidity/mortality of type 2 diabetic patients aged 70 years and older: 1. Description of the population at inclusion

AIMS

The GERODIAB study is the first French multicentre, prospective, observational study that aims, through a 5-year cohort follow-up, to evaluate the link between glycaemic control and morbidity/mortality of type 2 diabetic (T2D) patients aged 70 years and older. This first report describes the study population at inclusion.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

A total of 987 T2D autonomous patients, aged ≥70 years, were recruited between June 2009 and July 2010 at 56 investigator centres. Their general parameters, diabetes characteristics and standard geriatric parameters were recorded.

RESULTS

The patients' mean age was 77±5 years, with 65.2% aged 75 years or more. The mean BMI was close to 30 kg/m(2). Hypertension was found in 89.7% of patients, and 85.0% had at least one cholesterol abnormality. The mean duration of the diabetes was around 18 years, and the mean HbA(1c) level was about 7.5%. During the previous six months, 33.6% of patients had experienced one or several hypoglycaemias. Also, 26% of patients presented with diabetic retinopathy, 37.3% had a GFR<60 mL/min, 31.2% had coronary insufficiency, 10.1% had heart failure, 15.8% had cerebrovascular involvement and 25.6% had peripheral vascular disease of the lower extremities. In addition, 30.5% of patients had orthostatic hypotension, 12.4% had malnutrition and 28.8% had cognitive impairment, all of which were often diagnosed at inclusion. Three-quarters of patients were taking an oral antidiabetic drug and nearly six in every 10 patients were using insulin.

CONCLUSION

This population can be considered representative of elderly, autonomous T2D patients, and its follow-up should clarify the link between glycaemic control and mortality/morbidity.

Low hemoglobin A(1c) in nondiabetic adults: an elevated risk state?

OBJECTIVE

To identify predictors of low hemoglobin A(1c) (HbA(1c)) (<5.0%) and to investigate the association of low HbA(1c) with cause-specific mortality and risk of liver disease hospitalization.

RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS

Prospective cohort study of 13,288 participants in the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities Study. Logistic regression was used to identify cross-sectional correlates of low HbA(1c), and Cox proportional hazards models were used to estimate the association of low HbA(1c) with cause-specific mortality.

RESULTS

Compared with participants with HbA(1c) in the normal range (5.0 to <5.7%), participants with low HbA(1c) were younger, less likely to smoke, had lower BMI, lower white cell count and fibrinogen levels, and lower prevalence of hypercholesterolemia and history of coronary heart disease. However, this group was more likely to have anemia and had a higher mean corpuscular volume. In adjusted Cox models with HbA(1c) of 5.0 to <5.7% as the reference group, HbA(1c) <5.0% was associated with a significantly increased risk of all-cause mortality (hazard ratio [HR]: 1.32, 95% CI: 1.13-1.55) and of cancer death (1.47, 95% CI: 1.16-1.84). We also noted nonsignificant trends toward increased risk of death from cardiovascular causes (1.27, 95% CI: 0.93-1.75) and respiratory causes (1.42, 95% CI: 0.78-2.56). There was a J-shaped association between HbA(1c) and risk of liver disease hospitalization.

CONCLUSIONS

No single cause of death appeared to drive the association between low HbA(1c) and total mortality. These results add to evidence that low HbA(1c) values may be a generalized marker of mortality risk in the general population.

HbA1c measured in stored erythrocytes is positively linearly associated with mortality in individuals with diabetes mellitus

Introduction

Observational studies have shown that glycated haemoglobin (HbA_1c) is related to mortality, but the shape of the association is less clear. Furthermore, disease duration and medication may modify this association. This observational study explored the association between HbA_1c measured in stored erythrocytes and mortality. Secondly, it was assessed whether disease duration and medication use influenced the estimates or were independently associated with mortality.

Methods

Within the European Prospective Investigation into Cancer and Nutrition a cohort was analysed of 4,345 individuals with a confirmed diagnosis of diabetes at enrolment. HbA_1c was measured in blood samples stored up to 19 years. Multivariable Cox proportional hazard regression models for all-cause mortality investigated HbA_1c in quartiles as well as per 1% increment, diabetes medication in seven categories of insulin and oral hypoglycaemic agents, and disease duration in quartiles.

Results

After a median follow-up of 9.3 years, 460 participants died. Higher HbA_1c was associated with higher mortality: Hazard Ratio for 1%-increase was 1.11 (95% CI 1.06, 1.17). This association was linear (P-nonlinearity =0.15) and persistent across categories of medication use, disease duration, and co-morbidities. Compared with metformin, other medication types were not associated with mortality. Longer disease duration was associated with mortality, but not after adjustment for HbA_1c and medication.

Conclusion

This prospective study showed that persons with lower HbA_1c had better survival than those with higher HbA_1c. The association was linear and independent of disease duration, type of medication use, and presence of co-morbidities. Any improvement of HbA_1c appears to be associated with reduced mortality risk.

Reevaluating goals of insulin therapy: perspectives from large clinical trials

Recent large clinical trials have shown that intensive glycemic control can reduce microvascular complications, but appropriate and safe glycemic goals to improve macrovascular outcomes in patients with type 2 diabetes remain poorly defined. This article surveys recent epidemiologic studies and interventional trials, examines the current understanding of the natural history of type 2 diabetes, and proposes new goals and tactics for optimizing insulin therapy.

Glycated hemoglobin and cancer incidence and mortality in the Atherosclerosis in Communities (ARIC) Study, 1990-2006

Diabetes is a risk factor for many cancers; chronic hyperglycemia is hypothesized to be, in part, explanatory. We evaluated the association between glycated hemoglobin, a time-integrated glycemia measure, and cancer incidence and mortality in nondiabetic and diabetic men and women. We conducted a prospective study of 12,792 cancer-free participants attending the second visit (1990-1992) of the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) Study. We measured glycated hemoglobin in whole-blood samples using HPLC. Incident cancers were ascertained from registries and hospital records through 2006. We estimated multivariable-adjusted hazard ratios (HR) of cancer incidence and mortality for nondiabetic participants with values ≥ 5.7% (elevated), nondiabetic participants with <5.0% (low) and diabetic participants all compared with nondiabetic participants with 5.0-5.6% (normal). We ascertained 2,349 incident cancer cases and 887 cancer deaths. Compared with nondiabetic women with normal glycated hemoglobin, nondiabetic women with elevated values had an increased risk of cancer incidence (HR:1.24; 95% CI:1.07,1.44) and mortality (HR:1.58; 95% CI:1.23,2.05) as did diabetic women (incidence, HR:1.30; 95% CI:1.06,1.60, mortality, HR:1.96; 95% CI:1.40,2.76). Nondiabetic women with low values also had increased risk. Diabetic women with good glycemic control (<7.0%) had a lower cancer risk than those with higher values. Glycated hemoglobin in nondiabetic and diabetic men, and diabetes were not statistically significantly associated with total cancer risk. Our findings support the hypothesis that chronic hyperglycemia, even in the nondiabetic range, increases cancer risk in women. Maintaining normal glycated hemoglobin overall, and good glycemic control among diabetic adults, may reduce the burden of cancer, especially in women.

Low glycated hemoglobin and liver disease in the U.S. population

OBJECTIVE

To characterize the association of low HbA(1c) values (<4.0%) with liver enzymes and steatosis.

RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS

Cross-sectional study of 12,533 participants without diabetes aged <20 years in the Third National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (1988-1994). Logistic regression models were adjusted for demographic, lifestyle, and health status variables.

RESULTS

HbA(1c) values ranged from 3.2 to 15.7%, and 84 participants had HbA(1c) <4.0% in the population (mean age 44, 52% female, 15% black or Hispanic). We observed J-shaped associations between HbA(1c) and liver enzymes and hepatic steatosis. In adjusted models, HbA(1c) <4.0% was strongly associated with elevated alanine aminotransferase (OR 3.62 [95% CI 1.09-12.02]) and aspartate aminotransferase (6.80 [2.99-15.43]).

CONCLUSIONS

Low HbA(1c) values were associated with liver enzymes and steatosis in the U.S. population. Liver disease may partially explain the association of HbA(1c) with mortality and other long-term outcomes.

Strict glycemic control and mortality risk among US adults with type 2 diabetes

OBJECTIVE

To assess the relationships between strict HbA1c levels and mortality risk among adults with type 2 diabetes by age, insulin therapy, and hypertension comorbidity.

METHODS

Data of adult participants with type 2 diabetes from the third National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (1988-1994) and its linked mortality file (with follow-up death up to 2000) were used.

RESULTS

Having strict glycemic control (i.e., HbA1c ≤6.5%) was associated with a lower risk of mortality (hazards ratio=0.69; 95% confidence interval=0.48-0.98). However, among those with strict glycemic control levels, statistically significant results were not found.

CONCLUSION

Reaching strict glycemic control levels in the general US population with type 2 diabetes appears to be associated with lower mortality. Further research is needed as to how strict glycemic control affects certain diabetic groups.

Race-ethnicity as an effect modifier of the association between HbAlc and mortality in U.S. adults without diagnosed diabetes

OBJECTIVE

HbAlc is increasingly appreciated as a risk factor for all-cause and cardiovascular disease (CVD) mortality in the non-diabetic population. In this study, we investigated the association between HbAlc and mortality with a particular focus on the impact of race-ethnicity. Design Cohort study.

METHODS

We analyzed the association between HbAlc and all-cause and CVD mortality in 12 698 non-diabetic adults 20 years or older from the Third National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey using separate models for people of different race-ethnicity.

RESULTS

In our stratified analyses, higher non-diabetic HbAlc levels were associated with all-cause and CVD mortality in non-Hispanic whites only. In this group, compared with HbAlc values of 5.0-<5.35%, the multivariable-adjusted estimated hazard ratios (est. HR) with 95% confidence interval (CI) for all-cause mortality were 1.21 (0.92, 1.58), 1.22 (1.03, 1.45), 1.29 (1.14, 1.47), and 1.4 (1.02, 1.87) for HbAlc levels of <5.0, 5.35-<5.7, 5.7-<6.5, and 6.5% or greater respectively. The association did not reach significance in Mexican-Americans (est. HR (95% CI): 1.77 (1.08, 2.91), 0.81 (0.56, 1.19), 1.16 (0.86, 1.57), and 1.4 (0.83, 2.36)). No association was observed in non-Hispanic blacks: 1.13 (0.91, 1.39), 0.81 (0.61, 1.08), 0.84 (0.69, 1.03), and 0.94 (0.67, 1.33). Results were similar for CVD mortality.

CONCLUSIONS

Our data suggest limitations of HbAlc as a risk factor for all-cause and cardiovascular mortality across race-ethnic populations.

Glycemic control and cardiovascular mortality

PURPOSE OF REVIEW

Diabetes mellitus is associated with several-fold increased risk of cardiovascular events, including death, yet whether treatment of hyperglycemia can reduce this risk remains controversial.

RECENT FINDINGS

Epidemiologic associations between hyperglycemia and cardiovascular risk have been confirmed and extended to levels below those diagnostic of diabetes. Long-term follow-up of treatment early in diabetes suggests benefits may lag 10 years or more after initiation of treatment. Intensive glycemic treatment of high-risk persons with current methods may increase short-term mortality.

SUMMARY

Further analyses of existing data to define high-risk and lower-risk subgroups of patients may allow revision of treatment guidelines. Future studies may begin early in diabetes, require long-term follow-up, and use improved methods of treatment.

Incidence of complications and mortality in a type 2 diabetes patient cohort study followed up from diagnosis in a primary healthcare centre

AIMS

To determine the microvascular and macrovascular complications and mortality incidence rates and to identify the related factors in patients recently diagnosed with type 2 diabetes between 1991 and 2000 and followed until 2006.

METHODS

Retrospective longitudinal study in a primary healthcare center. Patients without any measure of glycaemia in the 3 years previous to diabetes diagnosis were excluded. Annual incidence rates for microvascular and macrovascular complications and mortality were estimated. Analysis of KaplanMeier survival curves and Cox proportional risk models by gender were done.

RESULTS

Of 469 patients [mean age: 60.4 (SD 10.7) years, 53.9% women], 80 died principally of tumoral (38.7%) and cardiovascular (30%) causes. The mean follow-up period was 8.81 years. (SD 3.21). The complication rates per 1000 patients/year (95% CI) were: microvascular complications 29.11 (22.97-36.38), macrovascular complications 24.10 (19.05-30.08) and mortality 19.23 (15.25-23.93), all of those being significantly greater in males except for cerebrovascular disease. Complications and mortality were associated with age, HbA1c, HDL-cholesterol, blood pressure and smoking with a different significance for each gender. HbA1c was related to microvascular complications in both sexes and to macrovascular complications only in women.

CONCLUSION

The annual rates for death and complications in a Mediterranean type 2 diabetic patient cohort followed from diagnosis were lower than those published in Anglo-Saxon countries. Males showed higher death and complication rates except in terms of cerebrovascular disease. Predictors of complication and death were different depending on gender. In terms of mortality, unlike in other studies, only one-third of the deaths were for cardiovascular causes.

The impact of diabetes on survival in women with ovarian cancer

OBJECTIVE

Diabetes is increasingly common among cancer patients and plausible biologic mechanisms exist by which diabetes may influence cancer prognosis. We aimed to investigate the impact of diabetes on ovarian cancer outcomes.

METHODS

We assessed the outcomes of 570 non-diabetic and 72 diabetic patients with epithelial ovarian, fallopian tube, and primary peritoneal cancer over a ten-year period. All inpatient and outpatient records were reviewed. The primary end points were overall and disease-free survival.

RESULTS

Of the 642 cases, 11.2% had type II diabetes. Diabetics were more likely to be older, had a higher BMI (33.4 vs. 27.8), and had more comorbid conditions. Diabetics were less likely to have been surgically staged as compared to non-diabetics (p=0.04) although stage, grade, and likelihood of optimal cytoreduction were similar between groups. Over a period of 10 years, with an average of 44 months of follow-up, the median overall survival for diabetics was 1503 days. The median overall survival for non-diabetics was 2464 days (log rank test, p=0.02). In a Cox proportional hazards multivariable model, diabetes remained a significant predictor of overall survival (HR=2.04, p<0.01).

CONCLUSIONS

Diabetics with ovarian cancer demonstrate strikingly poorer survival. The underlying reason for this is yet unknown and deserves further attention. Differences in care, competing risks of death, and changes within the tumor biology are plausible mechanisms for the observed difference in survival.

All-cause mortality risk among a national sample of individuals with diabetes

OBJECTIVE

Little is known about the relative contributions of modifiable risk factors to overall diabetes mortality. The purpose of the current study is to 1) assess the association between modifiable risk factors and all-cause mortality among a nationally representative sample of individuals with diabetes and 2) determine the population-attributable risk percent (PAR%) for these factors.

RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS

We analyzed data from a nationally representative sample of 1,507 adults over the age of 17 years with a self-reported diagnosis of diabetes from the Third National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES III) mortality study. Our main outcome measures were all-cause mortality and PAR%. We used the Cox proportional hazard analysis to determine hazard ratios (HRs) for known diabetes risks and calculated PAR%.

RESULTS

Among adults with diabetes, the HRs for all-cause mortality were significant for individuals who had an A1C≥8% (HR 1.65, 95% CI 1.11-2.45) or reported no regular physical activity (1.58, 1.24-2.02) or current tobacco use (1.77, 1.15-2.73). The population-attributable risk was 15.3% for A1C value≥8%, 16.4% for no regular physical activity, and 7.5% for current tobacco use.

CONCLUSIONS

Health systems may consider prioritizing care to include smoking cessation, increasing physical activity, and moderate glycemic control among patients with diabetes. This study suggests that focusing on these areas may result in significant reductions in mortality in individuals with diabetes.