Low cholesterol is associated with mortality from cardiovascular diseases: a dynamic cohort study in Korean adults

Ceramides improve cardiovascular risk prediction beyond low-density lipoprotein cholesterol

Aims

Low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C) is the best documented cardiovascular risk predictor and at the same time serves as a target for lipid-lowering therapy. However, the power of LDL-C to predict risk is biased by advanced age, comorbidities, and medical treatment, all known to impact cholesterol levels. Consequently, such biased patient cohorts often feature a U-shaped or inverse association between LDL-C and cardiovascular or overall mortality. It is not clear whether these constraints for risk prediction may likewise apply to other lipid risk markers in particular to ceramides and phosphatidylcholines.

Methods and results

In this observational cohort study, we recorded cardiovascular mortality in 1195 patients over a period of up to 16 years, comprising a total of 12 262 patient-years. The median age of patients at baseline was 67 years. All participants were either consecutively referred to elective coronary angiography or diagnosed with peripheral artery disease, indicating a high cardiovascular risk. At baseline, 51% of the patients were under statin therapy. We found a U-shaped association between LDL-C and cardiovascular mortality with a trough level of around 150 mg/dL of LDL-C. Cox regression analyses revealed that LDL-C and other cholesterol species failed to predict cardiovascular risk. In contrast, no U-shaped but linear association was found for ceramide- and phosphatidylcholine-containing markers and these markers were able to significantly predict the cardiovascular risk even after multivariate adjustment.

Conclusion

We thus suggest that ceramides- and phosphatidylcholine-based predictors rather than LDL-C may be used for a more accurate cardiovascular risk prediction in high-risk patients.

Serum cholesterol levels and the risk of brain natriuretic peptide-diagnosed heart failure in postmenopausal women: a population-based prospective cohort study

OBJECTIVE

Hormonal changes during menopause can disturb serum cholesterol which is closely associated with cardiovascular disease. This study investigated the prospective association between serum cholesterol and heart failure (HF) risk in postmenopausal women.

METHODS

We analyzed data from 1,307 Japanese women, aged 55 to 94 years. All women had no history of HF, and their baseline brain natriuretic peptide (BNP) levels were less than 100 pg/mL. During the follow-ups conducted every 2 years, HF was diagnosed among women who developed BNP of 100 pg/mL or greater. Cox proportional hazard models were applied to calculate hazard ratios and 95% CI of HF for women per their baseline total cholesterol, low-density lipoprotein cholesterol, and high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL-C) levels. The Cox regression models were adjusted for age, body mass index, smoking, alcohol drinking, hypertension, diabetes, cardiac murmurs, arrhythmia, stroke or ischemic heart disease, chronic kidney disease, and lipid-lowering agent use.

RESULTS

Within an 8-year median follow-up, 153 participants developed HF. In the multivariable-adjusted model, women with total cholesterol of 240 mg/dL or greater (compared with 160-199 mg/dL) and HDL-C of 100 mg/dL or greater (compared with 50-59 mg/dL) showed an increased risk of HF: hazard ratios (95% CI) = 1.70 (1.04-2.77) and 2.70 (1.10-6.64), respectively. The results remained significant after further adjusting for baseline BNP. No associations were observed with low-density lipoprotein cholesterol.

CONCLUSIONS

Total cholesterol of 240 mg/dL or greater and HDL-C of 100 mg/dL or greater were positively associated with the risk of HF in postmenopausal Japanese women.

A dose-response meta-analysis to evaluate the relationship between high-density lipoprotein cholesterol and all-cause and cardiovascular disease mortality

PURPOSE

Previous studies have not fully described the relationship between high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL-C) and death risks from all cause and cardiovascular disease (CVD). This study quantitatively evaluates HDL-C-mortality associations.

METHODS

Embase and PubMed databases were searched for relevant articles published up to 1 June 2019. Random-effects models were used to pool relative risks (RRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs). We used restricted cubic splines to model the dose-response association.

RESULTS

We identified 32 prospective cohort studies including 369,904 participants and 33,473 total deaths (9426 CVD deaths). Compared to the lowest HDL-C levels, all cause and CVD mortality risks were reduced by 18% (RR 0.82; 95% CI, 0.73-0.93) and 36% (0.64, 0.46-0.89), respectively, for the highest HDL-C levels. All cause and CVD mortality risks were reduced by 15% (0.85, 0.79-0.92) and 23% (0.77, 0.69-0.87), respectively, with each 1 mmol/L increment of HDL-C. We found evidence of nonlinear and negative dose-response associations of HDL-C with all cause and CVD mortality (P_nonlinearity < 0.001), and the lowest death risks from all cause and CVD were observed at approximately 1.34 and 1.55 mmol/L, respectively.

CONCLUSION

HDL-C is inversely associated with all cause and CVD mortality risks under approximately 2.05 and 2.33 mmol/L, respectively. Optimal doses require investigation via clinical practice or high-quality research.

Low serum cholesterol level as a risk factor for out-of-hospital cardiac arrest: a case-control study

OBJECTIVE

We aimed to identify the association between low serum total cholesterol levels and the risk of out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA).

METHODS

This case-control study was performed using datasets from the Cardiac Arrest Pursuit Trial with Unique Registration and Epidemiologic Surveillance (CAPTURES) project and the Korea National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (KNHANES). Cases were defined as emergency medical service-treated adult patients who experienced OHCA with a presumed cardiac etiology from the CAPTURES project dataset. Four controls from the KNHANES dataset were matched to each case based on age, sex, and county. Multivariable conditional logistic regression analysis was conducted to evaluate the effect of total cholesterol levels on OHCA.

RESULTS

A total of 607 matched case-control pairs were analyzed. We classified total cholesterol levels into six categories (<148, 148-166.9, 167-189.9, 190-215.9, 216-237.9, and ≥238 mg/dL) according to the distribution of total cholesterol levels in the KNHANES dataset. Subjects with a total cholesterol level of 167-189.9 mg/dL (25th-49th percentile of the KNHANES dataset) were used as the reference group. In both the adjusted models and sensitivity analysis, a total cholesterol level of <148 mg/dL was significantly associated with OHCA (adjusted odds ratio [95% confidence interval], 6.53 [4.47-9.56]).

CONCLUSION

We identified an association between very-low total cholesterol levels and an increased risk of OHCA in a large, community-based population. Future prospective studies are needed to better understand how a low lipid profile is associated with OHCA.

Tenofovir alafenamide treatment may not worsen the lipid profile of chronic hepatitis B patients: a propensity score-matched analysis

Background/Aims

Tenofovir alafenamide (TAF) has shown less favorable effect on lipids compared to tenofovir disoproxil fumarate (TDF) in clinical trials. However, data regarding these outcomes in patients with chronic hepatitis B (CHB) are scarce. Therefore, this study aimed to evaluate the effect of TAF on the lipid in patients with CHB.

Methods

A total of 237 TAF-treated CHB patients compared with TDF, inactive CHB, and non-hepatitis B virus (HBV)-infected control groups using propensity score matching (PSM).

Results

Following PSM, each analysis was conducted on cohorts via the matching of 70:140 (TAF:TDF), 89:89 (TAF:inactive CHB), 140:560 (TAF:non-HBV infected control), and 368:1,472 (TDF:non-HBV-infected control). A significant decrease in the total cholesterol (TC) level was noted at 48 weeks in the TDF group compared to the TAF group (176.3±32.9 vs. 156.7±27.7, P<0.001) and the non-HBV-infected control group (175.0±29.5 vs. 156.2±28.3, P<0.001). However, no significant change in TC was observed in the TAF group and inactive CHB or non-HBV-infected control groups at 48 weeks. For the subgroup analyses of TAF vs. non-HBV-infected control subjects and inactive CHB patients whose detailed lipid profile information were available, no between-group differences in TC, low-density lipoprotein (LDL)-cholesterol, highdensity lipoprotein (HDL)-cholesterol, TC/HDL ratio, and LDL/HDL ratio were observed at 48 weeks.

Conclusions

TDF seems to have a lipid-lowering effect compared to the non-HBV-infected control and TAF-treated groups. However, in real practice, TAF might not worsen the lipid profiles of subjects compared to non-HBV-infected controls and patients with inactive CHB.

Network Analysis of Demographics, Dietary Intake, and Comorbidity Interactions

The aim of this study was to elucidate the complex interrelationships among dietary intake, demographics, and the risk of comorbidities. We applied a Gaussian graphical model to calculate the dietary scores of the participants. The network structure of dietary intake, demographics, and comorbidities was estimated in a mixed graphical model. The centrality indices of the nodes (strength (S), closeness (C), and betweenness (B)) were measured to identify the central node. Multinomial logistic regression was used to examine the association between the factors and comorbidities. Among 7423 participants, the strongest pairwise interactions were found between sex and smoking (1.56), sex and employment (0.66), sex and marital status (0.58), marital status and income (0.65), and age and employment (0.58). Among the factors in the network, sex played a central role (S = 4.63, C = 0.014, B = 41), followed by age (S = 2.81, C = 0.013, B = 18), smoking (S = 2.72, C = 0.013, B = 0), and employment (S = 2.17, C = 0.014, B = 22). While the odds of hypertension and diabetes were significantly higher among females than males, an inverse association was observed between high cholesterol and moderate chronic kidney disease. Among these factors, dietary intake was not a strongly interacting factor in the network, whereas age was consistently associated with the comorbidities of hypertension, high cholesterol, diabetes, and chronic kidney disease.

Converting health risks into loss of life years - a paradigm shift in clinical risk communication

For facilitating risk communication in clinical management, such a ratio-based measure becomes easier to understand if expressed as a loss of life expectancy. The cohort, consisting of 543,410 adults in Taiwan, was recruited between 1994 and 2008. Health risks included lifestyle, biomarkers, and chronic diseases. A total of 18,747 deaths were identified. The Chiang's life table method was used to estimate a loss of life expectancy. We used Cox regression to calculate hazard ratios (HRs) for health risks. The increased mortality from cardio-metabolic risks such as high cholesterol (HR=1.10), hypertension (HR=1.48) or diabetes (HR=2.02) can be converted into a loss of 1.0, 4.4, and 8.9 years in life expectancy, respectively. The top 20 of the 30 risks were associated with a loss of 4 to 10 years of life expectancy, with 70% of the cohort having at least two such risk factors. Smoking, drinking, and physical inactivity each had 5-7 years loss. Individuals with diabetes or an elevated white count had a loss of 7-10 years, while prolonged sitting, the most prevalent risk factor, had a loss of 2-4 years. Those with diabetes (8.9 years) and proteinuria (9.1 years) present at the same time showed a loss of 16.2 years, a number close to the sum of each risk. Health risks, expressed as life expectancy loss, could facilitate risk communication. The paradigm shift in expressing risk intensity can help set public health priorities scientifically to promote a focus on the most important ones in primary care.

The Association between Nutritional Status and In-Hospital Mortality among Patients with Heart Failure-A Result of the Retrospective Nutritional Status Heart Study 2 (NSHS2)

BACKGROUND

A nutritional status is related to the prognosis and length of hospitalisation of patients with heart failure (HF). This study aims to assess the effect of nutritional status on in-hospital mortality in patients with heart failure.

METHODS

We conducted a retrospective study and analysis of medical records of 1056 patients admitted to the cardiology department of the University Clinical Hospital in Wroclaw (Poland).

RESULTS

A total of 1056 individuals were included in the analysis. A total of 5.5% of patients died during an in-hospital stay. It was found that in the sample group, 25% of patients who died had a BMI (body mass index) within the normal range, 6% were underweight, 47% were overweight, and 22% were obese. Our results show that non-survivors have a significantly higher nutrition risk screening (NRS) ≥3 (21% vs. 3%; p < 0.001); NYHA (New York Heart Association) grade 4 (70% vs. 24%; p < 0.001). The risk of death was lower in obese patients (HR = 0.51; p = 0.028) and those with LDL (low-density lipoprotein) levels from 116 to <190 mg/dL (HR = 0.10; p = 0.009, compared to those with LDL <55 mg/dL). The risk of death was higher in those with NRS (nutritional risk score) score ≥3 (HR = 2.31; p = 0.014), HFmrEF fraction (HR = 4.69; p < 0.001), and LDL levels > 190 mg/dL (HR = 3.20; p = 0.038).

CONCLUSION

The malnutrition status correlates with an increased risk of death during hospitalisation. Higher TC (total cholesterol) level were related to a lower risk of death, which may indicate the "lipid paradox". Higher BMI results were related to a lower risk of death, which may indicate the "obesity paradox".

Primary Care Prognostic (PCP) Index of 11-Year Mortality Risk: Development and Validation of a Brief Prognostic Tool

BACKGROUND

Healthcare providers use a life expectancy of at least 5 to 10 years in shared clinical decision-making with older adults about cancer screening, major surgeries, and disease prevention interventions. At present, few prognostic indexes predict long-term mortality beyond 10 years or are suited for use in primary care settings.

OBJECTIVE

We developed and validated an 8-item multidimensional index predicting 11-year mortality for use in primary care.

DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS

Using data from the Singapore Longitudinal Ageing Studies (SLAS), we developed a Primary Care Prognostic (PCP) Index for predicting 11-year mortality risk in a development cohort (n = 1550) and validated it in a geographically different cohort (n = 928).

MAIN MEASURES

The PCP Index was derived from eight indicators (body mass loss, weakness, slow gait, comorbidity, polypharmacy, IADL/BADL dependency, low albumin, low total cholesterol, out of 25 candidate indicators) using stepwise Cox proportional hazard models.

KEY RESULTS

In the developmental cohort, the mortality hazard ratio increased by 53% per PCP point score increase, independent of age and sex. Across risk categories, absolute risks of mortality increased from 5% (score 0) to 67.9% (scores 7-9), with area under curve (AUC = 0.77 (95% CI 0.73-0.80)). The PCP Index also predicted mortality in the validation cohort, with AUC = 0.70 (95% CI 0.64-0.75).

CONCLUSIONS

The PCP Index using simple clinical assessments and point scoring is a potentially useful prognostic tool for predicting long-term mortality and is well suited for risk stratification and shared clinical decision-making with older adults in primary care.

Association of the Level Healthcare Resource Consumption and Frequency of Temporary Disability Cases with Cardiovascular Risk Factors Based on Data of Population Study in Russian Federation

Aim. To analyze the associations of health care system resources utilization and temporary disability (TD) with the main cardiovascular risk factors (RF) at the population and individual level in working age population based on ESSE-RF study data.

Material and methods. The analysis was based on ESSE-RF study data. Standard epidemiological survey methods and evaluation criteria were used. Analysis of probability and number of outpatient visits, hospitalizations, ambulance calls and TD was conducted by using hurdle model. Hypertension, obesity, hypercholesterolemia, hyperglycemia and tobacco consumption were independent variables.

Results. A total of 21923 individuals aged 25-64 years were included: men – 8373 (38%) and women – 13550 (62%). The probability of outpatient visits significantly determined in group with tobacco consumption and with hypercholesterolemia for men, and for women – in the smoking group, with obesity and with hyperglycemia. Numbers of outpatient visits has doubled for patient with hyperglycemia. The numbers of outpatient visits were higher among women smokers compared to non-smokers. Chance to be hospitalized significantly associate with smoking, obesity, hypercholesterolemia for men and with obesity, hyperglycemia – for women. Hypercholesterolemia was associated with a smaller number of inpatient treatment cases among men. The probability of ambulance calls increased for smoking men, for male group with hypertension, hypercholesterolemia, obesity and with hyperglycemia, at the same time, the likelihood increased in female group with hypertension, hyperglycemia, smoking and with obesity. In addition, numbers of ambulance calls were higher in 1.55 times for women with obesity (p<0.05).

Conclusion. So, there is a significant association of probability of using and consumption level of healthcare recourse with the RF depending on the type of medical care, sex and RF.

Hypocholesterolaemia and mortality in patients with coronary artery disease

BACKGROUND

The association between hypocholesterolaemia and outcome of patients with coronary artery disease (CAD) remains controversial. We undertook this study to investigate whether there is an association between spontaneous or under statin therapy occurring hypocholesterolaemia and mortality in patients with CAD.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

This study included 14 952 patients with CAD undergoing percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI). Hypocholesterolaemia was defined as a total cholesterol (TC) <157 mg/dL (the upper limit of 1st quintile of TC). The study outcome was all-cause mortality at 30 days and 3 years after PCI.

RESULTS

Patients are categorized in four groups according to TC and statin therapy on admission: statin-naïve patients with hypocholesterolaemia (n = 1102), statin-naïve patients without hypocholesterolaemia (n = 7490), statin-treated patients with hypocholesterolaemia (n = 1824) and statin-treated patients without hypocholesterolaemia (n = 4536). In these groups, 30-day all-cause deaths occurred in 3.7%, 1.4%, 1.2% and 0.6% of the patients, respectively; 3-year deaths occurred in 18.0%, 8.4%, 10.9% and 7.2%, of the patients, respectively. After adjustment, hypocholesterolaemia remained independently associated with 30-day (adjusted hazard ratio [HR] = 1.50, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.07 to 2.09; P < 0001) and 3-year (HR = 1.29 [1.12-1.47]; P < .001) mortality. Statin therapy on admission was independently associated with 30-day (HR = 0.61 [0.43-0.86]; P = .012) and 3-year (HR = 0.82 [0.72-0.94]; P = .017) mortality with no statin-by-cholesterol interaction with respect to 30-day (adjusted Pint = 0.669) or 3-year (adjusted Pint = 0.767) all-cause mortality suggesting that statins reduce the risk of mortality irrespective of cholesterol level.

CONCLUSIONS

In patients with CAD, hypocholesterolaemia on admission was independently associated with increased risk of all-cause mortality at 30 days and 3 years after PCI.

Association of total cholesterol with severe acute pancreatitis: A U-shaped relationship

BACKGROUND & AIMS

There is no consensus on relationship between total cholesterol levels and incidence of severe acute pancreatitis (SAP). The aim of this study was to investigate the relation between total cholesterol (TC) and the disease severity of acute pancreatitis.

METHODS

We conducted a cross-sectional study on patients with acute pancreatitis between April 2012 and December 2015 in a university hospital. Fasting blood total cholesterol (TC) was assayed within 24 h of admission, as well as 3-5 days, 7-9 days and 13-15 days during hospitalization. Time interval before admission, age, gender, Body Mass Index, hypertension, diabetes mellitus, alcohol consumption, smoking, etiology and albumin were recorded as potential confounding factors. To assess the pattern of relationship of TC and SAP, we used restricted cubic spline analysis with multivariable logistic regression analysis. We also compared total cholesterol concentrations between patients with or without SAP at different time points.

RESULTS

648 patients (median age: 47.5 years; 62.4% man) were enrolled. The incidence of SAP was 10%. A U-shaped association of TC level within 24 h of admission with severity was observed in acute pancreatitis. Patients with low TC levels (<160 mg/dL) and high TC levels (>240 mg/dL) had a significantly higher incidence of SAP and protracted hospital stays when compared to moderate TC levels (160-240 mg/dL). Low total cholesterol levels (OR 2.72; 95 %eCI 1.27-5.83; P = 0.01) and high total cholesterol levels (OR 2.54; 95 %eCI 1.09-5.89; P = 0.03), were still independently associated with development of SAP after adjusting for potential confounding factors. Longitudinal cohort study indicated that patients with SAP had lower total cholesterol concentrations among 3-15 days after admission compared to patients without SAP (P < 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

Both low TC level (<160 mg/dL) and high TC (>240 mg/dL) within 24 h of admission is independently associated with an increased risk of SAP.

Controlling Nutritional Status Score is Associated with All-Cause Mortality in Patients with Antineutrophil Cytoplasmic Antibody-Associated Vasculitis

PURPOSE

The controlling nutritional status (CONUT) score was developed to detect undernutrition in patients. Here, we investigated whether the CONUT score estimated at diagnosis could help predict poor outcomes [all-cause mortality, relapse, and end-stage renal disease (ESRD)] of antineutrophil cytoplasmic antibody (ANCA)-associated vasculitis (AAV).

MATERIALS AND METHODS

We retrospectively reviewed and collated data, including baseline characteristics, clinical manifestations (to calculate AAV-specific indices), and laboratory results, from 196 newly diagnosed AAV patients. Serum albumin, peripheral lymphocyte, and total cholesterol levels (at diagnosis) were used to calculate CONUT scores.

RESULTS

In total, 111 patients had high CONUT scores (≥3), which showed higher frequency of myeloperoxidase-ANCA and ANCA positivity, and demonstrated higher AAV-specific indices. The optimal cut-offs of CONUT score (at diagnosis) for predicting all-cause mortality and ESRD were ≥3.5 and ≥2.5, respectively. Patients with CONUT scores higher than the cut-off at diagnosis exhibited lower cumulative and ESRD-free survival rates compared to those with lower scores than the cut-off. In multivariable analyses, diabetes mellitus [hazard ratio (HR): 4.394], five-factor score (HR: 3.051), and CONUT score ≥3.5 (HR: 4.307) at diagnosis were independent predictors of all-cause mortality, while only serum creatinine (HR: 1.714) was an independent predictor of ESRD occurrence.

CONCLUSION

CONUT score at diagnosis is associated with all-cause mortality in AAV patients.

Intra-individual variability of total cholesterol is associated with cardiovascular disease mortality: A cohort study

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

The relationship between serum total cholesterol (TC) and mortality remains inconsistent. Additionally, intra-individual variability of cholesterol has been of increasing interest as a new indicator for health outcomes. We aimed to examine the association between TC and its variability and risk of mortality.

METHODS AND RESULTS

We performed a retrospective cohort study with 122,645 individuals aged over 40 years in Ningbo, China. The intra-individual variability was calculated using four metrics including standard deviation, coefficient variation, variation independent of mean and average successive variability. Hazard ratios and 95% confidence intervals were estimated for the associations of baseline and variability in TC with risk of mortality by Cox proportional hazards regression models. During 591,585.3 person-years of follow-up, 4563 deaths (including 1365 from cardiovascular disease, 788 from stroke and 1514 from cancer) occurred. A U-shaped association was observed for baseline TC level and risk of total, cardiovascular and cancer mortality, with lowest mortality at 5.46 mmol/L, 5.04 mmol/L and 5.51 mmol/L, respectively. As compared with subjects with TC variability in the lowest quartile, individuals in the highest quartile had 21% higher risk of all-cause mortality (HR = 1.21, 95% CI: 1.05 to 1.40), and 41% higher risk of CVD mortality (HR = 1.41, 95%CI: 1.10 to 1.81).

CONCLUSION

Both too low and too high baseline TC level were associated with higher risk of total, cardiovascular disease and cancer mortality. Variability of TC could be a risk factor of total and CVD mortality, independent of mean TC level. Future studies are needed to confirm these findings.

The association between lipid profiles and the neurologic outcome in patients with out-of-hospital cardiac arrest

BACKGROUND

Lipid profiles are known to be a risk factor for development of cardiovascular disease. However, the relationship between lipid profiles and outcome in out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA) survivors remains unclear. We aimed to examine the association between lipid profiles and neurologic outcome in OHCA survivors.

METHODS

This retrospective observational study included adult (≥18 years) OHCA survivors between January 2016 and December 2018. We measured patients' lipid profiles after return of spontaneous circulation (ROSC) including total cholesterol, high-density lipoprotein (HDL), low-density lipoprotein (LDL), and triglyceride. The primary outcome was neurologic outcome at hospital discharge. Good neurologic outcome was defined cerebral performance categories 1 and 2.

RESULTS

A total of 182 patients were included. Of them, 57 (31.3%) were discharged with good neurologic outcomes. Median serum levels of total cholesterol (178.0 vs. 123.0 mg/dL), HDL (44.0 vs. 31.0 mg/dL), and LDL (104.0 vs. 75.0 mg/dL) were significantly higher in patients with good neurologic outcome. The area under the curves of total cholesterol, HDL, LDL, and triglyceride were 0.742 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.672-0.803), 0.729 (95% CI, 0.658-0.792), 0.683 (95% CI, 0.610-0.750), and 0.572 (95% CI, 0.497-0.645), respectively. Total cholesterol (odds ratio [OR], 1.013; 95% CI, 1.000-1.025; p = 0.043) and HDL (OR, 1.071; 95% CI, 1.021-1.123; p = 0.005) levels were associated with good neurologic outcomes.

CONCLUSIONS

The levels of total cholesterol and HDL after ROSC were associated with good neurologic outcomes in patients with OHCA, without considering the effect of other lipid profiles simultaneously.

Serum Lipids and Cardiovascular Disease Mortality in Iranian Population: Joint Modeling of Longitudinal and Survival Data in Tehran Lipid and Glucose Study (TLGS) Cohort

Background:

Lipid abnormalities are major risk factors of death from cardiovascular disease (CVD). As well as, lipid markers are time-dependent covariates that change with aging. Previous cohort studies have only investigated baseline measurements of lipid markers on CVD mortality.

Materials and Methods:

The study sample consisted of 4,148 individuals aged over 40 years. Total cholesterol (TC), LDL-cholesterol (LDL-C), and HDL-cholesterol (HDL-C) were measured in five phases. A joint model analysis was used to investigate the association between each longitudinal lipid markers and CVD mortality in men, women and pooled sample. All analysis was performed using the survival and joint modeling packages in R 3.3.3.

Results:

Totally, 233 CVD deaths occurred during a median follow-up of 12.4 years. For men, CVD mortality increased by 28% (confidence interval [CI]: 14%,44%) for a 10% increased in TC. For women, CVD mortality increased by 43% (CI: 22%, 68%) and 21% (CI:7%, 37%) for 10 % increase in TC and LDL-C and decreased by 18% (CI:7%, 27%) for a 10% increase in HDL-C.

Conclusion:

Association of lipid markers with CVD mortality is different in men and women, such that high levels of TC and LDL-C and low levels of HDL-C are risk factors of CVD mortality in women, but only TC is a risk factor of CVD mortality in men.

Total cholesterol and mortality from ischemic heart disease and overall cardiovascular disease in Korean adults

It is not completely clear whether "the lower, the better" cholesterol hypothesis for cardiovascular disease (CVD) and ischemic heart disease (IHD) can be applied to general populations with a low risk of heart disease mortality.We prospectively followed up 503,340 Koreans who participated in routine health checkups during 2002-2003 until 2013 via linkage to national mortality records.Nonlinear associations with total cholesterol (TC) were found: U-curves for overall CVD (I00-I99; nadir at 180-200 mg/dL) and a reverse-L-curve for IHD (I20-I25). Assuming a linear association in the lower range (<200 mg/dL), TC was inversely associated with CVD mortality (HR per 39 mg/dL [1 mmol/L] increase = 0.90). In the upper range (200-349 mg/dL), TC was positively associated with CVD mortality, largely due to IHD (HR = 1.19), especially acute myocardial infarction (HR = 1.23). The associations were generally similar in men versus women and in middle-aged (40-64 years) versus elderly (≥65 years) adults.TC levels of 180-200 mg/dL were associated with the lowest CVD mortality. Below 200 mg/dL, TC had no graded positive associations with IHD mortality. It remains unclear whether the lowest cholesterol levels are associated with the least mortality from CVD and IHD in Korean adults with a low risk of heart disease.

Factors Associated with Cause-Specific Death in Russia. Data from Longitudinal Prospective Study 1977-2001

Aim.To evaluate the associations between main risk factors (RF) with cause-specific death in cohorts of Russian men and women.

Material and methods. Data of a number of crossectional studies conducted in different years by unified base protocol had become the subjects for the study. A total of 12,497 men and 5,039 women aged 35-74 years, residents of Moscow and S-Petersburg (former Leningrad) cities at the moment of examination, were enrolled into the study. We analyzed 17 previously selected risk factors and their associations with cause-specific mortalities: coronary heart disease (CHD), stroke, cardiovascular diseases (CVD), non-CVD, all causes. A total of 10,650 deaths were registered: 8,726 in men (for 10 years) and 1,924 – in women (for 20 years).

Results.Men died more often from all the examined causes except for stroke, what was more typical to women. Mortality in men was associated with significantly larger number of RF than in women and correlations were stronger. In particular, smoking (hazard ratio [HR] 2.25; 95% confidence interval [95%CI] 1.75-2.89; р=0.0001), high blood pressure (HR 1.78; 95%CI 1.43-2.22; р=0.0001) and history of CHD (HR 3.23; 95%CI 2.71- 3.84; р=0.0001) significantly increased CHD-related mortality in the men’s cohort but were much less significant for women. The total cholesterol level demonstrated significance in men but was not even selected in the model for women. The main RF for stroke-related mortality were smoking, high blood pressure and atrial fibrillation, while for non-cardiovascular mortality there was only one common factor – smoking. Factors associated with CVD and all-cause mortality were almost the same because CVD cover more than half in the all-cause mortality, however a larger number of predictors were reported in men.

Conclusion. The data obtained indicate: 1) considerably larger number of unfavorable risk factors in the men’s cohort, which significantly increased risk for death from any cause; 2) statistically more pronounced relation between risk factors and mortality rates in men as compared to women, especially note that mortality rates were followed up for 10 years in men and 20 years in women. It is obvious that successful prevention focused on risk factors must be gender-based. 

Association Between Total Cholesterol and 5 year Mortality in Patients with Carotid Artery Stenosis and Poststroke Functional Dependence

BACKGROUND

Aggressive lipid-lowering treatment reduces the risk of cardiovascular events, but remains controversial in stroke patients. We investigate the influence of total cholesterol level on 5-year outcomes of ischemic stroke patients with high-grade internal carotid artery (ICA) stenosis and poststroke functional dependence.

METHODS

One-hundred and ninety-six acute ischemic stroke patients with high-grade ICA stenosis and modified Rankin Scale score ≥ 3 upon discharge were enrolled and prospectively observed for 5 years. Patients were divided into 2 groups according to total cholesterol level at admission: ≥200 mg/dL or <200 mg/dL. Demographic features, vascular risk factors, co-morbidities, and outcomes were compared between the 2 groups.

RESULTS

117 (59.7%) patients had higher and 79 (40.3%) patients had lower total cholesterol levels. The prevalence of older age and atrial fibrillation was significantly higher in patients with lower total cholesterol; the prevalence of diabetes mellitus was higher in patients with higher total cholesterol. After adjusting for the established clinical predictors of adverse outcomes, the multivariate Cox regression revealed that lower total cholesterol level is a significant predictor of 5-year mortality (HR (hazard ratio) = 1.88, 95% CI (confidence interval) = 1.09-3.23, P = .023).

CONCLUSIONS

Lower total cholesterol level is associated with increased risk of 5-year mortality in ischemic stroke patients with high-grade ICA stenosis and post-stroke functional dependence. Aggressive treatment of hyperlipidemia should be carefully considered in these patients although it could reduce the risk of atherosclerotic cardiovascular diseases and stroke recurrence in some stroke patients.

Effect of Change in Total Cholesterol Levels on Cardiovascular Disease Among Young Adults

Background

Although high serum cholesterol in young adults is known to be a predictor for cardiovascular events, there is not enough evidence for the association of cholesterol level change with cardiovascular disease (CVD). This study aimed to evaluate whether the change in cholesterol is associated with incidence of CVD among young adults.

Methods and Results

We examined 2 682 045 young adults (aged 20–39 years) who had undergone 2 consecutive national health check‐ups provided by Korean National Health Insurance Service between 2002 and 2005. Cholesterol levels were classified into low (<180 mg/dL), middle (180–240 mg/dL) and high (≥240 mg/dL). CVD events were defined as ≥2 days hospitalization attributable to CVD for 10 years follow‐up. Increased cholesterol levels were significantly associated with elevated ischemic heart disease risk (adjusted hazard ration [aHR]=1.21; 95% confidence interval [CI]=1.03–1.42 in low‐high group and aHR=1.21; 95% CI=1.15–1.27 in middle‐high group) and cerebrovascular disease (CEVD) risk (aHR=1.24; 95% CI=1.05–1.47 in low‐high group and aHR=1.09; 95% CI=1.02–1.16 in middle‐high group). Decreased cholesterol levels were associated with reduced ischemic heart disease risk (aHR=0.91; 95% CI=0.88–0.95 in middle‐low group, aHR=0.65; 95% CI=0.56–0.75 in high‐low group and aHR=0.68; 95% CI=0.65–0.73 in high‐middle group). Furthermore, lower cerebrovascular disease risk (aHR=0.76; 95% CI=0.62–0.92) was observed in the high‐low group compared with patients with sustained high cholesterol.

Conclusions

The findings of our study indicate that increased cholesterol levels were associated with high CVD risk in young adults. Furthermore, young adults with decreased cholesterol levels had reduced risk for CVD.

Association of change in total cholesterol level with mortality: A population-based study

Background

Hypercholesterolemia is a well-established risk factor for coronary heart disease, but the association between cholesterol level change and mortality is not fully understood. We aimed to investigate the association of 2 year (2002–2003 to 2004–2005) change in cholesterol with all-cause and cause-specific mortality in a population-based cohort study.

Methods and findings

The study population consisted of 269,391 participants aged more than 40 years who were free of myocardial infarction, stroke and cancer using the Korean National Health Insurance Service—National Health Screening Cohort. Cholesterol levels were classified into 1st, 2nd and 3rd tertiles during each of the first and second health examinations, respectively. The participants were followed-up for all-cause and cause-specific mortality from 1 January 2006 to 31 December 2013. Compared to participants who stayed within the 2nd tertile group for cholesterol during both the first and second examinations, participants who became or maintained cholesterol levels to the 1st tertile during the second examination had increased risk of all-cause mortality [adjusted hazard ratio (aHR) with 95% confidence interval (95% CI) = 1.28 (1.18–1.38) in 1st/1st, 1.16 (1.07–1.26) in 2nd/1st and 1.47 (1.32–1.64) in 3rd/1st tertile levels, respectively]. In addition, increased or persistent high cholesterol levels to the 3rd tertile was associated with elevated risk for all-cause mortality [aHR (95% CI) = 1.10 (1.01–1.20) in 1st/2nd, 1.16(1.03–1.31) in 1st/3rd and 1.15(1.05–1.25) in 3rd/3rd tertile levels].

Conclusions

Changes in cholesterol levels in either direction to low cholesterol or persistently low cholesterol levels were associated with higher risk of mortality. Particularly, spontaneous decline in cholesterol levels may be a marker for worsening health conditions.

A Critical Review of the Consensus Statement from the European Atherosclerosis Society Consensus Panel 2017

BACKGROUND

The Consensus Statement from the European Atherosclerosis Society (EAS) Consensus Panel 2017 concludes on the basis of 3 different types of clinical studies that low-density lipoprotein (LDL) causes atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD). In Mendelian randomization studies, rare genetic mutations affecting LDL receptor function were found to cause higher or lower LDL-C levels, which are associated with correspondingly altered ASCVD risk. In prospective cohort studies and randomized controlled trials (RCTs) of statins, a remarkably consistent log-linear association was demonstrated between the absolute magnitude of LDL-C exposure and ASCVD risk. The EAS Statement proposes that any mechanism of lowering plasma LDL concentration should reduce the risk of ASCVD events proportional to the absolute reduction in LDL-C and the cumulative duration of exposure to lower LDL-C. However, as we explain, we do not find this conclusion acceptable.

SUMMARY

Our review points out that different interpretations are possible for the results of Mendelian randomization studies. As for prospective cohort studies, many inconsistent reports on the association of LDL-C and ASCVD were disregarded when drafting the Statement, reports with and without genetic factors related to LDL receptor function should be analyzed separately, and the term ASCVD in the Statement is used inappropriately because myocardial infarction and cerebral infarction differ in their association with LDL-C. As for RCTs, clinical reports on statins published before and after the implementation of new regulations affecting clinical trials (2004/2005) should not both be included in meta-analyses because the evaluated efficacy of statins changed markedly, and the irreversible adverse effects of statins need to be evaluated more rigorously now that their mechanisms have been elucidated. Key Messages: Apart from the EAS hypothesis that LDL causes ASCVD, recent pharmacological/biochemical studies, as summarized in this review and elsewhere, have revealed that atherosclerosis is caused by statins taken to lower LDL-C, as well as by warfarin and some types of vegetable fats and oils, in the absence of significantly elevated LDL-C levels. Thus, the promotion of statin treatment by the Statement is rather risky and we do not feel that the conclusions are justified for the prevention of ASCVD.

Serum lipids and mortality in an American Indian population: A longitudinal study

BACKGROUND

In Caucasians, lower triglycerides (TG), total or LDL cholesterol and high HDL cholesterol are generally associated with lower mortality. However, low cholesterol is associated with higher mortality in some Asian populations. This study examines the relationship between serum lipids and mortality in American Indians.

METHODS

2125 American Indians aged ≥40years were examined biennially between 1993 and 2007. Vital status was determined through 2011. Mortality rates, adjusted for age, sex and diabetes, were calculated using Poisson regression.

RESULTS

The median baseline age was 46years and 61% were women. Over a median follow-up of 10.1years, 522 deaths occurred. Relationships between baseline lipids, except for HDL cholesterol, and all-cause mortality were negative and linear in persons without diabetes and U-shaped in persons with diabetes. For HDL cholesterol, the relationship was U-shaped in the total cohort. Cardiovascular mortality was positively associated with total, LDL and non-HDL cholesterol whereas lower lipid concentrations were adversely associated with mortality from liver disease or external causes, except for HDL cholesterol, where associations were positive.

CONCLUSION

The common belief that low cholesterol and TG are beneficial for health is not universally observed; evidence suggests increased mortality at both ends of the cholesterol and TG distributions.

Effects of microalgal polyunsaturated fatty acid oil on body weight and lipid accumulation in the liver of C57BL/6 mice fed a high fat diet

Dietary polyunsaturated fatty acids (PUFAs), which are abundant in marine fish oils, have recently received global attention for their prominent anti-obesogenic effects. Among PUFAs, eicosapentaenoic acid (EPA; 20:5n-3) and docosahexaenoic acid (DHA; 22:6n-3), which are n-3 long-chain PUFAs widely referred to as omega-3 oils, were reported to prevent the development of obesity in rodents and humans. In the present study, we evaluated the anti-obesity effects of microalgal oil on high-fat induced obese C57BL/6 mice, compared with commercial omega-3 fish oil and vegetable corn oil. Microalgal oil is an inherent mixture of several PUFAs, including EPA, DHA and other fatty acids produced from a marine microalgal strain of Thraustochytriidae sp. derived mutant. It was found to contain more PUFAs (>80%) and more omega-3 oils than commercial omega-3 fish oil (PUFAs >31%) and corn oil (PUFAs 59%). All three types of oils induced weight loss in high-fat-induced obese mice, with the loss induced by microalgal oil being most significant at 9 weeks (10% reduction). However, the oils tested did not improve blood lipid levels, although microalgal oil showed an apparent inhibitory effect on lipid accumulation in the liver. These findings may be attributed to the higher PUFA content, including omega-3 oils of microalgal oil than other oils. Collectively, these findings suggest that microalgal oil, derived from Thraustochytriidae sp. derived mutant, is a prominent candidate for replacement of omega-3 fish oils based on its apparent anti-obesity effect in vivo.

Total cholesterol as a risk factor for coronary heart disease and stroke in women compared with men: A systematic review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

Raised total cholesterol is a strong risk factor for cardiovascular disease (CVD). It remains unknown whether sex differences exist in the relationship between total cholesterol and CVD outcomes.

METHODS

PubMed was searched in December 2014 for cohort studies reporting on the relationship between total cholesterol and coronary heart disease (CHD) and total stroke, separately in men and women. Random effects meta-analyses with inverse variance weighting were used to obtain adjusted pooled sex-specific relative risks (RR) and women-to-men ratio of RRs (RRRs).

RESULTS

Data from 97 cohorts, 1,022,276 individuals, and 20,176 CHD and 13,067 stroke cases were included. The pooled RR (95% confidence interval) for CHD associated with a 1-mmol/L increase in total cholesterol was 1.20 (1.16; 1.24) in women and 1.24 (1.20; 1.28) in men, resulting in a RRR of 0.96 (0.93; 0.99). Corresponding RRs for the risk of total stroke were 1.01 (0.98; 1.05) in women, and 1.03 (1.00; 1.05) in men, with a pooled RRR of 0.99 (0.93; 1.04). Pooled RRRs (95% CI) comparing individuals in the highest TC category to those in the lowest, such as the highest versus lowest third, were 0.87 (0.79; 0.96) for CHD and 0.86 (0.76; 0.97) for total stroke.

CONCLUSION

Raised total cholesterol is a strong risk factor for CHD, with evidence of a small, but significantly stronger, effect in men compared to women. Raised total cholesterol had little effect on the risk of total stroke in both sexes.

Effects of palm and sunflower oils on serum cholesterol and fatty liver in rats

Palm oil is a common cooking ingredient used in the commercial food industry as the second largest consumed vegetable oil in the world. Because of its lower cost and highly saturated nature, it usually maintains a solid form at room temperature and is used as a cheap substitute for butter. However, there has been a growing health concern about palm oil because of the link between dietary fats and coronary heart disease. Palm oil contains ∼49% saturated fat, a relatively high concentration compared with other vegetable oils. Consequently, high intakes of saturated fat from palm oil induce a larger increase in plasma concentrations of total cholesterol and low-density lipoproteins. In the present study, we examined the hyperlipidemia of palm oil and the risk of cardiovascular disease (CVD) using a rat model in comparison with sunflower oil with a relatively low level of saturated fat. On in vivo examination using Sprague-Dawley (SD) rats for 22 days, there were no significant differences in serum lipid levels, suggesting that palm oil may not cause hyperlipidemia and elevate CVD risk. However, liver samples obtained from SD rats fed with palm oil showed a lot of large lipid inclusions stained with the Oil Red O working solution, but not much lipid accumulation was observed in rats treated with sunflower oil. In addition, lipid accumulation in the mixed oil group fed the combination of palm and sunflower (1:1) oil was shown to be at an intermediary level between the palm oil group and sunflower oil group. Taken together, these results indicate that palm oil, a highly saturated form of vegetable oil, may induce dysfunction of the liver lipid metabolism before affecting serum lipid levels. On the other hand, sunflower oil, a highly unsaturated vegetable oil, was shown to be well metabolized in liver.

Cancer risk in adult residents near nuclear power plants in Korea - a cohort study of 1992-2010

This study evaluated cancer risk for adult residents near Nuclear Power Plants (NPPs) in Korea through a valid prospective cohort study during 1992-2010. The study cohort was composed of 11,367 adults living within a five km radius from the NPPs for the exposed and 24,809 adults for the non-exposed or reference cohort set at two different levels of proximity; 5-30 km radius and more than 30 km radius away from NPPs. In 303,542.5 person-years of follow-up, a total of 2,298 cancer cases of all sites, or 1,377 radio-inducible cancers diagnosed during 1992-2008 were ascertained. Multiple adjusted hazard ratios and 95% confidence intervals were estimated using multivariate Cox proportional hazard model. There were no epidemiological evidence for increased risk of cancer due to radiation from NPPs. Radiological study results or surveillance data of radiation doses around NPPs could be well documented for risk estimation of radio-inducible cancers, instead of epidemiological study results of the long-time required. Continuous surveillance of quantitative measures of dose levels around NPPs and radiation exposures to the residents is warranted.

Modulation of lipid metabolism by mixtures of protamine and chitooligosaccharide through pancreatic lipase inhibitory activity in a rat model

Overweight and obesity are usually related with high fat and calorie intake, and seriously causative of lifestyle-related diseases such as cardiovascular disorders, arteriosclerosis, and colon cancer. In this study, we propose a novel dietary therapy against overweight and obesity using mixtures of protamine and chitooligosaccharide (COS), which are known to interrupt the lipid metabolism in the body. Protamine is a dietary protein originated from salmon reproductive organ, and COS is an oligosaccharide made from chitin or chitosan by chemical or enzymatic hydrolysis. In the enzyme activity analysis in vitro, protamine and COS strongly suppressed the activity of pancreatic lipase, which is the primary enzyme for the digestion and absorption of lipids in the intestine. In in vivo animal test, the mixtures of protamine and COS significantly reduced the serum levels of triglyceride (TG), total cholesterol (T-CHO), and low density lipoprotein-cholesterol (LDLC) and inhibited the accumulation of lipids in liver tissue of Sprague Dawley (SD) rats fed high fat diets. On the other hand, they increased fecal TG and T-CHO contents. From these alterations in lipid metabolism, we verified that protamine and COS mixtures could effectively interrupt the digestion and absorption of dietary lipids in the body by inhibiting pancreatic lipase activity. In addition, protamine and COS mixtures increased the serum level of high density lipoprotein-cholesterol (HDLC), responsible for removing cholesterol from cells and protecting atherosclerosis, and therefore decreased the potential risks of cardiovascular diseases by lowering values of the atherogenic index (AI) and cardiac risk factor (CRF). Taken together, we suggest protamine and COS mixtures as a prominent dietary therapy for the prevention of overweight, obesity, and further cardiovascular diseases related with hyperlipidemia.