A Non-Linear Association of Triglyceride Glycemic Index With Cardiovascular and All-Cause Mortality Among Patients With Hypertension

Investigation of the connection between triglyceride-glucose (TyG) index and the risk of acute kidney injury in septic patients - a retrospective analysis utilizing the MIMIC-IV database

The TyG index serves as a valuable tool for evaluating insulin resistance. An elevated TyG has shown a strong association with the occurrence of acute kidney injury (AKI). Nevertheless, existing literature does not address the relationship between the TyG index and acute kidney injury in patients with sepsis. Sepsis patients were identified from the MIMIC-IV database and categorized into four groups according to quadrilles of their TyG index values. The primary outcome of this study was the incidence of AKI. The relationship between the TyG index and the risk of AKI in septic patients was evaluated using Cox proportional hazards and restricted cubic spline models. Subgroup analyses were conducted to investigate the prognostic value of the TyG index in different subgroups. A total of 2,616 patients with sepsis (57% of whom were male) were included in this study. The incidence of AKI was found to be 78%. Cox proportional hazards analysis revealed a significant correlation between the TyG index and the occurrence of AKI in septic patients. Furthermore, a restricted cubic spline model revealed an approximately linear relationship between a higher TyG index and an elevated risk of AKI in septic patients. The trend of the hazard ratio (HR) remained consistent across various subgroups. These findings emphasize the reliability of the TyG index as an independent predictor for the occurrence of AKI and unfavorable renal outcomes in sepsis patients. Nevertheless, establishing a causal relationship between the two requires demonstration through larger prospective studies.

Sex-specific association between triglyceride-glucose index and all-cause mortality in patients with osteoporotic fractures: a retrospective cohort study

Background

Osteoporotic fractures (OPFs) pose a considerable global health burden and are linked with an elevated mortality risk. The triglyceride-glucose index (TyG-I) is a recognized marker of insulin resistance across various populations. The association between all-cause mortality (ACM) and the TyG-I has been widely investigated in a variety of clinical settings. The potential sex-specific differences in this association among OPF patients remain uncertain.

Methods

In this retrospective cohort study, 2,307 patients ≥ 50 years old admitted to the hospital between January 2018 and August 2023 for surgical treatment of OPFs were included. The TyG-I was determined using fasting triglyceride and glucose levels measured at admission. The association between ACM and the TyG-I was evaluated by Cox proportional hazards regression, adjusting for possible confounding variables. Analyses were categorized by sex, and subgroup analyses evaluated possible interaction effects. The ACM rates among TyG-I tertiles were compared via Kaplan-Meier curves.

Results

This research study analyzed 2,307 patients, of whom 247 (10.71%) died from any cause during the follow-up period. In females, a linear association of the TyG-I with ACM was observed even after adjusting for confounders, with each unit increase in the TyG-I correlating with a 37% increased risk of death (HR: 1.37, 95% CI: 1.06-1.77, p = 0.02). However, in males, there was a non-linear correlation, where patients in the uppermost TyG-I tertile showed a substantially decreased mortality risk relative to those in the lowest tertile (HR: 0.53, 95% CI: 0.30-0.92, p = 0.02). TyG-I indicated a statistically significant relation with sex (P for interaction = 0.01).

Conclusion

In patients diagnosed with OPFs, distinct sex-specific variations were observed in the relationship between ACM and the TyG-I. Among female patients, each unit increase in the TyG-I was linked to a 37% greater risk of mortality. Conversely, male patients within the highest TyG-I tertile indicated a lower mortality risk than those in the lowest tertile. Further research is required to confirm these sex-specific associations.

Association between triglyceride glucose index and all-cause mortality in patients with critical atrial fibrillation in the MIMIC-IV database

Although several studies have demonstrated the relationship between the triglyceride glucose (TyG) index and the prevalence of atrial fibrillation (AF), more attention needs to be paid to patients with AF in intensive care units because the prevalence of AF is as high as one-third of the population. This study investigated the relationship between the TyG index and short-term prognosis in patients with critical care AF. We selected critically ill patients with AF from the MIMIC-IV database and categorized them into quartiles based on their TyG index levels. The primary outcome assessed was 30-day all-cause mortality, with secondary outcomes of 7-day and 15-day all-cause mortality. We utilized Kaplan-Meier survival curves, restricted cubic spline, and Cox proportional hazards regression models to illustrate the relationship between the TyG index and clinical outcomes in critically ill patients with AF. 1,146 critically ill patients with AF were included in this study, with a mean age of 75.90. The female population accounted for 48.43% of the total. Kaplan-Meier survival curves demonstrated a significant association between the TyG index and all-cause mortality at 7, 15, and 30 days. Cox proportional hazards analysis, after adjusting for multiple confounders, revealed a substantial increase in all-cause mortality in the fourth quartile of the TyG index compared to the first quartile (HR = 1.71, 95% CI: 1.17-2.49). Restricted cubic spline further illustrated that higher TyG index were associated with an elevated risk of all-cause mortality in critically ill patients with AF. The stratified analysis provided additional support for the robustness of this association. The TyG index demonstrated a significant association with 7-day, 15-day, and 30-day all-cause mortality in critically ill patients with AF. These findings suggest that the TyG index may serve as a useful tool in identifying AF patients at a higher risk of all-cause mortality, enabling early and effective intervention strategies.

Association between triglyceride-glucose index and all-cause mortality in patients with congestive heart failure and atrial fibrillation

Background

The role of the triglyceride-glucose (TyG) index in critically ill patients with congestive heart failure (CHF) and atrial fibrillation (AF), requiring intensive care unit (ICU) admission, remains unclear. This study aimed to investigate the association between the TyG index and the clinical prognosis of critically ill patients with CHF and AF.

Methods

This retrospective observational cohort study utilized data from the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care-IV (MIMIC IV2.2) database. Participants were categorized into four groups based on TyG index level. The primary outcome was hospital all-cause mortality. Multivariable logistic proportional regression analysis and restricted cubic spline regression were employed to assess the TyG index's association with hospital mortality in patients with CHF and AF. Sensitivity analysis included determining the TyG index's feature importance through subgroup analysis in different subgroups.

Results

A total of 787 patients were included in the study, with hospital and ICU mortalities of 14.2% and 8.3%, respectively. Multivariate logistic regression analysis demonstrated that the TyG index was independently associated with an increased risk of hospital mortality (odds ratio (OR), 1.59 [95% confidence interval (CI) 1.15-2.19], P = 0.005) and ICU mortality [OR 1.9; (95% CI 1.28-2.83), P = 0.001] after adjusting for confounders. The restricted cubic spline regression model indicated a linear increase in the risks of in-hospital and ICU mortality with a higher TyG index. Sensitivity analysis revealed consistent effect sizes and directions in different subgroups, ensuring result stability.

Conclusions

The results of our study suggest a significant association between the TyG index and hospital and ICU all-cause mortality in critically ill patients with CHF and AF. This finding implies that the TyG index could potentially serve as a valuable tool for identifying patients with CHF and AF at an elevated risk of all-cause mortality.

Association between dietary index for gut microbiota and self-reported severe headache or migraine in U.S. adults: a cross-sectional study from NHANES

Background

The diet-microbiota-gut-brain axis is an emerging frontier in brain health, with microbiota-targeted dietary interventions offering potential benefits. This study aimed to explore the association between the recently introduced dietary index for gut microbiota (DI-GM) and self-reported severe headache or migraine in U.S. adults.

Methods

This cross-sectional study analyzed the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) data from 1999 to 2004. Severe headache or migraine was determined based on participants' responses to the question: "Have you had a severe headache or migraine in the past 3 months?" The DI-GM was calculated from dietary recall data. Multivariable logistic regression models were performed to evaluate the odds ratio (OR) and 95% confidence interval (95% CI) for the association between DI-GM and severe headache or migraine. Secondary analyses included restricted cubic splines (RCS) and subgroup analyses.

Results

After adjustments, a higher DI-GM score and BGMS were associated with a lower prevalence of severe headache or migraine (DI-GM: OR = 0.95, 95% CI = 0.91-0.99, p = 0.011; BGMS: OR = 0.90, 95% CI = 0.85-0.96, p = 0.003). RCS showed a linear relationship between DI-GM and severe headache or migraine. In two-piecewise regression models, the adjusted OR for developing a severe headache or migraine was 0.90 (95% CI = 0.85-0.97, p = 0.005) in participants with a DI-GM score ≥ 4, whereas no association was observed in those with a DI-GM score < 4.

Conclusion

The DI-GM was negatively associated with the prevalence of self-reported severe headache or migraine in U.S. adults, particularly when scores exceeded 4.

Is the triglyceride-glucose index ready for cardiovascular risk assessment?

AIMS

Insulin resistance is a major risk factor for cardiovascular disease. Thus, early identification of insulin resistance is important for classifying individuals at high cardiovascular risk. All the tools commonly used in epidemiological studies and clinical practice to assess insulin resistance require measuring insulin levels, which is a limitation. Hence, simpler methods have been proposed to overcome these limitations. One of the most promising is the triglyceride-glucose index. Therefore, this narrative review focuses on the most significant epidemiological findings concerning the relationship between the triglyceride-glucose index and cardiovascular risk. Furthermore, it also highlights this new tool's strengths, limitations, and perspectives for assessing cardiovascular risk.

DATA SYNTHESIS

Even though the assessment of this index is relatively recent, there are numerous papers on this topic, and their number is constantly increasing. Observational studies have shown a substantial positive association between the triglyceride-glucose index and cardiovascular risk, although some conflicting results have been observed.

CONCLUSIONS

The index is strongly associated with cardiovascular mortality and cardiovascular risk factors. However, some gaps need to be addressed.

The association between TyG index and cardiovascular mortality is modified by antidiabetic or lipid-lowering agent: a prospective cohort study

BACKGROUND

The triglyceride-glucose (TyG) index is recognized as an alternative measure of insulin resistance (IR) and has been linked to the risks of cardiovascular disease (CVD) and mortality. This study aimed to evaluate whether the association between the TyG index and CVD mortality is influenced by the use of antidiabetic and hypolipidemic agents, given their potential modifying effects on the TyG index.

METHODS

Participants from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (1999-2018) were included in the study. Mortality outcomes were tracked through linkage with National Death Index records until December 31, 2019. Data on the use of antidiabetic and hypolipidemic medications (including prescribed insulin, diabetic pills, and cholesterol-lowering agents) were self-reported by participants.

RESULTS

A total of 5,046 adults (representing 42,753,806 individuals, weighted mean age 61.08 years [SE: 0.24]; 49.35% female) were analyzed. The TyG index was significantly associated with all-cause and CVD mortality, and these associations were modified by the use of antidiabetic and hypolipidemic agents (p < 0.01). Significant interactions were observed between the TyG index and the use of these agents for mortality outcomes after full adjustments (p-value for interaction < 0.05). Exposure-effect analysis revealed a U-shaped relationship between TyG index levels and the risks of all-cause and CVD mortality in participants using these agents, while a linear positive relationship was observed in participants not using these agents.

CONCLUSIONS

The use of antidiabetic and hypolipidemic agents modify the association between the TyG index and all-cause and CVD mortality. These findings suggest that future studies on the TyG index and its relationship with CVD and mortality should account for the modifying effects of these agents.

Association of Systemic Immune-Inflammation Index With Stroke and Mortality Rates: Evidence From the NHANES Database

OBJECTIVE

This study aimed to examine the association of the systemic immune-inflammation index (SII) with stroke and mortality rates using data from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES).

METHODS

A cross-sectional study was conducted using the aggregated data from 5 cycles (2009 to 2018) of NHANES. SII was the independent variable, and stroke was the dependent variable. Weighted logistic regression models were employed to analyze their relationship. The nonlinear association between SII and stroke was examined using the restricted cubic spline (RCS) method in subgroups stratified by smoking status, hypertension, and dietary inflammatory index. Weighted Kaplan-Meier curves and Cox regression analysis were used to investigate the association of SII with all-cause mortality and cardiovascular disease (CVD) mortality.

RESULTS

A total of 22,107 samples were included in this study. Weighted logistic regression analysis showed a significant correlation between SII and stroke (OR: 1.53, 95% CI: 1.22-1.92, P <0.001). The stratified analysis revealed that interactions of smoking status and hypertension with SII, respectively, had significant impacts on stroke risk. A remarkable positive link between SII and stroke risk (OR>1, P <0.05) was observed in the crude model (unadjusted for confounding factors), model I (adjusted for demographic characteristics), and model II (adjusted for all confounding factors). RCS analysis displayed a remarkable nonlinear positive correlation between SII and stroke risk only in the "now smoking" population ( P -nonlinear<0.05) after adjusting for all confounding factors. In the overall sample population, Kaplan-Meier curves indicated that individuals in the highest quartile of SII had the highest risk of all-cause mortality and CVD mortality (log-rank test P <0.05). Samples with proinflammatory dietary habits had considerably higher risks of all-cause mortality and CVD mortality compared with those with anti-inflammatory dietary habits (log-rank test P <0.05). Multivariable-adjusted Cox regression models showed significantly increased all-cause mortality and CVD mortality rates in the highest quartile of SII compared with the lowest quartile.

CONCLUSIONS

SII levels were considerably positively linked to stroke risk, particularly in the "now smoking" population. Moreover, elevated SII levels increased the risk of all-cause mortality and CVD mortality in the overall population. On the basis of these findings, we recommend incorporating smoking cessation measures into stroke risk reduction strategies.

The role of the triglyceride-glucose index as a biomarker of cardio-metabolic syndromes

BACKGROUND

The Triglyceride-glucose (TyG) index represents a simple, cost-effective, and valid proxy for insulin resistance. This surrogate marker has also been proposed as a predictor of metabolic and cardiovascular disease (CVD). In this descriptive review, we aimed to assess the utility of the TyG index as a predictive biomarker of cardiometabolic diseases.

METHODS

A search was conducted in PubMed, and Web of Science to identify cross-sectional and more importantly prospective studies examining the use of the TyG index as a predictive biomarker. The following terms were utilized in addition to the TyG index: "insulin resistance", "metabolic syndrome", "diabetes"; "cardiovascular diseases".

RESULTS

This descriptive review included thirty prospective studies in addition to cross-sectional studies. Following adjustment for confounding variables, an elevated TyG index was associated with a significantly increased risk for the development of Metabolic Syndrome (MetS), Type 2 Diabetes, hypertension, and CVD. Also in limited studies, the TyG index was associated with endothelial dysfunction, increased oxidative stress and a pro-inflammatory phenotype.

CONCLUSION

Overall, our findings support the use of the TyG index as a valid biomarker to assess the risk of developing MetS, T2DM, as well as atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease.

Exploring Gender Differences in the Association Between TyG Index and COPD: A Cross-Sectional Study from NHANES 1999-2018

Purpose

This study examined gender differences in the association of Triglyceride-Glucose (TyG) index with the prevalence of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD), particularly in a non-diabetic population.

Methods

The study leveraged data from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES), spanning from 1999 to 2018, with a cohort of 23,456 participants. Logistic regression and restricted cubic spline analyses were employed to explore the relationship between the TyG index and COPD prevalence.

Results

Statistical analyses revealed a significant positive association between the TyG index and COPD prevalence among non-diabetic women after adjustment for all covariates (OR=1.50; 95% CI, 1.08-2.08), supported by a linear relationship (P for non-linearity=0.298). No equivalent significant association was found in non-diabetic men (OR=1.00; 95% CI, 0.67-1.48). Within the diabetic group, the TyG index did not show a significant association with COPD prevalence, regardless of gender.

Conclusion

Our study reveals a significant positive correlation between the TyG index and COPD prevalence in the non-diabetic population, marked by notable gender differences.

Alcohol drinking triggered decrease of oxidative balance score is associated with high all-cause and cardiovascular mortality in hypertensive individuals: findings from NHANES 1999-2014

BACKGROUND

Oxidative stress is closely associated with hypertensive outcomes. The oxidative balance score (OBS) measures oxidative stress exposure from dietary and lifestyle elements. The objective of this study was to investigate the association between OBS and mortality in hypertensive patients.

METHODS

This study included 7823 hypertensive patients from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) 1999-2014. Several models, including Cox regression, restricted cubic splines (RCS), Kaplan‒Meier survival analysis, subgroup, and sensitivity analyses, were exploited to investigate the relationship between OBS and the risk of mortality.

RESULTS

Controlling for all potential confounders, a significantly inverse association was observed between elevated OBS and all-cause [hazard ratio (HR) = 0.90, 95% CI: 0.85-0.95] and cardiovascular mortality (HR = 0.85, 95% CI: 0.75-0.95). With adjustment for covariates, significant associations between lifestyle OBS and mortality risks diminished, whereas associations between dietary OBS and these mortality risks remained robust (all-cause mortality: HR = 0.91, 95% CI: 0.86-0.96; cardiovascular mortality: HR = 0.85, 95% CI: 0.76-0.96). RCS demonstrated a linear relationship between OBS and all-cause and cardiovascular mortality risk (P nonlinear = 0.088 and P nonlinear = 0.447, respectively). Kaplan‒Meier curves demonstrated that the mortality rate was lower with a high OBS (P < 0.001). The consistency of the association was demonstrated in subgroup and sensitivity analyses. RCS after stratification showed that among current drinkers, those with higher OBS had a lower risk of mortality compared with former or never drinkers.

CONCLUSIONS

In hypertensive individuals, there was a negative association between OBS and all-cause and cardiovascular mortality. Encouraging hypertensive individuals, especially those currently drinking, to maintain high levels of OBS may be beneficial in improving their prognosis.

Association of oxidative balance score, cardiovascular, and all-cause mortality among patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus

Background

To investigate the association between oxidative balance score (OBS), cardiovascular mortality (CVM), and all-cause mortality (ACM) in type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) patients.

Methods

We included 6,119 participants with T2DM from the 2005-2020 National Health and Nutrition Examination Surveys (NHANES). The status of CVM and ACM of participants was followed through December 31, 2019. Multivariable Cox regression models, Kaplan-Meier curves, log-rank test, restricted cubic spline regression, and subgroup analysis, were used to evaluate the relationship between OBS, CVM, and ACM.

Results

During a median of 100.9 months follow-up, 1,790 ACM cases had occurred, 508 of which were due to cardiovascular disease. The T2DM participants were divided into four groups based on the quartiles of OBS. Participants with Q4 tended to be younger, financially better-off, married, highly educated, had lower alcohol consumption rates, were non-smokers, and exhibited a lower likelihood of ACM and CVM. In multivariate Cox regression models, compared with the patients with Q4, those with Q1 had a 30% increased risk for ACM (Q1, reference; Q4, HR: 0.70, 95%CI: 0.58-0.86) and a 43% increased risk for CVM (Q1, reference; Q4, HR: 0.57, 95%CI: 0.36-0.88). The restricted cubic spline regression models have no nonlinear relationship between OBS, CVM, and ACM. Kaplan-Meier survival curves showed that patients with Q4 had a lower risk of ACM and CVM (log-rank P < 0.05).

Conclusions

We find that ACM and CVM increase with higher OBS in T2DM patients. Moreover, there are linear relationships between OBS, ACM, and CVM.

Association between triglyceride-glucose related indices and all-cause and cause-specific mortality in the general population: a cohort study

BACKGROUND

Although triglyceride-glucose (TyG) index is a reliable indicator of insulin resistance and cardiometabolic disease, its effectiveness in predicting mortality risk has not been adequately validated. We aimed to investigate the association between the TyG-related indices and all-cause and cause-specific mortality in the general population.

METHODS

A total of 27,642 individuals were included from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) between 1999 and 2018. Three indicators were constructed, including the TyG index, TyG combined with waist-to-height ratio (TyG-WHtR), and TyG combined with waist circumference (TyG-WC). Mortality data was acquired through the linkage of NHANES data with National Death Index records. Weighted Cox proportional hazards models were used to estimate the independent association between the TyG-related indices and mortality. Nonlinear associations were explored using restricted cubic splines.

RESULTS

Multivariable adjusted models showed a progressive increase in all-cause and cause-specific mortality across quartiles of the TyG-related indices. Compared with the lowest quartile of the TyG index, the highest quartile had adjusted hazard ratios of 1.26 (95% CI 1.04-1.52) for all-cause mortality, 1.38 (1.04-1.74) for cardiovascular mortality, and 1.23 (1.01-1.50) for non-cardiovascular mortality, respectively. For the TyG-WHtR index, the corresponding hazard ratios were 1.60 (1.25-2.05), 1.86 (1.26-2.50), and 1.48 (1.10-1.99), respectively. For the TyG-WC index, the corresponding hazard ratios were 1.42 (1.11-1.75), 1.48 (1.04-1.96), and 1.38 (1.05-1.72), respectively. The associations between the three TyG-related indices and all-cause, cardiovascular and non-cardiovascular mortality were J-shaped. Interaction tests revealed significant effect modification by age, low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C) level, and statin use (all P values < 0.05).

CONCLUSIONS

The TyG-related indices were independent predictors of all-cause and cause-specific mortality in the general population. Young individuals should be particularly vigilant, whereas low LDL-C levels and statin use are potentially protective.

Association between the triglyceride glucose index and the risk of acute kidney injury in critically ill patients with hypertension: analysis of the MIMIC-IV database

Background

The triglyceride glucose (TyG) index, a metric computed from the levels of fasting triglyceride (TG) and fasting plasma glucose (FPG), has emerged as a simple surrogate measure for insulin resistance (IR) in recent years. In multiple critical care scenarios, such as contrast-induced acute kidney injury (AKI) and cardiorenal syndrome, a high TyG index levels shows a notable correlation with AKI incidence. However, its predictive value for AKI in critically ill hypertensive patients remains uncertain.

Methods

Participants were selected from the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care IV (MIMIC-IV) database and divided into quartiles based on the TyG index. The primary focus of the study was to investigate the risk of acute kidney injury (AKI), with in-hospital mortality as a secondary endpoint, assessed among all study subjects as well as specifically among AKI patients. The use of renal replacement therapy (RRT), indicative of AKI progression, was also considered a secondary endpoint reflecting renal outcomes. To explore the correlation between the TyG index and AKI risk in critically ill hypertensive patients, the study employed a restricted cubic splines model and Cox proportional hazards (CPH) models. Additionally, Kaplan-Meier survival analysis was utilized to assess differences in primary and secondary outcomes across groups categorized by their TyG index. Analyses were conducted to ensure the consistency of the predictive capability of TyG index across various subgroups.

Results

Our study included 4,418 participants, with 57% being male patients. AKI occurred in 56.1% of cases. Through the CPH analysis, we identified a significant association between the TyG index and AKI occurrence in critically ill hypertensive patients. With the help of a restricted cubic splines model, we observed a direct relationship between an elevated TyG index and an increased AKI. Subgroup examinations consistently proved the predictive value of the TyG index across categories. Furthermore, Kaplan-Meier survival analysis revealed notable differences in RRT among AKI patients.

Conclusion

The findings underscore the importance of the TyG index as a reliable predictor for the occurrence of AKI and adverse renal outcomes among hypertensive patients in critical ill states. Nevertheless, validating causality mandates extensive prospective investigations.

Triglyceride-glucose index predicts all-cause mortality, but not cardiovascular mortality, in rural Northeast Chinese patients with metabolic syndrome: a community-based retrospective cohort study

BACKGROUND

Metabolic syndrome (MetS) includes a group of metabolic irregularities, including insulin resistance (IR), atherogenic dyslipidemia, central obesity, and hypertension. Consistent evidence supports IR and ongoing low-grade inflammation as the main contributors to MetS pathogenesis. However, the association between the triglyceride-glucose (TyG) index and mortality in people with MetS remains uncertain. The objective of this study was to examine the correlation between the baseline TyG index and all-cause and cardiovascular (CV) mortality in rural Northeast Chinese individuals with MetS.

METHODS

For the Northeast China Rural Cardiovascular Health Study, 3918 participants (mean age, 55 ± 10; 62.4% women) with MetS at baseline were enrolled in 2012-2013 and followed up from 2015 to 2017. The TyG index was calculated using the equation TyG index = ln [fasting TG (mg/dL) × fasting glucose (mg/dL)/2] and subdivided into tertiles [Q1(< 8.92); Q2 (8.92-9.36); Q3 (≥ 9.36)]. Multivariate Cox proportional hazards models were developed to examine the correlations between mortality and the baseline TyG index.

RESULTS

During a median of 4.66 years of follow-up, 196 (5.0%) all-cause deaths and 108 (2.8%) CV disease-related deaths occurred. The incidence of all-cause mortality was significantly different among TyG index tertiles of the overall population (P = 0.045). Kaplan-Meier analysis demonstrated a significantly increased risk of all-cause mortality in rural Chinese patients with a higher TyG index (log-rank P < 0.05). After adjusting for possible confounders, Cox proportional hazard analysis revealed that the TyG index could effectively predict all-cause mortality (HR for the third vs. first tertile of TyG was 1.441 [95% confidence interval, 1.009-2.059]), but not CV mortality, in rural Chinese patients with MetS.

CONCLUSIONS

The TyG index is an effective predictor of all-cause mortality in rural Chinese patients with MetS. This indicates that the TyG index may be useful for identifying rural Chinese individuals with MetS at a high risk of death.

Association between the triglyceride glucose index and obstructive sleep apnea and its symptoms: results from the NHANES

BACKGROUND

Certain studies have indicated a link between obstructive sleep apnea and insulin resistance in specific populations. To gain more clarity, extensive research involving a broad sample of the overall population is essential. The primary objective of this study was to investigate this correlation by utilizing data from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey database.

METHODS

The analysis incorporated data from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey database spanning the time periods from 2005 to 2008 and from 2015 to 2018, with a focus on American adults aged 18 years and older after applying weight adjustments. Key variables such as obstructive sleep apnea, triglyceride glucose index, and various confounding factors were considered. A generalized linear logistic regression model was used to investigate the association between obstructive sleep apnea and the triglyceride glucose index, with additional exploration of the consistency of the results through hierarchical analysis and other techniques.

RESULTS

The study included participants aged between 18 and 90 years, with an average age of 46.75 years. Among the total sample, 50.76% were male. The triglyceride glucose index demonstrated a diagnostic capability for obstructive sleep apnea, with an AUC of 0.701 (95% CI: 0.6619-0.688). According to the fully adjusted model, individuals in the fourth quartile of the triglyceride glucose index showed an increased likelihood of having obstructive sleep apnea compared to those in the first quartile (OR: 1.45; 95% CI: 1.02-2.06; P < 0.05). Subgroup analysis indicated that male sex (OR: 2.09; 95% CI: 1.76-2.45; P < 0.05), younger age (OR: 2.83; 95% CI: 2.02-3.96; P < 0.05), white ethnicity (OR: 2.29; 95% CI: 1.93-2.73; P < 0.05), and obesity (OR: 1.54; 95% CI: 1.28-1.85; P < 0.05) were correlated with an elevated risk of OSA.

CONCLUSIONS

This study demonstrated a strong association between an elevated TG index and OSA. Additionally, the triglyceride glucose index could serve as an independent predictor of obstructive sleep apnea.

Association of the metabolic score for insulin resistance with cardiovascular diseases, cardiovascular and all-cause mortality in Chinese hypertensive population

Importance

Little is known about the relationship between the metabolic score for insulin resistance (METS-IR) and the prognosis of hypertensive patients in China.

Objective

To investigate the association between the novel non-insulin-based METS-IR index and the cardiovascular composite endpoints and all-cause mortality in Chinese hypertensive participants.

Design setting and participants

This cohort study used data from the China H-Type Hypertension Project, a long-term prospective cohort consisting of 14234 hypertensive patients in southern China, with a baseline from March to August 2018. The median follow-up period for participants was 3.94 years, as of 2022. The data analysis period is from July 2023 to September 2023.

Exposures

METS-IR index of participants in the Chinese H-type hypertension project. The calculation formula for METS-IR is (Ln (2 × FPG) +TG) × BMI/Ln (HDL-C).

Main outcomes and measures

Cardiovascular events and cardiovascular, all-cause mortality were identified by linking the cohort database with the health care system through October, 2023.

Results

A total of 14220 participants were included in this study. The prevalence rates of cardiovascular disease (CVD), cardiovascular death, and all-cause death were 2.59% (369/14220), 2.79% (397/14220), and 5.66% (805/14220), respectively. After adjusting for confounding factors in the multivariate logistic regression analysis models, the METS-IR index was significantly positively correlated with CVD, and cardiovascular, all-cause mortality, whether as a categorical or continuous variable. Layered analysis showed that the METS-IR index of hypertensive participants in different subgroups was positively correlated with the endpoint event.

Conclusions and relevance

This large, prospective cohort study demonstrated that the METS-IR index, a new IR evaluation index, were independently associated with a higher risk of the cardiovascular composite endpoint and all-cause mortality among Chinese hypertensive population. Importantly, our finding provides an independent indicator for evaluating the prognosis of hypertensive patients.

The effect of insulin resistance in the association between obesity and hypertension incidence among Chinese middle-aged and older adults: data from China health and retirement longitudinal study (CHARLS)

Background and aims

Obesity and insulin resistance are well-known important risk factors for hypertension. This study aimed to investigate the mediating effect of the triglyceride-glucose index (TyG) in the association between Chinese visceral obesity index (CVAI) and hypertension among Chinese middle-aged and older adults.

Methods

A total of 10,322 participants aged 45 years and older from CHARLS (2011-2018) were included. Baseline data were collected in 2011 and hypertension incidence data were gathered during follow-up in 2013, 2015 and 2018. Multivariate logistic regression models were constructed to investigate the association of CVAI and TyG with the incidence of hypertension. Additionally, mediation analyses were conducted to evaluate the mediating role of the TyG index in the relationship between CVAI and hypertension. Subgroup analysis was also performed.

Results

A total of 2,802 participants developed hypertension during the follow-up period. CVAI and TyG index were independently and significantly associated with hypertension incidence. Increasing quartiles of CVAI and TyG index were associated with high hypertension incidence in middle-aged and older adults. The TyG index was identified as a mediator in the relationship between CVAI and hypertension incidence, with a mediation effect (95% confidence interval) was 12.38% (6.75, 31.81%).

Conclusion

Our study found that CVAI and TyG were independently associated with hypertension incidence. TyG played a partial mediating effect in the positive association between CVAI and hypertension incidence.

Association of the triglyceride glucose index with all-cause and cardiovascular mortality in a general population of Iranian adults

BACKGROUND

The triglyceride glucose (TyG) index is a new and low-cost marker to determine insulin resistant which may be a predictor of cardiovascular disease (CVD). Although available evidence showed that its association with CVD mortality (CVM) and all-cause mortality (ACM) may differ in different populations, scarce data are available in this regard specially in low and middle-income countries.

PURPOSE

To examine the association between TyG index and risk of CVM and ACM in Iranians.

METHODS

This prospective cohort study included 5432 adults (age ≥ 35 years) with no history of CVD events. Fasting glucose and triglyceride were measured at baseline in all participants and TyG index was calculated. Cox frailty model was used to calculate hazard ratios (HRs) for CVM and ACM across the tertiles of TyG index.

RESULTS

After a median follow-up of 11.25 years, a total number of 191 cardiovascular deaths, and 487 all-cause mortality was recorded. The risk of both CVM and ACM increased across the tertiles of TyG index. In the adjusted model for lifestyle and metabolic variables, the risks of ACM and CVM increased by 41% (95% CI 1.11, 1.81; P for trend = 0.005) and 64% (95% CI 1.07, 2.50; P for trend = 0.024), respectively. However, adjustment for diabetes mellitus disappeared the significance for both ACM and CVM. These associations may vary by sex. TyG was not related to the risk of non-CVD mortality.

CONCLUSION

The predicting value of TyG index for ACM and CVM might be mediated by diabetes status. Further studies are required to confirm these findings.

The triglyceride-glucose index: a novel predictor of stroke and all-cause mortality in liver transplantation recipients

BACKGROUND

The triglyceride-glucose (TyG) index, identified as a reliable indicator of insulin resistance (IR), was reported to be associated with stroke recurrence and morbidity in the general population and critically ill patients. However, the relationship in liver transplantation (LT) recipients remains unknown. This study aimed to investigate the correlation between the TyG index and post-LT stroke along with all-cause mortality and further assess the influence of IR on the LT recipients' prognosis.

METHODS

The retrospective cohort study enrolled 959 patients who underwent LT at a university-based medical centre between January 2015 and January 2021. The participants were divided into three groups according to their TyG index tertiles. The primary outcome was post-LT stroke. Multivariate logistic regression, COX proportional hazards regression, and restricted cubic spline RCS were used to examine the association between the TyG index and outcomes in LT recipients.

RESULTS

With a median TyG index of 8.23 (7.78-8.72), 780 (87.18% males) patients were eventually included. The incidence of post-LT stroke was 5.38%, and the in-hospital, 1-year, and 3-year mortality rates were 5.54%, 13.21%, and 15.77%, respectively. Multivariate regression analysis showed an independent association between the TyG index and an increased risk of post-LT stroke [adjusted odds ratio (aOR), 3.398 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.371-8.426) P = 0. 008], in-hospital mortality [adjusted hazard ratio (aHR), 2.326 (95% CI: 1.089-4.931) P = 0.025], 1-year mortality [aHR, 1.668 (95% CI: 1.024-2.717) P = 0.039], and 3-year mortality [aHR, 1.837 (95% CI: 1.445-2.950) P = 0.012]. Additional RCS analysis also suggested a linear increase in the risk of postoperative stroke with elevated TyG index (P for nonlinearity = 0.480).

CONCLUSIONS

The TyG index may be a valuable and reliable indicator for assessing stroke risk and all-cause mortality in patients undergoing LT, suggesting its potential relevance in improving risk stratification during the peri-LT period.

TyG index is a predictor of all-cause mortality during the long-term follow-up in middle-aged and elderly with hypertension

BACKGROUND

The triglyceride and glucose (TyG) index has been found to be significantly associated with a higher risk of mortality. However, there has been a lack of studies exploring the specific relationship between the TyG index and all-cause and cardiovascular mortality among middle-aged and elderly with hypertension.

METHODS

A total of 3,614 participants with hypertension were enrolled from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey. The TyG index was calculated using the formula log [fasting triglycerides (mg/dL) x fasting glucose (mg/dL)/2]. The Cox proportional hazard ratios were used to evaluate the association between the TyG index and the risk of mortality.

RESULTS

Over a follow-up period of 7.87 years, 991 all-cause death and 189 cardiovascular deaths occurred. Compared with the reference quartile, the multivariate-adjusted hazard ratios and 95% confidence intervals were 1.28 (1.07-1.53; p = .006) in the fourth quartile for all-cause mortality and 0.63 (0.42-0.96; p = .031) in the second quartile for cardiovascular mortality. Dose-response analysis indicated an L-shaped relationship.

CONCLUSIONS

The TyG index exhibited an L-shaped association with the risk of all-cause mortality among middle-aged and elderly with hypertension.

Association of cardiometabolic factors and insulin resistance surrogates with mortality in participants from the Korean Genome and Epidemiology Study

BACKGROUND

Simple biochemical and anthropometric measurements such as fasting blood glucose (FBG), triglycerides (TG), high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL-C), waist circumference (WC), and body mass index (BMI) are used to formulate insulin resistance (IR) indices. Whether these indices provide new predictive information for mortality remains unknown. This study examined the relationships of biochemical, anthropometric, and IR indices with mortality risk, as well as their predictive performance.

METHODS

The data source was the Korean Genome and Epidemiology Study (2004-2020) involving 114,957 participants whose data were linked to death records. The IR indices- triglyceride-glucose index (TyG), TyG-BMI, TyG-WC, visceral adiposity index (VAI), lipid accumulation product (LAP), and metabolic score for insulin resistance (METS-IR) were computed using standard formulae. The associations were examined using restricted cubic splines. The predictive performance was compared using the log-likelihood ratio chi-square test.

RESULTS

Body mass index was U-shaped, HDL-C was reverse J-shaped, and FBG and TG levels were J-shaped associated with all-cause mortality. Results showed U-shaped (TyG), J-shaped (TyG-BMI, VAI, LAP, and METS-IR), and reverse J-shaped (TyG-WC) associations with all-cause mortality. The percentages of new predictive information for all-cause mortality explained by the FBG level, BMI, TyG-BMI, and METIR were 3.34%, 2.33%, 1.47%, and 1.37%, respectively. Other IR indices and biochemical and anthropometric measurements provided < 1.0% of new predictive information. For cardiovascular disease mortality, the FBG, BMI, METIR, TyG-BMI, and HDL-C levels explained 2.57%, 2.12%, 1.59%, 1.30%, and 1.27% of new predictive information respectively. Moreover, the risks of cancer mortality explained by FBG level, VAI, and HDL-C level were 2.05%, 1.49%, and 1.28%, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

Fasting blood glucose level is a superior predictor of mortality risk and may be used as a simple predictive and preventative factor.

Development and validation of a nomogram for predicting all-cause mortality in American adult hypertensive populations

Backgrounds: Hypertension stands as the predominant global cause of mortality. A notable deficiency exists in terms of predictive models for mortality among individuals with hypertension. We aim to devise an effective nomogram model that possesses the capability to forecast all-cause mortality within hypertensive populations. Methods: The data for this study were drawn from nine successive cycles of the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) spanning the years from 1999 to 2016. The dataset was partitioned into training and validation sets at a 7:3 ratio. We opted for clinical practice-relevant indicators, applied the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression to identify the most pertinent variables, and subsequently built a nomogram model. We also employed concordance index, receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves, calibration curves and decision curve analysis (DCA) to assess the model's validity. Results: A total of 17,125 hypertensive participants were included in this study with a division into a training set (11,993 individuals) and a validation set (5,132 individuals). LASSO regression was applied for the training set to obtain nine variables including age, monocytes, neutrophils, serum albumin, serum potassium, cardiovascular disease, diabetes, serum creatinine and glycated hemoglobin (HbA1C), and constructed a nomogram prediction model. To validate this model, data from the training and validation sets were used for validation separately. The concordance index of the nomogram model was 0.800 (95% CI, 0.792-0.808, p < 0.001) based on the training set and 0.793 (95% CI, 0.781-0.805, p < 0.001) based on the validation set. The ROC curves, calibration curves, and DCA curves all showed good predictive performance. Conclusion: We have developed a nomogram that effectively forecasts the risk of all-cause mortality among American adults in hypertensive populations. Clinicians may use this nomogram to assess patient's prognosis and choose a proper intervention in a timely manner.

Association between triglyceride-glucose index and all-cause mortality in critically ill patients with ischemic stroke: analysis of the MIMIC-IV database

BACKGROUND

The triglyceride-glucose (TyG) index was significantly associated with insulin resistance (IR). Several studies have validated the effect of TyG index on cerebrovascular disease. However, the value of TyG index in patients with severe stroke requiring ICU admission remains unclear. The aim of this study was to investigate the association between the TyG index and clinical prognosis of critically ill patients with ischemic stroke (IS).

METHODS

This study identified patients with severe IS requiring ICU admission from the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care (MIMIC-IV) database, and divided them into quartiles based on TyG index level. The outcomes included in-hospital mortality and ICU mortality. The association between the TyG index and clinical outcomes in critically ill patients with IS was elucidated using Cox proportional hazards regression analysis and restricted cubic splines.

RESULTS

A total of 733 patients (55.8% male) were enrolled. The hospital mortality and intensive care unit (ICU) mortality reached 19.0% and 14.9%, respectively. Multivariate Cox proportional hazards analysis showed that the elevated TyG index was significantly related to all-cause death. After confounders adjusting, patients with an elevated TyG index had a significant association with hospital mortality (adjusted hazard ratio, 1.371; 95% confidence interval, 1.053-1.784; P = 0.013) and ICU mortality (adjusted hazard ratio, 1.653; 95% confidence interval, 1.244-2.197; P = 0.001). Restricted cubic splines revealed that a progressively increasing risk of all-cause mortality was related to an elevated TyG index.

CONCLUSION

The TyG index has a significant association with hospital and ICU all-cause death in critically ill patients with IS. This finding demonstrates that the TyG index might be useful in identifying patients with IS at high risk of all-cause death.

U-shaped association between the triglyceride-glucose index and atrial fibrillation incidence in a general population without known cardiovascular disease

OBJECTIVE

The triglyceride-glucose (TyG) index has been shown to be a new alternative measure for insulin resistance. However, no study has attempted to investigate the association of the TyG index with incident atrial fibrillation (AF) in the general population without known cardiovascular diseases.

METHODS

Individuals without known cardiovascular diseases (heart failure, coronary heart disease, or stroke) from the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) cohort were recruited. The baseline TyG index was calculated as the Ln [fasting triglycerides (mg/dL) × fasting glucose (mg/dL)/2]. The association between the baseline TyG index and incident AF was examined using Cox regression.

RESULTS

Of 11,851 participants, the mean age was 54.0 years; 6586 (55.6%) were female. During a median follow-up of 24.26 years, 1925 incidents of AF cases (0.78/per 100 person-years) occurred. An increased AF incidence with a graded TyG index was found by Kaplan‒Meier curves (P < 0.001). In multivariable-adjusted analysis, both < 8.80 (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR] = 1.15, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.02, 1.29) and > 9.20 levels (aHR 1.18, 95% CI 1.03, 1.37) of the TyG index were associated with an increased risk of AF compared with the middle TyG index category (8.80-9.20). The exposure-effect analysis confirmed the U-shaped association between the TyG index and AF incidence (P = 0.041). Further sex-specific analysis showed that a U-shaped association between the TyG index and incident AF still existed in females but not in males.

CONCLUSIONS

A U-shaped association between the TyG index and AF incidence is observed in Americans without known cardiovascular diseases. Female sex may be a modifier in the association between the TyG index and AF incidence.

Geriatric Nutrition Risk Index as a predictor of cardiovascular and all-cause mortality in older Americans with diabetes

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Few studies have examined the relationship between malnutrition, as defined by the Geriatric Nutrition Risk Index (GNRI), and all-cause mortality and cardiovascular mortality events, particularly in persons with diabetes. The study aimed at the association between GNRI and all-cause mortality and cardiovascular mortality in older Americans with diabetes.

METHODS

Data from this retrospective study were obtained from the National Health and Nutrition Examination (NHANES) 1999-2016. Using data from The NHANES Public-Use Linked Mortality Files to assess all-cause mortality (ACM) and cardiovascular mortality (CVM). After excluding participants younger than 60 years and without diabetes, and with missing follow-up data, 4400 cases were left in this study. Persons with diabetes were divided by GNRI into 3 groups: GNRI ≥ 98; 92 ≤ GNRI < 98; and GNRI < 92; (No; Low; Moderate/Severe (M/S) group). We used Cox proportional hazard regression model to explore the predictive role of GNRI on ACM and CVM in elderly persons with diabetes. Restricted cubic splines to investigate the existence of a dose-response linear relationship between them.

RESULT

During a median follow-up period of 89 months, a total of 538 (12.23%) cardiovascular deaths occurred and 1890 (42.95%) all-cause deaths occurred. Multifactorial COX regression analysis showed all-cause mortality (hazard ratio [HR]: 2.58, 95% CI: 1.672-3.994, p < 0.001) and cardiovascular mortality (HR: 2.29, 95% CI: 1.063-4.936, p = 0.034) associated with M/S group risk of malnutrition in GNRI compared to no group. A negative association between GNRI and all-cause mortality was observed across gender and ethnicity. However, the same negative association between GNRI and cardiovascular mortality was observed only for males (HR:0.94, 95% CI:0.905-0.974, p < 0.001) and other races (HR:0.92, 95% CI:0.861-0.976, p = 0.007). And there was no significant correlation between low malnutrition and cardiovascular mortality (p = 0.076). Restricted cubic splines showed a nonlinear relationship between GNRI and all-cause mortality and cardiovascular mortality (non-linear p < 0.001, non-linear p = 0.019).

CONCLUSIONS

Lower GNRI levels are associated with mortality in older patients with diabetes. GNRI may be a predictor of all-cause mortality and cardiovascular mortality risk in older patients with diabetes.

Combined association of triglyceride-glucose index and systolic blood pressure with all-cause and cardiovascular mortality among the general population

Background

The combined association of triglyceride-glucose (TyG) index and different systolic blood pressure (SBP) levels with all-cause and cardiovascular mortality among the general population remains unclear.

Methods

In this study, 6245 individuals were from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (1999–2002). The study endpoints were all-cause and cardiovascular mortality. Multivariate Cox proportional hazards regression models were used to explore the combined association of TyG index and different SBP levels with all-cause and cardiovascular mortality.

Results

During a mean follow-up period of 66.8 months, a total of 284 all-cause deaths (331/100000 person-years) and 61 cardiovascular deaths (66/100000 person-years) were recorded. Multivariate Cox regression analysis revealed that the combination of low TyG index and low SBP (< 120 mmHg and < 130 mmHg) was associated with a reduced risk of all-cause and cardiovascular mortality than others. However, survival benefit was not observed in the combined group with the low TyG index and SBP < 140 mmHg. Furthermore, the mortality rate in the combined group of low TyG index and low SBP gradually increased with the elevation of SBP level.

Conclusion

The combination of low TyG index and low SBP (< 120 mmHg and < 130 mmHg) was associated with a lower risk of all-cause and cardiovascular mortality. However, no survival benefit was observed in the combined group of low TyG index and SBP < 140 mmHg.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s12967-022-03678-z.

Association between triglyceride glucose index and carotid intima-media thickness in obese and nonobese adults

BACKGROUND

The triglyceride glucose (TyG) index is closely associated with subclinical atherosclerosis. However, the association remains inconclusive among obese and nonobese individuals.

METHODS

This prospective study was conducted in 5751 adults with normal carotid intima-media thickness (CIMT) at baseline. We divided the population into four groups based on the TyG index, which was calculated by the following formula: Ln (fasting triglycerides [mg/dL] × fasting glucose [mg/dL]/2). Information on CIMT was acquired by ultrasonography. Incident elevated CIMT was defined as IMT values greater than 0.9 mm at follow-up. Odds ratios (ORs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) of the associations between TyG index and elevated CIMT were estimated using multivariable logistic regression models.

RESULTS

After a median follow-up of 4.3 years, 722 (12.6%) individuals had progressed to elevated CIMT. Compared with the second quartile of the TyG index, the first and fourth quartile both conferred higher risks of elevated CIMT after adjusting for potential confounders. In the total population, the ORs for the first and fourth quartile were 1.29 (95% CI, 1.00-1.66) and 1.42 (95% CI, 1.11-1.83), respectively. Restricted cubic splines demonstrated an approximately U-shaped association between TyG index and elevated CIMT among the total and nonobese adults (P for nonlinearity <.05), but not in those with general or abdominal obesity.

CONCLUSIONS

A U-shaped association was observed between TyG index and elevated CIMT only among nonobese Chinese adults.

High triglyceride-glucose index in young adulthood is associated with incident cardiovascular disease and mortality in later life: insight from the CARDIA study

BACKGROUND

This study aimed to investigate the associations between the triglyceride-glucose (TyG) index in young adulthood with incident cardiovascular disease (CVD) and mortality.

METHODS

We included 4,754 participants from the Coronary Artery Risk Development in Young Adults study at baseline. The TyG index was calculated as ln (fasting TG [mg/dl] × fasting glucose [mg/dl]/2), and the TyG index trajectories were identified by using the latent class growth mixture model. We evaluated the association between the baseline and trajectories of the TyG index with incident CVD events and all-cause mortality using Cox proportional hazards regression analysis. The added value of the TyG index included in pooled cohort equations for CVD prediction was also analyzed.

RESULTS

Among 4754 participants (mean age 24.72 years, 45.8% male, 51.2% black), there were 158 incident CVD events and 246 all-cause mortality during a median 25 years follow-up. After adjusting for multiple confounding variables, each one-unit increase in the TyG index was associated with a 96% higher CVD risk (hazard ratio [HR] 1.96, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.44-2.66) and a 85% higher all-cause mortality risk (HR 1.85, 95% CI 1.45-2.36). Three distinct trajectories of the TyG index along the follow-up duration were identified: low (44.0%), moderate (45.5%), and high (10.5%). Compared with those participants in the low TyG index trajectory group, those in the high TyG index trajectory group had a greater risk of CVD events (HR 2.35, 95% CI 1.34-4.12) and all-cause mortality (HR 3.04, 95% CI 1.83-5.07). The addition of baseline TyG index to pooled cohort equations for CVD improved the C-statistics (P < 0.001), integrated discrimination improvement value (P < 0.001), and category-free net reclassification improvement value (P = 0.003).

CONCLUSIONS

Higher baseline TyG index levels and higher long-term trajectory of TyG index during young adulthood were significantly associated with an increased risk of incident CVD events and all-cause mortality in later life.

Association of triglyceride glucose index with all-cause and cause-specific mortality among middle age and elderly US population

Aims

To investigate the association between the triglyceride glucose (TyG) index and all-cause and cause-specific mortality in middle age and elderly population.

Methods and results

A total of 9,254 participants with age ≥ 45 years were enrolled from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey cycle of 1999–2014. The TyG index was determined as ln [fasting triglycerides (mg/dL) x fasting glucose (mg/dL)/2]. Primary outcomes were all-cause mortality and cause-specific mortality (cardiovascular diseases and malignant neoplasms). The association between the levels of TyG and the risk of mortality was explored with Cox regression models. After a median follow-up of 7.6 years, 1,774 all-cause death occurred. Univariate analysis showed that the TyG was associated with all-cause mortality (hazard ratio [HR] 1.18, 95% confidence interval [CI] [1.11,1.26]; p < 0.001). Furthermore, multivariate-adjusted analysis found that the third TyG quartile (8.72 ~ 9.16) was associated with the lowest risk of all-cause mortality (HR 0.84, 95%CI [0.73, 0.98]; p < 0.05). Restricted cubic splines showed that the association between levels of TyG index and the risk of all-cause mortality was non-linear (p for nonlinearity < 0.001) and the inflection point was 9.18 using threshold effect analysis. The HR was 0.82 (95%CI [0.71,0.96]) below 9.18 while the HR was 1.32 (95%CI [1.12,1.55]) above 9.18.

Conclusion

TyG index was U-shaped associated with all-cause mortality and the TyG index associated with the lowest risk of all-cause mortality was 9.18.

Association Between a Novel Metabolic Score for Insulin Resistance and Mortality in People With Diabetes

BACKGROUND

Growing studies have shown that insulin resistance (IR) is associated with poor prognoses among patients with diabetes, whereas the association between IR and mortality has not been determined. Hence we aimed to evaluate the associations between IR and all-cause, cardiovascular diseases (CVDs) and cancer-related mortality in patients with diabetes.

METHODS

We enrolled 2,542 participants with diabetes with an average age of 57.12 ± 0.39 years and 52.8% men from the 1999-2014 National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES 1999-2014). A novel metabolic score for insulin resistance (METS-IR) was considered as alternative marker of IR. Mortality data were obtained from the National Death Index records and all participants were followed up until December 31, 2015. Cox proportional hazards regression, restricted cubic spline and Kaplan-Meier survival curves were performed to evaluate the associations between METS-IR and all-cause and cause-specific mortality in patients with diabetes.

RESULTS

During 17,750 person-years of follow-up [median (months), 95% CI: 90, 87-93], 562 deaths were documented, including 133 CVDs-related deaths and 90 cancer-related deaths. Multivariate Cox regression showed that compared with Quintile 1 (METS-IR ≤ 41), METS-IR in Quintile 2, 3, and 4 was all associated with all-cause mortality (Q2 vs. Q1: HR 0.65, 95% CI 0.49-0.87, P = 0.004; Q3 vs. Q1: HR 0.69, 95% CI 0.50-0.96, P = 0.029; Q4 vs. Q1: HR 0.57, 95% CI 0.36-0.91, P = 0.019; respectively). Restricted cubic spline indicated that METS-IR was non-linearly associated with all-cause and CVDs-related mortality. Threshold effect analyses determined that threshold values of METS-IR for all-cause and CVDs-related mortality were both 33.33. Only METS-IR below the threshold was negatively associated with all-cause and CVDs-related mortality (HR 0.785, 95% CI 0.724-0.850, P < 0.001; HR 0.722, 95% CI 0.654-0.797, P < 0.001; respectively). Sensitivity analyses showed that when excluding participants who died within 1 years of follow-up, the results of threshold effect analyses remained consistent, whereas excluding participants with CVDs, METS-IR below the threshold was only negatively correlated with all-cause mortality. Subgroup analyses indicated that for all-cause mortality, the results were still stable in all subgroups except newly diagnosed diabetes, but for CVDs-related mortality, the association persisted only in participants who were ≤ 65 years, male, White, non-White, already diagnosed diabetes, or uesd oral drugs, insulin, insulin sensitizing drugs.

CONCLUSION

METS-IR was non-linearly associated with all-cause and CVDs-related mortality in patients with diabetes, and METS-IR below the threshold was negatively associated with all-cause and CVDs-related mortality.