Influence of phenotype at diagnosis and of other potential prognostic factors on the course of inflammatory bowel disease

Differential efficacy of medical therapies for ulcerative colitis according to disease extent: patient-level analysis from multiple randomized controlled trials

Background

Disease extent in Ulcerative Colitis (UC) has prognostic implications for disease course. It is unclear whether the efficacy of medical therapies for moderate to severely active UC vary according to disease extent at enrollment.

Methods

We analyzed patient level data from 11 Phase 2 and 3 clinical trials of advanced therapies in patients with moderate-to-severe UC to assess modifications of advanced therapy effects by disease extent. Primary outcome was clinical response and secondary outcomes were clinical remission, endoscopic response/remission and endoscopic improvement, and Mayo clinic subscore for both induction and maintenance studies. Binary and continuous outcomes were analyzed using the modified Poisson regression model and the mixed-effects model, respectively, adjusting for age, sex, disease duration, concomitant steroid use and prior anti-TNF use. Effect modifications with binary outcomes were quantified by ratios of risk ratio for left-sided to that for extensive colitis while effect modifications with the Mayo subscores were quantified by differences of the differences between mean scores of the left-sided and extensive colitis. Results were presented with point estimates and 95% confidence intervals as well as p-values.

Findings

Eleven clinical trials enrolling 5450 UC patients (infliximab = 2, adalimumab = 2, golimumab = 2, vedolizumab = 2, tofacitinib = 3) were included. In induction trials, there was evidence to suggest effect modification by disease extent for clinical response with tofacitinib (the ratio of RRs 0.67, 95% CI [0.45, 0.99], p = 0.049) and clinical remission with infliximab (ratio of RRs 0.33, 95% CI [0.13, 0.85], p = 0.020) favoring patients with extensive colitis. There was no evidence to suggest effect modification for endoscopic improvement and clinical outcomes. There was evidence to suggest effect modification by disease extent for clinical remission with tofacitinib (ratio of RRs 0.44, 95% CI [0.22, 0.89], p = 0.020) favoring patients with extensive colitis. For symptom subscores from the Mayo Clinic score, tofacitinib was associated with a greater reduction in both stool frequency (difference of differences 0.37, 95% CI [0.08, 0.65], p = 0.012) and rectal bleeding scores (difference of differences 0.25, 95% CI [0.03, 0.47], p = 0.026) in patients with extensive colitis compared to left sided.

Interpretation

These findings underscore the possibility of differential efficacy of medical therapies according to disease distribution. These results warrant further exploration in forthcoming trials to better inform treatment strategies and consideration of disease distribution as a baseline stratification factor in clinical trials.

Funding

This study did not receive any financial support.

Clinical factors associated with severity in patients with inflammatory bowel disease in Brazil based on 2-year national registry data from GEDIIB

The Brazilian Organization for Crohn's Disease and Colitis (GEDIIB) established a national registry of inflammatory bowel disease (IBD). The aim of the study was to identify clinical factors associated with disease severity in IBD patients in Brazil. A population-based risk model aimed at stratifying the severity of IBD based on previous hospitalization, use of biologics, and need for surgery for ulcerative colitis (UC) and Crohn's Disease (CD) and on previous complications for CD. A total of 1179 patients (34.4 ± 14.7y; females 59%) were included: 46.6% with UC, 44.2% with CD, and 0.9% with unclassified IBD (IBD-U). The time from the beginning of the symptoms to diagnosis was 3.85y. In CD, 41.2% of patients presented with ileocolic disease, 32% inflammatory behavior, and 15.5% perianal disease. In UC, 46.3% presented with extensive colitis. Regarding treatment, 68.1%, 67%, and 47.6% received biological therapy, salicylates and immunosuppressors, respectively. Severe disease was associated with the presence of extensive colitis, EIM, male, comorbidities, and familial history of colorectal cancer in patients with UC. The presence of Montreal B2 and B3 behaviors, colonic location, and EIM were associated with CD severity. In conclusion, disease severity was associated with younger age, greater disease extent, and the presence of rheumatic EIM.

Prevalence and Outcomes of No Treatment Versus 5-ASA in Ulcerative Colitis: A Nationwide Analysis From the epi-IIRN

BACKGROUND

Data regarding patients with ulcerative colitis (UC) not receiving maintenance treatment are scarce. In this nationwide study, we aimed to explore the frequency and long-term outcomes of untreated patients with UC vs treated patients.

METHODS

We retrieved data from Israel's Health Maintenance Organizations, covering 98% of the population. No maintenance treatment (NMT) was defined as lack of treatment during the period from 3 to 6 months from diagnosis, allowing at most 3 months for induction treatment.

RESULTS

A total of 15 111 patients have been diagnosed with UC since 2005, of whom 4410 (29%) have had NMT, with 36 794 person-years of follow-up. NMT was more likely in adults (31%) and in elderly-onset UC (29%) than in pediatric-onset UC (20%; P < .001) and decreased from 38% in 2005 to 18% in 2019 (P < .001). The probability of remaining without treatment was 78%, 49%, and 37% after 1, 3, and 5 years from diagnosis, respectively. In propensity score-matched analysis of 1080 pairs of treated (93% with 5-aminosalicylic acid) and untreated patients, outcomes were comparable for time to biologics (P = .6), surgery (P = .8), steroid dependency (P = .09), and hospitalizations (P = .2). Multivariable modeling indicated that failing NMT was less likely in adults or elderly-onset patients who received at most rectal therapy or antibiotics as induction therapy.

CONCLUSIONS

Nowadays, 18% of patients with UC do not receive maintenance therapy, of whom half remain without treatment after 3 years. Matched pairs of patients on NMT and 5-aminosalicylic acid, representing the mildest patients of the latter, had similar outcomes. Prospective studies are needed to further explore the role of NMT in UC.

Changes in surgery rates among hospitalized patients with inflammatory bowel disease in Japan from 2015 to 2019: A nationwide administrative database analysis

BACKGROUND AND AIM

Treatment of inflammatory bowel disease (IBD), consisting of ulcerative colitis (UC) and Crohn's disease (CD), has advanced with the application of biologics or Janus kinase inhibitor (JAKi); however, some patients still need surgery. We assessed time trends of surgery and biologics or JAKi variety in Japan.

METHODS

Patients hospitalized due to IBD were analyzed using Diagnosis Procedure Combination data between 2015 and 2019. Longitudinal trend analysis was performed for demographics, and interrupted time-series analysis was performed to examine the association between surgery rates and an increase in the types of biologics or JAKi.

RESULTS

Totally, 37 867 cases with UC and 35 493 cases with CD were analyzed. Over 5 years, the surgery rate decreased in both UC and CD. The proportion of biologics and JAKi usage increased in UC and stabilized in CD. Between decreasing surgery and expanding treatment options of biologic or JAKi, interrupted time-series analysis results showed no significant correlation (level change in UC, -1.13, 95% confidence interval [CI]: -2.11 to -0.16, P = 0.0235; slope change in UC, -0.05, 95% CI: -0.26 to 0.16, P = 0.6372; level change in CD, -0.55, 95% CI: -1.82 to 0.71, P = 0.3815; slope change in CD, -0.22, 95% CI: -0.63 to 0.19, P = 0.2892).

CONCLUSIONS

In Japan, from 2015 to 2019, the use of biologics or JAKi increased for UC and slightly decreased for CD, while the number of surgeries decreased in both. Our findings suggest that more widespread use of biologics or JAKi therapy could reduce surgeries in patients with IBD.

Baseline Clinical Factors Are Associated With Risk of Complications in Crohn's Disease: Appraisal of the American Gastroenterological Association Clinical Care Pathway

INTRODUCTION

The American Gastroenterological Association (AGA) has compiled risk factors that may be predictive of disease complications in Crohn's disease (CD) and ulcerative colitis (UC). The aim of this study was to evaluate the performance of the AGA risk factors for risk stratification in UC and CD.

METHODS

We included participants of 2 cohorts: the Ocean State Crohn's and Colitis Area Registry cohort and the Mayo Clinic cohort. Baseline clinical risk factors were extracted according to the AGA pathway. Our primary end point was defined as follows: (i) any inflammatory bowel disease related-hospitalization, (ii) any inflammatory bowel disease-related bowel surgery, or (iii) any progression of disease. We analyzed the association of the number of AGA risk factors with our end point. Statistical multivariable modeling was performed with Cox proportional hazards model.

RESULTS

A total of 412 patients with CD were included. Comparing ≥3 risk factors with 0-1 risk factor, we found a significantly increased risk of complications in both the Ocean State Crohn's and Colitis Area Registry cohort (hazard ratio [HR] 2.75, 95% confidence interval 1.71-4.41) and Mayo Clinic cohort (HR 2.07, 95% confidence interval 1.11-3.84). Diagnosis at younger age (HR 2.07), perianal disease (HR 1.99), and B2/B3 behavior (HR 1.92) were significantly associated with disease complications. We did not observe a consistent association between number of risk factors nor any specific individual risk factors and risk of disease complications in the 265 patients with UC included.

DISCUSSION

We found a significant association between the number of AGA risk factors and the risk of disease complication in CD; this association was not significant in UC. The presence of ≥ 3 risk factors in CD leads to the highest risk of complications. The AGA care pathway is a useful tool to stratify patients who are at higher risk of disease complications in patients with CD.

Personalized Treatment for Crohn's Disease: Current Approaches and Future Directions

Crohn's disease is a complex, relapsing and remitting inflammatory disorder of the gastrointestinal tract with a variable disease course. While the treatment options for Crohn's disease have dramatically increased over the past two decades, predicting individual patient response to treatment remains a challenge. As a result, patients often cycle through multiple different therapies before finding an effective treatment which can lead to disease complications, increased costs, and decreased quality of life. Recently, there has been increased emphasis on personalized medicine in Crohn's disease to identify individual patients who require early advanced therapy to prevent complications of their disease. In this review, we summarize our current approach to management of Crohn's disease by identifying risk factors for severe or disabling disease and tailoring individual treatments to patient-specific goals. Lastly, we outline our knowledge gaps in implementing personalized Crohn's disease treatment and describe the future directions in precision medicine.

The Evolving Effectiveness of Biologics in Avoiding Surgery in Children With Ulcerative Colitis: At what Nutritional Cost?

BACKGROUND

Pediatric ulcerative colitis (UC) treatment has changed dramatically with the introduction of multiple biologics. The goal of this study was to determine the effectiveness of these new biologics on achieving remission, nutritional impact, and eventual need for surgery in children.

METHODS

We retrospectively analyzed hospital records of UC patients (ages 1-19) seen at a pediatric gastroenterology clinic between January 2012 andAugust 2020. Patients were divided into groups: 1) medically without biologics or surgery; 2) patients treated with one biologic; and 3) patients treated with multiple biologics 4)patients that underwent colectomy.

RESULTS

There were 115 UC patients with a mean follow-up of 5.9 ± 3.7 years (1 month-15.3 years). PUCAI score at diagnosis was mild in 52 patients (45%), moderate in 25 (21%), and severe in 5 (4.3%). PUCAI score for 33 patients (29%) could not be calculated. There were 48 (41.3%) in group 1 with 58% remission, 34 (29.6%) in group 2 with 71% remission, 24 (20.8%) in group 3 with 29% remission, and only 9 (7.8%) in group 4 with 100% remission. The majority (55%) of surgical patients had colectomy within the first year of diagnosis. BMI improved after surgery (P = 0.001). The change from one biologic to others did not improve nutrition over time.

DISCUSSION

New biologics are changing the landscape in maintaining remission from UC. The current need for surgery is much lower than previously published studies. In medically refractive UC, nutritional status only improved after surgery. Addition of another biologic for medically refractory ulcerative colitis in order to avoid surgery must take into account the positive impact surgery has on nutrition and disease remission.

Precision medicine in inflammatory bowel disease

Inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) is an incurable disease characterized by remission-relapse cycles throughout its course. Both Crohn's disease (CD) and ulcerative colitis (UC), the two main forms of IBD, exhibit tendency to develop complications and substantial heterogeneity in terms of frequency and severity of relapse, thus posing great challenges to the clinical management for IBD. Current treatment strategies are effective in different ways in induction and maintenance therapies for IBD. Recent advances in studies of genetics, pharmacogenetics, proteomics and microbiome provide a strong driving force for identifying molecular markers of prognosis and treatment response, which should help clinicians manage IBD patients more effectively, and then, improve clinical outcomes and reduce treatment costs of patients. In this review, we summarize and discuss precision medicine in IBD, focusing on predictive markers of disease course and treatment response, and monitoring indices during therapeutic drug monitoring.

Effects of photobiomodulation in the experimental acetic acid-induced colitis: comparison between male and female

Ulcerative colitis (UC) is an important chronic and multifactorial disease, which alters the colon mucosal with a significant impact on life quality affecting both men and women. The difference between genders causes changes in the inflammatory processes, modulating the development of several diseases. The available drugs to treat UC exhibit limited outcomes and side effects; thus, new therapies are needed. Photobiomodulation (PBM) emerges as potential treatment by modulating the inflammatory process without side effects and low costs. The aim of this study was to evaluate the effects of PBM in acetic acid-induced UC comparing the responses between male and females. For this purpose, male and female Wistar rats (36) were submitted to induction of UC by rectal administration of 10% acetic acid (colitis group) and treated or not with PBM (colitis-PBM group) (LED, 660 nm, 100 mW, 150 s) in three points: right side and left of the ventral surface and in the external anal region. Non-manipulated rats were used as control (basal group). We investigated the disease activity index (DAI score), myeloperoxidase enzyme activity (MPO) and release of cytokines in the intestine homogenates, and histological analysis. PBM reduces DAI score, MPO activity, and mast cell degranulation while increased mucous production in both females and males. Moreover, PBM reduced histopathological score as well as the levels of IL-6 and IL-4 in the bowel only in males. We also showed reduced levels of IL-1beta and TNF-alpha after PBM in both males and females, while the levels of IL-10 and IFN-gamma were increased. In conclusion, despite our study has shown some differences between males and females, PBM attenuated the biomarkers of UC in both genders constituting a potential combined treatment that is non-invasive and low cost.

FISTULIZING PERIANAL CROHN'S DISEASE: IS THE PATIENT'S SEX A BURDEN? A SYSTEMATIC REVIEW

BACKGROUND

Fistulizing perianal Crohn's disease poses a treatment challenge, and researchers postulate that this phenotype in young male patients could have a worst outcome.

OBJECTIVE

Thus, the aim of this study was to assess whether sex influences the response to treatment for these patients.

METHODS

This systematic review (PROSPERO CRD42022319629) was conducted in accordance with the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses protocol. We selected articles published in English, Spanish, Portuguese, and Italian between 2010 and 2020 in the PubMed and Science Direct databases. According to the PICO acronym, prospective studies in patients older than 18 years with the objective of treating fistulizing perianal Crohn's disease were selected. Studies in pediatric populations, retrospective, without treatment objectives, and that included only rectovaginal fistulas or a single sex were excluded. Study quality was assessed using the Cochrane risk of bias tool and Newcastle-Ottawa scale.

RESULTS

Of the 1887 articles found, 33 were included. Most studies used anti-TNF drugs as treatment (n=11). Ten studies had subgroup analyses; of them, the two studies reporting sex differences used infliximab and adalimumab as treatment and showed that women had a longer fistula closure time than men.

CONCLUSION

This systematic review showed that few data corroborate the difference between sexes in the treatment of fistulizing perianal Crohn's disease, possibly having a greater relationship with the phenotype. However, considering the lack of results, further studies with this objective and with standardization of fistulas and response assessment methods are needed.

Stemming the tide with ileocecal Crohn's disease: when is pharmacotherapy enough?

INTRODUCTION

Crohn's disease (CD) mostly affects the terminal ileum and ileocecal region and up to 80% of patients end up requiring surgery. Previously reserved for complicated or refractory forms, surgery is now considered as an alternative to medical treatment in localized ileocecal disease.

AREAS COVERED

This review examines factors associated with response to medical treatment and those associated with the need for surgery in ileocecal CD to identify the patients' profile for whom pharmacotherapy might be enough. Factors associated with the recurrence and the postoperative complications are also reviewed to help the clinician identify patients for whom medical therapy might be preferred.

EXPERT’S OPINION

LIR!C study long-term follow-up data show that 38% of infliximab-treated patients were still treated with infliximab at the end of their follow-up, while 14% had switched to another biologic or had received immunomodulator or corticosteroid and 48% had CD-related surgery. Only the combination with an immunomodulator was associated with a greater likelihood of continuing infliximab. Patients with ileocecal CD for whom pharmacotherapy might be sufficient are probably those with no risk factors for CD-related surgery.In addition, patients with high risk of recurrence or of post-operative complications may benefit more from medical treatment than from surgery.

The Risk of Developing Disabling Crohn's Disease: Validation of a Clinical Prediction Rule to Improve Treatment Decision Making

BACKGROUND

Crohn's disease (CD) is characterized by the development of complications over the course of the disease. It is crucial to identify predictive factors of disabling disease, in order to target patients for early intervention. We evaluated risk factors of disabling CD and developed a prognostic model.

METHODS

In total, 511 CD patients were retrospectively analyzed. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses were used to identify demographic, clinical, and biological risk factors. A predictive nomogram model was developed in a subgroup of patients with noncomplicated CD (inflammatory pattern and no perianal disease).

RESULTS

The rate of disabling CD within 5 years after diagnosis was 74.6%. Disabling disease was associated with gender, location of disease, requirement of steroids for the first flare, and perianal lesions. In the subgroup of patients (310) with noncomplicated CD, the rate of disabling CD was 80%. In the multivariate analysis age at onset <40 years (OR = 3.46, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 1.52-7.90), extensive disease (L3/L4) (OR = 2.67, 95% CI = 1.18-6.06), smoking habit (OR = 2.09, 95% CI = 1.03-4.27), requirement of steroids at the first flare (OR = 2.20, 95% CI = 1.09-4.45), and albumin (OR = 0.59, 95% CI = 0.36-0.96) were associated with development of disabling disease. The developed predictive nomogram based on these factors presented good discrimination, with an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.723 (95% CI: 0.670-0.830).

CONCLUSION

We identified predictive factors of disabling CD and developed an easy-to-use prognostic model that may be used in clinical practice to help identify patients at high risk and address treatment effectively.

Symptoms of anxiety and depression associated with steroid efficacy and clinical outcomes in patients with inflammatory bowel disease

Background

Anxiety and depression symptoms are very common in patients with inflammatory bowel disease (IBD). We aimed to explore the impact of anxiety and depression on the efficacy of medications, as well as IBD-related poor outcomes.

Method

This was a prospective longitudinal observational study. Hospital Anxiety and Depression Scale was used to assess anxiety and depression symptoms. Logistic regression analyses were used to assess the association between anxiety/depression and the response to different medications. Kaplan-Meier survival analysis and Cox regression model were applied to analyze the relationship between anxiety/depression and IBD-related poor outcomes, which were defined as urgent IBD-related hospitalization, IBD-related surgery, or death.

Results

A total of 325 IBD patients were enrolled, 118 of whom were treated with corticosteroids, 88 with azathioprine/6-mercaptopurine (AZA/6-MP), and 147 with anti-TNF agents. Anxiety/depression symptoms were found to be significantly related to steroid resistance, but independent of AZA/6-MP and anti-TNF agents nonresponse. There was a significant association between anxiety/depression symptoms and IBD-related poor outcomes. Coexisting with anxiety/depression symptoms was an independent influencing factor of steroid resistance and IBD-related poor outcomes.

Conclusion

IBD patients with anxiety/depression symptoms were at a higher risk of developing steroid resistance and IBD-related poor outcomes. Future studies are needed to explore whether interventions for anxiety and depression will improve their response to medications and change their prognosis.

Risk Factors of Cancer in Pediatric-Onset Inflammatory Bowel Disease in Denmark and Finland

OBJECTIVES

Pediatric-onset inflammatory bowel disease (pIBD) increases the risk of developing several different cancer forms. In this case-control study, we aimed to assess the impact of medical treatment and disease activity on the risk of developing disease-associated cancer (DAC) and treatment-associated cancer (TAC).

METHODS

In a previous study, we identified 27 cases of DAC (colorectal cancer, small bowel cancer, and cholangiocarcinoma) and 28 TAC (lymphoma and skin cancer) in 6689 patients with pIBD in Denmark and Finland during the period 1992-2015. In this study, the patient charts were reviewed manually. Cancer-free patients from another population-based pIBD cohort were included as controls. We recorded data on phenotype, medical treatment, surgery, and relapses. Logistic regression was used to estimate adjusted odds ratios (aOR) with 95% confidence intervals (95% CI) to estimate the relative risk.

RESULTS

We included 16 cases with DAC, 21 with TAC, and 331 controls. For DAC, lower frequencies of IBD-relapses were associated with an increased risk of cancer (OR 0.2 [95% CI: 0.04-0.8]). For TAC, we found an increased risk in patients receiving thiopurines at any point during the follow-up period (aOR: 11.7 [95% CI: 2.1-116.2]) and an association with proportion of follow-up time being exposed to thiopurines (aOR 5.6 [95% CI: 1.1-31.5]).

CONCLUSIONS

In this nation-wide study, covering all pIBD patients from Denmark and Finland, we found that pIBD patients treated with thiopurines had an increased risk of TAC.

Creeping Fat in Crohn's Disease-Surgical, Histological, and Radiological Approaches

During the course of Crohn's disease, the response of mesenteric adipose tissue to the production of inflammatory mediators and bacterial invasion through the intestinal mucosa results in the formation of creeping fat. Creeping fat describes the arresting finger-like projections that surround the inflamed bowel. In this review, the microscopic and macroscopic features of creeping fat and histological evidence for the importance of this tissue are discussed. Moreover, the most recent insights into the radiological assessment of creeping fat in patients with Crohn's disease are reported. Advances in imaging techniques have revolutionized the possibility of visualization and quantification of adipose tissue depots with excellent accuracy. Visceral fat has been significantly correlated with various Crohn's-disease-related outcomes. Despite the difficulties in distinguishing physiologic perienteric fat from creeping fat, the growing interest in fat-wrapping in Crohn's disease has rejuvenated radiologic research. With regard to the noninvasive fat-wrapping assessment, a novel CT enterography-based mesenteric creeping fat index has been developed for the mitigation of the confounding effect of normal retroperitoneal and perienteric adipose tissue. Research on machine learning algorithms and computational radiomics in conjunction with mechanistic studies may be the key for the elucidation of the complex role of creeping fat in Crohn's disease.

Impact of Female Gender in Inflammatory Bowel Diseases: A Narrative Review

Inflammatory bowel diseases show a gender bias, as reported for several other immune-mediated diseases. Female-specific differences influence disease presentation and activity, leading to a different progression between males and females. Women show a genetic predisposition to develop inflammatory bowel disease related to the X chromosome. Female hormone fluctuation influences gastrointestinal symptoms, pain perception, and the state of active disease at the time of conception could negatively affect the pregnancy. Women with inflammatory bowel disease report a worse quality of life, higher psychological distress, and reduced sexual activity than male patients. This narrative review aims to resume the current knowledge of female-related features in clinical manifestations, development, and therapy, as well as sexual and psychological implications related to inflammatory bowel disease. The final attempt is to provide gastroenterologists with a roadmap of female-specific differences, to improve patients' diagnosis, management, and treatment.

Precision medicine and drug optimization in adult inflammatory bowel disease patients

Inflammatory bowel diseases (IBD) encompass two main entities including ulcerative colitis and Crohn's disease. Although having a common global pathophysiological mechanism, IBD patients are characterized by a significant interindividual heterogeneity and may differ by their disease type, disease locations, disease behaviours, disease manifestations, disease course as well as treatment needs. Indeed, although the therapeutic armamentarium for these diseases has expanded rapidly in recent years, a proportion of patients remains with a suboptimal response to medical treatment due to primary non-response, secondary loss of response or intolerance to currently available drugs. Identifying, prior to treatment initiation, which patients are likely to respond to a specific drug would improve the disease management, avoid unnecessary side effects and reduce the healthcare expenses. Precision medicine classifies individuals into subpopulations according to clinical and molecular characteristics with the objective to tailor preventative and therapeutic interventions to the characteristics of each patient. Interventions would thus be performed only on those who will benefit, sparing side effects and expense for those who will not. This review aims to summarize clinical factors, biomarkers (genetic, transcriptomic, proteomic, metabolic, radiomic or from the microbiota) and tools that could predict disease progression to guide towards a step-up or top-down strategy. Predictive factors of response or non-response to treatment will then be reviewed, followed by a discussion about the optimal dose of drug required for patients. The time at which these treatments should be administered (or rather can be stopped in case of a deep remission or in the aftermath of a surgery) will also be addressed. IBD remain biologically complex, with multifactorial etiopathology, clinical heterogeneity as well as temporal and therapeutic variabilities, which makes precision medicine especially challenging in this area. Although applied for many years in oncology, it remains an unmet medical need in IBD.

Fecal microbiota transplantation for patients with active ulcerative colitis: A cost-effectiveness analysis

BACKGROUND AND AIM

Growing studies have demonstrated clinical benefits of fecal microbiota transplantation (FMT) therapy (administered by colonoscopy, enema, or both) for active ulcerative colitis (UC). This study aimed to evaluate the cost-effectiveness of standard treatment with and without FMT therapy for mild-to-moderate active UC from the perspective of US healthcare provider.

METHODS

A 10-year Markov model was developed to evaluate the costs and quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs) of standard treatment plus FMT therapy versus standard treatment alone. Model inputs were retrieved from publish data in literature. Base-case and sensitivity analyses were performed.

RESULTS

In the base-case analysis, standard treatment plus FMT therapy was more effective than standard treatment alone (by 0.068 QALYs). Comparing to standard treatment alone, standard treatment plus FMT therapy varied from cost-saving to incremental cost, subject to the number of FMT administrations. One-way sensitivity analysis identified the relative risk of achieving remission with FMT therapy to be the most influential factor on the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio of standard treatment plus FMT therapy. Monte-Carlo simulations showed that standard treatment plus FMT therapy with 3 and 6 administrations per FMT course was cost-effective (at willingness-to-pay threshold = 50 000 USD/QALY) in 90.77% and 67.03% of time, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

Standard treatment plus FMT therapy appears to be more effective in gaining higher QALYs than standard therapy alone for patients with mild-to-moderate active UC. Cost-effectiveness of standard treatment plus FMT therapy is highly subject to the relative improvement in achieving remission with standard therapy plus FMT therapy and number of FMT administrations per FMT course.

Can we change the natural course of inflammatory bowel disease?

Inflammatory bowel diseases (IBD), including Crohn's disease (CD) and ulcerative colitis (UC), are lifelong diseases characterized by chronic inflammation of the gastrointestinal tract leading to its progressive and irreversible destruction. Whether early initiation of IBD-specific therapy impacts the long-term course of the disease remains unclear and has to be further explored in prospective disease-modification trials. Historically, surgery and hospitalization rates have been the surrogate markers to measure disease progression in IBD, providing an overview of the effectiveness of medical therapies. However, neither surgery nor hospitalization necessarily reflects a fail in therapeutic medical management, and many confounding factors make them biased outcomes. The Selecting Endpoints for Disease-Modification Trials consensus has defined the disease-modification endpoints required for these trials, including the impact of the disease on patient's life (health-related quality of life, disability, and fecal incontinence), the mid-term disease complications (bowel damage in CD, IBD-related surgery and hospitalizations, disease extension in UC, extra-intestinal manifestations, permanent stoma, short bowel syndrome), and the development of dysplasia/cancer and mortality in the long term. Most available data in the literature regarding the impact of current therapies on disease progression focused on anti-tumor necrosis factor agents and are based on retrospective or post-hoc studies. Thus, prospective disease-modification trials are pressingly required to explore the effectiveness of early intensified treatment in patients with severe disease or at risk for disease progression.

Patency capsule: A novel independent predictor for long-term outcomes among patients with quiescent Crohn's disease

INTRODUCTION

Patency capsule (PC) is a recommended procedure to rule-out small-bowel stenosis before video capsule endoscopy (VCE). We examined future clinical outcomes among patients with failed-PC versus patients in whom PC had passed (passed-PC).

METHODS

A Post-hoc analysis of two prospective cohort studies of adult patients with quiescent small-bowel CD that underwent PC between 2013-2020. The primary composite-outcome was the need for intestinal-surgery or endoscopic-dilation during follow-up in patients with or without failed-PC.

RESULTS

A total of 190 patients were included (47-failed PC, 143-passed PC, median follow-up 34.12 months). Patients with a failed-PC had higher rates of the primary composite-outcome (21.3% vs. 1.4%, Hazard ratio [HR] 20.3, 95% confidence interval [CI] 4.4-93.7, p<0.001) and also secondary outcomes including intestinal-surgery (14.9% vs. 0.70%, p<0.001), endoscopic-dilation (14.9% vs. 0.70%, p<0.001), admissions (23.3% vs. 5.7%, p<0.001) and clinical-flares (43.9% vs. 27.7%, p=0.005) during follow-up compared with controls. Failed-PC was the only statistically significant factor for surgery and/or endoscopic-dilation, regardless of a B2/B3 phenotype at baseline. In sensitivity-analyses restricted only to patients with stricturing phenotype (n=73), failed-PC still predicted worse long-term composite-outcome (HR 8.68 95% CI 1.72-43.68, p=0.002). Of the 190 patients ingesting a PC, only one patient with a failed-PC had 48 hours of self-limiting mild symptoms.

DISCUSSION

Clinically-stable CD patients with failed-PC have worse long-term clinical outcomes than those without, independently of CD phenotype. Standalone PC may serve as a novel, safe and affordable prognostic examination, to identify patients with quiescent CD who have a higher risk for future worse clinical outcomes.

Variables associated with progression of moderate-to-severe Crohn’s disease

Objective

Determine the variables associated with hospitalisations in patients with Crohn’s disease and those associated with surgery, intestinal resection, hospital readmission, need for multiple operations and immunobiological agent use.

Design

A cross-sectional study was conducted from 2019 to 2021, using two centres for inflammatory bowel diseases in the Brazilian Public Health System.

Results

This study included 220 patients. Only perianal disease was associated with hospitalisation (31.6% vs 13.0%, p=0.012). Stricturing or penetrating behaviour (35.8% vs 12.6%, p<0.001) and perianal disease (45.9% vs 9.9%, p<0.001) were associated with surgery. Ileal or ileocolonic location (80.0% vs 46.5%, p=0.044) and stricturing or penetrating behaviour (68.0% vs 11.2%, p<0.001) were associated with intestinal resection. Steroids use at first Crohn’s disease occurrence and postoperative complications were associated with hospital readmission and need for multiple operations, respectively. Age below 40 years at diagnosis (81.3% vs 62.0%, p=0.004), upper gastrointestinal tract involvement (21.8% vs 10.3%, p=0.040) and perianal disease (35.9% vs 16.3%, p<0.001) were associated with immunobiological agent use.

Conclusion

Perianal disease and stricturing or penetrating behaviour were associated with more than one significant outcome. Other variables related to Crohn’s disease progression were age below 40 years at diagnosis, an ileal or ileocolonic disease localisation, an upper gastrointestinal tract involvement, the use of steroids at the first Crohn’s disease occurrence and history of postoperative complications. These findings are similar to those in the countries with a high prevalence of Crohn’s disease.

An Update on Current Pharmacotherapeutic Options for the Treatment of Ulcerative Colitis

The main goals of Ulcerative Colitis (UC) treatment are to both induce and maintain the clinical and endoscopic remission of disease, reduce the incidence of complications such as dysplasia and colorectal carcinoma and improve quality of life. Although a curative medical treatment for UC has not yet been found, new therapeutic strategies addressing specific pathogenetic mechanisms of disease are emerging. Notwithstanding these novel therapies, non-biological conventional drugs remain a mainstay of treatment. The aim of this review is to summarize current therapeutic strategies used as treatment for ulcerative colitis and to briefly focus on emerging therapeutic strategies, including novel biologic therapies and small molecules. To date, multiple therapeutic approaches can be adopted in UC and the range of available compounds is constantly increasing. In this era, the realization of well-designed comparative clinical trials, as well as the definition of specific therapeutic models, would be strongly suggested in order to achieve personalized management for UC patients.

Apex Score: Predicting Flares in Small-Bowel Crohn's Disease After Mucosal Healing

BACKGROUND

Optimal strategies for using small-bowel capsule endoscopy (SBCE) in established small-bowel Crohn's disease (CD) remain uncertain. Mucosal healing (MH) has emerged as a valuable predictor of a flare-free disease. We aimed to evaluate the occurrence of disease flare on patients with small-bowel CD and MH, as well as to create a score identifying patients in higher risk for this outcome.

METHODS

We analyzed consecutive patients submitted to SBCE for assessment of MH and included those where MH was confirmed. The incidence of disease flare was assessed during follow-up (minimum 12 months). A score predicting disease flare was created from several analyzed variables.

RESULTS

From 47 patients with MH, 12 (25.5%) had a flare (versus 48.3% in excluded patients without MH; p = 0.01). Age ≤ 30 years (OR  = 70; p  = 0.048), platelet count ≥ 280 × 10³/L (OR  = 12.24; p  =  0.045) and extra-intestinal manifestations (OR  =  11.76; p  =  0.033) were associated with increased risk of CD flare during the first year after SBCE with MH. These variables were used to compute a risk-predicting score-the APEX score-which assigned the patients to having low (0-3 points) or high-risk (4-7 points) of disease flare and had excellent accuracy toward predicting disease relapse (AUC  =  0.82; 95%CI 0.64-0.99).

CONCLUSION

Patients with small-bowel CD and MH were not free of disease flares on the subsequent year, despite presenting lower rates when compared to those without MH. The APEX score demonstrated excellent accuracy at stratifying patients relapse risk and guiding further therapeutic options for patients achieving MH.

Long-term outcomes of endoscopic balloon dilation for intestinal strictures in patients with Crohn's disease during maintenance treatment with anti-tumor necrosis factor alpha antibodies

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Efficacy of endoscopic balloon dilation (EBD) for intestinal strictures in patients with Crohn's disease (CD) receiving anti-tumor necrosis factor alpha antibodies (anti-TNF) as maintenance therapy is unclear. We investigated the long-term efficacy and safety of EBD for intestinal strictures in patients with CD receiving anti-TNF.

METHODS

We retrospectively analyzed data from patients with CD who received anti-TNF as maintenance therapy from 2008 to 2017, underwent EBD, and were followed up for ≥6 months. The primary endpoint was the cumulative surgery-free rate. The main secondary endpoints were technical success, repeat EBD rate, risk factors affecting surgical outcomes, and safety.

RESULTS

Seventy-two patients with CD were assessed. The median observation period after EBD was 50 months. The technical success rate was 67%. The 3- and 5-year cumulative surgery-free rates were 81.1% and 73.5%, respectively. The repeat EBD rate was 74%. Multivariable analyses showed that risk factors affecting surgical outcomes were age at disease onset ≤16 years (hazard ratio 3.69; 95% confidence interval 1.36-10.01; P = 0.011). Serious complications requiring surgery developed in three patients.

CONCLUSIONS

Endoscopic balloon dilation was an effective and safe short-term treatment and a useful long-term treatment for CD patients with intestinal strictures receiving anti-TNF as maintenance therapy.

Guidelines for the management of patients with Crohn's disease. Recommendations of the Polish Society of Gastroenterology and the Polish National Consultant in Gastroenterology

This paper is an update of the diagnostic and therapeutic recommendations of the National Consultant for Gastroenterology and the Polish Society of Gastroenterology from 2012. It contains 46 recommendations for the diagnosis and treatment, both pharmacological and surgical, of Crohn's disease in adults. The guidelines were developed by a group of experts appointed by the Polish Society of Gastroenterology and the National Consultant in the field of Gastroenterology. The methodology related to the GRADE methodology was used to assess the quality and strength of the available recommendations. The degree of expert support for the proposed statement, assessment of the quality of evidence and the strength of the recommendation was assessed on a 6-point Likert scale. Voting results, quality and strength ratings with comments are included with each statement.

Histopathological Features in Colonic Biopsies at Diagnosis Predict Long-term Disease Course in Patients with Crohn's Disease

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Crohn's disease [CD] is characterised by a heterogeneous disease course. Patient stratification at diagnosis using clinical, serological, or genetic markers does not predict disease course sufficiently to facilitate clinical decision making. The current study aimed to investigate the additive predictive value of histopathological features to discriminate between a long-term mild and severe disease course.

METHODS

Diagnostic biopsies from treatment-naïve CD patients with mild or severe disease courses in the first 10 years after diagnosis were reviewed by two gastrointestinal pathologists after developing a standardised form comprising 15 histopathological features. Multivariable logistic regression models were built to identify predictive features and compute receiver operating characteristic [ROC] curves. Models were internally validated using bootstrapping to obtain optimism-corrected performance estimates.

RESULTS

In total, 817 biopsies from 137 patients [64 mild, 73 severe cases] were included. Using clinical baseline characteristics, disease course could only moderately be predicted (area under receiver operating characteristic curve [AUROC]: 0.738 [optimism 0.018], 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.65-0.83, sensitivity 83.6%, specificity 53.1%). When adding histopathological features, in colonic biopsies a combination of [1] basal plasmacytosis, [2] severe lymphocyte infiltration in lamina propria, [3] Paneth cell metaplasia, and [4] absence of ulcers were identified and resulted in significantly better prediction of a severe course (AUROC: 0.883 [optimism 0.033], 95% CI 0.82-0.94, sensitivity 80.4%, specificity 84.2%).

CONCLUSIONS

In this first study investigating the additive predictive value of histopathological features in biopsies at CD diagnosis, we found that certain features of chronic inflammation in colonic biopsies contributed to prediction of a severe disease course, thereby presenting a novel approach to improving stratification and facilitating clinical decision making.

Perianal disease onset age is associated with distinct disease features and need for intestinal resection in perianal Crohn's disease: a ten-year hospital-based observational study in China

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

The significance of different ages of perianal disease (PD) onset in patients with perianal Crohn's disease (PCD) remains unknown. We aimed to investigate the impact of paediatric-onset PD (POP) and adult-onset PD (AOP) on the Crohn's disease (CD) course in a Chinese cohort.

METHODS

The medical records of diagnosed PCD patients from 2008 to 2018 were reviewed retrospectively. The cumulative incidence and predictors of intestinal resection were calculated using the Kaplan-Meier and logistic regression analysis.

RESULTS

Complex perianal fistulas (71.7% vs 50.0%, p = 0.011) and infliximab (IFX) treatment (33.3% vs 22.0%, p = 0.044) were more common among the POP patients (age < 18 years old, n = 84). A younger PD onset age (15.1 ± 2.9 vs 30.2 ± 10.5 years, p < 0.001) and shorter PCD diagnostic delay (12 vs 24 months, p = 0.033) was found in the POP cohort. AOP patients (age ≥ 18 years old, n = 209) had a higher rate of current smoking (12.9% vs 4.8%, p = 0.040), stricturing behaviour (42.1% vs 27.4%, p = 0.024) and intestinal resection (21.1% vs 4.8%, p = 0.001). The cumulative probability of intestinal resection in AOP patients was higher than that in POP patients (p = 0.007). In multivariable analysis, AOP (OR: 4.939, 95% CI 1.538-15.855, p = 0.007), stricturing behaviour (OR: 1.810, 95% CI 1.008-3.251, p = 0.047) and rectal inflammation (OR: 3.166, 95% CI 1.119-8.959, p = 0.030) were predictive factors for CD-related intestinal resection in all PCD patients. AOP patients with complex perianal fistula (OR: 2.257, 95% CI 1.041-4.891, p = 0.039) and POP patients with rectal inflammation (OR: 3.166, 95% CI 1.119-8.959, p = 0.030) were more likely to suffer intestinal resection. The IFX administration significantly decreased the rate of intestinal resection in AOP patients (r = - 0.900, p = 0.037).

CONCLUSIONS

The AOP patients have more complicated luminal disease and higher rate of intestinal resection than COP patients. The perianal diseases onset-age can provide clinical treatment guidance for individual management of CD patients.

ECCO Topical Review: Refractory Inflammatory Bowel Disease

Inflammatory bowel disease is a chronic disease with variable degrees of extent, severity, and activity. A proportion of patients will have disease that is refractory to licensed therapies, resulting in significant impairment in quality of life. The treatment of these patients involves a systematic approach by the entire multidisciplinary team, with particular consideration given to medical options including unlicensed therapies, surgical interventions, and dietetic and psychological support. The purpose of this review is to guide clinicians through this process and provide an accurate summary of the available evidence for different strategies.

Influence of nutritional status in the postoperative period of patients with inflammatory bowel disease

Inflammatory bowel diseases (IBDs) are a group of chronic inflammatory diseases that affect the gastrointestinal tract, including Crohn's disease (CD) and ulcerative colitis. Surgery is a treatment option, and more than half of the patients with CD will undergo surgical interventions over the course of the disease. Postoperative complications are common in IBD patients, the most frequent being intra-abdominal sepsis, infection of the surgical site, and adynamic ileum, and nutritional status is a factor that can influence postoperative outcome. Recent studies have shown that malnutrition, obesity, sarcopenia, and myosteatosis are predictors of surgical complications. However, most were retrospective studies with small patient samples and heterogeneity of clinical and nutritional assessment methods, which limit the extrapolation of data. Therefore, knowing the pathophysiological mechanisms of IBD and identifying the best parameters for assessing nutritional status are essential for prompt implementation of adequate nutritional interventions.

The Effect of Early vs Delayed Initiation of Adalimumab on Remission Rates in Patients With Crohn's Disease With Poor Prognostic Factors: The MODIFY Study

Background

Data on the effectiveness of anti-tumor necrosis factor medications in patients with Crohn's disease (CD) with poor prognostic factors (PPFs) are scarce. This study aimed to generate real-world evidence on the effect of early (≤24 months after diagnosis) vs delayed (>24 months) initiation of adalimumab (ADL) on the 26-week remission rate (Harvey-Bradshaw Index ≤4) in these patients.

Methods

This multicentre, retrospective, chart review study performed in 10 Greek hospitals enrolled adult patients with moderate to severe CD (Harvey-Bradshaw Index ≥8) with ≥3 PPFs who were initiated on ADL ≥12 months before enrollment. A sample size of 164 patients (early:delayed cohort allocation ratio, 30:70) was required to address the primary endpoint.

Results

Eligible patients (n = 171) were consecutively enrolled. In the early vs delayed cohorts, the 26-week remission rates (off-steroids) using the last-observation-carried-forward imputation method were 60.7% (37/61) vs 47.2% (50/106), respectively (Δ = 13.5%, P = .044). The respective remission rates were 61.2% vs 42.4% among anti-tumor necrosis factor-naive patients (P = .023) and 58.3% vs 53.2% among anti-tumor necrosis factor-experienced patients (P = .374). The 52-week remission rates using as-observed data were 78.8% and 60.3%, and the intestinal resection rates were 6.5% and 11.9% in the early vs delayed ADL cohorts, respectively.

Conclusions

Patients with CD with PPFs who received early vs delayed treatment with ADL achieved higher clinical response and remission rates. This effect was more pronounced in those patients who were bio-naive and steroid-dependent/refractory with concurrent extraintestinal manifestations than those who were not.

Characterization of Crohn's disease patients in Egypt: Risk factors for postoperative recurrence (A cohort study)

BACKGROUND

The aim of study to identify the characterizations of Crohn's disease in Egyptian patients and to determine its predictors for postoperative recurrence.

METHODS

We conducted a retrospective observational cohort study on 15 patients diagnosed as Crohn's disease with surgical interventions. Different characteristics of studied patients were analyzed to determine the risk factors for postoperative recurrence such as age at diagnosis, gender, smoking, main presenting symptom, Montreal classification, perianal disease, laboratory findings and protocol of management including surgical characteristics like age at operation, surgical indication, preoperative medication, surgical approach, and operative findings.

RESULTS

Nine of the studied patients (60%) suffered from clinical postoperative recurrence with mean duration of 23.5 ± 40.6 months. In comparison the demographic, clinical, operative, and medical treatment data between patients with postoperative recurrence of Crohn's disease and those without recurrence, age at diagnosis (mean age 42.9 years) and age at operation (mean 44.7 years) were found statistically significant in postoperative recurrence group (p-value = 0.001). According to Montreal classification of Crohn's disease, patients >40 years were significantly found in postoperative recurrence group, while patients between 17 and 40 years were significantly found in postoperative non-recurrence group (p-value=0.007) and ileal location of Crohn's disease was found significantly in postoperative recurrent group (p-value=0.044). Postoperative biological therapy significantly decreased the incidence of postoperative recurrence in the current study (p-value= 0.041).

CONCLUSIONS

Age at diagnosis, age at operation, ileal location of Crohn's disease can significantly predict postoperative recurrence. Also, postoperative biological therapy can significantly decrease the incidence of postoperative recurrence.

Clinical and Genetic Factors Impact Time to Surgical Recurrence After Ileocolectomy for Crohn's Disease

OBJECTIVE

The aim of this study was to evaluate factors associated with time to surgical recurrence after Crohn's ileocolectomy.

SUMMARY BACKGROUND DATA

The most common surgery performed for Crohn's disease is ileocolectomy. Identifying patients at high risk for surgical recurrence may assist with medical and surgical decision-making.

METHODS

Data were obtained from 409 patients with Crohn's disease (CD) who had undergone ≥1 ileocolectomies at Penn State Hershey Medical Center. Six single-nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) associated with CD were evaluated in these patients: rs2076756, rs2066844, and rs2066845 in NOD2, rs4958847 and rs13361189 in IRGM, and rs2241880 in ATG16L1. Genotype and clinical factors were analyzed to determine associations with time to recurrent ileocolectomy. A subgroup analysis was performed on 241 patients naïve to biologics before initial ileocolectomy to assess the effect of biologic therapy on time to recurrent surgery.

RESULTS

There were 286 patients who underwent a single ileocolectomy, whereas 123 required multiple ileocolectomies. Ileocolonic involvement [hazard ratio (HR) 1.90, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.21-3.00, P = 0.006] and rs2066844 in NOD2 (HR 1.8, 95% CI 1.17-2.77, P = 0.007) were associated with decreased time to surgical recurrence by multivariate analysis. In patients naïve to preoperative biologics, the initiation of postoperative biologics was associated with a 40% decreased incidence of surgical recurrence (HR 0.60, CI 0.39-0.93, P = 0.02) over time.

CONCLUSIONS

Ileocolonic distribution of disease and the rs2066844 SNP in NOD2 are associated with shorter time to recurrent ileocolectomy. The initiation of postoperative biologics in naïve patients was associated with a reduced incidence of recurrence over time.

Improving prediction of disease outcome for inflammatory bowel disease: progress through systems medicine

Introduction: Inflammatory bowel diseases (IBDs) are lifelong conditions causing relapsing inflammation of the intestine. In the absence of a cure, clinical management of IBDs is extremely challenging since they present with a wide range of phenotypes and disease behaviors. Hence, there is an urgent need for markers that could guide physicians in making the right choice of the rapidly growing treatment options toward a personalized care that could improve the overall outcome.Areas covered: In this review, the authors summarize existing biomarkers in IBD, discuss the challenges with the development of prognostic biomarkers and propose alternative options such as focusing on the prediction of the response to individual treatments, i.e. predictive biomarkers. The problems related to developing disease prognostic and predictive biomarkers in the field of IBDs are discussed including the difficulties in dealing with phenotypic heterogeneity particularly when performing studies in a real-life setting. The authors reviewed literature from PubMed.Expert opinion: Systems biology provides potential solutions to this problem by offering an unbiased, holistic approach to adjusting for variation in larger datasets thereby increasing the chances of identifying true associations between molecular profiles and clinical phenotypes.

Prognostic biomarkers to identify patients likely to develop severe Crohn's disease: a systematic review

BACKGROUND

Identification of biomarkers that predict severe Crohn's disease is an urgent unmet research need, but existing research is piecemeal and haphazard.

OBJECTIVE

To identify biomarkers that are potentially able to predict the development of subsequent severe Crohn's disease.

DESIGN

This was a prognostic systematic review with meta-analysis reserved for those potential predictors with sufficient existing research (defined as five or more primary studies).

DATA SOURCES

PubMed and EMBASE searched from inception to 1 January 2016, updated to 1 January 2018.

REVIEW METHODS

Eligible studies were studies that compared biomarkers in patients who did or did not subsequently develop severe Crohn's disease. We excluded biomarkers that had insufficient research evidence. A clinician and two statisticians independently extracted data relating to predictors, severe disease definitions, event numbers and outcomes, including odds/hazard ratios. We assessed risk of bias. We searched for associations with subsequent severe disease rather than precise estimates of strength. A random-effects meta-analysis was performed separately for odds ratios.

RESULTS

In total, 29,950 abstracts yielded just 71 individual studies, reporting 56 non-overlapping cohorts. Five clinical biomarkers (Montreal behaviour, age, disease duration, disease location and smoking), two serological biomarkers (anti-Saccharomyces cerevisiae antibodies and anti-flagellin antibodies) and one genetic biomarker (nucleotide-binding oligomerisation domain-containing protein 2) displayed statistically significant prognostic potential. Overall, the strongest association with subsequent severe disease was identified for Montreal B2 and B3 categories (odds ratio 4.09 and 6.25, respectively).

LIMITATIONS

Definitions of severe disease varied widely, and some studies confounded diagnosis and prognosis. Risk of bias was rated as 'high' in 92% of studies overall. Some biomarkers that are used regularly in daily practice, for example C-reactive protein, were studied too infrequently for meta-analysis.

CONCLUSIONS

Research for individual biomarkers to predict severe Crohn's disease is scant, heterogeneous and at a high risk of bias. Despite a large amount of potential research, we encountered relatively few biomarkers with data sufficient for meta-analysis, identifying only eight biomarkers with potential predictive capability.

FUTURE WORK

We will use existing data sets to develop and then validate a predictive model based on the potential predictors identified by this systematic review. Contingent on the outcome of that research, a prospective external validation may prove clinically desirable.

STUDY REGISTRATION

This study is registered as PROSPERO CRD42016029363.

FUNDING

This project was funded by the National Institute for Health Research (NIHR) Health Technology Assessment programme and will be published in full in Health Technology Assessment; Vol. 25, No. 45. See the NIHR Journals Library website for further project information.

[How Should We Do Different Approach to Treat Inflammatory Bowel Disease by Gender Difference?]

Although not as prominent, there are gender/sex differences in incidence/prevalence, clinical manifestation and disease course, comorbidities, therapeutic response, and patients coping strategy to the disease of inflammatory bowel disease (IBD). In this review, current knowledge about gender-specific differences in IBD would be provided and how to apply this in clinical practice be discussed.

Inflammatory Bowel Disease as a Precondition for Stroke or TIA: A Matter of Crohn's Disease Rather than Ulcerative Colitis

BACKGROUND

As a chronic systemic inflammation may be associated with an increased risk of vascular events, the aim of the present study was to assess the incidence of stroke and transient ischemic attack (TIA) in patients with inflammatory bowel disease over a period of 15 years.

METHODS

This cohort study included patients for whom the initial diagnosis of an inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) (Crohn's disease: CD and ulcerative colitis: UC) was documented anonymously between 2000 and 2015 in 1,262 general practices in Germany. IBD patients were matched to patients without IBD using propensity scores based on age, sex, physician, co-diagnoses and co-therapies. Cox regression models were used to study the incidence of stroke and TIA as a function of CD and UC.

RESULTS

Each of the matched groups included 11,947 participants. In the IBD group, 43.5% had CD and 56.5% UC respectively. Higher incidences of both stroke and TIA were detected for IBD (stroke: 279.0 versus 222.6 cases per 100,000 patient years, HR 1.30, p=0.011; TIA: 203.1 versus 141.1 cases per 100,000 patient years, HR 1.42, p=0.006). Stroke and TIA incidences (cases per 100,000 patient years) were higher than in controls (stroke: 314.7 versus 204.5, HR: 1.50, p=0.013; TIA: 183.8 versus 95.3, HR: 1.93, p=0.004) in CD patients only. No relevant differences in incidences were found for patients with UC.

CONCLUSION

While CD turned out to be a relevant precondition for stroke or TIA, this was not the case for UC.

Development of a Simple, Serum Biomarker-based Model Predictive of the Need for Early Biologic Therapy in Crohn's Disease

BACKGROUND

Early or first-line treatment with biologics, as opposed to conventional immunomodulators, is not always necessary to achieve remission in Crohn's disease [CD] and may not be cost-effective. This study aimed to develop a simple model to predict the need for early biologic therapy, in order to risk-stratify CD patients and guide initial treatment selection.

METHODS

A model-building study using supervised statistical learning methods was conducted using a retrospective cohort across two tertiary centres. All biologic-naïve CD patients who commenced an immunomodulator between January 1, 2004 and December 31, 2016, were included. A predictive score was derived using Cox regression modelling of immunomodulator failure, and was internally validated using bootstrap resampling.

RESULTS

Of 410 patients [median age 37 years, 47% male, median disease duration 4.7 years], 229 [56%] experienced immunomodulator failure [39 required surgery, 24 experienced a new stricture, 44 experienced a new fistula/abscess, 122 required biologic escalation] with a median time to failure of 16 months. Independent predictors of treatment failure included raised C-reactive protein [CRP], low albumin, complex disease behaviour, younger age, and baseline steroids. Highest CRP and lowest albumin measured within the 3 months preceding immunomodulator initiation outperformed baseline measurements. After model selection, only highest CRP and lowest albumin remained and the resultant Crohn's Immunomodulator CRP-Albumin [CICA] index demonstrated robust optimism-corrected discriminative performance at 12, 24, and 36 months (area under the curve [AUC] 0.84, 0.83, 0.81, respectively).

CONCLUSIONS

The derived CICA index based on simple, widely available markers is feasible, internally valid, and has a high utility in predicting immunomodulator failure. This requires external, prospective validation.

A watchful waiting approach for newly diagnosed Crohn's disease patients with an inflammatory phenotype

BACKGROUND

An early treat-to-target approach in Crohn's disease (CD) patients is recommended to avoid complications. However, CD may not always progress despite lack of treatment, thus exposing some patients to unnecessary side effects. We aimed to examine whether newly diagnosed CD patients with an inflammatory phenotype can benefit from a watchful waiting approach.

METHODS

This retrospective cohort study followed CD patients with an inflammatory phenotype who were diagnosed between 2010 and 2015 and followed for at least 1 year. A watchful waiting approach was defined as maintenance therapy with 5-ASA medication only or no treatment during the first year of diagnosis or longer. Disease complications were defined as need for surgery or change in disease phenotype.

RESULTS

Eighty-six patients were included and followed-up for 57.0 ± 29.0 months. Thirty-seven patients were managed with a watchful waiting approach and 49 with an early therapeutic intervention. The majority of patients (83.8%) in the watchful waiting group did not develop disease complications. In this group, there was no difference in clinical disease severity (stools per day, 2.7 ± 1.7 vs 3.3 ± 1.0, P = 0.39; abdominal pain, 74.2 vs 50.0%, P = 0.24) between those who did not develop complications and those who did. Smoking was associated with a complicated course (multivariate analysis: OR = 1.98, 95% CI 1.06-3.71, P = 0.03).

CONCLUSIONS

A watchful waiting approach of newly diagnosed CD patients with an inflammatory phenotype may be a feasible option, with low long-term complication rate specifically in nonsmoking patients.

Selecting End Points for Disease-Modification Trials in Inflammatory Bowel Disease: the SPIRIT Consensus From the IOIBD

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Inflammatory bowel diseases (IBD), encompassing Crohn's disease (CD) and ulcerative colitis (UC), are chronic and disabling disorders. Prospective disease-modification trials to prevent disease progression are eagerly awaited. However, disease progression is not clearly defined. The objective of the Selecting End PoInts foR Disease-ModIfication Trials (SPIRIT) initiative was to achieve international expert consensus on the endpoints to be used in future IBD-disease modification trials.

METHODS

This initiative under the auspices of the International Organization for the Study of Inflammatory Bowel Diseases (IOIBD) began with a systematic literature search to evaluate the current evidence on the definition of disease progression in IBD. On October 22, 2019, a consensus meeting took place during the United European Gastroenterology Week (UEGW) Congress in Barcelona, during which predefined proposed statements were discussed in a plenary session and voted on anonymously. Agreement was defined as at least 75% of participants voting for any one statement.

RESULTS

The group agreed that the ultimate therapeutic goal in both CD and UC is to prevent disease impact on patient's life (health-related quality of life, disability, fecal incontinence), midterm complications (encompass bowel damage in CD, IBD-related surgery and hospitalizations, disease extension in UC, extraintestinal manifestations, permanent stoma, short bowel syndrome), and long-term complications (gastrointestinal and extraintestinal dysplasia or cancer, mortality).

CONCLUSIONS

Recommendations on which goals to achieve in disease-modification trials for preventing disease progression in patients with IBD are proposed by the SPIRIT consensus. However, these recommendations will require validation in actual clinical studies before implementation in disease-modification trials.

Use of granulocyte/monocytapheresis in ulcerative colitis: A practical review from a European perspective

Half of the patients with ulcerative colitis require at least one course of systemic corticosteroids in their lifetime. Approximately 75% of these patients will also require immunosuppressive drugs (i.e., thiopurines or biological agents) in the mid-term to avoid colectomy. Immunosuppressive drugs raise some concerns due to an increased risk of serious and opportunistic infections and cancer, particularly in elderly and co-morbid patients, underlining the unmet need for safer alternative therapies. Granulocyte/monocytapheresis (GMA), a CE-marked, non-pharmacological procedure for the treatment of ulcerative colitis (among other immune-mediated diseases), remains the only therapy targeting neutrophils, the hallmark of pathology in ulcerative colitis. GMA has proven its efficacy in different clinical scenarios and shows an excellent and unique safety profile. In spite of being a first line therapy in Japan, GMA use is still limited to a small number of centres and countries in Europe. In this article, we aim to give an overview from a European perspective of the mechanism of action, recent clinical data on efficacy and practical aspects for the use of GMA in ulcerative colitis.

Clinical characteristics, natural history, and outcomes of Crohn's-related intra-abdominal collections

BACKGROUND

Intra-abdominal collections in the form of abscesses or matted bowel loops, called phlegmons, might occur in patients with Crohn's disease (CD). The clinical characteristics and management of such conditions are not well described. We aim to characterize CD-related intra-abdominal collections clinically, and identify predictors of need for surgical interventions and the time to surgery.

METHODS

We utilized the Saudi Inflammatory Bowel Disease Information System (IBDIS) database to identify all patients treated for radiologically proven intra-abdominal abscesses or phlegmons since inception. Demographics, clinical data, clinical course, and treatment outcomes were recorded. Logistic regression analysis and survival analysis were used to identify predictors of surgical resection and differences in time to surgery between patient subgroups, respectively.

RESULTS

A total of 734 patients with a diagnosis of CD were screened and 75 patients were identified. The mean age was 25.6 ± 9.9 years and 51% were males. Nearly 60% of patients had abscesses larger than 3 cm while 13% had smaller abscesses and 36% had phlegmons. On presentation, the most commonly reported symptom was abdominal pain (99%) followed by weight loss (27%). About 89% of patients were treated with antibiotics during hospitalization for an average of 2.7 weeks. Steroids were prescribed for 52% of patients and tumor necrosis factor alpha (TNF-alpha) antagonists for 17%. Surgical resection was required for 33 patients (44% of the cohort) while 51% were managed with antibiotics and/or percutaneous drainage. The most common surgical intervention was ileocecal resection (45%). Although patients who underwent follow-up imaging were more likely to require early surgical intervention (P = 0.04), no statistically significant predictor of surgery could be identified from this cohort. Time to surgery varied numerically according to abscess size (HR = 1.18, 95% CI = 0.62-2.27, P = 0.61).

CONCLUSIONS

Although the majority of patients with CD-related intra-abdominal collections underwent surgical resection in this cohort, no obvious predictors of surgical intervention could be identified. The decision to perform early surgery appeared to be influenced by the findings observed on cross-sectional imaging during the follow-up of these collections.

Does inflammatory bowel disease have different characteristics according to stage of adolescence?

BACKGROUND

There is a lack of data about demographic and treatment characteristics of adolescent patients with inflammatory bowel disease (IBD). The aim of this retrospective, epidemiological study was to evaluate characteristics and therapeutic features of Hungarian adolescents with IBD.

METHODS

We analysed the social security databases of the National Health Insurance Fund. Adolescent patients with IBD for whom data from 2009 to 2016 were observable in the database were enrolled. Patients aged 14 to 17 years and 18 to 21 years were defined as middle and late adolescent patients.

RESULTS

The incidences of IBD were 20.12 per 100,000 middle adolescent patients and 29.72 per 100,000 late adolescent patients. Admission to gastroenterology department was higher in both groups compared with admissions to surgery department. Mesalazine was used by a high proportion of Crohn's disease and ulcerative colitis patients. Rates of corticosteroid use were similar in both groups, with a tendency to decrease over time. The need for biologic agents was higher in the middle adolescent patients. The proportion of patients in the middle adolescent group who received anti-TNF therapy showed an increasing tendency.

CONCLUSION

Our data suggest differences in the treatment strategies of gastroenterologists for these age groups. The greater need of anti-TNF therapy among the middle adolescent group indicates that adolescent patients before the transition to adult care may have a more severe disease phenotype. We expect that a strategy of early, effective treatment will significantly ameliorate the subsequent disease course, which is manifested in adult care.

Fibrotic Strictures in Crohn's Disease: Mechanisms and Predictive Factors

Fibrotic strictures are one of the most severe complications of Crohn's Disease (CD). They occur in about 50% of patients at five years and in 70% at ten years of the diagnosis. The only treatment available for symptomatic fibrotic strictures is surgical resection and endoscopic dilation. Both strategies are associated with a high rate of recurrence, and with multiple surgical resections, which pose the threat of surgical morbidity and short bowel syndrome. Therefore, it is crucial to identify, early, the patients more prone to develop intestinal fibrosis to intensify follow-ups, switch to more aggressive treatments, and suggest lifestyle modifications. Scarce data are available concerning biomarkers and genetic determinants to predict which patient will develop intestinal fibrosis. Biologic or clinical markers would be useful to determine this subgroup of CD patients and to predict the onset of intestinal fibrosis and, ideally, its severity. Furthermore, the identification of environmental risk factors may suggest lifestyle changes aimed at modifying the natural course, thus decreasing the risk of complicated CD. In this review, we will critically revise clinical, environmental, genetic, and serologic factors that have been associated with a complicated CD course with a particular focus on the fibrostenosing phenotype and their possible implications as predictive factors of intestinal fibrosis.

Non-adherence to Medications in Pregnant Ulcerative Colitis Patients Contributes to Disease Flares and Adverse Pregnancy Outcomes

BACKGROUND

Adherence to medications is important to maintain disease under control and to prevent complications in pregnant patients with ulcerative colitis (UC). To evaluate the incidence of non-adherence during pregnancy and its effect on relapse and pregnancy outcomes, we conducted a multicenter prospective study using a patient self-reporting system without physician interference.

METHODS

Sixty-eight pregnant UC women were recruited from 17 institutions between 2013 and 2019. During the course of pregnancy, questionnaires were collected separately from patients and physicians, to investigate the true adherence to medications, disease activity, and birth outcomes. Multivariable logistic regression analysis was performed to identify the risk factors for the relapse or adverse pregnancy outcomes.

RESULTS

Of 68 pregnancy, 15 adverse pregnancy outcomes occurred in 13 patients. The rate of self-reported non-adherence was the greatest to mesalamines in the first trimester, which was significantly higher than physicians' estimate (p = 0.0116), and discontinuation was observed in 42.1% of non-adherent group. Logistic regression analysis revealed non-adherence as an independent risk factor for relapse [odds ratio (OR) 7.659, 95% CI 1.928-30.427, p = 0.038], and possibly for adverse pregnancy outcome (OR 8.378, 95% CI 1.350-51.994, p = 0.023). Among the subgroup of patients treated with oral mesalamine alone, the non-adherence was confirmed to be an independent risk factor for relapse (p = 0.002).

CONCLUSION

Non-adherence to mesalamine was underestimated by physicians in pregnant UC patients and contributed to disease relapse and possibly on pregnancy outcomes. Preconceptional education regarding safety of medications and risk of self-discontinuation is warranted.

MR-enterography in Crohn's disease: what MRE mural parameters are associated to one-year therapeutic management outcome?

OBJECTIVE

To investigate the association of mural parameters of MR-enterography (MRE) with one-year therapeutic management of Crohn's disease (CD) patients.

METHODS

CD patients, undergone MRE with diffusion-weighted imaging (DWI) and apparent diffusion coefficient (ADC) maps between January 2017 and June 2018, were retrospectively enrolled. Extramural complications represented an exclusion criterion because of their potential influence on the intrinsic characteristic of the bowel wall. Two groups of patients were defined on the base of the therapeutic management adopted at 1-year follow-up: Medical-group and surgical-group. The following MRE parameters were evaluated: wall-thickening, longitudinal-extension, T2-fat-suppression-mural-signal, ulcers, mural-oedema, wall-enhancement-rate/pattern, DWI-scores, ADC-values, strictures.

RESULTS

70 CD patients were enrolled. 57/70 (81.4%) were included in Medical-group and 13/70 (18.6%) in Surgical-group. ADCmean and strictures resulted to be significantly (p < 0.01) different between the two groups. The ADCmean showed to be significantly associated to conservative management [p < 0.01; OR: 0.0003; 95% CI (0.00-0.13)], while the strictures to surgical management [p < 0.01; OR: 29.7; 95% CI (4.9-179.7)]. ROC curves for ADCmean showed that AUC was 0.717 [95% CI (0.607-0.810), p < 0.01] with an optimal cut-off value of 1.081 × 10^-3 mm² s^-1. A negative predictive value of 90.2% was observed associating ADCmean values > 1.081 × 10^-3 mm² s^-1 to conservative therapy. 13/17 (76%) strictures with an ADCmean > 1.081 × 10^-3 mm² s^-1 benefited of conservative therapy.

CONCLUSION

ADCmean values calculated on DWI-MRE may be associated to 1-year conservative medical therapy in patients with CD without extramural complications.

ADVANCES IN KNOWLEDGE

ADC maps may be proposed to select CD patients with a lower burden of mural active inflammatory cells and/or fibrosis benefiting of 1-year conservative treatment.

Histology at diagnostic gastroscopy predicts outcome after intestinal resection in pediatric Crohn's disease

BACKGROUND AND AIM

Pediatric Crohn's disease (CD) has been shown to have a high recurrence rate following surgical resection. Risk factors for postoperative CD recurrence in children are not well known. The aim of this study was to identify factors influencing postoperative recurrence in pediatric CD.

METHODS

Pediatric CD patients who underwent surgical resection with primary anastomosis with a minimum follow up of 2 years were identified from databases at the Royal London Hospital and Massachusetts General Hospital. Patients were subdivided into a recurrence group defined by clinical, endoscopic, histological, radiological and/or surgical outcomes, and a nonrecurrence group. Patient demographics, initial gastroscopy and colonoscopy findings, Paris classification, and preoperative and postoperative pharmacotherapy were analyzed.

RESULTS

Ninety-six children who underwent an ileal or ileocolonic resection with primary anastomosis were identified. Fifty-seven children had postoperative recurrence. Recurrence was associated with abnormal initial gastroscopy findings (P = 0.0077), ileocolonic disease location (P = 0.03), and perianal disease involvement (P = 0.04). Patients with abnormal initial gastroscopy had higher rates of relapse (hazard ratio 3.42, 95% confidence interval [CI] [1.86-6.30], P = 0.001). Multivariate analysis demonstrated that abnormal diagnostic gastroscopy histology was a significant independent predictor of postoperative recurrence in this cohort (odds ratio 1.33, 95% CI [1.04-1.70], P = 0.024). The most common histological abnormality was non-Helicobacter gastritis, found in 29/46 (63%).

CONCLUSION

This dual-center study has shown that the presence of upper gastrointestinal tract inflammation, especially non-Helicobacter gastritis, at the time of diagnosis, is associated with an increased risk of postoperative recurrence in pediatric CD.

First United Arab Emirates consensus on diagnosis and management of inflammatory bowel diseases: A 2020 Delphi consensus

Ulcerative colitis and Crohn’s disease are the main entities of inflammatory bowel disease characterized by chronic remittent inflammation of the gastrointestinal tract. The incidence and prevalence are on the rise worldwide, and the heterogeneity between patients and within individuals over time is striking. The progressive advance in our understanding of the etiopathogenesis coupled with an unprecedented increase in therapeutic options have changed the management towards evidence-based interventions by clinicians with patients. This guideline was stimulated and supported by the Emirates Gastroenterology and Hepatology Society following a systematic review and a Delphi consensus process that provided evidence- and expert opinion-based recommendations. Comprehensive up-to-date guidance is provided regarding diagnosis, evaluation of disease severity, appropriate and timely use of different investigations, choice of appropriate therapy for induction and remission phase according to disease severity, and management of main complications.

A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis of Paediatric Inflammatory Bowel Disease Incidence and Prevalence Across Europe

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Inflammatory bowel disease [IBD] is often one of the most devastating and debilitating chronic gastrointestinal disorders in children and adolescents. The main objectives here were to systematically review the incidence and prevalence of paediatric IBD across all 51 European states.

METHODS

We undertook a systematic review and meta-analysis based on PubMed, CINAHL, the Cochrane Library, searches of reference lists, grey literature and websites, covering the period from 1970 to 2018.

RESULTS

Incidence rates for both paediatric Crohn's disease [CD] and ulcerative colitis [UC] were higher in northern Europe than in other European regions. There have been large increases in the incidence of both paediatric CD and UC over the last 50 years, which appear widespread across Europe. The largest increases for CD have been reported from Sweden, Wales, England, the Czech Republic, Denmark and Hungary, and for UC from the Czech Republic, Ireland, Sweden and Hungary. Incidence rates for paediatric CD have increased up to 9 or 10 per 100 000 population in parts of Europe, including Scandinavia, while rates for paediatric UC are often slightly lower than for CD. Prevalence reported for CD ranged from 8.2 per 100 000 to approximately 60 and, for UC, from 8.3 to approximately 30.

CONCLUSIONS

The incidence of paediatric IBD continues to increase throughout Europe. There is stronger evidence of a north-south than an east-west gradient in incidence across Europe. Further prospective studies are needed, preferably multinational and based on IBD registries, using standardized definitions, methodology and timescales.