A new prediction model for ventricular arrhythmias in arrhythmogenic right ventricular cardiomyopathy

Long-term reliability of the phospholamban (PLN) p.(Arg14del) risk model in predicting major ventricular arrhythmia: a landmark study

AIMS

Recently, a genetic variant-specific prediction model for phospholamban (PLN) p.(Arg14del)-positive individuals was developed to predict individual major ventricular arrhythmia (VA) risk to support decision-making for primary prevention implantable cardioverter defibrillator (ICD) implantation. This model predicts major VA risk from baseline data, but iterative evaluation of major VA risk may be warranted considering that the risk factors for major VA are progressive. Our aim is to evaluate the diagnostic performance of the PLN p.(Arg14del) risk model at 3-year follow-up.

METHODS AND RESULTS

We performed a landmark analysis 3 years after presentation and selected only patients with no prior major VA. Data were collected of 268 PLN p.(Arg14del)-positive subjects, aged 43.5 ± 16.3 years, 38.9% male. After the 3 years landmark, subjects had a mean follow-up of 4.0 years (± 3.5 years) and 28 (10%) subjects experienced major VA with an annual event rate of 2.6% [95% confidence interval (CI) 1.6-3.6], defined as sustained VA, appropriate ICD intervention, or (aborted) sudden cardiac death. The PLN p.(Arg14del) risk score yielded good discrimination in the 3 years landmark cohort with a C-statistic of 0.83 (95% CI 0.79-0.87) and calibration slope of 0.97.

CONCLUSION

The PLN p.(Arg14del) risk model has sustained good model performance up to 3 years follow-up in PLN p.(Arg14del)-positive subjects with no history of major VA. It may therefore be used to support decision-making for primary prevention ICD implantation not merely at presentation but also up to at least 3 years of follow-up.

New Guidelines of Pediatric Cardiac Implantable Electronic Devices: What Is Changing in Clinical Practice?

Guidelines are important tools to guide the diagnosis and treatment of patients to improve the decision-making process of health professionals. They are periodically updated according to new evidence. Four new Guidelines in 2021, 2022 and 2023 referred to pediatric pacing and defibrillation. There are some relevant changes in permanent pacing. In patients with atrioventricular block, the heart rate limit in which pacemaker implantation is recommended was decreased to reduce too-early device implantation. However, it was underlined that the heart rate criterion is not absolute, as signs or symptoms of hemodynamically not tolerated bradycardia may even occur at higher rates. In sinus node dysfunction, symptomatic bradycardia is the most relevant recommendation for pacing. Physiological pacing is increasingly used and recommended when the amount of ventricular pacing is presumed to be high. New recommendations suggest that loop recorders may guide the management of inherited arrhythmia syndromes and may be useful for severe but not frequent palpitations. Regarding defibrillator implantation, the main changes are in primary prevention recommendations. In hypertrophic cardiomyopathy, pediatric risk calculators have been included in the Guidelines. In dilated cardiomyopathy, due to the rarity of sudden cardiac death in pediatric age, low ejection fraction criteria were demoted to class II. In long QT syndrome, new criteria included severely prolonged QTc with different limits according to genotype, and some specific mutations. In arrhythmogenic cardiomyopathy, hemodynamically tolerated ventricular tachycardia and arrhythmic syncope were downgraded to class II recommendation. In conclusion, these new Guidelines aim to assess all aspects of cardiac implantable electronic devices and improve treatment strategies.

Arrhythmogenic Left Ventricular Cardiomyopathy: From Diagnosis to Risk Management

PURPOSE OF REVIEW

Left ventricular arrhythmogenic cardiomyopathy (ALVC) is a rare and poorly characterized cardiomyopathy that has recently been reclassified in the group of non-dilated left ventricular cardiomyopathies. This review aims to summarize the background, diagnosis, and sudden cardiac death risk in patients presenting this cardiomyopathy.

RECENT FINDINGS

Although there is currently a lack of data on this condition, arrhythmogenic left ventricular dysplasia can be considered a specific disease of the left ventricle (LV). We have collected the latest evidence about the management and the risks associated with this cardiomyopathy.

SUMMARY

Left ventricular arrhythmogenic cardiomyopathy is still poorly characterized. ALVC is characterized by fibrofatty replacement in the left ventricular myocardium, with variable phenotypic expression. Diagnosis is based on a multiparametric approach, including cardiac magnetic resonance (CMR) and genetic testing, and is important for sudden cardiac death (SCD) risk stratification and management. Recent guidelines have improved the management of left ventricular arrhythmogenic cardiomyopathy. Further studies are necessary to improve knowledge of this cardiomyopathy.

Risk of malignant ventricular arrhythmias in patients with mildly to moderately reduced ejection fraction after permanent pacemaker implantation

BACKGROUND

Many patients with mildly to moderately reduced left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) who require permanent pacemaker (PPM) implantation do not have a concurrent indication for implantable cardioverter-defibrillator (ICD) therapy. However, the risk of ventricular tachycardia/ventricular fibrillation (VT/VF) in this population is unknown.

OBJECTIVE

The aim of this study was to describe the risk of VT/VF after PPM implantation in patients with mildly to moderately reduced LVEF.

METHODS

Retrospective analysis was performed of 243 patients with LVEF between 35% and 49% who underwent PPM placement and did not meet indications for an ICD. The primary end point was occurrence of sustained VT/VF. Competing risks regression was performed to calculate subhazard ratios for the primary end point.

RESULTS

Median follow-up was 27 months; 73% of patients were male, average age was 79 ± 10 years, average LVEF was 42% ± 4%, and 70% were New York Heart Association class II or above. Most PPMs were implanted for sick sinus syndrome (34%) or atrioventricular block (50%). Of 243 total patients, 11 (4.5%) met the primary end point of VT/VF. Multivessel coronary artery disease (CAD) was associated with significantly higher rates of VT/VF, with a subhazard ratio of 5.4 (95% CI, 1.5-20.1; P = .01). Of patients with multivessel CAD, 8 of 82 (9.8%) patients met the primary end point for an annualized risk of 4.3% per year.

CONCLUSION

Patients with mildly to moderately reduced LVEF and multivessel CAD undergoing PPM implantation are at increased risk for the development of malignant ventricular arrhythmias. Patients in this population may benefit from additional risk stratification for VT/VF and consideration for upfront ICD implantation.

Prognostic value of right atrial strains in arrhythmogenic right ventricular cardiomyopathy

OBJECTIVES

Arrhythmogenic right ventricular cardiomyopathy (ARVC) is an inherited cardiomyopathy characterized by progressive fibrofatty infiltration of atrial and ventricular myocardium resulting in adverse cardiac events. Atrial function has been increasingly recognized as prognostically important for cardiovascular disease. As the right atrial (RA) strain is a sensitive parameter to describe RA function, we aimed to analyze the prognostic value of the RA strain in ARVC.

METHODS

RA strain parameters were derived from cardiac magnetic resonance (CMR) images of 105 participants with definite ARVC. The endpoint was defined as a combination of sudden cardiac death, survival cardiac arrest, and appropriate implantable cardioverter-defibrillator intervention. Cox regression and Kaplan-Meier survival analyses were performed to evaluate the association between RA strain parameters and endpoint. Concordance index (C index), net reclassification index (NRI), and integrated discrimination improvement (IDI) were calculated to assess the incremental value of RA strain in predicting the endpoint.

RESULTS

After a median follow-up of 5 years, 36 (34.3%) reaching the endpoint displayed significantly reduced RA strain parameters. At Kaplan-Meier analysis, impaired RA reservoir (RARS) and booster strains (RABS) were associated with an increased risk of the endpoint. After adjusting for conventional risk factors, RARS (hazard ratio [HR], 0.956; p = 0.005) and RABS (HR, 0.906; p = 0.002) resulted as independent predictors for endpoint at Cox regression analyses. In addition, RARS and RABS improved prognostic value to clinical risk factors and CMR morphological and functional predictors (all p < 0.05).

CONCLUSION

RARS and RABS were independent predictors for adverse cardiac events, which could provide incremental prognostic value for conventional predictors in ARVC.

CRITICAL RELEVANCE STATEMENT

We evaluated the prognostic value of right atrial strain in ARVC patients and suggested cardiologists consider RA strain as a predictive parameter when evaluating the long-term outcome of ARVC patients in order to formulate better clinical therapy.

KEY POINTS

• Patients with ARVC had significantly reduced RA strain and strain rates compared with healthy participants. • Participants with lower RA reservoir and booster stains were associated with a significantly higher risk of adverse cardiac events. • RA booster and reservoir strain provide incremental value to conventional parameters.

A case report of isolated arrhythmogenic left ventricular cardiomyopathy: phenotypes, diagnosis, and treatment

Background

Isolated arrhythmogenic left ventricular cardiomyopathy (IALVC) is a hereditary cardiomyopathy that is characterized by the replacement of left ventricular (LV) cardiomyocytes with fibrous and adipose tissue.

Case summary

A 55-year-old male patient presented with recurrent chest pain and palpitations characterized by episodes of monomorphic ventricular tachycardia and T-wave inversion. Coronary angiography was conducted to rule out myocardial ischaemia as the cause of chest pain. Echocardiography results revealed ventricular aneurysm formation at the apex of the left ventricle. Structural alterations of the cardiac magnetic resonance were consistent with the diagnosis of arrhythmogenic left ventricular cardiomyopathy with LV alterations without right ventricular involvement. Pathological staining of the lesion area further confirmed the diagnosis of IALVC. The TTN1 c.17617 C>A mutation in arrhythmogenic cardiomyopathy was identified using whole exome sequencing. His symptoms improved by the treatments including implantable cardioverter defibrillator (ICD) implantation, radiofrequency ablation, and ventricular aneurysm resection.

Discussion

The patient presented with IALVC with apical fibrofatty displacement and underwent surgical management, highlighting the importance of multimodal imaging, gene analysis, and histopathological findings for timely diagnosis, and emphasizing the benefits of life-saving therapy, including ICD implantation, radiofrequency ablation, and ventricular aneurysm resection. These findings contribute to a deeper understanding of the clinical presentation and outcome of IALVC.

Right Ventricular Function in Arrhythmogenic Right Ventricular Cardiomyopathy: Potential Value of Strain Echocardiography

Arrhythmogenic right ventricular cardiomyopathy is an inherited cardiomyopathy, characterized by abnormal cell adhesions, disrupted intercellular signaling, and fibrofatty replacement of the myocardium. These changes serve as a substrate for ventricular arrhythmias, placing patients at risk of sudden cardiac death, even in the early stages of the disease. Current echocardiographic criteria for diagnosing arrhythmogenic right ventricular cardiomyopathy lack sensitivity, but novel markers of cardiac deformation are not subject to the same technical limitations as current guideline-recommended measures. Measuring cardiac deformation using speckle tracking allows for meticulous quantification of global systolic function, regional function, and dyssynchronous contraction. Consequently, speckle tracking to quantify myocardial strain could potentially be useful in the diagnostic process for the determination of disease progression and to assist risk stratification for ventricular arrhythmias and sudden cardiac death. This narrative review provides an overview of the potential use of different myocardial right ventricular strain measures for characterizing right ventricular dysfunction in arrhythmogenic right ventricular cardiomyopathy and its utility in assessing the risk of ventricular arrhythmias.

3D Fractal Dimension Analysis: Prognostic Value of Right Ventricular Trabecular Complexity in Participants with Arrhythmogenic Cardiomyopathy

BACKGROUND

Arrhythmogenic cardiomyopathy (ACM) is characterized by progressive myocardial fibro-fatty infiltration accompanied by trabecular disarray. Traditionally, two-dimensional (2D) instead of 3D fractal dimension (FD) analysis has been used to evaluate trabecular disarray. However, the prognostic value of trabecular disorder assessed by 3D FD measurement remains unclear.

PURPOSE

To investigate the prognostic value of right ventricular trabecular complexity in ACM patients using 3D FD analysis based on cardiac MR cine images.

STUDY TYPE

Retrospective.

POPULATION

85 ACM patients (mean age: 45 ± 17 years, 52 male).

FIELD STRENGTH/SEQUENCE

3.0T/cine imaging, T2-short tau inversion recovery (T2-STIR), and late gadolinium enhancement (LGE).

ASSESSMENT

Using cine images, RV (right ventricular) volumetric and functional parameters were obtained. RV trabecular complexity was measured with 3D fractal analysis by box-counting method to calculate 3D-FD. Cox and logistic regression models were established to evaluate the prognostic value of 3D-FD for major adverse cardiac events (MACE).

STATISTICAL TESTS

Cox regression and logistic regression to explore the prognostic value of 3D-FD. C-index, time-dependent receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves and area under the ROC curve (AUC) to evaluate the incremental value of 3D-FD. Intraclass correlation coefficient for interobserver variability. P < 0.05 indicated statistical significance.

RESULTS

26 MACE were recorded during the 60 month follow-up (interquartile range: 48-67 months). RV 3D-FD significantly differed between ACM patients with MACE (2.67, interquartile range: 2.51 ~ 2.81) and without (2.52, interquartile range: 2.40 ~ 2.67) and was a significant independent risk factor for MACE (hazard ratio, 1.02; 95% confidence interval: 1.01, 1.04). In addition, prognostic model fitness was significantly improved after adding 3D-FD to RV global longitudinal strain, LV involvement, and 5-year risk score separately.

DATA CONCLUSION

The myocardial trabecular complexity assessed through 3D FD analysis was found associated with MACE and provided incremental prognostic value beyond conventional ACM risk factors.

EVIDENCE LEVEL

4 TECHNICAL EFFICACY: Stage 1.

Management of arrhythmogenic right ventricular cardiomyopathy

Arrhythmogenic right ventricular cardiomyopathy (ARVC) is a disease characterised by fibrofatty replacement of the ventricular myocardium due to specific mutations, leading to ventricular arrhythmias and sudden cardiac death. Treating this condition can be challenging due to progressive fibrosis, phenotypic variations and small patient cohorts limiting the feasibility of conducting meaningful clinical trials. Although widely used, the evidence base for anti-arrhythmic drugs is limited. Beta-blockers are theoretically sound, yet their efficacy in reducing arrhythmic risk is not robust. Additionally, the impact of sotalol and amiodarone is inconsistent with studies reporting contradictory results. Emerging evidence suggests that combining flecainide and bisoprolol may be efficacious.Radiofrequency ablation has shown some potential in disrupting ventricular tachycardia circuits, with combined endo and epicardial ablation yielding better results which could be considered at the index procedure. In addition, stereotactic radiotherapy may be a future option that can decrease arrhythmias beyond simple scar formation by altering levels of Nav1.5 channels, Connexin 43 and Wnt signalling, potentially modifying myocardial fibrosis.Future therapies, such as adenoviruses and GSk3b modulation, are still in early-stage research. While implantable cardioverter-defibrillator implantation is a key intervention for reducing arrhythmic death, the risks of inappropriate shocks and device complications must be carefully considered.

Ventricular Tachycardia Due to Arrhythmogenic Right Ventricular Cardiomyopathy in the Setting of Acute Coronary Syndrome

A 55-year-old man presented with sustained monomorphic ventricular tachycardia with a left bundle QRS complex pattern in the setting of non-ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction. The electrocardiographic morphology of the ventricular tachycardia and echocardiographic findings of significant right ventricular dysfunction led to the diagnosis of arrhythmogenic right ventricular cardiomyopathy.

Predicting the risk of glaucoma-related adverse events following secondary intraocular lens implantation in paediatric eyes: a 3-year study

AIMS

To establish and evaluate predictive models for glaucoma-related adverse events (GRAEs) following secondary intraocular lens (IOL) implantation in paediatric eyes.

METHODS

205 children (356 aphakic eyes) receiving secondary IOL implantation at Zhongshan Ophthalmic Center with a 3-year follow-up were enrolled. Cox proportional hazard model was used to identify predictors of GRAEs and developed nomograms. Model performance was evaluated with time-dependent receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves, decision curve analysis, Kaplan-Meier curves and validated internally through C-statistics and calibration plot of the bootstrap samples.

RESULTS

Older age at secondary IOL implantation (HR=1.5, 95% CI: 1.03 to 2.19), transient intraocular hypertension (HR=9.06, 95% CI: 2.97 to 27.67) and ciliary sulcus implantation (HR=14.55, 95% CI: 2.11 to 100.57) were identified as risk factors for GRAEs (all p<0.05). Two nomograms were established. At postoperatively 1, 2 and 3 years, model 1 achieved area under the ROC curves (AUCs) of 0.747 (95% CI: 0.776 to 0.935), 0.765 (95% CI: 0.804 to 0.936) and 0.748 (95% CI: 0.736 to 0.918), and the AUCs of model 2 were 0.881 (95% CI: 0.836 to 0.926), 0.895 (95% CI: 0.852 to 0.938) and 0.848 (95% CI: 0.752 to 0.945). Both models demonstrated fine clinical net benefit and performance in the interval validation. The Kaplan-Meier curves showing two distinct risk groups were well discriminated and robust in both models. An online risk calculator was constructed.

CONCLUSION

Two nomograms could sensitively and accurately identify children at high risk of GRAEs after secondary IOL implantation to help early identification and timely intervention.

Ringlike late gadolinium enhancement provides incremental prognostic value in non-classical arrhythmogenic cardiomyopathy

BACKGROUND

The 2019 arrhythmogenic right ventricular cardiomyopathy (ARVC) risk model has proved insufficient in the capability of predicting ventricular arrhythmia (VA) risk in non-classical arrhythmogenic cardiomyopathy (ACM). Furthermore, the prognostic value of ringlike late gadolinium enhancement (LGE) of the left ventricle in non-classical ACM remains unknown. We aimed to assess the incremental value of ringlike LGE over the 2019 ARVC risk model in predicting sustained VA in patients with non-classical ACM.

METHODS

In this retrospective study, consecutive patients with non-classical ACM who underwent CMR from January 2011 to January 2022 were included. The pattern of LGE was categorized as no, non-ringlike, and ringlike LGE. The primary outcome was defined as the occurrence of sustained VA. Univariable and multivariable Cox regression analysis was used to evaluate the impact of LGE patterns on sustained VA and area under curve (AUC) was calculated for the incremental value of ringlike LGE.

RESULTS

A total of 73 patients were collected in the final cohort (mean age, 39.3 ± 14.4 years, 51 male), of whom 10 (13.7%) had no LGE, 33 (45.2%) had non-ringlike LGE, and 30 (41.1%) had ringlike LGE. There was no statistically significant difference in the 5-year risk score among the three groups (P = 0.190). During a median follow-up of 34 (13-56) months, 34 (46.6%) patients experienced sustained VA, including 1 (10.0%), 13 (39.4%) and 20 (66.7%) of patients with no, non-ringlike and ringlike LGE, respectively. After multivariable adjustment, ringlike LGE remained independently associated with the presence of sustained VA (adjusted hazard ratio: 6.91, 95% confidence intervals: 1.89-54.60; P = 0.036). Adding ringlike LGE to the 2019 ARVC risk model showed significantly incremental prognostic value for sustained VA (AUC: 0.80 vs. 0.67; P = 0.024).

CONCLUSION

Ringlike LGE provides independent and incremental prognostic value over the 2019 ARVC risk model in patients with non-classical ACM.

Development and Validation of Machine Learning-Based Models to Predict In-Hospital Mortality in Life-Threatening Ventricular Arrhythmias: Retrospective Cohort Study

BACKGROUND

Life-threatening ventricular arrhythmias (LTVAs) are main causes of sudden cardiac arrest and are highly associated with an increased risk of mortality. A prediction model that enables early identification of the high-risk individuals is still lacking.

OBJECTIVE

We aimed to build machine learning (ML)-based models to predict in-hospital mortality in patients with LTVA.

METHODS

A total of 3140 patients with LTVA were randomly divided into training (n=2512, 80%) and internal validation (n=628, 20%) sets. Moreover, data of 2851 patients from another database were collected as the external validation set. The primary output was the probability of in-hospital mortality. The discriminatory ability was evaluated by the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC). The prediction performances of 5 ML algorithms were compared with 2 conventional scoring systems, namely, the simplified acute physiology score (SAPS-II) and the logistic organ dysfunction system (LODS).

RESULTS

The prediction performance of the 5 ML algorithms significantly outperformed the traditional models in predicting in-hospital mortality. CatBoost showed the highest AUC of 90.5% (95% CI 87.5%-93.5%), followed by LightGBM with an AUC of 90.1% (95% CI 86.8%-93.4%). Conversely, the predictive values of SAPS-II and LODS were unsatisfactory, with AUCs of 78.0% (95% CI 71.7%-84.3%) and 74.9% (95% CI 67.2%-82.6%), respectively. The superiority of ML-based models was also shown in the external validation set.

CONCLUSIONS

ML-based models could improve the predictive values of in-hospital mortality prediction for patients with LTVA compared with traditional scoring systems.

Value of cardiac magnetic resonance on the risk stratification of cardiomyopathies

Cardiomyopathies represent a diverse group of heart muscle diseases with varying etiologies, presenting a diagnostic challenge due to their heterogeneous manifestations. Regular evaluation using cardiac imaging techniques is imperative as symptoms can evolve over time. These imaging approaches are pivotal for accurate diagnosis, treatment planning, and optimizing prognostic outcomes. Among these, cardiovascular magnetic resonance (CMR) stands out for its ability to provide precise anatomical and functional assessments. This manuscript explores the significant contributions of CMR in the diagnosis and management of patients with cardiomyopathies, with special attention to risk stratification. CMR's high spatial resolution and tissue characterization capabilities enable early detection and differentiation of various cardiomyopathy subtypes. Additionally, it offers valuable insights into myocardial fibrosis, tissue viability, and left ventricular function, crucial parameters for risk stratification and predicting adverse cardiac events. By integrating CMR into clinical practice, clinicians can tailor patient-specific treatment plans, implement timely interventions, and optimize long-term prognosis. The non-invasive nature of CMR reduces the need for invasive procedures, minimizing patient discomfort. This review highlights the vital role of CMR in monitoring disease progression, guiding treatment decisions, and identifying potential complications in patients with cardiomyopathies. The utilization of CMR has significantly advanced our understanding and management of these complex cardiac conditions, leading to improved patient outcomes and a more personalized approach to care.

Arrhythmogenic Cardiomyopathy: Evolving Diagnostic Criteria and Insight from Cardiac Magnetic Resonance Imaging

Arrhythmogenic cardiomyopathy (ACM) is an umbrella term encompassing a wide variety of overlapping hereditary and nonhereditary disorders that can result in malignant ventricular arrhythmias and sudden cardiac death. Cardiac MRI plays a critical role in accurate diagnosis of various ACM entities and is increasingly showing promise in risk stratification that can further guide management particularly in decisions regarding use of implantable cardioverter defibrillator. Genotyping plays an important role in cascade testing but challenges remain due to incomplete penetrance and wide phenotypic variability of ACM as well as the presence of gene-elusive cases.

Nomogram for predicting cardiac death and heart transplantation in arrhythmogenic right ventricular cardiomyopathy

AIMS

In this study, we aimed to develop and validate a competing risk nomogram for predicting cardiac death and heart transplantation (HT) in patients with arrhythmogenic right ventricular cardiomyopathy (ARVC).

METHODS

We retrospectively enrolled 149 consecutive patients with ARVC diagnosed at our institution between 2008 and 2022. Cox proportional hazards model was primarily used to identify variables associated with cardiac death and HT. On the basis of these indicators, a competing risk nomogram was developed to predict the 1, 3, and 5 year probabilities of cardiac death and HT. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC), Harrell's C-index, and calibration curves were used to evaluate and internally validate the performance of the model. Decision curve analysis was performed to assess the clinical utility of the nomogram.

RESULT

Of the 149 patients with ARVC, the mean age was 38.77 ± 15.94 years, and most of the patients were men (67.11%, 100/149). Fourteen patients experienced cardiac death and nine underwent HT, during a median follow-up period of 5.8 years (interquartile range, 0.62-5.56 years). Multivariable COX analysis revealed that extent of TWI in the anterior and inferior leads (P = 0.0057), right atrial diameter on transthoracic echocardiography (P = 0.0498), RVEF (P = 0.1036), and LVEF (P < 0.001) all showed statistical significance. The 1-, 3-, and 5-year cumulative incidence of cardiac death and HT were 3.35%, 8.05%, and 11.4%, respectively. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of the nomogram for predicting cardiac death and HT at 1, 3, and 5 years after diagnosis of ARVC were 0.860, 0.935, and 0.956. The value of Harrell's C-index is 0.9273 (95% confidence interval 0.8954-0.9590; P < 0.001), indicating that the model had good discriminative ability in internal validation. Decision curve analysis revealed that our model was clinically useful within the entire range of potential treatment thresholds in most cases. The cumulative incidence of the primary outcomes was significantly different between the three risk groups according to nomogram-derived scores (P < 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

On the basis of a retrospective review of patients with ARVC at a single centre, we developed a novel nomogram for predicting the risk of cardiac death and HT after ARVC diagnosis. This competing risk nomogram based on four readily available clinical parameters (right atrial diameter, right and left ventricular ejection fraction, and T-wave inversion) is a potentially useful tool for individualized prognostic assessment in patients with ARVC.

The Lancet Commission to reduce the global burden of sudden cardiac death: a call for multidisciplinary action

Despite major advancements in cardiovascular medicine, sudden cardiac death (SCD) continues to be an enormous medical and societal challenge, claiming millions of lives every year. Efforts to prevent SCD are hampered by imperfect risk prediction and inadequate solutions to specifically address arrhythmogenesis. Although resuscitation strategies have witnessed substantial evolution, there is a need to strengthen the organisation of community interventions and emergency medical systems across varied locations and health-care structures. With all the technological and medical advances of the 21st century, the fact that survival from sudden cardiac arrest (SCA) remains lower than 10% in most parts of the world is unacceptable. Recognising this urgent need, the Lancet Commission on SCD was constituted, bringing together 30 international experts in varied disciplines. Consistent progress in tackling SCD will require a completely revamped approach to SCD prevention, with wide-sweeping policy changes that will empower the development of both governmental and community-based programmes to maximise survival from SCA, and to comprehensively attend to survivors and decedents' families after the event. International collaborative efforts that maximally leverage and connect the expertise of various research organisations will need to be prioritised to properly address identified gaps. The Commission places substantial emphasis on the need to develop a multidisciplinary strategy that encompasses all aspects of SCD prevention and treatment. The Commission provides a critical assessment of the current scientific efforts in the field, and puts forth key recommendations to challenge, activate, and intensify efforts by both the scientific and global community with new directions, research, and innovation to reduce the burden of SCD worldwide.

Prevention of Sudden Death and Management of Ventricular Arrhythmias in Arrhythmogenic Cardiomyopathy

Arrhythmogenic cardiomyopathy is an umbrella term for a group of inherited diseases of the cardiac muscle characterized by progressive fibro-fatty replacement of the myocardium. As suggested by the name, the disease confers electrical instability to the heart and increases the risk of the development of life-threatening arrhythmias, representing one of the leading causes of sudden cardiac death (SCD), especially in young athletes. In this review, the authors review the current knowledge of the disease, highlighting the state-of-the-art approaches to the prevention of the occurrence of SCD.

From gene-discovery to gene-tailored clinical management: 25 years of research in channelopathies and cardiomyopathies

In the early nineties, few years before the birth of Europace, the clinical and scientific world of familial arrhythmogenic conditions was revolutionized by the identification of the first disease-causing genes. The explosion of genetic studies over a 15-year period led to the discovery of major disease-causing genes in practically all channelopathies and cardiomyopathies, bringing insight into the pathophysiological mechanisms of these conditions. The birth of next generation sequencing allowed a further step forward and other significant genes, as CALM1-3 in channelopathies and FLN C and TTN in cardiomyopathies were identified. Genotype-phenotype studies allowed the implementation of the genetic results in diagnosis, risk stratification, and therapeutic management with a different level of evidence in different arrhythmogenic conditions. The influence of common genetic variants, i.e. SNPs, on disease manifestation was proved in mid-twenties, and in the last 10 years with the advent of genome-wide association studies performed in familial arrhythmogenic diseases, the concept of polygenic risk score has been consolidated. Now, we are at the start of another amazing phase, i.e. the initiation of first gene therapy clinical trials.

Sex Differences in Heart Failure: What Do We Know?

Heart failure (HF) remains an important global health issue, substantially contributing to morbidity and mortality. According to epidemiological studies, men and women face nearly equivalent lifetime risks for HF. However, their experiences diverge significantly when it comes to HF subtypes: men tend to develop HF with reduced ejection fraction more frequently, whereas women are predominantly affected by HF with preserved ejection fraction. This divergence underlines the presence of numerous sex-based disparities across various facets of HF, encompassing aspects such as risk factors, clinical presentation, underlying pathophysiology, and response to therapy. Despite these apparent discrepancies, our understanding of them is far from complete, with key knowledge gaps still existing. Current guidelines from various professional societies acknowledge the existence of sex-based differences in HF management, yet they are lacking in providing explicit, actionable recommendations tailored to these differences. In this comprehensive review, we delve deeper into these sex-specific differences within the context of HF, critically examining associated definitions, risk factors, and therapeutic strategies. We provide a specific emphasis on aspects exclusive to women, such as the impact of pregnancy-induced hypertension and premature menopause, as these unique factors warrant greater attention in the broader HF discussion. Additionally, we aim to clarify ongoing controversies and knowledge gaps pertaining to the pharmacological treatment of HF and the sex-specific indications for cardiac implantable electronic devices. By shining a light on these issues, we hope to stimulate a more nuanced understanding and promote the development of more sex-responsive approaches in HF management.

Right ventricular function is a predictor for sustained ventricular tachycardia requiring anti-tachycardic pacing in arrhythmogenic ventricular cardiomyopathy: insight into transvenous vs. subcutaneous implantable cardioverter defibrillator insertion

AIMS

Arrhythmogenic right ventricular cardiomyopathy (ARVC) patients develop ventricular arrhythmias (VAs) responsive to anti-tachycardia pacing (ATP). However, VA episodes have not been characterized in accordance with the device therapy, and with the emergence of the subcutaneous implantable cardioverter defibrillator (S-ICD), the appropriate device prescription in ARVC remains unclear. Study aim was to characterize VA events in ARVC patients during follow-up in accordance with device therapy and elicit if certain parameters are predictive of specific VA events.

METHODS AND RESULTS

This was a retrospective single-centre study utilizing prospectively collated registry data of ARVC patients with ICDs. Forty-six patients were included [54.0 ± 12.1 years old and 20 (43.5%) secondary prevention devices]. During a follow-up of 12.1 ± 6.9 years, 31 (67.4%) patients had VA events [n = 2, 6.5% ventricular fibrillation (VF), n = 14], 45.2% VT falling in VF zone resulting in ICD shock(s), n = 10, 32.3% VT resulting in ATP, and n = 5, 16.1% patients had both VT resulting in ATP and ICD shock(s). Lead failure rates were high (11/46, 23.9%). ATP was successful in 34.5% of patients. Severely impaired right ventricular (RV) function was an independent predictor of VT resulting in ATP (hazard ratio 16.80, 95% confidence interval 3.74-75.2; P < 0.001) with a high predictive accuracy (area under the curve 0.88, 95%CI 0.76-1.00; P < 0.001).

CONCLUSION

VA event rates are high in ARVC patients with a majority having VT falling in the VF zone resulting in ICD shock(s). S-ICDs could be of benefit in most patients with ARVC with the absence of severely impaired RV function which has the potential to avoid consequences of the high burden of lead failure.

Management of Inherited Arrhythmia Syndromes: a HiRO Consensus Handbook on Process of Care

Inherited arrhythmia syndromes are rare genetic conditions that predispose seemingly healthy individuals to sudden cardiac arrest and death. The Hearts in Rhythm Organization is a multidisciplinary Canadian network of clinicians, researchers, patients, and families that aims to improve care for patients and families with inherited cardiac conditions, focused on those that confer predisposition to arrhythmia and sudden cardiac arrest and/or death. The field is rapidly evolving as research discoveries increase. A streamlined, practical guide for providers to diagnose and follow pediatric and adult patients with inherited cardiac conditions represents a useful tool to improve health system utilization, clinical management, and research related to these conditions. This review provides consensus care pathways for 7 conditions, including the 4 most common inherited cardiac conditions that confer predisposition to arrhythmia, with scenarios to guide investigation, diagnosis, risk stratification, and management. These conditions include Brugada syndrome, long QT syndrome, arrhythmogenic right ventricular cardiomyopathy and related arrhythmogenic cardiomyopathies, and catecholaminergic polymorphic ventricular tachycardia. In addition, an approach to investigating and managing sudden cardiac arrest, sudden unexpected death, and first-degree family members of affected individuals is provided. Referral to specialized cardiogenetic clinics should be considered in most cases. The intention of this review is to offer a framework for the process of care that is useful for both experts and nonexperts, and related allied disciplines such as hospital management, diagnostic services, coroners, and pathologists, in order to provide high-quality, multidisciplinary, standardized care.

Programmed Ventricular Stimulation as an Additional Primary Prevention Risk Stratification Tool in Arrhythmogenic Right Ventricular Cardiomyopathy: A Multinational Study

BACKGROUND

A novel risk calculator based on clinical characteristics and noninvasive tests that predicts the onset of clinical sustained ventricular arrhythmias (VA) in patients with arrhythmogenic right ventricular cardiomyopathy (ARVC) has been proposed and validated by recent studies. It remains unknown whether programmed ventricular stimulation (PVS) provides additional prognostic value.

METHODS

All patients with a definite ARVC diagnosis, no history of sustained VAs at diagnosis, and PVS performed at baseline were extracted from 6 international ARVC registries. The calculator-predicted risk for sustained VA (sustained or implantable cardioverter defibrillator treated ventricular tachycardia [VT] or fibrillation, [aborted] sudden cardiac arrest) was assessed in all patients. Independent and combined performance of the risk calculator and PVS on sustained VA were assessed during a 5-year follow-up period.

RESULTS

Two hundred eighty-eight patients (41.0±14.5 years, 55.9% male, right ventricular ejection fraction 42.5±11.1%) were enrolled. At PVS, 137 (47.6%) patients had inducible ventricular tachycardia. During a median of 5.31 [2.89-10.17] years of follow-up, 83 (60.6%) patients with a positive PVS and 37 (24.5%) with a negative PVS experienced sustained VA (P<0.001). Inducible ventricular tachycardia predicted clinical sustained VA during the 5-year follow-up and remained an independent predictor after accounting for the calculator-predicted risk (HR, 2.52 [1.58-4.02]; P<0.001). Compared with ARVC risk calculator predictions in isolation (C-statistic 0.72), addition of PVS inducibility showed improved prediction of VA events (C-statistic 0.75; log-likelihood ratio for nested models, P<0.001). PVS inducibility had a 76% [67-84] sensitivity and 68% [61-74] specificity, corresponding to log-likelihood ratios of 2.3 and 0.36 for inducible (likelihood ratio+) and noninducible (likelihood ratio-) patients, respectively. In patients with a ARVC risk calculator-predicted risk of clinical VA events <25% during 5 years (ie, low/intermediate subgroup), PVS had a 92.6% negative predictive value.

CONCLUSIONS

PVS significantly improved risk stratification above and beyond the calculator-predicted risk of VA in a primary prevention cohort of patients with ARVC, mainly for patients considered to be at low and intermediate risk by the clinical risk calculator.

Genotype-phenotype Correlates in Arrhythmogenic Cardiomyopathies

PURPOSE OF THE REVIEW

The definition of arrhythmogenic cardiomyopathy (ACM) has expanded beyond desmosomal arrhythmogenic right ventricular cardiomyopathy (ARVC) to include other genetic cardiomyopathies with a significant arrhythmia burden. Emerging data on genotype-phenotype correlations has led recent consensus guidelines to urge genetic testing as a critical component of not only diagnosis but also management of ACM.

RECENT FINDINGS

Plakophilin-2 (PKP2) ARVC/ACM is most likely to meet ARVC Task Force Criteria with right sided involvement and ventricular arrhythmias, while desmoplakin (DSP) ACM may have a normal electrocardiogram (ECG) and has a subepicardial LV scar pattern. Extra-desmosomal ACM including ACM associated with transmembrane protein 43 and phospholamban variants may have characteristic ECG patterns and biventricular cardiomyopathy. Lamin A/C and SCN5A cardiomyopathy often have heart block on ECG with DCM, but are distinct from DCM in that they have significantly elevated arrhythmic risk. Newer genes, especially filamin-C (FLNC) also may have distinct imaging scar patterns, arrhythmia risk, and risk predictors. Recognition of these key differences have implications for clinical management and reinforce the importance of genetic testing in the diagnosis and the emerging opportunities for genotype-specific management of ACM patients.

Impaired heart rate variability in patients with arrhythmogenic cardiomyopathy: A multicenter retrospective study in China

BACKGROUND

Cardiac sympathetic nerve system (SNS) might play an important role in arrhythmogenesis of arrhythmogenic cardiomyopathy (ACM). This study aims to assess the activity of cardiac SNS in ACM patients by heart rate variability (HRV), and to investigate its predictive value for sustained ventricular tachycardia (sVT).

METHODS

A total of 88 ACM patients and 65 sex- and age- matched healthy participants were enrolled. The time domain measures were used to evaluate the activity of cardiac SNS. An independent cohort with 48 ACM patients was as the validation cohort.

RESULTS

ACM patients had lower levels of standard deviation of all NN intervals (SDNN) [118.0 (90.3, 136.8) vs. 152.0 (132.5, 174.5) ms, p < 0.001] compared with healthy participants. Further analysis showed ACM patients with sVT had lower levels of SDNN than those without sVT (105.0 ± 28.1 vs. 131.8 ± 33.1 ms, p < 0.001). Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed SDNN was independently associated with sVT in ACM patients [odds ratio (OR) 0.59, 95% confidence interval (CI) (0.45-0.78), p < 0.001]. Receiver operating characteristics curve demonstrated SDNN had clinical values in predicting sVT in ACM patients [area under the curve (AUC) = 0.73, 95% CI (0.63-0.84), p < 0.001], which was verified in the validation cohort.

CONCLUSION

The present study suggests that HRV is impaired in patients with ACM, and the SDNN level has a moderate value in risk stratification for sVT in ACM patients. In addition, the finding might provide new target for the further management of ACM with integrated traditional Chinese and western medicine.

Highly malignant disease in childhood-onset arrhythmogenic right ventricular cardiomyopathy

AIMS

This study aimed to explore the incidence of severe cardiac events in paediatric arrhythmogenic right ventricular cardiomyopathy (ARVC) patients and ARVC penetrance in paediatric relatives. Furthermore, the phenotype in childhood-onset ARVC was described.

METHODS

Consecutive ARVC paediatric patients and genotype positive relatives ≤18 years of age were followed with electrocardiographic, structural, and arrhythmic characteristics according to the 2010 revised Task Force Criteria. Penetrance of ARVC disease was defined as fulfilling definite ARVC criteria and severe cardiac events were defined as cardiac death, heart transplantation (HTx) or severe ventricular arrhythmias. Childhood-onset disease was defined as meeting definite ARVC criteria ≤12 years of age.

RESULTS

Among 62 individuals [age 9.8 (5.0-14.0) years, 11 probands], 20 (32%) fulfilled definite ARVC diagnosis, of which 8 (40%) had childhood-onset disease. The incidence of severe cardiac events was 23% (n = 14) by last follow-up and half of them occurred in patients ≤12 years of age. Among the eight patients with childhood-onset disease, five had biventricular involvement needing HTx and three had severe arrhythmic events. Among the 51 relatives, 6% (n = 3) met definite ARVC criteria at time of genetic diagnosis, increasing to 18% (n = 9) at end of follow-up.

CONCLUSIONS

In a paediatric ARVC cohort, there was a high incidence of severe cardiac events and half of them occurred in children ≤12 years of age. The ARVC penetrance in genotype positive paediatric relatives was 18%. These findings of a high-malignant phenotype in childhood-onset ARVC indicate a need for ARVC family screening at younger age than currently recommended.