Delayed risk stratification, to include the response to initial treatment (surgery and radioiodine ablation), has better outcome predictivity in differentiated thyroid cancer patients

Prognostic factors for postoperative papillary thyroid cancer with unexplained elevated Tg: A retrospective study

Objective

This study aimed to investigate the underlying reasons for unexplained elevated thyroglobulin (Tg) in postoperative papillary thyroid cancer (PTC) patients according to follow-up results post RAT and to explore the long-term clinical outcomes and prognostic factors associated with these patients.

Methods

From April 2016 to June 2019, a retrospective study was conducted on postoperative PTC patients who underwent RAT at our institution. Patients with preablative stimulated thyroglobulin (psTg) > 10 ng/mL but no structurally evident disease were enrolled. The causal categorization for elevated Tg was analyzed 6 months post RAT and the long-term therapeutic responses were assessed at the end of follow-up. To identify risk factors influencing recurrence-free survival (RFS), both univariate and multivariate Cox regression analysis were employed. Kaplan-Meier method was utilized for plotting survival curves.

Results

A cohort of 165 subjects was enrolled for the analyses. Based on the results of a six-month follow-up, the postoperative unexplained elevated Tg among 165 patients could be ultimately attributed to thyroid remnant in 13.94% (23/165), biochemical disease in 60.00% (99/165), and structural disease in 26.06% (43/165). With a median follow-up of 58 months, 51 (30.91%), 34 (20.60%), 21 (12.73%), and 59 (35.76%) of the 165 patients achieved ER, IDR, BIR and SIR, respectively. Univariate analysis showed that N stage, TNM stage and suppressed Tg 6 months post RAT may be prognostic factors affecting RFS. Multivariate analysis showed that N1b stage [HR:2.749, P = 0.003] and II/III stage [HR:2.910, P = 0.001] were independent risk factors for RFS.

Conclusion

The proportion of 165 postoperative PTC patients with unexplained elevated Tg developing structural disease within nearly 5 years was over 30%. Patients with N1b stage and higher TNM stage were more likely to develop structural disease.

Recurrent Middle Eastern Differentiated Thyroid Carcinoma Has Worse Outcomes Than Persistent Disease

Background: Despite the excellent prognosis of differentiated thyroid carcinoma (DTC), recurrent and persistent disease remain major challenges. Emerging studies to differentiate between recurrent and persistent disease are controversial, with studies from the Middle East lacking. Methods: We retrospectively analyzed 1691 patients who underwent surgery ± I131 treatment for DTC, with a median age of 38.7 years and median follow-up of 95.3 months. Results: We found a similar prevalence rate for persistent and recurrent disease (17.7% vs. 17.9%) in Middle Eastern DTC patients. Relative to patients with persistent disease, patients with recurrent disease were significantly older (median age: 36.1 vs. 45.8 years; p < 0.0001) and were more likely to have ATA high-risk tumors (61.5% vs. 75.2%; p = 0.0003). On multivariate logistic regression analysis, both T and N status were independent predictors for recurrent as well as structural persistent disease. However, older age, bilaterality and extrathyroidal extension were independent predictors of recurrent disease alone. In addition, patients with recurrent disease had significantly worse cancer-specific survival (p < 0.0001), which remained significant in multivariate analysis. Conclusions: Although persistent and recurrent disease in Middle Eastern DTC have similar frequencies, recurrent disease has worse outcomes compared to persistent disease. Hence, differentiating recurrence from persistence has great potential clinical relevance for therapeutic and follow-up approaches, contributing to improving the outcomes of DTC patients of Middle Eastern ethnicity.

Prognostic Factors Improving ATA Risk System and Dynamic Risk Stratification in Low- and Intermediate-Risk DTC Patients

CONTEXT

American Thyroid Association (ATA) guidelines do not consider age at diagnosis as a prognostic factor on the estimation of the risk of persistent/recurrent disease in differentiated thyroid carcinoma (DTC) patients. While age at diagnosis has already been assessed in high-risk patients, it remains to be established in low- and intermediate-risk patients.

OBJECTIVE

The aim of our study was to investigate the role of age as a prognostic factor in the short- and long-term outcome of DTC patients classified at low and intermediate risk according to the ATA stratification risk system.

METHODS

We retrospectively evaluated 863 DTC patients (mean follow-up: 10 ± 6.2 years) 52% classified as low (449/863) and 48% as intermediate risk (414/863). For each ATA-risk class patients were divided into subgroups based on age at diagnosis (<55 or ≥55 years).

RESULTS

In the intermediate-risk group, patients aged 55 years or older had a higher rate of structural disease (11.6% vs 8.9%), recurrent disease (4.1% vs 0.7%), and death (4.1% vs 1%) when compared with younger patients (<55 years) (P = .007). Multivariate analysis confirmed that older age at diagnosis (odds ratio [OR] = 3.9; 95% CI, 1.9-8.6; P < .001) was an independent risk factor for worse long-term outcome together with response to initial therapy (OR = 13.0; 95% CI, 6.3-27.9; P < .001), and T (OR = 32; 95% CI, 1.4-7.1; P = .005) and N category (OR = 2.3; 95% CI, 1.1-5.0; P = .03). Nevertheless, a negative effect of older age was documented only in the subgroup of intermediate DTC patients with persistent structural disease after initial therapy. Indeed, the rate of worse long-term outcome rose from 13.3% in the whole population of intermediate DTC patients to 47.8% in patients with persistent structural disease after initial therapy (P < .001) and to 80% in patients older than 55 years and persistent structural disease after initial therapy (P = .02).

CONCLUSION

Our results suggest that age at diagnosis further predict individual outcomes in Intermediate-Risk DTC allowing ongoing management to be tailored accordingly.

Thyroid ultrasound and its ancillary techniques

Ultrasound (US) of the thyroid has been used as a diagnostic tool since the late 1960s. US is the most important imaging tool for diagnosing thyroid disease. In the majority of cases a correct diagnosis can already be made in synopsis of the sonographic together with clinical findings and basal thyroid hormone parameters. However, the characterization of thyroid nodules by US remains challenging. The introduction of Thyroid Imaging Reporting and Data Systems (TIRADSs) has improved diagnostic accuracy of thyroid cancer significantly. Newer techniques such as elastography, superb microvascular imaging (SMI), contrast enhanced ultrasound (CEUS) and multiparametric ultrasound (MPUS) expand diagnostic options and tools further. In addition, the use of artificial intelligence (AI) is a promising tool to improve and simplify diagnostics of thyroid nodules and there is evidence that AI can exceed the performance of humans. Combining different US techniques with the introduction of new software, the use of AI, FNB as well as molecular markers might pave the way for a completely new area of diagnostic accuracy in thyroid disease. Finally, interventional ultrasound using US-guided thermal ablation (TA) procedures are increasingly proposed as therapy options for benign as well as malignant thyroid diseases.

Dynamic risk assessment in patients with differentiated thyroid cancer

The current approach for patients with differentiated thyroid carcinoma should be individualized according to the risk of recurrence, and this stratification could be used to identify the risk of persistent/recurrent disease in three scenarios: preoperatively, immediately postoperatively, and during long-term follow-up. The initial risk of recurrence will tailor the management of the patient in the preoperative and immediate postoperative settings, while the dynamic risk, which considers the responses to treatment, could guide the decision-making process for remnant ablation and long-term management.This review provides a summary of the existing information regarding the dynamic risk of recurrence and recommended management for patients with differentiated thyroid cancer. The application of this approach is essential to avoid unnecessary treatments for most patients who will have a favorable prognosis. On the other hand, it allows specific therapeutic interventions for those patients at high risk of recurrence. In the future, analysis of tumor biology and prospective studies will surely improve the accuracy of recurrence risk prediction.

Comparison of Prognostic Value Between Stimulated and Nonstimulated Thyroglobulins in Differentiated Thyroid Cancer: A Retrospective Study

Purpose

The growing incidence of differentiated thyroid cancer (DTC) demands dependable prognostic factors to guide follow-up and treatment plans. This study investigated the prognostic value of response to therapy (RTT) assessment using TSH stimulated-thyroglobulin (sti-Tg) and nonstimulated-thyroglobulin (nonsti-Tg) and evaluates whether RTT using nonsti-Tg (nonstiRTT) can replace RTT using sti-Tg (stiRTT) in clinical practice to improve patients' quality of life during assessment.

Methods

We enrolled 419 DTC patients who underwent total thyroidectomy, radioactive iodine (RAI) therapy, and Tg assessment. Patients with structural incomplete responses were excluded. Initial RTT assessments based on the 2015 American Thyroid Association guidelines (excellent response; ER, indeterminate response, biochemical incomplete response) were performed 6-24 months after RAI therapy. The second RTT assessments were performed 6-24 months after the first assessment. Statistical analysis for recurrence-free survival (RFS) was done with the log-rank test for stiRTT and nonstiRTT.

Results

Although initial stiRTT and nonstiRTT were significant predictors for RFS (p < 0.0001), stiRTT provided better RFS prediction than nonstiRTT. The RFS analysis of the second RTT assessment demonstrated statistical significance only for stiRTT (p < 0.0001). In 116 patients classified as ER on initial stiRTT, there was no RFS difference between patients classified as ER on either second stiRTT or nonstiRTT.

Conclusion

The prognostic power of stiRTT surpasses that of nonstiRTT in both the initial and second RTT assessment. Nevertheless, among patients classified as ER on initial stiRTT, a second stiRTT may not be required for those classified as ER on the second nonstiRTT.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s13139-023-00811-8.

Analysis of the clinical factors affecting excellent response of Iodine-131 treatment for pulmonary metastases from differentiated thyroid cancer

Background

Iodiene-131 (131I) treatment is the primary therapeutic approach for imaging 131I-avid pulmonary metastases. The response to radioiodine (RAI) treatment is an important prognostic factor in patients with pulmonary metastases from differentiated thyroid cancer (DTC). Patients who achieve an excellent response (ER) to 131I treatment show significantly reduced disease-related mortality. This study aimed to retrospectively analyse the clinical data and therapeutic effects of 131I treatment in patients with DTC and pulmonary metastases and to screen out the clinical factors affecting ER.

Materials and methods

The study included a total of 75 patients with exclusively Iodine-131 avid (131I-avid) pulmonary metastases who underwent 131I treatment. Relevant clinical data for these patients were collected. Following treatment, the status of DTC metastatic lesions was categorized as follows: excellent response (ER), biochemical incomplete response (BIR), structural incomplete response (SIR), or indeterminate response (IDR). Gender, age at diagnosis, pathological type, stages (TNM), stimulated thyroglobulin (sTg) value before initial 131I treatment, metastatic nodule size, and type of post-treatment whole body scan (Rx-WBS) were recorded. Mono-factor analysis and binary logistic regression analyses were used to identify the factors that might affect the ER in DTC pulmonary metastases. The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve of the sTg value was used to predict the ER of 131I treatment.

Results

All 75 patients with exclusively 131I-avid pulmonary metastases received 131I treatment and underwent follow-up. Out of the 75 patients, 26 achieved ER, resulting in an excellent response rate of 34.7 % (26/75). Among them, 25 (25/26, 96.2 %) achieved an ER after undergoing two rounds of 131I treatment. Binary logistic regression analysis showed that the factors influencing DTC pulmonary metastases excellent response were lower sTg levels [odds ratio (OR) = 0.998, P < 0.001], micronodular metastases (OR = 0.349, P = 0.001) and focal distribution on Rx-WBS imaging (OR = 0.113, P = 0.001). The area under the ROC curve for sTg value predicting ER was 0.876, and the cut-off value was 26.84 ng/mL, with a sensitivity and specificity of 87.9 % and 80.3 %, respectively.

Conclusions

131I treatment is effective for 131I-avid pulmonary metastases of DTC. Some patients who underwent 131I treatment achieved ER. Most patients with ER were obtained after two rounds of 131I treatments. Patients with sTg values before initial 131I treatment lower than 26.84 ng/mL, micronodular metastases, and focal distribution on Rx-WBS imaging were more likely to achieve ER.

A Prospective Multicenter Study Examining the Relationship Between Thyroid Cancer Treatment Outcomes and the Presence of Autoimmune Thyroiditis

Background: There is some controversy on the potential relationship between autoimmune processes and clinicopathologic features as well as prognosis of differentiated thyroid cancer (DTC), and the evidence is limited by its largely retrospective nature. We examined the relationship between the presence of autoimmune thyroiditis (AT) and 1-year thyroid cancer treatment outcomes in a large multicenter study using prospectively collected data. Methods: We included data from consecutive DTC patients enrolled in the Italian Thyroid Cancer Observatory (ITCO) database (NCT04031339). We divided the groups according to the presence (AT) or absence (no autoimmune thyroiditis [noAT]) of associated AT. We used propensity score matching to compare the clinical features and outcomes between the two groups at 1-year follow-up. Results: We included data from 4233 DTC patients, including 3172 (75%) females. The American Thyroid Association (ATA) risk levels were as follows: 51% (2160/4233) low risk, 41.3% (1750/4233) intermediate risk, and 7.6% (323/4233) high risk. There were 1552 patients (36.7%) who had AT. Before propensity score matching, AT patients were significantly younger and had a smaller and bilateral tumor (p < 0.0001). Patients with AT more frequently fell into the low- and intermediate-risk categories, while the ATA high risk was more frequent among noAT patients (p = 0.004). After propensity score matching, patients with AT more frequently showed evidence of disease (structural/biochemical incomplete response) versus excellent/indeterminate response, compared with patients without AT (7.3% vs. 4.5%, p = 0.001), with an odds ratio of 1.86 ([confidence interval: 1.3-2.6], p = 0.0001). However, when considering only structural persistence as the outcome, no statistically significant differences were observed between patients with or without AT (3.4% vs. 2.7%, p = 0.35). The elevated risk associated with the ATA intermediate and high risk at diagnosis remained consistently statistically significant. Conclusions: In this large prospective series, biochemical persistence was more frequent, at 1-year follow-up, in AT patients. However, there was no significant association between the presence of AT and structural persistence of disease. These findings may be explained by the presence of a residual thyroid tissue.

Clinical Impact of Androgen Receptor-Suppressing miR-146b Expression in Papillary Thyroid Cancer Aggressiveness

CONTEXT

Papillary thyroid carcinoma (PTC) is the most common thyroid malignancy. Dysregulated expression of miR-146b and androgen receptor (AR) has been shown to play critical roles in tumorigenesis in PTC. However, the mechanistic and clinical association between AR and miR-146b is not fully understood.

OBJECTIVE

The purpose was to investigate miR-146b as the potential AR target miRNA and its involvement in advanced tumor characteristics of PTC.

METHODS

Expression of AR and miR-146b were assessed in frozen and formalin-fixed paraffin-embedded tissue samples from PTC and adjacent normal thyroid specimens by quantitative real-time polymerase chain reaction, and their correlation was examined. Human thyroid cancer cell lines BCPAP and TPC-1 were used to evaluate the effect of AR on miR-146b signaling. Chromatin immunoprecipitation (ChIP) assays were performed to determine whether AR binds to the miR-146b promoter region.

RESULTS

Pearson correlation analysis confirmed significant inverse correlation between miR-146b and AR expression. Overexpressing AR BCPAP and TPC-1 cells showed relatively lower miR-146b expression. ChIP assay revealed that AR might bind to the androgen receptor element located on the promoter region of miRNA-146b gene, and overexpression of AR suppresses miR-146b-mediated tumor aggressiveness. The low AR/high miR-146b PTC patient group was associated with advanced tumor characteristics, including higher tumor stage, lymph node metastasis, and worse treatment response.

CONCLUSION

To sum up, miR-146b is a molecular target of AR transcriptional repression; therefore, AR suppresses miR-146b expression to reduce PTC tumor aggressiveness.

Risk Stratification of Differentiated Thyroid Cancer: A Single-Center Study in Basrah

Background Differentiated thyroid cancer is a common endocrine cancer; most of it has an indolent course and favorable outcomes, with a subset of patients having the risk of disease recurrence, which can be assessed using the fixed American Thyroid Association (ATA) risk stratification system or the dynamic response to therapy risk stratification that can be modified during patients follow-up. Aim The aim of this article is to assess the risk stratification of patients having differentiated thyroid cancer. Methods This is a retrospective cross-sectional study in which we evaluated medical records of 75 patients having differentiated thyroid cancer to assess the baseline ATA risk of recurrence and compared it to the results of dynamic risk stratification in response to therapy at 6-12 months post-surgery and at the last visit. Thyroglobulin level, anti-thyroglobulin antibody, thyroid ultrasound, and cytopathological examination were used to determine dynamic response to therapy and divided subjects into four groups: excellent response (ER), biochemical incomplete response (BIR), structural incomplete response (SIR), and indeterminate response (IR). Results At baseline, 55 patients had low risk, 14 patients had intermediate risk, and six patients had high risk. At 6-12 months post-surgery, in the low-risk group, ER, BIR, and IR responses were observed in 56.4%, 5.5%, and 38.2% of patients, respectively, and none of them exhibited SIR. In the intermediate-risk group, ER, BIR, and IR responses were observed in 57.1%, 21.4%, and 21.4% of patients, respectively, and none exhibited SIR. Among the high-risk group, two patients had ER, two patients had BIR, one patient had IR, and one patient had SIR. At the last visit, ER, BIR, and IR were observed in 65.5%, 9.1%, and 25.5% of low-risk patients, respectively, and no patient developed SIR. In the intermediate-risk group, ER, BIR, and IR were observed in 50%, 21.4%, and 28.6% of patients, respectively, and no patients developed SIR. Among the high-risk group, three patients achieved ER, one had BIR, one had IR, and one had SIR. Conclusion Most of the differentiated thyroid cancers in this study are low-risk. Dynamic risk stratification appears to be an effective tool in the follow-up of this population of patients having differentiated thyroid cancer.

Dynamic Risk Stratification Integrated with ATA Risk System for Predicting Long-Term Outcome in Papillary Thyroid Cancer

BACKGROUND

In recent years, there has been a renewed interest in thyroid cancer management paradigms that use individualized risk assessments as the basis for treatment and follow-up recommendations. In this study, we assumed that the long-term follow-up of differentiated thyroid cancer patients might be better tailored by integrating the response to initial therapy with the America Thyroid Association (ATA) risk classes.

METHODS

This retrospective study included low- and intermediate-risk papillary thyroid cancer (PTC) patients followed up for a median time of 8 years and classified according to the response to initial therapy assessed 6-12 months after initial treatment.

RESULTS

After a median follow-up of 8 years, in the initial excellent response subgroup of PTC patients (n = 522), the rate of recurrent disease was significantly higher in intermediate-risk patients than in low-risk PTC patients (6.9% versus 1.2%, p = 0.0005). Similarly, in the initial biochemical incomplete response subgroup (n = 82), the rate of excellent response was significantly higher in low-risk PTC patients (58.0%) than in intermediate-risk PTC patients (33.3%) (p = 0.007). Finally, in the initial structural incomplete response subgroup (n = 66), the rate of excellent response was higher in low-risk patients (80.0%) than in intermediate-risk patients (46.4%) (p = 0.08). Moreover, all patients with initial indeterminate response had an excellent response at the last follow-up visit. ATA risk classes were independently associated with long-term outcome in each subgroup of patients classified dynamically after initial therapy and the overall prognostic performance, defined via ROC curve analysis, of response to initial therapy integrated with the ATA risk system (AUC: 0.89; 95% CI: 0.86-0.92) was significantly higher compared to the ATA risk stratification (AUC 0.69; 95% CI: 0.65-0.74, p < 0.001) or the dynamic risk stratification (DRS) systems alone (AUC: 0.86 95% CI: 0.82-0.90, p = 0.007).

CONCLUSIONS

This study of a large cohort of PTC patients showed that the initial ATA risk criteria may be useful for improving the risk-adapted management of PTC patients based on the response to initial therapy.

A clinically useful and biologically informative genomic classifier for papillary thyroid cancer

Clinical management of papillary thyroid cancer depends on estimations of prognosis. Standard care, which relies on prognostication based on clinicopathologic features, is inaccurate. We applied a machine learning algorithm (HighLifeR) to 502 cases annotated by The Cancer Genome Atlas Project to derive an accurate molecular prognostic classifier. Unsupervised analysis of the 82 genes that were most closely associated with recurrence after surgery enabled the identification of three unique molecular subtypes. One subtype had a high recurrence rate, an immunosuppressed microenvironment, and enrichment of the EZH2-HOTAIR pathway. Two other unique molecular subtypes with a lower rate of recurrence were identified, including one subtype with a paucity of BRAFV600E mutations and a high rate of RAS mutations. The genomic risk classifier, in addition to tumor size and lymph node status, enabled effective prognostication that outperformed the American Thyroid Association clinical risk stratification. The genomic classifier we derived can potentially be applied preoperatively to direct clinical decision-making. Distinct biological features of molecular subtypes also have implications regarding sensitivity to radioactive iodine, EZH2 inhibitors, and immune checkpoint inhibitors.

Construction and validation of a metabolism-related prognostic model for thyroid cancer

Metabolic reprogramming is a common pathological process of cancer. Expression of metabolism-related genes differs in thyroid cancer (TC) patients with different prognoses. This work committed to constructing a prognostic model for TC through identifying metabolism-related signatures. Expression profiles of mRNAs and clinical data of TC, were acquired from The Cancer Genome Atlas. Differential analysis was performed on mRNA expression profiles. The obtained differentially expressed genes (DEGs) were overlapped with metabolism-related genes from MSigDB database to acquire metabolism-related DEGs. Cox regression and Least Absolute Shrinkage and Selection Operator analyses were performed to ascertain feature genes and to build a prognostic model for TC. The model was evaluated comprehensively through survival curve, time-dependent receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve, gene set enrichment analysis (GSEA), and Cox regression analyses combining varying clinical information. 7 key genes related to metabolism, including AWAT2, GGT6, ENTPD1, PAPSS2, CYP26A, ACY3 and PLA2G10, were identified, based on which a prognostic model was constructed. The survival analysis indicated that high-risk group presented shorter survival time than low-risk group. ROC curve results exhibited that AUC values of 3-year and 5-year survival of TC patients were both >0.70. Besides, GSEA on high/low-risk groups revealed that DEGs were mainly gathered in biological functions and signaling pathways linked with keratan sulfate catabolism and triglyceride catabolism. Combined with clinical information, Cox regression analyses unveiled that the 7-gene prognostic model can be an independent predictor. In conclusion, this model can effectively predict prognoses of TC patients, and also offer guidance for clinical treatment of TC.

Utilizing Dynamic Risk Stratification in Patients With Tall Cell Variant Papillary Thyroid Cancer

OBJECTIVES

Tall cell variant (TCV) papillary thyroid cancer (PTC) is a subtype of PTC associated with aggressive tumor behavior, advanced stage, and higher rates of recurrence and mortality. The present study aimed to test an established dynamic risk stratification tool in the TCV population, with the goal of better predicting the postoperative course of these patients.

STUDY DESIGN

Retrospective chart review.

METHODS

A total of 94 patients with TCV who underwent total thyroidectomy with radioactive iodine ablation were retrospectively reviewed from 1998 through 2020. Biochemical, structural, and overall response to treatment was determined for each patient, based on postoperative thyroglobulin levels and imaging findings. Primary outcomes were locoregional and distant recurrence, presence of disease at final follow-up, need for additional intervention, and disease-specific mortality.

RESULTS

Patients with TCV who were stratified as having an excellent overall response to treatment had lower rates of locoregional recurrence than indeterminate, biochemical incomplete, and structural incomplete responses (2.0%, 33.3%, 55.0%, and 85.7% at 5 years respectively, p < 0.001). The same was true for distant recurrence as well (2.0%, 9.0%, 35.1%, and 42.9%, p < 0.001). An excellent response was also associated with lower rates of presence of disease at final follow-up, need for additional intervention, and disease-specific mortality.

CONCLUSIONS

Although TCV is an aggressive subtype associated with worse clinical outcomes than classical PTC, patients with an excellent overall response to treatment have significantly improved outcomes when compared to indeterminate, biochemical incomplete, and structural incomplete responses.

LEVEL OF EVIDENCE

3 Laryngoscope, 133:2430-2438, 2023.

A Data-Driven Approach to Refine Predictions of Differentiated Thyroid Cancer Outcomes: A Prospective Multicenter Study

CONTEXT

The risk stratification of patients with differentiated thyroid cancer (DTC) is crucial in clinical decision making. The most widely accepted method to assess risk of recurrent/persistent disease is described in the 2015 American Thyroid Association (ATA) guidelines. However, recent research has focused on the inclusion of novel features or questioned the relevance of currently included features.

OBJECTIVE

To develop a comprehensive data-driven model to predict persistent/recurrent disease that can capture all available features and determine the weight of predictors.

METHODS

In a prospective cohort study, using the Italian Thyroid Cancer Observatory (ITCO) database (NCT04031339), we selected consecutive cases with DTC and at least early follow-up data (n = 4773; median follow-up 26 months; interquartile range, 12-46 months) at 40 Italian clinical centers. A decision tree was built to assign a risk index to each patient. The model allowed us to investigate the impact of different variables in risk prediction.

RESULTS

By ATA risk estimation, 2492 patients (52.2%) were classified as low, 1873 (39.2%) as intermediate, and 408 as high risk. The decision tree model outperformed the ATA risk stratification system: the sensitivity of high-risk classification for structural disease increased from 37% to 49%, and the negative predictive value for low-risk patients increased by 3%. Feature importance was estimated. Several variables not included in the ATA system significantly impacted the prediction of disease persistence/recurrence: age, body mass index, tumor size, sex, family history of thyroid cancer, surgical approach, presurgical cytology, and circumstances of the diagnosis.

CONCLUSION

Current risk stratification systems may be complemented by the inclusion of other variables in order to improve the prediction of treatment response. A complete dataset allows for more precise patient clustering.

Patient decision aids for patients with differentiated thyroid carcinoma: development process and alpha and beta testing

Background

Patient decision aids (PtDAs) are structured clinical tools that facilitate shared decision-making. Two important treatment decisions for patients with differentiated thyroid cancer (DTC), which could benefit from PtDAs, are as follows (1): the extent of surgery decision in patients with low-risk DTC and (2) the decision to start or delay starting the treatment with tyrosine kinase inhibitors (TKIs) in patients with advanced tumors.

Material and methods

PtDAs for these two decisions were developed using the International Patient Decision Aids Standards (IPDAS) quality criteria in an iterative process of prototype development via alpha and beta testing by patients and physicians. The information content of the PtDAs was based on the available literature, current guidelines, and patient's needs, preferences, and values.

Results

The web-based PtDAs underwent two rounds of alpha testing, revisions, and beta testing. The PtDAs have the same structure, consisting of six steps: a general introduction, information about the treatment options, comparing the treatment options, knowledge questions, a values clarification exercise, and saving the information. The alpha testing (n = 8 patients, n = 10 physicians) showed that the PtDAs were highly acceptable and usable for decision-making. Results of the beta testing in 20 patients showed that two patients did not use the PtDA; the other 18 patients found that the PtDAs were readable (n = 17) and helpful (n = 14) for decision-making. All patients recommend using the PtDAs.

Conclusions

Evidence-based PtDAs were created for patients with DTC for two different treatment decisions. Our final version was judged to be clear, balanced, and helpful in decision-making.

Modified dynamic risk stratification system further predicts individual outcome in patients with intermediate-risk papillary thyroid cancer

OBJECTIVE

We assessed the contribution of initial treatment response to further refining prediction of individual outcomes in intermediate-risk papillary thyroid cancer (PTC) on the American Thyroid Association (ATA) risk stratification system. Dynamic risk stratification (DRS) as originally proposed by Tuttle et al. in 2010 was modified to also include serum antithyroglobulin antibodies (TgAb) as a surrogate marker of the likelihood of persistent disease, specifically in patients with thyroglobulin assay interference by TgAb.

METHODS

Three hundred and seventy-three patients with ATA intermediate-risk PTC were enrolled retrospectively upon reviewing medical records. Patients were followed at the National Cancer Institute in Bogota, Colombia after being treated with total thyroidectomy and I-131 therapy between 2009 and 2013. Best response to initial therapy was classified as excellent, indeterminate, biochemically incomplete or structurally incomplete. Final disease status after a median follow-up of 7.1 years was classified as no evidence of disease (NED), indeterminate, or persistent disease (either biochemically or structurally). The rate of recurrence was determined in excellent responders.

RESULTS

Excellent response was achieved by 164 patients (43.9%). At a median follow-up of 42 months, 19 (11.6%) had experienced recurrence. 87.4% of initially excellent responders available at the final checkpoint were NED, compared to 28% of those with biochemically or structurally incomplete response and to 60.2% of all ATA intermediate-risk PTC patients in our cohort.

CONCLUSIONS

Modified DRS further predicted individual outcomes in intermediate-risk PTC, potentially allowing ongoing management to be tailored accordingly.

Application of the American Thyroid Association Risk Assessment in Patients with Differentiated Thyroid Carcinoma in a German Population

Background: The American Thyroid Association (ATA) uses criteria to assess the risk for persistent disease in differentiated thyroid carcinoma (DTC) after radioiodine therapy (RAI). There are no data available showing that this classification can be adopted unadjusted by Germany. Aim: The aim of our study is to investigate whether the ATA classification can be applied to a German population for short-term prognosis. Furthermore, we investigated the influence of an age cutoff value. Methods: We retrospectively analyzed 121 patients who were referred to our tertiary referral center. Patients were classified into risk categories, and the therapy response was determined according to ATA. Results: A total of 73/83 (88%) ATA low-risk patients and 12/19 (63%) intermediate-risk patients showed an excellent response; 2/19 (11%) high-risk patients had a biochemical, and 6 (31%) had a structural incomplete response. Of all 39 patients ≥55 years, 84% had an excellent response. Using a cut off of 50 years, 50/62 (81%) of the older patients showed an excellent response. Conclusion: The ATA risk classification is able to estimate the response to RAI therapy in a German population. A shift from 55 to 50 years as an age cutoff value does not result in any relevant change in the treatment response.

Recombinant human thyrotropin versus thyroid hormone withdrawal preparation for radioiodine ablation in differentiated thyroid cancer: Experience in a South Taiwanese medical center

This retrospective study was designed to compare the treatment response of patients with differentiated thyroid cancer (DTC) prepared for radioiodine ablation (RIA) with thyroid hormone withdrawal (THW) or recombinant human thyrotropin (rhTSH) stimulation. Patients with DTC were followed-up retrospectively between 2013 and 2018 in Kaohsiung Chang Gung Memorial Hospital, Taiwan. We compared the excellent response ratios between THW (49.9%) and rhTSH (50.1%) stimulation. Patients were then divided into subgroups, on the basis of age, sex, extrathyroidal extension, lymph node metastasis, and tumor-node-metastasis stage, for analysis. In all, 647 patients were followed-up after RIA. The ratios of THW or rhTSH use in the different subgroups were not statistically significant. In all the patients, the excellent response rate with THW and rhTSH was 80% and 76.5%, respectively, which was not statistically significant. The subgroup analysis, including age, sex, extrathyroidal extension, lymph node metastasis, and tumor-node-metastasis stage (low and high risk), showed similar results. Furthermore, the logistic regression analysis revealed no statistically significant differences among the subgroups. The multivariate analysis showed extrathyroidal extension, lymph node metastasis, and high I¹³¹ dose were the prognostic factors affecting the excellent response rate. In conclusion, the THW and rhTSH preparations for RIA were similar in terms of the excellent response rates and subgroup clinical outcomes.

Differentiated thyroid carcinoma: An update

Differentiated thyroid carcinoma (DTC) is the most common endocrine cancer. Particularly the incidence of small clinically indolent tumors has been increasing significantly during the last decades because of increased diagnostic scrutiny, while the DTC-related mortality remained unchanged. In light of the increased awareness of the significant risk of detecting clinically indolent tumors and the potential harm and burden associated with overly diagnosis and the treatment, the approach towards management of DTC recently underwent a critical appraisal. The focus lays on reducing the unnecessary burden for patients with very low risk DTC and the correct identification of those who require treatment that is more intensive and/or follow-up. Management of DTC includes a range of different modalities, making multidisciplinary collaboration expedient. In this review, we elaborate on the recent developments in diagnosis, staging and management of DTC with specific focus on the more individualized risk assessment-based approach.

Risk Reassessment of Differentiated Thyroid Cancer in Ahvaz, Iran: A Cross-sectional Retrospective Study

BACKGROUND

Accurate evaluation of response to treatment in differentiated thyroid cancer (DTC) is the sine qua non of preventing over-treatment in low-risk patients and implementing appropriate interventions in high-risk individuals.

OBJECTIVES

This study aimed to assess the response to therapy in DTC patients based on dynamic stratification method.

METHODS

In this cross-sectional study, 154 medical records of subjects with DTC (with at least 6 months after total thyroidectomy) and referred to endocrinology clinics in Ahvaz, Iran, from April 2020 to May 2021 were examined. Patients were stratified according to a dynamic risk stratification system (informed by their specific clinical, histopathological, and ultrasonography findings, and other diagnostic imagines) into four groups: Excellent response (ER), indeterminate response (IR), biochemical incomplete response (BIR), and structural incomplete response (SIR).

RESULTS

For a mean follow-up period of 28.59 months, excellent response to treatment was observed in 92 patients (59.7%), indeterminate response to treatment was found in 32 patients (20.8%), biochemical incomplete response was detected in 2 patients (1.3%), and structural incomplete response was seen in 28 patients (18.2%). In the group with low risk of recurrence, ER and IR were observed in 79.2% and 15.6% of the patients, respectively (P < 0.0001). In the group with an intermediate risk of recurrence, ER was found in 32% of the patients, while IR and SIR + BIR were seen in 34% and 34% of the patients, respectively (P < 0.0001). No cases of ER or IR were observed in the group with high risk (P = 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

In sum, response to treatment significantly varied based on dynamic risk stratification, with ER being highest in the low-risk group, less likely in moderate risk group, and undetected in the high-risk group.

The Prospective Implementation of the 2015 ATA Guidelines and Modified ATA Recurrence Risk Stratification System for Treatment of Differentiated Thyroid Cancer in a Canadian Tertiary Care Referral Setting

Objective: To present clinical outcomes of the prospective implementation of the 2015 American Thyroid Association (ATA) guidelines for the management of thyroid nodules and differentiated thyroid cancer (DTC) using the modified ATA recurrence risk (RR) stratification system. Methods: We prospectively analyzed 612 patients with DTC treated between April 2017 and December 2021 in Calgary, Alberta. Each patient was prospectively assigned a modified ATA RR and American Joint Committee Cancer 8th edition stage. Initial risk stratification and consideration of the 2015 ATA guidelines guided surgical management as well as the indication for and dose of radioiodine (RAI) and other adjuvant therapies. Patients were assessed for their response to treatment (RTT) at 2-years postoperatively. Results: There were 479 patients who had 2-year follow-up data and were included in the study. Of these patients, there were 253 (53%) low-, 129 (27%) intermediate-, and 97 (20%) high-RR patients. Of these, 227 patients (47%) underwent total thyroidectomy (TTX) plus RAI, 178 (37%) underwent TTX only, and 74 (16%) underwent lobectomy. The RTT at 2 years was excellent for 89% (66) of patients with lobectomy, 84% (149) for TTX only, and 53% (121) for TTX plus RAI. Among 253 patients who were deemed low RR, 85% (216) had excellent RTT, 13% (32) indeterminate RTT, 2% (4) biochemical incomplete RTT, and 1 patient had structural incomplete RTT. The intermediate RR group had the following RTT outcomes: 64% (83) excellent, 23% (30) indeterminate, 6% (7) biochemical incomplete, and 7% (9) structural incomplete. The high RR group had the worst RTT outcomes, with 38% (37) excellent, 19% (18) indeterminate, 10% (10) biochemical incomplete, and 33% (32) structural incomplete RTT. Conclusions: The 2015 ATA RR stratification system is useful for predicting disease status at 2-year post-treatment in patients with DTC. The 2015 ATA guidelines and modified ATA RR stratification treatment recommendations may reduce thyroid cancer overtreatment by including lobectomy as a definitive treatment option for low-risk thyroid cancers and selective use of RAI for intermediate and high-risk patients.

Incomplete response to therapy in intermediate- and high-risk thyroid cancer

CONTEXT

The American Thyroid Association (ATA) risk stratification system predicts risk of recurrence of differentiated thyroid cancer (DTC). Although the majority of patients achieve an excellent response, patients with intermediate- or high-risk DTC are at a significant risk of developing incomplete responses. We undertook this work to understand the factors associated with development of biochemically or structurally incomplete response in these two risk subgroups of DTC.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

We retrospectively reviewed 287 consecutive patients with intermediate- (213 patients) or high-risk (74 patients) DTC. All patients underwent total thyroidectomy with (223 patients) or without (64 patients) lymph node dissection and 94% of them received at least one dose of I-131ablation/therapy. Univariate and multivariate analysis and Kaplan Meier analysis were used to compare patients who achieved an excellent response with those who continued to have biochemically or structurally incomplete responses.

RESULTS

In univariate and multivariate analyses, age (P 0.002, Odds ratio 4.8, 95% CI: 1.8-12.9), tumor size (P 0.027, Odds ratio 1.30, 95% CI: 1.03-1.64) and distant metastases (P &lt; 0.0001, Odds ratio 44.6, 95% CI: 10.7-184.5) were significantly associated with the risk of developing biochemically or structurally incomplete statuses. Patients ≥ 55 years, tumors &gt; 2.5 cm and presence of distant metastasis were associated with higher risk of incomplete response and death from DTC. However, when this analysis was performed on intermediate and high-risk groups separately, only age was consistently associated with risk of biochemically or structurally incomplete response in either and both groups.

CONCLUSION

Age is a strong predictor of biochemically and structurally incomplete responses in patients with intermediate and high-risk DTC.

Serum glycomic profile as a predictive biomarker of recurrence in patients with differentiated thyroid cancer

PURPOSE

Thyroid cancer recurrence following curative thyroidectomy is associated with increased morbidity and mortality, but current surveillance strategies are inadequate for early detection. Prior studies indicate that tissue glycosylation is altered in thyroid cancer, but the utility of serum glycosylation in thyroid cancer surveillance remains unexplored. We therefore assessed the potential utility of altered serum glycomic profile as a tumor-specific target for disease surveillance in recurrent thyroid cancer.

EXPERIMENTAL DESIGN

We employed banked serum samples from patients with recurrent thyroid cancer post thyroidectomy and healthy controls. N-glycans were enzymatically released from serum glycoproteins, labeled via permethylation, and analyzed by MALDI-TOF mass spectrometry. Global level and specific subtypes of glycan structures were compared between patients and controls.

RESULTS

We evaluated 28 independent samples from 13 patients with cancer recurrence and 15 healthy controls. Global features of glycosylation, including N-glycan class and terminal glycan modifications were similar between groups, but three of 35 individual glycans showed significant differences. The three glycans were biosynthetically related biantennary core fucosylated N-glycans that only varied by the degree of galactosylation (G0F, G1F, and G2F; G: galactose, F: fucose). The ratio of G0F:G1F that captures reduced galactosylation was observed in patients samples but not in healthy controls (p = 0.004) and predicted thyroid cancer recurrence (AUC = 0.82, CI 95% = 0.64-0.99).

CONCLUSIONS

Altered N-glycomic profile was associated with thyroid cancer recurrence. This serum-based biomarker would be useful as an effective surveillance tool to improve the care and prognosis of thyroid cancer after prospective validation.

The outcomes and prognostic factors of patients who underwent reoperation for persistent/recurrent papillary thyroid carcinoma

BACKGROUND

While the most suitable approach for treating persistent/recurrent papillary thyroid carcinoma (PTC) remains controversial, reoperation may be considered an effective method. The efficacy of reoperation in patients with locoregional persistent/recurrent PTC, especially those with unsatisfactory radioactive iodine (RAI) ablation results, is still uncertain. This study aimed to clarify the clinical management strategies for locoregional persistent/recurrent PTC and to explore factors that may affect long-term patient outcomes after reoperation.

METHODS

In total, 124 patients who initially underwent thyroidectomy and variable extents of RAI therapy and finally received reoperation for locoregionally persistent/recurrent PTC were included. The parameters associated with recurrence-free survival (RFS) were analysed using a Cox proportional hazards model.

RESULTS

Overall, 124 patients presented with structural disease after initial therapy and underwent secondary surgical resection, of whom 32 patients developed further structural disease during follow-up after reoperation. At the time of reoperation, metastatic lymph nodes with extranodal extension (P = 0.023) and high unstimulated thyroglobulin (unstim-Tg) levels after reoperation (post-reop) (P = 0.001) were independent prognostic factors for RFS. Neither RAI avidity nor the frequency and dose of RAI therapies before reoperation affected RFS.

CONCLUSIONS

Reoperation is an ideal clinical treatment strategy for structural locoregional persistent/recurrent PTC, and repeated empirical RAI therapies performed prior to reoperation may not contribute to the long-term outcomes of persistent/recurrent PTC patients. Metastatic lymph nodes with extranodal extension and post-reop unstim-Tg > 10.1 ng/mL may predict a poor prognosis.

Cell-Free DNA Analysis within the Challenges of Thyroid Cancer Management

Simple Summary

Liquid biopsy is a minimally invasive method that emerged as a new promising tool for improving diagnosis, risk stratification, follow-up, and treatment of cancer patients. To date, the majority of the research in the area of liquid biopsy has focused on plasma-based cell-free DNA as a potential surrogate for tumor DNA obtained from a tissue biopsy. In the last decades, breakthrough advancements have been performed in the knowledge of thyroid cancer genetics, and the role of molecular characterization in clinical decision-making is continuously rising, from diagnosis completion to the personalization of treatment approach. Hence, it is expectable for cell-free DNA to be applicable in thyroid cancer management. This review aims to investigate the cell-free DNA utility for thyroid cancer patients’ care.

Abstract

Thyroid cancer is the most frequent endocrine malignancy with an increasing incidence trend during the past forty years and a concomitant rise in cancer-related mortality. The circulating cell-free DNA (cfDNA) analysis is a patient’s friendly and repeatable procedure allowing to obtain surrogate information about the genetics and epigenetics of the tumor. The aim of the present review was to address the suitability of cfDNA testing in different forms of thyroid cancer, and the potential clinical applications, as referred to the clinical weaknesses. Despite being limited by the absence of standardization and by reproducibility and validity issues, cfDNA assessment has great potential for the improvement of thyroid cancer management. cfDNA may support the pre-surgical definition of thyroid nodules by complementing invasive thyroid fine needle aspiration cytology. In addition, it may empower risk stratification and could be used as a biomarker for monitoring the post-surgical disease status, both during active surveillance and in the case of anti-tumor treatment.

Applicability of Dynamic Risk Stratification for Differentiated Thyroid Cancer (DTC) in a Resource Limited Setting

Dynamic risk stratification (DRS) in DTC has been considered necessary to deliver correct follow-up (FU) treatment, avoiding overtreatment of low risk/intermediate risk patients as well as inadequate treatment of high risk patients. However, it's clinical applicability has been questioned in comparison with more conventional FU protocols. We aimed to know the predictive reliability of DRS in monitoring FU of DTC in a resource-constrained setting across various risk groups, especially when compared with clinical examination alone.

An immediate postoperative response to therapy assessment can help avoid unnecessary RAI therapy

Background

Radioiodine (RAI) therapy plays a vital role in the postoperative treatment of differentiated thyroid cancer (DTC) patients underwent total thyroidectomy (TT). However, even in the presence of capsular invasion and lymph node metastasis prognosis can be excellent and a postoperative RAI treatment might not be necessary for all patients. Therefore, this study explored the criteria for avoiding unnecessary RAI therapy in these patients.

Method

We applied response to therapy assessment immediately after surgery and prospectively recruited 179 excellent or indeterminate response DTC patients with capsular invasion and/or LNM who underwent TT without RAI therapy. During the follow-up, thyroglobulin (Tg), thyroglobulin antibody (TgAb) levels, and cervical ultrasonography were collected and analyzed. Disease-free survival (DFS) was calculated using the Kaplan-Meier method. In addition, response to therapy assessments was performed on patients during each follow-up.

Results

The mean follow-up period was 29.85 ± 17.44 months, and the 3- and 5-year DFS for all the patients was 99.3% in each. At the last follow-up, 165 (92.2%) patients had excellent responses, while 12 (6.7%) had an indeterminate response, and one (0.6%) each had biochemical and incomplete responses. No significant difference was observed in response to therapy between the subgroups of LNM and tumor invasion (P>0.05). For patients with capsular invasion and a number of metastatic lymph nodes ≤5 and >5, the proportions of recorded excellent responses were 95.9%, 91.0%, and 85.7%, respectively. Better responses were observed in females (excellent response: 95.5%, P=0.023), patients with stimulated Tg (s-Tg) ≤1ng/ml (excellent response: 100%, P<0.001), s-Tg ≤ 2ng/ml (excellent response: 98.4%, P<0.001), and excellent response for the immediate postoperative assessment (excellent response: 98.5%, P=0.004).

Conclusions

The current study suggested that the response to therapy assessment immediately applied postoperatively could help avoid unnecessary RAI therapy among DTC patients with capsular invasion and/or LNM. Moreover, excellent response patients and patients with indeterminate response and s-Tg ≤ 2ng/ml could be managed without RAI therapy.

Long-term follow-up ultrasonography surveillance in a large cohort of patients with papillary thyroid carcinoma

OBJECTIVE

This study aimed to investigate the predictive factors as well as the time and age course of recurrence/persistence in a large cohort of postoperative patients with papillary thyroid carcinoma (PTC) based on the long-term ultrasonography (US) follow-up data.

METHODS

Between January 2007 and December 2016, 3106 patients underwent surgery for PTC and at least two postoperative US follow-up examination over more than three years. Tumor recurrence/persistence was confirmed based on the follow-up US data and histopathological results. Univariate and multivariate analyses were performed to evaluate the predictive factors of tumor recurrence/persistence. Kaplan-Meier survival analysis was used to evaluate the recurrence-/persistence-free survival curve based on the US results.

RESULTS

A total of 321(10.3%) patients developed tumor recurrence/persistence during 54.3 months of mean follow-up (range 36-135 months), including 268(83.5%) cases of lymph node recurrence/persistence, 37 (11.5%) cases of non-lymph node recurrence/persistence, and 16(5%) cases of both types. Recurrence/persistence was observed using US examination at a mean interval of 23.6 ± 21.6 months (range 1-135 months) after surgery and peak incidence was observed 1-2 years after initial treatment. Younger (20-30 years old) and older (70-80 years old) patients had a higher proportion of tumor recurrence/persistence. Multifocality, advanced T and advanced N stages were independent risk factors of tumor recurrence/persistence.

CONCLUSION

Tumor recurrence/persistence of PTC usually occurs during the early postoperative period. For patients with multifocal cancer, advanced T and N stage, the US surveillance examination should be cautiously performed, especially in younger and older patients.

Clinical study of ultrasonic evaluation of T/N staging of differentiated thyroid carcinoma using AJCC 8th staging criteria

Objective

To explore the value of ultrasound in evaluating T/N staging of differentiated thyroid carcinoma (DTC).

Methods

The clinical data of 1206 patients with DTC in our hospital from January 2018 to December 2020 were retrospectively analyzed. Cervical ultrasound was performed before surgery, and the standard ultrasound images of thyroid nodules and cervical lymph nodes I to VII were retained. According to the 8th TNM staging guidelines of AJCC DTC, the T/N stages were assessed by preoperative ultrasonic data. Then, the sensitivity, specificity, negative predicted value, positive predicted value (PPV), and diagnostic value of ultrasound T/N staging were assessed using postoperative pathological staging as the reference.

Results

Ultrasonic T-stage had good consistency to pathological T stage in T4a and T4b tumors (kappa value>0.75), and moderate consistency to pathological T stage in T1, T2 and T3a tumors (kappa value between 0.4 and 0.75). ultrasonic T-stage had a sensitivity higher than 66%, except in T3b assessment (13/44, 29.5%, 95%CI: 16.1%-43.0%). All ultrasonic T-stage had specificity higher than 93%, except in T1b assessment (734/889, 82.6%, 95%CI: 80.1%-85.1%). The PPV of ultrasonic T1a to T4b was 94.3% (494/524), 61.0% (242/397), 54.4% (87/160), 34.3% (12/35), 20.3% (13/64), 100% (22/22) and 100% (4/4), respectively. The diagnostic accuracy values were 83% in T1a, 81% in T1b, 91% in T2, 98% in T3a, 93% in T3b, 99% in T4a and 100% in T4b. Nltrasonic N-stage had poor consistency to pathological N stage in any N stages (kappa value<0.3). The PPV of ultrasonic N0, N1, N1a and N1b was 61.0% (542/889), 55.2% (37/67), 48.2% (53/110), and 24.3% (34/140), respectively.

Conclusion

Ultrasound has a good consistency and high accuracy in assessing the T-stage of DTC. However, the consistency and accuracy were poor in N-staging. It has a certain reference value in reducing excessive surgical treatment of DTC.

Selumetinib Plus Adjuvant Radioactive Iodine in Patients With High-Risk Differentiated Thyroid Cancer: A Phase III, Randomized, Placebo-Controlled Trial (ASTRA)

PURPOSE

Selumetinib can increase radioactive iodine (RAI) avidity in RAI-refractory tumors. We investigated whether selumetinib plus adjuvant RAI improves complete remission (CR) rates in patients with differentiated thyroid cancer (DTC) at high risk of primary treatment failure versus RAI alone.

METHODS

ASTRA (ClinicalTrials.gov identifier: NCT01843062) is an international, phase III, randomized, placebo-controlled, double-blind trial. Patients with DTC at high risk of primary treatment failure (primary tumor > 4 cm; gross extrathyroidal extension outside the thyroid gland [T4 disease]; or N1a/N1b disease with ≥ 1 metastatic lymph node(s) ≥ 1 cm or ≥ 5 lymph nodes [any size]) were randomly assigned 2:1 to selumetinib 75 mg orally twice daily or placebo for approximately 5 weeks (no stratification). On treatment days 29-31, recombinant human thyroid-stimulating hormone (0.9 mg)-stimulated RAI (131I; 100 mCi/3.7 GBq) was administered, followed by 5 days of selumetinib/placebo. The primary end point (CR rate 18 months after RAI) was assessed in the intention-to-treat population.

RESULTS

Four hundred patients were enrolled (August 27, 2013-March 23, 2016) and 233 randomly assigned (selumetinib, n = 155 [67%]; placebo, n = 78 [33%]). No statistically significant difference in CR rate 18 months after RAI was observed (selumetinib n = 62 [40%]; placebo n = 30 [38%]; odds ratio 1.07 [95% CI, 0.61 to 1.87]; P = .8205). Treatment-related grade ≥ 3 adverse events were reported in 25/154 patients (16%) with selumetinib and none with placebo. The most common adverse event with selumetinib was dermatitis acneiform (n = 11 [7%]). No treatment-related deaths were reported.

CONCLUSION

Postoperative pathologic risk stratification identified patients with DTC at high risk of primary treatment failure, although the addition of selumetinib to adjuvant RAI failed to improve the CR rate for these patients. Future strategies should focus on tumor genotype-tailored drug selection and maintaining drug dosing to optimize RAI efficacy.

The Role of American Thyroid Association Pediatric Thyroid Cancer Risk Stratification and BRAFV600E Mutation in Predicting the Response to Treatment in Papillary Thyroid Cancer Patients ≤18 Years Old

OBJECTIVE

This study aimed to evaluate the role of risk stratification by the American Thyroid Association (ATA) pediatric thyroid cancer risk levels and BRAF^V600E mutation to predict the response to treatment in papillary thyroid cancer (PTC) patients ≤18 years old.

METHODS

Clinical outcomes during a median period of 6 (2-21.8) years were assessed in 70 patients, according to ATA pediatric risk stratification, BRAF^V600E mutation status, and dynamic risk stratification (DRS) at final follow-up.

RESULTS

Of 70 patients, 44 (63%), 14 (20%), and 12 (17%) were classified initially as low-, intermediate-, and high-risk, respectively. BRAF^V600E mutation analysis data was available in 55 (78.6%) patients, of whom 18 (32.7%) had the BRAF^V600E mutation. According to the final DRS, 61 (87%), two (3%), six (9%), and one (1%) patients were classified as an excellent, incomplete biochemical, incomplete structural, and indeterminate response, respectively. All ATA low-risk patients showed excellent response to treatment, whereas the rate of excellent response was 65.4% in intermediate- and high-risk levels (p<0.001). The rates of excellent response in BRAF^V600E positive and negative patients were 83% and 92%, respectively (p=0.339). The rate of locoregional recurrence was significantly higher in BRAF^V600E positive vs negative patients (33.3% vs 2.7% respectively, p=0.001).

CONCLUSION

ATA pediatric risk stratification is effective in predicting response to treatment in PTC patients ≤18 years old. The presence of BRAF^V600E mutation was highly predictive for recurrence but had no significant impact on the rate of excellent response to treatment at final follow-up.

Thyroglobulin and thyroglobulin antibodies: assay-dependent management consequences in patients with differentiated thyroid carcinoma

OBJECTIVES

International guidelines recommend fixed cut-off values for thyroglobulin (Tg). These cut-offs do not take potential assay differences into account. This study aimed to evaluate if different assays for Tg and Tg antibodies (TgAb) affect management guidance for differentiated thyroid cancer (DTC) patients.

METHODS

In 793 samples derived from 413 patients with DTC, Tg and TgAb were simultaneously measured with two immunometric assays: Immulite 2000XPi and Kryptor compact plus. In addition, a qualitative measurement for TgAb interference (recovery test) was performed on the Kryptor compact plus platform. The extent to which different assays lead to different classifications of response to therapy was evaluated when applying the current cut-offs for Tg.

RESULTS

Mean Tg concentrations were 37.4% lower with Kryptor as compared with Immulite. Applying guideline based cut-off values for Tg, 33 (4.7%) samples had a Tg-on concentration ≥1.0 μg/L with Immulite and <1.0 μg/L with Kryptor. Of the samples tested as TgAb+ with at least one assay (n=125), 68 (54.4%) samples showed discrepancy in TgAb status. Differences between Immulite and Kryptor measurements resulted in a change in the response to therapy classification in 94 (12.0%) measurements derived from 67 (16.2%) individual patients.

CONCLUSIONS

A substantial portion of DTC patients were classified differently dependent on which Tg and TgAb assays are used, when applying the cut-off values as defined in clinical guidelines. Such differences can significantly affect clinical management. In the context of large between-method variation, the recommended Tg cut-offs in guidelines should be used with wisdom rather than as fixed cut-offs.

FDG-PET/CT in indeterminate thyroid nodules: cost-utility analysis alongside a randomised controlled trial

PURPOSE

To evaluate cost-effectiveness of an [¹⁸F]FDG-PET/CT-driven diagnostic workup as compared to diagnostic surgery, for thyroid nodules with Bethesda III/IV cytology. [¹⁸F]FDG-PET/CT avoids 40% of futile diagnostic surgeries for benign Bethesda III/IV nodules.

METHODS

Lifelong societal costs and quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) were assessed for 132 patients participating in a randomised controlled multicentre trial comparing [¹⁸F]FDG-PET/CT to diagnostic surgery. The observed 1-year trial results were extrapolated using a Markov model. The probability of cost-effectiveness was estimated using cost-effectiveness acceptability curves, taking uncertainty about sampling, imputation, and parameters into account.

RESULTS

The observed 1-year cost difference of [¹⁸F]FDG-PET/CT as compared to diagnostic surgery was - €1000 (95% CI: - €2100 to €0) for thyroid nodule-related care (p = 0.06). From the broader societal perspective, the 1-year difference in total societal costs was - €4500 (- €9200 to €150) (p = 0.06). Over the modelled lifelong period, the cost difference was - €9900 (- €23,100 to €3200) (p = 0.14). The difference in QALYs was 0.019 (- 0.045 to 0.083) at 1 year (p = 0.57) and 0.402 (- 0.581 to 1.385) over the lifelong period (p = 0.42). For a willingness to pay of €50,000 per QALY, an [¹⁸F]FDG-PET/CT-driven work-up was the cost-effective strategy with 84% certainty.

CONCLUSION

Following the observed reduction in diagnostic surgery, an [¹⁸F]FDG-PET/CT-driven diagnostic workup reduced the 1-year thyroid nodule-related and societal costs while sustaining quality of life. It is very likely cost-effective as compared to diagnostic surgery for Bethesda III/IV nodules.

TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER

This trial is registered with ClinicalTrials.gov: NCT02208544 (5 August 2014), https://clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/NCT02208544 .

Coexisting CLT in PTC is an independent predictor of tumor aggressiveness for patients aged under 55: a retrospective analysis of 635 patients

BACKGROUND

The study was aimed at investigating the potential role of chronic lymphocytic thyroiditis (CLT) in papillary thyroid cancer (PTC) aggressiveness for patients aged below 55, as well as to figure out factors influencing potential recurrence risk in different age groups.

METHODS

A total of 635 adult patients were retrospectively analyzed. 188 patients were diagnosed with coexistent CLT and the remaining 447 were classified as non-CLT. Then the characteristics of CLT-coexisted patients and non-CLT ones were compared respectively when patients were aged ≥ 55 years or below. The association among postoperative clinicopathological features were also analyzed using multivariate regression. In addition, the prognostic value of several variables relating to high-risk recurrence were estimated within different age groups.

RESULTS

When divided in two age groups (55 years as the borderline), non-CLT group (aged below 55 years) had a remarkable frequency of small size lesion (D_max ≤ 1 cm) compared with CLT-coexisted patients (54.6% to 43.0%, p = 0.02). In addition, non-CLT patients tended to have intrathyroidal extension as opposed to those with coexistent CLT (20.2% to 28.2%, p = 0.05). In multivariate analysis, CLT still significantly acted as an independent risk factor of greater lesion size (D_min > 1 cm) (OR = 1.7, p = 0.02) and mildly promoted gross extrathyroidal extension (ETE) (OR = 1.4, p = 0.06). However, associations didn't emerge in the characteristics mentioned above with CLT when patients were ≥ 55 years old. The prognostic value of CLT in high-risk recurrence was evident only in patients aged 35-44 years. (OR = 2.4, 95%CI:1.2-5.4, p = 0.02). Greater lesion size independently promoted gross ETE, no matter patients were aged above 55 years or not. Its prognostic value of high-risk recurrence was significant throughout all age groups.

CONCLUSION

These findings revealed that CLT coexistence might be the unfavorable factor of PTC aggressiveness in patients aged below 55 years. Its role as well as greater tumor size may potentially predict higher recurrence risk according to results figured out in the prediction model.

Outcomes of 756 patients with differentiated thyroid cancer and excellent response to treatment: An evidence-based paradigm for long-term surveillance strategies

BACKGROUND

The 2014 British Thyroid Association thyroid cancer guidelines recommend lifelong follow-up of all thyroid cancer patients. This is probably unnecessary, particularly for differentiated thyroid cancer (DTC) patients with an excellent response to treatment and places significant demand on health service resources.

DESIGN

Single centre retrospective cohort analysis of patients diagnosed and treated at the Leeds Cancer Centre between 2001 and 2014.

PATIENTS

A total of 756 patients were dynamically risk-stratified (DRS) as having 'excellent response to treatment' after total thyroidectomy and radioiodineremnant ablation (RRA) for DTC.

RESULTS

Median follow-up was 11.2 (range: 6.5-18.5) years. Radiological recurrence occurred in 15/756 (2.0%) patients and was always preceded by a raised thyroglobulin or thyroglobulin antibody level. The vast majority of tumour recurrences (13/15, 85%) were identifiable within 5 years of diagnostic surgery. Patients classified as having high-risk disease as per American Thyroid Association (ATA) guidelines had an almost threefold higher recurrence rate (2/34 [5.9%] vs. 13/722 [1.8%]) than those with ATA low-risk or intermediate-risk disease. Tumour histology subtype was a significant contributing factor, with Hürthle cell cancer having a worse prognosis than papillary thyroid cancer (PTC) (5/68 [7.4%] vs. 9/582 [1.5%]; relative risk: 4.76 [95% confidence interval: 1.64-13.8]).

CONCLUSIONS

The recurrence rate of DRS patients with excellent response to treatment is low. It is reasonable to consider discharge of ATA low-risk or intermediate-risk patients with PTC who remain disease-free after 5 years of secondary care follow-up. Lifelong follow-up, however, currently remains the standard for subgroups at greater risk.

Validation of dynamic risk stratification and impact of BRAF in risk assessment of thyroid cancer, a nation-wide multicenter study

INTRODUCTION

The dynamic risk stratification (DRS) is a relatively new system in thyroid cancer that considers the response to primary treatment to improve the initial risk of recurrence. We wanted to validate DRS system in a nationwide multicenter study and explore if the incorporation of BRAFV600E into DRS helps to better categorize and predict outcomes.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Retrospective study of 685 patients from seven centers between 1991 and 2016, with a mean age of 48 years and a median follow-up time of 45 months (range 23-77). The overall BRAFV600E prevalence was 53.4%. We classified patients into four categories based on DRS ('excellent', 'indeterminate', 'biochemical incomplete', and 'structural incomplete' response). Cox regression was used to calculate adjusted hazard ratios (AHR) and proportions of variance explained (PVEs).

RESULTS

We found 21.6% recurrences and 2.3% cancer-related deaths. The proportion of patients that developed recurrence in excellent, indeterminate, biochemical incomplete and structural incomplete response to therapy was 1.8%, 54%, 91.7% and 96.2% respectively. Considering the outcome at the end of the follow up, patients showed no evidence of disease (NED) in 98.2, 52, 33.3 and 25.6% respectively. Patients in the structural incomplete category were the only who died (17.7%). Because they have similar outcomes in terms of NED and survival, we integrated the indeterminate and biochemical incomplete response into one unique category creating the 3-tiered DRS system. The PVEs of the AJCC/TNM staging, ATA risk classification, 4-tiered DRS, and 3-tiered DRS to predict recurrence at five years were 21%, 25%, 57% and 59% respectively. BRAFV600E was significantly associated with biochemical incomplete response (71.1 vs 28.9%) (HR 2.43; 95% CI, 1.21 to 5.23; p=0.016), but not with structural incomplete response or distant metastases. BRAF status slightly changes the AHR values of the DRS categories but is not useful for different risk grouping.

CONCLUSIONS

This is the first multicenter study to validate the 4-tiered DRS system. Our results also show that the 3-tiered DRS system, by integrating indeterminate and biochemical incomplete response into one unique category, may simplify response to therapy keeping the system accurate. BRAF status does not provide any additional benefit to DRS.

Vascular Endothelial Growth Factor Receptor Inhibitors in Chinese Patients With Advanced Radioactive Iodine-Refractory Differentiated Thyroid Cancer: A Network Meta-Analysis and Cost-Effectiveness Analysis

INTRODUCTION

Two targeted drugs (apatinib and lenvatinib) show clinical efficacy in first-line treatment of Chinese patients with radioactive advanced iodine-refractory differentiated thyroid cancer (RAIR-DTC) and are recommended by the Chinese Society of Clinical Oncology guidelines. Considering the high clinical cost of long-term vascular endothelial growth factor receptor inhibitor administration and to determine which of the two targeted drugs is preferable, we opted to conduct a cost-effectiveness analysis (CEA) and network meta-analysis (NMA).

MATERIAL AND METHODS

The results of NMA and CEA included in the two phase III randomized clinical trials REALITY (NCT03048877) and Study-308 (NCT02966093), in which Bayesian NMA and CEA were performed on 243 and 149 Chinese patients, respectively, were retrieved. Overall survival and progression-free survival (PFS) for apatinib versus lenvatinib were determined by NMA. CEA involved the development of a 20-year Markov model to obtain the total cost and quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs), and this was followed by sensitivity and subgroup analyses.

RESULTS

Compared with lenvatinib, apatinib therapy provided a 0.837 improvement in QALY and $6,975 reduction in costs. The hazard ratio of apatinib versus lenvatinib and the cost of the targeted drugs had a significant impact on the model. According to the sensitivity analysis, apatinib was more cost-effective and had no correlation with willingness-to-pay in China. Subgroup analysis showed that apatinib maintained PFS more economically.

CONCLUSION

NMA and CEA demonstrated that apatinib was more cost-effective compared to lenvatinib in the first-line treatment of Chinese RAIR-DTC patients.

Serum Linkage-Specific Sialylation Changes Are Potential Biomarkers for Monitoring and Predicting the Recurrence of Papillary Thyroid Cancer Following Thyroidectomy

BACKGROUND

Although papillary thyroid cancer (PTC) could remain indolent, the recurrence rates after thyroidectomy are approximately 20%. There are currently no accurate serum biomarkers that can monitor and predict recurrence of PTC after thyroidectomy. This study aimed to explore novel serum biomarkers that are relevant to the monitoring and prediction of recurrence in PTC using N-glycomics.

METHODS

A high-throughput quantitative strategy based on matrix-assisted laser desorption/ionization time-of-flight mass spectrometry was used to obtain serum protein N-glycomes of well-differentiated PTC, postoperative surveillance (PS), postoperative recurrence (PR), and matched healthy controls (HC) including linkage-specific sialylation information.

RESULTS

Serum N-glycan traits were found to differ among PTC, PS, PR, and HC. The differentially expressed N-glycan traits consisting of sixteen directly detected glycan traits and seven derived glycan traits indicated the response to surgical resection therapy and the potential for monitoring the PTC. Two glycan traits representing the levels of linkage-specific sialylation (H4N3F1L1 and H4N6F1E1) which were down-regulated in PS and up-regulated in PR showed high potential as biomarkers for predicting the recurrence after thyroidectomy.

CONCLUSIONS

To the best of our knowledge, this study provides comprehensive evaluations of the serum N-glycomic changes in patients with PS or PR for the first time. Several candidate serum N-glycan biomarkers including the linkage-specific sialylation have been determined, some of which have potential in the prediction of recurrence in PTC, and others of which can help to explore and monitor the response to initial surgical resection therapy. The findings enhanced the comprehension of PTC.

Improving the prediction of persistent and recurrent differentiated thyroid cancer using the American Thyroid Association 2015 risk stratification system

PURPOSE

The 2015 American Thyroid Association risk stratification system (ATA RSS) is used in patients with differentiated thyroid carcinoma (DTC) to assess their risk of persistent/recurrent disease. Our aims were to validate the 2015 ATA RSS in a registry of DTC patients and to examine whether the addition of factors not included in it, such as pre-radioactive iodine therapy stimulated thyroglobulin (pre-RAI sTg), gender, and age could increase its predictive ability.

METHODS

We studied 403 patients with DTC, treated at a tertiary center from 1990 to 2018 and subjected to total thyroidectomy. All patients had received RAI therapy, except those with low-risk papillary microcarcinoma.

RESULTS

Of our patients, 81.9% were women and 91.1% had papillary thyroid carcinoma. After a median follow-up of 5.0 years, 53 cases of persistent and 21 cases of recurrent disease were recorded. The proportion of variance explained (PVE) regarding the outcome (presence or absence of recurrent/persistent disease) using the 2015 ATA RSS alone was 18.3% (persistence) and 16.9% (recurrence), increasing to 74.4% and 52.0%, respectively, when pre-RAI sTg was added to the logistic regression model. Gender and age were not associated with the disease outcome. In ROC analysis, pre-RAI sTg had a high predictive value for persistent (AUC 0.983, 95% CI 0.962-1.000) and recurrent disease (AUC 0.856, 95% CI 0.715-0.997). The optimal cut-offs and sensitivity, specificity, and positive and negative predictive value for pre-RAI sTg were the following: for persistence 12.75 ng/ml, 100%, 90.5%, 64%, and 100%, and for recurrence 8.05 ng/ml, 77.8%, 85.5%, 36.8%, and 97%.

CONCLUSIONS

The 2015 ATA RSS displayed moderate performance in predicting recurrent/persistent disease in patients with DTC, which improved with the inclusion of pre-RAI sTg values; pre-RAI sTg was an independent predictor of the disease outcome, with high negative prognostic value.

Clinical implications of age and excellent response to therapy in patients with high-risk differentiated thyroid carcinoma

BACKGROUND

Patients with American Thyroid Association (ATA) high-risk differentiated thyroid carcinoma (DTC) have poor clinical outcomes. This study aimed to evaluate the clinical implications of age and response to therapy classification in patients with ATA high-risk DTC.

DESIGN AND PATIENTS

This study included 222 patients with high-risk DTC who initially underwent therapy between 2000 and 2010 in a single tertiary center in Korea. We evaluated the prognostic parameters associated with progression-free survival (PFS) and disease-specific survival (DSS) with a focus on age and achieving an excellent response (ER).

RESULTS

During the median follow-up period of 11.3 years, disease progression was detected in 77 patients (34.7%), and disease-specific mortality was reported in 31 patients (14.0%). Older age (≥55 years) and not achieving ER (not-ER) were independent risk factors associated with PFS (age, p < .001; not-ER, p < .001) and DSS (age, p < .001; not-ER, p = .015). Of the 74 patients in the ER group, 7 (9.5%) displayed disease progression and 1 (1.4%) died from DTC. There were no significant differences in PFS and DSS according to age in the ER group. However, older patients had significantly worse PFS and DSS than younger patients in the not-ER group (p = .002 and p < .001, respectively).

CONCLUSIONS

Response to therapy classification is important for predicting PFS and DSS in patients with high-risk DTC. Patients in the ER group had a relatively good prognosis, but disease progression occurred in 9.5% of patients. Age was a key predictor of both PFS and DSS in high-risk patients who did not achieve ER.

Optimization of follow-up in patients with papillary thyroid cancer who show no evidence of disease 9-12 months after treatment

BACKGROUND

Papillary thyroid cancer (PTC) has an excellent prognosis, and recurrence is rare in patients with no evidence of disease (NED) after initial treatment. Despite this, several guidelines recommend long and costly follow-up, with limited evidence of improved patient outcomes. This study aims to examine the value of follow-up in patients with NED after treatment for PTC, by determining the rate of recurrence, recurrence-associated morbidity, and death, and whether any recurrence was diagnosed through the follow-up programme.

METHODS

Patients operated for PTC at Lund University Hospital between January 2004 and December 2016 were eligible. Patients with T1a N0/NX were excluded as well as patients with any other thyroid malignancy. Data were collected retrospectively by searching the patients' medical records. NED was defined as thyroglobulin less than 1 ng/ml, thyroglobulin antibodies less than 20 kIU/l, and negative imaging. Biochemical recurrence was defined as thyroglobulin greater than 1 ng/ml, and/or thyroglobulin antibodies greater than 20 kIU/l. Structural recurrence was defined as a strong suspicion of recurrence on imaging and/or histological proof of recurrence.

RESULTS

Out of a cohort of 187 patients, there were 90 patients with NED who were followed for a median of 6.3 years. Three patients had biochemical recurrence; none of them had symptoms, nor were they treated for their recurrence. Three had structural recurrence; all were above 75 years old and only one was diagnosed through the follow-up programme. No patient died of PTC; five patients died during the follow-up.

CONCLUSION

Follow-up as it is designed today cannot identify recurrences accurately and seems to be of questionable benefit in younger patients with NED after treatment for PTC.

Papillary Thyroid Cancer Prognosis: An Evolving Field

Simple Summary

Over the last couple of decades, the prognostic stratification systems of differentiated thyroid cancer (DTC) patients have been revised several times in an attempt to achieve a tailored clinical management reflecting the single patients’ needs. Such revisions are likely to continue in the near future, since the prognostic value of a number of promising clinicopathological features and new molecular biomarkers are being evaluated. Here, we will review the current staging systems of thyroid cancer patients and discuss the most relevant clinicopathological parameters and new molecular markers that are potentially capable of refining the prognosis.

Abstract

Over the last few years, a great advance has been made in the comprehension of the molecular pathogenesis underlying thyroid cancer progression, particularly for the papillary thyroid cancer (PTC), which represents the most common thyroid malignancy. Putative cancer driver mutations have been identified in more than 98% of PTC, and a new PTC classification into molecular subtypes has been proposed in order to resolve clinical uncertainties still present in the clinical management of patients. Additionally, the prognostic stratification systems have been profoundly modified over the last decade, with a view to refine patients’ staging and being able to choose a clinical approach tailored on single patient’s needs. Here, we will briefly discuss the recent changes in the clinical management of thyroid nodules, and review the current staging systems of thyroid cancer patients by analyzing promising clinicopathological features (i.e., gender, thyroid auto-immunity, multifocality, PTC histological variants, and vascular invasion) as well as new molecular markers (i.e., BRAF/TERT promoter mutations, miRNAs, and components of the plasminogen activating system) potentially capable of ameliorating the prognosis of PTC patients.

Dynamic risk allows us to adequately select patients with differentiated thyroid cancer who do not require radioiodine treatment

Objective

The treatment of patients with differentiated thyroid cancer (DTC) was modified in the last decade towards a more individualized approach according to the risk of recurrence (RR). We compared the outcomes of patients with low and intermediate RR (LRR and IRR) who received or did not receive radioiodine remnant ablation (RRA) after assessing the dynamic risk.

Methods

We included 307 DTC patients with LRR and IRR submitted to total thyroidectomy. All patients were reclassified according to the dynamic risk stratification (low or high). Patients with high dynamic risk received RRA (141 patients).

Results

LRR patients who received RRA presented a frequency of structural incomplete response (SIR) of 5% at the end of the follow-up, compared to 2% in those who did not receive it (p=0.353). IRR patients treated with RRA had a frequency of SIR of 22%, compared to 5% in patients without RRA (p=0.008).

Conclusion

This study demonstrates the usefulness of dynamic risk assessment to decide RRA in a cohort with a long-term follow-up. The lower prevalence of SIR at the end of the follow-up in patients who did not receive RRA highlights the adequate selection of those who would not benefit from RRA, even with an intermediate risk of recurrence.

Differentiated Thyroid Cancer with Biochemical Incomplete Response: Clinico-Pathological Characteristics and Long Term Disease Outcomes

Simple Summary

Biochemical incomplete response (BIR) is defined as elevated thyroglobulin or rising thyroglobulin antibodies following treatment without structural evidence of disease at 1–2 years after initial treatment. The long-term outcome of such patients is still poorly characterized, with some progressing to structural disease, while others maintain BIR for decades or revert to non-evidence of disease (NED). In this study, we aimed to identify factors that could predict any of the above possible outcomes. In our cohort of 83 BIR patients with a mean follow-up of 12 years, 41% progressed to structural disease. Of them, 11.8% remained BIR, and 38.2% reverted to NED.

Abstract

Although most patients with differentiated thyroid cancer (DTC) and biochemical incomplete response (BIR) follow a good clinical outcome, progression to structural disease may occur in 8–17% of patients. We aimed to identify factors that could predict the long-term outcomes of BIR patients. To this end, we conducted a retrospective review study of 1049 charts from our Differential Thyroid Cancer registry of patients who were initially treated with total thyroidectomy between 1962 and 2019. BIR was defined as suppressed thyroglobulin (Tg) > 1 ng/mL, stimulated Tg > 10 ng/mL or rising anti-Tg antibodies, who did not have structural evidence of disease, and who were assessed 12–24 months after initial treatment. We found 83 patients (7.9%) matching the definition of BIR. During a mean follow-up of 12 ± 6.6 years, 49 (59%) patients remained in a state of BIR or reverted to no evidence of disease, while 34 (41%) progressed to structural disease. At the last follow-up, three cases (3.6%) were recorded as disease-related death. The American Thyroid Association (ATA) Initial Risk Stratification system and/or AJCC/TNM (8th ed.) staging system at diagnosis predicted the shift from BIR to structural disease, irrespective of their postoperative Tg levels. We conclude that albeit 41% of BIR patients may shift to structural disease, and most have a rather indolent disease. Specific new individual data enable the Response to Therapy reclassification to become a dynamic system to allow for the better management of BIR patients in the long term.

Long-Term Prognostic Value of the Response to Therapy Assessed by Laboratory and Imaging Findings in Patients with Differentiated Thyroid Cancer

Simple Summary

In patients with differentiated thyroid cancer (DTC), the American Thyroid Association dynamic risk stratification system has been proposed to identify patients at higher risk of recurrence during follow-up. This system is based on a combination of serum thyroglobulin determination and neck ultrasonography obtained 12-months after radioactive iodine (RAI) therapy. Radioiodine diagnostic whole-body scan (WBS) is performed less frequently due to its low sensitivity. In this retrospective study we assessed the long-term predictive value of the response to therapy at 12 months, evaluated by serum thyroglobulin determination and neck ultrasound, and estimated the potential additional impact of diagnostic WBS in patients with DTC treated with surgery and RAI therapy. Our findings could help in the identification of DTC patients at higher risk of recurrence that could benefit from a closer follow-up.

Abstract

This study assessed the long-term predictive value of the response to therapy, evaluated by serum thyroglobulin (Tg) determination and neck ultrasound, and estimated the potential additional impact of diagnostic whole-body scan (WBS) in patients with differentiated thyroid cancer (DTC) treated with surgery and radioactive iodine (RAI) therapy. We retrospectively evaluated 606 DTC patients treated with surgery and RAI. Response to ¹³¹I therapy at 12 months was assessed by serum Tg measurement, neck ultrasound, and diagnostic WBS. According to American Thyroid Association (ATA) guidelines, patients were classified as having a low, intermediate or high risk of recurrence and at 12 months as having an excellent response (ER) or no-ER. Follow-up was then performed every 6–12 months with serum Tg determination and imaging procedures. With a median follow-up of 105 months (range 10–384), 42 (7%) events requiring further treatments occurred. Twenty-five patients had additional RAI therapy, 11 with structural disease in the thyroid bed, eight in both thyroid bed and neck lymph nodes, four had lung metastases and two had bone metastases. The other 17 patients had additional surgery for nodal disease followed by RAI therapy. The ATA intermediate and high risk of recurrence, post-operative and pre-RAI therapy Tg ≥ 10 ng/mL, and the absence of ER at 12 months were independent predictors of events. Diagnostic WBS at 12 months permitted the identification of only five recurrences among the 219 ER patients according to serum Tg levels and ultrasound. In DTC patients, the response to therapy at 12 months after RAI therapy could rely on serum Tg measurement and neck ultrasound, while diagnostic WBS was not routinely indicated in patients considered in ER.

Comparison of the abilities of staging and risk stratification systems to predict the long-term structural recurrence in patients with differentiated thyroid carcinoma after total thyroidectomy and radioactive iodine remnant ablation

Background

In patients with differentiated thyroid carcinoma (DTC), various staging and risk stratification systems have been applied to estimate long-term recurrence, which is a major issue during the postoperative follow-up period. However, the efficacy of these systems remains unclear in this context.

Methods

The present historical cohort study included 510 patients with DTC who underwent a total thyroidectomy followed by radioactive iodine (RAI) remnant ablation. Enrolled patients were categorized according to the 8^th edition of American Joint Committee on Cancer/Union for International Cancer Control (AJCC/UICC) Tumor Node Metastasis (TNM) staging system, the 2015 American Thyroid Association (ATA) initial risk stratification system, and the dynamic risk stratification (DRS) system. The ability of each system to predict long-term structural recurrence was compared using proportion of variance explained (PVE) by logistic regression models.

Results

The median follow-up period was 108 months. Structural recurrence occurred in 7.6% of the patients (n=39/510). Disease-free survival (DFS) curves of the patients within each category in the TNM staging system, the ATA initial risk stratification system, and the DRS system were significantly different (P<0.001). The PVE of the DRS system (20.7%) was higher than those of the TNM staging system and the ATA initial risk estimates.

Conclusions

The DRS system may effectively predict long-term structural recurrence and guide long-term management and follow-up strategies in patients with DTC undergoing total thyroidectomy and RAI remnant ablation.

Polymorphisms at the IL17A and IL17RA genes are associated with prognosis of papillary thyroid carcinoma

BACKGROUND

Interleukin (IL)-17A has a dual role in tumor immunity, promotes anti-tumor responses and facilitates angiogenesis by interacting with IL-17 receptor A (IL-17RA). Although IL-17A has been associated with the pathogenesis of papillary thyroid carcinoma (PTC), the nucleotide variability at the IL17A and IL17RA genes is still poorly characterized.

AIM

To assess the contribution of the IL17A (-197 G >A, rs2275913) and IL17RA (-947 A >G, rs4819554) single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNP) on the development and progression of PTC and on IL-17 plasma levels.

METHODS

We studied 188 PTC patients and 170 healthy controls. SNPs were identified using PCR-amplified DNA and restriction fragment length polymorphism (RFLP) techniques. Plasma levels of IL-17A was evaluated in 83 PTC patients using ELISA. Statistical analyses were performed to evaluate the associations between SNPs and clinicohistopathological features of PTC and IL-17A levels.

RESULTS

No significant difference was observed regarding the allele and genotype distributions of both SNPs between PTC patients and controls. The IL17A GA was associated with poor biochemical and structural incomplete response to therapy, whereas no influence over the IL-17A expression was observed. The IL17RA AG was significantly associated with small-sized tumors, initial tumor stage at diagnosis and better response to therapy.

CONCLUSIONS

The IL17A SNP may predict an aggressive manifestation of PTC, whereas the IL17RA SNP was associated with a more favorable clinical outcome.

Preablative Stimulated Thyroglobulin and Thyroglobulin Reduction Index as Decision-Making Markers for Second Radioactive Iodine Therapy in Patients with Structural Incomplete Response

Purpose

The aim of this study was to evaluate the value of preablative stimulated thyroglobulin (presTg) and thyroglobulin reduction index (TRI) to predict the different responses to second radioactive iodine (RAI) therapy in differentiated thyroid cancer (DTC) patients with structural incomplete response (SIR).

Patients and Methods

A single-center retrospective study analyzed the different clinical outcomes after second RAI therapy in 206 patients with SIR. PresTg1 and presTg2 were measured before first and second RAI management and TRI was the reduction index of presTg1 and presTg2. Cut-off values of presTg and TRI were obtained using receiver operating characteristic analysis. The univariate logistic regression analysis was performed to confirm these parameters as prognostic factors to predict different responses to second RAI therapy.

Results

Only ATA risk stratification, the post-therapy whole-body scanning (Rx-WBS) findings, presTg1, presTg2, TRI, were different in patients with SIR. After second RAI therapy, 28.2% (58/206) of patients with SIR initially were reclassified as excellent response (ER). PresTg1 <6.6 ng/mL, presTg2 <1.2ng/mL, and TRI >74.2% were excellent indications to predict ER from non-ER after second RAI treatment. PresTg1 >14.9 ng/mL, presTg2 >1.8ng/mL and TRI <66.5% were well markers to predict poor outcome (SIR). High risk and distant metastases could still be considered as risk factors.

Conclusion

DTC patients with SIR could benefit through second RAI treatment. PresTg before each RAI therapy and TRI could be considered as effective decision-making markers for second RAI therapy and as predictive indications for clinical outcomes.

Is Male Sex A Prognostic Factor in Papillary Thyroid Cancer?

Identifying risk factors is crucial for predicting papillary thyroid cancer (PTC) with severe course, which causes a clinical problem. The purpose of this study was to assess whether male sex can be such a predictive factor and to verify whether including it as a predictive factor of high initial risk of recurrence/persistence would help to enhance the value of the American Thyroid Association initial risk stratification system (ATA). We retrospectively analyzed 1547 PTC patients (1358 females and 189 males), treated from 1986 to 2018. The relationship between sex and clinicopathological features, response to therapy, and disease status was assessed. Men with PTC showed some adverse clinicopathological features more often than women, including angioinvasion, lymph node metastases, and tumor size > 40 mm. There were sex-related disparities with respect to response to initial therapy and final follow-up. Male sex is associated with some unfavorable clinicopathological features of PTC, which may affect response to initial therapy or final disease status. In our study, modification of the ATA system by including male sex as a risk factor does not enhance its value. Thus, further studies are needed to assess whether males require treatment modalities or oncological follow-up protocols that are different from those of females.