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Murillo-Zamora E, Mendoza-Cano O. RE: 'Costs and healthcare utilisation due to respiratory syncytial virus disease in paediatric patients in Italy: a systematic review'. Public Health 2024; 228:e3. [PMID: 38408878 DOI: 10.1016/j.puhe.2024.01.031] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/29/2024] [Accepted: 01/30/2024] [Indexed: 02/28/2024]
Affiliation(s)
- E Murillo-Zamora
- Unidad de Investigación en Epidemiología Clínica, Instituto Mexicano del Seguro Social, Av. Lapislázuli 250, Col. El Haya, Villa de Álvarez 28984, México.
| | - O Mendoza-Cano
- Facultad de Ingeniería Civil, Universidad de Colima, km. 9 Carretera Colima-Coquimatlán, Coquimatlán 28400, Colima, México; Centro de Estudios e Investigación en Biocultura, Agroecología, Ambiente y Salud, Ex Hacienda Nogueras S/N, Nogueras 28450, Mexico.
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Mendoza-Cano O, Murillo-Zamora E. Assessing the asthma-related burden of disease in Latin American and Caribbean countries: a sociodemographic perspective. Public Health 2024; 227:163-168. [PMID: 38232564 DOI: 10.1016/j.puhe.2023.12.016] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/01/2023] [Revised: 11/13/2023] [Accepted: 12/08/2023] [Indexed: 01/19/2024]
Abstract
OBJECTIVE This study aimed to characterize the burden of asthma-related issues in Latin American and Caribbean countries from 1990 to 2019 and to assess their relationship with the sociodemographic index (SDI). STUDY DESIGN A cross-sectional analysis with an ecological approach was conducted. METHODS The disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) and the SDI data were obtained from the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study (GBD) 2019. Linear regression models were used to evaluate the relationship of interest. RESULTS During the study period, a total of 41.7 million DALYs were accounted, with the highest rates observed in children aged under 5 years (651, uncertainty interval [UI]: 369 to 1037 per 100,000) and females (342, UI: 241 to 471 per 100,000). In the multiple regression model based on data from 2019, a significant negative association was observed between the log-transformed DALY rates and the SDI. Specifically, for each unit increase in the SDI, asthma-related DALY rates decreased by an average of 0.97 % (95 % confidence interval: 0.48-1.00 %). CONCLUSIONS This study highlights heterogeneous age, gender, and country-related variations in asthma rates across Latin American and Caribbean countries and emphasizes the influence of sociodemographic factors on its burden.
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Affiliation(s)
- O Mendoza-Cano
- Facultad de Ingeniería Civil, Universidad de Colima, km. 9 Carretera Colima-Coquimatlán, Coquimatlán 28400, Mexico; Centro de Estudios e Investigación en Biocultura, Agroecología, Ambiente y Salud Colima, Ex-Hacienda Nogueras S/N, Nogueras 28450, Mexico.
| | - E Murillo-Zamora
- Unidad de Investigación en Epidemiología Clínica, Instituto Mexicano del Seguro Social, Av. Lapislázuli 250, Col. El Haya, Villa de Álvarez 28984, Mexico.
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Guzman-Esquivel J, Diaz-Martinez J, Ortega-Ortiz JG, Murillo-Zamora E, Melnikov V, Tejeda-Luna HR, Cosio-Medina VG, Llerenas-Aguirre KI, Guzman-Solorzano JA, Hernandez-Fuentes GA, Ochoa-Castro MR, Cardenas-Rojas MI, Rojas-Larios F, Delgado-Enciso I. Interactions between the principal risk factors for reduction of the eGFR in unvaccinated COVID‑19 survivors: Normal pre-COVID‑19 eGFR, not having diabetes and being hospitalized. Exp Ther Med 2023; 26:580. [PMID: 38023357 PMCID: PMC10655052 DOI: 10.3892/etm.2023.12279] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/28/2023] [Accepted: 09/11/2023] [Indexed: 12/01/2023] Open
Abstract
There are contradictory results regarding changes in estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) in coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) survivors. An analysis of eGFR changes and clinical characteristics associated with those changes was conducted among COVID-19 survivors. eGFR values were compared at different time points (before and 4-, 8- and 12-months after COVID-19 infection). A multivariate generalized linear mixed model (GENLINMIXED procedure) with a binary logistic regression link was used to determine factors associated with eGFR reduction of ≥10 ml/min/1.73 m2. Being hospitalized (RR=2.90, 95% CI=1.10-7.68, P=0.032), treated with Ivermectin (RR=14.02, 95% CI=4.11-47.80, P<0.001) or anticoagulants (RR=6.51, 95% CI=2.69-15.73, P<0.001) are risk factors for a reduced eGFR. Having a low eGFR (<90 ml/min/1.73 m2) before COVID-19 infection, having B-positive blood type, diabetes, taking vitamin C during the acute phase of COVID-19 or suffering from chronic COVID-19 symptoms, were identified as protective factors. Analysis involving a two-way interaction (A x B, where A and B are factors) demonstrated that the combination of patients with a normal eGFR value before COVID-19 infection without diabetes (RR=58.60, 95% CI=11.62-295.38, P<0.001), or a normal eGFR value with being hospitalized for COVID-19 (RR=38.07, 95% CI=8.68-167.00, P<0.001), increased the probability of a reduced eGFR. The changes in eGFR in COVID-19 survivors varied depending on patient characteristics. Furthermore, the principal risk factors for post-COVID-19 eGFR reduction were analyzed in separate models.
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Affiliation(s)
- Jose Guzman-Esquivel
- Clinical Epidemiology Research Unit, Mexican Institute of Social Security, Villa de Alvarez, Colima 28984, Mexico
| | - Janet Diaz-Martinez
- Research Center in Minority Institutions, Robert Stempel College of Public Health, Florida International University, Miami, FL 33199, USA
| | | | - Efren Murillo-Zamora
- Clinical Epidemiology Research Unit, Mexican Institute of Social Security, Villa de Alvarez, Colima 28984, Mexico
| | - Valery Melnikov
- School of Medicine, University of Colima, Colima 28040, Mexico
| | - Hector R. Tejeda-Luna
- Clinical Epidemiology Research Unit, Mexican Institute of Social Security, Villa de Alvarez, Colima 28984, Mexico
- School of Medicine, University of Colima, Colima 28040, Mexico
| | | | | | | | | | - Maria R. Ochoa-Castro
- Clinical Epidemiology Research Unit, Mexican Institute of Social Security, Villa de Alvarez, Colima 28984, Mexico
- School of Medicine, University of Colima, Colima 28040, Mexico
| | - Martha I. Cardenas-Rojas
- Clinical Epidemiology Research Unit, Mexican Institute of Social Security, Villa de Alvarez, Colima 28984, Mexico
| | | | - Ivan Delgado-Enciso
- School of Medicine, University of Colima, Colima 28040, Mexico
- Cancerology State Institute, Colima State Health Services, Colima 28085, Mexico
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Guzmán-Esquivel J, Mendoza-Cano O, Trujillo X, Huerta M, Ríos-Silva M, Lugo-Radillo A, Benites-Godínez V, Bricio-Barrios JA, Ríos-Bracamontes EF, Cárdenas-Rojas MI, Ortega-Ramírez AD, Murillo-Zamora E. Evaluating the performance of WHO and CDC case definitions for influenza-like illness in diagnosing influenza during the 2022-2023 flu season in Mexico. Public Health 2023; 222:175-177. [PMID: 37552926 DOI: 10.1016/j.puhe.2023.07.011] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/21/2023] [Revised: 07/05/2023] [Accepted: 07/06/2023] [Indexed: 08/10/2023]
Abstract
OBJECTIVE This study aimed to evaluate the performance of the World Health Organization (WHO) and Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) case definitions for influenza-like illness (ILI) in diagnosing influenza during the 2022-2023 flu season in Mexico. STUDY DESIGN We conducted a cross-sectional analysis of national epidemiological surveillance data in Mexico, focusing on respiratory viral pathogens. METHODS We analyzed data from 6027 non-hospitalized patients between 5 and 65 years old who underwent molecular testing for respiratory viral pathogens. The performance of both case definitions was evaluated in terms of sensitivity, specificity, and the area under the receiver operating characteristic (AUROC) curve. RESULTS Overall, the diagnostic accuracy of the evaluated ILI definitions in identifying influenza patients was low, particularly among older patients. When compared to the CDC, the WHO definition had a lower sensitivity but a higher specificity, resulting in a higher AUROC (P = 0.031) for the WHO criteria. CONCLUSIONS Our findings suggest that the WHO and CDC ILI case definitions have limited accuracy for diagnosing influenza in non-hospitalized patients and highlight the need for more specific diagnostic tools to improve the detection of influenza cases during the flu season.
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Affiliation(s)
- J Guzmán-Esquivel
- Unidad de Investigación en Epidemiología Clínica, Instituto Mexicano del Seguro Social, Av. Lapislázuli 250, Col. El Haya, Villa de Álvarez 28984, Mexico.
| | - O Mendoza-Cano
- Facultad de Ingeniería Civil, Universidad de Colima, km. 9 Carretera Colima-Coquimatlán, Coquimatlán 28400, Colima, Mexico.
| | - X Trujillo
- Centro Universitario de Investiga ciones Biomédicas, Universidad de Colima, Av. 25 de Julio 965, Col. Villas San Sebastián, Colima 28045, Mexico.
| | - M Huerta
- Centro Universitario de Investiga ciones Biomédicas, Universidad de Colima, Av. 25 de Julio 965, Col. Villas San Sebastián, Colima 28045, Mexico.
| | - M Ríos-Silva
- CONACHyT-Universidad de Colima, Centro Universitario de Investigaciones Biomédicas, Av. 25 de Julio 965, Col. Villas San Sebastián, Colima 28045, Mexico.
| | - A Lugo-Radillo
- CONACHyT -Facultad de Medicina y Cirugía, Universidad Autónoma Benito Juárez de Oaxaca, Ex Hacienda Aguilera S/N, Carr. a San Felipe del Agua, Oaxaca 68020, Mexico.
| | - V Benites-Godínez
- Coordinación de Educación en Salud, Instituto Mexicano del Seguro Social, Calzada del Ejercito Nacional 14, Col. Fray Junípero Serra, Tepic 63160, Mexico; Unidad Académica de Medicina, Universidad Autónoma de Nayarit, Ciudad de la Cultura Amado Nervo, Tepic 631555, Mexico.
| | - J A Bricio-Barrios
- Facultad de Medicina, Universidad de Colima, Av. Universidad 333, Col. Las Víboras, Colima 28040, Mexico.
| | - E F Ríos-Bracamontes
- Departamento de Medicina Interna, Hospital General de Zona No. 1, Instituto Mexicano del Seguro Social, Av. Lapislázuli 250, Col. El Haya, Villa de Álvarez 28984, Mexico.
| | - M I Cárdenas-Rojas
- Unidad de Investigación en Epidemiología Clínica, Instituto Mexicano del Seguro Social, Av. Lapislázuli 250, Col. El Haya, Villa de Álvarez 28984, Mexico.
| | - A D Ortega-Ramírez
- Programa de Doctorado en Ciencias Médicas, Facultad de Medicina, Universidad de Colima, Av. Universidad 333, Col. Las Víboras, Colima 28040, Mexico.
| | - E Murillo-Zamora
- Unidad de Investigación en Epidemiología Clínica, Instituto Mexicano del Seguro Social, Av. Lapislázuli 250, Col. El Haya, Villa de Álvarez 28984, Mexico.
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Guzman-Esquivel J, Murillo-Zamora E, Ortiz-Mesina M, Galvan-Salazar HR, De-Leon-Zaragoza L, Casarez-Price JC, Delgado-Enciso J, Delgado-Enciso I. Regional and national burden of prostate cancer: incidence, mortality, years of life lost, and disability-adjusted life years, in Mexico and Latin America from 1990 to 2019. Int Urol Nephrol 2023; 55:2155-2160. [PMID: 37273013 PMCID: PMC10240458 DOI: 10.1007/s11255-023-03653-7] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/24/2023] [Accepted: 05/27/2023] [Indexed: 06/06/2023]
Abstract
PURPOSE Prostate cancer (PC) is the second leading cause of cancer and the fifth cause of cancer-related death. This manuscript aims to determine the incidence, mortality, and Disability Adjusted Life Years (DALYs) trends of PC in the last 30 years in Latin America and Mexico. METHODS We performed a cross-sectional analysis of a publicly available data set. Data regarding the burden of prostate cancer in 20 Latin-American countries, and the 32 states of Mexico, were retrieved from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019. Collected information included incidence and mortality rates (per 100,000), as well as the DALYs as absolute numbers and rates (per 100,000) and the annual rates of change in rates from 1990 to 2019. RESULTS In Latin America in males aged 55 years or older, the mean incidence rate was 344 cases per 100,000. The number of deaths attributable to prostate cancer observed was 67,110 and the mean mortality rate was 210 per 100,000. The overall burden of disease was 1,120,709 DALYs and the contribution of years of life lost (YLL) was 91.7% ([Formula: see text] = 1,027,946). Mexico presented an incidence rate (279.6) and mortality (99.1) rate (per /100 thousand). In Mexico, 13 states had a DALYs' rate above the national mean (883 per 100,000) and the highest burden (1360 DALYs/100,000) were documented in the state of Guerrero (Southwestern Mexico). CONCLUSION Only two Latin-American countries (Brazil and Colombia) and eight states of Mexico showed a decreased trend about the rate of change of DALYs in the last 30 years.
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Affiliation(s)
- Jose Guzman-Esquivel
- Clinical Epidemiology Research Unit, Mexican Social Security Institute, Av. Lapislazuli No. 250, El Haya, 28984, Villa de Álvarez, Colima, Mexico
| | - Efren Murillo-Zamora
- Clinical Epidemiology Research Unit, Mexican Social Security Institute, Av. Lapislazuli No. 250, El Haya, 28984, Villa de Álvarez, Colima, Mexico
| | - Monica Ortiz-Mesina
- Headquarters of Medical Services, Mexican Social Security Institute, Doroteo López 442, Col. Magisterial, Colima, Mexico
| | - Hector R Galvan-Salazar
- Clinical Laboratory, Mexican Social Security Institute. HGZ1, Av. Lapislazuli No. 250, El Haya, 28984, Villa de Álvarez, Colima, Mexico
| | - Luis De-Leon-Zaragoza
- Department of Research, Cancerology State Institute, Colima State Health Services, Liceo de Varones 401, La Esperanza, 28085, Colima, Colima, Mexico
| | - Juan C Casarez-Price
- Department of Research, Cancerology State Institute, Colima State Health Services, Liceo de Varones 401, La Esperanza, 28085, Colima, Colima, Mexico
| | - Josuel Delgado-Enciso
- Foundation for Ethics Education and Cancer Research of the IEC of Colima AC, Av. Liceo de Varones 401 Colonia la Esperanza, 28085, Colima, Mexico
| | - Ivan Delgado-Enciso
- Department of Research, Cancerology State Institute, Colima State Health Services, Liceo de Varones 401, La Esperanza, 28085, Colima, Colima, Mexico.
- Molecular Biology Laboratory, School of Medicine, University of Colima, Av. Universidad 333, colonia la Esperanza, 28040, Colima, Mexico.
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Murillo-Zamora E, Mendoza-Cano O, Huerta M, Ríos-Silva M, Lugo-Radillo A, Benites-Godínez V, Bricio-Barrios JA, Ríos-Bracamontes EF, Trujillo X. Respiratory syncytial virus infection: survival experience in a cohort of children inpatients. Public Health 2023; 221:181-183. [PMID: 37473650 DOI: 10.1016/j.puhe.2023.06.020] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/22/2023] [Revised: 05/25/2023] [Accepted: 06/17/2023] [Indexed: 07/22/2023]
Abstract
OBJECTIVE The objective of this study was to assess the survival experience of children hospitalized with laboratory-confirmed respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) infection due to bronchiolitis. STUDY DESIGN This was a nationwide retrospective cohort study conducted in Mexico. METHODS We analyzed data from 436 children aged 5 years and younger, with symptom onset between August 2021 and November 2022. The Kaplan-Meier method was used to compute survivor functions and their 95% confidence intervals (CI). RESULTS High survival rates were observed, particularly within the first three weeks of hospital admission. The 3-day survival rate was 99.8% (CI 98.4-99.9%), which decreased to 98.9% (CI 96.5-99.7%), 97.5% (CI 91.9-99.3%), 86.7% (CI 48.2-97.2%), and 69.4% (CI 24.2-91.0%) on days 7, 14, 21, and 28 of hospital stay, respectively. We documented a total of 5 fatal outcomes, resulting in a mortality rate of 2.1 (95% CI 0.9-5.1) per 1,000 person-days. CONCLUSIONS Our study analyzed a large cohort of pediatric patients with bronchiolitis caused by RSV infection, providing valuable insights into the in-hospital progression of this disease.
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Affiliation(s)
- E Murillo-Zamora
- Unidad de Investigación en Epidemiología Clínica, Instituto Mexicano del Seguro Social, Av. Lapislázuli 250, Col. El Haya, CP 28984, Villa de Álvarez, Colima, Mexico.
| | - O Mendoza-Cano
- Facultad de Ingeniería Civil, Universidad de Colima, Km. 9 Carretera Colima-Coquimatlán, Coquimatán, C.P. 28400, Colima, Mexico.
| | - M Huerta
- Centro Universitario de Investigaciones Biomédicas, Universidad de Colima, Av. 25 de Julio 965, Col. Villas San Sebastián, C.P. 28045, Colima, Colima, Mexico.
| | - M Ríos-Silva
- Centro Universitario de Investigaciones Biomédicas, Universidad de Colima - CONAHCyT, Av. 25 de Julio 965, Col. Villas San Sebastián, C.P. 28045, Colima, Colima, Mexico.
| | - A Lugo-Radillo
- Facultad de Medicina y Cirugía, Universidad Benito Juárez de Oaxaca - CONAHCyT, Ex Ha-cienda de Aguilera S/N, Sur, C.P. 68020 San Felipe Del Agua, Oaxaca, Mexico.
| | - V Benites-Godínez
- Coordinación de Educación en Salud, Instituto Mexicano Del Seguro Social, Calzada Del Ejercito Nacional 14, Col. Fray Junípero Serra, C.P. 63160, Tepic, Nayarit, Mexico; Unidad Académica de Medicina, Universidad Autónoma de Nayarit, Ciudad de la Cultura Amado Nervo, C.P. 631555, Tepic, Nayarit, Mexico.
| | - J A Bricio-Barrios
- Facultad de Medicina, Universidad de Colima, Av. Universidad 333, Col. Las Víboras, C.P. 28040, Colima, Colima, Mexico.
| | - E F Ríos-Bracamontes
- Departamento de Medicina Interna, Hospital General de Zona No. 1, Instituto Mexicano del Seguro Social, Av. Lapislázuli 250, Col. El Haya, CP 28984, Villa de Álvarez, Colima, Mexico.
| | - X Trujillo
- Centro Universitario de Investigaciones Biomédicas, Universidad de Colima, Av. 25 de Julio 965, Col. Villas San Sebastián, C.P. 28045, Colima, Colima, Mexico.
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Murillo-Zamora E, Guzmán-Esquivel J, Bricio-Barrios J, Mendoza-Cano O. Comparing the survival of adult inpatients with COVID-19 during the wild-type, Delta, and Omicron emergence. Public Health 2022; 213:124-126. [PMID: 36410117 PMCID: PMC9581803 DOI: 10.1016/j.puhe.2022.10.014] [Citation(s) in RCA: 5] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/05/2022] [Revised: 09/21/2022] [Accepted: 10/12/2022] [Indexed: 11/07/2022]
Abstract
OBJECTIVE This study aimed to compare the survival experience of adult inpatients with laboratory-confirmed COVID-19 during the first three waves (wild type, Delta, and Omicron) of the pandemic in Mexico. STUDY DESIGN A retrospective and nationwide study was conducted. METHODS Data from 229,311 participants were analyzed using the Kaplan-Meier method, and estimates per each pandemic wave were obtained. A multivariate Cox proportional hazard regression model was fitted, and hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were computed. RESULTS The overall mortality rate was 49.1 per 1000 person-days. Heterogeneous survival rates were observed during the analyzed emergences (log-rank test, P < 0.001), and the lowest survival functions were computed during the Omicron variant dominance. In multiple analyses and after adjusting by host characteristics and COVID-19 vaccination status, cases occurring during the Delta (vs wild type: HR = 1.03, 95% CI 1.01-1.05) and Omicron emergence were at increased risk for a fatal in-hospital outcome (HR = 1.17, 95% CI 1.13-1.22). CONCLUSIONS Our results suggest variant-related differences in the survival rates of hospitalized patients with laboratory-positive COVID-19. When compared with the wild-type virus, lower rates were observed during the Delta and Omicron emergence.
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Affiliation(s)
- E. Murillo-Zamora
- Departamento de Epidemiología, Unidad de Medicina Familiar No. 19, Instituto Mexicano Del Seguro Social, Av. Javier Mina 301, Col. Centro, C.P. 28000, Colima, Mexico,Facultad de Medicina, Universidad de Colima, Av. Universidad 333, Col. Las Víboras, C.P. 28040, Colima, Colima, Mexico
| | - J. Guzmán-Esquivel
- Facultad de Medicina, Universidad de Colima, Av. Universidad 333, Col. Las Víboras, C.P. 28040, Colima, Colima, Mexico,Unidad de Investigación en Epidemiología Clínica, Hospital General de Zona No. 1, Villa de Álvarez, Colima, Mexico
| | - J.A. Bricio-Barrios
- Facultad de Medicina, Universidad de Colima, Av. Universidad 333, Col. Las Víboras, C.P. 28040, Colima, Colima, Mexico
| | - O. Mendoza-Cano
- Facultad de Ingeniería Civil, Universidad de Colima, Km. 9 Carretera Colima-Coquimatlán, Coquimatlán, C.P. 28400, Colima, Mexico,Corresponding author. Tel.: +52 (312) 3161167
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Murillo-Zamora E, Trujillo X, Huerta M, Ríos-Silva M, Baltazar-Rodríguez L, Guzmán-Esquivel J, Benites-Godínez V, Ortega-Ramírez A, Mendoza-Cano O. Decreased risk of COVID-19 pneumonia in children and adolescents during the Delta variant emergence. Public Health 2022; 204:9-11. [PMID: 35085915 PMCID: PMC8712269 DOI: 10.1016/j.puhe.2021.12.017] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/20/2021] [Revised: 12/07/2021] [Accepted: 12/21/2021] [Indexed: 11/06/2022]
Abstract
Objectives This study aimed to evaluate factors associated with the risk of COVID-19 pneumonia in children (aged <10 years) and adolescents (aged 10–19 years) before (March 2020–April 2021) and during (May–July 2021) the Delta (B.1.617.2) variant emergence. Study design A retrospective and nationwide cohort study was conducted in Mexico. Methods Data from 26,961 laboratory-confirmed cases of COVID-19 were analyzed. Risk ratios (RRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were used to evaluate the association of the evaluated exposures with the risk of COVID-19 pneumonia. Results The overall incidence rate of pneumonia was 23.0 per 10,000 person-days, and it was lower during the Delta variant emergence (30.3 vs. 9.4 person-days, p < 0.001). In multiple analysis, a decreased risk of pneumonia was observed among those cases occurring in May 2021 or later (vs. March 2020–April 2021, RR = 0.98, 95% CI 0.97–0.99) and among older patients (RRper year = 0.998, 95% CI 0.996–0.998). Other comorbidities (namely, obesity, chronic kidney disease, diabetes mellitus, immunosuppression, or malignant tumors) were associated with an increased risk of severe COVID-19 manifestations. Conclusions Our findings suggest that during the Delta variant emergence, children and adolescent patients were at reduced risk of COVID-19 pneumonia in Mexico. Further research is needed to identify factors determining the observed scenario.
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Guzman-Esquivel J, Galvan-Salazar HR, Guzman-Solorzano HP, Cuevas-Velazquez AC, Guzman-Solorzano JA, Mokay-Ramirez KA, Paz-Michel BA, Murillo-Zamora E, Delgado-Enciso J, Melnikov V, Delgado-Enciso OG, Rodriguez-Sanchez IP, Martinez-Fierro ML, Rojas-Larios F, Walle-Guillen M, Cardenas-Aguilar CB, Beas-Guzman O, Chaviano-Conesa D, Garcia-Garcia HS, Delgado-Enciso I. Efficacy of the use of mefenamic acid combined with standard medical care vs. standard medical care alone for the treatment of COVID‑19: A randomized double‑blind placebo‑controlled trial. Int J Mol Med 2022; 49:29. [PMID: 35029292 DOI: 10.3892/ijmm.2022.5084] [Citation(s) in RCA: 7] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/17/2021] [Accepted: 12/23/2021] [Indexed: 11/06/2022] Open
Abstract
Mefenamic acid is a non‑steroidal anti‑inflammatory drug exhibiting a wide range of anti‑inflammatory, antipyretic, analgesic and probable antiviral activities. The present study evaluated the efficacy of treatment with mefenamic acid combined with standard medical care vs. standard medical care plus a placebo in ambulatory patients with coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID‑19; nasal/oropharyngeal swabs reverse transcription‑PCR test results positive for severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2). The present study is a phase II prospective, two‑arm, parallel‑group, randomized, double‑blind placebo‑controlled clinical trial which analyzed 36 patients. Two aspects were evaluated during the 14‑day follow‑up period: i) The time for reaching a patient acceptable symptom state (PASS), and ii) the last day of each COVID‑19 symptom presentation. Adverse effects were evaluated. The clinical severity for all the patients in the study was mild (88.9%) and moderate (11.1%). The control (placebo) group achieved PASS on day 8.0±1.3, compared with day 4.4±0.8 in the mefenamic acid group (P=0.020, Kaplan‑Meier analyses using log‑rank tests). Patients that received mefenamic acid plus standard medical care had a ~16‑fold higher probability of achieving PASS on day 8 (adjusted RR, 15.57; 95% CI, 1.22‑198.71; P=0.035), compared with the placebo plus standard medical care group. All symptoms lasted for fewer days in the mefenamic acid group, compared with the placebo group; however, only the symptoms of headache (P=0.008), retro‑orbital eye pain (P=0.049), and sore throat (P=0.029) exhibited statistically significant differences. The experimental treatment produced no severe adverse effects. On the whole, the present study demonstrates that the administration of mefenamic acid markedly reduced the symptomatology and time to reach PASS in ambulatory patients with COVID‑19. Due to its probable antiviral effects and potent anti‑inflammatory mechanisms, mefenamic acid may prove to be useful in the treatment of COVID‑19, in combination with other drugs, including the new antivirals (remdesivir, molnupiravir, or favipiravir). However, future studies are also required to confirm these findings.
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Affiliation(s)
- Jose Guzman-Esquivel
- Department of Research, General Hospital of Zone No. 1 IMSS, Villa de Alvarez, Colima 28984, Mexico
| | - Hector R Galvan-Salazar
- Department of Molecular Medicine, School of Medicine, University of Colima, Colima 28040, Mexico
| | | | | | - Jose A Guzman-Solorzano
- Department of Molecular Medicine, School of Medicine, University of Colima, Colima 28040, Mexico
| | - Karen A Mokay-Ramirez
- Department of Molecular Medicine, School of Medicine, University of Colima, Colima 28040, Mexico
| | - Brenda A Paz-Michel
- Department of Molecular Medicine, School of Medicine, University of Colima, Colima 28040, Mexico
| | - Efren Murillo-Zamora
- Department of Research, General Hospital of Zone No. 1 IMSS, Villa de Alvarez, Colima 28984, Mexico
| | - Josuel Delgado-Enciso
- Department of Research, Foundation for Cancer Ethics, Education and Research of the Cancerology State Institute, Colima 28085, Mexico
| | - Valery Melnikov
- Department of Research, General Hospital of Zone No. 1 IMSS, Villa de Alvarez, Colima 28984, Mexico
| | - Osiris G Delgado-Enciso
- Department of Molecular Medicine, School of Medicine, University of Colima, Colima 28040, Mexico
| | - Iram P Rodriguez-Sanchez
- Laboratory of Molecular and Structural Physiology, School of Biological Sciences, Universidad Autónoma de Nuevo León, San Nicolas de los Garza, Nuevo León 66455, Mexico
| | - Margarita L Martinez-Fierro
- Molecular Medicine Laboratory, Academic Unit of Human Medicine and Health Sciences, Autonomous University of Zacatecas, Zacatecas 98160, Mexico
| | - Fabian Rojas-Larios
- Department of Molecular Medicine, School of Medicine, University of Colima, Colima 28040, Mexico
| | - Mireya Walle-Guillen
- Department of Molecular Medicine, School of Medicine, University of Colima, Colima 28040, Mexico
| | | | - Oscar Beas-Guzman
- Department of Molecular Medicine, School of Medicine, University of Colima, Colima 28040, Mexico
| | - Daniel Chaviano-Conesa
- Department of Molecular Medicine, School of Medicine, University of Colima, Colima 28040, Mexico
| | - Hossana S Garcia-Garcia
- Department of Research, General Hospital of Zone No. 1 IMSS, Villa de Alvarez, Colima 28984, Mexico
| | - Ivan Delgado-Enciso
- Department of Molecular Medicine, School of Medicine, University of Colima, Colima 28040, Mexico
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Murillo-Zamora E, Hernández-Suárez CM. Performance of the case definition of suspected influenza before and during the COVID-19 pandemic. Rev Clin Esp 2021; 221:582-586. [PMID: 34839891 PMCID: PMC7997690 DOI: 10.1016/j.rceng.2020.09.003] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/17/2020] [Accepted: 09/13/2020] [Indexed: 11/03/2022]
Abstract
OBJECTIVE This study aimed to evaluate the performance, before and during the COVID-19 pandemic, of the case definition of suspected influenza used in community surveillance in Mexico. METHODS A cross-sectional analysis of a cohort study was performed and cases that met the suspected case criteria (n = 20,511) and that had laboratory-conclusive evidence (quantitative real-time polymerase chain reaction) to confirm or discard influenza virus infection were analysed. RESULTS A high sensitivity and modest specificity were documented, which later decreased during the COVID-19 outbreak, as well as its diagnostic accuracy. However, no significant differences were observed in the area under the receiver operating characteristics curve among the analysed periods. CONCLUSIONS The evaluated case definition remains to be a cost-effective alternative for identifying patients who may benefit from influenza-specific antiviral drugs, even during the global COVID-19 outbreak.
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Affiliation(s)
- E Murillo-Zamora
- Departamento de Epidemiología, Unidad de Medicina Familiar No. 19, Instituto Mexicano del Seguro Social, Colima, Mexico
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Delgado-Enciso I, Paz-Garcia J, Barajas-Saucedo CE, Mokay-Ramírez KA, Meza-Robles C, Lopez-Flores R, Delgado-Machuca M, Murillo-Zamora E, Toscano-Velazquez JA, Delgado-Enciso J, Melnikov V, Walle-Guillen M, Galvan-Salazar HR, Delgado-Enciso OG, Cabrera-Licona A, Danielewicz-Mata EJ, Mandujano-Diaz PJ, Guzman-Esquivel J, Montes-Galindo DA, Perez-Martinez H, Jimenez-Villegaz JM, Hernandez-Rangel AE, Montes-Diaz P, Rodriguez-Sanchez IP, Martinez-Fierro ML, Garza-Veloz I, Tiburcio-Jimenez D, Zaizar-Fregoso SA, Gonzalez-Alcaraz F, Gutierrez-Gutierrez L, Diaz-Lopez L, Ramirez-Flores M, Guzman-Solorzano HP, Gaytan-Sandoval G, Martinez-Perez CR, Espinoza-Gómez F, Rojas-Larios F, Hirsch-Meillon MJ, Baltazar-Rodriguez LM, Barrios-Navarro E, Oviedo-Rodriguez V, Mendoza-Hernandez MA, Prieto-Diaz-Chavez E, Paz-Michel BA. Safety and efficacy of a COVID-19 treatment with nebulized and/or intravenous neutral electrolyzed saline combined with usual medical care vs. usual medical care alone: A randomized, open-label, controlled trial. Exp Ther Med 2021; 22:915. [PMID: 34306189 PMCID: PMC8281484 DOI: 10.3892/etm.2021.10347] [Citation(s) in RCA: 4] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/04/2021] [Accepted: 05/11/2021] [Indexed: 12/13/2022] Open
Abstract
Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) is currently the major public health problem worldwide. Neutral electrolyzed saline solution that contains reactive chlorine and oxygen species may be an effective therapeutic. In the present study, the treatment efficacy of intravenous and/or nebulized neutral electrolyzed saline combined with usual medical care vs. usual medical care alone was evaluated in ambulatory patients with COVID-19. A prospective, 2-arm, parallel-group, randomized, open-label, multi-center, phase I-II clinical trial including 214 patients was performed. The following two outcomes were evaluated during the 20-day follow-up: i) The number of patients with disease progression; and ii) the patient acceptable symptom state. Serial severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 naso/oro-pharyngeal detection by reverse transcription-quantitative (RT-q) PCR was performed in certain patients of the experimental group. Biochemical and hematologic parameters, as well as adverse effects, were also evaluated in the experimental group. The experimental treatment decreased the risk of hospitalization by 89% [adjusted relative risk (RR)=0.11, 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.03-0.37, P<0.001] and the risk of death by 96% (adjusted RR=0.04, 95% CI: 0.01-0.42, P=0.007) and also resulted in an 18-fold higher probability of achieving an acceptable symptom state on day 5 (adjusted RR=18.14, 95% CI: 7.29-45.09, P<0.001), compared with usual medical care alone. Overall, neutral electrolyzed saline solution was better than usual medical care alone. Of the patients analyzed, >50% were negative for the virus as detected by RT-qPCR in naso/oro-pharyngeal samples on day 4, with only a small number of positive patients on day 6. Clinical improvement correlated with a decrease in C-reactive protein, aberrant monocytes and increased lymphocytes and platelets. Cortisol and testosterone levels were also evaluated and a decrease in cortisol levels and an increase in the testosterone-cortisol ratio were observed on days 2 and 4. The experimental treatment produced no serious adverse effects. In conclusion, neutral electrolyzed saline solution markedly reduced the symptomatology and risk of progression in ambulatory patients with COVID-19. The present clinical trial was registered in the Cuban public registry of clinical trials (RPCEC) database (May 5, 2020; no. TX-COVID19: RPCEC00000309).
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Affiliation(s)
- Ivan Delgado-Enciso
- Department of Molecular Medicine, School of Medicine, University of Colima, Colima 28040, México.,Department of Research, Cancerology State Institute, Colima State Health Services, Colima 28085, México
| | - Juan Paz-Garcia
- Department of Internal Medicine and Surgery, Union Hospital Center, Villa de Álvarez, Colima 28970, México
| | - Carlos E Barajas-Saucedo
- Department of Molecular Medicine, School of Medicine, University of Colima, Colima 28040, México
| | - Karen A Mokay-Ramírez
- Department of Molecular Medicine, School of Medicine, University of Colima, Colima 28040, México
| | - Carmen Meza-Robles
- Department of Molecular Medicine, School of Medicine, University of Colima, Colima 28040, México.,Department of Research, Cancerology State Institute, Colima State Health Services, Colima 28085, México
| | - Rodrigo Lopez-Flores
- Department of Research, Cancerology State Institute, Colima State Health Services, Colima 28085, México
| | - Marina Delgado-Machuca
- Department of Research, Cancerology State Institute, Colima State Health Services, Colima 28085, México
| | - Efren Murillo-Zamora
- Department of Research, General Hospital of Zone No. 1 and Family Medicine Unit No. 19 IMSS, Villa de Alvarez, Colima 28984, México
| | - Jose A Toscano-Velazquez
- Department of Molecular Medicine, School of Medicine, University of Colima, Colima 28040, México
| | - Josuel Delgado-Enciso
- Department of Research, Foundation for Cancer Ethics, Education and Research of the Cancerology State Institute, Colima 28085, México
| | - Valery Melnikov
- Department of Molecular Medicine, School of Medicine, University of Colima, Colima 28040, México
| | - Mireya Walle-Guillen
- Department of Molecular Medicine, School of Medicine, University of Colima, Colima 28040, México.,Department of Research, Cancerology State Institute, Colima State Health Services, Colima 28085, México
| | - Hector R Galvan-Salazar
- Department of Molecular Medicine, School of Medicine, University of Colima, Colima 28040, México.,Department of Research, Cancerology State Institute, Colima State Health Services, Colima 28085, México
| | - Osiris G Delgado-Enciso
- Department of Molecular Medicine, School of Medicine, University of Colima, Colima 28040, México.,Department of Research, Foundation for Cancer Ethics, Education and Research of the Cancerology State Institute, Colima 28085, México
| | | | | | - Pablo J Mandujano-Diaz
- COVID-19 Respiratory Care Clinic INSABI Poliforum, Tuxtla Gutierrez, Chiapas 29040, México
| | - José Guzman-Esquivel
- Department of Molecular Medicine, School of Medicine, University of Colima, Colima 28040, México.,Department of Research, Foundation for Cancer Ethics, Education and Research of the Cancerology State Institute, Colima 28085, México
| | - Daniel A Montes-Galindo
- Department of Molecular Medicine, School of Medicine, University of Colima, Colima 28040, México.,Department of Research, Cancerology State Institute, Colima State Health Services, Colima 28085, México
| | - Henry Perez-Martinez
- COVID-19 Respiratory Care Clinic INSABI Poliforum, Tuxtla Gutierrez, Chiapas 29040, México
| | | | | | | | - Iram P Rodriguez-Sanchez
- Laboratory of Molecular and Structural Physiology, School of Biological Sciences, Universidad Autónoma de Nuevo León, San Nicolas de los Garza, Nuevo León 66455, México
| | - Margarita L Martinez-Fierro
- Molecular Medicine Laboratory, Academic Unit of Human Medicine and Health Sciences, Autonomous University of Zacatecas, Zacatecas 98160, México
| | - Idalia Garza-Veloz
- Molecular Medicine Laboratory, Academic Unit of Human Medicine and Health Sciences, Autonomous University of Zacatecas, Zacatecas 98160, México
| | - Daniel Tiburcio-Jimenez
- Department of Molecular Medicine, School of Medicine, University of Colima, Colima 28040, México
| | - Sergio A Zaizar-Fregoso
- Department of Molecular Medicine, School of Medicine, University of Colima, Colima 28040, México
| | | | | | - Luciano Diaz-Lopez
- COVID-19 Respiratory Care Clinic INSABI Poliforum, Tuxtla Gutierrez, Chiapas 29040, México
| | - Mario Ramirez-Flores
- Department of Molecular Medicine, School of Medicine, University of Colima, Colima 28040, México
| | | | - Gustavo Gaytan-Sandoval
- Department of Research, Cancerology State Institute, Colima State Health Services, Colima 28085, México
| | - Carlos R Martinez-Perez
- Department of Research, Cancerology State Institute, Colima State Health Services, Colima 28085, México
| | - Francisco Espinoza-Gómez
- Department of Molecular Medicine, School of Medicine, University of Colima, Colima 28040, México
| | - Fabián Rojas-Larios
- Department of Molecular Medicine, School of Medicine, University of Colima, Colima 28040, México
| | - Michael J Hirsch-Meillon
- Department of Research, Cancerology State Institute, Colima State Health Services, Colima 28085, México
| | - Luz M Baltazar-Rodriguez
- Department of Molecular Medicine, School of Medicine, University of Colima, Colima 28040, México
| | - Enrique Barrios-Navarro
- Department of Molecular Medicine, School of Medicine, University of Colima, Colima 28040, México
| | - Vladimir Oviedo-Rodriguez
- Department of Research, Cancerology State Institute, Colima State Health Services, Colima 28085, México
| | | | | | - Brenda A Paz-Michel
- Department of Molecular Medicine, School of Medicine, University of Colima, Colima 28040, México.,Department of Research, Esteripharma S.A. de C.V., Ciudad de México 03100, México
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Melnikov V, Tiburcio-Jimenez D, Mendoza-Hernandez MA, Delgado-Enciso J, De-Leon-Zaragoza L, Guzman-Esquivel J, Rodriguez-Sanchez IP, Martinez-Fierro ML, Lara-Esqueda A, Delgado-Enciso OG, Jacinto-Cortes I, Zaizar-Fregoso SA, Paz-Michel BA, Murillo-Zamora E, Delgado-Enciso I, Galvan-Salazar HR. Improve cognitive impairment using mefenamic acid non-steroidal anti-inflammatory therapy: additional beneficial effect found in a controlled clinical trial for prostate cancer therapy. Am J Transl Res 2021; 13:4535-4543. [PMID: 34150033 PMCID: PMC8205720] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/16/2020] [Accepted: 03/20/2021] [Indexed: 06/12/2023]
Abstract
Inflammation is an essential component of prostate cancer (PCa), and mefenamic acid has been reported to decrease its biochemical progression. The current standard therapy for PCa is androgen deprivation therapy (ADT), which has side effects such as cognitive dysfunction, risk of Alzheimer's disease, and dementia. Published results of in vitro tests and animal models studies have shown that mefenamic acid could be used as a neuroprotector. Objective: Examine the therapeutic potential of mefenamic acid in cognitive impairment used in a controlled clinical trial. Clinical trial phase II was conducted on patients undergoing ADT for PCa. Two groups of 14 patients were included. One was treated with a placebo, while the other received mefenamic acid 500 mg PO every 12hrs for six months. The outcome was evaluated through the Mini-Mental State Examination (MMSE) score at six months. At the beginning of the study, both groups had similar MMSE scores (mefenamic acid vs. placebo: 26.0±2.5 vs. 27.0±2.6, P=0.282). The mefenamic acid group improved its MMSE score after six months compared with the placebo group (27.7±1.8 vs. 25.5±4.2, P=0.037). Treatment with mefenamic acid significantly increases the probability of maintained or raised cognitive function compared to placebo (92% vs. 42.9%, RR=2.2, 95% CI: 1.16-4.03, NNT=2.0, 95% CI: 1.26-4.81, P=0.014). Furthermore, 42.9% of the placebo group patients had relevant cognitive decline (a 2-point decrease in the MMSE score), while in patients treated with mefenamic acid, cognitive impairment was not present. This study is the first conducted on humans that suggests that mefenamic acid protects against cognitive decline.
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Affiliation(s)
- Valery Melnikov
- Department of Molecular Medicine, School of Medicine, University of ColimaColima 28040, Mexico
| | - Daniel Tiburcio-Jimenez
- Department of Molecular Medicine, School of Medicine, University of ColimaColima 28040, Mexico
| | | | - Josuel Delgado-Enciso
- Department of Research, Foundation for Cancer Ethics, Education and Research of The Cancerology State InstituteColima, Mexico
| | - Luis De-Leon-Zaragoza
- Department of Research, Cancerology State Institute, Colima State Health ServicesColima, Mexico
| | - Jose Guzman-Esquivel
- Department of Research, General Hospital of Zone No. 1 IMSSVilla de Alvarez, Colima, Mexico
| | - Iram P Rodriguez-Sanchez
- Molecular and Structural Physiology Laboratory, School of Biological Sciences, Autonomous University of Nuevo LeonMonterrey, Nuevo Leon, Mexico
| | - Margarita L Martinez-Fierro
- Molecular Medicine Laboratory, Academic Unit of Human Medicine and Health Sciences, Autonomous University of ZacatecasZacatecas, Mexico
| | - Agustin Lara-Esqueda
- Department of Research, Cancerology State Institute, Colima State Health ServicesColima, Mexico
| | - Osiris G Delgado-Enciso
- Department of Molecular Medicine, School of Medicine, University of ColimaColima 28040, Mexico
- Department of Research, Foundation for Cancer Ethics, Education and Research of The Cancerology State InstituteColima, Mexico
| | - Ivan Jacinto-Cortes
- Department of Research, Cancerology State Institute, Colima State Health ServicesColima, Mexico
| | - Sergio A Zaizar-Fregoso
- Department of Molecular Medicine, School of Medicine, University of ColimaColima 28040, Mexico
| | - Brenda A Paz-Michel
- Department of Molecular Medicine, School of Medicine, University of ColimaColima 28040, Mexico
| | | | - Ivan Delgado-Enciso
- Department of Molecular Medicine, School of Medicine, University of ColimaColima 28040, Mexico
- Department of Research, Cancerology State Institute, Colima State Health ServicesColima, Mexico
| | - Hector R Galvan-Salazar
- Department of Research, Cancerology State Institute, Colima State Health ServicesColima, Mexico
- Department of Research, General Hospital of Zone No. 1 IMSSVilla de Alvarez, Colima, Mexico
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Murillo-Zamora E, Mendoza-Cano O, Cárdenas-Rojas MI, Hernandez-Suarez CM, Guzmán-Esquivel J. Survival in adult pneumonia inpatients fulfilling suspected COVID-19 criteria and baseline negative RT-qPCR. Public Health 2021; 195:123-125. [PMID: 34089950 PMCID: PMC8098043 DOI: 10.1016/j.puhe.2021.04.023] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/02/2021] [Revised: 03/30/2021] [Accepted: 04/27/2021] [Indexed: 11/29/2022]
Abstract
Objectives The objective of this study was to evaluate the survival experience of suspicion COVID-19 hospitalized patients with pneumonia and negative baseline reverse-transcription quantitative polymerase chain reaction (RT-qPCR) test results. Study design We conducted a nationwide retrospective cohort study in Mexico. Methods Adult pneumonia inpatients fulfilling suspected COVID-19 criteria, and hospital entry from March to August 2020, were enrolled. The Kaplan–Meier method was to use to compare survival estimates among patients with negative RT-qPCR nasopharyngeal or oropharyngeal swabs and those with a baseline positive test. Results Data from 64,624 individuals fulfilling suspected COVID-19 criteria were analyzed and 1.6% of them had negative RT-qPCR tests. The overall mortality rate was higher among laboratory-positive patients (48.5% vs. 34.2%, P < 0.001) and, at any given threshold, the survival estimates were higher among RT-qPCR–negative pneumonia inpatients. Conclusions The pathogenic mechanism of COVID-19 remains poorly understood and suspected cases with pneumonia and negative laboratory results represent a major challenge for healthcare systems. Our findings suggest that RT-qPCR–negative inpatients may have an improved disease prognosis, but the in-hospital mortality was still high among them. However, further research is needed to clarify the clinical and epidemiological implications of our results.
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Affiliation(s)
- E Murillo-Zamora
- Departamento de Epidemiología, Unidad de Medicina Familiar No. 19, Instituto Mexicano del Seguro Social, Av. Javier Mina 301, Col. Centro, C.P. 28000, Colima, Colima, Mexico; Facultad de Medicina, Universidad de Colima, Av. Universidad 333, Col. Las Víboras, C.P. 28040, Colima, Colima, Mexico.
| | - O Mendoza-Cano
- Facultad de Ingeniería Civil, Universidad de Colima, km. 9 carretera Colima-Coquimatlán, C.P. 28400, Coquimatlán, Colima, Mexico.
| | - M I Cárdenas-Rojas
- Coordinación de Investigación en Salud, Jefatura de Servicios de Prestaciones Médicas, Instituto Mexicano del Seguro Social, Doroteo López No. 442 Col. Magisterial, C.P. 28030, Colima, Colima, Mexico.
| | - C M Hernandez-Suarez
- Facultad de Ciencias, Universidad de Colima, Bernal Díaz del Castillo 340, Col. Villas San Sebastián, C.P. 28045, Mexico.
| | - J Guzmán-Esquivel
- Facultad de Medicina, Universidad de Colima, Av. Universidad 333, Col. Las Víboras, C.P. 28040, Colima, Colima, Mexico; Unidad de Investigación en Epidemiología Clínica, Instituto Mexicano del Seguro Social, Av. De Los Maestros 149, Col. Centro, C.P. 28030, Colima, Colima, Mexico.
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Murillo-Zamora E, Mendoza-Cano O, Delgado-Enciso I, Hernandez-Suarez CM. Predictors of severe symptomatic laboratory-confirmed SARS-CoV-2 reinfection. Public Health 2021; 193:113-115. [PMID: 33774512 PMCID: PMC7879028 DOI: 10.1016/j.puhe.2021.01.021] [Citation(s) in RCA: 26] [Impact Index Per Article: 8.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/15/2020] [Revised: 01/19/2021] [Accepted: 01/30/2021] [Indexed: 11/23/2022]
Abstract
OBJECTIVE The aim of the study was to evaluate factors predicting severe symptomatic laboratory-confirmed (via Reverse transcription polymerase chain reaction, RT-PCR polymerase chain reaction) severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) reinfection. STUDY DESIGN This is a nationwide retrospective cohort study that was conducted in Mexico. METHODS Data from 258 reinfection cases (at least 28 days between both episodes onset) were analyzed. We used risk ratios (RRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) to evaluate predictors of severe (dyspnea requiring hospital admission) secondary SARS-CoV-2 infection. RESULTS The risk of severe disease was 14.7%, and the observed overall fatality rate was 4.3%. Patients with more serious primary disease were more likely to develop severe symptoms (39.5% vs. 5.5%, P < 0.001) during reinfection. In multiple analysis, factors associated with an increased risk of severe symptomatic SARS-CoV-2 reinfection were increasing age (RRper year = 1.007, 95% CI = 1.003-1.010), comorbidities (namely, obesity [RR = 1.12, 95% CI = 1.01-1.24], asthma [RR = 1.26, 95% CI = 1.06-1.50], type 2 diabetes mellitus [RR = 1.22, 95% CI = 1.07-1.38]), and previous severe laboratory-confirmed coronavirus disease 2019 (RR = 1.20, 95% CI = 1.03-1.39). CONCLUSIONS To the best of our knowledge, this is the first study evaluating disease outcomes in a large set of laboratory-positive cases of symptomatic SARS-CoV-2 reinfection, and factors associated with illness severity were characterized. Our results may contribute to the current knowledge of SARS-CoV-2 pathogenicity and to identify populations at increased risk of a poorer outcome after reinfection.
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Affiliation(s)
- E Murillo-Zamora
- Departamento de Epidemiología, Unidad de Medicina Familiar No. 19, Instituto Mexicano del Seguro Social, Av. Javier Mina 301, Col. Centro, C.P. 28000, Colima, Colima, Mexico; Facultad de Medicina, Universidad de Colima, Av. Universidad 333, Col. Las Víboras, C.P. 28040, Colima, Colima, Mexico.
| | - O Mendoza-Cano
- Facultad de Ingeniería Civil, Universidad de Colima, Km. 9 Carretera Colima-Coquimatlán, Coquimatlán, C.P. 28400, Colima, Mexico.
| | - I Delgado-Enciso
- Facultad de Medicina, Universidad de Colima, Av. Universidad 333, Col. Las Víboras, C.P. 28040, Colima, Colima, Mexico; Instituto Estatal de Cancerología de los Servicios de Salud del Estado de Colima, Av. Liceo de Varones 401, Col. La Esperanza, C.P 28085, Colima, Colima, Mexico.
| | - C M Hernandez-Suarez
- Facultad de Ciencias, Universidad de Colima, Bernal Díaz del Castillo 340, Col. Villas San Sebastián, C.P. 28045, Mexico.
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Murillo-Zamora E, Mendoza-Cano O, Delgado-Enciso I, Guzmán-Esquivel J. National retrospective cohort study to identify risk factors for in-hospital 30-day lethality in laboratory-confirmed cases of influenza. Rev Clin Esp 2021; 221:76-85. [PMID: 32674849 DOI: 10.1016/j.rce.2020.05.016] [Citation(s) in RCA: 5] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/15/2020] [Revised: 05/11/2020] [Accepted: 05/15/2020] [Indexed: 11/27/2022]
Abstract
OBJECTIVE To identify factors associated with the risk of death in adolescent and adult inpatients with laboratory-positive (reverse-transcription polymerase chain reaction) influenza in Mexico during consecutive influenza seasons (2018-2020). PATIENTS AND METHODS A retrospective cohort study used national surveillance system data, enrolling 3422 individuals. The association between various risk factors and 30-day in-hospital lethality were evaluated through risk ratios (RR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI). RESULTS The lethality rate was 18.1%. Flu vaccination history (RR = 0.56, 95% CI 0.42-0.78), early antiviral drug administration (≤ two days from symptom onset [reference ≥ 5 days], RR = 0.68, 95% CI 0.58-0.81), and a history of asthma (RR = 0.66, 95% CI 0.47-0.95) showed protective effects against influenza-attributable death. Mechanical ventilator support produced the highest increase in death risk (RR = 3.31, 95% CI 2.89-3.79). Male sex, older age, AH1N1 subtype, and other chronic diseases were also associated with fatal in-hospital influenza-related outcomes. CONCLUSIONS Our findings highlight the major relevance of promoting immunization in high-risk individuals, together with ensuring early and effective antiviral management in suspected influenza cases.
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Affiliation(s)
- E Murillo-Zamora
- Departamento de Epidemiología, Unidad de Medicina Familiar No. 19, Instituto Mexicano del Seguro Social, Colima, México
| | - O Mendoza-Cano
- Facultad de Ingeniería Civil, Universidad de Colima, Colima, México
| | | | - J Guzmán-Esquivel
- Facultad de Medicina, Universidad de Colima, Colima, México; Unidad de Investigación en Epidemiología Clínica, Instituto Mexicano del Seguro Social, Colima, México.
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Murillo-Zamora E, Mendoza-Cano O, Delgado-Enciso I, Guzmán-Esquivel J. National retrospective cohort study to identify risk factors for in-hospital 30-day lethality in laboratory-confirmed cases of influenza. Rev Clin Esp 2020; 221:76-85. [PMID: 33998492 DOI: 10.1016/j.rceng.2020.05.013] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/15/2020] [Accepted: 05/15/2020] [Indexed: 01/01/2023]
Abstract
OBJECTIVE To identify factors associated with the risk of death in adolescent and adult inpatients with laboratory-positive (reverse-transcription polymerase chain reaction) influenza in Mexico during consecutive influenza seasons (2018-2020). METHODS A retrospective cohort study used national surveillance system data, enrolling 3.422 individuals. The association between various risk factors and 30-day in-hospital lethality were evaluated through risk ratios (RRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs). RESULTS The lethality rate was 18.1%. Flu vaccination history (RR=0.56, 95% CI 0.42-0.78), early antiviral drug administration (≤2 days from symptom onset [reference ≥5 days], RR=0.68, 95% CI 0.58-0.81), and a history of asthma (RR=0.66, 95% CI 0.47-0.95) showed protective effects against influenza-attributable death. Mechanical ventilator support produced the highest increase in death risk (RR=3.31, 95% CI 2.89-3.79). Male sex, older age, AH1N1 subtype, and other chronic diseases were also associated with fatal in-hospital influenza-related outcomes. CONCLUSIONS Our findings highlight the major relevance of promoting immunization in high-risk individuals, together with ensuring early and effective antiviral management in suspected influenza cases.
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Affiliation(s)
- E Murillo-Zamora
- Departamento de Epidemiología, Unidad de Medicina Familiar No. 19, Instituto Mexicano del Seguro, Colima, Colima, Mexico
| | - O Mendoza-Cano
- Facultad de Ingeniería Civil, Universidad de Colima, km. 9 carretera Colima-Coquimatlán, Colima, Mexico
| | - I Delgado-Enciso
- Facultad de Medicina, Universidad de Colima, Av. Universidad 333, Colima, Mexico
| | - J Guzmán-Esquivel
- Facultad de Medicina, Universidad de Colima, Av. Universidad 333, Colima, Mexico; Unidad de Investigación en Epidemiología Clínica, Instituto Mexicano del Seguro Social, Colima, Mexico.
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Murillo-Zamora E, Aguilar-Sollano F, Delgado-Enciso I, Hernandez-Suarez CM. Predictors of laboratory-positive COVID-19 in children and teenagers. Public Health 2020; 189:153-157. [PMID: 33246302 PMCID: PMC7584439 DOI: 10.1016/j.puhe.2020.10.012] [Citation(s) in RCA: 16] [Impact Index Per Article: 4.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/15/2020] [Revised: 10/07/2020] [Accepted: 10/12/2020] [Indexed: 11/20/2022]
Abstract
OBJECTIVE The aim of the study was to identify factors predicting laboratory-positive coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) in pediatric patients with acute respiratory symptoms. STUDY DESIGN We conducted a cross-sectional analysis of a prospective cohort study. METHODS Data from 1849 individuals were analyzed. COVID-19 was confirmed (reverse transcription-quantitative polymerase chain reaction) in 15.9% of patients, and factors predicting a positive test result were evaluated through prevalence odds ratios and 95% confidence intervals. RESULTS Increasing age, personal history of obesity, and household contact with a case were found to be associated, in the multiple regression model, with increased odds of a positive test result. Young patients residing in areas with higher population sizes, as well as those with severe respiratory symptoms, were less likely to be laboratory confirmed. CONCLUSIONS Early identification and isolation of children and teenagers with suggestive symptoms of COVID-19 is important to limit viral spread. We identified several factors predicting the laboratory test result. Our findings are relevant from a public health policy perspective, particularly after the restart of in-person academic activities.
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Affiliation(s)
- E Murillo-Zamora
- Departamento de Epidemiología, Unidad de Medicina Familiar No. 19, Instituto Mexicano del Seguro Social, Colima, Colima, Mexico; Facultad de Medicina, Universidad de Colima, Colima, Colima, Mexico
| | - F Aguilar-Sollano
- Programa de Maestr´ıa en Ciencias Me´dicas, Facultad de Medicina, Universidad de Colima, Colima, Colima, Mexico
| | - I Delgado-Enciso
- Facultad de Medicina, Universidad de Colima, Colima, Colima, Mexico; Instituto Estatal de Cancerolog´ıa, Servicios de Salud del Estado de Colima, Colima, Colima, Mexico
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Murillo-Zamora E, Hernández-Suárez CM. [Performance of the case definition of suspected influenza before and during the COVID-19 pandemic]. Rev Clin Esp 2020; 221:582-586. [PMID: 33024341 PMCID: PMC7528731 DOI: 10.1016/j.rce.2020.09.001] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/17/2020] [Accepted: 09/13/2020] [Indexed: 12/03/2022]
Abstract
Objetivos Este estudio tuvo como objetivo evaluar el desempeño, antes y durante la pandemia de la COVID-19, de la definición de caso de sospecha de influenza en la vigilancia comunitaria en México. Métodos Se llevó a cabo un análisis transversal de un estudio de cohorte y, con el fin de confirmar o descartar la infección por virus influenza, se analizaron los casos que cumplían con los criterios de caso sospechoso (n = 20.511) y con evidencia concluyente de laboratorio (reacción cuantitativa en cadena de la polimerasa en tiempo real). Resultados Se documentaron una alta sensibilidad y una discreta especificidad, que posteriormente disminuyó, así como su precisión diagnóstica, durante el brote de la COVID-19. Sin embargo, no se observaron diferencias en el área bajo la curva de características operativas del receptor entre los períodos analizados. Conclusión La definición de caso evaluada sigue siendo una alternativa rentable para identificar a los pacientes que pueden beneficiarse de los medicamentos antivirales específicos contra la influenza, incluso durante el brote mundial de COVID-19.
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Affiliation(s)
- E Murillo-Zamora
- Departamento de Epidemiología, Unidad de Medicina Familiar No. 19, Instituto Mexicano del Seguro Social, Colima, México
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Delgado-Enciso I, Paz-Garcia J, Barajas-Saucedo CE, Mokay-Ramírez KA, Meza-Robles C, Lopez-Flores R, Delgado-Machuca M, Murillo-Zamora E, Toscano-Velazquez JA, Delgado-Enciso J, Melnikov V, Walle-Guillen M, Galvan-Salazar HR, Delgado-Enciso OG, Cabrera-Licona A, Guzman-Esqu J, Montes-Galindo DA, Hernandez-Rangel AE, Montes-Diaz P, Rodriguez-Sanchez IP, Martinez-Fierro ML, Garza-Veloz I, Tiburcio-Jimenez D, Zaizar-Fregoso SA, Ramirez-Flores M, Gaytan-Sandoval G, Martinez-Perez CR, Espinoza-Gómez F, Rojas-Larios F, Hirsch-Meillon MJ, Barrios-Navarro E, Oviedo-Rodriguez V, Rodriguez LMB, Paz-Michel BA. Patient-Reported Health Outcomes After Treatment of COVID-19 with Nebulized and/or Intravenous Neutral Electrolyzed Saline Combined with Usual Medical Care Versus Usual Medical care alone: A Randomized, Open-Label, Controlled Trial. Res Sq 2020. [PMID: 32935090 PMCID: PMC7491578 DOI: 10.21203/rs.3.rs-68403/v1] [Citation(s) in RCA: 5] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Abstract] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 12/31/2022]
Abstract
Background: Coronavirus disease (COVID-19) is currently the main public health problem worldwide. The administration of neutral electrolyzed saline, a solution that contains reactive species of chlorine and oxygen (ROS), may be an effective therapeutic alternative due to its immunomodulating characteristics, in systemic inflammation control, as well as in immune response improvement, promoting control of the viral infection. The present study evaluated the efficacy of treatment with intravenous and/or nebulized neutral electrolyzed saline combined with usual medical care versus usual medical care alone, in ambulatory patients with COVID-19. Methods: A prospective, 2-arm, parallel group, randomized, open-label, phase I-II clinical trial included 39 patients in the control group (usual medical care alone) and 45 patients in the experimental group (usual medical care + intravenous and/or nebulized electrolyzed saline, with dose escalation). Two aspects were evaluated during the twenty-day follow-up: i) the number of patients with disease progression (hospitalization or death); and ii) the Patient Acceptable Symptom State (PASS), a single-question outcome that determines patient well-being thresholds for pain and function. Biochemical and hematologic parameters, as well as adverse effects, were evaluated in the experimental group. Results: The experimental treatment decreased the risk for hospitalization by 92% (adjusted RR=0.08, 95% CI: 0.01–0.50, P=0.007), with a 43-fold increase in the probability of achieving an acceptable symptom state on day 5 (adjusted RR= 42.96, 95% CI: 9.22–200.0, P<0.001). Intravenous + nebulized administration was better than nebulized administration alone, but nebulized administration was better than usual medical care alone. Clinical improvement correlated with a decrease in C-reactive protein, and aberrant monocytes and an increase of lymphocytes, and platelets. Cortisol and testosterone levels were also evaluated, observing a decrease in cortisol levels and an increment of testosterone-cortisol ratio, on days 2 and 4. Conclusions: The experimental treatment produced no serious adverse effects. In conclusion, intravenous and/or nebulized neutral electrolyzed saline importantly reduced the symptomatology and risk of progression (hospitalization and death), in ambulatory patients with COVID-19. Trial registration: Cuban Public Registry of Clinical Trials (RPCEC) Database RPCEC00000309. Registered: 05. May 2020. https://rpcec.sld.cu/en/trials/RPCEC00000309-En
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Higareda-Almaraz MA, Loza-Barajas H, Maldonado-González JG, Higareda-Almaraz E, Benites-Godínez V, Murillo-Zamora E. Usefulness of direct fluorescent in buffy coat in the diagnosis of Candida sepsis in neonates. J Perinatol 2016; 36:912. [PMID: 27686627 DOI: 10.1038/jp.2016.129] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/09/2022]
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