Core competencies in critical care for general medical practitioners in South Africa: A Delphi study

Background

Despite a high burden of disease that requires critical care services, there are a limited number of intensivists in South Africa (SA). Medical practitioners at district and regional public sector hospitals frequently manage critically ill patients in the absence of intensivists, despite these medical practitioners having had minimal exposure to critical care during their undergraduate training.

Objectives

To identify core competencies in critical care for medical practitioners who provide critical care services at public sector hospitals in SA where intensivists are not available to direct patient management.

Methods

A preliminary list of core competencies in critical care was compiled. Thereafter, 13 national and international experts were requested to achieve consensus on a final list of core competencies that are required for critical care by medical practitioners, using a modified Delphi process.

Results

A final list of 153 core competencies in critical care was identified.

Conclusion

The core competencies identified by this study could assist in developing training programmes for medical practitioners to improve the quality of critical care services provided at district and regional hospitals in SA.

Contribution of the study

The study provides consensus on a list of core competencies in critical care that non-intensivist medical practitioners managing critically ill patients in healthcare settings in South Africa, especially where intensivists are not readily available, should have. The list can form the core content of training programmes aimed at improving critical care competence of general medical practitioners, and in this way hopefully improve the overall outcomes of critically ill patients in South Africa.

Prevalence of glucocorticoid-induced osteoporosis among rheumatology patients in Africa: a systematic review and meta-analysis

The prevalence of glucocorticosteroid-induced osteoporosis (GIOP) is well established in higher income countries. There are limited studies showing a wide prevalence of GIOP in Africa. Prospective studies are needed on GIOP in African rheumatology patients to implement appropriate management algorithms.

PURPOSE

The prevalence of glucocorticosteroid-induced osteoporosis (GIOP) is well established in developed countries, but little is known about GIOP in African adult patients with inflammatory rheumatic musculoskeletal diseases (RMDs). This study aimed to determine the prevalence of GIOP and osteoporotic fracture risk in African patients with inflammatory RMDs according to radiographic and bone mineral density (BMD) findings.

METHODS

PubMed, Google Scholar, Scopus, and African Index Medicus were searched up to 31 December 2020. Heterogeneity was assessed using I2 statistic across the included studies. A random-effects model was applied to estimate the pooled effect size across studies. All statistical analyses were performed using STATA™ version 14 software. The study was registered with PROSPERO, number CRD42021256252.

RESULTS

In this meta-analysis, a total of 7 studies with 780 participants, stratified by geographical region were included. The pooled prevalence of GIOP based on BMD data was 47.7% (95% CI 32.9-62.8) with 52.2% (95% CI 36.5-67.6) in North African countries and 15.4% (95% 1.9-45.4%) in South Africa with a high heterogeneity (I2 = 93.3%, p = 0.018). There was no data from the rest of African countries. We were unable to complete the meta-analysis of osteoporotic fractures due to the lack of available data.

CONCLUSION

This study revealed that the prevalence of GIOP varies significantly in Africa. There is no information, however, for most of Africa, and further prospective studies are needed to develop context-specific GIOP preventive strategies in patients with RMDs.

The healthcare system costs of hip fracture care in South Africa

Despite rapidly ageing populations, data on healthcare costs associated with hip fracture in Sub-Saharan Africa are limited. We estimated high direct medical costs for managing hip fracture within the public healthcare system in SA. These findings should support policy decisions on budgeting and planning of hip fracture services.

PURPOSE

We estimated direct healthcare costs of hip fracture (HF) management in the South African (SA) public healthcare system.

METHODS

We conducted a micro-costing study to estimate costs per patient treated for HF in five regional public sector hospitals in KwaZulu-Natal (KZN), SA. Two hundred consecutive, consenting patients presenting with a fragility HF were prospectively enrolled. Resources used including staff time, consumables, laboratory investigations, radiographs, operating theatre time, surgical implants, medicines, and inpatient days were collected from presentation to discharge. Counts of resources used were multiplied by unit costs, estimated from the KZN Department of Health hospital fees manual 2019/2020, in local currency (South African Rand, ZAR), and converted to 2020 US$ prices. Generalized linear models estimated total covariate-adjusted costs and cost predictors.

RESULTS

The mean unadjusted cost for HF management was US$6935 (95% CI; US$6401-7620) [ZAR114,179 (95% CI; ZAR105,468-125,335)]. The major cost driver was orthopaedics/surgical ward costs US$5904 (95% CI; 5408-6535), contributing to 85% of total cost. The covariate-adjusted cost for HF management was US$6922 (95% CI; US$6743-7118) [ZAR113,976 (95% CI; ZAR111,031-117,197)]. After covariate adjustment, total costs were higher in patients operated under general anaesthesia [US$7251 (95% CI; US$6506-7901)] compared to surgery under spinal anaesthesia US$6880 (95% CI; US$6685-7092) and no surgery US$7032 (95% CI; US$6454-7651).

CONCLUSION

Healthcare costs following a HF are high relative to the gross domestic product per capita and per capita spending on health in SA. As the population ages, this significant economic burden to the health system will increase.

Clinical profile, risk factors and functional outcomes in women and men presenting with hip fractures in KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa

Rationale Appropriate screening can prevent osteoporotic hip fractures (HF). There is little data on clinical risk factors (CRFs) from Africa.

MAIN RESULT

Subjects with HF had similar CRFs to high income countries and poor functional outcomes post HF.

SIGNIFICANCE

Screening and treatment algorithms to improve outcomes post HF need to be implemented.

PURPOSE

Limited data exist on clinical risk factors (CRFs) for and functional outcomes following hip fractures (HF) in South Africa (SA).

METHODS

In a prospective observational study conducted in two municipalities in KwaZulu-Natal, a structured questionnaire recorded demographic data, CRFs, self-reported chronic medical conditions and functional status. Parametric and non-parametric tests were used to test for differences and the McNemar test for change over time.

RESULTS

The median age of the 287 subjects was 72 years (IQR 64-80 years) with the majority women (67.2%), who were significantly older than men. Two or more comorbidities were present in 76.3%. Hypertension (71.4%) and diabetes (29.6%) were most common. Eleven (3.8%) reported a previous diagnosis of osteoporosis and four (1.4%) prior treatment for osteoporosis. A history of cancer (15.4% v. 1.2%, p < 0.001), previous diagnosis of osteoporosis (17.9% v. 1.6%, p < 0.001) and treatment for osteoporosis (7.7% v. 0.4%, p < 0.001) was significantly more common in private compared to public sector subjects. African subjects had a higher prevalence of HIV infection compared to Indian (12.5% v. 0%, p < 0.001) while Indian subjects were more likely to report two or more comorbidities (p = 0.003) and hypertension (p = 0.005) compared to African subjects. Common CRFs were a previous fracture (32.4%), prior fall (24.7%), weight below 57 kg (23.3%), smoking (19.2%) and alcohol use of more than 3 units per day (17.8%). Less than 5% reported a history of parental HF or glucocorticosteroid use. Functional status was available for 206 subjects. Of the 163 participants who had surgery, 81% were independent prior to the HF, compared to the significantly lower 6.7% and 56.4% at 30 days and 1 year post fracture, respectively. The proportion with some degree of dependency rose significantly from 19% pre-fracture to 43.6%, 1 year post-fracture. Walking up stairs and transfer from bed to chair were the most commonly affected activities.

CONCLUSION

Clinical risk factors for HF are similar to those published internationally and support the use of current risk assessment models in SA. Targeted management and rehabilitation programs are required to improve functional outcomes post-HF.

Incidence and number of fragility fractures of the hip in South Africa: estimated projections from 2020 to 2050

Sub-Saharan Africa is undergoing rapid population ageing and better understanding of the burden of musculoskeletal conditions is needed. We have estimated a large increase in the burden of hip fractures for South Africa over the coming decades. These findings should support preparation of hip fracture services to meet this demand.

INTRODUCTION

A better understanding of the burden of fragility fractures in sub-Saharan Africa is needed to inform healthcare planning. We aimed to use recent hip fracture incidence data from South Africa (SA) to estimate the future burden of hip fracture for the country over the next three decades.

METHODS

Hip fracture incidence data within the Gauteng, KwaZulu-Natal and Western Cape provinces of SA were obtained from patients aged ≥ 40 years with a radiograph-confirmed hip fracture in one of 94 included hospitals. Age-, sex- and ethnicity-specific incidence rates were generated using the 2011 SA census population for the study areas. Incidence rates were standardised to United Nations (UN) population projections, for the years 2020, 2030, 2040 and 2050, and absolute numbers of hip fractures derived.

RESULTS

The 2767 hip fracture patients studied had mean (SD) age 73.7 (12.7) years; 69% were female. Estimated age- and ethnicity-standardised incidence rates (per 100,000 person-years) for the overall SA population in 2020 were 81.2 for females and 43.1 for males. Overall projected incidence rates were discernibly higher by the year 2040 and increased further by the year 2050 (109.0 and 54.1 for females and males, respectively). Estimates of the overall annual number of hip fractures for SA increased from approximately 11,000 in 2020 to approximately 26,400 by 2050.

CONCLUSION

The hip fracture burden for SA is expected to more than double over the next 30 years. Significant investment in fracture prevention services and inpatient fracture care is likely to be needed to meet this demand.

AB1031 PREVALENCE OF GLUCOCORTICOID INDUCED OSTEOPOROSIS IN AFRICAN ADULT PATIENTS WITH CHRONIC RHEUMATIC DISEASES. A SYSTEMATIC REVIEW AND META-ANALYSIS

Background

Glucocorticoid (GC) use is well established in the treatment of rheumatics diseases, particularly rheumatoid arthritis (RA). The use of low dose GC has been endorsed by EULAR recommendations for the management of rheumatic and musculoskeletal diseases even if in the context of SARS-CoV-2, but long-term use is generally discouraged.

Objectives

To estimate the prevalence of glucocorticosteroids induced osteoporosis (GIOP) on bone mineral density (BMD) in African adult patients with inflammatory rheumatic diseases.

Methods

For this systematic review and meta-analysis, PubMed, Google Scholar, Scopus and African index medicus were systematically searched up to December 2020 without language restrictions. We included studies as follows: population-based or hospital-based study, study with sufficient information to estimate the prevalence of GIOP and osteoporotic fractures in African patients with rheumatic disease. Searches were limited to peer-reviewed full text articles. A standardized data extraction form was used to collect information from eligible studies. A random-effects meta-analysis was conducted to obtain the pooled prevalence of GIOP in these studies. The meta-analysis was stratified by geographical region. The study is registered with PROSPERO, number CRD42021256252.

Results

Our search identified 8571 studies, of which 8 studies were included in the systematic review from only four African countries and 7 studies in the meta-analysis. The pooled prevalence of osteoporotic fractures in our study was 47.7% (95% CI 32.9–62.8) with 52.2% (95% CI 36.5-67.6) in North Africa and 15.4% (95% 1.9-45.4%) in South Africa (SA). There was no evidence of publication bias, although heterogeneity was high (p=0.018). There was no data from sub-Saharan Africa apart from the two studies from SA.

Conclusion

The overall prevalence of GIOP in African adult patients with inflammatory rheumatic diseases was high at 47.7% (95% CI 32.9–62.8). Meta-analysis calculation revealed patient geographic origin as possible confounding factors of the proportion outcomes and further studies are required.

References

[1]Landewé RB, Machado PM, Kroon F, et al. EULAR provisional recommendations for the management of rheumatic and musculoskeletal diseases in the context of SARS-CoV-2Annals of the Rheumatic Diseases 2020;79:851-858.

Disclosure of Interests

None declared

Long-stay medical-surgical intensive care unit patients in South Africa: Quality of life and mortality 1 year after discharge

BACKGROUND

Although mortality is the primary measure of critical care outcome, the health-related quality of life (HRQOL) of survivors is often diminished. There is a paucity of South African research on HRQOL in intensive care unit (ICU) survivors.

OBJECTIVES

To evaluate the 1-year post-discharge data of long-stay ICU patients, a group known to consume 20 - 40% of ICU resources.

METHODS

A 1-year prospective observational study was conducted in a multidisciplinary medical-surgical ICU. Adult patients who were mechanically ventilated beyond 6 days were included. Clinical and mortality data were collected. Pre-admission and 6- and 12-month HRQOL were measured with the Short Form-36 questionnaire. Physical and mental component summary scores (PCS and MCS) were calculated. Associations between 12-month mortality and poor HRQOL scores were determined.

RESULTS

Of 119 patients enrolled, 40.3% had sustained trauma, 19.3% were post-surgical and 40.3% had medical conditions; 29.2% were HIV-positive (HIV status was known for 74.8% of the cohort). The hospital and 12-month mortality rates were 42.9% and 57.4% (n=66/115), respectively. Age, longer ICU stay, higher disease severity scores and vasopressor use were associated with 12-month mortality. The survivors' median PCS and MCS at 6 and 12 months were significantly lower compared with pre-admission scores (both p&lt;0.001). At 12 months, 53.1% of survivors demonstrated a poor PCS and 42.9% a poor MCS. Associations with poor 12-month PCS included longer ICU stay, male gender and trauma, while trauma and sepsis were associated with a poor 12-month MCS. Among the 19 trauma survivors, 78.9% had a poor MCS and/or PCS. Of previously employed patients, 54.8% were unemployed at 12 months.

CONCLUSIONS

Patients ventilated beyond 6 days in a multidisciplinary ICU had a high mortality. Poor HRQOL at 12 months post discharge was frequently observed among survivors. Trauma was associated with poor 12-month outcomes. These findings highlight the need to further explore the outcomes of long-stay ICU patients in Africa.

Prevalence of depressive symptoms in patients with rheumatoid arthritis at a regional hospital in KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa

Background

Depression affects 14.8% – 38.8% of patients with rheumatoid arthritis (RA) in developed countries. The prevalence and risk factors for depression in patients with RA in sub-Saharan Africa is not well established.

Aim

To determine the prevalence of depressive symptoms in patients with RA.

Setting

Public sector regional hospital in South Africa.

Methods

A cross-sectional descriptive study was undertaken with 110 adult RA patients. A structured socio-demographic and clinical questionnaire, the modified health assessment questionnaire (mHAQ), the simplified disease activity index (SDAI) for RA, the patient health questionnaire (PHQ-9), and the Household Food Insecurity Access scale (HFIAS) for nutritional status, were used. Correlates of depressive symptomatology in participants with RA were identified using t-tests and regression analyses.

Results

Most of the participants were women (90.9%), 67% had moderate to severe RA disease on the SDAI score, 92.7% reported functional disability (HAQ score of ≥ 1), and 87.2% reported mild to severe depressive symptoms. Unemployment (p < 0.01), severe food insecurity (p < 0.01) and functional disability (p = 0.02), were significantly associated with the depressive symptoms, but not with disease activity (p = 0.8) or inflammatory markers (p = 0.63). Unemployment (adjusted β = −5.07, p < 0.01) and severe food insecurity (adjusted β = −4.47, p < 0.01) were significantly associated with depressive symptoms, based on the adjusted regression model.

Conclusion

As RA effects functional status, with the impact of the resulting unemployment and food insecurity being associated with depression, affected people should be screened for depression and managed using a multidisciplinary approach, especially considering the role of social determinants in RA patients with depression.

Prevalence of depressive symptoms and quality of life among patients with diabetes mellitus with and without HIV infection: A South African study

Background

Diabetes mellitus (DM) and human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) infection are both associated with increased risk of mood disorders and poorer quality of life (QOL). This association has not been explored in patients living with comorbid DM and HIV.

Aim

To describe the prevalence of depressive symptoms and impact on the QOL in patients with DM living with and without HIV attending a public sector hospital in South Africa.

Setting

A medical outpatient clinic at a state regional hospital.

Methods

A cross-sectional questionnaire pilot survey was conducted amongst 101 patients with DM attending a specialist medical outpatient service. The assessment was conducted using a structured socio-demographic and clinical questionnaire, the patient health questionnaire 9 (PHQ-9) for depressive symptoms and the World Health Organization QOL scale. The HIV status was confirmed from the clinical records. The correlates of depressive symptomatology in the participants with DM living with and without HIV were identified using t-tests.

Results

The prevalence of depressive symptoms in the participants with DM was 36%. Moderate to severe depression was associated with female gender (p = 0.03) and low educational level (p = 0.02) but not with HIV comorbidity or clinical characteristics of DM. The QOL was influenced by moderate to severe depressive symptoms (QOL in physical p < 0.218 and environmental p < 0.001 domains), but not HIV status (p = 0.218).

Conclusion

A substantial proportion of people with DM reported depressive symptoms, which is slightly higher than the average reported in other out-patient studies. The association of depression with poor QOL highlights the need for integrated mental health access in medical outpatient services. The lack of association between comorbid HIV status and DM with depression or QOL needs to be further explored.

Decreased severity of disease during the first global omicron variant covid-19 outbreak in a large hospital in tshwane, south africa

INTRODUCTION

The coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) first reported in Wuhan China in December 2019 is a global pandemic that is threatening the health and wellbeing of people worldwide. To date there have been more than 274 million reported cases and 5.3 million deaths. The Omicron variant first documented in the City of Tshwane, Gauteng Province, South Africa on 9 November 2021 led to exponential increases in cases and a sharp rise in hospital admissions. The clinical profile of patients admitted at a large hospital in Tshwane is compared with previous waves.

METHODS

The methods should describe what study design you employed for the study and what your sample size was, as it is this is mainly results. 466 hospital COVID-19 admissions since 14 November 2021 were compared to 3976 prior admissions since 4 May 2020. Ninety-eight patient records at peak bed occupancy during the outbreak were reviewed for primary indication for admission, clinical severity, oxygen supplementation level, vaccination and prior COVID-19 infection. Provincial and city-wide daily cases and reported deaths hospitalizations and excess deaths data were sourced from the NICD, the National Department of Health and the South African Medical Research Council.

RESULTS

Deaths and ICU admissions were 4.5% vs 21.3% (p<0.00001), and 1% vs 4.3% (p<0.00001); length of stay was 4.0 days vs 8.8 days; and mean age was 39 years vs 49 years for the Omicron and previous waves respectively. Admissions peaked and declined rapidly with peak bed occupancy at 51% of highest previous peak. Sixty two (63%) patients in COVID-19 wards had incidental COVID-19 following a positive SARS-CoV-2 PCR test . Only one third (36) had COVID-19 pneumonia, of which 72% had mild to moderate disease. The remaining 38% required high care or ICU admission. Fewer than half (45%) of patients in COVID-19 wards compared to 99.5% in the first wave required oxygen supplementation. City and provincial rates show decoupling of cases, hospitalisations and deaths compared to previous waves, corroborating the clinical findings of milder omicron disease in the hospital.

CONCLUSION

There was decreased severity of disease in the Omicron driven fourth wave in the City of Tshwane, its first global epicentre.

Investigating the need for therapeutic drug monitoring of imipenem in critically ill patients: Are we getting it right?

BACKGROUND

The drug levels and clearances of imipenem in critically ill patients are not comprehensively described in current literature, yet it is vital that adequate levels be achieved for therapeutic success.

OBJECTIVES

To determine the proportion of critically ill patients treated with imipenem/cilastatin with sub-therapeutic imipenem plasma levels, and to compare the clinical outcomes of those patients with therapeutic levels with those who had sub-therapeutic levels.

METHODS

Trough imipenem plasma levels of 68 critically ill patients from a surgical intensive care unit were measured using a validated high-performance liquid chromatography method. Imipenem trough levels were compared with the minimum inhibitory concentration (MIC) of the causative bacterial agents, based on a target value of 100% time above MIC (¦T &gt;MIC).

RESULTS

The proportion of participants with sub-therapeutic imipenem levels was 22% (95% confidence interval (CI) 13% - 34%). The 14- and 28-day mortality rates in the sub-therapeutic group were 33% and 40%, respectively, compared with 19% (p=0.293) and 26% (p=0.346), respectively, in the therapeutic group. Sub-therapeutic imipenem plasma levels are associated with adjusted hazard ratio of 1.47 (95% CI 0.55 - 3.91).

CONCLUSIONS

The lower proportion of critically ill patients with sub-therapeutic imipenem plasma levels in this study compared with previous studies may be attributed to the practice of higher dosages and the administration method of extended infusions of imipenem/cilastatin in our setting. The results demonstrate a trend of higher mortality in patients with sub-therapeutic imipenem levels, although the results were not statistically significant at this sample size.

Predictors of in-hospital mortality among HIV-positive patients presenting with an acute illness to the emergency department

OBJECTIVES

Despite better access to antiretroviral therapy (ART) over recent years, HIV remains a major global cause of mortality. The present study aimed to identify predictors of in-hospital mortality among HIV-positive patients presenting to an emergency department (ED).

METHODS

In this cross-sectional study, HIV-positive patients presenting to the Charlotte Maxeke Johannesburg Academic Hospital adult ED between 07 July 2017 and 18 October 2018 were prospectively enrolled. Data were compared between participants who survived to hospital discharge and those who died. The data were further subjected to univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses to determine variables that were associated with in-hospital mortality.

RESULTS

Of a total of 1224 participants, the in-hospital mortality was 13.6% (n = 166). On multivariate analysis, respiratory rate > 20 breaths/min [odds ratio (OR) = 1.90, P = 0.012], creatinine > 120 μmol/L (OR = 1.97, P = 0.006), oxygen saturation < 90% (OR = 2.09, P = 0.011), white cell count < 4.0 × 10⁹ /L (OR = 2.09, P = 0.008), ART non-adherence or not yet on ART (OR = 2.39, P = 0.012), Glasgow Coma Scale < 15 (OR = 2.53, P = 0.000), albumin < 35 g/L (OR = 2.61, P = 0.002), lactate > 2 mmol/L (OR = 4.83, P = 0.000) and cryptococcal meningitis (OR = 6.78, P = 0.000) were significantly associated with in-hospital mortality.

CONCLUSIONS

Routine clinical and laboratory parameters are useful predictors of in-hospital mortality in HIV-positive patients presenting to the ED with an acute illness. These parameters may be of value in guiding clinical decision-making, directing the appropriate use of resources and influencing patient disposition, and may also be useful in developing an outcome prediction tool.

South African guidelines on the determination of death

Summary

Death is a medical occurrence that has social, legal, religious and cultural consequences requiring common clinical standards for its diagnosis and legal regulation. This document compiled by the Critical Care Society of Southern Africa outlines the core standards for determination of death in the hospital context. It aligns with the latest evidence-based research and international guidelines and is applicable to the South African context and legal system. The aim is to provide clear medical standards for healthcare providers to follow in the determination of death, thereby promoting safe practices and high-quality care through the use of uniform standards. Adherence to such guidelines will provide assurance to medical staff, patients, their families and the South African public that the determination of death is always undertaken with diligence, integrity, respect and compassion, and is in accordance with accepted medical standards and latest scientific evidence. The consensus guidelines were compiled using the AGREE II checklist with an 18-member expert panel participating in a three-round modified Delphi process. Checklists and advice sheets were created to assist with application of these guidelines in the clinical environment (https://criticalcare.org.za/resource/death-determination-checklists/).

Key points

Brain death and circulatory death are the accepted terms for defining death in the hospital context.

Death determination is a clinical diagnosis which can be made with complete certainty provided that all preconditions are met.

The determination of death in children is held to the same standard as in adults but cannot be diagnosed in children <36 weeks’ corrected gestation.

Brain-death testing while on extra-corporeal membrane oxygenation is outlined.

Recommendations are given on handling family requests for accommodation and on consideration of the potential for organ donation.

The use of a checklist combined with a rigorous testing process, comprehensive documentation and adequate counselling of the family are core tenets of death determination. This is a standard of practice to which all clinicians should adhere in end-of-life care.

South African guidelines on the determination of death

Death is a medical occurrence that has social, legal, religious and cultural consequences requiring common clinical standards for its diagnosis and legal regulation. This document compiled by the Critical Care Society of Southern Africa outlines the core standards for determination of death in the hospital context. It aligns with the latest evidence-based research and international guidelines and is applicable to the South African context and legal system. The aim is to provide clear medical standards for healthcare providers to follow in the determination of death, thereby promoting safe practices and high-quality care through the use of uniform standards. Adherence to such guidelines will provide assurance to medical staff, patients, their families and the South African public that the determination of death is always undertaken with diligence, integrity, respect and compassion, and is in accordance with accepted medical standards and latest scientific evidence. The consensus guidelines were compiled using the AGREE II checklist with an 18-member expert panel participating in a three-round modified Delphi process. Checklists and advice sheets were created to assist with application of these guidelines in the clinical environment (https://criticalcare.org.za/resource/death-determination-checklists/). Key points • Brain death and circulatory death are the accepted terms for defining death in the hospital context. • Death determination is a clinical diagnosis which can be made with complete certainty provided that all preconditions are met. • The determination of death in children is held to the same standard as in adults but cannot be diagnosed in children <36 weeks' corrected gestation. • Brain-death testing while on extra-corporeal membrane oxygenation is outlined. • Recommendations are given on handling family requests for accommodation and on consideration of the potential for organ donation. • The use of a checklist combined with a rigorous testing process, comprehensive documentation and adequate counselling of the family are core tenets of death determination. This is a standard of practice to which all clinicians should adhere in end-of-life care.

FRAX-based fracture probabilities in South Africa

The hip fracture rates in South Africa were used to create ethnic-specific FRAX® models to facilitate fracture risk assessment.

INTRODUCTION

The aim of this study was to develop FRAX models to compute the 10-year probability of hip fracture and major osteoporotic fracture and assess their potential clinical application.

METHODS

Age- and sex-specific incidence of hip fracture and national mortality rates were incorporated into a FRAX model for the White, Black African, Coloured and Indian population of South Africa. Age-specific 10-year probabilities of a major osteoporotic fracture were calculated in women to determine fracture probabilities at a femoral neck T score of -2.5 SD, or those equivalent to a woman with a prior fragility fracture. Fracture probabilities were compared with those from selected countries.

RESULTS

Probabilities were consistently higher in Indian than in Coloured men and women, in turn, higher than in Black South Africans. For White South Africans, probabilities were lower than in Indians at young ages up to the age of about 80 years. When a BMD T score of -2.5 SD was used as an intervention threshold, FRAX probabilities in women age 50 years were approximately 2-fold higher than in women of the same age but with an average BMD and no risk factors. The increment in risk associated with the BMD threshold decreased progressively with age such that, at the age of 80 years or more, a T score of -2.5 SD was no longer a risk factor. Probabilities equivalent to women with a previous fracture rose with age and identified women at increased risk at all ages.

CONCLUSIONS

These FRAX models should enhance accuracy of determining fracture probability amongst the South African population and help guide decisions about treatment.

Osteoporosis in Africa-where are we now

Africa is experiencing an exponential increase in the number of older persons. The number of persons surviving with human immunodeficiency virus is simultaneously increasing due to improved availability of anti-retroviral therapy. The burden of non-communicable diseases, in particular, osteoporosis and its consequent fragility fractures, is also predicted to increase. Osteoporosis, however, remains a neglected disease and there are no age-standardized reference data available to accurately screen and diagnose individuals with osteoporosis. Epidemiological studies reporting the incidence of hip fracture or vertebral fractures are limited from Africa, especially Sub-Saharan Africa. The studies are usually limited as they are based on a retrospective data and small study numbers and often from a single study site. However, compared with early initial studies, the more recent studies show that osteoporosis and fractures are increasing across the continent. The overall incidence rates for osteoporosis and fractures still vary greatly between different regions in Africa and ethnic groups. Predisposing factors are similar with those in developed countries, but awareness of osteoporosis is sorely lacking. There is a lack of awareness among the population as well as health authorities, making it extremely difficult to quantify the burden of disease. There is great potential for research into the need and availability of preventive strategies. The FRAX® tool needs to be developed for African populations and may circumvent the shortage of bone densitometry.

Critical Care Society of Southern Africa adult patient blood management guidelines: 2019 Round-table meeting, CCSSA Congress, Durban, 2018

The CCSSA PBM Guidelines have been developed to improve patient blood management in critically ill patients in southern Africa. These consensus recommendations are based on a rigorous process by experts in the field of critical care who are also practicing in South Africa (SA). The process comprised a Delphi process, a round-table meeting (at the CCSSA National Congress, Durban, 2018), and a review of the best available evidence and international guidelines. The guidelines focus on the broader principles of patient blood management and incorporate transfusion medicine (transfusion guidelines), management of anaemia, optimisation of coagulopathy, and administrative and ethical considerations. There are a mix of low-middle and high-income healthcare structures within southern Africa. Blood products are, however, provided by the same not-for-profit non-governmental organisations to both private and public sectors. There are several challenges related to patient blood management in SA due most notably to a high incidence of anaemia, a frequent shortage of blood products, a small donor population, and a healthcare system under financial strain. The rational and equitable use of blood products is important to ensure best care for as many critically ill patients as possible. The summary of the recommendations provides key practice points for the day-to-day management of critically ill patients. A more detailed description of the evidence used to make these recommendations follows in the full clinical guidelines section.

The Critical Care Society of Southern Africa guidelines on the allocation of scarce critical care resources during the COVID-19 public health emergency in South Africa

Letter by Gopalan et al. on article by Singh and Moodley (Singh JA, Moodley K. Critical care triaging in the shadow of COVID-19: Ethics considerations. S Afr Med J 2020;110(5):355-359. https://doi.org/10.7196/SAMJ.2020.v110i5.14778); and response by Singh and Moodley.

Hip fractures in South Africa: mortality outcomes over 12 months post-fracture

With increased urbanisation and longevity in sub-Saharan Africa, the burden of osteoporosis and resultant hip fractures (HF) has increased. This study shows that 1 in 3 subjects dies post-HF, and that there are significant delays and barriers to surgery, reflecting the need to prioritise HF care in South Africa.

PURPOSE

The outcomes following hip fractures are unknown in sub-Saharan Africa. This study aimed to quantify the mortality rate (MR) following hip fractures and to identify predictors of mortality over 1 year.

METHODS

In this cohort study, demographic, clinical, and biochemical characteristics of consecutive patients with low trauma hip fractures, admitted to the five public sector hospitals in eThekwini (formerly Durban), were recorded. Cox regression analyses identified predictors of mortality at 30 days and 1 year.

RESULTS

In the 200 hip fracture patients studied, the mean age was 74.3 years (SD ± 8.8) and 72% were female. Hospital presentation was often delayed, only 15.5% presented on the day of fracture. At admission, 69.5% were anaemic, 42% had hyponatraemia, 34.5% raised creatinine, and 58.5% hypoalbuminaemia. All received skin traction before 173 (86.5%) underwent surgical fixation. Median time from admission to surgery was 19.0 days (IQR 12.3-25.0). Median hospital stay was 9.0 days (IQR 12.3-25.0). Mortality rates were 13% and 33.5% at 30 and 365 days, respectively. Over 1 year, African patients were more likely to die than Indian patients (40.9 versus 30%, HR 11.5 [95% CI 1.51, 2.57]; p = 0.012); delays to surgery predicted death (HR 1.02 [95% CI (1.00, 1.04)]; p = 0.022). In multivariate analyses, death at 1 year was most strongly predicted by an elevated serum creatinine (HR 2.43, 95% CI (1.02, 5.76), p = 0.044].

CONCLUSION

Hip fractures are associated with high MRs, in part explained by insufficient surgical capacity, highlighting the need for national efforts to improve hip fracture service provision.

Ethnic and gender-specific incidence rates for hip fractures in South Africa: A multi-centre study

BACKGROUND

Limited data exist on the incidence of hip fractures in South Africa (SA). We report gender and ethnic specific incidence rates of hip fractures in SA.

METHODS

In a multicentre prospective study, conducted in geographically defined municipalities of three provinces in SA, a structured questionnaire was administered to all subjects aged 40 years and over, presenting with a new atraumatic hip fracture, from 1 April 2017 to 31 March 2018. Gender and ethnic specific incidence rates (IR) of hip fractures were calculated using population statistics from Statistics SA.

FINDINGS

Of the 2767 subjects enrolled, 1914 (69·2%) were women and 853 (30·8%) were men. The majority of subjects were from the White population (40·9%) followed by those from the African (26·4%), Coloured (18·7%) and Indian (13·9%) populations. Men with hip fractures were significantly younger than women in the total group (69 [IQR 59-79] versus 77 years [IQR 68-84], p < 0·001) and in each ethnic group. White subjects were significantly older (p < 0·0001) and Africans significantly younger (p < 0·0001) than the other ethnic groups. In women, the highest IR was noted in the White population (176·0 per 100,000), followed by that in the Indian (147·7 per 100,000), Coloured (73·2 per 100,000) and African populations (43·6 per 100,000). A similar pattern was seen in men albeit at lower rates, with the highest rate in White men at 76·5 per 100,000. In the total study population and the African population, the IR was higher in men compared to women in subjects under 60 years. In the White population, the IR was higher in men compared to women in the 40-44 years age group. While in the Coloured and Indian populations the IR was higher in men compared to women in the 40-49 years and 45-54 years age groups, respectively. There was an increase in the relative risk ratios with age in the total study population, and in all ethnic groups in both women and men.

INTERPRETATION

Hip fractures occur in all ethnic groups in South Africa with higher IRs in the White and Indian populations compared to the Coloured and African populations. Consistent with the published literature, the overall hip fracture IR was higher in women than in men, except in the younger age groups, and increased with age.

FUNDING

South African Medical Research Council and the University of KwaZulu-Natal Competitive Research Grant.

The Critical Care Society of Southern Africa Consensus Guideline on ICU Triage and Rationing (ConICTri)

Background

In South Africa (SA), administrators and intensive care practitioners are faced with the challenge of resource scarcity as well as an increasing demand for intensive care unit (ICU) services. ICU services are expensive, and practitioners in low- to middle-income countries experience the consequences of limited resources daily. Critically limited resources necessitate that rationing and triage (prioritisation) decisions are routinely necessary in SA, particularly in the publicly funded health sector.

Purpose

The purpose of this guideline is to utilise the relevant recommendations of the associated consensus meeting document and other internationally accepted principles to develop a guideline to inform frontline triage policy and ensure the best utilisation of adult intensive care in SA, while maintaining the fair distribution of available resources.

Recommendations

An overall conceptual framework for the triage process was developed. The components of the framework were developed on the basis that patients should be admitted preferentially when the likely incremental medical benefit derived from ICU admission justifies admission. An estimate of likely resource use should also form part of the triage decision, with those patients requiring relatively less resources to achieve substantial benefit receiving priority for admission. Thus, the triage system should maximise the benefits obtained from ICU resources available for the community. Where possible, practical examples of what the consensus group agreed would be considered appropriate practice under specified South African circumstances were provided, to assist clinicians with practical decision-making. It must be stressed that this guideline is not intended to be prescriptive for individual hospital or regional practice, and hospitals and regions are encouraged to develop specified local guidelines with locally relevant examples. The guideline should be reviewed and revised if appropriate within 5 years.

Conclusion

In recognition of the absolute need to limit patient access to ICU because of the lack of sufficient intensive care resources in public hospitals, this guideline has been developed to guide policy-making and assist frontline triage decision-making in SA. This document is not a complete plan for quality practice, but rather a template to support frontline clinicians, guide administrators and inform the public regarding appropriate triage decision-making.

The Critical Care Society of Southern Africa Consensus Statement on ICU Triage and Rationing (ConICTri)

Background

In South Africa (SA), intensive care is faced with the challenge of resource scarcity as well as an increasing demand for intensive care unit (ICU) services. ICU services are expensive, and practitioners in low- to middle-income countries experience daily the consequences of limited resources. Critically limited resources necessitate that rationing and triage (prioritisation) decisions are frequently necessary in SA, particularly in the publicly funded health sector.

Purpose

The purpose of this consensus statement is to examine key questions that arise when considering the status of ICU resources in SA, and more specifically ICU admission, rationing and triage decisions. The accompanying guideline in this issue is intended to guide frontline triage policy and ensure the best utilisation of intensive care in SA, while maintaining a fair distribution of available resources. Fair and efficient triage is important to ensure the ongoing provision of high-quality care to adult patients referred for intensive care.

Recommendations

In response to 14 key questions developed using a modified Delphi technique, 29 recommendations were formulated and graded using an adapted GRADE score. The 14 key questions addressed the status of the provision of ICU services in SA, the degree of resource restriction, the efficiency of resource management, the need for triage, and how triage could be most justly implemented. Important recommendations included the need to formally recognise and accurately quantify the provision of ICU services in SA by national audit; actively seek additional resources from governmental bodies; consider methods to maximise the efficiency of ICU care; evaluate lower level of care alternatives; develop a triage guideline to assist policy-makers and frontline practitioners to implement triage decisions in an efficient and fair way; measure and audit the consequence of triage; and promote research to improve the accuracy and consistency of triage decisions. The consensus document and guideline should be reviewed and revised appropriately within 5 years.

Conclusion

In recognition of the absolute need to limit patient access to ICU because of the lack of sufficient intensive care resources in public hospitals, recommendations and a guideline have been developed to guide policy-making and assist frontline triage decision-making in SA. These documents are not a complete plan for quality practice but rather the beginning of a long-term initiative to engage clinicians, the public and administrators in appropriate triage decision-making, and promote systems that will ultimately maximise the efficient and fair use of available ICU resources.

Osteoporotic hip fractures in Black South Africans: a regional study

Osteoporotic hip fractures are thought to be rare in Blacks however, this study from South Africa shows a significant increase in the number of hip fracture in Blacks. With the expected increase in older people, osteoporotic fractures will pose a major health problem and screening guidelines needed to be implemented.

INTRODUCTION

Developing countries are predicted to bear the burden of osteoporosis in the coming decades. This study was undertaken to review earlier reports that osteoporotic hip fractures are rare in Black Africans.

METHODS

In an observational study, the incidence rates and relative risk ratios (RRR) of osteoporotic hip fractures were calculated in the Black population, aged 60 years and older, residing in the eThekwini region of South Africa. All Black subjects, presenting with a minimal trauma hip fracture to five public hospitals in the region, entered the study. Descriptive statistics were applied to show differences in age and sex.

RESULTS

Eighty-seven subjects were enrolled in the study with a mean age of 76.5 ± 10.5 years and the sex ratio of women to men was 2.5:1. Although men were younger than women, this was not significant (74.2 ± 12.3 vs. 77.4 ± 9.6 years, p = 0.189). The age-adjusted rate was 69.2 per 100,000 p.a. for women and 73.1 per 100,000 p.a. for men. There was a significant increase in the relative risk ratios for hip fractures after the age of 75 years in the total cohort and in women and men. Except for the 65-69-year age group, there was no significant difference in the age-adjusted RRR between women and men.

CONCLUSION

This study represents the largest number of hip fractures recorded in Black Africans. Although the incidence rate is approximately tenfold higher than previously recorded, it remains amongst the lowest globally. A national registry inclusive of private and public sector is required to establish the true incidence rate of hip fractures in Black Africans.

Screening for proteinuria in hypertensive disorders of pregnancy

One hundred and fifty patients were recruited to assess the reliability of a random urinary dipstick for protein compared with 24 hour urine analysis and to determine if a shorter interval of collection is reliable in screening for proteinuria in hypertensive disorders of pregnancy. These patients were instructed in the collection technique of a 24 hour urine sample. Aliquots were taken to represent 6 and 12 hour collections. The mean gestational age was 30 weeks and the mean diastolic blood pressure 95 mmHg. Of the patients, 84 had proteinuria and 66 had no proteinuria on random urinary dipstick analysis. The random urinary dipstick showed a sensitivity of 84%, and a specificity of 61%. The urinary dipstick of the hour 6 sample showed a sensitivity of 84.5%, and a specificity of 90.1%. Urine analysis of the 6 hour sample showed a sensitivity of 87.9% and a specificity of 80.4%. Analysis of the 12 hour sample yielded an accuracy of approximately 83%. The random urinary dipstick is unreliable in screening for proteinuria in hypertensive disorders of pregnancy. A 6 hour collection is much more accurate.

Severe obstetric morbidity

Obstetric morbidity is an important marker of the quality of obstetric care. This review explores the definition, incidence and significance of obstetric morbidity. Some topical issues related to obstetric morbidity are discussed. In addition, the importance of long-term morbidity and violence against women is highlighted.

Untoward effects of rapid-acting antihypertensive agents

Cerebral haemorrhage remains a major cause of hypertensive cerebral mortality. Lowering of raised blood pressure is therefore crucial in the clinical management of hypertensive disorders of pregnancy. This article reviews rapid-acting agents employed in life-threatening situations.

Maternal and neonatal outcome in early- and late-onset pre-eclampsia

Early-onset pre-eclampsia and late-onset pre-eclampsia, by virtue of their unpredictable nature and prediliction for multi-organ involvement, are associated with substantial maternal and fetal morbidity and mortality. Recent years have seen the introduction of the concepts of care in specialized units, expectant management of pre-eclampsia, conservative management of the HELLP syndrome (haemolysis, elevated liver enzymes, low platelets), usage of magnesium sulphate and improved feto-maternal surveillance. It is important to note that these factors also influence maternal and neonatal outcome.

Intensive care unit morbidity and mortality from eclampsia: an evaluation of the Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation II score and the Glasgow Coma Scale score

OBJECTIVE

To determine the maternal morbidity and mortality in patients with eclampsia admitted to an intensive care unit (ICU), and to establish the efficacy of the Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation (APACHE) II score, the organ system failure score as defined by Knaus, and the Glasgow Coma Scale (GCS) score in predicting outcome.

DESIGN

Retrospective analysis of a 3.5-yr period.

SETTING

Surgical ICU in a university hospital.

PATIENTS

A total of 105 patients who were admitted with a diagnosis of eclampsia were studied.

INTERVENTIONS

None.

MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS

The data captured included the reason for admission, maternal age, gestational age, parity, number of seizures, duration of ICU stay, anticonvulsant therapy, drug therapy, GCS score, APACHE II score, and the occurrence of organ failure. Of the 126 patients with eclampsia who were admitted to the ICU, records of 105 patients (83%) were found. The overall mortality was 10.5% (n = 11). The mean age, gestation, parity, number of preadmission seizures, and duration of stay were similar in survivors and nonsurvivors. Although the APACHE II score was significantly higher in nonsurvivors, multiple logistic regression analysis suggested that the goodness-of-fit scores for GCS and APACHE II were similar (38.29 vs. 38.01). The GCS scores of survivors were significantly higher than those of nonsurvivors (10.61 vs. 5.0; p<.001). Respiratory failure was the most common organ failure in both groups. The mean number of organ failures was higher in nonsurvivors compared with survivors (2.9 vs. 1.3; p<.001). An occurrence of more than two organ failures that persisted for >48 hrs was invariably associated with a fatal outcome. Anticonvulsant therapy consisted of magnesium sulfate or phenytoin and a midazolam infusion. Only one patient (0.9%) had a seizure, and this occurred en route to the ICU. No seizures occurred after admission to the ICU.

CONCLUSIONS

The organ system failure score and the GCS score are good predictors of outcome in eclampsia. Apart from the GCS score, other variables in the APACHE II score are not valuable for outcome prediction. The low GCS score in nonsurvivors suggests that closer attention to the neurologic management may be beneficial. A prospective study is indicated to validate these findings.

Major threats to childbirth in developing countries

Biological, psychological or social elements may constitute a threat to childbirth. In developing countries, major threats to childbirth mainly caused by restricted health service budgets may be overcome by the introduction of appropriate screening tests, implementation of evidence-based medicine protocols, and a primary health-care approach to maternity services.

Ipratropium bromide delivered by metered-dose aerosol to infant wheezers

Two methods of administration of ipratropium bromide (Atrovent; Boehringer Ingelheim) to wheezing children less than 25 months of age were compared: (i) the conventional nebulisation (15 children); and (ii) a metered-dose aerosol plus spacer and mask (MDA group, 17 children). The drug induced a significant and similar fall in respiratory rate in both groups. Transcutaneous carbon dioxide pressure was also reduced significantly but was more marked in the MDA group. This increase in alveolar ventilation was similar in those less than 12 months as in older children; in those with recurrent or with first time wheezing; and in those with radiological evidence of pneumonia. Clinical assessment of bronchospasm and recession was recorded as improved in over 80% of both groups. The MDA delivery of ipratropium bromide was as effective as nebulisation and was more convenient, since it required less time and equipment. It was also well accepted by the small patients.