The effect of physical barriers under a raised house on mosquito entry: an experimental study in rural Gambia

BACKGROUND

Anopheles gambiae, the major malaria mosquito in sub-Saharan Africa, feed largely indoors at night. Raising a house off the ground with no barriers underneath reduces mosquito-house entry. This experiment tested whether walling off the space under an elevated hut affects mosquito-hut entry.

METHODS

Four inhabited experimental huts, each of which could be moved up and down, were used in rural Gambia. Nightly collections of mosquitoes were made using light traps and temperature and carbon dioxide levels monitored indoors and outdoors using loggers. Each night, a reference hut was kept at ground level and three huts raised 2 m above the ground; with the space under the hut left open, walled with air-permeable walls or solid walls. Treatments were rotated every four nights using a randomized block design. The experiment was conducted for 32 nights. Primary measurements were mosquito numbers and indoor temperature in each hut.

RESULTS

A total of 1,259 female Anopheles gambiae sensu lato were collected in the hut at ground level, 655 in the hut with an open ground floor, 981 in the hut with air-permeable walls underneath and 873 in the hut with solid walls underneath. Multivariate analysis, adjusting for confounders, showed that a raised hut open underneath had 53% fewer mosquitoes (95% CI 47-58%), those with air-permeable walls underneath 24% fewer (95% CI 9-36%) and huts with solid walls underneath 31% fewer (95% CI 24-37%) compared with a hut on the ground. Similar results were found for Mansonia spp. and total number of female mosquitoes, but not for Culex mosquitoes where hut entry was unaffected by height or barriers. Indoor temperature and carbon dioxide levels were similar in all huts.

CONCLUSION

Raising a house 2 m from the ground reduces the entry of An. gambiae and Mansonia mosquitoes, but not Culex species. The protective effect of height is reduced if the space underneath the hut is walled off.

Understanding and maximising the community impact of seasonal malaria chemoprevention in Burkina Faso (INDIE-SMC): study protocol for a cluster randomised evaluation trial

INTRODUCTION

Seasonal malaria chemoprevention (SMC) involves repeated administrations of sulfadoxine-pyrimethamine plus amodiaquine to children below the age of 5 years during the peak transmission season in areas of seasonal malaria transmission. While highly impactful in reducing Plasmodium falciparum malaria burden in controlled research settings, the impact of SMC on infection prevalence is moderate in real-life settings. It remains unclear what drives this efficacy decay. Recently, the WHO widened the scope for SMC to target all vulnerable populations. The Ministry of Health (MoH) in Burkina Faso is considering extending SMC to children below 10 years old. We aim to assess the impact of SMC on clinical incidence and parasite prevalence and quantify the human infectious reservoir for malaria in this population.

METHODS AND ANALYSIS

We will perform a cluster randomised trial in Saponé Health District, Burkina Faso, with three study arms comprising 62 clusters of three compounds: arm 1 (control): SMC in under 5-year-old children, implemented by the MoH without directly observed treatment (DOT) for the full course of SMC; arm 2 (intervention): SMC in under 5-year-old children, with DOT for the full course of SMC; arm 3 (intervention): SMC in under 10-year-old children, with DOT for the full course of SMC. The primary endpoint is parasite prevalence at the end of the malaria transmission season. Secondary endpoints include the impact of SMC on clinical incidence. Factors affecting SMC uptake, treatment adherence, drug concentrations, parasite resistance markers and transmission of parasites will be determined.

ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION

The London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine's Ethics Committee (29193) and the Burkina Faso National Medical Ethics Committee (Deliberation No 2023-05-104) approved this study. The findings will be presented to the community; disease occurrence data and study outcomes will also be shared with the Burkina Faso MoH. Findings will be published irrespective of their results.

TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER

NCT05878366.

Time of exposure and assessment influence the mortality induced by insecticides against metabolic resistant mosquitoes

BACKGROUND

Increasing metabolic resistance in malaria vector mosquitoes resulted in the development of insecticide-treated nets (ITNs) with active ingredients (AI) that target them. Bioassays that accurately measure the mortality induced by these AIs on ITNs are needed. Mosquito metabolic enzyme expression follows a circadian rhythm. Thus, this study assessed (i) influence of the time of day of mosquito exposure and (ii) timing of assessment of mortality post exposure (24 and 72 h) to ITNs against vectors that are susceptible to pyrethroids and those with metabolic and knockdown resistance mechanisms.

METHODS

Two cone bioassay experiments were conducted following World Health Organization (WHO) guidelines. Firstly, on ITNs incorporated with 2 g AI/kg of deltamethrin (DM) alone, or combined with 8 g AI/kg piperonyl butoxide (PBO) synergist, during the day (9:00-14:00 h) and repeated in the evening (18:00-20:00 h). This was followed by a confirmatory experiment during the afternoon (12:00-14:00 h) and repeated in the night (22:00-24:00 h) using mosquitoes unexposed or pre-exposed to PBO for 1 h before exposure to DM ITNs. Each net piece was tested with a minimum of eight cones per time (N = 24). The outcome was mortality after 24 h (M24) or 72 h (M72) of holding.

RESULTS

The cone bioassays performed using metabolic resistant mosquitoes during the evening showed significantly lower M24 than those performed in the day for DM: odds ratio (OR) 0.14 [95% confidence interval (CI) 0.06-0.30, p < 0.0001] and DM PBO [OR 0.29 (95% CI 0.18-0.49, p < 0.0001). M72 was higher than M24 for metabolic resistant mosquitoes exposed to DM [OR 1.44 (95% CI 1.09-1.88), p = 0.009] and DM PBO [OR 1.82 (95% CI 1.42-2.34), p < 0.0001]. An influence of hour of experiment and time of assessment was not observed for mosquitoes that had knockdown resistance or that were pyrethroid-susceptible.

CONCLUSIONS

Time of day of experiment and hour of assessment of delayed mortality after exposure of mosquitoes are important considerations in evaluating insecticides that interact with mosquito metabolism to counter metabolic resistant mosquitoes. This is important when evaluating field-aged ITNs that may have lower concentrations of AI.

Risk factors for non-participation in ivermectin and dihydroartemisinin-piperaquine mass drug administration for malaria control in the MASSIV trial

BACKGROUND

Mass Drug Administration (MDA) has become a mainstay for the control of several diseases over the last two decades. Successful implementation of MDA programmes requires community participation and can be threatened by systematic non-participation. Such concerns are particularly pertinent for MDA programmes against malaria, as they require multi-day treatment over several consecutive months. Factors associated with non-participation to the MDA campaign with ivermectin (IVM) and dihydroartemisinin-piperaquine (DHP) implemented within the MASSIV cluster randomized trial were determined.

METHODS

Coverage data was extracted from the MASSIV trial study database, with every datapoint being a directly observed therapy (DOT). A complete month of MDA was classified as receiving all three daily doses of treatment. For both ivermectin and DHP, ordinal logistic regression was used to identify individual and household level variables associated with non-participation.

RESULTS

For ivermectin, 51.5% of eligible participants received all 3 months of treatment while 30.7% received either one or two complete months. For DHP, 56.7% of eligible participants received all 3 months of treatment and 30.5% received either one or two complete months. Children aged 5-15 years and adults aged more than 50 years were more likely to receive at least one complete month of MDA than working age adults, both for ivermectin (aOR 4.3, 95% CI 3.51-5.28 and aOR of 2.26, 95% CI 1.75-2.95) and DHP (aOR 2.47, 95%CI 2.02-3.02 and aOR 1.33, 95%CI 1.01-1.35), respectively. Members of households where the head received a complete month of MDA were more likely to themselves have received a complete month of MDA, both for ivermectin (aOR 1.71, 95%CI 1.35-2.14) and for DHP (aOR 1.64, 95%CI 1.33-2.04).

CONCLUSION

Personal and household-level variables were associated with participation in the MDA programme for malaria control. Specific strategies to (increase participation amongst some groups may be important to ensure maximum impact of MDA strategies in achieving malaria elimination.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

The MASSIV trial is registered under NCT03576313.

Safety and efficacy of malaria vaccine candidate R21/Matrix-M in African children: a multicentre, double-blind, randomised, phase 3 trial

BACKGROUND

Recently, we found that a new malaria vaccine, R21/Matrix-M, had over 75% efficacy against clinical malaria with seasonal administration in a phase 2b trial in Burkina Faso. Here, we report on safety and efficacy of the vaccine in a phase 3 trial enrolling over 4800 children across four countries followed for up to 18 months at seasonal sites and 12 months at standard sites.

METHODS

We did a double-blind, randomised, phase 3 trial of the R21/Matrix-M malaria vaccine across five sites in four African countries with differing malaria transmission intensities and seasonality. Children (aged 5-36 months) were enrolled and randomly assigned (2:1) to receive 5 μg R21 plus 50 μg Matrix-M or a control vaccine (licensed rabies vaccine [Abhayrab]). Participants, their families, investigators, laboratory teams, and the local study team were masked to treatment. Vaccines were administered as three doses, 4 weeks apart, with a booster administered 12 months after the third dose. Half of the children were recruited at two sites with seasonal malaria transmission and the remainder at standard sites with perennial malaria transmission using age-based immunisation. The primary objective was protective efficacy of R21/Matrix-M from 14 days after third vaccination to 12 months after completion of the primary series at seasonal and standard sites separately as co-primary endpoints. Vaccine efficacy against multiple malaria episodes and severe malaria, as well as safety and immunogenicity, were also assessed. This trial is registered on ClinicalTrials.gov, NCT04704830, and is ongoing.

FINDINGS

From April 26, 2021, to Jan 12, 2022, 5477 children consented to be screened, of whom 1705 were randomly assigned to control vaccine and 3434 to R21/Matrix-M; 4878 participants received the first dose of vaccine. 3103 participants in the R21/Matrix-M group and 1541 participants in the control group were included in the modified per-protocol analysis (2412 [51·9%] male and 2232 [48·1%] female). R21/Matrix-M vaccine was well tolerated, with injection site pain (301 [18·6%] of 1615 participants) and fever (754 [46·7%] of 1615 participants) as the most frequent adverse events. Number of adverse events of special interest and serious adverse events did not significantly differ between the vaccine groups. There were no treatment-related deaths. 12-month vaccine efficacy was 75% (95% CI 71-79; p<0·0001) at the seasonal sites and 68% (61-74; p<0·0001) at the standard sites for time to first clinical malaria episode. Similarly, vaccine efficacy against multiple clinical malaria episodes was 75% (71-78; p<0·0001) at the seasonal sites and 67% (59-73; p<0·0001) at standard sites. A modest reduction in vaccine efficacy was observed over the first 12 months of follow-up, of similar size at seasonal and standard sites. A rate reduction of 868 (95% CI 762-974) cases per 1000 children-years at seasonal sites and 296 (231-362) at standard sites occurred over 12 months. Vaccine-induced antibodies against the conserved central Asn-Ala-Asn-Pro (NANP) repeat sequence of circumsporozoite protein correlated with vaccine efficacy. Higher NANP-specific antibody titres were observed in the 5-17 month age group compared with 18-36 month age group, and the younger age group had the highest 12-month vaccine efficacy on time to first clinical malaria episode at seasonal (79% [95% CI 73-84]; p<0·001) and standard (75% [65-83]; p<0·001) sites.

INTERPRETATION

R21/Matrix-M was well tolerated and offered high efficacy against clinical malaria in African children. This low-cost, high-efficacy vaccine is already licensed by several African countries, and recently received a WHO policy recommendation and prequalification, offering large-scale supply to help reduce the great burden of malaria in sub-Saharan Africa.

FUNDING

The Serum Institute of India, the Wellcome Trust, the UK National Institute for Health Research Oxford Biomedical Research Centre, and Open Philanthropy.

Diagnosis of human leptospirosis: systematic review and meta-analysis of the diagnostic accuracy of the Leptospira microscopic agglutination test, PCR targeting Lfb1, and IgM ELISA to Leptospira fainei serovar Hurstbridge

BACKGROUND

Leptospirosis is an underdiagnosed infectious disease with non-specific clinical presentation that requires laboratory confirmation for diagnosis. The serologic reference standard remains the microscopic agglutination test (MAT) on paired serum samples. However, reported estimates of MAT's sensitivity vary. We evaluated the accuracy of four index tests, MAT on paired samples as well as alternative standards for leptospirosis diagnosis: MAT on single acute-phase samples, polymerase chain reaction (PCR) with the target gene Lfb1, and ELISA IgM with Leptospira fainei serovar Hurstbridge as an antigen.

METHODS

We performed a systematic review of studies reporting results of leptospirosis diagnostic tests. We searched eight electronic databases and selected studies that tested human blood samples and compared index tests with blood culture and/or PCR and/or MAT (comparator tests). For MAT selection criteria we defined a threshold for single acute-phase samples according to a national classification of leptospirosis endemicity. We used a Bayesian random-effect meta-analysis to estimate the sensitivity and specificity of MAT in single acute-phase and paired samples separately, and assessed risk of bias using the Quality Assessment of Studies of Diagnostic Accuracy Approach- 2 (QUADAS-2) tool.

RESULTS

For the MAT accuracy evaluation, 15 studies were included, 11 with single acute-phase serum, and 12 with paired sera. Two included studies used PCR targeting the Lfb1 gene, and one included study used IgM ELISA with Leptospira fainei serovar Hurstbridge as antigen. For MAT in single acute-phase samples, the pooled sensitivity and specificity were 14% (95% credible interval [CrI] 3-38%) and 86% (95% CrI 59-96%), respectively, and the predicted sensitivity and specificity were 14% (95% CrI 0-90%) and 86% (95% CrI 9-100%). Among paired MAT samples, the pooled sensitivity and specificity were 68% (95% CrI 32-92%) and 75% (95% CrI 45-93%) respectively, and the predicted sensitivity and specificity were 69% (95% CrI 2-100%) and 75% (2-100%).

CONCLUSIONS

Based on our analysis, the accuracy of MAT in paired samples was not high, but it remains the reference standard until a more accurate diagnostic test is developed. Future studies that include larger numbers of participants with paired samples will improve the certainty of accuracy estimates.

Association of cerebrospinal fluid parameters with treatment and complications among children with cerebrospinal fluid shunt infections: a multicenter study

OBJECTIVE

Cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) white blood cell (WBC) count, neutrophil percentage, protein concentration, and glucose level are typically measured at diagnosis and serially during the treatment of CSF shunt infections. The objective of this retrospective cohort study was to describe the longitudinal profile of CSF parameters in children with CSF shunt infections and assess their association with treatment and outcome.

METHODS

Participants were children treated at 11 tertiary pediatric hospitals in Canada and the United States for CSF shunt infection, from July 1, 2013, through June 30, 2019, with hardware removal, external ventricular drain placement, intravenous antibiotics, and subsequent permanent shunt reinsertion. The relationship between CSF parameters and a complicated course (a composite outcome representing children with at least one of the following: contiguous soft-tissue infection, worsening hydrocephalus, CSF leak, intracranial bleed, brain abscess, venous thrombosis, reinfection after insertion of the new shunt, other complication, ICU admission, or death) was analyzed.

RESULTS

A total of 109 children (median age 2.8 years, 44% female) were included in this study. CSF pleocytosis, elevated protein, and hypoglycorrhachia had sensitivities of 69%, 47%, and 38% for the diagnosis of culture-confirmed CSF shunt infection, respectively. The longitudinal profile of the neutrophil percentage followed a monotonic trend, decreasing by 1.5% (95% CI 1.0%-2.0%, p < 0.0001) per day over the course of treatment. The initial WBC count differed significantly between pathogens (p = 0.011), but the proportion of neutrophils, protein concentration, and glucose level did not, and was lowest with Cutibacterium acnes. The duration of antibiotic treatment and the time to shunt reinsertion were longer in patients with a higher initial neutrophil percentage. Fifty-eight patients (53%) had one or more complications during their admission. A neutrophil percentage > 44% (Youden index) in the initial CSF sample was associated with a 1.8-fold (95% CI 1.2- to 2.8-fold) higher relative risk of a complicated course. In a random-intercept, random-slope linear mixed-effects model, the longitudinal neutrophil trajectory differed significantly between patients with and without complications (p = 0.030).

CONCLUSIONS

A higher proportion of neutrophils in the CSF at diagnosis was associated with a complicated clinical course. Other CSF parameters were associated with treatment and outcome; however, wide variability in values may limit their clinical utility.

Master statistical analysis plan: attractive targeted sugar bait phase III trials in Kenya, Mali, and Zambia

This manuscript is a master statistical analysis plan for each of three-cluster randomized controlled trials to evaluate the efficacy of attractive targeted sugar baits (ATSB) described in an already published protocol. The master SAP contains an overarching plan for all three trials, which can be adapted to trial-specific circumstances. The primary objective of the trials is to evaluate the efficacy of ATSB in the presence of universal vector control coverage with insecticide-treated nets (ITN) or indoor residual spraying (IRS) after two transmission seasons on clinical malaria incidence as compared with universal vector control coverage with ITN or IRS alone. The primary outcome measure is the incidence rate of clinical malaria, assessed in cohorts aged 12 months to less than 15 years (≥ 5 years to 15 years in Mali) during monthly follow-up visits. The primary unadjusted analysis will be conducted on the intention-to-treat analysis population without adjustment for any anticipated confounding variables. The primary outcome will be analyzed using a multi-level model constructed on a generalized linear model framework with a Poisson likelihood and a log link function. Random intercepts will be included for each study cluster and a fixed effect for study-arm. The analyst will be blinded to study arm assignment. Several secondary outcomes will be analyzed, as well as a pooled analysis (individual patient data meta-analysis) across the three trial sites. Additionally, a standard meta-analysis is expected to be conducted using combined data from all sites.

CDC Guidelines for the Prevention and Treatment of Anthrax, 2023

This report updates previous CDC guidelines and recommendations on preferred prevention and treatment regimens regarding naturally occurring anthrax. Also provided are a wide range of alternative regimens to first-line antimicrobial drugs for use if patients have contraindications or intolerances or after a wide-area aerosol release of

Bacillus anthracis spores if resources become limited or a multidrug-resistant B. anthracis strain is used (Hendricks KA, Wright ME, Shadomy SV, et al.; Workgroup on Anthrax Clinical Guidelines. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention expert panel meetings on prevention and treatment of anthrax in adults. Emerg Infect Dis 2014;20:e130687; Meaney-Delman D, Rasmussen SA, Beigi RH, et al. Prophylaxis and treatment of anthrax in pregnant women. Obstet Gynecol 2013;122:885-900; Bradley JS, Peacock G, Krug SE, et al. Pediatric anthrax clinical management. Pediatrics 2014;133:e1411-36). Specifically, this report updates antimicrobial drug and antitoxin use for both postexposure prophylaxis (PEP) and treatment from these previous guidelines best practices and is based on systematic reviews of the literature regarding 1) in vitro antimicrobial drug activity against B. anthracis; 2) in vivo antimicrobial drug efficacy for PEP and treatment; 3) in vivo and human antitoxin efficacy for PEP, treatment, or both; and 4) human survival after antimicrobial drug PEP and treatment of localized anthrax, systemic anthrax, and anthrax meningitis.

Changes from previous CDC guidelines and recommendations include an expanded list of alternative antimicrobial drugs to use when first-line antimicrobial drugs are contraindicated or not tolerated or after a bioterrorism event when first-line antimicrobial drugs are depleted or ineffective against a genetically engineered resistant

B. anthracis strain. In addition, these updated guidelines include new recommendations regarding special considerations for the diagnosis and treatment of anthrax meningitis, including comorbid, social, and clinical predictors of anthrax meningitis. The previously published CDC guidelines and recommendations described potentially beneficial critical care measures and clinical assessment tools and procedures for persons with anthrax, which have not changed and are not addressed in this update. In addition, no changes were made to the Advisory Committee on Immunization Practices recommendations for use of anthrax vaccine (Bower WA, Schiffer J, Atmar RL, et al. Use of anthrax vaccine in the United States: recommendations of the Advisory Committee on Immunization Practices, 2019. MMWR Recomm Rep 2019;68[No. RR-4]:1-14). The updated guidelines in this report can be used by health care providers to prevent and treat anthrax and guide emergency preparedness officials and planners as they develop and update plans for a wide-area aerosol release of B. anthracis.

Accuracy of the direct agglutination test for diagnosis of visceral leishmaniasis: a systematic review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

Parasitological investigation of bone marrow, splenic or lymph node aspirations is the gold standard for the diagnosis of visceral leishmaniasis (VL). However, this invasive test requires skilled clinical and laboratory staff and adequate facilities, and sensitivity varies depending on the tissue used. The direct agglutination test (DAT) is a serological test that does not need specialised staff, with just minimal training required. While previous meta-analysis has shown DAT to have high sensitivity and specificity when using parasitology as the reference test for diagnosis, meta-analysis of DAT compared to other diagnostic techniques, such as PCR and ELISA, that are increasingly used in clinical and research settings, has not been done.

METHODS

We conducted a systematic review to determine the diagnostic performance of DAT compared to all available tests for the laboratory diagnosis of human VL. We searched electronic databases including Medline, Embase, Global Health, Scopus, WoS Science Citation Index, Wiley Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials, Africa-Wide Information, LILACS and WHO Global Index. Three independent reviewers screened reports and extracted data from eligible studies. A meta-analysis estimated the diagnostic sensitivity and specificity of DAT.

RESULTS

Of 987 titles screened, 358 were selected for full data extraction and 78 were included in the analysis, reporting on 32,822 participants from 19 countries. Studies included were conducted between 1987-2020. Meta-analysis of studies using serum and DAT compared to any other test showed pooled sensitivity of 95% (95%CrI 90-98%) and pooled specificity of 95% (95%CrI 88-98%). Results were similar for freeze-dried DAT and liquid DAT when analysed separately. Sensitivity was lower for HIV-positive patients (90%, CrI 59-98%) and specificity was lower for symptomatic patients (70%, CrI 43-89%). When comparing different geographical regions, the lowest median sensitivity (89%, CrI 67-97%) was in Western Asia (five studies).

CONCLUSIONS

This systematic review and meta-analysis demonstrates high estimated pooled sensitivity and specificity of DAT for diagnosis of VL, although sensitivity and specificity were lower for different patient groups and geographical locations. This review highlights the lack of standardisation of DAT methods and preparations, and the lack of data from some important geographical locations. Future well-reported studies could provide better evidence to inform test implementation for different patient populations and use cases.

PROSPERO REGISTRATION

CRD42021240830.

Community evaluation of VECTRON™ T500, a broflanilide insecticide, for indoor residual spraying for malaria vector control in central Benin; a two arm non-inferiority cluster randomised trial

VECTRON™ T500 is a wettable powder IRS formulation of broflanilide, a newly discovered insecticide. We performed a two-arm non-inferiority community randomised evaluation of VECTRON™ T500, compared to Fludora® Fusion against pyrethroid-resistant Anopheles gambiae s.l. in an area of high coverage with pyrethroid-only nets in the Za-Kpota District of central Benin. One round of IRS was applied in all consenting households in the study area. Sixteen clusters were randomised (1:1) to receive VECTRON™ T500 (100 mg/m2 for broflanilide) or Fludora® Fusion (200 mg/m2 for clothianidin and 25 mg/m2 for deltamethrin). Surveys were performed to assess adverse events and the operational feasibility and acceptability of VECTRON™ T500 among spray operators and household inhabitants. Human landing catches were conducted in 6 households every 1-2 months for up to 18 months post-intervention to assess the impact on vector densities, sporozoite rates and entomological inoculation rates. Bottle bioassays were performed to monitor vector susceptibility to pyrethroids, broflanilide and clothianidin. Monthly wall cone bioassays were conducted for 24 months to assess the residual efficacy of the IRS formulations using susceptible and pyrethroid-resistant An. gambiae s.l. A total of 26,562 female mosquitoes were collected during the study, of which 40% were An. gambiae s.l., the main malaria vector in the study area. The vector population showed high intensity pyrethroid resistance but was susceptible to broflanilide (6 µg/bottle) and clothianidin (90 µg/bottle). Using a non-inferiority margin of 50%, vector density indicated by the human biting rate (bites/person/night) was non-inferior in the VECTRON™ T500 arm compared to the Fludora® Fusion arm both indoors (0.846 bites/p/n in Fludora® Fusion arm vs. 0.741 bites/p/n in VECTRON™ T500 arm, IRR 0.54, 95% CI 0.22-1.35, p = 0.150) and outdoors (0.691 bites/p/n in Fludora® Fusion arm vs. 0.590 bites/p/n in VECTRON™ T500 clusters, IRR 0.75, 95% CI 0.41-1.38, p = 0.297). Sporozoite rates and entomological inoculation rates did not differ significantly between study arms (sporozoite rate: 0.9% vs 1.1%, p = 0. 0.746, EIR: 0.008 vs 0.006 infective bites per person per night, p = 0.589). Cone bioassay mortality with both VECTRON™ T500 and Fludora® Fusion was 100% for 24 months post-IRS application on both cement and mud treated house walls with both susceptible and pyrethroid-resistant strains of An. gambiae s.l. Perceived adverse events reported by spray operators and householders were generally very low (< 6%) in both study arms. VECTRON™ T500 was non-inferior to Fludora® Fusion in reducing the risk of malaria transmission by pyrethroid resistant vectors when applied for IRS in communities in central Benin. The insecticide showed prolonged residual efficacy on house walls, lasting over 24 months and had a high acceptability with homeowners. Community application of VECTRON™ T500 for IRS provides improved and prolonged control of pyrethroid resistant malaria vectors and enhances our capacity to manage insecticide resistance.

Reduction in mortality from HIV-related CNS infections in routine care in Africa (DREAMM): a before-and-after, implementation study

BACKGROUND

Four decades into the HIV epidemic, CNS infection remains a leading cause of preventable HIV-related deaths in routine care. The Driving Reduced AIDS-associated Meningo-encephalitis Mortality (DREAMM) project aimed to develop, implement, and evaluate pragmatic implementation interventions and strategies to reduce mortality from HIV-related CNS infection.

METHODS

DREAMM took place in five public hospitals in Cameroon, Malawi, and Tanzania. The main intervention was a stepwise algorithm for HIV-related CNS infections including bedside rapid diagnostic testing and implementation of WHO cryptococcal meningitis guidelines. A health system strengthening approach for hospitals was adopted to deliver quality care through a co-designed education programme, optimised clinical and laboratory pathways, and communities of practice. DREAMM was led and driven by local leadership and divided into three phases: observation (including situational analyses of routine care), training, and implementation. Consecutive adults (aged ≥18 years) living with HIV presenting with a first episode of suspected CNS infection were eligible for recruitment. The primary endpoint was the comparison of 2-week all-cause mortality between observation and implementation phases. This study completed follow-up in September, 2021. The project was registered on ClinicalTrials.gov, NCT03226379.

FINDINGS

From November, 2016 to April, 2019, 139 eligible participants were enrolled in the observation phase. From Jan 9, 2018, to March 25, 2021, 362 participants were enrolled into the implementation phase. 216 (76%) of 286 participants had advanced HIV disease (209 participants had missing CD4 cell count), and 340 (69%) of 494 participants had exposure to antiretroviral therapy (ART; one participant had missing ART data). In the implementation phase 269 (76%) of 356 participants had a probable CNS infection, 203 (76%) of whom received a confirmed microbiological or radiological diagnosis of CNS infection using existing diagnostic tests and medicines. 63 (49%) of 129 participants died at 2 weeks in the observation phase compared with 63 (24%) of 266 in the implementation phase; and all-cause mortality was lower in the implementation phase when adjusted for site, sex, age, ART exposure (adjusted risk difference -23%, 95% CI -33 to -13; p<0·001). At 10 weeks, 71 (55%) died in the observation phase compared with 103 (39%) in the implementation phase (-13%, -24 to -3; p=0·01).

INTERPRETATION

DREAMM substantially reduced mortality from HIV-associated CNS infection in resource-limited settings in Africa. DREAMM scale-up is urgently required to reduce deaths in public hospitals and help meet Sustainable Development Goals.

FUNDING

European and Developing Countries Clinical Trials Partnership, French Agency for Research on AIDS and Viral Hepatitis.

TRANSLATIONS

For the French and Portuguese translations of the abstract see Supplementary Materials section.

Atypical B cells and impaired SARS-CoV-2 neutralization following heterologous vaccination in the elderly

Suboptimal responses to a primary vaccination course have been reported in the elderly, but there is little information regarding the impact of age on responses to booster third doses. Here, we show that individuals 70 years or older (median age 73, range 70-75) who received a primary two-dose schedule with AZD1222 and booster third dose with mRNA vaccine achieve significantly lower neutralizing antibody responses against SARS-CoV-2 spike pseudotyped virus compared with those younger than 70 (median age 66, range 54-69) at 1 month post booster. Impaired neutralization potency and breadth post third dose in the elderly is associated with circulating "atypical" spike-specific B cells expressing CD11c and FCRL5. However, when considering individuals who received three doses of mRNA vaccine, we did not observe differences in neutralization or enrichment in atypical B cells. This work highlights the finding that AdV and mRNA COVID-19 vaccine formats differentially instruct the memory B cell response.

Validation of a method for the dry preservation and rehydration of Anopheles gambiae sensu lato for parity analysis to assess the impact of vector control measures in the field

BACKGROUND

As the control of malaria remains heavily dependent on vector management interventions, it is important to understand the impact of these on mosquito populations. Age-grading is a valuable tool for this; however, logistical challenges in remote, resource-poor areas make current methodologies difficult to incorporate into clinical trials and routine surveillance. Our aim was to validate a methodology that could be easily implemented in such settings. Using dried mosquito specimens instead of freshly killed ones, we validated the commonly used ovarian tracheation technique for assessing population age structure.

METHODS

Laboratory-reared Anopheles coluzzii mosquitoes with known parity status were dry preserved in silica gel for up to 12 weeks and rehydrated prior to parity assessment. The results were compared to parity results for freshly killed mosquitoes from the same colony. Preserved, field-caught Anopheles gambiae sensu lato (s.l.) from Guinea-Bissau were assessed by three different assessors blinded to each other's scores. An overall index of agreement was calculated using inter-rater reliability of all assessor pairings. The impact of preservation time was investigated using a one-way ANOVA to look for differences in assessor agreement over three time periods.

RESULTS

The parity status was correctly identified for 90% of dry preserved and rehydrated insectary-reared An. coluzzii and for 98% of freshly killed insectary-reared An. coluzzii. The inter-rater reliability was highest (0.94) for freshly killed An. coluzzii. The results for all time points showed excellent strength of agreement between assessors. For field-caught An. gambiae s.l., the overall index of agreement between all three assessors was 0.86 (95% confidence interval 0.78-0.93), indicating almost perfect agreement. There was no significant difference between assessor agreement between time frames.

CONCLUSIONS

Dry preserving and rehydrating Anopheles mosquitoes provides an alternative to using freshly killed mosquitoes to assess the efficacy of a control intervention in remote settings where it is logistically difficult to dissect fresh specimens. This method also provides the flexibility required for parity assessment to be done on larger scales over bigger areas.

Protocol for a cluster randomised placebo-controlled trial of adjunctive ivermectin mass drug administration for malaria control on the Bijagós Archipelago of Guinea-Bissau: the MATAMAL trial

INTRODUCTION

As malaria declines, innovative tools are required to further reduce transmission and achieve elimination. Mass drug administration (MDA) of artemisinin-based combination therapy (ACT) is capable of reducing malaria transmission where coverage of control interventions is already high, though the impact is short-lived. Combining ACT with ivermectin, an oral endectocide shown to reduce vector survival, may increase its impact, while also treating ivermectin-sensitive co-endemic diseases and minimising the potential impact of ACT resistance in this context.

METHODS AND ANALYSIS

MATAMAL is a cluster-randomised placebo-controlled trial. The trial is being conducted in 24 clusters on the Bijagós Archipelago, Guinea-Bissau, where the peak prevalence of Plasmodium falciparum (Pf) parasitaemia is approximately 15%. Clusters have been randomly allocated to receive MDA with dihydroartemisinin-piperaquine and either ivermectin or placebo. The primary objective is to determine whether the addition of ivermectin MDA is more effective than dihydroartemisinin-piperaquine MDA alone in reducing the prevalence of P. falciparum parasitaemia, measured during peak transmission season after 2 years of seasonal MDA. Secondary objectives include assessing prevalence after 1 year of MDA; malaria incidence monitored through active and passive surveillance; age-adjusted prevalence of serological markers indicating exposure to P. falciparum and anopheline mosquitoes; vector parous rates, species composition, population density and sporozoite rates; prevalence of vector pyrethroid resistance; prevalence of artemisinin resistance in P. falciparum using genomic markers; ivermectin's impact on co-endemic diseases; coverage estimates; and the safety of combined MDA.

ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION

The trial has been approved by the London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine's Ethics Committee (UK) (19156) and the Comite Nacional de Eticas de Saude (Guinea-Bissau) (084/CNES/INASA/2020). Results will be disseminated in peer-reviewed publications and in discussion with the Bissau-Guinean Ministry of Public Health and participating communities.

TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER

NCT04844905.

Diagnostic performance of the IMMY cryptococcal antigen lateral flow assay on serum and cerebrospinal fluid for diagnosis of cryptococcosis in HIV-negative patients: a systematic review

BACKGROUND

The incidence of cryptococcosis amongst HIV-negative persons is increasing. Whilst the excellent performance of the CrAg testing in people living with HIV is well described, the diagnostic performance of the CrAg LFA has not been systematically evaluated in HIV-negative cohorts on serum or cerebrospinal fluid.

METHODS

We performed a systematic review to characterise the diagnostic performance of IMMY CrAg® LFA in HIV-negative populations on serum and cerebrospinal fluid. A systematic electronic search was performed using Medline, Embase, Global Health, CENTRAL, WoS Science Citation Index, SCOPUS, Africa-Wide Information, LILACS and WHO Global Health Library. Studies were screened and data extracted from eligible studies by two independent reviewers. A fixed effect meta-analysis was used to estimate the diagnostic sensitivity and specificity.

RESULTS

Of 447 records assessed for eligibility, nine studies met our inclusion criteria, including 528 participants overall. Amongst eight studies that evaluated the diagnostic performance of the IMMY CrAg® LFA on serum, the pooled median sensitivity was 96% (95% Credible Interval (CrI) 68-100%) with a pooled specificity estimate of 96% (95%CrI 84-100%). Amongst six studies which evaluated the diagnostic performance of IMMY CrAg® LFA on CSF, the pooled median sensitivity was 99% (95%CrI 95-100%) with a pooled specificity median of 99% (95%CrI 95-100%).

CONCLUSIONS

This review demonstrates a high pooled sensitivity and specificity for the IMMY CrAg® LFA in HIV-negative populations, in keeping with findings in HIV-positive individuals. The review was limited by the small number of studies. Further studies using IMMY CrAg® LFA in HIV-negative populations would help to better determine the diagnostic value of this test.

Abstract 4946: TOS-358, a first-in-class covalent PI3Kα inhibitor, demonstrates superior efficacy and does not induce significant hyperglycemia at efficacious doses in multiple animal models

PI3Kα is frequently mutated in a variety of cancer types, and the PI3K-AKT signaling axis also plays a role in insulin signaling and glucose homeostasis. TOS-358 is a highly selective first-in-class covalent inhibitor of PI3Kα and is currently in clinical development in multiple solid malignancies. Interestingly, TOS-358 potently and specifically inhibits PI3Kα deeply and durably, but does not induce significant hyperglycemia in a variety of animal models. TOS-358 has consistently demonstrated superior efficacy comparing to reversible PI3Kα inhibitors (ATP-competitive and Allosteric) across 30+ different PDX and CDX mutant PI3Kα dependent cancer models. Detailed metabolic studies also revealed TOS-358 does not induce significant hyperglycemia effects in mice, rats and dogs at efficacious doses, which mirrors previous finding that show that PI3Kα knockout does not induce significant hyperglycemia. Furthermore, we elucidate that previous reversible PI3Kα inhibitors lead to dramatic hyperglycemia due to their potent inhibition of multiple PI3K isoforms at effective concentrations of the molecules in a cellular setting. This data reveals that highly specific and potent covalent inhibition of PI3Kα leads to dramatically superior efficacy and an improved safety profile.

Citation Format: John R. MacDougall, John Bradley, Raymond Mak, Neil Dhawan, Wei Chen. TOS-358, a first-in-class covalent PI3Kα inhibitor, demonstrates superior efficacy and does not induce significant hyperglycemia at efficacious doses in multiple animal models. [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the American Association for Cancer Research Annual Meeting 2023; Part 1 (Regular and Invited Abstracts); 2023 Apr 14-19; Orlando, FL. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2023;83(7_Suppl):Abstract nr 4946.

Abstract 2249: Development and validation of a pharmacodynamic (PD) assay for TOS-358, the first covalent inhibitor of PI3Kα in clinical development

TOS-358 is a first-in-class covalent inhibitor of PI3Kα and is currently in clinical development in a variety of solid malignancies. We have developed a fit-for-purpose pharmacodynamic assay to evaluate the target occupancy of TOS-358 in in vitro and in vivo setting at multiple timepoints. The PI3Kα assay allows direct measurement of both occupied and total protein in multiple different samples and tissue types. Signals of occupied and unoccupied PI3Kα proteins can be readily measured in cellular and in vivo samples. The assay was utilized in a large panel of cancer cell lines, revealing a direct correlation between target occupancy and pathway inhibition of markers such as phosphoAKT and phosphoS6. Critically, these correlations revealed the need to achieve near complete suppression of PI3Kα to enable sustained pathway inhibition and cancer cell death. We furthermore utilized this assay to explore the turnover rate of PI3Kα across multiple diverse tumor types, mutations, and tissues. This approach enables highly sensitive target engagement analysis of TOS-358 across multiple formats.

Citation Format: John R. MacDougall, Raymond Mak, John Bradley, Allison Simpson, Claire May, Lan Wei, Kendra Ouellette, Marty Olbrot, Jimmy Blair, Neil Dhawan, Wei Chen. Development and validation of a pharmacodynamic (PD) assay for TOS-358, the first covalent inhibitor of PI3Kα in clinical development [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the American Association for Cancer Research Annual Meeting 2023; Part 1 (Regular and Invited Abstracts); 2023 Apr 14-19; Orlando, FL. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2023;83(7_Suppl):Abstract nr 2249.

Estimating sensitivity and specificity of diagnostic tests using latent class models that account for conditional dependence between tests: a simulation study

BACKGROUND

Latent class models are increasingly used to estimate the sensitivity and specificity of diagnostic tests in the absence of a gold standard, and are commonly fitted using Bayesian methods. These models allow us to account for 'conditional dependence' between two or more diagnostic tests, meaning that the results from tests are correlated even after conditioning on the person's true disease status. The challenge is that it is not always clear to researchers whether conditional dependence exists between tests and whether it exists in all or just some latent classes. Despite the increasingly widespread use of latent class models to estimate diagnostic test accuracy, the impact of the conditional dependence structure chosen on the estimates of sensitivity and specificity remains poorly investigated.

METHODS

A simulation study and a reanalysis of a published case study are used to highlight the impact of the conditional dependence structure chosen on estimates of sensitivity and specificity. We describe and implement three latent class random-effect models with differing conditional dependence structures, as well as a conditional independence model and a model that assumes perfect test accuracy. We assess the bias and coverage of each model in estimating sensitivity and specificity across different data generating mechanisms.

RESULTS

The findings highlight that assuming conditional independence between tests within a latent class, where conditional dependence exists, results in biased estimates of sensitivity and specificity and poor coverage. The simulations also reiterate the substantial bias in estimates of sensitivity and specificity when incorrectly assuming a reference test is perfect. The motivating example of tests for Melioidosis highlights these biases in practice with important differences found in estimated test accuracy under different model choices.

CONCLUSIONS

We have illustrated that misspecification of the conditional dependence structure leads to biased estimates of sensitivity and specificity when there is a correlation between tests. Due to the minimal loss in precision seen by using a more general model, we recommend accounting for conditional dependence even if researchers are unsure of its presence or it is only expected at minimal levels.

Asymptomatic Plasmodium falciparum carriage and clinical disease: a 5-year community-based longitudinal study in The Gambia

BACKGROUND

Carriers of persistent asymptomatic Plasmodium falciparum infections constitute an infectious reservoir that maintains malaria transmission. Understanding the extent of carriage and characteristics of carriers specific to endemic areas could guide use of interventions to reduce infectious reservoir.

METHODS

In eastern Gambia, an all-age cohort from four villages was followed up from 2012 to 2016. Each year, cross-sectional surveys were conducted at the end of the malaria transmission season (January) and just before the start of the next one (June) to determine asymptomatic P. falciparum carriage. Passive case detection was conducted during each transmission season (August to January) to determine incidence of clinical malaria. Association between carriage at the end of the season and at start of the next one and the risk factors for this were assessed. Effect of carriage before start of the season on risk of clinical malaria during the season was also examined.

RESULTS

A total of 1403 individuals-1154 from a semi-urban village and 249 from three rural villages were enrolled; median age was 12 years (interquartile range [IQR] 6, 30) and 12 years (IQR 7, 27) respectively. In adjusted analysis, asymptomatic P. falciparum carriage at the end of a transmission season and carriage just before start of the next one were strongly associated (adjusted odds ratio [aOR] = 19.99; 95% CI 12.57-31.77, p < 0.001). The odds of persistent carriage (i.e. infected both in January and in June) were higher in rural villages (aOR = 13.0; 95% CI 6.33-26.88, p < 0.001) and in children aged 5-15 years (aOR = 5.03; 95% CI 2.47-10.23, p =  < 0.001). In the rural villages, carriage before start of the season was associated with a lower risk of clinical malaria during the season (incidence risk ratio [IRR] 0.48, 95% CI 0.27-0.81, p = 0.007).

CONCLUSIONS

Asymptomatic P. falciparum carriage at the end of a transmission season strongly predicted carriage just before start of the next one. Interventions that clear persistent asymptomatic infections when targeted at the subpopulation with high risk of carriage may reduce the infectious reservoir responsible for launching seasonal transmission.

Evaluation of a Model to Target High-risk Psychiatric Inpatients for an Intensive Postdischarge Suicide Prevention Intervention

Importance

The months after psychiatric hospital discharge are a time of high risk for suicide. Intensive postdischarge case management, although potentially effective in suicide prevention, is likely to be cost-effective only if targeted at high-risk patients. A previously developed machine learning (ML) model showed that postdischarge suicides can be predicted from electronic health records and geospatial data, but it is unknown if prediction could be improved by adding additional information.

Objective

To determine whether model prediction could be improved by adding information extracted from clinical notes and public records.

Design, Setting, and Participants

Models were trained to predict suicides in the 12 months after Veterans Health Administration (VHA) short-term (less than 365 days) psychiatric hospitalizations between the beginning of 2010 and September 1, 2012 (299 050 hospitalizations, with 916 hospitalizations followed within 12 months by suicides) and tested in the hospitalizations from September 2, 2012, to December 31, 2013 (149 738 hospitalizations, with 393 hospitalizations followed within 12 months by suicides). Validation focused on net benefit across a range of plausible decision thresholds. Predictor importance was assessed with Shapley additive explanations (SHAP) values. Data were analyzed from January to August 2022.

Main Outcomes and Measures

Suicides were defined by the National Death Index. Base model predictors included VHA electronic health records and patient residential data. The expanded predictors came from natural language processing (NLP) of clinical notes and a social determinants of health (SDOH) public records database.

Results

The model included 448 788 unique hospitalizations. Net benefit over risk horizons between 3 and 12 months was generally highest for the model that included both NLP and SDOH predictors (area under the receiver operating characteristic curve range, 0.747-0.780; area under the precision recall curve relative to the suicide rate range, 3.87-5.75). NLP and SDOH predictors also had the highest predictor class-level SHAP values (proportional SHAP = 64.0% and 49.3%, respectively), although the single highest positive variable-level SHAP value was for a count of medications classified by the US Food and Drug Administration as increasing suicide risk prescribed the year before hospitalization (proportional SHAP = 15.0%).

Conclusions and Relevance

In this study, clinical notes and public records were found to improve ML model prediction of suicide after psychiatric hospitalization. The model had positive net benefit over 3-month to 12-month risk horizons for plausible decision thresholds. Although caution is needed in inferring causality based on predictor importance, several key predictors have potential intervention implications that should be investigated in future studies.

In vitro Activity of Ceftaroline Against an International Collection of Kingella kingae Isolates Recovered From Carriers and Invasive Infections

BACKGROUND

Improvements in blood culture techniques and molecular-based diagnostics have led to increased recognition of Kingella kingae as an invasive human pathogen causing bacteremia, septic arthritis, osteomyelitis and endocarditis in young children. Serious disease and potentially life-threatening complications of infection due to K. kingae necessitate timely identification and appropriate antimicrobial therapy. Ceftaroline is a fifth-generation broad spectrum cephalosporin that possesses activity against Gram-negative and Gram-positive pathogens similar to third-generation cephalosporins, but also includes methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus . This study reports the in vitro activity of ceftaroline and comparator agents against an international collection of K. kingae isolates.

METHODS

A collection of 308 K. kingae isolates was obtained primarily from children with bacteremia, endocarditis, osteoarticular infections or from asymptomatic pediatric carriers. Isolates were tested for antibiotic susceptibility using Clinical and Laboratory Standard Institute broth microdilution methodology and screened for β-lactamase production using a nitrocefin chromogenic test.

RESULTS

Ceftaroline inhibited all K. kingae isolates at ≤0.06 mg/L (MIC 50/90 , 0.015/0.03 mg/L). Ceftaroline MICs were similar to results with ceftriaxone (MIC 50/90 , 0.015/0.015 mg/L), meropenem (MIC 50/90 , 0.015/0.015 mg/L) and ampicillin-sulbactam (MIC 50/90 , 0.06/0.06 mg/L). Ceftaroline MICs were slightly lower than MICs for cefuroxime and amoxicillin/clavulanate (MIC 50/90 , 0.06/0.12 mg/L). MICs were high for clindamycin (MIC 50/90 , 2/4 mg/L) and oxacillin (MIC 50/90 , 4/8 mg/L). Sixteen isolates (5.2%) yielded a positive nitrocefin test indicating production of β-lactamase; ceftaroline demonstrated equivalent MICs against β-lactamase - positive and β-lactamase - negative strains (MIC 50/90 , 0.015/0.3 mg/L).

CONCLUSIONS

The potent activity of ceftaroline against this large international collection of K. kingae isolates supports further clinical evaluation in children.

Identifying individual, household and environmental risk factors for malaria infection on Bioko Island to inform interventions

BACKGROUND

Since 2004, malaria transmission on Bioko Island has declined significantly as a result of the scaling-up of control interventions. The aim of eliminating malaria from the Island remains elusive, however, underscoring the need to adapt control to the local context. Understanding the factors driving the risk of malaria infection is critical to inform optimal suits of interventions in this adaptive approach.

METHODS

This study used individual and household-level data from the 2015 and 2018 annual malaria indicator surveys on Bioko Island, as well as remotely-sensed environmental data in multilevel logistic regression models to quantify the odds of malaria infection. The analyses were stratified by urban and rural settings and by survey year.

RESULTS

Malaria prevalence was higher in 10-14-year-old children and similar between female and male individuals. After adjusting for demographic factors and other covariates, many of the variables investigated showed no significant association with malaria infection. The factor most strongly associated was history of travel to mainland Equatorial Guinea (mEG), which increased the odds significantly both in urban and rural settings (people who travelled had 4 times the odds of infection). Sleeping under a long-lasting insecticidal net decreased significantly the odds of malaria across urban and rural settings and survey years (net users had around 30% less odds of infection), highlighting their contribution to malaria control on the Island. Improved housing conditions indicated some protection, though this was not consistent across settings and survey year.

CONCLUSIONS

Malaria risk on Bioko Island is heterogeneous and determined by a combination of factors interacting with local mosquito ecology. These interactions grant further investigation in order to better adapt control according to need. The single most important risk factor identified was travel to mEG, in line with previous investigations, and represents a great challenge for the success of malaria control on the Island.

Bibliometric analysis of authorship patterns in publications from a research group at the London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, 2016-2020

BACKGROUND

Authors from low and middle-income country (LMIC) institutions are under-represented in publications of research based in LMICs. This case study of publications from authors within the Medical Research Council International Statistics and Epidemiology Group (MRC-ISEG), a global health research group affiliated to the London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine in the UK, aims to describe patterns in authorship and factors associated with under-representation.

METHODS

Papers were included if they were published between January 2016 and December 2020 inclusive, included an author from the MRC-ISEG and described work conducted in a LMIC. Authors' affiliations were classified using World Bank country income classifications into LMIC affiliations only, high-income country (HIC) affiliations only and mixed LMIC/HIC affiliations. Multinomial logistic regression analysis was used to assess associations of author affiliation category with authorship position, and whether patterns varied by journal impact factor quartile and multiple versus single-country studies.

RESULTS

A total of 882 papers, including 10 570 authors describing research conducted in 61 LMICs, were included. Compared with authors of HIC-only affiliation, those with LMIC-only affiliation were less likely to be in first authorship position (relative risk ratio (RRR)=0.51, 95% CI 0.44 to 0.60) and mixed HIC/LMIC affiliation authors were more likely (RRR=2.80, 95% CI 2.35 to 3.34). Compared with authors of HIC-only affiliation, those with LMIC-only affiliation were less likely to be in last authorship position (RRR=0.20, 95% CI 0.16 to 0.24) and those with mixed HIC/LMIC affiliations were more likely (RRR=1.95, 95% CI 1.65 to 2.30). The proportion of senior authors with LMIC-only affiliation was lowest for the highest impact journals, and in multicountry versus single-country studies.

CONCLUSION

Alongside increasing research capacity within LMICs, HIC institutions should ensure that LMIC-affiliated researchers are properly represented in global research. Academics working in global health should be judged on their involvement in representative collaborative research rather than individual achievements in authorship position.

A global perspective on bacterial diversity in the terrestrial deep subsurface

While recent efforts to catalogue Earth's microbial diversity have focused upon surface and marine habitats, 12-20 % of Earth's biomass is suggested to exist in the terrestrial deep subsurface, compared to ~1.8 % in the deep subseafloor. Metagenomic studies of the terrestrial deep subsurface have yielded a trove of divergent and functionally important microbiomes from a range of localities. However, a wider perspective of microbial diversity and its relationship to environmental conditions within the terrestrial deep subsurface is still required. Our meta-analysis reveals that terrestrial deep subsurface microbiota are dominated by Betaproteobacteria, Gammaproteobacteria and Firmicutes, probably as a function of the diverse metabolic strategies of these taxa. Evidence was also found for a common small consortium of prevalent Betaproteobacteria and Gammaproteobacteria operational taxonomic units across the localities. This implies a core terrestrial deep subsurface community, irrespective of aquifer lithology, depth and other variables, that may play an important role in colonizing and sustaining microbial habitats in the deep terrestrial subsurface. An in silico contamination-aware approach to analysing this dataset underscores the importance of downstream methods for assuring that robust conclusions can be reached from deep subsurface-derived sequencing data. Understanding the global panorama of microbial diversity and ecological dynamics in the deep terrestrial subsurface provides a first step towards understanding the role of microbes in global subsurface element and nutrient cycling.

Persistence of Plasmodium falciparum HRP-2 antigenaemia after artemisinin combination therapy is not associated with gametocytes

BACKGROUND

In some settings, sensitive field diagnostic tools may be needed to achieve elimination of falciparum malaria. To this end, rapid diagnostic tests (RDTs) based on the detection of the Plasmodium falciparum protein HRP-2 are being developed with increasingly lower limits of detection. However, it is currently unclear how parasite stages that are unaffected by standard drug treatments may contribute to HRP-2 detectability and potentially confound RDT results even after clearance of blood stage infection. This study assessed the detectability of HRP-2 in periods of post-treatment residual gametocytaemia.

METHODS

A cohort of 100 P. falciparum infected, gametocyte positive individuals were treated with or without the gametocytocidal drug primaquine (PQ), alongside standard artemisinin-based combination therapy (ACT), in the context of a randomised clinical trial in Ouelessebougou, Mali. A quantitative ELISA was used to measure levels of HRP-2, and compared time to test negativity using a standard and ultra-sensitive RDT (uRDT) between residual gametocyte positive and negative groups.

RESULTS

Time to test negativity was longest by uRDT, followed by ELISA and then standard RDT. No significant difference in time to negativity was found between the treatment groups with and without residual gametocytes: uRDT (HR 0.79 [95% CI 0.52-1.21], p = 0.28), RDT (HR 0.77 [95% CI 0.51-1.15], p = 0.20) or ELISA (HR 0.88 [95% CI 0.59-1.32], p = 0.53). Similarly, no difference was observed when adjusting for baseline asexual parasite density. Quantified levels of HRP-2 over time were similar between groups, with differences attributable to asexual parasite densities. Furthermore, no difference in levels of HRP-2 was found between individuals who were or were not infectious to mosquitoes (OR 1.19 [95% CI 0.98-1.46], p = 0.077).

CONCLUSIONS

Surviving sexual stage parasites after standard ACT treatment do not contribute to the persistence of HRP-2 antigenaemia, and appear to have little impact on RDT results.

Fitness to practise and the spectre of erasure: Some reflections from a psychiatrist assessor

Referral of doctors to the General Medical Council concerning their fitness to practise is an important subject, not only because of potential risk to patients, but because of its impact on the mental wellbeing of the doctors concerned. This paper is based on the case histories of 124 doctors (1990-2015) reported to the GMC and for whom I was requested to undertake a psychiatric assessment. My findings are summarised under three headings: psychiatric problems, substance misuse and inappropriate sexual behaviour. Nerve-wracking though GMC referral is for any individual doctor, most investigations do not proceed beyond the triage stage, after which the case is closed. I also reflect on the changing pattern of doctors' professional identity and how this might help them seek help for mental disorders at an earlier stage than in the past, thus preventing referral to the GMC.

Effects of ivermectin mass drug administration for malaria vector control on ectoparasites and soil-transmitted helminths: a cluster randomized trial

OBJECTIVES

Ivermectin, used to control several neglected tropical diseases, may also reduce malaria transmission. Mass drug administration (MDA) for malaria control therefore might have off-target impacts on neglected tropical diseases.

METHODS

In The Gambia, nested in a trial of ivermectin MDA, cross-sectional surveys measuring ectoparasites and soil-transmitted helminths in children aged 3 to 14 years took place in June and November 2019 and in November 2021.

RESULTS

After MDA, scabies prevalence was 41.2% (237/576) in the control and 38.2% (182/476) in the intervention arm (odds ratio [OR] 0.89 (95% confidence interval [CI] 0 67-1.2), P-value = 0.471) but by 2021, had rebounded to 38.8% (180/464) in the control and 53.2% (245/458) in the intervention arm. After MDA, prevalence of Strongyloides stercoralis was 16.8% (87/518) in the control and 9.1% (40/440) in the intervention arm (OR 0.4 (95% CI 0.16-0.94), P-value = 0.039). In 2021, it was 9.2% (38/413) in the control and 11.3% (45/399) in the intervention arm (OR 1.31 (95% CI 0.74-2.28), P-value = 0.35).

CONCLUSION

Scabies prevalence was similar between the two study arms. S. stercoralis prevalence was reduced. However, this effect did not last long: the prevalence 2 years after MDA was similar between study arms.

Antibiotics needed to treat multidrug-resistant infections in neonates

Infections remain a leading cause of death in neonates. The sparse antibiotic development pipeline and challenges in conducting neonatal research have resulted in few effective antibiotics being adequately studied to treat multidrug-resistant (MDR) infections in neonates, despite the increasing global mortality burden caused by antimicrobial resistance. Of 40 antibiotics approved for use in adults since 2000, only four have included dosing information for neonates in their labelling. Currently, 43 adult antibiotic clinical trials are recruiting patients, compared with only six trials recruiting neonates. We review the World Health Organization (WHO) priority pathogens list relevant to neonatal sepsis and propose a WHO multiexpert stakeholder meeting to promote the development of a neonatal priority antibiotic development list. The goal is to develop international, interdisciplinary consensus for an accelerated neonatal antibiotic development programme. This programme would enable focused research on identified priority antibiotics for neonates to reduce the excess morbidity and mortality caused by MDR infections in this vulnerable population.

Mental health challenges and perceived risks among female sex Workers in Nairobi, Kenya

BACKGROUND

Female sex workers (FSWs) in Kenya are at an increased risk of violence, poverty, police arrest, and problematic alcohol and other substance use, all of which are linked to poor mental health and suicidal ideation. Despite the psychological stressors experienced by FSWs, there is no published qualitative methods research investigating their mental health experiences in Kenya. In this paper, we draw on data from in-depth interviews to examine FSWs' lifetime mental health experiences and perceived risk factors.

METHODS

We used baseline in-depth interviews of the Maisha Fiti longitudinal study of FSWs in Nairobi. We randomly selected 40 FSWs from 1003 FSWs who attended a baseline behavioural-biological interview as part of the Maisha Fiti study. The interview guide was semi-structured, and participants were asked to detail their life stories, including narrating specific events such as entry into sex work, experiences of violence, mental health experiences, and use of alcohol and other substances. Interviews were recorded in Kiswahili/ English and transcribed in English. Data were coded and thematically analysed in Nvivo (v.12).

RESULTS

Results indicated that the majority of participants understood 'mental health' as 'insanity', 'stress', 'depression', and 'suicide'; nevertheless, a number described mental health symptomatically, while a few believed that mental health problems were caused by witchcraft. Interestingly, poverty, low levels of education, poor job opportunities, a lack of family support, harmful gender norms, intimate partner violence and subsequent relationship breakdowns, and family bereavement all contributed to poor mental health and subsequent entry into sex work. In addition, the consequences of sex work such as sexual risks, and ongoing violence from police and clients, further exacerbated poor mental health.

CONCLUSIONS

There is a need for both micro- and macro interventions to address poverty and violence against FSWs in Kenya, thereby reducing mental health problems. Addressing violence against women and girls may also reduce entry into sex work. Improving mental health literacy and providing mental health intervention services for 'at-risk' populations such as FSWs should enhance coping strategies and help-seeking efficacy.

Patient characteristics associated with retrospectively self-reported treatment outcomes following psychological therapy for anxiety or depressive disorders - a cohort of GLAD study participants

BACKGROUND

Progress towards stratified care for anxiety and depression will require the identification of new predictors. We collected data on retrospectively self-reported therapeutic outcomes in adults who received psychological therapy in the UK in the past ten years. We aimed to replicate factors associated with traditional treatment outcome measures from the literature.

METHODS

Participants were from the Genetic Links to Anxiety and Depression (GLAD) Study, a UK-based volunteer cohort study. We investigated associations between retrospectively self-reported outcomes following therapy, on a five-point scale (global rating of change; GRC) and a range of sociodemographic, clinical and therapy-related factors, using ordinal logistic regression models (n = 2890).

RESULTS

Four factors were associated with therapy outcomes (adjusted odds ratios, OR). One sociodemographic factor, having university-level education, was associated with favourable outcomes (OR = 1.37, 95%CI: 1.18, 1.59). Two clinical factors, greater number of reported episodes of illness (OR = 0.95, 95%CI: 0.92, 0.97) and higher levels of personality disorder symptoms (OR = 0.89, 95%CI: 0.87, 0.91), were associated with less favourable outcomes. Finally, reported regular use of additional therapeutic activities was associated with favourable outcomes (OR = 1.39, 95%CI: 1.19, 1.63). There were no statistically significant differences between fully adjusted multivariable and unadjusted univariable odds ratios.

CONCLUSION

Therapy outcome data can be collected quickly and inexpensively using retrospectively self-reported measures in large observational cohorts. Retrospectively self-reported therapy outcomes were associated with four factors previously reported in the literature. Similar data collected in larger observational cohorts may enable detection of novel associations with therapy outcomes, to generate new hypotheses, which can be followed up in prospective studies.

Entomological impact of mass administration of ivermectin and dihydroartemisinin-piperaquine in The Gambia: a cluster-randomized controlled trial

BACKGROUND

Vector control interventions in sub-Saharan Africa rely on insecticide-treated nets and indoor residual spraying. Insecticide resistance, poor coverage of interventions, poor quality nets and changes in vector behavior threaten the effectiveness of these interventions and, consequently, alternative tools are needed. Mosquitoes die after feeding on humans or animals treated with ivermectin (IVM). Mass drug administration (MDA) with IVM could reduce vector survival and decrease malaria transmission. The entomological impact of MDA of combined IVM and dihydroartemisinin-piperaquine was assessed in a community-based, cluster-randomized trial.

METHODS

A cluster-randomized trial was implemented in 2018 and 2019 in 32 villages in the Upper River Region, The Gambia. The with the inhabitants of 16 intervention villages eligible to receive three monthly rounds of MDA at the beginning of the malaria transmission season. Entomological surveillance with light traps and human landing catches (HLC) was carried out during a 7- to 14-day period after each round of MDA, and then monthly until the end of the year. The mosquitocidal effect of IVM was determined by direct membrane feeding assays.

RESULTS

Of the 15,017 mosquitoes collected during the study period, 99.65% (n = 14,965) were Anopheles gambiae sensu lato (An. gambiae s.l.), comprising Anopheles arabiensis (56.2%), Anopheles coluzzii (24.5%), Anopheles gambiae sensu stricto (An. gembiae s.s.; 16.0%) and Anopheles funestus sensu lato (An. funestus s.l.; 0.35%). No effect of the intervention on vector parity was observed. Vector density determined on light trap collections was significantly lower in the intervention villages in 2019 (adjusted incidence rate ratio: 0.39; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.20, 0.74; P = 0.005) but not in 2018. However, vector density determined in HLC collections was similar in both the intervention and control villages. The entomological inoculation rate was significantly lower in the intervention villages than in the control villages (odds ratio: 0.36, 95% CI: 0.19, 0.70; P  = 0·003). Mosquito mortality was significantly higher when blood fed on IVM-treated individuals up to 21 days post-treatment, particularly in adults and individuals with a higher body mass index.

CONCLUSION

Mass drug administration with IVM decreased vector density and the entomological inoculation rate while the effect on vector parity was less clear. Survival of mosquitoes fed on blood collected from IVM-treated individuals was significantly lower than that in mosquitoes which fed on controls. The influence of host characteristics on mosquito survivorship indicated that dose optimization could improve IVM efficacy. Future detailed entomological evaluation trials in which IVM is administered as stand-alone intervention may elucidate the contribution of this drug to the observed reduction in transmission.

Demographic, behavioural and occupational risk factors associated with SARS-CoV-2 infection in UK healthcare workers: a retrospective observational study

OBJECTIVE

Healthcare workers (HCWs) are at higher risk of SARS-CoV-2 infection than the general population. This group is pivotal to healthcare system resilience during the COVID-19, and future, pandemics. We investigated demographic, social, behavioural and occupational risk factors for SARS-CoV-2 infection among HCWs.

DESIGN/SETTING/PARTICIPANTS

HCWs enrolled in a large-scale sero-epidemiological study at a UK university teaching hospital were sent questionnaires spanning a 5-month period from March to July 2020. In a retrospective observational cohort study, univariate logistic regression was used to assess factors associated with SARS-CoV-2 infection. A Least Absolute Shrinkage Selection Operator regression model was used to identify variables to include in a multivariate logistic regression model.

RESULTS

Among 2258 HCWs, highest ORs associated with SARS-CoV-2 antibody seropositivity on multivariate analysis were having a household member previously testing positive for SARS-CoV-2 antibodies (OR 6.94 (95% CI 4.15 to 11.6); p&lt;0.0001) and being of black ethnicity (6.21 (95% CI 2.69 to 14.3); p&lt;0.0001). Occupational factors associated with a higher risk of seropositivity included working as a physiotherapist (OR 2.78 (95% CI 1.21 to 6.36); p=0.015) and working predominantly in acute medicine (OR 2.72 (95% CI 1.57 to 4.69); p&lt;0.0001) or medical subspecialties (not including infectious diseases) (OR 2.33 (95% CI 1.4 to 3.88); p=0.001). Reporting that adequate personal protective equipment (PPE) was 'rarely' available had an OR of 2.83 (95% CI 1.29 to 6.25; p=0.01). Reporting attending a handover where social distancing was not possible had an OR of 1.39 (95% CI 1.02 to 1.9; p=0.038).

CONCLUSIONS

The emergence of SARS-CoV-2 variants and potential vaccine escape continue to threaten stability of healthcare systems worldwide, and sustained vigilance against HCW infection remains a priority. Enhanced risk assessments should be considered for HCWs of black ethnicity, physiotherapists and those working in acute medicine or medical subspecialties. Workplace risk reduction measures include ongoing access to high-quality PPE and effective social distancing measures.

Diagnostic accuracy of multiplex respiratory pathogen panels for influenza or respiratory syncytial virus infections: systematic review and meta-analysis

Respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) and influenza viruses are important global causes of morbidity and mortality. We evaluated the diagnostic accuracy of the Luminex NxTAG respiratory pathogen panels (RPPs)™ (index) against other RPPs (comparator) for detection of RSV and influenza viruses. Studies comparing human clinical respiratory samples tested with the index and at least one comparator test were included. A random-effect latent class meta-analysis was performed to assess the specificity and sensitivity of the index test for RSV and influenza. Risk of bias was assessed using the QUADAS-2 tool and certainty of evidence using GRADE. Ten studies were included. For RSV, predicted sensitivity was 99% (95% credible interval [CrI] 96-100%) and specificity 100% (95% CrI 98-100%). For influenza A and B, predicted sensitivity was 97% (95% CrI 89-100) and 98% (95% CrI 88-100) respectively; specificity 100% (95% CrI 99-100) and 100% (95% CrI 99-100), respectively. Evidence was low certainty. Although index sensitivity and specificity were excellent, comparators' performance varied. Further research with clear patient recruitment strategies could ascertain performance across different populations.Protocol Registration: Prospero CRD42021272062.

S7.1d Reliability of bedside point-of-care tests for Candida neoformans , M. tuberculosis and S. pneumoniae in adults living with HIV presenting with suspected central nervous system infection (CNS) in low- and middle-income settings: Preliminary results from the DREAMM study

S7.1 Update in management of fungal infection in adult hematology, September 23, 2022, 10:30 AM - 12:00 PM

 

Background

Bedside point-of-care (POC) testing, with parallel laboratory testing, represents a unique opportunity to improve and speed up the diagnostic workup of people living with HIV with suspected CNS infection in resource-limited settings.

Objectives

To assess the agreement between POC tests for Cryptococcus neoformans, Mycobacterium tuberculosis, and Streptococcus pneumoniae performed at the bedside and in the routine laboratory, in African low- and middle-income countries (LMICs).

Methods

From January 2018 to March 2021, the following POC tests were performed in parallel at the bedside and in the routine laboratory: Cryptococcal antigen lateral flow assay (CrAg LFA, Immy) in blood and cerebrospinal fluid (CSF), tuberculosis lipoarabinomannan (TB-LAM, Alere) in urine, and, where indicated, pneumococcal antigen (Streptococcus pneumoniae (SP), Biosynex) in CSF.

Participants: HIV-infected adults (>18 years old) suspected of CNS infection.

Setting: The prospective multicenter DREAMM project (Driving Reduced AIDS Meningo-Encephalitis Mortality) in five hospital sites in Cameroon, Malawi, and Tanzania.

Primary outcome: Cohen's kappa statistic of agreement between the results of POC tests obtained at the bedside and the routine laboratory.

Results

The study included 356 consecutive participants (mean age 39.5 +/- 10 years; 68.7% ART-experienced; 46.3% male; median CD4 count 75/mm3; abnormal mental status 75%). In total, 148/355 (41.7%) participants had positive bedside CrAg in blood, 140/315 (44.4%) positive bedside CrAg in CSF, 64/339 (18.9%) positive bedside TB-LAM in urine, and 10/175 (5.7%) positive bedside SP in CSF. Kappa statistics evaluating agreement between bedside and laboratory test results were: 0.98 [95% confidence interval (CI) 0.96-1.00; n = 347] for blood CrAg, 0.99 (95%CI, 0.98-1.00; n = 307) for CSF CrAg, 0.92 (95% CI, 0.87-0.98; n = 330) for urinary TB-LAM, and 0.68 (95%CI, 0.40-0.96; n = 34) for CSF SP.

Conclusions

Bedside POC tests for Cryptococcus spp. are highly reliable and can be safely performed in parallel to laboratory testing to expedite targeted treatment in people living with HIV with suspected CNS infection in African LMICs. Other bedside POC tests need further evaluation before large-scale implementation.

P449 Semi-quantitative cryptococcal antigen rapid test (CryptoPS, Biosynex®) for cryptococcal meningitis in patients living with HIV in Sub-Saharan Africa: prospective multicenter diagnostic accuracy study (DREAMM)

Poster session 3, September 23, 2022, 12:30 PM - 1:30 PM

 

Background

Cryptococcal meningitis (CM) remains a leading cause of HIV-related meningoencephalitis in African low- and middle-income countries (LMICs), causing 15%-20% of HIV-related deaths. Rapid Diagnostic Tests (RDTs) are powerful tools and key to speeding-up the diagnosis at the bedside, allowing for rapid and targeted treatment, especially in LMICs. For the past 10 years, Cryptococcal Antigen (CrAg) RDTs have a major role in CM management.

Driving Reduced AIDS Meningo-Encephalitis Mortality (DREAMM) was a multicenter implementation science study and a capacity-building project to reduce the mortality of HIV-related central nervous system infections (CNS). One of the main DREAMM approaches was to improve the diagnosis of CNS infections at the bedside and in parallel in local laboratories. Within DREAMM, HIV-infected, adult people living with HIV (>18 years old) with suspected CNS infections were recruited in five hospital sites in Cameroon, Malawi, and Tanzania.

Objectives

Our objective was to evaluate the implementation of CrAg CryptoPS (Biosynex, Illkirch Graffenstaden, France), a new semi-quantitative RDT, in routine care settings in Sub-Saharan Africa.

Methods

All CrAg CryptoPS performed were compared to the reference CrAg lateral flow assay (Immy®). The evaluation was done by the local research teams in four DREAMM laboratories sites. CrAg CryptoPS's implementation was evaluated in 301 plasma samples and 258 cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) samples from 320 participants (patients diagnosed with cerebral toxoplasmosis did not have a lumbar puncture). In this analysis, the results will be considered in a binary way (positive/negative).

Results

Between January 2018 and March 2021, 356 participants were prospectively enrolled with suspected HIV-related CNS infections, including CM, tuberculous meningitis, cerebral toxoplasmosis, and bacterial meningitis cases. Cryptococcal meningitis was the leading cause of CNS infections in Malawi and Tanzania with 66.3% (53/80) and 59.6% (59/99) cases respectively, and the second cause in Cameroon with 40.0% (39/90) cases after cerebral toxoplasmosis.

In plasma, CryptoPS's sensitivity was 99.23% (95% CI, 0.98-1.01) and specificity was 94.15% (95% CI, 0.91-0.98); positive and negative predictive values were 92.8% and 99.4%, respectively. In CSF, the sensitivity and specificity of CryptoPS were 100% (95% CI, 0.0-0.0), and 99.26% (95% CI, 0.98-1.01), respectively; positive and negative predictive values were both 100%. A low number of false-positives were observed (<4% in plasma and <0.5% in CSF).

Conclusion

CryptoPS was evaluated in a context of hospitalized patients within a project including all causes of HIV-related CNS infection, not only CM. The sensitivity and specificity of CryptoPS calculated in these preliminary results are promising. Semi-quantitative CryptoPS has the potential to be used to tailor antifungal therapy but further optimizations need to be done prior to large-scale implementation in African LMICs. In addition, future work to determine CrAg antigen titres is planned, in the perspective to optimize treatment of CrAg positive cases who decline lumbar puncture.

Duration of Antibiotic Therapy and Timing of Shunt Reimplantation in Pediatric CSF Shunt Infections: A Retrospective Multicenter Case Series

In this retrospective multicenter series of 154 children with cerebrospinal fluid shunt infections, the median (interquartile range) duration of antibiotic therapy was 18 (14-26) days. The time to shunt replacement was 14 (10-19) days. Management appeared to potentially differ according to the targeted pathogen and site.

Attractive targeted sugar bait phase III trials in Kenya, Mali, and Zambia

BACKGROUND

Long-lasting insecticidal nets (LLINs) and indoor residual spraying (IRS) target night-time indoor biting mosquitoes and effectively reduce malaria transmission in rural settings across Africa, but additional vector control tools are needed to interrupt transmission. Attractive targeted sugar baits (ATSBs) attract and kill mosquitoes, including those biting outdoors. Deployment of ATSBs incorporating the insecticide dinotefuran was associated with major reductions in mosquito density and longevity in Mali. The impact of this promising intervention on malaria transmission and morbidity now needs to be determined in a range of transmission settings.

METHODS/DESIGN

We will conduct three similar stand-alone, open-label, two-arm, cluster-randomized, controlled trials (cRCTs) in Mali, Kenya, and Zambia to determine the impact of ATSB + universal vector control versus universal vector control alone on clinical malaria. The trials will use a "fried-egg" design, with primary outcomes measured in the core area of each cluster to reduce spill-over effects. All household structures in the ATSB clusters will receive two ATSBs, but the impact will be measured in the core of clusters. Restricted randomization will be used. The primary outcome is clinical malaria incidence among children aged 5-14 years in Mali and 1-14 years in Kenya and Zambia. A key secondary outcome is malaria parasite prevalence across all ages. The trials will include 76 clusters (38 per arm) in Mali and 70 (35 per arm) in each of Kenya and Zambia. The trials are powered to detect a 30% reduction in clinical malaria, requiring a total of 3850 person-years of follow-up in Mali, 1260 person-years in Kenya, and 1610 person-years in Zambia. These sample sizes will be ascertained using two seasonal 8-month cohorts in Mali and two 6-month seasonal cohorts in Zambia. In Kenya, which has year-round transmission, four 6-month cohorts will be used (total 24 months of follow-up). The design allows for one interim analysis in Mali and Zambia and two in Kenya.

DISCUSSION

Strengths of the design include the use of multiple study sites with different transmission patterns and a range of vectors to improve external validity, a large number of clusters within each trial site, restricted randomization, between-cluster separation to minimize contamination between study arms, and an adaptive trial design. Noted threats to internal validity include open-label design, risk of contamination between study arms, risk of imbalance of covariates across study arms, variation in durability of ATSB stations, and potential disruption resulting from the COVID-19 pandemic.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

Zambia: ClinicalTrials.gov NCT04800055 . Registered on March 15, 2021 Mali: ClinicalTrials.gov NCT04149119 . Registered on November 4, 2019 Kenya: ClinicalTrials.gov NCT05219565 . Registered on February 2, 2022.

Insecticide-treated eave nets and window screens for malaria control in Chalinze district, Tanzania: a study protocol for a household randomised control trial

BACKGROUND

Long-lasting insecticidal nets (LLINs) have contributed to the reduction of malaria in sub-Saharan Africa, including Tanzania. However, they rely on daily user behaviour and high coverage which is difficult to maintain. Also, insecticide resistance among malaria vector mosquitoes is contributing to reduced efficacy of control tools. To overcome these problems, we propose to evaluate a new tool for house modification, the insecticide-treated eave nets (ITENs) in combination with insecticide-treated window screens (ITWS) incorporated with dual active ingredient (dual AI) for the control of malaria.

METHODS

Four hundred and fifty (450) households with intact walls, open eaves without screens or nets on the windows in Chalinze district will be eligible and recruited upon written informed consent. The households will be randomly allocated into two arms: one with ITENs and ITWS installed and the other without. Malaria parasite detection using a quantitative polymerase chain reaction (qPCR) will be conducted shortly after the long rain (June/July, 2022) as the primary outcome and shortly after the short rain (January/February, 2022) as the secondary outcome. Other secondary outcomes include clinical malaria cases, and density of malaria vectors and nuisance after the short rain and long rain. In addition, surveys will be conducted in households with ITENs and ITWS to estimate the intervention's cost during installation, adverse effects one month after installation, and presence, fabric integrity and user acceptance six and twelve months after installation. Bioefficacy and chemical content will be evaluated twelve months after installation.

DISCUSSION

ITENs and ITWS have been shown in Kenya to reduce indoor mosquito density. However, it is not known if indoor mosquito density reduction translates into reduction of malaria cases. Data from the study will measure the potential public health value of an additional intervention for malaria control at the household level in areas of mosquito insecticide resistance that does not require daily adherence.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

The study is registered on ClinicalTrials.gov .

Co-production of a CArdiac Brief INtervention (CABIN) for patients prior to discharge following acute myocardial infarction (AMI)

Funding Acknowledgements

Type of funding sources: Public grant(s) – National budget only. Main funding source(s): Public Health Agency Northern Ireland, Research and Development PhD Fellowship

Background

Recovery from AMI can be challenging for patients without adequate psychosocial support to overcome anxiety, address misconceptions and initiate lifestyle change (1,2). Reduced length of stay has minimised the opportunity for nurses to evaluate patients’ holistic needs and initiate effective in-hospital interventions (3). Patients and nurses discussed these challenges openly and worked together in this co-design study to develop a brief intervention for the pre-discharge period.

Method

A multi-site, co-design project was conducted with an exploratory phase of interviewing and focus groups with patients and staff involved in CR. The data from this exploratory phase informed a series of working-group meetings during which this intervention was developed.

Results

The CABIN (CArdiac Brief INtervention) offers brief, reassuring and compassionate discussions alongside educational content. CABIN consists of 8 components as seen in figure 1. It is designed to be used by nursing staff in the acute setting with patients following their AMI. Staff delivering the intervention must have full understanding of the local CR programme to offer practical advice if necessary.

Conclusion

CABIN provides a tangible means to emotionally support patients in the acute phase of recovery following AMI. It is envisaged that CABIN will empower acute clinical nursing staff to address the emotional needs of patients in a way which will encourage attendance at CR and subsequent recovery.

Using co-design to create user-friendly material promoting cardiac rehabilitation

Funding Acknowledgements

Type of funding sources: Public grant(s) – National budget only. Main funding source(s): Public Health Agency Northern Ireland, Research and Development PhD Fellowship

Background

Cardiac Rehabilitation (CR) participation rates remain stagnant across Europe at around 40%(1) , with similar low uptake in Northern Ireland. Patients in our Steering Group confirmed that misconceptions about CR and lack of clear explanations negatively influence their decision to attend. Patients can feel overwhelmed by the experience of a cardiac event and the importance of CR is easily overlooked. Co-production of a short information film could better inform patients, family and the public.

Methods

Focus groups and interviews with N=58. Patients and carers informed 2 co-design workshops identifying the need for an information film to be available to cardiac patients and their families. Between July and November 2021, virtual multidisciplinary staff and patient groups developed the film with all members contributing to the script, voice content and film footage. A professional film company produced the 90 second infomercial with direction from patients and CR professionals.

Results

The information film portrays the experiences of a male and female patient. Elements of CR that were perceived as attractive components by patients in the codesign workshops are portrayed including; one to one interactions between staff and patients, the diversity of CR teams, and comradery between patients. The film is designed to be viewed on multiple devices, in hospital and at home following discharge.

Conclusion

Providing information about CR through the media of film may help to dispel misconceptions of CR and promote its attractiveness to patients. The effectiveness of this film awaits evaluation following dissemination to staff and patients this year.

Evaluation of prognostic risk models for postoperative pulmonary complications in adult patients undergoing major abdominal surgery: a systematic review and international external validation cohort study

BACKGROUND

Stratifying risk of postoperative pulmonary complications after major abdominal surgery allows clinicians to modify risk through targeted interventions and enhanced monitoring. In this study, we aimed to identify and validate prognostic models against a new consensus definition of postoperative pulmonary complications.

METHODS

We did a systematic review and international external validation cohort study. The systematic review was done in accordance with the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses guidelines. We searched MEDLINE and Embase on March 1, 2020, for articles published in English that reported on risk prediction models for postoperative pulmonary complications following abdominal surgery. External validation of existing models was done within a prospective international cohort study of adult patients (≥18 years) undergoing major abdominal surgery. Data were collected between Jan 1, 2019, and April 30, 2019, in the UK, Ireland, and Australia. Discriminative ability and prognostic accuracy summary statistics were compared between models for the 30-day postoperative pulmonary complication rate as defined by the Standardised Endpoints in Perioperative Medicine Core Outcome Measures in Perioperative and Anaesthetic Care (StEP-COMPAC). Model performance was compared using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROCC).

FINDINGS

In total, we identified 2903 records from our literature search; of which, 2514 (86·6%) unique records were screened, 121 (4·8%) of 2514 full texts were assessed for eligibility, and 29 unique prognostic models were identified. Nine (31·0%) of 29 models had score development reported only, 19 (65·5%) had undergone internal validation, and only four (13·8%) had been externally validated. Data to validate six eligible models were collected in the international external validation cohort study. Data from 11 591 patients were available, with an overall postoperative pulmonary complication rate of 7·8% (n=903). None of the six models showed good discrimination (defined as AUROCC ≥0·70) for identifying postoperative pulmonary complications, with the Assess Respiratory Risk in Surgical Patients in Catalonia score showing the best discrimination (AUROCC 0·700 [95% CI 0·683-0·717]).

INTERPRETATION

In the pre-COVID-19 pandemic data, variability in the risk of pulmonary complications (StEP-COMPAC definition) following major abdominal surgery was poorly described by existing prognostication tools. To improve surgical safety during the COVID-19 pandemic recovery and beyond, novel risk stratification tools are required.

FUNDING

British Journal of Surgery Society.

Quantifying Reductions in Plasmodium falciparum Infectivity to Mosquitos: A Sample Size Calculator to Inform Clinical Trials on Transmission-Reducing Interventions

Malaria transmission depends on the presence of mature Plasmodium transmission stages (gametocytes) that may render blood-feeding Anopheles mosquitos infectious. Transmission-blocking antimalarial drugs and vaccines can prevent transmission by reducing gametocyte densities or infectivity to mosquitos. Mosquito infection outcomes are thereby informative biological endpoints of clinical trials with transmission blocking interventions. Nevertheless, trials are often primarily designed to determine intervention safety; transmission blocking efficacy is difficult to incorporate in sample size considerations due to variation in infection outcomes and considerable inter-study variation. Here, we use clinical trial data from studies in malaria naive and naturally exposed study participants to present an online sample size calculator tool. This sample size calculator allows studies to be powered to detect reductions in the proportion of infected mosquitos or infection burden (oocyst density) in mosquitos. The utility of this online tool is illustrated using trial data with transmission blocking malaria drugs.

Assessing the impact of a novel house design on the incidence of malaria in children in rural Africa: study protocol for a household-cluster randomized controlled superiority trial

Background

Traditional rural housing in hot, humid regions of sub-Saharan Africa usually consists of single-level, poorly ventilated dwellings. Houses are mostly poorly screened against malaria mosquitoes and limited airflow discourages the use of bednets resulting in high indoor transmission. This study aims to determine whether living in a novel design house with elevated bedrooms and permeable screened walls reduces malaria, respiratory tract infections, and diarrhoea among children in rural Tanzania.

Methods/study design

This is a household-randomized, controlled study in 60 villages in Mtwara, Tanzania. A total of 550 households are randomly selected, 110 of which are allocated a novel design house and 440 households continue to reside in traditional houses. A dynamic cohort of about 1650 children under 13 years will be enrolled and followed for 3 years, approximately 330 living in novel design houses and 1320 in traditional rural houses. The primary endpoint is the incidence of malaria; secondary endpoints are incidences of acute respiratory tract infections and diarrhoea diseases detected by passive and active surveillance. Exposure to malaria vectors will be assessed using light traps in all study houses. Structural, economic, and social science studies will assess the durability, cost-effectiveness, and acceptability of the new houses compared with traditional housing. Environmental data will be collected indoors and outdoors in study homes to assess the differences between house typologies.

Discussion

This is the first randomized controlled trial to assess the protective efficacy of a new house design targeting malaria in sub-Saharan Africa. The findings of this study could influence the future construction of homes in hot and humid zones of Africa.

Trial registration

ClinicalTrials.govNCT04529434. Registered on August 27, 2020

Cerebrospinal Fluid Shunt Infections: A Multicenter Pediatric Study

BACKGROUND

Infections complicate 5%-10% of cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) shunts. We aimed to describe the characteristics and contemporary pathogens of shunt infections in children in Canada and the United States.

METHODS

Descriptive case series at tertiary care hospitals in Canada (N = 8) and the United States (N = 3) of children up to 18 years of age with CSF shunt infections from July 1, 2013, through June 30, 2019.

RESULTS

There were 154 children (43% female, median age 2.7 years, 50% premature) with ≥1 CSF shunt infections. Median time between shunt placement and infection was 54 days (interquartile range, 24 days-2.3 years). Common pathogens were coagulase-negative staphylococci (N = 42; 28%), methicillin-susceptible Staphylococcus aureus (N = 24; 16%), methicillin-resistant S. aureus (N = 9; 5.9%), Pseudomonas aeruginosa (N = 9; 5.9%) and other Gram-negative bacilli (N = 14; 9.0%). Significant differences between pathogens were observed, including timing of infection (P = 0.023) and CSF leukocyte count (P = 0.0019); however, differences were not sufficient to reliably predict the causative organism based on the timing of infection or discriminate P. aeruginosa from other pathogens based on clinical features. Empiric antibiotic regimens, which included vancomycin (71%), cefotaxime or ceftriaxone (29%) and antipseudomonal beta-lactams (33%), were discordant with the pathogen isolated in five cases. There was variability between sites in the distribution of pathogens and choice of empiric antibiotics. Nine children died; 4 (44%) deaths were attributed to shunt infection.

CONCLUSIONS

Staphylococci remain the most common cause of CSF shunt infections, although antibiotic resistant Gram-negative bacilli occur and cannot be reliably predicted based on clinical characteristics.

Using trained dogs and organic semi-conducting sensors to identify asymptomatic and mild SARS-CoV-2 infections: an observational study

BACKGROUND

A rapid, accurate, non-invasive diagnostic screen is needed to identify people with SARS-CoV-2 infection. We investigated whether organic semi-conducting (OSC) sensors and trained dogs could distinguish between people infected with asymptomatic or mild symptoms, and uninfected individuals, and the impact of screening at ports-of-entry.

METHODS

Odour samples were collected from adults, and SARS-CoV-2 infection status confirmed using RT-PCR. OSC sensors captured the volatile organic compound (VOC) profile of odour samples. Trained dogs were tested in a double-blind trial to determine their ability to detect differences in VOCs between infected and uninfected individuals, with sensitivity and specificity as the primary outcome. Mathematical modelling was used to investigate the impact of bio-detection dogs for screening.

RESULTS

About, 3921 adults were enrolled in the study and odour samples collected from 1097 SARS-CoV-2 infected and 2031 uninfected individuals. OSC sensors were able to distinguish between SARS-CoV-2 infected individuals and uninfected, with sensitivity from 98% (95% CI 95-100) to 100% and specificity from 99% (95% CI 97-100) to 100%. Six dogs were able to distinguish between samples with sensitivity ranging from 82% (95% CI 76-87) to 94% (95% CI 89-98) and specificity ranging from 76% (95% CI 70-82) to 92% (95% CI 88-96). Mathematical modelling suggests that dog screening plus a confirmatory PCR test could detect up to 89% of SARS-CoV-2 infections, averting up to 2.2 times as much transmission compared to isolation of symptomatic individuals only.

CONCLUSIONS

People infected with SARS-CoV-2, with asymptomatic or mild symptoms, have a distinct odour that can be identified by sensors and trained dogs with a high degree of accuracy. Odour-based diagnostics using sensors and/or dogs may prove a rapid and effective tool for screening large numbers of people.Trial Registration NCT04509713 (clinicaltrials.gov).