1
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Matteson NL, Hassler GW, Kurzban E, Schwab MA, Perkins SA, Gangavarapu K, Levy JI, Parker E, Pride D, Hakim A, De Hoff P, Cheung W, Castro-Martinez A, Rivera A, Veder A, Rivera A, Wauer C, Holmes J, Wilson J, Ngo SN, Plascencia A, Lawrence ES, Smoot EW, Eisner ER, Tsai R, Chacón M, Baer NA, Seaver P, Salido RA, Aigner S, Ngo TT, Barber T, Ostrander T, Fielding-Miller R, Simmons EH, Zazueta OE, Serafin-Higuera I, Sanchez-Alavez M, Moreno-Camacho JL, García-Gil A, Murphy Schafer AR, McDonald E, Corrigan J, Malone JD, Stous S, Shah S, Moshiri N, Weiss A, Anderson C, Aceves CM, Spencer EG, Hufbauer EC, Lee JJ, King AJ, Ramesh KS, Nguyen KN, Saucedo K, Robles-Sikisaka R, Fisch KM, Gonias SL, Birmingham A, McDonald D, Karthikeyan S, Martin NK, Schooley RT, Negrete AJ, Reyna HJ, Chavez JR, Garcia ML, Cornejo-Bravo JM, Becker D, Isaksson M, Washington NL, Lee W, Garfein RS, Luna-Ruiz Esparza MA, Alcántar-Fernández J, Henson B, Jepsen K, Olivares-Flores B, Barrera-Badillo G, Lopez-Martínez I, Ramírez-González JE, Flores-León R, Kingsmore SF, Sanders A, Pradenas A, White B, Matthews G, Hale M, McLawhon RW, Reed SL, Winbush T, McHardy IH, Fielding RA, Nicholson L, Quigley MM, Harding A, Mendoza A, Bakhtar O, Browne SH, Olivas Flores J, Rincon Rodríguez DG, Gonzalez Ibarra M, Robles Ibarra LC, Arellano Vera BJ, Gonzalez Garcia J, Harvey-Vera A, Knight R, Laurent LC, Yeo GW, Wertheim JO, Ji X, Worobey M, Suchard MA, Andersen KG, Campos-Romero A, Wohl S, Zeller M. Genomic surveillance reveals dynamic shifts in the connectivity of COVID-19 epidemics. Cell 2023; 186:5690-5704.e20. [PMID: 38101407 PMCID: PMC10795731 DOI: 10.1016/j.cell.2023.11.024] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/12/2023] [Revised: 08/21/2023] [Accepted: 11/21/2023] [Indexed: 12/17/2023]
Abstract
The maturation of genomic surveillance in the past decade has enabled tracking of the emergence and spread of epidemics at an unprecedented level. During the COVID-19 pandemic, for example, genomic data revealed that local epidemics varied considerably in the frequency of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) lineage importation and persistence, likely due to a combination of COVID-19 restrictions and changing connectivity. Here, we show that local COVID-19 epidemics are driven by regional transmission, including across international boundaries, but can become increasingly connected to distant locations following the relaxation of public health interventions. By integrating genomic, mobility, and epidemiological data, we find abundant transmission occurring between both adjacent and distant locations, supported by dynamic mobility patterns. We find that changing connectivity significantly influences local COVID-19 incidence. Our findings demonstrate a complex meaning of "local" when investigating connected epidemics and emphasize the importance of collaborative interventions for pandemic prevention and mitigation.
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Affiliation(s)
| | - Gabriel W Hassler
- Department of Computational Medicine, University of California, Los Angeles, Los Angeles, CA, USA
| | - Ezra Kurzban
- Department of Immunology and Microbiology, Scripps Research, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Madison A Schwab
- Department of Immunology and Microbiology, Scripps Research, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Sarah A Perkins
- Department of Immunology and Microbiology, Scripps Research, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Karthik Gangavarapu
- Department of Biomathematics, David Geffen School of Medicine at UCLA, University of California, Los Angeles, Los Angeles, CA, USA; Department of Immunology and Microbiology, Scripps Research, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Joshua I Levy
- Department of Immunology and Microbiology, Scripps Research, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Edyth Parker
- Department of Immunology and Microbiology, Scripps Research, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - David Pride
- Department of Pathology, University of California, San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA; Department of Medicine, University of California, San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Abbas Hakim
- Expedited COVID Identification Environment (EXCITE) Laboratory, Department of Pediatrics, University of California, San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA; Department of Obstetrics, Gynecology, and Reproductive Sciences, University of California, San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA; COVID-19 Detection, Investigation, Surveillance, Clinical, and Outbreak Response, California Department of Public Health, Richmond, CA, USA
| | - Peter De Hoff
- Expedited COVID Identification Environment (EXCITE) Laboratory, Department of Pediatrics, University of California, San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA; Department of Obstetrics, Gynecology, and Reproductive Sciences, University of California, San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA; COVID-19 Detection, Investigation, Surveillance, Clinical, and Outbreak Response, California Department of Public Health, Richmond, CA, USA
| | - Willi Cheung
- Expedited COVID Identification Environment (EXCITE) Laboratory, Department of Pediatrics, University of California, San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA; Department of Obstetrics, Gynecology, and Reproductive Sciences, University of California, San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA; COVID-19 Detection, Investigation, Surveillance, Clinical, and Outbreak Response, California Department of Public Health, Richmond, CA, USA
| | - Anelizze Castro-Martinez
- Expedited COVID Identification Environment (EXCITE) Laboratory, Department of Pediatrics, University of California, San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA; Department of Obstetrics, Gynecology, and Reproductive Sciences, University of California, San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA; Sanford Consortium of Regenerative Medicine, University of California, San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Andrea Rivera
- Expedited COVID Identification Environment (EXCITE) Laboratory, Department of Pediatrics, University of California, San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Anthony Veder
- Expedited COVID Identification Environment (EXCITE) Laboratory, Department of Pediatrics, University of California, San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Ariana Rivera
- Expedited COVID Identification Environment (EXCITE) Laboratory, Department of Pediatrics, University of California, San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Cassandra Wauer
- Expedited COVID Identification Environment (EXCITE) Laboratory, Department of Pediatrics, University of California, San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Jacqueline Holmes
- Expedited COVID Identification Environment (EXCITE) Laboratory, Department of Pediatrics, University of California, San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Jedediah Wilson
- Expedited COVID Identification Environment (EXCITE) Laboratory, Department of Pediatrics, University of California, San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Shayla N Ngo
- Expedited COVID Identification Environment (EXCITE) Laboratory, Department of Pediatrics, University of California, San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Ashley Plascencia
- Expedited COVID Identification Environment (EXCITE) Laboratory, Department of Pediatrics, University of California, San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Elijah S Lawrence
- Expedited COVID Identification Environment (EXCITE) Laboratory, Department of Pediatrics, University of California, San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Elizabeth W Smoot
- Expedited COVID Identification Environment (EXCITE) Laboratory, Department of Pediatrics, University of California, San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Emily R Eisner
- Expedited COVID Identification Environment (EXCITE) Laboratory, Department of Pediatrics, University of California, San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Rebecca Tsai
- Expedited COVID Identification Environment (EXCITE) Laboratory, Department of Pediatrics, University of California, San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Marisol Chacón
- Expedited COVID Identification Environment (EXCITE) Laboratory, Department of Pediatrics, University of California, San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Nathan A Baer
- Expedited COVID Identification Environment (EXCITE) Laboratory, Department of Pediatrics, University of California, San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Phoebe Seaver
- Expedited COVID Identification Environment (EXCITE) Laboratory, Department of Pediatrics, University of California, San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Rodolfo A Salido
- Expedited COVID Identification Environment (EXCITE) Laboratory, Department of Pediatrics, University of California, San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Stefan Aigner
- Expedited COVID Identification Environment (EXCITE) Laboratory, Department of Pediatrics, University of California, San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Toan T Ngo
- Expedited COVID Identification Environment (EXCITE) Laboratory, Department of Pediatrics, University of California, San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Tom Barber
- Expedited COVID Identification Environment (EXCITE) Laboratory, Department of Pediatrics, University of California, San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Tyler Ostrander
- Expedited COVID Identification Environment (EXCITE) Laboratory, Department of Pediatrics, University of California, San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Rebecca Fielding-Miller
- Herbert Wertheim School of Public Health and Human Longevity Science, University of California, San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA; Division of Infectious Disease and Global Public Health, University of California, San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | | | - Oscar E Zazueta
- Department of Epidemiology, Secretaria de Salud de Baja California, Tijuana, Baja California, Mexico
| | | | - Manuel Sanchez-Alavez
- Centro de Diagnostico COVID-19 UABC, Tijuana, Baja California, Mexico; Department of Molecular Medicine, Scripps Research, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | | | - Abraham García-Gil
- Clinical Laboratory Department, Salud Digna, A.C, Tijuana, Baja California, Mexico
| | | | - Eric McDonald
- County of San Diego Health and Human Services Agency, San Diego, CA, USA
| | - Jeremy Corrigan
- County of San Diego Health and Human Services Agency, San Diego, CA, USA
| | - John D Malone
- County of San Diego Health and Human Services Agency, San Diego, CA, USA
| | - Sarah Stous
- County of San Diego Health and Human Services Agency, San Diego, CA, USA
| | - Seema Shah
- County of San Diego Health and Human Services Agency, San Diego, CA, USA
| | - Niema Moshiri
- Department of Computer Science and Engineering, University of California, San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Alana Weiss
- Department of Immunology and Microbiology, Scripps Research, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Catelyn Anderson
- Department of Immunology and Microbiology, Scripps Research, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Christine M Aceves
- Department of Immunology and Microbiology, Scripps Research, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Emily G Spencer
- Department of Immunology and Microbiology, Scripps Research, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Emory C Hufbauer
- Department of Immunology and Microbiology, Scripps Research, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Justin J Lee
- Department of Immunology and Microbiology, Scripps Research, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Alison J King
- Department of Immunology and Microbiology, Scripps Research, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Karthik S Ramesh
- Department of Immunology and Microbiology, Scripps Research, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Kelly N Nguyen
- Department of Immunology and Microbiology, Scripps Research, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Kieran Saucedo
- Department of Immunology and Microbiology, Scripps Research, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | | | - Kathleen M Fisch
- Department of Obstetrics, Gynecology, and Reproductive Sciences, University of California, San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA; Center for Computational Biology and Bioinformatics, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Steven L Gonias
- Department of Pathology, University of California, San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Amanda Birmingham
- Department of Pediatrics, University of California, San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Daniel McDonald
- Department of Pediatrics, University of California, San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Smruthi Karthikeyan
- Department of Pediatrics, University of California, San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Natasha K Martin
- Division of Infectious Disease and Global Public Health, University of California, San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Robert T Schooley
- Division of Infectious Disease and Global Public Health, University of California, San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Agustin J Negrete
- Facultad de Ciencias de la Salud Universidad Autonoma de Baja California Valle de Las Palmas, Tijuana, Baja California, Mexico
| | - Horacio J Reyna
- Facultad de Ciencias de la Salud Universidad Autonoma de Baja California Valle de Las Palmas, Tijuana, Baja California, Mexico
| | - Jose R Chavez
- Facultad de Ciencias de la Salud Universidad Autonoma de Baja California Valle de Las Palmas, Tijuana, Baja California, Mexico
| | - Maria L Garcia
- Facultad de Ciencias de la Salud Universidad Autonoma de Baja California Valle de Las Palmas, Tijuana, Baja California, Mexico
| | - Jose M Cornejo-Bravo
- Facultad de Ciencias Quimicas e Ingenieria, Universidad Autonoma de Baja California, Tijuana, Baja California, Mexico
| | | | | | | | | | - Richard S Garfein
- Herbert Wertheim School of Public Health and Human Longevity Science, University of California, San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | | | | | - Benjamin Henson
- Institute for Genomic Medicine, University of California, San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Kristen Jepsen
- Institute for Genomic Medicine, University of California, San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Beatriz Olivares-Flores
- Instituto de Diagnóstico y Referencia Epidemiológicos (InDRE), Ciudad de México, CDMX, Mexico
| | - Gisela Barrera-Badillo
- Instituto de Diagnóstico y Referencia Epidemiológicos (InDRE), Ciudad de México, CDMX, Mexico
| | - Irma Lopez-Martínez
- Instituto de Diagnóstico y Referencia Epidemiológicos (InDRE), Ciudad de México, CDMX, Mexico
| | - José E Ramírez-González
- Instituto de Diagnóstico y Referencia Epidemiológicos (InDRE), Ciudad de México, CDMX, Mexico
| | - Rita Flores-León
- Instituto de Diagnóstico y Referencia Epidemiológicos (InDRE), Ciudad de México, CDMX, Mexico
| | | | - Alison Sanders
- Return to Learn, University of California, San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Allorah Pradenas
- Return to Learn, University of California, San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Benjamin White
- Return to Learn, University of California, San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Gary Matthews
- Return to Learn, University of California, San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Matt Hale
- Return to Learn, University of California, San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Ronald W McLawhon
- Return to Learn, University of California, San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Sharon L Reed
- Return to Learn, University of California, San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Terri Winbush
- Return to Learn, University of California, San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | - Sara H Browne
- Division of Infectious Disease and Global Public Health, University of California, San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA; Specialist in Global Health, Encinitas, CA, USA
| | - Jocelyn Olivas Flores
- Facultad de Ciencias Quimicas e Ingenieria, Universidad Autonoma de Baja California, Tijuana, Baja California, Mexico; University of HealthMx, Tijuana, Baja California, Mexico
| | - Diana G Rincon Rodríguez
- University of HealthMx, Tijuana, Baja California, Mexico; Facultad de Medicina, Universidad Xochicalco, Tijuana, Baja California, Mexico
| | - Martin Gonzalez Ibarra
- University of HealthMx, Tijuana, Baja California, Mexico; Facultad de Medicina, Universidad Xochicalco, Tijuana, Baja California, Mexico
| | - Luis C Robles Ibarra
- University of HealthMx, Tijuana, Baja California, Mexico; Instituto de Seguridad y Servicios Sociales de los Trabajadores del Estado, Tijuana, Baja California, Mexico
| | - Betsy J Arellano Vera
- University of HealthMx, Tijuana, Baja California, Mexico; Instituto Mexicano del Seguro Social, Tijuana, Baja California, Mexico
| | - Jonathan Gonzalez Garcia
- University of HealthMx, Tijuana, Baja California, Mexico; SIMNSA, Tijuana, Baja California, Mexico
| | | | - Rob Knight
- Department of Computer Science and Engineering, University of California, San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA; Department of Pediatrics, University of California, San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA; Department of Bioengineering, University of California, San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Louise C Laurent
- Expedited COVID Identification Environment (EXCITE) Laboratory, Department of Pediatrics, University of California, San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA; Department of Obstetrics, Gynecology, and Reproductive Sciences, University of California, San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA; Sanford Consortium of Regenerative Medicine, University of California, San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Gene W Yeo
- Expedited COVID Identification Environment (EXCITE) Laboratory, Department of Pediatrics, University of California, San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA; Sanford Consortium of Regenerative Medicine, University of California, San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA; Department of Cellular and Molecular Medicine, University of California, San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Joel O Wertheim
- Department of Medicine, University of California, San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Xiang Ji
- Department of Mathematics, School of Science and Engineering, Tulane University, New Orleans, LA, USA
| | - Michael Worobey
- Department of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ, USA
| | - Marc A Suchard
- Department of Human Genetics, University of California, Los Angeles, Los Angeles, CA, USA
| | - Kristian G Andersen
- Department of Immunology and Microbiology, Scripps Research, La Jolla, CA, USA.
| | - Abraham Campos-Romero
- Innovation and Research Department, Salud Digna, A.C, Tijuana, Baja California, Mexico
| | - Shirlee Wohl
- Department of Immunology and Microbiology, Scripps Research, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Mark Zeller
- Department of Immunology and Microbiology, Scripps Research, La Jolla, CA, USA.
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2
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Gangavarapu K, Latif AA, Mullen JL, Alkuzweny M, Hufbauer E, Tsueng G, Haag E, Zeller M, Aceves CM, Zaiets K, Cano M, Zhou X, Qian Z, Sattler R, Matteson NL, Levy JI, Lee RTC, Freitas L, Maurer-Stroh S, Suchard MA, Wu C, Su AI, Andersen KG, Hughes LD. Outbreak.info genomic reports: scalable and dynamic surveillance of SARS-CoV-2 variants and mutations. Nat Methods 2023; 20:512-522. [PMID: 36823332 PMCID: PMC10399614 DOI: 10.1038/s41592-023-01769-3] [Citation(s) in RCA: 78] [Impact Index Per Article: 78.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/03/2022] [Accepted: 01/17/2023] [Indexed: 02/25/2023]
Abstract
In response to the emergence of SARS-CoV-2 variants of concern, the global scientific community, through unprecedented effort, has sequenced and shared over 11 million genomes through GISAID, as of May 2022. This extraordinarily high sampling rate provides a unique opportunity to track the evolution of the virus in near real-time. Here, we present outbreak.info , a platform that currently tracks over 40 million combinations of Pango lineages and individual mutations, across over 7,000 locations, to provide insights for researchers, public health officials and the general public. We describe the interpretable visualizations available in our web application, the pipelines that enable the scalable ingestion of heterogeneous sources of SARS-CoV-2 variant data and the server infrastructure that enables widespread data dissemination via a high-performance API that can be accessed using an R package. We show how outbreak.info can be used for genomic surveillance and as a hypothesis-generation tool to understand the ongoing pandemic at varying geographic and temporal scales.
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Affiliation(s)
- Karthik Gangavarapu
- Department of Human Genetics, David Geffen School of Medicine, University of California Los Angeles, Los Angeles, CA, USA.
- Department of Immunology and Microbiology, The Scripps Research Institute, La Jolla, CA, USA.
| | - Alaa Abdel Latif
- Department of Immunology and Microbiology, The Scripps Research Institute, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Julia L Mullen
- Department of Integrative Structural and Computational Biology, The Scripps Research Institute, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Manar Alkuzweny
- Department of Immunology and Microbiology, The Scripps Research Institute, La Jolla, CA, USA
- Department of Biological Sciences, University of Notre Dame, Notre Dame, IN, USA
| | - Emory Hufbauer
- Department of Immunology and Microbiology, The Scripps Research Institute, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Ginger Tsueng
- Department of Integrative Structural and Computational Biology, The Scripps Research Institute, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Emily Haag
- Department of Integrative Structural and Computational Biology, The Scripps Research Institute, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Mark Zeller
- Department of Immunology and Microbiology, The Scripps Research Institute, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Christine M Aceves
- Department of Immunology and Microbiology, The Scripps Research Institute, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Karina Zaiets
- Department of Integrative Structural and Computational Biology, The Scripps Research Institute, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Marco Cano
- Department of Integrative Structural and Computational Biology, The Scripps Research Institute, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Xinghua Zhou
- Department of Integrative Structural and Computational Biology, The Scripps Research Institute, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Zhongchao Qian
- Department of Integrative Structural and Computational Biology, The Scripps Research Institute, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Rachel Sattler
- Skaggs Graduate School of Biological and Chemical Sciences, The Scripps Research Institute, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Nathaniel L Matteson
- Department of Immunology and Microbiology, The Scripps Research Institute, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Joshua I Levy
- Department of Immunology and Microbiology, The Scripps Research Institute, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Raphael T C Lee
- GISAID Global Data Science Initiative, Munich, Germany
- Bioinformatics Institute & ID Labs, Agency for Science Technology and Research, Singapore, Singapore
| | - Lucas Freitas
- GISAID Global Data Science Initiative, Munich, Germany
- Oswaldo Cruz Foundation (FIOCRUZ), Rio de Janeiro, Brazil
| | - Sebastian Maurer-Stroh
- GISAID Global Data Science Initiative, Munich, Germany
- Bioinformatics Institute & ID Labs, Agency for Science Technology and Research, Singapore, Singapore
- National Centre for Infectious Diseases, Ministry of Health, Singapore, Singapore
- Department of Biological Sciences, National University of Singapore, Singapore, Singapore
| | - Marc A Suchard
- Department of Human Genetics, David Geffen School of Medicine, University of California Los Angeles, Los Angeles, CA, USA
- Department of Biomathematics, David Geffen School of Medicine, University of California Los Angeles, Los Angeles, CA, USA
- Department of Biostatistics, Fielding School of Public Health, University of California Los Angeles, Los Angeles, CA, USA
| | - Chunlei Wu
- Department of Integrative Structural and Computational Biology, The Scripps Research Institute, La Jolla, CA, USA
- Scripps Research Translational Institute, La Jolla, CA, USA
- Department of Molecular Medicine, The Scripps Research Institute, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Andrew I Su
- Department of Integrative Structural and Computational Biology, The Scripps Research Institute, La Jolla, CA, USA
- Scripps Research Translational Institute, La Jolla, CA, USA
- Department of Molecular Medicine, The Scripps Research Institute, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Kristian G Andersen
- Department of Immunology and Microbiology, The Scripps Research Institute, La Jolla, CA, USA
- Scripps Research Translational Institute, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Laura D Hughes
- Department of Integrative Structural and Computational Biology, The Scripps Research Institute, La Jolla, CA, USA.
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3
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Pekar JE, Magee A, Parker E, Moshiri N, Izhikevich K, Havens JL, Gangavarapu K, Malpica Serrano LM, Crits-Christoph A, Matteson NL, Zeller M, Levy JI, Wang JC, Hughes S, Lee J, Park H, Park MS, Ching KZY, Lin RTP, Mat Isa MN, Noor YM, Vasylyeva TI, Garry RF, Holmes EC, Rambaut A, Suchard MA, Andersen KG, Worobey M, Wertheim JO. The molecular epidemiology of multiple zoonotic origins of SARS-CoV-2. Science 2022; 377:960-966. [PMID: 35881005 PMCID: PMC9348752 DOI: 10.1126/science.abp8337] [Citation(s) in RCA: 73] [Impact Index Per Article: 36.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/03/2022] [Accepted: 07/18/2022] [Indexed: 01/08/2023]
Abstract
Understanding the circumstances that lead to pandemics is important for their prevention. We analyzed the genomic diversity of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) early in the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic. We show that SARS-CoV-2 genomic diversity before February 2020 likely comprised only two distinct viral lineages, denoted "A" and "B." Phylodynamic rooting methods, coupled with epidemic simulations, reveal that these lineages were the result of at least two separate cross-species transmission events into humans. The first zoonotic transmission likely involved lineage B viruses around 18 November 2019 (23 October to 8 December), and the separate introduction of lineage A likely occurred within weeks of this event. These findings indicate that it is unlikely that SARS-CoV-2 circulated widely in humans before November 2019 and define the narrow window between when SARS-CoV-2 first jumped into humans and when the first cases of COVID-19 were reported. As with other coronaviruses, SARS-CoV-2 emergence likely resulted from multiple zoonotic events.
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Affiliation(s)
- Jonathan E. Pekar
- Bioinformatics and Systems Biology Graduate Program, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA 92093, USA
- Department of Biomedical Informatics, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA 92093, USA
| | - Andrew Magee
- Department of Human Genetics, David Geffen School of Medicine, University of California Los Angeles, Los Angeles, CA 90095, USA
| | - Edyth Parker
- Department of Immunology and Microbiology, The Scripps Research Institute, La Jolla, CA 92037, USA
| | - Niema Moshiri
- Department of Computer Science and Engineering, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA 92093, USA
| | - Katherine Izhikevich
- Department of Computer Science and Engineering, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA 92093, USA
- Department of Mathematics, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA 92093, USA
| | - Jennifer L. Havens
- Bioinformatics and Systems Biology Graduate Program, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA 92093, USA
| | - Karthik Gangavarapu
- Department of Human Genetics, David Geffen School of Medicine, University of California Los Angeles, Los Angeles, CA 90095, USA
| | | | - Alexander Crits-Christoph
- W. Harry Feinstone Department of Molecular Microbiology and Immunology, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, Maryland 21205, USA
| | - Nathaniel L. Matteson
- Department of Immunology and Microbiology, The Scripps Research Institute, La Jolla, CA 92037, USA
| | - Mark Zeller
- Department of Immunology and Microbiology, The Scripps Research Institute, La Jolla, CA 92037, USA
| | - Joshua I. Levy
- Department of Immunology and Microbiology, The Scripps Research Institute, La Jolla, CA 92037, USA
| | - Jade C. Wang
- New York City Public Health Laboratory, New York City Department of Health and Mental Hygiene, New York, NY 11101, USA
| | - Scott Hughes
- New York City Public Health Laboratory, New York City Department of Health and Mental Hygiene, New York, NY 11101, USA
| | - Jungmin Lee
- Department of Microbiology, Institute for Viral Diseases, Biosafety Center, College of Medicine, Korea University, Seoul, South Korea
| | - Heedo Park
- Department of Microbiology, Institute for Viral Diseases, Biosafety Center, College of Medicine, Korea University, Seoul, South Korea
- BK21 Graduate Program, Department of Biomedical Sciences, Korea University College of Medicine, Seoul, 02841, Republic of Korea
| | - Man-Seong Park
- Department of Microbiology, Institute for Viral Diseases, Biosafety Center, College of Medicine, Korea University, Seoul, South Korea
- BK21 Graduate Program, Department of Biomedical Sciences, Korea University College of Medicine, Seoul, 02841, Republic of Korea
| | | | - Raymond Tzer Pin Lin
- National Public Health Laboratory, National Centre for Infectious Diseases, Singapore
| | - Mohd Noor Mat Isa
- Malaysia Genome and Vaccine Institute, Jalan Bangi, 43000 Kajang, Selangor, Malaysia
| | - Yusuf Muhammad Noor
- Malaysia Genome and Vaccine Institute, Jalan Bangi, 43000 Kajang, Selangor, Malaysia
| | - Tetyana I. Vasylyeva
- Department of Medicine, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA 92093, USA
| | - Robert F. Garry
- Tulane University, School of Medicine, Department of Microbiology and Immunology, New Orleans, LA 70112, USA
- Zalgen Labs, LCC, Frederick, MD 21703 USA
- Global Virus Network (GVN), Baltimore, MD 21201, USA
| | - Edward C. Holmes
- Sydney Institute for Infectious Diseases, School of Life and Environmental Sciences and School of Medical Sciences, The University of Sydney, Sydney, NSW 2006, Australia
| | - Andrew Rambaut
- Institute of Evolutionary Biology, University of Edinburgh, King's Buildings, Edinburgh, EH9 3FL, UK
| | - Marc A. Suchard
- Department of Human Genetics, David Geffen School of Medicine, University of California Los Angeles, Los Angeles, CA 90095, USA
- Department of Biomathematics, David Geffen School of Medicine, University of California Los Angeles, Los Angeles, CA 90095, USA
- Department of Biostatistics, Fielding School of Public Health, University of California Los Angeles, Los Angeles, CA 90095, USA
| | - Kristian G. Andersen
- Department of Immunology and Microbiology, The Scripps Research Institute, La Jolla, CA 92037, USA
- Scripps Research Translational Institute, La Jolla, CA 92037, USA
| | - Michael Worobey
- Department of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ 85721, USA
| | - Joel O. Wertheim
- Department of Medicine, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA 92093, USA
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4
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Karthikeyan S, Levy JI, De Hoff P, Humphrey G, Birmingham A, Jepsen K, Farmer S, Tubb HM, Valles T, Tribelhorn CE, Tsai R, Aigner S, Sathe S, Moshiri N, Henson B, Mark AM, Hakim A, Baer NA, Barber T, Belda-Ferre P, Chacón M, Cheung W, Cresini ES, Eisner ER, Lastrella AL, Lawrence ES, Marotz CA, Ngo TT, Ostrander T, Plascencia A, Salido RA, Seaver P, Smoot EW, McDonald D, Neuhard RM, Scioscia AL, Satterlund AM, Simmons EH, Abelman DB, Brenner D, Bruner JC, Buckley A, Ellison M, Gattas J, Gonias SL, Hale M, Hawkins F, Ikeda L, Jhaveri H, Johnson T, Kellen V, Kremer B, Matthews G, McLawhon RW, Ouillet P, Park D, Pradenas A, Reed S, Riggs L, Sanders A, Sollenberger B, Song A, White B, Winbush T, Aceves CM, Anderson C, Gangavarapu K, Hufbauer E, Kurzban E, Lee J, Matteson NL, Parker E, Perkins SA, Ramesh KS, Robles-Sikisaka R, Schwab MA, Spencer E, Wohl S, Nicholson L, Mchardy IH, Dimmock DP, Hobbs CA, Bakhtar O, Harding A, Mendoza A, Bolze A, Becker D, Cirulli ET, Isaksson M, Schiabor Barrett KM, Washington NL, Malone JD, Schafer AM, Gurfield N, Stous S, Fielding-Miller R, Garfein RS, Gaines T, Anderson C, Martin NK, Schooley R, Austin B, MacCannell DR, Kingsmore SF, Lee W, Shah S, McDonald E, Yu AT, Zeller M, Fisch KM, Longhurst C, Maysent P, Pride D, Khosla PK, Laurent LC, Yeo GW, Andersen KG, Knight R. Wastewater sequencing reveals early cryptic SARS-CoV-2 variant transmission. Nature 2022; 609:101-108. [PMID: 35798029 PMCID: PMC9433318 DOI: 10.1038/s41586-022-05049-6] [Citation(s) in RCA: 140] [Impact Index Per Article: 70.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/21/2021] [Accepted: 06/29/2022] [Indexed: 11/23/2022]
Abstract
As SARS-CoV-2 continues to spread and evolve, detecting emerging variants early is critical for public health interventions. Inferring lineage prevalence by clinical testing is infeasible at scale, especially in areas with limited resources, participation, or testing and/or sequencing capacity, which can also introduce biases1–3. SARS-CoV-2 RNA concentration in wastewater successfully tracks regional infection dynamics and provides less biased abundance estimates than clinical testing4,5. Tracking virus genomic sequences in wastewater would improve community prevalence estimates and detect emerging variants. However, two factors limit wastewater-based genomic surveillance: low-quality sequence data and inability to estimate relative lineage abundance in mixed samples. Here we resolve these critical issues to perform a high-resolution, 295-day wastewater and clinical sequencing effort, in the controlled environment of a large university campus and the broader context of the surrounding county. We developed and deployed improved virus concentration protocols and deconvolution software that fully resolve multiple virus strains from wastewater. We detected emerging variants of concern up to 14 days earlier in wastewater samples, and identified multiple instances of virus spread not captured by clinical genomic surveillance. Our study provides a scalable solution for wastewater genomic surveillance that allows early detection of SARS-CoV-2 variants and identification of cryptic transmission. Emerging SARS-CoV-2 variants of concern were detected early and multiple cases of virus spread not captured by clinical genomic surveillance were identified using high-resolution wastewater and clinical sequencing.
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Affiliation(s)
- Smruthi Karthikeyan
- Department of Pediatrics, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Joshua I Levy
- Department of Immunology and Microbiology, The Scripps Research Institute, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Peter De Hoff
- Expedited COVID Identification Environment (EXCITE) Laboratory, Department of Pediatrics, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA.,Department of Obstetrics, Gynecology, and Reproductive Sciences, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA.,COVID-19 Detection, Investigation, Surveillance, Clinical, and Outbreak Response, California Department of Public Health, Richmond, CA, USA
| | - Greg Humphrey
- Department of Pediatrics, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Amanda Birmingham
- Center for Computational Biology and Bioinformatics, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Kristen Jepsen
- Institute for Genomic Medicine, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Sawyer Farmer
- Department of Pediatrics, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Helena M Tubb
- Department of Pediatrics, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Tommy Valles
- Department of Pediatrics, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | | | - Rebecca Tsai
- Department of Pediatrics, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Stefan Aigner
- Expedited COVID Identification Environment (EXCITE) Laboratory, Department of Pediatrics, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Shashank Sathe
- Expedited COVID Identification Environment (EXCITE) Laboratory, Department of Pediatrics, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Niema Moshiri
- Department of Computer Science and Engineering, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Benjamin Henson
- Institute for Genomic Medicine, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Adam M Mark
- Center for Computational Biology and Bioinformatics, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Abbas Hakim
- Expedited COVID Identification Environment (EXCITE) Laboratory, Department of Pediatrics, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA.,Department of Obstetrics, Gynecology, and Reproductive Sciences, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA.,COVID-19 Detection, Investigation, Surveillance, Clinical, and Outbreak Response, California Department of Public Health, Richmond, CA, USA
| | - Nathan A Baer
- Expedited COVID Identification Environment (EXCITE) Laboratory, Department of Pediatrics, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Tom Barber
- Expedited COVID Identification Environment (EXCITE) Laboratory, Department of Pediatrics, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Pedro Belda-Ferre
- Expedited COVID Identification Environment (EXCITE) Laboratory, Department of Pediatrics, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Marisol Chacón
- Expedited COVID Identification Environment (EXCITE) Laboratory, Department of Pediatrics, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Willi Cheung
- Expedited COVID Identification Environment (EXCITE) Laboratory, Department of Pediatrics, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA.,Department of Obstetrics, Gynecology, and Reproductive Sciences, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA.,COVID-19 Detection, Investigation, Surveillance, Clinical, and Outbreak Response, California Department of Public Health, Richmond, CA, USA
| | - Evelyn S Cresini
- Expedited COVID Identification Environment (EXCITE) Laboratory, Department of Pediatrics, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Emily R Eisner
- Expedited COVID Identification Environment (EXCITE) Laboratory, Department of Pediatrics, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Alma L Lastrella
- Expedited COVID Identification Environment (EXCITE) Laboratory, Department of Pediatrics, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Elijah S Lawrence
- Expedited COVID Identification Environment (EXCITE) Laboratory, Department of Pediatrics, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Clarisse A Marotz
- Expedited COVID Identification Environment (EXCITE) Laboratory, Department of Pediatrics, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Toan T Ngo
- Expedited COVID Identification Environment (EXCITE) Laboratory, Department of Pediatrics, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Tyler Ostrander
- Expedited COVID Identification Environment (EXCITE) Laboratory, Department of Pediatrics, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Ashley Plascencia
- Expedited COVID Identification Environment (EXCITE) Laboratory, Department of Pediatrics, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Rodolfo A Salido
- Expedited COVID Identification Environment (EXCITE) Laboratory, Department of Pediatrics, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Phoebe Seaver
- Expedited COVID Identification Environment (EXCITE) Laboratory, Department of Pediatrics, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Elizabeth W Smoot
- Expedited COVID Identification Environment (EXCITE) Laboratory, Department of Pediatrics, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Daniel McDonald
- Department of Pediatrics, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Robert M Neuhard
- Operational Strategic Initiatives, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA.,Return to Learn, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Angela L Scioscia
- Department of Obstetrics, Gynecology, and Reproductive Sciences, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA.,Student Health and Well-Being, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | | | | | - Dismas B Abelman
- Return to Learn, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - David Brenner
- Return to Learn, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Judith C Bruner
- Return to Learn, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Anne Buckley
- Return to Learn, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Michael Ellison
- Return to Learn, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Jeffrey Gattas
- Return to Learn, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Steven L Gonias
- Department of Pathology, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Matt Hale
- Return to Learn, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Faith Hawkins
- Return to Learn, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Lydia Ikeda
- Return to Learn, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Hemlata Jhaveri
- Return to Learn, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Ted Johnson
- Return to Learn, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Vince Kellen
- Return to Learn, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Brendan Kremer
- Return to Learn, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Gary Matthews
- Return to Learn, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Ronald W McLawhon
- Return to Learn, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Pierre Ouillet
- Return to Learn, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Daniel Park
- Return to Learn, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Allorah Pradenas
- Return to Learn, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Sharon Reed
- Return to Learn, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Lindsay Riggs
- Return to Learn, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Alison Sanders
- Return to Learn, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | | | - Angela Song
- Operational Strategic Initiatives, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA.,Return to Learn, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Benjamin White
- Return to Learn, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Terri Winbush
- Return to Learn, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Christine M Aceves
- Department of Immunology and Microbiology, The Scripps Research Institute, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Catelyn Anderson
- Department of Immunology and Microbiology, The Scripps Research Institute, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Karthik Gangavarapu
- Department of Immunology and Microbiology, The Scripps Research Institute, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Emory Hufbauer
- Department of Immunology and Microbiology, The Scripps Research Institute, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Ezra Kurzban
- Department of Immunology and Microbiology, The Scripps Research Institute, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Justin Lee
- Department of Immunology and Microbiology, The Scripps Research Institute, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Nathaniel L Matteson
- Department of Immunology and Microbiology, The Scripps Research Institute, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Edyth Parker
- Department of Immunology and Microbiology, The Scripps Research Institute, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Sarah A Perkins
- Department of Immunology and Microbiology, The Scripps Research Institute, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Karthik S Ramesh
- Department of Immunology and Microbiology, The Scripps Research Institute, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Refugio Robles-Sikisaka
- Department of Immunology and Microbiology, The Scripps Research Institute, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Madison A Schwab
- Department of Immunology and Microbiology, The Scripps Research Institute, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Emily Spencer
- Department of Immunology and Microbiology, The Scripps Research Institute, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Shirlee Wohl
- Department of Immunology and Microbiology, The Scripps Research Institute, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | | | | | - David P Dimmock
- Rady Children's Institute for Genomic Medicine, San Diego, CA, USA
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | - John D Malone
- County of San Diego Health and Human Services Agency, San Diego, CA, USA
| | | | - Nikos Gurfield
- County of San Diego Health and Human Services Agency, San Diego, CA, USA
| | - Sarah Stous
- County of San Diego Health and Human Services Agency, San Diego, CA, USA
| | - Rebecca Fielding-Miller
- Herbert Wertheim School of Public Health and Human Longevity Science, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA.,Division of Infectious Disease and Global Public Health, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Richard S Garfein
- Herbert Wertheim School of Public Health and Human Longevity Science, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Tommi Gaines
- Division of Infectious Disease and Global Public Health, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Cheryl Anderson
- Herbert Wertheim School of Public Health and Human Longevity Science, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Natasha K Martin
- Division of Infectious Disease and Global Public Health, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Robert Schooley
- Division of Infectious Disease and Global Public Health, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | | | - Duncan R MacCannell
- Office of Advanced Molecular Detection, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, GA, USA
| | | | | | - Seema Shah
- County of San Diego Health and Human Services Agency, San Diego, CA, USA
| | - Eric McDonald
- County of San Diego Health and Human Services Agency, San Diego, CA, USA
| | - Alexander T Yu
- COVID-19 Detection, Investigation, Surveillance, Clinical, and Outbreak Response, California Department of Public Health, Richmond, CA, USA
| | - Mark Zeller
- Department of Immunology and Microbiology, The Scripps Research Institute, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Kathleen M Fisch
- Department of Obstetrics, Gynecology, and Reproductive Sciences, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA.,Center for Computational Biology and Bioinformatics, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Christopher Longhurst
- Department of Pediatrics, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA.,Department of Biomedical Informatics, University of California, San Diego, La Jolla, California, USA
| | - Patty Maysent
- Office of the UC San Diego Health CEO, University of California, San Diego, USA
| | - David Pride
- Departments of Pathology and Medicine, University of California, San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Pradeep K Khosla
- Department of Computer Science and Engineering, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Louise C Laurent
- Expedited COVID Identification Environment (EXCITE) Laboratory, Department of Pediatrics, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA.,Department of Obstetrics, Gynecology, and Reproductive Sciences, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA.,Sanford Consortium of Regenerative Medicine, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Gene W Yeo
- Expedited COVID Identification Environment (EXCITE) Laboratory, Department of Pediatrics, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA.,Sanford Consortium of Regenerative Medicine, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA.,Department of Cellular and Molecular Medicine, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Kristian G Andersen
- Department of Immunology and Microbiology, The Scripps Research Institute, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Rob Knight
- Department of Pediatrics, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA. .,Department of Computer Science and Engineering, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA. .,Department of Bioengineering, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA.
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5
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Gangavarapu K, Latif AA, Mullen JL, Alkuzweny M, Hufbauer E, Tsueng G, Haag E, Zeller M, Aceves CM, Zaiets K, Cano M, Zhou J, Qian Z, Sattler R, Matteson NL, Levy JI, Lee RTC, Freitas L, Maurer-Stroh S, Suchard MA, Wu C, Su AI, Andersen KG, Hughes LD. Outbreak.info genomic reports: scalable and dynamic surveillance of SARS-CoV-2 variants and mutations. Res Sq 2022:rs.3.rs-1723829. [PMID: 35794893 PMCID: PMC9258294 DOI: 10.21203/rs.3.rs-1723829/v1] [Citation(s) in RCA: 9] [Impact Index Per Article: 4.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 05/17/2023]
Abstract
The emergence of SARS-CoV-2 variants of concern has prompted the need for near real-time genomic surveillance to inform public health interventions. In response to this need, the global scientific community, through unprecedented effort, has sequenced and shared over 11 million genomes through GISAID, as of May 2022. This extraordinarily high sampling rate provides a unique opportunity to track the evolution of the virus in near real-time. Here, we present outbreak.info, a platform that currently tracks over 40 million combinations of PANGO lineages and individual mutations, across over 7,000 locations, to provide insights for researchers, public health officials, and the general public. We describe the interpretable and opinionated visualizations in the variant and location focussed reports available in our web application, the pipelines that enable the scalable ingestion of heterogeneous sources of SARS-CoV-2 variant data, and the server infrastructure that enables widespread data dissemination via a high performance API that can be accessed using an R package. We present a case study that illustrates how outbreak.info can be used for genomic surveillance and as a hypothesis generation tool to understand the ongoing pandemic at varying geographic and temporal scales. With an emphasis on scalability, interactivity, interpretability, and reusability, outbreak.info provides a template to enable genomic surveillance at a global and localized scale.
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Affiliation(s)
- Karthik Gangavarapu
- Department of Human Genetics, David Geffen School of Medicine, University of California Los Angeles, Los Angeles, CA 90095, USA
| | - Alaa Abdel Latif
- Department of Immunology and Microbiology, The Scripps Research Institute, La Jolla, CA 92037, USA
| | - Julia L. Mullen
- Department of Integrative, Structural and Computational Biology, The Scripps Research Institute, La Jolla, CA 92037, USA
| | - Manar Alkuzweny
- Department of Biological Sciences, University of Notre Dame, Notre Dame, IN 46556, USA
| | - Emory Hufbauer
- Department of Immunology and Microbiology, The Scripps Research Institute, La Jolla, CA 92037, USA
| | - Ginger Tsueng
- Department of Integrative, Structural and Computational Biology, The Scripps Research Institute, La Jolla, CA 92037, USA
| | - Emily Haag
- Department of Integrative, Structural and Computational Biology, The Scripps Research Institute, La Jolla, CA 92037, USA
| | - Mark Zeller
- Department of Immunology and Microbiology, The Scripps Research Institute, La Jolla, CA 92037, USA
| | - Christine M. Aceves
- Department of Immunology and Microbiology, The Scripps Research Institute, La Jolla, CA 92037, USA
| | - Karina Zaiets
- Department of Integrative, Structural and Computational Biology, The Scripps Research Institute, La Jolla, CA 92037, USA
| | - Marco Cano
- Department of Integrative, Structural and Computational Biology, The Scripps Research Institute, La Jolla, CA 92037, USA
| | - Jerry Zhou
- Department of Integrative, Structural and Computational Biology, The Scripps Research Institute, La Jolla, CA 92037, USA
| | - Zhongchao Qian
- Department of Integrative, Structural and Computational Biology, The Scripps Research Institute, La Jolla, CA 92037, USA
| | - Rachel Sattler
- Skaggs Graduate School of Biological and Chemical Sciences, The Scripps Research Institute, La Jolla, CA 92037, USA
| | - Nathaniel L Matteson
- Department of Immunology and Microbiology, The Scripps Research Institute, La Jolla, CA 92037, USA
| | - Joshua I. Levy
- Department of Immunology and Microbiology, The Scripps Research Institute, La Jolla, CA 92037, USA
| | - Raphael TC Lee
- GISAID Global Data Science Initiative (GISAID), Munich, Germany
- Bioinformatics Institute & ID Labs, Agency for Science Technology and Research, Singapore
| | - Lucas Freitas
- GISAID Global Data Science Initiative (GISAID), Munich, Germany
- Oswaldo Cruz Foundation (FIOCRUZ), Rio de Janeiro, Brazil
| | - Sebastian Maurer-Stroh
- GISAID Global Data Science Initiative (GISAID), Munich, Germany
- Bioinformatics Institute & ID Labs, Agency for Science Technology and Research, Singapore
- National Centre for Infectious Diseases, Ministry of Health, Singapore
- Department of Biological Sciences, National University of Singapore, Singapore
| | | | - Marc A. Suchard
- Department of Human Genetics, David Geffen School of Medicine, University of California Los Angeles, Los Angeles, CA 90095, USA
- Department of Biomathematics, David Geffen School of Medicine, University of California Los Angeles, Los Angeles, CA 90095, USA
- Department of Biostatistics, Fielding School of Public Health, University of California Los Angeles, Los Angeles, CA 90095, USA
| | - Chunlei Wu
- Department of Integrative, Structural and Computational Biology, The Scripps Research Institute, La Jolla, CA 92037, USA
- Scripps Research Translational Institute, La Jolla, CA 92037, USA
- Department of Molecular Medicine, The Scripps Research Institute, La Jolla, CA 92037, USA
| | - Andrew I. Su
- Department of Integrative, Structural and Computational Biology, The Scripps Research Institute, La Jolla, CA 92037, USA
- Scripps Research Translational Institute, La Jolla, CA 92037, USA
- Department of Molecular Medicine, The Scripps Research Institute, La Jolla, CA 92037, USA
| | - Kristian G. Andersen
- Department of Immunology and Microbiology, The Scripps Research Institute, La Jolla, CA 92037, USA
- Scripps Research Translational Institute, La Jolla, CA 92037, USA
| | - Laura D. Hughes
- Department of Integrative, Structural and Computational Biology, The Scripps Research Institute, La Jolla, CA 92037, USA
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6
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Karthikeyan S, Levy JI, De Hoff P, Humphrey G, Birmingham A, Jepsen K, Farmer S, Tubb HM, Valles T, Tribelhorn CE, Tsai R, Aigner S, Sathe S, Moshiri N, Henson B, Mark AM, Hakim A, Baer NA, Barber T, Belda-Ferre P, Chacón M, Cheung W, Cresini ES, Eisner ER, Lastrella AL, Lawrence ES, Marotz CA, Ngo TT, Ostrander T, Plascencia A, Salido RA, Seaver P, Smoot EW, McDonald D, Neuhard RM, Scioscia AL, Satterlund AM, Simmons EH, Abelman DB, Brenner D, Bruner JC, Buckley A, Ellison M, Gattas J, Gonias SL, Hale M, Hawkins F, Ikeda L, Jhaveri H, Johnson T, Kellen V, Kremer B, Matthews G, McLawhon RW, Ouillet P, Park D, Pradenas A, Reed S, Riggs L, Sanders A, Sollenberger B, Song A, White B, Winbush T, Aceves CM, Anderson C, Gangavarapu K, Hufbauer E, Kurzban E, Lee J, Matteson NL, Parker E, Perkins SA, Ramesh KS, Robles-Sikisaka R, Schwab MA, Spencer E, Wohl S, Nicholson L, Mchardy IH, Dimmock DP, Hobbs CA, Bakhtar O, Harding A, Mendoza A, Bolze A, Becker D, Cirulli ET, Isaksson M, Barrett KMS, Washington NL, Malone JD, Schafer AM, Gurfield N, Stous S, Fielding-Miller R, Garfein RS, Gaines T, Anderson C, Martin NK, Schooley R, Austin B, MacCannell DR, Kingsmore SF, Lee W, Shah S, McDonald E, Yu AT, Zeller M, Fisch KM, Longhurst C, Maysent P, Pride D, Khosla PK, Laurent LC, Yeo GW, Andersen KG, Knight R. Wastewater sequencing uncovers early, cryptic SARS-CoV-2 variant transmission. medRxiv 2022:2021.12.21.21268143. [PMID: 35411350 PMCID: PMC8996633 DOI: 10.1101/2021.12.21.21268143] [Citation(s) in RCA: 9] [Impact Index Per Article: 4.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 02/06/2023]
Abstract
As SARS-CoV-2 continues to spread and evolve, detecting emerging variants early is critical for public health interventions. Inferring lineage prevalence by clinical testing is infeasible at scale, especially in areas with limited resources, participation, or testing/sequencing capacity, which can also introduce biases. SARS-CoV-2 RNA concentration in wastewater successfully tracks regional infection dynamics and provides less biased abundance estimates than clinical testing. Tracking virus genomic sequences in wastewater would improve community prevalence estimates and detect emerging variants. However, two factors limit wastewater-based genomic surveillance: low-quality sequence data and inability to estimate relative lineage abundance in mixed samples. Here, we resolve these critical issues to perform a high-resolution, 295-day wastewater and clinical sequencing effort, in the controlled environment of a large university campus and the broader context of the surrounding county. We develop and deploy improved virus concentration protocols and deconvolution software that fully resolve multiple virus strains from wastewater. We detect emerging variants of concern up to 14 days earlier in wastewater samples, and identify multiple instances of virus spread not captured by clinical genomic surveillance. Our study provides a scalable solution for wastewater genomic surveillance that allows early detection of SARS-CoV-2 variants and identification of cryptic transmission.
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Affiliation(s)
- Smruthi Karthikeyan
- Department of Pediatrics, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Joshua I Levy
- Department of Immunology and Microbiology, The Scripps Research Institute, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Peter De Hoff
- Expedited COVID Identification Environment (EXCITE) Laboratory, Department of Pediatrics, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
- Department of Obstetrics, Gynecology, and Reproductive Sciences, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
- COVID-19 Detection, Investigation, Surveillance, Clinical, and Outbreak Response, California Department of Public Health, Richmond, CA, USA
| | - Greg Humphrey
- Department of Pediatrics, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Amanda Birmingham
- Center for Computational Biology and Bioinformatics, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Kristen Jepsen
- Institute for Genomic Medicine, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Sawyer Farmer
- Department of Pediatrics, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Helena M. Tubb
- Department of Pediatrics, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Tommy Valles
- Department of Pediatrics, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | | | - Rebecca Tsai
- Department of Pediatrics, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Stefan Aigner
- Expedited COVID Identification Environment (EXCITE) Laboratory, Department of Pediatrics, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Shashank Sathe
- Expedited COVID Identification Environment (EXCITE) Laboratory, Department of Pediatrics, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Niema Moshiri
- Department of Computer Science and Engineering, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Benjamin Henson
- Institute for Genomic Medicine, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Adam M. Mark
- Center for Computational Biology and Bioinformatics, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Abbas Hakim
- Expedited COVID Identification Environment (EXCITE) Laboratory, Department of Pediatrics, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
- Department of Obstetrics, Gynecology, and Reproductive Sciences, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
- COVID-19 Detection, Investigation, Surveillance, Clinical, and Outbreak Response, California Department of Public Health, Richmond, CA, USA
| | - Nathan A Baer
- Expedited COVID Identification Environment (EXCITE) Laboratory, Department of Pediatrics, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Tom Barber
- Expedited COVID Identification Environment (EXCITE) Laboratory, Department of Pediatrics, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Pedro Belda-Ferre
- Expedited COVID Identification Environment (EXCITE) Laboratory, Department of Pediatrics, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Marisol Chacón
- Expedited COVID Identification Environment (EXCITE) Laboratory, Department of Pediatrics, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Willi Cheung
- Expedited COVID Identification Environment (EXCITE) Laboratory, Department of Pediatrics, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
- Department of Obstetrics, Gynecology, and Reproductive Sciences, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
- COVID-19 Detection, Investigation, Surveillance, Clinical, and Outbreak Response, California Department of Public Health, Richmond, CA, USA
| | - Evelyn S Cresini
- Expedited COVID Identification Environment (EXCITE) Laboratory, Department of Pediatrics, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Emily R Eisner
- Expedited COVID Identification Environment (EXCITE) Laboratory, Department of Pediatrics, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Alma L Lastrella
- Expedited COVID Identification Environment (EXCITE) Laboratory, Department of Pediatrics, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Elijah S Lawrence
- Expedited COVID Identification Environment (EXCITE) Laboratory, Department of Pediatrics, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Clarisse A Marotz
- Expedited COVID Identification Environment (EXCITE) Laboratory, Department of Pediatrics, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Toan T Ngo
- Expedited COVID Identification Environment (EXCITE) Laboratory, Department of Pediatrics, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Tyler Ostrander
- Expedited COVID Identification Environment (EXCITE) Laboratory, Department of Pediatrics, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Ashley Plascencia
- Expedited COVID Identification Environment (EXCITE) Laboratory, Department of Pediatrics, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Rodolfo A Salido
- Expedited COVID Identification Environment (EXCITE) Laboratory, Department of Pediatrics, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Phoebe Seaver
- Expedited COVID Identification Environment (EXCITE) Laboratory, Department of Pediatrics, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Elizabeth W Smoot
- Expedited COVID Identification Environment (EXCITE) Laboratory, Department of Pediatrics, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Daniel McDonald
- Department of Pediatrics, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Robert M Neuhard
- Operational Strategic Initiatives, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
- Return to Learn, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Angela L Scioscia
- Student Health and Well-Being, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
- Department of Obstetrics, Gynecology, and Reproductive Sciences, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | | | | | - Dismas B. Abelman
- Return to Learn, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - David Brenner
- Return to Learn, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Judith C. Bruner
- Return to Learn, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Anne Buckley
- Return to Learn, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Michael Ellison
- Return to Learn, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Jeffrey Gattas
- Return to Learn, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Steven L. Gonias
- Department of Pathology, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Matt Hale
- Return to Learn, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Faith Hawkins
- Return to Learn, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Lydia Ikeda
- Return to Learn, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Hemlata Jhaveri
- Return to Learn, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Ted Johnson
- Return to Learn, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Vince Kellen
- Return to Learn, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Brendan Kremer
- Return to Learn, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Gary Matthews
- Return to Learn, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | | | - Pierre Ouillet
- Return to Learn, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Daniel Park
- Return to Learn, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Allorah Pradenas
- Return to Learn, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Sharon Reed
- Return to Learn, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Lindsay Riggs
- Return to Learn, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Alison Sanders
- Return to Learn, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | | | - Angela Song
- Operational Strategic Initiatives, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
- Return to Learn, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Benjamin White
- Return to Learn, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Terri Winbush
- Return to Learn, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Christine M Aceves
- Department of Immunology and Microbiology, The Scripps Research Institute, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Catelyn Anderson
- Department of Immunology and Microbiology, The Scripps Research Institute, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Karthik Gangavarapu
- Department of Immunology and Microbiology, The Scripps Research Institute, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Emory Hufbauer
- Department of Immunology and Microbiology, The Scripps Research Institute, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Ezra Kurzban
- Department of Immunology and Microbiology, The Scripps Research Institute, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Justin Lee
- Department of Immunology and Microbiology, The Scripps Research Institute, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Nathaniel L Matteson
- Department of Immunology and Microbiology, The Scripps Research Institute, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Edyth Parker
- Department of Immunology and Microbiology, The Scripps Research Institute, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Sarah A Perkins
- Department of Immunology and Microbiology, The Scripps Research Institute, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Karthik S Ramesh
- Department of Immunology and Microbiology, The Scripps Research Institute, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Refugio Robles-Sikisaka
- Department of Immunology and Microbiology, The Scripps Research Institute, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Madison A Schwab
- Department of Immunology and Microbiology, The Scripps Research Institute, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Emily Spencer
- Department of Immunology and Microbiology, The Scripps Research Institute, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Shirlee Wohl
- Department of Immunology and Microbiology, The Scripps Research Institute, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Laura Nicholson
- Department of Immunology and Microbiology, The Scripps Research Institute, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Ian H Mchardy
- Department of Immunology and Microbiology, The Scripps Research Institute, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - David P Dimmock
- Rady Children’s Institute for Genomic Medicine, San Diego, CA, USA
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | - John D Malone
- County of San Diego Health and Human Services Agency, San Diego, CA, USA
| | | | - Nikos Gurfield
- County of San Diego Health and Human Services Agency, San Diego, CA, USA
| | - Sarah Stous
- County of San Diego Health and Human Services Agency, San Diego, CA, USA
| | - Rebecca Fielding-Miller
- Herbert Wertheim School of Public Health and Human Longevity Science, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
- Division of Infectious Disease and Global Public Health, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Richard S. Garfein
- Herbert Wertheim School of Public Health and Human Longevity Science, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Tommi Gaines
- Division of Infectious Disease and Global Public Health, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Cheryl Anderson
- Herbert Wertheim School of Public Health and Human Longevity Science, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Natasha K. Martin
- Herbert Wertheim School of Public Health and Human Longevity Science, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Robert Schooley
- Herbert Wertheim School of Public Health and Human Longevity Science, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | | | - Duncan R. MacCannell
- Office of Advanced Molecular Detection, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, GA, USA
| | | | | | - Seema Shah
- County of San Diego Health and Human Services Agency, San Diego, CA, USA
| | - Eric McDonald
- County of San Diego Health and Human Services Agency, San Diego, CA, USA
| | - Alexander T. Yu
- COVID-19 Detection, Investigation, Surveillance, Clinical, and Outbreak Response, California Department of Public Health, Richmond, CA, USA
| | - Mark Zeller
- Department of Immunology and Microbiology, The Scripps Research Institute, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Kathleen M Fisch
- Center for Computational Biology and Bioinformatics, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
- Department of Obstetrics, Gynecology, and Reproductive Sciences, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Christopher Longhurst
- Department of Pediatrics, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
- Department of Biomedical Informatics, University of California, San Diego, La Jolla, California, USA
| | - Patty Maysent
- Office of the UC San Diego Health CEO, University of California, San Diego
| | - David Pride
- Departments of Pathology and Medicine, University of California, San Diego, La Jolla, CA
| | - Pradeep K. Khosla
- Department of Computer Science and Engineering, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Louise C. Laurent
- Expedited COVID Identification Environment (EXCITE) Laboratory, Department of Pediatrics, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
- Department of Obstetrics, Gynecology, and Reproductive Sciences, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
- Sanford Consortium of Regenerative Medicine, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA
| | - Gene W Yeo
- Expedited COVID Identification Environment (EXCITE) Laboratory, Department of Pediatrics, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
- Sanford Consortium of Regenerative Medicine, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA
- Department of Cellular and Molecular Medicine, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA
| | - Kristian G Andersen
- Department of Immunology and Microbiology, The Scripps Research Institute, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Rob Knight
- Department of Pediatrics, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
- Department of Computer Science and Engineering, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
- Department of Bioengineering, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
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7
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Karthikeyan S, Levy JI, De Hoff P, Humphrey G, Birmingham A, Jepsen K, Farmer S, Tubb HM, Valles T, Tribelhorn CE, Tsai R, Aigner S, Sathe S, Moshiri N, Henson B, Mark AM, Hakim A, Baer NA, Barber T, Belda-Ferre P, Chacón M, Cheung W, Cresini ES, Eisner ER, Lastrella AL, Lawrence ES, Marotz CA, Ngo TT, Ostrander T, Plascencia A, Salido RA, Seaver P, Smoot EW, McDonald D, Neuhard RM, Scioscia AL, Satterlund AM, Simmons EH, Abelman DB, Brenner D, Bruner JC, Buckley A, Ellison M, Gattas J, Gonias SL, Hale M, Hawkins F, Ikeda L, Jhaveri H, Johnson T, Kellen V, Kremer B, Matthews G, McLawhon RW, Ouillet P, Park D, Pradenas A, Reed S, Riggs L, Sanders A, Sollenberger B, Song A, White B, Winbush T, Aceves CM, Anderson C, Gangavarapu K, Hufbauer E, Kurzban E, Lee J, Matteson NL, Parker E, Perkins SA, Ramesh KS, Robles-Sikisaka R, Schwab MA, Spencer E, Wohl S, Nicholson L, Mchardy IH, Dimmock DP, Hobbs CA, Bakhtar O, Harding A, Mendoza A, Bolze A, Becker D, Cirulli ET, Isaksson M, Barrett KMS, Washington NL, Malone JD, Schafer AM, Gurfield N, Stous S, Fielding-Miller R, Garfein RS, Gaines T, Anderson C, Martin NK, Schooley R, Austin B, MacCannell DR, Kingsmore SF, Lee W, Shah S, McDonald E, Yu AT, Zeller M, Fisch KM, Longhurst C, Maysent P, Pride D, Khosla PK, Laurent LC, Yeo GW, Andersen KG, Knight R. Wastewater sequencing uncovers early, cryptic SARS-CoV-2 variant transmission. medRxiv 2022. [PMID: 35411350 DOI: 10.1101/2022.01.27.22269965] [Citation(s) in RCA: 44] [Impact Index Per Article: 22.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 05/16/2023]
Abstract
As SARS-CoV-2 continues to spread and evolve, detecting emerging variants early is critical for public health interventions. Inferring lineage prevalence by clinical testing is infeasible at scale, especially in areas with limited resources, participation, or testing/sequencing capacity, which can also introduce biases. SARS-CoV-2 RNA concentration in wastewater successfully tracks regional infection dynamics and provides less biased abundance estimates than clinical testing. Tracking virus genomic sequences in wastewater would improve community prevalence estimates and detect emerging variants. However, two factors limit wastewater-based genomic surveillance: low-quality sequence data and inability to estimate relative lineage abundance in mixed samples. Here, we resolve these critical issues to perform a high-resolution, 295-day wastewater and clinical sequencing effort, in the controlled environment of a large university campus and the broader context of the surrounding county. We develop and deploy improved virus concentration protocols and deconvolution software that fully resolve multiple virus strains from wastewater. We detect emerging variants of concern up to 14 days earlier in wastewater samples, and identify multiple instances of virus spread not captured by clinical genomic surveillance. Our study provides a scalable solution for wastewater genomic surveillance that allows early detection of SARS-CoV-2 variants and identification of cryptic transmission.
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Affiliation(s)
- Smruthi Karthikeyan
- Department of Pediatrics, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Joshua I Levy
- Department of Immunology and Microbiology, The Scripps Research Institute, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Peter De Hoff
- Expedited COVID Identification Environment (EXCITE) Laboratory, Department of Pediatrics, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
- Department of Obstetrics, Gynecology, and Reproductive Sciences, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
- COVID-19 Detection, Investigation, Surveillance, Clinical, and Outbreak Response, California Department of Public Health, Richmond, CA, USA
| | - Greg Humphrey
- Department of Pediatrics, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Amanda Birmingham
- Center for Computational Biology and Bioinformatics, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Kristen Jepsen
- Institute for Genomic Medicine, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Sawyer Farmer
- Department of Pediatrics, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Helena M Tubb
- Department of Pediatrics, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Tommy Valles
- Department of Pediatrics, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | | | - Rebecca Tsai
- Department of Pediatrics, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Stefan Aigner
- Expedited COVID Identification Environment (EXCITE) Laboratory, Department of Pediatrics, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Shashank Sathe
- Expedited COVID Identification Environment (EXCITE) Laboratory, Department of Pediatrics, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Niema Moshiri
- Department of Computer Science and Engineering, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Benjamin Henson
- Institute for Genomic Medicine, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Adam M Mark
- Center for Computational Biology and Bioinformatics, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Abbas Hakim
- Expedited COVID Identification Environment (EXCITE) Laboratory, Department of Pediatrics, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
- Department of Obstetrics, Gynecology, and Reproductive Sciences, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
- COVID-19 Detection, Investigation, Surveillance, Clinical, and Outbreak Response, California Department of Public Health, Richmond, CA, USA
| | - Nathan A Baer
- Expedited COVID Identification Environment (EXCITE) Laboratory, Department of Pediatrics, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Tom Barber
- Expedited COVID Identification Environment (EXCITE) Laboratory, Department of Pediatrics, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Pedro Belda-Ferre
- Expedited COVID Identification Environment (EXCITE) Laboratory, Department of Pediatrics, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Marisol Chacón
- Expedited COVID Identification Environment (EXCITE) Laboratory, Department of Pediatrics, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Willi Cheung
- Expedited COVID Identification Environment (EXCITE) Laboratory, Department of Pediatrics, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
- Department of Obstetrics, Gynecology, and Reproductive Sciences, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
- COVID-19 Detection, Investigation, Surveillance, Clinical, and Outbreak Response, California Department of Public Health, Richmond, CA, USA
| | - Evelyn S Cresini
- Expedited COVID Identification Environment (EXCITE) Laboratory, Department of Pediatrics, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Emily R Eisner
- Expedited COVID Identification Environment (EXCITE) Laboratory, Department of Pediatrics, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Alma L Lastrella
- Expedited COVID Identification Environment (EXCITE) Laboratory, Department of Pediatrics, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Elijah S Lawrence
- Expedited COVID Identification Environment (EXCITE) Laboratory, Department of Pediatrics, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Clarisse A Marotz
- Expedited COVID Identification Environment (EXCITE) Laboratory, Department of Pediatrics, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Toan T Ngo
- Expedited COVID Identification Environment (EXCITE) Laboratory, Department of Pediatrics, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Tyler Ostrander
- Expedited COVID Identification Environment (EXCITE) Laboratory, Department of Pediatrics, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Ashley Plascencia
- Expedited COVID Identification Environment (EXCITE) Laboratory, Department of Pediatrics, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Rodolfo A Salido
- Expedited COVID Identification Environment (EXCITE) Laboratory, Department of Pediatrics, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Phoebe Seaver
- Expedited COVID Identification Environment (EXCITE) Laboratory, Department of Pediatrics, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Elizabeth W Smoot
- Expedited COVID Identification Environment (EXCITE) Laboratory, Department of Pediatrics, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Daniel McDonald
- Department of Pediatrics, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Robert M Neuhard
- Operational Strategic Initiatives, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
- Return to Learn, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Angela L Scioscia
- Student Health and Well-Being, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
- Department of Obstetrics, Gynecology, and Reproductive Sciences, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | | | | | - Dismas B Abelman
- Return to Learn, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - David Brenner
- Return to Learn, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Judith C Bruner
- Return to Learn, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Anne Buckley
- Return to Learn, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Michael Ellison
- Return to Learn, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Jeffrey Gattas
- Return to Learn, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Steven L Gonias
- Department of Pathology, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Matt Hale
- Return to Learn, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Faith Hawkins
- Return to Learn, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Lydia Ikeda
- Return to Learn, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Hemlata Jhaveri
- Return to Learn, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Ted Johnson
- Return to Learn, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Vince Kellen
- Return to Learn, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Brendan Kremer
- Return to Learn, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Gary Matthews
- Return to Learn, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Ronald W McLawhon
- Return to Learn, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Pierre Ouillet
- Return to Learn, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Daniel Park
- Return to Learn, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Allorah Pradenas
- Return to Learn, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Sharon Reed
- Return to Learn, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Lindsay Riggs
- Return to Learn, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Alison Sanders
- Return to Learn, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | | | - Angela Song
- Operational Strategic Initiatives, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
- Return to Learn, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Benjamin White
- Return to Learn, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Terri Winbush
- Return to Learn, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Christine M Aceves
- Department of Immunology and Microbiology, The Scripps Research Institute, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Catelyn Anderson
- Department of Immunology and Microbiology, The Scripps Research Institute, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Karthik Gangavarapu
- Department of Immunology and Microbiology, The Scripps Research Institute, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Emory Hufbauer
- Department of Immunology and Microbiology, The Scripps Research Institute, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Ezra Kurzban
- Department of Immunology and Microbiology, The Scripps Research Institute, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Justin Lee
- Department of Immunology and Microbiology, The Scripps Research Institute, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Nathaniel L Matteson
- Department of Immunology and Microbiology, The Scripps Research Institute, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Edyth Parker
- Department of Immunology and Microbiology, The Scripps Research Institute, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Sarah A Perkins
- Department of Immunology and Microbiology, The Scripps Research Institute, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Karthik S Ramesh
- Department of Immunology and Microbiology, The Scripps Research Institute, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Refugio Robles-Sikisaka
- Department of Immunology and Microbiology, The Scripps Research Institute, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Madison A Schwab
- Department of Immunology and Microbiology, The Scripps Research Institute, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Emily Spencer
- Department of Immunology and Microbiology, The Scripps Research Institute, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Shirlee Wohl
- Department of Immunology and Microbiology, The Scripps Research Institute, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Laura Nicholson
- Department of Immunology and Microbiology, The Scripps Research Institute, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Ian H Mchardy
- Department of Immunology and Microbiology, The Scripps Research Institute, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - David P Dimmock
- Rady Children's Institute for Genomic Medicine, San Diego, CA, USA
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | - John D Malone
- County of San Diego Health and Human Services Agency, San Diego, CA, USA
| | | | - Nikos Gurfield
- County of San Diego Health and Human Services Agency, San Diego, CA, USA
| | - Sarah Stous
- County of San Diego Health and Human Services Agency, San Diego, CA, USA
| | - Rebecca Fielding-Miller
- Herbert Wertheim School of Public Health and Human Longevity Science, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
- Division of Infectious Disease and Global Public Health, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Richard S Garfein
- Herbert Wertheim School of Public Health and Human Longevity Science, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Tommi Gaines
- Division of Infectious Disease and Global Public Health, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Cheryl Anderson
- Herbert Wertheim School of Public Health and Human Longevity Science, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Natasha K Martin
- Herbert Wertheim School of Public Health and Human Longevity Science, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Robert Schooley
- Herbert Wertheim School of Public Health and Human Longevity Science, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | | | - Duncan R MacCannell
- Office of Advanced Molecular Detection, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, GA, USA
| | | | | | - Seema Shah
- County of San Diego Health and Human Services Agency, San Diego, CA, USA
| | - Eric McDonald
- County of San Diego Health and Human Services Agency, San Diego, CA, USA
| | - Alexander T Yu
- COVID-19 Detection, Investigation, Surveillance, Clinical, and Outbreak Response, California Department of Public Health, Richmond, CA, USA
| | - Mark Zeller
- Department of Immunology and Microbiology, The Scripps Research Institute, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Kathleen M Fisch
- Center for Computational Biology and Bioinformatics, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
- Department of Obstetrics, Gynecology, and Reproductive Sciences, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Christopher Longhurst
- Department of Pediatrics, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
- Department of Biomedical Informatics, University of California, San Diego, La Jolla, California, USA
| | - Patty Maysent
- Office of the UC San Diego Health CEO, University of California, San Diego
| | - David Pride
- Departments of Pathology and Medicine, University of California, San Diego, La Jolla, CA
| | - Pradeep K Khosla
- Department of Computer Science and Engineering, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Louise C Laurent
- Expedited COVID Identification Environment (EXCITE) Laboratory, Department of Pediatrics, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
- Department of Obstetrics, Gynecology, and Reproductive Sciences, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
- Sanford Consortium of Regenerative Medicine, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA
| | - Gene W Yeo
- Expedited COVID Identification Environment (EXCITE) Laboratory, Department of Pediatrics, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
- Sanford Consortium of Regenerative Medicine, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA
- Department of Cellular and Molecular Medicine, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA
| | - Kristian G Andersen
- Department of Immunology and Microbiology, The Scripps Research Institute, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Rob Knight
- Department of Pediatrics, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
- Department of Computer Science and Engineering, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
- Department of Bioengineering, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
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8
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Zeller M, Gangavarapu K, Anderson C, Smither AR, Vanchiere JA, Rose R, Snyder DJ, Dudas G, Watts A, Matteson NL, Robles-Sikisaka R, Marshall M, Feehan AK, Sabino-Santos G, Bell-Kareem AR, Hughes LD, Alkuzweny M, Snarski P, Garcia-Diaz J, Scott RS, Melnik LI, Klitting R, McGraw M, Belda-Ferre P, DeHoff P, Sathe S, Marotz C, Grubaugh ND, Nolan DJ, Drouin AC, Genemaras KJ, Chao K, Topol S, Spencer E, Nicholson L, Aigner S, Yeo GW, Farnaes L, Hobbs CA, Laurent LC, Knight R, Hodcroft EB, Khan K, Fusco DN, Cooper VS, Lemey P, Gardner L, Lamers SL, Kamil JP, Garry RF, Suchard MA, Andersen KG. Emergence of an early SARS-CoV-2 epidemic in the United States. Cell 2021; 184:4939-4952.e15. [PMID: 34508652 PMCID: PMC8313480 DOI: 10.1016/j.cell.2021.07.030] [Citation(s) in RCA: 21] [Impact Index Per Article: 7.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/12/2021] [Revised: 05/07/2021] [Accepted: 07/22/2021] [Indexed: 12/12/2022]
Abstract
The emergence of the COVID-19 epidemic in the United States (U.S.) went largely undetected due to inadequate testing. New Orleans experienced one of the earliest and fastest accelerating outbreaks, coinciding with Mardi Gras. To gain insight into the emergence of SARS-CoV-2 in the U.S. and how large-scale events accelerate transmission, we sequenced SARS-CoV-2 genomes during the first wave of the COVID-19 epidemic in Louisiana. We show that SARS-CoV-2 in Louisiana had limited diversity compared to other U.S. states and that one introduction of SARS-CoV-2 led to almost all of the early transmission in Louisiana. By analyzing mobility and genomic data, we show that SARS-CoV-2 was already present in New Orleans before Mardi Gras, and the festival dramatically accelerated transmission. Our study provides an understanding of how superspreading during large-scale events played a key role during the early outbreak in the U.S. and can greatly accelerate epidemics.
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Affiliation(s)
- Mark Zeller
- Department of Immunology and Microbiology, The Scripps Research Institute, La Jolla, CA 92037, USA.
| | - Karthik Gangavarapu
- Department of Immunology and Microbiology, The Scripps Research Institute, La Jolla, CA 92037, USA.
| | - Catelyn Anderson
- Department of Immunology and Microbiology, The Scripps Research Institute, La Jolla, CA 92037, USA
| | - Allison R Smither
- Department of Microbiology and Immunology, School of Medicine, Tulane University, New Orleans, LA 70112, USA
| | - John A Vanchiere
- Department of Pediatrics, Louisiana State University Health Sciences Center - Shreveport, Shreveport, LA 71130, USA
| | | | - Daniel J Snyder
- Department of Microbiology and Molecular Genetics, University of Pittsburgh, School of Medicine, Pittsburgh, PA 15219, USA; Center for Evolutionary Biology and Medicine, University of Pittsburgh, Pittsburgh, PA 15219, USA
| | - Gytis Dudas
- Gothenburg Global Biodiversity Centre (GGBC), Gothenburg, Sweden
| | - Alexander Watts
- Li Ka Shing Knowledge Institute, St. Michael's Hospital, Toronto, Canada; Bluedot, Toronto, Canada
| | - Nathaniel L Matteson
- Department of Immunology and Microbiology, The Scripps Research Institute, La Jolla, CA 92037, USA
| | - Refugio Robles-Sikisaka
- Department of Immunology and Microbiology, The Scripps Research Institute, La Jolla, CA 92037, USA
| | - Maximilian Marshall
- Department of Civil and Systems Engineering, Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, MD, USA
| | - Amy K Feehan
- Ochsner Clinic Foundation, New Orleans, Louisiana, USA
| | - Gilberto Sabino-Santos
- Department of Tropical Medicine, School of Public Health and Tropical Medicine, Tulane University, New Orleans, LA 70112, USA; Centre for Virology Research, Ribeirão Preto Medical School, University of Sao Paulo, Ribeirao Preto, SP 14049900, Brazil
| | - Antoinette R Bell-Kareem
- Department of Microbiology and Immunology, School of Medicine, Tulane University, New Orleans, LA 70112, USA
| | - Laura D Hughes
- Department of Integrative, Structural and Computational Biology, The Scripps Research Institute, La Jolla, CA 92037, USA
| | - Manar Alkuzweny
- Department of Immunology and Microbiology, The Scripps Research Institute, La Jolla, CA 92037, USA
| | - Patricia Snarski
- Heart and Vascular Institute, John W. Deming Department of Medicine, School of Medicine, Tulane University, New Orleans, LA 70112, USA; Department of Physiology, Tulane University School of Medicine, New Orleans, LA 70112, USA
| | | | - Rona S Scott
- Department of Microbiology and Immunology, Louisiana State University Health Science Center Shreveport, Shreveport, LA 71103, USA
| | - Lilia I Melnik
- Department of Microbiology and Immunology, School of Medicine, Tulane University, New Orleans, LA 70112, USA
| | - Raphaëlle Klitting
- Department of Immunology and Microbiology, The Scripps Research Institute, La Jolla, CA 92037, USA
| | - Michelle McGraw
- Department of Immunology and Microbiology, The Scripps Research Institute, La Jolla, CA 92037, USA
| | - Pedro Belda-Ferre
- Department of Pediatrics, School of Medicine, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, California, USA; Center for Microbiome Innovation, Jacobs School of Engineering, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, California, USA
| | - Peter DeHoff
- Department of Obstetrics, Gynecology, and Reproductive Science, University of California, San Diego, La Jolla, CA 92037, USA
| | - Shashank Sathe
- Department of Cellular and Molecular Medicine, University of California at San Diego, La Jolla, California 92093, USA; Stem Cell Program, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA 92093, USA
| | - Clarisse Marotz
- Department of Pediatrics, School of Medicine, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, California, USA; Scripps Institution of Oceanography, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, California, USA
| | - Nathan D Grubaugh
- Department of Epidemiology of Microbial Diseases, Yale School of Public Health, New Haven, CT 06510, USA
| | | | - Arnaud C Drouin
- Department of Microbiology and Immunology, School of Medicine, Tulane University, New Orleans, LA 70112, USA; Department of Physiology, Tulane University School of Medicine, New Orleans, LA 70112, USA
| | - Kaylynn J Genemaras
- Department of Microbiology and Immunology, School of Medicine, Tulane University, New Orleans, LA 70112, USA; Bioinnovation Program, Tulane University, New Orleans, LA 70118, USA
| | - Karissa Chao
- Department of Microbiology and Immunology, School of Medicine, Tulane University, New Orleans, LA 70112, USA; Bioinnovation Program, Tulane University, New Orleans, LA 70118, USA
| | - Sarah Topol
- Scripps Research Translational Institute, La Jolla, CA 92037, USA
| | - Emily Spencer
- Scripps Research Translational Institute, La Jolla, CA 92037, USA
| | - Laura Nicholson
- Scripps Research Translational Institute, La Jolla, CA 92037, USA
| | - Stefan Aigner
- Department of Cellular and Molecular Medicine, University of California at San Diego, La Jolla, California 92093, USA; Stem Cell Program, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA 92093, USA; Institute for Genomic Medicine, University of California, San Diego, La Jolla, California, USA
| | - Gene W Yeo
- Department of Cellular and Molecular Medicine, University of California at San Diego, La Jolla, California 92093, USA; Stem Cell Program, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA 92093, USA; Institute for Genomic Medicine, University of California, San Diego, La Jolla, California, USA
| | - Lauge Farnaes
- Rady Children's Institute for Genomic Medicine, San Diego, CA 92123, USA; Rady Children's Hospital, San Diego, CA 92123, USA
| | - Charlotte A Hobbs
- Rady Children's Institute for Genomic Medicine, San Diego, CA 92123, USA; Rady Children's Hospital, San Diego, CA 92123, USA
| | - Louise C Laurent
- Department of Obstetrics, Gynecology, and Reproductive Science, University of California, San Diego, La Jolla, CA 92037, USA
| | - Rob Knight
- Department of Pediatrics, School of Medicine, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, California, USA; Center for Microbiome Innovation, Jacobs School of Engineering, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, California, USA; Department of Computer Science and Engineering, Jacobs School of Engineering, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, California, USA; Department of Bioengineering, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, California, USA
| | | | - Kamran Khan
- Li Ka Shing Knowledge Institute, St. Michael's Hospital, Toronto, Canada; Bluedot, Toronto, Canada; Department of Medicine, University of Toronto, Toronto, Canada
| | - Dahlene N Fusco
- Department of Tropical Medicine, School of Public Health and Tropical Medicine, Tulane University, New Orleans, LA 70112, USA; Department of Medicine, Tulane University School of Medicine, 1430 Tulane Avenue, New Orleans, LA 70114, USA
| | - Vaughn S Cooper
- Department of Microbiology and Molecular Genetics, University of Pittsburgh, School of Medicine, Pittsburgh, PA 15219, USA; Center for Evolutionary Biology and Medicine, University of Pittsburgh, Pittsburgh, PA 15219, USA
| | - Phillipe Lemey
- Department of Microbiology, Immunology and Transplantation, Rega Institute, KU Leuven, Belgium; Global Virology Network
| | - Lauren Gardner
- Department of Civil and Systems Engineering, Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, MD, USA
| | | | - Jeremy P Kamil
- Department of Microbiology and Immunology, Louisiana State University Health Science Center Shreveport, Shreveport, LA 71103, USA
| | - Robert F Garry
- Department of Microbiology and Immunology, School of Medicine, Tulane University, New Orleans, LA 70112, USA; Zalgen Labs LLC, Germantown, MD, USA
| | - Marc A Suchard
- Department of Biostatistics, Fielding School of Public Health, University of California, Los Angeles, Los Angeles, CA 90095, USA; Department of Human Genetics, David Geffen School of Medicine, University of California, Los Angeles, Los Angeles, CA 90095, USA
| | - Kristian G Andersen
- Department of Immunology and Microbiology, The Scripps Research Institute, La Jolla, CA 92037, USA; Scripps Research Translational Institute, La Jolla, CA 92037, USA.
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9
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Zeller M, Gangavarapu K, Anderson C, Smither AR, Vanchiere JA, Rose R, Dudas G, Snyder DJ, Watts A, Matteson NL, Robles-Sikisaka R, Marshall M, Feehan AK, Sabino-Santos G, Bell-Kareem A, Hughes LD, Alkuzweny M, Snarski P, Garcia-Diaz J, Scott RS, Melnik LI, Klitting R, McGraw M, Belda-Ferre P, DeHoff P, Sathe S, Marotz C, Grubaugh N, Nolan DJ, Drouin AC, Genemaras KJ, Chao K, Topol S, Spencer E, Nicholson L, Aigner S, Yeo GW, Farnaes L, Hobbs CA, Laurent LC, Knight R, Hodcroft EB, Khan K, Fusco DN, Cooper VS, Lemey P, Gardner L, Lamers SL, Kamil JP, Garry RF, Suchard MA, Andersen KG. Emergence of an early SARS-CoV-2 epidemic in the United States. medRxiv 2021. [PMID: 33564781 PMCID: PMC7872376 DOI: 10.1101/2021.02.05.21251235] [Citation(s) in RCA: 5] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 12/12/2022]
Abstract
The emergence of the early COVID-19 epidemic in the United States (U.S.) went largely undetected, due to a lack of adequate testing and mitigation efforts. The city of New Orleans, Louisiana experienced one of the earliest and fastest accelerating outbreaks, coinciding with the annual Mardi Gras festival, which went ahead without precautions. To gain insight into the emergence of SARS-CoV-2 in the U.S. and how large, crowded events may have accelerated early transmission, we sequenced SARS-CoV-2 genomes during the first wave of the COVID-19 epidemic in Louisiana. We show that SARS-CoV-2 in Louisiana initially had limited sequence diversity compared to other U.S. states, and that one successful introduction of SARS-CoV-2 led to almost all of the early SARS-CoV-2 transmission in Louisiana. By analyzing mobility and genomic data, we show that SARS-CoV-2 was already present in New Orleans before Mardi Gras and that the festival dramatically accelerated transmission, eventually leading to secondary localized COVID-19 epidemics throughout the Southern U.S.. Our study provides an understanding of how superspreading during large-scale events played a key role during the early outbreak in the U.S. and can greatly accelerate COVID-19 epidemics on a local and regional scale.
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10
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Dellicour S, Lequime S, Vrancken B, Gill MS, Bastide P, Gangavarapu K, Matteson NL, Tan Y, du Plessis L, Fisher AA, Nelson MI, Gilbert M, Suchard MA, Andersen KG, Grubaugh ND, Pybus OG, Lemey P. Epidemiological hypothesis testing using a phylogeographic and phylodynamic framework. Nat Commun 2020; 11:5620. [PMID: 33159066 PMCID: PMC7648063 DOI: 10.1038/s41467-020-19122-z] [Citation(s) in RCA: 14] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/11/2020] [Accepted: 09/30/2020] [Indexed: 01/05/2023] Open
Abstract
Computational analyses of pathogen genomes are increasingly used to unravel the dispersal history and transmission dynamics of epidemics. Here, we show how to go beyond historical reconstructions and use spatially-explicit phylogeographic and phylodynamic approaches to formally test epidemiological hypotheses. We illustrate our approach by focusing on the West Nile virus (WNV) spread in North America that has substantially impacted public, veterinary, and wildlife health. We apply an analytical workflow to a comprehensive WNV genome collection to test the impact of environmental factors on the dispersal of viral lineages and on viral population genetic diversity through time. We find that WNV lineages tend to disperse faster in areas with higher temperatures and we identify temporal variation in temperature as a main predictor of viral genetic diversity through time. By contrasting inference with simulation, we find no evidence for viral lineages to preferentially circulate within the same migratory bird flyway, suggesting a substantial role for non-migratory birds or mosquito dispersal along the longitudinal gradient.
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Affiliation(s)
- Simon Dellicour
- Spatial Epidemiology Lab (SpELL), Université Libre de Bruxelles, CP160/12, 50 Avenue FD Roosevelt, 1050, Bruxelles, Belgium.
- Department of Microbiology, Immunology and Transplantation, Rega Institute, KU Leuven, Herestraat 49, 3000, Leuven, Belgium.
| | - Sebastian Lequime
- Department of Microbiology, Immunology and Transplantation, Rega Institute, KU Leuven, Herestraat 49, 3000, Leuven, Belgium
| | - Bram Vrancken
- Department of Microbiology, Immunology and Transplantation, Rega Institute, KU Leuven, Herestraat 49, 3000, Leuven, Belgium
| | - Mandev S Gill
- Department of Microbiology, Immunology and Transplantation, Rega Institute, KU Leuven, Herestraat 49, 3000, Leuven, Belgium
| | - Paul Bastide
- Department of Microbiology, Immunology and Transplantation, Rega Institute, KU Leuven, Herestraat 49, 3000, Leuven, Belgium
| | - Karthik Gangavarapu
- Department of Immunology and Microbiology, The Scripps Research Institute, La Jolla, CA, 92037, USA
| | - Nathaniel L Matteson
- Department of Immunology and Microbiology, The Scripps Research Institute, La Jolla, CA, 92037, USA
| | - Yi Tan
- Department of Medicine, Vanderbilt University Medical Center, Nashville, TN, USA
- Infectious Diseases Group, J. Craig Venter Institute, Rockville, MD, USA
| | | | - Alexander A Fisher
- Department of Biomathematics, David Geffen School of Medicine, University of California, Los Angeles, CA, USA
| | - Martha I Nelson
- Fogarty International Center, National Institutes of Health, Bethesda, MD, 20894, USA
| | - Marius Gilbert
- Spatial Epidemiology Lab (SpELL), Université Libre de Bruxelles, CP160/12, 50 Avenue FD Roosevelt, 1050, Bruxelles, Belgium
| | - Marc A Suchard
- Department of Biomathematics, David Geffen School of Medicine, University of California, Los Angeles, CA, USA
- Department of Biostatistics, Fielding School of Public Health, University of California, Los Angeles, CA, USA
- Department of Human Genetics, David Geffen School of Medicine, University of California, Los Angeles, CA, USA
| | - Kristian G Andersen
- Department of Immunology and Microbiology, The Scripps Research Institute, La Jolla, CA, 92037, USA
- Scripps Research Translational Institute, La Jolla, CA, 92037, USA
| | - Nathan D Grubaugh
- Department of Epidemiology of Microbial Diseases, Yale School of Public Health, New Haven, CT, 06510, USA
| | | | - Philippe Lemey
- Department of Microbiology, Immunology and Transplantation, Rega Institute, KU Leuven, Herestraat 49, 3000, Leuven, Belgium
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11
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Grubaugh ND, Saraf S, Gangavarapu K, Watts A, Tan AL, Oidtman RJ, Ladner JT, Oliveira G, Matteson NL, Kraemer MUG, Vogels CBF, Hentoff A, Bhatia D, Stanek D, Scott B, Landis V, Stryker I, Cone MR, Kopp EW, Cannons AC, Heberlein-Larson L, White S, Gillis LD, Ricciardi MJ, Kwal J, Lichtenberger PK, Magnani DM, Watkins DI, Palacios G, Hamer DH, Gardner LM, Perkins TA, Baele G, Khan K, Morrison A, Isern S, Michael SF, Andersen KG. Travel Surveillance and Genomics Uncover a Hidden Zika Outbreak during the Waning Epidemic. Cell 2019; 178:1057-1071.e11. [PMID: 31442400 PMCID: PMC6716374 DOI: 10.1016/j.cell.2019.07.018] [Citation(s) in RCA: 39] [Impact Index Per Article: 7.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/19/2018] [Revised: 04/15/2019] [Accepted: 07/12/2019] [Indexed: 12/21/2022]
Abstract
The Zika epidemic in the Americas has challenged surveillance and control. As the epidemic appears to be waning, it is unclear whether transmission is still ongoing, which is exacerbated by discrepancies in reporting. To uncover locations with lingering outbreaks, we investigated travel-associated Zika cases to identify transmission not captured by reporting. We uncovered an unreported outbreak in Cuba during 2017, a year after peak transmission in neighboring islands. By sequencing Zika virus, we show that the establishment of the virus was delayed by a year and that the ensuing outbreak was sparked by long-lived lineages of Zika virus from other Caribbean islands. Our data suggest that, although mosquito control in Cuba may initially have been effective at mitigating Zika virus transmission, such measures need to be maintained to be effective. Our study highlights how Zika virus may still be "silently" spreading and provides a framework for understanding outbreak dynamics. VIDEO ABSTRACT.
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Affiliation(s)
- Nathan D Grubaugh
- Department of Epidemiology of Microbial Diseases, Yale School of Public Health, New Haven, CT 06510, USA; Department of Immunology and Microbiology, The Scripps Research Institute, La Jolla, CA 92037, USA.
| | - Sharada Saraf
- Department of Immunology and Microbiology, The Scripps Research Institute, La Jolla, CA 92037, USA
| | - Karthik Gangavarapu
- Department of Immunology and Microbiology, The Scripps Research Institute, La Jolla, CA 92037, USA
| | - Alexander Watts
- Li Ka Shing Knowledge Institute, St. Michael's Hospital, Toronto, ON M5B 1T8, Canada
| | - Amanda L Tan
- Department of Biological Sciences, Florida Gulf Coast University, Fort Myers, FL 33965, USA; Bureau of Public Health Laboratories, Division of Disease Control and Health Protection, Florida Department of Health, Tampa, FL 33612, USA
| | - Rachel J Oidtman
- Department of Biological Sciences and Eck Institute for Global Health, University of Notre Dame, Notre Dame, IN 46556, USA
| | - Jason T Ladner
- Center for Genome Sciences, US Army Medical Research Institute of Infectious Diseases, Fort Detrick, MD 21702, USA; Pathogen and Microbiome Institute, Northern Arizona University, Flagstaff, AZ 86011, USA
| | - Glenn Oliveira
- Department of Immunology and Microbiology, The Scripps Research Institute, La Jolla, CA 92037, USA
| | - Nathaniel L Matteson
- Department of Immunology and Microbiology, The Scripps Research Institute, La Jolla, CA 92037, USA
| | - Moritz U G Kraemer
- Department of Zoology, University of Oxford, Oxford OX1 3PS, UK; Boston Children's Hospital, Boston, MA 02115, USA; Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA 02115, USA
| | - Chantal B F Vogels
- Department of Epidemiology of Microbial Diseases, Yale School of Public Health, New Haven, CT 06510, USA
| | - Aaron Hentoff
- Department of Epidemiology of Microbial Diseases, Yale School of Public Health, New Haven, CT 06510, USA
| | - Deepit Bhatia
- Li Ka Shing Knowledge Institute, St. Michael's Hospital, Toronto, ON M5B 1T8, Canada
| | - Danielle Stanek
- Bureau of Epidemiology, Division of Disease Control and Health Protection, Florida Department of Health, Tallahassee, FL 32399, USA
| | - Blake Scott
- Bureau of Epidemiology, Division of Disease Control and Health Protection, Florida Department of Health, Tallahassee, FL 32399, USA
| | - Vanessa Landis
- Bureau of Epidemiology, Division of Disease Control and Health Protection, Florida Department of Health, Tallahassee, FL 32399, USA
| | - Ian Stryker
- Bureau of Public Health Laboratories, Division of Disease Control and Health Protection, Florida Department of Health, Tampa, FL 33612, USA
| | - Marshall R Cone
- Bureau of Public Health Laboratories, Division of Disease Control and Health Protection, Florida Department of Health, Tampa, FL 33612, USA
| | - Edgar W Kopp
- Bureau of Public Health Laboratories, Division of Disease Control and Health Protection, Florida Department of Health, Tampa, FL 33612, USA
| | - Andrew C Cannons
- Bureau of Public Health Laboratories, Division of Disease Control and Health Protection, Florida Department of Health, Tampa, FL 33612, USA
| | - Lea Heberlein-Larson
- Bureau of Public Health Laboratories, Division of Disease Control and Health Protection, Florida Department of Health, Tampa, FL 33612, USA
| | - Stephen White
- Bureau of Public Health Laboratories, Division of Disease Control and Health Protection, Florida Department of Health, Miami, FL 33125, USA
| | - Leah D Gillis
- Bureau of Public Health Laboratories, Division of Disease Control and Health Protection, Florida Department of Health, Miami, FL 33125, USA
| | - Michael J Ricciardi
- Department of Pathology, University of Miami Miller School of Medicine, Miami, FL 33136, USA
| | - Jaclyn Kwal
- Department of Pathology, University of Miami Miller School of Medicine, Miami, FL 33136, USA
| | - Paola K Lichtenberger
- Department of Pathology, University of Miami Miller School of Medicine, Miami, FL 33136, USA
| | - Diogo M Magnani
- Department of Pathology, University of Miami Miller School of Medicine, Miami, FL 33136, USA; MassBiologics, University of Massachusetts Medical School, Boston, MA 02126, USA
| | - David I Watkins
- Department of Pathology, University of Miami Miller School of Medicine, Miami, FL 33136, USA
| | - Gustavo Palacios
- Center for Genome Sciences, US Army Medical Research Institute of Infectious Diseases, Fort Detrick, MD 21702, USA
| | - Davidson H Hamer
- Department of Global Health, Boston University School of Public Health, Boston, MA 02118, USA; Section of Infectious Diseases, Department of Medicine, Boston Medical Center, Boston, MA 02118, USA
| | - Lauren M Gardner
- School of Civil and Environmental Engineering, UNSW Sydney, Sydney, NSW 2052, Australia; Department of Civil Engineering, Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, MD 21287, USA
| | - T Alex Perkins
- Department of Biological Sciences and Eck Institute for Global Health, University of Notre Dame, Notre Dame, IN 46556, USA
| | - Guy Baele
- Department of Microbiology and Immunology, Rega Institute, KU Leuven, Leuven, Belgium
| | - Kamran Khan
- Li Ka Shing Knowledge Institute, St. Michael's Hospital, Toronto, ON M5B 1T8, Canada; Division of Infectious Diseases, Department of Medicine, University of Toronto, Toronto, ON M5B 1T8, Canada
| | - Andrea Morrison
- Bureau of Epidemiology, Division of Disease Control and Health Protection, Florida Department of Health, Tallahassee, FL 32399, USA
| | - Sharon Isern
- Department of Biological Sciences, Florida Gulf Coast University, Fort Myers, FL 33965, USA
| | - Scott F Michael
- Department of Biological Sciences, Florida Gulf Coast University, Fort Myers, FL 33965, USA.
| | - Kristian G Andersen
- Department of Immunology and Microbiology, The Scripps Research Institute, La Jolla, CA 92037, USA; Scripps Research Translational Institute, La Jolla, CA 92037, USA.
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12
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Grubaugh ND, Gangavarapu K, Quick J, Matteson NL, De Jesus JG, Main BJ, Tan AL, Paul LM, Brackney DE, Grewal S, Gurfield N, Van Rompay KKA, Isern S, Michael SF, Coffey LL, Loman NJ, Andersen KG. An amplicon-based sequencing framework for accurately measuring intrahost virus diversity using PrimalSeq and iVar. Genome Biol 2019; 20:8. [PMID: 30621750 PMCID: PMC6325816 DOI: 10.1186/s13059-018-1618-7] [Citation(s) in RCA: 512] [Impact Index Per Article: 102.4] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/04/2018] [Accepted: 12/26/2018] [Indexed: 01/17/2023] Open
Abstract
How viruses evolve within hosts can dictate infection outcomes; however, reconstructing this process is challenging. We evaluate our multiplexed amplicon approach, PrimalSeq, to demonstrate how virus concentration, sequencing coverage, primer mismatches, and replicates influence the accuracy of measuring intrahost virus diversity. We develop an experimental protocol and computational tool, iVar, for using PrimalSeq to measure virus diversity using Illumina and compare the results to Oxford Nanopore sequencing. We demonstrate the utility of PrimalSeq by measuring Zika and West Nile virus diversity from varied sample types and show that the accumulation of genetic diversity is influenced by experimental and biological systems.
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Affiliation(s)
- Nathan D Grubaugh
- Department of Immunology and Microbiology, The Scripps Research Institute, La Jolla, CA, 92037, USA.
- Department of Epidemiology of Microbial Diseases, Yale School of Public Health, New Haven, CT, 06510, USA.
| | - Karthik Gangavarapu
- Department of Immunology and Microbiology, The Scripps Research Institute, La Jolla, CA, 92037, USA.
| | - Joshua Quick
- Institute of Microbiology and Infection, University of Birmingham, Birmingham, B15 2TT, UK
| | - Nathaniel L Matteson
- Department of Immunology and Microbiology, The Scripps Research Institute, La Jolla, CA, 92037, USA
| | - Jaqueline Goes De Jesus
- Institute of Microbiology and Infection, University of Birmingham, Birmingham, B15 2TT, UK
- Laboratory of Experimental Pathology, Gonçalo Moniz Institute, Oswaldo Cruz Foundation, Salvador, Bahia, Brazil
| | - Bradley J Main
- Department of Pathology, Microbiology and Immunology, University of California, Davis, CA, 95616, USA
| | - Amanda L Tan
- Department of Biological Sciences, College of Arts and Sciences, Florida Gulf Coast University, Fort Myers, FL, 33965, USA
| | - Lauren M Paul
- Department of Biological Sciences, College of Arts and Sciences, Florida Gulf Coast University, Fort Myers, FL, 33965, USA
| | - Doug E Brackney
- Department of Environmental Sciences, The Connecticut Agricultural Experiment Station, New Haven, CT, 06504, USA
| | - Saran Grewal
- Department of Environmental Health, San Diego County Vector Control Program, San Diego, CA, 92123, USA
| | - Nikos Gurfield
- Department of Environmental Health, San Diego County Vector Control Program, San Diego, CA, 92123, USA
| | - Koen K A Van Rompay
- California National Primate Research Center and Department of Pathology, Microbiology and Immunology, University of California, Davis, CA, 95616, USA
| | - Sharon Isern
- Department of Biological Sciences, College of Arts and Sciences, Florida Gulf Coast University, Fort Myers, FL, 33965, USA
| | - Scott F Michael
- Department of Biological Sciences, College of Arts and Sciences, Florida Gulf Coast University, Fort Myers, FL, 33965, USA
| | - Lark L Coffey
- Department of Pathology, Microbiology and Immunology, University of California, Davis, CA, 95616, USA
| | - Nicholas J Loman
- Institute of Microbiology and Infection, University of Birmingham, Birmingham, B15 2TT, UK
| | - Kristian G Andersen
- Department of Immunology and Microbiology, The Scripps Research Institute, La Jolla, CA, 92037, USA
- Scripps Research Translational Institute, La Jolla, CA, 92037, USA
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13
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Matteson NL, Barry MA, Reddy VS. Structure-based assessment of protein-protein interactions and accessibility of protein IX in adenoviruses with implications for antigen display. Virology 2018; 516:102-107. [PMID: 29331865 DOI: 10.1016/j.virol.2018.01.007] [Citation(s) in RCA: 13] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.2] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/01/2017] [Revised: 01/03/2018] [Accepted: 01/05/2018] [Indexed: 11/28/2022]
Abstract
The exterior minor protein IX of adenoviruses (AdVs) is a frequent target of attachment of antigens and the modified AdVs are being used as potent vaccine platforms. The organization of protein IX is disticntly different between human adenoviruses (HAdVs) and non-HAdVs. The analysis of solvent accessibility, based on the near atomic resolution structures, suggests that the C-terminal residues of IX are more accessible in non-HAdVs (e.g., bovine adenovirus) than in HAdVs. Although the C-terminal fusions of IX are displayed on the capsid surface, they could disrupt the formation of tetrameric coiled-coils (4-HLXB) in HAdVs due to steric hinderance, thereby potentially affecting the capsid stability. Importantly, the parallel-antiparallel arrangement of helices seen in the 4-HLXB is not condusive for IX C-terminal fusions in HAdVs. In contrast, the parallel trimeric C-terminal coiled-coils in non-HAdVs are unlikely to be affected by the attachment of antigens and more efficiently displayed on the AdV surface.
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Affiliation(s)
- Nathaniel L Matteson
- Department of Integrative Structural and Computational Biology, La Jolla, CA 92037, USA; Doctoral Program in Chemical and Biological Sciences, The Scripps Research Institute, La Jolla, CA 92037, USA
| | - Michael A Barry
- Department of Internal Medicine, Division of Infectious Diseases, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, MN 55902, USA; Department of Immunology, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, MN 55902, USA; Department of Molecular Medicine, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, MN 55902, USA
| | - Vijay S Reddy
- Department of Integrative Structural and Computational Biology, La Jolla, CA 92037, USA.
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