Do We Need to Administer Fludrocortisone in Addition to Hydrocortisone in Adult Patients With Septic Shock? An Updated Systematic Review With Bayesian Network Meta-Analysis of Randomized Controlled Trials and an Observational Study With Target Trial Emulation

OBJECTIVES

This systematic review and Bayesian network meta-analysis evaluated the efficacy and safety of hydrocortisone combined with fludrocortisone or hydrocortisone alone, compared with placebo in adult patients with septic shock.

DATA SOURCES

By extending a prior Cochrane review, databases, including PubMed, Embase, the Cochrane Library, and ClinicalTrials.gov , along with other relevant websites, were searched until August 31, 2023.

STUDY SELECTION

Randomized controlled trials (RCTs) and observational studies using target trial emulation were included.

DATA EXTRACTION

The primary outcome was short-term mortality with an emphasis on 28- or 30-day mortality as the main measure and in-hospital or ICU mortality as the nearest surrogate of this measure. Three of the most common adverse events, namely, gastroduodenal bleeding, superinfection, and hyperglycemia, were also considered.

DATA SYNTHESIS

A total of 19 studies involving 95,841 patients were included. Hydrocortisone plus fludrocortisone showed the lowest short-term mortality versus placebo (odds ratio [OR]: 0.79; 95% credible interval [CrI], 0.64-0.99; number needed to treat [NNT]: 21, range: 12-500; low certainty of evidence) in terms of informative priors. The surface under the cumulative ranking curve values for hydrocortisone plus fludrocortisone, hydrocortisone alone, and placebo were 0.9469, 0.4542, and 0.0989, respectively. Consistent results were observed in RCTs alone and those using a daily 200-mg dose of hydrocortisone. Although gastroduodenal bleeding or superinfection showed no clear increase, hyperglycemia risk increased. The ORs were 0.53 for placebo versus hydrocortisone plus fludrocortisone and 0.64 for placebo versus hydrocortisone alone, with very low certainty of evidence.

CONCLUSIONS

In adults with septic shock, hydrocortisone plus fludrocortisone improved short-term survival with minimal adverse events compared with hydrocortisone alone or placebo. However, these findings are not definitive due to the limited certainty of evidence and wide NNT range. Additional large-scale, placebo-controlled RCTs are needed to provide conclusive evidence.

Comparing fine motor performance among young children with autism spectrum disorder, intellectual disability, attention-deficit/hyperactivity disorder, and specific developmental disorder of motor function

Objective

The acquisition of fine motor skills is considered to be a crucial developmental milestone throughout early childhood. This study aimed to investigate the fine motor performance of young children with different disability diagnoses.

Methods

We enrolled a sample of 1,897 young children under the age of 6 years who were at risk of developmental delays and were identified by a transdisciplinary team. A series of standardized developmental assessments included the Bayley Scales of Infant Development-Third Edition, Wechsler Preschool and Primary Scale of Intelligence-Fourth Edition, Peabody Developmental Motor Scale-Second Edition, and Movement Assessment Battery for Children-Second Edition were used. Retrospective chart reviews were conducted on all children to identify specific developmental disorders. The number of autism spectrum disorder (ASD), intellectual disability (ID), attention-deficit/hyperactivity disorder (ADHD), comorbidity, motor dysfunction, and unspecified developmental delays (DD) were 363 (19.1%), 223 (11.8%), 234 (12.3%), 285 (15.0%), 128 (6.7%), and 590 (31.1%), respectively.

Results

Young children with ID, comorbidity, and motor dysfunction demonstrated significant difficulty in performing manual dexterity and visual motor integration tasks and scored significantly lower in these areas than children with ASD, ADHD, and unspecified DD. In addition, fine motor performance was associated with cognitive ability in children with different disability diagnoses, indicating that young children showed better fine motor performance when they demonstrated better cognitive ability.

Conclusion

Our findings support that differences in fine motor performance differ by disability type. Close links between fine motor performance and cognitive ability in children under the age of 6 years were seen in all disability types.

Beyond traditional therapies: a network meta-analysis on the treatment efficacy for chronic phantom limb pain

BACKGROUND

Phantom limb pain (PLP) frequently affects individuals with limb amputations. When PLP evolves into its chronic phase, known as chronic PLP, traditional therapies often fall short in providing sufficient relief. The optimal intervention for chronic PLP remains unclear.

OBJECTIVE

The objectives of this network meta-analysis (NMA) were to examine the efficacy of different treatments on pain intensity for patients with chronic PLP.

EVIDENCE REVIEW

We searched Medline, EMBASE, Cochrane CENTRAL, Scopus, and CINAHL EBSCO, focusing on randomized controlled trials (RCTs) that evaluated interventions such as neuromodulation, neural block, pharmacological methods, and alternative treatments. An NMA was conducted based on the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses guidelines. The primary outcome was pain score improvement, and the secondary outcomes were adverse events.

FINDINGS

The NMA, incorporating 12 RCTs, indicated that neuromodulation, specifically repetitive transcranial magnetic stimulation, provided the most substantial pain improvement when compared with placebo/sham groups (mean difference=-2.9 points, 95% CI=-4.62 to -1.18; quality of evidence (QoE): moderate). Pharmacological intervention using morphine was associated with a significant increase in adverse event rate (OR=6.04, 95% CI=2.26 to 16.12; QoE: low).

CONCLUSIONS

The NMA suggests that neuromodulation using repetitive transcranial magnetic stimulation may be associated with significantly larger pain improvement for chronic PLP. However, the paucity of studies, varying patient characteristics across each trial, and absence of long-term results underscore the necessity for more comprehensive, large-scale RCTs.

PROSPERO REGISTRATION NUMBER

CRD42023455949.

Blood Purification for Adult Patients With Severe Infection or Sepsis/Septic Shock: A Network Meta-Analysis of Randomized Controlled Trials

OBJECTIVES

This study aimed to conduct a comprehensive and updated systematic review with network meta-analysis (NMA) to assess the outcome benefits of various blood purification modalities for adult patients with severe infection or sepsis.

DATA SOURCES

We conducted a search of PubMed, MEDLINE, clinical trial registries, Cochrane Library, and Embase databases with no language restrictions.

STUDY SELECTION

Only randomized controlled trials (RCTs) were selected.

DATA EXTRACTION

The primary outcome was overall mortality. The secondary outcomes were the length of mechanical ventilation (MV) days and ICU stay, incidence of acute kidney injury (AKI), and kidney replacement therapy requirement.

DATA SYNTHESIS

We included a total of 60 RCTs with 4,595 participants, comparing 16 blood purification modalities with 17 interventions. Polymyxin-B hemoperfusion (relative risk [RR]: 0.70; 95% CI, 0.57-0.86) and plasma exchange (RR: 0.61; 95% CI, 0.42-0.91) were associated with low mortality (very low and low certainty of evidence, respectively). Because of the presence of high clinical heterogeneity and intransitivity, the potential benefit of polymyxin-B hemoperfusion remained inconclusive. The analysis of secondary outcomes was limited by the scarcity of available studies. HA330 with high-volume continuous venovenous hemofiltration (CVVH), HA330, and standard-volume CVVH were associated with shorter ICU stay. HA330 with high-volume CVVH, HA330, and standard-volume CVVH were beneficial in reducing MV days. None of the interventions showed a significant reduction in the incidence of AKI or the need for kidney replacement therapy.

CONCLUSIONS

Our NMA suggests that plasma exchange and polymyxin-B hemoperfusion may provide potential benefits for adult patients with severe infection or sepsis/septic shock when compared with standard care alone, but most comparisons were based on low or very low certainty evidence. The therapeutic effect of polymyxin-B hemoperfusion remains uncertain. Further RCTs are required to identify the specific patient population that may benefit from extracorporeal blood purification.

Effectiveness and Adverse Events of Gabapentinoids as Analgesics for Patients with Burn Injuries: A Systematic Review with Meta-Analysis and Trial Sequential Analysis

(1) Background: Pain after a burn injury is difficult to endure, and emerging studies aim to ascertain the effects of gabapentin and pregabalin as non-opioid treatment options. (2) Methods: We searched for randomised controlled trials (RCTs) in six databases. The risk of bias was assessed using the RoB 2.0 tool. We performed meta-analysis and trial sequential analysis and used the Grading of Recommendations, Assessment, Development and Evaluation (GRADE) methodology for judging the certainty of evidence (CoE). (3) Results: Five RCTs were included. Compared with placebo, gabapentinoids significantly decreased the pain intensity within 24 h (mean difference (MD) = -1.06, 95% confidence interval (CI): -1.47--0.65) and from 72 h to 9 days (MD = -0.82, 95% CI: -1.16--0.48), but not after 3 weeks (MD = -0.44, 95% CI: -1.31-0.42). Opioid consumption (mg/day) was reduced within 24 h (MD = -13.34, 95% CI: -22.16--4.52) and from 72 h to 9 days (MD = -7.87, 95% CI: -14.82--0.91). Increased risks of drowsiness (risk ratio (RR) = 3.255, 95% CI: 1.135-9.335) and dizziness (RR = 3.034, 95% CI: 1.006-9.147) were observed, but sensitivity analysis using the Bayesian method showed no increased risk. All endpoints were judged as low to very low CoE. (4) Conclusions: Gabapentinoids offer modest analgesic benefits as a component of multimodal pain management for burn injuries of less than 3 weeks. The adverse effects should be carefully monitored. Large-scale RCTs are warranted for the reinforcement of CoE in clinical use.

Diabetes and dental caries in US adults: an analysis of data from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey, 2011-2018

OBJECTIVES

To determine the relationship between diabetes and dental caries among US adults participating in the 2011-2018 National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES).

BASIC RESEARCH DESIGN

The NHANES was a cross-sectional study including clinical assessments, laboratory analysis, and interviews. The sample included 16,635 participants aged 20 years and older that represent 187,596,215 individuals in the US in a probability weighted sample. Outcome variables included overall total caries score (or number of decayed, missing, filled permanent teeth - DMFT index) and the presence of caries. Bivariate analysis, Poisson regression for total caries score, logistic regression for the presence of caries were used for analysis.

RESULTS

Controlling for covariates, multiple Poisson regression revealed that total DMFT scores were associated with diabetes status (adjusted relative risk ratio (RR)controlled diabetes = 1.13, RRuncontrolled diabetes = 1.18; p⟨0.001), no college education, female sex, white race, elderly (≥ 65 years), cigarette smoking, obesity, yearly dental visits, seeing a dentist only for treatment. Similarly, multiple logistic regression shows that the odds of adults with diabetes having dental caries were higher than among those without diabetes (adjusted risk ratio (OR)controlled diabetes = 1.84, ORuncontrolled diabetes = 1.87; p⟨0.05).

CONCLUSIONS

Diabetes was associated with a higher caries score and a greater risk for dental caries among US adults.

Efficacy of brief behavioural therapy for insomnia in older adults with chronic insomnia: a systematic review and meta-analysis from randomised trials

BACKGROUND

chronic insomnia is a highly prevalent and persistent health concern among older adults, and it has significant adverse effects on cognitive function and physical health.

OBJECTIVES

the study aimed to evaluate the efficacy of a brief 4-week behavioural therapy for insomnia (BBTi) on insomnia remission in older adults with chronic insomnia.

DESIGN

a systematic review and meta-analysis were conducted.

SUBJECTS

adults aged 60 years or older.

METHODS

eight electronic databases were systematically searched through the end of March 2022. Studies followed the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analysis Statement.

RESULTS

four randomised controlled trials (190 subjects) were included. The mean age of the participants was 69.06 (65.10-71.65), and 29.9% (27.3-32.3%) were male. Older adults who received the BBTi showed a significant insomnia remission (standardised mean differences, -1.07; 95% confidence interval, -1.43 to -0.71; I2, 0%). Sleep parameters measured by actigraphy revealed that in older adults, the BBTi program significantly improved total sleep time, wake after sleep onset (WASO), sleep onset latency (SOL) and sleep efficacy (SE) compared to the controls. For the subjective sleep parameters measured the by sleep diary, older adults who received BBTi obtained a more effective improvement in WASO, SE and SOL. The overall risk of bias was mostly low or of some concern due to the difficulty of blinding participants and assessors.

CONCLUSIONS

a 4-week BBTi program can be considered an effective and nonselective intervention for insomnia remission among older adults with chronic insomnia and thereby has the potential to ameliorate WASO, SE and SOL.

Can preoperative neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio predict in-hospital mortality in postoperative patients with Stanford type A aortic dissection? Evidence-based appraisal by meta-analysis and GRADE

Objectives:

In-hospital mortality in postoperative patients with type A aortic dissection (AAD) is high. Neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) is a novel predictor of adverse outcomes in many cardiovascular diseases. We examine NLR as a predictive tool in AAD in this meta-analysis.

Materials and Methods:

We systematically searched in four databanks. Risk of bias was appraised using the Quality Assessment of Diagnostic Accuracy Studies 2 tool. The midas and metandi commands in Stata 15 were used for the meta-analysis. The certainty of evidence was assessed by the Grading of Recommendations, Assessment, Development, and Evaluation methodology (GRADE).

Results:

Four studies with 502 cases in total were included. Pooled sensitivity and specificity were 0.71 (95% confidence interval [CI] = 0.52–0.79) and 0.64 (95% CI = 0.55–0.71), respectively. Area under the hierarchical summary receiver operating characteristic curve yielded 0.73 (95% CI = 0.68–0.76). The diagnostic odds ratio was 4.42 (95% CI = 2.56–7.62). Pooled positive and negative likelihood ratios yielded 1.98 (95% CI = 1.53–2.55) and 0.45 (95% CI = 0.32–0.62), respectively. When the pretest probabilities were 25%, 50%, and 75%, the positive posttest probabilities were 40%, 66%, and 86%, and the negative posttest probabilities were 13%, 31%, and 57%, respectively, according to the Fagan's nomogram plot. The overall certainty of evidence in GRADE was low and very low in sensitivity and specificity, respectively.

Conclusion:

The pooled diagnostic values of preoperative NLR, an inexpensive and routine laboratory examination, provide a practicable help for predicting in-hospital mortality for patients with postoperative AAD in our meta-analysis.

Efficacy and Safety of Remimazolam for Procedural Sedation: A Meta-Analysis of Randomized Controlled Trials With Trial Sequential Analysis

Background: Remimazolam is a new ultrashort-acting benzodiazepine. Remimazolam has been approved for procedural sedation by the US Food and Drug Administration in 2020. However, prior trials and the participants they enrolled were limited.

Aim: In this meta-analysis, we investigated the effectiveness and adverse events (AEs) of remimazolam during procedural sedation.

Materials and Methods: The study protocol was registered (doi: 10.37766/inplasy2020.8.0043), and six databases were searched. We performed meta-analysis, trial sequential analysis (TSA), and Grading of Recommendations, Assessment, Development, and Evaluation (GRADE) methodology for judging the certainty of evidence (CoE).

Results: A total of five randomized controlled trials with 1,248 participants were included. Compared with the use of midazolam, the utilization of remimazolam resulted in an increase in procedure success rate [odds ratio (OR) = 9.01, 95% confidence interval (CI): 2.35–34.57], a reduction in the application of rescue medication (OR = 13.58, 95% CI: 3.46–53.28), a decrease in time to recovery [minutes, weighted mean difference (WMD) = −5.70, 95% CI: −8.68 to −2.72], and a better cognitive recovery of Hopkins Verbal Learning Test-Revised (WMD = 5.22, 95% CI: 2.88–7.55). No difference was found in completion of procedure (OR = 1.68, 95% CI: 0.72–3.90) with inconclusive in TSA. Despite no difference of total AEs (OR = 0.60, 95% CI: 0.24–1.50), more detailed analysis of AEs remained inconclusive in TSA. The GRADE assessment demonstrated low to very low CoE.

Conclusion: Our analysis suggested that remimazolam may be a better choice for procedural sedation than midazolam. Nevertheless, further studies are warranted to conclusively establish its safety.

Identification of miR-203a, mir-10a, and miR-194 as predictors for risk of lymphovascular invasion in head and neck cancers

Lymphovascular invasion (LVI) is an important prognostic indicator of lymph node metastasis and disease aggressiveness but clear molecular mechanisms mediating this in head and neck cancers (HNSC) remain undefined. To identify important microRNAs (miRNAs) in HNSC that associate with and are also predictive of increased risk of LVI, we used a combination of clustering algorithms, multiple regression analyses and machine learning approaches and analyzed miRNA expression profiles in the TCGA HNSC database. As the first step, we identified miRNAs with increased association with LVI as a binary variable. In order to determine whether the identified miRNAs would show functional clusters that are also indicative of increased risk for LVI, we carried out unsupervised as well as supervised clustering. Our results identified distinct clusters of miRNAs that are predictive of increased LVI. We further refined these findings using a Random forest approach, and miR-203a-3p, mir-10a-5p, and miR-194-5p to be most strongly associated with LVI. Pathway enrichment analysis showed these miRNAs targeted genes involved in Hippo signaling and fatty acid oxidation pathways that are mediators of lymph node metastasis. Specific association was also identified between the miRNAs associated with LVI and expression of several lymphangiogenic genes that could be critical for determination of therapeutic strategies.

Global association between satellite-derived nitrogen dioxide (NO2) and lockdown policies under the COVID-19 pandemic

The COVID-19 pandemic has severely affected various aspects of life, at different levels and in different countries on almost every continent. In response, many countries have closed their borders and imposed lockdown policies, possibly bringing benefits to people's health with significantly less emission from air pollutants. Currently, most studies or reports are based on local observations at the city or country level. There remains a lack of systematic understanding of the impacts of different lockdown policies on the air quality from a global perspective. This study investigates the impacts of COVID-19 pandemic towards global air quality through examining global nitrogen dioxide (NO₂) dynamics from satellite observations between 1 January and 30 April 2020. We used the Apriori algorithm, an unsupervised machine learning method, to investigate the association among confirmed cases of COVID-19, NO₂ column density, and the lockdown policies in 187 countries. The findings based on weekly data revealed that countries with new cases adopted various lockdown policies to stop or prevent the virus from spreading whereas those without tended to adopt a wait-and-see attitude without enforcing lockdown policies. Interestingly, decreasing NO₂ concentration due to lockdown was associated with international travel controls but not with public transport closure. Increasing NO₂ concentration was associated with the "business as usual" strategy as evident from North America and Europe during the early days of COVID-19 outbreak (late January to early February 2020), as well as in recent days (in late April) after many countries have started to resume economic activities. This study enriches our understanding of the heterogeneous patterns of global associations among the COVID-19 spreading, lockdown policies and their environmental impacts on NO₂ dynamics.

Comparison of Growth Velocity Among School Age Children With Different Body Mass Index From Childhood Into Early Adolescence in Hualien County, Taiwan: A Retrospective Cohort Study

Objective: This study aimed to investigate the contribution of high body mass index (BMI) to growth velocity among school-aged children who remained in the same BMI categories for a 6-year period. Methods: This retrospective cohort study included children who enrolled in the school year 2009 and remained in the same BMI categories during their 1st, 4th, and 7th grades (6-7, 9-10, 12-13 years of age). Annual linear growth velocity and weight gain were calculated and compared between sexes, BMI groups, and different times. Risk analysis and repeated measures analysis of variance were performed to identify the impact of BMI on growth velocity. Results: Of the 1,637 subjects, 53.0% were male, and 2.5% and 10.9% belonged to BMI groups of overweight and obese, respectively. In students between 6 and 13 years of age, obesity was associated with higher annual weight gain and height gain. Risk analysis showed that obese subjects had higher linear growth velocity than normal BMI groups of both sexes between 6 and 9 years of age. Unexpectedly, overweight and obese girls between 9 and 13 years of age had less linear growth velocity than underweight girls at the same interval. Repeated measures analysis of variance in both sexes showed a significant statistical association between BMI and different times of growth. However, the effect was less in girls between 9 and 13 years of age. Conclusion: Puberty may dominate over BMI as the main contributor to high growth velocity in girls with underweight BMI emerging into pubertal age.

Effect of exercise on slowing breastfeeding-induced bone loss: A meta-analysis and trial sequential analysis

AIM

This study systematically reviewed evidence regarding the effectiveness of exercise in slowing breastfeeding-induced bone loss.

METHODS

The evidence-based approach of a systematic review (PROSPERO registration No. CRD42019111623) was adopted. The inclusion criteria were randomized controlled trials or observational studies. Study samples were breastfeeding women, the intervention was any form of exercise, and bone mineral density (BMD) of the total body, lumbar spine and hip/femur neck before 6 months and at 1 year were the outcome measures. Meta-analyses were performed using a random effect model, and calculations of mean differences of BMD change and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were carried out. Studies were further evaluated through trial sequential meta-analysis (TSA), and the 'Grading of Recommendations Assessment, Development and Evaluation' methodology was used to assess the certainty of evidence (CoE).

RESULTS

A total of 1049 studies were screened, and 4 met the inclusion criteria. Weight-bearing aerobic exercise and resistance training before the 6-month evaluation slowed breastfeeding-induced bone loss in the lumbar spine (1.62% BMD change [95% CI = 0.53-2.71]; I² = 8%). The TSA Z-curve revealed crossing of the TSA boundary and line of information size, indicating sufficient sampling and significance. The CoE of exercise benefit in the lumbar spine at 6 months was low, whereas the CoE for other areas ranged from low to very low.

CONCLUSION

This first systematic review and meta-analysis provided some evidence of the advantages of exercise for slowing breastfeeding-induced bone loss. However, additional randomized controlled trials are warranted to generate more conclusive evidence.

Socio-Demographic Factors Affect the Prevalence of Hematuria and Proteinuria Among School Children in Hualien, Taiwan: A Longitudinal Localization-Based Cohort Study

Objective: Child hematuria/proteinuria is a risk factor for chronic kidney disease (CKD) in later life, and mass urinary screening could detect asymptomatic glomerulonephritis at an early stage. This study aimed to evaluate the longitudinal prevalence of hematuria/proteinuria and its association with socio-demographic factors among school children in Hualien, Taiwan. Methods: The study cohort consisted of first and fourth graders enrolled from 2008 to 2015 in Hualien. We combined the data from two consecutive health examinations to ensure the validity of the body mass index (BMI), urbanization, proteinuria, and hematuria grouping. Prevalence and health status differences between sex, age, BMI, and urbanization level were examined. Results: A total of 16,990 students within the same BMI and urbanization categories were included during the study interval. The prevalence of persistent hematuria was 1.0%. Fourth graders (odds ratio OR: 1.68, p = 0.002), girls (OR: 1.48, p = 0.014), and students from suburban/rural areas (OR: 1.99, and OR: 4.93, respectively; both p < 0.001) demonstrated higher hematuria risk. The prevalence of proteinuria was 0.2%. Fourth graders (OR: 4.44, p < 0.001) and students in suburban areas (OR: 0.27, p = 0.031) were associated with persistent proteinuria. After stratifying by age, the significant association remained. A higher risk of proteinuria was noted in underweight subjects (OR: 2.52, p = 0.023) among the fourth-grade students. Conclusion: The prevalence of hematuria/proteinuria in Hualien was higher than the average reported for Taiwan. Hematuria/proteinuria was significantly associated with sex, age, BMI, and urbanization. Our longitudinal results can provide information for future pediatric CKD prevention in Taiwan.

Evidence-based review and appraisal of the use of droperidol in the emergency department

Droperidol is a short-acting, potent dopamine D2 antagonist that can pass through the blood–brain barrier. A black box warning was issued for droperidol by the United States Food and Drug Administration in 2001 because of a risk of development of torsades de pointes induced by QT prolongation. Many experts feel that the incidence of arrhythmia is overestimated, and low-dose droperidol is almost always used by anesthesiologists for postoperative nausea and vomiting. In this review, we used evidence-based analysis to appraise high-quality studies with a low risk of bias published after 2001 on the use of droperidol in the emergency department (ED). Droperidol appears not only efficacious but also safe to treat patients with nausea/vomiting, acute psychosis, and migraine in the ED. For these conditions, droperidol may be an option for shared decision-making.

Biometeorological Modelling and Forecasting of Monthly Ambulance Demand for Hong Kong

Introduction

Given the aging population in Hong Kong and the ever rising demand for emergency ambulance services, this study aimed to examine the effects of seasonality and weather on the demand for emergency ambulance services in Hong Kong. The feasibility of using time series models and selected weather factors to forecast average daily ambulance demand over a month was also assessed.

Methods

Monthly statistics for ambulance demand from 1998 to 2007 were obtained for analysing the effects of seasonality and weather on the demand for emergency ambulance services in Hong Kong. The effectiveness of weather factors in forecasting ambulance demand was also examined by comparing the performance of the autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) model against other commonly used models.

Results

The lowest temperatures during cooler months were found to be negatively associated with average daily ambulance demand (adj-R2=0.38), while the average amount of cloud cover and highest temperatures were found to be positively associated with average daily ambulance demand during hotter months (adj-R2=0.34). When the analysis was stratified spatially by ambulance command units, Hong Kong Island had the highest adj-R2 during cool and hot months, reported at 0.55 and 0.46 respectively. With the inclusion of average temperature, the ARIMA models outperformed other models for both short- and long-term predictions.

Conclusions

Our findings suggest that weather factors, especially temperature, are significantly related to and useful for predicting ambulance demand.

Spatial clustering of SARS in Hong Kong

1. Geographic information system (GIS) can be applied during an acute infectious disease outbreak to reveal new geospatial information in addition to standard field epidemiological analyses. 2. When applied in real time during the onset and evolution of an epidemic, GIS can monitor and enhance understanding of the transmission dynamics of an infectious agent, thereby facilitating the design, implementation and evaluation of potential intervention strategies.

Interleukin-11 reduces renal injury and glomerular NF-kappa B activity in murine experimental glomerulonephritis

BACKGROUND/AIMS

There is now considerable evidence implicating T cells and macrophages in glomerular injury in crescentic glomerulonephritis. Recently, it has been shown that interleukin-11 (IL-11) has an immune modulatory function through its effect on both macrophages and T cells. We, therefore, examined the therapeutic effect of IL-11 in a murine model of experimental glomerulonephritis.

METHOD

Accelerated nephrotoxic nephritis was induced in C57BL/6 mice. IL-11 at a dose of 0.5 mg/kg/day (n = 10) in vehicle was given daily subcutaneously from the day of sensitization until day 14 after initiation of glomerulonephritis. Control mice (n = 10) received injection of vehicle alone with the same schedule.

RESULTS

IL-11 treatment markedly decreased albuminuria (6.2 +/- 1.9 vs. 18.2 +/- 4.5 mg/day, p < 0.05), the number of glomerular macrophages (1.1 +/- 0.2 vs. 1.7 +/- 0.3 cells/glomerular cross-section, p < 0.05) and glomerular fibrin deposition (fibrin score 0.9 +/- 0.3 vs. 2 +/- 0.3, p < 0.05). There was no difference in the glomerular T cell numbers between the IL-11-treated and the vehicle group. Glomerular NF-kappaB activity was markedly suppressed by 75% in the treated group (p = 0.0015).

CONCLUSION

In this study, we provide the first in vivo evidence that IL-11 treatment decreases glomerular NF-kappaB activity and reduces renal injury in experimental glomerulonephritis.

Understanding the spatial clustering of severe acute respiratory syndrome (SARS) in Hong Kong

We applied cartographic and geostatistical methods in analyzing the patterns of disease spread during the 2003 severe acute respiratory syndrome (SARS) outbreak in Hong Kong using geographic information system (GIS) technology. We analyzed an integrated database that contained clinical and personal details on all 1,755 patients confirmed to have SARS from 15 February to 22 June 2003. Elementary mapping of disease occurrences in space and time simultaneously revealed the geographic extent of spread throughout the territory. Statistical surfaces created by the kernel method confirmed that SARS cases were highly clustered and identified distinct disease "hot spots." Contextual analysis of mean and standard deviation of different density classes indicated that the period from day 1 (18 February) through day 16 (6 March) was the prodrome of the epidemic, whereas days 86 (15 May) to 106 (4 June) marked the declining phase of the outbreak. Origin-and-destination plots showed the directional bias and radius of spread of superspreading events. Integration of GIS technology into routine field epidemiologic surveillance can offer a real-time quantitative method for identifying and tracking the geospatial spread of infectious diseases, as our experience with SARS has demonstrated.

Glomerular transforming growth factor-beta1 mRNA as a marker of glomerulosclerosis-application in renal biopsies

As transforming growth factor-beta1 (TGF-beta1) is implicated in the pathogenesis of glomerulosclerosis, the aim of the study was to demonstrate if levels of glomerular TGF-beta1 mRNA in renal biopsies correlated with glomerulosclerosis. Glomeruli were collected by microdissection from renal biopsies in patients with membranous nephropathy, lupus nephritis, diabetic nephropathy, minimal change disease and IgA nephropathy presented by proteinuria when serum creatinine was <3 mg%. Glomerular mRNAs were reverse transcribed and TGF-beta1, alpha2(IV) collagen, beta-actin cDNA quantitated by competitive polymerase chain reaction (PCR). By semiquantitative electron microscopy, a 3.5-fold increase of glomerular TGF-beta1/beta-actin mRNA ratio in the moderate sclerotic group (n = 23, p < 0.01) and a 1.5-fold increase in the mild sclerotic group (n = 22, p < 0.05) were observed when compared to the minimal sclerotic group (n = 12). A concordant increase of glomerular alpha2(IV) collagen mRNA was found with 2.2- and 1.3-fold in moderate and mild sclerotic groups, respectively. The TGF-beta1/beta-actin mRNA ratios were highest in membranous nephropathy (466.4 +/- 133.4, n = 11), followed by lupus nephritis (394.9 +/- 94.8, n = 12) and diabetic nephropathy (333.2 +/- 97.6, n = 10). Patients with minimal change disease(233.1 +/- 54.1, n = 15)and IgA nephropathy(185.3 +/- 39.6, n = 9) had low levels. The degree of glomerulosclerosis in each group followed the TGF-beta1/beta-actin mRNA ratios indicating that the level is the major determinant ofglomerulosclerosis but not the disease entities. Glomerular TGF-beta1/beta-actin mRNA ratio did not correlate with clinical parameters such as the urinary protein excretion and creatinine clearance. These results suggest that glomerular TGF-beta1/beta-actin mRNA ratio may be used as a marker of glomerulosclerosis in renal biopsy to reflect the local sclerotic process.

Hepatitis B vaccine in hemodialysis patients with hepatitis C viral infection

Patients on hemodialysis therapy are at a relatively high risk of exposure to hepatitis B virus (HBV) infection. The prevalence of hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection is even higher and was reported as 33.2% in Taiwan. Although the efficacy of hepatitis B vaccine was well documented, the vaccination schedule in hemodialysis patients is not clearly defined. And under such a high prevalence of HCV infection, little is known about the influence of HCV imposing on HBV vaccination. We studied 50 chronic hemodialysis patients who were serologically negative for the hepatitis B surface antigen (HBsAg), the antibody to the hepatitis B surface antigen (anti-HBs) and the antibody to the hepatitis B core antigen (anti-HBc); 26 of them were positive for the antibody to hepatitis C virus (anti-HCV) test. Recombinant hepatitis B vaccine (Engerix-B) 40 micrograms per dose was administered by the intramuscular route at deltoid region at 0, 1, 2, 6 and 12 months respectively to all the patients. Forty-six patients had completed the study. The effective seroconversion rate (serum anti-HBs titer > 10 mIU ml-1) at 1 month after the final vaccine was 76.1% (35/46). The effective conversion rates of the anti-HCV(+) group to the anti-HCV(-) were 75% versus 77.3% (P = 0.857). Geometric mean anti-HBs titers were 177.67 mIU ml-1 versus 189.28 mIU ml-1 (P = 0.867). Our results showed that five-dose injections of HBV vaccine do not present a superior outcome to the four-dose regimen comparing to published data. The status of positivity of anti-HCV do not pose an suboptimal effect on HBV vaccination of hemodialysis patients.

Peritoneal nitric oxide is a marker of peritonitis in patients on continuous ambulatory peritoneal dialysis

Nitric oxide plays an important role in mediating the inflammatory process. The aim of this study was to evaluate if nitric oxide production was increased during peritonitis in patients receiving continuous ambulatory peritoneal dialysis (CAPD), and the association with the prognosis. The study population comprised 21 patients with 22 episodes of peritonitis. Fifteen patients without peritonitis were controls. Nitrate was measured by HPLC and nitrite by the Griess method, to reflect nitric oxide production. Peritoneal dialysate effluent and plasma were collected from six patients during peritonitis and 1 week after treatment to study changes in dialysate:plasma ratio. In 15 patients, nitrite was measured during peritonitis and every 3 days for 2 weeks or until normalized for evolutional changes. The dialysate:plasma ratios of nitrate and nitrite during peritonitis were reduced 26% and 41.5%, respectively, after 1 week of treatment, indicating the peritoneal production of nitric oxide during peritonitis. In the evolutional study, a 5.1-fold increase of peak nitrite levels in bacterial peritonitis (n = 13) and a 2.5-fold increase in fungal peritonitis (n = 3) were observed compared to controls. Nitrite gradually declined to control levels (9.3 +/- 7.2 days) after effective antibiotic treatment, but took longer than to normalize leukocyte count in the peritoneal dialysate effluent (3.9 +/- 1.9 days). In four patients with refractory peritonitis (Candida infection in three, Acinetobacter infection in one), the nitrite levels remained elevated 2-fold despite treatment, and the catheters were removed. It is concluded that nitrite levels in peritoneal dialysate effluent may serve as a marker to assess treatment efficacy in CAPD patients with peritonitis.

Efficacy of intravenous and subcutaneous erythropoietin in patients on hemodialysis and continuous ambulatory peritoneal dialysis

We carried out our study with 54 hemodialysis patients and 11 CAPD patients. The hemodialysis patients were divided into five groups. Group 1 & group 2 received intermediate doses of erythropoietin ranging from 150 U/Kg/wk to 180 U/Kg/wk. Group 3, group 4 and group 5 received low doses of erythropoietin ranging from 75 U/Kg/wk to 90 U/Kg/wk. While group 1 & group 4 received erythropoietin subcutaneously, group 2 & group 3 received erythropoietin intravenously. The CAPD patients all received subcutaneous erythropoietin. The efficacy of the erythropoietin therapy was evaluated by (1) the early response rate, (2) the late response rate, (3) the time to reach the target hematocrit, (4) the therapeutic cumulative dose, and (5) the maintenance dose. We concluded that: (1) dose is the prime factor determining the rate and ratio of patients response to erythropoietin. (2) subcutaneous administration is more effective than the intravenous route resulting in a 20% to 30% dose-reduction effect, and (3) CAPD patients had a better erythropoietin response than the hemodialysis patients. A larger study is necessary to confirm this finding.

Jejunal atresia with "apple peel" deformity: report of one case

A case of jejunal atresia with "apple peel" deformity is presented. A 27-year-old woman, gravida 3, para 2, suffered from premature labor pain and vaginal bleeding at 32 weeks of gestation. Prenatal ultrasound examination revealed presence of three areas of cystic dilatation in the fetal abdomen and marked polyhydramnios, indicating a high bowel obstruction. A female baby was delivered by Cesarean section with Apgar scores of 7 and 8 at one and five minutes, respectively. Physical examination showed abdominal distention. Nasogastric tube aspiration got more than 50 ml of blood-tinged fluid. Roentgenography demonstrated a high jejunal obstruction as well as a normally rotated colon. Laparotomy disclosed proximal jejunal atresia with typical "apple peel" appearance of the distal small bowel. An end-to-end anastomosis was performed smoothly after resection of both the proximal and distal small bowels. A reduction tapering antimesenteric jejunoplasty was also done. Partial parenteral nutrition had been administered for 10 days followed by enteric feeding. The postoperative course was uneventful. Her chromosomal analysis revealed a normal karyotype of 46,XX.

Physical growth parameters of chinese children in calgary

Though ethnic variation in growth is well recognized, little is known about the physical growth of Chinese Canadian children. The objectives of this study were to establish the growth parameters for Chinese Canadian children and to compare them with those of Caucasian Canadians. The authors measured height, weight and head circumference during periodic physical examinations of children who attended their clinic between 1980 and 1984. These children were residents of Calgary, Alberta. Children with congenital anomalies or acquired chronic diseases were excluded. A total of 2,149 children (946 ethnic Chinese and 1,203 Caucasians) were studied. Differences in growth characteristics of Chinese Canadian and Caucasian Canadian children were established. The data suggest that the use of normal growth charts derived from growth data on the North American population may not be appropriate for Chinese Canadians.

Fetal-maternal transfer of [H3]-6 beta-hydroxycortisol in the pregnant ewe

Distribution and fetomaternal transfer of 6 beta-hydroxycortisol (6 beta-OHF) was studied using serial sampling following injection of tritium labelled 6 beta-OHF into various fluid compartments in the chronically cannulated unaesthesized pregnant ewe. There was a rapid transfer of 6 beta-OHF from the fetal circulation into amniotic fluid and maternal blood. In contrast, the maternal----fetal transfer of this steroid metabolite was considerably less. The sequence of appearance of 6 beta-OHF in fetal blood and amniotic fluid following injection into maternal blood suggests that this steroid is first transferred across the placenta to fetal blood before gaining entry into the amniotic fluid space. The half-lives of 6 beta-OHF after initial equilibration in maternal plasma, fetal plasma and amniotic fluid were 2.0 h, 5.1 h and 8.9 h respectively. The amniotic sac appears to contain a relatively static pool of 6 beta-OHF and may act as a "trap" for 6 beta-OHF in the ovine conceptus.

Distribution of alpha-fetoprotein in fetal plasma and in amniotic and allantoic fluids of the pig

The concentration of AFP in the plasma of fetal pigs was highest in early gestation (Days 15-30) and declined with advancing gestation. This pattern was comparable to those observed in other mammals with similar lengths of gestation. In contrast, allantoic and amniotic fluid AFP concentrations were highest during the middle third of gestation but these concentrations were much lower than those in fetal plasma throughout gestation. The allantois appears to be a significant distribution space for AFP in early gestation.

Distribution of acute-phase alpha 2-macroglobulin in rat fetomaternal compartments

Rat acute-phase alpha 2-macroglobulin (AP alpha 2M) concentration was measured by radioimmunoassay in maternal serum, fetal plasma, maternal liver, fetal liver, and amniotic fluid as a function of gestational and neonatal age. The concentration profiles of AP alpha 2M in maternal serum and fetal plasma displayed two peaks, one in early gestation and another during late gestation. Synthesis of AP alpha 2M was confirmed by the immunoprecipitation of [35S]methionine incorporated into cultures of selected tissues. The following observations were made. 1) Maternal serum concentrations of AP alpha 2M were higher than those observed in fetal plasma in early gestation. This was attributable to a high level of maternal AP alpha 2M synthesis in metrial gland which was absent in liver and moderate in yolk sac. 2) In late gestation fetal plasma concentrations of AP alpha 2M greatly exceeded those observed in maternal serum. This could be explained by the pronounced synthesis of AP alpha 2M in fetal liver that was not apparent in maternal liver or yolk sac. 3) During labor, a transient increase in AP alpha 2M concentration was observed in maternal serum and fetal plasma. 4) During lactation a moderately elevated maternal serum concentration of AP alpha 2M was maintained. 5) Amniotic fluid concentration of AP alpha 2M was very low throughout gestation, which indicated that the fetal glomerulus was relatively impermeable to this large protein. It is concluded that in early gestation a principal maternal source of AP alpha 2M appears to be the metrial gland, whereas in late gestation fetal liver is a major source of AP alpha 2M appearing in fetal plasma from where some of this macroglobulin is speculated to be transported to the maternal circulation.