CO2 emission hotspots analysis on supply chains for wooden houses in Japan

Ninety-four percent of CO2 emissions induced by final demand in the global construction sector stem from the supply chain. Therefore, it is necessary to identify the CO2 emission hotspots within the supply chain and implement targeted reduction measures. This study proposed a supply chain clustering approach considering the functional unit of houses and identified CO2 emission hotspots within the supply chain structure of wooden houses, which accounted for approximately 90% of the total housing stock in Japan. We founded that the top ten CO2 emission clusters (i.e., emission hotspots) account for approximately 40% of the carbon footprint (38 t-CO2) of a wooden house. Specifically, the iron and steel cluster, which includes the pig iron and crude steel sectors, and the cement cluster, comprising the cement and ready-mixed concrete sectors, collectively contribute to approximately 75% of the CO2 emissions within the top 10 clusters. Therefore, the reduction of CO2 emissions from these clusters is of paramount importance. Decision-makers should promote renovation and remodeling policies for vacant houses and prioritize the reuse of foundations, predominantly constructed using steel and cement products, to reduce the supply-chain emissions from wooden houses.

Reduction of life-cycle CO2 emissions by expanding car-sharing services: A case study on Japan

Carbon neutrality is a growing concern for all global economies. We considered the number of new and used cars registered during 2009-2018 in Japan and estimated the total number of private and shared cars, assuming that when owners abandoned their old cars, a certain percentage of the owners chose to use a car-sharing service (i.e., car rental service), instead of buying a new private car. We estimated the CO2 emissions generated during the manufacturing, driving, and disposal stages of cars, to analyze the impact of car sharing on CO2 emissions. Then, we determined the changes in the life-cycle CO2 emissions of all the cars for three car-sharing penetration rates (0, 5, and 100%), assuming that all the cars were gasoline-powered. Additionally, we analyzed how electric vehicles can optimize the proposed strategy. An increase in car-sharing services significantly reduced vehicular CO2 emissions; the decrease in CO2 emissions from private cars when owners switched to car services significantly exceeded the increase in the CO2 emissions associated with the increased number of cars. The proposed model can serve as a reliable framework to analyze the current status of CO2 emissions and simulate the future changes in car-sharing services.

Production efficiency and cost reduction potential of biodiesel fuel plants using waste cooking oil in Japan

Biodiesel fuel (BDF) is a potentially carbon-neutral fuel that could play a potentially important role in preventing global warming. However, its high production cost poses a challenge for many BDF producers. To establish an efficient method for BDF production and increase its cost competitiveness, the production efficiencies of 35 BDF plants in Japan, which produce BDF from waste cooking oil, were evaluated. Moreover, the cost reduction potential associated with improved efficiency was estimated. The empirical analysis revealed that (1) approximately 92% of the BDF plants have inefficient production; (2) they exhibit two predominant types of inefficiencies, technical and scale inefficiencies, and (3) improvement of production inefficiency can lead to an average production cost reduction of 3.52 yen per liter of BDF. To increase the production efficiency, it is important to improve the quality of the waste cooking oil used and increase the production scale. It is recommended that operators of inefficient BDF plants learn the production activities of the most efficient plants identified in this study. Furthermore, government policies focused on efficient BDF plants are essential to increase BDF production with limited resources.

Determinants of technical inefficiency in China's coal-fired power plants and policy recommendations for CO2 mitigation

This study applies data envelopment analysis (DEA) to estimate the technical efficiency (TE) and CO₂ emission reduction potential of 1270 coal-fired power plants in 28 Chinese provinces and municipalities. The large dataset used in the study includes 727 combined heat and power (CHP) plants and 543 thermal power plants. Results show an average TE score of 0.57 for the CHP power plants and 0.58 for the thermal power plants, suggesting a significant potential to reduce coal consumption in both types of coal-fired plants. Total CO₂ emission reduction potential was estimated to be 953 Mt-CO₂, or 19% of the total CO₂ emissions of China's electricity and heat producing sectors, indicating that China's coal-fired power plants have a significant potential to mitigate CO₂ emissions through technological improvement. In the second stage of the study, a Tobit regression analysis was conducted to identify the determinants of TE. Factors such as the plant's annual operation rate and capacity utilization rate were found to be significant influences. Based on our results, we propose that the Chinese government create a power distribution structure that generates electricity using technologically efficient equipment in areas rich in coal resources and distributes the generated electricity to other areas of the country.

Critical supply chains for mitigating PM2.5 emission-related mortalities in India

Air pollution and its health-related effects are a major concern globally, and many people die from air pollution-related diseases each year. This study employed a structural path analysis combined with a health impact inventory database analysis to estimate the number of consumption-based PM_2.5 emission-related deaths attributed to India's power supply sector. We identified critical supply chain paths for direct (production) electricity use and indirect (consumption) use. We also considered both domestic and foreign final demand and its effect on PM_2.5 emission-related deaths. Several conclusions could be drawn from our results. First, the effect of indirect electricity usage on PM_2.5 emission-related deaths is approximately four times larger than that for direct usage. Second, a large percentage of pollution-related deaths can be attributed to India's domestic final demand usage; however, electricity usage in the intermediate and final demand sectors is inextricably linked. Third, foreign final demand sectors from the Middle East, the USA, and China contribute indirectly toward PM_2.5 emission-related deaths, specifically in the rice export supply chain. The results show that the Indian government should implement urgent measures to curb electricity use in rice supply chains in order to reduce the number of PM_2.5 emission-related deaths.

Driving propensity and vehicle lifetime mileage: A quantile regression approach

This study aims to determine the relationship between motor vehicle lifetime and lifetime mileage, while considering drivers' propensity to drive and its effects on vehicle CO₂ emissions. To do this, we analyze the relationship between lifetime mileage and vehicle lifetime for two vehicle types; a hybrid and a gasoline vehicle. We also employ a quantile regression approach to estimate the effects of drivers' propensity to drive on lifetime mileage. By estimating the CO₂ emissions based on driver's propensity to drive, we analyze the effects of propensity to drive on vehicle CO₂ emissions. Our results show that, for drivers who drive longer distances, the rate of decrease in average mileage grows as the vehicle age increases. Further, the results of our analysis, which considers this decrease in mileage, show that the cumulative CO₂ emissions calculated under the assumption of uniform average annual mileage have been overestimated. The actual lifecycle CO₂ emissions for the Prius are therefore smaller than previously reported by the previous studies, leading us to conclude that the hybrid is a more environmentally friendly vehicle than previously thought. Those of the Premio as a conventional gasoline vehicle, however, is approximately twice that. We suggest that vehicle lifecycle assessments should take into account the annual decrease in mileage demonstrated in this study.

Supply Constraint from Earthquakes in Japan in Input-Output Analysis

Disasters often cause exogenous flow damage (i.e., the [hypothetical] difference in economic scale with and without a disaster in a certain period) to production ("supply constraint"). However, input-output (IO) analysis (IOA) cannot usually consider it, because the Leontief quantity model (LQM) assumes that production is endogenous; the Ghosh quantity model (GQM) is considered implausible; and the Leontief price model (LPM) and the Ghosh price model (GPM) assume that quantity is fixed. This study proposes to consider a supply constraint in the LPM, introducing the price elasticity of demand. This study uses the loss of social surplus (SS) as a damage estimation because production (sales) is less informative as a damage index than profit (margin); that is, production can be any amount if without considering profit, and it does not tell exactly how much profit is lost for each supplier (upstream sector) and buyer (downstream sector). As a model application, this study examines Japan's largest five earthquakes from 1995 to 2017 and the Great East Japan Earthquake (GEJE) in March 2011. The worst earthquake at the peak tends to increase price by 10-20% and decrease SS by 20-30%, when compared with the initial month's prices/production. The worst damage tends to last eight months at most, accumulating 0.5-month-production damage (i.e., the sum of [hypothetical] differences in SS with and without an earthquake [for eight months] is 50% of the initial month production). Meanwhile, the GEJE in the five prefectures had cumulatively, a 25-month-production damage until the temporal recovery at the 37th month.

Affluent countries inflict inequitable mortality and economic loss on Asia via PM2.5 emissions

This research sets out to quantify the mortality and economic loss in individual Asian countries caused by the PM_2.5 emissions induced by the consumption of the world's five highest-consuming countries (US, China, Japan, Germany, UK). In 2010 alone, the economic impact of these five countries' consumption caused a loss of almost 45 billion US dollars due to the premature deaths of more than 1 million people in Asia, including 15 thousand children younger than 5 years old. The percentage ratio of economic loss to value-added driven by consumers via trade differed greatly among the impacted countries. For the US, the highest percentage loss was 4.1% in Laos, followed by 2.0% in Bangladesh, both markedly higher than the figures for the more developed countries, such as 0.21% for Japan and 0.18% for Korea. This reflects the inequitable value chain existing between consumer countries and impacted countries, and implies that developing countries are obtaining value-added in exchange for unintentionally increased health risks, delaying their development and potentially creating a vicious circle that hinders much-needed improvements in areas like poverty reduction and public health. This inequitable situation needs to be redressed through introduction of clean energy and other types of technological assistance to help achieve United Nations Sustainable Development Goals 7, 10 and 13. Such as move is essential if premature infant deaths are to be curtailed.

Impacts of productive efficiency improvement in the global metal industry on CO2 emissions

This study focused on 14 metal sectors of the 40 countries that are the largest CO₂ emitters and developed a new analysis framework to estimate CO₂ reduction potentials based on the Greenhouse Gas Protocol through efficiency improvement of the inefficient metal sector of these countries. The analysis framework was developed by combining a multi-regional input-output database with data envelopment analysis. We found that there were 20 inefficient countries in the basic iron and steel sector, which is the largest CO₂ emitter among 14 metal sectors, and their efficiency improvements can contribute to reducing CO₂ emissions by 354 Mt, accounting for 1.4% of the global CO₂ emissions. We further proposed efficiency improvement schemes targeting the inefficient countries in order to help those countries to effectively reduce CO₂ emissions according to their sectoral and national characteristics.

Role of vehicle inspection policy in climate mitigation: The case of Japan

In 1951, the Japanese government introduced a vehicle safety inspection system and this system has an effect of shortening the 'economic' lifetimes of automobiles and increasing CO₂ emissions associated with vehicle life-cycle. This study develops an integrated assessment framework by combining dynamic discrete choice analysis with life-cycle environmental accounting analysis based on a dynamic stock model. From the empirical results, we found that (1) the economic lifetime of a Prius in the benchmark model is surprisingly short, 5.07 years, due to the strict car inspection system, and this replacement cycle has contributed to increasing CO₂ over time; and (2) abolishing car inspections at the third and fifth years would considerably contribute to reducing life-cycle CO₂ emissions associated with Prius sold during the study period, 1997 to 2016, accounting for approximately one million tons-CO₂ eq. over 20 years. Thus, we conclude that modifying the regulation policy with a focus on the car inspection system to induce car owners to keep their automobiles longer would have environmental benefits.

Progressive Cortical Neuronal Damage and Extracranial-Intracranial Bypass Surgery in Patients with Misery Perfusion

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE

Misery perfusion may cause selective neuronal damage in atherosclerotic ICA or MCA disease. Bypass surgery can improve misery perfusion and may prevent neuronal damage. On the other hand, surgery conveys a risk for neuronal damage. The purpose of this retrospective study was to determine whether progression of cortical neuronal damage in surgically treated patients with misery perfusion is larger than that in surgically treated patients without misery perfusion or medically treated patients with misery perfusion.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

We evaluated the distribution of benzodiazepine receptors twice by using PET and ¹¹C-labeled flumazenil in 18 surgically treated patients with atherosclerotic ICA or MCA disease (9 with misery perfusion and 9 without) and no perioperative stroke before and after bypass surgery; in 8 medically treated patients with misery perfusion and no intervening ischemic event; and in 7 healthy controls. We quantified abnormal decreases in the benzodiazepine receptors of the cerebral cortex within the MCA distribution and compared changes in the benzodiazepine receptor index among the 3 groups.

RESULTS

The change in the benzodiazepine receptor index in surgically treated patients with misery perfusion (27.5 ± 15.6) during 7 ± 5 months was significantly larger than that in surgically treated patients without misery perfusion (-5.2 ± 9.4) during 6 ± 4 months (P < .001) and in medically treated patients with misery perfusion (3.2 ± 15.4) during 16 ± 6 months (P < .01).

CONCLUSIONS

Progression of cortical neuronal damage in surgically treated patients with misery perfusion and no perioperative stroke may occur and may be larger than that in medically treated patients with misery perfusion and no intervening ischemic event.

OBP-401-GFP telomerase-dependent adenovirus illuminates and kills high-metastatic more effectively than low-metastatic triple-negative breast cancer in vitro

We previously described the development of a highly-invasive, triple-negative breast cancer (TNBC) variant using serial orthotopic implantation of MDA-MB-231 human breast cancer in nude mice. The isolated variant is highly invasive in the mammary gland and metastasized to lymph nodes in 10 of 12 mice compared with 2 of 12 of the parental cell line. OBP-401 is a telomerase-dependent cancer-specific, green fluorescent protein (GFP)-expressing adenovirus. OBP-401 was used to infect parental MDA-MB-231P cells and high-metastatic MDA-MB-231H and MDA-MB-231HLN isolated from a lymph node metastasis and MDA-MB-231HLM isolated from a lung metastasis. Time-course imaging showed that OBP-401 labeled MDA-MB-231HP, MDA-MB-231HLN, and MDA-MB-231HLM cells more brightly than MDA-MB-231 parental cells. OBP-401 killed MDA-MB-231H, MDA-MB-231HLN, and MDA-MB-231HLM cells more efficiently than MDA-MB-231P parental cells. These results indicate that OBP-401 could infect, label and then kill high-metastatic MDA-MB-231 more efficiently than low-metastatic MDA-MB-231.

Global mining risk footprint of critical metals necessary for low-carbon technologies: the case of neodymium, cobalt, and platinum in Japan

Meeting the 2-degree global warming target requires wide adoption of low-carbon energy technologies. Many such technologies rely on the use of precious metals, however, increasing the dependence of national economies on these resources. Among such metals, those with supply security concerns are referred to as critical metals. Using the Policy Potential Index developed by the Fraser Institute, this study developed a new footprint indicator, the mining risk footprint (MRF), to quantify the mining risk directly and indirectly affecting a national economy through its consumption of critical metals. We formulated the MRF as a product of the material footprint (MF) of the consuming country and the mining risks of the countries where the materials are mined. A case study was conducted for the 2005 Japanese economy to determine the MF and MRF for three critical metals essential for emerging energy technologies: neodymium, cobalt and platinum. The results indicate that in 2005 the MFs generated by Japanese domestic final demand, that is, the consumption-based metal output of Japan, were 1.0 × 10(3) t for neodymium, 9.4 × 10(3) t for cobalt, and 2.1 × 10 t for platinum. Export demand contributes most to the MF, accounting for 3.0 × 10(3) t, 1.3 × 10(5) t, and 3.1 × 10 t, respectively. The MRFs of Japanese total final demand (domestic plus export) were calculated to be 1.7 × 10 points for neodymium, 4.5 × 10(-2) points for cobalt, and 5.6 points for platinum, implying that the Japanese economy is incurring a high mining risk through its use of neodymium. This country's MRFs are all dominated by export demand. The paper concludes by discussing the policy implications and future research directions for measuring the MFs and MRFs of critical metals. For countries poorly endowed with mineral resources, adopting low-carbon energy technologies may imply a shifting of risk from carbon resources to other natural resources, in particular critical metals, and a trade-off between increased mining risk and deployment of such technologies. Our analysis constitutes a first step toward quantifying and managing the risks associated with natural resource mining.

MaTrace: tracing the fate of materials over time and across products in open-loop recycling

Even for metals, open-loop recycling is more common than closed-loop recycling due, among other factors, to the degradation of quality in the end-of-life (EoL) phase. Open-loop recycling is subject to loss of functionality of original materials, dissipation in forms that are difficult to recover, and recovered metals might need dilution with primary metals to meet quality requirements. Sustainable management of metal resources calls for the minimization of these losses. Imperative to this is quantitative tracking of the fate of materials across different stages, products, and losses. A new input-output analysis (IO) based model of dynamic material flow analysis (MFA) is presented that can trace the fate of materials over time and across products in open-loop recycling taking explicit consideration of losses and the quality of scrap into account. Application to car steel recovered from EoL vehicles (ELV) showed that after 50 years around 80% of the steel is used in products, mostly buildings and civil engineering (infrastructure), with the rest mostly resided in unrecovered obsolete infrastructure and refinery losses. Sensitivity analysis was conducted to evaluate the effects of changes in product lifespan, and the quality of scrap.

Changes in the carbon footprint of Japanese households in an aging society

As the aging and low birthrate trends continue in Japan, and as changes in the working population and consumption patterns occur, new factors are expected to have an impact on consumption-based greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions. We present the impacts of changes in the composition of Japanese households on GHG emission structures using current (2005) consumption-based accounting on the commodity sectors that are expected to require priority efforts for reducing emissions in 2035. This is done using the Global Link Input-Output model (GLIO) and domestic household consumption data and assuming that recent detailed consumption expenditures based on the Social Accounting Matrix (SAM) will continue into the future. The results show that consumption-based GHG emissions derived from Japanese household consumption in 2035 are estimated to be 1061 Mt-CO2eq (4.2% lower than in 2005). This study can be used to reveal more information and as a resource in developing policies to more meticulously and efficiently reduce emissions based on emission and import rates for each domestic and overseas commodity supply chain.

Effects of escitalopram on plasma concentrations of aripiprazole and its active metabolite, dehydroaripiprazole, in Japanese patients

INTRODUCTION

The effects of escitalopram (10 mg/d) coadministration on plasma concentrations of aripiprazole and its active metabolite, dehydroaripiprazole, were studied in 13 Japanese psychiatric patients and compared with those of paroxetine (10 mg/d) coadministration.

METHODS

The patients had received 6-24 mg/d of aripiprazole for at least 2 weeks. Patients were randomly allocated to one of 2 treatment sequences: paroxetine-escitalopram (n=6) or escitalopram-paroxetine (n=7). Each sequence consisted of two 2-week phases. Plasma concentrations of aripiprazole and dehydroaripiprazole were measured using liquid chromatography with mass spectrometric detection.

RESULTS

Plasma concentrations of aripiprazole and the sum of aripiprazole and dehydroaripiprazole during paroxetine coadministration were 1.7-fold (95% confidence intervals [CI], 1.3-2.1, p<0.001) and 1.5-fold (95% CI 1.2-1.9, p<0.01) higher than those values before the coadministration. These values were not influenced by escitalopram coadministration (1.3-fold, 95% CI 1.1-1.5 and 1.3-fold, 95% CI 1.0-1.5). Plasma dehydroaripiprazole concentrations remained constant during the study.

CONCLUSION

The present study suggests that low doses of escitalopram can be safely coadministered with aripiprazole, at least from a pharmacokinetic point of view.

Global flows of critical metals necessary for low-carbon technologies: the case of neodymium, cobalt, and platinum

This study, encompassing 231 countries and regions, quantifies the global transfer of three critical metals (neodymium, cobalt, and platinum) considered vital for low-carbon technologies by means of material flow analysis (MFA), using trade data (BACI) and the metal contents of trade commodities, resolving the optimization problem to ensure the material balance of the metals within each country and region. The study shows that in 2005 international trade led to global flows of 18.6 kt of neodymium, 154 kt of cobalt, and 402 t of platinum and identifies the main commodities and top 50 bilateral trade links embodying these metals. To explore the issue of consumption efficiency, the flows were characterized according to the technological level of each country or region and divided into three types: green ("efficient use"), yellow ("moderately efficient use"), and red ("inefficient use"). On this basis, the shares of green, yellow, and red flows in the aggregate global flow of Nd were found to be 1.2%, 98%, and 1.2%, respectively. For Co, the respective figures are 53%, 28%, and 19%, and for Pt 15%, 84%, and 0.87%. Furthermore, a simple indicator focusing on the composition of the three colored flows for each commodity was developed to identify trade commodities that should be prioritized for urgent technical improvement to reduce wasteful use of the metals. Based on the indicator, we discuss logical, strategic identification of the responsibilities and roles of the countries involved in the global flows.

Chronic hemodynamic compromise and cerebral ischemic events in asymptomatic or remote symptomatic large-artery intracranial occlusive disease

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE

In asymptomatic or remote symptomatic LAICOD, the risk of ischemic events is low in general, but there may be a subgroup of higher risk patients who require aggressive medical management. The purpose of this study was to determine whether chronic hemodynamic compromise is a predictor of ischemic events in asymptomatic or remote symptomatic LAICOD.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

We prospectively studied 51 asymptomatic, 19 coexistent asymptomatic, and 19 remote (>6 months) symptomatic patients with atherosclerotic intracranial internal carotid artery or middle cerebral artery disease by using (15)O-PET. MP was defined as decreased CBF, increased OEF, and a decreased CBF/CBV ratio. All patients were followed up for 2 years or until occurrence of stroke or TIA or death.

RESULTS

Bypass surgery was performed in 4 patients (2 with MP). Three cerebral ischemic events (1 TIA in an asymptomatic patient, 1 stroke, and 1 TIA in a remote symptomatic patient) occurred in the vascular territory ipsilateral to LAICOD. Kaplan-Meier analysis with censoring at the time of bypass surgery revealed that the incidence of ipsilateral ischemic events in patients with MP (2/5) was significantly higher than that in patients without MP (1/84) (log-rank test; P < .0001). The relative risk conferred by MP was 83.1 (95% confidence interval, 6.8-1017.4; P < .001). The incidence of ipsilateral ischemic events in patients with decreased CBF/CBV (2/9) was also significantly higher than that of patients without it (1/80) (P = .0001).

CONCLUSIONS

Chronic hemodynamic compromise may be a predictor of ischemic events in both asymptomatic and remote symptomatic LAICOD.

Overexpressed cyclin D1 protein related to p53 and retinoblastoma proteins in transitional cell carcinoma of the urinary tract

We employed immunohistochemical methods to investigate the overexpression of cyclin D1 protein as well as p53 protein and retinoblastoma protein (pRb) in 57 patients with transitional cell carcinoma (TCC) of the urinary tract, in order to determine their frequency and significance, and also association with the clinicopathological behavior of this tumor. Nuclear immunostaining with cyclin D1 antibody revealed 7 homogeneously stained tumors (12.3%), including 4 heterogeneous pRb expressions, of which only one was also positive for p53. Positive immunostaining with each antibody to p53 or pRb was obtained in 15 (26.3%) and 49 (86%) tumors, respectively. The 49 pRb-positive tumors included 6 homogeneous and 43 heterogeneous nuclear immunostaining patterns. The remaining pRb-negative 8 tumors included 5 cyclin D1-negative tumors. The prevalence of p53 staining was higher in high-grade (P<0.05) and invasive types of tumors (P<0.05) than the other types studied. On the other hand, no significant relationship was found between cyclin D1- or pRb-immunoreactivity and clinicopathological factors. These findings provide evidence for infrequent cyclin D1 protein overexpression in TCC independently associated with p53 protein and/or pRb overexpression.

Estimates of embodied global energy and air-emission intensities of Japanese products for building a Japanese input-output life cycle assessment database with a global system boundary

To build a life cycle assessment (LCA) database of Japanese products embracing their global supply chains in a manner requiring lower time and labor burdens, this study estimates the intensity of embodied global environmental burden for commodities produced in Japan. The intensity of embodied global environmental burden is a measure of the environmental burden generated globally by unit production of the commodity and can be used as life cycle inventory data in LCA. The calculation employs an input-output LCA method with a global link input-output model that defines a global system boundary grounded in a simplified multiregional input-output framework. As results, the intensities of embodied global environmental burden for 406 Japanese commodities are determined in terms of energy consumption, greenhouse-gas emissions (carbon dioxide, methane, nitrous oxide, perfluorocarbons, hydrofluorocarbons, sulfur hexafluoride, and their summation), and air-pollutant emissions (nitrogen oxide and sulfur oxide). The uncertainties in the intensities of embodied global environmental burden attributable to the simplified structure of the global link input-output model are quantified using Monte Carlo simulation. In addition, by analyzing the structure of the embodied global greenhouse-gas intensities we characterize Japanese commodities in the context of LCA embracing global supply chains.

Characterization of economic requirements for a "carbon-debt-free country"

In recent years, greenhouse gas emission controls that incorporate the supply chains of products and services, thereby emphasizing the role of consumers rather than producers, have been drawing increasing attention. A country's consumption-based emissions, including those due to global supply chains, reflect the total emissions on which the national economy relies. To design effective emissions control strategies there is therefore an urgent need for countries to elucidate the structural relationship between their domestic economy and emissions occurring through global supply chains. Here we consider the structural characteristics of consumption-based emissions in Japan, which in 2005 totaled 1675 Mt CO(2)eq. Outside the country the Japanese economy generated global emissions of 541 Mt CO(2)eq, 35.7% of which were UNFCCC Annex I emissions and 64.3% were non-Annex I and other emissions. This figure of 64.3% reveals that Japan is actually relying to a considerable degree on emissions that are subject to no international obligations. We identify key economic contributors to consumption-based emissions at the commodity level and specify items of household expenditure that are effective options for both financial savings and emissions reduction. We then discuss the importance of emissions control for evolving toward a "carbon-debt-free country".

Role of motor vehicle lifetime extension in climate change policy

Vehicle replacement schemes such as the "cash for clunkers" program in the U.S. and the "scrappage scheme" in the UK have featured prominently in the economic stimulation packages initiated by many governments to cope with the global economic crisis. While these schemes were designed as economic instruments to support the vehicle production industry, governments have also claimed that these programs have environmental benefits such as reducing CO2 emissions by bringing more fuel-efficient vehicles onto the roads. However, little evidence is available to support this claim as current energy and environmental accounting models are inadequate for comprehensively capturing the economic and environmental trade-offs associated with changes in product life and product use. We therefore developed a new dynamic model to quantify the carbon emissions due to changes in product life and consumer behavior related to product use. Based on a case study of Japanese vehicle use during the 1990-2000 period, we found that extending, not shortening, the lifetime of a vehicle helps to reduce life-cycle CO2 emissions throughout the supply chain. Empirical results also revealed that even if the fuel economy of less fuel-efficient ordinary passenger vehicles were improved to levels comparable with those of the best available technology, i.e. hybrid passenger cars currently being produced in Japan, total CO2 emissions would decrease by only 0.2%. On the other hand, we also find that extending the lifetime of a vehicle contributed to a moderate increase in emissions of health-relevant air pollutants (NOx, HC, and CO) during the use phase. From the results, this study concludes that the effects of global warming and air pollution can be somewhat moderated and that these problems can be addressed through specific policy instruments directed at increasing the market for hybrid cars as well as extending lifetime of automobiles, which is contrary to the current wisdom.

Detection of viable human circulating tumor cells using telomerase-specific GFP-expressing bioengineered adenovirus in patients with gastric cancer: A feasibility study

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Background: The presence of circulating tumor cells (CTC) in the peripheral blood is associated with short survival and, therefore, the detection of CTC is clinically useful as prognostic factors of disease outcome and/or surrogate markers of treatment response. Recent technical advances in immunocytometric analysis and quantitative real-time PCR have made possible to detect a few CTC in the blood; however, there is no sensitive assay for detecting viable CTC. We developed a new approach to visually detect live CTC among millions of peripheral blood leukocytes using telomerase-specific replication-selective adenovirus expressing green fluorescent protein (GFP).

Methods: We constructed a GFP-expressing attenuated adenovirus, in which the telomerase promoter regulates viral replication (OBP-401, TelomeScan). The detection method for viable human CTC in the peripheral blood involves a three-step procedure including the lysis of red blood cells, the subsequent addition of OBP-401 to the cell pellets, and the automated scan under the fluorescent microscope. We analyzed fresh blood samples collected from 37 patients with histologically confirmed gastric cancer. We further assessed the CTC dynamics in patients who were undergoing chemotherapy or surgery to demonstrate the clinical potential of our approach for monitoring treatment responses.

Results: OBP-401 increased the signal-to-background ratio as a tumor-specific probe, because the fluorescent signal can be amplified only in viable human tumor cells by viral replication. Although the CTC level varied widely, ranging from 0 to 47 in 5-ml samples, 26 gastric cancer patients (70.3%) had more than one CTC; there was, however, no apparent relationship between CTC counts and TNM stages. Patients who had a recurrence of gastric cancer had decreased CTC counts after systemic chemotherapy. In the patients who underwent surgery, the CTC level dropped after complete resection.

Conclusions: This GFP-expressing virus-based method is simple and allows precise enumeration of CTC, which might be useful for monitoring the efficacy of local and systemic treatments.

[Table: see text]

Material and energy dependence of services and its implications for climate change

As the services industry has grown and diversified, there has been a rapid rise in the share of energy and material costs in provision of services. As a result, services, which have traditionally been considered immaterial by their nature, are now absorbing substantial amounts of energy and material goods. By decomposing the CO2 emissions embodied in material goods and services, this study quantitatively analyzes the implications of energy and materials consumption in services for the change in indirect CO2 emissions by household consumers in Japan. The results show that the domestic CO2 emissions associated with the energy and material goods absorbed by services through the supply chain increased consistently during the decade 1990-2000, thereby constituting a key element in the rise in CO2 emissions due to household consumption. The energy and materials within the supply chain underlying services that have been identified as the main causes of this increase include electric power consumption, petroleum products, building renovation and repair, distribution of printed materials, plastic products and water, all of which are necessary to support the services in question. This study highlights the increasing importance of energy and materials consumption by services in the context of climate change policy.

How has dematerialization contributed to reducing oil price pressure?: a qualitative input-output analysis for the Japanese economy during 1990-2000

The evolution of crude oil use structure and its impacts on commodity prices are examined for Japanese economy between 1990 and 2000. We found that the out-degree of the production network, indicating the extent of the pressure on prices of downstream industries in response to higher crude oil prices, decreased in several sectors between 1990 and 2000. The results by sector showed that the decrease was greatest in the chemical product- and iron and steel manufacturing sectors, which both indirectly use crude oil. The decrease in out-degree is considered to have been caused by improved efficiency in the production of oil-related products and increase in energy savings by the manufacturing facilities in these sectors. In addition, many of the sectors having a high out-degree engage in intermediate product production. Conversely, the in-degree, which represents the extent of being pressured by other sectors with increased crude oil prices, also decreased during the period between 1990 and 2000. From the result of the in-degree, this study found that dematerialization and weight reduction of final products such as "cellular phones" and "personal computers" had a marked effect on decreasing in-degree. More importantly, for the top-ranked sectors with the high out-degree and in-degree, such as "aliphatic intermediates", "chemical fertilizers", "plastic products", "hot rolled steel", "yarn and fabric dyeing and finishing", the results suggest that the pressure due to rising crude oil prices can be more effectively eased by implementing measures targeted at upstream products and sectors, while current policy measures to alleviate oil-price induced inflation are mainly targeted at downstream products such as gasoline.

The views of doctors on registration trials in a Japanese rural area: a survey of medical institutions registered to the Tokushima Network for Clinical Trials

Tokushima University Hospital has established the Tokushima Network for Clinical Trials (TNCT) to promote clinical trials in the area in collaboration with the Tokushima Medical Association. The present study investigated the views of doctors towards registration trials in the TNCT. A questionnaire was provided to 49 clinics/hospitals registered to the TNCT in 2006 and 38 (78%) responded. It revealed that 48% of doctors were aware of registration trials and 87% were favourable towards participating as investigators in them. They considered close contact with developmental drugs, advancement of therapy and the opportunity to learn about state-of-the-art treatment as benefits of participation. The main areas of difficulty included management of adverse reactions and patients' refusal to take part. Many doctors wanted more opportunity to learn about trial-related issues such as regulations. The survey indicates that the TNCT needs to develop the infrastructure and enlighten participants to promote registration trials in this rural regional area.

Inclusive K(S);(0)K(S);(0) resonance production in ep collisions at HERA

Inclusive K_{S};{0}K_{S};{0} production in ep collisions at the DESY ep collider HERA was studied with the ZEUS detector using an integrated luminosity of 0.5 fb;{-1}. Enhancements in the mass spectrum were observed and are attributed to the production of f_{2}(1270)/a_{2};{0}(1320), f_{2};{'}(1525) and f_{0}(1710). Masses and widths were obtained using a fit which takes into account theoretical predictions based on SU(3) symmetry arguments, and are consistent with the Particle Data Group values. The f_{0}(1710) state, which has a mass consistent with a glueball candidate, was observed with a statistical significance of 5 standard deviations. However, if this state is the same as that seen in gammagamma-->K_{S};{0}K_{S};{0}, it is unlikely to be a pure glueball state.

Virus-mediated oncolysis induces danger signal and stimulates cytotoxic T-lymphocyte activity via proteasome activator upregulation

Dendritic cells (DCs) are the most potent antigen-presenting cells and acquire cellular antigens and danger signals from dying cells to initiate antitumor immune responses via direct cell-to-cell interaction and cytokine production. The optimal forms of tumor cell death for priming DCs for the release of danger signals are not fully understood. OBP-301 (Telomelysin) is a telomerase-specific replication-competent adenovirus that induces selective E1 expression and exclusively kills human cancer cells. Here, we show that OBP-301 replication produced the endogenous danger signaling molecule, uric acid, in infected human tumor cells, which in turn stimulated DCs to produce interferon-gamma (IFN-gamma) and interleukin 12 (IL-12). Subsequently, IFN-gamma release upregulated the endogenous expression of the proteasome activator PA28 in tumor cells and resulted in the induction of cytotoxic T-lymphocytes. Our data suggest that virus-mediated oncolysis might be the effective stimulus for immature DCs to induce specific activity against human cancer cells.

Simple indicator to identify the environmental soundness of growth of consumption and technology: "eco-velocity of consumption"

Today's material welfare has been achieved at the expense of consumption of finite resources and generation of environmental burdens. Over the past few decades the volume of global consumption has grown dramatically, while at the same time technological advances have enabled products with greater efficiencies. These two directions of change, consumption growth and technological advance, are the foci of the present paper. Using quantitative measures for these two factors, we define a new indicator, "eco-velocity of consumption", analogous to velocity in physics. The indicator not only identifies the environmental soundness of consumption growth and technological advance but also indicates whether and to what extent our society is shifting toward sustainable consumption. This study demonstrates the practicability of the indicator through a case study in which we calculate the eco-velocities of Japanese household consumption in 2 years: 1995 and 2000. The rate of technological advance during the periods concerned is quantified in terms of the embodied carbon dioxide emission per yen of product. The results show that the current growth rate of Japanese household consumption is greater than the rate of technological advance to mitigate carbon dioxide emissions. The eco-velocities at the level of individual commodity groups are also examined, and the sources of changes in eco-velocity for each commodity are identified using structural decomposition analysis.