Retrospective cohort study analyzing outcomes of the SIGN Fin Nail in adult femoral fractures using the retrograde approach

Purpose

There is high burden of long bone fractures in low- and middle-income countries (LMICs). Given a limited availability of fluoroscopy in LMICs, the Surgical Implant Generation Network (SIGN) developed two types of intramedullary nails: the SIGN standard nail and the SIGN Fin Nail. A limited number of studies have analyzed healing outcomes with the SIGN Fin Nail and the current study is the largest one to date. The purpose of this study is to compare outcomes between the SIGN standard nail and SIGN Fin Nails in adult femoral shaft fractures treated with a retrograde approach.

Method

A retrospective cohort study of adults with femoral shaft fractures was performed using the Sign Online Surgical Database (SOSD). The primary outcome was achieving full painless weight bearing and the secondary outcomes assessed were radiographic healing and infection. A propensity-score adjustment was performed for potential confounders and effect modification due to fracture location was tested using a Mantel-Haenszel test for heterogeneity.

Results

Of 19,928 adults with femoral shaft fractures, 2,912 (14.7%) had the required 6-month follow-up to be included. The overall propensity score weighted relative risk between the Fin and Standard Nail for achieving painless weight-bearing was 0.99, 95% CI [0.96-1.03] and for radiographical healing was 0.99, 95%CI [0.97-1.02]. The propensity score weighted relative risk for infection was 1.30, 95% [0.85-1.97]. Use of the Fin nail was also significantly associated with shorter surgery times (p < 0.005, effect size = 24 min). Sub-group analysis based on fracture location and injury cause demonstrated no change in relative risk.

Conclusion

The Fin nail showed no change in relative risk in terms of achieving full painless weightbearing or radiographic healing compared to the standard nail for retrograde nailing of femoral shaft fractures in adults. The heterogeneous nature of the cohort and large sample size allow for generalizability and add to a growing base of literature supporting use of the Fin Nail for retrograde femoral nailing. However, there are limitations as we could not correct for comminution at the fracture site or measure radiographic alignment or shortening.

Implementing an ICU registry in Ethiopia-Implications for critical care quality improvement

PURPOSE

Intensive care units (ICUs) in low- and middle-income countries have high mortality rates, and clinical data are needed to guide quality improvement (QI) efforts. This study utilizes data from a validated ICU registry specially developed for resource-limited settings to identify evidence-based QI priorities for ICUs in Ethiopia.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

A retrospective cohort analysis of data from two tertiary referral hospital ICUs in Addis Ababa, Ethiopia from July 2021-June 2022 was conducted to describe casemix, complications and outcomes and identify features associated with ICU mortality.

RESULTS

Among 496 patients, ICU mortality was 35.3%. The most common reasons for ICU admission were respiratory failure (24.0%), major head injury (17.5%) and sepsis/septic shock (13.3%). Complications occurred in 41.0% of patients. ICU mortality was higher among patients with respiratory failure (46.2%), sepsis (66.7%) and vasopressor requirements (70.5%), those admitted from the hospital ward (64.7%), and those experiencing major complications in the ICU (62.3%).

CONCLUSIONS

In this study, ICU mortality was high, and complications were common and associated with increased mortality. ICU registries are invaluable tools to understand local casemix and clinical outcomes, especially in resource-limited settings. These findings provide a foundation for QI efforts and a baseline to evaluate their impact.

Intraocular tuberculosis masquerading as ocular tumor: A case report

Tuberculosis is one of the most common pediatric problems, especially in the developing world. In spite of that, intraocular tuberculosis is a rare disease that can easily be confused with other noninfectious processes, even in regions where tuberculosis is rampant. Diagnosis is difficult, yet it is very important to provide effective antituberculosis treatment and avoid potentially sight-losing interventions. We present a case of a 2-year-old child with a positive contact history of tuberculosis who presented with progressively worsening seizures and constitutional symptoms for 6 months. Brain computed tomography revealed right frontotemporal region conglomerated ring-enhancing lesions with central necrosis consistent with tuberculosis. On the same scan, a calcified right retinal lesion with a contrast-enhancing soft tissue component was identified. A chest radiograph and abdominal sonography showed evidence of disseminated tuberculosis. Subsequently, antituberculosis treatment was initiated, and the right retinal lesion improved, thus leading to the imaging diagnosis of right intraocular tuberculosis. Early and accurate diagnosis of retinal tuberculosis is of paramount importance in avoiding potentially catastrophic interventions. Neuroimaging is a useful, noninvasive method to consider this difficult diagnosis and also for follow-up.

Molecular-based classification of endometrial carcinoma in Northern Thailand: impact on prognosis and potential for implementation in resource-limited settings

BACKGROUND

Endometrial carcinoma is molecularly categorized into four subgroups: polymerase-E exonuclease domain-mutant (POLE-mut), mismatch repair-deficient (MMR-d), p53-abnormal (p53-abn), and no specific molecular profile (NSMP). This classification scheme has been included into clinical recommendation for post-operative risk-based management, although there have been few Asian studies on this topic. The present study aimed to evaluate the prevalence and clinical outcomes of endometrial carcinoma using this classification in Northern Thailand and the feasibility of implementation in resource-limited settings.

METHODS

Endometrial carcinomas from hysterectomy specimens were classified using immunohistochemistry for MMR proteins and p53, as well as POLE mutation testing. Clinicopathological variables and outcomes were analyzed. The costs of the molecular information-based approach were compared to those incurred by the conventional approach (without molecular classification).

RESULTS

Of 138 patients, 52.9% in the NSMP subgroup, 28.2% were in the MMR-d, 13.8% in the p53-abn, and 5.1% in the POLE-mut. After adjusting for other variables, patients with POLE-mut showed the most favorable outcomes, while those with p53-abn had the poorest survival. When estimating the costs for post-operative management, the use of molecular classification resulted in a 10% increase over the conventional approach. However, the cost increased only by 1% if only POLE testing was used to identify patients for treatment omission.

CONCLUSION

In Northern Thailand, endometrial carcinoma had comparable subgroup distribution and prognostic implications to previous reports, supporting the implementation of management guidelines that incorporate molecular information. In resource-limited settings, at least POLE mutation testing in early-stage patients should be considered.

The American Brachytherapy Society and Indian Brachytherapy Society consensus statement for the establishment of high-dose-rate brachytherapy programs for gynecological malignancies in low- and middle-income countries

PURPOSE

The global cervical cancer burden is disproportionately high in low- and middle-income countries (LMICs), and outcomes can be governed by the accessibility of appropriate screening and treatment. High-dose-rate (HDR) brachytherapy plays a central role in cervical cancer treatment, improving local control and overall survival. The American Brachytherapy Society (ABS) and Indian Brachytherapy Society (IBS) collaborated to provide this succinct consensus statement guiding the establishment of brachytherapy programs for gynecological malignancies in resource-limited settings.

METHODS AND MATERIALS

ABS and IBS members with expertise in brachytherapy formulated this consensus statement based on their collective clinical experience in LMICs with varying levels of resources.

RESULTS

The ABS and IBS strongly encourage the establishment of HDR brachytherapy programs for the treatment of gynecological malignancies. With the consideration of resource variability in LMICs, we present 15 minimum component requirements for the establishment of such programs. Guidance on these components, including discussion of what is considered to be essential and what is considered to be optimal, is provided.

CONCLUSIONS

This ABS/IBS consensus statement can guide the successful and safe establishment of HDR brachytherapy programs for gynecological malignancies in LMICs with varying levels of resources.

HIV-associated nephropathy in children: challenges in a resource-limited setting

HIV infection remains one of the leading causes of morbidity and mortality worldwide, especially in children living in resource-limited settings. Although the World Health Organization (WHO) recently recommended antiretroviral therapy (ART) initiation upon diagnosis regardless of the number of CD4, ART access remains limited, especially in children living in sub-Saharan Africa (SSA). HIV-infected children who do not receive appropriate ART are at increased risk of developing HIV-associated nephropathy (HIVAN). Although due to genetic susceptibility, SSA is recognized to be the epicenter of HIVAN, limited information is available regarding the burden of HIVAN in children living in Africa. The present review discusses the information available to date on the prevalence, pathogenesis, risk factors, diagnosis, and management of HIVAN in children, focusing on related challenges in a resource-limited setting.

Economic burden of acute myeloid leukemia on patients in a resource-limited tertiary hospital in the Philippines

INTRODUCTION

The remission induction treatment for acute myeloid leukemia (AML) has remained unchanged in the resource-limited setting in the Philippines. AML treatment consists of induction chemotherapy followed by high dose consolidation chemotherapy or allogeneic hematopoietic stem cell transplantation. In the Philippines, the Filipino household bears the burden of health care cost of hospitalization expenditure. Insights into the treatment costs becomes an essential requirement as these guides the allocation of resources to scheme health programs.

METHOD

This study involved a retrospective cohort analysis of AML patients who underwent treatment for AML. Review of the statements of account per admission per patient during treatment for remission induction, consolidation, relapsed and refractory disease and best supportive care from 2017 to 2019. Of the 251 eligible patients, 190 patients were included.

RESULT

The mean healthcare expenditure for remission induction chemotherapy (Phase 1) was US $2, 504.78 (Php 125,239.29). While 3 to 4 cycles of consolidation chemotherapy cost an average of US $3,222.72 (Php 162,103.20). For patients who had relapsed and refractory disease, an additional mean cost of US $3,163.32 (Php 159,115.28) and US $2, 914.72 (Php 146,610.55) were incurred, respectively. The average cost of palliative care was US $1,687.00 (Php 84,856.59).

CONCLUSION

The cost of chemotherapy and other therapeutics bear most of the weight of the direct healthcare cost. The cost of AML treatment represents a significant economic burden for patients and the institution. The cost increases as patients proceed through subsequent lines of treatment for induction failure. Existing subsidy for health insurance benefits could still be improved for appropriate source allocation of resources.

Comparative Analysis of Percutaneous Drainage versus Operative Drainage of Intra-Abdominal Abscesses in a Resource-Limited Setting: The Tanzanian Experience

Background

Intra-abdominal abscesses (IAAs) are a major cause of morbidity and mortality worldwide. While image-guided percutaneous abscess drainage (PAD) has become the standard of care in many countries, over half of the global population does not have access to interventional radiology (IR) and are left with surgery as the only option for source control.

Objective

The purpose of this study is to evaluate the development, implementation, and role of a PAD service in a resource-limited setting.

Method

A retrospective cohort study was performed on all patients who underwent percutaneous or surgical abscess drainage (SAD) of IAAs at Tanzania's national referral hospital from 10/2018 to 4/2021. Patients were identified through a match case search of institutional records and inclusion was confirmed through manual chart review. Demographics, patient presentation, procedural data, and clinical outcomes were recorded in a password-encrypted database and compared between groups.

Findings

Sixty-three patients underwent abscess drainage: 32 percutaneously and 31 surgically. In the PAD group, there was a 100% technical success rate and a 0% complication rate. In the SAD group, there was a 64.5% technical success rate and ten deaths within 30 days (32.3%), and one additional complication requiring major therapy (3.2%) (p < 0.001).

Conclusion

Results from this study demonstrate that PAD can be performed with high technical success and without complication by trained IR physicians in Tanzania. The development of a successful PAD program exemplifies the drastic need to support the growth of IR services in this setting.

Perceptions, beliefs, and current practices regarding neonatal skin care and emollient use in eastern Uganda: a qualitative study

BACKGROUND

The skin is a major route of infection in the neonatal period, especially in low birthweight (LBW) infants. Appropriate and safe neonatal skin care practices are required to reduce this risk. The perceptions and beliefs of mothers and other caregivers towards various neonatal skin care practices in our setting have been documented. Data from Asia suggests that the application of emollient to the skin of LBW infants can promote growth, reduce serious neonatal infections, and potentially reduce mortality. This is the first study to explore the acceptability of emollients and massage as part of neonatal skin care in a low-resource setting in sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) that is representative of the majority of government health facilities in Uganda and many in SSA.

OBJECTIVE

To explore perceptions, beliefs, and current practices regarding neonatal skin care and emollient use in eastern Uganda.

METHODS

We conducted a qualitative study consisting of three focus group discussions (30 participants), eight in-depth interviews with mothers/caregivers of preterm and term neonates and 12 key informant interviews with midwives, doctors and community health workers involved in neonatal care, to explore the perceptions and practices surrounding neonatal skin care and emollient use. Data collected were transcribed and analyzed using thematic content analysis.

RESULTS

Mothers perceived that skin care began in utero. Skincare practices depended on the place of delivery; for deliveries in a health facility the skincare practices were mainly based on the health worker's advice. Vernix caseosa was often washed off due to its perceived undesirability and was attributed to sexual intercourse in the last trimester. Despite their deleterious attributes found in previous studies, petrolatum-based oils, petrolatum-based jellies and talcum baby powders were the most commonly reported items used in neonatal skin care. In our population, there was high acceptability of emollient therapy use; however, neonatal massage was treated with scepticism as mothers feared damaging the vulnerable neonate. Mothers suggested massage and emollient application be undertaken by health workers, if it becomes an intervention.

CONCLUSIONS

In eastern Uganda, the perceptions and beliefs of mothers/caregivers toward neonatal skincare influenced their practices of which some could potentially be beneficial, and others harmful. Emollient use would be easily accepted if adequate sensitisation is conducted and using the gatekeepers such as health workers.

Acceptability and user experiences of a patient-held smart card for antenatal services in Nigeria: a qualitative study

BACKGROUND

Poor maternal, newborn and child health outcomes remain a major public health challenge in Nigeria. Mobile health (mHealth) interventions such as patient-held smart cards have been proposed as effective solutions to improve maternal health outcomes. Our objectives were to assess the acceptability and experiences of pregnant women with the use of a patient-held smartcard for antenatal services in Nigeria.

METHODS

Using focus group discussions, qualitative data were obtained from 35 pregnant women attending antenatal services in four Local Government Areas (LGAs) in Benue State, Nigeria. The audio-recorded data were transcribed and analyzed using framework analysis techniques such as the PEN-3 cultural model as a guide.

RESULTS

The participants were 18-44 years of age (median age: 24 years), all were married and the majority were farmers. Most of the participants had accepted and used the smartcards for antenatal services. The most common positive perceptions about the smartcards were their ability to be used across multiple health facilities, the preference for storage of the women's medical information on the smartcards compared to the usual paper-based system, and shorter waiting times at the clinics. Notable facilitators to using the smartcards were its provision at the "Baby showers" which were already acceptable to the women, access to free medical screenings, and ease of storage and retrieval of health records from the cards. Costs associated with health services was reported as a major barrier to using the smartcards. Support from health workers, program staff and family members, particularly spouses, encouraged the participants to use the smartcards.

CONCLUSION

These findings revealed that patient-held smart card for maternal health care services is acceptable by women utilizing antenatal services in Nigeria. Understanding perceptions, barriers, facilitators, and supportive systems that enhance the use of these smart cards may facilitate the development of lifesaving mobile health platforms that have the potential to achieve antenatal, delivery, and postnatal targets in a resource-limited setting.

Diagnostic validation of a portable whole slide imaging scanner for lymphoma diagnosis in resource-constrained setting: A cross-sectional study

Background

Telepathology utilizing high-throughput static whole slide image scanners is proposed to address the challenge of limited pathology services in resource-restricted settings. However, the prohibitive equipment costs and sophisticated technologies coupled with large amounts of space to set up the devices make it impractical for use in resource-limited settings. Herein, we aimed to address this challenge by validating a portable whole slide imaging (WSI) device against glass slide microscopy (GSM) using lymph node biopsies from suspected lymphoma cases from Sub-Saharan Africa.

Material and methods

This was part of a multicenter prospective case-control head-to-head comparison study of liquid biopsy against conventional pathology. For the portable WSI scanner validation, the study pathologists evaluated 105 surgical lymph node specimens initially confirmed by gold-standard pathology between February and December 2021. The tissues were processed according to standard protocols for Hematoxylin and Eosin (H&E) and Immunohistochemistry (IHC) staining by well-trained histotechnicians, then digitalized the H& E and IHC slides at each center. The digital images were anonymized and uploaded to a HIPAA-compliant server by the histotechnicians. Three study pathologists independently accessed and reviewed the images after a 6-week washout. The agreement between diagnoses established on GSM and WSI across the pathologists was described and measured using Cohens' kappa coefficient (κ).

Results

On GSM, 65.5% (n=84) of specimens were lymphoma; 25% were classified as benign, while 9.5% were metastatic. Morphological quality assessment on GSM and WSI established that 79.8% and 53.6% of cases were of high quality, respectively. When diagnoses by GSM were compared to WSI, the overall concordance for various diagnostic categories was 93%, 100%, and 86% for lymphoma, metastases, and benign conditions respectively. The sensitivity and specificity of WSI for the detection of lymphoma were 95.2% and 85.7%, respectively, with an overall inter-observer agreement (κ) of 0.86; 95% CI (0.70-0.95).

Conclusions

We demonstrate that mobile whole slide imaging (WSI) is non-inferior to conventional glass slide microscopy (GSM) for the primary diagnosis of malignant infiltration of lymph node specimens. Our results further provide proof of concept that mobile WSI can be adapted to resource-restricted settings for primary surgical pathology and would significantly improve patient outcomes.

Cost-effectiveness of adrenocorticotropic hormone injection and oral prednisolone in patients with West syndrome: A comparative analysis

Objectives

This study aims to compare the cost-effectiveness of oral prednisolone and adrenocorticotropic hormone injection in West syndrome patients, the two most common hormonal therapies used for this condition.

Materials and Methods

In this prospective and observational study, we documented sociodemographic, epilepsy, and development-related variables at baseline and up to 6 months after starting hormonal therapy, in all consecutive eligible patients of WS between August 2019 and June 2021, apart from the direct medical and non-medical costs and indirect health-care costs. We selected cost per quality-adjusted life-year (QALY) gained, per one patient with spasm freedom, one positive responder (>50% reduction in spasms), one relapse-free patient, and one patient with development gain. We determined whether incremental cost-effectiveness ratio for these parameters crossed the threshold value in base-case analysis and alternate scenario analysis.

Results

Out of 52 patients screened, 38 and 13 patients enrolled in ACTH and prednisolone group. On D28, 76% and 71% achieved spasm cessation (P = 0.78) and the total cost of treatment was INR 19783 and 8956 (P = 0.01), in ACTH and prednisolone group respectively. For all pre-specified parameters, the cost/effectiveness ratios including cost/QALY gain were higher in ACTH group and the corresponding ICER values for all these parameters crossed the threshold cost value of INR 148,777 in base-case analysis and also in alternative scenario analysis.

Conclusion

Treatment with oral prednisolone is more cost-effective as compared to ACTH injection for children with WS.

Sex Under the Influence of Drugs Among People Who Use Drugs in Cambodia: Findings From a National Survey

Studies in drug use settings rarely use sex under the influence of drugs as an indicator of sexual risk behaviors. This study explored the prevalence of sex under the influence of drugs and its correlates among people who use drugs (PWUD) in Cambodia. We included 1147 PWUD from 12 provinces in this study. A multiple logistic regression analysis was conducted to identify factors associated with sex under the influence of drugs. Of the total, 39.7% reported having had sex under the influence of drugs in the past three months. After adjustment, sex under the influence of drugs was significantly associated with living in urban areas (AOR 2.97, 95% CI 1.68-5.27), having two to three (AOR 2.48, 95% CI 1.76-3.49) and four or more sexual partners (AOR 6.46, 95% CI 4.24-9.85), engaging in transactional sex (AOR 1.69, 95% CI 1.19-2.39), using methamphetamine (AOR 2.97, 95% CI 2.06-4.31), using drugs for three years or longer (AOR 1.67, 95% CI 1.15-2.41), having been to a drug rehabilitation center (AOR 1.77, 95% CI 1.18-2.41), having a network of ten or more PWUD (AOR 1.82, 95% CI 1.25-2.66), and having high psychological distress (AOR 1.66, 95% CI 1.25-2.22). This study documents the high prevalence of sex under the influence of drugs and its risk factors among male and female PWUD in Cambodia. These findings point to the need for integrating HIV and harm-reduction programs using innovative approaches to address the overlapping risks in this key population.

Feminizing adrenocortical adenoma in a girl from a resource-limited setting: a case report

Background

An adrenocortical tumor is a rare tumor in pediatrics, which can be functional or nonfunctional. Functional tumors present with virilization, feminization, or hypercortisolism. Feminizing adrenal tumors, though rare in pediatrics, need to be excluded in any child presenting with features of feminization.

Case presentation

We report a case of a 4-year-old Sudanese girl who presented with gradually progressive bilateral breast enlargement and accelerated growth since the age of 6 months. The family had sought medical advice several times in numerous health facilities without much gain. Investigations showed pubertal luteinizing hormone levels, high estradiol E2, and dehydroepiandrosterone sulfate, with normal early morning cortisol level. Abdominal ultrasound revealed a right-sided hypoechoic suprarenal mass. Abdominal computed tomography scan showed a right adrenal mass. The diagnosis of feminizing adrenal neoplasm was confirmed and right adrenalectomy was done. Histopathological examination of the resected adrenal gland showed adrenocortical adenoma. The patient was started on gonadotrophin-releasing hormone agonist for secondary central precocious puberty.

Conclusion

Adrenocortical tumors, though rare in pediatrics, are a documented cause of precocious puberty; biochemical and imaging screening protocol should be adopted for patients with precocious puberty, even in a resource-limited setting, for early detection and treatment.

Outcome of epilepsy surgery in lesional epilepsy: Experiences from a developing country

BACKGROUND

Our aim was to report the postoperative seizure outcome and associated factors in patients with lesional epilepsy, in a low-income setting.

METHODS

This longitudinal prospective study included patients who underwent epilepsy surgery at Kashani Comprehensive Epilepsy Center between 2014 and 2019. Post-surgical outcomes were reported according to the Engel score, and patients were classified into two groups of seizure free (SF) and not-seizure free (NSF).

RESULTS

A total of 148 adult patients, with a mean age of 30.45 ± 9.23 years were included. The SF outcome was reported in 86.5% of patients and antiepileptic drugs (AEDs) were reduced or discontinued in 45.9%. The mean follow-up duration was 26.7 ± 14.9 months. Temporal lobe lesions (76.3%) and mesial temporal sclerosis (MTS) (56.7%) were the most frequent etiologies. Temporal lesion (Incidence relative risk (IRR): 1.76, 95% CI [1.08-2.87], p = 0.023), prior history of CNS infection (IRR:1.18, 95% CI [1.03-1.35], p = 0.019), use of intra-operative ECoG (IRR:1.73, 95% CI [1.06-2.81], p = 0.028), and absence of IEDs in postoperative EEG (IRR: 1.41, 95% CI [1.18-1.70], p < 0.001) were positive predictors for a favorable outcome.

CONCLUSION

Many patients with drug-resistant lesional epilepsy showed a favorable response to surgery. We believe that resective epilepsy surgery in low-income settings is a major treatment option. The high frequency of patients with drug-resistant epilepsy in developing countries is associated with high rates of morbidity and mortality. Hence, strategies to increase access to epilepsy surgery in these settings are urgently needed.

Schistosoma mansoni-related periportal fibrosis; can we use APRI and PSDR levels in the real-time selection of patients for targeted endoscopy in a resource-limited setting? A case-control study

BACKGROUND

Schistosoma mansoni related hepatic fibrosis is usually associated with hemodynamic alteration with increased mortality due to bleeding varices. The diagnosis of varices before bleeding imposes a big challenge in resource-limited countries using endoscopy. Published evidence on the utility of non-invasive clinical tools in predicting the presence of varices among patients with S. mansoni related periportal fibrosis is still inadequate including Aspartate to platelet ratio index (APRI) and Platelet to splenic diameter ratio (PSDR) levels. This study describes the determinants of portal varices and assesses the potential utility of the APRI and PSDR level in the discrimination of portal varices among patients with S. mansoni related periportal fibrosis (PPF).

METHODS

A case-control study using cross-sectional data was done among patients with Schistosoma mansoni related periportal fibrosis at Bugando Medical Centre, in Mwanza Tanzania. The derivation cohort included patients enrolled between 2015 and 2019 and the validation cohort included patients enrolled from 2019 till March 2021. Socio-demographic, laboratory, ultrasound, and upper digestive endoscopic information were analyzed using STATA 13. The prevalence and determinants of varices were determined by logistic regression. The sensitivity and specificity of independent factors were determined to assess their utility in discriminating the presence of portal varices in patients with PPF.

RESULTS

In total, 250 patients were included in the derivation cohort, 109 (43.6%; 95% CI 37.3-49.9) of them had varices. The odds of having varices were independently increased among patients with higher APRI levels than 1.51, (AOR: 5.8; 95% CI 3.1-11.1; p < 0.001) and PSDR levels that were lower than 5700 (AOR: 5.9; 95% CI 3.2-11.2; p < 0.001). Both APRI and PSDR levels had significantly high sensitivity and specificity in predicting the presence of esophageal varices. However, the combined values of APRI and PSDR had higher specificity than any of the two markers. Of the 200 patients in the validation cohort 94 (47.0%; 95% CI 40.0-54.2) had varices, the discriminative power of the final model and the predictive ability of both APRI, PSDR, and APRI-PSDR combined levels were highly maintained.

CONCLUSIONS

This study indicates that varices are a common encounter among patients with S. mansoni related periportal fibrosis and it is independently associated with higher APRI and lower PSDR levels suggesting that these tools are potential discriminators of varices in this subgroup of patients. The reproducibility of these results should further be assessed longitudinally as potential non-invasive tools in selecting patients at high risk of having esophageal varices who could benefit from the targeted endoscopic intervention in a resource-limited setting like ours.

Assessment of documented adherence to critical actions in paediatric emergency care at a district-level public hospital in South Africa

Introduction

The provision of high-quality care is vital to improve child health and survival rates. A simple, practice-based tool was recently developed to evaluate the quality of paediatric emergency care in resource-limited settings in Africa. This study used the practice-based tool to describe the documented adherence to critical actions in paediatric emergency care at an urban district-level hospital in South Africa and assess its relation to clinical outcomes.

Methods

This study is a retrospective observational study covering a 19-month period (September 2017 to March 2019). Patients <13 years old, presenting to the emergency centre with one of six sentinel presentations (seizure, altered mental status, diarrhoea, fever, respiratory distress and polytrauma) were eligible for inclusion. In the patients' files, critical actions specific for each presentation were checked for completion. Post-hoc, a seventh group ‘multiple diagnoses’ was created for patients with more than one sentinel disease. The action completion rate was tested for association with clinical outcomes.

Results

In total, 388 patients were included (median age 1.1 years, IQR 0.3–3.6). The action completion rate varied from 63% (polytrauma) to 90% (respiratory distress). Participants with ≥75% action completion rate were younger (p < 0.001), presented with high acuity (p < 0.001), were more likely to be admitted (adjusted OR 2.2, 95%CI: 1.2–4.1), and had a hospital stay ≥4 days (adjusted OR 3.4, 95%CI: 1.5–7.9).

Conclusion

A high completion rate was associated with young age, a high patient acuity, hospital admission, length of hospital stay ≥4 days, and the specific sentinel presentation. Future research should determine whether or not documented care corresponds with the quality of delivered care and the predictive value regarding clinical outcome.

Chest X-ray interpretation does not complement Xpert MTB/RIF in diagnosis of smear-negative pulmonary tuberculosis among TB-HIV co-infected adults in a resource-limited setting

Background

Chest X-ray (CXR) interpretation remains a central component of the current World Health Organization recommendations as an adjuvant test in diagnosis of smear-negative tuberculosis (TB). With its low specificity, high maintenance and operational costs, utility of CXR in diagnosis of smear-negative TB in high HIV/TB burden settings in the Xpert MTB/RIF era remains unpredictable. We evaluated accuracy and additive value of CXR to Xpert MTB/RIF in the diagnosis of TB among HIV-positive smear-negative presumptive TB patients.

Methods

HIV co-infected presumptive TB patients were recruited from the Infectious Diseases Institute outpatient clinic and in-patient medical wards of Mulago Hospital, Uganda. CXR films were reviewed by two independent radiologists using a standardized evaluation form. CXR interpretation with regard to TB was either positive (consistent with TB) or negative (normal or unlikely TB). Sensitivity, specificity and predictive values of CXR and CXR combined with Xpert MTB/RIF for diagnosis of smear-negative TB in HIV-positive patients were calculated using sputum and/or blood mycobacterial culture as reference standard.

Results

Three hundred sixty-six HIV co-infected smear-negative participants (female, 63.4%; hospitalized, 68.3%) had technically interpretable CXR. Median (IQR) age was 32 (28–39) years and CD4 count 112 (23–308) cells/mm³. Overall, 22% (81/366) were positive for Mycobacterium tuberculosis (Mtb) on culture; 187/366 (51.1%) had CXR interpreted as consistent with TB, of which 55 (29.4%) had culture-confirmed TB. Sensitivity and specificity of CXR interpretation in diagnosis of culture-positive TB were 67.9% (95%CI 56.6–77.8) and 53.7% (95%CI 47.7–59.6) respectively, while Xpert MTB/RIF sensitivity and specificity were 65.4% (95%CI 54.0–75.7) and 95.8% (95%CI 92.8–97.8) respectively. Addition of CXR to Xpert MTB/RIF had overall sensitivity and specificity of 87.7% (95%CI 78.5–93.9) and 51.6% (95%CI 45.6–57.5) respectively; 86.2% (95%CI 75.3–93.5) and 48.1% (95%CI 40.7–55.6) among inpatients and 93.8% (95%CI 69.8–99.8) and 58.0% (95%CI 47.7–67.8) among outpatients respectively.

Conclusion

In this high prevalence TB/HIV setting, CXR interpretation added sensitivity to Xpert MTB/RIF test at the expense of specificity in the diagnosis of culture-positive TB in HIV-positive individuals presenting with TB symptoms and negative smear. CXR interpretation may not add diagnostic value in settings where Xpert MTB/RIF is available as a TB diagnostic tool.

Implementing a Locally Made Low-Cost Intervention for Wound and Lymphedema Care in Western Kenya

In Western Kenya, the burden of chronic wounds and lymphedema has a significant impact on functionality and quality of life. Major barriers to provision of care include availability, affordability, and accessibility of bandages. At the Academic Model Providing Access to Healthcare, dermatologists and pharmacists collaborated to develop a 2-component compression bandage modeled after the Unna boot, using locally available materials, that is distributed through a revolving fund pharmacy network. In partnership with nursing, use of these bandages at a national referral hospital and a few county facilities has increased, but increasing utilization to an expanded catchment area is needed.

Antenatal Care Visit Attendance Frequency and Birth Outcomes in Rural Uganda: A Prospective Cohort Study

OBJECTIVES

Antenatal care (ANC) is designed to improve pregnancy outcomes by providing screening and treatment for preventable and treatable diseases. However, data are lacking on whether ANC affects stillbirth risk. We hypothesized stillbirth risk in Uganda is lower in women attending the recommended ≥ 4 ANC visits compared to those attending ≤ 3.

METHODS

We performed a secondary analysis of subset of 1,785 women enrolled in a prospective cohort of postpartum infection who presented to a regional referral hospital for delivery. Our primary outcome was documented stillbirth; a secondary composite poor birth outcome included stillbirth, early neonatal death, low birth weight (< 2500 g), and 5-min APGAR score < 7. We performed multivariable logistic regression analyses to identify independent correlates of stillbirth and poor birth outcome.

RESULTS

Of 1,785 participants, 58 (3%) pregnancies resulted in stillbirth and 198 (11%) had a poor birth outcome. Of 1,236 women attending ≥ 4 ANC visits, 31 (2.5%) had a stillbirth, compared to 27/510 (5.2%) attending ≤ 3. In multivariable analyses controlling for age, parity, distance traveled, referral status to hospital, malaria prophylaxis, and syphilis infection; attending ≥ 4 ANC visits was associated with significantly reduced odds of stillbirth (aOR 0.5, 95% CI 0.3-0.9, P = 0.02) and poor birth outcome (aOR 0.66, 95% CI 0.4-0.96, P = 0.03). Malaria prophylaxis was also independently associated with reduced odds of stillbirth (aOR 0.05, 95% CI 0.2-1.0, P = 0.04).

CONCLUSIONS

Attending ≥ 4 ANC visits was associated with reduced odds of stillbirth and poor birth outcomes in this Ugandan cohort, which may be related to more comprehensive infection screening, treatment, and prevention services.

Prevalence and social determinants of psychological distress among people who use drugs in Cambodia

Background

People who use drugs are at a disproportionately higher risk of mental disorders due to prolonged exposure to psychosocial challenges. However, studies on mental health among people who use drugs in resource-constrained countries are scarce. This study sheds light on the prevalence and correlates of psychological distress among people who use drugs in Cambodia.

Methods

We conducted this cross-sectional study in the capital city and 11 provinces in 2017. The Respondent Driven Sampling method was adapted to recruit 1677 people who used drugs for face-to-face interviews using a structured questionnaire. Psychological distress was measured using the General Health Questionnaire (GHQ-12). A total score of GHQ-12 > 2 indicated high psychological distress. We performed a multiple logistic regression analysis to identify factors associated with psychological distress.

Results

We included 1598 participants in the analyses, with a mean age of 28.6 years (SD = 7.8). Of the total, 42% had high psychological distress – 50% in women and 37% in men. The adjusted odds of having high psychological distress were significantly higher among participants who were 25–34 years old and 35 years and above, had been to a drug rehabilitation center, had been insulted by family members, and had been sexually harassed/abused by someone when they were growing up. The odds of having high psychological distress were significantly lower among participants who were male, lived in their own dwelling, reported injecting as the mode of the first drug use, and had someone taking care of them when they got sick.

Conclusions

This study documents a high prevalence of psychological distress among people who use drugs in Cambodia. Intervention programs that attempt to address mental health problems among people who use drugs in resource-limited settings should be gender- and age-sensitive and target more marginalized subpopulations. Mental health services can be integrated into HIV and harm-reduction programs for people who use drugs.

Evaluation of breastfeeding care and education given to mothers with low-birthweight babies by healthcare workers at a hospital in urban Tanzania: a qualitative study

Background

The total neonatal mortality in Tanzania remains high reaching as much as 44,900 deaths per year, particularly among low birthweight (LBW) babies. This makes Tanzania the fourth African country with the highest number of annual neonatal deaths. Studies have shown the advantages of breast milk for LBW babies and the effectiveness of interventions from healthcare workers (HCWs) to encourage mothers to achieve exclusive breastfeeding (EBF). Although these interventions can substantially reduce mortality in this vulnerable group, they remain insufficient in practice particularly in resource-limited countries. Therefore, there is an urgent need to establish the most appropriate interventions for mothers with LBW babies, particularly in these countries. To help address this need, we evaluated the breastfeeding care and education given to mothers with LBW babies by HCWs during hospitalization in Tanzania.

Methods

A qualitative study using semi-structured interviews with mothers of LBW babies at an urban hospital in Tanzania was conducted. We assessed their understanding of breastfeeding at discharge. All the interviews were conducted in local Swahili and then translated to English. Data were analyzed using content analysis.

Results

Among the 19 mothers interviewed, only four breastfed their baby within an hour after birth. Nine mothers received no support from HCWs when they breastfeed their baby for the first time. Ten mothers received no education on EBF, and there were mothers who misunderstood the EBF definition. Eight answered that they had difficulty breastfeeding their baby at discharge. Four mothers were dissatisfied with the care and education given by HCWs, and six mothers provided suggestions for improvements. Although six mothers had a high reliance on HCWs, they had difficulty asking HCWs questions because of their authoritative attitude and behavior.

Conclusions

Mothers with LBW babies need special support to increase their ability to breastfeed and ensure EBF continuance. To address the gaps between the currently provided breastfeeding interventions and the ideal breastfeeding interventions, improvements in the quality and quantity of breastfeeding care and education are required. Training HCWs to systematize standard interventions, confirming mothers’ understanding, and ensuring a comfortable environment for mothers are absolutely needed.

Cost-effectiveness analysis of pre-ART HIV drug resistance testing in Kenyan women

BACKGROUND

The prevalence of pre-treatment drug resistance (PDR) to non-nucleoside reverse-transcriptase inhibitor (NNRTI) agents is increasing in sub-Saharan Africa, which may decrease the effectiveness of efavirenz-based antiretroviral therapy (ART) programs. However, due to recent safety concerns, there has been hesitancy to replace efavirenz-based ART with dolutegravir in women of reproductive potential. Our objective was to evaluate whether PDR testing for women not initiating dolutegravir-based ART would be a cost-effective strategy to address the challenges posed by PDR.

METHODS

We developed an HIV drug resistance model that simulates the emergence and transmission of resistance mutations, calibrated to the Kenyan epidemic. We modeled three care strategies for PDR testing among women not initiating dolutegravir-based ART: no PDR testing, PDR testing with a low-cost point mutation assay, known as oligonucleotide ligation assay (OLA), and PDR testing with consensus sequencing. Using a health sector perspective, this model was used to evaluate the health outcomes, lifetime costs, and cost-effectiveness under each strategy over a 15-year time horizon starting in 2019.

FINDINGS

OLA and CS PDR testing were projected to have incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICER) of $10,741/QALY gained and $134,396/QALY gained, respectively, which are not cost-effective by national income standards. Viral suppression rates among women at 12 months after ART initiation were 87·8%, 89·0%, and 89·3% with no testing, OLA testing, and CS testing, respectively. PDR testing with OLA and CS were associated with a 0.5% and 0.6% reduction in incidence rate compared to no PDR testing. Initial PDR prevalence among women was 13.1% in 2019. By 2034, this prevalence was 17·6%, 17·4%, and 17·3% with no testing, OLA testing, and CS testing, respectively.

INTERPRETATION

PDR testing for women is unlikely to be cost-effective in Kenya whether one uses a low-cost assay, such as OLA, or consensus sequencing.

FUNDING

National Institutes of Health, Gilead Sciences.

Management of Intra-orbital Wooden Foreign Bodies at a Resource-limited Setting in Sub-Saharan Africa

INTRODUCTION

Wooden intra-orbital foreign bodies (IOrbFBs) have a high risk of microbial contamination needing timely diagnosis and treatment. We describe management of three cases of wooden IOrbFB at a resource-limited setting in Liberia.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

This is a retrospective case series of three patients with IOrbFB managed at the Liberia Eye Center, Monrovia, Liberia. Demographic details, mode of injury, ocular examination findings, neuroimaging, surgical treatment, and clinical findings on post-operative follow-up visits were noted for each patient.

RESULTS

All the three patients were young, male, and were involved in traumatic incidents (fall in two cases and road traffic accident in one case). Two patients with visible wooden FB presented within 48 h of injury and one patient with occult FB presented after 2 weeks. All patients underwent orbital imaging followed by surgical exploration for the removal of FB. One patient also had coexisting orbital cellulitis, which was successfully treated medically. One of these patients had best corrected visual acuity of 20/20, and the other two had no perception of light in the affected eyes.

CONCLUSION

History of injury with a wooden material should raise a high index of suspicion for an occult IOrbFB. Timely diagnosis and treatment of wooden IOrbFB can be challenging in a resource-limited setting, but with a systematic approach they can be treated satisfactorily.

Cardiac ultrasound in resource-limited settings (CURLS): towards a wider use of basic echo applications in Africa

Background

Point-of-care ultrasound is increasingly being used as a diagnostic tool in resource-limited settings. The majority of existing ultrasound protocols have been developed and implemented in high-resource settings. In sub-Saharan Africa (SSA), patients with heart failure of various etiologies commonly present late in the disease process, with a similar syndrome of dyspnea, edema and cardiomegaly on chest X-ray. The causes of heart failure in SSA differ from those in high-resource settings. Point-of-care ultrasound has the potential to identify the underlying etiology of heart failure, and lead to targeted therapy. Based on a literature review and weighted score of disease prevalence, diagnostic impact and difficulty in performing the ultrasound, we propose a context-specific cardiac ultrasound protocol to help differentiate patients presenting with heart failure in SSA.

Results

Pericardial effusion, dilated cardiomyopathy, cor pulmonale, mitral valve disease, and left ventricular hypertrophy were identified as target conditions for a focused ultrasound protocol in patients with cardiac failure and cardiomegaly in SSA. By utilizing a simplified 5-question approach with all images obtained from the subxiphoid view, the protocol is suitable for use by health care professionals with limited ultrasound experience.

Conclusions

The “Cardiac ultrasound for resource-limited settings (CURLS)” protocol is a context-specific algorithm designed to aid the clinician in diagnosing the five most clinically relevant etiologies of heart failure and cardiomegaly in SSA. The protocol has the potential to influence treatment decisions in patients who present with clinical signs of heart failure in resource-limited settings outside of the traditional referral institutions.

Adrenocortical adenoma in a Sudanese girl with Beckwith-Wiedemann syndrome

Background

We report a case of right adrenocortical adenoma in a girl with features suggestive of Beckwith Wiedemann syndrome to show the importance of tumor surveillance in patients with Beckwith Wiedemann syndrome.

Case presentation

A 4-years-old female with features suggestive of Beckwith-Wiedemann syndrome presented with 9 months history of virilization. Hormonal investigations results showed high levels of testosterone (2.3 ng/ml, normal values 0.1-0.4 ng/ml), and DHEAS (73 ng/ml normal values 1-6 ng/ml) with normal cortisol level. Computed tomography revealed a right adrenal mass. She underwent right adrenalectomy. Histopathological examination of the resected adrenal gland showed adrenocortical adenoma. Her postoperative evaluation showed a normal testosterone level.

Conclusion

Adrenocortical neoplasms though rare in children are well documented in Beckwith-Wiedemann syndrome patients. So tumor surveillance protocol should be employed, even in a resource-limited setting for early tumor detection and a better outcome.

Implementation and effectiveness of evriMED with short messages service (SMS) reminders and tailored feedback compared to standard care on adherence to treatment among tuberculosis patients in Kilimanjaro, Tanzania: proposal for a cluster randomized controlled trial

BACKGROUND

Adherence to tuberculosis (TB) treatment is challenging because of many factors. The World Health Organization has recommended the use of digital adherence monitoring technologies in its End TB Strategy. However, evidence on improving adherence is limited. EvriMED is a real-time medication-monitoring device which was found to be feasible and acceptable in a few studies in Asia. In Tanzania, however, there may be challenges in implementing evriMED due to stigmatization, network and power access, accuracy, and cost effectiveness, which may have implications for treatment outcome. We propose a pragmatic cluster randomized trial to investigate the effectiveness of evriMED with reminder cues and tailored feedback on adherence to TB treatment in Kilimanjaro, Tanzania.

METHODS/DESIGN

We will create clusters in Kilimanjaro based on level of health care facility. Clusters will be randomized in an intervention arm, where evriMED will be implemented, or a control arm, where standard practice directly observed treatment will be followed. TB patients in intervention clusters will take their medication from the evriMED pillbox and receive tailored feedback. We will use the 'Stages of Change' model, which assumes that a person has to go through the stages of pre-contemplation, contemplation, preparation, action, and evaluation to change behavior for tailored feedback on adherence reports from the device.

DISCUSSION

If the intervention shows a significant effect on adherence and the devices are accepted, accurate, and sustainable, the intervention can be scaled up within the National Tuberculosis Programmes.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

Pan African Clinical Trials Registry, PACTR201811755733759 . Registered on 8 November 2018.

Prevalence of and risk factors for hepatitis C virus antibody among people who inject drugs in Cambodia: a national biological and behavioral survey

BACKGROUND

Hepatitis C virus (HCV) is a significant global health concern. Despite evidence of the relationship between injecting drug use and HCV, studies on HCV among people who inject drugs in developing countries remain scarce. To address this need, we conducted this study to explore the prevalence of and factors associated with HCV antibody positivity among people who inject drugs in Cambodia.

METHODS

Data used for this study were collected as part of the National Integrated Biological and Behavioral Survey among people who use and inject drugs conducted in 2017. We used the respondent-driven sampling method to recruit participants in 12 provinces for face-to-face interviews and HIV and HCV antibody testing. Weighted multivariable logistic regression analysis was conducted to identify risk factors associated with HCV antibody positivity.

RESULTS

This study included 286 people who inject drugs with a mean age of 31.6 (SD = 7.5) years. The prevalence of HCV antibody among participants in this study was 30.4%, of whom 31.0% were co-infected with HIV. After adjustment for other covariates, the odds of HCV antibody positivity was significantly higher among participants who were in the older age group of 25 to 34 (AOR = 1.85, 95% CI = 1.06-7.92) and ≥ 35 (AOR = 2.67, 95% CI = 1.24-5.71), were in Vietnamese ethnic group (AOR = 5.44, 95% CI = 2.25-13.14), were living on the streets (AOR = 3.01, 95% CI = 1.29-704), had been sent to a drug rehabilitation center in the past 12 months (AOR = 2.67, 95% CI = 1.21-5.90), had received methadone maintenance therapy in the past 12 months (AOR = 3.02, 95% CI = 1.32-6.92), and were tested positive for HIV (AOR = 3.80, 95% CI = 1.58-9.12) compared to their respective reference group.

CONCLUSION

The prevalence of HCV antibody among people who inject drugs in Cambodia is high, particularly in older and more vulnerable subgroups. Tailor-made interventions are required to increase access to culturally sensitive harm reduction interventions to prevent primary HCV infection and reinfection. In addition, there is an opportunity to expand screening, diagnosis, and treatment with new directly acting antiviral agents.

Evaluating layered stigma from comorbid HIV and epilepsy among Zambian adults

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE

Stigma hinders care for patients with neurologic illness. Layered stigma due to comorbid disease is common yet poorly characterized due to lack of instruments. Epilepsy and HIV are prototypical stigmatized conditions widespread in sub-Saharan Africa.

METHODS

We assessed layered stigma among people with HIV and epilepsy (n = 21), epilepsy only (n = 88), and HIV only (n = 40) in Zambia. Epilepsy-associated stigma was assessed using the Stigma Scale of Epilepsy and Jacoby's Stigma Scale. HIV-related stigma was assessed using the HIV/AIDS Stigma Instrument-People Living with HIV/AIDS and Jacoby's Stigma Scale. Stigma was compared across groups using χ 2 tests.

RESULTS

55% (60/109) with epilepsy reported some epilepsy-associated stigma and 20% (12/61) with HIV reported HIV self-stigmatization. Those with HIV and epilepsy were more likely to associate seizures with fear (OR 6.1 [95% CI: 1.3-27.9]) and epilepsy with dependence (OR 4.6 [1.1-19.6]), controlling for age, gender, marital status, and employment. Those with comorbid disease were more likely to report they were "no longer a person" and felt "blamed" for their HIV. Controlling for age and gender, the difference in depersonalization remained (OR: 6.4 [1.1-36.1]).

CONCLUSION

Individuals carrying the burden of one stigmatized condition may be more vulnerable to stigma from a comorbid disease.

Healthcare workers' perceptions of an organizational quality assurance program implemented in a resource-limited setting: a qualitative study

Background:There is increasing awareness of the need to implement quality assurance programs in developing countries. Healthcare staff are the primary drivers of improving the quality of care,but little is known about how they perceive quality assurance programs in resource-limited settings. This study aims to evaluate healthcare workers’ perceptions of the organizational quality assurance program (OQA) at Angkor Hospital for Children (AHC), Cambodia. The OQA involves regular data collection and monitoring of quality indicators, to assess whether agreed quality standards are being met.

Methods: This qualitative study consisted of four focus group discussions (FGDs) with 29 hospital staff (convenience sampling) from medical, nursing and non-medical departments. Staff members’ understanding of quality assurance and perceptions of the strengths and weaknesses of the OQA were explored. Thematic content analysis was used to identify key themes.

Results: Participants emphasized that quality indicators must include physical and psychological well-being. Strengths of the OQA included shared understanding amongst all groups of participants of its goals, committed leadership, that it was locally-relevant and that target indicators were developed from a "ground-up" approach. On-going challenges included that there was a gap in understanding of the OQA processes and overall running of the OQA across the organization between managers and staff.

Conclusion: The introduction of the OQA at AHC has been well-received by staff members.Overall, the program is perceived to be valuable. Healthcare provision in resource-limited settings increasingly needs to demonstrate quality assurance. The model of OQA developed at AHC is one way to achieve this.

Indirect neonatal hyperbilirubinemia in hospitalized neonates on the Thai-Myanmar border: a review of neonatal medical records from 2009 to 2014

BACKGROUND

Indirect neonatal hyperbilirubinemia (INH) is a common neonatal disorder worldwide which can remain benign if prompt management is available. However there is a higher morbidity and mortality risk in settings with limited access to diagnosis and care. The manuscript describes the characteristics of neonates with INH, the burden of severe INH and identifies factors associated with severity in a resource-constrained setting.

METHODS

We conducted a retrospective evaluation of anonymized records of neonates hospitalized on the Thai-Myanmar border. INH was defined according to the National Institute for Health and Care Excellence guidelines as 'moderate' if at least one serum bilirubin (SBR) value exceeded the phototherapy threshold and as 'severe' if above the exchange transfusion threshold.

RESULTS

Out of 2980 records reviewed, 1580 (53%) had INH within the first 14 days of life. INH was moderate in 87% (1368/1580) and severe in 13% (212/1580). From 2009 to 2011, the proportion of severe INH decreased from 37 to 15% and the mortality dropped from 10% (8/82) to 2% (7/449) coinciding with the implementation of standardized guidelines and light-emitting diode (LED) phototherapy. Severe INH was associated with: prematurity (< 32 weeks, Adjusted Odds Ratio (AOR) 3.3; 95% CI 1.6-6.6 and 32 to 37 weeks, AOR 2.2; 95% CI 1.6-3.1), Glucose-6-phosphate dehydrogenase deficiency (G6PD) (AOR 2.3; 95% CI 1.6-3.3), potential ABO incompatibility (AOR 1.5; 95% CI 1.0-2.2) and late presentation (AOR 1.8; 95% CI 1.3-2.6). The risk of developing severe INH and INH-related mortality significantly increased with each additional risk factor.

CONCLUSION

INH is an important cause of neonatal hospitalization on the Thai-Myanmar border. Risk factors for severity were similar to previous reports from Asia. Implementing standardized guidelines and appropriate treatment was successful in reducing mortality and severity. Accessing to basic neonatal care including SBR testing, LED phototherapy and G6PD screening can contribute to improve neonatal outcomes.

Predictors of switch to and early outcomes on third-line antiretroviral therapy at a large public-sector clinic in Johannesburg, South Africa

BACKGROUND

While efficacy data exist, there are limited data on the outcomes of patients on third-line antiretroviral therapy (ART) in sub-Saharan Africa in actual practice. Being able to identify predictors of switch to third-line ART will be essential for planning for future need. We identify predictors of switch to third-line ART among patients with significant viraemia on a protease inhibitor (PI)-based second-line ART regimen. Additionally, we describe characteristics of all patients on third-line at a large public sector HIV clinic and present their early outcomes.

METHODS

Retrospective analysis of adults (≥ 18 years) on a PI-based second-line ART regimen at Themba Lethu Clinic, Johannesburg, South Africa as of 01 August 2012, when third-line treatment became available in South Africa, with significant viraemia on second-line ART (defined as at least one viral load ≥ 1000 copies/mL on second-line ART after 01 August 2012) to identify predictors of switch to third-line (determined by genotype resistance testing). Third-line ART was defined as a regimen containing etravirine, raltegravir or ritonavir boosted darunavir, between August 2012 and January 2016. To assess predictors of switch to third-line ART we used Cox proportional hazards regression among those with significant viraemia on second-line ART after 01 August 2012. Then among all patients on third-line ART we describe viral load suppression, defined as a viral load < 400 copies/mL, after starting third-line ART.

RESULTS

Among 719 patients in care and on second-line ART as of August 2012 (with at least one viral load ≥ 1000 copies/mL after 01 August 2012), 36 (5.0% over a median time of 54 months) switched to third-line. Time on second-line therapy (≥ 96 vs. < 96 weeks) (adjusted Hazard Ratio (aHR): 2.53 95% CI 1.03-6.22) and never reaching virologic suppression while on second-line ART (aHR: 3.37 95% CI 1.47-7.73) were identified as predictors of switch. In a separate cohort of patients on third-line ART, 78.3% (47/60) and 83.3% (35/42) of those in care and with a viral load suppressed their viral load at 6 and 12 months, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

Our results show that the need for third-line is low (5%), but that patients' who switch to third-line ART have good early treatment outcomes and are able to suppress their viral load. Adherence counselling and resistance testing should be prioritized for patients that are at risk of failure, in particular those who never suppress on second-line and those who have been on PI-based regimen for extended periods.

Strategies for successful trauma registry implementation in low- and middle-income countries-protocol for a systematic review

BACKGROUND

The benefits of trauma registries have been well described. The crucial data they provide may guide injury prevention strategies, inform resource allocation, and support advocacy and policy. This has been shown to reduce trauma-related mortality in various settings. Trauma remains a leading cause of mortality in low- and middle-income countries (LMICs). However, the implementation of trauma registries in LMICs can be challenging due to lack of funding, specialized personnel, and infrastructure. This study explores strategies for successful trauma registry implementation in LMICs.

METHODS

The protocol was registered a priori (CRD42017058586). A peer-reviewed search strategy of multiple databases will be developed with a senior librarian. As per PRISMA guidelines, first screen of references based on abstract and title and subsequent full-text review will be conducted by two independent reviewers. Disagreements that cannot be resolved by discussion between reviewers shall be arbitrated by the principal investigator. Data extraction will be performed using a pre-defined data extraction sheet. Finally, bibliographies of included articles will be hand-searched. Studies of any design will be included if they describe or review development and implementation of a trauma registry in LMICs. No language or period restrictions will be applied. Summary statistics and qualitative meta-narrative analyses will be performed.

DISCUSSION

The significant burden of trauma in LMIC environments presents unique challenges and limitations. Adapted strategies for deployment and maintenance of sustainable trauma registries are needed. Our methodology will systematically identify recommendations and strategies for successful trauma registry implementation in LMICs and describe threats and barriers to this endeavor.

SYSTEMATIC REVIEW REGISTRATION

The protocol was registered on the PROSPERO international prospective register of systematic reviews ( CRD42017058586 ).

Practical Successes in Telepathology Experiences in Africa

Across much of Africa, there is a critical shortage of pathology services necessary for clinical care. Even in settings where specialty-level clinical care, such as medical oncology, is available, access to anatomic pathology services has often lagged behind. Pathology laboratories in the region are challenging to establish and maintain. This article describes the successful implementation of telepathology services in Malawi and reviews other successful programs developed to support diagnostic pathology in resource-limited settings.

Application of the qSOFA score to predict mortality in patients with suspected infection in a resource-limited setting in Malawi

Purpose

To determine the predictive value of qSOFA (quick Sequential Organ Failure Assessment) in Malawian patients with suspected infection.

Methods

Prospective observational study in a tertiary referral hospital in Malawi.

Results

Predictive ability of qSOFA was reasonable [AUROC 0.73 (95% CI 0.68–0.78)], increasing to 0.77 (95% CI 0.72–0.82) when classifying all patients with altered mental status as high risk. Adding HIV status as a variable to the qSOFA score did not improve predictive value.

Conclusion

qSOFA is a simple tool that can aid risk stratification in resource-limited settings.

Electronic supplementary material

The online version of this article (doi:10.1007/s15010-017-1057-5) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users.

Outcomes of patients with severe infection in Uganda according to adherence to the World Health Organization's Integrated Management of Adolescent and Adult Illness fluid resuscitation guidelines

PURPOSE

We determined outcomes in hospitalized patients in Uganda with World Health Organization's Integrated Management of Adolescent and Adult Illness (IMAI) defined septic shock (IMAI-shock) or severe respiratory distress without shock (IMAI-SRD) based on whether they received recommended fluid resuscitation according to IMAI guidelines.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

We performed a secondary analysis of a prospective cohort of adult septic patients in Uganda that included the volume of fluids patients received during the first 6h of resuscitation. We used logistic regression to determine predictors of outcomes.

RESULTS

We evaluated 122 patients with IMAI-shock and 32 patients with IMAI-SRD. For patients with IMAI-shock or IMAI-SRD, there was no difference in mortality between those that received IMAI recommended fluid volume and those that did not (30% vs 36%, p=0.788; 22% vs 57%, p=0.08). For patients with IMAI-shock, in-hospital mortality was associated with mid-upper arm circumference (adjusted odds ratio [aOR] 0.841, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.722-0.979, p=0.026) and ambulation (aOR 0.247, 95%CI 0.084-0.727, p=0.011). We found no associations with in-hospital mortality for patients with IMAI-SRD.

CONCLUSION

IMAI recommended fluid resuscitation was not associated with better outcomes for patients with IMAI-shock or IMAI-SRD. Further studies are needed to optimize resuscitation for patients with severe infection in resource-limited settings such as Uganda.

Factors influencing use of long-acting versus short-acting contraceptive methods among reproductive-age women in a resource-limited setting

Background

Unplanned pregnancy remains a common problem in many resource-limited settings, mostly due to limited access to modern family planning (FP) services. In particular, use of the more effective long-acting reversible contraceptive (LARC) methods (i.e., intrauterine devices and hormonal implants) remains low compared to the short-acting methods (i.e., condoms, hormonal pills, injectable hormones, and spermicides). Among reproductive-age women attending FP and antenatal care clinics in Uganda, we assessed perceptions and practices regarding the use of modern contraceptive methods. We specifically aimed to evaluate factors influencing method selection.

Methods

We performed a mixed-methods cross-sectional study, in which we administered structured interviews to 180 clients, and conducted 4 focus group discussions (FGDs) with 36 clients and 8 in-depth personal qualitative interviews with health service providers. We summarized quantitative data and performed latent content analysis on transcripts from the FGDs and qualitative interviews.

Results

The prevalence of ever use for LARC methods was 23%. Method characteristics (e.g., client control) appeared to drive method selection more often than structural factors (such as method availability) or individual client characteristics (such as knowledge and perceptions). The most common reasons for choosing LARC methods were: longer protection; better child-spacing; and effectiveness. The most common reasons for not choosing LARC methods included requiring a client-controlled method and desiring to conceive in the near future. The most common reasons for choosing short-acting methods were ease of access; lower cost; privacy; perceived fewer side effects; and freedom to stop using a method without involving the health provider. The personal characteristics of clients, which appeared to be important were client knowledge and number of children. The structural factor which appeared to be important was method availability.

Conclusions

Our results suggest that interventions to improve uptake of LARC among reproductive age women in this setting should consider: incorporating desired method-characteristics into LARC methods; targeted promotion and supply of LARC; and increased counselling, sensitization, and education.

Neonatal Hyperbilirubinemia in a Marginalized Population on the Thai-Myanmar Border: a study protocol

BACKGROUND

This study aims to identify risk factors and the neurodevelopmental impact of neonatal hyperbilirubinemia in a limited-resource setting among a refugee and migrant population residing along the Thai-Myanmar border, an area with a high prevalence of glucose-6-phosphate dehydrogenase-deficiency.

METHODS

This is an analytic, observational, prospective birth cohort study including all infants of estimated gestational age equal to or greater than 28 weeks from mothers who followed antenatal care in the Shoklo Malaria Research Unit clinics. At birth, a series of clinical exams and laboratory investigations on cord blood will be carried out. Serum bilirubin will be measured in all infants during their first week of life. All the infants of the cohort will be clinically followed until the age of one year, including monitoring of their neurodevelopment.

DISCUSSION

The strength of this study is the prospective cohort design. It will allow us to collect information about the pregnancy and detect all infants with neonatal hyperbilirubinemia, to observe their clinical response under treatment and to compare their neurodevelopment with infants who did not develop neonatal hyperbilirubinemia. Our study design has some limitations in particular the generalizability of our findings will be limited to infants born after the gestational age of 28 weeks onwards and neurodevelopment to the end of the first year of life.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

ClinicalTrials.gov ID NCT02361788 , registration date September 1st, 2014.

Chlamydia trachomatis-induced Fitz-Hugh-Curtis syndrome: a case report

BACKGROUND

Fitz-Hugh-Curtis syndrome is defined as perihepatitis associated with pelvic inflammatory disease. Chlamydia trachomatis is one of its most common aetiologies. This syndrome usually presents with right upper quadrant abdominal pain mimicking other hepatobiliary and gastrointestinal pathologies, hence, posing a diagnostic dilemma in settings with limited diagnostic tools.

CASE REPORT

A 32 year old African female presented with acute right upper quadrant abdominal pain and vaginal discharge, for which she had previously received treatment in another health center with no improvement. Clinical and laboratory findings were suggestive of Fitz-Hugh-Curtis syndrome. Five days after treatment with oral doxycycline, the patient showed marked clinical improvement.

CONCLUSION

Fitz-Hugh-Curtis syndrome is a common cause of right upper quadrant pain which is often under diagnosed in poor communities. Hence, it should be included as a differential diagnosis in patients presenting with right upper quadrant pain, especially in females of reproductive age.

Accurate Real-Time Diagnosis of Lymphoproliferative Disorders in Malawi Through Clinicopathologic Teleconferences: A Model for Pathology Services in Sub-Saharan Africa

OBJECTIVES

The incidence of lymphoproliferative disorders (LPDs) is increasing in sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) due to population growth, aging, and human immunodeficiency virus (HIV). Despite significant burden, resources for diagnosis and treatment of LPDs are limited, with little infrastructure to deliver modern pathology services. Diagnostic and therapeutic decisions are therefore frequently made without tissue confirmation, leading to high rates of misdiagnosis and inappropriate treatment.

METHODS

We have established a laboratory in Malawi to support clinical and research efforts at a national teaching hospital. Consensus real-time diagnoses are rendered by local pathologists after weekly clinicopathologic teleconferences involving clinicians and pathologists from the United States and Malawi. Additional ancillary studies are then performed in the United States prior to final diagnosis.

RESULTS

We report our first 2 years' experience and demonstrate high concordance between real-time diagnoses in Malawi and final diagnoses in the United States (5% major discordance rate for formalin-fixed, paraffin-embedded samples). In addition, we describe characteristics of pathologically confirmed LPDs in Malawi, highlighting differences by HIV status.

CONCLUSIONS

Our multidisciplinary approach can be a model for strong pathology services that provide direct, real-time support to clinical care and research in SSA.

Age Matters: Increased Risk of Inconsistent HIV Care and Viremia Among Adolescents and Young Adults on Antiretroviral Therapy in Nigeria

PURPOSE

Interruptions in HIV care are a major cause of morbidity and mortality, particularly in resource-limited settings. We compared engagement in care and virologic outcomes between HIV-infected adolescents and young adults (AYA) and older adults (OA) one year after starting antiretroviral therapy (ART) in Nigeria.

METHODS

We conducted a retrospective cohort study of AYA (15-24 years) and OA (>24 years) who initiated ART from 2009-2011. We used negative binomial regression to model the risk of inconsistent care and viremia (HIV RNA >1,000 copies/mL) among AYA and OA in the first year on ART. Regular care included monthly ART pickup and 3-monthly clinical visits. Patients with ≤3 months between consecutive visits were considered in care. Those with inconsistent care had >3 months between consecutive visits.

RESULTS

The cohort included 354 AYA and 2,140 OA. More AYA than OA were female (89% vs. 65%, p < .001). Median baseline CD4 was 252/μL in AYA and 204/μL in OA (p = .002). More AYA had inconsistent care than OA (55% vs. 47%, p = .001). Adjusting for sex, baseline CD4, and education, AYA had a greater risk of inconsistent care than OA (Relative Risk [RR]: 1.15, p = .008). Among those in care after one year on ART, viremia was more common in AYA than OA (40% vs. 26% p = .003, RR: 1.53, p = .002).

CONCLUSIONS

In a Nigerian cohort, AYA were at increased risk for inconsistent HIV care. Of patients remaining in care, youth was the only independent predictor of viremia at 1 year. Youth-friendly models of HIV care are needed to optimize health outcomes.

Predicting resistance as indicator for need to switch from first-line antiretroviral therapy among patients with elevated viral loads: development of a risk score algorithm

Background

In resource-limited settings, where resistance testing is unavailable, confirmatory testing for patients with high viral loads (VL) delays antiretroviral therapy (ART) switches for persons with resistance. We developed a risk score algorithm to predict need for ART change by identifying resistance among persons with persistently elevated VL.

Methods

We analyzed data from a Phase IV open-label trial. Using logistic regression, we identified demographic and clinical characteristics predictive of need for ART change among participants with VLs ≥1000 copies/ml, and assigned model-derived scores to predictors. We designed three models, including only variables accessible in resource-limited settings.

Results

Among 290 participants with at least one VL ≥1000 copies/ml, 51 % (148/290) resuppressed and did not have resistance testing; among those who did not resuppress and had resistance testing, 47 % (67/142) did not have resistance and 53 % (75/142) had resistance (ART change needed for 25.9 % (75/290)). Need for ART change was directly associated with higher baseline VL and higher VL at time of elevated measure, and inversely associated with treatment duration. Other predictors included body mass index and adherence. Area under receiver operating characteristic curves ranged from 0.794 to 0.817. At a risk score ≥9, sensitivity was 14.7–28.0 % and specificity was 96.7–98.6 %.

Conclusions

Our model performed reasonably well and may be a tool to quickly transition persons in need of ART change to more effective regimens when resistance testing is unavailable. Use of this algorithm may result in public health benefits and health system savings through reduced transmissions of resistant virus and costs on laboratory investigations.

Electronic supplementary material

The online version of this article (doi:10.1186/s12879-016-1611-2) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users.

Respiratory syncytial virus infection in infants in rural Nepal

Objectives

Respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) pneumonia is a leading cause of infant mortality worldwide. The risk of RSV infection associated with preterm birth is not well-characterized in resource-limited settings. We aimed to obtain precise estimates of risk factors and disease burden of RSV in infants in rural southern Nepal.

Methods

Pregnant women were enrolled, and along with their infants, followed to six months after birth with active weekly home-based surveillance for acute respiratory illness (ARI). Mid-nasal swabs were obtained and tested for RSV by PCR for all illness episodes. Birth outcomes were assessed at a postpartum home visit.

Results

311 (9%) of 3509 infants had an RSV ARI. RSV ARI incidence decreased from 551/1000 person-years in infants born between 28 and 31 weeks to 195/1000 person-years in infants born full-term (p = 0.017). Of 220 infants (71%) evaluated in the health system, 41 (19%) visited a hospital or physician. Of 287 infants with an assessment performed, 203 (71%) had a lower respiratory tract infection.

Conclusions

In a rural south Asian setting with intensive home-based surveillance, RSV caused a significant burden of respiratory illness. Preterm infants had the highest incidence of RSV ARI, and should be considered a priority group for RSV preventive interventions in resource-limited settings.

•

RSV caused a significant burden of respiratory illness in infants in rural Nepal.

•

The highest incidence of RSV was in preterm infants.

•

Most infants with RSV had lower respiratory tract infection or a health care visit.

•

Strategies are needed to prevent RSV in preterm infants in resource-limited settings.

Feasibility of Real Time Medication Monitoring Among HIV Infected and TB Patients in a Resource-Limited Setting

HIV infected and tuberculosis (TB) patients need high levels of treatment adherence to achieve optimal treatment outcomes. We conducted a pilot-study on real time medication monitoring (RTMM) in a resource-limited setting. We enrolled five HIV infected and five TB patients from Kilimanjaro, Tanzania. They took their medication using RTMM. When the device was not opened on time, patients received a reminder SMS. After 3 months, we interviewed patients. Six patients (60 %) reached adherence of >95 %. Nine-hundred-twenty-two of 1104 intakes (84 %) were on time. Five-hundred reminders (45 %) were sent, of which 202 (40 %) were incorrect, because of an unstable mobile network. Nine patients found the device helpful and nine mentioned it keeps medication safe. Six patients reported that the size was too big. Five patients mentioned they received incorrect reminders. The device is considered useful in Kilimanjaro. Optimization of the device should consider network connectivity and the size of the device.

Implementation of a neonatal transcutaneous bilirubin screening programme in rural India

BACKGROUND

Universal pre-discharge assessment of risk for neonatal hyperbilirubinaemia is recommended by the American Academy of Pediatrics. A common algorithm is universal transcutaneous bilirubin (TcB) screening, followed by confirmatory total serum bilirubin (TSB) testing for results which cause concern. There is a paucity of data on the feasibility of TcB screening in low-income settings.

OBJECTIVES

To evaluate the acceptability and feasibility of implementing universal TcB screening at a resource-limited hospital in rural India, and to determine if it was associated with increased recognition of high-risk hyperbilirubinaemia.

METHODS

In December 2012 at Vivekananda Memorial Hospital, Karnataka, India, universal TcB screening at 24-48 hours of life was implemented, with TSB estimated if TcB was >75th percentile for age. The proportion of families that provided consent and the proportion of infants who underwent TcB and TSB testing were calculated. The rates of phototherapy pre- and post-implementation and the rate of high-risk hyperbilirubinaemia (TSB >95th percentile for age) post-implementation among infants ≥ 35 weeks gestation were determined.

RESULTS

Parents of 568 of 660 (86%) eligible infants consented to participation. All of these infants were screened with TcB. The proportion who had TSB testing was similar in the pre- (6%) and post-implementation (7%) periods. The rate of phototherapy was not significantly different after implementation (2% vs 3%). Five cases of high-risk hyperbilirubinaemia were identified post-implementation.

CONCLUSIONS

The study demonstrates the acceptability and feasibility of universal TcB screening at a resource-limited hospital in rural India. In settings in which early post-discharge follow-up cannot be assured, TcB can play a valuable role in identifying infants who need evaluation.

Pursuing equity in cancer care: implementation, challenges and preliminary findings of a public cancer referral center in rural Rwanda

Background

Cancer services are inaccessible in many low-income countries, and few published examples describe oncology programs within the public sector. In 2011, the Rwanda Ministry of Health (RMOH) established Butaro Cancer Center of Excellence (BCCOE) to expand cancer services nationally. In hopes of informing cancer care delivery in similar settings, we describe program-level experience implementing BCCOE, patient characteristics, and challenges encountered.

Methods

Butaro Cancer Center of Excellence was founded on diverse partnerships that emphasize capacity building. Services available include pathology-based diagnosis, basic imaging, chemotherapy, surgery, referral for radiotherapy, palliative care and socioeconomic access supports. Retrospective review of electronic medical records (EMR) of patients enrolled between July 1, 2012 and June 30, 2014 was conducted, supplemented by manual review of paper charts and programmatic records.

Results

In the program’s first 2 years, 2326 patients presented for cancer-related care. Of these, 70.5 % were female, 4.3 % children, and 74.3 % on public health insurance. In the first year, 66.3 % (n = 1144) were diagnosed with cancer. Leading adult diagnoses were breast, cervical, and skin cancer. Among children, nephroblastoma, acute lymphoblastic leukemia, and Hodgkin lymphoma were predominant. As of June 30, 2013, 95 cancer patients had died. Challenges encountered include documentation gaps and staff shortages.

Conclusion

Butaro Cancer Center of Excellence demonstrates that complex cancer care can be delivered in the most resource-constrained settings, accessible to vulnerable patients. Key attributes that have made BCCOE possible are: meaningful North–south partnerships, innovative task- and infrastructure-shifting, RMOH leadership, and an equity-driven agenda. Going forward, we will apply our experiences and lessons learned to further strengthen BCCOE, and employ the developed EMR system as a valuable platform to assess long-term clinical outcomes and improve care.

Characteristics of patients co-infected with HIV at the time of inpatient tuberculosis treatment initiation in Yaoundé, Cameroon: a tertiary care hospital-based cross-sectional study

Background

Knowledge of the characteristics of patients co-infected with tuberculosis (TB) and human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) when TB treatment is initiated would allow clinicians to improve care and help policy-makers develop relevant and realistic guidelines. The aim of this study was to describe socio-demographic, clinical, and laboratory characteristics of TB/HIV co-infected patients starting inpatient TB treatment in Yaoundé, Cameroon.

Methods

We conducted a retrospective cross-sectional study, collecting data from medical records of HIV-infected patients with TB, aged 15 years old or more, hospitalized in the Infectious Diseases Unit of the Yaoundé Central Hospital, Cameroon from January 1, 2006 to June 30, 2013.

Results

The mean age of 337 patients meeting study inclusion criteria was 39.3 years. More than half were female (53.4%). Most (89.3%) resided in urban areas, 44.2% had a secondary education, and 46.0% were married. The majority was receiving co-trimoxazole prophylaxis (79.5%), and two thirds were taking antiretroviral therapy (67.4%). The mean duration of known HIV infection before TB treatment was 8.4 months. Most (88.1%) had newly diagnosed TB, rather than relapsed disease. Smear-positive pulmonary TB was documented in a third, (35.3%). Laboratory data revealed a median white blood cell count of 5,100 cells/mm³ (IQR 3,300-7,990 cells/mm³), a median hemoglobin level of 8 g/dl (IQR 7–10 g/dl), and a median CD4 cell count of 102 cells/mm³ (IQR 33–178 cells/mm³). Sex differences in our study included older age in the men (p < 0.001), more of whom were married (p < 0.001) and had achieved a higher level of education (p = 0.042). Men had fewer diagnoses of smear-positive pulmonary TB (p = 0.020). They weighed more than the women (p = 0.001) and had higher hemoglobin levels (p = 0.003).

Conclusions

Suboptimal adherence to WHO treatment recommendations in our Cameroonian study reinforces the importance of prescribing co-trimoxazole in HIV infection and ART for all TB/HIV co-infected persons. We urge that Ministries of Health continue implementing and disseminating guidelines for management of TB/HIV co-infected patients, and we call for measures ensuring that healthcare facilities’ stocks of ART and co-trimoxazole are sufficient to meet the need for both.

CD4 trajectory adjusting for dropout among HIV-positive patients receiving combination antiretroviral therapy in an East African HIV care centre

OBJECTIVE

Estimates of CD4 response to antiretroviral therapy (ART) obtained by averaging data from patients in care, overestimate population CD4 response and treatment program effectiveness because they do not consider data from patients who are deceased or not in care. We use mathematical methods to assess and adjust for this bias based on patient characteristics.

DESIGN

We examined data from 25,261 HIV-positive patients from the East Africa IeDEA Consortium.

METHODS

We used inverse probability of censoring weighting (IPCW) to represent patients not in care by patients in care with similar characteristics. We address two questions: What would the median CD4 be "had everyone starting ART remained on observation?" and "were everyone starting ART maintained on treatment?"

RESULTS

Routine CD4 count estimates were higher than adjusted estimates even under the best-case scenario of maintaining all patients on treatment. Two years after starting ART, differences between estimates diverged from 30 cells/µL, assuming similar mortality and treatment access among dropouts as patients in care, to over 100 cells/µL assuming 20% lower survival and 50% lower treatment access among dropouts. When considering only patients in care, the proportion of patients with CD4 above 350 cells/µL was 50% adjusted to below 30% when accounting for patients not in care. One-year mortality diverged 6-14% from the naïve estimates depending on assumptions about access to care among lost patients.

CONCLUSIONS

Ignoring mortality and loss to care results in over-estimation of ART response for patients starting treatment and exaggerates the efficacy of treatment programs administering it.