Is Obesity a Favorable Prognostic Factor in Peritoneal Dialysis Patients?

Objective

To determine the influence of an elevated body mass index (BMI) on cardiovascular outcomes and survival in peritoneal dialysis (PD) patients.

Design

Prospective, observational study of a prevalent PD cohort at a single center.

Setting

Tertiary care institutional dialysis center.

Patients

The study included all patients with a BMI of at least 20 who had been receiving PD for at least 1 month as of 31 January 1996 ( n = 43). Patients were classified as overweight [BMI > 27.5; mean ± standard error of mean (SEM): 32.1 ± 1.1; n = 14] or normal weight (BMI 20 – 27.5; mean ± SEM: 23.8 ± 0.4; n = 29).

Outcome Measures

Patient survival and adverse cardiovascular events (myocardial infarction, congestive cardiac failure, cerebrovascular accident, and symptomatic peripheral vascular disease) were recorded over a 3-year period.

Results

At baseline, no significant differences were seen between the groups in clinical, biochemical, nutritional, or echocardiographic parameters, except for a lower dietary protein intake (0.97 ± 0.10 g/kg/day vs 1.44 ± 0.10 g/ kg/day, p = 0.004) and a higher proportion of well-nourished patients by subjective global assessment (100% vs 72%, p < 0.05) in the overweight group. After 3 years of follow-up, 29% of overweight patients and 69% of normal-weight patients had died ( p < 0.05). Using a Cox proportional hazards model, a BMI greater than 27.5 was shown to be an independent positive predictor of patient survival, with an adjusted hazard ratio (HR) of 0.09 [95% confidence interval (CI): 0.01 – 0.85; p < 0.05]. However, being overweight did not significantly influence myocardial infarction-free survival (adjusted HR: 0.33; 95% CI: 0.07 – 1.48; p = 0.15) or combined adverse cardiovascular event-free survival (adjusted HR: 0.67; 95% CI: 0.23 – 1.93; p = 0.46).

Conclusions

Obesity conferred a significant survival advantage in our PD population. Obese patients should therefore not be discouraged from receiving PD purely on the basis of BMI. Moreover, maintaining a higher-than-average BMI to preserve “nutritional reserve” may help to reduce the mortality and morbidity rates associated with PD.

Early patterns of sexual activity: age cohort differences in Australia

Patterns of first sexual activity among Australians born between the 1940s and 1980s were analysed using data from a national telephone survey of 1784 adults (876 males; 908 females). Sixty-one percent of those randomly selected from the Australian electoral roll and contactable by telephone responded. Many trends, including earlier first intercourse - from 20 to 18 years (females) and 18.8 to 17.8 years (males) - were established with the 40-49 year cohort, whose sexual debut was in the late 1960s-70s. Significant age-cohort effects saw women in the contemporary (18-29 year) cohort draw level with males for age at first intercourse and first sex before age 16 and before leaving school. First intercourse contraceptive use climbed from 30% to 80%. Condom use quadrupled to 70%. Australian age-cohort effects are remarkably consistent with those in similar western cultures: gender convergence in sexual experience and increasing avoidance of sexually transmitted disease and pregnancy. If such trends continue, positive long-term outcomes for health and social wellbeing should result.

The Effects of Twins, Parity and Age at First Birth on Cancer Risk in Swedish Women

The effect of reproductive history on the risk of cervical, colorectal and thyroid cancers and melanoma has been explored but the results to date are inconsistent. We aimed to examine in a record- linkage cohort study the risk of developing these cancers, as well as breast, ovarian and endometrial cancers, among mothers who had given birth to twins compared with those who had only singleton pregnancies. Women who delivered a baby in Sweden between 1961 and 1996 and who were 15 years or younger in 1961 were selected from the Swedish civil birth register and linked with the Swedish cancer registry. We used Poisson regression to assess associations between reproductive factors and cancer. Twinning was associated with reduced risks of breast, colorectal, ovarian and uterine cancers, although no relative risks were statistically significant. The delivery of twins did not increase the risk of any cancers studied. Increasing numbers of maternities were associated with significantly reduced risks of all tumors except thyroid cancer. We found positive associations between a later age at first birth and breast cancer and melanoma, while there were inverse associations with cervix, ovarian, uterine and colorectal cancers. These findings lend weight to the hypothesis that hormonal factors influence the etiology of colorectal cancer in women, but argue against any strong effect of hormones on the development of melanoma or tumors of the thyroid.

Early menstrual characteristics associated with subsequent diagnosis of endometriosis

OBJECTIVE

The aim of this study was to investigate the association between early menstrual characteristics, before symptom onset, and later diagnosis of endometriosis.

STUDY DESIGN

This was a case-control study of 268 Australian women with surgically confirmed moderate-to-severe endometriosis (cases) and 244 women without endometriosis (controls). Early menstrual cycle characteristics, before age at symptom onset, were analyzed.

RESULTS

Menarche after age 14 years was strongly and inversely associated with endometriosis (odds ratio, 0.3; 95% confidence interval, 0.1-0.6). A history of dysmenorrhea was associated with subsequent endometriosis (odds ratio, 2.6; 95% confidence interval, 1.1-6.2). Despite a suggestive trend, shorter menstrual cycle length was not associated with endometriosis. Duration of natural menstruation and heaviness of flow were not associated with subsequent risk of endometriosis; neither was the reported type of sanitary protection used nor history of sexual intercourse during menstruation.

CONCLUSION

There is a decreased risk of endometriosis with late age at menarche and an increased risk in women who report an early history of dysmenorrhea.

Incomplete pregnancy and risk of ovarian cancer: results from two Australian case-control studies and systematic review

Although full-term pregnancies reduce the risk of ovarian cancer, it has not been conclusively established whether incomplete pregnancies also influence risk. We investigated the relationship between a history of incomplete pregnancy and incident epithelial ovarian cancer among over 4,500 women who participated in two large Australian population-based case-control studies in 1990-1993 and 2002-2005. They provided responses to detailed questions about their reproductive histories and other personal factors. Summary odds ratios (OR) and confidence intervals (CI) derived for each study using the same covariates were aggregated. We found no significant associations between the number of incomplete pregnancies and ovarian cancer, for parous (OR = 0.98, 95% CI: 0.89, 1.08) or nulliparous (OR = 1.06, 95% CI: 0.75, 1.48) women, nor for the number of spontaneous or induced abortions and ovarian cancer for parous women (OR = 0.95, 95% CI 0.82, 1.09; OR = 1.08, 95% CI: 0.86, 1.36) or nulliparous women (OR = 1.2, 95% CI: 0.6, 2.4; OR = 0.8, 95% CI: 0.47, 1.38), respectively. A systematic review of 37 previous studies of the topic confirmed our findings that a history of incomplete pregnancy does not influence a woman's risk of epithelial ovarian cancer.

Clinical outcomes associated with bevacizumab-containing treatment of metastatic colorectal cancer: the BRiTE observational cohort study

BACKGROUND

The Bevacizumab Regimens' Investigation of Treatment Effects (BRiTE) study is a prospective, observational cohort study designed to elucidate safety and effectiveness outcomes associated with bevacizumab combined with chemotherapy as used in clinical practice for first-line treatment of metastatic colorectal cancer (mCRC).

PATIENTS AND METHODS

Baseline characteristics, prespecified bevacizumab-related adverse events, and effectiveness data were collected from 1,953 mCRC patients who were receiving first-line treatment including bevacizumab at 248 U.S. sites.

RESULTS

At database lock, the median follow-up was 20.1 months. At baseline, 46% of patients were aged >or=65 years and 49% had an Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group performance status score >or=1. Fluorouracil, leucovorin, and oxaliplatin was the most common first-line chemotherapy regimen (56%). Overall rates of bevacizumab-related adverse events in the BRiTE study, such as gastrointestinal perforation (1.9%), arterial thromboembolic events (2%), grade 3-4 bleeding (2.2%), and de novo hypertension requiring medication (22%), were consistent with those reported in randomized clinical trials (RCTs) of bevacizumab in first-line mCRC treatment. The median progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS) times were 9.9 (95% confidence interval [CI], 9.5-10.3) months and 22.9 (95% CI, 21.9-24.4) months, respectively.

CONCLUSION

The median PFS and OS durations and safety profile of bevacizumab in the BRiTE study were similar to those in RCTs of bevacizumab plus chemotherapy in first-line mCRC patients. The observations from the BRiTE study complement and expand upon RCT data, providing clinical information in a large cohort of bevacizumab-treated patients and subgroups such as the elderly.

Assessment of hepatic steatosis: comparison of quantitative and semiquantitative methods in 108 liver biopsies

BACKGROUND

There is growing interest in the role of hepatic steatosis in liver injury. The current standard for steatosis assessment is histological grading, although there is variability in the scoring systems used.

AIMS

The aim of this study was to compare steatosis assessment by image analysis and histological grading.

METHODS

Three methods were used to measure steatosis: histological grading (from 0 to 4); estimation of the percentage of hepatocytes (to nearest 5%) with steatosis; and computer-assisted image analysis. Image analysis was performed on multiple fields for each biopsy with image pro plus 4.5, with steatotic droplets identified on the basis of shape, colour and size. Computer-selected objects were reviewed to ensure that these were steatotic droplets. The predictive accuracy of the three techniques was assessed using measures of obesity and insulin resistance (homeostasis model assessment) as the outcome variables.

RESULTS

There was a strong correlation between the results of image analysis and histological grade (r(s)=0.89, P<0.01), and estimated per cent steatosis (r(s)=0.93, P<0.01). The variability in the area of steatosis calculated by image analysis in different fields of a biopsy correlated with the total steatosis area (r(s)=0.93, P<0.01).

CONCLUSIONS

Image analysis did not offer any additional predictive value when the association between degree of obesity or insulin resistance was correlated with the different methods of assessing steatosis. Image analysis allows measurement of area of steatosis in liver biopsy material and generates a continuous variable that facilitates statistical analysis. These aspects may prove beneficial in research settings.

Magnetic resonance imaging and spectroscopy for monitoring liver steatosis

PURPOSE

To compare noninvasive MRI and magnetic resonance spectroscopy (MRS) methods with liver biopsy to quantify liver fat content.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Quantification of liver fat was compared by liver biopsy, proton MRS, and MRI using in-phase/out-of-phase (IP/OP) and plus/minus fat saturation (+/-FS) techniques. The reproducibility of each MR measure was also determined. An additional group of overweight patients with steatosis underwent hepatic MRI and MRS before and after a six-month weight-loss program.

RESULTS

A close correlation was demonstrated between histological assessment of steatosis and measurement of intrahepatocellular lipid (IHCL) by MRS (r(s) = 0.928, P < 0.0001) and MRI (IP/OP r(s) = 0.942, P < 0.0001; FS r(s) = 0.935, P < 0.0001). Following weight reduction, four of five patients with >5% weight loss had a decrease in IHCL of >or=50%.

CONCLUSION

These findings suggest that standard MRI protocols provide a rapid, safe, and quantitative assessment of hepatic steatosis. This is important because MRS is not available on all clinical MRI systems. This will enable noninvasive monitoring of the effects of interventions such as weight loss or pharmacotherapy in patients with fatty liver diseases.

Recognition of genetic factors influencing the progression of hepatitis C : potential for personalized therapy

Infection with hepatitis C virus (HCV) is a major cause of chronic liver disease. Hepatic fibrosis may develop in subjects with chronic HCV infection, culminating in cirrhosis and an increased risk of hepatocellular carcinoma. The rate of development of fibrosis varies substantially between individuals; while it is influenced by a number of demographic and environmental factors, these account for only a small proportion of the variability. There are no clinical markers or tests that predict the rate of fibrosis progression in an individual subject. Thus, there has been increasing interest in the influence of host genetic factors on the rate of disease progression, and whether a genetic signature can be developed to reliably identify individuals at risk of severe disease. Numerous case-control, candidate gene, allele-association studies have examined the relationship between host single nucleotide polymorphisms or other genetic mutations and fibrosis in patients with chronic HCV infection. However, these studies have generally been irreproducible and disappointing. As seen with genetic studies for other diseases, small study cohorts and poor study design have contributed to limited meaningful findings. The successful determination of genetic signatures for fibrosis progression in chronic HCV will require multicenter collaborations using genome-wide association studies, with large, phenotypically well-defined sample sets. While these studies will require a significant financial commitment, a successful outcome offers the potential for personalized therapy and better patient management.

Dietary patterns and risk of ovarian cancer in the California Teachers Study cohort

Previous studies have examined the association between individual foods or nutrients, but not overall diet, and ovarian cancer risk. To account for the clustering of foods in the diet, we investigated the association between dietary patterns and risk of ovarian cancer in the prospective California Teachers Study cohort. Of 97,292 eligible women who completed the baseline dietary assessment in 1995-1996, 311 women developed epithelial ovarian cancer on or before December 31, 2004. Based on principal components analysis, 5 major dietary patterns were identified and termed plant-based, high-protein/high-fat, high-carbohydrate, ethnic, and salad-and-wine. Multivariable Cox proportional hazards regression analysis was used to estimate associations between these dietary patterns and risk of incident ovarian cancer. Most of the dietary patterns were not significantly associated with ovarian cancer risk. However, women who followed a plant-based diet had higher risk; comparing those in the top quintile of plant-based food intake with those in the lowest quintile, the relative risk of ovarian cancer was 1.65 (95% confidence interval = 1.07-2.54; P(trend) = 0.03). Associations with the 5 dietary patterns did not vary by known ovarian cancer risk factors or other behavioral or sociodemographic characteristics. Overall, our results show no convincing associations between dietary patterns and ovarian cancer risk.

Bevacizumab beyond first progression is associated with prolonged overall survival in metastatic colorectal cancer: results from a large observational cohort study (BRiTE)

PURPOSE

Bevacizumab provides a survival benefit in first- and second-line metastatic colorectal cancer (mCRC). In a large, observational, bevacizumab treatment study (Bevacizumab Regimens: Investigation of Treatment Effects and Safety [BRiTE]) in patients who had mCRC, a longer-than-expected overall survival (OS) of 25.1 months was reported. The association between various pre- and post-treatment factors (including the use of bevacizumab beyond first progression [BBP]) and survival was examined.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

The 1,445 of 1,953 previously untreated patients with mCRC who were enrolled in BRiTE and who experienced disease progression (PD) were classified into three groups: no post-PD treatment (n = 253), post-PD treatment without bevacizumab (no BBP; n = 531), and BBP (n = 642). Relevant baseline and on-study variables, including BBP, were analyzed with a Cox model with respect to their independent effect on survival beyond first PD.

RESULTS

Median OS was 25.1 months (95% CI, 23.4 to 27.5 months), and median progression-free survival was 10.0 months in the overall BRiTE population. Baseline and postbaseline factors were well balanced between the BBP and no-BBP groups. Median OS rates were 12.6, 19.9, and 31.8 months in the no post-PD treatment, no-BBP, and BBP groups, respectively. In multivariate analyses, compared with no BBP, BBP was strongly and independently associated with improved survival (HR, 0.48; P < .001). Hypertension that required medication was the only bevacizumab-related safety event that occurred more frequently in the BBP group (24.6% v 19.2%).

CONCLUSION

These results from a large, prospective, observational study suggest that continued vascular endothelial growth factor inhibition with bevacizumab beyond initial PD could play an important role improving the overall success of therapy for patients who have mCRC.

Body size and risk of epithelial ovarian and related cancers: a population-based case-control study

Different subtypes of ovarian cancer appear to have different causes; however, the association between body mass index (BMI) and the different subtypes is unclear. We examined the associations between body-mass index (BMI) and weight gain and risk of the different histological subtypes of epithelial ovarian cancer in a case-control study in Australia. Cases aged 18-79 with a new diagnosis of invasive epithelial ovarian cancer (n = 1,269) or borderline tumor (n = 311) were identified through a network of clinics and cancer registries throughout Australia. Controls (n = 1,509) were selected from the Electoral Roll. Height and weight (1 year previously, at age 20 and maximum weight) and other risk factor information were ascertained via a self-administered questionnaire. Obesity was positively associated with clear cell tumors (Odds Ratio 2.3; 95% confidence interval 1.2-4.2) but not invasive endometrioid or mucinous tumors. Although there was no association with invasive serous tumors overall (0.9; 0.7-1.2), we did see an increased risk of serous peritoneal tumors (2.9; 1.7-4.9), but not of serous tumors of the ovary and fallopian tube. Of the borderline subtypes, obesity was positively associated with serous (1.8; 1.1-2.8) but not mucinous tumors (1.1; 0.7-1.7). Overweight was not associated with any subtype overall. There was no association with BMI at age 20, or weight gain for any of the histological subtypes. These results add to the current evidence that obesity increases a woman's risk of developing distinct histological subtypes of ovarian cancer.

Population health and clinical data linkage: the importance of a population registry

OBJECTIVE

The Australian National Collaborative Research Infrastructure Strategy supports development of a national research capability in population health and clinical data linkage. This paper illustrates the importance of incorporating a population registry within such a system using an example provided by the Manitoba Injury Outcome Study (MIOS) that quantified the long-term burden of mortality attributable to injury in working-age adults.

METHODS

MIOS is a population-based matched cohort study that used administrative health data from Manitoba, Canada. An inception cohort of injured cases (ICD-9-CM 800-995) aged 18-64 years was identified from all Manitoba hospital admissions between 1988 and 1991. A matched non-injured comparison group was randomly selected from the total provincial population using the Manitoba Population Registry. Mortality outcomes were obtained by linking the two cohorts with the deaths data over 10 years. Mortality rate ratios (MRRs) were calculated to compare the injured and non-injured cohorts.

RESULTS

A total of 21,032 matched pairs were identified. Using the population registry, the 10-year adjusted all-cause MRR comparing injured and non-injured cohort was 1.80 (95% CI 1.65-1.98). Without the registry, the unadjusted standardised morality ratio was 2.76 (95% CI 2.52-3.02).

CONCLUSIONS

The effect of injury on mortality outcomes was over-estimated using only the injured cases, without use of the population registry. Use of the population registry enabled the selection of a matched non-injured group for comparison purposes, ensured comprehensive follow-up of almost all participants, and provided more accurate estimates of exposure time, incidence of mortality and relative risk.

RAD52 Y415X truncation polymorphism and epithelial ovarian cancer risk in Australian women

The RAD52 gene is involved in the homologous recombination repair pathway and is a plausible candidate ovarian cancer predisposition gene. We undertook a case-control comparison of 508 epithelial ovarian cancer cases (91 low malignant potential and 417 invasive) and 298 healthy controls to assess the RAD52 Y415X polymorphism as a risk factor for epithelial ovarian cancer in Australian women. Heterozygote frequencies of 2.6 and 4% were observed among cases and controls, respectively. The risk estimate was 0.55 (95%CI 0.24-1.24), suggesting that the RAD52 Y415X polymorphism is not associated with epithelial ovarian cancer in Australian women.

Long-term mortality following injury in working-age adults: a systematic review

Priorities for prevention activities and planning for services depend on comprehensive knowledge of the distribution of the injury-related burden in the community. The aim of this systematic review was to quantify the effect of being injured, compared with not being injured, on long-term mortality in working age adults. Cohort studies were selected that were population-based, measured mortality post-discharge from inpatient treatment, included a non-injured comparison group and related to working-age adults. Data synthesis was in tabular and text form with a meta-analysis not being possible because of the heterogeneity between studies. Eleven studies met the inclusion criteria. All studies found an overall positive association between injury and increased mortality. While the greatest excess mortality was evident during the initial period post-injury, increased mortality was shown in some studies to persist for up to 40 years after injury. Due to the limited number of injury types studied and heterogeneity between studies, there is insufficient published evidence on which to calculate population estimates of long-term mortality, where injury is a component cause. The review does suggest there is considerable excess mortality following injury that is not accounted for in current methods of quantifying injury burden, and is not used to assess quality and effectiveness of trauma care.

Socio-economic distribution of environmental risk factors for childhood injury

OBJECTIVE

Childhood injury remains the single most important cause of mortality in children aged between 1-14 years in many countries. It has been proposed that lower socio-economic status (SES) and poorer housing contribute to potential hazards in the home environment. This study sought to establish whether the prevalence of observed hazards in and around the home was differentially distributed by SES, in order to identify opportunities for injury prevention.

METHODS

This study was a cross-sectional, random sample survey of primary school children from 32 schools in Brisbane. Interviews and house audits were conducted between July 2000 and April 2003 to collect information on SES (income, employment and education) and previously identified household hazards.

RESULTS

There was evidence of a relationship between prevalence of household environmental hazards and household SES; however, the magnitude and direction of this relationship appeared to be hazard-specific. Household income was related to play equipment characteristics, with higher SES groups being more likely to be exposed to risk. All three SES indicators were associated with differences in the home safety characteristics, with the lower SES groups more likely to be exposed to risk.

CONCLUSION

The differential distribution of environmental risk factors by SES of household may help explain the SES differential in the burden of injury and provides opportunities for focusing efforts to address the problem.

Progressive fibrosis in nonalcoholic steatohepatitis: association with altered regeneration and a ductular reaction

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Portal fibrosis and linkage is a key feature of progressive disease in nonalcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH), but not simple steatosis. It is underappreciated and poorly understood. Fatty liver has impaired regeneration that induces a secondary replicative pathway using bipotential, periportal, hepatic progenitor cells (HPCs). We propose that activation of this pathway, with increased cell injury in NASH, also induces a periportal ductular reaction (DR) that could produce a profibrogenic stimulus.

METHODS

Biopsy specimens from 107 patients with nonalcoholic fatty liver disease and 11 controls were immunostained with cytokeratin-7 to quantify the DR and HPCs, and with p21 to assess hepatocyte replicative arrest. These results were correlated with clinicopathologic variables.

RESULTS

Patients with nonalcoholic fatty liver disease had expansion of HPCs, with a strong association between HPCs and the DR (r(s) = 0.582, P < .0001). In those with NASH (n = 69) there was an increased DR compared with simple steatosis, which correlated with the stage of fibrosis (r(s) = 0.510, P < .0001). The DR increased with the grade of NASH activity (r(s) = 0.478, P < .0001), grade of portal inflammation (r(s) = 0.445, P < .0001), and extent of hepatocyte replicative arrest (r(s) = 0.446, P < .0001). Replicative arrest was in turn associated with insulin resistance (r(s) = 0.450, P < .0001) and NASH activity (r(s) = 0.452, P < .0001). By multivariate analysis, the extent of DR (odds ratio [OR] = 17.9, P = .016), hepatocyte ballooning (OR = 8.1, P < .0001), and portal inflammation (OR = 3.3, P = .005) were associated independently with fibrosis.

CONCLUSIONS

These findings suggest that an altered replication pathway in active NASH promotes a periportal DR, which in turn may provoke progressive periportal fibrogenesis.

Wine and other alcohol consumption and risk of ovarian cancer in the California Teachers Study cohort

Objective

Whether alcohol consumption influences ovarian cancer risk is unclear. Therefore, we investigated the association between alcohol intake at various ages and risk of ovarian cancer.

Methods

Among 90,371 eligible members of the California Teachers Study cohort who completed a baseline alcohol assessment in 1995–1996, 253 women were diagnosed with epithelial ovarian cancer by the end of 2003. Multivariate Cox proportional hazards regression analysis was performed to estimate relative risks (RRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs).

Results

Consumption of total alcohol, beer, or liquor in the year prior to baseline, at ages 30–35 years, or at ages 18–22 years was not associated with risk of ovarian cancer. Consumption of at least one glass per day of wine, compared to no wine, in the year before baseline was associated with increased risk of developing ovarian cancer: RR = 1.57 (95% CI 1.11–2.22), P_trend = 0.01. The association with wine intake at baseline was particularly strong among peri-/post-menopausal women who used estrogen-only hormone therapy and women of high socioeconomic status.

Conclusions

Alcohol intake does not appear to affect ovarian cancer risk. Constituents of wine other than alcohol or, more likely, unmeasured determinants of wine drinking were associated with increased risk of ovarian cancer.

Diet and risk of ovarian cancer in the California Teachers Study cohort

Dietary phytochemical compounds, including isoflavones and isothiocyanates, may inhibit cancer development but have not yet been examined in prospective epidemiologic studies of ovarian cancer. The authors have investigated the association between consumption of these and other nutrients and ovarian cancer risk in a prospective cohort study. Among 97,275 eligible women in the California Teachers Study cohort who completed the baseline dietary assessment in 1995-1996, 280 women developed invasive or borderline ovarian cancer by December 31, 2003. Multivariable Cox proportional hazards regression, with age as the timescale, was used to estimate relative risks and 95% confidence intervals; all statistical tests were two sided. Intake of isoflavones was associated with lower risk of ovarian cancer. Compared with the risk for women who consumed less than 1 mg of total isoflavones per day, the relative risk of ovarian cancer associated with consumption of more than 3 mg/day was 0.56 (95% confidence interval: 0.33, 0.96). Intake of isothiocyanates or foods high in isothiocyanates was not associated with ovarian cancer risk, nor was intake of macronutrients, antioxidant vitamins, or other micronutrients. Although dietary consumption of isoflavones may be associated with decreased ovarian cancer risk, most dietary factors are unlikely to play a major role in ovarian cancer development.

Scald Prevention Campaigns: Do They Work?

The aim of this study was to quantify the effectiveness of the Queensland "Hot Water Burns Like Fire" campaign. Cross-section temperature sampling of households' bathroom hot water taps was conducted in Brisbane in 1990 before the intervention (n = 872) and in 2002 to 2003 after the intervention (n = 871). In both surveys, temperature was measured with thermometers held under running water from the bathroom hot tap until the reading stabilized (2 minutes). In 2002 to 2003 the interviewer also recorded whether or not the householder believed a tempering valve was installed in the home. The main injury outcome measure was all scald injury-related admissions at hospitals in Queensland from July 1990 to June 2003. The difference between the mean hot water tap temperature in 1990 and in 2002 to 2003 was determined with independent sample t-tests (P < .05). Rates of hospital admissions were grouped into two categories: scald injuries per year prior to the introduction of the hot water tempering valve legislation (April 1998) and scald injuries per year post-legislation. The difference between the preintervention and postintervention mean rates was determined with t-tests (P < .05). Additionally, the rates were plotted on a scatter plot by year, and a linear regression analysis was used to quantify the relationship with rates of scald-related injuries and year. The temperature in homes where the occupants reported having a tempering valve (mean = 55.5 degrees C) was significantly lower than in homes whose occupants reported not having a tempering valve (mean = 60.1 degrees C) or did not know whether they had a tempering valve (mean = 61.8 degrees C) (P < .01). However, the comparison of the hot water temperature between 1990 and 2002 to 2003 showed a significantly higher mean hot water temperature in 2002 to 2003 (P < .01). There was a significantly higher mean scald injury rate after the introduction of the "Hot Water Burns Like Fire" campaign (170.36/100,000) than before (113.41/100,000; P = .01). The linear regression line of best fit of these data has a slope of 10.43 (P < .01) and an r of 0.79. The results of this study suggest that the Queensland "Hot Water Burns Like Fire" campaign has not led to a significant reduction in hot water temperature or scald injury rates. The lack of effect identified in this study provides further evidence of the strong need to conduct rigorous evaluations of all major health promotion campaigns to add to the evidence base for such activities.

Ten-year health service use outcomes in a population-based cohort of 21,000 injured adults: the Manitoba injury outcome study

OBJECTIVE

To quantify long-term health service use (HSU) following non-fatal injury in adults.

METHODS

A retrospective, population-based, matched cohort study identified an inception cohort (1988-91) of injured people who had been hospitalized (ICD-9-CM 800-995) aged 18-64 years (n = 21 032) and a matched non-injured comparison group (n = 21 032) from linked administrative data from Manitoba, Canada. HSU data (on hospitalizations, cumulative length of stay, physician claims and placements in extended care services) were obtained for the 12 months before and 10 years after the injury. Negative binomial and Poisson regressions were used to quantify associations between injury and long-term HSU.

FINDINGS

Statistically significant differences in the rates of HSU existed between the injured and non-injured cohorts for the pre-injury year and every year of the follow-up period. After controlling for pre-injury HSU, the attributable risk percentage indicated that 38.7% of all post-injury hospitalizations (n = 25 183), 68.9% of all years spent in hospital (n = 1031), 21.9% of physician claims (n = 269 318) and 77.1% of the care home placements (n = 189) in the injured cohort could be attributed to being injured.

CONCLUSION

Many people who survive the initial period following injury, face long periods of inpatient care (and frequent readmissions), high levels of contact with physicians and an increased risk of premature placement in institutional care. Population estimates of the burden of injury could be refined by including long-term non-fatal health consequences and controlling for the effect of pre-injury comorbidity.

Medication management at home: medication risk factor prevalence and inter-relationships

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE

Patients can have medication-related risk factors associated with poor health outcomes that become evident through visiting them in their homes. These medication-related risk factors may not be apparent in pharmacy and general practitioner (GP) records. The aim was to determine the prevalence and inter-relationships of medication-related risk factors for poor patient health outcomes identifiable through 'in-home' observations.

METHODS

The design was a cross-sectional study of 204 general practice patients living in their own homes and at risk of medication-related poor health outcomes. Medication-related risk factors were identified in the patients' homes by community pharmacists and GPs.

RESULTS AND DISCUSSION

The prevalence of risk factors varied from 8.3% (multiple medication storage locations) to 55.9% (confused by generic and trade names). There were many relationships observed between the medication-related risk factors, with expired medication having the most relationships with other risk factors followed by therapeutic duplication and poor adherence (9, 6 and 6 relationships respectively).

CONCLUSION

Visiting patients' homes may identify medication-related risk factors not otherwise apparent through patient visits to the health practitioner when medications may be brought for review (i.e. 'brown bag' reviews).

Long term health outcomes after injury in working age adults: a systematic review

BACKGROUND

Estimating the contribution of non-fatal injury outcomes remains a considerable challenge and is one of the most difficult components of burden of disease analysis. The aim of this systematic review was to quantify the effect of being injured compared with not being injured on morbidity and health service use (HSU) in working age adults.

METHODS

Studies were selected that were population based, had long term health outcomes measured, included a non-injured comparison group, and related to working age adults. Meta-analysis was not attempted because of the heterogeneity between studies.

RESULTS

Nine studies met the inclusion criteria. In general, studies found an overall positive association between injury and increased HSU, exceeding that of the general population, which in some studies persisted for up to 50 years after injury. Disease outcome studies after injury were less consistent, with null findings reported.

CONCLUSION

Because of the limited injury types studied and heterogeneity between study outcome measures and follow up, there is insufficient published evidence on which to calculate population estimates of long term morbidity, where injury is a component cause. However, the review does suggest injured people have an increased risk of long term HSU that is not accounted for in current methods of quantifying injury burden.

Injury severity: role of alcohol, substance use and risk-taking

OBJECTIVE

The objective of the present study was to quantify the relationship between acute alcohol consumption and injury severity.

METHODS

A cross-sectional study was conducted at the Gold Coast Hospital, Gold Coast, Queensland, Australia between October 2000 and October 2001. Data were collected from a systematic sample of patients greater than 15 years of age who presented to the ED for treatment of an injury sustained less than 24 h prior to presentation. Study participants were interviewed face to face on-site. Information obtained included: demographics details; situational variables relative to time of injury (i.e. location, activity and companions at time of injury); self-reported alcohol consumption in the 6 and 24 h prior to time of injury; usual alcohol consumption patterns; self-reported substance use in the 6 and 24 h prior to time of injury; and risk-taking behaviour. Injury severity was coded from patient medical records using the New Injury Severity Score.

RESULTS

Of 789 eligible patients presenting during the study periods, 593 were interviewed (75.2%). Patients who reported drinking above low-risk levels (odds ratio [OR] = 3.35; 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.2-9.6) or who drank beer (OR = 3.54; 95% CI 1.1-11.1) in 6 h prior to injury were significantly more likely to sustain serious than minor injury. Drinking setting and usual drinking patterns were not significantly associated with injury severity, either in crude analyses, or after adjusting for relevant variables.

CONCLUSION

The results of the present study support the conclusion that among injured patients who presented for treatment at a large metropolitan ED, although acute alcohol consumption does not appear to be associated with minor or moderate injury, there is some evidence to suggest that acute alcohol consumption is associated with serious injury.

Does smoking increase risk of ovarian cancer? A systematic review

OBJECTIVES

Although early reports suggested that smoking was not associated with ovarian cancer risk, recent studies have reported positive associations for cancers of the mucinous subtype. We sought to clarify the relationship between smoking and ovarian cancer by histological subtype.

METHODS

We conducted a systematic literature review and meta-analysis of studies investigating the association between smoking and risk of the different histological subtypes of epithelial ovarian cancer. Eight population-based case-control studies, one pooled analysis of case-control studies, and one cohort study met the inclusion criteria. Summary relative risks (RR), 95% confidence intervals (CI), and tests for heterogeneity were generated from random effects models.

RESULTS

Combined, these studies included a total of 910 women with mucinous and 5564 with non-mucinous ovarian cancers. There was a significant doubling of risk of mucinous ovarian cancer in current smokers compared to never smokers (summary RR 2.1, 95% CI 1.7-2.7), but no increased risk of serous (1.0, 95% CI 0.8-1.2) or endometrioid (0.8, 95% CI 0.6-1.1) cancers and a significant risk reduction for clear cell cancers (0.6, 95% CI 0.3-0.9). The risk of mucinous cancer increased with increasing amount smoked but returned to that of never smokers within 20-30 years of stopping smoking.

CONCLUSIONS

Meta-analysis suggests that current smoking doubles a woman's risk of developing mucinous ovarian cancer. Stopping smoking returns the risk to normal in the long term. Smoking may thus be one of the few modifiable factors offering potential for primary prevention of mucinous ovarian cancer.

Immunological characteristics correlating with clinical response to immunotherapy in patients with advanced metastatic melanoma

Current treatment options for advanced metastatic melanoma are limited to experimental regimen that provide poor survival outcomes. Immunotherapy is a promising alternative and we recently reported a clinical trial in which 6 out of 19 patients enrolled had objective clinical responses to a fully autologous melanoma/dendritic cell vaccine. The mechanism of the vaccine is not well understood, but we hypothesized that general immunocompetence may be a determinant of clinical response. We therefore examined the immune status of an expanded series of 21 patients who displayed varying clinical responses to the melanoma/dendritic cell vaccine. Immunocompetence was assessed using in vitro assays of lymphocyte function: survival, proliferation and cytokine responses to mitogen stimulation as well as T-cell receptor zeta expression and lymphocyte subset analysis. Although lymphocytes from patients mostly performed comparably to age-matched and sex-matched controls, in some assays we identified significant differences between complete clinical responders and other patients, both before and following vaccination. Surprisingly, before vaccination, only lymphocytes from clinical responder patients showed impaired in vitro survival. Following vaccination, T lymphocyte survival improved and cells recovered their ability to produce the Th1-associated cytokines TNF and IFN-gamma in response to anti-CD3 stimulation in vitro. No increase in Th1 cytokine production was observed in lymphocytes from patients who experienced partial clinical responses or progressive disease. We conclude that, before vaccination, patients who go on to have complete responses have immune characteristics suggestive of high cell turnover and low Th1-associated cytokine production, and that these can be reversed with vaccination. These results have potential implications for future immunotherapeutic strategies.

Population attributable risk of breast cancer in white women associated with immediately modifiable risk factors

BACKGROUND

Estrogen/progestin replacement therapy (EPRT), alcohol consumption, physical activity, and breast-feeding duration differ from other factors associated with breast cancer in being immediately modifiable by the individual, thereby representing attractive targets for future breast cancer prevention efforts. To justify such efforts, it is vital to quantify the potential population-level impacts on breast cancer considering population variations in behavior prevalence, risk estimate, and baseline incidence.

METHODS

For each of these four factors, we calculated population attributable risk percents (PARs) using population-based survey (2001) and cancer registry data (1998-2002) for 41 subpopulations of white, non-Hispanic California women aged 40-79 years, and ranges of relative risk (RR) estimates from the literature.

RESULTS

Using a single RR estimate, subpopulation PARs ranged from 2.5% to 5.6% for hormone use, from 0.0% to 6.1% for recent consumption of > or = 2 alcoholic drinks daily, and 4.6% to 11.0% for physical inactivity. Using a range of RR estimates, PARs were 2-11% for EPRT use, 1-20% for alcohol consumption and 2-15% for physical inactivity. Subpopulation data were unavailable for breastfeeding, but PARs using published RR estimates ranged from 2% to 11% for lifetime breastfeeding > or = 31 months. Thus, of 13,019 breast cancers diagnosed annually in California, as many as 1,432 attributable to EPRT use, 2,604 attributable to alcohol consumption, 1,953 attributable to physical inactivity, and 1,432 attributable to never breastfeeding might be avoidable.

CONCLUSION

The relatively feasible lifestyle changes of discontinuing EPRT use, reducing alcohol consumption, increasing physical activity, and lengthening breastfeeding duration could lower population breast cancer incidence substantially.

A combination of genetic polymorphisms increases the risk of progressive disease in chronic hepatitis C

BACKGROUND

There is increasing interest in the influence of host genetic factors on hepatic fibrosis, and whether genetic markers can reliably identify subjects at risk of developing severe disease. We hypothesised that hepatitis C virus (HCV) infected subjects with progressive fibrosis, classified using strict criteria based on histology at biopsy in addition to disease duration would be more likely to inherit several genetic polymorphisms associated with disease progression compared with subjects with a low rate of disease progression.

METHODS

We examined polymorphisms in eight genes that have been reported to have an association with hepatic fibrosis.

RESULTS

Associations between polymorphisms in six genes and more rapidly progressing fibrosis were observed, with individual adjusted odds ratios ranging from 2.1 to 4.5. The relationship between rapidly progressing fibrosis and possession of > or =3, > or =4, or > or =5 progression associated alleles was determined and the adjusted odds ratios increased with increasing number of progression associated alleles (9.1, 15.5, and 24.1, respectively). Using logistic regression analysis, a predictive equation was developed and tested using a second cohort of patients with rapidly progressing fibrosis. The predictive equation correctly classified 80% of patients in this second cohort.

CONCLUSIONS

This approach may allow determination of a genetic profile predictive of rapid disease progression in HCV and identify patients warranting more aggressive therapeutic management.

Mental health: a cause or consequence of injury? A population-based matched cohort study

Background

While a number of studies report high prevalence of mental health problems among injured people, the temporal relationship between injury and mental health service use has not been established. This study aimed to quantify this relationship using 10 years of follow-up on a population-based cohort of hospitalised injured adults.

Methods

The Manitoba Injury Outcome Study is a retrospective population-based matched cohort study that utilised linked administrative data from Manitoba, Canada, to identify an inception cohort (1988–1991) of hospitalised injured cases (ICD-9-CM 800–995) aged 18–64 years (n = 21,032), which was matched to a non-injured population-based comparison group (n = 21,032). Pre-injury comorbidity and post-injury mental health data were obtained from hospital and physician claims records. Negative Binomial regression was used to estimate adjusted rate ratios (RRs) to measure associations between injury and mental health service use.

Results

Statistically significant differences in the rates of mental health service use were observed between the injured and non-injured, for the pre-injury year and every year of the follow-up period. The injured cohort had 6.56 times the rate of post-injury mental health hospitalisations (95% CI 5.87, 7.34) and 2.65 times the rate of post-injury mental health physician claims (95% CI 2.53, 2.77). Adjusting for comorbidities and pre-existing mental health service use reduced the hospitalisations RR to 3.24 (95% CI 2.92, 3.60) and the physician claims RR to 1.53 (95% CI 1.47, 1.59).

Conclusion

These findings indicate the presence of pre-existing mental health conditions is a potential confounder when investigating injury as a risk factor for subsequent mental health problems. Collaboration with mental health professionals is important for injury prevention and care, with ongoing mental health support being a clearly indicated service need by injured people and their families. Public health policy relating to injury prevention and control needs to consider mental health strategies at the primary, secondary and tertiary level.

Screening for hemochromatosis in asymptomatic subjects with or without a family history

BACKGROUND

Hemochromatosis in white subjects is mostly due to homozygosity for the common C282Y substitution in HFE. Although clinical symptoms are preventable by early detection of the genetic predisposition and prophylactic treatment, population screening is not currently advocated because of the discrepancy between the common mutation prevalence and apparently lower frequency of clinical disease. This study compared screening for hemochromatosis in subjects with or without a family history.

METHODS

We assessed disease expression by clinical evaluation and liver biopsy in 672 essentially asymptomatic C282Y homozygous subjects identified by either family screening or health checks. We also observed a subgroup of untreated homozygotes with normal serum ferritin levels for up to 24 years.

RESULTS

Prevalence of hepatic iron overload and fibrosis were comparable between the 2 groups. Disease-related conditions were more common in male subjects identified by health checks, but they were older. Hepatic iron overload (grades 2-4) was present in 56% and 34.5% of male and female subjects, respectively; hepatic fibrosis (stages 2-4) in 18.4% and 5.4%; and cirrhosis in 5.6% and 1.9%. Hepatic fibrosis and cirrhosis correlated significantly with the hepatic iron concentration, and except in cases of cirrhosis, there was a 7.5-fold reduction in the mean fibrosis score after phlebotomy. All subjects with cirrhosis were asymptomatic.

CONCLUSIONS

Screening for hemochromatosis in apparently healthy subjects homozygous for the C282Y mutation with or without a family history reveals comparable levels of hepatic iron overload and disease. Significant hepatic fibrosis is frequently found in asymptomatic subjects with hemochromatosis and, except when cirrhosis is present, is reversed by iron removal.

Repeatability of self-reported information for population-based studies of cancer

PURPOSE

To measure the repeatability of a cancer risk factor questionnaire in a population-based case-control study.

METHODS

Questionnaires were completed on two occasions by patients with cancer of the ovary (n=25) or esophagus (n=23) and by 37 controls without cancer. We assessed general cancer risk factors including height and weight (for calculating body mass index (BMI)), smoking and anti-inflammatory (NSAID) use. Risk factors specific for ovarian and esophageal cancers were also assessed. Agreement was measured by the correlation coefficient and weighted kappa statistic (kw) for continuous and categorical variables respectively.

RESULTS

We observed very high levels of agreement for BMI (kw=0.84) and smoking history, including ages at initiation and quitting (Pearson correlation = 0.87 and 0.86 respectively). There was moderate to substantial agreement for use of anti-inflammatory drugs (aspirin kw =0.52, other NSAIDS kw =0.72). Agreement for lifetime prevalence of medical conditions varied from almost perfect (e.g. history of benign breast disease (k =0.86)) to moderate (e.g. heartburn (k =0.57)). Item repeatability was not materially altered by case-control status, age or sex of respondents or interval between completions.

CONCLUSIONS

Self-reported cancer risk factor information demonstrates moderate to almost perfect levels of agreement, suggesting these items are suitable for risk estimation and epidemiologic inference.

Non-response to antiviral therapy is associated with obesity and increased hepatic expression of suppressor of cytokine signalling 3 (SOCS-3) in patients with chronic hepatitis C, viral genotype 1

BACKGROUND

Interferon alpha (IFN-alpha) activated cellular signalling is negatively regulated by inhibitory factors, including the suppressor of cytokine signalling (SOCS) family. The effects of host factors such as obesity on hepatic expression of these inhibitory factors in subjects with chronic hepatitis C virus (HCV) are unknown.

OBJECTIVES

To assess the independent effects of obesity, insulin resistance, and steatosis on response to IFN-alpha therapy and to determine hepatic expression of factors inhibiting IFN-alpha signalling in obese and non-obese subjects with chronic HCV.

METHODS

A total of 145 subjects were analysed to determine host factors associated with non-response to antiviral therapy. Treatment comprised IFN-alpha or peginterferon alpha, either alone or in combination with ribavirin. In a separate cohort of 73 patients, real time-polymerase chain reaction was performed to analyse hepatic mRNA expression. Immunohistochemistry for SOCS-3 was performed on liver biopsy samples from 38 patients with viral genotype 1 who had received antiviral treatment.

RESULTS

Non-response (NR) to treatment occurred in 55% of patients with HCV genotypes 1 or 4 and 22% with genotypes 2 or 3. Factors independently associated with NR were viral genotype 1/4 (p < 0.001), cirrhosis on pretreatment biopsy (p = 0.025), and body mass index > or = 30 kg/m2 (p = 0.010). Obese subjects with viral genotype 1 had increased hepatic mRNA expression of phosphoenolpyruvate carboxy kinase (p = 0.01) and SOCS-3 (p = 0.047), in comparison with lean subjects. Following multivariate analysis, SOCS-3 mRNA expression remained independently associated with obesity (p = 0.023). SOCS-3 immunoreactivity was significantly increased in obesity (p = 0.013) and in non-responders compared with responders (p = 0.014).

CONCLUSIONS

In patients with chronic HCV viral genotype 1, increased expression of factors that inhibit interferon signalling may be one mechanism by which obesity reduces the biological response to IFN-alpha.

Risk of second primary malignancies in women with papillary thyroid cancer

Second malignancies in women diagnosed with thyroid cancer are of concern given the young average age at diagnosis and excellent survival. Data from the California Cancer Registry were used to evaluate the risk of second primary cancers among a retrospective population-based cohort of 10,932 women diagnosed with papillary thyroid cancer between 1988 and 1999. Follow-up was calculated from 2 months until the diagnosis of a second primary cancer, death, loss to follow-up, or December 31, 1999, whichever occurred first. Standardized incidence ratios, based on age-specific cancer incidence rates for California women, were calculated. During a total of 50,938 person-years of follow-up (mean: 4.7 years), 279 women developed a second primary cancer. The incidence of invasive breast cancer was not elevated compared with California women overall (standardized incidence ratio (SIR) = 0.9, 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.7, 1.1) or when stratified by age, race/ethnicity, follow-up, or radiation treatment. An excess of in situ breast cancer (SIR = 1.6, 95% CI: 1.0, 2.4), kidney cancer (SIR = 3.9, 95% CI: 2.2, 6.3), and melanoma (SIR = 2.1, 95% CI: 1.3, 3.2) limited to the first 5 years after diagnosis was observed. Women with papillary thyroid cancer are at increased risk of in situ, but not invasive, breast cancer, kidney cancer, and melanoma.

Zinc and vitamin A supplementation in Indigenous Australian children hospitalised with lower respiratory tract infection: a randomised controlled trial

OBJECTIVE

To evaluate the efficacy of supplementation with zinc and vitamin A in Indigenous children hospitalised with acute lower respiratory infection (ALRI).

DESIGN

Randomised controlled, 2-by-2 factorial trial of supplementation with zinc and vitamin A.

SETTING AND PARTICIPANTS

187 Indigenous children aged < 11 years hospitalised with 215 ALRI episodes at Alice Springs Hospital (April 2001 to July 2002).

INTERVENTIONS

Vitamin A was administered on Days 1 and 5 of admission at a dose of 50 000 IU (infants under 12 months), or 100 000 IU; and zinc sulfate was administered daily for 5 days at a daily dose of 20 mg (infants under 12 months) or 40 mg.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURE

Time to clinical recovery from fever and tachypnoea, duration of hospitalisation, and readmission for ALRI within 120 days.

RESULTS

There was no clinical benefit of supplementation with vitamin A, zinc or the two combined, with no significant difference between zinc and no-zinc, vitamin A and no-vitamin A or zinc + vitamin A and placebo groups in time to resolution of fever or tachypnoea, or duration of hospitalisation. Instead, we found increased morbidity; children given zinc had increased risk of readmission for ALRI within 120 days (relative risk, 2.4; 95% CI, 1.003-6.1).

CONCLUSION

This study does not support the use of vitamin A or zinc supplementation in the management of ALRI requiring hospitalisation in Indigenous children living in remote areas. Even in populations with high rates of ALRI and poor living conditions, vitamin A and zinc therapy may not be useful. The effect of supplementation may depend on the prevalence of deficiency of these micronutrients in the population.

Searching for cancer deaths in Australia: National Death Index vs. cancer registries

OBJECTIVE

To compare the accuracy, costs and utility of using the National Death Index (NDI) and state-based cancer registries in determining the mortality status of a cohort of women diagnosed with ovarian cancer in the early 1990s.

METHODS

As part of a large prognostic study, identifying information on 822 women diagnosed with ovarian cancer between 1990 and 1993, was simultaneously submitted to the NDI and three state-based cancer registries to identify deceased women as of June 30, 1999. This was compared to the gold standard of "definite deaths". A comparative evaluation was also made of the time and costs associated with the two methods.

RESULTS

Of the 450 definite deaths in our cohort the NDI correctly identified 417 and all of the 372 women known to be alive (sensitivity 93%, specificity 100%). Inconsistencies in identifiers recorded in our cohort files, particularly names, were responsible for the majority of known deaths not matching with the NDI, and if eliminated would increase the sensitivity to 98%. The cancer registries correctly identified 431 of the 450 definite deaths (sensitivity 96%). The costs associated with the NDI search were the same as the cancer registry searches, but the cancer registries took two months longer to conduct the searches.

CONCLUSIONS AND IMPLICATIONS

This study indicates that the cancer registries are valuable, cost effective agencies for follow-up of mortality outcome in cancer cohorts, particularly where cohort members were residents of those states. For following large national cohorts the NDI provides additional information and flexibility when searching for deaths in Australia. This study also shows that women can be followed up for mortality with a high degree of accuracy using either service. Because each service makes a valuable contribution to the identification of deceased cancer subjects, both should be considered for optimal mortality follow-up in studies of cancer patients.

Acute alcohol consumption and mechanism of injury

OBJECTIVE

The purpose of this study was to determine whether injury mechanism among injured patients is differentially distributed as a function of acute alcohol consumption (quantity, type, and drinking setting).

METHOD

A cross-sectional study was conducted between October 2000 and October 2001 in the Gold Coast Hospital Emergency Department, Queensland, Australia. Data were collected quarterly over a 12-month period. Every injured patient who presented to the emergency department during the study period for treatment of an injury sustained less than 24 hours prior to presentation was approached for interview. The final sample comprised 593 injured patients (males=377). Three measures of alcohol consumption in the 6 hours prior to injury were obtained from self-report: quantity, beverage type, and drinking setting. The main outcome measure was mechanism of injury, which was categorized into six groups: road traffic crash (RTC), being hit by or against something, fall, cut/piercing, overdose/poisoning, and miscellaneous. Injury intent was also measured (intentional vs. unintentional).

RESULTS

After controlling for relevant confounding variables, neither quantity nor type of alcohol was significantly associated with injury mechanism. However, drinking setting (i.e., licensed premise) was significantly associated with increased odds of sustaining an intentional versus unintentional injury (odds ratio [OR] = 2.79, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 1.4-5.6); injury through being hit by/against something versus other injury types (OR = 2.59, 95% CI = 1.4-4.9); and reduced odds of sustaining an injury through RTC versus non-RTC (OR = 0.02, 95% CI = 0.004-0.9), compared with not drinking alcohol prior to injury.

CONCLUSIONS

No previous analytical studies have examined the relationship between injury mechanism and acute alcohol consumption (quantity, type, and setting) across all types of injury and all injury severities while controlling for potentially important confounders (demographic and situational confounders, risk-taking behavior, substance use, and usual drinking patterns). These data suggest that among injured patients, mechanism of injury is not differentially distributed as a function of quantity or type of acute alcohol consumption but may be differentially distributed as a function of drinking setting (i.e., RTC, intentional injury, being hit). Therefore, prevention strategies that focus primarily on the quantity and type of alcohol consumed should be directed generically across injury mechanisms and not limited to particular cause of injury campaigns.

Prevalence and risk factors for lifetime exposure to Pap smear abnormalities in the Australian community

Background: This study examined the prevalence, correlates and consequences of abnormal Pap smears in a population-based survey of sexuality and health in the Australian community. Methods: Cross-sectional telephone survey of 908 women aged 18–59 years randomly selected from the Commonwealth electoral roll. Results: Most women (91%) reported having had at least one Pap smear test, a figure directly comparable with national estimates. Being single (prevalence ratio (PR) 4.61; 95% CI 2.09–10.17) and not having had sexual intercourse (PR 5.31, 95% CI 3.11–9.07) were strong predictors of never having been tested. One in four women (26%) who reported being screened also reported having had an abnormal Pap smear result, of whom 66% said they had further testing and 52% some form of treatment. A minority (19%) reported negative effects of treatment on their sex lives. Having been diagnosed with human papillomavirus (HPV) (PR 2.87, 95% CI 1.84–4.48), and to a lesser degree, having had a greater number of male sexual partners (PR 1.38, 95% CI 1.01–1.89), and experiencing sexual problems in the last year (PR 0.99, 95% CI 0.99–1.88) were independently associated with reporting of abnormal Pap smear results. Conclusions: Approximately one in four women self report lifetime exposure to Pap smear abnormalities. It is important that women are well prepared for this common experience. A causal association between multiple sexual partners and risk of acquiring HPV infection is supported by these data.

Indicators of injury burden: Which types are the most important?

Injury indicators are used for monitoring the impact of injury prevention initiatives on the population burden of injury. The object of the present study was to identify the types of injury responsible for the major component of the population health burden of injury in a large cohort in Manitoba, Canada. Injury cases (ICD-9-CM 800-995) aged 18-64 years were identified from all Manitoba hospital data between 1988 and 1991. Morbidity data were obtained from hospital discharge abstracts 12 months prior to date of injury and for 12 months post-injury. Outcomes for individuals were calculated as the difference pre- and post-injury in hospital inpatient days. Death outcomes in the 12 months post-injury were obtained by linking the cohort with the population registry. Summed outcomes across the population were stratified into injury types based on the International Code of Diseases (ICD) code of the index injury. Outcomes were also stratified by injury severity score categories where the injury severity score was obtained using ICDMAP-90. When ranked by contribution to the cohort's cumulative hospital inpatient days in the 12 months post-injury, the six most common ICD subchapter groups accounted for 65% of the total inpatient days. These six injury types also accounted for 62% of the total number of deaths in this cohort in 12 months after injury. The suggested injury types to use as indicators of burden include fracture of the lower limb, fracture of the head and neck, poisonings, intracranial injury, fracture of the upper limb, and fracture of skull.

Steatosis is a cofactor in liver injury in hemochromatosis

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Obesity-related steatosis is an increasingly common histologic finding and often coexists with other chronic liver diseases. Although obesity and steatosis are recognized risk factors for more advanced fibrosis in chronic hepatitis C and alcoholic liver disease, it has not been determined whether these factors influence the progression of other diseases in which steatosis is not a feature of the primary liver insult.

METHODS

We studied 214 patients with hemochromatosis who were homozygous for the C282Y substitution in HFE and had undergone liver biopsy prior to phlebotomy.

RESULTS

Steatosis was present in 41.1% of these patients, and 14.5% had moderate or severe steatosis. Median serum alanine aminotransferase (ALT) and ferritin levels were higher (P < .001), and median transferrin saturation (P = .01) and hepatic iron concentration (HIC) were lower (P = .003) in subjects with steatosis compared with subjects without steatosis. Bivariate analysis revealed a significant association between steatosis and fibrosis (P = .001). Following multiple logistic regression, steatosis was independently associated with fibrosis (odds ratio [OR] 4.3, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 2.1-8.8; P < .001) along with male sex (OR, 5.1; 95% CI: 2.0-12.5; P < .001), excess alcohol consumption (males > or = 50 g/day, females > or = 40 g/day) (OR, 3.9; 95% CI: 1.8-8.5; P = .001), and hepatic iron content (OR, 1.4; 95% CI: 1.2-1.6; P < .001). Both higher BMI (OR, 3.3; 95% CI: 1.8-6.3; P < .001) and alcohol consumption (males > or = 30 g/day, females > or = 10 g/day) (OR, 3.4; 95% CI: 1.2-10.0; P = .023) were independently associated with the presence of steatosis.

CONCLUSIONS

These findings indicate that obesity-related steatosis may have a role as a cofactor in liver injury in hemochromatosis. This has important clinical implications and suggests that obesity should be actively addressed in the management of patients with hemochromatosis, as well as other liver diseases.

How well do anatomical-based injury severity scores predict health service use in the 12 months after injury?

There is an acknowledged need for valid and reliable injury scores, suitable for use at the population level, which can accurately predict the long-term outcome of injury. The objective was to quantify the extent to which the abbreviated injury severity score (AIS) and the functional capacity index score (FCI) predict use of health services in the 12 months following an injury event. A cohort of injured people (ICD-9-CM 800-995) aged 18 - 64 years was identified from Manitoba hospital discharge abstracts from January 1988 to December 1991. For each member of the cohort whose injuries could be mapped to an abbreviated injury scale unique identifier, a maximum AIS (maxAIS) and a maximum FCI (maxFCI) were obtained. The cohort was linked with hospital discharge abstracts, physicians' claims and deaths from the population registry for the 12 months following injury. Negative binomial regression was used to model the relationships between the severity scores and the three outcome measures, while controlling for potential confounding variables. In total, 20 677 (97%) eligible cases were identified, of which 16 834 (81%) could be assigned a maxAIS and 15 823 (77%) a maxFCI. MaxAIS and maxFCI were significantly associated with total days in hospital following injury, but explained little of the variation in any of the health service use outcome variables (maxAIS, partial pseudo r2 ranging from < 0.001 to 0.041; and maxFCI, partial pseudo r2 ranging from < 0.001 to 0.018). It was concluded that anatomical damage is only partly responsible for long-term injury outcome. Additional variables would need to be included in predictive models of health outcomes of injury before these models could be reliable.

Cancer Surveillance Research: a Vital Subdiscipline of Cancer Epidemiology

Public health surveillance systems relevant to cancer, centered around population-based cancer registration, have produced extensive, high-quality data for evaluating the cancer burden. However, these resources are underutilized by the epidemiology community due, we postulate, to under-appreciation of their scope and of the methods and software for using them. To remedy these misperceptions, this paper defines cancer surveillance research, reviews selected prior contributions, describes current resources, and presents challenges to and recommendations for advancing the field. Cancer surveillance research, in which systematically collected patient and population data are analyzed to examine and test hypotheses about cancer predictors, incidence, and outcomes in geographically defined populations over time, has produced not only cancer statistics and etiologic hypotheses but also information for public health education and for cancer prevention and control. Data on cancer patients are now available for all US states and, within SEER, since 1973, and have been enhanced by linkage to other population-based resources. Appropriate statistical methods and sophisticated interactive analytic software are readily available. Yet, publication of papers, funding opportunities, and professional training for cancer surveillance research remain inadequate. Improvement is necessary in these realms to permit cancer surveillance research to realize its potential in resolving the growing cancer burden.

Medication management at home: medication-related risk factors associated with poor health outcomes

BACKGROUND

Some patients may have medication-related risk factors only identified by home visits, but the extent to which those risk factors are associated with poor health outcomes remains unclear.

OBJECTIVE

To determine the association between medication-related risk factors and poor patient health outcomes from observations in the patients' homes.

DESIGN

Cross-sectional study.

SETTING

Patients' homes.

SUBJECTS

204 general practice patients living in their own homes and at risk of medication-related poor health outcomes.

METHODS

Medications and medication-related risk factors were identified in the patients' homes by community pharmacists and general practitioners (GPs). The medication-related risk factors were examined as determinants of patients' self-reported health related quality of life (SF-36) and their medication use, as well as physicians' impression of patient adverse drug events and health status.

RESULTS

Key medication-related risk factors associated with poor health outcomes included: Lack of any medication administration routine, therapeutic duplication, hoarding, confusion between generic and trade names, multiple prescribers, discontinued medication repeats retained and multiple storage locations. Older age and female gender were associated with some poorer health outcomes. In addition, expired medication and poor adherence were also associated with poor health outcomes, however, not independently.

CONCLUSION

The findings support the theory that polypharmacy and medication-related risk factors as a result of polypharmacy are correlated to poor health outcomes.

Sexual abuse in childhood and sexual dysfunction in adulthood: an Australian population-based study

This study examined self-reported adult sexual functioning in individuals reporting a history of childhood sexual abuse (CSA) in a representative sample of the Australian population. A sample of 1793 persons, aged 18-59 years, were randomly selected from the electoral roll for Australian states and territories in April 2000. Respondents were interviewed about their health status and sexual experiences, including unwanted sexual experiences before the age of 16 years. More than one-third of women and approximately one-sixth of men reported a history of CSA. Women were more likely than men to report both non-penetrative and penetrative experiences of CSA. For both sexes, there was a significant association between CSA and symptoms of sexual dysfunction. In assessing the specific nature of the relationship between sexual abuse and sexual dysfunction, statistically significant associations were, in general, evident for women only. CSA was not associated with the level of physical or emotional satisfaction respondents experienced with their sexual activity. The total number of lifetime sexual partners was significantly and positively associated with CSA for females, but not for males; however, the number of sexual partners in the last year was not related to CSA. CSA in the Australian population is common and contributes to significant impairment in the sexual functioning of adults, especially women. These consequences appear not to extend to the other areas of sexual activity considered in this study.

Long-term mortality following trauma: 10 year follow-up in a population-based sample of injured adults

BACKGROUND

The aim of the study was to quantify trauma-related mortality in injured adults over 10 years postinjury.

METHODS

A population-based matched cohort study used linked administrative data from Manitoba, Canada, to identify an inception cohort (1988-1991) of hospitalized trauma cases (ICD-9-CM 800-959.9) aged 18-64 years (n = 18,210) and a matched noninjured comparison group (n = 18,210). Mortality outcomes were obtained by linking the two cohorts with the Manitoba Population Registry for a period of 10 years postinjury.

RESULTS

The adjusted all-cause mortality rate ratio (MRR) was 7.29 (95% CI 4.53-11.74) for the 60 days immediately postinjury. The MRRs ranged between 1.17 and 2.41 for the remainder of the 10 year follow-up period. The index injury was estimated to be responsible for 41% of all recorded deaths in the injured cohort.

CONCLUSIONS

Estimates of the total mortality burden, based on the early inpatient period alone, substantially underestimates the true burden from injury.

The effects of twins, parity and age at first birth on cancer risk in Swedish women

The effect of reproductive history on the risk of cervical, colorectal and thyroid cancers and melanoma has been explored but the results to date are inconsistent. We aimed to examine in a record-linkage cohort study the risk of developing these cancers, as well as breast, ovarian and endometrial cancers, among mothers who had given birth to twins compared with those who had only singleton pregnancies. Women who delivered a baby in Sweden between 1961 and 1996 and who were 15 years or younger in 1961 were selected from the Swedish civil birth register and linked with the Swedish cancer registry. We used Poisson regression to assess associations between reproductive factors and cancer. Twinning was associated with reduced risks of breast, colorectal, ovarian and uterine cancers, although no relative risks were statistically significant. The delivery of twins did not increase the risk of any cancers studied. Increasing numbers of maternities were associated with significantly reduced risks of all tumors except thyroid cancer. We found positive associations between a later age at first birth and breast cancer and melanoma, while there were inverse associations with cervix, ovarian, uterine and colorectal cancers. These findings lend weight to the hypothesis that hormonal factors influence the etiology of colorectal cancer in women, but argue against any strong effect of hormones on the development of melanoma or tumors of the thyroid.

Nonsteroidal anti-inflammatory drug use and breast cancer risk by stage and hormone receptor status

BACKGROUND

Epidemiologic studies of the association between nonsteroidal anti-inflammatory drugs (NSAIDs), such as aspirin and ibuprofen, and breast cancer risk have yielded inconsistent results. We investigated the association of NSAID use with risk of breast cancer in the California Teachers Study cohort, with special attention to risk of specific breast cancer subtypes and to type of NSAID used.

METHODS

We analyzed data on 114 460 women in the California Teachers Study cohort who were aged 22 to 85 years and free of breast cancer at baseline in 1995 to 1996. Information on frequency and duration of NSAID use was collected through a self-administered questionnaire. A total of 2391 women were diagnosed with breast cancer during the follow-up period from 1995 to 2001. We used Cox proportional hazards regression to estimate relative risks (RR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) of breast cancer subtypes with NSAID use.

RESULTS

Neither regular use (more than once a week) of any NSAID (aspirin and ibuprofen combined) nor regular use of aspirin was associated with breast cancer risk (RR = 1.09, 95% CI = 0.97 to 1.21 for daily versus no regular use of NSAIDs and RR = 0.98, 95% CI = 0.86 to 1.13 for daily versus no regular use of aspirin). However, long-term (> or = 5 years) daily aspirin users had a non-statistically significant decreased risk of estrogen receptor and progesterone receptor (ER/PR)-positive breast cancer (RR = 0.80, 95% CI = 0.62 to 1.03). In contrast, we observed a statistically significantly increased risk of ER/PR-negative breast cancer with long-term daily use of aspirin (RR = 1.81, 95% CI = 1.12 to 2.92). In this population, 11 fewer ER/PR-positive breast cancer cases and seven excess ER/PR-negative breast cancer cases may be due to daily long-term aspirin use among 2391 breast cancer cases observed over 6 years if the association were proven to be causal. Long-term daily use of ibuprofen was also associated with an increased risk of breast cancer (RR = 1.51, 95% CI = 1.17 to 1.95), particularly of nonlocalized tumors (RR = 1.92, 95% CI = 1.24 to 2.97). If causality were subsequently proven, 16 of the observed 2391 breast cancer cases and 8 of the 713 non-localized breast cancer cases would be attributable to long-term daily use of ibuprofen.

CONCLUSIONS

Long-term daily use of NSAIDs was not associated with breast cancer risk overall. Ibuprofen use was associated with an increased risk of breast cancer, and long-term daily aspirin use was associated with an increased risk of ER/PR-negative breast cancer. However, it is not clear if the observed association is causal.

El Niño Southern Oscillation and Ross River virus outbreaks in Australia

Various authors have suggested a general predictive value of climatic indices of El Niño/Southern Oscillation events as indicators of outbreaks of arbovirus disease, particularly Ross River virus in Australia. By analyzing over 100 years of historical outbreak data on Ross River virus disease, our data indicate that, although high Southern Oscillation Index and La Niña conditions are potentially important predictors for the Murray Darling River region, this is not the case for the other four ecological zones in Australia. Our study, therefore, cautions against overgeneralization and suggests that, since climate and weather exert different influences and have different biological implications for the multiplicity of vectors involved, it is logical that predictors should be heterogeneous.

Zinc and vitamin A supplementation in Australian Indigenous children with acute diarrhoea: a randomised controlled trial

OBJECTIVE

To evaluate the role of zinc and vitamin A supplementation in the recovery of Indigenous children hospitalised for acute diarrhoea.

DESIGN

A randomised controlled 2 by 2 factorial trial of supplementation with zinc and vitamin A.

SETTING AND PARTICIPANTS

Aboriginal children (aged < 11 years) hospitalised for acute diarrhoea at Alice Springs Hospital, Northern Territory, April 2001-July 2002.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

Duration of diarrhoeal illness; re-admission for diarrhoeal illness within 120 days.

RESULTS

Our study involved 392 Aboriginal children with 436 episodes of diarrhoea. Supplementation with zinc, vitamin A, or combined zinc and vitamin A had no significant effect on duration of diarrhoea or rate of re-admission compared with placebo. Median diarrhoea duration after starting supplementation was 3.0 days for the vitamin A and zinc supplemented and placebo groups (P values 0.25 and 0.69, respectively). The number of re-admissions did not differ significantly between those receiving vitamin A or zinc and the relevant placebo groups (relative risk [95% CI], 1.2 [0.7-2.1] and 1.3 [0.8-2.1], respectively).

CONCLUSION

Vitamin A and zinc supplementation may not be indicated for in-hospital management of acute diarrhoeal disease in Aboriginal children living in remote areas. This finding may not apply to children with malnutrition, for whom other studies suggest a benefit. Larger trials incorporating more comprehensive data on the vitamin A and zinc status as well as nutritional status of study populations might help to explain the different results in different populations.

Use of multiple biomarkers for a molecular diagnosis of prostate cancer

The identification of biomarkers capable of providing a reliable molecular diagnostic test for prostate cancer (PCa) is highly desirable clinically. We describe here 4 biomarkers, UDP-N-Acetyl-alpha-D-galactosamine transferase (GalNAc-T3; not previously associated with PCa), PSMA, Hepsin and DD3/PCA3, which, in combination, distinguish prostate cancer from benign prostate hyperplasia (BPH). GalNAc-T3 was identified as overexpressed in PCa tissues by microarray analysis, confirmed by quantitative real-time PCR and shown immunohistochemically to be localised to prostate epithelial cells with higher expression in malignant cells. Real-time quantitative PCR analysis across 21 PCa and 34 BPH tissues showed 4.6-fold overexpression of GalNAc-T3 (p = 0.005). The noncoding mRNA (DD3/PCA3) was overexpressed 140-fold (p = 0.007) in the cancer samples compared to BPH tissues. Hepsin was overexpressed 21-fold (p = 0.049, whereas the overexpression for PSMA was 66-fold (p = 0.047). When the gene expression data for these 4 biomarkers was combined in a logistic regression model, a predictive index was obtained that distinguished 100% of the PCa samples from all of the BPH samples. Therefore, combining these genes in a real-time PCR assay represents a powerful new approach to diagnosing PCa by molecular profiling. (Supplemental material for this article can be found on the International Journal of Cancer website at http://www.interscience.wiley.com/jpages/0020-7136/suppmat/index.html.)