HCV eradication induced by direct-acting antiviral agents reduces the risk of hepatocellular carcinoma

Unmet Needs in the Post-Direct-Acting Antiviral Era: Hepatocarcinogenesis After Hepatitis C Virus Eradication

Infection with chronic hepatitis C virus (HCV) is an important risk factor for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Direct-acting antiviral therapy has transformed care for patients with HCV and reduces the risk of HCC. Despite HCV cure, a residual HCC risk remains in patients with advanced fibrosis and cirrhosis, with multiple mechanisms underlying subsequent hepatocarcinogenesis. Transcriptomic and proteomic signatures demonstrate the capacity for HCC risk stratification, and chemoprevention strategies are emerging. For now, pending more precise stratification, HCC surveillance of patients with cured HCV and advanced fibrosis or cirrhosis should continue.

Liver Fibrosis Regression and Associated Factors in HCV Patients Treated with Direct-Acting Antiviral Agents

There is accumulating evidence that treatment of chronic hepatitis C (HCV) leads to improvements in liver fibrosis. We aimed to investigate the improvement in fibrosis stage following treatment with direct-acting antivirals (DAAs) and factors associated with fibrosis regression. Fibroscan® was performed for patients treated with DAAs, at least 3 years post-HCV eradication. The fibrosis stage at the onset of treatment was compared with the current fibrosis stage. A total of 209 patients were enrolled in this study (56% males; age 58.8 ± 13.3 years; age at treatment 54 ± 10.9 years). Genotype subgrouping was as follows: 1a (16%), 1b (58%), 2a (4%), 3 (18%), and 4a (2%). Overall, 71% of patients were considered treatment-naïve, with a mean follow-up time of 4.5 ± 1.3 years. Fibrosis improvement was observed among 57% of patients; fibrosis progression was seen among 7% of patients and no change was seen in 36% of patients. Moreover, 28% of these patients regressed from F3/F4 to F2 or less. In our multivariable analysis, the age at treatment and advanced fibrosis stage were found to be factors significantly associated with fibrosis regression. In conclusion, fibrosis improvement was observed among 57% of HCV patients after treatment with DAAs. Age and advanced fibrosis at baseline were found to be factors associated with fibrosis regression.

Residual risk of hepatocellular carcinoma development for chronic hepatitis C patients treated by all oral direct-acting antivirals with sustained virological response

BACKGROUND

The treatment of chronic hepatitis C (CHC) infection underwent a significant transformation with the introduction of all-oral direct-acting anti-virals (DAAs). These medications offered a high success rate in treatment, shorter duration, good tolerability, and expanded treatment options. However, a residual risk of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) development remained for a few patients even after achieving sustained virological response (SVR). To date, there is a lack of real-world data on evaluating risk factors associated with de novo HCC in CHC patients post-SVR, particularly in Taiwan.

METHODS

Between January 2017 and December 2019, a total of 671 consecutive CHC patients who achieved SVR after receiving DAAs were included for analysis. Patients with a history of HCC or liver transplantation prior to DAAs, a short follow-up period (<1 year), or treatment failure with DAAs were excluded. The primary outcome was the development of HCC following the initiation of DAAs. Variables associated with the primary outcome were assessed using multivariate Cox proportional hazards models.

RESULTS

The mean age of the enrolled patients was 65.1 ± 12.8 years, with 39.6% of them being male. Among the patients, 30.6% had advanced (F3-4) fibrosis, and the median follow-up period was 2.90 years. The cumulative incidence of HCC in CHC patients post-SVR12 was 1.6% at 1 year, 4.4% at 2 years, 4.8% at 3 years, 5.3% at 4 years, and 6.1% at 4.8 years, respectively. Variables independently associated with de novo HCC were advanced liver fibrosis (hazard ratio [HR] = 6.745; 95% CI = 1.960-23.218; p = 0.002), end-of-treatment 12 weeks (EOT 12 ) alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) >7 ng/mL (HR = 3.059; 95% CI = 1.215-7.669; p = 0.018), EOT 12 albumin-bilirubin (ALBI) grade ≥ 2 (HR = 2.664; 95% CI = 1.158-6.128; p = 0.021), and body mass index (BMI) ≥ 25 kg/m 2 (HR = 2.214; 95% CI = 1.011-4.852; p = 0.047).

CONCLUSION

Despite achieving viral clearance with DAAs, CHC patients still face a residual risk of de novo HCC. Establishing a risk stratification model based on independent variables could facilitate the prediction of future HCC development and enhance screening strategies.

Combining the age-male-albumin-bilirubin-platelets score and shear wave elastography stratifies carcinogenic risk in hepatitis C patients after viral clearance

BACKGROUND

The treatment of hepatitis C with direct-acting antiviral agents (DAAs) produces a high rate of sustained virological response (SVR) with fewer adverse events than interferon (IFN) therapy with a similar effect in inhibiting carcinogenesis as IFN therapy. The age-male-albumin-bilirubin-platelets (aMAP) score is useful for stratifying the risk of hepatocellular carcinoma in chronic hepatitis patients, and the velocity of shear waves (Vs) measured by shear wave elastography has also been shown to be useful for diagnosing the level of fibrotic progression in hepatitis C and predicting carcinogenic risk. Combining these two may improve the prediction of carcinogenic risk.

AIM

To determine whether combining the aMAP score with Vs improves carcinogenic risk stratification in medium-to-high-risk hepatitis C patients.

METHODS

This retrospective, observational study involved hepatitis C patients treated with DAAs who achieved SVR. Vs was measured before treatment (baseline), at the end of treatment (EOT), and 12 wk (follow-up 12) and 24 wk (follow-up 24) after treatment. The patients were followed for at least six months after EOT to determine whether cancer developed. Multiple regression analysis was used to identify factors contributing to hepatic carcinogenesis. The diagnostic performances of clinical parameters for predicting the presence of hepatocellular carcinoma were evaluated using receiver-operating characteristic (ROC) curve analyses.

RESULTS

A total of 279 patients (mean age 65.9 years, 118 males, 161 females) were included in the analysis. Multiple regression analysis was performed with carcinogenesis as the target variable and alanine aminotransferase, platelets, α-fetoprotein, Vs, and the Fib-4 index as explanatory variables; only Vs was found to be significant (P = 0.0296). The cut-off value for Vs for liver carcinogenesis calculated using the ROC curve was 1.53 m/s. Carcinoma developed in 2.0% (3/151) of those with Vs < 1.53 m/s and in 10.5% (9/86) of those with Vs ≥ 1.53 m/s.

CONCLUSION

In hepatitis C patients after SVR, combining the aMAP score and Vs to stratify the risk of carcinogenesis is more efficient than uniform surveillance of all patients.

New Opportunities to Individualize Frontline Therapy in Advanced Stages of Hepatocellular Carcinoma

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is a leading cause of cancer death globally and is rising in incidence. Until recently, treatment options for patients with advanced stages of HCC have been limited to antiangiogenic therapies with modest improvements in overall survival. The emerging role of immunotherapy with immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICI) in oncology has led to a rapid expansion in treatment options and improvements in outcomes for patients with advanced stages of HCC. Recent clinical trials have shown meaningful survival improvement in patients treated with the combination of bevacizumab and atezolizumab, as well as with the combination of tremelimumab with durvalumab, resulting in regulatory approvals of these regimens as frontline therapy. Beyond improvements in overall survival, ICI-based combination regimens achieve higher rates of durable treatment response than multikinase inhibitors and have favorable side effect profiles. With the emergence of doublet anti-angiogenic and immune checkpoint inhibitor (ICI) and dual ICI combinations, individualized therapy is now possible for patients based on co-morbidity profiles and other factors. These more potent systemic therapies are also being tested in earlier stages of disease and in combination with loco-regional therapies such as trans-arterial chemoembolization and stereotactic body radiotherapy. We summarize these advances and emerging therapeutic combinations currently in clinical trials.

Evaluation of Plasma miR-17-5p, miR-24-3p and miRNA-223-3p Profile of Hepatitis C Virus-Infected Patients after Treatment with Direct-Acting Antivirals

The expression of miR-223-3p, miR-17-5p, and miR-24-3p was evaluated in hepatitis C virus (HCV) patient serum samples, collected before DAA treatment and after a sustained virological response (SVR). Fifty HCV patients were stratified based on their liver damage stages into three different subgroups (21 with chronic hepatitis-CH, 15 with cirrhosis, and 14 with hepatocellular carcinoma-HCC). Considering the entire HCV population, the miRNA expression levels were significantly downregulated after the SVR compared to pre-treatment ones (p < 0.05). Stratifying the patients based on liver damage, the post-SVR values of the three miRNAs were significantly downregulated compared to the pre-treatment levels for both cirrhosis and HCC patients. No significant differences emerged from the analysis of the CH group. To our knowledge, this is the first study to detail the behavior of miR-223-3p, miR-17-5p, and miR-24-3p levels in patients with HCV-related CH, cirrhosis, and HCC after DAA therapy. Our findings show that HCV-infected patients have different miRNA profiles before and after treatment with DAAs, strongly suggesting that miRNAs may be involved in the pathogenesis of HCV-related damage. In this respect, the correlation observed among the three studied miRNAs could imply that they share common pathways by which they contribute the progression of HCV-induced chronic liver damage.

Usefulness of aMAP Risk Score for Predicting Recurrence after Curative Treatment for Hepatocellular Carcinoma within Milan Criteria

INTRODUCTION

The aMAP score is a prediction model for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) risk in chronic hepatitis patients. This study was conducted to elucidate the utility of this model for predicting initial recurrence of HCC in patients within the Milan criteria after undergoing curative treatment.

METHODS

Patients with naïve HCC within the Milan criteria (n = 1,020) and treated from January 2000 to August 2022 were enrolled. The cohort was divided into two groups according to the aMAP score (high ≥60, low <60) and then compared for recurrence-free survival (RFS) and overall survival (OS).

RESULTS

Comparisons between the high and low groups showed that etiology (HBV:HCV:HBV+HCV:NBNC = 41:79:2:37 vs. 65:589:11:196, p < 0.001), AST (36 vs. 46 IU/L, p < 0.001), and multiple HCC occurrence (15% vs. 22%, p = 0.026) were significantly different. Additionally, median RFS (59.8 vs. 30.9 months; p < 0.001) and median OS (154.1 vs. 83.4 months, p < 0.01) were greater in the low group. As for patients with HCC due to chronic viral hepatitis, there was a significant difference in median RFS between the groups (59.8 vs. 30.6 months, p < 0.001), especially for HCV-positive patients (53.1 vs. 27.2 months, p = 0.002). In patients with HCC due to a nonviral cause, the difference in median RFS between the low (70.9 months) and high (32.0 months) groups was not significant.

DISCUSSION

Findings of this retrospective study indicate a significant association of elevated aMAP with worse RFS in patients with HCC caused by chronic viral hepatitis, especially those with HCV. The aMAP score is considered useful to predict not only HCC-carcinogenesis risk but also risk of recurrence following curative treatment.

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is changing its face: analysis of the temporal trends in aetiology and clinical patterns of HCC in South Australia

BACKGROUND

The epidemiology of chronic liver disease is changing with the introduction of potent antiviral therapies for chronic hepatitis C virus (HCV) and the increasing prevalence of non-alcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH).

AIM

To establish the impact of this change on the rates and clinical patterns of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in South Australia (SA).

METHODS

Newly diagnosed HCC patients from January 2014 until December 2019 from four tertiary centres in SA were included. The overall age-standardised incidence rates (ASIR) of HCC were calculated using 2016 SA population as the standard. To assess the trends, Join-Point regression models were used to calculate the average annual percentage change (AAPC). Forecasting of overall and aetiology-specific HCC from 2020 to 2024 was performed using linear regression.

RESULTS

There were 626 new cases of HCC in SA (males 80%; median age 64 years) during the study period. There was a significant increase in NASH-related HCC (AAPC: +7.0%; P < 0.05) from 2014 to 2019. However, there were no significant differences in the ASIR for overall HCC (AAPC: -4.1%), HCV-related HCC (AAPC: -8.0%) and stage of HCC diagnosis (AAPC: +3.0%; P > 0.05). Forecasting analysis projected the decline and increase in the incidence of HCV and NASH-related HCC, respectively, over the next few years.

CONCLUSION

Overall ASIR of HCC has plateaued in SA. However, NASH-related HCC has increased significantly and is expected to continue to increase in the near future. Further research and intervention is required to reduce NASH-related HCC, a major contributor to the current and future burden of HCC.

Fibrosis Stage-specific Incidence of Hepatocellular Cancer After Hepatitis C Cure With Direct-acting Antivirals: A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Hepatitis C virus (HCV) eradication with direct-acting antivirals reduces hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) risk. Pooled HCC incidence rates by cirrhosis status and fibrosis stage have not been estimated using meta-analysis.

METHODS

We searched PubMed, Web of Science, Embase, and Cochrane Library from January 1, 2014 to December 31, 2020 to identify studies assessing HCC incidence or outcomes by cirrhosis status, in adults with HCV who achieved sustained virologic response (SVR) after direct-acting antivirals. Pooled estimates were obtained using random-effects modeling. Subgroup, sensitivity, and meta-regression analyses were performed to evaluate heterogeneity.

RESULTS

We included 31 studies involving 27,711 patients with cirrhosis (mean follow-up, 2.1 years) and 11 studies involving 32,123 patients without cirrhosis (mean follow-up, 2.6 years). HCC incidence was 2.99/100 person-years (95% confidence interval [CI], 2.52-3.54; I2 = 75%) in patients with cirrhosis, 0.47/100 person-years (95% CI, 0.32-0.70, I2 = 71%) in patients without cirrhosis, and 0.63/100 person-years (95% CI: 0.34-1.20, I2 = 0%) in stage 3 (F3) fibrosis. Among patients with cirrhosis, HCC incidence was highest in studies with <1 year of follow-up (6.17/100 person-years [95% CI, 3.73-10.19]) and progressively lower in studies with longer follow-up (1-2 years: 2.75/100 person-years [95% CI, 2.48-3.06]; 2-3 years: 2.90/100 person-years [95% CI, 1.90-4.44]; ≥3 years: 1.83/100 person-years [95% CI, 0.88-3.80]).

CONCLUSION

Pooled HCC incidence after SVR in patients with cirrhosis was very high (2.99/100 person-years) but may be declining as longer time accrues after SVR. In patients without cirrhosis, including F3 fibrosis, HCC incidence was lower than thresholds associated with cost-effective HCC screening. In patients with F3 fibrosis, the lack of between-study heterogeneity provides strong evidence that HCC screening may not be warranted.

Machine learning for individualized prediction of hepatocellular carcinoma development after the eradication of hepatitis C virus with antivirals

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Accurate risk stratification for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) after achieving a sustained viral response (SVR) is necessary for optimal surveillance. We aimed to develop and validate a machine learning (ML) model to predict the risk of HCC after achieving an SVR in individual patients.

METHODS

In this multicenter cohort study, 1742 patients with chronic hepatitis C who achieved an SVR were enrolled. Five ML models were developed including DeepSurv, gradient boosting survival analysis, random survival forest (RSF), survival support vector machine, and a conventional Cox proportional hazard model. Model performance was evaluated using Harrel' c-index and was externally validated in an independent cohort (977 patients).

RESULTS

During the mean observation period of 5.4 years, 122 patients developed HCC (83 in the derivation cohort and 39 in the external validation cohort). The RSF model showed the best discrimination ability using seven parameters at the achievement of an SVR with a c-index of 0.839 in the external validation cohort and a high discriminative ability when the patients were categorized into three risk groups (P <0.001). Furthermore, this RSF model enabled the generation of an individualized predictive curve for HCC occurrence for each patient with an app available online.

CONCLUSIONS

We developed and externally validated an RSF model with good predictive performance for the risk of HCC after an SVR. The application of this novel model is available on the website. This model could provide the data to consider an effective surveillance method. Further studies are needed to make recommendations for surveillance policies tailored to the medical situation in each country.

IMPACT AND IMPLICATIONS

A novel prediction model for HCC occurrence in patients after hepatitis C virus eradication was developed using machine learning algorithms. This model, using seven commonly measured parameters, has been shown to have a good predictive ability for HCC development and could provide a personalized surveillance system.

Hepatitis C Elimination: Opportunities and Challenges in 2023

Hepatitis C Virus (HCV) infection is a leading etiology of liver cirrhosis and its associated complications, namely, decompensated cirrhosis. As such, hepatitis C potentially necessitates liver transplantation and may result in death. Recently, HCV treatment has evolved. Current HCV treatment is effective in curing HCV; some of the agents are pan-genotypic. Numerous countries have adopted an initiative to eliminate HCV. Achieving elimination poses many challenges; it requires improved availability and accessibility of pan-genotypic therapy. Barriers exist at the level of the collective healthcare system and at the level of the individual healthcare providers and patients. Therefore, organized national and local efforts are needed. Surmounting these barriers calls for interventions concerning screening, linkage to care, and treatment delivery. Pertinent barriers include inadequate availability of screening, ill-equipped laboratory testing before treatment, and insufficient access to treatment. Interventions should seek to decentralize laboratory testing and treatment provision, increase funding for resources and personnel, and spread awareness. Special consideration should be allocated to at-risk populations, such as intravenous drug users, refugees, and prisoners. Computerized medical filing and telemedicine have the potential to refine HCV management by enhancing detection, availability, accessibility, and cost-effectiveness.

Simple new clinical score to predict hepatocellular carcinoma after sustained viral response with direct-acting antivirals

The time point of the most precise predictor of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) development after viral eradication with direct-acting antiviral (DAA) therapy is unclear. In this study we developed a scoring system that can accurately predict the occurrence of HCC using data from the optimal time point. A total of 1683 chronic hepatitis C patients without HCC who achieved sustained virological response (SVR) with DAA therapy were split into a training set (999 patients) and a validation set (684 patients). The most accurate predictive scoring system to estimate HCC incidence was developed using each of the factors at baseline, end of treatment, and SVR at 12 weeks (SVR12). Multivariate analysis identified diabetes, the fibrosis-4 (FIB-4) index, and the α-fetoprotein level as independent factors at SVR12 that contributed to HCC development. A prediction model was constructed with these factors that ranged from 0 to 6 points. No HCC was observed in the low-risk group. Five-year cumulative incidence rates of HCC were 1.9% in the intermediate-risk group and 15.3% in the high-risk group. The prediction model at SVR12 most accurately predicted HCC development compared with other time points. This simple scoring system combining factors at SVR12 can accurately evaluate HCC risk after DAA treatment.

A people-centered decentralized outreach model toward HCV micro-elimination in hyperendemic areas: COMPACT study in SARS Co-V2 pandemic

OBJECTIVES

Gaps in linkage-to-care remain the barriers toward hepatitis C virus (HCV) elimination in the directly-acting-antivirals (DAA) era, especially during SARS Co-V2 pandemics. We established an outreach project to target HCV micro-elimination in HCV-hyperendemic villages.

METHODS

The COMPACT provided "door-by-door" screening by an "outreach HCV-checkpoint team" and an "outreach HCV-care team" for HCV diagnosis, assessment and DAA therapy in Chidong/Chikan villages between 2019 and 2021. Participants from neighboring villages served as Control group.

RESULTS

A total of 5731 adult residents participated in the project. Anti-HCV prevalence rate was 24.0% (886/3684) in Target Group and 9.5% (194/2047) in Control group (P < 0.001). The HCV-viremic rates among anti-HCV-positive subjects were 42.7% and 41.2%, respectively, in Target and Control groups. After COMPACT engagement, 80.4% (304/378) HCV-viremic subjects in the Target group were successfully linked-to-care, and Control group (70% (56/80), P = 0.039). The rates of link-to-treatment and SVR12 were comparable between Target (100% and 97.4%, respectively) and Control (100% and 96.4%) groups. The community effectiveness was 76.4% in the COMPACT campaign, significantly higher in Target group than in Control group (78.3% versus 67.5%, P = 0.039). The community effectiveness decreased significantly during SARS Co-V2 pandemic in Control group (from 81% to 31.8%, P < 0.001), but not in Target group (80.3% vs. 71.6%, P = 0.104).

CONCLUSIONS

The outreach door-by-door screen strategy with decentralized onsite treatment programs greatly improved HCV care cascade in HCV-hyperendemic areas, a model for HCV elimination in high-risk marginalized communities in SARS Co-V2 pandemic.

Current Hepatitis C Vaccine Candidates Based on the Induction of Neutralizing Antibodies

The introduction of direct-acting antivirals (DAAs) has revolutionized hepatitis C treatment. Short courses of treatment with these drugs are highly beneficial to patients, eliminating hepatitis C virus (HCV) without adverse effects. However, this outstanding success is tempered by the continuing difficulty of eradicating the virus worldwide. Thus, access to an effective vaccine against HCV is strongly needed to reduce the burden of the disease and contribute to the elimination of viral hepatitis. The recent failure of a T-cell vaccine based on the use of viral vectors expressing the HCV non-structural protein sequences to prevent chronic hepatitis C in drug users has pointed out that the induction of neutralizing antibodies (NAbs) will be essential in future vaccine candidates. To induce NAbs, vaccines must contain the main target of this type of antibody, the HCV envelope glycoproteins (E1 and E2). In this review, we summarize the structural regions in E1 and E2 proteins that are targeted by NAbs and how these proteins are presented in the vaccine candidates currently under development.

Risk factors for liver-related and non-liver-related mortality following a sustained virological response after direct-acting antiviral treatment for hepatitis C virus infection in a real-world cohort

A direct-acting antiviral (DAA)-induced sustained virological response (SVR) reduces the risk of mortality. However, the risk factors associated with liver-related and non-liver-related mortality following a SVR after DAA treatment are unclear. We assessed the incidence and risk factors of liver-related and non-liver-related mortality in 1180 patients who achieved a SVR after DAA treatment. During the follow-up period after DAA treatment (median duration, 1099 [range: 84-2345] days), 53 (4.5%) patients died: 15 due to liver-related mortality, 25 due to non-liver-related mortality and 13 due to unknown causes. The all-cause, liver-related and non-liver-related mortality rates were 14.9, 4.2 and 7.0/1000 person-years, respectively. In a multivariate analysis, the development of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) after DAA treatment (p = .009; hazard ratio [HR], 31.484), an estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) at baseline ≤61.68 ml/min/1.73 m2 (p = .015; HR, 6.607), and an α-fetoprotein level post-treatment ≥7.6 ng/ml (p = .041; HR, 18.490) were significantly associated with liver-related mortality. Furthermore, eGFR ≤67.94 ml/min/1.73 m2 at baseline (p = .012; HR, 3.407) and albumin-bilirubin (ALBI) grade ≥ 2 at SVR (p = .024; HR, 3.449) were significantly associated with non-liver-related mortality. Early diagnosis and therapeutic interventions for HCC development after DAA treatment are important to reduce liver-related mortality. The ALBI grade, which reflects the hepatic functional reserve, is a useful predictor of non-liver-related mortality after a SVR induced by DAA treatment. Furthermore, the renal dysfunction caused by metabolic syndrome may affect prognosis even after eliminating hepatitis C virus.

Improved Liver Function After Sustained Virologic Response Enhanced Prognosis in Hepatitis C with Compensated Advanced Liver Fibrosis

BACKGROUND AND AIM

Liver function can be improved in patients with chronic hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection who achieved sustained virologic response (SVR) with direct-acting antiviral (DAA) treatment. However, to our knowledge, the impact of liver function improvement after SVR on prognosis has not been investigated.

METHODS

A total of 716 patients with chronic HCV infection and compensated advanced liver fibrosis who began receiving DAA treatment between September 2014 and August 2018 in 25 Japanese hospitals and achieved SVR were enrolled.

RESULTS

The median age was 73 years, and 336 (47%) and 380 (53%) patients had albumin-bilirubin (ALBI) grade 1 and grade 2, respectively. Improvement to ALBI grade 1 at 1 year after the end of treatment (EOT) was observed in 76% of the patients with baseline ALBI grade 2. Among 380 patients with baseline ALBI grade 2, alanine aminotransferase (ALT) levels ≥ 40 U/L (p < 0.001) and modified ALBI (mALBI) grade 2a (p < 0.001) were significantly associated with improvement to ALBI grade 1 at 1 year after EOT in multivariate analysis. During the median observation period of 51.8 months, 4 and 10 patients with baseline ALBI grade 1 and 2, respectively, died. In patients with baseline ALBI grade 2, only the absence of improvement to ALBI grade 1 at 1 year after EOT was significantly associated with all-cause mortality in univariate analysis.

CONCLUSIONS

Baseline ALT levels and mALBI grade were significantly associated with improvement in liver function after SVR. Patients whose liver function improved after SVR could have better prognosis.

Attacking the public health crisis of hepatocellular carcinoma at its roots

As the third most common cause of cancer-related death worldwide with significant mortality rates in the United States, hepatocellular carcinoma has strong association with cirrhosis and chronic hepatitis B virus (HBV) with a growing at-risk population from the rise in chronic liver disease from alcohol use and nonalcoholic fatty liver disease. Despite this, progress in identifying at-risk individuals and early detection of HCC in these populations have lagged behind treatment advances.The lack of consensus may undermine widespread adoption of surveillance programs, thus preventing HCC detection at a curable stage. This public policy corner piece focuses on opportunities for prevention of HCC by focusing on its principal risk factors: viral hepatitis, NAFLD, and alcohol-related liver disease, and three key action points to reverse the course of this public health crisis: 1) Awareness and education; 2) Screening and diagnosis, and 3) Partnerships and advocacy.

Global burden of primary liver cancer and its association with underlying aetiologies, sociodemographic status, and sex differences from 1990-2019: A DALY-based analysis of the Global Burden of Disease 2019 study

BACKGROUND/AIMS

Global distribution of dominant liver cancer aetiologies has significantly changed over the past decades. This study analyzed the updated temporal trends of liver cancer aetiologies and sociodemographic status in 204 countries and territories from 1990 to 2019.

METHODS

The Global Burden of Disease 2019 report was used for statistical analysis. In addition, we performed stratification analysis to five quintiles using sociodemographic index and 21 geographic regions.

RESULTS

The crude numbers of liver cancer disease-adjusted life years (DALYs) and deaths significantly increased during the study period (DALYs; 11,278,630 in 1990 and 12,528,422 in 2019, deaths; 365,215 in 1990 and 484,577 in 2019). However, the Age-standardized DALY and mortality rates decreased. Hepatitis B virus (HBV) remains the leading cause of liver cancer DALYs and mortality, followed by hepatitis C virus (HCV), alcohol consumption, and non-alcoholic steatohepatitis/non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NASH/NAFLD). Although Age-standardized DALY and mortality rates of liver cancer due to HBV and HCV have decreased, the rates due to alcohol consumption and NASH/NAFLD have increased. In 2019, the population of the East Asia region had the highest Age-standardized DALY and mortality rates, followed by high-income Asia-Pacific and Central Asia populations. Although East Asia and high-income Asia-Pacific regions showed a decrease during the study period, Age-standardized DALY rates increased in Central Asia. High-income North American and Australasian populations also showed a significant increase in Age-standardized DALY.

CONCLUSION

Liver cancer remains an ongoing global threat. The burden of liver cancer associated with alcohol consumption and NASH/NAFLD is markedly increasing and projected to continuously increase.

Association between Liver Stiffness and Liver-Related Events in HCV-Infected Patients after Successful Treatment with Direct-Acting Antivirals

Background and Objectives: Direct-acting antivirals (DAAs) are highly effective for the treatment of chronic hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection, but the risk of liver-related events and hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) remains after successful therapy. We aimed to evaluate post-treatment changes in liver stiffness (LS) and identify a cut-off LS value for predicting such events in chronic HCV-infected patients receiving DAA. Materials and Methods: A total of 185 patients who had achieved sustained virologic response (SVR) after DAA therapy were included. Baseline characteristics and laboratory results were retrospectively abstracted. LS was measured by transient elastography at baseline, 12, 24, 48, and 96 weeks after SVR. FIB-4 index was assessed at baseline and 48 weeks after SVR. Development of liver-related events (hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), portal-hypertension-related decompensation, listing for transplantation, and mortality) after SVR were identified. The association between liver fibrosis and the occurrence of liver-related events was analyzed using Cox regression analysis. Results: Significant differences in LS values were observed between baseline and 24, 48, 72, and 96 weeks after SVR. FIB-4 index at 48 weeks after SVR was significantly lower than the FIB-4 index at baseline. During the 41.6-month follow-up time, the incidence rates of all liver-related events and HCC were 2.36 and 1.17 per 100 person-years, respectively. Age, LS ≥8 kPa, and FIB-4 ≥1.35 at 48 weeks post-SVR were significantly associated with the occurrence of any liver-related events. By multivariate analysis, LS ≥8 kPa at 48 weeks post-SVR remained significantly associated with any liver-related events, with an adjusted hazard ratio (95%CI) of 5.04 (1.01-25.26), p = 0.049. Conclusions: Despite a significant reduction in LS after SVR, patients with LS ≥8 kPa at 48 weeks after SVR should be regularly monitored for liver-related complications, particularly HCC development.

Outcomes and Follow-Up after Hepatitis C Eradication with Direct-Acting Antivirals

Treatment of hepatitis C (HCV) has been revolutionized with the introduction of direct-acting antivirals (DAAs). Patients can be treated at more advanced stages of liver disease, with a growing number of cirrhotic patients achieving sustained virological response (SVR). Long-term outcomes for cured patients and the optimal follow-up care of patients after SVR are yet to be defined, because most studies on cirrhotic patients cured with DAAs have a short follow-up period. There are many open questions related to patient management after viral eradication with DAAs, such as which could be the most reliable non-invasive tool to predict liver-related complications, or to what extent viral eradication reduces the risk of liver disease progression in the long term. Growing evidence supports the personalization of follow-up care based on individual risk. The aim of this narrative review is to analyze the impact of viral eradication with DAAs on clinically significant portal hypertension, hepatocellular carcinoma, and extrahepatic manifestations, as well as to summarize indications for optimal follow-up care of HCV patients treated with DAAs.

Comparison of acknowledged hepatocellular carcinoma risk scores in high-risk hepatitis C patients with sustained virological response

Hepatitis C patients with advanced fibrosis or cirrhosis are at high risk of developing hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) even after sustained virological response (SVR). Several HCC risk scores have been developed but which one is most suitable for this population is unclear. In this study, we compared the prediction ability of the aMAP model, THRI model, PAGE-B model and Models of HCV in a prospective hepatitis C cohort in order to propose better model(s) to clinical practice. Adult hepatitis C patients with baseline advanced fibrosis (141 cases), compensated cirrhosis (330 cases) and decompensated cirrhosis (80 cases) were included and followed up every 6 months for about 7 years or until HCC development. Demographic data, medical history and laboratory results were recorded. HCCs were diagnosed by radiography, AFP or liver histology. The median follow-up period was 69.93(60.99-74.93) months, during which 53 (9.62%) patients developed HCC. The areas under the receiver operating characteristic curve of aMAP, THRI, PAGE-B and Models of HCV scores were 0.74, 0.72, 0.70 and 0.63 respectively. The predictive power of the aMAP model score was comparable to that of THRI, PAGE-Band higher than that of Models of HCV (p < 0.05). Dividing patients into non-high-risk and high-risk groups, the cumulative incidence rates of HCC based on aMAP, THRI, PAGE-B and Models of HCV was 5.57% vs. 24.17%, 1.10% vs. 13.90%, 5.80% vs. 15.90% and 6.41% vs. 13.81% (all p < 0.05). The AUC of the four models were all below 0.7 in male while all were higher than 0.7 in female. The performance of all the models was not influenced by fibrosis stage. aMAP, THRI model and PAGE-B model were all performed well while THRI model and PAGE-B model were easier to calculate. There was no need to select score according to fibrosis stage but should be caution when explain the results in male patients.

Fib-4 index predicts prognosis after achievement of sustained virologic response following direct-acting antiviral treatment in patients with hepatitis C virus infection

OBJECTIVES

Toinvestigate liver carcinogenesis and other causes of death by collecting clinical data, including the Fib-4 index, from patients with successfully eradicated hepatitis C virus (HCV) by direct-acting antivirals (DAA) treatment.

METHODS

Patients ( n  = 690), who achieved a sustained virologic response (SVR) between 2014 and 2021, were identified and followed up for approximately 6.8 years; 71 incident hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) cases were identified. The Fib-4 index was calculated at DAA-treatment initiation and HCV eradication, and its relationship with carcinogenesis and prognosis was analyzed.

RESULTS

The Fib-4 index was initially calculated and divided into three groups: Fib-4<1.45, 1.45 ≤ Fib-4<3.25, and 3.25 ≤ Fib-4 to develop HCC over time. On analysis, no carcinogenic cases were observed at Fib-4<1.45. In patients with a Fib-4 index ≥3.25, the initial HCC carcinogenic rate was higher than that in patients with Fib-4=1.45-3.25, and a significant difference was obtained between the two groups [ P  = 0.0057 (<1.45 vs. >3.25); P  = 0.0004 (<1.45-3.25 vs. >3.25)]. Regarding all 18 death and Fib-4 at treatment initiation, a significant difference was observed after stratification into two groups [Fib-4 < 3.25 and 3.25 ≤ Fib-4; P  = 0.0136 (<3.25 vs. ≥3.25)]. Significant differences were obtained in another analysis of 13 deaths, not due to HCC.

CONCLUSIONS

The high Fib-4 index calculated at baseline and SVR12 significantly correlated not only with liver carcinogenesis but also with all mortality rates, including those due to causes other than liver cancer. Our findings suggest that improving liver fibrosis by eradicating HCV improves prognosis related to all etiologies.

Impact of Interferon-Free Direct-Acting Antivirals on the Incidence of Extrahepatic Malignancies in Patients with Chronic Hepatitis C

BACKGROUND

The incidence of extrahepatic malignancies (EHMs) after hepatitis C virus (HCV) eradication by interferon (IFN)-based and IFN-free direct-acting antivirals (DAAs) treatment remains unclear.

AIMS

The aim was to evaluate the cumulative incidence of EHMs diagnosed for the first time after the antiviral treatments.

METHODS

We analyzed a total 527 patients with chronic HCV infection and without prior history of any malignancies who achieved sustained virological response by antiviral treatments, including IFN-based (n = 242) or IFN-free DAAs (n = 285). The baseline predictors for EHM occurrence were analyzed using Cox regression analysis.

RESULTS

Thirty-two patients were diagnosed with EHMs, 14 in IFN-based and 18 in IFN-free DAAs, respectively. The total duration of follow-up was 1,796 person-years in IFN-based and 823 person-years in IFN-free DAAs. The incidence of EHMs in IFN-based and IFN-free DAAs was 7.8 and 21.9 per 1,000 person-years, respectively. The cumulative incidence of EHMs was significantly higher in IFN-free DAAs than IFN-based (p = 0.002). IFN-free DAAs was a single independent predictor for incidence of EHMs (p = 0.012). As for gender, the incidence of EHMs was significantly higher in IFN-free DAAs only in the female cohort (p = 0.002). After propensity score matching, IFN-free DAAs was a single independent predictor for incidence of EHMs in the female patients (p = 0.045).

CONCLUSIONS

The incidence of EHMs after HCV eradication is higher in IFN-free DAAs than IFN-based regimens, especially in female patients. We should carefully follow-up not only HCC but also EHMs after IFN-free DAAs regimens.

Simple Predictive Markers and Clinicopathological Features of Primary Liver Cancer following HCV Clearance with Direct-Acting Antivirals

INTRODUCTION

Simple predictive markers enabling even nonspecialized medical doctors and clinicopathological features of primary liver cancer (PLC) following HCV clearance with direct-acting antivirals (DAAs) are unclear.

METHODS

The subjects of this retrospective study were 2,476 patients following HCV clearance with DAAs. All patients were confirmed to be PLC-free before and during DAAs.

RESULTS

PLC was diagnosed in 73 patients during the follow-up, with an incidence rate per 1 000 person-years of 5.9. The annual rate of PLC during the first 6 years was 0.6%. Multivariate analysis identified gender, GGT, and FIB-4 index as the significant determinants of PLC. According to a combination of these risk factors, the cumulative PLC incidence rates were significantly different among the five subgroups based on the number of PLC risk scores. In 73 patients with PLC, the rates of abnormal AFP, PIVKAII, and serum TERT C228T positive were 37.0, 32.4, and 22.2%. PIVKAII levels in BCLC stage A and B were significantly higher than those in stage 0. In 41 patients, who underwent surgical resection for PLC, maximum tumor diameters of abnormal PIVKAII were significantly larger than those of normal PIVKAII. PLC of abnormal PIVKAII significantly indicated presence of vp more than that of normal PIVKAII, and did not contain well-differentiated HCC.

CONCLUSIONS

Combination of simple markers, enabling even nonspecialized medical doctors, is useful for the evaluation of PLC risk following HCV clearance with DAAs. However, imaging studies are regularly recommended for the early detection of PLC.

Association of Direct-Acting Antiviral Therapy With Liver and Nonliver Complications and Long-term Mortality in Patients With Chronic Hepatitis C

IMPORTANCE

Chronic hepatitis C (CHC) and its complications are associated with high rates of morbidity and mortality. However, large-scale data analysis of the long-term liver and nonliver effects of direct-acting antiviral (DAA) treatment has been limited.

OBJECTIVE

To assess the association of hepatitis C virus elimination through DAA treatment with the risk of liver and nonliver morbidity and mortality during long-term follow-up among a large nationwide cohort of insured patients with CHC in the US.

DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS

This was a retrospective cohort study of 245 596 adult patients with CHC using data from the Optum Clinformatics Data Mart database, 2010 to 2021. Of the total cohort, 40 654 patients had received 1 or more prescriptions for DAA medication (without interferon), and 204 942 patients were untreated.

EXPOSURE

Treatment with a DAA.

MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES

Incidence of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), liver decompensation, relevant nonliver events (nonliver cancer, diabetes, chronic kidney disease, cardiovascular disease), and overall mortality.

RESULTS

The DAA-treated cohort (vs untreated) were older (mean [SD] age, 59.9 [10.8] vs 58.5 [13.0] years; P < .001); more likely to be male (25 060 [62%] vs 119 727 [58%] men; P < .001) and White (23 937 [59%] vs 115 973 [57%]; P < .001) individuals; and more likely to have diabetes (10 680 [26%] vs 52 091 [25%]; P < .001) or cirrhosis (17 971 [44%] vs 60 094 [29%]; P < .001). Comparing DAA-treated with untreated patients, the incidence (per 1000 person-years) of liver outcomes (eg, decompensation, 28.2 [95% CI, 27.0-29.4] vs 40.8 [95% CI, 40.1-41.5]; P < .001, and HCC in compensated cirrhosis, 20.1 [95% CI, 18.4-21.9] vs 41.8 [95% CI, 40.3-43.3]; P < .001) and nonliver outcomes (eg, diabetes, 30.2 [95% CI, 35.4-37.7] vs 37.2 [95% CI, 36.6-37.9]; P < .001; and chronic kidney disease, 31.1 [95% CI, 29.9-32.2] vs 34.1 [95% CI, 33.5-34.7]; P < .001) were significantly lower in treated patients. The all-cause mortality rates per 1000 person-years were also significantly lower in DAA-treated compared with untreated patients (mortality, 36.5 [95% CI, 35.4-37.7] vs 64.7 [95% CI, 63.9-65.4]; P < .001). In multivariable regression analysis, DAA treatment was independently associated with a significant decrease in the risk of liver (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR] for HCC, 0.73; decompensation, 0.36), nonliver (aHR for diabetes, 0.74; chronic kidney disease, 0.81; cardiovascular disease, 0.90; nonliver cancer, 0.89), and mortality outcomes (aHR, 0.43).

CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE

The findings of this retrospective cohort study indicate that DAA treatment for insured patients with CHC was associated with improved liver- and nonliver outcomes, and ultimately, with long-term overall survival.

Long-term Follow-up of Hepatitis C Patients Who Achieved Sustained Virologic Response in the Pragmatic PRIORITIZE Study

Multiple real-world studies have confirmed the safety and efficacy of hepatitis C (HCV) direct-acting antivirals (DAAs); however, few studies have provided data on long-term outcomes of patients without cirrhosis after achieving sustained virologic response (SVR).1-3 The aims of this analysis were to describe, among individuals in the PRIORITIZE Study achieving SVR: (1) the frequency of laboratory testing and imaging during long-term follow-up (LTFU), (2) changes in liver tests, (3) occurrence of hepatic decompensation or hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) and deaths, and (4) durability of SVR.

Prospective Comparison of Hepatocellular Carcinoma Behavior and Survival of Patients who Did or Did not Receive HCV Direct-Acting Antivirals

BACKGROUND & AIMS

The safety and efficacy of hepatitis C (HCV) direct-acting antivirals (DAAs) have been established in several real-world trials; however, some reports have claimed an association between DAAs and hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) occurrence or aggressive behavior. We aimed to prospectively examine differences in de-novo HCC tumor behavior and overall survival (OS) in DAAs-treated versus HCV-untreated patients as measured by BCLC progression during a two-year follow-up period.

METHODS

This multicenter cohort study recruited 523 patients with de-novo HCV-related HCC. After exclusion criteria were applied, 353 patients were placed into; Group 1, including 236 patients without a history of DAAs therapy, and Group 2 including 117 patients with de-novo HCC developed after receiving DAAs. Patients were then stratified in each group according to BCLC staging (Liver, 2018). All patients received standard of care management and were followed until death or a maximum of 2 years.

RESULTS

No statistically significant differences were observed between the two groups regarding tumor characteristics (number and size of lesions) and criteria for aggressiveness upon presentation. Among all BCLC stages, DAAs treated patients showed significantly lower baseline Fib4 values than DAA untreated patients in BCLC-0 stage (4.1 vs 7.7, p 0.019). No statistically significant differences were evident in HCC progression in the different BCLC stages at 12 and 24 months follow up periods (p 0.0718 and 0.279 respectively). Significantly better survival was recorded in Group 1 compared to Group 2 patients for BCLC stages C and D (p = 0.003 and 0.01, respectively).

CONCLUSION

HCC may develop at an earlier stage of liver disease after DAAs therapy. No defensive role was found for DAAs treatment in delaying HCC progression that occurs after viral eradication.
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Decision tree algorithm predicts hepatocellular carcinoma among chronic hepatitis C patients following viral eradication

Successful eradication of the hepatitis C virus (HCV) cannot eliminate the risk of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Next-generation RNA sequencing provides comprehensive genomic insights into the pathogenesis of HCC. Artificial intelligence has opened a new era in precision medicine. This study integrated clinical features and genetic biomarkers to establish a machine learning-based HCC model following viral eradication. A prospective cohort of 55 HCV patients with advanced fibrosis, who achieved a sustained virologic response after antiviral therapy, was enrolled. The primary outcome was the occurrence of HCC. The genomic signatures of peripheral blood mononuclear cells (PBMC) were determined by RNA sequencing at baseline and 24 weeks after end-of-treatment. Machine learning algorithms were implemented to extract the predictors of HCC. HCC occurred in 8 of the 55 patients, with an annual incidence of 2.7%. Pretreatment PBMC DEFA1B, HBG2, ADCY4, and posttreatment TAS1R3, ABCA3, and FOSL1 genes were significantly downregulated, while the pretreatment ANGPTL6 gene was significantly upregulated in the HCC group compared to that in the non-HCC group. A gene score derived from the result of the decision tree algorithm can identify HCC with an accuracy of 95.7%. Gene score = TAS1R3 (≥0.63 FPKM, yes/no = 0/1) + FOSL1 (≥0.27 FPKM, yes/no = 0/1) + ABCA3 (≥2.40 FPKM, yes/no = 0/1). Multivariate Cox regression analysis showed that this gene score was the most important predictor of HCC (hazard ratio = 2.38, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 1.06-5.36, P = 0.036). Combining the gene score and fibrosis-4 index, a nomogram was constructed to predict the probability of HCC with an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve up to 0.950 (95% CI = 0.888-1.000, P = 7.0 × 10-5). Decision curve analysis revealed that the nomogram had a net benefit in HCC detection. The calibration curve showed that the nomogram had optimal concordance between the predicted and actual HCC probabilities. In conclusion, down-regulated posttreatment PBMC TAS1R3, ABCA3, and FOSL1 expression were significantly correlated with HCC development after HCV eradication. Decision-tree-based algorithms can refine the assessment of HCC risk for personalized HCC surveillance.

Thrombospondin-2 as a Predictive Biomarker for Hepatocellular Carcinoma after Hepatitis C Virus Elimination by Direct-Acting Antiviral

We evaluated the value of secreted glycoprotein thrombospondin-2 (TSP-2) to predict hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) occurrence in chronic hepatitis C (CHC) patients after Hepatitis C virus (HCV) elimination by direct-acting antiviral agents (DAAs). A total of 786 CHC patients without an HCC history who achieved a sustained virological response (SVR) with DAAs were randomly assigned 2:1, with 524 patients as the derivation cohort and 262 patients as the validation cohort. Serum TSP-2 levels at the end of treatment were measured by enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay (ELISA). In the derivation cohort, the cumulative HCC rate was significantly higher in the high TSP-2 group than in the low TSP-2 group. Multivariate Cox proportional hazards analysis revealed that TSP-2, α-fetoprotein (AFP), and the fibrosis-4 (FIB-4) index were independent HCC risk factors. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) of the score calculated from these three factors (AFT score) for predicting HCC was 0.83, which was significantly higher than that of each factor alone (TSP-2: 0.70, AFP: 0.72, FIB-4: 0.69). The AFT score was used to stratify patients according to the risk of HCC occurrence in the validation cohort. Lastly, in patients with a FIB-4 index < 3.25, the serum TSP-2 levels could be used to identify those patients with a high risk of HCC occurrence. Serum TSP-2 levels are a predictive biomarker of HCC occurrence in CHC patients after HCV elimination by DAA treatment. The AFT score using TSP-2, AFP, and the FIB-4 index may identify those who require HCC surveillance.

Serum Angiopoietin-2 Predicts the Occurrence and Recurrence of Hepatocellular Carcinoma after Direct-Acting Antiviral Therapy for Hepatitis C

Progressive liver fibrosis after anti-HCV treatment is a risk factor for HCC. Angiopoietin-2 (Ang2) is associated with non-regression of liver fibrosis after direct-acting antiviral (DAA). This study evaluated the predictive value of serum Ang2 levels for HCC occurrence or recurrence after DAA administration. In this retrospective study, 310 HCV-infected patients treated with DAAs in 2014-2020 were screened and evaluated for HCC occurrence or recurrence every three-six months. Multivariate Cox regression analysis revealed that age ≥ 75 years (HR: 2.92, 95% CI: 1.34-6.33; p = 0.007) and baseline Ang2 level ≥ 464 pg/mL (HR: 2.75, 95% CI: 1.18-6.37; p = 0.019) were significantly associated with HCC occurrence after DAA therapy. A high or low risk of HCC after DAA therapy could be distinguished by the combination of age and baseline Ang2 level. The cumulative incidences of de-novo HCC at two and four years were 0.8% and 3.8% in the low-risk group and 22.6% and 27.1% in the high-risk group, respectively. Baseline Ang2 level ≥ 402 pg/mL was significantly associated with HCC recurrence in patients who achieved sustained virological response with DAAs (HR: 3.68). In conclusion, serum Ang2 levels can predict HCC occurrence and recurrence after successful HCV eradication by DAAs.

Comparing Predictability of Non-invasive Tools for Hepatocellular Carcinoma in Treated Chronic Hepatitis C Patients

BACKGROUND

Non-invasive tools including liver stiffness measurement (LSM) or FIB-4, assessed before or after direct acting antivirals (DAA), have been suggested to predict hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC).

AIMS

This study aims to compare predictability of HCC by these methods at different time points, to validate the HCC surveillance suggestion by guidelines, and to propose personalized strategy.

METHODS

Chronic hepatitis C whose LSM and FIB-4 were available at pretherapy and after sustained virological response (SVR) were enrolled. Advanced chronic liver disease (ACLD) was defined as pretherapy LSM ≥ 10 kPa or FIB-4 index ≥ 3.25 or ultrasound signs of cirrhosis plus platelet count < 150,000/μL. The predictabilities were compared by area under ROC. The cumulative HCC incidences were calculated by Kaplan-Meier analysis.

RESULTS

Among 466 ACLD patients, 40 patients developed HCC during a follow-up duration of 26.8 months. Comparable predictive performances for HCC between LSM and FIB-4 at pretherapy and SVR were noted. By guidelines suggestion using pretherapy LSM = 10 kPa (advanced fibrosis) and 13 kPa (cirrhosis) for risk stratification, the annual HCC incidences of those with LSM of < 10, 10-12.9 and ≥ 13 kPa were 1.1, 3.6, and 5.0%, respectively. Combination of baseline LSM < 12 kPa and SVR FIB-4 < 3.7 could further stratify relatively low risk of HCC in ACLD patients of annal incidence of 1.2%.

CONCLUSIONS

ACLD patients who met advanced fibrosis but not cirrhosis by guidelines' cut-offs still posed high risk of HCC. Baseline LSM with SVR FIB-4 can be applied to stratify low, intermediate, and high risk of HCC for personalizing surveillance strategies after SVR.

Liver-related complications before and after successful treatment of chronic hepatitis C virus infection in people with inherited bleeding disorders

INTRODUCTION

With availability of direct-acting antivirals (DAA), most persons with inherited bleeding disorders are currently cured of hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection. The risk of liver-related complications following HCV cure has not been reported for this population.

AIM

Reporting liver-related complications during long-term chronic HCV infection and following sustained virological response (SVR) in this population.

METHODS

Retrospective follow-up of a prospective single-centre cohort of HCV antibody-positive persons with inherited bleeding disorders. Primary endpoint was liver-related complications [hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), decompensated cirrhosis, bleeding gastroesophageal varices]. Liver-related complications were reported separately during chronic HCV and following SVR, stratified for interferon-based and DAA-based SVR.

RESULTS

In total 309/381 (81%) HCV antibody-positive individuals developed chronic HCV infection. Median follow-up was 44 years [interquartile range (IQR): 34-50]. Liver-related complications occurred in 36/309 (12%) of individuals with chronic HCV infection after median 31 years of chronic infection. Of 199 individuals with SVR, 97 were cured with interferon-based regimens and 102 with DAA after median infection durations of 29 and 45 years, respectively. At end of follow-up, respectively, 21% and 42% had advanced fibrosis or cirrhosis. Post-SVR, seven (4%) individuals had a liver-related complication, mainly HCC (n = 4). Incidence of liver-related complications per 100 patient-years post-SVR follow-up was .2 for interferon-cured and 1.0 for DAA-cured individuals (p = .01).

CONCLUSION

Successful HCV treatment does not eliminate the risk of liver-related complications in persons with inherited bleeding disorders. Due to higher baseline risk, incidence was higher after DAA than interferon-based SVR. We advise continuing HCC surveillance post-SVR in all with advanced fibrosis or cirrhosis.

Repeated Measurement of FIB-4 to Predict Long-Term Risk of HCC Development Up to 10 Years After SVR

PURPOSE

It is unclear whether and how the long-term risk of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) will change in hepatitis C virus (HCV) infected patients who have reached sustained virologic response (SVR) with direct-acting antivirals (DAA). In this study, we assessed the long-term risk of HCC up to 10 years after SVR using fibrosis 4 score (FIB-4) and its dynamic changes.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

A total of 701 DAA-treated patients who achieved SVR between January 2012 to October 2020 were enrolled in the study. The FIB-4 score of each patient was measured at the date of SVR and each follow-up visit annually. Patients were followed until December 31, 2021, with the longest follow-up time being 9.82 years.

RESULTS

Following SVR, 27 cases of HCC were observed. The annual incidence rate of HCC remained stable with no obvious downward trend. Patients with a FIB-4 >3.25 at baseline or anytime during follow-up were at a higher risk of developing HCC than those whose FIB-4 remained below 3.25. Patients with cirrhosis and patients with no cirrhosis but a FIB-4 >3.25 were at higher risk of developing HCC than patients with no cirrhosis and a FIB-4 ≦3.25.

CONCLUSION

FIB-4 >3.25 measured at SVR or any time post-SVR was associated with HCC risks. The repeated measurement of FIB-4 revealed a better predictive ability of HCC risks than the simple measurement of FIB-4 at baseline. The additional stratification of patients by combining FIB-4 and cirrhosis leads to more accurately identifying high-risk patients. Surveillance of HCC is recommended for virologically cured patients with a FIB-4 >3.25 at SVR or anytime afterward and patients diagnosed with cirrhosis.

Hepatocellular carcinoma: measures to improve the outlook in sub-Saharan Africa

Hepatocellular carcinoma is a leading public health concern in sub-Saharan Africa, and it is most prevalent in young adults (median 45 years [IQR 35-57]). Overall, outcomes are poor, with a median survival of 2·5 months after presentation. Major risk factors for hepatocellular carcinoma are hepatitis B virus (HBV), hepatitis C virus, aflatoxin B1 exposure, and alcohol consumption, with metabolic dysfunction-associated fatty liver disease slowly emerging as a risk factor over the past few years. Crucially, these risk factors are preventable and manageable with effective implementation of the HBV birth-dose vaccination, treatment of chronic viral hepatitis, provision of harm reduction services, and by decreasing aflatoxin B1 exposure and harmful alcohol consumption. Primary prevention is central to the management of hepatocellular carcinoma, especially in poorly resourced environments. Effective screening and surveillance programmes with recall policies need to be implemented, because detection and curative management of hepatocellular carcinoma is possible if it is detected at an early stage, even in countries with minimal resources, with appropriate upskilling of medical personnel. The establishment of centres of excellence with advanced diagnostic and therapeutic capabilities within countries should improve hepatocellular carcinoma outcomes and assist in driving the implementation of much needed systematic data systems focused on hepatocellular carcinoma to establish the accurate burden in sub-Saharan Africa. Such data would support the public health importance of hepatocellular carcinoma and provide a strong basis for advocacy, programme development, resource allocation, and monitoring of progress in reducing mortality.

Hypergammaglobulinemia before Starting DAA Therapy Is A Strong Predictor of Disease Progression in Cirrhotic Patients Even after HCV Clearance

The predictive factors of long-term clinical benefits in patients with hepatitis C virus (HCV)—related liver cirrhosis after Direct Antiviral Agents (DAA) treatment are still undefined. The aim of this study was to identify any predictors of liver failure, hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) and/or death in patients with compensated liver cirrhosis who achieved the sustained virological response (SVR). To this purpose, 324 consecutive cirrhotic patients who started DAA treatment from 1 April 2015 to 31 December 2016 were retrospectively analyzed. All patients were followed up for a median time of 63 months (range 19−77) through clinical/biochemical/instrumental examinations performed at baseline and after stopping the DAA treatment. At the end of the evaluation, 230 (71%) individuals showed stable clinical liver disease over time, 43 (13.3%) developed HCC, and 24 (7.4%) developed hepatic decompensation without HCC. Overall, 49 (15,1%) patients died. Multivariate regression analysis showed that hepatic decompensation was significantly associated with at baseline older age, higher liver stiffness, higher spleen longitudinal size values and hypergammaglobulinemia (p = 0.003, p = 0.005, p = 0.001, p = 0.029, respectively). HCC development was significantly associated with hypergammaglobulinemia (p < 0.001). Death was associated with older age and hypergammaglobulinemia (p < 0.001 and p = 0.007, respectively). Finally, survival analysis confirmed that patients with gamma globulin levels ≥ 1.8 gr/dl had a significantly higher risk of death compared to those with gamma globulin levels < 1.8 gr/dl (p < 0.001). In conclusion, hypergammaglobulinemia before starting DAA therapy represents a strong predictor of hepatic decompensation, HCC and death in cirrhotic patients even after HCV clearance.

Direct-Acting Antiviral Therapy for Hepatitis C Virus in Patients with BCLC Stage B/C Hepatocellular Carcinoma

BACKGROUND

The benefits of hepatitis C virus (HCV)eradication for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients in Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer (BCLC) stage B/C remain uncertain.

METHODS

In this hospital-based cohort study, all HCV-infected patients with BCLC stage B/C HCC during the period January 2017 to March 2021 were retrospectively screened, with 97 patients who had completed direct-acting antiviral (DAA) therapy being enrolled for final analysis.

RESULTS

In total, the sustained virological response (SVR) rate was 90.7%. In logistic regression analysis, progressive disease (PD) to prior tumor treatments was significantly associated with SVR failure (odds ratio 5.59, 95% CI 1.30-24.06, p = 0.021). Furthermore, the overall survival (OS) rate was significantly higher in the SVR group than that in the non-SVR group (1-year OS: 87.5% vs. 57.1%, p = 0.001). SVR was found to be an independent factor related to OS (hazard ratio 8.42, 95% CI 2.93-24.19, p = 0.001). However, even upon achieving SVR, the OS rates in BCLC stage C or Child-Pugh stage B patients remained poor.

CONCLUSIONS

In BCLC stage B/C HCC, DAA could achieve a high SVR rate except in those patients with PD to prior HCC treatments. SVR was related to improvements in OS; therefore, DAA therapy should be encouraged for patients diagnosed without a short life expectancy.

Outcomes of Interferon-free Treatment of Hepatitis C Virus Infection Seven Years after Approval and Problems with Drop out during and after Treatment: A Retrospective, Single-center Study

Objective This retrospective, single-center study assessed the effects of interferon (IFN)-free treatment of hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection, which has been approved for seven years; calculated the incidence of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) after achieving a sustained virologic response (SVR); and elucidated problems with follow-up for surveillance of post-SVR HCC, particularly the impact of the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic. Methods We summarized the SVR achievement rate of 286 HCV-infected patients who received 301 IFN-free treatments and analyzed the cumulative incidence of initial HCC and the cumulative continuation rate of follow-up after SVR in the 253 patients who achieved SVR and did not have a history of HCC. Results Among 286 patients who received IFN-free treatments, 14 dropped out, and the 272 remaining patients achieved an SVR after receiving up to third-line treatment. Post-SVR HCC occurred in 18 (7.1%) of the 253 patients without a history of HCC, with a cumulative incidence at 3 and 5 years after SVR of 6.6% and 10.0%, respectively; the incidence of cirrhosis at those time points was 18.2% and 24.6%, respectively.Of the 253 patients analyzed, 58 (22.9%) discontinued follow-up after SVR. Patients who had no experience with IFN-based therapy tended to drop out after SVR. Notably, the number of dropouts per month has increased since the start of the pandemic. Conclusion Currently, IFN-free treatment is showing great efficacy. However, the incidence of HCC after SVR should continue to be monitored. In this study, the COVID-19 pandemic did not affect treatment outcomes, but it may affect surveillance for post-SVR HCC.

Clinicopathological assessment of steatohepatitic hepatocellular carcinoma

AIM

To compare the clinicopathological features of typical steatohepatitic HCC (SH-HCC) with other HCCs.

METHODS

Subjects were 486 patients with untreated HCC who underwent hepatectomy at our hospital from January 2015 to December 2020. We compared patient backgrounds, preoperative laboratory data, imaging findings (ultrasonography, computed tomography [CT], and magnetic resonance imaging [MRI]), and postoperative pathological findings (tumor and background of liver). The Liver Imaging Reporting And Data System (LI-RADS) was used to examine CT and MRI findings.

RESULTS

Typical SH-HCCs were significantly different from other HCCs with respect to age, hepatitis B virus (HBV) infection, and nonalcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH). Diabetes and hyperlipidemia were also significantly more common. Regarding histopathology, tumor size and background steatosis were significantly different between groups. Although ultrasonography, CT, and MRI could each alone diagnose SH-HCCs with a diameter < 20 mm in ≥ 50% of patients, the combined use of these tests improved diagnostic accuracy. By LI-RADS, 87% of SH-HCC cases were classified as LR-5, which are considered to be malignant tumors.

CONCLUSIONS

It seems possible to diagnose SH-HCC by combining ultrasonography, CT, and MRI.

Molecular pathogenesis: Connections between viral hepatitis-induced and non-alcoholic steatohepatitis-induced hepatocellular carcinoma

Hepatocellular carcinoma(HCC) is the sixth most common cancer in the world and is usually caused by viral hepatitis (HBV and HCV), alcoholic, and non-alcoholic fatty liver disease(NAFLD). Viral hepatitis accounts for 80% of HCC cases worldwide. In addition, With the increasing incidence of metabolic diseases, NAFLD is now the most common liver disease and a major risk factor for HCC in most developed countries. This review mainly described the specificity and similarity between the pathogenesis of viral hepatitis(HBV and HCV)-induced HCC and NAFLD-induced HCC. In general, viral hepatitis promotes HCC development mainly through specific encoded viral proteins. HBV can also exert its tumor-promoting mechanism by integrating into the host chromosome, while HCV cannot. Viral hepatitis-related HCC and NASH-related HCC differ in terms of genetic factors, and epigenetic modifications (DNA methylation, histone modifications, and microRNA effects). In addition, both of them can lead to HCC progression through abnormal lipid metabolism, persistent inflammatory response, immune and intestinal microbiome dysregulation.

Immunotherapy for nonalcoholic fatty liver disease-related hepatocellular carcinoma: Lights and shadows

About one-fourth of adults globally suffer from nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD), which is becoming a leading cause of chronic liver disease worldwide. Its prevalence has rapidly increased in recent years, and is projected to increase even more. NAFLD is a leading cause of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), the sixth-most prevalent cancer worldwide and the fourth most common cause of cancer-related death. Although the molecular basis of HCC onset in NAFLD is not completely known, inflammation is a key player. The tumor microenvironment (TME) is heterogeneous in patients with HCC, and is characterized by complex interactions between immune system cells, tumor cells and other stromal and resident liver cells. The etiology of liver disease plays a role in controlling the TME and modulating the immune response. Markers of immune suppression in the TME are associated with a poor prognosis in several solid tumors. Immunotherapy with immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs) has become the main option for treating cancers, including HCC. However, meta-analyses have shown that patients with NAFLD-related HCC are less likely to benefit from therapy based on ICIs alone. Conversely, the addition of an angiogenesis inhibitor showed better results regarding the objective response rate and progression-free survival. Adjunctive diagnostic and therapeutic strategies, such as the application of novel biomarkers and the modulation of gut microbiota, should be considered in the future to guide personalized medicine and improve the response to ICIs in patients with NAFLD-related HCC.

Declining disease burden of HCC in the United States, 1992-2017: A population-based analysis

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

The incidence of HCC has recently been consistently reported to decline in the United States. However, decreased overall mortality of HCC has just been suggested and needs further examination.

APPROACH AND RESULTS

Using data from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results databases, we assessed HCC incidence, incidence-based mortality (IBM), and 1-year survival rates from 1992 through 2017 in the United States. These secular trends were analyzed using the National Cancer Institute's Joinpoint Regression Program. Age-period-cohort analyses were performed to address underlying reasons for the observed temporal trends. The incidence and mortality of liver cancer in the United States by different etiologies were acquired from the Global Burden of Disease study (1990-2019) as a likely validation set. Joinpoint and age-period-cohort analyses were performed by etiologies. The incidence rates of HCC increased during 1992-2011 and sharply decreased thereafter by -2.3% annually (95% CI: -3.5% to -1.1%). IBM peaked in 2013 (age-standardized mortality rate: 6.98 per 100,000 person-years) in the US population. IBM started to decrease significantly in 2013 by -3.2%/year (95% CI: -5.4% to -1.1% per year) after a continuous increase of 3.5% annually during 1993-2013. Overall, the 1-year survival of HCC improved from 21.4% to 56.6% over the study period. However, the highest HCC incidence and mortality risk for patients aged 60-69 and born between 1952-1957 were found.

CONCLUSIONS

We found significantly decreased overall HCC-specific mortality since 2013 in the US population, along with decreased incidence and continuously improved survival. The changing etiologies, advances in screening and diagnosis, and improved treatment modality and allocation might all contribute to the downward trends of the disease burden of HCC in the United States.

Effect of Direct-Acting Antiviral Agents on Gastroesophageal Varices in Patients with Hepatitis C Virus-Related Cirrhosis

Aim: In patients with hepatitis C virus-related liver cirrhosis (LC) who achieve sustained virological responses (SVRs) through treatment with direct-acting antiviral agents (DAAs), it remains unclear whether there are improvements in gastroesophageal varices (GEVs) and portal hypertension. We investigated changes in liver function and GEVs that occurred after DAA therapy. Materials and Methods: We evaluated the medical records of 195 patients with hepatitis C virus-related LC who received DAAs. A total of 171 patients achieved SVRs, among whom 36 had GEVs before or after receiving DAA therapy. The liver function, fibrosis, and GEVs were re-evaluated every 6 months after receiving DAA therapy. The risk factors for progressive GEVs were investigated. Results: DAA therapy resulted in improvements in liver function (indicated by aspartate transaminase, alanine transaminase, and serum albumin levels) and fibrosis (indicated by type IV collagen levels and the Fibrosis-4 index). After receiving DAA therapy, 27 patients had stable GEVs and 9 had progressive GEVs. With respect to GEV grades before DAA therapy, there was a significant difference between patients with stable and progressive GEVs (p = 0.027). Presence of grade-2 GEVs before starting DAA therapy was a risk factor for GEV progression (odds ratio: 5.83; p = 0.04). Patients with grade-2 GEVs had significantly shorter progression-free periods than those with grade < 2 GEVs (p = 0.025). Conclusions: DAA therapy does not ameliorate GEVs. Furthermore, grade-2 GEVs can worsen after DAA therapy. Therefore, patients with GEVs of grades ≥ 2 should undergo endoscopic surveillance after receiving DAAs.

Hepatocellular Carcinoma-Related Mortality in the USA, 1999-2018

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

The burden of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is increasing, and certain groups may be at higher risk.

METHODS

We analyzed trends in HCC-related mortality in the USA (1999-2018) using national death data. Age-adjusted trends in death rates (annual percentage change, APC) were calculated using joinpoint regression analysis.

RESULTS

HCC-related death rates increased by 2.1% (95% CI 1.9 to 2.3) annually. Hepatitis C (HCV)-related HCC death rates increased from 1999 to 2012 (8.9%, 95% CI 7.6 to 10.2) followed by a -1.3% (95% CI -3.5 to 0.9) decrease annually. For adults > 65 years, HCV-related HCC death rates increased (7.3% annually, 95% CI 6.5 to 8.1), especially for rural areas (11.1% annually, 95% CI 6.9 to 15.5) with high rates among African-Americans and Hispanics. Increases in non-HCV-related HCC death rates were larger: 13.5% annually (95% CI 3.6 to 24.3, 2005-2010) followed by 4.2% annually (95% CI 2.3 to 6.2, 2010-2018). Annual rates of increase were similar for men (6.8%, 95% CI 5.9 to 7.8) and women (7.0%, 95% CI 5.5 to 8.4) from 1999 to 2018. Rate of increase across races was Whites 8.3% (95% CI 7.2 to 9.4, 1999-2018), African-Americans 11.2% (95% CI -6.6 to 32.3, 2015-2018), and Hispanics 3.7% (95% CI 1.0 to 6.5, 2012-2018).

CONCLUSION

HCC-related mortality has increased, driven by increases in non-HCV-related mortality with important demographic and regional trends. In addition, HCV-HCC mortality remains high particularly in older persons and those in rural areas despite advances in HCV therapy. These data underscore the need for targeted approaches to mitigate the burden of HCC-related mortality similar to efforts for other cancers.

Mac-2-binding protein glycan isomer predicts all malignancies after sustained virological response in chronic hepatitis C

Despite reports of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in patients with chronic hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection after achieving sustained virological response (SVR), only few studies have demonstrated the incidence of other (non-HCC) malignancies. This study aimed to clarify the incidence, survival probability, and factors associated with malignancy, especially non-HCC malignancies, in patients with chronic HCV infection after achieving SVR. In this retrospective study, records of 3580 patients with chronic HCV infection who achieved SVR following direct-acting antiviral (DAA) treatment were analyzed. The cumulative post-SVR incidence of non-HCC malignancies was 0.9%, 3.1%, and 6.8% at 1, 3, and 5 years, respectively. The survival probability for patients with non-HCC malignancies was 99.1%, 78.8%, and 60.2% at 1, 3, and 5 years, respectively, and the rate was significantly lower than that for patients with HCC. The Cox proportional hazards regression model identified Mac-2-binding protein glycan isomer (M2BPGi) cutoff index (COI) ≥ 1.90 at baseline and ≥ 1.50 at 12 weeks following DAA treatment as significant and independent factors associated with the post-SVR incidence of non-HCC malignancies. Furthermore, patients with either M2BPGi COI ≥ 1.90 at baseline or M2BPGi COI ≥ 1.50 at SVR12 had a significantly higher risk of post-SVR incidence of non-HCC malignancies than of HCC. Conclusion: M2BPGi measurements at baseline and SVR12 may help predict the post-SVR incidence of non-HCC malignancies in patients with chronic HCV infection who achieved SVR following DAA treatment. Early identification of these patients is critical to prolong patient survival.

Targeting the effect of sofosbuvir on selective oncogenes expression level of hepatocellular carcinoma Ras/Raf/MEK/ERK pathway in Huh7 cell line

Direct acting antiviral agents are emerging line of treatment to eradicate Hepatitis C virus. Recent controversy over whether direct acting antiviral agents increase rate of hepatocellular carcinoma in HCV patients or prevent it, has increased the need to elaborate underlying mechanisms on molecular basis. This work was aimed to investigate the effect of sofosbuvir on the expression of selected oncogenes from the Ras/Raf/MEK/ERK pathway in Huh7 cell line. Results found concrete molecular evidence that sofosbuvir has significantly altered the expression of selected genes when huh7 cell line was treated with sofosbuvir. Nine genes related to HCC were found to be affected by sofosbuvir in a mixed effect manner. The relative expression of growth factors (VEGF, PDGFRB and HGF) was increased in sofosbuvir treated cell lines. The kinase family genes H-RAS, B-RAF, MET except MAPK1 were downregulated. Similarly, DUSP1 was upregulated and SPRY2 was slightly downregulated; both were negative feedback inhibitors of ERK signalling cascade. Sofosbuvir upregulated the growth factors and MAPK1 which suggests it to be a carcinogen. The downregulation of kinases and upregulation of DUSP1 make it an anticancer drug. Hence, the results from this study are important to prove that sofosbuvir neither reduce nor induce hepatocellular carcinoma.

Seven gene signature explores the impact of DAAs on the appearance of hepatocellular carcinoma in HCV infected patients

HCV damages the hepatocytes ending with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). The direct-acting antivirals (DAAs) treatment has raised hopes for reducing the incidence of HCC. However, several scientific debate regarding the impact of DAAs on the occurrence of HCC in patients with cirrhosis. We aimed to study the Cirrhosis Risk Score (CRS), several clinical factors and tumor characteristics between patients who developed HCC either with or without DAAs treatment "DAA-exposed HCC patients" and "DAA-unexposed HCC patients".

METHODS

CRS was assessed via genotyping by allelic discrimination assays in HCV patients who developed de novo HCC (with DAAs (DAA-exposed HCC patients, n = 50), and without DAAs treatment (DAA-unexposed HCC patients, n = 40)). APRI, FIB-4 scores, and tumor characteristics were assessed.

RESULTS

Around 60% and 48% of DAA-exposed HCC patients and DAA-unexposed HCC patients; respectively had high CRS scores without significant difference. DAA-exposed HCC patients showed elevated Albumin, Hemoglobin and decreased ALT, AST compared with DAA-unexposed HCC patients (P = 0.002, 0.04, <0.001 and 0.006; respectively). FIB4 and APRI didn't reach the statistical difference between the studied groups. DAA-exposed HCC patients have higher overall survival (OS) than DAA-unexposed HCC patients (median: 30 & 15 months; respectively (p = 0.019)). Moreover, no significant differences were observed between the two groups in their focal lesion characteristics.

CONCLUSION

All studied patients are genetically predisposed to develop HCC. Moreover, DAAs significantly improved the OS and the biochemical parameters. No differences between the two groups were detected regarding their tumor characteristics. Accordingly, the appearance of HCC after treatment is attributed to the natural course of cirrhosis.

Hepatitis Virus C-associated Nephropathy: A Review and Update

Hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection causes hepatic and extrahepatic organ involvement. Chronic kidney disease (CKD) is a prevalent non-communicable disorder, accounting for significant morbidity and mortality worldwide. Acute kidney injury and CKD are not uncommon sequels of acute or chronic HCV infection.

The pathogenesis of HCV-associated kidney injuries is not well explored. Excess cryoglobulin production occurs in HCV infection. The cryoglobulin may initiate immune complex-mediated vasculitis, inducing vascular thrombosis and inflammation due to cryoglobulin deposits.

Furthermore, direct damage to nephron parts also occurs in HCV patients. Other contributory causes such as hypertension, diabetes, and genetic polymorphism enhance the risk of kidney damage in HCV-infected individuals. Implementing CKD prevention, regular evaluation, and therapy may improve the HCV burden of kidney damage and its related outcomes.

Therefore, in this review, we discuss and update the possible mechanism(s) of kidney injury pathogenesis with HCV infection. We searched for related published articles in EMBASE, Google Scholar, Google, PubMed, and Scopus. We used various texts and phrases, including hepatitis virus and kidney, HCV and CKD, kidney pathology in viral hepatitis, kidney transplantation in HCV-infected patients, kidney allograft survival in viral hepatitis patients, mechanism of kidney pathology in viral hepatitis, dialysis and viral hepatitis, HCV infection and kidney injuries, and viral hepatitis and CKD progression, etc. to identify relevant articles.

HCC incidence after hepatitis C cure among patients with advanced fibrosis or cirrhosis: A meta-analysis

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

HCV cure reduces but does not eliminate the risk of HCC. HCC surveillance is recommended in populations where the incidence exceeds 1.5% per year. In cirrhosis, HCC surveillance should continue after HCV cure, although it is uncertain if this should be indefinite. For patients with advanced fibrosis (F3), guidelines are inconsistent in their recommendations. We evaluated the incidence of HCC after HCV cure among patients with F3 fibrosis or cirrhosis.

APPROACH AND RESULTS

This systematic review and meta-analysis identified 44 studies (107,548 person-years of follow-up) assessing the incidence of HCC after HCV cure among patients with F3 fibrosis or cirrhosis. The incidence of HCC was 2.1 per 100 person-years (95% CI, 1.9-2.4) among patients with cirrhosis and 0.5 per 100 person-years (95% CI, 0.3-0.7) among patients with F3 fibrosis. In a meta-regression analysis among patients with cirrhosis, older age (adjusted rate ratio [aRR] per 10-year increase in mean/median age, 1.32; 95% CI, 1.00-1.73) and prior decompensation (aRR per 10% increase in the proportion of patients with prior decompensation, 1.06; 95% CI, 1.01-1.12) were associated with an increased incidence of HCC. Longer follow-up after HCV cure was associated with a decreased incidence of HCC (aRR per year increase in mean/median follow-up, 0.87; 95% CI, 0.79-0.96).

CONCLUSIONS

Among patients with cirrhosis, the incidence of HCC decreases over time after HCV cure and is lowest in patients with younger age and compensated cirrhosis. The substantially lower incidence in F3 fibrosis is below the recommended threshold for cost-effective screening. The results should encourage the development of validated predictive models that better identify at-risk individuals, especially among patients with F3 fibrosis.