Epidemiology of Atrial Fibrillation: Geographic/Ecological Risk Factors, Age, Sex, Genetics

Analysis and comparison of the trends in burden of atrial fibrillation/atrial flutter in China and worldwide from 1990 to 2021 and predictions to 2036 of China

Background

It is essential to analyze the burden, trends, and inequalities of atrial fibrillation/flutter (AF/AFL) in China and to predict future trends, with the aim of raising awareness about risk factors and exploring strategies to control the significant disease burden.

Methods

Data pertaining to AF/AFL were extracted from the comprehensive dataset of the Global Burden of Disease, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study 2021 (GBD 2021). Furthermore, we analyzed the epidemiological characteristics of AF/AFL and compared them to global prevalence trends, employing joinpoint regression, decomposition, age-period-cohort (apc), and cross-country inequality analysis methods. Concurrently, we utilized a Bayesian age-period-cohort (BAPC) analysis to forecast the age-standardized incidence rate (ASIR) of AF/AFL in China over the subsequent 15 years.

Results

Globally, in 2021, there were 52.55 million [95% uncertainty interval (UI): 43.14 to 64.96] prevalent cases, 4.48 million (95% UI: 3.61 to 5.71) incident cases, 0.34 million (95% UI: 0.28 to 0.37) deaths, and 8.36 million (95% UI: 6.97 to 10.13) DALYs. In China, during the same year, there were 10.78 million (95% UI: 8.53 to 14.01) prevalent cases, 0.92 million (95% UI: 0.71 to 1.20) incident cases, 0.06 million (95% UI: 0.05 to 0.08) deaths, and 1.65 million (95% UI: 1.30 to 2.06) DALYs. The average annual percentage change (AAPC) in age-standardized incidence and mortality rates for AF/AFL were -0.02 (95% CI: -0.05, 0) and 0.11 (95% CI: 0.03, 0.18) globally, and 0.16 (95% CI: 0.05, 0.26) and -0.45 (95% CI: -0.78, -0.12) in China, respectively. Decomposition analysis revealed epidemiological shifts drive incidence rise, aging affects mortality. The Slope Index of Inequality (SII) 2021 was -35.04, and the Concentration Index (CI) was -0.09. The BAPC results indicated that the ASIR for males and females is expected to rise over the next 15 years.

Conclusion

The burden of AF/AFL continues to increase annually. Countries with medium to low Socio-Demographic Index (SDI) have a heavy disease burden. In recent years, the burden in Chinese females has begun to exceed that of males. Without effective measures, the ASIR of AF/AFL is projected to exhibit a continued upward trajectory.

Analysis of epidemiological characteristics and psychopsychological factors of arrhythmia in the elderly

BACKGROUND

Irregular heart rhythms are a primary manifestation of cardiovascular disease, considerably contributing to global morbidity and mortality rates. Moreover, patients with cardiac arrhythmias often experience a higher prevalence of sleep disorders, anxiety, and depression owing to various factors.

AIM

To investigate the epidemiological characteristics and psychological factors associated with arrhythmia in the elderly and to establish a theoretical foundation for its prevention and treatment in older adults.

METHODS

A retrospective analysis was performed on 169 elderly patients admitted to the Shangqiu First People's Hospital from December 2022 to December 2023. All subjects underwent 24-hour electrocardiogram monitoring to record heart rate, heart rate variability, and 24-hour ambulatory electrocardiogram data. Additionally, patients' medical records were reviewed to gather information on their general condition, including age, gender, underlying diseases, and other relevant factors. Patients were divided into four groups based on their Hamilton Anxiety (HAMA) and Hamilton Depression Rating Scale (HAMD) scores: Group A (HAMA scores ≥ 7), Group B (HAMD scores ≥ 7), Group C (both HAMA and HAMD scores ≥ 7), and Group D (HAMA and HAMD scores < 7). Psychological factors such as depression, anxiety, sleep status, and quality of life were analyzed. Pearson correlation was used to examine the relationship between scores from the Pittsburgh Sleep Quality Index (PSQI), HAMA/HAMD scales, and the Short Form 36-item Health Survey (SF-36) with the presence of arrhythmia.

RESULTS

Among the 169 patients, 87 (51.5%) had concurrent arrhythmia. Atrial arrhythmias constituted the largest proportion at 34.8% (30 out of 87), followed by sinus tachycardia at 24.1% (21 out of 87), and ventricular arrhythmias at 9.2% (8 out of 87). Factors such as advanced age, coronary heart disease, hypertension, smoking, exposure to secondhand smoke, and residing in rural areas significantly increased the risk of developing arrhythmia. There was a statistically significant difference between the two groups regarding PSQI, HAMA-14, HAMD-17, and SF-36 scores. Pearson correlation analysis revealed that PSQI, HAMA-14, and HAMD-17 scores were positively correlated with arrhythmia in the elderly, while the SF-36 score was negatively correlated. The anxiety, depression, and combined anxiety-depression groups exhibited significantly higher PSQI, HAMA-14, and HAMD-17 scores compared to the nonanxiety and non-depression group.

CONCLUSION

Arrhythmia among the elderly is primarily found in individuals with advanced age and existing health conditions. It is also linked to psychological factors such as depression, anxiety, reduced quality of life, and sleep disturbances.

Association between genotypes of ABCB1 and ABCG2 and the risk of atrial fibrillation

AIMS

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is a prevalent clinical condition worldwide, with a high global incidence that significantly impacts disease burden and mortality rates. Single nucleotide polymorphisms in ABCB1 and ABCG2 are common, but the clinical outcomes are poorly understood. This study examines the association between the genetic variations of ABCB1 and ABCG2 and the risk of AF in a Taiwanese population.

METHODS AND RESULTS

This case-control study recruited 216 AF patients from two hospitals in Taiwan between 2021 and 2023. Control groups were matched by age (± one year), gender, and AF-related variables from the Taiwan Biobank. Logistic regression analyzed the association between three genetic variants and AF risk. A significant association was noted between ABCG2 rs2231142 and AF risk. Those with ABCG2 rs2231142 G/T and T/T genotypes had a 1.91-fold (95 % CI = 1.04-3.53) increased risk of AF compared to those with the G/G genotype. This association was particularly pronounced in males in those carrying ABCG2 rs2231143 T/T genotype having a 4.47-fold (95 % CI = 1.02-19.67) increased risk after adjusting for covariates. There were no overall significant associations between AF risk and the polymorphisms of ABCB1 rs4148738 and rs1128503.

CONCLUSION

A robust risk association between the ABCG2 rs2231142 T allele and AF in Asian populations, particularly in male adults, suggests that genetic testing for this polymorphism could be integrated into risk assessment models for AF.

Secular trends in the incidence of atrial fibrillation across different ages and sexes in Taiwan from 2001 to 2021

BACKGROUND

Atrial fibrillation (AF), the most prevalent arrhythmia, is associated with an increased risk of stroke, systemic embolism, and death.

OBJECTIVE

This study aimed to investigate the secular trends in AF incidence rates (IRs) in different age, sex, and comorbidity subgroups in a Chinese population from 2000 to 2021.

METHODS

This retrospective study used data from the National Health Insurance Research Database in Taiwan; determined AF cases by the International Classification of Diseases, Ninth Revision and Tenth Revision, Clinical Modification codes; and calculated and stratified the annual age-standardized IRs by age, sex, and comorbidity status.

RESULTS

The total number of AF cases increased from 24,450 in 2000 to 32,817 in 2021; the standardized IR (SIR) decreased from 170.62 to 112.38 per 100,000 person-years. Male patients demonstrated higher IRs than female patients across all age groups. The annual IRs substantially increased with age. IRs exhibited a declining trend, except in men aged 20-49 years and women aged 20-34 years. The trends of SIRs showed distinct patterns in patients with different comorbidity burdens. Individuals with lower comorbidity burden demonstrated lower SIRs and earlier declines in SIRs.

CONCLUSION

This study revealed complex secular trends of AF incidence in the past 21 years, with decreasing overall SIRs but increasing annual IRs in younger populations. The intricate interplay between AF incidence, age, and sex emphasizes the need for age- and sex-specific strategies in AF prevention and management. The observed relationship between comorbidity burden and AF incidence suggests differential effectiveness of cardiovascular risk management across patient subgroups.

Telemedicine-based integrated management of atrial fibrillation in village clinics: a cluster randomized trial

In rural China, where healthcare relies on village doctors (nonspecialized practitioners who work exclusively in their village clinics), delivering integrated atrial fibrillation (AF) management poses challenges. We developed a telemedicine-based, village doctor-led integrated care model and conducted a cluster randomized clinical trial to assess its efficacy compared to usual care. A total of 30 village clinics were randomly assigned (1:1) to the intervention or control group, with 1,039 village residents aged ≥65 years with AF (44.3% women) recruited. The primary outcome in stage 1 is adherence to integrated AF care at 12 months. In stage 2, the primary outcome is a composite of cardiovascular death, all strokes, heart failure or acute coronary syndrome hospitalization, and AF emergency visits over 36 months. Both primary outcomes were met. At 12 months, 33.1% in the telemedicine-based, village doctor-led care group and 8.7% in the usual care group met all criteria for integrated AF care (between-group difference, 24.4% (95% confidence interval (CI), 18.3-30.5%); P < 0.001). Over 34.0 months, 41.8% in the telemedicine-based, village doctor-led care group and 10.3% in the usual care group met all criteria for integrated AF care (P < 0.001). The rate of the composite cardiovascular event outcome was lower in the telemedicine-based, village doctor-led care group than in the usual care group (6.2% versus 9.6% per year; hazard ratio, 0.64 (95% CI, 0.50-0.82); P < 0.001). Our trial intervention by this telemedicine-based integrated care delivery model of AF care in rural villages demonstrates better adherence and improved clinical outcomes compared to usual care. ClinicalTrials.gov registration: NCT04622514 .

Assessment of Risk Factors for Atrial Fibrillation With a Particular Focus on Echocardiographic Parameters, in Patients With Acute Myocardial Infarction

BACKGROUND

Atrial fibrillation is the most common arrhythmia worldwide, affecting between 2% and 4% of population. The projected further progression is a reason to consider AF as a global epidemic problem. The efficiency in diagnosing new cases is still unsatisfactory.

METHODS

The prospective study included 74 patients hospitalized for acute myocardial infarction. Echocardiography with advanced assessment of the left atrium was performed on all patients. R Statistical Software was used for statistical and graphical processing.

RESULTS

Atrial fibrillation was first diagnosed in 13.5% of patients with acute myocardial infarction, and in 5.4% of the patients the diagnosis was made during the long-term follow-up period. Analysis of the data collected showed that patients with arrythmia were older (71.79 vs 63.5 years; p = 0.047), had a higher BMI (30.15 vs 26.76 kg/m2; p = 0.039) and had a higher CHA2DS2 VASc score (4.14 vs 3.02 points). Among the echocardiographic parameters, those that significantly differentiated patients with arrythmia included larger LA area (21.62 vs 18.84 cm2; p = 0.027), lower LAEF 4CH (43.46 vs 55.93%; p = 0.029), lower LAEF mean (44.08 vs 55.63%; p = 0.014), lower EI (1.03 vs 1.49; p = 0.032), lower LASr 4CH (19.08 vs 26.72%; p = 0.020), lower LASr mean (18.62 vs 26.73%; p = 0.009), higher E/e' (12.62 vs 9.58; p = 0.01), higher LASI (0.95 vs 0.45; p = 0.016).

CONCLUSIONS

Among the echocardiographic parameters, those that may indicate an increased risk of atrial fibrillation and could be implemented in clinical practice are LASr and LASI. Determining them in risk profiling and the implementation of individualized arrhythmia detection methods could increase diagnostic efficiency.

Evaluating inflammatory status to predict atrial fibrillation recurrence following ablation: The role of systemic immune-inflammation index

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is the most common arrhythmia in humans, affecting more than 40 million people worldwide. Radiofrequency catheter ablation (RFCA) was first introduced as a treatment for AF by Haïssaguerre M in the late 1990s. This procedure quickly became the treatment of choice, especially for symptomatic patients with AF refractory to medication. However, up to 45% of patients may experience AF recurrence within 12 months after RFCA. In this setting, AF recurrence is likely multifactorial, including atrial remodeling, local fibrosis or incomplete ablation due to failure in locating the trigger. Additionally, patients with obesity, sleep apnea, hypertension, or diabetes are at an increased risk of AF recurrence after RFCA. Inflammation is increasingly recognized as a potential key factor in AF recurrence and may arise both from the healing response of heart tissue post-ablation or from chronic low-grade inflammation, as observed in many risk factors. Here, we present an original study by Wang et al, which investigated the combination of the systemic immune-inflammation index-a marker developed to assess overall inflammatory status-and the APPLE score, designed to predict AF recurrence following RFCA. The study found that using both indicators together improved the accuracy of AF recurrence prediction. These findings underscore the significant role of inflammation in cardiovascular disease and demonstrated its impact on AF recurrence after RFCA. Further research is warranted to validate the combined use of these two scores in clinical settings for predicting AF recurrence following catheter ablation.

The Impact of Weight Categories on the Association Between Atrial Fibrillation/Flutter and Known Risk Factors: A Nationwide Inpatient Data Analysis

Background/Objectives: Atrial fibrillation and atrial flutter (Afib/Aflut) are the most common arrhythmias presenting to the emergency department. The goal of this study was to evaluate any predictor of Afib/flut with cardiovascular risk factors and demographics based on weight categories. Methods: Using ICD-10 codes from the large Nationwide Inpatient Sample (NIS) database in the years 2016-2020, we evaluate any association between the presence of Afib/Aflut with risk factors and demographics in different weight categories in adults over the age of 18. Results: A total of 23,037,013 afib/flut patients were found in the NIS database. Obesity and morbid obesity were independently associated with the presence of Afib/Aflut (for multivariate OR obesity: 1.28, CI 1.27-1.28, p < 0.001; for morbid obesity: OR 1.9, CI 1.89-1.91, p < 0.001). Regardless of weight categories such as cachexia, overweight, obese, or morbidly obese, traditional risk factors remained independently associated with Afib/Aflut. Furthermore, male gender and Caucasians were independently associated with the presence of Afib/Aflut regardless of any weight categories. (For example, in the overweight categories, the multivariate OR for females was 0.69, CI: 0.69-0.69, p < 0.001, and for African Americans, OR 0.62, CI 0.61-0.62, p < 0.001). Conclusions: Traditional risk factors were persistently associated with the occurrence of atrial fibrillation regardless of weight categories. Furthermore, the Caucasian race and male gender were also strong independent predictors of Afib/Aflut.

Nonlinear relationship and predictive value of systemic immune-inflammation index for atrial fibrillation recurrence after catheter ablation in hypertensive patients

BACKGROUND

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is a prevalent arrhythmia in hypertensive patients and significantly increases mortality. Chronic inflammation plays a critical role in the pathophysiology of AF.

OBJECTIVE

This study aimed to evaluate the prognostic value of systemic immune-inflammation index (SII) in predicting AF recurrence after catheter ablation in hypertensive patients.

METHODS

This retrospective cohort study included 418 hypertensive patients with paroxysmal AF who underwent catheter ablation between January 2019 and January 2023. Cox proportional hazards models, restricted cubic spline (RCS) analysis, and receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves were used to evaluate the association between SII and AF recurrence. The predictive performance of SII was compared with that of C-reactive protein (CRP) and high-sensitivity C-reactive protein (hsCRP). Sensitivity analyses were performed to assess the robustness of findings.

RESULTS

AF recurrence occurred in 17.94% of patients. SII was an independent predictor of recurrence (HR 1.13, 95% CI 1.09-1.19; P < .001). RCS analysis revealed a nonlinear relationship with a threshold of 457.41 × 109/L, above which the risk of recurrence increased markedly. ROC analysis demonstrated that SII had superior predictive performance compared to CRP and hsCRP (AUC 0.688 vs 0.510 and 0.542). Sensitivity analyses confirmed the robustness of SII across subgroups.

CONCLUSION

SII is a valuable marker for predicting AF recurrence postablation in hypertensive patients. It supports inflammation-based risk assessments and should be considered in clinical risk stratification. Further research is needed to explore inflammation-targeted therapies.

Racial differences and similarities in atrial fibrillation epidemiology and risk factors in UK Biobank and Korean NHIS-HEALS cohort studies

BACKGROUND

The increasing prevalence of atrial fibrillation (AF) requires efforts to understand racial differences in disease distribution and risk factors.

OBJECTIVE

We aimed to compare associations between risk factors and AF in White Europeans from the UK Biobank and Asians from the Korean National Health Insurance Service-Health Screening (NHIS-HEALS) study.

METHODS

This study included participants from the Korean NHIS-HEALS and UK Biobank. After matching for age and sex, 206,704 participants in the Korean NHIS-HEALS and 206,704 participants in the UK Biobank were enrolled in the study. The incidence of AF, its associations with biomarkers, prevalent cardiovascular disease, and population attributable risk by race were examined.

RESULTS

During a median follow-up of 7.1 years in the Korean NHIS-HEALS and 11.9 years in the UK Biobank, those in the UK Biobank showed a higher incidence and risk of AF (3.99 vs 3.41 per 1000 person-years; hazard ratio, 1.20; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.15-2.25) compared with the population in the Korean NHIS-HEALS. Body mass index (BMI), systolic blood pressure, alcohol, heart failure, myocardial infarction, and stroke were associated with an increased risk of new-onset AF in both cohorts. Higher BMI and smoking were more strongly related to the increased risk of new-onset AF in the UK Biobank compared with the Korean NHIS-HEALS, with a relative risk ratio of 1.21 (95% CI, 1.17-1.25) and 1.12 (95% CI, 1.02-1.21), respectively.

CONCLUSION

In this first large-scale comparison of White and Asian populations, the cumulative risk for development of AF was higher in the United Kingdom than in Korea. Higher BMI and smoking were associated with a higher risk of AF in the United Kingdom than in Korea.

Global, regional, and national burden of atrial fibrillation and atrial flutter from 1990 to 2021: sex differences and global burden projections to 2046-a systematic analysis of the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021

AIMS

Atrial fibrillation and atrial flutter (AF/AFL) are critical global health concerns, yet studies on burden trends and sex differences remain limited. This study aims to investigate the global burden trends of AF/AFL, with an in-depth analysis of differences between sexes and future trends, in order to address gaps in the current research field.

METHODS AND RESULTS

This study utilized data from the Global Burden of Disease 2021 study, applying methods such as age-period-cohort analysis and joinpoint regression models to evaluate trends and sex differences in the incidence, prevalence, mortality, and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) of AF/AFL among individuals aged 30 and above from 1990 to 2021, and employed Bayesian age-period-cohort (BAPC) analysis to predict future trends from 2022 to 2046. In 2021, AF/AFL affected around 52.6 million people globally, with significant increases in cases, deaths, and DALYs since 1990. While the age-standardized prevalence rate (ASPR) remained stable, the age-standardized incidence rate (ASIR) slightly declined, and the age-standardized mortality rate (ASMR) increased. Moreover, there were significant differences in the disease burden between male and female patients. Males had higher prevalence and DALYs, with older age contributing to higher rates. Key risk factors included high systolic blood pressure, body mass index (BMI), and alcohol use, with female patients exhibiting a higher age-standardized rates associated with elevated BMI compared with their male counterparts. Bayesian age-period-cohort predicted stable ASPR and ASIR in males but rising rates in females, with ASMR expected to decline for both sexes.

CONCLUSION

The global burden of AF/AFL is rising, particularly among women, and in low-socio-demographic index regions. This underscores the urgent need for targeted prevention strategies and optimized management of modifiable risk factors, with a specific focus on these vulnerable groups.

Quality of Oral Anticoagulation Control with Warfarin According to Sex: A Cross-Sectional Study

Evidence indicates a difference between men and women in oral anticoagulation control, but the results were discrepant. This study investigated the association of sex with oral anticoagulation control in patients on warfarin assisted by anticoagulation clinics (ACs) in Brazil. The cross-sectional study included patients on warfarin recruited at three public ACs in southeast Brazil (2014-2015). The quality of oral anticoagulation was estimated by the time in therapeutic range (TTR). Univariable and multivariable linear regression models were built to examine the association of sociodemographic, behavior, clinical, and drug therapy variables with TTR. Overall, 801 participants were studied (455; 56.8% women), with a mean age of 65.0 (13.4) years. The female sex was associated with lower TTR than the male sex (Beta (95% CI) = -17.01 (-30.25; -3.76), p = 0.012), however, this difference decreased with increasing age, becoming null after age 60. Smoking patients had a lower TTR than non-smokers (-5.18 (-10.02; -0.34), p = 0.036). The results showed that the association of sex with oral anticoagulation control is dependent on age. Women have lower TTR than men, but this difference is null in older patients. Knowledge of these factors may be useful for developing strategies to improve care for these patients.

Health Care Resource Utilization With Dronedarone Versus Sotalol Following Catheter Ablation in Adults With Atrial Fibrillation

BACKGROUND

Clinical trials support dronedarone use for atrial fibrillation (AF) following catheter ablation (CA); however, comparative data on health care resource utilization (HCRU) with other antiarrhythmic drugs are lacking.

METHODS

Retrospective analysis of Merative MarketScan databases (January 01, 2012-March 31, 2020) comparatively assessed HCRU in US adults with AF who received dronedarone or sotalol post-CA. Patients with ≥ 12-months' pre-CA data were followed from post-CA index treatment to disenrollment, death, or study end. Sotalol-treated patients were propensity score-matched (1:1) with dronedarone-treated patients. Events/100 patient-years (PY) were analyzed by univariate generalized-linear model with Poisson distribution. Cumulative incidence was analyzed over 12 months by Kaplan-Meier methods. Subgroup analyses were conducted by sex and patients new to dronedarone or sotalol during 12 months pre-CA.

RESULTS

Dronedarone and sotalol cohorts were successfully matched (n = 1600 each). Prevalence/100-PY for all-cause, cardiovascular (CV)-related, and atrial tachyarrhythmia (ATA)/AF-related HCRU was lower in dronedarone versus sotalol cohort (all p < 0.05). Cumulative incidence for all-cause, CV-related, ATA/AF-related hospitalizations, and pacemaker implantation was lower in dronedarone versus sotalol cohort (all p < 0.05). Incidence of all-cause and CV-related hospitalizations was lower in dronedarone versus sotalol cohorts in females (n = 460) and males (n = 1115) (all p < 0.05) after rematching. Incidence of ATA/AF-related hospitalization was lower in males versus females receiving dronedarone. For patients new to dronedarone or sotalol (n = 549), HCRU results were generally consistent with primary analyses.

CONCLUSION

Post-CA dronedarone, versus sotalol, lowered CV-related HCRU in all-comers with AF and in sex subgroups. Findings may contribute to clinical decision making post-CA in patients with AF.

Characteristics Associated with Prevalent Atrial Fibrillation and Risk Profile for Incident Atrial Fibrillation an Elderly Population from ELSA-Brasil

BACKGROUND

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is an arrhythmia causing significant symptoms and raising the risk of complications.

OBJECTIVES

To evaluate the association of clinical, electrocardiographic, and echocardiographic parameters with prevalent atrial fibrillation or flutter (AFF) and assess the risk profile for incident AFF using the AF prediction scores CHARGE-AF and EHR in an elderly population from a developing country.

METHODS

We included all participants in ELSA-Brasil aged 60 and over whose diagnosis of AFF could be defined through self-report or electrocardiogram and who had echocardiography performed at the study's baseline. For statistical analysis, results with p values < 0.05 were considered statistically significant.

RESULTS

Among the 2,088 participants (65 ± 4.1 years; 53% women), 88 (4.2%) had AFF. Those with AFF were older and had higher rates of heart failure (HF), previous myocardial infarction, left bundle branch block (LBBB), prolonged QT interval, supraventricular extrasystoles, and sinus bradycardia. They also had larger left atrial and left ventricular dimensions, and lower left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF). Multivariable analysis showed that HF, LBBB, larger left atrium, and lower LVEF were independently associated with AFF. The 5-year risk for incident AFF was low (< 2.5%) in 63% and high (> 5%) in 12% of individuals according to the CHARGE-AF score, and low in 67% and high in 13% according to the EHR.

CONCLUSION

AFF was found in 4.2% of this older Brazilian cohort. AFF was linked to HF history, LBBB, left atrial dilation, and reduced LVEF. Additionally, 12% to 13% of patients in sinus rhythm were at high risk for AFF. Monitoring clinical, electrocardiographic, and echocardiographic parameters can aid in early identification of high-risk individuals.

Incidence of atrial fibrillation and flutter in Denmark in relation to country of origin: a nationwide register-based study

BACKGROUND

Atrial fibrillation and flutter (AF) is the most common sustained arrhythmia with an increasing prevalence in Western countries. However, little is known about AF among immigrants compared to non-immigrants.

AIM

To examine the incidence of hospital-diagnosed AF according to country of origin.

METHOD

Immigrants were defined as individuals born outside Denmark by parents born outside Denmark. AF was defined as first-time diagnosis of AF. All individuals were followed from the age of 45 years from 1998 to 2017. The analyses were adjusted for sex, age, comorbidity, contact with the general practitioner and socioeconomic variables. Adjustment was conducted using standardised morbidity ratio weights, standardised to the Danish population in a marginal structural model.

RESULTS

The study population consisted of 3,489,730 Danish individuals free of AF and 108,914 immigrants free of AF who had emigrated from the 10 most represented countries. A total of 323,005 individuals of Danish origin had an incident hospital diagnosis of AF, among the immigrants 7,300 developed AF. Adjusted hazard rate ratios (HRRs) of AF for immigrants from Iran (0.48 [95%CI:0.35;0.64]), Turkey (0.74 [95%CI:0.67;0.82]) and Bosnia-Herzegovina (0.42 [95%CI:0.22;0.79]) were low compared with Danish individuals. Immigrants from Sweden, Germany and Norway had an adjusted HRR of 1.13 [95%CI:1.03;1.23], 1.12 [95%CI:1.05;1.18] and 1.11 [95%CI:1.03;1.21], respectively (Danish individuals as reference).

CONCLUSIONS

Substantial variation in the incidence of hospital-diagnosed AF according to country of origin was observed. The results may reflect true biological differences but could also reflect barriers to AF diagnosis for immigrants. Further efforts are warranted to determine the underlying mechanisms.

[Pathogenesis and potential diagnostic biomarkers of atrial fibrillation in Chinese population: a study based on bioinfor-matics]

OBJECTIVES

To explore the pathogenesis and potential biomarkers of atrial fibrillation based on bioinformatics.

METHODS

Differentially expressed genes and module genes related to atrial fibrillation were obtained from GSE41177 and GSE79768 datasets (Chinese-origin tissue samples) through differential expression analysis and weighted gene co-expression network analysis. Candidate hub genes were obtained by taking intersections, and hub genes were obtained after gender stratification. Subsequently, functional enrichment analysis and immune infiltration analysis were performed. Four machine learning models were constructed based on the hub genes, and the optimal model was selected to construct a prediction nomogram. The prediction ability of the nomogram was verified using calibration curves and decision curves. Finally, potential therapeutic drugs for atrial fibrillation were screened from the DGIdb database.

RESULTS

A total of 67 differentially expressed genes and 65 module genes related to atrial fibrillation were identified. Functional enrichment analysis indicated that the pathogenesis of atrial fibrillation was closely related to inflammatory response, immune response, and immune and infectious diseases. Four common hub genes (TYROBP, FCER1G, EVI2B and SOD2), and two genes specifically expressed in male (PILRA and SLC35G3) and female (HLA-DRA and GATP) patients with atrial fibrillation were obtained after gender-segregated screening. The extreme gradient boosting model had satisfactory diagnostic efficiency, and the nomogram constructed based on the hub genes, male significant variables (PILRA, SLC35G3 and SOD2), and female significant variables (FCER1G, SOD2 and TYROBP) had satisfactory predictive ability. Immune infiltration analysis demonstrated a disturbed immune infiltration microenvironment in atrial fibrillation with a higher abundance of plasma cells, neutrophils, and γδT cells, with a higher abundance of neutrophils in males and resting mast cells in females. Two potential drugs for the treatment of atrial fibrillation, valproic acid and methotrexate, were obtained by database and literature screening.

CONCLUSIONS

The pathogenesis of atrial fibrillation is closely related to inflammation and immune response, and the microenvironment of immune cell infiltration of cardiomyocytes in the atrial tissue of patients with atrial fibrillation is disordered. TYROBP, FCER1G, EVI2B and SOD2 serve as potential diagnostic biomarkers of atrial fibrillation; PILRA and SLC35G3 serve as potential specific diagnostic biomarkers of atrial fibrillation in the male population, which can effectively predict the risk of atrial fibrillation development and are also potential targets for the treatment of atrial fibrillation.

2024 Chinese Expert Consensus Guidelines on the Diagnosis and Treatment of Atrial Fibrillation in the Elderly, Endorsed by Geriatric Society of Chinese Medical Association (Cardiovascular Group) and Chinese Society of Geriatric Health Medicine (Cardiovascular Branch): Executive Summary

The consensus guidelines of the Geriatric Society of Chinese Medical Association on the management of atrial fibrillation (AF) in the elderly was first published in 2011 and updated in 2016, with endorsement by Chinese Society of Geriatric Health Medicine. Since then, many important studies regarding the screening and treatment in the elderly population have been reported, necessitating this updated expert consensus guideline. The writing committee members comprehensively reviewed updated evidence pertaining to elderly patients with AF, and formulated this 2024 update. The highlighted issues focused on the following: screening for AF, geriatric comprehensive assessment, use of the Atrial fibrillation Better Care (ABC) pathway for the elderly patients, and special clinical settings related to elderly patients with AF. New recommendations addressing smart technology facilitated AF screening, ABC pathway based management, and optimal anticoagulation were developed, with a focus on the elderly.

A Novel Model of Integrated Care of Older Patients With Atrial Fibrillation in Rural China

Background

An integrated management approach is essential to improving outcomes for patients with atrial fibrillation (AF). China's rural health care system, primarily reliant on village doctors, falls short of providing optimal management of AF in rural populations with limited resources and access to health care. To support village doctors in providing integrated care for AF, we have developed a digital health support platform.

Objectives

This study aims to evaluate the effectiveness of this telemedicine-based, village doctor-led, multifaceted care model.

Methods

The MIRACLE-AF (a novel Model of IntegRAted Care of oLdEr patients with Atrial Fibrillation in rural China) trial is a prospective cluster-randomized clinical trial. Thirty village clinics in Jiangdu County, Jiangsu Province, were randomly assigned to village doctor-led telemedicine integrated care or enhanced usual care in a 1:1 ratio. All the patients diagnosed with AF who resided in this rural area and were aged ≥65 years were eligible for enrollment. The primary outcome in stage 1 was the proportion of patients who met all 3 criteria for the atrial fibrillation better care pathway at 12 months, and in stage 2, a composite of cardiovascular death, all strokes including ischemic stroke and hemorrhagic stroke, worsening of heart failure or acute coronary syndrome, and emergency visits due to AF over 36 months.

Results

In total, 1,039 participants were recruited from December 1, 2020, to May 9, 2022, with 524 in the telemedicine care arm and 515 in the enhanced usual care arm. All the enrolled patients are under scheduled follow-up.

Conclusions

The MIRACLE-AF trial will provide evidence for this novel integrated care model for treating rural older patients with AF. (New Model of Integrated Care of Older Patients with Atrial Fibrillation in Rural China; NCT04622514).

The association between left atrial appendage emptying velocity and atrial fibrillation recurrence after radiofrequency catheter ablation in patients with early persistent atrial fibrillation

OBJECTIVE

In the present study, we aimed to explore the association between left atrial appendage emptying velocity (LAAEV) measured by transesophageal echocardiography and atrial fibrillation (AF) recurrence after radiofrequency catheter ablation (RFCA) in patients with early persistent atrial fibrillation (PeAF).

METHODS

We retrospectively analyzed patients with early PeAF who underwent their initial ablation procedure. The echocardiographic and clinical data of the enrolled patients were collected and recorded prior to the operation. Following adjustment for confounding factors, we investigated the relationship between the LAAEV and AF recurrence in patients with early PeAF after radiofrequency ablation.

RESULTS

The proportions of AF recurrence in the low, medium, and high LAAEV groups were 48.8%, 16.0%, and 13.1%, respectively. After adjusting for potential confounding factors, we observed a gradual decrease in the risk of AF recurrence with increasing LAAEV (odds ratio: 0.882, 95% confidence interval: 0.842-0.924, p<0.001). This trend was statistically significant (p<0.001), particularly when comparing the high and low LAAEV groups (odds ratio: 0.033, 95% confidence interval: 0.009-0.116, p<0.001). Curve fitting analysis demonstrated an approximate negative linear association between LAAEV and the probability of AF recurrence.

CONCLUSIONS

Among patients with early PeAF who successfully underwent their first RFCA, we found that the LAAEV within 24 h before the procedure was independently correlated with the risk of AF recurrence. Notably, this association was negative, indicating that higher LAAEV was associated with a lower risk of AF recurrence.

Stereotactic arrhythmia radioablation (STAR) opens a new era in the treatment of arrhythmias?

Tachyarrhythmias are common cardiovascular emergencies encountered in clinical practice. Among these, atrial fibrillation (AF) and ventricular tachycardia (VT) pose significant hazards due to their prevalence and severity. Initially, non-invasive pharmacological antiarrhythmic interventions were the primary treatment modality; however, due to their limited control rates and side effects, invasive therapies have been introduced in recent years. These include catheter ablation, alcohol ablation, cardiac implantable electronic devices, and heart transplantation. Nonetheless, for some patients, invasive treatments do not offer a definitive cure for arrhythmias and carry the risk of recurrence, especially with AF and VT, where the relapse rates are high and the treatment for VT is correlated with the type of tachycardia present. Currently, novel non-invasive treatment methods are emerging, with stereotactic radioablation therapy becoming an effective alternative for the management of refractory tachyarrhythmias. This review provides an overview of the application background of Stereotactic Arrhythmia Radioablation (STAR) therapy and promising results from its use in animal models and clinical applications.

Potentially inappropriate prescribing in polymedicated older adults with atrial fibrillation and multimorbidity: a Swedish national register-based cohort study

Introduction

Current research on potentially inappropriate prescribing (PIP) in polymedicated older adults with atrial fibrillation (AF) and multimorbidity is predominantly focused on PIP of oral anticoagulants (OAC). Our study aimed to assess (i) the overall prevalence of PIP in older multimorbid adults with AF, (ii) potential associated factors of PIP, and (iii) the association of PIP with adverse health outcomes in a nationwide sample of Swedish older adults.

Methods

Swedish national registries were linked to establish a cohort with a 2-year follow-up of older adults (≥65y) who, on 1 January 2017, had a diagnosis of AF and had at least one comorbidity (n = 203,042). PIP was assessed using the reduced STOPP/START version 2 screening tool. The STOPP criteria identify potentially inappropriate prescribed medications (PIM), while the START criteria identify potential prescribing omissions (PPO). PIP is identified as having at least one PIM and/or PPO. Cox regression analyses were conducted to examine the association between PIP and adverse health outcomes: mortality, hospitalisation, stroke, bleeding, and falls.

Results

PIP was highly prevalent in older adults with AF, with both polypharmacy (69.6%) and excessive polypharmacy (85.9%). In the study population, benzodiazepines (22.9%), hypnotic Z-medications (17.8%) and analgesics (8.7%) were the most frequent PIM. Anticoagulants (34.3%), statins (11.1%), vitamin D and calcium (13.4%) were the most frequent PPO. Demographic factors and polypharmacy were associated with different PIM and PPO categories, with the nature of these associations differing based on the specific type of PIM and PPO. The co-occurrence of PIM and PPO, compared to appropriate prescribing, was associated with an increased risk of adverse health outcomes compared to all appropriately prescribed medications: cardiovascular (CV) (Hazard ratio (HR) [95% confidence interval] = 1.97 [1.88-2.07]) and overall mortality (HR = 2.09 [2.03-2.16]), CV (HR = 1.34 [1.30-1.37]) and overall hospitalisation (HR = 1.48 [1.46-1.51]), stroke (HR = 1.93 [1.78-2.10]), bleeding (HR = 1.10 [1.01-1.21]), and falls (HR = 1.63 [1.56-1.71]).

Conclusion

The present study reports a high prevalence of PIP in multimorbid polymedicated older adults with AF. Additionally, a nuanced relationship between prescribing patterns, patient characteristics, and adverse health outcomes was observed. These findings emphasise the importance of implementing tailored interventions to optimise medication management in this patient population.

AI-based derivation of atrial fibrillation phenotypes in the general and critical care populations

BACKGROUND

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is the most common heart arrhythmia worldwide and is linked to a higher risk of mortality and morbidity. To predict AF and AF-related complications, clinical risk scores are commonly employed, but their predictive accuracy is generally limited, given the inherent complexity and heterogeneity of patients with AF. By classifying different presentations of AF into coherent and manageable clinical phenotypes, the development of tailored prevention and treatment strategies can be facilitated. In this study, we propose an artificial intelligence (AI)-based methodology to derive meaningful clinical phenotypes of AF in the general and critical care populations.

METHODS

Our approach employs generative topographic mapping, a probabilistic machine learning method, to identify micro-clusters of patients with similar characteristics. It then identifies macro-cluster regions (clinical phenotypes) in the latent space using Ward's minimum variance method. We applied it to two large cohort databases (UK-Biobank and MIMIC-IV) representing general and critical care populations.

FINDINGS

The proposed methodology showed its ability to derive meaningful clinical phenotypes of AF. Because of its probabilistic foundations, it can enhance the robustness of patient stratification. It also produced interpretable visualisation of complex high-dimensional data, enhancing understanding of the derived phenotypes and their key characteristics. Using our methodology, we identified and characterised clinical phenotypes of AF across diverse patient populations.

INTERPRETATION

Our methodology is robust to noise, can uncover hidden patterns and subgroups, and can elucidate more specific patient profiles, contributing to more robust patient stratification, which could facilitate the tailoring of prevention and treatment programs specific to each phenotype. It can also be applied to other datasets to derive clinically meaningful phenotypes of other conditions.

FUNDING

This study was funded by the DECIPHER project (LJMU QR-PSF) and the EU project TARGET (10113624).

Machine learning-based model to predict composite thromboembolic events among Chinese elderly patients with atrial fibrillation

OBJECTIVE

Accurate prediction of survival prognosis is helpful to guide clinical decision-making. The aim of this study was to develop a model using machine learning techniques to predict the occurrence of composite thromboembolic events (CTEs) in elderly patients with atrial fibrillation(AF). These events encompass newly diagnosed cerebral ischemia events, cardiovascular events, pulmonary embolism, and lower extremity arterial embolism.

METHODS

This retrospective study included 6,079 elderly hospitalized patients (≥ 75 years old) with AF admitted to the People's Liberation Army General Hospital in China from January 2010 to June 2022. Random forest imputation was used for handling missing data. In the descriptive statistics section, patients were divided into two groups based on the occurrence of CTEs, and differences between the two groups were analyzed using chi-square tests for categorical variables and rank-sum tests for continuous variables. In the machine learning section, the patients were randomly divided into a training dataset (n = 4,225) and a validation dataset (n = 1,824) in a 7:3 ratio. Four machine learning models (logistic regression, decision tree, random forest, XGBoost) were trained on the training dataset and validated on the validation dataset.

RESULTS

The incidence of composite thromboembolic events was 19.53%. The Least Absolute Shrinkage and Selection Operator (LASSO) method, using 5-fold cross-validation, was applied to the training dataset and identified a total of 18 features that exhibited a significant association with the occurrence of CTEs. The random forest model outperformed other models in terms of area under the curve (ACC: 0.9144, SEN: 0.7725, SPE: 0.9489, AUC: 0.927, 95% CI: 0.9105-0.9443). The random forest model also showed good clinical validity based on the clinical decision curve. The Shapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) showed that the top five features associated with the model were history of ischemic stroke, high triglyceride (TG), high total cholesterol (TC), high plasma D-dimer, age.

CONCLUSIONS

This study proposes an accurate model to stratify patients with a high risk of CTEs. The random forest model has good performance. History of ischemic stroke, age, high TG, high TC and high plasma D-Dimer may be correlated with CTEs.

Atrial Fibrillation Prediction Based on Recurrence Plot and ResNet

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is the most prevalent form of arrhythmia, with a rising incidence and prevalence worldwide, posing significant implications for public health. In this paper, we introduce an approach that combines the Recurrence Plot (RP) technique and the ResNet architecture to predict AF. Our method involves three main steps: using wavelet filtering to remove noise interference; generating RPs through phase space reconstruction; and employing a multi-level chained residual network for AF prediction. To validate our approach, we established a comprehensive database consisting of electrocardiogram (ECG) recordings from 1008 AF patients and 48,292 Non-AF patients, with a total of 2067 and 93,129 ECGs, respectively. The experimental results demonstrated high levels of prediction precision (90.5%), recall (89.1%), F1 score (89.8%), accuracy (93.4%), and AUC (96%) on our dataset. Moreover, when tested on a publicly available AF dataset (AFPDB), our method achieved even higher prediction precision (94.8%), recall (99.4%), F1 score (97.0%), accuracy (97.0%), and AUC (99.7%). These findings suggest that our proposed method can effectively extract subtle information from ECG signals, leading to highly accurate AF predictions.

Borderline personality disorder and risk of atrial fibrillation: insights from a bidirectional Mendelian randomization study

Background

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is one of the most common form of arrhythmia. Previous studies have shown a link between AF and mental illness. However, the causal relationship between mental illness and AF remains unclear. The purpose of this study was to investigate the bidirectional causal relationship between borderline personality disorder (BPD) and AF.

Method

We used the bidirectional Two-sample Mendelian randomization (TSMR) method to evaluate the causal relationship between BPD and AF. Instrumental variables associated with BPD were derived from a genome-wide association study involving 214,816 Europeans (2,637 cases and 212,179 controls). We then obtained atrial fibrillation data from the GWAS meta-analysis (60,620 cases and 970,216 controls). The TSMR analyses were performed in five methods, namely fixed-effect inverse-variance weighted (IVW) method、random-effect IVW method, MR Egger regression method, Weighted median method and Simple mode method. Several sensitivity analyses are used to test the robustness of positive results.

Results

The fixed-effect inverse-variance weighted model [Odds ratio (OR), 1.033, 95% confidence interval (CI), 1.011-1.056, P = 0.0031], random-effect inverse-variance weighted model (OR, 1.033; 95%CI, 1.005-1.062; P = 0.0191) and Weighted median (OR, 1.034; 95%CI, 1.002-1.068; P = 0.0394) all showed that genetically predicted BPD was associated with an increased risk of AF. Sensitivity analysis using other MR Methods, including the MR-Egger intercept, MR-Presso method, and leave-one-out analyses, showed that the results were robust. In reverse MR analysis, there was no causal relationship of AF on BPD.

Conclusion

Our study provides a causal relationship between BPD and AF. This means that patients with BPD should be monitored for the occurrence of AF. Early screening and proper management of BPD may show anti-arrhythmic benefits.

Global burden of atrial fibrillation/atrial flutter and its attributable risk factors from 1990 to 2021

AIMS

To devise effective preventive measures, a profound understanding of the evolving patterns and trends in atrial fibrillation (AF) and atrial flutter (AFL) burdens is pivotal. Our study was designed to quantify the burden and delineate the risk factors associated with AF and AFL across 204 countries and territories spanning 1990-2021.

METHODS AND RESULTS

Data pertaining to AF and AFL were sourced from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021. The burden of AF/AFL was evaluated using metrics such as incidence, disability-adjusted life years (DALYs), deaths, and their corresponding age-standardized rates (ASRs), stratified by age, sex, socio-demographic index (SDI), and human development index (HDI). The estimated annual percentage change was employed to quantify changes in ASRs. Population attributable fractions were calculated to determine the proportional contributions of major risk factors to age-standardized AF/AFL deaths. This analysis encompassed the period from 1990 to 2021. Globally, in 2021, there were 4.48 million incident cases [95% uncertainty interval (UI): 3.61-5.70], 8.36 million DALYs (95% UI: 6.97-10.13) and 0.34 million deaths (95% UI: 0.29-0.37) attributed to AF/AFL. The AF/AFL burden in 2021, as well as its trends from 1990 to 2021, displayed substantial variations based on gender, SDI quintiles, and geographical regions. High systolic blood pressure emerged as the leading contributor to age-standardized AF/AFL incidence, prevalence, death, and DALY rate globally among all potential risk factors, followed closely by high body mass index.

CONCLUSION

Our study underscores the enduring significance of AF/AFL as a prominent public health concern worldwide, marked by profound regional and national variations. Despite the substantial potential for prevention and management of AF/AFL, there is a pressing imperative to adopt more cost-effective strategies and interventions to target modifiable risk factors, particularly in areas where the burden of AF/AFL is high or escalating.

High Prevalence of Atrial Fibrillation Found in the Capital of Greenland When Using Continuous Electrocardiogram Monitoring: A Cross-Sectional Study

Background

Atrial fibrillation (AF) increases the risk of conditions such as ischemic stroke, dementia, and heart failure, and early detection is crucial. In Greenland, ischemic strokes are common, and the prevalences of AF risk factors are increasing. Studies based on 30-second electrocardiograms (ECGs) and diagnosis codes so far have indicated either a low prevalence of AF or a prevalence comparable to that in other Western countries, such as Denmark. However, using short, single-point ECGs may underestimate the true prevalence, as especially paroxysmal AF can be missed. With this study, we aim to estimate the prevalence of AF using 3-5-day continuous Holter recordings among people in Nuuk, the capital of Greenland.

Methods

In this cross-sectional study, we estimated the prevalence of AF among the population aged ≥ 50 years in Greenland's capital, Nuuk. We used an ePatch to record continuous ECGs for 3-5 days, and questionnaires to assess demographic data, comorbidities, medication, symptoms, and risk factors for AF.

Results

Of 226 participants (62% women), 21 (33% women) had either self-reported AF, AF on the recording, or both, equivalent to a prevalence of 9.3% (confidence interval [CI] 5.8-13.9). The age-stratified prevalence was 7.2% (CI 2.7-15.1) among those aged 50-59 years; 8.8% (CI 4.1-16.1) among those aged 60-69 years; and 18.2% (CI 7.0-35.5) among those aged ≥ 70 years.

Conclusions

This study provides a novel insight into AF prevalence in Nuuk, emphasizing the potential underestimation in previous studies. Continuous ECG monitoring revealed a higher prevalence, especially among the younger age groups, urging a reevaluation of diagnostic practices in this unique population.

Supermarket/hypermarket opportunistic screening for atrial fibrillation (SHOPS-AF) using sensors embedded in the handles of supermarket trolleys: A feasibility study

BACKGROUND

Atrial fibrillation (AF) increases the risk of death, stroke, heart failure, cognitive decline, and healthcare costs but is often asymptomatic and undiagnosed. There is currently no national screening program for AF. The advent of validated hand-held devices allows AF to be detected in non-healthcare settings, enabling screening to be undertaken within the community.

METHOD AND RESULTS

In this novel observational study, we embedded a MyDiagnostick single lead ECG sensor into the handles of shopping trolleys in four supermarkets in the Northwest of England: 2155 participants were recruited. Of these, 231 participants either activated the sensor or had an irregular pulse, suggesting AF. Some participants agreed to use the sensor but refused to provide their contact details, or consent to pulse assessment. In addition, some data were missing, resulting in 203 participants being included in the final analyses. Fifty-nine participants (mean age 73.6 years, 43% female) were confirmed or suspected of having AF; 20 were known to have AF and 39 were previously undiagnosed. There was no evidence of AF in 115 participants and the remaining 46 recordings were non-diagnostic, mainly due to artefact. Men and older participants were significantly more likely to have newly diagnosed AF. Due to the number of non-diagnostic ECGs (n = 46), we completed three levels of analyses, excluding all non-diagnostic ECGs, assuming all non-diagnostic ECGs were masking AF, and assuming all non-diagnostic ECGs were not AF. Based on the results of the three analyses, the sensor's sensitivity (95% CI) ranged from 0.70 to 0.93; specificity from 0.15 to 0.97; positive predictive values (PPV) and negative predictive values (NPV) ranged from 0.24 to 0.56 and 0.55 to 1.00, respectively. These values should be interpreted with caution, as the ideal reference standard on 1934 participants was imperfect.

CONCLUSION

The study demonstrates that the public will engage with AF screening undertaken as part of their daily routines using hand-held devices. Sensors can play a key role in identifying asymptomatic patients in this way, but the technology must be further developed to reduce the quantity of non-diagnostic ECGs.

Cryoballoon pulmonary vein isolation versus radiofrequency ablation of the pulmonary veins and left atrial posterior wall: Patient-reported outcomes

BACKGROUND

Data are lacking on patient-reported outcomes (PRO) following cryoballoon ablation (CBA) versus radiofrequency ablation (RFA). We sought to evaluate QoL and clinical outcomes of cryoballoon pulmonary vein isolation only (CRYO-PVI-ONLY) versus RFA with PVI and posterior wall isolation (RF-PVI+PWI) in a large prospective PRO registry.

METHODS

Patients who underwent AF ablation (2013-2016) at our institution were enrolled in an automated, prospectively maintained PRO registry. CRYO-PVI-ONLY patients were matched (1:1) with RF-PVI+PWI patients based on age, gender, and type of AF (paroxysmal vs. persistent). QoL and clinical outcomes were assessed using PRO surveys at baseline and at 1-year. The atrial fibrillation symptom severity scale (AFSSS) was the measure for QoL. Additionally, we assessed patient-reported clinical improvement, arrhythmia recurrence, and AF burden (as indicated by AF frequency and duration scores).

RESULTS

A total of 296 patients were included (148 in each group, 72% paroxysmal). By PRO, a significant improvement in QoL was observed in the overall study population and was comparable between CRYO-PVI-ONLY and RF-PVI+PWI (baseline median AFSSS of 11.5 and 11; reduced to 2 and 4 at 1 year, respectively; p = 0.44). Similarly, the proportion of patients who reported improvement in their overall QoL and AF related symptoms was high and similar between the study groups [92% (CRYO-PVI-ONLY) vs. 92.8% (RF-PVI+PWI); p = 0.88]. Arrhythmia recurrence was significantly more common in the CRYO-PVI-ONLY group (39.7%) compared to RF-PVI+PWI (27.7 %); p = 0.03. Comparable results were observed in paroxysmal and persistent AF.

CONCLUSION

CRYO-PVI-ONLY and RF-PVI+PWI resulted in comparable improvements in patient reported outcomes including QoL and AF burden; with RF-PVI+PWI being more effective at reducing recurrences.

Fibrinaloid Microclots and Atrial Fibrillation

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is a comorbidity of a variety of other chronic, inflammatory diseases for which fibrinaloid microclots are a known accompaniment (and in some cases, a cause, with a mechanistic basis). Clots are, of course, a well-known consequence of atrial fibrillation. We here ask the question whether the fibrinaloid microclots seen in plasma or serum may in fact also be a cause of (or contributor to) the development of AF. We consider known 'risk factors' for AF, and in particular, exogenous stimuli such as infection and air pollution by particulates, both of which are known to cause AF. The external accompaniments of both bacterial (lipopolysaccharide and lipoteichoic acids) and viral (SARS-CoV-2 spike protein) infections are known to stimulate fibrinaloid microclots when added in vitro, and fibrinaloid microclots, as with other amyloid proteins, can be cytotoxic, both by inducing hypoxia/reperfusion and by other means. Strokes and thromboembolisms are also common consequences of AF. Consequently, taking a systems approach, we review the considerable evidence in detail, which leads us to suggest that it is likely that microclots may well have an aetiological role in the development of AF. This has significant mechanistic and therapeutic implications.

Comparing the Real-World and Clinical Trial Bleeding Rates Associated with Oral Anticoagulation Treatment for Atrial Fibrillation

Background The prevention of stroke in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) involves the use of oral anticoagulation, commonly in the form of direct oral anticoagulants (DOACs). However, it comes with an increased risk of bleeding, and therefore, counselling patients on their individual risks is important. Although the majority of patients initiated on DOACs have been represented within the clinical trials, some cohorts are under-represented in whom clinicians cannot practice evidence-based medicine. Methods Utilising the pooled clinical trial (CT) data sourced from Medidata Enterprise Data Store, five recent open-label industry-sponsored AF trials were compared with real-world data (RWD) sourced from the HealthVerity™ Marketplace with the occurrence of bleeding events as the primary outcome of interest. Results A total of 64,421 patients were included in the analysis, with 3207 patients from the clinical DOAC trials and 61,214 patients from the RWD cohort. Overall, the patients from the RWD cohort had more co-morbidities, were older (72.2 ± 11.9 vs. 65.3 ± 10.7 years old, p < 0.001), had higher mean CHA2DS2VASc (3.98 ± 1.9 vs. 2.87 ± 1.73, p < 0.001), and HAD-BLED scores (2.13 ± 1.02 vs. 1/04 ± 0.93, p < 0.001) when compared to the trial data. When comparing the incidence of the first major bleed at 12 months post-treatment initiation, rates in the RWD cohort were significantly higher (10.69 vs. 18.97 per 100 person-years). The impact of co-morbidities such as age, CHA2DS2VASc, and HAD-BLED scores was similar in both cohorts; however, there was an under-representation of older females and more co-morbid patients within the clinical trial cohort. Conclusions DOAC-treated patients have a higher bleeding incidence rate in the RWD cohort than in clinical trials. This can be explained by the older patient age group with more complex medical h istories and higher HAS-BLED scores. The under-representation of higher-risk patients and lower proportion of females within clinical trials should be addressed to better translate clinical trial data into real-world clinical practice.

Utility of polygenic scores across diverse diseases in a hospital cohort for predictive modeling

Polygenic scores estimate genetic susceptibility to diseases. We systematically calculated polygenic scores across 457 phenotypes using genotyping array data from China Medical University Hospital. Logistic regression models assessed polygenic scores' ability to predict disease traits. The polygenic score model with the highest accuracy, based on maximal area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC), is provided on the GeneAnaBase website of the hospital. Our findings indicate 49 phenotypes with AUC greater than 0.6, predominantly linked to endocrine and metabolic diseases. Notably, hyperplasia of the prostate exhibited the highest disease prediction ability (P value = 1.01 × 10-19, AUC = 0.874), highlighting the potential of these polygenic scores in preventive medicine and diagnosis. This study offers a comprehensive evaluation of polygenic scores performance across diverse human traits, identifying promising applications for precision medicine and personalized healthcare, thereby inspiring further research and development in this field.

The Cost of Atrial Fibrillation: A Systematic Review

OBJECTIVES

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is the most common cardiac arrhythmia, with an increasing incidence and prevalence because of progressively aging populations. Costs related to AF are both direct and indirect. This systematic review aims to identify the main cost drivers of the illness, assess the potential economic impact resulting from changes in care strategies, and propose interventions where they are most needed.

METHODS

A systematic literature search of the PubMed and Scopus databases was performed to identify analytical observational studies defining the cost of illness in cases of AF. The search strategy was based on the PRISMA (Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses) 2020 recommendations.

RESULTS

Of the 944 articles retrieved, 24 met the inclusion criteria. These studies were conducted in several countries. All studies calculated the direct medical costs, whereas 8 of 24 studies assessed indirect costs. The median annual direct medical cost per patient, considering all studies, was €9409 (13 333 US dollars in purchasing power parities), with a very large variability due to the heterogeneity of different analyses. Hospitalization costs are generally the main cost drivers. Comorbidities and complications, such as stroke, considerably increase the average annual direct medical cost of AF.

CONCLUSIONS

In most of the analyzed studies, inpatient care cost represents the main component of the mean direct medical cost per patient. Stroke and heart failure are responsible for a large share of the total costs; therefore, implementing guidelines to manage comorbidities in AF is a necessary step to improve health and mitigate healthcare costs.

Cryoablation Utilizing the KODEX-EPD Mapping System Versus Conventional Cryoballoon Ablation in the Management of Patients With Atrial Fibrillation: A Literature Review and Meta-Analysis

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is the most commonly encountered cardiac arrhythmia globally. AF is associated with different consequences, such as peripheral vascular embolism, stroke, dementia, heart failure, and death. Catheter ablation (CA) has become a reliable therapeutic option for symptomatic AF. Utilizing mapping systems in conducting cryoablation is supposed to improve pulmonary vein isolation (PVI) durability and overall treatment success rate. We performed a review of relevant articles. We formulated a search strategy as follows: (atrial fibrillation AND ("cryoballoon ablation" OR cryoablation) AND (KODEX-EPD AND KODEX OR mapping). Data were collected from Web of Science, PubMed, Cochrane Library, and SCOPUS databases. We assessed the efficacy, procedural characteristics, and safety of cryoablation using the KODEX-EPD mapping system versus conventional cryoablation. We demonstrated the superiority of cryoablation guided by the KODEX-EPD system as it was associated with a significantly lower recurrence rate after the procedure (RR = 0.61, P = 0.03). Furthermore, it allowed a significant reduction in the volume of contrast medium used during the procedure (MD = -20.46, P = 0.04) when compared to the conventional cryoablation. We found no significant difference between both procedures in terms of successful cryoballoon-based PVI (P = 1.00), procedural duration (P = 0.95), procedural complications (P = 0.607), fluoroscopic time (P = 0.36), and fluoroscopic dose (P = 0.16). The use of the novel KODEX-EPD mapping system in the cryoablation procedure was associated with a significant reduction of the volume of contrast medium use and the recurrence rate compared with the conventional cryoablation while preserving similar efficacy, safety profile, and procedure time.

Determining The Risk of Atrial Fibrillation Paroxysm in Patients With Chronic Heart Failure With Intact and Reduced Ejection Fraction

AIM

To determine predictors for the development of atrial fibrillation (AF) in patients with chronic heart failure (CHF) with preserved and reduced ejection fraction by echocardiography (EchoCG) according to an extended protocol with determination of diastolic function and left atrial global strain.

MATERIAL AND METHODS

Data of 168 patients with stage I-III CHF without a history of AF were analyzed. All patients underwent echocardiography according to an extended protocol with the determination of diastolic dysfunction (DD), left atrial ejection fraction (LA EF), and left atrial global strain (LA GS). Tissue Doppler imaging (TDI) was used to evaluate the early (E) and late (A) LV filling velocity and the early (E') and late (A') diastolic mitral annular velocity. In all patients, Holter ECG monitoring (HM ECG) of heart rhythm was performed for 3 days, and ECG monitoring with telemedicine technologies was performed for 7 days, 3 times a day for 3 minutes. The follow-up period was 3 months or until an AF episode.

RESULTS

During the study, paroxysmal AF (pAF) was detected in 41 (24.4%) patients using various methods of heart rhythm monitoring. Complaints of palpitations were noted for 10 (24.4%) patients during pAF, which was recorded using a CardioQVARK® device, HM ECG or a 12-lead ECG. In 5 (12.2%) patients, daily ECG monitoring revealed pAF without associated complaints. HM ECG detected 8, 2, 4 (19.5%, 4.8%, and 9.7%) cases during 24, 48 and 72 hours, respectively; a single-channel CardioQVARK® detected 30 (73.2%) cases when used 3 times a day for 7 days. These results showed that AF frequently develops in CHF without accompanying symptoms. The method for detecting pAF with CardioQVARK® showed good results: it was twice more effective than HM ECG and three times more effective than 12-lead ECG. Also, according to ultrasound data, significant changes in the following parameters were noted in patients with AF: LA EF <36% (OR 1.04, 95% CI: 1.02-1.08), p=0.003; LA GS <9.9% (OR 1.16, 95% CI: 1.02-1.38), p<0.001; TDI E med <5.7 cm/s (OR 0.97, 95% CI: 0.94-1.00), p=0.026. Grade 2 DD did not show statistically significant results (OR 1.1, 95% CI: 0.7-1.5, p=0.54). However, it was detected more frequently in patients with AF, in 34% of cases, compared to 29% of cases in patients without AF, which requires further study on a larger patient sample.

CONCLUSION

Patients with CHF have a high risk of developing pAF (24.4%). 75% of patients with AF do not feel the development of paroxysm. All CHF patients should undergo EchoCG with assessment of LA EF, TDI E med and LA GS to identify a group at risk for the development of AF. Heart rhythm remote monitoring with CardioQVARK® devices can be considered a reliable method for early detection of pAF and timely initiation of anticoagulant therapy in patients with CHF.

Enhancing the evaluation of acute ischemic stroke risk in individuals with non-valvular atrial fibrillation by including laboratory indicators

To investigate the clinical significance of the CHA2DS2-VASc-60 score, lipoprotein (a) [Lp(a)], red blood cell distribution width (RDW), and their combined effect in patients with non-valvular atrial fibrillation (NVAF) who experience acute ischemic stroke (AIS). This retrospective analysis was conducted on the clinical data of hospitalized patients with NVAF at the Third Affiliated Hospital of Anhui Medical University between April 1, 2020, and April 1, 2023. Based on the diagnosis of acute ischemic stroke (AIS), the patients were divided into two groups: the AIS group (150 cases of NVAF patients with comorbid AIS) and the non-AIS group (163 cases of NVAF patients without AIS). We performed CHA2DS2-VASc-60 scoring for all patients and collected their laboratory indicators and echocardiographic indicators during hospitalization. The study comprised 313 individuals with NVAF in total. There is a statistically significant difference (P < 0.05) in the comparison of CHA2DS2-VASc-60 score (5.68 ± 1.12 vs. 3.67 ± 1.47), Lp(a) [23.98 (13.28, 42.22) vs. 14.32 (7.96, 21.91)] and RDW (13.67 ± 1.25 vs. 12.94 ± 0.76) between NVAF patients with and without concomitant AIS. The results of the Spearman correlation analysis demonstrate a positive association between Lp(a) and RDW levels and both the CHA2DS2-VASc score and the CHA2DS2-VASc-60 score in patients with NVAF. Multivariate logistic regression analysis revealed that CHA2DS2-VASc-60 score [OR = 6.549, 95% CI: 4.110-10.433, P < 0.05], Lp(a) [OR = 1.023, 95% CI: 1.005-1.041, P < 0.05], and RDW [OR = 1.644, 95% CI: 1.071-2.525, P < 0.05] were independent risk factors for AIS in patients with non-valvular atrial fibrillation (NVAF). The receiver operator characteristic (ROC) curves showed that the area under the curve of CHA2DS2-VASc-60 score, Lp(a), RDW, and CHA2DS2-VASc-60 score combined with Lp(a) and RDW predicted that NVAF patients with AIS were 0.881 [95% CI: 0.804-0.906], 0.685 [95% CI: 0.626-0.744], 0.695 [95% CI: 0.637-0.754], and 0.906 [95% CI: 0.845-0.921], respectively. The CHA2DS2-VASc-60 score, Lp(a), and RDW were significantly increased in NVAF patients with AIS, which were independent risk factors for NVAF patients with AIS. The combination of the three has a high predictive capacity for NVAF patients with AIS.

Optoelectronic control of cardiac rhythm: Toward shock-free ambulatory cardioversion of atrial fibrillation

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is the most prevalent cardiac arrhythmia, progressive in nature, and known to have a negative impact on mortality, morbidity, and quality of life. Patients requiring acute termination of AF to restore sinus rhythm are subjected to electrical cardioversion, which requires sedation and therefore hospitalization due to pain resulting from the electrical shocks. However, considering the progressive nature of AF and its detrimental effects, there is a clear need for acute out-of-hospital (i.e., ambulatory) cardioversion of AF. In the search for shock-free cardioversion methods to realize such ambulatory therapy, a method referred to as optogenetics has been put forward. Optogenetics enables optical control over the electrical activity of cardiomyocytes by targeted expression of light-activated ion channels or pumps and may therefore serve as a means for cardioversion. First proof-of-principle for such light-induced cardioversion came from in vitro studies, proving optogenetic AF termination to be very effective. Later, these results were confirmed in various rodent models of AF using different transgenes, illumination methods, and protocols, whereas computational studies in the human heart provided additional translational insight. Based on these results and fueled by recent advances in molecular biology, gene therapy, and optoelectronic engineering, a basis is now being formed to explore clinical translations of optoelectronic control of cardiac rhythm. In this review, we discuss the current literature regarding optogenetic cardioversion of AF to restore normal rhythm in a shock-free manner. Moreover, key translational steps will be discussed, both from a biological and technological point of view, to outline a path toward realizing acute shock-free ambulatory termination of AF.

Atrial fibrillation: comorbidities, lifestyle, and patient factors

Modern anticoagulation therapy has dramatically reduced the risk of stroke and systemic thromboembolism in people with atrial fibrillation (AF). However, AF still impairs quality of life, increases the risk of stroke and heart failure, and is linked to cognitive impairment. There is also a recognition of the residual risk of thromboembolic complications despite anticoagulation. Hence, AF management is evolving towards a more comprehensive understanding of risk factors predisposing to the development of this arrhythmia, its' complications and interventions to mitigate the risk. This review summarises the recent advances in understanding of risk factors for incident AF and managing these risk factors. It includes a discussion of lifestyle, somatic, psychological, and socioeconomic risk factors. The available data call for a practice shift towards a more individualised approach considering an increasingly broader range of health and patient factors contributing to AF-related health burden. The review highlights the needs of people living with co-morbidities (especially with multimorbidity), polypharmacy and the role of the changing population demographics affecting the European region and globally.

Association of Prediabetes and Recurrent Stroke in Atrial Fibrillation Patients: A Population-Based Analysis of Hospitalizations and Outcomes

Prediabetes is a risk factor for ischemic stroke in atrial fibrillation (AF) patients, yet, its impact on recurrent stroke in AF patients remains understudied. Using the 2018 National Inpatient Sample, we investigated the link between Prediabetes and recurrent stroke in AF patients with prior stroke or transient ischemic attack (TIA). Among 18,905 non-diabetic AF patients, 480 (2.5%) had prediabetes. The prediabetic group, with a median age of 78, exhibited a two-fold higher risk of recurrent stroke compared to the non-prediabetic cohort (median age 82), as evidenced by both unadjusted (OR 2.14, 95% CI 1.72-2.66) and adjusted (adjusted for socio-demographics/comorbidities, OR 2.09, 95% CI 1.65-2.64, p < 0.001). The prediabetes cohort, comprising more male and Black patients, demonstrated associations with higher Medicaid enrollment, admissions from certain regions, and higher rates of hyperlipidemia, smoking, peripheral vascular disease, obesity, and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (all p < 0.05). Despite higher rates of home health care and increased hospital costs in the prediabetes group, the adjusted odds of all-cause mortality were not statistically significant (OR 0.55, 95% CI 0.19-1.56, p = 0.260). The findings of this study suggest that clinicians should be vigilant in managing prediabetes in AF patients, and strategies to prevent recurrent stroke in this high-risk population should be considered.

Association between Obesity and Heart Failure and Related Atrial Fibrillation: Patient-Level Data Comparisons of Two Cohort Studies

PURPOSE

Heart failure (HF) and atrial fibrillation (AF) frequently coexist, with over 50% patients with HF having AF, while one-third of those with AF develop HF. Differences in obesity-mediated association between HF and HF-related AF among Asians and Europeans were evaluated.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Using the Korean National Health Insurance Service-Health Screening (K-NHIS-HealS) cohort and the UK Biobank, we included 394801 Korean and 476883 UK adults, respectively aged 40-70 years. The incidence and risk of HF were evaluated based on body mass index (BMI).

RESULTS

The proportion of obese individuals was significantly higher in the UK Biobank cohort than in the K-NHIS-HealS cohort (24.2% vs. 2.7%, p<0.001). The incidence of HF and HF-related AF was higher among the obese in the UK than in Korea. The risk of HF was higher among the British than in Koreans, with adjusted hazard ratios of 1.82 [95% confidence interval (CI), 1.30-2.55] in K-NHIS-HealS and 2.00 (95% CI, 1.69-2.37) in UK Biobank in obese participants (p for interaction <0.001). A 5-unit increase in BMI was associated with a 44% greater risk of HF-related AF in the UK Biobank cohort (p<0.001) but not in the K-NHIS-HealS cohort (p=0.277).

CONCLUSION

Obesity was associated with an increased risk of HF and HF-related AF in both Korean and UK populations. The higher incidence in the UK population was likely due to the higher proportion of obese individuals.

Potentially inappropriate prescribing in multimorbid and polymedicated older adults with AF: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

AIM

Polypharmacy in multimorbid older patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) is a risk factor for potentially inappropriate prescribing (PIP). We aimed to systematically assess the evidence on the prevalence of PIP and its impact on adverse health outcomes in this patient group.

METHODS

A systematic search of the published peer-reviewed literature describing the prevalence of PIP and/or its association with adverse health outcomes in multimorbid (AF plus one comorbidity) and polymedicated (≥ 2 drugs) adults ≥ 65 years was done up to March 2023. A meta-analysis of the prevalence of PIP of (direct) oral anticoagulants ((D)OACs) was conducted using a random-effects model. Leave-one-out analysis was performed with R (version 4.2.2) and RStudio (version 2022.12.0+353).

RESULTS

Of the 12 studies included, only one reported on the prevalence of overall PIP (65%). The meta-analysis of 10 studies assessing PIP of (D)OACs produced a pooled prevalence [95% confidence interval (CI)] of 35% [30-40%], with significant heterogeneity between the included studies (I2 95%). No statistically significant association was reported in three studies between PIP of (D)OACs, cardiovascular (CV) and all-cause mortality, hospital readmission, CV hospitalisation and stroke. Reported associations between PIP and major bleeding differed, with one study demonstrating a significant association (odds ratio 2.17; 95% CI 1.14-4.12) and the other study not showing such association.

CONCLUSION

This systematic review highlights the scarce evidence regarding the prevalence of PIP and its association with adverse health outcomes in multimorbid older adults with AF. Large, prospective and better-designed studies are needed.

Association of Atrial Fibrillation with Insomnia in the Elderly Population

INTRODUCTION/OBJECTIVES

Insomnia is a common sleep disorders that affects most individuals in the United States, and worldwide. Insomnia is linked with an increased risk of atrial fibrillation (AF) in adults, although the strengths of association were weak, especially in the elderly population. AF is estimated to affect approximately 3 to 6 million people in the United States. We studied the association of AF with insomnia in the elderly population.

METHODS

We reviewed the electronic medical records of elderly patients who received care in an internal medicine office from July 1, 2020 through June 30, 2021. Patients were grouped into AF group, and a group without AF (NOAF). Association of insomnia and other variables were compared between the 2 groups.

RESULTS

Among 2428 patients, 341 (14%) had AF. Patients in the AF group were significantly older compared to no-AF group (80.3 ± 7.9 vs 76.1 ± 7.4 years; P < .001). A higher frequency of men was noted in AF group versus NOAF group (54.3 vs 42.0%; P < .001). The frequency of insomnia was significantly higher in AF group versus NOAF group (14.1 vs 9.5%; P < .05). Additionally, greater frequencies of associations of other comorbid medical conditions were noted in the AF group compared to NOAF group, such as cerebrovascular accident (CVA; 12.9 vs 5.4%; P < .001), transient ischemic attack (TIA; 7.0 vs 3.0%; P < .001), dementia (5.9 vs 3.3%; P < .05), coronary artery disease (CAD; 34.9 vs 18.3%; P < .001), congestive heart failure (CHF; 21.1 vs 3.8%; P < .001), other cardiac arrhythmias (53.4 vs 6.3%; P < .001), chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD; 12.3 vs 5.7%; P < .001), obstructive sleep apnea (OSA; 17.6 vs 11.8%; P = .003), chronic kidney disease (CKD; 22.9 vs 11.9%; P < .001), anemia (23.2 vs 13.0%; P < .001), and cancer (36.1 vs 27.9%; P = .002). There was significantly greater odds of AF in patients who had insomnia (OR = 1.972, CI = 1.360-2.851; P < .001).

CONCLUSION

AF was associated with insomnia in the elderly population. Higher frequencies of association of AF were also seen with older age, male sex, White race, CVA, TIA, dementia, CAD, CHF, other cardiac arrhythmias, COPD, OSA, CKD, anemia, and cancer.

[Predictors of atrial fibrillation recurrence after biatrial cryo-maze procedure: a systematic review]

Today, the issue of atrial fibrillation recurrence after ablation is increasingly discussed in the literature. Many authors analyze the factors predicting success or failure of cryo-maze procedure. This review is devoted to predictors of atrial fibrillation recurrence in long-term period after biatrial cryo-maze procedure. Primary screening identified 48 studies. There were 27 articles after removing duplicate articles, case reports and articles with unavailable full-text versions. Two independent researchers reviewed the full-text articles and enrolled 11 and 14 articles, respectively. After collegial discussion and involving the third researcher, we selected 13 articles for final analysis. It was established that atrial enlargement and duration of atrial fibrillation are the main independent predictors of recurrence in long-term period.

Feasibility study of cryoballoon ablation for atrial fibrillation with KODEX-EPD: a single center experience

To evaluate the feasibility of cryoballoon (CB) ablation of atrial fibrillation (AF) under the guidance of a new three-dimensional (3D) mapping system KODEX-EPD. 40 patients scheduled for CB ablation of AF in the first affiliated Hospital of Xinjiang Medical University from August 2021 to July 2022 were randomly divided into two groups: KODEX-EPD 3D mapping system guidance group (KODEX group, n = 20) and conventional two-dimensional perspective group (standard group, n = 20). The ablation time, operation time, fluoroscopy time, fluoroscopy dose, contrast agent dosage and follow-up data were compared between the two groups. Besides, the feasibility and accuracy of the dielectric sensing system in evaluating pulmonary vein (PV) occlusion in patients with AF during CB ablation were verified. All pulmonary veins were being isolated. The ablation time (36.40 ± 6.72 min vs 35.15 ± 6.29 min, P > 0.05) and the operation time (64.20 ± 11.82 min vs 66.00 ± 13.18 min, P > 0.05) were not statistically different in the two groups. The standard group has longer fluoroscopy time, dose and contrast medium dosage. There were significant differences in fluoroscopy time (532.30 ± 72.83 s vs 676.25 ± 269.33 s, P < 0.05), fluoroscopy dose (110.00 ± 28.64 mGy vs 144.68 ± 66.66 mGy, P < 0.05), and contrast medium dosage (71.90 ± 5.97 ml vs 76.05 ± 5.93 ml, P < 0.05) between the two groups. The learning curves of the first 5 patients and the last 15 patients in the KODEX group were compared. There was no statistical difference in the ablation time (36.80 ± 8.56 min vs 36.27 ± 6.34 min, P > 0.05) or the operation time (69.00 ± 5.00 min vs 62.60 ± 13.10 min, P > 0.05); however, compared to the first 5 patients, fluoroscopy time (587.40 ± 38.34 s vs 513.93 ± 73.02 s, P < 0.05), fluoroscopy dose (147.85 ± 35.19 mGy vs 97.39 ± 8.80 mGy, P < 0.05) and contrast medium dosage (79.60 ± 1.14 ml vs 69.33 ± 4.45 ml, P < 0.05) were significantly decreased. Using pulmonary venography as the gold standard, the sensitivity, specificity of the completely occlusion in KODEX group was 93.6% (95% CI 85-97.6%) and 69.6% (95% CI 54-81.8%); and the sensitivity, specificity of the small leak in KODEX group was 93.1% (95% CI 82.4-97.8%) and 82.0% (95% CI 65.9-91.9%). During an average follow-up of (9.90 ± 1.06) months, there was no statistical difference in arrhythmia recurrence and antiarrhythmic drugs taking after CB ablation between the two groups (P > 0.05). Using the KODEX-EPD system, the CB ablation procedure can correctly evaluate the PV occlusion, and significantly reduce fluoroscopy exposure and contrast medium without significantly increasing the operation time.

Stroke in Patients with Atrial Fibrillation: Epidemiology, Screening, and Prognosis

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is the most common sustained arrythmia and one of the strongest risk factors and causal mechanisms of ischemic stroke (IS). Acute IS due to AF tends to be more severe than with other etiology of IS and patients with treated AF have reported to experience worse outcomes after endovascular treatment compared with patients without AF. As cardioembolism accounts for more than a fifth of ISs and the risk of future stroke can be mitigated with effective anticoagulation, which has been shown to be effective and safe in patients with paroxysmal or sustained AF, the screening of patients with cryptogenic IS (CIS) for AF is paramount. Embolic stroke of undetermined source (ESUS) is a subtype of CIS with a high likelihood of cardioembolism. The European Stroke Organization and European Society of Cardiology guidelines recommend at least 72 h of screening when AF is suspected. The longer the screening and the earlier the time point after acute IS, the more likely the AF paroxysm is found. Several methods are available for short-term screening of AF, including in-hospital monitoring and wearable electrocardiogram recorders for home monitoring. Implantable loop monitors provide an effective long-term method to screen patients with high risk of AF after IS and artificial intelligence and convolutional neural networks may enhance the efficacy of AF screening in the future. Direct oral anticoagulants (DOACs) are preferred over vitamin K antagonists in both primary and secondary prevention of IS in AF patients. Recent data from the randomized controlled trials (RCT) also suggest that early initiation of DOAC treatment after acute IS is safe compared to later initiation. Anticoagulation treatment may still predispose for intracranial bleeding, particularly among patients with prior cerebrovascular events. Left atrial appendix closure offers an optional treatment choice for patients with prior intracranial hemorrhage and may offer an alternative to oral anticoagulation even for patients with IS, but these indications await validation in ongoing RCTs. There are still controversies related to the association of found AF paroxysms in CIS patients with prolonged screening, pertaining to the optimal duration of screening and screening strategies with prolonged monitoring techniques in patients with ESUS. In this review, we summarize the current knowledge of epidemiology, screening, and prognosis in AF patients with stroke.

Catheter ablation approach and outcome in HIV+ patients with recurrent atrial fibrillation

INTRODUCTION

Earlier studies have shown a clear association between severity of human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) infection and incident atrial fibrillation (AF). We present the long-term outcome of catheter ablation (CA) and electrophysiological characteristics in HIV+ AF patients.

METHODS

This study evaluated 1438 consecutive AF patients [31 (2.15%) with HIV and 1407 (97.8%) without HIV diagnosis] undergoing their first CA at our center. A total of 31 HIV patients and 31 controls were generated by propensity matching, based on calculated risk factor scores, using a logistic model. During first procedure, all received isolation of pulmonary vein (PV) + posterior wall and superior vena cava. Non-PV triggers, defined as ectopic triggers originating from sites other than PVs, were identified at the redo ablation with high-dose isoproterenol challenge.

RESULTS

Clinical characteristics were not different between the groups. When compared to the control, by the end of 5 years after the first procedure, recurrence was significantly greater in HIV group [100% vs. 54%, p < .001]. Among patients that underwent redo ablation non-PV triggers were higher in HIV group [93.5% vs. 54%, p < .001], and most frequently originated from the coronary sinus [67.7% vs. 45.2%, p < .001] and left atrial appendage [41.9% vs. 25.8%, p < .001]. After focal ablation of non-PV trigger, no difference in arrhythmia recurrence between two groups [80.6% vs. 87.1%, p = .753] at 1-year follow up was found.

CONCLUSION

Our findings suggest that non-PV triggers are highly prevalent in HIV+ AF patients resulting in higher rate of the mid- and long-term arrhythmia recurrence.

Risk of arterial thromboembolism, bleeding and mortality in atrial fibrillation patients with comorbid cancer: A systematic review and meta-analysis

AIMS

Atrial fibrillation (AF) and cancer often co-exist. Each has been associated with an increased risk of morbidity and mortality. The aim of this meta-analysis was to synthesize available data regarding the incidence of arterial thromboembolism (TE), bleeding, and all-cause mortality in patients with AF with or without cancer.

METHODS

Literature search was conducted in PubMed, Ovid MEDLINE, WebOfScience, Scopus, CENTRAL, OpenGrey, and EThOS databases to identify studies that included patients with AF and accounted for cancer status with the incidence of TE (ischemic stroke, transient ischemic attack, or arterial thrombosis), major or clinically relevant non-major bleeding, and all-cause mortality. A random-effects meta-analysis was used.

RESULTS

Overall, 17 studies were included (3,149,547 patients). The risk of TE was similar in patients with AF with comorbid cancer compared with that in AF alone (pooled odds ratio [pOR] 0.97, 95% Confidence Interval [CI] 0.85-1.11, I2 = 87%). Major or clinically relevant non-major bleeding (pOR 1.65, 95% CI 1.35-2.02, I2 = 98%) and all-cause death (pOR 2.17, 95% CI 1.83-2.56, I2 = 98%) were significantly higher in patients with AF with cancer than in patients with AF only. The history of TE and hypertension and mean age were significant moderators of TE risk.

CONCLUSION

In patients with AF, the presence of cancer is associated with a similar risk of TE as well as an increased risk of bleeding and all-cause death compared with the absence of cancer.

Gender-Based Clinical, Therapeutic Strategies and Prognosis Differences in Atrial Fibrillation

BACKGROUND

There are limited data on gender-based differences in atrial fibrillation (AF) treatment and prognosis. We aimed to examine gender-related differences in medical attention in an emergency department (ED) and follow-up (FU) among patients diagnosed with an AF episode and to determine whether there are gender-related differences in clinical characteristics, therapeutic strategies, and long-term adverse events in this population.

METHODS

We performed a retrospective observational study of patients who presented to a tertiary hospital ER for AF from 2010 to 2015, with a minimum FU of one year. Data on medical attention received, mortality, and other adverse outcomes were collected and analyzed.

RESULTS

Among the 2013 patients selected, 1232 (60%) were female. Women were less likely than men to be evaluated by a cardiologist during the ED visit (11.5% vs. 16.6%, p = 0.001) and were less likely to be admitted (5.9% vs. 9.5%, p < 0.05). Electrical cardioversion was performed more frequently in men, both during the first episode (3.4% vs. 1.2%, p = 0.001) and during FU (15.9% vs. 10.6%, p < 0.001), despite a lower AF recurrence rate in women (9.9% vs. 18.1%). During FU, women had more hospitalizations for heart failure (26.2% vs. 16.1%, p < 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

In patients with AF, although there were no gender differences in mortality, there were significant differences in clinical outcomes, medical attention received, and therapeutic strategies. Women underwent fewer attempts at cardioversion, had a lower probability of being evaluated by cardiologists, and showed a higher probability of hospitalization for heart failure. Being alert to these inequities should facilitate the adoption of measures to correct them.

Vitamin D, vitamin D supplementation and atrial fibrillation risk in the general population: updated systematic review and meta-analysis of prospective studies

Background

Since the association of vitamin D with atrial fibrillation (AF) risk is still unclear, we conducted this updated meta-analysis of prospective studies to identify the relationship between vitamin D or vitamin D supplementation and AF in the general population.

Methods

We conducted a comprehensive search of multiple databases up to May 2023 for studies reporting vitamin D and AF. The hazard ratios (HRs) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were pooled by a random-effects model.

Results

A total of seven studies were included in this meta-analysis. Vitamin D deficiency (<20 ng/ml) was associated with increased AF incidence (HR: 1.12, 95% CI: 1.005-1.25). The HR was not significant with vitamin D insufficiency (20-30 ng/ml; HR: 1.09, 95% CI: 0.98-1.21). Each 10 ng/ml increase in serum vitamin D was associated with a significantly decreased AF incidence (HR: 0.95, 95% CI: 0.93-0.97). Two studies reported the effect of vitamin D supplements on AF incidence but reached inconsistent results.

Conclusions

Vitamin D deficiency or insufficiency was associated with an increased risk of AF in the general population. The role of vitamin D supplementation in AF prevention needs further investigation.

Discovery of TBX20 as a Novel Gene Underlying Atrial Fibrillation

Atrial fibrillation (AF), the most prevalent type of sustained cardiac dysrhythmia globally, confers strikingly enhanced risks for cognitive dysfunction, stroke, chronic cardiac failure, and sudden cardiovascular demise. Aggregating studies underscore the crucial roles of inherited determinants in the occurrence and perpetuation of AF. However, due to conspicuous genetic heterogeneity, the inherited defects accounting for AF remain largely indefinite. Here, via whole-genome genotyping with genetic markers and a linkage assay in a family suffering from AF, a new AF-causative locus was located at human chromosome 7p14.2-p14.3, a ~4.89 cM (~4.43-Mb) interval between the markers D7S526 and D7S2250. An exome-wide sequencing assay unveiled that, at the defined locus, the mutation in the TBX20 gene, NM_001077653.2: c.695A>G; p.(His232Arg), was solely co-segregated with AF in the family. Additionally, a Sanger sequencing assay of TBX20 in another family suffering from AF uncovered a novel mutation, NM_001077653.2: c.862G>C; p.(Asp288His). Neither of the two mutations were observed in 600 unrelated control individuals. Functional investigations demonstrated that the two mutations both significantly reduced the transactivation of the target gene KCNH2 (a well-established AF-causing gene) and the ability to bind the promoter of KCNH2, while they had no effect on the nuclear distribution of TBX20. Conclusively, these findings reveal a new AF-causative locus at human chromosome 7p14.2-p14.3 and strongly indicate TBX20 as a novel AF-predisposing gene, shedding light on the mechanism underlying AF and suggesting clinical significance for the allele-specific treatment of AF patients.