Short-term trends in dementia prevalence in Germany between the years 2007 and 2009

Comparing mortality in the elderly after proximal femur fractures and coxarthrosis: the effect of individual health characteristics and day of surgery

PURPOSE

This study investigates mortality variations between elective and urgent hip surgeries, focusing surgery timing and its impact on post-operative mortality. By comparing cases of femoral neck fractures, pertrochanteric fractures, and coxarthrosis across different follow-up durations, it aims to identify factors contributing to increased mortality.

METHODS

We used a random sample of German longitudinal health claims data (N = 250,000, 2004-2019) and identified 10,310 patients aged 50 years and older who underwent surgery for femoral neck fracture, pertrochanteric fracture, or coxarthrosis between 2004 and 2014. We tracked mortality at 30 days, 1 year, and 5 years. Cox proportional models were used, adjusted for the following covariates at the time of surgery: sex, age, comorbidities, nursing home dependency, discharge diagnosis, and weekday of surgery.

RESULTS

Mortality probabilities were 5% at 30 days, 15.6% at 1 year, and 38.9% at 5 years, with significantly higher risks for fractures than coxarthrosis. Key factors influencing mortality included age, comorbidities (e.g., heart failure, stroke, myocardial infarction, dementia), and care dependency levels. Women had lower risks than men across all periods. Short-term mortality was most affected by comorbidities, while long-term mortality correlated with chronic health conditions such as nicotine abuse and diabetes mellitus, and care needs. Surgery timing showed no consistent weekday effects.

CONCLUSION

Mortality differences reflect the impact of acute trauma from emergency surgery rather than the surgical procedure itself, emphasizing the need for optimized planning, preparation, early treatment and adaptable care structures in an aging population.

Dementia as a predictor of palliative care: Uncovering patient patterns based on German claims data

BACKGROUND

Palliative care aims to ensure a dignified and self-determined life for people facing the end of life. While palliative care is established for tumor diseases, it's notably absent from German medical guidelines for other progressive diseases with an unfavorable prognosis such as dementia. This study will identify predictors of palliative care use in older patients and explore how these predictors relate to the probability of palliative care.

METHODS

We used data from the largest German health insurance company of people over 50 years of age from the period 2014-2019. The analysis focused on the last year of life. Outcomes were outpatient and inpatient palliative care and predictors were demographics, comorbidities, therapeutic remedies and rehabilitation, care and medical interventions, medication and patient group. Combined logistic regression models and discrete conditional inference survival forests were used to predict the utilization of outpatient and inpatient palliative care. For evaluation we used concordance-index and calibration plots. We identified the most important predictors by using a permutation approach and the log-loss metric.

RESULTS

The study cohort for the analysis of inpatient palliative care comprised 43,896 patients, while the cohort for the analysis of outpatient palliative care included a total of 37,430 patients. The models had appropriate discriminatory power (inpatient palliative care: concordance-index = 0.737 (95%CI = 0.721-0.754); outpatient palliative care: concordance-index = 0.689; 95%CI = 0.675-0.704) and showed appropriate calibration. A diagnosis of dementia, like a diagnosis of cancer, is predictive of inpatient palliative care and outpatient palliative care. We observed a lower probability for inpatient and for outpatient palliative care for dementia patients compared to cancer patients.

CONCLUSIONS

The findings highlight the need to focus palliative care on other patient groups besides cancer patients, such as dementia patients, and to facilitate access for all patients.

[M2Q or Something else? The Impact of Varying Case Selection Criteria on the Prevalence Estimation of Chronic Diseases Based on Outpatient Diagnoses in German Claims Data]

BACKGROUND

To determine the prevalence of chronic disease conditions based on outpatient health insurance data, we often rely on repeated occurrence of a diagnosis over the course of a year, usually in two or more quarters (M2Q). It remains unclear whether prevalence estimates change after adapting repeated occurrence of a diagnosis in different quarters of a year compared to a single occurrence or to some other case selection criteria. This study applies different case selection criteria and analyses their impact on the prevalence estimation based on outpatient diagnoses.

METHODS

Administrative prevalence for 2019 was estimated for eight chronic conditions based on outpatient physician diagnoses. We applied five case selection criteria: (1) single occurrence, (2) repeated occurrence (including in the same quarter or treatment case), (3) repeated occurrence in at least two different treatment cases (including in the same quarter), (4) occurrence in two quarters and (5) occurrence in two consecutive quarters. Only information on persons with continuous insurance history within the statutory health insurance provider AOK Niedersachsen in 2019 was used (n=2,168,173).

RESULTS

Prevalence estimates differed quite strongly depending on the diagnosis and on age group if a criterion with repeated occurrence of a diagnosis was applied compared to a single occurrence. These differences turned out to be higher among men and younger patients. The application of a repeated occurrence (criterion 2) did not show different results compared to the repeated occurrence in at least two treatment cases (criterion 3) or in two quarters (criterion 4). The application of the strict criterion of two consecutive quarters (criterion 5) resulted in further reduction of the prevalence estimates.

CONCLUSIONS

Repeated occurrence is increasingly becoming the standard for diagnosis validation in health insurance claims data. Applying such criteria results partly in a distinct reduction of prevalence estimates. The definition of the study population (e. g., repeated visits to a physician in two consecutive quarters as a mandatory condition) can also strongly influence the prevalence estimates.

Nutrition, Exercise, and Cognitive Rehabilitation for Dementia Prevention

Dementia is one of the most significant global challenges in medical and social care in the 21st century. It affects not only the patients themselves, but also their families, caregivers, and society in general, causing physical, psychological, and socioeconomic effects. As of 2020, there are approximately 6 million people in Japan aged 65 or older with dementia, and this number is expected to increase to around 7 million by 2025, meaning that one out of every five elderly people will have dementia. To prevent the onset and progression of dementia, it is crucial to have a proper understanding of its risks and adopt a healthy lifestyle. Leading an active life from an early stage can also aid in delaying or preventing the onset of dementia. Livingston has identified 12 risks that can lead to dementia, including physical inactivity, smoking, excessive alcohol consumption, air pollution, head injury, social isolation, poor educational history, obesity, hypertension, diabetes, depression, and hearing loss. Modifying one's lifestyle and leading an active life can be crucial in reducing these risks. The Mediterranean diet is gaining attention as a good practice for dementia prevention due to its diversity, richness in omega-3 fatty acids and vitamins. Exercise has been shown to prevent dementia on biological, behavioral, and socio-psychological levels. Repetitive transcranial magnetic stimulation is a non-invasive brain stimulation method that can alter brain plasticity and is being studied for clinical applications as a non-drug therapy for preventing dementia progression.

The Impact of Sex-Specific Survival on the Incidence of Dementia in Parkinson's Disease

OBJECTIVE

The aim of our study is to analyze sex-specific patterns of Parkinson's disease dementia (PDD) incidence. We are investigating the extent to which sex differences in survival after initial Parkinson's disease (PD) diagnosis influence differences in PDD risk among PD patients.

METHODS

We used a random sample of German longitudinal health claims data of persons ages 50+ (2004-2019; n = 250,000) and identified new PD cases ages 65+ who were followed-up for a PDD diagnosis or death between 2006 and 2017. We performed Cox and competing-risk regression models, with death as competing event, to calculate PDD hazard ratios (HR) adjusted for age at PD onset, PD severity as measured by the modified Hoehn and Yahr (HY) scale, comorbidities, and medications.

RESULTS

Of 2195 new PD cases, 602 people died before PDD and 750 people developed PDD by the end of 2017. The adjusted risk of PDD differs by sex, with men having a higher PDD risk than women. When accounting for death, men and women do not differ in their PDD risk (HR = 1.02, P = 0.770). Sex-specific analyses showed significant age and severity effects in women (age: HR = 1.05, P < 0.001; HY 3-5 vs. 0-2.5: HR = 1.46, P = 0.011), but not in men.

CONCLUSION

Older age at first PD diagnosis and higher disease severity increase PDD risk, but this association is attenuated for PD men when controlling for death. This implies that the most frail PD men die rapidly before receiving a dementia diagnosis, whereas women with PD survive at higher rates, regardless of their age at onset and disease severity. © 2023 The Authors. Movement Disorders published by Wiley Periodicals LLC on behalf of International Parkinson and Movement Disorder Society.

Sporadic Use of Antibiotics in Older Adults and the Risk of Dementia: A Nested Case-Control Study Based on German Health Claims Data

BACKGROUND

Antibiotics for systemic use may increase the risk of neurodegeneration, yet antibiotic therapy may be able to halt or mitigate an episode of neurodegenerative decline.

OBJECTIVE

To investigate the association of sporadic use of antibiotics and subsequent dementia risk (including Alzheimer's disease).

METHODS

We used data from the largest public health insurance fund in Germany, the Allgemeine Ortskrankenkasse (AOK). Each of the 35,072 dementia cases aged 60 years and older with a new dementia diagnosis during the observation period from 2006 to 2018 was matched with two control-patients by age, sex, and time since 2006. We ran conditional logistic regression models for dementia risk in terms of odds ratios (OR) as a function of antibiotic use for the entire antibiotic group and for each antibiotic subgroup. We controlled for comorbidities, need for long-term care, hospitalizations, and nursing home placement.

RESULTS

Antibiotic use was positively associated with dementia (OR = 1.18, 95% confidence interval (95% CI):1.14-1.22), which became negative after adjustment for comorbidities, at least one diagnosis of bacterial infection or disease, and covariates (OR = 0.93, 95% CI:0.90-0.96). Subgroups of antibiotics were also negatively associated with dementia after controlling for covariates: tetracyclines (OR = 0.94, 95% CI:0.90-0.98), beta-lactam antibacterials, penicillins (OR = 0.93, 95% CI:0.90-0.97), other beta-lactam antibacterials (OR = 0.92, 95% CI:0.88-0.95), macrolides, lincosamides, and streptogramins (OR = 0.88, 95% CI:0.85-0.92), and quinolone antibacterials (OR = 0.96, 95% CI:0.92-0.99).

CONCLUSION

Our results suggest that there was a decreased likelihood of dementia for preceding antibiotic use. The benefits of antibiotics in reducing inflammation and thus the risk of dementia need to be carefully weighed against the increase in antibiotic resistance.

Dementia risk predictions from German claims data using methods of machine learning

INTRODUCTION

We examined whether German claims data are suitable for dementia risk prediction, how machine learning (ML) compares to classical regression, and what the important predictors for dementia risk are.

METHODS

We analyzed data from the largest German health insurance company, including 117,895 dementia-free people age 65+. Follow-up was 10 years. Predictors were: 23 age-related diseases, 212 medical prescriptions, 87 surgery codes, as well as age and sex. Statistical methods included logistic regression (LR), gradient boosting (GBM), and random forests (RFs).

RESULTS

Discriminatory power was moderate for LR (C-statistic = 0.714; 95% confidence interval [CI] = 0.708-0.720) and GBM (C-statistic = 0.707; 95% CI  = 0.700-0.713) and lower for RF (C-statistic = 0.636; 95% CI  = 0.628-0.643). GBM had the best model calibration. We identified antipsychotic medications and cerebrovascular disease but also a less-established specific antibacterial medical prescription as important predictors.

DISCUSSION

Our models from German claims data have acceptable accuracy and may provide cost-effective decision support for early dementia screening.

Trends in prevalence of self-reports of Alzheimer’s disease/dementia among non-institutionalized individuals 45+ in Canada, 1994–2014

Background:

Alzheimer’s disease/dementia (AD) prevalence is of concern globally and in Canada owing to the rapidly aging population and increase in life expectancy. This study explored: (1) trends in the overall prevalence of self-reported AD/dementia by sex, age groups, educational levels, and geographic areas in Canada from 1994 to 2014, and (2) assessed what the observed trends mean in the context of the aging Canadian population and the health care system.

Design and methods:

This cross-sectional study used Canadian national survey data. Data for this study were from two Canadian national health surveys (National Population Health Survey and the Canadian Community Health Survey), between 1994 and 2014. After age-sex standardization, trends in the prevalence of self-reported Alzheimer’s disease/dementia were tracked over time. The two cross-sectional surveys used similar diagnostic criteria over the years.

Results:

The overall prevalence of Alzheimer’s disease/dementia increased from 0.14 in 1994 to 0.80 in 2014 representing a 0.66-point increase over the 20 years. Alzheimer’s disease/dementia prevalence increased with age across all years but was more pronounced after age 80. Men 65+ years, those with lower education, and Canadians living in Central Canada had an increased prevalence.

Conclusions:

The overall prevalence of Alzheimer’s disease/dementia in the community increased over time. This study highlights the importance of establishing effective community-based prevention strategies that focus on minimizing risk and optimizing protection as well as health system capacity strengthening and preparation for long-term care including increased demand for neurologists’ services, increased associated disability, psychosocial difficulties, rising costs, and caregiver burden.

Dementia in health claims data: The influence of different case definitions on incidence and prevalence estimates

OBJECTIVES

The epidemiology of dementia subtypes including Alzheimer's disease (AD) and vascular dementia (VD) and their reliance on different case definitions ("algorithms") in health claims data are still understudied.

METHODS

Based on health claims data, prevalence estimates (per 100 persons), incidence rates (IRs, per 100 person-years), and proportions of AD, VD, and other dementias (oD) were calculated. Five algorithms of increasing strictness considered inpatient/outpatient diagnoses (#1, #2), antidementia drugs (#3) or supportive diagnostics (#4, #5).

RESULTS

Algorithm 1 detected 213,409 cases (#2: 197,400; #3: 48,688; #4: 3033; #5: 3105), a prevalence for any dementia of 3.44 and an IR of 1.39 (AD: 0.80/0.21, VD: 0.79/0.31). The prevalence decreased by algorithms for any dementia (#2: 3.19; #3: 0.75; #4: 0.04; #5: 0.05) as did IRs (#2: 1.13; #3: 0.18; #4: 0.05, #5: 0.05). Algorithms 1-2, and 4-5 revealed similar proportions of AD (23.3%-26.6%), VD (19.9%-23.2%), and oD (53.1%-53.8%), algorithm 3 estimated 45% (AD), 12.1% (VD), and 43.0% (oD).

CONCLUSIONS

Health claims data show lower estimates of AD than previously reported, due to markedly lower prevalent/incident proportions of patients with corresponding codes. Using medication in defining dementia potentially improves estimating the proportion of AD while supportive diagnostics were of limited use.

Can dementia become the most prevalent disease at the time of death in Germany? Projections up to the year 2060 for the five most important diseases at the time of death

Data on the burden of disease in the last years of life are an important basis for health policy decisions and the allocation of health care resources. Since dementia is one of the most expensive diseases, we ask the question whether dementia will ever be the most common disease at the time of death in older people? While international cause-of-death statistics report the underlying cause of death, dementia patients generally die from complications or sequelae. Instead of using causes of death, we identified the five most prevalent disease categories at age 70 and older at the time of death using German health claims data from 2004 to 2007 and 2014–2017, and combined their prevalence rates with the estimated number of deaths at age 70 and older up to the year 2060. We developed two scenarios, first, to represent the impact of population aging and increasing life expectancy. Second, to additionally examine the impact of morbidity trends among those who died. We found that dementia was already the most prevalent disease at the time of death among German women aged 70 years and older in 2014–2017, while it was still in fifth place among German men. Population aging and increasing life expectancy will result in dementia ranking first among women and second among men if the morbidity profile at the time of death remains constant. Extrapolating the observed time trends into the projections, cancer will be the most prevalent disease at the time of death for both sexes. Dementia will be second for women, and third for men after IHD. In addition to projections of causes of death, we also need projections of diseases at the time of death to better prepare for the needs of people in their final stages of life.

Stability of individual dementia diagnoses in routine care: implications for epidemiological studies

PURPOSE

Epidemiological and health care research frequently rely on diagnoses from routine care, but the intra-individual stability of diagnoses of Alzheimer's disease (AD), vascular dementia (VD) or other forms of dementia (oD) in patients over time is understudied. More data on the diagnostic stability is needed to appraise epidemiological findings from such studies.

METHODS

Using health claims data of the years 2004-2016 from the German Pharmacoepidemiological Research Database, 160 273 patients aged ≥50 with incident dementia were identified and followed for four years. According to the incident ICD-10 codes patients were assigned to the categories AD, VD or oD. Changes between categories during follow-up were calculated.

RESULTS

Overall, 18.8% had incident AD (VD: 21.5%, oD: 59.7%). 15 842 patients had only one dementia diagnosis during four years (AD: 7.4%, VD: 12,4%, oD: 9.8%). Among those with more than one diagnosis, the incident diagnosis matched the last diagnosis in 65.1% (AD), 53.9% (VD) and 73.8% (oD) of patients. Changes in the diagnostic category were higher in patients with AD (mean: 5.1) than in patients with VD (3.6) or oD (3.3). Patients with stable AD diagnoses during the observation period were younger (median: 76 vs. 79 years) and had less inpatient treatment days (median: 14 days) than patients with changes from an AD diagnosis to another category or from another category to AD (27 days).

CONCLUSIONS

While health claims data are feasible for estimating the incidence of dementia in general, the substantial number of changes in dementia diagnoses during the course of the disease warrant caution on the interpretation of epidemiological data on specific dementia types.

Sex and Gender Differences in Environmental Influences on Dementia Incidence in Germany, 2014-2019: An Observational Cohort Study Based on Health Claims Data

BACKGROUND

There is an ongoing debate about whether environmental characteristics influence dementia risk like individual traits do, and whether these differ by sex and gender.

OBJECTIVE

This study examines the influence of regional characteristics on the incidence of dementia and explores sex and gender differences using individual-level health information and regional characteristics.

METHODS

Using a random sample of 250,000 people aged 70 + insured through Germany's largest German public health agency, we analyzed quarterly data about diagnoses and place of residence from 2014 to 2019. Using five-digit postal codes, we added data on various dimensions of regional characteristics offered by the INKAR database and the 2011 Census database. We used multilevel survival regressions to tease out regional incidence differences while accounting for spatial clustering.

RESULTS

After adjusting for multi-morbidity and relocation-related selection bias, we saw that people living in regions with the highest tertile of income (HR = 0.87, p < 0.001), and who had the highest tertile of remaining life expectancy at age 60 (HR = 0.93, p = 0.012) had lower dementia risks. There was no gender difference in the regional income effect, but the effect of education (HR = 0.91, p = 0.015) was significant only for men and remaining life-expectancy was significant only for women (HR = 0.93, p = 0.026).

CONCLUSION

Environmental characteristics related to wealth and health resources of a region influence the risk of dementia among the elderly in Germany. This effect is independent of the health profiles of the individuals and differs between the two genders. Health policies need to acknowledge these modifiable risk factors and consider how they affect men and women differently.

Effect of Dementia on Postoperative Mortality in Elderly Patients with Hip Fracture

BACKGROUND

The aim of this study was to assess the prevalence of dementia as an underlying disease in elderly patients with hip fracture, to investigate the effect of dementia on postoperative mortality after surgery of hip fracture, and to analyze the differences in postoperative mortalities according to the severity of dementia through subgroup analysis.

METHODS

This study selected 2,346 elderly patients who were diagnosed with unilateral intertrochanteric or femoral neck fractures who underwent surgery between January 2004 and December 2018. The patients were classified into the non-dementia group (2,196 patients) and dementia group (150 patients; no-medication [66 patients] and medication [84 patients] subgroups). The cumulative crude mortality rate was calculated, and 30-day, 60-day, 3-month, 6-month, and 1-year mortality rates were compared between the groups. A univariate regression test was performed using age, sex, diagnosis, surgery type, and Charlson's comorbidity index (CCI), as these variables had P values of < 0.10. Multivariate regression analysis was performed to identify independent risk factors associated with mortality.

RESULTS

The 30-day, 60-day, 3-month, 6-month, and 1-year postoperative cumulative mortality rates were 1.8%, 3.8%, 5.6%, 8.9%, and 13.6%, respectively, in the non-dementia group, and 2%, 7.3%, 14%, 19.3%, and 24%, respectively, in the dementia group (P = 0.748, P = 0.048, P < 0.001, P < 0.001, and P = 0.001). The factors that affected the 1-year mortality were age (odds ratio [OR], 1.06; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.02-1.08; P < 0.001), sex (OR, 2.68; 95% CI, 2.07-3.47; P < 0.001), CCI (OR, 1.34; 95% CI, 1.23-1.47; P < 0.001), and dementia (OR, 1.70; 95% CI, 1.46-1.08; P = 0.016). In subgroup analysis, severity of dementia influenced the 6-month mortality (OR, 1.41; 95% CI, 1.70-2.01; P = 0.018), and 1-year mortality (OR, 1.30; 95% CI, 1.17-1.90; P = 0.027).

CONCLUSION

In elderly hip fracture patients, the comparison between patients with and without dementia revealed that dementia was an independent risk factor for mortality at a minimum of 1 year of follow-up, and the severity of dementia in hip fracture patients was a risk factor for mortality within 6 months and 1 year, postoperatively.

Prevalence of Dementia in Korea Based on Hospital Utilization Data from 2008 to 2016

PURPOSE

Dementia is an important health issue in Korea due to its associated medical costs. Our study aimed to estimate the prevalence of dementia in Korea by analyzing hospital utilization rates.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

We examined National Health Insurance data from 2008 to 2016 and identified all dementia cases. Crude and ageand sex-standardized prevalence were calculated. A generalized linear mixed model was used to estimate prevalence ratios.

RESULTS

We identified 176746 and 530269 dementia cases in 2008 and 2016, respectively. Alzheimer's disease was the most common dementia subtype (65.4% and 86.1% in 2008 and 2016, respectively). Across all age groups, the prevalence of dementia increased consistently: the increase was prominent among patients ≥85 years of age. Among patients ≥65 years of age, crude prevalence was estimated at 31.3 and 72.2 per 1000 population in 2008 and 2016, respectively. Age- and sex-standardized prevalence increased from 31.3 to 62.0 per 1000 population between 2008 and 2016, respectively. The prevalence ratio for dementia in 2016 was 2.02 times (95% confidence interval, 2.01-2.03) higher than that in 2008. When adjusted for age, dementia was more prevalent among females. The most common comorbidity was hypertension, followed by diabetes and stroke.

CONCLUSION

Our results demonstrated that hospital utilization for dementia increased significantly from 2008 to 2016, reflecting a proportional increase in the prevalence of dementia. Korean healthcare policy must prioritize dementia treatment.

Development and Validation of a Model to Identify Alzheimer's Disease and Related Syndromes in Administrative Data

BACKGROUND

Administrative data are used in the field of Alzheimer's Disease and Related Syndromes (ADRS), however their performance to identify ADRS is unknown.

OBJECTIVE

i) To develop and validate a model to identify ADRS prevalent cases in French administrative data (SNDS), ii) to identify factors associated with false negatives.

METHODS

Retrospective cohort of subjects ≥ 65 years, living in South-Western France, who attended a memory clinic between April and December 2013. Gold standard for ADRS diagnosis was the memory clinic specialized diagnosis. Memory clinics' data were matched to administrative data (drug reimbursements, diagnoses during hospitalizations, registration with costly chronic conditions). Prediction models were developed for 1-year and 3-year periods of administrative data using multivariable logistic regression models. Overall model performance, discrimination, and calibration were estimated and corrected for optimism by resampling. Youden index was used to define ADRS positivity and to estimate sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive and negative probabilities. Factors associated with false negatives were identified using multivariable logistic regressions.

RESULTS

3360 subjects were studied, 52% diagnosed with ADRS by memory clinics. Prediction model based on age, all-cause hospitalization, registration with ADRS as a chronic condition, number of anti-dementia drugs, mention of ADRS during hospitalizations had good discriminative performance (c-statistic: 0.814, sensitivity: 76.0%, specificity: 74.2% for 2013 data). 419 false negatives (24.0%) were younger, had more often ADRS types other than Alzheimer's disease, moderate forms of ADRS, recent diagnosis, and suffered from other comorbidities than true positives.

CONCLUSION

Administrative data presented acceptable performance for detecting ADRS. External validation studies should be encouraged.

Trends in Dementia and Mild Cognitive Impairment Prevalence and Incidence in German General and Specialist Practices Between 2015 and 2019

BACKGROUND

The number of patients with dementia is forecast to grow continuously. However, there are indications that the incidence and prevalence is falling in high-income countries.

OBJECTIVE

To examine whether any effects of declining incidence and prevalence rates of dementia and mild cognitive impairment (MCI) were evident in Germany between 2015 and 2019.

METHODS

The analysis was based on 797 general and 132 specialists (neurological/psychiatric) practices and included 10.1 million patients aged 18 years and older who visited between January 2014 and December 2019 one of the practitioners. The prevalence and incidence of dementia and MCI were demonstrated descriptively.

RESULTS

Between 2015 and 2019, the prevalence (incidence) of dementia decreased from 2.18%(0.44%) in 2015 to 2.07%(0.35%) in 2019. A relatively large decrease in the prevalence (incidence) of dementia was observed in patients aged 80 and older, at -1.47%(-0.62%), compared to younger patients, at -0.40%(-0.18%). By contrast, the prevalence and incidence of MCI have remained constant over the years (0.19%to 0.22%and 0.06%, respectively). Overall, the number of patients diagnosed with dementia decreased slightly by 1%while the number of patients diagnosed with MCI increased by 17%.

CONCLUSION

Our results confirmed the reduction in the prevalence and incidence of dementia and revealed a decrease in the number of patients with dementia despite continued demographic changes. Future studies are warranted to determine whether the results are caused by changing risk and lifestyle factors or changes in medical diagnosis and treatment behavior of the practitioners.

Evaluation of a multi-component, non-pharmacological intervention to prevent and reduce sleep disturbances in people with dementia living in nursing homes (MoNoPol-sleep): study protocol for a cluster-randomized exploratory trial

BACKGROUND

Sleep problems are highly prevalent in people with dementia. Nevertheless, there is no "gold standard" intervention to prevent or reduce sleep problems in people with dementia. Existing interventions are characterized by a pronounced heterogeneity as well as insufficient knowledge about the possibilities and challenges of implementation. The aim of this study is to pilot and evaluate the effectiveness of a newly developed complex intervention to prevent and reduce sleep problems in people with dementia living in nursing homes.

METHODS

This study is a parallel group cluster-randomized controlled trial. The intervention consists of six components: (1) the assessment of established sleep-promoting interventions and an appropriate environment in the participating nursing homes, (2) the implementation of two "sleep nurses" as change agents per nursing home, (3) a basic education course for nursing staff: "Sleep problems in dementia", (4) an advanced education course for nursing staff: "Tailored problem-solving" (two workshops), (5) workshops: "Development of an institutional sleep-promoting concept" (two workshops with nursing management and sleep nurses) and (6) written information and education material (e.g. brochure and "One Minute Wonder" poster). The intervention will be performed over a period of 16 weeks and compared with usual care in the control group. Overall, 24 nursing homes in North, East and West Germany will be included and randomized in a 1:1 ratio. The primary outcome is the prevalence of sleep problems in people with dementia living in nursing homes. Secondary outcomes are quality of life, quality of sleep, daytime sleepiness and agitated behavior of people with dementia, as well as safety parameters like psychotropic medication, falls and physical restraints. The outcomes will be assessed using a mix of instruments based on self- and proxy-rating. A cost analysis and a process evaluation will be performed in conjunction with the study.

CONCLUSIONS

It is expected that the intervention will reduce the prevalence of sleep problems in people with dementia, thus not only improving the quality of life for people with dementia, but also relieving the burden on nursing staff caused by sleep problems.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

Current controlled trials: ISRCTN36015309 . Date of registration: 06/11/2020.

Trends in Psychotropic Medication Prescriptions in Urban China From 2013 to 2017: National Population-Based Study

Purpose: Psychotropic medications are commonly used for treating mental disorders; however, there is currently no study on how commonly they are used in China. This study reported the trends in psychotropic medications prescriptions in urban China. Methods: A national population-based study was conducted using the China Health Insurance Research Association database to estimate the period prescription prevalence of 11 major classes of psychotropic medications annually during 2013-2017. The World Health Organization Anatomical Therapeutic Chemical (ATC) classification codes were used to identify psychotropic medications. Results: The prescription prevalence of any psychotropic medication increased from 8.110% (8.106-8.114%) in 2013 to 11.362% (11.357-11.366%) in 2017. The prescription prevalence of six classes increased significantly during 2013-2017, including sedatives-hypnotics (from 3.177 to 5.388%), anxiolytics (from 1.436 to 2.200%), antiepileptic drugs (from 1.416 to 2.140%), antipsychotics (from 0.809 to 1.156%), antidepressants (from 0.891 to 1.045%), and psycholeptic polypills (from 0.682 to 0.866%). The prescription prevalence of antidementia drugs increased from 0.069 to 0.122%, and mood stabilizers increased from 0.029 to 0.037%, although not statistically significant. The prescription prevalence of nootropic drugs, attention deficit hyperactivity disorder (ADHD) medications and drugs used in the treatment of addictive disorders was largely stable. Psychotropic medication prescription increased with age for all classes except for ADHD medications and mood stabilizers. Conclusion: Increasing trends in prescription prevalence were observed for most classes of psychotropic medications in urban China, although the prevalence was still lower than that in most developed countries. Further research is warranted to explore the potential treatment gap between China and most developed countries.

Recurring Gastrointestinal Infections Increase the Risk of Dementia

BACKGROUND

Gastrointestinal infections cause significant health problems, including those affecting the immune, musculoskeletal, and nervous system, and are one of the leading causes for death worldwide. Recent findings suggest that microbiota of the gastrointestinal tract contribute to dementia.

OBJECTIVE

In this nested case-control study we investigated the role of common gastrointestinal infections on the subsequent risk of dementia.

METHODS

We used a longitudinal sample of 202,806 individuals from health claims data of the largest German health insurer and applied a nested case-control design with 23,354 initial dementia cases between 2006 and 2014 and 23,354 matched controls. We used conditional logistic regression to compute odds ratios (ORs) for dementia and corresponding 95%confidence intervals (CIs), adjusting for potential confounders.

RESULTS

The risk of dementia was increased in patients with recurring incidences of quarters with diagnosed gastrointestinal infections when compared to the unexposed population (one quarter: OR = 1.49, 95%CI = 1.40-1.58; two quarters: OR = 1.70, 95%CI = 1.51-1.91; three or more quarters: OR = 1.64, 95%CI = 1.40-1.93), adjusted for potential confounders.

CONCLUSION

Our findings suggest that recurring gastrointestinal infections are associated with an increased risk of subsequent dementia.

Time course of dementia following sepsis in German health claims data

Objective

We evaluated the short-, medium-, and long-term effects of sepsis on dementia incidence using German health claims data.

Methods

A total of 161,567 patients (65 years or older) were followed from 2004 to 2015 at quarterly intervals. Time since sepsis was categorized into 0 (the effective quarter of sepsis diagnosis), 1–8, and ≥9 quarters since the latest diagnosis of sepsis, taking into account admission to intensive care unit and controlling for delirium, surgery, age, sex, and comorbidities. Incident dementia was defined for all persons who did not have a validated dementia diagnosis in 2004 and 2005 and who received a first-time, valid diagnosis between 2006 and 2015.

Results

During the quarter of sepsis diagnosis, patients not admitted to intensive care had a 3.14-fold (95% CI 2.83–3.49) increased risk, and those with intensive care stay had a 2.22-fold (95% CI: 1.83–2.70) increased risk of receiving an incident dementia diagnosis compared with patients without sepsis. The impact of sepsis on incident dementia remained in the following 2 years, remitting only thereafter.

Conclusions

For sepsis survivors, medium-term dementia risk remains elevated, whereas long-term risk may reach the level of those without sepsis, even after controlling for delirium. These findings encourage identifying modifiable components of hospital and rehabilitation care.

Nurses' burden caused by sleep disturbances of nursing home residents with dementia: multicenter cross-sectional study

Background

Sleep disturbances are common in people with dementia. In nursing homes, this is frequently associated with residents’ challenging behavior and potentially with nurses’ burden. This study examined nurses’ burden associated with nursing home residents’ sleep disturbances.

Methods

A multicenter cross-sectional study was conducted. Nurses’ burden associated with residents’ sleep disturbances was assessed using the Sleep Disorder Inventory (SDI). Additionally, the proportion of nurses’ total burden associated with sleep disturbances of residents with dementia was assessed. A linear mixed regression model was used to investigate the association with nurses’, residents’ and institutional characteristics.

Results

One hundred eleven nurses from 38 nursing homes were included. 78.4% stated to be regularly confronted with residents’ sleep disturbances during nightshifts, causing distress. The mean proportion of nurses‘ total burden caused by residents‘ sleep disturbances was 23.1 % (SD 18.1). None of the investigated characteristics were significantly associated with nurses’ total burden.

Conclusions

Nurses report burden associated with sleep disturbances as common problem. There is a need to develop effective interventions for sleep problems and to train nurses how to deal with residents’ sleep disturbances.

The APOE ε4 exerts differential effects on familial and other subtypes of Alzheimer's disease

INTRODUCTION

The genetic risk effects of apolipoprotein E (APOE) on familial Alzheimer's disease (FAD) with or without gene mutations, sporadic AD (SAD), and normal controls (NC) remain unclear in the Chinese population.

METHODS

In total, 15 119 subjects, including 311 FAD patients without PSEN1, PSEN2, APP, TREM2, and SORL1 pathogenic mutations (FAD [unknown]); 126 FAD patients with PSENs/APP mutations (FAD [PSENs/APP]); 7234 SAD patients; and 7448 NC were enrolled. The risk effects of APOE ε4 were analyzed across groups.

RESULTS

The prevalence of the APOE ε4 genotype in FAD (unknown), FAD (PSENs/APP), SAD, and NC groups was 56.27%, 26.19%, 36.23%, and 19.54%, respectively. Further, the APOE ε4 positive genotype had predictive power for FAD (unknown) risk (odds ratio: 4.51, 95% confidence interval: 3.57-5.45, P < .001).

DISCUSSION

APOE ε4 positive genotype may cause familial aggregation, and the investigation of multiple interventions targeting APOE pathological function to reduce the risk for this disease warrants attention.

A New Look at Cohort Trend and Underlying Mechanisms in Cognitive Functioning

OBJECTIVES

The prevalence of dementia in the United States seems to have declined over the last few decades. We investigate trends and their underlying mechanisms in cognitive functioning (CF) across 7 decades of birth cohorts from the Greatest Generation to Baby Boomers.

METHODS

Data come from 30,191 participants of the 1996-2014 Health and Retirement Study. CF is measured as a summary score on a 35-point cognitive battery of items. We use generalized linear models to examine the trends in CF and explanatory variables across birth cohorts. Then, Karlson-Holm-Breen decomposition method is used to evaluate the contribution of each explanatory variable to the trend of CF.

RESULTS

CF has been improving from the Greatest Generation to Late Children of Depression and War Babies, but then significantly declines since the Early-Baby Boomers and continues into Mid-Baby Boomers. This pattern is observed universally across genders, race/ethnicities, education groups, occupations, income, and wealth quartiles. The worsening CF among Baby Boomers does not originate from childhood conditions, adult education, or occupation. It can be attributed to lower household wealth, lower likelihood of marriage, higher levels of loneliness, depression and psychiatric problems, and more cardiovascular risk factors (e.g., obesity, physical inactivity, hypertension, stroke, diabetes, and heart disease).

DISCUSSION

The worsening CF among Baby Boomers may potentially reverse past favorable trends in dementia as they reach older ages and cognitive impairment becomes more common if no effective interventions and policy responses are in place.

Cortical atrophy mediates the accumulating effects of vascular risk factors on cognitive decline in the Alzheimer's disease spectrum

There are increasing concerns regarding the association of vascular risk factors (VRFs) and cognitive decline in the Alzheimer's disease (AD) spectrum. Currently, we investigated whether the accumulating effects of VRFs influenced gray matter volumes and subsequently led to cognitive decline in the AD spectrum. Mediation analysis was used to explore the association among VRFs, cortical atrophy, and cognition in the AD spectrum. 123 AD spectrum were recruited and VRF scores were constructed. Multivariate linear regression analysis revealed that higher VRF scores were correlated with lower Mini-Mental State Examination scores and higher Alzheimer's Disease Assessment Scale-Cognitive Subscale scores, indicating higher VRF scores lead to severer cognitive decline in the AD spectrum. In addition, subjects with higher VRF scores suffered severe cortical atrophy, especially in medial prefrontal cortex and medial temporal lobe. More importantly, common circuits of VRFs- and cognitive decline associated with gray matter atrophy were identified. Further, using mediation analysis, we demonstrated that cortical atrophy regions significantly mediated the relationship between VRF scores and cognitive decline in the AD spectrum. These findings highlight the importance of accumulating risk in the vascular contribution to AD spectrum, and targeting VRFs may provide new strategies for the therapeutic and prevention of AD.

Secular Trends in Dementia Prevalence and Incidence Worldwide: A Systematic Review

BACKGROUND

Time trends for dementia prevalence and incidence rates have been reported over the past seven decades in different countries and some have reported a decline.

OBJECTIVE

To undertake a systematic review to critically appraise and provide an evidence-based summary of the magnitude and direction of the global changes in dementia prevalence and incidence across time.

METHODS

Medline, EMBASE, and PsychINFO were searched for studies focused on secular trends in dementia prevalence and/or incidence until 18 December 2017. In total, 10,992 articles were identified and 43 retained.

RESULTS

Overall, prevalence rates are largely increasing (evidence primarily from record-based surveys and cohort studies in Japan, Canada, and France) or have remained stable (evidence primarily from cohort studies in Sweden, Spain and China). A significant decline in prevalence has however been reported in more recent studies (i.e., from 2010 onwards) from Europe (e.g., UK and Sweden) and the USA. Incidence rates have generally remained stable or decreased in China, Canada, France, Germany, Denmark, Sweden, the Netherlands, UK, and USA. An increase has only been reported in five countries: Italy, Japan, Wales, Germany, and the Netherlands. Only one study reported findings (stability in incidence) from a low and middle-income country using data from Nigeria.

CONCLUSIONS

The evidence on secular trends in the prevalence and incidence of dementia is mixed including contradictory findings using different (and in some cases the same) datasets in some countries (e.g., the USA, UK, and Sweden). This making it difficult to draw concrete conclusions. However, declining trends recently observed in some high-income Western countries in the most recent two decades including the UK, USA, and Sweden are encouraging. Updated dementia prevalence and incidence estimates will inform public health and financial planning as well as development of prevention strategies.

Time Trend in Persistent Cognitive Decline: Results From the Longitudinal Aging Study Amsterdam

Objective

To study time trends in the incidence of persistent cognitive decline (PCD), and whether an increase or decrease is explained by changes in well-known risk factors of dementia.

Method

Data from the Longitudinal Aging Study Amsterdam over a period of 20 years were used. Subsamples of 65-88 year-olds were selected at 7 waves, with numbers ranging from 1,800 to 1,165. Within-person change in cognitive functioning was used to determine PCD. In logistic generalized estimating equations (GEE), time (0, 3, 6, 9, 13, and 16 years) was the main predictor of 3-year PCD incidence. Explanatory variables were lagged one wave before incident PCD and included in separate models.

Results

PCD incidence was 2.5% at first, and 3.4% at last follow-up. GEE showed a positive time trend for PCD incidence [Exp(B)time = 1.042; p < .001]. None of the explanatory variables significantly changed the strength of the regression coefficient of linear time. Higher age, lower education, diabetes mellitus, smoking, lower body-mass index, and lower level of physical activity were associated with higher incidence of PCD.

Conclusion

An increase in PCD incidence over time was found. Although well-known risk factors were associated with incidence per se, they did not explain the increase in incidence of PCD.

The Association of Early Life Factors and Declining Incidence Rates of Dementia in an Elderly Population of African Americans

Objectives

To explore the possible association of childhood residence, education levels, and occupation with declining incidence rates of dementia in 2 cohorts of elderly African Americans.

Methods

African Americans residing in Indianapolis without dementia were enrolled in 1992 and 2001 and evaluated every 2-3 years. The cohorts consist of 1,440 participants in 1992 and 1,835 participants in 2001 aged 70 years and older. Cox proportional hazard regression models were used to compare cohort differences in dementia and Alzheimer's disease (AD) risk.

Results

The 2001 cohort had significantly decreased risk of both incident dementia and AD (hazard ratio [HR]: 0.62/0.57 for dementia/AD). Years of education was associated with decreased risk of dementia (HR = 0.93; p = .0011). A significant interaction (p = .0477) between education and childhood rural residence was found for the risk of AD that higher education level is significantly associated with reduced AD risk (HR = 0.87) in participants with childhood rural residence, but no association in those with urban upbringing. The cohort difference for dementia rates were attenuated by adjusting for the 3 risk factors but remained significant (HR = 0.75; p = .04).

Discussion

These results emphasize the importance of early life factors including rural residence and education for the risk for dementia later in life.

Aging without Dementia is Achievable: Current Evidence from Epidemiological Research

Both the incidence and the prevalence of dementia increase exponentially with increasing age. This raises the question of whether dementia is an inevitable consequence of aging or whether aging without dementia is achievable. In this review article, we sought to summarize the current evidence from epidemiological and neuropathological studies that investigated this topic. Epidemiological studies have shown that dementia could be avoided even at extreme old ages (e.g., centenarians or supercentenarians). Furthermore, clinico-neuropathological studies found that nearly half of centenarians with dementia did not have sufficient brain pathology to explain their cognitive symptoms, while intermediate-to-high Alzheimer pathology was present in around one-third of very old people without dementia or cognitive impairment. This suggests that certain compensatory mechanisms (e.g., cognitive reserve or resilience) may play a role in helping people in extreme old ages escape dementia syndrome. Finally, evidence has been accumulating in recent years indicating that the incidence of dementia has declined in Europe and North America, which supports the view that the risk of dementia in late life is modifiable. Evidence has emerged that intervention strategies that promote general health, maintain vascular health, and increase cognitive reserve are likely to help preserve cognitive function till late life, thus achieving the goal of aging without dementia.

[Trends in the Prevalence of Dementia and Parkinson's Disease: An Analysis Based on Health Claims Data from all German Statutory Health Insurance Funds for Persons aged 65+in Germany 2009-2012]

OBJECTIVES

There will be an increase in the number of people with dementia (DEM) and Parkinson's disease (PD) with the ageing of the population. The aim of the study was to calculate prevalences and trends of prevalences for DEM and PD in Germany to enable reliable public health planning.

METHODS

For the years 2009-2012, sex-specific period prevalences of DEM and PD for 5-year age-groups based on health claims data from all German statutory health insurance funds were calculated. Time trends were estimated using a negative binomial regression.

RESULTS

In 2012 and for persons aged 65 or older, the crude prevalence was 7.9% for DEM and 2.2% for PD. Between 2009 and 2012, a mean decrease of the DEM prevalence by 1.2% per year was found for women and men above age 65. For PD we found constant rates between 2009-2012 among men and an annual mean decrease of PD prevalence of 0.5% among women.

CONCLUSION

A reduction of the DEM prevalence by 1.2% per year could partially counterbalance the increase of people with dementia resulting from ageing population. For PD we found decreasing prevalences only among women.

Temporal Trends in the Level and Decline of Cognition and Disability in an Elderly Population: The PAQUID Study

In line with declining trends in dementia incidence, we compared the cognitive and functional evolution of 2 "generations" of elderly individuals aged 78-88 years, who were included 10 years apart in the French Personnes Agées Quid cohort (n = 612 in 1991-1992 and n = 628 in 2001-2002) and followed-up for 12 years with assessments of cognition and disability. The impact of specific risk factors on this evolution was evaluated. Differences between the generations in baseline levels and decline over time were estimated using a joint model to account for differential attrition. Compared with the first generation, the second generation had higher performances at baseline on 4 cognitive tests (from P < 0.005). Differences in global cognition, verbal fluency, and processing speed, but not in working memory, were mostly explained by improvement in educational level. The second generation also exhibited less cognitive decline in verbal fluency and working memory. Progression of disability was less over the follow-up period for the second generation than for the first. The cognitive state of this elderly population improved, partially due to improvements in educational level.

Association of joint replacement surgery with incident dementia diagnosis in German claims data

ABSTRACTBackground:Cognitive decline is an important complication of joint replacement surgeries in senior people.

METHODS

We determined incidence rates of dementia diagnosis following endoprosthetic joint replacement surgery (upper and lower extremities). The observation period covered up to 28 quarters using German claims data comprising 154,604 cases 65 years and older. Effects were controlled for cerebrovascular and vascular risk factors, age, sex, the presence of a diagnosis of delirium, and regular prescription of sedative or analgesic drugs (SAD).

RESULTS

The rate of incident dementia diagnoses in people without joint replacement surgery was 21.34 per 1,000 person years, compared with 80.76 incident cases when joint replacement surgery was conducted during the quarter of the incident dementia diagnosis; rates declined to 21.77 incident cases 7 and more quarters after joint replacement surgery had taken place. This pattern was maintained when controlling for delirium diagnosis and regular prescription of SAD. Among 10,563 patients with at least one joint replacement surgery, patients with a diagnosis of delirium in the quarter of the surgery were at increased risk of a dementia diagnosis compared to patients without such a diagnosis (HR=2.00, p < 0.001).

CONCLUSION

In people surviving the high-risk phase for dementia immediately after surgery, long-term risk of dementia may reach the level of those without surgery. These findings encourage consequent perioperative management to reduce the risk of dementia as well as prospective studies of potentially beneficial effects of joint replacement surgery on mid- to long-term recovery of mobility and cognition in geriatric patients.

Different impacts of dementia on two-year mortality after osteosynthesis and hemiarthroplasty in treating geriatric hip fractures

BACKGROUND

Geriatric hip fractures are mostly managed by internal fixation (IF) or hemiarthroplasty (HA). Survivorship of dementia patients following these surgeries has not been extensively compared in literature. By analysis of nationwide database, this study aimed to investigate the impact of dementia on two-year mortality after IF and HA in treating geriatric hip fractures.

METHOD

From retrospective review of Taiwan's National Health Insurance Research Database, we enrolled 153,623 subjects aged 65 years and older with hospitalization for first hip fracture operated by IF (93,029 cases) or HA (60,594 cases) between 2000 and 2011. Postoperative mortality was compared between subjects with and without dementia after adjustments of age, gender, Charlson comorbidity index and hospital level.

RESULTS

The prevalence of dementia was 5.24% in the IF and 5.29% in the HA group. In the IF group, dementia increased adjusted hazard ratio of one-year (1.06, 95%CI:1.00-1.13) and two-year mortality (1.10, 95%CI:1.05-1.16). However, short and long-term mortality following HA was not significantly impacted by dementia (in-hospital OR:0.79, 95%CI:0.60-1.03; three-month HR:0.99, 95%CI:0.87-1.12; one-year HR:1.01, 95%CI:0.93-1.10; two-year HR:1.03, 95%CI:0.96-1.09). In a subgroup of dementia patients, mortality following IF was 15% higher than HA in one (p = 0.004) and two years (p < 0.001). The negative prognostic factors included female (HR:1.10; 95%CI:1.03-1.18) and aging 65-84 years (HR:1.15; 95%CI:1.00-1.32).

CONCLUSION

Dementia increased one and two-year mortality following geriatric hip fracture treated by IF, rather than HA. Dementia patients undergoing HA, especially female or 65-84 years old, sustained better one and two-year survival than those receiving IF.

Evolution of dementia diagnosis over time (1988-2013): Evidence from French and English cohorts. Implication for secular trends analyses

INTRODUCTION

The aims of this study are to examine the evolution of clinical dementia diagnosis over 3 decades and to investigate secular trends of dementia.

METHODS

Four cohorts covering a period from 1988 to 2013 were used: the Personnes Agées Quid and Three-City-Bordeaux studies, and the Cognitive Function and Aging Study (CFAS) I and II. Mini-Mental State Examination scores at clinical diagnosis were evaluated over a 24-year follow-up period in French studies. An algorithmic approach was applied to CFAS I and II to provide dementia prevalence and incidence estimates.

RESULTS

A significant increase of the Mini-Mental State Examination score at diagnosis was observed until 2000 and a significant decrease after. We reported a prevalence of 8.8% for CFAS I (1990-1993) compared with a prevalence of 6.5% in CFAS II (2008-2011). The 2-year incidence rate was estimated at 31.2/1000 (95% confidence interval = 28.0-34.8) for CFAS I and 15.0/1000 (95% confidence interval = 13.5-16.7) for CFAS II.

DISCUSSION

Applying a stable algorithm to different cohorts across time can provide a robust method for time trends estimation.

Prevalence of Morbidity at Extreme Old Age in Germany: An Observational Study Using Health Claims Data

We assessed the prevalence of morbidity in long-lived individuals according to age and age at death and explored the association between dementia and other diseases and surviving to age 90 and 100. Using health claims data from the largest German health insurer from 2004 to 2013, we followed birth cohorts from 1908 to 1913 from age 95 until death or survival to age 100 (n=2,865) and compared them with birth cohorts from 1918 to 1923 and their survival from age 85 to age 90 (n=17,013). We observed their exact date of death and main categories of morbidity based on International Classification of Diseases, Tenth Revision, diagnoses. For all diseases studied, when differentiated according to age at death, prevalence continued to increase with age. Nonagenarians and centenarians had significantly lower disease prevalence at each age. Dementia was associated with the highest risk of dying before becoming a centenarian (hazard ratio (HR)=1.63, 95% confidence interval (CI)=1.50-1.78), followed closely by the residual category other chronic heart disease (HR=1.42, 95% CI=1.30-1.56). Results were even stronger for the younger cohort. Our study shows that exceptionally long-lived individuals are different in terms of good health. Survival at these high ages depends primarily on the absence of dementia and chronic heart disease, with acute heart disease and pneumonia playing important roles as diseases leading directly to death.

[Prevalence of dementia of insured persons with and without German citizenship : A study based on statuatory health insurance data]

BACKGROUND

Elderly people with a non-German background are a fast growing population in Germany.

OBJECTIVES

Is administrative prevalence of dementia and uptake of nursing-home care similar in the German and non-German insured?

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Based on routine data, administrative prevalence rates for dementia were calculated for 2013 from a full census of data from one large sickness fund. Patients with dementia (PWD) were identified via ICD-10 codes (F00; F01; F03; F05; G30).

RESULTS

Administrative prevalence of dementia was 2.67% in the study population; 3.06% in Germans, and 0.96% in non-Germans (p value <0.001). Age and sex adjusted prevalence was comparable in the insured with and without German citizenship, except in women aged 80-84 (17.2 vs. 15.4) and for men in the age groups 80-84 (16.5 vs. 14.2), 85-89 years (23.4 vs. 21.5), and above 90 years of age (32.3 vs. 26.3). Standardized to the population of all investigated insured, 31.4% of all Germans with dementia had no longterm care entitlement vs. 35.5% of all patients without German citizenship. Of German patients, 55.1% were institutionalized vs. 39.5% of all patients without German citizenship.

CONCLUSIONS

There was a higher prevalence of dementia in the very old insured without German citizenship compared to those with German citizenship, especially in men. Non-Germans showed lower uptake of nursing home care compared to Germans. Additionally, Germans had slightly higher nursing care entitlements. It should be investigated further how much of the difference is due to underdiagnosis, cultural differences, or lack of adequate diagnostic work-up.

Regular Benzodiazepine and Z-Substance Use and Risk of Dementia: An Analysis of German Claims Data

BACKGROUND

While acute detrimental effects of benzodiazepine (BDZ), and BDZ and related z-substance (BDZR) use on cognition and memory are known, the association of BDZR use and risk of dementia in the elderly is controversially discussed. Previous studies on cohort or claims data mostly show an increased risk for dementia with the use of BDZs or BDZRs. For Germany, analyses on large population-based data sets are missing.

OBJECTIVE

To evaluate the association between regular BDZR use and incident any dementia in a large German claims data set.

METHODS

Using longitudinal German public health insurance data from 2004 to 2011 we analyzed the association between regular BDZR use (versus no BDZR use) and incident dementia in a case-control design. We examined patient samples aged≥60 years that were free of dementia at baseline. To address potential protopathic bias we introduced a lag time between BDZR prescription and dementia diagnosis. Odds ratios were calculated applying conditional logistic regression, adjusted for potential confounding factors such as comorbidities and polypharmacy.

RESULTS

The regular use of BDZRs was associated with a significant increased risk of incident dementia for patients aged≥60 years (adjusted odds ratio [OR] 1.21, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.13-1.29). The association was slightly stronger for long-acting substances than for short-acting ones. A trend for increased risk for dementia with higher exposure was observed.

CONCLUSION

The restricted use of BDZRs may contribute to dementia prevention in the elderly.

Physical activity and cohabitation status moderate the link between diabetes mellitus and cognitive performance in a community-dwelling elderly population in Germany

AIMS/HYPOTHESIS

The increasing number of people with dementia and cognitive impairments makes it essential to detect and prevent modifiable risk factors of dementia. This study focuses on type 2 diabetes mellitus, especially on undiagnosed cases and their increased risk of cognitive impairment. Furthermore, the potential of physical activity and social integration to moderate the relation between diabetes and cognitive impairment is assessed.

METHODS

We used cross-sectional data from 1299 participants of the Berlin Aging Study II (BASE-II) aged between 60 to 84 years and performed logistic regression models to analyze the association of diabetes status, physical activity, and cohabitation status with poor cognitive performance. Cognitive performance was measured with the Consortium to Establish a Registry for Alzheimer's Disease (CERAD)-Plus test battery.

RESULTS

Undiagnosed diabetes (odds ratio (OR) = 2.12, p = 0.031), physical inactivity (OR = 1.43, p = 0.008) and non-cohabiting (OR = 1.58, p = 0.002) were associated with an increased likelihood of poor cognitive performance. The highest odds were observed in participants who suffered from undiagnosed or insulin-dependent diabetes and, in addition, were inactive (undiagnosed diabetes: OR = 3.44, p = 0.003; insulin-dependent diabetes: OR = 6.19, p = 0.019) or lived alone (undiagnosed diabetes: OR = 4.46, p = 0.006; insulin-dependent diabetes: OR = 6.46 p = 0.052). Physical activity and cohabiting appeared to be beneficial.

CONCLUSIONS/INTERPRETATION

Physical activity and cohabitation status moderate the link between diabetes mellitus and cognitive performance. Special attention should be paid to undiagnosed and insulin-dependent diabetes cases, which have a particularly high risk of poor cognitive performance.

The time trends of cognitive impairment incidence among older Chinese people in the community: based on the CLHLS cohorts from 1998 to 2014

Objective

to examine a 16-year trend in cognitive impairment (CI) incidence and associated factors among older Chinese people.

Subjects

aged 60 and above whose cognitive function were normal at their first test.

Methods

a secondary analysis that identified subjects from the database of Chinese Longitudinal Healthy Longevity Survey (CLHLS). The database contained mixed longitudinal cohorts of older Chinese people surveyed in 1998, 2000, 2002, 2005, 2008-09, 2011-12 and 2014. The cognitive function of subjects was tested using the Chinese Mini-Mental State Examination (CMMSE) in each wave. The unique individual code identified a mixed cohort of 17,896 subjects who had multiple CMMSE measures over a 16-year period and available covariates for the analysis. CI was defined as the CMMSE score below 18 points. Crude and age-standardised incidence of CI by gender were calculated by year of survey. Risk factor adjusted time trends in the incidence were examined using multilevel regression models.

Results

age-standardised CI incidence decreased from 58.77‰ to 10.09‰ (P < 0.001) from 1998 to 2014, and this decrease remained after adjusting for covariates. About 15.8% in the observed decline was explained by higher education, and 7.9% was due to health practice (regular exercise, physical activity and cognitive activity), beyond age and gender effects.

Conclusion

the CI incidence among older Chinese people decreased from 1998 to 2014. Lower education level and less frequent health practices mentioned above were important risk factors in CI prevention.

The changing prevalence and incidence of dementia over time - current evidence

Dementia is an increasing focus for policymakers, civil organizations and multidisciplinary researchers. The most recent descriptive epidemiological research into dementia is enabling investigation into how the prevalence and incidence are changing over time. To establish clear trends, such comparisons need to be founded on population-based studies that use similar diagnostic and research methods consistently over time. This narrative Review synthesizes the findings from 14 studies that investigated trends in dementia prevalence (nine studies) and incidence (five studies) from Sweden, Spain, the UK, the Netherlands, France, the USA, Japan and Nigeria. Besides the Japanese study, these studies indicate stable or declining prevalence and incidence of dementia, and some provide evidence of sex-specific changes. No single risk or protective factor has been identified that fully explains the observed trends, but major societal changes and improvements in living conditions, education and healthcare might have favourably influenced physical, mental and cognitive health throughout an individual's life course, and could be responsible for a reduced risk of dementia in later life. Analytical epidemiological approaches combined with translational neuroscientific research could provide a unique opportunity to explore the neuropathology that underlies changing occurrence of dementia in the general population.

Simultaneous temporal trends in dementia incidence and prevalence, 2005-2013: a population-based retrospective cohort study in Saskatchewan, Canada

BACKGROUND

Original studies published over the last decade regarding time trends in dementia report mixed results. The aims of the present study were to use linked administrative health data for the province of Saskatchewan for the period 2005/2006 to 2012/2013 to: (1) examine simultaneous temporal trends in annual age- and sex-specific dementia incidence and prevalence among individuals aged 45 and older, and (2) stratify the changes in incidence over time by database of identification.

METHODS

Using a population-based retrospective cohort study design, data were extracted from seven provincial administrative health databases linked by a unique anonymized identification number. Individuals 45 years and older at first identification of dementia between April 1, 2005 and March 31, 2013 were included, based on case definition criteria met within any one of four administrative health databases (hospital, physician, prescription drug, and long-term care).

RESULTS

Between 2005/2006 and 2012/2013, the 12-month age-standardized incidence rate of dementia declined significantly by 11.07% and the 12-month age-standardized prevalence increased significantly by 30.54%. The number of incident cases decreased from 3,389 to 3,270 and the number of prevalent cases increased from 8,795 to 13,012. Incidence rate reductions were observed in every database of identification.

CONCLUSIONS

We observed a simultaneous trend of decreasing incidence and increasing prevalence of dementia over a relatively short 8-year time period from 2005/2006 to 2012/2013. These trends indicate that the average survival time of dementia is lengthening. Continued observation of these time trends is warranted given the short study period.

Recent global trends in the prevalence and incidence of dementia, and survival with dementia

BACKGROUND

Current projections of the scale of the coming dementia epidemic assume that the age- and sex-specific prevalence of dementia will not vary over time, and that population ageing alone (increasing the number of older people at risk) drives the projected increases. The basis for this assumption is doubtful, and secular trends (that is, gradual decreases or increases in prevalence over long-term periods) are perfectly plausible.

METHODS

We carried out a systematic review of studies of trends in prevalence, incidence and mortality for people with dementia, conducted since 1980.

RESULTS

We identified nine studies that had tracked dementia prevalence, eight that had tracked dementia incidence, and four that had tracked mortality among people with dementia. There was some moderately consistent evidence to suggest that the incidence of dementia may be declining in high-income countries. Evidence on trends in the prevalence of dementia were inconsistent across studies and did not suggest any clear overall effect. Declining incidence may be balanced by longer survival with dementia, although mortality trends have been little studied. There is some evidence to suggest increasing prevalence in East Asia, consistent with worsening cardiovascular risk factor profiles, although secular changes in diagnostic criteria may also have contributed.

CONCLUSIONS

We found no evidence to suggest that the current assumption of constant age-specific prevalence of dementia over time is ill-founded. However, there remains some uncertainty as to the future scale of the dementia epidemic. Population ageing seems destined to play the greatest role, and prudent policymakers should plan future service provision based upon current prevalence projections. Additional priorities should include investing in brain health promotion and dementia prevention programs, and monitoring the future course of the epidemic to chart the effectiveness of these measures.

Hearing Impairment Affects Dementia Incidence. An Analysis Based on Longitudinal Health Claims Data in Germany

Recent research has revealed an association between hearing impairment and dementia. The objective of this study is to determine the effect of hearing impairment on dementia incidence in a longitudinal study, and whether ear, nose, and throat (ENT) specialist care, care level, institutionalization, or depression mediates or moderates this pathway. The present study used a longitudinal sample of 154,783 persons aged 65 and older from claims data of the largest German health insurer; containing 14,602 incident dementia diagnoses between 2006 and 2010. Dementia and hearing impairment diagnoses were defined according to International Classification of Diseases, Tenth Revision, codes. We used a Kaplan Meier estimator and performed Cox proportional hazard models to explore the effect of hearing impairment on dementia incidence, controlling for ENT specialist care, care level, institutionalization, and depression. Gender, age, and comorbidities were controlled for as potential confounders. Patients with bilateral (HR = 1.43, p<0.001) and side-unspecified (HR = 1.20, p<0.001) hearing impairment had higher risks of dementia incidence than patients without hearing impairment. We found no significant effect for unilateral hearing impairment and other diseases of the ear. The effect of hearing impairment was only partly mediated through ENT specialist utilization. Significant interaction between hearing impairment and specialist care, care level, and institutionalization, respectively, indicated moderating effects. We discuss possible explanations for these effects. This study underlines the importance of the association between hearing impairment and dementia. Preserving hearing ability may maintain social participation and may reduce the burden associated with dementia. The particular impact of hearing aid use should be the subject of further investigations, as it offers potential intervention on the pathway to dementia.

Ion channel regulation by β-secretase BACE1 - enzymatic and non-enzymatic effects beyond Alzheimer's disease

β-site APP-cleaving enzyme 1 (BACE1) has become infamous for its pivotal role in the pathogenesis of Alzheimer's disease (AD). Consequently, BACE1 represents a prime target in drug development. Despite its detrimental involvement in AD, it should be quite obvious that BACE1 is not primarily present in the brain to drive mental decline. In fact, additional functions have been identified. In this review, we focus on the regulation of ion channels, specifically voltage-gated sodium and KCNQ potassium channels, by BACE1. These studies provide evidence for a highly unexpected feature in the functional repertoire of BACE1. Although capable of cleaving accessory channel subunits, BACE1 exerts many of its physiologically significant effects through direct, non-enzymatic interactions with main channel subunits. We discuss how the underlying mechanisms can be conceived and develop scenarios how the regulation of ion conductances by BACE1 might shape electric activity in the intact and diseased brain and heart.

High rate of hypoglycemia in 6770 type 2 diabetes patients with comorbid dementia: A multicenter cohort study on 215,932 patients from the German/Austrian diabetes registry

AIMS

Dementia and type 2 diabetes (T2D) are two major phenomena in older people. To compare anti-hyperglycemic therapy and diabetes-related comorbidities between elderly T2D patients with or without comorbid dementia.

METHODS

215,932 type 2 diabetes patients aged ≥ 40 years (median [Q1;Q3]: 70.4 [61.2;77.7] years) from the standardized, multicenter German/Austrian diabetes patient registry, DPV, were studied. To identify patients with comorbid dementia, the registry was searched by ICD-10 codes, DSM-IV/-5 codes, respective search terms and/or disease-specific medication. For group comparisons, multiple hierarchic regression modeling with adjustments for age, sex, and duration of diabetes was applied.

RESULTS

3.1% (n=6770; 57% females) of the eligible T2D patients had clinically recognized comorbid dementia. After adjustment for demographics, severe hypoglycemia (insulin group: 14.8 ± 0.6 vs. 10.4 ± 0.2 events per 100 patient-years, p<0.001), hypoglycemia with coma (insulin group: 7.6 ± 0.4 vs. 3.9 ± 0.1 events per 100 patient-years, p<0.001), depression (9.9 vs. 4.7%, p<0.001), hypertension (74.7 vs. 72.2%, p<0.001), stroke (25.3 vs. 6.5%, p<0.001), diabetic foot syndrome (6.0 vs. 5.2%, p=0.004), and microalbuminuria (34.7 vs. 32.2%, p<0.001) were more common in dementia patients compared to T2D without dementia. Moreover, patients with dementia received insulin therapy more frequently (59.3 vs. 54.7%, p<0.001), but metabolic control (7.7 ± 0.1 vs. 7.7 ± 0.1%) was comparable to T2D without dementia.

CONCLUSIONS

In T2D with dementia, higher rates of hypoglycemia and other diabetes-related comorbidities were observed. Hence, the risks of a glucocentric and intense diabetes management with insulin and a focus on tight glycemic control without considering other factors may outweigh the benefits in elderly T2D patients with comorbid dementia.