The systemic inflammatory response syndrome in cirrhotic patients: relationship with their in-hospital outcome

Neutrophil–lymphocyte ratio is associated with worse outcomes in patients with cirrhosis: insights from the PRO-LIVER Registry

Background

Liver cirrhosis (LC) is a leading global cause of morbidity and mortality, with inflammation playing a key role in disease progression and clinical complications of LC. The Neutrophil/Lymphocyte Ratio (NLR), a readily available marker of systemic inflammation, has been linked to short-term adverse outcomes in LC, but data on long-term follow-up are limited. This study aimed to investigate the relationship between NLR and long-term all-cause mortality in an unselected cohort of LC patients.

Methods

Data were gathered from the Italian multicenter observational study “PRO-LIVER”. Patients with available data to calculate NLR at baseline were included. Baseline clinical determinants of NLR and the association of NRL with all-cause mortality at 2-year follow-up were evaluated.

Results

From the overall cohort (n = 753), 506 patients with LC (31% female, mean age 64.8 ± 11.9 years) were included in the analysis. Median value of NLR was 2.42 (Interquartile Range [IQR]: 1.61–3.52). At baseline, patients with NLR ≥ 2.42 were more likely to have Child–Pugh B or C, hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), or portal vein thrombosis (PVT). After a median follow-up of 21 months, 129 patients died: 44 (17%) with NLR < 2.42 and 85 (34%) with NLR ≥ 2.42 (p < 0.001). At multiple-adjusted Cox regression analysis, NLR ≥ 2.42 was independently associated with all-cause mortality (HR: 1.65; 95% CI: 1.12–2.44; p = 0.012), along with age, Child–Pugh C class, HCC and PVT.

Conclusions

NLR is associated with long-term all-cause mortality in LC. NLR may serve as a potentially easily available tool to aid risk refinement in LC.

Trial registration number

ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT01470547.

Role of Preoperative Neutrophil-Lymphocyte Ratio in Predicting Prognosis After Liver Transplantation for Chronic Liver Failure

INTRODUCTION

The neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) is an easily calculable biomarker known to have a predictive value in cardiac disease, malignancy, and renal failure. However, it has not been studied before in chronic liver disease patients undergoing liver transplantation. We aimed to evaluate the role of the pre-transplantation NLR in predicting the prognosis of patients with chronic liver failure undergoing liver transplantation.

METHOD

Data was retrospectively collected from 46 patients with chronic liver disease who underwent liver transplantation. The patients were divided into two groups. Group A had 23 patients who survived after liver transplantation. Group B had 23 patients who did not survive. NLR was calculated by dividing the percentage of neutrophils by the percentage of lymphocytes in peripheral blood. The NLR cut-off value was based on a receiver operating characteristic curve analysis. Postoperative complications were also noted.

RESULTS

Preoperative NLR of 3.46 can predict post-transplantation mortality, with the area under the curve (AUC) of 0.86, having a sensitivity of 86.96% and a specificity of 73.91%. NLR emerged as an independent predictor of mortality (hazard ratio (HR) = 4.1, p = 0.028) after adjusting for the Model for End-Stage Liver Disease-Sodium (MELD-Na), creatinine, and neutrophil count. A rising NLR trend was significantly associated with the development of postoperative complications like neurological disease (p < 0.001), coagulopathy (p = 0.004), and acute kidney injury (p = 0.043).

CONCLUSION

A high preoperative NLR is a predictor of poor outcomes in liver transplantation patients with chronic liver disease.

Clinical outcomes of COVID-19 in patients with liver cirrhosis - a propensity-matched analysis from a multicentric Brazilian cohort

BACKGROUND

Cirrhosis has been pointed out as a clinical entity that leads to worse clinical prognosis in COVID-19 patients. However, this concept is controversial in the literature. We aimed to evaluate clinical outcomes by comparing patients with cirrhosis to those without cirrhosis in a Brazilian cohort.

METHODS

Data from 20,164 COVID-19 inpatients were collected from 41 hospitals in Brazil between March to September 2020 and March 2021 to August 2022. We compared 117 patients with cirrhosis to 632 matched controls. A propensity score model was used to adjust for potential confounding variables, incorporating some predictors: age, sex at birth, number of comorbidities, hospital of admission, whether it was an in-hospital clinical manifestation of COVID-19, and admission year. Closeness was defined as being within 0.16 standard deviations of the logit of the propensity score.

RESULTS

The median age was 61 (IQR 50-70) years old, and 63.4% were men. There were no significant differences in the self-reported symptoms. Patients with cirrhosis had lower median hemoglobin levels (10.8 vs. 13.1 g/dl), lower platelets (127,000 vs. 200,000 cells/mm3), and leukocyte counts, as well as lower median C-reactive protein (63.0 vs. 76.0 p = 0.044) when compared to controls. They also had higher mortality compared to matched controls (51.3% vs. 21.7%, p < 0.001). They also had higher frequencies of admission in an intensive care unit (51.3% vs. 38.0%, p = 0.007), invasive mechanical ventilation (43.9% vs. 26.6%, p < 0.001), dialysis (17.9% vs. 11.1%, p = 0.038), septic shock (23.9% vs. 14.9%; p = 0.015) and institution of palliative care (19.7% vs. 7.4%; p < 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

This study has shown that COVID-19 inpatients with cirrhosis had significantly higher incidence of severe outcomes, as well as higher frequency of institution of palliative care when compared to matched controls. Our findings underscore the need for these patients to receive particular attention from healthcare teams and allocated resources.

Predictive value of neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio for long-term adverse outcomes in cirrhosis patients post-transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt

The neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) may predict outcomes in end-stage liver disease, but its value after transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt (TIPS) is unclear. This study explored the link between NLR and long-term outcomes in decompensated cirrhosis patients post-TIPS. We retrospectively analyzed 184 patients treated between January 2016 and December 2021, noting demographic data, lab results, and follow-up outcomes, including liver transplantation or death. Cox regression, adjusted for various factors, showed that NLR is an independent predictor of post-TIPS progression (HR 1.665; 95% CI 1.149-2.414; P = 0.007). Patients were divided into tertiles based on NLR. The medium tertile had a 3.51-fold increased risk of progression compared to the lowest (HR 3.510; 95% CI 1.104-11.153, P = 0.033), and the highest tertile had a 5.112-fold increase (HR 5.112; 95% CI 1.653-15.806, P = 0.005). This suggests that NLR is a valuable prognostic marker for long-term progression in these patients, highlighting the role of systemic inflammation.

A Golden Shield: The Protective Role of Curcumin against Liver Fibrosis

Several chronic liver injuries can result in liver fibrosis, a wound-healing response defined by an excessive buildup of diffuse extracellular matrix (ECM). Liver fibrosis may progress to liver cirrhosis, liver failure, or hepatocellular carcinoma. Many cellular routes are implicated in the fibrosis process; however, hepatic stellate cells appear to be the main cell type involved. Curcumin, a polyphenolic substance extracted from the Curcuma longa plant, has a diversity of pharmacologic impacts, including anti- inflammatory, antioxidant, antiproliferative and antiangiogenic actions. The anti-fibrotic property of curcumin is less clear, but curcumin's ability to influence inflammatory cytokines, inflammatory pathways, the expression of pro-apoptotic (up-regulated) and anti- apoptotic (down-regulated) proteins, and its ability to lower oxidative stress likely underlie its anti-fibrotic properties. In this review, we investigate and analyze the impact of curcumin on several disorders that lead to liver fibrosis, and discuss the therapeutic applications of curcumin for these disorders.

Antibiotics in decompensated liver disease - who, when and for how long?

INTRODUCTION

Bacterial infections are a leading cause of hospitalization and mortality in patients with decompensated cirrhosis. Antibiotic prophylaxis in cirrhotic patients has demonstrated significant short-term reductions in bacterial infections in randomized controlled trials, but at the cost of drug resistance and with uncertain survival benefits.

AREAS COVERED

This review examines antibiotic use in cirrhosis, focusing on patients most likely to benefit from antibiotic prophylaxis, management strategies for infections through risk-based antibiotic selection and timely treatment initiation, challenges posed by the emergence of multidrug-resistant organisms, and principles of antimicrobial stewardship.

EXPERT OPINION

The efficacy of prophylaxis has decreased over time, and current registry data have questioned its use, emphasizing the need for better risk-based individualized strategies. When bacterial infections occur, the efficacy of antimicrobial therapies depends heavily on local epidemiological patterns and individual patient risk factors, necessitating tailored antibiotic selection based on regional resistance data and specific clinical scenarios. Nosocomial infections, colonization with multidrug-resistant organisms, and prior exposure to systemic antibiotics are key risk factors that should guide empirical therapy selection. Until evidence-based algorithms are available, clinicians should continue to adopt individualized approaches, guided by available evidence, local specificities, and antimicrobial stewardship principles to optimize patient outcomes.

Biomarker for infection in children with decompensated chronic liver disease: Neutrophilic CD64 or procalcitonin?

OBJECTIVE

Biomarkers with high accuracy for identification of infection in decompensated chronic liver disease (DCLD) are urgently needed. We compared the accuracy of neutrophilic cluster of differentiation 64 (nCD64) with procalcitonin for diagnosis of bacterial infection in children with DCLD.

METHODS

Consecutive children admitted with DCLD were enrolled prospectively. nCD64 was assessed by flow cytometry and expressed in percentage. nCD64, procalcitonin and hemogram were measured at admission and 7-14 days after treatment in those with infection. Complete work-up for infection was done. Presence, site and severity of infection was classified as per guidelines.

RESULTS

107 children [64 boys, age 97(18-168) months] were enrolled. 78(72.9%) had infection, 26(24%) had severe sepsis and 60(56%) had systemic inflammatory response syndrome. The commonest site of infection was ascitic fluid (n=37), followed by pneumonia (n=24), urinary tract (n=15), bacteraemia (n=10), cholangitis (n=8) and cellulitis (n=3). nCD64 (cut-off-51%, AUC-0.82) had a higher sensitivity (79.5%) and specificity (82.8%) than procalcitonin (cut-off ≥0.58ng/mL, AUC-0.74, sensitivity-76.9% and specificity-62.1%) for diagnosis of infection. nCD64 and procalcitonin correlated with infection severity, being highest in children with severe sepsis [88(71-97) %and 1.98(0.83-10.36) ng/mL], than in infection alone [72(45-84) % and 1.09(0.45-2.07) ng/mL], and no-infection [36(20.2-48) % and 0.42(0.19-1.08) ng/mL]. There was no difference in diagnostic utility of procalcitonin or nCD64 with different sites of infection. Elevation of all 3 parameters (nCD64, PCT and total leukocyte count) was uncommon but highly specific for presence of infection.

CONCLUSION

nCD64 identifies infection better than procalcitonin and correlates well with infection severity in children with DCLD.

Liver Cirrhosis: The Immunocompromised State

Systemic inflammation and immunodeficiency are important components of cirrhosis-associated immune dysfunction (CAID), the severity of which is dynamic, progressive, and associated with the greater deterioration of liver function. Two inflammation phenotypes have been described: low-grade and high-grade systemic inflammation. Both of these phenotypes are related to liver cirrhosis function; thus, high-grade inflammation is correlated with the severity of hepatic insufficiency, bacterial translocation, and organic insufficiency, with which the risk of infections increases and the prognosis worsens. Bacterial translocation (BT) plays a relevant role in persistent systemic inflammation in patients with cirrhosis, and the prophylactic employment of antibiotics is useful for reducing events of infection and mortality.

Development and validation of prediction models for nosocomial infection and prognosis in hospitalized patients with cirrhosis

BACKGROUND

Nosocomial infections (NIs) frequently occur and adversely impact prognosis for hospitalized patients with cirrhosis. This study aims to develop and validate two machine learning models for NIs and in-hospital mortality risk prediction.

METHODS

The Prediction of Nosocomial Infection and Prognosis in Cirrhotic patients (PIPC) study included hospitalized patients with cirrhosis at the Qingchun Campus of the First Affiliated Hospital of Zhejiang University. We then assessed several machine learning algorithms to construct predictive models for NIs and prognosis. We validated the best-performing models with bootstrapping techniques and an external validation dataset. The accuracy of the predictions was evaluated through sensitivity, specificity, predictive values, and likelihood ratios, while predictive robustness was examined through subgroup analyses and comparisons between models.

RESULTS

We enrolled 1,297 patients into derivation cohort and 496 patients into external validation cohort. Among the six algorithms assessed, the Random Forest algorithm performed best. For NIs, the PIPC-NI model achieved an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.784 (95% confidence interval [CI] 0.741-0.826), a sensitivity of 0.712, and a specificity of 0.702. For in-hospital mortality, the PIPC- mortality model achieved an AUC of 0.793 (95% CI 0.749-0.836), a sensitivity of 0.769, and a specificity of 0.701. Moreover, our PIPC models demonstrated superior predictive performance compared to the existing MELD, MELD-Na, and Child-Pugh scores.

CONCLUSIONS

The PIPC models showed good predictive power and may facilitate healthcare providers in easily assessing the risk of NIs and prognosis among hospitalized patients with cirrhosis.

Prudent Use of Blood Cultures for Hospitalized Patients With Cirrhosis

Background No reliable risk stratification method is available to guide the extent of infectious work-up among hospitalized patients with cirrhosis. Therefore, we aimed to create a risk stratification method for obtaining blood cultures from hospitalized patients with cirrhosis. Methods This was a retrospective cohort study using the Healthcare Cost and Utilization Project - National Readmission Database 2019. Adult patients who were not immunocompromised comprised the final cohort. The primary outcome was the incidence of bacteremia among hospitalized patients with cirrhosis. Secondary outcomes included length of hospital stay, inpatient mortality, and 30-day readmission rate among cirrhosis patients with and without bacteremia. After propensity score matching, the χ2 test was used to assess the primary outcome and inpatient mortality. The Wilcoxon signed-rank test was used to compare the length of hospital stay. Readmission rates were compared via survival analysis. Concomitant bacterial infection, cirrhosis causes, and complications were assessed as potential risk factors for bacteremia using binomial regression. Results The risk ratio (RR) of bacteremia was 1.66 (95% confidence interval (CI): 1.55-1.78) among patients with cirrhosis compared to those without cirrhosis. A concomitant bacterial infection was found to have a strong association with bacteremia in patients with cirrhosis (RR: 3.3, 95% CI: 3.03-3.59). Among cirrhosis patients without concomitant bacterial infection, the incidence of bacteremia was 0.76% (<1%). Among the causes of cirrhosis, primary sclerosing cholangitis was found to have a strong association with bacteremia (RR: 3.88, 95% CI: 2.3-6.04, P < 0.001). Patients with cirrhosis who had bacteremia were hospitalized three days longer than those without bacteremia. There was no difference in inpatient mortality or 30-day readmission rates between cirrhotic patients with and without bacteremia. Conclusion This study suggests that, in the absence of another concomitant bacterial infection and primary sclerosing cholangitis, we can avoid unnecessary blood cultures among immunocompetent patients with cirrhosis. However, given some inherent limitations associated with the database (such as the unavailability of vitals or laboratory values), additional studies are needed to validate its findings.

Can quantitative surface antigen levels and systemic immune-inflammation index be predictive as a new indicator for the initiation of treatment in chronic hepatitis b?

OBJECTIVES

The natural history of chronic HBV infection (CHB) is generally divided into four phases: HBeAg-positive chronic HBV infection (EPCI) and -hepatitis (EPCH), HBeAg-negative chronic HBV infection (ENCI) and -hepatitis (ENCH). This study aimed to investigate changes in serum quantitative surface antigen (qHBsAg), systemic immune-inflammation index (SII) and systemic inflammatory response index (SIRI) in a large number of CHB patients.

METHOD

Three hundred seventy-two CHB patients who underwent liver biopsy between January 2015 and February 2020 were evaluated.

RESULTS

The SII-values were strongly significant between EPCI-EPCH ( P = 0.002), however, there was significant difference between ENCI-ENCH ( P = 0.025). Considering the SIRI results, there was a significant difference between both EPCI-EPCH ( P = 0.009) and ENCI-ENCH ( P = 0.118). In HBeAg-positive patients HBV-DNA, qHBsAg, and SII were found to be predictive ( P = 0.029, P = 0.039, P = 0.027, respectively) while in HBeAg-negative patients, age, AST, HBV-DNA, qHBsAg, SII, and SIRI were found to be predictive ( P = 0.047, P = 0.084, P = <0.001, P = 0.001, P = 0.012, P = 0.002, respectively). In EPCH phase, whereby accuracy rate results of HBV-DNA, qHBsAg, and SII were 75.3%, 73.4%, and 60.4%, respectively, while in the ENCH phase the accuracy rates of age, AST, HBV-DNA, qHBsAg, SII, and SIRI values were 57.8%, 65.6%, 68.3%, 63.8%, 57.3% and 53.2%, respectively.

CONCLUSION

HBV-DNA, qHBsAg, and SII are predictive in EPCH patients. Age, AST, HBV-DNA, qHBsAg, SII and SIRI are all predictive in ENCH patients. In patients with CHB, we recommend using SII to distinguish between EPCI-EPCH and ENCI-ENCH. Based on its sensitivity and features, we believe that qHBsAg and SII are suitable measuring instruments in discrimination both of EPCI-EPCH and ENCI-ENCH.

Hepatorenal Syndrome-Novel Insights into Diagnostics and Treatment

Hepatorenal syndrome (HRS) is a disorder associated with cirrhosis and renal impairment, with portal hypertension as its major underlying cause. Moreover, HRS is the third most common cause of acute kidney injury, thus creating a major public health concern. This review summarizes the available information on the pathophysiological implications of HRS. We discuss pathogenesis associated with HRS. Mechanisms such as dysfunction of the circulatory system, bacterial infection, inflammation, impaired renal autoregulation, circulatory, and others, which have been identified as critical pathways for development of HRS, have become easier to diagnose in recent years. Additionally, relatively recently, renal dysfunction biomarkers have been found indicating renal injury, which are involved in the pathophysiology of HRS. This review also summarizes the available information on the management of HRS, focusing on vasoconstrictive drugs, renal replacement therapy, and liver transplant together with currently being investigated novel therapies. Analyzing new discoveries for the underlying causes of this condition assists the general research to improve understanding of the mechanism of pathophysiology and thus prevention of HRS.

Prognostic value of neutrophil count to albumin ratio in patients with decompensated cirrhosis

Our study aimed to investigate the prognostic value of neutrophil count to albumin ratio (NAR) in predicting short-term mortality of patients with decompensated cirrhosis (DC). A total of 623 DC patients were recruited from a retrospective observational cohort study. They were admitted to our hospital from January 2014 to December 2015. NAR of each patient was calculated and analyzed for the association with 90-day liver transplantation-free (LT-free) outcome. The performance of NAR and the integrated model were tested by a receiver-operator curve (ROC) and C-index. The 90-day LT-free mortality of patients with DC was 10.6%. NAR was significantly higher in 90-day non-survivors than in survivors (The median: 1.73 vs 0.76, P < 0.001). A threshold of 1.40 of NAR differentiated patients with a high risk of death (27.45%) from those with a low risk (5.11%). By multivariate analysis, high NAR was independently associated with poor short-term prognosis (high group: 5.07 (2.78, 9.22)). NAR alone had an area under the ROC curve of 0.794 and C-index of 0.7789 (0.7287, 0.8291) in predicting 90-day mortality. The integrated MELD-NAR (iMELD) model had a higher area under the ROC (0.872) and C-index (0.8558 (0.8122, 0.8994)) than the original MELD in predicting 90-day mortality. NAR can be used as an independent predictor of poor outcomes for patients with DC during short-term follow-up.

The Association Between Peripheral Blood Neutrophil-to-Lymphocyte Ratio and Cirrhosis Complications in Adults with Compensated Liver Cirrhosis in Ahvaz, Iran

Background: The neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) is an inflammation biomarker in patients with liver cirrhosis. While increased NLR is linked to poor clinical outcomes and mortality in diseases like cancers, its association with cirrhosis complications has been sparsely examined. Objectives: This study aimed to evaluate the association between NLR and cirrhosis complications in patients with compensated liver cirrhosis. Methods: This retrospective cohort study was conducted on 256 patients with compensated liver cirrhosis visiting the Gastroenterology Clinic of Imam Khomeini Hospital, Ahvaz, Iran, in 2020. The peripheral blood lymphocyte and neutrophil counts were evaluated, and the NLR was calculated by dividing the absolute neutrophil count by the absolute lymphocyte count. Cirrhosis complications were assessed based on clinical and laboratory evaluation during 1 year of follow-up. Results: During the retrospective follow-up period, 59 patients (23.05%) experienced cirrhosis complications such as spontaneous bacterial peritonitis (n = 23), gastrointestinal bleeding (n = 22), and hepatic encephalopathy (n = 14). The baseline NLR, Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) score and Child-Pugh score were significantly higher in patients who later developed complications than in those who did not (P < 0.0001). The NLR with an optimal cut-off of > 1.95 had a sensitivity of 84.75% and specificity of 93.91% in predicting complications during the 1-year follow-up (AUC = 0.905, P < 0.0001). Conclusions: Our results indicated that the NLR is a simple, non-invasive, and cost-effective marker for predicting short-term complications in patients with compensated liver cirrhosis.

Circulating microRNAs improve bacterial infection diagnosis and overall survival prediction in acute decompensation of liver cirrhosis

Bacterial infections are the most frequent precipitating event in patients with acute decompensation of cirrhosis (AD) and are associated with high mortality. Early diagnosis is challenging due to cirrhosis-related systemic inflammation. Here we investigated the potential of circulating microRNAs to diagnose bacterial infections and predict survival in cirrhotic patients with AD. High throughput profiling of circulating microRNAs was performed using the Nanostring technology in 57 AD patients and 24 patients with compensated cirrhosis (CC). Circulating miRs profiling showed that: (a) miRs differentially detected in AD vs. CC were mostly down-regulated; (b) a composite score including absolute neutrophil count, C reactive protein and miR-362-3p could diagnose bacterial infection with an excellent performance (AUC of 0.825 [95% CI = 0.671-0.980; p < 0.001]); (c) a composite score including miR-382-5p, miR-592 and MELD-Na improved 6-month survival prediction. Circulating miRs are strongly dysregulated in patients with AD and may help to improve bacterial infection diagnosis and survival prediction.

Terlipressin in the management of adults with hepatorenal syndrome-acute kidney injury (HRS-AKI)

INTRODUCTION

Kidney is the most common extra-hepatic organ involved in patients with advanced liver cirrhosis and acute-on-chronic liver failure. Hepatorenal syndrome-acute kidney injury (HRS-AKI) accounts for most hospitalizations, and liver transplantation (LT) remains the ultimate and long-term treatment in such patients. However, HRS-AKI, being a functional renal failure, has a fair chance of reversal, and as such, patients who achieve reversal of HRS-AKI have better outcomes post-LT.

AREAS COVERED

In this review, we discuss the pharmacokinetics, pharmacodynamics and evidence to support the use of terlipressin in HRS-AKI while we also address predictors of response and the associated adverse events. Further, we discuss the role of terlipressin in the context of LT.

EXPERT OPINION

The recommended treatment for HRS-AKI reversal includes a vasoconstrictor in addition to volume expansion with albumin. The three vasoconstrictor regimens generally used to treat HRS-AKI include octreotide plus midodrine, noradrenaline, and terlipressin. Of these, terlipressin is a widely used drug and has been recently approved by US Food and Drug Administration (USFDA) for HRS-AKI. Terlipressin is the most effective drug for HRS-AKI reversal and is associated with a decreased need for renal replacement therapy pre- and post-transplant. Furthermore, terlipressin responders have improved transplant-free and post-transplant survival.

Trends of Chronic Liver Disease in a Tertiary Care Centre in the Eastern Part of India: A Retrospective Study

AIM OF THE STUDY

To assess the relationship between the severity of liver cirrhosis and its outcomes based on laboratory parameters, Child-Turcotte-Pugh (CTP) score, and upper gastrointestinal (UGI) endoscopy findings.

BACKGROUND

 Cirrhosis is the end stage of chronic liver disease (CLD) and is characterised by progressive liver fibrosis and distortion of the liver architecture. It is a major cause of morbidity and mortality all over the world. Cirrhosis is compensated in the initial stages and later progresses to the decompensated stage with various complications. The CTP scoring system predicts mortality in patients with cirrhosis.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

This retrospective study was done in the Department of Medicine and Gastroenterology of Tata Main Hospital (TMH), Jamshedpur, Jharkhand, India. It was conducted over a period of two years between 1 January 2019 and 31 December 2020, on 150 confirmed cases of cirrhosis.

RESULTS

The most common age group was 41-60 years (86, 57.33%) and the mean age ± standard deviation (SD) for all patients was 49.82 ± 11.63 years. In a total of 150 CLD cases, males were 96 (64%). The most common cause of CLD was alcohol (76, 50.67%). Based on presenting symptoms, most CLD patients presented with generalized weakness (144, 96.00%). The most common signs were icterus (68, 45.33%) and ascites (44, 29.33%). Most patients belonged to CTP class A (77, 51.33%), followed by CTP class B (44, 29.33%) and class C (29, 19.34%). The most common UGI endoscopy finding was portal hypertensive gastropathy (mild or severe) (135, 75%). Total deaths were 24 (16.00%), with 17 deaths (70.83%) in patients belonging to CTP class C.

CONCLUSION

CLD is a common entity in eastern India with male preponderance and affects mostly people of the middle age group. Alcohol intake is a major cause of CLD, followed by non-alcoholic fatty liver disease and chronic hepatitis B and C. A significant rise in morbidity and mortality due to alcoholic liver disease (ALD) was observed in the study and needs urgent social and medical intervention. The incidence of ALD in our study was 50.67%.

Prognostic nutritional index: A potential biomarker for predicting the prognosis of decompensated liver cirrhosis

Background

Prognostic nutritional index (PNI) is an independent predictor of the prognosis of various diseases. However, the prognosis value of PNI in patients with decompensated liver cirrhosis (DLC) remains unknown. The study aimed to investigate the prognostic significance of PNI in patients with DLC.

Methods

A total of 214 eligible patients were enrolled in the study's development cohort between January 2018 and March 2021. The clinical primary study endpoints were mortality at 3 and 6 months. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis was used to assess the PNI's prediction accuracy, and Youden's index was utilized to determine the PNI's optimal cut-off value. Moreover, based on the optimal cut-off value, patients were categorized into high and low PNI groups. Multivariate logistic regression analysis was used to determine independent risk factors for mortality, while the relationship between PNI and the risk of death was identified and demonstrated using restricted cubic splines (RCS). A validation cohort of 139 patients was to verify the predictive power of the PNI.

Results

In the development cohort, the mortality rate at 3 and 6 months were 10.3% (22) and 14.0% (30), respectively. The PNI had comparable predictive power with the MELD score at all follow-up endpoints. Decreased PNI was an independent predictor of adverse prognosis at all follow-up endpoints. The RCS revealed a linear correlation between PNI and the risk of death. We confirmed that lower PNI was an independent predictor of poor prognosis in the validation cohort.

Conclusion

The findings showed that lower PNI is an independent factor of poor outcomes and might be utilized as a potentially promising prognostic predictor in patients with DLC.

Prognosis prediction performs better in patients with non-cirrhosis hepatitis B virus-related acute-on-chronic liver failure than those with cirrhosis

BACKGROUND

The accurate prediction of the outcome of hepatitis B virus-related acute-on-chronic liver failure (HBV-ACLF) is impeded by population heterogeneity. The study aimed to assess the impact of underlying cirrhosis on the performance of clinical prediction models (CPMs).

METHODS

Using data from two multicenter, prospective cohorts of patients with HBV-ACLF, the discrimination, calibration, and clinical benefit were assessed for CPMs predicting 28-day and 90-day outcomes in patients with cirrhosis and those without, respectively.

RESULTS

A total of 919 patients with HBV-ACLF were identified by Chinese Group on the Study of Severe Hepatitis B (COSSH) criteria, including 675 with cirrhosis and 244 without. COSSH-ACLF IIs, COSSH-ACLFs, Chronic Liver Failure-Consortium Acute-on-Chronic Liver Failure score (CLIF-C ACLFs), Tongji Prognostic Predictor Model score (TPPMs), Model for End-Stage Liver Disease score (MELDs), and MELD-Sodium score (MELD-Nas) were all strong predictors of short-term mortality in patients with HBV-ACLF. In contrast to a high model discriminative capacity in ACLF without cirrhosis, each prognostic model represents a marked decline of C-index, net reclassification index (NRI), and integrated discrimination improvement (IDI) in predicting either 28-day or 90-day prognosis of patients with cirrhosis. The hazard analysis identified largely overlapping risk factors of poor outcomes in both subgroups, while serum bilirubin was specifically associated with short-term mortality in patients with cirrhosis and blood urea nitrogen in patients without cirrhosis. A subgroup analysis in patients with cirrhosis showed a decline of discrimination of CPMS in those with ascites or infections compared to that in those without.

CONCLUSION

Predicting the short-term outcome of HBV-ACLF by CPMs is optimal in patients without cirrhosis but limited in those with cirrhosis, at least partially due to the complicated ascites or infections.

A potential novel inflammation biomarker for predicting the prognosis of decompensated liver cirrhosis

OBJECTIVE

This study aimed to explore the prognostic value of the lymphocyte (LYM)-to-white blood cell (WBC) ratio (LWR) in patients with decompensated liver cirrhosis (DLC).

METHODS

This study was conducted by recruiting 214 patients with DLC with different aetiologies (development cohort). Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analyses were used to assess the predictive accuracy of the LWR, and Youden's index was used to determine the optimal cut-off values of the LWR based on the ROC curve. Next, patients were divided into high- and low-LWR groups according to the cut-off values. Multivariate logistic analyses were performed to determine the independent predictors for the 1-, 3- and 6-month mortality. Restricted cubic spline (RCS) was used to determine and visualize the association between LWR and the risk of death. We verified the predictive ability of LWR in the validation cohort of 139 patients.

RESULTS

In the development cohort, there were 16 (7.5%), 22 (10.3%) and 30 patients (14.0%) who died at 1, 3 and 6 months, respectively. The LWR was significantly lower in non-survivors than in survivors and was an independent predictor of poor outcomes. The ROC analyses with the Delong test showed that the LWR had comparable predictive power with the Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) score, neutrophil-to-LYM ratio (NLR) and Chronic Liver Failure consortium score for acute decompensated (CLIF-C ADs). RCS showed a non-linear relationship between the LWR and the risk of death at 1 and 3 months, whereas a linear relationship was observed between the LWR and the risk of death at 6 months. We verified that the decreased LWR was an independent predictor of adverse outcomes at 3-, and 6-month follow-up endpoints in the validation cohort.

CONCLUSIONS

Our findings indicate that a lower LWR is an independent factor for unfavourable outcomes and may serve as a potential novel prognostic predictor in patients with DLC.KEY MESSAGESThis study is the first report on the prognostic value of the lymphocyte (LYM)-to-white blood cell (WBC) ratio (LWR) in patients with decompensated liver cirrhosis (DLC).Decreased LWR is an independent factor for adverse outcomes in patients with DLC.

Serum Interleukins as Potential Prognostic Biomarkers in HBV-Related Acute-on-Chronic Liver Failure

Hepatitis B virus-related acute-on-chronic liver failure (HBV-ACLF) is relatively common in China and has complex pathogenesis, difficult clinical treatment, and poor prognosis. Immune status is an important factor affecting ACLF prognosis. Interleukins are a family of secreted lymphocyte factors that interact with a host of cell types including immune cells. These signaling molecules play important roles in transmitting information; regulating immune cells; mediating the activation, proliferation, and differentiation of T and B cells; and modulating inflammatory responses. Many studies have investigated the correlation between interleukin expression and the prognosis of HBV-ACLF. This review focuses on the potential use of interleukins as prognostic biomarkers in HBV-ACLF. References were mainly identified through PubMed and CNKI search, including relevant studies published until December 2021. We have summarized reports of several promising diagnostic interleukin biomarkers that predict susceptibility to HBV-ACLF. The use of biomarkers to understand early prognosis can help devise different therapeutic measures and improve patient survival. Ongoing research on prognostic biomarkers of HBV-ACLF is promising, and future preclinical and clinical studies are warranted.

Prognostic value of von-Willebrand factor in patients with liver cirrhosis and its relation to other prognostic indicators

BACKGROUND

Von-Willebrand factor (vWF) disposes certain prognostic value in patients with liver cirrhosis, but its relation to other prognostic indicators has not been fully investigated.

AIM

To analyze the relation between vWF and other prognostic indicators in cirrhotic patients and to evaluate its prognostic value for mortality.

METHODS

This analytic prospective study was carried out in a tertiary center and initially enrolled 71 patients with liver cirrhosis and portal hypertension. It analyzed the relation between vWF and the stage of the disease and several inflammatory and prognostic indicators. The prospective analysis, performed on a sample of 63 patients, evaluated the association between the selected variables [vWF, Model for End-stage Liver Disease (MELD) score, C-reactive protein (CRP), ferritin, vitamin D, activated partial thromboplastin time, thrombin time, D-dimer concentration] and the survival time as well as their predictive value in terms of 3-mo, 6-mo and 1-year mortality.

RESULTS

vWF was significantly higher in patients with higher Child-Turcotte-Pugh class (P = 0.0045), MELD group (P = 0.0057), ferritin group (P = 0.0278), and D-dimer concentration (P = 0.0232). vWF significantly correlated with D-dimer concentration, ferritin, CRP, International Normalized Ratio, and MELD, Child-Turcotte-Pugh, Sequential Organ Failure Assessment, and CLIF-consortium organ failure (CLIF-C OF) scores. vWF, MELD score, and CRP were significantly associated with death and were significant predictors of 3-mo, 6-mo, and 1-year mortality. Each vWF unit significantly increased the probability for 3-mo mortality by 1.005 times (P = 0.008), for 6-mo mortality by 1.006 times (P = 0.005), and for 1-year mortality by 1.007 times (P = 0.002). There was no significant difference between the diagnostic performance of vWF and MELD score and also between vWF and CRP regarding the 3-mo, 6-mo, and 1-year mortality.

CONCLUSION

In patients with liver cirrhosis, vWF is significantly related to other prognostic indicators and is a significant predictor of 3-mo, 6-mo, and 1-year mortality similar to MELD score and CRP.

Prognostic value of neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio in cirrhosis patients undergoing transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

The neutrophil-to-lymphocyte-ratio (NLR) is used as an inflammatory index and has proven to be an accurate prognostic indicator for decompensated cirrhotics; however, its role in patients undergoing transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt (TIPS) has not been evaluated. We examined whether NLR is associated with mortality in decompensated cirrhosis patients undergoing TIPS.

METHODS

We performed a retrospective review of 268 decompensated cirrhotics who underwent TIPS from January 2011 to December 2015 at an academic medical center. NLR, patient demographics, manifestations of cirrhosis, TIPS indications and mortality were recorded. Univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses for prognostic factors associated with 30-day and 90-day post TIPS mortality were performed.

RESULTS

A total of 129 (48%) patients received TIPS for refractory ascites with 79 (29%) for variceal bleeding, 14 (5%) for hepatic hydrothorax, and 46 (17%) for other indications. Cirrhosis etiology included hepatitis C (36%), alcohol (28%), nonalcoholic steatohepatitis (20%), or other (15%). Median NLR was 4.42 (IQR 2.75-7.19). Univariate and multivariate analysis showed NLR as an independent predictive factor of 30-day and 90-day mortality. Furthermore, in patients with a Model of End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) ≤ 15, NLR is superior to MELD/MELD-Na score in predicting 30-day and 90-day mortality. In patients with MELD > 15, MELD/MELD-Na score is superior to NLR.

CONCLUSION

Our data indicate that elevated NLR independently predicts 30-day and 90-day mortality. In patients with a MELD ≤ 15, NLR is a better prognostic factor than MELD or MELD-Na in predicting short-term mortality.

Extremity risk factors of sepsis for gastrointestinal endoscopy in patients with liver cirrhosis

BACKGROUND

Liver cirrhosis is a well-known risk factor of sepsis after emergent gastrointestinal (GI) endoscopy. Elective GI endoscopy before living donor liver transplantation (LDLT), however, may also carry the septic risk among these patients.

METHODS

This retrospective study reviewed the medical records of 642 cirrhotic recipients who underwent GI endoscopy from 2008 to 2016. We analyzed the incidence and risk factors of post-endoscopy sepsis during 2008-2012 (experience cohort). Our protocol changed after 2013 (validation cohort) to include antibiotic prophylaxis.

RESULTS

In experience cohort, 36 cases (10.5%) of the 342 LDLT candidates experienced sepsis within 48 h after endoscopy. The sepsis rate was significantly higher in patients with hepatic decompensation than patients without (22.2% vs. 9.6% vs. 2.6% in Child C/B/A groups respectively; ×2 = 20.97, P < 0.001). Using multivariate logistic regression analysis, the factors related to post-endoscopy sepsis were the Child score (OR 1.46; 95% CI 1.24-1.71), Child classes B and C (OR 3.80 and 14.13; 95% CI 1.04-13.95 and 3.97-50.23, respectively), hepatic hydrothorax (OR 4.85; 95% CI 1.37-17.20), and use of antibiotic prophylaxis (OR 0.08; 95% CI 0.01-0.64). In validation cohort, antibiotics were given routinely, and all cases of hepatic hydrothorax (n = 10) were drained. Consequently, 4 (1.3%) episodes of sepsis occurred among 300 LDLT candidates, and the incidence was significantly lower than before (1.3% vs. 10.5%, P < 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

Patients with decompensated cirrhosis and hepatic hydrothorax have higher risk of sepsis following endoscopy. In advanced cirrhotic patients, antibiotic prophylaxis and drainage of hydrothorax may be required to prevent sepsis before elective GI endoscopy.

Lipid Profiles as Markers for the Severity of Liver Diseases in Cirrhotic Patients

Background

Liver cirrhosis is a diffuse process in which the anatomical structure and function of the liver are disturbed. Lipid metabolism occurs mainly in the hepatocytes. In liver cirrhosis, it is expected to detect abnormal lipid profile and abnormal neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio due to necro-inflammation and hepatocyte dysfunction. This study aimed to estimate the lipid profile in patients with liver cirrhosis and to assess its relation to the severity of the liver disease based on Child-Pugh Turcotte score and Neutrophil to Lymphocyte Ratio (NLR).

Methods:

This study included 500 cirrhotic patients. All patients are subjected to history taking, clinical examination, liver and renal function tests, lipid profile, and also abdomino-pelvic ultrasound. Child -Pugh score, fibrosis-4 score (FIB4), and neutrophil and platelet lymphocyte ratio were calculated.

Results:

A total of 500 patients were enrolled in this study; 12 patients were excluded (two patients were on the immunosuppressive drug, three patients had body mass index (BMI) >30, and seven patients took lipid-lowering drugs). Cholesterol level was significantly higher in patients with Child- Score A than B and C. Cholesterol, Low-Density Lipoprotein (LDL), and very-low-density lipoprotein (VLDL) cholesterol were significantly higher in Child B than C. A significant negative correlation was found between cholesterol level and each of FIB4 and NLR ratios.

Conclusion:

There was a significant negative correlation between the severity of liver cirrhosis and lipid profiles (except triglyceride), FIB4 and NLR ratio.

High Prevalence of Pre-Existing Liver Abnormalities Identified Via Autopsies in COVID-19: Identification of a New Silent Risk Factor?

A high prevalence of hepatic pathology (in 17 of 19 cases) was reported in post-mortem (PM) examinations of COVID-19 patients, undertaken between March 2020 and February 2021 by a single autopsy pathologist in two English Coronial jurisdictions. The patients in our cohort demonstrated high levels of recognised COVID-19 risk factors, including hypertension (8/16, 50%), type 2 diabetes mellitus (8/16, 50%) and evidence of arteriopathy 6/16 (38%). Hepatic abnormalities included steatosis (12/19; 63%), moderate to severe venous congestion (5/19; 26%) and cirrhosis (4/19; 21%). A subsequent literature review indicated a significantly increased prevalence of steatosis (49%), venous congestion (34%) and cirrhosis (9.3%) in COVID-19 PM cases, compared with a pre-pandemic PM cohort (33%, 16%, and 2.6%, respectively), likely reflecting an increased mortality risk in SARS-CoV-2 infection for patients with pre-existing liver disease. To corroborate this observation, we retrospectively analysed the admission liver function test (LFT) results of 276 consecutive, anonymised COVID-19 hospital patients in our centre, for whom outcome data were available. Of these patients, 236 (85.5%) had significantly reduced albumin levels at the time of admission to hospital, which was likely indicative of pre-existing chronic liver or renal disease. There was a strong correlation between patient outcome (length of hospital admission or death) and abnormal albumin at the time of hospital admission (p = 0.000012). We discuss potential mechanisms by which our observations of hepatic dysfunction are linked to a risk of COVID-19 mortality, speculating on the importance of recently identified anti-interferon antibodies.

Establishment of a murine model of acute-on-chronic liver failure with multi-organ dysfunction

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) is a distinct clinical entity with high probability of organ failure and mortality. Since patients generally present late, experimental models are needed to understand the pathophysiology and natural course of the disease.

METHODOLOGY

To reproduce the syndrome of ACLF, chronic liver disease was induced in C57BL6 mice (6-8 weeks; approximately 20-24 g weight) by intraperitoneal administration of carbon tetrachloride (CCl₄) for 10 weeks followed by an acute injury with acetaminophen (APAP) and lipopolysaccharide (LPS). Blood, ascitic fluid, and organs were collected to study cell death, regeneration, and fibrosis.

RESULTS

At 24 h post-APAP/LPS infusion, the liver tissue showed increased hepatocyte ballooning and endothelial cell TUNEL positivity. This was followed by progressive hepatocyte necrosis from perivascular region at day 7 to lobular region by day 11. ACLF (day 7 and day 11) animals showed increase in bilirubin (p < 0.05), prothrombin time (p < 0.0001), blood ammonia (p < 0.001), and portal pressure post-acute hepatocellular injury similar to human ACLF. Ascites was noticed by day 11 with median serum-ascites albumin gradient of 1.2 (1.1-1.3) g/dL. In comparison to cirrhosis, ACLF group (day 7 and day 11) showed significant decrease in Sirius red (p ≤ 0.0001), collagen1 (p < 0.0001), and a-SMA proportionate area (p < 0.0001) with loss of hepatocytes regeneration (p < 0.005). At day 11, ACLF animals also showed significant increase in serum creatinine (p < 0.05) and acute tubular necrosis suggestive of organ failure, compared to cirrhotic animals.

CONCLUSION

The CCL4/APAP/LPS (CALPS) model of ACLF mimics the clinical, biochemical, and histological features of ACLF with demonstrable progressive hepatocellular necrosis, liver failure, impaired regeneration, development of portal hypertension, and organ dysfunction in an animal with chronic liver disease.

Acute kidney injury and hepatorenal syndrome in cirrhosis

Acute kidney injury (AKI) in cirrhosis, including hepatorenal syndrome (HRS), is a common and serious complication in cirrhotic patients, leading to significant morbidity and mortality. AKI is separated into two categories, non-HRS AKI and HRS-AKI. The most recent definition and diagnostic criteria of AKI in cirrhosis and HRS have helped diagnose and prognosticate the disease. The pathophysiology behind non-HRS-AKI and HRS is more complicated than once theorized and involves more processes than just splanchnic vasodilation. The common biomarkers clinicians use to assess kidney injury have significant limitations in cirrhosis patients; novel biomarkers being studied have shown promise but require further studies in clinical settings and animal models. The overall management of non-HRS AKI and HRS-AKI requires a systematic approach. Although pharmacological treatments have shown mortality benefit, the ideal HRS treatment option is liver transplantation with or without simultaneous kidney transplantation. Further research is required to optimize pharmacologic and nonpharmacologic approaches to treatment. This article reviews the current guidelines and recommendations of AKI in cirrhosis.

β-blockers in advanced cirrhosis: More friend than enemy

Nonselective beta-adrenergic blocker (NSBB) therapy for the prevention of initial and recurrent gastrointestinal bleeding in cirrhotic patients with gastroesophageal varices has been used for the past four decades. NSBB therapy is considered the cornerstone of treatment for varices, and has become the standard of care. However, a 2010 study from the group that pioneered β-blocker therapy suggested a detrimental effect of NSBBs in decompensated cirrhosis, especially in patients with refractory ascites. Since then, numerous additional studies have incompletely resolved whether NSBBs are deleterious, although more recent evidence weighs against a harmful effect. The possibility of a "therapeutic window" has also been raised. We aimed to review the literature to analyze the pros and cons of using NSBBs in patients with cirrhosis, not only with respect to bleeding or mortality but also to other potential benefits and risks. β-blockers are highly effective in preventing first bleeding and recurrent bleeding. Furthermore, NSBBs improve congestion/ischemia of the gut mucosa, decrease intestinal permeability, and therefore indirectly alleviate systemic inflammation. β-blockers shorten the electrocardiographic prolonged QTc interval and may also decrease the incidence of hepatocellular carcinoma. On the other hand, the possibility of deleterious effects in cirrhosis has not been completely eliminated. NSBBs may be associated with an increased risk of portal vein thrombosis, although this could be correlational artifact. Overall, we conclude that β-blockers in cirrhosis are much more of a friend than enemy.

Serum C-reactive protein and neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio as predictors of survival in cirrhotic patients with systemic inflammatory response syndrome and bacterial infection

BACKGROUND

Cirrhotic patients are prone to infections due to underlying immune dysfunction in them. We aimed to study the role of inflammatory markers, serum C-reactive protein (CRP) and neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), in predicting infection, blood culture positivity, and short-term (1 month) mortality in hospitalized cirrhotic patients.

METHODS

This prospective study was done over a period of 14 months (October 2017 to November 2018). Patient data included age, gender, etiology of cirrhosis, reason for admission, and comorbidity. Laboratory tests included blood chemistry and blood cell counts, and blood and urine culture. The specific tests included were CRP and NLR. Survival of patients in the following 1 month was noted. Area under receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC), sensitivity, specificity, predictive values, diagnostic accuracy were calculated and logistic regression analysis performed. A p-value < 0.05 was considered significant.

RESULTS

Two hundred and eight patients formed the study cohort. The median age was 51.5 years and male predominance was noted. Alcohol-related liver disease (49%) was the commonest etiology. The infection rate was 62%, culture positivity was 58.5%, and mortality was 30.8%. NLR and CRP were significantly higher in those with documented infection (culture positive or negative) and among nonsurvivors. Optimal cutoffs for NLR and CRP to predict infection were 5.86 and 33.7, respectively. The risk of having an infection was 7.5 times and about 15 times if NLR and CRP were above the cutoffs. The risk of 1-month mortality was 2-3 times higher if patients had NLR and CRP above the cutoffs. The combination of NLR and CRP (≥ 5.86 and ≥ 33.7, respectively) increased specificity and diagnostic accuracy for infection.

CONCLUSION

NLR and CRP were independently good predictors of infection and 1-month survival among the patients with cirrhosis of liver included in this study.

Systemic Inflammatory Response Syndrome in Patients Hospitalized for Acute Decompensation of Cirrhosis

BACKGROUND

Although recently challenged, systemic inflammatory response syndrome (SIRS) criteria are still commonly used in daily practice to define sepsis. However, several factors in liver cirrhosis may negatively impact its prognostic ability. Goals. To investigate the factors associated with the presence of SIRS, the characteristics of SIRS related to infection, and its prognostic value among patients hospitalized for acute decompensation of cirrhosis. Study. In this cohort study from two tertiary hospitals, 543 patients were followed up, up to 90 days. Data collection, including the prognostic models, was within 48 hours of admission.

RESULTS

SIRS was present in 42.7% of the sample and was independently associated with upper gastrointestinal bleeding (UGB), ACLF, infection, and negatively related to beta-blockers. SIRS was associated with mortality in univariate analysis, but not in multiple Cox regression analysis. The Kaplan-Meier survival probability of patients without SIRS was 73.0% and for those with SIRS was 64.7%. The presence of SIRS was not significantly associated with mortality when considering patients with or without infection, separately. Infection in SIRS patients was independently associated with Child-Pugh C and inversely related to UGB. Among subjects with SIRS, mortality was independently related to the presence of infection, ACLF, and Child-Pugh C.

CONCLUSIONS

SIRS was common in hospitalized patients with cirrhosis and was of no prognostic value, even in the presence of infection.

A prediction model for outcome in patients with HBV-ACLF based on predisposition, injury, response and organ failure

We aimed to develop a prediction model based on the PIRO concept (Predisposition, Injury, Response and Organ failure) for patients with Hepatitis B Virus (HBV) related acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF). 774 patients with HBV related ACLF defined in the CANONIC study were analyzed according to PIRO components. Variables associated with mortality were selected into the prediction model. Based on the regression coefficients, a score for each PIRO component was developed, and a classification and regression tree was used to stratify patients into different nodes. The prediction model was then validated using an independent cohort (n = 155). Factors significantly associated with 90-day mortality were: P: age, gender and ACLF type; I: drug, infection, surgery, and variceal bleeding; R: systemic inflammatory response syndrome (SIRS), spontaneous bacteria peritonitis (SBP), and pneumonia; and O: the CLIF consortium organ failure score (CLIF-C OFs). The areas under the receiver operating characteristics curve (95% confidence interval) for the combined PIRO model for 90-day mortality were 0.77 (0.73-0.80). Based on the scores for each of the PIRO components and the cut-offs estimated from the classification and regression tree, patients were stratified into different nodes with different estimated death probability. Based on the PIRO concept, a new prediction model was developed for patients with HBV related ACLF, allowing stratification into different clusters using the different scores obtained in each PIRO component. The proposed model will likely help to stratify patients at different risk, defining individual management plans, assessing criteria for specific therapies, and predicting outcomes.

Organ System Network Disruption Is Associated With Poor Prognosis in Patients With Chronic Liver Failure

BACKGROUND

A healthy individual has a high degree of functional connectivity between organ systems, which can be represented graphically in a network map. Disruption of this system connectivity is associated with mortality in life-threatening acute illnesses, demonstrated by a network approach. However, this approach has not been applied to chronic multisystem diseases and may be more reliable than conventional individual organ prognostic scoring methods. Cirrhosis is a chronic disease of the liver with multisystem involvement. Development of an efficient model for prediction of mortality in cirrhosis requires a profound understanding of the pathophysiologic processes that lead to poor prognosis. In the present study, we use a network approach to evaluate the differences in organ system connectivity between survivors and non-survivors in a group of well-characterized patients with cirrhosis.

METHODS

201 patients with cirrhosis originally referred to the Clinic five at the University Hospital of Padova, with 13 clinical variables available representing hepatic, metabolic, haematopoietic, immune, neural and renal organ systems were retrospectively enrolled and followed up for 3, 6, and 12 months. Software was designed to compute the correlation network maps of organ system interaction in survivors and non-survivors using analysis indices: A. Bonferroni corrected Pearson's correlation coefficient and B. Mutual Information. Network structure was quantitatively evaluated using the measures of edges, average degree of connectivity and closeness, and qualitatively using clinical significance. Pair-matching was also implemented as a further step after initial general analysis to control for sample size and Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD-Na) score between the groups.

RESULTS

There was a higher number of significant correlations in survivors, as indicated by both the analysis indices of Bonferroni corrected Pearson's correlation coefficient and the Mutual Information analysis. The number of edges, average degree of connectivity and closeness were significantly higher in survivors compared to non-survivors group. Pair-matching for MELD-Na was also associated with increased connectivity in survivors compared to non-survivors over 3 and 6 months follow up.

CONCLUSION

This study demonstrates the application of a network approach in evaluating functional connectivity of organ systems in liver cirrhosis, demonstrating a significant degree of network disruption in organ systems in non-survivors. Network analysis of organ systems may provide insight in developing novel prognostic models for organ allocation in patients with cirrhosis.

Diagnostic Value of Presepsin for Bacterial Infection in Cirrhosis: A Pilot Study

INTRODUCTION

Presepsin (or sCD14) has been identified as a protein whose levels increase specifically in the blood of patients with bacterial infections. In this study, we evaluated the clinical performance of sCD14 and its usefulness in the early diagnosis of bacterial infection in decompensated cirrhotic patients.

MATERIALS

Seventy patients were enrolled in this study. The mean age of patients was 49.5 years, and 21 were women and 49 men. The heparinized whole blood for the PATHFAST test was used in the evaluation of bacterial infection (T0). The test was repeated after 48 hours (T1); at 96 hours (T2); at 144 hours (T3); then at 15 days (T4) to monitor the clinical responses to therapeutic interventions.

RESULTS

Forty-nine patients tested positive for sCD14. The mean sCD14 level was 1854 ± 1744 pg/mL. Microbiological findings confirmed the presence of bacterial infections within 84 ± 4.8 h from enrollment in all 49 positive patients. Thirty-eight patients were considered responders to empirical antibiotic therapy with a decrease of presepsin at the different time points, while an increased level of sCD14 was highlighted in 11 patients. When the test was performed, 45% of the patients showed no signs or symptoms of bacterial infection. At 30 days of follow-up 43 patients survived, and 6 patients died from septic shock.

CONCLUSIONS

The PATHFAST test highlighted the presence of infection in a very short time (15 minutes), and the presepsin could be considered an early biomarker in patients with cirrhosis. A greater number of patients are necessary to confirm these data.

Haematogenous Spondylodiscitis in Patients With Liver Cirrhosis: Case Series of 36 Patients

STUDY DESIGN

A retrospective study of 36 liver cirrhosis patients presenting with spondylodiscitis.

OBJECTIVES

The aim of this study was to analyze the characteristics of spondylodiscitis in the presence of liver cirrhosis and furthermore, to evaluate the outcome of surgery in this specific group of patients.

SUMMARY OF BACKGROUND DATA

The incidence of haematogenous spondylodiscitis is increasing. The coexistence of liver cirrhosis makes the course of the disease more aggressive.

METHODS

A total of 36 liver cirrhosis patients presented with haematogenous spondylodiscitis. The onset of infection, clinical course and outcomes of management were reviewed retrospectively.

RESULTS

The associated comorbidities were cardiac in 17 patients, diabetes in 19, renal insufficiency in 16, and another focus for infection in nine cases. Neurological deficits were found in 24 patients (67%) and fever in 15 cases. Nine patients had septic manifestations. The lumbar spine was affected in 25 patients (69%). Noncontiguous spinal infection was found in nine patients (25%) and epidural abscess in 24 individuals. The preoperative C-reactive protein was elevated in all cases. The causative organism was most commonly Staphylococcus aureus (17 patients). A combined anteroposterior approach was necessary in 28 patients and a minimallly invasive surgery was performed in 30 cases. In-hospital mortality was 14% (5 patients). The neurological improvement rate was 82%. The postoperative antibiotic therapy was taken for more than 8 weeks in 22 patients. In 15 patients, a combination of antibiotics was necessary.

CONCLUSION

Spinal infection in the presence of liver cirrhosis is challenging. The rate epidural abscess formation is relatively high. Early diagnosis remains the main cornerstone in the management and the indication for surgery should be carefully considered. Minimally invasive techniques should be used when possible to minimize complication rate, and higher amounts of intraoperative blood loss should be expected.

LEVEL OF EVIDENCE

4.

Vaccination in adult liver transplantation candidates and recipients

In patients with chronic liver disease and liver transplant recipients, cirrhosis-associated immune dysfunction syndrome and immunosuppressant drug regimens required to prevent graft rejection lead to a high risk of severe infections, associated with acute liver decompensation, graft loss and increased mortality. In addition to maintain their global health status, vaccination represents a major preventive measure against specific infectious risks of particular concern in this population, such as invasive pneumococcal diseases, influenza or viral hepatitis A and B. However, immunization in this setting raises several issues: i) recommended vaccination schedules rely on sparse immunogenicity data without clinical efficacy and effectiveness trials designed for this specific population; ii) dynamics of immunosuppression makes timing of immunization challenging; iii) live attenuated vaccines are contraindicated after transplantation; and iv) vaccines tolerance is poorly known in cirrhotic patients. This review outlines the rational for vaccination in adult liver transplant candidates and recipients and available data regarding immunization in this specific population.

Bacterial Infection in Patients with Cirrhosis: Don't Get Bugged to Death

Bacterial infection remains a leading cause of mortality and morbidity for patients with cirrhosis, with hospitalization, alterations in the intestinal microbiota, and therapeutic drugs all implicated in its development. Bacterial infections also remain the most common precipitant of acute-on-chronic liver failure, with infection occurring as a direct consequence of the progression of this syndrome. Furthermore, recent epidemiological analyses have demonstrated that infections due to multidrug-resistant bacteria are occurring with increasing frequency in patients with cirrhosis. Despite significant advances in the understanding of the pathophysiological processes triggered by an infection in patients with cirrhosis, a demonstrable survival benefit for the sickest patients who require ICU admission has not yet occurred. Early diagnosis of infection and appropriate antimicrobial treatment is essential to ensuring optimal outcomes for these patients. This review provides an evidence-based analysis of both the current strategies for prevention and the recommended management of common bacterial infections in patients with cirrhosis.

Long Non-coding RNA NEAT1 Alleviates Acute-on-Chronic Liver Failure Through Blocking TRAF6 Mediated Inflammatory Response

Background

Long non-coding RNAs (lncRNAs) have recently been tightly linked to plenty of human diseases. However, knowledge of acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) related lncRNAs remains insufficient. In this work, we studied the role of the lncRNA nuclear enriched abundant transcript 1 (NEAT1) in the pathogenesis of ACLF.

Methods

ACLF model was established by challenging D-galactosamine (D-GalN)/ lipopolysaccharide (LPS) i.p. in rats with cirrhosis. The serum levels of IL-1, IL-6, and HMGB1 were determined using ELISA. Quantitative real time-PCR and western blot were performed to evaluate RNA and protein levels of inflammatory response. RNA immunoprecipitation assay was performed to confirm protein that interacts with NEAT1.

Findings

Over-expression of NEAT1 could interact with TRAF6 and decrease its ubiquitination level, and significantly reduced the expression levels of IL-6, IL-22. Importantly, in ACLF rat model, NEAT1 over-expression reduced several cytokines expression and alleviated the pathological status in contrast to the control group. Additionally, NEAT1 was increased and positively correlated with IL-22 and IL-6 levels in PBMCs from the ACLF patients.

Interpretation

NEAT1 can suppress inflammatory response through blockade of TRAF6 ubiquitination in ACLF rat model, suggesting that lncRNA NEAT1 might play protective roles in the pathogenesis of ACLF and provide promising novel target for pharmacological intervention.

Metabolism in Acute-On-Chronic Liver Failure: The Solution More than the Problem

Chronic inflammatory liver disease with an acute deterioration of liver function is named acute-on-chronic inflammation and could be regulated by the metabolic impairments related to the liver dysfunction. In this way, the experimental cholestasis model is excellent for studying metabolism in both types of inflammatory responses. Along the evolution of this model, the rats develop biliary fibrosis and an acute-on-chronic decompensation. The acute decompensation of the liver disease is associated with encephalopathy, ascites, acute renal failure, an acute phase response and a splanchnic increase of pro- and anti-inflammatory cytokines. This multiorgan inflammatory dysfunction is mainly associated with a splanchnic and systemic metabolic switch with dedifferentiation of the epithelial, endothelial and mesothelial splanchnic barriers. Furthermore, a splanchnic infiltration by mast cells occurs, which suggests that these cells could carry out a compensatory metabolic role, especially through the modulation of hepatic and extrahepatic mitochondrial-peroxisome crosstalk. For this reason, we propose the hypothesis that mastocytosis in the acute-on-chronic hepatic insufficiency could represent the development of a survival metabolic mechanisms that mitigates the noxious effect of the hepatic functional deficit. A better understanding the pathophysiological response of the mast cells in liver insufficiency and portal hypertension would help to find new pathways for decreasing the high morbidity and mortality rate of these patients.

Risk factors, clinical features, and short-term prognosis of spontaneous fungal peritonitis in cirrhosis: A matched case-control study

BACKGROUND

Spontaneous peritonitis is one of the most common infectious complications in cirrhotic patients with ascites. Spontaneous fungal peritonitis (SFP) is a type of spontaneous peritonitis that is a less recognized but devastating complication in end-stage cirrhosis. Although high mortality was previously noted, scant data are available to fully define the factors responsible for the occurrence of SFP and its mortality.

AIM

To illustrate the differences between SFP and spontaneous bacterial peritonitis (SBP) and discuss the risk factors for the occurrence of SFP and its short-term mortality.

METHODS

We performed a matched case-control study between January 1, 2007 and December 30, 2018. Patients with SFP were included in a case group. Sex-, age-, and time-matched patients with SBP were included in a control group and were further divided into control-1 group (positive bacterial culture) and control-2 group (negative bacterial culture). The clinical features and laboratory parameters, severity models, and prognosis were compared between the case and control groups. Logistic regression analysis was used to determine the risk factors for occurrence, and the Cox regression model was used to identify the predictive factors for short-term mortality of SFP.

RESULTS

Patients with SFP exhibited more severe systemic inflammation, higher ascites albumin and polymorphonuclear neutrophils, and a worsened 15-d mortality than patients in the control groups. Antibiotic administration (case vs control-1: OR = 1.063, 95%CI: 1.012-1.115, P = 0.014; case vs control-2: OR = 1.054, 95%CI: 1.014-1.095, P = 0.008) remarkably increased the occurrence of SFP or fungiascites. Hepatorenal syndrome (HR = 5.328, 95%CI: 1.050-18.900) and total bilirubin (μmol/L; HR = 1.005, 95%CI: 1.002-1.008) represented independent predictors of SFP-related early mortality.

CONCLUSION

Long-term antibiotic administration increases the incidence of SFP, and hepatorenal syndrome and total bilirubin are closely related to short-term mortality.

Systemic inflammatory response syndrome and long-term outcome after intracerebral hemorrhage

Objective

To investigate whether the systemic inflammatory response syndrome (SIRS) without infection as surrogate of a systemic immune response is associated with poor long-term functional outcome in patients with spontaneous intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH).

Methods

We analyzed consecutive patients with spontaneous ICH from our prospective cohort study (2018-2015). SIRS was defined according to standard criteria: i.e., 2 or more of the following parameters during hospitalization: body temperature <36°C or >38°C, respiratory rate >20 per minute, heart rate >90 per minute, or white blood cell count <4,000/μL or >12,000/μL in the absence of infection. The primary outcome consisted of the modified Rankin Scale (mRS) at 3 and 12 months investigated by adjusted ordinal shift analyses. Bias and confounding were addressed by propensity score matching and multivariable regression models.

Results

Of 780 patients with ICH, 21.8% (n = 170) developed SIRS during hospitalization. Patients with SIRS showed more severe ICH compared with those without; i.e., larger ICH volumes (18.3 cm3, interquartile range [IQR 4.6-47.2 cm3] vs 7.4 cm3, IQR [2.4-18.6 cm3]; p < 0.01), increased intraventricular hemorrhage (57.6%, n = 98/170 vs 24.8%, n = 79/319; p < 0.01), and poorer neurologic admission status (NIH Stroke Scale score 16, IQR [7-30] vs 6, IQR [3-12]; p < 0.01). ICH severity-adjusted analyses revealed an independent association of SIRS with poorer functional outcome after 3 (OR 1.80, 95% CI [1.08-3.00]; p = 0.025) and 12 months (OR 1.76, 95% CI [1.04-2.96]; p = 0.034). Increased ICH volumes on follow-up imaging (OR 1.38, 95% CI [1.01-1.89]; p = 0.05) and previous liver dysfunction (OR 3.01, 95% CI [1.03-10.19]; p = 0.04) were associated with SIRS.

Conclusions

In patients with ICH, we identified SIRS to be predictive of poorer long-term functional outcome over the entire range of mRS estimates. Clinically relevant associations with SIRS were documented for previous liver dysfunction and hematoma enlargement.

Mansoura simple scoring system for prediction of spontaneous bacterial peritonitis: lesson learnt

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE

Spontaneous bacterial peritonitis (SBP) is a common bacterial infection with life-threatening sequelae in cirrhotic ascites. The purpose of this retrospective cohort study was to recognize the predictors of SBP to build up a noninvasive system to exclude or establish an episode of SBP.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

Of 1194 consecutive patients with cirrhotic ascites, only 966 patients were enrolled in this study. SBP was diagnosed once polymorphonuclear count was at least 250 cells/mm and/or there was a positive ascitic fluid culture result. Biochemical and clinical parameters were evaluated as predictors of SBP. A scoring system was established in the training group of 682 and validated in a second group of 284 participants.

RESULTS

The incidence of SBP was 12.3 and 12% in the training and validation groups, respectively. Age of at least 55 years, mean platelet volume (MPV) of at least 8.5 fl, neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) of at least 2.5, and C-reactive protein (CRP) of at least 40 mg/l were identified as independent predictors of SBP. A scoring system including these four variables (age, MPV, and NLR with 1 point each, whereas CRP with 2 points) achieves a specificity of 98.2% with a positive predictive value for the diagnosis of SBP of 88.1% (score≥4). At a threshold of 1 point, the negative predictive value is 97.5% with a sensitivity of 92.9%. SBP is not associated with a high Model for End-stage Liver Disease score (P=0.135).

CONCLUSION

The combination of age, MPV, NLR, and CRP in a simple scoring system, Mansoura simple scoring system, supports quick and accurate exclusion or diagnosis of SBP.

Management of Sepsis in Patients With Cirrhosis: Current Evidence and Practical Approach

Sepsis in patients with cirrhosis is associated with high mortality. An impaired immune response accounts for the increased infection risk observed in these patients. Hemodynamic and systemic changes suggestive of sepsis may be observed in patients with cirrhosis in the absence of infection; therefore, diagnosis and treatment of sepsis may be delayed. The optimal management of the critically ill patient with sepsis and cirrhosis has not been well established and is generally extrapolated from consensus guidelines and expert recommendations made for management of patients without cirrhosis with sepsis. Despite the lack of strong evidence, we propose a contemporary pragmatic approach to sepsis management in patients with cirrhosis, including the choice of fluids, vasopressors, and antibiotics.

Nosocomial Infections Are Frequent and Negatively Impact Outcomes in Hospitalized Patients With Cirrhosis

OBJECTIVES

Nosocomial infections (NIs) can be a major cause of morbidity and mortality in cirrhosis. This study aims to define the determinants of NI development and its impact on 30-day outcomes among hospitalized patients with cirrhosis.

METHODS

North American Consortium for the Study of End-Stage Liver Disease enrolled patients with cirrhosis who were admitted nonelectively. Admission variables and 30-day outcomes were compared between patients with and without NI. These were also compared based on whether there was an isolated admission infection, NI, or both. Models were created for NI development using admission variables and for 30-day mortality.

RESULTS

The study included 2,864 patients; of which, 15% (n = 436) developed NI. When comparing NI vs no NI, 1,866 patients were found to be infection free, whereas 562 had admission infections only, 228 had only NI, and 208 had both infections. At admission, patients with NI were more likely to be infected and have advanced cirrhosis. NIs were associated with higher rates of acute-on-chronic liver failure, death, and transplant regardless of admission infections. Patients with NI had higher respiratory infection, urinary tract infection, Clostridium difficile infection, fungal infections, and infection with vancomycin-resistant enterococci compared with patients without NI. Risk factors for NIs were admission infections, model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) > 20, systemic inflammatory response syndrome criteria, proton pump inhibitor, rifaximin, and lactulose use, but the regression model (sensitivity, 0.67; specificity, 0.63) was not robust. Age, alcohol etiology, admission MELD score, lactulose use, acute-on-chronic liver failure, acute kidney injury, intensive care unit, and NI increased the risk of death, whereas rifaximin decreased the risk of death.

DISCUSSION

NIs are prevalent in hospitalized patients with cirrhosis and are associated with poor outcomes. Although higher MELD scores and systemic inflammatory response syndrome are associated with NI, all hospitalized patients with cirrhosis require vigilance and preventive strategies.

Copeptin – a biomarker of short-term mortality risk (7 days) in patients with end-stage liver disease

Background

For many patients with end-stage liver disease, liver transplantation represents the only curative therapy. Transplant recipients are scored and ranked using the model for end-stage liver disease (MELD/MELD-Na). Circulatory impairment is known to deteriorate outcomes; however, it is not incorporated into the current allocation system’s score. The aim of our study is to analyze the predictive value of copeptin as a biomarker of circulatory impairment and increased short-term mortality risk in patients with end-stage liver disease.

Methods

We conducted a retrospective observational study of 615 patients with end-stage liver disease. Patients were recruited using assessments performed during the evaluation process for liver transplantation. Copeptin values were analyzed in comparison to MELD-Na, interleukin 6 (IL-6), and C-reactive protein (CRP).

Results

Elevated levels of copeptin, IL-6 and CRP, as well as high MELD-Na scores, were significantly correlated with mortality. In a comparison of copeptin-tertiles, patients in group T3 (16.3 pmol/L or more) showed a significantly higher mortality risk (hazard ratio 11.2, p < 0.001). After adjusting for MELD-Na, copeptin remains an independent predictor of mortality. It shows its greatest prognostic strength in short-term mortality, where it performs comparable to MELD-Na (AUROC for 7 day-mortality, 0.941/0.939; p = 0.981) and shows an additional predictive value to MELD-Na for short-term mortality (7 days, p: 0.046; 30 days, p: 0.006).

Conclusions

Copeptin presents a valuable individual biomarker in detecting patients at risk for short-term mortality. Further studies should be performed to confirm our findings.

Neutrophil-to-Lymphocyte Ratio Predicts Death in Acute-on-Chronic Liver Failure Patients Admitted to the Intensive Care Unit: A Retrospective Cohort Study

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The neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) is an inflammation score recognized as associated with outcome. Although inflammation has been shown to correlate with the development of acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF), we sought to investigate the role of NLR in predicting 90-day mortality in cirrhotic patients experiencing ACLF. We performed a retrospective cohort study involving a total of 108 consecutive cirrhotic patients admitted in the intensive care unit (ICU). NLR, clinical and biological data were recorded. Of the total, 75 patients had ACLF. The 90-day mortality rate was 53%. ACLF patients displayed higher NLR values in comparison with cirrhotic patients without ACLF throughout the ICU stay. NLR proved more elevated in nonsurvivors ACLF patients, with mortality correlating with increasing quartiles of NLR. On multivariable Cox regression analysis, NLR was found to be a predictor of mortality along with the Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA) score and mechanical ventilation requirement. The model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) score was not predictive of 90-days mortality. Performance analysis revealed an area under curve of 0.71 [95% confidence interval: 0.59–0.82] regarding NLR capacity to predict 90-days mortality. When including NLR, SOFA score, and mechanical ventilation requirement into the final model, the area under curve was significantly higher (0.81 [95% confidence interval: 0.72–0.91]).

These findings suggest that NLR is associated with mortality in ACLF patients admitted to the ICU. Combining NLR, SOFA score, and the need for mechanical ventilation could be a useful prognostic tool to identify ACLF patients at a higher risk of mortality.

Impact of Cytomegalovirus Infection on the Outcome of Patients With Cirrhosis: A Preliminary Study

GOALS

The aims of this study were to evaluate whether cytomegalovirus (CMV) infection is associated with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) and liver-related mortality in cirrhotic patients.

BACKGROUND

In cirrhotic patients, the determinants of HCC and liver-related death are imperfectly known. CMV infection, by its prooncogenic and proinflammatory properties, may favor both the development of HCC and deleterious systemic inflammation.

STUDY

In the 1178 patients included between June 2008 and December 2012 in the CIrrhose et Risque de Carcinome Hépatocellulaire dans le grand-Est (CIRCE) study, a French multicenter case-control study designed to identify risk factors of HCC among cirrhotic patients, we identified 432 patients with interpretable CMV serological status at baseline. They included 159 cases with HCC and 273 controls. We measured factors associated with HCC at baseline and subsequent HCC in controls, and predictors of overall and liver-related death in the whole study population.

RESULTS

During a median follow-up of 31 months, 25 cases of HCC developed in controls, and 209 deaths (163 liver-related) were recorded. There were 247 (57.2%) CMV-seropositive patients. CMV seropositivity was not associated with more frequent HCC at baseline or during follow-up, but among CMV-positive patients with HCC, the proportion of multinodular, infiltrative, or metastatic tumors at diagnosis was higher (73.8% vs. 57.3%; P=0.029), inducing higher mortality (74% vs. 52% at 3 years; P=0.004). By Cox-regression adjusted for age, gender, Model for End-stage Liver Disease (MELD) score, HCC at baseline, and diabetes, CMV seropositivity independently predicted all-cause (hazard ratio=1.45; 95% confidence interval, 1.08-1.94; P=0.013) and liver-related mortality (hazard ratio=1.56; 95% confidence interval, 1.04-2.30; P=0.031).

CONCLUSIONS

In this preliminary study, CMV-seropositive cirrhotic patients were at higher risk of liver-related death caused by more aggressive HCCs or severe cirrhosis complications. These findings warrant confirmation.

C-reactive Protein Can Predict Patients with Cirrhosis at a High Risk of Early Mortality after Acute Esophageal Variceal Bleeding

Objective The aim of this study was to identify patients with a high risk of early mortality after acute esophageal variceal bleeding by measuring the C-reactive protein (CRP) level. Methods We retrospectively evaluated 154 consecutive cirrhotic patients admitted with acute esophageal variceal bleeding. Differences between categorical variables were assessed by the chi-square test. Continuous variables were compared using the Mann-Whitney U-test. Multivariate logistic regression analyses consisting of clinical laboratory parameters were performed to identify risk factors associated with the 6-week mortality. The discriminative ability and the best cut-off value were assessed by a receiver-operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis. Results Child-Pugh C patients showed a significantly higher 6-week mortality than Child-Pugh A or B patients (38% vs. 6%, p<0.0001). The 6-week mortality in Child-Pugh C patients was associated with the age (p<0.0001), etiology of cirrhosis (p=0.003), hepatocellular carcinoma (p=0.0003), portal vein thrombosis (p=0.005), baseline creatinine (p=0.0001), albumin (p=0.001), white blood cell count (p=0.038), baseline CRP [p=0.0004; area under the ROC (AUROC)=0.765; optimum cut-off value at 1.30 mg/dL] and bacterial infection (p=0.019). We determined that CRP ≥1.30 mg/dL was an independent predictor for 6-week mortality in Child-Pugh C patients [odds ratio (OR)=8.789; 95% confidence interval (CI): 2.080-47.496; p=0.003], along with a creatinine level of 0.71 mg/dL (OR=17.628; 95% CI: 2.349-384.426; p=0.004) (73% mortality if CRP ≥1.30 mg/dL vs. 19% if CRP<1.30 mg/dL, p<0.0001). Conclusion In Child-Pugh C patients with esophageal variceal bleeding, a baseline CRP ≥1.30 mg/dL can help identify patients with an increased risk of mortality.

Pneumonia in patients with cirrhosis: risk factors associated with mortality and predictive value of prognostic models

BACKGROUND

Cirrhosis always goes with profound immunity compromise, and makes those patients easily be the target of pneumonia. Cirrhotic patients with pneumonia have a dramatically increased mortality. To recognize the risk factors of mortality and to optimize stratification are critical for improving survival rate.

METHODS

Two hundred and three cirrhotic patients with pneumonia at a tertiary care hospital were included in this retrospective study. Demographical, clinical and laboratory parameters, severity models and prognosis were recorded. Multivariate Cox regression analysis was used to identify independent predictors of 30-day and 90-day mortality. Area under receiver operating characteristics curves (AUROC) was used to compare the predictive value of different prognostic scoring systems.

RESULTS

Patients with nosocomial acquired or community acquired pneumonia indicated similar prognosis after 30- and 90-day follow-up. However, patients triggered acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) highly increased mortality (46.4% vs 4.5% for 30-day, 69.6% vs 11.2% for 90-day). Age, inappropriate empirical antibiotic therapy (HR: 2.326 p = 0.018 for 30-day and HR: 3.126 p < 0.001 for 90-day), bacteremia (HR: 3.037 p = 0.002 for 30-day and HR: 2.651 p = 0.001 for 90-day), white blood cell count (WBC) (HR: 1.452 p < 0.001 for 30-day and HR: 1.551 p < 0.001 for 90-day) and total bilirubin (HR: 1.059 p = 0.002 for 90-day) were independent factors for mortality in current study. Chronic liver failure-sequential organ failure assessment (CLIF-SOFA) displayed highest AUROC (0.89 and 0.90, 95% CI: 0.83-0.95 and 0.85-0.95 for 30-day and 90-day respectively) in current study.

CONCLUSIONS

This study found age, bacteremia, WBC, total bilirubin and inappropriate empirical antibiotic therapy were independently associated with increased mortality. Pneumonia triggered ACLF remarkably increased mortality. CLIF-SOFA was more accurate in predicting mortality than other five prognostic models (model for end-stage liver disease (MELD), MELD-Na, quick sequential organ failure assessment (qSOFA), pneumonia severity index (PSI), Child-Turcotte-Pugh (CTP) score).

Pathophysiologic Implications of Cytokines Secretion during Liver Transplantation Surgery

We introduce the following issues of the cytokines secretion during liver transplantation surgery in this review article; 1) the aspect of cytokines secretion during liver transplantation surgery, 2) the evidences of association of cytokines concentration with post-transplantation graft survival, 3) a variety of factors that may influence the secretion of cytokines during liver transplantation, 4) pro-inflammatory and anti-inflammatory cytokine balance during the surgery, and 5) the issues of T helper 1 and T helper 2, and T helper 17 and regulatory T cell signature cytokines secretion and their ratio during liver transplantation surgery. Primary failure of the liver is associated with the secondary dysfunction of virtually all other organ systems, including the cardiovascular, pulmonary, renal, coagulation and central nervous systems. In addition, liver transplantation surgery itself is a major surgical procedure with accompanying life-threatening hemorrhage, massive transfusion, clamping and unclamping of great vessels and resulting ischemia-reperfusion injury and cardiovascular instability. Both the underlying liver failure and the surgical events act as stressors and promote the secretion of various cytokines. So it is clinically important to understand above issues regarding the cytokines secretion during liver transplantation surgery. As cytokines secretion has clear relationship with post-transplantation clinical outcomes, future study directions for artificially manipulating cytokines secretion is also suggested for enhancing outcomes of the patients.