Performance of non-invasive tests and histology for the prediction of clinical outcomes in patients with non-alcoholic fatty liver disease: an individual participant data meta-analysis

Identification of growth differentiation factor 15 as an early predictive biomarker for metabolic dysfunction-associated steatohepatitis: A nested case-control study of UK Biobank proteomic data

AIMS

This study aims to determine the predictive capability for metabolic dysfunction-associated steatohepatitis (MASH) long before its diagnosis by using six previously identified diagnostic biomarkers for metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD) with proteomic data from the UK Biobank.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

A nested case-control study comprising a MASH group and three age- and sex-matched control groups (metabolic dysfunction-associated steatosis, viral hepatitis and normal liver controls) was conducted. Olink proteomics, anthropometric and biochemical data at baseline levels were obtained from the UK Biobank. The baseline levels of CDCP1, FABP4, FGF21, GDF15, IL-6 and THBS2 were analysed prospectively to determine their predictive accuracy for subsequent diagnosis with a mean lag time of over 10 years.

RESULTS

At baseline, GDF15 demonstrated the best performance for predicting MASH occurrence at 5 and 10 years later, with AUCs of 0.90 at 5 years and 0.86 at 10 years. A predictive model based on four biomarkers (GDF15, FGF21, IL-6 and THBS2) showed AUCs of 0.88 at both 5 and 10 years. Furthermore, a protein-clinical model that included these four circulating protein biomarkers along with three clinical factors (BMI, ALT and TC) yielded AUCs of 0.92 at 5 years and 0.89 at 10 years.

CONCLUSIONS

GDF15 at baseline levels outperformed other individual circulating protein biomarkers for the early prediction of MASH. Our data suggest that GDF15 and the GDF15-based model may be used as easy-to-implement tools to identify patients with high risks of developing MASH at a mean lag time of over 10 years.

Association between longitudinal biomarkers and major adverse liver outcomes in patients with non-cirrhotic metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Noninvasive biomarkers provide prognostic information for the development of major adverse liver outcomes (MALOs) in patients with metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD), but the predictive value of longitudinal biomarker measurements has not been evaluated. We assessed whether changes in biomarkers could predict incident MALO in MASLD.

APPROACH AND RESULTS

We analyzed a cohort of 1260 patients (71.7% on biopsy) with non-cirrhotic MASLD between 1974 and 2019. Data at baseline and follow-up visits were obtained from medical charts. MALO was determined through medical charts and linkage to national registers until the end of 2020. A joint modeling approach was used to quantify the associations between the trajectory of biomarkers and the risk of MALO. MASLD was diagnosed at a median age of 52 years (IQR: 39-60), and 59% were male. During a median follow-up of 12.2 years, 111 (8.8%) patients developed MALO. The joint modeling showed that an elevated fibrosis-4 score (HR: 2.60, 95% CI: 1.89-3.50), aspartate aminotransferase (HR: 2.69, 95% CI: 2.57-3.05), and lower platelet count (HR: 0.93, 95% CI: 0.90-0.97) at any time point were associated with an increased risk of MALO, whereas the rate of change in these biomarkers had no association with this risk.

CONCLUSIONS

In addition to baseline measurements of noninvasive biomarkers such as fibrosis-4 score, aspartate aminotransferase, and platelets taken at MASLD diagnosis, monitoring their values over time is important, as the latest value of these biomarkers is closely associated with the risk of future MALO. The rate of change may not be as important.

Liver stiffness progression in biopsy-proven metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic disease among people with diabetes versus people without diabetes: A prospective multicenter study

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

There are limited data on the progression of liver stiffness measurement (LSM) by vibration-controlled transient elastography (VCTE) in people with type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) versus those without T2DM in biopsy-proven metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease. We examined LSM progression in participants with T2DM versus those without T2DM in a large, prospective, multicenter cohort study.

APPROACH AND RESULTS

This study included 1231 adult participants (62% female) with biopsy-proven metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease who had VCTEs at least 1 year apart. LSM progression and regression were defined by a ≥20% increase and an upward or downward change, respectively, in the LSM category in the Baveno VII categories for compensated advanced chronic liver disease, compared between participants with T2DM (n = 680) versus no T2DM (n = 551) at baseline. The mean (±SD) age and body mass index were 51.8 (±12.0) years and 34.0 (±6.5) kg/m 2 , respectively. The median (IQR) time between the first and last VCTE measurements was 4.1 (2.5-6.5) years. Participants with T2DM had higher LSM progression at 4 years (12% vs. 10%), 6 years (23% vs. 16%), and 8 years (50% vs. 39%), p = 0.04. Using a multivariable Cox proportional hazards model adjusted for multiple confounders, the presence of T2DM remained an independent predictor of LSM progression (adjusted HR: 1.35, 95% CI: 1.01-1.81, p = 0.04). T2DM was not associated with LSM regression ( p = 0.71). Mean HbA1c was significantly associated with LSM progression ( p = 0.003) and regression ( p = 0.02).

CONCLUSIONS

Using serial VCTE data from a multicenter study of participants with biopsy-proven metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease, we demonstrate that T2DM and HbA1c are associated with LSM progression.

Association between systemic inflammation markers and cardiovascular mortality in adults with metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease

BACKGROUND AND AIM

Identifying metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD) patients at increased risk of cardiovascular mortality remains an unmet clinical need. We investigated the ability of four systemic inflammation markers to identify cardiovascular mortality risk in MASLD patients.

METHODS AND RESULTS

This cohort study included 4787 MASLD patients from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) from 2005 through 2018. The weighted Cox proportional hazards model was used to assess the relationship between four systemic indicators of inflammation and cardiovascular mortality. During a median (IQR) follow-up of 7.0 (3.8-10.3) years, 567 all-cause mortality and 174 cardiovascular mortality were recorded. Compared to the first quartile of systemic inflammation levels, the HRs of cardiovascular mortality in the fourth quartile were 3.22 (95 % CI 1.83-5.66) for SII, 2.74 (95 % CI 1.32-5.69) for SIRI, 3.69 (95 % CI 1.87-7.28) for NLR, and 1.83 (95 % CI 1.05-3.20) for PLR. For predicting 10-year cardiovascular mortality, SIRI (AUC = 0.70) and NLR (AUC = 0.69) were superior to SII (AUC = 0.60) and PLR (AUC = 0.52). Stratification of MASLD patients based on the optimal cutoff values revealed an HR of 2.67 (95 % CI 1.65-4.32) for cardiovascular mortality with SIRI > 1.23, and an HR of 2.39 (95 % CI 1.51-3.79) with NLR > 2.18. Combining systemic inflammation markers with the Fibrosis-4 Score can provide more accurate prognostic information for MASLD patients.

CONCLUSIONS

SIRI and NLR outperformed SII and PLR in predicting the risk of cardiovascular mortality, proving to be useful tools for risk stratification in MASLD patients.

A metabolome-derived score predicts metabolic dysfunction-associated steatohepatitis and mortality from liver disease

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Metabolic dysfunction-associated steatohepatitis (MASH) is associated with a >10-fold increase in liver-related mortality. However, biomarkers predicting both MASH and mortality in patients with metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD) are missing. We developed a metabolome-derived prediction score for MASH and examined whether it predicts mortality in Chinese and European cohorts.

METHODS

The MASH prediction score was developed using a multi-step machine learning strategy, based on 44 clinical parameters and 250 serum metabolites measured by proton nuclear magnetic resonance in 311 Chinese adults undergoing a liver biopsy. External validation was conducted in a Finnish liver biopsy cohort (n = 305). We investigated associations of the score with all-cause and cause-specific mortality in the population-based Shanghai Changfeng study (n = 5,893) and the UK biobank (n = 111,673).

RESULTS

A total of 24 clinical parameters and 194 serum metabolites were significantly associated with MASH in the Chinese liver biopsy cohort. The final MASH score included BMI, aspartate aminotransferase, tyrosine, and the phospholipid-to-total lipid ratio in VLDL. The score identified patients with MASH with AUROCs of 0.87 (95% CI 0.83-0.91) and 0.81 (95% CI 0.75-0.88) in the Chinese and Finnish cohorts, with high negative predictive values. Participants with a high or intermediate risk of MASH based on the score had a markedly higher risk of MASLD-related mortality than those with a low risk in Chinese (hazard ratio 23.19; 95% CI 4.80-111.97) and European (hazard ratio 20.15; 95% CI 10.95-37.11) individuals after 7.2 and 12.6 years of follow-up, respectively. The MASH prediction score was superior to the Fibrosis-4 index and the NAFLD fibrosis score in predicting MASLD-related mortality.

CONCLUSION

The metabolome-derived MASH prediction score accurately predicts risk of MASH and MASLD-related mortality in both Chinese and European individuals.

IMPACT AND IMPLICATIONS

Metabolic dysfunction-associated steatohepatitis (MASH) is associated with more than a 10-fold increase in liver-related death. However, biomarkers predicting not only MASH, but also death due to liver disease, are missing. We established a MASH prediction score based on 44 clinical parameters and 250 serum metabolites using a machine learning strategy. This metabolome-derived MASH prediction score could accurately identify patients with MASH among both Chinese and Finnish individuals, and it was superior to the Fibrosis-4 index and the NAFLD fibrosis score in predicting MASLD-related death in the general population. Thus, the new MASH prediction score is a useful tool for identifying individuals with a markedly increased risk of serious liver-related outcomes among at-risk and general populations.

The importance of patient engagement in the multimodal treatment of MASLD

Metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD) is often regarded in society as a disease caused by personal lifestyle and dietary choices. Healthcare providers who have empathy and are able to explain the disease trajectory can better engage with people with MASLD and actively work with them to improve their metabolic health on a sustainable basis. Non-invasive tests can assist in this process, but healthcare providers must ensure they explain their advantages and limitations. Discussing and setting lifestyle goals are priorities before initiating specific pharmacological treatment, since living a healthy lifestyle will remain the backbone of the multimodal management of MASLD. In this review, we discuss challenges and opportunities to actively engage with people living with MASLD in a multimodal treatment framework as a healthcare provider.

Advances in imaging-Elastography

Chronic liver disease affects over a billion people worldwide. Liver fibrosis is the key driver of liver-related complications and mortality. Elastography has been a transformative tool in hepatology, allowing for the diagnosis and staging of liver fibrosis noninvasively, and is evolving beyond these purposes into a prognostication tool. By measuring tissue stiffness, elastography techniques such as shear-wave and magnetic resonance elastography offer critical insights into liver fibrosis, portal hypertension, and the progression of disease. Magnetic resonance elastography stands out for its reliability across fibrosis stages and robustness in obese patients affected by metabolic liver disease. Spleen stiffness measurement complements liver assessments, enhancing the identification of portal hypertension and refining patient risk stratification. This review covers current clinical applications but also anticipates future innovations such as artificial intelligence-based algorithms that could expand elastography's clinical impact, thereby improving patient outcomes.

Clinical Utility of Genetic Variants in PNPLA3 and TM6SF2 to Predict Liver-Related Events in Metabolic Dysfunction-Associated Steatotic Liver Disease

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Fibrosis-4 (FIB-4) index and genetic polymorphisms have been used in assessing the risk of liver-related events (LRE) in metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD). To establish a more efficient prediction strategy for LRE, we investigated a combined approach that uses the FIB-4 index and genetic polymorphisms.

METHODS

We enrolled 1304 Japanese patients with biopsy-proven MASLD in this longitudinal multicenter cohort study. PNPLA3, TM6SF2, GCKR and MBOAT7 genotypes were genotyped, and polygenic risk score high fat content (PRS-HFC) were calculated.

RESULTS

During the follow-up period of 8.1 year, 96 LRE occurred and 53 patients died. PNPLA3, TM6SF2 and GCKR genotypes were associated with LRE development. We divided patients into three groups based on the FIB-4 index and PNPLA3 and TM6SF2 genotype. The cumulative LRE development rate in each group was 2.1%/28.9%/53.5%, respectively, at 10 years. Multivariate analysis revealed hazard ratios (HRs) for LRE of 10.72 in the high-risk group and 4.80 in the intermediate-risk group. Overall survival in each group was 98.8%/85.2%/72.4%, respectively, at 10 years. HRs for prognosis were 8.74 in the high-risk group and 5.62 in the intermediate-risk group. Patients with FIB-4 index > 2.67 and high PRS-HFC had HR of 6.70 for LRE development and HR of 6.07 for prognosis compared to patients with FIB-4 ≤ 2.67.

CONCLUSIONS

The approach of measuring the FIB-4 index first followed by assessment of genetic polymorphisms efficiently detected patients at high risk of developing LRE. Therefore, this two-step strategy could be used as a screening method in large populations of patients with MASLD.

The Asian Pacific association for the study of the liver clinical practice guidelines for the diagnosis and management of metabolic dysfunction-associated fatty liver disease

Metabolic dysfunction-associated fatty liver disease (MAFLD) affects over one-fourth of the global adult population and is the leading cause of liver disease worldwide. To address this, the Asian Pacific Association for the Study of the Liver (APASL) has created clinical practice guidelines focused on MAFLD. The guidelines cover various aspects of the disease, such as its epidemiology, diagnosis, screening, assessment, and treatment. The guidelines aim to advance clinical practice, knowledge, and research on MAFLD, particularly in special groups. The guidelines are designed to advance clinical practice, to provide evidence-based recommendations to assist healthcare stakeholders in decision-making and to improve patient care and disease awareness. The guidelines take into account the burden of clinical management for the healthcare sector.

Preventing the progression of cirrhosis to decompensation and death

Two main stages are differentiated in patients with advanced chronic liver disease (ACLD), one compensated (cACLD) with an excellent prognosis, and the other decompensated (dACLD), defined by the appearance of complications (ascites, variceal bleeding and hepatic encephalopathy) and associated with high mortality. Preventing the progression to dACLD might dramatically improve prognosis and reduce the burden of care associated with ACLD. Portal hypertension is a major driver of the transition from cACLD to dACLD, and a portal pressure of ≥10 mmHg defines clinically significant portal hypertension (CSPH) as the threshold from which decompensating events may occur. In recent years, innovative studies have provided evidence supporting new strategies to prevent decompensation in cACLD. These studies have yielded major advances, including the development of noninvasive tests (NITs) to identify patients with CSPH with reasonable confidence, the demonstration that aetiological therapies can prevent disease progression and even achieve regression of cirrhosis, and the finding that non-selective β-blockers can effectively prevent decompensation in patients with cACLD and CSPH, mainly by reducing the risk of ascites, the most frequent decompensating event. Here, we review the evidence supporting new strategies to manage cACLD to prevent decompensation and the caveats for their implementation, from patient selection using NITs to ancillary therapies.

Metabolic dysfunction and alcohol-related liver disease (MetALD): Position statement by an expert panel on alcohol-related liver disease

In this position statement, we explore the intricate relationship between alcohol intake and metabolic dysfunction in the context of the 2023 nomenclature update for steatotic liver disease (SLD). Recent and lifetime alcohol use should be accurately assessed in all patients with SLD to facilitate classification of alcohol use in grams of alcohol per week. Alcohol biomarkers (i.e., phosphatidylethanol), use of validated questionnaires (i.e. AUDIT-C [alcohol use disorders identification test consumption]), and collateral information from friends and relatives could help facilitate differentiation between alcohol-related liver disease (ALD) per se and liver disease with both metabolic and alcohol-related components (MetALD). Heavy alcohol use can contribute to cardiometabolic risk factors such as high blood pressure, hypertriglyceridaemia, and hyperglycaemia. As a result, caution should be exercised in the application of only one metabolic dysfunction criterion to diagnose MASLD, as suggested in the 2023 nomenclature document, particularly in individuals exceeding weekly alcohol use thresholds of 140 g for women and 210 g for men. This is particularly important in those individuals with isolated high blood pressure, hypertriglyceridaemia, or hyperglycaemia, where the disease process may be driven by alcohol itself. Additionally, metabolic dysfunction and alcohol use should be reassessed over time, especially after periods of change in risk factor exposure. This approach could ensure a more accurate prognosis and effective management of SLD, addressing both metabolic and alcohol-related factors.

Prediction of major liver-related events in the population using prognostic models

Liver disease poses a significant global health burden, with steatotic liver disease related to metabolic dysfunction and/or alcohol use being the most prevalent type. Current risk stratification strategies emphasize detecting advanced fibrosis as a surrogate marker for liver-related events (LREs), such as hospitalization, liver cancer, or death. However, fibrosis alone does not adequately predict imminent outcomes, particularly in fast-progressing individuals without advanced fibrosis at evaluation. This underscores the need for models designed specifically to predict LREs, enabling timely interventions. The Chronic Liver Disease (CLivD) risk score, the dynamic aspartate aminotransferase-to-alanine aminotransferase ratio (dAAR), and the Cirrhosis Outcome Risk Estimator (CORE) were explicitly developed to predict LRE risk rather than detect fibrosis. Derived from general population cohorts, these models incorporate either standard liver enzymes (dAAR and CORE) or risk factors (CLivD), enabling broad application in primary care and population-based settings. They directly estimate the risk of future LREs, improving on traditional fibrosis-focused approaches. Conversely, widely used models like the Fibrosis-4 index and newer ones, such as the LiverRisk and LiverPRO scores, were initially developed to detect significant/advanced fibrosis or liver stiffness. While not designed for LRE prediction, they have later been analyzed for this purpose. Integrating fibrosis screening with LRE-focused models like CLivD, dAAR, and CORE can help healthcare systems adopt proactive, preventive care. This approach emphasizes identifying individuals at imminent risk of severe outcomes, potentially ensuring better resource allocation and personalized interventions.

Metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease in adults

Metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD) is the umbrella term that comprises metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver, or isolated hepatic steatosis, through to metabolic dysfunction-associated steatohepatitis, the progressive necroinflammatory disease form that can progress to fibrosis, cirrhosis and hepatocellular carcinoma. MASLD is estimated to affect more than one-third of adults worldwide. MASLD is closely associated with insulin resistance, obesity, gut microbial dysbiosis and genetic risk factors. The obesity epidemic and the growing prevalence of type 2 diabetes mellitus greatly contribute to the increasing burden of MASLD. The treatment and prevention of major metabolic comorbidities such as type 2 diabetes mellitus and obesity will probably slow the growth of MASLD. In 2023, the field decided on a new nomenclature and agreed on a set of research and action priorities, and in 2024, the US FDA approved the first drug, resmetirom, for the treatment of non-cirrhotic metabolic dysfunction-associated steatohepatitis with moderate to advanced fibrosis. Reliable, validated biomarkers that can replace histology for patient selection and primary end points in MASH trials will greatly accelerate the drug development process. Additionally, noninvasive tests that can reliably determine treatment response or predict response to therapy are warranted. Sustained efforts are required to combat the burden of MASLD by tackling metabolic risk factors, improving risk stratification and linkage to care, and increasing access to therapeutic agents and non-pharmaceutical interventions.

Identification of a liver fibrosis and disease progression-related transcriptome signature in non-alcoholic fatty liver disease

Non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD)-related liver fibrosis is closely associated with long-term outcomes of patients. This study aimed to establish a transcriptome signature to distinguish NAFLD patients with mild or advanced fibrosis and to monitor disease progression. Using least absolute shrinkage selection operator regression, we identified a signature of 11 hub genes by performing differential gene expression analysis in six bulk transcriptome profiles in the Gene Expression Omnibus database from liver fibrosis patients with different etiologies. Patients with NAFLD were classified using the 11-hub gene signature. Integrated analysis of signaling pathway enrichment, gene set enrichment, nearest template prediction, infiltration by hepatic stellate cells (HSCs) and pseudotime trajectories was performed on three bulk and one single-cell transcriptomes from NAFLD patients. Molecular features were compared between high-risk and low-risk groups, and associations were explored between hub gene signature expression and activation of HSCs. It was found that the high-risk group was characterized by advanced fibrosis stage, elevated risk for hepatocellular carcinoma, more significant infiltration by activated HSCs, as well as enrichment in signaling pathways related to fibrogenesis and NAFLD progression. Moreover, the 11-hub gene signature at the single-cell transcriptome level correlated with HSCs activation. In vitro experiments were conducted to evaluate the expression levels of hub genes, and IL6 was found to be up-regulated in activated LX-2 cells showing lipid accumulation. Our findings suggest that the 11-hub gene signature can help identify fibrosis stage in patients with NAFLD and detect disease progression. We also suggest that the role of IL6 in HSC activation deserves more investigation in the context of NAFLD.

Impact of PNPLA3 I148M on Clinical Outcomes in Patients With MASLD

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD) is a heterogenous clinical and histopathological entity, where multiple metabolic co-factors are intertwined with high interindividual variability. The impact and severity of each factor (including obesity and type 2 diabetes) define a systemic dysmetabolism that can lead to either advanced liver disease and its complication (including hepatocellular carcinoma and clinical events related to portal hypertension) or extrahepatic events: incident cardiovascular disease, chronic kidney disease and extrahepatic cancers. The balance between environmental factors and genetic susceptibility has unique implications in MASLD: the intermittent injury of metabolic co-factors, their fluctuation over time and their specific management, are counterbalanced by the presence of gene variants that can significantly impact the disease at multiple levels. The I148M variant in the PNPLA3 gene is the most investigated genetic susceptibility that induces a more severe steatohepatitis, enhanced fibrogenesis and can shape the incidence of long-term clinical events regardless of, or worsened by, other metabolic risk factors.

METHODS AND RESULTS

In this review, we will summarise the updated evidence on the natural history of MASLD accounting for classical metabolic risk factors, the role of PNPLA3 in clinical sub-phenotyping (e.g., 'lean MASLD'), impact on disease severity and fibrosis progression, as well as its role for prognostication, alone or in combination with non-invasive tools into polygenic risk scores.

Autologous macrophage therapy for liver cirrhosis: a phase 2 open-label randomized controlled trial

Cirrhosis is a major cause of morbidity and mortality; however, there are no approved therapies except orthotopic liver transplantation. Preclinical studies showed that bone-marrow-derived macrophage injections reduce inflammation, resolve fibrosis and stimulate liver regeneration. In a multicenter, open-label, parallel-group, phase 2 randomized controlled trial ( ISRCTN10368050 ) in n = 51 adult patients with compensated cirrhosis and Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) score ≥10 and ≤17, we evaluated the efficacy of autologous monocyte-derived macrophage therapy (n = 27) compared to standard medical care (n = 24). The primary endpoint was the difference in baseline to day 90 change in MELD score (ΔMELD) between treatment and control groups (ΔΔMELD). Secondary endpoints included adverse clinical outcomes, non-invasive fibrosis biomarkers and health-related quality of life (HRQoL) at 90 d, 180 d and 360 d. The ΔΔMELD between day 0 and day 90 in the treatment group compared to controls was -0.87 (95% confidence interval: -1.79, 0.0; P = 0.06); therefore, the primary endpoint was not met. During 360-d follow-up, five of 24 participants in the control group developed a total of 10 severe adverse events, four of which were liver related, and three deaths (two liver related), whereas no liver-related severe adverse events or deaths occurred in the treatment group. Although no differences were observed in biomarkers or HRQoL, exploratory analysis showed anti-inflammatory serum cytokine profiles after macrophage infusion. This study reinforces the safety and potential efficacy of macrophage therapy in cirrhosis, supporting further investigation.

Inflammatory Indices and MAFLD Prevalence in Hypertensive Patients: A Large-Scale Cross-Sectional Analysis from China

Objective

Hypertension development and progression are largely influenced by inflammation, which plays a critical role by activating the immune system and causing damage to the vascular endothelium. Metabolic dysfunction-associated fatty liver disease (MAFLD) is also associated with chronic low-grade inflammation, which drives disease progression via metabolic imbalances and adipose tissue dysfunction. This study investigates the relationship between inflammatory indices and MAFLD in hypertensive patients and assesses the predictive accuracy of these indices for MAFLD.

Methods

We performed a cross-sectional analysis involving 34,303 hypertensive patients from a Chinese hospital-based registry. The diagnosis of MAFLD was established using metabolic dysfunction criteria alongside evidence of hepatic steatosis confirmed through imaging. Complete blood counts were used to calculate inflammatory indices, including the monocyte-to-lymphocyte ratio (MLR), neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio (PLR), systemic inflammatory response index (SIRI), systemic immune-inflammation index (SII), and aggregate index of systemic inflammation (AISI). To assess the relationship between inflammatory indices and MAFLD, multivariable logistic regression was performed with adjustments for potential confounders. The diagnostic performance of these indices was analyzed using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves and area under the curve (AUC) calculations.

Results

Patients with MAFLD exhibited significantly elevated levels of all inflammatory indices compared to those without. After multivariable adjustment, each standard deviation increase in AISI, SIRI, and SII was associated with a 74%, 62%, and 58% increased odds of MAFLD, respectively. The AUC for AISI was 0.659, indicating moderate diagnostic accuracy. The AUCs for SIRI and SII were 0.626 and 0.619, respectively, while NLR, PLR, and MLR had lower AUCs of 0.593, 0.558, and 0.589, respectively.

Conclusion

In hypertensive patients, inflammatory indices, especially AISI, show a strong association with MAFLD, indicating their potential utility in risk stratification within clinical settings. Further research is needed to evaluate the effectiveness of these markers in the management of MAFLD.

Accurate non-invasive detection of MASH with fibrosis F2-F3 using a lightweight machine learning model with minimal clinical and metabolomic variables

BACKGROUND

There are no known non-invasive tests (NITs) designed for accurately detecting metabolic dysfunction-associated steatohepatitis (MASH) with liver fibrosis stages F2-F3, excluding cirrhosis-the FDA-defined range for prescribing Resmetirom and other drugs in clinical trials. We aimed to validate and re-optimize known NITs, and most importantly to develop new machine learning (ML)-based NITs to accurately detect MASH F2-F3.

METHODS

Clinical and metabolomic data were collected from 443 patients across three countries and two clinic types (metabolic surgery, gastroenterology/hepatology) covering the entire spectrum of biopsy-proven MASH, including cirrhosis and healthy controls. Three novel types of ML models were developed using a categorical gradient boosting machine pipeline under a classic 4:1 split and a secondary independent validation analysis. These were compared with twenty-three biomarker, imaging, and algorithm-based NITs with both known and re-optimized cutoffs for MASH F2-F3.

RESULTS

The NAFLD (Non-Alcoholic Fatty Liver Disease) Fibrosis Score (NFS) at a - 1.455 cutoff attained an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) of 0.59, the highest sensitivity (90.9 %), and a negative predictive value (NPV) of 87.2 %. FIB-4 risk stratification followed by elastography (8 kPa) had the best specificity (86.9 %) and positive predictive value (PPV) (63.3 %), with an AUC of 0.57. NFS followed by elastography improved the PPV to 65.3 % and AUC to 0.62. Re-optimized FibroScan-AST (FAST) at a 0.22 cutoff had the highest PPV (69.1 %). ML models using aminotransferases, metabolic syndrome components, BMI, and 3-ureidopropionate achieved an AUC of 0.89, which further increased to 0.91 following hyperparameter optimization and the addition of alpha-ketoglutarate. These new ML models outperformed all other NITs and displayed accuracy, sensitivity, specificity, PPV, and NPV up to 91.2 %, 85.3 %, 97.0 %, 92.4 %, and 90.7 % respectively. The models were reproduced and validated in a secondary sensitivity analysis, that used one of the cohorts as feature selection/training, and the rest as independent validation, likewise outperforming all other applicable NITs.

CONCLUSIONS

We report for the first time the diagnostic characteristics of non-invasive, metabolomics-based biomarker models to detect MASH with fibrosis F2-F3 required for Resmetirom treatment and inclusion in ongoing phase-III trials. These models may be used alone or in combination with other NITs to accurately determine treatment eligibility.

Prognostic performance of the two-step clinical care pathway in metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Current guidelines recommend a two-step approach for risk stratification in patients with metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD) involving Fibrosis-4 index (FIB-4) followed by liver stiffness measurement (LSM) by vibration-controlled transient elastography (VCTE) or similar second-line tests. This study aimed to examine the prognostic performance of this approach.

METHODS

The VCTE-Prognosis study was a longitudinal study of patients with MASLD who had undergone VCTE examinations at 16 centres from the US, Europe and Asia with subsequent follow-up for clinical events. The primary endpoint was incident liver-related events (LREs), defined as hepatic decompensation and/or hepatocellular carcinoma.

RESULTS

Of 12,950 patients (mean age 52 years, 41% female, 12.1% LSM >12 kPa), baseline FIB-4, at cut-offs of 1.3 (or 2.0 for age ≥65) and 2.67, classified 66.3% as low-risk and 9.8% as high-risk, leaving 23.9% in the intermediate-risk zone. After classifying intermediate FIB-4 patients as low-risk if LSM was <8.0 kPa and high-risk if LSM was >12.0 kPa, 81.5%, 4.6%, and 13.9% of the full cohort were classified as low-, intermediate-, and high-risk, respectively. At a median (IQR) follow-up of 47 (23-72) months, 248 (1.9%) patients developed LREs. The 5-year cumulative incidence of LREs was 0.5%, 1.0% and 10.8% in the low-, intermediate- and high-risk groups, respectively. Replacing LSM with Agile 3+, Agile 4, and FAST did not reduce the intermediate-risk zone or improve event prediction. Classifying intermediate FIB-4 patients by LSM <10 kPa (low-risk) and >15 kPa (high-risk) reduced the intermediate-risk zone while maintaining predictive performance.

CONCLUSIONS

The non-invasive two-step approach of FIB-4 followed by LSM is effective in classifying patients at different risks of LREs.

IMPACT AND IMPLICATIONS

Metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD) is emerging as one of the leading causes of cirrhosis and hepatocellular carcinoma worldwide, but only a minority of patients will develop these complications. Therefore, it is necessary to use non-invasive tests instead of liver biopsy for risk stratification. Additionally, as most patients with MASLD are seen in primary care instead of specialist settings, cost and availability of the tests should be taken into consideration. In this multicentre study, the use of the Fibrosis-4 index followed by liver stiffness measurement by vibration-controlled transient elastography effectively identified patients who would later develop liver-related events. The results support current recommendations by various regional guidelines on a clinical care pathway based on non-invasive tests to diagnose advanced liver fibrosis.

Association of Liver Fibrosis Markers with Mortality Outcomes in Patients with Chronic Kidney Disease and Coronary Artery Disease: Insights from the NHANES 1999-2018 Data

INTRODUCTION

The objective of this research was to explore the possible link between markers of liver fibrosis and survival rates in a group of adults who have been diagnosed with both chronic kidney disease (CKD) and coronary artery disease (CAD).

METHODS

The National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) data (1999-2018) for participants with both CAD and CKD were analyzed. The fibrosis-4 index (FIB-4), Nonalcoholic Fatty Liver Score (NFS), Forns index, and aspartate aminotransferase/alanine aminotransferase (AST/ALT) ratio were identified as crucial biomarkers. All-cause and cardiovascular disease (CVD) mortality were primary outcomes, assessed using Cox models, Kaplan-Meier curves, and receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis.

RESULTS

A total of 1,192 CKD and CAD patients were included. The Cox regression analysis revealed substantial correlations between elevated FIB-4, NFS, Forns index, and AST/ALT levels and a heightened risk of all-cause (hazard ratio [HR]: 1.188, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.108-1.274; HR: 1.145, 95% CI: 1.069-1.227; HR: 1.142, 95% CI: 1.081-1.201; HR: 1.316, 95% CI: 1.056-1.639, respectively) and CVD mortality (HR: 1.133, 95% CI: 1.007-1.275; HR: 1.155, 95% CI: 1.024-1.303; HR: 1.208, 95% CI: 1.109-1.316 and HR: 1.636, 95% CI: 1.203-2.224, respectively). The ROC analysis indicated comparable predictive accuracy for all three biomarkers, with AST/ALT showing slightly superior performance.

CONCLUSION

Liver fibrosis markers, including AST/ALT, NFS, Forns index and FIB-4, are significant mortality predictors in CAD-CKD patients. The AST/ALT ratio, being easily measurable, may serve as an effective predictive tool for risk stratification in this population.

The Effects of Oral Semaglutide on Hepatic Fibrosis in Subjects with Type 2 Diabetes in Real-World Clinical Practice: A Post Hoc Analysis of the Sapporo-Oral SEMA Study

BACKGROUND/OBJECTIVES

Metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD) is an important common comorbidity in subjects with type 2 diabetes, and liver fibrosis is a factor directly related to its prognosis. Glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonists are useful treatment options for MASLD; however, the efficacy of oral semaglutide in treating liver steatosis/fibrosis has not been fully elucidated.

METHODS

A secondary analysis of a multicenter, retrospective, observational study investigating the efficacy and safety of oral semaglutide in Japanese subjects with type 2 diabetes in a real-world clinical setting (the Sapporo-Oral SEMA study) was conducted. Subjects in the original cohort were divided into groups as follows: subjects with suspected MASLD (alanine aminotransferase > 30 U/L) were placed in an overall group; a subpopulation from an overall group at high risk for hepatic fibrosis (fibrosis-4 (FIB-4) index ≥ 1.3 or platelet count < 200,000/µL) was placed in a high-risk group; and the remaining subjects were placed in a low-risk group. Changes in the hepatic steatosis index and FIB-4 index after oral semaglutide induction were explored using a paired t-test or the Wilcoxon signed-rank test.

RESULTS

Overall, 169 subjects (including 131 that switched from other medications) were analyzed, and 67 and 102 subjects were selected for the high-risk and low-risk groups, respectively. Oral semaglutide significantly improved the hepatic steatosis index (from 46.1 to 44.6, p < 0.001) and FIB-4 index (from 1.04 to 0.96, p < 0.001) as well as several metabolic parameters in all cohorts. The efficacy of semaglutide in treating liver fibrosis was confirmed by the addition of, and switching from, existing agent groups. Furthermore, improvement in the FIB-4 index was significantly negatively correlated with the baseline FIB-4 index.

CONCLUSIONS

The induction of oral semaglutide might be a useful treatment option for subjects with type 2 diabetes at high risk for liver fibrosis, even when switching from conventional medications for diabetes.

Prevention of liver cancer in the era of next-generation antivirals and obesity epidemic

Preventive interventions are expected to substantially improve the prognosis of patients with primary liver cancer, predominantly HCC and cholangiocarcinoma. HCC prevention is challenging in the face of the evolving etiological landscape, particularly the sharp increase in obesity-associated metabolic disorders, including metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease. Next-generation anti-HCV and HBV drugs have substantially reduced, but not eliminated, the risk of HCC and have given way to new challenges in identifying at-risk patients. The recent development of new therapeutic agents and modalities has opened unprecedented opportunities to refine primary, secondary, and tertiary HCC prevention strategies. For primary prevention (before exposure to risk factors), public health policies, such as universal HBV vaccination, have had a substantial prognostic impact. Secondary prevention (after or during active exposure to risk factors) includes regular HCC screening and chemoprevention. Emerging biomarkers and imaging modalities for HCC risk stratification and detection may enable individual risk-based personalized and cost-effective HCC screening. Clinical studies have suggested the potential utility of lipid-lowering, antidiabetic/obesity, and anti-inflammatory agents for secondary prevention, and some of them are being evaluated in prospective clinical trials. Computational and experimental studies have identified potential chemopreventive strategies directed at diverse molecular, cellular, and systemic targets for etiology-specific and/or agnostic interventions. Tertiary prevention (in conjunction with curative-intent therapies for HCC) is an area of active research with the development of new immune-based neoadjuvant/adjuvant therapies. Cholangiocarcinoma prevention may advance with recent efforts to elucidate risk factors. These advances will collectively lead to substantial improvements in liver cancer mortality rates.

Estimated Burden of Metabolic Dysfunction-Associated Steatotic Liver Disease in US Adults, 2020 to 2050

Importance

Metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD) is the most common cause of chronic liver disease and is projected to become the leading indication for liver transplant (LT) in the US. Understanding its clinical burden can help to identify opportunities for prevention and treatment.

Objective

To project the burden of MASLD in US adults from 2020 to 2050.

Design, Setting, and Participants

This decision analytical modeling study used an agent-based state transition model that simulates the natural history of MASLD progression among adults 18 years of age or older. Primary data sources for model inputs were the published literature.

Exposure

Natural history of MASLD.

Main Outcomes and Measures

Cases of MASLD, metabolic dysfunction-associated steatohepatitis (MASH), fibrosis, hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), LT, and liver-related death.

Results

The model simulated 2 821 624 individuals (mean age. 35.8 years; 50.9% female). The model predicted a steady increase in the prevalence of MASLD from 33.7% (86.3 million people) in 2020 to 41.4% (121.9 million people) by 2050. Cases of MASH would increase from 14.9 million (5.8% of US adults) in 2020 to 23.2 million (7.9% of US adults) by 2050. The number of cases of MASH and clinically significant fibrosis (ie, F≥F2, centrilobular and periportal fibrosis or more severe disease) were estimated to increase from 6.7 million to 11.7 million. By 2046 to 2050, MASLD would cause 22 440 new cases of HCC and 6720 new cases of LT per year compared with 11 483 new cases of HCC and 1717 new cases of LT in 2020 to 2025. Liver-related mortality was estimated to increase from 30 500 deaths (1.0% of all-cause deaths in adults) in 2020 to 95 300 deaths (2.4%) in 2050.

Conclusions and Relevance

In this decision analytical modeling study, the model forecast a substantial increase in clinical burden of MASLD over the next 3 decades in the absence of effective treatments. These results suggest that health systems should plan for large increases in the number of HCC cases and in the need for LT.

Prevalence of Low FIB-4 in MASLD-Related Hepatocellular Carcinoma: A Multicentre Study

BACKGROUND

Major society guidelines recommend the fibrosis-4 index (FIB-4) as the initial step to risk stratifying people with metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD). We aimed to evaluate the proportion of people with MASLD-related hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) and a low FIB-4.

METHODS

This cohort study included 613 consecutive adults (33% female) diagnosed with MASLD-related HCC from January 2008 to August 2023 at seven international centres in Australia, India, Japan, South Korea, Singapore and the United States. The primary objective was to determine the proportion of participants with a low FIB-4, defined as FIB-4 < 1.3, or < 2 if age > 65 years, in people without cirrhosis.

RESULTS

The mean (±SD) age and body mass index were 71 (±11) years and 27 (±7) kg/m2, respectively. Overall, 235 participants (38%) did not have known cirrhosis. The median FIB-4 was 3.90 (IQR 2.42-6.42). A total of 78 participants (13%) had a low FIB-4. Among participants without known cirrhosis (n = 235), 62 participants (26%) had a low FIB-4. Participants with a low FIB-4 had larger median total tumour diameter (p < 0.001) and lower median serum alpha-fetoprotein (p = 0.005), compared to participants without a low FIB-4. Cirrhosis was associated with lower odds of low FIB-4, but not other factors such as male sex, type 2 diabetes, or obesity.

CONCLUSION

More than a quarter of those with MASLD-related HCC without cirrhosis have a low FIB-4. The proposed clinical care pathways may not identify these people for further evaluation.

Validation of serum non-invasive tests of liver fibrosis as prognostic markers of clinical outcomes in people with fatty liver disease in Australia

BACKGROUND AND AIM

The validity of non-invasive tests (NITs) of liver fibrosis for the prediction of liver and mortality outcomes in an Australian cohort is unknown. We aimed to verify the utility of available NITs to predict overall and cause-specific mortality and major adverse liver outcome (MALO).

METHODS

This was an analysis from the Crossroads 1 clinic sub-study of a randomly sampled adult cohort from regional Australia between 2001 and 2003. Baseline variables included demographic details, anthropometry, health and lifestyle data, and laboratory tests. Non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) and metabolic-(dysfunction) associated fatty liver disease (MAFLD) were defined by fatty liver index ≥ 60 and other accepted criteria. Outcomes were defined by the International Statistical Classification of Diseases and Related Health Problems 10th Revision codes for linked hospitalization and death registry data. Available serum-based NITs were analyzed as predictors of overall, cardiovascular disease-related, and cancer-related mortality and MALO in those with fatty liver disease (FLD).

RESULTS

In total, 1324 and 1444 participants were included for NAFLD and MAFLD analysis (prevalence 35.4% and 40.7%, respectively). There were 298 deaths (89 cardiovascular disease-related and 98 cancer-related) and 24 MALO over a median 19.7 years of follow-up time. In both forms of FLD, fibrosis-4 index, Steatosis-Associated Fibrosis Estimator score, and Forns fibrosis score consistently had the highest area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) for overall and cause-specific mortality, with AUROC > 0.70 for each outcome. However, all had poor discriminatory ability for determining MALO in each FLD.

CONCLUSIONS

Several liver fibrosis NITs perform similarly reasonably well in predicting the risk of mortality outcomes in those with FLD but are poorly discriminatory for MALO prediction.

Advanced liver fibrosis, but not MASLD, is associated with accelerated biological aging: a population-based study

BACKGROUND

The process of biological aging in patients diagnosed with chronic liver disease remains unclear.

AIM

The current study aims to investigate if there is an accelerated biological aging process in participants with advanced fibrosis (AF) and metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD).

METHODS

Data from the 2017-2018 NHANES cycle were analyzed. AF was determined based on the values of liver stiffness measurement (LSM) and MASLD was defined according to new consensus nomenclature. Klemera-Doubal method biological age (KDM bioage) and Phenotypic age (Phenoage) were adopted to quantify biological age. Phenoage advancement (Phenoage_advance) and KDM advancement (KDM_advance) were generated as the difference between the calculated biological age and chronological age, and a positive residual was regarded as an indicator of accelerated biological aging.

RESULTS

A total of 3974 participants was enrolled. The weight mean KDM_advance and phenoage_advance in AF group was 4.22 years (95%CI: 2.96-5.49 years) and 2.61 years (95%CI: 1.80-3.41 years), while in MASLD group was 0.37 years (95%CI: -0.28-1.03 years) and 0.04 years (95%CI: -0.64-0.72 years), respectively. Multivariate linear regression analysis showed that participants with AF had older KDM_advance and phenoage_advance compared with those without AF (1.50 years (95%CI: 0.23-2.77 years), P = 0.02; 1.00 years (95%CI: 0.18-1.82 years), P = 0.02; respectively), in models adjusting demographic characteristics, socioeconomic status, lifestyle factors, and comorbidities. No significant association was found between MASLD and KDM_advance and phenoage_advance.

CONCLUSIONS

AF, not MASLD, was independently associated with accelerated biological aging in adults from a US representative sample.

Increased risk of vascular complications in patients with type 2 diabetes and fatty liver disease

BACKGROUND

The prevalence of steatotic liver disease (SLD) in patients with type 2 diabetes (T2DM) exceeds 50%. This study aimed to investigate the clinical characteristics of SLD and liver fibrosis in Chinese patients with T2DM.

METHODS

Inpatients from 2021 to 2023 were included in the study. Fatty liver index (FLI) and fibrosis-4 (FIB-4) were calculated to assess hepatic steatosis and fibrosis respectively. Statistical analysis was completed by SPSS v25 and GraphPad Prism v8.0.1.

RESULTS

Of the 1466 participants, about one-third of the patients in T2DM-SLD group were diagnosed with liver fibrosis (LF), and the percentage of patients over 50 years old was 85.9%. Patients with SLD had higher levels of BMI, blood pressure, liver enzymes, fasting blood glucose (FBG), HbA1c, C-peptide, total cholesterol (TC) and triglyceride (TG) (P<0.05 for all). Patients with liver fibrosis had lower TC, TG, hemoglobin (Hb), erythrocyte count (RBC), leukocyte count (WBC) and platelet (PLT) levels (P<0.05 for all). Compared with simple T2DM and SLD-NLF (non-liver fibrosis) groups, for patients over 50 years old, the prevalence of coronary heart disease, stroke, tumor, and diabetic nephropathy was higher in patients with liver fibrosis. Liver fibrosis might be the risk factor of arterial stiffness, stroke, coronary heart disease and numbness based on multivariable logistic regression analysis.

CONCLUSION

Hepatic steatosis and fibrosis were common in patients with T2DM. Liver fibrosis was relevant to many macrovascular and microvascular diabetic complications.

Steatotic liver disease

Steatotic liver disease is the overarching term for conditions characterised by abnormal lipid accumulation in the liver (liver or hepatic steatosis). Steatotic liver disease encompasses what was previously termed non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD), which is now called metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD). Additionally, steatotic liver disease includes alcohol-related liver disease (ALD) and MetALD, the new classification for the overlap between MASLD and ALD, and rare causes of liver steatosis. Cirrhosis is globally the 11th leading cause of death, and steatotic liver disease has become the leading cause of cirrhosis in the EU and USA. Steatotic liver disease affects around 30% of the global population and is mainly driven by obesity, type 2 diabetes, and alcohol intake, but only a minor proportion with steatotic liver disease progress to cirrhosis. The presence and progression of liver fibrosis led by hepatic inflammation is the main predictor of liver-related death across the entire spectrum of steatotic liver diseases. A combination of recent advancements of widely available biomarkers for early detection of liver fibrosis together with considerable advancements in therapeutic interventions offer the possibility to reduce morbidity and mortality in patients with steatotic liver disease. This Seminar covers the recent reclassification of steatotic liver disease and how it reflects clinical practice and prognosis. For early detection of liver fibrosis, we propose a collaborative diagnostic framework between primary care and liver specialists. Lastly, we discuss current best practices for managing steatotic liver disease, we explore therapeutic targets across the spectrum of steatotic liver diseases, and we review the pipeline of drugs in development for MASLD.

A roadmap for clinical trials in MASH-related compensated cirrhosis

Although metabolic dysfunction-associated steatohepatitis (MASH) is rapidly becoming a leading cause of cirrhosis worldwide, therapeutic options are limited and the number of clinical trials in MASH-related compensated cirrhosis is low as compared to those conducted in earlier disease stages. Moreover, designing clinical trials in MASH cirrhosis presents a series of challenges regarding the understanding and conceptualization of the natural history, regulatory considerations, inclusion criteria, recruitment, end points and trial duration, among others. The first international workshop on the state of the art and future direction of clinical trials in MASH-related compensated cirrhosis was held in April 2023 at Vall d'Hebron University Hospital in Barcelona (Spain) and was attended by a group of international experts on clinical trials from academia, regulatory agencies and industry, encompassing expertise in MASH, cirrhosis, portal hypertension, and regulatory affairs. The presented Roadmap summarizes important content of the workshop on current status, regulatory requirements and end points in MASH-related compensated cirrhosis clinical trials, exploring alternative study designs and highlighting the challenges that should be considered for upcoming studies on MASH cirrhosis.

Clinical care guidance in patients with diabetes and metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease: A joint consensus

Metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD) is the most prevalent chronic liver disease worldwide, affecting >30% of the global population. Metabolic dysregulation, particularly insulin resistance and its subsequent manifestation as type 2 diabetes mellitus, serves as the fundamental pathogenesis of metabolic liver disease. Clinical evidence of the recent nomenclature evolution is accumulating. The interaction and impacts are bidirectional between MASLD and diabetes in terms of disease course, risk, and prognosis. Therefore, there is an urgent need to highlight the multifaceted links between MASLD and diabetes for both hepatologists and diabetologists. The surveillance strategy, risk stratification of management, and current therapeutic achievements of metabolic liver disease remain the major pillars in a clinical care setting. Therefore, the Taiwan Association for the Study of the Liver (TASL), Taiwanese Association of Diabetes Educators, and Diabetes Association of the Republic of China (Taiwan) collaboratively completed the first guidance in patients with diabetes and MASLD, which provides practical recommendations for patient care.

Longitudinal Follow-Up of Fibrosis-4 in Patients at Risk of Metabolic Dysfunction-Associated Steatotic Liver Disease Receiving Low-Dose Methotrexate Treatment

Several noninvasive liver fibrosis tests have been developed and appear to predict the severity of fibrosis, possibly replacing invasive liver biopsy as a monitoring tool.1 The fibrosis-4 (FIB-4) score originally was proposed to help assess liver fibrosis in patients with human immunodeficiency virus and hepatitis C virus co-infection.1 FIB-4 has been used widely to monitor the severity of liver fibrosis, especially in patients with nonalcoholic fatty liver disease,2 now termed metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD).3.

Metabolic-Associated Fatty Liver Disease: The Influence of Oxidative Stress, Inflammation, Mitochondrial Dysfunctions, and the Role of Polyphenols

Metabolic-Associated Fatty Liver Disease (MAFLD) is a clinical-pathological scenario that occurs due to the accumulation of triglycerides in hepatocytes which is considered a significant cause of liver conditions and contributes to an increased risk of death worldwide. Even though the possible causes of MAFLD can involve the interaction of genetics, hormones, and nutrition, lifestyle (diet and sedentary lifestyle) is the most influential factor in developing this condition. Polyphenols comprise many natural chemical compounds that can be helpful in managing metabolic diseases. Therefore, the aim of this review was to investigate the impact of oxidative stress, inflammation, mitochondrial dysfunction, and the role of polyphenols in managing MAFLD. Some polyphenols can reverse part of the liver damage related to inflammation, oxidative stress, or mitochondrial dysfunction, and among them are anthocyanin, baicalin, catechin, curcumin, chlorogenic acid, didymin, epigallocatechin-3-gallate, luteolin, mangiferin, puerarin, punicalagin, resveratrol, and silymarin. These compounds have actions in reducing plasma liver enzymes, body mass index, waist circumference, adipose visceral indices, lipids, glycated hemoglobin, insulin resistance, and the HOMA index. They also reduce nuclear factor-KB (NF-KB), interleukin (IL)-1β, IL-6, tumor necrosis factor-α (TNF-α), blood pressure, liver fat content, steatosis index, and fibrosis. On the other hand, they can improve HDL-c, adiponectin levels, and fibrogenesis markers. These results show that polyphenols are promising in the prevention and treatment of MAFLD.

MAFLD in adults: non-invasive tests for diagnosis and monitoring of MAFLD

Metabolic dysfunction-associated fatty liver disease (MAFLD) is the liver manifestation of a metabolic syndrome and is highly prevalent in the general population. There has been significant progress in non-invasive tests for MAFLD, from the diagnosis of fatty liver and monitoring of liver fat content in response to intervention, to evaluation of liver fibrosis and its change over time, and from risk stratification of patients within the context of clinical care pathways, to prognostication. Various non-invasive tests have also been developed to assess for fibrotic metabolic dysfunction-associated steatohepatitis, which has emerged as an important diagnostic goal, particularly in the context of clinical trials. Non-invasive tests can be used to diagnose clinically significant portal hypertension so that intervention can be administered to reduce the risk of decompensation. Furthermore, the use of risk stratification algorithms can identify at-risk patients for hepatocellular carcinoma surveillance. Beyond the liver, various tests that evaluate cardiovascular disease risk, assess sarcopenia and measure patient reported outcomes, can be utilized to improve the care of patients with MAFLD. This review provides an up-to-date overview of these non-invasive tests and the limitations of liver biopsy in the management of patients with MAFLD.

Simple blood tests to diagnose compensated advanced chronic liver disease and stratify the risk of clinically significant portal hypertension

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Compensated advanced chronic liver disease (cACLD) identifies patients at risk for clinically significant portal hypertension (CSPH), and thus, for liver-related complications. The limited availability of liver stiffness measurements (LSM) impedes the identification of patients at risk for cACLD/CSPH outside of specialized clinics. We aimed to develop a blood-based algorithm to identify cACLD by fibrosis-4 (FIB-4) and CSPH by von Willebrand factor/platelet count ratio (VITRO).

APPROACH AND RESULTS

Patients with (suspected) compensated chronic liver disease undergoing FIB-4+LSM were included in the LSM/FIB-4 cohorts from Vienna and Salzburg. The HVPG/VITRO cohorts included patients undergoing HVPG-measurement + VITRO from Vienna and Bern.LSM/FIB-4-derivation-cohort: We included 6143 patients, of whom 211 (3.4%) developed hepatic decompensation. In all, 1724 (28.1%) had LSM ≥ 10 kPa, which corresponded to FIB-4 ≥ 1.75. Importantly, both LSM (AUROC:0.897 [95% CI:0.865-0.929]) and FIB-4 (AUROC:0.914 [95% CI:0.885-0.944]) were similarly accurate in predicting hepatic decompensation within 3 years. FIB-4 ≥ 1.75 identified patients at risk for first hepatic decompensation (5 y-cumulative incidence:7.6%), while in those <1.75, the risk was negligible (0.3%).HVPG/VITRO-derivation cohort: 247 patients of whom 202 had cACLD/FIB-4 ≥ 1.75 were included. VITRO exhibited an excellent diagnostic performance for CSPH (AUROC:0.889 [95% CI:0.844-0.934]), similar to LSM (AUROC:0.856 [95% CI:0.801-0.910], p = 0.351) and the ANTICIPATE model (AUROC:0.910 [95% CI:0.869-0.952], p = 0.498). VITRO < 1.0/ ≥ 2.5 ruled-out (sensitivity:100.0%)/ruled-in (specificity:92.4%) CSPH. The diagnostic performance was comparable to the Baveno-VII criteria.LSM/FIB-4-derivation cohort findings were externally validated in n = 1560 patients, while HVPG/VITRO-derivation-cohort findings were internally (n = 133) and externally (n = 55) validated.

CONCLUSIONS

Simple, broadly available laboratory tests (FIB-4/VITRO) facilitate cACLD detection and CSPH risk stratification in patients with (suspected) liver disease. This blood-based approach is applicable outside of specialized clinics and may promote early intervention.

Envisioning how to advance the MASH field

Since 1980, the cumulative effort of scientists and health-care stakeholders has advanced the prerequisites to address metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD), a prevalent chronic non-communicable liver disease. This effort has led to, among others, the approval of the first drug specific for metabolic dysfunction-associated steatohepatitis (MASH; formerly known as nonalcoholic steatohepatitis). Despite substantial progress, MASLD is still a leading cause of advanced chronic liver disease, including primary liver cancer. This Perspective contextualizes the nomenclature change from nonalcoholic fatty liver disease to MASLD and proposes important considerations to accelerate further progress in the field, optimize patient-centric multidisciplinary care pathways, advance pharmacological, behavioural and diagnostic research, and address health disparities. Key regulatory and other steps necessary to optimize the approval and access to upcoming additional pharmacological therapeutic agents for MASH are also outlined. We conclude by calling for increased education and awareness, enhanced health system preparedness, and concerted action by policy-makers to further the public health and policy agenda to achieve at least parity with other non-communicable diseases and to aid in growing the community of practice to reduce the human and economic burden and end the public health threat of MASLD and MASH by 2030.

Serum immunoglobulin A levels: Diagnostic utility in alcoholic liver disease and association with liver fibrosis in steatotic liver disease

The relationship between immunoglobulin A (IgA) levels and chronic liver disease remains poorly understood. The present study evaluated the clinical significance of IgA in 478 new patients who visited the Outpatient Clinic of Nagasaki Harbor Medical Center (Nagasaki, Japan). Serum IgA levels in comparison to liver stiffness (LS), as measured using a FibroScan® device, were evaluated in 358 patients. Furthermore, in 270 patients, the associations between serum IgA levels and body composition were analyzed using computed tomography. The IgA levels of patients in the groups with Child-Pugh classification B and C (CPGBC), alcoholic liver disease (ALD), steatotic liver disease (SLD) or diabetes were higher than the IgA levels of patients in the groups with CPGA, non-ALD, non-SLD or no diabetes, respectively. Logistic regression analysis showed that CPGBC, ALD, high IgG (>1,700 mg/dl), high macrophage galactose-specific lectin-2 binding protein glycosylation isomer (M2BPGi) (>1 cut-off index) and diabetes were contributing factors for high serum IgA level (>410 mg/dl). The ratio of IgA level divided by IgG level was highest in patients with ALD, followed by those with metabolic dysfunction-associated SLD (MASLD) and non-SLD. In SLD, IgA level was associated more with LS than M2BPGi and fibrosis-4 (FIB-4) in multiple regression analysis. In the receiver operating characteristic analysis, IgA level, M2BPG, and FIB-4 had similar area under the curve values for discriminating high LS (>8 kPa) from low LS (≤8 kPa) in SLD. IgA levels were also associated with visceral fat, and this association was only found in women. In conclusion, elevated IgA is an indicator of liver fibrosis that also reflects the presence of diabetes and an increased visceral fat level. Therefore, IgA is considered a useful marker of liver disease severity in the current era of increased SLD.

Natural history and progression of metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease

The natural history of metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD), previously referred to as non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD), is complex and long. A minority of patients develop inflammation and risk progressive fibrosis that can result in cirrhosis. Progression to cirrhosis occurs in 3-5% of patients and often takes more than 20 years. This narrative review presents an update on the natural history of MASLD, discussing studies and risk estimates for progression to severe outcomes, such as decompensated cirrhosis or hepatocellular carcinoma. We highlight the dynamic progression of liver damage, how to identify patients whose disease progresses over time, and how risk factors might be mitigated to reduce the risk for disease progression.

Population screening for cirrhosis

In response to the growing health crisis of liver-related morbidity and mortality, screening for liver cirrhosis has emerged as a promising strategy for early detection and timely intervention. By identifying individuals with severe fibrosis or compensated cirrhosis, screening holds the promise of enhancing treatment outcomes, delaying disease progression, and ultimately improving the quality of life of affected individuals. Clinical practice guidelines from international scientific societies currently recommend targeted screening strategies, investigating high-risk populations with known risk factors of liver disease. While there is good evidence that screening increases case finding in the population, and a growing number of studies indicate that screening may motivate beneficial lifestyle changes in patients with steatotic liver disease, there are major gaps in knowledge in need of clarification before screening programs of cirrhosis are implemented. Foremost, randomized trials are needed to ensure that screening leads to improved liver-related morbidity and mortality. If not, screening for cirrhosis could be unethical due to overdiagnosis, overtreatment, increased health care costs, negative psychological consequences of screening, and futile invasive investigations. Moreover, the tests used for screening need to be optimized toward lower false positive rates than the currently used FIB-4 while retaining few false negatives. Finally, barriers to adherence to screening and implementation of screening programs need to be elucidated. This review provides a comprehensive overview of the current landscape of screening strategies for liver cirrhosis and the promises and pitfalls of current methods for early cirrhosis detection.

Breakthrough in the Treatment of Metabolic Associated Steatotic Liver Disease: Is it all over?

On March 14, 2024, after more than 25 years of intense research and a long series of failures, the Food and Drug Administration approved resmetirom as first drug for the treatment of non-alcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH) with fibrosis (now Metabolic-Associated Steatotic Liver Disease - MASLD). The present review covers this difficult process, finally providing a drug to complement lifestyle intervention, that has long been the sole approved therapeutic intervention. However, the availability of a drug shown to reduce disease progression in advanced stages of diseases opens a series of questions that deserve even more intense research. How to continue ongoing trials? How to generate an appropriate use of resmetirom in the community, limiting treatment according to predefined criteria and according to individual risk assessment? How to guarantee that both hepatic and non-hepatic comorbidities are appropriately targeted? How to define cost-effective strategies that might prevent the generation of unacceptable differences within the population, given the high costs of novel drugs and the extremely high numbers of candidates to treatment? Only a close surveillance of drug use in the real world, generated by insurance databases and national healthcare system registries, might provide adequate answers to these compelling questions.

EASL-EASD-EASO Clinical Practice Guidelines on the management of metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD)

Metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD), previously termed non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD), is defined as steatotic liver disease (SLD) in the presence of one or more cardiometabolic risk factor(s) and the absence of harmful alcohol intake. The spectrum of MASLD includes steatosis, metabolic dysfunction-associated steatohepatitis (MASH, previously NASH), fibrosis, cirrhosis and MASH-related hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). This joint EASL-EASD-EASO guideline provides an update on definitions, prevention, screening, diagnosis and treatment for MASLD. Case-finding strategies for MASLD with liver fibrosis, using non-invasive tests, should be applied in individuals with cardiometabolic risk factors, abnormal liver enzymes, and/or radiological signs of hepatic steatosis, particularly in the presence of type 2 diabetes (T2D) or obesity with additional metabolic risk factor(s). A stepwise approach using blood-based scores (such as FIB-4) and, sequentially, imaging techniques (such as transient elastography) is suitable to rule-out/in advanced fibrosis, which is predictive of liver-related outcomes. In adults with MASLD, lifestyle modification - including weight loss, dietary changes, physical exercise and discouraging alcohol consumption - as well as optimal management of comorbidities - including use of incretin-based therapies (e.g. semaglutide, tirzepatide) for T2D or obesity, if indicated - is advised. Bariatric surgery is also an option in individuals with MASLD and obesity. If locally approved and dependent on the label, adults with non-cirrhotic MASH and significant liver fibrosis (stage ≥2) should be considered for a MASH-targeted treatment with resmetirom, which demonstrated histological effectiveness on steatohepatitis and fibrosis with an acceptable safety and tolerability profile. No MASH-targeted pharmacotherapy can currently be recommended for the cirrhotic stage. Management of MASH-related cirrhosis includes adaptations of metabolic drugs, nutritional counselling, surveillance for portal hypertension and HCC, as well as liver transplantation in decompensated cirrhosis.

Noninvasive Assessment of Portal Hypertension

The progressive use of noninvasive tests (NITs) has changed the way hepatologists diagnose and manage patients with chronic liver disease, mainly because of their easiness to use and the ability to be repeated during follow-up. Liver stiffness measurement is the NIT with more scientific evidence. NITs have demonstrated to be useful to detect not only liver fibrosis but also the presence of clinically significant portal hypertension. Moreover, current evidence supports they can also be useful to evaluate the prognosis of patients with chronic liver disease.

WFUMB Guidelines/Guidance on Liver Multiparametric Ultrasound. Part 2: Guidance on Liver Fat Quantification

The World Federation for Ultrasound in Medicine and Biology (WFUMB) has promoted the development of this document on multiparametric ultrasound. Part 2 is a guidance on the use of the available tools for the quantification of liver fat content with ultrasound. These are attenuation coefficient, backscatter coefficient, and speed of sound. All of them use the raw data of the ultrasound beam to estimate liver fat content. This guidance has the aim of helping the reader in understanding how they work and interpret the results. Confounding factors are discussed and a standardized protocol for measurement acquisition is suggested to mitigate them. The recommendations were based on published studies and experts' opinion but were not formally graded because the body of evidence remained low at the time of drafting this document.

WFUMB Guideline/Guidance on Liver Multiparametric Ultrasound: Part 1. Update to 2018 Guidelines on Liver Ultrasound Elastography

The World Federation for Ultrasound in Medicine and Biology (WFUMB) endorsed the development of this document on multiparametric ultrasound. Part 1 is an update to the WFUMB Liver Elastography Guidelines Update released in 2018 and provides new evidence on the role of ultrasound elastography in chronic liver disease. The recommendations in this update were made and graded using the Oxford classification, including level of evidence (LoE), grade of recommendation (GoR) and proportion of agreement (Oxford Centre for Evidence-Based Medicine [OCEBM] 2009). The guidelines are clinically oriented, and the role of shear wave elastography in both fibrosis staging and prognostication in different etiologies of liver disease is discussed, highlighting advantages and limitations. A comprehensive section is devoted to the assessment of portal hypertension, with specific recommendations for the interpretation of liver and spleen stiffness measurements in this setting.

Metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease and diabetes: the cross-talk between hepatologist and diabetologist

INTRODUCTION

Metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD) and type 2 diabetes mellitus (DM) are the most prevalent metabolic disorders globally. The numbers affected in both disorders are also rapidly increasing with alarming trends in children and young adults.

AREAS COVERED

Insulin resistance (IR) and the subsequent metabolic dysregulation are the fundamental pathogenesis pathways of the prevalent metabolic disorders. The interaction and impacts are bidirectional between MASLD and DM in terms of disease mechanisms, disease course, risks, and prognosis. There's a pressing issue for highlighting the links between MASLD and DM for both care specialists and primary care providers. The review collected the scientific evidence addressing the mutual interactions between the two disorders. The strategies for surveillance, risk stratification, and management are discussed in a practical manner. It also provides individualized viewpoints of patient care in hepatology and diabetology.

EXPERT OPINION

Both MASLD and DM shared similar disease mechanisms, and affected the disease development and progression in a bidirectional manner. The high prevalence and the cross-link between the two disorders raise clinical issues from awareness, screening, risk stratification, optimal referral, to appropriate management for primary care providers.

Current status and future trends of the global burden of MASLD

Metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD) has emerged as the most common chronic liver disease globally, affecting more than a third of the world's adult population. This comprehensive narrative review summarizes the global incidence and prevalence rates of MASLD and its related adverse hepatic and extrahepatic outcomes. We also discuss the substantial economic burden of MASLD on healthcare systems, thus further highlighting the urgent need for global efforts to tackle this common and burdensome liver condition. We emphasize the clinical relevance of early interventions and a holistic approach that includes public health strategies to reduce the global impact of MASLD.

Repeatability of vibration-controlled transient elastography versus magnetic resonance elastography in patients with cirrhosis: A prospective study

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Magnetic resonance elastography (MRE) and vibration-controlled transient elastography (VCTE) have the potential to assess disease progression; however, repeatability data in people with cirrhosis are lacking. We aimed to assess the effect of disease severity on measurement variability and contribute to the evidentiary basis for the qualification of repeating liver stiffness measurements (LSM) in practice and research.

METHODS

This prospective study included 49 adult participants (58.3% female) with cirrhosis who underwent same-day repeat LSM examinations. The primary outcome was the same-day, same-operator repeatability coefficient% (RC%) and the within-case coefficient of variation (wCV) for each modality. Secondary outcomes include the intra-class correlation coefficient (ICC). The relationship between measurement variability (interquartile for VCTE, standard deviation for MRE) and disease severity (mean liver stiffness) was evaluated by linear regression with the coefficient of determination R2 reported.

RESULTS

Same-day repeat MRE and VCTE exams were prospectively conducted in 33 and 45 participants, respectively. The RC% appeared 82% higher for VCTE versus MRE (38% vs. 21%), with consistent findings in head-to-head analyses. The wCV for VCTE and MRE was 14% and 8% respectively, indicating VCTE has 75% higher within-subject measurement variation than MRE. ICC was excellent for LSM by VCTE (0.92) and MRE (0.96). Measurement variability increased with mean liver stiffness for VCTE (R2 = 0.78) and MRE (R2 = 0.93).

CONCLUSION

Both VCTE and MRE demonstrated increased measurement variability with disease severity. However, MRE outperformed VCTE in terms of technical repeatability in patients with cirrhosis. These repeatability estimates may improve the qualification of NITs in practice.