Colorectal Cancer Risk Assessment and Precision Approaches to Screening: Brave New World or Worlds Apart?

Does Colonoscopy as a First Screening Test Still Make Sense?-Counterpoint

Colonoscopy has been widely regarded as the gold standard for its high diagnostic accuracy and preventive potential. However, its invasive nature, high cost, and suboptimal participation rates limit its utility at the population level. Non-invasive screening tests, notably the fecal immunochemical test (FIT) and multitarget stool DNA tests, present promising alternatives that may improve screening participation and reduce barriers to participation. Among these, FIT has demonstrated a consistent advantage in enhancing participation, which subsequently contributes to better long-term outcomes in CRC prevention. FIT-based two-step screening offers several practical advantages, including cost-effectiveness, non-invasiveness, and greater flexibility. Moreover, the quantitative nature of FIT allows for adjustable sensitivity thresholds and the ability of risk stratification, making it adaptable across diverse populations and scenarios. Through serial testing, FIT can increase cumulative detection rates over time. This approach facilitates the identification of high-risk individuals, allowing for more judicious use of colonoscopy resources and reducing unnecessary invasive procedures, especially among low-risk populations. Notably, evidence indicates that participation to FIT-based screening is consistently higher than to colonoscopy, which enhances the detection of early-stage cancers and advanced adenomas in the long run. Given the constraints of limited endoscopic capacity, the aging population, and the recent lowering of the recommended screening age due to the rising incidence of early-onset CRC, FIT emerges as a practical, flexible solution. The role of two-step FIT screening in improving participation and enabling risk-stratified, personalized approaches to CRC prevention is pivotal, advocating for its expanded integration into future screening paradigms.

Evaluating Risk Factors for Early-Onset Colorectal Cancer in a Large, Prospective Cohort

BACKGROUND

Despite the worrisome rise of early-onset colorectal cancer (EOCRC), risk factors have not been definitively established. We use a large, granular database to evaluate risk factors for EOCRC, investigate differences in associations with EOCRC and later-onset CRC (LOCRC), and compare metrics of accelerated aging, a hypothesized driver of EOCRC.

METHODS

This was a case-control analysis within the UK Biobank. Risk factors for each cancer were identified and compared, including aging measures (chronological age, telomere length, PhenoAge, and homeostatic dysregulation).

RESULTS

A total of 31,164 persons were matched. We found an increased risk of EOCRC with PRS (OR 1.53; 95% CI 1.19-1.97; p < 0.001). LOCRC was associated with increasing PRS (OR 1.48; 95% CI 1.44 - 1.53; p < 0.001), increasing waist-to-hip ratio (OR 5.81; 95% CI 3.25 - 10.38; p < 0.001), family history of CRC (OR 1.27; 95% CI 1.16 - 1.40; p < 0.001), and history of smoking (OR 1.11; 95% CI 1.03 - 1.19; p = 0.01). Male sex and prior CRC screening were associated with reduced risk of LOCRC. The inclusion of PhenoAge as the measure of aging demonstrated the best model fit for both EOCRC and LOCRC. For each year that PhenoAge exceeded chronological age, the odds of EOCRC increased by 7%, while odds of LOCRC only increased by 1%.

CONCLUSIONS

Within this study, we find that genetic risk variants are a significant driver of EOCRC risk. Accelerated aging appears to be associated with increased risk of both EOCRC and LOCRC, and measures such as PhenoAge warrant continued study.

Burden of gastrointestinal cancers in Asia, 1990-2019

OBJECTIVES

Gastrointestinal (GI) cancers are a major cause of morbidity and mortality worldwide. However, there has been no comprehensive assessment of GI cancers in Asia.

STUDY DESIGN

This was an epidemiological study.

METHODS

The study calculated the incidence and deaths of six common GI cancers in Asia between 1990 and 2019 using data from the Global Burden of Disease study. The data are presented by sex, age, year, location, and risk factors, and are shown as counts and rates.

RESULTS

In 2019, the age-standardized incidence rates (ASIR) for colorectal, esophageal, gallbladder and biliary tract (GBTC), liver, pancreatic, and stomach cancers were 23.88, 8.24, 2.77, 7.97, 5.41, and 19.77, respectively. The age-standardized death rates (ASDR) for colorectal, esophageal, GBTC, liver, pancreatic, and stomach cancers were 12.49, 7.73, 2.53, 7.22, 5.47, and 14.67, respectively. From 1990 to 2019, there was an increasing trend in incidence and deaths for esophageal, liver, and stomach cancer, while a decreasing trend was observed in colorectal, GBTC, and pancreatic cancer. The burden of GI cancer increased successively in older generations and was higher in males than in females. Furthermore, this burden varied significantly across Asian subregions and countries. Dietary risks, smoking, alcohol use, and high BMI contribute to GI cancer mortality.

CONCLUSIONS

GI cancers continue to be the primary contributor to the tumor burden in Asia, with increasing absolute numbers but varying age-standardized measures over the past three decades.

The Value of Clinical Decision Support in Healthcare: A Focus on Screening and Early Detection

In a rapidly changing technology landscape, "Clinical Decision Support" (CDS) has become an important tool to improve patient management. CDS systems offer medical professionals new insights to improve diagnostic accuracy, therapy planning, and personalized treatment. In addition, CDS systems provide cost-effective options to augment conventional screening for secondary prevention. This review aims to (i) describe the purpose and mechanisms of CDS systems, (ii) discuss different entities of algorithms, (iii) highlight quality features, and (iv) discuss challenges and limitations of CDS in clinical practice. Furthermore, we (v) describe contemporary algorithms in oncology, acute care, cardiology, and nephrology. In particular, we consolidate research on algorithms across diseases that imply a significant disease and economic burden, such as lung cancer, colorectal cancer, hepatocellular cancer, coronary artery disease, traumatic brain injury, sepsis, and chronic kidney disease.

Burden and risk factors of colorectal cancer in Europe from 1990 to 2021

BACKGROUND

Colorectal cancer (CRC) poses a significant health burden in Europe, but comprehensive studies on this region are limited.

METHODS

Using data from the Global Burden of Diseases (GBD), Injuries, and Risk Factors Study 2021, we analyzed the regional distribution and temporal trends of the CRC and early-onset CRC burden in Europe from 1990 to 2021. Decomposition analysis was applied to quantify the contributions of population growth, aging, and epidemiological changes. The research also evaluated major risk factors associated with CRC and early-onset CRC.

RESULTS

The burden of CRC in Europe was found to be higher than the global average. While the age-standardized incidence rate (ASIR) increased, both the age-standardized mortality rate (ASMR) and age-standardized disability-adjusted life years rate (ASDR) decreased. Early-onset CRC exhibits similar distribution characteristics and patterns of change. Males had a significantly higher CRC burden than females. Population aging was the primary driver of increased burden in Europe. Risk factor analysis revealed that low whole grain intake and high red meat consumption were the primary contributors to the elevated ASMR and ASDR of CRC and early-onset CRC. Additionally, the CRC and early-onset CRC burden associated with high BMI and high fasting plasma glucose showed an increasing trend.

CONCLUSION

The overall burden of CRC and early-onset CRC in Europe remains higher than the global level, with increasing ASIR and decreasing ASMR and ASDR. Targeted prevention and control strategies should be developed based on the major risk factors for CRC. Older adults and men should be prioritized for interventions.

Biological Age Acceleration and Colonic Polyps in Persons under Age 50

Epigenetic clocks can quantify DNA methylation by measuring the methylation levels at specific sites in the genome, which correlate with biological age (BA). Accelerated aging, where BA exceeds chronologic age, has been studied in relation to cancer development, but its utility in cancer prevention remains unclear. Accelerated aging holds promise as a tool to explain the increase in early-onset colorectal cancer (EOCRC). We investigate the association of accelerated aging and the presence of preneoplastic polyps (PNP) in the colon, defined as tubular adenomas and sessile serrated adenomas. In this study of persons under age 50 undergoing colonoscopy, we used peripheral blood samples to determine BA and age acceleration metrics. Age acceleration was determined by interrogating DNA methylation at specific CpG sites across the genome, which has been shown to correlate with age. We then conducted logistic regression analyses to evaluate the association between age acceleration and PNPs. In total, 51 patient samples were evaluated. We found that that the odds of harboring a PNP are 16% higher with 1 year of accelerated aging, as measured by GrimAge. However, the strongest risk factor for PNPs remained male sex. This represents one of the first studies to explore accelerated aging and PNP in patients under the age of 50. A risk-stratified approach to EOCRC screening would minimize unnecessary colonoscopies and minimize healthcare burden while addressing the increase in EOCRC. Our findings suggest that BA calculations with peripheral blood collections could be an important component of such a risk model. Prevention Relevance: Understanding the association of accelerated aging and colorectal PNPs presents an opportunity to develop a risk-stratified approach to colorectal cancer screening in young persons.

Risk-Adapted Starting Ages of Colorectal Cancer Screening for People With Diabetes or Metabolic Syndrome

BACKGROUND

Individuals with diabetes and metabolic syndrome have an increased risk of colorectal cancer (CRC), suggesting earlier screening than the average-risk population may be warranted.

AIMS

To derive risk-adapted starting ages of CRC screening for people with diabetes or metabolic syndrome.

METHODS

We determined 5-year cumulative risks of CRC at individual ages between 30 and 50 across Europe (overall and individually for Germany, France, the UK and Italy) and North America (the United States and Canada) based on the GLOBOCAN 2022 database. Using risk estimates from meta-analyses (2020-2023), we derived the ages at which individuals with diabetes or metabolic syndrome reach the same CRC risk as the average-risk population at age 50 (aCR50) or 45 (aCR45).

RESULTS

Individuals with diabetes were estimated to reach aCR50 at age 47 (95% confidence interval, 45-49) in Europe and 46 (42-49) in North America. For metabolic syndrome, the corresponding ages were 47 (47-48) in Europe and 46 (46-47) in North America. Disparities across countries were minimal, with deviations of up to no more than one year. For screening programmes starting at age 45, corresponding risk-adapted starting ages for people with diabetes or metabolic syndrome were estimated to be 42 (41-44) and 43 (42-43) for Europe and 41 (38-44) and 41 (41-42) for North America, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

People with diabetes or metabolic syndrome reach risk levels comparable to the average risk population three to four years earlier. Our results offer empirical guidance for defining risk-adapted starting ages of CRC screening for these high-risk groups.

Molecular characteristics, clinical significance and cancer‑immune interactions of pyroptosis‑related genes in colorectal cancer

Colorectal cancer (CRC) is a malignant tumor with poor prognosis. Pyroptosis is a newly discovered type of programmed cell death that is typically accompanied by a strong inflammatory response. Accumulating evidence suggests that pyroptosis-related genes (PRGs) may have important roles in the development of malignant tumors. However, the association between PRG expression and clinical outcomes in CRC remain unclear. In the present study, the genetic variations and transcriptional patterns of 52 PRGs were comprehensively analyzed using cohorts from The Cancer Genome Atlas and Gene Expression Omnibus and the mRNA expression levels of 7 PRGs in collected CRC samples were validated using reverse transcription-quantitative PCR. Using LASSO-Cox analysis, a PRG score was then generated and the relationship between the PRG score and prognosis, immune cell infiltration and drug sensitivity in CRC was uncovered. In the present study, the mutation and expression patterns of PRGs were analyzed and it was found that these genes were differentially expressed in CRC tissues compared with normal tissues. Based on the expression patterns of the PRGs, patients with CRC were divided into two subtypes (cluster A and B), of which cluster B had an improved prognosis and a higher abundance of immune cells. Next, differentially expressed genes between clusters A and B were identified and a PRG risk score closely related to the prognosis of CRC was constructed. Then, a nomogram for evaluating the overall survival of patients was constructed. Furthermore, a low PRG risk score was characterized by immune activation and closely related to the microsatellite instability-high pattern. Additionally, the PRG risk score was notably correlated with drug sensitivity. In conclusion, the mutation and expression characteristics of PRGs in CRC were comprehensively analyzed and a prognostic PRG signature was constructed in the present study. This signature may predict immune cell infiltration and therapeutic response in CRC, providing new insights into the prognosis and treatment of CRC.

Colorectal Cancer Incidence and Mortality After Negative Colonoscopy Screening Results

Importance

The current recommendation for a 10-year rescreening interval after a negative colonoscopy screening (NCS) result has been questioned, with some studies showing a persistently lower risk of colorectal cancer (CRC) after NCS results.

Objective

To examine long-term CRC incidence and mortality after NCS results (ie, no presence of CRC or polyps) and according to a risk score based on major demographic and lifestyle risk factors.

Design, Setting, and Participants

In this cohort study, 3 prospective US population-based cohorts from the Nurses' Health Study, Nurses' Health Study II, and Health Professionals Follow-up Study were followed up from 1988 and 1991 to 2020. Data from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) from the January 1, 2017, to December 31, 2018, cycle were used to compare the risk profile distribution with that of the general US population. Data analysis was performed from October 2023 to August 2024.

Exposures

Time-varying status of NCS results and risk score.

Main Outcomes and Measures

Cox proportional hazards regression was used to calculate hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% CIs for incidence and mortality of CRC.

Results

A total of 195 453 participants (median [IQR] age, 44 [37-56] years at baseline; 81% female) were followed up for a median (IQR) of 12 (6-20) years. Among 81 151 individuals with NCS results and 114 302 without endoscopy, 394 and 2229 CRC cases and 167 and 637 CRC deaths, respectively, were documented. Negative colonoscopy screening results were consistently associated with lower CRC incidence (HR, 0.51; 95% CI, 0.44-0.58) and mortality (HR, 0.56; 95% CI, 0.46-0.70) for 20 years. Among individuals with NCS results, those with an intermediate risk (scores, 6-7) and low risk (scores, 0-5) did not reach the 10-year cumulative incidence of CRC (0.78%) of the high-risk individuals (scores, 8-12) until 16 and 25 years after initial screening, respectively.

Conclusion and Relevance

These findings provide evidence for shared decision-making between patients and physicians to consider extending the rescreening intervals after an NCS result beyond the currently recommended 10 years, particularly for individuals with a low-risk profile. These results showed, as a proof of concepts, the importance of considering known CRC risk factors when making decisions for colonoscopy rescreening.

Linking LEDGF/p75 Overexpression With Microsatellite Instability and KRAS Mutations: A Small-Scale Study in Colorectal Cancer

INTRODUCTION

Colorectal cancer (CRC) ranks third in men and second in women, with 153,020 new cases and 52,550 deaths in 2023, and with a projected incidence of 2.2 million new cases by 2030 due to lifestyle changes and enhanced diagnostic capabilities. Identification and analysis of new biomarkers, like lens epithelium-derived growth factor splice variant of 75 kDa (LEDGF/p75), which is known to play a crucial role as stress-related oncogene, can make a significant contribution in facilitating early CRC detection.

METHODS

This study analyzed the expression of LEDGF/p75 and the ubiquitin E2 conjugating enzyme UBC13 in 15 CRC tissue samples and adjacent non-tumor tissues. All patient samples underwent NGS-based mutation analysis beforehand. The western blot technique was used for protein analysis, and the results were further validated using mRNA expression data from 521 patient samples from the TCGA database.

RESULTS

LEDGF/p75 expression was significantly elevated in nearly all tumor tissue samples compared to adjacent tissue (11/15, 73.3%). Additionally, the UBC13 enzyme, a key regulator in the degradation of signaling molecules, was also increased in most tumor tissue samples (9/15, 60.0%). Co-overexpression of LEDGF/p75 and UBC13 was evident in 6/6 patients. Patients with KRAS and MSH2 mutations showed a 75% and 100% correlation with LEDGF/p75 overexpression, respectively.

CONCLUSION

This study confirms the upregulation of LEDGF/p75 in CRC and shows its correlation with KRAS and MSH2 mutations. The interaction of LEDGF/p75 with DNA damage response proteins may contribute to drug resistance and increased tumor aggressiveness. LEDGF/p75's potential as a prognostic biomarker independent of lymph node involvement or CEA levels highlights its potential in personalized therapy, and warrants further research into its therapeutic targeting.

The global, regional, and national alcohol-related colorectal cancer burden and forecasted trends: results from the global burden of disease study 2021

Background

The mortality of colorectal cancer (CRC) is increasing year by year and poses a significant global health burden. Many studies have demonstrated that alcohol consumption is an important risk factor for CRC and is closely associated with malignant metastasis in CRC patients, which in turn leads to a poor prognosis.

Methods

This study aimed to quantify the global, regional, and national burden of alcohol-related CRC between 1990 and 2021. First, numbers and age-standardized rates of deaths and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) for alcohol-related CRC in 2021 were analyzed at different levels. Temporal trends in the burden of disease from 1990 to 2021 were analyzed through linear regression models. Finally, both Age-Period-Cohort (APC) models and Bayesian Age-Period-Cohort (BAPC) models were utilized to project the future burden of the disease for 2022-2046.

Results

The global burden of disease for alcohol-related CRC is higher in 2021 compared to 1990. Male and older age groups are at high risk. Disease burden varies very much between Sociodemographic Index (SDI) regions, Global Burden of Disease (GBD) regions and countries. From 1990 to 2021, the number of cases increased, but the Age-Standardized Rate (ASR) decreased. The trends in disease burden predicted by the two models for 2022-2046 were not consistent.

Conclusion

This study describes the burden of disease in alcohol-related CRC and emphasizes that alcohol is a non-negligible risk factor for CRC. In order to mitigate harm, we need to strengthen disease surveillance, early prevention, timely detection, and improved treatment measures, with different approaches and responses for different regions.

Association between serum iron status and the risk of colorectal cancer in US adults: a cross-sectional analysis of NHANES 2001-2020

BACKGROUND

Maintaining iron homeostasis is crucial for preventing the development of colorectal cancer (CRC). However, Evidence regarding the correlation between serum iron status and CRC has been inconsistent. This population-based study aims to explore the potential association between serum iron status and CRC risk.

METHODS

Using data from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) registry spanning from 2001 to 2020, a cross-sectional study involving 9504 participants was performed to assess the relationship between serum iron status and CRC risk. The study encompassed men and women of various racial backgrounds, aged 20 to 80, from across the United States. Participants' characteristics were presented using mean or proportion. The possible risk factor for CRC was examined using both univariable and multivariable analysis. A logistic regression model was used to estimate the odds ratios (ORs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) of CRC in accordance with each quantile increment in serum iron item levels.

RESULTS

After making full adjustment, our analysis did not reveal a statistically significant association between serum iron, ferritin, transferrin saturation (TSAT), total iron-binding capacity (TIBC) and the risk of CRC. While there was no statistically significant difference observed, an increasing ferritin concentration appeared to be associated with a decreased CRC risk when compared to the lowest quantile. Specifically, the ORs and 95% CIs for the second, third, and fourth quantiles (Q2, Q3, and Q4) versus the lowest quantile (Q1) were as follows: Q2 (vs. Q1) OR 0.403, 95% CI 0.063-2.568; Q3 (vs. Q1) OR 0.316, 95% CI 0.059-1.687; Q4 (vs. Q1) OR 0.250, 95% CI 0.050-1.258. However, this trend did not reach statistical significance (P for trend = 0.381).

CONCLUSION

Our analyze did not demonstrate a statistically significant correlation between serum iron status and the risk of CRC.

Colorectal cancer risk mapping through Bayesian networks

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE

Only about 14% of eligible EU citizens finally participate in colorectal cancer (CRC) screening programs despite it being the third most common type of cancer worldwide. The development of CRC risk models can enable predictions to be embedded in decision-support tools facilitating CRC screening and treatment recommendations. This paper develops a predictive model that aids in characterizing CRC risk groups and assessing the influence of a variety of risk factors on the population.

METHODS

A CRC Bayesian Network is learnt by aggregating extensive expert knowledge and data from an observational study and making use of structure learning algorithms to model the relations between variables. The network is then parametrised to characterize these relations in terms of local probability distributions at each of the nodes. It is finally used to predict the risks of developing CRC together with the uncertainty around such predictions.

RESULTS

A graphical CRC risk mapping tool is developed from the model and used to segment the population into risk subgroups according to variables of interest. Furthermore, the network provides insights on the predictive influence of modifiable risk factors such as alcohol consumption and smoking, and medical conditions such as diabetes or hypertension linked to lifestyles that potentially have an impact on an increased risk of developing CRC.

CONCLUSION

CRC is most commonly developed in older individuals. However, some modifiable behavioral factors seem to have a strong predictive influence on its potential risk of development. Modeling these effects facilitates identifying risk groups and targeting influential variables which are subsequently helpful in the design of screening and treatment programs.

Survival outcomes of population-wide colonoscopy screening: reanalysis of the NordICC data

BACKGROUND

Colonoscopy as a common screening practice to prevent colorectal cancer lacks strong evidence. NordICC, the first randomized trial of colonoscopy screening, reported no clear clinical benefit for colonoscopy in the intention-to-screen population with suggested benefit in the risk of colorectal incidence and cancer-specific mortality in the per-protocol analyses. However, although the study was designed to perform survival analysis, no survival outcomes were reported since the underlying assumption for hazard ratio was not valid. We aimed to assess whether colonoscopy screening is associated with improved survival outcomes compared with usual care.

METHODS

We reconstructed patient-level data from the Kaplan-Meier estimator of the primary endpoints reported in NordICC for the intention-to-screen and adjusted per-protocol populations. The restricted-mean survival time difference (RMST-D) and restricted-mean time loss ratio (RMTL-R), which are robust alternatives to the hazard ratio without specific model assumptions, were calculated for colorectal cancer incidence and death.

RESULTS

In this study, no significant difference in colorectal cancer incidence over 10 years was found in the intention-to-screen population (RMST-D: -0.68 days, 95% CI -3.9-2.6; RMTL-R: 1.04, 95% CI 0.88-1.22) or in the per-protocol analysis population (RMST-D: -2.9 days, 95% CI -6.5-0.67; RMTL-R: 1.15, 95% CI 0.97-1.35). In the intention-to-screen population, inviting individuals to colonoscopy did not improve colorectal-cancer death (RMST-D: -0.29 days, 95% CI -1.6-1.0; RMTL-R: 1.07, 95% CI 0.78-1.48). Over 10 years, in the per-protocol analysis, individuals who underwent colonoscopy survived an average of 1.1 more days free of colorectal cancer, but this difference was not statistically significant (RMST-D: 95% CI -0.13-2.3; RMTL-R: 0.72, 95% CI 0.49-1.07).

CONCLUSIONS

In this reanalysis of the NordICC data, no evidence of improvement in survival outcomes for participants invited to undergo colonoscopy compared to usual care was identified, even when assuming that all invited participants did undergo colonoscopy. Thus, our results do not support the use of colonoscopy as a population-wide screening test as a mean to decrease colorectal cancer incidence or death.

REGISTRY

Not applicable.

High mobility group A1 (HMGA1) promotes the tumorigenesis of colorectal cancer by increasing lipid synthesis

Metabolic reprogramming is a hallmark of cancer, enabling tumor cells to meet the high energy and biosynthetic demands required for their proliferation. High mobility group A1 (HMGA1) is a structural transcription factor and frequently overexpressed in human colorectal cancer (CRC). Here, we show that HMGA1 promotes CRC progression by driving lipid synthesis in a AOM/DSS-induced CRC mouse model. Using conditional knockout (Hmga1△IEC) and knock-in (Hmga1IEC-OE/+) mouse models, we demonstrate that HMGA1 enhances CRC cell proliferation and accelerates tumor development by upregulating fatty acid synthase (FASN). Mechanistically, HMGA1 increases the transcriptional activity of sterol regulatory element-binding protein 1 (SREBP1) on the FASN promoter, leading to increased lipid accumulation in intestinal epithelial cells. Moreover, a high-fat diet exacerbates CRC progression in Hmga1△IEC mice, while pharmacological inhibition of FASN by orlistat reduces tumor growth in Hmga1IEC-OE/+ mice. Our findings suggest that targeting lipid metabolism could offer a promising therapeutic strategy for CRC.

The Use of Blood-Based Biomarkers in the Prediction of Colorectal Neoplasia at the Time of Primary Screening Colonoscopy Among Average-Risk Patients: A Systematic Literature Review

BACKGROUND/OBJECTIVES

Risk prediction models (RPMs) for colorectal cancer (CRC) could facilitate risk-based screening. Models incorporating biomarkers may improve the utility of current RPMs. We performed a systematic review of studies reporting RPMs for CRC that evaluated the impact of blood-based biomarkers on clinical outcome prediction at the time of screening colonoscopy in average-risk populations.

METHODS

We conducted a search of MEDLINE, Web of Science, and PubMed databases from inception through April 2024. Studies that developed or validated a model to predict risk of CRC or its precursors were included. Studies were limited to those including patients undergoing average-risk CRC screening.

RESULTS

Sixteen studies published between 2015 and 2024 were included. Outcomes included CRC (16 studies) and high-risk adenomas (1 study). Using a complete blood count was the most common biomarker and was able to achieve an AUC of 0.82 and a specificity of 0.88. Other blood-based biomarkers included were various serum proteins/metabolites/enzymes, plasma metabolites, insulin-related factors, and anemia markers. The highest-performing model, with an AUC of 0.99, involved the use of a plasma metabolite panel.

CONCLUSIONS

The evidence base of RPMs for CRC screening is expanding and incorporating biomarkers, which remain a prominent aspect of model discovery. Most RPMs included a lack of internal/external validation or discussion as to how the model could be implemented clinically. As biomarkers improve the discriminatory potential of RPMs, more research is needed for the evaluation and implementation of RPMs within existing CRC screening frameworks.

Early Cancer Detection Through Comprehensive Mapping of Dynamic Tumorigenesis

Current strategies for early cancer detection and diagnosis need updating to achieve greater precision, necessitating the creation of a comprehensive evolutionary map of tumorigenesis. This requires establishing high-quality prospective cohorts, systematically collecting samples for integrated spatiotemporal multiomics analyses, and efficiently translating laboratory findings into clinical applications.

Unveiling the pathological functions of SOCS in colorectal cancer: Current concepts and future perspectives

Colorectal cancer (CRC) remains a significant global health challenge, marked by increasing incidence and mortality rates in recent years. The pathogenesis of CRC is complex, involving chronic inflammation of the intestinal mucosa, heightened immunoinflammatory responses, and resistance to apoptosis. The suppressor of cytokine signaling (SOCS) family, comprised of key negative regulators within cytokine signaling pathways, plays a crucial role in cell proliferation, growth, and metabolic regulation. Deficiencies in various SOCS proteins can trigger the activation of the Janus kinase (JAK) and signal transducers and activators of transcription (STAT) pathways, following the binding of cytokines and growth factors to their receptors. Mounting evidence indicates that SOCS proteins are integral to the development and progression of CRC, positioning them as promising targets for novel anticancer therapies. This review delves into the structure, function, and molecular mechanisms of SOCS family members, examining their roles in cell proliferation, apoptosis, migration, epithelial-mesenchymal transition (EMT), and immune modulation. Additionally, it explores their potential impact on the regulation of CRC immunotherapy, offering new insights and perspectives that may inform the development of innovative therapeutic strategies for CRC.

Enhancing Colorectal Cancer Screening with Droplet Digital PCR Analysis of Fusobacterium nucleatum in Fecal Immunochemical Test Samples

Fecal immunochemical test (FIT) followed by colonoscopy in positive cases is commonly used for population-based colorectal cancer screening. However, specificity of FIT for colorectal cancer is not ideal and has poor performance for advanced adenoma detection. Fecal Fusobacterium nucleatum (Fn) detection has been proposed as a potential noninvasive biomarker for colorectal cancer and advanced adenoma detection. We aimed to evaluate the diagnostic performance of Fn detection using droplet digital PCR (ddPCR) in FIT samples from individuals enrolled in a colorectal cancer screening program with colorectal adenoma or cancer. We evaluated Fn presence in DNA isolated from FIT leftover material of 300 participants in a colorectal cancer screening program using ddPCR. The Fn DNA amount was classified as Fn-low/negative and Fn-high, and the association with patients' clinicopathological features and accuracy measurements was calculated. Fn-high levels were more prevalent in FIT-positive (47.2%, n = 34 of 72) than FIT-negative samples (28.9%, n = 66 of 228; P < 0.04). Among FIT-positive samples, high Fn levels were significantly more frequent in patients with cancer (CA, n = 8) when compared to normal (NT, n = 16; P = 0.02), non-advanced adenomas (NAA, n = 36; P = 0.01), and advanced adenomas (AA, n = 12; P = 0.01). Performance analysis of Fn in FIT-positive samples for colorectal cancer detection yielded an AUC of 0.8203 [confidence interval (CI), 0.6464-0.9942], with high sensitivity (100%) and specificity of 50%. Concluding, we showed the feasibility of detecting Fn in FIT leftovers using the ultrasensitive ddPCR technique. Furthermore, we highlighted the potential use of Fn levels in fecal samples to ameliorate colorectal cancer detection. Prevention Relevance: Fusobacterium nucleatum detection by droplet digital PCR could prioritize the selection of fecal immunochemical test-positive individuals who might benefit the most from the colonoscopy procedure.

Risk-stratified screening and colorectal cancer incidence and mortality: A retrospective study from the Prostate, Lung, Colorectal, and Ovarian Cancer Screening Trial

OBJECTIVE

To determine whether risk stratification can optimize the benefits of flexible sigmoidoscopy (FSG) screening.

METHODS

The Prostate, Lung, Colorectal and Ovarian (PLCO) Cancer Screening Trial was conducted from 1993 to 2001 in the United States. A colorectal cancer (CRC) risk stratification tool was developed in the control arm (n = 64,207) from the PLCO cohort and validated in the UK Biobank (n = 270,726). PLCO participants (n = 130,021) were classified into low-, medium-, and high-risk groups. Cumulative incidence and mortality were estimated using the Kaplan-Meier method. Cox proportional hazards models were used to estimate hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for the associations between screening and CRC incidence and mortality.

RESULTS

The CRC risk stratification tool was based on age, gender, body mass index, smoking status, family history of CRC, diabetes, regular use of aspirin, and CRC screening history. Compared with the control arm, FSG screening was significantly associated with a reduction in mortality in both the medium-risk (HR = 0.76, 95% CI = 0.63-0.92) and high-risk groups (0.58, 0.46-0.73), but not in the low-risk group (0.85, 0.61-1.19). FSG screening also reduced distal CRC incidence and mortality in the medium-risk and high-risk groups. Furthermore, it was associated with a reduction in incidence (0.74, 0.59-0.92) and mortality (0.59, 0.40-0.87) of proximal colon cancer in the high-risk group.

CONCLUSIONS

FSG screening yielded more benefits for the high-risk group than for the low-risk and medium-risk groups, supporting the development of a risk-stratified CRC screening strategy.

Negative prognostic impact of tumor deposits in stage III colorectal cancer patients

BACKGROUND

The prognostic value of tumor deposits (TDs) in stage III colorectal cancer (CRC) patients is poorly described based on the current tumor node metastasis (TNM) stage system.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Based on the data from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Result (SEER) database between 2010 to 2020 and local hospital between 2006 to 2022, the clinicopathological features of stage III CRC patients with TDs were screened by Chi-square test. Kaplan-Meier curves were performed to describe the significant difference in overall survival (OS) among the different groups, and log-rank tests were used to compare the cumulative survival distributions.

RESULT

Patients with TDs exhibited more aggressive tumors, characterized by advanced T staging (T3&T4), N staging (N2), perineural invasion, and more advanced TNM stage. The presence of TDs was identified as a negative prognostic factor in stage III CRC patients, with the co-existence of TDs and lymph node metastasis associated the poorest prognosis. A pairwise comparison revealed no statistically significant difference between TD+N1a/b and N1c groups, while the OS of TD-LN+ (TD- N1a/b) patients was the most favorable within the N1 stage. Notably, patients with a single lymph node positive had a significantly better OS than those with a single TD positive.

CONCLUSION

The presence of tumor deposits was a negative prognostic factor in stage III colorectal cancer patients, and the significance of tumor deposits was underestimated in the current TNM staging system.

Visceral Fat Thickness, Serum Adiponectin, and Metabolic Syndrome in Patients with Colorectal Adenomas

BACKGROUND/OBJECTIVES

Most cases of colorectal cancer (CRC) arise from adenomatous polyps. Identifying risk factors for colorectal adenoma (CRA) is critical for CRC prevention. Emerging evidence suggests a link between metabolic syndrome (MetS) and an elevated risk of CRA and CRC, potentially mediated by visceral obesity and adiponectin (APN). We aimed to evaluate the association between different markers of visceral obesity, serum APN, MetS, and the presence of CRA.

METHODS

A cross-sectional study was conducted at the University Clinical Center of Vojvodina, involving 120 patients, aged 40-75 years, who underwent colonoscopy between January 2022 and January 2023. Sixty patients with CRA were compared to 60 controls with normal colonoscopy findings. Visceral fat thickness (VFT) was measured using ultrasound (US), and bioelectrical impedance analysis (BIA) was used to assess visceral fat area (VFA). Serum APN levels, anthropometric measures, and MetS components were also evaluated.

RESULTS

Patients with CRA had significantly higher VFT measured by US (p < 0.05), but no significant differences were found in VFA measured by BIA, waist circumference (WC), or waist-to-hip ratio (WHR). MetS was significantly more prevalent in the CRA group (55% vs. 31.6%, p < 0.05), and logistic regression confirmed MetS as a significant predictor of CRA presence (OR = 2.6). Serum APN levels were inversely correlated with visceral fat measurements and MetS (p < 0.01), but no significant difference in APN levels was observed between patients with and without CRA.

CONCLUSIONS

This study highlights the importance of VFT measured by US and the presence of MetS as significant factors associated with CRA.

Clinical significance of peripheral blood UL16 and DR-70 for the early diagnosis and prognostic evaluation of colorectal cancer

BACKGROUND

Early diagnosis of colorectal cancer (CRC) is of great significance to improve the survival rate and quality of life of patients, but early diagnosis of CRC requires more sensitive techniques. Peripheral blood UL16-binding protein 2 (ULBP2) and human fibrinogen degradation products (DR-70) are the main indicators for the diagnosis of malignant tumors.

AIM

To assess ULBP2 and DR-70 potential for the early diagnosis and prognostic evaluation of CRC to provide a reference.

METHODS

This study involved 60 patients with early-stage CRC (CRC group), 50 patients with benign colorectal tumors (benign group), and 50 healthy patients (control group) enrolled at the Affiliated Hospital of Jiangnan University and Jiangsu Province Official Hospital between January, 2020 and January, 2022. ULBP2 and DR-70 levels in the blood were determined and differences among the three groups and early diagnostic values for CRC were determined. Patients with CRC were divided into the good prognosis and poor prognosis groups, and ULBP2 and DR-70 levels in the blood and diagnostic values were compared.

RESULTS

ULBP2 and DR-70 serum levels were significantly higher in the CRC group than in the control and benign groups (P < 0.05); however, no significant differences were observed between the benign and control groups (P > 0.05). Among the 60 patients with CRC followed up for two years, two died (3.33%) and 15 exhibited tumor metastasis, progression, or recurrence (25.00%). ULBP2 and DR-70 serum levels were significantly higher in the poor prognosis group than in the good prognosis group (P < 0.05). A receiver operating characteristic curve was plotted. Area under the curve, sensitivity, and specificity of serum ULBP2 with DR-70 for the early diagnosis of CRC were higher than those of the single serum indices (P < 0.05) in both the good and poor prognosis groups.

CONCLUSION

ULBP2 and DR-70 serum levels were significantly high in patients with early-stage CRC. They improved the diagnostic rate of early-stage CRC and predicted patient prognosis, thereby showing clinical application potential.

Development and evaluation of a risk prediction tool for risk-adapted screening of colorectal cancer in China

Risk prediction tools for colorectal cancer (CRC) have potential to improve the efficiency of population-based screening by facilitating risk-adapted strategies. However, such an applicable tool has yet to be established in the Chinese population. In this study, a risk score was created using data from the China Kadoorie Biobank (CKB), a nationwide cohort study of 409,854 eligible participants. Diagnostic performance of the risk score was evaluated in an independent CRC screening programme, which included 91,575 participants who accepted colonoscopy at designed hospitals in Zhejiang Province, China. Over a median follow-up of 11.1 years, 3136 CRC cases were documented in the CKB. A risk score was created based on nine questionnaire-derived variables, showing moderate discrimination for 10-year CRC risk (C-statistic = 0.68, 95 % CI: 0.67-0.69). In the CRC screening programme, the detection rates of CRC were 0.25 %, 0.82 %, and 1.93 % in low-risk (score <6), intermediate-risk (score: 6-19), and high-risk (score >19) groups, respectively. The newly developed score exhibited a C-statistic of 0.65 (95 % CI: 0.63-0.66), surpassing the widely adopted tools such as the Asia-Pacific Colorectal Screening (APCS), modified APCS, and Korean Colorectal Screening scores (all C-statistics = 0.60). In conclusion, we developed a novel risk prediction tool that is useful to identify individuals at high risk of CRC. A user-friendly online calculator was also constructed to encourage broader adoption of the tool.

Predicting Risk of Colorectal Cancer After Adenoma Removal in a Large Community-Based Setting

INTRODUCTION

Colonoscopy surveillance guidelines categorize individuals as high or low risk for future colorectal cancer (CRC) based primarily on their prior polyp characteristics, but this approach is imprecise, and consideration of other risk factors may improve postpolypectomy risk stratification.

METHODS

Among patients who underwent a baseline colonoscopy with removal of a conventional adenoma in 2004-2016, we compared the performance for postpolypectomy CRC risk prediction (through 2020) of a comprehensive model featuring patient age, diabetes diagnosis, and baseline colonoscopy indication and prior polyp findings (i.e., adenoma with advanced histology, polyp size ≥10 mm, and sessile serrated adenoma or traditional serrated adenoma) with a polyp model featuring only polyp findings. Models were developed using Cox regression. Performance was assessed using area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) and calibration by the Hosmer-Lemeshow goodness-of-fit test.

RESULTS

Among 95,001 patients randomly divided 70:30 into model development (n = 66,500) and internal validation cohorts (n = 28,501), 495 CRC were subsequently diagnosed; 354 in the development cohort and 141 in the validation cohort. Models demonstrated adequate calibration, and the comprehensive model demonstrated superior predictive performance to the polyp model in the development cohort (AUC 0.71, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.68-0.74 vs AUC 0.61, 95% CI 0.58-0.64, respectively) and validation cohort (AUC 0.70, 95% CI 0.65-0.75 vs AUC 0.62, 95% CI 0.57-0.67, respectively).

DISCUSSION

A comprehensive CRC risk prediction model featuring patient age, diabetes diagnosis, and baseline colonoscopy indication and polyp findings was more accurate at predicting postpolypectomy CRC diagnosis than a model based on polyp findings alone.

Screening for liver fibrosis: lessons from colorectal and lung cancer screening

Many countries have incorporated population screening programmes for cancer, such as colorectal and lung cancer, into their health-care systems. Cirrhosis is more prevalent than colorectal cancer and has a comparable age-standardized mortality rate to lung cancer. Despite this fact, there are no screening programmes in place for early detection of liver fibrosis, the precursor of cirrhosis. In this Perspective, we use insights from colorectal and lung cancer screening to explore the benefits, challenges, implementation strategies and pathways for future liver fibrosis screening initiatives. Several non-invasive methods and referral pathways for early identification of liver fibrosis exist, but in addition to accurate detection, screening programmes must also be cost-effective and demonstrate benefit through a reduction in liver-related mortality. Randomized controlled trials are needed to confirm this. Future randomized screening trials should evaluate not only the screening tests, but also interventions used to halt disease progression in individuals identified through screening.

Effectiveness of colorectal cancer screening integrating non-genetic and genetic risk: a prospective study based on UK Biobank data

OBJECTIVE

Few studies have evaluated the benefits of colorectal cancer (CRC) screening integrating both non-genetic and genetic risk factors. Here, we aimed to integrate an existing non-genetic risk model (QCancer-10) and a 139-variant polygenic risk score to evaluate the effectiveness of screening on CRC incidence and mortality.

METHODS

We applied the integrated model to calculate 10-year CRC risk for 430,908 participants in the UK Biobank, and divided the participants into low-, intermediate-, and high-risk groups. We calculated the screening-associated hazard ratios (HRs) and absolute risk reductions (ARRs) for CRC incidence and mortality according to risk stratification.

RESULTS

During a median follow-up of 11.03 years and 12.60 years, we observed 5,158 CRC cases and 1,487 CRC deaths, respectively. CRC incidence and mortality were significantly lower among screened than non-screened participants in both the intermediate- and high-risk groups [incidence: HR: 0.87, 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.81-0.94; 0.81, 0.73-0.90; mortality: 0.75, 0.64-0.87; 0.70, 0.58-0.85], which composed approximately 60% of the study population. The ARRs (95% CI) were 0.17 (0.11-0.24) and 0.43 (0.24-0.61), respectively, for CRC incidence, and 0.08 (0.05-0.11) and 0.24 (0.15-0.33), respectively, for mortality. Screening did not significantly reduce the relative or absolute risk of CRC incidence and mortality in the low-risk group. Further analysis revealed that screening was most effective for men and individuals with distal CRC among the intermediate to high-risk groups.

CONCLUSIONS

After integrating both genetic and non-genetic factors, our findings provided priority evidence of risk-stratified CRC screening and valuable insights for the rational allocation of health resources.

Trends and hotspots in gastrointestinal neoplasms risk assessment: A bibliometric analysis from 1984 to 2022

BACKGROUND

Gastrointestinal neoplasm (GN) significantly impact the global cancer burden and mortality, necessitating early detection and treatment. Understanding the evolution and current state of research in this field is vital.

AIM

To conducts a comprehensive bibliometric analysis of publications from 1984 to 2022 to elucidate the trends and hotspots in the GN risk assessment research, focusing on key contributors, institutions, and thematic evolution.

METHODS

This study conducted a bibliometric analysis of data from the Web of Science Core Collection database using the "bibliometrix" R package, VOSviewer, and CiteSpace. The analysis focused on the distribution of publications, contributions by institutions and countries, and trends in keywords. The methods included data synthesis, network analysis, and visualization of international collaboration networks.

RESULTS

This analysis of 1371 articles on GN risk assessment revealed a notable evolution in terms of research focus and collaboration. It highlights the United States' critical role in advancing this field, with significant contributions from institutions such as Brigham and Women's Hospital and the National Cancer Institute. The last five years, substantial advancements have been made, representing nearly 45% of the examined literature. Publication rates have dramatically increased, from 20 articles in 2002 to 112 in 2022, reflecting intensified research efforts. This study underscores a growing trend toward interdisciplinary and international collaboration, with the Journal of Clinical Oncology standing out as a key publication outlet. This shift toward more comprehensive and collaborative research methods marks a significant step in addressing GN risks.

CONCLUSION

This study underscores advancements in GN risk assessment through genetic analyses and machine learning and reveals significant geographical disparities in research emphasis. This calls for enhanced global collaboration and integration of artificial intelligence to improve cancer prevention and treatment accuracy, ultimately enhancing worldwide patient care.

Genome wide-scale CRISPR-Cas9 knockout screens identify a fitness score for optimized risk stratification in colorectal cancer

BACKGROUND

The molecular complexity of colorectal cancer poses a significant challenge to the clinical implementation of accurate risk stratification. There is still an urgent need to find better biomarkers to enhance established risk stratification and guide risk-adapted treatment decisions.

METHODS

we systematically analyzed cancer dependencies of 17 colorectal cancer cells and 513 other cancer cells based on genome-scale CRISPR-Cas9 knockout screens to identify colorectal cancer-specific fitness genes. A regression model was built using colorectal cancer-specific fitness genes, which was validated in other three independent cohorts. 30 published gene expression signatures were also retrieved.

FINDINGS

We defined a total of 1828 genes that were colorectal cancer-specific fitness genes and identified a 22 colorectal cancer-specific fitness gene (CFG22) score. A high CFG22 score represented unfavorable recurrence and mortality rates, which was validated in three independent cohorts. Combined with age, and TNM stage, the CFG22 model can provide guidance for the prognosis of colorectal cancer patients. Analysis of genomic abnormalities and infiltrating immune cells in the CFG22 risk stratification revealed molecular pathological difference between the subgroups. Besides, drug analysis found that CFG22 high patients were more sensitive to clofibrate.

INTERPRETATION

The CFG22 model provided a powerful auxiliary prediction tool for identifying colorectal cancer patients with high recurrence risk and poor prognosis, optimizing precise treatment and improving clinical efficacy.

Diagnostic and prognostic significance of circulating secreted frizzled-related protein 5 in colorectal cancer

BACKGROUND

Secreted Frizzled-Related Protein 5 (SFRP5) modulates Wnt signalling pathways, affecting diverse biological processes. We assessed the diagnostic and prognostic value of circulating SFRP5 (cSFRP5) in colorectal cancer (CRC) METHODS: Plasma cSFRP5 concentrations were measured using enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay (ELISA) in healthy donors (n = 133), individuals diagnosed with CRC (n = 449), colorectal polyps (n = 85), and medical conditions in other organs including cancer, inflammation, and benign states (n = 64).

RESULTS

Patients with CRC, polyps, and other conditions showed higher cSFRP5 levels than healthy individuals (p < 0.0001). Receiver operating characteristic curves comparing healthy donors with medical conditions, polyps and CRC were 0.814 (p < 0.0001), 0.763 (p < 0.0001) and 0.762 (p < 0.0001), respectively. In CRC, cSFRP5 correlated with patient age (p < 0.0001), tumour stage (p < 0.0001), and histological differentiation (p = 0.0273). Levels, adjusted for patient age, sex, plasma age and collection institution, peaked in stage II versus I (p < 0.0001), III (p = 0.0002) and IV (p < 0.0001), were lowest in stage I versus III (p = 0.0002) and IV (p = 0.0413), with no difference between stage III and IV. Elevated cSFRP5 levels predicted longer overall survival in stages II-III CRC (univariate: HR 1.82, 95% CI: 1.02-3.26, p = 0.024; multivariable: HR 2.34, 95% CI: 1.12-4.88, p = 0.015).

CONCLUSION

This study confirms cSFRP5 levels are elevated in CRC compared to healthy control and reveals a correlation between elevated cSFRP5 and overall survival in stages II-III disease.

Quantitative Proteomic Analysis Reveals Functional Alterations of the Peripheral Immune System in Colorectal Cancer

Colorectal cancer (CRC) is characterized by high morbidity, high mortality, and limited response to immunotherapies. The peripheral immune system is an important component of tumor immunity, and enhancements of peripheral immunity help to suppress tumor progression. However, the functional alterations of the peripheral immune system in CRC are unclear. Here, we used mass spectrometry-based quantitative proteomics to establish a protein expression atlas for the peripheral immune system in CRC, including plasma and five types of immune cells (CD4+ T cells, CD8+ T cells, monocytes, natural killer cells, and B cells). Synthesizing the results of the multidimensional analysis, we observed an enhanced inflammatory phenotype in CRC, including elevated expression of plasma inflammatory proteins, activation of the inflammatory pathway in monocytes, and increased inflammation-related ligand-receptor interactions. Notably, we observed tumor effects on peripheral T cells, including altered cell subpopulation ratios and suppression of cell function. Suppression of CD4+ T cell function is mainly mediated by high expression levels of protein tyrosine phosphatases. Among them, the expression of protein tyrosine phosphatase receptor type J (PTPRJ) gradually increased with CRC progression; knockdown of PTPRJ in vitro could promote T cell activation, thereby enhancing peripheral immunity. We also found that the combination of leucine-rich α-2 glycoprotein 1 (LRG1) and apolipoprotein A4 (APOA4) had the best predictive ability for colorectal cancer and has the potential to be a biomarker. Overall, this study provides a comprehensive understanding of the peripheral immune system in CRC. It also offers insights regarding the potential clinical utilities of these peripheral immune characteristics as diagnostic indicators and therapeutic targets.

Gender features of localization of epithelial neoplasms of the colon according to the results of retroanalysis of colonoscopies of Novokuznetsk residents

Purpose of the study. The article It is devoted to the analysis of the influence of the patient’s sex on the frequency and localization of epithelial neoplasms of the colon. Materials and methods. In a continuous cross-sectional retrospective study we studied the results of 3086 colonoscopies for 2019-2020. Results. A cohort of. 980 patients with neoplasia. Analysis of localization and number of detected neoplasms depending on age and gender revealed a significant increase in the number of tumors after 40 years of life. The work confirmed the connection male sex with the frequency of colorectal neoplasms. However, there are significant differences in the frequency and neoplasia localization depending on the sex and age of patients with synchronous colorectal tumors. colorectal tumors. The association of chronic nonspecific inflammation is shown. with colorectal neoplasms. Conclusion. Age limits for screening colon tumors and positions requiring further study have been proposed.

External validation of the colorectal cancer risk score LiFeCRC using food frequency questions in the HUNT study

PURPOSE

To mitigate the increasing colorectal cancer (CRC) incidence globally and prevent CRC at the individual level, individual lifestyle information needs to be easily translated into CRC risk assessment. Several CRC risk prediction models exist and their clinical usefulness depends on their ease of use. Our objectives were to assess and externally validate the LiFeCRC score in our independent, unselected population and to investigate the use of simpler food frequency measurements in the score.

METHODS

Incidental colon and rectal cancer cases were compared to the general population among 78,580 individuals participating in a longitudinal health study in Norway (HUNT). Vegetable, dairy product, processed meat and sugar/confectionary consumption was scored based on food frequency. The LiFeCRC risk score was calculated for each individual.

RESULTS

Over a median of 10 years following participation in HUNT, colon cancer was diagnosed in 1355 patients and rectal cancer was diagnosed in 473 patients. The LiFeCRC score using food frequencies demonstrated good discrimination in CRC overall (AUC 0.77) and in sex-specific models (AUC men 0.76 and women 0.77) in this population also including individuals ≥ 70 years and patients with diabetes. It performed somewhat better in colon (AUC 0.80) than in rectal cancer (AUC 0.72) and worked best for female colon cancer (AUC 0.81).

CONCLUSION

Readily available clinical variables and food frequency questions in a modified LiFeCRC score can identify patients at risk of CRC and may improve primary prevention by motivating to lifestyle change or participation in the CRC screening programme.

Birth Cohort Colorectal Cancer (CRC): Implications for Research and Practice

Colorectal cancer (CRC) epidemiology is changing due to a birth cohort effect, first recognized by increasing incidence of early onset CRC (EOCRC, age <50 years). In this paper, we define "birth cohort CRC" as the observed phenomenon, among individuals born 1960 and later, of increasing CRC risk across successive birth cohorts, rising EOCRC incidence, increasing incidence among individuals aged 50 to 54 years, and flattening of prior decreasing incidence among individuals aged 55 to 74 years. We demonstrate birth cohort CRC is associated with unique features, including increasing rectal cancer (greater than colon) and distant (greater than local) stage CRC diagnosis, and increasing EOCRC across all racial/ethnic groups. We review potential risk factors, etiologies, and mechanisms for birth cohort CRC, using EOCRC as a starting point and describing importance of viewing these through the lens of birth cohort. We also outline implications of birth cohort CRC for epidemiologic and translational research, as well as current clinical practice. We postulate that recognition of birth cohort CRC as an entity-including and extending beyond rising EOCRC-can advance understanding of risk factors, etiologies, and mechanisms, and address the public health consequences of changing CRC epidemiology.

Younger patients with colorectal cancer may have better long-term survival after surgery: a retrospective study based on propensity score matching analysis

BACKGROUND

The relationship between postoperative long-term prognosis and age in colorectal cancer patients remains controversial. The purpose of this study based on a Chinese CRC cohort is to determine the disparity in long-term survival outcomes between younger and older colorectal cancer (CRC) patients after surgery using a propensity score matching (PSM).

METHODS

Data for this study was derived from the CRC cohort of the Database from Colorectal Cancer (DACCA) at West China Hospital of Sichuan University from January 2007 to September 2022. The long‑term prognoses were compared between younger and older groups.

RESULTS

A total of 2374 CRC patients were evaluated in this study, including 1039 older patients and 1335 younger ones. After 1:1 ratio PSM, each group contained 784 CRC patients. There was no significant difference in baseline information after PSM (p < 0.05). Multivariate analysis showed that younger age was an independent predictor of better overall survival (OS) (p < 0.001, HR = 1.750, 95% CI = 1.407-2.177) and disease-specific survival (DSS) (p < 0.001, HR = 1.718, 95% CI = 1.369-2.157). In terms of different tumor pathological stages after PSM, in comparison to older group, younger group had better OS in stage II (p < 0.001), stage III (p = 0.0085), and stage IV (p = 0.0014) and better DSS in stage II (p = 0.0035), stage III (p = 0.0081), and stage IV (p < 0.001).

CONCLUSION

Younger CRC patients have better prognosis than older CRC patients after surgery, especially, and have better OS and DSS in stages II, III, and IV CRC. Younger CRC patient may gain greater benefit from CRC resection and combined therapy. As for the cut-off age, it may be determined by a specific model suitable for local patients.

Diet-Wide Association, Genetic Susceptibility and Colorectal Cancer Risk: A Prospective Cohort Study

BACKGROUND

Both genetic and dietary factors play significant roles in the etiology of colorectal cancer (CRC). To evaluate the relationship between certain food exposures and the risk of CRC, we carried out a large-scale association analysis in the UK Biobank.

METHODS

The associations of 139 foods and nutrients' intake with CRC risk were assessed among 118,210 participants. A polygenic risk score (PRS) of CRC was created to explore any interaction between dietary factors and genetic susceptibility in CRC risk. The hazard ratio (HR) and 95% confidence interval (CI) of CRC risk linked to dietary variables and PRS were estimated using Cox regression models. Multiple comparisons were corrected using the error discovery rate (FDR).

RESULTS

During a mean follow-up of 12.8 years, 1466 incidents of CRC were identified. In the UK Biobank, alcohol and white bread were associated with increased CRC risk, and their HRs were 1.08 (95% CI: 1.03-1.14; FDRP = 0.028) and 1.10 (95% CI: 1.05-1.16; FDRP = 0.003), whereas dietary fiber, calcium, magnesium, phosphorus, and manganese intakes were inversely associated. We found no evidence of any PRS-nutrient interaction relationship in relation to CRC risk.

CONCLUSIONS

Our results show that higher intakes of alcohol and white bread are associated with increased CRC risk, whilst dietary fiber, calcium, magnesium, phosphorus, and manganese are inversely associated.

Low Incidence of Colorectal Advanced Neoplasia During Surveillance in Individuals with a Family History of Colorectal Cancer

BACKGROUND

Family history of colorectal cancer (CRC) is used to stratify individuals into risk categories which determine timing of initial screening and ongoing CRC surveillance. Evidence for long-term CRC risk following a normal index colonoscopy in family history populations is limited.

AIMS

To assess the incidence of advanced neoplasia and associated risk factors in a population undergoing surveillance colonoscopies due to family history of CRC.

METHODS

Surveillance colonoscopy findings were examined in 425 individuals with a family history of CRC, a normal index colonoscopy and a minimum of 10 years of follow-up colonoscopies. Advanced neoplasia risk was determined for three CRC family history categories (near-average, medium and high-risk), accounting for demographics and time after the first colonoscopy.

RESULTS

The median follow-up was 13.5 years (IQR 11.5-16.0), with an incidence of advanced neoplasia of 14.35% (61/425). The number of affected relatives and age of CRC diagnosis in the youngest relative did not predict the risk of advanced neoplasia (p > 0.05), with no significant differences in advanced neoplasia incidence between the family history categories (p = 0.16). Patients ≥ 60 years showed a fourfold (HR 4.14, 95% CI 1.33-12.89) higher advanced neoplasia risk during surveillance than those < 40 years at index colonoscopy. With each subsequent negative colonoscopy, the risk of advanced neoplasia at ongoing surveillance was reduced.

CONCLUSIONS

The incidence of advanced neoplasia was low (14.35%), regardless of the family history risk category, with older age being the main risk for advanced neoplasia. Delaying onset of colonoscopy or lengthening surveillance intervals could be a more efficient use of resources in this population.

Development and validation of a risk prediction model for post-polypectomy colorectal cancer in the USA: a prospective cohort study

Background

Effective risk stratification tools for post-polypectomy colorectal cancer (PPCRC) are lacking. We aimed to develop an effective risk stratification tool for the prediction of PPCRC in three large population-based cohorts and to validate the tool in a clinical cohort.

Methods

Leveraging the integrated endoscopic, histopathologic and epidemiologic data in three U.S population-based cohorts of health professional (the Nurses' Health Study (NHS) I, II and Health Professionals Follow-up Study (HPFS)), we developed a risk score to predict incident PPCRC among 26,741 patients with a polypectomy between 1986 and 2017. We validated the PPCRC score in the Mass General Brigham (MGB) Colonoscopy Cohort (Boston, Massachusetts, U.S) of 76,603 patients with a polypectomy between 2007 and 2018. In all four cohorts, we collected detailed data on patients' demographics, endoscopic history, polyp features, and lifestyle factors at polypectomy. The outcome, incidence of PPCRC, was assessed by biennial follow-up questionnaires in the NHS/HPFS cohorts, and through linkage to the Massachusetts Cancer Registry in the MGB cohort. In all four cohorts, individuals who were diagnosed with CRC or died before baseline or within six months after baseline were excluded. We used Cox regression to calculate the hazard ratio (HR), 95% confidence interval (CI) and assessed the discrimination using C-statistics and reclassification using the Net Reclassification Improvement (NRI).

Findings

During a median follow-up of 12.8 years (interquartile range (IQR): 9.3, 16.7) and 5.1 years (IQR: 2.7, 7.8) in the NHS/HPFS and MGB cohorts, we documented 220 and 241 PPCRC cases, respectively. We identified a PPCRC risk score based on 11 predictors. In the validation cohort, the PPCRC risk score showed a strong association with PPCRC risk (HR for high vs. low, 3.55, 95% CI, 2.59-4.88) and demonstrated a C-statistic (95% CI) of 0.75 (0.70-0.79), and was discriminatory even within the low- and high-risk polyp groups (C-statistic, 0.73 and 0.71, respectively) defined by the current colonoscopy surveillance recommendations, leading to a NRI of 45% (95% CI, 36-54%) for patients with PPCRC.

Interpretation

We developed and validated a risk stratification model for PPCRC that may be useful to guide tailored colonoscopy surveillance. Further work is needed to determine the optimal surveillance interval and test the added value of other predictors of PPCRC beyond those included in the current study, along with implementation studies.

Funding

US National Institutes of Health, the American Cancer Society, the South-Eastern Norway Regional Health Authority, the Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft.