Long-Term Treatment Outcomes of Patients Infected With Hepatitis C Virus: A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis of the Survival Benefit of Achieving a Sustained Virological Response

Viral Hepatitis

Viral hepatitis poses a significant public health challenge. Five types (A, B, C, D, E) have distinct transmission, prognosis, and management. Hepatitis A (HAV), spread through fecal-oral contamination, is typically self-limiting with supportive therapy. Hepatitis B (HBV) is sexually transmitted but may also be spread perinatally. HBV can progress into cirrhosis or hepatocellular carcinoma. Hepatitis C (HCV), a bloodborne virus, can also cause chronic infection and severe liver disease. Vaccination can prevent HAV and HBV; HCV is curable with antiviral therapy but lacks a vaccine. Pregnant patients and those with HIV require special management considerations. Here, we review the pathogenesis, diagnosis, treatment, and prevention of viral hepatitis.

Prevalence of and Risk Factors for Liver Enzyme Elevation After Hepatitis C Virologic Cure

A subset of patients with chronic hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection demonstrate liver enzyme elevation (LEE) after achieving sustained virologic response (SVR). Risk factors for LEE are not well characterised. We conducted a single-centre retrospective cohort study of adults with HCV infection in the Duke University Health System who received direct-acting antiviral therapy and achieved SVR. We performed multivariable logistic regression to assess the relationship between potential risk factors and LEE. We used generalised linear mixed-effects models to explore longitudinal relationships between HIV and LEE. Among 1356 patients, 556 (41.0%) had LEE after achieving SVR. Higher pretreatment alanine aminotransferase (ALT) (adjusted odds ratio [aOR] 1.08 per 10 IU/L increase; 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.05-1.11) and pretreatment cirrhosis (aOR 2.26, 95% CI 1.60-3.21) were associated with higher odds of LEE; male sex was associated with lower odds of LEE (aOR 0.28, 95% CI 0.21-0.38). There was insufficient evidence of an association between HIV and LEE (aOR 0.83, 95% CI 0.47-1.44). Pretreatment ALT, cirrhosis and female sex predicted LEE in this cohort of patients with HCV infection who achieved SVR. These findings can help to identify patients at greatest risk of post-SVR liver injury.

Long-Term Outcomes of Patients with Liver Cirrhosis After Eradication of Chronic Hepatitis C with Direct-Acting Antiviral Drugs (DAAs)

PURPOSE

This research was designed to determine the long-term outcomes in patients with liver cirrhosis who achieved sustained virological response (SVR) after direct-acting anti-viral drugs (DAAs) based regimens.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

This study involved 193 patients with HCV-related cirrhosis who had previously completed DAAs regimens and accomplished SVR. Clinical, laboratory, and radiological features at the first and 3rd-year follow-up after the end of treatment were analyzed. Overall survival (OS) and incidence of liver decompensation or hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) were determined at the 5-year follow-up.

RESULTS

About 68.4% of our patients with HCV-related cirrhosis were males and their mean age was 54.8 ± 7.7 years. Follow-up at the first and the 3rd-year showed significant improvements in albumin (P = 0.001), liver enzymes (P = 0.001), alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) (P < 0.001), platelet count (P = 0.001), the model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) score (P = 0.001 and 0.01), FIB4 and Aspartate Aminotransferase-to-Platelet Ratio Index (APRI) scores (p < 0.001). The liver stiffness (LS) also significantly improved (p = 0.001). At the 5th year, the mean OS was 58.3 months, with 14.5% and 17.6% of patients developing de-novo HCC and decompensation, respectively. The mean OS at the 5th-year follow-up was shorter in patients who developed HCC and those with liver decompensation (p = 0.001). Alfa-fetoprotein and LS are predictive factors for HCC development.

CONCLUSION

Despite achieving SVR, continuous surveillance for HCC and new-onset decompensation is mandatory in patients with liver cirrhosis.

Rationale for Hepatitis C Virus Treatment During Hematopoietic Stem Cell Transplant in the Era of Novel Direct-Acting Antivirals

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Untreated hepatitis C (HCV) infection in patients undergoing hematopoietic stem cell transplantation (HSCT) can lead to worse outcomes. Traditionally, HSCT patients infected with HCV would wait until after immune reconstitution to receive HCV therapy, as the oncologic urgency of transplant would not allow time for a full preceding treatment course of HCV therapy. However, in the era of newer direct-acting antivirals (DAAs), we propose that concomitant treatment of HCV while undergoing HSCT is safe and feasible, while keeping in mind potential drug-drug interactions.

METHODS

A literature review was performed to summarize the available data on the impact of HCV on patients undergoing HSCT. Drug-drug interactions for DAA's and pertinent HSCT drugs were evaluated using Lexicomp online® and http://hep-druginteractions.org .

RESULTS

During HSCT, HCV appears to be a conditional risk factor for sinusoidal obstruction syndrome and a potential risk factor for graft versus host disease, both of which are associated with increased mortality. HCV reactivation and exacerbation may impact the use of chemotherapeutics, but available studies haven't shown impact specifically on HSCT. Limited case reports exist but demonstrate safe and effective use DAAs during HSCT. These, along with a drug-drug interaction review demonstrate agents such as sofosbuvir/velpatasvir and glecaprevir/pibrentasvir are promising DAAs for use in HSCT.

CONCLUSION

HCV infection may worsen outcomes for patients undergoing HSCT. Concomitant treatment of HCV during HSCT using newer DAAs appears feasible and may improve patient morbidity and mortality, however large-scale studies are needed to further support this practice.

High incidence of hepatocarcinoma in patients with advanced fibrosis treated with direct-acting antiviral agents for hepatitis C: A real-world retrospective study

BACKGROUND

Patients treated with direct-acting antivirals for hepatitis C exhibit high cure rates and improved survival. However, there is limited knowledge on their long-term clinical evolution.

AIMS

In this study, we aimed to analyse the risk of hepatocarcinoma and hepatic decompensation in patients treated with direct-acting antivirals.

METHODS

We conducted a retrospective single-centre study of Portuguese patients with advanced fibrosis treated with direct-acting antiviral agents between 2015 and 2022 at a tertiary hospital.

RESULTS

Out of 460 patients, 50 (10.9 %) developed hepatocarcinoma and 36 (7.8 %) experienced hepatic decompensation. The risk for hepatocarcinoma was higher in patients aged over 55 (HR 4.87, 95 % CI 2.34-10.13, p < 0.001), with signs of portal hypertension (HR 3.83, 95 % CI 2.05-7.13, p < 0.001) and arterial hypertension (HR 1.98, 95 % CI 1.09-3.58, p = 0.024). Alcohol consumption (HR 3.30, 95 % CI 1.22-8.94, p = 0.019), signs of portal hypertension (HR 4.56, 95 % CI 2.19-9.48, p < 0.001) and hepatocarcinoma (HR 3.47, 95 % CI 1.69-7.10, p < 0.001) increased the risk of hepatic decompensation.

CONCLUSION

Our study found a high incidence of hepatocarcinoma and hepatic decompensation, along with high mortality, in patients with advanced fibrosis treated with direct-acting antivirals. We identified risk factors such as arterial hypertension, alcohol consumption, and signs of portal hypertension, highlighting their role in clinical management and patient monitoring.

A Machine Learning-Based Mortality Prediction Model for Patients with Chronic Hepatitis C Infection: An Exploratory Study

Background: Chronic hepatitis C (HCV) infection presents global health challenges with significant morbidity and mortality implications. Successfully treating patients with cirrhosis may lead to mortality rates comparable to the general population. This study aims to utilize machine learning techniques to create predictive mortality models for individuals with chronic HCV infections. Methods: Data from chronic HCV patients at Sultan Qaboos University Hospital (2009-2017) underwent analysis. Data pre-processing handled missing values and scaled features using Python via Anaconda. Model training involved SelectKBest feature selection and algorithms such as logistic regression, random forest, gradient boosting, and SVM. The evaluation included diverse metrics, with 5-fold cross-validation, ensuring consistent performance assessment. Results: A cohort of 702 patients meeting the eligibility criteria, predominantly male, with a median age of 47, was analyzed across a follow-up period of 97.4 months. Survival probabilities at 12, 36, and 120 months were 90.0%, 84.0%, and 73.0%, respectively. Ten key features selected for mortality prediction included hemoglobin levels, alanine aminotransferase, comorbidities, HCV genotype, coinfections, follow-up duration, and treatment response. Machine learning models, including the logistic regression, random forest, gradient boosting, and support vector machine models, showed high discriminatory power, with logistic regression consistently achieving an AUC value of 0.929. Factors associated with increased mortality risk included cardiovascular diseases, coinfections, and failure to achieve a SVR, while lower ALT levels and specific HCV genotypes were linked to better survival outcomes. Conclusions: This study presents the use of machine learning models to predict mortality in chronic HCV patients, providing crucial insights for risk assessment and tailored treatments. Further validation and refinement of these models are essential to enhance their clinical utility, optimize patient care, and improve outcomes for individuals with chronic HCV infections.

Comparing the Risk of Poor Outcomes Among Hepatitis C-Infected, Cured, and Never-Infected Controls

Background and Aims

Studies show decreased rates of poor outcomes after hepatitis C virus (HCV) cure. However, there are no data comparing risk of poor outcomes to that of HCV never infected; results that could have implications for those who may not need ongoing specialty follow-up after cure.

Methods

Retrospective cohort study conducted among Kaiser Permanente Northern California adults ages 18 and up between 2002 and 2019. Three cohorts were identified: 1) chronic HCV, 2) HCV cured, and 3) every chronic HCV and HCV-cured individual was matched by age, sex and race-ethnicity to 3 HCV negative controls. Outcomes of interest were cirrhosis, decompensated cirrhosis, hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) and all-cause mortality. A low-risk group of HCV cured individuals without significant liver disease and/or concomitant liver disease cofactor(s) were identified.

Results

We identified 21,184 chronic HCV, 11,950 HCV cure, and 99,402 control individuals. Five-year cumulative incidence of cirrhosis, decompensated cirrhosis, HCC and all-cause mortality was 10% vs 3.6% vs 0.8%, 12% vs 2.6% vs 0.6%, 3.9% vs 1.6% vs 0.07%, and 14% vs 2.8% vs 2.2% for chronic HCV, HCV cure, and control individuals, respectively (log-rank P < .01 for all). Compared to controls, HCV cured low-risk individuals had numerically similar 5-year cumulative incidence of cirrhosis, decompensated cirrhosis, HCC and all-cause mortality (1.2% vs 0.8%, P < .01; 0.9% vs 0.6%, P < .01; 0.5% vs 0.1%, P < .01; 1.7% vs 2.2%, P < .01).

Conclusion

HCV cure provides significant health benefits but does not universally return risk of poor outcomes to that of the general population. A simple stratification at the time of HCV cure could identify low-risk individuals who can potentially be discharged from specialty clinics/HCC surveillance.

Impact of ITPA gene polymorphism for predicting anemia and treatment outcome in HCV infected patients taking Sofosbuvir Ribavirin therapy

BACKGROUND

Globally, 80 million people are suffering from chronic Hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection. Sofosbuvir ribavirin-based anti-HCV therapy is associated with anemia and other adverse effects. Polymorphisms of Inosine triphosphatase (ITPA) gene may cause functional impairment in the Inosine triphosphate pyrophosphatase enzyme, resulting in enhanced sustained viral response (SVR) and protection from ribavirin-associated anemia in patients on therapy. The study objective was to investigate the effect of Inosine triphosphatase gene polymorphism on SVR achievement, hemoglobin decline and ribavirin dose reduction in patients on therapy.

METHODS

This prospective cohort study was of 170 hepatitis C infected patients received 6-month sofosbuvir ribavirin therapy. Patient viral load, reduction in ribavirin amount, liver function test, and complete blood count were noted monthly. Inosine triphosphatase variants rs1127354 and rs7270101 were assessed through the restriction fragment length polymorphism and confirmed using Sanger sequencing. The impact of polymorphism on cumulative reduction of ribavirin, and anti-HCV therapy outcome were studied.

RESULTS

A total of 74.3% of patients had ITPA rs1127354 CC genotype, 25.7% were CA and AA 0%. The frequency of ITPA genotype rs7270101-AA was 95%, AC 5%, and CC was 0%. ITPA rs1127354-CA had a notably positive impact on SVR achievement with a zero-relapse rate. ITPA rs1127354-CA genotype was significantly (P ˂0.05) protective against ≥ 2 g/dl Hb reduction from baseline to 1st, 2nd and 6th months of therapy. During treatment, Hb reduction ≥ 10 g/dl was frequently observed in rs1127354-CC genotype and rs7270101-AA genotype patients. Ribavirin dose reduction was significantly (P ˂0.05) high in rs1127354-CC genotype as compared to genotype CA whereas no significant difference was observed in ribavirin dose reduction in rs7270101 AA and non-AA genotype. Patient baseline characteristics such as age, body mass index, rs1127354-CC genotype, and baseline Hb were significantly associated with significant Hb reduction.

CONCLUSION

Pretreatment evaluation of ITPA polymorphism can be a diagnostic tool to find out patients at risk of anemia and improve treatment adherence. ITPA genotype rs1127354-CA contributes to improved compliance with ribavirin dose and protects against hemoglobin decline in HCV patients while taking ribavirin-based therapy. However, ITPA rs1127354, rs7270101 polymorphism have no significant impact on SVR achievement.

Evolution of spontaneous portosystemic shunts over time and following aetiological intervention in patients with cirrhosis

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Spontaneous portosystemic shunts (SPSS) develop frequently in cirrhosis. Changes over time and the effect of aetiological interventions on SPSS are unknown, so we aimed to explore the effect of these variables on SPSS evolution.

METHODS

Patients with cirrhosis from the Baveno VI-SPSS cohort were selected provided a follow-up abdominal CT or MRI scan was available. Clinical and laboratory data were collected at baseline and follow-up. Imaging tests were reviewed to evaluate changes in the presence and size of SPSS (large (L)-SPSS was ≥8 mm) over time. Regarding alcohol- or HCV-related cirrhosis, two populations were defined: cured patients (abstinent from alcohol or successful HCV therapy), and non-cured patients.

RESULTS

A total of 617 patients were included. At baseline SPSS distribution was 22% L-SPSS, 30% small (S)-SPSS, and 48% without (W)-SPSS. During follow-up (median follow-up of 63 months), SPSS distribution worsened: L-SPSS 26%, S-SPSS 32%, and W-SPSS 42% (p <0.001). Patients with worse liver function during follow-up showed a simultaneous aggravation in SPSS distribution. Non-cured patients (n = 191) experienced a significant worsening in liver function, more episodes of liver decompensation and lower transplant-free survival compared to cured patients (n = 191). However, no differences were observed regarding SPSS distribution at inclusion and at follow-up, with both groups showing a trend to worsening. Total shunt diameter increased more in non-cured (52%) than in cured patients (28%). However, total shunt area (TSA) significantly increased only in non-cured patients (74 to 122 mm2, p <0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

The presence of SPSS in cirrhosis increases over time and parallels liver function deterioration. Aetiological intervention in these patients reduces liver-related complications, but SPSS persist although progression is decreased.

IMPACT AND IMPLICATIONS

There is no information regarding the evolution of spontaneous portosystemic shunts (SPSS) during the course of cirrhosis, and especially after disease regression with aetiological interventions, such as HCV treatment with direct-acting antivirals or alcohol abstinence. These results are relevant for clinicians dealing with patients with cirrhosis and portal hypertension because they have important implications for the management of cirrhosis with SPSS after disease regression. From a practical point of view, physicians should be aware that in advanced cirrhosis with portal hypertension, after aetiological intervention, SPSS mostly persist despite liver function improvement, and complications related to SPSS may still develop.

Real-world treatment outcome of direct-acting antivirals and patient survival rates in chronic hepatitis C virus infection in Eritrea

Reliable real-world data on direct acting anti-retroviral (DAA) uptake and treatment outcomes are lacking for patients with hepatitis C virus (HCV) in sub-Saharan Africa. This study provides data on HCV DAA-based treatment outcomes, mortality, loss-to-follow up, and associated factors among patients in Eritrea. A multicenter retrospective observational cohort study was conducted in two tertiary hospitals in Asmara, Eritrea. A structured checklist was used to collect data from patient's cards. Descriptive and inferential statistics used included means (± Standard deviation (SD), medians (Interquartile range (IQR), chi-squire (χ2), Kaplan-Meier estimates, and multivariate Cox proportional hazard models. A total of 238 patients with median age of 59 years (IQR 50-69 years) were enrolled in the study. Out of the 227 patients initiated on treatment, 125 patients had viral load measurements at 12 weeks after end of treatment (EOT) whereas 102 patients had no viral load measurements at 12 weeks EOT. Among the patients with HCV RNA data post-EOT 12, 116 (92.8%) had sustained viral response (SVR). The prevalence of death and loss-to-follow up (LTFU) were (7.5%, 95% CI 1.7-4.1) and 67 (28.1%, 95% CI 22.3-33.9) translating into an incidence of 1.1 (95% CI 0.8-1.5) per 10,000 person days. Independent predictors of LTFU included the enrollment year (2020: aHR = 2.2, 95% CI 1-4.7; p value = 0.04); Hospital (Hospital B: aHR = 2.2, 95% CI 1-4.7; p value = 0.03) and the FIB-4 score (FIB-Score < 1.45: aHR = 3.7, 95% CI 1.2-11.5; p value = 0.02). The SVR rates achieved in this cohort were high. However, high LTFU and high mortality driven largely by late presentation and suboptimal population screening/case finding, were uncovered. These challenges can be addressed by test-and-treat programs that simultaneously prioritize programmatic screening, decentralization of care, and better patient tracking in the HCV care cascade.

Why the United States needs a multifaceted definition of health

How health is conceived and operationalized is an unrecognized contributor to poor health outcomes in the United States. The United States lacks an explicit definition of health, yielding a de facto, implicit biomedical definition in research and in health care that contrasts with how many people define health for themselves. This biomedical conceptualization has led to the development of lifesaving drugs, vaccines, and procedures, but has also resulted in critical underinvestment in people across their lives, beginning in early childhood, in behavioral, environmental, and social determinants. This underinvestment across the entire lifespan in people's health traps the United States in a vicious cycle of chronic disease and unsustainable health care costs. A movement towards holistic definitions of health represents an escape by defining health in more meaningful terms that reflect people's early development, agency, functioning, adaptive capacity, well-being, and lifelong development-that is, the capability for every person to thrive. Adopting and implementing a multifaceted, holistic health definition by federal research and health agencies could transform and humanize health in the United States and advance health equity.

Unmet Needs in the Post-Direct-Acting Antiviral Era: Hepatocarcinogenesis After Hepatitis C Virus Eradication

Infection with chronic hepatitis C virus (HCV) is an important risk factor for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Direct-acting antiviral therapy has transformed care for patients with HCV and reduces the risk of HCC. Despite HCV cure, a residual HCC risk remains in patients with advanced fibrosis and cirrhosis, with multiple mechanisms underlying subsequent hepatocarcinogenesis. Transcriptomic and proteomic signatures demonstrate the capacity for HCC risk stratification, and chemoprevention strategies are emerging. For now, pending more precise stratification, HCC surveillance of patients with cured HCV and advanced fibrosis or cirrhosis should continue.

Current Therapy of Chronic Viral Hepatitis B, C and D

The majority of chronic viral hepatitis cases are induced via infection with the hepatitis B virus (HBV), hepatitis C virus (HCV), or hepatitis D virus (HDV). These patients are at increased risk for progressive liver disease leading to cirrhosis as well as hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). HBV infection is well controlled by the currently available nucleosides as well as nucleotides, and the development of cirrhosis can be prevented. Additionally, it has been shown that HBV-induced liver fibrosis can regress during successful antiviral treatment; however, a "functional cure", i.e., loss of HBsAg, is a rare event when these drugs are used. Therefore, novel therapeutic strategies are aiming at the selective suppression of HBsAg levels in combination with immunostimulation. The development of directly acting antivirals (DAAs) has revolutionized HCV therapy, as almost all patients can be cured via this treatment. Additionally, DAA therapy has few, if any, side effects, and is generally well tolerated by patients. HDV remains the most challenging type of chronic viral hepatitis. Although novel therapeutic options have recently been approved, response rates are still less favorable compared to HBV and HCV. This review discusses current and future options for the treatment of chronic HBV, HCV, and HDV infection.

Liver diseases: Perspective from the Philippines

Liver diseases are a major cause of morbidity and mortality globally. In the Philippines, a lower middle-income country in Southeast Asia, liver diseases accounted for 27.3 cases per 1000 deaths. In this review, we discussed the prevalence, risk factors, and management of hepatitis B, hepatitis C and other viral hepatitis, non-alcoholic fatty liver disease, alcohol-associated liver disease, liver cirrhosis, and hepatocellular carcinoma. The true burden of liver disease in the Philippines is likely underestimated due to limited epidemiological studies. Thus, surveillance of liver disease should be strengthened. Clinical practice guidelines tailored to the local needs of the country have been developed for important liver diseases. Multisectoral cooperation among different stakeholders is needed to manage the burden of liver disease in the Philippines.

Interventions for dialysis patients with hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection

BACKGROUND

Hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection is common in chronic kidney disease (CKD) patients on dialysis, causes chronic liver disease, may increase the risk of death, and impacts kidney transplant outcomes. Direct-acting antivirals have replaced interferons because of better efficacy and tolerability. This is an update of a review first published in 2015.

OBJECTIVES

We aimed to look at the benefits and harms of interventions for HCV in CKD patients on dialysis: death, disease relapse, treatment response/discontinuation, time to recovery, quality of life (QoL), cost-effectiveness, and adverse events. We aimed to study comparisons of available interventions, compared with placebo, control, with each other and with newer treatments.

SEARCH METHODS

We searched the Cochrane Kidney and Transplant's Specialised Register to 23 February 2023 through contact with the Information Specialist using search terms relevant to this review. Studies in the Register are identified through searches of CENTRAL, MEDLINE and EMBASE, handsearching conference proceedings, and searching the International Clinical Trials Register Portal (ICTRP) and ClinicalTrials.gov.

SELECTION CRITERIA

Randomised controlled trials (RCTs), quasi-RCTs, first period of randomised cross-over studies on interventions for HCV in CKD on dialysis were considered.

DATA COLLECTION AND ANALYSIS

Summary estimates of effect were obtained using a random-effects model, and results were expressed as risk ratios (RR) and their 95% confidence intervals (CI). Confidence in the evidence was assessed using the Grading of Recommendations Assessment, Development and Evaluation (GRADE) approach.

MAIN RESULTS

Three studies were included in this update, therefore 13 studies (997 randomised participants) met our inclusion criteria. Overall, the risk of bias was judged low in seven studies, unclear in four, low to unclear in one, and high in one study. Interventions included standard interferon, pegylated (PEG) interferon, standard or PEG interferon plus ribavirin; direct-acting antivirals, and direct-acting antivirals plus PEG interferon plus ribavirin. Compared to placebo or control, standard interferon may make little or no difference to death (5 studies, 134 participants: RR 0.89, 95% CI 0.06 to 13.23) or relapse (low certainty evidence), probably improves end-of-treatment response (ETR) (5 studies, 132 participants: RR 8.62, 95% CI 3.03 to 24.55; I² = 0%) (moderate certainty evidence), and probably makes little or no difference to sustained virological response (SVR) (4 studies, 98 participants: RR 3.25, 95% CI 0.81 to 13.07; I² = 53%), treatment discontinuation (4 studies, 116 participants: RR 4.59, 95% CI 0.49 to 42.69; I² = 63%), and adverse events (5 studies, 143 participants: RR 3.56, 95% CI 0.98 to 13.01; I² = 25%) (moderate certainty evidence). In low certainty evidence, PEG interferon (1 study, 50 participants) may improve ETR (RR 1.53, 95% CI 1.09 to 2.15) but may make little or no difference to death (RR 0.33, 95% CI 0.01 to 7.81), SVR (RR 2.40, 95% CI 0.99 to 5.81), treatment discontinuation (RR 0.11, 95% CI 0.01 to 1.96), adverse events (RR 0.11, 95% CI 0.01 to 1.96) and relapses (21/38 relapsed) (RR 0.72, 95% CI 0.41 to 1.25) compared to standard interferon. In moderate certainty evidence, high-dose PEG interferon (alpha-2a and alpha-2b) may make little or no difference to death (2 studies, 97 participants: RR 4.30, 95% CI 0.76 to 24.33; I² = 0%), ETR (RR 1.42, 95% CI 0.51 to 3.90; I² = 20%), SVR (RR 1.19, 95% CI 0.68 to 2.07; I² = 0%), treatment discontinuation (RR 1.20, 95% CI 0.63 to 2.28; I² = 0%) or adverse events (RR 1.05, 95% CI 0.61 to 1.83; I² = 27%) compared to low-dose PEG interferon. High-dose PEG interferon may make little or no difference to relapses (1 study, 43 participants: RR 1.11, 95% CI 0.45 to 2.77; low certainty evidence). There were no significant subgroup differences. Standard interferon plus ribavirin may lead to higher treatment discontinuation (1 study, 52 participants: RR 2.97, 95% CI 1.19 to 7.36; low certainty evidence) compared to standard interferon alone.  In low certainty evidence, PEG interferon plus ribavirin (1 study, 377 participants) may improve SVR (RR 1.80, 95% CI 1.46 to 2.21), reduce relapses (RR 0.33, 95% CI 0.23 to 0.48), slightly increase the number with adverse events (RR 1.10, 95% CI 1.01 to 1.19), and may make little or no difference to ETR (RR 1.01, 95% CI 0.94 to 1.09) compared to PEG interferon alone. The evidence is very uncertain about the effect of PEG interferon plus ribavirin on treatment discontinuation (RR 1.71, 95% CI 0.69 to 4.24) compared to PEG interferon alone. One study reported grazoprevir plus elbasvir improved ETR (173 participants: RR 174.99, 95% CI 11.03 to 2775.78; low certainty evidence) compared to placebo. It is uncertain whether telaprevir plus ribavirin (high versus low initial dose) plus PEG interferon for 24 versus 48 weeks (1 study, 35 participants) improves ETR (RR 1.02, 95% CI 0.67 to 1.56) or SVR (RR 1.02, 95% CI 0.67 to 1.56) because the certainty of the evidence is very low.  Data on QoL, cost-effectiveness, cardiovascular outcomes and peritoneal dialysis were not available.

AUTHORS' CONCLUSIONS

In dialysis patients with HCV infection grazoprevir plus elbasvir probably improves ETR. There is no difference in ETR or SVR for combinations of telaprevir, ribavirin and PEG interferon given for different durations and doses. Though no longer in use, PEG interferon was more effective than standard interferon for ETR but not SVR. Increasing doses of PEG interferon did not improve responses. The addition of ribavirin to PEG interferon may result in fewer relapses, higher SVR, and higher numbers with adverse events.

Long-Term Monitoring of Liver Fibrosis and Steatosis in Patients with Chronic Hepatitis C after Achieving a Sustained Virologic Response to Antiviral Therapy

Aim: to analyze the dynamics of fibrosis and steatosis of the liver according to fibroelastometry in patients with chronic hep-atitis C (CHC) after ≥ 6 months from transient elastometry (TE) achieving a sustained virologic response (SVR) to antiviral therapy.

Materials and methods. At baseline, a prospective observational study included 628 CHC patients with known stage of liver fibrosis (F) before AVT, some of whom were phased out due to non-compliance with the inclusion criteria. The final analysis included 297 patients who had transient elastometry (TE) data with CAP™ technology on the severity of liver fibrosis (± steatosis) before treatment and after ≥ 6 months after reaching SVR (67 % – interferonfree regimens of therapy). Median follow-up from the moment SVR was confirmed was 3 years [2; 6].

Results. At the end of the study, the average age of patients was 49 ± 12 years, of which 53 % were men. In the long-term period after reaching SVR, regression of liver fibrosis was diagnosed in 80 % of cases (including in patients with cirrhosis), and the progression of fibrosis was in 3 % of patient. At the same time, regression of liver steatosis was detected only in 31 % of the patient, worsening of the results was in 23 % (26 % of them had the appearance of steatosis (S) of the liver of 1–3 degrees in persons with no fatty liver before the start of AVT). In the group of patients with liver steatosis, the proportion of men was significantly higher (p = 0.004). Clinically significant stages of fibrosis F3–F4 were significantly more often recorded in patients with hepatic steatosis, both before treatment (46 % S1–S3 and 22 % S0, p < 0.001) and after ≥ 6 months after reaching SVR (19 % S1–S3 and 9 % S0, p = 0.023).

Conclusion. In patients with chronic hepatitis C with SVR achieved in the long term, despite a significant regression of liver fibrosis, a high prevalence of hepatic steatosis remains. The data obtained indicate the feasibility of routine diagnosis of both fibrosis and steatosis of the liver in the management of patients with chronic HCV infection before and after successful antiviral therapy.

The role of HIV/hepatitis B virus/hepatitis C virus RNA+ triple infection in end-stage liver disease and all-cause mortality in Europe

BACKGROUND

There are limited data on end-stage liver disease (ESLD) and mortality in people with HIV (PWH) coinfected with both hepatitis B virus (HBV) and hepatitis C virus (HCV).

METHODS

All PWH aged greater than 18 under follow-up in EuroSIDA positive for HBsAg (HBV), and/or HCVRNA+, were followed from baseline (latest of 1 January 2001, EuroSIDA recruitment, known HBV/HCV status) to ESLD, death, last visit, or 31 December 2020. Follow-up while HCVRNA- was excluded. In two separate models, Poisson regression compared three groups updated over time; HIV/HBV, HIV/HCV, and HIV/HBV/HCV.

RESULTS

Among 5733 included individuals, 4476 (78.1%) had HIV/HCV, 953 (16.6%) had HIV/HBV and 304 (5.3%) had HIV/HBV/HCV. In total, 289 (5%) developed ESLD during 34 178 person-years of follow-up (PYFU), incidence 8.5/1000 PYFU [95% confidence interval (CI) 7.5-9.4] and 707 deaths occurred during 34671 PYFU (incidence 20.4/1000 PYFU; 95% CI 18.9-21.9). After adjustment, compared with those with HIV/HCV, persons with HIV/HBV had significantly lower rates of ESLD [adjusted incidence rate ratio (aIRR) 0.53; 95% CI 0.34-0.81]. Those with HIV/HBV/HCV had marginally significantly higher rates of ESLD (aIRR 1.49; 95% CI 0.98-2.26). Those under follow-up in 2014 or later had significantly lower rates of ESLD compared with 2007-2013 (aIRR 0.65; 95% CI 0.47-0.89). Differences in ESLD between the three groups were most pronounced in those aged at least 40. After adjustment, there were no significant differences in all-cause mortality across the three groups.

CONCLUSION

HIV/HBV-coinfected individuals had lower rates of ESLD and HIV/HBV/HCV had higher rates of ESLD compared with those with HIV/HCV, especially in those aged more than 40. ESLD decreased over time across all groups.

CLINICALTRIALSGOV IDENTIFIER

NCT02699736.

Risk factors for loss to follow-up after the start of direct-acting antiviral treatment for hepatitis C virus infection

Background and Aim

Direct-acting antivirals (DAAs) have recently been developed to treat hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection. Additionally, interferon-free DAA treatment has improved liver function and reduced the risk of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) following HCV eradication. Previous studies on HCV have focused mainly on the treatment rate and the risk of developing HCC, and less attention has been given to loss to follow-up (LTFU) after DAA treatment. Therefore, the present study aimed to identify the definitive risk factors for LTFU after the start of DAA treatment.

Methods

Between September 2017 and March 2022, 296 patients receiving glecaprevir and pibrentasvir for HCV infection were enrolled in this study. The incidence of LTFU following DAA treatment and the risk factors contributing to LTFU were identified using the patients' clinical characteristics.

Results

In the present study, 75 patients (25.3%) interrupted their follow-up visits. Multivariate logistic analysis revealed a history of injection drug use (hazard ratio [HR], 1.81; P = 0.017), treatment duration (8 weeks) (HR, 3.51; P = 0.0033), and age <70 years (HR, 1.9; P = 0.0422) as independent factors associated with LTFU after the start of DAA treatment.

Conclusion

Young patients and those with injection drug use are likely to discontinue their follow-up visits after the start of DAA treatment for HCV infection. Therefore, these patients require strict supervision.

Clinical and economic value of sofosbuvir-based regimens in the treatment of chronic hepatitis C in Spain

BACKGROUND

The treatment of chronic hepatitis C virus (HCV) with direct-acting antivirals has undergone a spectacular revolution and added significant value to healthcare systems and patients. The aim of the study was to evaluate the efficiency and value of Sofosbuvir (SOF)-based regimens for a target population of 85,959 chronic HCV patients treated in Spain during 2015-2019, compared to previous therapeutic strategies (peginterferon/ and ribavirin in double/triple therapy with telaprevir or boceprevir).

METHODS

A previously developed lifetime Markov model was adapted to simulate the disease HCV evolution. In SOF-based regimens, all patients (100%) were treated regardless with sustained virological response (SVR) of 93-98%, obtained from real-world data. In previous therapeutic, only ≥F2 patients were treated according to clinical practice (38%) with an average SVR of 61% taken from published literature. The value was measured as clinical and economic impact in terms of avoided HCV-related mortality and liver complications; total costs and quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) applying an annual 3% discount rate.

RESULTS

Compared to previous therapeutic, during lifetime, SOF-based regimens reduced decompensated cirrhosis by 89%, hepatocellular carcinoma by 77% and liver transplant by 84%, decreasing the cost associated to liver complications management in €770 million. SOF-based regimens also decreased liver-related mortality by 82%. Besides, SOF-based regimens gained 310,765/QALYs, saving €274 million (considering drugs, monitoring, and HCV management).

CONCLUSION

For Spain, SOF-based regimens offer value for HCV patients in terms of lowering HCV-related liver disease burden and generating significant cost savings for the health system, contributing to the WHO goal.

Durability of sustained virological response to glecaprevir/pibrentasvir and resistance development: A long-term follow-up study

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

This study aimed to determine durability of sustained virologic response (SVR) in hepatitis C virus-infected participants treated with glecaprevir- and/or pibrentasvir-containing regimens.

METHODS

M13-576, a rollover study, evaluated the durability of SVR in a follow-up period of approximately 3 years after hepatitis C virus genotype 1-6-infected participants received a glecaprevir- and/or pibrentasvir-containing regimen in previous phase 2/3 clinical trials. The primary efficacy endpoint was the percentage of participants maintaining SVR and the percentage of participants experiencing relapse or reinfections. Resistance-associated substitutions and safety outcomes related to liver progression were also assessed.

RESULTS

Of 384 participants enroled, 377 participants were included in the as-observed population and 287 participants completed the study. In prior studies, 99.7% (376/377) of participants achieved SVR12; of those, an observed 99.5% (374/376) and 100% (286/286) completing the study, maintained SVR. After non-responder imputation of missing data, 286/376 participants (76%) maintained SVR. The participant previously not achieving SVR was a treatment-experienced male with compensated cirrhosis who had NS3 and NS5A substitutions at enrolment, which remained detectable for 12 months. Of the two participants not maintaining SVR, one was re-infected and one experienced late relapse at post-treatment week 60. Five participants (all with a fibrosis stage ≥F3) had hepatocellular carcinoma. No events were deemed related to glecaprevir/pibrentasvir.

CONCLUSIONS

Glecaprevir/pibrentasvir demonstrated long-term durability of efficacy after SVR12 was achieved. Hepatic-related decompensation events were not seen. Owing to low incidence of virologic failure, conclusions were not drawn on persistence of resistance-associated substitutions.

Cost-Effectiveness of Elbasvir/Grazoprevir for the Treatment of Chronic Hepatitis C: A Systematic Review

Objective

This study aims to systematically review recent economic evaluations of elbasvir/grazoprevir (EBR/GZR) for chronic hepatitis C (CHC), to critically appraise the reporting quality and to summarize the results.

Methods

A literature search was undertaken using Medline, Embase, the Cochrane Library, EconLit, China National Knowledge Infrastructure, Wanfang Data, and Chongqing VIP to identify original articles containing economic evaluations of EBR/GZR for CHC published between 1 January 2000 and 31 December 2020. The Consolidated Health Economic Evaluation Reporting Standards statement was used to assess the quality of reporting of the articles.

Results

Of 93 articles identified, 13 studies fulfilled the inclusion criteria. These studies were conducted in 4 countries, and 8 active interventions were assessed. The target population was patients infected with CHC genotype 1 infection in all studies. Eight out of 13 studies that compared EBR/GZR vs. other direct antiviral agents suggested that EBR/GZR was generally more cost-effective or dominant than daclatasvir/asunaprevir (DCV/ASV), sofosbuvir/velpatasvir (SOF/VEL), ledipasvir/sofosbuvir (LDV/SOF), ombitasvir/paritaprevir/ritonavir + dasabuvir (3D) but not more cost-effective than glecaprevir/pibrentasvir (GLE/PIB). Two studies from China and one study from the USA that compared EBR/GZR vs. pegylated interferon and ribavirin (PegIFN/RBV) consistently indicated that EBR/GZR was generally more cost-effective than PegIFN/RBV. One study from Italy compared EBR/GZR with SOF + PegIFN/RBV and suggested that EBR/GZR had a lower cost and higher effectiveness. One study from France and one study from the USA confirmed that compared with non-therapy for patients with chronic kidney disease, EBR/GZR was cost-effective at commonly accepted current standards. All included studies were of good quality of reporting, with an average score of 21.9 (range 19–23).

Conclusion

EBR/GZR for CHC genotype 1 might be cost-effective or dominant compared with PegIFN/RBV and other direct antiviral agents (SOF/VEL, 3D, DCV/ASV, LDF/SOF) or non-therapy. However, under certain assumptions, EBR/GZR was not a cost-effective alternative for CHC patients vs. GLE/PIB.

Development and Validation of a Model for Prediction of End-Stage Liver Disease in People With HIV

BACKGROUND

End-stage liver disease (ESLD) is a leading cause of non-AIDS-related death among people with HIV (PWH). Factors that increase the progression of liver disease include comorbidities and HIV-specific factors, but we currently lack a tool to apply this evidence into clinical practice.

METHODS

We developed and validated a risk prediction model for ESLD among PWH who received care in 12 cohorts of the North American AIDS Cohort Collaboration on Research and Design between 2000 and 2016 and had fibrosis-4 index > 1.45. The first occurrence of ascites, variceal bleed, spontaneous bacterial peritonitis, or hepatic encephalopathy was verified by standardized medical record review. The Bayesian model averaging was used to select predictors among biomarkers and diagnoses and the Harrell C statistic to assess model discrimination.

RESULTS

Among 13,787 PWH in the training set, 82% were men and 54% were Black with a mean age of 48 years. Three hundred ninety ESLD events occurred over a mean 5.4 years. Among the ESLD cases, 52% had hepatitis C virus, 15% hepatitis B virus, and 31% alcohol use disorder. Twelve factors together predicted ESLD risk moderately well (C statistic 0.79, 95% confidence interval: 0.76 to 0.81): age, sex, race/ethnicity, chronic hepatitis B or C, and routinely collected laboratory values reflecting hepatic impairment (serum albumin, aspartate aminotransferase, total bilirubin, and platelets) and lipid metabolism (triglycerides, high-density lipoprotein, and total cholesterol). Our model performed well in the test set (C statistic 0.81, 95% confidence interval: 0.76 to 0.86).

CONCLUSION

This model of readily accessible clinical parameters predicted ESLD in a large diverse population of PWH.

Hepatic fibrosis changes in patients with chronic hepatitis C infection who respond to direct-acting antivirals

BACKGROUND

Clearance of hepatitis C virus (HCV) can potentially slow or reverse liver fibrosis and cirrhosis. Studies of fibrosis changes after treatment with direct-acting antivirals (DAAs) are limited.

OBJECTIVES

We aimed to assess the impact of DAAs on fibrosis in HCV treatment responders.

DESIGN

Retrospective cohort study.

SETTING

Tertiary care centers.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

This study included adult patients who received DAA treatment for HCV (naïve and experienced) from June 2015 to January 2019 who were treatment responders. Biochemical and hematological data and noninvasive fibrosis markers were recorded at baseline and follow-up.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

Aspartate aminotransferase/platelet ratio index (APRI), fibrosis-4 score (FIB-4) and liver stiffness measurements (LSM) at baseline and follow-up.

SAMPLE SIZE AND CHARACTERISTICS

172 HCV treatment responders, mean (SD) age 54.1 (14.1) and body mass index 28.8 (6.5) kg/m² at baseline; 96 (55.8%) were females.

RESULTS

Fifty-eight (33.7%) patients were HCV treatment-experienced. Most patients were genotype 4 (n=125, 73%) and the mean follow-up was 141 (57.9) weeks. Compared with baseline, changes in alanine aminotransferase (P<.001), aspartate aminotransferase (P<.001), and albumin (P=.01) were statistically significant. Changes in LSM (15.09 kPa [11.4] vs. 10.19 kPa [7.4], P<.001), APRI (0.81 [0.7] vs. 0.34 [0.2], P<.001), and FIB-4 (1.99 [1.4) vs.1.35 [0.9], P<.001), and AST/ALT ratio (0.86 [0.32] vs. 0.95 [0.41], P=.015) were statistically significant. Differences in many of the same parameters were statistically significant between patients with low fibrosis (F0-F1) (n=59, 34.3%) and significant fibrosis (≥F2) (n=113, 65.7%).

CONCLUSIONS

Our findings confirm that clearance of HCV with DAAs is associated with significant improvement in fibrosis as assessed by noninvasive liver fibrosis measures, which supports the concept of post-treatment fibrosis regression. Long follow-up studies are needed to assess the impact on morbidity and mortality.

LIMITATIONS

Absence of histological correlation with these noninvasive scores. No assessment of fibrosis changes based on HCV geno-type or treatment regimen.

CONFLICT OF INTEREST

None.

[Treatment of hepatitis C infections in the era of direct-acting antivirals (DAAs)]

Untreated chronic hepatitis C infection can lead to severe and potentially fatal liver-associated complications. Therefore, every hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection represents an indication for antiviral treatment. In particular, patients with progressive liver disease should be treated urgently. Here, we review indication for treatment as well as goals and basic principles of antiviral therapy. In addition, different treatment regimens and monitoring of the treatment course and outcome are discussed.Today, the treatment of chronic HCV infection is based on interferon-free regimens combining different direct-acting antivirals (DAAs), where the choice of DAA-regimen depends on the viral genotype, previous treatments, and the state of liver fibrosis. With these regimens, equally high virus eradication rates are achievable in patients with compensated liver cirrhosis and in patients without advanced liver disease. In addition, patients with decompensated liver cirrhosis or patients with end-stage renal failure requiring renal replacement therapy, as well as children from an age of 3 years, can be treated safely and highly efficiently with DAA-containing regimens. Physicians should be aware of possible drug interactions of the DAAs with concomitant administered drugs. However, possible interactions can be checked easily online. Although, there is an improvement of prognosis after HCV eradication, patients with advanced liver fibrosis or liver cirrhosis must be included in a lifelong HCC surveillance program.

Hepatitis C: Problems to extinction and residual hepatic and extrahepatic lesions after sustained virological response

Loss of follow-up or reinfections hinder the expectations of hepatitis C eradication despite the existence of highly effective treatments. Moreover, the elimination of the infection does not imply the reversion of those chronic alterations derived from the previous infection by hepatitis C virus (HCV). This review analyzes the risk factors associated with loss to follow-up in diagnosis or treatment, and the possibility of reinfection. Likewise, it assesses the residual alterations induced by chronic HCV infection considering the liver alterations (inflammation, fibrosis, risk of decompensation, hepatocellular carcinoma, liver transplantation) and, on the other hand, the comorbidities and extrahepatic manifestations (cryoglobulinemia, non-Hodgkin lymphoma, peripheral insulin resistance, and lipid, bone and cognitive alterations). Peculiarities present in subjects coinfected with human immunodeficiency virus are analyzed in each section.

HCV reinfection after HCV therapy among HIV/HCV-coinfected individuals in Europe

OBJECTIVES

Although direct-acting antivirals (DAAs) can clear HCV in nearly all HIV/HCV-coinfected individuals, high rates of reinfection may hamper efforts to eliminate HCV in this population. We investigated reinfection after sustained virological response (SVR) in HIV/HCV-coinfected individuals in Europe.

METHODS

Factors associated with odds of reinfection by 2 years after SVR in EuroSIDA participants with one or more HCV-RNA test and 2 years follow-up were assessed using logistic regression.

RESULTS

Overall, 1022 individuals were included. The median age was 50 (interquartile range: 43-54 years), and most were male (78%), injection drug users (52%), and received interferon (IFN)-free DAAs (62%). By 24 months, 75 [7.3%, 95% confidence interval (CI): 5.7-8.9%] individuals were reinfected. Among individuals treated prior to 2014, 16.1% were reinfected compared with 4.2% and 8.3%, respectively, among those treated during or after 2014 with IFN-free and IFN-based therapy. After adjustment, individuals who had started treatment during or after 2014 with IFN-free or IFN-based therapy had significantly lower odds of reinfection (adjusted odds ratio = 0.21, 95% CI: 0.11-0.38; 0.43, 95% CI: 0.22-0.83) compared with those who had received therapy before 2014. There were no significant differences in odds of reinfection according to age, gender, European region, HIV transmission risk group or liver fibrosis.

CONCLUSIONS

Among HIV/HCV-coinfected individuals in Europe, 7.3% were reinfected with HCV within 24 months of achieving SVR, with evidence suggesting that this is decreasing over time and with use of newer HCV regimens. Harm reduction to reduce reinfection and surveillance to detect early reinfection with an offer of treatment are essential to eliminate HCV.

HCV testing: Order and completion rates among baby boomers obtaining care from seven health systems in Florida, 2015-2017

Many U.S. residents infected with hepatitis C virus (HCV) are baby boomers (born 1945-1965), who remain undiagnosed. Past CDC and USPSTF guidelines recommended one-time HCV testing for all baby boomers, with newer guidelines recommending universal screening for all adults. This retrospective cohort study examined electronic medical records for patient visits from 2015 to 2017 within the OneFlorida Data Trust and University of South Florida Health system. We assessed percentages of HCV tests ordered and completed across four age groups (those born before 1945, 1945-1965, 1966-1985, and after 1985). In 2019, we used logistic regression to examine factors associated with HCV test ordering and completion among baby boomers, including age, race, sex, number of primary care visits, HIV status, hepatitis diagnosis, and liver cancer history. All age groups had low rates of HCV test orders. 4.4% of baby boomers had a test ordered in 2015, and 6.7% in 2016. Of those, 94.5% and 89.7% completed testing, respectively. All other races/ethnicities had lower likelihood of testing completion than Whites (Blacks (aOR 0.82, 95%, CI 0.75-0.91); Asians (0.69, 0.52-0.92); Hispanics (0.29, 0.26-0.32)), although test orders were higher for Asians (1.48, 1.37-1.61) and Blacks (1.78, 1.73-1.82). Tests ordered (11.42, 10.94-11.92) and completed (2.25, 1.94-2.60) were more likely among those with hepatitis history. Test orders were more likely for HIV-positive patients (3.68, 3.45-3.93), but completion was less likely (0.67, 0.57-0.78). Interventions are needed to increase testing rates so that HCV infections are treated early, mitigating HCV-related morbidity and mortality, especially related to liver cancer.

Cost-effectiveness of new antiviral treatments for non-genotype 1 hepatitis C virus infection in China: a societal perspective

Objective

This study aimed to estimate the cost-effectiveness of direct-acting antivirals (DAAs) among patients with non-genotype 1 for the eradication of hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection in China.

Methods

A decision-analytic Markov model was developed to estimate the lifetime costs, quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) and incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICERs) for DAAs and pegylated interferon plus ribavirin (PEG-RBV) from a societal perspective. The model inputs were derived from the literature, a patient survey, HCV expert opinions and a specialised drug price database available in China. Sensitivity analysis was conducted to evaluate the model robustness and calculate reasonable prices of DAAs.

Results

For patients infected with HCV genotype 2, the pan-genotypic regimen sofosbuvir/velpatasvir (SOF/VEL) was the most cost-effective strategy compared with PEG-RBV, with an ICER of US$5653/QALY. For genotype 3, the combination of sofosbuvir plus daclatasvir (SOF-DCV) was the most cost-effective approach, with an ICER of US$3314/QALY. All DAA regimens for genotype 6 were cost-saving, and sofosbuvir plus ribavirin (SOF-RBV) was the optimal regimen. One-way sensitivity analysis demonstrated that the ICERs were most sensitive to the utility values, discount rate and drug costs. Probabilistic sensitivity analysis indicated that using a threshold equal to one time the gross domestic product (GDP) per capita in China (US$9769/QALY, 2018), the probability of SOF/VEL, SOF-DCV and SOF-RBV being cost-effective was 58%, 83% and 71% for genotype 2, 3 and 6, respectively. Threshold analysis showed that the price of DAAs should be reduced by some degree to achieve better affordability.

Conclusions

DAAs were cost-effective compared with traditional treatments. A reasonable reduction in the price of DAAs will increase drug affordability and is of great significance as a global strategy to eradicate viral hepatitis.

Reaching the Unreachable: Strategies for HCV Eradication in Patients With Refractory Opioid Addiction-A Real-world Experience

To achieve global hepatitis C virus (HCV) eradication, barriers prohibiting treatment access need to be overcome. We established a strategy to initiate antiviral therapy in patients with severe, refractory heroin addiction. All patients achieved sustained virological response. Outreach programs of hepatologists might be a reasonable way to overcome barriers to HCV treatment.

Hepatocellular carcinoma in viral and autoimmune liver diseases: Role of CD4+ CD25+ Foxp3+ regulatory T cells in the immune microenvironment

More than 90% of cases of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) occurs in patients with cirrhosis, of which hepatitis B virus and hepatitis C virus are the leading causes, while the tumor less frequently arises in autoimmune liver diseases. Advances in understanding tumor immunity have led to a major shift in the treatment of HCC, with the emergence of immunotherapy where therapeutic agents are used to target immune cells rather than cancer cells. Regulatory T cells (Tregs) are the most abundant suppressive cells in the tumor microenvironment and their presence has been correlated with tumor progression, invasiveness, as well as metastasis. Tregs are characterized by the expression of the transcription factor Foxp3 and various mechanisms ranging from cell-to-cell contact to secretion of inhibitory molecules have been implicated in their function. Notably, Tregs amply express checkpoint molecules such as cytotoxic T lymphocyte-associated antigen 4 and programmed cell-death 1 receptor and therefore represent a direct target of immune checkpoint inhibitor (ICI) immunotherapy. Taking into consideration the critical role of Tregs in maintenance of immune homeostasis as well as avoidance of autoimmunity, it is plausible that targeting of Tregs by ICI immunotherapy results in the development of immune-related adverse events (irAEs). Since the use of ICI becomes common in oncology, with an increasing number of new ICI currently under clinical trials for cancer treatment, the occurrence of irAEs is expected to dramatically rise. Herein, we review the current literature focusing on the role of Tregs in HCC evolution taking into account their opposite etiological function in viral and autoimmune chronic liver disease, and we discuss their involvement in irAEs due to the new immunotherapies.

Experience with regorafenib in the treatment of hepatocellular carcinoma

Regorafenib is a diphenylurea oral multikinase inhibitor, structurally comparable to sorafenib, which targets a variety of kinases implicated in angiogenic and tumor growth-promoting pathways. Regorafenib was the first agent to positively show significant survival advantage as a second-line therapy in patients with unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) who had previously failed first-line treatment with sorafenib. Recent evidence has shown that its antitumor efficacy is due to a comprehensive spectrum of tumor neo-angiogenesis and proliferation inhibition and immunomodulatory effects on the tumor microenvironment, which plays a crucial role in tumor development. This review addresses the rationale and supporting evidence for regorafenib's efficacy in HCC that led to regorafenib's approval as a second-line therapy. In addition, we review proof from clinical practice studies that validate the RESORCE trial results. We discuss regorafenib's potential role in the newly emerging therapeutic strategy based on combination with immune checkpoint blockade and its possible extensibility to patient categories not enrolled in the registrative study.

Regorafenib Combined with Other Systemic Therapies: Exploring Promising Therapeutic Combinations in HCC

Regorafenib was the first drug to demonstrate a survival benefit as a second-line agent after sorafenib failure in patients with unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Recent studies have shown that its mechanism of action is not only limited to its very broad spectrum of inhibition of angiogenesis, tumor proliferation, spread, and metastasis, but also to its immunomodulatory properties that have favorable effects on the very intricate role that the tumor microenvironment plays in carcinogenesis and tumor growth. In this review, we discuss rationale and evidence supporting regorafenib efficacy in HCC and that led to its approval as a second-line treatment, after sorafenib failure. We also discuss the evidence from clinical practice studies that confirm the results previously achieved in clinical trials. Finally, we analyze the potential role of regorafenib in emerging combined treatment approach with immunotherapy strategies using immune checkpoint blockade and its potential extension to patient categories not included in the registrative study.

Impact of direct-acting antiviral regimens on mortality and morbidity outcomes in patients with chronic hepatitis c: Systematic review and meta-analysis

The long-term effects of direct-acting antiviral therapies (DAAs) for chronic hepatitis C (CHC) remain uncertain. The objective of this systematic review and meta-analysis was to assess the impact of DAAs on CHC progression and mortality. We searched Ovid MEDLINE, Ovid EMBASE and PubMed databases (January 2011 to March 2020) for studies that compared the efficacy of DAAs to a non-DAA control in patients with CHC. Main outcomes were the adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) for mortality, liver decompensation, HCC occurrence and recurrence. Pooled estimates of HRs were determined using random-effects meta-analyses with inverse variance weighting, with sensitivity analyses and meta-regression to explore the effects of clinical factors. We identified 39 articles for the primary analysis. Compared with unexposed individuals, patients treated with DAA had a reduced risk of death (HR; CI = 0.44; 0.38-0.52), decompensation (HR; CI = 0.54; 0.38- 0.76) and HCC occurrence (HR; CI = 0.72; 0.61- 0.86). The protective effect of DAA on HCC recurrence was less clear (HR; CI = 0.72; 0.44-1.16). Sustained virologic response (SVR) attainment was a significant predictor of reduced mortality (HR; CI = 0.33; 0.23-0.46), decompensation (HR; CI = 0.11; 0.05-0.24), HCC occurrence (HR; CI = 0.31; 0.27-0.37) and HCC recurrence (HR; CI = 0.32; 0.20-0.51). Meta-regression showed no evidence of effect modification by patient age, sex, presence of cirrhosis or length of follow-up. In conclusion, our findings show protective effects of DAA treatment and DAA-related SVR on CHC progression and mortality.

Evaluation of Sustained Virologic Response as a Relevant Surrogate Endpoint for Long-term Outcomes of Hepatitis C Virus Infection

BACKGROUND

The causal link of sustained virologic response (SVR) with outcome has been challenged. With improved SVR rates with direct-acting antivirals (DAAs), the benefit of SVR would be expected to diminish if the association with outcome is not causal.

METHODS

Data were collected for patients starting treatment with interferon (IFN) or DAAs between June 2006 and December 2016. To control for disease severity, criteria for the IDEAL (Individualized Dosing Efficacy vs. Flat Dosing to Assess Optimal Pegylated Interferon Therapy) trial determined IFN-eligibility. Clinical events were decompensation, hepatocellular carcinoma, liver transplantation, and all-cause mortality.

RESULTS

In 1078 IDEAL-eligible patients, 1306 treatments occurred (52% IFN, 49% DAAs). Cirrhosis was present in 30% DAAs vs 21% IFN (P < .001). SVR was 97% with DAAs vs 52% with IFN (P < .0001). The 24-month cumulative event-free survival was 99% for IFN and 97% for DAAs with SVR (P = .08) and 96% and 75%, respectively, for non-SVR (P = .01). SVR was associated with improved event-free survival with an adjusted hazard ratio of 0.21 (95% confidence interval, .06-.71; P = .01). Using inverse probability of treatment weighting to match IFN nonresponders with DAA-treated patients, the 24-month event-rate was 1.1% with DAAs compared to 3.4% in IFN nonresponders (P = .005), highlighting the clinical benefit of maximizing SVR.

CONCLUSIONS

In IFN-eligible patients, SVR is more commonly achieved with DAAs and confers a similar clinical benefit as in those treated with IFN. The reduced event-rate with DAAs compared to IFN, despite similar disease severity, confirm that SVR alters prognosis leading to improved clinical outcomes.

Knowledge, Attitudes, and Behaviors Related to Hepatitis C Screening and Treatment among Health Care Providers in Washington, DC

Elimination of chronic hepatitis C (HCV) will require scaling up treatment, including possible HCV treatment by primary care providers. The District of Columbia (DC) has a substantial population living with untreated hepatitis C, and treatment expansion would benefit the resident population. The aim of this study was to assess the knowledge, attitudes, and behaviors of primary care providers and specialists related to hepatitis C screening and treatment. We conducted a prospective, online survey of physicians and nurse practitioners (n = 153) in DC on their knowledge, attitudes, and behaviors related to hepatitis C screening and treatment, as well as referral patterns, interest in learning, and preferred learning modalities. We compared responses by provider type. Key findings indicated that HCV screening and treatment knowledge was higher among specialty physicians as compared to primary care providers. The most common reported facilitators of HCV screening included a prompt in the electronic medical record (63%), patient education (57%), and support staff (41%). While 71% reported that HCV treatment was important in the community they serve, only 26% indicated that access to HCV specialist expertise and consultation was a major area of need. Additionally, 59% reported that they refer all HCV patients to specialists for treatment. Primary care providers in DC had moderate interest in learning how to treat chronic hepatitis C, but they need additional training. Patients are typically referred to gastroenterology, infectious diseases, and hepatology specialists who may have limited capacity to expand treatment.

Real-world effectiveness of direct-acting antiviral agents for chronic hepatitis C patients with genotype-2 infection after completed treatment

Chronic hepatitis C (CHC) is a major cause of cirrhosis, hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), and mortality. Eliminating hepatitis C virus (HCV) can greatly improve long-term outcomes. Several direct-acting antiviral agents (DAAs), including sofosbuvir (SOF) plus different NS5A inhibitors, as well as non-SOF-based DAAs, including glecaprevir/pibrentasvir (GLE/PIB), have been approved for treating CHC genotype-2 (GT-2) patients in Taiwan. However, there is limited real-world effectiveness data regarding these different regimens. Thus, we aimed to evaluate the real-world efficacy in CHC GT-2 patients who underwent these DAA regimens. We retrospectively enrolled CHC GT-2 patients who were treated with SOF-based DAAs or GLE/PIB at a single medical center. A total of 704 enrolled patients were treated with either SOF + ribavirin (RBV), SOF/daclatasvir (DCV) ± RBV, SOF/ledipasvir (LDV) ± RBV, SOF/velpatasvir (VEL) ± RBV, or with GLE/PIB. The overall sustained virological response (SVR) rate was 97.9%. The SVR rate was significantly lower in the SOF + RBV group (95.6%) than in the non-SOF + RBV (98.9%) group, especially compared to the SOF/DCV (100%) and GLE/PIB groups (99.5%). Among patients treated with SOF + RBV, cirrhotic patients had significantly lower SVR rates than noncirrhotic patients (89.4% vs 98.2%). Multivariate analysis showed that patients with a younger age, hepatitis B virus coinfection, baseline cirrhosis, or those who received SOF + RBV were less likely to achieve SVR. In conclusion, for CHC GT-2 patients, SOF in combination with DCV, LDV, or VEL, as well as GLE/PIB, achieved similar high efficacies, regardless of cirrhosis, treatment experience, or chronic kidney disease status. Therefore, the use of DAA therapy to eradicate HCV should not be delayed in these populations.

Residual risk of liver disease after hepatitis C virus eradication

Treatment of hepatitis C with direct-acting antivirals is safe and highly efficacious, resulting in viral clearance (sustained virological response [SVR]) in the vast majority of patients. Although SVR is mostly permanent and associated with a significant reduction of liver morbidity and mortality, some patients may still suffer from a major risk of progressive liver damage, potentially leading to severe complications - including liver decompensation, hepatocellular carcinoma and death. This concise review discusses some of the most important features of residual liver disease in patients with chronic hepatitis C who have achieved SVR after antiviral therapy.

Impact of liver-stiffness measurement on hepatocellular carcinoma development in chronic hepatitis C patients treated with direct-acting antivirals: A systematic review and time-to-event meta-analysis

BACKGROUND AND AIM

Patients with chronic hepatitis C (CHC) treated with direct-acting antivirals (DAAs) are still at risk for developing hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) even after achieving sustained virologic response (SVR). Liver-stiffness measurement (LSM) on imaging has been investigated as a predictor of HCC occurrence.

OBJECTIVES

To provide systematic summary of the predictive value of LSM in predicting HCC occurrence in HCV patients treated with DAA.

METHODS

A comprehensive literature search of the PubMed-MEDLINE and EMBASE databases was performed to identify studies that evaluated the predictive value of LSM in CHC patients treated with DAAs. Pooled hazard ratio (HR) comparing HCC occurrence between patients with positive and negative results on LSM was calculated for all studies and various subgroups. Subgroup analyses and meta-regression were performed.

RESULTS

A review of 135 candidate articles identified eight eligible articles with a total of 3398patients for qualitative review and meta-analysis. The pooled HR for HCC occurrence determined by LSM was 3.43 (95% confidence interval [CI], 1.63-7.19) with heterogeneity (I²  = 81.87%, P < 0.001), thus indicating that LSM might be helpful for predicting HCC occurrence. In subgroup analyses, pooled HRs were different according to the study design (2.29; [95% CI, 0.96-5.45] for retrospective studies; 4.61 [95% CI, 2.44-8.71] for prospective studies), study population (4.00 [95% CI, 2.00-7.99] for CHC; 2.64 [0.99-7.00] for CHC with liver cirrhosis) and LSM parameter (3.17 [95% CI, 1.35-7.41] for baseline LSM; 4.19 [95% CI, 1.89-9.29] for others). In multivariate meta-regression, study design was the only influencing factor for pooled HR for HCC occurrence (P < 0.05).

CONCLUSIONS

Consistent evidence demonstrated the predictive value of LSM for HCC occurrence in CHC patients treated with DAA. The significant influencing factor for risk of HCC occurrence indicated by LSM was study design.

The changing scenario of hepatocellular carcinoma in Italy: an update

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Epidemiology of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is changing in most areas of the world. This study aimed at updating the changing scenario of aetiology, clinical presentation, management and prognosis of HCC in Italy during the last 15 years.

METHODS

Retrospective analysis of the Italian Liver Cancer (ITA.LI.CA) database included 6034 HCC patients managed in 23 centres from 2004 to 2018. Patients were divided into three groups according to the date of cancer diagnosis (2004-2008, 2009-2013 and 2014-2018).

RESULTS

The main results were: (i) a progressive patient ageing; (ii) a progressive increase of non-viral cases and, particularly, of 'metabolic' and 'metabolic + alcohol' HCCs; (iii) a slightly decline of cases diagnosed under surveillance, but with an incremental use of the semiannual schedule; (iv) a favourable cancer stage migration; (v) an increased use of radiofrequency ablation to the detriment of percutaneous ethanol injection; (vi) improved outcomes of ablative and transarterial treatments; (vii) an improved overall survival (adjusted for the lead time in surveyed patients) in the last calendar period, particularly in viral patients; (viii) a large gap between the number of potential candidates (according to oncologic criteria and age) to liver transplant and that of transplanted patients.

CONCLUSIONS

During the last 15 years several aspects of HCC scenario have changed, as well as its management. The improvement in patient survival observed in the last period was likely because of a larger use of thermal ablation with respect to the less effective alcohol injection and to an improved management of intermediate stage patients.

Assessment of Liver Stiffness Regression and Hepatocellular Carcinoma Risk in Chronic Hepatitis C Patients after Treatment with Direct-Acting Antiviral Drugs

Background and Objectives: Chronic hepatitis C virus infection affects about 71 million people worldwide. It is one of the most common chronic liver conditions associated with an increased risk of developing liver cirrhosis and cancer. The aim of this study was to evaluate changes in liver fibrosis and the risk of developing hepatocellular carcinoma after direct-acting antiviral drug therapy, and to assess factors, linked with these outcomes. Materials and Methods: 70 chronic hepatitis C patients were evaluated for factors linked to increased risk of de novo liver cancer and ≥ 20% decrease of ultrasound transient elastography values 12 weeks after the end of treatment. Results: The primary outcome was an improvement of liver stiffness at the end of treatment (p = 0.004), except for patients with diabetes mellitus type 2 (p = 0.49). Logistic regression analysis revealed factors associated with ≥ 20% decrease of liver stiffness values: lower degree of steatosis in liver tissue biopsy (p = 0.053); no history of interferon-based therapy (p = 0.045); elevated liver enzymes (p = 0.023–0.036); higher baseline liver stiffness value (p = 0.045) and absence of splenomegaly (p = 0.035). Hepatocellular carcinoma developed in 4 (5.7%) patients, all with high alpha-fetoprotein values (p = 0.0043) and hypoechoic liver mass (p = 0.0001), three of these patients had diabetes mellitus type 2. Conclusions: Liver stiffness decrease was significant as early as 12 weeks after the end of treatment. Patients with diabetes and advanced liver disease are at higher risk of developing non-regressive fibrosis and hepatocellular carcinoma even after successful treatment.

Cost-effectiveness of hepatitis C virus screening, and subsequent monitoring or treatment among pregnant women in the Netherlands

BACKGROUND

The prevalence of diagnosed chronic hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection among pregnant women in the Netherlands is 0.26%, yet many cases remain undiagnosed. HCV screening and treatment of pregnant HCV carriers could reduce the burden of disease and limit vertical transmission from mother to child. We assessed the impact of HCV screening and subsequent treatment with new direct-acting antivirals (DAAs) among pregnant women in the Netherlands.

METHODS

An HCV natural history Markov transition state model was developed, to evaluate the public-health and economic impact of HCV screening and treatment. Besides all 179,000 pregnant women in the Netherlands (cohort 1), we modelled 3 further cohorts: all 79,000 first-time pregnant women (cohort 2), 33,000 pregnant migrant women (cohort 3) and 16,000 first-time pregnant migrant women (cohort 4). Each cohort was analyzed in various scenarios: i no intervention, i.e., the current practice, ii screen-and-treat, i.e., the most extensive approach involving treatment of all individuals found HCV-positive, and iii screen-and-treat/monitor, i.e., a strategy involving treatment of symptomatic (F1-F4) patients and follow-up of asymptomatic (F0) HCV carriers with subsequent treatment only at progression.

RESULTS

For all cohorts, comparison between scenarios (ii) and (i) resulted in ICERs between €9,306 and €10,173 per QALY gained and 5 year budget impacts varying between €6,283,830 and €19,220,405. For all cohorts, comparison between scenarios (iii) and (i) resulted in ICERs between €1,739 and €2,749 per QALY gained and budget impacts varying between €1,468,670 and €5,607,556. For all cohorts, the ICERs (scenario iii versus ii) involved in delayed treatment of asymptomatic (F0) HCV carriers varied between €56,607 and €56,892, well above the willingness-to-pay (WTP) threshold of €20,000 per QALY gained and even above a threshold of €50,000 per QALY gained.

CONCLUSION

Universal screening for HCV among all pregnant women in the Netherlands is cost-effective. However, it would be reasonable to consider smaller risk groups in view of the budget impact of the intervention.

Elbasvir/grazoprevir treatment in an HCV-infected peritoneal dialysis patient

Hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection is known to affect long-term patient survivals. Elbasvir/grazoprevir (EBR/GZR) has shown a high cure rate in hemodialysis patients with HCV infection. However, the combination is rarely used in peritoneal dialysis patients. Herein, we report a case of successful treatment with EBR/GZR in a peritoneal dialysis patient with HCV genotype 1 b infection. A 54-year-old woman on peritoneal dialysis（PD）with HCV genotype 1 b infection had been received EBR (100 mg) and GZR (50 mg) once daily for 12 weeks. Hepatitis C virus RNA was undetectable 4 weeks after the treatment. She achieved a sustained virological response at 12 weeks after the end of treatment. Only fatigue was reported as side effect during the treatment. Thus, elbasvir/grazoprevir was effective and safe in this PD patient with HCV genotype 1 b infection.

Strategies Targeting the Innate Immune Response for the Treatment of Hepatitis C Virus-Associated Liver Fibrosis

Direct-acting antivirals eliminate hepatitis C virus (HCV) in more than 95% of treated individuals and may abolish liver injury, arrest fibrogenesis, and reverse fibrosis and cirrhosis. However, liver regeneration is usually a slow process that is less effective in the late stages of fibrosis. What is more, fibrogenesis may prevail in patients with advanced cirrhosis, where it can progress to liver failure and hepatocellular carcinoma. Therefore, the development of antifibrotic drugs that halt and reverse fibrosis progression is urgently needed. Fibrosis occurs due to the repair process of damaged hepatic tissue, which eventually leads to scarring. The innate immune response against HCV is essential in the initiation and progression of liver fibrosis. HCV-infected hepatocytes and liver macrophages secrete proinflammatory cytokines and chemokines that promote the activation and differentiation of hepatic stellate cells (HSCs) to myofibroblasts that produce extracellular matrix (ECM) components. Prolonged ECM production by myofibroblasts due to chronic inflammation is essential to the development of fibrosis. While no antifibrotic therapy is approved to date, several drugs are being tested in phase 2 and phase 3 trials with promising results. This review discusses current state-of-the-art knowledge on treatments targeting the innate immune system to revert chronic hepatitis C-associated liver fibrosis. Agents that cause liver damage may vary (alcohol, virus infection, etc.), but fibrosis progression shows common patterns among them, including chronic inflammation and immune dysregulation, hepatocyte injury, HSC activation, and excessive ECM deposition. Therefore, mechanisms underlying these processes are promising targets for general antifibrotic therapies.

Serum biomarkers as an alternative to vibration controlled transient elastography in liver fibrosis staging in chronic hepatitis C

Background

Assessment of liver disease severity in chronic Hepatitis C (CHC) is essential both in pretreatment and posttreatment period. We assessed the impact of direct-acting antiviral therapy on liver stiffness regression measured by Vibration Controlled Transient Elastography (VCTE) in patients with CHC and evaluated the diagnostic performance of the APRI and FIB-4 scores compared to VCTE in detecting advanced fibrosis and cirrhosis (F3/F4).

Methodology

Retrospective analysis of consecutive patients with CHC who underwent VCTE before and after DAA therapy was done. APRI and FIB-4 scores were compared to VCTE.

Results

88 (56.78%) patients-12 (F3) and 76 (F4) according to VCTE, had advanced fibrosis pretreatment, which reduced to 69 (44.52%) - 10 (F3) and 59 (F4) after 12 weeks DAA therapy. Significant reduction in VCTE value from 14.08 ± 9.05 KPa to 11.84 ± 8.31 KPa (p=0.002) was noted. There is significant reduction in APRI, FIB-4 and GUCI score posttreatment which was not the case with Lok score and Bonacini score. Before therapy, FIB-4 outperformed others to predict advanced fibrosis with score >2.13 (AUC 0.93), having sensitivity 76%, specificity 96% and accuracy 86%. However posttreatment, APRI and GUCI score performed best to predict F3/F4 fibrosis with score >0.63 (AUC 0.97) and >0.64 (AUC 0.96), having sensitivity, specificity and accuracy of 85%, 96.6% and 92% ; 85%, 6.6% and 92% respectively.

Conclusion

Before therapy, FIB-4 had the best accuracy in predicting advanced fibrosis whereas APRI and GUCI score were the best indices post-treatment.

Peri-complication diagnosis of hepatitis C infection: Risk factors and trends over time

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Hepatitis C virus (HCV) is a common and treatable cause of cirrhosis and its complications, yet many chronically infected individuals remain undiagnosed until a late stage. We sought to identify the frequency of and risk factors for HCV diagnosis peri-complication, that is within six months of an advanced liver disease complication.

METHODS

This was a retrospective cohort study of Ontario residents diagnosed with chronic HCV infection between 2003 and 2014. HCV diagnosis peri-complication was defined as the occurrence of decompensated cirrhosis, hepatocellular carcinoma or liver transplant within ±6 months of HCV diagnosis. Multivariable logistic regression was used to identify risk factors for peri-complication diagnosis among all those diagnosed with HCV infection.

RESULTS

Our cohort included 39,515 patients with chronic HCV infection, of whom 4.2% (n = 1645) were diagnosed peri-complication; these represented 31.6% of the 5,202 patients who developed complications in the follow-up period. Peri-complication diagnosis became more common over the study period and was associated with increasing age among baby boomers, alcohol use, diabetes mellitus, chronic HBV co-infection and moderate to high levels of morbidity. Female sex, immigrant status, having more previous outpatient physician visits, a previous emergency department visit, a history of drug use or mental health visits were associated with reduced risk of peri-complication diagnosis.

CONCLUSIONS

Over a quarter of HCV-infected patients with complications were diagnosed peri-complication. This problem increased over time, suggesting a need to further expand HCV screening.

Population impact of direct-acting antiviral treatment on new presentations of hepatitis C-related decompensated cirrhosis: a national record-linkage study

OBJECTIVE

Population-based studies demonstrating the clinical impact of interferon-free direct-acting antiviral (DAA) therapies are lacking. We examined the impact of the introduction of DAAs on HCV-related decompensated cirrhosis (DC) through analysis of population-based data from Scotland.

DESIGN

Through analysis of national surveillance data (involving linkage of HCV diagnosis and clinical databases to hospital and deaths registers), we determined i) the scale-up in the number of patients treated and achieving a sustained viral response (SVR), and ii) the change in the trend of new presentations with HCV-related DC, with the introduction of DAAs.

RESULTS

Approximately 11 000 patients had been treated in Scotland over the 8-year period 2010/11 to 2017/18. The scale-up in the number of patients achieving SVR between the pre-DAA and DAA eras was 2.3-fold overall and 5.9-fold among those with compensated cirrhosis (the group at immediate risk of developing DC). In the pre-DAA era, the annual number of HCV-related DC presentations increased 4.6-fold between 2000 (30) and 2014 (142). In the DAA era, presentations decreased by 51% to 69 in 2018 (and by 67% among those with chronic infection at presentation), representing a significant change in trend (rate ratio 0.88, 95% CI 0.85 to 0.90). With the introduction of DAAs, an estimated 330 DC cases had been averted during 2015-18.

CONCLUSIONS

National scale-up in interferon-free DAA treatment is associated with the rapid downturn in presentations of HCV-related DC at the population-level. Major progress in averting HCV-related DC in the short-term is feasible, and thus other countries should strive to achieve the same.