The association of outdoor temperature with blood pressure, and its influence on future cardio-cerebrovascular disease risk in cold areas

Effects of PM2.5 exposure and air temperature on risk of cardiovascular disease: evidence from a prospective cohort study

Background and aims

Evidence from extensive cohort studies about the individual and combined associations of air pollution and air temperature with cardiovascular disease (CVD) morbidity is limited. This study aimed to examine the long-term effects of PM2.5 exposure and air temperature on CVD based on a cohort study of middle-aged and older populations in China.

Methods

A total of 9,316 non-CVD adults (≥40 years old) who joined the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study between 2011 and 2018 were included in our analysis. The two-year average PM2.5 concentration and air temperature of the city where participants lived were calculated. The Cox proportional hazards model was conducted to analyze the associations of PM2.5 exposure and air temperature with CVD morbidity.

Results

In the multivariable-adjusted model, each 10 μg/m3 rise in 2-y PM2.5 concentration was associated with an increased risk of developing CVD (hazard ratio [HR]: 1.30; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.27-1.32). Compared with individuals in the bearable temperature group, those with low temperatures had a higher risk of CVD (HR: 1.77; 95% CI: 1.53-2.04). Stratified analyses found that cardiovascular metabolic risk factors could not change these associations. Compared with individuals in the low-level PM2.5 exposure and bearable temperature group, those in the high-level PM2.5 exposure and low-temperature group had a 7.08 times higher risk of CVD (95% CI: 5.55-9.03).

Conclusion

Long-term PM2.5 exposure and low air temperature are associated with a higher risk of CVD. Consequently, efforts to reduce air pollution and enhance protection against cold temperatures are vital for mitigating CVD risk.

Comparison of Relationships Between the Number of Deaths Due to the 10 Leading Causes and Air Temperature in Hokkaido and Okinawa, Japan

Background Some literature reports an association between air temperature and mortality in certain diseases. However, the relationships between air temperature parameters and all causes of death have not been thoroughly explored in Japan. Objective This study examined the relationships between the number of deaths from the 10 leading causes and air temperature parameters in Hokkaido (the northernmost region) and Okinawa (the southernmost region) prefectures in Japan. Methods We collected monthly data on the number of deaths from the 10 leading causes and air temperature parameters in Hokkaido and Okinawa prefectures from January 2008 to December 2022 using information from official sources. Annual population data for each prefecture were also obtained. The relationships between the number of deaths and air temperature parameters were assessed through an ecological study. Results The mean air temperature was 9.59 ± 9.23 °C in Hokkaido and 23.46 ± 4.37 °C in Okinawa, with all temperature parameters significantly lower in Hokkaido than in Okinawa. The number of deaths from the 10 leading causes, excluding aspiration pneumonia, was significantly higher in Hokkaido for both sexes compared to Okinawa. In Hokkaido, deaths due to heart disease, cerebrovascular disease, pneumonia, accidents, and renal failure showed a significant correlation with all air temperature parameters for both sexes. In Okinawa, heart disease and cerebrovascular disease deaths were correlated with all air temperature parameters for both sexes. Conclusions The relationships between the number of deaths from the 10 leading causes and air temperature parameters differed between Hokkaido and Okinawa prefectures in Japan.

Multiple Environmental Exposures and the Development of Hypertension in a Prospective US-Based Cohort of Female Nurses: A Mixture Analysis

We investigated the independent and joint associations between multiple environmental exposures and incident hypertension in a US nationwide prospective cohort of women: the Nurses' Health Study II. We followed 107,532 nonhypertensive participants from 1989 to diagnosis of hypertension, loss to follow-up, death, or end of follow-up in June 2019. We applied Cox proportional hazards models to assess associations of incident hypertension with time-varying residential exposure to air pollution, noise, surrounding greenness, temperature, and neighborhood socioeconomic status (nSES), adjusting for potential confounders and coexposures. We evaluated the joint association of simultaneous exposure using quantile g-computation. We observed 38,175 hypertension cases over 2,062,109 person-years. Increased hypertension incidence was consistently associated with lower nSES and higher levels of fine particles (PM2.5) and nighttime noise exposures: hazard ratio (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) of 1.06 (1.04, 1.08), 1.04 (1.01, 1.07), and 1.01 (1.00, 1.03), respectively, per interquartile range change. Joint HR for a one-quartile change in simultaneous exposure to the mixture was 1.05 (95% CI: 1.02, 1.09), assuming additivity, or 1.13 (95% CI: 1.06, 1.20), considering potential interactions within the mixture. Hypertension prevention should focus on enhancing nSES and reducing PM2.5 and noise levels, recognizing that reducing the overall exposures may yield additional benefits.

Causal relevance of different blood pressure traits on risk of cardiovascular diseases: GWAS and Mendelian randomisation in 100,000 Chinese adults

Elevated blood pressure (BP) is major risk factor for cardiovascular diseases (CVD). Genome-wide association studies (GWAS) conducted predominantly in populations of European ancestry have identified >2,000 BP-associated loci, but other ancestries have been less well-studied. We conducted GWAS of systolic, diastolic, pulse, and mean arterial BP in 100,453 Chinese adults. We identified 128 non-overlapping loci associated with one or more BP traits, including 74 newly-reported associations. Despite strong genetic correlations between populations, we identified appreciably higher heritability and larger variant effect sizes in Chinese compared with European or Japanese ancestry populations. Using instruments derived from these GWAS, multivariable Mendelian randomisation demonstrated that BP traits contribute differently to the causal associations of BP with CVD. In particular, only pulse pressure was independently causally associated with carotid plaque. These findings reinforce the need for studies in diverse populations to understand the genetic determinants of BP traits and their roles in disease risk.

Association of ambient temperature on acute ischemic stroke in Yancheng, China

BACKGROUND

Acute ischemic stroke (AIS) is a major global public health issue. There is limited research on the relationship between ambient temperature and AIS hospital admissions, and the results are controversial. Our objective is to assess the short-term impact of ambient temperature on the risk of AIS hospital admissions in Yancheng, China.

METHODS

We collected data on daily AIS hospital admissions, meteorological factors, and air quality in Yancheng from 2014 to 2019. We used Poisson regression to fit generalized linear models and distributed lag non-linear models to explore the association between ambient temperature and AIS hospital admissions. The effects of these associations were evaluated by stratified analysis by sex and age.

RESULTS

From 2014 to 2019, we identified a total of 13,391 AIS hospital admissions. We observed that the influence of extreme cold and heat on admissions for AIS manifests immediately on the day of exposure and continues for a duration of 3-5 days. Compared to the optimal temperature (24.4 °C), the cumulative relative risk under extreme cold temperature (-1.3 °C) conditions with a lag of 0-5 days was 1.88 (95%CI: 1.28, 2.78), and under extreme heat temperature (30.5 °C) conditions with a lag of 0-5 days was 1.48 (95%CI: 1.26, 1.73).

CONCLUSIONS

There is a non-linear association between ambient temperature and AIS hospital admission risk in Yancheng, China. Women and older patients are more vulnerable to non-optimal temperatures. Our findings may reveal the potential impact of climate change on the risk of AIS hospital admissions.

Heat exposure induced risks of preterm birth mediated by maternal hypertension

Heat exposure is associated with an increased risk of preterm birth (PTB), with previous work suggesting that maternal blood pressure may play a role in these associations. Here we conducted a cohort study of 197,080 singleton live births across 8 provinces in China from 2015 to 2018. The study first estimated the associations between heat exposure, maternal hypertension and clinical subtypes of PTB, and then quantified the role of maternal hypertension in heat and PTB using mediation analyses. We show that heat exposure (>85th, 90th and 95th percentiles of local temperature distributions) spanning from conception to the 20th gestational week was associated with a 15-21% increase in PTB, and a 20-22% increase in medically indicated PTB. Heat exposure is likely to increase the risk of maternal hypertension and elevated blood pressure. Maternal hypertension mediated 15.7% and 33.9% of the effects of heat exposure (>90th percentile) on PTB and medically indicated PTB, respectively. Based on this large-population study, we found that exposure to heat in early pregnancy can increase the risk of maternal hypertension, thereby affecting the incidence of PTB.

Low ambient temperature exposure increases the risk of ischemic stroke by promoting platelet activation

BACKGROUND

Accumulating epidemiological evidence suggests the association between low ambient temperature exposure and the risk of ischemic stroke, but the underlying mechanisms remain unclear.

OBJECTIVE

Given the crucial role of platelet activation and thrombosis in ischemic stroke, this study aims to investigate the effect of ambient temperature on platelet activation through multi-center clinical data in Tianjin as well as animal experiments.

METHODS

From 2018 to 2020, nearly 3000 ischemic stroke patients from three stroke centers in Tianjin were included in the analysis, among them the ADP induced platelet aggregation rate was available. Meteorological data from the same period had also been collected. After controlling for confounding factors, the generalized additive mixed model (GAMM) was used to evaluate the correlation between environmental temperature and platelet aggregation rate. In further animal experiments, platelet function assessments were conducted on mice from the cold exposure group and the normal temperature group, including platelet aggregation, spreading, and clot retraction. Additionally, tail bleeding and mesentery thrombosis were also tested to monitor hemostasis and thrombosis in vivo.

RESULT

A nonlinear "S" shaped relationship between outdoor temperature and platelet aggregation was found. Each 1 °C decrease of mean temperature was associated with an increase of 7.77 % (95 % CI: 2.06 % - 13.48 %) in platelet aggregation. The ambient temperature is not related to other platelet parameters. Subgroup analysis found that males, people aged ≥65 years, and hypertensive individuals are more susceptible to temperature changes. Furthermore, animal experiments demonstrated that the increased CIRBP levels and subsequent activation of p-AKT/p-ERK may be one of the reasons for cold exposure induced platelets activation.

CONCLUSION

Both clinical data and basic research support that low ambient temperature exposure has the potential to increase platelet activation. These results provide a basis for understanding the potential mechanism of temperature variations on the pathogenesis of cerebrovascular diseases.

The Modern Environment: The New Secondary Cause of Hypertension?

The most important risk factor for cardiovascular disease, the leading cause of death worldwide, is hypertension. Although most cases of hypertension are thought to be essential, the multifactorial associations of the environmental influence on blood pressure seem to play an important role and should be more closely investigated. This review attempts to focus on the recent literature that examines the environmental effects on arterial blood pressure and its management. Seasonal variability and the role of ambient temperature, either occupational or recreational noise pollution, as well as obesity due to environment-caused dietary habits, are recognized as important risk factors, affecting the onset as well as the regulation of hypertension. Furthermore, the effects of seasonal fluctuations in blood pressure, noise pollution, and obesity seem to share a similar pathogenesis, and as such to all further react together, leading to increased blood pressure. The activation of the autonomous nervous system plays a key role and causes an increase in stress hormones that generates oxidative stress on the vascular system and, thus, vasoconstriction. In this review, by focusing on the association of the environmental impact with arterial blood pressure, we come to the question of whether most cases of hypertension-if not all-should, indeed, be considered primary or secondary.

Effects and mechanisms of extremely cold environment on body response after trauma

With the outbreak of the Ukrainian crisis, extremely cold environment warfare has once again become the focus of international attention. People exposed to extremely cold environments may suffer from cold damage, further aggravate trauma, trigger high disability and mortality rates, and even cause serious sequelae. To declare the effects and mechanisms of the extremely cold environment on the body after trauma, this paper reviews, firstly, physiological reaction of human body in an extremely cold environment. Then, the post-traumatic body response in an extremely cold environment was introduced, and finally, the sequelae of trauma in extremely cold environment was further summarized in the paper. The results indicated that extremely cold environment can cause a series of damage to the body, especially the body after trauma. The extremely cold factor is a double-edged sword, showing a favorable and unfavorable side in different aspects. Moreover, in addition to the trauma suffered by the body, the subsequent sequelae such as cognitive dysfunction, anxiety, depression and even post-traumatic stress disorder may also be induced. The paper summarizes the human body's physiological response in an extremely cold environment, and declares the effects and mechanisms of the extremely cold environment on the body after trauma, which may provide a theoretical basis for effectively improving the level of combat trauma treatment in extremely cold regions.

Abnormal ambient temperature change increases the risk of out-of-hospital cardiac arrest: A systematic review and meta-analysis of exposure types, risk, and vulnerable populations

BACKGROUND

There is growing evidence in support of a short-term association between ambient temperature and cardiac arrest attacks that is a serious manifestation of cardiovascular disease and has a high incidence and low survival rate. However, it remains unrecognized about the hazardous temperature exposure types, exposure risk magnitude, and vulnerable populations.

OBJECTIVES

We comprehensively summarize prior epidemiological studies looking at the short-term associations of out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA) with various temperature exposures among different populations.

METHODS

We searched PubMed and Web of Science databases from inception to October 2021 for eligible English language. Temperature exposure was categorized into three types: heat (included high temperature, extreme heat, and heatwave), cold (included low temperature and extreme cold), and temperature variation (included diurnal temperature range and temperature change between two adjacent days). Meta-analysis weighted by inverse variance was used to pool effect estimates.

RESULTS

This study included 15 studies from 8 countries, totaling around 1 million OHCA events. Extreme heat and extreme cold were significantly associated with an increased risk of OHCA, and the pooled relative risks (RRs) were 1.071 [95 % confidence interval (CI): 1.019-1.126] and 1.662 (95%CI: 1.138-2.427), respectively. The risk of OHCA was also elevated by heatwaves (RR = 1.248, 95%CI: 1.091-1.427) and more intensive heatwaves had a greater effect. Notably, the elderly and males seemed to be more vulnerable to the effects of heat and cold. However, we did not observe a significant association between temperature variation and the risk of OHCA (1.005, 95%CI: 0.999-1.012).

CONCLUSION

Short-term exposure to heat and cold may be novel risk factors for OHCA. Considering available studies in limited regions, the temperature effect on OHCA should be urgently confirmed in different regions.

Seasonal variation in the effect of antihypertensive treatment with the irbesartan/hydrochlorothiazide combination

There is increasing awareness of seasonal variation in blood pressure (BP). In the present analysis, we investigated seasonal variation in the antihypertensive treatment effect of the irbesartan/hydrochlorothiazide combination in patients with stage 2 and 3 hypertension. The study participants were hypertensive patients enrolled in a 12-week therapeutic study. Antihypertensive treatment was initiated with irbesartan/hydrochlorothiazide 150/12.5 mg/day, with possible uptitration to 300/12.5 mg/day and 300/25 mg/day at 4 and 8 weeks of follow-up, respectively. The month of treatment commencement was classified as spring/summer (May to August) and autumn/winter (September to December). Of the 501 enrolled patients, 313 and 188 commenced antihypertensive treatment in spring/summer and autumn/winter, respectively. The mean changes in systolic/diastolic BP at 8 and 12 weeks of follow-up were greater in patients who commenced treatment in autumn/winter (-32.3/-16.5 and -34.2/-16.7 mmHg, respectively) than those who commenced treatment in spring/summer (-28.4/-13.9 and -27.1/-12.8 mmHg, respectively), with a between-season difference of 3.9 (95% confidence interval [CI], 1.4-6.4, P = 0.002)/2.6 (95% CI, 0.9-4.2, P = 0.002) mmHg and 7.0 (95% CI, 4.7-9.3, P < 0.0001)/3.9 (95% CI, 2.4-5.4, P < 0.0001) mmHg, respectively. Further subgroup analyses according to several baseline characteristics showed a greater between-season difference in the changes in systolic BP in patients aged ≥55 years than in those <55 years (n = 255, 12.6 mmHg vs. n = 246, 6.9 mmHg, P = 0.02), especially in patients who did not use antihypertensive medication at baseline (n = 94, 15.4 mmHg vs. n = 132, 5.4 mmHg, P = 0.006). In conclusion, there is indeed seasonality in the antihypertensive treatment effect, with a greater BP reduction in patients who commenced treatment in cold than warm seasons.

Adapting an In-Home Randomized Intervention Trial Protocol for COVID-19 Precautions

BACKGROUND

The COVID-19 pandemic has significantly impacted the status of clinical trials in the United States, requiring researchers to reconsider their approach to research studies. In light of this, we discuss the changes we made to the protocol of the Home Air Filtration for Traffic-Related Air Pollution (HAFTRAP) study, a randomized crossover trial of air filtration in homes next to a major highway. The senior authors designed the trial prior to the pandemic and included in-person data collection in participants' homes. Because of the pandemic, we delayed the start of our trial in order to revise our study protocol to ensure the health and well-being of participants and staff during home visits. To our knowledge, there have been few reports of attempts to continue in-home research during the pandemic.

METHODS

When pandemic-related protective measures were imposed in March 2020, we were close to launching our trial. Instead, we postponed recruitment, set a new goal of starting in September 2020, and spent the summer of 2020 revising our protocol by developing increased safety precautions. We reviewed alternative approaches to installing portable air filtration units in study participants' homes, in order to reduce or eliminate entry into homes. We also developed a COVID-19 safety plan that covered precautionary measures taken to protect both field team staff and study participants.

RESULTS

Our primary approach was to minimize contact with participants when collecting the following measures in their homes: (1) placing portable air filtration units; (2) conducting indoor air quality monitoring; (3) obtaining blood samples and blood pressure measurements; and (4) administering screening, consent, and follow-up questionnaires that coincided with collection of biological measures. Adapting our public health trial resulted in delays, but also helped ensure ethical and safe research practices. Perceived risk of COVID-19 infection appeared to have been the primary factor for an individual in deciding whether or not to participate in our trial, particularly at the beginning of the pandemic, when less was known about COVID-19.

CONCLUSIONS

We needed to be flexible, creative, and calm when collaborating with community members, the IRB, and the universities, while repeatedly adjusting to changing guidelines as we determined what worked and what did not for in-home data collection. We learned that high-quality air monitoring data could be collected with minimal in-person contact and without compromising the integrity of the trial. Furthermore, we were able to collect blood pressure and phlebotomy data with minimal risk to the participant.

Associations of indoor and outdoor temperatures and their difference with home blood pressure: The Masuda Study

Ambient temperature and blood pressure (BP) are closely related; however, few studies have examined the association of out-of-office BP with indoor or outdoor temperature. The effect of the difference between indoor and outdoor temperatures on BP also remains unknown. Therefore, this study aimed to investigate the association of indoor and outdoor temperatures and their difference with home BP. We studied healthy 352 participants (mean age, 49.8 years; 46.0% women) from a population-based cohort using 2-year data on temperature and self-measured home BP. We measured home BP and indoor temperature at the same time in the morning and evening every day. Outdoor temperature during the same period was based on national data. We observed 82,900 home BP measurements in the morning and 66,420 in the evening. In the mixed-effects model adjusted for age, sex, and possible confounders, indoor temperature was inversely associated with systolic and diastolic BP in the morning and evening. A 1 °C increase in indoor temperature reduced systolic and diastolic BP by 0.37 and 0.22 mmHg, respectively, in the morning and by 0.45 and 0.30 mmHg, respectively, in the evening (all P-values<0.001). The magnitude of associations was stronger for indoor than outdoor temperature. Similarly, a 1 °C increase in indoor temperature above outdoor temperature decreased systolic and diastolic BP by 0.33 and 0.12 mmHg, respectively, in the morning and by 0.45 and 0.26 mmHg, respectively, in the evening independent of outdoor temperature (all P-values <0.001). In conclusion, controlling indoor temperature is important to stabilize home BP levels.

Temperature variability increases the onset risk of ischemic stroke: A 10-year study in Tianjin, China

Background

Epidemiological evidence suggests a correlation between ambient temperature and ischemic stroke. However, evidence on the impact of daily temperature variability on the onset of ischemic stroke is lacking and limited.

Objective

We aimed to investigate the short-term association between temperature variability and ischemic stroke occurrence in Tianjin.

Methods

We performed a 10-year analysis of ischemic stroke patients hospitalized in two affiliated hospitals of Tianjin Medical University from 2011 to 2020. Daily meteorological data were collected from the Tianjin Meteorological Bureau. Temperature variability was calculated from the standard deviation (SD) of daily minimum and maximum temperatures over exposure days. A quasi-Poisson generalized linear regression combined with distributed lag non-linear model (DLNM) was used to estimate the effect of temperature variability on daily stroke onset, while controlling for daily mean temperature, relative humidity, long-term trend and seasonality, public holiday, and day of the week.

Results

Temperature variability was positively associated with ischemic stroke. A 1°C increase in temperature variability at 0-1 days (TV_0-1) was associated with a 4.1% (1.9-6.3%) increase of ischemic stroke onset. In a stratified analysis, men, people aged ≤65 years, and individuals with pre-existing hypertension, hyperlipidemia, hyperhomocysteinemia were more susceptible to temperature variability. Furthermore, the influence pattern of temperature variability on ischemic stroke was different in the cold season (November-April) and the warm season (May-October).

Conclusion

Our findings suggested that short-term temperature variability exposure could increase the risk of ischemic stroke, which may provide new insights into the impact of climate change on health.

Associations of ambient temperature with mortality for ischemic and hemorrhagic stroke and the modification effects of greenness in Shandong Province, China

BACKGROUND

Evidence is scant on the relative and attributable contributions of ambient temperature on stroke subtypes mortality. Few studies have examined modification effects of multiple greenness indicators on such contributions, especially in China. We quantified the associations between ambient temperature and overall, ischemic, and hemorrhagic stroke mortality; further examined whether the associations were modified by greenness.

METHODS

We conducted a multicenter time-series analysis from January 1, 2013 to December 31, 2019. we adopted a distributed lag non-linear model to evaluate county-specific temperature-stroke mortality associations. We then applied a random-effects meta-analysis to pool county-specific effects. Attributable mortality was calculated for cold and heat, defined as temperatures below and above the minimum mortality temperature (MMT). Finally, We conducted a multivariate meta-regression to determine associations between greenness and stroke mortality risks for cold and heat, using normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI), soil adjusted vegetation index (SAVI), and enhanced vegetation index (EVI) as quantitative indicators of greenness exposure.

RESULTS

In the study period, 138,749 deaths from total stroke were reported: 86,873 ischemic and 51,876 hemorrhagic stroke. We observed significant W-shaped relationships between temperature and stroke mortality, with substantial differences among counties and regions. With MMT as the temperature threshold, 17.16 % (95 % empirical CI, 13.38 %-19.75 %) of overall, 20.05 % (95 % eCI, 16.46 %-22.70 %) of ischemic, and 12.55 % (95 % eCI, 5.59 %-16.24 %) of hemorrhagic stroke mortality were attributable to non-optimum temperature (combining cold and heat), more mortality was caused by cold (14.94 %; 95 % eCI, 11.57 %-17.34 %) than by heat (2.22 %; 95 % eCI, 1.54 %-2.72 %). Higher levels of NDVI, SAVI and EVI were related to mitigated effects of non-optimum temperatures-especially heat.

CONCLUSIONS

Exposure to non-optimum temperatures aggravated stroke mortality risks; increasing greenness could alleviate that risks. This evidence has important implications for local communities in developing adaptive strategies to minimize the health consequences of adverse temperatures.

Short-term effects of personal exposure to temperature variability on cardiorespiratory health based on subclinical non-invasive biomarkers

Growing literatures have explored the cardiorespiratory health effects of the daily temperature, but such effects of temperature variability remain unclear. We investigated the acute associations of personal levels of temperature variability with cardiorespiratory biomarkers. This is a panel study with four repeated measurements among forty eligible college students in Hefei, Anhui Province, China. We collected personal-level temperature data using temperature/humidity data loggers. Temperature variability parameters included diurnal temperature range (DTR), the standard-deviation of temperature (SDT) and temperature variability (TV). Cardiorespiratory health indicators included three BP parameters [systolic BP (SBP), diastolic BP (DBP) and mean article pressure (MAP)], fractional exhaled nitric oxide (FeNO), and four saliva biomarkers [C-reactive protein (CRP), cortisol, alpha-amylase and lysozyme]. Linear mixed-effect models were then used to assess the associations of temperature variability with these cardiorespiratory biomarkers. We found that short-term exposure to the three temperature variability parameters was associated with these cardiorespiratory biomarkers. The magnitude, direction and significance of these associations varied by temperature variability parameters, by biomarkers and by lags of exposure. Specifically, temperature variability parameters were inversely associated with BP and saliva lysozyme; positively associated with airway inflammation biomarkers (FeNO and saliva CRP) and stress response biomarkers (saliva cortisol and alpha-amylase). The results were robust to further control for air pollutants, and these associations were more prominent in females and in subjects with abnormal body mass index. Our findings suggested that acute exposure to temperature variability could significantly alter cardiorespiratory biomarker profiles among healthy young adults in China.

Influence of depression on the association between colder indoor temperature and higher blood pressure

OBJECTIVES

Cold exposure accounts for more than 7% of all-cause mortality worldwide, and cold-induced blood pressure (BP) elevation and consequent cardiovascular events are partially responsible. For prevention, it is important to identify risk factors for exaggerated temperature-sensitivity of BP but this is not fully understood. This study investigated whether depressive symptoms affect the relationship between indoor temperature and BP.

METHODS

We conducted a cross-sectional analysis of 1076 community-based individuals who were at least 60 years of age. Depressive symptoms were assessed using the 15-item Geriatric Depression Scale at a cutoff point of 4/5. We performed ambulatory BP monitoring and indoor temperature measurement on two consecutive days during the cold season in Nara, Japan.

RESULTS

When using daytime SBP as a dependent variable, multilevel linear regression analyses showed that lower daytime indoor temperature was significantly associated with higher daytime SBP in the depressive group (n = 216, β = -0.804, P < 0.001) but not in the nondepressive group (n = 860, β = -0.173, P = 0.120); moreover, a significant interaction between depression and daytime indoor temperature was observed (P = 0.014). These relationships were independent of potential confounders including age, gender, BMI, medications, and physical activity. Similar results were obtained for morning SBP, nocturnal SBP dipping, and morning BP surge.

CONCLUSION

The results suggest that depressive participants are more likely to have cold-induced BP elevation than nondepressive participants. Further longitudinal studies are warranted to determine whether people with depressive symptoms are at a high risk for cold-related cardiovascular events.

The interconnections between the microtubules and mitochondrial networks in cardiocerebrovascular diseases: Implications for therapy

Microtubules, a highly dynamic cytoskeleton, participate in many cellular activities including mechanical support, organelles interactions, and intracellular trafficking. Microtubule organization can be regulated by modification of tubulin subunits, microtubule-associated proteins (MAPs) or agents modulating microtubule assembly. Increasing studies demonstrate that microtubule disorganization correlates with various cardiocerebrovascular diseases including heart failure and ischemic stroke. Microtubules also mediate intracellular transport as well as intercellular transfer of mitochondria, a power house in cells which produce ATP for various physiological activities such as cardiac mechanical function. It is known to all that both microtubules and mitochondria participate in the progression of cancer and Parkinson's disease. However, the interconnections between the microtubules and mitochondrial networks in cardiocerebrovascular diseases remain unclear. In this paper, we will focus on the roles of microtubules in cardiocerebrovascular diseases, and discuss the interplay of mitochondria and microtubules in disease development and treatment. Elucidation of these issues might provide significant diagnostic value as well as potential targets for cardiocerebrovascular diseases.

Evaluating the predictive ability of temperature-related indices on the stroke morbidity in Shenzhen, China: Under cross-validation methods framework

BACKGROUND

Composite temperature-related indices have been utilized to comprehensively reflect the impact of multiple meteorological factors on health. We aimed to evaluate the predictive ability of temperature-related indices, choose the best predictor of stroke morbidity, and explore the association between them.

METHODS

We built distributed lag nonlinear models to estimate the associations between temperature-related indices and stroke morbidity and then applied two types of cross-validation (CV) methods to choose the best predictor. The effects of this index on overall stroke, intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH), and ischemic stroke (IS) morbidity were explored and we explained how this index worked using heatmaps. Stratified analyses were conducted to identify vulnerable populations.

RESULTS

Among 12 temperature-related indices, the alternative temperature-humidity index (THIa) had the best overall performance in terms of root mean square error when combining the results from two CVs. With the median value of THIa (25.70 °C) as the reference, the relative risks (RRs) of low THIa (10th percentile) reached a maximum at lag 0-10, with RRs of 1.20 (95%CI:1.10-1.31), 1.49 (95%CI:1.29-1.73) and 1.12 (95%CI:1.03-1.23) for total stroke, ICH and IS, respectively. According to the THIa formula, we matched the effects of THIa on stroke under various combinations of temperature and relative humidity. We found that, although the low temperature (<20 °C) had the greatest adverse effect, the modification effect of humidity on it was not evident. In contrast, lower humidity could reverse the protective effect of temperature into a harmful effect at the moderate-high temperature (24 °C-27 °C). Stratification analyses showed that the female was more vulnerable to low THIa in IS.

CONCLUSIONS

THIa is the best temperature-related predictor of stroke morbidity. In addition to the most dangerous cold weather, the government should pay more attention to days with moderate-high temperature and low humidity, which have been overlooked in the past.

The underlying mechanisms of cold exposure-induced ischemic stroke

Growing evidence suggests that cold exposure is to some extent a potential risk factor for ischemic stroke. At present, although the mechanism by which cold exposure induces ischemic stroke is not fully understood, some potential mechanisms have been mentioned. First, the seasonal and temperature variability of cerebrovascular risk factors (hypertension, hyperglycemia, hyperlipidemia, atrial fibrillation) may be involved. Moreover, the activation of sympathetic nervous system and renin-angiotensin system and their downstream signaling pathways (pro-inflammatory AngII, activated platelets, and dysfunctional immune cells) are also major contributors. Finally, the influenza epidemics induced by cold weather are also influencing factors that cannot be ignored. This article is the first to systematically and comprehensively describe the underlying mechanism of cold-induced ischemic stroke, aiming to provide more preventive measures and medication guidance for stroke-susceptible individuals in cold season, and also provide support for the formulation of public health policies.

Sources of automatic office blood pressure measurement error: a systematic review

OBJECTIVE

Accurate and reliable blood pressure (BP) measurement is important for the prevention and treatment of hypertension. The oscillometric-based automatic office blood pressure measurement (AOBPM) is widely used in hospitals and clinics, but measurement errors are common in BP measurements. There is a lack of systematic review of the sources of measurement errors.

APPROACH

A systematic review of all existing research on sources of AOBPM errors. A search strategy was designed in six online databases, and all the literature published before October 2021 was selected. Those studies that used the AOBPM device to measure BP from the upper arm of subjects were included.

MAIN RESULTS

A total of 1365 studies were screened, and 224 studies were included in this final review. They investigated 22 common error sources with clinical AOBPM. Regarding the causes of BP errors, this review divided them into the following categories: the activities before measurement, patient's factors, measurement environment, measurement procedure, and device settings. 13 sources caused increased systolic and diastolic BP (SBP and DBP), 2 sources caused the decrease in SBP and DBP, only 1 source had no significant effect on BPs, and the other errors had a non-uniform effect (either increase or decrease in BPs). The error ranges for SBP and DBP were -14 to 33 mmHg and -6 to 19 mmHg, respectively.

SIGNIFICANCE

The measurement accuracy of AOBPM is susceptible to the influence of measurement factors. Interpreting BP readings need to be treated with caution in clinical measurements. This review made comprehensive evidence for the need for standardized BP measurements and provided guidance for clinical practitioners when measuring BP with AOBPM devices.

Pooled incidence and case-fatality of acute stroke in Mainland China, Hong Kong, and Macao: A systematic review and meta-analysis

Background

Stroke incidence and case-fatality in Mainland China, Hong Kong, and Macao vary by geographic region and rates often differ across and within regions. This systematic review and meta-analysis (SR) estimated the pooled incidence and short-term case-fatality of acute first ever stroke in mainland China, Hong Kong, and Macao.

Methods

Longitudinal studies published in English or Chinese after 1990 were searched in PubMed/Medline, EMBASE, CINAHL, Web of Science, SinoMed and CQVIP. The incidence was expressed as Poisson means estimated as the number of events divided by time at risk. Random effect models calculated the pooled incidence and pooled case-fatality. Chi-squared trend tests evaluated change in the estimates over time. When possible, age standardised rates were calculated. Percent of variation across studies that was due to heterogeneity rather than chance was tested using the I2 statistic.The effect of covariates on heterogeneity was investigated using meta-regressions. Publication bias was tested using funnel plots and Egger’s tests.

Results

Overall, 72 studies were included. The pooled incidences of total stroke (TS), ischaemic stroke (IS) and haemorrhagic stroke (HS) were 468.9 (95% confidence interval (CI): 163.33–1346.11), 366.79 (95% CI: 129.66–1037.64) and 106.67 (95% CI: 55.96–203.33) per 100,000 person-years, respectively, varied according to the four economic regions (East Coast, Central China, Northeast and Western China) with the lowest rates detected in the East Coast. Increased trends over time in the incidence of TS and IS were observed (p<0.001 in both). One-month and three-to-twelve-month case-fatalities were 0.11 (95% CI: 0.04–0.18) and 0.15 (95% CI: 0.12–0.17), respectively for IS; and 0.36 (95% CI: 0.26–0.45) and 0.25 (95% CI: 0.18–0.32), respectively for HS. One-month case-fatality of IS and HS decreased over time for both (p<0.001). Three-to-twelve-month fatalities following IS increased over time (p<0.001). Publication bias was not found.

Conclusions

Regional differences in stroke incidence were observed with the highest rates detected in less developed regions. Although 1-month fatality following IS is decreasing, the increased trends in 3-12-month fatality may suggest an inappropriate long-term management following index hospital discharge.

Registration

Registration-URL: https://www.crd.york.ac.uk/prospero/; Reference code: CRD42020170724

An Exploration of How Solar Radiation Affects the Seasonal Variation of Human Mortality Rates and the Seasonal Variation in Some Other Common Disorders

Many diseases have large seasonal variations in which winter overall mortality rates are about 25% higher than in summer in mid-latitude countries, with cardiovascular diseases and respiratory infections and conditions accounting for most of the variation. Cancers, by contrast, do not usually have pronounced seasonal variations in incidence or mortality rates. This narrative review examines the epidemiological evidence for seasonal variations in blood pressure, cardiovascular disease rates and respiratory viral infections in relation to atmospheric temperature and humidity, and solar UV exposure through vitamin D production and increased blood concentrations of nitric oxide. However, additional mechanisms most likely exist by which solar radiation reduces the risk of seasonally varying diseases. Some studies have been reported with respect to temperature without considering solar UV doses, although studies regarding solar UV doses, such as for respiratory infections, often consider whether temperature can affect the findings. More research is indicated to evaluate the relative effects of temperature and sun exposure on the seasonality of mortality rates for several diseases. Since solar ultraviolet-B (UVB) doses decrease to vanishingly small values at higher latitudes in winter, the use of safe UVB lamps for indoor use in winter may warrant consideration.

Risk factors for incident cardiovascular events among adults in low- and middle-income countries: A systematic review and meta-analysis of prospective cohort studies

The relative contributions of risk factors for cardiovascular events at a population level has received little attention in low- and middle-income countries (LMICs). We estimated the population attributable fraction (PAF) of risk factors associated with incident cardiovascular events in LMICs. We searched six databases for relevant articles, supplemented with a manual search of reference lists. Articles included in the meta-analyses were those based on prospective community-based cohorts and incorporating adjusted hazard ratios (HR) or relative risks with 95% confidence intervals (95% CI) for associations between risk factors and a composite cardiovascular and/or stroke endpoint. Pooled HRs and 95% CI were calculated using the random effects model. We assessed heterogeneity using the I² test and study quality using the Newcastle-Ottawa Scale. We calculated the PAF of each associated risk factor. The protocol was registered in PROSPERO (CRD42019122741). We identified 18 cohorts from LMICs with 1,125,846 participants, 77,045 composite cardiovascular events and 42,216 strokes. Substantial proportions of incident cardiovascular events were attributable to hypertension (HR [95% CI], 2.23 [2.01-2.48], PAF = 28%); current smoking (1.44 [1.31-1.58], PAF = 10%); and diabetes mellitus (1.93 [1.67-2.23], PAF = 8%). Other risk factors identified included number of children, depression, bone mineral density, and air pollution. A substantial proportion of incident cardiovascular events were linked to traditional metabolic and behavioural modifiable risk factors. However, other novel risk factors also appear to contribute. Targeting of these established and novel risk factors has the potential to reduce the burden of CVD in LMICs.

Bayes Conditional Probability-Based Causation Analysis between Gestational Diabetes Mellitus (GDM) and Pregnancy-Induced Hypertension (PIH): A Statistic Case Study in Harbin, China

Both gestational diabetes mellitus (GDM) and pregnancy-induced hypertension (PIH) would influence the gestation significantly. However, the causation between these two symptoms remains speculative. 16,404 pregnant women were identified in Harbin, China, in this study. We investigated and evaluated the causal effect of GDM on PIH based on the Bayes conditional probability. The statistical results indicated that PIH might cause GDM, but not vice versa. Also, this case study demonstrated that the decrease temperature might also cause hypertension during pregnancy, and the prevalence rate of GDM increased with age. However, the prevalence of diabetes did not show a remarkable difference in varied areas and ages. This study could provide some essential information that will help to investigate the mechanism for GDM and PIH.

Daily Meteorological Parameters Influence the Risk of Intracerebral Hemorrhage in a Subtropical Monsoon Basin Climate

Background and Purpose

The correlation between meteorological parameters and intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH) occurrence is controversial. Our research explored the effect of daily meteorological parameters on ICH risk in a subtropical monsoon basin climate.

Methods

We retrospectively analyzed patients with ICH in a teaching hospital. Daily meteorological parameters including temperature (TEM), atmospheric pressure (PRE), relative humidity (RHU), and sunshine duration (SSD) were collected, with the diurnal variation (daily maximum minus minimum) and day-to-day variation (average of the day minus the previous day) calculated to represent their fluctuation. We adopted a time-stratified case-crossover approach and selected conditional logistic regression to explore the effect of meteorological parameters on ICH risk. The influence of monthly mean temperature proceeded via stratified analysis. Air pollutants were gathered as covariates.

Results

Our study included 1052 eligible cases with ICH. In a single-factor model, the risk of ICH decreased by 5.9% (P<0.001) for each 1°C higher of the daily mean TEM, and the risk increased by 2.4% (P=0.002) for each 1hPa higher of the daily mean PRE. Prolongation of daily SSD inhibited the risk of ICH, and OR was 0.959 (P=0.007). The risk was raised by 7.5% (P=0.0496) with a 1°C increment of day-to-day variation of TEM. In a two-factor model, the effect of daily mean TEM or daily SSD on ICH risk was still statistically significant after adjusting another factor. The influence of meteorological parameters on ICH risk continued in cold months but disappeared in warm months after stratified analysis.

Conclusion

This research indicates daily TEM and SSD had an inverse correlation to ICH risk in a subtropical monsoon basin climate. They were independent when adjusted by another factor. Daily PRE and day-to-day TEM variation were positively related to ICH risk. The correlation of daily meteorological factors on ICH risk was affected by the monthly thermal background.

Optimal Antihypertensive Medication Adherence Reduces the Effect of Ambient Temperature on Intracerebral Hemorrhage Occurrence: A Case-Crossover Study

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE

The role of antihypertensive medication adherence in reducing the effect of ambient temperature (TEM) on intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH) pathogenesis is unclear. We aimed to study the influence of ambient TEM on the ICH occurrence in hypertensive patients with different medication adherence.

METHODS

We enrolled consecutive ICH patients with a definite history of hypertension in a teaching hospital over a period of six years. Medication adherence was calculated using the proportion of prescription days covered (PDC) to antihypertensive mediation in the last month before the ICH attack. Optimal medication adherence (OMA) was the PDC > 80%, and non-optimal medication adherence (non-OMA) was ≤80%. Daily ambient TEM and its variation were collected as the explanatory variables, and dominant air pollutants were gathered as covariates. We adopted a time-stratified case-crossover approach to minimize individual confounders. Conditional logistic regression was conducted to calculate the odds ratio (OR) of daily ambient TEM on ICH occurrence.

RESULTS

We recruited a total of 474 patients in this study. The number of participants with OMA and non-OMA was 249 and 225. Daily mean and max TEM in lag0 to lag2, as well as daily min TEM in lag0 to lag1, were significantly related to ICH onset in all enrolled patients and non-OMA cases. However, only daily TEM in lag0 was meaningfully associated with ICH onset in the OMA cases. The risk of ICH in OMA patients, respectively, changed by 7.9% (OR = 0.921, [0.861, 0.985]) or 6.3% (OR = 0.937, [0.882, 0.995]) when daily mean or max TEM was altered by 1°C in lag0, but the change raised by 10.4% (OR = 0.896, [0.836, 0.960]) or 7.5% (OR = 0.925, [0.868, 0.986]) in non-OMA patients. And the risk varied (OR = 0.933, [0.882, 0.988]) only in non-OMA patients when daily min TEM was altered by 1°C in lag1.

CONCLUSION

Our results indicate that OMA to antihypertensive drugs reduces the influence of ambient TEM on ICH occurrence in hypertensive patients.

The relationship between home blood pressure measurement and room temperature in a Japanese general population

Blood pressure (BP) is influenced by various factors, and it is known that temperature and BP have a negative relationship. However, few reports have examined the relationship between BP and temperature throughout the day in the same participant over time. Therefore, this study aimed to investigate the relationship between BP and temperature in the morning and evening in the same participants during a time period of ~1 year. In total, 401 participants, who participated in a community-based health checkup survey in Tarumizu, Japan, were enrolled. Five participants were excluded due to missing data. All participants measured their BP and the room temperature at home using a blood pressure monitor (HEM-9700T, OMRON Healthcare, Kyoto, Japan). The mean systolic BP (SBP) and diastolic BP (DBP) in the morning were significantly higher than the mean of the measurements taken in the evening (SBP: morning vs. evening 128 ± 15 mmHg vs. 122 ± 14 mmHg, P < 0.0001; DBP: morning vs. evening 77 ± 10 mmHg vs. 72 ± 8 mmHg, P < 0.0001). Using a linear mixed model with participants as a random effect, SBP and DBP were significantly associated with temperature in both the morning and evening. In the morning, in almost every month except July, a significant association between SBP and temperature was observed. However, there was a significant relationship between evening BP and temperature in all months. In conclusion, BP was significantly related to temperature in both the morning and evening during the year-long study. Furthermore, BP and temperature were significantly associated in all months except morning measurements in July.

Effect and Relationship of Seasons on the High Risk of Ovarian Hyperstimulation Syndrome After Oocyte Retrieval in Patients With Polycystic Ovary Syndrome

OBJECTIVE

To investigate the effect of seasons on the incidence of high risk of ovarian hyperstimulation syndrome (OHSS) after in oocyte retrieval in patients with polycystic ovarian syndrome (PCOS) and to establish a nomogram to predict the risk of OHSS.

DESIGN

Single-center, retrospective study.

SETTING

University-affiliated reproductive medicine center.

PATIENTS

A total of 2,030 infertility patients with PCOS underwent the follicular phase long-acting long protocol IVF/ICSI in the reproductive medicine center from January 2017 to December 2019.

INTERVENTIONS

None.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

Logistic regression analysis was used to analyze the factors associated with a high risk of OHSS. We established a nomogram to predict the risk of OHSS in infertility patients with PCOS after oocyte retrieval.

RESULTS

The incidence of patients at high risk of OHSS was significantly different from season-to-season and was especially higher in the summer and winter. Multivariate logistic analysis showed that gonadotropin dosage, number of retrieved oocytes, estradiol level, average bilateral ovarian diameter on the day human chorionic gonadotropin was administered, type of infertility, and average temperature were independent risk factors for OHSS after oocyte retrieval in PCOS patients. Based on the above independent risk factors, we constructed a prediction model for OHSS risk. To evaluate the efficiency of the prediction model, we calculated the C-index (0.849), area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (0.849), and internal validation C-index (0.846). Decision curve analysis suggested that the prediction model exhibited significant net benefits.

CONCLUSIONS

The incidence of PCOS patients at high risk for OHSS after oocyte retrieval fluctuated with seasonal temperature changes, and was significantly higher in extreme climates. The prediction model had favorable predictive performance and clinical application value.