Association of LDL-cholesterol with prognosis in patients admitted for acutely decompensated heart failure

INTRODUCTION AND OBJECTIVES

The association of low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C) levels and prognosis in patients with heart failure (HF) remains uncertain. This study aimed to evaluate the prognostic significance of LDL-C in patients admitted for acutely decompensated HF and establish a safety cut-off value in this population.

METHODS

This retrospective, observational study included 167 consecutive patients admitted for acute HF. LDL-C levels were measured on hospital admission, and patients were categorized according to their estimated cardiovascular (CV) risk. The primary endpoint was all-cause mortality at one-year, while secondary endpoints included HF hospitalizations, major thrombotic events, and net clinical benefit.

RESULTS

During the follow-up period, 14.4% of patients died. Higher LDL-C levels were independently associated with improved survival, with a 4-fold increase in survival probability for each 1 mg/dL increase in serum LDL-C. The minimum LDL-C value not associated with increased mortality risk was 88 mg/dL. Patients with LDL-C below this cut-off had a significantly higher risk of mortality and a tendency for higher HF hospitalization risk. The net clinical benefit endpoint was also influenced by LDL-C levels, with LDL-C below 88 mg/dL associated with an increased risk of events.

CONCLUSION

In patients admitted for acutely decompensated HF, higher LDL-C levels were associated with reduced risk of mortality. An LDL-C value below 88 mg/dL was associated with increased mortality, suggesting the need for a more liberal LDL-C target in this specific patient population. These findings highlight the importance of considering LDL-C levels in the management and risk assessment of patients with HF.

Cholesterol Content of Very-Low-Density Lipoproteins Is Associated with 1-Year Mortality in Acute Heart Failure Patients

Considering the relationship between the extent of metabolic derangement and the disease severity in heart failure, we hypothesized that the lipid content of very-low-density lipoprotein (VLDL) may have prognostic value for 1 year mortality in acute heart failure (AHF). Baseline serum levels of VLDL cholesterol (VLDL-C), VLDL triglycerides (VLDL-TG), VLDL phospholipids (VLDL-PL), and VLDL apolipoprotein B (VLDL-apoB) were measured using NMR spectroscopy. We calculated the ratios of the respective VLDL lipids and VLDL apoB (VLDL-C/VLDL-apoB, VLDL-TG/VLDL-apoB, and VLDL-PL/VLDL-apoB), as estimators of the cholesterol, triglyceride, and phospholipid content of VLDL particles and tested their association with mortality. Out of 315 AHF patients, 118 (37.5%) patients died within 1 year after hospitalization for AHF. Univariable Cox regression analyses revealed a significant inverse association of VLDL-C/VLDL-apoB (hazard ratio (HR) 0.43, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.29−0.64, p < 0.001), VLDL-TG/VLDL-apoB (HR 0.79, 95% CI 0.71−0.88, p < 0.001), and VLDL-PL/VLDL-apoB (HR 0.37, 95% CI 0.25−0.56, p < 0.001) with 1 year mortality. Of the tested parameters, only VLDL-C/VLDL-apoB remained significant after adjustment for age and sex, as well as other clinical and laboratory parameters that showed a significant association with 1 year mortality in the univariable analyses. We conclude that cholesterol content of circulating VLDL (VLDL-C/VLDL-apoB) might be of prognostic value in AHF.

Validation of the obesity paradox by body mass index and waist circumference in patients undergoing percutaneous coronary intervention

BACKGROUND

The paradoxical association of obesity with mortality, named the "obesity paradox", has been inconsistent, possibly due to a difference between body mass index (BMI) and central obesity, estimated by waist circumference (WC) as patterns of adiposity.

SUBJECTS/METHODS

We enrolled 8513 participants from the Kumamoto Intervention Conference Study, a multicenter registry that included consecutive patients undergoing percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) at 18 centers between 2008 and 2017 in Japan. Patients were divided into quartiles in ascending order of the BMI or WC. The primary endpoints were all-cause mortality and cardiovascular death within a year.

RESULTS

There were 186 deaths (case fatality rate, 22.1/1000 person-years) during the follow-up period. The lowest group (1st quartile) of BMI or WC had the worst prognosis among the quartiles (1st quartile, 4.2%; 2nd quartile, 1.9%; 3rd quartile, 1.5%; 4th quartile, 1.1%; P < 0.001 (χ²) and 1st quartile, 4.1%; 2nd quartile, 2.3%; 3rd quartile, 1.2%; 4th quartile, 1.5%; P < 0.001 (χ²), respectively). Similar results were obtained for cardiovascular death. In a multivariable analysis adjusted by nine conventional factors, the lowest group (1st quartile) of BMI (hazards ratio, 2.748; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.712-4.411) and WC (hazards ratio, 2.340; 95% CI, 1.525-3.589) were independent prognostic factors for all-cause mortality. By dividing the participants into two groups according to either the BMI or WC based on the National Cholesterol Education Program Adult Treatment Panel III and World Health Organization classification, the highest mortality was observed in the lower group. However, the C-statistic after adding BMI (quartile) to conventional factors was found to be slightly higher than BMI (two categories) and WC (two categories) (0.735 vs. 0.734).

CONCLUSIONS

The obesity paradox was observed in patients after PCI, and single-use of BMI (or WC) was sufficient to predict the prognosis of patients after PCI.

The obesity paradox and hypoglycemia in critically ill patients

BACKGROUND

A high body mass index (BMI) has been associated with decreased mortality in critically ill patients. This association may, in part, relate to the impact of BMI on glycemia. We aimed to study the relationship between BMI, glycemia and hospital mortality.

METHODS

We included all patients with a recorded BMI from four large international clinical databases (n = 259,177). We investigated the unadjusted association of BMI with average glucose levels, mortality and hypoglycemia rate. We applied multivariate analysis to investigate the impact of BMI on hypoglycemia rate, after adjusting for glycemia-relevant treatments (insulin, dextrose, corticosteroids, enteral and parenteral nutrition) and key physiological parameters (previous blood glucose level, blood lactate, shock state, SOFA score).

RESULTS

We analyzed 5,544,366 glucose measurements. On unadjusted analysis, increasing BMI was associated with increasing glucose levels (average increase of 5 and 10 mg/dL for the 25-30, 30-35 kg/m2 BMI groups compared to normal BMI (18.5-25 kg/m2) patients). Despite greater hyperglycemia, increasing BMI was associated with lower hospital mortality (average decrease of 2% and 3.25% for the 25-30, 30-35 kg/m2 groups compared to normal BMI patients) and lower hypoglycemia rate (average decrease of 2.5% and 3.5% for the 25-30, 30-35 kg/m2 groups compared to normal BMI patients). Increasing BMI was significantly independently associated with reduced hypoglycemia rate, with odds ratio (OR) 0.72 and 0.65, respectively (95% CIs 0.67-0.77 and 0.60-0.71, both p < 0.001) when compared with normal BMI. Low BMI patients showed greater hypoglycemia rate, with OR 1.6 (CI 1.43-1.79, p < 0.001). The association of high BMI and decreased mortality did not apply to diabetic patients. Although diabetic patients had higher rates of hypoglycemia overall and higher glucose variability (p < 0.001), they also had a reduced risk of hypoglycemia with higher BMI levels (p < 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

Increasing BMI is independently associated with decreased risk of hypoglycemia. It is also associated with increasing hyperglycemia and yet with lower mortality. Lower risk of hypoglycemia might contribute to decreased mortality and might partly explain the obesity paradox. These associations, however, were markedly modified by the presence of diabetes.

Body composition parameters and functional status test in predicting future acute exacerbation risk among hospitalized patients with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) is a leading cause of morbidity and mortality worldwide. Nutritional and functional status derangement is a commonly seen in COPD patients, and this is associated with a higher disease severity and mortality. To assess body composition analysis - measured by segmental multi-frequency bioelectrical impedance analysis (BIA)- and functional status and investigate their relationship with the COPD acute exacerbation risk.

METHODS

Eighty COPD patients admitted to hospital for COPD acute exacerbation were prospectively followed-up for one year after discharge, focusing on a new incidence of COPD acute exacerbation. Following discharge, participants' body composition was assessed with the use of segmental multi-frequency BIA, whereas physical function by performing 5-repetitions and 30 s sit-to-stand (STS) tests. Unadjusted and multivariate logistic regression analyses were performed to evaluate the ability of the various measures to predict incidence of future COPD acute exacerbation in one-year period.

RESULTS

Seventy-six out of 80 participants completed the study and were analyzed. Fifty-one [24 male (47.1%)] out of 76 participants (67.1%), mean aged of 69.3 ± 8.9 years, developed at least one new COPD acute exacerbation during the one year follow-up. The probability of COPD acute exacerbation in one year was significantly related to BMI (OR = 0.75, 95% CI; 0.61-0.91, p = 0.004) and Fat Free Mass (OR = 0.88, 95% CI; 0.79-0.97, p = 0.012) after adjustment for sex, age and smoking index (pack × years). Both 5-repetitions and 30 s STS tests had a good predictive ability for the incidence of COPD acute exacerbation in one year (AUC = 0.80, 95% CI; 0.65-0.95, p = 0.009 and AUC = 0.83, 95% CI; 0.70-0.96, p = 0.004, respectively).

CONCLUSION

In an observational study among patients admitted with COPD acute exacerbation, body composition analysis parameters and functional status are related to acute exacerbation risk incidence.

The cholesterol paradox may be attenuated in heart failure patients with diabetes

BACKGROUND

In heart failure (HF) patients, a lower total cholesterol (TC) appears to portend an ominous prognosis. We studied if the prognostic impact of TC was different according to diabetes mellitus (DM) status in a chronic HF population.

METHODS

Patients with systolic HF under optimized and stable evidence-based therapy were prospectively recruited from our HF clinic. We excluded patients on renal replacement therapy and those hospitalized in the previous 2 months. A venous blood sample was collected. Patients were followed for up to 5 years and all-cause mortality was the endpoint under analysis. The prognostic impact of TC was analyzed using a Cox-regression analysis. Analysis was stratified according to coexistence of DM.

RESULTS

We studied 262 chronic HF patients, 182 males, mean age 69 years, 98 (37.4%) diabetic and 62.2% with severe left ventricular systolic dysfunction. Median B-type natriuretic peptide: 237.8 pg/mL; median TC: 169 mg/dL. During follow-up 121 (46.2%) patients died. Patients with TC>200 mg/dL had better survival than those with lower TC; however, this protective effect was mostly observed in non-diabetic HF patients. In non-diabetics the multivariate adjusted 5-year mortality hazard ratio (HR) was 0.36 (95% CI: 0.16-0.79) for those with TC>200 mg/dL. In diabetic HF patients, there was a non-significant survival benefit of TC>200 mg/dL; HR 0.51 (95% CI: 0.20-1.30).

CONCLUSIONS

Non-diabetic chronic HF patients with TC>200 mg/dL have a 64% lower risk of 5-year death. In diabetics, there is a non-significant 49% protective effect of elevated TC. The cholesterol paradox may be attenuated in diabetic HF patients.

Examining the Associations among Fibrocystic Breast Change, Total Lean Mass, and Percent Body Fat

Fibrocystic breast change (FBC) is extremely common and occurrs in 90% of women during their lives. The association between body composition and risk of breast cancer is well established. We hypothesized that the effect might exist during the development of FBC. Our aim was to examine the relationships of total lean mass (TLM) and percent body fat (PBF) with FBC in a general female population. In total, 8477 female subjects aged 20 years or older were enrolled in the study at the Tri-Service General Hospital in Taiwan from 2011 to 2016. Comprehensive examinations including biochemical data, measurements of body composition and breast ultrasound were performed. PBF was positively associated with the presence of FBC (OR = 1.039, 95%CI: 1.018–1.060), and TLM showed the opposite result (OR = 0.893, 95%CI: 0.861–0.926). Condition of metabolic syndrome (MetS), diabetes (DM) and fatty liver modified the association between PBF and FBC (P < 0.001, P = 0.032 and P = 0.007, respectively). Female subjects diagnosed with MetS, DM, and fatty liver had higher risk of developing FBC than control subjects (OR = 1.110, 95%CI: 1.052–1.171; OR = 1.144, 95%CI: 1.024–1.278; OR = 1.049, 95%CI: 1.019, 1.080). Those with higher PBF (for highest quartile versus lowest, OR = 2.451, 95%CI: 1.523–3.944) or lower TLM (for highest quartile versus lowest, OR = 0.279, 95%CI: 0.171–0.455) had increased risk of developing FBC. In conclusion, increased PBF and reduced TLM were likely to predict the risk of the presence of FBC in a general female population.

Volume Balance and Intradialytic Ultrafiltration Rate in the Hemodialysis Patient

PURPOSE OF REVIEW

Volume management in hemodialysis patients is often challenging. Assessing volume status and deciding how much fluid to remove during hemodialysis, the so-called ultrafiltration rate (UFR), has remained a conundrum.

RECENT FINDINGS

To date there is no objective assessment tool to determine the needed UFR during each hemodialysis session. Higher volume overload or higher UFR is associated with poor outcomes including worse mortality and unfavorable clinical outcomes. We suggest combined use of the following criteria to determine UFR or post-dialysis target dry weight: pre-hemodialysis blood pressure and its intradialytic changes, muscle cramps, dyspnea from pulmonary vascular congestion, peripheral edema, tachycardia or palpitation, headache or lightheadedness, perspiration, and post-dialysis fatigue. Restricting fluid and salt intake-and high-dose loop diuretic use in cases of residual kidney function-can be helpful in controlling fluid gains. More frequent and more severe hypotensive episodes are associated with poor outcomes including higher death risk.

Higher BMI in heart failure patients is associated with longer survival only in the absence of diabetes

AIMS

Obesity and diabetes are associated with an increased cardiovascular risk and mortality. Paradoxically, higher BMI is associated with longer survival in heart failure patients. The association between BMI and risk of death in heart failure patients depends on diabetes history.

METHODS

We conducted a retrospective cohort study on 503 ambulatory systolic heart failure patients attending a heart failure clinic, based on abstraction of data from clinical records. Patients were compared according to diabetes history. BMI was analyzed as a continuous variable and dichotomized using 25 kg/m as cut-off. Patients' follow-up was censored at 5 years and all-cause death was the endpoint under study.

RESULTS

The median age was 69 years and 68% were men; 184 (36.6%) patients had diabetes upon referral. During follow-up, 95 nondiabetic and 69 diabetic patients died. Higher BMI was associated with longer survival in the whole sample, but this association was only reproduced in the subgroup of patients without diabetes [hazard ratio = 0.93; 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.89-0.98 per kg/m vs. hazard ratio = 0.99; 95% CI: 0.94-1.04 in diabetic patients; P for interaction = 0.009]. BMI below 25 kg/m increased the risk of death by 1.90-fold (95% CI: 1.23-2.94) with a null association in diabetic patients (P for interaction = 0.012). The association between BMI and mortality in nondiabetic heart failure patients was independent of other predictors of prognosis.

CONCLUSION

The reported obesity paradox in heart failure can only be observed in nondiabetic patients.

Serum Levels of Human MIC-1/GDF15 Vary in a Diurnal Pattern, Do Not Display a Profile Suggestive of a Satiety Factor and Are Related to BMI

The TGF-b superfamily cytokine MIC-1/GDF15 circulates in the blood of healthy humans. Its levels rise substantially in cancer and other diseases and this may sometimes lead to development of an anorexia/cachexia syndrome. This is mediated by a direct action of MIC-1/GDF15 on feeding centres in the hypothalamus and brainstem. More recent studies in germline gene deleted mice also suggest that this cytokine may play a role in physiological regulation of energy homeostasis. To further characterize the role of MIC-1/GDF15 in physiological regulation of energy homeostasis in man, we have examined diurnal and food associated variation in serum levels and whether variation in circulating levels relate to BMI in human monozygotic twin pairs. We found that the within twin pair differences in serum MIC-1/GDF15 levels were significantly correlated with within twin pair differences in BMI, suggesting a role for MIC-1/GDF15 in the regulation of energy balance in man. MIC-1/GDF15 serum levels altered slightly in response to a meal, but comparison with variation its serum levels over a 24hour period suggested that these changes are likely to be due to bimodal diurnal variation which can alter serum MIC-1/GDF15 levels by about plus or minus 10% from the mesor. The lack of a rapid and substantial postprandial increase in MIC-1/GDF15 serum levels suggests that MIC1/GDF15 is unlikely to act as a satiety factor. Taken together, our findings suggest that MIC-1/GDF15 may be a physiological regulator of energy homeostasis in man, most probably due to actions on long-term regulation of energy homeostasis.

Lipid profile and statin use: the paradox of survival after acute exacerbation of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease

BACKGROUND

A paradoxical association between cholesterol level and clinical outcome has been suggested, yet never previously established, in patients with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD).

OBJECTIVES

The authors sought to investigate the interaction between long-term survival, lipid profile and statin use in patients after acute exacerbation of COPD (AECOPD).

METHODS

A retrospective study evaluating demographic, clinical and laboratory data of 615 consecutive patients admitted for AECOPD over a mean follow-up period of 24.8 months. Kaplan-Meier survival curves and multivariate analysis were used to identify independent prognostic predictors for all-cause mortality.

RESULTS

Mean ± standard deviation (SD) age of the study population was 71.8 ± 11.4 years. Unexpectedly, mean serum cholesterol ± SD levels were significantly higher in survivors (N = 340) versus nonsurvivors (N = 275): 181.5 ± 43.6 versus 171.6 ± 57.2 mg/dL, respectively, (P = 0.0043). Median survival for patients with cholesterol levels <150 and >200 mg/dL were 16.0 and 64.4 months, respectively (P = 0.0173). On multivariate analysis, cholesterol level <150 mg/dL was an independent predictor of mortality, irrespective of cardiovascular risk factors (hazard ratio [HR] = 1.8430, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 1.2547-2.7072, P = 0.0019). Statin use had an independent protective effect, regardless of cholesterol level (HR = 0.4924, 95% CI = 0.2924-0.8292, P = 0.0080).

CONCLUSIONS

Low cholesterol levels are significantly associated with increased mortality after AECOPD. Nonetheless, as statin treatment was associated with reduced mortality over the entire range of cholesterol levels, its use should be considered in all COPD patients.

Reverse epidemiology in different stages of heart failure

BACKGROUND

In heart failure (HF), traditional cardiovascular risk factors (RF) as body mass index (BMI), total cholesterol (TC) and systolic blood pressure (SBP) are associated with better survival. It is unknown at which time point along the disease continuum the adverse impact of these RF ceases and may 'start to reverse'. We analyzed the distribution of RF and their association with survival across HF stages.

METHODS

We pooled data from four cohort studies from the German Competence Network HF. Employing ACC/AHA-criteria, patients were allocated to stage A (n=218), B (n=1324), C1 (i.e., New York Heart Association [NYHA] classes I & II; n=1134), and C2+D (NYHA III & IV; n=639).

RESULTS

With increasing HF severity median age increased (63/67/67/70 years), whereas the proportion of females (56/52/37/35%), median BMI (26.1/28.8/27.7/26.6 kg/m(2)), TC (212/204/191/172 mg/dl), and SBP (140/148/130/120 mmHg) decreased (P<0.001 for trend for all). In the total cohort, higher levels of all RF were associated with better survival, even after extensive adjustment for multiple confounders. If analyses were stratified, however, a higher RF burden predicted better survival only in clinically symptomatic patients: hazard ratio (HR) per +2 kg/m(2) BMI 0.91 (95% confidence interval 0.88; 0.95); per +10 mg/dl TC 0.93 (0.92; 0.95); per +5 mmHg SBP 0.94 (0.92; 0.95).

CONCLUSION

In this well-characterized sample of patients representing the entire HF continuum, reverse associations were only consistently observed in symptomatic HF stages. Our data indicate that the phenomenon of a "reverse epidemiology" in HF is subject to significant selection bias in less advanced disease.

Body mass index is associated with hospital mortality in critically ill patients: an observational cohort study

OBJECTIVE

Obesity is associated with a variety of diseases, which results in a decreased overall life expectancy. Nevertheless, some studies suggest that being overweight may reduce hospital mortality of certain patient groups, referred to as obesity paradox. Conflicting results for critically ill patients are reported. Therefore, we wished to investigate the association of body mass index and hospital mortality in critically ill patients.

DESIGN

Observational cohort study in Dutch critically ill patients.

SETTING

A dataset from the Dutch National Intensive Care Evaluation registry that includes patients admitted to Dutch ICUs was used.

PATIENTS

One hundred fifty-four thousand three hundred and eight ICU patients of teaching and nonteaching units in urban and nonurban hospitals.

INTERVENTIONS

None.

MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS

We used logistic regression analysis, correcting for case mix (Simplified Acute Physiology Score II, age, gender, admission type, neoplasm, AIDS, hematologic malignancy, immunologic insufficiency, mechanical ventilation, and calendar year), to determine the relationship between body mass index and hospital mortality. Body mass index was included in the model as a continuous nonlinear covariate in a restricted regression spline transformation. To facilitate interpretation, adjusted odds ratios were calculated for the World Health Organization-based body mass index classes. Body mass index was found to be significantly associated with hospital mortality, with risks quickly increasing for underweight patients (body mass index < 18.5 kg/m). Obese and seriously obese patients, with a body mass index of 30-39.9 kg/m, had the lowest risk of death with an adjusted odds ratio of 0.86 (0.83-0.90).

CONCLUSIONS

This large observational database shows an inverse association between obesity and hospital mortality in critically ill patients that could not be explained by a variety of known confounders.

Prognostic significance of serum total cholesterol and triglyceride levels in patients hospitalized for heart failure with reduced ejection fraction (from the EVEREST Trial)

Lower cholesterol levels are associated with worse outcomes in patients with chronic heart failure (HF) and have been shown to predict in-hospital mortality. The relation between lipid profile and postdischarge outcomes in patients hospitalized for worsening HF is less clear. In this post hoc analysis of the Efficacy of Vasopressin Antagonism in Heart Failure Outcome Study With Tolvaptan (EVEREST), 3,957 patients hospitalized for worsening HF with ejection fractions ≤40% were examined. Baseline total cholesterol and triglyceride levels were measured <48 hours after admission and evaluated as continuous variables. The primary end points of all-cause mortality and cardiovascular mortality or hospitalization for HF were compared using Cox regression models. Patient characteristics at randomization were also compared among quartiles of total cholesterol. Patients with lower total cholesterol tended to have lower blood pressure, ejection fractions, serum sodium, and albumin, and were more likely to have worse HF functional class, to have higher natriuretic peptide levels, and to have histories of diabetes mellitus, renal insufficiency, and coronary revascularization (all p values <0.001). After adjustment for baseline clinical risk factors, total cholesterol was predictive of all-cause mortality (hazard ratio 0.73, 95% confidence interval 0.63 to 0.85, p <0.001) and cardiovascular mortality or hospitalization for HF (hazard ratio 0.73, 95% confidence interval 0.66 to 0.82, p <0.001) at median follow-up of 9.9 months. Lower baseline triglyceride level was also associated with worse outcomes. In conclusion, lower baseline total cholesterol is correlated with a high-risk patient profile and is a marker of disease severity in patients hospitalized for worsening HF with reduced ejection fraction. Baseline total cholesterol and triglyceride levels are predictive of mortality and HF rehospitalization beyond traditional risk factors.

Body size and longitudinal body weight changes do not increase mortality in incident peritoneal dialysis patients of the Brazilian peritoneal dialysis multicenter study

OBJECTIVES

To determine the roles of body size and longitudinal body weight changes in the survival of incident peritoneal dialysis patients.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

Patients (n = 1911) older than 18 years of age recruited from 114 dialysis centers (Dec/ 2004-Oct/2007) and participating in the Brazilian Peritoneal Dialysis Multicenter Cohort Study were included. Clinical and laboratory data were collected monthly (except if the patient received a transplant, recovered renal function, was transferred to hemodialysis, or died).

RESULTS

Survival analyses were performed using Kaplan-Meier survival curves and Cox proportional hazards. Total follow-up was 34 months. The mean age was 59 years (54% female). The weight category percentages were as follows: underweight: 8%; normal: 51%; overweight: 29%; and obese 12%. The multivariate model showed a higher risk of death for a body mass index <18.5 kg/m², a neutral risk between 25 and 29.9 kg/m² and a protective effect for an index >30 kg/m². Patients were divided into five categories according to quintiles of body weight changes during the first year of dialysis: <-3.1%, -3.1 to+0.12%, +0.12 to <+3.1% (reference category), +3.1 to +7.1% and >+7.1%. Patients in the lowest quintile had significantly higher mortality, whereas no negative impact was observed in the other quintiles.

CONCLUSION

These findings suggest that overweight/obesity and a positive body weight variation during the first year of peritoneal dialysis therapy do not increase mortality in incident dialysis patients in Brazil.

Contribution of body mass index to postoperative outcome in minority patients

OBJECTIVE

The purpose of this investigation was to examine the association of body mass index (BMI) category with short-term outcomes in minority surgical patients-a relationship that previously has not been well characterized.

METHODS

Data from the National Surgical Quality Improvement Program were used to calculate the BMI of minority patients undergoing surgery from 2005 to 2008. Patients were stratified into 5 BMI classes. Stepwise logistic regression was used to calculate odds ratios for mortality after controlling for known clinically relevant covariates.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

Morbidity and mortality at 30 days, across all 5 BMI classes.

RESULTS

Among 119,619 minority patients studied, 50% were African American, 36% Hispanic, 10% Asian and Pacific Islanders, and 4% American Indian and Alaskan natives. Seventy percent were overweight or obese. Women were more likely to be obese or severely obese. The overall mortality rate was 1.5%, and this varied significantly by BMI class. Distribution of 30-day mortality demonstrated a progressive decrease, with the highest risk of death in the underweight class, and the lowest risk of death in the severely obese class. This relationship was maintained, even in patients with at least 1 major postoperative complication.

CONCLUSION

The prevalence of being overweight or obese was high in this nationally representative cohort of minority surgical patients. Although BMI class is a significant predictor of 30-day mortality, the effect appeared paradoxical. The poorest outcomes were in the underweight and normal BMI patients. Severely obese patients had the lowest risk of mortality, even after experiencing a major postoperative complication.

The "obesity paradox": does it persist among Israeli patients with decompensated heart failure? A subanalysis of the Heart Failure Survey in Israel (HFSIS)

BACKGROUND

Earlier studies among heart failure (HF) patients reported a paradox of reduced mortality rates in those with increased body mass index (BMI). Recently, however, it has been shown that obesity was not associated with better prognosis in certain groups. The aim of this study was to evaluate the "obesity paradox" among patients included in the Heart Failure Survey in Israel (HFSIS).

METHODS AND RESULTS

Clinical, demographic, and laboratory characteristics of 2,323 patients hospitalized with a diagnosis of acute or decompensated chronic HF in 25 public Israeli hospitals between March 1 and April 30, 2003, were categorized by BMI as: normal weight (18.5-24.9 kg/m(2); n = 837), overweight (25.0-29.9 kg/m(2); n = 877), or obese (≥30.0 kg/m(2); n = 574), excluding 35 patients with BMI <18.5 kg/m(2). Survival over 15 months was inversely related to BMI category. Age-adjusted mortality hazard ratio (HR) was 0.95 (95% confidence interval [CI] 0.79-1.14) for overweight patients and 0.70 (95% CI 0.55-0.88) for obese patients compared with normal-weight patients. After further adjustment for gender, ejection fraction, New York Heart Association functional class, ischemic heart disease, diabetes, hypertension, dyslipidemia, renal function, and medications (angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitor/angiotensin receptor blocker, β-blocker, spironolactone), obesity was associated with a nonsignificant HR of 0.79 (95% CI 0.59-1.05). Hypertension and dyslipidemia were also paradoxically associated with better survival in our model (HR 0.74, CI 0.59-0.92; and HR 0.77, CI 0.63-0.94; respectively; both P < .05).

CONCLUSIONS

Our study falls in line with the obesity paradox observation (in obese but not overweight patients) in a large survey of HF patients, although this finding was not statistically significant on multivariate adjustment analysis.

Macrophage inhibitory cytokine-1 (MIC-1/GDF15) and mortality in end-stage renal disease

BACKGROUND

Elevated macrophage inhibitory cytokine-1 (MIC-1/GDF15) levels in serum mediate anorexia and weight loss in some cancer patients and similarly elevated levels occur in chronic kidney disease (CKD). Serum MIC-1/GDF15 is also elevated in chronic inflammatory diseases and predicts atherosclerotic events independently of traditional risk factors. The relationship between chronic inflammation, decreasing body mass index (BMI) and increased mortality in CKD is not well understood and is being actively investigated. MIC-1/GDF15 may link these features of CKD.

METHODS

Cohorts of incident dialysis patients from Sweden (n = 98) and prevalent hemodialysis patients from the USA (n = 381) had serum MIC-1/GDF15, C-reactive protein (CRP) levels and BMI measured at study entry. Additional surrogate markers of nutritional adequacy, body composition and inflammation were assessed in Swedish patients. Patients were followed for all-cause mortality.

RESULTS

In the Swedish cohort, serum MIC-1/GDF15 was associated with decreasing BMI, measures of nutrition and markers of oxidative stress and inflammation. Additionally, high serum MIC-1/GDF15 levels identified patients with evidence of protein-energy wasting who died in the first 3 years of dialysis. The ability of serum MIC-1/GDF15 to predict mortality in the first 3 years of dialysis was confirmed in the USA cohort. In both cohorts, serum MIC-1/GDF15 level was an independent marker of mortality when adjusted for age, CRP, BMI, history of diabetes mellitus and/or cardiovascular disease and glomerular filtration rate or length of time on dialysis at study entry.

CONCLUSIONS

MIC-1/GDF15 is a novel independent serum marker of mortality in CKD capable of significantly improving the mortality prediction of other established markers. MIC-1/GDF15 may mediate protein-energy wasting in CKD and represent a novel therapeutic target for this fatal complication.

Controversies in treatment of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease

Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) is a chronic disorder with substantial comorbidity and major effects attributable to the high morbidity and mortality rates. Despite an increasing evidence base, some important controversies in COPD management still exist. The classic way to define COPD has been based on spirometric criteria, but more relevant diagnostic methods are needed that can be used to describe COPD severity and comorbidity. Initiation of interventions earlier in the natural history of the disease to slow disease progression is debatable, there are many controversies about the role of inhaled corticosteroids in the management of COPD, and long-term antibiotics for prevention of exacerbation have had a resurgence in interest. Novel therapeutic drugs are urgently needed for optimum management of the acute COPD exacerbation. COPD is a complex disease and consists of several clinically relevant phenotypes that in future will guide its management.

Functional adiponectin resistance and exercise intolerance in heart failure

The contribution of skeletal muscle myopathy to the phenotype of patients with chronic heart failure (CHF) has become generally accepted. Besides the macro- and microscopic changes that develop during the progressive process of muscular wasting, functional abnormalities manifest in an earlier stage. Analogous to the failing heart, alterations in skeletal muscle energy metabolism, including insulin resistance, are increasingly recognized. In the search for factors causing this observed myopathy, adipokines receive growing attention. In particular, adiponectin is of special interest due to its fundamental role in skeletal muscle energy metabolism. In strong contrast with patients at risk for cardiovascular disease, circulating adiponectin levels are increased in patients with CHF, and this finding is associated with adverse outcome. Recently, the concept of functional skeletal muscle adiponectin resistance has been suggested to explain compensatory elevated adiponectin levels in CHF. Unraveling of adiponectin's complex downstream signalling pathways and insights into the concept of adiponectin resistance hopefully will disengage the road for targeted therapeutic interventions.

Lipid paradox in rheumatoid arthritis: the impact of serum lipid measures and systemic inflammation on the risk of cardiovascular disease

OBJECTIVE

To examine the impact of systemic inflammation and serum lipids on cardiovascular disease (CVD) in rheumatoid arthritis (RA).

METHODS

In a population-based RA incident cohort (1987 American College of Rheumatology criteria first met between 1988 and 2007), details were collected of serum lipid measures, erythrocyte sedimentation rates (ESRs), C-reactive protein (CRP) measures and cardiovascular events, including ischaemic heart disease and heart failure. Cox models were used to examine the association of lipids and inflammation with the risk of CVD and mortality, adjusting for age, sex and year of RA incidence.

RESULTS

The study included 651 patients with RA (mean age 55.8 years, 69% female); 67% were rheumatoid factor positive. ESR was associated with the risk of CVD (HR=1.2 per 10 mm/h increase, 95% CI 1.1 to 1.3). Similar findings, although not statistically significant, were seen with CRP (p=0.07). A significant non-linear association for total cholesterol (TCh) with risk of CVD was found, with 3.3-fold increased risk for TCh <4 mmol/l (95% CI 1.5 to 7.2) and no increased risk of CVD for TCh ≥4 mmol/l (p=0.57). Low low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL <2 mmol/l) was associated with marginally increased risk of CVD (p=0.10); there was no increased risk for LDL ≥2 mmol/l (p=0.76).

CONCLUSION

Inflammatory measures (particularly, ESR) are significantly associated with the risk of CVD in RA. Lipids may have paradoxical associations with the risk of CVD in RA, whereby lower TCh and LDL levels are associated with increased cardiovascular risk.

Macrophage inhibitory cytokine-1 (MIC-1/GDF15): a new marker of all-cause mortality

Macrophage inhibitory cytokine-1 (MIC-1/GDF15) is a member of the TGF-b superfamily, previously studied in cancer and inflammation. In addition to regulating body weight, MIC-1/GDF15 may be used to predict mortality and/or disease course in cancer, cardiovascular disease (CVD), chronic renal and heart failure, as well as pulmonary embolism. These data suggested that MIC-1/GDF15 may be a marker of all-cause mortality. To determine whether serum MIC-1/GDF15 estimation is a predictor of all-cause mortality, we examined a cohort of 876 male subjects aged 35-80 years, selected from the Swedish Population Registry, and followed them for overall mortality. Serum MIC-1/GDF15 levels were determined for all subjects from samples taken at study entry. A second (independent) cohort of 324 same-sex twins (69% female) from the Swedish Twin Registry was similarly examined. All the twins had telomere length measured and 183 had serum levels of interleukin 6 (IL-6) and C-reactive protein (CRP) available. Patients were followed for up to 14 years and had cause-specific and all-cause mortality determined. Serum MIC-1/GDF15 levels predicted mortality in the all-male cohort with an adjusted odds ratio (OR) of death of 3.38 (95%CI 1.38-8.26). This finding was validated in the twin cohort. Serum MIC-1/GDF15 remained an independent predictor of mortality when further adjusted for telomere length, IL-6 and CRP. Additionally, serum MIC-1/GDF15 levels were directly correlated with survival time independently of genetic background. Serum MIC-1/GDF15 is a novel predictor of all-cause mortality.

Obesity in rheumatoid arthritis

Obesity is a major threat for public health and its study has attracted significant attention in the general population, predominantly due to its association with significant metabolic and cardiovascular complications. In RA research, BMI is frequently reported as a demographical variable, but obesity, as such, has received little interest. This is surprising, in view of the clear associations of obesity with other arthritides, particularly OA, but also in view of the now-clear association of RA with increased cardiovascular morbidity and mortality. In this review, we summarize the studies that have looked into obesity in the RA population, evaluate their findings, identify knowledge gaps and propose directions for future research. We also pose a question of high clinical and research significance: is the use of BMI still a valid way of assessing obesity in RA?

Rate of kidney function decline associates with mortality

The effect of rate of decline of kidney function on risk for death is not well understood. Using the Department of Veterans Affairs national databases, we retrospectively studied a cohort of 4171 patients who had rheumatoid arthritis and early stage 3 chronic kidney disease (CKD; estimated GFR 45 to 60 ml/min) and followed them longitudinally to characterize predictors of disease progression and the effect of rate of kidney function decline on mortality. After a median of 2.6 years, 1604 (38%) maintained stable kidney function; 426 (10%), 1147 (28%), and 994 (24%) experienced mild, moderate, and severe progression of CKD, respectively (defined as estimated GFR decline of 0 to 1, 1 to 4, and >4 ml/min per yr). Peripheral artery disease predicted moderate progression of CKD progression. Black race, hypertension, diabetes, cardiovascular disease, and peripheral artery disease predicted severe progression of CKD. After a median of 5.7 years, patients with severe progression had a significantly increased risk for mortality (hazard ratio 1.54; 95% confidence interval 1.30 to 1.82) compared with those with mild progression; patients with moderate progression exhibited a similar trend (hazard ratio 1.10; 95% confidence interval 0.98 to 1.30). Our results demonstrate an independent and graded association between the rate of kidney function decline and mortality. Incorporating the rate of decline into the definition of CKD may transform a static definition into a dynamic one that more accurately describes the potential consequences of the disease for an individual.

Influence of obesity on outcomes in atrial fibrillation: yet another obesity paradox

BACKGROUND

Obese patients have favorable outcomes in congestive heart failure, hypertension, peripheral vascular disease, and coronary artery disease. Obesity also has been linked with increased incidence of atrial fibrillation, but its influence on outcomes in atrial fibrillation patients has not been investigated. The objective of this research is to investigate the effect of obesity on outcomes in atrial fibrillation.

METHODS

The Atrial Fibrillation Follow-up Investigation of Rhythm Management (AFFIRM) study was one of the largest multicenter trials of atrial fibrillation, with 4060 patients. Subjects were randomized to rate versus rhythm-control strategy. We performed a post hoc analysis of the National Heart, Lung and Blood Institute limited access dataset of atrial fibrillation patients who had body mass index (BMI) data available in the AFFIRM study. BMI data were not available on 1542 patients. Patients with BMI >or=18.5 were split into normal (18.5-25), overweight (25-30), and obese (>30) categories as per BMI (kg/m(2)). Multivariate Cox proportional hazards regression was used on the eligible 2492 patients. End points were all-cause mortality and cardiovascular mortality.

RESULTS

Over three fourths of all patients in our cohort were overweight or obese. There were 304 deaths (103 among normal weight, 108 among overweight, and 93 among obese) and 148 cardiovascular deaths (54 among normal weight, 41 among overweight, and 53 among obese) over a mean period of 3 years of patient follow-up. On multivariate analysis, overweight (hazard ratio [HR] 0.64; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.48-0.84; P=.001) and obese (HR 0.80; 95% CI, 0.68-0.93; P=.005) categories were associated with lower all-cause mortality as compared with normal weight. Overweight (HR 0.40; 95% CI, 0.26-0.60; P <.001) and obese patients (HR 0.77; 95% CI, 0.62-0.95; P=.01) also had lower cardiovascular mortality as compared with the normal weight patients.

CONCLUSIONS

Although in prior studies, obesity has been associated with increased risk of atrial fibrillation, an obesity paradox exists for outcomes in atrial fibrillation. Obese patients with atrial fibrillation appear to have better long-term outcomes than nonobese patients.

Glucose, obesity, metabolic syndrome, and diabetes relevance to incidence of heart failure

Heart failure (HF) is common, results in poor clinical outcomes, and is associated with large health care costs. The incidence of HF continues to rise, with approximately 670,000 new cases per year and a 20% lifetime risk of HF for persons 40 years and older in the U.S. Risk factors for HF have been identified, and thus preventative strategies should have a positive effect on disease burden, morbidity, and mortality. Although coronary artery disease and hypertension have traditionally been considered among the most important modifiable risk factors for the development of HF, recent studies have highlighted the importance of increasingly prevalent metabolic risk factors: glucose, diabetes, obesity, and the metabolic syndrome. This report will present evidence for the link between glucose, diabetes, obesity, metabolic syndrome, and incident HF. Furthermore, we will discuss how risk factor modification and other preventive therapies may help curb the rising incidence of HF.

Late initiation of renal replacement therapy is associated with worse outcomes in acute kidney injury after major abdominal surgery

INTRODUCTION

Abdominal surgery is probably associated with more likelihood to cause acute kidney injury (AKI). The aim of this study was to evaluate whether early or late start of renal replacement therapy (RRT) defined by simplified RIFLE (sRIFLE) classification in AKI patients after major abdominal surgery will affect outcome.

METHODS

A multicenter prospective observational study based on the NSARF (National Taiwan University Surgical ICU Associated Renal Failure) Study Group database. 98 patients (41 female, mean age 66.4 +/- 13.9 years) who underwent acute RRT according to local indications for post-major abdominal surgery AKI between 1 January, 2002 and 31 December, 2005 were enrolled The demographic data, comorbid diseases, types of surgery and RRT, as well as the indications for RRT were documented. The patients were divided into early dialysis (sRIFLE-0 or Risk) and late dialysis (LD, sRIFLE -Injury or Failure) groups. Then we measured and recorded patients' outcome including in-hospital mortality and RRT wean-off until 30 June, 2006.

RESULTS

The in-hospital mortality was compared as endpoint. Fifty-seven patients (58.2%) died during hospitalization. LD (hazard ratio (HR) 1.846; P = 0.027), old age (HR 2.090; P = 0.010), cardiac failure (HR 4.620; P < 0.001), pre-RRT SOFA score (HR 1.152; P < 0.001) were independent indicators for in-hospital mortality.

CONCLUSIONS

The findings of this study support earlier initiation of acute RRT, and also underscore the importance of predicting prognoses of major abdominal surgical patients with AKI by using RIFLE classification.

Reverse epidemiology in systolic and nonsystolic heart failure: cumulative prognostic benefit of classical cardiovascular risk factors

BACKGROUND

Observational studies indicate that classical cardiovascular risk factors as body mass index, total cholesterol, and systolic blood pressure are associated with improved rather than impaired survival in heart failure ("reverse epidemiology"). We estimated the prognostic role of these risk factors in unselected patients with heart failure.

METHODS AND RESULTS

Consecutive subjects with heart failure of any cause and severity were enrolled (n=867), and survivors were followed for a median period of 594 days (25th to 75th percentile, 435 to 840). Mean age was 70+/-13 years, 41% were female, New York Heart Association class distribution I through IV was 15%/29%/41%/15%, and 49% had preserved left ventricular ejection function. At follow-up, 34% of the patients had died. Low levels of any risk factor (ie, body mass index, total cholesterol, and systolic blood pressure in the low tertile) indicated the highest mortality risk. After adjustment for age, sex, New York Heart Association class, and ejection fraction, >/=2 risk factors in the high tertile indicated a relative reduction in mortality risk of 51% (hazard ratio, 0.49; 95% CI, 0.35 to 0.68; P=0.001) compared with subjects with 3 risk factors in the low tertile. Further adjustment for cause of heart failure, relevant comorbidities, medication, and biomarkers attenuated this association only modestly (hazard ratio, 0.63; 95% CI, 0.45 to 0.89; P=0.009).

CONCLUSIONS

In patients with heart failure, mortality risk counterintuitively increased on a cumulative scale with lower levels of body mass index, total cholesterol, and systolic blood pressure, irrespective of the type and severity of heart failure. Future studies need to identify whether risk factor control as presently recommended should be advocated in all patients with heart failure.

Fluid retention is associated with cardiovascular mortality in patients undergoing long-term hemodialysis

BACKGROUND

Patients with chronic kidney disease (stage 5) who undergo hemodialysis treatment have similarities to heart failure patients in that both populations retain fluid frequently and have excessively high mortality. Volume overload in heart failure is associated with worse outcomes. We hypothesized that in hemodialysis patients, greater interdialytic fluid gain is associated with poor all-cause and cardiovascular survival.

METHODS AND RESULTS

We examined 2-year (July 2001 to June 2003) mortality in 34,107 hemodialysis patients across the United States who had an average weight gain of at least 0.5 kg above their end-dialysis dry weight by the time the subsequent hemodialysis treatment started. The 3-month averaged interdialytic weight gain was divided into 8 categories of 0.5-kg increments (up to > or =4.0 kg). Eighty-six percent of patients gained >1.5 kg between 2 dialysis sessions. In unadjusted analyses, higher weight gain was associated with better nutritional status (higher protein intake, serum albumin, and body mass index) and tended to be linked to greater survival. However, after multivariate adjustment for demographics (case mix) and surrogates of malnutrition-inflammation complex, higher weight-gain increments were associated with increased risk of all-cause and cardiovascular death. The hazard ratios (95% confidence intervals) of cardiovascular death for weight gain <1.0 kg and > or =4.0 kg (compared with 1.5 to 2.0 kg as the reference) were 0.67 (0.58 to 0.76) and 1.25 (1.12 to 1.39), respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

In hemodialysis patients, greater fluid retention between 2 subsequent hemodialysis treatment sessions is associated with higher risk of all-cause and cardiovascular death. The mechanisms by which fluid retention influences cardiovascular survival in hemodialysis may be similar to those in patients with heart failure and warrant further research.

Cholesterol levels and in-hospital mortality in patients with acute decompensated heart failure

BACKGROUND

In chronic heart failure (HF), lower total cholesterol (TC) levels have been associated with increased mortality. However, the relationship between lipid levels and outcomes in acute HF has not been studied. This study investigates the relationship between cholesterol levels and in-hospital mortality in patients hospitalized with acute HF.

METHODS

The Get With the Guidelines-Heart Failure registry prospectively collects data on patients hospitalized with HF. We analyzed data on 17,791 patients admitted between January 2005 and June 2007 at 236 participating hospitals who had TC levels recorded. Baseline patient characteristics, treatment regimens, and in-hospital mortality were examined by TC level (mg/dL) quartiles (Q) as follows: Q1 (TC < or =118), Q2 (TC 119-145), Q3 (TC 146-179), and Q4 (TC > or =180).

RESULTS

Mean TC level was 150 +/- 47 mg/dL. Patients with lower TC were older and had higher prevalence of ischemic heart disease. Of the patients, 46% were on a lipid-lowering drug, including 58%, 50%, 43%, and 34% of patients in TC Q1 to Q4, respectively. In-hospital mortality in TC Q1 to Q4 was 3.3%, 2.5%, 2.0%, and 1.3%, respectively (P < .0001). On multivariable adjusted analyses, each 10-mg/dL increase in TC level was associated with 4% decreased risk of in-hospital mortality (odds ratio 0.96, 95% CI 0.93-0.98).

CONCLUSIONS

In patients hospitalized with HF, lower TC levels independently predict increased in-hospital mortality risk. Further evaluation of optimal cholesterol levels and influence of lipid-lowering medication use on outcomes in this population is warranted.

The obesity paradox: impact of obesity on the prevalence and prognosis of cardiovascular diseases

Obesity has reached global epidemic proportions and is associated with numerous comorbidities such as hypertension (HTN), type 2 diabetes mellitus, dyslipidemia, certain cancers, and chronic kidney disease (CKD). Obesity, via its direct maladaptive effects on cardiac structure and through its impact on conventional risk factors, is strongly associated with cardiovascular (CV) diseases such as heart failure (HF) and coronary heart disease (CHD). Despite these adverse associations, numerous studies indicate an "obesity paradox" in that being overweight or obese is associated with a favorable prognosis in many patients with established CV disease, particularly in patients with HTN, HF, and CHD. This review summarizes the adverse effects of obesity on CV disease risk factors and its role in the genesis of HTN, HF, CHD, and the obesity paradox. It concludes with a discussion on the potential benefits of weight loss in these patient populations.