Polygenic Risk Scores Predict Hypertension Onset and Cardiovascular Risk

Prediction of incidence of hypertension in France and associated factors: results from the CONSTANCES cohort

INTRODUCTION

Estimating hypertension incidence and improving screening in general population could enhance blood pressure control and decrease cardiometabolic risks. Identifying those likely to develop hypertension is essential. Our study focused on predicting onset hypertension and its incidence based on initial characteristics.

METHODS

We utilized data from the French prospective CONSTANCES cohort, including volunteers assessed twice over 5 years up to 31 December 2019, who were initially free from hypertension. Hypertension was defined as having a SBP at least 140 mmHg or DBP at least 90 mmHg during the second checkup or if antihypertensive medication was prescribed. We calculated annual incidence rates among subgroups and used machine learning models to identify predictors of hypertension. The impact of changes in BMI was analyzed using logistic regression.

RESULTS

Of the 11 112 participants (average age 47.5 ± 12 years), 1929 (17.4%) developed hypertension within an average of 5.2 years, with 383 on medication. The incidence rate was 3.4 new cases per 100 person-years, rising with age and consistently higher in men (4.3 vs. 2.8). A blood pressure (BP) threshold of 130 mmHg predicted 70% of new cases. One-point BMI reduction significantly reduced hypertension risk by 16%, regardless of initial BMI and SBP levels.

CONCLUSION

The study reports a notable hypertension incidence of 3.4 new cases per 100 person-years, particularly among those with SBP over 130 mmHg, highlighting the need for regular screening. Early diagnosis and control can mitigate hypertension's adverse effects, emphasizing the crucial role of preventive measures like BMI reduction.

Genetic liability to sedentary behaviour and cardiovascular disease incidence in the FinnGen and HUNT cohorts

OBJECTIVE

Energy-saving sedentary behaviour may be an evolutionarily selected trait that is no longer advantageous. We investigated the associations between genetic liability to sedentary behaviour and the incidence of the most common cardiovascular disease (CVD).

METHODS

We constructed and validated a genome-wide polygenic score for leisure screen time (PGS LST) as a measure of genetic liability to sedentary behaviour. We performed survival analyses between higher PGS LST and register-based CVDs using the FinnGen cohort (N=293 250-333 012). Replication and exploratory analyses were conducted in an independent Norwegian Trøndelag Health Study (HUNT) cohort (N=35 289).

RESULTS

In FinnGen, each SD increase in PGS LST was associated with a higher risk of incident CVD (HR: 1.05 (95% CI 1.05 to 1.06)) (168 770 cases over 17 101 133 person-years). The magnitudes of association for the three most common CVDs were 1.09 ((95% CI 1.08 to 1.09), 1.06 ((95% CI 1.05 to 1.07) and 1.05 ((95% CI 1.04 to 1.06) for hypertensive disease, ischaemic heart disease and cerebrovascular disease, respectively. Those in the top decile of PGS LST had 21%, 35%, 26% and 19% higher risk of any CVD, hypertensive disease, ischaemic heart disease and cerebrovascular disease, respectively, than those in the bottom decile. Associations were replicated in HUNT and remained independent of covariates (socioeconomic status, body mass index and smoking) except for cerebrovascular disease. Besides direct effects, reduced physical activity served as a potential mediating pathway for the observed associations.

CONCLUSIONS

We found that genetic liability to sedentary behaviour is associated with incident CVD, although effect sizes with current PGS remained small. These findings suggest that genetic liability to sedentary behaviour is an under-recognised driver of common CVDs.

Controversy in Hypertension: Pro-Side of the Argument Using Artificial Intelligence for Hypertension Diagnosis and Management

Hypertension presents the largest modifiable public health challenge due to its high prevalence, its intimate relationship to cardiovascular diseases, and its complex pathogenesis and pathophysiology. Low awareness of blood pressure elevation and suboptimal hypertension diagnosis serve as the major hurdles in effective hypertension management. Advances in artificial intelligence in hypertension have permitted the integrative analysis of large data sets including omics, clinical (with novel sensor and wearable technologies), health-related, social, behavioral, and environmental sources, and hold transformative potential in achieving large-scale, data-driven approaches toward personalized diagnosis, treatment, and long-term management. However, although the emerging artificial intelligence science may advance the concept of precision hypertension in discovery, drug targeting and development, patient care, and management, its clinical adoption at scale today is lacking. Recognizing that clinical implementation of artificial intelligence-based solutions need evidence generation, this opinion statement examines a clinician-centric perspective of the state-of-art in using artificial intelligence in the management of hypertension and puts forward recommendations toward equitable precision hypertension care.

Pathway level metabolomics analysis identifies carbon metabolism as a key factor of incident hypertension in the Estonian Biobank

The purpose of this study was to find metabolic changes associated with incident hypertension in the volunteer-based Estonian Biobank. We used a subcohort of the Estonian Biobank where metabolite levels had been measured by mass-spectrometry (LC-MS, Metabolon platform). We divided annotated metabolites of 989 individuals into KEGG pathways, followed by principal component analysis of metabolites in each pathway, resulting in a dataset of 91 pathway components. Next, we defined incident hypertension cases and controls based on electronic health records, resulting in a dataset of 101 incident hypertension cases and 450 controls. We used Cox proportional hazards models and replicated the results in a separate cohort of the Estonian Biobank, assayed with LC-MS dataset of the Broad platform and including 582 individuals. Our results show that body mass index and a component of the carbon metabolism KEGG pathway are associated with incident hypertension in both discovery and replication cohorts. We demonstrate that a high-dimensional dataset can be meaningfully reduced into informative pathway components that can subsequently be analysed in an interpretable way, and replicated in a metabolomics dataset from a different platform.

Influence and role of polygenic risk score in the development of 32 complex diseases

Background

The polygenic risk score (PRS) has been perceived as advantageous in predicting the risk of complex diseases compared to other measures. We aimed to systematically evaluate the influence of PRS on disease outcome and to explore its predictive value.

Methods

We comprehensively assessed the relationship between PRS and 32 complex diseases in the UK Biobank. We used Cox models to estimate the effects of PRS on the incidence risk. Then, we constructed prediction models to assess the clinical utility of PRS in risk prediction. For 16 diseases, we further compared the disease risk and prediction capability of PRS across early and late-onset cases.

Results

Higher PRS led to greater incident risk, with hazard ratio (HR) ranging from 1.07 (95% confidence interval (CI) = 1.06-1.08) for panic/anxiety disorder to 4.17 (95% CI = 4.03-4.31) for acute pancreatitis. This effect was more pronounced in early-onset cases for 12 diseases, increasing by 52.8% on average. Particularly, the early-onset risk of heart failure associated with PRS (HR = 3.02; 95% CI = 2.53-3.59) was roughly twice compared to the late-onset risk (HR = 1.48; 95% CI = 1.46-1.51). Compared to average PRS (20-80%), individuals positioned within the top 2.5% of the PRS distribution exhibited varying degrees of elevated risk, corresponding to a more than five times greater risk on average. PRS showed additional value in clinical risk prediction, causing an average improvement of 6.1% in prediction accuracy. Further, PRS demonstrated higher predictive accuracy for early-onset cases of 11 diseases, with heart failure displaying the most significant (37.5%) improvement when incorporating PRS into the prediction model (concordance index (C-index) = 0.546; standard error (SE) = 0.011 vs. C-index = 0.751; SE = 0.010, P = 2.47 × 10-12).

Conclusions

As a valuable complement to traditional clinical risk tools, PRS is closely related to disease risk and can further enhance prediction accuracy, especially for early-onset cases, underscoring its potential role in targeted prevention for high-risk groups.

Polygenic Susceptibility to Diabetes and Poor Glycemic Control in Stroke Survivors

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES

Type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) is highly genetically determined, and polygenic susceptibility to T2DM (PSD) increases the risk of worse glycemic control and adverse vascular outcomes. Its role in stroke patients remains unknown. We aim to determine whether higher PSD is associated with worse glycemic control in stroke survivors.

METHODS

We conducted a 2-stage genetic association study. In a cross-sectional design, we selected stroke survivors from the UK Biobank (enrollment between 2006 and 2010) to evaluate the relationship between PSD and glycemic control. Second, we replicated the results using data from All of Us (enrollment between 2018 and 2022). Exposures were low, intermediate, and high PSD, modeled through percentiles (<20, 20-80, >80) of a polygenic risk score of 2,522 independent risk variants associated with T2DM at genome-wide levels (p < 5 × 10-8). Outcomes were hemoglobin A1c (HbA1c) levels, uncontrolled diabetes (HbA1c ≥7.0%), and resistant diabetes (uncontrolled despite antidiabetic treatment).

RESULTS

Stage 1 included 6,908 stroke survivors (mean age 61 years, 42% female), including 977 (14%) with diabetes. Compared with low PSD, participants with high PSD had an increase of 0.49 in HbA1c (β = 0.49, standard error 0.03, p-trend <0.001), 6.9 times the odds of uncontrolled diabetes (odds ratio [OR] 6.92, 95% CI 4.71-10.52), and 7.8 times the odds of resistant diabetes (OR 7.76, 95% CI 4.92-12.89). Stage 2 (replication) confirmed the association with HbA1c in 4,451 stroke survivors, including 2,163 (49%) with diabetes (mean age 64 years, 53% female, p-trend <0.05 for all tests).

DISCUSSION

Among stroke survivors, a higher PSD was associated with poorer glycemic control. Further research should determine precision medicine strategies using PSD to improve clinical management of stroke patients.

Prospective associations of genetic susceptibility to high blood pressure and muscle strength with incident cardiovascular disease outcomes

BACKGROUND

This study explored the prospective associations of genetic susceptibility to high blood pressure (BP) and muscle strength with cardiovascular disease (CVD) mortality, incident coronary heart disease (CHD) and incident stroke.

METHODS

This study included 349 085 white British individuals from the UK Biobank study. Genetic risk of high BP was estimated using a weighted polygenic risk score that incorporated 136 and 135 nonoverlapping single-nucleotide polymorphisms for systolic BP and diastolic BP, respectively. Muscle strength was assessed using a hand dynamometer and expressed relative to fat-free mass. Sex- and age-specific tertiles were used to classify muscle strength into three categories. Cox regressions with age as the underlying timescale were fit for CVD mortality ( n  = 8275), incident CHD ( n  = 14 503), and stroke ( n  = 7518).

RESULTS

Compared with the lowest genetic risk of high BP (bottom 20%), the highest (top 20%) had greater hazards of each outcome. Low muscle strength was associated with higher hazards of CVD mortality [hazard ratio (HR): 1.51, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.43-1.59], incident CHD (HR: 1.16, 95% CI: 1.11-1.21), and stroke (HR: 1.20, 95% CI: 1.14-1.27), independently of confounders and genetic predisposition to high BP, compared with high muscle strength. Joint analyses revealed that the estimated 10-year absolute risks of each outcome were lower for high muscle strength combined with high genetic risk, compared with low muscle strength combined with low or medium genetic risk.

CONCLUSION

Individuals who are genetically predisposed to high BP but have high muscle strength could have lower risk of major CVD events, compared with those who have low or medium genetic risk but low muscle strength.

Genetic Risk, Healthy Lifestyle Adherence, and Risk of Developing Diabetes in the Japanese Population

AIM

This study examined the relationship between genetic risk, healthy lifestyle, and risk of developing diabetes.

METHODS

This prospective cohort study included 11,014 diabetes-free individuals ≥ 20 years old from the Tohoku Medical Megabank Community-based cohort study. Lifestyle scores, including the body mass index, smoking, physical activity, and gamma-glutamyl transferase (marker of alcohol consumption), were assigned, and participants were categorized into ideal, intermediate, and poor lifestyles. A polygenic risk score (PRS) was constructed based on the type 2 diabetes loci from the BioBank Japan study. A multiple logistic regression model was used to estimate the association between genetic risk, healthy lifestyle, and diabetes incidence and to calculate the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC).

RESULT

Of the 11,014 adults included (67.8% women; mean age [standard deviation], 59.1 [11.3] years old), 297 (2.7%) developed diabetes during a mean 4.3 (0.8) years of follow-up. Genetic and lifestyle score is independently associated with the development of diabetes. Compared with the low genetic risk and ideal lifestyle groups, the odds ratio was 3.31 for the low genetic risk and poor lifestyle group. When the PRS was integrated into a model including the lifestyle and family history, the AUROC significantly improved to 0.719 (95% confidence interval [95% CI]: 0.692-0.747) compared to a model including only the lifestyle and family history (0.703 [95% CI, 0.674-0.732]).

CONCLUSION

Our findings indicate that adherence to a healthy lifestyle is important for preventing diabetes, regardless of genetic risk. In addition, genetic risk might provide information beyond lifestyle and family history to stratify individuals at high risk of developing diabetes.

Utility of a Systolic Blood Pressure Polygenic Risk Score With Chlorthalidone Response

Importance

The clinical utility of polygenic risk scores (PRS) for blood pressure (BP) response to antihypertensive treatment (AHT) has not been elucidated.

Objective

To investigate the ability of a systolic BP (SBP) PRS to predict AHT response and apparent treatment-resistant hypertension (aTRH).

Design, Setting, and Participants

The Genetics of Hypertension Associated Treatments (GenHAT) study was an ancillary pharmacogenomic study to the Antihypertensive and Lipid-Lowering Treatment to Prevent Heart Attack Trial (ALLHAT). ALLHAT, which enrolled participants aged 55 years or older with hypertension (HTN) starting in February 1994, completed follow-up in March 2002. The current study was conducted from a subset of Black GenHAT participants randomized to the treatment groups of either chlorthalidone (n = 3745) or lisinopril (n = 2294), with genetic data available from a prior genetic association study. The current study's objective was to examine the association of the SBP PRS to AHT response over 6 months, as well as to examine the predictive accuracy of the SBP PRS with aTRH. The current analysis took place in February 2023, with additional analyses conducted in July 2024.

Exposure

An SBP PRS (comprising 1 084 157 genetic variants) stratified as quintiles and per SD.

Main Outcomes and Measures

The primary outcome was change in SBP (ΔSBP) and diastolic BP (ΔDBP) over 6 months. aTRH was defined as the use of 3 AHTs with uncontrolled HTN at year 3 of follow-up or taking 4 or more AHTs at year 3 of follow-up, regardless of BP. Baseline demographics were compared across PRS quintiles using Kruskal-Wallis or χ2 tests as appropriate. The least-square means of BP response were calculated through multivariable adjusted linear regression, and multivariable adjusted logistic regression was used to calculate the odds ratios and 95% confidence intervals for aTRH.

Results

Among 3745 Black GenHAT participants randomized to chlorthalidone treatment, median (IQR) participant age was 65 (60-71) years, and 2064 participants (55.1%) were female. Each increasing quintile of the SBP PRS from 1 to 5 was associated with a reduced BP response to treatment over 6 months. Participants in the lowest quintile experienced a mean ΔSBP of -10.01 mm Hg (95% CI, -11.11 to -8.90) compared to -6.57 mm Hg (95% CI, -7.67 to -5.48) for participants in the median quintile. No associations were observed between the SBP PRS and BP response to lisinopril. Participants in the highest PRS quintile had 67% higher odds of aTRH compared to those in the median quintile (odds ratio, 1.67; 95% CI, 1.19-2.36). These associations were independently validated.

Conclusions and Relevance

In this genetic association study, Black individuals with HTN at a lower genetic risk of elevated BP experienced an approximately 3.5 mm Hg-greater response to chlorthalidone compared with those at an intermediate genetic risk of elevated BP. SBP PRS may also identify individuals with HTN harboring a higher risk of treatment-resistant HTN. Overall, SBP PRS demonstrates potential to identify those who may have greater benefit from chlorthalidone, but future research is needed to determine if PRS can inform initiation and choice of treatment among individuals with HTN.

Genetics of hypertension-related sex differences and hypertensive disorders of pregnancy

Background: Hypertension and hypertensive disorders of pregnancy (HDP) cause a significant burden of disease on societies and individuals by increasing cardiovascular disease risk. Environmental risk factors alone do not explain the observed sexual dimorphism in lifetime blood pressure (BP) trajectories nor inter-individual variation in HDP risk.

Methods: In this short review, we focus on the genetics of hypertension-related sex differences and HDP and discuss the importance of genetics utilization for sex-specific hypertension risk prediction.

Results: Population and twin studies estimate that 28-66% of variation in BP levels and HDP is explained by genetic variation, while genomic wide association studies suggest that BP traits and HDP partly share a common genetic background. Moreover, environmental and epigenetic regulation of these genes differ by sex and oestrogen receptors in particular are shown to convey cardio- and vasculoprotective effects through epigenetic regulation of DNA. The majority of known genetic variation in hypertension and HDP is polygenic. Polygenic risk scores for BP display stronger associations with hypertension risk in women than in men and are associated with sex-specific age of hypertension onset. Monogenic forms of hypertension are rare and mostly present equally in both sexes.

Conclusion: Despite recent genetic discoveries providing new insights into HDP and sex differences in BP traits, further research is needed to elucidate the underlying biology. Emphasis should be placed on demonstrating the added clinical value of these genetic discoveries, which may eventually facilitate genomics-based personalized treatments for hypertension and HDP.

Assessing the predictive efficacy of European-based systolic blood pressure polygenic risk scores in diverse Brazilian cohorts

Despite the identification of numerous genetic variants affecting SBP in European populations, their applicability in admixed populations remains unclear. This study evaluates the predictive efficacy of a systolic blood pressure (SBP) polygenic risk score (PRS), derived from the UK Biobank data, in two Brazilian cohorts. We analyzed 944 K genetic variants consistent across an independent UK Biobank dataset, Brazilian cohorts, and HapMap database. Results show a significant association between increased PRS and SBP, as well as hypertension, in each study groups analyzed. An increase of one standard deviation in the PRS showed a significant association with SBP (β [95% CI] (mmHg) = 5.2 [5.1-5.3], 2.8 [2.1-3.5] and 2.6 [2.2-3.0]) and hypertension (odds ratio (OR) [95% CI] = 1.56 [1.54-1.56], 1.28 [1.2-1.4] and 1.47 [1.3-1.6]) in an independent UKB dataset, Baependi, and Pelotas, respectively. The associations were weaker in the Brazilian samples and the reduced association was noticeable in the Pelotas vs. the UK comparison for hypertension stages 1 and 2 (OR [95% CI] = 2.1 [1.5-3.1] and 3.0 [1.9-4.7] vs. 2.5 [2.2-2.8] and 4.9 [4.4-5.6]), whereas the Baependi data showed no significance for stage 1 hypertension. This trend mirrors findings in homogeneous African and Asian populations with diverse genetic architecture, highlighting the limitations of European-based PRS also in admixed populations. These insights are crucial for developing tailored disease prevention and management strategies in ethnically diverse groups.

Inverse relationship between polygenic risk burden and age of onset of autoimmune vitiligo

Vitiligo is a common autoimmune disease characterized by patches of depigmented skin and overlying hair due to destruction of melanocytes in the involved regions. We investigated the relationship between vitiligo risk and vitiligo age of onset (AOO) using a vitiligo polygenic risk score that incorporated the most significant SNPs from genome-wide association studies. We find that vitiligo genetic risk and AOO are strongly inversely correlated; subjects with higher common-variant polygenic risk tend to develop vitiligo at an earlier age. Nevertheless, the correlation is not simple. In individuals who carry a single high-risk major histocompatibility complex class II haplotype, the effect of additional polygenic risk on vitiligo AOO is reduced. Particularly among those with early-AOO vitiligo (onset ≤12 years of age), genetic risk can reflect contributions from high common-variant burden but also rare variants of high effect and sometimes both. While the heritability of vitiligo is relatively high, and we here show that genetic risk factors predict vitiligo AOO, vitiligo is never congenital, and thus environmental triggers also play an important role in disease onset.

Effects of polygenic risk score and sodium and potassium intake on hypertension in Asians: A nationwide prospective cohort study

Genetic factors, lifestyle, and diet have been shown to play important roles in the development of hypertension. Increased salt intake is an important risk factor for hypertension. However, research on the involvement of genetic factors in the relationship between salt intake and hypertension in Asians is lacking. We aimed to investigate the risk of hypertension in relation to sodium and potassium intake and the effects of genetic factors on their interactions. We used Korean Genome and Epidemiology Study data and calculated the polygenic risk score (PRS) for the effect of systolic and diastolic blood pressure (SBP and DBP). We also conducted multivariable logistic modeling to evaluate associations among incident hypertension, PRSSBP, PRSDBP, and sodium and potassium intake. In total, 41,351 subjects were included in the test set. The top 10% PRSSBP group was the youngest of the three groups (bottom 10%, middle, top 10%), had the highest proportion of women, and had the highest body mass index, baseline BP, red meat intake, and alcohol consumption. The multivariable logistic regression model revealed the risk of hypertension was significantly associated with higher PRSSBP, higher sodium intake, and lower potassium intake. There was significant interaction between sodium intake and PRSSBP for incident hypertension especially in sodium intake ≥2.0 g/day and PRSSBP top 10% group (OR 1.27 (1.07-1.51), P = 0.007). Among patients at a high risk of incident hypertension due to sodium intake, lifestyle modifications and sodium restriction were especially important to prevent hypertension.

Polygenic Interactions With Environmental Exposures in Blood Pressure Regulation: The HUNT Study

BACKGROUND

The essential hypertension phenotype results from an interplay between genetic and environmental factors. The influence of lifestyle exposures such as excess adiposity, alcohol consumption, tobacco use, diet, and activity patterns on blood pressure (BP) is well established. Additionally, polygenic risk scores for BP traits are associated with clinically significant phenotypic variation. However, interactions between genetic and environmental risk factors in hypertension morbidity and mortality are poorly characterized.

METHODS AND RESULTS

We used genotype and phenotype data from up to 49 234 participants from the HUNT (Trøndelag Health Study) to model gene-environment interactions between genome-wide polygenic risk scores for systolic BP and diastolic BP and 125 environmental exposures. Among the 125 environmental exposures assessed, 108 and 100 were independently associated with SBP and DBP, respectively. Of these, 12 interactions were identified for genome-wide PRSs for systolic BP and 4 for genome-wide polygenic risk scores for diastolic BP, 2 of which were overlapping (P < 2 × 10-4). We found evidence for gene-dependent influence of lifestyle factors such as cardiorespiratory fitness, dietary patterns, and tobacco exposure, as well as biomarkers such as serum cholesterol, creatinine, and alkaline phosphatase on BP.

CONCLUSIONS

Individuals that are genetically susceptible to high BP may be more vulnerable to common acquired risk factors for hypertension, but these effects appear to be modifiable. The gene-dependent influence of several common acquired risk factors indicates the potential of genetic data combined with lifestyle assessments in risk stratification, and gene-environment-informed risk modeling in the prevention and management of hypertension.

Polygenic risk score for blood pressure and lifestyle factors with overall and CVD mortality: a prospective cohort study in a Japanese population

Although previous polygenic risk score (PRS) studies for cardiovascular disease (CVD) focused on incidence, few studies addressed CVD mortality and quantified risks by environmental exposures in different genetic liability groups. This prospective study aimed to examine the associations of blood pressure PRS with all-cause and CVD mortality and to quantify the attributable risk by modifiable lifestyles across different PRS strata. 9,296 participants in the Japan Multi-Institutional Collaborative Cohort Study without hypertension at baseline were analyzed in this analysis. PRS for systolic blood pressure and diastolic blood pressure (PRSSBP and PRSDBP) were developed using publicly available Biobank Japan GWAS summary statistics. CVD-related mortality was defined by the International Classification of Diseases 10th version (I00-I99). Cox-proportional hazard model was used to examine associations of PRSs and lifestyle variables (smoking, drinking, and dietary sodium intake) with mortality. During a median 12.6-year follow-up period, we observed 273 all-cause and 41 CVD mortality cases. Compared to the middle PRS group (20-80th percentile), adjusted hazard ratios for CVD mortality at the top PRS group ( > 90th percentile) were 3.67 for PRSSBP and 2.92 for PRSDBP. Attributable risks of CVD mortality by modifiable lifestyles were higher in the high PRS group ( > 80th percentile) compared with the low PRS group (0-80th percentile). In summary, blood pressure PRS is associated with CVD mortality in the general Japanese population. Our study implies that integrating PRS with lifestyle could contribute to identify target populations for lifestyle intervention even though improvement of discriminatory ability by PRS alone is limited.

Genetic Risk and Coronary Artery Calcium in Personalizing Antihypertensive Treatment: A Pooled Cohort Analysis

OBJECTIVE

To assess the role of the systolic blood pressure polygenic risk score (SBP-PRS) in antihypertensive treatment initiation and its comparative efficacy with coronary artery calcium (CAC) scores.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

This retrospective cohort study included participants with whole genome sequencing data who underwent CAC scanning between 1971 and 2008, were free of prevalent cardiovascular disease (CVD), and were not taking antihypertensive medications. The cohort was stratified by blood pressure (BP) treatment group and SBP-PRS (low/intermediate, first and second tertiles; high, third tertile) and CAC score (0 vs >0) subgroups. The primary outcome was the first occurence of adjudicated coronary heart disease, heart failure, or stroke during 10-year follow-up. The 10-year number needed to treat (NNT) to prevent 1 event of the primary outcome was estimated. A relative risk reduction of 25% for the primary outcome based on the treatment effect of intensive control (SBP <120 mm Hg) of hypertension in SPRINT (Systolic Blood Pressure Intervention Trial) was used for estimating the NNT.

RESULTS

Among the 5267 study participants, the median age was 59 years (interquartile range, 51-68 years); 2817 (53.5%) were women and 2880 (54.7%) were non-White individuals. Among 1317 individuals with elevated BP/low-risk stage 1 hypertension not recommended treatment, the 10-year incidence rate of the primary outcome was 5.6% for low/intermediate SBP-PRS and 6.3% for high SBP-PRS with NNTs of 63 and 59, respectively. Similarly, the 10-year incidence rate of the primary outcome was 2.9% for CAC score 0 and 9.7% for CAC score greater than 0, with NNTs of 117 and 37, respectively.

CONCLUSION

Including genetic information in risk estimation of individuals with elevated BP/low-risk stage 1 hypertension has modest value in the initiation of antihypertensive therapy. Genetic risk and CAC both have efficacy in personalizing antihypertensive therapy.

Associations of combined genetic and lifestyle risks with hypertension and home hypertension

No study, to our knowledge, has constructed a polygenic risk score based on clinical blood pressure and investigated the association of genetic and lifestyle risks with home hypertension. We examined the associations of combined genetic and lifestyle risks with hypertension and home hypertension. In a cross-sectional study of 7027 Japanese individuals aged ≥20 years, we developed a lifestyle score based on body mass index, alcohol consumption, physical activity, and sodium-to-potassium ratio, categorized into ideal, intermediate, and poor lifestyles. A polygenic risk score was constructed with the target data (n = 1405) using publicly available genome-wide association study summary statistics from BioBank Japan. Using the test data (n = 5622), we evaluated polygenic risk score performance and examined the associations of combined genetic and lifestyle risks with hypertension and home hypertension. Hypertension and home hypertension were defined as blood pressure measured at a community-support center ≥140/90 mmHg or at home ≥135/85 mmHg, respectively, or self-reported treatment for hypertension. In the test data, 2294 and 2322 participants had hypertension and home hypertension, respectively. Both polygenic risk and lifestyle scores were independently associated with hypertension and home hypertension. Compared with those of participants with low genetic risk and an ideal lifestyle, the odds ratios for hypertension and home hypertension in the low genetic risk and poor lifestyle group were 1.94 (95% confidence interval, 1.34-2.80) and 2.15 (1.60-2.90), respectively. In summary, lifestyle is important to prevent hypertension; nevertheless, participants with high genetic risk should carefully monitor their blood pressure despite a healthy lifestyle.

Genome wide association study and genomic risk prediction of age related macular degeneration in Israel

The risk of developing age-related macular degeneration (AMD) is influenced by genetic background. In 2016, the International AMD Genomics Consortium (IAMDGC) identified 52 risk variants in 34 loci, and a polygenic risk score (PRS) from these variants was associated with AMD. The Israeli population has a unique genetic composition: Ashkenazi Jewish (AJ), Jewish non-Ashkenazi, and Arab sub-populations. We aimed to perform a genome-wide association study (GWAS) for AMD in Israel, and to evaluate PRSs for AMD. Our discovery set recruited 403 AMD patients and 256 controls at Hadassah Medical Center. We genotyped individuals via custom exome chip. We imputed non-typed variants using cosmopolitan and AJ reference panels. We recruited additional 155 cases and 69 controls for validation. To evaluate predictive power of PRSs for AMD, we used IAMDGC summary-statistics excluding our study and developed PRSs via clumping/thresholding or LDpred2. In our discovery set, 31/34 loci reported by IAMDGC were AMD-associated (P < 0.05). Of those, all effects were directionally consistent with IAMDGC and 11 loci had a P-value under Bonferroni-corrected threshold (0.05/34 = 0.0015). At a 5 × 10-5 threshold, we discovered four suggestive associations in FAM189A1, IGDCC4, C7orf50, and CNTNAP4. Only the FAM189A1 variant was AMD-associated in the replication cohort after Bonferroni-correction. A prediction model including LDpred2-based PRS + covariates had an AUC of 0.82 (95% CI 0.79-0.85) and performed better than covariates-only model (P = 5.1 × 10-9). Therefore, previously reported AMD-associated loci were nominally associated with AMD in Israel. A PRS developed based on a large international study is predictive in Israeli populations.

Using Machine Learning to Evaluate the Value of Genetic Liabilities in the Classification of Hypertension within the UK Biobank

Background and Objective: Hypertension increases the risk of cardiovascular diseases (CVD) such as stroke, heart attack, heart failure, and kidney disease, contributing to global disease burden and premature mortality. Previous studies have utilized statistical and machine learning techniques to develop hypertension prediction models. Only a few have included genetic liabilities and evaluated their predictive values. This study aimed to develop an effective hypertension classification model and investigate the potential influence of genetic liability for multiple risk factors linked to CVD on hypertension risk using the random forest and the neural network. Materials and Methods: The study involved 244,718 European participants, who were divided into training and testing sets. Genetic liabilities were constructed using genetic variants associated with CVD risk factors obtained from genome-wide association studies (GWAS). Various combinations of machine learning models before and after feature selection were tested to develop the best classification model. The models were evaluated using area under the curve (AUC), calibration, and net reclassification improvement in the testing set. Results: The models without genetic liabilities achieved AUCs of 0.70 and 0.72 using the random forest and the neural network methods, respectively. Adding genetic liabilities improved the AUC for the random forest but not for the neural network. The best classification model was achieved when feature selection and classification were performed using random forest (AUC = 0.71, Spiegelhalter z score = 0.10, p-value = 0.92, calibration slope = 0.99). This model included genetic liabilities for total cholesterol and low-density lipoprotein (LDL). Conclusions: The study highlighted that incorporating genetic liabilities for lipids in a machine learning model may provide incremental value for hypertension classification beyond baseline characteristics.

Genome-wide analysis in over 1 million individuals of European ancestry yields improved polygenic risk scores for blood pressure traits

Hypertension affects more than one billion people worldwide. Here we identify 113 novel loci, reporting a total of 2,103 independent genetic signals (P < 5 × 10-8) from the largest single-stage blood pressure (BP) genome-wide association study to date (n = 1,028,980 European individuals). These associations explain more than 60% of single nucleotide polymorphism-based BP heritability. Comparing top versus bottom deciles of polygenic risk scores (PRSs) reveals clinically meaningful differences in BP (16.9 mmHg systolic BP, 95% CI, 15.5-18.2 mmHg, P = 2.22 × 10-126) and more than a sevenfold higher odds of hypertension risk (odds ratio, 7.33; 95% CI, 5.54-9.70; P = 4.13 × 10-44) in an independent dataset. Adding PRS into hypertension-prediction models increased the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) from 0.791 (95% CI, 0.781-0.801) to 0.826 (95% CI, 0.817-0.836, ∆AUROC, 0.035, P = 1.98 × 10-34). We compare the 2,103 loci results in non-European ancestries and show significant PRS associations in a large African-American sample. Secondary analyses implicate 500 genes previously unreported for BP. Our study highlights the role of increasingly large genomic studies for precision health research.

Physical activity alters the effect of genetic determinants of adiposity on hypertension among individuals of European ancestry in the UKB

Hypertension is a leading risk factor for cardiovascular disease and is modulated by genetic variants. This study aimed to assess the effect of obesity genetic liability and physical activity on hypertension among European and African ancestry individuals within the UK Biobank (UKB). Participants were 230 115 individuals of European ancestry and 3239 individuals of African ancestry from UKB. Genetic liability for obesity were estimated using previously published data including genetic variants and effect sizes for body mass index (BMI), waist-hip ratio (WHR) and waist circumference (WC) using Plink software. The outcome was defined as stage 2 hypertension (systolic blood pressure ≥ 140 mmHg, diastolic blood pressure ≥90 mmHg, or the use of anti-hypertensive medications). The association between obesity genetic liability and the outcome was assessed across categories of self-reported physical activity using logistic regression. Among European ancestry participants, there was up to a 1.2 greater odds of hypertension in individuals with high genetic liability and low physical activity compared to individuals with low genetic liability and high physical activity (p < 0.001). In individuals engaging in low levels of physical activity compared with moderate/high physical activity, the effect of BMI genetic liability on hypertension was greater (p interaction = 0.04). There was no evidence of an association between obesity genetic liability and hypertension in individuals of African ancestry in the whole sample or within separate physical activity groups (p > 0.05). This study suggests that higher physical activity levels are associated with lower odds of stage 2 hypertension among European ancestry individuals who carry high genetic liability for obesity. This cannot be inferred for individuals of African ancestry, possibly due to the low African ancestry sample size within the UKB.

Polygenic risk scores associate with blood pressure traits across the lifespan

AIMS

Hypertension is a major modifiable cause of morbidity and mortality that affects over 1 billion people worldwide. Blood pressure (BP) traits have a strong genetic component that can be quantified with polygenic risk scores (PRSs). To date, the performance of BP PRSs has mainly been assessed in adults, and less is known about polygenic hypertension risk in childhood.

METHODS AND RESULTS

Multiple PRSs for systolic BP (SBP), diastolic BP (DBP), and pulse pressure were developed using either genome-wide significant weights, pruning and thresholding, or Bayesian regression. Among 87 total PRSs, the top performer for each trait was applied in independent cohorts of children and adult to assess genotype-phenotype associations and disease risk across the lifespan. Differences between those with low (1st decile), average (2nd-9th decile), and high (10th decile) PRS emerge in the first years of life and are maintained throughout adulthood. These diverging BP trajectories also seem to affect cardiovascular and renal disease risk, with increased risk observed among those in the top decile and reduced risk among those in the bottom decile of the polygenic risk distribution compared with the rest of the population.

CONCLUSION

Genetic risk factors are associated with BP traits across the lifespan, beginning in the first years of life. Given the importance of exposure time in disease pathogenesis and the early rise in BP levels among those genetically susceptible, PRSs may help identify high-risk individuals prior to hypertension onset, facilitate primordial prevention, and reduce the burden of this public health challenge.

Polygenic scores for cardiovascular risk factors improve estimation of clinical outcomes in CCB treatment compared to pharmacogenetic variants alone

Pharmacogenetic variants are associated with clinical outcomes during Calcium Channel Blocker (CCB) treatment, yet whether the effects are modified by genetically predicted clinical risk factors is unknown. We analyzed 32,000 UK Biobank participants treated with dihydropiridine CCBs (mean 5.9 years), including 23 pharmacogenetic variants, and calculated polygenic scores for systolic and diastolic blood pressures, body fat mass, and other patient characteristics. Outcomes included treatment discontinuation and heart failure. Pharmacogenetic variant rs10898815-A (NUMA1) increased discontinuation rates, highest in those with high polygenic scores for fat mass. The RYR3 variant rs877087 T-allele alone modestly increased heart failure risks versus non-carriers (HR:1.13, p = 0.02); in patients with high polygenic scores for fat mass, lean mass, and lipoprotein A, risks were substantially elevated (HR:1.55, p = 4 × 10-5). Incorporating polygenic scores for adiposity and lipoprotein A may improve risk estimates of key clinical outcomes in CCB treatment such as treatment discontinuation and heart failure, compared to pharmacogenetic variants alone.

Utility of polygenic scores across diverse diseases in a hospital cohort for predictive modeling

Polygenic scores estimate genetic susceptibility to diseases. We systematically calculated polygenic scores across 457 phenotypes using genotyping array data from China Medical University Hospital. Logistic regression models assessed polygenic scores' ability to predict disease traits. The polygenic score model with the highest accuracy, based on maximal area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC), is provided on the GeneAnaBase website of the hospital. Our findings indicate 49 phenotypes with AUC greater than 0.6, predominantly linked to endocrine and metabolic diseases. Notably, hyperplasia of the prostate exhibited the highest disease prediction ability (P value = 1.01 × 10-19, AUC = 0.874), highlighting the potential of these polygenic scores in preventive medicine and diagnosis. This study offers a comprehensive evaluation of polygenic scores performance across diverse human traits, identifying promising applications for precision medicine and personalized healthcare, thereby inspiring further research and development in this field.

A polygenic risk score of atrial fibrillation improves prediction of lifetime risk for heart failure

AIMS

Heart failure (HF) has shared genetic architecture with its risk factors: atrial fibrillation (AF), body mass index (BMI), coronary heart disease (CHD), systolic blood pressure (SBP), and type 2 diabetes (T2D). We aim to assess the association and risk prediction performance of risk-factor polygenic risk scores (PRSs) for incident HF and its subtypes in bi-racial populations.

METHODS AND RESULTS

Five PRSs were constructed for AF, BMI, CHD, SBP, and T2D in White participants of the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) study. The associations between PRSs and incident HF and its subtypes were assessed using Cox models, and the risk prediction performance of PRSs was assessed using C statistics. Replication was performed in the ARIC study Black and Cardiovascular Health Study (CHS) White participants. In 8624 ARIC study Whites, 1922 (31% cumulative incidence) HF cases developed over 30 years of follow-up. PRSs of AF, BMI, and CHD were associated with incident HF (P < 0.001), where PRSAF showed the strongest association [hazard ratio (HR): 1.47, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.41-1.53]. Only the addition of PRSAF to the ARIC study HF risk equation improved C statistics for 10 year risk prediction from 0.812 to 0.829 (∆C: 0.017, 95% CI: 0.009-0.026). The PRSAF was associated with both incident HF with reduced ejection fraction (HR: 1.43, 95% CI: 1.27-1.60) and incident HF with preserved ejection fraction (HR: 1.46, 95% CI: 1.33-1.62). The associations between PRSAF and incident HF and its subtypes, as well as the improved risk prediction, were replicated in the ARIC study Blacks and the CHS Whites (P < 0.050). Protein analyses revealed that N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide and other 98 proteins were associated with PRSAF.

CONCLUSIONS

The PRSAF was associated with incident HF and its subtypes and had significant incremental value over an established HF risk prediction equation.

Precision Hypertension

Hypertension affects >1 billion people worldwide. Complications of hypertension include stroke, renal failure, cardiac hypertrophy, myocardial infarction, and cardiac failure. Despite the development of various antihypertensive drugs, the number of people with uncontrolled hypertension continues to rise. While the lack of compliance associated with frequent side effects to medication is a contributory issue, there has been a failure to consider the diverse nature of hypertensive populations. Instead, we propose that hypertension can only be truly managed by precision. A precision medicine approach would consider each patient's unique factors. In this review, we discuss the progress toward precision medicine for hypertension with more predictiveness and individualization of treatment. We will highlight the advances in data science, omics (genomics, metabolomics, proteomics, etc), artificial intelligence, gene therapy, and gene editing and their application to precision hypertension.

Using Genetics to Inform Interventions Related to Sodium and Potassium in Hypertension

BACKGROUND

Hypertension is a key risk factor for major adverse cardiovascular events but remains difficult to treat in many individuals. Dietary interventions are an effective approach to lower blood pressure (BP) but are not equally effective across all individuals. BP is heritable, and genetics may be a useful tool to overcome treatment response heterogeneity. We investigated whether the genetics of BP could be used to identify individuals with hypertension who may receive a particular benefit from lowering sodium intake and boosting potassium levels.

METHODS

In this observational genetic study, we leveraged cross-sectional data from up to 296 475 genotyped individuals drawn from the UK Biobank cohort for whom BP and urinary electrolytes (sodium and potassium), biomarkers of sodium and potassium intake, were measured. Biologically directed genetic scores for BP were constructed specifically among pathways related to sodium and potassium biology (pharmagenic enrichment scores), as well as unannotated genome-wide scores (conventional polygenic scores). We then tested whether there was a gene-by-environment interaction between urinary electrolytes and these genetic scores on BP.

RESULTS

Genetic risk and urinary electrolytes both independently correlated with BP. However, urinary sodium was associated with a larger BP increase among individuals with higher genetic risk in sodium- and potassium-related pathways than in those with comparatively lower genetic risk. For example, each SD in urinary sodium was associated with a 1.47-mm Hg increase in systolic BP for those in the top 10% of the distribution of genetic risk in sodium and potassium transport pathways versus a 0.97-mm Hg systolic BP increase in the lowest 10% (P=1.95×10-3). This interaction with urinary sodium remained when considering estimated glomerular filtration rate and indexing sodium to urinary creatinine. There was no strong evidence of an interaction between urinary sodium and a standard genome-wide polygenic score of BP.

CONCLUSIONS

The data suggest that genetic risk in sodium and potassium pathways could be used in a precision medicine model to direct interventions more specifically in the management of hypertension. Intervention studies are warranted.

Prognostic risk models for incident hypertension: A PRISMA systematic review and meta-analysis

OBJECTIVE

Our goal was to review the available literature on prognostic risk prediction for incident hypertension, synthesize performance, and provide suggestions for future work on the topic.

METHODS

A systematic search on PUBMED and Web of Science databases was conducted for studies on prognostic risk prediction models for incident hypertension in generally healthy individuals. Study-quality was assessed using the Prediction model Risk of Bias Assessment Tool (PROBAST) checklist. Three-level meta-analyses were used to obtain pooled AUC/C-statistic estimates. Heterogeneity was explored using study and cohort characteristics in meta-regressions.

RESULTS

From 5090 hits, we found 53 eligible studies, and included 47 in meta-analyses. Only four studies were assessed to have results with low risk of bias. Few models had been externally validated, with only the Framingham risk model validated more than thrice. The pooled AUC/C-statistics were 0.82 (0.77-0.86) for machine learning models and 0.78 (0.76-0.80) for traditional models, with high heterogeneity in both groups (I2 > 99%). Intra-class correlations within studies were 60% and 90%, respectively. Follow-up time (P = 0.0405) was significant for ML models and age (P = 0.0271) for traditional models in explaining heterogeneity. Validations of the Framingham risk model had high heterogeneity (I2 > 99%).

CONCLUSION

Overall, the quality of included studies was assessed as poor. AUC/C-statistic were mostly acceptable or good, and higher for ML models than traditional models. High heterogeneity implies large variability in the performance of new risk models. Further, large heterogeneity in validations of the Framingham risk model indicate variability in model performance on new populations. To enable researchers to assess hypertension risk models, we encourage adherence to existing guidelines for reporting and developing risk models, specifically reporting appropriate performance measures. Further, we recommend a stronger focus on validation of models by considering reasonable baseline models and performing external validations of existing models. Hence, developed risk models must be made available for external researchers.

Sex-specific genetic architecture of blood pressure

The genetic and genomic basis of sex differences in blood pressure (BP) traits remain unstudied at scale. Here, we conducted sex-stratified and combined-sex genome-wide association studies of BP traits using the UK Biobank resource, identifying 1,346 previously reported and 29 new BP trait-associated loci. Among associated loci, 412 were female-specific (Pfemale ≤ 5 × 10-8; Pmale > 5 × 10-8) and 142 were male-specific (Pmale ≤ 5 × 10-8; Pfemale > 5 × 10-8); these sex-specific loci were enriched for hormone-related transcription factors, in particular, estrogen receptor 1. Analyses of gene-by-sex interactions and sexually dimorphic effects identified four genomic regions, showing female-specific associations with diastolic BP or pulse pressure, including the chromosome 13q34-COL4A1/COL4A2 locus. Notably, female-specific pulse pressure-associated loci exhibited enriched acetylated histone H3 Lys27 modifications in arterial tissues and a female-specific association with fibromuscular dysplasia, a female-biased vascular disease; colocalization signals included Chr13q34: COL4A1/COL4A2, Chr9p21: CDKN2B-AS1 and Chr4q32.1: MAP9 regions. Sex-specific and sex-biased polygenic associations of BP traits were associated with multiple cardiovascular traits. These findings suggest potentially clinically significant and BP sex-specific pleiotropic effects on cardiovascular diseases.

Influence of blood pressure polygenic risk scores and environmental factors on coronary artery disease in the Korean Genome and Epidemiology Study

The present study aimed to investigate the association of blood pressure polygenic risk scores (BP PRSs) with coronary artery disease (CAD) in a Korean population and the interaction effects between PRSs and environmental factors on CAD. Data were derived from the Cardiovascular Disease Association Study (CAVAS; N = 5100) and the Health Examinee Study (HEXA; N = 58,623) within the Korean Genome and Epidemiology Study. PRSs for systolic and diastolic BP were calculated with the weighted allele sum of >200 single-nucleotide polymorphisms. Multivariable logistic regression models were used. BP PRSs were strongly associated with systolic BP (SBP), diastolic BP (DBP), and hypertension in both CAVAS and HEXA (p < 0.0001). PRSSBP was significantly associated with CAD in CAVAS, while PRSSBP and PRSDBP were significantly associated with CAD in HEXA. There was an interaction effect between the BP PRSs and environmental factors on CAD. The odds ratios (ORs) for CAD were 1.036 (95% confidence interval [CI], 1.016-1.055) for obesity, 1.028 (95% CI, 1.011-1.045) for abdominal obesity, 1.030 (95% CI, 1.009-1.050) for triglyceride, 1.024 (95% CI, 1.008-1.041) for high-density lipoprotein cholesterol, and 1.039 for smoking (95% CI, 1.003-1.077) in CAVAS. There was no significant interaction in HEXA, except between PRSDBP and triglyceride (OR, 1.012; 95% CI, 1.001-1.024). BP PRS was associated with an increased risk of hypertension and CAD. The interactions among PRSs and environmental risk factors increased the risk of CAD. Multi-component interventions to lower BP in the population via healthy behaviors are needed to prevent CAD regardless of genetic predisposition.

The Inclusion of Underrepresented Populations in Cardiovascular Genetics and Epidemiology

Novel genetic risk markers have helped us to advance the field of cardiovascular epidemiology and refine our current understanding and risk stratification paradigms. The discovery and analysis of variants can help us to tailor prognostication and management. However, populations underrepresented in cardiovascular epidemiology and cardiogenetics research may experience inequities in care if prediction tools are not applicable to them clinically. Therefore, the purpose of this article is to outline the barriers that underrepresented populations can face in participating in genetics research, to describe the current efforts to diversify cardiogenetics research, and to outline strategies that researchers in cardiovascular epidemiology can implement to include underrepresented populations. Mistrust, a lack of diverse research teams, the improper use of sensitive biodata, and the constraints of genetic analyses are all barriers for including diverse populations in genetics studies. The current work is beginning to address the paucity of ethnically diverse genetics research and has already begun to shed light on the potential benefits of including underrepresented and diverse populations. Reducing barriers for individuals, utilizing community-driven research processes, adopting novel recruitment strategies, and pushing for organizational support for diverse genetics research are key steps that clinicians and researchers can take to develop equitable risk stratification tools and improve patient care.

Preeclampsia Prediction Using Machine Learning and Polygenic Risk Scores From Clinical and Genetic Risk Factors in Early and Late Pregnancies

BACKGROUND

Preeclampsia, a pregnancy-specific condition associated with new-onset hypertension after 20-weeks gestation, is a leading cause of maternal and neonatal morbidity and mortality. Predictive tools to understand which individuals are most at risk are needed.

METHODS

We identified a cohort of N=1125 pregnant individuals who delivered between May 2015 and May 2022 at Mass General Brigham Hospitals with available electronic health record data and linked genetic data. Using clinical electronic health record data and systolic blood pressure polygenic risk scores derived from a large genome-wide association study, we developed machine learning (XGBoost) and logistic regression models to predict preeclampsia risk.

RESULTS

Pregnant individuals with a systolic blood pressure polygenic risk score in the top quartile had higher blood pressures throughout pregnancy compared with patients within the lowest quartile systolic blood pressure polygenic risk score. In the first trimester, the most predictive model was XGBoost, with an area under the curve of 0.74. In late pregnancy, with data obtained up to the delivery admission, the best-performing model was XGBoost using clinical variables, which achieved an area under the curve of 0.91. Adding the systolic blood pressure polygenic risk score to the models did not improve the performance significantly based on De Long test comparing the area under the curve of models with and without the polygenic score.

CONCLUSIONS

Integrating clinical factors into predictive models can inform personalized preeclampsia risk and achieve higher predictive power than the current practice. In the future, personalized tools can be implemented to identify high-risk patients for preventative therapies and timely intervention to improve adverse maternal and neonatal outcomes.

Primary Role of the Kidney in Pathogenesis of Hypertension

Previous transplantation studies and the concept of 'nephron underdosing' support the idea that the kidney plays a crucial role in the development of essential hypertension. This suggests that there are genetic factors in the kidney that can either elevate or decrease blood pressure. The kidney normally maintains arterial pressure within a narrow range by employing the mechanism of pressure-natriuresis. Hypertension is induced when the pressure-natriuresis mechanism fails due to both subtle and overt kidney abnormalities. The inheritance of hypertension is believed to be polygenic, and essential hypertension may result from a combination of genetic variants that code for renal tubular sodium transporters or proteins involved in regulatory pathways. The renin-angiotensin-aldosterone system (RAAS) and sympathetic nervous system (SNS) are the major regulators of renal sodium reabsorption. Hyperactivity of either the RAAS or SNS leads to a rightward shift in the pressure-natriuresis curve. In other words, hypertension is induced when the activity of RAAS and SNS is not suppressed despite increased salt intake. Sodium overload, caused by increased intake and/or reduced renal excretion, not only leads to an expansion of plasma volume but also to an increase in systemic vascular resistance. Endothelial dysfunction is caused by an increased intracellular Na+ concentration, which inhibits endothelial nitric oxide (NO) synthase and reduces NO production. The stiffness of vascular smooth muscle cells is increased by the accumulation of intracellular Na+ and subsequent elevation of cytoplasmic Ca++ concentration. In contrast to the hemodynamic effects of osmotically active Na+, osmotically inactive Na+ stimulates immune cells and produces proinflammatory cytokines, which contribute to hypertension. When this occurs in the gut, the microbiota may become imbalanced, leading to intestinal inflammation and systemic hypertension. In conclusion, the primary cause of hypertension is sodium overload resulting from kidney dysregulation.

Lifestyle management of hypertension: International Society of Hypertension position paper endorsed by the World Hypertension League and European Society of Hypertension

Hypertension, defined as persistently elevated systolic blood pressure (SBP) >140 mmHg and/or diastolic blood pressure (DBP) at least 90 mmHg (International Society of Hypertension guidelines), affects over 1.5 billion people worldwide. Hypertension is associated with increased risk of cardiovascular disease (CVD) events (e.g. coronary heart disease, heart failure and stroke) and death. An international panel of experts convened by the International Society of Hypertension College of Experts compiled lifestyle management recommendations as first-line strategy to prevent and control hypertension in adulthood. We also recommend that lifestyle changes be continued even when blood pressure-lowering medications are prescribed. Specific recommendations based on literature evidence are summarized with advice to start these measures early in life, including maintaining a healthy body weight, increased levels of different types of physical activity, healthy eating and drinking, avoidance and cessation of smoking and alcohol use, management of stress and sleep levels. We also discuss the relevance of specific approaches including consumption of sodium, potassium, sugar, fibre, coffee, tea, intermittent fasting as well as integrated strategies to implement these recommendations using, for example, behaviour change-related technologies and digital tools.

Bioinformatic platforms for clinical stratification of natural history of atherosclerotic cardiovascular diseases

Although bioinformatic methods gained a lot of attention in the latest years, their use in real-world studies for primary and secondary prevention of atherosclerotic cardiovascular diseases (ASCVD) is still lacking. Bioinformatic resources have been applied to thousands of individuals from the Framingham Heart Study as well as health care-associated biobanks such as the UK Biobank, the Million Veteran Program, and the CARDIoGRAMplusC4D Consortium and randomized controlled trials (i.e. ODYSSEY, FOURIER, ASPREE, and PREDIMED). These studies contributed to the development of polygenic risk scores (PRS), which emerged as novel potent genetic-oriented tools, able to calculate the individual risk of ASCVD and to predict the individual response to therapies such as statins and proprotein convertase subtilisin/kexin type 9 inhibitor. ASCVD are the first cause of death around the world including coronary heart disease (CHD), peripheral artery disease, and stroke. To achieve the goal of precision medicine and personalized therapy, advanced bioinformatic platforms are set to link clinically useful indices to heterogeneous molecular data, mainly epigenomics, transcriptomics, metabolomics, and proteomics. The DIANA study found that differential methylation of ABCA1, TCF7, PDGFA, and PRKCZ significantly discriminated patients with acute coronary syndrome from healthy subjects and their expression levels positively associated with CK-MB serum concentrations. The ARIC Study revealed several plasma proteins, acting or not in lipid metabolism, with a potential role in determining the different pleiotropic effects of statins in each subject. The implementation of molecular high-throughput studies and bioinformatic techniques into traditional cardiovascular risk prediction scores is emerging as a more accurate practice to stratify patients earlier in life and to favour timely and tailored risk reduction strategies. Of note, radiogenomics aims to combine imaging features extracted for instance by coronary computed tomography angiography and molecular biomarkers to create CHD diagnostic algorithms useful to characterize atherosclerotic lesions and myocardial abnormalities. The current view is that such platforms could be of clinical value for prevention, risk stratification, and treatment of ASCVD.

The role of depression and antidepressant treatment in antihypertensive medication adherence and persistence: Utilising electronic health record data

Higher blood pressure levels in patients with depression may be associated with lower adherence to antihypertensive medications (AHMs). Here, we use electronic health record (EHR) data from the Estonian Biobank (EstBB) to investigate the role of lifetime depression in AHM adherence and persistence. We also explore the relationship between antidepressant initiation and intraindividual change in AHM adherence among hypertension (HTN) patients with newly diagnosed depression. Diagnosis and pharmacy refill data were obtained from the National Health Insurance database. Adherence and persistence to AHMs were determined for hypertension (HTN) patients initiating treatment between 2009 and 2017 with a three-year follow-up period. Multivariable regression was used to explore the associations between depression and AHM adherence or persistence, adjusting for sociodemographic, genetic, and health-related factors. A linear mixed-effects model was used to estimate the effect of antidepressant treatment initiation on antihypertensive medication adherence, adjusting for age and sex. We identified 20,724 individuals with newly diagnosed HTN (6294 depression cases and 14,430 controls). Depression was associated with 6% lower probability of AHM adherence (OR = 0.943, 95%CI = 0.909-0.979) and 12% lower odds of AHM persistence (OR = 0.876, 95%CI = 0.821-0.936). Adjusting for sociodemographic, genetic, and health-related factors did not significantly influence these associations. AHM adherence increased 8% six months after initiating antidepressant therapy (N = 132; β = 0.078; 95%CI = 0.025-0.131). Based on the EHR data on EstBB participants, depression is associated with lower AHM adherence and persistence. Additionally, antidepressant therapy may help improve AHM adherence in patients with depression.

Epithelial Transport in Disease: An Overview of Pathophysiology and Treatment

Epithelial transport is a multifaceted process crucial for maintaining normal physiological functions in the human body. This comprehensive review delves into the pathophysiological mechanisms underlying epithelial transport and its significance in disease pathogenesis. Beginning with an introduction to epithelial transport, it covers various forms, including ion, water, and nutrient transfer, followed by an exploration of the processes governing ion transport and hormonal regulation. The review then addresses genetic disorders, like cystic fibrosis and Bartter syndrome, that affect epithelial transport. Furthermore, it investigates the involvement of epithelial transport in the pathophysiology of conditions such as diarrhea, hypertension, and edema. Finally, the review analyzes the impact of renal disease on epithelial transport and highlights the potential for future research to uncover novel therapeutic interventions for conditions like cystic fibrosis, hypertension, and renal failure.

Genetically Predicted Blood Pressure and Cognition in Midlife: A UK Biobank Study

BACKGROUND

This UK Biobank study uses a mendelian randomization approach to mitigate the variability and confounding that has affected previous analyses of the relationship between measured blood pressure (BP) and cognition and thus delineate the true association between the two.

METHODS

Systolic BP (SBP) and diastolic BP polygenic risk scores (PRSs) were calculated using summary statistics from the International Consortium of Blood Pressure-Genome Wide Association Study (n=299 024). Adjusted nonlinear mixed-effects regression models were used, including a natural splines term for BP-PRS with outcomes of fluid intelligence, reaction time (RT), and composite attention score. Moderating effects of age, sex, and antihypertensive use were assessed in separate models.

RESULTS

There were 448 575 participants (mean age, 56.3 years; age range, 37-72 years) included in the analysis after genetic and neurological disease exclusions. Genetic propensity for high SBP had an approximately linear association with worsened fluid intelligence (P=0.0018). This relationship was significantly moderated by age (P<0.0001). By contrast, genetic propensity for high and low SBP and diastolic BP predicted worse attention function (P=0.0099 and P=0.0019), with high PRSs predicting worse function than low PRSs. Genetic propensity for low SBP and diastolic BP was associated with considerably worse RTs, while for high SBP-PRSs, the RT plateaued (P<0.0001). The relationships between RT and the PRSs were significantly moderated by sex (P<0.0001) and antihypertensive use (P<0.0001).

CONCLUSIONS

Genetic propensity for high and low BP impacts on midlife cognition in subtle ways and differentially affects cognitive domains. While a genetic propensity to low BP may preserve nontimed tests in midlife, it may come at a trade-off with worsened attention scores and RT.

Genome-wide association study and genomic risk prediction of age-related macular degeneration in Israel

Purpose

The risk of developing age-related macular degeneration(AMD) is influenced by genetic background. In 2016, International AMD Genomics Consortium(IAMDGC) identified 52 risk variants in 34 loci, and a polygenic risk score(PRS) based on these variants was associated with AMD. The Israeli population has a unique genetic composition: Ashkenazi Jewish(AJ), Jewish non-Ashkenazi, and Arab sub-populations. We aimed to perform a genome-wide association study(GWAS) for AMD in Israel, and to evaluate PRSs for AMD.

Methods

For our discovery set, we recruited 403 AMD patients and 256 controls at Hadassah Medical Center. We genotyped all individuals via custom exome chip. We imputed non-typed variants using cosmopolitan and AJ reference panels. We recruited additional 155 cases and 69 controls for validation. To evaluate predictive power of PRSs for AMD, we used IAMDGC summary statistics excluding our study and developed PRSs via either clumping/thresholding or LDpred2.

Results

In our discovery set, 31/34 loci previously reported by the IAMDGC were AMD associated with P<0.05. Of those, all effects were directionally consistent with the IAMDGC and 11 loci had a p-value under Bonferroni-corrected threshold(0.05/34=0.0015). At a threshold of 5x10 -5 , we discovered four suggestive associations in FAM189A1 , IGDCC4 , C7orf50 , and CNTNAP4 . However, only the FAM189A1 variant was AMD associated in the replication cohort after Bonferroni-correction. A prediction model including LDpred2-based PRS and other covariates had an AUC of 0.82(95%CI:0.79-0.85) and performed better than a covariates-only model(P=5.1x10 -9 ).

Conclusions

Previously reported AMD-associated loci were nominally associated with AMD in Israel. A PRS developed based on a large international study is predictive in Israeli populations.

Future treatments in hypertension: Can we meet the unmet needs of patients?

The prevalence of arterial hypertension is approximately 47% in the United States and 55% in Europe. Multiple different medical therapies are used to treat hypertension including diuretics, beta blockers, calcium channel blockers, angiotensin receptor blockers, angiotensin converting enzyme inhibitors, alpha blockers, central acting alpha receptor agonists, neprilysin inhibitors and vasodilators. However, despite the numerous number of medications, the prevalence of hypertension is on the rise, a considerable proportion of the hypertensive population is resistant to these therapeutic modalities and a definitive cure is not possible with the current treatment approaches. Therefore, there is a need for novel therapeutic strategies to provide better treatment and control of hypertension. In this review, our aim is to describe the latest developments in the treatment of hypertension including novel medication classes, gene therapies and RNA-based modalities.

Polygenic Susceptibility to Hypertension and Cognitive Performance in Middle-aged Persons Without Stroke or Dementia

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES

Mounting evidence indicates that hypertension leads to a higher risk of dementia. Hypertension is a highly heritable trait, and a higher polygenic susceptibility to hypertension (PSH) is known to associate with a higher risk of dementia. We tested the hypothesis that a higher PSH leads to worse cognitive performance in middle-aged persons without dementia. Confirming this hypothesis would support follow-up research focused on using hypertension-related genomic information to risk-stratify middle-aged adults before hypertension develops.

METHODS

We conducted a nested cross-sectional genetic study within the UK Biobank (UKB). Study participants with a history of dementia or stroke were excluded. We categorized participants as having low (≤20th percentile), intermediate, or high (≥80th percentile) PSH according to results of 2 polygenic risk scores for systolic and diastolic blood pressure (BP) generated with data on 732 genetic risk variants. A general cognitive ability score was calculated as the first component of an analysis that included the results of 5 cognitive tests. Primary analyses focused on Europeans, and secondary analyses included all race/ethnic groups.

RESULTS

Of the 502,422 participants enrolled in the UKB, 48,118 (9.6%) completed the cognitive evaluation, including 42,011 (8.4%) of European ancestry. Multivariable regression models using systolic BP-related genetic variants indicated that compared with study participants with a low PSH, those with intermediate and high PSH had reductions of 3.9% (β -0.039, SE 0.012) and 6.6% (β -0.066, SE 0.014), respectively, in their general cognitive ability score (p < 0.001). Secondary analyses including all race/ethnic groups and using diastolic BP-related genetic variants yielded similar results (p < 0.05 for all tests). Analyses evaluating each cognitive test separately indicated that reaction time, numeric memory, and fluid intelligence drove the association between PSH and general cognitive ability score (all individual tests, p < 0.05).

DISCUSSION

Among nondemented, community-dwelling, middle-aged Britons, a higher PSH is associated with worse cognitive performance. These findings suggest that genetic predisposition to hypertension influences brain health in persons who have not yet developed dementia. Because information on genetic risk variants for elevated BP is available long before the development of hypertension, these results lay the foundation for further research focused on using genomic data for the early identification of high-risk middle-aged adults.

No association between genetic markers and hypertension control in multiple cross-sectional studies

We aimed to assess whether genetic markers are associated with hypertension control using two cross-sectional surveys conducted in Lausanne, Switzerland. Management of hypertension was assessed as per ESC guidelines using the 140/90 or the 130/80 mm Hg thresholds. One genetic risk score (GRS) for hypertension (18 SNPs) and 133 individual SNPs related to response to specific antihypertensive drugs were tested. We included 1073 (first) and 1157 (second survey) participants treated for hypertension. The prevalence of controlled participants using the 140/90 threshold was 58.8% and 63.6% in the first and second follow-up, respectively. On multivariable analysis, only older age was consistently and negatively associated with hypertension control. No consistent associations were found between GRS and hypertension control (140/90 threshold) for both surveys: Odds ratio and (95% confidence interval) for the highest vs. the lowest quartile of the GRS: 1.06 (0.71-1.58) p = 0.788, and 1.11 (0.71-1.72) p = 0.657, in the first and second survey, respectively. Similar findings were obtained using the 130/80 threshold: 1.23 (0.79-1.90) p = 0.360 and 1.09 (0.69-1.73) p = 0.717, in the first and second survey, respectively. No association between individual SNPs and hypertension control was found. We conclude that control of hypertension is poor in Switzerland. No association between GRS or SNPs and hypertension control was found.

Genome-wide association studies: utility and limitations for research in physiology

Physiological systems are subject to interindividual variation encoded by genetics. Genome-wide association studies (GWAS) operate by surveying thousands of genetic variants from a substantial number of individuals and assessing their association to a trait of interest, be it a physiological variable, a molecular phenotype (e.g. gene expression), or even a disease or condition. Through a myriad of methods, GWAS downstream analyses then explore the functional consequences of each variant and attempt to ascertain a causal relationship to the phenotype of interest, as well as to delve into its links to other traits. This type of investigation allows mechanistic insights into physiological functions, pathological disturbances and shared biological processes between traits (i.e. pleiotropy). An exciting example is the discovery of a new thyroid hormone transporter (SLC17A4) and hormone metabolising enzyme (AADAT) from a GWAS on free thyroxine levels. Therefore, GWAS have substantially contributed with insights into physiology and have been shown to be useful in unveiling the genetic control underlying complex traits and pathological conditions; they will continue to do so with global collaborations and advances in genotyping technology. Finally, the increasing number of trans-ancestry GWAS and initiatives to include ancestry diversity in genomics will boost the power for discoveries, making them also applicable to non-European populations.

Evaluating the use of blood pressure polygenic risk scores across race/ethnic background groups

We assess performance and limitations of polygenic risk scores (PRSs) for multiple blood pressure (BP) phenotypes in diverse population groups. We compare "clumping-and-thresholding" (PRSice2) and LD-based (LDPred2) methods to construct PRSs from each of multiple GWAS, as well as multi-PRS approaches that sum PRSs with and without weights, including PRS-CSx. We use datasets from the MGB Biobank, TOPMed study, UK biobank, and from All of Us to train, assess, and validate PRSs in groups defined by self-reported race/ethnic background (Asian, Black, Hispanic/Latino, and White). For both SBP and DBP, the PRS-CSx based PRS, constructed as a weighted sum of PRSs developed from multiple independent GWAS, perform best across all race/ethnic backgrounds. Stratified analysis in All of Us shows that PRSs are better predictive of BP in females compared to males, individuals without obesity, and middle-aged (40-60 years) compared to older and younger individuals.

Current State and Future of Polygenic Risk Scores in Cardiometabolic Disease: A Scoping Review

A polygenic risk score (PRS) is derived from a genome-wide association study and represents an aggregate of thousands of single-nucleotide polymorphisms that provide a baseline estimate of an individual's genetic risk for a specific disease or trait at birth. However, it remains unclear how PRSs can be used in clinical practice. We provide an overview of the PRSs related to cardiometabolic disease and discuss the evidence supporting their clinical applications and limitations. The Preferred Reporting Items For Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analysis Extension for Scoping Reviews protocol was used to conduct a scoping review of the MEDLINE, EMBASE, and CENTRAL databases. Across the 4863 studies screened, 82 articles met the inclusion criteria. The most common PRS related to coronary artery disease, followed by hypertension and cerebrovascular disease. Limited ancestral diversity was observed in the study sample populations. Most studies included only individuals of European ancestry. The predictive performance of most PRSs was similar to or superior to traditional risk factors. More than half of the included studies reported an integrated risk model combining a derived PRS and clinical risk tools such as the Framingham Risk Score and Pooled Cohort Equations. The inclusion of a PRS into a clinical risk model tended to improve predictive accuracy consistently. This scoping review is the first of its kind and reports strong evidence for the clinical utility of PRSs in coronary artery disease, hypertension, cerebrovascular disease, and atrial fibrillation. However, most PRSs are generated in cohorts of European ancestry, which likely contributes to a lack of PRS transferability across different ancestral groups. Future prospective studies should focus on further establishing the clinical utility of PRSs and ensuring diversity is incorporated into genome-wide association study cohorts.

Combating hypertension beyond genome-wide association studies: Microbiome and artificial intelligence as opportunities for precision medicine

The single largest contributor to human mortality is cardiovascular disease, the top risk factor for which is hypertension (HTN). The last two decades have placed much emphasis on the identification of genetic factors contributing to HTN. As a result, over 1,500 genetic alleles have been associated with human HTN. Mapping studies using genetic models of HTN have yielded hundreds of blood pressure (BP) loci but their individual effects on BP are minor, which limits opportunities to target them in the clinic. The value of collecting genome-wide association data is evident in ongoing research, which is beginning to utilize these data at individual-level genetic disparities combined with artificial intelligence (AI) strategies to develop a polygenic risk score (PRS) for the prediction of HTN. However, PRS alone may or may not be sufficient to account for the incidence and progression of HTN because genetics is responsible for <30% of the risk factors influencing the etiology of HTN pathogenesis. Therefore, integrating data from other nongenetic factors influencing BP regulation will be important to enhance the power of PRS. One such factor is the composition of gut microbiota, which constitute a more recently discovered important contributor to HTN. Studies to-date have clearly demonstrated that the transition from normal BP homeostasis to a state of elevated BP is linked to compositional changes in gut microbiota and its interaction with the host. Here, we first document evidence from studies on gut dysbiosis in animal models and patients with HTN followed by a discussion on the prospects of using microbiota data to develop a metagenomic risk score (MRS) for HTN to be combined with PRS and a clinical risk score (CRS). Finally, we propose that integrating AI to learn from the combined PRS, MRS and CRS may further enhance predictive power for the susceptibility and progression of HTN.

Gene-based association study reveals a distinct female genetic signal in primary hypertension

Hypertension is a polygenic disease that affects over 1.2 billion adults aged 30-79 worldwide. It is a major risk factor for renal, cerebrovascular, and cardiovascular diseases. The heritability of hypertension is estimated to be high; nevertheless, our understanding of its underlying mechanisms remains scarce and incomplete. This study covered the entries from European ancestry from the UK-Biobank (UKB), with 74,090 cases diagnosed with essential (primary) hypertension and 200,734 controls. We compared the findings from large-scale genome-wide association studies (GWAS) to the gene-based method of proteome-wide association studies (PWAS). We focused on 70 statistically significant associated genes, most of which failed to reach significance in variant-based GWAS. A total of 30% of the PWAS-associated genes were validated against independent cohorts, including the Finnish Biobank. Furthermore, gene-based analyses that were performed on both sexes revealed sex-dependent genetics with a stronger genetic component associated with females. Analysis of systolic and diastolic blood pressure measurements confirms a strong genetic effect associated with females. We demonstrated that gene-based approaches provide insight into the underlying biology of hypertension. Specifically, the expression profiles of the identified genes exposed the enrichment of endothelial cells from multiple organs. Furthermore, females' top-ranked significant genes are involved in cellular immunity. We conclude that studying hypertension and blood pressure via gene-based association methods improves interpretability and exposes sex-dependent genetic effects, which enhances clinical utility.

Polygenic Susceptibility to Hypertension and Blood Pressure Control in Stroke Survivors

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES

Blood pressure (BP) is often not at goal in stroke survivors, leaving individuals vulnerable to additional vascular events. Given that BP is a highly heritable trait, we hypothesize that a higher polygenic susceptibility to hypertension (PSH) leads to worse BP control in stroke survivors.

METHODS

We conducted a study within the UK Biobank evaluating persons of European ancestry who survived an ischemic or hemorrhagic stroke. To model the PSH, we created polygenic risk scores (PRSs) for systolic and diastolic BP using 732 genetic variants. We divided the PRSs into quintiles and used linear/logistic regression to test whether higher PSH led to higher observed BP, uncontrolled BP (systolic BP > 140 mm Hg or diastolic BP > 90 mm Hg), and resistant BP (uncontrolled BP despite being on ≥3 antihypertensive drugs). We conducted an independent replication using data from the Vitamin Intervention for Stroke Prevention (VISP) trial.

RESULTS

We analyzed 5,940 stroke survivors. When comparing stroke survivors with very low vs very high PSH, the mean systolic BP was 137 (SD 18) vs 143 (SD 20, p < 0.001), the mean diastolic BP was 81 (SD 10) vs 84 (SD 11, p < 0.001), the prevalence of uncontrolled BP was 42.8% vs 57.2% (p < 0.001), and the prevalence of resistant hypertension was 3.9% vs 11% (p < 0.001). Results remained significant using multivariable models (p < 0.001) and were replicated in the VISP study (all tests with p < 0.05).

DISCUSSION

A higher PSH is associated with worse BP control in stroke survivors. These findings point to genetic predisposition as an important determinant of poorly controlled BP in this population.