Overweight/obesity and gastrointestinal disease incidence in Denmark-a cohort study

OBJECTIVE

Obesity is associated with various gastrointestinal (GI) conditions. Because of the epidemic rise of obesity, we examined associations between overweight/obesity and incidence of individual GI diseases.

DESIGN

Cohort study.

SETTING

Denmark, 1997-2018.

PARTICIPANTS

Using nationwide healthcare registries, we identified All Danes ≥18 years with a hospital diagnosis of overweight/obesity. We created an age- and sex-matched general population comparison cohort.

EXPOSURE

A diagnosis code of overweight/obesity.

MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES

We compared the incidence of hospital-diagnosed GI diseases from 1 year after overweight/obesity diagnosis.

RESULTS

We included 129 466 patients with overweight/obesity (70.9% female, median age 49.3 years). Their incidence rate of GI disease was 30.1 per 1000 person years (95% CI: 29.8-30.5) vs 16.7 (95% CI: 16.5-16.8) for comparators, yielding an adjusted hazard ratio (aHR) of 1.7 (95% CI: 1.7-1.7). The aHRs indicated elevated risk of all GI disease sub-types in the overweight/obesity cohort, including cholelithiasis: 2.8 (95% CI: 2.7-2.9), cholecystitis: 2.6 (95% CI: 2.4-2.8), acute pancreatitis: 2.2 (95% CI: 2.0-2.4), stomach ulcer: 2.0 (95% CI: 1.9-2.1), cirrhosis: 1.5 (95% CI: 1.3-1.7), and obesity-associated GI cancer: 1.2 (95% CI: 1.2-1.3). The aHR for any GI disease was 1.4 (95% CI: 1.4-1.5) in men and 1.9 (95% CI: 1.8-1.9) in women. Among patients 18 to <30 years, the aHR was 2.6 (95% CI: 2.5-2.7) vs 1.3 (95% CI: 1.3-1.4) among individuals ≥70 years.

CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE

Overweight/obesity is a risk factor for a wide range of GI diseases and is expected to become an even greater clinical challenge in the future.

Italian Chronic Pancreatitis Registry (ITARECIPE): protocol for a nationwide cohort study

INTRODUCTION

Chronic pancreatitis (CP) is a progressive inflammatory disease of the pancreas leading to permanent damage, resulting in both exocrine and endocrine insufficiency. Understanding the management of patients with CP and their outcomes is critical for improving patient care. CP is relatively rare in Italy and is characterised by various aetiologies and clinical progression requiring personalised treatment options. This registry (ITARECIPE) aims to prospectively collect and analyse data on patients with newly diagnosed CP to gain insights into its epidemiology, presentation, disease progression, and treatment outcomes.

METHODS AND ANALYSIS

This is a multicentre, observational, non-interventional incident cohort study supported by the Italian Association for the Study of the Pancreas and endorsed by relevant Italian gastroenterological societies. ITARECIPE is the first registry in Italy focusing on newly diagnosed CP patients, leading to a comprehensive understanding of disease onset and progression. The study plans to enrol ≥300 patients annually over a minimum of 5 years. Data are recorded in a pseudo-anonymous electronic Case Report Form (eCRF) at baseline and follow-up visits, covering patient demographics, comorbidities, chronic medications, CP aetiology, pancreatic function (exocrine and endocrine), pain, complications, imaging, laboratory tests and treatments. It will track epidemiology, clinical history and treatment outcomes, potentially improving adherence to best practices and informing health policy decisions. The ITARECIPE registry will contribute significantly to the understanding of CP by providing detailed epidemiological, clinical and examinations data into disease management, which could help the development of future clinical practice and guidelines.

ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION

The study was approved by the Ethics Committee (EC) of the promoter centre (San Raffaele Hospital, Milan, Italy; approval code 178/2022) and subsequently by the EC of each participating centre. All patients will be included after signing written informed consent and will be recorded in a pseudo-anonymous manner in a specific eCRF, in accordance with international principles and recommendations for observational studies. The ongoing results may be presented at national or international conferences and will be reported in peer-reviewed publications.

TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER

NCT05733130.

Evolving trends in interventions and outcomes for acute biliary pancreatitis during pregnancy: A two-decade analysis

BACKGROUND/OBJECTIVES

Cholelithiasis is the most common cause of acute pancreatitis in pregnancy. We analyzed trends in acute biliary pancreatitis (ABP) among pregnant women over the past two decades to evaluate changes in outcomes, including the incidence of severe acute pancreatitis, mortality rates, and hospital length of stay.

METHODS

Using the National Inpatient Sample, we identified adult women of childbearing age (age 18-50 years) with hospitalization for ABP from 2002 to 2020. Trends were analyzed using Cochran-Armitage and F-tests. Multivariable binary logistic regression was used to evaluate the outcome of severe acute pancreatitis (SAP).

RESULTS

45,064 pregnant and 212,009 non-pregnant women were hospitalized for ABP (2002-2020), with a significant increase in ABP during pregnancy (14.1 %→17.8 %; p < 0.001). Trend analyses in the pregnant cohort revealed increasing age (mean 27  →  28.1 years; p < 0.001), Class-III obesity (0.7 %→7.8 %; p < 0.001), comorbidities (Elixhauser index ≥3) (2.9 %→11.2 %; p < 0.001), and SAP (2.2 %→5.0 %; p < 0.001). Mortality remained very low (<0.01 %). Performance of ERCP (22.2 %→26.5 %; p < 0.001) and cholecystectomy (41.0 %→54.1 %; p < 0.001) increased while duration of hospitalization decreased (Mean 4.9  →  3.6 days; p < 0.001). Multivariable analysis revealed that the development of SAP was associated with Black race (OR 1.70, 95 % CI: 1.10-2.63) and comorbidities (OR 5.10, 95 % CI 3.64-7.14).

CONCLUSIONS

Pregnant women represent a significant portion of hospitalized ABP cases, paralleling increases in age, comorbidities, and obesity rates. Racial disparities are linked to higher odds of SAP, though comorbidities have a dominant effect. There has been an increase in guideline-recommended procedures (ERCP and cholecystectomy); however, further research is needed to address the implementation gap, considering the increased complexity of pregnant women with ABP.

Metabolic Sequelae and All-Cause Mortality in Chronic Pancreatitis With and Without Prior Acute Pancreatitis: A Nationwide Population-Based Cohort Study

INTRODUCTION

The purpose of this study was to investigate the risk of metabolic sequelae and all-cause mortality in a population-based cohort of chronic pancreatitis (CP) patients with and without prior acute pancreatitis (AP).

METHODS

We used nationwide health registries to identify all Danish residents (18 years and older) with incident CP from 2000 to 2018. Information on AP/CP diagnoses, metabolic sequelae (post-pancreatitis diabetes mellitus [PPDM], exocrine pancreatic dysfunction, and osteoporosis), and all-cause mortality were obtained from Danish national health registries. CP cases were stratified based on the presence of AP before CP diagnosis. The risk of metabolic sequelae and all-cause mortality was expressed as hazard ratios (HRs) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs), calculated using multivariate Cox proportional hazards models.

RESULTS

A total of 9,655 patients with CP were included. Among patients with CP, 3,913 (40.5%) had a prior AP diagnosis. Compared with patients without a history of AP, patients with prior AP had a decreased risk of death (HR 0.79, 95% CI 0.74-0.84), which was largely confined to the initial period after CP diagnosis. Patients with prior AP had an increased risk of PPDM (HR 1.53, 95% CI 1.38-1.69), which persisted for up to a decade after CP diagnosis. No overall differences in risk were observed for exocrine pancreatic dysfunction (HR 0.97, 95% CI 0.87-1.07) and osteoporosis (HR 0.87, 95% CI 0.74-1.02).

DISCUSSION

This nationwide study revealed that most of the patients with CP have no prior episode(s) of AP, indicating that an attack of AP sensitizing the pancreas is not essential for CP development. CP patients with and without prior AP have different risk profiles of PPDM and all-cause mortality.

Metformin treatment is associated with reduced risk of hypoglycaemia, major adverse cardiovascular events, and all-cause mortality in patients with post-pancreatitis diabetes mellitus: a nationwide cohort study

OBJECTIVE

Post-pancreatitis diabetes mellitus (PPDM) is a frequent complication of pancreatitis and is associated with an increased risk of adverse outcomes. Metformin is recommended for the treatment of PPDM, but evidence of its risk-benefit profile is limited. In a pharmaco-epidemiologic study, we investigated the association between metformin treatment and adverse outcomes in patients with PPDM.

DESIGN AND METHODS

In a Danish nationwide population-based cohort study, we included adults (≥18 years) with incident PPDM or type 2 diabetes between 2009 and 2018. Post-pancreatitis diabetes mellitus was categorised into acute and chronic subtypes (PPDM-A and PPDM-C). Associations between metformin treatment and severe hypoglycaemia, major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE), and all-cause mortality were examined across the diabetes subgroups using Cox regression analysis. Treatments with metformin, insulin, and other glucose-lowering therapies were handled as time-varying exposures.

RESULTS

We included 222 337 individuals with new-onset type 2 diabetes and 3781 with PPDM, of whom 2305 (61%) were classified as PPDM-A and 1476 (39%) as PPDM-C. Treatment with metformin was associated with a lower risk of severe hypoglycaemia (adjusted hazard ratio [HR] 0.41, 95% CI 0.27-0.62, P < .0001), MACE (HR 0.74, 95% CI 0.60-0.92, P = .0071), and all-cause mortality (HR 0.56, 95% CI 0.49-0.64, P < .0001) in patients with PPDM. In sensitivity analyses and among individuals with type 2 diabetes, metformin treatment exhibited comparable trends of risk reduction.

CONCLUSIONS

Metformin is associated with a lower risk of adverse outcomes, including all-cause mortality in patients with PPDM, supporting the use of metformin as a glucose-lowering therapy for these patients.

Nudging a Nation - The Danish NUDGE Trial Concept

Danish NUDGE Trial ConceptRandomized encouragement trials randomize to an opportunity to receive treatment instead of to the treatment. Here, Johansen and colleagues combine randomized encouragement trials with several advantages inherent in the Danish health system.

Multistate Model of the Natural History of Inflammatory Pancreatic Diseases: A Nationwide Population-based Cohort Study

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Understanding the nature of inflammatory pancreatic diseases is essential for planning health care system requirements and interventions. The aim of this study was to quantify the trajectories of inflammatory pancreatic diseases and their association with pancreatic cancer in a population-based setting.

METHODS

National health registries were used to identify all Danish residents (18 years or older) in the period from 2000 through 2018 with incident cases of acute pancreatitis (AP), recurrent acute pancreatitis (RAP), chronic pancreatitis (CP), and pancreatic cancer. We used a multistate model to examine transitions from a healthy state to intermediate states of acute pancreatic inflammation (AP and RAP) to chronic states (CP and pancreatic cancer) and, ultimately, death. Results were reported as transition incidence rates per 1000 person-years with 95% CIs.

RESULTS

There were 4,663,864 individuals included (mean age, 46 years; 51% were women). During a mean follow-up of 16.8 years, 31,396 individuals were diagnosed with incident AP, 5546 with RAP, 8898 with CP, and 18,182 with pancreatic cancer. The cumulative incidence of pancreatitis (acute and chronic) during the study period was 0.80% (95% CI, 0.79%-0.80%). The transition incidence rates to CP were 12.1 (95% CI, 8.1-18.1) from AP, 46.8 (95% CI, 31.6-69.3) from RAP, and 0.07 (95% CI, 0.04-0.13) from a healthy state. Similar patterns were observed for transitions to pancreatic cancer. Most patients diagnosed with CP (64.2%) and pancreatic cancer (96.4%) transitioned directly from a healthy state. Among patients with pancreatitis, 41.0% (95% CI, 40.5%-41.5%) died during follow-up.

CONCLUSIONS

The study findings revealed an increased risk of CP and pancreatic cancer in patients with a history of AP. However, most patients with CP and pancreatic cancer transitioned directly from a healthy state.

Impact of comorbidities on hospital mortality in patients with acute pancreatitis: a population-based study of 110,021 patients

BACKGROUND

The impact of pre-existing comorbidities on acute pancreatitis (AP) mortality is not clearly defined. Our study aims to determine the trend in AP hospital mortality and the role of comorbidities as a predictor of hospital mortality.

METHODS

We analyzed patients aged ≥ 18 years hospitalized with AP diagnosis between 2016 and 2019. The data have been extracted from the Spanish National Hospital Discharge Database of the Spanish Ministry of Health. We performed a univariate and multivariable analysis of the association of age, sex, and comorbidities with hospital mortality in patients with AP. The role of the Charlson and Elixhauser comorbidity indices as predictors of mortality was evaluated.

RESULTS

A total of 110,021 patients diagnosed with AP were hospitalized during the analyzed period. Hospital mortality was 3.8%, with a progressive decrease observed in the years evaluated. In multivariable analysis, age ≥ 65 years (OR: 4.11, p < 0.001), heart disease (OR: 1.73, p < 0.001), renal disease (OR: 1.99, p < 0.001), moderate-severe liver disease (OR: 2.86, p < 0.001), peripheral vascular disease (OR: 1.43, p < 0.001), and cerebrovascular disease (OR: 1.63, p < 0.001) were independent risk factors for mortality. The Charlson > 1.5 (OR: 2.03, p < 0.001) and Elixhauser > 1.5 (OR: 2.71, p < 0.001) comorbidity indices were also independently associated with mortality, and ROC curve analysis showed that they are useful for predicting hospital mortality.

CONCLUSIONS

Advanced age, heart disease, renal disease, moderate-severe liver disease, peripheral vascular disease, and cerebrovascular disease before admission were independently associated with hospital mortality. The Charlson and Elixhauser comorbidity indices are useful for predicting hospital mortality in AP patients.

Validation of Acute Pancreatitis Among Adults in an Integrated Healthcare System

BACKGROUND

Acute pancreatitis is a serious gastrointestinal disease that is an important target for drug safety surveillance. Little is known about the accuracy of ICD-10 codes for acute pancreatitis in the United States, or their performance in specific clinical settings. We conducted a validation study to assess the accuracy of acute pancreatitis ICD-10 diagnosis codes in inpatient, emergency department (ED), and outpatient settings.

METHODS

We reviewed electronic medical records for encounters with acute pancreatitis diagnosis codes in an integrated healthcare system from October 2015 to December 2019. Trained abstractors and physician adjudicators determined whether events met criteria for acute pancreatitis.

RESULTS

Out of 1,844 eligible events, we randomly sampled 300 for review. Across all clinical settings, 182 events met validation criteria for an overall positive predictive value (PPV) of 61% (95% confidence intervals [CI] = 55, 66). The PPV was 87% (95% CI = 79, 92%) for inpatient codes, but only 45% for ED (95% CI = 35, 54%) and outpatient (95% CI = 34, 55%) codes. ED and outpatient encounters accounted for 43% of validated events. Acute pancreatitis codes from any encounter type with lipase >3 times the upper limit of normal had a PPV of 92% (95% CI = 86, 95%) and identified 85% of validated events (95% CI = 79, 89%), while codes with lipase <3 times the upper limit of normal had a PPV of only 22% (95% CI = 16, 30%).

CONCLUSIONS

These results suggest that ICD-10 codes accurately identified acute pancreatitis in the inpatient setting, but not in the ED and outpatient settings. Laboratory data substantially improved algorithm performance.

Smoking as the most important risk factor for chronic pancreatitis in the general population

We tested the hypothesis that six toxic risk factors from the TIGAR-O classification system are equally important for risk of chronic pancreatitis, at the level of the individual patient and in the general population. 108,438 women and men aged 20-100 years participating in the Copenhagen General Population Study from 2003 to 2015 were included. Associations of smoking, alcohol intake, waist/hip ratio, kidney function, plasma triglycerides, plasma Ca²⁺, and diseases within the causal pathway with risk of chronic pancreatitis, and corresponding population attributable risks were estimated. Information on chronic pancreatitis was from national Danish health registries. During median 9 years (range: 0-15) of follow-up, 313 individuals had a first diagnosis of chronic pancreatitis; the incidence of chronic pancreatitis per 10,000 person-years were 3.1 overall, 2.8 in women, and 3.5 in men. Of the six toxic risk factors and relative to individuals with low values, individuals in the top 5% had hazard ratios for chronic pancreatitis of 3.1(95% CI 2.1-4.5) for pack-years smoked, 2.5(1.5-4.0) for alcohol intake, and 1.6(1.1-2.6) for plasma triglycerides. Corresponding values versus those without the baseline disease were 12.6 (7.9-20.2) for acute pancreatitis, 1.9 (1.2-2.8) for gallstone disease, and 1.9 (1.3-2.7) for diabetes mellitus. The highest population attributable fractions were for women (1) ever smoking (31%), (2) gallstone disease (5%), and (3) diabetes mellitus (4%), and for men (1) ever smoking (38%), (2) acute pancreatitis (7%)/high alcohol intake (7%), and (3) high plasma triglycerides (5%). Smoking is the most important risk factor for chronic pancreatitis in the general population.

Development and validation of case-finding algorithms to identify acute pancreatitis in the Veterans Health Administration

PURPOSE

Acute pancreatitis (AP) is a frequently encountered adverse drug reaction. However, the validity of diagnostic codes for AP is unknown. We aimed to determine the positive predictive value (PPV) of a diagnostic code-based algorithm for identifying patients with AP within the US Veterans Health Administration and evaluate the value of adding readily available structured laboratory information.

METHODS

We identified patients with possible AP events first based on the presence of a single hospital discharge ICD-9 or ICD-10 diagnosis of AP (Algorithm 1). We then expanded Algorithm 1 by including relevant laboratory test results (Algorithm 2). Specifically, we considered amylase or lipase serum values obtained between 2 days before admission and the end of the hospitalization. Medical records of a random sample of patients identified by the respective algorithms were reviewed by two separate gastroenterologists to adjudicate AP events. The PPV (95% confidence interval [CI]) for the algorithms were calculated.

RESULTS

Algorithm 2, consisting of one ICD-9 or ICD-10 hospital discharge diagnosis of AP and the addition of lipase serum value ≥200 U/L, had a PPV 89.1% (95% CI 83.0%-95.2%), improving from the PPV of algorithm 1 (57.9% [95% CI 46.8-69.0]).

CONCLUSIONS

An algorithm consisting of an ICD-9 or ICD-10 diagnosis of AP with a lipase value ≥200 U/L achieved high PPV. This simple algorithm can be readily implemented in any electronic health records (EHR) systems and could be useful for future pharmacoepidemiologic studies on AP.

Association of Statin Usage and the Development of Diabetes Mellitus after Acute Pancreatitis

BACKGROUND

Patients with acute pancreatitis (AP) have at least a 2-fold higher risk for developing postpancreatitis diabetes mellitus (PPDM). No therapies have prevented PPDM. Statins were demonstrated to possibly lower the incidence and severity of AP but have not been studied to prevent PPDM.

METHODS

Data from a commercial insurance claim database (Optum Clinformatics) were used to assess the impact of statins on patients without pre-existing DM admitted for a first episode of AP in 118,479 patients. Regular statin usage was defined as filled statin prescriptions for at least 80% of the year prior to AP. The primary outcome was defined as PPDM. We constructed a propensity score and applied inverse probability of treatment weighting to balance baseline characteristics between groups. Using Cox proportional hazards regression modeling, we estimated the risk of PPDM, accounting for competing events.

RESULTS

With a median of 3.5 years of follow-up, the 5-year cumulative incidence of PPDM was 7.5% (95% confidence interval [CI], 6.9% to 8.0%) among regular statin users and 12.7% (95% CI, 12.4% to 12.9%) among nonusers. Regular statin users had a 42% lower risk of developing PPDM compared with nonusers (hazard ratio, 0.58; 95% CI, 0.52 to 0.65; P < .001). Irregular statin users had a 15% lower risk of PPDM (hazard ratio, 0.85; 95% CI, 0.81 to 0.89; P < .001). Similar benefits were seen with low, moderate, and high statin doses.

CONCLUSIONS

In a large database-based study, statin usage reduced the risk of developing DM after acute pancreatitis. Further prospective studies with long-term follow-up are needed to study the impact of statins on acute pancreatitis and prevention of PPDM.

Risk of Major Adverse Cardiovascular Events, Severe Hypoglycemia, and All-Cause Mortality in Postpancreatitis Diabetes Mellitus Versus Type 2 Diabetes: A Nationwide Population-Based Cohort Study

OBJECTIVE

Postpancreatitis diabetes mellitus (PPDM) is a frequent complication of pancreatitis and associates with poor glycemic control. We investigated the risk of adverse diabetes-related outcomes in PPDM compared with type 2 diabetes.

RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS

In this Danish population-based cohort study, we included adults (>18 years) with incident PPDM or type 2 diabetes between 1998 and 2018 through national health registries. PPDM was further divided into acute (PPDM-A) and chronic (PPDM-C) subtypes. We ascertained risk of major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE), severe hypoglycemia, and all-cause mortality as well as incidence rates of severe hypoglycemia. We compared risk and incidence rates across diabetes subgroups using multivariate Cox and Poisson regression analyses.

RESULTS

We identified 383,325 people with incident type 2 diabetes, 3,418 with PPDM-A, and 2,461 with PPDM-C. Compared with type 2 diabetes, PPDM-C was associated with increased risks of severe hypoglycemia (hazard ratio [HR] 5.27, 95% CI 4.62-6.00, P < 0.001) and all-cause mortality (HR 1.54, 95% CI 1.45-1.64, P < 0.001). Similar patterns were observed for people with PPDM-A. Incidence rate ratios (IRRs) for severe hypoglycemia were increased in both PPDM-C (IRR 7.38, 95% CI 6.75-8.08, P < 0.001) and PPDM-A (IRR 3.76, 95% CI 3.36-4.21, P < 0.001) compared with type 2 diabetes. Findings were consistent in an analysis restricted to people on insulin and in an analysis including pancreatitis patients without diabetes as comparator group.

CONCLUSIONS

Compared with type 2 diabetes, PPDM is associated with excess risk of adverse diabetes-related outcomes. This has important implications for management.

Investigation of the potential association between the use of fluoxetine and occurrence of acute pancreatitis: a Danish register-based cohort study

Background

There is currently conflicting evidence of the association between the use of selective serotonin reuptake inhibitors (SSRIs) and acute pancreatitis. The SSRI fluoxetine has been suspected to be the driver of this serious outcome. Therefore, this study aims to investigate the potential association between fluoxetine use and the occurrence of acute pancreatitis.

Methods

We conducted a nationwide cohort study using Danish register-based data from 1996 to 2016. The exposed group were new users of fluoxetine (1-year washout). The control subjects were new users of citalopram or SSRIs, excluding fluoxetine. The outcome was an incident diagnosis of acute pancreatitis with a 5-year washout. We used an intention-to-treat approach following patients for a maximum of 6 months. Cox regression analyses were performed, estimating hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) adjusted for age/sex, comorbidities and co-medications, using propensity score adjustment and matching.

Results

In the propensity score-matched analyses, 61 783 fluoxetine users were included. The incidence rates among users of fluoxetine and other SSRIs were 5.33 (3.05–8.66) and 5.36 (3.06–8.70) per 10 000 person-years, respectively. No increased risk of acute pancreatitis was identified following fluoxetine exposure compared with either citalopram [HR 1.00, 95% CI 0.50–2.00) or other SSRIs (0.76, 0.40–1.46).

Conclusions

Fluoxetine use was not associated with an increased risk of acute pancreatitis compared with citalopram or other SSRIs. The absolute risk of acute pancreatitis was low and did not vary between different SSRIs. Further research is needed to determine whether there is a class effect on the risk of acute pancreatitis.

Clinical and biochemical characteristics of postpancreatitis diabetes mellitus: A cross-sectional study from the Danish nationwide DD2 cohort

BACKGROUND

Postpancreatitis diabetes mellitus (PPDM) is a common metabolic sequalae of acute and chronic pancreatitis. We conducted a cross-sectional study to examine the proportion of PPDM among patients clinically diagnosed with type 2 diabetes (T2D) in Denmark and their clinical and biochemical characteristics.

METHODS

We identified all past diagnoses of pancreatitis among patients in the Danish Centre for Strategic Research in Type 2 Diabetes (DD2) cohort through linkage with national health registries. Using International Classification of Diseases, Tenth Revision codes we categorized patients as PPDM and further divided them into acute/chronic subtypes (PPDM-A and PPDM-C). We assessed PPDM prevalence and examined associations with clinical and biochemical parameters using log binomial or Poisson regression to calculate age-/sex-adjusted prevalence ratios (aPRs).

RESULTS

Among 5564 patients with a clinical diagnosis of T2D, 78 (1.4%) had PPDM. Compared to T2D, PPDM patients were more often underweight or normal weight (body mass index ≤25.0 kg/m² : aPR 2.3; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.6-3.2) and had lower waist-to-hip ratio (≤0.95/≤0.80 in men/women: aPRs 1.8; 95% CI: 1.2-2.7). PPDM patients had lower plasma amylase levels (<17 U/L: aPRs 2.2; 95% CI: 1.1-4.3), higher insulin sensitivity (homeostatic model assessment 2S [HOMA2S] >63: aPR 2.0; 95% CI: 1.2-3.2) and tended to have worse glycaemic control (HbA1c ≥8.0%: aPRs 1.4; 95% CI: 0.8-2.4). PPDM-A was largely indistinguishable from T2D, whereas PPDM-C had impaired insulin secretion, higher insulin sensitivity, and worse glycemic control.

CONCLUSIONS

The proportion of PPDM among patients with clinically diagnosed T2D is ~1.5% in an everyday clinical care setting. Glucose metabolism of PPDM-A is largely indistinguishable from T2D, whereas PPDM-C differs in relation to insulin secretion and sensitivity.

Glucose-Lowering Therapy in Patients With Postpancreatitis Diabetes Mellitus: A Nationwide Population-Based Cohort Study

OBJECTIVE

Postpancreatitis diabetes mellitus (PPDM) is a type of secondary diabetes that requires special considerations for management. The main objective was to examine prescription patterns of glucose-lowering therapy among adults with PPDM compared with type 1 and type 2 diabetes.

RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS

In a Danish nationwide population-based cohort study, we identified all individuals with adult-onset diabetes in the period 2000-2018 and categorized them as having type 1 diabetes, type 2 diabetes, or PPDM. We ascertained diabetes incidence rates, clinical and demographic characteristics, and classifications and prescription patterns of glucose-lowering therapy and compared these parameters across diabetes subgroups.

RESULTS

Among 398,456 adults with new-onset diabetes, 5,879 (1.5%) had PPDM, 9,252 (2.3%) type 1 diabetes, and the remaining type 2 diabetes (96.2%). The incidence rate of PPDM was 7.9 (95% CI 7.7-8.1) per 100,000 person-years versus 12.5 (95% CI 12.2-12.7) for type 1 diabetes (incidence rate ratio 0.6 [95% CI 0.6-0.7]; P < 0.001). A sizeable proportion of patients with PPDM were classified as having type 2 diabetes (44.9%) and prescribed sulfonylureas (25.2%) and incretin-based therapies (18.0%) that can potentially be harmful in PPDM. In contrast, 35.0% of patients never received biguanides, which are associated with a survival benefit in PPDM. Increased insulin requirements were observed for patients with PPDM compared with type 2 diabetes (hazard ratio 3.10 [95% CI 2.96-3.23]; P < 0.001) in particular for PPDM associated with chronic pancreatitis (hazard ratio 4.30 [95% CI 4.01-4.56]; P < 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

PPDM is a common type of secondary diabetes in adults but is often misclassified and treated as type 2 diabetes, although PPDM requires special considerations for management.

PD-L1 expression, EGFR and KRAS mutations and survival among stage III unresected non-small cell lung cancer patients: a Danish cohort study

Programmed cell death receptor ligand-1 (PD-L1) expression, KRAS (KRASm) and EGFR (EGFRm) mutations may influence non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) prognosis. We aimed to evaluate PD-L1 expression, KRASm, and EGFRm and survival among stage III unresected NSCLC patients. Using Danish registries, we collected data on stage III unresected NSCLC patients diagnosed 2001–2012 and paraffin-embedded tumor tissue from pathology archives. We assessed PD-L1 expression in tumors and tumor-infiltrating immune cells (ICs) by immunohistochemistry (\documentclass[12pt]{minimal} \usepackage{amsmath} \usepackage{wasysym} \usepackage{amsfonts} \usepackage{amssymb} \usepackage{amsbsy} \usepackage{mathrsfs} \usepackage{upgreek} \setlength{\oddsidemargin}{-69pt} \begin{document}$$\ge$$\end{document}≥ 1% threshold for PD-L1+). We genotyped KRAS and EGFR. Follow-up extended from 120 days post-diagnosis to death, emigration, or 31/12/2014. We computed median survival using Kaplan–Meier methods, and hazard ratios (HRs) using Cox regression associating the biomarkers with death, adjusting for confounders. Among 305 patients, 48% had adenocarcinoma; 38% squamous cell carcinoma. Forty-nine percent had PD-L1+ tumors—51% stage IIIA and 26% KRASm. Few (2%) patients had EGFRm. Median survival in months was 14.7 (95% CI = 11.8–17.9) and 13.4 (95% CI = 9.5–16.3) in PD-L1+ and PD-L1− tumors, respectively. KRASm was not associated with death (HR = 1.06, 95% CI = 0.74–1.51 versus wildtype). PD-L1+ tumors yielded a HR = 0.83 (95% CI = 0.63–1.10); PD-L1+ ICs a HR = 0.51 (95% CI = 0.39–0.68). Tumor expression of PD-L1 did not influence survival. PD-L1+ ICs may confer survival benefit in stage III unresected NSCLC patients.

Genetic Variants Associated With Increased Plasma Levels of Triglycerides, via Effects on the Lipoprotein Lipase Pathway, Increase Risk of Acute Pancreatitis

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Almost one third of adults in the West have increased plasma levels of triglycerides. Even mild to moderate hypertriglyceridemia (2-10 mmol/L or 177-886 mg/dL) is associated with an increased risk of acute pancreatitis. However, it is not clear whether hypertriglyceridemia is a cause or result of acute pancreatitis. Lipoprotein lipase degrades plasma triglycerides. Variants in LPL, APOA5, APOC3, ANGPTL3, and ANGPTL4, which regulate the lipoprotein lipase pathway, result in increased or reduced plasma triglyceride levels. We investigated associations between these variants and acute pancreatitis in a study of the general population.

METHODS

In a prospective cohort study, men and women randomly selected from the area of Copenhagen were invited to complete a questionnaire, undergo a physical examination, and provide blood samples for biochemical and genetic analyses, from 2003 through 2015. We obtained triglyceride measurements from 117,427 participants. We examined for 15 genetic variants that are associated with lipoprotein lipase function in DNA samples from 102,888 participants and analyzed data from 117,427 participants in observational analyses. Diagnoses of acute pancreatitis (970 diagnoses among participants in the genetic analysis and 527 among participants in the observational study) were obtained from Danish registries. We performed a 1-sample Mendelian randomization analysis in which specific variants were used as markers of the plasma level of triglycerides to determine the association between the plasma level of triglyceride and acute pancreatitis. We calculated unweighted, internally weighted, and externally weighted allele scores for each participant by adding numbers of triglyceride-increasing alleles.

RESULTS

The highest genetic allele score correlated with a higher plasma level of triglycerides of 0.54 mmol/L (48 mg/dL). Among participants with the highest vs the lowest genetic allele score, the odds ratio for acute pancreatitis was 1.55 (95% CI, 1.08-2.23). Using instrumental variable analysis, integrating the effect of genotype on both triglycerides levels and risk of acute pancreatitis, we associated higher unweighted allele scores with an increased risk of acute pancreatitis (odds ratio [OR], 1.76; 95% CI, 1.16-2.65), as well as internally weighted higher allele scores (OR, 1.41; 95% CI, 1.01-1.97) and externally weighted higher allele scores (OR, 1.44; 95% CI, 1.01-2.04). Every 1 mmol/L (89 mg/dL) increase in triglycerides was observationally associated with an increase in OR of 1.09 (95% CI, 1.05-1.14) after multivariable adjustment.

CONCLUSIONS

Based on an analysis of individuals with genetic variants associated with an increased level of triglycerides, via their effects on the lipoprotein lipase pathway, we associated an increased plasma levels of triglycerides with an increased risk of acute pancreatitis. Strategies to reduce plasma levels of triglycerides, by increasing lipoprotein lipase function, might be developed for prevention of acute pancreatitis.

Hypertriglyceridemia is often under recognized as an aetiologic risk factor for acute pancreatitis: A population-based cohort study

BACKGROUND

Severe hypertriglyceridemia (HTG) is a well-known risk factor for acute pancreatitis, but updated population-based estimates on incidence of HTG-associated pancreatitis are lacking.

METHODS

We identified all individuals with severe HTG (triglyceride level >10 mmol/L [886 mg/dL]) in a population-based sample from 2008 to 2019 and linked these with Danish nationwide health-registers to identify patients with acute pancreatitis. Pancreatitis cases were subsequently confirmed by a detailed medical chart review. Crude and standardized incidence rates were estimated and studied in relation to age, gender and time-period. In addition, aetiological classification designated during index hospitalization, severity and follow-up of individuals with HTG-associated pancreatitis were studied.

RESULTS

Among 2146 individuals with severe HTG during the observation period, 75 were diagnosed with acute pancreatitis (3.5%). The mean incidence rate of HTG-associated pancreatitis was 1.4 (95% CI, 1.1-1.7) per 100,000 person years for the total population, for women it was 0.7 (95% CI, 0.5-1.1) and for men 2.0 (95% CI, 1.5-2.6) per 100,000 person-years. The mean incidence rate increased from 0.7 to 1.7 per 100,000 person-years from 2008 to 2019 (p_trend = 0.01). The highest incidence rate of HTG-associated pancreatitis was observed for men in the age group 50-59 years. An elevated triglyceride level was recognized as aetiological risk factor in 35% of patients during index hospitalization.

CONCLUSIONS

Only a fraction of patients with severe HTG are hospitalized for acute pancreatitis, but the incidence is increasing. In more than half of patients elevated triglycerides is not recognized as a risk factor for acute pancreatitis during index hospitalization.

Time trends in incidence and prevalence of chronic pancreatitis: A 25-year population-based nationwide study

BACKGROUND

Updated population-based estimates on incidence and prevalence of chronic pancreatitis are scarce.

METHODS

We used nationwide healthcare registries to identify all Danish patients diagnosed with chronic pancreatitis and computed crude and standardised incidence rates and prevalence estimates in 1994-2018. Incidence and prevalence were evaluated in relation to patients age and gender, aetiology (alcoholic vs. non-alcoholic) and smoking and alcohol consumption in the general Danish population.

RESULTS

The mean incidence rate of chronic pancreatitis during the study period was 12.6 per 100,000 person years for the total population, for women it was 8.6 per 100,000 person years and for men it was 16.7 per 100,000 person years. The standardised incidence rate was stable from 1994 to 2018, remaining at 12.5 per 100,000 person years in the last observation period (2014-2018). The point prevalence of chronic pancreatitis in 2016 was 153.9 per 100,000 persons. A gradual increase in standardised prevalence estimates was observed during the study period from 126.6 in 1996 to 153.9 in 2016. The mean age at chronic pancreatitis diagnosis increased from 52.1 to 60.0 years during the study period.

CONCLUSION

The prevalence of chronic pancreatitis is increasing in the Danish population despite a stable incidence level. Improved management strategies and changes in the underlying patient population may explain these observations.

Acute pancreatitis as an early marker of pancreatic cancer and cancer stage, treatment, and prognosis

BACKGROUND

We aimed to examine the association between acute pancreatitis, a potential early symptom of pancreatic cancer, and pancreatic cancer stage, treatment, and prognosis.

METHODS

We conducted a cohort study of patients diagnosed with pancreatic cancer during 2004-2017 using population-based registry data from Denmark and Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) data linked with Medicare claims from the United States (US), which include individuals aged 65 + . We ascertained information on acute pancreatitis diagnoses up to 90 days before pancreatic cancer and followed them for a maximum of five years. We assessed overall survival difference at 30 days, six months, and one, three and five years, comparing patients with and without coexistence of acute pancreatitis. Secondary outcomes were cancer stage and treatment.

RESULTS

We identified 12,522 Danish and 37,552 US patients with pancreatic cancer (median age 71 and 78 years, respectively). In the Danish cohort, 1.4 % had acute pancreatitis before pancreatic cancer vs. 5.9 % in the US cohort. After five years of follow-up, the survival difference was 6.1 % (95 % CI: [-0.4 %, 12.6 %]) in Danish and 1.7 % (95 % CI: [0.8 %, 2.7 %]) in US patients, comparing patients with and without acute pancreatitis. Patients with acute pancreatitis had lower prevalence of metastatic tumors at diagnosis (Denmark: 42.5 % vs. 48.7 %; US: 34.4 % vs. 45.9 %) and higher resection frequencies (Denmark: 20.1 % vs. 12.1 %; US: 16.1 % vs.11.3 %) than patients without acute pancreatitis.

CONCLUSIONS

Pancreatic cancer patients with acute pancreatitis diagnosed up to 90 days before cancer diagnosis had earlier stage at diagnosis and better survival than patients without acute pancreatitis.

Antihypertensive drugs and pancreatic cancer risk in patients with chronic pancreatitis: a Danish nationwide population-based cohort study

Background

Antihypertensives may inhibit pancreatic carcinogenesis. We examined the association between use of these drugs and pancreatic cancer in patients with chronic pancreatitis.

Methods

We conducted a nationwide population-based cohort study of all chronic pancreatitis patients diagnosed in Denmark during 1996–2012. Using a Cox proportional hazards model with time-varying exposure lagged by 1 year, we examined the risk of pancreatic cancer according to antihypertensive drug use.

Results

We included 8,311 patients with chronic pancreatitis and observed 153 pancreatic cancers during follow-up. At baseline, 2197 patients (26.4%) were exposed to at least one class of antihypertensive drugs. We did not observe any measurable associations between the use of antihypertensive drugs and pancreatic cancer.

Conclusions

Our findings suggest little evidence of an association between the use of antihypertensive drugs and pancreatic cancer risk in patients with chronic pancreatitis. Confirmation is warranted in future studies.

Statins and pancreatic cancer risk in patients with chronic pancreatitis: A Danish nationwide population-based cohort study

Statins (HMG-CoA reductase inhibitors) have antiinflammatory and possibly anticancer properties. We hypothesized that statin use is associated with lower risk of pancreatic cancer in patients with chronic pancreatitis. This nationwide population-based cohort study included all Danish patients diagnosed with incident chronic pancreatitis from 1 January 1996 to 31 December 2012. We used the Danish National Prescription Registry to ascertain information on statin prescriptions for members of the study population before and after their pancreatitis diagnosis. We computed crude incidence rates, incidence rate ratios (IRRs) and adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) with associated 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for pancreatic cancer, comparing statin users with nonusers. We computed HRs using Cox proportional hazards regression with statins treated as a time-varying exposure lagged by 1 year, adjusting for age, sex, socioeconomic status and individual comorbidities. The study included 8,311 chronic pancreatitis patients with a median age of 54 years. We observed 153 pancreatic cancers during 60,365 person-years of follow-up. The unadjusted IRR comparing statin users with nonusers was 1.00 (95% CI: 0.60-1.60). Adjustment for potential confounders only had a small impact on the estimate (adjusted HR: 0.90; 95% CI: 0.56-1.44). Our findings suggest that statin use is not associated with pancreatic cancer risk in patients with chronic pancreatitis.

Low-Grade Inflammation in the Association between Mild-to-Moderate Hypertriglyceridemia and Risk of Acute Pancreatitis: A Study of More Than 115000 Individuals from the General Population

BACKGROUND

How mild-to-moderate hypertriglyceridemia (2-10 mmol/L; 177-886 mg/dL) potentially causes acute pancreatitis is unknown; however, cellular studies indicate that inflammation might be a driver of disease progression. We tested the hypotheses that (a) mild-to-moderate hypertriglyceridemia is associated with low-grade inflammation and that (b) the association between mild-to-moderate hypertriglyceridemia and risk of acute pancreatitis depends on low-grade inflammation.

METHODS

From the Copenhagen General Population Study and the Copenhagen City Heart Study, 117865 men and women 20-100+ years of age with measurements of nonfasting plasma triglycerides at baseline were followed prospectively for development of acute pancreatitis.

RESULTS

After multivariable adjustment, a 1 mmol/L (89 mg/dL) higher nonfasting triglyceride concentration was associated with 17% (95% CI, 16%-18%, P = 3 × 10^-17) higher plasma C-reactive protein (CRP) and a 4.2% (4.0%-4.4%, P = 6 × 10^-17) higher blood leukocyte count. Higher concentrations of nonfasting triglycerides were associated almost linearly with higher risk of acute pancreatitis (P for trend = 5 × 10^-6), with hazard ratios of 1.5 (95% CI, 0.9-2.5), 2.0 (95% CI, 1.1-3.6), 2.2 (95% CI, 1.0-4.7), 4.2 (95% CI, 1.6-11.5), and 7.7 (95% CI, 3.0-19.8) in individuals with nonfasting triglycerides of 1.00-1.99 mmol/L (89-176 mg/dL; 46% of the population), 2.00-2.99 mmol/L (177-265 mg/dL; 17%), 3.00-3.99 mmol/L (266-353 mg/dL; 6%), 4.00-4.99 mmol/L (354-442 mg/dL; 2%), and ≥5mmol/L(443 mg/dL; 2%), respectively, vs individuals with <1 mmol/L (89 mg/dL; 27%). The association with risk of acute pancreatitis appeared more pronounced in individuals with CRP of ≥1.39 mg/L (P for trend = 0.001) and leukocytes of ≥7 × 10⁹/L (P = 2 × 10^-4) than in those with CRP <1.39 mg/L (P = 0.03) and leukocytes <7 × 10⁹/L (P = 0.04); however, there was no formal evidence of statistical interaction (P = 0.38 for CRP and P = 0.41 for leukocytes).

CONCLUSIONS

Mild-to-moderate hypertriglyceridemia is associated with low-grade inflammation and higher risk of acute pancreatitis. The association between mild-to-moderate hypertriglyceridemia and risk of acute pancreatitis is possibly partly mediated by low-grade inflammation.