Risks and clinical predictors of cirrhosis and hepatocellular carcinoma diagnoses in adults with diagnosed NAFLD: real-world study of 18 million patients in four European cohorts

Association between HALP and all-cause and specific mortality in US adult with nonalcoholic fatty liver disease cirrhosis: a cohort study of National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey 2005-2018

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) cirrhosis is a significant health concern with a major impact on global morbidity and mortality. This study investigates the association of hemoglobin, albumin, lymphocyte, and platelet (HALP) with all-cause mortality, cardiovascular disease mortality, and cancer-related mortality in patients with NAFLD cirrhosis.

METHODS

This retrospective cohort study used data from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey, assessing 11 550 adults. NAFLD cirrhosis was defined by a hepatic steatosis index greater than 36 and a NAFLD fibrosis score greater than 0.676 in participants without viral hepatitis or excessive alcohol use. The HALP score was categorized into low (<32), moderate (32-48.3), and high (>48.3). Logistic and weighted Cox regression analyses were conducted, along with subgroup and restricted cubic spline analyses.

RESULTS

Higher HALP scores were associated with lower all-cause mortality. Subgroup analyses revealed significant interactions with gender and age, showing a decreased risk of all-cause mortality in males and individuals aged 40 and above with higher HALP scores. A U-shaped relationship between HALP scores and all-cause mortality was observed.

CONCLUSION

The study demonstrates that HALP is associated with a lower risk of all-cause mortality in the NAFLD cirrhosis population, suggesting that HALP may be a useful predictor of mortality risk.

Differences in cause of death and age at death between people with and without diabetes over 10 years (2010-2020): A cross-sectional study in Japan

AIMS/INTRODUCTION

Investigating the causes of death in individuals with diabetes compared with those without is essential for understanding diabetes care. However, methods for identifying individuals with diabetes within populations vary. We conducted a comparison of these groups under identical conditions, analyzing differences in causes and age at death, and assessing how different identification methods influence these outcomes.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

This study used the clinical records of inpatients who died at the National Center for Global Health and Medicine from September 1, 2010, to December 31, 2020. Individuals with or without diabetes were defined using prescriptions and laboratory data. The cause of death was determined by the name of the primary illness provided by the attending physician at the time of death. Individuals with diabetes were stratified by different definitions, and their age at death was compared.

RESULTS

In Individuals with diabetes, males accounted for 67.6%, and in those without diabetes, 57.0%. The mean age at death was 75.0 ± 11.8 and 73.8 ± 16.0 years, respectively. Malignant neoplasia was the most common cause of death in both groups, with a higher frequency in individuals with diabetes (36.9% vs 31.0%). Age at death of individuals with diabetes differed by up to 1.5 years, depending on the definitions.

CONCLUSIONS

Direct comparisons suggested that malignant neoplasia was the leading cause of death, and individuals with diabetes had a higher mean age at death. The method used to identify diabetes influenced these outcomes, emphasizing the importance of careful consideration in mortality studies.

Cardiovascular events and incident diabetes in 220 patients with MASLD according to basal liver fibrosis: a 10-year follow-up historic cohort

AIM

The aim of this study is to analyze association between liver fibrosis with CVE, incident diabetes, and cirrhosis complications.

METHODS

Historic cohort of biopsy-proven MASLD patients, divided into two groups: F0-F2 vs F3-F4 fibrosis. Baseline data included metabolic traits and liver function tests. Patients were contacted and scheduled for laboratory analysis and elastography. Endpoints were (a) CVE, defined as any of acute myocardial infarction, coronary stenting, ischemic cardiopathy, and stroke; (b) incident diabetes; (c) cirrhosis complications. Baseline data were collected at the time of liver biopsy, while follow-up data were recovered through personal interview or medical records. A stepwise logistic regression determined predictive variables for each endpoint.

RESULTS

Study population included 220 patients with median age 53 years, and 145 were women; baseline fibrosis was F0-F2 in 165 patients and F3-F4 in 55 patients; median follow-up was 9.9 years. A higher percentage of F3-F4 patients had CVE (29.4%) than F0-F2 ones (13.1%) (hazard ratio 2.42; 95% CI: 1.26-4.6; P  = 0.008). Incident diabetes occurred in 53.3% of F3-F4 and 20.2% of F0-F2 cohort (hazard ratio 3.04; 95% CI: 1.99-4.86; P  < 0.001); cirrhosis complications occurred in 9/55 F3-F4 patients and in 1/165 F0-F2 ones (hazard ratio 26.3; 95% CI: 3.3-208.3; P  = 0.002). Multivariate analysis confirmed liver fibrosis as an independent predictor of incident diabetes and cirrhosis complications. CVE were associated with baseline diabetes and aspartate aminotransferase (AST)/alanine aminotransferase (ALT) ratio.

CONCLUSION

In a cohort of 220 MASLD patients followed for 9.9 years, baseline F3-F4 was associated with incident diabetes and cirrhosis complications. AST/ALT ratio and diabetes were associated with CVE.

Μetabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease: a condition of heterogeneous metabolic risk factors, mechanisms and comorbidities requiring holistic treatment

Μetabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD) comprises a heterogeneous condition in the presence of steatotic liver. There can be a hierarchy of metabolic risk factors contributing to the severity of metabolic dysfunction and, thereby, the associated risk of both liver and extrahepatic outcomes, but the precise ranking and combination of metabolic syndrome (MetS) traits that convey the highest risk of major adverse liver outcomes and extrahepatic disease complications remains uncertain. Insulin resistance, low-grade inflammation, atherogenic dyslipidaemia and hypertension are key to the mechanisms of liver and extrahepatic complications. The liver is pivotal in MetS progression as it regulates lipoprotein metabolism and secretes substances that affect insulin sensitivity and inflammation. MASLD affects the kidneys, heart and the vascular system, contributing to hypertension and oxidative stress. To address the global health burden of MASLD, intensified by obesity and type 2 diabetes mellitus epidemics, a holistic, multidisciplinary approach is essential. This approach should focus on both liver disease management and cardiometabolic risk factors. This Review examines the link between metabolic dysfunction and liver dysfunction and extrahepatic disease outcomes, the diverse mechanisms in MASLD due to metabolic dysfunction, and a comprehensive, personalized management model for patients with MASLD.

Metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease and its associated health risks

This article synthesizes the current knowledge on the epidemiology of metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD), its associated risks, and its genetic determinants. The findings presented in this article can be used to develop clinical strategies to reduce MASLD's growing global burden. MASLD has become a major global health concern due to increasing rates of obesity, sedentary lifestyles, and metabolic disorders. MASLD is a leading cause of end-stage liver diseases, including cirrhosis and hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), and MASLD also significantly increases the risk of cardiovascular disease (CVD), thereby exerting dual effects on liver and cardiovascular health. MASLD was once referred to as nonalcoholic fatty liver disease, and this change in nomenclature reflects a growing focus on its metabolic underpinnings, facilitating the more precise diagnosis and clinical management of this disease. Epidemiological studies have demonstrated that the prevalence of MASLD is increasing worldwide, although the prevalence varies across regions and populations. Noninvasive diagnostic tools such as ultrasound and fatty liver indices along with biomarkers such as alanine aminotransferase (ALT) are crucial for early detection and risk stratification. Genetic research has identified key gene variants, including PNPLA3 (rs738409) and TM6SF2 (rs58542926), that influence MASLD susceptibility and progression, and these findings have created opportunities for improving precision medicine with respect to treating MASLD. Research has revealed an association between MASLD and major adverse cardiovascular events and increased mortality, which highlights the importance of integrating cardiovascular risk management into treatment strategies for MASLD. Future research should focus on advancing noninvasive diagnostics, leveraging genetic insights to provide tailored care, and implementing population-specific interventions to address regional variations.

Reducing complications of metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease

INTRODUCTION

Complications from metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD) include liver-related and extrahepatic complications, and the all-cause mortality rate is significantly higher in patients with MASLD than in those without MASLD.

AREAS COVERED

We review the complications of MASLD and their management based on the European Association for the Study of the Liver (EASL) and American Association for the Study of Liver Diseases (AASLD) guidelines as well as medical papers. For the papers, we focused on studies referenced in the EASL and AASLD guidelines. Additionally, a search was conducted in PubMed to gather relevant literature.

EXPERT OPINION

Identifying and managing MASLD early, before it progresses to cirrhosis, is crucial to reducing mortality rates, and collaboration among healthcare professionals, including dietitians, nurses, and physical therapists, is vital for comprehensive management. There is active development of new drugs for MASLD, and we hope that new treatments will be developed soon.

[Cardiometabolic and genetic factors in the progression of metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease]

AIM

To evaluate the contribution of cardiometabolicfactors and PNPLA3 I148M (rs738409 C>G) gene polymorphism to the development of compensated advanced chronic liver disease (cACLD) in patients with metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD).

MATERIALS AND METHODS

108 patients with MASLD were enrolled and formed the internal validation group; 30 patients with MASLD were selected for external validation. Anamnestic data, anthropometric and laboratory parameters and the presence of PNPLA3 gene polymorphism I148M (rs738409 C>G) were assessed. Steatosis was detected by assessing the controlled attenuation parameter. Liver elasticity was assessed by transient elastography. cACLD was detected when the liver stiffness was ≥8 kPa.

RESULTS

Statistically significant difference was observed in the internal validation group during comparison of the incidence of cACLD depending on the presence of arterial hypertension (odds ratio - OR 5.58; 95% confidence interval - CI 1.21-25.71), type 2 diabetes mellitus - T2DM (OR 4.58; 95% CI 1.59-13.21), obesity (OR 3.13; 95% CI 1.1-8.9), dyslipidemia (OR 6.12; 95% CI 1.33-28.19) and the mutant G allele of the PNPLA3 gene (OR 3.9; 95% CI 1.28-11.88). Patients with cACLD had significantly higher mean values of waist circumference (WC), alanine aminotransaminase, aspartate aminotransaminase, gamma-glutamyl transferase and triglycerides, non-invasive markers of steatosis and fibrosis. The compiled prognostic model demonstrated a direct relationship between the likelihood of developing cACLD and the presence of T2DM (adjusted odds ratio - AOR 3.28; 95% CI 0.62-17.33), dyslipidemia (AOR 5.89; 95% CI 1.21-28.67) and WC value (AOR 1.05; 95% CI 1.01-1.11). PNPLA3 I148M gene polymorphism did not significantly affect the development of late stages of the disease. External validation of the model showed its moderate diagnostic ability.

CONCLUSION

T2DM, dyslipidemia and WC values are the determining factors in the development of cACLD in patients with MASLD. The PNPLA3 I148M gene polymorphism has no leading importance for the development of the progressive course of MASLD in the studied cohort.

Current Surveillance Strategy Is Less Effective for Detecting Early-Stage Hepatocellular Carcinoma in Patients with Non-Viral and Non-Cirrhotic Liver Disease

Introduction

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is a leading cause of cancer-related deaths. Current international guidelines recommend 6-monthly ultrasound surveillance in all patients with cirrhosis and those with hepatitis B virus-related risk factors to detect early-stage HCC. However, it is unknown whether the benefits of surveillance are comparable across patient groups and underlying disease-related factors. We aimed to evaluate patient- and disease-related factors associated with HCC stage at diagnosis and survival in an ethnically diverse UK population.

Methods

This was a multicentre retrospective observational study including patients with newly diagnosed HCC between 2007 and 2020 from six UK centres. Cox proportional-hazards regression and multivariate logistic regression models were used.

Results

Overall, 1,780 HCC patients comprising 20.9% with ArLD, 29.7% with NAFLD, and 31.0% with viral hepatitis were analysed. Surveillance was associated with improved survival in patients with viral hepatitis but not in patients with ArLD and NAFLD. Surveillance was also associated with early-stage disease (BCLC stage 0 or A) at presentation in viral hepatitis but not in patients with ArLD. Females with ArLD were 2.5-fold more likely to present with early-stage HCC than males. Patients with NAFLD were more likely to develop HCC in the absence of cirrhosis. Type 2 diabetes was not associated with mortality, but metformin use did show survival benefit. Patients of white ethnicity had improved survival and were less likely to present with late-stage HCC compared to other ethnicities.

Conclusions

HCC surveillance as currently delivered was less effective for detecting early-stage HCC in patients with non-viral and non-cirrhotic liver disease. Gender and ethnicity influences stage at presentation and outcomes. HCC surveillance strategies are needed to refine risk stratification particularly in patients with NAFLD or without cirrhosis.

Impact of Education on Metabolic Dysfunction-Associated Steatotic Liver Disease (MASLD): A Southern Italy Cohort-Based Study

Background: An association between education levels and liver disease has been confirmed, but not yet with metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD). The aim is to investigate the relationship between education and MASLD in two cohorts in southern Italy. Methods: The study cohort included 2909 participants assessed during the third recall of the MICOL study and the second of NUTRIHEP, subdivided into four groups based on education levels. Results: A strong protective association was found between MASLD and higher education levels. Participants had an OR = 0.50 (p < 0.001, 0.36 to 0.69 95% C.I.), OR = 0.29 (p < 0.001, 0.21 to 0.41), and OR = 0.24 (p < 0.001, 0.16 to 0.37 95% C.I.) for middle, high school, and graduate education, respectively. Conclusions: This study's findings indicate that there is an association linking MASLD with education level, i.e., having a lower education level increases the risk of liver disease, and a proper policy to regulate education may also mitigate the ever-increasing problem of this disease.

Role of noninvasive tests on the prediction of hepatocellular carcinoma in nonalcoholic fatty liver disease patients without cirrhosis: a systematic review and meta-analysis of aggregate and individual patient data

BACKGROUND

Nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) has been identified as an emerging risk factor for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Identifying non-cirrhotic NAFLD patients at risk for HCC is crucial. We aimed to investigate the utility of noninvasive tests (NITs) as predictors for HCC and to determine optimal and cost-effective NIT cutoffs for HCC surveillance in non-cirrhotic NAFLD patients.

METHODS

Medline, EMBASE, and Scopus databases were searched for studies evaluating the relationship between NITs and HCC in this population. Random-effects models were used to estimate hazard ratios or risk ratios and 95% confidence interval (95% CI). Cutoffs of NITs for identifying high-risk patients for HCC were determined.

RESULTS

This systematic review comprised 20 studies. A meta-analysis of 379 194 patients was conducted using six studies with individual patient data and five studies with aggregate data. Among NITs studied, fibrosis-4 index (FIB-4), aspartate aminotransferase to platelet ratio index (APRI), and NAFLD fibrosis score (NFS) were significantly associated with HCC, with pooled risk ratio (95% CI) of 9.21 (5.79-14.64), pooled hazard ratio of 12.53 (6.57-23.90), and 13.32 (6.48-27.37), respectively. FIB-4, APRI, and NFS of more than 2.06, 0.65, and 0.51 resulted in the highest area under the receiver operating characteristics of 0.83, 0.80, and 0.85, respectively. Surveillance in patients with FIB-4 ≥ 5.91 and NFS ≥ 2.85 would be cost-effective with an annual HCC incidence of ≥15 per 1000 patient-years.

CONCLUSION

FIB-4, APRI, and NFS are associated with HCC development in non-cirrhotic NAFLD patients. Different NIT cutoffs may be used to enroll high-risk NAFLD patients for HCC surveillance, according to resource availability in different settings.

Understanding MASH: An Examination of Progression and Clinical Outcomes by Disease Severity in the TARGET-NASH Database

INTRODUCTION

Metabolic dysfunction-associated steatohepatitis (MASH), the progressive form of metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD), is linked to cardiometabolic risk factors such as obesity and type 2 diabetes (T2D). The rising prevalence of MASH and risk of hepatic and extra-hepatic complications emphasize the need for a better understanding of disease progression and associated outcomes. This study aimed to evaluate the incidence of, and demographic and clinical characteristics associated with, progression to MASH-related complications by disease severity in patients with non-cirrhotic MASH or MASH cirrhosis. Alignment between noninvasive tests (NITs) and biopsy-determined fibrosis stage was also assessed.

METHODS

This analysis used data from the TARGET-NASH cohort that includes adults with MASH across academic and community sites in the United States. Patients with non-cirrhotic MASH or MASH cirrhosis were stratified by disease severity based on fibrosis stage or cirrhosis. Progression to MASH-related outcomes, including all-cause mortality, cirrhosis, and liver transplantation, was assessed.

RESULTS

Among the 2378 patients included in this analysis, 48% had MASH cirrhosis. Incidence of all-cause mortality increased with disease severity from 0.14/100 person-months (100PM) at fibrosis stage 0-1 (F0-F1) to 2.02/100PM with compensated cirrhosis and 4.62/100PM with decompensated cirrhosis. Compared with patients with F0-F1, risk of progression to cirrhosis was higher in patients with F3 [hazard ratio (HR), 95% confidence interval (CI); 18.66, 10.97-31.73] and F2 (HR, 95% CI; 3.74, 2.00-6.98). Among those who progressed to MASH-related outcomes, 67.9% had T2D and 73.9% had hypertension. Vibration-controlled transient elastography showed better alignment with biopsy-determined fibrosis stage than Fibrosis-4 Index (FIB-4).

CONCLUSIONS

Progression to all-cause mortality in patients with MASH was significantly associated with the presence of higher fibrosis stage and cirrhosis. Cardiometabolic comorbidities such as T2D and hypertension were prevalent in patients with MASH progression. Early identification and management of MASH may mitigate disease progression and liver-related complications.

The Changing Demographics and Epidemiology of Hepatocellular Carcinoma

The epidemiology of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) has shifted significantly in the last 2 decades with non-viral etiologies such as metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease and alcohol-associated liver disease on the rise. Key factors include the global obesity epidemic and the resurgence of alcohol use disorder, both of which were exacerbated by the coronavirus disease 2019 pandemic. While these non-viral etiologies of HCC are becoming the leading cause in developed countries, the potential impact of immigration patterns on Hepatitis B virus epidemiology cannot be ignored. The risk of HCC remains significant in individuals with cirrhosis and viral hepatitis after curative treatments.

An updated overview on hepatocellular carcinoma in patients with Metabolic dysfunction-Associated Steatotic Liver Disease: Trends, pathophysiology and risk-based surveillance

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is a relevant complication occurring in individuals with advanced Metabolic dysfunction-Associated Steatotic Liver Disease (MASLD). Recent epidemiological data suggest an alarming increase in the HCC burden worldwide, with a relevant proportion attributable to MASLD (up to 38 %), either in cirrhotic or non-cirrhotic livers. In view of the changing landscape of metabolic syndrome as "silent pandemic", this narrative review aims to provide an updated picture of the burden of HCC in individuals with MASLD. In the complex pathophysiological pathways linking insulin resistance to MASLD and cardiometabolic syndrome, metabolic inflammation appears a relevant driver of systemic as well as organ-specific complications. Novel insights from the field of immunology, gut-derived liver damage, and association with extra-hepatic cancers will be discussed. Finally, strategies for risk-based HCC surveillance (circulating biomarkers, prognostic models and polygenic risk scores) will be provided and the potential impact of novel drug targeting fibrosing Metabolic dysfunction-Associated Steatohepatitis (MASH) on incident HCC will be discussed.

Cost-Effectiveness of Hepatocellular Carcinoma Surveillance Strategies in Patients With Compensated Liver Cirrhosis in the United Kingdom

OBJECTIVES

This study aimed to evaluate the cost-effectiveness (CE) of 4 hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) surveillance strategies in the United Kingdom, the GAAD algorithm, which combines Gender (biological sex) and Age with Elecsys® biomarker assays, alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) and protein induced by vitamin K absence-II (previously Des-γ-carboxy prothrombin); ultrasound (US); US + AFP and GAAD + US.

METHODS

A de novo microsimulation state-transition Markov model was developed in Microsoft Excel® from the perspective of the United Kingdom National Health Service to calculate life-years, quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs), costs, incremental CE ratios, and net monetary benefits. Parameters were sourced from peer-reviewed published literature, national guidelines, and public cost databases. Sensitivity and scenario analyses were performed to evaluate the impact of parameter and structural uncertainty on the results.

RESULTS

In a simulated cohort of 100 000 patients, discounted costs and QALYs per patient were £8663 and 6·066 for US, £9095 and 6·076 for US + AFP, £8719 and 6·078 for GAAD alone, and £9114 and 6·086 for GAAD + US. At a CE threshold of £20 000/QALY, GAAD was the most cost-effective strategy; however, although most costly, GAAD + US was the most clinically effective. Sensitivity and scenario analyses indicated that HCC incidence along with costs associated with diagnostic performance influence CE.

CONCLUSION

Considering the cost of US and low incidence of HCC in the United Kingdom, this study suggests that GAAD alone or in combination with US are cost-effective surveillance strategies compared with US and US + AFP. Although GAAD + US showed the highest QALY increase, GAAD alone is considered preferable regarding CE; however, better performance estimates for GAAD + US are needed to confirm.

Evaluating the burden of illness of metabolic dysfunction-associated steatohepatitis in a large managed care population: The ETHEREAL Study

BACKGROUND

Metabolic dysfunction-associated steatohepatitis (MASH; formerly nonalcoholic steatohepatitis) is the inflammatory form of metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (formerly nonalcoholic fatty liver disease). MASH is a progressive disease associated with increased risk for many hepatic and extra-hepatic complications such as cirrhosis, hepatocellular carcinoma, the requirement for liver transplantation, and cardiovascular (CV)-related and kidney-related complications. It is important to understand the clinical and economic burden of MASH.

OBJECTIVES

To assess and compare the clinical and economic burdens of MASH in adults with the non-MASH population in a real-world setting.

METHODS

This observational, retrospective study used the Healthcare Integrated Research Database (HIRD), which contains health care claims data for commercially insured and Medicare Advantage health plan members across the United States. All-cause, CV-related, and liver-related medical costs and health care resource utilization were evaluated in patients with at least 2 diagnoses of MASH during the patient identification period (October 1, 2016, to April 30, 2022) and compared with a non-MASH cohort 1:1 matched on age, Quan Charlson Comorbidity Index, region of residence, and health plan type and length of enrollment. Generalized linear regression with negative binomial and γ distribution models were used to compare health care resource utilization and medical costs, respectively, while controlling for confounders. Covariate-adjusted all-cause, CV-related, and liver-related hospitalization rate ratios and medical cost ratios were assessed and compared for the MASH and matched non-MASH cohorts.

RESULTS

A total of 18,549 patients with MASH were compared with 18,549 matched patients in the non-MASH cohort. After adjusting for covariates, MASH was associated with significantly higher rates of hospitalization and higher medical costs compared with the non-MASH cohort. When compared with the non-MASH cohort, patients with MASH had 1.22 (95% CI = 1.15-1.30; P < 0.0001) times higher rates of all-cause hospitalization, 1.13 (95% CI = 1.03-1.24; P = 0.008) times higher rates of CV-related hospitalization, and 7.22 (95% CI = 4.91-10.61; P < 0.0001) times higher rates of liver-related hospitalization. Similarly, all-cause medical costs were 1.26 (95% CI = 1.22-1.30; P < 0.0001) times higher, CV-related medical costs were 1.66 (95% CI = 1.59-1.73; P < 0.0001) times higher, and liver-related medical costs were 7.79 (95% CI = 7.42-8.17; P < 0.0001) times higher among patients with MASH.

CONCLUSIONS

Compared with those of the non-MASH cohort with similar age, Quan Charlson Comorbidity Index, health plan, region of residence, and duration of enrollment, patients with MASH had significantly higher all-cause, CV-related, and liver-related hospitalizations and medical costs.

An epidemiological study on the factors including genetic polymorphism influencing ALT >30 U/L and liver fibrosis progression in metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease among the general population

Background and Aim

Identifying the factors contributing to the progression of metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD), a lifestyle-related disease, is crucial for preventing future liver-related deaths. This study aimed to epidemiologically investigate factors, including single-nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) associated with alanine aminotransferase (ALT) levels >30 U/L and potential risk factors for liver fibrosis, in a general population cohort of patients with MASLD.

Methods

Among 1059 participants in the health checkup project, 228 who were diagnosed with MASLD were analyzed. Liver fat content and stiffness were measured using FibroScan, and 13 SNPs associated with non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) were measured in addition to other clinical parameters.

Results

In the multivariate analysis, male sex, younger age, and high triglyceride levels were significant risk factors for ALT levels >30 U/L (P-value < 0.05). Furthermore, among the 13 SNPs measured, only the GG genotypes of patatin-like phospholipase domain-containing 3 gene (PNPLA3) rs738409 and rs2896019 were significant risk factors for ALT levels >30 U/L (P-value 0.004 and 0.007). The GG genotypes of PNPLA3 rs738409 and rs2896019 had higher FibroScan-aspartate aminotransferase (FAST) and APRI scores than the CC + CG and TT + TG genotypes (P-value < 0.05). In addition, multivariate analysis revealed that the GG genotypes of rs738409 and rs2896019 were significant risk factors independent of cardiovascular metabolic risk for patients with MASLD (P-value 0.038 and 0.021).

Conclusion

An individualized treatment approach is warranted for patients with MASLD due to the influence of various factors on its progression, including genetic factors and lifestyle diseases.

Prevalence of Liver Steatosis Among Workers in Ouagadougou and Associated Factors: A Cross-Sectional Study

Aims

Liver steatosis prevalence is growing, linked to the current worldwide epidemics of obesity and Type 2 diabetes. In sub-Saharan Africa, data on apparent healthy workers must still be included. This study aimed to determine the prevalence of hepatic steatosis and its associated factors in the workplace.

Methods and Results

A cross-sectional study was conducted from July to October 2022 in seven selected public and private works places in Ouagadougou, Burkina Faso. Workers still in activity were enrolled by random sampling. Sociodemographic and anthropometric characteristics and blood pressure measurements were performed using standard procedures. Blood samples for fasting blood glucose, cholesterol (total, HDL, LDL), triglycerides, transaminases (AST, ALT), gamma-glutamyl-transferase, C reactive protein, uric acid, surface antigen of hepatitis B (HBsAg), antibody to hepatitis C virus (anti-HCV), and HIV antibodies have been realized. Liver steatosis was assessed by FIBROSCAN with controlled attenuation parameter (CAP). An adjusted logistic regression analysis was performed. A significance level of 5% was applied. A total of 500 workers were included in this study. Among them, 293 (58.6%) were men. The prevalence of hepatic steatosis was 18% (95% CI: 14.7-21.7). Factors associated with hepatic steatosis were age over 50 (p = 0.038), waist circumference (p = 0.0001), body mass index (p = 0.008), and cytolysis (p = 0.001).

Conclusion

Liver steatosis affects almost a fifth of working people. Health policies must step up the fight against obesity and other nutrition-related noncommunicable diseases.

Key Epigenetic Players in Etiology and Novel Combinatorial Therapies for Treatment of Hepatocellular Carcinoma

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is one of the leading causes of death in which the molecular tumorigenesis and cellular heterogeneity are poorly understood. The genetic principle that specific driver mutations in oncogenes, DNA repair genes, and tumor-suppressor genes can independently drive cancer development has been widely explored. Additionally, a repertory of harmful epigenetic modifications in DNA and chromatin—impacting the expression of genes involved in cellular proliferation, differentiation, genome stability, cell-cycle control, and DNA repair—are now acknowledged across various biological contexts that contribute to cancer etiology. Notably, the dynamic hypermethylation and hypomethylation in enhancer and promoter regions that promote activation or silencing of the master regulatory genes of the epigenetic programs is often altered in tumor cells due to mutation. Genome instability is one of the cancer hallmarks that contribute to transdifferentiation and intratumoral heterogeneity. Thus, it is broadly accepted that tumor tissue is dominated by genetically and epigenetically distinct sub-clones which display a set of genetic and epigenetic mutations. Here we summarize some functions of key genetic and epigenetic players and biochemical pathways leading to liver cell transformation. We discuss the role of the potential epigenetic marks in target genes thought to be involved in sequential events following liver lipid metabolism dysregulation, inflammation, fibrosis, cirrhosis, and finally hepatocellular carcinoma. We also briefly describe new findings showing how epigenetic drugs together with chemotherapy and immunotherapy can improve overall responses in patients with hepatic tumors.

Blood biomarkers of hepatocellular carcinoma: a critical review

Hepatocellular Carcinoma (HCC) is a malignant tumor with high morbidity and mortality worldwide, which represents a serious threat to human life, health and quality of life. Blood-based detection is essential for HCC screening, early diagnosis, prognosis evaluation, and surveillance. Current non-invasive detection strategy including serum alpha-fetoprotein (AFP), ultrasound, computerized tomography, and magnetic resonance imaging. The limited specificity of an AFP and the dependence on operator experience and diagnostic personnel for ultrasound have constrained their utility in early HCC diagnosis. In recent years, with the development of various detection technologies, there has been an increasing focus on exploring blood-based detection markers for HCC. The types of markers include protein markers, DNA mutation, DNA epigenetic modification, mRNA, miRNA, and so on. However, numerous methodological and biological factors limit the clinical sensitivity and generalization performance of these new biomarkers. In this review, we describe the state-of-the-art technologies for cfDNA analysis, and discuss outstanding biological and technical challenges that, if addressed, would substantially improve HCC diagnostics and patient care.

Metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease: a key factor in hepatocellular carcinoma therapy response

The conceptual evolution of non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) to what, since 2023, is called metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD) not only represents a change in the classification and definition of the disease but also reflects a broader understanding of this heterogeneous condition, which still with many aspects to refine. Although the definition of NAFLD can be interchanged to a high percentage with the new MASLD concept in different aspects, MASLD has been proposed as a relevant factor that influences the response to new immunotherapeutic treatments in the management of MASLD-related hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), compared to HCC of other etiologies. This indicates that the etiology of HCC plays a relevant role in the prognosis, highlighting the urgency of evaluating treatment regimens for this subgroup of patients in upcoming clinical trials. A better understanding of the pathophysiology of MASLD generates strategies that not only aid in its management but also provide strategies to directly intervene in the carcinogenesis of HCC.

Effect of obesity and NAFLD on leukocyte telomere length and hTERT gene MNS16A VNTR variant

It is known that telomere length (TL) (evaluated with T/S ratio) is shortened in the presence of obesity. In this study, we aimed to investigate how obesity in adolescents and non-alcoholic liver disease (NAFLD) within the obese group affect TL and the clinical significance of the human telomerase reverse transcriptase (hTERT) gene MNS16A VNTR variant in terms of NAFLD. Adolescents with exogenous obesity and healthy controls (aged 10-19 years) who applied to our adolescent outpatient clinic between May-October 2023 were included in this study. We performed upper abdominal ultrasonography to investigate the presence of NAFLD in adolescents with obesity and divided into two groups: those without hepatosteatosis (obese NAFLD (-)) and those with hepatosteatosis (obese NAFLD (+)). We recorded body weight, height, waist circumference, and blood pressure measurements and measured the T/S ratio (telomere sequence copy number/gene single copy number) by the Quantitative Polymerase Chain Reaction method. The groups were compared using frequentist and Bayesian methods. Eighty-three obese adolescents [63 NAFLD(+) 20 NAFLD(-)] and 69 lean controls were included in the study. Pairwise comparisons revealed that T/S ratio was significantly lower in the obese NAFLD (-) group than the obese NAFLD (+) and the control group (p = 0.025, p = 0.007, respectively). T/S ratio was lower in the LL allele group than in the other alleles (p = 0.022) and slightly higher in the obese group with metabolic syndrome compared to the obese group without metabolic syndrome (p = 0.072). hTERT-MNS16A-VNTR gene variant LL allele had a negative correlation with T/S ratio among the obese adolescent group. Patients with LL alleles had higher ALT, GGT, HOMA-IR, and ALT/AST. Diastolic blood pressure had a significant correlation with the T/S ratio. The T/S ratio was shorter in the obese adolescent group compared to healthy ones but was higher in the NAFLD (+) obese compared to the NAFLD (-) obese. ALT level and ALT/AST ratio were higher, T/S ratio was lower in the hTERT MNS16A VNTR variant LL allele group among obese adolescents. In addition, there was a significant correlation between the T/S ratio and diastolic blood pressure in obese adolescents.

Acute-on-chronic liver failure in metabolic dysfunction-associated fatty liver disease patients: a disease multiplier

Acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) is a syndrome of liver failure due to an acute hepatic insult leading to liver failure with or without extra-hepatic organ failure in a patient of chronic liver disease (CLD) with or without cirrhosis presenting for the first time. The definition is still with controversy; hence, homogeneity and clarity of the case is an unmet need. There is a paradigm shift noted as far as the etiology of CLD is concerned with rise in metabolic dysfunction-associated fatty liver disease (MAFLD) and ethanol as the dominant cause even in developing countries. MAFLD is the change in nomenclature from NAFLD to justify the metabolic derangement in these group of patients. The shift from an exclusion-based criteria to one that has evolved to a diagnosis that requires positive criteria has profound significance. Clearly there is a difference in terms of its prevalence, disease progression, and liver-related events, as well as management of metabolic risk factors and MAFLD itself which requires further understanding. In tandem with the global rise in MAFLD, the incidence of MAFLD-ACLF is increasing. Excessive alcohol consumption causes metabolic and toxic injury to the liver resulting in nearly similar pathway of fatty liver, hepatitis, and cirrhosis. The interaction of MAFLD as an additional underlying chronic liver injury in ACLF patients is complex due to the presence of metabolic risk factors that are unique to MAFLD. There is lack of clarity on how MAFLD affects the clinical course of ACLF due to scarcity of this specific data. This narrative review aims to understand the unique effects, consequences, and management of MAFLD as the chronic liver injury component in ACLF.

Effects of weight loss from oral semaglutide administration on cardiometabolic risk factors in Japanese patients with type 2 diabetes: a retrospective analysis using propensity score matching

Background

Obesity is increasingly being recognized as a chronic disease that exacerbates type 2 diabetes and its related complications. Oral semaglutide, a novel glucagon-like peptide-1 (GLP-1) receptor agonist, has demonstrated efficacy in weight loss and diabetes control in Western populations. However, in real-world clinical practice, its effectiveness in Japanese patients, who typically exhibit a leaner phenotype and unique genetic susceptibilities affecting insulin secretion, remains unclear.

Methods

We retrospectively evaluated the electronic medical records of 313 patients treated with oral semaglutide and 11,239 untreated controls at the Keio University School of Medicine. We performed propensity score matching to adjust for covariates, including age, sex, height, weight, blood pressure, blood test data, medications, and compared the cardiometabolic risk factors, including HbA1c, blood pressure, lipids, and liver function 180 days post-treatment, of both patient groups. We conducted a subgroup analysis for patients who achieved ≥ 3% weight loss.

Results

After propensity score matching, the semaglutide group demonstrated significantly better outcomes for HbA1c reduction and weight loss and improvements in systolic blood pressure (SBP), low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C), and liver function than the control group. Subgroup analysis of patients with ≥ 3% weight loss revealed superior HbA1c improvements in the semaglutide group; however, no significant differences in other metabolic parameters, such as SBP, LDL-C, and liver function, were observed.

Conclusion

Oral semaglutide effectively improved metabolic markers in Japanese patients with type 2 diabetes, similar to that in Western populations. Weight loss itself was suggested to significantly contribute to blood pressure, lipid levels, and liver function changes.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s13340-024-00744-3.

Epidemiology, pathophysiology and clinical aspects of Hepatocellular Carcinoma in MAFLD patients

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is undergoing a transformative shift, with metabolic-associated fatty liver disease (MAFLD) emerging as a dominant etiology. Diagnostic criteria for MAFLD involve hepatic steatosis and metabolic dysregulation. Globally, MAFLD prevalence stands at 38.77%, significantly linked to the escalating rates of obesity. Epidemiological data indicate a dynamic shift in the major etiologies of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), transitioning from viral to metabolic liver diseases. Besides the degree of liver fibrosis, several modifiable lifestyle risk factors, such as type 2 diabetes, obesity, alcohol use, smoking, and HBV, HCV infection contribute to the pathogenesis of HCC. Moreover  gut microbiota and genetic variants may contribute to HCC development.The pathophysiological link between MAFLD and HCC involves metabolic dysregulation, impairing glucose and lipid metabolism, inflammation and oxidative stress. Silent presentation poses challenges in early MAFLD-HCC diagnosis. Imaging, biopsy, and AI-assisted techniques aid diagnosis, while HCC surveillance in non-cirrhotic MAFLD patients remains debated.ITA.LI.CA. group proposes a survival-based algorithm for treatment based on Barcelona clinic liver cancer (BCLC) algorithm. Liver resection, transplantation, ablation, and locoregional therapies are applied based on the disease stage. Systemic treatments is promising, with initial immunotherapy results indicating a less favorable response in MAFLD-related HCC.Adopting lifestyle interventions and chemopreventive measures with medications, including aspirin, metformin, and statins, constitute promising approaches for the primary prevention of HCC.Prognosis is influenced by multiple factors, with MAFLD-HCC associated with prolonged survival. Emerging diagnostic biomarkers and epigenomic markers, show promising results for early HCC detection in the MAFLD population.

Elongation factor 1A1 inhibition elicits changes in lipid droplet size, the bulk transcriptome, and cell type-associated gene expression in MASLD mouse liver

Eukaryotic elongation factor 1A1 (EEF1A1), originally identified for its role in protein synthesis, has additional functions in diverse cellular processes. Of note, we previously discovered a role for EEF1A1 in hepatocyte lipotoxicity. We also demonstrated that a 2-wk intervention with the EEF1A1 inhibitor didemnin B (DB) (50 µg/kg) decreased liver steatosis in a mouse model of obesity and metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD) [129S6/SvEvTac mice fed Western diet (42% fat) for 26 wk]. Here, we further characterized the hepatic changes occurring in these mice by assessing lipid droplet (LD) size, bulk differential expression, and cell type-associated alterations in gene expression. Consistent with the previously demonstrated decrease in hepatic steatosis, we observed decreased median LD size in response to DB. Bulk RNA sequencing (RNA-Seq) followed by gene set enrichment analysis revealed alterations in pathways related to energy metabolism and proteostasis in DB-treated mouse livers. Deconvolution of bulk data identified decreased cell type association scores for cholangiocytes, mononuclear phagocytes, and mesenchymal cells in response to DB. Overrepresentation analyses of bulk data using cell type marker gene sets further identified hepatocytes and cholangiocytes as the primary contributors to bulk differential expression in response to DB. Thus, we show that chemical inhibition of EEF1A1 decreases hepatic LD size and decreases gene expression signatures associated with several liver cell types implicated in MASLD progression. Furthermore, changes in hepatic gene expression were primarily attributable to hepatocytes and cholangiocytes. This work demonstrates that EEF1A1 inhibition may be a viable strategy to target aspects of liver biology implicated in MASLD progression.NEW & NOTEWORTHY Chemical inhibition of EEF1A1 decreases hepatic lipid droplet size and decreases gene expression signatures associated with liver cell types that contribute to MASLD progression. Furthermore, changes in hepatic gene expression are primarily attributable to hepatocytes and cholangiocytes. This work highlights the therapeutic potential of targeting EEF1A1 in the setting of MASLD, and the utility of RNA-Seq deconvolution to reveal valuable information about tissue cell type composition and cell type-associated gene expression from bulk RNA-Seq data.

Diagnosis and Management of Lean Metabolic Dysfunction-Associated Steatotic Liver Disease (MASLD): A Systematic Review

Lean metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD) defies traditional views of fatty liver diseases by manifesting in nonobese individuals. The renaming from nonalcoholic fatty liver disease to MASLD underscores a broader understanding of its pathophysiology, highlighting the complex interplay of metabolic factors beyond obesity. Despite its clinical importance, diagnosing and managing lean MASLD remains challenging due to its historical ties to obesity and a general lack of awareness about its unique characteristics. On December 4, 2023, a systematic literature search was conducted across six databases, focusing on peer-reviewed studies in English related to the diagnosis and management of lean MASLD. This study was registered with the International Prospective Register of Systematic Reviews (CRD42023489308). Out of 95 studies following Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses guidelines, 43 addressed diagnosis and surveillance, whereas 52 explored management strategies. The results revealed the difficulties in diagnosing lean MASLD, pointing out the limitations of traditional markers and the potential of advanced imaging techniques. Management strategies discussed included lifestyle changes and possible pharmacological treatments tailored to the specific metabolic features of this patient group. The study highlights the necessity for increased clinical awareness, regular monitoring, and personalized therapeutic approaches for lean MASLD. It calls for further research to refine diagnostic criteria and develop targeted treatments, aiming to enhance care for individuals with lean MASLD.

Compensated advanced chronic liver disease in patients with metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease: association with cardiometabolic factors

Aim. Тo study cardiometabolic factors and the PNPLA3 I148M (rs738409 C>G) gene polymorphism in association with the compensated advanced chronic liver disease (cACLD) in patients with metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD).

Materials and methods. А retrospective cross-sectional study was conducted. The total of 108 patients with MASLD (33 men and 75 women aged 28 to 89 years) involved were divided into two groups based on results of transient elastography: group 1 – with the presence of cACLD (liver stiffness ≥ 8.0 kPa) – 18 patients and group 2 – without cACLD (<8.0 kPa) – 90 patients. Cardiometabolic risk factors and the PNPLA3 I148M (rs738409 C>G) gene polymorphism were studied in both groups. Odds ratios (OR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) were calculated, and a logistic regression model was constructed for the detection of cACLD.

Results. Compared to group 2, patients with cACLD had statistically significant higher prevalence of: arterial hypertension (p < 0.05), type 2 diabetes mellitus (p < 0.01), obesity (p < 0.05), dyslipidemia (p < 0.05), and PNPLA3 gene polymorphism (p < 0.05). The OR for cACLD in individuals with arterial hypertension was 5.58 (95% CI: 1.21–25.71; p < 0.05), with type 2 diabetes mellitus – 4.58 (95% CI: 1.59–13.21; p < 0.01), with obesity – 3.83 (95% CI: 1.17–12.52; p < 0.05), with dyslipidemia – 6.12 (95% CI: 1.33–28.20; p < 0.05), in the presence of a polymorphic variant of the PNPLA3 gene in a hetero or homozygous state – 3.9 (95% CI: 1.28–11.89; p < 0.05). The binary logistic regression model for detecting cACLD included type 2 diabetes mellitus, dyslipidemia, and waist circumference. The area under the ROC curve was 0.81 (95% CI: 0.70–0.92), sensitivity was 72.2%, specificity was 74.4%, and accuracy was 84.3%.

Conclusion. Type 2 diabetes mellitus, dyslipidemia, and waist circumference are the determining factors for the development of cACLD in patients with MASLD. The PNPLA3 I148M gene polymorphism does not play a leading role in the development of progressive MASLD in the study cohort.

Helicobacter pylori infection is associated with liver fibrosis in patients with obesity undergoing bariatric surgery

BACKGROUND

Obesity is a significant risk factor for metabolic-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD). The association between Helicobacter pylori (HP) infection and liver fibrosis has not been fully elucidated in patients with obesity and MASLD.

METHODS

This observational retrospective study included clinical and biochemical parameters of patients with obesity undergoing bariatric surgery. HP infection was confirmed by gastric endoscopy, and liver biopsies were performed during surgery. Bivariate and logistic regression analyses were employed to evaluate independent associations with liver fibrosis and steatosis by biopsy.

RESULTS

The mean age of the subjects was 42 ± 10 years, with 84.7% being women, and they had a mean BMI of 42.97 ± 7.56 kg/m2. Overall, 41.7% of patients had an HP infection. Multiple logistic regression models were conducted to assess the association between HP infection, liver steatosis, and fibrosis by biopsy. HP infection was independently associated with liver fibrosis [OR = 3.164 (95% CI 1.011-9.900)].

CONCLUSION

Biopsy findings associated HP infection with increased liver fibrosis.

EASL-EASD-EASO Clinical Practice Guidelines on the management of metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD)

Metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD), previously termed non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD), is defined as steatotic liver disease (SLD) in the presence of one or more cardiometabolic risk factor(s) and the absence of harmful alcohol intake. The spectrum of MASLD includes steatosis, metabolic dysfunction-associated steatohepatitis (MASH, previously NASH), fibrosis, cirrhosis and MASH-related hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). This joint EASL-EASD-EASO guideline provides an update on definitions, prevention, screening, diagnosis and treatment for MASLD. Case-finding strategies for MASLD with liver fibrosis, using non-invasive tests, should be applied in individuals with cardiometabolic risk factors, abnormal liver enzymes, and/or radiological signs of hepatic steatosis, particularly in the presence of type 2 diabetes (T2D) or obesity with additional metabolic risk factor(s). A stepwise approach using blood-based scores (such as FIB-4) and, sequentially, imaging techniques (such as transient elastography) is suitable to rule-out/in advanced fibrosis, which is predictive of liver-related outcomes. In adults with MASLD, lifestyle modification - including weight loss, dietary changes, physical exercise and discouraging alcohol consumption - as well as optimal management of comorbidities - including use of incretin-based therapies (e.g. semaglutide, tirzepatide) for T2D or obesity, if indicated - is advised. Bariatric surgery is also an option in individuals with MASLD and obesity. If locally approved and dependent on the label, adults with non-cirrhotic MASH and significant liver fibrosis (stage ≥2) should be considered for a MASH-targeted treatment with resmetirom, which demonstrated histological effectiveness on steatohepatitis and fibrosis with an acceptable safety and tolerability profile. No MASH-targeted pharmacotherapy can currently be recommended for the cirrhotic stage. Management of MASH-related cirrhosis includes adaptations of metabolic drugs, nutritional counselling, surveillance for portal hypertension and HCC, as well as liver transplantation in decompensated cirrhosis.

MASLD-Related Hepatocarcinoma: Special Features and Challenges

Metabolic-associated steatohepatitis liver disease (MASLD) currently impacts a quarter of the global population, and its incidence is expected to increase in the future. As a result, hepatocellular carcinoma associated with MASLD is also on the rise. Notably, this carcinoma does not always develop alongside liver cirrhosis, often leading to a more advanced stage at diagnosis. The challenge lies in accurately identifying patients who are at a higher risk to tailor screening processes effectively. Additionally, several therapeutic approaches are being explored to prevent hepatocellular carcinoma, although there are no universally accepted guidelines yet.

Surgical Implications for Nonalcoholic Steatohepatitis-Related Hepatocellular Carcinoma

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is an aggressive form of liver cancer that arises in a background of chronic hepatic injury. Metabolic syndrome-associated fatty liver disease (MAFLD) and its severe form, nonalcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH), are increasingly common mechanisms for new HCC cases. NASH-HCC patients are frequently obese and medically complex, posing challenges for clinical management. In this review, we discuss NASH-specific challenges and the associated implications, including benefits of minimally invasive operative approaches in obese patients; the value of y90 as a locoregional therapy; and the roles of weight loss and immunotherapy in disease management. The relevant literature was identified through queries of PubMed, Google Scholar, and clinicaltrials.gov. Provider understanding of clinical nuances specific to NASH-HCC can improve treatment strategy and patient outcomes.

Current status and future trends of the global burden of MASLD

Metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD) has emerged as the most common chronic liver disease globally, affecting more than a third of the world's adult population. This comprehensive narrative review summarizes the global incidence and prevalence rates of MASLD and its related adverse hepatic and extrahepatic outcomes. We also discuss the substantial economic burden of MASLD on healthcare systems, thus further highlighting the urgent need for global efforts to tackle this common and burdensome liver condition. We emphasize the clinical relevance of early interventions and a holistic approach that includes public health strategies to reduce the global impact of MASLD.

Incidence of Cirrhosis and Hepatocellular Carcinoma Among Veterans With Noncirrhotic Metabolic Dysfunction-associated Fatty Liver Disease

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Despite the high prevalence of metabolic dysfunction-associated fatty liver disease (MAFLD), the long-term incidence of cirrhosis or hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) among adults with MAFLD is not well described. Using a national cohort of United States Veterans, we evaluated the overall incidence and predictors of cirrhosis and HCC among adults with noncirrhotic MAFLD.

METHODS

Data from the 2010 to 2022 Veterans Affairs database were used to identify adults with noncirrhotic MAFLD using established definitions. Five and 10-year incidence of cirrhosis and HCC were assessed and stratified by demographics and relevant clinical variables. Multivariate Cox proportional hazard models were utilized to determine predictors of cirrhosis and HCC.

RESULTS

Among 969,253 patients with noncirrhotic MAFLD (94.5% males, 70.2% non-Hispanic white, mean age of 62.7 ± 12.2 y), the 10-year incidence of cirrhosis and HCC was 3.70% (95% CI: 3.66-3.74) and 0.69% (95% CI: 0.67-0.70), respectively. When stratified by race/ethnicity, the 10-year incidence of cirrhosis was lowest among Asians (2.63%, 95% CI: 2.37-2.88) and highest among Hispanics (4.60%, 95% CI: 4.45-4.75), a pattern also observed with HCC. Significant disparities in risk of cirrhosis or HCC were observed when stratified by sex, substance use, and comorbidities. Risks of cirrhosis and HCC were highest in patients with baseline fibrosis-4 >2.67.

CONCLUSION

This large study provides important epidemiological data describing the natural history of adults with MAFLD. Disparities in risk of cirrhosis and HCC were observed by demographic and clinical characteristics, emphasizing the importance of early identification of MAFLD with modifiable high-risk features to implement earlier interventions to improve long-term outcomes.

Hepatocellular Carcinoma in Metabolic Dysfunction-Associated Steatotic Liver Disease

Importance

In the US, hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) has been the most rapidly increasing cancer since 1980, and metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD) is expected to soon become the leading cause of HCC.

Objective

To develop a prediction model for HCC incidence in a cohort of patients with MASLD.

Design, Setting, and Participants

This prognostic study was conducted among patients aged at least 18 years with MASLD, identified using diagnosis of MASLD using International Classification of Diseases, Ninth Revision (ICD-9) or International Statistical Classification of Diseases and Related Health Problems, Tenth Revision (ICD-10) diagnosis codes; natural language processing of radiology imaging report text, which identified patients who had imaging evidence of MASLD but had not been formally diagnosed; or the Dallas Steatosis Index, a risk equation that identifies individuals likely to have MASLD with good precision. Patients were enrolled from Kaiser Permanente Northern California, an integrated health delivery system with more than 4.6 million members, with study entry between January 2009 and December 2018, and follow-up until HCC development, death, or study termination on September 30, 2021. Statistical analysis was performed during February 2023 and January 2024.

Exposure

Data were extracted from the electronic health record and included 18 routinely measured factors associated with MASLD.

Main Outcome and Measures

The cohort was split (70:30) into derivation and internal validation sets; extreme gradient boosting was used to model HCC incidence. HCC risk was divided into 3 categories, with the cumulative estimated probability of HCC 0.05% or less classified as low risk; 0.05% to 0.09%, medium risk; and 0.1% or greater, high risk.

Results

A total of 1 811 461 patients (median age [IQR] at baseline, 52 [41-63] years; 982 300 [54.2%] female) participated in the study. During a median (range) follow-up of 9.3 (5.8-12.4) years, 946 patients developed HCC, for an incidence rate of 0.065 per 1000 person-years. The model achieved an area under the curve of 0.899 (95% CI, 0.882-0.916) in the validation set. At the medium-risk threshold, the model had a sensitivity of 87.5%, specificity of 81.4%, and a number needed to screen of 406. At the high-risk threshold, the model had a sensitivity of 78.4%, a specificity of 90.1%, and a number needed to screen of 241.

Conclusions and Relevance

This prognostic study of more than 1.8 million patients with MASLD used electronic health record data to develop a prediction model to discriminate between individuals with and without incident HCC with good precision. This model could serve as a starting point to identify patients with MASLD who may need intervention and/or HCC surveillance.

Sex differences in mortality and liver-related events in non-alcoholic fatty liver disease: A systematic review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Many systematic reviews explore the association of non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) with mortality, but none of them explores sex-based differences in detail. We aimed to assess whether NAFLD is associated with cause-specific mortality, all-cause mortality, and cancer incidence in both men and women.

METHODS

The PubMed, Embase, and Medline databases were searched from inception through April 2023 for eligible studies. We separately pooled relative risks (RRs) for men and women using a random effects model. Subsequently, the RRs and 95% CIs (confidence intervals) in each study were used to calculate the women-to-men ratio of RRs (RRR). Furthermore, subgroup analyses were performed to explore the robustness of outcomes. The random-effects model was employed to conduct sensitivity analyses to determine the impact of specific studies on the overall findings.

RESULTS

The meta-analysis included nine cohort studies comprising 557 614 patients with NAFLD were chosen. Women were 44% more likely than men to get cancer among those with NAFLD (RRR: 1.44; 95% CI: 1.02-2.04; p = .039). However, no sex-related differences were observed between NAFLD and all-cause mortality (RRR: 1.06; 95% CI: 0.56-2.01; p = .861), liver-related mortality (RRR: 1.06; 95% CI: 0.02-69.82; p = .977), cardiovascular mortality (RRR: 1; 95% CI: 0.65-1.53; p = .987) and liver cancer (RRR: 0.76; 95% CI: 0.43-1.36; p = .36).

CONCLUSIONS

There may be sex variations between NAFLD and the risk of cancer, with the connection being stronger in females than in males.

Accelerated biological aging mediated associations of ammonium, sulfate in fine particulate matter with liver cirrhosis

BACKGROUND

Although both air pollution and aging are related to the development of liver cirrhosis, the role of biological aging in association of the mixture of fine particulate matter (PM2.5) and its constituents with liver cirrhosis was unknown.

METHODS

This case-control retrospective study included 100 liver cirrhosis patients and 100 control subjects matched by age and sex. The concentrations of PM2.5 and its constituents were estimated for patients using machine-learning methods. The clinical biomarkers were used to calculate biological age using the Klemera-Doubalmethod (KDM) algorithms. Individual associations of PM2.5 and its constituents or biological age with liver cirrhosis were analyzed by generalized linear models. WQS and BKMR were applied to analyze association of mixture of PM2.5 and its constituents with liver cirrhosis. The mediation effect of biological age on associations of PM2.5 and its constituents with liver cirrhosis was further explored.

RESULTS

we found that each 1-unit increment in NH4+, NO3-, SO42- and biological age were related to 3.618-fold (95%CI: 1.896, 6.904), 1.880-fold (95%CI: 1.319, 2.680), 2.955-fold (95%CI: 1.656, 5.272) and 1.244-fold (95%CI: 1.093, 1.414) increased liver cirrhosis. Both WQS and BKMR models showed that the mixture of PM2.5 and its constituents was related to increased liver cirrhosis. Furthermore, the mediated proportion of biological age on associations of NH4+ and SO42- with liver cirrhosis were 14.7 % and 14.6 %, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

Biological aging may partly explain the exposure to PM2.5 and its constituents in association with increased risk for liver cirrhosis, implying that delaying the aging process may be a key step for preventing PM2.5-related liver cirrhosis risk.

EASL-EASD-EASO Clinical Practice Guidelines on the Management of Metabolic Dysfunction-Associated Steatotic Liver Disease (MASLD)

Metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD), previously termed non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD), is defined as steatotic liver disease (SLD) in the presence of one or more cardiometabolic risk factor(s) and the absence of harmful alcohol intake. The spectrum of MASLD includes steatosis, metabolic dysfunction-associated steatohepatitis (MASH, previously NASH), fibrosis, cirrhosis and MASH-related hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). This joint EASL-EASD-EASO guideline provides an update on definitions, prevention, screening, diagnosis and treatment for MASLD. Case-finding strategies for MASLD with liver fibrosis, using non-invasive tests, should be applied in individuals with cardiometabolic risk factors, abnormal liver enzymes, and/or radiological signs of hepatic steatosis, particularly in the presence of type 2 diabetes (T2D) or obesity with additional metabolic risk factor(s). A stepwise approach using blood-based scores (such as FIB-4) and, sequentially, imaging techniques (such as transient elastography) is suitable to rule-out/in advanced fibrosis, which is predictive of liver-related outcomes. In adults with MASLD, lifestyle modification - including weight loss, dietary changes, physical exercise and discouraging alcohol consumption - as well as optimal management of comorbidities - including use of incretin-based therapies (e.g. semaglutide, tirzepatide) for T2D or obesity, if indicated - is advised. Bariatric surgery is also an option in individuals with MASLD and obesity. If locally approved and dependent on the label, adults with non-cirrhotic MASH and significant liver fibrosis (stage ≥2) should be considered for a MASH-targeted treatment with resmetirom, which demonstrated histological effectiveness on steatohepatitis and fibrosis with an acceptable safety and tolerability profile. No MASH-targeted pharmacotherapy can currently be recommended for the cirrhotic stage. Management of MASH-related cirrhosis includes adaptations of metabolic drugs, nutritional counselling, surveillance for portal hypertension and HCC, as well as liver transplantation in decompensated cirrhosis.

Immunotherapy as a Complement to Surgical Management of Hepatocellular Carcinoma

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is the most common primary liver tumor in adults, and the fourth leading cause of cancer-related deaths worldwide. While surgical and ablative therapies remain the standard of care in early localized disease, late presentation with advanced stages of disease, impaired hepatic function, or local recurrence following surgical resection preclude operative management as the sole treatment modality in a subgroup of patients. As such, systemic therapies, namely immunotherapy, have become an integral part of the HCC treatment algorithm over the past decade. While agents, such as atezolizumab/bevacizumab, have well-established roles as first-line systemic therapy in intermediate- and advanced-stage HCC, the role of immunotherapy in disease amenable to surgical management continues to evolve. In this review, we will discuss the current evidence and aggregate impact of immunotherapy in the context of HCC amenable to surgical management, including its application in the neoadjuvant and adjuvant settings.

Molecular Genealogy of Metabolic-associated Hepatocellular Carcinoma

This review examines the latest epidemiological and molecular pathogenic findings of metabolic-associated hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Its increasing prevalence is a significant concern and reflects the growing burden of obesity and metabolic diseases, including metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease, formerly known as nonalcoholic fatty liver disease, and type 2 diabetes. Metabolic-associated HCC has unique molecular abnormality and distinctive gene expression patterns implicating aberrations in bile acid, fatty acid metabolism, oxidative stress, and proinflammatory pathways. Furthermore, a notable frequency of single nucleotide polymorphisms in genes such as patatin-like phospholipase domain-containing 3, transmembrane 6 superfamily member 2, glucokinase regulator, and membrane-bound O-acyltransferase domain-containing 7 has been observed. The tumor immune microenvironment of metabolic-associated HCC is characterized by unique phenotypes of macrophages, neutrophils, and T lymphocytes. Additionally, the pathogenesis of metabolic-associated HCC is influenced by abnormal lipid metabolism, insulin resistance, and dysbiosis. In conclusion, deciphering the intricate interactions among metabolic processes, genetic predispositions, inflammatory responses, immune regulation, and microbial ecology is imperative for the development of novel therapeutic and preventative measures against metabolic-associated HCC.

Role of the angiopoietin-like protein family in the progression of NAFLD

Non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is the most frequent cause of chronic liver disease, with a range of conditions including non-alcoholic fatty liver, non-alcoholic steatohepatitis, cirrhosis, and hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Currently recognized as the liver component of the metabolic syndrome, NAFLD is intimately linked to metabolic diseases. Angiopoietin-like proteins (ANGPTLs) comprise a class of proteins that resemble angiopoietins structurally. It is closely related to obesity, insulin resistance and lipid metabolism, and may be the critical factor of metabolic syndrome. In recent years, many studies have found that there is a certain correlation between ANGPTLs and the occurrence and progression of NAFLD disease spectrum. This article reviews the possible mechanisms and roles of ANGPTL protein in the pathogenesis and progression of NAFLD.

Lactate transporter MCT1 in hepatic stellate cells promotes fibrotic collagen expression in nonalcoholic steatohepatitis

Circulating lactate is a fuel source for liver metabolism but may exacerbate metabolic diseases such as nonalcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH). Indeed, haploinsufficiency of lactate transporter monocarboxylate transporter 1 (MCT1) in mice reportedly promotes resistance to hepatic steatosis and inflammation. Here, we used adeno-associated virus (AAV) vectors to deliver thyroxin binding globulin (TBG)-Cre or lecithin-retinol acyltransferase (Lrat)-Cre to MCT1fl/fl mice on a choline-deficient, high-fat NASH diet to deplete hepatocyte or stellate cell MCT1, respectively. Stellate cell MCT1KO (AAV-Lrat-Cre) attenuated liver type 1 collagen protein expression and caused a downward trend in trichrome staining. MCT1 depletion in cultured human LX2 stellate cells also diminished collagen 1 protein expression. Tetra-ethylenglycol-cholesterol (Chol)-conjugated siRNAs, which enter all hepatic cell types, and hepatocyte-selective tri-N-acetyl galactosamine (GN)-conjugated siRNAs were then used to evaluate MCT1 function in a genetically obese NASH mouse model. MCT1 silencing by Chol-siRNA decreased liver collagen 1 levels, while hepatocyte-selective MCT1 depletion by AAV-TBG-Cre or by GN-siRNA unexpectedly increased collagen 1 and total fibrosis without effect on triglyceride accumulation. These findings demonstrate that stellate cell lactate transporter MCT1 significantly contributes to liver fibrosis through increased collagen 1 protein expression in vitro and in vivo, while hepatocyte MCT1 appears not to be an attractive therapeutic target for NASH.

Ultrasonographic findings of metabolic dysfunction-associated fatty liver disease: A comparative study with non-alcoholic fatty liver disease and clinical characteristics

PURPOSE

Metabolic dysfunction-associated fatty liver disease (MAFLD) is a new term proposed to replace non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD). We analyzed the ultrasonographic findings of MAFLD and NAFLD.

METHODS

We conducted a retrospective cross-sectional study of subjects aged ≥19 years who underwent a health screening examination, including ultrasonography, (n = 17,066). Patients were separated into one of three groups; pure MAFLD (n = 5304), pure NAFLD (n = 579), and both NAFLD & MAFLD (n = 11,183). The outcomes were the degree of fatty liver disease and liver cirrhosis, defined by ultrasonography. In addition, the risk of ultrasonographic cirrhosis was assessed in the MAFLD group based on clinical characteristics.

RESULTS

The pure NAFLD group had a lower risk of severe fatty liver disease than the both NAFLD & MAFLD groups (0.9 % vs. 4.4 %, p < 0.001). Cirrhosis was not diagnosed in the NAFLD group. Cirrhosis was more common in the pure MAFLD group than in the both NAFLD & MAFLD group (0.3 % vs. 0.0 %, p < 0.001). In the MAFLD group, multivariable analysis showed that diagnosis by hepatic steatosis index (Odds ratio [OR], 12.39; 95 % confidence interval [CI], 3.40-45.19; p < 0.001) or significant alcohol intake (OR, 9.58, 95 % CI, 1.93-47.61; p = 0.006) was independently associated with risk of liver cirrhosis on ultrasonography.

CONCLUSION

Liver cirrhosis was more frequently identified on ultrasonography in patients with MAFLD than in NAFLD. MAFLD diagnosed using the hepatic steatosis index or significant alcohol intake is a risk factor for liver cirrhosis.

TyG-GGT is a Reliable Non-Invasive Predictor of Advanced Liver Fibrosis in Overweight or Obese Individuals

BACKGROUND

Liver fibrosis is a predisposing factor for liver cancer. This study will investigate the predictive role of the Triglyceride-glucose and Gamma-glutamyl transferase index (TyG-GGT) as a non-invasive indicator of advanced liver fibrosis in individuals with obesity or overweight.

METHOD

We enrolled patients who underwent metabolic and bariatric surgery as well as intraoperative liver biopsies at Zhejiang provincial people's hospital from August 2020 to March 2023. Clinical characteristics, comorbidities, laboratory data, and pathological variables of patients were collected and analysed. Then, we conducted logistics regression model to compare the performance of the TyG-GGT index with other 4 non-invasive models.

RESULTS

A total of 65 patients were included in this study. 43(66.2%) of them were female, with the mean body mass index (BMI) of 39.0 ± 7.3 kg/m2. Meanwhile, 24(36.9%) patients were diagnosed with diabetes. Advanced liver fibrosis were observed in 16.9% of patients, while liver cirrhosis was found in 4.6% of patients. The multivariable logistics regression showed that TyG-GGT was an independent risk factor of advanced liver fibrosis (OR = 6.989, P = 0.049). Additionally, compared to another 4 non-invasive liver fibrosis models (NFS = 0.66, FIB4 = 0.65, METS-IR = 0.68, APRI = 0.65), TyG-GGT exhibits the highest AUC value of 0.75.

CONCLUSIONS

More than one-third of patients undergoing metabolic and bariatric surgery are afflicted with nonalcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH), and a significant proportion exhibit advanced fibrosis. TyG-GGT was a potentially reliable predictor for screening individuals with overweight or obesity at high risk of advanced liver fibrosis, thus providing clinical guidance for early intervention in this targeted group.

Incidence and predictors of hepatocellular carcinoma in NAFLD without diagnosed cirrhosis: a nationwide real-world U.S. study

BACKGROUND

A substantial proportion of patients with nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD)-related hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) do not have cirrhosis. Data regarding the incidence and predictors of HCC development in NAFLD without cirrhosis are limited. We conducted a large, national study of NAFLD patients without documented cirrhosis to examine the incidence and predictors for HCC development.

METHODS

This retrospective study included 751,603 NAFLD patients (54% female) without documented cirrhosis derived from the deidentified Optum Clinformatics® Data Mart Database. Patients with cirrhosis, platelets < 120,000/µL or FIB-4 values > 2.67 were excluded.

RESULTS

The mean age was 53.7 ± 15.0 years, 45.9% were male, 39.5% had diabetes, 57.6% were White, 18.4% Hispanic, 8.2% Black and 4.9% were Asian. The mean platelet count was 264,000 ± 72,000/µL, and 96.3% of patients had a FIB-4 < 1.30. Over 1,686,607 person-years of follow-up, there were 76 incident cases of HCC, resulting in an HCC incidence rate of 0.05 per 1000 person-years. There was a higher HCC incidence rate among patients with platelets ≤ 150,000/µL, versus those with platelets > 150,000/µL (0.23 per 1000 person-years, vs. 0.04 per 1000 person-years, p = 0.02) but not in subgroup analyses for age, sex, race/ethnicity or diabetes. Using multivariable Cox proportional hazards model adjusted multiple confounders, platelet count ≤ 150,000/µL remained an independent predictor of HCC development (adjusted HR 5.80, 95% CI 1.67-20.1, p = 0.006).

CONCLUSION

HCC incidence in NAFLD without documented cirrhosis was below the threshold for cost-effective HCC surveillance in overall and multiple subgroup analyses. Platelet count < 150,000/µL may be a useful predictor of HCC development in this population.

Relationship between educational attainment and non-alcoholic fatty liver disease: A two-sample Mendelian randomization study

BACKGROUND

Observational studies have identified an inverse association between education and non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD). However, it is not possible to establish causality for this relationship.

AIMS

To gain more insight into the causal nature of the relationship between education and NAFLD.

METHODS

We performed two-sample Mendelian randomization (MR) analyses using summary-level, large-scale datasets to study the association of genetically predicted educational attainment (n = 1271 genetic instruments, obtained from 1,131,881 participants) with risk of NAFLD (i.e., liver fat [n = 32,858 participants] and electronic health record (EHR)-based NAFLD [n = 778,614 participants]). In sensitivity analyses, educational attainment was replaced by three education-related traits (i.e., genetically predicted cognition, math ability and highest math).

RESULTS

Inverse-variance weighted method showed a statistically significant association between genetically predicted educational attainment and liver fat (beta: -0.251, 95%CI: -0.305; -0.198) and EHR-based NAFLD (OR: 0.609, 95%CI: 0.547; 0.677). MR-Egger regression did not show statistically significant intercepts. Similar findings were obtained when other MR tests were used or when educational attainment was replaced by education-related traits.

CONCLUSIONS

This study suggests a causal, protective effect of higher education on NAFLD risk. Societal interventions targeted at people with low education are needed to alleviate the burden of NAFLD.

The Metabolic Impact of Nonalcoholic Fatty Liver Disease on Cognitive Dysfunction: A Comprehensive Clinical and Pathophysiological Review

Nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) exponentially affects the global healthcare burden, and it is currently gaining increasing interest in relation to its potential impact on central nervous system (CNS) diseases, especially concerning cognitive deterioration and dementias. Overall, scientific research nowadays extends to different levels, exploring NAFLD's putative proinflammatory mechanism of such dysmetabolic conditions, spreading out from the liver to a multisystemic involvement. The aim of this review is to analyze the most recent scientific literature on cognitive involvement in NAFLD, as well as understand its underlying potential background processes, i.e., neuroinflammation, the role of microbiota in the brain-liver-gut axis, hyperammonemia neurotoxicity, insulin resistance, free fatty acids, and vitamins.

Longitudinal Outcomes Associated With Metabolic Dysfunction-Associated Steatotic Liver Disease: A Meta-analysis of 129 Studies

BACKGROUND & AIMS

The progression of metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD) has been found to manifest in a series of hepatic and extrahepatic complications. A comprehensive meta-analysis of the longitudinal outcomes associated with MASLD has yet to be conducted.

METHODS

To investigate the longitudinal outcomes associated with MASLD, Medline and Embase databases were searched to identify original studies that evaluated the longitudinal risks of incident clinical outcomes among MASLD patients compared with non-MASLD individuals. DerSimonian Laird random-effects meta-analysis was performed. Pooled effect estimates were calculated, and heterogeneity among studies was evaluated.

RESULTS

One hundred twenty-nine studies were included in the meta-analysis. Meta-analysis revealed a significant increase in the risk of cardiovascular outcomes (hazard ratio [HR], 1.43; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.27-1.60; P < .01), various metabolic outcomes such as incident hypertension (HR, 1.75; 95% CI, 1.46-2.08; P < .01), diabetes (HR, 2.56; 95% CI, 2.10-3.13; P < .01), pre-diabetes (HR, 1.69; 95% CI, 1.22-2.35; P < .01), metabolic syndrome (HR, 2.57; 95% CI, 1.13-5.85; P = .02), chronic kidney disease (HR, 1.38; 95% CI, 1.27-1.50; P < .01), as well as all cancers (HR, 1.54; 95% CI, 1.35-1.76; P < .01) among MASLD patients compared with non-MASLD individuals. By subgroup analysis, MASLD patients with advanced liver disease (HR, 3.60; 95% CI, 2.10-6.18; P < .01) were also found to be associated with a significantly greater risk (P = .02) of incident diabetes than those with less severe MASLD (HR, 1.63; 95% CI, 1.0-2.45; P = .02) when compared with non-MASLD.

CONCLUSIONS

The present study emphasizes the association between MASLD and its clinical outcomes including cardiovascular, metabolic, oncologic, and other outcomes. The multisystemic nature of MASLD found in this analysis requires treatment targets to reduce systemic events and end organ complications.

Risks and Clinical Predictors of Hepatocellular Carcinoma in Chinese Populations: A Real-World Study of 10,359 Patients in Six Medical Centers

Purpose

Early detection of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) through surveillance could reduce this cancer-associated mortality. We aimed to develop and validate algorithms using panel serum biomarkers to identify HCC in a real-world multi-center study in China.

Patients and Methods

A total of 10,359 eligible subjects, including HCCs and benign liver diseases (BLDs), were recruited from six Chinese medical centers. The three nomograms were built using logistic regression and their sensitivities and specificities were carefully assessed in training and validation cohorts. HCC patients after surgical resection were followed to determine the prognostic values of these algorithms. Prospective surveillance performance was assessed in a cohort of chronic hepatitis B patients during 144 weeks follow-up.

Results

Independent risk factors such as alpha-fetoprotein (AFP), lens cuinaris agglutinin-reactive fraction of AFP (AFP-L3), des-gamma-carboxy prothrombin (DCP), albumin (ALB), and total bilirubin (TBIL) obtained from train cohort were used to construct three nomograms (LAD, C-GALAD, and TAGALAD) using logistic regression. In the training and two validation cohorts, their AUCs were all over 0.900, and the higher AUCs appeared in TAGALAD and C-GALAD. Furthermore, the three nomograms could effectively stratify HCC into two groups with different survival and recurrence outcomes in follow-up validation. Notably, TAGALAD could predict HCC up to 48 weeks (AUC: 0.984) and 24 weeks (AUC: 0.900) before clinical diagnosis.

Conclusion

The proposed nomograms generated from real-world Chinese populations are effective and easy-to use for HCC surveillance, diagnosis, as well as prognostic evaluation in various clinical scenarios based on data feasibility.

NAFLD Fibrosis Progression and Type 2 Diabetes: The Hepatic-Metabolic Interplay

The bidirectional relationship between type 2 diabetes and (non-alcoholic fatty liver disease) NAFLD is indicated by the higher prevalence and worse disease course of one condition in the presence of the other, but also by apparent beneficial effects observed in one, when the other is improved. This is partly explained by their belonging to a multisystemic disease that includes components of the metabolic syndrome and shared pathogenetic mechanisms. Throughout the progression of NAFLD to more advanced stages, complex systemic and local metabolic derangements are involved. During fibrogenesis, a significant metabolic reprogramming occurs in the hepatic stellate cells, hepatocytes, and immune cells, engaging carbohydrate and lipid pathways to support the high-energy-requiring processes. The natural history of NAFLD evolves in a variable and dynamic manner, probably due to the interaction of a variable number of modifiable (diet, physical exercise, microbiota composition, etc.) and non-modifiable (genetics, age, ethnicity, etc.) risk factors that may intervene concomitantly, or subsequently/intermittently in time. This may influence the risk (and rate) of fibrosis progression/regression. The recognition and control of the factors that determine a rapid progression of fibrosis (or its regression) are critical, as the fibrosis stages are associated with the risk of liver-related and all-cause mortality.

Hepatocellular and extrahepatic cancer risk in people with non-alcoholic fatty liver disease

Non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is the most common chronic liver disease worldwide. Much of the recognised health-care burden occurs in the minority of people with NAFLD who progress towards cirrhosis and require specialist follow-up, including risk stratification and hepatocellular carcinoma surveillance. NAFLD is projected to become the leading global cause of cirrhosis and hepatocellular carcinoma, but the frequency of non-cirrhotic hepatocellular carcinoma provides a challenge to existing surveillance strategies. Deaths from extrahepatic cancers far exceed those from hepatocellular carcinoma in NAFLD. Unlike hepatocellular carcinoma, the increased extrahepatic cancer risk in NAFLD is not dependent on liver fibrosis stage. Given that almost 30% of the world's adult population has NAFLD, extrahepatic cancer could represent a substantial health and economic issue. In this Review, we discuss current knowledge and controversies regarding hepatocellular carcinoma risk stratification and surveillance practices in people with NAFLD. We also assess the associations of extrahepatic cancers with NAFLD and their relevance both in the clinic and the wider community.