Prognostic nomogram based on coagulation for individualized prediction after radical resection of hepatocellular carcinoma

BACKGROUND

The prognosis of patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) following radical resection remains suboptimal. This study aimed to create a nomogram integrating clinicopathological parameters and coagulation indices to predict the recurrence-free survival (RFS) of these individuals.

METHODS

A total of 863 patients with hepatocellular carcinoma after radical resection were included (504 patients in the training cohort, 216 patients in the internal verification cohort and 142 patients in the external verification cohort). Cox regression analysis was used to determine the independent risk factors in the training cohort, and it was used to construct a prognostic nomogram. Calibration curves, decision curve analysis (DCA), the C index and the time-dependent area under the curve (td-AUC) were used to evaluate the performance of the nomogram, and the internal and external validation cohorts were used for verification. We also calculated total risk points to divide patients into high-, medium- and low-risk groups. The Kaplan-Meier methodology was used to analyze RFS, and differences were compared using the log-rank test.

RESULTS

Age, tumor size, tumor differentiation, microvascular invasion, INR and FIB for RFS were integrated into the nomogram. The calibration curves revealed a strong correlation between the predicted and actual results, and the nomogram's C-index and DCA demonstrated superior predictive performance compared with TNM, BCLC, CNLC, and CLIP. Additionally, the td-AUC revealed that the nomogram effectively predicted recurrence-free survival (RFS) at 1, 3, and 5 years. Moreover, significant differences in RFS were observed between the high-, medium-, and low-risk groups (P < 0.0001) after the effective cutoff values of the risk points were identified using the nomogram.

CONCLUSIONS

A nomogram model that is based on coagulation indices has high predictive efficacy for the recurrence of hepatocellular carcinoma in patients and significant clinical application value.

Development and clinical validation of a novel platelet count-based nomogram for predicting microvascular invasion in HCC

We aimed to develop a convenient nomogram to predict preoperative MVI in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Patients who underwent surgical resection due to HCC from June 2018 to June 2023 at the Third Affiliated Hospital of Sun Yat-sen University were retrospectively reviewed. Univariate and multivariable logistic linear regression analyses were used to investigate potential risk factors for MVI. A nomogram was plotted based on these risk factors. The tumor diameter (≥ 5 cm), BCLC stage, PLT (>127.50 × 109/L), AST (>29.50 U/L) and AFP (>10.07 ng/ml) were identified as independent preoperative risk factors for MVI by univariate and multivariable logistic analysis. The nomogram demonstrated decent accuracy in estimating the presence of MVI, with an AUC of 0.69 (95%CI: 0.64-0.73). The calibration curves exhibited a close match between the predicted probabilities and the actual estimates of MVI in the nomogram (p = 0.947). Decision curve analysis (DCA) revealed that the prediction model had a high net benefit if the threshold probability>20%. High platelet counts were strongly associated with the presence of MVI in HCC patients. Our convenient nomogram demonstrated decent accuracy in estimating the presence of MVI and had notable clinical application.

Trajectories of postoperative hepatitis B virus (HBV) DNA and HBV-related hepatocellular carcinoma outcomes

BACKGROUND

Preoperative hepatitis B virus (HBV) DNA level has been shown to correlate with the prognosis of patients with HBV-associated hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) following liver resection, but its dynamic changes have not been reported. The aim of this longitudinal multicenter retrospective observational study was to describe the trajectory of HBV DNA after R0 liver resection in patients receiving antiviral therapy and to investigate its impact on clinical outcomes.

METHODS

This study included patients with HBV-related HCC from nine hospitals in China who received antiviral therapy and R0 hepatectomy between 2015 and 2016. A latent class growth mixed model (LCGMM) was applied to group the trajectories of HBV DNA changes. The relative importance of each variable to predict survival was evaluated using the χ2.

RESULTS

Six hundred and eighty-four patients with HCC who met the inclusion exclusion criteria were included. Patients were divided into 5 trajectories of HBV DNA changes using LCGMM. By combining subgroups with similar survival characteristics, patients were reclassified into three groups: slow decline, slow zeroing, and fast zeroing group, the 5-year OS rates are 34.5 %, 53.0 %, 70.9 %, respectively. Multifactorial COX regression results showed that ALBI grade, HBV reactivation, cirrhosis, maximum tumor diameter, microvascular invasion, and HBV DNA trajectory groups were independent risk factors for OS.

CONCLUSIONS

HBV DNA trajectories were associated with OS for patients with HBV-related HCC after R0 liver resection, and it is necessary to receive antiviral therapy and to monitor HBV status regularly.

Association of hepatitis B virus DNA levels with efficacy and safety and the impact of antiviral therapy on prognosis in liver cancer patients receiving immune checkpoint inhibitors therapy: a systematic review and meta-analysis

Background

The current evidence regarding the relationship between baseline hepatitis B virus (HBV) DNA levels and survival outcomes in liver cancer patients receiving immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs) remains inconsistent. Therefore, this review was intended to explore the impact of the baseline HBV-DNA level on the efficacy and safety of ICIs in patients with liver cancer.

Methods

Relevant studies were identified through a comprehensive search in PubMed, EMBASE, Cochrane Library, and Web of Science up to August 1, 2024. The outcomes were hazard ratios (HRs) for overall survival (OS) and progression-free survival (PFS), as well as odds ratios (ORs) for objective response rate (ORR), disease control rate (DCR) and HBV reactivation (HBVr). Subgroup analysis, publication bias, and sensitivity analysis were conducted with STATA 14.0.

Results

This meta-analysis comprised 17 articles involving a total of 2,130 patients. The pooled results demonstrated that high HBV DNA was associated with a worse OS (HR = 1.48 95% CI 1.11-1.96). Further subgroup analysis showed that there was no difference in OS between the high HBV DNA group and low HBV DNA group when all patients received antiviral treatment. No associations between baseline HBV DNA and PFS (HR = 1.08, 95% CI 0.90-1.29), ORR (OR = 0.91, 95% CI 0.65-1.28), or DCR (OR = 0.83, 95% CI 0.58-1.20) were observed. The risk of HBVr in the high HBV DNA group was lower than that in the low HBV DNA group (OR = 0.30, 95% CI 0.15-0.58), especially among patients who received antiviral therapy (OR = 0.42, 95% CI 0.18-0.98).

Conclusion

High HBV DNA was associated with worse OS, but not with PFS, ORR, or DCR in liver cancer patients receiving ICIs. When patients were simultaneously treated with antiviral treatment, elevated HBV DNA level had no unfavorable impact on the efficacy of ICIs. Furthermore, the risk of HBVr in the high HBV-DNA group was lower than that in the low HBV DNA group. More prospective studies with larger sample sizes are essential to confirm the results.

The load of hepatitis B virus reduces the immune checkpoint inhibitors efficiency in hepatocellular carcinoma patients

Introduction

Chronic viral infection may lead to an immunosuppressive microenvironment, whereas the association between virus-related indicators and treatment response in hepatocellular carcinoma(HCC) patients undergoing immune checkpoint inhibitors(ICIs) therapy remains a topic of debate. We aim to investigate the influence of hepatitis virus on the ICI efficiency in HCC patients through a meta-analysis.

Methods

We searched PubMed, Cochrane Library, Embase, and Web of Science until 14 July 2024 to identify cohort studies involving ICIs treatments in HCC patients. We extracted data from the literature related to hepatitis B virus (HBV) infection, hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection, baseline HBV load, and antiviral therapy. Overall survival (OS) and progression-free survival (PFS) were considered as the primary endpoints, while objective response rate (ORR) was regarded as a secondary endpoint.

Results

We included 55 cohort studies published between 2019 and 2024, involving a patient population of 7180 individuals. Summarized hazard ratio (HR) comparing HBV infection with non-HBV infection in the context of ICIs therapy revealed no significant association between HBV infection and either mortality risk or progression risk with the pooled HR for OS of 1.04(95%CI: 0.93-1.16, P=0.483) and the pooled HR for PFS of 1.07(95%CI:0.96-1.20, P=0.342). HBV infected patients with HCC may have better tumor response than non-HBV infected patients receiving ICIs with the combined relative risk(RR) for ORR was 1.94 (95%CI: 1.12-3.38, P=0.002). High baseline HBV load is associated with poor survival outcomes in patients with HCC who receive ICIs with the pooled HR for OS was 1.74 (95%CI: 1.27-2.37, P=0.001), thereby antiviral therapy has the potential to significantly enhance prognostic outcomes with the pooled HR for OS was 0.24 (95% CI: 0.14-0.42 P<0.001) and the pooled HR for PFS was 0.54 (95% CI: 0.33-0.89 P=0.014).

Conclusion

In individuals with HCC who received ICIs, there was no notable link found between HBV or HCV infection and prognosis. However, HBV infection showed a connection with improved tumor response. A higher initial HBV load is linked to worse survival results in HCC patients undergoing ICIs treatment and antiviral therapy can significantly improve its prognosis.

Advances in immunotherapy for hepatitis B virus associated hepatocellular carcinoma patients

Hepatitis B virus (HBV) infection plays an important role in the occurrence and development of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), and the rate of HBV infection in liver cancer patients in China is as high as 92.05%. Due to long-term exposure to chronic antigens from the gut, the liver needs to maintain a certain level of immune tolerance, both to avoid severe inflammation caused by non-pathogenic antigens and to maintain the possibility of rapid and violent responses to infection and tumors. Therefore, HBV infection interacts with the tumor microenvironment (TME) through a highly complex and intertwined signaling pathway, which results in a special TME in HCC. Due to changes in the TME, tumor cells can evade immune surveillance by inhibiting tumor-specific T cell function through cytotoxic T-lymphocy-associated protein-4 (CTLA-4) and programmed cell death 1 (PD-1)/programmed cell death ligand 1 (PD-L1). Interferons, as a class of immune factors with strong biological activity, can improve the TME of HBV-HCC through various pathways. In recent years, the systematic treatment of HCC has gradually come out of the dilemma. In addition to the continuous emergence of new multi-target anti-vascular tyrosine kinase inhibitor drugs, immune checkpoint inhibitors have opened up a new avenue for the systematic treatment of HCC. At present, immunotherapy based on PD-1/L1 inhibitors has gradually become a new direction of systematic treatment for HCC, and the disease characteristics of patients included in global clinical studies are different from those of Chinese patients. Therefore, whether a group of HCC patients with HBV background and poor prognosis in China can also benefit from immunotherapy is an issue of wide concern. This review aims to elucidate the advances of immunotherapy for HBV related HCC patients with regard to: (1) Immunotherapy based on interferons; (2) Immunotherapy based on PD-1/L1 inhibitors; (3) Immunotherapy based on CTLA4 inhibitors; (4) Adoptive cell transfer; (5) Combination immunotherapy strategy; and (6) Shortcomings of immunotherapy.

Advances in immunotherapy for hepatitis B virus associated hepatocellular carcinoma patients

Hepatitis B virus (HBV) infection plays an important role in the occurrence and development of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), and the rate of HBV infection in liver cancer patients in China is as high as 92.05%. Due to long-term exposure to chronic antigens from the gut, the liver needs to maintain a certain level of immune tolerance, both to avoid severe inflammation caused by non-pathogenic antigens and to maintain the possibility of rapid and violent responses to infection and tumors. Therefore, HBV infection interacts with the tumor microenvironment (TME) through a highly complex and intertwined signaling pathway, which results in a special TME in HCC. Due to changes in the TME, tumor cells can evade immune surveillance by inhibiting tumor-specific T cell function through cytotoxic T-lymphocy-associated protein-4 (CTLA-4) and programmed cell death 1 (PD-1)/programmed cell death ligand 1 (PD-L1). Interferons, as a class of immune factors with strong biological activity, can improve the TME of HBV-HCC through various pathways. In recent years, the systematic treatment of HCC has gradually come out of the dilemma. In addition to the continuous emergence of new multi-target anti-vascular tyrosine kinase inhibitor drugs, immune checkpoint inhibitors have opened up a new avenue for the systematic treatment of HCC. At present, immunotherapy based on PD-1/L1 inhibitors has gradually become a new direction of systematic treatment for HCC, and the disease characteristics of patients included in global clinical studies are different from those of Chinese patients. Therefore, whether a group of HCC patients with HBV background and poor prognosis in China can also benefit from immunotherapy is an issue of wide concern. This review aims to elucidate the advances of immunotherapy for HBV related HCC patients with regard to: (1) Immunotherapy based on interferons; (2) Immunotherapy based on PD-1/L1 inhibitors; (3) Immunotherapy based on CTLA4 inhibitors; (4) Adoptive cell transfer; (5) Combination immunotherapy strategy; and (6) Shortcomings of immunotherapy.

Modified Albumin-Bilirubin Grade After Curative Treatment: Predicting the Risk of Late Intrahepatic Recurrence of Hepatocellular Carcinoma

BACKGROUND

We aimed to identify the prognostic factors for late intrahepatic recurrence (IHR), defined as recurrence more than two years after curative treatment of newly diagnosed hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC).

METHODS

This retrospective cohort study included patients with newly diagnosed, previously untreated, very early, or early HCC treated with initial curative treatment and followed up without recurrence for more than two years, excluding early IHR defined as recurrence within two years in single center. Late IHR-free survival (IHRFS) was defined as the time interval from initial curative treatment to the first IHR or death without IHR, whichever occurred first.

RESULTS

Among all the enrolled 2,304 patients, 1,427 (61.9%) underwent curative intent hepatectomy and the remaining 877 (38.1%) underwent local ablative therapy (LAT). During the follow-up after curative treatment (median, 82.6 months; range, 24.1 to 195.7), late IHR was detected in 816 (35.4%) patients. In the multivariable analysis, age, male sex, cirrhotic liver at diagnosis, type of initial treatment, and modified albumin-bilirubin (mALBI) grade were significant prognostic baseline factors. Furthermore, mALBI grade at three (2a vs. 1, P = 0.02, hazard ratio [HR], 1.33; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.04-1.70; 2b/3 vs. 1, P = 0.03; HR, 1.42; 95% CI, 1.03-1.94) and six months (2b/3 vs. 1; P = 0.006; HR, 1.61; 95% CI, 1.13-2.30) after initial curative treatment was also a significant prognostic factor for late IHR.

CONCLUSION

After curative treatment for newly diagnosed early HCC, the mALBI grade at three and six months after initial curative treatment, as well as at baseline, was one of the most crucial prognostic factors for late IHR.

Effect of nucleos(t)ide analogue discontinuation on the prognosis of HBeAg-negative hepatitis B virus-related hepatocellular carcinoma after hepatectomy: A propensity score matching analysis

BACKGROUND

Although nucleos(t)ide analogues (NAs) are thought to reduce the risk of hepatitis B virus (HBV)-related hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), the effect of NA discontinuation on the prognosis of HBV-related HCC after hepatectomy is rarely reported. We aimed to investigate the potential for hepatitis B virus e antigen (HBeAg)-negative HBV-related HCC patients to discontinue NAs based on preoperative hepatitis B virus surface antigen (HBsAg) status.

METHODS

This historical cohort study involved 1232 NA-treated HBeAg-negative patients who underwent curative hepatectomy for HBV-related HCC from 2014 to 2019. The recurrence-free survival (RFS) and overall survival (OS) of patients discontinuing NAs before surgery were compared with those continuing NAs. Propensity score matching (PSM) was used to balance baseline characteristics.

RESULTS

Of all enrolled patients, 839 (68.1%) patients continued NAs, and 393 (31.9%) patients discontinued NAs. Continuation of NAs was identified as an independent risk factor for RFS (HR 2.047, 95% CI 1.348-3.109, p < 0.001 before PSM and HR 2.756, 95% CI 1.537-4.942, p < 0.001 after PSM) in HBsAg-negative patients. Similarly, subgroup survival analyses showed that NA discontinuation was associated with better RFS (p = 0.029 before PSM and p < 0.001 after PSM) and comparable OS (p = 0.935 before PSM and p = 0.115 after PSM) than NA continuation in HBsAg-negative patients. The interaction between HBsAg status and continuation or discontinuation of NAs was significant (p for interaction <0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

These findings demonstrate the potential for HBeAg-negative HBV-related HCC patients who have achieved HBsAg seroclearance to discontinue NAs under strict monitoring.

Impact of baseline hepatitis B virus viral load on the long-term prognosis of advanced hepatocellular carcinoma treated with immunotherapy

BACKGROUND

Although the combination of lenvatinib and PD-1 inhibitors has become the standard regimen for the treatment of advanced hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), real data on the impact of baseline hepatitis B virus (HBV)-DNA levels on the clinical efficacy of this regimen is still limited.

AIM

To evaluate the effectiveness of camrelizumab combined with lenvatinib in patients with HCC at varying levels of HBV-DNA.

METHODS

One hundred and twenty patients with HCC who received camrelizumab and lenvatinib treatment were categorized into two cohorts: HBV-DNA ≤ 2000 (n = 66) and HBV-DNA > 2000 (n = 54). The main outcomes measured were overall survival (OS) and progression-free survival (PFS), while additional outcomes included the rate of objective response rate (ORR), disease control rate (DCR), and any negative events. Cox proportional hazards regression analysis revealed independent predictors of OS, leading to the creation of a nomogram incorporating these variables.

RESULTS

The median PFS was 8.32 months for the HBV-DNA ≤ 2000 group, which was similar to the 7.80 months observed for the HBV DNA > 2000 group (P = 0.88). Likewise, there was no notable variation in the median OS between the two groups, with durations of 13.30 and 14.20 months respectively (P = 0.14). The ORR and DCR were compared between the two groups, showing ORR of 19.70% vs 33.33% (P = 0.09) and DCR of 72.73% vs 74.07% (P = 0.87). The nomogram emphasized the importance of antiviral treatment as the main predictor of patient results, with portal vein tumor thrombus and Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer staging following closely behind.

CONCLUSION

The clinical outcomes of patients with HBV-associated HCC treated with camrelizumab in combination with lenvatinib are not significantly affected by HBV viral load.

Impact of baseline hepatitis B virus viral load on the long-term prognosis of advanced hepatocellular carcinoma treated with immunotherapy

BACKGROUND

Although the combination of lenvatinib and PD-1 inhibitors has become the standard regimen for the treatment of advanced hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), real data on the impact of baseline hepatitis B virus (HBV)-DNA levels on the clinical efficacy of this regimen is still limited.

AIM

To evaluate the effectiveness of camrelizumab combined with lenvatinib in patients with HCC at varying levels of HBV-DNA.

METHODS

One hundred and twenty patients with HCC who received camrelizumab and lenvatinib treatment were categorized into two cohorts: HBV-DNA ≤ 2000 (n = 66) and HBV-DNA > 2000 (n = 54). The main outcomes measured were overall survival (OS) and progression-free survival (PFS), while additional outcomes included the rate of objective response rate (ORR), disease control rate (DCR), and any negative events. Cox proportional hazards regression analysis revealed independent predictors of OS, leading to the creation of a nomogram incorporating these variables.

RESULTS

The median PFS was 8.32 months for the HBV-DNA ≤ 2000 group, which was similar to the 7.80 months observed for the HBV DNA > 2000 group (P = 0.88). Likewise, there was no notable variation in the median OS between the two groups, with durations of 13.30 and 14.20 months respectively (P = 0.14). The ORR and DCR were compared between the two groups, showing ORR of 19.70% vs 33.33% (P = 0.09) and DCR of 72.73% vs 74.07% (P = 0.87). The nomogram emphasized the importance of antiviral treatment as the main predictor of patient results, with portal vein tumor thrombus and Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer staging following closely behind.

CONCLUSION

The clinical outcomes of patients with HBV-associated HCC treated with camrelizumab in combination with lenvatinib are not significantly affected by HBV viral load.

Impact of hepatic inflammation and fibrosis on the recurrence and long-term survival of hepatitis B virus-related hepatocellular carcinoma patients after hepatectomy

BACKGROUND

Underlying liver disease is correlated with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) development in patients with hepatitis B virus (HBV) infection. However, the impact of hepatic inflammation and fibrosis on the patients' prognoses remains unclear.

METHODS

The clinicopathological data of 638 HBV-infected patients with early-stage HCC between 2017 and 2019 were prospectively collected. Hepatic inflammation and fibrosis were evaluated by experienced pathologists using the Scheuer score system. Survival analysis was analyzed using the Kaplan-Meier analysis.

RESULTS

Application of the Scheuer scoring system revealed that 50 (7.9%), 274 (42.9%), and 314 (49.2%) patients had minor, intermediate, and severe hepatic inflammation, respectively, and 125 (15.6%), 150 (23.5%), and 363 (56.9%) patients had minor fibrosis, advanced fibrosis, and cirrhosis, respectively. Patients with severe hepatitis tended to have a higher rate of HBeAg positivity, higher HBV-DNA load, elevated alanine aminotransferase (ALT) levels, and a lower proportion of capsule invasion (all Pp < 0.05). There were no significant differences in the recurrence-free and overall survival among the three groups (P = 0.52 and P = 0.66, respectively). Patients with advanced fibrosis or cirrhosis had a higher proportion of HBeAg positivity and thrombocytopenia, higher FIB-4, and larger tumor size compared to those with minor fibrosis (all P < 0.05). Patients with minor, advanced fibrosis, and cirrhosis had similar prognoses after hepatectomy (P = 0.48 and P = 0.70). The multivariate analysis results indicated that neither hepatic inflammation nor fibrosis was an independent predictor associated with prognosis.

CONCLUSIONS

For HBV-related HCC patients receiving antiviral therapy, hepatic inflammation and fibrosis had little impact on the post-hepatectomy prognosis.

Hepatitis B Virus DNA-Level Change is Associated With Tumor Recurrence in Patients With Resected Hepatitis B Virus Hepatocellular Carcinoma

INTRODUCTION

To investigate the significance of perioperative hepatitis B virus (HBV) DNA changes for predicting recurrence in patients with HBV-related hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) undergoing liver resection (LR).

METHODS

From 2013 to 2020, 241 patients with HBV-related HCC who underwent LR in five Hallym university-affiliated hospitals were enrolled. The serum HBV DNA level, together with other clinicopathological variables, was analyzed for association with HCC recurrence.

RESULTS

Preoperatively, 99 patients had undetectable HBV DNA and 142 had detectable viral levels. Of those with detectable viral levels, 72 rapidly progressed to undetectable levels within 3 mo after LR (Rapid group), and 70 showed persistently detectable levels (Nonrapid group). The Rapid group had a better recurrence-free survival (RFS) rate than the Nonrapid group (1-y, 3-y RFS = 75.4%, 57.3%, versus 54.7%, 39.9%, respectively, P = 0.012). In the subgroup analysis, the Rapid group had a better RFS rate in early stages (1-y, 3-y RFS = 82.6%, 68.5%, versus 62.8%, 45.8%, respectively, P = 0.005); however, the RFS rates between the two groups were comparable in the advanced stage (1-y, 3-y RFS = 61.1%, 16.7% versus 45.5%, 22.7%, respectively, P = 0.994). Among the 142 patients with preoperatively detectable HBV DNA, persistently detectable HBV DNA within 3 mo postoperatively (hazard ratio [HR] = 1.7, P = 0.022), large tumor size (HR = 2.7, P < 0.001), multiple tumors (HR = 3.2, P < 0.001), and microvascular invasion (HR = 1.7, P = 0.028) were independent risk factors for RFS in multivariate analysis.

CONCLUSIONS

Rapidly undetectable HBV DNA after LR is associated with a better prognosis for recurrence in patients with HCC. Therefore, appropriate treatment and/or screening may be necessary for patients who do not return to undetectable HBV DNA after LR.

Perioperative predictors of outcome of hepatectomy for HBV-related hepatocellular carcinoma

Hepatitis B virus (HBV) is identified as a major risk factor for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), resulting in so-called hepatitis B virus-related hepatocellular carcinoma (HBV-related HCC). Hepatectomy for HCC is acknowledged as an efficient treatment strategy, especially for early HCC. Furthermore, patients with advanced HCC can still obtain survival benefits through surgical treatment combined with neoadjuvant therapy, adjuvant therapy, transcatheter arterial chemoembolization, and radiofrequency ablation. Therefore, preoperative and postoperative predictors of HBV-related HCC have crucial indicative functions for the follow-up treatment of patients with feasible hepatectomy. This review covers a variety of research results on preoperative and postoperative predictors of hepatectomy for HBV-related HCC over the past decade and in previous landmark studies. The relevant contents of Hepatitis C virus-related HCC, non-HBV non-HCV HCC, and the artificial intelligence application in this field are briefly addressed in the extended content. Through the integration of this review, a large number of preoperative and postoperative factors can predict the prognosis of HBV-related HCC, while most of the predictors have no standardized thresholds. According to the characteristics, detection methods, and application of predictors, the predictors can be divided into the following categories: 1. serological and hematological predictors, 2. genetic, pathological predictors, 3. imaging predictors, 4. other predictors, 5. analysis models and indexes. Similar results appear in HCV-related HCC, non-HBV non-HCV HCC. Predictions based on AI and big biological data are actively being applied. A reasonable prediction model should be established based on the economic, health, and other levels in specific countries and regions.

Primary non-response to antiviral therapy affects the prognosis of hepatitis B virus-related hepatocellular carcinoma

BACKGROUND AND AIM

Although antiviral treatments have been shown to affect the recurrence and long-term survival of patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) who have high viral loads, the effect of different responses to antiviral therapy on the clinical outcomes remains unclear. This study aimed to assess the effect of primary non-response (no-PR) to antiviral therapy on the survival or prognosis of patients with HCC with a high load of hepatitis B virus (HBV) DNA.

METHODS

A total of 493 HBV-HCC patients hospitalized at Beijing Ditan Hospital of Capital Medical University were admitted to this retrospective study. Patients were divided into two groups based on viral response (no-PR and primary response). Kaplan-Meier (KM) curves were used to compare the overall survival of the two cohorts. Serum viral load comparison and subgroup analysis were performed. Additionally, risk factors were screened and the risk score chart was created.

RESULTS

This study consisted of 101 patients with no-PR and 392 patients with primary response. In the different categories based on hepatitis B e antigen and HBV DNA, no-PR group had a poor 1-year overall survival (OS). In addition, in the alanine aminotransferase < 50 IU/L and cirrhosis groups, primary nonresponse was related to poor overall survival and progression-free survival. Based on multivariate risk analysis, primary non-response (hazard ratio (HR) = 1.883, 95% CI 1.289-2.751, P = 0.001), tumor multiplicity (HR = 1.488, 95% CI 1.036-2.136, P = 0.031), portal vein tumor thrombus (HR = 2.732, 95% CI 1.859-4.015, P < 0.001), hemoglobin < 120 g/L (HR = 2.211, 95% CI 1.548-3.158, P < 0.001) and tumor size ≥ 5 cm (HR = 2.202, 95% CI 1.533-3.163, P < 0.001) were independent risk factors for 1-year OS. According to the scoring chart, patients were divided into three risk groups (high-, medium-, and low-risk groups) with mortality rates of 61.7%, 30.5%, and 14.1%, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

The level of viral decline at 3 months post-antiviral treatment may predict the OS of patients with HBV-related HCC, and primary non-response may shorten the median survival time of patients with high HBV-DNA levels.

Neoadjuvant and Adjuvant Systemic Therapies in Loco-Regional Treatments for Hepatocellular Carcinoma: Are We at the Dawn of a New Era?

Despite maximizing techniques and patient selection, liver resection and ablation for HCC are still associated with high rates of recurrence. To date, HCC is the only cancer with no proven adjuvant or neoadjuvant therapy used in association to potentially curative treatment. Perioperative combination treatments are urgently needed to reduce recurrence rates and improve overall survival. Immunotherapy has demonstrated encouraging results in the setting of adjuvant and neoadjuvant treatments for non-hepatic malignancies. Conclusive data are not yet available in the context of liver neoplasms. However, growing evidence suggests that immunotherapy, and in particular immune checkpoint inhibitors, could represent the cornerstone of an epochal change in the treatment of HCC, improving recurrence rates and overall survival through combination treatments. Furthermore, the identification of predictive biomarkers of treatment response could drive the management of HCC into the era of a precision medicine. The purpose of this review is to analyze the state of the art in the setting of adjuvant and neoadjuvant therapies for HCC in association with loco-regional treatments in patients not eligible for liver transplantation and to hypothesize future scenarios.

Recurrence of hepatocellular carcinoma in noncirrhotic patients with nonalcoholic fatty liver disease versus hepatitis B infection

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

This study aimed to compare the long-term cumulative recurrence rates of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) and prognosis after curative resection for HCC in noncirrhotic patients with nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) versus hepatitis B virus (HBV) infection.

METHODS

We retrospectively analyzed the data of 791 patients without recurrence within 1 year after curative resection for HCC from January 2005 to December 2015. Of these, 63 and 728 were NAFLD and HBV patients without cirrhosis, respectively.

RESULTS

Recurrence of HCC was observed in 6 (9.5%) and 210 (28.8%) patients in the NAFLD and HBV groups, respectively, during median follow-ups of 69.9 and 85.2 months. Cumulative recurrence rates in the NAFLD group at 2, 4, 6, 8 and 10 years (3.6, 9.4, 12.4, 12.4 and 12.4%, respectively) were significantly lower than in the HBV group (1.7, 16.9, 27.2, 37.1 and 44.4%, respectively) ( P  = 0.008). Cumulative overall survival (OS) rates in the NAFLD group at 2, 4, 6, 8 and 10 years (98.2, 96.0, 84.0, 84.0 and 84.0 %, respectively) were significantly lower than in the HBV group (99.3, 98.4, 97.3, 95.7 and 93.6%, respectively) ( P  = 0.003). HBV infection, with or without fatty liver compared to NAFLD, were significant predictors for the recurrence of HCC ( P  < 0.05 for all) and OS ( P  < 0.05 for all), respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

Noncirrhotic NAFLD patients showed lower recurrence rates of HCC but poorer survival outcomes than noncirrhotic HBV patients with or without fatty liver. The recurrence risk of HCC remains even in noncirrhotic NAFLD patients.

Plasma-only circulating tumor DNA analysis detects minimal residual disease and predicts early relapse in hepatocellular carcinoma patients undergoing curative resection

Background

Minimal residual disease (MRD) is considered an essential factor leading to relapse within 2 years (early relapse) after radical surgery, which is challenging to be detected by conventional imaging. Circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) provides a novel approach for detecting MRD and predicting clinical outcomes. Here, we tried to construct a fixed panel for plasma-only ctDNA NGS to enable tumor-uninformed MRD detection in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC).

Methods

Here, we performed the followings: (i) profiling genomic alteration spectrum of ctDNA from the Chinese HCC cohort consisting of 493 individuals by NGS; (ii) screening of MRD monitoring genes; and (iii) performance evaluation of MRD monitoring genes in predicting early relapse in the ZJZS2020 cohort comprising 20 HCC patients who underwent curative resection.

Results

A total of 493 plasma samples from the Chinese HCC cohort were detected using a 381/733-gene NGS panel to characterize the mutational spectrum of ctDNA. Most patients (94.1%, 464/493) had at least one mutation in ctDNA. The variants fell most frequently in TP53 (45.1%), LRP1B (20.2%), TERT (20.2%), FAT1 (16.2%), and CTNNB1 (13.4%). By customized filtering strategy, 13 MRD monitoring genes were identified, and any plasma sample with one or more MRD monitoring gene mutations was considered MRD-positive. In the ZJZS2020 cohort, MRD positivity presented a sensitivity of 75% (6/8) and a specificity of 100% (6/6) in identifying early postoperative relapse. The Kaplan-Meier analysis revealed a significantly short relapse-free survival (RFS; median RFS, 4.2 months vs. NR, P=0.002) in the MRD-positive patients versus those with MRD negativity. Cox regression analyses revealed MRD positivity as an independent predictor of poor RFS (HR 13.00, 95% CI 2.60-69.00, P=0.002).

Conclusions

We successfully developed a 13-gene panel for plasma-only MRD detection, which was effective and convenient for predicting the risk of early postoperative relapse in HCC.

Predictors of early and late hepatocellular carcinoma recurrence

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is the most frequent liver neoplasm, and its incidence rates are constantly increasing. Despite the availability of potentially curative treatments (liver transplantation, surgical resection, thermal ablation), long-term outcomes are affected by a high recurrence rate (up to 70% of cases 5 years after treatment). HCC recurrence within 2 years of treatment is defined as "early" and is generally caused by the occult intrahepatic spread of the primary neoplasm and related to the tumor burden. A recurrence that occurs after 2 years of treatment is defined as "late" and is related to de novo HCC, independent of the primary neoplasm. Early HCC recurrence has a significantly poorer prognosis and outcome than late recurrence. Different pathogenesis corresponds to different predictors of the risk of early or late recurrence. An adequate knowledge of predictive factors and recurrence risk stratification guides the therapeutic strategy and post-treatment surveillance. Patients at high risk of HCC recurrence should be referred to treatments with the lowest recurrence rate and when standardized to combined or adjuvant therapy regimens. This review aimed to expose the recurrence predictors and examine the differences between predictors of early and late recurrence.

Tenofovir versus entecavir for tertiary prevention of hepatocellular carcinoma in chronic hepatitis B infection after curative therapy: A systematic review and meta-analysis

Entecavir (ETV) and Tenofovir disoproxil fumarate (TDF) are the first-line drugs for the treatment of chronic hepatitis B virus (HBV). However, the impact of these two antiviral agents on the outcome of HBV-related hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) after curative therapy remains to be explored. The purpose of the present study was to compare the effect of ETV and TDF on recurrence and mortality after curative treatment for HBV-related HCC. A comprehensive literature search of multiple electronic databases was conducted from 2000 to January 2022 for studies comparing ETV and TDF for HBV-related HCC patients after curative therapy. The adjusted hazard ratios (aHR) were pooled using a random-effects model. A total of nine studies with 5298 patients were included in the final meta-analysis. TDF was associated with a lower risk of HCC recurrence [aHR 0.73, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.65-0.81] compared to HCC. TDF reduced the risk of late recurrence compared to ETV (aHR 0.58, 95% CI 0.45-0.76) but not early recurrence (aHR 0.88, 95% CI 0.76-1.02). The mortality risk was also lower with TDF compared to ETV (aHR 0.62, 95% CI 0.50-0.77). TDF was associated with a lower risk of recurrence and mortality than ETV after resection or ablation of HBV-related HCC. Further prospective randomized controlled studies are warranted to validate these results.

Association of hepatitis B virus DNA levels with overall survival for advanced hepatitis B virus-related hepatocellular carcinoma under immune checkpoint inhibitor therapy

BACKGROUND

High hepatitis B virus (HBV) DNA level is an independent risk factor for postoperative HBV-associated liver cancer recurrence. We sought to examine whether HBV DNA level and antiviral therapy are associated with survival outcomes in patients with advanced hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) treated with anti-programmed cell death protein 1 (PD-1)based immunotherapy.

METHODS

This single-institution retrospective analysis included 217 patients with advanced HBV-related HCC treated from 1 June 2018, through 30 December 2020. Baseline information was compared between patients with low and high HBV DNA levels. Overall survival (OS) and progression-free survival (PFS) were compared, and univariate and multivariate analyses were applied to identify potential risk factors for oncologic outcomes.

RESULTS

The 217 patients included in the analysis had a median survival time of 20.6 months. Of these HBV-associated HCC patients, 165 had known baseline HBV DNA levels. Baseline HBV DNA level was not significantly associated with OS (P = 0.59) or PFS (P = 0.098). Compared to patients who did not receive antiviral therapy, patients who received antiviral therapy had significantly better OS (20.6 vs 11.1 months, P = 0.020), regardless of HBV DNA levels. Moreover, antiviral status (adjusted HR = 0.24, 95% CI 0.094-0.63, P = 0.004) was an independent protective factor for OS in a multivariate analysis of patients with HBV-related HCC.

CONCLUSIONS

HBV viral load does not compromise the clinical outcome of patients with HBV-related HCC treated with anti-PD-1-based immunotherapy. The use of antiviral therapy significantly improves survival time of HBV-related HCC patients.

Effects of Clonorchis sinensis combined with Hepatitis B virus infection on the prognosis of patients with Hepatocellular Carcinoma following Hepatectomy

BACKGROUND

This study aimed to determine the impact of co-infection of Clonorchis sinensis (CS) and hepatitis B virus (HBV) on the prognosis of patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) following hepatectomy.

METHODS

The clinicopathological information of 946 patients with HCC following hepatectomy was retrospectively analyzed. The patients were divided into four groups depending on whether they had CS infection and/or HBV infection: double-negative group (infected with neither CS nor HBV), simple CS group (infected with only CS), simple HBV group (infected with only HBV), and double-positive group (co-infected with CS and HBV). Kaplan-Meier curves were used to evaluate the overall survival (OS) and recurrence-free survival (RFS), while log-rank tests were used to compare survival rates. Further, Cox regression was used to perform both univariate and multivariate survival analyses to identify variables linked to the prognosis of HCC.

RESULTS

The median overall survival (OS) and recurrence-free survival (RFS) in the double-positive, simple CS, simple HBV, and double-negative groups were 27 months and 9 months, 20 months and 7 months, 44 months and 12 months, and 42 months and 17 months, respectively. The double-positive group's 1-year, 3-year, and 5-year OS and RFS rates were 79.2% and 46.9%, 62.6% and 28.4%, 47.8%, and 12.2%, respectively. The simple CS group's 1-year, 3-year, and 5-year OS and RFS rates were 86.3% and 41.5%, 56.5% and 27.7%, 50.2%, and 18.5%, respectively. The simple HBV group's 1-year, 3-year, and 5-year OS and RFS rates were 89.8% and 56.0%, 72.5% and 30.5%, 63.8%, and 19.9%, respectively. The double-negative group's 1-year, 3-year, and 5-year OS and RFS rates were 91.5% and 62.3%, 76.1% and 32.9%, 64.0%, and 22.4%, respectively. Further, according to a Cox multivariate analysis, tumor size (> 5cm), Edmonson grade (III-IV), BCLC-C stage, and tumor satellite focus were independent risk factors for RFS and OS in patients with HCC.

CONCLUSION

Patients with HCC and Clonorchis sinensis infection experience a poor prognosis after hepatectomy, regardless of whether they are co-infected with HBV.

Association of Concurrent Metabolic Syndrome with Long-term Oncological Prognosis Following Liver Resection for Hepatocellular Carcinoma Among Patients with Chronic Hepatitis B Virus Infection: A Multicenter Study of 1753 Patients

BACKGROUND

Although hepatitis B virus (HBV) infection remains the main cause of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) worldwide, metabolic syndrome, with its increase in prevalence, has become an important and significant risk factor for HCC. This study was designed to investigate the association of concurrent metabolic syndrome with long-term prognosis following liver resection for patients with HBV-related HCC.

METHODS

From a Chinese, multicenter database, HBV-infected patients who underwent curative resection for HCC between 2010 and 2020 were identified. Long-term oncological prognosis, including overall survival (OS), recurrence-free survival (RFS), and early (≤2 years of surgery) and late (>2 years) recurrences were compared between patients with versus those without concurrent metabolic syndrome.

RESULTS

Of 1753 patients, 163 (9.3%) patients had concurrent metabolic syndrome. Compared with patients without metabolic syndrome, patients with metabolic syndrome had poorer 5-year OS (47.5% vs. 61.0%; P = 0.010) and RFS (28.3% vs. 44.2%; P = 0.003) rates and a higher 5-year overall recurrence rate (67.3% vs. 53.3%; P = 0.024). Multivariate analysis revealed that concurrent metabolic syndrome was independently associated with poorer OS (hazard ratio: 1.300; 95% confidence interval: 1.018-1.660; P = 0.036) and RFS (1.314; 1.062-1.627; P = 0.012) rates, and increased rates of late recurrence (hazard ratio: 1.470; 95% confidence interval: 1.004-2.151; P = 0.047).

CONCLUSIONS

In HBV-infected patients with HCC, concurrent metabolic syndrome was associated with poorer postoperative long-term oncologic survival outcomes. These results suggested that patients with metabolic syndrome should undergo enhanced surveillance for tumor recurrence even after 2 years of surgery to early detect late HCC recurrence. Whether improving metabolic syndrome can reduce postoperative recurrence of HCC deserves further exploration.

Early and late recurrence after hepatectomy in patients with low-level HBV-DNA hepatocellular carcinoma under antiviral therapy

Background

Antiviral therapy has been shown to benefit long-term survival after curative hepatectomy in patients with hepatitis B virus (HBV)-associated hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) with high levels of HBV-DNA, but the impact of antiviral therapy on patient recurrence in patients with low levels of HBV-DNA remains less clear.

Methods

This was a retrospective cohort study analyzing 296 patients with HBV-associated HCC with HBV-DNA levels < 2000 IU/mL who underwent hepatectomy at Zhongnan Hospital of Wuhan University between March 2013 and December 2017, of whom 157 patients received antiviral therapy (antiviral group) and 139 patients did not receive antiviral therapy (non-antiviral group), propensity score matching was used for survival analysis of patients in both groups, and subgroup analysis of major risk factors was performed.

Results

The baseline characteristics of the two groups were comparable. At a median follow-up of 54 months, the 1-, 3-, and 5-year overall survival rates after propensity score matching (PSM) were 94.9%, 80.8%, 66.5%, and 90.9%, 64.6%, 49.4% for the antiviral and non-antiviral groups, respectively, p = 0.009, and the corresponding 1-, 3-, and 5-year RFS for the two groups were 81.8%, 76.8%, 76.8%, and 67.7%, 55.6%, 55.6%, respectively. p = 0.001, and the overall survival and recurrence-free survival were significantly better in the antiviral group than in the non-antiviral group. Multi-factor COX regression analysis showed that prothrombin time ≥ 13 s, methemoglobin level ≥ 20 ng/ml, platelet count ≥ 100 × 109/L, tumor size > 5 cm, tumor multiplicity was associated with early recurrence, and antiviral treatment was an independent protective factor for early recurrence of HCC (HR, 0.431; 95% CI 0.274–0.679; p < 0.001), but not associated with a low risk of late relapse (HR, 0.822; 95% CI 0.526–1.284; p = 0.389), and the main risk factors for late relapse included AST levels > 40 IU/ml, ALP levels > 130 IU/L, and the presence of satellite nodules, and subgroup analysis showed that compared to HBeAg-positive patients, antiviral therapy could significantly prolonged the recurrence-free survival of HBeAg-negative patients.

Conclusion

Antiviral therapy reduces early tumor recurrence after hepatectomy in patients with low levels of HBV-DNA.

Predictive Value of the TP53 p.G245S Mutation Frequency for the Short-Term Recurrence of Hepatocellular Carcinoma as Detected by Pyrophosphate Sequencing

Aims: We explored the relationship between the mutation of the p.G245S site in TP53 and the short-term recurrence of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Materials and Methods: One hundred one HCC patients were included in this study. The TP53 p.G245S mutation frequency spectrum was examined by direct sequencing of genomic DNA from tissue specimens of HCC patients. Univariate and multivariate Cox regression were used to evaluate the independent prognostic factors of tumor recurrence. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis was applied to determine the cutoff value of p.G245S mutation frequency and verify the predictive ability of the Cox model compared with single risk factor indices. Results: Multivariate Cox regression analysis showed that TP53 p.G245S mutation frequency (hazard ratio [HR] = 1.231, 95% CI: 1.006-1.505, p = 0.043), alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) (HR = 2.432, 95% CI: 1.297-4.561, p = 0.006), macrotrabecular-massive (MTM) (HR = 2.656, 95% CI: 0.930-7.583, p = 0.068), and portal vein tumor thrombus (PVTT) (HR = 14.297, 95% CI: 3.085-66.243, p = 0.001) were independent prognostic factors for short-term recurrence. The cutoff value of TP53 p.G245S mutation frequency (18.5%) was determined by ROC analysis. The prediction model integrating TP53 p.G245S mutation frequency, PVTT, MTM, and AFP could be a predictive indicator of short-term recurrence in HCC patients (AUC = 0.849, 95% CI: 0.748-0.950, p = 0.000001). Survival analysis indicated that the probability of short-term recurrence-free survival was significantly different among different TP53 p.G245S mutation frequency, MTM, PVTT, and AFP risk groups (p < 0.05). Conclusion: The mutation frequency of the p.G245S site was a novel prognostic risk factor for the short-term recurrence of HCC.

Establishment and validation of a novel prognostic model for non-virus-related hepatocellular carcinoma

Objective

The incidence of non-virus-related hepatocellular carcinoma (NV-HCC) in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is steadily increasing. The aim of this study was to establish a prognostic model to evaluate the overall survival (OS) of NV-HCC patients.

Methods

Overall, 261 patients with NV-HCC were enrolled in this study. A prognostic model was developed by using LASSO-Cox regression analysis. The prognostic power was appraised by the concordance index (C-index), and the time-dependent receiver operating characteristic curve (TD-ROC). Kaplan–Meier (K–M) survival analysis was used to evaluate the predictive ability in the respective subgroups stratified by the prognostic model risk score. A nomogram for survival prediction was established by integrating the prognostic model, TNM stage, and treatment.

Results

According to the LASSO-Cox regression results, the number of nodules, lymphocyte-to-monocyte ratio (LMR), prognostic nutritional index (PNI), alkaline phosphatase (ALP), aspartate aminotransferase (AST)/alanine aminotransferase (ALT) ratio (SLR) and C-reactive protein (CRP) were included for prognostic model construction. The C-index of the prognostic model was 0.759 (95% CI 0.723–0.797) in the development cohort and 0.796 (95% CI 0.737–0.855) in the validation cohort, and its predictive ability was better than TNM stage and treatment. The TD-ROC showed similar results. K–M survival analysis showed that NV-HCC patients with low risk scores had a better prognosis (P < 0.05). A nomogram based on the prognostic model, TNM stage, and treatment was constructed with sufficient discriminatory power with C-indexes of 0.78 and 0.85 in the development and validation cohort, respectively.

Conclusion

For NV-HCC, this prognostic model could predict an OS benefit for patients, which may assist clinicians in designing individualized therapeutic strategies.

Advances in postoperative adjuvant therapy for primary liver cancer

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is a highly heterogeneous, invasive, and conventional chemotherapy-insensitive tumor with unique biological characteristics. The main methods for the radical treatment of HCC are surgical resection or liver transplantation. However, recurrence rates are as high as 50% and 70% at 3 and 5 years after liver resection, respectively, and even in Milan-eligible recipients, the recurrence rate is approximately 20% at 5 years after liver transplantation. Therefore, reducing the postoperative recurrence rate is key to improving the overall outcome of liver cancer. This review discusses the risk factors for recurrence in patients with HCC radical surgical resection and adjuvant treatment options that may reduce the risk of recurrence and improve overall survival, including local adjuvant therapy (e.g., transcatheter arterial chemoembolization), adjuvant systemic therapy (e.g., molecular targeted agents and immunotherapy), and other adjuvant therapies (e.g., antiviral and herbal therapy). Finally, potential research directions that may change the paradigm of adjuvant therapy for HCC are analyzed.

Patterns, treatments, and prognosis of tumor recurrence after resection for hepatocellular carcinoma with microvascular invasion: a multicenter study from China

BACKGROUND

Microvascular invasion (MVI) is a risk factor of post-hepatectomy tumor recurrence for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). The patterns, treatments, and prognosis have not been documented in HCC patients with MVI.

METHODS

A multicenter database of patients with HCC and MVI following resection was analyzed. The clinicopathological and initial operative data, timing and first sites of recurrence, recurrence management, and long-term survival outcomes were analyzed.

RESULTS

Of 1517 patients included, the median follow-up was 39.7 months. Tumor recurrence occurred in 928 patients, with 49% within 6 months of hepatectomy and 60% only in the liver. The incidence of intrahepatic only recurrence gradually increased with time after 6 months. Patients who developed recurrence within 6 months of hepatectomy had worse survival outcomes than those who developed recurrence later. Patients who developed intrahepatic only recurrence had better prognosis than those with either extrahepatic only recurrence or those with intra- and extrahepatic recurrence. Repeat resection of recurrence with curative intent resulted in better outcomes than other treatment modalities.

CONCLUSION

Post-hepatectomy tumor recurrence in patients with HCC and MVI had unique characteristics and recurrence patterns. Early detection of tumor recurrence and repeat liver resection with curative intent resulted in improved long-term survival outcomes.

Prognostic Analysis of Postoperative Survival for Ruptured Hepatocellular Carcinoma with or without Cirrhosis

Background and Aims

Conflicting results are often observed in the prognosis of patients with ruptured hepatocellular carcinoma (rHCC), and there are currently very few studies on the long-term postoperative outcomes of ruptured hepatocellular carcinoma patients. This study aimed to distinguish between the postoperative prognosis of rHCC patients with cirrhosis (rHCC-C) and those without cirrhosis (rHCC-NC) using some serum markers.

Methods

We collected the data of 151 rHCC patients treated at our centers from January 2010 to March 2021. 62 had no cirrhosis, and 89 had cirrhosis. The prognosis of rHCC-C and rHCC-NC groups was compared using the Kaplan-Meier method. We used multivariate Cox regression to analyze prognostic factors in rHCC patients, and subgroup analysis was performed on the two groups of patients.

Results

The long-term prognosis of rHCC-NC patients was better than that of rHCC-C patients. Tumor diameter, Barcelona clinic liver cancer (BCLC) stage, HBsAg, positive Hepatitis C virus (HCV) antibodies, elevated creatinine, and elevated T-bilirubin were prognostic factors for overall survival (OS) in rHCC-C patients. However, only alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) > 92 ng/mL was a prognostic factor for OS in rHCC-NC patients. In noncirrhotic patients, HBsAg positivity was only associated with OS. Similarly, the presence or absence of microvascular invasion (MVI) also had different results in the two groups.

Conclusions

There are differences in serum alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) levels, the presence of microvascular invasion (MVI), and HBsAg positivity between rHCC-C and rHCC-NC patients, indicating that the analysis of these prognostic factors may help improve the management of rHCC patients and provide a direction for future treatment options.

Tenofovir vs. Entecavir on Outcomes of Hepatitis B Virus-Related Hepatocellular Carcinoma after Radiofrequency Ablation

For patients with hepatitis B virus (HBV)-related hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) treated with curative radiofrequency ablation (RFA), the effect of entecavir (ETV) vs. tenofovir disoproxil fumarate (TDF) on recurrence-free survival (RFS) and overall survival (OS) remains unclear. We aimed to compare the outcomes of patients receiving ETV or TDF after RFA. This study consecutively collected patients who were treated with ETV (n = 202) or TDF (n = 102) for chronic hepatitis B (CHB) after curative RFA of HCC from December 2015 to January 2021 at Sun Yat-sen University Cancer Center. There were 130 patients in the ETV group and 77 patients in the TDF group after we performed 1-to-n propensity score matching. Kaplan−Meier and Cox regression analyses were performed to validate possible risk factors for RFS and OS. In addition, we estimated the curative effect of ETV and TDF for HBV-related hepatitis by recording the change in serum HBV DNA and ALBI grade after RFA. During the study period (median 34.1 (interquartile range: 19.6−47.4 months) months), 123 (40.5%) patients suffered HCC recurrence, and 15 (4.9%) died. In the full cohort, the probability of HCC recurrence (41.6% vs. 37.3%, p = 0.49) and overall survival (95% vs. 95.1%, p = 0.39) at 5 years were similar between the ETV and TDF groups. In the matched cohort, HCC recurrence (40.8% vs. 40.3%, p = 0.35) and overall survival (96.9% vs. 93.5%, p = 0.12) at 5 years were similar between the ETV and TDF groups. Furthermore, the early RFS (<2 years) did not differ significantly between the two groups in the full and matched cohorts (p = 0.26, p = 0.13). Compared with the ALBI grade before RFA, the ALBI grade of 80 patients (41%) remained stable or improved in the ETV group and 64 patients (64%) in the TDF group (p < 0.001). The mean time of serum HBV DNA reduction to 0 was 9.13 (95% CI: 5.92−12.33) and 2.75 (95% CI: 2.01−3.49) months in the ETV and TDF groups, respectively (p = 0.015). The RFS and OS of patients after curative RFA for HCC were not significantly different between the ETV and TDF groups. TDF therapy was associated with a better effect of protecting liver function and reducing the load of HBV. Further validation studies are needed.

Clinical Features of Recurrence After Hepatic Resection for Early-Stage Hepatocellular Carcinoma and Long-Term Survival Outcomes of Patients with Recurrence: A Multi-institutional Analysis

BACKGROUND

A potentially curative hepatic resection is the optimal treatment for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), but most HCCs, even at an early stage, eventually recur after resection. This study investigates clinical features of initial recurrence and long-term prognosis of patients with recurrence after curative resection for early-stage HCC.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

From a multicenter database, patients who underwent curative hepatic resection for early-stage HCC [Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer (BCLC) stage 0/A] were extracted. Time to initial recurrence, patterns of initial recurrence, and treatment modalities for recurrent tumors were investigated. Univariate and multivariate analysis were used to identify independent risks associated with postoperative recurrence, as well as post-recurrence survival (PRS) for patients with recurrence.

RESULTS

Among 1424 patients, 679 (47.7%) developed recurrence at a median follow-up of 54.8 months, including 408 (60.1%) early recurrence (≤ 2 years after surgery) and 271 (39.9%) late recurrence (> 2 years). Independent risks of postoperative recurrence included cirrhosis, preoperative alpha-fetoprotein level > 400 ug/L, tumor size > 5 cm, multiple tumors, satellites, microvascular invasion, and intraoperative blood transfusion. Multivariate analysis revealed that receiving irregular recurrence surveillance, initial tumor beyond Milan criteria, early recurrence, BCLC stage B/C of the recurrent tumor, and noncurative treatments were independently associated with poorer PRS.

CONCLUSIONS

Nearly half of patients with early-stage HCC experienced recurrence after resection. Understanding recurrence risks may help identify patients at high risk of recurrence who may benefit from future adjuvant therapies. Meaningful survival even after recurrence can still be achieved by postoperative regular surveillance and curative treatment.

State of the art treatment of hepatitis B virus hepatocellular carcinoma and the role of hepatitis B surface antigen post-liver transplantation and resection

Chronic hepatitis B virus (HBV) infection is the major aetiology of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). The optimal goal of therapy, hepatitis B surface antigen (HBsAg) loss and anti-HBs production, is achieved rarely and HBsAg-associated HCC risk is well recognized. Here we review the role of HBsAg in HCC, the link between HBsAg and HCC recurrence post-liver transplantation or resection, and the implications for therapy. HBV-associated carcinogenesis is a multifactorial process. The observation that HBV-related HCC can occur in the absence of cirrhosis is compatible with a direct oncogenic effect of the virus, which may occur via multiple mechanisms, including those mediated by both mutated and unmutated HBsAg. HCC recurrence in HBsAg-positive patients post-liver transplantation has been reported in 10%-15% of patients and is likely to be because of expansion of residual HCC tumour cell populations containing integrated HBV DNA, which expand and independently replicate HBV, leading to the recurrence of both HCC and HBV. The direct role of HBsAg in HCC recurrence post-liver resection is less clear. Cirrhosis is the most important risk factor for HCC development, and precancerous cirrhotic liver remains after resection, with the potential to undergo malignant transformation regardless of the existence of HBV-derived oncogenic drivers. The role of HBsAg in the development of HCC and its recurrence post-surgical intervention has multiple implications for therapy and suggests a potential role for immunotherapy in the future management of HCC, in particular post-liver transplantation. Use of hepatitis B immunoglobulins that target HBsAg directly, alongside immune-oncology therapies, may be relevant in this setting.

Tenofovir vs. entecavir on recurrence of hepatitis B virus-related hepatocellular carcinoma beyond Milan criteria after hepatectomy

BACKGROUND

Hepatectomy for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) beyond the Milan criteria is shown to be beneficial. However, a high rate of post-operative HCC recurrence hinders the long-term survival of the patients. This study aimed to investigate and compare the impacts of tenofovir (TDF) and entecavir (ETV) on the recurrence of hepatitis B viral (HBV)-related HCC beyond the Milan criteria.

METHODS

Data pertaining to 1532 patients who underwent hepatectomy and received antiviral therapy between January 2014 and January 2019 were collected from five centers. Recurrence-free survival (RFS) analysis was performed using the Kaplan-Meier method. Cox proportional hazards regression analysis was performed to determine prognostic factors for HCC recurrence.

RESULTS

The analysis incorporates 595 HBV-related HCC patients. The overall 5-year RFS was 21.3%. Among them, 533 and 62 patients received ETV and TDF treatment, respectively. The 1-, 3-, and 5-year RFS rates were 46.3%, 27.4%, and 19.6%, respectively, in the ETV group compared with 65.1%, 41.8%, and 37.2%, respectively, in the TDF group (P < 0.001). Multivariate analysis showed that TDF treatment (hazard ratio [HR]: 0.604, P = 0.005), cirrhosis (HR: 1.557, P = 0.004), tumor size (HR: 1.037, P = 0.008), microvascular invasion (MVI) (HR: 1.403, P = 0.002), portal vein tumor thrombus (PVTT) (HR: 1.358, P = 0.012), capsular invasion (HR: 1.228, P = 0.040), and creatinine levels (CREA) (HR: 0.993, P = 0.031) were statistically significant prognostic factors associated with RFS.

CONCLUSIONS

Patients with HCC beyond the Milan criteria exhibited a high rate of HCC recurrence after hepatectomy. Compared to the ETV therapy, TDF administration significantly lowered the risk of HCC recurrence.

Baseline HBV-DNA load plus AST/ALT ratio predicts prognosis of HBV-related hepatocellular carcinoma after hepatectomy: A multicentre study

Hepatitis B viral (HBV) load and hepatic enzymes play a critical role in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) development. However, the clinical significance of these in HBV-related HCC patients after hepatectomy remains unclear. In this study, we analysed 1,940 HBV-related HCC patients who underwent hepatectomy from four hospitals in west China. Risk classification was constructed based on baseline HBV-DNA load and AST/ALT ratio. Based on the HBV-DNA load and AST/ALT ratio classification, four types with distinguishable prognoses were established. Type 1 patients had the best prognosis with 5-year overall survival (OS) of 69.8%, followed by type 2 and type 3 patients, whereas type 4 patients had the worst prognosis with 5-year OS of 42.7%. Similarly, the four types had statistically different recurrence-free survival. This classification was significantly associated with HCC recurrence (hazard ratio [HR]:1.492, p < .001) and long-term survival (HR: 1.574, p = .001). Pathologically, type 4 correlated with more advanced tumours considering tumour size and microvascular invasion than those in type 1, 2, or 3. Moreover, type 4 patients had more severe hepatic inflammation in underlying liver. Conversely, type 1 patients had an active tumour immune microenvironment as indicated by more CD8+ T cell infiltration and less PD-L1 expression. In conclusion, the classfication based on baseline HBV-DNA load and AST/ALT ratio could effectively stratify HBV-related HCC patients with distinguishable prognoses after hepatectomy.

Development of Models to Predict Postoperative Complications for Hepatitis B Virus-Related Hepatocellular Carcinoma

Background

Surgical treatment remains the best option for patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) caused by chronic hepatitis B virus (HBV) infection. However, there is no optimal tool based on readily accessible clinical parameters to predict postoperative complications. Herein, our study aimed to develop models that permitted risk of severe complications to be assessed before and after liver resection based on conventional variables.

Methods

A total of 1,047 patients treated by hepatectomy for HCC with HBV infection at three different centers were recruited retrospectively between July 1, 2014, and July 1, 2018. All surgical complications were recorded and scored by the Comprehensive Complication Index (CCI). A CCI ≥26.2 was used as a threshold to define patients with severe complications. We built two models for the CCI, one using preoperative and one using preoperative and postoperative data. Besides, CCI and other potentially relevant factors were evaluated for their ability to predict early recurrence and metastasis. All the findings were internally validated in the Hangzhou cohort and then externally validated in the Lanzhou and Urumqi cohorts.

Results

Multivariable analysis identified National Nosocomial Infections Surveillance (NNIS) index, tumor number, gamma-glutamyltransferase (GGT), total cholesterol (TC), potassium, and thrombin time as the key preoperative parameters related to perioperative complications. The nomogram based on the preoperative model [preoperative CCI After Surgery for Liver tumor (CCIASL-pre)] showed good discriminatory performance internally and externally. A more accurate model [postoperative CCI After Surgery for Liver tumor (CCIASL-post)] was established, combined with the other four postoperative predictors including leukocyte count, basophil count, erythrocyte count, and total bilirubin level. No significant association was observed between CCI and long-term complications.

Conclusion

Based on the widely available clinical data, statistical models were established to predict the complications after hepatectomy in patients with HBV infection. All the findings were extensively validated and shown to be applicable nationwide. Such models could be used as guidelines for surveillance follow-up and the design of post-resection adjuvant therapy.

Pathological predictive factors for late recurrence of hepatocellular carcinoma in chronic liver disease

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Late recurrence of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is regarded as de novo HCC from chronic hepatitis. This study investigated clinicopathological and molecular factors to develop a nomogram for predicting late HCC recurrence (>2 years after curative resection).

METHODS

The training and validation cohorts included HCC patients with a major aetiology of hepatitis B who underwent curative resection. Clinicopathological features including lobular and porto-periportal inflammatory activity, fibrosis and liver cell change were evaluated. Proteins encoded by genes related to late recurrence were identified using a reverse phase protein array of 95 non-tumourous liver tissues. Immunoexpression of phosphorylated signal transducer and activator of transcription 3 (pSTAT3), plasminogen activator inhibitor-1, phosphorylated extracellular signal-regulated kinase 1/2 (pERK1/2) and spleen tyrosine kinase (SYK) was measured.

RESULTS

Late recurrence occurred in 74/402 (18%) and 47/243 (19%) in the training and validation cohorts respectively. Cirrhosis, moderate/severe lobular inflammatory activity, and expression of pSTAT3, pERK1/2, and SYK proteins correlated to the gene signature of hepatocyte injury and regeneration were independently associated with late recurrence, with odds ratios (95% confidence intervals) of 2.0 (1.2-3.3), 21.1 (4.3-102.7) and 6.0 (2.1-17.7) respectively (P < .05 for all). A nomogram based on these variables (histological parameters and immunohistochemical marker combinations) showed high reliability in both the training and validation cohorts (Harrell's C index: 0.701 and 0.716; 95% confidence intervals: 0.64-0.76 and 0.64-0.79 respectively).

CONCLUSIONS

The combination of pSTAT3, pERK1/2 and SYK immunoexpression with high lobular inflammatory activity and cirrhosis (fibrosis) predicts late HCC recurrence.

Viral Biomarkers for Hepatitis B Virus-Related Hepatocellular Carcinoma Occurrence and Recurrence

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is the sixth most common cancer worldwide and the fourth leading cause of cancer-related death. The most common risk factor for developing HCC is chronic infection with hepatitis B virus (HBV). Early stages of HBV-related HCC (HBV-HCC) are generally asymptomatic. Moreover, while serum alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) and abdominal ultrasound are widely used to screen for HCC, they have poor sensitivity. Thus, HBV-HCC is frequently diagnosed at an advanced stage, in which there are limited treatment options and high mortality rates. Serum biomarkers with high sensitivity and specificity are crucial for earlier diagnosis of HCC and improving survival rates. As viral-host interactions are key determinants of pathogenesis, viral biomarkers may add greater diagnostic power for HCC than host biomarkers alone. In this review, we summarize recent research on using virus-derived biomarkers for predicting HCC occurrence and recurrence; including circulating viral DNA, RNA transcripts, and viral proteins. Combining these viral biomarkers with AFP and abdominal ultrasound could improve sensitivity and specificity of early diagnosis, increasing the survival of patients with HBV-HCC. In the future, as the mechanisms that drive HBV-HCC to become clearer, new biomarkers may be identified which can further improve early diagnosis of HBV-HCC.

Tertiary Prevention of HCC in Chronic Hepatitis B or C Infected Patients

Simple Summary

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) recurrence is the major obstacle concerning patients’ survival. Tertiary prevention by antiviral therapies could reduce HCC recurrence rate in both chronic hepatitis B virus (HBV) or hepatitis C virus (HCV) infected patients. In chronic hepatitis B (CHB) patients, nucleos(t)ide analogues (Nuc) provide a more effective HCC tertiary prevention effect than an interferon (IFN)-based regimen. In chronic hepatitis C (CHC) patients, the tertiary prevention effect by direct acting antiviral agents (DAAs) was reported non-inferior to that by IFN-based therapy. Chronic hepatitis C patients left untreated had the worst survival benefit as well as shorted recurrence-free interval than those treated by either type of antiviral regimen. Although the risk of HCC recurrence could only be decreased but not diminished by antiviral therapies due to host and microenvironmental factors beyond virus infection, antiviral therapy helps to preserve and improve liver function which makes multi-modality anticancer treatment feasible to improve survival.

Abstract

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) ranks as a leading cause of common cancer and cancer-related death. The major etiology of HCC is due to chronic hepatitis virus including HBV and HCV infections. Scheduled HCC surveillance in high risk populations improves the early detection rate and the feasibility of curative treatment. However, high HCC recurrence rate still accounts for the poor prognosis of HCC patients. In this article, we critically review the pathogenesis of viral hepatitis-related hepatocellular carcinoma and the evidence of tertiary prevention efficacy by current available antiviral treatment, and discuss the knowledge gap in viral hepatitis-related HCC tertiary prevention.

Artificial neural network model to predict post-hepatectomy early recurrence of hepatocellular carcinoma without macroscopic vascular invasion

BACKGROUND

The accurate prediction of post-hepatectomy early recurrence (PHER) of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is vital in determining postoperative adjuvant treatment and monitoring. This study aimed to develop and validate an artificial neural network (ANN) model to predict PHER in HCC patients without macroscopic vascular invasion.

METHODS

Nine hundred and three patients who underwent curative liver resection for HCC participated in this study. They were randomly divided into derivation (n = 679) and validation (n = 224) cohorts. The ANN model was developed in the derivation cohort and subsequently verified in the validation cohort.

RESULTS

PHER morbidity in the derivation and validation cohorts was 34.8 and 39.2%, respectively. A multivariable analysis revealed that hepatitis B virus deoxyribonucleic acid load, γ-glutamyl transpeptidase level, α-fetoprotein level, tumor size, tumor differentiation, microvascular invasion, satellite nodules, and blood loss were significantly associated with PHER. These factors were incorporated into an ANN model, which displayed greater discriminatory abilities than a Cox's proportional hazards model, preexisting recurrence models, and commonly used staging systems for predicting PHER. The recurrence-free survival curves were significantly different between patients that had been stratified into two risk groups.

CONCLUSION

When compared to other models and staging systems, the ANN model has a significant advantage in predicting PHER for HCC patients without macroscopic vascular invasion.

The Significance of Gamma-Glutamyl Transpeptidase to Lymphocyte Count Ratio in the Early Postoperative Recurrence Monitoring and Prognosis Prediction of AFP-Negative Hepatocellular Carcinoma

Background

Currently, there is still a lack of effective biomarkers for the recurrence monitoring and survival prognosis assessment of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients with alpha-fetoprotein (AFP)-negative (≤20 ng/mL) after radical resection.

Methods

The clinicopathological data of 606 patients (303 in the AFP-negative group and 303 in the AFP-positive group) who underwent radical resection of HCC were analyzed retrospectively.

Results

The gamma-glutamyl transpeptidase to lymphocyte count ratio (GLR) of patients in the AFP-negative group was lower than that in the AFP-positive group (p <0.001). The GLR level of the early-recurrence group was higher than that of the non-early-recurrence group (p =0.003). GLR had fair accuracy in predicting the early-recurrence of HCC patients [c-index=0.654 (95% CI=0.606–0.702); AUC=0.681 (95% CI=0.625–0.733)]. Univariate analysis showed that patients with tumor size <5 cm, no microvascular invasion, single tumor, no metastasis, BCLC stage 0–A, no recurrence, and GLR ≤45.0 had longer disease-free survival (DFS) and overall survival (OS) among AFP-negative HCC patients. In addition, multivariate Cox proportional hazards regression analysis showed that tumor size <5 cm (p =0.003), no recurrence (p <0.001), and GLR <45.0 (p <0.001) were independent predictors of longer OS.

Conclusion

GLR may be a potential indicator for early recurrence monitoring and prognosis evaluation in HCC patients with AFP-negative after radical resection.

Expression of hepatitis B surface antigen in liver tissues can serve as a predictor of prognosis for hepatitis B virus-related hepatocellular carcinoma patients after liver resection

BACKGROUND

Hepatitis B surface antigen (HBsAg) is a detectable index after hepatitis B virus (HBV) infection, which is a risk factor of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). However, few studies have focused on the expression of HBsAg in HCC patients' liver tissues. This study aimed to explore the potential utility of using HBsAg protein expression in normal liver tissues as a prognostic factor for HCC patients who underwent liver resection.

STUDY DESIGN

The study enrolled 100 HCC patients with seropositivity for HBsAg. The liver tissues were collected, and tissue microarrays were constructed. The expression of HBsAg in liver tissues were measured by immunohistochemistry (IHC). Relevant clinical data and follow-up records were collected for analysis.

RESULTS

HBsAg expressions was detected in 29 patients (positive group) and was unable to be detected in the remaining 71 patients (negative group). The patients in the positive group had higher HBV DNA levels (P < 0.05) than the patients in the negative group. The overall survival (OS) rate of the positive group was worse than the OS rate of the negative group (P = 0.013). The OS rates after resection at 1 and 2 years in negative group were 90.1% and 85.7%, respectively, while the value in the positive group were 79.3% and 65.5%, respectively. Multivariate analysis showed that HBsAg expression in liver tissues, ascites and alpha-fetoprotein levels were independent factors influencing OS. Similarly, after propensity score matching (PSM), the OS was worse in the positive group than in the negative group, and HBsAg expression could also serve as a predictor for OS (P = 0.039). The OS rates after resection and PSM at 1 and 2 years were 93.2% and 85.9% in the negative group, while the value in the positive group were 79.3% and 65.5%.

CONCLUSION

As determined according to grouping based on immunohistochemistry staining results for HBsAg, this study indicated that HBsAg expression in liver tissues could predict the OS of HBV-related HCC patients after liver resection.

Ideal Surgical Margin to Prevent Early Recurrence After Hepatic Resection for Hepatocellular Carcinoma

BACKGROUNDS AND AIMS

Postoperative early recurrence after hepatic resection for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) poses a challenge to surgeons, and the effect of a surgical margin is still controversial. This study aimed to identify an ideal margin to prevent early recurrence.

METHODS

A total of 226 consecutive patients who underwent primary curative hepatic resection for solitary and primary HCC were enrolled. The definition of early recurrence was determined using the minimum P value approach. Logistic regression analysis was used to identify the risk factors of early recurrence. The receiver-operating characteristic (ROC) curve was used to identify the optimal cut-off of the surgical margin and early recurrence.

RESULTS

Recurrence within 8 months induced the poorest overall survival (P = 2×10^-15). ROC analysis showed that the optimal cut-off value of the surgical margin was 7 mm. The risk factors of early recurrence (≤ 8-month recurrence) were preoperative alpha-fetoprotein levels ≥ 100 ng/ml (Odds ratio [OR] 4.92 [2.28-10.77], P < 0.0001) and a surgical margin < 7 mm (OR 3.09 [1.26-8.85], P = 0.01) by multivariable analysis. The probability of early recurrence ranged from 5.0% in the absence of any factors to 43.5% in the presence of both factors. Among patients with alpha-fetoprotein levels ≥ 100 ng/ml, non-capsule formation, or microvascular invasion, there was a significant difference in 5-year overall survival between surgical margins of < 7 mm and ≥ 7 mm.

CONCLUSIONS

A > 7-mm margin is important to prevent early recurrence. Patients with HCC and alpha-fetoprotein levels > 100 ng/ml, non-capsule formation, or microvascular invasion may have a survival benefit from a ≥ 7-mm margin.

Early and late recurrence of surgically resected hepatitis B virus-related hepatocellular carcinoma on nucleos(t)ide analogues therapy

BACKGROUND/PURPOSE

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is a highly recurrent tumor. Antiviral therapy with nucleos(t)ide analogues (NUCs) may reduce the risk of recurrence in hepatitis B virus (HBV)-related HCC. The risk factors associated with recurrence in HCC patients after surgical resection and with NUCs treatment should be delineated.

METHODS

Consecutive 339 HBV-related HCC patients receiving surgical resection of HCC with NUCs therapy (including 256 entecavir, 36 tenofovir, and 18 lamivudine) after the surgery were retrospectively reviewed. Factors related to the recurrence-free survival (RFS) and overall survival (OS) were evaluated.

RESULTS

After a median of 48.5 months of follow-up, 183 (54%) patients developed HCC recurrence, with the 5-year RFS of 42.8% and OS of 79%. Male gender (HR = 1.736, p = 0.037), baseline HBsAg level >200 IU/ml (HR = 1.748, p = 0.008), platelet count ≦100 (10⁹/L) (HR = 1.592, p = 0.023), presence of microscopic vascular invasion (MVI) (HR = 1.499, p = 0.026), safety cut margin of ≦0.5 cm (HR = 1.507, p = 0.013), and Ishak fibrosis score 5-6 (HR = 1.579, p = 0.009) were independent factors associated with RFS in multivariate analysis. While tumor burden, platelet count, MVI, and safety cut margin were factors associated with early recurrence; baseline HBsAg level, and platelet count were independent factors associated with late recurrence. Ishak fibrosis score 5-6, poor differentiation, MVI, diabetes mellitus were factors associated with OS in multivariate analysis.

CONCLUSION

For HBV-HCC patients on NUCs treatment, tumor factors are associated with early recurrence, while HBsAg level and thrombocytopenia determines late recurrence. For patient with a high baseline HBsAg level, warning of higher risk of recurrence is required even under NUCs treatment.

Baseline HBV Loads Do Not Affect the Prognosis of Patients with Hepatocellular Carcinoma Receiving Anti-Programmed Cell Death-1 Immunotherapy

Background

A high hepatitis B virus (HBV) load is a common exclusion criterion in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) clinical trials for anti-programmed cell death (PD)-1 immunotherapy. However, the validity of this criterion is barely verified. This study aimed to evaluate the impact of baseline HBV DNA levels and antiviral therapy on the oncological outcomes and liver functions of patients with HCC receiving anti-PD-1 immunotherapy.

Methods

We reviewed HCC trials related to anti-PD-(L)1 immunotherapy and whether they ruled out patients with increased HBV loads on clinicaltrials.gov. Then, for this retrospective study, we enrolled 253 HCC patients treated with anti-PD-1 blockade in our institution. Baseline information was compared between patients with low and high HBV loads. Overall survival (OS) and progression-free survival (PFS) were compared, and univariate and multivariate analyses were applied to identify potential risk factors for oncological outcomes and hepatic impairment.

Results

Among 76 HCC clinical trials including 13,927 patients receiving anti-PD-(L)1 blockade, 41 (53.9%) excluded patients with relatively high baseline HBV loads. The PFS and OS did not differ significantly between patients with baseline HBV loads ≤ 2000 IU/mL and those with viral loads >2000 IU/mL (p=0.615 and 0.982). The incidence of hepatic impairment showed no association with the baseline HBV load (p=0.319). Patients receiving antiviral therapy had a better OS than those without antiviral therapy in the high baseline HBV load group (p= 0.001).

Conclusion

High HBV loads did not compromise the clinical outcomes of HCC patients receiving anti-PD-1 blockade. Antiviral therapy could improve the OS of HCC patients with high HBV loads.

Current status of systemic therapy in hepatocellular cancer

Hepatocellular cancer (HCC) is a common cancer and an important cause of cancer-related death globally. Although surgery is the primary curative treatment, most patients at diagnosis are not surgical candidates and are treated with liver-directed therapy and or systemic therapy. Over the past decade, the systemic treatment options for patients with advanced HCC have evolved. This paper reviews recent progress in systemic therapy and the results of major clinical trials involving novel compounds in patients with HCC. A literature search was performed using keywords related to HCC and systemic therapy. The evidence shows that at the present time an effective adjuvant systemic therapy is not available for patients with early-stage HCC following surgery. In patients with advanced HCC, in addition to sorafenib at least four other targeted agents and several immune checkpoint inhibitors, alone or in combination have been shown to be associated with improved progression-free and overall survival. The optimal sequence of agents, is currently not known, and is determined by patient characteristics, toxicities profile, patients and physicians preference. The future identification of novel active agents and predictive biomarkers are vital to personalize systemic therapy in HCC.

Survival according to recurrence patterns after resection for transplantable hepatocellular carcinoma in HBV endemic area: Appraisal of liver transplantation strategy

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Since there is a shortage of liver donors, we investigated recurrence patterns and outcomes after liver resection (LR) to determine the feasibility of salvage liver transplantation (SLT).

METHODS

We analyzed 468 patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) within the Milan criteria (MC) who were mainly associated with Hepatitis B virus infection (76.3%) and had undergone curative LR as an initial treatment.

RESULTS

The overall survival (OS) rates were 86.6% and 67.4% at 5 and 10 years after LR, respectively. During a median follow-up of 59 months, 211 patients experienced recurrences including 175 (37.4%) within MC and 36 (7.7%) beyond MC. Survival was lowest in patients with beyond MC-recurrence followed by within MC- and no-recurrence groups (26.5%, 86.6%, and 94.7% at 5 years, respectively, P<0.001). Independent pathologic predictors of recurrence beyond MC were the presence of satellite nodules, microvascular invasion, and unfavorable gross findings (multinodular confluent and infiltrative) (all, P<0.05). Patients with all three risk factors experienced recurrence with the highest cumulative incidence of mortality. Among 173 patients with recurrence within MC, the cumulative incidence of HCC progression beyond MC despite resection and locoregional treatment (LRT) was 29% and 60% at 5 and 10 years after recurrence, respectively, and their 10-year OS rate was 25.8%.

CONCLUSION

Curative LR achieved a 5-year survival of>85% in patients with transplantable HCC, but early SLT after recurrence within MC is advocated because of poor survival and high risk of progression thereafter. Further, prophylactic LT could be considered for those with high risk of recurrence.