Projected future impact of HPV vaccination and primary HPV screening on cervical cancer rates from 2017-2035: Example from Australia

Advancing Cervical Cancer Prevention Equity: Innovations in Self-Sampling and Digital Health Technologies Across Healthcare Settings

Cervical cancer causes 350,000 deaths annually, with 90% occurring in low- and middle-income countries (LMICs), despite being largely preventable through vaccination and screening. This review examines innovative approaches to address screening coverage gaps worldwide, analysing both established programmes in high-income countries and implementation strategies for LMICs. Self-sampling technologies demonstrate significant potential to improve the uptake of cervical screening, thereby improving cervical cancer prevention compared to traditional methods, particularly benefiting underserved populations across all healthcare settings. Among self-collection devices, vaginal brushes achieve sensitivity of 94.6% (95% CI: 92.4-96.8) for HPV detection, while novel approaches like the tampon show promising results (sensitivity 82.9-100%, specificity 91.6-96.8%) with high user acceptability. Implementation strategies vary by healthcare context, with high-income countries achieving success through integrated screening programmes and digital solutions, while LMICs demonstrate effective adaptation through community-based distribution (20-35% uptake) and innovative delivery methods. In resource-limited settings, self-sampling increases participation through enhanced patient comfort and cultural acceptability, while reducing costs by 32-48%. Progress toward WHO's cervical cancer elimination goals require careful consideration of local healthcare infrastructure, cultural contexts and sustainable financing mechanisms. Future research priorities include optimising self-sampling technologies for sustainability and scalability, developing context-specific implementation strategies and validating artificial intelligence applications to enhance screening efficiency across diverse healthcare settings.

Predicted impact of HPV vaccination and primary HPV screening on precancer treatment rates and adverse pregnancy outcomes in Australia 2010-2070: Modelling in a high income, high vaccination coverage country with HPV-based cervical screening

BACKGROUND

Treatment of cervical precancer may be associated with an increased risk of adverse pregnancy outcomes. Australia introduced routine quadrivalent HPV vaccination (HPV4) in 2007, switching to nonavalent vaccination (HPV9) in 2018, and 5-yearly HPV screening in December 2017. We estimated the impact of HPV vaccination and HPV screening on precancer treatments, and thus on future preterm births (PTBs) and low birth weight (LBW) infants.

METHODS

Using a model of HPV infection, natural history, cervical screening and precancer treatment, coupled with a Monte-Carlo model of fertility and obstetric outcomes, we estimated rates and numbers of precancer cervical treatments, PTBs and LBW infants in women with singleton pregnancies in Australia from 2010 to 2070. These outcomes were estimated for four scenarios: i) a base scenario, assuming the current HPV screening and vaccination programs; and three alternative scenarios: ii) future twice-lifetime screening in cohorts offered HPV9; (iii) no HPV vaccination program introduced (counterfactual); and (iv) HPV4 was never replaced with HPV9 (counterfactual).

RESULTS

Precancer treatment rates are predicted to decrease by 82 % between 2010 and 2070 in the context of HPV9 vaccination and ongoing 5-yearly screening, with an additional 42 % reduction by changing to twice-lifetime screening in HPV9 cohorts. An estimated 800,388 treatments would be averted over 2010-2070 by HPV9 compared to no vaccination, 80 % of these due to vaccine protection against HPV16/18. These treatment reductions will result in 22,441 (32,011) fewer PTBs (LBW infants) over 2010-2070 due to vaccine protection against HPV16/18, and a further 4359 (6298) due to vaccine protection against HPV31/33/45/52/58. An additional 3174 (4621) events would be averted with future twice-lifetime screening in HPV9 cohorts.

CONCLUSION

This analysis demonstrates that the benefits of HPV vaccination programs extend beyond prevention of HPV-related disease. HPV vaccination will reduce PTBs and LBW infants, with a further reduction with future twice-lifetime screening for HPV9 cohorts.

Trends in Cervical Precancers Identified Through Population-Based Surveillance - Human Papillomavirus Vaccine Impact Monitoring Project, Five Sites, United States, 2008-2022

In 2006, human papillomavirus (HPV) vaccine was first recommended in the United States to prevent cancers and other diseases caused by HPV; vaccination coverage increased steadily through 2021, and increasing numbers of young women had received HPV vaccine as children or adolescents. Since 2008, CDC has monitored incidence of precancerous lesions (cervical intraepithelial neoplasia [CIN] grades 2-3 and adenocarcinoma in situ [AIS], collectively CIN2+), which are detected through cervical cancer screening and can be used as an intermediate outcome for monitoring vaccination impact, via the five-site Human Papillomavirus Vaccine Impact Monitoring Project. This analysis describes trends in incidence of CIN2+ and CIN3+ (i.e., CIN grade 3 and AIS) lesions during 2008-2022. Among women aged 20-24 years who were screened for cervical cancer, rates during 2008-2022 decreased for CIN2+ by 79%, and for CIN3+ by 80%. In the same period, CIN3+ rates among screened women aged 25-29 years decreased by 37%. These data are consistent with considerable impact of HPV vaccination for preventing cervical precancers among women in the age groups most likely to have been vaccinated, and support existing recommendations to vaccinate children at the routinely recommended ages as a cancer prevention measure.

Achieving cervical cancer elimination: The simulated impacts of HPV vaccination and transitioning from liquid-based cytology to HPV-based screening test

The Ministry of Health Malaysia aims to fully replace liquid-based cytology (LBC) with Human Papillomavirus (HPV) tests and increase the screening coverage from a baseline of 25% to 40% by 2023, followed by a 10% yearly increment until 70% coverage. This transition requires proper planning, including the number of tests needed and budget allocation. This study aims to simulate different transition strategies involving the shift from LBC to HPV testing with expanded screening coverage to predict their impact on cervical cancer elimination in Malaysia. A system dynamics model was developed to simulate the transition from LBC to HPV testing and HPV vaccination coverage in Malaysia. The dynamic model utilised local epidemiological data, published research, and expert opinion when data was unavailable. The simulation showed that a combination of high HPV vaccination coverage and transitioning fully to five-yearly HPV testing by 2030, coupled with a 70% screening uptake by 2040, would accelerate cancer elimination in Malaysia by 18 years with an estimated screening cost of MYR1.81 billion equivalent to USD 411 millions compared to the baseline of using LBC as the primary screening method (MYR1.39 billion, USD 315 millions). Sustained, it would lead to averting 6,000 new cancer cases by 2070. Alternatively, conducting HPV screenings twice before age 50 would advance cervical cancer elimination by 14 years and prevent approximately 1000 new cases by 2070, with an estimated cost of MYR1.13 billion equivalent to USD 257 millions. A delay in achieving the full transition prolonged the elimination more than a delay in increasing the screening coverage. In all scenarios, yearly vaccination of 90% of girls age 13 is crucial to achieving elimination. In the Malaysian context, where HPV vaccination coverage has reached considerable levels, the evidence advocates for a full transition from LBC to HPV testing, ideally by 2030. While expanding screening coverage remains a critical factor in this endeavour, the findings unequivocally endorse prioritising the transition process. Trial registration: Trial registration number: NMRR ID-22-00187-DJU.

Primary cancer prevention for cancers with no known infectious etiology: Time for a new paradigm

Vaccines developed for hepatitis B and human papilloma virus infections have been very successful in reducing the burden of cancer due to these infections. In the past decade, our understanding of the immunology of cancer has greatly improved and important progress has been made in the use of immunotherapy for several cancers. However, for the majority of cancers, an infectious etiology is either unknown or does not exist. Prostate cancer, for which no infectious etiology is known, is the most common cancer in men in the United States. Here we discuss the rationale for developing a preventive vaccine for prostate cancer, discuss a possible approach for further work in this area and a means of testing the effectiveness of a prostate cancer prevention vaccine in a clinical trial.

The impact of alternate HPV vaccination and cervical screening strategies in Japan: a cost-effectiveness analysis

Background

The Japanese 2020 cervical screening guidelines recommend conventional cervical cytology screening every 2-years for women aged 20-69 years. The nonavalent human papillomavirus (HPV) vaccine has also recently been approved in Japan. We therefore evaluated the cost-effectiveness of cervical cancer screening strategies alongside universal nonavalent HPV vaccination of girls (12-16 years).

Methods

A cost-effectiveness analysis was performed using an age-specific Markov microsimulation model for Japan to evaluate total costs, quality adjusted life-years (QALYs) gained, incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICER), colposcopies, biopsies, precancer and cervical cancer treatments for 29 combined vaccination and screening strategies (conventional cytology, liquid-based cytology (LBC), HPV testing, and HPV self-collection). A cohort of 100,000 girls (12-16 years old) over a lifetime offered the nonavalent HPV vaccine was used (current vaccination coverage = 0.08%, current screening coverage = 43.7%). A discount rate of 3% was applied to costs and QALYs. Univariate and probabilistic sensitivity analysis was performed to assess robustness of the findings. Costs were reported in US dollars (2023).

Findings

Compared with conventional cytology, evaluated strategies would incur an additional cost of US$839,280-738,182,669 and gain 62,755-247,347 quality-adjusted-life-years. HPV testing distinguishing HPV16/18 with reflex LBC (3-yearly) would be most cost-effective (ICER = US$7511 per QALY gained). At a willingness-to-pay (WTP) of 1-times gross domestic product (GDP) per capita, the probability of it being cost-effective was 70%. At historically high vaccination coverage (70%) ICERs decreased overall but did not affect the ranking of the most cost-effective strategy. While a 5-yearly interval became more cost-effective than a 3-yearly interval. Including HPV self-collection for under-screened women made all strategies more cost-effective.

Interpretation

At current cervical screening participation (43.7%) and low vaccination coverage (<1.0%), HPV testing distinguishing HPV16/18 with reflex LBC (3-yearly) would be the most cost-effective screening strategy compared to conventional cytology (2-yearly).

Funding

Grants-in-Aid for Scientific Research from the Japan Society for the Promotion of Science (17H03589) and Grants of the National Cancer Center Japan (Gan Kenkyu Kaihatsuhi 31-A-20 and 2023-A-23).

Benefits, harms and cost-effectiveness of cervical screening, triage and treatment strategies for women in the general population

In 2020, the World Health Organization (WHO) launched a strategy to eliminate cervical cancer as a public health problem. To support the strategy, the WHO published updated cervical screening guidelines in 2021. To inform this update, we used an established modeling platform, Policy1-Cervix, to evaluate the impact of seven primary screening scenarios across 78 low- and lower-middle-income countries (LMICs) for the general population of women. Assuming 70% coverage, we found that primary human papillomavirus (HPV) screening approaches were the most effective and cost-effective, reducing cervical cancer age-standardized mortality rates by 63-67% when offered every 5 years. Strategies involving triaging women before treatment (with 16/18 genotyping, cytology, visual inspection with acetic acid (VIA) or colposcopy) had close-to-similar effectiveness to HPV screening without triage and fewer pre-cancer treatments. Screening with VIA or cytology every 3 years was less effective and less cost-effective than HPV screening every 5 years. Furthermore, VIA generated more than double the number of pre-cancer treatments compared to HPV. In conclusion, primary HPV screening is the most effective, cost-effective and efficient cervical screening option in LMICs. These findings have directly informed WHO's updated cervical screening guidelines for the general population of women, which recommend primary HPV screening in a screen-and-treat or screen-triage-and-treat approach, starting from age 30 years with screening every 5 years or 10 years.

Awareness and attitudes towards the revised National Cervical Screening Program amongst women in rural New South Wales: a cross-sectional study

BACKGROUND

Research exploring awareness and attitudes towards the revised National Cervical Screening Program (NCSP) amongst rural Australian women is limited. Given the increased incidence and mortality from cervical cancer in rural Australian women, this gap needs attention. This study examined awareness and attitudes of women in rural New South Wales (NSW) towards the revised NCSP.

METHODS

A cross-sectional survey was conducted with women aged 18-74years currently residing in the Western NSW Primary Health Network region. The anonymous survey was distributed online via social media and email to eligible women.

RESULTS

In total, 309 rural women participated. The majority were 30-39years old (35.9%) and had completed tertiary education (73.1%), figures which are higher than average for this rural region. Of these, 51.8% (160/309) were aware there had been a change to the NCSP. This information most commonly came from their healthcare provider (57.5%; 82/160). Three-quarters reported being happy or neutral with the change (76.1%; 235/309). Those who were aware of the revised NCSP were more likely to have a positive attitude toward it (P =0.02). Fewer participants reported that they were never/unlikely to participate in screening under the revised NCSP (4.8%, 9/309) as compared to the previous program (15.5%, 48/309) after being provided with information about the revised NCSP. Women who reported an abnormal result under the previous NCSP were more likely to be concerned about the revised NCSP (P =0.037), in particular the starting age of 25years (P =0.007) and the 5-yearly screening interval (P =0.008).

CONCLUSION

Awareness and knowledge levels play an important role in attitudes towards the revised NCSP in rural women. Strategies to increase participation rates should therefore target these areas. Healthcare professionals can take a central role in this information sharing process.

Proposal for a descriptive and differentiated presentation of the longitudinal impact of the new organized cancer screening guideline and HPV vaccination in Germany

INTRODUCTION

Since 01/01/2020, the cervical cancer screening in Germany has been carried out due to the organized early cancer diagnosis guideline (oKFE-RL). In 2007, HPV vaccination was initiated in Germany. The main goal of both initiatives is to further reduce the incidence of invasive cervical cancer. To assess the effect of the new screening strategy in a timely manner, monitoring of short-term changes need to be considered. Ideally, the effects of both prevention methods would be presented together in one model.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Because no change in the incidence of invasive cervical cancer is initially expected, the incidence of CIN 3 is used as a surrogate parameter to assess the effects of the prevention efforts. Based on expected additional effects of vaccination and co-testing, a model-based estimation of the expected CIN 3 incidence during the evaluation of the screening program is performed using the CIN 3 incidence in the Saarland population.

MODELING RESULTS

The oKFE-RL provides for two groups: Primary cytodiagnosis continues until 35 years of age. Here, in the next few years, CIN 3 incidence will be reduced not by the oKFE-RL but by the increasing proportion of vaccinated women. In the group over 35 years, co-testing was introduced with a stringent algorithm. Due to the higher sensitivity of the HPV test, significantly more CIN 3 are detected in the first round of 3 years and thus, the CIN 3 incidence initially increases. As these CIN 3 are absent in the second round, significantly fewer CIN 3 cases will be detected then. These effects suggest a global decrease in CIN 3 incidence of 25.8% after 6 years.

CONCLUSION

Observation of the age distribution curve of CIN 3 allows both effects of prevention to be assessed in a timely manner and separately. In the future, data from epidemiologic cancer registries should be incorporated into the model to replace modeling with real data.

Individual and intimate-partner factors associated with cervical cancer screening in Central Uganda

Intimate-partner factors have a significant effect on the uptake of services that affect maternal reproductive health outcomes. There is limited research on intimate-partner factors associated with cervical cancer screening. Therefore, this article examines the intimate-partner correlates of cervical cancer screening among married women in Central Uganda. We conducted a cross-sectional survey in Wakiso and Nakasongola districts in Central Uganda. A total of 656 married women aged 25–49 participated in the study. Frequency distributions for descriptive statistics and Pearson chi-squared tests were done to identify the association of selected individual explanatory variables and intimate-partner factors with cervical cancer screening. Finally, multivariable complementary log-log regressions were used to estimate intimate-partner factors associated with women’s cervical cancer screening uptake in Central Uganda. About 2 in 10 (20%) of the participants had been screened for cervical cancer. The following characteristics when examined separately in relation to the uptake of cervical cancer screening service and were significant: woman’s age, education attainment, occupation, wealth index, parity, male partner’s age, and male partner’s emotional support. After adjusting for independent factors, cervical cancer screening was significantly associated with women who had; attained secondary (AOR = 2.19; CI 1.18–4.06) compared to none/ primary education, and received partner’s emotional support (AOR = 30.06; CI 13.44–67.20) compared to those who did not receive partner’s emotional support. In Central Uganda, cervical cancer screening among married women was significantly associated with women’s education, and partner’s emotional support. These factors point to the importance of intimate-partner factors. Therefore, more effort should be directed at encouraging men’s participation. This should be supplemented with empowering women through education to increase uptake of screening services.

Evaluation of Urine and Vaginal Self-Sampling versus Clinician-Based Sampling for Cervical Cancer Screening: A Field Comparison of the Acceptability of Three Sampling Tests in a Rural Community of Cuenca, Ecuador

Self-sampling methods for HPV testing have been demonstrated to be highly sensitive and specific. The implementation of these methods in settings with a lack of infrastructure or medical attention has been shown to increase the coverage of cervical cancer screening and detect cervical abnormalities in the early stages. The aim of this study is to compare the acceptability of urine and vaginal self-sampling methods versus clinician sampling among rural women. A total of 120 women participated. Each participant self-collected urine and vaginal samples and underwent clinician sampling for Pap smear and HPV testing. After the sample collection, a questionnaire to qualify the device, technique, and individual acceptability was applied, and the additional overall preference of three sample tests was evaluated. Results: The characteristics of the participants were as follows: median age of 35 years; 40.8% were married; 46.7% had a primary level of education; median age of sexual onset of 17.6 years. Compared with clinician sampling, both vaginal self-sampling, OR 20.12 (7.67–52.8), and urine sampling, OR 16.63 (6.79–40.72), were more comfortable; granted more privacy: vaginal self-sampling, OR 8.07 (3.44–18.93), and urine sampling, OR 19.5 (5.83–65.21); were less painful: vaginal self-sampling, OR 0.07 (0.03–0.16), and urine sampling, OR 0.01 (0–0.06); were less difficult to apply: vaginal self-sampling, OR 0.16 (0.07–0.34), and urine sampling, OR 0.05 (0.01–0.17). The overall preference has shown an advantage for vaginal self-sampling, OR 4.97 (2.71–9.12). No statistically significant preference was demonstrated with urine self-sampling versus clinician sampling. Conclusions: Self-sampling methods have a high acceptance in rural communities. Doubts on the reliability of self-sampling often appear to be a limitation on its acceptability. However, the training and education of the community could increase the uptake of these methods.

Comprehensive Analysis of N6-Methyladenosine (m6A) Writers, Erasers, and Readers in Cervical Cancer

There is growing scientific evidence for the crucial role of post-transcriptional RNA modifications in carcinogenesis, progression, metastasis, and drug resistance across various cancer entities. N6-methyladenosine (m6A) is the most abundant type of RNA modification. m6A is coordinated by a dynamic interplay of ‘writers’ (METTL3, METTL4, METTL14, WTAP, KIAA1429), ‘erasers’ (FTO, ALKBH5), and ‘readers’ (HNRNPA2B1, HNRNPC, YTHDC1, YTHDC1, YTHDF1-3). In this study, we comprehensively examined protein and mRNA expression levels of m6A writers, readers, and erasers in two cervical cancer (CC) cohorts (UHB CC cohort, N = 118; TCGA CC cohort, N = 307) with regard to clinical outcomes. In the UHB CC cohort, high protein expression levels of METTL14 (p = 0.016), WTAP (p = 0.007), KIAA1439 (p < 0.001), ALKBH5 (p < 0.001), HNRNPC (p = 0.012), YTHDC1 (p < 0.001), and YTHDF3 (p = 0.004) were significantly associated with a shorter overall survival (OS). In the TCGA CC cohort, mRNA expression levels of METTL14 (p = 0.012), WTAP (p = 0.041), KIAA1429 (p = 0.016), and YTHDC1 (p = 0.026) showed prognostic values. However, after correction for multiple testing, statistical significance remained only for m6A protein expression levels (q < 0.1). Our study points towards dysregulated m6A modification in CC. Hence, m6A might serve as a promising prognostic biomarker and therapeutical target in CC.

What do South Asian immigrant women know about HPV, cervical cancer and its early detection: A cross-sectional Australian study

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Low HPV and cervical cancer knowledge levels among South Asian immigrant women.

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One third participants aware of the renewed cervical screening program changes.

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Screening uptake significantly associated with HPV and cervical cancer awareness.

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GP discussion on the topic found to have important role in increasing knowledge.

Cervical cancer commonly caused by Human Papillomavirus (HPV) imposes a significant burden in Asia. This study examined the awareness and knowledge of HPV, cervical cancer, and its early detection methods among South Asian immigrant women in Australia to determine factors associated with knowledge deficits. A cross-sectional internet-based survey was completed by a convenience sample of women (n=148), with South-Asian background, residing in Queensland during May-October 2019. Main outcome variables were awareness of HPV, cervical cancer, cervical screening test (Pap test and HPV test) and HPV test self-sampling availability (Yes/No). HPV and cervical cancer knowledge were assessed via 16-item and 20 item aggregated scales respectively, (higher scores indicating better knowledge). Five individual items queried knowledge of the Pap and HPV test, and one item actual cervical screening uptake. One-way ANOVA was used to study differences in HPV and cervical cancer knowledge among sociodemographic groups. Of 148 participating women, 55% (n=86) had heard of HPV, 77% (n=114) of cervical cancer and 81.8% (n=121) of Pap tests. Only one third of participants (n=49) were aware that now an HPV test is used for cervical screening and 10% (n=15) of its self-sampling availability, whereas 55.4% (n=82) reported participation in screening previously. The mean HPV knowledge score was 5.3 (S.D: 5.7) and mean cervical cancer knowledge score 9.8 (S.D: 6.5) with zero being the most common score on both scales. Higher knowledge scores were significantly associated with higher educational level, English language proficiency, discussion with a GP on the topic and previous participation in screening. The majority of participants lacked detailed knowledge about the available screening tests. This study identified key target groups for future interventions.

Rates of oropharyngeal cancer continue to rise steeply amongst Australian men

OBJECTIVE

To analyse trends in incidence of oropharyngeal cancers (OPC) across Australia from 1982 to 2017 with implications for prevention.

METHODS

Data were obtained from the Australian Cancer Database (ACD) compiled at the Australian Institute of Health and Welfare (AIHW). Joinpoint analyses are presented.

RESULTS AND DISCUSSION

A striking increase of age-standardised incidence rate (ASIR) of OPC by over 1.5 times: the most significant rise was between 2007 and 2017 with an annual percentage change (APC) of +5.24% (p<0.001). Slow but gradual growth of ASIR was observed among women with a statistically significant APC of +1.02% (p<0.001). Statistically significant bimodal increasing trends of APC were also observed in total ASIR of OPC. These rising trends are widely attributed to increased oral sex practices. Highest number of incident cases were found in patients aged 55 to 69 years old attributable to continued alcohol and tobacco exposure. Most common subsites affected were base of tongue (BOT) and "oropharynx" from 1982 to 2017.

CONCLUSION

OPC is rising rapidly across Australia, particularly in men. Whilst the national proportion of cases driven by HPV is not known, it is evident that vaccination is yet to have an impact.

National experience in the first two years of primary human papillomavirus (HPV) cervical screening in an HPV vaccinated population in Australia: observational study

OBJECTIVE

To review the first two years of the primary human papillomavirus (HPV) cervical screening programme in an HPV vaccinated population.

DESIGN

Observational study.

SETTING

Australia.

PARTICIPANTS

3 745 318 women with a primary HPV test between 1 December 2017 and 31 December 2019; most women aged <40 years had previously been offered vaccination against HPV16 and HPV18.

INTERVENTIONS

Primary HPV screening with referral if HPV16 or HPV18 (HPV16/18) positive and triage with liquid based cytology testing (threshold atypical squamous cells-cannot exclude high grade squamous intraepithelial lesion) for women who were positive for high risk HPV types other than 16/18. A 12 month follow-up HPV test was recommended in triaged women with a negative or low grade cytology result, with referral if they tested positive for any high risk HPV type at follow-up.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

Proportion of women who had attended for their first HPV screening test, tested positive, and were referred for colposcopy; and short term risk of detecting cervical intraepithelial neoplasia (CIN) grade 2 or worse, CIN grade 3 or worse, or cancer.

RESULTS

54.6% (n=3 507 281) of an estimated 6 428 677 eligible women aged 25-69 had undergone their first HPV test by the end of 2019. Among those attending for routine screening, positivity for HPV16/18 and for HPV types not 16/18 was, respectively, 2.0% and 6.6% in women aged 25-69 (n=3 045 844) and 2.2% and 13.3% in highly vaccinated cohorts of women aged 25-34 (n=768 362). Colposcopy referral (ages 25-69 years) was 3.5%, increasing to an estimated 6.2% after accounting for women who had not yet had a 12 month repeat test. Cervical cancer was detected in 0.98% (456/46 330) of women positive for HPV16/18 at baseline, including 0.32% (89/28 003) of women with HPV16/18 and negative cytology. Women with HPV types not 16/18 and negative or low grade cytology at both baseline and 12 months were at low risk of serious disease (3.4% CIN grade 3 or worse; 0.02% cancer; n=20 019) but estimated to account for 62.0% of referrals for this screening algorithm.

CONCLUSIONS

Colposcopy referral thresholds need to consider underlying cancer risk; on this basis, women with HPV16/18 in the first round of HPV screening were found to be at higher risk regardless of cytology result, even in a previously well screened population. Women with HPV types not 16/18 and negative or low grade cytology showed a low risk of serious abnormalities but constitute most referrals and could be managed safely with two rounds of repeat HPV testing rather than one. HPV16/18 driven referrals were low in HPV vaccinated cohorts.

Preventing Cervical Cancer Globally: Are We Making Progress?

An unacceptable number of women continue to die from cervical cancer around the world each year. Despite established primary and secondary prevention measures, and a natural history of disease which provides a long latent phase in which to intervene, there are still more than 500,000 women diagnosed with cervical cancer globally each year, and 300,000 related deaths. Approximately 90% of these cervical cancer cases and deaths occur in low- and middle-income countries (LMIC). The World Health Organization (WHO) recently launched a Global Strategy to Accelerate the Elimination of Cervical Cancer that outlines 3 key steps: (i) vaccination against human papillomavirus (HPV); (ii) cervical screening; and (iii) treatment of precancerous lesions and management of invasive cancer. Successful implementation of all 3 steps could reduce more than 40% of new cervical cancer cases and 5 million related deaths by 2050. However, this initiative requires high level commitment to HPV immunization programs, innovative approaches to screening, and strengthening of health systems to provide treatment for both precancerous lesions as well as invasive cervical cancer.

Evaluation of partial genotyping with HPV16/18 for triage of HPV positive, cytology negative women in the COMPACT study

Objective

While cytology-based screening programs have significantly reduced mortality and morbidity from cervical cancer, the global consensus is that primary human papillomavirus (HPV) testing increases detection of high-grade cervical intraepithelial neoplasia (CIN) and invasive cancer. However, the optimal triage strategy for HPV+ women to avoid over-referral to colposcopy may be setting specific. We compared absolute and relative risk (RR) of >CIN2/3 within 12 months of a negative cytologic result in women HPV16/18+ compared to those with a 12-other high-risk HPV (hrHPV) genotype to identify women at greatest risk of high-grade disease and permit less aggressive management of women with other hrHPV infections.

Methods

Participants were 14,160 women aged 25–69 years with negative cytology participating in the COMparison of HPV genotyping And Cytology Triage (COMPACT) study. Women who were HPV16/18+ were referred to colposcopy. Those with a 12-other hrHPV type underwent repeat cytology after 6 months and those with >abnormal squamous cells of undetermined significance went to colposcopy.

Results

Absolute risk of >CIN2 in HPV16/18+ women was 19.5% (95% CI=12.4%–29.4%). In women 25–29 years and HPV16+ it was 40.0% (95% CI=11.8%–76.9%). Absolute risk of >CIN3 in women HPV16/18+ was 11.0% (95% CI=5.9%–19.6%). For women 30–39 years and HPV16+ it was 23.1% (95% CI=5.0%–53.8%). Overall risk of >CIN2, >CIN3 in women with a 12-other hrHPV HPV type was 5.6% (95% CI=3.1%–10.0%) and 3.4% (95% CI=1.6%–7.2%) respectively. RR of >CIN2, >CIN3 in HPV16/18+ vs. 12-other hrHPV was 3.5 (95% CI=1.7–7.3) and 3.3 (95% CI=1.2–8.8), respectively.

Conclusion

Primary HPV screening with HPV16/18 partial genotyping is a promising strategy to identify women at current/future risk of >CIN2 in Japan without over-referral to colposcopy.

Trial Registration

UMIN Clinical Trials Registry Identifier: UMIN000013203

Cancer of the cervix uteri: 2021 update

Since the publication of the 2018 FIGO Cancer Report, giant strides have been made in the global effort to reduce the burden of cervical cancer, with the World Health Organization (WHO) rolling out a global strategy for cervical cancer elimination, aiming for implementation by 2030. In over 130 countries, including low- and middle-income countries, HPV vaccination is now included in the national program. Screening has seen major advances with wider implementation of HPV testing. These interventions will take a few years to show their impact. Meanwhile, over half a million new cases are added each year. FIGO's revised staging of cervical cancer (2018) has been widely implemented and retrospective analyses of data based on the new staging have been published. Minimally invasive surgery has been shown to be disadvantageous in women with cervical cancer. This chapter discusses the management of cervical cancer based on the stage of disease, including attention to palliation and quality of life issues.

Increases in Human Papillomavirus Testing Preceding Diagnosis of Cervical Precancer in 5 US States, 2008-2016

OBJECTIVE

The aim of the study was to describe trends in human papillomavirus (HPV) testing preceding diagnosis of cervical precancer during a time of changing screening recommendations.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

We conducted a cross-sectional analysis of data from active, population-based, laboratory surveillance among 1.5 million residents of 5 areas in the United States. We included women aged 21-39 years diagnosed with cervical intraepithelial neoplasia grades 2, 2/3, or 3 or adenocarcinoma in situ (collectively, CIN2+) during 2008-2016, who had a cytology and/or HPV test before diagnosis (n = 16,359).

RESULTS

The proportion of women with an HPV test preceding CIN2+ increased from 42.9% in 2008 to 73.3% in 2016 (p < .01); testing increased in all age groups (21-24 y: 35.3% to 47.6%, 25-29 y: 40.9% to 64.1%, 30-39 y: 51.7% to 85.9%, all p < .01). The HPV testing varied by cytology result and was highest among women with atypical squamous cells of unknown significance (n = 4,310/4,629, 93.1%), negative for intraepithelial lesion or malignancy (n = 446/517, 86.3%), and atypical glandular cells (n = 145/257, 56.4%). By 2016, at least half of all cases in every surveillance area had an HPV test before diagnosis.

CONCLUSIONS

During 2008-2016, the proportion of women with an HPV test preceding CIN2+ increased significantly for all age groups, cytology results, and surveillance areas. By 2016, most (85.9%) women aged 30-39 years had an HPV test, consistent with recommendations. Increasing utilization of HPV tests, which have demonstrated improved sensitivity for detecting cervical disease, may in part explain increasing rates of cervical precancer among women 30 years and older.

Cervical Cancer Screening Among Immigrant Women Residing in Australia: A Systematic Review

Since the introduction of systematic population-based cervical cancer screening in Australia in 1991, age-standardized incidence of cervical cancer has halved. Given recent advances in human papillomavirus (HPV) vaccination and screening, cervical cancer may be eliminated nationally within 20 years. However, immigrant women are not equitably reached by screening efforts. This study systematically reviewed evidence on cervical cancer screening practices among immigrant women in Australia. A systematic search of MEDLINE, Embase, PubMed, CINAHL, and PsycINFO and gray literature for English language studies published till March 1, 2019, was conducted. Observational and qualitative studies evaluating cervical cancer screening awareness and participation of immigrant women were screened. Of 125 potentially relevant studies, 25 were eligible: 16 quantitative (4 cohort, 12 cross-sectional), 6 qualitative, and 3 mixed-methods studies. Quantitative studies indicated 1% to 16% lower screening rates among migrant women compared with Australian-born women, with participation of South Asian women being significantly lower (odds ratio = 0.54, 95% confidence interval = 0.48-0.61). Qualitative studies illustrated factors affecting women's willingness to participate in screening, including insufficient knowledge, low-risk perception, and unavailability of a female health professionals being key barriers. Future studies should focus on South Asian women, due to recent increase in their immigration.

Elimination of cervical cancer in Tanzania: Modelled analysis of elimination in the context of endemic HIV infection and active HIV control

The World Health Organisation (WHO) has launched a strategic initiative for cervical cancer (CC) elimination which involves scaling up three interventions: human papillomavirus (HPV) vaccination, twice-lifetime HPV-screening screening and pre-cancer/cancer treatment by 2030. CC is challenging to control in countries with endemic human immunodeficiency virus (HIV), as women living with HIV (WLHIV) are at elevated risk of HPV infection, persistence and progression. This analysis estimated the impact of the elimination interventions on CC incidence and mortality but additionally considered more intensive screening for WLHIV, using Tanzania as an example. A dynamic HIV/HPV model was used to simulate the elimination strategy for vaccination, screening and pre-cancer/cancer treatment, with 3-yearly HPV-screening in WLHIV starting at age 25 years, in the context of sustained HIV control in Tanzania from 2020 to 2119. Without vaccination or HPV screening, CC incidence rates per 100 000 women are predicted to fall from 58.0 in 2020 to 41.6 (range: 39.1-44.7) in 2119, due to existing HIV control. HPV vaccination and twice-lifetime HPV-screening for the general population and 3-yearly screening for WLHIV, would reduce CC incidence to 1.3 (range: 1.3-2.5) by 2119, with elimination (<4/100 000) in 2076 (range: 2076-2092). CC mortality rates per 100 000 women are predicted to reach 1.1 (range: 1.1-2.1) with further reductions contingent on increased CC treatment access. Vaccination and 3-yearly HPV-screening for WLHIV is predicted to achieve elimination in the subgroup of WLHIV potentially as early as 2061 (range: 2061-2078), with a 2119 CC incidence rate of 1.7 (range: 1.7-3.3). Scaling-up vaccination and HPV-screening will substantially reduce CC incidence in Tanzania, with elimination predicted within a century. Three-yearly HPV-screening and HPV vaccination, at high coverage rates, would facilitate CC elimination among WLHIV, and thus accelerate elimination in the overall population.

Impact and cost-effectiveness of strategies to accelerate cervical cancer elimination: A model-based analysis

Following the global call for action by the World Health Organization to eliminate cervical cancer (CC), we evaluated how each CC policy decision in Norway influenced the timing of CC elimination, and whether introducing nonavalent human papillomavirus (HPV) vaccine would accelerate elimination timing and be cost-effective. We used a multi-modeling approach that captured HPV transmission and cervical carcinogenesis to estimate the CC incidence associated with six past and future CC prevention policy decisions compared with a pre-vaccination scenario involving 3-yearly cytology-based screening. Scenarios examined the introduction of routine HPV vaccination of 12-year-old girls with quadrivalent vaccine in 2009, a temporary catch-up program for females aged up to 26 years in 2016-2018 with bivalent vaccine, the universal switch to bivalent vaccine in 2017, expansion to include 12-year-old boys in 2018, the switch from cytology- to HPV-based screening for women aged 34-69 in 2020, and the potential switch to nonavalent vaccine in 2021. Introducing routine female vaccination in 2009 enabled elimination to be achieved by 2056 and prevented 17,300 cases. Cumulatively, subsequent policy decisions accelerated elimination to 2039. According to our modeling assumptions, switching to the nonavalent vaccine would not be considered 'good value for money' at relevant cost-effectiveness thresholds in Norway unless the incremental cost was $19 per dose or less (range: $17-24) compared to the bivalent vaccine. CC control policies implemented over the last decade in Norway may have accelerated the timeframe to elimination by more than 17 years and prevented over 23,800 cases by 2110.

A systematic review of the barriers to implementing human papillomavirus vaccination programs in low- and middle-income countries in the Asia-Pacific

AIM

The increasing burden of human papillomavirus (HPV)-related diseases in low- and middle-income countries (LMICs) could be alleviated by effective HPV vaccination programs. In this systematic review, we examined barriers to introduction, implementation, and/or sustainability of HPV vaccination programs in LMICs in the Asia-Pacific region (AP-LMICs).

METHODS

A systematic search of literature from the past 10 years (2010-2019) was performed through PubMed, Cochrane CENTRAL, and Google Scholar. Studies were included if they reported barriers to HPV vaccination in AP-LMICs. All study designs were included except commentaries and editorials. The journal articles were assessed using the Joanna Briggs Institute critical appraisal checklists.

RESULTS

A total of 46 eligible articles were included. An increase in publications was noted from 2010 to 2019. Barriers were diverse and were classified into four levels--government, healthcare providers (HCPs), society, and individual. The top specific barriers that were identified across AP-LMICs are lack of funding and political support at the government level, lack of awareness among HCP and lack of vaccination programs at the level of health providers, and the perceived cost/benefit ratio for the individual level.

CONCLUSION

Barriers to successful implementation of HPV vaccination programs differ among Asia-Pacific LMICs. Policymakers will need to evaluate the relative importance of these barriers in their target areas and population in order to draft an effective dissemination and implementation strategy.

Comparison of cytology and human papillomavirus-based primary testing in cervical screening programs in the Nordic countries

OBJECTIVE

To compare primary test positivity in cytology and human papillomavirus-based screening between different Nordic cervical cancer screening programs using harmonized register data.

METHODS

This study utilized individual-level data available in national databases in Finland, Iceland, Norway, and Sweden. Cervical test data from each country were converted to standard format and aggregated by calculating the number of test episodes for every test result for each calendar year and one-year age group and test method. Test positivity was estimated as the proportion of positive test results of all primary test episodes with a valid test result for "any positive" and "clearly positive" results.

RESULTS

The age-adjusted rate ratio for any positive test results in primary human papillomavirus-based screening compared to cytology was 1.66 (95% CI 1.64-1.68). The age-adjusted rate ratio for clearly positive test results was 1.02 (95% CI 1.00-1.05). A decreasing rate ratio by age was seen in both any positive and clearly positive test results. Test positivity increased over time in Iceland, Norway, and Sweden but slightly decreased in Finland.

CONCLUSIONS

The probability of any positive test result was higher in human papillomavirus testing than in primary cytology, even though the cross-sectional detection of a clearly positive test result was the same. Human papillomavirus testing can still lead to an improved longitudinal sensitivity through a larger number of follow-up tests and the opportunity to identify women with a persistent human papillomavirus infection. Further research on histologically verified precancerous lesions is needed in primary as well as repeat testing.

Australian National Cervical Screening Program renewal: Attitudes and experiences of general practitioners, and obstetricians and gynaecologists

BACKGROUND

In 2017, the Australian National Cervical Screening Program (NCSP) implemented five-yearly primary human papillomavirus (HPV) screening for women aged 25-74. It is important that clinicians are able to explain the NCSP changes to women and confidently address concerns.

AIMS

This study examined Australian clinicians' attitudes toward and experiences of the NCSP renewal since its implementation.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Cross-sectional survey of clinicians (general practitioners, obstetricians and gynaecologists) involved in cervical screening, distributed two years after implementation of the renewed NCSP. Responses were analysed using descriptive statistics and thematic analysis.

RESULTS

Six hundred and seven participants completed the survey. More than 80% of clinicians were comfortable with the main NCSP changes: extended screening intervals, increased age of first screening, and screening test used. However, only 47% of clinicians reported having utilised the National Cancer Screening Register, and a third of clinicians did not believe that self-collection was a reasonable alternative to practitioner-collected screening for under-screened women. Increased demands for colposcopy were reported. All clinicians identified at least one area of educational need, including the management of women with a history of screen-detected abnormalities in the previous program (34.9%), post-colposcopy management for women with no abnormalities detected (25.5%), and screening in complex scenarios (eg immunocompromise) (26.5%).

CONCLUSIONS

Overall, Australian clinicians are comfortable with the main changes to the cervical screening program. Certain areas may require further policy review, such as screening in complex clinical scenarios, colposcopy availability, accessibility of the Register and self-collection. These issues could be meaningful for other countries switching to HPV-based screening.

The prognostic significance of tumor-infiltrating lymphocytes in cervical cancer

Objective

To predict the prognosis of cervical cancer, we constructed a novel model with 5 specific cell types and identified a potential biomarker.

Methods

We employed CIBERSORT and xCell method to evaluate the abundances of 23 cells types in tumor microenvironment. Five specific cell types were filtrated to determine different immunotypes by applying least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) Cox regression method. The expression of immune checkpoints (ICPs) and effectors were validated by immunohistochemistry. Correlation analysis was performed to examine the relevance between PIK3CA mutational status and ICPs.

Results

Unsupervised clustering of patients on the basis of tumor infiltrating lymphocytes and fibroblasts identified patients with shorter overall survival (OS) (hazard ratio [HR]=3.0729; 95% confidence interval [CI]=1.5103–6.2522; p=0.0118). An immunoscore (IS) signature consisting of 5 immune cell types infiltrating in tumor core (CD8T, activated NK cells, neutrophils, activated mast cells, macrophages) was constructed using LASSO Cox regression analysis. Receiver operating characteristic curves confirmed that the area under the curve of IS was significantly higher to that of International Federation of Gynecology and Obstetrics staging alone (0.637 vs. 0.55). Survival analysis revealed patients in high IS group exhibited a poorer OS (HR=3.0113; 95% CI=1.8746–4.8373; p<0.0001). The multivariate analysis indicated the IS was an independent prognostic factor. In addition, the lower IS related to higher expression of ICPs and neoantigen load.

Conclusions

The identification of IS in cervical cancer tissues could facilitate patient risk stratification and selection of immunotherapeutic responses, but more prospective studies are needed to assess its reliability.

Molecular landscape of recurrent cervical cancer

Cervical cancer (CC) is a major gynecological problem in developing and underdeveloped countries. Despite the significant advancement in early detection and treatment modalities, several patients recur. Moreover, the molecular mechanisms responsible for CC recurrence remains obscure. The patients with CC recurrence often show poor prognosis and significantly high mortality rates. The clinical management of recurrent CC depends on treatment history, site, and extent of the recurrence. Owing to poor prognosis and limited treatment options, recurrent CC often presents a challenge to the clinicians. Several in vitro, in vivo, and patient studies have led to the identification of the critical molecular changes responsible for CC recurrence. Both aberrant genetic and epigenetic modifications leading to altered cell signaling pathways have been reported to impact CC recurrence. Researchers are currently trying to dissect the molecular pathways in CC and translate these findings for better management of disease. This article attempts to review the existing knowledge of disease relapse, accompanying challenges, and associated molecular players in CC.

Health economic evaluation of primary human papillomavirus screening in urban populations in China

BACKGROUND

On Nov 17, 2020, WHO launched a global initiative to accelerate the elimination of cervical cancer through the implementation of HPV vaccination, cervical cancer screening and treatment for precancer and cancer. China has the largest burden of cervical cancer in the world, but only has a national cervical cancer screening program in rural areas since 2009. Here, we aimed to evaluate the effectiveness and cost-effectiveness of cervical cancer screening in urban China, using Shenzhen City as an example.

METHODS

We use an extensively validated platform ('Policy1-Cervix'), calibrated to data from Shenzhen city and Guandong Province. We evaluated a range of strategies that have previously been implemented as pilot studies in China, or recommended as guidelines within China and globally, spanning primary HPV, cytology and co-testing strategies. We additionally considered alternate triaging methods, age ranges and screening intervals, resulting in 19 algorithms in total.

RESULTS

Of the 19 strategies considered, the most effective approach involved primary HPV testing. At 3- to 10-yearly intervals, primary HPV testing reduced the age-standardized cancer mortality rate by 37-71 %. The most cost-effective strategy was 5-yearly primary HPV testing with partial genotyping triage for ages 25-65, discharging to 10-yearly screening for low-risk women (ICER = US$7191/QALYS using 2018 costs; willingness-to-pay threshold<1xGDP [US$9771]). This strategy gave an incidence and mortality reduction of 56 % and 63 %, respectively. This remained the most cost-effective strategy under most conditions in sensitivity analysis.

CONCLUSION

Primary HPV testing would be cost-effective in Shenzhen and could more than halve cervical cancer incidence rates to 6 per 100,000 over the long term. In order to achieve rates below 4 per 100,000, the elimination threshold set by the World Health Organization, vaccination will likely also be necessary.

Could HPV Testing on Self-collected Samples Be Routinely Used in an Organized Cervical Screening Program? A Modeled Analysis

BACKGROUND

Cervical screening on self-collected samples has mainly been considered for targeted use in underscreened women. Updated evidence supports equivalent sensitivity of PCR-based human papillomavirus (HPV) testing on self-collected and clinician-collected samples.

METHODS

Using a well-established model, we compared the lifetime impact on cancer diagnoses and deaths resulting from cervical screening using self-collected samples only, with and without the existing restriction in Australia to women aged 30+ years and ≥2 years overdue, compared with the mainstream program of 5-yearly HPV screening on clinician-collected samples starting at 25 years of age. We conservatively assumed sensitivity of HPV testing on self-collected relative to clinician-collected samples was 0.98. Outcomes were estimated either in the context of HPV vaccination ("routinely vaccinated cohorts;" uptake as in Australia) or in the absence of HPV vaccination ("unvaccinated cohorts").

RESULTS

In unvaccinated cohorts, the health benefits of increased participation from self-collection outweighed the worst case (2%) loss of relative test sensitivity even if only 15% of women, who would not otherwise attend, used it ("additional uptake"). In routinely vaccinated cohorts, population-wide self-collection could be marginally (0.2%-1.0%) less effective at 15% additional uptake but 6.2% to 12.4% more effective at 50% additional uptake. Most (56.6%-65.0%) of the loss in effectiveness in the restricted self-collection pathway in Australia results from the requirement to be 2 or more years overdue.

CONCLUSIONS

Even under pessimistic assumptions, any potential loss in test sensitivity from self-collection is likely outweighed by improved program effectiveness resulting from feasible levels of increased uptake.

IMPACT

Consideration could be given to offering self-collection more widely, potentially as an equal choice for women.See related commentary by Lim, p. 245.

Cancer in Africa 2018: The role of infections

We estimate the fractions of cancer attributed to infections in Africa in 2018. The number of new cancer cases occurring was taken from Globocan2018 with some additional estimations based on data from African population-based registries. Population attributable fractions were calculated using prevalence of infection and relative risk in exposed vs. nonexposed. The greatest share of infection-associated cancers is due to the human papillomaviruses (12.1% of all cancers in Africa and 15.4% in sub-Saharan Africa [SSA]); of these, cervical cancer is by far the most common. Kaposi sarcoma-associated herpesvirus is responsible for 3.1% of all cancers in Africa, the hepatitis viruses (B and C) for 2.9% and Helicobacter pylori for 2.7% (non-Cardia Gastric cancer and primary gastric lymphomas). Two percent of cancers are attributable to the Epstein-Barr virus, Schistosoma haematobium increases the risk of bladder cancer resulting in 1.0% of all cancers. HIV-related NHL and squamous cell carcinoma of the conjunctiva account for 0.6% of cancers. Altogether 24.5% of cancers in Africa and 28.7% in SSA are due to infectious agents. Infections are by far the most common cancer risk factor for cancer in Africa-the traditional risk factors (smoking, alcohol and unhealthy diet) probably cause only one in eight cancers in Africa. Prevention should focus on those infectious diseases preventable through vaccination (HPV and hepatitis B) which could reduce two-thirds of the burden. Helicobacter pylori and schistosomiasis are treatable with antibiotics and praziquantel, with a potential reduction of one in eight infection-associated cancers.

Implementation of Australia's renewed cervical screening program: Preparedness of general practitioners and nurses

The National Cervical Screening Program (NCSP) in Australia underwent major changes on December 1^st, 2017. The program changed from 2-yearly Pap testing for women aged 18–69 years to 5-yearly HPV testing for women aged 25–74 years including differential management pathways for oncogenic HPV 16/18 positive versus HPV non16/18 positive test results and the option of self-collection for under-screened women. We conducted a survey among cervical screening providers in primary care to assess their level of preparedness in undertaking cervical screening before (pre-renewal) and after (post-renewal) the new program was implemented. Surveys were conducted between 14^th August and 30^th November 2017 (pre-renewal) and 9^th February and 26^th October 2018 (post-renewal) among cervical screening providers who attended education sessions related to the new guidelines. Preparedness was assessed in three areas: 1) level of comfort implementing the new guidelines (7 questions), 2) level of confidence in their ability to convey information about the new guidelines (9 questions) and 3) level of agreement regarding access to resources to support implementation (11 questions). Proportions were calculated for each question response and pre- and post-renewal periods compared using generalised linear models. Open-ended questions related to anticipated barriers and ways to overcome barriers were also included in the questionnaires. Compared to the pre-renewal period, a higher proportion of practitioners in the post-renewal period were more comfortable offering routine screening to women ≥25 years (p = 0.005) and more confident explaining the rationale for not screening before 25 years (p = 0.015); confident explaining a positive HPV 16/18 (p = 0.04) and HPV non 16/18(p = 0.013) test result and were comfortable with not referring women with a positive HPV non 16/18 test result and low grade/negative cytology for colposcopy (p = 0.01). A higher proportion of Victorian practitioners in the post-renewal period sample were also comfortable (p = 0.04) and confident (p = 0.015) recommending self-collection to under-screened women and agreed that self-collection is a reliable test (p = 0.003). The most commonly reported suggestion was to provide information, education and communication materials to both patients and practitioners. Compared to the pre-renewal period, practitioners in the post-renewal period were better prepared to implement the renewed screening program. Healthcare providers require further support to implement the self-collection pathway.

Changes in the incidence of cervical tumours by disease stage in a cytology-based screening programme

OBJECTIVES

To report changes in incidence of cervical tumours by disease stage, following the introduction of an organized cytology-based screening programme.

METHODS

An intention-to-screen study of a cytology-based screening programme targeting 1,219,000 women aged 25-64 in northern Italy was carried out. Based on the previously reported trend in total incidence of cervical cancer, the study period 1995-2014 was divided into 1995-1996 (pre-screening, or reference, years), 1997-1998 (screening implementation phase), 1999-2006 (transition phase, when incidence decreased), and 2007-2014 (steady-state phase, when incidence stabilized again). Tumour stage was categorized as preinvasive (cervical intraepithelial neoplasia grade 3 (CIN3) and adenocarcinoma in situ), early (pT1a), advanced (pT1b or greater, ypT), and unknown (pT1 not otherwise specified, pTx, missing information). Average annual incidence rates observed in each phase were compared with the expected (reference) rates, using the incidence rate ratio, calculated with a Poisson regression model.

RESULTS

In the steady-state phase, incidence rate ratios were: CIN3, 1.55 (95% confidence interval, 1.41-1.70); early-stage squamous carcinoma, 0.49 (0.36-0.67); advanced-stage squamous carcinoma, 0.44 (0.33-0.57); unknown-stage squamous carcinoma, 0.69 (0.48-0.99); adenocarcinoma in situ, 1.44 (0.72-2.88); early-stage adenocarcinoma, 2.65 (0.82-8.53); advanced-stage adenocarcinoma, 1.03 (0.56-1.91); and unknown-stage adenocarcinoma, 0.46 (0.23-0.92).

CONCLUSIONS

After stabilization, changes in incidence by tumour stage included a 55% increase for CIN3 and a 50-55% decrease both for early- and advanced-stage squamous carcinoma, but no significant changes for glandular tumours. These data will serve to quantify the incremental impact of the implementation of human papillomavirus-based screening, introduced in 2015.

Immunity and Vaccine Development Against Helicobacter pylori

Helicobacter pylori is a highly-adapted gastrointestinal pathogen of humans and the immunology of this chronic infection is extremely complex. Despite the availability of antibiotic therapy, the global incidence of H. pylori infection remains high, particularly in low to middle-income nations. Failure of therapy and the spread of antibiotic resistance among the bacteria are significant problems and provide impetus for the development of new therapies and vaccines to treat or prevent gastric ulcer, and gastric carcinoma. The expansion of knowledge on gastric conventional and regulatory T cell responses, and the role of T_H17 in chronic gastritis from studies in mouse models and patients have provided valuable insights into how gastritis is initiated and maintained. The development of human challenge models for testing candidate vaccines has meant a unique opportunity to study acute infection, but the field of vaccine development has not progressed as rapidly as anticipated. One clear lesson learned from previous studies is that we need a better understanding of the immune suppressive mechanisms in vivo to be able to design vaccine strategies. There is still an urgent need to identify practical surrogate markers of protection that could be deployed in future field vaccine trials. Important developments in our understanding of the chronic inflammatory response, progress and problems arising from human studies, and an outlook for the future of clinical vaccine trials will be discussed.

Retrospective analysis of alpha-human papillomavirus (HPV) types in tissue samples from anogenital dysplasias - introduction of the RICH (Risk of HPV-related Carcinoma in HIV+/- patients) score

BACKGROUND

Chronic viral infections caused by highly contagious human papillomaviruses (HPVs) from the alpha genus are a substantial risk factor for tumour diseases.

OBJECTIVES

The goal of this study was to compare the HPV infection pattern with histology in a patient group of immunocompromised HIV⁺ and non-immunocompromised patients with anal intraepithelial neoplasia.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Tissue samples (n = 210) from the anogenital area of 121 patients underwent retrospective histological and molecular examination for HPV DNA prevalence by chip analysis. The study was part of a cancer screening from the Dermatology Department of the LMU Munich, Germany. All data were collected and processed anonymously.

RESULTS

HPV 6 or 11 are more abundant in tissue samples from histologically diagnosed condylomata acuminata (47.7%) compared to grade 1, 2, and 3 intraepithelial neoplasias (IN 1-3). Detection of high-risk (hr) alpha-HPV DNA was significantly higher in tissue samples from IN 3 (67.5%) compared to IN 1 and 2 (12.9%), and compared to condylomata acuminata (29.5%). No HPV types were detected in histologically unremarkable tissue samples. There was a significant association between the prevalence of HPV 16 and the classifications IN 1 to IN 3 (χ² (2) = 13.62, P = 0.001). We identified a significant correlation between the prevalence of high-risk and low-risk (lr) HPV types and HIV, especially mixed infections of different HPV types correlated with high-grade IN. Based on the present data, we suggest the risk of carcinoma in HIV^+/- patients (RICH) score and test it in the 121 patients.

CONCLUSIONS

hr alpha-HPVs, mainly HPV 16, are associated with increased oncogenic potential of premalignant lesions (IN 1-3), especially in HIV⁺ patients. Based on the combination of HIV/HPV-testing and histological analysis, we identified correlations that could potentially forecast the risk of malignant transformation and summarized them in the form of RICH score.

Knowledge of Human Papillomavirus, Risk of Anogenital Cancers, and Benefits of Vaccination: A Medical Student Survey in Saudi Arabia

Background Human papillomavirus (HPV) is one of the most common sexually transmitted infections and plays a significant role in the development of anogenital cancer. However, there is a lack of awareness on the subject in Saudi Arabia and very few documented studies on the knowledge and awareness of medical students regarding HPV. Methods A cross-sectional study utilizing a survey distributed to 306 medical students of both genders was utilized. A self-administrated questionnaire was distributed to all participants to assess their knowledge of HPV and their attitude towards HPV vaccination. Data analysis was performed using SPSS v 24 (IBM Corp., Armonk, NY, US) and RStudio v 1.14 (Boston, US). Results Most of the respondents (72.2%) had a high level of knowledge regarding HPV, with 47.84% of the respondents being aware of the risks associated with HPV and having a positive attitude towards HPV. Female respondents had better awareness and knowledge as compared to male students. However, there was a lack of knowledge regarding the duration and frequency of HPV infection, which could have an effect on the attitude of medical students towards vaccination. The results obtained by using Pearson's correlation coefficient showed a statistically significant correlation between the attitude towards HPV and the knowledge regarding HPV (p-value < 0.05). Conclusion Better awareness and knowledge regarding HPV and its risks correlate with a better attitude towards HPV. The medical school curriculum was found to be a primary source of information for students on the awareness of HPV. Therefore, more about HPV and the benefits associated with vaccination against HPV should be included in the curriculum in all years of medical school.

Routine cervical screening by primary HPV testing: early findings in the renewed National Cervical Screening Program

OBJECTIVES

To report human papillomavirus (HPV) testing patterns and rates of oncogenic HPV-positivity for specimens submitted during the first 6 months after the National Cervical Screening Program switched from cytology- to primary HPV-based screening.

DESIGN, PARTICIPANTS

Retrospective cross-sectional review of 195 606 specimens submitted for HPV testing, 1 December 2017 - 31 May 2018.

SETTING

Large community-based general pathology laboratory in metropolitan Sydney.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

Prevalence of oncogenic HPV types (all, HPV16/18, non-HPV16/18) by reason for HPV test (primary screening, non-screening); for oncogenic HPV-positive women in the age band recommended for primary HPV screening (25-74 years), prevalence of cytologic abnormality and rates of 12-month follow-up and colposcopy recommendations.

RESULTS

195 606 samples were received: 157 700 (80.6%) for primary screening, 37 906 (19.4%) for non-screening tests. Oncogenic HPV was detected in 8.1% of screening tests (95% CI, 7.9-8.2%) and 20.9% of non-screening tests (95% CI, 20.5-21.3%); 35.5% (95% CI, 34.7-36.4%) of women of recommended screening age with positive oncogenic HPV screening test results also had a cytologic abnormality. The proportion of HPV16/18-positive samples with high grade abnormality was 15.3% (95% CI, 14.2-16.6%); for samples positive for other oncogenic HPV types, the proportion was 6.3% (95% CI, 5.8-6.8%). Repeat HPV testing after 12 months was recommended for 5.4% (95% CI, 5.3-5.5%) and direct colposcopy for 2.6% (95% CI, 2.5-2.7%) of screened women aged 25-74 years.

CONCLUSIONS

High grade cytologic abnormalities were more common in women positive for HPV16/18, supporting their higher risk classification. Colposcopy referral rates were higher than during primary cytology-based testing, as predicted by clinical trial and modelling data. The prevalence of HPV was much higher in non-screening than in primary screening samples. Our findings indicate the renewed program is performing as expected during the initial HPV screening round.

Recurrent disease after treatment for cervical pre-cancer: determining whether prophylactic HPV vaccination could play a role in prevention of secondary lesions

Existing modalities can effectively treat high-grade cervical intraepithelial neoplasia (CIN) but around 7% of treated women will develop recurrence of CIN grade 2 or above within 2 years of treatment. Post-treatment surveillance is therefore required to detect residual or recurrent disease. Since the implementation of human papillomavirus (HPV) vaccination programs in high-income countries, significant reductions in high-grade CIN have been recorded in vaccinated cohorts who were predominantly HPV-naïve at vaccination. There is still debate as to the extent of potential benefit from vaccination for women previously infected with HPV, given that HPV incidence in women falls with age and previously cleared infection provides at least some protection against reinfection. Whilst vaccination-induced antibodies could prevent type-specific new infections, it is unclear whether vaccination could also prevent reactivation of latent, previously acquired infection and subsequent disease. A review of the available evidence suggests a potential reduction in risk of recurrent disease if women diagnosed and treated for CIN are offered prophylactic vaccines. New modeled analyses and, ideally, a prospectively designed randomized controlled trial in women treated and then randomized to vaccination or placebo would provide much-needed additional evidence to support the effectiveness and cost-effectiveness of offering vaccination to women after treatment for CIN.

The combined impact of implementing HPV immunisation and primary HPV screening in New Zealand: Transitional and long-term benefits, costs and resource utilisation implications

BACKGROUND

In response to emergent evidence, many countries are transitioning from cytology-based to HPV screening. We evaluated the impact of an upcoming transition on health outcomes and resource utilisation in New Zealand.

METHODS

An extensively validated model of HPV transmission, vaccination, natural history and cervical screening ('Policy1-Cervix') was utilised to simulate a transition from three-yearly cytology for women 20-69 years to five-yearly HPV screening with 16/18 genotyping for women 25-69 years, accounting for population growth and the impact of HPV immunisation. Cervical cancer rates, resources use (test volumes), costs, and test positivity rates from 2015 to 2035 were estimated.

FINDINGS

By 2035, the transition to HPV screening will result in declines in cervical cancer incidence and mortality rates by 32% and 25%, respectively, compared to 2018. A potentially detectable 5% increase in cervical cancer incidence due to earlier detection is predicted for the year of transition. Annual numbers of women screened will fluctuate with the five-year screening interval. Cytology volumes will reduce by over 80% but colposcopy volumes will be similar to pre-transition rates, and program costs will be reduced by 16%. A 9% HPV test positivity rate is expected in the first round of HPV screening (2019-2023), with 2.7% of women referred for colposcopy. Transitioning from cytology to primary HPV cervical screening could avert 149 cancer cases and 45 deaths by 2035.

CONCLUSION

Primary HPV screening and vaccination will reduce cervical cancer and resources use. A small transient apparent increase of invasive cancer rates due to earlier detection may be detectable at the population level, reflecting the introduction of a more sensitive screening test. These findings can be used to inform health services planning and public communications surrounding program implementation.

Cervical cancer

Each year, more than half a million women are diagnosed with cervical cancer and the disease results in over 300 000 deaths worldwide. High-risk subtypes of the human papilloma virus (HPV) are the cause of the disease in most cases. The disease is largely preventable. Approximately 90% of cervical cancers occur in low-income and middle-income countries that lack organised screening and HPV vaccination programmes. In high-income countries, cervical cancer incidence and mortality have more than halved over the past 30 years since the introduction of formal screening programmes. Treatment depends on disease extent at diagnosis and locally available resources, and might involve radical hysterectomy or chemoradiation, or a combination of both. Conservative, fertility-preserving surgical procedures have become standard of care for women with low-risk, early-stage disease. Advances in radiotherapy technology, such as intensity-modulated radiotherapy, have resulted in less treatment-related toxicity for women with locally-advanced disease. For women with metastatic or recurrent disease, the overall prognosis remains poor; nevertheless, the incorporation of the anti-VEGF agent bevacizumab has been able to extend overall survival beyond 12 months. Preliminary results of novel immunotherapeutic approaches, similarly to other solid tumours, have shown promising results so far.