1
|
Takayama Y, Shimakawa Y, Aizawa Y, Butcher C, Chibana N, Collins M, Kamegai K, Kim TG, Koyama S, Matsuyama R, Matthews MM, Mori T, Nagamoto T, Narita M, Omori R, Shibata N, Shibata S, Shiiki S, Takakura S, Toyozato N, Tsuchiya H, Wolf M, Yamamoto T, Yokoyama S, Yonaha S, Mizumoto K. SARS-CoV-2 IgG Seroprevalence in the Okinawa Main Island and Remote Islands in Okinawa, Japan, 2020-2021. Jpn J Infect Dis 2025; 78:8-18. [PMID: 39343560 DOI: 10.7883/yoken.jjid.2023.255] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 10/01/2024]
Abstract
We estimated the seroprevalence of anti-severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (anti-SARS-CoV-2) immunoglobulin G (IgG) in different island groups in Okinawa. A cross-sectional serosurvey was conducted over three periods between July 2020 and February 2021. A total of 2,683 serum samples were collected from six referral medical centers, each covering a separate region in Okinawa. In the main island, the seroprevalence was 0.0% (0/392; 95% confidence interval (CI), 0.0- 0.9%), 0.6% (8/1,448, 0.2-1.1%), and 1.4% (8/582, 0.6-2.7%) during the 1st, 2nd, and 3rd serosurvey, respectively. In remote islands, the seroprevalence was 0.0% (0/144; 95% CI, 0.0-2.5%) and 1.6% (2/123, 0.2-5.8%) during the 2nd and 3rd survey, respectively. The case detection ratio was 2.7 (95% CI, 1.3-5.3) in the main island and 2.8 (0.7-11.1) in remote islands during the 3rd survey. The case detection ratio was the highest in individuals aged 20-29 years (8.3; 95% CI, 3.3-21.4) in the main island and in those aged 50-59 years (14.1; 2.1-92.7) in remote islands, suggesting underreporting of clinical cases by the surveillance system in these subgroups. A serosurvey conducted during an emerging infectious disease epidemic can be useful for validating the reliability of the surveillance system by providing case detection ratio.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Yoshihiro Takayama
- Okinawa Prefecture Commission for Epidemiological and Statistical Analysis, Japan
- Division of Infectious Diseases, Department of Internal Medicine, Okinawa Prefectural Chubu Hospital, Japan
- Graduate School of Biomedical Sciences, Nagasaki University, Japan
| | - Yusuke Shimakawa
- Okinawa Prefecture Commission for Epidemiological and Statistical Analysis, Japan
- Institut Pasteur, France
- Pasteur International Unit at Kumamoto University/National Center for Global Health and Medicine, Japan
| | | | - Christian Butcher
- Molecular Cryo-Electron Microscopy Unit, Okinawa Institute of Science and Technology Graduate University (OIST), Japan
| | - Naomi Chibana
- Division of Internal Medicine, Naha City Hospital, Japan
| | - Mary Collins
- Research Support Division, Occupational Health and Safety, Okinawa Institute of Science and Technology Graduate University (OIST), Japan
- Blizard Institute, Faculty of Medicine and Dentistry, Queen Mary University of London, United Kingdom
| | - Kohei Kamegai
- Division of Infectious Diseases, Okinawa Prefectural Yaeyama Hospital, Japan
| | - Tae Gyun Kim
- Molecular Cryo-Electron Microscopy Unit, Okinawa Institute of Science and Technology Graduate University (OIST), Japan
- Vaccine Commercialization Center, Gyeongbuk Institute for Bio Industry, Republic of Korea
| | - Satoshi Koyama
- Emergency Department, Okinawa Prefectural Miyako Hospital, Japan
| | - Ryota Matsuyama
- Okinawa Prefecture Commission for Epidemiological and Statistical Analysis, Japan
- Rakuno Gakuen Univerisity, Japan
| | - Melissa M Matthews
- Molecular Cryo-Electron Microscopy Unit, Okinawa Institute of Science and Technology Graduate University (OIST), Japan
| | - Tomoari Mori
- Research Support Division, Occupational Health and Safety, Okinawa Institute of Science and Technology Graduate University (OIST), Japan
| | - Tetsuharu Nagamoto
- Okinawa Prefecture Commission for Epidemiological and Statistical Analysis, Japan
- Graduate School of Informatics, Kyoto University, Japan
| | - Masashi Narita
- Division of Infectious Diseases, Department of Internal Medicine, Okinawa Prefectural Chubu Hospital, Japan
- Division of Infectious Diseases, Department of Internal Medicine, Okinawa Prefectural Nambu Medical Center & Children's Medical Center, Japan
| | - Ryosuke Omori
- Okinawa Prefecture Commission for Epidemiological and Statistical Analysis, Japan
- Division of Bioinformatics, International Institute for Zoonosis Control, Hokkaido University, Japan
| | - Noriko Shibata
- Molecular Cryo-Electron Microscopy Unit, Okinawa Institute of Science and Technology Graduate University (OIST), Japan
- Division of Bacteriology, Department of Microbiology and Immunology, Faculty of Medicine, Tottori University, Japan
| | - Satoshi Shibata
- Molecular Cryo-Electron Microscopy Unit, Okinawa Institute of Science and Technology Graduate University (OIST), Japan
- Division of Bacteriology, Department of Microbiology and Immunology, Faculty of Medicine, Tottori University, Japan
| | - Souichi Shiiki
- Division of Infectious Diseases, Department of Internal Medicine, Okinawa Prefectural Chubu Hospital, Japan
| | - Shunichi Takakura
- Division of Infectious Diseases, Department of Internal Medicine, Okinawa Prefectural Chubu Hospital, Japan
| | - Naoki Toyozato
- Division of Infectious Diseases, Department of Internal Medicine, Okinawa Prefectural Chubu Hospital, Japan
- Emergency and Critical Care Center, Okinawa Prefectural Chubu Hospital, Japan
| | - Hiroyuki Tsuchiya
- Department of Emergency and Critical Care Medicine, Okinawa Prefectural Nambu Medical Center & Children's Medical Center, Japan
| | - Matthias Wolf
- Molecular Cryo-Electron Microscopy Unit, Okinawa Institute of Science and Technology Graduate University (OIST), Japan
| | - Taro Yamamoto
- Graduate School of Biomedical Sciences, Nagasaki University, Japan
| | - Shuhei Yokoyama
- Division of Infectious Diseases, Department of Internal Medicine, Okinawa Prefectural Chubu Hospital, Japan
| | | | - Kenji Mizumoto
- Okinawa Prefecture Commission for Epidemiological and Statistical Analysis, Japan
- Graduate School of Advanced Integrated Studies in Human Survivability, Kyoto University, Japan
- Hakubi Center for Advanced Research, Kyoto University, Japan
| |
Collapse
|
2
|
Faust L, Caceres-Cardenas G, Martinez L, Huddart S, Vidal JR, Corilloclla-Torres R, Ayllon MC, Benedetti A, Pai M, Ugarte-Gil C. Tuberculosis case notifications and outcomes in Peruvian prisons prior to and during the COVID-19 pandemic: a national-level interrupted time series analysis. LANCET REGIONAL HEALTH. AMERICAS 2024; 33:100723. [PMID: 38800646 PMCID: PMC11117008 DOI: 10.1016/j.lana.2024.100723] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/29/2023] [Revised: 03/07/2024] [Accepted: 03/12/2024] [Indexed: 05/29/2024]
Abstract
Background The COVID-19 pandemic has significantly disrupted tuberculosis (TB) programs, making it urgent to focus TB elimination efforts on key populations. People experiencing incarceration are at high risk for TB, however, how COVID-19-related disruptions have impacted incarcerated populations with TB is unknown. Methods Using Peruvian National TB Program data from Jan 2018 to Dec 2021, an interrupted time series of drug-susceptible (DS) TB case notifications pre- and during COVID-19 was conducted (cut-off date: COVID-19 emergency declaration in Peru, 16 March 2020). The effect of TB care occurring pre-vs. during COVID-19 on TB treatment success in the incarcerated and non-incarcerated populations was explored using logistic regression. Findings DS-TB cases notified in prisons from Jan 2018 to Dec 2021 (n = 10,134) represented 10% of all cases notified in the country (n = 101,507). In the first week of COVID-19, DS-TB case notifications dropped by 61.2% (95% CI: 59.9-62.7%) in the non-incarcerated population and 17.7% (95% CI: 17.5-17.9%) among the incarcerated population. TB treatment success was significantly lower in people receiving TB care entirely during the COVID-19 pandemic vs. before COVID-19 in the non-incarcerated population (OR: 0.81, 95% CI: 0.78-0.85), but not statistically significantly lower in the incarcerated population (OR: 0.88, 95% CI: 0.76-1.01). Incarceration status was not found to modify the effect of COVID-19 period on TB treatment outcomes (OR: 1.07, 95% CI: 0.92-1.25), although treatment success was higher in the incarcerated population (OR [incarcerated vs. not incarcerated, pre-COVID]: 1.52, 95% CI: 1.39-1.67). Interpretation Both incarcerated and non-incarcerated populations experienced a large drop in DS-TB case notifications (although higher in the non-incarcerated population). Lower TB treatment success among those receiving care during COVID-19 indicates significant TB service disruptions in the overall population. The finding that incarceration at time of diagnosis was associated with treatment success is plausible in Peru given increased screening and stricter treatment monitoring in prisons. Funding Canadian Institutes of Health Research (Funding Reference Number: 179418) .
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Lena Faust
- Department of Epidemiology, Biostatistics and Occupational Health, McGill University, Montréal, Canada
- McGill International TB Centre, McGill University, Montréal, Canada
- London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, United Kingdom
| | | | | | - Sophie Huddart
- Division of Pulmonary and Critical Care Medicine, University of California San Francisco, San Francisco, USA
- UCSF Center for Tuberculosis, University of California San Francisco, San Francisco, USA
| | - Julia Rios Vidal
- Dirección De Control y Prevención de la Tuberculosis (DPCT), Ministerio de Salud, Lima, Perú
| | | | | | - Andrea Benedetti
- Department of Epidemiology, Biostatistics and Occupational Health, McGill University, Montréal, Canada
| | - Madhukar Pai
- Department of Epidemiology, Biostatistics and Occupational Health, McGill University, Montréal, Canada
- McGill International TB Centre, McGill University, Montréal, Canada
| | - César Ugarte-Gil
- Instituto de Medicina Tropical Alexander von Humboldt, Universidad Peruana Cayetano Heredia, Lima, Perú
- School of Medicine, Universidad Peruana Cayetano Heredia, Lima, Perú
- Department of Epidemiology, School of Public and Population Health, University of Texas Medical Branch, Galveston, TX, USA
| |
Collapse
|
3
|
Lowhorn RJ, Chowdhury M, Kimitei S, Haskin S, Masum M, Rahman AKMF. Comorbidities and their association with COVID-19 mortality in Mexico between January 2020 and August 2021. PLoS One 2024; 19:e0296895. [PMID: 38630736 PMCID: PMC11023256 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0296895] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/31/2022] [Accepted: 12/13/2023] [Indexed: 04/19/2024] Open
Abstract
By August 17, 2021, 4.3 million people had died globally as a result of SARS-CoV-2 infection. While data collection is ongoing, it is abundantly obvious that this is one of the most significant public health crises in modern history. Consequently, global efforts are being made to attain a greater understanding of this disease and to identify risk factors associated with more severe outcomes. The goal of this study is to identify clinical characteristics and risk factors associated with COVID-19 mortality in Mexico. The dataset used in this study was released by Sistema Nacional de Vigilancia Epidemiologica de Enfermedades Respiratorias (SISVER) de la Secretaría de Salud and contains 2.9 million COVID-19 cases. The effects of risk factors on COVID-19 mortality were estimated using multivariable logistic regression models with generalized estimation equation and Kaplan-Meier curves. Case fatality rates, case hospitalization rates are also reported using the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) USA death-to-case ratio method. In general, older males with pre-existing conditions had higher odds of death. Age greater than 40, male sex, hypertension, diabetes, and obesity are associated with higher COVID-19 mortality. End-stage renal disease, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, and immunosuppression are all linked with COVID-19 patient fatalities. Smoking and Asthma are associated with lower COVID-19 mortality which is consistent with findings from the article published in Nature based on National Health Service (NHS) of UK dataset (17 million cases). Intensive care unit (ICU), patient intubation, and pneumonia diagnosis are shown to substantially increase mortality risk for COVID-19 patients.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Ryan J Lowhorn
- School of Data Science and Analytics, Kennesaw State University, Kennesaw, Georgia, United States of America
| | - Mohammed Chowdhury
- College of Business and Technology, Western Illinois University, Macomb, Illinois, United States of America
| | - Symon Kimitei
- School of Data Science and Analytics, Kennesaw State University, Kennesaw, Georgia, United States of America
| | - Sammie Haskin
- School of Data Science and Analytics, Kennesaw State University, Kennesaw, Georgia, United States of America
| | - Mohammad Masum
- San Jose State University, San Jose, California, United States of America
| | - A K M Fazlur Rahman
- Department of Biostatistics, University of Alabama, Birmingham, Alabama, United States of America
| |
Collapse
|
4
|
Salvador-Carrillo J, Campos-Loza L, Guillen-Carbajal D, Osada J, Zevallos A, Torres-Roman JS. Use of ivermectin and factors associated with the prevention and/or treatment of COVID-19: a cross-sectional online survey in the province of Chincha, Peru. F1000Res 2024; 12:149. [PMID: 38178941 PMCID: PMC10765097 DOI: 10.12688/f1000research.128675.2] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Accepted: 01/04/2024] [Indexed: 01/06/2024] Open
Abstract
Background Peru has reported one of the highest mortality rates from COVID-19 worldwide. The Chincha province has been one of the most affected regions in Peru and the leading promoter of the use of ivermectin for the treatment of COVID-19. Therefore, our study aimed to evaluate the frequency of use and factors associated with the use of ivermectin for COVID-19 in Chincha. Methods A cross-sectional study was conducted during the second wave of COVID-19 in Peru. For statistical analyses, frequencies and percentages were reported. Prevalence ratios (PR) with a 95% confidence interval (CI), and a p-value of 0.05 were used to determine statistical significance. SPSS version 22 (IBM Corp) program was used for the analyses. Results A total of 432 participants were included in the study. A total of 67.6% (n = 292) of the participants used ivermectin during the COVID-19 pandemic. Of these, 20.20% (n=59) of the people used ivermectin for prophylactic purposes only, while 41.79% (n=122) used it as treatment for COVID-19 only, and 38.01% (n=111) used it for both reasons. The consumption of ivermectin was associated with being 50 years or older (PR:1.27, 95% CI:1.04-1.54), having a technical education level (PR:1.16, 95% CI:1.01-1.34), having had symptoms of COVID-19 with negative/no diagnosis (PR: 1.28, 95% CI: 1.07-1.53) or positive diagnosis (PR:1.38, 95% CI:1.18-1.61), or having had contact with infected people (PR:1.45, 95% CI:1.06-1.98). Conclusions Most people in Chincha used ivermectin during the second wave of the COVID-19 pandemic. The main factors associated with the use of ivermectin for the prevention/treatment of COVID-19 were age ≥50 years, having a technical education level, having had symptoms with negative/no diagnosis or positive diagnosis, and contact with people infected with SARS-CoV-2.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Jose Salvador-Carrillo
- Escuela Profesional de Medicina Humana, Universidad Privada San Juan Bautista, Filial Chincha, Ica, Peru
| | - Luz Campos-Loza
- Escuela Profesional de Medicina Humana, Universidad Privada San Juan Bautista, Filial Chincha, Ica, Peru
| | - David Guillen-Carbajal
- Escuela Profesional de Medicina Humana, Universidad Privada San Juan Bautista, Filial Chincha, Ica, Peru
| | - Jorge Osada
- Escuela Profesional de Medicina Humana, Universidad Privada San Juan Bautista, Filial Chincha, Ica, Peru
| | - Alejandra Zevallos
- Escuela Profesional de Medicina Humana, Universidad Privada San Juan Bautista, Filial Chincha, Ica, Peru
| | | |
Collapse
|
5
|
Kim NY, Kim SS, Lee HJ, Kim DH, Ryu B, Shin E, Kwon D. Risk factors for deaths associated with COVID-19 according to the cause of death classification in Republic of Korea. Osong Public Health Res Perspect 2023; 14:89-99. [PMID: 37183329 DOI: 10.24171/j.phrp.2022.0312] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/12/2022] [Accepted: 03/16/2023] [Indexed: 05/16/2023] Open
Abstract
OBJECTIVES This study aimed to classify coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19)-related deaths according to whether COVID-19 was listed as the cause of death, and to investigate the differences in demographic characteristics and risk factors for COVID-19 death classifications. METHODS A total of 5,625 deaths in South Korea among patients with confirmed COVID-19 from January 20, 2020 to December 31, 2021 were selected. Excluding false reports and unnatural deaths, 5,597 deaths were analyzed. Based on death report data, deaths were classified according to whether the cause of death was listed as COVID-19 (CD) or not (NCD). The epidemiological characteristics and causes of deaths were investigated using descriptive, univariate, and multivariate statistical analyses. Odds ratios (ORs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were calculated to analyze the risk factors. RESULTS The case fatality ratio was 0.89% and increased with age. Additionally, 96.4% of the subjects had an underlying disease, and 53.4% died in winter. The proportion of NCDs was 9.3%, of whom 19.1% died at home and 39.0% were confirmed to have COVID-19 after death. Malignant neoplasms (102/416 vs. 637/4,442; OR, 1.71; 95% CI, 1.36-2.16; p<0.001) were significantly associated with NCD. CONCLUSION This is the first study to analyze risk factors by cause of death using COVID-19 death report data in South Korea. These results are expected to be used as evidence for establishing a death monitoring system that can collect timely information in a new infectious disease pandemic.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Na-Young Kim
- Central Disease Control Headquarters, Korea Disease Control and Prevention Agency, Cheongju, Republic of Korea
| | - Seong-Sun Kim
- Central Disease Control Headquarters, Korea Disease Control and Prevention Agency, Cheongju, Republic of Korea
| | - Hyun Ju Lee
- Central Disease Control Headquarters, Korea Disease Control and Prevention Agency, Cheongju, Republic of Korea
| | - Dong Hwi Kim
- Central Disease Control Headquarters, Korea Disease Control and Prevention Agency, Cheongju, Republic of Korea
| | - Boyeong Ryu
- Central Disease Control Headquarters, Korea Disease Control and Prevention Agency, Cheongju, Republic of Korea
| | - Eunjeong Shin
- Central Disease Control Headquarters, Korea Disease Control and Prevention Agency, Cheongju, Republic of Korea
| | - Donghyok Kwon
- Central Disease Control Headquarters, Korea Disease Control and Prevention Agency, Cheongju, Republic of Korea
| |
Collapse
|
6
|
Pant DP, Acharya B, Kattel MR. Association of government effectiveness, logistics performance, IT systems and income with COVID-19 mortality. Heliyon 2023; 9:e15214. [PMID: 37035369 PMCID: PMC10072949 DOI: 10.1016/j.heliyon.2023.e15214] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/26/2022] [Revised: 03/29/2023] [Accepted: 03/29/2023] [Indexed: 04/11/2023] Open
Abstract
The COVID-19 pandemic has unprecedentedly shaken the public health system worldwide. It has been one of the greatest humanitarian crises faced by all countries, regardless of their economic prosperity. However, some countries have been able to minimize the deaths caused by the coronavirus even in the face of a large number of cases, while others have failed to control the death rate even in a comparatively small number of cases. This study explores possible causes of this disparity using cross-sectional data from 126 countries associated with demography, governance, income level, the extent of ICT maturity and the geographical divide. The results of this study suggest that while government effectiveness is negatively associated with the COVID-19 death rate, the logistics performance of governments is positively linked to the COVID-19 mortality rate. The ICT maturity proxied through online service delivery did not confirm its association with the COVID-19 mortality rate. This study informs that poverty and the location of countries do not necessarily influence COVID-19 deaths. Hence, it behoves governments to focus on improving government effectiveness and putting in place more effective and efficient mobility systems, healthcare supply chains and digital administration to address the global health crisis posed by the COVID-19 pandemic and mitigate its harsh effects, including mortality.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
| | - Bikram Acharya
- Policy Research Institute, Narayanhiti, Kathmandu, Nepal
| | | |
Collapse
|
7
|
Peng Y, Rodriguez Lopez JM, Santos AP, Mobeen M, Scheffran J. Simulating exposure-related human mobility behavior at the neighborhood-level under COVID-19 in Porto Alegre, Brazil. CITIES (LONDON, ENGLAND) 2023; 134:104161. [PMID: 36597474 PMCID: PMC9800815 DOI: 10.1016/j.cities.2022.104161] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/23/2022] [Revised: 10/11/2022] [Accepted: 12/15/2022] [Indexed: 06/17/2023]
Abstract
Modeling experts have been continually researching the interplay of human mobility and COVID-19 transmission since the outbreak of the pandemic. They tried to address this problem and support the control of the pandemic spreading at the national or regional levels. However, these modeling approaches had little success in producing empirically verifiable results at the neighborhood level due to a lack of data and limited representation of low spatial scales in the models. To fill this gap, this research aims to present an agent-based model to simulate human mobility choices in the context of COVID-19, based on social activities of individuals in the neighborhood. We apply the VIABLE model to the decision-making process of heterogeneous agents, who populate the system's environment. The agents adapt their mobility and activities autonomously at each iteration to improve their well-being and respond to exposure risks. The study reveals significant temporal variations in mobility choices between the groups of agents with different vulnerability levels under the Covid-19 pandemic. Agents from the same group with similar economic backgrounds tend to select the same mobility patterns and activities leading to segregation at this low scale. We calibrated the model with a focus on Porto Alegre in Brazil.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Yechennan Peng
- Institute of Geography, Center for Earth System Research and Sustainability (CEN), University of Hamburg, 20146 Hamburg, Germany
- School of Integrated Climate System Sciences, University of Hamburg, 20146 Hamburg, Germany
| | - Juan Miguel Rodriguez Lopez
- Institute of Geography, Center for Earth System Research and Sustainability (CEN), University of Hamburg, 20146 Hamburg, Germany
| | - Alexandre Pereira Santos
- Institute of Geography, Center for Earth System Research and Sustainability (CEN), University of Hamburg, 20146 Hamburg, Germany
- School of Integrated Climate System Sciences, University of Hamburg, 20146 Hamburg, Germany
| | - Muhammad Mobeen
- Institute of Geography, Center for Earth System Research and Sustainability (CEN), University of Hamburg, 20146 Hamburg, Germany
- School of Integrated Climate System Sciences, University of Hamburg, 20146 Hamburg, Germany
- Department of Earth Sciences, University of Sargodha, Sargodha, Pakistan
| | - Jürgen Scheffran
- Institute of Geography, Center for Earth System Research and Sustainability (CEN), University of Hamburg, 20146 Hamburg, Germany
| |
Collapse
|
8
|
Cajachagua-Torres KN, Quezada-Pinedo HG, Huayanay-Espinoza CA, Obeso-Manrique JA, Peña-Rodríguez VA, Vidal E, Huicho L. COVID-19 and drivers of excess death rate in Peru: A longitudinal ecological study. Heliyon 2022; 8:e11948. [PMCID: PMC9710104 DOI: 10.1016/j.heliyon.2022.e11948] [Citation(s) in RCA: 12] [Impact Index Per Article: 4.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/26/2022] [Revised: 10/21/2022] [Accepted: 11/22/2022] [Indexed: 12/03/2022] Open
Abstract
Background Peru has experienced unprecedented mortality and economic toll due to the COVID-19 (Coronavirus disease 2019) pandemic in 2020. We aimed to assess the association between socioeconomic factors and excess death rate, and to explore the relative contribution of these factors to the differences in excess death rate during January–December 2020. Methods Different national secondary data sources were used to describe excess death rates and different determinants, from distal to proximal. A confounding-adjusted multilevel mixed-effects linear regression was used to assess the association between these variables and excess death rates. Their relative contributions to the differences in excess death rate between the periods with the highest and lowest excess death rates were analyzed through regression-based Oaxaca-Blinder decomposition methods. Findings The excess death rate showed an increasing trend in all regions, with different slopes. The confounding-adjusted multilevel analysis showed that higher healthcare access was associated with lower excess death rates (difference (95%CI) -0.004 (-0.005, -0.002)), whereas COVID-19 incidence was associated with higher excess death rates (difference (95%CI) 0.052 (0.042, 0.063)). The decomposition analysis showed COVID-19 incidence (41.9%), per capita income (19.4%) and unemployment rate (14.6%) as the main risk factors, while the main protective factors included per capita health expenditure (44.7%), healthcare access (33.2%) and health insurance (12.1%). Interpretation Our study suggests that the excess death rate during the COVID-19 pandemic in Peru may have been influenced by other factors besides COVID-19 incidence, from distal to proximal drivers, including socioeconomic determinants, factors outside and within the health sector, and susceptibility factors. Further studies at individual level are needed to corroborate our findings.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Kim N. Cajachagua-Torres
- The Generation R Study Group, Erasmus MC, University Medical Centre Rotterdam, 3000, CA, Rotterdam, the Netherlands
- Centro de Investigación en Salud Materna e Infantil and Centro de Investigación para el Desarrollo Integral y Sostenible, Universidad Peruana Cayetano Heredia, 150135, Lima, Peru
- Corresponding author.
| | - Hugo G. Quezada-Pinedo
- The Generation R Study Group, Erasmus MC, University Medical Centre Rotterdam, 3000, CA, Rotterdam, the Netherlands
- Centro de Investigación en Salud Materna e Infantil and Centro de Investigación para el Desarrollo Integral y Sostenible, Universidad Peruana Cayetano Heredia, 150135, Lima, Peru
| | - Carlos A. Huayanay-Espinoza
- Centro de Investigación en Salud Materna e Infantil and Centro de Investigación para el Desarrollo Integral y Sostenible, Universidad Peruana Cayetano Heredia, 150135, Lima, Peru
| | - Jordan A. Obeso-Manrique
- Centro de Investigación en Salud Materna e Infantil and Centro de Investigación para el Desarrollo Integral y Sostenible, Universidad Peruana Cayetano Heredia, 150135, Lima, Peru
| | - Víctor A. Peña-Rodríguez
- Facultad de Ciencias Físicas, Universidad Nacional Mayor de San Marcos, 15081, Lima, Peru
- Centro de Investigaciones Tecnológicas, Biomédicas y Medioambientales, 15081, Lima, Peru
| | - Elisa Vidal
- Centro de Investigación en Salud Materna e Infantil and Centro de Investigación para el Desarrollo Integral y Sostenible, Universidad Peruana Cayetano Heredia, 150135, Lima, Peru
| | - Luis Huicho
- Centro de Investigación en Salud Materna e Infantil and Centro de Investigación para el Desarrollo Integral y Sostenible, Universidad Peruana Cayetano Heredia, 150135, Lima, Peru
- Facultad de Medicina “Alberto Hurtado”, Universidad Peruana Cayetano Heredia, 150135, Lima, Peru
| |
Collapse
|
9
|
Arriola CS, Soto G, Westercamp M, Bollinger S, Espinoza A, Grogl M, Llanos-Cuentas A, Matos E, Romero C, Silva M, Smith R, Olson N, Prouty M, Azziz-Baumgartner E, Lessa FC. Effectiveness of Whole-Virus COVID-19 Vaccine among Healthcare Personnel, Lima, Peru. Emerg Infect Dis 2022; 28:S238-S243. [PMID: 36502444 DOI: 10.3201/eid2813.212477] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 12/15/2022] Open
Abstract
In February 2021, Peru launched a COVID-19 vaccination campaign among healthcare personnel using an inactivated whole-virus vaccine. The manufacturer recommended 2 vaccine doses 21 days apart. We evaluated vaccine effectiveness among an existing multiyear influenza vaccine cohort at 2 hospitals in Lima. We analyzed data on 290 participants followed during February-May 2021. Participants completed a baseline questionnaire and provided weekly self-collected nasal swab samples; samples were tested by real-time reverse transcription PCR. Median participant follow-up was 2 (range 1-11) weeks. We performed multivariable logistic regression and adjusted for preselected characteristics. During the study, 25 (9%) participants tested SARS-CoV-2-positive. We estimated adjusted vaccine effectiveness at 95% (95% CI 70%-99%) among fully vaccinated participants and 100% (95% CI 88%-100%) among partially vaccinated participants. These data can inform the use and acceptance of inactivated whole-virus vaccine and support vaccination efforts in the region.
Collapse
|
10
|
Assessing the Pre-Vaccination Anti-SARS-CoV-2 IgG Seroprevalence among Residents and Staff in Nursing Home in Niigata, Japan, November 2020. Viruses 2022; 14:v14112581. [PMID: 36423190 PMCID: PMC9698805 DOI: 10.3390/v14112581] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/01/2022] [Revised: 11/18/2022] [Accepted: 11/20/2022] [Indexed: 11/23/2022] Open
Abstract
An outbreak of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) occurred in a nursing home in Niigata, Japan, November 2020, with an attack rate of 32.0% (63/197). The present study was aimed at assessing the pre-vaccination seroprevalence almost half a year after the COVID-19 outbreak in residents and staff in the facility, along with an assessment of the performance of the enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay (ELISA) and the chemiluminescent immunoassay (CLIA), regarding test seropositivity and seronegativity in detecting immunoglobulin G (IgG) anti-severe acute respiratory syndrome 2 (SARS-CoV-2) antibodies (anti-nucleocapsid (N) and spike (S) proteins). A total of 101 people (30 reverse transcription PCR (RT-PCR)-positive and 71 RT-PCR-negative at the time of the outbreak in November 2020) were tested for anti-IgG antibody titers in April 2021, and the seroprevalence was approximately 40.0-60.0% for residents and 10.0-20.0% for staff, which was almost consistent with the RT-PCR test results that were implemented during the outbreak. The seropositivity for anti-S antibodies showed 90.0% and was almost identical to the RT-PCR positives even after approximately six months of infections, suggesting that the anti-S antibody titer test is reliable for a close assessment of the infection history. Meanwhile, seropositivity for anti-N antibodies was relatively low, at 66.7%. There was one staff member and one resident that were RT-PCR-negative but seropositive for both anti-S and anti-N antibody, indicating overlooked infections despite periodical RT-PCR testing at the time of the outbreak. Our study indicated the impact of transmission of SARS-CoV-2 in a vulnerable elderly nursing home in the pre-vaccination period and the value of a serological study to supplement RT-PCR results retrospectively.
Collapse
|
11
|
All-cause mortality during COVID-19 pandemic in Peru. IJID REGIONS (ONLINE) 2022; 5:177-179. [PMID: 36339931 PMCID: PMC9617657 DOI: 10.1016/j.ijregi.2022.10.005] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/22/2022] [Revised: 10/24/2022] [Accepted: 10/26/2022] [Indexed: 11/29/2022]
Abstract
We reported the heterogeneity of the median age of all-cause mortality in Peru during different waves of COVID-19 pandemic. We believed that before the Omicron variants dominance, during the peaks of daily all-cause mortality, the median age of daily death was lower than the usual level. The median age of daily death bounced higher than normal during the peaks of daily all-cause mortality with the Omicron variants dominance. We also revealed the daily pattern of cause-specific mortality directly and indirectly related to COVID in Peru. We argued that most of the indirectly excess death in Peru were primarily caused by circulatory system diseases possibly caused by disruption in medical service, while the majority of directly excess death have the primary cause of death as COVID-19 and respiratory system diseases.
Collapse
|
12
|
Karaca B, Çelik B. A Retrospective Evaluation of People with COVID-19 in Northwest Syria. EURASIAN JOURNAL OF EMERGENCY MEDICINE 2022. [DOI: 10.4274/eajem.galenos.2021.56588] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 12/01/2022] Open
|
13
|
Résultats cliniques différents de COVID-19 chez les personnels soignants masculins et féminins de l’hôpital universitaire en Italie. ARCH MAL PROF ENVIRO 2022. [PMCID: PMC8818357 DOI: 10.1016/j.admp.2022.01.012] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/22/2022]
Abstract
Nous avons comparé les résultats cliniques de l’infection à la Covid-19 parmi les personnels de la santé masculins et féminins, suivis pendant les trois premiers mois après l’épidémie de COVID-19 en Italie. La population étudiée était composée de 64 des 3585 travailleurs de la santé qui ont développé une infection au COVID-19. Les sujets qui ont signalé une dyspnée et/ou qui ont dû être hospitalisés ont été classés dans le groupe « maladie grave ». Les travailleurs de la santé qui ont signalé la présence de symptômes mineurs (comme fièvre, toux sèche, etc.) sans avoir besoin d’une hospitalisation ont été inclus dans le groupe « maladie bénigne ». Les personnels asymptomatiques à la COVID-19 étaient respectivement de 19 % et 25,6 % dans les groupes d’hommes et de femmes. Les hommes présentaient un taux plus élevé de symptômes graves (47,1 %, vs 15,6 %). Aussi, parmi les travailleurs symptomatiques, les hommes ont eu besoin d’une hospitalisation plus fréquemment que les femmes (52,9 % vs 15,1 %). Utilisant une régression logistique binaire, avec la prévalence de « symptômes graves » comme variable dépendante et « sexe » et « âge » comme variable indépendante, l’odds ratio H/F était égal à 4,8 (IC : 1,247, 18,482), tandis que « âge » ne semblait pas avoir un rôle. Malgré les limites liées à la petite taille de la population étudiée, nos résultats confirment que les soignants hommes sont plus susceptibles que les femmes d’avoir des pires résultats cliniques.
Collapse
|
14
|
The Impact of COVID-19 Pandemic on Halting Sustainable Development in the Colca y Volcanes de Andagua UNESCO Global Geopark in Peru—Prospects and Future. SUSTAINABILITY 2022. [DOI: 10.3390/su14074043] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/16/2022]
Abstract
Events, such as the COVID-19 pandemic, that rapidly impact global communication and travel have significant consequences for the tourism industry, which is one of the pillars of global development. We assess the impacts of the COVID-19 crisis on the Colca y Volcanes de Andagua UNESCO Global Geopark in Peru. The Colca y Volcanes de Andagua Geopark was established immediately prior to the pandemic in October 2019. The instability of the government in Peru during the pandemic and the difficult living conditions in the high Andes, such as the lack of drinking water, cleaning agents, medical care, and the high levels of poverty, particularly in the geopark region, has contributed to the significantly high COVID-19 infection rates. In addition, detrimental impacts faced by the local community are a direct result of a reduction in travellers to the area due to legislative restrictions, which have had negative consequences on the local tourism industry. There is an urgent need for the recovery of the local tourism industry to prevent the permanent closure of tourism facilities and to minimise poverty rates.
Collapse
|
15
|
Ramírez-Soto MC, Ortega-Cáceres G, Arroyo-Hernández H. Excess all-cause deaths stratified by sex and age in Peru: a time series analysis during the COVID-19 pandemic. BMJ Open 2022; 12:e057056. [PMID: 35273060 PMCID: PMC8914408 DOI: 10.1136/bmjopen-2021-057056] [Citation(s) in RCA: 14] [Impact Index Per Article: 4.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 12/20/2022] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND In this study, we estimated excess all-cause deaths and excess death rates during the COVID-19 pandemic in 25 Peruvian regions, stratified by sex and age group. DESIGN Cross-sectional study. SETTING Twenty-five Peruvian regions with complete mortality data. PARTICIPANTS Annual all-cause official mortality data set from SINADEF (Sistema Informático Nacional de Defunciones) at the Ministry of Health of Peru for 2017-2020, disaggregated by age and sex. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES Excess deaths and excess death rates (observed deaths vs expected deaths) in 2020 by sex and age (0-29, 30-39, 40-49, 50-59, 60-69, 70-79 and ≥80 years) were estimated using P-score. The ORs for excess mortality were summarised with a random-effects meta-analysis. RESULTS In the period between January and December 2020, we estimated an excess of 68 608 (117%) deaths in men and 34 742 (69%) deaths in women, corresponding to an excess death rate of 424 per 100 000 men and 211 per 100 000 women compared with the expected mortality rate. The number of excess deaths increased with age and was higher in men aged 60-69 years (217%) compared with women (121%). Men between the ages of 40 and 79 years experienced twice the rate of excess deaths compared with the expected rate. In eight regions, excess deaths were higher than 100% in men, and in seven regions excess deaths were higher than 70% in women. Men in eight regions and women in one region had two times increased odds of excess death than the expected mortality. There were differences in excess mortality according to temporal distribution by epidemiological week. CONCLUSION Approximately 100 000 excess all-cause deaths occurred in 2020 in Peru. Age-stratified excess death rates were higher in men than in women. There was strong excess in geographical and temporal mortality patterns according to region.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Max Carlos Ramírez-Soto
- Centro de Investigación en Salud Publica, Facultad de Medicina Humana, Universidad San Martin de Porres, Lima, Peru
- Facultad de Ciencias de la Salud, Universidad Tecnológica del Peru, Lima, Peru
| | | | | |
Collapse
|
16
|
Forero‐Peña DA, Carrión‐Nessi FS, Mendoza‐Millán DL, Omaña‐Ávila ÓD, Mejía‐Bernard MD, Camejo‐Ávila NA, Flora‐Noda DM, Velásquez VL, Chacón‐Labrador FR, Doval‐Fernández JM, Maricuto AL, Grillet ME, Hernández‐Villena JV, Vincenti‐González MF, Paniz‐Mondolfi AE, Orejas J, Rodríguez VI, Contreras MB, Guevara RN, Carballo M, Caldera J, Redondo MC, Landaeta ME. First wave of COVID-19 in Venezuela: Epidemiological, clinical, and paraclinical characteristics of first cases. J Med Virol 2022; 94:1175-1185. [PMID: 34761824 PMCID: PMC8662004 DOI: 10.1002/jmv.27449] [Citation(s) in RCA: 4] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/25/2021] [Revised: 11/08/2021] [Accepted: 11/09/2021] [Indexed: 01/08/2023]
Abstract
The coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic has particularly affected countries with weakened health services in Latin America, where proper patient management could be a critical step to address the epidemic. In this study, we aimed to characterize and identify which epidemiological, clinical, and paraclinical risk factors defined COVID-19 infection from the first confirmed cases through the first epidemic wave in Venezuela. A retrospective analysis of consecutive suspected cases of COVID-19 admitted to a sentinel hospital was carried out, including 576 patient cases subsequently confirmed for severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 infection. Of these, 162 (28.1%) patients met the definition criteria for severe/critical disease, and 414 (71.2%) were classified as mild/moderate disease. The mean age was 47 (SD 16) years, the majority of which were men (59.5%), and the most frequent comorbidity was arterial hypertension (23.3%). The most common symptoms included fever (88.7%), headache (65.6%), and dry cough (63.9%). Severe/critical disease affected mostly older males with low schooling (p < 0.001). Similarly, higher levels of glycemia, urea, aminotransferases, total bilirubin, lactate dehydrogenase, and erythrocyte sedimentation rate were observed in severe/critical disease patients compared to those with mild/moderate disease. Overall mortality was 7.6% (44/576), with 41.7% (28/68) dying in hospital. We identified risk factors related to COVID-19 infection, which could help healthcare providers take appropriate measures and prevent severe clinical outcomes. Our results suggest that the mortality registered by this disease in Venezuela during the first epidemic wave was underestimated. An increase in fatalities is expected to occur in the coming months unless measures that are more effective are implemented to mitigate the epidemic while the vaccination process is ongoing.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- David A. Forero‐Peña
- Department of Infectious DiseasesUniversity Hospital of CaracasCaracasVenezuela
- Department of Infectious DiseasesBiomedical Research and Therapeutic Vaccines InstituteCiudad BolivarVenezuela
| | - Fhabián S. Carrión‐Nessi
- Department of Infectious DiseasesBiomedical Research and Therapeutic Vaccines InstituteCiudad BolivarVenezuela
- Department of Medicine, “Dr. Francisco Battistini Casalta” Health Sciences SchoolUniversity of Oriente – Bolivar NucleusCiudad BolivarVenezuela
| | - Daniela L. Mendoza‐Millán
- Department of Infectious DiseasesBiomedical Research and Therapeutic Vaccines InstituteCiudad BolivarVenezuela
- Department of Medicine“Luis Razetti” School of Medicine, Central University of VenezuelaCaracasVenezuela
| | - Óscar D. Omaña‐Ávila
- Department of Infectious DiseasesBiomedical Research and Therapeutic Vaccines InstituteCiudad BolivarVenezuela
- Department of Medicine“Luis Razetti” School of Medicine, Central University of VenezuelaCaracasVenezuela
| | - Mario D. Mejía‐Bernard
- Department of Infectious DiseasesBiomedical Research and Therapeutic Vaccines InstituteCiudad BolivarVenezuela
- Department of Medicine“Luis Razetti” School of Medicine, Central University of VenezuelaCaracasVenezuela
| | - Natasha A. Camejo‐Ávila
- Department of Infectious DiseasesBiomedical Research and Therapeutic Vaccines InstituteCiudad BolivarVenezuela
- Department of Medicine, “Dr. Francisco Battistini Casalta” Health Sciences SchoolUniversity of Oriente – Bolivar NucleusCiudad BolivarVenezuela
| | - David M. Flora‐Noda
- Department of Infectious DiseasesUniversity Hospital of CaracasCaracasVenezuela
| | - Viledy L. Velásquez
- Department of Infectious DiseasesUniversity Hospital of CaracasCaracasVenezuela
| | - Fabián R. Chacón‐Labrador
- Department of Infectious DiseasesBiomedical Research and Therapeutic Vaccines InstituteCiudad BolivarVenezuela
- Department of Medicine“Luis Razetti” School of Medicine, Central University of VenezuelaCaracasVenezuela
| | - Juan M. Doval‐Fernández
- Department of Infectious DiseasesBiomedical Research and Therapeutic Vaccines InstituteCiudad BolivarVenezuela
- Department of Medicine“Luis Razetti” School of Medicine, Central University of VenezuelaCaracasVenezuela
| | - Andrea L. Maricuto
- Department of Infectious DiseasesUniversity Hospital of CaracasCaracasVenezuela
| | - María E. Grillet
- Vector Biology Laboratory, Institute of Zoology and Tropical EcologyCentral University of VenezuelaCaracasVenezuela
| | - Juan V. Hernández‐Villena
- Vector Biology Laboratory, Institute of Zoology and Tropical EcologyCentral University of VenezuelaCaracasVenezuela
| | - María F. Vincenti‐González
- Department of Medical Microbiology and Infection PreventionUniversity Medical Center Groningen, University of GroningenGroningenThe Netherlands
| | - Alberto E. Paniz‐Mondolfi
- Department of Pathology, Molecular and Cell‐Based MedicineIcahn School of Medicine at Mount SinaiNew YorkNew YorkUnited States
| | - José Orejas
- Division of Infectious DiseasesBrigham and Women's HospitalBostonMassachusettsUSA
| | - Verónica I. Rodríguez
- Department of Medicine“Luis Razetti” School of Medicine, Central University of VenezuelaCaracasVenezuela
| | - Mariana B. Contreras
- Department of Medicine“Luis Razetti” School of Medicine, Central University of VenezuelaCaracasVenezuela
| | - Rafael N. Guevara
- Department of Infectious DiseasesUniversity Hospital of CaracasCaracasVenezuela
| | - Martín Carballo
- Department of Infectious DiseasesUniversity Hospital of CaracasCaracasVenezuela
| | - Jocays Caldera
- Department of Infectious DiseasesUniversity Hospital of CaracasCaracasVenezuela
| | - María C. Redondo
- Department of Infectious DiseasesUniversity Hospital of CaracasCaracasVenezuela
| | - María E. Landaeta
- Department of Infectious DiseasesUniversity Hospital of CaracasCaracasVenezuela
| |
Collapse
|
17
|
Aamir M, Ahmad W, Ahmad B, Khan A, Fawad M, Abdullah M. PREVALENCE OF MORTALITY AND ITS DISTRIBUTION BY SEX AND AGE GROUPS IN INDOOR COVID-19 PATIENTS IN D.I.KHAN DIVISION, PAKISTAN. GOMAL JOURNAL OF MEDICAL SCIENCES 2021. [DOI: 10.46903/gjms/19.03.1029] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 10/19/2022] Open
Abstract
Background: COVID-19 has become one of the leading causes of morbidity and mortality. The objectives of this study were to determine the prevalence of mortality and its distribution by sex and age groups in indoor COVID-19 patients in D.I.Khan Division, Pakistan.Materials Methods: This cross-sectional study was conducted in the Department of Medicine, Gomal Medical College, D.I.Khan, Pakistan. A sample of 438 patients with positive SARS-CoV-2 RT-PCR was selected. Sex age-groups were two demographic and presence of mortality was a research variable. The data type for all variables was nominal, except ordinal age groups. Prevalence distribution were described by count and percentage with 95%CI. The hypotheses were tested by chi-square goodness of fit test.Results: Out of 438 COVID-19 patients, mortality was 43 (9.82%), including 34 (7.76%) men and nine (2.06%) women. The mortality was 0% for 0-19 years, four (0.92%) for 20-39 years, 12 (2.74%) for 40-59 years and 27 (6.16%) ≥60 years. Our mortality 9.82% was lower than expected 20.95% (p=.001). It was higher in men than women (p=.001). It was highest in age group ≥60 years, while 0% in 0-19 years. It was similar to expected by sex (p=.070) and age group (p=.207).Conclusion: Our study showed 9.82% mortality in indoor COVID-19 patients. The mortality was lower than expected. The mortality was higher in men than women. It was highest in elderly, while zero in children and adolescents. It was similar to expected by sex and age group.
Collapse
|
18
|
Abstract
Latin America has been severely affected by the COVID-19 pandemic. The COVID-19 burden in rural settings in Latin America is unclear. We performed a cross-sectional, population-based, random-selection SARS-CoV-2 serologic study during March 2021 in the rural population of San Martin region, northern Peru. In total, 563 persons from 288 houses across 10 provinces were enrolled, reaching 0.2% of the total rural population of San Martin. Screening for SARS-CoV-2 IgG antibodies was done using a chemiluminescence immunoassay (CLIA), and reactive sera were confirmed using a SARS-CoV-2 surrogate virus neutralization test (sVNT). Validation of the testing algorithm using prepandemic sera from two regions of Peru showed false-positive results in the CLIA (23/84 sera; 27%) but not in the sVNT, highlighting the pitfalls of SARS-CoV-2 antibody testing in tropical regions and the high specificity of the two-step algorithm used in this study. An overall 59.0% seroprevalence (95% confidence interval [CI], 55 to 63%) corroborated intense SARS-CoV-2 spread in San Martin. Seroprevalence rates between the 10 provinces varied from 41.3 to 74.0% (95% CI, 30 to 84%). Higher seroprevalence was not associated with population size, population density, surface area, mean altitude, or poverty index in Spearman correlations. Seroprevalence and reported incidence diverged substantially between provinces, suggesting regional biases of COVID-19 surveillance data. Potentially, limited health care access due to environmental, economic, and cultural factors might lead to undetected infections in rural populations. Additionally, test avoidance to evade mandatory quarantine might affect rural regions more than urban regions. Serologic diagnostics should be pursued in resource-limited settings to inform country-level surveillance and vaccination strategies and to support control measures for COVID-19. IMPORTANCE Latin America is a global hot spot of the COVID-19 pandemic. Serologic studies in Latin America have been mostly performed in urban settings. Rural populations comprise 20% of the total Latin American population. Nevertheless, information on COVID-19 spread in rural settings is scarce. Using a representative population-based seroprevalence study, we detected a high seroprevalence in rural populations in San Martin, northern Peru, in 2021, reaching 41 to 74%. However, seroprevalence and reported incidence diverged substantially between regions, potentially due to limited health care access or test avoidance due to mandatory quarantine. Our results suggest that rural populations are highly affected by SARS-CoV-2 even though they are sociodemographically distinct from urban populations and that highly specific serological diagnostics should be performed in resource-limited settings to support public health strategies of COVID-19 control.
Collapse
|
19
|
Cuellar NG, Lacey M, Remuzgo Artezano A, Zegers C, Mariñas Acevedo O, Williams JSJ, Mendigure J, Moran Parades GI. COVID-19 Behaviors and Beliefs Toward Immunizations among College Students in Lima, Peru. HISPANIC HEALTH CARE INTERNATIONAL 2021; 19:246-253. [PMID: 34693796 DOI: 10.1177/15404153211051091] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/16/2022]
Abstract
Introduction: Peru has experienced one of the highest rates of COVID-19 with only 27% of the population vaccinated. College students must make decisions on vaccination based on their belief and knowledge about immunizations. The purpose of this study was to describe COVID-19 behaviors and beliefs toward immunization among college students in Lima, Peru. Methods: Undergraduate students from Universidad Maria Auxiliadora (UMA) participated in this descriptive study. The CDC National 2009 H1N1 Flu Survey was adapted to measure behaviors and beliefs about immunizations of COVID-19. Results: 818 students participated in the study during the 2020 academic year. Significant differences were identified about taking vaccine when it was available by age (p = .02), gender (p < .001), marital status (p = .004), and income (p = .002). Significant associations were found between participants' ethnicity and location of last vaccination (p < .001) and race and reason to not receive the COVID-19 vaccine (p < .001). Conclusions: Peruvian students under the age of 32 are not eligible for the COVID-19 at this time. Findings can prepare academic institutions to promote education about the vaccine in this age group who have unique barriers in receiving health care and vaccinations.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
| | - Micayla Lacey
- Nursing, 8059University of Alabama System, Tuscaloosa, USA
| | | | - Carli Zegers
- School of Nursing, 21638University of Kansas Medical Center, Kansas City, USA
| | | | | | | | | |
Collapse
|
20
|
Villena-Tejada M, Vera-Ferchau I, Cardona-Rivero A, Zamalloa-Cornejo R, Quispe-Florez M, Frisancho-Triveño Z, Abarca-Meléndez RC, Alvarez-Sucari SG, Mejia CR, Yañez JA. Use of medicinal plants for COVID-19 prevention and respiratory symptom treatment during the pandemic in Cusco, Peru: A cross-sectional survey. PLoS One 2021; 16:e0257165. [PMID: 34550994 PMCID: PMC8457479 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0257165] [Citation(s) in RCA: 34] [Impact Index Per Article: 8.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/12/2021] [Accepted: 08/24/2021] [Indexed: 02/07/2023] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND The burden of the COVID-19 pandemic in Peru has led to people seeking alternative treatments as preventives and treatment options such as medicinal plants. This study aimed to assess factors associated with the use of medicinal plants as preventive or treatment of respiratory symptom related to COVID-19 during the pandemic in Cusco, Peru. METHOD A web-based cross-sectional study was conducted on general public (20- to 70-year-old) from August 31 to September 20, 2020. Data were collected using a structured questionnaire via Google Forms, it consisted of an 11-item questionnaire that was developed and validated by expert judgment using Aiken's V (Aiken's V > 0.9). Both descriptive statistics and bivariate followed by multivariable logistic regression analyses were conducted to assess factors associated with the use of medicinal plants for COVID-19 prevention and respiratory symptom treatment during the pandemic. Prevalence ratios (PR) with 95% Confidence Interval (CI), and a P-value of 0.05 was used to determine statistical significance. RESULTS A total of 1,747 respondents participated in the study, 80.2% reported that they used medicinal plants as preventives, while 71% reported that they used them to treat respiratory symptoms. At least, 24% of respondents used medicinal plants when presenting with two or more respiratory symptoms, while at least 11% used plants for malaise. For treatment or prevention, the multivariate analysis showed that most respondents used eucalyptus (p < 0.001 for both), ginger (p < 0.022 for both), spiked pepper (p < 0.003 for both), garlic (p = 0.023 for prevention), and chamomile (p = 0.011 for treatment). The respondents with COVID-19 (p < 0.001), at older ages (p = 0.046), and with a family member or friend who had COVID-19 (p < 0.001) used more plants for prevention. However, the respondents with technical or higher education used less plants for treatment (p < 0.001). CONCLUSION There was a significant use of medicinal plants for both prevention and treatment, which was associated with several population characteristics and whether respondents had COVID-19.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Magaly Villena-Tejada
- Departamento Académico de Farmacia, Facultad de Ciencias de la Salud, Universidad Nacional de San Antonio Abad del Cusco, Cusco, Peru
| | - Ingrid Vera-Ferchau
- Departamento Académico de Farmacia, Facultad de Ciencias de la Salud, Universidad Nacional de San Antonio Abad del Cusco, Cusco, Peru
| | - Anahí Cardona-Rivero
- Departamento Académico de Farmacia, Facultad de Ciencias de la Salud, Universidad Nacional de San Antonio Abad del Cusco, Cusco, Peru
| | - Rina Zamalloa-Cornejo
- Departamento Académico de Matemáticas y Estadística, Facultad de Ciencias, Universidad Nacional de San Antonio Abad del Cusco, Cusco, Peru
| | - Maritza Quispe-Florez
- Departamento Académico de Biología, Facultad de Ciencias, Universidad Nacional de San Antonio Abad del Cusco, Cusco, Peru
| | - Zany Frisancho-Triveño
- Departamento Académico de Farmacia, Facultad de Ciencias de la Salud, Universidad Nacional de San Antonio Abad del Cusco, Cusco, Peru
| | - Rosario C. Abarca-Meléndez
- Escuela Profesional de Farmacia y Bioquímica, Facultad de Ciencias de la Salud, Universidad Nacional de San Antonio Abad del Cusco, Cusco, Peru
| | - Susan G. Alvarez-Sucari
- Escuela Profesional de Farmacia y Bioquímica, Facultad de Ciencias de la Salud, Universidad Nacional de San Antonio Abad del Cusco, Cusco, Peru
| | | | - Jaime A. Yañez
- Vicerrectorado de Investigación, Universidad Norbert Wiener, Lima, Peru
- Gerencia Corporativa de Asuntos Científicos y Regulatorios, Teoma Global, Lima, Peru
| |
Collapse
|
21
|
Cardoza-Jiménez KJ, Carranza-Zavala B, Manrique-Franco K, Espinoza-Morales F, Mejia CR. Daily glucose variation influenced by the use of corticosteroids in COVID-19 patients treated in Lima-Peru. Diabetes Metab Syndr 2021; 15:102188. [PMID: 34217143 PMCID: PMC8239208 DOI: 10.1016/j.dsx.2021.102188] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/17/2021] [Revised: 06/21/2021] [Accepted: 06/23/2021] [Indexed: 12/29/2022]
Abstract
AIM The pandemic has generated the need for COVID-19 patients to be treated as best as possible; however, the effect of these treatments on glycemic control has not yet been taken into account. This article aims to determine whether the daily variation of glucose is influenced by the use of corticosteroids in COVID-19 patients treated in Lima-Peru. METHODOLOGY A prospective cohort study was undertook, in which glucose was measured four times a day in 53 patients hospitalized due to COVID-19. These values were associated with the use of corticosteroids and adjusted for other socio-educational variables, all by means of PA-GEE models. RESULTS Nested multivariate analysis of daily glucose variation found that those using corticosteroids increased the daily average glucose as well as the first and last glucose measurements, this is, at 6am and 10pm, respectively (all p-values <0.026). An increase in glucose levels was also observed in those with diabetes (all p-values <0.001). In contrast, we found that there was a decrease in the last glucose measurement of the day in obese patients (p-value = 0.044). CONCLUSIONS The patients who used corticosteroids for the treatment of COVID-19 increased the average glucose per day, especially in the first and last measurement.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
| | | | | | - Frank Espinoza-Morales
- Physician Nutrition Specialist - Center for Applied Diabetes Technologies (CAVIMEDIC), Lima, Peru.
| | - Christian R Mejia
- Translational Medicine Research Center, Universidad Norbert Wiener, Lima, Peru.
| |
Collapse
|
22
|
Psychological Factors Affecting Risk Perception of COVID-19: Evidence from Peru and China. INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH AND PUBLIC HEALTH 2021; 18:ijerph18126513. [PMID: 34204231 PMCID: PMC8296494 DOI: 10.3390/ijerph18126513] [Citation(s) in RCA: 5] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/23/2021] [Revised: 06/10/2021] [Accepted: 06/13/2021] [Indexed: 01/27/2023]
Abstract
COVID-19 has spread around the world, causing a global pandemic, and to date is impacting in various ways in both developed and developing countries. We know that the spread of this virus is through people’s behavior despite the perceived risks. Risk perception plays an important role in decision-making to prevent infection. Using data from the online survey of participants in Peru and China (N = 1594), data were collected between 8 July 31 and August 2020. We found that levels of risk perception are relatively moderate, but higher in Peru compared to China. In both countries, anxiety, threat perception, self-confidence, and sex were found to be significant predictors of risk perception; however, trust in the information received by government and experts was significant only in Peru, whereas self-confidence had a significant negative effect only for China. Risk communication should be implemented through information programs aimed at reducing anxiety and improving self-confidence, taking into consideration gender differences. In addition, the information generated by the government should be based on empirical sources. Finally, the implications for effective risk communication and its impacts on the health field are discussed.
Collapse
|
23
|
Ramírez-Soto MC, Arroyo-Hernández H, Ortega-Cáceres G. Sex differences in the incidence, mortality, and fatality of COVID-19 in Peru. PLoS One 2021; 16:e0253193. [PMID: 34125851 PMCID: PMC8202928 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0253193] [Citation(s) in RCA: 14] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/24/2021] [Accepted: 05/30/2021] [Indexed: 12/14/2022] Open
Abstract
Background There is a worrying lack of epidemiological data on the sex differential in COVID-19 infection and death rates between the regions of Peru. Methods Using cases and death data from the national population-based surveillance system of Peru, we estimated incidence, mortality and fatality, stratified by sex, age and geographic distribution (per 100,000 habitants) from March 16 to November 27, 2020. At the same time, we calculated the risk of COVID-19 death. Results During the study period, 961894 cases and 35913 deaths were reported in Peru. Men had a twofold higher risk of COVID-19 death within the overall population of Peru (odds ratio (OR), 2.11; confidence interval (CI) 95%; 2.06–2.16; p<0.00001), as well as 20 regions of Peru, compared to women (p<0.05). There were variations in incidence, mortality and fatality rates stratified by sex, age, and region. The incidence rate was higher among men than among women (3079 vs. 2819 per 100,000 habitants, respectively). The mortality rate was two times higher in males than in females (153 vs. 68 per 100,000 habitants, respectively). The mortality rates increased with age, and were high in men 60 years of age or older. The fatality rate was two times higher in men than in women (4.96% vs. 2.41%, respectively), and was high in men 50 years of age or older. Conclusions These findings show the higher incidence, mortality and fatality rates among men than among women from Peru. These rates vary widely by region, and men are at greater risk of COVID-19 death. In addition, the mortality and fatality rates increased with age, and were most predominant in men 50 years of age or older.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Max Carlos Ramírez-Soto
- School of Public Health and Administration, Universidad Peruana Cayetano Heredia, Lima, Peru
- Facultad de Ciencias de la Salud, Universidad Tecnológica del Peru, Lima, Peru
- * E-mail: ,
| | | | | |
Collapse
|
24
|
Pegiou S, Rentzeperi E, Koufakis T, Metallidis S, Kotsa K. The role of sexual dimorphism in susceptibility to SARS-CoV-2 infection, disease severity, and mortality: facts, controversies and future perspectives. Microbes Infect 2021; 23:104850. [PMID: 34129909 PMCID: PMC8196472 DOI: 10.1016/j.micinf.2021.104850] [Citation(s) in RCA: 3] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/20/2021] [Revised: 06/02/2021] [Accepted: 06/05/2021] [Indexed: 01/08/2023]
Abstract
Former studies have revealed intersex variability in immune response to infectious diseases, including Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19), caused by severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2). Epidemiological surveillance of the ongoing pandemic has demonstrated a male vulnerability to morbidity and mortality, despite similar infection rates between the two sexes. Divergence in the frequency of comorbidities between males and females, differences in hormonal profile, chromosomal composition and gender behavior have all been proposed as potential causative factors. Data deriving from the immunization process indirectly support the existence of a sex-specific response to SARS-CoV-2, since females apparently produce higher numbers of antibodies while simultaneously exhibiting higher rates of side effects, indicating a stronger immune reactivity to the vaccine's elements. Interpreting intersex differences in immune response to SARS-CoV-2 could lead to a deeper understanding of the COVID-19 pathophysiology and enable healthcare professionals to conduct a more accurate patient risk assessment and better predict the clinical outcome of the disease. This narrative review aims to discuss the pathophysiological and behavioral basis of the disproportionate male morbidity and mortality observed in COVID-19, in the context of most research findings in the field.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Stavroula Pegiou
- Medical School, Aristotle University of Thessaloniki, Thessaloniki, Greece
| | | | - Theocharis Koufakis
- Division of Endocrinology and Metabolism and Diabetes Center, First Department of Internal Medicine, Medical School, Aristotle University of Thessaloniki, AHEPA University Hospital, Thessaloniki, Greece
| | - Symeon Metallidis
- Infectious Diseases Division, First Department of Internal Medicine, Medical School, Aristotle University of Thessaloniki, AHEPA University Hospital, Thessaloniki, Greece
| | - Kalliopi Kotsa
- Division of Endocrinology and Metabolism and Diabetes Center, First Department of Internal Medicine, Medical School, Aristotle University of Thessaloniki, AHEPA University Hospital, Thessaloniki, Greece.
| |
Collapse
|
25
|
Ahammed T, Anjum A, Rahman MM, Haider N, Kock R, Uddin MJ. Estimation of novel coronavirus (COVID-19) reproduction number and case fatality rate: A systematic review and meta-analysis. Health Sci Rep 2021; 4:e274. [PMID: 33977156 PMCID: PMC8093857 DOI: 10.1002/hsr2.274] [Citation(s) in RCA: 18] [Impact Index Per Article: 4.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/01/2020] [Revised: 02/08/2021] [Accepted: 03/16/2021] [Indexed: 12/13/2022] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND AND AIMS Realizing the transmission potential and the magnitude of the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) aids public health monitoring, strategies, and preparation. Two fundamental parameters, the basic reproduction number (R 0) and case fatality rate (CFR) of COVID-19, help in this understanding process. The objective of this study was to estimate the R 0 and CFR of COVID-19 and assess whether the parameters vary in different regions of the world. METHODS We carried out a systematic review to find the reported estimates of the R 0 and the CFR in articles from international databases between January 1 and August 31, 2020. Random-effect models and Forest plots were implemented to evaluate the mean effect size of R 0 and the CFR. Furthermore, R 0 and CFR of the studies were quantified based on geographic location, the tests/thousand population, and the median population age of the countries where the studies were conducted. To assess statistical heterogeneity among the selected articles, the I 2 statistic and the Cochran's Q test were used. RESULTS Forty-five studies involving R 0 and 34 studies involving CFR were included. The pooled estimation of R 0 was 2.69 (95% CI: 2.40, 2.98), and that of the CFR was 2.67 (2.25, 3.13). The CFR in different regions of the world varied significantly, from 2.49 (2.08, 2.94) in Asia to 3.40 (2.81, 4.04) in North America. We observed higher mean CFR values for the countries with lower tests (3.15 vs 2.16) and greater median population age (3.13 vs 2.27). However, R 0 did not vary significantly in different regions of the world. CONCLUSIONS An R 0 of 2.69 and a CFR of 2.67 indicate the severity of the COVID-19. Although R 0 and CFR may vary over time, space, and demographics, we recommend considering these figures in control and prevention measures.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Tanvir Ahammed
- Department of StatisticsShahjalal University of Science and TechnologySylhetBangladesh
| | - Aniqua Anjum
- Department of StatisticsShahjalal University of Science and TechnologySylhetBangladesh
| | - Mohammad Meshbahur Rahman
- Department of Health Statistics (Meta‐analysis & Geriatric Health)Biomedical Research FoundationDhakaBangladesh
| | - Najmul Haider
- The Royal Veterinary CollegeUniversity of LondonHertfordshireUnited Kingdom
| | - Richard Kock
- The Royal Veterinary CollegeUniversity of LondonHertfordshireUnited Kingdom
| | - Md Jamal Uddin
- Department of StatisticsShahjalal University of Science and TechnologySylhetBangladesh
| |
Collapse
|
26
|
Kushwaha S, Khanna P, Rajagopal V, Kiran T. Biological attributes of age and gender variations in Indian COVID-19 cases: A retrospective data analysis. CLINICAL EPIDEMIOLOGY AND GLOBAL HEALTH 2021; 11:100788. [PMID: 34079918 PMCID: PMC8159626 DOI: 10.1016/j.cegh.2021.100788] [Citation(s) in RCA: 16] [Impact Index Per Article: 4.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/20/2020] [Revised: 03/03/2021] [Accepted: 05/19/2021] [Indexed: 01/03/2023] Open
Abstract
Background The associated risk factors, co-morbid conditions and biological differences varying with gender and age might be the cause of higher COVID-19 infection and deaths among males and older persons. The objective of this study was to predict and specify the biological attributes of variation in age and gender-based on COVID-19 status (deceased/recovered). Methods In this retrospective study, the data was extracted from a recognised web-based portal. A total of 112,860 patients' record was filtered out and an additional 9131 records were separately analysed to examine age and gender relationship with patient's COVID-19 status (recovered/deceased). Chi-square, t-test, binary logistic regression, and longitudinal regression analysis were conducted. Results The male COVID-19 cases (65.39%) were more than females (34.61%) and mean age of infected and recovered patients was 39.47 ± 17.59 years and 36.85 ± 18.51 years respectively. The odds for infection was significantly higher among females for lower age categories, which declines with age. The age-adjusted odds for recovery were significantly higher among females (O.R. = 1.779) and odds for recovery was highest in 5–17 years age category (O.R. = 88.286) independent of gender. Conclusion The chances of being COVID-19 infected was higher for females of lower age categories (<35 years) which decreases with age. The odds for recovery among females was significantly higher than males. The chances of recovery declines with increasing age and the variation could be attributed to the biological differences between age categories and gender.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Savitesh Kushwaha
- Department of Community Medicine and School of Public Health, Post Graduate Institute of Medical Education and Research, Chandigarh, 160012, India
| | - Poonam Khanna
- Department of Community Medicine and School of Public Health, Post Graduate Institute of Medical Education and Research, Chandigarh, 160012, India
| | - Vineeth Rajagopal
- Department of Community Medicine and School of Public Health, Post Graduate Institute of Medical Education and Research, Chandigarh, 160012, India
| | - Tanvi Kiran
- Department of Community Medicine and School of Public Health, Post Graduate Institute of Medical Education and Research, Chandigarh, 160012, India
| |
Collapse
|
27
|
Shim E. Delay-Adjusted Age-Specific COVID-19 Case Fatality Rates in a High Testing Setting: South Korea, February 2020 to February 2021. INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH AND PUBLIC HEALTH 2021; 18:ijerph18105053. [PMID: 34064703 PMCID: PMC8151864 DOI: 10.3390/ijerph18105053] [Citation(s) in RCA: 3] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/14/2021] [Revised: 05/04/2021] [Accepted: 05/06/2021] [Indexed: 12/28/2022]
Abstract
In South Korea, a country with a high coronavirus disease 19 (COVID-19) testing rate, a total of 87,324 COVID-19 cases, including 1562 deaths, have been recorded as of 23 February 2021. This study assessed the delay-adjusted COVID-19 case fatality risk (CFR), including data from the second and third waves. A statistical method was applied to the data from 20 February 2021 through 23 February 2021 to minimize bias in the crude CFR, accounting for the survival interval as the lag time between disease onset and death. The resulting overall delay-adjusted CFR was 1.97% (95% credible interval: 1.94–2.00%). The delay-adjusted CFR was highest among adults aged ≥80 years and 70–79 years (22.88% and 7.09%, respectively). The cumulative incidence rate was highest among individuals aged ≥80 years and 60–69 years. The cumulative mortality rate was highest among individuals aged ≥80 years and 70–79 years (47 and 12 per million, respectively). In South Korea, older adults are being disproportionately affected by COVID-19 with a high death rate, although the incidence rate among younger individuals is relatively high. Interventions to prevent COVID-19 should target older adults to minimize the number of deaths.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Eunha Shim
- Department of Mathematics, Soongsil University, Seoul 06978, Korea
| |
Collapse
|
28
|
Reyes-Vega MF, Soto-Cabezas M, Cárdenas F, Martel KS, Valle A, Valverde J, Vidal-Anzardo M, Falcón ME, Munayco CV. SARS-CoV-2 prevalence associated to low socioeconomic status and overcrowding in an LMIC megacity: A population-based seroepidemiological survey in Lima, Peru. EClinicalMedicine 2021; 34:100801. [PMID: 33817611 PMCID: PMC8009628 DOI: 10.1016/j.eclinm.2021.100801] [Citation(s) in RCA: 36] [Impact Index Per Article: 9.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/23/2020] [Revised: 02/28/2021] [Accepted: 03/02/2021] [Indexed: 12/21/2022] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Worldwide, Peru has one of the highest infection fatality rates of COVID-19, and its capital city, Lima, accumulates roughly 50% of diagnosed cases. Despite surveillance efforts to assess the extent of the pandemic, reported cases and deaths only capture a fraction of its impact due to COVID-19's broad clinical spectrum. This study aimed to estimate the seroprevalence of SARS-CoV-2 in Lima, stratified by age, sex, region, socioeconomic status (SES), overcrowding, and symptoms. METHODS We conducted a multi-stage, population-based serosurvey in Lima, between June 28th and July 9th, 2020, after 115 days of the index case and after the first peak cases. We collected whole blood samples by finger-prick and applied a structured questionnaire. A point-of-care rapid serological test assessed IgM and IgG antibodies against SARS-CoV-2. Seroprevalence estimates were adjusted by sampling weights and test performance. Additionally, we performed RT-PCR molecular assays to seronegatives and estimated the infection prevalence. FINDINGS We enrolled 3212 participants from 797 households and 241 sample clusters from Lima in the analysis. The SARS-CoV-2 seroprevalence was 20·8% (95%CI 17·2-23·5), and the prevalence was 25·2% (95%CI 22·5-28·2). Seroprevalence was equally distributed by sex (aPR=0·96 [95%CI 0·85-1·09, p = 0·547]) and across all age groups, including ≥60 versus ≤11 years old (aPR=0·96 [95%CI 0·73-1·27, p = 0·783]). A gradual decrease in SES was associated with higher seroprevalence (aPR=3·41 [95%CI 1·90-6·12, p<0·001] in low SES). Also, a gradual increase in the overcrowding index was associated with higher seroprevalence (aPR=1·99 [95%CI 1·41-2·81, p<0·001] in the fourth quartile). Seroprevalence was also associated with contact with a suspected or confirmed COVID-19 case, whether a household member (48·9%, aPR=2·67 [95%CI 2·06-3·47, p<0·001]), other family members (27·3%, aPR=1·66 [95%CI 1·15-2·40, p = 0·008]) or a workmate (34·1%, aPR=2·26 [95%CI 1·53-3·35, p<0·001]). More than half of seropositive participants reported never having had symptoms (56·1%, 95% CI 49·7-62·3). INTERPRETATION This first estimate of SARS-CoV-2 seroprevalence in Lima shows an intense transmission scenario, despite the government's numerous interventions early established. Susceptibles across age groups show that physical distancing interventions must not be relaxed. SES and overcrowding households are associated with seroprevalence. This study highlights the importance of considering the existing social inequalities for implementing the response to control transmission in low- and middle-income countries.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Mary F. Reyes-Vega
- Centro Nacional de Epidemiología, Prevención y Control de Enfermedades, Peruvian Ministry of Health, Jr. Daniel Olaechea N°. 199, Jesús María, Lima, Peru
| | - M.Gabriela Soto-Cabezas
- Centro Nacional de Epidemiología, Prevención y Control de Enfermedades, Peruvian Ministry of Health, Jr. Daniel Olaechea N°. 199, Jesús María, Lima, Peru
| | - Fany Cárdenas
- Instituto Nacional de Salud, Peruvian Ministry of Health, Av. Defensores del Morro 2268, Chorrillos, Lima, Peru
| | - Kevin S. Martel
- Centro Nacional de Epidemiología, Prevención y Control de Enfermedades, Peruvian Ministry of Health, Jr. Daniel Olaechea N°. 199, Jesús María, Lima, Peru
| | - Andree Valle
- Centro Nacional de Epidemiología, Prevención y Control de Enfermedades, Peruvian Ministry of Health, Jr. Daniel Olaechea N°. 199, Jesús María, Lima, Peru
| | - Juan Valverde
- Instituto Nacional de Estadística e Informática, Av. Gral. Garzón 654 - 658, Jesús María, Lima, Peru
| | - Margot Vidal-Anzardo
- Instituto Nacional de Salud, Peruvian Ministry of Health, Av. Defensores del Morro 2268, Chorrillos, Lima, Peru
| | - María Elena Falcón
- Instituto Nacional de Estadística e Informática, Av. Gral. Garzón 654 - 658, Jesús María, Lima, Peru
| | - César V. Munayco
- Centro Nacional de Epidemiología, Prevención y Control de Enfermedades, Peruvian Ministry of Health, Jr. Daniel Olaechea N°. 199, Jesús María, Lima, Peru
| | - Peru COVID-19 Working Group
- Centro Nacional de Epidemiología, Prevención y Control de Enfermedades, Peruvian Ministry of Health, Jr. Daniel Olaechea N°. 199, Jesús María, Lima, Peru
- Instituto Nacional de Salud, Peruvian Ministry of Health, Av. Defensores del Morro 2268, Chorrillos, Lima, Peru
- Instituto Nacional de Estadística e Informática, Av. Gral. Garzón 654 - 658, Jesús María, Lima, Peru
| |
Collapse
|
29
|
Díaz-Vélez C, Urrunaga-Pastor D, Romero-Cerdán A, Peña-Sánchez ER, Fernández Mogollon JL, Cossio Chafloque JD, Marreros Ascoy GC, Benites-Zapata VA. Risk factors for mortality in hospitalized patients with COVID-19 from three hospitals in Peru: a retrospective cohort study. F1000Res 2021; 10:224. [PMID: 34211701 PMCID: PMC8207806 DOI: 10.12688/f1000research.51474.1] [Citation(s) in RCA: 19] [Impact Index Per Article: 4.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Accepted: 03/08/2021] [Indexed: 12/15/2022] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Peru was one of the countries with the highest COVID-19 mortality worldwide during the first stage of the pandemic. It is then relevant to evaluate the risk factors for mortality in patients hospitalized for COVID-19 in three hospitals in Peru in 2020, from March to May, 2020. Methods: We carried out a retrospective cohort study. The population consisted of patients from three Peruvian hospitals hospitalized for a diagnosis of COVID-19 during the March-May 2020 period. Independent sociodemographic variables, medical history, symptoms, vital functions, laboratory parameters and medical treatment were evaluated. In-hospital mortality was assessed as the outcome. We performed Cox regression models (crude and adjusted) to evaluate risk factors for in-hospital mortality. Hazard ratios (HR) with their respective 95% confidence intervals (95% CI) were calculated. Results: We analyzed 493 hospitalized adults; 72.8% (n=359) were male and the mean age was 63.3 ± 14.4 years. COVID-19 symptoms appeared on average 7.9 ± 4.0 days before admission to the hospital, and the mean oxygen saturation on admission was 82.6 ± 13.8. While 67.6% (n=333) required intensive care unit admission, only 3.3% (n=16) were admitted to this unit, and 60.2% (n=297) of the sample died. In the adjusted regression analysis, it was found that being 60 years old or older (HR=1.57; 95% CI: 1.14-2.15), having two or more comorbidities (HR=1.53; 95% CI: 1.10-2.14), oxygen saturation between 85-80% (HR=2.52; 95% CI: 1.58-4.02), less than 80% (HR=4.59; 95% CI: 3.01-7.00), and being in the middle (HR=1.65; 95% CI: 1.15-2.39) and higher tertile (HR=2.18; 95% CI: 1.51-3.15) of the neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio, increased the risk of mortality. Conclusions: The risk factors found agree with what has been described in the literature and allow the identification of vulnerable groups in whom monitoring and early identification of symptoms should be prioritized in order to reduce mortality.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Cristian Díaz-Vélez
- Universidad Señor de Sipán, Escuela de Medicina, Chiclayo, Peru
- Hospital Nacional Almanzor Aguinaga Asenjo, EsSalud, Chiclayo, Peru
| | | | - Anthony Romero-Cerdán
- ADIECS Asociación para el Desarrollo de la Investigación Estudiantil en Ciencias de la Salud, Universidad Nacional Mayor de San Marcos, Lima, Peru
| | | | | | | | | | - Vicente A. Benites-Zapata
- Universidad San Ignacio de Loyola, Unidad de Investigación para la Generación y Síntesis de Evidencias en Salud, Lima, Peru
| |
Collapse
|
30
|
Shim E. Regional Variability in COVID-19 Case Fatality Rate in Canada, February-December 2020. INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH AND PUBLIC HEALTH 2021; 18:ijerph18041839. [PMID: 33672804 PMCID: PMC7918493 DOI: 10.3390/ijerph18041839] [Citation(s) in RCA: 12] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/13/2021] [Revised: 02/07/2021] [Accepted: 02/08/2021] [Indexed: 12/13/2022]
Abstract
A total of 475,214 COVID-19 cases, including 13,659 deaths, had been recorded in Canada as of 15 December 2020. The daily reports of confirmed cases and deaths in Canada prior to 15 December 2020 were obtained from publicly available sources and used to examine regional variations in case fatality rate (CFR). Based on a factor of underestimation and the duration of time from symptom onset to death, the time-delay adjusted CFR for COVID-19 was estimated in the four most affected provinces (Quebec, Ontario, Alberta, and British Columbia) and nationwide. The model-based adjusted CFR was higher than the crude CFR throughout the pandemic, primarily owing to the incorporation in our estimation of the delay between case reports and deaths. The adjusted CFR in Canada was estimated to be 3.36% nationwide. At the provincial level, the adjusted CFR was the highest in Quebec (5.13%)—where the proportion of deaths among older individuals was also the highest among the four provinces—followed by Ontario (3.17%), British Columbia (1.97%), and Alberta (1.13%). Provincial-level variations in CFR were considerable, suggesting that public health interventions focused on densely populated areas and elderly individuals can ameliorate the mortality burden of the COVID-19 pandemic.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Eunha Shim
- Department of Mathematics, Soongsil University, Seoul 06978, Korea
| |
Collapse
|
31
|
Undurraga EA, Chowell G, Mizumoto K. COVID-19 case fatality risk by age and gender in a high testing setting in Latin America: Chile, March-August 2020. Infect Dis Poverty 2021; 10:11. [PMID: 33531085 PMCID: PMC7854021 DOI: 10.1186/s40249-020-00785-1] [Citation(s) in RCA: 63] [Impact Index Per Article: 15.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/09/2020] [Accepted: 12/16/2020] [Indexed: 02/06/2023] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Early severity estimates of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) are critically needed to assess the potential impact of the ongoing pandemic in different demographic groups. Here we estimate the real-time delay-adjusted case fatality rate across nine age groups by gender in Chile, the country with the highest testing rate for COVID-19 in Latin America. METHODS We used a publicly available real-time daily series of age-stratified COVID-19 cases and deaths reported by the Ministry of Health in Chile from the beginning of the epidemic in March through August 31, 2020. We used a robust likelihood function and a delay distribution to estimate real-time delay-adjusted case-fatality risk and estimate model parameters using a Monte Carlo Markov Chain in a Bayesian framework. RESULTS As of August 31, 2020, our estimates of the time-delay adjusted case fatality rate (CFR) for men and women are 4.16% [95% Credible Interval (CrI): 4.09-4.24%] and 3.26% (95% CrI: 3.19-3.34%), respectively, while the overall estimate is 3.72% (95% CrI: 3.67-3.78%). Seniors aged 80 years and over have an adjusted CFR of 56.82% (95% CrI: 55.25-58.34%) for men and 41.10% (95% CrI: 40.02-42.26%) for women. Results showed a peak in estimated CFR during the June peak of the epidemic. The peak possibly reflects insufficient laboratory capacity, as illustrated by high test positivity rates (33% positive 7-day average nationally in June), which may have resulted in lower reporting rates. CONCLUSIONS Severity estimates from COVID-19 in Chile suggest that male seniors, especially among those aged ≥ 70 years, are being disproportionately affected by the pandemic, a finding consistent with other regions. The ongoing pandemic is imposing a high death toll in South America, and Chile has one of the highest reported mortality rates globally thus far. These real-time estimates may help inform public health officials' decisions in the region and underscore the need to implement more effective measures to ameliorate fatality.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Eduardo A Undurraga
- Escuela de Gobierno, Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile, Vicuña Mackenna 4860, Macul, CP 7820436, Santiago, Región Metropolitana, Chile.
- Millennium Initiative for Collaborative Research in Bacterial Resistance (MICROB-R), Santiago, Chile.
| | - Gerardo Chowell
- Department of Population Health Sciences, School of Public Health, Georgia State University, Atlanta, GA, USA
| | - Kenji Mizumoto
- Graduate School of Advanced Integrated Studies in Human Survivability, Kyoto University Yoshida-Nakaadachi-Cho, Sakyo-ku, Kyoto, Japan
- Hakubi Center for Advanced Research, Kyoto University, Yoshidahonmachi, Sakyo-ku, Kyoto, Japan
| |
Collapse
|
32
|
Tariq A, Undurraga EA, Laborde CC, Vogt-Geisse K, Luo R, Rothenberg R, Chowell G. Transmission dynamics and control of COVID-19 in Chile, March-October, 2020. PLoS Negl Trop Dis 2021; 15:e0009070. [PMID: 33481804 PMCID: PMC7857594 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pntd.0009070] [Citation(s) in RCA: 29] [Impact Index Per Article: 7.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/17/2020] [Revised: 02/03/2021] [Accepted: 12/13/2020] [Indexed: 12/22/2022] Open
Abstract
Since the detection of the first case of COVID-19 in Chile on March 3rd, 2020, a total of 513,188 cases, including ~14,302 deaths have been reported in Chile as of November 2nd, 2020. Here, we estimate the reproduction number throughout the epidemic in Chile and study the effectiveness of control interventions especially the effectiveness of lockdowns by conducting short-term forecasts based on the early transmission dynamics of COVID-19. Chile's incidence curve displays early sub-exponential growth dynamics with the deceleration of growth parameter, p, estimated at 0.8 (95% CI: 0.7, 0.8) and the reproduction number, R, estimated at 1.8 (95% CI: 1.6, 1.9). Our findings indicate that the control measures at the start of the epidemic significantly slowed down the spread of the virus. However, the relaxation of restrictions and spread of the virus in low-income neighborhoods in May led to a new surge of infections, followed by the reimposition of lockdowns in Greater Santiago and other municipalities. These measures have decelerated the virus spread with R estimated at ~0.96 (95% CI: 0.95, 0.98) as of November 2nd, 2020. The early sub-exponential growth trend (p ~0.8) of the COVID-19 epidemic transformed into a linear growth trend (p ~0.5) as of July 7th, 2020, after the reimposition of lockdowns. While the broad scale social distancing interventions have slowed the virus spread, the number of new COVID-19 cases continue to accrue, underscoring the need for persistent social distancing and active case detection and isolation efforts to maintain the epidemic under control.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Amna Tariq
- Department of Population Health Sciences, School of Public Health, Georgia State University, Atlanta, Georgia, United States of America
| | - Eduardo A. Undurraga
- Escuela de Gobierno, Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile, Santiago, Region Metropolitana, Chile
- Millennium Initiative for Collaborative Research in Bacterial Resistance (MICROB-R), Santiago, Region Metropolitana, Chile
- Research Center for Integrated Disaster Risk Management (CIGIDEN), Santiago, Region Metropolitana, Chile
| | - Carla Castillo Laborde
- Centro de Epidemiología y Políticas de Salud, Facultad de Medicina, Clínica Alemana Universidad del Desarrollo, Santiago, Region Metropolitana, Chile
| | - Katia Vogt-Geisse
- Facultad de Ingeniería y Ciencias, Universidad Adolfo Ibáñez, Santiago, Region Metropolitana, Chile
| | - Ruiyan Luo
- Department of Population Health Sciences, School of Public Health, Georgia State University, Atlanta, Georgia, United States of America
| | - Richard Rothenberg
- Department of Population Health Sciences, School of Public Health, Georgia State University, Atlanta, Georgia, United States of America
| | - Gerardo Chowell
- Department of Population Health Sciences, School of Public Health, Georgia State University, Atlanta, Georgia, United States of America
| |
Collapse
|
33
|
Huang D, Miao H, Zhang Z, Yang Y, Zhang L, Lure FYM, Wang Z, Jaeger S, Guo L, Xu T, Liu J. Longitudinal changes of laboratory measurements after discharged from hospital in 268 COVID-19 pneumonia patients. JOURNAL OF X-RAY SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY 2021; 29:741-762. [PMID: 34397444 DOI: 10.3233/xst-210920] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 06/13/2023]
Abstract
BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE Monitoring recovery process of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) patients released from hospital is crucial for exploring residual effects of COVID-19 and beneficial for clinical care. In this study, a comprehensive analysis was carried out to clarify residual effects of COVID-19 on hospital discharged patients. METHODS Two hundred sixty-eight cases with laboratory measured data at hospital discharge record and five follow-up visits were retrospectively collected to carry out statistical data analysis comprehensively, which includes multiple statistical methods (e.g., chi-square, T-test and regression) used in this study. RESULTS Study found that 13 of 21 hematologic parameters in laboratory measured dataset and volume ratio of right lung lesions on CT images highly associated with COVID-19. Moderate patients had statistically significant lower neutrophils than mild and severe patients after hospital discharge, which is probably caused by more efforts on severe patients and slightly neglection of moderate patients. COVID-19 has residual effects on neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) of patients who have hypertension or chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD). After released from hospital, female showed better performance in T lymphocytes subset cells, especially T helper lymphocyte% (16% higher than male). According to this sex-based differentiation of COVID-19, male should be recommended to take clinical test more frequently to monitor recovery of immune system. Patients over 60 years old showed unstable recovery process of immune cells (e.g., CD45 + lymphocyte) within 75 days after discharge requiring longer clinical care. Additionally, right lung was vulnerable to COVID-19 and required more time to recover than left lung. CONCLUSIONS Criterion of hospital discharge and strategy of clinical care should be flexible in different cases due to residual effects of COVID-19, which depend on several impact factors. Revealing remaining effects of COVID-19 is an effective way to eliminate disorder of mental health caused by COVID-19 infection.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Deyang Huang
- Guangzhou Eighth People's Hospital, Guangdong, China
| | - Hengyuan Miao
- Tsinghua-Berkeley Shenzhen Institute, Tsinghua University, Shenzhen, China
| | - Ziqi Zhang
- Tsinghua-Berkeley Shenzhen Institute, Tsinghua University, Shenzhen, China
| | - Yanhong Yang
- Guangzhou Eighth People's Hospital, Guangdong, China
| | | | | | - Zixian Wang
- Tsinghua-Berkeley Shenzhen Institute, Tsinghua University, Shenzhen, China
| | - Stefan Jaeger
- National Library of Medicine, National Institutes of Health, Rockville Pike, Bethesda, MD, USA
| | - Lin Guo
- Shenzhen Zhiying Medical Co., Ltd, Shenzhen, China
| | - Tao Xu
- Tsinghua-Berkeley Shenzhen Institute, Tsinghua University, Shenzhen, China
- Biomanufacturing and Rapid Forming Technology Key Laboratory of Beijings, Department of Mechanical Engineering, Tsinghua University, Beijing, China
- Key Laboratory for Advanced Materials Processing Technology, Ministry of Education, Department of Mechanical Engineering, Tsinghua University, Beijing, China
| | - Jinxin Liu
- Guangzhou Eighth People's Hospital, Guangdong, China
| |
Collapse
|
34
|
Li G, Liu Y, Jing X, Wang Y, Miao M, Tao L, Zhou Z, Xie Y, Huang Y, Lei J, Gong G, Jin P, Hao Y, Faria NR, Clercq ED, Zhang M. Mortality risk of COVID-19 in elderly males with comorbidities: a multi-country study. Aging (Albany NY) 2020; 13:27-60. [PMID: 33472167 PMCID: PMC7835001 DOI: 10.18632/aging.202456] [Citation(s) in RCA: 46] [Impact Index Per Article: 9.2] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/30/2020] [Accepted: 12/09/2020] [Indexed: 01/08/2023]
Abstract
The COVID-19 pandemic causes severe morbidity and mortality. This multi-country study aimed to explore risk factors that drive mortality in COVID-19 patients who received neither dexamethasone nor remdesivir. We analyzed a cohort of 568 survivors and 507 non-survivors from China, European regions, and North America. Elderly males ≥70 years accounted for only 25% of survivors, but this rate was significantly higher in non-survivors from China (55%), European regions (63%), and North America (47%). Compared with survivors, non-survivors had more incidences of comorbidities such as cerebrovascular disease and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD, p-values<0.05). Survival analyses revealed age, male gender, shortness of breath, cerebrovascular disease, and COPD as mortality-associated factors. Survival time from symptom onset was significantly shorter in elderly versus young patients (median: 29 versus 62 days), males versus females (median: 46 versus 59 days), and patients with versus without comorbidities (mean: 41 versus 61 days). Mortality risk was higher in elderly males with comorbidities than in young females without comorbidities (p-value<0.01). Elderly male survivors with comorbidities also had longer hospital stays than other survivors (25 versus 18.5 days, p-value<0.01). Overall, the high mortality risk in elderly males with COVID-19-associated comorbidities supports early prevention and critical care for elderly populations.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Guangdi Li
- Institute of Hepatology and Department of Infectious Diseases, The Second Xiangya Hospital, Central South University, Changsha, China.,Hunan Provincial Key Laboratory of Clinical Epidemiology, Xiangya School of Public Health, Central South University, Changsha, China
| | - Yacong Liu
- Hunan Provincial Key Laboratory of Clinical Epidemiology, Xiangya School of Public Health, Central South University, Changsha, China
| | - Xixi Jing
- Hunan Provincial Key Laboratory of Clinical Epidemiology, Xiangya School of Public Health, Central South University, Changsha, China
| | - Yali Wang
- Hunan Provincial Key Laboratory of Clinical Epidemiology, Xiangya School of Public Health, Central South University, Changsha, China
| | - Miao Miao
- Hunan Provincial Key Laboratory of Clinical Epidemiology, Xiangya School of Public Health, Central South University, Changsha, China
| | - Li Tao
- School of Mathematics and Statistics, Central South University, Changsha, China
| | - Zhiguo Zhou
- The First Hospital of Changsha, Changsha, China
| | - Yuanlin Xie
- The Fourth Hospital of Changsha, Changsha, China
| | | | - Jianhua Lei
- Institute of Hepatology and Department of Infectious Diseases, The Second Xiangya Hospital, Central South University, Changsha, China
| | - Guozhong Gong
- Institute of Hepatology and Department of Infectious Diseases, The Second Xiangya Hospital, Central South University, Changsha, China
| | - Ping Jin
- Department of Endocrinology, The Third Xiangya Hospital, Central South University, Changsha, China
| | - Yuantao Hao
- Department of Medical Statistics and Epidemiology, School of Public Health, Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou, China
| | - Nuno Rodrigues Faria
- Department of Zoology, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK.,Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, School of Public Health, Imperial College London, London, UK
| | - Erik De Clercq
- Department of Microbiology, Immunology and Transplantation, Rega Institute for Medical Research, KU Leuven, Leuven, Belgium
| | - Min Zhang
- Institute of Hepatology and Department of Infectious Diseases, The Second Xiangya Hospital, Central South University, Changsha, China
| |
Collapse
|
35
|
Aguilar-León P, Cotrina-Castañeda J, Zavala-Flores E. SARS-CoV-2 infection and pulmonary tuberculosis: an analysis of the situation in Peru. CAD SAUDE PUBLICA 2020; 36:e00094520. [PMID: 33331591 DOI: 10.1590/0102-311x00094520] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/23/2020] [Accepted: 08/24/2020] [Indexed: 11/22/2022] Open
Affiliation(s)
- Pool Aguilar-León
- Hospital Nacional Cayetano Heredia, Universidad Peruana Cayetano Heredia, Lima, Perú
| | | | - Ernesto Zavala-Flores
- Hospital Nacional Cayetano Heredia, Universidad Peruana Cayetano Heredia, Lima, Perú
| |
Collapse
|