Epidemiologic Changes of Scrub Typhus in China, 1952-2016

Associations of greenhouse gases, air pollutants and dynamics of scrub typhus incidence in China: a nationwide time-series study

BACKGROUND

Environmental factors have been identified as significant risk factors for scrub typhus. However, the impact of inorganic compounds such as greenhouse gases and air pollutants on the incidence of scrub typhus has not been evaluated.

METHODS

Our study investigated the correlation between greenhouse gases, air pollutants from the global atmospheric emissions database (2005-2018), and reported cases of scrub typhus from the Public Health Science Data Center. First, an early warning method was applied to estimate the epidemic threshold and the grading intensity threshold. Second, four statistical methods were used to assess the correlation and lag effects across different age groups and epidemic periods. Deep learning algorithms were employed to evaluate the predictive effect of environmental factors on the incidence of scrub typhus.

RESULTS

Using the Moving Epidemic Method (MEM) and Treed Distributed Lag Non-Linear Model (TDLNM), we found that the period from April to September is the epidemic season for scrub typhus in China. During this period, BC, CH4, NH3 and PM10 all reach key windows during their respective early warning lag periods. Interaction effects showed that increased CO exposure during the 0-2-month period led to an increased magnitude of the PM10 effect during the 3-7-month period. The Quantile-based G Computation (qgcomp) model revealed age-specific differences in susceptibility to environmental factors. In the Bayesian Kernel Machine Regression (BKMR) model, we identified NOx (RRmax (95% CI) = 103.14 (70.40, 135.87)) and NMVOC as the risk environmental factors for young adults, while CH4 (RRmax (95% CI) = 20.94 (9.26, 32.63)) was significantly associated with scrub typhus incidence in younger populations. For the elderly, N2O and NOx (RRmax (95% CI) = 30.23 (13.78, 46.68)) were identified as susceptibility factors for scrub typhus. The Weighted Quantile Sum (WQS) model revealed a significant risk effect of NOx on scrub typhus during periods of low risk, which are often overlooked (OR (95% CI) = 0.40 (0.23, 0.58)). During periods of medium to high risk, Convolutional Neural Networks (CNN) showed that environmental factors performed well in predicting the incidence of scrub typhus.

CONCLUSIONS

We found that most greenhouse gases and air pollutants increase the risk of contracting scrub typhus, mainly driven by CH4, NOx, and NMVOC. Among these, the primary high-level pollutants have long-term lag effects during the epidemic period. The correlation between environmental factors and scrub typhus incidence varies significantly across different age groups and risk periods. Among them, middle-aged and young individuals are more susceptible to the effects of exposure to mixed air pollutants. CNN algorithm can help develop a comprehensive early warning system for scrub typhus. These findings may have important implications for guiding effective public health interventions in the future. The primary interventions should focus on controlling greenhouse gas emissions and reducing air pollutants, which can, in turn, be used to support infectious disease monitoring systems through environmental monitoring. Moreover, given the cross-sectional approach of our study, these findings need to be confirmed through additional cohort studies.

Development and validation of a simple-to-use nomogram for predicting severe scrub typhus in children

OBJECTIVE

This study aimed to develop and validate a simple-to-use nomogram for predicting severe scrub typhus (ST) in children.

METHODS

A retrospective study of 256 patients with ST was performed at the Kunming Children's Hospital from January 2015 to November 2022. ALL patients were divided into a common and severe group based on the severity of the disease. A least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression model was used to identify the optimal predictors, and the predictive nomogram was plotted by multivariable logistic regression. The nomogram was assessed by calibration, discrimination, and clinical utility.

RESULTS

LASSO regression analysis identified that hemoglobin count (Hb), platelet count (PLT), lactate dehydrogenase (LDH), blood urea nitrogen (BUN), creatine kinase isoenzyme MB(CK-MB) and hypoproteinemia were the optimal predictors for severe ST. The nomogram was plotted by the six predictors. The area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve of the nomogram was 0.870(95% CI = 0.812 ~ 0.928) in training set and 0.839(95% CI = 0.712 ~ 0.967) in validation set. The calibration curve demonstrated that the nomogram was well-fitted, and the decision curve analysis (DCA) showed that the nomogram was clinically beneficial.

CONCLUSIONS

This study developed and validated a simple-to-use nomogram for predicting severe ST in children based on six predictors including Hb, PLT, LDH, BUN, CK-MB and hypoproteinemia, demonstrating excellent predictive accuracy for the data, though external and prospective validation is required to assess its potential clinical utility.

Abundance and Infestation of Mites on Bower's White-Toothed Rat (Berylmys bowersi) in Southwest China

Chiggers (chigger mites) and gamasid mites are two groups of ectoparasites on rodents, and they can be the vectors or potential vectors of scrub typhus and hemorrhagic fever with renal syndrome (HFRS), while Bower's white-toothed rat (Berylmys bowersi) can serve as the reservoir host of the diseases. Based on field investigations at 117 survey sites of southwest China, a total of 2512 mites were collected from 55 B. bowersi rats. Under a microscope, these mites were taxonomically identified as 56 distinct species, comprising 37 chigger mite species and 19 gamasid mite species. The mite infestation burdens on B. bowersi were heavy, with a high prevalence (PM = 85.45%), mean abundance (MA = 45.67), and intensity (MI = 53.45). Of 56 mite species identified, 7 are vectors of scrub typhus and HFRS. Of the seven vector mite species, Leptotrombidium scutellare was one of dominant chigger species, with a higher infestation index on rats (PM = 21.82%, MA = 7.76) than the other six vector mite species. The sex ratio of female gamasid mites was higher than that of males. The number and infestation of adult gamasid mites were higher than those of immature mites. The infestation indexes of mites on B. bowersi hosts varied with the host's sex and age and fluctuated along different environmental gradients. The association coefficient (V) showed a slight positive association between chiggers and gamasid mites, suggesting that these two groups of mites may coexist on B. bowersi rats. Spearman correlation coefficients showed positive correlations among some dominant and vector mite species, indicating that some mite species tend to select the same hosts. A total of 69 mite species (47 chigger mite species and 22 gamasid mite species) on B. bowersi were estimated by species rarefaction and extrapolation curves. In conclusion, Berylmys bowersi has a high susceptibility to mite infestation, and it has the potential to harbor abundant mites, with heavy mite burdens. The occurrence of vector mite species, especially L. scutellare (the dominant species), increases the potential risk of transmission and the focus persistence of scrub typhus and HFRS in southwest China.

Clinico-epidemiological and immunological characteristics of rickettsioses in a Sri Lankan patient cohort 2018-2023

BACKGROUND

Rickettsioses, caused by intracellular bacteria of the genera Rickettsia and Orientia, are transmitted to humans through arthropod vectors such as ticks, fleas, and mites. Over the past two decades, this disease has been recognized as a significant cause of acute febrile illness in Sri Lanka. However, only a limited number of studies have focused on clinico-epidemiological characteristics of patients and immunological diagnostic approaches for disease confirmation.

METHOD

A cross-sectional study was conducted at the Rickettsial Disease Diagnostic and Research Laboratory (RDDRL), University of Kelaniya, Sri Lanka, from 2018 to 2023 from the clinically suspected patients referred for disease confirmation. Clinical, demographic, epidemiological, biochemical, and laboratory data were collected via a questionnaire by reviewing the archived records. The serological finding of the immunofluorescence assay (IFA) conducted for patients samples were retrieved. The patients who were positive for IFA-IgG (> 1:128 as per presumptive confirmation of acute rickettsial illness) were taken as the test group and the negative group was taken as the control group. Data were analyzed using chi-square tests followed by a Correlation analysis between the variables using Pearson correlation.

RESULTS

Out of 1,221 cases, 249 (20.4%) were serologically "confirmed" as positive for rickettsial infection. The test group consisted predominantly of males, similar to the control group. Most cases were males and < 9 years of age followed by 10-19 years. Among the age groups, 10-19 years and 50-59 years, categories indicated a significant positive relationship according to the chi-squared statistics (P < 0.05). A seasonal trend was observed, with higher case numbers reported from January to February. Laboratory findings indicated significant differences between test and control groups in leucopenia (P = 0.005, χ²=7.87), increased neutrophil count (P = 0.0004, χ²=12.71), elevated alanine aminotransferase (P = 0.0001, χ²=14.64), elevated aspartate aminotransferase (P = 0.0001, χ²=18.24), urine occult blood (P = 0.024, χ²=5.09), and raised erythrocyte sedimentation rate (P = 0.034, χ²=4.51). Clinical manifestations showed no major deviations. Notably, eschar was more prevalent in O. tsutsugamushi cases (33.3%) compared to SFG rickettsioses (13.3%).

CONCLUSION

This study highlights the need for improved awareness, diagnostic facilities, and vector control measures to manage rickettsial infections effectively in Sri Lanka. Understanding epidemiological patterns and clinical manifestations is crucial for developing effective surveillance and prevention strategies.

CLINICAL TRIAL

Not applicable.

Exploring the influencing factors of scrub typhus in Gannan region, China, based on spatial regression modelling and geographical detector

Scrub typhus is a significant public health issue with a wide distribution and is influenced by various determinants. However, in order to effectively eradicate scrub typhus, it is crucial to identify the specific factors that contribute to its incidence at a detailed level. Therefore, the objective of our study is to identify these influencing factors, examine the spatial variations in incidence, and analyze the interplay of two factors on scrub typhus incidence, so as to provide valuable experience for the prevention and treatment of scrub typhus in Gannan and to alleviate the economic burden of the local population.This study employed spatial autocorrelation analyses to examine the dependent variable and ordinary least squares model residuals. Additionally, spatial regression modelling and geographical detector were used to analyze the factors influencing the annual mean 14-year incidence of scrub typhus in the streets/townships of Gannan region from 2008 to 2021. The results of spatial1 autocorrelation analyses indicated the presence of spatial correlation. Among the global spatial regression models, the spatial lag model was found to be the best fitting model (log likelihood ratio = -319.3029, AIC = 666.6059). The results from the SLM analysis indicated that DEM, mean temperature, and mean wind speed were the primary factors influencing the occurrence of scrub typhus. For the local spatial regression models, the multiscale geographically weighted regression was determined to be the best fitting model (adjusted R2 = 0.443, AICc = 726.489). Further analysis using the MGWR model revealed that DEM had a greater impact in Xinfeng and Longnan, while the southern region was found to be more susceptible to scrub typhus due to mean wind speed. The geographical detector results revealed that the incidence of scrub typhus was primarily influenced by annual average normalized difference vegetation index. Additionally, the interaction between GDP and the percentage of grassland area had a significant impact on the incidence of scrub typhus (q = 0.357). This study illustrated the individual and interactive effects of natural environmental factors and socio-economic factors on the incidence of scrub typhus; and elucidated the specific factors affecting the incidence of scrub typhus in various streets/townships. The findings of this study can be used to develop effective interventions for the prevention and control of scrub typhus.

Scrub typhus in pregnancy: A 10-year multicenter study in resource-limited settings in China

BACKGROUND

Despite its association with high mortality rates and negative fetal outcomes, large-scale epidemiological studies on scrub typhus (ST) during pregnancy remain scarce.

METHODS

We conducted a retrospective, multicenter study by collecting 260 pregnant women with ST in China across a 10-year time period to evaluate how clinical characteristics changed over this time and identify risk factors for poor fetal outcome.

RESULTS

In total, 78.5% (n = 204) presented with pathognomonic eschars or ulcers, and 75.4% (n = 196) had Weil-Felix test, in which 46.4% (n = 91) had a titer of ≥1:160 for OXK. A higher proportion of patients with pneumonia (18.7% vs. 9.5%, p = 0.033) and a longer length of hospitalization (7 vs. 6 days, p = 0.007) were seen in laboratory confirmed cases than clinically diagnosed cases. Compared to patients in the second trimester, a higher miscarriage rate (64.5% vs. 15.0%, p < 0.001) was observed in the first trimester, and a lower fetal death/stillbirth rate (1.0% vs 18.7%, p < 0.001) and a higher prematurity rate (21.0% vs. 9.3%, p = 0.019) were observed in the third trimester. The use of chloramphenicol (5.7% vs. 15.5%, p = 0.016) and fetal death/stillbirth rate (3.1% vs. 12.8%, p = 0.01) were decreased, but there was no significant improvement in fetal outcome in the second 5 years (35.1% vs. 39.7%, p = 0.466). Over 1/3 (n = 90) had a poor fetal outcome, including 40.0% (n = 36) miscarriage, 23.3% (n = 21) fetal death/stillbirth and 36.7% (n = 33) preterm birth. The use of macrolides reduced the risk of a poor fetal outcome, while lower gestational age (GA) at the time of infection, pneumonia, leucopoenia, thrombocytopenia, and use of chloramphenicol were associated with a poor fetal outcome in univariate logistic-regression analysis, but only lower GA at the time of infection and pneumonia were independent risk factors for a poor fetal outcome on multivariate logistic-regression analysis with an odds ratio of 6.6 (95% CI 2.4-17.8, p < 0.001) and 3.1 (95% CI 1.3-7.6, p = 0.011).

CONCLUSIONS

This is the largest number of cases of ST in pregnancy so far. Our findings indicate that this population have a high risk of poor fetal outcome, especially those with lower GA at the time of infection and those with pneumonia at the same time. Further studies are needed to investigate the correlation between antibiotics regimens for this population and fetal outcome.

Orientia, Rickettsia, and the microbiome in rodent attached chiggers in North Carolina, USA

Chiggers are larval mites that pose a significant health risk globally via the spread of scrub typhus. However, fundamental studies into the bacterial microbiome in North America have never been considered. In this investigation, chiggers were collected in the wild from two locally common rodent host species (i.e., Sigmodon hispidus and Peromyscus leucopus) in three different ecoregions of North Carolina (NC), United States to investigate the composition of their bacterial communities, including potential pathogens. DNA was extracted from the chiggers, and the V3-V4 regions of the bacterial 16S rRNA gene were sequenced using next-generation sequencing (NGS). Alpha diversity metrics revealed significant differences in bacterial diversity among different collection counties. Beta diversity metrics also revealed that bacterial communities across counties were significantly different, suggesting changes in the microbiome as the environment changed. Specifically, we saw that the two western NC collection counties had similar bacterial composition as did the two eastern collection counties. In addition, we found that the chigger microbiome bacterial diversity and composition differed between rodent host species. The 16S rRNA sequence reads were assigned to 64 phyla, 106 orders, 199 families, and 359 genera. The major bacterial phylum was Actinobacteria. The most abundant species were in the genera Corynebacterium, Propionibacterium, class ZB2, and Methylobacterium. Sequences derived from potential pathogens within the genera Orientia and Rickettsia were also detected. Our findings provide the first insights into the ecology of chigger microbiomes in the US. Further research is required to determine if the potential pathogens found detected in chiggers are a threat to humans and wildlife.

Retrospective analysis of spatiotemporal variation of scrub typhus in Yunnan Province, 2006-2022

BACKGROUND

Scrub typhus is a life-threatening zoonotic infection. In recent years, the endemic areas of scrub typhus have been continuously expanding, and the incidence rate has been increasing. However, it remains a globally neglected disease. Yunnan Province is a major infected area, and the study of spatiotemporal and seasonal variation scrub typhus in this region is crucial for the prevention and control of the disease.

METHODS/RESULTS

We collected surveillance data on scrub typhus cases in Yunnan Province from 2006 to 2022. Using methods such as spatial trend analysis, Moran's I, and retrospective temporal scan statistics, the spatial and seasonal changes of scrub typhus were analyzed. The study period recorded 71,068 reported cases of scrub typhus in Yunnan Province, with the annual incidence rate sharply increasing (P<0.001). Approximately 93.38% of cases are concentrated in June to November (P = 0.001). Nearly 98.0% of counties were affected. The center of gravity of incidence migrates in a south and west direction. The incidence of scrub typhus was positively correlated spatially, and the spatial clustering distribution was significant. The most likely spatial cluster of cases (relative risk = 14.09, P<0.001) was distributed in Lincang, Dehong, Baoshan, Banna, and Puer. Significant positive correlations between the number of scrub typhus cases and average temperature, precipitation and relative humidity.

CONCLUSIONS

In Yunnan Province, scrub typhus is widely transmitted, with an increasing incidence, and it exhibits distinct seasonal characteristics (from June to November). The center of gravity of incidence has shifted to the south and west, with higher incidence rates observed in border regions. The risk clustering regions encompass all border prefectures. This pattern is significantly correlated with climatic factors such as average temperature, precipitation, and relative humidity. The relevant departments should strengthen the monitoring of scrub typhus, formulate prevention and control strategies, and provide health education to local residents.

Two complicated cases of severe scrub typhus, eschar- a non-negligible sign: Case reports and literature review

RATIONALE

Scrub typhus is a mite-borne, acute febrile disease caused by Orientia tsutsugamushi. The endemic areas of scrub typhus are expanding, both globally and in China. Patients who are not treated promptly, are likely to die of multiple organ dysfunction syndrome.

PATIENT CONCERNS

Case I A 61-year-old female patient complained of sudden chest tightness and shortness of breath accompanied by fever for 6 days. Case II A 54-year-old male patient complained of fever and cough for 4 days and renal insufficiency for 2 days.

DIAGNOSES

Scrub typhus, multiple organ dysfunction syndrome.

INTERVENTIONS

After the definite diagnosis, both patients were treated with doxycycline and various organ supports.

OUTCOMES

The patient in case I was ultimately not salvageable. The patient in case II was successfully cured by the prompt administration of doxycycline along with continuous renal replacement therapy.

LESSONS

With early diagnosis and treatment, patients can completely recover. Eschar, a characteristic sign of scrub typhus, is often overlooked, leading to delayed diagnosis and regrettable outcomes.

Estimation of scrub typhus incidence and spatiotemporal multicomponent characteristics from 2016 to 2023 in Zhejiang Province, China

Background

China is one of the main epidemic areas of scrub typhus, and Zhejiang Province, which is located in the coastal area of southeastern China, is considered a key region of scrub typhus. However, there may be significant bias in the number of reported cases of scrub typhus, to the extent that its epidemiological patterns are not clearly understood. The purpose of this study was to estimate the possible incidence of scrub typhus and to identify the main driving components affecting the occurrence of scrub typhus at the county level.

Methods

Data on patients with scrub typhus diagnosed at medical institutions between January 2016 and December 2023 were collected from the China Disease Control and Prevention Information System (CDCPIS). The kriging interpolation method was used to estimate the possible incidence of scrub typhus. Additionally, a multivariate time series model was applied to identify the main driving components affecting the occurrence of scrub typhus in different regions.

Results

From January 2016 to September 2023, 2,678 cases of scrub typhus were reported in Zhejiang Province, including 1 case of reported death, with an overall case fatality rate of 0.04%. The seasonal characteristics of scrub typhus in Zhejiang Province followed an annual single peak model, and the months of peak onset in different cities were different. The estimated area with case occurrence was relatively wider. There were 41 counties in Zhejiang Province with an annual reported case count of less than 1, while from the estimated annual incidence, the number of counties with less than 1 case decreased to 21. The average annual number of cases in most regions fluctuated between 0 and 15. The numbers of cases in the central urban area of Hangzhou city, Jiaxin city and Huzhou city did not exceed 5. The estimated random effect variance parameters σ λ 2 , σ ϕ 2 , and σ ν 2 were 0.48, 1.03 and 3.48, respectively. The endemic component values of the top 10 counties were Shuichang, Cangnan, Chun'an, Xinchang, Pingyang, Xianju, Longquan, Dongyang, Yueqing and Qingyuan. The spatiotemporal component values of the top 10 counties were Pujiang, Anji, Pan'an, Dongyang, Jinyun, Ninghai, Yongjia, Xiaoshan, Yinwu and Shengzhou. The autoregressive component values of the top 10 counties were Lin'an, Cangnan, Chun'an, Yiwu, Pujiang, Longquan, Xinchang, Luqiao, Sanmen and Fuyang.

Conclusion

The estimated incidence was higher than the current reported number of cases, and the possible impact area of the epidemic was also wider than the areas with reported cases. The main driving factors of the scrub typhus epidemic in Zhejiang included endemic components such as natural factors, but there was significant heterogeneity in the composition of driving factors in different regions. Some regions were driven by spatiotemporal spread across regions, and the time autoregressive effect in individual regions could not be ignored. These results that monitoring of cases, vectors, and pathogens of scrub typhus should be strengthened. Furthermore, each region should take targeted prevention and control measures based on the main driving factors of the local epidemic to improve the accuracy of prevention and control.

Unravelling the Enigma of Scrub Typhus: A Critical Review and Insights Into Epidemiology, Clinical Features, Diagnostic Advances, and Emerging Trends

Scrub typhus (ST) is caused by the bacterium Orientia tsutsugamushi, which exhibits significant antigenic diversity and is prevalent in the Asia-Pacific region. Its clinical presentation is characterized by non-specific symptoms such as headache, myalgia, sweating, and vomiting, along with the abrupt onset of fever and chills. An eschar is often visible in the axilla, groin, or inguinal area and is present in around half of the confirmed cases. The Weil-Felix test is the earliest detection technique, though it is not highly specific. Diagnostic procedures include biopsy, culture, serology, and PCR. The molecularly detectable amount of Orientiae in the bloodstream occasionally reaches levels that are identified during acute illness and vanish after the first round of appropriate antibiotic treatment. This study offers a thorough review of ST, a disease carried by vectors caused by Orientia tsutsugamushi. We emphasize on the significance of monitoring and awareness campaigns, diagnostic problems, and geographical differences. It is essential to use multidisciplinary techniques combining epidemiologists, public health authorities, and doctors. Sustained observation and research are essential for developing successful preventative and control measures. When participating in outdoor activities in areas known for such infections or at particular times of the year when ticks or mites carry the rickettsia infection, people should take great precautions to prevent getting bitten by ticks or mites. Prompt medical evaluation is advised if suspicious symptoms or signs appear, especially in elderly individuals.

First laboratory-confirmed case of scrub typhus in Shijiazhuang City, Hebei Province

Objective

Defining whether a suspected case was due to scrub typhus through laboratory testing, to understand the prevalence of scrub typhus in Shijiazhuang City, Hebei Province.

Methods

An epidemiological investigation was conducted on the suspected case, utilizing Weil-Felix test and indirect immunofluorescence assay (IFA) to detect specific antibodies against O. tsutsugamushi in serum specimens. Additionally, PCR amplification of the 56-kDa and groEL genes was performed, followed by constructing a phylogenetic tree to identify the genotype.

Results

The acute phase titer of the Weil-Felix test for the case was 1:160, which increased to 1:320 in the recovery phase. IFA assay revealed IgG titers against O. tsutsugamushi of 1:64 in the acute phase and 1:256 in the recovery phase. Sequence alignment of the PCR amplified fragment showed the highest similarity with the O. tsutsugamushi genotype. Kawasaki sequence, ranging from 99.71 to 100.00%. The strain exhibited the closest genetic relationship with the known O. tsutsugamushi Kawasaki genotype.

Conclusion

This study confirms the presence of O. tsutsugamushi in Shijiazhuang City, Hebei Province, with the identified strain belonging to the Kawasaki genotype, marking the first diagnosis of this strain in the region.

Molecular epidemiological study of Scrub Typhus in residence, farm and forest habitats from Yunnan Province, China

The number of people suffering from scrub typhus, which is not of concern, is increasing year by year, especially in Yunnan Province, China. From June 1, 2021 to August 15, 2022, a total of 505 mammalian samples were collected from farm, forest, and residential habitats with high incidence of scrub typhus in Yunnan, China, for nPCR (nested PCR) and qPCR (quantitative real-time PCR) detection of Orientia tsutsugamushi. A total of 4 orders of murine-like animals, Rodentia (87.52%, n = 442), Insectivora (10.29%, n = 52), Lagomorpha (1.79%, n = 9) and Scandentia (0.40%, n = 2) were trapped. Comparing the qPCR infection rates in the three habitats, it was no significant difference that the infection rate of residential habitat (44.44%) and that of the farm habitat (45.05%, P>0.05), which is much larger than that of the forest habitat (3.08%) (P<0.001). Three genotypes (Karp-like, Kato-like and TA763-like) of O. tsutsugamushi were found from Yunnan, China in this study.

Changing epidemiologic patterns of typhus group rickettsiosis and scrub typhus in China, 1950-2022

OBJECTIVES

We conducted a systematic analysis of the notifiable rickettsial diseases in humans in China during 1950-2022.

METHODS

We utilized descriptive statistics to analyze the epidemiological characteristics, clinical manifestations, and diagnostic characteristics of typhus group rickettsiosis (TGR) and scrub typhus (ST) cases.

RESULTS

Since the 1950s, there have been variations in the incidence rate of TGR and ST in China, with a downtrend for TGR and an uptrend for ST. The South became a high-incidence area of TGR, whereas the North was previously the high-incidence area. ST cases were concentrated in the South and the geographic area of ST spread northward and westward. The seasonality of TGR and ST were similar in the South but distinct in the North. Most TGR and ST cases were reported by county-level medical institutions, whereas primary institutions reported the least. Delayed diagnosis was associated with fatal outcomes of TGR and ST. Cases in low-incidence provinces, confirmed by laboratory tests and reported from county/municipal-level institutions had higher odds of delayed diagnoses.

CONCLUSIONS

Our study revealed significant changes in the epidemiological characteristics of TGR and ST in China, which can provide useful information to enhance the control and prevention strategies of rickettsial diseases in China.

Spatiotemporal heterogeneity and long-term impact of meteorological, environmental, and socio-economic factors on scrub typhus in China from 2006 to 2018

BACKGROUND

Large-scale outbreaks of scrub typhus combined with its emergence in new areas as a vector-borne rickettsiosis highlight the ongoing neglect of this disease. This study aims to explore the long-term changes and regional leading factors of scrub typhus in China, with the goal of providing valuable insights for disease prevention and control.

METHODS

This study utilized a Bayesian space-time hierarchical model (BSTHM) to examine the spatiotemporal heterogeneity of scrub typhus and analyze the relationship between environmental factors and scrub typhus in southern and northern China from 2006 to 2018. Additionally, a GeoDetector model was employed to assess the predominant influences of geographical and socioeconomic factors in both regions.

RESULTS

Scrub typhus exhibits a seasonal pattern, typically occurring during the summer and autumn months (June to November), with a peak in October. Geographically, the high-risk regions, or hot spots, are concentrated in the south, while the low-risk regions, or cold spots, are located in the north. Moreover, the distribution of scrub typhus is influenced by environment and socio-economic factors. In the north and south, the dominant factors are the monthly normalized vegetation index (NDVI) and temperature. An increase in NDVI per interquartile range (IQR) leads to a 7.580% decrease in scrub typhus risk in northern China, and a 19.180% increase in the southern. Similarly, of 1 IQR increase in temperature reduces the risk of scrub typhus by 10.720% in the north but increases it by 15.800% in the south. In terms of geographical and socio-economic factors, illiteracy rate and altitude are the key determinants in the respective areas, with q-values of 0.844 and 0.882.

CONCLUSIONS

These results indicated that appropriate climate, environment, and social conditions would increase the risk of scrub typhus. This study provided helpful suggestions and a basis for reasonably allocating resources and controlling the occurrence of scrub typhus.

Climate influences scrub typhus occurrence in Vellore, Tamil Nadu, India: analysis of a 15-year dataset

Climate is one of the major factors determining the prevalence and seasonality of vector borne diseases like scrub typhus (ST). We analyzed, the association of the meteorological factors like temperature, rainfall and humidity with scrub typhus using the 15 years scrub typhus data from a tertiary care hospital in Vellore, South India. Demographic data of permanent residents of Vellore, who had IgM ELISA results for scrub typhus for the time period of May 2005 to April 2020 were included. Meteorological data was correlated with the monthly scrub typhus cases; negative binomial regression model was used to predict the relation between scrub typhus occurrence and climate factors. Maximum number of ST cases were reported between the months August and February with October recording the highest number of cases. Elderly people, farmers, agricultural workers and housewives were at higher risk for scrub typhus. For an increase of 1 °C in mean temperature, the monthly ST cases reduced by 18.8% (95% CI - 24.1, - 13.2%). On the contrary, for 1 percent increase in mean relative humidity (RH), there is an increase of 7.6% (95% CI 5.4, 9.9%) of monthly ST cases. Similarly, an increase of 1 mm of rainfall contributed to 0.5 to 0.7% of monthly ST cases (after 2 months) depending on the variables included in the analysis. This study provides information that meteorological factors influence ST occurrence in Vellore. The rise of scrub typhus cases is maximal 2 months post rainfall. Whereas a rise in relative humidity, causes a rise in scrub typhus cases in same month, while rise in temperature has a negative impact on scrub typhus during the same month. These findings based on a retrospective analysis need validation by prospective studies.

Spatiotemporal epidemiology and risk factors of scrub typhus in Hainan Province, China, 2011-2020

Background

The re-emergence of scrub typhus in the southern provinces of China in recent decades has been validated, thereby attracting the attention of public health authorities. There has been a spatial and temporal expansion of scrub typhus in Hainan Province, but the epidemiological characteristics, environmental drivers, and potential high-risk areas for scrub typhus have not yet been investigated.

Objective

The aims of this study were to characterize the spatiotemporal epidemiology of scrub typhus, identify dominant environmental risk factors, and map potential risk areas in Hainan Province from 2011 to 2020.

Methods

The spatiotemporal dynamics of scrub typhus in Hainan Province between 2011 and 2020 were analyzed using spatial analyses and seasonal-trend decomposition using regression (STR). The maximum entropy (MaxEnt) model was applied to determine the key environmental predictors and environmentally suitable areas for scrub typhus, and the demographic diversity of the predicted suitable zones was evaluated.

Results

During 2011-2020, 3260 scrub typhus cases were recorded in Hainan Province. The number of scrub typhus cases increased continuously each year, particularly among farmers (67.61%) and individuals aged 50-59 years (23.25%) who were identified as high-risk groups. A dual epidemic peak was detected, emerging annually from April to June and from July to October. The MaxEnt-based risk map illustrated that highly suitable areas, accounting for 25.36% of the total area, were mainly distributed in the northeastern part of Hainan Province, where 75.43% of the total population lived. Jackknife tests revealed that ground surface temperature, elevation, cumulative precipitation, evaporation, land cover, population density, and ratio of dependents were the most significant environmental factors.

Conclusion

In this study, we gained insights into the spatiotemporal epidemiological dynamics, pivotal environmental drivers, and potential risk map of scrub typhus in Hainan Province. These results have important implications for researchers and public health officials in guiding future prevention and control strategies for scrub typhus.

A seminested recombinase polymerase amplification assay to detect rickettsial pathogens in clinical samples

Treatment at the early stage of onset is vital for the prognosis of rickettsioses. But the absence of specific clinical symptoms complicates the diagnosis of this condition. Herein we established a seminested recombinase polymerase amplification assay (snRPA-nfo) that enables quick detection and differentiation of rickettsial pathogens in clinical samples with high sensitivity and specificity. The conserved 17-kDa protein gene of Rickettsia sibirica and the 47-kDa protein gene of Orientia tsutsugamushi were targeted for the duplex RPA-nfo assay. The snRPA-nfo assay exhibited an increased LOD in spiked blood samples, up to 1000-fold in comparison to standard RPA-nfo, and a better detection rate (83.3%, 5/6) than TaqMan PCR (16.6%, 1/6, Ct ≤ 35) in clinically confirmed patient blood samples. Thus, snRPA-nfo assay represents a promising alternative to TaqMan PCR in the early diagnosis of rickettsioses for point-of-care testing as well as in resource-limited settings.

The Prevalence of Rodents Orientia tsutsugamushi in China During Two Decades: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

Background: Orientia tsutsugamushi is a zoonotic intracellular pathogen that requires parasitism in eukaryotic cells to reproduce. In recent years, tsutsugamushi disease reported in many places nationwide has crossed the Yangtze River, continuously, spreading to the North China. Now this phenomenon has aroused people's attention. Materials and Methods: In this study, meta-analysis was used to analyze the infection of rodents (vectors) in China, to clarify the transmission rule of O. tsutsugamushi. Results: This study included literature from six databases (PubMed, Web of Science, Science Direct, Wanfang, CNKI, and VIP). A total of 55 articles were included in the study from 610 retrieved articles. The total infection rate of O. tsutsugamushi in rodents was 5.5% (1206/20,620, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.0553-0.0617). The prevalence of O. tsutsugamushi in rodents before 2013 (7.73%, 95% CI: 4.11-12.37) was higher than after 2013 (2.11%, 95% CI: 0.64-4.41). O. tsutsugamushi spread among a variety of rodents, among which Rattus losea (13.3%, 95% CI: 4.33-26.26), Rattus tanezumi (5.69%, 95% CI: 1.37-12.72), and Apodemus agrarius (5.32%, 95% CI: 2.26-9.58) infection rate was higher. Kawasaki (8.32%, 95% CI: 1.42-20.17), Karp (7.36%, 95% CI: 2.62-14.22), Kato (2.54%, 95% CI: 0.08-8.28), and Gilliam (2.13%, 95% CI: 0.42-5.09) were the main prevalent genotypes in China. The prevalence of O. tsutsugamushi in rodents was seasonal, increasing gradually in summer (2.39%, 95% CI: 0.46-5.77), peaking in autumn (4.59%, 95% CI: 1.15-10.16), and then declining. The positive rate of immunofluorescence assay (25.07%, 95% CI: 8.44-46.88) was the highest among the detection methods, and it was statistically significant (p < 0.05). Based on the subgroup of geographical factors and climatic factors, the probability of O. tsutsugamushi infection in rodents was the highest when the temperature >19℃ (8.20%, 95% CI: 1.22-20.52), the altitude <100 millimeters (7.23%, 95% CI: 3.45-12.26), the precipitation >700 millimeters (12.22%, 95% CI: 6.45-19.50), and the humidity 60-70% (7.80%, 95% CI: 4.17-12.44). Conclusions: Studies have shown that rodents carrying O. tsutsugamushi are common. People should prevent and control rodents in life and monitor rodents carrying O. tsutsugamushi for a long time.

The ecological and etiological investigation of ticks and rodents in China: results from an ongoing surveillance study in Zhejiang Province

OBJECTIVES

This study aimed to analyze the population density of vector ticks and reservoir hosts rodents, and to investigate the relevant pathogen infection in Zhejiang Province, China.

METHODS

In this surveillance study, the data of ticks density were collected with the tick picking method on animal body surface and the drag-flag method, while the rodent density with the night trapping method. The samples of ticks were examined for the severe fever with thrombocytopenia syndrome virus (SFTSV), and blood serum and organs from rodents were subjected for SFTSV, hantavirus, Leptospira, Orientia tsutsugamushi (O. tsutsugamushi) and Yersinia pestis (Y. pestis) screening in the laboratory.

RESULTS

From 2017 to 2022 in Zhejiang Province, 16,230 parasitic ticks were found in 1848 positive animals, with the density of parasitic ticks of 1.29 ticks per host animal, and a total of 5,201 questing ticks were captured from 1,140,910 meters of vegetation distance with the questing tick density of 0.46 ticks/flag·100 m. Haemaphysalis longicornis (H. longicornis) was the major species. A total of 2,187,739 mousetraps were distributed and 12,705 rodents were trapped, with the density of 0.58 per 100 trap-nights. Rattus norvegicus was the major species. For SFTSV screening, two groups nymphal ticks of H. longicornis were tested to be positive. For the rodents samples, the Leptospira had a positive rate of 12.28% (197/1604), the hantavirus was 1.00% (16/1604), and the O. tsutsugamushi was 0.15% (2/1332). No positive results were found with SFTSV and Y. pestis in the rodents samples.

CONCLUSION

Findings from this study indicated that the ticks and rodents were widely distributed in Zhejiang Province. Particularly, the positive detection of SFTSV, Leptospira, hantavirus and O. tsutsugamushi in ticks or rodents from this area suggested that more attention should be paid to the possibilities of relevant vector-borne diseases occurrence.

Epidemiological and clinical characteristics of scrub typhus in northern Fujian, China, from 2015 to 2019

BACKGROUND

This study aimed to analyze the epidemiological and clinical characteristics of scrub typhus in northern Fujian Province on the southeast coast of China.

METHODS

A retrospective analysis was performed on 303 patients with scrub typhus admitted to the First Hospital of Nanping City, Fujian Province, from January 2015 to December 2019. The epidemic characteristics were analyzed, such as the annual number of cases, age distribution, sex distribution, and seasonal distribution in each region. The patient's clinical manifestations, signs, complications, auxiliary examinations, and prognosis were analyzed.

RESULTS

From 2015 to 2019, the age distribution of scrub typhus cases was mainly concentrated in 40-49 y (17.16%), 50-59 y (24.09%), and 60-69 y (26.73%). There were no sex differences among the patients. 68.98% of the cases were concentrated in rural areas, with farmers having the highest proportion. However, this study compared prognostic factors in the cured and uncured groups, and found significant differences in non-farmer occupation and diagnosis time ≥ 8 days. Scrub typhus showed two peaks north of Fujian; the prominent peak was from June to July, and the other slight rise was from October to November. The SDE plot showed that the cases were mainly concentrated in Yanping, Shunchang, Zhenghe, and Songxi counties. The number of cases in hilly and mountainous areas was higher than in plain areas. The main diagnostic methods in this area are based on specific eschar and epidemiology, while the positive rate of the Weil-Felix test is low.

CONCLUSIONS

The results of this study can guide primary care institutions to improve the level of diagnosis and treatment of scrub typhus and take effective public health intervention measures in endemic areas.

Prediction of risk factors for scrub typhus from 2006 to 2019 based on random forest model in Guangzhou, China

OBJECTIVES

Scrub typhus is an increasingly serious public health problem, which is becoming the most common vector-borne disease in Guangzhou. This study aimed to analyse the correlation between scrub typhus incidence and potential factors and rank the importance of influential factors.

METHODS

We collected monthly scrub typhus cases, meteorological variables, rodent density (RD), Normalised Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI), and land use type in Guangzhou from 2006 to 2019. Correlation analysis and a random forest model were used to identify the risk factors for scrub typhus and predict the importance rank of influencing factors related to scrub typhus incidence.

RESULTS

The epidemiological results of the scrub typhus cases in Guangzhou between 2006 and 2019 showed that the incidence rate was on the rise. The results of correlation analysis revealed that a positive relationship between scrub typhus incidence and meteorological factors of mean temperature (T_mean ), accumulative rainfall (RF), relative humidity (RH), sunshine hours (SH), and NDVI, RD, population density, and green land coverage area (all p < 0.001). Additionally, we tested the relationship between the incidence of scrub typhus and the lagging meteorological factors through cross-correlation function, and found that incidence was positively correlated with 1-month lag T_mean , 2-month lag RF, 2-month lag RH, and 6-month lag SH (all p < 0.001). Based on the random forest model, we found that the T_mean was the most important predictor among the influential factors, followed by NDVI.

CONCLUSIONS

Meteorological factors, NDVI, RD, and land use type jointly affect the incidence of scrub typhus in Guangzhou. Our results provide a better understanding of the influential factors correlated with scrub typus, which can improve our capacity for biological monitoring and help public health authorities to formulate disease control strategies.

Genomic bacterial load associated with bacterial genotypes and clinical characteristics in patients with scrub typhus in Hainan Island, Southern China

Scrub typhus, caused by mite-borne Orientia tsutsugamushi (O. tsutsugamushi), is a major febrile disease in the Asia-Pacific region. The DNA load of O. tsutsugamushi in the blood was previously found to be significantly higher in patients with fatal disease than those with non-fatal disease and correlated with the duration of illness, presence of eschar, and hepatic enzyme levels. In this prospective observation study, we analyzed the association of bacterial DNA load with clinical features, disease severity, and genotype using real-time PCR targeting the 56 kDa TSA gene of O. tsutsugamushi in the blood samples of 117 surviving patients with scrub typhus who had not received appropriate antibiotic treatment. The median O. tsutsugamushi DNA load was 3.11×103 copies/mL (range, 44 to 3.3×106 copies/mL). The severity of patients was categorized as mild, moderate, and severe based on the number of dysfunctional organs, and no significant difference in O. tsutsugamushi DNA load was found among these groups. Patients infected with the Karp group showed a significantly higher O. tsutsugamushi DNA load than those in the Gilliam (P < 0.05) and TA763 (P < 0.01) groups. Patients belonging to the Li ethnic group showed a significantly higher DNA load than those in the Han ethnic groups. The blood bacterial DNA load of patients showed no significant difference between groups divided by gender, age, with or without eschar, or the season of disease onset. The highest body temperature recorded during fever onset was positively correlated with O. tsutsugamushi DNA load (ρ  =  0.272, P  =  0.022). Correlation analyses indicated that the serum total bilirubin level was positively correlated with O. tsutsugamushi DNA load. In conclusion, the findings in this study demonstrated the association of DNA load of O. tsutsugamushi with the severity and genotype in patients with scrub typhus in Hainan, China.

Trends in the Incidence of Japanese Spotted Fever in Japan: A Nationwide, Two-Decade Observational Study from 2001-2020

The worldwide spread of tick-borne diseases (TBDs) has become a public health concern. Therefore, this study aimed to clarify trends in the incidence of Japanese spotted fever (JSF), one of Japan's most prevalent TBDs. Weekly infectious disease reports were used to calculate the annual incidence rates (AIRs) of JSF. Data were stratified by age and sex, and joinpoint regression analysis was performed to estimate the annual percentage change (APC). AIR and APC were geographically compared among the 47 prefectures. A total of 3,453 JSF cases were observed from 2001 to 2020. The AIR per 100,000 population was 0.03 in 2001, which increased approximately 10-fold to 0.33 in 2020. The average APC (AAPC) during the study period was 12.3% (95% CI: 10.7-13.9). By age group, the incidence of JSF increased more rapidly among the older population: 11.5% (95% CI: 10.1-12.9) in those aged ≥ 65 years and 8.9% (95% CI: 6.4-11.5) in those aged < 50 years. Although the AIR over the past two decades was higher in climatically warm regions located in southwestern Japan and on the Pacific coast, increases in the AAPC were notable in colder regions located in eastern Japan. The incidence of JSF continues to increase in Japan, especially among older populations and in eastern prefectures, where the disease has not been previously diagnosed.

Intravenous Doxycycline, Azithromycin, or Both for Severe Scrub Typhus

BACKGROUND

The appropriate antibiotic treatment for severe scrub typhus, a neglected but widespread reemerging zoonotic infection, is unclear.

METHODS

In this multicenter, double-blind, randomized, controlled trial, we compared the efficacy of intravenous doxycycline, azithromycin, or a combination of both in treating severe scrub typhus. Patients who were 15 years of age or older with severe scrub typhus with at least one organ involvement were enrolled. The patients were assigned to receive a 7-day course of intravenous doxycycline, azithromycin, or both (combination therapy). The primary outcome was a composite of death from any cause at day 28, persistent complications at day 7, and persistent fever at day 5.

RESULTS

Among 794 patients (median age, 48 years) who were included in the modified intention-to-treat analysis, complications included those that were respiratory (in 62%), hepatic (in 54%), cardiovascular (in 42%), renal (in 30%), and neurologic (in 20%). The use of combination therapy resulted in a lower incidence of the composite primary outcome than the use of doxycycline (33% and 47%, respectively), for a risk difference of -13.3 percentage points (95% confidence interval [CI], -21.6 to -5.1; P = 0.002). The incidence with combination therapy was also lower than that with azithromycin (48%), for a risk difference of -14.8 percentage points (95% CI, -23.1 to -6.5; P<0.001). No significant difference was seen between the azithromycin and doxycycline groups (risk difference, 1.5 percentage points; 95% CI, -7.0 to 10.0; P = 0.73). The results in the per-protocol analysis were similar to those in the primary analysis. Adverse events and 28-day mortality were similar in the three groups.

CONCLUSIONS

Combination therapy with intravenous doxycycline and azithromycin was a better therapeutic option for the treatment of severe scrub typhus than monotherapy with either drug alone. (Funded by the India Alliance and Wellcome Trust; INTREST Clinical Trials Registry-India number, CTRI/2018/08/015159.).

A scrub typhus vaccine presents a challenging unmet need

Scrub typhus caused by the obligately intracellular bacterium, Orientia tsutsugamushi, is a major cause of life-threatening acute undifferentiated febrile illness in eastern Asia and the islands of the Western Pacific and Indian oceans. Since the estimation of an incidence of 1 million cases annually two decades ago, the number of cases has increased substantially in endemic regions, reappeared where the disease was forgotten, and spread northward. Trombiculid mites are both reservoir and vector. Despite 80 years of efforts to develop a vaccine, there is none. Protective immunity is mediated by antibodies and CD8 and CD4 T cells. Previous efforts have failed because of gaps in understanding immunity to O. tsutsugamushi, particularly the requirements for vaccine-induced immunity, lack of knowledge regarding immune memory in scrub typhus, and lack of attention to addressing the issue of cross-protection between strains. There are numerous strains of O. tsutsugamushi, and modestly durable immunity is strain-specific. Antibodies to the strain that caused infection are protective against challenges with the homologous strain but, despite reactivity with other immunodominant antigens, the immune serum does not protect against heterologous strains. Among the antigens detected by western immunoblot in immune sera (22-, 47-, 56-, 58-, and 110 kDa proteins), only the 56 kDa protein stimulates strong protection. This protein contains four hypervariable regions which are likely, on the basis of limited data, to be the targets of neutralizing antibodies. However, a method that definitively detects neutralizing antibody has yet to be developed. Only one study has used genomic data to pursue the discovery of protective antigens. Three conserved autotransporters were identified, and only immunization with ScaA provided protection against the homologous strain, but only 40% of animals were protected against challenge with a heterologous strain. A multiplex vaccine containing conformational antigens of the hypervariable regions of the 56 kDa protein of the strains of the greatest clinical and epidemiological importance, as well as conserved regions of the 56 kDa protein, ScaA, and other protective antigens identified by future genomic and bioinformatics methods should be developed and tested.

Spatiotemporal dynamics and environmental determinants of scrub typhus in Anhui Province, China, 2010-2020

This study aims to describe the epidemiological characteristics of scrub typhus, detect the spatio-temporal patterns of scrub typhus at county level, and explore the associations between the environmental variables and scrub typhus cases in Anhui Province. Time-series analysis, spatial autocorrelation analysis, and space-time scan statistics were used to explore the characteristics and spatiotemporal patterns of the scrub typhus in Anhui Province. Negative binomial regression analysis was used to explore the association between scrub typhus and environmental variables. A total of 16,568 clinically diagnosed and laboratory-confirmed cases were reported from 104 counties of 16 prefecture-level cities. The number of female cases was higher than male cases, with a proportion of 1.32:1. And the proportion of cases over 65 years old was the highest, accounting for 33.8% of the total cases. Two primary and five secondary high-risk clusters were detected in the northwestern, northeastern, and central-eastern parts of Anhui Province. The number of cases in primary and secondary high-risk clusters accounted for 60.27% and 3.00%, respectively. Scrub typhus incidence in Anhui Province was positively correlated with the population density, normalized difference vegetation index, and several meteorological variables. The mean monthly sunshine duration with 3 lags (SSD_lag3), mean monthly ground surface temperature with 1 lag (GST_lag1), and mean monthly relative humidity with 3 lags (RHU_lag3) had the most significant association with increased cases of scrub typhus. Our findings indicate that public health interventions need to be focused on the elderly farmers in north of the Huai River in Anhui Province.

Using ecological niche modeling to predict the potential distribution of scrub typhus in Fujian Province, China

BACKGROUND

Despite the increasing number of cases of scrub typhus and its expanding geographical distribution in China, its potential distribution in Fujian Province, which is endemic for the disease, has yet to be investigated.

METHODS

A negative binomial regression model for panel data mainly comprising meteorological, socioeconomic and land cover variables was used to determine the risk factors for the occurrence of scrub typhus. Maximum entropy modeling was used to identify the key predictive variables of scrub typhus and their ranges, map the suitability of different environments for the disease, and estimate the proportion of the population at different levels of infection risk.

RESULTS

The final multivariate negative binomial regression model for panel data showed that the annual mean normalized difference vegetation index had the strongest correlation with the number of scrub typhus cases. With each 0.1% rise in shrubland and 1% rise in barren land there was a 75.0% and 37.0% increase in monthly scrub typhus cases, respectively. In contrast, each unit rise in mean wind speed in the previous 2 months and each 1% increase in water bodies corresponded to a decrease of 40.0% and 4.0% in monthly scrub typhus cases, respectively. The predictions of the maximum entropy model were robust, and the average area under the curve value was as high as 0.864. The best predictive variables for scrub typhus occurrence were population density, annual mean normalized difference vegetation index, and land cover types. The projected potentially most suitable areas for scrub typhus were widely distributed across the eastern coastal area of Fujian Province, with highly suitable and moderately suitable areas accounting for 16.14% and 9.42%, respectively. Of the total human population of the province, 81.63% reside in highly suitable areas for scrub typhus.

CONCLUSIONS

These findings could help deepen our understanding of the risk factors of scrub typhus, and provide information for public health authorities in Fujian Province to develop more effective surveillance and control strategies in identified high risk areas in Fujian Province.

Prevalence and heterogeneity of antibiotic resistance genes in Orientia tsutsugamushi and other rickettsial genomes

Despite a million infections every year and an estimated one billion people at risk, scrub typhus is regarded as a neglected tropical disease. The causative bacterium Orientia tsutsugamushi, a member of rickettsiae, seems to be intrinsically resistant to several classes of antibiotics. The emergence of antibiotic-resistant scrub typhus is likely to become a global public health concern. Yet, it is unknown as to how common antibiotic resistance genes are in O. tsutsugamushi, and how variable these loci are among the genomes of rickettsiae. By using the comprehensive antibiotic resistance database, we explored 79 complete genomes from 24 species of rickettsiae for antibiotic resistance loci. There were 244 unique antibiotic resistance genes in rickettsiae. Both the total and unique antibiotic resistance genes in O. tsutsugamushi were significantly less compared to other members of rickettsiae. However, antibiotic resistance genes in O. tsutsugamushi genomes were more unique and highly variable. Many genes such as resistant variants of evgS, and vanS A/G were present in numerous copies. These results will have important implications in the context of antibiotic-resistant scrub typhus.

Climate drives the spatiotemporal dynamics of scrub typhus in China

Scrub typhus is a climate-sensitive and life-threatening vector-borne disease that poses a growing public health threat. Although the climate-epidemic associations of many vector-borne diseases have been studied for decades, the impacts of climate on scrub typhus remain poorly understood, especially in the context of global warming. Here we incorporate Chinese national surveillance data on scrub typhus from 2010 to 2019 into a climate-driven generalized additive mixed model to explain the spatiotemporal dynamics of this disease and predict how it may be affected by climate change under various representative concentration pathways (RCPs) for three future time periods (the 2030s, 2050s, and 2080s). Our results demonstrate that temperature, precipitation, and relative humidity play key roles in driving the seasonal epidemic of scrub typhus in mainland China with a 2-month lag. Our findings show that the change of projected spatiotemporal dynamics of scrub typhus will be heterogeneous and will depend on specific combinations of regional climate conditions in future climate scenarios. Our results contribute to a better understanding of spatiotemporal dynamics of scrub typhus, which can help public health authorities refine their prevention and control measures to reduce the risks resulting from climate change.

Co-effects of global climatic dynamics and local climatic factors on scrub typhus in mainland China based on a nine-year time-frequency analysis

Background

Scrub Typhus (ST) is a rickettsial disease caused by Orientia tsutsugamushi. The number of ST cases has been increasing in China during the past decades, which attracts great concerns of the public health.

Methods

We obtained monthly documented ST cases greater than 54 cases in 434 counties of China during 2012-2020. Spatiotemporal wavelet analysis was conducted to identify the ST clusters with similar pattern of the temporal variation and explore the association between ST variation and El Niño and La Niña events. Wavelet coherency analysis and partial wavelet coherency analysis was employed to further explore the co-effects of global and local climatic factors on ST.

Results

Wavelet cluster analysis detected seven clusters in China, three of which are mainly distributed in Eastern China, while the other four clusters are located in the Southern China. Among the seven clusters, summer and autumn-winter peak of ST are the two main outbreak periods; while stable and fluctuated periodic feature of ST series was found at 12-month and 4-(or 6-) month according to the wavelet power spectra. Similarly, the three-character bands were also found in the associations between ST and El Niño and La Niña events, among which the 12-month period band showed weakest climate-ST association and the other two bands owned stronger association, indicating that the global climate dynamics may have short-term effects on the ST variations. Meanwhile, 12-month period band with strong association was found between the four local climatic factors (precipitation, pressure, relative humidity and temperature) and the ST variations. Further, partial wavelet coherency analysis suggested that global climatic dynamics dominate annual ST variations, while local climatic factors dominate the small periods.

Conclusion

The ST variations are not directly attributable to the change in large-scale climate. The existence of these plausible climatic determinants stimulates the interests for more insights into the epidemiology of ST, which is important for devising prevention and early warning strategies.

Epidemiological characteristics and spatiotemporal patterns of scrub typhus in Fujian province during 2012–2020

Background

Scrub typhus has become a serious public health concern in the Asia-Pacific region including China. There were new natural foci continuously recognized and dramatically increased reported cases in mainland China. However, the epidemiological characteristics and spatiotemporal patterns of scrub typhus in Fujian province have yet to be investigated.

Objective

This study proposes to explore demographic characteristics and spatiotemporal dynamics of scrub typhus cases in Fujian province, and to detect high-risk regions between January 2012 and December 2020 at county/district scale and thereby help in devising public health strategies to improve scrub typhus prevention and control measures.

Method

Monthly cases of scrub typhus reported at the county level in Fujian province during 2012–2020 were collected from the National Notifiable Disease Surveillance System. Time-series analyses, spatial autocorrelation analyses and space-time scan statistics were applied to identify and visualize the spatiotemporal patterns of scrub typhus cases in Fujian province. The demographic differences of scrub typhus cases from high-risk and low-risk counties in Fujian province were also compared.

Results

A total of 11,859 scrub typhus cases reported in 87 counties from Fujian province were analyzed and the incidence showed an increasing trend from 2012 (2.31 per 100,000) to 2020 (3.20 per 100,000) with a peak in 2018 (4.59 per 100,000). There existed two seasonal peaks in June-July and September-October every year in Fujian province. A significant positive spatial autocorrelation of scrub typhus incidence in Fujian province was observed with Moran’s I values ranging from 0.258 to 0.471 (P<0.001). Several distinct spatiotemporal clusters mainly concentrated in north and southern parts of Fujian province. Compared to low-risk regions, a greater proportion of cases were female, farmer, and older residents in high-risk counties.

Conclusions

These results demonstrate a clear spatiotemporal heterogeneity of scrub typhus cases in Fujian province, and provide the evidence in directing future researches on risk factors and effectively assist local health authorities in the refinement of public health interventions against scrub typhus transmission in the high risk regions.

Scrub typhus is a vector-borne zoonotic disease caused by Orientia tsutsugamushi and is popular in the Asia-Pacific area. Nowadays scrub typhus has been recognized as a considerable burden on public health in Fujian province. We explored the epidemiological characteristics, spatiotemporal patterns and diffusion characteristics of scrub typhus, and detected high-risk regions at the county level in Fujian province between January 2012 and December 2020. Our results indicated that the majority of cases were reported in June-July and September-October and that that middle aged and elderly people were more prone to infection every year in Fujian province. The spatial autocorrelation analysis revealed clustering in geographic distribution of cases and several distinct spatiotemporal clusters were identified in north and southern parts of Fujian province. Compared with cases from low-risk areas, a higher proportion of cases were female, farmer, and older residents in high-risk counties.

Oscillatory properties of class C notifiable infectious diseases in China from 2009 to 2021

Background

Epidemics of infectious diseases have a great negative impact on people's daily life. How it changes over time and what kind of laws it obeys are important questions that researchers are always interested in. Among the characteristics of infectious diseases, the phenomenon of recrudescence is undoubtedly of great concern. Understanding the mechanisms of the outbreak cycle of infectious diseases could be conducive for public health policies to the government.

Method

In this study, we collected time-series data for nine class C notifiable infectious diseases from 2009 to 2021 using public datasets from the National Health Commission of China. Oscillatory power of each infectious disease was captured using the method of the power spectrum analysis.

Results

We found that all the nine class C diseases have strong oscillations, which could be divided into three categories according to their oscillatory frequencies each year. Then, we calculated the oscillation power and the average number of infected cases of all nine diseases in the first 6 years (2009-2015) and the next 6 years (2015-2021) since the update of the surveillance system. The change of oscillation power is positively correlated to the change in the number of infected cases. Moreover, the diseases that break out in summer are more selective than those in winter.

Conclusion

Our results enable us to better understand the oscillation characteristics of class C infectious diseases and provide guidance and suggestions for the government's prevention and control policies.

Etiology of acute febrile illnesses in Southern China: Findings from a two-year sentinel surveillance project, 2017-2019

BACKGROUND

Southern China is at risk for arborvirus disease transmission, including Zika virus and dengue. Patients often present to clinical care with non-specific acute febrile illnesses (AFI). To better describe the etiology of AFI, we implemented a two-year AFI surveillance project at five sentinel hospitals in Yunnan and Guangdong Provinces.

METHODS

Between June 2017 and August 2019, we enrolled patients between 2 and 65 years of age presenting at one sentinel hospital in Mengla County, Yunnan, and four in Jiangmen City, Guangdong, with symptoms of AFI (acute onset of fever ≥ 37.5°C within the past 7 days) without respiratory symptoms or diarrhea. Demographic, epidemiologic, and clinical information was obtained and entered into a web-based AFI surveillance database. A custom TaqMan Array card (TAC) was used to test patients' whole blood specimens for 27 different pathogens using real-time polymerase chain reaction assays.

RESULTS

During the two-year project period, 836 patients were enrolled; 443 patients from Mengla County and 393 patients from Jiangmen City. The median age was 33 years [range: 2-65], and most were hospitalized [641, 77%]. Of 796 patients with valid TAC results, 341 (43%) were positive for at least one of the 10 unique pathogens detected. This included 205 (26%) patients positive for dengue virus, 60 (8%) for Orientia tsutsugamushi, and 42 (5%) for Coxiella burnetii. Ten patients (1%) in Jiangmen City tested positive for malaria, 8 of whom reported recent travel outside of China. TAC results were negative for 455 (57%) patients. None of the patients had a positive TAC detection for Zika virus.

CONCLUSIONS

The project detected variability in the etiology of AFI in Southern China and highlighted the importance of differential diagnosis. Dengue, O. tsutsugamushi, and C. burnetii were the most frequently identified pathogens among enrolled AFI patients. As a non-notifiable disease, the frequent detection of C. burnetii is noteworthy and warrants additional investigation. The project provided a framework for routine surveillance for persons presenting with AFI.

Clinical characteristics and risk factors for severe scrub typhus in pediatric and elderly patients

Background

Scrub typhus (ST) is a life-threatening infectious disease if appropriate treatment is unavailable. Large discrepancy of clinical severity of ST patients was reported among age groups, and the underlying risk factors for severe disease are unclear.

Methods

Clinical and epidemiological data of ST patients were collected in 55 surveillance hospitals located in Guangzhou City, China, from 2012 to 2018. Severe prognosis and related factors were determined and compared between pediatric and elderly patients.

Results

A total of 2,074 ST patients including 209 pediatric patients and 1,865 elderly patients were included, with a comparable disease severity rate of 11.0% (95% CI 7.1%–16.1%) and 10.3% (95% CI 9.0%–11.8%). Different frequencies of clinical characteristics including lymphadenopathy, skin rash, enlarged tonsils, etc. were observed between pediatric and elderly patients. Presence of peripheral edema and decreased hemoglobin were the most important predictors of severe illness in pediatric patients with adjusted ORs by 38.99 (9.96–152.67, p<0.001) and 13.22 (1.54–113.50, p = 0.019), respectively, while presence of dyspnea and increased total bilirubin were the potential determinants of severe disease in elderly patients with adjusted ORs by 11.69 (7.33–18.64, p<0.001) and 3.17 (1.97–5.11, p<0.001), respectively. Compared with pediatric patients, elderly patients were more likely to receive doxycycline (64.8% v.s 9.9%, p<0.001), while less likely to receive azithromycin therapy (5.0% v.s 41.1%, p<0.001).

Conclusion

The disease severity rate is comparable between pediatric and elderly ST patients, while different clinical features and laboratory indicators were associated with development of severe complications for pediatric and elderly patients, which is helpful for diagnosis and progress assessment of disease for ST patients.

The study investigated different clinical features and risk factors for severe disease between pediatric and elderly patients with scrub typhus. We found that significantly higher frequencies of lymphadenopathy, skin rash, enlarged tonsils, etc. were observed in pediatric patients than elderly patients. Other non-specific signs, subjective complaints, and chest radiographic abnormality were overpresented in elderly patients. Risk factors for severe disease between pediatric and elderly patients with scrub typhus were different. Presence of peripheral edema and decreased hemoglobin were the most important factors for pediatric patients, while presence of dyspnea and increased total bilirubin for elderly patients. These findings reminded medical workers to acknowledge this important difference and to adopt an age specific method in the differential diagnosis and risk assessment for scrub typhus.

Mapping the distributions of blood-sucking mites and mite-borne agents in China: a modeling study

Background

Emerging mite-borne pathogens and associated disease burdens in recent decades are raising serious public health concerns, yet their distributions and ecology remain under-investigated. We aim to describe the geographical distributions of blood-sucking mites and mite-borne agents and to assess their ecological niches in China.

Methods

We mapped 549 species of blood-sucking mites belonging to 100 genera at the county level and eight mite-associated agents detected from 36 species of blood-sucking mites in China during 1978–2020. Impacts of climatic and environmental factors on the ecology of 21 predominant vector mites and a leading pathogen, Orientia tsutsugamushi, were assessed using boosted regression tree (BRT) models, and model-predicted risks were mapped. We also estimated the model-predicted number, area and population size of affected counties for each of the 21 mite species in China.

Results

Laelaps echidninus is the leading mite species that potentially affects 744 million people, followed by La. jettmari (517 million) and Eulaelaps stabularis (452 million). Leptotrombidium scutellare is the mite species harboring the highest variety of mite-borne agents including four Rickettsia species and two viruses, followed by Eu. stabularis (2 agents), L. palpale (2) and La. echidninus (2). The top two agents that parasitize the largest number of mite species are O. tsutsugamushi (28 species) and hantavirus (8). Mammalian richness, annual mean temperature and precipitation of the driest quarter jointly determine the ecology of the mites, forming four clusters of major mite species with distinct geographic distributions. High-risk areas of O. tsutsugamushi are mainly distributed in southern and eastern coastal provinces where 71.5 million people live.

Conclusions

Ecological niches of major mite species and mite-borne pathogens are much more extensive than what have been observed, necessitating expansion of current filed surveillance.

Graphic Abstract

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s40249-022-00966-0.

Epidemiological and Clinical Features of Patients with Scrub Typhus - Guangzhou City, Guangdong Province, China, 2012-2018

What is already known about this topic?

Scrub typhus (ST) causes public health challenges in the "tsutsugamushi triangle" in the Asia-Pacific area greater than 13 million square kilometers, affecting an estimated one million people each year.

What is added by this report?

A retrospective study based on 4,501 hospitalized patients with ST in Guangzhou City, China, described the epidemiological and clinical characteristics, laboratory findings of ST, and determined the related factors and a predictive model for severe disease.

What are the implications for public health practice?

The current study provided updated knowledge that might enable public health policymakers to formulate appropriate measures to prevent ST and medical workers to perform targeted management to recognize and treat severe ST patients.

Mortality and complications of scrub typhus in the paediatric population: a systematic review and meta-analysis

Scrub typhus is a leading cause of treatable febrile illness. It can produce complications and dysfunction of multiple organs in children and is associated with considerable mortality. We attempted to perform a systematic review of original articles published between 1990 to 2020 based on certain selection criteria to estimate the case fatality risk of this disease in children. We addressed the pattern of complications of this disease with its impact on mortality We calculated pooled prevalence with a random effects model (restricted maximum likelihood method) that assumed varying effect sizes between studies using R statistical software. We reported the case fatality rate and its 95% confidence intervals (CIs) in the pooled analysis. Thirty-seven articles with a total of 3329 children were identified for inclusion. The case fatality rate was 1.1% (CI 0.05 to 2, I2=58% and prediction interval 0-6%). The mortality rate showed a declining trend over the last 5 y. Hepatitis (30.68% [95% CI 18.52 to 44.38]) remains the most common complication, followed by shock (14.45% [95% CI 7.71 to 22.85]), pneumonia (14.71% [95% CI 9.76 to 20.48]), acute kidney injury (13.72% [95% CI 8.49 to 19.97]) and meningitis/meningoencephalitis (11.57% [95% CI 7.83 to 15.92]). Multi-organ dysfunction syndrome was the main contributor to mortality.

Establishment of a Rhesus Macaque Model for Scrub Typhus Transmission: Pilot Study to Evaluate the Minimal Orientia tsutsugamushi Transmission Time by Leptotrombidium chiangraiensis Chiggers

Recently, an intradermal inoculation of the rhesus macaque model of scrub typhus has been characterized at our institution. The current project was to establish a rhesus macaque model of scrub typhus using the naturally infected chigger challenge method that faithfully mimics the natural route of pathogen transmission to fully understand the host-pathogen-vector interactions influencing pathogen transmission. Unlike the needle-based inoculation route, Orientia tsutsugamushi-infected chiggers introduce both pathogen and chigger saliva into the host epidermis at the bite site. However, information on the interaction or influence of chigger saliva on pathogenesis and immunity of host has been limited, consequently hindering vaccine development and transmission-blocking studies. To characterize chigger inoculated O. tsutsugamushi in rhesus macaques, we determined the minimum chigger attachment time required to efficiently transmit O. tsutsugamushi to the immunocompetent hosts and preliminary assessed clinical parameters, course of bacterial infection, and host’s immunological response to identifying potential factors influencing pathogen infection. Chigger infestation on hosts resulted in: (i) Rapid transmission of O. tsutsugamushi within 1 h and (ii) antigen-specific type I and II T-cell responses were markedly increased during the acute phase of infection, suggesting that both systems play critical roles in response to the pathogen control during the primary infection. In summary, we demonstrate that O. tsutsugamushi infection in rhesus macaques via chigger challenge recapitulates the time of disease onset and bacteremia observed in scrub typhus patients. Levels of proinflammatory cytokines and chemokines were positively correlated with bacteremia.

Vaccine Design and Vaccination Strategies against Rickettsiae

Rickettsioses are febrile, potentially lethal infectious diseases that are a serious health threat, especially in poor income countries. The causative agents are small obligate intracellular bacteria, rickettsiae. Rickettsial infections are emerging worldwide with increasing incidence and geographic distribution. Nonetheless, these infections are clearly underdiagnosed because methods of diagnosis are still limited and often not available. Another problem is that the bacteria respond to only a few antibiotics, so delayed or wrong antibiotic treatment often leads to a more severe outcome of the disease. In addition to that, the development of antibiotic resistance is a serious threat because alternative antibiotics are missing. For these reasons, prophylactic vaccines against rickettsiae are urgently needed. In the past years, knowledge about protective immunity against rickettsiae and immunogenic determinants has been increasing and provides a basis for vaccine development against these bacterial pathogens. This review provides an overview of experimental vaccination approaches against rickettsial infections and perspectives on vaccination strategies.

A spatio-temporal analysis of scrub typhus and murine typhus in Laos; implications from changing landscapes and climate

BACKGROUND

Scrub typhus (ST) and murine typhus (MT) are common but poorly understood causes of fever in Laos. We examined the spatial and temporal distribution of ST and MT, with the intent of informing interventions to prevent and control both diseases.

METHODOLOGY AND PRINCIPLE FINDINGS

This study included samples submitted from 2003 to 2017 to Mahosot Hospital, Vientiane, for ST and MT investigation. Serum samples were tested using IgM rapid diagnostic tests. Patient demographic data along with meteorological and environmental data from Laos were analysed. Approximately 17% of patients were positive for either ST (1,337/8,150 patients tested) or MT (1,283/7,552 patients tested). While both diseases occurred in inhabitants from Vientiane Capital, from the univariable analysis MT was positively and ST negatively associated with residence in Vientiane Capital. ST was highly seasonal, with cases two times more likely to occur during the wet season months of July-September compared to the dry season whilst MT peaked in the dry season. Multivariable regression analysis linked ST incidence to fluctuations in relative humidity whereas MT was linked to variation in temperature. Patients with ST infection were more likely to come from villages with higher levels of surface flooding and vegetation in the 16 days leading up to diagnosis.

CONCLUSIONS

The data suggest that as cities expand, high risk areas for MT will also expand. With global heating and risks of attendant higher precipitation, these data suggest that the incidence and spatial distribution of both MT and ST will increase.

Scrub typhus and antibiotic-resistant Orientia tsutsugamushi

Introduction: Scrub typhus is one of the most underdiagnosed and under-reported febrile illnesses requiring hospitalization, mainly occurring in Southeast and East Asia and the Pacific Islands, in an area referred to as the 'Tsutsugamushi Triangle.' Scrub typhus is a zoonotic rickettsial disease that is transmitted to humans by trombiculid mites.Areas covered: A MEDLINE/PubMed search of the available literature was performed to describe the role of antibiotic-resistant scrub typhus in therapy failure.Expert opinion: Scrub typhus is characterized by an eschar that may appear 2-3 days before sudden-onset fever with chills, headache, backache, myalgia, profuse sweating, vomiting, and enlarged lymph nodes. A macular or maculopapular skin rash can develop within 3-8 days after the onset of fever. Various antibiotics, such as chloramphenicol, tetracycline, doxycycline, macrolides, quinolones, and rifampicin, have been used to treat scrub typhus. Resistance to tetracycline has been proposed to underlie delayed clinical improvement since 1996, but recent reports have questioned the existence of doxycycline resistance. Nevertheless, the existence and importance of antibiotic-resistant scrub typhus remain uncertain and require further study.

The epidemiology, diagnosis and management of scrub typhus disease in China

Thirty-nine years ago, scrub typhus (ST), a disease, was not among the China's notifiable diseases. However, ST has reemerged to become a growing public health issue in the southwest part of China. The major factors contributing to an increased incidence and prevalence of this disease include rapid globalization, urbanization, expansion of humans into previously uninhabited areas, and climate change. The clinical manifestation of ST also consists of high fever, headache, weakness, myalgia, rash, and an eschar. In severe cases, complications (e.g. multi-organ failure, jaundice, acute renal failure, pneumonitis, myocarditis, and even death) can occur. The diagnosis of ST is mainly based on serological identification by indirect immunofluorescence assay and other molecular methods. Furthermore, several groups of antibiotics (e.g. tetracycline, chloramphenicol, macrolides, and rifampicin) are currently effective in treating this disease. This fact suggests the need for robust early diagnostic techniques, increased surveillance, and prompt treatment, and develop future vaccine.

The 100 top-cited articles on scrub typhus: a bibliometric analysis

Objective

The aims of this study were to analyze the characteristics of the 100 top-cited articles on scrub typhus (ST), and to assess the present research landscape and future research directions using bibliometric analysis.

Methods

Web of Science was used to conduct a bibliometric analysis of the 100 top-cited articles on ST. The articles were analyzed by publication year, number of citations, document type, journals, keywords, institutions, country of origin, and authorship.

Results

The top 100 articles on ST were published between 1945 to 2017. The number of citations ranges from 39 to 227 and the interquartile range was 35.5. The United States published the highest number (n=21) of articles. Mahidol University was the most prolific institution in terms of articles (n=14). The American Journal of Tropical Medicine and Hygiene was the journal with the most articles (n=14), and Paris DH was the most productive author in terms of the Hirsh-index, which was 10 for that author. The study revealed a significant correlation between the total number of citations and the number of authors (r=0.668, p < 0.001), number of institutions (r=0.692, p < 0.001), number of years since publication (r=0.869, p < 0.001), and number of countries involved (r=0.963, p < 0.001).

Conclusion

The findings of this study provide landmarks in the publication and citation frequency of the most influential articles on ST. In addition, this study provides useful information for readers and health policy-makers in evaluating the literature on ST.

Spatiotemporal Dynamics of Scrub Typhus in Jiangxi Province, China, from 2006 to 2018

Background: Scrub typhus (ST) has become a significant potential threat to public health in Jiangxi. Further investigation is essential for the control and management of the spatiotemporal patterns of the disease. Methods: Time-series analyses, spatial distribution analyses, spatial autocorrelation analysis, and space-time scan statistics were performed to detect spatiotemporal dynamics distribution of the incidence of ST. Results: From 2006 to 2018, a total of 5508 ST cases occurred in Jiangxi, covering 79 counties. The number of ST cases increased continuously from 2006 to 2018, and there was obvious seasonality during the variation process in each year, with a primary peak in autumn (September to October) and a smaller peak in summer (June to August). From 2007 to 2018, the spatial distribution of the ST epidemic was significant heterogeneity, and Nanfeng, Huichang, Xunwu, Anyuan, Longnan, and Xinfeng were hotspots. Seven spatiotemporal clusters were observed using Kulldorff's space-time scan statistic, and the most likely cluster only included one county, Nanfeng county. The high-risk areas of the disease were in the mountainous, hilly region of Wuyi and the southern mountainous region of Jiangxi. Conclusions: Targeted interventions should be executed in high-risk regions for the precise prevention and control of ST.