Post-diagnosis serum 25-hydroxyvitamin D concentrations in women treated for breast cancer participating in a lifestyle trial in Italy

OBJECTIVE

To report cross-sectionally serum levels of 25-hydroxyvitamin D [25(OH)D] in women living in Italy within 12 months from breast cancer (BC) diagnosis.

METHODS

Baseline data were obtained from 394 women diagnosed with primary BC, enrolled from 2016 to 2019 in a lifestyle trial conducted in Italy. Subjects' characteristics were compared between two 25(OH)D concentrations (hypovitaminosis D<20 and ≥20 ng/mL) with the Chi-squared test or Fisher's exact test for small-expected counts. Using multiple logistic regression-adjusted models, we estimated odds ratios (ORs) of hypovitaminosis D with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) in the total sample and in the unsupplemented subgroup.

RESULTS

Hypovitaminosis D was found in 39% of all subjects, 60% in unsupplemented subjects, and 10% in supplemented subjects. Increasing ORs of hypovitaminosis D were found with increasing body mass index, 25-30, >30, and ≥35 versus <25 kg/m2 (ORs: 2.50, 4.64, and 5.81, respectively, in the total cohort and ORs: 2.68, 5.38, and 7.08 in the unsupplemented); living in the most southern Italian region (OR 2.50, 95%CI 1.22-5.13); and with hypertriglyceridemia (OR 2.46; 95%CI 1.16-5.22), chemotherapy history (OR 1.86, 95%CI 1.03-3.38), and inversely with anti-estrogenic therapy (OR 0.43, 95%CI 0.24-0.75) in the total sample.

CONCLUSIONS

Hypovitaminosis D in women recently diagnosed with BC and participating in a lifestyle trial in Italy was widespread and highest with obesity, hypertriglyceridemia, and chemotherapy use. Considering that hypovitaminosis D is a risk factor for lower efficacy of bone density treatments and possibly BC mortality, our results suggest the need to promptly address and treat vitamin D deficiency.

Convergent approach to persistent atrial fibrillation ablation: long-term single-centre safety and efficacy

Background

Efforts to maintain sinus rhythm in patients with persistent atrial fibrillation (PsAF) remain challenging, with suboptimal long-term outcomes.

Methods

All patients undergoing convergent PsAF ablation at our centre were retrospectively analysed. The Atricure Epi-Sense® system was used to perform surgical radiofrequency ablation of the LA posterior wall followed by endocardial ablation.

Results

A total of 24 patients underwent convergent PsAF ablation, and 21 (84%) of them were male with a median age of 63. Twelve (50%) patients were obese. In total, 71% of patients had a severely dilated left atrium, and the majority (63%) had preserved left ventricular function. All were longstanding persistent. Eighteen (75%) patients had an AF duration of >2 years. There were no endocardial procedure complications. At 36 months, all patients were alive with no new stroke/transient ischaemic attack (TIA). Freedom from documented AF at 3, 6, 12, 18, 24, and 36 months was 83%, 78%, 74%, 74%, 74%, and 61%, respectively. There were no major surgical complications, with five minor complications recorded comprising minor wound infection, pericarditic pain, and hernia.

Conclusions

Our data suggest that convergent AF ablation is effective with excellent immediate and long-term safety outcomes in a real-world cohort of patients with a significant duration of AF and evidence of established atrial remodelling. Convergent AF ablation appears to offer a safe and effective option for those who are unlikely to benefit from existing therapeutic strategies for maintaining sinus rhythm, and further evaluation of this exciting technique is warranted. Our cohort is unique within the published literature both in terms of length of follow-up and very low rate of adverse events.

Effects of empagliflozin on progression of chronic kidney disease: a prespecified secondary analysis from the empa-kidney trial

BACKGROUND

Sodium-glucose co-transporter-2 (SGLT2) inhibitors reduce progression of chronic kidney disease and the risk of cardiovascular morbidity and mortality in a wide range of patients. However, their effects on kidney disease progression in some patients with chronic kidney disease are unclear because few clinical kidney outcomes occurred among such patients in the completed trials. In particular, some guidelines stratify their level of recommendation about who should be treated with SGLT2 inhibitors based on diabetes status and albuminuria. We aimed to assess the effects of empagliflozin on progression of chronic kidney disease both overall and among specific types of participants in the EMPA-KIDNEY trial.

METHODS

EMPA-KIDNEY, a randomised, controlled, phase 3 trial, was conducted at 241 centres in eight countries (Canada, China, Germany, Italy, Japan, Malaysia, the UK, and the USA), and included individuals aged 18 years or older with an estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) of 20 to less than 45 mL/min per 1·73 m2, or with an eGFR of 45 to less than 90 mL/min per 1·73 m2 with a urinary albumin-to-creatinine ratio (uACR) of 200 mg/g or higher. We explored the effects of 10 mg oral empagliflozin once daily versus placebo on the annualised rate of change in estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR slope), a tertiary outcome. We studied the acute slope (from randomisation to 2 months) and chronic slope (from 2 months onwards) separately, using shared parameter models to estimate the latter. Analyses were done in all randomly assigned participants by intention to treat. EMPA-KIDNEY is registered at ClinicalTrials.gov, NCT03594110.

FINDINGS

Between May 15, 2019, and April 16, 2021, 6609 participants were randomly assigned and then followed up for a median of 2·0 years (IQR 1·5-2·4). Prespecified subgroups of eGFR included 2282 (34·5%) participants with an eGFR of less than 30 mL/min per 1·73 m2, 2928 (44·3%) with an eGFR of 30 to less than 45 mL/min per 1·73 m2, and 1399 (21·2%) with an eGFR 45 mL/min per 1·73 m2 or higher. Prespecified subgroups of uACR included 1328 (20·1%) with a uACR of less than 30 mg/g, 1864 (28·2%) with a uACR of 30 to 300 mg/g, and 3417 (51·7%) with a uACR of more than 300 mg/g. Overall, allocation to empagliflozin caused an acute 2·12 mL/min per 1·73 m2 (95% CI 1·83-2·41) reduction in eGFR, equivalent to a 6% (5-6) dip in the first 2 months. After this, it halved the chronic slope from -2·75 to -1·37 mL/min per 1·73 m2 per year (relative difference 50%, 95% CI 42-58). The absolute and relative benefits of empagliflozin on the magnitude of the chronic slope varied significantly depending on diabetes status and baseline levels of eGFR and uACR. In particular, the absolute difference in chronic slopes was lower in patients with lower baseline uACR, but because this group progressed more slowly than those with higher uACR, this translated to a larger relative difference in chronic slopes in this group (86% [36-136] reduction in the chronic slope among those with baseline uACR <30 mg/g compared with a 29% [19-38] reduction for those with baseline uACR ≥2000 mg/g; ptrend<0·0001).

INTERPRETATION

Empagliflozin slowed the rate of progression of chronic kidney disease among all types of participant in the EMPA-KIDNEY trial, including those with little albuminuria. Albuminuria alone should not be used to determine whether to treat with an SGLT2 inhibitor.

FUNDING

Boehringer Ingelheim and Eli Lilly.

Impact of primary kidney disease on the effects of empagliflozin in patients with chronic kidney disease: secondary analyses of the EMPA-KIDNEY trial

BACKGROUND

The EMPA-KIDNEY trial showed that empagliflozin reduced the risk of the primary composite outcome of kidney disease progression or cardiovascular death in patients with chronic kidney disease mainly through slowing progression. We aimed to assess how effects of empagliflozin might differ by primary kidney disease across its broad population.

METHODS

EMPA-KIDNEY, a randomised, controlled, phase 3 trial, was conducted at 241 centres in eight countries (Canada, China, Germany, Italy, Japan, Malaysia, the UK, and the USA). Patients were eligible if their estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) was 20 to less than 45 mL/min per 1·73 m2, or 45 to less than 90 mL/min per 1·73 m2 with a urinary albumin-to-creatinine ratio (uACR) of 200 mg/g or higher at screening. They were randomly assigned (1:1) to 10 mg oral empagliflozin once daily or matching placebo. Effects on kidney disease progression (defined as a sustained ≥40% eGFR decline from randomisation, end-stage kidney disease, a sustained eGFR below 10 mL/min per 1·73 m2, or death from kidney failure) were assessed using prespecified Cox models, and eGFR slope analyses used shared parameter models. Subgroup comparisons were performed by including relevant interaction terms in models. EMPA-KIDNEY is registered with ClinicalTrials.gov, NCT03594110.

FINDINGS

Between May 15, 2019, and April 16, 2021, 6609 participants were randomly assigned and followed up for a median of 2·0 years (IQR 1·5-2·4). Prespecified subgroupings by primary kidney disease included 2057 (31·1%) participants with diabetic kidney disease, 1669 (25·3%) with glomerular disease, 1445 (21·9%) with hypertensive or renovascular disease, and 1438 (21·8%) with other or unknown causes. Kidney disease progression occurred in 384 (11·6%) of 3304 patients in the empagliflozin group and 504 (15·2%) of 3305 patients in the placebo group (hazard ratio 0·71 [95% CI 0·62-0·81]), with no evidence that the relative effect size varied significantly by primary kidney disease (pheterogeneity=0·62). The between-group difference in chronic eGFR slopes (ie, from 2 months to final follow-up) was 1·37 mL/min per 1·73 m2 per year (95% CI 1·16-1·59), representing a 50% (42-58) reduction in the rate of chronic eGFR decline. This relative effect of empagliflozin on chronic eGFR slope was similar in analyses by different primary kidney diseases, including in explorations by type of glomerular disease and diabetes (p values for heterogeneity all >0·1).

INTERPRETATION

In a broad range of patients with chronic kidney disease at risk of progression, including a wide range of non-diabetic causes of chronic kidney disease, empagliflozin reduced risk of kidney disease progression. Relative effect sizes were broadly similar irrespective of the cause of primary kidney disease, suggesting that SGLT2 inhibitors should be part of a standard of care to minimise risk of kidney failure in chronic kidney disease.

FUNDING

Boehringer Ingelheim, Eli Lilly, and UK Medical Research Council.

Emergency out-of-hours catheter ablation for ventricular arrhythmia storm: a UK and Australian experience

AIMS

There are limited data on emergency catheter ablation (CA) for ventricular arrhythmia (VA) storm. We describe the feasibility and safety of performing emergency CA in an out-of-hours setting for VA storm refractory to medical therapy at 2 tertiary hospitals.

METHODS AND RESULTS

Twenty-five consecutive patients underwent out-of-hours (5pm-8am [weekday] or Friday 5pm-Monday 8am [weekend]) CA for VA storm refractory to anti-arrhythmic drugs and sedation. Baseline and procedural characteristics along with outcomes were compared to 91 consecutive patients undergoing weekday daytime-hours (8am-5pm) CA for VA storm. More patients undergoing out-of-hours CA had a left ventricular ejection fraction ≤35% (68% vs. 42%, P = 0.022), chronic kidney disease (60% vs. 20%, P < 0.001), and presented following a resuscitated out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (56% vs. 5%, P < 0.001), compared to the daytime-hours group. During median follow-up (377 [interquartile range 138-826] days), both groups experienced similar survival free from recurrent VA and VA storm. Survival free from cardiac transplant and/or mortality was lower in the out-of-hours group (44% vs. 81%, P = 0.007), but out-of-hours CA was not independently associated with increased cardiac transplant and/or mortality (hazard ratio 1.34, 95% confidence interval 0.61-2.96, P = 0.47). Of the 11 patients in the out-of-hours group who survived follow-up, VA-free survival was 91% and VA storm-free survival was 100% at 1-year after CA.

CONCLUSION

Out-of-hours CA may occasionally be required to control VA storm and can be safe and efficacious in this scenario. During follow-up, cardiac transplant and/or mortality is common but undergoing out-of-hours CA was not predictive of this composite endpoint.

A-47 Affective Comorbidity Neurocognitive Variability in College Athletes at Baseline

Purpose: Research on the neurocognitive effects of comorbid mood/anxiety disturbance in college athletes is limited. Previous work demonstrated that athletes with comorbid depression/anxiety performed worse on measures of attention/processing speed at baseline compared to healthy controls (HCs). However, this work only examined mean performance. The current study expands upon this work by examining intraindividual variability (IIV) in relation to affective disturbance. Methods: 835 (M = 624, F = 211) collegiate athletes completed baseline neuropsychological testing. Athletes were separated into 4 groups (HCs [n = 582], Depression Only [n = 137], Anxiety Only [n = 54], Comorbid Depression/Anxiety [n = 62]) based on self-reported anxiety and depression. IIV was examined via intraindividual standard deviation (ISD) with higher scores indicating greater variability. ISD was examined globally and within composites of attention/processing speed (A/PS) and memory. Results: Linear regression results revealed that the comorbid group exhibited greater variability within the memory composite compared to HCs, (t(829) = 3.28, p = 0.001, d = 0.39), the depression group, (t(829) = −2.62, p = 0.009, d = 0.35), and the anxiety group (t(829) = −2.76, p = 0.006, d = 0.49). The depression group and anxiety group did not differ from HCs on memory ISD. None of the groups differed on A/PS or global ISD. Conclusions: Athletes with comorbid depression/anxiety demonstrated greater variability in performance on memory tasks. Greater dispersion is predictive of greater cognitive decline following concussion; therefore, it is important that we interpret neuropsychological performance beyond measures of central tendency. These findings also highlight the importance of having baseline data available for athletes with affective disturbance as these underlying secondary factors may influence performance, place athlete at risk for poorer outcomes, and skew future post-concussion comparisons.

Evaluation of prognostic risk models for postoperative pulmonary complications in adult patients undergoing major abdominal surgery: a systematic review and international external validation cohort study

BACKGROUND

Stratifying risk of postoperative pulmonary complications after major abdominal surgery allows clinicians to modify risk through targeted interventions and enhanced monitoring. In this study, we aimed to identify and validate prognostic models against a new consensus definition of postoperative pulmonary complications.

METHODS

We did a systematic review and international external validation cohort study. The systematic review was done in accordance with the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses guidelines. We searched MEDLINE and Embase on March 1, 2020, for articles published in English that reported on risk prediction models for postoperative pulmonary complications following abdominal surgery. External validation of existing models was done within a prospective international cohort study of adult patients (≥18 years) undergoing major abdominal surgery. Data were collected between Jan 1, 2019, and April 30, 2019, in the UK, Ireland, and Australia. Discriminative ability and prognostic accuracy summary statistics were compared between models for the 30-day postoperative pulmonary complication rate as defined by the Standardised Endpoints in Perioperative Medicine Core Outcome Measures in Perioperative and Anaesthetic Care (StEP-COMPAC). Model performance was compared using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROCC).

FINDINGS

In total, we identified 2903 records from our literature search; of which, 2514 (86·6%) unique records were screened, 121 (4·8%) of 2514 full texts were assessed for eligibility, and 29 unique prognostic models were identified. Nine (31·0%) of 29 models had score development reported only, 19 (65·5%) had undergone internal validation, and only four (13·8%) had been externally validated. Data to validate six eligible models were collected in the international external validation cohort study. Data from 11 591 patients were available, with an overall postoperative pulmonary complication rate of 7·8% (n=903). None of the six models showed good discrimination (defined as AUROCC ≥0·70) for identifying postoperative pulmonary complications, with the Assess Respiratory Risk in Surgical Patients in Catalonia score showing the best discrimination (AUROCC 0·700 [95% CI 0·683-0·717]).

INTERPRETATION

In the pre-COVID-19 pandemic data, variability in the risk of pulmonary complications (StEP-COMPAC definition) following major abdominal surgery was poorly described by existing prognostication tools. To improve surgical safety during the COVID-19 pandemic recovery and beyond, novel risk stratification tools are required.

FUNDING

British Journal of Surgery Society.

POS1132 PATTERNS OF JOINT SURGERY IN THE TEN YEARS PRIOR TO PRIMARY KNEE REPLACEMENT IN ENGLAND AND SWEDEN – A POPULATION-BASED CASE-CONTROL STUDY

Background

Primary knee replacement (KR) is an effective intervention for end-stage knee osteoarthritis (OA). However, there are no definitive recommendations for the timing at which patients should receive this surgery, potentially resulting in differences in referral patterns depending on geographical area or the clinicians‘ preferences.

Objectives

To investigate the prevalence of meniscus, knee ligament and knee synovial surgeries as well as knee osteotomy and hip replacement (HR) across the ten years preceding a KR in cases and controls in England and Sweden.

Methods

This was a multi-national, population-based, case-control study within England and Sweden. Cases underwent primary TKR and controls, matched using risk-set sampling by age, sex and practice/region, did not. Electronic healthcare databases were used; the Clinical Practice Research Datalink (CPRD) in England, and the Health Register of Skåne (Sweden’s southernmost region) in Sweden.

ICD-10 codes and KVÅ codes in Sweden and Medcodes (SNOMED CT (UK edition) and Read codes) in England were used to identify subjects aged ≥45 years who underwent primary KR between 1st January 2015 and 31st December 2019. Eligible cases had to be registered for ≥10 years prior to the primary KR (index date), and have no record of prior KR in that period.

Office of Population Censuses and Surveys (OPCS) codes in England and ICD-10 codes in Sweden were used to identify selected orthopaedic surgeries.

Meniscal (e.g. excision, resection, repair) and ligament surgery (e.g. ligament reconstruction, replacement, suture) were included, as well as osteotomy (e.g. angle, rotational or displacement osteotomy of the knee or lower leg). Hip replacement (HR) (any primary HR) was also included, to evaluate the rate at which patients undergoing KR also undergo further major arthroplasty in the years preceding this – The annual prevalence of having at least one recorded surgery for each type in each of the 10 years preceding KR was estimated using Poisson regression models and expressed per 1,000 people.

Results

We identified 6,337 and 47,010 subjects who underwent a knee replacement between 2015 and 2019 in southern Sweden and England, respectively (Table 1). Overall, the prevalence of all analysed surgeries was consistently lower in the controls with minimal trends detectable throughout follow-up in both England and Sweden (Figure 1).

Table 1.

demographic

SwedenEnglandCases(n=6,337)Controls(n=6,337)Cases(n=47,010)Controls(n=47,010)Age, mean (SD)69.0 (8.9)68.9 (9.1)69.6 (9.6)69.6 (9.6)Female Sex, n (%)3,585 (56.6%)3,585 (56.6%)26,154 (55.6%)26,154 (55.6%)Surgeries, n Hip replacement5623243,9331,889 Meniscus384448,659833 Ligaments1659011 Synovial1641536930 Osteotomy9831075

On the other hand, an increasing trend among the cases, signifying a higher prevalence of surgeries when nearing KR, was observed for HR and meniscal surgeries in both nations. The prevalence of HR was similar in England and southern Sweden at all-time points showing an increase most noticeable in the 3 years before KR. The prevalence of meniscus surgery in England was higher than the one observed in Sweden throughout the follow-up. Prevalence in England increased most noticeably in the four years prior to KR reaching 33.2 (95%CI 31.6, 34.9) surgeries per 1,000 people in the year preceding KR. In Sweden, the prevalence of meniscus surgery remained between four and eight surgeries per 1,000 people until the last year prior to KR when the prevalence increased to 13.8 (95%CI 11.9, 16.2) surgeries per 1,000 people.

Conclusion

HR and meniscal surgeries are common procedures that a person is likely to have experienced in the ten years prior to a KR. Comparing England and southern Sweden, we noticed similar prevalence and trends for what concerns HR suggesting similar practice in the two healthcare systems. Meniscus surgeries were more frequently utilised in England. Nevertheless, in both countries, a marked increase in the prevalence of this surgery was observed in the last years prior to the KR.

Disclosure of Interests

None declared

Pre-clinical evaluation of a third generation absorbable antibacterial envelope

Funding Acknowledgements

Type of funding sources: Private company. Main funding source(s): Medtronic

Background

An absorbable antibacterial envelope (TYRX), which stabilizes cardiac implantable electronic devices (CIEDs) was shown to significantly reduce infections in a large randomized controlled trial (WRAP-IT). A 3rd generation envelope (T3) is being developed to improve the implanter experience and enable smoother device insertion with a redesigned, multifilament mesh, an enhanced form factor, and identical polymer coating and antibiotic concentrations as the currently available 2nd generation envelope (T2).

Purpose

To compare drug elution profiles of T3 vs T2 and evaluate the efficacy of T3 against bacteria commonly known to be associated with CIED infections.

Methods

The T3 drug elution profile was assessed in vitro by evaluating the amount of each drug, minocycline and rifampin, released at a given timepoint using an accelerated dissolution method. For comparative analysis with T2, elution curve equivalency was based on similarity factor values (f2) of ≥50 per FDA guidance. An in vivo elution study was also conducted (per the Principles of Laboratory Animal Care [NIH Publication no. 85-23 revised 1985]) to ensure drug concentrations met the minimal inhibitory concentration (MIC) through 7 days. Substantial equivalence was defined as rifampin and minocycline concentrations above MIC at 2hr post-implant and sustained through 7 days. In a further animal model, 12 pockets were created in 6 rabbits, for CIED insertion with and without T3 envelopes, to evaluate efficacy against gram+ and gram- bacteria. At day 7, implant sites were evaluated for signs of infection via macroscopic observations and microbial recovery procedures. A Fisher’s Exact Test was used for comparisons.

Results

The T3 envelope showed a similar elution profile to T2 in vitro (Figure) with f2 &gt;50 (range 76-84). In the in vivo assessment, the T3 envelope eluted both antibiotics above the MIC at 2hr post-implant with sustained elution through 7 days, consistent with historical T2 performance. Further bacterial challenge studies in vivo showed a statistically significant reduction (p&lt;0.05) in infections with 0/6 infected pockets in the CIED + T3 group vs 6/6 infected pockets in the CIED only group consistent with T2 performance (Table).

Conclusion

The 3rd generation absorbable antibacterial envelope demonstrated equivalent pre-clinical performance compared to the 2nd generation envelope as antibiotic elution curves were equivalent, elution was sustained at concentrations above MIC for 7 days, and infection rates were significantly reduced compared to no envelope. These results suggest equivalent clinical performance could be expected with the newly designed envelope.

Delayed care for patients with newly diagnosed cancer due to COVID-19 and estimated impact on cancer mortality in France

BACKGROUND

The impact of the first coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) wave on cancer patient management was measured within the nationwide network of the Unicancer comprehensive cancer centers in France.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

The number of patients diagnosed and treated within 17 of the 18 Unicancer centers was collected in 2020 and compared with that during the same periods between 2016 and 2019. Unicancer centers treat close to 20% of cancer patients in France yearly. The reduction in the number of patients attending the Unicancer centers was analyzed per regions and cancer types. The impact of delayed care on cancer-related deaths was calculated based on different hypotheses.

RESULTS

A 6.8% decrease in patients managed within Unicancer in the first 7 months of 2020 versus 2019 was observed. This reduction reached 21% during April and May, and was not compensated in June and July, nor later until November 2020. This reduction was observed only for newly diagnosed patients, while the clinical activity for previously diagnosed patients increased by 4% similar to previous years. The reduction was more pronounced in women, in breast and prostate cancers, and for patients without metastasis. Using an estimated hazard ratio of 1.06 per month of delay in diagnosis and treatment of new patients, we calculated that the delays observed in the 5-month period from March to July 2020 may result in an excess mortality due to cancer of 1000-6000 patients in coming years.

CONCLUSIONS

In this study, the delays in cancer patient management were observed only for newly diagnosed patients, more frequently in women, for breast cancer, prostate cancer, and nonmetastatic cancers. These delays may result is an excess risk of cancer-related deaths in the coming years.

Multicentre Investigation of Prognostic Factors Incorporating p16 and Tumour Infiltrating Lymphocytes for Anal Cancer After Chemoradiotherapy

AIMS

Anal squamous cell carcinomas (ASCC) are strongly associated with human papillomaviruses. Standard of care is chemoradiotherapy at uniform doses with no treatment stratification. Immunohistochemical staining for p16INK4A (p16), a surrogate for human papillomaviruses, is prognostic for outcomes. We investigated this alongside clinical-pathological factors, including tumour infiltrating lymphocyte (TIL) scores.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Using an independent, multicentre cohort of 257 ASCC treated with chemoradiotherapy, pretreatment biopsies were stained and scored for p16 and TIL. Kaplan-Meier curves were derived for outcomes (disease-free survival [DFS], overall survival and cancer-specific survival), by stage, p16 and TIL scores and Log-rank tests were carried out to investigate prognostic effect. A multivariate analysis was carried out using Cox regression.

RESULTS

Stage, sex, p16 and TILs were independently prognostic. Hazard ratios for death (overall survival) were 2.51 (95% confidence interval 1.36-4.63) for p16 negative versus p16 positive, 2.17 (1.34-3.5) for T3/4 versus T1/2, 2.42 (1.52-3.8) for males versus females and 3.30 (1.52-7.14) for TIL1 versus TIL3 (all P < 0.05).

CONCLUSIONS

We have refined prognostic factors in ASCC. p16 adds to stratification by stage with respect to DFS in early disease and overall survival/DFS in locally advanced cancers. Our data support the role of the host immune response in mediating outcomes. These factors will be prospectively evaluated in PLATO (ISRCTN88455282).

Australian experience with total pancreatectomy with islet autotransplantation to treat chronic pancreatitis

BACKGROUND

This study aimed to describe the clinical outcomes of total pancreatectomy with islet autotransplantation (TP-IAT) in Australia.

METHODS

Individuals selected for TP-IAT surgery according to the Minnesota Criteria (Appendix) without evidence of diabetes were evaluated including time to transplantation from pancreatectomy, islet numbers infused and post-transplantation HbA1c, C-peptide, total daily insulin and analgesic requirement.

RESULTS

Sixteen individuals underwent TP-IAT from Australia and New Zealand between 2010 and 2020. Two recipients are deceased. The median islet equivalents/kg infused was 4244 (interquartile range (IQR) 2290-7300). The median C-peptide 1 month post-TP-IAT was 384 (IQR 210-579) pmol/L and at median 29.5 (IQR 14.5-46.5) months from transplant was 395 (IQR 139-862) pmol/L. Insulin independence was achieved in eight of 15 (53.3%) surviving recipients. A higher islet equivalents transplanted was most strongly associated with the likelihood of insulin independence (P < 0.05). Of the 15 surviving recipients, 14 demonstrated substantial reduction in analgesic requirement.

CONCLUSION

The TP-IAT programme in Australia has been a successful new therapy for the management of individuals with chronic pancreatitis including hereditary forms refractory to medical treatment to improve pain management with 50% insulin independence rates.

Microelimination or Not? The Changing Epidemiology of Human Immunodeficiency Virus-Hepatitis C Virus Coinfection in France 2012–2018

Background

The arrival of highly effective, well-tolerated, direct-acting antiviral agents (DAA) led to a dramatic decrease in hepatitis C virus (HCV) prevalence. Human immunodeficiency virus (HIV)-HCV–coinfected patients are deemed a priority population for HCV elimination, while a rise in recently acquired HCV infections in men who have sex with men (MSM) has been described. We describe the variations in HIV-HCV epidemiology in the French Dat’AIDS cohort.

Methods

This was a retrospective analysis of a prospective cohort of persons living with HIV (PLWH) from 2012 to 2018. We determined HCV prevalence, HCV incidence, proportion of viremic patients, treatment uptake, and mortality rate in the full cohort and by HIV risk factors.

Results

From 2012 to 2018, 50 861 PLWH with a known HCV status were followed up. During the period, HCV prevalence decreased from 15.4% to 13.5%. HCV prevalence among new HIV cases increased from 1.9% to 3.5% in MSM but remained stable in other groups. Recently acquired HCV incidence increased from 0.36/100 person-years to 1.25/100 person-years in MSM. The proportion of viremic patients decreased from 67.0% to 8.9%. MSM became the first group of viremic patients in 2018 (37.9%). Recently acquired hepatitis represented 59.2% of viremic MSM in 2018. DAA treatment uptake increased from 11.4% to 61.5%. More treatments were initiated in MSM in 2018 (41.2%) than in intravenous drug users (35.6%). In MSM, treatment at the acute phase represented 30.0% of treatments in 2018.

Conclusions

A major shift in HCV epidemiology was observed in PLWH in France from 2012 to 2018, leading to a unique situation in which the major group of HCV transmission in 2018 was MSM.

Clinical Trials Registration. NCT02898987.

Hip fracture patients admitted to hospital on weekends are not at increased risk of 30-day mortality as compared with weekdays

Background

Hip fractures remain a major health concern owing to the increasing elderly population and their association with significant morbidity and mortality. The effects of weekend admission on mortality have been studied since the late 1970s. Despite most studies showing that mortality rates are higher for patients admitted on a weekend, the characteristics of the admitted patients have remained unclear. We aim to investigate this ‘weekend effect’ at our hospital in patients presenting with a hip fracture.

Methods

Patients undergoing acute hip fracture surgery were identified from the local National Hip Fracture Database. Patient demographics, fracture type, co-morbidities and admission blood parameters were examined. The outcome analysed was 30-day mortality. The data were analysed with regard to day of admission, i.e. weekday (Monday to Friday) or weekend (Saturday and Sunday).

Results

A total of 894 patients were included. Results demonstrated that 30-day mortality was similar on the weekend compared with the weekday (6.96% versus 10.39%, OR 0.65, 95% CI 0.36–1.14, p = 0.128) for patients who sustained an acute hip fracture. The total number of deaths within 30 days was 85 (69 weekday versus 16 weekend). This remained non-significant after adjusting for several variables: age and sex only (OR = 0.65, 95% CI 0.37–1.16, p = 0.146), age, sex, and care variables (OR = 0.59, 95% CI 0.33–1.06, p = 0.080), age, sex, and blood test results (OR = 0.62, 95% CI 0.35–1.12, p = 0.111), and all covariates (OR = 0.69, 95% CI 0.29–1.62, p = 0.392). In the fully adjusted model, the following variables were independent predictors of mortality: sex (male) (OR = 1.93, 95% CI 1.11–3.35, p = 0.019) and ASA > 2 (OR = 2.6, 95% CI 1.11–6.11, p = 0.028) and age (1.08, 95% CI 1.04–1.13, p < 0.001).

Conclusion

The evidence for a ‘weekend effect’ in patients with a hip fracture is absent in this study. However, we have shown other factors that are associated with increased mortality such as increased age, male sex and higher ASA grade.

Level of evidence

Level 3.

Why women are not small men: sex-related differences in perioperative cardiopulmonary exercise testing

Background

The use of preoperative cardiopulmonary exercise testing (CPET) to evaluate the risk of adverse perioperative outcomes is increasingly prevalent. CPET-derived information enables personalised perioperative care and enhances shared decision-making. Sex-related differences in physical fitness are reported in non-perioperative literature. However, little attention has been paid to sex-related differences in the context of perioperative CPET.

Aim

We explored differences in the physical fitness variables reported in a recently published multi-centre study investigating CPET before colorectal surgery. We also report the inclusion rate of females in published perioperative CPET cohorts that are shaping guidelines and clinical practice.

Methods

We performed a post hoc analysis of the trial data of 703 patients who underwent CPET prior to major elective colorectal surgery. We also summarised the female inclusion rate in peer-reviewed published reports of perioperative CPET.

Results

Fitness assessed using commonly used perioperative CPET variables—oxygen consumption at anaerobic threshold (AT) and peak exercise—was significantly higher in males than in females both before and after correction for body weight. In studies contributing to the development of perioperative CPET, 68.5% of the participants were male.

Conclusion

To our knowledge, this is the first study to describe differences between males and females in CPET variables used in a perioperative setting. Furthermore, there is a substantial difference between the inclusion rates of males and females in this field. These findings require validation in larger cohorts and may have significant implications for both sexes in the application of CPET in the perioperative setting.

What future/s for outdoor and environmental education in a world that has contended with COVID-19?

This is an unusual article in that it brings together the perspectives of many on this journal’s editorial board, around the issue of contending with COVID-19. Twenty statements showcase a range of thoughts and experiences, highlighting the differences and similarities in the way the pandemic is impacting on the educational practice of outdoor and environmental education. The future is not yet written, of course, so it is worth thinking about how the current moment may impact on the months and years to come. The aim of this article is to influence and support such thinking.

Histopathological characteristics and post-operative follow-up of patients with potentially radiogenic papillary thyroid carcinoma depending on oncocytic changes availability in the tumor cells

AIM

To compare the frequency of main histopathological characteristics, 131І thyroid radiation doses, invasive properties and post-operative follow-up of patients of different age groups with potentially radiogenic papillary thyroid carcinoma (PTC) with the presence and absence of oncocytic changes in tumor cells.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

PTC removed in 483 patients from high risk age-group for radiogenic thyroid cancer development (children and adolescents at the time of Chornobyl accident who lived in the northern regions of Ukraine: Kyiv, Zhytomyr, and Chernihiv regions) have been studied microscopically.

RESULTS

The frequency of PTC with the presence of oncocytic changes (OCh) in tumor cells increased significantly with increasing of patients' age at the time of surgery: from 8.3% in children 4-14 years old to 54.3% in adults 39-48 years old (ptrend < 0.0001). The presence of such changes is associated with papillary and solid-trabecular dominant tumor growth pattern in more than 90% of cases in each age group. The mean 131І thyroid dose in the whole series of PTC patients with OCh was significantly lower compared to the same index in PTC patients without OCh (493.7 mGy and 765.8 mGy, respectively, p < 0.0001). In addition, regional metastases recurrences were revealed more frequently in patients with OCh in primary PTC compared with patients without OCh in primary tumor (7.2% vs 1.5%, p = 0.0022).

CONCLUSIONS

Significantly increasing age-trend of OCh in PTC of patients affected by the Chornobyl fallout and operated at age from 4 to 48 years, as well as opposite decreasing linear age-trend of 131І thyroid dose may reflect a gradual increase of sporadic PTCs frequency in the potentially radiogenic series with time elapsed since accident. The frequency of oncocytic insensitive to radioiodine therapy of lymph node metastases recurrences also increased with patients age and OCh availability in primary PTC.

Independent or simultaneous lowering of core and skin temperature has no impact on self-paced intermittent running performance in hot conditions

Purpose

To investigate the effects of lowering core (T_gi) and mean skin temperature (T_sk) concomitantly and independently on self-paced intermittent running in the heat.

Methods

10 males (30.5 ± 5.8 years, 73.2 ± 14.5 kg, 176.9 ± 8.0 cm, 56.2 ± 6.6 ml/kg/min) completed four randomised 46-min self-paced intermittent protocols on a non-motorised treadmill in 34.4 ± 1.4 °C, 36.3 ± 4.6% relative humidity. 30-min prior to exercise, participants were cooled via either ice slurry ingestion (INT); a cooling garment (EXT); mixed-cooling (ice slurry and cooling garment concurrently) (MIX); or no-cooling (CON).

Results

At the end of pre-cooling and the start of exercise T_gi were lower during MIX (36.11 ± 1.3 °C) compared to CON (37.6 ± 0.5 °C) and EXT (36.9 ± 0.5 °C, p < 0.05). Throughout pre-cooling T_sk and thermal sensation were lower in MIX compared to CON and INT, but not EXT (p < 0.05). The reductions in thermophysiological responses diminished within 10–20 min of exercise. Despite lowering T_gi, T_sk, body temperature (T_b), and thermal sensation prior to exercise, the distances covered were similar (CON: 6.69 ± 1.08 km, INT: 6.96 ± 0.81 km, EXT: 6.76 ± 0.65 km, MIX 6.87 ± 0.70 km) (p > 0.05). Peak sprint speeds were also similar between conditions (CON: 25.6 ± 4.48 km/h, INT: 25.4 ± 3.6 km/h, EXT: 26.0 ± 4.94 km/h, MIX: 25.6 ± 3.58 km/h) (p > 0.05). Blood lactate, heart rate and RPE were similar between conditions (p > 0.05).

Conclusion

Lowering T_gi and T_sk prior to self-paced intermittent exercise did not improve sprint, or submaximal running performance.

Electronic supplementary material

The online version of this article (10.1007/s00421-019-04173-y) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users.

Improving the Prescription of Oral Anticoagulants in Atrial Fibrillation: A Systematic Review

Objective Oral anticoagulant (OAC) prescription for stroke prevention in atrial fibrillation (AF) patients frequently does not follow current guidelines, with underuse in patients at high risk of stroke and substantial overuse in those at low risk. This review aims to systematically evaluate the effectiveness of interventions to improve appropriate OAC prescription in eligible AF patients for stroke prevention.

Methods Systematic review of controlled and uncontrolled studies published up to July 2017 with interventions designed to improve appropriate OAC prescription for stroke prevention in eligible AF patients (according to risk assessment tool or guidelines). Categorization of intervention types was pre-specified. The main outcome was change in proportion of eligible AF patients prescribed OACs for stroke prevention.

Results Twenty studies conducted in 392 settings were included (cluster randomized controlled trials, controlled trials and uncontrolled before-after designs; n = 29,868 patients at baseline). Fifteen studies reported significant improvements in appropriate prescription of OACs in AF patients. All interventions with a persuasive element (8/8); all studies targeting health care professional (HCP) education or guideline/protocol implementation (7/7); and all medical care programs (4/4) achieved significant increases in appropriate OAC prescription. Computerized decision support interventions (3/5) and reviews of prescribing (2/4) were less likely to report significant improvements in appropriate OAC prescription.

Conclusion Interventions designed to improve appropriate prescription of OACs in eligible AF patients for stroke prevention can be effective. Successful approaches include education of HCPs; implementation of local guidelines; interdisciplinary medical care programs educating both HCPs and patients and persuasive interventions utilizing peer-group experts. Protocol registration: PROSPERO (CRD42016039654).

Critical care usage after major gastrointestinal and liver surgery: a prospective, multicentre observational study

BACKGROUND

Patient selection for critical care admission must balance patient safety with optimal resource allocation. This study aimed to determine the relationship between critical care admission, and postoperative mortality after abdominal surgery.

METHODS

This prespecified secondary analysis of a multicentre, prospective, observational study included consecutive patients enrolled in the DISCOVER study from UK and Republic of Ireland undergoing major gastrointestinal and liver surgery between October and December 2014. The primary outcome was 30-day mortality. Multivariate logistic regression was used to explore associations between critical care admission (planned and unplanned) and mortality, and inter-centre variation in critical care admission after emergency laparotomy.

RESULTS

Of 4529 patients included, 37.8% (n=1713) underwent planned critical care admissions from theatre. Some 3.1% (n=86/2816) admitted to ward-level care subsequently underwent unplanned critical care admission. Overall 30-day mortality was 2.9% (n=133/4519), and the risk-adjusted association between 30-day mortality and critical care admission was higher in unplanned [odds ratio (OR): 8.65, 95% confidence interval (CI): 3.51-19.97) than planned admissions (OR: 2.32, 95% CI: 1.43-3.85). Some 26.7% of patients (n=1210/4529) underwent emergency laparotomies. After adjustment, 49.3% (95% CI: 46.8-51.9%, P<0.001) were predicted to have planned critical care admissions, with 7% (n=10/145) of centres outside the 95% CI.

CONCLUSIONS

After risk adjustment, no 30-day survival benefit was identified for either planned or unplanned postoperative admissions to critical care within this cohort. This likely represents appropriate admission of the highest-risk patients. Planned admissions in selected, intermediate-risk patients may present a strategy to mitigate the risk of unplanned admission. Substantial inter-centre variation exists in planned critical care admissions after emergency laparotomies.

Australian fitness professionals' level of interest in engaging with high health-risk population subgroups: findings from a national survey

OBJECTIVES

Fitness industry professionals (personal trainers, group instructors) may have a role in health promotion, particularly when working with subgroups with known health risks (e.g. older adults, obese). The aim of this study is to examine fitness professionals' level of interest in engaging with high-risk populations.

STUDY DESIGN

Cross-sectional evaluation of a national survey.

METHODS

In 2014, 9100 Australian registered exercise professionals were invited to complete an online survey. Respondents reported their level of interest in engaging with nine health-risk population subgroups. A multivariable logistic regression analysis assessed the odds of being classified as having a 'low level' of interest in training high health-risk subgroups, adjusting for demographic and fitness industry-related factors.

RESULTS

Of 1185 respondents (aged 17-72 years), 31.1% reported having a 'high level' of interest in training high health-risk subgroups. The highest level of interest was among 'obese clients' and 'adults (18-64 years) with chronic health conditions'. In the adjusted analysis, males (odds ratio [OR], 1.55, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.06-2.25) and those in urban settings (OR, 2.26, 95% CI: 1.54-3.37) were more likely to have a 'low level' of interest.

CONCLUSIONS

Fitness professionals have a modest level of interest in training high health-risk subgroups. In addition to the development of strategies to increase interest, research should examine whether fitness professionals are able to safely prescribe exercise to high health-risk subgroups.

What you should know about the low anterior resection syndrome - Clinical recommendations from a patient perspective

INTRODUCTION

Functional bowel complaints, referred to as Low Anterior Resection Syndrome (LARS), are common after sphincter-saving surgical procedures and have a severe impact on quality of life (QoL). Care for LARS patients is complex and surgeons underestimate or misinterpret its associated symptoms. This study aimed to explore the impact of LARS from a patient perspective facilitating the construction of a set of recommendations improving current care stratagems.

METHODS

In a non-academic Dutch teaching hospital, three focus group sessions were conducted with 16 patients (males = 50%) who had undergone colorectal surgery between 2012 and 2017. A trained moderator orchestrated patient-discussion regarding illness perception and health-care needs. Transcripts were analysed using inductive content analysis.

RESULTS

Three themes were identified: illness perception, preoperative care and postoperative supportive care. Specific attention and screening for LARS is deemed necessary for breaking the taboo surrounding it. Extension of preoperative counselling on the normal postoperative course, including ways to optimize social support, were identified as crucial. After discharge, patients experienced a lack of supportive care regarding functional complaints and did not know who to counsel. In addition, they felt intrinsically motivated to actively prepare for surgery, i.e. by participating in prehabilitation programs.

CONCLUSION

Exploring perspectives in LARS patients resulted in the identification of potential improvements in current care pathways. Recommendations on ways to improve information provision, screening of LARS and methods to intervene in the gap of supportive care after discharge are presented. We recommend to implement these measures as QoL of patients undergoing colorectal cancer surgery may be improved.

Multi-centre Raman spectral mapping of oesophageal cancer tissues: a study to assess system transferability

The potential for Raman spectroscopy to provide early and improved diagnosis on a wide range of tissue and biopsy samples in situ is well documented. The standard histopathology diagnostic methods of reviewing H&E and/or immunohistochemical (IHC) stained tissue sections provides valuable clinical information, but requires both logistics (review, analysis and interpretation by an expert) and costly processing and reagents. Vibrational spectroscopy offers a complimentary diagnostic tool providing specific and multiplexed information relating to molecular structure and composition, but is not yet used to a significant extent in a clinical setting. One of the challenges for clinical implementation is that each Raman spectrometer system will have different characteristics and therefore spectra are not readily compatible between systems. This is essential for clinical implementation where classification models are used to compare measured biochemical or tissue spectra against a library training dataset. In this study, we demonstrate the development and validation of a classification model to discriminate between adenocarcinoma (AC) and non-cancerous intraepithelial metaplasia (IM) oesophageal tissue samples, measured on three different Raman instruments across three different locations. Spectra were corrected using system transfer spectral correction algorithms including wavenumber shift (offset) correction, instrument response correction and baseline removal. The results from this study indicate that the combined correction methods do minimize the instrument and sample quality variations within and between the instrument sites. However, more tissue samples of varying pathology states and greater tissue area coverage (per sample) are needed to properly assess the ability of Raman spectroscopy and system transferability algorithms over multiple instrument sites.

Split-graft liver transplantation from an adult donor with an unrecognized UCD to a pediatric and adult recipient

We report the outcomes of an adult and pediatric split liver transplant from an adult male donor who died due to an unrecognized UCD, OTC deficiency. Recognizing inborn errors of metabolism can be challenging, especially in adult centers where such disorders are rarely encountered. Shortage of donors for liver transplantation has led to procedures to maximize donor utilization, such as split and live donor grafts. The cause of death should be ascertained before accepting a cadaveric donor organ.

Contiguity, Reinforcement Rate and the law of Effect

There is an ambiguity in formulations of the Law of Effect which stress the importance of the correlation of rate of responding with frequency of reinforcement. The main problem is that such theories have not specified precisely how the correlation of response and reinforcement rates should be determined, with the result that the theories can become irrefutable. Two experiments were carried out which expose some of the problems created by this ambiguity. “Free” food reinforcers were delivered to rats in the absence of responding. Lever responses intermittently provided immediate (contiguous) reinforcement, but cancelled some of the following “free” reinforcements. Responding was established and maintained even when the overall rate of responding was negatively correlated with the overall frequency of reinforcement. Several ways in which correlational theories could attempt to accommodate these results are discussed but rejected as unsatisfactory, either because they severely limit the scope of the theories or because they lose their most important feature: that of treating behaviour at a molar rather than a molecular level.

Critical review of reporting of the data analysis step in metabolomics

INTRODUCTION

We present the first study to critically appraise the quality of reporting of the data analysis step in metabolomics studies since the publication of minimum reporting guidelines in 2007.

OBJECTIVES

The aim of this study was to assess the standard of reporting of the data analysis step in metabolomics biomarker discovery studies and to investigate whether the level of detail supplied allows basic understanding of the steps employed and/or reuse of the protocol. For the purposes of this review we define the data analysis step to include the data pretreatment step and the actual data analysis step, which covers algorithm selection, univariate analysis and multivariate analysis.

METHOD

We reviewed the literature to identify metabolomic studies of biomarker discovery that were published between January 2008 and December 2014. Studies were examined for completeness in reporting the various steps of the data pretreatment phase and data analysis phase and also for clarity of the workflow of these sections.

RESULTS

We analysed 27 papers, published anytime in 2008 until the end of 2014 in the area or biomarker discovery in serum metabolomics. The results of this review showed that the data analysis step in metabolomics biomarker discovery studies is plagued by unclear and incomplete reporting. Major omissions and lack of logical flow render the data analysis' workflows in these studies impossible to follow and therefore replicate or even imitate.

CONCLUSIONS

While we await the holy grail of computational reproducibility in data analysis to become standard, we propose that, at a minimum, the data analysis section of metabolomics studies should be readable and interpretable without omissions such that a data analysis workflow diagram could be extrapolated from the study and therefore the data analysis protocol could be reused by the reader. That inconsistent and patchy reporting obfuscates reproducibility is a given. However even basic understanding and reuses of protocols are hampered by the low level of detail supplied in the data analysis sections of the studies that we reviewed.

Evaluating feasibility of an automated 3-dimensional scanner using Raman spectroscopy for intraoperative breast margin assessment

Breast conserving surgery is the preferred treatment for women diagnosed with early stage invasive breast cancer. To ensure successful breast conserving surgeries, efficient tumour margin resection is required for minimizing tumour recurrence. Currently surgeons rely on touch preparation cytology or frozen section analysis to assess tumour margin status intraoperatively. These techniques have suboptimal accuracy and are time-consuming. Tumour margin status is eventually confirmed using postoperative histopathology that takes several days. Thus, there is a need for a real-time, accurate, automated guidance tool that can be used during tumour resection intraoperatively to assure complete tumour removal in a single procedure. In this paper, we evaluate feasibility of a 3-dimensional scanner that relies on Raman Spectroscopy to assess the entire margins of a resected specimen within clinically feasible time. We initially tested this device on a phantom sample that simulated positive tumour margins. This device first scans the margins of the sample and then depicts the margin status in relation to an automatically reconstructed image of the phantom sample. The device was further investigated on breast tissues excised from prophylactic mastectomy specimens. Our findings demonstrate immense potential of this device for automated breast tumour margin assessment to minimise repeat invasive surgeries.

Safety and mid-term outcome of catheter ablation of ventricular tachycardia in octogenarians

Aims

Radiofrequency (RF) catheter ablation (CA) is superior to standard medical therapy in controlling recurrent ventricular tachycardia (VT). The majority of procedures have been performed in a middle-aged population. The outcome of VT ablation in the elderly has not been described.

Methods and results

We retrospectively studied the outcome and safety of CA of VT in octogenarians performed in four European centres. The population consisted of patients presenting with recurrent VT refractory to medical therapy. Patients aged over 80 years were compared with younger patients undergoing CA. Clinical characteristics, procedural data, complications, and outcomes were examined. Implantable cardioverter-defibrillator (ICD) therapy data were collected. A total of 54 consecutive octogenarian patients underwent RF CA of VT and represented the study group (42 males, age 82.8 ± 2.7 years) compared with a control group of 104 younger patients (85 males, age 66.7 ± 8.9 years). Mean follow-up was 33 ± 48 months. Implantable cardioverter-defibrillators were present in 81 and 86% of patients, respectively (P = 0.93). Left ventricular ejection fraction was 29% ± 8.2 in octogenarians vs. 34% ± 10.2 in the younger group (P < 0.01). More major complications occurred in octogenarians (18 vs. 2%, P < 0.01). During follow-up, there were more ICD shocks in the octogenarians (28 vs. 15%, P < 0.01). The Kaplan-Meier curve of survival after VT ablation confirms comparable survival rates at 1 year, but the elderly have poor survival in the mid-term. Survival in the elderly post VT ablation is comparable with that in an age-matched cohort with ICDs but no VT storm.

Conclusion

Octogenarians undergoing CA of VT have more risk factors, higher risk of complications and ICD shocks, but demonstrate comparable short-term survival rates.

Signal Reconstruction of Pulmonary Vein Recordings Using a Phenomenological Mathematical Model: Application to Pulmonary Vein Isolation Therapy

Atrial fibrillation (AF), the most prevalent cardiac arrhythmia, is commonly initiated by ectopic beats originating from a small myocardial sleeve extending over the pulmonary veins. Pulmonary vein isolation therapy attempts to isolate the pulmonary veins from the left atrium by ablating tissue, commonly by using radiofrequency ablation. During this procedure, the cardiologist records electrical activity using a lasso catheter, and the activation pattern recorded is used as a guide toward which regions to ablate. However, poor contact between electrode and tissue can lead to important regions of electrical activity not being recorded in clinic. We reproduce these signals through the use of a phenomenological model of the cardiac action potential on a cylinder, which we fit to post-AF atrial cells, and model the bipolar electrodes of the lasso catheter by an approximation of the surface potential. The resulting activation pattern is validated by direct comparison with those of clinical recordings. A potential application of the model is to reconstruct the missing electrical activity, minimizing the impact of the information loss on the clinical procedure, and we present results to demonstrate this.