Clinical profile, management and outcomes of patients with cardiogenic shock undergoing transfer between centers in Spain

INTRODUCTION AND OBJECTIVES

The aim of this study was to analyze the clinical profile, management, and prognosis of ST segment elevation myocardial infarction-related cardiogenic shock (STEMI-CS) requiring interhospital transfer, as well as the prognostic impact of structural variables of the treating centers in this setting.

METHODS

This study included patients with STEMI-CS treated at revascularization-capable centers from 2016 to 2020. The patients were divided into the following groups: group A: patients attended throughout their admission at hospitals with interventional cardiology without cardiac surgery; group B: patients treated at hospitals with interventional cardiology and cardiac surgery; and group C: patients transferred to centers with interventional cardiology and cardiac surgery. We analyzed the association between the volume of STEMI-CS cases treated, the availability of cardiac intensive care units (CICU), and heart transplant with hospital mortality.

RESULTS

A total of 4189 episodes were included: 1389 (33.2%) from group A, 2627 from group B (62.7%), and 173 from group C (4.1%). Transferred patients were younger, had a higher cardiovascular risk, and more commonly underwent revascularization, mechanical circulatory support, and heart transplant during hospitalization (P<.001). The crude mortality rate was lower in transferred patients (46.2% vs 60.3% in group A and 54.4% in group B, (P<.001)). Lower mortality was associated with a higher volume of care and CICU availability (OR, 0.75, P=.009; and 0.80, P=.047).

CONCLUSIONS

The proportion of transfers in patients with STEMI-CS in our setting is low. Transferred patients were younger and underwent more invasive procedures. Mortality was lower among patients transferred to centers with a higher volume of STEMI-CS cases and CICU.

Evaluating the extent and impact of the extreme Storm Gloria on Posidonia oceanica seagrass meadows

Extreme storms can trigger abrupt and often lasting changes in ecosystems by affecting foundational (habitat-forming) species. While the frequency and intensity of extreme events are projected to increase under climate change, its impacts on seagrass ecosystems remain poorly documented. In January 2020, the Spanish Mediterranean coast was hit by Storm Gloria, one of the most devastating recent climate events in terms of intensity and duration. We conducted rapid surveys of 42 Posidonia oceanica meadows across the region to evaluate the extent and type of impact (burial, unburial and uprooting). We investigated the significance of oceanographic (wave impact model), geomorphological (latitude, depth, exposure), and structural (patchiness) factors in predicting impact extent and intensity. The predominant impact of Storm Gloria was shoot unburial. More than half of the surveyed sites revealed recent unburial, with up to 40 cm of sediment removed, affecting over 50 % of the meadow. Burial, although less extensive, was still significant, with 10-80 % of meadow cover being buried under 7 cm of sediment, which is considered a survival threshold for P. oceanica. In addition, we observed evident signs of recently dead matte in some meadows and large amounts of detached drifting shoots on the sea bottom or accumulated as debris on the beaches. Crucially, exposed and patchy meadows were much more vulnerable to the overall impact than sheltered or continuous meadows. Given how slow P. oceanica is able to recover after disturbances, we state that it could take from decades to centuries for it to recoup its losses. Seagrass ecosystems play a vital role as coastal ecological infrastructure. Protecting vulnerable meadows from anthropogenic fragmentation is crucial for ensuring the resilience of these ecosystems in the face of the climate crisis.

Early detection of ocular lesions in critically ill children: Testing an ocular assessment scale

OBJECTIVE

There is scarcity of data on the incidence and factors associated with the occurrence of ocular lesions in critically ill children. The objective was to test the applicability and utility of an ocular assessment scale and to identify risk factors of ocular lesions.

DESIGN

Prospective observational study.

SETTING

A tertiary care medical-surgical Paediatric Intensive Care Unit.

SAMPLE

194 children without previous ocular disease who stayed in the Paediatric Intensive Care Unit for more than 48 h.

INTERVENTIONS

An ocular lesions risk scale was designed including risk factors lagophthalmos, eye dryness, conjunctival hyperemia, slow blinking, intubation, sedation, relaxation, face mask and hemodynamic instability. Patients were classified as high-, medium-, and low-risk patients. Corneal lesions were examined by fluorescein staining according to their risk and were confirmed by an ophthalmologist.

RESULTS

76 patients were examined with fluorescein staining. Thirty-two ocular lesions were detected by nursing staff, 26 confirmed by the ophthalmologist. 53.6% of the high-risk patients developed a corneal lesion. Univariate analysis revealed an association between ocular damage and all factors included in the scale, except for face mask. In the multivariate analysis, ocular lesions were associated with lagophthalmos, hyperemia, invasive mechanical ventilation and inotropic support.

CONCLUSIONS

The scale was useful to detect corneal lesions in critically ill children. The identification of risk factors will enable the development of measures to reduce the incidence of ocular lesions.

RELEVANCE FOR CLINICAL PRACTICE

A new, non-validated scale allowed staff to detect eye injuries, study this problem and improve future prevention.

Shoreline response to sea-level rise according to equilibrium beach profiles

Shoreline position is a key parameter of a beach state, often used as a descriptor of the response of the system to changes in external forcing, such as sea-level rise. Changes in shoreline position are the result of coupled hydrodynamic and morphodynamic processes happening in the nearshore and acting at different temporal scales. Due to this complexity, methodologies aimed at reproducing shoreline evolution at decadal time scale require many simplifications. Simpler methods usually consider an equilibrium beach profile whose shape depends only on beach morphology, and whose location varies depending on incoming forcing. Here, we derive a general equation for shoreline evolution using equilibrium beach profiles. We particularize it based on several common assumptions, and evaluate changes on shoreline position caused by sea-level rise, combined with simultaneous wave and high-frequency sea-level forcing. We compare our model against other analytical equilibrium beach profile-based models and with a dynamic model explicitly computing sediment transport. Results indicate that: (i) it is necessary to consider the area of the emerged beach subject to marine forcing rather than focusing only on the submerged part, (ii) the rates of shoreline recession may change for narrow beaches, defined as those for which marine forcings act onto all of their aerial surface, and (iii) Bruun's Rule can describe beach shoreline evolution, but the uncertainty in selecting the landward boundary of the active profile entails a huge uncertainty in the magnitude of shoreline evolution. This problematic uncertainty can be drastically reduced if instantaneous forcing conditions are used instead of the arbitrary emerged/submerged active profile boundaries typically defined by only one statistic parameter of extreme conditions.

Tecnotest: A screening tool for technological addictions and gambling disorder

One of the most pressing social and scientific issues, as reflected in the current priority lines of the National Drugs Plan (PNSD), is the development of screening tools for the early detection of addictions, particularly behavioral addictions, due to the impact that these problems are having on the growth of addictions in recent years, especially in adolescents and young people.

GOAL

The main goal of this research was to develop a screening tool for technological addictions (video games, mobile and social networks) and gambling for early detection in people suffering this kind of behavioral addiction.

PROCEDURE

With technologies, in the absence of agreed clinical criteria, those participants who perceived themselves as having problems and, in addition, had received treatment for it, were selected. Regarding gambling, the diagnostic criteria of the DSM-5 were used. The three items that scored the highest Positive Predictive Values (PPV) in each of the four validated tests were selected. These indicators serve to distinguish those who use the technologies and/or gamble in a functional way and do not have any problems from those who already have an addictive problem with video games, mobile, social networks or gambling.

RESULTS

This paper shows the finished screening tool with its main psychometric properties, which can be used by professionals working with adolescents in order to detect people who could have some addictive problem, in which case the psychologist can refer them to a specialized healthcare resource.

Impact of annual volume of cases and Intensive Cardiac Care Unit availability on mortality of patients with acute myocardial infarction- related cardiogenic shock treated at revascularization capable centers

BACKGROUND

Cardiogenic shock (CS) is associated with high mortality. The purpose of this study was to assess the impact of Hospital structure-related variables on mortality in patients with CS treated at percutaneous and surgical revascularization capable centers (psRCC) from a large nationwide registry.

METHODS

Retrospective observational study including consecutive patients with main or secondary diagnosis of CS and ST elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI). Patients discharged from Spanish National Healthcare System psRCC were included (2016-2020). The association between the volume of CS cases attended by each center, availability of Intensive Cardiac Care Unit (ICCU) and heart transplantation (HT) programs and in-hospital mortality was assessed by multilevel logistic regression models.

RESULTS

The study population consisted of 3,074 CS-STEMI episodes, of whom 1,759 (57.2%) occurred in 26 centers with ICCU. A total of 17/44 hospitals (38.6%) were high-volume centers and 19/44 (43%) centers had HT programs availability. Treatment at HT centers was not associated with a lower mortality (p = 0.121). Both high volume of cases and ICCU showed a trend to an association with lower mortality in the adjusted model (OR: 0.87 and 0.88, respectively). The interaction between both variables was significantly protective (OR 0.72; p = 0.024). After propensity score matching, mortality was lower in high volume hospitals with ICCU [OR = 0.79; p = 0.007].

CONCLUSIONS

Most CS-STEMI patients were attended at psRCC with high volume of cases and ICCU available. The combination of high-volume and ICCU availability showed the lowest mortality. These data should be taken into account when designing regional networks for CS management.

Observational study of the heterogeneous global meteotsunami generated after the Hunga Tonga-Hunga Ha'apai Volcano eruption

The Hunga Tonga-Hunga Ha'apai volcano eruption of January 15th 2022 generated a global atmospheric and oceanic response that was recorded by an unprecedented amount of sensors. The eruption caused an atmospheric perturbation that travelled as a Lamb wave surrounding the Earth at least 3 times, and was recorded by hundreds of barographs worldwide. The atmospheric wave showed complex patterns of amplitude and spectral energy content, although most of the energy was concentrated in the band (2-120 min). Simultaneously to each passage of the atmospheric wave and after, significant Sea Level Oscillations (SLOs) in the tsunami frequency band were recorded by tide gauges located all around the globe, in what it can be referred to as a global meteotsunami. The amplitude and dominant frequency of the recorded SLOs showed a high spatial heterogeneity. Our point is that the geometry of continental shelves and harbours acted as tuners for the surface waves generated by the atmospheric disturbance at open sea, amplifying the signal at the eigenmodes of each shelf and harbour.

Blood transfusion in patients with coronary syndromes and anaemia: a systematic review and a meta-analysis of randomized controlled trials

Background

The estimated prevalence of anaemia on admission in the setting of acute coronary syndromes (ACS) is between 10 to 43% and up to 57% of the patients may develop hospital-acquired anaemia. The best blood transfusion strategy in anemic patients with symptomatic coronary syndromes remains unclear.

Purpose

We aimed to perform a systematic review and meta-analysis of randomized controlled trials (RCT) to assess the effect of different transfusion strategies in anemic patients with coronary syndromes on 30-day mortality, major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE), and non-cardiovascular complications.

Methods

We searched for all randomized trials comparing restrictive to conservativestrategy in patients with coronary syndromes published up to 16 th November 2021 on PubMed, Embase, Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials (CENTRAL), and ClinicalTrials.gov without language, sample size, publication date or other data restrictions. All studies were assessed for bias using Cochrane risk of bias, and meta-analysed using a random effect model. The quality of evidence was evaluated by the Grading of Recommendations, Assessment, Development and Evaluation (GRADE) approach. The pre-specified primary outcome was all-cause death at 30 days. The secondary outcome was the composite of non-fatal recurrent myocardial infarction, non-fatal stroke, emergency revascularization, or cardiovascular death at 30 days (MACE). Safety endpoint was a combination of de novo or worsening congestive heart failure, stent thrombosis, venous thromboembolism, pneumonia, or blood stream infection.

Results

Three RCT (CRIT, MINT and REALITY) were included with 820 patients. The risk of bias was considered low, except for blinding of patients and healthcare professionals. Across the three studies, a total of 55 patients died in the first 30 days. We found no differences between restrictive transfusion strategy compared with liberal transfusion strategy in all-cause death at 30 days (risk ratio [RR]: 1.61, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.38–6.90, I2=59%, MACE (RR: 1.16, 95% CI 0.49–2.71; I2=62%; figure 1) and incidence of adverse events (RR: 1.52, 95% CI 0.56–4.09; I2=60%; figure 2). The quality of evidence was considered low to moderate due to concerns of imprecision and inconsistency.

Conclusion(s)

Liberal and conservative strategies of blood transfusion show similar results in anaemic patients with symptomatic coronary syndromes. As blood is a scarce resource, our data support the current guideline recommendation of restrictive strategy of transfusion in anaemic patients with acute coronary syndromes.

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding sources: None.

Radiological Structured Report Integrated with Quantitative Imaging Biomarkers and Qualitative Scoring Systems

The benefits of structured reporting (SR) in radiology are well-known and have been widely described. However, there are limitations that must be overcome. Radiologists may be reluctant to change the conventional way of reporting. Error rates could potentially increase if SR is used improperly. Interruption of the visual search pattern by keeping the eyes focused on the report rather than the images may increase reporting time. Templates that include unnecessary or irrelevant information may undermine the consistency of the report. Last, the lack of support for multiple languages may hamper the adaptation of the report to the target audience. This work aims to mitigate these limitations with a web-based structured reporting system based on templates. By including field validators and logical rules, the system avoids reporting mistakes and allows to automatically calculate values and radiological qualitative scores. The system can manage quantitative information from imaging biomarkers, combining this with qualitative radiological information usually present in the structured report. It manages SR templates as plugins (IHE MRRT compliant and compatible with RSNA's Radreport templates), ensures a seamless integration with PACS/RIS systems, and adapts the report to the target audience by means of natural language extracts generated in multiple languages. We describe a use case of SR template for prostate cancer including PI-RADS 2.1 scoring system and imaging biomarkers. For the time being, the system comprises 24 SR templates and provides service in 37 hospitals and healthcare institutions, endorsing the success of this contribution to mitigate some of the limitations of the SR.

“That’s No Country for ‘Young’ Men”: A Critical Perspective on Responsible Online Gambling Policies for Gambling Disorder Prevention in Spanish Minors

Recently, some governments and other stakeholders in countries where online gambling has been legalized have implemented responsible gambling policies. From the theoretical and empirical evidence in this study, we show that these responsible gambling policies are insufficient to prevent the emergence of pathological gambling disorder in society, especially among adolescents. Since online gambling was legalized in Spain in June 2012, online gambling companies have been required by law to implement responsible gambling policies. The implemented policies largely consist of informing customers of the dangers of gambling and how to minimize harm by engaging in behaviour that prevents addiction. However, online gambling addiction has increased exponentially; at present, it is the second most common form of pathological gambling in Spain and the most common form among young children and adolescents (Chóliz, 2016). In our study involving 6,053 underage adolescents, the results showed that more than half of them had gambled and that the prevalence rate of pathological gambling was triple that of the general population. Our main conclusions are that online gambling especially affects male minors, some of whom have developed gambling disorders since the legalization (and broad promotion) of online gambling in Spain. Responsible gambling policies implemented by the conservative government of Spain (2011–2018) and by gambling companies were insufficient to prevent such disorders from becoming an epidemic among Spanish adolescents.

Coastal flooding and mean sea-level rise allowances in atoll island

Atoll islands are among the places most vulnerable to climate change due to their low elevation above mean sea level. Even today, some of these islands suffer from severe flooding generated by wind-waves, that will be exacerbated with mean sea-level rise. Wave-induced flooding is a complex physical process that requires computationally-expensive numerical models to be reliably estimated, thus limiting its application to single island case studies. Here we present a new model-based parameterisation for wave setup and a set of numerical simulations for the wave-induced flooding in coral reef islands as a function of their morphology, the Manning friction coefficient, wave characteristics and projected mean sea level that can be used for rapid, broad scale (e.g. entire atoll island nations) flood risk assessments. We apply this new approach to the Maldives to compute the increase in wave hazard due to mean sea-level rise, as well as the change in island elevation or coastal protection required to keep wave-induced flooding constant. While future flooding in the Maldives is projected to increase drastically due to sea-level rise, we show that similar impacts in nearby islands can occur decades apart depending on the exposure to waves and the topobathymetry of each island. Such assessment can be useful to determine on which islands adaptation is most urgently needed.

Atrial fibrillation in patients with SARS-CoV-2 infection

Introduction and objective

the SARS-CoV-2 infection ranges from asymptomatic to critical forms and several prognostic factors have been described. Atrial fibrillation (AF) is common in acute situations where it is linked with more complications and mortality. We aimed to evaluate the prognostic information of AF in this population.

Methods

retrospective analysis of a cohort of 517 patients consecutively admitted in a tertiary hospital due to SARS-CoV-2 infection. We divided the patients in two groups according the development of AF and compared the main features of both groups. An univariable and multivariable analysis of mortality were also performed.

Results

among 517 patients with SARS-CoV-2 infection admitted in a tertiary center, 54 (10.4%) developed AF. These patients are older (81.6 vs 66.5 years old, p < 0.001) and present more hypertension (74% vs 47%, p < 0.001), cardiomyopathy (9% vs 1%, p = 0.002), previous heart failure admission (9% vs 0.4%, p < 0.001), previous episodes of AF (83% vs 1%, p < 0.001) and bigger left atrium (47.8 vs 39.9 mm, p < 0.001). AF COVID-19 patients present more acute respiratory failure (72% vs 40%, p < 0.001) and higher in-hospital mortality (50% vs 22%, p < 0.001). Predictors of AF development are age and previous AF. AF is not an independent predictor of in-hospital mortality. Predictors are age, creatinine > 1.5 mg/dL at admission, LDH > 250 UI/L at admission and acute respiratory failure.

Conclusion

Atrial fibrillation appears in 10% of hospitalized patients with SARS-CoV-2 infection. These patients present more comorbidities and two-fold increase in hospital mortality. Atrial fibrillation is not an independent prognostic factor.

Uncertainty and Bias in Global to Regional Scale Assessments of Current and Future Coastal Flood Risk

This study provides a literature-based comparative assessment of uncertainties and biases in global to world-regional scale assessments of current and future coastal flood risks, considering mean and extreme sea-level hazards, the propagation of these into the floodplain, people and coastal assets exposed, and their vulnerability. Globally, by far the largest bias is introduced by not considering human adaptation, which can lead to an overestimation of coastal flood risk in 2100 by up to factor 1300. But even when considering adaptation, uncertainties in how coastal societies will adapt to sea-level rise dominate with a factor of up to 27 all other uncertainties. Other large uncertainties that have been quantified globally are associated with socio-economic development (factors 2.3-5.8), digital elevation data (factors 1.2-3.8), ice sheet models (factor 1.6-3.8) and greenhouse gas emissions (factors 1.6-2.1). Local uncertainties that stand out but have not been quantified globally, relate to depth-damage functions, defense failure mechanisms, surge and wave heights in areas affected by tropical cyclones (in particular for large return periods), as well as nearshore interactions between mean sea-levels, storm surges, tides and waves. Advancing the state-of-the-art requires analyzing and reporting more comprehensively on underlying uncertainties, including those in data, methods and adaptation scenarios. Epistemic uncertainties in digital elevation, coastal protection levels and depth-damage functions would be best reduced through open community-based efforts, in which many scholars work together in collecting and validating these data.

Atrial fibrillation in patients with SARS-CoV-2 infection

INTRODUCTION AND OBJECTIVE

the SARS-CoV-2 infection ranges from asymptomatic to critical forms and several prognostic factors have been described. Atrial fibrillation (AF) is common in acute situations where it is linked with more complications and mortality. We aimed to evaluate the prognostic information of AF in this population.

METHODS

retrospective analysis of a cohort of 517 patients consecutively admitted in a tertiary hospital due to SARS-CoV-2 infection. We divided the patients in two groups according the development of AF and compared the main features of both groups. An univariable and multivariable analysis of mortality were also performed.

RESULTS

among 517 patients with SARS-CoV-2 infection admitted in a tertiary center, 54 (10.4%) developed AF. These patients are older (81.6 vs 66.5 years old, p<0.001) and present more hypertension (74% vs 47%, p<0.001), cardiomyopathy (9% vs 1%, p=0.002), previous heart failure admission (9% vs 0.4%, p<0.001), previous episodes of AF (83% vs 1%, p<0.001) and bigger left atrium (47.8 vs 39.9mm, p<0.001). AF COVID-19 patients present more acute respiratory failure (72% vs 40%, p<0.001) and higher in-hospital mortality (50% vs 22%, p<0.001). Predictors of AF development are age and previous AF. AF is not an independent predictor of in-hospital mortality. Predictors are age, creatinine>1.5mg/dL at admission, LDH>250UI/L at admission and acute respiratory failure.

CONCLUSION

Atrial fibrillation appears in 10% of hospitalized patients with SARS-CoV-2 infection. These patients present more comorbidities and two-fold increase in hospital mortality. Atrial fibrillation is not an independent prognostic factor.

Impact of the presence of heart disease, cardiovascular medications and cardiac events on outcome in COVID-19

BACKGROUND

Cardiovascular risk factors and usage of cardiovascular medication are prevalent among coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) patients. Little is known about the cardiovascular implications of COVID-19. The goal herein, was to evaluate the prognostic impact of having heart disease (HD) and taking cardiovascular medications in a population diagnosed of COVID-19 who required hospitalization. Also, we studied the development of cardiovascular events during hospitalization.

METHODS

Consecutive patients with definitive diagnosis of COVID-19 made by a positive real time- -polymerase chain reaction of nasopharyngeal swabs who were admitted to the hospital from March 15 to April 14 were included in a retrospective registry. The association of HD with mortality and with mortality or respiratory failure were the primary and secondary objectives, respectively.

RESULTS

A total of 859 patients were included in the present analysis. Cardiovascular risk factors were related to death, particularly diabetes mellitus (hazard ratio in the multivariate analysis: 1.810 [1.159- -2.827], p = 0.009). A total of 113 (13.1%) patients had HD. The presence of HD identified a group of patients with higher mortality (35.4% vs. 18.2%, p < 0.001) but HD was not independently related to prognosis; renin-angiotensin-aldosterone system inhibitors, calcium channel blockers, diuretics and beta-blockers did not worsen prognosis. Statins were independently associated with decreased mortality (0.551 [0.329-0.921], p = 0.023). Cardiovascular events during hospitalization identified a group of patients with poor outcome (mortality 31.8% vs. 19.3% without cardiovascular events, p = 0.007).

CONCLUSIONS

The presence of HD is related to higher mortality. Cardiovascular medications taken before admission are not harmful, statins being protective. The development of cardiovascular events during the course of the disease is related to poor outcome.

AB0558 RISK FACTORS FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF BREAST CANCER IN SYSTEMIC SCLEROSIS

Background:

Prior literature shows a global increase of cancer risk among patients with systemic sclerosis (SSc). Although breast cancer (BC) is one of the most frequent malignancies in SSc patients, the characteristics of this neoplasm among SSc patients is not well established and it is uncertain whether SSc significantly increases the risk of this cancer.

Objectives:

Describe the characteristics and risk factors for BC among Spanish patients with SSc.

Methods:

Ambispective and multicenter study of patients with a diagnosis of SSc according to ACR/EULAR criteria and/or LeRoy classification included in the Spanish Scleroderma Registry (RESCLE) from 2006 to 2018. Characteristics of patients with BC were described and incidence was compared with that of the general population.

Results:

Among 1930 patients with SSc, 206 (10.7%) had cancer. BC was the most frequent tumor location (47 patients of 206 with cancer [22.8%]), followed by lung cancer (29, 14.1%). The risk of BC was increased in patients with SSc compared to the general population (standardized incidence ratio [SIR] 1.31; 95% CI 1.10-1.54;P= 0.003).

The comparison of patients with BC and those without cancer showed that patients with BC had older age at diagnosis of SSc (50.9 vs 45.9 years, respectively;P=0.004), were more frequently diagnosed of interstitial lung disease (ILD) (30/47 [63.8%] vs 694/1714 [40.5];P= 0.002) and pulmonary hypertension (12/24 [50.0%] vs 262/917 [28.6%];P= 0.037), had higher frequency of puffy hands as the first manifestation of SSc (4/45 [8.9%] vs 38/1664 [2.3 %];P= 0.023) and had more frequently primary biliary colangitis (PBC) (7 /46 [15.2%] vs 72 /1708 [4.2%];P= 0.004). Regarding autoimmunity profile, patients with SSc and BC had a significantly higher presence of anti-Ro (11/44 [25.0%] vs 214/1528 [14.0%];P= 0.049) and anti-mitochondrial antibodies (7/28 [25.0%] vs 96/837 [11.5%];P= 0.039). Multivariable regression analysis showed an independent association between the puffy hands (OR = 6.40; 95% CI 1.73-23.60;P= 0.005), diagnosis of PBC (OR = 5.70; 95% CI 2.16-15.07;P= 0.001), presence of ILD (OR = 3.29, 95% CI 1.69-6.39;P<0.001) and the presence of the anti-Ro antibody (OR 2.14; 95% CI 1.01-4.56;P= 0.048) with the presence of BC.

Conclusion:

BC risk was increased in patients with SSc. The development of ILD, PBC, the presence of anti Ro and puffy hands as the first clinical manifestation of SSc were identified as independent factors associated with the development of BC in our cohort.

References:

Colaci M et al. Breast cancer in systemic sclerosis: results of a cross-linkage of an Italian Rheumatologic Center and a population-based Cancer Registry and review of the literaure. Autoimmun Rev. 2014;13(2):132-7.

Zhang JQ et al. The risk of cancer development in systemic sclerosis: a meta-analysis. Cancer Epidemiol. 2013;37(5):523-7.

Disclosure of Interests:

Cristina Carbonell: None declared, Antonio-J Chamorro: None declared, Miguel Marcos: None declared, Alfredo Guillén del Castillo: None declared, Dolores Colunga Argüelles Consultant of: Actelion pharmaceuticals, GSK, MSD., Manuel Rubio-Rivas: None declared, Ana Argibay: None declared, Begoña Marí-Alfonso: None declared, Adela Marín Ballvé: None declared, Antoni Castro Consultant of: Actelion pharmaceuticals, GSK, MSD., Ana Belén Madroñero-Vuelta: None declared, Eduardo L. Callejas-Moraga: None declared, Vicent Fonollosa-Pla Consultant of: Actelion pharmaceuticals, GSK, MSD., Carmen Pilar Simeón-Aznar Consultant of: Actelion pharmaceuticals, GSK, MSD., on behalf of RESCLE Investigators, Autoimmune Diseases Study Group (GEAS): None declared

Probabilistic reanalysis of storm surge extremes in Europe

Extreme sea levels are a significant threat to life, property, and the environment. These threats are managed by coastal planers through the implementation of risk mitigation strategies. Central to such strategies is knowledge of extreme event probabilities. Typically, these probabilities are estimated by fitting a suitable distribution to the observed extreme data. Estimates, however, are often uncertain due to the small number of extreme events in the tide gauge record and are only available at gauged locations. This restricts our ability to implement cost-effective mitigation. A remarkable fact about sea-level extremes is the existence of spatial dependences, yet the vast majority of studies to date have analyzed extremes on a site-by-site basis. Here we demonstrate that spatial dependences can be exploited to address the limitations posed by the spatiotemporal sparseness of the observational record. We achieve this by pooling all of the tide gauge data together through a Bayesian hierarchical model that describes how the distribution of surge extremes varies in time and space. Our approach has two highly desirable advantages: 1) it enables sharing of information across data sites, with a consequent drastic reduction in estimation uncertainty; 2) it permits interpolation of both the extreme values and the extreme distribution parameters at any arbitrary ungauged location. Using our model, we produce an observation-based probabilistic reanalysis of surge extremes covering the entire Atlantic and North Sea coasts of Europe for the period 1960-2013.

Predictive performance of PAMG-1 vs fFN test for risk of spontaneous preterm birth in symptomatic women attending an emergency obstetric unit: retrospective cohort study

OBJECTIVE

To compare the performance of the placental alpha microglobulin-1 (PAMG-1) and fetal fibronectin (fFN) tests for the prediction of spontaneous preterm delivery in patients presenting to an emergency obstetric unit with threatened preterm labor, by conducting a retrospective audit of patient medical records from separate 1-year periods during which either fFN or PAMG-1 was used as the standard-of-care biochemical test.

METHODS

This was a retrospective cohort study based on chart review of electronic medical records of women with threatened preterm labor presenting at a level-III maternity hospital over two different periods: (1) the 'baseline' period (year 2012), during which the qualitative fFN test with a cut-off of 50 ng/mL was used as the standard-of-care biochemical test for the risk assessment of preterm delivery, and (2) the 'comparative' period (year 2016), during which the PAMG-1 test with a cut-off of 1 ng/mL was used as the standard-of-care biomarker test. Patients with a singleton pregnancy between 24 + 0 and 34 + 6 weeks' gestation with symptoms of early preterm labor, clinically intact membranes and cervical dilatation < 3 cm, who did not have a medically indicated preterm delivery within 14 days of testing, were selected for chart review and included in the analysis. Key parameters used for the analysis were biochemical test results, time of testing and time of delivery. Positive predictive value (PPV), negative predictive value (NPV), sensitivity, specificity, and positive and negative likelihood ratios (LR+ and LR-) for the prediction of spontaneous preterm delivery ≤ 7 and ≤ 14 days of presentation were calculated for the PAMG-1 and fFN tests.

RESULTS

Four hundred and twenty patients were identified as having presented with threatened preterm labor during the baseline period, of whom 378 (90.0%) met the eligibility criteria. Of these, 38 (10.1%) were fFN positive and 10 (2.6%) had spontaneous preterm delivery ≤ 7 days of presentation. PPV, NPV, LR+ and LR- of fFN were 7.9%, 97.9%, 3.2 and 0.8, respectively, for spontaneous preterm delivery ≤ 7 days. Four hundred and ten patients were identified as having presented with threatened preterm labor during the comparative period and 367 (89.5%) subjects met the eligibility criteria. Of these, 17 (4.6%) were PAMG-1 positive and 12 (3.3%) had spontaneous preterm delivery ≤ 7 days of presentation. PAMG-1 PPV and NPV were 35.3% and 98.3%, respectively, and LR+ and LR- were 16.1 and 0.5, respectively, for spontaneous preterm delivery ≤ 7 days.

CONCLUSIONS

Before switching to PAMG-1, fFN was the standard-of-care test for the risk assessment of spontaneous preterm delivery. This retrospective audit of each test's performance over separate 1-year periods shows that we were more than twice as likely to get a positive fFN test than a positive PAMG-1 test, while the rate of discharging women who ultimately delivered spontaneously within 14 days of testing was not affected. Furthermore, a positive PAMG-1 test was more than four times more reliable than a positive fFN test in predicting imminent spontaneous preterm delivery. The use of a more reliable biomarker that is associated with fewer false-positive results could lead to a reduction in unnecessary admissions, interventions and use of hospital resources. Copyright © 2017 ISUOG. Published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd.

Analysis of the relationship between interleukin polymorphisms within miRNA-binding regions and alcoholic liver disease

INTRODUCTION

Alcohol consumption promotes inflammation through the Toll-like receptor 4 (TLR4)/nuclear factor (NF)-?B pathway, leading to organic damage. Some micro-RNA (miRNA) molecules modulate this inflammatory response by downregulating TLR4/NF-?B pathway mediators, like interleukins (ILs). Thus, polymorphisms within IL genes located near miRNA binding sites could modify the risk of ethanol-induced damage. The present study analyzed potential relationships between alcoholism or alcoholic liver disease (ALD) and IL12B 2124 G>T (rs1368439), IL16 5000 C>T (rs1131445), IL1R1 3114 C>T (rs3917328), and NFKB1 3400 A>G (rs4648143) polymorphisms.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

The study included 301 male alcoholic patients and 156 male healthy volunteers. Polymorphisms were genotyped using TaqMan^® PCR assays for allelic discrimination. Allele and genotype frequencies were compared between groups. Logistic regression analysis was performed to analyze the inheritance model.

RESULTS

Analysis of the IL1R1 (rs3917328) polymorphism showed that the proportion of alleleT carriers (CT and TT genotypes) was higher in healthy controls (9.7%) than in alcoholic patients (6.5%; P=.042). However, multivariable logistic regression analyses did not yield a significant result. No differences between groups were found for other analyzed polymorphisms.

CONCLUSIONS

Our study describes, for the first time, the expected frequencies of certain polymorphisms within miRNA-binding sites in alcoholic patients with and without ALD. Further studies should be developed to clarify the potential relevance of these polymorphisms in alcoholism and ALD development.

Clinical and biochemical correlates of male hypogonadism in type 2 diabetes

The origin of hypogonadism, a condition including both symptoms and biochemical criteria of androgen deficiency, in type 2 diabetes is poorly known. In a cross-sectional study of 267 unselected patients, we analyzed the potential correlation of several clinical and biochemical variables as well as chronic micro- and macrovascular diabetic complications with hypogonadism. Hypogonadism was present in 46 patients (17.2%) using a cutoff of total testosterone 10.4 nmol/L and in 31 (11.6%) with a cutoff of 8 nmol/L. Among these patients, hypogonadotropic hypogonadism was the most prevalent form (82.6%). Compared to eugonadal subjects, hypogonadal men had significantly lower glomerular filtration rate (67.1 ± 23.4 vs. 78.4 ± 24.6 mL/min/1.73 m² , p = 0.005) and higher prevalence of chronic kidney disease (43.5% vs. 20.4%, p = 0.002), abnormal liver function tests (26.7% vs. 12%, p = 0.019), and psychiatric treatment (23.9% vs. 10.4%, p = 0.025). Total testosterone levels correlated inversely with age (R = -0.164, p = 0.007), fasting blood glucose (R = -0.127, p = 0.037), and triglycerides (R = -0.134, p = 0.029) and directly with glomerular filtration rate (R = 0.148, p = 0.015). Calculated free testosterone and bioavailable testosterone correlated directly with hemoglobin (R = 0.171, p = 0.015 and R = 0.234, p = 0.001, respectively). Multivariate logistic regression analysis, after adjusting for relevant confounding variables, showed that age >60 years (OR = 3.58, CI 95% = 1.48-8.69, p = 0.005), body mass index >27 kg/m² (OR = 2.85, CI 95% = 1.14-7.11, p = 0.025), hypertriglyceridemia (OR = 2.16, CI 95% = 1.05-4.41, p = 0.035), glomerular filtration rate <60 mL/min/1.73 m² (OR = 2.51, CI 95% = 1.19-5.29, p = 0.015), and abnormal liver function tests (OR = 3.57, CI 95% = 1.48-8.60, p = 0.005) were independently associated with male hypogonadism. Although older age, body mass index, and hypertriglyceridemia have been previously related to hypogonadism, our results describe that chronic kidney disease and abnormal liver function tests are independently correlated with hypogonadism in type 2 diabetic men.

Assessment of engineered surfaces roughness by high-resolution 3D SEM photogrammetry

We describe a methodology to obtain three-dimensional models of engineered surfaces using scanning electron microscopy and multi-view photogrammetry (3DSEM). For the reconstruction of the 3D models of the surfaces we used freeware available in the cloud. The method was applied to study the surface roughness of metallic samples patterned with parallel grooves by means of laser. The results are compared with measurements obtained using stylus profilometry (PR) and SEM stereo-photogrammetry (SP). The application of 3DSEM is more time demanding than PR or SP, but it provides a more accurate representation of the surfaces. The results obtained with the three techniques are compared by investigating the influence of sampling step on roughness parameters.

Detecting anthropogenic footprints in sea level rise

While there is scientific consensus that global and local mean sea level (GMSL and LMSL) has risen since the late nineteenth century, the relative contribution of natural and anthropogenic forcing remains unclear. Here we provide a probabilistic upper range of long-term persistent natural GMSL/LMSL variability (P=0.99), which in turn, determines the minimum/maximum anthropogenic contribution since 1900. To account for different spectral characteristics of various contributing processes, we separate LMSL into two components: a slowly varying volumetric component and a more rapidly changing atmospheric component. We find that the persistence of slow natural volumetric changes is underestimated in records where transient atmospheric processes dominate the spectrum. This leads to a local underestimation of possible natural trends of up to ∼1 mm per year erroneously enhancing the significance of anthropogenic footprints. The GMSL, however, remains unaffected by such biases. On the basis of a model assessment of the separate components, we conclude that it is virtually certain (P=0.99) that at least 45% of the observed increase in GMSL is of anthropogenic origin.

The contribution of anthropogenic forcing to rising sea levels during the industrial era remains uncertain. Here, the authors provide a probabilistic evaluation and show that at least 45% of global mean sea level rise is of anthropogenic origin.

Development and psychometric validation of a brief comprehensive health status assessment scale in older patients with hematological malignancies: The GAH Scale

OBJECTIVES

The purpose of this study was to develop a new brief, comprehensive geriatric assessment scale for older patients diagnosed with different hematological malignancies, the Geriatric Assessment in Hematology (GAH scale), and to determine its psychometric properties.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

The 30-item GAH scale was designed through a multi-step process to cover 8 relevant dimensions. This is an observational study conducted in 363 patients aged≥65years, newly diagnosed with different hematological malignancies (myelodysplasic syndrome/acute myeloblastic leukemia, multiple myeloma, or chronic lymphocytic leukemia), and treatment-naïve. The scale psychometric validation process included the analyses of feasibility, floor and ceiling effect, validity and reliability criteria.

RESULTS

Mean time taken to complete the GAH scale was 11.9±4.7min that improved through a learning-curve effect. Almost 90% of patients completed all items, and no floor or ceiling effects were identified. Criterion validity was supported by reasonable correlations between the GAH scale dimensions and three contrast variables (global health visual analogue scale, ECOG and Karnofsky), except for comorbidities. Factor analysis (supported by the scree plot) revealed nine factors that explained almost 60% of the total variance. Moderate internal consistency reliability was found (Cronbach's α: 0.610), and test-retest was excellent (ICC coefficients, 0.695-0.928).

CONCLUSION

Our study suggests that the GAH scale is a valid, internally reliable and a consistent tool to assess health status in older patients with different hematological malignancies. Future large studies should confirm whether the GAH scale may be a tool to improve clinical decision-making in older patients with hematological malignancies.

Systematic review with meta-analysis: the I148M variant of patatin-like phospholipase domain-containing 3 gene (PNPLA3) is significantly associated with alcoholic liver cirrhosis

BACKGROUND

Several studies have reported an association between alcoholic liver cirrhosis (ALC) or other forms of alcoholic liver disease (ALD) and the genetic variant rs738409 (C>G) in adiponutrin/patatin-like phospholipase domain-containing 3 gene (PNPLA3).

AIM

To evaluate the influence of this variant on ALC and other forms of ALD.

METHODS

We performed a systematic review of previous studies on the relationship between rs738409 of PNPLA3 and ALD and meta-analysis was conducted in a random-effects model. Calculations of the odds ratios (ORs) and their confidence intervals (CIs), tests for heterogeneity and sensitivity analyses were performed.

RESULTS

Database search identified 11 previous studies available for inclusion with a total of 3495 patients with ALD (2087 with ALC) and 5038 controls (4007 healthy subjects and 1031 alcoholics without ALD). Patients with ALC compared to controls had a significantly higher prevalence of the G allele when comparing GG vs. CC (OR 4.30, 95% CI 3.25-5.69; P < 0.00001) or GC vs. CC genotypes (GC vs. CC: OR 1.91, 95% CI 1.67-2.17) or under a recessive or dominant model. Similar results were found when comparing separately patients with ALC vs. alcoholics without ALD or healthy subjects. An association of the G allele with ALD emerged when comparing ALD patients vs. alcoholics without ALD and/or healthy subjects although moderate to large heterogeneity was observed. Our data suggested an additive genetic model for this variant in ALD.

CONCLUSION

Our meta-analysis shows that the rs738409 variant of PNPLA3 is clearly associated with alcoholic liver cirrhosis.

[Impact of short-stay units on the quality of medical care in Spain]

OBJECTIVE

Short-stay units (SSUs) have been developed as an alternative to conventional hospitalisation. The aim of this study is to analyse the impact of short-stay units on the quality of medical care in Spain.

MATERIAL AND METHODS

A systematic review was performed by retrieving studies that analysed the results of SSUs in Spain, in terms of clinical effectiveness, efficiency and satisfaction among patients, using an electronic database search (Pubmed/Medline and Spanish Medical Index) and a review of selected references. The data collected included, mortality, length of stay and re-admission rates, as well as other variables.

RESULTS

Twenty-seven articles were found, with a great heterogeneity in both study design and type of SSU analysed. After analysing results, it was observed that SSUs in Spain provided effective clinical care. Low-quality evidence was also found supporting the hypothesis that SSUs are able to reduce overall length of stay in the whole hospital or department where they were created. There are not enough data to support any other advantages or benefits of SSUs, when compared with other hospitalisation units.

CONCLUSIONS

SSUs may be able to effectively improve clinical care in selected patients, and may help to shorten overall length of stay. Further research is needed in order to define their exact role and to establish their optimal model.

Liver involvement in HIV-infected patients with early syphilis

The aim of the paper is to analyse the prevalence of liver involvement and related factors in HIV-infected patients with early syphilis (<2 years). Liver involvement was defined as an elevation above normal ranges of alanine transaminase, aspartate aminotransferase, gamma-glutamyltransferase and/or alkaline phosphatase during early syphilis, or doubling of previous levels in patients with liver enzyme elevation before syphilis. We undertook a multicentre study and of the 147 cases, 86.4% were men who had sex with men, and the diagnoses of syphilis and HIV infection were coincident in 48 (32.7%). Liver involvement was detected in 45 (30.6%) and the only related factor was a rapid plasma reagin (RPR) titre ≥1/64 (odds ratio 3.76; 95% confidence interval 1.3-10.5; P = 0.012). In conclusion, liver involvement occurs in around one-third of HIV-infected patients with early syphilis and is associated with high RPR levels. Syphilis should be included in the differential diagnosis of liver enzyme elevation in HIV-infected patients.