How much organic carbon could the soil store? The carbon sequestration potential of Australian soil

Soil is a huge carbon (C) reservoir, but where and how much extra C can be stored is unknown. Current methods to estimate the maximum amount of mineral-associated organic carbon (MAOC) stabilized in the fine fraction (clay + silt,< 20 μm $$ <20\;\upmu \mathrm{m} $$ ) fit through the MAOC versus clay + silt relationship, not their maxima, making their estimates more uncertain and unreliable. We need a function that 'envelopes' that relationship. Here, using 5089 observations, we estimated that the uppermost 30 cm of Australian soil holds 13 Gt (10-18 Gt) of MAOC. We then fitted frontier lines, by soil type, to the relationship between MAOC and the percentage of clay + silt to estimate the maximum amounts of MAOC that Australian soils could store in their current environments, and calculated the MAOC deficit, or C sequestration potential. We propagated the uncertainties from the frontier line fitting and mapped the estimates of these values over Australia using machine learning and kriging with external drift. The maps show regions where the soil is more in MAOC deficit and has greater sequestration potential. The modelling shows that the variation over the whole continent is determined mainly by climate, linked to vegetation and soil mineralogy. We find that the MAOC deficit in Australian soil is 40 Gt (25-60 Gt). The deficit in the vast rangelands is 20.84 Gt (13.97-29.70 Gt) and the deficit in cropping soil is 1.63 Gt (1.12-2.32 Gt). Management could increase C sequestration in these regions if the climate allowed it. Our findings provide new information on the C sequestration potential of Australian soils and highlight priority regions for soil management. Australia could benefit environmentally, socially and economically by unlocking even a tiny portion of its soil's C sequestration potential.

The weather determines the number of cases of tick paralysis in dogs and cats in eastern Australia, caused by Ixodes holocyclus, the eastern paralysis tick

We studied over 222,000 cases of emergency veterinary consultations in four regions along the eastern coast of Australia. We found that cases of tick paralysis (TP) caused by the eastern paralysis tick, Ixodes holocyclus, accounted for 7.5% of these cases: >16,000 cases. The season of TP and the number (prevalence) of TP cases varied among regions and over the years. Our study of the association between weather and (i) the start of the season of TP, and (ii) the number of TP cases revealed much about the intricate relationship between the weather and I. holocyclus. We studied the effect of the hypothetical availability of isoxazoline-containing tick-preventative medicines and found that an increase in the availability of these medicines had significantly contributed to the decrease in TP cases. We found that the weather in winter accounted for the time of the year the season of TP starts whereas the weather in summer accounted for the number of TP cases in the TP season. Last, through a study of the effects of shifts in the climate under four hypothetical scenarios (warmer/cooler and drier/wetter than average), we propose that the start of the season of TP depends on how soon the weather in winter becomes suitable for the activity (e.g. host-seeking) and the development of I. holocyclus nymphs, and that the number of TP cases during the TP season depends on how many engorged female ticks and their eggs survive during summer.

Validation of a shortened MR imaging protocol for pediatric spinal pathology

OBJECTIVE

Conventional pediatric spine MRI protocols have multiple sequences resulting in long acquisition times. Sedation is consequently required. This study evaluates the diagnostic capability of a limited MRI spine protocol for selected common pediatric indications.

METHODS

Spine MRIs at CHEO between 2017 and 2020 were reviewed across pediatric patients younger than four years old. Two blinded neuroradiologists reviewed limited scan sequences, and results were independently compared to previously reported findings from the complete imaging series. T2 sagittal sequences from the craniocervical junction to sacrum and T1 axial sequence of the lumbar spine constitute the short protocol, with the outcomes of interest being cerebellar ectopia, syrinx, level of conus, filum < 2 mm, fatty filum, and spinal dysraphism.

RESULTS

A total of 105 studies were evaluated in 54 male and 51 female patients (mean age 19.2 months). The average combined scan time of the limited sequences was 15 min compared to 35 min for conventional protocols (delta = 20 min). The average percent agreement between full and limited sequences was > 95% in all but identifying a filum < 2 mm, where the percent agreement was 87%. Using limited MR sequences had high sensitivity (> 0.91) and specificity (> 0.99) for the detection of cerebellar ectopia, syrinx, fatty filum, and spinal dysraphism.

CONCLUSION

This study demonstrates that selected spinal imaging sequences allow for consistent and accurate diagnosis of specific clinical conditions. A limited spine imaging protocol has potential as a screening test to reduce the need for full-sequence MRI scans. Further work is needed to determine utility of selected imaging for other clinical indications.

A loss function to evaluate agricultural decision-making under uncertainty: a case study of soil spectroscopy

Modern sensor technologies can provide detailed information about soil variation which allows for more precise application of fertiliser to minimise environmental harm imposed by agriculture. However, growers should lose neither income nor yield from associated uncertainties of predicted nutrient concentrations and thus one must acknowledge and account for uncertainties. A framework is presented that accounts for the uncertainty and determines the cost-benefit of data on available phosphorus (P) and potassium (K) in the soil determined from sensors. For four fields, the uncertainty associated with variation in soil P and K predicted from sensors was determined. Using published fertiliser dose-yield response curves for a horticultural crop the effect of estimation errors from sensor data on expected financial losses was quantified. The expected losses from optimal precise application were compared with the losses expected from uniform fertiliser application (equivalent to little or no knowledge on soil variation). The asymmetry of the loss function meant that underestimation of P and K generally led to greater losses than the losses from overestimation. This study shows that substantial financial gains can be obtained from sensor-based precise application of P and K fertiliser, with savings of up to £121 ha^-1 for P and up to £81 ha^-1 for K, with concurrent environmental benefits due to a reduction of 4-17 kg ha^-1 applied P fertiliser when compared with uniform application.

SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s11119-022-09887-2.

Efficacy and safety of disinfectants for decontamination of N95 and SN95 filtering facepiece respirators: a systematic review

BACKGROUND

Decontaminating and reusing filtering facepiece respirators (FFRs) for healthcare workers is a potential solution to address inadequate FFR supply during a global pandemic.

AIM

The objective of this review was to synthesize existing data on the effectiveness and safety of using chemical disinfectants to decontaminate N95 FFRs.

METHODS

A systematic review was conducted on disinfectants to decontaminate N95 FFRs using Embase, Medline, Global Health, Google Scholar, WHO feed, and MedRxiv. Two reviewers independently determined study eligibility and extracted predefined data fields. Original research reporting on N95 FFR function, decontamination, safety, or FFR fit following decontamination with a disinfectant was included.

FINDINGS AND CONCLUSION

A single cycle of vaporized hydrogen peroxide (H₂O₂) successfully removes viral pathogens without affecting airflow resistance or fit, and maintains an initial filter penetration of <5%, with little change in FFR appearance. Residual hydrogen peroxide levels following decontamination were within safe limits. More than one decontamination cycle of vaporized H₂O₂ may be possible but further information is required on how multiple cycles would affect FFR fit in a real-world setting before the upper limit can be established. Although immersion in liquid H₂O₂ does not appear to adversely affect FFR function, there is no available data on its ability to remove infectious pathogens from FFRs or its impact on FFR fit. Sodium hypochlorite, ethanol, isopropyl alcohol, and ethylene oxide are not recommended due to safety concerns or negative effects on FFR function.

Prognostic Accuracy of Fetal MRI in Predicting Postnatal Neurodevelopmental Outcome

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE

The superior diagnostic accuracy of fetal MR imaging in detecting fetal brain abnormalities has been previously demonstrated; however, the ability of fetal MR imaging to prognosticate postnatal outcome is not well-studied. We performed a retrospective analysis to determine the prognostic accuracy of fetal MR imaging in predicting postnatal neurodevelopmental outcome.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

We identified all fetal MR imaging performed at the Children's Hospital of Eastern Ontario during a 10-year period and assessed agreement between prenatal prognosis and postnatal outcome. Prenatal prognosis was determined by a pediatric neurologist who reviewed the fetal MR imaging report and categorized each pregnancy as having a favorable, indeterminate, or poor prognosis. Assessment of postnatal neurodevelopmental outcome was made solely on the basis of the child's Gross Motor Function Classification System score and whether the child developed epilepsy. Postnatal outcome was categorized as favorable, intermediate, or poor. We also assessed the diagnostic accuracy of fetal MR imaging by comparing prenatal and postnatal imaging diagnoses.

RESULTS

We reviewed 145 fetal MR images: 114 were included in the assessment of diagnostic accuracy, and 104 were included in the assessment of prognostic accuracy. There was 93.0% agreement between prenatal and postnatal imaging diagnoses. Prognosis was favorable in 44.2%, indeterminate in 50.0%, and poor in 5.8% of pregnancies. There was 93.5% agreement between a favorable prenatal prognosis and a favorable postnatal outcome.

CONCLUSIONS

A favorable prenatal prognosis is highly predictive of a favorable postnatal outcome. Further studies are required to better understand the role of fetal MR imaging in prognosticating postnatal development, particularly in pregnancies with indeterminate and poor prognoses.

Decontaminating N95 and SN95 masks with ultraviolet germicidal irradiation does not impair mask efficacy and safety

Inadequate supply of filtering facepiece respirators (FFRs) for healthcare workers during a pandemic such as the novel coronavirus outbreak (SARS-CoV-2) is a serious public health issue. The aim of this study was to synthesize existing data on the effectiveness of ultraviolet germicidal irradiation (UVGI) for N95 FFR decontamination. A systematic review (PROSPERO CRD42020176156) was conducted on UVGI in N95 FFRs using Embase, Medline, Global Health, Google Scholar, WHO feed, and MedRxiv. Two reviewers independently determined eligibility and extracted predefined variables. Original research reporting on function, decontamination, or mask fit following UVGI were included. Thirteen studies were identified, comprising 54 UVGI intervention arms and 58 N95 models. FFRs consistently maintained certification standards following UVGI. Aerosol penetration averaged 1.19% (0.70-2.48%) and 1.14% (0.57-2.63%) for control and UVGI arms, respectively. Airflow resistance for the control arms averaged 9.79 mm H₂O (7.97-11.70 mm H₂O) vs 9.85 mm H₂O (8.33-11.44 mm H₂O) for UVGI arms. UVGI protocols employing a cumulative dose >20,000 J/m² resulted in a 2-log reduction in viral load. A >3-log reduction was observed in seven UVGI arms using >40,000 J/m². Impact of UVGI on fit was evaluated in two studies (16,200; 32,400 J/m²) and no evidence of compromise was found. Our findings suggest that further work in this area (or translation to a clinical setting) should use a cumulative UV-C dose of 40,000 J/m² or greater, and confirm appropriate mask fit following decontamination.

Decontaminating N95 and SN95 masks with ultraviolet germicidal irradiation does not impair mask efficacy and safety

Inadequate supply of filtering facepiece respirators (FFRs) for healthcare workers during a pandemic such as the novel coronavirus outbreak (SARS-CoV-2) is a serious public health issue. The aim of this study was to synthesize existing data on the effectiveness of ultraviolet germicidal irradiation (UVGI) for N95 FFR decontamination. A systematic review (PROSPERO CRD42020176156) was conducted on UVGI in N95 FFRs using Embase, Medline, Global Health, Google Scholar, WHO feed, and MedRxiv. Two reviewers independently determined eligibility and extracted predefined variables. Original research reporting on function, decontamination, or mask fit following UVGI were included. Thirteen studies were identified, comprising 54 UVGI intervention arms and 58 N95 models. FFRs consistently maintained certification standards following UVGI. Aerosol penetration averaged 1.19% (0.70-2.48%) and 1.14% (0.57-2.63%) for control and UVGI arms, respectively. Airflow resistance for the control arms averaged 9.79 mm H₂O (7.97-11.70 mm H₂O) vs 9.85 mm H₂O (8.33-11.44 mm H₂O) for UVGI arms. UVGI protocols employing a cumulative dose >20,000 J/m² resulted in a 2-log reduction in viral load. A >3-log reduction was observed in seven UVGI arms using >40,000 J/m². Impact of UVGI on fit was evaluated in two studies (16,200; 32,400 J/m²) and no evidence of compromise was found. Our findings suggest that further work in this area (or translation to a clinical setting) should use a cumulative UV-C dose of 40,000 J/m² or greater, and confirm appropriate mask fit following decontamination.

Predicting the growth of lettuce from soil infrared reflectance spectra: the potential for crop management

How well could one predict the growth of a leafy crop from reflectance spectra from the soil and how might a grower manage the crop in the light of those predictions? Topsoil from two fields was sampled and analysed for various nutrients, particle-size distribution and organic carbon concentration. Crop measurements (lettuce diameter) were derived from aerial-imagery. Reflectance spectra were obtained in the laboratory from the soil in the near- and mid-infrared ranges, and these were used to predict crop performance by partial least squares regression (PLSR). Individual soil properties were also predicted from the spectra by PLSR. These estimated soil properties were used to predict lettuce diameter with a linear model (LM) and a linear mixed model (LMM): considering differences between lettuce varieties and the spatial correlation between data points. The PLSR predictions of the soil properties and lettuce diameter were close to observed values. Prediction of lettuce diameter from the estimated soil properties with the LMs gave somewhat poorer results than PLSR that used the soil spectra as predictor variables. Predictions from LMMs were more precise than those from the PLSR using soil spectra. All model predictions improved when the effects of variety were considered. Predictions from the reflectance spectra, via the estimation of soil properties, can enable growers to decide what treatments to apply to grow lettuce and how to vary their treatments within their fields to maximize the net profit from the crop.

223Atrial fibrillation screen, management and guideline recommended therapy (AF SMART II) in the rural primary care setting: eHealth tools to support all stages of screening

Funding Acknowledgements

National Heart Foundation of Australia: CVRN Grant and Vanguard Grant; investigator-initiated grant from Pfizer-BMS; AliveCor provided free devices

BACKGROUND

Internationally, most atrial fibrillation (AF) management guidelines recommend screening for AF in people aged ≥65 years, as well as treatment with oral anticoagulants (OAC) for those at high stroke risk ( CHA2DS2-VA ≥2). However, in practice, gaps remain in both screening and treatment. In Australian general practice in 2017, the estimated rate of AF screening was 11%, and only about 60% of diagnosed AF patients received guideline-based OAC. Our 2018 screening study using eHealth tools in metropolitan general practices increased screening to 16% of eligible patients, leading to further refinement of the eHealth tools.

PURPOSE

To investigate the impact of an AF screening program in rural general practices, using a suite of custom-designed eHealth tools designed to increase the proportion screened and treated for AF in accordance with guidelines.

METHODS

General practices (n = 8) in rural New South Wales, Australia participated in the study between September 2018 – June 2019. General practitioners (GPs) and practice nurses conducted opportunistic screening of eligible patients (i.e. aged ≥65 years without existing AF diagnosis) using a smartphone electrocardiogram during practice visits. Practices were also provided with 1) an electronic screening prompt (which appeared when an eligible patient’s file was opened); 2) electronic decision support based on ESC/Australian treatment guidelines; and 3) regular customised data reports aimed at quality improvement (Figure 1). A clinical audit tool was used to extract deidentified data from practices.

RESULTS

A total of 3,103 eligible patients (mean age 75.1 ± 6.8 years, 47% male) who attended the 8 practices during the study period were screened (median screening period 4.6 months). Practices screened a median of 35% of eligible patients (range 9-51% per practice), with 4/8 practices screening &gt;40% of eligible patients. 36 (1.2%) new cases of AF were confirmed (mean age 77.0 years, 64% male, mean CHA2DS2-VA = 2.9). GPs (n = 22) screened 30% (range 1-182 per GP) of patients and nurses (n = 40) screened 70% (range 1-192 per nurse). OAC treatment rates of patients with AF with CHA2DS2-VA≥2 were 82% (screen-detected), 78% (clinically-detected during study period) and 75% (pre-existing AF), with no significant differences between groups.

CONCLUSIONS

In the rural general practice setting, an AF screening program supported by eHealth tools resulted in 35% of eligible people screened, which is substantially higher than the 16% achieved in our previous study. Half the practices screened 40-50% of eligible patients, suggesting this may represent a ‘ceiling’ of patients captured by opportunistic AF screening programs. OAC treatment rates were higher than previous studies at baseline and were trending upwards during the study. eHealth tools, particularly including customised data reports as part of an audit and feedback system, may be a valuable addition to future screening programs.

Abstract Figure 1 - screening process

Tick paralysis in dogs and cats in Australia: treatment and prevention deliverables from 100 years of research

This review of tick paralysis caused by Ixodes holocyclus in Australia addresses the question: What are the key discoveries that have enabled effective treatment and prevention of tick paralysis in dogs and cats? Critical examination of 100 years of literature reveals that arguably only three achievements have advanced treatment and prevention of tick paralysis in animals. First, the most significant treatment advance was the commercial availability of tick antiserum in the 1930s. Hyperimmune serum currently remains the only specific anti-paralysis tick therapy available to veterinarians in Australia. Second, advances in veterinary critical care have increased survival rates of the most severely affected dogs and cats. Critical care advancements have been enabled through specialised veterinary hospitals that can provide appropriate care 24 h a day, and advanced training of veterinarians, veterinary nurses and technicians. Third, perhaps that biggest advance of all in the last 100 years of research has been the commercial availability of the isooxazoline class of acaricidal preventatives in Australia specifically for I. holocyclus. This highly effective class of preventatives offers long duration of action, low cost, spot-on or oral formulations and a low rate of adverse reactions. Animal owners and veterinarians now have the most useful tool of all - a reliable preventative. This review reveals the key events in research over the last 100 years and the tortuous pathway to delivering better treatment and preventative options for this enigmatic Australian parasite.

P5319Evidence-practice gaps in the screening and management of cardiovascular risk factors in the Australian General Practice population

Background

Cardiovascular disease (CVD) is a major cause of death and disability in Australia affecting 1 in 6 of the Australian population. Studies a decade ago showed large evidence-practice gaps in the screening and management of CVD risk in Australian General Practice. A new risk-based screening and management guideline was launched in 2012.

Purpose

This study aimed to update the evidence to evaluate appropriate screening for, and management of, cardiovascular risk factors in Australian General Practice and explore practice and patient level predictors for appropriate screening and management.

Methods

Cross-sectional de-identified data from GP electronic health records were extracted for patients >18 years having attended at least once in the last 6 months and 3 times in the last 2 years (i.e. active patients). Practice-level data were also collected manually. The statistical cohort included Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander people 35+ years and all others 45+ years, or any individual classified as “high CVD risk” regardless of age. High risk was defined as having either established CVD, pre-defined clinically high risk conditions or a calculated 5-year risk >15% using a Framingham based risk calculator. Appropriate screening was defined as having recorded/updated all essential risk factors for measurement of CVD risk within recommended time frames. Appropriate management was defined as: ≥1 BP lowering drug and a statin for people at high risk without CVD and the addition of an antiplatelet or anticoagulant agent for people with established CVD.

Results

Data were available on 110686 patients from 98 General Practices of which 55% were female, 1.4% of Aboriginal or Torres Strait Islander background, 14% current or ex-smoker and 15% with Diabetes. Forty-nine percent had complete and up to date screening information. Twenty-six percent were classified as high risk of which 11% had established CVD. Fifty-one per cent of those with established CVD were on appropriate treatment, vs 38% of those at high risk but without CVD. A greater proportion of males received appropriate screening (51.5% vs 47.5%). Females were less likely to receive recommended therapy (44.2% vs 55.1%) for secondary prevention but more likely for primary prevention (42% vs 35.5%). For those on BP lowering therapy, only 37% of those with CVD were reaching their target BP compared to 54% of those at high risk without established disease. 56% of those with CVD on lipid lowering therapy were reaching their targets compared to 45% of those at high risk without CVD.

Conclusion

Despite availability of a national guideline, gaps remain large for the management of CVD in Australian General Practice. Female primary prevention patients appear to receive better screening and treatment than their male counterparts, but this is reversed when they have established disease. Analysis of patient and practice level predictors for these gaps is currently underway.

Acknowledgement/Funding

National Health and Medical Research Council

Identical and Nonidentical Twins: Risk and Factors Involved in Development of Islet Autoimmunity and Type 1 Diabetes

OBJECTIVE

There are variable reports of risk of concordance for progression to islet autoantibodies and type 1 diabetes in identical twins after one twin is diagnosed. We examined development of positive autoantibodies and type 1 diabetes and the effects of genetic factors and common environment on autoantibody positivity in identical twins, nonidentical twins, and full siblings.

RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS

Subjects from the TrialNet Pathway to Prevention Study (N = 48,026) were screened from 2004 to 2015 for islet autoantibodies (GAD antibody [GADA], insulinoma-associated antigen 2 [IA-2A], and autoantibodies against insulin [IAA]). Of these subjects, 17,226 (157 identical twins, 283 nonidentical twins, and 16,786 full siblings) were followed for autoantibody positivity or type 1 diabetes for a median of 2.1 years.

RESULTS

At screening, identical twins were more likely to have positive GADA, IA-2A, and IAA than nonidentical twins or full siblings (all P < 0.0001). Younger age, male sex, and genetic factors were significant factors for expression of IA-2A, IAA, one or more positive autoantibodies, and two or more positive autoantibodies (all P ≤ 0.03). Initially autoantibody-positive identical twins had a 69% risk of diabetes by 3 years compared with 1.5% for initially autoantibody-negative identical twins. In nonidentical twins, type 1 diabetes risk by 3 years was 72% for initially multiple autoantibody-positive, 13% for single autoantibody-positive, and 0% for initially autoantibody-negative nonidentical twins. Full siblings had a 3-year type 1 diabetes risk of 47% for multiple autoantibody-positive, 12% for single autoantibody-positive, and 0.5% for initially autoantibody-negative subjects.

CONCLUSIONS

Risk of type 1 diabetes at 3 years is high for initially multiple and single autoantibody-positive identical twins and multiple autoantibody-positive nonidentical twins. Genetic predisposition, age, and male sex are significant risk factors for development of positive autoantibodies in twins.

Defining the habitat niche of Alopecurus myosuroides at the field scale

The distribution of Alopecurus myosuroides (black-grass) in fields is patchy. The locations of these patches can be influenced by the environment. This presents an opportunity for precision management through patch spraying. We surveyed five fields on various types of soil using a nested sampling design and recorded both A. myosuroides seedlings in autumn and seed heads in summer. We also measured soil properties at those sampling locations. We found that the patches of seed heads within a field were smaller than the seedling patches, suggesting that techniques for patch spraying based on maps of heads in the previous season could be inherently risky. We also found that the location of A. myosuroides patches within fields can be predicted through their relationship with environmental properties and that these relations are consistent across fields on different soil types. This improved understanding of the relations between soil properties and A. myosuroides seedlings could allow farmers to use pre-existing or suitably supplemented soil maps already in use for the precision application of fertilisers as a starting point in the creation of herbicide application maps.

Diagnostic exome sequencing in children: A survey of parental understanding, experience and psychological impact

Clinical exome sequencing (CES) is increasingly being used as an effective diagnostic tool in the field of pediatric genetics. We sought to evaluate the parental experience, understanding and psychological impact of CES by conducting a survey study of English-speaking parents of children who had diagnostic CES. Parents of 192 unique patients participated. The parent's interpretation of the child's result agreed with the clinician's interpretation in 79% of cases, with more frequent discordance when the clinician's interpretation was uncertain. The majority (79%) reported no regret with the decision to have CES. Most (65%) reported complete satisfaction with the genetic counseling experience, and satisfaction was positively associated with years of genetic counselor (GC) experience. The psychological impact of CES was greatest for parents of children with positive results and for parents with anxiety or depression. The results of this study are important for helping clinicians to prepare families for the possible results and variable psychological impact of CES. The frequency of parental misinterpretation of test results indicates the need for additional clarity in the communication of results. Finally, while the majority of patients were satisfied with their genetic counseling, satisfaction was lower for new GCs, suggesting a need for targeted GC training for genomic testing.

Increasing condom use in heterosexual men: development of a theory-based interactive digital intervention

Increasing condom use to prevent sexually transmitted infections is a key public health goal. Interventions are more likely to be effective if they are theory- and evidence-based. The Behaviour Change Wheel (BCW) provides a framework for intervention development. To provide an example of how the BCW was used to develop an intervention to increase condom use in heterosexual men (the MenSS website), the steps of the BCW intervention development process were followed, incorporating evidence from the research literature and views of experts and the target population. Capability (e.g. knowledge) and motivation (e.g. beliefs about pleasure) were identified as important targets of the intervention. We devised ways to address each intervention target, including selecting interactive features and behaviour change techniques. The BCW provides a useful framework for integrating sources of evidence to inform intervention content and deciding which influences on behaviour to target.

Challenges and opportunities in evaluating a digital sexual health intervention in a clinic setting: Staff and patient views

Objectives

The aim of the study was to gather the views of sexual health clinic staff and male clinic users regarding digital sexual health promotion and online trial procedures.

Methods

The Men’s Safer Sex website was offered on tablet computers to men in the waiting rooms of three sexual health clinics, in a feasibility online randomised controlled trial (RCT). Interviews were conducted with 11 men who had participated in the trial and with nine clinic staff, to explore their views of the website and views of the online trial. Interviews were audio-recorded and transcribed, and we conducted a thematic analysis of interviews and of 281 free text comments from the online RCT outcome questionnaires.

Results

Clinic users and staff felt that digital interventions such as the Men’s Safer Sex website are useful, especially if NHS endorsed. Pre-appointment waiting time presents a good opportunity for intervention but clinic users and staff felt that a website should supplement rather than replace face-to-face healthcare. The RCT procedures fitted well around clinical activities, but men did not self-direct to the tablet computers. Staff were more concerned about consent and confidentiality than clinic users, and staff and patients were frustrated by multiple technical problems. The trial outcome questionnaire was thought-provoking and could constitute an intervention in itself. Participants felt that clinics would need to promote a digital intervention and/or offer the site routinely to promote engagement.

Conclusion

Digital interventions could usefully supplement in-person sexual health care, but there are important obstacles in terms of IT access in NHS settings, and in promoting engagement.

Replicate and randomize, or lie

Biological populations are naturally variable. Investigators need to replicate observations to estimate their characteristics. They must also randomize selection to estimate those characteristics without bias and with known confidence. Both replication and randomization are necessary.

De novo loss of function mutations in KIAA2022 are associated with epilepsy and neurodevelopmental delay in females

Intellectual disability (ID) affects about 3% of the population and has a male gender bias. Of at least 700 genes currently linked to ID, more than 100 have been identified on the X chromosome, including KIAA2022. KIAA2022 is located on Xq13.3 and is expressed in the developing brain. The protein product of KIAA2022, X‐linked Intellectual Disability Protein Related to Neurite Extension (XPN), is developmentally regulated and is involved in neuronal migration and cell adhesion. The clinical manifestations of loss‐of‐function KIAA2022 mutations have been described previously in 15 males, born from unaffected carrier mothers, but few females. Using whole‐exome sequencing, we identified a cohort of five unrelated female patients with de novo probably gene damaging variants in KIAA2022 and core phenotypic features of ID, developmental delay, epilepsy refractory to treatment, and impaired language, of similar severity as reported for male counterparts. This study supports KIAA2022 as a novel cause of X‐linked dominant ID, and broadens the phenotype for KIAA2022 mutations.

Designing a sampling scheme to reveal correlations between weeds and soil properties at multiple spatial scales

Weeds tend to aggregate in patches within fields, and there is evidence that this is partly owing to variation in soil properties. Because the processes driving soil heterogeneity operate at various scales, the strength of the relations between soil properties and weed density would also be expected to be scale-dependent. Quantifying these effects of scale on weed patch dynamics is essential to guide the design of discrete sampling protocols for mapping weed distribution. We developed a general method that uses novel within-field nested sampling and residual maximum-likelihood (reml) estimation to explore scale-dependent relations between weeds and soil properties. We validated the method using a case study of Alopecurus myosuroides in winter wheat. Using reml, we partitioned the variance and covariance into scale-specific components and estimated the correlations between the weed counts and soil properties at each scale. We used variograms to quantify the spatial structure in the data and to map variables by kriging. Our methodology successfully captured the effect of scale on a number of edaphic drivers of weed patchiness. The overall Pearson correlations between A. myosuroides and soil organic matter and clay content were weak and masked the stronger correlations at >50 m. Knowing how the variance was partitioned across the spatial scales, we optimised the sampling design to focus sampling effort at those scales that contributed most to the total variance. The methods have the potential to guide patch spraying of weeds by identifying areas of the field that are vulnerable to weed establishment.

Social and spatial heterogeneity in psychosis proneness in a multilevel case-prodrome-control study

OBJECTIVE

To test whether spatial and social neighbourhood patterning of people at ultra-high risk (UHR) of psychosis differs from first-episode psychosis (FEP) participants or controls and to determine whether exposure to different social environments is evident before disorder onset.

METHOD

We tested differences in the spatial distributions of representative samples of FEP, UHR and control participants and fitted two-level multinomial logistic regression models, adjusted for individual-level covariates, to examine group differences in neighbourhood-level characteristics.

RESULTS

The spatial distribution of controls (n = 41) differed from UHR (n = 48; P = 0.04) and FEP participants (n = 159; P = 0.01), whose distribution was similar (P = 0.17). Risk in FEP and UHR groups was associated with the same neighbourhood-level exposures: proportion of single-parent households [FEP adjusted odds ratio (aOR): 1.56 95% CI: 1.00-2.45; UHR aOR: 1.59; 95% CI: 0.99-2.57], ethnic diversity (FEP aOR: 1.27; 95% CI: 1.02-1.58; UHR aOR: 1.28; 95% CI: 1.00-1.63) and multiple deprivation (FEP aOR: 0.88; 95% CI: 0.78-1.00; UHR aOR: 0.86; 95% CI: 0.76-0.99).

CONCLUSION

Similar neighbourhood-level exposures predicted UHR and FEP risk, whose residential patterning was closer to each other's than controls. Adverse social environments are associated with psychosis before FEP onset.

Comparison of a morning polypill, evening polypill and individual pills on LDL-cholesterol, ambulatory blood pressure and adherence in high-risk patients; a randomized crossover trial

AIMS

Cardiovascular polypills are a novel strategy in the prevention of cardiovascular disease. Based on considerations about the effectiveness, the individual pills of a polypill are taken at different times of the day. This study aimed therefore to compare the use of a polypill in the morning, in the evening or the individual components taken at their usual times on cardiovascular risk factors and patient acceptability.

METHODS

The study was a randomized three-period crossover trial. Seventy-eight patients with established cardiovascular disease were randomly allocated to the use of polypill (aspirin 75 mg, simvastatin 40 mg, lisinopril 10mg and hydrochlorothiazide 12.5mg) in the morning, in the evening or use of the individual agents taken at different time points (Trial: NCT01506505).

RESULTS

Using the polypill in the evening resulted in a 0.2 mmol/L (95%-confidence interval (CI): 0.1 to 0.3) lower fasting LDL-cholesterol compared to the use in the morning, and not statistically significantly different mean 24-hour systolic BP (mean difference: 0.7 mmHg; 95%-CI; -2.1 to 3.4). Compared to the use of the individual agents, the mean LDL-cholesterol was 0.2 mmol/L (95%-CI: 0.1 to 0.3) higher when using the polypill in the morning, but not statistically significantly different when used in the evening (mean difference: -0.1 mmol/L; 95%-CI: -0.1 to 0.0). Furthermore, there were no differences in mean 24-hour systolic BP with morning use (mean difference: 0.4 mmHg; 95%-CI; -1.5 to 2.3) or evening use (mean difference: 1.0mmHg; 95%-CI; -0.8 to 2.8) of the polypill compared to the individual agents. The adherence was 5.2% (95%-CI: 1.4 to 9.1) higher with morning use of the polypill and 5.0% (95%-CI: 1.5 to 8.5) higher with evening use compared to the individual agents. Treatment with the polypill was preferred by 92% of the participants.

CONCLUSION

The use of a polypill in the evening was more effective in lowering LDL-cholesterol, and resulted in not statistically significantly different ambulatory BP levels compared to the use of a polypill in the morning. Therapy with a polypill was associated with an increased adherence. The polypill is highly preferred by patients, demonstrating a potential role for the polypill in the prevention of cardiovascular disease.

Illness representations, psychological distress and non-cardiac chest pain in patients attending an emergency department

OBJECTIVE

Many patients who attend an emergency department (ED) with chest pain receive a diagnosis of non-cardiac chest pain (NCCP), and often suffer poor psychological outcomes and continued pain. This study assessed the role of illness representations in explaining psychological distress and continued chest pain in patients attending an ED.

METHODS

ED NCCP patients (N = 138) completed measures assessing illness representations, anxiety, depression and quality of life (QoL) at baseline, and chest pain at one month.

RESULTS

Illness representations explained significant amounts of the variance in anxiety (Adj. R² = .38), depression (Adj. R² = .18) and mental QoL (Adj. R² = .36). A belief in psychological causes had the strongest associations with outcomes. At one month, 28.7% of participants reported experiencing frequent pain, 13.2% infrequent pain and 58.1% no pain. Anxiety, depression and poor QoL, but not illness representations, were associated with continued chest pain.

CONCLUSIONS

The findings suggest that (i) continued chest pain is related to psychological distress and poor QoL, (ii) interventions should be aimed at reducing psychological distress and improving QoL and (iii) given the associations between perceived psychological causes and psychological distress/QoL, NCCP patients in the ED might benefit from psychological therapies to manage their chest pain.