Optimising the manufacturing of a β-Ti alloy produced via direct energy deposition using small dataset machine learning

Successful additive manufacturing involves the optimisation of numerous process parameters that significantly influence product quality and manufacturing success. One commonly used criteria based on a collection of parameters is the global energy distribution (GED). This parameter encapsulates the energy input onto the surface of a build, and is a function of the laser power, laser scanning speed and laser spot size. This study uses machine learning to develop a model for predicting manufacturing layer height and grain size based on GED constituent process parameters. For both layer height and grain size, an artificial neural network (ANN) reduced error over the data set compared with multi linear regression. Layer height predictions using ANN achieved an R2 of 0.97 and a root mean square error (RMSE) of 0.03 mm, while grain size predictions resulted in an R2 of 0.85 and an RMSE of 9.68 μm. Grain refinement was observed when reducing laser power and increasing laser scanning speed. This observation was successfully replicated in another α + β Ti alloy. The findings and developed models show why reproducibility is difficult when solely considering GED, as each of the constituent parameters influence these individual responses to varying magnitudes.

Analytical validation of NeXT Personal®, an ultra-sensitive personalized circulating tumor DNA assay

We describe the analytical validation of NeXT Personal®, an ultra-sensitive, tumor-informed circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) assay for detecting residual disease, monitoring therapy response, and detecting recurrence in patients diagnosed with solid tumor cancers. NeXT Personal uses whole genome sequencing of tumor and matched normal samples combined with advanced analytics to accurately identify up to ~1,800 somatic variants specific to the patient's tumor. A personalized panel is created, targeting these variants and then used to sequence cell-free DNA extracted from patient plasma samples for ultra-sensitive detection of ctDNA. The NeXT Personal analytical validation is based on panels designed from tumor and matched normal samples from two cell lines, and from 123 patients across nine cancer types. Analytical measurements demonstrated a detection threshold of 1.67 parts per million (PPM) with a limit of detection at 95% (LOD95) of 3.45 PPM. NeXT Personal showed linearity over a range of 0.8 to 300,000 PPM (Pearson correlation coefficient = 0.9998). Precision varied from a coefficient of variation of 12.8% to 3.6% over a range of 25 to 25,000 PPM. The assay targets 99.9% specificity, with this validation study measuring 100% specificity and in silico methods giving us a confidence interval of 99.92 to 100%. In summary, this study demonstrates NeXT Personal as an ultra-sensitive, highly quantitative and robust ctDNA assay that can be used to detect residual disease, monitor treatment response, and detect recurrence in patients.

Radioactive seed localization is a safe and effective tool for breast cancer surgery: an evaluation of over 25,000 cases

Radioactive seed localization (RSL) provides a precise and efficient method for removing non-palpable breast lesions. It has proven to be a valuable addition to breast surgery, improving perioperative logistics and patient satisfaction. This retrospective review examines the lessons learned from a high-volume cancer center's RSL program after 10 years of practice and over 25 000 cases. We provide an updated model for assessing the patient's radiation dose from RSL seed implantation and demonstrate the safety of RSL to staff members. Additionally, we emphasize the importance of various aspects of presurgical evaluation, surgical techniques, post-surgical management, and regulatory compliance for a successful RSL program. Notably, the program has reduced radiation exposure for patients and medical staff.

Rapid expansion of Neisseria gonorrhoeae ST7827 clone in Australia, with variable ceftriaxone phenotype unexplained by genotype

BACKGROUND

Neisseria gonorrhoeae is identified as a priority pathogen due to its capacity to rapidly develop antimicrobial resistance (AMR). Following the easing of SARS-CoV-2 pandemic travel restrictions across international borders in the state of New South Wales (NSW), Australia, a surge of gonococcal isolates with raised ceftriaxone MIC values were detected.

METHODS

All N. gonorrhoeae isolates (n = 150) with increased ceftriaxone MIC values in NSW between 1 January 2021 and July 2022 from males and females from all sites were sequenced.

RESULTS

A new emergence and rapid expansion of an N. gonorrhoeae ST7827 clone was documented within NSW, Australia and provides further evidence of the ability of N. gonorrhoeae to undergo sufficient genomic changes and re-emerge as a geographically restricted subclone. Mapping AMR determinants to MIC results did not reveal any genomic pattern that correlated with MIC values.

CONCLUSIONS

The rapid dissemination and establishment of this clone at the population level is a new and concerning demonstration of the agility of this pathogen, and underscores concerns about similar incursions and establishment of MDR clones. Moreover, it is notable that in this context the AMR genotype-phenotype correlates remain unclear, which requires further investigation to enable better understanding of genomic aspects of AMR in N. gonorrhoeae.

Racial disparity in the genomics of precision oncology of prostate cancer

BACKGROUND

Significant racial disparities in prostate cancer incidence and mortality have been reported between African American Men (AAM), who are at increased risk for prostate cancer, and European American Men (EAM). In most of the studies carried out on prostate cancer, this population is underrepresented. With the advancement of genome-wide association studies, several genetic predictor models of prostate cancer risk have been elaborated, as well as numerous studies that identify both germline and somatic mutations with clinical utility.

RECENT FINDINGS

Despite significant advances, the AAM population continues to be underrepresented in genomic studies, which can limit generalizability and potentially widen disparities. Here we outline racial disparities in currently available genomic applications that are used to estimate the risk of individuals developing prostate cancer and to identify personalized oncology treatment strategies. While the incidence and mortality of prostate cancer are different between AAM and EAM, samples from AAM remain to be unrepresented in different studies.

CONCLUSION

This disparity impacts the available genomic data on prostate cancer. As a result, the disparity can limit the predictive utility of the genomic applications and may lead to the widening of the existing disparities. More studies with substantially higher recruitment and engagement of African American patients are necessary to overcome this disparity.

Simultaneous Measurement of Muon Neutrino ν_{μ} Charged-Current Single π^{+} Production in CH, C, H_{2}O, Fe, and Pb Targets in MINERvA

Neutrino-induced charged-current single π^{+} production in the Δ(1232) resonance region is of considerable interest to accelerator-based neutrino oscillation experiments. In this Letter, high statistic differential cross sections are reported for the semiexclusive reaction ν_{μ}A→μ^{-}π^{+}+ nucleon(s) on scintillator, carbon, water, iron, and lead targets recorded by MINERvA using a wideband ν_{μ} beam with ⟨E_{ν}⟩≈6  GeV. Suppression of the cross section at low Q^{2} and enhancement of low T_{π} are observed in both light and heavy nuclear targets compared with phenomenological models used in current neutrino interaction generators. The cross sections per nucleon for iron and lead compared with CH across the kinematic variables probed are 0.8 and 0.5 respectively, a scaling which is also not predicted by current generators.

Telehealth experiences in Canadian veterans: associations, strengths and barriers to care during the COVID-19 pandemic

INTRODUCTION

Identifying barriers to care in veteran populations is critical, as veterans face increased social isolation, relationship strains and financial insecurities. For Canadian veterans experiencing barriers to accessing healthcare, telehealth may be a promising alternative with comparable effectiveness to in-person services; however, the potential benefits and limitations of telehealth require further examination to determine its long-term utility, and to inform health policy and planning. The goal of the present research was to identify predictors and barriers to telehealth usage in Canadian veterans in the context of the COVID-19 pandemic.

METHODS

Data were drawn from baseline data of a longitudinal survey examining the psychological functioning of Canadian veterans during the COVID-19 pandemic. Participants were 1144 Canadian veterans aged 18-93 years (M_age=56.24, SD=12.92; 77.4% men). We assessed reported telehealth use (ie, for mental healthcare, physical healthcare), healthcare access (ie, difficulty accessing care, avoidance of care) and mental health and stress since the beginning of the COVID-19 pandemic, sociodemographic variables and open-ended responses about telehealth experiences.

RESULTS

Findings suggest that sociodemographic factors and previous telehealth use were significantly associated with telehealth use during the COVID-19 pandemic. Qualitative evidence highlighted both the benefits (eg, reducing barriers of access) and drawbacks (eg, not all services can be delivered) of telehealth services.

CONCLUSIONS

This paper provided a deeper understanding of Canadian veterans' experiences with accessing telehealth care during the COVID-19 pandemic. While for some, the use of telehealth mitigated perceived barriers (eg, safety concerns of leaving home), others felt that not all health services could be appropriately carried out through telehealth. Altogether, findings support the use of telehealth services in increasing care accessibility for Canadian veterans. Continued use of quality telehealth services may be a valuable form of care that extends the reach of healthcare professionals.

Antibody landscape of C57BL/6 mice cured of B78 melanoma via immunotherapy

Hoefges et al. utilized a whole-proteome peptide array approach to show that C57BL/6 mice develop a large repertoire of antibodies against linear peptide sequences of their melanoma after receiving a curative immunotherapy regimen consisting of radiation and an immunocytokine. Antibodies can play an important role in innate and adaptive immune responses against cancer, and in preventing infectious disease. Flow cytometry analysis of sera of immune mice that were previously cured of their melanoma through a combined immunotherapy regimen with long-term memory showed strong antibody-binding against melanoma tumor cell lines. Using a high-density whole-proteome peptide array, we assessed potential protein-targets for antibodies found in immune sera. Sera from 6 of these cured mice were analyzed with this high-density, whole-proteome peptide array to determine specific antibody-binding sites and their linear peptide sequence. We identified thousands of peptides that were targeted by 2 or more of these 6 mice and exhibited strong antibody binding only by immune, not naive sera. Confirmatory studies were done to validate these results using 2 separate ELISA-based systems. To the best of our knowledge, this is the first study of the "immunome" of protein-based epitopes that are recognized by immune sera from mice cured of cancer via immunotherapy.

What are the ideal systolic and diastolic blood pressure which do not injure the intima of iliac and coronary arteries?

 

For patients with coronary artery disease, hypertension (HTN) is a major risk factor. How could uncontrolled HTN start atherosclerosis? In our prior research, laminar flow in coronary arteries prevented the formation of plaques while turbulent flow injured the intima and triggered atherosclerosis. In this present study our question was: Which blood pressure (BP) level is optimal in not producing turbulence and so not injuring the intima?

Methods

At first, a systolic BP<120mmHg and diastolic BP<75mmHg) were arbitrarily set as controlled (group A) while a BP of >160/105mmHg as uncontrolled (group B). All patients underwent a dynamic coronary angiogram recorded at 15 images/second or 0.06 seconds per image. The first image was of the index artery completely filled with contrast. In subsequent images the blood in white color moved in over a background of black contrast (Figure 1A). In 1B, 0.06 seconds later, the blood arrived at the mid segment (white arrow). In 1C, the flood moved forward, however there was darker contrast hanging at the mid segment, marking the location of collision from the retrograde against the antegrade flow (white arrow). The reason was that in uncontrolled BP the contraction of the left ventricle was stronger so in systole, the coronary blood could reverse its course, run on a retrograde direction, collide against the antegrade flow and create turbulence (1C).

At the end, before deploying a vascular closure device, an iliac angiogram was performed. In Figure 2, on a black background of contrast, the blood in white color moved forward with a pointed tip of laminar flow. 0.06 seconds later, the laminar tip was stopped abruptly with all the layers recoiling on each other like a falling stack of dominoes. In the next image. a large swirl of disorganized mixing of blood and contrast suggested the presence of turbulence caused by the collision.

The data to be collected were (1) the duration of the antegrade and retrograde flow, (2) duration of the collision (turbulence at the collision site)

Results

In the group A (BP <120/75 mmHg), 90% of 20 patients had no retrograde flow nor collision in the iliac and short collision in coronary arteries (<0.12 secs). In 30 patients of group B (BP >160/105 mmHg), the duration of retrograde flow and collision in the iliac artery were prolonged at >0.24 msecs. In the coronary arteries, the duration was prolonged at 0.18 msecs (all p<0.05 compared with group A). These locations of turbulence correlated with the location of plaques in our prior studies.

Conclusion

In patients with uncontrolled HTN, the retrograde flow was prolonged, and the turbulence was intense. In contrary, for patients with controlled BP, there was no retrograde flow and weaker collision in coronary arteries. The results suggest that a BP of <120/75 mmHg may not trigger the atherosclerotic process. New clinical trials with larger number of patients should be performed in search for the lowest ideal blood pressure.

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding sources: None.

Scintillation light detection in the 6-m drift-length ProtoDUNE Dual Phase liquid argon TPC

DUNE is a dual-site experiment for long-baseline neutrino oscillation studies, neutrino astrophysics and nucleon decay searches. ProtoDUNE Dual Phase (DP) is a 6  ×  6  ×  6 m 3 liquid argon time-projection-chamber (LArTPC) that recorded cosmic-muon data at the CERN Neutrino Platform in 2019-2020 as a prototype of the DUNE Far Detector. Charged particles propagating through the LArTPC produce ionization and scintillation light. The scintillation light signal in these detectors can provide the trigger for non-beam events. In addition, it adds precise timing capabilities and improves the calorimetry measurements. In ProtoDUNE-DP, scintillation and electroluminescence light produced by cosmic muons in the LArTPC is collected by photomultiplier tubes placed up to 7 m away from the ionizing track. In this paper, the ProtoDUNE-DP photon detection system performance is evaluated with a particular focus on the different wavelength shifters, such as PEN and TPB, and the use of Xe-doped LAr, considering its future use in giant LArTPCs. The scintillation light production and propagation processes are analyzed and a comparison of simulation to data is performed, improving understanding of the liquid argon properties.

Single Knotless Suture Anchor Repair of Anterior Talofibular Ligament Following Distal Fibula Nonunion Excision

Anterior talofibular ligament (ATFL) tear is the most common ankle ligament injury. This can lead to recurrent ankle instability, which is detrimental to ankle function and the patient's quality of life. Currently, several techniques have shown successful outcomes for ATFL repair. In this technical note, we describe an open ATFL repair using a single knotless suture anchor at the distal fibula location. This approach is rapid, equipment-efficient, and reproducible, while promising excellent results and high patient satisfaction by restoring ATFL anatomy.

Colony-stimulating factor 3 receptor gene (CSF3R) T618I mutated chronic myelomonocytic leukemia: A proliferative subtype with a distinct mutational profile

Introduction/Objective

Chronic myelomonocytic leukemia (CMML) is a myeloid neoplasm characterized by sustained monocytosis, ranging from cytopenia with a dysplastic subtype to leukocytosis with a proliferative subtype, with a typical mutational profile involving TET2, ASXL1, and SRSF2. Mutation in colony-stimulating factor 3 receptor gene (CSF3R) is commonly associated with chronic neutrophilic leukemia (CNL) but exceedingly rare in CMML, particularly CSF3R T618I (~10 cases described, ~30 cases of CSF3R non-T618I mutations). We report a case of CSF3R T618I mutated CMML and compare the clinicopathologic features to reported CMML cases with and without CSF3R T618I mutations.

Methods/Case Report

A 27-year-old woman presented for evaluation of leukocytosis, sustained monocytosis, and anemia. Peripheral blood (PB) revealed leukocytosis (white cell count 35x109/L), left-shifted and dysplastic neutrophils (myelocytes and metamyelocytes, 5%), absolute and relative monocytosis (7x109/L, 29%), anemia (Hgb 4.3 g/dL), and thrombocytopenia. Bone marrow aspirate and core biopsy demonstrated a hypercellular marrow with increased myeloblasts (~3%, immunophenotypically aberrant by flow cytometry), increased myelomonocytic cells, and multilineage dysplasia, including ring sideroblasts and hypolobated megakaryocytes. Cytogenetic and molecular studies revealed a normal karyotype and mutations in CSF3R T618I, ASXL1, SETBP1, BCORL1, KRAS, and PTPN11. Despite the presence of a CSF3R T618I mutation, CMML was diagnosed given marked monocytosis, left- shifted neutrophils in PB, multilineage dysplasia, and immunophenotypically aberrant myeloblasts.

Results (if a Case Study enter NA)

NA

Conclusion

Our case demonstrates clinicopathological features similar to those of reported CSF3R T618I mutated CMML, i.e., a proliferative subtype and less likely to have co-occurring mutations in TET2 or SRSF2, which is distinct from CSF3R non-T618I mutated CMML; the latter often has a dysplastic subtype and mutational profile of frequent TET2 and SRSF2 mutations, similar to CSF3R unmutated CMML. While additional cases with this unusual mutation need to be studied to arrive at a more definitive conclusion, the CSF3R T618I mutation seems to define a unique proliferative subtype CMML with a distinct mutational profile.

Core-binding factor leukemia hijacks the T-cell-prone PU.1 antisense promoter

The blood system serves as a key model for cell differentiation and cancer. It is orchestrated by precise spatiotemporal expression of crucial transcription factors. One of the key master regulators in the hematopoietic systems is PU.1. Reduced levels of PU.1 are characteristic for human acute myeloid leukemia (AML) and are known to induce AML in mouse models. Here, we show that transcriptional downregulation of PU.1 is an active process involving an alternative promoter in intron 3 that is induced by RUNX transcription factors driving noncoding antisense transcription. Core-binding factor (CBF) fusions RUNX1-ETO and CBFβ-MYH11 in t(8;21) and inv(16) AML, respectively, activate the PU.1 antisense promoter that results in a shift from sense toward antisense transcription and myeloid differentiation blockade. In patients with CBF-AML, we found that an elevated antisense/sense transcript and promoter accessibility ratio represents a hallmark compared with normal karyotype AML or healthy CD34+ cells. Competitive interaction of an enhancer with the proximal or the antisense promoter forms a binary on/off switch for either myeloid or T-cell development. Leukemic CBF fusions thus use a physiological mechanism used by T cells to decrease sense transcription. Our study is the first example of a sense/antisense promoter competition as a crucial functional switch for gene expression perturbation by oncogenes. Hence, this disease mechanism reveals a previously unknown Achilles heel for future precise therapeutic targeting of oncogene-induced chromatin remodeling.

Normal ranges of global left ventricular myocardial work indices in adults: a meta-analysis

Background

Non-invasive global myocardial work recently emerged as new parameter to characterize left ventricle function with potential advantages over both ejection fraction and global longitudinal strain.

Purpose

We aimed to perform a meta-analysis of normal ranges of non-invasive left ventricular myocardial work (MW) indices including global constructive work (GCW), global work index (GWI), global wasted work (GWW), and global work efficiency (GWE) and to identify confounding factors that may contribute to variance in reported measures.

Methods

The authors searched four databases, Pubmed, Scopus, Embase, and Cochrane Library through January 2021 using the key terms “myocardial work”,“global constructive work”, “global wasted work”, “global work index”, “global work efficiency”. Studies were included if the articles reported LV myocardial work using 2D transthoracic echocardiography in healthy normal subjects, either in the control group or comprising the entire study cohort. The weighted mean was estimated by using the random effect model with a 95% confidence interval. Heterogeneity across studies was assessed using the I2 test. Publication bias was examined by funnel plot and Egger's regression test.

Results

The search yielded 476 articles. After abstract and full text screening we included 13 datasets with 1665 patients for meta-analysis. The reported normal mean values of GCW and GWI among the studies were 2278 (95% CI, 2167 to 23878; I2=95%), and 2.010 (95% CI, 1922 to 2098, I2=97%), respectively. The mean GWE was 96.0 (95% CI, 95.6% to 96.5; I2=92%), and the mean GWW was 79.7% (95% CI, 68.8% to 90.7%; I2=90%) (Figure). Furthermore, age and gender did not significantly contribute to variations in normal values. No evidence of significant publication bias was observed in the funnel plots and the Egger test.

Conclusion

In this meta-analysis, we provide echocardiographic reference ranges for non-invasive indices of MW. These normal values should serve as a template for clinical and research use for this promising technology.

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding sources: None.

Clinical characteristics and disease burden in prurigo nodularis

BACKGROUND

Prurigo nodularis (PN) is a chronic inflammatory skin disease characterized by intense pruritus, but information on patient experience and impact on quality of life (QoL) remains understudied.

AIM

To characterize disease characteristics and QoL in a global sample of patients with PN.

METHODS

An anonymous survey was distributed via patient support groups for PN.

RESULTS

In total, 231 members responded to the survey. The majority of respondents reported itch localized both to nodules and to intervening skin (67.0%). Associated symptoms included prickling, pain, stinging and burning. The extensor lower legs (69% right, 67.3% left) and flexor forearms (66.1% right, 62% left) were the most common sites of itch. Participants reported frequent healthcare utilization, with 36.3% visiting a doctor ≥ 10 times in the past year. Physician-diagnosed anxiety (45.4%), depression (16.4%) and the atopic triad (18.7%) were commonly reported. Patients with PN had mean scores of 16.4, 11.6 and 16.8 on the Dermatology Life Quality Index, Pittsburgh Sleep Quality Index and 5-Dimensions Itch, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

Severe pruritus with accompanying pain, stinging and burning is characteristic of PN, with the majority of patients experiencing itch in both nodular and interlesional skin. Patients further report decreased QoL scores and impaired sleep. Patient experiences should guide future management of PN.

Silicate-clad heavily Yb3+ doped phosphate core multimaterial fiber with a high gain per unit length for mode-locked fiber laser applications

Silicate-clad heavily Yb³⁺ doped phosphate core multimaterial fiber (MF) was successfully drawn by using a molten core method, which has a high gain per unit length of 5.44 dB/cm at 1.06 µm. What is more, an all-fiber-integrated passively mode-locked fiber laser based on a 5 cm long MF was built. The mode-locked pulses operate at 1055 nm with a period of ∼555ps, and the fundamental repetition rate is 1.787 GHz. For the first time, to the best of our knowledge, we demonstrate the realization of a mode-locked fiber laser with a gigahertz fundamental repetition rate based on a silicate-clad heavily Yb³⁺ doped phosphate core MF.

Prospects for beyond the Standard Model physics searches at the Deep Underground Neutrino Experiment: DUNE Collaboration

The Deep Underground Neutrino Experiment (DUNE) will be a powerful tool for a variety of physics topics. The high-intensity proton beams provide a large neutrino flux, sampled by a near detector system consisting of a combination of capable precision detectors, and by the massive far detector system located deep underground. This configuration sets up DUNE as a machine for discovery, as it enables opportunities not only to perform precision neutrino measurements that may uncover deviations from the present three-flavor mixing paradigm, but also to discover new particles and unveil new interactions and symmetries beyond those predicted in the Standard Model (SM). Of the many potential beyond the Standard Model (BSM) topics DUNE will probe, this paper presents a selection of studies quantifying DUNE's sensitivities to sterile neutrino mixing, heavy neutral leptons, non-standard interactions, CPT symmetry violation, Lorentz invariance violation, neutrino trident production, dark matter from both beam induced and cosmogenic sources, baryon number violation, and other new physics topics that complement those at high-energy colliders and significantly extend the present reach.

Clinical epidemiology and outcome of HIV-associated talaromycosis in Guangdong, China, during 2011-2017

OBJECTIVES

Talaromycosis is an invasive mycosis endemic to Southeast Asia. This study aimed to investigate the epidemiology, clinical features and prognostic factors of HIV-associated talaromycosis in Guangdong, China.

METHODS

We retrospectively evaluated HIV patients hospitalized with histopathology- or culture-confirmed talaromycosis between 2011 and 2017. Factors associated with poor prognosis were identified using logistic regression.

RESULTS

Overall, 1079 patients with HIV-associated talaromycosis were evaluated. Both the number and prevalence of talaromycosis among HIV admissions increased from 125 and 15.7% in 2011 to 253 and 18.8% in 2017, respectively, reflecting the increase in HIV admissions. Annual admissions peaked during the rainy season between March and August. Common clinical manifestations included fever (85.6%), peripheral lymphadenopathy (72.3%), respiratory symptoms (60.8%), weight loss (49.8%), skin lesions (44.5%) and gastrointestinal symptoms (44.3%). Common laboratory abnormalities were hypoalbuminaemia (98.6%), anaemia (95.6%), elevated aspartate aminotransferase level (AST) (76.9%), elevated alkaline phosphatase level (55.8%) and thrombocytopenia (53.7%). The median CD4 count was 9 cells/μL. Talaromyces marneffei was isolated from blood and bone marrow cultures of 66.6% and 74.5% of patients, respectively. The rate increased to 86.6% when both cultures were performed concurrently. At discharge, 14% of patients showed worsening conditions or died. Leucocytosis, thrombocytopenia, elevated AST, total bilirubin, creatinine and azole monotherapy independently predicted poor prognosis.

CONCLUSIONS

The incidence of HIV-associated talaromycosis has increased in Guangdong with the high HIV burden in China. Skin lesions were seen in less than half of patients. Induction therapy with azole alone is associated with higher mortality. Findings from this study should help to improve treatment of the disease.

0439 Nonlinear Dynamics Forecasting for Personalize Prognosis of Obstructive Sleep Apnea Onsets

Introduction

The emphasis on disease prevention, early detection, and preventive treatments will revolutionize the way sleep clinicians evaluate their patients. Obstructive Sleep Apnea (OSA) is one of the most prevalent sleep disorders with approximately 100 millions patients been diagnosed worldwide. The effectiveness of sleep disorder therapies can be enhanced by providing personalized and real-time prediction of OSA episode onsets. Previous attempts at OSA prediction are limited to capturing the nonlinear, nonstationary dynamics of the underlying physiological processes.

Methods

This paper reports an investigation into heart rate dynamics aiming to predict in real time the onsets of OSA episode before the clinical symptoms appear. The method includes (a) a representation of a transition state space network to characterize dynamic transition of apneic states (b) a Dirichlet-Process Mixture-Gaussian-Process prognostic method for estimating the distribution of the time estimate the remaining time until the onset of an impending OSA episode by considering the stochastic evolution of the normal states to an anomalous (apnea)

Results

The approach was tested using three datasets including (1) 20 records from 14 OSA subjects in benchmark ECG apnea databases (Physionet.org), (2) records of eight subjects from previous work. The average prediction accuracy (R2) is reported as 0.75%, with 87% of observations within the 95% confidence interval. Estimated risk indicators at 1 to 3 min till apnea onset are reported as 85.8 %, 80.2 %, and 75.5 %, respectively.

Conclusion

The present prognosis approach can be integrated with wearable devices to facilitate individualized treatments and timely prevention therapies.

Support

N/A

High-Statistics Measurement of Neutrino Quasielasticlike Scattering at 6 GeV on a Hydrocarbon Target

We measure neutrino charged-current quasielasticlike scattering on hydrocarbon at high statistics using the wideband Neutrinos at the Main Injector beam with neutrino energy peaked at 6 GeV. The double-differential cross section is reported in terms of muon longitudinal (p_{∥}) and transverse (p_{⊥}) momentum. Cross section contours versus lepton momentum components are approximately described by a conventional generator-based simulation, however, discrepancies are observed for transverse momenta above 0.5  GeV/c for longitudinal momentum ranges 3-5 and 9-20  GeV/c. The single differential cross section versus momentum transfer squared (dσ/dQ_{QE}^{2}) is measured over a four-decade range of Q^{2} that extends to 10  GeV^{2}. The cross section turnover and falloff in the Q^{2} range 0.3-10  GeV^{2} is not fully reproduced by generator predictions that rely on dipole form factors. Our measurement probes the axial-vector content of the hadronic current and complements the electromagnetic form factor data obtained using electron-nucleon elastic scattering. These results help oscillation experiments because they probe the importance of various correlations and final-state interaction effects within the nucleus, which have different effects on the visible energy in detectors.

Synthetic aperture magnetometry and excess kurtosis mapping of Magnetoencephalography (MEG) is predictive of epilepsy surgical outcome in a large pediatric cohort

OBJECTIVE

Resective surgery is the most effective treatment option for patients with refractory epilepsy; however identification of patients who will benefit from epilepsy surgery remains challenging. Synthetic aperture magnetometry and excess kurtosis mapping (SAM(g2)) of magnetoencephalography (MEG) is a non-invasive tool that warrants further examination in the pediatric epilepsy population. Here, we examined the utility of MEG with SAM(g2) to determine if MEG epileptiform foci correlates with surgical outcome and to develop a predictive model incorporating MEG information to best assess likelihood of seizure improvement/freedom from resective surgery.

METHODS

564 subjects who had MEG at the Children's Hospital of Philadelphia between 2010-2015 were screened. Clinical epilepsy history and prior electrographic records were extracted and reviewed and correlated with MEG findings. MEG assessments were made by both a neurologist and neuroradiologist. Predictive models were developed to assess the utility of MEG in determining Engel class at one year and five years after resective epilepsy surgery.

RESULTS

The number of MEG spike foci was highly associated with Engel class outcome at both one year and five years; however, using MEG data in isolation was not significantly predictive of 5 year surgical outcome. When combined with clinical factors; scalp EEG (single ictal onset zone), MRI (lesional or not), age and sex in a logistic regression model MEG foci was significant for Engel class outcome at both 1 year (p = 0.03) and 5 years (0.02). The percent correctly classified for Engel class at one year was 78.43% and the positive predictive value was 71.43.

SIGNIFICANCE

MEG using SAM(g2) analysis in an important non-invasive tool in the identification of those patients who will benefit most from surgery. Integrating MEG data analysis into pre-surgical evaluation can help to predict epilepsy outcome after resective surgery in the pediatric population if utilized with skilled interpretation.

Real-world outcomes of nivolumab and cabozantinib in metastatic renal cell carcinoma: results from the International Metastatic Renal Cell Carcinoma Database Consortium

Objectives

In the present study, we explored the real-world efficacy of the immuno-oncology checkpoint inhibitor nivolumab and the tyrosine kinase inhibitor cabozantinib in the second-line setting.

Methods

Using the International Metastatic Renal Cell Carcinoma Database Consortium (imdc) dataset, a retrospective analysis of patients with metastatic renal cell carcinoma (mrcc) treated with nivolumab or cabozantinib in the second line after prior therapy targeted to the vascular endothelial growth factor receptor (vegfr) was performed. Baseline characteristics and imdc risk factors were collected. Overall survival (os) and time to treatment failure (ttf) were calculated using Kaplan-Meier curves. Overall response rates (orrs) were determined for each therapy. Multivariable Cox regression analysis was performed to determine survival differences between cabozantinib and nivolumab treatment.

Results

The analysis included 225 patients treated with nivolumab and 53 treated with cabozantinib. No significant difference in median os was observed: 22.10 months [95% confidence interval (ci): 17.18 months to not reached] with nivolumab and 23.70 months (95% ci: 15.52 months to not reached) with cabozantinib (p = 0.61). The ttf was also similar at 6.90 months (95% ci: 4.60 months to 9.20 months) with nivolumab and 7.39 months (95% ci: 5.52 months to 12.85 months) with cabozantinib (p = 0.20). The adjusted hazard ratio (hr) for nivolumab compared with cabozantinib was 1.30 (95% ci: 0.73 to 2.3), p = 0.38. When adjusted by imdc criteria and age, the hr was 1.32 (95% ci: 0.74 to 2.38), p = 0.35.

Conclusions

Real-world imdc data indicate comparable os and ttf for nivolumab and cabozantinib. Both agents are reasonable therapeutic options for patients progressing after initial first-line vegfr-targeted therapy.

Publisher's Note: Identification of Nuclear Effects in Neutrino-Carbon Interactions at Low Three-Momentum Transfer [Phys. Rev. Lett. 116, 071802 (2016)]

This corrects the article DOI: 10.1103/PhysRevLett.116.071802.

A Type 1 Diabetes Genetic Risk Score Predicts Progression of Islet Autoimmunity and Development of Type 1 Diabetes in Individuals at Risk

OBJECTIVE

We tested the ability of a type 1 diabetes (T1D) genetic risk score (GRS) to predict progression of islet autoimmunity and T1D in at-risk individuals.

RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS

We studied the 1,244 TrialNet Pathway to Prevention study participants (T1D patients' relatives without diabetes and with one or more positive autoantibodies) who were genotyped with Illumina ImmunoChip (median [range] age at initial autoantibody determination 11.1 years [1.2-51.8], 48% male, 80.5% non-Hispanic white, median follow-up 5.4 years). Of 291 participants with a single positive autoantibody at screening, 157 converted to multiple autoantibody positivity and 55 developed diabetes. Of 953 participants with multiple positive autoantibodies at screening, 419 developed diabetes. We calculated the T1D GRS from 30 T1D-associated single nucleotide polymorphisms. We used multivariable Cox regression models, time-dependent receiver operating characteristic curves, and area under the curve (AUC) measures to evaluate prognostic utility of T1D GRS, age, sex, Diabetes Prevention Trial-Type 1 (DPT-1) Risk Score, positive autoantibody number or type, HLA DR3/DR4-DQ8 status, and race/ethnicity. We used recursive partitioning analyses to identify cut points in continuous variables.

RESULTS

Higher T1D GRS significantly increased the rate of progression to T1D adjusting for DPT-1 Risk Score, age, number of positive autoantibodies, sex, and ethnicity (hazard ratio [HR] 1.29 for a 0.05 increase, 95% CI 1.06-1.6; P = 0.011). Progression to T1D was best predicted by a combined model with GRS, number of positive autoantibodies, DPT-1 Risk Score, and age (7-year time-integrated AUC = 0.79, 5-year AUC = 0.73). Higher GRS was significantly associated with increased progression rate from single to multiple positive autoantibodies after adjusting for age, autoantibody type, ethnicity, and sex (HR 2.27 for GRS >0.295, 95% CI 1.47-3.51; P = 0.0002).

CONCLUSIONS

The T1D GRS independently predicts progression to T1D and improves prediction along T1D stages in autoantibody-positive relatives.