Usefulness of FibroScan for detection of early compensated liver cirrhosis in chronic hepatitis B

Staging liver fibrosis and cirrhosis using non-invasive tests in people with chronic hepatitis B to inform WHO 2024 guidelines: a systematic review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

Non-invasive tests (aspartate aminotransferase-to-platelet ratio index [APRI] and transient elastography [FibroScan]) were recommended in the 2015 WHO guidelines to guide treatment decisions in people with chronic hepatitis B. We updated the systematic review and meta-analysis that informed the 2015 guidelines to inform new cutoffs for non-invasive tests for the diagnosis of significant fibrosis and cirrhosis for the 2024 WHO guidelines for chronic hepatitis B.

METHODS

We searched PubMed (MEDLINE), Embase, and Science Citation Index Expanded (Web of Science) for studies published in any language between Jan 1, 2014, and Feb 15, 2023. We included all studies that reported cross-sectional data on the staging of fibrosis or cirrhosis with APRI, Fibrosis-4 (FIB-4), and FibroScan compared with liver biopsy as the reference standard in people with chronic hepatitis B. We excluded studies in which the maximum interval between liver biopsy and non-invasive fibrosis test was more than 6 months; that reported on fewer than ten patients with advanced fibrosis or cirrhosis; that were done exclusively in children; and did not report diagnostic accuracy across our prespecified ranges of test cutoffs. The results of this updated search were collated with the meta-analysis that informed the 2015 guidelines. Outcomes of interest were the sensitivity and specificity of non-invasive tests using defined index test cutoffs for detecting significant fibrosis (≥F2), advanced fibrosis (≥F3), and cirrhosis (F4) based on the METAVIR staging system. We performed meta-analyses using a bivariate random-effects model.

FINDINGS

Of 19 933 records identified by our search strategy, 195 were eligible for our systematic review and combined with the 69 studies from the previous meta-analysis to total 264. Two studies were at low risk of bias, 31 studies had unclear risk of bias, and 231 studies had a high risk of bias. Of these 264, 211 studies with 61 665 patients were used in the meta-analysis. For the diagnosis of significant fibrosis (≥F2), sensitivity and specificity were 72·9% (95% CI 70·2-75·5) and 64·7% (95% CI 61·0-68·2) for the APRI low cutoff (>0·3 to 0·7), 30·5% (23·7-38·3) and 92·3% (89·3-94·6) for the APRI high cutoff (>1·3 to 1·7), and 75·1% (72·2-77·7) and 79·3% (76·2-82·2) for FibroScan (>6·0 to 8·0 kPa), respectively. For the diagnosis of cirrhosis (F4), sensitivity and specificity were 59·4% (53·2-65·2) and 73·9% (70·1-77·4) for the APRI low cutoff (>0·8 to 1·2), 30·2% (24·2-36·9) and 88·2% (85·4-90·6) for the APRI high cutoff (>1·8 to 2·2), and 82·6% (77·8-86·5) and 89·0% (86·3-91·2) for FibroScan (>11·0 to 14·0 kPa), respectively. Using a hypothetical population of 1000 unselected patients with chronic hepatitis B with a 25% prevalence of significant fibrosis (≥F2), the APRI low cutoff for significant fibrosis (≥F2) would result in 262 (26·2%) false positives but only 68 (6·8%) false negatives. The FibroScan cutoff would result in 158 (15·8%) false positives and 63 (6·3%) false negatives. In a population with a 5% prevalence of cirrhosis (F4), the APRI low cutoff for cirrhosis (F4) would result in 247 (24·7%) false positives and 21 (2·1%) false negatives and the FibroScan cutoff would result in 105 (10·5%) false positives and nine (0·9%) false negatives.

INTERPRETATION

These findings have informed new thresholds of APRI and FibroScan for diagnosis of significant fibrosis and cirrhosis in the 2024 WHO guidelines on chronic hepatitis B, with an APRI score greater than 0·5 or a FibroScan value greater than 7·0 kPa considered to identify most adults with significant fibrosis (≥F2) and an APRI score greater than 1·0 or a FibroScan value greater than 12·5 kPa to identify most adults with cirrhosis (F4). These patients are a priority for antiviral treatment.

FUNDING

WHO.

Optimization of the Use of APRI and FIB-4 for Ruling Out Liver Cirrhosis in Chronic Hepatitis B Patients With Normal Alanine Aminotransferase

The exclusion of cirrhosis is important in chronic hepatitis B (CHB) patients with normal alanine aminotransferase (ALT). We aimed to optimise the performance of the aspartate aminotransferase to platelet ratio index (APRI) and fibrosis score based on four factors (FIB-4) to exclude cirrhosis in these patients. Five hundred and eighty four patients with normal ALT who underwent liver biopsy were included in the study. The patients were divided into derivation and external validation sets. A grid search method was used to identify new cut-offs with a negative predictive value (NPV) of > 95% and a sensitivity of > 90% for detecting cirrhosis. The proportion of patients with cirrhosis in the derivation and validation sets was 19.4% and 7.5%, respectively. The conventional cut-offs of APRI (77.6%) and FIB-4 (41.8%) had high rates of cirrhosis misclassification. A new APRI cut-off of 0.21 had a sensitivity of 97.0% and an NPV of 95.6%, and only two (3.0%) patients with cirrhosis were misclassified in the derivation set. Using a new FIB-4 cut-off of 0.53, with a sensitivity of 98.5% and NPV of 96.2%, only one (1.5%) patient with cirrhosis was misclassified. External validation showed similar results. Using the new cut-offs of APRI and FIB-4, cirrhosis could be completely excluded for HBeAg-positive patients or those aged > 40 years. The conventional cut-offs had high misclassification rates for cirrhosis. The new cut-offs of APRI (≤ 0.21) and FIB-4 (≤ 0.53) could be used to exclude cirrhosis in CHB patients with normal ALT levels with a low misclassification rate.

A prediction nomogram for hepatitis B virus-associated hepatocellular carcinoma

BACKGROUND

The present study aimed to develop and validate a new nomogram for predicting the incidence of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) among chronic hepatitis B (CHB) patients receiving antiviral therapy from real-world data.

METHODS

The nomogram was established based on a real-world retrospective study of 764 patients with HBV from October 2008 to July 2020. A predictive model for the incidence of HCC was developed by multivariable Cox regression, and a nomogram was constructed. The predictive accuracy and discriminative ability of the nomogram were assessed by the concordance index (C-index), calibration curves, and decision curve analysis (DCA). Risk group stratification was performed to assess the predictive capacity of the nomogram. The nomogram was compared to three current commonly used predictive models.

RESULTS

A total of 764 patients with HBV were recruited for this study. Age, family history of HCC, alcohol consumption, and Aspartate aminotransferase-to-Platelet Ratio Index (APRI) were all independent risk predictors of HCC in CHB patients. The constructed nomogram had good discrimination with a C-index of 0.811. The calibration curve and DCA also proved the reliability and accuracy of the nomogram. Three risk groups (low, moderate, and high) with significantly different prognoses were identified (p < 0.001). The model's performance was significantly better than that of other risk models.

CONCLUSIONS

The nomogram was superior in predicting HCC risk among CHB patients who received antiviral treatment. The model can be utilized in clinical practice to aid decision-making on the strategy of long-term HCC surveillance, especially for moderate- and high-risk patients.

Routine blood test markers for predicting liver disease post HBV infection: precision pathology and pattern recognition

BACKGROUND

Early stages of hepatitis B virus (HBV) infection usually involve inflammation of the liver. Patients with chronic infection have an increased risk of progressive liver fibrosis, cirrhosis, and life-threatening clinical complications of end-stage hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC).

CONTENT

Early diagnosis of hepatic fibrosis and timely clinical management are critical to controlling disease progression and decreasing the burden of end-stage liver cancer. Fibrosis staging, through its current gold standard, liver biopsy, improves patient outcomes, but the clinical procedure is invasive with unpleasant post-procedural complications. Routine blood test markers offer promising diagnostic potential for early detection of liver disease without biopsy. There is a plethora of candidate routine blood test markers that have gone through phases of biomarker validation and have shown great promise, but their current limitations include a predictive ability that is limited to only a few stages of fibrosis. However, the advent of machine learning, notably pattern recognition, presents an opportunity to refine blood-based non-invasive models of hepatic fibrosis in the future.

SUMMARY

In this review, we highlight the current landscape of routine blood-based non-invasive models of hepatic fibrosis, and appraise the potential application of machine learning (pattern recognition) algorithms to refining these models and optimising clinical predictions of HBV-associated liver disease.

OUTLOOK

Machine learning via pattern recognition algorithms takes data analytics to a new realm, and offers the opportunity for enhanced multi-marker fibrosis stage prediction using pathology profile that leverages information across patient routine blood tests.

A Prospective Study of Preemptive Tenofovir Disoproxil Fumarate Therapy in HBsAg-Positive Patients With Diffuse Large B-Cell Lymphoma Receiving Rituximab Plus Cyclophosphamide, Doxorubicin, Vincristine, and Prednisone

INTRODUCTION

This prospective study aimed to investigate the efficacy and safety of preemptive antiviral therapy with tenofovir disoproxil fumarate (TDF) for HBsAg-positive patients with newly diagnosed diffuse large B-cell lymphoma receiving rituximab plus cyclophosphamide, doxorubicin, vincristine, and prednisone (R-CHOP) chemotherapy.

METHODS

We enrolled 73 patients from 20 institutions. The primary end point was the absolute risk of hepatitis B virus (HBV)-related hepatitis during preemptive TDF therapy and for 24 weeks after withdrawal from TDF. Hepatitis was defined as a more than 3-fold increase in serum alanine aminotransferase from baseline or an alanine aminotransferase level of ≥100 U/L. HBV-related hepatitis was defined as hepatitis with an increase in serum HBV-DNA to >10 times that of the pre-exacerbation baseline or an absolute increase of ≥20,000 IU/mL compared with the baseline.

RESULTS

No patient developed HBV reactivation or HBV-related hepatitis during preemptive antiviral therapy (until 48 weeks after completion of R-CHOP chemotherapy) with TDF. All adverse events were grade 1 or 2. HBV reactivation was reported in 17 (23.3%) patients. All HBV reactivation was developed at a median of 90 days after withdrawal from TDF (range, 37-214 days). Six (8.2%) patients developed HBV-related hepatitis at a median of 88 days after withdrawal from TDF (range, 37-183 days).

DISCUSSION

Preemptive TDF therapy in HBsAg-positive patients with diffuse large B-cell lymphoma receiving R-CHOP chemotherapy was safe and effective for preventing HBV-related hepatitis. However, a long-term maintenance strategy of preemptive TDF therapy should be recommended because of the relatively high rate of HBV-related hepatitis after withdrawal from TDF ( ClinicalTrials.gov ID: NCT02354846).

Gamma-glutamyl Transpeptidase to Platelet Ratio Predicts Liver Injury in Hepatitis B e Antigen-negative Chronic Hepatitis B Patients With Normal Alanine Aminotransferase

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Chronic hepatitis B virus (HBV) infection is a serious health problem worldwide. Evaluating liver injury in patients with hepatitis B e antigen (HBeAg)-negative chronic hepatitis B (CHB) with detectable HBV DNA and normal alanine aminotransferase (ALT) is crucial to guide their clinical management. We aimed to investigate the stages of liver inflammation and fibrosis as well as the predictive accuracy of gamma-glutamyl transpeptidase-to-platelet ratio (GPR) in these patients.

METHODS

A total of 184 treatment-naïve HBeAg-negative CHB patients with detectable HBV DNA and normal ALT were enrolled. The Scheuer scoring system was used to classify liver inflammation and fibrosis.

RESULTS

The distribution of patients with different liver inflammation grades were as follows: G0, 0 (0%); G1, 97 (52.7%); G2, 68 (37.0%); G3, 12 (6.5%); and G4, 7 (3.8%). The distribution of patients with different liver fibrosis stages were as follows: S0, 22 (12.0%); S1, 72 (39.1%); S2, 42 (22.8%); S3, 19 (10.3%); and S4, 29 (15.8%). The areas under the receiver operating characteristic (AUROC) curves of GPR in predicting significant inflammation, severe inflammation, and advanced inflammation were 0.723, 0.895, and 0.952, respectively. The accuracy of GPR was significantly superior to that of ALT in predicting liver inflammation. The AUROCs of GPR in predicting significant fibrosis, severe fibrosis, and cirrhosis were 0.691, 0.780, and 0.803, respectively. The predictive accuracy of GPR was significantly higher than that of aminotransferase-to-platelet ratio index (APRI) and fibrosis index based on four factors (FIB-4) in identifying advanced fibrosis and cirrhosis, and it was superior to FIB-4 but comparable to APRI in identifying significant fibrosis.

CONCLUSIONS

Nearly half of the HBeAg-negative CHB patients with detectable HBV DNA and normal ALT levels had significant liver inflammation or fibrosis. GPR can serve as an accurate predictor of liver inflammation and fibrosis in these patients.

Predictive Performance of CAGE-B and SAGE-B Models in Asian Treatment-Naive Patients Who Started Entecavir for Chronic Hepatitis B

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Cirrhosis and age (CAGE-B) and stiffness and age (SAGE-B) models assess the risk of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) development in white patients with chronic hepatitis B (CHB) undergoing sustained antiviral therapy (AVT). Herein, we checked the predictive performance of these models in Asian patients with CHB.

METHODS

We reviewed 734 treatment-naive patients with CHB who started entecavir between 2006 and 2011 and were followed up for more than 5 years without HCC development during AVT. The predictive performance of CAGE-B and SAGE-B models was calculated using area under the receiver operating characteristic curves (AUROCs).

RESULTS

Median liver stiffness assessed using transient elastography after 5 years of AVT was 6.8 kPa. Median CAGE-B and SAGE-B models after 5 years of AVT were 7.0 and 6.0, respectively. More than 5 years after AVT initiation, 66 patients (9.0%) developed HCC. The AUROCs of the CAGE-B and SAGE-B models were 0.764 and 0.785 after 7 years and 0.799 and 0.802 after 10 years of AVT, respectively. The cumulative incidence of HCC was significantly higher in the high-risk groups according to CAGE-B and SAGE-B risk stratification than in the medium- and low-risk groups (P < .05 in all cases). The SAGE-B model showed a higher likelihood ratio (χ2) (76.2 vs 71.4) and linear trend (χ2) (74.1 vs 58.6) than the CAGE-B model, whereas the CAGE-B model showed higher Akaike information criteria (64.3 vs 50.3).

CONCLUSIONS

Both SAGE-B and CAGE-B showed acceptable performance in predicting HCC after 5 years of AVT in Asian patients with CHB.

Does Treatment of Erectile Dysfunction With PDE 5 Inhibitor Tadalafil Improve Quality of Life in Male Patients With Compensated Chronic Liver Disease? A Prospective Pilot Study

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Erectile dysfunction (ED) is common in patients with compensated cirrhosis but its impact on the quality of life (QOL) is usually overlooked. This study aimed at determining the frequency of ED in male patients with compensated chronic liver disease (CLD), assessing their QOL and the response to treatment with tadalafil. A secondary aim was to assess the effect of the tadalafil therapy on liver fibrosis, if any.

METHODS

Consecutive patients with compensated CLD and advanced liver fibrosis were screened at the baseline with the International Index of Erectile Function-5 (IIEF-5), QOL questionnaire (WHOQOL-BREF), liver stiffness measurements (LSM) made with Fibroscan™ (Echosens, France), and fibrosis index based on 4 factors (FIB-4) scores. Patients with ED meeting eligibility criteria were prescribed PDE5 inhibitor tadalafil 20 mg on alternate days. During the follow-up, IIEF-5, LSM, and FIB-4 were monitored after 3 and 6 months while the WHOQOL-BREF questionnaire was administered at the baseline and at 6 months.

RESULTS

Among 89 patients with CLD and advanced liver fibrosis, ED was present in 43 (48%) and tadalafil was prescribed to 34 patients (38%) meeting exclusion and inclusion criteria. At 3 months follow-up, the mean IIEF 5 score increased from 15.57 ± 4 to 20.78 ± 3.6, (P = 0.0001) and the improvement persisted at 6 months (IIEF-5 score 21.87 ± 2.2; P = 0.12). The physical, social relationships, and environment domains in the WHOQOL-BREF questionnaire showed significant improvement at six months (P < 0.05) but not the psychological domain (P = ns). From a baseline value of 12.69 ± 3.1 kPa, the mean LSM decreased to 11.37 ± 3.9 kPa, (P = 0.02) after 3 months on tadalafil. After 6 months, the LSM further decreased from 11 ± 0.9 to 8.2 ± 3.2 kPa (P = 0.034). FIB-4 values showed a decline from the baseline at 3 months, from 1.52 ± 0.58 to 1.32 ± 0.55, P < 0.05 and at 6 months, from 1.25 ± 0.53 to 0.97 ± 0.36, P > 0.05. The CAP values did not show any significant change. There was an insignificant decline in the SGOT and SGPT levels (P > 0.05) with no significant change in CTP or MELD scores.

CONCLUSIONS

In the short term, tadalafil improves ED and QOL in patients with CLD and advanced liver fibrosis. It may also reduce liver fibrosis in them. Further studies that include liver histology are needed to confirm this preliminary observation of a possible antifibrotic effect.

Long-term effects of entecavir and tenofovir treatment on the fibrotic burden in patients with chronic hepatitis B

BACKGROUND AND AIM

Antiviral therapy (AVT) induces fibrosis regression in patients with chronic hepatitis B. We investigated long-term effects of entecavir (ETV) versus tenofovir (TDF) on fibrotic burden.

METHODS

Treatment-naïve chronic hepatitis B patients who had begun ETV or TDF were recruited from four tertiary hospitals. The aspartate aminotransferase-to-platelet ratio index (APRI) and fibrosis index based on four factors (FIB-4) were used to determine fibrotic burden.

RESULTS

In the entire population (n = 3277), although patients treated with ETV had higher baseline APRI (1.71 vs 1.07, P < 0.001) and FIB-4 (3.60 vs 2.80, P < 0.001) than those treated with TDF, significant fibrosis regression was identified during 6 years of AVT in both ETV (APRI, mean 1.71 → 0.48, P < 0.001; FIB-4, mean 3.60 → 2.21, P < 0.001) and TDF groups (APRI, mean 1.07 → 0.43, P < 0.001; FIB-4, mean 2.80 → 2.19, P < 0.001). In patients without cirrhosis (n = 2366), baseline APRI was significantly higher in ETV group than in TDF group (1.72 vs 0.97, P < 0.001); however, they became similar after 6 months. Similarly, baseline FIB-4 was significantly higher in ETV group than in TDF group (3.25 vs 2.35, P < 0.001), but became similar from 4 to 6 years. In patients with cirrhosis (n = 911), baseline APRI (1.70 vs 1.34, P < 0.001) and FIB-4 (4.62 vs 3.91, P = 0.005) were higher in ETV group than in TDF, however, both parameters became statistically similar from 6 months to 6 years.

CONCLUSION

Significant regression of APRI and FIB-4 was observed during long-term ETV and TDF treatment. Despite higher baseline fibrotic burden in ETV group, fibrotic burden between the groups eventually converged through significant fibrosis regression after 1 to 4 years of AVT.

Individualized surveillance of chronic hepatitis B patients according to hepatocellular carcinoma risk based on PAGE-B scores

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Current guidelines for chronic hepatitis B (CHB) patients are to undergo surveillance for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) with 6-month ultrasonography. We aimed to compare detection rates of very-early-stage HCC in two groups: group A, undergoing 6-month ultrasonography versus group B, undergoing 6-month ultrasonography alternating with dynamic computed tomography (CT).

METHODS

This retrospective study assessed 2151 CHB patients under entecavir/tenofovir therapy from 2007 to 2016. Detection rates of very-early-stage HCC were compared between groups A/B at intermediate/high risk based on platelets, age, gender-hepatitis B scores. The primary endpoint was the proportion of patients in each group with very-early-stage HCC. Cox proportional hazards model was used to assess the effect of surveillance modalities to detect very-early-stage HCC.

RESULTS

Five-year cumulative HCC incidence rates in group A were 15.0% not significantly different from 18.2% in group B at high risk (P = 0.17). Detection rates of very-early-stage HCC were significantly higher in group B than in group A (P < 0.001), and surveillance using CT alternating with ultrasonography was significantly associated with detection of very-early-stage HCC (hazard ratio 3.89, P < 0.001). Among intermediate-risk patients, difference between detection rates of very-early-stage HCC in groups A and B was not significant (P = 0.30), and surveillance using CT alternating with ultrasonography was not significantly associated with detection of very-early-stage HCC (hazard ratio 1.61, P = 0.23).

CONCLUSION

In high-risk CHB patients, surveillance using CT alternating with ultrasonography led to higher detection rates of very-early-stage HCC compared to surveillance using ultrasonography.

Comparison of two-dimensional shear wave elastography, magnetic resonance elastography, and three serum markers for diagnosing fibrosis in patients with chronic hepatitis B: a meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

Two-dimensional shear wave elastography (2D-SWE), magnetic resonance elastography (MRE), aspartate transaminase-to-platelet ratio index (APRI), fibrosis index based on 4 factors (FIB-4), and King's score have been proposed for diagnosing fibrosis.

METHODS

Literature databases were searched until October 1st, 2020. The summary area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC), the summary diagnostic odds ratios, and the summary sensitivities and specificities were used to assess the performance of these noninvasive methods for staging fibrosis.

RESULTS

Our final data contained 72 studies. The prevalence of significant fibrosis, advanced fibrosis, and cirrhosis was 58.3%, 36.2%, and 20.5%, respectively, in chronic hepatitis B (CHB). For 2D-SWE and MRE, the summary AUROCs were 0.89 and 0.97, 0.95 and 0.97, and 0.94 and 0.97 for significant fibrosis, advanced fibrosis, and cirrhosis, respectively. The summary AUROCs using APRI and FIB-4 for detecting significant fibrosis, advanced fibrosis, and cirrhosis were 0.76 and 0.75, 0.74 and 0.77, and 0.77 and 0.82, respectively. The summary AUROCs of King's score for detecting significant fibrosis and cirrhosis were 0.77 and 0.83, respectively.

CONCLUSION

MRE and 2D-SWE may show the best diagnostic accuracy for predicting fibrosis in CHB. Among the three serum markers, King's score may be more useful for diagnosing fibrosis.

Reporting and Performance of Hepatocellular Carcinoma Risk Prediction Models: Based on TRIPOD Statement and Meta-Analysis

BACKGROUND

The performance of risk prediction models for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in patients with chronic hepatitis B (CHB) was uncertain. The aim of the study was to critically evaluate the reports of transparent and external validation performances of these prediction models based on system review and meta-analysis.

METHODS

A systematic search of the Web of Science and PubMed was performed for studies published until October 17, 2020. The transparent reporting of a multivariable prediction model for the individual prognosis or diagnosis (TRIPOD) tool was used to critically evaluate the quality of external validation reports for six models (CU-HCC, GAG-HCC, PAGE-B, mPAGE-B, REACH-B, and mREACH-B). The area under the receiver operator characteristic curve (AUC) values was to estimate the pooled external validating performance based on meta-analysis. Subgroup analysis and metaregression were also performed to explore heterogeneity.

RESULTS

Our meta-analysis included 22 studies published between 2011 and 2020. The compliance of the included studies to TRIPOD ranged from 59% to 90% (median, 74%; interquartile range (IQR), 70%, 79%). The AUC values of the six models ranged from 0.715 to 0.778. In the antiviral therapy subgroups, the AUC values of mREACH-B, GAG-HCC, and mPAGE-B were 0.785, 0.760, and 0.778, respectively. In the cirrhosis subgroup, all models had poor discrimination performance (AUC < 0.7).

CONCLUSIONS

A full report of calibration and handling of missing values would contribute to a greater improvement in the quality of external validation reports for CHB-related HCC risk prediction. It was necessary to develop a specific HCC risk prediction model for patients with cirrhosis.

EASL-ALEH 2015 algorithm for the use of transient elastography in treatment-naive patients with hepatitis B: An independent validation

Various non-invasive methods have been evaluated in chronic hepatitis B, but none of them have been fully validated for the assessment of liver fibrosis. The issued EASL-ALEH 2015 guidelines provide detailed algorithms based on LSM and ALT serum levels. The aim of our study was to validate the diagnostic accuracy of this algorithm and to better understand discrepancies. Four hundred and thirteen patients from 3 centres were retrospectively included. All included patients were classified for fibrosis stage according to results of a liver biopsy. The overall diagnostic value was expressed with AUROCs given with 95% confidence intervals for the diagnostic targets. For each diagnostic target, optimal cut-offs were determined according to the Youden method. For the population of patients with ALT<N (n = 65), the AUROCs of TE were 0.75 (0.62-0.88) and 0.72 (0.56-0.88) for F ≥ 2 and F ≥ 3 diagnostic targets. Taking the EASL cut-offs, the prevalence of significant fibrosis was 8%, 38% and 67% when LSM was <6kPa, between 6 and 9 kPa or >9 kPa, respectively. For patients with ALT>N but ≤5N (n = 306), AUROCs of transient elastography were 0.79 (0.73-0.84) and 0.84 (0.75-0.92) for F ≥ 2 and F ≥ 3 diagnostic targets. The prevalence of significant fibrosis was, respectively, 15%, 52% and 85% when LSM was <6kPa, between 6 and 12 kPa or >12 kPa. Our study independently validates the EASL-ALEH algorithm based on ALT levels and LSM assessed by transient elastography.

Addition of liver stiffness enhances the predictive accuracy of the PAGE-B model for hepatitis B-related hepatocellular carcinoma

BACKGROUND

The modified PAGE-B (mPAGE-B) and PAGE-B models reliably predict the risk of developing chronic hepatitis B (CHB)-related hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC).

AIM(S)

To investigate whether the addition of liver stiffness (LS) value, assessed using transient elastography, enhanced the predictive accuracies of these models METHODS: Patients with CHB who started anti-viral therapy (AVT) between 2007 and 2017 were enrolled. The training (Yonsei University Hospital) and validation (seven Korean referral institutes) cohorts contained 1211 and 973 patients, respectively.

RESULTS

Based on multivariate analysis, older age (hazard ratio [HR] = 1.051, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 1.031-1.071), male sex (HR = 2.265, 95% CI = 1.463-3.506), lower platelet count (HR = 0.993, 95% CI = 0.989-0.997) and greater LS values (HR = 1.015, 95% CI = 1.002-1.028) were independently associated with an increased risk of HCC development (all P < 0.05). Thus, we developed a modified PAGELS -B model (maximum score 34) that included age, male sex, platelet count and LS value. The integrated area under the curve of the modified PAGELS model was greater than those of the PAGE-B and mPAGE-B models (0.760 vs 0.714 and 0.716, respectively) in the derivation dataset. The cumulative HCC incidence was significantly higher in the high-risk (modified PAGE-BLS score ≥ 24) group than in the intermediate-risk (modified PAGELS -B score 12-24) or low-risk (modified PAGELS -B score < 12) group (all P < 0.001). Similar results were observed in the validation cohort.

CONCLUSIONS

The predictive accuracies of the PAGE-B and mPAGE-B models were validated in Korean patients with CHB receiving AVT. However, the modified PAGELS -B model featuring the addition of LS value showed higher predictability than the PAGE-B and mPAGE-B models.

Red Blood Cell Distribution Width-to-Platelet Ratio and Other Laboratory Indices Associated with Severity of Histological Hepatic Fibrosis in Patients with Autoimmune Hepatitis: A Retrospective Study at a Single Center

Background

This retrospective study at a single center aimed to evaluate the role of the red blood cell distribution width (RDW)-to-platelet ratio and other laboratory indices associated with the severity of histological hepatic fibrosis on liver biopsy in patients with autoimmune hepatitis (AIH).

Material/Methods

We retrospectively reviewed records from 2097 adult patients who had liver biopsies. Of these patients, data from 72 with AIH and 164 with drug-induced liver injury (DILI) with complete laboratory information and medical histories were included in the analysis.

Results

We found that compared with patients with DILI, patients with AIH had higher alkaline phosphatase, globulin, and total bile acid levels. Multivariate analyses of risk factors for AIH-associated advanced liver fibrosis in Chinese patients revealed an estimated adjusted odds ratio (AOR) (95% CI) of 1.609 (1.028–2.517) in patients with higher immunoglobulin A (IgA) levels. Patients with higher gamma-glutamyl transpeptidase (GGT)-to-platelet ratio (GPR) values had a significantly higher risk of serious liver fibrosis than patients with lower GPR values. Advanced fibrosis risk was higher in patients with higher RPR values than in patients with lower RPR values [AOR (95% CI): 25.507 (2.934–221.784)]. The result for area under the curve (0.821) analysis for lnRPR levels indicated this variable had high diagnostic performance for predicting advanced AIH-related fibrosis.

Conclusions

The degree of histological liver fibrosis in patients with AIH was significantly associated with an increased red blood cell distribution width-to-platelet ratio, GPR, and increased serum levels of IgA.

Improved detection of hepatocellular carcinoma by dynamic computed tomography in cirrhotic patients with chronic hepatitis B: A multicenter study

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Current guidelines for chronic hepatitis B (CHB) patients are to undergo surveillance for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) with 6-monthly ultrasonography (US). However, sensitivities of US to detect early-stage HCC in cirrhotic patients are suboptimal. We aimed to compare overall survival and detection rates of very-early-stage HCC in two groups: group A, undergoing 6-monthly US versus group B, undergoing 6-monthly US alternating with dynamic computed tomography (CT).

METHODS

This retrospective multicenter study assessed 1235 cirrhotic patients with CHB under entecavir/tenofovir therapy from 2007 to 2016. The primary endpoint was overall survival rates between the two groups. The Cox proportional hazards model and propensity score matching analyses were used to assess the effect of surveillance modalities on overall survival and detection of Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer stage 0 HCC after balancing.

RESULTS

During a median follow-up of 4.5 years, 10-year cumulative HCC incidence rates of 16.3% were significantly higher in group B (n = 576) than 13.7% in group A (n = 659; P < 0.001). However, in patients with HCC, 10-year overall survival rates of 85.1% were significantly higher in group B than 65.6% in group A (P = 0.001 by log-rank test). CT exam alternating with US was independently associated with reduced overall mortality (hazard ratio 0.47, P = 0.02). Cumulative incidence of Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer stage 0 HCC was significantly higher in group B than in group A (hazard ratio 2.82, P < 0.001).

CONCLUSION

In cirrhotic patients with CHB, dynamic CT exam alternating with US led to higher detection rates of very-early-stage HCC and benefit of overall survival than did US exams.

Non-invasive tests for the prediction of primary hepatocellular carcinoma

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is one of the most common malignancies in the world and it is one of the main complications of cirrhosis and portal hypertension. Even in the presence of a well-established follow-up protocol for cirrhotic patients, to date poor data are available on predictive markers for primary HCC occurrence in the setting of compensated advanced chronic liver disease patients (cACLD). The gold standard method to evaluate the prognosis of patients with cACLD, beyond liver fibrosis assessed with histology, is the measurement of the hepatic venous pressure gradient (HVPG). An HVPG ≥10 mmHg has been related to an increased risk of HCC in cACLD patients. However, these methods are burdened by additional costs and risks for patients and are mostly available only in referral centers. In the last decade increasing research has focused on the evaluation of several, simple, non-invasive tests (NITs) as predictors of HCC development. We reviewed the currently available literature on biochemical and ultrasound-based scores developed for the non-invasive evaluation of liver fibrosis and portal hypertension in predicting primary HCC. We found that the most reliable methods to assess HCC risk were the liver stiffness measurement, the aspartate aminotransferase to platelet ratio index score and the fibrosis-4 index. Other promising NITs need further investigations and validation for different liver disease aetiologies.

Fibrosis-4, aspartate transaminase-to-platelet ratio index, and gamma-glutamyl transpeptidase-to-platelet ratio for risk assessment of hepatocellular carcinoma in chronic hepatitis B patients: comparison with liver biopsy

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

It is well known that hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) develops as a consequence of hepatic fibrosis progression. Thus, early identification of advanced liver fibrosis is very important. This study evaluated the prognostic value of FIB-4, the aspartate transaminase to-platelet ratio index (APRI), and the gamma-glutamyl transpeptidase-toplatelet ratio (GPR) for predicting HCC development using histological fibrosis stage as a reference in Asian chronic hepatitis B (CHB) patients.

METHODS

A total of 444 CHB patients who underwent liver biopsy and serological tests for determining noninvasive serum fibrosis markers were enrolled. All patients were followed to monitor HCC development.

RESULTS

The histological fibrosis stage showed best performance in predicting HCC development at 5 (area under the receiver operating characteristic curve [AUROC] = 0.783) and 7 years (AUROC = 0.766), followed by FIB-4 (AUROC = 0.753 at 5 years, 0.698 at 7 years), APRI (AUROC = 0.658 at 5 years, 0.572 at 7 years), and GPR (AUROC = 0.638 at 5 years, 0.603 at 7 years). When we classified risk groups according to the histological fibrosis stage (F4 vs. F0-3) and FIB-4 (FIB-4 ≥ 3.25 vs. FIB-4 < 3.25), patients in the high-risk group were found to have a significantly higher probability of developing HCC than those in the low-risk group (P=0.005 and 0.022, respectively, log-rank test).

CONCLUSION

Our study demonstrated that FIB-4 is useful for the noninvasive prediction of HCC development, while APRI and GPR were less useful.

Aspirin and the risk of hepatocellular carcinoma development in patients with alcoholic cirrhosis

Aspirin therapy has shown protective effects against hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in preclinical studies. However, it is unclear whether aspirin therapy lowers the risk of HCC in patients with alcoholic cirrhosis.A retrospective analysis of data from 949 consecutive patients with alcoholic cirrhosis who abstained from alcoholic drinking was performed. The primary and secondary outcomes were development of HCC and gastrointestinal bleeding events, respectively. Risk was compared between patients with aspirin treatment and patients who were not treated (non-aspirin group) using a time-varying Cox proportional hazards model for total population and propensity score-matching analysis.The aspirin group included 224 patients and the non-aspirin group had 725 patients. During the study period of median duration of 3.1 years, 133 patients (13.6%) developed HCC. In time-varying Cox proportional analyses, the aspirin group showed a significantly lower risk of HCC (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR]: 0.13; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.08-0.21; P < .001). In propensity score-matched pairs, aspirin therapy significantly reduced the risk of HCC (aHR: 0.14; 95% CI: 0.09-0.22; P < .001). In bleeding risk, treatment with aspirin alone was not significantly associated with a higher bleeding risk (aHR: 0.81; 95% CI: 0.45-1.44; P = .46).Aspirin therapy was associated with the lower risk of HCC in patients with alcoholic cirrhosis.

Bleeding Complications and Clinical Safety of Endoscopic Retrograde Cholangiopancreatography in Patients with Liver Cirrhosis

PURPOSE

Patients with liver cirrhosis are considered to be at risk for additional adverse events during endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography (ERCP). The present study was designed as a propensity-score matched analysis to investigate whether cirrhotic liver increases the risk of bleeding complications in patients undergoing ERCP.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

In total, 8554 patients who underwent ERCP from January 2005 to December 2015 were retrospectively analyzed. To adjust for the imbalance between patients with and those without liver cirrhosis, 1:3 propensity score matching was performed according to age and sex.

RESULTS

Liver cirrhosis was identified in 264 (3.1%) patients. After propensity score matching, a total of 768 patients were included in each of the cirrhotic (n=192) and non-cirrhotic groups (n=576). Post-procedure bleeding (10.9% vs. 4.7%, p=0.003) was more frequently observed in patients with liver cirrhosis than in those without. In multivariate analyses, liver cirrhosis was identified as an independent risk factor associated with post-ERCP bleeding (p=0.003) after further adjustment for prothrombin time, antiplatelet/coagulant, duration of ERCP, and stent insertion. Child-Pugh (CP) class C was found to be associated with an increased incidence of post-ERCP bleeding in patients with cirrhosis (odds ratio 6.144, 95% confidence interval 1.320-28.606; p=0.021).

CONCLUSION

The incidence of post-ERCP bleeding in patients with liver cirrhosis was higher than that in patients without liver cirrhosis. In particular, CP class C cirrhosis was significantly associated with post-ERCP bleeding.

Early steep decline of liver stiffness predicts histological reversal of fibrosis in chronic hepatitis B patients treated with entecavir

It is unknown whether dynamic changes of liver stiffness measurement (LSM) can predict the reversibility of fibrosis. Therefore, we evaluated the utility of LSM changes in predicting histological changes of fibrosis in patients with chronic hepatitis B (CHB) on antiviral therapy. In a prospective cohort of CHB patients treated with entecavir, virological measurement and biochemical measurement along with LSM were measured at baseline and every 6 months. Liver biopsies were conducted at baseline and month 18 of treatment. Fibrosis regression was defined by the following two criteria: (a) Ishak score decrease ≥1 stage, (b) Ishak score decrease ≥1 stage or predominantly regressive by post-treatment PIR classification. The dynamic changes of LSM and its predictive value for histological reversibility were evaluated with piecewise linear mixed-effects model and ROC analysis. We found that at month 18 of antiviral therapy, liver fibrosis was reserved in 86 of 212 (40.6%) CHB patients by Ishak reversal criterion. Overall, a decline in LSM was associated with attenuation of Ishak score. The rate of LSM decline in the first 6 months was significantly faster in patients with fibrosis reversal (ΔLSM%Ishak  = -2.19%/month, P = 0.0025; ΔLSM%Ishak/PIR  = -2.56%/month, P = 0.0004). The predictive model based on baseline FIB-4 and Ishak score as well as baseline LSM, PLT, albumin and their changes during the first 6 months could predict histological reversal (AUROCIshak  = 0.74, 95% CI: 0.67-0.80; AUROCIshak/PIR  = 0.81, 95% CI: 0.74-0.87). We conclude that in CHB patients, changes in LSM during the first 6 months of entecavir therapy can predict histological reversibility of liver fibrosis at month 18 of antiviral therapy.

Predictive value of the red blood cell distribution width-to-platelet ratio for hepatic fibrosis

AIMS

The red blood cell distribution width-to-platelet ratio (RPR) has been reported to be an indicator of hepatic fibrosis in patients with chronic hepatitis B (HBV), nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) or chronic hepatitis C (HCV). However, no research has explored the RPR in all patients with hepatic fibrosis. There is a recognized need to establish whether the RPR could assess hepatic fibrosis and reflect the severity of fibrosis, regardless of the patient's etiology.

METHODS

Quantitative data from 1282 patients who underwent liver biopsy between January 2010 and December 2014 at the Second Affiliated Hospital of Zhejiang University School of Medicine were included. The etiologies included HBV or HCV infection, NAFLD, schistosomiasis, granulomatous liver disease, and vascular abnormalities. Five noninvasive models were calculated for all patients based on laboratory parameters. The degrees of fibrosis severity were evaluated based on the Metavir scoring scale.

RESULTS

The RPR demonstrated the best accuracy of predicting hepatic fibrosis among the selected five models (0.75, p < .001) regardless of etiology. In addition, the RPR values increased with advanced hepatic fibrosis progression. Furthermore, combining the RPR with the white blood cell (WBC) count improved the accuracy of grading hepatic fibrosis as reflected by the likelihood ratio (LR + 9.03, LR - 0.49).

CONCLUSION

The RPR is a useful indicator for hepatic fibrosis, regardless of etiology, and can reflect the severity of fibrosis. This study supports further clinical development of the RPR both in a stepwise manner or in combination with inflammatory parameters to improve the accuracy of scoring hepatic fibrosis.

Validation of modified fibrosis-4 index for predicting hepatocellular carcinoma in patients with compensated alcoholic liver cirrhosis

Recently, modified fibrosis-4 index (mFIB-4) and the easy liver fibrosis test (eLIFT) were developed for predicting liver fibrosis in chronic liver disease patients. We evaluated whether the 2 tests can predict hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) risk in alcoholic liver cirrhosis (ALC) patients.A retrospective cohort of 924 ALC patients was assessed for HCC development. Four non-invasive serum biomarkers, mFIB-4, the eLIFT score, fibrosis-4 index (FIB-4), and aspartate aminotransferase to platelet ratio index (APRI) were tested using time-dependent analysis of areas under receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC), DeLong, and log-rank tests.During a median 4.8 years of follow-up, HCC occurred in 83 patients (9.0%). For predicting HCC development at 3 years, the mFIB-4 showed a significantly higher AUROC than APRI and eLIFT scores (0.71 vs 0.61 and 0.56, respectively, all P < .05). The AUROCs of the mFIB-4 for HCC development were not significantly different from those of the FIB-4. According to the mFIB-4, the risk of HCC development was significantly stratified by low index (≤4)/high index (>4) (P < .001 by log-rank test).The mFIB-4 showed better predictability of HCC development than APRI and eLIFT scores, and significantly stratified HCC risk in Asian ALC patients.

Modified PAGE-B score predicts the risk of hepatocellular carcinoma in Asians with chronic hepatitis B on antiviral therapy

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Recently, the PAGE-B score and Toronto HCC risk index (THRI) have been developed to predict the risk of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in Caucasian patients with chronic hepatitis B (CHB). We aimed to validate PAGE-B scores and THRI in Asian patients with CHB and suggested modified PAGE-B scores to improve the predictive performance.

METHODS

From 2007 to 2017, we examined 3,001 Asian patients with CHB receiving entecavir/tenofovir therapy. We assessed the performances of PAGE-B, THRI, CU-HCC, GAG-HCC, and REACH-B for HCC development. A modified PAGE-B score (mPAGE-B) was developed (derivation set, n = 2,001) based on multivariable Cox models. Bootstrap for internal validation and external validation (validation set, n = 1,000) were performed.

RESULTS

The five-year cumulative HCC incidence rates were 6.6% and 7.2% in the derivation and validation datasets after entecavir/tenofovir onset. In the derivation dataset, age, gender, serum albumin levels, and platelet counts were independently associated with HCC. The mPAGE-B score was developed based on age, gender, platelet counts, and serum albumin levels (time-dependent area under receiver operating characteristic curves [AUROC] = 0.82). In the validation set, the PAGE-B and THRI showed similar AUROCs to CU-HCC, GAG-HCC, and REACH-B at five years (0.72 and 0.73 vs. 0.70, 0.71, and 0.61 respectively; all p >0.05 except REACH-B), whereas the AUROC of mPAGE-B at five years was 0.82, significantly higher than the five other models (all p <0.01). HCC incidence rates after initiation of entecavir/tenofovir therapy in patients with CHB were significantly decreased in all risk groups in long-term follow-up periods.

CONCLUSION

Although PAGE-B and THRI are applicable in Asian patients with CHB receiving entecavir/tenofovir therapy, mPAGE-B scores including additional serum albumin levels showed better predictive performance than the PAGE-B score.

LAY SUMMARY

PAGE-B scores and Toronto HCC risk index were developed to predict the risk of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in Caucasian patients with CHB under potent antiviral therapy. This study validated these two scores in Asian patients with CHB and suggested that modified PAGE-B scores could improve the predictive performance. A modified PAGE-B score, which is based only on a patient's age, gender, baseline platelet counts, and serum albumin levels at treatment initiation, represents a reliable and easily available risk score to predict HCC development during the first five years of antiviral treatment in Asian patients with CHB. With a scoring range from 0 to 21 points, a modified PAGE-B score differentiates the HCC risk. A modified PAGE-B score significantly differentiates the five-year HCC risk: low ≤8 points and high ≥13 points.

Intensity of surveillance for hepatocellular carcinoma determines survival in patients at risk in a hepatitis B-endemic area

BACKGROUND

Data are insufficient regarding the survival benefit of surveillance for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC).

AIM

To investigate the effectiveness of HCC surveillance in a hepatitis B-endemic population.

METHODS

This retrospective cohort study included 1402 consecutive patients who were newly diagnosed with HCC between 2005 and 2012 at a single tertiary hospital in Korea. The primary endpoint was overall survival. Lead-time and length-time biases were adjusted (sojourn time = 140 days) and sensitivity analyses were performed.

RESULTS

The most common aetiology was hepatitis B (80.4%). Cirrhosis was present in 78.2%. HCC was diagnosed during regular surveillance (defined as mean interval of ultrasonography <8 months, n = 834), irregular surveillance (n = 104) or nonsurveillance (n = 464). Patients in the regular surveillance group were diagnosed at earlier stages ([very] early stage, 64.4%) than the irregular surveillance (40.4%) or nonsurveillance (26.9%) groups and had more chance for curative treatments (52.4%) than the irregular surveillance (39.4%) or nonsurveillance (23.3%) groups (all P < 0.001). Mortality risk was significantly lower in the regular surveillance group (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR], 0.69; 95% [CI], 0.57-0.83) but not in the irregular surveillance group (aHR, 0.94; 95% CI, 0.69-1.28) compared with the nonsurveillance group after adjusting for confounding factors and lead-time. When the subjects were restricted to cirrhotic patients or Child-Pugh class A/B patients, similar results were obtained for mortality risk reduction between groups.

CONCLUSIONS

HCC surveillance was associated with longer survival owing to earlier diagnosis and curative treatment. Survival advantage was significant with regular surveillance but not with irregular surveillance.

Delayed viral suppression during antiviral therapy is associated with increased hepatocellular carcinoma rates in HBeAg-positive high viral load chronic hepatitis B

The treatment option in chronic hepatitis B (CHB) patients with persistent low-level viremia despite entecavir or tenofovir monotherapy is unclear. This study investigated the development of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) or cirrhosis in hepatitis B e antigen (HBeAg)-positive high viral load CHB patients, according to the time needed to achieve complete viral suppression. A total of 325 HBeAg-positive CHB patients with high viral load who were recently started on antiviral therapy with entecavir or tenofovir were included. The enrolled patients were divided into 2 groups with 4 separate criteria based on the time needed to achieve complete viral suppression: within 1, 2, 3 or 4 years of therapy initiation. The outcomes were development of HCC and cirrhosis. The cumulative incidence of HCC was significantly higher in patients failing complete viral suppression within 1 year (hazard ratio (HR), 4.54; 95% confidence interval (CI), 1.03-19.93; P = .045) or 2 years (HR, 3.38; 95% CI, 1.24-9.23; P = .018), than patients who achieved complete viral suppression within 1 or 2 years, respectively. Cumulative incidence of cirrhosis was also significantly higher in patients failing suppression within 1 year (HR, 1.95; 95% CI, 1.04-3.66; P = .037) or 2 years (HR, 2.44; 95% CI, 1.41-4.22; P = .001). When the time for achieving viral suppression exceeded 2 years, the cumulative incidence of HCC or cirrhosis was not different regardless of viral suppression. Complete hepatitis B virus suppression within 2 years of antiviral therapy initiation is associated with risk reduction in HCC or cirrhosis development.

Effect of Direct-Acting Agents on Fibrosis Regression in Chronic Hepatitis C Virus Patients' Treatment Compared with Interferon-Containing Regimens

Hepatitis C virus (HCV) treatment is aiming to cure and prevent the development, progression of fibrosis, and related complications. Interferon-based therapy was claimed to reduce or even reverse fibrosis. Although direct-acting agents have a better cure rate, we still lack the knowledge of their effect on fibrosis regression. We aim to assess fibrosis regression in direct-acting agents compared with interferon-based treatment regimens in the treatment of chronic HCV patients. The 204 chronic HCV patients were divided into 3 groups; group 1(N = 68) received Peg-IFN and ribavirin, group 2 (N = 69) received sofosbuvir and ribavirin, and group 3 (N = 67) received Peg-IFN, ribavirin, and sofosbuvir. Fibrosis assessment was performed by transient elastography (TE), APRI and FIB 4, in the pretreatment and at least 3 months after end of treatment. Of these, 66.2% of the patients did not show significant fibrosis changes, 6.4% fibrosis progressed, and 27.5% of fibrosis regressed (P < 0.0001) by TE. Similar results were detected in the different treatment regimens with no statistically significant difference between the regimens. Fibrosis regression was detected in 43.3% of cirrhotic patients who achieved sustained virological response (SVR) and only in 27.4% with significant fibrosis. Significant improvement of posttreatment aspartate transaminase, alanine transaminase, and alpha fetoprotein as well as APRI and FIB 4 scores were detected. Fibrosis regression (TE, APRI and FIB 4) was detected with direct-acting agents and interferon-based therapy. Treated patients with significant fibrosis will benefit of fibrosis regression irrespective to their treatment response, whereas fibrosis regression was associated with SVR in cirrhotic patients.

Clinical Application of Vibration Controlled Transient Elastography in Patients with Chronic Hepatitis B

Evaluation of the extent and progression of liver fibrosis and cirrhosis is of critical importance in the management and prognosis of patients with chronic hepatitis B. Due to the limitation of liver biopsy, non-invasive methods, especially liver stiffness measurement (LSM) by vibration controlled transient elastography, have been developed and widely applied for liver fibrosis assessment. LSM aims to reduce, but not to substitute, the need for liver biopsy for fibrosis/cirrhosis diagnosis. While LSM may have potential utility in monitoring treatment response, its applications in prediction of liver complications in terms of portal hypertension and esophageal varices, as well as disease prognosis, have been gradually validated. Here, we review the latest clinical applications of LSM in patients with chronic hepatitis B.

Nucleos(t)ide Analogue Treatment for Patients With Hepatitis B Virus (HBV) e Antigen-Positive Chronic HBV Genotype C Infection: A Nationwide, Multicenter, Retrospective Study

Background

Antiviral treatment for hepatitis B virus (HBV) e antigen (HBeAg)-positive chronic HBV infection is still controversial. We assessed whether antiviral treatment reduces the risk of liver disease progression in these patients.

Methods

This study included consecutive patients in 8 large-volume hospitals in Korea who tested positive for HBeAg and had an HBV DNA level of >20000 IU/mL, an alanine aminotransferase (ALT) level of <40 IU/L, and no evidence of cirrhosis. The primary end point was the development of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), and the secondary end point was the development of cirrhosis.

Results

A total of 484 patients were included: 87 were in the antiviral treatment group, and 397 were in the control group. Baseline liver function was significantly more favorable for the control group. After matching for propensity score to overcome those differences, the antiviral treatment group had a significantly reduced risk for HCC (hazard ratio [HR], 0.234; log-rank P = .046) and cirrhosis (HR, 0.235; log-rank P = .015), compared with the control group. After balancing the baseline characteristics by using inverse probability weighting, antiviral therapy significantly decreased the risk of HCC (HR, 0.189; log-rank P = .004) and cirrhosis (HR, 0.347; log-rank P = .036).

Conclusion

Antiviral therapy for patients with HBeAg-positive chronic HBV infection and have a high HBV load reduces the risk of HCC, even if the ALT level is below the upper limit of normal.

Impact of Liver Fibrosis and Fatty Liver on T1rho Measurements: A Prospective Study

OBJECTIVE

To investigate the liver T1rho values for detecting fibrosis, and the potential impact of fatty liver on T1rho measurements.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

This study included 18 healthy subjects, 18 patients with fatty liver, and 18 patients with liver fibrosis, who underwent T1rho MRI and mDIXON collections. Liver T1rho, proton density fat fraction (PDFF) and T2* values were measured and compared among the three groups. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis was performed to evaluate the T1rho values for detecting liver fibrosis. Liver T1rho values were correlated with PDFF, T2* values and clinical data.

RESULTS

Liver T1rho and PDFF values were significantly different (p < 0.001), whereas the T2* (p = 0.766) values were similar, among the three groups. Mean liver T1rho values in the fibrotic group (52.6 ± 6.8 ms) were significantly higher than those of healthy subjects (44.9 ± 2.8 ms, p < 0.001) and fatty liver group (45.0 ± 3.5 ms, p < 0.001). Mean liver T1rho values were similar between healthy subjects and fatty liver group (p = 0.999). PDFF values in the fatty liver group (16.07 ± 10.59%) were significantly higher than those of healthy subjects (1.43 ± 1.36%, p < 0.001) and fibrosis group (1.07 ± 1.06%, p < 0.001). PDFF values were similar in healthy subjects and fibrosis group (p = 0.984). Mean T1rho values performed well to detect fibrosis at a threshold of 49.5 ms (area under the ROC curve, 0.855), had a moderate correlation with liver stiffness (r = 0.671, p = 0.012), and no correlation with PDFF, T2* values, subject age, or body mass index (p > 0.05).

CONCLUSION

T1rho MRI is useful for noninvasive detection of liver fibrosis, and may not be affected with the presence of fatty liver.

Relationship between 25-Hydroxyvitamin D Levels and Liver Fibrosis as Assessed by Transient Elastography in Patients with Chronic Liver Disease

Background/Aims

Deficiencies of 25-hydroxyvitamin D (25(OH)D) are prevalent in patients with chronic liver disease (CLD). Liver fibrosis is the main determinant of CLD prognosis. The present study was performed to evaluate the correlation between 25(OH)D levels and liver fibrosis as assessed by transient elastography (TE) in patients with compensated CLD.

Methods

Serum 25(OH)D levels and liver stiffness were determined in a total of 207 patients who were subjected to the following exclusion criteria: patients with decompensated CLD; patients who had malignancies; patients who were taking medications; and patients who were pregnant.

Results

The most common etiology was chronic hepatitis B (53.1%). Advanced liver fibrosis (defined by TE [≥9.5 kPa]) was present in 75 patients (36.2%). There was a significant correlation between 25(OH)D deficiency and liver stiffness. Based on the multivariate analysis, the following factors were independently associated with advanced liver fibrosis: 25(OH)D deficiency (odds ratio [OR], 3.46; p=0.004), diabetes mellitus (OR, 3.04; p=0.041), and fibrosis-4 index (OR, 2.01; p<0.001).

Conclusions

Patients with compensated CLD exhibit a close correlation between vitamin D level and liver stiffness as assessed by TE. Vitamin D deficiency was independently associated with advanced liver fibrosis.

A novel predictive model using routinely clinical parameters to predict liver fibrosis in patients with chronic hepatitis B

Objectives

Noninvasive models have been established for the assessment of liver fibrosis in patients with chronic hepatitis B(CHB). However, the predictive performance of these established models remains inconclusive. We aimed to develop a novel predictive model for liver fibrosis in CHB based on routinely clinical parameters.

Results

Platelets(PLT), the standard deviation of red blood cell distribution width(RDW-SD), alkaline phosphatase(ALP) and globulin were independent predictors of significant fibrosis by multivariable analysis. Based on these parameters, a new predictive model namely APRG(ALP/PLT/RDW-SD/globulin) was proposed. The areas under the receiver-operating characteristic curves(AUROCs) of APRG index in predicting significant fibrosis(≥F2), advanced fibrosis(≥F3) and liver cirrhosis(≥F4) were 0.757(95%CI 0.699 to 0.816), 0.763(95%CI 0.711 to 0.816) and 0.781(95%CI 0.728 to 0.835), respectively. The AUROCs of the APRG were significantly higher than that of aspartate transaminase(AST) to PLT ratio index(APRI), RDW to PLT ratio(RPR) and AST to alanine aminotransferase ratio(AAR) to predict significant fibrosis, advanced fibrosis and cirrhosis. The AUROCs of the APRG were also significantly higher than fibrosis-4 score (FIB-4) (0.723, 95%CI 0.663 to 0.783) for cirrhosis(P=0.034) and better than gamma-glutamyl transpeptidase(GGT) to PLT ratio(GPR) (0.657, 95%CI 0.590 to 0.724) for significant fibrosis(P=0.001).

Materials and Methods

308 CHB patients who underwent liver biopsy were enrolled. The diagnostic values of the APRG for liver fibrosis with other noninvasive models were compared.

Conclusions

The APRG has a better diagnostic value than conventionally predictive models to assess liver fibrosis in CHB patients. The application of APRG may reduce the need for liver biopsy in CHB patients in clinical practice.

A novel noninvasive algorithm for the assessment of liver fibrosis in patients with chronic hepatitis B virus infection

Several noninvasive blood biomarkers have been established for the assessment of liver fibrosis in patients with chronic hepatitis B virus (HBV) infection, but their clinical performance remains inconclusive. Here, we compared the diagnostic performance of these biomarkers and developed a novel algorithm for assessing liver fibrosis. Six hundred and sixteen chronically HBV-infected and treatment-naïve patients who underwent liver biopsy were enrolled and randomly divided into training (N=410) and internal validation cohorts (N=206). One hundred and fifty-nine patients from another centre were recruited as an external validation cohort. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves were used to analyse the performance of the gamma-glutamyltransferase-to-platelet ratio (GPR), red cell volume distribution width-to-platelet ratio (RPR), FIB-4 index, aspartate aminotransferase-to-platelet ratio index (APRI) and HBV DNA level against liver histology, and a novel algorithm was developed using the recursive partitioning and regression tree (RPART) method. In the training cohort, the area under the ROC curve of FIB-4 was significantly higher than that of APRI (P=.038) but was comparable to those of GPR, RPR and HBV DNA; however, the performance of the biomarkers was similar among the validation cohort. The established RPR-HBV DNA algorithm performed better in the training cohort than any individual blood biomarker, and the corresponding sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value and negative predictive value were 63%, 90%, 72% and 80%, respectively. In the internal and external validation cohorts, the performance of the algorithm in assessing liver fibrosis was also superior to that of other biomarkers. These results suggest that the established RPR-HBV DNA algorithm might improve the diagnostic accuracy of liver fibrosis in treatment-naïve patients with chronic HBV infection, although additional studies are warranted to confirm these findings.

Gamma-glutamyl transpeptidase-to-platelet ratio is an independent predictor of hepatitis B virus-related liver cancer

BACKGROUND AND AIM

Gamma-glutamyl transpeptidase-to-platelet ratio (GPR) can evaluate the degree of liver fibrosis. We investigated whether GPR can predict the development of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in chronic hepatitis B (CHB) patients.

METHODS

We retrospectively evaluated 1109 CHB patients that were enrolled between 2006 and 2012, and all patients had available data for the assessment of GPR at enrollment. Three risk groups were defined according to tertile stratification: GPR < 0.05, low-risk (n = 370 [33.4%]); GPR 0.05-0.24, intermediate-risk (n = 370 [33.4%]); and GPR > 0.24, high-risk (n = 369 [33.2%]). The predictive accuracy of GPR, fibrosis-4 (FIB-4), and aspartate transaminase-to-platelet ratio index (APRI) in predicting HCC development was tested.

RESULTS

The median age of the study population (746 men and 363 women) was 50 years. During the follow-up period (median, 32 months; interquartile range, 19-57 months), 69 (6.2%) patients developed HCC. Together with age, male gender, diabetes mellitus, antiviral therapy, serum albumin, and alpha-fetoprotein, the relative risk of HCC development significantly increased from low-risk to high-risk GPR groups (hazard ratio [HR], up to 29.5; adjusted HR, up to 10.6; all P < 0.05). In addition, FIB-4 was calculated to be a significantly high relative risk of HCC development (HR, up to 20.1; adjusted HR, up to 7.3; all P < 0.05), whereas APRI was not (P = 0.168). The cumulative incidence of HCC development was significantly different among three risk groups (P < 0.001, log-rank test).

CONCLUSIONS

This study suggests that GPR can be used as a noninvasive marker to assess the risk of HCC development in CHB patients.

Subcirrhotic liver stiffness by FibroScan correlates with lower risk of hepatocellular carcinoma in patients with HBV-related cirrhosis

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

The risk of developing hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) varies, even in the context of cirrhosis. We investigated the relationship between liver stiffness (LS) in subcirrhotic range, assessed via transient elastography (TE), and risk of HCC development in patients with chronic hepatitis B (CHB)-related cirrhosis.

METHODS

Data on 540 patients presenting with clinically evident CHB-related cirrhosis between April 2006 and December 2014 were reviewed retrospectively. Subcirrhotic range of LS was defined by TE values ≤13 kPa.

RESULTS

Of the study population, 214 (39.6%) had LS values in the subcirrhotic range. During follow-up (median 54.1 months), 81 patients (15.0%) developed HCC. In conjunction with age, male gender, and diabetes mellitus, subcirrhotic LS value (hazard ratio = 0.462) was an independent predictor of HCC development on multivariate analysis (all p < 0.05). Cumulative HCC incidence was significantly lower for patients in subcirrhotic (versus cirrhotic) LS range (log-rank test, p < 0.05). In our cohort, the modified REACH-B score performed better than other prediction models, namely REACH-B, CU-HCC, and LSM-HCC scoring systems (area under receiver operating characteristic curve: 0.717 versus 0.669, 0.578, and 0.624, respectively, for 7-year HCC risk).

CONCLUSIONS

A significant association between subcirrhotic range of LS value and lower risk of HCC development was identified in patients with clinically evident CHB-related cirrhosis. Thus, different TE-based HCC surveillance strategies may be required even in patients with identical liver cirrhosis disease category.

Current role of transient elastography in the management of chronic hepatitis B patients

Liver fibrosis is an important prognostic factor for chronic hepatitis B (CHB), and accurate evaluation of the stage of liver fibrosis is crucial in establishing management strategies. While liver biopsy is still considered the gold standard for staging liver fibrosis or cirrhosis, transient elastography (TE), a noninvasive means of assessing liver fibrosis, has come to play an increasing role in this process. After extensive validation, TE is now regarded as a reliable surrogate maker for grading the severity of liver fibrosis in CHB patients. It can detect the extent of fibrosis in a patient and can also be used to evaluate longitudinal changes in liver fibrosis over time with or without interventional management, such as antiviral therapy. However, several confounders hinder the effective assessment of liver fibrosis using TE, such as extensive liver necroinflammation, hepatic congestion, and cholestasis. TE has limited use in obese patients or patients with ascites. Although TE has several limitations, due to its accessibility and safety, it is a valuable tool for the initial evaluation and follow-up in patients with CHB.

Comparison of clinical characteristics and outcomes of spontaneous bacterial peritonitis and culture negative neutrocytic ascites

OBJECTIVE

Ascitic fluid infections (AFI) in cirrhotic patients can be classified into two groups: spontaneous bacterial peritonitis (SBP) and culture-negative neutrocytic ascites (CNNA). The aim of this study was to compare the clinical characteristics and outcomes of the two groups of patients with AFI.

METHODS

We retrospectively reviewed the medical records of cirrhotic patients with AFI. We evaluated demographic data, clinical presentations of AFI, laboratory findings, liver function, and mortality rates.

RESULTS

Between January 2005 and December 2014, 533 patients with AFI were evaluated; 259 (48.6%) had SBP and 274 (51.4%) CNNA. Ascites neutrophil count (4410/mm³ versus 1046/mm³, p < .001) and the blood culture positive rate (38.1% versus 20.1%, p < .001) were higher in the SBP group, which also had a higher MELD score (24.29 versus 22.05, p = .004). Seven-day mortality was higher in the SBP group (9.4% versus 4.5%, p = .027) but there was no significant difference in 30-day (22.1% versus 17.5%) or 90-day mortality rate (36.1% versus 36.4%).

CONCLUSIONS

Patients in the SBP group had a higher MELD score, ascites neutrophil count, and positive blood culture rate. Although seven-day mortality rate was higher in the SBP group, the 30-day and 90-day mortality rates were similar in the two groups.

Oral Medications Enhance Adherence to Surveillance for Hepatocellular Carcinoma and Survival in Chronic Hepatitis B Patients

Background/Aims

Regular surveillance for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in chronic hepatitis B (CHB) patients is essential to detect HCC earlier and to improve prognosis. This study investigated whether prescription of oral medication contributes to adherence to surveillance, early tumor detection, and overall survival (OS).

Methods

A total of 401 CHB patients who were newly diagnosed with HCC were included: 134 patients received no medication (group 1), 151 received hepatoprotective agents such as ursodeoxycholic acid and silymarin (group 2), and 116 received antiviral agents (group 3) at two years before HCC diagnosis. The primary endpoint was OS, and secondary endpoints were compliance to regular surveillance and HCC status at diagnosis.

Results

Compared to group 1, both group 2 and 3 had higher rates of good compliance to regular surveillance (defined as participation in >80% of imaging intervals being ≤6 months) (58.2%, 90.1%, and 97.4%, respectively; P<0.001), more HCC diagnosed at a very early stage (20.9%, 32.5%, and 36.2%; P = 0.019) and smaller tumor size (2.8±2.4cm, 1.9±1.1cm, and 1.8±0.9cm; P<0.001). Finally, compared to group 1, both group 2 (hazard ratio, 0.63; 95% confidence interval, 0.41–0.97; P = 0.035) and group 3 (hazard ratio, 0.40; 95% confidence interval, 0.22–0.71; P = 0.002) had significantly longer OS. In mediation analysis, prolonged OS is resulted considerably from indirect effect mediated by shorter imaging interval (>100% in group 2 and 14.5% in group 3) rather than direct effect of medication itself.

Conclusions

Prescription of oral medication improves compliance to surveillance and enables early detection of HCC, which is associated with enhanced survival.

Subclinical Ascites Does Not Affect the Long-term Prognosis in Hepatitis B Virus-related Cirrhosis Patients Receiving Antivirals

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

This study evaluated the clinical significance of subclinical ascites in patients with hepatitis B virus-related cirrhosis treated with lamivudine (LMV) or entecavir (ETV).

METHODS

This multicenter retrospective study involved 8 hospitals. Patients were classified by degree of ascites: (1) no ascites (no ascites on imaging, no diuretics), (2) subclinical ascites (small amount of ascites on imaging, no diuretics), and (3) clinical ascites (moderate to severe ascites or diuretics).

RESULTS

Out of 501 patients, 336 (68%), 51 (10%), and 114 (23%) patients were classified as no-ascites, subclinical ascites, and clinical ascites, respectively. In all, 100 (20%) and 401 (80%) were treated with LMV and ETV, respectively. Over 58±24 months of follow-up, 105 patients (21%) developed hepatocellular carcinoma. The cumulative incidence of hepatocellular carcinoma did not differ between LMV-treated and ETV-treated patients (P=0.61); it was higher in the clinical-ascites group than the no-ascites (P=0.054) and subclinical-ascites (P=0.03) groups, but it was comparable between the latter 2 (P=0.225). Forty-five patients (9%) died during follow-up. Survival was significantly shorter in the clinical-ascites group than the other 2 (both P<0.005), but it was comparable between no-ascites and subclinical-ascites groups (P=0.444). Multivariate analysis showed that mortality was significantly associated with prothrombin time [hazard ratio (HR)=2.42; 95% confidence interval (CI), 1.59-3.70], serum albumin (HR=0.54; 95% CI, 0.29-0.99), and presence of clinical ascites (HR=3.58; 95% CI, 1.54-8.30).

CONCLUSIONS

Subclinical ascites did not affect prognosis in patients with hepatitis B virus-related cirrhosis receiving antiviral treatment.

Transient elastography (FibroScan(®)) with controlled attenuation parameter in the assessment of liver steatosis and fibrosis in patients with nonalcoholic fatty liver disease - Where do we stand?

Non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is the most common cause of chronic liver disease worldwide. Currently, the routinely used modalities are unable to adequately determine the levels of steatosis and fibrosis (laboratory tests and ultrasonography) or cannot be applied as a screening procedure (liver biopsy). Among the non-invasive tests, transient elastography (FibroScan(®), TE) with controlled attenuation parameter (CAP) has demonstrated good accuracy in quantifying the levels of liver steatosis and fibrosis in patients with NAFLD, the factors associated with the diagnosis and NAFLD progression. The method is fast, reliable and reproducible, with good intra- and interobserver levels of agreement, thus allowing for population-wide screening and disease follow-up. The initial inability of the procedure to accurately determine fibrosis and steatosis in obese patients has been addressed with the development of the obese-specific XL probe. TE with CAP is a viable alternative to ultrasonography, both as an initial assessment and during follow-up of patients with NAFLD. Its ability to exclude patients with advanced fibrosis may be used to identify low-risk NAFLD patients in whom liver biopsy is not needed, therefore reducing the risk of complications and the financial costs.

The gamma-glutamyl transpeptidase to platelet ratio (GPR) predicts significant liver fibrosis and cirrhosis in patients with chronic HBV infection in West Africa

BACKGROUND

Simple and inexpensive non-invasive fibrosis tests are highly needed but have been poorly studied in sub-Saharan Africa.

METHODS

Using liver histology as a gold standard, we developed a novel index using routine laboratory tests to predict significant fibrosis in patients with chronic HBV infection in The Gambia, West Africa. We prospectively assessed the diagnostic accuracy of the novel index, Fibroscan, aspartate transaminase-to-platelet ratio index (APRI), and Fib-4 in Gambian patients with CHB (training set) and also in French and Senegalese CHB cohorts (validation sets).

RESULTS

Of 135 consecutive treatment-naïve patients with CHB who had liver biopsy, 39% had significant fibrosis (Metavir fibrosis stage ≥F2) and 15% had cirrhosis (F4). In multivariable analysis, gamma-glutamyl transpeptidase (GGT) and platelet count were independent predictors of significant fibrosis. Consequently, GGT-to-platelet ratio (GPR) was developed. In The Gambia, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) of the GPR was significantly higher than that of APRI and Fib-4 to predict ≥F2, ≥F3 and F4. In Senegal, the AUROC of GPR was significantly better than Fib-4 and APRI for ≥F2 (0.73, 95% CI 0.59 to 0.86) and better than Fib-4 and Fibroscan for ≥F3 (0.93, 0.87 to 0.99). In France, the AUROC of GPR to diagnose ≥F2 (0.72, 95% CI 0.59 to 0.85) and F4 (0.87, 0.76 to 0.98) was equivalent to that of APRI and Fib-4.

CONCLUSIONS

The GPR is a more accurate routine laboratory marker than APRI and Fib-4 to stage liver fibrosis in patients with CHB in West Africa. The GPR represents a simple and inexpensive alternative to liver biopsy and Fibroscan in sub-Saharan Africa.

Transient elastography in clinical detection of liver cirrhosis: A systematic review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND/AIMS

Transient elastography is a noninvasive method for measuring liver fibrosis. This meta-analysis assesses the diagnostic performance of transient elastography of detecting liver cirrhosis in patients with liver disease.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

We searched MEDLINE, Cochrane, EMBASE databases until Jan 31, 2015, using the following search terms: elastography and liver cirrhosis. Included studies assessed patients with a diagnosis of liver cirrhosis, with an index test of transient elastography, and with the reference standard being a histopathological exam by liver biopsy. Sensitivity analysis and assessment of risk of bias and publication bias were performed.

RESULTS

Fifty-seven studies were included in the meta-analysis with a total of 10,504 patients. The pooled estimate for the sensitivity of transient elastography for detecting liver fibrosis was 81% and the specificity was 88%. The imputed diagnostic odds ratio (DOR) was 26.08 and the area under the receiver-operating characteristic (AUROC) curve was 0.931.

CONCLUSION

Our findings indicate that transient elastography shows good sensitivity, specificity and a high accuracy for detecting liver cirrhosis. Transient elastography can be used as an additional method for the clinical diagnosis of liver fibrosis and cirrhosis.

Estimation of direct medical cost related to the management of chronic hepatitis C and its complications in South Korea

BACKGROUND

This study aimed to estimate the direct medical costs of managing chronic hepatitis C (CHC) and its complications based on health-care resources in South Korea.

METHODS

The study design was multicenter, retrospective, non-interventional, and observational. Between September 2013 and April 2014, health-care resource data from patients chronically infected with hepatitis C virus, regardless of genotype, were collected from 8 institutions, including data related to outpatient management, emergency care, and hospitalization. The observation period was between January 2011 and December 2012. The disease state was classified as CHC, compensated cirrhosis (CC), decompensated cirrhosis (DC), or hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC).

RESULTS

A total of 445 patients were recruited and mean age was 60.1 ± 12.3 years. Among 155 patients with reported outcomes of antiviral therapy, 107 (69%) had sustained virologic response (SVR). The rate of patients who did not receive antiviral therapy was 52.8% (n = 235). The distribution of disease state was CHC in 307 patients (69.0%), CC in 75 (16.9%), HCC in 45 (10.1%), and DC in 18 (4.0%). All direct medical costs, whether reimbursed or nonreimbursed by the National Health Insurance System, were included. After excluding patients whose observational period was <1 month for each disease status, the mean costs per month increased as disease state progressed (CHC: 77 ± 80 USD; CC: 98 ± 94 USD; DC: 512 ± 1115 USD; HCC: 504 ± 717 USD). The mean total costs per person were 3590 ± 8783 USD, and approximately 72% of patients were reimbursed. When 44 patients with an observation period <1 month were excluded, the mean medical costs per month for patients with CHC who achieved SVR (n = 69) were significantly lower than for those (n = 215) who did not (42 ± 16 vs 79 ± 83 USD, P < 0.001). The cost also tended to be lower for patients with CC with SVR (n = 8) than for those without SVR (n = 70; 48 ± 20 vs 95 ± 96 USD, P = 0.177). The cost of antiviral therapy (pegylated interferon and ribavirin) corresponded to 19.0% of total medical costs and 53.7% of prescription/pharmacy.

CONCLUSION

The direct medical costs increased as disease state progressed from CHC to cirrhosis or HCC. The achievement of SVR by antiviral therapy would decrease the costs.

Non-invasive Markers of Liver Fibrosis: Adjuncts or Alternatives to Liver Biopsy?

Liver fibrosis reflects sustained liver injury often from multiple, simultaneous factors. Whilst the presence of mild fibrosis on biopsy can be a reassuring finding, the identification of advanced fibrosis is critical to the management of patients with chronic liver disease. This necessity has lead to a reliance on liver biopsy which itself is an imperfect test and poorly accepted by patients. The development of robust tools to non-invasively assess liver fibrosis has dramatically enhanced clinical decision making in patients with chronic liver disease, allowing a rapid and informed judgment of disease stage and prognosis. Should a liver biopsy be required, the appropriateness is clearer and the diagnostic yield is greater with the use of these adjuncts. While a number of non-invasive liver fibrosis markers are now used in routine practice, a steady stream of innovative approaches exists. With improvement in the reliability, reproducibility and feasibility of these markers, their potential role in disease management is increasing. Moreover, their adoption into clinical trials as outcome measures reflects their validity and dynamic nature. This review will summarize and appraise the current and novel non-invasive markers of liver fibrosis, both blood and imaging based, and look at their prospective application in everyday clinical care.

Transient Elastography is Superior to FIB-4 in Assessing the Risk of Hepatocellular Carcinoma in Patients With Chronic Hepatitis B

Liver stiffness (LS), assessed using transient elastography (TE), and (FIB-4) can both estimate the risk of developing hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). We compared prognostic performances of LS and FIB-4 to predict HCC development in patients with chronic hepatitis B (CHB).Data from 1308 patients with CHB, who underwent TE, were retrospectively analyzed. FIB-4 was calculated for all patients. The cumulative rate of HCC development was assessed using Kaplan-Meier curves. The predictive performances of LS and FIB-4 were evaluated using time-dependent receiver-operating characteristic (ROC) curves.The mean age (883 men) was 50 years. During follow-up (median 6.1 years), 119 patients developed HCC. The areas under the ROC curves (AUROCs) predicting HCC risk at 3, 5, and 7 years were consistently greater for LS than for FIB-4 (0.791-0.807 vs 0.691-0.725; all P < 0.05). Similarly, when the respective AUROCs for LS and FIB-4 at every time point during the 7-year follow-up were plotted, LS also showed consistently better performance than FIB-4 after 1 year of enrollment. The combined use of LS and FIB-4 significantly enhanced the prognostic performance compared with the use of FIB-4 alone (P < 0.05), but the performance of the combined scores was statistically similar to that of LS alone (P > 0.05).LS showed significantly better performance than FIB-4 in assessing the risk of HCC development, and the combined use of LS and FIB-4 did not provide additional benefit compared with the use of LS alone. Hence, LS assessed using TE might be helpful for optimizing HCC surveillance strategies.