Long-term prognosis of acute pancreatitis in Japan

Long-Term Mortality in Acute Pancreatitis-A Population-Based Cohort Study

BACKGROUND

Acute pancreatitis is a potentially life-threatening inflammation of the pancreas, with a rising incidence in most countries. Recent studies have suggested that acute pancreatitis is associated with increased long-term mortality. However, the extent to which this association is influenced by the development of chronic pancreatitis or comorbid conditions, such as malignant disease, remains unclear.

OBJECTIVE

To assess the association between acute pancreatitis and long-term all-cause mortality.

METHODS

The Swedish Pancreatitis Cohort (SwePan) was used, including all individuals with a first-time episode of acute pancreatitis in Sweden between 1990 and 2019 who survived the index hospital stay and 1:10 matched pancreatitis-free individuals from the general population. Multivariable conditional Cox proportional hazard models were used to compare mortality among individuals with acute pancreatitis compared with the matched pancreatitis-free control group.

RESULTS

In total, 89,465 individuals discharged from hospital with acute pancreatitis and 890,837 matched pancreatitis-free individuals were followed up for 10,155,039 person-years (mean 10.0 years). There were 33,764 (37.7%) deaths among individuals with acute pancreatitis and 265,403 (29.8%) deaths among controls. In multivariable adjusted models, mortality was increased in individuals with acute pancreatitis throughout the follow-up period, particularly among those with severe and non-gallstone-related acute pancreatitis as compared to the matched controls. These results remained statistically significant after censoring the follow-up time for recurrent acute pancreatitis or a diagnosis of chronic pancreatitis.

CONCLUSIONS

Acute pancreatitis was associated with increased long-term mortality, even after adjusting for comorbidities, including cancer, and censoring for recurrent acute pancreatitis or chronic pancreatitis. Future research should assess causes of death and focus on understanding long-term morbidity to facilitate prevention through tailored follow-up strategies.

Endoscopic Management of Recurrent Acute Pancreatitis

This review aims to summarize the role of endoscopic therapy in the management and outcomes of recurrent acute pancreatitis (RAP). RAP is a clinical entity characterized by repeated episodes of acute pancreatitis in the setting of a normal gland or chronic pancreatitis (CP). The aetiology of RAP can be identified in about 70% of cases; for the remaining cases, the term "idiopathic" (IRAP) is used. However, advanced diagnostic techniques may reduce the percentage of IRAP to 10%. Recognized causes of RAP are gallstone disease, including microlithiasis and biliary sludge, sphincter of Oddi dysfunction (SOD), pancreatic ductal abnormalities (either congenital or acquired) interfering with pancreatic juice or bile outflow, genetic mutations, and alcohol consumption. SOD, as a clinical entity, was recently revised in the Rome IV consensus, which only recognized type 1 dysfunction as a true pathological condition, while type 2 SOD was defined as a suspected functional biliary sphincter disorder requiring the documentation of elevated basal sphincter pressure to be considered a true clinical entity and type 3 was abandoned as a diagnosis and considered functional pain. Endoscopic therapy by retrograde cholangiopancreatography (ERCP) and endoscopic ultrasound (EUS) has been proven effective when a mechanical obstruction is found and can be removed. If an obstruction is not documented, few treatment options are available to prevent the recurrence of pancreatitis and progression toward chronic disease. In gallstone disease, endoscopic biliary sphincterotomy (EBS) is effective when a dilated common bile duct or biliary sludge/microlithiasis is documented. In type 1 SOD, biliary or dual sphincterotomy is generally successful, while in type 2 SOD, endotherapy should be reserved for patients with documented sphincter dysfunction. However, in recent years, doubts have been expressed about the real efficacy of sphincterotomy in this setting. When sphincter dysfunction is not confirmed, endotherapy should be discouraged. In pancreas divisum (PD), minor papilla sphincterotomy is effective when there is a dilated dorsal duct, and the success rate is the highest in RAP patients. In the presence of obstructive conditions of the main pancreatic duct, pancreatic endotherapy is generally successful if RAP depends on intraductal hypertension. However, despite the efficacy of endotherapy, progression toward CP has been shown in some of these patients, mainly in the presence of PD, very likely depending on underlying genetic mutations. In patients with IRAP, the real utility of endotherapy still remains unclear; this is because several unknown factors may play a role in the disease, and data on outcomes are few, frequently contradictory or uncontrolled, and, in general, limited to a short period of time.

Distinct microbial signatures and their predictive value in recurrent acute pancreatitis: insights from 5-region 16S rRNA gene sequencing

Background

Recurrent acute pancreatitis (RAP) poses significant clinical challenges, with 32.3% developing to chronic pancreatitis within 5 years. The underlying microbial factors contributing to RAP remain poorly understood. This study aims to identify blood microbial signatures associated with RAP and explore the potential microbial predictors for RAP.

Methods

In this prospective cohort, 90 acute pancreatitis patients are classified into non-recurrent acute pancreatitis (NRAP, n=68) and RAP (n=22) groups based on the number of pancreatitis episodes. Microbial composition of blood samples is analyzed using 5-region (5R) 16S rRNA gene sequencing. Key microbial taxa and functional predictions are made. A random forest model is used to assess the predictive value of microbial features for RAP. The impact of Staphylococcus hominis (S. hominis) on RAP is further evaluated in an experimental mouse model.

Results

Linear discriminant analysis effect size (LEfSe) analysis highlights significant microbial differences, with Paracoccus aminovorans, Corynebacterium glucuronolyticum and S. hominis being prominent in RAP. Functional predictions indicate enrichment of metabolic pathways in the RAP group. Random forest analysis identifies key microbial taxa with an AUC value of 0.759 for predicting RAP. Experimental validation shows that S. hominis exacerbates pancreatic inflammation in mice.

Conclusions

This study identifies distinct clinical and microbial features associated with RAP, emphasizing the role of specific bacterial taxa in pancreatitis recurrence. The findings suggest that microbial profiling could enhance the diagnosis and management of RAP, paving the way for personalized therapeutic approaches.

International Classification of Diseases, Tenth Revision Diagnosis Codes Are Overutilized in the Diagnosis of Chronic Pancreatitis

BACKGROUND

Retrospective studies and large databases, such as the OneFlorida Clinical Research Consortium, rely on International Classification of Diseases, Tenth Revision (ICD-10) diagnosis codes to identify patients with specificity. This study aimed to determine if ICD-10 codes for CP are overutilized.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Retrospective analysis was conducted for patients with ICD-10 codes K86.0 (alcohol-induced CP) and K86.1 (other CP) from February 2018 to February 2020. Data were extracted from the integrated electronic data repository. This study was approved by the institutional review board. The diagnosis of CP was defined as either being made by a gastroenterologist, proven by biopsy, or having characteristic findings on cross-sectional imaging with appropriate symptoms.

RESULTS

Five hundred four (37%) out of the 1360 patients had no evidence of CP. When broken down by diagnosis code, 41 of 176 charts (23.3%) with K86.0 and 461 of 1184 charts (38.6%) with K86.1 had no evidence of CP. Two hundred ninety-nine of these patients had either a single episode of acute pancreatitis, recurrent acute pancreatitis, or episode of acute necrotizing pancreatitis. Of note, 81 patients had no identifiable abdominal pathology.

CONCLUSIONS

Although the OneFlorida database makes multicenter research more accessible, it does not replace labor-intensive chart review given the propensity for overdiagnosis.

Decreased risk of recurrent acute pancreatitis with semaglutide and tirzepatide in people with type 2 diabetes or obesity with a history of acute pancreatitis: A propensity matched global federated TriNetX database-based retrospective cohort study

BACKGROUND

Acute pancreatitis (AP) is a significant health concern with potential for recurrent episodes and serious complications. The risk of recurrence in type 2 diabetes (T2D) or obesity can be influenced by various factors and treatments, including GLP-1 receptor agonists (GLP-1RAs). This study evaluates the risk of recurrent AP among patients with a history of the condition, focusing on the effects of different GLP-1RA treatments.

OBJECTIVES

Our objective is to compare the recurrence risks of AP between patients treated with different GLP-1RAs.

METHODS

We conducted a retrospective cohort study using the TriNetX platform, encompassing 258,238 individuals with T2D or obesity who have a history of AP. We assessed the recurrence of AP over a five-year period, analyzing data on treatment regimens, with a focus on the use of Semaglutide, Tirzepatide, and other GLP-1RAs.

RESULTS

GLP-1RA users experienced significantly lower recurrence rates of AP, with those without risk factors showing GLP-1RA users had a recurrence rate of 13.8 % compared to 40.9 % for non-users. Semaglutide and Tirzepatide showed the most favorable outcomes; Semaglutide users had lower recurrence rates than Exenatide (10.1 % vs. 27 %) and slightly lower than Dulaglutide (13.6 % vs. 15.4 %), though not statistically significant with Dulaglutide. Tirzepatide users displayed the lowest recurrence risk at 6.2 %, significantly lower than those on Semaglutide (11.7 %).

CONCLUSIONS

GLP-1RAs, particularly Semaglutide and Tirzepatide, are associated with a reduced risk of recurrent AP in people with T2D or obesity. The differential risk profile between these drugs highlights the need for further studies and personalized treatment plans.

Development of pancreatic diseases during long-term follow-up after acute pancreatitis: a post-hoc analysis of a prospective multicenter cohort

BACKGROUND AND AIM

More insight into the incidence of and factors associated with progression following a first episode of acute pancreatitis (AP) would offer opportunities for improvements in disease management and patient counseling.

METHODS

A long-term post hoc analysis of a prospective cohort of patients with AP (2008-2015) was performed. Primary endpoints were recurrent acute pancreatitis (RAP), chronic pancreatitis (CP), and pancreatic cancer. Cumulative incidence calculations and risk analyses were performed.

RESULTS

Overall, 1184 patients with a median follow-up of 9 years (IQR: 7-11) were included. RAP and CP occurred in 301 patients (25%) and 72 patients (6%), with the highest incidences observed for alcoholic pancreatitis (40% and 22%). Pancreatic cancer was diagnosed in 14 patients (1%). Predictive factors for RAP were alcoholic and idiopathic pancreatitis (OR 2.70, 95% CI 1.51-4.82 and OR 2.06, 95% CI 1.40-3.02), and no pancreatic interventions (OR 1.82, 95% CI 1.10-3.01). Non-biliary etiology (alcohol: OR 5.24, 95% CI 1.94-14.16, idiopathic: OR 4.57, 95% CI 2.05-10.16, and other: OR 2.97, 95% CI 1.11-7.94), RAP (OR 4.93, 95% CI 2.84-8.58), prior pancreatic interventions (OR 3.10, 95% CI 1.20-8.02), smoking (OR 2.33, 95% CI 1.14-4.78), and male sex (OR 2.06, 95% CI 1.05-4.05) were independently associated with CP.

CONCLUSION

Disease progression was observed in a quarter of pancreatitis patients. We identified several risk factors that may be helpful to devise personalized strategies with the intention to reduce the impact of disease progression in patients with AP.

The burden of recurrence acute pancreatitis and annual event rates are underestimated because of high rates of home self-management

BACKGROUND/OBJECTIVES

The event-rate of recurrent acute pancreatitis (RAP) in patient populations is critical for powering research studies. We hypothesize that some patients manage RAP attacks at home, reducing event rate estimations based on counting emergency department (ED) visits and hospitalizations only. The aim of this study was to determine the rates of home self-management of recurrent acute pancreatitis compared to ED visits and hospitalizations.

METHODS

An anonymous 8-question survey was sent to 1825 individuals on an email list of individuals with a history of acute pancreatitis (AP) or chronic pancreatitis or interest in pancreatic diseases. Question were designed to identify subjects with RAP within the past 2 years and to subdivide patients based on having a chronic pain syndrome or not.

RESULTS

After an initial email request and one reminder a total of 194 subjects responded with 98 RAP subjects suitable for analysis. Annual AP events included an average of 1.44 hospitalizations, 1.37 ED visits, 2.46 disrupted work/school/social engagements, and 3.95 pancreatitis-like pain attacks per year. Patients with RAP average 6.8 RAP events per year with 58.4 % managed at home.

CONCLUSIONS

The burden of disease in patients with RAP is significantly underestimated, especially for patients with chronic pain. Future studies should include measures to capture RAP events managed at home and utilize methods of documenting RAP events.

The Role of Endoscopic Ultrasound in Early Chronic Pancreatitis

Chronic pancreatitis (CP) is an irreversible and progressive inflammation of the pancreas that can involve both pancreatic parenchyma and the pancreatic duct. CP results in morphological changes in the gland in the form of fibrosis and calcification along with functional impairment in the form of exocrine and endocrine insufficiency. Studies on the natural history of CP reveal the irreversibility of the condition and the resultant plethora of complications, of which pancreatic adenocarcinoma is the most dreaded one. In Japanese population-based studies by Otsuki and Fuzino et al., CP was clearly shown to reduce lifespan among males and females by 10.5 years and 16 years, respectively. This dismal prognosis is superadded to significant morbidity due to pain and poor quality of life, creating a significant burden on health and health-related infrastructure. These factors have led researchers to conceptualize early CP, which, theoretically, is a reversible stage in the disease spectrum characterised by ongoing pancreatic injury with the presence of clinical symptoms and the absence of classical imaging features of CP. Subsequently, the disease is thought to progress through a compensated stage, a transitional stage, and to culminate in a decompensated stage, with florid evidence of the functional impairment of the gland. In this focused review, we will discuss the definition and concept of early CP, the risk factors and natural history of the development of CP, and the role of various modalities of EUS in the timely diagnosis of early CP.

Diagnostic Differentiation between Pancreatitis and Pancreatic Cancer: A Scoping Review

Pancreatitis, encompassing acute and chronic forms, and pancreatic cancer pose significant challenges to the exocrine tissue of the pancreas. Recurrence rates and complications following acute pancreatitis episodes can lead to long-term risks, including diabetes mellitus. Chronic pancreatitis can develop in approximately 15% of cases, regardless of the initial episode's severity. Alcohol-induced pancreatitis, idiopathic causes, cigarette smoking, and hereditary pancreatitis contribute to the progression to chronic pancreatitis. Chronic pancreatitis is associated with an increased risk of pancreatic cancer, with older age at onset and smoking identified as risk factors. This scoping review aims to synthesise recent publications (2017-2022) on the diagnostic differentiation between pancreatitis and pancreatic cancer while identifying knowledge gaps in the field. The review focuses on biomarkers and imaging techniques in individuals with pancreatitis and pancreatic cancer. Promising biomarkers such as faecal elastase-1 and specific chemokines offer non-invasive ways to assess pancreatic insufficiency and detect early biomarkers for chronic pancreatitis. Imaging techniques, including computed tomography (CT), magnetic resonance imaging (MRI), endoscopic ultrasound (EUS), and positron emission tomography (PET), aid in differentiating between chronic pancreatitis and pancreatic cancer. However, accurately distinguishing between the two conditions remains a challenge, particularly when a mass is present in the head of the pancreas. Several knowledge gaps persist despite advancements in understanding the association between pancreatitis and pancreatic cancer, including the correlation between histopathological grading systems, non-invasive imaging techniques, and biomarkers in chronic pancreatitis to determine the risk of progression to pancreatic cancer, as well as differentiating between the two conditions. Further research is necessary to enhance our understanding of these aspects, which can ultimately improve the diagnosis and management of pancreatitis and pancreatic cancer.

Risk factors for diabetes mellitus after acute pancreatitis: a systematic review and meta-analysis

Introduction

Within 5 years of having acute pancreatitis (AP), approximately 20% of patients develop diabetes mellitus (DM), which later increases to approximately 40%. Some studies suggest that the prevalence of prediabetes (PD) and/or DM can grow as high as 59% over time. However, information on risk factors is limited. We aimed to identify risk factors for developing PD or DM following AP.

Methods

We systematically searched three databases up to 4 September 2023 extracting direct, within-study comparisons of risk factors on the rate of new-onset PD and DM in AP patients. When PD and DM event rates could not be separated, we reported results for this composite outcome as PD/DM. Meta-analysis was performed using the random-effects model to calculate pooled odds ratios (OR) with 95% confidence intervals (CI).

Results

Of the 61 studies identified, 50 were included in the meta-analysis, covering 76,797 participants. The studies reported on 79 risk factors, and meta-analysis was feasible for 34 risk factor and outcome pairs. The odds of developing PD/DM was significantly higher after severe and moderately severe AP (OR: 4.32; CI: 1.76-10.60) than mild AP. Hypertriglyceridemic AP etiology (OR: 3.27; CI: 0.17-63.91) and pancreatic necrosis (OR: 5.53; CI: 1.59-19.21) were associated with a higher risk of developing PD/DM. Alcoholic AP etiology (OR: 1.82; CI: 1.09-3.04), organ failure (OR: 3.19; CI: 0.55-18.64), recurrent AP (OR: 1.89; CI: 0.95-3.77), obesity (OR: 1.85; CI: 1.43-2.38), chronic kidney disease (OR: 2.10; CI: 1.85-2.38), liver cirrhosis (OR: 2.48; CI: 0.18-34.25), and dyslipidemia (OR: 1.82; CI: 0.68-4.84) were associated with a higher risk of developing DM.

Discussion

Severe and moderately severe AP, alcoholic and hypertriglyceridemic etiologies, pancreatic necrosis, organ failure, recurrent acute pancreatitis and comorbidities of obesity, chronic kidney disease liver disease, and dyslipidemia are associated with a higher risk of developing PD or DM.

Systematic review registration

https://www.crd.york.ac.uk/prospero/, identifier CRD42021281983.

Recurrence rates and risk factors for recurrence after first episode of acute pancreatitis: A systematic review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

There are a certain number of acute pancreatitis (AP) patients who may suffer from multiple episodes and develop recurrent acute pancreatitis (RAP), but recurrence rates and associated risk factors for RAP vary significantly in the published literature.

METHODS

We searched PubMed, Web of Science, Scopus, and Embase databases to identify all publications reporting AP recurrence until October 20th, 2022. Meta-analysis and meta-regression were performed to calculate the pooled estimates using the random-effects model.

RESULTS

A total of 36 studies met the inclusion criteria and all were used in pooled analyses. The overall rate of recurrence after first-time AP was 21% (95% CI, 18%- 24%), and pooled rates in biliary, alcoholic, idiopathic, and hypertriglyceridemia etiology patients were 12%, 30%, 25%, and 30%, respectively. After managing underlying causes post-discharge, the recurrence rate decreased (14% versus 4% for biliary, 30% versus 6% for alcoholic, and 30% versus 22% for hypertriglyceridemia AP). An increased risk of recurrence was reported in patients with a smoking history (odds ratio [OR] = 1.99), alcoholic etiology (OR = 1.72), male sex (hazard ratio [HR] = 1.63), and local complications (HR = 3.40), while biliary etiology was associated with lower recurrence rates (OR = 0.38).

CONCLUSION

More than one-fifth of AP patients experienced recurrence after discharge, with the highest recurrence rate in alcoholic and hypertriglyceridemia etiologies, and managing underlying causes post-discharge was related to decreased incidence. In addition, smoking history, alcoholic etiology, male gender, and presence of local complications were independent risks for the recurrence.

Age-period-cohort analysis of pancreatitis epidemiological trends from 1990 to 2019 and forecasts for 2044: a systematic analysis from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019

Objective

Pancreatitis poses a serious medical problem worldwide. This study aims to explore the epidemiological trends of pancreatitis from 1990 to 2019, analyze the association between disease burden and age, period and birth cohort, and subsequently present a forecast of pancreatitis incidence and deaths.

Methods

Epidemiologic data were gathered from the Global Health Data Exchange query tool. Joinpoint regression model was used to calculate the average annual percentage changes (AAPCs). Age-period-cohort analysis was utilized to estimate the independent effects of age, period and birth cohort. We also predicted the global epidemiological trends to 2044.

Results

Globally, the incident cases and deaths of pancreatitis increased 1.63-and 1.65-fold from 1990 to 2019, respectively. Joinpoint regression analysis showed that the age-standardized incidence rate (ASIR) and age-standardized death rate (ASDR) decreased over the past three decades. The age effect indicates that older people have higher age-specific incidence and death rates. The period effect on incidence and deaths showed downward trends from 1990 to 2019. The cohort effect demonstrated that incidence and death risk peaked in the earlier birth cohort and were lower in the latest birth cohort. Incident cases and deaths of pancreatitis may significantly increase in the next 25 years. The ASIRs were predicted to slightly increase, while the ASDRs were predicted to decrease.

Conclusion

Epidemiologic patterns and trends of pancreatitis across age, period and birth cohort may provide novel insight into public health. Limitations of alcohol use and prevention strategies for pancreatitis are necessary to reduce future burden.

Inpatient Alcohol Cessation Counseling Is Associated With a Lower 30-Day Hospital Readmission in Acute Alcoholic Pancreatitis

BACKGROUND

Alcohol use is a common cause of recurrent acute pancreatitis. Thus, guidelines recommend providing alcohol prevention resources during hospitalization. There is limited data on the real-world implementation of this recommendation. We aimed to assess how often inpatients admitted with alcohol-induced acute pancreatitis (AAP) receive counseling and to determine the impact of counseling on readmissions for AAP.

METHODS

We retrospectively studied patients admitted with AAP at a tertiary care center from 2008 to 2018. We compared demographics, clinical features, and outcomes in patients who did and did not receive counseling. Outcomes studied were the proportion of patients with AAP receiving counseling, and readmission rates for AAP at 30 days and 1 year.

RESULTS

A total of 243 patients with AAP were identified, of which 115 had inpatient alcohol counseling (47%). Demographic data were comparable between the 2 groups. Fewer patients receiving alcohol counseling were readmitted at 30 days compared with patients not receiving counseling (19.3% vs. 31.2%, P =0.048). At 1 year, the 2 groups had similar readmission rates. On multivariate analysis, patients who received counseling were half as likely to be readmitted in 30 days compared with those who did not receive counseling [odds ratio=0.52 (0.27, 0.98), P =0.046].

CONCLUSIONS

We note that <50% of patients receive alcohol counseling. Patients receiving alcohol counseling were less likely to be readmitted at 30 days, inferring possible value in the intervention provided. Similar readmission rates at 1 year suggest that the single intervention may not have a durable effect on alcohol prevention.

Management of Necrotizing Pancreatitis

Necrotizing pancreatitis affects 10% to 15% of all patients with acute pancreatitis. Despite improved understanding of this complex disease, it is still attended by up to 15% mortality. Necrotizing pancreatitis provides the clinical challenges of working in a multi-disciplinary group, determining proper timing for intervention, and identifying appropriate intervention approaches. The step-up approach consists of supportive care initially. When there is documented infected necrosis, treatment begins with antibiotics, progressing to minimally invasive mechanical necrosis intervention, and reserving surgery as the final treatment modality. However, treatment must be tailored to the individual patient. This article provides an overview of necrotizing pancreatitis.

The Risk Factors for Progression to Chronic Pancreatitis in Patients with Past-History of Acute Pancreatitis: A Retrospective Analysis Based on Mechanistic Definition

BACKGROUND

According to the mechanistic definition, the history of acute pancreatitis (AP) is a risk factor for chronic pancreatitis (CP). However, the etiology and severity of previous AP involved in the progression to CP have not been clarified. Here, we investigated risk factors for the progression to CP in patients with past-history of AP.

METHODS

Sixty-four patients with AP who were followed-up for at least two years at our institution between April 2009 and March 2017 were enrolled. The multivariate analysis was performed based on the risk factors extracted by univariate analysis.

RESULTS

Among the 64 patients, 13 patients (20.3%) progressed to CP (PCP group), while 48 did not (non-PCP group). Regarding the etiology of AP, rate of alcohol AP was significantly higher in the PCP group (76.9% vs. 33.3%, p = 0.003). In univariate analysis, smoking, number of previous AP, and alcohol consumption and drinking habits (Alcohol Use Disorders Identification Test-Concise; AUDIT-C) were identified as factors associated with progression to CP. Furthermore, multivariate analysis showed that AUDIT-C ≥ 6 points (male) and 4 points (female) after AP was a significant risk factor for CP (p = 0.003).

CONCLUSIONS

Our results indicated that AUDIT-C ≥ 6 points (male) and 4 points (female) after AP was a risk factor in the process of progression to CP in patients with past-history of AP.

A Severe Acute Pancreatitis Mouse Model Transited from Mild Symptoms Induced by a “Two-Hit” Strategy with L-Arginine

To develop a severe acute pancreatitis (SAP) model transited from mild symptoms, we investigated a “two-hit” strategy with L-arginine in mice. The mice were intraperitoneally injected with ice-cold L-arginine (4 g/kg) twice at an interval of 1 h on the first day and subjected to the repeated operation 72 h afterwards. The results showed the “two-hit” strategy resulted in the destructive damage and extensive necrosis of acinar cells in the pancreas compared with the “one-hit” model. Meanwhile, excessive levels of pro-inflammatory mediators, namely IL-6 and TNF-α, were released in the serum. Remarkably, additional deleterious effects on multiple organs were observed, including high intestinal permeability, kidney injury, and severe acute lung injury. Therefore, we confirmed that the SAP animal model triggered by a “two-hit” strategy with L-arginine was successfully established, providing a solid foundation for a deeper understanding of SAP initiation and therapy research to prevent worsening of the disease.

Targeting Endoplasmic Reticulum Stress as an Effective Treatment for Alcoholic Pancreatitis

Pancreatitis and alcoholic pancreatitis are serious health concerns with an urgent need for effective treatment strategies. Alcohol is a known etiological factor for pancreatitis, including acute pancreatitis (AP) and chronic pancreatitis (CP). Excessive alcohol consumption induces many pathological stress responses; of particular note is endoplasmic reticulum (ER) stress and adaptive unfolded protein response (UPR). ER stress results from the accumulation of unfolded/misfolded protein in the ER and is implicated in the pathogenesis of alcoholic pancreatitis. Here, we summarize the possible mechanisms by which ER stress contributes to alcoholic pancreatitis. We also discuss potential approaches targeting ER stress and UPR in developing novel therapeutic strategies for the disease.

Evidence-based clinical practice guidelines for chronic pancreatitis 2021

BACKGROUND

Chronic pancreatitis (CP) is defined according to the recently proposed mechanistic definition as a pathological fibro-inflammatory syndrome of the pancreas in individuals with genetic, environmental, and/or other risk factors who develop persistent pathological responses to parenchymal injury or stress.

METHODS

The clinical practice guidelines for CP in Japan were revised in 2021 based on the 2019 Japanese clinical diagnostic criteria for CP, which incorporate the concept of a pathogenic fibro-inflammatory syndrome in the pancreas. In this third edition, clinical questions are reclassified into clinical questions, background questions, and future research questions.

RESULTS

Based on analysis of newly accumulated evidence, the strength of evidence and recommendations for each clinical question is described in terms of treatment selection, lifestyle guidance, pain control, treatment of exocrine and endocrine insufficiency, and treatment of complications. A flowchart outlining indications, treatment selection, and policies for cases in which treatment is ineffective is provided. For pain control, pharmacological treatment and the indications and timing for endoscopic and surgical treatment have been updated in the revised edition.

CONCLUSIONS

These updated guidelines provide clinicians with useful information to assist in the diagnosis and treatment of CP.

Central role of the sentinel acute pancreatitis event (SAPE) model in understanding recurrent acute pancreatitis (RAP): Implications for precision medicine

Traditional approaches to understanding the origins of chronic pancreatitis (CP) and find treatments led to abysmal failure. Thus, no drugs now exists to meet this need. Outdated concepts of the etiopathogenesis of CP have been replaced with new insights and disease models that provide the framework for early detection of the pathogenic pancreatitis process. Application of these principals require a new paradigm in disease definition and management, i.e. personalized / precision medicine. The key is acute pancreatitis (AP) starting with the first (sentinel) acute pancreatitis (AP) event (SAPE). This event sensitizes the pancreas to recurrent acute pancreatitis (RAP) as ongoing stressors drive various inflammatory responses to cause CP. The problem is the complex etiologies of AP and the additional genetic and environmental factors that promote progression to RAP and CP. This paper provides a background on the key conceptual changes that facilitate new approaches and the rationale for using mechanism-specific therapies to prevent RAP and CP.

The unique pancreatic stellate cell gene expression signatures are associated with the progression from acute to chronic pancreatitis

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Early recognition of chronic pancreatitis (CP) is still lacking. In the setting of CP injury, activated pancreatic stellate cell (PSC) is the central mediator of pancreatic fibrosis. We systematically define highly and uniquely expressed PSC genes and show that these genes are enriched in pancreatic diseases.

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Unresolved or recurrent injury causes dysregulation of biological process following AP, which would cause CP. We demonstrated subset genes that may be associated with the progression from AP to CP. Furthermore, SPARC was identified as a candidate marker for the disease progression.

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Increased expression of SPARC and canonical PSC genes were verified during AP recovery, especially in recurrent AP mice models.

Chronic pancreatitis (CP) is characterized by irreversible fibro-inflammatory changes induced by pancreatic stellate cell (PSC). Unresolved or recurrent injury causes dysregulation of biological process following AP, which would cause CP. Here, we systematically identify genes whose expressions are unique to PSC by comparing transcriptome profiles among total pancreas, pancreatic stellate, acinar, islet and immune cells. We then identified candidate genes and correlated them with the pancreatic disease continuum by performing intersection analysis among total PSC and activated PSC genes, and genes persistently differentially expressed during acute pancreatitis (AP) recovery. Last, we examined the association between candidate genes and AP, and substantiated their potential as biomarkers in experimental AP and recurrent AP (RAP) models. A total of 68 genes were identified as highly and uniquely expressed in PSC. The PSC signatures were highly enriched with extracellular matrix remodeling genes and were significantly enriched in AP pancreas compared to healthy control tissues. Among PSC signature genes that comprised a fibrotic phenotype, 10 were persistently differentially expressed during AP recovery. SPARC was determined as a candidate marker for the pancreatic disease continuum, which was not only persistently differentially expressed even five days after AP injury, but also highly expressed in two clinical datasets of CP. Sparc was also validated as highly elevated in RAP compared to AP mice. This work highlights the unique transcriptional profiles of PSC. These PSC signatures’ expression may help to identify patients with high risk of AP progression to CP.

Thirty-Day Readmission Among Patients with Alcoholic Acute Pancreatitis

BACKGROUND/OBJECTIVES

Alcoholic acute pancreatitis (AAP) comprises the second most common cause of acute pancreatitis in the USA, and there is lack of data regarding 30-day specific readmission causes and predictors. We aim to identify 30-day readmission rate, causes, and predictors of readmission.

METHODS

Retrospective analysis of the 2016 National Readmission Database of adult patients readmitted within 30 days after an index admission for AAP.

RESULTS

Totally, 76,609 AAP patients were discharged from the hospital in 2016. The 30-day readmission rate was 12%. The main cause of readmission was another episode of AAP. Readmission was not associated with higher mortality (1.3% vs. 1.2%; P = 0.21) or prolonged length of stay (5.2 vs. 5.0 days; P = 0.06). The total health care economic burden was $354 million in charges and $90 million in costs. Independent predictors of readmission were having Medicaid insurance, a Charlson comorbidity index score ≥ 3, use of total parenteral nutrition, opioid abuse disorder, prior pancreatic cyst, chronic alcoholic pancreatitis, and other chronic pancreatitis. Obesity was associated with lower odds of readmission.

CONCLUSION

Readmission rate for AAP is high and its primary cause are recurrent episodes of AAP. Alcohol and substance abuse pose a high burden on our health care system. Public health strategies should be targeted to provide alcohol abuse disorder rehabilitation and cessation resources to alleviate the burden on readmission, the health care system and to improve patient outcomes.

Assessment of pain associated with chronic pancreatitis: An international consensus guideline

Pain is the most common symptom in chronic pancreatitis (CP) with a major impact on quality of life. Few validated questionnaires to assess pain in CP exist, and the lack of consensus negatively impacts clinical management, research and meta-analysis. This guideline aims to review generic pain questionnaires for their usability in CP, to outline how pain assessment can be modified by confounding factors and pain types, to assess the value of additional measures such as quality of life, mental health and quantitative sensory testing, and finally to review pain assessment questionnaires used specifically in CP. A systematic review was done to answer 27 questions that followed the PICO (Population; Intervention; Comparator; Outcome) template. Quality of evidence of the statements was judged by Grades of Recommendation, Assessment, Development and Evaluation (GRADE) criteria. The manuscript was sent for review to 36 experts from various disciplines and continents in a multi-stage Delphi process, and finally reviewed by patient representatives. Main findings were that generic pain instruments are valid in most settings, but aspects of pain are specific for CP (including in children), and instruments have to account for the wide phenotypic variability and development of sensitization of the central nervous system. Side effects to treatment and placebo effects shall also be considered. Some multidimensional questionnaires are validated for CP and are recommended together with assessment of quality of life and psychiatric co-morbidities. This guideline will result in more homogeneous and comprehensive pain assessment to potentially improve management of painful CP.

Acute pancreatitis following allogeneic hematopoietic stem cell transplantation in children

Acute pancreatitis (AP) is a potential complication of hematopoietic stem cell transplantation (HSCT), but its incidence and risk factors remain unclear. Thus, we reviewed the cases of 259 consecutive children who received allogeneic HSCT at our institution between January 2000 and December 2017 to determine the incidence and risk factors of AP. Thirteen patients developed AP during a median follow-up period of 4.4 years. The median time from HSCT to AP onset was 80 days (range 29-2426 days), and cumulative incidence (CI) at 4 years was 5.0% [95% confidence interval (95% CI) 2.7-8.3%]. The CI of AP was significantly higher in patients who received bone marrow or peripheral blood stem cells than in those who received cord blood (7.2% versus 0.0% at 4 years, P = 0.02) and was higher in patients who developed grade II-IV acute graft-versus-host disease (GVHD) than in those who did not (31.4% versus 1.4% at 4 years, P < 0.001). Multivariate analysis showed that grade II-IV acute GVHD was an independent risk factor for AP [hazard ratio 15.2 (95% CI 4.1-55.8), P < 0.001] and was strongly associated with post-HSCT AP in children.

Divergent trends in lifetime drinking and smoking between Black and White Americans diagnosed with chronic pancreatitis

BACKGROUND/OBJECTIVES

Black Americans are at increased risk of chronic pancreatitis (CP) compared to their White counterparts. We aimed to describe the race-specific smoking history and lifetime drinking in patients diagnosed with CP.

METHODS

We analyzed data on 334 Black and White CP participants of the North American Pancreatitis Study 2 Continuation and Validation Study and Ancillary Study. Lifetime drinking history and lifetime smoking history were collected through in-person interviews. Intensity, frequency, duration and current status of drinking and smoking were compared between Black and White CP participants, stratified by physician-defined alcohol etiology. In addition, drinking levels at each successive decades in life (20s, 30s, 40s) were compared by race and graphically portrayed as heat diagrams.

RESULTS

Among patients with alcoholic CP, current smoking levels were not different by race (67-70%), but a smaller proportion of Black patients reported having smoked 1 or more packs per day in the past (32%) as compared to White patients (58%, p < 0.0001). Black patients were more likely to report current consumption of alcohol (31%), as opposed to White patients (17%, p = 0.016). Black patients also reported more intense drinking at age 35 and 45 years as compared to White patients, while age at CP onset were similar between the two groups.

CONCLUSION

We found more intense drinking but less intense smoking history in Black CP patients as compared to White CP patients. Effective alcohol abstinence and smoking cessation program with sustained impact are needed in CP patients.

Progression to recurrent acute pancreatitis after a first attack of acute pancreatitis in adults

PURPOSE

Patients with a first attack of acute pancreatitis (AP) can develop recurrent acute pancreatitis (RAP). Hence, this study aimed to investigate the clinical features of the disease and the risk factors for RAP.

METHODS

We performed a retrospective study of 522 patients from Jan 1 to Dec 31, 2006. All patients with AP were followed for 36 months. The primary end point was the rate of RAP. The secondary end points were the risk factors that were evaluated by Cox regression analysis. The cumulative risk of RAP was assessed using Kaplan-Meier analysis.

RESULTS

56 of the 522 patients (10.7%) developed RAP. Among those RAP patients, 37 (7.1%) experienced one relapse, 10 (1.9%) experienced two relapses, and 9 (1.7%) experienced three or more relapses. Univariate analysis indicated that age (p = 0.016), male sex, etiology of AP (p = 0.001), local complications (p = 0.001) and Length of stay (LOS) (p = 0.007) were associated with RAP. Multivariate analysis with the Cox proportional hazards model showed that male sex (HR = 2.486, 95% CI, 0.169-0.960, p = 0.04), HTG-associated etiology (HR = 5.690, 95% CI, 2.138-15.146, p = 0.001), alcohol-associated etiology (HR = 5.867, 95% CI, 1.446-23.803, p = 0.013) and current local complications at index admission (HR = 8.917, 95% CI, 3.650-21.789, p = 0.001) were significant independent risk factors for RAP.

CONCLUSIONS

A first attack of AP led to RAP in 10.7% of patients within 3 years. Male sex was significantly associated with RAP. The etiologies of alcohol and HTG and local complications were the strongest risk factors for recurrent disease. Patients with these characteristics should be given special attention and followed-up closely.

Pancreatitis: TIGAR-O Version 2 Risk/Etiology Checklist With Topic Reviews, Updates, and Use Primers

The Toxic-metabolic, Idiopathic, Genetic, Autoimmune, Recurrent and severe acute pancreatitis and Obstructive (TIGAR-O) Pancreatitis Risk/Etiology Checklist (TIGAR-O_V1) is a broad classification system that lists the major risk factors and etiologies of recurrent acute pancreatitis, chronic pancreatitis, and overlapping pancreatic disorders with or without genetic, immunologic, metabolic, nutritional, neurologic, metaplastic, or other features. New discoveries and progressive concepts since the 2001 TIGAR-O list relevant to understanding and managing complex pancreatic disorders require an update to TIGAR-O_V2 with both a short (S) and long (L) form. The revised system is designed as a hierarchical checklist for health care workers to quickly document and track specific factors that, alone or in combinations, may contribute to progressive pancreatic disease in individual patients or groups of patients and to assist in treatment selection. The rationale and key clinical considerations are summarized for each updated classification item. Familiarity with the structured format speeds up the completion process and supports thoroughness and consideration of complex or alternative diagnoses during evaluation and serves as a framework for communication. The structured approach also facilitates the new health information technologies that required high-quality data for accurate precision medicine. A use primer accompanies the TIGAR-O_V2 checklist with rationale and comments for health care workers and industries caring for patients with pancreatic diseases.

The continuum of complications in survivors of necrotizing pancreatitis

BACKGROUND

Necrotizing pancreatitis survivors develop complications beyond infected necrosis that often require invasive intervention. Remarkably few data have cataloged these late complications after acute necrotizing pancreatitis resolution. We sought to identify the types and incidence of complications after necrotizing pancreatitis.

DESIGN

An observational study was performed evaluating 647 patients with necrotizing pancreatitis captured in a single-institution database between 2005 and 2017 at a tertiary care hospital. Retrospective review and analysis of newly diagnosed conditions attributable to necrotizing pancreatitis was performed. Exclusion criteria included the following: death before disease resolution (n = 57, 9%) and patients lost to follow-up (n = 12, 2%).

RESULTS

A total of 578 patients were followed for a median of 46 months (range, 8 months to 15 y) after necrotizing pancreatitis. In 489 (85%) patients 1 or more complications developed and included symptomatic disconnected pancreatic duct syndrome (285 of 578, 49%), splanchnic vein thrombosis (257 of 572, 45%), new endocrine insufficiency (195 of 549, 35%), new exocrine insufficiency (108 of 571, 19%), symptomatic chronic pancreatitis (93 of 571, 16%), incisional hernia (89 of 420, 21%), biliary stricture (90 of 576, 16%), chronic pain (44 of 575, 8%), gastrointestinal fistula (44 of 578, 8%), pancreatic duct stricture (30 of 578, 5%), and duodenal stricture (28 of 578, 5%). During the follow-up period, a total of 340 (59%) patients required an invasive intervention after necrotizing pancreatitis resolution. Invasive pancreatobiliary intervention was required in 230 (40%) patients.

CONCLUSION

Late complications are common in necrotizing pancreatitis survivors. A broad variety of problems manifest themselves after resolution of the acute disease process and often require invasive intervention. Necrotizing pancreatitis patients should be followed lifelong by experienced clinicians.

Conservative Treatment of Chronic Pancreatitis: A Practical Approach

BACKGROUND

Chronic pancreatitis is a long-standing, inflammatory condition of the pancreas that leads to the progressive damage and loss of function of pancreatic parenchyma and to the development of possible locoregional and systemic medical complications.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

In this review, we tried to summarize the current evidence on non-surgical treatment trying to suggest a practical approach to the management of chronic pancreatitis.

RESULTS

Besides the unclear pathophysiological mechanism and a poorly unknown epidemiology, chronic pancreatitis is a complex syndrome that displays different possible challenges for physicians. Despite being traditionally considered as a benign disease, chronic pancreatitis encompasses 10-year mortality rates which are superior to the ones reported for some of the most common cancers.

CONCLUSIONS

Chronic pancreatitis encompasses the management of multiple and complex medical co-morbidities that needs to be understood and addressed in a multidisciplinary specialist context.

Risk factors of recurrent pancreatitis after first acute pancreatitis attack: a retrospective cohort study

Background and aims: Few studies have been conducted in Asia on the recurrence of acute pancreatitis (AP). This study was designed to investigate characteristics of the disease to predict recurrence.Methods: We retrospectively analyzed 617 patients that experienced a first AP attack between January 2009 and December 2014. Based on reviews of clinical and follow-up data, we attempted to identify risk factors of recurrence using Cox regression analysis.Results: During a median follow-up of 3.2 years (range 3-72 months), 100(16.2%) of the 617 study subjects experienced one or more episodes of recurrent acute pancreatitis (RAP). Of these 100 patients, 75(75%) experienced one relapse, 12(12%) two relapses, and 13(13%) three or more relapses. The etiologies of RAP were an alcohol (48%), gallstone (31%), idiopathic (14%), and others (7%). Univariate analysis showed that an age of <60 years, male gender, smoking, an alcohol-associated etiology, and a local complication at index admission were significant risk factors of RAP. Cox regression analysis showed that an age of <60 years (HR = 1.602, 95% CI: 1.029-2.493), male gender (HR = 1.927, 95% CI: 1.127-3.295), and the presence of a local complication (HR = 3.334, 95% CI: 2.211-5.026) were significant risk factors of RAP development.Conclusion: A local complication at index admission was found to be the strongest risk factor of RAP, and a male gender and an age of <60 years were significantly associated with RAP. Special attention and close follow-up should be afforded to patients with a local complication at index admission or male patients <60 years old.

Prolonged hyperamylasemia in patients with acute pancreatitis is associated with recurrence of acute pancreatitis

Serum amylase levels in patients with acute pancreatitis often remain or fluctuate above the upper normal limit for over a week. This study investigated the clinical characteristics of patients with prolonged hyperamylasemia and their prognoses, including recurrence.We retrospectively analyzed patients with first attacks of acute pancreatitis in a single center between March 2010 and December 2016. Patients were divided into 2 groups according to normalization of the serum amylase levels within a week.A total of 313 patients were enrolled after exclusion. The serum amylase levels were normalized within a week in 205 patients (65.5%, group 1) and elevated over a week in 108 patients (34.5%, group 2). Group 2 was more related to alcohol, higher computed tomography (CT) severity index, local pancreatic complication, and moderately severe pancreatitis than group 1 (P < .05). Recurrent pancreatitis developed significantly more in group 2 (39.8%) than in group 1 (19.5%) (P < .001). The factors related to recurrent pancreatitis were amylase group, sex, alcohol, CT severity index, necrosis, and severity of pancreatitis (P < .05). Multivariate analysis showed that recurrent pancreatitis was independently associated with amylase group (odds ratio [OR] 2.123, 95% confidence interval [CI]= 1.227-3.673, P = .007) and alcohol (OR 2.023, 95% CI 1.134-3.611, P = .017).In conclusion, prolonged hyperamylasemia over a week is associated with recurrence of acute pancreatitis.

Hypertriglyceridemia-Related Pancreatitis In Patients With Type 2 Diabetes: Links And Risks

Disturbances in glucose and lipid homeostasis are cardinal features of the metabolic syndrome that affect millions of people worldwide. These conditions have multi-organ impact, and while cardiovascular effects are usually the core for studies and preventive measures, other systems may also be affected, including the pancreas. Acute pancreatitis related to severe hypertriglyceridemia is an under-recognized condition that could lead to significant morbidity and mortality. Therefore, when suspected, prompt diagnosis and treatment should be initiated to cover the various aspects of this disorder. Though commonly known to be associated with excess of alcohol use, hypertriglyceridemia-related pancreatitis is particularly observed in diabetics, especially when uncontrolled. Here, we portray the possible mechanisms and clinical features that link type 2 diabetes, hypertriglyceridemia and pancreatitis, and discuss their health-related outcomes and the current and novel treatment options for this unique disease.

Prospective study of early chronic pancreatitis diagnosed based on the Japanese diagnostic criteria

BACKGROUND

Chronic pancreatitis (CP) is a fibro-inflammatory disease of the pancreas. Early diagnosis and intervention, before CP becomes established and irreversible, are essential to improve the long-term outcomes. The world's first diagnostic criteria for early CP were proposed in Japan in 2009, but their clinical utility remains elusive. This study aimed to clarify whether patients with early CP progress to definite CP.

METHODS

This is a multicenter, prospective study. Patients diagnosed as having early CP according to the Japanese diagnostic criteria were prospectively followed for 2 years. Clinical profiles including symptoms, drinking and smoking status, laboratory data, imaging findings and treatments were analyzed.

RESULTS

Among the 83 patients who completed the 2-year follow-up period, four (4.8%) patients progressed to definite CP. The diagnosis of 48 (57.8%) patients was unchanged, and that of 31 (37.3%) patients was downgraded. All the four progressive patients were male, alcohol-related, smokers (3 current and 1 ever), and continued drinking. Comparison of the clinical profiles between the progression group (n = 4) and non-progression group (n = 79) revealed that etiology (alcohol-related), smoking status and presence of acute pancreatitis episodes were associated with the progression to definite CP.

CONCLUSIONS

The Japanese diagnostic criteria could identify some patients before the progression to definite CP, while the majority of the patients did not progress.

TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER

UMIN000015992.

Radiomics model of contrast-enhanced computed tomography for predicting the recurrence of acute pancreatitis

OBJECTIVES

To predict the recurrence of acute pancreatitis (AP) by constructing a radiomics model of contrast-enhanced computed tomography (CECT) at AP first attack.

METHODS

We retrospectively enrolled 389 first-attack AP patients (271 in the primary cohort and 118 in the validation cohort) from three tertiary referral centers; 126 and 55 patients endured recurrent attacks in each cohort. Four hundred twelve radiomics features were extracted from arterial and venous phase CECT images, and clinical characteristics were gathered to develop a clinical model. An optimal radiomics signature was chosen using a multivariable logistic regression or support vector machine. The radiomics model was developed and validated by incorporating the optimal radiomics signature and clinical characteristics. The performance of the radiomics model was assessed based on its calibration and classification metrics.

RESULTS

The optimal radiomics signature was developed based on a multivariable logistic regression with 10 radiomics features. The classification accuracy of the radiomics model well predicted the recurrence of AP for both the primary and validation cohorts (87.1% and 89.0%, respectively). The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) of the radiomics model was significantly better than that of the clinical model for both the primary (0.941 vs. 0.712, p = 0.000) and validation (0.929 vs. 0.671, p = 0.000) cohorts. Good calibration was observed for all the models (p > 0.05).

CONCLUSIONS

The radiomics model based on CECT performed well in predicting AP recurrence. As a quantitative method, radiomics exhibits promising performance in terms of alerting recurrent patients to potential precautions.

KEY POINTS

• The incidence of recurrence after an initial episode of acute pancreatitis is high, and quantitative methods for predicting recurrence are lacking. • The radiomics model based on contrast-enhanced computed tomography performed well in predicting the recurrence of acute pancreatitis. • As a quantitative method, radiomics exhibits promising performance in terms of alerting recurrent patients to the potential need to take precautions.

Young Age Predicts Acute Pancreatitis Severity in Children

OBJECTIVES

The course and evolution of pediatric acute pancreatitis (AP) is poorly understood. Prognostication models in children perform poorly and lack consensus. We aimed to identify predictors of AP severity, and the risk for AP recurrence.

METHODS

We retrospectively studied all patients hospitalized with AP at a single tertiary center, between January 1995 and June 2016. Patient demographics and admission laboratory data were assessed for severity and recurrence prediction.

RESULTS

A total of 68 patients accounting for a total of 117 (15 moderate-severe) AP episodes were reviewed. Patients with moderate-severe disease were significantly younger (median [interquartile range (IQR)] of 8.3 [4.0-14.4] vs 13.8 [8.1-16.0] years, P = 0.02). Young age at presentation was associated with odds ratio of 3.8 (confidence interval [CI] 1.2-12.1) for children younger than 12 years and 5.8 (CI 1.6-21.4) for children younger than 6 years for developing moderate-severe disease.Further subanalysis of the 59 patients with first-time AP episodes, demonstrated younger age (median [IQR] of 5.3 [2.9-10.4] vs 12.0 [6.3-15.8] years, P = 0.03) and elevated white blood cell count (median [IQR] of 22.8 [11.8-31.3] vs 11.0 [8.1-14.6] 10/L, P < 0.01) of patients with moderate-severe disease, conferring a risk for moderate-severe disease with odds ratio of 7.5 (CI 1.5-38.2) for children younger than 6 years and 5.3 (CI 1.1-25.4) for patients with white blood cell count >15 × 10/L, respectively. Fourteen (23.7%) of 59 patients with first-time episodes had recurrent AP. Analysis of the data at the primary episode failed to identify predictors to indicate future recurrence.

CONCLUSIONS

In our cohort, only young age (<12 years) predicted AP severity. No parameters were identified to predict future development of AP recurrence.

Risk factors for chronic and recurrent pancreatitis after first attack of acute pancreatitis

OBJECTIVE

To study the outcome of acute pancreatitis and risk factors for recurrent and chronic pancreatitis in a population based cohort of patients with first-time acute pancreatitis.

METHODS

All patients with first-time acute pancreatitis from 2006-2015 in Iceland were retrospectively evaluated. Medical records were scrutinized and relevant data extracted.

RESULTS

1102 cases of first-time acute pancreatitis were identified: mean age 56yr, 46% female, 41% biliary, 21% alcohol, 26% idiopathic, 13% other causes, mean follow-up 4yr. 21% had ≥1 recurrent acute pancreatitis which was independently related to alcoholic (vs. biliary hazard ratio (HR) 2.29, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.51-3.46), male gender (HR 1.48, 95%CI 1.08-2.04), and smoking (HR 1.62, 95%CI 1.15-2.28). 3.7% developed chronic pancreatitis. Independent predictors were recurrent acute pancreatitis (HR 8.79, 95%CI 3.94-19.62), alcoholic (vs. biliary HR 9.16, 95%CI 2.71-30.9), local complications (HR 4.77, 95%CI 1.93-11.79), and organ-failure (HR 2.86, 95%CI 1.10-7.42).

CONCLUSIONS

Recurrent acute pancreatitis occurred in one-fifth of patients. Development of chronic pancreatitis was infrequent. Both recurrent acute pancreatitis and chronic pancreatitis were related to alcoholic acute pancreatitis, while recurrent acute pancreatitis was associated with smoking and male gender, and chronic pancreatitis to recurrent acute pancreatitis, organ-failure, and local complications.

Characterization of long-term prognosis in acute pancreatitis: An explorative analysis

BACKGROUND/OBJECTIVES

Severity classification systems of acute pancreatitis (AP) assess inpatient morbidity and mortality without predicting outpatient course of AP. To provide appropriate outpatient care, determinants of long-term prognosis must also be identified. The aim of this study was to define clinical groups that carry long-term prognostic significance in AP.

METHODS

A retrospective study that included patients admitted with AP was conducted. Determinants of long-term prognosis were extracted: These included Revised Atlanta and Determinant Based Classification (RAC), Charlson Comorbidity Index (CCI), Modified CT Severity Index (MCTSI), etiology, and local complications (LCs). Seven surrogates of morbidity up to 1 year after discharge were also collected and subsequently imputed into a clustering algorithm. The algorithm was set to produce three categories and multinomial regression analysis was performed.

RESULTS

281 patients were included. The incidences of morbidity endpoints were similar among the 3 RAC categories. Three clusters were identified that carried long-term prognostic significance. Each cluster was given a name to reflect prognosis. The limited AP had the best prognosis and included patients without LCs with a low co-morbidity burden. The brittle AP had a low co-morbidity burden and high MCTSI (LCs 94%). It ran a very morbid course but had excellent survival. The high-risk AP had the worst prognosis with the highest mortality rate (28%). They had a high co-morbidity burden without local complications.

CONCLUSION

Categories that carry long-term prognostic significance in AP have been developed. This study could help formulate appropriate follow-up and ultimately improve AP outcomes.

Challenges in the management of pancreatic exocrine insufficiency

Pancreatic exocrine insufficiency (PEI) occurs when the insufficient secretion or function of pancreatic enzymes leads to maldigestion, most commonly as a result of chronic pancreatitis and pancreatic cancer. The condition is associated with significant morbidity and reductions in quality of life, even in milder forms. The challenges in approaching this condition include the non-specific presentation of mild to moderate PEI, and the lack of a convenient, accurate diagnostic test in this cohort. Classical symptoms appear late in the disease, and the diagnosis should be considered before steatorrhoea develops. Direct pancreatic function tests are the reference standard for diagnosis, but are invasive and not widely available. The faecal elastase-1 (FE-1) stool test is widely available and has been shown to be as effective as the 13C-mixed triglyceride breath test in more advanced disease. We recommend a pragmatic diagnostic approach that combines clinical history, assessment of nutritional status and measurement of FE-1. The critical first step is to consider the diagnosis. Once the diagnosis is confirmed, pancreatic enzyme replacement therapy should be initiated. The variety of enzyme preparations and recommended dosing regimens can present a challenge when selecting an adequate initial dose. Non-response should be actively sought and addressed in a systematic manner. This article discusses these challenges, and presents a practical approach to the diagnosis and management of PEI.

The Role of Endotherapy in Recurrent Acute Pancreatitis

Patients with recurrent acute pancreatitis (RAP) have few treatment options available to them to manage their symptoms or prevent progression to chronic pancreatitis. At present, endotherapy is typically pursued as a means to achieve symptom remission and reduce rates of recurrence, hospitalization, abdominal pain, narcotic use, and surgical intervention. However, evidence that endotherapy effectively alters the natural history of disease remains limited. This article reviews the recent literature on the efficacy of endoscopic intervention in the treatment RAP with a focus on high-quality prospective randomized controlled studies. Additional studies are needed to corroborate these findings.

Myths and realities about alcohol and smoking in chronic pancreatitis

PURPOSE OF REVIEW

Alcohol and smoking play an important role in pancreatitis. The present review will address the myths and evidences about alcohol and smoking with pancreatitis to help improve the approach of healthcare professionals when managing of these patients.

RECENT FINDINGS

There is a growing recognition that chronic pancreatitis is a multifactorial disease. Eliciting an accurate history of alcohol consumption and smoking from patients, and if necessary, family members, can help determine their contribution to the patient's disease. In the absence of a convincing history, physicians should be open to consideration of other etiologies. The amount and duration of alcohol consumption is the most important determinant in increasing pancreatitis risk. Alcohol sensitizes the pancreas to other insults or injury and promotes disease progression. Smoking is an independent risk factor or chronic pancreatitis and has synergistic pathogenic effects with alcohol. The natural history of chronic pancreatitis is highly variable. A patient with alcoholic pancreatitis can have symptoms, recurrences or exacerbations from disease-related complications or nonpancreatic causes. Novel strategies are needed to enable patients quit smoking.

SUMMARY

Obtaining accurate history, appropriate evaluation and management can help to achieve meaningful improvement in symptoms in patients with chronic pancreatitis. Abstinence from alcohol and smoking cessation, when applicable, should be recommended in all patients to prevent disease recurrences and progression.

International consensus statements on early chronic Pancreatitis. Recommendations from the working group for the international consensus guidelines for chronic pancreatitis in collaboration with The International Association of Pancreatology, American Pancreatic Association, Japan Pancreas Society, PancreasFest Working Group and European Pancreatic Club

BACKGROUND

Chronic pancreatitis (CP) is a progressive inflammatory disorder currently diagnosed by morphologic features. In contrast, an accurate diagnosis of Early CP is not possible using imaging criteria alone. If this were possible and early treatment instituted, the later, irreversible features and complications of CP could possibly be prevented.

METHOD

An international working group supported by four major pancreas societies (IAP, APA, JPS, and EPC) and a PancreasFest working group sought to develop a consensus definition and diagnostic criteria for Early CP. Ten statements (S1-10) concerning Early CP were used to gauge consensus on the Early CP concept using anonymous voting with a 9 point Likert scale. Consensus required an alpha ≥0.80.

RESULTS

No consensus statement could be developed for a definition of Early-CP or diagnostic criteria. There was consensus on 5 statements: (S2) The word "Early" in early chronic pancreatitis is used to describe disease state, not disease duration. (S4) Early CP defines a stage of CP with preserved pancreatic function and potentially reversible features. (S8) Genetic variants are important risk factors for Early CP and can add specificity to the likely etiology, but they are neither necessary nor sufficient to make a diagnosis. (S9) Environmental risk factors can provide evidence to support the diagnosis of Early CP, but are neither necessary nor sufficient to make a diagnosis. (S10) The differential diagnosis for Early CP includes other disorders with morphological and functional features that overlap with CP.

CONCLUSIONS

Morphology based diagnosis of Early CP is not possible without additional information. New approaches to the accurate diagnosis of Early CP will require a mechanistic definition that considers risk factors, biomarkers, clinical context and new models of disease. Such a definition will require prospective validation.

Chronic pancreatitis: review and update of etiology, risk factors, and management

Chronic pancreatitis is a syndrome involving inflammation, fibrosis, and loss of acinar and islet cells which can manifest in unrelenting abdominal pain, malnutrition, and exocrine and endocrine insufficiency. The Toxic-Metabolic, Idiopathic, Genetic, Autoimmune, Recurrent and Severe Acute Pancreatitis, Obstructive (TIGAR-O) classification system categorizes known causes and factors that contribute to chronic pancreatitis. Although determining disease etiology provides a framework for focused and specific treatments, chronic pancreatitis remains a challenging condition to treat owing to the often refractory, centrally mediated pain and the lack of consensus regarding when endoscopic therapy and surgery are indicated. Further complications incurred include both exocrine and endocrine pancreatic insufficiency, pseudocyst formation, bile duct obstruction, and pancreatic cancer. Medical treatment of chronic pancreatitis involves controlling pain, addressing malnutrition via the treatment of vitamin and mineral deficiencies and recognizing the risk of osteoporosis, and administering appropriate pancreatic enzyme supplementation and diabetic agents. Cornerstones in treatment include the recognition of pancreatic exocrine insufficiency and administration of pancreatic enzyme replacement therapy, support to cease smoking and alcohol consumption, consultation with a dietitian, and a systematic follow-up to assure optimal treatment effect.

Chronic pancreatitis

Chronic pancreatitis is defined as a pathological fibro-inflammatory syndrome of the pancreas in individuals with genetic, environmental and/or other risk factors who develop persistent pathological responses to parenchymal injury or stress. Potential causes can include toxic factors (such as alcohol or smoking), metabolic abnormalities, idiopathic mechanisms, genetics, autoimmune responses and obstructive mechanisms. The pathophysiology of chronic pancreatitis is fairly complex and includes acinar cell injury, acinar stress responses, duct dysfunction, persistent or altered inflammation, and/or neuro-immune crosstalk, but these mechanisms are not completely understood. Chronic pancreatitis is characterized by ongoing inflammation of the pancreas that results in progressive loss of the endocrine and exocrine compartment owing to atrophy and/or replacement with fibrotic tissue. Functional consequences include recurrent or constant abdominal pain, diabetes mellitus (endocrine insufficiency) and maldigestion (exocrine insufficiency). Diagnosing early-stage chronic pancreatitis is challenging as changes are subtle, ill-defined and overlap those of other disorders. Later stages are characterized by variable fibrosis and calcification of the pancreatic parenchyma; dilatation, distortion and stricturing of the pancreatic ducts; pseudocysts; intrapancreatic bile duct stricturing; narrowing of the duodenum; and superior mesenteric, portal and/or splenic vein thrombosis. Treatment options comprise medical, radiological, endoscopic and surgical interventions, but evidence-based approaches are limited. This Primer highlights the major progress that has been made in understanding the pathophysiology, presentation, prevalence and management of chronic pancreatitis and its complications.

Pancreatitis: Preventing catastrophic haemorrhage

Pancreatitis represents nearly 3% of acute admissions to general surgery in United Kingdom hospitals and has a mortality of around 1%-7% which increases to around 10%-18% in patients with severe pancreatitis. Patients at greatest risk were those identified to have infected pancreatic necrosis and/or organ failure. This review seeks to highlight the potential vascular complications associated with pancreatitis that despite being relatively uncommon are associated with mortality in the region of 34%-52%. We examine the current evidence base to determine the most appropriate method by which to image and treat pseudo-aneurysms that arise as the result of acute and chronic inflammation of pancreas. We identify how early recognition of the presence of a pseudo-aneurysm can facilitate expedited care in an expert centre of a complex pathology that may require angiographic, percutaneous, endoscopic or surgical intervention to prevent catastrophic haemorrhage.

Chronic Pancreatitis: Current Status and Challenges for Prevention and Treatment

This paper reviews the current status of our understanding of the epidemiology, diagnosis, and management of the continuum of pancreatic diseases from acute and recurrent acute pancreatitis to chronic pancreatitis and the diseases that are often linked with pancreatitis including diabetes mellitus and pancreatic cancer. In addition to reviewing the current state of the field, we identify gaps in knowledge that are necessary to address to improve patient outcomes in these conditions.

Epidemiology of Recurrent Acute and Chronic Pancreatitis: Similarities and Differences

Emerging data in the past few years suggest that acute, recurrent acute (RAP), and chronic pancreatitis (CP) represent a disease continuum. This review discusses the similarities and differences in the epidemiology of RAP and CP. RAP is a high-risk group, comprised of individuals at varying risk of progression. The premise is that RAP is an intermediary stage in the pathogenesis of CP, and a subset of RAP patients during their natural course transition to CP. Although many clinical factors have been identified, accurately predicting the probability of disease course in individual patients remains difficult. Future studies should focus on providing more precise estimates of the risk of disease transition in a cohort of patients, quantification of clinical events during the natural course of disease, and discovery of biomarkers of the different stages of the disease continuum. Availability of clinically relevant endpoints and linked biomarkers will allow more accurate prediction of the natural course of disease over intermediate- or long-term-based characteristics of an individual patient. These endpoints will also provide objective measures for use in clinical trials of interventions that aim to alter the natural course of disease.