1
|
Tuerdi N, Cao X, Tang H, Zhang Y, Zheng C, Wang X, Chang C, Tian Y, Yu X, Pei X, Tian Y, Wang W, Huang G, Wang Z. Combined effect of heatwaves and residential greenness on the risk of stroke among Chinese adults: A national cohort study. ECOTOXICOLOGY AND ENVIRONMENTAL SAFETY 2025; 299:118356. [PMID: 40409186 DOI: 10.1016/j.ecoenv.2025.118356] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/14/2025] [Revised: 04/29/2025] [Accepted: 05/18/2025] [Indexed: 05/25/2025]
Abstract
Heatwaves have been associated with an increased risk of stroke, while residential greenness may offer protective benefits. This prospective cohort study examined 22,702 participants aged 35 years or older, with no prior history of cardiovascular disease (CVD), from the China Hypertension Survey (CHS) conducted between 2012 and 2015. Participants were followed up between 2018 and 2019. Heatwaves were defined as daily maximum temperatures exceeding the 92.5th percentile of the warm season for at least three consecutive days. Residential greenness was quantified using the Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) within buffers of 300, 500, and 1000 m from participants' residences. Multivariable Cox proportional hazards models evaluated the independent and combined effects of heatwaves and greenness on stroke risk, while restricted cubic spline analyses explored nonlinear relationships. Interaction effects were assessed using both multiplicative and additive Cox regression models. During follow-up, 597 stroke events occurred. Each additional 3-day increase in heatwave days was associated with an increased stroke risk (HR: 1.19, 95 % CI: 1.08-1.31). Interaction analyses demonstrated a synergistic effect between heatwaves and lower residential greenness (NDVI300 m, NDVI500 m and NDVI1000 m) on stroke risk, with significant additive(RERI > 0, P < 0.05) and multiplicative interactions (HR > 1, P < 0.05). The strongest protective effects of greenness were observed within a 500 m buffer zone, particularly for individuals under 60 years, rural residents, and those with higher educational attainment. This study highlights the potential benefits of enhancing greenness for cardiovascular health and provides valuable insights for environmental governance and public health policy in China.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Nuerguli Tuerdi
- Division of Prevention and Community Health, National Center for Cardiovascular Disease, National Clinical Research center of Cardiovascular Disease, State Key Laboratory of Cardiovascular Disease, Fuwai Hospital, Peking Union Medical College& Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences, Beijing 102308, China
| | - Xue Cao
- Division of Prevention and Community Health, National Center for Cardiovascular Disease, National Clinical Research center of Cardiovascular Disease, State Key Laboratory of Cardiovascular Disease, Fuwai Hospital, Peking Union Medical College& Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences, Beijing 102308, China
| | - Haosu Tang
- State Key Laboratory of Numerical Modeling for Atmospheric Sciences and Geophysical Fluid Dynamics, Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100029, China; University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100049, China
| | - Yujie Zhang
- Division of Prevention and Community Health, National Center for Cardiovascular Disease, National Clinical Research center of Cardiovascular Disease, State Key Laboratory of Cardiovascular Disease, Fuwai Hospital, Peking Union Medical College& Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences, Beijing 102308, China
| | - Congyi Zheng
- Division of Prevention and Community Health, National Center for Cardiovascular Disease, National Clinical Research center of Cardiovascular Disease, State Key Laboratory of Cardiovascular Disease, Fuwai Hospital, Peking Union Medical College& Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences, Beijing 102308, China
| | - Xin Wang
- Division of Prevention and Community Health, National Center for Cardiovascular Disease, National Clinical Research center of Cardiovascular Disease, State Key Laboratory of Cardiovascular Disease, Fuwai Hospital, Peking Union Medical College& Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences, Beijing 102308, China
| | - Chenye Chang
- School of Population Medicine and Public Health, Peking Union Medical College& Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences, Beijing, China
| | - Yixin Tian
- Division of Prevention and Community Health, National Center for Cardiovascular Disease, National Clinical Research center of Cardiovascular Disease, State Key Laboratory of Cardiovascular Disease, Fuwai Hospital, Peking Union Medical College& Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences, Beijing 102308, China
| | - Xue Yu
- School of Population Medicine and Public Health, Peking Union Medical College& Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences, Beijing, China
| | - Xuyan Pei
- Division of Prevention and Community Health, National Center for Cardiovascular Disease, National Clinical Research center of Cardiovascular Disease, State Key Laboratory of Cardiovascular Disease, Fuwai Hospital, Peking Union Medical College& Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences, Beijing 102308, China
| | - Ye Tian
- Division of Prevention and Community Health, National Center for Cardiovascular Disease, National Clinical Research center of Cardiovascular Disease, State Key Laboratory of Cardiovascular Disease, Fuwai Hospital, Peking Union Medical College& Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences, Beijing 102308, China
| | - Wei Wang
- Division of Prevention and Community Health, National Center for Cardiovascular Disease, National Clinical Research center of Cardiovascular Disease, State Key Laboratory of Cardiovascular Disease, Fuwai Hospital, Peking Union Medical College& Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences, Beijing 102308, China
| | - Gang Huang
- State Key Laboratory of Numerical Modeling for Atmospheric Sciences and Geophysical Fluid Dynamics, Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100029, China; University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100049, China
| | - Zengwu Wang
- Division of Prevention and Community Health, National Center for Cardiovascular Disease, National Clinical Research center of Cardiovascular Disease, State Key Laboratory of Cardiovascular Disease, Fuwai Hospital, Peking Union Medical College& Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences, Beijing 102308, China.
| |
Collapse
|
2
|
Wang Y, Chen J, Huang Y, Wang J, Xiong Y, Xue T, Yue X, Qian F, Wang M. Associations of wildfire-derived particulate matter with hospitalization, emergency department visits and mortality: A systematic review and meta-analysis. ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH 2025; 273:121221. [PMID: 40020860 DOI: 10.1016/j.envres.2025.121221] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/01/2024] [Revised: 02/06/2025] [Accepted: 02/23/2025] [Indexed: 03/03/2025]
Abstract
Epidemiological studies on wildfire smoke exposure and its associated disease morbidities and mortalities are rapidly accumulating in recent years. However, the findings of the existing studies have not been quantitatively evaluated with a conclusion. We conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis for the studies focused on associations of wildfire-sourced particles (PM2.5 and PM10) with cardiorespiratory diseases and mortality. We reviewed all literatures related to wildfire particles (PM2.5 and PM10) and cardiorespiratory disease morbidities [hospital admission, emergency department (ED) visits] and mortality (all-cause and cause-specific) from January 1, 2000 to August 1, 2024. Meta-analyses were conducted to summarize Relative Risks (RRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) across studies when at least three studies were available for a particular exposure-outcome. All articles were assessed for risk of bias using a standard tool (Grading of Recommendations Assessment, Development and Evaluation, GRADE) for quality assurance. Studies (N = 45) were increasingly published between the years of 2020-2024 and from North America (N = 21) and Australia (N = 11) where wildfires are common. In the meta-analysis of over 124 million patients, wildfire smoke was consistently associated with increased risk of all-cause mortality (RR: 1.02, 95% CI 1.01-1.03 for PM2.5 per 10 μg/m3) and respiratory outcomes, including hospital admission (1.04, 95% CI 1.02-1.05 for wildfire PM2.5 and 1.01, 95% CI 1.00-1.02 for wildfire PM10) and ED visits (1.04, 95% CI 1.02-1.06 for wildfire PM2.5). Associations between wildfire PM2.5 and cardiovascular diseases were inconclusive (mortality: 1.02, 95% CI 1.01-1.03; hospital admission: 1.01, 95% CI 1.00-1.02; ED visit: 1.01, 95%CI: 0.98-1.04). Current studies provide evidence of an increased risk of hospitalization and ED visits for respiratory diseases and all-cause mortality due to wildfire PM2.5 and PM10 exposures worldwide. Future research is needed to explore health effects of wildfire exposure on cardiovascular diseases.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Yiyi Wang
- School of Energy and Environment, Anhui University of Technology, Maanshan, 243002, China.
| | - Jie Chen
- Department of Environmental Health, Harvard T. H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston, MA, 02115, USA
| | - Yujia Huang
- State Key Laboratory of Pollution Control and Resource Reuse, School of the Environment, Nanjing University, Nanjing, 210023, China
| | - Jiaming Wang
- State Key Laboratory of Pollution Control and Resource Reuse, School of the Environment, Nanjing University, Nanjing, 210023, China
| | - Yi Xiong
- Department of Biostatistics, School of Public Health and Health Professions, University at Buffalo, Buffalo, NY, 14214, USA
| | - Tao Xue
- BIC-ESAT and SKL-ESPC, College of Environmental Science and Engineering, Peking University, Beijing, 100871, China
| | - Xu Yue
- Jiangsu Key Laboratory of Atmospheric Environment Monitoring and Pollution Control, Jiangsu Collaborative Innovation Center of Atmospheric Environment and Equipment Technology, School of Environmental Science and Engineering, Nanjing University of Information Science & Technology, Nanjing, 210044, China
| | - Fuping Qian
- School of Energy and Environment, Anhui University of Technology, Maanshan, 243002, China
| | - Meng Wang
- Department of Epidemiology and Environmental Health, School of Public Health and Health Professions, University at Buffalo, Buffalo, NY, 14214, USA; RENEW Institute, University at Buffalo, Buffalo, NY, USA; Department of Environmental and Occupational Health Sciences, School of Public Health, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, USA.
| |
Collapse
|
3
|
Ni W, Areal AT, Lechner K, Breitner S, Zhang S, Woeckel M, Slesinski SC, Nikolaou N, Dallavalle M, Schikowski T, Schneider A. Low and high air temperature and cardiovascular risk. Atherosclerosis 2025:119238. [PMID: 40383648 DOI: 10.1016/j.atherosclerosis.2025.119238] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/07/2025] [Revised: 05/01/2025] [Accepted: 05/03/2025] [Indexed: 05/20/2025]
Abstract
Temperature extremes are one facet of global warming caused by climate change. They have a broad impact on population health globally. Due to specific individual- and area-level factors, some subgroups of the population are at particular risk. Observational data has demonstrated that the association between temperature and mortality and cardiovascular mortality is U- or J-shaped. This means that beyond an optimal temperature, both low and high temperatures increase cardiovascular risk. In addition, there is emerging epidemiological data showing that climate change-related temperature fluctuations may be particularly challenging for cardiovascular health. Biological plausibility for these observations comes from the effect of cold, heat, and temperature fluctuations on risk factors for cardiovascular disease. Shared mechanisms of heat and cold adaptation include sympathetic activation, changes in vascular tone, increased cardiac strain, and inflammatory and prothrombotic stimuli. The confluence of these mechanisms can result in demand ischemia and/or atherosclerotic plaque rupture. In conclusion, public health and individual-level measures should be taken to protect susceptible populations, such as patients with risk factors and/or pre-existing cardiovascular disease, from the adverse effects of non-optimal temperatures. This review aims to provide an overview of the association between temperature extremes and cardiovascular disease through the lens of pathophysiology and observational data. It also highlights some specific meteorological aspects, gives insight to the interplay of air temperature and air pollution, touches upon social dimensions of climate change, and tries to give a brief outlook into what to expect from the future.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Wenli Ni
- Center for Climate, Health, and the Global Environment, Department of Environmental Health, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston, MA, USA; Division of Pulmonary and Critical Care Medicine, Department of Medicine, Beth Israel Deaconess Medical Center, Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA, USA
| | - Ashtyn T Areal
- IUF-Leibniz Research Institute for Environmental Medicine, Düsseldorf, Germany
| | - Katharina Lechner
- Institute of Epidemiology, Helmholtz Zentrum München - German Research Center for Environmental Health, Neuherberg, Germany; DZHK (German Centre for Cardiovascular Research), Partner site Munich, Munich Heart Alliance, Munich, Germany
| | - Susanne Breitner
- Institute of Epidemiology, Helmholtz Zentrum München - German Research Center for Environmental Health, Neuherberg, Germany; Institute for Medical Information Processing, Biometry and Epidemiology (IBE), Faculty of Medicine, LMU Munich, Munich, Germany
| | - Siqi Zhang
- Department of Environmental Health Sciences, Yale School of Public Health, New Haven, CT, USA
| | - Margarethe Woeckel
- Institute of Epidemiology, Helmholtz Zentrum München - German Research Center for Environmental Health, Neuherberg, Germany; Department of Psychiatry and Psychotherapy, LMU University Hospital, LMU Munich, Munich, Germany
| | - S Claire Slesinski
- Institute of Epidemiology, Helmholtz Zentrum München - German Research Center for Environmental Health, Neuherberg, Germany; Institute for Medical Information Processing, Biometry and Epidemiology (IBE), Faculty of Medicine, LMU Munich, Munich, Germany
| | - Nikolaos Nikolaou
- Institute of Epidemiology, Helmholtz Zentrum München - German Research Center for Environmental Health, Neuherberg, Germany
| | - Marco Dallavalle
- Institute of Epidemiology, Helmholtz Zentrum München - German Research Center for Environmental Health, Neuherberg, Germany
| | - Tamara Schikowski
- IUF-Leibniz Research Institute for Environmental Medicine, Düsseldorf, Germany; School of Public Health, University of Bielefeld, Bielefeld, Germany
| | - Alexandra Schneider
- Institute of Epidemiology, Helmholtz Zentrum München - German Research Center for Environmental Health, Neuherberg, Germany.
| |
Collapse
|
4
|
Chen ZY, Achebak H, Petetin H, Méndez Turrubiates RF, Guo Y, Pérez García-Pando C, Ballester J. Trends in population exposure to compound extreme-risk temperature and air pollution across 35 European countries: a modelling study. Lancet Planet Health 2025; 9:e384-e396. [PMID: 40220767 PMCID: PMC12078191 DOI: 10.1016/s2542-5196(25)00048-8] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/05/2024] [Revised: 02/18/2025] [Accepted: 02/18/2025] [Indexed: 04/14/2025]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Despite ongoing efforts to reduce air pollution, the complex relationship between air pollution and climate change presents additional multifaceted challenges. The spatiotemporal co-occurrence of extreme temperatures and air pollution episodes remains understudied. Furthermore, current studies typically employ uniform temperature thresholds across broad areas, overlooking regional differences in health vulnerability. We aim to present a comprehensive assessment of extreme temperatures and air pollution, and to incorporate location-specific risk thresholds. METHODS In this time series modelling study we analysed the changes in extreme-risk temperature (ERT) days for heat and cold in Europe from Jan 1, 2003 to Dec 31, 2020, considering time-varying temperature-mortality relationships based on regional mortality data (from Eurostat) from 35 European countries (543 million people). We used daily estimates of PM2·5, PM10, NO2, and O3 concentrations from quantile machine learning estimations at 0·1-degree to identify of heat-compound and cold-compound days co-occurring with air pollution levels exceeding WHO guidelines. FINDINGS Cold-related mortality risk decreased over the study period across Europe, and adaptation to heat-related mortality was less pronounced. Between 2003 and 2020, annual cold-ERT days had decreased by 20·7 days per decade and annual heat-ERT days increased by 2·8 days per decade. Southeastern Europe had higher frequencies of both heat-ERT and cold-ERT days. Heat-O3 events were the only increasing heat-compound episodes, with 2·6 more days per decade. Conversely, cold-compound episodes decreased by 15·2 days per decade with cold-PM2·5 events remaining the predominant threat. Around 349 million Europeans were exposed to at least 1 cold-compound day annually, and around 295 million experienced at least one heat-compound day, including nearly 235 million affected by heat-O3 compound episodes. INTERPRETATION By identifying region-specific risk thresholds, our study reveals spatial disparities and changes in ERT events, particularly when coupled with air pollution. These findings are essential for developing targeted adaptation strategies, facilitating subsequent health assessments, and implementing effective measures to safeguard public health. FUNDING European Research Council and Ministerio de Ciencia e Innovación.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Zhao-Yue Chen
- ISGlobal, Barcelona, Spain; Universitat Pompeu Fabra, Barcelona, Spain.
| | - Hicham Achebak
- ISGlobal, Barcelona, Spain; Inserm, France Cohortes, Paris, France
| | | | | | - Yuming Guo
- Climate, Air Quality Research Unit, School of Public Health and Preventive Medicine, Monash University, Melbourne, VIC, Australia
| | - Carlos Pérez García-Pando
- Barcelona Supercomputing Center, Barcelona, Spain; ICREA, Catalan Institution for Research and Advanced Studies, Barcelona, Spain
| | | |
Collapse
|
5
|
Kacker K, Srivastava P, Mukherjee M. Personalized heat stress early warning system for an urban area. ENVIRONMENT INTERNATIONAL 2025; 199:109507. [PMID: 40328089 DOI: 10.1016/j.envint.2025.109507] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/18/2024] [Revised: 04/23/2025] [Accepted: 04/29/2025] [Indexed: 05/08/2025]
Abstract
Extreme heat events have led to significant human mortality and morbidity across all regions of the world, with the risk of heat stress among residents steadily increasing. In response, there is a growing need for early warning systems to help individuals plan their activities to mitigate these risks. This study aims to develop a Heat Stress Risk Index Forecast (HSRIF) system, currently being prototyped for the municipal boundary of Delhi (India). HSRIF is a novel Universal Thermal Climate Index (UTCI)-based personalised early warning system, developed to provide customized heat stress risk value to the user for the upcoming 5 days. The system leverages a novel approach by utilizing meteorological data generated through an open source numerical weather prediction model 'Weather Research and Forecasting model's Urban Canopy Model (WRF-UCM)' to calculate the UTCI at a high resolution of 333 m over the study area. The calculated UTCI is then categorically normalized to derive a hazard index. This hazard index is layered over a personalized vulnerability and exposure index tailored to individual users. The vulnerability and exposure indices are designed based on personal user information, categorized into three levels of severity derived from the literature. These parameters are further refined through expert opinions from both medical and non-medical fields, incorporating their insights using the Bayesian Best-Worst Method (BBWM). By amalgamating the hazard, vulnerability, and exposure indices, the system forms the UTCI-based HSRIF. This forecast is presented to users via an interactive dashboard, providing a detailed assessment of their heat stress risk over the upcoming five days.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Kshitij Kacker
- Department of Architecture and Planning, Indian Institute of Technology Roorkee, Roorkee, Uttarakhand 247667, India
| | - Piyush Srivastava
- Centre of Excellence in Disaster Mitigation and Management, Indian Institute of Technology Roorkee, Roorkee, Uttarakhand 247667, India.
| | - Mahua Mukherjee
- Department of Architecture and Planning, Indian Institute of Technology Roorkee, Roorkee, Uttarakhand 247667, India; Centre of Excellence in Disaster Mitigation and Management, Indian Institute of Technology Roorkee, Roorkee, Uttarakhand 247667, India.
| |
Collapse
|
6
|
Chambliss S, Nduka IC, Persad GG. Building hypotheses to understand the synergistic effects of heat and pollution exposure in a changing climate. Thorax 2025:thorax-2025-223233. [PMID: 40240078 DOI: 10.1136/thorax-2025-223233] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Accepted: 04/02/2025] [Indexed: 04/18/2025]
Affiliation(s)
- Sarah Chambliss
- Department of Population Health, The University of Texas at Austin Dell Medical School, Austin, Texas, USA
| | | | - Geeta G Persad
- The University of Texas at Austin Jackson School of Geosciences, Austin, Texas, USA
| |
Collapse
|
7
|
Phosri A, Srisodaphol W, Sangkharat K. Combined effects of ambient air pollution and temperature on mortality in Thailand. INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF BIOMETEOROLOGY 2025:10.1007/s00484-025-02913-8. [PMID: 40198345 DOI: 10.1007/s00484-025-02913-8] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/13/2024] [Revised: 03/03/2025] [Accepted: 04/01/2025] [Indexed: 04/10/2025]
Abstract
This study aimed to investigate the combined effects of air pollution and temperature on mortality in 34 provinces of Thailand by modeling temperature as a confounding factor and effect modifier, estimating the effects of air pollution at low, moderate, and high temperature categories defined by the 1st and 99th province-specific temperature percentiles. When the temperature was modeled as a confounding factor, the relative risk (RR) of mortality associated with a 10 µg/m3 increase in PM10 and PM2.5 (lag 0-2), and a 10-ppb increase in NO2 (lag 0-2) and O3 (lag 0-7) was respectively 1.0096 (95% Confidence Interval (CI): 1.0073, 1.0118), 1.0134 (95% CI: 1.0099, 1.0170), 1.0172 (95% CI: 1.0122, 1.0222), and 1.0164 (95% CI: 1.0093, 1.0236). Regarding temperature as an effect modifier, the combined effects of air pollution and temperature were observed as a U-shaped pattern, where the effects of PM10, PM2.5, NO2, and O3 on mortality were greater at low (< 1st percentile) and high (> 99th percentile) temperature days compared to those at moderate temperature days (1st - 99th percentile). The pattern of combined effects of air pollution and temperature remained robust even when different temperature percentiles were employed, except for that of NO2. Furthermore, the estimated effects of PM10, PM2.5, NO2, and O3 on mortality at high-temperature days were mitigated by high green density. Findings of this study revealed that extreme temperature (both hot and cold) could exacerbate the effect of air pollution on mortality, and higher green density mitigate the combined effects of air pollution and high temperature.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Arthit Phosri
- Department of Environmental Health Sciences, Faculty of Public Health, Mahidol University, Bangkok, Thailand.
- Center of Excellence on Environmental Health and Toxicology (EHT), Office of the Permanent Secretary (OPS), Ministry of Higher Education, Science, Research and Innovation (MHESI), Bangkok, Thailand.
| | - Wuttichai Srisodaphol
- Department of Statistics, Faculty of Science, Khon Kaen University, Khon Kaen, Thailand
| | - Kamolrat Sangkharat
- Regional Health Promotion Center 3, Department of Health, Ministry of Public Health, Nakhon Sawan, Thailand
| |
Collapse
|
8
|
Azzouz M, Hasan Z, Rahman MM, Gauderman WJ, Lorenzo M, Lurmann FW, Eckel SP, Palinkas L, Johnston J, Hurlburt M, Silva SJ, Schlaerth H, Ko J, Ban-Weiss G, McConnell R, Stockfelt L, Garcia E. Does socioeconomic and environmental burden affect vulnerability to extreme air pollution and heat? A case-crossover study of mortality in California. JOURNAL OF EXPOSURE SCIENCE & ENVIRONMENTAL EPIDEMIOLOGY 2025; 35:294-302. [PMID: 38714894 PMCID: PMC11540871 DOI: 10.1038/s41370-024-00676-9] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/11/2023] [Revised: 04/10/2024] [Accepted: 04/12/2024] [Indexed: 06/01/2024]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Extreme heat and air pollution is associated with increased mortality. Recent evidence suggests the combined effects of both is greater than the effects of each individual exposure. Low neighborhood socioeconomic status ("socioeconomic burden") has also been associated with increased exposure and vulnerability to both heat and air pollution. We investigated if neighborhood socioeconomic burden or the combination of socioeconomic and environmental exposures ("socioenvironmental burden") modified the effect of combined exposure to extreme heat and particulate air pollution on mortality in California. METHODS We used a time-stratified case-crossover design to assess the impact of daily exposure to extreme particulate matter <2.5 μm (PM2.5) and heat on cardiovascular, respiratory, and all-cause mortality in California 2014-2019. Daily average PM2.5 and maximum temperatures based on decedent's residential census tract were dichotomized as extreme or not. Census tract-level socioenvironmental and socioeconomic burden was assessed with the CalEnviroScreen (CES) score and a social deprivation index (SDI), and individual educational attainment was derived from death certificates. Conditional logistic regression was used to estimate associations of heat and PM2.5 with mortality with a product term used to evaluate effect measure modification. RESULTS During the study period 1,514,292 all-cause deaths could be assigned residential exposures. Extreme heat and air pollution alone and combined were associated with increased mortality, matching prior reports. Decedents in census tracts with higher socioenvironmental and socioeconomic burden experienced more days with extreme PM2.5 exposure. However, we found no consistent effect measure modification by CES or SDI on combined or separate extreme heat and PM2.5 exposure on odds of total, cardiovascular or respiratory mortality. No effect measure modification was observed for individual education attainment. CONCLUSION We did not find evidence that neighborhood socioenvironmental- or socioeconomic burden significantly influenced the individual or combined impact of extreme exposures to heat and PM2.5 on mortality in California. IMPACT We investigated the effect measure modification by socioeconomic and socioenvironmental of the co-occurrence of heat and PM2.5, which adds support to the limited previous literature on effect measure modification by socioeconomic and socioenvironmental burden of heat alone and PM2.5 alone. We found no consistent effect measure modification by neighborhood socioenvironmental and socioeconomic burden or individual level SES of the mortality association with extreme heat and PM2.5 co-exposure. However, we did find increased number of days with extreme PM2.5 exposure in neighborhoods with high socioenvironmental and socioeconomic burden. We evaluated multiple area-level and an individual-level SES and socioenvironmental burden metrics, each estimating socioenvironmental factors differently, making our conclusion more robust.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Mehjar Azzouz
- Occupational and Environmental Medicine, School of Public Health and Community Medicine, Institute of Medicine, Sahlgrenska Academy, University of Gothenburg, Gothenburg, Sweden.
- Department of Occupational and Environmental Medicine, Sahlgrenska University Hospital, Gothenburg, Sweden.
| | - Zainab Hasan
- Department of Population and Public Health Sciences, Keck School of Medicine, University of Southern California, Los Angeles, CA, USA
| | - Md Mostafijur Rahman
- Department of Population and Public Health Sciences, Keck School of Medicine, University of Southern California, Los Angeles, CA, USA
- Department of Environmental Health Sciences, Tulane University School of Public Health and Tropical Medicine, New Orleans, LA, USA
| | - W James Gauderman
- Department of Population and Public Health Sciences, Keck School of Medicine, University of Southern California, Los Angeles, CA, USA
| | - Melissa Lorenzo
- Department of Population and Public Health Sciences, Keck School of Medicine, University of Southern California, Los Angeles, CA, USA
| | | | - Sandrah P Eckel
- Department of Population and Public Health Sciences, Keck School of Medicine, University of Southern California, Los Angeles, CA, USA
| | - Lawrence Palinkas
- Department of Population and Public Health Sciences, Keck School of Medicine, University of Southern California, Los Angeles, CA, USA
- Herbert Wertheim School of Public Health and Human Longevity Science, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Jill Johnston
- Department of Population and Public Health Sciences, Keck School of Medicine, University of Southern California, Los Angeles, CA, USA
| | - Michael Hurlburt
- Suzanne Dworak Peck School of Social Work, University of Southern California, Los Angeles, CA, USA
| | - Sam J Silva
- Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Viterbi School of Engineering, University of Southern California, Los Angeles, CA, USA
- Department of Earth Sciences, University of Southern California, Los Angeles, CA, USA
| | - Hannah Schlaerth
- Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Viterbi School of Engineering, University of Southern California, Los Angeles, CA, USA
| | - Joseph Ko
- Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Viterbi School of Engineering, University of Southern California, Los Angeles, CA, USA
- Columbia Climate School, Columbia University, New York, NY, USA
| | - George Ban-Weiss
- Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Viterbi School of Engineering, University of Southern California, Los Angeles, CA, USA
| | - Rob McConnell
- Department of Population and Public Health Sciences, Keck School of Medicine, University of Southern California, Los Angeles, CA, USA
| | - Leo Stockfelt
- Occupational and Environmental Medicine, School of Public Health and Community Medicine, Institute of Medicine, Sahlgrenska Academy, University of Gothenburg, Gothenburg, Sweden
- Department of Occupational and Environmental Medicine, Sahlgrenska University Hospital, Gothenburg, Sweden
| | - Erika Garcia
- Department of Population and Public Health Sciences, Keck School of Medicine, University of Southern California, Los Angeles, CA, USA
| |
Collapse
|
9
|
Wen D, Wang Y, Zhang H, Qi H, Li H, Chen Y, Wang W, Lin F, Zhao G. Synergistic effects of air pollution and cold spells on ischemic heart disease hospitalization risk: a case-crossover study in Xinxiang, China. INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF BIOMETEOROLOGY 2025:10.1007/s00484-025-02899-3. [PMID: 40167755 DOI: 10.1007/s00484-025-02899-3] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/29/2024] [Revised: 02/27/2025] [Accepted: 03/17/2025] [Indexed: 04/02/2025]
Abstract
Air pollution and extreme weather events pose a serious threat to human health. We collected atmospheric pollution, meteorological factors, and hospitalisation data for ischemic heart disease (IHD) in Xinxiang, Henan Province, from 2016 to 2021. Using a time-stratified case-crossover design and conditional Poisson regression analysis, we explored the association between atmospheric pollutants (particulate matter with diameter ≤ 2.5 μm [PM2.5], particulate matter with diameter ≤ 10 μm [PM10], nitrogen dioxide [NO2], carbon monoxide [CO]), meteorological factors, and IHD hospitalizations. We evaluated synergistic effects using relative excess risk due to interaction (RERI), attribute proportion (AP), and synergy index (S). PM2.5, PM10, NO2, CO, relative humidity, and cold spells were significantly associated with IHD hospitalization risk. Significant interaction effects (RERI > 0, AP > 0, S > 1) were found in PM2.5-PM10-NO2 combinations. The attributable fractions were 3.4-7.3% for pollutant combinations and 8-17% during cold spells with different PM2.5 levels. Males and individuals aged ≥ 65 were more susceptible to pollutants, while females and elderly individuals showed higher sensitivity to cold spells. These findings provide evidence for optimizing extreme weather warning systems and reducing air pollution exposure to protect public health.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Desong Wen
- Henan Engineering Technology Research Center of Environmental Meteorological Medicine, The First Affiliated Hospital of Xinxiang Medical University, Xinxiang, Henan, 453001, China
| | - Yongbin Wang
- Department of Epidemiology and Health Statistics, School of Public Health, Xinxiang Medical University, Xinxiang, Henan, 453003, China
| | - Hui Zhang
- Henan Engineering Technology Research Center of Environmental Meteorological Medicine, The First Affiliated Hospital of Xinxiang Medical University, Xinxiang, Henan, 453001, China
| | - Hong Qi
- Henan Engineering Technology Research Center of Environmental Meteorological Medicine, The First Affiliated Hospital of Xinxiang Medical University, Xinxiang, Henan, 453001, China
| | - Huan Li
- Henan Engineering Technology Research Center of Environmental Meteorological Medicine, The First Affiliated Hospital of Xinxiang Medical University, Xinxiang, Henan, 453001, China
| | - Yingen Chen
- Henan Engineering Technology Research Center of Environmental Meteorological Medicine, The First Affiliated Hospital of Xinxiang Medical University, Xinxiang, Henan, 453001, China
| | - Weimin Wang
- Henan Engineering Technology Research Center of Environmental Meteorological Medicine, The First Affiliated Hospital of Xinxiang Medical University, Xinxiang, Henan, 453001, China
| | - Fei Lin
- Henan Engineering Technology Research Center of Environmental Meteorological Medicine, The First Affiliated Hospital of Xinxiang Medical University, Xinxiang, Henan, 453001, China.
| | - Guoan Zhao
- Henan Engineering Technology Research Center of Environmental Meteorological Medicine, The First Affiliated Hospital of Xinxiang Medical University, Xinxiang, Henan, 453001, China.
| |
Collapse
|
10
|
Gulcebi MI, Leddy S, Behl K, Dijk DJ, Marder E, Maslin M, Mavrogianni A, Tipton M, Werring DJ, Sisodiya SM. Imperatives and co-benefits of research into climate change and neurological disease. Nat Rev Neurol 2025; 21:216-228. [PMID: 39833457 DOI: 10.1038/s41582-024-01055-6] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Accepted: 12/19/2024] [Indexed: 01/22/2025]
Abstract
Evidence suggests that anthropogenic climate change is accelerating and is affecting human health globally. Despite urgent calls to address health effects in the context of the additional challenges of environmental degradation, biodiversity loss and ageing populations, the effects of climate change on specific health conditions are still poorly understood. Neurological diseases contribute substantially to the global burden of disease, and the possible direct and indirect consequences of climate change for people with these conditions are a cause for concern. Unaccustomed temperature extremes can impair the systems of resilience of the brain, thereby exacerbating or increasing susceptibility to neurological disease. In this Perspective, we explore how changing weather patterns resulting from climate change affect sleep - an essential restorative human brain activity, the quality of which is important for people with neurological diseases. We also consider the pervasive and complex influences of climate change on two common neurological conditions: stroke and epilepsy. We highlight the urgent need for research into the mechanisms underlying the effects of climate change on the brain in health and disease. We also discuss how neurologists can respond constructively to the climate crisis by raising awareness and promoting mitigation measures and research - actions that will bring widespread co-benefits.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Medine I Gulcebi
- Department of Clinical and Experimental Epilepsy, UCL Queen Square Institute of Neurology, London, UK
- Chalfont Centre for Epilepsy, Chalfont St Peter, UK
- Department of Medical Pharmacology, Marmara University School of Medicine, Istanbul, Turkey
| | - Sara Leddy
- Department of Clinical and Experimental Epilepsy, UCL Queen Square Institute of Neurology, London, UK
- Chalfont Centre for Epilepsy, Chalfont St Peter, UK
| | | | - Derk-Jan Dijk
- Surrey Sleep Research Centre, University of Surrey, Guildford, UK
- Care Research and Technology Centre, UK Dementia Research Institute at Imperial College London and the University of Surrey, Guildford, UK
| | - Eve Marder
- Biology Department and Volen Center, Brandeis University, Waltham, MA, USA
| | - Mark Maslin
- Department of Geography, University College London, London, UK
- Natural History Museum of Denmark, University of Copenhagen, Copenhagen, Denmark
| | - Anna Mavrogianni
- Institute for Environmental Design and Engineering, Bartlett School of Environment, Energy and Resources, Bartlett Faculty of the Built Environment, University College London, London, UK
| | - Michael Tipton
- Extreme Environments Laboratory, University of Portsmouth, Portsmouth, UK
| | - David J Werring
- Stroke Research Centre, Department of Brain Repair and Rehabilitation, UCL Queen Square Institute of Neurology, London, UK
| | - Sanjay M Sisodiya
- Department of Clinical and Experimental Epilepsy, UCL Queen Square Institute of Neurology, London, UK.
- Chalfont Centre for Epilepsy, Chalfont St Peter, UK.
| |
Collapse
|
11
|
Schimke C, Garcia E, Silva SJ, Eckel SP. Efficiency of case-crossover versus time-series study designs for extreme heat exposures. Environ Epidemiol 2025; 9:e370. [PMID: 39957762 PMCID: PMC11828017 DOI: 10.1097/ee9.0000000000000370] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/10/2024] [Accepted: 01/15/2025] [Indexed: 02/18/2025] Open
Abstract
Background Time-stratified case-crossover (CC) and Poisson time series (TS) are two popular methods for relating acute health outcomes to time-varying ubiquitous environmental exposures. Our aim is to compare the performance of these methods in estimating associations with rare, extreme heat exposures and mortality-an increasingly relevant exposure in our changing climate. Methods Daily mortality data were simulated in various scenarios similar to observed Los Angeles County data from 2014 to 2019 (N = 367,712 deaths). We treated observed temperature as either a continuous or dichotomized variable and controlled for day of week and a smooth function of time. Five temperature dichotomization cutoffs between the 80th and 99th percentile were chosen to investigate the effects of extreme heat events. In each of 10,000 simulations, the CC and several TS models with varying degrees of freedom for time were fit to the data. We reported bias, variance, and relative efficiency (ratio of variance for a "reference" TS method to variance of another method) of temperature association estimates. Results CC estimates had larger uncertainty than TS methods, with the relative efficiency of CC ranging from 91% under the 80th percentile cutoff to 80% under the 99th percentile cutoff. As previously reported, methods best capturing data-generating time trends generally had the least bias. Additionally, TS estimates for observed Los Angeles data were larger with less uncertainty. Conclusions We provided new evidence that, compared with TS, CC has increasingly poor efficiency for rarer exposures in ecological study settings with shared, regional exposures, regardless of underlying time trends. Analysts should consider these results when applying either TS or CC methods.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Caleb Schimke
- Department of Population and Public Health Sciences, Keck School of Medicine, University of Southern California, Los Angeles, California
| | - Erika Garcia
- Department of Population and Public Health Sciences, Keck School of Medicine, University of Southern California, Los Angeles, California
| | - Sam J. Silva
- Department of Population and Public Health Sciences, Keck School of Medicine, University of Southern California, Los Angeles, California
- Department of Earth Sciences, Dornsife College of Letters, Arts and Sciences, University of Southern California, Los Angeles, California
| | - Sandrah P. Eckel
- Department of Population and Public Health Sciences, Keck School of Medicine, University of Southern California, Los Angeles, California
| |
Collapse
|
12
|
Cardone B, Di Martino F, Mauriello C, Miraglia V. A Fuzzy-Based Model to Detect Hotspots of Air Pollutants During Heatwaves in Urban Settlements. SENSORS (BASEL, SWITZERLAND) 2025; 25:2160. [PMID: 40218673 PMCID: PMC11990986 DOI: 10.3390/s25072160] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/16/2025] [Revised: 03/20/2025] [Accepted: 03/27/2025] [Indexed: 04/14/2025]
Abstract
High concentrations of pollutants in urban areas generate cardiovascular and respiratory problems in citizens; these are aggravated by the persistence of summer heatwaves. For this reason, in this research, we propose a fuzzy-based method for detecting air pollutant hotspots and determining critical urban areas for air pollution during heatwaves. After acquiring the pollutant concentration values recorded by monitoring stations during heatwaves, a spatial interpolation method is applied to obtain the distribution of the pollutant concentration during heatwaves and, subsequently, a fuzzification process is performed to determine urban hotspots in which the pollutant concentration assumes critical values. Finally, the critical urban areas are determined, consisting of the areas within hotspots with a high population density exposed to health risks. The method was implemented in a GIS platform and tested on an urban study area in the Lombardy region, Italy, to determine the urban areas with high criticality during the heatwaves that occurred in the summer months of 2024. The test results show that the method can provide valid support for decision makers and local administrators when evaluating which urban areas are most critical for the population due to the high rate of air pollution during heatwaves.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Barbara Cardone
- Department of Architecture, University of Naples Federico II, Via Toledo 402, 80134 Napoli, Italy; (B.C.); (C.M.); (V.M.)
| | - Ferdinando Di Martino
- Department of Architecture, University of Naples Federico II, Via Toledo 402, 80134 Napoli, Italy; (B.C.); (C.M.); (V.M.)
- Center for Interdepartmental Research “Alberto Calza Bini”, University of Naples Federico II, Via Toledo 402, 80134 Napoli, Italy
| | - Cristiano Mauriello
- Department of Architecture, University of Naples Federico II, Via Toledo 402, 80134 Napoli, Italy; (B.C.); (C.M.); (V.M.)
| | - Vittorio Miraglia
- Department of Architecture, University of Naples Federico II, Via Toledo 402, 80134 Napoli, Italy; (B.C.); (C.M.); (V.M.)
| |
Collapse
|
13
|
Yao Y, Jerrett M, Zhu T, Kelly FJ, Zhu Y. Equitable energy transitions for a healthy future: combating air pollution and climate change. BMJ 2025; 388:e084352. [PMID: 40132812 DOI: 10.1136/bmj-2025-084352] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 03/27/2025]
Affiliation(s)
- Yuan Yao
- Department of Environmental Health Sciences, Jonathan and Karin Fielding School of Public Health, University of California, Los Angeles, Los Angeles, USA
| | - Michael Jerrett
- Department of Environmental Health Sciences, Jonathan and Karin Fielding School of Public Health, University of California, Los Angeles, Los Angeles, USA
| | - Tong Zhu
- College of Environmental Sciences and Engineering, Center for Environment and Health, Peking University, Beijing, China
| | - Frank J Kelly
- Environmental Research Group, MRC Centre for Environment and Health, Imperial College London, London, UK
| | - Yifang Zhu
- Department of Environmental Health Sciences, Jonathan and Karin Fielding School of Public Health, University of California, Los Angeles, Los Angeles, USA
- Institute of Environment and Sustainability, University of California, Los Angeles, Los Angeles, USA
| |
Collapse
|
14
|
Li A, Luo H, Zhu Y, Zhang Z, Liu B, Kan H, Jia H, Wu Z, Guo Y, Chen R. Climate warming may undermine sleep duration and quality in repeated-measure study of 23 million records. Nat Commun 2025; 16:2609. [PMID: 40097430 PMCID: PMC11914098 DOI: 10.1038/s41467-025-57781-y] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/18/2024] [Accepted: 02/26/2025] [Indexed: 03/19/2025] Open
Abstract
The impact of rising ambient temperatures on sleep and its phases under climate change is becoming increasingly concerning but remains underexplored. Sleep, consisting of non-rapid eye movement and rapid eye movement phases, is crucial for health, and insufficient sleep in either phase could have significant implications. Based on sleep monitoring data of 23 million days from 214,445 participants across mainland China, we investigated how daily average temperature affected sleep. For each 10 °C increase in ambient temperature, the odds of sleep insufficiency increased by 20.1%, while total sleep duration decreased by 9.67 minutes, with deep sleep declining the most (by 2.82%). Projections under the unrestricted (SSP5-8.5) greenhouse gas emission scenario suggest that by the end of the century, sleep insufficiency could rise by 10.50%, with an annual loss of 33.28 hours of sleep per person. These findings highlight the potential of climate warming to exacerbate sleep deprivation and degrade sleep quality, especially for the elderly, women, individuals with obesity, and regions of South, Centre and East.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Anni Li
- School of Public Health, Key Lab of Public Health Safety of the Ministry of Education and NHC Key Lab of Health Technology Assessment, Fudan University, Shanghai, 200032, China
| | - Huihuan Luo
- School of Public Health, Key Lab of Public Health Safety of the Ministry of Education and NHC Key Lab of Health Technology Assessment, Fudan University, Shanghai, 200032, China
| | - Yixiang Zhu
- School of Public Health, Key Lab of Public Health Safety of the Ministry of Education and NHC Key Lab of Health Technology Assessment, Fudan University, Shanghai, 200032, China
| | - Zheqi Zhang
- Department of Pulmonary Vessel and Thrombotic Disease, Sixth Medical Center, Chinese PLA General Hospital, Beijing, China
| | - Binbin Liu
- Department of Pulmonary Vessel and Thrombotic Disease, Sixth Medical Center, Chinese PLA General Hospital, Beijing, China
| | - Haidong Kan
- School of Public Health, Key Lab of Public Health Safety of the Ministry of Education and NHC Key Lab of Health Technology Assessment, Fudan University, Shanghai, 200032, China
| | - Huixun Jia
- Department of Ophthalmology, Shanghai General Hospital, Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine, Shanghai, China.
| | - Zhenyu Wu
- School of Public Health, Key Lab of Public Health Safety of the Ministry of Education and NHC Key Lab of Health Technology Assessment, Fudan University, Shanghai, 200032, China.
| | - Yutao Guo
- Department of Pulmonary Vessel and Thrombotic Disease, Sixth Medical Center, Chinese PLA General Hospital, Beijing, China.
| | - Renjie Chen
- School of Public Health, Key Lab of Public Health Safety of the Ministry of Education and NHC Key Lab of Health Technology Assessment, Fudan University, Shanghai, 200032, China.
| |
Collapse
|
15
|
Zou Z, Xu R, Lv Z, Zhang Z, Liu N, Fang D, Chen J, Li M, Zou D, Liu J, Liu Y, Huang S. Heat wave, fine particulate matter, and cardiovascular disease mortality: A time-stratified case-crossover study in Shenzhen, China. ECOTOXICOLOGY AND ENVIRONMENTAL SAFETY 2025; 292:117944. [PMID: 40037077 DOI: 10.1016/j.ecoenv.2025.117944] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/30/2024] [Revised: 02/19/2025] [Accepted: 02/19/2025] [Indexed: 03/06/2025]
Abstract
BACKGROUND In the context of global warming, the frequency of heat wave and the concentration of fine particulate matter (PM2.5) have increased, and more people are co-exposed to air pollution and extreme heat. However, the interaction between heat wave and PM2.5 on cardiovascular disease (CVD) mortality remained largely unknown. METHODS We conducted a time-stratified case-crossover study of 40,169 CVD deaths in Shenzhen, China between 2013 and 2022. Meteorological data and air pollutants information were obtained based on the residential addresses from the validated grid datasets. A total of 21 heat wave definitions were constructed using various relative temperature thresholds and durations. Conditional logistic regression was used to evaluate the independent and interactive effects of exposure to heat wave and PM2.5 on CVD mortality. RESULTS The odds ratios (ORs) and 95 % confidence intervals (CIs) for CVD mortality associated with heat waves ranged from 1.17 (95 % CI: 1.001,1.36) to 1.91 (95 % CI: 1.42, 2.56). For every increase of 10 µg/m³ in PM2.5 exposure, the ORs (95 % CI) for CVD mortality ranged from 1.0283 (95 % CI: 1.0162, 1.0406) to 1.029 (95 % CI: 1.0169, 1.0413). There was a synergistic effect between heat wave and PM2.5 exposures on CVD mortality. It was estimated that up to 2.03 % of CVD deaths were attributable to heat wave and PM2.5 levels exceeding the interim target 4 in the World Health Organization air quality guidelines (≥ 25 μg/m3), resulting in 816 premature deaths. Females and individuals over 75 years old were vulnerable populations. CONCLUSIONS Heat wave and PM2.5 exposures individually and synergistically contributed to increased risks of CVD mortality. Our findings indicate that reducing exposure to both heat wave and PM2.5 may yield significant health benefits and prevent a significant portion of premature deaths from CVDs.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Ziyang Zou
- Shenzhen Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Shenzhen, Guangdong, China; School of Public Health, Southern Medical University, Guangzhou, Guangdong, China
| | - Ruijun Xu
- Department of Epidemiology, School of Public Health, Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou, Guangdong, China
| | - Ziquan Lv
- Shenzhen Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Shenzhen, Guangdong, China
| | - Zhen Zhang
- Shenzhen Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Shenzhen, Guangdong, China
| | - Ning Liu
- Shenzhen Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Shenzhen, Guangdong, China
| | - Daokui Fang
- Shenzhen Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Shenzhen, Guangdong, China
| | - Jiaxin Chen
- Shenzhen Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Shenzhen, Guangdong, China
| | - Meilin Li
- Shenzhen Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Shenzhen, Guangdong, China
| | - Dongju Zou
- School of Public Health, Shenzhen University Medical School, Shenzhen University, Shenzhen, Guangdong, China
| | - Jinling Liu
- School of Public Health, Shenzhen University Medical School, Shenzhen University, Shenzhen, Guangdong, China
| | - Yuewei Liu
- Department of Epidemiology, School of Public Health, Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou, Guangdong, China
| | - Suli Huang
- School of Public Health, Shenzhen University Medical School, Shenzhen University, Shenzhen, Guangdong, China; Shenzhen Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Shenzhen, Guangdong, China.
| |
Collapse
|
16
|
Strong J, Barrett R, Surtee Z, O’Hare M, Conway F, Portela A. Interventions to reduce the effects of air pollution and of extreme heat on maternal, newborn, and child health outcomes: a mapping of the literature. J Glob Health 2025; 15:04035. [PMID: 39950557 PMCID: PMC11826960 DOI: 10.7189/jogh.15.04035] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 02/17/2025] Open
Abstract
Background There is an increasing awareness of the ongoing and projected impacts of air pollution and of extreme heat on maternal, newborn, and child health (MNCH) outcomes, showing significant short and long-term health problems. There is a dearth of information available for policy makers on interventions that have been implemented to reduce the impact on MNCH, impeding the integration of action into health planning. This paper presents an inventory of interventions aimed at reducing the effects of these two climate hazards on MNCH. Methods We conducted a scoping review of articles published in three databases and grey literature to identify and map interventions implemented to address the impact of air pollution and/or extreme heat on MNCH. Items were included if published between January 2016 and November 2022, regardless of language, and as this is an inventory, regardless of if the intervention was evaluated. Over 32 700 journal items were reviewed for inclusion and a sample of grey literature from web-based searches. Results A final inventory of 76 items were included. Interventions identified were primarily based in the Global North (n = 51), with the largest proportion in the USA (n = 17), while 32 items were based in the Global South. Fifty-seven items focused on air pollution, 18 on extreme heat, and one on both. Interventions were categorised in four adapted socioecological components: (i) individual and household interventions (n = 30), (ii) community and service interventions (n = 18), (iii) structural interventions and urban landscape interventions (n = 15), (iv) policy interventions (n = 16). Most items were focused on child health outcomes (n = 65); 61 items were evaluated. Conclusions This scoping review maps interventions implemented and proposes a categorisation of these to initiate reflections and dialogue on what has been done and how to start building an evidence base. The review also highlights gaps in interventions and the knowledge base, with most interventions implemented to address air pollution, in the Global North and most addressing child health need. As country programmes seek to address the impact of climate change on MNCH, additional efforts are needed to better understand what has been done, document lessons learned, agree on common outcome measurements and feasible study designs for evaluation to start building the evidence base.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Joe Strong
- Department of International Development, London School of Economics and Political Science, Houghton Street, London, UK
| | - Rachael Barrett
- Department of International Development, London School of Economics and Political Science, Houghton Street, London, UK
| | - Ziyaad Surtee
- Department of International Development, London School of Economics and Political Science, Houghton Street, London, UK
| | - Maggie O’Hare
- Department of International Development, London School of Economics and Political Science, Houghton Street, London, UK
| | - Francesca Conway
- World Health Organization Department of Maternal, Newborn, Child and Adolescent Health and Ageing, Geneva, Switzerland
| | - Anayda Portela
- World Health Organization Department of Maternal, Newborn, Child and Adolescent Health and Ageing, Geneva, Switzerland
| |
Collapse
|
17
|
Cao H, Xu R, Lu X, Jiang W, Wang L, Yu M, Wang W, Yuan J. Air pollution, temperature and mumps: A time-series study of independent and interaction effects. ECOTOXICOLOGY AND ENVIRONMENTAL SAFETY 2025; 291:117826. [PMID: 39893883 DOI: 10.1016/j.ecoenv.2025.117826] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/02/2024] [Revised: 07/31/2024] [Accepted: 01/29/2025] [Indexed: 02/04/2025]
Abstract
Understanding the associations of air pollutants and temperature with the incidence of mumps, and exploring the interaction effects of heat index (HI) and air pollutants, are crucial for disease intervention under the context of climate change. This time-series study was conducted in Jining city using data on daily mumps cases, meteorological factors and air pollutants obtained from 2015 to 2021. Distributed lag models combined with quasi-Poisson regressions were applied to examine these associations. The findings indicated a heightened risk of mumps in correlation with elevated exposure to PM2.5, PM10, and NO2. Specifically, the precent changes in the risk of mumps were 0.6 % and 0.3 % associated with per 10 μg/m3 increment in PM2.5 and PM10 at lag0 day, respectively. The cumulative effects of temperature were significantly associated with mumps, showing a "U"-shape pattern. Compared to the minimum effect value of 4 ℃, relative risk (RRs) of mumps for high and low temperature (at the 90th and 10th percentiles) were 1.961 (1.106-3.477) and 1.058 (0.976-1.158), respectively. There were significant synergistic effects between particulate matters (PMs) and HI. Compared to the low concentrations of PMs and normal heat index (NHI), co-exposure to high PMs and high heat index (HHI) has the highest risk (RRPM2.5: 1.32 and, RRPM10: 1.30). Individuals aged over 5 years was susceptible to particulate matters (PMs). Our results suggested that mitigating both PM and high temperature exposure may bring more health benefits for mumps incidence.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Haoyue Cao
- School of Public Health, North China University of Science and Technology, Tangshan, Hebei, China
| | - Rongrong Xu
- State Key Laboratory of Environmental Criteria and Risk Assessment, Chinese Research Academy of Environmental Sciences, Beijing, China
| | - Xiqian Lu
- Business Management Department, Jining Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Jining, China
| | - Wenguo Jiang
- Infectious Disease Prevention and Control Department, Jining Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Jining, China
| | - Lihua Wang
- School of Public Health, North China University of Science and Technology, Tangshan, Hebei, China
| | - Miao Yu
- School of Public Health, North China University of Science and Technology, Tangshan, Hebei, China
| | - Wenjun Wang
- Weifang Nursing Vocational College, Weifang, China.
| | - Juxiang Yuan
- School of Public Health, North China University of Science and Technology, Tangshan, Hebei, China.
| |
Collapse
|
18
|
Ning Z, Ma Y, He S, Li G, Xiao T, Ma C, Wu J. The interactive effect of extreme weather events and PM 2.5 on respiratory health among the elderly: a case-crossover study in a high-altitude city. INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF BIOMETEOROLOGY 2025; 69:331-342. [PMID: 39453518 DOI: 10.1007/s00484-024-02811-5] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/25/2024] [Revised: 09/25/2024] [Accepted: 10/20/2024] [Indexed: 10/26/2024]
Abstract
With climate change posing increasing threats and aging populations, understanding the complex relationship between extreme temperatures, PM2.5 pollution, and respiratory health among the elderly is crucial. While some research exists, there remains a significant gap in studying the combined effects of heat waves, cold spells, and PM2.5 on elderly respiratory health in high-altitude regions. We collected data from Xining (2016-2021), including respiratory disease outpatient visits, meteorological, and pollutant data. Employing a case-crossover design and conditional Poisson regression analysis, we investigated the individual and interactive impacts of heat wave, cold spell, and PM2.5 on outpatient visits for respiratory disease among the elderly. We used the relative excess odds due to interaction (REOI), proportion attributable to interaction (AP), and synergy index (S) as quantitative indicators of interaction. Our analysis revealed significant associations between heat wave, cold spell, PM2.5 exposure, and outpatient visits for respiratory disease among the elderly, with odds ratios of 1.10 (95%CI: 1.06, 1.15) and 1.16 (95%CI: 1.13, 1.20), respectively. Moreover, a synergistic effect between cold spell and PM2.5 was observed, particularly affecting vulnerable groups such as female and those aged ≥ 80. The combined exposure to cold spell and elevated PM2.5 levels was estimated to contribute to up to 0.18 (95%CI: 0.17, 0.27) of respiratory outpatient visits. This study underscores the need for urgent interventions, such as reducing PM2.5 exposure and enhancing extreme weather warning systems, to protect the respiratory health of the elderly, especially in high-altitude regions.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Zhenxu Ning
- Department of Public Health, Qinghai University Medical College, Xining, 810016, China
| | - Yanjun Ma
- Qinghai Institute of Health Sciences, Xining, 810000, China
| | - Shuzhen He
- Xining Centre for Disease Control and Prevention, Xining, 810000, China.
| | - Genshan Li
- Department of Public Health, Qinghai University Medical College, Xining, 810016, China
| | - Ting Xiao
- Changsha Stomatological Hospital, School of Dental Medicine, Hunan University of Chinese Medicine, Changsha, Hunan, China
| | - Chunguang Ma
- Xining Centre for Disease Control and Prevention, Xining, 810000, China
| | - Jing Wu
- Xining Centre for Disease Control and Prevention, Xining, 810000, China
| |
Collapse
|
19
|
Zhang X, Xi Z, Yang M, Zhang X, Wu R, Li S, Pan L, Fang Y, Lv P, Ma Y, Duan H, Wang B, Lv K. Short-term effects of combined environmental factors on respiratory disease mortality in Qingdao city: A time-series investigation. PLoS One 2025; 20:e0318250. [PMID: 39874371 PMCID: PMC11774373 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0318250] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/23/2024] [Accepted: 01/14/2025] [Indexed: 01/30/2025] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND It is crucial to comprehend the interplay between air pollution and meteorological conditions in relation to population health within the framework of "dual-carbon" targets. The purpose of this study was to investigate the impact of intricate environmental factors, encompassing both meteorological conditions and atmospheric pollutants, on respiratory disease (RD) mortality in Qingdao, a representative coastal city in China. METHODS The RD mortality cases were collected from the Chronic Disease Surveillance Monitoring System in Qingdao during Jan 1st, 2014 and Dec 31st, 2020. The distributed-lag nonlinear model and generalized additivity model were used to assess the association between daily mean temperature (DMT), air pollutant exposure and RD mortality. To ascertain the robustness of the model and further investigate this relationship, a stratified analysis and sensitivity analysis were conducted to mitigate potential confounding factors. RESULTS A total of 19,905 mortalities from RD were recorded. The minimum mortality temperature (MMT) was determined to be 23.5°C, and DMT and RD mortality showed an N-shaped relationship. At the MMT of 23.5°C, the cumulative relative risk (cumRR) for mortality within a lag period of 0-14 days from the highest temperature (31°C) was estimated at 2.114 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.475 ~ 3.028). The effect value of particulate matter (PM) also increased with a longer cumulative lag time. In the single pollutant model, the highest risk of RD mortality was observed on the lag1-day of per 10 μg/m3 increase in PM2.5 exposure, with an excess risk ratio (ER) of 0.847% (95% CI: 0.335% ~ 1.362%). The largest cumulative effect was found at a lag of 8 days, with an ER of 1.546% (95% CI: 0.483% ~ 2.621%). A similar trend was found for PM10. For O3 exposure, the highest risk was observed on the lag1-day of per 10 μg/m3 increase, with an ER of 1.073% (95% CI: 0.502% ~ 1.647%), and the largest cumulative effect occurred at a lag of 2 days with an ER of 1.113% (95%CI: 0.386% ~ 1.844%). Results from the dual-pollutants model demonstrated that the effect of PM on the risk of RD mortality remained significant and slightly increased in magnitude. Moreover, composite pollutants exhibited a higher risk effect, reaching its peak after one week; however, there was a decrease in single-day cumulative effects as more pollutant types were included. Subgroup analysis showed that females, elderly individuals, and those exposed during warm seasons demonstrated greater susceptibility to PM exposure. CONCLUSION The present study revealed a significant association between short-term exposure to high temperature, PM2.5, PM10 and O3 and the risk of RD mortality in Qingdao, even in dual- and composite-pollutants models. Furthermore, our findings indicate that females, the elderly population, and warm seasons exhibit heightened sensitivity to PM exposure.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Xin Zhang
- Department of Science and Technology, Yancheng First People’s Hospital, Yancheng, Jiangsu, China
| | - Zijian Xi
- School of Public Health, Binzhou Medical University, Yantai, Shandong, China
| | - Min Yang
- Shibei District Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Qingdao, Shandong, China
| | - Xiuqin Zhang
- Department of Environmental Health, Qingdao Municipal Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Qingdao Institute of Disease Prevention, Qingdao, Shandong, China
| | - Ruikai Wu
- School of Public Health, Xinjiang Medical University, Urumqi, Xinjiang, China
| | - Shuang Li
- School of Public Health, Binzhou Medical University, Yantai, Shandong, China
| | - Lu Pan
- Department of Environmental Health, Qingdao Municipal Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Qingdao Institute of Disease Prevention, Qingdao, Shandong, China
| | - Yuan Fang
- Qingdao Eco-Environmental Monitoring Center of Shandong Province, Qingdao, Shandong, China
| | - Peng Lv
- School of Public Health, Binzhou Medical University, Yantai, Shandong, China
| | - Yan Ma
- Qingdao Meteorological Bureau (Qingdao Marine Meteorological Bureau), Qingdao, Shandong, China
| | - Haiping Duan
- Department of Environmental Health, Qingdao Municipal Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Qingdao Institute of Disease Prevention, Qingdao, Shandong, China
| | - Bingling Wang
- Department of Environmental Health, Qingdao Municipal Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Qingdao Institute of Disease Prevention, Qingdao, Shandong, China
| | - Kunzheng Lv
- Department of Environmental Health, Qingdao Municipal Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Qingdao Institute of Disease Prevention, Qingdao, Shandong, China
| |
Collapse
|
20
|
Castro E, Healy J, Liu A, Wei Y, Kosheleva A, Schwartz J. Interactive effects between extreme temperatures and PM 2.5 on cause-specific mortality in thirteen U.S. states. ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS : ERL [WEB SITE] 2025; 20:014011. [PMID: 39649149 PMCID: PMC11622441 DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/ad97d1] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/12/2024] [Revised: 11/08/2024] [Accepted: 11/27/2024] [Indexed: 12/10/2024]
Abstract
The extent and robustness of the interaction between exposures to heat and ambient PM2.5 is unclear and little is known of the interaction between exposures to cold and ambient PM2.5. Clarifying these interactions, if any, is crucial due to the omnipresence of PM2.5 in the atmosphere and increasing scope and frequency of extreme temperature events. To investigate both of these interactions, we merged 6 073 575 individual-level mortality records from thirteen states spanning seventeen years with 1 km daily PM2.5 predictions from sophisticated prediction model and 1 km meteorology from Daymet V4. A time-stratified, bidirectional case-crossover design was used to control for confounding by individual-level, long-term and cyclic weekly characteristics. We fitted conditional logistic regressions with an interaction term between PM2.5 and extreme temperature events to investigate the potential interactive effects on mortality. Ambient PM2.5 exposure has the greatest effect on mortality by all internal causes in the 2 d moving average exposure window. Additionally, we found consistently synergistic interactions between a 10 μg m-3 increase in the 2 d moving average of PM2.5 and extreme heat with interaction odds ratios of 1.013 (95% CI: 1.000, 1.026), 1.024 (95% CI: 1.002, 1.046), and 1.033 (95% CI: 0.991, 1.077) for deaths by all internal causes, circulatory causes, and respiratory causes, respectively, which represent 75%, 156%, and 214% increases in the coefficient estimates for PM2.5 on those days. We also found evidence of interactions on the additive scale with corresponding relative excess risks due to interaction (RERIs) of 0.013 (95% CI: 0.003, 0.021), 0.020 (95% CI: 0.008, 0.031), and 0.017 (95% CI: -0.015, 0.036). Interactions with other PM2.5 exposure windows were more pronounced. For extreme cold, our results were suggestive of an antagonistic relationship. These results suggest that ambient PM2.5 interacts synergistically with exposure to extreme heat, yielding greater risks for mortality than only either exposure alone.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Edgar Castro
- Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston, MA, United States of America
| | - James Healy
- Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston, MA, United States of America
| | - Abbie Liu
- Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston, MA, United States of America
| | - Yaguang Wei
- Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston, MA, United States of America
| | - Anna Kosheleva
- Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston, MA, United States of America
| | - Joel Schwartz
- Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston, MA, United States of America
| |
Collapse
|
21
|
Hu P, Zeng Q, Chang J, Guo M, Lu F, Qi Y, Yang Z, Jia P, Deng Q, Liu J. Bidirectional effect modifications of temperature and PM 2.5 on myocardial infarction morbidity and mortality in Beijing, China from 2007 to 2021. ECOTOXICOLOGY AND ENVIRONMENTAL SAFETY 2025; 289:117682. [PMID: 39799917 DOI: 10.1016/j.ecoenv.2025.117682] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/24/2024] [Revised: 01/03/2025] [Accepted: 01/03/2025] [Indexed: 01/15/2025]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Ambient temperatures and PM2.5 can trigger myocardial infarction (MI), while little is known about the complex interplay between these two factors on MI, especially morbidity. OBJECTIVES To investigate bidirectional effect modifications of temperature and PM2.5 on MI morbidity and mortality. METHODS A time-stratified case-crossover study was conducted utilizing high-resolution data of temperature and PM2.5, along with 498,077 MI cases from the citywide registry in Beijing, China from 2007 to 2021. A conditional logistic regression model combined with a distributed lag non-linear model was used to examine linear and categorical effect modifications of temperature and PM2.5 on MI morbidity and mortality. RESULTS The PM2.5 effect on MI morbidity, modified by temperature, showed a progressive increase of odds ratio from 1.013 (95 % CI: 1.001, 1.025) to 1.027 (95 % CI: 1.012, 1.042) with rising temperatures. Stratified analysis revealed a greater PM2.5 effect in high temperature strata (1.049, 95 % CI: 1.029, 1.069) compared with low strata (1.007, 95 % CI: 0.993, 1.021) on MI morbidity (PZ test<0.001). The temperature effect on MI morbidity was also modified by PM2.5, with a gradual upward risk trend observed with increasing PM2.5 concentration. Specifically, the heat wave effect was greater at high PM2.5 concentration strata (1.097, 95 % CI: 1.042, 1.155) than at low strata (0.954, 95 % CI: 0.890, 1.023) (PZ test=0.002). The cold spell effect was greater at high PM2.5 concentration strata (1.181, 95 % CI: 1.117, 1.249) than at low strata (0.883, 95 % CI: 0.740, 1.053) (PZ test=0.002). A similar bidirectional effect modification of temperature and PM2.5 was also found in MI mortality. CONCLUSIONS Temperature and PM2.5 bidirectionally modify their effect on MI morbidity and mortality. Elevated temperatures exacerbate PM2.5 effect, while increased concentrations of PM2.5 amplify temperature effect. The combined effect of temperatures and PM2.5 should be stressed, encompassing not only extreme conditions but also the entire range of exposures.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Piaopiao Hu
- Center for Clinical and Epidemiologic Research, Beijing An Zhen Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, China; Beijing Institute of Heart, Lung and Blood Vessel Diseases, Beijing, China; National Clinical Research Center of Cardiovascular Diseases, Beijing, China; The Key Laboratory of Remodeling-Related Cardiovascular Diseases, Ministry of Education, Beijing, China; The Beijing Municipal Key Laboratory of Clinical Epidemiology, Beijing, China
| | - Qinghui Zeng
- Center for Clinical and Epidemiologic Research, Beijing An Zhen Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, China; Beijing Institute of Heart, Lung and Blood Vessel Diseases, Beijing, China; National Clinical Research Center of Cardiovascular Diseases, Beijing, China; The Key Laboratory of Remodeling-Related Cardiovascular Diseases, Ministry of Education, Beijing, China; The Beijing Municipal Key Laboratory of Clinical Epidemiology, Beijing, China
| | - Jie Chang
- Center for Clinical and Epidemiologic Research, Beijing An Zhen Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, China; Beijing Institute of Heart, Lung and Blood Vessel Diseases, Beijing, China; National Clinical Research Center of Cardiovascular Diseases, Beijing, China; The Key Laboratory of Remodeling-Related Cardiovascular Diseases, Ministry of Education, Beijing, China; The Beijing Municipal Key Laboratory of Clinical Epidemiology, Beijing, China
| | - Moning Guo
- Beijing Municipal Health Big Data and Policy Research Center, Beijing, China; Beijing Institute of Hospital Management, Beijing, China
| | - Feng Lu
- Beijing Municipal Health Big Data and Policy Research Center, Beijing, China; Beijing Institute of Hospital Management, Beijing, China
| | - Yue Qi
- Center for Clinical and Epidemiologic Research, Beijing An Zhen Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, China; Beijing Institute of Heart, Lung and Blood Vessel Diseases, Beijing, China; National Clinical Research Center of Cardiovascular Diseases, Beijing, China; The Key Laboratory of Remodeling-Related Cardiovascular Diseases, Ministry of Education, Beijing, China; The Beijing Municipal Key Laboratory of Clinical Epidemiology, Beijing, China
| | - Zhao Yang
- Center for Clinical and Epidemiologic Research, Beijing An Zhen Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, China; Beijing Institute of Heart, Lung and Blood Vessel Diseases, Beijing, China; National Clinical Research Center of Cardiovascular Diseases, Beijing, China; The Key Laboratory of Remodeling-Related Cardiovascular Diseases, Ministry of Education, Beijing, China; The Beijing Municipal Key Laboratory of Clinical Epidemiology, Beijing, China
| | - Pingping Jia
- Center for Clinical and Epidemiologic Research, Beijing An Zhen Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, China; Beijing Institute of Heart, Lung and Blood Vessel Diseases, Beijing, China; National Clinical Research Center of Cardiovascular Diseases, Beijing, China; The Key Laboratory of Remodeling-Related Cardiovascular Diseases, Ministry of Education, Beijing, China; The Beijing Municipal Key Laboratory of Clinical Epidemiology, Beijing, China
| | - Qiuju Deng
- Center for Clinical and Epidemiologic Research, Beijing An Zhen Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, China; Beijing Institute of Heart, Lung and Blood Vessel Diseases, Beijing, China; National Clinical Research Center of Cardiovascular Diseases, Beijing, China; The Key Laboratory of Remodeling-Related Cardiovascular Diseases, Ministry of Education, Beijing, China; The Beijing Municipal Key Laboratory of Clinical Epidemiology, Beijing, China.
| | - Jing Liu
- Center for Clinical and Epidemiologic Research, Beijing An Zhen Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, China; Beijing Institute of Heart, Lung and Blood Vessel Diseases, Beijing, China; National Clinical Research Center of Cardiovascular Diseases, Beijing, China; The Key Laboratory of Remodeling-Related Cardiovascular Diseases, Ministry of Education, Beijing, China; The Beijing Municipal Key Laboratory of Clinical Epidemiology, Beijing, China.
| |
Collapse
|
22
|
Wang Q, Chen C, Xu H, Liu Y, Zhong Y, Liu J, Wang M, Zhang M, Liu Y, Li J, Li T. The graded heat-health risk forecast and early warning with full-season coverage across China: a predicting model development and evaluation study. THE LANCET REGIONAL HEALTH. WESTERN PACIFIC 2025; 54:101266. [PMID: 39877409 PMCID: PMC11772993 DOI: 10.1016/j.lanwpc.2024.101266] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/25/2023] [Revised: 11/04/2024] [Accepted: 12/09/2024] [Indexed: 01/31/2025]
Abstract
Background Due to global climate change, high temperature and heatwaves have become critical issues that pose a threat to human health. An effective early warning system is essential to mitigate the health risks associated with high temperature and heatwaves. However, most of the current heatwave early warning systems are not adequately developed based on the heat-health risk model, and the health impact of hot weather has not been well managed in most countries. Methods This study proposed a "full-season coverage and population health-oriented graded early-warning" concept and developed a heat-health surveillance, forecast and early warning (HHSEW) model. The exposure-response (E-R) relationship between temperature and mortality was analyzed through a two-stage approach using time-series analysis data from 323 counties across China for the period 2013-2018. The premature mortality curve at each temperature percentile was plotted and four temperature-percentile points on the curve were determined as the thresholds of the pre-warning and warning levels 1-3 based on the variations in the rates of the segmental slopes on the curve. The HHSEW model was evaluated by comparing the frequency, the mortality risk of all-cause and cause-specific diseases, the predicted numbers of premature deaths, and the heat-related health economic burden at each warning level with those of the current high temperature early warning systems. Findings The HHSEW model determined five levels, including seasonal surveillance, pre-warning, and warning levels 1-3. There was a gradual increase in the mortality risks of all-cause and cause-specific diseases along with the increase of warning levels. The risk of all-cause mortality increased by 9.79% (95% CI: 8.59%-11.01%), 22.62% (95% CI: 19.49%-25.83%), 28.36% (95% CI: 24.72%-32.10%), and 33.87% (95% CI: 28.89%-39.06%) at the pre-warning level, warning level 1, warning level 2, and warning level 3, respectively. Through our HHSEW model, 94,008 heat-related all-cause deaths were predicted annually in the 337 major cities of China, which was much larger than the number (14,858) of the China Meteorological Administration (CMA) heatwave early-warning system currently used in China. It was estimated that the proper implementation of the HHSEW-based early warning system would save 220 billion CNY in heat-related health burden compared to the current heatwave early-warning system. Interpretation The HHSEW model has been proven to surpass the current heatwave early warning system. With its full-season coverage and graded warning levels for heat-related health risks, the HHSEW model and system can provide timely early warnings to the public, leading to significant health benefits. This methodology, labeled "full-season coverage and population health-oriented graded early-warning", should be implemented globally to mitigate the escalating health risks associated with high temperature. Funding National Natural Science Foundation of China (82425051, 42071433, 42305196, 82241051) and the Special Foundation of Basic Science and Technology Resources Survey of Ministry of Science and Technology of China (2017FY101204).
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Qing Wang
- National Key Laboratory of Intelligent Tracking and Forecasting for Infectious Diseases, Beijing, China
- China CDC Key Laboratory of Environment and Population Health, National Institute of Environmental Health, Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing, China
- China Meteorological Administration Key Laboratory of Meteorological Medicine and Health, National Institute of Environmental Health, Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing, China
| | - Chen Chen
- National Key Laboratory of Intelligent Tracking and Forecasting for Infectious Diseases, Beijing, China
- China CDC Key Laboratory of Environment and Population Health, National Institute of Environmental Health, Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing, China
- China Meteorological Administration Key Laboratory of Meteorological Medicine and Health, National Institute of Environmental Health, Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing, China
| | - Huaiyue Xu
- National Key Laboratory of Intelligent Tracking and Forecasting for Infectious Diseases, Beijing, China
- China CDC Key Laboratory of Environment and Population Health, National Institute of Environmental Health, Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing, China
- Dong Fureng Institute of Economic and Social Development, Wuhan University, Wuhan, China
| | - Yuanyuan Liu
- National Key Laboratory of Intelligent Tracking and Forecasting for Infectious Diseases, Beijing, China
- China CDC Key Laboratory of Environment and Population Health, National Institute of Environmental Health, Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing, China
- China Meteorological Administration Key Laboratory of Meteorological Medicine and Health, National Institute of Environmental Health, Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing, China
| | - Yu Zhong
- National Key Laboratory of Intelligent Tracking and Forecasting for Infectious Diseases, Beijing, China
- China CDC Key Laboratory of Environment and Population Health, National Institute of Environmental Health, Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing, China
| | - Jing Liu
- National Key Laboratory of Intelligent Tracking and Forecasting for Infectious Diseases, Beijing, China
- China CDC Key Laboratory of Environment and Population Health, National Institute of Environmental Health, Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing, China
| | - Menghan Wang
- National Key Laboratory of Intelligent Tracking and Forecasting for Infectious Diseases, Beijing, China
- China CDC Key Laboratory of Environment and Population Health, National Institute of Environmental Health, Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing, China
| | - Mengxue Zhang
- National Key Laboratory of Intelligent Tracking and Forecasting for Infectious Diseases, Beijing, China
- China CDC Key Laboratory of Environment and Population Health, National Institute of Environmental Health, Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing, China
| | - Yiting Liu
- National Key Laboratory of Intelligent Tracking and Forecasting for Infectious Diseases, Beijing, China
- China CDC Key Laboratory of Environment and Population Health, National Institute of Environmental Health, Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing, China
| | - Jing Li
- National Key Laboratory of Intelligent Tracking and Forecasting for Infectious Diseases, Beijing, China
- China CDC Key Laboratory of Environment and Population Health, National Institute of Environmental Health, Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing, China
| | - Tiantian Li
- National Key Laboratory of Intelligent Tracking and Forecasting for Infectious Diseases, Beijing, China
- China CDC Key Laboratory of Environment and Population Health, National Institute of Environmental Health, Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing, China
- China Meteorological Administration Key Laboratory of Meteorological Medicine and Health, National Institute of Environmental Health, Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing, China
| |
Collapse
|
23
|
Ren N, Huang H, Liu B, Wu C, Xiang J, Zhou Q, Kang S, Zhang X, Jiang Y. Interactive effects of atmospheric oxidising pollutants and heat waves on the risk of residential mortality. Glob Health Action 2024; 17:2313340. [PMID: 38381455 PMCID: PMC10883108 DOI: 10.1080/16549716.2024.2313340] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/08/2023] [Accepted: 01/29/2024] [Indexed: 02/22/2024] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND The impact of heat waves and atmospheric oxidising pollutants on residential mortality within the framework of global climate change has become increasingly important. OBJECTIVE In this research, the interactive effects of heat waves and oxidising pollutants on the risk of residential mortality in Fuzhou were examined. Methods We collected environmental, meteorological, and residential mortality data in Fuzhou from 1 January 2016, to 31 December 2021. We then applied a generalised additive model, distributed lagged nonlinear model, and bivariate three-dimensional model to investigate the effects and interactions of various atmospheric oxidising pollutants and heat waves on the risk of residential mortality. RESULTS Atmospheric oxidising pollutants increased the risk of residential mortality at lower concentrations, and O3 and Ox were positively associated with a maximum risk of 2.19% (95% CI: 0.74-3.66) and 1.29% (95% CI: 0.51-2.08). The risk of residential mortality increased with increasing temperature, with a strong and long-lasting effect and a maximum cumulative lagged effect of 1.11% (95% CI: 1.01, 1.23). Furthermore, an interaction between atmospheric oxidising pollutants and heat waves may have occurred: the larger effects in the longest cumulative lag time on residential mortality per 10 µg/m3 increase in O3, NO2 and Ox during heat waves compared to non-heat waves were [-3.81% (95% CI: -14.82, 8.63)]; [-0.45% (95% CI: -2.67, 1.81)]; [67.90% (95% CI: 11.55, 152.71)]; 16.37% (95% CI: 2.43, 32.20)]; [-3.00% (95% CI: -20.80, 18.79)]; [-0.30% (95% CI: -3.53, 3.04)]. The risk on heat wave days was significantly higher than that on non-heat wave days and higher than the separate effects of oxidising pollutants and heat waves. CONCLUSIONS Overall, we found some evidence suggesting that heat waves increase the impact of oxidising atmospheric pollutants on residential mortality to some extent.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Nan Ren
- Department of Preventive Medicine, Fujian Provincial Key Laboratory of Environment and Health, School of Public Health, Fujian Medical University, Fuzhou, China
| | - Huimin Huang
- Department of Preventive Medicine, Fujian Provincial Key Laboratory of Environment and Health, School of Public Health, Fujian Medical University, Fuzhou, China
| | - Baoying Liu
- Department of Preventive Medicine, Fujian Provincial Key Laboratory of Environment and Health, School of Public Health, Fujian Medical University, Fuzhou, China
| | - Chuancheng Wu
- Department of Preventive Medicine, Fujian Provincial Key Laboratory of Environment and Health, School of Public Health, Fujian Medical University, Fuzhou, China
| | - Jianjun Xiang
- Department of Preventive Medicine, Fujian Provincial Key Laboratory of Environment and Health, School of Public Health, Fujian Medical University, Fuzhou, China
| | - Quan Zhou
- Department of Public Health, Fuzhou Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Fuzhou, China
| | - Shuling Kang
- Department of Public Health, Fuzhou Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Fuzhou, China
| | - Xiaoyang Zhang
- Department of Public Health, Fuzhou Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Fuzhou, China
| | - Yu Jiang
- Department of Preventive Medicine, Fujian Provincial Key Laboratory of Environment and Health, School of Public Health, Fujian Medical University, Fuzhou, China
| |
Collapse
|
24
|
Qiu Y, Ma L, Ju T. Independent and compound characteristics of PM 2.5, ozone, and extreme heat pollution events in Korea. ENVIRONMENTAL MONITORING AND ASSESSMENT 2024; 197:49. [PMID: 39661248 DOI: 10.1007/s10661-024-13485-2] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/30/2024] [Accepted: 11/26/2024] [Indexed: 12/12/2024]
Abstract
In the context of global warming and rapid urbanization, the frequency of simultaneous occurrence of extreme high temperature, ozone pollution, and particulate matter pollution has increased. However, independent and composite characterization of PM2.5, ozone, and extreme heat pollution events has not been systematically analyzed so far. This study combines meteorological and pollutant data with the GTWR model in an attempt to reveal the patterns of independent heat days (IHD), compound PM2.5-ozone pollution (CPOP), and composite heat-PM2.5-ozone pollution (CHPOP). In this study, we found that in July and August in South Korea, the frequency of CPOP events, the frequency of CHPOP events, and the composite proportion of CHPOP events all show an overall pattern of east-high and west-low; the atmospheric circulation patterns of the three extreme events have brought about more stagnation conditions, which may be related to cyclone activity; the occurrence of CPOP events is mainly accompanied by a continuous decrease in relative humidity and cloud cover, both IHD and CHPOP events occur with increasing temperatures, decreasing cloudiness, and anomalously high pressures; under the same events, excluding relative humidity, PM2.5 and ozone showed similar conditions with respect to the dependence on temperature, wind speed, barometric pressure, cloudiness, and nitrogen dioxide. This study identified the independent and composite characteristics of PM2.5, ozone, and extreme heat pollution events, which can enhance early prediction and pollution prevention of these extreme events.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Yumeng Qiu
- College of Geography and Environmental Science, Northwest Normal University, Gansu Province, Lanzhou, 730000, China
| | - Libang Ma
- College of Geography and Environmental Science, Northwest Normal University, Gansu Province, Lanzhou, 730000, China.
- Key Laboratory of Resource Environment and Sustainable Development of Oasis, Gansu Province, Lanzhou, 730070, China.
- Institute of Urban and Rural Developmentand, Gansu Province , Collaborative Governance of Northwest, Lanzhou, 730070, China.
| | - Tianzhen Ju
- College of Geography and Environmental Science, Northwest Normal University, Gansu Province, Lanzhou, 730000, China
| |
Collapse
|
25
|
Lei Y, Lei TH, Lu C, Zhang X, Wang F. Wildfire Smoke: Health Effects, Mechanisms, and Mitigation. ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCE & TECHNOLOGY 2024; 58:21097-21119. [PMID: 39516728 DOI: 10.1021/acs.est.4c06653] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/16/2024]
Abstract
Wildfires are becoming more frequent and intense on a global scale, raising concerns about their acute and long-term effects on human health. We conducted a systematic review of the current epidemiological evidence on wildfire health risks and a meta-analysis to investigate the association between wildfire smoke exposure and various health outcomes. We discovered that wildfire smoke increases the risk of premature deaths and respiratory morbidity in the general population. Meta-analysis of cause-specific mortality and morbidity revealed that wildfire smoke had the strongest associations with cardiovascular mortality (RR: 1.018, 95% CI: 1.014-1.021), asthma hospitalization (RR: 1.054, 95% CI: 1.026-1.082), and asthma emergency department visits (RR: 1.117, 95% CI: 1.035-1.204) in the general population. Subgroup analyses of age found that adults and elderly adults were more susceptible to the cardiopulmonary effects of wildfire smoke. Next, we systematically addressed the toxicological mechanisms of wildfire smoke, including direct toxicity, oxidative stress, inflammatory reactions, immune dysregulation, genotoxicity and mutations, skin allergies, inflammation, and others. We discuss wildfire smoke risk mitigation strategies including public health interventions, regulatory measures, and personal actions. We conclude by highlighting current research limitations and future directions for wildfire research, such as elucidating the complex interactions of wildfire smoke components on human health, developing personalized risk assessment tools, and improving resilience and adaptation strategies to mitigate the health effects of wildfires in changing climate.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Ying Lei
- Centre for Molecular Biosciences and Non-Communicable Diseases, School of Safety Science and Technology, Xi'an University of Science and Technology, Xi'an 710054, China
| | - Tze-Huan Lei
- Centre for Molecular Biosciences and Non-Communicable Diseases, School of Safety Science and Technology, Xi'an University of Science and Technology, Xi'an 710054, China
| | - Chan Lu
- XiangYa School of Public Health, Central South University, Changsha 410008, China
| | - Xue Zhang
- Centre for Molecular Biosciences and Non-Communicable Diseases, School of Safety Science and Technology, Xi'an University of Science and Technology, Xi'an 710054, China
| | - Faming Wang
- Centre for Molecular Biosciences and Non-Communicable Diseases, School of Safety Science and Technology, Xi'an University of Science and Technology, Xi'an 710054, China
- Division of Animal and Human Health Engineering, Department of Biosystems, KU Leuven, Kasteelpark Arenberg 30, Leuven 3001, Belgium
| |
Collapse
|
26
|
Deng B, Zhu L, Zhang Y, Tang Z, Shen J, Zhang Y, Zheng H, Zhang Y. Short-term exposure to PM 2.5 constituents, extreme temperature events and stroke mortality. THE SCIENCE OF THE TOTAL ENVIRONMENT 2024; 954:176506. [PMID: 39341242 DOI: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.176506] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/02/2024] [Revised: 09/19/2024] [Accepted: 09/23/2024] [Indexed: 09/30/2024]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Fine particulate matter (PM2.5) pollution and extreme temperature events (ETEs) are main environmental threats to human health. Elevated stroke mortality has been growingly linked to PM2.5 mass exposure, while its relationship with PM2.5 constituents was extensively unstudied across the globe. Additionally, no prior assessments have investigated the interactive effects of PM2.5 constituents and ETEs on stroke mortality. METHODS Province-wide records of 320,372 stroke deaths collected in eastern China during 2016-2019 were analyzed using an individual-level time-stratified case-crossover design. Daily gridded estimates of PM2.5 mass and its major constituents (i.e., black carbon [BC], organic matter [OM], ammonium [NH4+], sulfate [SO42-], and nitrate [NO3-]) were assigned to stroke cases on case days and control days at the residential address. We assessed 12 ETEs defined by multiple combinations of air temperature thresholds (2.5-10th percentiles for cold spell, 90-97.5th percentiles for heat wave) and durations (2-4 days). Conditional logistic regression model was applied to investigate associations of short-term exposure to PM2.5 constituents and ETEs with stroke mortality. Odds ratio and its 95% confidence interval (CI) were assessed for an interquartile range (IQR) increase in each PM2.5 constituent and on ETEs days compared with non-ETEs days. Additive interactive effects were quantitatively evaluated via relative excess odds due to interaction (REOI), attributable proportion due to interaction (AP), and synergy index (SI). RESULTS Elevated overall stroke mortality was significantly related to PM2.5 constituents, with the largest odds observed for NO3- (1.04, 95% CI: 1.03-1.04, IQR = 11.25 μg/m3), followed by OM (1.03, 1.03-1.04, IQR = 7.97 μg/m3), NH4+ (1.03, 1.02-1.04, IQR = 6.66 μg/m3), BC (1.03, 1.02-1.03, IQR = 1.41 μg/m3), and SO42- (1.03, 1.02-1.03, IQR = 6.67 μg/m3). Overall, higher risks of stroke mortality were identified in analyses using more rigorous thresholds and lengthened durations of ETEs definitions, ranging from 1.19 (1.17-1.21) to 1.55 (1.51-1.60) for heat wave, and 1.03 (1.02-1.05) to 1.11 (1.08-1.15) for cold spell, respectively. We observed consistent evidence for the synergistic effects of heat wave and PM2.5 constituents on both ischemic and hemorrhagic stroke mortality, where compound exposures to heat wave and secondary inorganic aerosols (i.e., NO3-, SO42-, and NH4+) posed greater increases in risk (0.23< REOI <0.81, 0.16< AP <0.39, and 2.63< SI <8.19). CONCLUSIONS Short-term exposure to both PM2.5 constituents and ETEs were associated with heightened stroke mortality, and heat wave may interact synergistically with PM2.5 constituents to trigger stroke deaths.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Boning Deng
- Hubei Province Key Laboratory of Occupational Hazard Identification and Control, School of Public Health, Wuhan University of Science and Technology, Wuhan 430065, China
| | - Lifeng Zhu
- Hubei Province Key Laboratory of Occupational Hazard Identification and Control, School of Public Health, Wuhan University of Science and Technology, Wuhan 430065, China
| | - Yuanyuan Zhang
- Wuhan Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Wuhan 430022, China
| | - Ziqing Tang
- Hubei Province Key Laboratory of Occupational Hazard Identification and Control, School of Public Health, Wuhan University of Science and Technology, Wuhan 430065, China
| | - Jiajun Shen
- Hubei Province Key Laboratory of Occupational Hazard Identification and Control, School of Public Health, Wuhan University of Science and Technology, Wuhan 430065, China
| | - Yalin Zhang
- Hubei Province Key Laboratory of Occupational Hazard Identification and Control, School of Public Health, Wuhan University of Science and Technology, Wuhan 430065, China
| | - Hao Zheng
- Department of Environmental Health, Jiangsu Provincial Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Nanjing 210009, China.
| | - Yunquan Zhang
- Hubei Province Key Laboratory of Occupational Hazard Identification and Control, School of Public Health, Wuhan University of Science and Technology, Wuhan 430065, China.
| |
Collapse
|
27
|
Myers LC, Rosser F. A Comment about Studying the Health Effects of Smoke Produced by Prescribed Fire. Am J Respir Crit Care Med 2024; 210:1383. [PMID: 39392780 PMCID: PMC11622433 DOI: 10.1164/rccm.202408-1536le] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/06/2024] [Accepted: 09/25/2024] [Indexed: 10/13/2024] Open
Affiliation(s)
- Laura C. Myers
- Kaiser Permanente Northern California, Oakland, California; and
| | - Franziska Rosser
- Division of Pulmonary Medicine, Department of Pediatrics, University of Pittsburgh School of Medicine, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania
| |
Collapse
|
28
|
Münzel T, Khraishah H, Schneider A, Lelieveld J, Daiber A, Rajagopalan S. Challenges posed by climate hazards to cardiovascular health and cardiac intensive care: implications for mitigation and adaptation. EUROPEAN HEART JOURNAL. ACUTE CARDIOVASCULAR CARE 2024; 13:731-744. [PMID: 39468673 PMCID: PMC11518858 DOI: 10.1093/ehjacc/zuae113] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/01/2024] [Accepted: 09/23/2024] [Indexed: 10/30/2024]
Abstract
Global warming, driven by increased greenhouse gas emissions, has led to unprecedented extreme weather events, contributing to higher morbidity and mortality rates from a variety of health conditions, including cardiovascular disease (CVD). The disruption of multiple planetary boundaries has increased the probability of connected, cascading, and catastrophic disasters with magnified health impacts on vulnerable populations. While the impact of climate change can be manifold, non-optimal air temperatures (NOTs) pose significant health risks from cardiovascular events. Vulnerable populations, especially those with pre-existing CVD, face increased risks of acute cardiovascular events during NOT. Factors such as age, socio-economic status, minority populations, and environmental conditions (especially air pollution) amplify these risks. With rising global surface temperatures, the frequency and intensity of heatwaves and cold spells are expected to increase, emphasizing the need to address their health impacts. The World Health Organization recommends implementing heat-health action plans, which include early warning systems, public education on recognizing heat-related symptoms, and guidelines for adjusting medications during heatwaves. Additionally, intensive care units must be prepared to handle increased patient loads and the specific challenges posed by extreme heat. Comprehensive and proactive adaptation and mitigation strategies with health as a primary consideration and measures to enhance resilience are essential to protect vulnerable populations and reduce the health burden associated with NOTs. The current educational review will explore the impact on cardiovascular events, future health projections, pathophysiology, drug interactions, and intensive care challenges and recommend actions for effective patient care.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Thomas Münzel
- University Medical Center Mainz, Department of Cardiology, Johannes Gutenberg University, Langenbeckstr. 1, 55131 Mainz, Germany
| | - Haitham Khraishah
- Harrington Heart and Vascular Institute, University Hospitals at Case Western Reserve University, Cleveland, OH, USA
| | - Alexandra Schneider
- Institute of Epidemiology, Helmholtz Zentrum München – German Research Center for Environmental Health, Neuherberg, Germany
| | - Jos Lelieveld
- Max Planck Institute for Chemistry, 55128 Mainz, Germany
| | - Andreas Daiber
- University Medical Center Mainz, Department of Cardiology, Johannes Gutenberg University, Langenbeckstr. 1, 55131 Mainz, Germany
| | - Sanjay Rajagopalan
- Case Cardiovascular Research Institute, Case Western Reserve University School of Medicine and University Hospitals Harrington Heart and Vascular Institute, 11100 Euclid Ave, Cleveland, OH 44106, USA
| |
Collapse
|
29
|
Garcia E, Eckel SP, Silva SJ, McConnell R, Johnston J, Sanders KT, Habre R, Baccarelli A. The future of climate health research: An urgent call for equitable action- and solution-oriented science. Environ Epidemiol 2024; 8:e331. [PMID: 39175801 PMCID: PMC11340922 DOI: 10.1097/ee9.0000000000000331] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/17/2024] [Accepted: 07/27/2024] [Indexed: 08/24/2024] Open
Affiliation(s)
- Erika Garcia
- Department of Population and Public Health Sciences, Keck School of Medicine, University of Southern California, Los Angeles, California
| | - Sandrah P. Eckel
- Department of Population and Public Health Sciences, Keck School of Medicine, University of Southern California, Los Angeles, California
| | - Sam J. Silva
- Department of Population and Public Health Sciences, Keck School of Medicine, University of Southern California, Los Angeles, California
- Department of Earth Sciences, University of Southern California, Los Angeles, California
- Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, University of Southern California, Los Angeles, California
| | - Rob McConnell
- Department of Population and Public Health Sciences, Keck School of Medicine, University of Southern California, Los Angeles, California
| | - Jill Johnston
- Department of Population and Public Health Sciences, Keck School of Medicine, University of Southern California, Los Angeles, California
| | - Kelly T. Sanders
- Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, University of Southern California, Los Angeles, California
| | - Rima Habre
- Department of Population and Public Health Sciences, Keck School of Medicine, University of Southern California, Los Angeles, California
- Spatial Sciences Institute, University of Southern California, Los Angeles, California
| | - Andrea Baccarelli
- Department of Environmental Health, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Harvard University, Boston, Massachusetts
| |
Collapse
|
30
|
Kabangu JLK, Fowler D, Hernandez A, Newsome-Cuby T, Joseph B, Dugan J, Fry L, Bah MG, Eden SV. Inequities in air pollution on stroke mortality among Older Americans: a U.S. nationwide analysis. Front Public Health 2024; 12:1364165. [PMID: 39377000 PMCID: PMC11456533 DOI: 10.3389/fpubh.2024.1364165] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/03/2024] [Accepted: 08/22/2024] [Indexed: 10/09/2024] Open
Abstract
Background Air pollution is a known risk factor for cardiovascular diseases, including stroke. This study examines the impact of county-level air pollution on ischemic and hemorrhagic stroke mortality among U.S. individuals aged 65 and older, emphasizing racial and socioeconomic disparities. Methods Using data from the Center for Disease Control (CDC) Interactive Atlas of Heart Disease and Stroke, we analyzed county-level ischemic stroke mortality rates for older residents between 2016 and 2020. The data on air pollution at the county level, specifically particulate matter (PM2.5) levels, were obtained from the CDC. We applied multivariable linear and logistic regression models to examine the association between PM2.5 levels and stroke mortality, as well as the probability of meeting the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) air quality standards. Results County-level analysis revealed a significant correlation (R = 0.68, R2 = 0.48, p < 0.001) between PM2.5 levels and overall stroke mortality. For every 1 μg/m3 increase in PM2.5, there was an increase of 1.89 ischemic stroke deaths per 100,000 residents. Racial and socioeconomic disparities were evident. Counties with predominantly Black populations exhibited a stark disparity, with each 1 μg/m3 increase in PM2.5 correlating with a significant rise in mortality, amounting to 5.81 additional deaths per 100,000 residents. Persistently poor counties displayed vulnerability, experiencing a 4.05 increase in ischemic stroke deaths per 100,000 residents for every 1 μg/m3 increase in PM2.5 levels. Conversely, in counties with a White majority and counties without a persistent state of poverty, the associated increases in stroke mortality per 100,000 residents for every 1 μg/m3 rise in county-level PM2.5 were 1.85 and 1.60, respectively. Counties with a majority of Black residents were over twice as likely to be non-compliant with EPA air quality standards compared to predominantly White counties (aOR 2.36 95% CI: 1.27-4.38, p = 0.006). Conclusion This study underscores the significant impact of county-level air pollution, particularly PM2.5, on ischemic stroke mortality among older U.S. residents. Our findings indicate that counties with predominantly Black populations and those experiencing persistent poverty not only suffer from higher mortality rates but also are more likely to be non-compliant with EPA air quality standards. Targeted interventions and policies are urgently needed to reduce air pollution in these vulnerable communities and promote equitable public health outcomes.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Jean-Luc K. Kabangu
- Department of Neurological Surgery, University of Kansas Medical Center, Kansas City, KS, United States
| | - Danny Fowler
- New York Institute of Technology, College of Osteopathic Medicine at Arkansas State University, Jonesboro, AR, United States
| | - Amanda Hernandez
- University of Michigan Medical School, Ann Arbor, MI, United States
| | - Takara Newsome-Cuby
- College of Osteopathic Medicine, Kansas City University, Kansas City, MO, United States
| | - Benson Joseph
- Department of Surgery, University of Tennessee Health Science Center, Memphis, TN, United States
| | - John Dugan
- University of Tennessee Health Science Center College of Medicine, Memphis, TN, United States
| | - Lane Fry
- University of Kansas School of Medicine, Kansas City, KS, United States
| | - Momodou G. Bah
- Michigan State University College of Human Medicine, East Lansing, MI, United States
| | - Sonia V. Eden
- Department of Neurosurgery, Semmes-Murphey Clinic, Memphis, TN, United States
- University of Tennessee Health Sciences Center, Memphis, TN, United States
| |
Collapse
|
31
|
Pan R, Wang W, Wei N, Liu L, Yi W, Song J, Cheng J, Su H, Fan Y. Does the morphology of residential greenspaces contribute to the development of a cardiovascular-healthy city? ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH 2024; 257:119280. [PMID: 38821460 DOI: 10.1016/j.envres.2024.119280] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/24/2024] [Revised: 05/04/2024] [Accepted: 05/29/2024] [Indexed: 06/02/2024]
Abstract
BACKGROUNDS Greenspaces are indispensable for the construction of a healthy city. Research has shown that greenspaces contribute to the reduction of cardiovascular risks. However, the role of greenspace morphology in the development of a healthy city is not well understood. METHODS Our study utilized data from a cardiovascular disease screening cohort comprising 106,238 residents in Anhui Province, China, aged between 35 and 75 years. We calculated landscape indices of each participant using high-resolution land cover data to measure the greenness, fragmentation, connectivity, aggregation, and shape of greenspaces. We used a multivariate linear regression model to assess the associations between these landscape indices and triglyceride risk, and employed a structural equation model to explore the potential contributions of heatwaves and fine particulate matter (PM2.5) to this association. RESULTS Overall, triglyceride was expected to increase by 0.046% (95% CI: 0.040%, 0.052%) with a 1% increase in the percentage of built-up area. Conversely, an increase in the percentage of greenspace was associated with a 0.270% (95% CI: 0.337%, -0.202%) decrease in triglyceride levels. Furthermore, when the total greenspace was held constant, the shape, connectedness, and aggregation of greenspace were inversely correlated with triglyceride levels, with effects of -0.605% (95% CI: 1.012%, -0.198%), -0.031% (95% CI: 0.039%, -0.022%), and -0.049% (95% CI: 0.058%, -0.039%), respectively. Likewise, the protective effect of the area-weighed mean shape index was higher than that of the total amount of greenspace. The stratification results showed that urban residents benefited more from greenspace exposure. Greenspace morphology can minimize triglyceride risk by reducing pollutant and heatwaves, with aggregation having the greatest effect on reducing pollutants whereas fragmentation is more efficient at reducing heatwaves. CONCLUSION Exposure to the greenspaces morphology is associated with a reduction in triglyceride risk. The study has important practical and policy implications for early health monitoring and the spatial layout of greenspace and will provide scientific information for healthy urban planning by reducing unfavorable health consequences.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Rubing Pan
- Department of Epidemiology and Health Statistics, School of Public Health, Anhui Medical University, Hefei, Anhui, China; Center for Big Data and Population Health of IHM, Hefei, Anhui, China; Inflammation and Immune Mediated Diseases Laboratory of Anhui Province, Hefei, Anhui, China
| | - Weiqiang Wang
- Suzhou Hospital of Anhui Medical University, Suzhou, Anhui, China
| | - Ning Wei
- Department of Epidemiology and Health Statistics, School of Public Health, Anhui Medical University, Hefei, Anhui, China; Center for Big Data and Population Health of IHM, Hefei, Anhui, China; Inflammation and Immune Mediated Diseases Laboratory of Anhui Province, Hefei, Anhui, China
| | - Li Liu
- Department of Epidemiology and Health Statistics, School of Public Health, Anhui Medical University, Hefei, Anhui, China; Center for Big Data and Population Health of IHM, Hefei, Anhui, China; Inflammation and Immune Mediated Diseases Laboratory of Anhui Province, Hefei, Anhui, China
| | - Weizhuo Yi
- Department of Epidemiology and Health Statistics, School of Public Health, Anhui Medical University, Hefei, Anhui, China; Center for Big Data and Population Health of IHM, Hefei, Anhui, China; Inflammation and Immune Mediated Diseases Laboratory of Anhui Province, Hefei, Anhui, China
| | - Jian Song
- Department of Epidemiology and Health Statistics, School of Public Health, Anhui Medical University, Hefei, Anhui, China; Center for Big Data and Population Health of IHM, Hefei, Anhui, China; Inflammation and Immune Mediated Diseases Laboratory of Anhui Province, Hefei, Anhui, China
| | - Jian Cheng
- Department of Epidemiology and Health Statistics, School of Public Health, Anhui Medical University, Hefei, Anhui, China; Center for Big Data and Population Health of IHM, Hefei, Anhui, China; Inflammation and Immune Mediated Diseases Laboratory of Anhui Province, Hefei, Anhui, China
| | - Hong Su
- Department of Epidemiology and Health Statistics, School of Public Health, Anhui Medical University, Hefei, Anhui, China; Center for Big Data and Population Health of IHM, Hefei, Anhui, China; Inflammation and Immune Mediated Diseases Laboratory of Anhui Province, Hefei, Anhui, China.
| | - Yinguang Fan
- Department of Epidemiology and Health Statistics, School of Public Health, Anhui Medical University, Hefei, Anhui, China; Center for Big Data and Population Health of IHM, Hefei, Anhui, China.
| |
Collapse
|
32
|
Tetzlaff EJ, Goulet N, Gorman M, Richardson GR, Enright PM, Henderson SB, Kenny GP. Media-Based Post-Event Impact Analysis of the 2021 Heat Dome in Canada. ENVIRONMENTAL HEALTH INSIGHTS 2024; 18:11786302241276669. [PMID: 39247720 PMCID: PMC11378224 DOI: 10.1177/11786302241276669] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/27/2024] [Accepted: 07/25/2024] [Indexed: 09/10/2024]
Abstract
The unprecedented 2021 Heat Dome caused wide-ranging and long-lasting impacts in western Canada, including 619 confirmed heat-related deaths in British Columbia, a doubling of emergency medical calls, increased hospitalisations, infrastructure failures and stress on plants and animals. However, such varied socio-economic consequences of extreme heat can be challenging to capture using a single post-event analysis method. Therefore, there is a need to explore alternative approaches and data sources. Using the 2021 Heat Dome as a case study, a post-event analysis using online news media articles (n = 2909) from 5 subscription news databases and a grey literature search was conducted to identify the socio-economic impacts of the extreme heat event in Canada. The articles reported a wide range of effects to the natural environment (n = 1366), social infrastructure and services (n = 1121), human health (n = 1074), critical infrastructure (n = 988) and the private sector (n = 165). The media-based post-event analysis captured various impacts, some of which have not been identified through other data sources and approaches. Overall, we show that media analysis can complement traditional post-event analysis methods and provide additional perspectives to governments and public health and safety officials.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Emily J Tetzlaff
- Human and Environmental Physiology Research Unit, School of Human Kinetics, Faculty of Health Sciences, University of Ottawa, Ottawa, ON, Canada
- Heat Division, Climate Change and Health Office, Health Canada, Ottawa, ON, Canada
| | - Nicholas Goulet
- Human and Environmental Physiology Research Unit, School of Human Kinetics, Faculty of Health Sciences, University of Ottawa, Ottawa, ON, Canada
- Heat Division, Climate Change and Health Office, Health Canada, Ottawa, ON, Canada
- Behavioural and Metabolic Research Unit, School of Human Kinetics, Faculty of Health Sciences, University of Ottawa, Ottawa, ON, Canada
| | - Melissa Gorman
- Heat Division, Climate Change and Health Office, Health Canada, Ottawa, ON, Canada
| | | | - Paddy M Enright
- Heat Division, Climate Change and Health Office, Health Canada, Ottawa, ON, Canada
| | - Sarah B Henderson
- Environmental Health Services, British Columbia Centre for Disease Control, Vancouver, BC, Canada
| | - Glen P Kenny
- Human and Environmental Physiology Research Unit, School of Human Kinetics, Faculty of Health Sciences, University of Ottawa, Ottawa, ON, Canada
- Clinical Epidemiology Program, Ottawa Hospital Research Institute, Ottawa, ON, Canada
| |
Collapse
|
33
|
Liu J, Song R, Pan R, Yi W, Jin X, Song J, Cheng J, Zhang X, Su H. Extreme temperatures, PM 2.5 and trajectories of impaired thyroid hormone sensitivity: A longitudinal study of patients with schizophrenia. ENVIRONMENT INTERNATIONAL 2024; 191:108961. [PMID: 39173235 DOI: 10.1016/j.envint.2024.108961] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/28/2024] [Revised: 08/14/2024] [Accepted: 08/14/2024] [Indexed: 08/24/2024]
Abstract
BACKGROUND The climate change scenario has witnessed an increase in extreme temperature events (ETEs), including heat waves and cold spells, and a heightened occurrence of compounding with fine particulate matter (PM2.5). However, the impact of this phenomenon on the sensitivity to thyroid hormones (THs) in humans is unclear, especially in a group as specific as schizophrenia. METHODS A longitudinal study was constructed using longitudinal measurements of thyroid function in schizophrenia in the Anhui Mental Health Center. The latent growth mixture model was applied to assess the optimal trajectory of change in impaired THs sensitivity. We then used logistic regression to explore associations between heat waves, cold spells, and PM2.5 with impaired THs sensitivity trajectories in the total population and different gender and age subgroups. Furthermore, the effect of the frequency, intensity, and duration of ETEs in the above associations was explored, as well as an assessment of the interaction between ETEs and PM2.5. RESULTS Among 931 participants, we identified two classifications of trajectories of impaired THs sensitivity: "Low-stable" (n = 836, 89.80 %) and "Rise-slight down" (n = 95, 10.20 %). Logistic regression showed significant associations between each additional day of heat waves (≥3 days with temperature thresholds above the 95th percentile) and cold spells (≥3 days with temperature thresholds below the 5th percentile) and "Rise-slight down" trajectory, with odds ratios (95 % confidence intervals) of 1.06 (1.02, 1.10) and 1.19 (1.14, 1.24), respectively, and the strength of this association increased with the intensity and duration of ETEs. Subgroup analyses indicated that the association was more pronounced in males and the age group above 40 years. Furthermore, PM2.5 was found to interact with heat waves, with high concentrations exacerbating the effects of heat waves. CONCLUSIONS Our findings suggest that mitigating both ETEs and PM2.5 exposures may bring health co-benefits in preventing thyroid impairment in schizophrenia.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Jintao Liu
- Department of Epidemiology and Health Statistics, School of Public Health, Anhui Medical University, Hefei, Anhui, China; Center for Big Data and Population Health of IHM, Hefei, Anhui, China; Inflammation and Immune Mediated Diseases Laboratory of Anhui Province, Hefei, Anhui, China; Anhui Mental Health Center (Affiliated Psychological Hospital of Anhui Medical University), Hefei, Anhui, China
| | - Rong Song
- Department of Epidemiology and Health Statistics, School of Public Health, Anhui Medical University, Hefei, Anhui, China; Center for Big Data and Population Health of IHM, Hefei, Anhui, China; Inflammation and Immune Mediated Diseases Laboratory of Anhui Province, Hefei, Anhui, China; Anhui Mental Health Center (Affiliated Psychological Hospital of Anhui Medical University), Hefei, Anhui, China
| | - Rubing Pan
- Department of Epidemiology and Health Statistics, School of Public Health, Anhui Medical University, Hefei, Anhui, China; Center for Big Data and Population Health of IHM, Hefei, Anhui, China; Inflammation and Immune Mediated Diseases Laboratory of Anhui Province, Hefei, Anhui, China; Anhui Mental Health Center (Affiliated Psychological Hospital of Anhui Medical University), Hefei, Anhui, China
| | - Weizhuo Yi
- Department of Epidemiology and Health Statistics, School of Public Health, Anhui Medical University, Hefei, Anhui, China; Center for Big Data and Population Health of IHM, Hefei, Anhui, China; Inflammation and Immune Mediated Diseases Laboratory of Anhui Province, Hefei, Anhui, China; Anhui Mental Health Center (Affiliated Psychological Hospital of Anhui Medical University), Hefei, Anhui, China
| | - Xiaoyu Jin
- Department of Epidemiology and Health Statistics, School of Public Health, Anhui Medical University, Hefei, Anhui, China; Center for Big Data and Population Health of IHM, Hefei, Anhui, China; Inflammation and Immune Mediated Diseases Laboratory of Anhui Province, Hefei, Anhui, China; Anhui Mental Health Center (Affiliated Psychological Hospital of Anhui Medical University), Hefei, Anhui, China
| | - Jian Song
- Department of Epidemiology and Health Statistics, School of Public Health, Anhui Medical University, Hefei, Anhui, China; Center for Big Data and Population Health of IHM, Hefei, Anhui, China; Inflammation and Immune Mediated Diseases Laboratory of Anhui Province, Hefei, Anhui, China; Anhui Mental Health Center (Affiliated Psychological Hospital of Anhui Medical University), Hefei, Anhui, China
| | - Jian Cheng
- Department of Epidemiology and Health Statistics, School of Public Health, Anhui Medical University, Hefei, Anhui, China; Center for Big Data and Population Health of IHM, Hefei, Anhui, China; Inflammation and Immune Mediated Diseases Laboratory of Anhui Province, Hefei, Anhui, China; Anhui Mental Health Center (Affiliated Psychological Hospital of Anhui Medical University), Hefei, Anhui, China
| | - Xulai Zhang
- Anhui Mental Health Center (Affiliated Psychological Hospital of Anhui Medical University), Hefei, Anhui, China.
| | - Hong Su
- Department of Epidemiology and Health Statistics, School of Public Health, Anhui Medical University, Hefei, Anhui, China; Center for Big Data and Population Health of IHM, Hefei, Anhui, China; Inflammation and Immune Mediated Diseases Laboratory of Anhui Province, Hefei, Anhui, China; Anhui Mental Health Center (Affiliated Psychological Hospital of Anhui Medical University), Hefei, Anhui, China.
| |
Collapse
|
34
|
Jerrett M, Connolly R, Garcia-Gonzales DA, Bekker C, Nguyen JT, Su J, Li Y, Marlier ME. Climate change and public health in California: A structured review of exposures, vulnerable populations, and adaptation measures. Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A 2024; 121:e2310081121. [PMID: 39074290 PMCID: PMC11317598 DOI: 10.1073/pnas.2310081121] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/21/2023] [Accepted: 06/07/2024] [Indexed: 07/31/2024] Open
Abstract
California faces several serious direct and indirect climate exposures that can adversely affect public health, some of which are already occurring. The public health burden now and in the future will depend on atmospheric greenhouse gas concentrations, underlying population vulnerabilities, and adaptation efforts. Here, we present a structured review of recent literature to examine the leading climate risks to public health in California, including extreme heat, extreme precipitation, wildfires, air pollution, and infectious diseases. Comparisons among different climate-health pathways are difficult due to inconsistencies in study design regarding spatial and temporal scales and health outcomes examined. We find, however, that the current public health burden likely affects thousands of Californians each year, depending on the exposure pathway and health outcome. Further, while more evidence exists for direct and indirect proximal health effects that are the focus of this review, distal pathways (e.g., impacts of drought on nutrition) are more uncertain but could add to this burden. We find that climate adaptation measures can provide significant health benefits, particularly in disadvantaged communities. We conclude with priority recommendations for future analyses and solution-driven policy actions.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Michael Jerrett
- Department of Environmental Health Sciences, Fielding School of Public Health, University of California Los Angeles, Los Angeles, CA90095
| | - Rachel Connolly
- Department of Environmental Health Sciences, Fielding School of Public Health, University of California Los Angeles, Los Angeles, CA90095
| | - Diane A. Garcia-Gonzales
- Department of Environmental Health Sciences, Fielding School of Public Health, University of California Los Angeles, Los Angeles, CA90095
| | - Claire Bekker
- Department of Environmental Health Sciences, Fielding School of Public Health, University of California Los Angeles, Los Angeles, CA90095
| | - Jenny T. Nguyen
- Department of Environmental Health Sciences, Fielding School of Public Health, University of California Los Angeles, Los Angeles, CA90095
| | - Jason Su
- Department of Environmental Health Sciences, School of Public Health, University of California Berkeley, Berkeley, CA94720
| | - Yang Li
- Department of Environmental Science, Baylor University, Waco, TX76798
| | - Miriam E. Marlier
- Department of Environmental Health Sciences, Fielding School of Public Health, University of California Los Angeles, Los Angeles, CA90095
| |
Collapse
|
35
|
Uttajug A, Seposo X, Phosri A, Phung VLH, Tajudin MAA, Ueda K. Effects of Coexposure to Air Pollution from Vegetation Fires and Extreme Heat on Mortality in Upper Northern Thailand. ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCE & TECHNOLOGY 2024; 58:9945-9953. [PMID: 38806168 PMCID: PMC11171450 DOI: 10.1021/acs.est.3c08074] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/29/2023] [Revised: 05/13/2024] [Accepted: 05/14/2024] [Indexed: 05/30/2024]
Abstract
Background: understanding the effects of coexposure to compound extreme events, such as air pollution and extreme heat, is important for reducing current and future health burdens. This study investigated the independent and synergistic effects of exposure to air pollution from vegetation fires and extreme heat on all-cause mortality in Upper Northern Thailand. Methods: we used a time-stratified case-crossover study design with a conditional quasi-Poisson model to examine the association between mortality and coexposure to air pollution due to vegetation fire events (fire-PM2.5) and extreme heat. Extreme heat days were defined using the 90th and 99th percentile thresholds for daily maximum temperature. Results: we observed a significant positive excess risk of mortality due to independent exposure to fire-PM2.5 and extreme heat, but not an interactive effect. All-cause mortality risk increased by 0.9% (95% confidence interval (CI): 0.1, 1.8) for each 10 μg/m3 increase in fire-PM2.5 on the same day and by 12.8% (95% CI: 10.5, 15.1) on extreme heat days (90th percentile) relative to nonextreme heat days. Conclusion: this study showed that exposure to PM2.5 from vegetation fires and extreme heat independently increased all-cause mortality risk in UNT. However, there was no evidence of a synergistic effect of these events.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Athicha Uttajug
- Department
of Hygiene, Graduate School of Medicine, Hokkaido University, Hokkaido 060-8638, Japan
| | - Xerxes Seposo
- Department
of Hygiene, Graduate School of Medicine, Hokkaido University, Hokkaido 060-8638, Japan
| | - Arthit Phosri
- Department
of Environmental Health Sciences, Faculty of Public HealthBangkok, Mahidol University, Bangkok 10400, Thailand
| | - Vera Ling Hui Phung
- Department
of Global Health Policy, Graduate School of Medicine, The University of Tokyo, Tokyo 113-0033, Japan
| | | | - Kayo Ueda
- Department
of Hygiene, Graduate School of Medicine, Hokkaido University, Hokkaido 060-8638, Japan
| |
Collapse
|
36
|
Yan M, Li T. A Review of the Interactive Effects of Climate and Air Pollution on Human Health in China. Curr Environ Health Rep 2024; 11:102-108. [PMID: 38351403 DOI: 10.1007/s40572-024-00432-z] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Accepted: 01/27/2024] [Indexed: 05/12/2024]
Abstract
PURPOSE OF REVIEW Through a systematic search of peer-reviewed epidemiologic studies, we reviewed the literature on the human health impacts of climate and ambient air pollution, focusing on recently published studies in China. Selected previous literature is discussed where relevant in tracing the origins. RECENT FINDINGS Climate variables and air pollution have a complex interplay in affecting human health. The bulk of the literature we reviewed focuses on the air pollutants ozone and fine particulate matter and temperatures (including hot and cold extremes). The interaction between temperature and ozone presented substantial interaction, but evidence about the interactive effects of temperature with other air pollutants is inconsistent. Most included studies used a time-series design, usually with daily mean temperature and air pollutant concentration as independent variables. Still, more needs to be studied about the co-occurrence of climate and air pollution. The co-occurrence of extreme climate and air pollution events is likely to become an increasing health risk in China and many parts of the world as climate changes. Climate change can interact with air pollution exposure to amplify risks to human health. Challenges and opportunities to assess the combined effect of climate variables and air pollution on human health are discussed in this review. Implications from epidemiological studies for implementing coordinated measures and policies for addressing climate change and air pollution will be critical areas of future work.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Meilin Yan
- School of Ecology and Environment, Beijing Technology and Business University, Beijing, China
| | - Tiantian Li
- CDC Key Laboratory of Environment and Population Health, Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, National Institute of Environmental Health, Beijing, China.
| |
Collapse
|
37
|
Ning Z, He S, Liao X, Ma C, Wu J. Cold waves and fine particulate matter in high-altitude Chinese cities: assessing their interactive impact on outpatient visits for respiratory disease. BMC Public Health 2024; 24:1377. [PMID: 38778299 PMCID: PMC11110372 DOI: 10.1186/s12889-024-18896-x] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/02/2024] [Accepted: 05/20/2024] [Indexed: 05/25/2024] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Extreme weather events like heatwaves and fine particulate matter (PM2.5) have a synergistic effect on mortality, but research on the synergistic effect of cold waves and PM2.5 on outpatient visits for respiratory disease, especially at high altitudes in climate change-sensitive areas, is lacking. METHODS we collected time-series data on meteorological, air pollution, and outpatient visits for respiratory disease in Xining. We examined the associations between cold waves, PM2.5, and outpatient visits for respiratory disease using a time-stratified case-crossover approach and distributional lag nonlinear modeling. Our analysis also calculated the relative excess odds due to interaction (REOI), proportion attributable to interaction (AP), and synergy index (S). We additionally analyzed cold waves over time to verify climate change. RESULTS Under different definitions of cold waves, the odds ratio for the correlation between cold waves and outpatient visits for respiratory disease ranged from 0.95 (95% CI: 0.86, 1.05) to 1.58 (1.47, 1.70). Exposure to PM2.5 was significantly associated with an increase in outpatient visits for respiratory disease. We found that cold waves can synergize with PM2.5 to increase outpatient visits for respiratory disease (REOI > 0, AP > 0, S > 1), decreasing with stricter definitions of cold waves and longer durations. Cold waves' independent effect decreased over time, but their interaction effect persisted. From 8.1 to 21.8% of outpatient visits were due to cold waves and high-level PM2.5. People aged 0-14 and ≥ 65 were more susceptible to cold waves and PM2.5, with a significant interaction for those aged 15-64 and ≥ 65. CONCLUSION Our study fills the gap on how extreme weather and PM2.5 synergistically affect respiratory disease outpatient visits in high-altitude regions. The synergy of cold waves and PM2.5 increases outpatient visits for respiratory disease, especially in the elderly. Cold wave warnings and PM2.5 reduction have major public health benefits.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Zhenxu Ning
- Department of Public Health, Faculty of Medicine, Qinghai University, Xining, China
| | - Shuzhen He
- Xining Centre for Disease Control and Prevention, Xining, China.
| | - Xinghao Liao
- Department of Public Health, Faculty of Medicine, Qinghai University, Xining, China
| | - Chunguang Ma
- Xining Centre for Disease Control and Prevention, Xining, China
| | - Jing Wu
- Xining Centre for Disease Control and Prevention, Xining, China
| |
Collapse
|
38
|
Affiliation(s)
- Michelle L Bell
- From the Yale School of the Environment, Yale University, New Haven, CT (M.L.B.); the School of Health Policy and Management, College of Health Sciences, Korea University, Seoul, South Korea (M.L.B.); the Environment and Health Modelling Lab, Department of Public Health, Environments, and Society, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London (A.G.); and the American Public Health Association, Washington, DC (G.C.B.)
| | - Antonio Gasparrini
- From the Yale School of the Environment, Yale University, New Haven, CT (M.L.B.); the School of Health Policy and Management, College of Health Sciences, Korea University, Seoul, South Korea (M.L.B.); the Environment and Health Modelling Lab, Department of Public Health, Environments, and Society, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London (A.G.); and the American Public Health Association, Washington, DC (G.C.B.)
| | - Georges C Benjamin
- From the Yale School of the Environment, Yale University, New Haven, CT (M.L.B.); the School of Health Policy and Management, College of Health Sciences, Korea University, Seoul, South Korea (M.L.B.); the Environment and Health Modelling Lab, Department of Public Health, Environments, and Society, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London (A.G.); and the American Public Health Association, Washington, DC (G.C.B.)
| |
Collapse
|
39
|
Ning Z, He S, Liu Q, Ma H, Ma C, Wu J, Ma Y, Zhang Y. Effects of the interaction between cold spells and fine particulate matter on mortality risk in Xining: a case-crossover study at high altitude. Front Public Health 2024; 12:1414945. [PMID: 38813422 PMCID: PMC11133570 DOI: 10.3389/fpubh.2024.1414945] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/09/2024] [Accepted: 05/02/2024] [Indexed: 05/31/2024] Open
Abstract
Background With global climate change, the health impacts of cold spells and air pollution caused by PM2.5 are increasingly aggravated, especially in high-altitude areas, which are particularly sensitive. Exploring their interactions is crucial for public health. Methods We collected time-series data on meteorology, air pollution, and various causes of death in Xining. This study employed a time-stratified case-crossover design and conditional logistic regression models to explore the association between cold spells, PM2.5 exposure, and various causes of death, and to assess their interaction. We quantitatively analyzed the interaction using the relative excess odds due to interaction (REOI), attributable proportion due to interaction (AP), and synergy index (S). Moreover, we conducted stratified analyses by average altitude, sex, age, and educational level to identify potential vulnerable groups. Results We found significant associations between cold spells, PM2.5, and various causes of death, with noticeable effects on respiratory disease mortality and COPD mortality. We identified significant synergistic effects (REOI>0, AP > 0, S > 1) between cold spells and PM2.5 on various causes of death, which generally weakened with a stricter definition of cold spells and longer duration. It was estimated that up to 9.56% of non-accidental deaths could be attributed to concurrent exposure to cold spells and high-level PM2.5. High-altitude areas, males, the older adults, and individuals with lower educational levels were more sensitive. The interaction mainly varied among age groups, indicating significant impacts and a synergistic action that increased mortality risk. Conclusion Our study found that in high-altitude areas, exposure to cold spells and PM2.5 significantly increased the mortality risk from specific diseases among the older adults, males, and those with lower educational levels, and there was an interaction between cold spells and PM2.5. The results underscore the importance of reducing these exposures to protect public health.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Zhenxu Ning
- Department of Public Health, Faculty of Medicine, Qinghai University, Xining, China
| | - Shuzhen He
- Xining Centre for Disease Control and Prevention, Xining, China
| | - Qiansheng Liu
- Department of Public Health, Faculty of Medicine, Qinghai University, Xining, China
| | - Haibin Ma
- Xining Centre for Disease Control and Prevention, Xining, China
| | - Chunguang Ma
- Xining Centre for Disease Control and Prevention, Xining, China
| | - Jing Wu
- Xining Centre for Disease Control and Prevention, Xining, China
| | - Yanjun Ma
- Qinghai Institute of Health Sciences, Xining, China
| | - Youxia Zhang
- Qinghai Province Cardio Cerebrovascular Disease Specialist Hospital, Xining, China
| |
Collapse
|
40
|
Wei Y, Amini H, Qiu X, Castro E, Jin T, Yin K, Vu BN, Healy J, Feng Y, Zhang J, Coull B, Schwartz J. Grouped mixtures of air pollutants and seasonal temperature anomalies and cardiovascular hospitalizations among U.S. Residents. ENVIRONMENT INTERNATIONAL 2024; 187:108651. [PMID: 38648692 PMCID: PMC11234894 DOI: 10.1016/j.envint.2024.108651] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/21/2024] [Revised: 03/20/2024] [Accepted: 04/10/2024] [Indexed: 04/25/2024]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Air pollution is a recognized risk factor for cardiovascular disease (CVD). Temperature is also linked to CVD, with a primary focus on acute effects. Despite the close relationship between air pollution and temperature, their health effects are often examined separately, potentially overlooking their synergistic effects. Moreover, fewer studies have performed mixture analysis for multiple co-exposures, essential for adjusting confounding effects among them and assessing both cumulative and individual effects. METHODS We obtained hospitalization records for residents of 14 U.S. states, spanning 2000-2016, from the Health Cost and Utilization Project State Inpatient Databases. We used a grouped weighted quantile sum regression, a novel approach for mixture analysis, to simultaneously evaluate cumulative and individual associations of annual exposures to four grouped mixtures: air pollutants (elemental carbon, ammonium, nitrate, organic carbon, sulfate, nitrogen dioxide, ozone), differences between summer and winter temperature means and their long-term averages during the entire study period (i.e., summer and winter temperature mean anomalies), differences between summer and winter temperature standard deviations (SD) and their long-term averages during the entire study period (i.e., summer and winter temperature SD anomalies), and interaction terms between air pollutants and summer and winter temperature mean anomalies. The outcomes are hospitalization rates for four prevalent CVD subtypes: ischemic heart disease, cerebrovascular disease, heart failure, and arrhythmia. RESULTS Chronic exposure to air pollutant mixtures was associated with increased hospitalization rates for all CVD subtypes, with heart failure being the most susceptible subtype. Sulfate, nitrate, nitrogen dioxide, and organic carbon posed the highest risks. Mixtures of the interaction terms between air pollutants and temperature mean anomalies were associated with increased hospitalization rates for all CVD subtypes. CONCLUSIONS Our findings identified critical pollutants for targeted emission controls and suggested that abnormal temperature changes chronically affected cardiovascular health by interacting with air pollution, not directly.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Yaguang Wei
- Department of Environmental Health, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston, MA, USA.
| | - Heresh Amini
- Department of Environmental Medicine and Public Health, Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai, New York, NY, USA
| | - Xinye Qiu
- Department of Environmental Health, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston, MA, USA
| | - Edgar Castro
- Department of Environmental Health, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston, MA, USA
| | - Tingfan Jin
- Department of Epidemiology, University of Michigan School of Public Health, Ann Arbor, MI, USA
| | - Kanhua Yin
- Department of Surgery, University of Missouri-Kansas City School of Medicine, Kansas City, MO, USA
| | - Bryan N Vu
- Department of Environmental Health, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston, MA, USA
| | - James Healy
- Department of Environmental Health, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston, MA, USA
| | - Yijing Feng
- Department of Environmental Health, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston, MA, USA
| | - Jiangshan Zhang
- Department of Statistics, University of California, Davis, CA, USA
| | - Brent Coull
- Department of Biostatistics, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston, MA, USA
| | - Joel Schwartz
- Department of Environmental Health, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston, MA, USA; Department of Epidemiology, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston, MA, USA
| |
Collapse
|
41
|
Johnston FH, Williamson G, Borchers-Arriagada N, Henderson SB, Bowman DMJS. Climate Change, Landscape Fires, and Human Health: A Global Perspective. Annu Rev Public Health 2024; 45:295-314. [PMID: 38166500 DOI: 10.1146/annurev-publhealth-060222-034131] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 01/04/2024]
Abstract
Landscape fires are an integral component of the Earth system and a feature of prehistoric, subsistence, and industrial economies. Specific spatiotemporal patterns of landscape fire occur in different locations around the world, shaped by the interactions between environmental and human drivers of fire activity. Seven distinct types of landscape fire emerge from these interactions: remote area fires, wildfire disasters, savanna fires, Indigenous burning, prescribed burning, agricultural burning, and deforestation fires. All can have substantial impacts on human health and well-being directly and indirectly through (a) exposure to heat flux (e.g., injuries and destructive impacts), (b) emissions (e.g., smoke-related health impacts), and (c) altered ecosystem functioning (e.g., biodiversity, amenity, water quality, and climate impacts). Minimizing the adverse effects of landscape fires on population health requires understanding how human and environmental influences on fire impacts can be modified through interventions targeted at individual, community, and regional levels.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Fay H Johnston
- Menzies Institute for Medical Research, University of Tasmania, Hobart, Tasmania, Australia;
- National Health and Medical Research Council (NHMRC) Centre for Safe Air, Hobart, Tasmania, Australia
| | - Grant Williamson
- School of Natural Sciences, University of Tasmania, Hobart, Tasmania, Australia
- National Health and Medical Research Council (NHMRC) Centre for Safe Air, Hobart, Tasmania, Australia
| | | | - Sarah B Henderson
- Environmental Health Services, British Columbia Centre for Disease Control, Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada
| | - David M J S Bowman
- School of Natural Sciences, University of Tasmania, Hobart, Tasmania, Australia
| |
Collapse
|
42
|
Gibb K, Beckman S, Vergara XP, Heinzerling A, Harrison R. Extreme Heat and Occupational Health Risks. Annu Rev Public Health 2024; 45:315-335. [PMID: 38166501 DOI: 10.1146/annurev-publhealth-060222-034715] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 01/04/2024]
Abstract
Climate change poses a significant occupational health hazard. Rising temperatures and more frequent heat waves are expected to cause increasing heat-related morbidity and mortality for workers across the globe. Agricultural, construction, military, firefighting, mining, and manufacturing workers are at particularly high risk for heat-related illness (HRI). Various factors, including ambient temperatures, personal protective equipment, work arrangements, physical exertion, and work with heavy equipment may put workers at higher risk for HRI. While extreme heat will impact workers across the world, workers in low- and middle-income countries will be disproportionately affected. Tracking occupational HRI will be critical to informing prevention and mitigation strategies. Renewed investment in these strategies, including workplace heat prevention programs and regulatory standards for indoor and outdoor workers, will be needed. Additional research is needed to evaluate the effectiveness of interventions in order to successfully reduce the risk of HRI in the workplace.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Kathryn Gibb
- Occupational Health Branch, California Department of Public Health, Richmond, California, USA;
| | - Stella Beckman
- Occupational Health Branch, California Department of Public Health, Richmond, California, USA;
| | | | - Amy Heinzerling
- Occupational Health Branch, California Department of Public Health, Richmond, California, USA;
| | - Robert Harrison
- Occupational Health Branch, California Department of Public Health, Richmond, California, USA;
| |
Collapse
|
43
|
Singh N, Areal AT, Breitner S, Zhang S, Agewall S, Schikowski T, Schneider A. Heat and Cardiovascular Mortality: An Epidemiological Perspective. Circ Res 2024; 134:1098-1112. [PMID: 38662866 PMCID: PMC11042530 DOI: 10.1161/circresaha.123.323615] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 04/28/2024]
Abstract
As global temperatures rise, extreme heat events are projected to become more frequent and intense. Extreme heat causes a wide range of health effects, including an overall increase in morbidity and mortality. It is important to note that while there is sufficient epidemiological evidence for heat-related increases in all-cause mortality, evidence on the association between heat and cause-specific deaths such as cardiovascular disease (CVD) mortality (and its more specific causes) is limited, with inconsistent findings. Existing systematic reviews and meta-analyses of epidemiological studies on heat and CVD mortality have summarized the available evidence. However, the target audience of such reviews is mainly limited to the specific field of environmental epidemiology. This overarching perspective aims to provide health professionals with a comprehensive overview of recent epidemiological evidence of how extreme heat is associated with CVD mortality. The rationale behind this broad perspective is that a better understanding of the effect of extreme heat on CVD mortality will help CVD health professionals optimize their plans to adapt to the changes brought about by climate change and heat events. To policymakers, this perspective would help formulate targeted mitigation, strengthen early warning systems, and develop better adaptation strategies. Despite the heterogeneity in evidence worldwide, due in part to different climatic conditions and population dynamics, there is a clear link between heat and CVD mortality. The risk has often been found to be higher in vulnerable subgroups, including older people, people with preexisting conditions, and the socioeconomically deprived. This perspective also highlights the lack of evidence from low- and middle-income countries and focuses on cause-specific CVD deaths. In addition, the perspective highlights the temporal changes in heat-related CVD deaths as well as the interactive effect of heat with other environmental factors and the potential biological pathways. Importantly, these various aspects of epidemiological studies have never been fully investigated and, therefore, the true extent of the impact of heat on CVD deaths remains largely unknown. Furthermore, this perspective also highlights the research gaps in epidemiological studies and the potential solutions to generate more robust evidence on the future consequences of heat on CVD deaths.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Nidhi Singh
- IUF-Leibniz Research Institute for Environmental Medicine, Düsseldorf, Germany (N.S., A.T.A., T.S.)
| | - Ashtyn Tracy Areal
- IUF-Leibniz Research Institute for Environmental Medicine, Düsseldorf, Germany (N.S., A.T.A., T.S.)
- Medical Research School, Heinrich Heine University Düsseldorf, Germany (A.T.A.)
| | - Susanne Breitner
- Institute of Epidemiology, Helmholtz Zentrum München – German Research Center for Environmental Health, Neuherberg, Germany (S.B., A.S.)
- IBE-Chair of Epidemiology, Faculty of Medicine, LMU Munich, Neuherberg, Germany (S.B.)
| | - Siqi Zhang
- IUF-Leibniz Research Institute for Environmental Medicine, Düsseldorf, Germany (N.S., A.T.A., T.S.)
- Medical Research School, Heinrich Heine University Düsseldorf, Germany (A.T.A.)
- Institute of Epidemiology, Helmholtz Zentrum München – German Research Center for Environmental Health, Neuherberg, Germany (S.B., A.S.)
- IBE-Chair of Epidemiology, Faculty of Medicine, LMU Munich, Neuherberg, Germany (S.B.)
- Institute of Clinical Medicine, University of Oslo, Norway (S.A.)
- Department of Clinical Sciences, Danderyd University Hospital, Karolinska Institutet, Stockholm, Sweden (S.A.)
| | - Stefan Agewall
- Institute of Clinical Medicine, University of Oslo, Norway (S.A.)
- Department of Clinical Sciences, Danderyd University Hospital, Karolinska Institutet, Stockholm, Sweden (S.A.)
| | - Tamara Schikowski
- IUF-Leibniz Research Institute for Environmental Medicine, Düsseldorf, Germany (N.S., A.T.A., T.S.)
| | - Alexandra Schneider
- Institute of Epidemiology, Helmholtz Zentrum München – German Research Center for Environmental Health, Neuherberg, Germany (S.B., A.S.)
| |
Collapse
|
44
|
Du H, Yan M, Liu X, Zhong Y, Ban J, Lu K, Li T. Exposure to Concurrent Heatwaves and Ozone Pollution and Associations with Mortality Risk: A Nationwide Study in China. ENVIRONMENTAL HEALTH PERSPECTIVES 2024; 132:47012. [PMID: 38662525 PMCID: PMC11045006 DOI: 10.1289/ehp13790] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/09/2023] [Revised: 02/01/2024] [Accepted: 03/18/2024] [Indexed: 04/28/2024]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Concurrent extreme events are projected to occur more frequently under a changing climate. Understanding the mortality risk and burden of the concurrent heatwaves and ozone (O 3 ) pollution may support the formulation of adaptation strategies and early warning systems for concurrent events in the context of climate change. OBJECTIVES We aimed to estimate the mortality risk and excess deaths of concurrent heatwaves and O 3 pollution across 250 counties in China. METHODS We collected daily mortality, meteorological, and air pollution data for the summer (1 June to 30 September) during 2013-2018. We defined heatwaves and high O 3 pollution days, then we divided the identified days into three categories: a) days with only heatwaves (heatwave-only event), b) days with only high O 3 pollution (high O 3 pollution-only event), and c) days with concurrent heatwaves and high O 3 pollution (concurrent event). A generalized linear model with a quasi-Poisson regression was used to estimate the risk of mortality associated with extreme events for each county. Then we conducted a random-effects meta-analysis to pool the county-specific estimates to derive the overall effect estimates. We used mixed-effects meta-regression to identify the drivers of the heterogeneity. Finally, we estimated the excess death attributable to extreme events (heatwave-only, high O 3 pollution-only, and concurrent events) from 2013 to 2020. RESULTS A higher all-cause mortality risk was associated with exposure to the concurrent heatwaves and high O 3 pollution than exposure to a heatwave-only or a high O 3 pollution-only event. The effects of a concurrent event on circulatory and respiratory mortality were higher than all-cause and nonaccidental mortality. Sex and age significantly impacted the association of concurrent events and heatwave-only events with all-cause mortality. We estimated that annual average excess deaths attributed to the concurrent events were 6,249 in China from 2017 to 2020, 5.7 times higher than the annual average excess deaths attributed to the concurrent events from 2013 to 2016. The annual average proportion of excess deaths attributed to the concurrent events in the total excess deaths caused by three types of events (heatwave-only events, high O 3 pollution-only events, and concurrent events) increased significantly in 2017-2020 (31.50%; 95% CI: 26.73%, 35.53%) compared with 2013-2016 (9.65%; 95% CI: 5.67%, 10.81%). Relative excess risk due to interaction revealed positive additive interaction considering the concurrent effect of heatwaves and high O 3 pollution. DISCUSSION Our findings may provide scientific basis for establishing a concurrent event early warning system to reduce the adverse health impact of the concurrent heatwaves and high O 3 pollution. https://doi.org/10.1289/EHP13790.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Hang Du
- China CDC Key Laboratory of Environment and Population Health, National Institute of Environmental Health (NIEH), Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention (China CDC), Beijing, China
- National Key Laboratory of Intelligent Tracking and Forecasting for Infectious Diseases, National Institute of Environmental Health, Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing, China
| | - Meilin Yan
- Department of Environmental Science and Engineering, School of Light Industry Science and Engineering, Beijing Technology and Business University, Beijing, China
| | - Xin Liu
- Energy Foundation China, Beijing, China
| | - Yu Zhong
- China CDC Key Laboratory of Environment and Population Health, National Institute of Environmental Health (NIEH), Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention (China CDC), Beijing, China
- National Key Laboratory of Intelligent Tracking and Forecasting for Infectious Diseases, National Institute of Environmental Health, Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing, China
| | - Jie Ban
- China CDC Key Laboratory of Environment and Population Health, National Institute of Environmental Health (NIEH), Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention (China CDC), Beijing, China
- National Key Laboratory of Intelligent Tracking and Forecasting for Infectious Diseases, National Institute of Environmental Health, Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing, China
| | - Kailai Lu
- China CDC Key Laboratory of Environment and Population Health, National Institute of Environmental Health (NIEH), Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention (China CDC), Beijing, China
- National Key Laboratory of Intelligent Tracking and Forecasting for Infectious Diseases, National Institute of Environmental Health, Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing, China
| | - Tiantian Li
- China CDC Key Laboratory of Environment and Population Health, National Institute of Environmental Health (NIEH), Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention (China CDC), Beijing, China
- National Key Laboratory of Intelligent Tracking and Forecasting for Infectious Diseases, National Institute of Environmental Health, Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing, China
| |
Collapse
|
45
|
Chen C, Schwarz L, Rosenthal N, Marlier ME, Benmarhnia T. Exploring spatial heterogeneity in synergistic effects of compound climate hazards: Extreme heat and wildfire smoke on cardiorespiratory hospitalizations in California. SCIENCE ADVANCES 2024; 10:eadj7264. [PMID: 38306434 PMCID: PMC10836726 DOI: 10.1126/sciadv.adj7264] [Citation(s) in RCA: 9] [Impact Index Per Article: 9.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/14/2023] [Accepted: 12/29/2023] [Indexed: 02/04/2024]
Abstract
Extreme heat and wildfire smoke events are increasingly co-occurring in the context of climate change, especially in California. Extreme heat and wildfire smoke may have synergistic effects on population health that vary over space. We leveraged high-resolution satellite and monitoring data to quantify spatially varying compound exposures to extreme heat and wildfire smoke in California (2006-2019) at ZIP Code Tabulation Area (ZCTA) level. We found synergistic effects between extreme heat and wildfire smoke on daily cardiorespiratory hospitalizations at the state level. We also found spatial heterogeneity in such synergistic effects across ZCTAs. Communities with lower education attainment, lower health insurance coverage, lower income, lower proportion of automobile ownership, lower tree canopy coverage, higher population density, and higher proportions of racial/ethnic minorities experienced higher synergistic effects. This study highlights the need to incorporate compound hazards and environmental justice considerations into evidence-based policy development to protect populations from increasingly prevalent compound hazards.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Chen Chen
- Scripps Institution of Oceanography, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Lara Schwarz
- Herbert Wertheim School of Public Health and Longevity Science, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
- School of Public Health, San Diego State University, San Diego, CA, USA
| | - Noam Rosenthal
- Department of Environmental Health Sciences, University of California Los Angeles, Los Angeles, CA, USA
| | - Miriam E. Marlier
- Department of Environmental Health Sciences, University of California Los Angeles, Los Angeles, CA, USA
| | - Tarik Benmarhnia
- Scripps Institution of Oceanography, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
| |
Collapse
|
46
|
Pan R, Song J, Yi W, Liu J, Song R, Li X, Liu L, Yuan J, Wei N, Cheng J, Huang Y, Zhang X, Su H. Heatwave characteristics complicate the association between PM 2.5 components and schizophrenia hospitalizations in a changing climate: Leveraging of the individual residential environment. ECOTOXICOLOGY AND ENVIRONMENTAL SAFETY 2024; 271:115973. [PMID: 38219619 DOI: 10.1016/j.ecoenv.2024.115973] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/05/2023] [Revised: 01/07/2024] [Accepted: 01/08/2024] [Indexed: 01/16/2024]
Abstract
BACKGROUND In the era characterized by global environmental and climatic changes, understanding the effects of PM2.5 components and heatwaves on schizophrenia (SCZ) is essential for implementing environmental interventions at the population level. However, research in this area remains limited, which highlights the need for further research and effort. We aim to assess the association between exposure to PM2.5 components and hospitalizations for SCZ under different heatwave characteristics. METHODS We conducted a 16 municipalities-wide, individual exposure-based, time-stratified, case-crossover study from January 1, 2017, to December 31, 2020, encompassing 160736 hospitalizations in Anhui Province, China. Daily concentrations of PM2.5 components were obtained from the Tracking Air Pollution in China dataset. Conditional logistic regression models were used to investigate the association between PM2.5 components and hospitalizations. Additionally, restricted cubic spline models were used to identify protective thresholds of residential environment in response to environmental and climate change. RESULTS Our findings indicate a positive correlation between PM2.5 and its components and hospitalizations. Significantly, a 1 μg/m3 increase in black carbon (BC) was associated with the highest risk, at 1.58% (95%CI: 0.95-2.25). Exposure to heatwaves synergistically enhanced the impact of PM2.5 components on hospitalization risks, and the interaction varied with the intensity and duration of heatwaves. Under the 99th percentile heatwave events, the impact of PM2.5 and its components on hospitalizations was most pronounced, which were PM2.5 (2-4d: 4.59%, 5.09%, and 5.09%), sulfate (2-4d: 21.73%, 23.23%, and 25.25%), nitrate (2-4d: 17.51%, 16.93%, and 20.31%), ammonium (2-4d: 27.49%, 31.03%, and 32.41%), organic matter (2-4d: 32.07%, 25.42%, and 24.48%), and BC (2-4d: 259.36%, 288.21%, and 152.52%), respectively. Encouragingly, a protective effect was observed when green and blue spaces comprised more than 17.6% of the residential environment. DISCUSSION PM2.5 components and heatwave exposure were positively associated with an increased risk of hospitalizations, although green and blue spaces provided a mitigating effect.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Rubing Pan
- Department of Epidemiology and Health Statistics, School of Public Health, Anhui Medical University, Hefei, Anhui, China; Center for Big Data and Population Health of IHM, Hefei, Anhui, China; Inflammation and Immune Mediated Diseases Laboratory of Anhui Province, Hefei, Anhui, China
| | - Jian Song
- Department of Epidemiology and Health Statistics, School of Public Health, Anhui Medical University, Hefei, Anhui, China; Center for Big Data and Population Health of IHM, Hefei, Anhui, China; Inflammation and Immune Mediated Diseases Laboratory of Anhui Province, Hefei, Anhui, China
| | - Weizhuo Yi
- Department of Epidemiology and Health Statistics, School of Public Health, Anhui Medical University, Hefei, Anhui, China; Center for Big Data and Population Health of IHM, Hefei, Anhui, China; Inflammation and Immune Mediated Diseases Laboratory of Anhui Province, Hefei, Anhui, China
| | - Jintao Liu
- Department of Epidemiology and Health Statistics, School of Public Health, Anhui Medical University, Hefei, Anhui, China; Center for Big Data and Population Health of IHM, Hefei, Anhui, China; Inflammation and Immune Mediated Diseases Laboratory of Anhui Province, Hefei, Anhui, China
| | - Rong Song
- Department of Epidemiology and Health Statistics, School of Public Health, Anhui Medical University, Hefei, Anhui, China; Center for Big Data and Population Health of IHM, Hefei, Anhui, China; Inflammation and Immune Mediated Diseases Laboratory of Anhui Province, Hefei, Anhui, China
| | - Xuanxuan Li
- Department of Epidemiology and Health Statistics, School of Public Health, Anhui Medical University, Hefei, Anhui, China; Center for Big Data and Population Health of IHM, Hefei, Anhui, China; Inflammation and Immune Mediated Diseases Laboratory of Anhui Province, Hefei, Anhui, China
| | - Li Liu
- Department of Epidemiology and Health Statistics, School of Public Health, Anhui Medical University, Hefei, Anhui, China; Center for Big Data and Population Health of IHM, Hefei, Anhui, China; Inflammation and Immune Mediated Diseases Laboratory of Anhui Province, Hefei, Anhui, China
| | - Jiajun Yuan
- Department of Epidemiology and Health Statistics, School of Public Health, Anhui Medical University, Hefei, Anhui, China; Center for Big Data and Population Health of IHM, Hefei, Anhui, China; Inflammation and Immune Mediated Diseases Laboratory of Anhui Province, Hefei, Anhui, China
| | - Ning Wei
- Department of Epidemiology and Health Statistics, School of Public Health, Anhui Medical University, Hefei, Anhui, China; Center for Big Data and Population Health of IHM, Hefei, Anhui, China; Inflammation and Immune Mediated Diseases Laboratory of Anhui Province, Hefei, Anhui, China
| | - Jian Cheng
- Department of Epidemiology and Health Statistics, School of Public Health, Anhui Medical University, Hefei, Anhui, China; Center for Big Data and Population Health of IHM, Hefei, Anhui, China; Inflammation and Immune Mediated Diseases Laboratory of Anhui Province, Hefei, Anhui, China
| | - Yuee Huang
- Department of Epidemiology and Health Statistics, School of Public Health, Wannan Medical College, 241002 Wuhu, Anhui, China
| | - Xulai Zhang
- Anhui Mental Health Center (Affiliated Psychological Hospital of Anhui Medical University), Hefei, Anhui, China
| | - Hong Su
- Department of Epidemiology and Health Statistics, School of Public Health, Anhui Medical University, Hefei, Anhui, China; Center for Big Data and Population Health of IHM, Hefei, Anhui, China; Inflammation and Immune Mediated Diseases Laboratory of Anhui Province, Hefei, Anhui, China.
| |
Collapse
|
47
|
Shindell D, Faluvegi G, Nagamoto E, Parsons L, Zhang Y. Reductions in premature deaths from heat and particulate matter air pollution in South Asia, China, and the United States under decarbonization. Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A 2024; 121:e2312832120. [PMID: 38252836 PMCID: PMC10835032 DOI: 10.1073/pnas.2312832120] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/26/2023] [Accepted: 11/22/2023] [Indexed: 01/24/2024] Open
Abstract
Following a sustainable development pathway designed to keep warming below 2 °C will benefit human health. We quantify premature deaths attributable to fine particulate matter (PM2.5) air pollution and heat exposures for China, South Asia, and the United States using projections from multiple climate models under high- and low-emission scenarios. Projected changes in premature deaths are typically dominated by population aging, primarily reflecting increased longevity leading to greater sensitivity to environmental risks. Changes in PM2.5 exposure typically have small impacts on premature deaths under a high-emission scenario but provide substantial benefits under a low-emission scenario. PM2.5-attributable deaths increase in South Asia throughout the century under both scenarios but shift to decreases by late century in China, and US values decrease throughout the century. In contrast, heat exposure increases under both scenarios and combines with population aging to drive projected increases in deaths in all countries. Despite population aging, combined PM2.5- and heat-related deaths decrease under the low-emission scenario by ~2.4 million per year by midcentury and ~2.9 million by century's end, with ~3% and ~21% of these reductions from heat, respectively. Intermodel variations in exposure projections generally lead to uncertainties of <40% except for US and China heat impacts. Health benefits of low emissions are larger from reduced heat exposure than improved air quality by the late 2090s in the United States. In contrast, in South and East Asia, the PM2.5-related benefits are largest throughout the century, and their valuation exceeds the cost of decarbonization, especially in China, over the next 30 y.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Drew Shindell
- Earth and Climate Sciences Division, Nicholas School of the Environment, Duke University, Durham, NC27708
| | - Greg Faluvegi
- Center for Climate Systems Research, Columbia University, New York, NY10025
- NASA Goddard Institute for Space Studies, New York, NY10025
| | - Emily Nagamoto
- Earth and Climate Sciences Division, Nicholas School of the Environment, Duke University, Durham, NC27708
| | - Luke Parsons
- Earth and Climate Sciences Division, Nicholas School of the Environment, Duke University, Durham, NC27708
- Global Science, The Nature Conservancy, Salt Lake City, UT84102
| | - Yuqiang Zhang
- Environment Research Institute, Shandong University, Qingdao, Shandong250100, China
| |
Collapse
|
48
|
Wu H, Guo B, Guo T, Pei L, Jing P, Wang Y, Ma X, Bai H, Wang Z, Xie T, Chen M. A study on identifying synergistic prevention and control regions for PM 2.5 and O 3 and exploring their spatiotemporal dynamic in China. ENVIRONMENTAL POLLUTION (BARKING, ESSEX : 1987) 2024; 341:122880. [PMID: 37944886 DOI: 10.1016/j.envpol.2023.122880] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/30/2023] [Revised: 10/18/2023] [Accepted: 11/04/2023] [Indexed: 11/12/2023]
Abstract
Air pollutants, notably ozone (O3) and fine particulate matter (PM2.5) give rise to evident adverse impacts on public health and the ecotope, prompting extensive global apprehension. Though PM2.5 has been effectively mitigated in China, O3 has been emerging as a primary pollutant, especially in summer. Currently, alleviating PM2.5 and O3 synergistically faces huge challenges. The synergistic prevention and control (SPC) regions of PM2.5 and O3 and their spatiotemporal patterns were still unclear. To address the above issues, this study utilized ground monitoring station data, meteorological data, and auxiliary data to predict the China High-Resolution O3 Dataset (CHROD) via a two-stage model. Furthermore, SPC regions were identified based on a spatial overlay analysis using a Geographic Information System (GIS). The standard deviation ellipse was employed to investigate the spatiotemporal dynamic characteristics of SPC regions. Some outcomes were obtained. The two-stage model significantly improved the accuracy of O3 concentration prediction with acceptable R2 (0.86), and our CHROD presented higher spatiotemporal resolution compared with existing products. SPC regions exhibited significant spatiotemporal variations during the Blue Sky Protection Campaign (BSPC) in China. SPC regions were dominant in spring and autumn, and O3-controlled and PM2.5-dominated zones were detected in summer and winter, respectively. SPC regions were primarily located in the northwest, north, east, and central regions of China, specifically in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei urban agglomeration (BTH), Shanxi, Shaanxi, Shandong, Henan, Jiangsu, Xinjiang, and Anhui provinces. The gravity center of SPC regions was distributed in the BTH in winter, and in Xinjiang during spring, summer, and autumn. This study can supply scientific references for the collaborative management of PM2.5 and O3.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Haojie Wu
- College of Geomatics, Xi'an University of Science and Technology, Xi'an, Shaanxi, 710054, China; Shaanxi Key Laboratory of Environmental Monitoring and Forewarning of Trace Pollutants, Xi'an, Shaanxi, 710043, China
| | - Bin Guo
- College of Geomatics, Xi'an University of Science and Technology, Xi'an, Shaanxi, 710054, China.
| | - Tengyue Guo
- Department of Geological Engineering, Qinghai University, Xining, Qinghai, 810016, China
| | - Lin Pei
- School of Exercise and Health Sciences, Xi'an Physical Education University, Xi'an, Shaanxi, 710068, China
| | - Peiqing Jing
- State Key Laboratory of Information Engineering in Surveying, Mapping and Remote Sensing, Wuhan University, Wuhan, Hubei, 430072, China
| | - Yan Wang
- School of Geography and Tourism, Shaanxi Normal University, Xi'an, Shaanxi, 710119, China
| | - Xuying Ma
- College of Geomatics, Xi'an University of Science and Technology, Xi'an, Shaanxi, 710054, China
| | - Haorui Bai
- College of Geomatics, Xi'an University of Science and Technology, Xi'an, Shaanxi, 710054, China
| | - Zheng Wang
- College of Geomatics, Xi'an University of Science and Technology, Xi'an, Shaanxi, 710054, China
| | - Tingting Xie
- College of Geomatics, Xi'an University of Science and Technology, Xi'an, Shaanxi, 710054, China
| | - Miaoyi Chen
- College of Geomatics, Xi'an University of Science and Technology, Xi'an, Shaanxi, 710054, China
| |
Collapse
|
49
|
Zhou W, Wang Q, Li R, Zhang Z, Kadier A, Wang W, Zhou F, Ling L. Heatwave exposure in relation to decreased sleep duration in older adults. ENVIRONMENT INTERNATIONAL 2024; 183:108348. [PMID: 38064924 DOI: 10.1016/j.envint.2023.108348] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/19/2023] [Revised: 10/31/2023] [Accepted: 11/21/2023] [Indexed: 01/25/2024]
Abstract
Few studies have delved into the effects of heatwaves on sleep duration loss among older adults. Our study examined correlations between heatwave exposure and sleep duration reductions in this demographic. Utilizing data of 7,240 older adults drawn from the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study (CHARLS) from 2015 to 2018, we assessed sleep duration differences between the baseline year (2015) and follow-up year (2018). Absolute reductions in sleep duration were defined as differences of ≥ 1, 1.5, or 2 h. Changes in sleep duration were categorized based on cut-offs of 5 and 8 h, including excessive decrease, moderate to short and persistent short sleep duration types. 12 heatwave definitions combining four thresholds (90th, 92.5th, 95th, and 97.5th percentiles of daily minimum temperature) and three durations (≥2, ≥3 and ≥ 4 days) were used. Heatwave exposure was determined by the difference in the number of 12 preceding months' heatwave days or events in 2015 and the number of 12 preceding months' heatwave days or events in 2018. The results showed that increased heatwave events (defined as ≥ P90th percentile & lasting three days) were associated with a higher likelihood of ≥ 1-hour sleep reduction and persistent short sleep duration. An increase in heatwave event (defined as ≥ P95th percentile & lasting three days) was linked to shifts from moderate to short sleep duration. For the association between an absolute reduction in sleep duration and heatwave exposure, while higher thresholds signified greater sleep reduction risks, the effect estimates of longer durations were not uniformly consistent. We observed that air pollution and green space modified the relationship between heatwaves and sleep duration. Females, urban residents, and individuals with chronic diseases were identified as vulnerable populations. This study found that increased heatwave exposure was associated with a higher risk of sleep duration loss in older adults.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Wensu Zhou
- Department of Medical Statistics, School of Public Health, Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou, China
| | - Qiong Wang
- Department of Epidemiology, School of Public Health, Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou, China
| | - Rui Li
- Department of Medical Statistics, School of Public Health, Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou, China
| | - Zhirong Zhang
- School of Mathematics, Sun Yat-Sen University, Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou, China
| | - Aimulaguli Kadier
- Department of Medical Statistics, School of Public Health, Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou, China
| | - Wenjuan Wang
- Department of Medical Statistics, School of Public Health, Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou, China
| | - Fenfen Zhou
- Department of Medical Statistics, School of Public Health, Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou, China
| | - Li Ling
- Department of Medical Statistics, School of Public Health, Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou, China; Clinical Research Design Division, Clinical Research Center, Sun Yat-sen Memorial Hospital, Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou, Guangdong, China.
| |
Collapse
|
50
|
Zhou W, Wang Q, Li R, Zhang Z, Wang W, Zhou F, Ling L. The effects of heatwave on cognitive impairment among older adults: Exploring the combined effects of air pollution and green space. THE SCIENCE OF THE TOTAL ENVIRONMENT 2023; 904:166534. [PMID: 37647952 DOI: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2023.166534] [Citation(s) in RCA: 15] [Impact Index Per Article: 7.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/25/2023] [Revised: 07/23/2023] [Accepted: 08/22/2023] [Indexed: 09/01/2023]
Abstract
The association between heatwaves and cognitive impairment in older adults, especially the joint effect of air pollution and green space on this association, remains unknown. The present cohort study used data from waves of the Chinese Longitudinal Healthy Longevity Survey (CLHLS) from 2008 to 2018. Heatwaves were defined as having daily maximum temperature ≥ 92.5th, 95th and 97.5th percentile that continued at least two, three and four days, measured as the one-year heatwave days prior to the participants' incident cognitive impairment. Data on the annual average air pollutant concentrations of fine particulate matter (PM2.5) and ozone (O3) as well as green space exposure (according to the Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI)) were collected. Time-varying Cox proportional hazards models were constructed to examine the independent effect of heatwaves on cognitive impairment and the combined effect of heatwaves, air pollution, and green space on cognitive impairment. Potential multiplicative interactions were examined by adding a product term of air pollutants and NDVI with heatwaves in the models. The relative excess risk due to interaction (RERI) was calculated to reflect additive interactions. We found that heatwave exposure was associated with higher risks of cognitive impairment, with hazard ratios (HRs) and 95 % confidence intervals (CIs) ranging from 1.035 (95 % CI: 1.016-1.055) to 1.058 (95 % CI: 1.040-1.075). We observed a positive interaction of PM2.5 concentrations, O3 concentrations, lack of green space, and heatwave exposure on a multiplicative scale (HRs for product terms >1). Furthermore, we found a synergistic interaction of PM2.5 concentrations, O3, lack of green space, and heatwave exposure on an additive scale, with RERIs >0. These results suggest that extreme heat exposure may be a potential risk factor for cognitive impairment in older adults. Additionally, coexposure to air pollution and lack of green space exacerbated the adverse effects of heatwaves on cognitive function.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Wensu Zhou
- Department of Medical Statistics, School of Public Health, Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou, China
| | - Qiong Wang
- Department of Epidemiology, School of Public Health, Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou, China
| | - Rui Li
- Department of Medical Statistics, School of Public Health, Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou, China
| | - Zhirong Zhang
- School of Mathematics, Sun Yat-Sen University, Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou, China
| | - Wenjuan Wang
- Department of Medical Statistics, School of Public Health, Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou, China
| | - Fenfen Zhou
- Department of Medical Statistics, School of Public Health, Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou, China
| | - Li Ling
- Department of Medical Statistics, School of Public Health, Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou, China; Clinical Research Design Division, Clinical Research Center, Sun Yat-sen Memorial Hospital, Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou, Guangdong, China.
| |
Collapse
|