West German Study Group Phase III PlanB Trial: First Prospective Outcome Data for the 21-Gene Recurrence Score Assay and Concordance of Prognostic Markers by Central and Local Pathology Assessment

Intratumoral heterogeneity of Ki67 proliferation index outperforms conventional immunohistochemistry prognostic factors in estrogen receptor-positive HER2-negative breast cancer

In breast cancer (BC), pathologists visually score ER, PR, HER2, and Ki67 biomarkers to assess tumor properties and predict patient outcomes. This does not systematically account for intratumoral heterogeneity (ITH) which has been reported to provide prognostic value. This study utilized digital image analysis (DIA) and computational pathology methods to investigate the prognostic value of ITH indicators in ER-positive (ER+) HER2-negative (HER2-) BC patients. Whole slide images (WSIs) of surgically excised specimens stained for ER, PR, Ki67, and HER2 from 254 patients were used. DIA with tumor tissue segmentation and detection of biomarker-positive cells was performed. The DIA-generated data were subsampled by a hexagonal grid to compute Haralick's texture indicators for ER, PR, and Ki67. Cox regression analyses were performed to assess the prognostic significance of the immunohistochemistry (IHC) and ITH indicators in the context of clinicopathologic variables. In multivariable analysis, the ITH of Ki67-positive cells, measured by Haralick's texture entropy, emerged as an independent predictor of worse BC-specific survival (BCSS) (hazard ratio (HR) = 2.64, p-value = 0.0049), along with lymph node involvement (HR = 2.26, p-value = 0.0195). Remarkably, the entropy representing the spatial disarrangement of tumor proliferation outperformed the proliferation rate per se established either by pathology reports or DIA. We conclude that the Ki67 entropy indicator enables a more comprehensive risk assessment with regard to BCSS, especially in cases with borderline Ki67 proliferation rates. The study further demonstrates the benefits of high-capacity DIA-generated data for quantifying the essentially subvisual ITH properties.

Which Patients Need Chemotherapy? From Pathological Risk Factors to Gene Signatures and Evaluation of Endocrine Response

Background

Chemotherapy, used either before or after surgery, has significantly improved survival in early breast cancer. Accurate risk assessment is essential to avoid both overtreatment and undertreatment. This review provides an overview of the evolution of chemotherapy as well as risk factors for tailored systemic therapies in early breast cancer - from pathologic risk factors to gene expression signatures to endocrine response assessment.

Summary

Chemotherapy has improved dramatically in recent decades from its beginnings with conventionally dosed cyclophosphamide plus methotexate plus 5-fluorouracil to dose-dense anthracycline- and taxane-containing regimens. Similarly, risk assessment has evolved starting from traditional pathologic risk factors such as tumor size, axillary nodal status, and grading. In recent decades, gene expression signatures have improved prognostic accuracy with a high level of evidence. In turn, these signatures can be further improved by incorporating the aforementioned pathologic factors. As an important step away from this static assessment, dynamic assessment of proliferation factor Ki-67 after short-term preoperative endocrine treatment has gained interest to improve risk assessment in early hormone receptor-positive breast cancer.

Key Message

This review highlights advances in chemotherapy and risk assessment in early breast cancer, from pathologic risk factors for recurrence to gene expression signatures and endocrine response assessment. These developments are leading to better risk stratification and thus better adaptation of therapies.

Adjuvant capecitabine versus nihil in older patients with node-positive/high-risk node-negative early breast cancer receiving ibandronate - The ICE randomized clinical trial

AIM OF THE STUDY

Evaluation of the impact of a de-escaleted chemotherapy regimen consisting of capecitabine (Cap) on invasive disease-free survival (iDFS) in patients ≥65 years with node-positive/high-risk node-negative early breast cancer (BC) receiving ibandronate (Ib).

METHODS

ICE (Ib with or without Cap in Elderly patients with early breast cancer) was a multicentre phase 3 clinical trial with a 2020 update of long-term follow-up for overall survival enroling node-positive/high-risk node-negative patients ≥65 years with early BC. Patients were randomised to Cap 2000 mg/m² day 1-14 q3w for 6 cycles plus Ib (50 mg p.o. daily or alternatively 6 mg intravenous q4w) or Ib alone for 2 years. Endocrine therapy was recommended for hormone receptor (HR)-positive patients. The primary endpoint was iDFS analysed using Cox proportional hazards regression and log-rank analysis.

RESULTS

1358 (96.4%) of 1409 randomised patients started treatment. 564 (83.4%) completed 6 cycles of Cap. 513 (77.7%) and 516 (78.8%) completed Ib in the Cap+Ib and Ib alone arm, respectively. Median age was 71 (range 64-88) years, 1099 (81%) were HR-positive, 705 (51.9%) node-negative. At a median follow-up of 61.3 months, 5-year iDFS was 78.8% for Cap+Ib versus 75.0% for Ib alone (p = 0.80). Effects were independent of age, nodal, and HR status. The addition of Cap caused significantly higher skin and gastrointestinal toxicity.

CONCLUSIONS

The adjuvant combination of Cap+Ib did not show significantly better iDFS than Ib alone in node-positive/high-risk node-negative older BC patients, of whom HR-positive patients were also treated with endocrine therapy.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

Study in elderly patients with early breast cancer (ICE), NCT00196859, https://clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/NCT00196859?term=NCT00196859.

Survival Benefit of Adjuvant Chemotherapy in Node-Positive Breast Cancer With a 21-Gene Recurrence Score of 14 to 25: A Real-World Study Based on the Inverse Probability of Treatment Weighting Method

INTRODUCTION

The role of recurrence score in predicting the benefits of adjuvant chemotherapy for lymph-node-positive breast cancer remains uncertain. We studied chemotherapy usage in patients with 1 to 3 positive lymph nodes and a recurrence score (RS) of 25 or lower to assess changes in clinical practice based on the RxPONDER trial.

METHODS

A retrospective study using the SEER database identified female patients diagnosed with ER-positive, HER2-negative breast cancer, 1 to 3 positive lymph nodes, and an RS of 25 or lower between 2010 and 2015. Patients were divided into nonchemotherapy and chemotherapy groups, with propensity score weighting to balance clinicopathologic factors.

RESULTS

Among 7965 patients, 5774 (72.5%) were in the nonchemotherapy group, while 2191 (27.5%) were in the chemotherapy group. Median follow-up was 39 months. Breast cancer accounted for 67 deaths, while 128 deaths were due to other causes. The weighted 5-year overall survival (OS) rates were 95.7% for the nonchemotherapy group and 97.2% for the chemotherapy group. For high-risk patients, the weighted 5-year OS rates were 95.2% and 97.0% for the nonchemotherapy and chemotherapy groups, respectively, with a significant absolute difference of 1.8% (P = .014). Multivariate analysis showed a significant difference in weighted hazard ratios for OS between the nonchemotherapy and chemotherapy groups in high-risk patients (hazard ratio: 0.64; 95% CI: 0.48-0.86). However, there were no significant differences in weighted hazard ratios for lower-risk patients, and similar results were observed for breast cancer-specific survival (BCSS).

CONCLUSION

Patients with ER-positive, HER2-negative breast cancer and 1 to 3 positive lymph nodes, assessed by a 21-gene RS of 0 to 25, exhibited heterogeneous prognosis. Adjuvant chemotherapy provided a significant survival benefit, especially for patients with RS of 14 to 25, particularly those with invasive ductal carcinoma (IDC) and 2 to 3 positive lymph nodes.

Molecular classification of hormone receptor-positive HER2-negative breast cancer

Hormone receptor-positive (HR+)/human epidermal growth factor receptor 2-negative (HER2-) breast cancer is the most prevalent type of breast cancer, in which endocrine therapy resistance and distant relapse remain unmet challenges. Accurate molecular classification is urgently required for guiding precision treatment. We established a large-scale multi-omics cohort of 579 patients with HR+/HER2- breast cancer and identified the following four molecular subtypes: canonical luminal, immunogenic, proliferative and receptor tyrosine kinase (RTK)-driven. Tumors of these four subtypes showed distinct biological and clinical features, suggesting subtype-specific therapeutic strategies. The RTK-driven subtype was characterized by the activation of the RTK pathways and associated with poor outcomes. The immunogenic subtype had enriched immune cells and could benefit from immune checkpoint therapy. In addition, we developed convolutional neural network models to discriminate these subtypes based on digital pathology for potential clinical translation. The molecular classification provides insights into molecular heterogeneity and highlights the potential for precision treatment of HR+/HER2- breast cancer.

Second breast cancer: recurrence score results, clinicopathologic characteristics, adjuvant treatments, and outcomes-exploratory analysis of the Clalit registry

Data on using the 21-gene Recurrence Score (RS) testing on second breast cancer (BC; second primary or local recurrence) are lacking. This cohort study examined patients with first and second BC, who underwent 21-gene testing both times. It included a 'study-cohort' (60 N0/N1mi/N1 ER + HER2‒ BC patients with ≥2 RS results >1 year apart) and a 'general 21-gene-tested BC-cohort' (2044 previously described N0/N1mi/N1 patients). The median time between the first and second BC was 5.2 (IQR, 3.1-7.1) years; the second BC was ipsilateral in 68%. Patient/tumor characteristics of the first- and second-BC in the 'study-cohort' were similar, except for the RS which was higher in the second BC (median [IQR]: 23 [17-30] vs 17 [14-22], p < 0.001). Overall, 56 patients had follow-up data, of whom 5 experienced distant recurrence (2 RS 11-25 patients and 3 RS 26-100 patients). Studies exploring the prognostic utility of the RS in this setting are warranted.

MCM-2 Levels as a Potential Biomarker for Predicting High-Risk Breast Cancer Patients According to TAILORx Classification

Background

The minichromosome maintenance protein-2 (MCM-2) is a more sensitive proliferation marker than Ki-67. This study aimed to evaluate the relationship between MCM-2 and Oncotype DX recurrence score (ODX-RS) and determine an MCM-2 cutoff value in high-risk patients according to TAILORx risk categorization.

Methods

Hormone receptor (HR) positive HER-2 negative early-stage breast cancer patients (pT1-2, pN0-N1, M0) who had ODX-RS were included in the study. According to the TAILORx trial, patients were divided into two groups with high (ODX-RS ≥26) and low risk (ODX-RS <26) in terms of ODX-RS. Formalin-fixed-paraffin-embedded tissues of patients were re-evaluated, and 3 µm sections were prepared for MCM-2 immuno-histochemical staining. The relationship between ODX-RS and the percentage of MCM-2 staining was evaluated in two groups. The ROC curve analysis was performed to determine the MCM-2 cut-off value for the TAILORx high-risk group (ODX-RS ≥26).

Results

The mean MCM-2 value was significantly higher in the high-risk group [(60.2 ± 11.2 vs 34.4 ± 13.8, p < 0.001)]. In the multivariate analysis, MCM-2 (OR: 1.27, 95% CI: 1.08-1.49, p = 0.003) and progesterone receptor (PR) levels ≤10% (OR: 60.9, 95% CI: 4.1-89.7, p = 0.003) were found to be independent factors indicating a high-risk group. A one-unit increase in MCM-2 level increased the likelihood of being in the high-risk group by 1.27 times. In the ROC curve analysis, the optimal MCM-2 cut-off level was 50 (AUC: 0.921, sensitivity: 86.7%, specificity: 96.0%, p < 0.001).

Conclusion

Our study is the first study in the literature to investigate the relationship between ODX-RS and MCM-2 levels in HR-positive HER-2 negative early breast-cancer patients. In this study, MCM-2 was an independent risk factor in identifying high-risk patients according to TAILORx risk classification. MCM 2 cut-off value (50) may help the decision on adjuvant chemotherapy in patients where the Oncotype DX test cannot be performed.

Effectiveness of post-mastectomy adjuvant chemotherapy for the treatment of patients with prognostic stage IB breast cancer: A SEER-based study

BACKGROUND

Adjuvant chemotherapy (AC) is an important, effective treatment for breast cancer. This study evaluates the effectiveness of post-mastectomy AC in treating patients with prognostic stage IB breast cancer.

METHOD

We conducted a retrospective cohort-based study using Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End-Results database. Overall survival (OS) and breast cancer-specific survival (BCSS) were calculated using the Kaplan-Meier method. Multivariate Cox risk models were used to identify the impact of AC. Stratified analysis was performed according to molecular subtypes, anatomic stages, and other risk factors to evaluate the effect of AC on survival.

RESULTS

28,825 women diagnosed with prognostic stage IB breast cancer were included. The 5-year OS was significantly higher in AC group than in non-adjuvant chemotherapy (NAC) group (P < 0.0001); however, the 5-year BCSS in AC group was significantly lower than in NAC group (P = 0.039). Multivariate analysis revealed that AC was a favorable prognostic factor for OS (P < 0.001), but not BCSS (P = 0.407). AC was not an independent prognostic factor for BCSS in patients with hormone receptor-positive, human epidermal growth factor receptor 2-negative (HR[+]/HER2[-]) subtype or pT1a-1b/N0-1 stage with HER2 overexpression (HER2[+]) subtype, regardless of whether HR was positive or negative (P > 0.05). Meanwhile, AC is not an independent prognostic factor for OS and BCSS in patients with lymph node micrometastases.

CONCLUSION

Our study demonstrates that patients with prognostic stage IB do not fully benefit from AC. Individualized treatment management is required for patients with pT1a-1b/N0-1 tumors, lymph node micrometastases, or HR(+)/HER2(-) subtypes.

Ki-67, 21-Gene Recurrence Score, Endocrine Resistance, and Survival in Patients With Breast Cancer

Importance

Both high 21-gene recurrence score (RS) and high Ki-67 level are poor prognostic factors in patients with estrogen receptor (ER)-positive ERBB2-negative (ER+/ERBB-) breast cancer; however, a discrepancy between the 2 has been noted. Survival differences according to these 2 biomarkers are not well known.

Objective

To assess the associations between RS and Ki-67 expression and between Ki-67 expression and recurrence-free survival in patients with ER+/ERBB- breast cancer with low RS.

Design, Setting, and Participants

This cohort study included women treated for ER+/ERBB2- breast cancer who underwent the 21-gene RS test from March 2010 to December 2020 in 2 hospitals in Korea.

Exposures

Recurrence score and Ki-67 level.

Main Outcomes and Measures

A Cox proportional hazards regression model was used to examine the association of Ki-67 with recurrence-free survival (RFS), while a binary logistic regression model was used to examine the association between Ki-67 and secondary endocrine resistance. High Ki-67 expression was defined as 20% or greater, and low genomic risk as an RS of 25 or less. Secondary endocrine resistance was defined as breast cancer recurrence that occurred after at least 2 years of endocrine therapy and during or within the first year after completing 5 years of adjuvant endocrine therapy.

Results

A total of 2295 female patients were included (mean [SD] age, 49.8 [9.3] years), of whom 1948 (84.9%) were in the low genomic risk group and 1425 (62.1%) had low Ki-67 level. The median follow-up period was 40 months (range, 0-140 months). The RS and Ki-67 level had a moderate correlation (R = 0.455; P < .001). Of the patients with low Ki-67 level, 1341 (94.1%) had low RS, whereas 607 of 870 patients with high Ki-67 level (69.8%) had low RS. In patients with low RS, the RFS differed significantly according to Ki-67 level (low Ki-67, 98.5% vs high Ki-67, 96.5%; P = .002). Among the 1807 patients with low genomic risk who did not receive chemotherapy, high Ki-67 level was independently associated with recurrence (hazard ratio, 2.51; 95% CI, 1.27-4.96; P = .008). Recurrence after 3 years differed significantly according to Ki-67 level (low Ki-67, 98.7% vs high Ki-67, 95.7%; P = .003), whereas recurrence within 3 years did not differ (low Ki-67, 99.3% vs high Ki-67, 99.3%; P = .90). In addition, Ki-67 was associated with secondary endocrine resistance in patients with low RS who did not receive chemotherapy (odds ratio, 2.49; 95% CI, 1.13-5.50; P = .02).

Conclusions and Relevance

In this cohort study of patients with ER+/ERBB2- breast cancer, a moderate correlation was observed between Ki-67 and RS, and high Ki-67 level in patients with low genomic risk was associated with increased risk of secondary endocrine resistance.

Identifying Patterns and Barriers in OncotypeDX Recurrence Score Testing in Older Patients With Early-Stage, Estrogen Receptor-Positive Breast Cancer: Implications for Guidance and Reimbursement

PURPOSE

To evaluate the clinical patterns of utilization of OncotypeDX Recurrence Score (RS) in early-stage, hormone receptor-positive, human epidermal growth factor receptor 2-negative breast cancer (BC) at an academic center with previously established internal reflex testing guidelines.

METHODS

RS testing in accordance with preexisting reflex criteria and predictors of utilization outside of reflex criteria were retrospectively analyzed for the years 2019-2021 in a quality improvement evaluation. Patients were grouped according to OncotypeDX testing within (cohort A) or outside (cohort B) of predefined criteria which included a cap at age older than 65 years.

RESULTS

Of 1,687 patients whose tumors had RS testing, 1,087 were in cohort A and 600 in cohort B. In cohort B, nearly half of patients were older than 65 years (n = 279; IQR, 67-72 years). For patients older than 65 years, those with RS testing were younger (median age: 69 v 73 years), with higher grade cancers (G2-3: 84.9% v 54.7%) and were more likely to be treated with chemotherapy (15.4% v 4.1%). Issues for implementation of RS testing in older patients were identified, including potential structural barriers related to the current policy on the reimbursements of genomic tests.

CONCLUSION

Internal guidelines may facilitate standardized utilization of the RS in early-BC. Our data suggest that clinicians preferred broader utilization of RS across the age spectrum, with therapeutically important consequences. Modifying the current policy for reimbursement of RS testing and in internal reflexive testing criteria for those older than 65 years is warranted.

Ten-year distant-recurrence risk prediction in breast cancer by CanAssist Breast (CAB) in Dutch sub-cohort of the randomized TEAM trial

BACKGROUND

Hormone receptor (HR)-positive, HER2/neu-negative breast cancers have a sustained risk of recurrence up to 20 years from diagnosis. TEAM (Tamoxifen, Exemestane Adjuvant Multinational) is a large, multi-country, phase III trial that randomized 9776 women for the use of hormonal therapy. Of these 2754 were Dutch patients. The current study aims for the first time to correlate the ten-year clinical outcomes with predictions by CanAssist Breast (CAB)-a prognostic test developed in South East Asia, on a Dutch sub-cohort that participated in the TEAM. The total Dutch TEAM cohort and the current Dutch sub-cohort were almost similar with respect to patient age and tumor anatomical features.

METHODS

Of the 2754 patients from the Netherlands, which are part of the original TEAM trial, 592 patients' samples were available with Leiden University Medical Center (LUMC). The risk stratification of CAB was correlated with outcomes of patients using logistic regression approaches entailing Kaplan-Meier survival curves, univariate and multivariate cox-regression hazards model. We used hazard ratios (HRs), the cumulative incidence of distant metastasis/death due to breast cancer (DM), and distant recurrence-free interval (DRFi) for assessment.

RESULTS

Out of 433 patients finally included, the majority, 68.4% had lymph node-positive disease, while only a minority received chemotherapy (20.8%) in addition to endocrine therapy. CAB stratified 67.5% of the total cohort as low-risk [DM = 11.5% (95% CI, 7.6-15.2)] and 32.5% as high-risk [DM = 30.2% (95% CI, 21.9-37.6)] with an HR of 2.90 (95% CI, 1.75-4.80; P < 0.001) at ten years. CAB risk score was an independent prognostic factor in the consideration of clinical parameters in multivariate analysis. At ten years, CAB high-risk had the worst DRFi of 69.8%, CAB low-risk in the exemestane monotherapy arm had the best DRFi of 92.7% [vs CAB high-risk, HR, 0.21 (95% CI, 0.11-0.43), P < 0.001], and CAB low-risk in the sequential arm had a DRFi of 84.2% [vs CAB high-risk, HR, 0.48 (95% CI, 0.28-0.82), P = 0.009].

CONCLUSIONS

Cost-effective CAB is a statistically robust prognostic and predictive tool for ten-year DM for postmenopausal women with HR+/HER2-, early breast cancer. CAB low-risk patients who received exemestane monotherapy had an excellent ten-year DRFi.

Impact of the 21-Gene Assay in Patients with High-Clinical Risk ER-Positive and HER2-Negative Early Breast Cancer: Results of the KARMA Dx Study

BACKGROUND

The 21-gene Oncotype DX Breast Recurrence Score^® assay is prognostic and predictive of chemotherapy benefit for patients with estrogen receptor-positive, HER2- early breast cancer (EBC). The KARMA Dx study evaluated the impact of the Recurrence Score^® results (RS) on the treatment decision for patients with EBC and high-risk clinicopathological characteristics for whom chemotherapy (CT) was considered.

METHODS

Eligible patients with EBC were candidates for the study if CT was considered standard recommendation by local guidelines. Three high-risk EBC cohorts were predefined: (A) pT1-2, pN0/N1mi, and grade 3; (B) pT1-2, pN1, and grades 1-2; and (C) neoadjuvant cT2-3, cN0, and Ki67 ≤ 30%. Treatment recommendations before and after 21-gene testing were registered, as well as treatment received and physicians' confidence levels in their final recommendations.

RESULTS

A total of 219 consecutive patients were included from eight Spanish centers: 30 in cohort A, 158 in cohort B, and 31 in cohort C. Ten patients were excluded from the final analysis as CT was not initially recommended. After 21-gene testing, treatment decisions changed from CT + endocrine therapy (ET) to ET alone for 67% of the whole group. In total, 30% (95% confidence interval [CI] 15% to 49%), 73% (95% CI 65% to 80%), and 76% (95% CI 56% to 90%) of patients ultimately received ET alone in cohorts A, B, and C, respectively. Physicians' confidence in their final recommendations increased in 34% of cases.

CONCLUSIONS

Use of the 21-gene test resulted in an overall 67% reduction in CT recommendation in patients considered candidates for CT. Our findings indicate the substantial potential of the 21-gene test to guide CT recommendations in patients with EBC considered to be at high risk of recurrence based on clinicopathological parameters, regardless of nodal status or treatment setting.

Clinical Utility of Genomic Recurrence Risk Stratification in Early, Hormone-Receptor-Positive, Human Epidermal Growth Factor Receptor 2-Negative Breast Cancer: Real-World Experience

BACKGROUND

RNA-based genomic risk assessment estimates chemotherapy benefit in patients with hormone-receptor positive (HR+)/Human Epidermal Growth Factor 2-negative (ERBB2-) breast cancer (BC). It is virtually used in all patients with early HR+/ERBB2- BC regardless of clinical recurrence risk.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

We conducted a retrospective chart review of adult patients with early-stage (T1-3; N0; M0) HR+/ERBB2- BC who underwent genomic testing using the Oncotype DX (Exact Sciences) 21-genes assay. Clinicopathologic features were collected to assess the clinical recurrence risk, in terms of clinical risk score (CRS) and using a composite risk score of distant recurrence Regan Risk Score (RRS). CRS and RRS were compared to the genomic risk of recurrence (GRS).

RESULTS

Between January 2015 and December 2020, 517 patients with early-stage disease underwent genomic testing, and clinical data was available for 501 of them. There was statistically significant concordance between the 3 prognostication methods (P < 0.01). Within patients with low CRS (n = 349), 9.17% had a high GRS, compared to 8.93% in patients with low RRS (n = 280). In patients with grade 1 histology (n = 130), 3.85% had a high GRS and 68.46% had tumors > 1 cm, of whom only 4.49% had a high GRS. Tumor size > 1cm did not associate with a high GRS.

CONCLUSION

Genomic testing for patients with grade 1 tumors may be safely omitted, irrespective of size. Our finds call for a better understanding of the need for routine genomic testing in patients with low grade/low clinical risk of recurrence.

The Rochester Modified Magee Algorithm (RoMMa): An Outcomes Based Strategy for Clinical Risk-Assessment and Risk-Stratification in ER Positive, HER2 Negative Breast Cancer Patients Being Considered for Oncotype DX® Testing

INTRODUCTION

Multigene genomic profiling has become the standard of care in the clinical risk-assessment and risk-stratification of ER⁺, HER2^- breast cancer (BC) patients, with Oncotype DX^® (ODX) emerging as the genomic profile test with the most support from the international community. The current state of the health care economy demands that cost-efficiency and access to testing must be considered when evaluating the clinical utility of multigene profile tests such as ODX. Several studies have suggested that certain lower risk patients can be identified more cost-efficiently than simply reflexing all ER⁺, HER2^- BC patients to ODX testing. The Magee equations^TM use standard histopathologic data in a set of multivariable models to estimate the ODX recurrence score. Our group published the first outcome data in 2019 on the Magee equations^TM, using a modification of the Magee equations^TM combined with an algorithmic approach-the Rochester Modified Magee algorithm (RoMMa). There has since been limited published outcome data on the Magee equations^TM. We present additional outcome data, with considerations of the TAILORx risk-stratification recommendations.

METHODS

355 patients with an ODX recurrence score, and at least five years of follow-up or a BC recurrence were included in the study. All patients received either Tamoxifen or an aromatase inhibitor. None of the patients received adjuvant systemic chemotherapy.

RESULTS

There was no significant difference in the risk of recurrence in similar risk categories (very low risk, low risk, and high risk) between the average Modified Magee score and ODX recurrence score with the chi-square test of independence (p > 0.05) or log-rank test (p > 0.05). Using the RoMMa, we estimate that at least 17% of individuals can safely avoid ODX testing.

CONCLUSION

Our study further reinforces that BC patients can be confidently stratified into lower and higher-risk recurrence groups using the Magee equations^TM. The RoMMa can be helpful in the initial clinical risk-assessment and risk-stratification of BC patients, providing increased opportunities for cost savings in the health care system, and for clinical risk-assessment and risk-stratification in less-developed geographies where multigene testing might not be available.

Multigene signatures for early breast cancer in clinical practice: A report of the Lombardy genomic assays for breast cancer working group

The increasing understanding of breast cancer biology has provided the basis for the development of multigene signatures aimed to improve the capability of clinicians to assess patients' prognostication and risk stratification. Incorporating these tools in clinical practice has profoundly impacted on the decision-making process for the adjuvant therapy of patients with ER+/HER2- early breast cancer and the results from prospective adjuvant trials have strengthened the clinical utility of multigene signatures in this setting. In July 2019, Lombardy was the first Region in Italy to reimburse genomic testing for patients with ER+/HER2- early breast cancer. Three years later, a group of investigators from six referral Cancer Centers in Lombardy convened to debate the use of multigene signatures in clinical practice and share their own experience with the tests after reimbursement. Here, we reviewed relevant data on the role of multigene signatures in tailoring adjuvant chemotherapy for patients with ER+/HER2- early breast cancer and discussed about the optimal use of these assays in current clinical practice. As the treatment landscape of early breast cancer evolves and novel questions about the possible additional applications of multigene assays arise, we also provide our viewpoint on the potential implementation of the assays in the evolving scenario ER+/HER2- early breast cancer treatment.

Recurrence Score® Result Impacts Treatment Decisions in Hormone Receptor-Positive, HER2-Negative Patients with Early Breast Cancer in a Real-World Setting-Results of the IRMA Trial

BACKGROUND

Patients with hormone receptor-positive (HR+), HER2-negative (HER2-) early breast cancer (eBC) with a high risk of relapse often undergo adjuvant chemotherapy. However, only a few patients will gain benefit from chemotherapy. Since classical tumor characteristics (grade, tumor size, lymph node involvement, and Ki67) are of limited value to predict chemotherapy efficacy, multigene expression assays such as the Oncotype DX® test were developed to reduce over- and undertreatment. The IRMA trial analyzed the impact of Recurrence Score® (RS) assessment on adjuvant treatment recommendations.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

The RS result was assessed in patients with HR+/HER2- unilateral eBC with 0-3 pathologic lymph nodes who underwent primary surgical treatment at the Department for Women's Health of Tuebingen University, Germany. Therapy recommendations without knowledge of the RS result were compared to therapy recommendations with awareness of the RS result.

RESULTS

In total, 245 patients underwent RS assessment. Without knowledge of the RS result, 92/245 patients (37.6%) would have been advised to receive chemotherapy. After RS assessment, 56/245 patients (22.9%) were advised to undergo chemotherapy. Chemotherapy was waived in 47/92 patients (51.1%) that were initially recommended to receive it. Chemotherapy was added in 11/153 patients (7.2%) that were recommended to not receive it initially.

SUMMARY

Using the RS result to guide adjuvant treatment decisions in HR+/HER2- breast cancer led to a substantial reduction of chemotherapy. In view of the results achieved in prospective studies, the RS result is among other risk-factors suitable for the individualization of adjuvant systemic therapy.

Correlation of the Ki67 Working Group prognostic risk categories with the Oncotype DX Recurrence Score in early breast cancer

BACKGROUND

The relationship between Ki67 assessed by immunohistochemistry (IHC) and the Oncotype DX Recurrence Score (RS) is unclear. The objective of this study was to determine the correlation between the 21-gene RS and IHC-measured Ki67 with the prognostic classification groups recommended by the International Ki67 Working Group (IKWG).

METHODS

The authors performed a retrospective chart review of women who had hormone receptor (HR)-positive, human epidermal growth factor receptor 2-negative early breast cancer with zero to three positive lymph nodes and both Ki67 and the 21-gene RS performed at their institution from 2013 to 2021. Patients were categorized into low (≤5%), intermediate (6%-29%), and high Ki67 groups (≥30%) according to IKWG recommendations. Overall agreement and risk-stratified agreement between Ki67 and RS were assessed with the proportion of agreement and the κ statistic.

RESULTS

The study included 525 patients with HR-positive breast cancer. Among the 49% of patients with intermediate Ki67 values of 6%-29%, the distribution of low (0-10), intermediate (11-25), and high RS (26-100) was 19%, 66%, and 15%, respectively. There was slight agreement (κ = 0.01-0.20) between Ki67 and RS (κ = 0.027) in the overall population, although this was not significant (p = .1985). There was fair agreement (κ = 0.21-0.40) between high Ki67 and RS values (κ = 0.280; p < .0001). A higher progesterone receptor percentage was associated with lower RS values (p > .0001) but not lower Ki67 values. A positive nodal status and a larger tumor size were associated with higher Ki67 values (p = .0059 and p < .0001) but not with RS.

CONCLUSIONS

In this group of patients selected to have a 21-gene RS, there was no significant correlation between Ki67 and RS in the overall population, and there was fair agreement between high Ki67 and high RS values.

LAY SUMMARY

In patients with early-stage, hormone receptor-positive breast cancer, decisions on adjuvant chemotherapy are based on certain biological features of the cancer and genomic assays such as the Oncotype DX Recurrence Score (RS). The goal of this study was to determine the correlation between Ki67, a marker of proliferation, and the Oncotype DX RS, a 21-gene assay demonstrated to be predictive of an adjuvant chemotherapy benefit in patients with early-stage breast cancer. In 525 patients, the authors did not find a significant correlation between Ki67 and RS.

Clinical validity and clinical utility of Ki67 in early breast cancer

Ki67 represents an immunohistochemical nuclear localized marker that is widely used in surgical pathology. Nuclear immunoreactivity for Ki67 indicates that cells are cycling and are in G1- to S-phase. The percentage of Ki67-positive tumor cells (Ki67 index) therefore provides an estimate of the growth fraction in tumor specimens. In breast cancer (BC), tumor cell proliferation rate is one of the most relevant prognostic markers and Ki67 is consequently helpful in prognostication similar to histological grading and mRNA profiling-based BC risk stratification. In BCs treated with short-term preoperative endocrine therapy, Ki67 dynamics enable distinguishing between endocrine sensitive and resistant tumors. Despite its nearly universal use in pathology laboratories worldwide, no internationally accepted consensus has yet been achieved for some methodological details related to Ki67 immunohistochemistry (IHC). Controversial issues refer to choice of IHC antibody clones, scoring methods, inter-laboratory reproducibility, and the potential value of computer-assisted imaging analysis and/or artificial intelligence for Ki67 assessment. Prospective clinical trials focusing on BC treatment have proven that Ki67, as determined by standardized central pathology assessment, is of clinical validity. Clinical utility has been demonstrated in huge observational studies.

Two Instrument Comparison of Reagents From a US FDA-Approved Assay for the Assessment of Ki-67 in High-Risk Early Breast Cancer

The objective of this study was to measure concordance of results obtained from the US Food and Drug Administration-approved Ki-67 immunohistochemistry MIB-1 pharmDx assay performed on the Dako Omnis automated staining instrument (Omnis) versus results produced from the assay reagents applied using an optimized protocol on the more widely available Autostainer Link 48 (ASL48) platform. Tissue sections obtained from 40 formalin-fixed paraffin-embedded breast carcinoma samples, with available Oncotype DX Breast Recurrence Score (RS) results, were stained. Three certified pathologists scored slides at 3 timepoints, totaling 360 observations for each instrument (N=720 total) using the approved scoring approach. Using the ≥20% cutoff, agreement was calculated with corresponding 2-sided 95% percentile bootstrap confidence intervals (CIs). Pairwise comparisons (N=360) from the interinstrument evaluation, performed with all observers, resulted in 325 (90.3%) concordant outcomes (244 negative and 81 positive) and 35 (9.7%) discordant outcomes. The overall agreement was 90.3% (95% confidence interval, 85.6% to 94.4%). No significant systematic differences were observed between instruments. Specimens scored from the Omnis were on average <1% higher than ASL48, with high correlation and little bias between the continuous Ki-67 scores (concordance correlation coefficient=0.916). Most specimens with a Ki-67 score ≥20% had a RS >25. This study demonstrated that good concordance can be achieved with the reagents run on the ASL48 instrument when using an optimized protocol and standardized scoring.

PD-L1 protein expression in relation to recurrence score values in early-stage ER + breast cancer

PURPOSE

We assessed associations between PD-L1 protein expression, RS, tumor grade, and stromal tumor-infiltrating lymphocyte (TIL) count in early-stage ER + cancers.

METHODS

FFPE tissue blocks of 213 patients with RS in 2012-2017 were identified. PD-L1 immunohistochemistry was performed with SP142 assay, cases with ≥ 1% tumor-infiltrating immune cell positivity in the tumor area were considered PD-L1 + . TIL scores were determined following the international TIL counting guidelines. PD-L1 expression positivity rates were compared across RS (< 11, 11-25, > 25) and TIL categories (< 10%, 10-29%, > 30%), and tumor grade using Wilcoxon and Chi-square tests. Multivariate analysis was performed using logistic regression.

RESULTS

PD-L1 and TIL results were available for 201 and 203 patients. Overall, 53% of cases were PD-L1 +. PD-L1 expression was higher among cases with RS > 25, versus RS < 11 (p = 0.00019) and RS 11-25 (p = 0.0017). PD-L1 positivity also correlated with TIL score, tumor grade, and tumor size. Among cancers with TIL > 30%, 92% were PD-L1 + versus 44% PD-L1 + among TIL < 10% (p = 2.8 × 10^-6). Grade 3 cancers had higher PD-L1 positivity (79% PD-L1 +) versus grade 2 (49% PD-L1 +) or 1 tumors (48% PD-L1 +) (p = 0.00047). T2 and T3 tumors had more frequent PD-L1 positivity (67% and 83%, respectively) versus T1 cancers (46%) (p = 0.008). In multivariate analysis, only TIL and RS remained as independent predictors of PD-L1 positivity.

CONCLUSION

PD-L1 expression is significantly more frequent and higher in larger tumors (T2, T3), grade 3 cancers, and in cancers with RS > 25. PD-L1 expression also correlates with TIL score.

The current staging and classification systems of breast cancer and their pitfalls: Is it possible to integrate the complexity of this neoplasm into a unified staging system?

Breast cancer is one of the leading causes of cancer death in women worldwide due to its variable aggressiveness and high propensity to develop distant metastases. The staging can be performed clinically or pathologically, generating the stage stratification by the TNM (T - tumor size; N- lymph node metastasis; M - distant organ metastasis) system. However, cancers with virtually identical TNM characteristics can present highly contrasting behaviors due to the divergence of molecular profiles. This review focuses on the histopathological nuances and molecular understanding of breast cancer through the profiling of gene and protein expression, culminating in improvements promoted by the integration of this information into the traditional staging system. As a culminating point, it will highlight predictive statistical tools for genomic risks and decision algorithms as a possible solution to integrate the various systems because they have the potential to reduce the indications for such tests, serving as a funnel in association with staging and previous classification.

Impact of adjuvant chemotherapy on T1N0M0 breast cancer patients: a propensity score matching study based on SEER database and external cohort

Background

There is no clear consensus on the benefits of adjuvant chemotherapy for tumor-node-metastasis (TNM) stage T1 (T1N0M0) breast cancer (BC). Our study investigated the effects of adjuvant chemotherapy on T1N0M0 BC patients.

Methods

Seventy-five thousand one hundred thirty-nine patients diagnosed with T1N0M0 BC were selected from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database. Multivariate Cox analyses were performed to investigate the effects of adjuvant chemotherapy on T1a, T1b, and T1cN0M0 BC, including various tumor grades, and four molecular subtypes. Propensity score matching (PSM) was used to eliminate confounding factors and further compare the results between adjuvant chemotherapy and no adjuvant chemotherapy. Additionally, 545 T1N0M0 BC patients treated at the Northern Jiangsu People’s Hospital were included as an independent external validation cohort. Univariate and multivariate Cox analyses were used to confirm the effects of adjuvant chemotherapy in T1a, T1b, and T1cN0M0 BC. Survival curves for the different tumor grades and molecular subtypes were plotted using the Kaplan–Meier method.

Results

Adjuvant chemotherapy demonstrated a statistically significant improvement in overall survival (OS) in T1b and T1c BC, but not in T1a BC. Within T1b BC, adjuvant chemotherapy was found to have effects on grade III, and hormone receptor + (HoR +)/human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 + (HER2 +), HoR-/HER2 + , and HoR-/HER2- molecular subtypes, respectively. Adjuvant chemotherapy was beneficial to OS for grade II/III and T1c BC. Identical results were obtained after PSM. We also obtained similar results with external validation cohort, except that adjuvant chemotherapy made a difference in grade II and T1b BC of the external validation dataset.

Conclusions

Partial T1N0M0 BC patients with grade III T1bN0M0, patients with tumor grade II and III T1cN0M0, and excluding those with HoR + /HER2- subtype tumors, could obtain OS benefits from adjuvant chemotherapy.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s12885-022-09952-z.

Molecular Subtyping of Invasive Breast Cancer Using a PAM50-Based Multigene Expression Test-Comparison with Molecular-Like Subtyping by Tumor Grade/Immunohistochemistry and Influence on Oncologist's Decision on Systemic Therapy in a Real-World Setting

In intermediate risk hormone receptor (HR) positive, HER2 negative breast cancer (BC), the decision regarding adjuvant chemotherapy might be facilitated by multigene expression tests. In all, 142 intermediate risk BCs were investigated using the PAM50-based multigene expression test Prosigna® in a prospective multicentric study. In 119/142 cases, Prosigna® molecular subtyping was compared with local and two central (C1 and C6) molecular-like subtypes relying on both immunohistochemistry (IHC; HRs, HER2, Ki-67) and IHC + tumor grade (IHC+G) subtyping. According to local IHC, 35.4% were Luminal A-like and 64.6% Luminal B-like subtypes (local IHC+G subtype: 31.9% Luminal A-like; 68.1% Luminal B-like). In contrast to local and C1 subtyping, C6 classified >2/3 of cases as Luminal A-like. Pairwise agreement between Prosigna® subtyping and molecular-like subtypes was fair to moderate depending on molecular-like subtyping method and center. The best agreement was observed between Prosigna® (53.8% Luminal A; 44.5% Luminal B) and C1 surrogate subtyping (Cohen’s kappa = 0.455). Adjuvant chemotherapy was suggested to 44.2% and 88.6% of Prosigna® Luminal A and Luminal B cases, respectively. Out of all Luminal A-like cases (locally IHC/IHC+G subtyping), adjuvant chemotherapy was recommended if Prosigna® testing classified as Prosigna® Luminal A at high / intermediate risk or upgraded to Prosigna® Luminal B.

Concordance between Ki‑67 index in invasive breast cancer and molecular signatures: EndoPredict and MammaPrint

Identifying patients with hormone receptor-positive (HR+) early invasive breast cancer (EIBC) who benefit from adjuvant chemotherapy has improved with molecular signature tests. However, due to high cost and limited availability, alternative tests are used. The present study sought to evaluate the performance of the proliferation marker Ki-67 to identify these patients and explore its association with molecular signatures and risk stratification markers. From the San José TecSalud Hospital in Monterrey México, patients with HR+ EIBC as tested with EndoPredict or MammaPrint and Ki-67 index were identified. They were categorized into two groups: Group 1 (June 2016-August 2018) was evaluated using EndoPredict and Group 2 (June 2016-August 2018) with MammaPrint. A ≥20% Ki67 index cutoff was utilized to identify highly proliferative EIBC and an area under the receiver-operating characteristic curve and κ concordance were utilized to evaluate the performance of Ki-67 index compared to molecular signature tests. In the EndoPredict group, 54/96 patients were considered high-risk based on their EPclin score, while 57/96 patients had Ki-67 index ≥20%. However, there was no significant overall concordance between them (59.37%, κ=0.168, P=0.09), while the given risk of distant recurrence given in percentage by EPclin had a positive association with the Ki67 index (P=0.04). In the MammaPrint group, 21/70 patients were considered high-risk and 36/70 patients presented with a Ki-67 index ≥20% with a significant overall concordance (67.14%, κ=0.35, P<0.001). In addition, high Ki-67 index was associated with the Nottingham histological grade in both groups. In conclusion, there was a concordance between Ki-67 and MammaPrint risk stratification of HR+ EIBC and no concordance with the EndoPredict molecular signature, but a positive association with the given percentage of recurrence and the median Ki-67 index as the cutoff at our center. Cost-effectiveness analyses of these tests in developing countries are required; until then, the use of Ki-67 appears reasonable to aid clinical decisions, together with the other established clinicopathological variables.

Impact of genomic assays on treatment and outcomes in locally advanced breast cancer

PURPOSE

Genomic profiling in early-stage breast cancer provides prognostic and predictive information. Genomic profiling assays have not been validated in locally advanced breast cancer (LABC). We examined a large cancer registry to evaluate genomic profiling in LABC and its effect on treatment decisions and survival.

METHODS

Females with ER+/HER2- LABC who did not receive neoadjuvant therapy were selected from the National Cancer Database 2004-2017. We compared characteristics between patients with and without genomic profiling and with low genomic risk, 21-gene recurrence score ≤ 25 or low-risk 70-gene signature, treated with endocrine therapy ± chemotherapy. Propensity score methods were utilized to account for covariates that may have predicted treatment. Univariable and multivariable survival analyses were performed.

RESULTS

Of 18,437 patients with LABC, 1258 (7%) had genomic profiling and 1022 (81%) had low genomic risk results. 562 patients (55%) with low genomic risk received chemotherapy and endocrine therapy (chemoendocrine). Patients who received chemoendocrine therapy were younger, had fewer comorbidities, presented with higher stage disease, had higher grade tumors, more frequently had partial mastectomy, and more often received radiation than those who received endocrine therapy alone. On multivariable analysis, endocrine therapy alone was associated with worse OS compared to chemoendocrine therapy (HR 1.77, 95% CI 1.13-2.78, p = 0.013).

CONCLUSION

In women with LABC and low genomic risk, endocrine therapy alone was associated with worse OS compared to chemoendocrine therapy. This suggests that genomic profiling is not predictive in LABC. Accordingly, genomic profiling should not be routinely utilized to make adjuvant treatment decisions in LABC in the absence of further data which shows a benefit.

Real World Evaluation of the Prosigna/PAM50 Test in a Node-Negative Postmenopausal Swedish Population: A Multicenter Study

Simple Summary

Gene expression signatures can provide important information on the risk of recurrence in patients with hormone receptor positive early breast cancer, and they can guide postoperative treatment. We have investigated how the implementation of gene-expression-based risk signatures with the Prosigna^® test impacted patient management in Sweden. The two major conclusions of this study are that prognostic factors derived from routine pathology were poor predictors of the intrinsic subtype and the risk of recurrence score, and that gene-expression-based risk combined with clinicopathological biomarkers (tumor size, Ki67, tumor grade) spared patients from adjuvant chemotherapy, but also identified patients who would potentially benefit from this treatment.

Abstract

Molecular signatures to guide decisions for adjuvant chemotherapy are recommended in early ER-positive, HER2-negative breast cancer. The objective of this study was to assess what impact gene-expression-based risk testing has had following its recommendation by Swedish national guidelines. Postmenopausal women with ER-positive, HER2-negative and node negative breast cancer at intermediate clinical risk and eligible for chemotherapy were identified retrospectively from five Swedish hospitals. Tumor characteristics, results from Prosigna^® test and final treatment decision were available for all patients. Treatment recommendations were compared with the last version of regional guidelines before the introduction of routine risk signature testing. Among the 360 included patients, 41% (n = 148) had a change in decision for adjuvant treatment based on Prosigna^® test result. Out of the patients with clinical indication for adjuvant chemotherapy, 52% (n = 118) could avoid treatment based on results from Prosigna^® test. On the contrary, 23% (n = 30) of the patients with no indication were escalated to receive adjuvant chemotherapy after testing. Ki67 could not distinguish between the Prosigna^® risk groups or intrinsic subtypes and did not significantly differ between patients in which decision for adjuvant therapy was changed based on the test results. In conclusion, we report the first real-world data from implementation of gene-expression-based risk assessment in a Swedish context, which may facilitate the optimization of future versions of the national guidelines.

Biomarkers for Adjuvant Endocrine and Chemotherapy in Early-Stage Breast Cancer: ASCO Guideline Update

PURPOSE

To update recommendations on appropriate use of breast cancer biomarker assay results to guide adjuvant endocrine and chemotherapy decisions in early-stage breast cancer.

METHODS

An updated literature search identified randomized clinical trials and prospective-retrospective studies published from January 2016 to October 2021. Outcomes of interest included overall survival and disease-free or recurrence-free survival. Expert Panel members used informal consensus to develop evidence-based recommendations.

RESULTS

The search identified 24 studies informing the evidence base.

RECOMMENDATIONS

Clinicians may use Oncotype DX, MammaPrint, Breast Cancer Index (BCI), and EndoPredict to guide adjuvant endocrine and chemotherapy in patients who are postmenopausal or age > 50 years with early-stage estrogen receptor (ER)-positive, human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 (HER2)-negative (ER+ and HER2-) breast cancer that is node-negative or with 1-3 positive nodes. Prosigna and BCI may be used in postmenopausal patients with node-negative ER+ and HER2- breast cancer. In premenopausal patients, clinicians may use Oncotype in patients with node-negative ER+ and HER2- breast cancer. Current data suggest that premenopausal patients with 1-3 positive nodes benefit from chemotherapy regardless of genomic assay result. There are no data on use of genomic tests to guide adjuvant chemotherapy in patients with ≥ 4 positive nodes. Ki67 combined with other parameters or immunohistochemistry 4 score may be used in postmenopausal patients without access to genomic tests to guide adjuvant therapy decisions. BCI may be offered to patients with 0-3 positive nodes who received 5 years of endocrine therapy without evidence of recurrence to guide decisions about extended endocrine therapy. None of the assays are recommended for treatment guidance in individuals with HER2-positive or triple-negative breast cancer. Treatment decisions should also consider disease stage, comorbidities, and patient preferences.Additional information is available at www.asco.org/breast-cancer-guidelines.

Definition of High-Risk Early Hormone-Positive HER2−Negative Breast Cancer: A Consensus Review

Breast cancer is one of the major causes of cancer-related morbidity and mortality in women worldwide. During the past three decades, several improvements in the adjuvant treatment of hormone receptor-positive/HER2−negative breast cancer have been achieved with the introduction of optimized adjuvant chemotherapy and endocrine treatment. However, estimating the risk of relapse of breast cancer on an individual basis is still challenging. The IRIDE (hIGh Risk DEfinition in breast cancer) working group was established with the aim of reviewing evidence from the literature to synthesize the current relevant features that predict hormone-positive/HER2−negative early breast cancer relapse. A panel of experts in breast cancer was involved in identifying clinical, pathological, morphological, and genetic factors. A RAND consensus method was used to define the relevance of each risk factor. Among the 21 features included, 12 were considered relevant risk factors for relapse. For each of these, we provided a consensus statement and relevant comments on the supporting scientific evidence. This work may guide clinicians in the practical management of hormone-positive/HER2−negative early breast cancers.

Low correlation between Ki67 assessed by qRT-PCR in Oncotype Dx score and Ki67 assessed by Immunohistochemistry

Breast cancers expressing high levels of Ki67 are associated with poor outcomes. Oncotype DX test was designed for ER+/HER2- early-stage breast cancers to help adjuvant chemotherapy decision by providing a Recurrent Score (RS). RS measures the expression of 21 specific genes from tumor tissue, including Ki67. The primary aim of this study was to assess the agreement between Ki67_RNA obtained with Oncotype DX RS and Ki67_IHC. Other objectives were to analyze the association between the event free survival (EFS) and the expression level of Ki67_RNA; and association between RS and Ki67_RNA. Herein, we report a low agreement of 0.288 by Pearson correlation coefficient test between Ki67_IHC and Ki67_RNA in a cohort of 98 patients with early ER+/HER2- breast cancers. Moreover, Ki67_RNA^high tumors were significantly associated with the occurrence of events (p = 0.03). On the other hand, we did not find any association between Ki67_IHC and EFS (p = 0.26). We observed a low agreement between expression level of Ki67_RNA and Ki67 protein labelling by IHC. Unlike Ki67_IHC and independently of the RS, Ki67_RNA could have a prognostic value. It would be interesting to better assess the prognosis and predictive value of Ki67_RNA measured by qRT-PCR. The Ki67_RNA in medical routine could be a good support in countries where Oncotype DX is not accessible.

The impact of age and nodal status on variations in oncotype DX testing and adjuvant treatment

Oncotype DX (ODX) recurrence score (RS) is a validated tool to guide the use of adjuvant chemotherapy (AC) in hormone receptor+/HER2- breast cancer. In this analysis, we examine (1) characteristics associated with ODX testing and (2) the association between ODX RS and receipt of AC across age and nodal status. Women with HR+/HER2–, early-stage (T1-2, N0-1) breast cancers from 2010–2017 in the National Cancer Database were included. 530,125 met inclusion and 255,971 received ODX testing. Older women were less likely to receive testing; however, nodal positivity increased use of testing. High ODX RS was associated with increased mortality, though the association was not consistent across age and was most strongly associated with mortality among younger, node-negative women. Older women with high ODX RS, regardless of nodal status, were less likely to receive AC. Clinicians may be employing ODX RS to support treatment decisions against the receipt of AC.

Breast cancer-specific mortality in early breast cancer as defined by high-risk clinical and pathologic characteristics

OBJECTIVES

To investigate breast cancer-specific mortality by early breast cancer (EBC; Stages I-IIIC) subtype; incidence of high-risk indicators for recurrence (defined in monarchE trial); and mortality risk difference by those who did/did not meet these criteria.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Analyses included patients with initial EBC diagnosis between 2010-2015 from Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) data (n = 342,149). Cox proportional hazards models and Kaplan-Meier estimates examined mortality among 228,031 patients, by subtype (hormone receptor [HR]-positive [+], human epidermal growth factor receptor-2 [HER2] negative [-]; triple negative [TNBC]; HR+, HER2+; HR-, HER2+). Incidence and mortality among patients who did/did not meet monarchE clinicopathological high-risk criteria were examined.

RESULTS

Among patients with HR+, HER2- EBC, histologic Grade 3 (vs. Grade 1) was the most influential factor on mortality (hazard ratio, 3.61; 95%CI, 3.27, 3.98). Among patients with TNBC, ≥4 ipsilateral axillary positive nodes (vs. node negative) was the most influential factor on mortality (hazard ratio, 3.46; 95%CI, 2.87, 4.17). For patients with HR-, HER2+ or HR+, HER2+ EBC, tumor size ≥5 cm (vs. <1 cm) and ≥4 ipsilateral axillary positive nodes were the most influential factors on mortality. The 60-month mortality rate for the 12% of patients within the HR+, HER2- EBC group meeting monarchE clinicopathological high-risk criteria was 16.5%, versus 7.0% (Stage II-III and node positive) and 2.8% (Stage I or node negative) for those not meeting criteria. The 60-month mortality rate for patients with TNBC was 18.5%.

CONCLUSION

Mortality risk and the relative importance of risk factors varied by subtype. monarchE clinicopathological high-risk criteria were associated with increased mortality risk among patients with HR+, HER2- EBC. Patients with HR+, HER2- EBC, and monarchE clinicopathological high-risk criteria experienced risk of mortality similar to patients with early TNBC. These data highlight a high unmet need in this select patient population who may benefit most from therapy escalation.

The impact of anthracyclines in intermediate and high-risk HER2-negative early breast cancer-a pooled analysis of the randomised clinical trials PlanB and SUCCESS C

Background

Anthracycline/cyclophosphamide-taxane-containing chemotherapy (AC-T) is the standard of care in the adjuvant treatment of HER2-negative early breast cancer (EBC), but recent studies suggest omission of anthracyclines for reduced toxicity without compromising efficacy.

Methods

Based on individual patient data (n = 5924) pooled from the randomised Phase III trials PlanB and SUCCESS C, we compared disease-free survival (DFS) and overall survival (OS) between intermediate to high-risk HER2-negative EBC-patients treated with either six cycles of docetaxel/cyclophosphamide (TC6) or an AC-T regime using univariable and adjusted multivariable Cox regression models.

Results

AC-T conferred no significant DFS or OS advantage in univariable (DFS: hazard ratio (HR) for TC vs. AT 1.05, 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.89–1.24, P = 0.57; OS: HR 1.00, 95% CI: 0.80–1.26, P = 1.00) and adjusted multivariable analysis (DFS: HR 1.01, 95% CI: 0.86–1.19, P = 0.91; OS: HR 0.97, 95% CI: 0.77–1.22, P = 0.79). Patients receiving TC6 had significantly fewer grade 3–4 adverse events. Exploratory subgroup analysis showed that AC-T was associated with significantly better DFS and OS in pN2/3 patients, specifically in those with lobular histology.

Conclusion

For most patients with HER2-negative EBC, AC-T is not associated with a survival benefit compared to TC6. However, patients with lobular pN2/pN3 tumours seem to benefit from anthracycline-containing chemotherapy.

The Clinical Research and Latest Application of Genomic Assays in Early-Stage Breast Cancer

Breast cancer is a kind of malignant tumor that seriously endangers women's life and health. Once diagnosed, most patients will receive a combination of treatments to achieve a cure. However, breast cancer is a heterogeneous disease. Even with the same clinical stage and pathological features, its response to treatment and postoperative recurrence risk may still be completely different. With the advent of genomic assay, some patients with early-stage breast cancer who originally needed treatment can still achieve long-term disease-free survival without adjuvant chemotherapy, so as to achieve personalized and accurate treatment mode to a certain extent. In this paper, we reviewed the 5 most widely used and studied genomic panel technologies in breast cancer, namely Oncotype DX, MammaPrint, RecurIndex, PAM50, and EndoPredict, according to accessibility and availability. Based on the results of the completed or ongoing clinical studies, we summarized the origin, applicable population, and clinical efficacy of each detection method, and discussed the potential development prospect of detection technology in the future.

Population-based estimate for the correlation of the Oncotype Dx Breast Recurrence Score® result and Ki-67 IHC MIB-1 pharmDx in HR+, HER2-, node-positive early breast cancer

BACKGROUND

The United States Food and Drug Administration recently approved a Ki-67 immunohistochemistry (IHC) assay to identify patients with early breast cancer at high disease recurrence risk. The Oncotype Dx Breast Recurrence Score® assay has been validated in hormone receptor-positive (HR+), human epidermal growth factor receptor 2-negative (HER2-) invasive breast cancer (IBC) to predict chemotherapy benefit and distant recurrence risk, regardless of nodal status. This study assessed the correlation between Recurrence Score® (RS) results and the Ki-67 IHC MIB-1 pharmDx assay.

METHODS

HR+, HER2-, N1 IBC samples with RS results were examined by Ki-67 IHC; 311 specimens were collected, including 275 without regard to RS ("unselected RS") and 36 more with RS 26-100; 12 were lymph node negative upon pathology report review, and one had no Ki-67 score, leaving 262 unselected RS and 298 total samples. Spearman rank correlation was calculated using the unselected samples and a weighted rank correlation using all samples. A receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve for predicting high RS (26-100) from Ki-67 was constructed.

RESULTS

The Spearman rank correlation between Ki-67 and RS results was moderately positive (unselected RS samples: 0.396; 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.288-0.493; all samples: 0.394; 95% CI 0.294-0.486). While 71% of samples with RS 26-100 had Ki-67 ≥ 20%, 75% with RS 0-25 had Ki-67 < 20%. ROC area under the curve was 0.792 (95% CI 0.725-0.859).

CONCLUSIONS

The moderately positive correlation is consistent with previous analyses suggesting the Oncotype Dx® assay and Ki-67 IHC MIB-1 assay should not be used interchangeably in clinical practice.

Nomogram for the personalisation of radiotherapy treatments in breast cancer patients

Introduction

Numerous prospective studies have shown that the incorporation of genomic assays into clinical practice significantly impacts the choice of adjuvant treatments for patients with early-stage breast cancer. However, the same evidence does not exist for the treatment of locoregional recurrences.

Hypothesis and objectives

The main objective of this work was to identify the clinicopathological, molecular, and genetic parameters that allow patients to be more precisely categorised into risk groups, in order to create a locoregional recurrence riskclassification tool, the PersonalRT27.

Material and methods

To create PersonalRT27, we retrospective assessed the variables of patients with early breast cancer (stages I or II) who had undergone the OncotypeDx ® and MammaPrint ® genetic tests. These variables and factors included in the tests were categorised and weighted to obtain scores between 1 and 5 pointsto represent a lower or higher risk of relapse, respectively, based on these factors and as determined by the researchers.

Results

The mean follow-up time was 60.5 months (range 25–96 months); locoregional progression-free survival at the time of the analysis was 98.4%, and overall survival was 97.5%, of which 0.6% of the deaths had been cancer specific. The area under the curve for the PersonalRT27 was 0.76 (95% CI [0.70, 0.81]), sensitivity was 78%, and the specificity was 58.9%. We used these factors to create an inhospital web-based nomogram.

Conclusions

The PersonalRT27 is a novel tool that integrates clinical-pathological, molecular, and genetic parameters. External and independent validation will be required to implement its clinical use.

•

Genomic assays impact the choice of adjuvant systemic treatment for patients with early-stage breast cancer.

•

However, the same evidence does not exist for decision making regarding adjuvant locoregional therapy.

•

In other words, can the clinically approved genomic assays predict the risk of locoregional recurrende as a primary event.

•

The main objective of this work was to identify the clinicopathological, molecular, and genetic parameters that allow patients to be more precisely categorised into risk groups, in order to create a locoregional recurrence risk-classification tool, the PersonalRT27.

Development of novel agents for the treatment of early estrogen receptor positive breast cancer

Estrogen receptor (ER+) breast cancer is the most frequently diagnosed breast cancer subtype. Currently, adjuvant treatment for early stage disease consists of endocrine therapy, with or without chemotherapy and bone-targeted therapy, delivered in a risk-adapted manner. Despite this multimodal approach, a significant proportion of high risk patients will develop incurable distant recurrences. There is an ongoing need to develop new treatment strategies that address the biologic causes of treatment failure and to identify the individual patients who can benefit from such interventions. Here we review the clinical investigation of targeted and novel therapies, including inhibitors of the PI3K-AKT-mTOR pathway, oral selective estrogen receptor degraders (SERDs), and PARP-inhibitors for the treatment of early ER+ breast cancer. Furthermore, we highlight opportunities in biomarker development to help guide the delivery of escalated adjuvant strategies.

Oncotype DX 21-gene test has a low recurrence score in both pure and mixed mucinous breast carcinoma

The Oncotype DX 21-gene test can be used to predict chemotherapy efficacy in patients with estrogen receptor (ER)-positive and HER2-negative breast cancer; however, the data on the 21-gene recurrence score (RS) for mucinous breast carcinoma (MBC) are limited. The present study aimed to evaluate the distribution pattern and clinical value of the 21-gene RS in patients with MBC. A total of 38 pure MBC (PMBC) and 11 mixed MBC (MMBC) cases were retrospectively analyzed, and a total of 29 ER-positive and HER2-negative MBCs underwent the Oncotype DX 21-gene test. There were no statistically significant differences between the PMBCs and MMBCs in age, tumor size and molecular subtype; however, patients with MMBC showed a significantly higher incidence rate of nodal metastases compared with that in patients with PMBC (72.7 vs. 16.2%, respectively). Following surgery, 87.8 and 59.2% of the enrolled patients received endocrine therapy and chemotherapy, respectively. With a median follow-up of 65.6 months, the 5-year disease-free survival and overall survival rates were 97.0 and 100.0%, respectively. The 21-gene test revealed that the proportions of patients with MBC categorized into low (RS <18), intermediate (RS ≥18-30) and high (RS ≥30) risk groups were 51.7, 44.8 and 3.5%, respectively, and there was no statistically significant difference between the PMBC and MMBC cases. Notably, among the genes in the 21-gene RS testing, the expression levels of cathepsin V, progesterone receptor (PR) and CD68 were significantly higher in the PMBC group compared with that in the MMBC group. In conclusion, the current study demonstrated that patients with MBC had a favorable prognosis, and both PMBC and MMBC cases had a low- and intermediate-risk RS, which suggests that a considerable proportion of patients may be able to avoid chemotherapy. In addition, the high expression level of PR, based on the 21-gene test in PMBCs, indicated that they may have a more favorable response to endocrine therapy than MMBCs.

Palpable Adenopathy Does Not Indicate High-Volume Axillary Nodal Disease in Hormone Receptor-Positive Breast Cancer

BACKGROUND

Axillary metastases in the form of palpable adenopathy indicate the need for neoadjuvant chemotherapy or axillary lymph node dissection (ALND). Patients with hormone receptor-positive/human epidermal growth factor receptor 2-negative (HR+/HER2-) disease infrequently have nodal pathologic complete response to neoadjuvant chemotherapy and often require ALND. Sentinel lymph node biopsy is an accepted treatment for patients with two or fewer non-palpable nodal metastases who are undergoing breast conservation. The proportion of patients with HR+/HER2- disease with palpable adenopathy and two or fewer nodal metastases is unknown.

METHODS

Patients with cT1-T3N1 HR+/HER2- disease with palpable adenopathy were identified from a prospective database. Patients who underwent mastectomy or breast-conserving therapy with ALND were included in this study, whereas patients who received neoadjuvant chemotherapy were excluded. Clinicopathologic characteristics were compared between patients with two or fewer or more than two positive nodes on ALND.

RESULTS

Of 180 patients included, 78 (43%) had two or fewer positive nodes on ALND, including 40/72 patients (56%) who underwent lumpectomy. On univariate analysis, cT1 tumor, unifocal tumor, only one palpable node, and two or fewer suspicious nodes on ultrasound were associated with two or fewer positive nodes on ALND. On multivariable analysis, number of suspicious nodes on ultrasound and cT stage were independently associated with two or fewer positive nodes on ALND.

CONCLUSIONS

A substantial minority of patients with cT1-3N1 HR+/HER2- disease with palpable adenopathy had two or fewer positive nodes on ALND. Standard clinicopathologic features and ultrasound findings can help identify candidates for upfront sentinel lymph node biopsy as a strategy to avoid ALND. Prospective studies evaluating this approach are warranted.

Using Breast Cancer Gene Expression Signatures in Clinical Practice: Unsolved Issues, Ongoing Trials and Future Perspectives

The development of gene expression signatures since the early 2000's has offered standardized assays to evaluate the prognosis of early breast cancer. Five signatures are currently commercially available and recommended by several international guidelines to individualize adjuvant chemotherapy decisions in hormone receptors-positive/HER2-negative early breast cancer. However, many questions remain unanswered about their predictive ability, reproducibility and external validity in specific populations. They also represent a new hope to tailor (neo)adjuvant systemic treatment, adjuvant radiation therapy, hormone therapy duration and to identify a subset of patients who might benefit from CDK4/6 inhibitor adjuvant treatment. This review will highlight these particular issues, address the remaining questions and discuss the ongoing and future trials.

Ki67 as Proliferative Marker in Patients with Early Breast Cancer and Its Association with Clinicopathological Factors

INTRODUCTION

Ki67 as a proliferative marker has prognostic and therapeutic relevance in early breast cancer (EBC). However, standard cutoffs for distinguishing low and high Ki67 do not exist.

MATERIAL AND METHODS

Data from all patients treated at the University Hospital Ulm for EBC between January 2013 and December 2015 with documented results for internal Ki67 assessment of the primary (n = 917) tumor were retrospectively analyzed evaluating the associations between Ki67 and other clinicopathological factors.

RESULTS

595 (64.9%) patients had a Ki67 <20% and 322 (35.1%) a Ki67 ≥20%. The median Ki67 was 10% (range 1-90%). Median Ki67 values according to the hormone receptor (HR)/ human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 (HER2) subtypes were 10% for HR-positive/HER2 negative (HR+/HER2-) disease (n = 717), 20% for HR+/HER2+ (n = 76), 30% for HR-/HER2+ (n = 45), and 60% for HR-/HER2- (n = 75). 75.2% or 89.3% of all patients with HER2-positive or triple-negative disease had a Ki67 ≥20%, respectively. Using a multivariable logistic regression with Ki67 (<20% vs. ≥20%) as binary dependent variable, younger age, positive nodal status, higher grading, histological nonspecific type carcinoma, negative HR status, and positive HER2 status were shown to be significantly associated with a higher proliferative index (Ki67 ≥20%).

CONCLUSION

This analysis described Ki67 in different subtypes in EBC and its association with clinicopathological factors. According to more aggressive tumor biology, the respective subgroups also showed higher median Ki67 levels. However, definition of low and high proliferation index itself is difficult. It is essential to interpret Ki67 indices carefully with regard to the own institutional values and other clinicopathological factors.

Molecular Testing in Breast Cancer: Current Status and Future Directions

Molecular testing in breast cancer is a rapidly developing field that is becoming increasingly integral to patient care. This article provides an overview of currently available molecular assays and testing modalities that have prognostic, predictive, and therapeutic value. These include multigene assays for invasive breast cancer (Oncotype DX, MammaPrint, Prosigna, and Breast Cancer Index) and ductal carcinoma in situ (Oncotype DX DCIS and DCISionRT) and companion tests to detect PIK3CA mutations and NTRK fusions. The various assays related to immune checkpoint inhibitors, consisting of immunohistochemistry with anti-programmed death-ligand 1 antibodies SP142 and 22C3 and detection of microsatellite instability, mismatch repair deficiency, and tumor mutational burden are also discussed. Finally, the practical utility and hopeful promise of next-generation sequencing panels and circulating tumor (cell-free) DNA assays are evaluated. This review should serve as a useful and practical reference for practicing pathologists, molecular pathologists, clinicians, and researchers.

The clinical utility of gene expression assays in breast cancer patients with 0-3 involved lymph nodes

Multigene expression assays are prognostic for recurrence in hormone-receptor positive 2 (HER-2) negative breast cancer, and, in some cases, predictive of benefit from chemotherapy or extended endocrine therapy. The results of these assays may be used to guide treatment recommendations for early HER-2 negative breast cancer. We review the results of trials establishing the clinical utility of several commercially available gene expression assays.

Chemotherapy is a risk factor of lymphopenia before adjuvant radiotherapy in breast cancer

BACKGROUND

Lymphopenia can decrease immune function of the host and is a known risk factor for poor prognosis in malignant tumors. Radiation induced lymphopenia was common in patients with breast cancer and was also reported to have a negative effect on long-term outcome.

AIMS

Lymphopenia may be associated with baseline immune status before radiotherapy (RT). This study aimed to explore the rate and risk factors of lymphopenia before start of the adjuvant RT in patients with breast cancer.

METHODS

Patients with invasive breast cancer treated from March 2015 to February 2020 and with peripheral lymphocyte counts (PLC) available within 7 days from the beginning of RT were eligible for this study. Data were presented as mean and 95% confidence interval unless otherwise specified. The risk factors of low PLC before RT were identified using univariate and multivariable linear regressions.

RESULTS

A total of 1012 consecutive patients met the study criteria. The mean PLC before RT commencement was 1.58*10⁹ /L (95%CI: 1.55-1.62*10⁹ /L) with 15.2% (95%CI: 13.1%-17.6%) CTCAE defined lymphopenia, rendering 12.3%, 2.6%, 0.3%, and 0% for grade 1, 2, 3 and 4 respectively. Univariate and multivariable linear regression showed prior chemotherapy was the most significant risk factor (p < .001) for low PLC, while age, menopausal status and lymph node stage were not (all ps > .05). A total of 912 (90.1%, 95%CI: 88.1%-91.9%) patients had chemotherapy before adjuvant RT in this study. In patients with HR+/HER2- breast cancer, 69.0% (95%CI: 63.0%-74.5%) N0 and 98.1% (95%CI: 95.1%-99.5%) N1 had also received chemotherapy.

CONCLUSIONS

Patients with breast cancer might have lymphopenia from prior chemotherapy at the start of adjuvant RT which could have negative effect on long-term outcome. It is also noted that most of the patients with HR+/HER2-, early-stage breast cancer were treated with aggressive chemotherapy without knowing the risk of chemotherapy induced lymphopenia. Future study on predictive or prognostic multigene assays is warranted to avoid unnecessary chemotherapy and subsequent lymphopenia in patients with low risk breast cancer.

Efficacy of adjuvant chemotherapy stratified by age and the 21-gene recurrence score in estrogen receptor-positive breast cancer

BACKGROUND

The 21-gene recurrence score (RS) can predict chemotherapy benefit in estrogen receptor-positive, human epidermal growth factor receptor-2-negative (ER+/HER2-) early breast cancer patients. Age would influence the interaction between RS and chemotherapy effect. The current study aimed to determine RS thresholds which were predictive of chemotherapy benefit in young and old women, respectively.

METHODS

Patients diagnosed with pN0-1, ER+/HER2- breast cancer between 2009 and 2016 were retrospectively reviewed. Propensity score matching was performed according to chemotherapy usage. After stratifying patients with different cutoffs of age, the RS threshold indicating chemotherapy benefit in each age strata were determined by cox proportional hazard models.

RESULTS

A total of 1227 patients were included. The median age was 58 years and the median RS was 24. After matching, the RS thresholds suggesting chemotherapy benefit varied with age. For patients ≤55 years, chemotherapy benefit was observed in those having RS > 25 (P = 0.03), with 4-year invasive disease-free survival (IDFS) of 97.0 and 89.3% in patients receiving chemotherapy or not. While patients derived no benefit from chemotherapy if they had RS ≤25 (P = 0.66, 4-year IDFS: 95.3% vs. 94.6%). For patients > 55 years, adjuvant chemotherapy was associated with better prognosis in those with RS > 36 (P = 0.014, 4-year IDFS: 94.7% vs. 76.2%), but not in those having RS ≤36 (P = 0.13, 4-year IDFS: 92.3% vs. 95.8%).

CONCLUSIONS

Old patients need higher RS thresholds to demonstrate the chemotherapy benefit. Further efforts are warranted to investigate the association between age and predictive RS thresholds.

Multigene tests for breast cancer: the physician's perspective

Breast cancer is the most common tumour in women and the first cause of death for cancer in the female population. Preserving the quality of life has therefore become an important objective in the management of the disease. The benefits of adjuvant chemotherapy in patients with HR+ HER2- early breast cancer should always be balanced against its potential short and long-term adverse effects, and identifying the appropriate patients for whom chemotherapy can offer the highest clinical benefit is critical. Besides clinical and pathological factors, today four multigene tests able to guide the choice of the adjuvant therapy early breast cancer are available in Italy: Oncotype DX®, EndoPredict®, MammaPrint® e Prosigna®. This review evaluates the main characteristics of these diagnostic tests, the studies on clinical utility, their economic impact and their inclusion in international and national guidelines. The Oncotype DX Breast Recurrence Score® test is the only multigene test validated, with level IA evidence, to guide the adjuvant therapy decisions: hormone therapy alone for most patients with RS results 0-25, and chemotherapy for patients with RS results 26-100. Clinical data demonstrate that the Oncotype DX test is able to significantly impact therapeutic decisions, reducing chemotherapy use up to 49% and supporting the use of chemotherapy (up to 12%) in potentially under-treated patients. Based on the level of clinical evidence and established clinical utility, several multigene tests have been included in the main international guidelines, with recommendations ranging from "strong" to "moderate".

Cancer Cell Intrinsic and Immunologic Phenotypes Determine Clinical Outcomes in Basal-like Breast Cancer

PURPOSE

Basal-like breast cancer (BLBC) is a particularly aggressive intrinsic molecular subtype of breast cancer that lacks targeted therapies. There is also no clinically useful test to risk stratify patients with BLBC. We hypothesized that a transcriptome-based phenotypic characterization of BLBC tumors and their microenvironments may overcome these challenges.

EXPERIMENTAL DESIGN

We conducted a retrospective correlative genomic sequencing study using a matched pairs design with validation in five independent cohorts. The study was conducted on a large population-based prospective cohort of the major molecular subtypes of breast cancer conducted in the greater Seattle-Puget Sound metropolitan area. Cases consisted of women 20-69 years of age first diagnosed with invasive breast cancer identified through the population-based Surveillance Epidemiology and End Results program. Patients for this analysis (n = 949) were identified from the 1,408 patients with stage I-III triple-negative breast cancer [estrogen receptor-negative (ER^-), progesterone receptor-negative (PR^-), HER2^-]. Of the 949 women, 248 developed a recurrence after their initial diagnosis. A matched set of 67 recurrent and nonrecurrent BLBC tumors was subjected to transcriptome sequencing. Through RNA sequencing of the matched sets of recurrent and nonrecurrent BLBC tumors, we aimed to identify prognostic phenotypes.To identify nonredundant and uncorrelated prognostic genes, we used an ensemble of variable selection algorithms, which resulted in a ranking of genes on the basis of their expected utility in classification. Using leave-one-out cross-validation, we trained a random forest classifier on the basis of the top 21 genes (BRAVO-DX). Validations were performed in five independent triple-negative or BLBC cohorts, and biomarker robustness and transferability were demonstrated by employing real-time PCR.

RESULTS

We found that cancer cell intrinsic and immunologic phenotypes are independent predictors of recurrence. By simultaneously interrogating the tumor and its microenvironment, we developed a compound risk model that stratified patients into low-, medium-, and high-risk groups, with a 14%/56%/74% chance of recurrence, respectively. Biologically, the primary tumors of patients who developed a recurrence had increased growth factor signaling and stem-like features, while nonrecurrent tumors showed high lymphocyte infiltration with clonal expansion of T and B cells, as well as antitumor polarization of macrophages. We validated our model in five independent cohorts, including three large cohorts, where BRAVO-DX was highly informative in identifying patients with disease recurrence [HR, 6.79 (95% confidence interval (CI), 1.89-24.37); HR, 3.45 (95% CI, 2.41-4.93); and HR, 1.69 (95% CI, 1.17-2.46)]. A smaller gene set focused on the tumor immunophenotype, BRAVO-IMMUNE, was highly prognostic in all five cohorts.

CONCLUSIONS

Together, these results indicate that phenotypic characteristics of BLBCs and their microenvironment are associated with recurrence-free survival and demonstrate the utility of intrinsic and extrinsic phenotypes as independent prognostic biomarkers in BLBC. Pending further evaluation and validation, our prognostic model has the potential to inform clinical decision-making for patients with BLBC as it identifies those at high risk of rapidly progressing on standard chemotherapy, as well as those who may benefit from alternative first-line therapies.