Risk of Thyroid Cancer Among Solid Organ Transplant Recipients

Solid organ transplant recipients have an elevated incidence of thyroid cancer. We evaluated a wide range of potential risk factors in a cohort of 229 300 U.S. solid organ transplant recipients linked with 15 stage/regional cancer registries (1987-2012). Incidence rate ratios (IRRs) were adjusted for age, sex, race/ethnicity, transplanted organ, year of transplantation, and time since transplantation. Hazard ratios (HRs) for death and/or graft failure were adjusted for age, sex, race/ethnicity, transplanted organ, and year of transplantation. After transplantation, 356 thyroid cancers were diagnosed. Thyroid cancer incidence was 2.50-fold higher in transplant recipients than the general population (95% confidence interval [CI] 2.25-2.77). Among recipients of different organs, kidney recipients had the highest incidence of thyroid cancer (IRR = 1.26, 95% CI 1.03-1.53). Elevated thyroid cancer incidence was associated with cholestatic liver disease/cirrhosis as an indication for liver transplantation (IRR = 1.69, 95% CI 1.09-2.63), hypertensive nephrosclerosis as an indication for kidney transplantation (IRR = 1.41, 95% CI 1.03-1.94), and longer prior dialysis among kidney recipients (5+ vs. <1 year, IRR = 1.92, 95% CI 1.32-2.80; p-trend <0.01). Posttransplantation diagnosis of thyroid cancer was associated with modestly increased risk of death (HR = 1.33, 95% CI 1.02-1.73). Overall, our results suggest that end-stage organ disease and longer duration of dialysis may contribute to higher thyroid cancer incidence in transplant recipients.

Risk of Renal Cell Carcinoma Among Kidney Transplant Recipients in the United States

Renal cell carcinoma (RCC) is a common malignancy following kidney transplantation. We describe RCC risk and examine RCC risk factors among US kidney recipients (1987-2010). The Transplant Cancer Match Study links the US transplant registry with 15 cancer registries. Standardized incidence ratios (SIRs) were used to compare RCC risk (overall and for clear cell [ccRCC] and papillary subtypes) to the general population. Associations with risk factors were assessed using Cox models. We identified 683 RCCs among 116 208 kidney recipients. RCC risk was substantially elevated compared with the general population (SIR 5.68, 95% confidence interval 5.27-6.13), especially for papillary RCC (SIR 13.3 versus 3.98 for ccRCC). Among kidney recipients, RCC risk was significantly elevated for blacks compared to whites (hazard ratio [HR] 1.50) and lower in females than males (HR 0.56). RCC risk increased with prolonged dialysis preceding transplantation (p-trend < 0.0001). Risk was variably associated for RCC subtypes with some medical conditions that were indications for transplantation: ccRCC risk was reduced with polycystic kidney disease (HR 0.54), and papillary RCC was increased with hypertensive nephrosclerosis (HR 2.02) and vascular diseases (HR 1.86). In conclusion, kidney recipients experience substantially elevated risk of RCC, especially for papillary RCC, and multiple factors contribute to these cancers.

Risk of Colorectal Cancer After Solid Organ Transplantation in the United States

Solid organ transplant recipients have increased colorectal cancer (CRC) risk. We assessed CRC risk among transplant recipients and identified factors contributing to this association. The US transplant registry was linked to 15 population-based cancer registries (1987-2010). We compared CRC risk in recipients to the general population by using standardized incidence ratios (SIRs) and identified CRC risk factors by using Poisson regression. Based on 790 cases of CRC among 224 098 transplant recipients, the recipients had elevated CRC risk (SIR 1.12, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.04 to 1.20). The increase was driven by an excess of proximal colon cancer (SIR 1.69, 95% CI 1.53 to 1.87), while distal colon cancer was not increased (SIR 0.93, 95% CI 0.80 to 1.07), and rectal cancer was reduced (SIR 0.64, 95% CI 0.54 to 0.76). In multivariate analyses, CRC was increased markedly in lung recipients with cystic fibrosis (incidence rate ratio [IRR] 12.3, 95% CI 6.94 to 21.9, vs. kidney recipients). Liver recipients with primary sclerosing cholangitis and inflammatory bowel disease also had elevated CRC risk (IRR 5.32, 95% CI 3.73 to 7.58). Maintenance therapy with cyclosporine and azathioprine was associated with proximal colon cancer (IRR 1.53, 95% CI 1.05 to 2.23). Incidence was not elevated in a subgroup of kidney recipients treated with tacrolimus and mycophenolate mofetil, pointing to the relevance of the identified risk factors. Transplant recipients have increased proximal colon cancer risk, likely related to underlying medical conditions (cystic fibrosis and primary sclerosing cholangitis) and specific immunosuppressive regimens.

Sirolimus use and cancer incidence among US kidney transplant recipients

Sirolimus has anti-carcinogenic properties and can be included in maintenance immunosuppressive therapy following kidney transplantation. We investigated sirolimus effects on cancer incidence among kidney recipients. The US transplant registry was linked with 15 population-based cancer registries and national pharmacy claims. Recipients contributed sirolimus-exposed time when sirolimus claims were filled, and unexposed time when other immunosuppressant claims were filled without sirolimus. Cox regression was used to estimate associations with overall and specific cancer incidence, excluding nonmelanoma skin cancers (not captured in cancer registries). We included 32,604 kidney transplants (5687 sirolimus-exposed). Overall, cancer incidence was suggestively lower during sirolimus use (hazard ratio [HR] = 0.88, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 0.70-1.11). Prostate cancer incidence was higher during sirolimus use (HR = 1.86, 95% CI = 1.15-3.02). Incidence of other cancers was similar or lower with sirolimus use, with a 26% decrease overall (HR = 0.74, 95% CI = 0.57-0.96, excluding prostate cancer). Results were similar after adjustment for demographic and clinical characteristics. This modest association does not provide strong evidence that sirolimus prevents posttransplant cancer, but it may be advantageous among kidney recipients with high cancer risk. Increased prostate cancer diagnoses may result from sirolimus effects on screen detection.

Cancers among US organ donors: a comparison of transplant and cancer registry diagnoses

Transmission of cancer is a life-threatening complication of transplantation. Monitoring transplantation practice requires complete recording of donor cancers. The US Scientific Registry of Transplant Recipients (SRTR) captures cancers in deceased donors (beginning in 1994) and living donors (2004). We linked the SRTR (52,599 donors, 110,762 transplants) with state cancer registries. Cancer registries identified cancers in 519 donors: 373 deceased donors (0.9%) and 146 living donors (1.2%). Among deceased donors, 50.7% of cancers were brain tumors. Among living donors, 54.0% were diagnosed after donation; most were cancers common in the general population (e.g. breast, prostate). There were 1063 deceased donors with cancer diagnosed in the SRTR or cancer registry, and the SRTR lacked a cancer diagnosis for 107 (10.1%) of these. There were 103 living donors with cancer before or at donation, diagnosed in the SRTR or cancer registry, and the SRTR did not have a cancer diagnosis for 43 (41.7%) of these. The SRTR does not record cancers after donation in living donors and so missed 81 cancers documented in cancer registries. In conclusion, donor cancers are uncommon, but lack of documentation of some cases highlights a need for improved ascertainment and reporting by organ procurement organizations and transplant programs.

HPV-related cancers after solid organ transplantation in the United States

Transplant recipients have elevated cancer risk including risk of human papillomavirus (HPV)-associated cancers of the cervix, anus, penis, vagina, vulva and oropharynx. We examined the incidence of HPV-related cancers in 187 649 US recipients in the Transplant Cancer Match Study. Standardized incidence ratios (SIRs) compared incidence rates to the general population, and incidence rate ratios (IRRs) compared rates across transplant subgroups. We observed elevated incidence of HPV-related cancers (SIRs: in situ 3.3-20.3, invasive 2.2-7.3), except for invasive cervical cancer (SIR 1.0). Incidence increased with time since transplant for vulvar, anal and penile cancers (IRRs 2.1-4.6 for 5+ vs. <2 years). Immunophenotype, characterized by decreased incidence with HLA DRB1:13 and increased incidence with B:44, contributed to susceptibility at several sites. Use of specific immunosuppressive medications was variably associated with incidence; for example, tacrolimus, was associated with reduced incidence for some anogenital cancers (IRRs 0.4-0.7) but increased incidence of oropharyngeal cancer (IRR 2.1). Thus, specific features associated with recipient characteristics, transplanted organs and medications are associated with incidence of HPV-related cancers after transplant. The absence of increased incidence of invasive cervical cancer highlights the success of cervical screening in this population and suggests a need for screening for other HPV-related cancers.

Risk of lymphoma subtypes after solid organ transplantation in the United States

BACKGROUND

Solid organ transplant recipients have high risk of lymphomas, including non-Hodgkin lymphoma (NHL) and Hodgkin lymphoma (HL). A gap in our understanding of post-transplant lymphomas involves the spectrum and associated risks of their many histologic subtypes.

METHODS

We linked nationwide data on solid organ transplants from the US Scientific Registry of Transplant Recipients (1987-2008) to 14 state and regional cancer registries, yielding 791 281 person-years of follow-up for 19 distinct NHL subtypes and HL. We calculated standardised incidence ratios (SIRs) and used Poisson regression to compare SIRs by recipient age, transplanted organ, and time since transplantation.

RESULTS

The risk varied widely across subtypes, with strong elevations (SIRs 10-100) for hepatosplenic T-cell lymphoma, Burkitt's lymphoma, NK/T-cell lymphoma, diffuse large B-cell lymphoma, and anaplastic large-cell lymphoma (both systemic and primary cutaneous forms). Moderate elevations (SIRs 2-4) were observed for HL and lymphoplasmacytic, peripheral T-cell, and marginal zone lymphomas, but SIRs for indolent lymphoma subtypes were not elevated. Generally, SIRs were highest for younger recipients (<20 years) and those receiving organs other than kidneys.

CONCLUSION

Transplant recipients experience markedly elevated risk of a distinct spectrum of lymphoma subtypes. These findings support the aetiologic relevance of immunosuppression for certain subtypes and underscore the importance of detailed haematopathologic workup for transplant recipients with suspected lymphoma.

Racial/ethnic differences in cancer risk after kidney transplantation

Transplant recipients have elevated cancer risk, but it is unknown if cancer risk differs across race and ethnicity as in the general population. US kidney recipients (N = 87,895) in the Transplant Cancer Match Study between 1992 and 2008 were evaluated for racial/ethnic differences in risk for six common cancers after transplantation. Compared to white recipients, black recipients had lower incidence of non-Hodgkin lymphoma (NHL) (adjusted incidence rate ratio [aIRR] 0.60, p<0.001) and higher incidence of kidney (aIRR 2.09, p<0.001) and prostate cancer (aIRR 2.14, p<0.001); Hispanic recipients had lower incidence of NHL (aIRR 0.64, p = 0.001), lung (aIRR 0.41, p < 0.001), breast (aIRR 0.53, p = 0.003) and prostate cancer (aIRR 0.72, p = 0.05). Colorectal cancer incidence was similar across groups. Standardized incidence ratios (SIRs) measured the effect of transplantation on cancer risk and were similar for most cancers (p≥0.1). However, black and Hispanic recipients had larger increases in kidney cancer risk with transplantation (SIRs: 8.96 in blacks, 5.95 in Hispanics vs. 4.44 in whites), and only blacks had elevated prostate cancer risk following transplantation (SIR: 1.21). Racial/ethnic differences in cancer risk after transplantation mirror general population patterns, except for kidney and prostate cancers where differences reflect the effects of end-stage renal disease or transplantation.

Risks of myeloid malignancies in patients with autoimmune conditions

Autoimmune conditions are associated with an elevated risk of lymphoproliferative malignancies, but few studies have investigated the risk of myeloid malignancies. From the US Surveillance Epidemiology and End Results (SEER)-Medicare database, 13 486 myeloid malignancy patients (aged 67+ years) and 160 086 population-based controls were selected. Logistic regression models adjusted for gender, age, race, calendar year and number of physician claims were used to estimate odds ratios (ORs) for myeloid malignancies in relation to autoimmune conditions. Multiple comparisons were controlled for using the Bonferroni correction (P<0.0005). Autoimmune conditions, overall, were associated with an increased risk of acute myeloid leukaemia (AML) (OR 1.29) and myelodysplastic syndrome (MDS, OR 1.50). Specifically, AML was associated with rheumatoid arthritis (OR 1.28), systemic lupus erythematosus (OR 1.92), polymyalgia rheumatica (OR 1.73), autoimmune haemolytic anaemia (OR 3.74), systemic vasculitis (OR 6.23), ulcerative colitis (OR 1.72) and pernicious anaemia (OR 1.57). Myelodysplastic syndrome was associated with rheumatoid arthritis (OR1.52) and pernicious anaemia (OR 2.38). Overall, autoimmune conditions were not associated with chronic myeloid leukaemia (OR 1.09) or chronic myeloproliferative disorders (OR 1.15). Medications used to treat autoimmune conditions, shared genetic predisposition and/or direct infiltration of bone marrow by autoimmune conditions, could explain these excess risks of myeloid malignancies.

Breast cancer risk in elderly women with systemic autoimmune rheumatic diseases: a population-based case-control study

Systemic autoimmune rheumatic diseases (SARDs) are chronic inflammatory and immuno-modulatory conditions that have been suggested to affect cancer risk. Using the Surveillance, Epidemiology and End Results–Medicare-linked database, women aged 67–99 years and diagnosed with incident breast cancer in 1993–2002 (n=84 778) were compared with an equal number of age-matched cancer-free female controls. Diagnoses of SARDs, including rheumatoid arthritis (RA, n=5238), systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE, n=340), Sjogren's syndrome (n=374), systemic sclerosis (n=128), and dermatomyositis (n=31), were determined from claim files for individuals from age 65 years to 1 year before selection. Associations of SARD diagnoses with breast cancer, overall and by oestrogen receptor (ER) expression, were assessed using odds ratio (OR) estimates from multivariable logistic regression models. The women diagnosed with RA were less likely to develop breast cancer (OR=0.87, 95% confidence interval (CI)=0.82–0.93). The risk reduction did not differ by tumour ER-status (OR=0.83, 95% CI=0.78–0.89 for ER-positive vs OR=0.91, 95% CI=0.81–1.04 for ER-negative, P for heterogeneity=0.14). The breast cancer risk was not associated with any of the other SARDs, except for a risk reduction of ER-negative cases (OR=0.49, 95% CI=0.26–0.93) among women with SLE. These findings suggest that systemic inflammation may affect breast epithelial neoplasia.

Infectious aetiology of Hodgkin and non-Hodgkin lymphomas: a review of the epidemiological evidence

Lymphomas constitute a heterogeneous group of malignant disorders with different clinical behaviours, pathological features and epidemiological characteristics. For some lymphoma subtypes, epidemiological evidence has long pointed to infectious aetiologies. A subset of Hodgkin lymphoma is strongly linked to Epstein-Barr virus (EBV) infection. In addition, infectious agents can directly infect and transform lymphocytes (e.g. EBV, human herpesvirus 8), induce immunosuppression (human immunodeficiency virus), or cause chronic immune stimulation (hepatitis C virus, Helicobacter pylori), all of which may play a role in the development of various non-Hodgkin lymphoma subtypes. Here, we review the epidemiological evidence linking infections with malignant lymphoma.

Antibiotic use and risk of non-Hodgkin's lymphoma: a population-based case-control study

Antibiotic use in 759 non-Hodgkin's lymphoma (NHL) patients and 589 controls was compared. Neither total antibiotic use (odds ratio=0.7, 95% confidence interval=0.5-1.2), nor antibiotic use by site, was associated with total NHL, or NHL subtypes. There were no trends with frequency or age at first use (P trend=0.23 and 0.26, respectively).

Risk of breast, ovary, and uterine corpus cancers among 85,268 women with AIDS

By linking HIV/AIDS and cancer surveillance data in 12 US regions, breast and reproductive cancer risks with AIDS were compared to those in the general population. Trends in standardized incidence ratios (SIRs) were assessed by CD4 count, AIDS-relative time, and calendar time. Standardized incidence ratios were indirectly adjusted for cancer risk factors using data from AIDS cohort participants and the general population. With AIDS, 313 women developed breast cancer (SIR 0.69, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.62–0.77), 42 developed ovary cancer (SIR 1.05, 95% CI, 0.75–1.42), and 31 developed uterine corpus cancer (SIR 0.57, 95% CI, 0.39–0.81). Uterine cancer risk was reduced significantly after age 50 (SIR 0.33). Breast cancer risk was reduced significantly both before (SIR 0.71) and after (SIR 0.66) age 50, and was lower for local or regional (SIR 0.54) than distant (SIR 0.89) disease. Breast cancer risk varied little by CD4 count (P_trend=0.47) or AIDS-relative time (P_trend=0.14) or after adjustment for established cancer risk factors. However, it increased significantly between 1980 and 2002 (P_trend=0.003), approaching the risk of the general population. We conclude that the cancer deficit reflected direct or indirect effects of HIV/AIDS and that anti-HIV therapy reduced these effects.

Poliovirus vaccination during pregnancy, maternal seroconversion to simian virus 40, and risk of childhood cancer

Before 1963, poliovirus vaccine produced in the United States was contaminated with simian virus 40 (SV40), which causes cancer in animals. To examine whether early-life SV40 infection can cause human cancer, the authors studied 54,796 children enrolled in the US-based Collaborative Perinatal Project (CPP) in 1959-1966, 52 of whom developed cancer by their eighth birthday. Those children whose mothers had received pre-1963 poliovirus vaccine during pregnancy (22.5% of the children) had an increased incidence of neural tumors (hazard ratio = 2.6, 95% confidence interval: 1.0, 6.7; 18 cases) and hematologic malignancies (hazard ratio = 2.8, 95% confidence interval: 1.2, 6.4; 22 cases). For 50 CPP children with cancer and 200 CPP control children, the authors tested paired maternal serum samples from pregnancy for SV40 antibodies using a virus-like particle enzyme immunoassay and a plaque neutralization assay. Overall, mothers exhibited infrequent, low-level SV40 antibody reactivity, and only six case mothers seroconverted by either assay. Using the two SV40 assays, maternal SV40 seroconversion during pregnancy was not consistently related to children's case/control status or mothers' receipt of pre-1963 vaccine. The authors conclude that an increased cancer risk in CPP children whose mothers received pre-1963 poliovirus vaccine was unlikely to have been due to SV40 infection transmitted from mothers to their children.

Absence of human T-cell lymphotropic virus type I and human foamy virus in thymoma

The cause of thymoma, a rare malignancy of thymic epithelial cells, is unknown. Recent studies have reported the detection of DNA from human T-cell lymphotropic virus type I (HTLV-I) and human foamy virus (HFV) in small numbers of thymoma tumours, suggesting an aetiologic role for these retroviruses. In the present study, we evaluated 21 US thymoma patients and 20 patients with other cancers for evidence of infection with these viruses. We used the polymerase chain reaction to attempt to amplify viral DNA from tumour tissues, using primers from the pol and tax (HTLV-I) and gag and bel1 (HFV) regions. In these experiments, we did not detect HTLV-I or HFV DNA sequences in any thymoma or control tissues, despite adequate sensitivity of our assays (one HTLV-I copy per 25 000 cells, one HFV copy per 7500 cells). Additionally, none of 14 thymoma patients evaluated serologically for HTLV I/II infection was positive by enzyme-linked immunoassay (ELISA), while five (36%) had indeterminate Western blot reactivity. In comparison, one of 20 US blood donors was HTLV-I/II ELISA positive, and nine (45%) donors, including the ELISA-positive donor, had indeterminate Western blot reactivity. Western blot patterns varied across individuals and consisted mostly of weak reactivity. In conclusion, we did not find evidence for the presence of HTLV-I or HFV in US thymoma patients.

Multicenter comparison of serologic assays and estimation of human herpesvirus 8 seroprevalence among US blood donors

BACKGROUND

As part of assessing the possibility of transfusion transmission of human herpesvirus 8 (HHV-8 or Kaposi's sarcoma-associated herpesvirus), HHV-8 seroprevalence was estimated among US blood donors, the performance of HHV-8 serologic tests was compared, and the presence of HHV-8 DNA was tested for in donated blood.

STUDY DESIGN AND METHODS

Replicate panels of 1040 plasma specimens prepared from 1000 US blood donors (collected in 1994 and 1995) and 21 Kaposi's sarcoma patients were tested for antibodies to HHV-8 in six laboratories. HHV-8 PCR was performed on blood samples from 138 donors, including all 33 who tested seropositive in at least two laboratories and 22 who tested positive in at least one.

RESULTS

The estimated HHV-8 seroprevalence among US blood donors was 3.5 percent (95% CI, 1.2%-9.8%) by a conditional dependence latent-class model, 3.0 percent (95% CI, 2.0%-4.6%) by a conditional independence latent-class model, and 3.3 percent (95% CI, 2.3%-4.6%) by use of a consensus-derived gold standard (specimens positive in two or more laboratories); the conditional dependence model best fit the data. In this model, laboratory specificities ranged from 96.6 to 100 percent. Sensitivities ranged widely, but with overlapping 95 percent CIs. HHV-8 DNA was detected in blood from none of 138 donors evaluated.

CONCLUSIONS

Medical and behavioral screening does not eliminate HHV-8-seropositive persons from the US blood donor pool, but no viral DNA was found in donor blood. Further studies of much larger numbers of seropositive individuals will be required to more completely assess the rate of viremia and possibility of HHV-8 transfusion transmission. Current data do not indicate a need to screen US blood donors for HHV-8.

Human immunodeficiency virus infection, aging, and cancer

HIV infection increases non-Hodgkin's lymphoma and Kaposi's sarcoma risk. Among HIV-uninfected persons, risk for these malignancies and others increases with age. As HIV-infected persons age, new patterns in cancer incidence may emerge. In this article, data from the AIDS-Cancer Registry Match study are presented on risk for Kaposi's sarcoma and lung cancer among persons with AIDS. For 132,346 homosexual men with AIDS, Kaposi's sarcoma incidence was highest for men 30-39 years old (5.0 cases/100 person-years) and declined with age (P(trend) <.0001). This trend likely arises from variation in Kaposi's sarcoma herpesvirus prevalence among homosexual men. For 239,257 adults with AIDS (all risk groups), lung cancer incidence increased with age, and was higher than in the general population (P <.0001), probably reflecting heavy smoking among HIV-infected adults. Identifying separate effects of HIV and aging on cancer risk will require detailed data on individuals' HIV infection status and exposures to known carcinogens.

Cancers associated with Kaposi's sarcoma (KS) in AIDS: a link between KS herpesvirus and immunoblastic lymphoma

Kaposi's sarcoma (KS), common among persons with acquired immunodeficiency syndrome (AIDS), is caused by KS herpesvirus (KSHV) but whether KSHV causes other malignancies is uncertain. Using linked United States AIDS and cancer registries, we measured the incidence of specific malignancies in persons with AIDS (4-27 months after AIDS onset). We identified associations with KSHV by calculating a relative risk: cancer incidence in persons with KS (all were KSHV-infected) divided by incidence in persons without KS. Using Poisson regression, relative risks were adjusted for human immunodeficiency virus risk group, gender, age, race, and calendar year. We included 189 159 subjects (26 972 with KS). Immunoblastic lymphoma was significantly associated with KS (506 cases; relative risks: unadjusted 2.44, 95%CI 2.00-2.96, adjusted 1.58, 95%CI 1.29-1.93). Only one immunoblastic lymphoma had pleura as primary site. None of 37 other specified malignancies (other non-Hodgkin lymphomas, haematological malignancies, solid tumours) was significantly associated with KS. In summary, the association of immunoblastic lymphoma with KS was specific among examined malignancies and remained significant after statistical adjustment. Our findings, and the previously demonstrated presence of KSHV in the histologically related primary effusion lymphoma, suggest that KSHV is involved in the pathogenesis of some immunoblastic lymphomas.

Thirty-five year mortality following receipt of SV40- contaminated polio vaccine during the neonatal period

Early poliovirus vaccines, both inactivated and live attenuated, were inadvertently contaminated with simian virus 40 (SV40), a monkey virus known to be oncogenic for newborn hamsters. Although large epidemiologic studies have not identified an elevated cancer risk in persons who received SV40-contaminated vaccines, fragments of SV40 DNA have recently been identified in certain human tumours. We report the follow-up of a cohort of 1073 persons, unique because they received SV40-contaminated poliovirus vaccines as newborns in 1961-63. A previous report of the status of these subjects as of 1977-79 identified 15 deaths, none due to cancer. The present study utilized the National Death Index to identify deaths in the cohort for the years 1979-96. Expected deaths were calculated from Cleveland area sex-, age-, race- and year-specific mortality rates. Increased mortality from all causes was not found. 4 deaths from cancer were found compared to 3.16 expected (P = 0.77). However, 2 deaths from testicular cancer occurred, compared to 0.05 expected (P = 0.002), which may be a chance finding due to multiple comparisons. There were 2 deaths due to leukaemia, a non-significant finding, and no deaths due to tumours of the types putatively associated with SV40. Although these results are, for the most part, consistent with other negative epidemiologic investigations of risks from SV40-contaminated vaccines, further study of testicular cancer may be warranted, and it will be important to continue monitoring this cohort which is now reaching middle-age.

Strategies for diagnosing and treating suspected acute bacterial sinusitis: a cost-effectiveness analysis

OBJECTIVE

Symptoms suggestive of acute bacterial sinusitis are common. Available diagnostic and treatment options generate substantial costs with uncertain benefits. We assessed the cost-effectiveness of alternative management strategies to identify the optimal approach.

DESIGN

For such patients, we created a Markov model to examine four strategies: 1) no antibiotic treatment; 2) empirical antibiotic treatment; 3) clinical criteria-guided treatment; and 4) radiography-guided treatment. The model simulated a 14-day course of illness, included sinusitis prevalence, antibiotic side effects, sinusitis complications, direct and indirect costs, and symptom severity. Strategies costing less than 50,000 dollars per quality-adjusted life year gained were considered "cost-effective."

MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS

For mild or moderate disease, basing antibiotic treatment on clinical criteria was cost-effective in clinical settings where sinusitis prevalence is within the range of 15% to 93% or 3% to 63%, respectively. For severe disease, or to prevent sinusitis or antibiotic side effect symptoms, use of clinical criteria was cost-effective in settings with lower prevalence (below 51% or 44%, respectively); empirical antibiotics was cost-effective with higher prevalence. Sinus radiography-guided treatment was never cost-effective for initial treatment.

CONCLUSIONS

Use of a simple set of clinical criteria to guide treatment is a cost-effective strategy in most clinical settings. Empirical antibiotics are cost-effective in certain settings; however, their use results in many unnecessary prescriptions. If this resulted in increased antibiotic resistance, costs would substantially rise and efficacy would fall. Newer, expensive antibiotics are of limited value. Additional testing is not cost-effective. Further studies are needed to find an accurate,low-cost diagnostic test for acute bacterial sinusitis.

Trends in human immunodeficiency virus type 1 (HIV-1) load among HIV-1-infected children with hemophilia

In human immunodeficiency virus type 1 (HIV-1)-infected persons, virus load (serum/plasma level of HIV) predicts outcome. Virus load trends have been characterized in adults and infants but not in children. Virus load trends in 22 male children with hemophilia who acquired HIV-1 postnatally (age 0.7-5.2 years at seroconversion) were studied. The mean HIV-1 load 2 years after seroconversion was 4.40 log10 copies/mL, and the mean change over time (slope) was 0.03 log10 copies/(mL x year). Significant among-children variation was apparent: a random effects model predicted that 95% of children had early virus loads 3.75-5.04 log10 copies/mL and slopes -0.07 to 0.12 log10 copies/(mL x year). Higher early virus loads and higher slopes were each associated with increased mortality (P=.006 and P=.03, respectively). In conclusion, those subjects had virus load trends similar to those in adults. Early virus loads were lower than those in vertically infected infants, which suggests that factors changing soon after birth affect viral replication.

Cause-specific mortality associated with HIV and HTLV-II infections among injecting drug users in the USA

BACKGROUND

Human T-lymphotropic virus type II (HTLV-II) is widespread among injecting drug users (IDU) and may contribute to the risk of leukemia/lymphoma, neurodegenerative disease, and perhaps pneumonia, especially with HIV co-infection.

METHODS

In 1987--1991, 6570 IDU were tested for HIV and HTLV-II antibodies. In 1998, they were matched to the National Death Index. Numbers of observed deaths of each cause were compared by standardized mortality ratios with the numbers expected, using sex-, race-, age-, and year-specific rates in the general population. Relative risk (RR) associated with each virus, compared to uninfected drug users, was estimated by Poisson modeling.

RESULTS

There were 1351 deaths, including 683 (15%) of 4604 participants who enrolled seronegative for both viruses; 328 (47%) of 701 who had HIV but not HTLV-II infection; 220 (21%) of 1033 who had HTLV-II but not HIV infection; and 120 (52%) of 232 who were infected by both viruses. Compared to the general population, mortality for participants with neither virus was increased 4.3-fold [95% confidence interval (CI), 4.0--4.7] and was significantly elevated for virtually every cause of death. With HIV, mortality from medical causes, but not external causes, was increased 3.7-fold (95% CI, 3.3--4.2), particularly with AIDS and related conditions. With HTLV-II, all-cause mortality was reduced (RR, 0.8; 95% CI, 0.7--0.9), with no statistically significant reduction or elevation for any specific cause. A non-significant excess of tuberculosis deaths (RR, 4.6; 95% CI, 0.8--25.2) was noted with HTLV-II, but there was no excess mortality from leukemia/lymphoma, other malignancies, or neurodegenerative disease.

CONCLUSIONS

Without HIV or HTLV-II, IDU had profoundly increased mortality from medical and external causes. HIV was specifically associated with death due to AIDS and related conditions. HTLV-II infection was not significantly associated with mortality from any cause, suggesting that it is not a significant human pathogen, even when present with HIV infection.

Appendectomy and subsequent risk of inflammatory bowel diseases

BACKGROUND

Case-control studies have reported an inverse relationship between appendectomy and the risk of ulcerative colitis, but the association has not been confirmed in prospective studies.

METHODS

Using national hospital discharge registry data in Denmark, the authors followed up 154,434 patients who underwent appendectomy during the period 1977 to 1989 to investigate whether they had subsequent hospitalizations for ulcerative colitis and Crohn's disease. Ratios of observed-to-expected first hospitalizations for inflammatory bowel diseases served as measures of the relative risk (RR).

RESULTS

Hospitalization for ulcerative colitis occurred in 84 patients who had appendectomies versus 97.0 expected (RR = 0.87; 95% CI, 0.69-1.07). RRs were not significantly reduced in subgroups defined by sex, age, time since appendectomy, calendar period, or cause of appendectomy. Hospitalization for Crohn's disease occurred in excess (RR = 2.88; 95% CI, 2.45-3.39; n = 150), notably in the first year after appendectomy (RR = 10.83; 95% CI, 8.49-13.62; n = 73); but after 5 years, the RR was not significantly elevated.

CONCLUSIONS

This large population-based cohort study failed to support a significant inverse association between appendectomy and ulcerative colitis risk in the first decade after the operation. The excess of Crohn's disease shortly after appendectomy most likely reflects differential diagnostic problems in patients newly presenting with abdominal pain.

Association of cancer with AIDS-related immunosuppression in adults

CONTEXT

Large-scale studies are needed to determine if cancers other than Kaposi sarcoma, non-Hodgkin lymphoma, and cervical cancer occur in excess in persons with human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) infection or acquired immunodeficiency syndrome (AIDS).

OBJECTIVES

To examine the general cancer pattern among adults with HIV/AIDS and to distinguish immunosuppression-associated cancers from other cancers that may occur in excess among persons with HIV/AIDS.

DESIGN, SETTING, AND SUBJECTS

Analysis of linked population-based AIDS and cancer registry data from 11 geographically diverse areas in the United States, including 302 834 adults aged 15 to 69 years with HIV/AIDS. The period of study varied by registry between 1978 and 1996.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURE

Relative risks (RRs) of cancers, calculated by dividing the number of observed cancer cases by the number expected based on contemporaneous population-based incidence rates. We defined cancers potentially influenced by immunosuppression by 3 criteria: (1) elevated overall RR in the period from 60 months before to 27 months after AIDS; (2) elevated RR in the 4- to 27-month post-AIDS period; and (3) increasing trend in RR from before to after AIDS onset.

RESULTS

Expected excesses were observed for the AIDS-defining cancers, but non-AIDS-defining cancers also occurred in statistically significant excess (n = 4422; overall RR, 2.7; 95% confidence interval [CI], 2.7-2.8). Of individual cancers, only Hodgkin disease (n = 612; RR, 11.5; 95% CI, 10.6-12.5), particularly of the mixed cellularity (n = 217; RR, 18.3; 95% CI, 15.9-20.9) and lymphocytic depletion (n = 36; RR, 35.3; 95% CI, 24.7-48.8) subtypes; lung cancer (n = 808; RR, 4.5; 95% CI, 4.2-4.8); penile cancer (n = 14; RR, 3.9; 95% CI, 2.1-6.5); soft tissue malignancies (n = 78; RR, 3.3; 95% CI, 2.6-4.1); lip cancer (n = 20; RR, 3.1; 95% CI, 1.9-4.8); and testicular seminoma (n = 115; RR, 2.0; 95% CI, 1.7-2.4) met all 3 criteria for potential association with immunosuppression.

CONCLUSION

Although occurring in overall excess, most non-AIDS-defining cancers do not appear to be influenced by the advancing immunosuppression associated with HIV disease progression. Some cancers that met our criteria for potential association with immunosuppression may have occurred in excess in persons with HIV/AIDS because of heavy smoking (lung cancer), frequent exposure to human papillomavirus (penile cancer), or inaccurately recorded cases of Kaposi sarcoma (soft tissue malignancies) in these persons. However, Hodgkin disease, notably of the mixed cellularity and lymphocytic depletion subtypes, and possibly lip cancer and testicular seminoma may be genuinely influenced by immunosuppression.

Risk of T-cell lymphomas in persons with AIDS

Lymphomas in persons with AIDS are mostly B-cell types, but T-cell lymphomas have also been reported. We examined T-cell lymphoma risk in the 2-year period after AIDS onset by linking 302,834 adults with AIDS to cancer registry data. Of 6,788 cases of non-Hodgkin's lymphoma (NHL) with specified histologies, 96 (1.4%) were T-cell lymphomas. Assessment was based on clinical diagnosis and histology because T-cell marker data were inadequate, but when present, marker data supported the T-cell diagnosis. The relative risk of T-cell lymphoma, estimated by standardized incidence ratio, was 15.0 (95% confidence interval: 10.0--21.7). Risks were increased for all subtypes, including mycosis fungoides, peripheral lymphomas, cutaneous lymphomas, and adult T-cell leukemia/lymphoma (ATLL). HIV-related immunodeficiency could be important, but differences between the population developing AIDS and the general population (e. g., immigration from the Caribbean region for ATLL) might independently increase T-cell lymphoma risk.

Latent class analysis of human herpesvirus 8 assay performance and infection prevalence in sub-saharan Africa and Malta

Human herpesvirus 8 (HHV-8) is thought to be highly prevalent in Mediterranean countries and sub-Saharan Africa, where it causes Kaposi's sarcoma in a small proportion of infected immunocompetent persons. However, the lack of serological tests with established accuracy has hindered our understanding of the prevalence, risk factors and natural history of HHV-8 infection. We tested 837 subjects from Congo, Botswana (mostly young adults) and Malta (elderly adults), using an immunofluorescence assay and 2 enzyme immunoassays (EIAs, to viral proteins K8.1 and orf65). Each assay found HHV-8 seroprevalence to be high (49-87%) in the African populations and generally lower (9-54%) in Malta. However, there was only modest agreement among tests regarding which subjects were seropositive (3-way kappa, 0.05-0.34). We used latent class analysis to model this lack of agreement, estimating each test's sensitivity and specificity and each population's HHV-8 prevalence. Using this approach, the K8.1 EIA had consistently high sensitivity (91-100%) and specificity (92-100%) across populations, suggesting that it might be useful for epidemiological studies. Compared with the K8.1 EIA, both the immunofluorescence assay and the orf65 EIA had more variable sensitivity (80-100% and 58-87%, respectively) and more variable specificity (57-100% and 48-85%, respectively). HHV-8 prevalence was 7% among elderly Maltese adults. Prevalence was much higher (82%) in Congo, consistent with very high Kaposi's sarcoma incidence there. Prevalence was also high in Botswana (87% in Sans, an indigenous group, and 76% in Bantus), though Kaposi's sarcoma is not common, suggesting that additional co-factors besides HHV-8 are needed for development of Kaposi's sarcoma.

Meta-analysis of diagnostic tests for acute sinusitis

To facilitate management of acute sinusitis, we conducted a meta-analysis of published studies comparing diagnostic tests for this disorder. Thirteen studies were identified through literature search. Based on sinus puncture/aspiration (considered most accurate), 49-83% of symptomatic patients had acute sinusitis. Compared with puncture/aspiration, radiography offered moderate ability to diagnose sinusitis (summary receiver operator curve [SROC] area, 0.83). Using sinus opacity or fluid as the criterion for sinusitis, radiography had sensitivity of 0.73 and specificity of 0.80. Studies evaluating ultrasonography revealed substantial variation in test performance. The clinical evaluation, particularly risk scores formally incorporating history and physical examination findings, had moderate ability to identify patients with positive radiographs (SROC area, 0.74). Many studies were of poor quality, with inadequately described test methods and unblinded test interpretation. In conclusion, acute sinusitis is common among symptomatic patients. Radiography and clinical evaluation (especially risk scores) appear to provide useful information for diagnosis of sinusitis.

Heterogeneity and statistical significance in meta-analysis: an empirical study of 125 meta-analyses

For meta-analysis, substantial uncertainty remains about the most appropriate statistical methods for combining the results of separate trials. An important issue for meta-analysis is how to incorporate heterogeneity, defined as variation among the results of individual trials beyond that expected from chance, into summary estimates of treatment effect. Another consideration is which 'metric' to use to measure treatment effect; for trials with binary outcomes, there are several possible metrics, including the odds ratio (a relative measure) and risk difference (an absolute measure). To examine empirically how assessment of treatment effect and heterogeneity may differ when different methods are utilized, we studied 125 meta-analyses representative of those performed by clinical investigators. There was no meta-analysis in which the summary risk difference and odds ratio were discrepant to the extent that one indicated significant benefit while the other indicated significant harm. Further, for most meta-analyses, summary odds ratios and risk differences agreed in statistical significance, leading to similar conclusions about whether treatments affected outcome. Heterogeneity was common regardless of whether treatment effects were measured by odds ratios or risk differences. However, risk differences usually displayed more heterogeneity than odds ratios. Random effects estimates, which incorporate heterogeneity, tended to be less precisely estimated than fixed effects estimates. We present two exceptions to these observations, which derive from the weights assigned to individual trial estimates. We discuss the implications of these findings for selection of a metric for meta-analysis and incorporation of heterogeneity into summary estimates. Published in 2000 by John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.

Identifying human herpesvirus 8 infection: performance characteristics of serologic assays

Epidemiologic studies of infection with the oncogenic human herpesvirus 8 (HHV-8) depend on serologic methods to diagnose infection. However, optimal strategies for identifying HHV-8 infection remain undefined. We therefore evaluated four enzyme-linked immunoassays (EIAs) and one immunofluorescence assay (IFA) using sera from 87 individuals with the prototype HHV-8 disease, Kaposi's sarcoma (KS), and 210 participants in a hemophilia study (who were presumed not to be infected with HHV-8). Assays performed reasonably well in distinguishing between infected and uninfected persons, with receiver operator curve areas between 0.86 and 0.96. Nonetheless, IFA had only 86% sensitivity and 88% specificity, and no EIA simultaneously had sensitivity and specificity above 90% for any of the optical density (OD) cutpoints used to define seropositivity. Some assays were markedly less sensitive with diluted KS sera, suggesting that they poorly identify low-titer antibodies present in asymptomatic infection. We also developed a classification tree that categorized individuals as seropositive if they had OD > 2.00 on recombinant K8.1 protein EIA or if they had both K8.1 OD between 0.51 and 2.00 and positive IFA results; this strategy had between 80% and 90% sensitivity and 95% and 100% specificity. Overall, assays performed adequately for use in most epidemiologic investigations, but wider applications will require improved tests.

Vaccines for preventing typhoid fever

BACKGROUND

Whole cell vaccines, consisting of relatively crude preparations of Salmonella typhi administered parenterally, are effective but have a high incidence of adverse effects. Two vaccines have been developed more recently. Ty21a (an attenuated strain of S. typhi administered orally) and Vi (the purified bacterial capsule, given parenterally), have appeared less toxic than the older whole cell vaccines and are thought to be equally effective.

OBJECTIVES

The objective of this review was to assess the effects of typhoid fever vaccines.

SEARCH STRATEGY

We searched the Cochrane Library, Medline, Index Medicus, Embase and reference lists of articles.

SELECTION CRITERIA

Randomised trials comparing typhoid vaccines to other types of vaccine or placebo.

DATA COLLECTION AND ANALYSIS

Two reviewers independently assessed trial quality and extracted data.

MAIN RESULTS

Seventeen studies, involving nearly two million people, were included. For the whole cell vaccines single dose regimens provided significant protection for the first two years. Two dose regimens provided significant protection for five years. For the Ty21a vaccine, both two and three dose regimens provided statistically significant protection for two years. The three dose regimen provided protection in the third and fourth years, but protection was not statistically significant in the fifth year. The Vi vaccine provided protection for two years, but the protection in the third year was not significant. The three year cumulative efficacy of two doses of whole cell vaccines was 73% (95% confidence interval 65-80), three doses of Ty21a was 51%, (95% confidence interval 35 to 63) and one dose of Vi was 55% (95% confidence interval 30 to 71). Data on adverse effects were limited, but indicate that whole cell vaccines are more toxic than the newer Ty21a and Vi vaccines.

REVIEWER'S CONCLUSIONS

The whole cell vaccines provided more prolonged protection than either the Ty21a vaccine or the Vi vaccine. However whole cell vaccines are associated with higher toxicity.

Zoster incidence in human immunodeficiency virus-infected hemophiliacs and homosexual men, 1984-1997. District of Columbia Gay Cohort Study. Multicenter Hemophilia Cohort Study

Zoster is an important clinical problem for human immunodeficiency virus type 1 (HIV)-infected patients. Risk factors for zoster and trends in incidence in HIV-infected hemophiliacs and homosexual men (n=1218) were examined. From 1984 to 1997, 174 zoster cases were identified (average yearly incidence, 2.5%). Prior zoster episodes were associated with increased risk for a subsequent episode (relative risk [RR], 4.30; 95% confidence interval [CI], 3.11-5.95). Among hemophiliacs, children and adolescents had the highest zoster risk, and zoster risk declined with age (RR, 0.80 per decade; 95% CI, 0.68-0.93). These findings suggest that HIV-infected persons do not produce or maintain adequate booster responses after varicella zoster virus exposure. Zoster risk was relatively constant when CD4 cell counts >200 cells/mm3 but increased steeply below this level. During the 14 years of follow-up, zoster incidence declined 9% per year. This trend occurred despite decreasing CD4 cell counts and was unexplained by zidovudine or acyclovir use.

Plasma HIV viral load in patients with hemophilia and late-stage HIV disease: a measure of current immune suppression. Multicenter Hemophilia Cohort Study

BACKGROUND

For patients infected with HIV, plasma HIV viral load in early disease predicts long-term prognosis. However, the implications of viral load measurements late in HIV disease are uncertain.

OBJECTIVE

To evaluate the relation between plasma HIV viral load and subsequent risk for disease progression in patients with late-stage HIV disease.

DESIGN

Retrospective cohort study.

SETTING

16 treatment centers for patients with hemophilia.

PATIENTS

389 patients with hemophilia and late-stage HIV disease (CD4 count < 200 cells/mm3).

MEASUREMENTS

Plasma HIV viral load was measured at baseline. Patients were followed for AIDS-related illnesses (primary outcome) and, specifically, Pneumocystis carinii pneumonia (secondary outcome).

RESULTS

HIV viral load strongly predicted AIDS-related illness. For patients with viral loads less than 4.00 log10 copies/mL, the 1-year actuarial risk was 0% and the 5-year risk was 25%. For patients with viral loads of at least 6.00 log10 copies/mL, the 1-year actuarial risk was 42% and the 5-year risk was 78%. A linear relation existed between viral load and risk for AIDS-related illness (hazard ratio, 2.37 per 1og10 copies/mL; P < 0.001). In addition, viral load most strongly predicted risk for illness immediately after viral load testing; this predictive relation attenuated over time (P = 0.002). These findings changed little after adjustment for CD4 cell counts that were updated during follow-up. In the first year after viral load was measured, it predicted occurrence of P. carinii pneumonia (hazard ratio, 4.69 per 1og10 copies/mL; P < 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

In patients with hemophilia and late-stage HIV disease, viral load predicts disease progression independently of CD4 cell counts. Because viral load most strongly predicts progression immediately after load is measured, it seems to reflect the current level of immunosuppression.

Early infection in bone marrow transplantation: quantitative study of clinical factors that affect risk

Infections remain common life-threatening complications of bone marrow transplantation. To examine clinical factors that affect infection risk, we retrospectively studied patients who received bone marrow transplants (53 autologous and 51 allogeneic). Over a median of 27 hospital days, 44 patients developed documented infections. Both autologous transplantation and hematopoietic growth factor use were associated with less prolonged neutropenia and decreased occurrence of infection (P < or = .05). In a survival regression model, variables independently associated with infection risk were the log10 of the neutrophil count (hazard ratio [HR], 0.49; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.32-0.75), ciprofloxacin prophylaxis (HR, 0.42; 95% CI, 0.19-0.95), empirical intravenous antibiotic use (HR, 0.09; 95% CI, 0.03-0.32), and an interaction between neutrophil count and intravenous antibiotic use (HR, 1.86; 95% CI, 1.06-3.29). In this model, infection risk increases steeply at low neutrophil counts for patients receiving no antibiotic therapy. Ciprofloxacin prophylaxis and particularly intravenous antibiotic therapy provide substantial protection at low neutrophil counts. These results can be used to model management strategies for transplant recipients.

Efficacy of quinolone prophylaxis in neutropenic cancer patients: a meta-analysis

PURPOSE

To perform a meta-analysis to estimate the efficacy of quinolone antibiotics in preventing infections, fevers, and deaths among cancer patients neutropenic following chemotherapy.

METHODS

We searched MEDLINE to identify randomized trials of quinolone prophylaxis, controlled either with no prophylaxis or trimethoprim/sulfamethoxazole (TMS) prophylaxis. We pooled relative risks for outcomes using a random-effects model.

RESULTS

Eighteen trials with 1,408 subjects were included. Compared with no prophylaxis, quinolones significantly reduced the incidence of gram-negative bacterial infections (relative risk, 0.21; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.12 to 0.37), microbiologically documented infections (0.65; 0.50 to 0.85), total infections (0.54; 0.31 to 0.95), and fevers (0.85; 0.73 to 0.99). Quinolone prophylaxis did not alter the incidence of gram-positive bacterial, fungal, or clinically documented infections, or infection-related deaths. Results were similar for trials that used TMS as the control regimen. Among those who received quinolones, the incidence of infections due to quinolone-resistant organisms was 3.0% (95% CI, 1.7% to 5.2%) for gram-negative species and 9.4% (95% CI, 5.3% to 16.3%) for gram-positive species. Based on limited data, the incidence of quinolone-resistant infections was not higher among quinolone recipients than controls. With fever as outcome, blinded trials found quinolones less efficacious than did unblinded trials.

CONCLUSION

Quinolone prophylaxis substantially reduces the incidence of various infection-related outcomes, but not deaths, in these patients. Although this reduction in infections may translate into a decrease in morbidity, the reduction in fevers (and by extension, use of empiric antibiotics) appears small, and blinded trials provided less evidence for benefit than unblinded trials. Quinolone-resistant infections are uncommon, but continued vigilance is warranted.

Typhoid fever vaccines: a meta-analysis of studies on efficacy and toxicity

OBJECTIVE

To estimate the efficacy and toxicity of typhoid fever vaccines.

DESIGN

Meta-analysis of randomised efficacy trials and both randomised and non-randomised toxicity studies of the parenteral whole cell, oral Ty21a, and parenteral Vi vaccines.

SUBJECTS

1,866,951 subjects in 17 efficacy trials; 11,204 subjects in 20 toxicity studies.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

Pooled estimates of three year cumulative efficacy, year specific efficacy, and incidence of adverse events.

RESULTS

Three year cumulative efficacy was 73% (95% confidence interval 65% to 80%) for two doses of whole cell vaccines (based on seven trials); 51% (35% to 63%) for three doses of Ty21a vaccine (four trials); and 55% (30% to 71%) for one dose of Vi vaccine (one trial). For whole cell and Ty21a vaccines, regimens of fewer doses were less effective. Efficacy was shown to be significant for five years for whole cell vaccines, four years for Ty21a vaccine, and two years for Vi vaccine. Neither the age of vaccine recipient nor the incidence of typhoid fever in the control group (varying from 6 to 810 cases per 100,000 person years) affected the efficacy of the whole cell or Ty21a vaccines. After vaccination, fever occurred in 15.7% (11.5% to 21.2%) of whole cell vaccine recipients, 2.0% (0.7% to 5.3%) of Ty21a vaccine recipients, and 1.1% (0.1% to 12.3%) of Vi vaccine recipients.

CONCLUSIONS

Whole cell vaccines are more effective than the Ty21a and Vi vaccines but are more frequently associated with adverse events. Whether the added efficacy of the whole cell vaccines outweighs their toxicity will depend on the setting in which vaccination is used.